G – Geodesy

EGU22-13344 | Presentations | MAL29 | Vening Meinesz Medal Lecture

Geodetic inference: a selection of some challenging topics 

Peter Teunissen

In this presentation a kaleidoscopic overview of some geodetic inferential challenges and opportunities will be given. The topics addressed are (1) Interferometric inference; (2) Distributive computing; and (3) Predictive quality. They represent samples of fertile grounds for the typical researcher (PhD student and Postdoc alike) interested in geodetic data processing and modelling, and eager to take up a difficult challenge and/or looking for research opportunities that can make a difference.

Interferometric inference: Although considerable advances have been made in this field, particularly through the very successful global research in interferometric-GNSS, important challenges posed by our mixed-integer models remain. These challenges will be discussed, with a particular reference to distributional multimodality and integer-estimability of FDMA and LTE based carrier-phase systems.

Distributed computing: With data growth numerically straining conventional centralized approaches, complementary cooperative inferential capabilities are asked for. The opportunities of such principles are discussed and examples will be given of dividing estimation problems into easier-to-solve nodal problems which are then coordinated towards an improved, ideally optimal, solution by means of iterative schemes.

Predictive quality: As parameter estimation and statistical testing are typically combined in any geodetic inference, their interactions are to be taken into account when describing the quality of one’s model predictions. The challenges and intricacies that this brings are highlighted, whereby it is suggested that several of the existing validation and representation procedures need revisiting to ensure suitability of their quality descriptions.

How to cite: Teunissen, P.: Geodetic inference: a selection of some challenging topics, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13344, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13344, 2022.

EGU22-12642 | Presentations | G3.1 | G Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture

Geodesy: a sensor for hydrology 

Kristel Chanard

Understanding how the Earth’s shape, gravity field and rotation change in response to shifting hydrological, atmospherical and oceanic mass loads at its surface has great potential for monitoring the evolving climate. Recent advances in the field, namely hydrogeodesy, have required hand-in-hand development and improvement of the observing techniques and of our understanding of the solid Earth-climate interactions. 

In particular, measurement of the spatial and temporal variations of the Earth's gravity field by the GRACE and GRACE-Follow On satellite missions offer an unprecedented measurement of the evolution of water mass redistribution, at timescales ranging from months to decades. However, the use of GRACE and GRACE-FO data for hydrological applications presents two major difficulties. First, the mission design and data processing lead to measurement noise and errors that limit GRACE missions to large-scale applications and complicates geophysical interpretation. Moreover, temporal observational gaps, including the 11 month-long gap between missions, prevent the interpretation of long-term mass variations. Secondly, disentangling sources of signals from the solid Earth and continental hydrology is challenging and requires to develop methods benefiting from multiple geodetic techniques. 

To reduce noise and enhance geophysical signals in the data, we develop a method based on a spectral analysis by Multiple Singular Spectrum Analysis (M-SSA) which, using the spatio-temporal correlations of the GRACE-GRACE-FO time series, can fill observational gaps and remove a significant portion of the distinctive noise pattern while maintaining the best possible spatial resolution. This processing reveals hydrological signals that are less well or not resolved by other processing strategies. We discuss regional hydrological mass balance, including lakes, aquifers and ice caps regions, derived from the GRACE-GRACE-FO M-SSA solution. Furthermore, we discuss methods to separate sources of gravity variations using additional in-situ hydrological data or geodetic measurements of the Earth’s deformation. 

How to cite: Chanard, K.: Geodesy: a sensor for hydrology, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12642, 2022.

G1 – Geodetic Theory and Algorithms

EGU22-400 | Presentations | G1.1

Investigation of earthquake precursors using magnetometric stations in Japan 

Hamideh Taherinia and Shahrokh Pourbeyranvand

Earthquakes are one of the most devastating natural disasters, and their impact on human society, in terms of casualties and economic damage, has been significant throughout history. Earthquake prediction can aid in preparing for this major event, and its purpose is to identify earthquake-prone areas and reduce their financial and human losses. Any parameter that changes before the earthquake in a way that one can predict the earthquake with a careful study of its variations is called a precursor. Recently, more attention has been paid to geophysical, geomagnetic, geoelectrical, and electromagnetic precursors. In the present study, the geomagnetic data of three stations, obtained through INTERMAGNET, with a distance of less than 500 km to the 5 Sep. Japan earthquake are investigated. Then the method of characteristic curves is used to remove the effect of diurnal variation of the geomagnetic field. After that, by examining the anomalies which are more distinct after implementation of the method, the cases are matched with the seismic activities of the region. By separating the noise from the desired signal, a pure anomaly can be observed. Among the various magnetic components, the horizontal components are more suitable than the others for the proposed process because of more variations in the geomagnetic field in the vertical direction due to the presence of the geomagnetic gradient. In the present study, one year of magnetic data, including three stations and for X, Y, and Z components, and seismic data for Japan are used to implement this method. The method is based on plotting different magnetic field components in specific time intervals in the same 24 hours frame. This will lead to a plot which shows the geomagnetic nature of each component of the geomagnetic field for each station After averaging the values for every point at the horizontal axis of the plot, which is a unit of time depending on the sampling (hourly mean, minute mean, etc.) a curve will be obtained which is called the characteristic curve. Then we reduce the characteristic curve values from geomagnetic data to reveal the anomalies, free of diurnal variation noise so that the possible anomalies related to earthquakes will be shown more distinctly. After drawing the components of the magnetic field and removing the daily changes from each of the components, we can observe the anomalies related to the earthquakes to justify the observed anomalies better and considering the standard deviation for each component, pre-seismic anomalies have a more significant distinction than the original data for being studied as a seismic precursor. After all, further investigation revealed the presence of a magnetic storm during the time period under investigation. This led to uncertainty in the feasibility of using the geomagnetic data in the present study as a precursor. However, several other pieces of evidence confirm the existence of precursory geomagnetic phenomena before earthquakes. Thus based on the current data and results, it is not possible to conclude the applicability of precursory geomagnetic studies and further data and studies are required.

How to cite: Taherinia, H. and Pourbeyranvand, S.: Investigation of earthquake precursors using magnetometric stations in Japan, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-400, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-400, 2022.

EGU22-1545 | Presentations | G1.1

A first attempt at a continental scale geothermal heat flow model for Africa 

Magued Al-Aghbary, Mohamed Sobh, and Christian Gerhards

Reliable and direct geothermal heat flow (GHF) measurements in Africa are sparse. It is a challenging task to create a map that reflects the GHF and covers the African continent in in its entirety.

We approached this task by training a random forest regression algorithm. After carefully tuning the algorithm's hyperparameters, the trained model relates the GHF to various geophysical and geological covariates that are considered to be statistically significant for the GHF. The covariates are mainly global datasets and models like Moho depth, Curie depth, gravity anomalies. To improve the predictions, we included some regional datasets. The quality and reliability of the datasets are assessed before the algorithm is trained.

The model's performance is validated against Australia, which has a large database of GHF measurements. The predicted GHF map of Africa shows acceptable performance indicators and is consistent with existing recognized GHF maps of Africa.

How to cite: Al-Aghbary, M., Sobh, M., and Gerhards, C.: A first attempt at a continental scale geothermal heat flow model for Africa, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1545, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1545, 2022.

EGU22-1590 | Presentations | G1.1

The Effects of Seasonal Variation on GPS Height Component 

Nihal Tekin Ünlütürk and Uğur Doğan

In this study, the effects of seasonal variation on the vertical position accuracy of GPS calculated by time series analysis of continuous GPS stations were investigated. Weather changes, water vapor in the atmosphere affect the position accuracy of GPS and cause fluctuations in GPS height values. It is also known that the height component has more air passage changes. Since it is easier to interpret the effects of the height component due to its topographic features and seasonal changes are more effective than the rest of the country, four continuous GPS stations, covering the 2014-2019 date range, from the Turkish National Permanent GNSS Network (TUSAGA-Aktif) were used in the East of Turkey were chosen. The daily coordinates of the stations were obtained as a result of GAMIT/GLOBK software solution. By applying time series analysis to the daily coordinate values of the stations, statistically significant trend, periodic and stochastic components of the stations were determined. As a result of the analysis, the vertical annual velocities of the stations and the standard deviations of the velocities were determined.

For the stations determined according to the ellipsoid heights, the velocity and standard deviation values of the height component were calculated for each month, season and year. As the ellipsoid height increases, the velocity and its standard deviation values decrease. While the minimum velocity values are observed for the station with the lowest ellipsoidal height in winter, for the station with the highest ellipsoidal height in autumn, the minimum their standard deviation values are determined in winter for the station with the lowest ellipsoidal height, and in summer for the station with the highest ellipsoidal height. According to the results obtained, the coordinate displacements caused by seasonal variation may be important and their effects should be considered especially in high precision geodetic surveys.

In addition, the velocity values of the stations were calculated for different years, and a decrease was observed in the height component depending on the observation duration. As the observation duration for the height component increases, both the velocity values and their standard deviation values decrease. In order to avoid velocity estimation error completely, the data length should be more than 4.5 years.

Keywords: GPS height compenent, GPS time series, Seasonal effect, Velocity estimation

How to cite: Tekin Ünlütürk, N. and Doğan, U.: The Effects of Seasonal Variation on GPS Height Component, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1590, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1590, 2022.

EGU22-2447 | Presentations | G1.1

Regional modeling of water storage variations in a Kalman filter framework 

Viviana Wöhnke, Annette Eicker, Laura Jensen, and Matthias Weigelt

Water mass changes at and below the surface of the Earth cause changes in the Earth’s gravity field which can be observed by at least three geodetic observation techniques: ground-based point measurements using terrestrial gravimeters, space-borne gravimetric satellite missions (GRACE and GRACE-FO) and geometrical deformations of the Earth’s crust observed by GNSS. Combining these techniques promises the opportunity to compute the most accurate (regional) water mass change time series with the highest possible spatial and temporal resolution, which is the goal of a joint project with the interdisciplinary DFG Collaborative Research Centre (SFB 1464) "TerraQ – Relativistic and Quantum-based Geodesy".

A method well suited for data combination of time-variable quantities is the Kalman filter algorithm, which sequentially updates water storage changes by combining a prediction step with observations from the next time step. As opposed to the standard way of describing gravity field variations by global spherical harmonics, we will introduce space-localizing radial basis functions as a more suitable parameterization of high-resolution regional water storage change. A closed-loop simulation environment has been set up to allow the testing of the setup and the tuning of the algorithm. In a first step only simulated GRACE data together with realistic correlated observation errors will be used in the Kalman filter to sequentially update the parameters of a regional gravity field model. However, the implementation was designed to flexibly include further observation techniques (GNSS, terrestrial gravimetry) at a later stage. This presentation will outline the Kalman filter framework, introduce the regional parameterization approach, and address challenges related to, e.g., ill-conditioned matrices and the proper choice of the radial basis function parameterization.

How to cite: Wöhnke, V., Eicker, A., Jensen, L., and Weigelt, M.: Regional modeling of water storage variations in a Kalman filter framework, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2447, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2447, 2022.

EGU22-2963 | Presentations | G1.1

Experimenting with automatized numerical methods 

Naomi Schneider and Volker Michel

The approximation of the gravitational potential is still of interest in geodesy as it is utilized, e.g., for the mass transport of the Earth. The Inverse Problem Matching Pursuits (IPMPs) were proposed as alternative solvers for these kind of problems. They were successfully tested on diverse applications, including the downward continuation of the gravitational potential.

It is well-known that, for such linear inverse problems on the sphere, there exist a variety of global as well as local basis systems, e.g. spherical harmonics, Slepian functions as well as radial basis functions and wavelets. Each type has its specific pros and cons. Nonetheless, approximations are often represented in only one of them. On the contrary, the IPMPs enable an approximation as a mixture of diverse trial functions. They are chosen iteratively from an intentionally overcomplete dictionary such that the Tikhonov functional is reduced. However, an a-priori defined, finite dictionary has its own drawbacks, in particular with respect to efficiency.

Thus, we developed a learning add-on which uses an infinite dictionary instead while simultaneously reducing the computational cost. The add-on is implemented as constrained non-linear optimization problems with respect to the characteristic parameters of the different basis systems. In this talk, we give details on the matching pursuits and, in particular, the learning add-on and show recent numerical results with respect to the downward continuation of the gravitational potential.

How to cite: Schneider, N. and Michel, V.: Experimenting with automatized numerical methods, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2963, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2963, 2022.

EGU22-3240 | Presentations | G1.1

Oceanic load tides in the western United States 

Hilary Martens, Mark Simons, Luis Rivera, Martin van Driel, and Christian Boehm

The solid Earth’s deformation response to surface loading by ocean tides depends on the material properties of Earth’s interior. Comparisons of observed and predicted oceanic load tides can therefore shed new light on the structure of the crust and mantle. Recent advances in satellite geodesy, including altimetry and Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), have improved the accuracy and spatial resolution of ocean-tide models as well as the ability to measure precisely three-dimensional surface displacements caused by ocean tidal loading. Here, we investigate oceanic load tides in the western United States using measurements of surface displacement made by a dense array of GNSS stations in the Network of the Americas (NOTA). Dominant tidal harmonics from three frequency bands are considered (M2, O1, Mf). We compare the empirical load-tide estimates with predictions of surface displacements made by the LoadDef software package (Martens et al., 2019), with the goal of refining models for Earth’s (an)elastic and density structure through the crust and upper mantle of the western US.

How to cite: Martens, H., Simons, M., Rivera, L., van Driel, M., and Boehm, C.: Oceanic load tides in the western United States, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3240, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3240, 2022.

EGU22-3605 | Presentations | G1.1

Impact of Offsets on Assessing the Low-Frequency Stochastic Properties of Geodetic Time Series 

Kevin Gobron, Paul Rebischung, Olivier de Viron, Alain Demoulin, and Michel Van Camp

Understanding and modelling the properties of the stochastic variability -- often referred to as noise -- in geodetic time series is crucial to obtain realistic uncertainties for deterministic parameters, e.g., long-term velocities, and helpful in characterizing non-modelled processes. With the ever-increasing span of geodetic time series, it is expected that additional observations would help better understanding the low-frequency properties of the stochastic variability. In the meantime, recent studies evidenced that the choice of the functional model for the time series may bias the assessment of these low-frequency stochastic properties. In particular, the presence of frequent offsets, or step discontinuities, in position time series tends to systematically flatten the periodogram of position residuals at low frequencies and prevents the detection of possible random-walk-type variability.

 

In this study, we investigate the ability of frequently-used statistical tools, namely the Lomb-Scargle periodogram and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method, to correctly retrieve low-frequency stochastic properties of geodetic time series in the presence of frequent offsets. By evaluating the biases of each method for several functional models, we demonstrate that neither of these tools is reliable for low-frequency investigation. By assessing alternative approaches, we show that using  Least-Squares Harmonic Estimation and Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (RMLE) solves part of the problems reported by previous works. However, we evidence that, even when using those optimal methods, the presence of frequent offsets inevitably blurs the estimated low-frequency properties of geodetic time series by increasing low-frequency stochastic parameter uncertainties more than that of other stochastic parameters.

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How to cite: Gobron, K., Rebischung, P., de Viron, O., Demoulin, A., and Van Camp, M.: Impact of Offsets on Assessing the Low-Frequency Stochastic Properties of Geodetic Time Series, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3605, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3605, 2022.

EGU22-3766 | Presentations | G1.1

Application of the Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments to the analysis of daily position GNSS time series. 

gael kermarrec, davide cucci, jean-philippe montillet, and stephane guerrier

The modelling of the stochastic noise properties of GNSS daily coordinate time series allows to associate realistic uncertainties with the estimated geophysical parameters (e.g. tectonic rate, seasonal signal). Up to now, geodetic software based on Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) jointly inverse a functional (i.e. geophysical parameters) and stochastic noise models. This method suffers from a computational time exponentially increasing  with the length of the GNSS time series, which becomes an issue when considering that the first permanent stations were installed in the late 80’s – early 90’s having recorded more than 25 years of geodetic data. Combining this issue with the tremendous number of permanent stations blanketing the world (i.e. more than 20,000 stations), the processing time in the analysis of large GNSS network is a key parameter. 

Here, we propose an alternative to the MLE called the Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments (GMWM). This method is based on the wavelet variance, i.e. a decomposition of the time series using the Haar wavelet. We show the first results and compare them with the MLE in terms of computational efficiency and absolute error on the estimated parameters. The versatility of this new method is its flexibility of choosing various stochastic noise models (e.g., Matérn, power law, flicker, white noise, random walk), and its robustness against outliers. Additional developments to account for deterministic components such as seasonal signal, offsets or post-seismic relaxation is easy. We explain the principle beyond the method and apply it to both simulated and real GNSS coordinate time series. Our first results are compared with the estimation using  the Hector software.

How to cite: kermarrec, G., cucci, D., montillet, J., and guerrier, S.: Application of the Generalized Method of Wavelet Moments to the analysis of daily position GNSS time series., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3766, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3766, 2022.

Considering that the precise orbit and clock products provided by international GNSS service (IGS) were of a magnitude different from those required by the global geodetic observing system (GGOS) in accuracy of 1 mm, the Lomb-Scargle periodogram was used to analyze the systematic deviation and the periodical deviation between the precise products of GNSS analysis centers (ACs) and the IGS final precision products. On this basis, a deviation correction model was established based on the least square method for the correction of precision parameters. The deviation correction results show that the standard deviation of the precise clock decreases by 15.4% on average, the standard deviation of the radial orbit decreases by 33.3% on average, and the standard deviation of the ensemble effects of radial orbit and clock decreases by 24.0% on average. The signal-in-space user ranging error (SISURE) also significantly decreases from the level of centimeters to millimeters. The positioning verification results of the 15 stations show that the consistency between the positioning results of the precision products using single AC and the positioning results of IGS final precision products is also improved after deviation correction, and the average improvement ratio of three ACs is 14.3%. It is proved that the deviation correction model can effectively improve the consistency between the precision products of ACs and the final products of IGS.

How to cite: Hou, Y., Chen, J., and Zhang, Y.: Characteristics analysis and correction of GPS precise products in analysis centers based on Lomb-Scargle periodogram, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6864, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6864, 2022.

EGU22-8369 | Presentations | G1.1

Accuracy of velocities from annually repeated GPS campaigns 

D. Ugur Sanli, Ece Uysal, Deniz Oz Demir, and Huseyin Duman

The determination of GPS velocity accuracy and velocity uncertainty has been one of the topics of interest to researchers in recent years. Velocity and velocity uncertainty from continuous GPS data have been studied as deeply as possible, but velocity and velocity uncertainty from campaign measurements are still the subject of ongoing research. Recent studies have shown that the positioning accuracy of GPS PPP is latitude-dependent. At the same time, the velocity and velocity uncertainty produced by the PPP should also be treated in the same way. In this sense, it is necessary to make a global assessment. NASA JPL offers researchers a rich global database constituting GNSS time series analysis results across the globe. In this study, an experiment is conducted to determine the velocity quality of GPS campaign measurements from around 30 globally distributed stations of the IGS network. This time, our motivation is to determine the accuracy and uncertainty of GPS campaign rates from at least 4 years of data, which are performed annually on the same date. As in our previous study, we decimated coordinate components from the NASA JPL time series to generate GPS campaigns. In other words, we use 24-hour data for annual campaign measurements and repeat campaigns on three consecutive days each year. The deformation rates from NASA JPL were considered real and the accuracy of the deformation rates produced by our experiments was evaluated. Preliminary findings suggest that velocity deviations from the truth may be more severe, at 4 mm/year horizontally and 10 mm/year vertically. In the presentation, we discuss the ground truths that lead to this bias and the global distribution of velocity accuracy and velocity uncertainty.

How to cite: Sanli, D. U., Uysal, E., Oz Demir, D., and Duman, H.: Accuracy of velocities from annually repeated GPS campaigns, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8369, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8369, 2022.

EGU22-10879 | Presentations | G1.1

Efficient Parameter Estimation of Sampled Random Fields Using the Debiased Spatial Whittle Likelihood 

Frederik J Simons, Arthur P. Guillaumin, Adam M. Sykulski, and Sofia C. Olhede

We establish a theoretical framework, an algorithmic basis, and a computational workflow for the statistical analysis of multi-variate multi-dimensional random fields - sampled (possibly irregularly, with missing data) and finite (possibly bounded irregularly). Our research is practically motivated by geodetic and scientific problems of topography and gravity analysis in geophysics and planetary physics, but our solutions fulfill the more general need for sophisticated methods of inference that can be applied to massive remote-sensing data sets, and as such, our mathematical, statistical, and computational solutions transcend any particular application. The generic problem that we are addressing is: two (or more) spatial fields are observed, e.g., by passive or active sensing, and we desire a parsimonious statistical description of them, individually and in their relation to one another. We consider the fields to be realizations of a random process, parameterized as a Matern covariance structure, a very flexible description that includes, as special cases, many of the known models in popular use (e.g. exponential, autoregressive, von Karman, Gaussian, Whittle, ...) Our fundamental question is how to find estimates of the parameters of a Matern process, and the distribution of those estimates for uncertainty quantification. Our answer is, fundamentally: via maximum-likelihood estimation.  We now provide a computationally and statistically efficient method for estimating the parameters of a stochastic covariance model observed on a regular spatial grid in any number of dimensions. Our proposed method, which we call the Debiased Spatial Whittle likelihood, makes important corrections to the well-known Whittle likelihood to account for large sources of bias caused by boundary effects and aliasing. We generalise the approach to flexibly allow for significant volumes of missing data including those with lower-dimensional substructure, and for irregular sampling boundaries. We build a theoretical framework under relatively weak assumptions which ensures consistency and asymptotic normality in numerous practical settings including missing data and non-Gaussian processes. We also extend our consistency results to multivariate processes. We provide detailed implementation guidelines which ensure the estimation procedure can still be conducted in O(n log n) operations, where n is the number of points of the encapsulating rectangular grid, thus keeping the computational scalability of Fourier and Whittle-based methods for large data sets. We validate our procedure over a range of simulated and real world settings, and compare with state-of-the-art alternatives, demonstrating the enduring practical appeal of Fourier-based methods, provided they are corrected and augmented by the procedures that we developed.

How to cite: Simons, F. J., Guillaumin, A. P., Sykulski, A. M., and Olhede, S. C.: Efficient Parameter Estimation of Sampled Random Fields Using the Debiased Spatial Whittle Likelihood, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10879, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10879, 2022.

EGU22-245 | Presentations | G1.2

Effects of different tropospheric mapping functions on GPS positioning 

Gizem Sezer and Bahattin Erdogan

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) can be operated 24 hours in all weather conditions; thus, it is widely preferred in many geodetic studies. With GNSS, position information can be obtained with high accuracy. However, in order to achieve precise position, GNSS error sources such as atmospheric effects should be eliminated. Since ionospheric delay depends on the frequency of the transmitted signal, it can be eliminated with dual-frequency receivers. But, the tropospheric delay does not depend on the signal frequency. Therefore, it can not be eliminated by signal combinations. The effect of tropospheric delay depends on various factors such as station’s altitude, signal direction, cut off angle, atmospheric pressure, temperature and relative humidity. Although tropospheric delays occur along the signal path, these delays are estimated in zenith direction. Tropospheric mapping functions (MFs) are used to project slant to zenith delay. In this study, the effects of most preferred MFs in the literature, which are Global Mapping Function (GMF), Niell Mapping Function (NMF) and Vienna Mapping Function 1 (VMF1), on position accuracy was investigated. For this aim, three networks with different baseline lengths, (1) less than 100 km, (2) between 100 km and 500 km and (3) more than 500 km, were designed including 10 stations. In addition, to examine the seasonal effect of the MFs, four month dataset (January – April – July – October) were selected. These dataset were processed with the Bernese software implementing relative point positioning method by fixing 3 stations. Moreover, the dataset were subdivided into different session durations (2-3-4-6-8-12 and 24 hours) and the effect of session duration on position accuracy was analysed. According to the initial results, it can be concluded that the position accuracy on short session duration depends on the baseline length and more accurate results were obtained in the shortest network. In addition, more accurate results were obtained by VMF1 for the up component; however, for the horizontal components, there were no significant differences between the MFs.

 

Keywords: GPS, Accuracy, Troposphere, Mapping Functions, Bernese

How to cite: Sezer, G. and Erdogan, B.: Effects of different tropospheric mapping functions on GPS positioning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-245, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-245, 2022.

EGU22-1146 | Presentations | G1.2

Impact of Different Phase Center Correction Values on Geodetic Parameters: A Standardized Simulation Approach 

Johannes Kröger, Tobias Kersten, Yannick Breva, Mareike Brekenkamp, and Steffen Schön

For highly precise and accurate positioning and navigation solutions with GNSS, it is mandatory to take all error sources – including phase center corrections (PCC) – adequately into account. These corrections are provided by different calibration facilities and are published in the official IGS antenna exchange format (ANTEX) file for several geodetic antennas.

Currently, the IGS antenna working group (AWG) is discussing which metrics should be used as a basis for accepting new calibration facilities as an official IGS calibration facility. To this end, requirements have to be set for comparing different sets of PCC for the same type of antenna.

Mostly, characteristic values of difference patterns (dPCC) are analysed, e.g. maximum deviations, RMS of dPCC, or percentage of dPCC values that are smaller than 1 mm. For users and station providers, however, it is most interesting to investigate the impact of dPCC on geodetic parameters, e.g. topocentric coordinate deviations and troposphere estimates. Since the impact is not only depending on the antenna in use and the station’s location but also on the applied processing strategies, a standardized comparison strategy is needed.

In this contribution, we present the impact of different PCC values on geodetic parameters using a standardized simulation approach. We show results for several globally distributed stations using different processing strategies and their respective impact on the geodetic parameters. This includes the application of different elevation cut-off angles, observation weightings w.r.t satellite coverages and elevation angles as well as use of different frequencies and linear combinations. The obtained results are analysed in detail, repeated behaviours are grouped and compared to widely used characteristic values of dPCC. Thus, an overall conclusion of the similarity of different PCC models can not only be drawn on the pattern level, but also their impact on geodetic parameters can be assessed.

How to cite: Kröger, J., Kersten, T., Breva, Y., Brekenkamp, M., and Schön, S.: Impact of Different Phase Center Correction Values on Geodetic Parameters: A Standardized Simulation Approach, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1146, 2022.

EGU22-1304 | Presentations | G1.2

Investigation of the effect of tropospheric mapping functions for different station heights and latitudes on PPP 

Faruk Can Durmus, Ali Hasan Dogan, and Bahattin Erdogan

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are used for different geodetic applications such as monitoring deformations and determining plate velocities. Precise positions of stations are needed for such studies. GNSS error sources should be modelled or eliminated to achieve precise coordinates. Some error sources (e.g., receiver and satellite clock errors) can be eliminated by differencing techniques in relative point positioning. However, in precise point positioning (PPP) these errors should be modelled since the technique uses un-differenced and ionosphere-free combinations. Tropospheric signal delay, one of the atmospheric error sources of GNSS, does not depend on the signal frequency; hence, it should be modelled. This delay is modelled in zenith direction, although it occurs along the signal path. This relation is provided with tropospheric mapping functions (MFs). In this study, the effects of MFs for different station heights and latitudes have been investigated. The datasets of 294 continuously operating reference stations were processed with Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s GipsyX v1.2 software. Moreover, the datasets were subdivided into non-overlapping periods between 2 and 24 h to examine the effects of MFs on different session durations.

 

Keywords: GPS, PPP, Troposphere, Mapping Functions, GipsyX v1.2

How to cite: Durmus, F. C., Dogan, A. H., and Erdogan, B.: Investigation of the effect of tropospheric mapping functions for different station heights and latitudes on PPP, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1304, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1304, 2022.

EGU22-2327 | Presentations | G1.2

Inconsistency in Precise Point Positioning products from GPS, GLONASS and Galileo 

Radosław Zajdel, Kamil Kazmierski, and Krzysztof Sośnica

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSSs) are widely used for Earth system monitoring, e.g., solid earth and atmosphere. However, the time series of station coordinates and zenith tropospheric delay derived using GNSS are inherently affected by several technique-specific errors that influence the interpretation of geophysical processes and phenomena. GPS plays a crucial role and is most often used in interdisciplinary studies. However, the multiplicity of navigation systems, including fully operational GLONASS and Galileo, allowed us to assess system-specific high-frequency signals and inconsistencies arising from using different constellations.

This work shows that using different GNSS constellations leads to the appearance of various artificial signals with amplitudes up to several millimeters in the series of station coordinates. The presence of the GNSS system-specific artifacts and inter-system disagreements are demonstrated using the 2-year long series of station coordinates and zenith total delay parameters for 15 stations using Precise Point Positioning algorithms. Finally, we assessed the benefit of using GPS, GLONASS, and Galileo jointly.

We identified the origin of the spurious signals in orbital errors. The most dominant orbital artifacts for Galileo appear with periods of 14.08 h, 17.09 h, 34.20 h, 2.49 d, ~3.4 d. The corresponding signals for GLONASS appear with periods of 5.63 h, 7.36 h, 10.64 h, 21.26 h, 3.99 d, and ~8 d. Moreover, when estimating discrete 24-hour solutions from high-rate GNSS data, high-frequency signatures are under-sampled, resulting in long-term aliased periodic signals. The GPS orbital signals arise at the periods corresponding to the harmonics of the K1 tide, which leads to the inconsistency of the GPS-based products with ocean tidal loading models reaching on average 12 mm for the K2 tidal term in the Up component. The magnitude of the orbital signals varies between different site locations and depends on the GNSS observation geometry and dominant direction of satellites' flybys. For example, because of the high inclination of the GLONASS orbital planes, the stations located in absolute low latitudes observe mostly North-South satellite flybys; thus, the estimated East component of the coordinates is exposed to the orbital artifacts.

Galileo is less vulnerable to the orbital signals than GPS or GLONASS. The difference is visible mainly for the East coordinate component. The Galileo-based daily estimates are up to 55% and 36% better than those delivered from GLONASS and GPS. Finally, using a combination of GPS and Galileo increases the precision of estimates by 10% compared with the best-case Galileo-only solution and remarkably reduces the system-specific errors in station coordinate time series.

How to cite: Zajdel, R., Kazmierski, K., and Sośnica, K.: Inconsistency in Precise Point Positioning products from GPS, GLONASS and Galileo, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2327, 2022.

EGU22-2477 | Presentations | G1.2

Contribution of the Galileo system to space geodesy and fundamental physics 

Krzysztof Sośnica, Radosław Zajdel, Grzegorz Bury, Kamil Kazmierski, Tomasz Hadaś, Marcin Mikoś, Maciej Lackowski, and Dariusz Strugarek

Although the full operational capability of the Galileo system has not been officially announced as yet, the European GNSS, Galileo, has already remarkably contributed to geodesy, positioning, navigation, timing, and fundamental physics. Galileo metadata with the details on the satellite construction and surface properties allow for the development of the high-accuracy satellite macro-models and precise orbit determination. Two integrated onboard observation techniques – satellite laser ranging (SLR) and microwave GNSS – allow for the integration of space geodetic techniques and co-location in space. Calibrated satellite and receiver antenna offsets allow for scale realization and scale transfer for the reference frames.

GNSS orbits of superior quality constitute the basis for other geodetic products, such as Earth rotation parameters, station coordinates, geocenter motion, international terrestrial reference frames, tropospheric and ionospheric delays. Moreover, the high-quality orbits and clocks installed on a pair of Galileo satellites launched onto eccentric orbits allow for studying effects emerging from general relativity, both related to the time redshift, as well as to orbital Schwarzschild, Lense-Thirring, and de Sitter effects constituting the essential issues of fundamental physics. Finally, high-quality and frequently-updated broadcast orbits together with very stable clocks onboard Galileo assure the superior accuracy of the real-time positioning when compared to other GNSS.

