NP – Nonlinear Processes in Geosciences
NP1.1 – Artificial Intelligence, Cognitive models and Data Inversion In Geosciences
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EGU2017-4132 | Posters | NP1.1 Electrofacies classification using the self-organizing map approach with an example from the Algerian Sahara |
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EGU2017-4571 | Posters | NP1.1 Identification of cultivated land using remote sensing images based on object-oriented artificial bee colony algorithm |
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EGU2017-6686 | Posters | NP1.1 Slow waves moving near the openings in highly stressed conditions |
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EGU2017-6911 | Posters | NP1.1 Rayleigh wave dispersion curve inversion by using particle swarm optimization and genetic algorithm |
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EGU2017-7037 | Posters | NP1.1 Estimating of aquifer parameters from the single-well water-level measurements in response to advancing longwall mine by using particle swarm optimization |
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EGU2017-8751 | Posters | NP1.1 Micro seismic event detection based on neural networks in the Groningen area, The Netherlands |
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EGU2017-9429 | Posters | NP1.1 2D Inversion of Transient Electromagnetic Method (TEM) |
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EGU2017-16173 | Posters | NP1.1 Is the climate system an anticipatory system that minimizes free energy? |
NP2.1 – ENSO: Dynamics, Predictability and Modelling (including Lewis Fry Richardson Medal Lecture)
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EGU2017-8494 | Posters | NP2.1 Modification of ENSO and ENSO-related atmospheric characteristics due to future climate change |
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EGU2017-2271 | Orals | NP2.1 Chaotic dynamics in the physical sciences (Lewis Fry Richardson Medal Lecture) |
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EGU2017-11984 | Posters | NP2.1 Atmospheric circulation remote response during two types of El Niño in changing climate |
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EGU2017-11528 | Orals | NP2.1 Oceanic Internal Variability, Tropical Instability Waves and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation |
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EGU2017-13130 | Posters | NP2.1 Performance of the Prognocean Plus system during the El Niño 2015/2016: predictions of sea level anomalies as tools for forecasting El Niño |
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EGU2017-3853 | Orals | NP2.1 ENSO in the CMIP5 simulations: lifecycles, diversity, and responses to climate change |
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EGU2017-11379 | Posters | NP2.1 Dynamically meaningful metrics of ENSO in climate models |
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EGU2017-11702 | Orals | NP2.1 ENSO flavours during the pre-instrumental period |
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EGU2017-3921 | Posters | NP2.1 ENSO Sensitivity to Volcanic Eruption Magnitude and Season |
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EGU2017-6389 | Orals | NP2.1 Mechanisms of the Indian Ocean Dipole influence on El Niño/Southern Oscillation |
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EGU2017-4664 | Posters | NP2.1 Recent Decadal Variations of El Nino Predictability |
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EGU2017-3128 | Orals | NP2.1 ENSO amplitude changes due to greenhouse warming in CMIP5: Role of mean tropical precipitation in the 20th centur |
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EGU2017-10354 | Orals | NP2.1 Role of the Tropical Atlantic in the mid-70’s ENSO shift |
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EGU2017-5932 | Posters | NP2.1 Role of Western Hemisphere Warm Pool in Rapid Climate Changes over the Western North Pacific |
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EGU2017-13928 | Orals | NP2.1 External and internal origins of ENSO modulation revealed by Holocene corals and climate model simulations |
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EGU2017-6459 | Posters | NP2.1 Mean State Dependence of ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks in Climate Models |
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EGU2017-9237 | Posters | NP2.1 The role of Indonesian convection in the interaction between the Indian Ocean and ENSO |
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EGU2017-18384 | Orals | NP2.1 | Highlight Humans have already increased the risk of major disruption to Pacific rainfall |
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EGU2017-10792 | Posters | NP2.1 Influence of tropical Pacific winds at different timescales on ENSO evolution |
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EGU2017-8336 | Posters | NP2.1 A Real-time Ocean Reanalyses Intercomparison Project in the Context of Tropical Pacific Observing System and ENSO Monitoring |
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EGU2017-12639 | Posters | NP2.1 Differential imprints of different ENSO flavors in global patterns of seasonal precipitation extremes |
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EGU2017-19142 | Posters | NP2.1 A unified nonlinear stochastic time series analysis for climate science |
NP3.3 – Scaling, multifractals and Nonlinear dynamics in the atmosphere, ocean, climate and environment (co-organized)
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EGU2017-1755 | Posters | NP3.3 Dynamical systems proxies of atmospheric predictability and mid-latitude extremes |
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EGU2017-2258 | Orals | NP3.3 The Eddy–Mean Flow Interaction and the Intrusion of Western Boundary Current into the South China Sea–Type Basin in an Idealized Model |
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EGU2017-3359 | Posters | NP3.3 Analysis of the pullback attractors of a low-order quasigeostrophic ocean model under periodic and aperiodic forcing |
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EGU2017-4341 | Orals | NP3.3 Reflections on the nature of non-linear responses of the climate to forcing |
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EGU2017-18654 | Posters | NP3.3 | Highlight The possibility of a tipping point in the Arctic sea ice cover, and associated early-warning signals |
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EGU2017-5110 | Orals | NP3.3 The atmospheric water circulation is an extension of the oceanic overturning! |
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EGU2017-2376 | Posters | NP3.3 | Highlight Arctic sea ice decline and continental cold anomalies: Upstream and downstream effects of Greenland blocking |
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EGU2017-13672 | Orals | NP3.3 Three dimensional Lagrangian structures in the Antarctic Polar Vortex. |
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EGU2017-1106 | Orals | NP3.3 Baroclinic Adjustment of the Eddy-Driven Jet |
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EGU2017-2377 | Posters | NP3.3 Preferred atmospheric circulation patterns of winter Arctic sea ice decline |
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EGU2017-7299 | Orals | NP3.3 Scaling Analysis of Temperature and Liquid Water Content in the Marine Boundary Layer Clouds during POST |
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EGU2017-2881 | Posters | NP3.3 The long-term correlation properties of precipitation |
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EGU2017-1219 | Orals | NP3.3 A global perspective on Glacial- to Interglacial variability change |