We discuss the advantages and limitations of the Galileo system in terms of its applicability to geodesy, concentrating on daily and sub-daily Earth rotation parameters – polar motion and length-of-day variability, station coordinates, and geocenter motion. We address the system-specific errors discovered in GPS, GLONASS, and Galileo time series due to different satellite revolution periods, aliasing effects, tidal constituents, and orbit modeling issues. Some orbit modeling issues related, e.g., to thermal effects, remain unresolved, however, their impact may be mitigated by estimating empirical parameters and the combination of laser and microwave observations. The co-location in space onboard Galileo paves new opportunities for the realization of the reference frames tied in space, onboard GNSS satellites. We provide results on the recent developments of precise orbit determination and co-location in space based on integrated SLR and GNSS observations. Eventually, we discuss the latest applications of high-accurate orbits of Galileo satellites in near-circular and eccentric orbits toward the verification of the effects emerging from general relativity.

How to cite: Sośnica, K., Zajdel, R., Bury, G., Kazmierski, K., Hadaś, T., Mikoś, M., Lackowski, M., and Strugarek, D.: Contribution of the Galileo system to space geodesy and fundamental physics, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2477, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2477, 2022.

EGU22-2512 | Presentations | G1.2

Cost-effective GNSS sensors applied for crustal deformation purposes: insights from an experiment in NE-Italy 

Lavinia Tunini, David Zuliani, and Andrea Magrin

The global data coverage of the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) provides a fundamental and unique dataset for a wide range of applications, such as crustal deformation, topographic measurements, or near surface processes studies. However, a strong limitation is represented by the high costs of the GNSS receivers and the supporting software, which make them available only by the scientific communities capable of affording them. The GNSS technology has been continuously and rapidly growing and, in recent years, new cost-efficient (low-cost) instruments have entered the mass market, gaining the attention of the scientific community for potentially being high-performing alternative solutions. In this study, we matched in parallel a dual-frequency cost-effective receiver (u-blox ZED F9P) and two high-cost receivers, all connected to the same geodetic-class antenna. We tested the system by processing the data together with the observations coming from a network of GNSS permanent stations operating in North-East Italy. We compare the time-series obtained using cost-effective geodetic equipment with those obtained using geodetic-class instruments. We show that mm-order precision can be achieved by cost-effective GNSS receivers, while the results in terms of time series are largely comparable to those obtained using high-price geodetic receivers.

How to cite: Tunini, L., Zuliani, D., and Magrin, A.: Cost-effective GNSS sensors applied for crustal deformation purposes: insights from an experiment in NE-Italy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2512, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2512, 2022.

EGU22-2566 | Presentations | G1.2

Empirical stochastic modeling of observation noise in global GNSS network processing 

Patrick Dumitraschkewitz, Torsten Mayer-Gürr, and Sebastian Strasser

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) are integral to a wide array of scientific and commercial applications. Precise orbit determination of satellites in low Earth orbit relies on high-quality GNSS products. Examples of such satellites are those of the Copernicus Earth observation program of the European Union or the satellite gravimetry missions GRACE/GRACE-FO and GOCE. Numerous ground-based applications also require these products, for example: estimation of terrestrial water storage variations, earthquake monitoring, GNSS reflectometry, tropospheric and ionospheric research, surveying, or civil engineering. Furthermore, GNSS-derived station coordinates play an important role in the determination of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame. The analysis centres of the International GNSS Service (IGS) generate such products by processing observations from a global network of ground stations to one or more GNSS constellations.

So far, this kind of processing only incorporates elevation-dependent a priori modelling of observation variances and disregards temporal correlations. Meanwhile, numerous studies have shown the positive impact the incorporation of sophisticated stochastic modelling has on GNSS processing and resulting products. However, there have not been any large-scale investigations regarding the impact of stochastic modelling of observation noise on global GNSS processing.

In this contribution, we discuss a post-fit residuals approach for deriving temporal correlations in global multi-GNSS processing and their limitations. We used several years of observations and a selected IGS network of ground stations. Based on this data we analysed the post-fit residuals and the derived temporal correlations per station with respect to their seasonal effects, specific used receivers, antennas, and different transmitter signal types.

How to cite: Dumitraschkewitz, P., Mayer-Gürr, T., and Strasser, S.: Empirical stochastic modeling of observation noise in global GNSS network processing, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2566, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2566, 2022.

The polar ionosphere is characterized by massive structures, known as patches, resulting from intake of mid-latitude plasma or, to a lesser extent, from particle precipitation. The occurrence of patches is an object of multi-instrumental investigations performed with various space- and ground-based techniques, involving among others the measurements of Global Navigation Satellite Systems. With regard to the latter approach, the patch definition has to be reformulated to the electron density accumulated along a signal path. This step requires an additional validation of the relation between an elevation angle of GNSS measurements and an integrated enhancement of plasma.

The work compares polar patch signatures observed in GNSS time series during a maximum solar activity. The assessment of integrated patch enhancement was realized with relative STEC values that are computed for several GNSS stations located in the northern polar cap. Investigating the results at different elevation angles, one can observe a lack of typical geometrical dependency of relative STEC. We believe this effect is related to an approximately spherical shape of patches. Such a conclusion seems to be confirmed by a similar enhancement observed for measurements with different orientations. According to the obtained results, we find this is justified to use STEC as an indicator of patch enhancement for GNSS data.    

How to cite: Sieradzki, R.: A study on the relation between an elevation angle of GNSS measurements and an integrated plasma enhancement of polar patches., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3870, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3870, 2022.

EGU22-4504 | Presentations | G1.2

Orbit, clock and attitude analysis of QZS-1R 

Peter Steigenberger, André Hauschild, and OIiver Montenbruck
More than ten years after the launch of the first satellite of the Japanese Quasi-Zenith Satellite System (QZSS), a replenishment satellite for this spacecraft was launched into inclined geo-synchronous orbit (IGSO) in October 2021. Triple-frequency signal transmission of QZS-1R started on November 14, 2021. In the same month, Cabinet Office, Government of Japan published satellite metadata of QZS-1R including mass, center of mass coordinates, laser retro-reflector offsets, satellite antenna phase center offsets and variations, transmit power, attitude law, as well as spacecraft dimensions and optical properties.
Precise orbit and clock parameters of QZS-1R are estimated with the NAPEOS software. The performance of a box-wing model derived from the satellite metadata is evaluated by day boundary discontinuities, orbit overlaps as well as Satellite Laser Ranging residuals. The analysis of the QZS-1R clock parameters estimated together with the orbits is complemented by a one-way carrier phase clock analysis of selected GNSS receivers connected to highly stable clocks in order to study also the short-term clock behavior.
Like previous QZSS IGSO satellites, QZS-1R transmits the L1 Sub-meter Level Augmentation Service (SLAS) via a dedicated antenna separated about 1.2 m from the main navigation antenna. Therefore, simultaneous observations of, e.g., the L1C/A and the L1 SLAS signals allow to determine the QZS-1R attitude. Attitude estimates from a regional network of eight stations are presented and compared to the nominal attitude of the spacecraft.

How to cite: Steigenberger, P., Hauschild, A., and Montenbruck, O.: Orbit, clock and attitude analysis of QZS-1R, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4504, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4504, 2022.

EGU22-4881 | Presentations | G1.2

Ambiguity fixing on geometry free like model using modernized GNSS signals 

Giulio Tagliaferro

Ambiguity fixing on the geometry free combination presents some desirable characteristics. In particular, it does not require precise ephemeris, modelling of station displacement motion or tropospheric modelling or estimation. For such reasons, it can be particularly interesting in the case where such data and models are not available or if simpler processing is wanted. Such fixing procedure has been studied in the past for dual-frequency and triple frequency cases. Unfortunately, especially in the two frequency case, this procedure is not practical due to the long observation period needed to reliable fix a correct integer set. In this contribution, we review the fixing performances of the “geometry free” model using an undifferenced uncombined approach. Furthermore, we present the case to four and five frequency cases using Galileo and Beidou observations showing that reliable fixing in a reduced time span is possible. All analyses presented are performed using real GNSS data from the IGS permanent network. Finally, some possible applications are presented with a focus on ionospheric studies.

How to cite: Tagliaferro, G.: Ambiguity fixing on geometry free like model using modernized GNSS signals, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4881, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4881, 2022.

EGU22-5477 | Presentations | G1.2

Evaluation of NTCM-G ionospheric delay correction model for single-frequency SPP users. 

Beata Milanowska, Paweł Wielgosz, Mainul Hoque, Dariusz Tomaszewski, Wojciech Jarmołowski, Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk, Karolina Krzykowska-Piotrowska, and Jacek Rapiński

The adverse effects of ionospheric delays limit the positioning accuracy of single-frequency GNSS users. To mitigate these effects, GNSS system providers make several ionospheric delays models available for their global users. For example, the GPS has offered the Klobuchar model from the beginning. More recently, Galileo users can use the NeQuick G model. In the meantime, several independent models available for real-time navigation have emerged. Recent examples are the NTCM (Neustrelitz Total Electron Content Model) correction model provided by the German Aerospace Center (DLR) and real-time global ionosphere maps (RT-GIMs) provided by the National Centre for Space Studies (CNES).

In this contribution, we evaluate the performance of several global ionospheric delay correction models in SPP mode. We used single-frequency pseudorange data from 12 GNSS stations distributed globally, covering different latitudes for the evaluation. The test data includes GNSS observations from DOY 93/2020 to DOY 80/2021, covering almost one full year of increasing solar activity. We validated the performance of the NTCM-G model driven by the Galileo Az parameters against the Klobuchar, NeQuick 2, NeQuick G, and CNES RT GIMs models. Finally, we compared the results to reference solutions obtained with CODE GIM and also using the ionosphere-free linear combination. We showed that NTCM-G corrections presented accuracy comparable with the NeQuick G model and better than the Klobuchar one.

How to cite: Milanowska, B., Wielgosz, P., Hoque, M., Tomaszewski, D., Jarmołowski, W., Krypiak-Gregorczyk, A., Krzykowska-Piotrowska, K., and Rapiński, J.: Evaluation of NTCM-G ionospheric delay correction model for single-frequency SPP users., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5477, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5477, 2022.

EGU22-5780 | Presentations | G1.2

Total Electron Content Monitoring Complemented with Crowdsourced GNSS Observations 

Grzegorz Kłopotek, Benedikt Soja, Mudathir Awadaljeed, Laura Crocetti, Markus Rothacher, Linda See, Rudi Weinacker, Tobias Sturn, Ian McCallum, and Vicente Navarro

    Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is a well-recognized observation technique in studies on the ionosphere due to its sensitivity to the total electron content (TEC). The era of modern smartphones, running on Android version 7.0 and higher, facilitates the acquisition of raw dual-frequency GNSS measurements, paving the way for the GNSS community data to be potentially exploited in geoscience applications. One can assume that the continuous progress in this domain may result in future in a performance of those smart devices reaching the level of GNSS receivers (and antennas) used for atmospheric monitoring. The prospective utilization of a very large number of GNSS-capable smartphones, as a dynamic crowdsourcing receiver network, could form thus an attractive source of complementary GNSS data, allowing to significantly increase the spatial resolution of observations available for the analysis and cover areas of the globe where GNSS receivers are not yet present. The enormous volume of prospective GNSS community data brings, however, major challenges related to data acquisition, its storage, and subsequent processing for deriving various parameters of interest, also in near-real time. The same applies to the analysis of such huge and heterogeneous data sets, requiring a dedicated approach in order to exploit the data in a thorough manner and fully benefit from such a concept.
Application of Machine Learning Technology for GNSS IoT data fusion (CAMALIOT) is an ongoing ESA NAVISP project with activities covering acquisition of GNSS observations from modern smartphones and development of the dedicated infrastructure regarding GNSS processing and machine learning at scale. An Android application, developed within that project, is utilized to retrieve code and phase observations from the modern generation of smartphones. The acquired user-specific data is available to the user in the form of RINEX3-compliant files and can be uploaded by the user to the central server for subsequent processing.
This contribution highlights the CAMALIOT project in relation to the ionosphere and provides information on the developed Android application, data ingestion and processing, complemented with methodology and initial results related to the TEC retrieval based on smartphone data collected in the vicinity of geodetic GNSS receivers, with the latter used for deriving reference time series. Concerning the smartphone data, the amount and quality of observations are much lower compared to the high-grade GNSS equipment and a dedicated pre-processing stage is needed in order to discard bad observations in a proper manner. An apparent correlation between the data quality, utilized frequency bands and satellite constellation involved is visible too. This area of GNSS still suffers from the limitations related mainly to the components comprising the smartphone, resulting in the lower quality of the acquired GNSS observations, compared to those obtained with the use of high-grade GNSS receivers and antennas. This translates to a greater susceptibility to multipath as well as a much more frequent occurrence of observation gaps and cycle slips, affecting the data availability and continuity of the carrier-phase measurements.

How to cite: Kłopotek, G., Soja, B., Awadaljeed, M., Crocetti, L., Rothacher, M., See, L., Weinacker, R., Sturn, T., McCallum, I., and Navarro, V.: Total Electron Content Monitoring Complemented with Crowdsourced GNSS Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5780, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5780, 2022.

EGU22-7150 | Presentations | G1.2

On the implications of ionospheric disturbances for GNSS precise positioning: a case study of Greenland 

Jacek Paziewski, Yaqi Jin, Wojciech J. Miloch, Rafal Sieradzki, Wojciech Jarmolowski, Manuel Hernandez-Pajares, Pawel Wielgosz, Jens Berdermann, Mainul Hoque, Per Høeg, Alberto Garcıa-Rigo, Haixia Lyu, Beata Milanowska, Lasse B. N. Clausen, Enric Monte-Moreno, and Raul Orús-Pérez

Ionospheric irregularities impair GNSS signals and, in turn, affect the performance of GNSS positioning. Such effects are especially evident for the high latitudes, which are currently gaining the attention of research and industry branches. These activities should be supported with reliable positioning and navigation services. Such needs motivate us to assess, for the first time, the impact of ionospheric irregularities on GNSS positioning performance in Greenland. We fill the gap and evaluate the performance of positioning methods that were not investigated comprehensively until now but meet the demands of a wide range of users. In this regard, we address the needs of mass-market users that most frequently employ single-frequency receivers and expect a meter to submeter-level accuracy in an absolute mode; and the users who require the highest precision solution based on geodetic-grade dual-frequency receivers. We take advantage of the datasets collected at the GNET permanent network in Greenland during three ionospheric storms, namely the St. Patrick storm of March 17, 2015, June 22, 2015, and August 25–­26, 2018. We discover a significant impact of the ionospheric disturbances on the ambiguity resolution performance and the accuracy of the float solution in RTK positioning. Next, assessing the single-frequency ionospheric-free PPP, we demonstrate that the model is generally unaffected by the ionospheric disturbances. Hence, the model is predestined for the application by the users of single-frequency receivers in the areas of frequent ionospheric disturbances. Finally, based on the observation analyses, we revealed that phase signals on the L2 frequency band are more prone to the cycle slips induced by ionospheric irregularities than those transmitted on the first one.

How to cite: Paziewski, J., Jin, Y., Miloch, W. J., Sieradzki, R., Jarmolowski, W., Hernandez-Pajares, M., Wielgosz, P., Berdermann, J., Hoque, M., Høeg, P., Garcıa-Rigo, A., Lyu, H., Milanowska, B., Clausen, L. B. N., Monte-Moreno, E., and Orús-Pérez, R.: On the implications of ionospheric disturbances for GNSS precise positioning: a case study of Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7150, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7150, 2022.

EGU22-7489 | Presentations | G1.2

Analysis of different weighting functions of observations for GPS and Galileo PPP 

Damian Kiliszek, Andrzej Araszkiewicz, and Krzysztof Kroszczyński

At present, significant development of the positioning methods using the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) can be seen. One of the most developed methods is the absolute Precise Point Positioning (PPP) method. This can be particularly seen using multi-GNSS measurements. The development of multi-GNSS increases the number of satellites observed and increases the accuracy of the products, but also creates new requirements for observation modeling. Obtaining the correct values, ​​of the estimated parameters, requires the appropriate determination of the deterministic model as well as the stochastic model. Currently, the deterministic model is well known. In contrast, the stochastic model is not fully known and still requires a number of studies. Stochastic modeling is based on determining the covariance matrix and which can be modeled using a weighting function that takes into account the elevation angle of the observed satellite. ​

In our analysis, we focus on studies on the weighting functions of GNSS observations for the PPP method. Analysis was performed on the Multi-GNSS Pilot Project (MGEX) stations which were characterized by global distribution and various equipment in 2021. Studies were conducted for the GPS‑only, Galileo-only, and GPS+Galileo constellations, with particular emphasis on the Galileo observations, which has achieved significant progress in recent years. Eight different observation weighting models have been selected for analysis: one of them assumes that all observations have the same precision, without dependence on the elevation angle; for the other used functions, the observation precision value depends on the elevation angle. Parameters such as accuracy, convergence time, zenith path delay (ZPD), and inter-system bias (ISB) are analyzed.

Based on the tests performed, we show that, depending on the solutions adopted (i.e. GPS-only, Galileo-only, GPS+Galileo), the best results were obtained for different weighting functions. We have shown that using different weighting functions have no impact on the horizontal component but a visible impact on the vertical component,  the tropospheric delay, and the convergence time. Also, we choose the best functions for GPS-only and Galileo-only and used them for the GPS+Galileo solution. For this new approach obtained a shorter convergence time and higher accuracy of the ZPD. More information and results will be presented at the conference.

How to cite: Kiliszek, D., Araszkiewicz, A., and Kroszczyński, K.: Analysis of different weighting functions of observations for GPS and Galileo PPP, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7489, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7489, 2022.

EGU22-7899 | Presentations | G1.2

Validation of low-cost receiver derived tropospheric products against ERA5 reanalysis 

Katarzyna Stępniak and Jacek Paziewski

The aim of the study is to investigate the quality of the tropospheric estimates obtained with the use of the latest dual-frequency low-cost GNSS receivers. We aim to verify if the low-cost receivers may provide information on the parameters that describe the state of the troposphere with accuracy and reliability close to that of high-grade receivers. In this way, we address a scientific question on the potential usability of such receivers for climate applications. We investigate selected GNSS tropospheric estimates such as zenith tropospheric delays (ZTDs) and horizontal gradients. ZTD accuracy is validated in comparison to ERA5, which is the fifth generation reanalysis for the global climate and weather produced by European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).

The experiment is based on GNSS data collected during two measurement campaigns. The 1st campaign was carried out over three days in the winter 2020; the 2nd one was held over three days in the summer 2021. Three collocated stations equipped with u-blox ZED F9P receivers and one station with a high-grade Trimble Alloy receiver were used. Receivers were connected to two different types of GNSS antennas: a surveying-grade Leica AR10 and a patch ANN-MB antenna. Collected GNSS data were processed using Bernese GNSS Software v.5.2 in Precise Point Positioning (PPP) mode based on dual-frequency ionosphere-free model.

The presented results confirm that the tropospheric solutions based on low-cost receivers data can achieve high accuracy. Low-cost equipment provides tropospheric parameters with precision and reliability only slightly lower than that of high-grade one. We also show that an application of a surveying-grade antenna to a low-cost receiver may noticeably enhance the accuracy of the tropospheric estimates derived with such receivers. Finally, validation against the ERA5 climate reanalysis confirms that both sets can provide high-quality, accurate tropospheric estimates, which can be further used in climate applications.

How to cite: Stępniak, K. and Paziewski, J.: Validation of low-cost receiver derived tropospheric products against ERA5 reanalysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7899, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7899, 2022.

EGU22-7927 | Presentations | G1.2

First experience with GNSS data quality monitoring in the distributed EPOS e-infrastructure 

Fikri Bamahry, Juliette Legrand, Carine Bruyninx, and Andras Fabian

The European Plate Observing System (EPOS) is a very large and complex European e-infrastructure that provides pre-operational access to a first set of datasets and services for Solid Earth research. The EPOS-GNSS Data Gateway provides, through an Application Program Interface (API) and a web portal, access to GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) RINEX data from a distributed infrastructure of data nodes. Currently, ten EPOS-GNSS nodes have been installed, and three of them are still in the pre-operational phase. To monitor the long-term data quality of EPOS-GNSS stations at the nodes level, ROB is developing a new service. The first step of this service is a web portal (www.gnssquality-epos.oma.be) that provides access to data quality metrics of the RINEX data available from the different EPOS-GNSS nodes.

The web portal presents plots of the long-term tracking performance of more than 1000 EPOS-GNSS stations. The plots focus on several data quality metrics such as the number of observed versus expected observations, the number of missing epochs, the number of observed satellites, the number of cycle slips, and multipath values on code observations. These metrics have been computed at the node level using GLASS and Anubis Software (https://gnutsoftware.com/software/anubis). The metrics provide helpful information for node managers or station users to assess the EPOS-GNSS station’s performance and detect potential degradation of the RINEX data quality. The outlook of this work is to investigate the possible usage of data quality metrics to detect data unsuitable for high-precision GNSS analysis for geophysical or meteorological applications. Here, we will present the newly developed web portal, the considered data quality metrics, and some preliminary results of this ongoing work.

How to cite: Bamahry, F., Legrand, J., Bruyninx, C., and Fabian, A.: First experience with GNSS data quality monitoring in the distributed EPOS e-infrastructure, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7927, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7927, 2022.

EGU22-8242 | Presentations | G1.2

Tropospheric Parameter Estimation with Dual-Frequency GNSS Smartphones 

Raphael Stauffer, Roland Hohensinn, Iván Darío Herrera Pinzón, Gregor Möller, and Markus Rothacher

With the introduction of the operating system Android 7 Nougat in the year 2016, it became possible to access the GNSS code and carrier phase observations on Android smartphones. These observations can now be processed with state-of-the-art GNSS processing software, which allows an in-depth evaluation of the smartphone`s GNSS performance. The availability of the carrier phase observations is an important step towards sub-decimeter-level positioning. Since a few years, there are also smartphones on the market that are equipped with dual-frequency GNSS chipsets.

In this presentation, the capability of dual-frequency GNSS smartphones for the estimation of tropospheric delays is investigated. Static measurements over several weeks are performed using a Google Pixel 4 XL smartphone. The measurements are processed using relative positioning methods in a real-time mode, where a Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) acts as a base. The estimated differential tropospheric parameters – derived for short and medium baseline lengths – are then added to the absolute values computed at the reference station by Precise Point Positioning (PPP). Using this method, we demonstrate that the tropospheric zenith total delays can be successfully determined from smartphone observations. When comparing the estimated tropospheric delays with those determined at a nearby geodetic receiver, differences in the range of a few millimeters to centimeters are visible. In view of these accuracies, the suggested method shows the potential to resolve small-scale tropospheric structures and thus, can be an interesting data source for numerical weather prediction models or related GNSS crowdsourcing projects.

How to cite: Stauffer, R., Hohensinn, R., Herrera Pinzón, I. D., Möller, G., and Rothacher, M.: Tropospheric Parameter Estimation with Dual-Frequency GNSS Smartphones, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8242, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8242, 2022.

EGU22-8890 | Presentations | G1.2

Accuracy of GNSS positioning: GPS+GLONASS case 

Deniz Cetin, D.Ugur Sanli, and Sermet Ogutcu

For a long time, the main factor affecting the accuracy of GPS PPP has been the observing session duration. Researchers have recently shown that the accuracy of PPP also varies with latitude. The reason for the latitudinal variation is the inability to determine the tropospheric zenith delay with a globally homogeneous precision and its impact on the position determination results. A formula has been developed to give the accuracy of the PPP position in a local geocentric system based on observation session duration and latitude. Currently, the interest of researchers is to determine the accuracy of Multi-GNSS solutions. In this context, the MGEX experiment of the IGS provides a rich data source to researchers. In this study, 15 globally distributed GNSS stations were selected from the MGEX network, GPS+GLONASS data was evaluated with CSRSPPP software, and the accuracy of the GNSS positioning was investigated. Continuous GNSS observations and 8-hour campaign measurements are evaluated comparatively. The results of the study showed that 60% of the RMS values obtained from the 24-hour data became smaller, indicating that it was equal between the horizontal and vertical coordinate components. The improvement in campaign solutions is better and around 80% overall. The share of this between horizontal position and vertical position is around 73% and 87%, respectively. The average improvement in the RMS of the coordinate components is around 0.5 mm for the campaign solutions, but the improvement can reach up to 2 mm at some stations. Our motivation was to determine whether this improvement was reflected in the accuracy modeling. Initial findings show that the results are in agreement with the latest accuracy modeling, and it turns out that the positioning accuracy of GNSS PPP also depends on the latitude of the GNSS site as well as the observation session, as in the GPS PPP.

How to cite: Cetin, D., Sanli, D. U., and Ogutcu, S.: Accuracy of GNSS positioning: GPS+GLONASS case, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8890, 2022.

EGU22-9079 | Presentations | G1.2

Low-cost and smartphone GNSS sensors: current capabilities and perspectives for seismic and tropospheric monitoring applications 

Roland Hohensinn, Raphael Stauffer, Iván Darío Herrera Pinzón, Gregor Möller, Matthias Aichinger-Rosenberger, Yara Rossi, Yuanxin Pan, Grzegorz Kłopotek, Benedikt Soja, and Markus Rothacher

In recent years, dual-frequency GNSS chipsets became available on the mass market. The ongoing developments in sensor and processing technologies steadily improve the positioning performance so that nowadays sub-decimeter accuracies can be achieved with such devices, even in real-time. Thus these sensors become a powerful, inexpensive choice for equipping or densifying existing GNSS monitoring networks. Station densification can be of significant added value for earthquake early warning systems, assimilation of GNSS water vapor estimates into numerical weather prediction models and the detection of severe weather events. Even if somewhat noisier, smartphone data can be used for GNSS-based remote sensing purposes as well.

This contribution is twofold, and focusses on both, the current capabilities and the perspectives of these GNSS low-cost technologies for such remote sensing applications. In the first part we highlight the accuracy of PPP-enabled seismic and tropospheric monitoring using low-cost loggers and stations developed in-house. We show that differential smartphone GNSS observations on short- and medium-length baselines can be used to sense the state of the regional troposphere. In the second part, we present first results on the performance of the u-blox D9S application board, which enables highest precision by PPP-RTK with ambiguity resolution, and the feasibility of high-precision positioning is assessed for long baselines involving smartphone data as well. Finally, we briefly discuss the potential of data-driven methods for mitigating multipath, which is still one of the main error sources when using equipment of low quality. Concerning the GNSS processing, we rely on further-developed versions of open-source and commercial GNSS software packages. Regarding sensor technology, u-blox chips -- which are currently deployed in our self-sufficient GNSS stations -- are used together with different low-cost and medium-grade GNSS antennas (both, patch and recent helical-type low-cost antennas).

We conclude that low-cost GNSS sensor technology is on the way to satisfy the same demands in accuracy as geodetic-grade equipment -- centimeter-level accuracy can be obtained, even in real-time. New possibilities for station densifications arise by employing low-cost, autonomous stations or by crowdsourcing of GNSS data with smartphones. These observations can aid in resolving small-scale structures in the atmosphere, or for a quick detection and localization of geohazards.

How to cite: Hohensinn, R., Stauffer, R., Herrera Pinzón, I. D., Möller, G., Aichinger-Rosenberger, M., Rossi, Y., Pan, Y., Kłopotek, G., Soja, B., and Rothacher, M.: Low-cost and smartphone GNSS sensors: current capabilities and perspectives for seismic and tropospheric monitoring applications, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9079, 2022.

EGU22-11197 | Presentations | G1.2

Evaluation of positioning accuracy with the use of sports watches equipped with GNSS modules 

Kamil Kazmierski, Marcin Mikos, and Natalia Wachulec

It is difficult to imagine today's world without Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). The dynamic development of GNSS has contributed to the fact that current users are able to use four global systems that use more than 120 satellites. This progress was related not only to the space segment but also to the user segment. Modern technology and miniaturization have resulted in the users' disposal of different types of GNSS receivers, including geodetic receivers, gaining popularity low-cost receivers, or other devices using the GNSS signal, such as smartphones, sports trackers, or sports watches.

Modern sports watches are equipped with many sensors, among which GNSS chipsets play an important role. Those GNSS chipsets make it possible to determine the distance traveled and other related parameters that are important from the point of view of athletes. The most modern constructions can track several constellations at the same time. However, it is difficult to find reliable information to determine the actual quality of positioning by these low-cost GNSS receivers. Most of the works use comparative methods of watches and visual analysis of the route covered. Due to the above-mentioned gap in this area, the positioning quality of leading manufacturers of sports watches was assessed in this study.

Ten sports watches from Garmin, Polar, and Suunto were assessed in the study regarding the geodetic grade GNSS Trimble receiver. The watches were evaluated in three experiments: field positioning experiment, distance accuracy experiment conducted on the athletics track, and the accuracy of the altitude determination conducted on the 37 m high tower. The tests were performed for all the GNSS system options available in watches. The best positioning quality was obtained for the Polar M430 watch that uses only GPS for which almost all recorded epochs obtain positioning accuracy better than 5 m. When measuring distance, most watches had a result that was less than 1% from the theoretical value. Garmin Vivoactive 4s achieved the best results in height determination. For 11 different measured levels, located about 3 m apart, it obtained an average difference equal to 0.48 m. The results show also that the use of the additional GNSS system degrades the obtained results in some cases.

How to cite: Kazmierski, K., Mikos, M., and Wachulec, N.: Evaluation of positioning accuracy with the use of sports watches equipped with GNSS modules, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11197, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11197, 2022.

EGU22-11421 | Presentations | G1.2

Rapid characterization of tsunami sources with GNSS-TEC ionospheric monitoring 

Lucie Rolland, Edhah Munaibari, Florian Zedek, Sladen Anthony, T. Dylan Mikesell, Coïsson Pierdavide, and Delouis Bertrand

Large earthquakes strongly shake the upper atmosphere, leaving distinctive signatures in total electron content (TEC) measured using GNSS trans-ionospheric monitoring. The ionosphere is particularly sensitive to brutal uplift motions of the ground or sea surface, triggering upward propagating mechanical waves. In specific conditions that we will detail in this presentation, GNSS-TEC measurements contain critical information on the immediate consequences of an earthquake. If accurate and provided rapidly, independent knowledge of the sea surface deformation extent and distribution could feed tsunami early warning systems.

Radio waves emitted by GNSS satellites integrate the ionospheric electron density wavefield along their propagation path. At ground level, GNSS receivers can only sense the TEC, which contains the contribution of the ionospheric wavefronts. These wavefronts are destructively or constructively integrated, depending on the involved geometry of observation. In some conditions, even a close station will not sense the TEC perturbation, while a station located 200 km away will sense large TEC fluctuations. This complex behavior mainly depends on the line-of-sight 3D geometry crossing the electron density perturbation. To study how this geometry can affect the estimation of the generating motion, we first build TEC sensitivity maps and highlight more blind or sensitive zones at the Earth’s surface. We apply the procedure to past tsunamigenic earthquakes at mid and low latitudes. Those are the 2010 Mw 7.6 Mentawaii earthquake (Indonesia), the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikoura earthquake (New Zealand), and the 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule earthquake (Chile). The TEC sensitivity maps allow us to investigate how the reciprocal locations of the available GNSS stations and satellites can affect the localization of the origin of the ionospheric disturbances. In a second step, we build localization maps with a full waveform method (IonoSeis software) and, where possible, with a time delay fitting method. We compare the resulting maps with the Earth’s surface deformation distribution estimated by more conventional seismo-geodetic methods. We finally show how the extension and densification of GNSS networks with multi-GNSS low-cost receivers and enhanced ionosphere monitoring could help mitigate tsunamis better.