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EGU2017-2886 | Posters | NP3.3 The impact of inter-annual variability of annual cycle on long-term memory in long historical temperature records |
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EGU2017-16186 | Posters | NP3.3 The effect of model bias on Atlantic freshwater transport and implications for AMOC bi-stability |
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EGU2017-4877 | Orals | NP3.3 Paleoclimatic scales in the past 800ka based on the high resolution EDC dust record |
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EGU2017-12919 | Orals | NP3.3 To what extent can global warming events influence scaling properties of climatic fluctuations in glacial periods? |
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EGU2017-15848 | Posters | NP3.3 Non-hydrostatic simulation of tsunamis: application to the April 2014 Iquique earthquake |
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EGU2017-14749 | Orals | NP3.3 Interpreting the power spectrum of Dansgaard-Oeschger events via stochastic dynamical systems |
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EGU2017-17135 | Posters | NP3.3 Independent Subspace Analysis of the monthly variability of the sea surface temperature field |
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EGU2017-5881 | Posters | NP3.3 The impact of oceanic heat transport on the atmospheric circulation |
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EGU2017-3844 | Orals | NP3.3 Chemical weathering from the CoDA (Compositional Data Analysis) point of view: new insights for the Alpine rivers geochemistry |
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EGU2017-6183 | Posters | NP3.3 Planetary geostrophic equations for the atmosphere with barotropic component of the flow |
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EGU2017-17766 | Orals | NP3.3 Singularity analysis of frequency density of isotop age data |
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EGU2017-7656 | Posters | NP3.3 Understanding climate sensitivity to greenhouse gas concentrations and orbital forcing in the cGenie Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity |
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EGU2017-9971 | Posters | NP3.3 A Scaling Model for the Forced Climate Variability over Multi-Centennial Scales |
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EGU2017-13245 | Posters | NP3.3 Spatial and temporal precipitation variability across scales: regional to global, decadal to centennial scales and beyond |
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EGU2017-14838 | Posters | NP3.3 Space-time Structure of Temperature Variability |
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EGU2017-10374 | Posters | NP3.3 Scaling forecast models for wind turbulence and wind turbine power intermittency |
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EGU2017-18904 | Posters | NP3.3 Statistical structure of intrinsic climate variability under global warming |
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EGU2017-18753 | Posters | NP3.3 Does the recent warming hiatus exist over northern Asia for winter wind chill temperature? |
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EGU2017-10304 | Posters | NP3.3 Multiscale analysis of water level time series and surge-water level interactions |
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EGU2017-14222 | Posters | NP3.3 Empirical mode decomposition method applied to high frequency seismic data |
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EGU2017-12962 | Posters | NP3.3 Spatial Statistics of atmospheric particulate matter in China |
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EGU2017-7758 | Posters | NP3.3 Water-saving interventions assessment framework: an application for the Urmia Lake Restoration Program |
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EGU2017-7993 | Posters | NP3.3 Towards an understanding of splitting storms: A theoretical approach |
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EGU2017-16157 | Posters | NP3.3 Age and transit time distributions of carbon in a nonlinear global model perturbed by nonautonomous fossil-fuel emissions signals |
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EGU2017-9290 | Posters | NP3.3 Multifractal filtering methods to investigate tectono-magmatic framework in the Eastern Tianshan mineral district, China |
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EGU2017-9507 | Posters | NP3.3 Anisotropic singularity: a novel way to characterize controlling effects of geological processes |
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EGU2017-16381 | Posters | NP3.3 Construction Land Expansion and Transfer of Gravity Center from 1984 to 2016 : A study on Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei Urban Agglomeration |
NP4.1 – Time Series Analysis, Prediction, Verification and Inter-Comparison of Geoscientific Observations and Model Data (co-organized)
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EGU2017-5323 | Orals | NP4.1 The implications of rebasing global mean temperature timeseries for GCM based climate projections |
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EGU2017-15162 | Posters | NP4.1 WAVEPAL: A Software for Frequency and Wavelet Analysis of Irregularly Sampled Time Series |
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EGU2017-13471 | Posters | NP4.1 What does the structure of its visibility graph tell us about the nature of the time series? |
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EGU2017-1850 | Orals | NP4.1 Unveiling signatures of interdecadal climate changes by Hilbert analysis |
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EGU2017-2854 | Posters | NP4.1 Multiplex Recurrence Networks |
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EGU2017-8904 | Orals | NP4.1 Scaling analysis of the observed global temperature data |
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EGU2017-2967 | Orals | NP4.1 Data quantile-quantile plots: quantifying the time evolution of space climatology |
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EGU2017-8592 | Posters | NP4.1 Differential embedding – From theory to application in palaeoclimatology |
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EGU2017-19583 | Posters | NP4.1 A network analysis of global precipitation extremes |
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EGU2017-6707 | Orals | NP4.1 Surrogate methods in geophysics |
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EGU2017-3516 | Orals | NP4.1 A Half-Cycle Discrete Fourier Transform (HCDFT) for the Improved Identification of Periodic Features in Time-Series |
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EGU2017-13300 | Posters | NP4.1 Climate network analysis of regional precipitation extremes: The true story told by event synchronization |
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EGU2017-3245 | Posters | NP4.1 Identifying Typhoon Tracks based on Event Synchronization derived Spatially Embedded Climate Networks |
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EGU2017-4582 | Orals | NP4.1 Nonlinear Dynamics of River Runoff Elucidated by Horizontal Visibility Graphs |
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EGU2017-18171 | Posters | NP4.1 Multiscale complex network analysis: An approach to study spatiotemporal rainfall pattern in south Germany |
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EGU2017-2915 | Orals | NP4.1 Network Analyses for Space-Time High Frequency Wind Data |
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EGU2017-3068 | Orals | NP4.1 Comparison between stochastic and machine learning methods for hydrological multi-step ahead forecasting: All forecasts are wrong! |
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EGU2017-10809 | Posters | NP4.1 Early forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon: case study 2016 |
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EGU2017-4236 | Orals | NP4.1 Data-adaptive Harmonic Decomposition and Real-time Prediction of Arctic Sea Ice Extent |
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EGU2017-10539 | Posters | NP4.1 Effects of 7-8yr cycle in European air temperatures via linear and nonlinear approaches |
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EGU2017-8900 | Posters | NP4.1 Imprints of approximately 8 year oscillation in climatic time series |
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EGU2017-9895 | Orals | NP4.1 Bayesian comparison of conceptual models of abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period |
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EGU2017-12505 | Orals | NP4.1 Modelling fast spreading patterns of airborne infectious diseases using complex networks |
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EGU2017-17414 | Posters | NP4.1 Structured teleconnections reveal the South American monsoon onset: A network approach |
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EGU2017-1040 | Orals | NP4.1 Reduced nonlinear prognostic model construction from high-dimensional data |
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EGU2017-15235 | Posters | NP4.1 Ocean – atmospheric interactions in South America revealed by two-layer complex climate network analysis |
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EGU2017-6689 | Posters | NP4.1 Nonlinear Dynamical Modeling and Forecast of ENSO Variability |
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EGU2017-16891 | Orals | NP4.1 Studying Climate Response to Forcing by the Nonlinear Dynamical Mode Decomposition |
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EGU2017-15491 | Posters | NP4.1 Empirical investigation of the mid-Pleistocene transition |
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EGU2017-9224 | Orals | NP4.1 Improved Analysis of Earth System Models and Observations using Simple Climate Models |
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EGU2017-7252 | Orals | NP4.1 Linear response theory applied to geoengineering |
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EGU2017-10209 | Posters | NP4.1 ALIF: a new promising technique for the decomposition and analysis of nonlinear and nonstationary signals |
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EGU2017-3366 | Posters | NP4.1 Evaluation of trend in contaminant concentration time series |
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EGU2017-5863 | Orals | NP4.1 A proof of concept for scale-adaptive parameterizations: the case of the Lorenz '96 model |
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EGU2017-15528 | Posters | NP4.1 Return Levels of Temperature Extremes in Southern Pakistan |
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EGU2017-10818 | Orals | NP4.1 Parameterization of stochastic multiscale triads |
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EGU2017-17746 | Posters | NP4.1 High resolution dynamical downscaling of air temperature and relative humidity: performance assessment of WRF for Portugal |
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EGU2017-17665 | Posters | NP4.1 Verification of high resolution simulation of precipitation and wind in Portugal |
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EGU2017-4737 | Posters | NP4.1 Analysis of Numerical Weather Predictions of Reference Evapotranspiration and Precipitation |
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EGU2017-9143 | Posters | NP4.1 Time series models for prediction the total and dissolved heavy metals concentration in road runoff and soil solution of roadside embankments |
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EGU2017-11362 | Posters | NP4.1 Classification of paddy rice through multi-temporal multi-sensor data fusion |
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EGU2017-6360 | Posters | NP4.1 Assessment of winter wheat loss risk impacted by climate change from 1982 to 2011 |
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EGU2017-11400 | Posters | NP4.1 Varied representation of the West Pacific pattern in multiple dynamical seasonal predictions of APCC-MME |
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EGU2017-16125 | Posters | NP4.1 Information flow associated with precipitation in coupled and uncoupled regional climate simulations |
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EGU2017-7056 | Posters | NP4.1 A flexible tool for diagnosing water, energy, and entropy budgets in climate models |
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EGU2017-7522 | Posters | NP4.1 An evaluation of parametric sensitivities of different climatic variables simulated by the Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity LOVECLIM |
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EGU2017-9582 | Posters | NP4.1 Modeling the potential of different countries for pandemic spread over the global air network |
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EGU2017-9279 | Posters | NP4.1 The Annual Deformation Signals Isolation in the GNSS Time Series Analysis in CMONOC |
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EGU2017-13548 | Posters | NP4.1 A Multiple Algorithm Approach to the Analysis of GNSS Coordinates Times Series for Detecting Geohazards |
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EGU2017-14051 | Posters | NP4.1 Scaling analysis of high-frequency time series of gamma-ray counts |
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EGU2017-10175 | Posters | NP4.1 Study of Gutenberg-Richter coefficients considering time evolution for different mexican seismic regions |
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EGU2017-10313 | Posters | NP4.1 Time series analysis of geoelectrical field as a possible seismic precursor for Mw=7.2 (2014) in Petatlán, México |
NP5.1 – Inverse Problems, Data Assimilation and Error Dynamics
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EGU2017-765 | Posters | NP5.1 Variational data assimilation for limited-area models: solution of the open boundary control problem and its application for the Gulf of Finland |
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EGU2017-15609 | Orals | NP5.1 On existence and uniqueness of solutions for variational data assimilation |
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EGU2017-766 | Posters | NP5.1 Domain decomposition method for the Baltic Sea based on theory of adjoint equation and inverse problem. |
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EGU2017-729 | Orals | NP5.1 Dynamically constrained uncertainty for the Kalman filter covariance in the presence of model error |
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EGU2017-2486 | Posters | NP5.1 Simulation of a class of hazardous situations in the ICS «INM RAS – Baltic Sea» |
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EGU2017-11587 | Orals | NP5.1 Uncertainty quantification for massive autonomous systems based on a second-order adjoint method |
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EGU2017-6656 | Posters | NP5.1 Variational data assimilation problem for the thermodynamics model with displaced pole |
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EGU2017-3793 | Orals | NP5.1 Nonlinear data assimilation using synchronization in a particle filter |
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EGU2017-15752 | Orals | NP5.1 Toward data-driven methods in geophysics: the Analog Data Assimilation |
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EGU2017-13957 | Posters | NP5.1 The Asymmetric EDA |