How to cite: Rolland, L., Munaibari, E., Zedek, F., Anthony, S., Mikesell, T. D., Pierdavide, C., and Bertrand, D.: Rapid characterization of tsunami sources with GNSS-TEC ionospheric monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11421, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11421, 2022.

EGU22-11628 | Presentations | G1.2

Combined orbit and clock zero-difference solution at CODE: ambiguity resolution strategy 

Emilio José Calero Rodríguez, Arturo Villiger, Stefan Schaer, Rolf Dach, and Adrian Jäggi

The use of zero-difference processing schemes becomes more and more popular within the GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) community. This change from double- to zero-difference approaches increases the demand of PPP-AR (Ambiguity Resolution for Precise Point Positioning) enabling products. Those products can be created in two ways, either estimate the geometrical part (orbits) based on a double-difference global network solution with a separate zero-difference solution for the clocks and phase biases, or in a combined zero-difference solution. The latter one allows a more flexible approach; however, the challenge lies in the handling of the increased number of parameters and ambiguity resolution.

The estimation of combined orbit and clock zero-difference enabling products needs a thought-out design of the processing strategy, where the elimination and back-substitution steps are vital to deal with the large number of parameters. Nonetheless, the amount of ambiguity parameters dramatically grows with an increasing size of the network, posing some computational limitations, since they should not be eliminated for a successful ambiguity resolution. Such a restriction originates from fixing float orbits: their accuracy does not allow to estimate reliable ambiguity parameters. To cope with that, we propose a new algorithm capable to decouple them from the orbits, allowing to fix between-satellite ambiguities in a later station-wise parallelisation.

On the poster, we describe selected details on the ambiguity resolution strategy that we have developed. The obtained results are characterized and compared to other solutions using classical ambiguity resolution schemes.

How to cite: Calero Rodríguez, E. J., Villiger, A., Schaer, S., Dach, R., and Jäggi, A.: Combined orbit and clock zero-difference solution at CODE: ambiguity resolution strategy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11628, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11628, 2022.

EGU22-12264 | Presentations | G1.2 | Highlight

On the Impact of GNSS Multipath Correction Maps on Slant Wet Delays for Tracking Severe Weather Events 

Norman Teferle, Addisu Hunegnaw, Hüseyin Duman, Hakki Baltaci, Yohannes Getachew Ejigu, and Jan Dousa

Climate change has led to an increase in the frequency and severity of weather events with intense precipitation and subsequently a greater susceptibility to flash flooding of cities worldwide. As a result, accurate fore- and now-casting of imminent extreme precipitation has become critical for the warning and mitigation of these hydro-meteorological hazards. Networks of ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations enable the measurement of integrated water vapour along slant pathways, providing three-dimensional (3D) water vapour distributions at low cost and in real-time. This makes these data a valuable complementary source of information for tracking storm events and predicting their paths. However, it is well established that multipath effects at GNSS stations do impact incoming signals, especially at low elevations. While the GNSS products for meteorology to date consist predominantly of estimates of zenith total delay and horizontal gradients, these products are not optimal for constraining the 3D distribution of water vapour above a station. The direct use of slant delays counteracts this lack of azimuthal information but is more susceptible to multipath errors at low elevations. This study investigates the impact of multipath-corrected slant wet delay (SWD) estimates on tracking extreme weather events using the convective storm event over Bulgaria, Greece and Turkey on July 27, 2017, which resulted in flash floods and significant property damage. First, we recovered the one-way SWD by adding GNSS post-fit phase residuals, representing the non-isotropic component of the SWD, i.e., the higher-order inhomogeneity. As the MP errors in the GNSS phase observables can significantly affect the SWD from individual satellites, we employed an averaging strategy for stacking the post-fit phase residuals obtained from our Precise Point Positioning (PPP) processing strategy to generate station-specific MP correction maps. The spatial stacking was carried out in congruent cells with an optimal resolution in elevation and azimuth at the local horizon but with decreasing azimuth resolution as the elevation angle increases. This permits an approximately equal number of observations allocated to each cell. Using these MP correction maps in a final step, the one-way SWD were improved to employ them for the analysis of the weather event. We found that the non-isotropic component of the one-way SWD contributes up to 11% of the SWD estimates. Moreover, we validated the SWD between ground-based water-vapour radiometry and GNSS-derived SWD for different elevation angles. Furthermore, the spatio-temporal fluctuations in the SWD as measured by GNSS closely mirrored the moisture field from the ERA5 re-analysis associated with this weather event. By employing an adequate windowing system for generating these MP correction maps in combination with high-precision real-time GNSS analysis, it is possible to provide improved SWD estimates for the tracking of severe weather events.

How to cite: Teferle, N., Hunegnaw, A., Duman, H., Baltaci, H., Ejigu, Y. G., and Dousa, J.: On the Impact of GNSS Multipath Correction Maps on Slant Wet Delays for Tracking Severe Weather Events, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12264, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12264, 2022.

EGU22-12557 | Presentations | G1.2

Estimable phase and code biases in the frame of global multi-GNSS processing 

Sebastian Strasser, Torsten Mayer-Gürr, Barbara Süsser-Rechberger, and Patrick Dumitraschkewitz

Signal biases are hardware delays that occur during the transmission and reception of GNSS signals. On the satellite side, there is a delay between the generation of a signal and its transmission at the antenna. The same is the case on the receiver side, where a delay occurs between signal reception at the antenna and the actual measurement of a specific signal in the receiver. As the name suggests, code biases refer to the delays affecting code observations. Similarly, phase observations are affected by phase biases. In general, signal biases differ per constellation, satellite, frequency, signal attribute, as well as receiver hardware and settings.

The main issue with signal biases is that they are usually not known. Therefore, they have to be estimated during GNSS processing. However, the relative nature of GNSS observations prevents the estimation of absolute signal biases. This results in several rank deficiencies in the normal equation system when signal biases are estimated together with other geodetic parameters in a global multi-GNSS processing.

We present a general approach based on eigenvalue analysis to solve these rank deficiencies. Therefore, the co-estimation of pseudo-absolute transmitter and receiver signal biases in our multi-GNSS processing becomes possible. This approach also enables ambiguity resolution of GLONASS phase obervations.

How to cite: Strasser, S., Mayer-Gürr, T., Süsser-Rechberger, B., and Dumitraschkewitz, P.: Estimable phase and code biases in the frame of global multi-GNSS processing, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12557, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12557, 2022.

EGU22-12698 | Presentations | G1.2

Calibrating tropospheric errors on ground-based GNSS reflectometry: calculation of bending and delay effects 

Peng Feng, Rüdiger Haas, Gunnar Elgered, and Joakim Strandberg

During the last decade, GNSS interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR) has shown great potential for sea level monitoring. In combination with geodetic positioning, GNSS-IR provides a possibility to directly link the sea level measurements to the global terrestrial reference frame. However, many error sources can still be better modeled, and the accuracy of GNSS-IR sea level measurements can be improved. Specifically, we revise the tropospheric error model in ground-based GNSS-IR for sea level applications. Unlike GNSS positioning applications, in GNSS-IR the bending effect is as important as the delay effect. Also, usually very low elevation angle observations are used in GNSS-IR, which makes the atmospheric impact even more important. For the bending effect, we propose a new calculation which takes into account the water vapour content and utilizes the widely used mapping function approach to account for the elevation dependence. For the GNSS-IR atmospheric delay, we revise the geometry of the GNSS signal path for the case of coastal GNSS-IR where the antenna is within < 100 m from the sea surface. The atmospheric delay for the reflected signal is separately evaluated at the surface specular reflection point. The delay from the satellite to the reflection point and the direct signal can both be derived from the zenith delay and mapping function, at their respective local coordinates. The delay from the reflection point to the antenna is obtained assuming an average layer refractivity. We validated our model with ray-tracing radiosonde data. At 2° elevation angle, the new method can correct > 98 % of the atmospheric bending effect, compared to about 88 % with the previously adopted approach. With fewer approximations than the previous approach (directly using the mapping function), the new delay error model is also more accurate but with less absolute improvement of about 3 % compared to the previously existing model.

How to cite: Feng, P., Haas, R., Elgered, G., and Strandberg, J.: Calibrating tropospheric errors on ground-based GNSS reflectometry: calculation of bending and delay effects, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12698, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12698, 2022.

EGU22-12926 | Presentations | G1.2

Considering Satellite Attitude Quaternions in BeiDou Precise Point Positioning Performance 

Robert Galatiya Suya, Yung-Tsang Chen, Chiew-Foong Kwong, and Penghe Zhang

The use of theoretical modeling algorithms to compute the satellite altitude causes some errors which are eventually absorbed by the satellite clocks. This adversely reduces the fixed positioning performance in global navigation satellite system (GNSS) precise point positioning (PPP). Currently, different International GNSS service (IGS) analysis centers (ACs) provide satellite altitude quaternions which are an auxiliary dataset necessary in PPP fixed solutions. Hence, this study aims at a comprehensive evaluation of the effect of accounting for the BeiDou satellite attitude quaternions in PPP. The quaternions provided by different ACs are applied to BeiDou PPP using different weighting schemes suitable for handling satellites in three distinct orbits. The obtained numerical results indicate that considering the quaternions in BeiDou PPP reduces the observation residuals, improves the ambiguity fixing, and enhances positioning performance.

How to cite: Suya, R. G., Chen, Y.-T., Kwong, C.-F., and Zhang, P.: Considering Satellite Attitude Quaternions in BeiDou Precise Point Positioning Performance, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12926, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12926, 2022.

EGU22-13326 | Presentations | G1.2

A Web Based Open Source Deformation Analysis Platform for identifying Crustal Movements 

Mehmet Bak and Rahmi Nurhan Celik

Deformation measurements and deformation analysis are important fields of study in geodesy. Investigating the results obtained from the deformation analysis is very important for human safety. By monitoring the movements of the earth's crust or engineering structures, many measures can be taken to protect human life against potential disasters. For this reason, geodetic measurement techniques have been used since the beginning of the 20th century. Important studies have been carried out, especially with the development of GNSS measurement techniques for monitoring displacement movements and deformations. Both academic and commercial software are available for deformation analysis for the determination of earth crust movements. However, the increasing interest in studying crustal movements has revealed new demands. Today, developing technology has allowed the development of new platforms for deformation analysis.

In this study, an open source web-based deformation analysis platform named Web-NDefA (Web-'N'etwork 'Def'ormation 'A'nalysis), which was developed for 3D static deformation analysis using geodetic methods, is introduced. In addition, the analysis of a data group obtained from Continuously Operating Reference Stations in the Marmara Region with this platform is also explained. After the processing of the base vectors obtained from univariant GNSS networks with the LGO (Leica Geo Office) software, Web-NDefA is used to load the ASCII file of the base solutions to the platform, to adjust the measurements according to the free adjustment method, to obtain the confidence criteria and to analyse the networks compared according to the static deformation model and S-Transformation method. It is a static deformation analysis platform that performs 3-Dimensional statistical analysis that provides visualization, computation of coordinate differences, and drawing velocity vectors. This platform is written with client-side programming languages. HTML (HyperText Markup Language), CSS (Cascading Style Sheets), JavaScript applications were made.

As a result, in this study, information about the design of the have developed open source web platform is given and GNSS data obtained from certain days in 2016, 2019 and 2020 in the Marmara Region are analysed. In this way, a new vision is put forward to the applications used in GNSS-based static deformation analysis and experts who are interested in monitoring and analysing deformations can access such platforms more easily.

How to cite: Bak, M. and Celik, R. N.: A Web Based Open Source Deformation Analysis Platform for identifying Crustal Movements, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13326, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13326, 2022.

EGU22-13439 | Presentations | G1.2

The VARION approach to volcanoes: case study on 2021 Etna eruptions 

Michela Ravanelli, Federico Ferrara, Federica Fuso, Andrea Cannata, Mattia Crespi, and Giovanni Occhipinti

The 2022 Tonga event highlight the necessity to have more and more knowledge about the activity
of volcanoes. To this point, it is well known that volcanoes explosion can trigger ionospheric
perturbation detectable through the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signal [1].

The VARION (Variometric Approach for Real-Time Ionosphere Observation) algorithm has been
successfully applied to detection of ionospheric perturbations in several real-time scenarios [2, 3].
VARION, thus, estimates sTEC (slant total electron content) variations starting from the single time
differences of geometry-free combinations of GNSS carrier-phase measurements.

The aim of this work is to analyse some Etna explosions occurred in 2021 with the VARION algorithm
in order to better study the coupling between volcanoes and ionosphere. This study can pave the
way to a real-time ionospheric monitoring of Etna volcano.

[1] Manta, Fabio, et al. "Correlation between GNSS‐TEC and eruption magnitude supports the use
of ionospheric sensing to complement volcanic hazard assessment." Journal of Geophysical
Research: Solid Earth 126.2 (2021): e2020JB020726.

[2] Ravanelli, Michela, et al. "GNSS total variometric approach: first demonstration of a tool for
real-time tsunami genesis estimation." Scientific Reports 11.1 (2021): 1-12.

[3] Savastano, Giorgio, et al. "Advantages of geostationary satellites for ionospheric anomaly
studies: Ionospheric plasma depletion following a rocket launch." Remote Sensing 11.14 (2019):
1734.

How to cite: Ravanelli, M., Ferrara, F., Fuso, F., Cannata, A., Crespi, M., and Occhipinti, G.: The VARION approach to volcanoes: case study on 2021 Etna eruptions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13439, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13439, 2022.

EGU22-405 | Presentations | G1.3

Ship-based GNSS ionospheric observations for the detection of tsunamis with deep learning 

Yuke Xie, James Foster, Michela Ravanelli, and Mattia Crespi

Tsunami detection and forecasting require observations from open-ocean sensors. It is well known that tsunamis can generate internal gravity waves that propagate through the ionosphere from the earthquake center along with the tsunami wave. These disturbances can be detected by Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) receivers. The VARION (Variometric Approach for Real-Time Ionosphere Observation) algorithm has been successfully applied to detecting traveling ionospheric perturbations (TIDs) in several real-time scenarios, and it has also been successfully demonstrated that this algorithm is suitable for moving systems such as ship-based GNSS receivers. We present analyses of GNSS data collected from ships and examine the potential of a ship-based GNSS network for the ionospheric detection of tsunamis. 

In this project, we focused on the detection of tsunami signals from the TIDs using deep learning methods. Benefiting from the large amount of data from widely distributed GNSS permanent stations, we developed a prototype convolutional neural network for tsunami detection, achieving highly accurate prediction scores on the validation and test data. We used the observations coming from our 10-ship pilot network real-time GNSS system from the Pacific ocean to detect the TIDs related to the 2015 Illapel, Chile earthquake and tsunami. Using our algorithm in a post-processing mode we found that our ships successfully detected the ionospheric tsunami signal even though there was no detectable sea-surface height perturbation for the ship. Comparing the performance using our deep learning method with other anomaly detection approaches in a real-time scenario, we found that our approach works very efficiently with the pre-trained model. The results of our study, although preliminary, are very encouraging and we conclude that ships can be cost-effective real-time tsunami early-warning sensors. Given that there are thousands of existing ships in the Pacific Ocean, this is a promising opportunity to improve hazard mitigation.

How to cite: Xie, Y., Foster, J., Ravanelli, M., and Crespi, M.: Ship-based GNSS ionospheric observations for the detection of tsunamis with deep learning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-405, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-405, 2022.

EGU22-1101 | Presentations | G1.3

Differential Learning: A method for polar motion time series prediction 

Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, Matthias Schartner, and Benedikt Soja

Nowadays, many applications such as Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) or spacecraft tracking require a rapid determination, or even predictions, of the Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP). However, due to the measurement techniques utilized to estimate EOP, the latency can be considerably longer than required, which especially hinders real-time applications, resulting in a need for accurate EOP prediction methods.

With the resurgence of machine learning in the last decade, time series prediction is increasingly studied in this context. We propose a learning algorithm for the prediction of polar motion components (xp, yp). The algorithm is based on the concept of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) fitting. Within this investigation, a general formula for ODE fitting based on multivariate time series is proposed, with special focus on second order ODEs. The mathematical relations are derived and presented in both linear and non-linear forms, particularly with LSTM and Elman neural networks. In addition, a sensitivity analysis framework is proposed for the linear case, which is used for the determination of the importance of features. 

We compared the prediction performance of our method with those from three different studies. First, the conditions of the first Earth Orientation Prediction Comparison Campaign (EOPPCC) are followed. In this case, the ultra-short term predictions (up to 10 days) can be improved on average by 62.5% and 45.6% for xp and yp, respectively,  compared to the best performing EOPPCC method. Second, the prediction performance in long-term prediction (up to one year) is compared against Multichannel Singular Spectrum Analysis (MSSA). In this case, the prediction performance is improved on average for xp and yp by 40.9% and 66.4%, respectively. Finally, comparisons against Copula-based methods for long-term prediction are conducted (average improvement 32.3% for xp and 57.8% for yp).

The advantages of this method include (1) exploitation of physical information via Effective Angular Momentum (EAM) functions and by using the concept of ODE fitting, which often corresponds to the laws governing physical phenomena; (2) presence of sensitivity analysis frameworks; and (3) high predictive performance.

How to cite: Kiani Shahvandi, M., Schartner, M., and Soja, B.: Differential Learning: A method for polar motion time series prediction, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1101, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1101, 2022.

EGU22-1503 | Presentations | G1.3

Machine learning based multipath mitigation for high-precision GNSS data processing 

Yuanxin Pan, Gregor Möller, Roland Hohensinn, and Benedikt Soja

Multipath is the main unmodeled error source hindering high-precision GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) data processing. Classical multipath mitigation methods, such as sidereal filtering (SF) and multipath hemispherical map (MHM), have certain disadvantages: they are either too complicated for implementation or not effective enough for multipath mitigation. In this study, we demonstrate that machine learning (ML) based models, such as random forest, can overcome these drawbacks by spatial interpolation over sky map and thus mitigate multipath effectively. 30 days of 1 Hz geodetic grade GPS data as well as 6 days of low-cost data are used to train and test the ML models. Based on a series of test cases, the best number of days for model training and the validity period for the models are discussed in this contribution. For quantification, the multipath reduction rate and kinematic positioning precision are computed using different ML models and compared to those derived from SF and MHM. The statistical results show that the XGBoost ML model can achieve higher multipath reduction rates compared to SF and MHM, especially for pseudorange measurements, which is important for low-cost devices. It reduces the multipath by 48% and 55% for pseudorange and carrier phase measurements, respectively, and outperforms SF (40% and 52%) and MHM (37% and 49%). The positioning precision when using different multipath models is similar, with differences of less than 1 mm. We conclude that the ML based multipath mitigation method is effective and easy-to-use, which can be applied under real-time scenarios.

How to cite: Pan, Y., Möller, G., Hohensinn, R., and Soja, B.: Machine learning based multipath mitigation for high-precision GNSS data processing, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1503, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1503, 2022.

EGU22-1834 | Presentations | G1.3

Improving the Accuracy of GNSS Orbit Predictions using Machine Learning Approaches 

Junyang Gou, Christine Rösch, Endrit Shehaj, Kangkang Chen, Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, Benedikt Soja, and Markus Rothacher

Precise orbit determination is vital for the increasingly vast number of space objects around the Earth. Moreover, accurate orbit prediction of GNSS satellites is essential for many real-time geodetic applications, including real-time navigation. The typical way to obtain accurate orbit predictions is using physics-based orbit propagators. However, the prediction errors accumulate with time because of insufficient modeling of the changing perturbing forces. Motivated by the rapid expansion of computing power and the considerable data volume of satellite orbits available in recent years, we can apply machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to assess if they can be used to further reduce orbit errors.

In this study, we focus on the orbit prediction of GNSS constellations. We investigate the potential of using different ML and DL algorithms for improving the accuracy of the ultra-rapid products from IGS. As ground truth we consider the IGS final products, and the differences between the ultra-rapid and final products are computed and serve as targets for the ML/DL methods. In this context, we combine the advantages of physics-based and data-driven ML/DL methods. Since the major errors of GNSS orbits are expected to be caused by the deficiency of solar radiation pressure models, we consider different related parameters as additional features to implicitly model the solar impact, such as the C0,0 terms of global ionosphere maps. In order to accurately model the effect of solar radiation pressure on the radial, along-track and cross-track components of the satellite orbit system, the geometric relation between the Sun, the satellite and the Earth are also considered. Furthermore, the performances of different ML/DL algorithms are compared and discussed. Due to the temporal characteristics of the problem, certain sequential modeling algorithms, such as Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit, show superiority. Our approach shows promising results with average improvements of over 40% in 3D RMS within the 24-hours prediction interval of the ultra-rapid products.

How to cite: Gou, J., Rösch, C., Shehaj, E., Chen, K., Kiani Shahvandi, M., Soja, B., and Rothacher, M.: Improving the Accuracy of GNSS Orbit Predictions using Machine Learning Approaches, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1834, 2022.

EGU22-2702 | Presentations | G1.3

Development of a global model for zenith wet delays based on the random forest approach 

Qinzheng Li, Johannes Böhm, Linguo Yuan, and Robert Weber

Tropospheric delays have been a major error source for space geodetic techniques and the performance of their modeling is significantly limited due to the high spatiotemporal variability of the moisture in the lower atmosphere. In this study, tropospheric zenith wet delay (ZWD) modeling was realized based on the machine learning (random forest approach, RF) and using 10 years (2010-2019) of radiosonde measurements at 586 globally distributed stations. Subsequently, the ZWD modeling accuracy was validated based on the sounding profiles across the globe for the year 2020. We find that ZWD modeling accuracy is significantly improved by taking account meteorological parameters in the functional formulation, especially for surface water vapor pressure. When surface meteorological data are available, the RF-based ZWD models with meteorological parameterization can achieve an overall accuracy of 2.9 cm and the bias close to zero across the globe, which clearly outperforms current empirical models, such as the GPT3, or other models based on surface meteorological measurements. From the analyses of spatial characteristics of the ZWD accuracy, it can be concluded that the RF-based ZWD models especially mitigate the systematic biases in the regions with monsoon climate and tropical rainforest climate types. 

How to cite: Li, Q., Böhm, J., Yuan, L., and Weber, R.: Development of a global model for zenith wet delays based on the random forest approach, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2702, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2702, 2022.

EGU22-4039 | Presentations | G1.3

Apply noise filters for better forecast performance in Machine Learning 

Nhung Le, Benjamin Männel, Randa Natras, Pierre Sakic, Zhiguo Deng, and Harald Schuh ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬

Abstract:

In Machine Learning (ML), one of the crucial tasks is understanding data characteristics to be able to extract exactly relevant information, while noise contained in data can cause misleading estimations and decrease the generalizability of ML-based prediction models. So far, only few previous studies have applied noise filtering techniques when building forecast models. Hence, their efficiency on ML-based forecasts has not yet been comprehensively demonstrated. Therefore, we aim to determine optimal noise filters to enhance the forecast performance of Total Electron Contents (TEC), crustal motion, and Earth’s polar motion. We investigate six noise filtering algorithms (Moving Mean, Moving Median, Lowess, Loess, and Savitzky Golay) on forecast models to select the best-suited filters. Five ML algorithms are applied to train forecast models, that are Support Vector Machine (SVM), Regression Trees, Linear Regression (LR), Ensembles of Trees, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). The findings show that the Savitzky Golay algorithm is the most effective on the ML-based forecast models, followed by Loess and Gaussian filters, while Moving Mean is the least sensitive. Noise filters are more sensitive for forecast models based on SVM and LR than Ensembles of Trees and GPR. Applying the Savitzky Golay filter for SVM and LR optimal models can enhance the prediction accuracy up to 14.0 %, 16.1 % and 89.5 % corresponding to forecasting TEC, crustal motion, and Earth's polar motion, respectively; while that for Ensembles and GPR are only from approximate 3.0 to 27.0 %. Overall, using noise filters is one of the practical solutions to improve prediction performance. They can also be used to smoothen time series with variable characteristics and to generalize high-rate data.

Keywords:

Machine Learning, Noise filters, Savitzky Golay filter, TEC forecast, Crustal motion, Earth’s polar motion.

How to cite: Le, N., Männel, B., Natras, R., Sakic, P., Deng, Z., and Schuh ‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬, H.: Apply noise filters for better forecast performance in Machine Learning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4039, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4039, 2022.

EGU22-4531 | Presentations | G1.3

Machine learning and meteorological data for spatio-temporal prediction of tropospheric parameters 

Laura Crocetti, Benedikt Soja, Grzegorz Kłopotek, Mudathir Awadaljeed, Markus Rothacher, Linda See, Rudi Weinacker, Tobias Sturn, Ian McCallum, and Vicente Navarro

Radio signals transmitted by Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) satellites propagate through the atmosphere before being received on Earth. Thereby, the signal is delayed and tropospheric parameters can be estimated. The good global coverage of GNSS receivers, combined with the high temporal resolution and the high accuracy, make GNSS a suitable tool for studies on the atmosphere.

Atmospheric delays are differentiated into a zenith hydrostatic (ZHD) and a non-hydrostatic, or zenith wet delay (ZWD). The hydrostatic part has a larger contribution (causing a delay of roughly 2.4 meters in the zenith direction) but can be modeled with sufficient accuracy using analytical methods. The ZWD has a smaller contribution (causing a delay between 0 to 40 centimeters) and depends mainly on the water vapour content in the atmosphere. However, due to the variable nature of water vapour, the ZWD is difficult to model and is therefore typically estimated. Its quantification is essential since it drives weather systems and climate change to a great extent. For many applications, such as weather forecasting or positioning using low-cost GNSS receivers such as smartphones, global real-time monitoring or even predictions of ZWD would be required and be beneficial.

In the last decade, machine learning (ML) algorithms have gained a lot of interest and are successfully utilized in many different fields. Thereby, ML algorithms have proven to be able to efficiently process and combine large amounts of data and solve problems of various kinds.

This motivated us to investigate the feasibility of ML algorithms for the prediction of tropospheric parameters, in particular ZWD, with the help of meteorological data such as the water vapour content. The work aims to develop a global model capable of predicting ZWD in space and time. Therefore, different ML algorithms are used to train a model based on meteorological features. The performance of the utilized algorithms is evaluated based on commonly used performance metrics, such as Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and R².

Preliminary investigations are carried out utilizing 3000 GNSS stations distributed over Europe. The performance of various ML methods, such as Linear Regression methods, Random Forest, (Extreme) Gradient Boosting, and Multilayer Perceptron is compared. Furthermore, different feature combinations, as well as training sample sizes are investigated. It is revealed that linear methods are not able to properly reflect the observations. Instead, our Random Forest approach provides, so far, the highest model accuracy with an RMSE of 1.7 centimeters and an R² value of 0.88.

How to cite: Crocetti, L., Soja, B., Kłopotek, G., Awadaljeed, M., Rothacher, M., See, L., Weinacker, R., Sturn, T., McCallum, I., and Navarro, V.: Machine learning and meteorological data for spatio-temporal prediction of tropospheric parameters, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4531, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4531, 2022.

EGU22-5003 | Presentations | G1.3

Deep learning for extreme wind speed prediction with CyGNSSnet 

Caroline Arnold, Daixin Zhao, Tianqi Xiao, Lichao Mou, and Milad Asgarimehr

The CyGNSS (Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System) satellite system measures GNSS signals reflected off the Earth’s surface. A global ocean wind speed dataset is derived, which fills a gap in Earth observation data and can improve cyclone forecasting. We proposed CyGNSSnet(1), a deep learning model for predicting wind speed from CyGNSS observables, and found an improved performance of 29% compared to the current operational model. However, the prediction of extreme winds remained challenging: For wind speeds exceeding 12 m/s, the operational model outperformed CyGNSSnet.

Here, we explore methods to improve the performance of CyGNSSnet at high wind speeds. We introduce a hierarchical model that combines specialized CyGNSSnet instances trained in different wind speed regimes with a classifier to select an instance. In addition, we explore strategies to improve the wind speed predictions by emphasizing extreme values in training, and we discuss the potentials and shortcomings of the approaches.

  • (1) Asgarimehr, M., Arnold, C., Weigel, T., Ruf, C. & Wickert, J. GNSS reflectometry global ocean wind speed using deep learning: Development and assessment of CyGNSSnet. Remote Sensing of Environment 269, 112801 (2022).

How to cite: Arnold, C., Zhao, D., Xiao, T., Mou, L., and Asgarimehr, M.: Deep learning for extreme wind speed prediction with CyGNSSnet, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5003, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5003, 2022.

EGU22-5408 | Presentations | G1.3

Machine Learning Approach for Forecasting Space Weather Effects in the Ionosphere with Uncertainty Quantification 

Randa Natras, Benedikt Soja, Michael Schmidt, Marie Dominique, and Ayşe Türkmen

Space weather can cause strong sudden disturbances in the Earth’s ionosphere that can degrade the performance and reliability of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) operations. To minimize such degradations, ionospheric effects need to be precisely and timely corrected by providing information of the spatially and temporally variable Total Electron Content (TEC). To obtain such corrections and early warning information of space weather events, we need to model the nonlinear space weather processes focusing on their impact on the ionosphere. Machine Learning (ML) models can learn nonlinear relationships from data to solve complex phenomena such as space weather. To interpret ML model results, it is crucial to know their quality and reliability. Quantifying the uncertainty of the ML results is an important step toward developing a “trustworthy” model, providing reliable results, and improving the model explainability.

This study presents a novel ML model to forecast the vertical TEC (VTEC) utilizing state-of-the-art supervised learning techniques and robustly assessing the uncertainty of the achieved results. The data are systematically analyzed, selected and pre-processed for optimal model learning, especially during space weather events. Results from our previous study (Natras and Schmidt, 2021) were improved in terms of data, ensemble modelling, and uncertainty quantification. The input data are expanded with additional parameters of the solar wind and the interplanetary magnetic field from OmniWeb and spectral irradiance measurements from the solar instrument LYRA onboard the spacecraft PROBA2 (Dominique et al., 2013). Also, new input features have been derived, such as daily differences, time derivatives, moving averages, etc. We applied ensemble modeling to combine diverse ML models based on different learning algorithms with different training data sets. The ensemble model enhances the performance of base learners and quantifies the uncertainty of results. This approach shows potential for forecasting VTEC in different ionospheric regions during quiet and storm periods, while providing the uncertainties of the forecasting results.

Keywords: Machine Learning, Space Weather, Ionosphere, Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC), Forecasting, Uncertainty Quantification

 

References:

Dominique, M., Hochedez, JF., Schmutz, W. et al. (2013): The LYRA Instrument Onboard PROBA2: Description and In-Flight Performance. Sol Phys 286, 21-42 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11207-013-0252-5

Natras, R., Schmidt, M. (2021): Ionospheric VTEC Forecasting using Machine Learning, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-8907, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-8907

 

How to cite: Natras, R., Soja, B., Schmidt, M., Dominique, M., and Türkmen, A.: Machine Learning Approach for Forecasting Space Weather Effects in the Ionosphere with Uncertainty Quantification, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5408, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5408, 2022.