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EGU2017-543 | Orals | NP5.1 Improving Weather Forecasts Through Reduced Precision Data Assimilation |
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EGU2017-16744 | Posters | NP5.1 Estimation of 4D-var Data Assimilation Error for Coupled Climate Models |
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EGU2017-1125 | Orals | NP5.1 Lagrangian data assimilation and hybrid particle - ensemble Kalman filter |
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EGU2017-14526 | Posters | NP5.1 Uncertainty Quantification for Adjoint-Based Inverse Problems with Sparse Data |
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EGU2017-9174 | Posters | NP5.1 PEGASOS campaign data for optimizing atmospheric chemical composition by 4D-var data assimilation within EURAD-IM modelling system |
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EGU2017-706 | Orals | NP5.1 Data Assimilation Methods on a Non-conservative Adaptive Mesh |
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EGU2017-2864 | Posters | NP5.1 Geographic dependent Parameter Optimization on Dust Emission in East Asia by Trajectory-based 4DVar |
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EGU2017-7707 | Orals | NP5.1 Formulation and study some inverse problems in modeling of hydrophysical fields in water areas with "liquid" boundaries |
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EGU2017-120 | Posters | NP5.1 Evaluation criteria on the design for assimilating remote sensing data using variational approaches |
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EGU2017-8659 | Orals | NP5.1 Analysing trace gas filaments in the Ex-UTLS by 4D-variational assimilation of tomographic retrievals |
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EGU2017-119 | Posters | NP5.1 A two-way-tracking localized ensemble Kalman filter for assimilating aircraft in situ volcanic ash measurements |
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EGU2017-13444 | Orals | NP5.1 The role of ensemble-based statistics in variational assimilation of cloud-affected observations from infrared imagers |
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EGU2017-5623 | Orals | NP5.1 Structure of analysis-minus-observation misfits within a global ocean reanalysis system: implications for atmospheric reanalyses |
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EGU2017-13327 | Posters | NP5.1 Four-dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation and the unstable subspace |
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EGU2017-13562 | Posters | NP5.1 Estimating Model Evidence Using Data Assimilation |
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EGU2017-704 | Posters | NP5.1 Multimodel parameter optimization with adaptive population importance sampler (APIS) |
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EGU2017-4827 | Posters | NP5.1 Scalable and balanced dynamic hybrid data assimilation |
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EGU2017-3734 | Posters | NP5.1 Benchmarking of numerical weather prediction short-range surface temperature forecasts relative to persisted observation deviations and relative to an observation-based statistical interpolation methodology. |
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EGU2017-17056 | Posters | NP5.1 Assessment of Forecast Sensitivity to Observation and Its Application to Satellite Radiances Assessment |
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EGU2017-1744 | Posters | NP5.1 A practical scheme of the sigma-point Kalman filter for high-dimensional systems |
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EGU2017-9241 | Posters | NP5.1 Building Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation Systems with Coupled Models |
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EGU2017-17689 | Posters | NP5.1 Balanced Atmospheric Data Assimilation |
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EGU2017-7393 | Posters | NP5.1 A flexible additive inflation scheme for treating model error in ensemble Kalman Filters |
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EGU2017-10454 | Posters | NP5.1 Ensemble-Type Kalman Filter Algorithm conserving mass, total energy and enstrophy |
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EGU2017-3429 | Posters | NP5.1 Is 30-second update fast enough for convection-resolving data assimilation? |
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EGU2017-2170 | Posters | NP5.1 Assimilating satellite radiances without vertical localization using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter with up to 1280 ensemble members |
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EGU2017-2972 | Posters | NP5.1 A Study on Mutil-Scale Background Error Covariances in 3D-Var Data Assimilation |
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EGU2017-13031 | Posters | NP5.1 Land surface parameter optimisation through data assimilation: the adJULES system |
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EGU2017-1503 | Posters | NP5.1 Estimation of bias in conventional petrophysical inversion |
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EGU2017-17556 | Posters | NP5.1 The application of Bayes probability theory for uncertainty assessments of Antarctic ice sheet predictions |
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EGU2017-15995 | Posters | NP5.1 Towards an improved ASCAT wind data assimilation in global NWP |
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EGU2017-6021 | Posters | NP5.1 The application of Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Vectors to the Zebiak-Cane Model and their performance in the Ensemble Prediction |
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EGU2017-6109 | Posters | NP5.1 Global ionospheric electron density estimation based on multisource TEC data assimilation |
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EGU2017-9184 | Posters | NP5.1 Aerosols on a Cube: Development of a New Aerosol Model and Assimilation System for the Future NOAA Forecasting System. |
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EGU2017-17822 | Posters | NP5.1 EMPIRE and pyenda: Two ensemble-based data assimilation systems written in Fortran and Python |
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EGU2017-14246 | Posters | NP5.1 Potential for wind extraction from 4D-Var assimilation of aerosols and moisture |
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EGU2017-14618 | Posters | NP5.1 Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system |
NP5.2 – Initial error dynamics and model error physics in predictability studies of weather and climate
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EGU2017-4226 | Orals | NP5.2 Study of Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vector on Tropical Cyclone predictability |
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Using an ICM ensemble prediction system outputs to explore the “spring predictability barrier” for 2015/2016 El Niño event |
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EGU2017-6627 | Orals | NP5.2 Lyapunov instability properties of a hierarchy of atmospheric models |
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Nonlinearity Modulating Central Pacific- and Eastern Pacific-El Niño Events in Intensities and Spatial Structures |
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EGU2017-2791 | Orals | NP5.2 Improved ensemble-mean forecasting of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic error model of an intermediate coupled model |
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EGU2017-218 | Posters | NP5.2 Effect of wind stress forcing uncertainties on predictability of the current through the beginning of Kuroshio |