As a specific family of machine learning algorithms, deep learning (DL), successfully applied to several application areas is a relatively new and novel methodology receiving much attention. The DL has been widely applied to a series of problems including email filtering, image and speech recognition, and language processing, but is only beginning to impact on geoscience problems. On the other hand, the standard least-squares (SLS) theory of linear models has been widely used in many earth science areas. This theory connects the explanatory variables to the predicted ones, called observations, through a linear(ized) model in which the unknowns of this relation are estimated using the least squares method. The design matrix, containing the explanatory variables of a set of objects, is usually linearly related to the predicted variables. There are however applications that the predicted variables are unknown (nonlinear) functions of explanatory variables, and hence such a design matrix is not known a-priori. We present a methodology that formulates the deep learning problem in the least squares framework of the linear models. As a supervised method, a network is trained to construct an appropriate design matrix, an essential element of the linear model. The entries of this design matrix, as nonlinear functions of the explanatory variables, are trained in an iterative manner using the descent optimization methods. Such a design matrix allows to employ the existing knowledge on the least squares theory to the DL applications. A few examples are presented to demonstrate the theory.

How to cite: Amiri-Simkooei, A.: Least-squares-based formulation of deep learning: Theory and applications to geoscience data analytics, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7272, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7272, 2022.

EGU22-7331 | Presentations | G1.3

Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks for Ionospheric TEC Prediction Using Global Navigation Satellite System Observables 

Maria Kaselimi, Vassilis Gikas, Nikolaos Doulamis, Anastasios Doulamis, and Demitris Delikaraoglou

Precise modeling of the ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) is critical for reliable and accurate GNSS applications. TEC is the integral of the location-dependent electron density along the signal path and is a crucial parameter that is often used to describe ionospheric variability, as it is strongly affected by solar activity. TEC is highly depended on local time (temporal variability), latitude, longitude (spatial variability), solar and geomagnetic conditions. The propagation of the signals from GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) satellites throughout the ionosphere is strongly influenced by temporal changes and ionospheric regular or irregular variations. Here, we propose a deep learning architecture for the prediction of the vertical total electron content (VTEC) of the ionosphere based on GNSS data. 

The data used in many deep learning tasks until recently where mostly represented in the Euclidean space. However, geodesy studies data that have an underlying structure that is non-Euclidean space. Geospatial data are large and complex, as in the case of GNSS networks data, and their non- Euclidean nature has imposed significant challenges on the existing machine learning algorithms. The task of VTEC prediction is challenging mainly due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies and an inherent difficulty in temporal forecasting. Spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) aim to learn hidden patterns from spatial-temporal graphs. The key idea of STGNNs is to consider spatial and temporal dependency at the same time. Spatial Dependency: Assuming a network of permanent stations of International GNSS Service (IGS), each station represents a node of the graph, and their Euclidean distance is used to formulate the set of edges of the graph. Thus, we achieve exchange between nodes and their neighbors. Temporal dependency: The graph operates in a dynamic environment. Thus, we leverage the recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to model the temporal dependency. As a result, time series of VTEC data can be predicted to future epochs. Solar and geomagnetic indices are formulated as node attributes and are also present temporal variability.

Topics to be discussed in the study include the design of the graph neural network structure, the training methods exploiting steepest descent algorithms, data analysis, as well as preliminary testing results of the VTEC predictions as compared, with state-of-the-art graph architectures.

How to cite: Kaselimi, M., Gikas, V., Doulamis, N., Doulamis, A., and Delikaraoglou, D.: Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks for Ionospheric TEC Prediction Using Global Navigation Satellite System Observables, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7331, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7331, 2022.

EGU22-9105 | Presentations | G1.3

Modeling of Residual GNSS Station Motions through Meteorological Data in a Machine Learning Approach 

Pia Ruttner, Roland Hohensinn, Stefano D'Aronco, Jan Dirk Wegner, and Benedikt Soja

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) long-term residual height time series exhibit signals related to environmental influences. These can partly b explained through environmental surface loads, which are described with physical models. In this work, a model is computed to connect the GNSS residuals with raw meteorological parameters. A Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) is trained on 206 GNSS stations in central Europe, and applied to 68 test stations in the same area. The resulting Root Mean Square (RMS) error reduction is on average 0.8% lower for the TCN modeled time series, compared to using physical models for the reduction. In a further experiment, the TCN is trained on the GNSS time series after reducing those by the surface loading models. The aim is a further increase of RMS reduction, which is achieved with 2.7% on average, resulting in an overall mean reduction of 28.6%. The results suggest that with meteorological features as input data, TCN modeled reductions are able to compete with reductions derived from physical models. Trained on the residuals reduced by environmental loading models, the TCN is able to slightly increase the overall reduction of variations in the GNSS station position time series.

How to cite: Ruttner, P., Hohensinn, R., D'Aronco, S., Wegner, J. D., and Soja, B.: Modeling of Residual GNSS Station Motions through Meteorological Data in a Machine Learning Approach, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9105, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9105, 2022.

EGU22-12032 | Presentations | G1.3

Towards the characterization of Slow Slip deformation by means of deep learning 

Giuseppe Costantino, Sophie Giffard-Roisin, Mauro Dalla Mura, David Marsan, Mathilde Radiguet, and Anne Socquet

Detecting small Slow Slip Events (SSEs) is still an open challenge. The difficulty in revealing low magnitude events is related to their detection in the geodetic data, which must be improved either by employing more powerful equipment or by developing novel methods for the systematic discovery of small events, which can be crucial for the precise characterization of the slip spectrum. The improvement of the ability to detect small SSEs and the associated seismic response can play a decisive role in the understanding of the mechanics of active faults, remarkably subduction in which tremors cannot serve as a proxy for the slow slip or Episodic Tremor and Slip (ETS) is not regularly observed, making it necessary to provide new observations and methods to perceive potential bursts of slow slip.

Here we explore three Deep Learning–based strategies applied to GNSS data to characterize earthquakes and SSEs. Unlike seismic data, geodetic observations are crucial for dealing with SSEs, since they contain the required spatiotemporal information. Yet, since the low number of available labelled events (earthquakes or SSEs) producing significant displacement at GNSS station does not allow to adequately train Deep Learning models, we adopt synthetic geodetic data (Okada, 1985), obtained by generating events with uniformly distributed parameters. Thus, the model will not be biased towards the most numerous parameters, with a possibly stronger predictive power. The approach inspired by (van den Ende, Ampuero, 2020) was used for the characterization (i.e., estimation of epicentral location and magnitude), which associates geodetic time series with the location information of the GNSS stations. Yet, rearranging the geodetic displacement from GNSS time series into images can let Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to better account for the data spatial consistency, leading to more precise results. Furthermore, Transformers have also been tested with image time series of ground deformation. To assess the reliability of the tested methods, a magnitude threshold on the synthetic test set has been estimated, which depends on the depth and the hypocenter location of the event, showing a trade-off between the Signal-to-Noise (SNR) ratio and the relative position of the test events with respect to the GNSS network, revealing physical consistence. The results are also spatially consistent, as the location and magnitude errors tend to increase as the actual epicenters move offshore, with the location error showing a strong inverse proportionality on the magnitude. The employment of time series of deformation with Transformer networks lead to the best results and may allow us to better handle the noise complexity and to account for a spatio–temporal analysis of the ground deformation linked to SSE triggering. Nevertheless, the image–based model outperforms the other two on real data, showing evidence that the synthetic data does still not overlap with the real one, opening towards several perspectives. A more complex synthetic noise can be produced by allowing for synthetic data gaps and outliers (e.g., common modes), or machine learning–based denoising strategies can be envisioned to pre–process the data to improve the SNR ratio.

How to cite: Costantino, G., Giffard-Roisin, S., Dalla Mura, M., Marsan, D., Radiguet, M., and Socquet, A.: Towards the characterization of Slow Slip deformation by means of deep learning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12032, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12032, 2022.

EGU22-304 | Presentations | G1.5

Effects of Datum Definition on Estimation of GNSS Vertical Velocities 

Muharrem Hilmi Erkoç and Uğur Doğan

The aim of this study is to study the effects of datum definition on the estimation of vertical velocities at the continuous GNSS stations and campaign GNSS sites. The observations have been analyzed to measure the accuracy of vertical deformations derived from GPS stations depending on the definition datum of the geodetic network.

This investigation was carried out six campaign GNSS sites and twenty-one continuous GNSS stations operated by the National Permanent Network in Turkey (TUSAGA-Active) in the coastal regions of Turkey during the period 2001-2018. The GNSS observations were processed in the ITRF2014 reference frame using Bernese v5.2 software with different approaches based on four International GNSS Service (IGS) reference stations, which are thought to be less affected by tectonic movements.

The results show that the sensitivity of GNSS vertical velocities depends on the geometrical distribution of the reference stations and on the chosen set of reference stations that define the datum of the geodetic network. Moreover, the accuracy from the number of reference stations is one to three is less good than four or more reference stations, and the vertical velocities of our solution derived from four reference stations agree with those of the IGS solution.

How to cite: Erkoç, M. H. and Doğan, U.: Effects of Datum Definition on Estimation of GNSS Vertical Velocities, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-304, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-304, 2022.

Gravity forward modelling is one of the fundamental topics in geodesy and geophysics. A spherical shell is a commonly used reference model among the mass bodies for the spatial domain of gravity forward modelling. The reason is that it has simple analytical expressions for gravitational effects (e.g. gravitational potential (GP), gravity vector (GV), gravity gradient tensor (GGT), and gravitational or gravity curvatures (GC)). The finer grid size will need more computation time when adopting the numerical strategy of a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids. This contribution presents the simpler analytical expressions for the GV and GGT of a homogeneous zonal band. The new analytical formula of the GC of a homogeneous zonal band is derived. The computation time and relative errors of the GP, GV, GGT, and GC between a spherical zonal band and a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids are quantitatively investigated with different grid sizes. Numerical results reveal that the computation time of a spherical zonal band discretized using tesseroids is about 180/n (i.e. n is the grid size) times less than that of a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids in double and quadruple precision. The relative errors' mean values of the GP, GV, GGT, and GC for a spherical zonal band discretized using tesseroids are smaller than those for a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids. In short, the benefit of a spherical zonal band in comparison with a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids regarding both the computation time and errors is confirmed numerically. The numerical approach of a spherical zonal band discretized using tesseroids can be applied instead of the classical numerical strategy in numerical evaluation of a tesseroid or other spherical mass bodies in gravity field modelling. This study is supported by the project funded by China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2021M691402).

How to cite: Deng, X.-L.: A comparison of gravitational effects between a spherical zonal band and a spherical shell discretized using tesseroids, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-875, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-875, 2022.

EGU22-1880 | Presentations | G1.5

Modelling the local gravity field by rectangular harmonics with numerical validations 

Georgios Panou and Romylos Korakitis

For the representation of the Earth’s global gravity field, Spherical Harmonics (SH) are widely used in geodetic community. On the other hand, for the representation of a local or regional gravity field, Spherical Cap Harmonics (SCH) and Rectangular Harmonics (RH) are alternative techniques with important advantages over SH. Although SCH are extensively presented in literature, RH are found in very few applications, especially of the gravity field. This work derives different functional forms of the disturbing potential, outside of the Earth’s masses, using RH. Also, the necessary transformation from geocentric into local rectangular coordinates is presented. The Rectangular Harmonic Coefficients (RHC) of the different mathematical models of the disturbing potential can be estimated through a least squares’ adjustment process. In order to select the best mathematical model, numerical experiments, based on data generated from a geopotential model, are conducted and the results are validated. Then, for the best model of the disturbing potential, its functionals (gravity anomaly and disturbance, height anomaly, geoid undulation and deflection of vertical) are given in terms of RHC. We conclude that RH representations are both suitable and convenient for the modelling of the local or regional gravity field.

How to cite: Panou, G. and Korakitis, R.: Modelling the local gravity field by rectangular harmonics with numerical validations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1880, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1880, 2022.

EGU22-2429 | Presentations | G1.5

Global gravity field modelling by the finite element method involving mapped infinite elements. 

Marek Macák, Zuzana Minarechová, Róbert Čunderlík, Karol Mikula, and Lukáš Tomek

We present a numerical approach for solving the oblique derivative boundary value problem (BVP) based on the finite element method (FEM) with mapped infinite elements. To that goal, we formulate the BVP consisting of the Laplace equation in 3D semi-infinite domain outside the Earth which is bounded by the approximation of the Earth's surface where the oblique derivative boundary condition is given. At infinity, regularity of the disturbing potential is prescribed. As the numerical method, we have implemented the FEM with mapped infinite elements, where the computational domain is divided into
two centrical parts, one meshed with finite elements and one with infinite ones. In numerical experiments, we firstly test a convergence of the proposed numerical scheme and then we deal with global gravity field modelling using EGM2008 data. To perform such numerical experiments, we create a special discretization of the Earth's surface to fulfil the conditions that arise from correct geometrical properties of finite elements. Then a reconstruction of EGM2008 aims to indicate efficiency of the presented numerical approach.

How to cite: Macák, M., Minarechová, Z., Čunderlík, R., Mikula, K., and Tomek, L.: Global gravity field modelling by the finite element method involving mapped infinite elements., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2429, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2429, 2022.

We present nonlinear diffusion filtering of the GOCE-based satellite-only mean dynamic topography (MDT) based on the geodesic mean curvature flow (GMCF). GMCF represents a curvature-driven diffusion filtering, where the processed data are considered as a set of specific contour lines. A properly designed evolution of these contour lines corresponds to smoothing of the processed data. A main advantage is an adaptive smoothing of the contour lines while respecting significant values of gradients. This property can be beneficial for filtering the MDT models since it allows preserving important gradients along main ocean surface currents. We present numerical solution of the GMCF-based diffusion partial differential equations using the finite volume method (FVM) on regular grids. The derived numerical scheme is applied for filtering the satellite-only MDT models obtained as a combination of the DTU21_MSS model and the recent GOCE-based satellite-only global geopotential models. Then the filtered MDT models are used to derive velocities of the surface geostrophic currents over oceans.

How to cite: Čunderlík, R., Kollár, M., and Mikula, K.: Surface geostrophic currents derived from the nonlinear diffusion filtering of the GOCE-based satellite-only MDT using the geodesic mean curvature flow, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2553, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2553, 2022.

The secular change in the flattening of Earth and its effect on global tectonics is a subject still to be investigated.

Tidal friction causes a constant despinning of the rotation of Earth. It happens at a rate of Δω = – (5.4 ± 0.5) ∙ 10-22s-2, resulting in a change of the length of day with ∆LOD = (2.3 ± 0.1) ms/century (Stacey, 1992). The slowly decreasing rotational speed creates a change in the flattening of the Earth, that produces a latitude dependent stress field. The meridional stress component is always positive (i.e. tensional), while the azimuthal stress is negative (i.e. compressional) from the equator, up to the critical latitudes (~ ±48.2°), and positive poleward. This means two major tectonic provinces: in the equatorial region a strike-slip province and towards the poles, a normal fault province (Denis & Varga, 1990).

From the 1960s reliable seismological catalogues are available. ISC GEM Catalogue contains re-computed moment magnitude (Mw) values, what is essential for calculating the released seismic energy, since at higher magnitudes, it doesn’t go into saturation. One can obtain the energy released by an event with the formula logE = 5.2 + 1.44Mw (Båth, 1966). Based on this catalogue, a 52-year period with moment magnitudes higher than 5.8, all in all 8799 events were used.

Our study shows that the effect of the despun Earth is reflected in the latitudinal distribution of earthquake energy, which is symmetric with respect to the equator and there are clear maxima at mid-latitudes. The distribution of seismic energy released by either normal fault or strike-slip earthquakes also follow a pattern previously described. Especially on the northern hemisphere normal fault events occur dominantly towards the poles while strike-slip earthquakes tend to happen at lower latitudes. We can conclude that tidal friction actually creates the proposed stress field on Earth, and is visible if we observe how global seismicity behaves with respect to latitude.

 

Båth, M. (1966). Earthquake energy and magnitude. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 7, 115-165.

Denis, C., Varga, P. (1990). Tectonic consequences of the Earth’s variable rotation, In: Brosche P, Sündermann J (eds.) Earth rotation from eons to days. Springer, pp. 146-162.

Stacey, F. D. (1992). Physics of the Earth, Brookfield Press, Australia, ISBN 0-646-09091-7.

How to cite: Fodor, C. and Varga, P.: Relationship between temporal variation of Earth's flattening and spatial distribution of global earthquake energy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2608, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2608, 2022.

Since 2014, total station-based QDaedalus astrogeodetic measurement systems have been used to observe astronomical latitudes and longitudes to determine the astrogeodetic deflection of the vertical (DoV). In this study, the Leica Nova MS60 MultiStation-based QDaedalus system’s precision was determined at the HEIG-VD test station, located on the university campus in Yverdon-les-Bains, Switzerland. The data were collected over 13 nights (in an observation period of 44 days from February-April 2021), and comprise 115 series of observations performed over 26 sessions. The term “series” here describes the DoV data obtained during a specified period; QDaedalus observations were executed at ~15 minutes per series, and up to seven series of observations were conducted per session. The standard deviations (SDs) were calculated as 0.11″ and 0.09″ for the N-S and E-W components of the DoV, respectively. The SDs of the results from the HEIG-VD test station show that the N-S DoV components are not as precise as the E-W DoV components. There is a systematic trend in the observed N-S DoV data; the spread of the data in the N-S direction (0.92″) is larger than in the E-W direction (0.71″). The large trend in the N-S direction may be explained by the 0.008″/day trend (0.38″ over the 44-day observation period) in the N-S DoV components; however, this will require further investigation.

This study is the most extensive thus far for determining the precision of the QDaedalus astrogeodetic measurement system. We can conclude that the precisions of the two components lie on the same order of magnitude of 0.1″. These results and the applied method show that the MS60-based QDaedalus system is at least as reliable as the previously-reported total station-based QDaedalus systems. As a result, the MS60-based QDaedalus system can be used effectively in astrogeodetic applications that require high precision. Also, this study demonstrates that astrogeodetic test observations can be conducted at the HEIG-VD test station to determine the precision of newly installed QDaedalus systems.

How to cite: Albayrak, M., Willi, D., and Guillaume, S.: A Performance Analysis of the Leica MS60 MultiStation-Based QDaedalus Astrogeodetic Measurement System at the HEIG-VD Test Station, Switzerland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2610, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2610, 2022.

EGU22-5626 | Presentations | G1.5

Applying Precision Criteria to the Radio Sources in the Daily IVS Sessions 

Pakize Küreç Nehbit, Susanne Glaser, Susanne Lunz, Robert Heinkelmann, Harald Schuh, and Haluk Konak

The quality of a geodetic network is classically determined with the precision criteria computed from the cofactor matrix of the unknown parameters. One of the precision criteria having more information compared to the Helmert position error and the mean error of the unknown parameters is the Helmert mean error ellipsoid. In two-dimensional networks – and the celestial reference frame realized by extragalactic radio sources can be considered as such - the Helmert mean error ellipse consists of three parameters which are the semi-major and semi-minor axis of the error ellipse and the direction of the semi-major axes. In a well-designed geodetic network, the error ellipses should have homogenous structures. In other words, the semi-axes of the error ellipses for all radio sources should be similar. In this study, daily IVS sessions of the CONT17 were evaluated with The Potsdam Open Source Radio Interferometry Tool (PORT) and the parameters of the Helmert mean error ellipses were computed for the radio sources in each session. Also, the results are compared with the number of observations and the angular position of the radio sources. As a result of this study, it can be seen how the precision criteria are affected depending on the angular position of the radio sources.

How to cite: Küreç Nehbit, P., Glaser, S., Lunz, S., Heinkelmann, R., Schuh, H., and Konak, H.: Applying Precision Criteria to the Radio Sources in the Daily IVS Sessions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5626, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5626, 2022.

EGU22-6136 | Presentations | G1.5

New realization for European vertical reference system; a first attempt to include the hydrodynamic leveling data 

Yosra Afrasteh, Cornelis Slobbe, Martin Verlaan, Martina Sacher, Roland Klees, Henrique Guarneri, Lennart Keyzer, Julie Pietrzak, Mirjam Snellen, and Firmijn Zijl

A study by Afrasteh et al. (2021) has shown that combining model-based hydrodynamic leveling data with data of the Unified European Leveling Network (UELN) has great potential to improve the quality of the European Vertical Reference Frame (EVRF). In the current study, we made our first attempt to actually include the model-based hydrodynamic leveling data as new observations and compute a new realization for the European Vertical Reference System (EVRS). Please note, at this stage our results are provisional and should not be considered as an official realization for EVRS. For the spirit leveling data, we have used the potential differences from UELN, including the third leveling epoch in Great Britain. To generate the model-based hydrodynamic leveling data, 3D DCSM-FM hydrodynamic model that covers the North-east Atlantic Ocean including the North Sea is used to simulate the mean water level for January 1997 to January 2019. The tide gauges records covering the same period have been collected for the North Sea countries to compute the observed water level time series. The difference between observation- and the model-derived mean water level is used to generate the noise model for the hydrodynamic leveling data. We observe an improvement in the precision of the estimated heights in all coastal countries surrounding the 3D DCSM-FM domain. Moreover, our results show that adding model-based hydrodynamic leveling connections significantly reduces the south-north tilt in Great Britain, comparing the EVRF heights with the EGG2015 geoid model. Such a tilt in the British vertical datum, which is caused by a systematic error in the British leveling observations, has been reported in several studies. Our results show that using the model-based hydrodynamic leveling data could solve this problem in the British spirit leveling-based network and provide a stronger tie between Great Britain and other North Sea countries.

 

Y. Afrasteh, D. C. Slobbe, M. Verlaan, M. Sacher, R. Klees, H. Guarneri, L. Keyzer, J. Pietrzak, M. Snellen, and F. Zijl. The potential impact of hydrodynamic leveling on the quality of the European vertical reference frame. Journal of Geodesy, 95(8), 2021. doi: 10.1007/s00190-021-01543-3.

How to cite: Afrasteh, Y., Slobbe, C., Verlaan, M., Sacher, M., Klees, R., Guarneri, H., Keyzer, L., Pietrzak, J., Snellen, M., and Zijl, F.: New realization for European vertical reference system; a first attempt to include the hydrodynamic leveling data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6136, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6136, 2022.

The Laplace operator has a relatively simple structure in terms of spherical or ellipsoidal coordinates which are frequently used in geodesy. However, in treating the geodetic boundary value problem the physical surface of the Earth substantially differs from a sphere or an oblate ellipsoid of revolution, even if optimally approximated. Therefore, an alternative between the boundary complexity and the complexity of the coefficients of the Laplace partial differential equation governing the solution is discussed. The situation is more convenient in a system of general curvilinear coordinates such that the physical surface of the Earth (smoothed to a certain degree) is imbedded in the family of coordinate surfaces. The idea is close to concepts followed also in other branches of engineering and mathematical physics. A transformation of coordinates is applied. Subsequently, tensor calculus is used to express the Laplace operator in the system of new coordinates. The structure of the Laplacian is more complicated now, but in a sense it represents the topography of the physical surface of the Earth. Finally, the Green’s function method together with the method of successive approximations is used for the solution of the geodetic boundary value problem expressed in terms of the new coordinates. The structure of iteration steps is analyzed and where useful and possible, modified by means of integration by parts. The iteration steps and their convergence are discussed and interpreted, numerically and in terms of functional analyses.

 

How to cite: Holota, P. and Nesvadba, O.: Structure of the Laplace operator, geometry of the Earth’s surface and successive approximations in the solution of the geodetic boundary value problem, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9362, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9362, 2022.

EGU22-9425 | Presentations | G1.5

Geodetic SAR – the use of electronic corner reflectors in Wladyslawowo and Leba, Poland 

Tomasz Kur, Ryszard Zdunek, Jolanta Nastula, Christoph Gisinger, and Justyna Śliwińska

We present results for geodetic SAR which is a technique in the field of geodesy and remote sensing that enables the localization of specifically designed radar targets. It might help to connect the GNSS network to tide gauge stations and then to link the sea level records of tide gauge stations to the geometric network. In further perspective it will also enable the determination of vertical movements of the Earth's crust at these stations, allowing the estimation of the absolute value of sea level changes in various regions of the world, which are important in the study of climate change. In order to investigate the feasibility of using active SAR transponders ESA Project Baltic+ Theme No. 5. ‘Geodetic SAR for Baltic Height System Unification and Baltic Sea Level Research (SAR-HSU)’ was completed in 2019 – 2021 by international consortium. During the project SAR novel active transponders were located around the Baltic Sea. Among the locations, two transponders were placed in Wladyslawowo and Leba, Poland under the care of the Space Research Centre of the Polish Academy of Sciences (SRC PAS).

The installation of permanent radar targets allows for long-term position monitoring. The technique is a particularly interesting for displacement and height changes observations. The research illustrates the results acquired from the electronic corner reflectors operating in Poland. For purpose of this research SAR images captured by the Sentinel-1 are used as ESA offers unrestricted access to all the data acquired at study region. Level 1 SLC products together with geodetic data are the main input for the study. With a repeat cycle of 6 days, the number of Sentinel-1 SAR observations per test site amounts to about 180 measurements for one year.

We present the outcomes of ECR positioning from July 2021 to January 2022 when further tests of active transponders were conducted beyond the end of the project. The research is carried out with the software developed in SRC PAS and designed for purposes of geodetic SAR. Software consists of several modules e.g. for data preparation (including SAR data, EOP, precise orbits, ionosphere and troposphere models) or for processing data related to geodynamic effects and corrections to radar measurements. Here we present results for Absolute Location Error in the azimuth and range. We show our experience in processing data for active transponders and our comments on their maintenance and exploitation.

How to cite: Kur, T., Zdunek, R., Nastula, J., Gisinger, C., and Śliwińska, J.: Geodetic SAR – the use of electronic corner reflectors in Wladyslawowo and Leba, Poland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9425, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9425, 2022.

EGU22-9610 | Presentations | G1.5

Combination of integral transforms by spectral weighting – an overview  

Martin Pitoňák, Michal Šprlák, and Pavel Novák

Geodetic boundary-value problems (BVPs) and their solutions represent an important tool for describing and modelling potential fields such as the Earth’s gravitational field. Solutions to spherical geodetic BVPs lead to spherical harmonic series or surface convolution integrals with Green’s kernel functions. New BVPs have recently been formulated reflecting development of sensors. BVPs have been also developed for observables measured by kinematic sensors on moving platforms, i.e., airplanes and satellites. Solutions to BVPs for higher-order derivatives of the gravitational potential as boundary conditions are represented by multiple integral transforms. For example, solutions to gravimetric, gradiometric and gravitational curvature BVPs are represented by two, three and four integral transforms, respectively. Theoretically, each of the nine transforms provides an identical value of the gravitational potential, but practically, when discrete noisy observations are exploited, they provide different estimates. Combination of solutions to the above mentioned geodetic BVPs in terms of surface integrals with Green’s kernel functions by a spectral method is investigated in this contribution. It is assumed that the first-, second- and third-order directional derivatives of the Earth’s gravitational potential can be measured at the satellite altitude. They are downward continued to the Earth’s surface and converted into height anomalies. Thus, the spectral combination method serves in our numerical procedure also as the downward continuation technique. The spectral combination method requires deriving corresponding spectral weights for all nine estimators. A generalized formula for evaluation of spectral weights for the estimators is formulated. Properties of spectral combinations are investigated in both spatial and spectral domains.

How to cite: Pitoňák, M., Šprlák, M., and Novák, P.: Combination of integral transforms by spectral weighting – an overview , EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9610, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9610, 2022.

EGU22-10246 | Presentations | G1.5

Some remarks about orthometric and normal height systems 

Viktor Popadyev and Samandar Rakhmonov

Theoretically, solving the geodetic boundary-value problems, we don't need any height systems to include them into integral equations. E.g. so called telluroid and the normal gravity on it are determined not by the normal height itself, but by the curvilinear coordinates of the points with the normal geopotential difference equal to the real geopotential difference. The length of the normal forceline, determining normal height value, is secondary. Similarly, gravity anomalies include normal gravity, determined also by the same geopotential difference in normal field.

Practically, using of the measured geopotential differences in geodesy is uncomfortable, since the corresponding levelling staff would have the variable step of the measuring scale, depending on the position of the point on the earth's surface and in space. Comparison and standardization of that staff is impossible. Then all the height systems we introduce to convert the geopotential values into the linear measure are non-optimal.

To determine the geoid at the same time with the orthometric height, the three only practically ways are possible (first fig.).

 

First way is the vertical spirit levelling, when the gravimeter is lowered into a vertical well and readings are taken from it at equal distances (a). The point with the geopotential number equal to zero will show us the point “on” the geoid, the rope length is the orthometric height. The second way is similar to the first with the spirit levelling along the paths on the walls of the quarry (b). The third way is a mechanical construction of a tunnel, the floor of which starts from the sea level and is built at a constant zero elevation (c).

Even if we know the upper crust mass distribution (with accuracy we need we must consider it completely unknown), the difficult volume integrals must be calculated for any benchmark.

The normal height is determined when M. S. Molodensky (1945) formulate his integro-differential equation (p. 55 of the English translation): “we compute the [curvilinear] coordinate q corresponding to the known potential of the real Earth..., neglecting the disturbing potential and the deflection of the vertical – an obvious first approximation”. In other words we may reformulate this, that the normal height is the ortometric height in the normal field. Moreover, the role of the geoid in normal field plays the level ellipsoid, not the quasigeoid (second fig.)!

In general, we don't need in “quasigeoid” in any physical or geometrical meaning, e.g. for the height measuring, as a “brother” of the geoid or in the BVP solving. So, strictly speaking, the quasigeoid is not a “vertical reference surface”, and the normal heights they are counted/measured not from ellipsoid nor from quasigeoid. The height mark is calculated and assigned as a “passport value” to each point of the earth’s surface.

How to cite: Popadyev, V. and Rakhmonov, S.: Some remarks about orthometric and normal height systems, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10246, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10246, 2022.

Spherical harmonic transforms aiming at degrees as high as a few tens of thousands are vital in geodesy to improve our knowledge of the Earth's gravity field.  A prominent example is spectral gravity forward modelling of topographic masses, which is able to approximate fine gravity field structures up to the sub-km-level and beyond (degree ~20,000 and higher).  Driven by these applications, we have developed CHarm, a C library to perform spherical harmonic transforms.  CHarm is centered around (but not limited to) high-degree expansions, say, well beyond degree 2700.  Its goal is to be numerically stable on the one hand, while achieving reasonable computational efficiency with minimized memory requirements on the other hand.  Supported are surface spherical harmonic analysis and solid (3D) synthesis, both with point and area-mean data values.  Standard quadratures due to Gauss--Legendre and Driscoll--Healy are implemented for exact harmonic analysis of point data values.  The library can be compiled in double precision or, in case higher numerical accuracy is sought, in quadruple precision.  For efficient FFT transforms along the latitude parallels, the state-of-the-art FFTW library is employed to boost the performance.  Unique to CHarm is a routine integrating solid spherical harmonic expansions on band-limited undulated surfaces.  It can deliver, for instance, area-mean potential values on planetary surfaces.  Available are also routines to compute Fourier coefficients of Legendre functions and integrals of a product of two spherical harmonics or of two Legendre functions over a restricted domain.  To utilize the power of multicore processors, CHarm can be compiled with enabled parallelization on shared-memory architectures (OpenMP).  A significant effort is put into the documentation of the library (HTML, PDF) to allow its easy use.

In this contribution, we discuss the motivation behind the development of CHarm, explain its main functionalities and demonstrate some usage case studies.  Within a high-degree closed-loop synthetic environment, we assess the numerical accuracy, the computational speed and the memory management of the library.  A discussion on the future work closes the contribution.  CHarm is available at https://edisk.cvt.stuba.sk/~xbuchab/charm/doc/index.html.

How to cite: Bucha, B.: CHarm: C library to work with spherical harmonics up to almost arbitrarily high degrees, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11206, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11206, 2022.

G2 – Reference Frames and Geodetic Observing Systems

EGU22-794 | Presentations | G2.1

The GBM Rapid Product and the Improvement from Undifferenced Ambiguity Resolution 

Zhiguo Deng, Jungang Wang, and Maorong Ge

Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) play a critical role for providing real-time positioning and navigation services, and the precise satellite orbit and clock products are essential for the high-precision GNSS applications. The International GNSS Service (IGS) and its Analysis Centers (ACs) have been working on the study on precise GNSS data processing and provision of the precise products. The German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ), as one of the ACs, also provides the multi-GNSS rapid products: the GBM product. We introduce the GBM data processing strategy, analyze the precision of GBM multi-GNSS orbits from 2015 to 2021, and present the impact of applying the undifferenced ambiguity resolution on satellite orbits. The GPS orbits of GBM products agree with the IGS final orbits at the level of 11-13 mm in the three directions, and the GPS orbit 6-hour prediction precision is around 6 cm. The 6-hour prediction precision of GLONASS is around 12 cm, slightly worse than that of GALILEO, which hold an average value of 10 cm in the same period but shows a significant improvement to around 5 cm after end of 2016. The prediction precision of BDS MEO satellites are around 10 cm, and that of the BDS GEO satellites and QZSS satellites are at the level of 1 to 3 meter. The Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) residuals show that the orbit precision of GALILEO, GLONASS, and BD3-MEO is 23 mm, 41 mm, and 47 mm, respectively. Moreover, comparing the double-differenced ambiguity resolution, adopting the undifferenced ambiguity resolution improves the 6-hour orbit prediction precision by 9-15%15-18%11-13%6-17%14-25% for the GPS, GLONASS, GALILEO, BDS-2 and BDS-3 MEO satellites, respectively.

How to cite: Deng, Z., Wang, J., and Ge, M.: The GBM Rapid Product and the Improvement from Undifferenced Ambiguity Resolution, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-794, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-794, 2022.

EGU22-1607 | Presentations | G2.1

Influence of ground station network distribution on orbit accuracy of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites 

Xingchi He, Urs Hugentobler, Anja Schlicht, Yufeng Nie, and Bingbing Duan

Since 2010s, many companies such as SpaceX, OneWeb, Amazon and Samsung showed their interests to launch hundreds and even thousands of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites for global internet service. Due to their unique characteristics compared to medium Earth orbit (MEO) and geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) satellites, these LEO mega-constellations soon draw much attention from the scientific community. Studies from constellation design, to applications such as positioning, ionosphere modelling and gravity recovery are investigated by many researchers.

Orbit determination is a key to many applications. Traditionally, onboard Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers are used to determine LEO satellite orbits. However, with thousands of satellites in space in the future, an independent system without relying on GNSS is worth to be studied. Since these LEO satellites are intended for internet service, connections between the satellites and to the ground are available by nature. But how would the distribution of a station network affect the orbit accuracy? How many stations would be sufficient to determine a precise orbit? Besides observations from ground stations, inter-satellite link (ISL) is also proposed and implemented by many current GNSSs. It already showed its potential to improve the orbits. Could this technique also be applied to the orbit determination of LEO satellites?

This simulation study investigates the influence of ground station distribution to orbit determination, as well as the benefit from ISL observations. By using a constellation with 60 LEO satellites, we show that for regional station networks, a high latitude network leads to worse orbit accuracy than a middle or low latitude network. With the help of ISL observations, orbit errors reach the same level as a global station network. We further investigate the influence of different number of stations contained in the network. The results prove that although increasing the station number could improve orbits, the improvement is minimal when the global network contains more than 16 stations. While for a regional network, even with 60 stations, the orbit errors are 1.5 times larger than for a small global network with 6 stations. This proves that the ground station distribution is more important than the number of observations. Furthermore, if the ISL technique is adopted, even a regional station network with 16 stations could be sufficient to determine an accurate orbit.

How to cite: He, X., Hugentobler, U., Schlicht, A., Nie, Y., and Duan, B.: Influence of ground station network distribution on orbit accuracy of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1607, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1607, 2022.

EGU22-1614 | Presentations | G2.1

The new COST-G deterministic signal model 

Ulrich Meyer, Heike Peter, Martin Lasser, and Adrian Jäggi

The precise orbit determination (POD) of Low Earth Orbiters (LEO), e.g. the Copernicus Sentinel Earth observation satellites, relies on the precise knowledge of the Earth gravity field and its variations with time. The most precise observation of time-variable gravity on a global scale is currently provided by the GRACE-FO satellites. But the monthly gravity field solutions are released with a latency of approx. 2 months, therefore they cannot be used for operational POD.

We present a deterministic signal model (DSM) that is fitted to the time-series of COST-G combined monthly gravity fields and describe the differences with respect to the available long-term gravity models including seasonal and secular time-variations. To validate the DSM, dynamic POD of the Sentinel-2B, -3B and -6A satellites is performed based on long-term or monthly gravity field models, and on the COST-G DSM. We evaluate the model quality on the basis of carrier phase residuals, orbit overlap analysis and independent satellite laser ranging observations, and study the limitation on orbit altitude posed by the reduced spherical harmonic resolution of the monthly models and the DSM.

The COST-G DSM is updated quarterly with the most recent GRACE-FO combined monthly gravity fields. It is foreseen to apply a sliding window approach with flexible window length to allow for an optimal adjustment in case of singular events like major earthquakes.

How to cite: Meyer, U., Peter, H., Lasser, M., and Jäggi, A.: The new COST-G deterministic signal model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1614, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1614, 2022.

The use of CubeSats is expanding in space and earth science applications due to the low costs of building and the possibility of launching them in a large low-earth orbits (LEO) constellation. Such constellation can serve as an augmentation system for positioning, navigation and timing. However, real-time precise orbit determination (POD) is still one of the challenges for this application. Real-time reduced-dynamic POD requires more processing capability than what is available in current CubeSats, and the kinematic POD highly depends on the number and the quality of the signals from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). In this study, an approach is proposed to increase the orbital accuracy by implementing the precise inter-satellite ranges in the Kinematic POD. The precise orbits of a set of CubeSats from the Spire Global constellation that are determined using the reduced-dynamic POD is to be used to generate the precise inter-satellite ranges. These ranges vary from hundreds to thousands of kilometres and are constrained in the relative kinematic POD between the tested CubeSats. The results, which depend on the length of the inter-satellite ranges, show the improvement of the orbital accuracy in all directions. An initial architecture for implementing such a method in a smart CubeSats constellation is proposed and the limitations and remedies are discussed.

How to cite: Allahvirdi-Zadeh, A. and El-Mowafy, A.: The impact of precise inter-satellite ranges on relative precise orbit determination in a smart CubeSats constellation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2215, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2215, 2022.

EGU22-2383 | Presentations | G2.1

Investigation of the flicker nature of the day-boundary differences of GNSS orbits 

Hanane Ait-Lakbir, Alvaro Santamaria, Félix Perosanz, and Jim Ray

Day-boundary orbit comparison is one of the criteria used to assess the performance of GNSS orbits. The overall statistics of orbit discontinuities such as RMS are usually computed to assess dynamical modeling and the processing configurations. Additional information about the systematic orbit errors is also accessible through their spectral content.

A particular feature is the flicker or 1/f noise describing the low-frequency band, indicating time-correlated orbital errors. This type of noise is observed not only in the orbits but also in other GNSS-derived geodetic time series such as in station positions, Earth rotation parameters,... The sources explaining this feature, either from the GNSS orbit modeling or from unaccounted orbital perturbations, are not well understood. By computing simulated orbits, we look at possible causes in the orbit determination processing.

How to cite: Ait-Lakbir, H., Santamaria, A., Perosanz, F., and Ray, J.: Investigation of the flicker nature of the day-boundary differences of GNSS orbits, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2383, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2383, 2022.

EGU22-2832 | Presentations | G2.1

Impact of thermal imbalanced radiation forces on GNSS satellite orbits 

Bingbing Duan and Urs Hugentobler

An accurate model of all the forces acting on a satellite is an essential precondition of achieving high orbit accuracy. Solar radiation pressure (SRP), the largest non-gravitational perturbation for GNSS satellites is typically modeled by an empirical model (i.e., Empirical CODE Orbit Model, ECOM/ECOM2). If satellite metadata information is available, an analytical box-wing model can be formed to reinforce the ECOM models. However, the current GNSS satellite orbits show notable degradation during eclipse seasons in particular for long-arc solutions and orbit predictions. The reason is proven to be mostly due to the ignoring of the thermal imbalanced forces (i.e., radiator emission and thermal radiation of solar panels). The ECOM parameters can compensate these thermal radiation forces fairly well outside eclipse seasons, while this is not true when satellites are inside eclipse seasons, because the Earth’s shadowing of a satellite in orbit causes periodic changes of the thermal environment. On one hand, these thermal imbalanced forces contribute also inside the shadow while inside the shadow all the ECOM parameters are deactivated. On the other hand, satellite attitude could be far from the nominal inside the shadow, making that these thermal imbalanced forces cannot be well absorbed by the ECOM parameters. To capture these thermal forces, we set up physical thermal force models for each Block type of GNSS satellites. In the absence of published thermal properties, we estimate necessary thermal modeling parameters using tracking data over long time period. With the use of the physical thermal force models, satellite orbits inside eclipse seasons are greatly improved. For instance, orbit misclosures are improved by a factor of two for BDS-3 and Galileo satellites when using the 5-parameter ECOM model.

How to cite: Duan, B. and Hugentobler, U.: Impact of thermal imbalanced radiation forces on GNSS satellite orbits, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2832, 2022.

EGU22-4834 | Presentations | G2.1

Precision of Galileo satellite orbits obtained from simulated VLBI observations 

Helene Wolf, Johannes Böhm, Axel Nothnagel, Urs Hugentobler, and Matthias Schartner

Observing Earth-orbiting satellites additionally to natural extra-galactic radio sources with Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) radio telescopes offers a variety of new possibilities and allows expanding the research activities of this highly accurate technique. The combination of observations to satellites and quasars permit the determination of the satellite orbit from VLBI observations in the terrestrial as well as in the International Celestial Reference Frame. The latter is enabled by the unique capability of VLBI to determine Universal Time UT1.

In this contribution for the first time, the precision of short satellite orbital arcs determined with simulated VLBI observations to Galileo satellites for different observation geometries using various VLBI networks and arc lengths is investigated. For this purpose, schedules including both, observations to quasars and satellites, are created using the scheduling software VieSched++. The simulations of the scheduled observations and the estimation of the satellite arcs are carried out using the Vienna VLBI and Satellite Software (VieVS). The quality of the estimated orbits is investigated and assessed based on the mean formal errors and the repeatabilities of the individual components of the satellite positions based on Monte Carlo simulations. 

How to cite: Wolf, H., Böhm, J., Nothnagel, A., Hugentobler, U., and Schartner, M.: Precision of Galileo satellite orbits obtained from simulated VLBI observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4834, 2022.

EGU22-4985 | Presentations | G2.1

Sentinel-6 Orbit Determination at the Copernicus POD Service 

Jaime Fernandez Sanchez, heike Peter, Marc Fernandez, Pierre Femenias, and Yago Andres

The Copernicus POD (Precise Orbit Determination) Service is a consortium responsible for providing orbit products and auxiliary data files from the Copernicus Sentinel-1, -2, -3, and -6 missions to the corresponding Payload Data Ground Segment (PDGS) processing chains at ESA and EUMETSAT. Products and data are also made available to external users through the ESA Copernicus Open Access Hub.

Sentinel-6 Michael Freilich launched in November 2020 is the newest satellite in the Copernicus POD Service operations. A near real-time orbit product computed based on GNSS data is delivered to EUMETSAT, acting as backup the DORIS DIODE aboard. For the first time, a combined GPS and Galileo receiver is used for POD. In addition, the satellite is equipped with a DORIS receiver and a Laser Retro Reflector for Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR). Additional GPS observations usable for POD are delivered from the POD antenna of the GNSS-RO (radio occultation) instrument. All these observations allow for various cross-comparisons between orbits from the different observation techniques and instruments. The quarterly and yearly Regular Service Reviews include validation of post-processed Sentinel-6 orbit solutions from various members of the Copernicus POD Quality Working Group (QWG).  

This contribution focuses on post-processed POD based on the combined GPS & Galileo receiver and validation with SLR done at the Copernicus POD Service. Precise orbits may be derived as single-system or combined solutions. Integer ambiguity resolution is a key technique to obtain highest accuracy orbits.

Precise orbit determination results from GPS-only, Galileo-only and combined GPS & Galileo observations with resolved integer ambiguities are presented. Cross-comparison between the different solutions, SLR validation, and comparison to other orbit solutions provided by members of the Copernicus POD QWG are shown and analysed.

How to cite: Fernandez Sanchez, J., Peter, H., Fernandez, M., Femenias, P., and Andres, Y.: Sentinel-6 Orbit Determination at the Copernicus POD Service, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4985, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4985, 2022.

EGU22-5884 | Presentations | G2.1

The Galileo for Science (G4S_2.0) project: Precise Orbit Determination for Fundamental Physics and Space Geodesy 

David Lucchesi, Marco Cinelli, Alessandro Di Marco, Emiliano Fiorenza, Carlo Lefevre, Pasqualino Loffredo, Marco Lucente, Carmelo Magnafico, Roberto Peron, Francesco Santoli, Feliciana Sapio, and Massimo Visco

G4S_2.0 is a project funded by the Italian Space Agency aiming to perform a set of Fundamental Physics measurements using the two Galileo FOC satellites GSAT0201 (Doresa) and GSAT0202 (Milena). Indeed, the orbits of these satellites are characterized by a relatively high eccentricity, about 0.16, which represents a good prerequisite for a series of tests and measurements concerning the predictions of different theories of gravitation, as compared with the General Relativity (GR) ones. The main objectives include a new measurement of the gravitational redshift effect of the on-board atomic clocks --- thanks to its modulation with the orbital period due to the high eccentricity of the orbits --- and the measurement of the main precessions of relativistic origin, primarily the Schwarzschild one.

To achieve these significant results, and possibly improve the current constraints of several theories of gravitation with respect to GR, it is of fundamental importance to take a step forward --- compared to the state of the art --- in the reliability of the dynamic model used for the orbits of the satellites and, as a direct consequence of this, in their precise orbit determination (POD). In this context, non-gravitational perturbations (NGPs) are the most subtle and difficult to model because of the complex shape of the Galileo satellites and their attitude law. In this regard, the main challenge is represented by a more refined and reliable model for the direct solar radiation pressure (SRP), the largest NGP on Galileo satellites, as well as on every satellite of every GNSS constellation.

Our final goal is to build a finite element model (FEM) of the Galileo FOC spacecraft, as refined as possible, and apply a dedicated raytracing technique to it to compute the perturbing accelerations due to radiation pressure. In view of this, we have already developed a 3D-CAD model of the spacecraft. As an intermediate step, we have built a Box-Wing (BW) model based on the relatively poor information presently available on the geometrical and physical properties of the spacecraft. This BW model has been used to compute the perturbing accelerations due to the direct SRP and to the Earth's albedo and infrared radiation.

The results obtained for the accelerations, to be included in the POD process, will be presented in various cases. Then, by computing the residuals in the orbital elements, it will be possible to verify the goodness of the POD results and observe the expected progressive improvement starting from the BW model towards the FEM one. The present analyses were made using the nominal attitude law of the Galileo FOC spacecraft; the application of this law will be discussed in the case of satellites in elliptical orbit. We finally highlight that the results of G4S_2.0 in terms of POD improvements are particularly useful for all applications of the Galileo FOC satellites in the fields of space Geodesy and Geophysics.

How to cite: Lucchesi, D., Cinelli, M., Di Marco, A., Fiorenza, E., Lefevre, C., Loffredo, P., Lucente, M., Magnafico, C., Peron, R., Santoli, F., Sapio, F., and Visco, M.: The Galileo for Science (G4S_2.0) project: Precise Orbit Determination for Fundamental Physics and Space Geodesy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5884, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5884, 2022.

EGU22-6796 | Presentations | G2.1

Geocenter motions derived from BDS: The impact of solar radiation force model 

Shi Huang, Yongqiang Yuan, Keke Zhang, and Xingxing Li

The constellation of China’s BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) has been fully constructed since July 2020 and provides open services for worldwide users. Due to the natural sensitivity of satellite technique to geocenter motion, BDS has the capability to determine the time series of geocenter coordinates (GCCs). The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of solar radiation pressure (SRP) modeling on the BDS-derived geocenter motion. To that end, 3-year sets of daily GCCs have been determined with data of BDS. The data was recorded over the period 2019-2021 by a global network of 93 iGMAS stations. Different SRP models including the empirical CODE orbit model (ECOM/ECOM2) and the a prior box-wing model have been applied for BDS geocenter estimation, respectively. We find that under the purely empirical SRP model, the peak-to-peak amplitude of geocenter z-coordinates (GCC-Zs) can reach to 10 cm. In additional, IGSOs would bring obvious jumps to GCC-Zs during earth eclipse periods. The introduction of an a priori box-wing model can largely mitigate the spurious signals in the spectra of GCC-Zs, presenting (13.0, 4.5, 2.1, 2.4) mm for the amplitude of the 1, 3, 5, 7 cpy signals, compared to (26.2, 5.9, 1.2, 2.0) mm in the ECOM case. However, the jumps brought by IGSOs still remains, which could be caused by distortion of optical properties. Therefore, we simultaneously estimate the optical properties together with other parameters in the processing. This model, known as a prior adjustable bow-wing model (ABW), appears to improve the orbit modeling in the eclipsing season and eliminate the negative influence of IGSOs on GCC-Zs, which is reflected in the decrease of spurious signal at periods other than annual one and the amplitude of the 1, 3, 5, 7 cpy signals for GCC-Zs are (16.2, 3.8, 1.4, 0.3) mm. The ABW solution is thus closer to the geocenter motions determined with other space-geodetic techniques.

How to cite: Huang, S., Yuan, Y., Zhang, K., and Li, X.: Geocenter motions derived from BDS: The impact of solar radiation force model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6796, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6796, 2022.

EGU22-6929 | Presentations | G2.1

Tropospheric corrections in GNSS orbit determination without the mapping step 

Angel Navarro Trastoy, Sebastian Strasser, Lauri Tuppi, Maksym Vasiuta, Sanam Motlaghzadeh, Markku Poutanen, Torsten Mayer-Gürr, and Heikki Järvinen

Neutral gas atmosphere bends and delays propagation of microwave signals in satellite-based navigation. Weather prediction models can be used to estimate these effects by providing 3-dimensional refraction fields for signal delay computation. In this study, a global numerical weather prediction model (Open Integrated Forecasting System (OpenIFS) licensed for Academic use by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast) is used to generate the refraction fields. The slant delays are produced using a Least Travel Time (LTT) ray-tracer. Finally, the GNSS satellite orbits are solved using the GROOPS (Gravity Recovery Object Oriented Programming System) software toolkit of the Technical University of Graz which applies the raw observation method. Specifically, our implementation supplies the slant delays directly to the orbit solver without an intermediate mapping step, i.e., mapping of zenith delay to a prescribed functional form of azimuth and elevation angles. Essentially, this removes the assumption that signal delays follow some functional form, and allows hence to take full advantage of local refraction field asymmetries in GNSS signal processing that are partially lost in the mapping procedure. Our results indicate that this has clear benefits, both in terms of accuracy of the tropospheric correction and stream-lining the information flow in GNSS processing. Our view is that this new framework exposes the synergies in space geodesy and meteorology better than the earlier approaches.

How to cite: Navarro Trastoy, A., Strasser, S., Tuppi, L., Vasiuta, M., Motlaghzadeh, S., Poutanen, M., Mayer-Gürr, T., and Järvinen, H.: Tropospheric corrections in GNSS orbit determination without the mapping step, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6929, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6929, 2022.

EGU22-7136 | Presentations | G2.1

Estimation of phase center offset corrections for Sentinel satellites 

Cyril Kobel, Daniel Arnold, and Adrian Jäggi

The Copernicus Sentinel Earth observation satellites provide crucial earth observation measurements, e.g., sea surface-height. It is of highest importance that the underlying precise orbit determination (POD) of these low Earth orbiters (LEOs) is of high accuracy. The POD is based on observations from Global Navigational Satellite Systems (GNSS). All Sentinel satellites collect measurements from the Global Positioning System (GPS), whereas Sentinel-6A additionally collects measurements from the Galileo system. To achieve highly accurate POD, it is of crucial importance to have exact knowledge of the phase center position of the LEO receiver antenna for both the GPS and Galileo measurements. The phase center position is composed of the antenna reference point (ARP) and frequency-dependent phase center offsets (PCOs) and phase center variations (PCVs). It is known that the pre-launch characterization of the LEO receiver antennas is difficult and corresponding estimates are therefore less precise than those of the ARP. This makes it necessary to apply in-flight determined corrections to the initial pre-launch values of the PCO.

Previous studies have shown that there are deficits in the PCOs of the Sentinel-1 GPS antennas. For example, different estimates of empirical orbit parameters of similar satellites point to such deficits. The aim of this study is to determine corrections to the currently used PCOs of the Sentinel-1,2,3 and 6A satellites and to investigate their variability and reliability. Initial results show that non-negligible corrections result for the PCOs of the satellites studied.

The estimation of the corrections of the PCOs is performed as part of the POD process, which is performed with the Bernese GNSS software. The application of single receiver ambiguity resolution is necessary because it improves the stability of the estimated PCOs. It is of high importance that the modeling of non-gravitational forces acting on the satellite is as accurate as possible because modeling deficits may degrade the estimation of PCOs. The influence of such modeling deficits on the PCO estimation is investigated in this study. The estimation of PCO corrections can thus serve to not only get a better accuracy of observation modelling, but also to identify potential non-gravitational force modeling deficits.

Since the Sentinel-1,2,3 satellites are identical in construction in pairs (A and B), a direct comparison of the estimated corrections of the PCOs is possible. This can serve as a measure for the plausibility of the PCO correction estimation. Because the Sentinel-3 and Sentinel-6A satellites are altimetry satellites, the radial direction is of particular importance. Therefore, it is important to investigate the possible changes in radial levelling by applying corrections to the PCO. This can be done by analyzing Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) measurements. The Sentinel-3 and Sentinel-6A satellites are equipped with SLR retroreflectors, which allows for SLR validations, which serves as a reliability test of the PCO correction estimations.

How to cite: Kobel, C., Arnold, D., and Jäggi, A.: Estimation of phase center offset corrections for Sentinel satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7136, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7136, 2022.

EGU22-7335 | Presentations | G2.1

Precise orbit determination for the maneuvering Sentinel-3 satellites 

Xinyuan Mao, Daniel Arnold, and Adrian Jäggi

Low Earth orbiting (LEO) satellites require routine maneuvers to maintain the predefined trajectories. However, spaceborne scientific instruments might suffer from data discontinuities or even anomalies due to instantaneous orbit changes caused by the performed maneuvers. With the advances of spaceborne Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) technique, the high-low satellite-to-satellite tracking observations enable us to generate high precision satellite orbits for the nominal orbit operation periods, and more importantly, also for the maneuver periods. This research will outline the recent developments of Precise Orbit Determination (POD) for  maneuvering LEO satellites at the Astronomical Institute of the University of Bern (AIUB). The Sentinel-3 mission, an European Space Agency (ESA) Earth observation satellite formation devoted to oceanography and land-vegetation monitoring, is used as test example.

A prerequisite input for this research is the maneuver information collected by the telemetry measures which clarify the maneuver time span and accelerations. Due to unavoidable in-flight software delays and hardware performance accuracy, the maneuver information may not be perfect and needs to be improved  in the POD process. Essentially two solutions are made in this research: a. estimating the full accelerations or corrections to the known maneuver accelerations, b. estimating instantaneous velocity pulses at the requested epochs. Both algorithms are tested using the Bernese GNSS Software and POD performances for the maneuver days during 2018-2020 will be assessed. Results reveal that the post-fit carrier phase residuals can be significantly reduced, ensuring better internal consistency between the reduced-dynamic and kinematic orbit solutions. Besides, a few institution members from the Copernicus POD Quality Working Group (QWG) have been routinely generating orbit products for the maneuver days, allowing for the direct cross-validations with our new AIUB products. This research implies promising benefits to the Sentinel-3 POD and scientific research community.

How to cite: Mao, X., Arnold, D., and Jäggi, A.: Precise orbit determination for the maneuvering Sentinel-3 satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7335, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7335, 2022.

EGU22-7653 | Presentations | G2.1

GNSS Satellite Force Modeling: Unveiling the Origins of the Galileo Y-bias 

Florian Dilssner, Francisco Gonzalez, Erik Schönemann, Tim Springer, and Werner Enderle

The Y-bias as present on most global navigation satellite system (GNSS) spacecraft plays an important role in precise orbit determination and prediction. Accurate knowledge about the Y-bias and its temporal variability is particularly relevant for the Galileo system in order to fulfil its once-in-a-lifetime station-keeping maneuver requirements. Despite the widely recognized importance, however, no consensus has been reached on the physical mechanism that is responsible for the Y-bias. In this presentation, we shed light on the origins of the Galileo Y-bias using temperature and attitude data series from spacecraft telemetry to analytically determine Y-bias time histories for different Galileo satellites. We start by calculating the thermal radiation pressure forces generated by the two surface radiators at the main body's +Y and -Y sides of satellite GSAT0204 over a period of five years, from the activation of the spacecraft's search and rescue payload in early 2016 to the deactivation of its navigation payload in December 2017 and beyond. The net force from both radiators yields the Y-bias as it evolves over time, with some striking discontinuities due to abrupt changes in the amount of dissipated heat after the payload units have been turned on or off. Comparison against empirical Y-bias estimates from satellite laser ranging long arc analyses proves the correctness of our Y-bias model. In addition, we report on yearly variations in the Y-bias acceleration of GSAT0101 between -0.10 nm/s² and +0.05 nm/s², leading to a secular increase in the satellite orbit's semi-major axis since January 2016. Yaw error measurements from the spacecraft's fine sun sensor (FSS) spanning 2016-2019 provide compelling evidence that these Y-bias variations originate from an attitude-related mispointing of the satellite's solar panels by a few tenths of a degree. Least square fitting of the FSS measurements led to the development of a refined yaw model for GSAT0101. As a result of this new model, estimates of the Y-bias parameter are significantly reduced in magnitude and less dependent upon the position of the sun relative to the orbit plane. Overall, our analyses provide the first hard evidence that the Galileo Y-bias is primarily of thermal origin and, contrary to popular belief, that solar panel orientation errors only play a secondary role. The implications for precise orbit determination will be discussed. In addition, our results confirm the long-standing hypothesis that Y-bias and solar panel orientation error are linearly related.

How to cite: Dilssner, F., Gonzalez, F., Schönemann, E., Springer, T., and Enderle, W.: GNSS Satellite Force Modeling: Unveiling the Origins of the Galileo Y-bias, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7653, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7653, 2022.

EGU22-7681 | Presentations | G2.1

Formation of a GNSS network in space based on LEO satellite constellations 

Lukas Müller, Kangkang Chen, and Markus Rothacher

The number of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites equipped with Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers is rapidly increasing. GNSS observations in space are no longer limited to a small number of Earth observation satellites, but the rapid development of large nanosatellite constellations enables a dense network of GNSS observations around the Earth. An example of this is the Astrocast CubeSat constellation, to which we contribute with our low-cost multi-GNSS payload board. The first 10 satellites of the Astrocast constellation have successfully been launched on 24 January 2021 (5 satellites) and 30 June 2021 (5 satellites). Further Astrocast CubeSats equipped with dual-frequency GNSS receivers will be launched in the coming years, completing a constellation of 100 satellites by 2024.

The formation of a homogeneous and highly dynamic GNSS network in space holds great potential for geodetic Earth observation, as it has some advantages over a ground-based GNSS network and GNSS observations on board single or formation-flying satellites: A space-based GNSS network can be autonomously processed in a double-difference mode without the need for ground observations, thus, GNSS signals are not affected by tropospheric refraction, and it provides a better observation geometry improving the sensitivity to certain geodetic parameters. In this study, we investigate the feasibility of forming such a space-based GNSS network for estimating geodetic parameters, namely the orbit parameters of the LEO and GNSS satellites, the antenna phase center corrections of the GNSS satellites, and the low-degree coefficients of the Earth’s gravity field including the geocenter coordinates.

We consider 3 different constellation scenarios: (1) A LEO constellation of 36 satellites uniformly distributed over 6 orbital planes with an inclination of 55° and (2) the expected configuration of the complete Astrocast constellation, with sun-synchronous polar orbits and equatorial orbits. In both cases (1) and (2), the GNSS observations are simulated with the Bernese GNSS software based on the given orbit specifications. (3) In a third scenario, we use real GNSS observations from various existing Earth observation missions, including GRACE, OSTM/Jason-2 and Swarm, which are combined to a pseudo-constellation.

For each scenario, the number of possible GNSS single- and double-differences and the corresponding baseline lengths will be computed. Based on these observations, we will examine, how well carrier-phase ambiguities can be resolved and how this depends on the constellation configuration. With a network processing of GNSS double-difference observations, we will estimate concrete parameters related to the LEO orbits, the GNSS antenna phase center corrections and the Earth’s gravity field. To estimate the expected accuracy for these parameters, we examine their sensitivity to small errors in the observation data resulting from, e.g., the force model, once-per-revolution parameters, stochastic pulses or small accelerations like ocean tide or Earth albedo effects. Based on this research, we will draw conclusions about the potential of large satellite constellations to complement or replace the existing geodetic Earth observation missions in the future.

How to cite: Müller, L., Chen, K., and Rothacher, M.: Formation of a GNSS network in space based on LEO satellite constellations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7681, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7681, 2022.

At the last EGU and AGU conferences, we have proposed and demonstrated the feasibility of a laser GNSS receiver in the LEO orbit in order to provide carrier-phase measurements on a CW laser between a LEO satellite and GNSS satellites equipped with SLR arrays. This is a novel approach in space geodesy for precise orbit determination (POD) of LEO satellites and the gravity field mapping from space. Considering that the wet delay in signal propagation is typically 67x smaller for optical than for microwaves, we have extended this laser GNSS receiver to laser occultation for atmosphere sounding where use of a modulation on a CW laser could be applied to combine this method with the GNSS radio-occultation (GNSS-RO). In that case, one could compare in LEO orbit microwave GNSS measurements and CW laser measurements between a LEO and GNSS satellites from the top of the atmosphere down to the clouds and the lower troposphere.

 

Here we propose to further extend the laser GNSS approach in space geodesy, and to demonstrate the combination of a CW laser and GNSS measurements with a ground parabolic antenna of about 60 cm diameter. The CW laser and the receiving photodiode is to be placed in the optical center and collocated with the phase center of the parabolic GNSS antenna. If the same parabolic mirror is used as an antenna to track laser and microwave GNSS measurements to a single GNSS satellite in the zenith direction, all geometry effects can be removed (geometry-free), ending up with the Galileo satellite clock and GNSS receiver clock parameter being the only parameters of such a geometry-free ground-to-space optical/microwave metrology link for Galileo. Considering that optical frequency of a CW laser, stabilized by an internal cavity, can be provided with the frequency stability of <7×10-16, it can be transformed into a microwave band (with frequency comb) and with the same level of stability used as a reference frequency of the GNSS receiver. Therefore, one can use optical frequency of a CW laser via microwave Galileo signal to compare frequency of Galileo satellite clocks or optical clocks in the timing labs. Atmosphere effects for optical band (CW laser) can be applied a priori, whereas for microwave GNSS, troposphere zenith delays (TZDs) need to be estimated with the noise level of about a few millimeters in the zenith direction. Therefore, by selecting one Galileo satellite, close to zenith from two optical clocks on the ground, all Galileo satellite-related errors will be removed including Galileo satellite clock parameter, and time and frequency of optical clocks could be compared at the 10-17 - 10-18 frequency uncertainty level. This opens up the possibility of using Galileo by the timing labs for the generation of the official time (TAI, UTC) and for metrology in space, along with the laser GNSS applications in LEO orbit for POD and atmosphere sounding that very nicely complement the microwave GNSS.