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EGU2017-2415 | Posters | NP5.2 Effects of optimal initial errors on predicting the seasonal reduction of the upstream Kuroshio transport |
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EGU2017-1746 | Orals | NP5.2 The Climatologically relevant singular vector and its application in climate predictions |
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EGU2017-2416 | Posters | NP5.2 Optimal precursors triggering the Kuroshio Extension state transition obtained by the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation approach |
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EGU2017-14410 | Orals | NP5.2 A Bayesian approach to test hypotheses about the generation and propagation of systematic decadal climate prediction errors |
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EGU2017-8738 | Orals | NP5.2 Quantification of persistence/predictability barriers in ENSO and its application |
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EGU2017-2935 | Posters | NP5.2 Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipiole event predictions |
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EGU2017-5455 | Posters | NP5.2 The Effects of the Amplification of Numerical Noise through Chaos on Predictability Studies |
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EGU2017-5748 | Posters | NP5.2 The role of model errors represented by nonlinear forcing singular vector tendency error in causing the “spring predictability barrier” within ENSO predictions |
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EGU2017-6030 | Posters | NP5.2 Predictability of Forced Lorenz Systems |
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EGU2017-6631 | Posters | NP5.2 Determining the spectrum of the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponents in a multidimensional chaotic system |
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EGU2017-12560 | Posters | NP5.2 Optimal error analysis of the intraseasonal convection due to uncertainties of the sea surface temperature in a coupled model |
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EGU2017-18500 | Posters | NP5.2 The adjoint sensitivity of heavy rainfall to initial conditions in debris flow areas in China |
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EGU2017-19445 | Posters | NP5.2 Seasonal predictability of sea surface temperature anomalies over the Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension: low in summer and high in winter |
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EGU2017-19446 | Posters | NP5.2 Comparison of the initial errors most likely to cause a spring predictability barrier for two types of El Niño events |
NP5.3 – Advances in statistical post-processing for deterministic and ensemble forecasts (co-organized)
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EGU2017-3739 | Orals | NP5.3 Development of a post-processing methodology for reliable, skillful probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts with multi-model ensembles and short training data sets. |
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EGU2017-2476 | Posters | NP5.3 Bias-correction for precipitation over the Alps during present-day control simulations |
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EGU2017-2522 | Posters | NP5.3 Spatial Ensemble Postprocessing of Precipitation Forecasts Using High Resolution Analyses |
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EGU2017-2489 | Orals | NP5.3 Multivariate Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forcasts of Precipitation and Temperature over four River Basins in California |
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EGU2017-14552 | Orals | NP5.3 Statistical post-processing of seasonal multi-model forecasts: Why is it so hard to beat the multi-model mean? |
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EGU2017-2792 | Posters | NP5.3 Discrete post-processing of total cloud cover ensemble forecasts |
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EGU2017-2839 | Posters | NP5.3 New approaches for rainfall ensemble post-processing with a focus on extreme and rare events |
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EGU2017-5596 | Orals | NP5.3 Probabilistic forecasts of extreme local precipitation using HARMONIE predictors and comparing 3 different post-processing methods |
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EGU2017-3315 | Posters | NP5.3 Comparison of multivariate post-processing approaches |
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EGU2017-5573 | Orals | NP5.3 Estimation Methods for Non-Homogeneous Regression – Minimum CRPS vs Maximum Likelihood |
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EGU2017-11237 | Orals | NP5.3 Improving medium-range ensemble streamflow forecasts through statistical post-processing |
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EGU2017-3667 | Posters | NP5.3 A comparative verification of high resolution precipitation forecasts using model output statistics |
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EGU2017-4254 | Posters | NP5.3 Probabilistic versus deterministic skill in predicting the western North Pacific-East Asian summer monsoon variability with multimodel ensembles |
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EGU2017-4337 | Posters | NP5.3 Very short-term rainfall forecasting by effectively using the ensemble outputs of numerical weather prediction models |
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EGU2017-7118 | Posters | NP5.3 Simultaneous Ensemble Post-Processing for Multiple Lead Times with Standardized Anomalies |
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EGU2017-7168 | Posters | NP5.3 Regularized Nonhomogeneous Regression for Predictor Selection in Ensemble Post-Procession |
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EGU2017-7172 | Posters | NP5.3 Post-processing method for wind speed ensemble forecast using wind speed and direction |
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EGU2017-7940 | Posters | NP5.3 Predicting the Probability of Lightning Occurrence with Generalized Additive Models |
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EGU2017-8141 | Posters | NP5.3 Adaptive correction of ensemble forecasts |
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EGU2017-8887 | Posters | NP5.3 Ensemble Postprocessing of Vertical Temperature Profiles using Standardized Anomalies |
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EGU2017-11130 | Posters | NP5.3 Post-processing GCM daily rainfall and temperature forecasts for applications in water management and agriculture |
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EGU2017-12262 | Posters | NP5.3 A Robust and Effective Multivariate Post-processing approach: Application on North American Multi-Model Ensemble Climate Forecast over the CONUS |
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EGU2017-14208 | Posters | NP5.3 Statistical ensemble postprocessing for precipitation forecasting during the West African Monsoon |
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EGU2017-14562 | Posters | NP5.3 Improvement of APHRODITE precipitation data over South Korea |
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EGU2017-14981 | Posters | NP5.3 Rough Precipitation Forecasts based on Analogue Method: an Operational System |
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EGU2017-16894 | Posters | NP5.3 Ensemble post-processing for varied use-cases |
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EGU2017-18296 | Posters | NP5.3 Bias correction of daily precipitation projected by the CORDEX-Africa ensemble for a sparsely gauged region in West Africa with regionalized distribution parameters |