How to cite: Svehla, D.: Laser GNSS Receiver for LEO POD, Laser Occultation and Time & Frequency Transfer of Optical Clocks in the Timing Labs, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12288, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12288, 2022.

EGU22-1183 | Presentations | G2.2 | Highlight

Towards an IAG combined global GNSS velocity field 

Alvaro Santamaría, Roelof Rietbroek, Thomas Frederikse, Paul Rebischung, and Juliette Legrand

GNSS velocities estimated by different analysts can significantly differ due to the choices made concerning the GNSS data processing (corrections applied and noise level of the series), the completeness of the series, the removed position discontinuities and the alignment to a terrestrial reference frame. The position discontinuities that populate the GNSS time series have probably the biggest impact on the error or dispersion of the velocity estimates at the same sites. Even when using exactly the same position series, different analysts may provide different velocity estimates and uncertainties mainly due to the choice of removing different position discontinuities.

The IAG Joint Working Group 3.2 (2019 – 2023) aims at providing a global combined GNSS velocity field that takes into account the repeatability, the alignment and the relative weighting of the velocity estimates by different groups. We expect that this IAG’s unified GNSS velocity field will be useful for the scientific community inside, but especially outside, the geodetic community in areas such as tectonics, sea-level change and GIA modeling among others.

In this contribution, we present the current status of the global combined velocity field, aligned to the recently released ITRF2020, and based on the velocity fields provided by several other groups.

How to cite: Santamaría, A., Rietbroek, R., Frederikse, T., Rebischung, P., and Legrand, J.: Towards an IAG combined global GNSS velocity field, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1183, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1183, 2022.

EGU22-1394 | Presentations | G2.2

The preliminary realization and evaluation of BDS3 global terrestrial reference framework (CTRF2020) 

yingying ren, hu wang, and jiexian wang

The current international and regional reference frame research is mainly realized by single GPS (Global Position System) technology. With the full deployment of BDS (Beidou Navigation System), it is urgent to study and establish the corresponding terrestrial reference frame. Since 2019, the global and regional BDS service performance has been evaluated and tested, and the long-term BDS observations of MGEX (Multi GNSS Experiment) sites distributed worldwide provide the possibility for the preliminary construction of the BDS terrestrial reference frame. We aim to preliminarily realize and evaluate the CTRF2020 (COMPASS/BDS Terrestrial Reference Frame at the epoch of 2020.0) that can be expressed with the coordinates and velocities of a series of reference sites at the epoch of 2020.0. Firstly, the actual BDS global service performance evaluation reflects BDS satellite's high visibility and change trend in recent three years, which provides primary input data for the frame. Then, the BDS observations of about 100 global sites in the recent three years are calculated by PPP (Precise Point Positioning) and NET solution, to obtain the global high-precision BDS coordinate time series. Then, the BDS time series of the two solutions are fitted and compared with the IGS14 velocity field. The results show that the series accuracy of PPP-BDS and NET-BDS solutions is equivalent, and there is an mm-level systematic deviation with IGS14 solutions. The horizontal series fitting accuracy of PPP-BDS and NET-BDS solutions is better than that of the vertical direction, the accuracy of NET-BDS solution is slightly better than PPP-BDS, and the difference of fitting accuracy is 0.12, 0.13, and 0.50 mm in the NEU direction. The velocity field accuracy of PPP-BDS and NET-BDS solution is the same, and the overall three-dimensional velocity difference is less than 0.2 mm/a. The velocity fields of PPP-BDS and NET-BDS solution have little difference from IGS14, and the overall difference is less than 0.5 mm/a. Finally, we give the limitations and improvement points of CTRF2020. The preliminary realization and evaluation of CTRF2020 may be expected to provide a reference for the future realization of a comprehensive terrestrial reference framework dominated by BDS technology and supplemented by multi-source space geodetic technology.

How to cite: ren, Y., wang, H., and wang, J.: The preliminary realization and evaluation of BDS3 global terrestrial reference framework (CTRF2020), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1394, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1394, 2022.

EGU22-2985 | Presentations | G2.2

Study of common aperiodic displacements at ITRF co-location sites 

Maylis de La Serve, Paul Rebischung, Zuheir Altamimi, Xavier Collilieux, and Laurent Métivier

In historical versions of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF), the time evolution of station positions was described by piece-wise linear models. These kinematic models have been extended with exponential and logarithmic functions in ITRF2014 to account for post-seismic displacements, then with annual and semi-annual sine waves in ITRF2020 to account for the seasonal deformation of the Earth. However, part of the Earth’s surface deformation, such as inter-annual hydrological loading deformation, or high-frequency atmospheric loading deformation, is still not captured by such deterministic functions.

A reference frame in the form of a time series could allow such aperiodic displacements to be taken into account. This would require the aperiodic motions sensed by the different space geodetic techniques to be tied in a common frame by means of co-motion constraints. However, common aperiodic displacements between co-located space geodetic stations have not been evidenced at a global scale so far, and the relevance of such constraints is thus debatable. In this study, in order to investigate the possible existence of common aperiodic displacements at ITRF co-location sites, we use the solutions provided by the technique services for ITRF2014. Those solutions are first carefully aligned to a common reference frame in order to minimize differential network effects and obtain comparable position time series across techniques. The obtained position time series are then cleaned from linear, post-seismic and periodic signals (including seasonal deformation and technique systematic errors). The remaining aperiodic displacements are finally inter-compared at co-location sites.

Modest correlations are thus evidenced between the GNSS residual position time series and the other space geodetic techniques, mostly in the vertical component. The magnitude of the common aperiodic displacements evidenced in this study is finally discussed.

How to cite: de La Serve, M., Rebischung, P., Altamimi, Z., Collilieux, X., and Métivier, L.: Study of common aperiodic displacements at ITRF co-location sites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2985, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2985, 2022.

EGU22-3221 | Presentations | G2.2 | Highlight

A Sequentially Estimated Terrestrial Reference Frame: JTRF2020 

Richard Gross, Claudio Abbondanza, T. Mike Chin, Mike Heflin, and Jay Parker

JPL's newly developed software for determining terrestrial reference frames, known as SREF (Square-root REference Frame filter), has been used to produce JTRF2020, a combined terrestrial reference frame determined from the input SINEX files submitted by the IVS, IGS, ILRS, and IDS for ITRF2020. SREF, being based upon a square-root information filter and smoother, determines the reference frame sequentially from the input station position time series. Incorporating process noise in SREF, determined from geophysical fluid loading models, allows the observed station positions to be smoothed between discontinuities caused by earthquakes and equipment changes. Reference frames determined by SREF, like JTRF2020, are represented by this set of smoothed station position time series. SREF also fits a model (consisting of a piecewise linear trend, annual and semi-annual periodic terms, and a sum of exponential terms to represent postseismic motion) to the station's observations and uses the model to fill gaps in the station's observing history, to forecast the position of the station after it stopped observing, and to hindcast its position before it started observing. The result of using SREF to determine JTRF2020 will be presented.

How to cite: Gross, R., Abbondanza, C., Chin, T. M., Heflin, M., and Parker, J.: A Sequentially Estimated Terrestrial Reference Frame: JTRF2020, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3221, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3221, 2022.

EGU22-3417 | Presentations | G2.2

Assessment of IDS contribution to ITRF2020 

Janusz Bogusz, Anna Klos, and Guilhem Moreaux

We examine DORIS (Doppler Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite) position time series processed by the IDS (International DORIS Service) within “ids21wd02” reprocessing, serving as an official input into the newest International Terrestrial Reference Frame, namely ITRF2020. The ids21wd02 set includes the North, East and Up coordinate time series of the 201 stations located at the 87 DORIS sites since 1993.0. These coordinate time series were delivered by the IDS as a byproduct of the IDS contribution to the 2020 realization of ITRF (International Terrestrial Reference Frame). From a number of 201 stations distributed globally, we choose a number of 115 sites, whose time series are longer than 5 years.  Position time series are carefully pre-processed by means of removing outliers and offsets. To reliably describe the DORIS position time series, we use a time series model of long-term non-linear signal, linear trend, seasonal oscillations and a stochastic part. Both deterministic and stochastic components are determined using maximum likelihood estimation. Our analysis is performed in three different ways. Firstly, we search for a preferred noise model and demonstrate, that there is an ongoing improvement of noise parameters over years. This is related to the persisting improvement in background models, antenna types, etc. Then, both deterministic and stochastic parameters are compared to the ITRF2014 IDS solution, to find the usefulness of a newly applied models or strategies, especially to prove an impact of the new C STAREC antenna type. Finally, we compare DORIS position time series to the GPS (Global Positioning System) position time series for a number of 267 co-located stations (official input of International GNSS Service into ITRF2020); both deterministic and stochastic components are compared, with a special attention paid to the differences of velocities and their errors, as they are employed for kinematic reference frames realization or in geodynamical interpretations.

How to cite: Bogusz, J., Klos, A., and Moreaux, G.: Assessment of IDS contribution to ITRF2020, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3417, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3417, 2022.

EGU22-3897 | Presentations | G2.2

DORIS Assessment of the 2020 ITRF Realizations 

Guilhem Moreaux

In the context of the 2020 realization of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame, the three IERS Production Centers (DGFI, IGN and JPL) delivered three independent solutions from the contributions of the four space geodetic techniques (DORIS, GNSS, SLR and VLBI). Even if these three ITRF2020 realizations are based on the same input, they differ on several points such as the space geodetic techniques weighting, the coordinate time series discontinuities and on the modelling of the station displacements.

In this study, we use the coordinate time series of the two hundred DORIS stations from 1993.0 to 2021.0 as benchmark to investigate the characteristics of the three ITRF2020 realizations. This set of DORIS station positions correspond to the 1456 weekly solutions delivered by the International DORIS Service (IDS) as the DORIS contribution to the ITRF2020.

After presentation of the overall performance of these three TRF realizations in terms of geocenter, scale and mean velocities, we assess the quality of the weekly restitution of the DORIS station positions by the DTRF2020, ITRF2020 and JTRF2020 solutions. Then, we make benefit of the almost complete year (2021) since the ending of the ITRF2020 time period to evaluate these three 2020 ITRF solutions in terms of prediction of the DORIS station positions.

How to cite: Moreaux, G.: DORIS Assessment of the 2020 ITRF Realizations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3897, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3897, 2022.

EGU22-3958 | Presentations | G2.2 | Highlight

ITRF2020: main results and key performance indicators 

Zuheir Altamimi, Paul Rebischung, Xavier Collilieux, Laurent Metivier, and Kristel Chanard

More than 30 years of space geodetic data have been reprocessed
by the International Association of Geodesy technique services
and submitted to compute the new realization of the
International Terrestrial Reference System (ITRS). The new
realization, ITRF2020, is intended to replace ITRF2014. It is
provided in the form of an augmented reference frame so that in
addition to station positions and velocities, parametric
functions for both post-seismic deformation (PSD) and seasonal
signals (expressed in the Center of Mass frame derived from
Satellite Laser Ranging data) will also be delivered to the
users. The presentation summarizes the main results of ITRF2020
analysis and evaluates its internal consistency via some key
performance indicators. In particular, the paper discusses the
level of the scale agreement between the four techniques, its
linear and nonlinear time evolution, and the strategy adopted
for the ITRF2020 scale definition. In addition, we evaluate the
performance of the parametric functions for both seasonal
signals and PSD and the level of consistency between the four
techniques at colocation sites.

How to cite: Altamimi, Z., Rebischung, P., Collilieux, X., Metivier, L., and Chanard, K.: ITRF2020: main results and key performance indicators, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3958, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3958, 2022.

EGU22-4436 | Presentations | G2.2

LEO-based solution of GPS PCOs and impact on terrestrial scale 

Wen Huang, Benjamin Männel, Andreas Brack, and Harald Schuh

The deviations of phase center offsets (PCOs) of GPS satellites were and still are significant bias sources for GPS-based terrestrial reference frames (TRF). Because of the strong correlation between the scale of the TRF and the satellite PCOs in the z-direction (z-PCOs), a no-net-scale (NNT) condition relative to, for instance, the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF) is commonly applied. Based on the released Galileo metadata, the GPS z-PCOs have been calibrated without introducing a scale determined by other techniques in the third re-processing of the International GNSS Service (IGS). Another approach purely based on GNSS is by integrating low Earth orbiters (LEOs) into the estimation of the GPS z-PCOs and the realization of the scale. Within this study, we estimated the GPS z-PCOs based on zero-difference ionosphere-free observations from six low LEOs and ground networks with different numbers of stations in 2019 and 2020. Besides the study based on six LEOs in two years, a twelve-year-based estimation of GPS z-PCOs and scale realization is done by using the two satellites of the GRACE mission.

We jointly estimate orbits (GPS and LEOs), station coordinates, z-PCOs of GPS satellites, and some other parameters in an integrated processing. The NNT condition on the ground network is not applied in the processing. By adding six LEOs, the correlation coefficients between the GPS z-PCOs and the scale is reduced significantly (from about 0.85 to 0.30). It means that the GPS z-PCOs and the scale have been decorrelated efficiently, and consequently the precision of the estimation is improved. For GPS satellites operated in 2019 and 2020, excluding GPS III, their estimated z-PCOs have an average difference of -231 mm compared to the values in igs14_2134.atx and the corresponding scale to the IGS14 reference frame is +1.89 part per billion. These results agree well with the solutions based on the metadata of Galileo. The improvement due to different numbers of LEOs and the impact of LEO z-PCO errors on the estimation is studied, where more LEOs decorrelate the GPS z-PCOs and the scale more efficiently. The accuracy of the LEO z-PCOs is critical to the solution. A one-millimeter accuracy of the z-PCOs of the LEOs is required to achieve a one-millimeter scale on the surface of the Earth. Thanks to the long-term available data of LEO missions in the last decade and even longer, the LEO-based method has an advantage on the real-data-based estimation of PCOs of former GPS satellites over the Galileo-based method. The z-PCOs of satellites of GPS blocks IIA, IIR, IIRM, and IIF are estimated by integrating the two GRACE satellites from 2004 to 2015. A twelve-year scale relative to the ITRF is realized simultaneously. The performance of the LEO-based method is shown by the long-time series.  

How to cite: Huang, W., Männel, B., Brack, A., and Schuh, H.: LEO-based solution of GPS PCOs and impact on terrestrial scale, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4436, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4436, 2022.

EGU22-5116 | Presentations | G2.2

Evaluation of the IVS contribution to the ITRF2020 

Hendrik Hellmers, Sadegh Modiri, Sabine Bachmann, Daniela Thaller, Mathis Bloßfeld, Manuela Seitz, and John Gipson

The ITRF2020 is the upcoming realization of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame. As the successor of the ITRF2014, it is based on an inter-technique combination of all four space-geodetic techniques, i.e., VLBI, GNSS, SLR and DORIS, and it is based on contributions from different institutions around the world. In this context, the Combination Centre of the International VLBI Service for Geodesy and Astrometry (IVS) – operated by the Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (BKG, Germany) and the Deutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut (DGFI-TUM, Germany) – generates the VLBI intra-technique combination for ITRF2020 utilizing the individual contributions of multiple IVS Analysis Centres (AC).

For the contribution to the ITRF2020 solution, sessions containing 24h VLBI observations from 1979 until the end of 2020 are reprocessed by 11 ACs and submitted to the IVS Combination Centre. All individual sessions include datum-free normal equations containing station coordinates and source positions as well as full sets of Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) in the required SINEX format. For ensuring consistently combined solutions, time series of EOP and station coordinates, as well as a VLBI-only Terrestrial Reference Frame (VTRF), have been investigated.

This contribution focuses on detailed investigations concerning the session-dependency of the scale and the impact of the individual AC contributions to the combination. Thereby significant differences of the scale estimates from the different session types are investigated. Also, the evaluation of the ACs’ contributions to the combined solution will be presented.

How to cite: Hellmers, H., Modiri, S., Bachmann, S., Thaller, D., Bloßfeld, M., Seitz, M., and Gipson, J.: Evaluation of the IVS contribution to the ITRF2020, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5116, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5116, 2022.

EGU22-5212 | Presentations | G2.2

The ILRS Analysis Centers’ Report on the Evaluation of ITRF2020P 

Erricos C. Pavlis, Vincenza Luceri, Antonio Basoni, David Sarrocco, Magdalena Kuzmicz-Cieslak, Keith Evans, and Giuseppe Bianco

The member ACs of the ILRS Analysis Standing Committee—ASC, evaluated the preliminary release of ITRF2020—ITRF2020P.  For the most part, this evaluation is based on the reanalysis of part or all of the SLR data from geodetic spherical targets in the model; in particular, we focused on the two LAGEOS and two Etalons from 1993 to the end of 2020, extended by one year of data NOT included in the model: all of 2021. The evaluation report was submitted to ITRS for consideration in the finalization of the ITRF2020 model. Some ACs used additional data that do not contribute to ITRF development for testing. The reanalysis used the same improved modeling that was used for the development of the ILRS contribution to ITRF2020.

We will focus on the implementation of the new approach in handling systematic errors at the stations and how users will need to adapt their data analysis procedures to benefit the most from the new model. The 2021 ILRS contribution to ITRF2020 minimized the scale difference between SLR and VLBI below 2 mm (ITRF2014 ~9 mm). The reanalysis incorporates an improved “target signature” model (CoG) for better separation of true systematic errors from errors in describing the target’s signature. This model will be periodically updated from now on, so that it represents accurately the state of operations at all sites in the ILRS network of tracking stations. SLR data users should make sure from now on to use each ITRF model with the appropriate (consistent) Data Handling file and “target signature” model.

The presentation will provide an overview of the analysis procedures and models, and it will demonstrate the level of improvement with respect to the previous ILRS product series, focusing especially on the Core ILRS sites.

How to cite: Pavlis, E. C., Luceri, V., Basoni, A., Sarrocco, D., Kuzmicz-Cieslak, M., Evans, K., and Bianco, G.: The ILRS Analysis Centers’ Report on the Evaluation of ITRF2020P, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5212, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5212, 2022.

EGU22-5530 | Presentations | G2.2

Compatibility between the preliminary ITRF2020 solution and GNSS antenna phase center offsets 

Arturo Villiger, Rolf Dach, Lars Prange, Daniel Arnold, Maciek Kalarus, Stefan Schaer, Pascal Stebler, and Adrian Jäggi

The release of the next International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF) 2020 is based on the four geodetic techniques, namely Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR), Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI), Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), and Doppler Orbitography and Radio-positioning Integrated by Satellite instrument (DORIS). The upcoming release will presumably define the scale based on the first two techniques.

The GNSS scale is mainly driven by the z-component of the satellite antenna phase center offsets. With the disclosure of the Galileo metadata by the European GNSS Agency (GSA) the satellite antenna pattern became available to the public and enabled the GNSS scale determination.

We aim to analyze the consistency between the preliminary ITRF 2020 solution and the GNSS based scale. In addition, we will extend our study with all available TRF solutions and compare their consistency with the GNSS derived scale and discuss the resulting comparisons. 

How to cite: Villiger, A., Dach, R., Prange, L., Arnold, D., Kalarus, M., Schaer, S., Stebler, P., and Jäggi, A.: Compatibility between the preliminary ITRF2020 solution and GNSS antenna phase center offsets, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5530, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5530, 2022.

EGU22-5578 | Presentations | G2.2

Analysis of spatio-temporal correlations of IGS repro3 station position time series 

Yujiao Niu, Paul Rebischung, Zuheir Altamimi, Na Wei, and Min Li

Temporally and spatially correlated noise has long been reported in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) station position time series. Accounting for the temporal correlations of the noise is crucial to obtain realistic uncertainties for deterministic parameters, e.g., station velocities, while accounting for its spatial correlations is beneficial to various applications such as offset detection, velocity estimation and detection of local geophysical signals. The origins of the spatio-temporally correlated noise in GNSS series are however still unclear, and a realistic spatio-temporal noise model also remains to be elaborated. In this study, we therefore analysed GNSS residual time series from the International GNSS Service (IGS) third reprocessing (repro3), corrected from loading deformation models, with the purpose of characterizing and modeling their spatio-temporal correlations in detail.

We first estimated spectral correlation coefficients as a function of both the distance between GNSS stations and the temporal frequency. Different spatial correlation regimes could thus be evidenced for different frequency bands. Spatial correlations are in particular higher, and range longer distances, at the frequencies of the periodic (e.g., draconitic, fortnightly) errors in GNSS time series. Broadband spatial correlations are consequently reduced when these periodic errors are filtered out from the series.

To investigate possible spatial non-stationarities of the noise, we then estimated its spatial covariance, as a function of the distance between stations, over different regions. While the estimated spatial covariance is similar to the global average in Europe, Eastern US and Australia, it is consistently higher in Eastern South America, New Zealand and Western US. This may point to a partially geophysical origin of the spatially correlated noise in the latter regions, possibly attributable to unmodeled hydrological loading and tectonic deformation, respectively.

We finally converted the globally averaged spatial covariance of the residual repro3 series into a spatial power spectrum, i.e., power as a function of the spherical harmonic degree. It thus turns out that the average spatial covariance is well described by a spatial power-law model attenuated at the lowest degrees.

How to cite: Niu, Y., Rebischung, P., Altamimi, Z., Wei, N., and Li, M.: Analysis of spatio-temporal correlations of IGS repro3 station position time series, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5578, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5578, 2022.

EGU22-6387 | Presentations | G2.2

On the contribution of global, local, and tropospheric ties to TRF and CRF in GNSS and VLBI integrated solution 

Jungang Wang, Maorong Ge, Susanne Glaser, Kyriakos Balidakis, Robert Heinkelmann, and Harald Schuh

The international celestial and terrestrial reference frames (ICRF and ITRF) are two important realizations of the global geodetic reference frame (GGRF). As the basis for high-accuracy astrometry and space exploration, ICRF is currently determined by the Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) technique solely and independently from the ITRF, whereas a consistent determination of TRF and CRF by a combination of different techniques is highly desirable. We conduct the Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) and VLBI integrated processing on the observation level and investigate the impact of applying global ties (that is, Earth Orientation Parameters, EOP), local ties, and tropospheric ties on the precision of both TRF and CRF. The GNSS and VLBI observations in VLBI continuous campaigns from CONT05 to CONT17 are processed simultaneously in the common least-squares estimator using the Positioning And Navigation Data Analyst (PANDA) software. We present that the precision of the VLBI station coordinates is significantly improved in the integrated solution, such as the horizontal components by global ties and the vertical components by local and tropospheric ties. Focusing on the precision of active galactic nuclei (AGN) coordinates, we demonstrate that the global ties can slightly reduce the AGN coordinate formal errors by up to 4%, and the local ties mainly improve the declination precision by about 10%. As for the tropospheric ties, the formal error of AGN coordinate can be reduced by 10% on average, and the repeatability can also be improved, especially the declination (10%). Moreover, the southern AGN are more improved than the northern ones, due to the observation geometry of the VLBI ground station distribution.

How to cite: Wang, J., Ge, M., Glaser, S., Balidakis, K., Heinkelmann, R., and Schuh, H.: On the contribution of global, local, and tropospheric ties to TRF and CRF in GNSS and VLBI integrated solution, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6387, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6387, 2022.

EGU22-6932 | Presentations | G2.2 | Highlight

The ITRS 2020 realization of DGFI-TUM: DTRF2020 

Manuela Seitz, Detlef Angermann, Matthias Glomsda, Mathis Bloßfeld, Sergei Rudenko, and Julian Zeitlhöfler

As one of the ITRS Combination Centres of the IERS, DGFI-TUM is in charge of computing an ITRS 2020 realisation. Since the ITRS 2014 realisation, many innovations have occurred. These include the six years longer observation period, but also new observation stations and satellites, and the use of refined background models in the analysis of the space-geodetic techniques. In addition, the combination strategy of the DTRF has also been improved. Namely, non-tidal loading (NTL) corrections over the full observation period and for all three components (atmospheric, hydrological and oceanic) are taken into account, as well as modelled post-seismic deformations (PSD). Both corrections are carried out - according to the combination strategy of DGFI-TUM - on the level of the normal equation (NEQ) by reducing each input NEQ.

Due to all the improvements mentioned above, ranging from observation to analysis and combination, it can be assumed that all ITRS 2020 realisations are not only more up-to-date but also more accurate than their predecessors. In the presentation, we demonstrate the DTRF2020 solution as well as first comparisons and analyses. We will also present the DTRF2020 release which will include SINEX files and an EOP file, plus the time series of SLR translations, NTL and PSD corrections, and station position residuals.

How to cite: Seitz, M., Angermann, D., Glomsda, M., Bloßfeld, M., Rudenko, S., and Zeitlhöfler, J.: The ITRS 2020 realization of DGFI-TUM: DTRF2020, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6932, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6932, 2022.

EGU22-9240 | Presentations | G2.2

Local Tie Analysis at Fundamental Sites in the CONT17 Campaign 

Iván Herrera Pinzón and Markus Rothacher


In this contribution we highlight the challenges of the combination of space geodetic techniques through local ties, during the rigorous estimation of geodetic parameters, for the realisation of a global Terrestrial Reference Frame (TRF). Local ties at geodetic fundamental sites play an important role in the determination of a TRF, providing the necessary links to connect the different geodetic techniques. Moreover, the growing demands on the accuracy and stability of the ITRF, have turned the analysis of the quality of these ties into a crucial element to achieve a highly consistent frame, providing additionally the opportunity to identify technique-specific systematic biases  when comparing the space geodetic results with local measurements.

To study the impact of the local ties at fundamental sites, we use the Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) observations collected during the CONT17 campaign, together with simultaneous Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations of a subset of the International GNSS Service (IGS) global network. To this end, our approach performs the rigorous estimation of all parameter types common to the two techniques, namely station coordinates, troposphere zenith delays and gradients, and the full set of five Earth Orientation Parameters (EOPs) and their rates, and we include their full variance-covariance information during the combination process. In the central step of this processing scheme, we realise the GNSS-VLBI combination via the "official" ITRF coordinate ties, using and evaluating different weighting schemes, to obtain a unique set of consistent parameters. Moreover, we study the impact of tropospheric ties between the collocated VLBI and GNSS stations, which are essential for the height estimates. Thus, based on the analysis of the station coordinate repeatabilities and the characteristics and behaviour of the EOPs, we discuss the impact of the accuracy and weighting of the local coordinate and troposphere ties on the estimation of the different geodetic parameters.

How to cite: Herrera Pinzón, I. and Rothacher, M.: Local Tie Analysis at Fundamental Sites in the CONT17 Campaign, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9240, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9240, 2022.

EGU22-10229 | Presentations | G2.2

Solution-Level Fast Constraints Transformations with Case Studies for GNSS Networks 

Lin Wang, Dimitrios Ampatzidis, Antonios Mouratidis, and Kyriakos Balidakis

The Hermert-like constrain condition is commonly used in various space geodetic reference frame alignment and reference frame definition, this often demands discussions on the proper constrain strength, selection of fiducial network, and more. Thus, the published and constrained reference frame products/solutions are often demanded the transformation to alternative constrain condition due to the area of interest change, reduction of the coverage, or other reasons.

We present an efficient methodology to transform reference reframe product to a posterior selection of the constrained condition from the product which either minimum or redundant datum constraints have been imposed. This analytical methodology significantly reduces the computation effort for datum alignment, especially for the large GNSS network. By avoiding the expensive normal equation system reconstruction and the subsequent inversion thereof, we achieved computational complexity reduction with an inversion of an auxiliary matrix of up to 14X14 dimension, while the computation is validated analytically as well as numerically to the truncation error level. This Fast Constraints Transformation (FCT) method can be conveniently applied to the widely used space geodetic solution files following the Solution Independent Exchange (SINEX) format, especially with our provided software package written in Matlab. We validate and evaluated FCT with two globally distributed GNSS-derived solutions and one South America terrestrial reference frame. The results confirm the numerical equivalence of the classical method and FCT. We also present the discussion on the computation efficiency with the above networks as well as numerical simulations. For the large network of up to 5000 stations, The FCT accelerates the transformation by more than 100 times compared to the classical strategy.

FCT method could serve as a beneficial procedure to many TRF-related applications, including but not limited to:

  • Deploy Over Constain condition to an existing solution
  • Transforming an Over Constrained solution to a Minimal Constrained solution
  • Re-computation of a specified Minimal Constrained solution from an Over Constained or loosely-constrained solution.
  • For global networks with a large number of stations the FCT significantly reduces the computation effort.
  • For the cases of regional and local TRFs, the methodology shows significant advantages since the final product can be considered an Over Constrain solution.
  • FCT could be applied for local and regional networks removing the imposed constraints and deriving the initial GNSS network.

How to cite: Wang, L., Ampatzidis, D., Mouratidis, A., and Balidakis, K.: Solution-Level Fast Constraints Transformations with Case Studies for GNSS Networks, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10229, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10229, 2022.

EGU22-10320 | Presentations | G2.2

Evaluation of the ITRF2020P reference frame by means of Satellite Laser Observations (SLR) data analysis 

Andreja Susnik, Graham Appleby, and Jose Rodriguez

SLR data of LAGEOS-1/2 and Etalon-1/2 satellites were used for generating weekly solution sets containing station coordinates, Earth Rotation Parameters, as well as accommodating systematic range errors, for the period from 1993 to 2020. The solutions follow the approach developed within the ILRS Analysis Standing Committee, with smoothed systematic range errors applied to station range normal points where required. The satellite centre-of-mass corrections developed by Rodriguez et al (2019), and his continuing updates, were applied to the NP ranges. The solutions were used for an evaluation of the ITRF2020P reference frame and to conduct comparisons to ITRF2014. Following our previous investigations into the impact on the scale of the ITRF of systematic range errors, we investigate in particular the difference in scale of the reference frame from our current solutions when mapped using weekly Helmert transformations onto ITRF2014 and onto ITRF2020P.

How to cite: Susnik, A., Appleby, G., and Rodriguez, J.: Evaluation of the ITRF2020P reference frame by means of Satellite Laser Observations (SLR) data analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10320, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10320, 2022.

EGU22-10401 | Presentations | G2.2

The GOP DORIS analysis center: data processing and innovation strategy 

Petr Stepanek and Vratislav Filler

Geodesy Observatory Pecný (GOP) analysis center is one of the International DORIS Service (IDS) analysis centers. GOP fully contributed to the IDS combination of the ITRF2020, reaching various improvements in comparison to the ITRF2014 reprocessing. GOP also participates in the IDS operational solutions. A major progress has been reached in the data preprocessing strategy, South Atlantic Anomaly mitigation and satellite orbit & attitude modeling.  improvements in the internal strategy together with an updating of external models to the recent standards resulted in the significant improvement in the station positioning including of the stability of the transformation parameter time series. Also the pole coordinates estimation accuracy has been increased. This improvement is illustrated comparing the statistics of GOP contributions to the IDS combination for the ITRF2014 and ITRF2020. Important improvement in the GOP processing capability is the adaption of the software tools to the RINEX data processing, getting closer to raw DORIS measurement. In addition, we present initial results of the data processing and a modeling verification for the post-ITRF2020 data from the DORIS satellites Sentinel-6A, HY-2C and HY-2D.

How to cite: Stepanek, P. and Filler, V.: The GOP DORIS analysis center: data processing and innovation strategy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10401, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10401, 2022.

EGU22-13464 | Presentations | G2.2

Investigating the VLBI scale behavior 

Karine Le Bail, Tobias Nilsson, Rüdiger Haas, and Fredrik Nyström Lindé

Preliminary results of the ITRF2020 show that the Very Long Baseline Interferometry 
(VLBI) solution appears to have a scale problem, with larger scatter of the scale factor and a 
potential scale drift after around 2014. There are several possible reasons that have been 
brought into discussion, ranging from specific VLBI stations having technical problems to 
the use of various geophysical models in the VLBI data analysis, such as atmospheric 
pressure loading and post-seismic deformation models, and other models to account for, e.g., 
thermal and gravitational deformation of radio telescopes. This work focuses on the impact of 
such reasons on the VLBI scale. We first investigate the VLBI contribution of the Onsala 
Observatory which made used of the software package ASCOT and that enters in the IVS 
combined solution, and we then expand to the IVS combined solution and other individual 
contributions. 

How to cite: Le Bail, K., Nilsson, T., Haas, R., and Nyström Lindé, F.: Investigating the VLBI scale behavior, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13464, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13464, 2022.

EGU22-306 | Presentations | G2.3

Assessment of global and regional ionospheric maps over Brazil using simulated kinematic precise point positioning. 

Loram Siqueira, Joao Francisco Galera Monico, and Claudinei Rodrigues de Aguiar

Precise point positioning (PPP) is an available solution for one-frequency receivers if the ionosphere delay is informed during the data processing. Such information may be retrieved from the ionospheric maps, which can have a global or regional coverage. IGS has traditionally being providing them globally, throughout different analyses centers. On the other hand, regional products have been increasingly catching the interest of the scientific community.  Regional Ionosphere Maps (RIM) will use local active GNSS networks with multi-frequency receivers to model and represent the ionospheric delays. Because of the larger amount of information from a specific region, which may lack in the global products, the representation can be better and show improvements for areas where the ionosphere is more active. For the South American area, studies have been conducted using active networks. GIB (Brazilian Ionospheric Grid) was developed in 2010 and computes regional maps using GPS data from the Brazilian Continuous Monitoring Stations (RBMC). More recently (2018) the Meteorología espacial, Atmosfera terrestre, Geodesia, Geodinámica, diseño Instrumental y Astrometría (MAGGIA) made available its regional product covering the same area using GNSS data from Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina. Presently we are verging to the beginning of the next solar cycle and understanding the availability of global and regional products for ionosphere correction, and its level of accuracy will be a crucial information to be hold. In this contribution, an evaluation of four products was performed using kinematic PPP for the day 80 of 2021, of course with a reduced amount of data. The global products (CODE and GFZ) used the IGS network on its construction. A reference station from RBMC, with known coordinates was used as the ground truth to determine the accuracy of each product using a simulated PPP kinematics. with residuals and needed system transformation the accuracy and precision for each product was acquired. Overall results show that the MAGGIA product presents the best accuracy, followed by the GFZ, IGS and GIB. For this analysis it was possible to conclude that two elements play an important role when creating ionosphere maps: not only the regional characterization but also using multi constellation GNSS data will play a key role in the products quality. MAGGIA and GIB, both regional products, obtained the best and the worse results, respectively and the major difference being the use of only one GNSS constellation (GIB) and multiple GNSS constellations (MAGGIA) for its calculation.

How to cite: Siqueira, L., Francisco Galera Monico, J., and Rodrigues de Aguiar, C.: Assessment of global and regional ionospheric maps over Brazil using simulated kinematic precise point positioning., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-306, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-306, 2022.

EGU22-762 | Presentations | G2.3

Zero-height geopotential level estimation for the homogenization and modernization of the Vertical Datum of Greece 

Vassilios D. Andritsanos, Vassilios N. Grigoriadis, Dimitrios Natsiopoulos, and Georgios S. Vergos

Within the frame of the “Modernization of the Hellenic Gravity Network” project, the homogenization of the Hellenic Vertical Datum is investigated. Two study areas in northern and southern Greece were selected, where the zero-level geopotential value Wo is estimated for each area. Additionally, a combined value is also estimated using a weighted least squares adjustment of Helmert orthometric heights and surface gravity values, that were recently measured, as well as recent global geopotential models. The biases in the vertical datum between northern and southern Greece are investigated through the comparison with a global conventional value. The validation of the results can lead to valuable conclusions on the possibility of a contemporary definition of the Hellenic Vertical Datum.

How to cite: Andritsanos, V. D., Grigoriadis, V. N., Natsiopoulos, D., and Vergos, G. S.: Zero-height geopotential level estimation for the homogenization and modernization of the Vertical Datum of Greece, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-762, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-762, 2022.

EGU22-2070 | Presentations | G2.3

An Update on the GGOS Bureau of Networks and Observations 

Michael Pearlman, Dirk Behrend, Allison Craddock, Erricos Pavlis, Jérôme Saunier, Riccardo Barzaghi, Elizabeth Bradshaw, Claudia Carabajal, Daniela Thaller, Benjamin Maennel, Ryan Hippenstiel, Roland Pail, Ck Shum, Nicholas Brown, Sandra Blevins, and Laura Sanchez

The GGOS Bureau of Networks and Observations works with the IAG Services (IVS, ILRS, IGS, IDS, IGFS, IERS, and PSMSL) to advocate for the expansion and modernization of space geodetic networks for the maintenance and improvement of the reference frame and other applications, as well as for the integration of the techniques.  Of particular interest is the integration of gravimetric and tide gauge networks in view of the forthcoming establishment of a new absolute gravity reference frame and of the International Height Reference System/Frame. New sites are being established following the GGOS concept of “core” and co-location sites, and new technologies are being implemented to enhance performance in data yield as well as accuracy. 

The IAG Committees and Joint Working Groups play an essential role in the Bureau activity. The Standing Committee on Performance Simulations and Architectural Trade-offs (PLATO) uses simulation and analysis techniques to project future network capability and to examine trade-off options. The Committee on Data and Information is working on a strategy for a GGOS metadata system for data products and a more comprehensive long-term plan for an all-inclusive system. The Committee on Satellite Missions is working to enhance communication with the space missions, to advocate for missions that support GGOS goals and to enhance ground systems support. The IERS Working Group on Site Survey and Co-location (also participating in the Bureau) is working to enhance standardization in procedures, outreach and to encourage new survey groups to participate and improve procedures to determine systems’ reference points, a crucial aid in the detection of technique-specific systematic errors.

We will give a brief update on the status and projection of the network infrastructure for the next several years, and the progress and plans of the Committees/Working Groups in their critical role in enhancing data product quality and accessibility to the users, scientists and the general community.   

 

How to cite: Pearlman, M., Behrend, D., Craddock, A., Pavlis, E., Saunier, J., Barzaghi, R., Bradshaw, E., Carabajal, C., Thaller, D., Maennel, B., Hippenstiel, R., Pail, R., Shum, C., Brown, N., Blevins, S., and Sanchez, L.: An Update on the GGOS Bureau of Networks and Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2070, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2070, 2022.

EGU22-2523 | Presentations | G2.3

Towards an international standard for the precise determination of physical heights 

Laura Sanchez, Jianliang Huang, Riccardo Barzaghi, and Georgios S. Vergos

Measuring, studying, and understanding global change effects demand unified geodetic reference frames with (i) an order of accuracy higher than the magnitude of the effects to be observed, (ii) consistency and reliability worldwide, and (iii) long-term stability. The development of the International Terrestrial Reference System (ITRS) and its realisation, the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF), enable the precise description of the Earth’s geometry by means of geocentric Cartesian coordinates with an accuracy at the cm-level and with global consistency. An equivalent high-precise global physical reference system that provides the basis for the consistent determination of gravity field-related coordinates worldwide, in particular geopotential differences or physical heights is missing. Without a conventional global height system, most countries are using local height systems, which have been implemented individually, applying in general non-standardised procedures. It is proven that their combination in a global frame presents discrepancies at the metre level. Therefore, a core objective of the international geodetic community is to establish an international standard for the precise determination of physical heights. This standard is known as the International Height Reference System (IHRS). Its realisation has been a main topic of research during the last years. Recent achievements concentrate on (1) compiling detailed standards, conventions, and guidelines for the IHRS realisation, (2) evaluating computational approaches for the consistent determination of potential differences, and (3) designing an operational infrastructure that ensures the maintenance and long-term stability of the IHRS and its realization. This contribution summarises advances and current challenges in the establishment, realization and sustainability of the IHRS.

How to cite: Sanchez, L., Huang, J., Barzaghi, R., and Vergos, G. S.: Towards an international standard for the precise determination of physical heights, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2523, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2523, 2022.

EGU22-2964 | Presentations | G2.3

WET-CAG2021: An international comparison of absolute gravimeters for the realization of the International Gravity Reference System 

Axel Rülke, Reinhard Falk, Andreas Engfeldt, Julian Glässel, Andreas Hellerschmied, Domenico Iacovone, Jakub Kostelecký, Vojtech Pálinkáš, Marvin Reich, Ludger Timmen, Christian Ullrich, Alessandro Valluzzi, Hartmut Wziontek, and Barbara Zehetmaier

Geodetic observations on Earth accurate to better than a part per billion require a common reference for the same precision as described in the goals of the Global Geodetic Observing System. The International Gravity Reference System (IGRS) is proposed as a new reference for terrestrial gravity observations (Wziontek et al. 2021).

The International Gravity Reference Frame (IGRF) as the realization of IGRS is represented by absolute gravity measurements traceable to the SI. Due to the lack of a natural reference, absolute gravimeters need to be compared and the gravity reference is realized based on a set of measurements by a group of absolute gravimeters and the functional model for their processing.

We present the international comparison of absolute gravimeters WET-CAG2021 hosted at the Geodetic Observatory Wettzell in autumn 2021. This comparison is classified as an additional comparison following the strategy paper of the Consultative Committee for Mass and related quantities (CCM) and IAG. Seven FG5/X absolute gravimeters and two AQG quantum gravimeters have observed up to four individual piers over a period of twelve weeks. The individual observation epochs are connected by recordings of the continuously operating superconducting gravimeter GWR OSG 030 in the same laboratory.

We show the procedure of data analysis following Pálinkáš et al. (2021) and discuss the results also with respect to the latest regional metrological EURAMET comparison 2018 at the same location.

 

Marti, U., Richard, P., Germak, A., Vitushkin, L., Pálinkáš, V., Wilmes, H.: CCM-IAG Strategy for Metrology in Absolute Gravimetry, 11 March 2014

Pálinkáš, V., Wziontek, H., Vaľko, M. et al.: Evaluation of comparisons of absolute gravimeters using correlated quantities: reprocessing and analyses of recent comparisons. J Geod 95, 21 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00190-020-01435-y

Wziontek, H., Bonvalot, S., Falk, R. et al.: Status of the International Gravity Reference System and Frame. J Geod 95, 7 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00190-020-01438-9

How to cite: Rülke, A., Falk, R., Engfeldt, A., Glässel, J., Hellerschmied, A., Iacovone, D., Kostelecký, J., Pálinkáš, V., Reich, M., Timmen, L., Ullrich, C., Valluzzi, A., Wziontek, H., and Zehetmaier, B.: WET-CAG2021: An international comparison of absolute gravimeters for the realization of the International Gravity Reference System, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2964, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2964, 2022.

EGU22-4537 | Presentations | G2.3

GGOS Bureau of Products and Standards: Description and Promotion of Geodetic Products 

Detlef Angermann, Thomas Gruber, Michael Gerstl, Robert Heinkelmann, Urs Hugentobler, Laura Sanchez, Peter Steigenberger, Kosuke Heki, Harald Schuh, and Martin Sehnal

The Bureau of Products and Standards (BPS) is a key component of the Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) of the International Association of Geodesy (IAG). It supports GGOS in its goal to provide consistent geodetic products needed to monitor, map, and understand changes in the Earth’s shape, rotation, and gravity field. In addition to the operational structure, the Committees “Earth System Modeling” and “Essential Geodetic Variables” as well as the Working Group “Towards a consistent set of parameters for the definition of a new Geodetic Reference System (GRS)” are associated to the BPS. This contribution presents the structure and role of the BPS. It highlights some of the recent activities, which are focused on the classification of geodetic products and on the generation of user-friendly product descriptions to support the establishment of a comprehensive Internet portal for Geodesy under the responsibility of GGOS. The GGOS website www.ggos.org serves as an “entrance door” and information platform to geodetic data and products, and should become an essential tool to make these data and products easier findable and accessible. With this, GGOS is contributing to address different user needs (e.g., geodesists, geophysicists, other geoscientists and further customers) and to make other disciplines and society aware of Geodesy and the importance of its products.

How to cite: Angermann, D., Gruber, T., Gerstl, M., Heinkelmann, R., Hugentobler, U., Sanchez, L., Steigenberger, P., Heki, K., Schuh, H., and Sehnal, M.: GGOS Bureau of Products and Standards: Description and Promotion of Geodetic Products, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4537, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4537, 2022.

EGU22-8593 | Presentations | G2.3

RAEGE Project: Status, Analysis Endeavours, and Future Prospects 

Mariana Moreira, Esther Azcue, Víctor Puente, Abel García, Diogo Avelar, Elena Martínez, João Ferreira, Javier González-García, José López-Pérez, and Valente Cuambe

RAEGE (Atlantic Network of Geodynamic and Space Stations) is a project resulting from the cooperation between the National Geographic Institute of Spain (IGN) and the Government of Azores. It is a unique project at a geodetic and geodynamic level, in which it is committed to the combination of geodetic techniques in four stations - two in Spain (Yebes and Gran Canaria) and two in Azores (Flores and Santa Maria). Santa Maria and Yebes stations are already fully implemented. The instrumentation foreseen for all four stations and that are currently implemented are radiotelescopes that use the VLBI technique, GNSS receivers, superconductive gravimetries, seismographs, and maser clocks. Furthermore, an SLR system will be shortly installed at Yebes station.

These stations are integrated into the VGOS network and in the Global Geodetic Reference System (GGOS), as multi-technique observatories. These multi-technical observatories are key in the definition of reference systems, as they allow the integration of the individual networks of each technique into a single system. Additionally, they provide an idea of the quality and precision of the systems themselves, thanks to the validation of the results between techniques. Apart from the multi-technique, the uniqueness of the RAEGE project resides in the fact that the four stations will be located on three different tectonic plates, hence their data will be of great importance to understand this triple tectonic junction.

RAEGE not only focuses on providing the necessary infrastructure for observations but also, among its objectives, to promote multi-technical geodetic analysis and obtain studies and results supported by the data collected. The purpose of this contribution is, therefore, to present the current state of the RAEGE project, including the sites and instrumentation, as well as the current analysis activities and prospects, particularly concerning the combination of the techniques present at the stations. 

How to cite: Moreira, M., Azcue, E., Puente, V., García, A., Avelar, D., Martínez, E., Ferreira, J., González-García, J., López-Pérez, J., and Cuambe, V.: RAEGE Project: Status, Analysis Endeavours, and Future Prospects, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8593, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8593, 2022.

EGU22-9106 | Presentations | G2.3

The Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) - infrastructure for Science and Society - 

Basara Miyahara, Laura Sánchez, Martin Sehnal, and Allison Craddock

The Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) is a collaborative contribution of the global Geodesy community to the observation and monitoring of the Earth System. Geodesy is the science of determining the shape of the Earth, its gravity field, and its rotation as functions of time. Essential to reaching this goal are stable and consistent geodetic reference frames, which provide the fundamental layer for the determination of time-dependent coordinates of points or objects, and for describing the motion of the Earth in space. With modern instrumentation and analytical techniques, Geodesy is capable of detecting time variations ranging from large and secular scales to very small and transient deformations – all with increasing spatial and temporal resolution, high accuracy, and decreasing latency. The geodetic observational and analysis infrastructures as well as the high-quality geodetic products provide the foundation upon which advances in Earth and planetary system sciences and applications are built. In this way, GGOS endeavors to facilitate and enable production and sharing of the Earth observations needed to monitor, map, and understand changes in the Earth’s shape, rotation, and mass distribution. GGOS also advocates the global geodetic frame of reference as the fundamental backbone for measuring and consistently interpreting global change processes as well as the essential geospatial infrastructure to ensure a homogeneous and sustainable development worldwide.

GGOS closely works with its parent organization, the International Association of Geodesy (IAG), to keep these fundamental geodetic contributions sustainable. The IAG Services provide the infrastructure and products on which all contributions of GGOS are based, and the IAG Commissions and IAG Inter-Commission Committees provide expertise and support to address key scientific issues within GGOS. Additionally, GGOS supports the IAG by strengthening external and interdisciplinary relations and contributions to the broader geospatial information community, including relevant United Nations groups, in particular, the UN Committee of Experts on Global Geospatial Information Management (GGIM), its Subcommittee on Geodesy, and the new UN Global Geodetic Centre of Excellence (scheduled to commence operations in early 2022). The main contribution of GGOS in this regard is to support actions and initiatives to communicate the value of Geodesy to society as well as to help to understand and solve complex issues facing the global geodesy community. Towards this objective, GGOS is developing a comprehensive Geodesy portal (https://ggos.org/) including detailed descriptions of geodetic observations (https://ggos.org/obs/) and products (https://ggos.org/products/), and various outreach tools such as short videos to explain the roles and importance of Geodesy to non-geodesists.

How to cite: Miyahara, B., Sánchez, L., Sehnal, M., and Craddock, A.: The Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) - infrastructure for Science and Society -, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9106, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9106, 2022.

EGU22-9285 | Presentations | G2.3

The New Geodetic Prediction Center at ETH Zurich 

Benedikt Soja, Mostafa Kiani Shahvandi, Matthias Schartner, Junyang Gou, Grzegorz Kłopotek, Laura Crocetti, and Mudathir Awadaljeed

Geodetic measurements allow the determination of a wide variety of parameters describing the Earth system, including its shape, gravity field, and orientation in space. The importance of such parameters to science and society is manifested through geodetic contributions to the examination of geodynamic phenomena, climate change monitoring and navigation both on the Earth's surface and in space. In a recent effort led by the Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS), a set of Essential Geodetic Variables (EGVs) has been defined, which are key quantities characterizing geodetic properties of the Earth. Certain requirements have been assigned to EGVs, including accuracy, spatio-temporal resolution, and latency.

For many real-time applications, the latency of geodetic products has become increasingly critical. Forecasts of certain EGVs at various time horizons are needed to accommodate the user's needs for many applications. In addition, spatial prediction of geodetic quantities on standardized grids on global and regional scales are of great benefit to certain scientific disciplines. The Space Geodesy group at ETH Zurich has thus established a new Geodetic Prediction Center (GPC), which aims to produce spatio-temporal predictions of various EGVs by employing state-of-the-art methods and providing them freely to the scientific community and other interested parties.

In the field of time series forecasting and spatial prediction, machine learning (ML) has become increasingly powerful in recent years due to its high accuracy, efficiency in coping with large amounts of heterogeneous data sets, and capability of capturing complex relationships between various data sources. For instance, ML allows to include auxiliary data in geodetic predictions, also in the cases when no mathematical or physical relation is known. The application of ML has demonstrated promising results in terms of geodetic time series prediction and is thus the tool of choice for many of the parameters provided by the GPC. ML methods applied in this framework include tree-based methods such as random forest as well as variants of convolutional and recurrent neural networks. Such a ML-based approach allows to assimilate geodetic measurements, environmental models, and auxiliary data sets with the aim to provide predictions of utmost accuracy.

Currently, ETH Zurich is invested in the prediction of Earth orientation parameters, Earth angular momentum functions, station coordinates, tropospheric zenith wet delays, ionospheric total electron content, and satellite orbits. In this contribution, an overview of these efforts in the framework of the Geodetic Prediction Center will be provided, highlighting the most recent scientific results.

How to cite: Soja, B., Kiani Shahvandi, M., Schartner, M., Gou, J., Kłopotek, G., Crocetti, L., and Awadaljeed, M.: The New Geodetic Prediction Center at ETH Zurich, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9285, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9285, 2022.

EGU22-9834 | Presentations | G2.3

Estimation of tropospheric biases in SLR to Swarm, and LAGEOS satellites 

Dariusz Strugarek, Mateusz Drożdżewski, Krzysztof Sośnica, Radosław Zajdel, and Grzegorz Bury

Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) is the only one space geodetic technique in which troposphere correction is calculated based on in situ measurements (pressure, temperature, and humidity) and used in the least square adjustment process as a fixed value measured at the epoch of observation.  In the past few years, we observe that the use of malfunctioning barometers for some of the SLR stations significantly affects the SLR-based global geodetic parameter estimates, such as station coordinates, geocenter coordinates, and terrestrial reference frame scale. Thus, we examine different handling of the SLR range tropospheric delay to LAGEOS by analysing the a priori zenith total delay from the standard Mendes and Pavlis (2004) model with a corresponding mapping function, the estimated tropospheric correction, and the range bias parameter. Moreover, we conduct a simulation study of artificial pressure bias, investigating the capability of tested approaches to properly reconstruct the tropospheric error. The new approach based on the estimation of the troposphere delay correction for SLR solutions, which is also widely used in microwave techniques, explicitly demonstrates more suitable handling of errors affecting the SLR station than solutions based on estimation of range biases.

The progress in precise orbit determination of low Earth orbiter (LEO) satellites using GPS demands improvements of the SLR procedures considering their orbit validation, determination of station coordinates, and global geodetic parameters from SLR to LEOs solutions. Within this study, we also consider including the proper handling of range errors in SLR to LEOs. We test solutions incorporating the estimation of tropospheric biases with and without horizontal gradients, range biases, and station coordinate corrections in an example of the SLR observations to LEO Swarm satellites. We discuss the values of estimated corrections and their impact on the solution quality, and dependency of residuals to different measurement conditions, such as elevation angle, azimuth angle, station-satellite distance, or satellite view from a station. Estimating tropospheric biases once-per-day and horizontal gradients, absorbs elevation- and azimuth-dependent errors, provides a reduction of solution statistics, and dependency of SLR residuals for almost all used SLR stations.

How to cite: Strugarek, D., Drożdżewski, M., Sośnica, K., Zajdel, R., and Bury, G.: Estimation of tropospheric biases in SLR to Swarm, and LAGEOS satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9834, 2022.

EGU22-10553 | Presentations | G2.3

Towards Clock Ties for a Global Geodetic Observing System 

Jan Kodet, Ulrich Schreiber, Thomas Klügel, and Johann Eckl

Over the last two decades, the precision of individual measurements of Space Geodesy improved to a millimeter level. However, the overall achieved accuracy remains at a centimeter level due to systematic errors. The fundamental stations operating more than one space geodetic measurement technique present a keystone in systematic error investigation and mitigation. Due to regular surveys, the distances and mutual movements of the reference points are established with millimeter accuracy. The problem arises in the combination at the observation level, where the residuals of the measurements do not match with the established geometrical ties sufficiently well. Internal instrumental signal delays within each technique are causing this detrimental effect.

We have identified time coherence between the individual techniques and fundamental stations as the proper tool to overcome this problem. Within IAG Project QuGe we examine referencing the instrumentations to the optical clocks. In this scenario, the clock parameter in geodesy does not need to be adjusted any more, and all systematic effects would promote. To transfer clock stability within an entire station campus, we use a mode-locked fs-pulse laser, which is distributed using actively delay compensated fiber links, provides the necessary means to identify and remove these systematic errors. This talk illustrates some results and introduces the novel time distribution system of the Geodetic Observatory Wettzell, which realizes an ideal test bench for these clock ties.

How to cite: Kodet, J., Schreiber, U., Klügel, T., and Eckl, J.: Towards Clock Ties for a Global Geodetic Observing System, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10553, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10553, 2022.

EGU22-10616 | Presentations | G2.3

GENESIS-1 mission for improved reference frames and Earth science applications. 

Özgür Karatekin, Véronique Dehant, Javier Ventura-Traveset, Markus Rothacher, Pacome Delva, Urs Hugentobler, Zuheir Altamimi, Johannes Boehm, Alexandre Couhert, Frank Flechtner, Susanne Glaser, Rudiger Haas, Adrian Jaeggi, Benjamin Maennel, Felix Perosanz, Harald Schuh, and Hakan Sert

Improving and homogenizing time and space references on Earth and, more directly, realizing the terrestrial reference system with an accuracy of 1 mm and a long-term stability of 0.1 mm/yr are relevant for many scientific and societal endeavours. The knowledge of the terrestrial reference frame (TRF) is fundamental for Earth system monitoring and related applications. For instance, quantifying sea level change strongly depends on an accurate determination of the geocenter motion but also of the position of continental or island reference stations, such as those located at tide gauges, as well as the ground stations of the tracking networks. Also, numerous applications in geophysics require absolute millimetre precision from the reference frame, as for example monitoring tectonic motion or crustal deformation for predicting natural hazards. The TRF accuracy to be achieved (mentioned above) represents the consensus of various authorities, including the International Association of Geodesy, which has enunciated geodesy requirements for Earth science (see GGOS-2020). Moreover, as stated in the A/RES/69/266 United Nations Resolution: “A global geodetic reference frame for sustainable development”, the UN recognizes the importance of “the investments of Member States in developing satellite missions for positioning and remote sensing of the Earth, supporting a range of scientific endeavours that improve our understanding of the Earth system and underpin decision-making, and… that the full societal benefits of these investments are realized only if they are referenced to a common global geodetic reference frame at the national, regional and global levels”. These strong statements by international bodies underline that a dedicated mission is highly needed and timely. Today we are still far away from this ambitious goal. It can be achieved by combining and co-locating, on one satellite platform, the full set of fundamental space-time geodetic systems, namely GNSS and DORIS radio satellite tracking systems, the satellite laser ranging (SLR) technique, and the very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) technique, that currently operates by recording the signals from quasars. This platform can then be considered as a dynamic space geodetic observatory carrying all these geodetic instruments referenced to one another on a unique well-calibrated platform through carefully measured space ties and a very precise atomic clock. It is necessary to set up a co-location of the techniques in space to resolve the inconsistencies and biases between them. Such a mission will be proposed as the first one of a series of missions in the GNSS/NAV Science Programme. The purpose of this abstract/talk is to revive the support of the scientific community for this mission.

How to cite: Karatekin, Ö., Dehant, V., Ventura-Traveset, J., Rothacher, M., Delva, P., Hugentobler, U., Altamimi, Z., Boehm, J., Couhert, A., Flechtner, F., Glaser, S., Haas, R., Jaeggi, A., Maennel, B., Perosanz, F., Schuh, H., and Sert, H.: GENESIS-1 mission for improved reference frames and Earth science applications., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10616, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10616, 2022.

EGU22-10982 | Presentations | G2.3

News from the GGOS DOI Working Group 

Kirsten Elger and the GGOS DOI Working Group

The “GGOS Working Group on Digital Object Identifiers (DOIs) for Geodetic Data Sets” is entering its third year of regular meetings and discussions to develop best practices, recommendations and advocate for improved global coordination for using DOI to geodetic data and products. The group was established by the International Association of Geodesy’s (IAG) Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) and includes international representatives of IAG Services and geodetic data centres and associated members.

Data publications with digital object identifiers (DOI) are best practice for FAIR sharing data. They are fully citable in scholarly literature and many journals require the data underlying a publication to be available. Initial metrics for data citation allows data providers to demonstrate the value of the data collected by institutes and individual scientists. This possibility to get credit for providing data products and running data services has been identified in the group as key requirement for the motivation to implement DOIs to geodetic data.

Our group activities include the collection of data products and discussions on already existing and planned DOI activities for IAG services and geodetic data centres, including for recent projects, like FAIR GNSS. Whenever possible, we recommend that DOIs shall be included in standard data formats (e.g. Rinex) and cited when using the data. This presentation will give an update of the group activities.

How to cite: Elger, K. and the GGOS DOI Working Group: News from the GGOS DOI Working Group, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10982, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10982, 2022.

EGU22-13321 | Presentations | G2.3

Retrofitting communication antennas for astronomical and geodetic VLBI applications 

Arnab Laha, Ashutosh Tiwari, Saurabh Srivastava, Shivangi Singh, Bhal Chandra Joshi, Nagarajan Balasubramanian, Ajith Kumar, Yashwant Gupta, and Onkar Dikshit

Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) technique was developed in the 1960s by astronomers, for high angular resolution observations of celestial radio sources. In the late 1970s, it was adopted for high-precision geodetic applications, in a reverse manner. In this application, VLBI is used to monitor the kinematics of individual points on the Earth, and also of the Earth as a body in the space using the precisely known astronomical positions of radio sources. Despite differences between astronomical and geodetic applications, the instrumentation and analysis techniques employed in VLBI are broadly similar, allowing for antennas designed for VLBI to be usable for either application. In this presentation, we describe a proposal for upgradation of three existing communication antennas with 18-m, 30-m and 32-m diameter, located at Arvi, Pune, India, for astronomical and geodetic VLBI purposes. The main objective is to retrofit the antenna with new gearboxes and modern servo control systems to make them compatible for use in VLBI observations, as well as with suitable L, S, and C band receivers and digital recorders, in a short period of time. Each motor will be driven by a drive with close loop precision pointing system, making it suitable to point to and track celestial sources. The antennas will be fitted with suitable antenna feeds and receiver systems, after the analysis of the dish parameters and its mounting possibilities. A development of cooled S-band feed will also be initiated simultaneously. Further, the three antennas will be fitted with new front-end electronics, baseband converter and digital recorders. The observed bandpass with different feeds (S and C band) will be down converted to L-band. This signal will be transported over optical fibre to the Giant Meterwave Radio Telescope (GMRT) facility, which is located nearby, for data recording and correlation activities. The retrofitted instrument will provide a test bed for instrumentation, tuning analysis pipelines and software, while providing the capability to carry out both astronomical and geodetic VLBI experiments with other international facilities.

How to cite: Laha, A., Tiwari, A., Srivastava, S., Singh, S., Joshi, B. C., Balasubramanian, N., Kumar, A., Gupta, Y., and Dikshit, O.: Retrofitting communication antennas for astronomical and geodetic VLBI applications, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13321, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13321, 2022.

G3 – Geodynamics and Earth Fluids

EGU22-64 | Presentations | G3.1

Surface loading on GNSS stations in Africa 

Saturday Ehisemhen Usifoh, T.Nhung Le, Benjamin Männel, Pierre Sakic, Dodo Joseph, and Harald Schuh

Surface loading on GNSS stations in Africa

Usifoh Saturday E1,2,3, Nhung Le Thi1,2, Benjamin Männel1, Pierre Sakic1, Dodo Joseph3, Harald Schuh1,2
1GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany, 2Institut für Geodäsie und Geoinformationstechnik Technische Universität, Berlin, Germany, 3Centre for Geodesy and Geodynamics, Toro, Bauchi State, Nigeria.

 Corresponding author: parker@gfz-potsdam.de

Abstract

The global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) have revolutionalized the ability to monitor the Earth’s system related to different types of natural processes. This includes tectonic and volcanic deformation, earthquake-related displacements, redistribution of oceanic and atmospheric mass, and changes in the continental water storage. As loading affects the GNSS cordinates, we investigated the effect and assessed the impact of applying dedicated corrections provided by the Earth System Modeling group of German Research Center for Geosciences (GFZ). However, loading caused by mass redistribution results in displacement, predominantly with seasonal periods. Significant temporal changes in mass redistribution (e.g caused by climate change) will result to further trends in the station coordinate time series.

In this contribution, we will compare the PPP coordinate time series with the loading-corrected PPP time series by looking at the amplitude and the correlation between the GNSS time series and the model corrections. Also we will compare the PPP coordinate time series with the loading time series by assessing the RMS reduction and change of amplitude.The result shows that loading-induced displacement varies considerably among GNSS stations and applying corrections to the derived time series has favourable impacts on the reduction in the non-linear motion in GNSS height time series of the African stations.