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EGU2017-18597 | Posters | NP5.3 Developing Multi-model Ensemble for Precipitation and Temperature Seasonal Forecasts: Implications for Karkheh River Basin in Iran |
NP6.1 – Turbulence in the Atmosphere (co-organized)
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EGU2017-12809 | Posters | NP6.1 Wind Shear Effects within the Entrainment Zone of Stratocumulus |
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EGU2017-15550 | Orals | NP6.1 | Highlight Boundary-layer processes: key findings from MATERHORN-X field campaigns |
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EGU2017-2387 | Orals | NP6.1 Helicity in the atmospheric boundary layer |
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EGU2017-6469 | Posters | NP6.1 Convection Cells in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer |
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EGU2017-2602 | Posters | NP6.1 A Physically Based Horizontal Subgrid-scale Turbulent Mixing Parameterization for the Convective Boundary Layer in Mesoscale Models |
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EGU2017-888 | Orals | NP6.1 Integrating surface, entrainment and mesoscale in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer dynamics: a 10-year study in Cabauw (The Netherlands) |
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EGU2017-7797 | Posters | NP6.1 Local Characteristics of the Nocturnal Boundary Layer in Response to External Pressure Forcing |
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EGU2017-1008 | Orals | NP6.1 Vertical evolution of wind meandering in a nocturnal boundary layer during low-wind speed conditions |
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EGU2017-12849 | Orals | NP6.1 Wind Shear Effects on the Structure and Dynamics of the Daytime Atmospheric Boundary Layer |
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EGU2017-8389 | Posters | NP6.1 Predicting Fog in the Nocturnal Boundary Layer |
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EGU2017-17879 | Orals | NP6.1 | Highlight KASCADE2017 – An experimental study of thermal circulations and turbulence in complex terrain |
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EGU2017-8497 | Posters | NP6.1 Interaction of turbulence and horizontal meandering in a low-wind stable boundary layer |
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EGU2017-4514 | Posters | NP6.1 Turbulence feature modifications from high to low wind conditions: results from the CCT observations at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard. |
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EGU2017-10405 | Posters | NP6.1 Influence of tall vegetation canopy on turbulence kinetic energy budget in the stable boundary layer |
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EGU2017-1520 | Posters | NP6.1 The study of the evolution of aerosol concentrations at altitudes of civil aviation |
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EGU2017-12944 | Posters | NP6.1 Turbulence influence on urban air pollution in a hot spot in Madrid: comparison of winter and summer field campaigns |
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EGU2017-14145 | Posters | NP6.1 Study of the air quality in the surroundings of an urban park: A micrometeorological approach |
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EGU2017-14802 | Posters | NP6.1 Local and regional characterisation of the diurnal mountain wind systems in the Guadarrama mountain range (Spain) |
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EGU2017-12439 | Posters | NP6.1 High-resolution WRF-LES simulations for real episodes: A case study for prealpine terrain |
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EGU2017-13354 | Posters | NP6.1 Turbulence structure of the near-surface boundary layer in complex terrain |
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EGU2017-940 | Posters | NP6.1 Assessment of WRF surface layer formulations over a complex terrain in a tropical region |
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EGU2017-15734 | Posters | NP6.1 Investigation of the spatial variability and possible origins of wind-induced air pressure fluctuations responsible for pressure pumping |
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EGU2017-18919 | Posters | NP6.1 Dynamics of the very stable boundary layer with large-eddy simulations |
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EGU2017-11419 | Posters | NP6.1 Exploring the impact of unsteady pressure gradients and surface buoyancy on the mean wind and turbulence in the ABL |
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EGU2017-7344 | Posters | NP6.1 Novel approaches to estimate turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate from low and moderate resolution velocity fluctuation time series |
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EGU2017-9487 | Posters | NP6.1 Analysis and comparison of different methods to characterize turbulent environment |
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EGU2017-12098 | Posters | NP6.1 Non-Richardson Turbulent Particle Pair Diffusion |
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EGU2017-1674 | Posters | NP6.1 Effect of air turbulence on gas transport in soil; comparison of approaches |
NP6.2 – Recent developments in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics: Waves, Turbulence, Transport and Intermittency
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EGU2017-179 | Posters | NP6.2 Complex Flow Image Velocimetry in Shock Instabilities with Fractal Boundaries |
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EGU2017-4189 | Orals | NP6.2 Conservation laws in baroclinic inertial-symmetric instabilities |
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EGU2017-3671 | Posters | NP6.2 Atmospheric-like rotating annulus experiment: gravity wave emission from baroclinic jets |
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EGU2017-14556 | Orals | NP6.2 Theory of inertial waves in rotating fluids |
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EGU2017-16558 | Orals | NP6.2 | Highlight The limiting form of symmetric instability in geophysical flows |
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EGU2017-3701 | Posters | NP6.2 | Highlight Nonnormality increases variance of gravity waves trapped in a tilted box |
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EGU2017-3854 | Posters | NP6.2 Lagrangian Timescales in the Gulf of Finland |
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EGU2017-1494 | Orals | NP6.2 | Highlight Energy transfer in the abyss. |
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EGU2017-5281 | Posters | NP6.2 | Highlight Identifying representative shapes in fields of temperature spectra in vacillating baroclinic waves |
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EGU2017-4438 | Orals | NP6.2 Transition between symmetric and asymmetric flow in rectangular shallow reservoirs – a case of maximum dissipation? |
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EGU2017-4351 | Orals | NP6.2 Small-scale flow patterns at the vertical sidewalls of the thermally driven rotating annulus |
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EGU2017-6903 | Posters | NP6.2 Mixing in 3D Sparse Multi-Scale Grid Generated Turbulence |
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EGU2017-7801 | Posters | NP6.2 New results of the spherical convection experiment Geoflow IIc |
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EGU2017-11380 | Posters | NP6.2 Study of interaction between a vortex ring and a solid surface for a wide range of ring velocities |
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EGU2017-11663 | Posters | NP6.2 Mesoscale and submesoscale processes from the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) |
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EGU2017-12517 | Posters | NP6.2 | Highlight Turbulent Inertial Particle Pair Diffusion |
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EGU2017-13955 | Posters | NP6.2 Investigating anomalous transport of electrolytes in charged porous media |
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EGU2017-19201 | Posters | NP6.2 | Highlight Intermittency in Complex Flows |
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EGU2017-19292 | Posters | NP6.2 Nonlinear effects of internal wave focusing by a horizontally oscillating torus |
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EGU2017-19605 | Posters | NP6.2 Environmental turbulence and climate-weather scaling |
NP6.4 – Turbulence, magnetic reconnection, shocks and particle acceleration: nonlinear processes. (co-organized)
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EGU2017-10120 | Orals | NP6.4 The Three Dimensional Structure and Dynamics of Magnetotail Reconnection |
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EGU2017-7302 | Posters | NP6.4 Comparative statistics of small-scale magnetic structures by observations and simulations |
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EGU2017-13597 | Posters | NP6.4 Three-Dimensional Simulations of Sheared Current Sheets: Transition to Non-linear Regimes |
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EGU2017-10800 | Orals | NP6.4 Generation and evolution of anisotropic turbulence and related energy transfer in a multi-species solar wind |
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EGU2017-11995 | Posters | NP6.4 Magnetic nulls in three-dimensional particle-in-cell simulations of turbulent plasmas. |
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EGU2017-5338 | Orals | NP6.4 Properties of turbulence in the reconnection exhaust: numerical simulations compared with observations |
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EGU2017-16440 | Posters | NP6.4 Asseleration of ions in turbulent electromagnetic field during dipolarization events |
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EGU2017-7406 | Orals | NP6.4 Current sheet structure in the turbulent magnetosheath |
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EGU2017-18276 | Orals | NP6.4 Reconnection, turbulence, and intermittency in coronal-hole jets |
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EGU2017-14364 | Posters | NP6.4 Effect of radiation on partially ionized magnetic reconnection under chromospheric conditions |
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EGU2017-15885 | Posters | NP6.4 Coherent Vortex Dynamics and Turbulent Structures in Magnetosphere in 3D Global MHD Simulation |
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EGU2017-11890 | Orals | NP6.4 Energy dissipation in three-dimensional kinetic simulations of relaxing turbulence |
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EGU2017-842 | Posters | NP6.4 Coalescence of magnetic flux ropes during magnetic reconnection |
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EGU2017-1035 | Posters | NP6.4 Vlasov simulations of electron hole dynamics in inhomogeneous magnetic field |
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EGU2017-1518 | Posters | NP6.4 Strongly Stratified Turbulence Wakes and Mixing Produced by Fractal Wakes |
NP7.1 – Unusual waves in geophysics
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EGU2017-10668 | Orals | NP7.1 | Highlight Acoustic and Seismic Dispersion in Complex Fluids and Solids |
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EGU2017-2380 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Slow strain waves from seismological and geophysical observations |
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EGU2017-2977 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Reflectionless wave dynamics in channels of variable depth and width |
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EGU2017-2385 | Orals | NP7.1 | Highlight Rotational elasticity |
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EGU2017-3246 | Posters | NP7.1 Parallel Program Systems for the Analysis of Wave Processes in Elastic-Plastic, Granular, Porous and Multi-Blocky Media |
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EGU2017-2811 | Orals | NP7.1 | Highlight Viscoelastic Waves Simulation in a Blocky Medium with Fluid-Saturated Interlayers Using High-Performance Computing |
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EGU2017-3867 | Posters | NP7.1 Dynamic stability of rolling particles between elastic plates |
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EGU2017-2798 | Orals | NP7.1 Deformation wave in rock near deep level tunnel and its modeling |
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EGU2017-11259 | Orals | NP7.1 | Highlight Transient cnoidal waves explain the formation and geometry of fault damage zones |
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EGU2017-4774 | Posters | NP7.1 On the finite length-scale of compressible shock-waves formed in free-surface flows of dry granular materials down a slope |
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EGU2017-5271 | Orals | NP7.1 | Highlight Deformation localization forming and destruction over a decompression zone. |
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EGU2017-11927 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Green's function approach to nonlinear initial-value problem of long wave runup in inclined channels |
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EGU2017-17254 | Posters | NP7.1 Microseismic sources of rotational type |
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EGU2017-17292 | Posters | NP7.1 Mechanics of wave propagation in fragmented geomaterials |
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EGU2017-17306 | Posters | NP7.1 Study of pore pressure reaction on hydraulic fracturing |
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EGU2017-19558 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight The influence of the spring-block model parameters on its motion mode |
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EGU2017-18713 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Cracked rocks with positive and negative Poisson's ratio: real-crack properties extracted from pressure dependence of elastic-wave velocities |
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EGU2017-17323 | Posters | NP7.1 Finite element modelling of wave propagation in layered structures |
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EGU2017-17348 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Wave propagation through bimodular medium: 1D discrete and homogenised models |
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EGU2017-17376 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Chaotic dynamics of fragmented geomaterials |
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EGU2017-17386 | Posters | NP7.1 | Highlight Kelvin-Voigt model of wave propagation in fragmented geomaterials with impact damping |
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EGU2017-17404 | Posters | NP7.1 Wave propagation in geomaterials in the presence of rotation-induced negative stiffness |
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EGU2017-6027 | Posters | NP7.1 Aftershock sequence of ML6.1 earthquake in Sakhalin: recovery with waveform cross correlation |
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EGU2017-9122 | Posters | NP7.1 Nonlinear ion-acoustic solitary waves with warm ions and non-Maxwellian electrons in space plasmas |
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EGU2017-17988 | Posters | NP7.1 Energy Content & Spectral Energy Representation of Wave Propagation in a Granular Chain |
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EGU2017-19022 | Posters | NP7.1 Investigation of growth features in several hydraulic fractures |
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EGU2017-19072 | Posters | NP7.1 The research of the impact of the contrast of reservoir parameters on hydraulic fracture propagation |
NP7.2 – Wave-current interactions
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EGU2017-10 | Posters | NP7.2 On the interaction of small-scale linear waves with nonlinear solitary waves |
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EGU2017-10949 | Orals | NP7.2 Internal Solitary Wave Generation: Effects of a Mean Background Current |
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EGU2017-16241 | Posters | NP7.2 Steady solution of solitary waves in nonlinear shear current |
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EGU2017-6748 | Orals | NP7.2 Approximation schemes to dispersion and linear problems for 3D systems on shear current of arbitrary direction and depth dependence |
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EGU2017-1763 | Orals | NP7.2 Experimental study of Benjamin-Feir instability on sheared currents |
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EGU2017-14605 | Posters | NP7.2 Water waves interacting with a current of constant vorticity: estimating the vorticity of the wave field |
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EGU2017-18700 | Orals | NP7.2 Flow generated by surfaces waves |
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EGU2017-4633 | Posters | NP7.2 Steady rotational capillary-gravity waves of finite amplitude on arbitrary shear currents |
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EGU2017-4244 | Orals | NP7.2 | Highlight Numerical Investigations of Wave-Induced Mixing in Upper Ocean Layer |
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EGU2017-18575 | Posters | NP7.2 Wave-current interactions in three dimensions: why 3D radiation stresses are not practical |
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EGU2017-3737 | Orals | NP7.2 Observations and Simulations of the Impact of Wave-Current Interaction on Wave Direction in the Surf Zone |
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EGU2017-18018 | Posters | NP7.2 Stokes drift induced by a ring wave on a shear current of linear depth dependence |
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EGU2017-3048 | Posters | NP7.2 Gerstner waves and Stokes Drift |
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EGU2017-4227 | Posters | NP7.2 A nonlinear Schrodinger Equation for capillary-gravity water waves with vorticity on finite water depth |
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EGU2017-4616 | Posters | NP7.2 Undular bores in the presence of a vertically sheared current |
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EGU2017-11145 | Posters | NP7.2 | Highlight Evaluating the kurtosis of surface elevations of a random wave field propagating on a linear shear current. |
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EGU2017-12389 | Posters | NP7.2 Anisotropic wave energy flux in ring waves on a shear current |
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EGU2017-18090 | Posters | NP7.2 Field Measurements of Waves and Currents at the Mouth of the Columbia River |
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EGU2017-10257 | Posters | NP7.2 3D Numerical simulation of floating bodies in a wave field |
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EGU2017-15707 | Posters | NP7.2 Sub-harmonic frequency lock-in and vortex shedding synchronization due to regular and irregular surface waves. |
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EGU2017-11653 | Posters | NP7.2 Drivers of modulation instability of oblique wave-current interaction: Insights from physical model tests |
NP8.1 – Complexity in Geosciences: from chaotic-stochastic dynamics to ecology and sustainability
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EGU2017-13988 | Orals | NP8.1 Exploring stochastic model errors in fully nonlinear joint state and parameter estimation in high-dimensional systems |
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EGU2017-327 | Posters | NP8.1 Challenges with space-time rainfall in urban hydrology highlighted with a semi-distributed model using C-band and X-band radar data |
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EGU2017-2221 | Orals | NP8.1 Climate-dependence in SGS parameterizations of low-order climate models derived by the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem |
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EGU2017-3551 | Posters | NP8.1 Quantifying uncertainties on regional sea level change induced by multi-decadal intrinsic oceanic variability |
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EGU2017-4999 | Orals | NP8.1 Local stochastic subgrid-scale modeling for a one dimensional shallow water model using stochastic mode reduction |
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EGU2017-11198 | Posters | NP8.1 Ontology of Earth's nonlinear dynamic complex systems |
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EGU2017-17706 | Orals | NP8.1 Stochastically Perturbed Parametrizations (SPP) – representing model uncertainties on the process-level |
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EGU2017-13319 | Posters | NP8.1 Anomalous higher frequency component of ISSN and relationship between sunspot lifetime and their birthrate: explanation with an AR-1 model |
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EGU2017-15419 | Posters | NP8.1 Comparison of recent physically-based stochastic subgrid parameterizations |
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EGU2017-334 | Orals | NP8.1 Stochastic multifractal forecasts: from theory to applications in radar meteorology |
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EGU2017-10331 | Orals | NP8.1 | Highlight Geosphere-biosphere interactions in European Protected Areas: a view from the H2020 ECOPOTENTIAL Project |
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EGU2017-16039 | Posters | NP8.1 Lyapunov vectors and attractor dimension exploration in a three layer quasi geostropic model |
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EGU2017-17122 | Posters | NP8.1 Stochastic analysis and simulation of large dimensional intermittent fields with the help of a Lévy-Clifford algebra of multifractal cascade generators. |
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EGU2017-11460 | Orals | NP8.1 Information transfer and synchronization among the scales of climate variability: clues for understanding anomalies and extreme events? |
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EGU2017-14959 | Orals | NP8.1 Fractal analysis of urban catchments and their representation in semi-distributed models: imperviousness and sewer system |
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EGU2017-16863 | Orals | NP8.1 Emergent radar technologies and innovative multifractal methodologies for new prospects in urban hydrology |
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EGU2017-4068 | Orals | NP8.1 Bias correction in Global Mean Temperature comparisons between Global Climate Models and implications for the deterministic and stochastic dynamics |
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EGU2017-4084 | Orals | NP8.1 Systematic inference of the long-range dependence and heavy-tail distribution parameters of ARFIMA models |
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EGU2017-4339 | Orals | NP8.1 Tensor product decomposition methods applied to complex flow data |