How to cite: Usifoh, S. E., Le, T. N., Männel, B., Sakic, P., Joseph, D., and Schuh, H.: Surface loading on GNSS stations in Africa, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-64, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-64, 2022.

EGU22-246 | Presentations | G3.1

Benchmarking Amazonian GPS stations: an improved way to model hydrological changes 

Grzegorz Leszczuk, Anna Klos, Jurgen Kusche, Artur Lenczuk, Helena Gerdener, and Janusz Bogusz

Hydrological loading is one of the main contributors into seasonal displacements of the Earth’s crust, as derived from the Global Positioning System (GPS) permanent stations. Recent studies proved that hydrological signatures may be also observed in GPS displacements outside seasonal band. Such estimates may be, however, biased, since (1) total character of GPS displacements is generated by a set of geophysical phenomena combined with GPS-specific signals and errors and (2) the exact sensitivity of GPS for individual components has not yet been properly recognized. In this study, we propose a completely new approach to establish a set of benchmarks of GPS stations, for which sensitivity to geophysical phenomena is identified. We focus on hydrological changes within the Amazon basin, but the same approach could be employed to analyze other phenomena. Analysis is performed for vertical displacements from 63 GPS stations provided by the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory (NGL), collected between 1995 and 2021. Results are compared to data from GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and GRACE Follow-On missions (2002-2021), provided by GFZ (GeoForschungsZentrum) as RL06 solution in a form of spherical harmonic coefficients truncated to d/o 96, filtered with DDK3 decorrelation anisotropic filter. We also utilize GLWS (Global Land Water Storage) datatset provided by University of Bonn, as a result of assimilation of GRACE Total Water Storage (TWS) anomalies into WaterGAP Global Hydrological Model (WGHM). We make also use of two hydrological models: pure WGHM and GLDAS (Global Land Data Assimilation System), for which TWS values are provided. Both GRACE and TWS data are converted to vertical displacements of Earth’s crust using load Love numbers, while GPS displacements are reduced for non-tidal atmospheric and oceanic changes. We find the largest values of trends and annual signals for GPS stations proximate to Amazon river. GRACE, GLWS and hydrological models disagree at the level of 8 mm, at maximum. This is mainly caused by the GLDAS model which lacks in the contribution of surface water. Supplementing GLDAS with surface water layer employed from WGHM reduces this difference to 1 mm. Benchmarks of GPS stations are established by using a wavelet decomposition with Meyer’s mother wavelet. We divide both the GPS, GRACE and GLWS displacement time series into 4 decomposition levels, defined by exact periods they contain. Then, we compute correlation coefficients between individual levels of details. We show that the number of 32%, 64%, 97%, 89% and 68% out of 63 GPS stations is significantly correlated to GRACE for periods, respectively, from 2 to 5 months, from 4 to 9 months, from 7 months to 1.4 years, from 1.1 to 3.0 years and from 3.0 years onwards. These numbers change into: 48%, 73%, 100%, 81% and 50% out of 63 GPS stations, when GRACE is replaced with GLWS. 12 or 21 out of 63 GPS stations correlate positively with GRACE or GLWS within entire frequency band, which means that a character of these GPS displacement time series is generated mostly by hydrological changes.

How to cite: Leszczuk, G., Klos, A., Kusche, J., Lenczuk, A., Gerdener, H., and Bogusz, J.: Benchmarking Amazonian GPS stations: an improved way to model hydrological changes, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-246, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-246, 2022.

EGU22-1449 | Presentations | G3.1

Efficiency of different signal processing methods to isolate signature characteristics in altimetric water level measurements 

Siavash Iran Pour, Annette Eicker, Kyriakos Balidakis, Hamed Karimi, Alireza Amiri-Simkooei, and Henryk Dobslaw

Observed time-series of water transport in rivers can be perceived mathematically as a superposition of non-linear long-term trends, periodic variations, episodic events, colored instrument noise, and other components. Various statistical methods are readily available to extract and quantify both stationary and non-stationary components in order to subsequently attribute parts of the signal to underlying causal mechanisms. However, the available algorithms differ vastly in terms of computational complexity and implicit assumptions, and may thus have their own individual advantages and disadvantages. By employing a suite of time-series analysis methods for 1D (Wavelets, Singular Spectrum Analysis, Empirical Mode Decomposition) and additional statistical assessments like Pruned Exact Linear Time (PELT) tests for change point detection, we will analyze data from two virtual stations at Elbe River (Germany) and Urmia Lake (Iran) that are representative for the central European region with a rather humid climate, and the more arid conditions of Central Asia with much smaller hydrological signal variations, respectively. It is in particular the latter region with a much less developed in situ hydrometeorological observing system, where we expect that carefully processed geodetic data might contribute most to the monitoring of large-scale terrestrial water dynamics. This contribution will highlight the benefits of more advanced signal analysis methods for extracting relevant hydrometeorological information over more conventionally applied algorithms.

How to cite: Iran Pour, S., Eicker, A., Balidakis, K., Karimi, H., Amiri-Simkooei, A., and Dobslaw, H.: Efficiency of different signal processing methods to isolate signature characteristics in altimetric water level measurements, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1449, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1449, 2022.

Global and interactively coupled climate models are important tools for projecting future climate conditions. Even though the quality and reliability of such models has increased during the most recent years, large model uncertainties still exist for various climate elements, so that it is crucial to continuously evaluate them against independent observations. Changes in the distribution and availability of terrestrial water storage (TWS), which can be measured by the satellite gravimetry missions GRACE and GRACE-FO, represent an important part of the climate system in general, and the terrestrial water cycle in particular. However, the use of satellite gravity data for the evaluation of interactively coupled climate models has only very recently become feasible. Challenges mainly arise from large model differences with respect to land water storage-related variables, from conceptual discrepancies between modeled and observed TWS, and from the still rather short time series of satellite data.

This presentation will highlight the latest results achieved from our ongoing research on climate model evaluation based on the analysis of an ensemble of models taking part in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). We will focus on long-term wetting and drying conditions in TWS, by deriving several hot spot regions of common trends in GRACE/-FO observations and regions of large model consensus. However, as the observational record currently only covers about 20 years, observed trends may still be obscured by natural climate variability. Therefore, to further attribute the wetting or drying in the identified hot spot regions to either interannual/decadal variability or anthropogenic climate change, we investigate the influence of dedicated climate modes (such as ENSO, PDO, AMO etc.) on TWS variability and trends. Furthermore, we perform a numerical model investigation with 250 years of CMIP6 TWS data to quantify the degree to which trends computed over differently long time intervals can be expected to represent long-term trends, and to discriminate regions of rather robust trends from regions of large fluctuations in the trend caused by decadal climate variability.

How to cite: Jensen, L., Eicker, A., and Dobslaw, H.: Attributing land water storage trends from satellite gravimetry to long-term wetting and drying conditions with global climate models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2335, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2335, 2022.

EGU22-2586 | Presentations | G3.1

Contributions of ocean bottom pressure and density changes to regional sea level change in the East Indian Ocean from GRACE, altimetry and Argo data 

Alisa Yakhontova, Roelof Rietbroek, Jürgen Kusche, Sophie Stolzenberger, and Bernd Uebbing

Understanding variations in the ocean heat content is tightly linked to understanding interactions of the global energy cycle with the regional water cycle. Mass, volume, temperature and density changes of  the ocean water column can be estimated with complimentary observations of sea surface height from radar altimetry, ocean bottom pressure from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), temperature and salinity from Argo floats. These three techniques have their specific deficiencies and advantages, which can be exploited in a joint inversion framework in order to improve temporal and spatial coverage of oceanic temperature and salinity estimates as well as regionally varying sea level contributions. Solving an inverse problem for temperature and salinity, forward operators are formulated linking the satellite observations to temperature and salinity at depth. This is done by (1) parametrization of temperature and salinity profiles over the full depth of the ocean with B-splines to reduce dimensionality while keeping complexity of the data intact and (2) linearization of the integrated density from parameterized T/S curves. We apply forward operators in the East Indian Ocean to resolve for sea surface height, ocean bottom pressure, temperature and salinity, and assess the regional importance of these factors. We explore the stability of a joint inversion using these forward operators in combination with along-track radar altimetry, GRACE and temperature and salinity by exploring a closed-loop inversion.

How to cite: Yakhontova, A., Rietbroek, R., Kusche, J., Stolzenberger, S., and Uebbing, B.: Contributions of ocean bottom pressure and density changes to regional sea level change in the East Indian Ocean from GRACE, altimetry and Argo data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2586, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2586, 2022.

EGU22-3415 | Presentations | G3.1

Trends in Africa’s Terrestrial Water Storage 

Eva Boergens and Andreas Güntner

The German-American satellite missions GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and its successor GRACE-Follow-On (GRACE-FO) observed the unique data set of total water storage (TWS) variations over the continents since 2002. With this nearly 20 years of data, we can investigate trends in water storage beyond the strong declining trends of the ice sheets and glaciers. Unlike all other continents, Africa exhibits an overall positive trend in TWS. This contribution will take a detailed look into Africa's water storage changes and trends. Further, we attempt to explain these trends by comparison to other hydrological observations such as precipitation.

The long-term TWS increase in Africa is most pronounced in the East-African rift centred around Lake Victoria and the Niger River Basin. Other regions such as Madagaskar exhibit a (statistically significant) negative TWS trend. Furthermore, the trends are not monotonous over time. For example, the increasing trend in East Africa only started around the year 2006 and accelerated after 2012. On the other hand, South Africa wetted until 2012 and dried again since then.

This study divides the African continent into climatically similar regions and investigates the regional mean TWS signals. They are more complex than a linear trend and sinusoidal annual and semiannual seasonality; thus, we employ the STL method (Seasonal Trend decomposition based on Loess). In this way, turning points are identified in the so-called trend component to mark significant trend changes.

The observed TWS changes in Africa are caused mainly by changing precipitation patterns, as observed, for example, with the GPCP (Global Precipitation Climatology Project) data set. In some regions, such as South Africa, the correlation between precipitation and TWS change is evident, whereas other areas show a more complex relationship between these two variables.

 

How to cite: Boergens, E. and Güntner, A.: Trends in Africa’s Terrestrial Water Storage, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3415, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3415, 2022.

EGU22-3734 | Presentations | G3.1

Closing the water balance of large watersheds using satellite gravimetry 

Roelof Rietbroek, Marloes Penning de Vries, Yijian Zeng, and Bob Su

At the level of a watershed, the conservation of mass imposes that the net moisture transport through the atmospheric boundaries is balanced by the river discharge and an accumulation/depletion in terrestrial sources such as the soil, surface waters and groundwater.

There are considerable uncertainties connected with modelled water balance components, especially since most models only simulate part of the system: either the atmosphere, the surface or the subsurface. Uncertainties in boundary conditions propagate as biases in the simulated results. For example, not accounting for anthropogenic groundwater extraction potentially introduces biases in arid regions, where groundwater is a non-negligible source of moisture for the atmosphere. The use of observations is therefore an important aid to evaluate model performances and to detect possible biases in water balance components.

In this contribution, we compare total water storage changes derived from the Gravity Recovery Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its follow-on mission, with modelled components of the water balance. We use ERA5 reanalysis data to compute (net) atmospheric transports, and river discharge from GloFAS (Global Flood Awareness System). Furthermore, we use precipitation estimates (e.g. from GPCC) together with evapotranspiration from the Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS). We finally perform an accounting of the water balance components for the world’s largest watersheds and show to what extent we can find agreements, inconsistencies and biases in the data and models.

How to cite: Rietbroek, R., Penning de Vries, M., Zeng, Y., and Su, B.: Closing the water balance of large watersheds using satellite gravimetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3734, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3734, 2022.

EGU22-4918 | Presentations | G3.1

Drought Identification in NLDAS Data using Machine Learning Methods 

Corinne Vassallo, Srinivas Bettadpur, and Clark Wilson

Though machine learning (ML) methods have been around for decades, they have only more recently been adopted in the geosciences. The availability of existing long data records combined with the capability of ML algorithms to learn highly non-linear relationships between data sources means there is even more potential for the replacement or augmentation of existing scientific analyses with ML methods. Here, I give an example of how I used a convolutional neural network (CNN) for the task of pixelwise classification of the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Total Water Storage data into their corresponding drought levels based on the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). Promising results indicate there is much to be explored in the application of ML to drought identification and monitoring.

How to cite: Vassallo, C., Bettadpur, S., and Wilson, C.: Drought Identification in NLDAS Data using Machine Learning Methods, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4918, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4918, 2022.

EGU22-5765 | Presentations | G3.1

Water mass impacts of the main climate drivers over Australia by satellite gravimetry 

Guillaume Ramillien, Lucia Seoane, and José Darrozes

We propose a spatial characterization of the hydrological contributions of several climate drivers that impact continental water mass storage of Australia determined by remote sensing techniques over the period 2002 - 2021. For this purpose, the Slepian functions help for recognizing the signatures of such important changes in the varying gravity field solutions provided by GRACE and GRACE-FO satellite missions such as mascon solutions of 400-km resolution. Time series of 25 Slepian coefficients that correspond to ~99.9% of the eigenvalue spectrum are used to be analyzed and compared to the profiles of climate indexes i.e. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and South Annular Mode (SAM). The best correlations enable to extract specific Slepian coefficients, and then reconstruct the regional hydrological structures that concern each climate driver, in particular for the southeastern basins strongly influenced by the important flooding during La Niña episode of 2010.

How to cite: Ramillien, G., Seoane, L., and Darrozes, J.: Water mass impacts of the main climate drivers over Australia by satellite gravimetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5765, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5765, 2022.

EGU22-6390 | Presentations | G3.1

A new method for the attribution of breakpoints in segmentation of IWV difference time series 

Khanh Ninh Nguyen, Olivier Bock, and Emilie Lebarbier

In recent years, the detection and correction of the non-natural irregularities in the long climatic records, so-called homogenization, has been studied. This work is motivated by the problem of identification of origins of the breakpoints in the segmentation of difference series (difference between a candidate series and a reference series). Several segmentation methods have been developed for the difference series, but many of them assume that the reference series is homogenous. However, the homogeneity of the reference series, in reality, is uncertain and unproven. In our study, we applied the segmentation method GNSSseg (Quarello et al., 2020) on the difference between the Integrated water vapour estimates of the CODE REPRO2015 GNSS data set and the ERA5 reanalysis. About 36.5% of change points can be validated from the GPS metadata, and the origins of the remaining 64.5% are questionable (Nguyen et al., 2021). The ambiguity can be leveraged when there is at least one nearby GPS station with respect to which the candidate series can be compared. The proposed method uses weighted t-tests combining the candidate GPS and ERA series and their homologues (denoted GPS' and ERA') from each nearby station. If sufficient consistency emerges from the six tests for all the nearby stations, a decision can be made whether the breakpoint detected in the candidate GPS-ERA series is due to GPS or, alternatively, to ERA. For each quadruplet (GPS, ERA, GPS', ERA'), six t-tests are performed, and the outcomes are combined. In a set of 81 globally distributed GNSS time series spanning more than 25 years, 56 series have at least one nearby station, where 171 breakpoints are detected in segmentation, in which 136 breakpoints are attributed to the GPS. Among those, 94 breakpoints have consistent results between all the nearby stations. GPS-related breakpoints are used for the correction of the mean shift in the difference series. The impact of the breakpoint correction on the GNSS IWV trend estimates is then evaluated. 

Quarello A, Bock O, & Lebarbier E. (2020). A new segmentation method for the homogenisation of GNSS-derived IWV time-series. arXiv: Methodology.

Nguyen KN, Quarello A, Bock O, Lebarbier E. Sensitivity of Change-Point Detection and Trend Estimates to GNSS IWV Time Series Properties. Atmosphere. 2021; 12(9):1102. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12091102

How to cite: Nguyen, K. N., Bock, O., and Lebarbier, E.: A new method for the attribution of breakpoints in segmentation of IWV difference time series, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6390, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6390, 2022.

EGU22-6800 | Presentations | G3.1

Intensifying hydrologic drought in California 

Donald Argus, Hilary Martens, Adrian Borsa, David Wiese, Ellen Knappe, Stacy Larochelle, Mackenzie Anderson, Athina Peidou, Ashlesha Khatiwada, Nicholas Lau, Alissa White, Zachary Hoylman, Matthew Swarr, Qian Cao, Ming Pan, Kristel Chanard, Jean-Philippe Avouac, Gardner Payton, and Felix Landerer

Drought has struck the southwest U.S. for the fourth time this millennium, reducing freshwater available to agriculture and urban centers.  We are bringing new insight by quantifying change in water in the ground using GPS elastic displacements, GRACE gravity, artificial reservoir levels, and snow models. Precipitation in Water Year 2021 was half of normal; the rise in total water in autumn and winter is 1/3 of the seasonal average (estimated using chiefly GPS); water was parched from the ground in the spring and summer, bringing water in the ground to its historic low (estimated using primarily GRACE).  In the Central Valley, soil moisture plus groundwater each year increases by 11 km3 and is maximum in April.  Only half of groundwater lost during periods of drought is replenished in subsequent years of heavy precipitation.  The Central Valley has lost groundwater at 2 km3/year from 2006 to 2021, with 2/3 of the loss coming from the southern Valley.

How to cite: Argus, D., Martens, H., Borsa, A., Wiese, D., Knappe, E., Larochelle, S., Anderson, M., Peidou, A., Khatiwada, A., Lau, N., White, A., Hoylman, Z., Swarr, M., Cao, Q., Pan, M., Chanard, K., Avouac, J.-P., Payton, G., and Landerer, F.: Intensifying hydrologic drought in California, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6800, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6800, 2022.

EGU22-7081 | Presentations | G3.1

GPS-based multi-annual variation of the precipitable water over Poland territory 

Andrzej Araszkiewicz, Michał Mierzwiak, Damian Kiliszek, Joanna Nowak Da Costa, and Marcin Szołucha

Earth's visible environmental changes, both natural and man-made, are influencing climate change on a global scale. For this reason, it is necessary to continuously monitor these changes and study the impact of human activities on them. One of the parameters indicating climate change is the systematic increase in temperature for the last 80 years. It causes more evaporation of water from natural and artificial water bodies. Consequently, the water content in the atmosphere is also increasing. Precipitable water is therefore one of the most important parameters when studying climate change. 

The aim of this study was to analyze long-term precipitation water data from a dense GNSS network over Poland. Twelve-year observations from over a hundred ASG-EUPOS stations were used to estimate changes in precipitation water values. These data were verified by comparison with available radio sounding data. Analysis of GPS-based PW values showed a clear increasing trend in PW values by 0.078 mm/year. The spatial-temporal distribution of mean PW values and their fluctuations over the years have been investigated. The obtained results confirm the fact that Poland lies on the border of continental and oceanic climate influence, and are in agreement with climate research concerning this region. 

How to cite: Araszkiewicz, A., Mierzwiak, M., Kiliszek, D., Nowak Da Costa, J., and Szołucha, M.: GPS-based multi-annual variation of the precipitable water over Poland territory, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7081, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7081, 2022.

EGU22-7583 | Presentations | G3.1

Using satellite geodesy for carbon cycle research 

Alexandra Klemme, Thorsten Warneke, Heinrich Bovensmann, Matthias Weigelt, Jürgen Müller, Justus Notholt, and Claus Lämmerzahl

To assess realistic climate change mitigation strategies, it is important to research and understand the global carbon cycle. Carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) are the two most important anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Their atmospheric concentrations are affected by anthropogenic emissions as well as exchange fluxes with oceans and the terrestrial biosphere. For the prediction of future atmospheric CO2 and CH4 concentrations, it is critical to understand how the natural exchange fluxes respond to a changing climate. One of the factors that impact these fluxes is the changing hydrological cycle.        
In our project, we combine information about the hydrological cycle from geodetic satellites (e.g. GRACE & GRACE-FO) with carbon cycle observations from other satellites (e.g. TROPOMI & OCO-2). Specifically, we plan to investigate the impact of a changing water level in soils on CH4 emissions from wetlands and on the photosynthetic CO2 uptake of plants. Details of our approach and first results will be presented.

How to cite: Klemme, A., Warneke, T., Bovensmann, H., Weigelt, M., Müller, J., Notholt, J., and Lämmerzahl, C.: Using satellite geodesy for carbon cycle research, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7583, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7583, 2022.

EGU22-7903 | Presentations | G3.1

Identification of conceptual rainfall-runoff models of large drainage basins based on GRACE and in-situ data 

Karim Douch, Peyman Saemian, and Nico Sneeuw

Since 2002, estimates of the spatio-temporal variations of Earth’s gravity field derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE and now GRACE-FO) mission measurements have provided new insights into large scale water redistributions at inter-annual, seasonal and sub-seasonal timescales. It has been shown for example that for many large drainage basins the empirical relationship between aggregated Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) and discharge at the outlet reveals an underlying dynamic that is approximately linear and time-invariant.

In this contribution, we further analyse this relationship in the case of the Amazon basin and sub-basins by investigating different physically interpretable, lumped-parameter models for the TWS-discharge dynamics. To this end, we first put forward a linear and continuous-time model using a state-space representation. We then enhance the model by introducing a non-linear term accounting for the observed saturation of the discharge. Finally, we reformulate the model by replacing the discharge by the river stage at the outlet and add a prescribed model of the rating curve to obtain the discharge. The suggested models are successively calibrated against TWS anomaly derived from GRACE data and discharge or river stage records using the prediction-error-method. It is noteworthy that one of the estimated parameters can be interpreted as the total amount of drainable water stored across the basin, a quantity that cannot be observed by GRACE alone. This quantity is estimated to be on average 1,750 km³ during the period 2004-2009. These models are eventually combined with the equation of water mass balance, in order to obtain a consistent representation of the basin-scale rainfall-runoff dynamics suited to data assimilation.

How to cite: Douch, K., Saemian, P., and Sneeuw, N.: Identification of conceptual rainfall-runoff models of large drainage basins based on GRACE and in-situ data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7903, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7903, 2022.

EGU22-8525 | Presentations | G3.1

Combining space gravimetry observations with data from satellite altimetry and high resolution visible imagery to resolve mass changes of endorheic basins and exorheic basins. 

Alejandro Blazquez, Etienne Berthier, Benoit Meyssignac, Laurent Longuevergne, and Jean-François Crétaux

Continuous monitoring of the Global Terrestrial Water Storage changes (TWS) is challenging because of the large surface of continents and the variety of storage compartments (WCRP, 2018). The only observing system which provides global TWS mass change estimates so far is space gravimetry. Unfortunately, most storage compartments (lakes, groundwater, glaciers…) are too small to be resolved given the current spatial resolution of gravimetry missions. This intrinsic property makes gravimetry-based TWS changes estimates difficult to attribute and to interpret at individual basin scale.

In this context, combining gravimetry-based TWS estimates with other sources of information with higher spatial resolution is a promising strategy. In this study, we combine gravimetry data with independent observations from satellite altimetry and high resolution visible imagery to derive refined estimates of the TWS changes in hydrological basins containing lakes and glaciers (See Data used). The combination consists in including independent observations of glacier (Hugonnet et al., 2021) and lake (Cretaux et al., 2016) mass changes in the conversion process from gravity L2 data to water mass changes data. The combination is done for all regions of the world on a monthly basis.

This approach allows to split properly glacier and TWS changes at interannual to decadal time scales, and derive glacier-free estimates of TWS in the endorheic basins and the exorheic basins. We find that for the period from 2002 to 2020, the total TWS trend of 0.23±0.25 mm SLE/yr is mainly due to a mass loss in endorheic basins TWS of 0.20±0.12 mm SLE/yr. Over the same period, exorheic basins present a non-significative trend of 0.03±0.14 mm SLE/yr. On the contrary, the interannual variability in the TWS change of 4 mm SLE is mainly due to the exorheic basins TWS change.

How to cite: Blazquez, A., Berthier, E., Meyssignac, B., Longuevergne, L., and Crétaux, J.-F.: Combining space gravimetry observations with data from satellite altimetry and high resolution visible imagery to resolve mass changes of endorheic basins and exorheic basins., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8525, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8525, 2022.

Satellite gravity missions are unique observation systems to directly observe mass transport processes in the Earth system. Since 2000, CHAMP, GRACE, GOCE, and GRACE-FO have almost continuously been observing Earth’s mass changes and have improved our understanding of large-scale processes such as the global water cycle, melting of continental ice sheets and mountain glaciers, changes in ocean mass that are closely related to the mass-related component of sea-level rise, which are subtle indicators of climate change, on global to regional scale. The existing observation record of more than two decades is already closing in on the minimum time series of 30 years needed to decouple natural and anthropogenic forcing mechanisms according to the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS).

Next Generation Gravity Missions (NGGMs) are expected to be implemented in the near future to continue the observation record. The Mass-change And Geoscience International Constellation (acronym: MAGIC) is a joint investigation of ESA with NASA’s MCDO study resulting in a jointly accorded Mission Requirements Document (MRD) responding to global user community needs. These NGGM concepts have set high anticipation for enhanced monitoring capabilities of mass transports in the Earth’s system with significantly improved spatial and temporal resolution. They will allow an evaluation of long-term trends within the Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS), which was adopted as a new Essential Climate Variable in 2020.

This study is based on modeled mass transport time series of components of the TWS, obtained from future climate projections until the year 2100 following the shared socio-economic pathway scenario 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5). It evaluates the recoverability of long-term climate trends, annual amplitude, and phase of the TWS employing closed-loop numerical simulations of different current and NGGM concepts up to a spatial resolution of 250 km (Spherical Harmonic Degree 80). The assumed satellite constellations are GRACE-type in-line single-pair missions and Bender double-pair missions with realistic noise assumptions for the key payload and ocean-tide background model errors. In the interpretation and discussion of the results, special emphasis will be given on the dependence of the length of the measurement time series and the quantification of the robustness of the derived trends, systematic changes, as well as possibilities to improve the trend parameterization.

How to cite: Schlaak, M., Pail, R., Jensen, L., and Eicker, A.: Closed Loop Simulations on Recoverability of Climate-Related Mass Transport Signals in Current and Next-Generation Satellite Gravity Missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8529, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8529, 2022.

EGU22-9943 | Presentations | G3.1

Geodetic climate research in the Austrian Alps 

Christian Ullrich, Olivier Francis, Sajad Tabibi, and Helmut Titz

The Federal Office of Metrology and Surveying (BEV) in Austria is responsible for the geodetic reference system like gravity and height reference frame. Some of these gravity reference stations are monitored regularly by different geodetic terrestrial techniques. The gravity data on some stations show variations and/or changes in gravity. In this presentation, the alpine geodetic reference stations Obergurgl and Franz-Josefs- Höhe in the Austrian eastern Alps will be presented. Both stations are investigated with different geodetic terrestrial techniques in a cooperation of the University of Luxemburg with BEV.

Global warming and associated climate change during the last century and recent decades are among the main reasons for glacier retreat in the Alps. Absolute gravity measurements have been regularly performed in the Austrian Eastern Alps since 1987 in the Ötztal Valley at Obergurgl. In addition, absolute gravity has been regularly observed at Obergurgl from 1987 to 2009 with the absolute gravimeter JILAg6. From 2010, the absolute gravity measurements were continued with the highest accurate absolute gravimeters FG5 from BEV and FG5x from University of Luxemburg. The newest gravity data show again a small increase of gravity. Additionally, a permanent GNSS station was established in 2019 to record information about the assumed vertical uplift at this station.

A second alpine research station was established near the Pasterze Glacier at Großglockner Mountain in 2019. The Pasterze Glacier is one of the largest glaciers in the eastern Alps and is in the vicinity of the highest mountain of Austria, the Großglockner. The station is monitored by repeated absolute gravity measurements and is equipped with a permanent GNSS station. In addition, precise leveling measurements were also tied to this station. In this contribution, initial results of the geodetic research like the gravity results, precise leveling and GNSS measurements will be presented. In the future, gravity data will be quantitively compared to ice mass balance information derived from glacier inventories. A Geodetic Global Navigation Satellite System reflectometry (GNSS-R) antenna will also be installed to study glacier-ice change. A third station at an altitude of 3300 m is planned and will be checked for operating absolute gravity measurements there. The geodynamical processes like vertical uplift and postglacial deformation will be investigated together with glacier retreat on these stations.

How to cite: Ullrich, C., Francis, O., Tabibi, S., and Titz, H.: Geodetic climate research in the Austrian Alps, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9943, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9943, 2022.

EGU22-10152 | Presentations | G3.1

GNSS observations of the land uplift in South Africa: Implication for water loss estimation 

Christian Mielke, Makan Karegar, Helena Gerdener, and Jürgen Kusche

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) networks in South Africa indicate a spatially coherent uplift. The cause of this uplift is not clear, but one hypothesis is a crustal deformation due to mantle flow and dynamic topography (Hammond et al., 2021, JGR Solid Earth). We provide an alternative evidence based on elastic loading modelling and independent observations, suggesting that land water loss due to multiple drought periods is a dominant driver of land uplift in South Africa.

The use of continuously measuring GNSS stations has proven to be a successful method for quantifying terrestrial water mass changes, by inverting the observed vertical displacements of the Earth’s crust. Depending on the density of the GNSS network, this method has the potential to derive not only temporal but also spatial higher-resolution total water storage change (TWSC) than the Gravity and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions. Since vertical displacements in GNSS data are not only affected by water mass changes, extensive time series analyses are required to reduce or eliminate non-hydrology-related deformations, such as non-tidal oceanic and atmospheric loading. In this way, GNSS also offers an alternative method to monitor the frequently occurring droughts in South Africa, like the severe “Day Zero” drought in Cape Town from 2015-2017.

In this study, daily GNSS time series of vertical displacements (2000-present) are analysed. A long-term trend as well as annual and semi-annual signals are separated from the noisy observations using Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA). The final time series of all stations are inverted into water mass loading over a uniform grid, with the deformation properties of the Earth’s crust being defined by the Preliminary Reference Earth Model (PREM). An experimental approach shows that a 2° x 2° grid resolution of the GNSS-derived TWSC provides appropriate solutions over most of South Africa. The GNSS solution agrees with a GRACE-assimilated solution and a hydrological model at monthly scale over different provinces, with correlations up to 93% and 94%, respectively. The long-term trend averaged over the entire country is correlated with 80% and 54%, respectively. Negative long-term TWSC trends are evident in all data sets and provide compelling evidence that long-term land uplift in South Africa has a hydrological origin.

How to cite: Mielke, C., Karegar, M., Gerdener, H., and Kusche, J.: GNSS observations of the land uplift in South Africa: Implication for water loss estimation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10152, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10152, 2022.

EGU22-10986 | Presentations | G3.1

How changes in compartments of water storage affect the vegetation? 

Srinivas Pernati, Komali Bharath Narayana Reddy, and Balaji Devaraju

The relationship between water storage and vegetation growth differs with changes in different water
compartments such as total water storage, soil moisture and groundwater. This relationship can be
established between variations in water storage and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)
values. The compartments of water storage anomalies were computed with Gravity Recovery and Climate
Experiment (GRACE) and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) data sets. NDVI data from
Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling System (GIMMS) was used to compare with water storage
anomalies. These water storage anomalies and NDVI values were aggregated over each sub-basin of the
Ganga catchment. A correlation analysis was made between water storage components and NDVI values,
which helped to determine how vegetation growth depends on changes in different water compartments.
Initial computations of auto-correlation and cross-correlation between water storage components and
NDVI show different lags for different sub-basins. 

How to cite: Pernati, S., Bharath Narayana Reddy, K., and Devaraju, B.: How changes in compartments of water storage affect the vegetation?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10986, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10986, 2022.

EGU22-12642 | Presentations | G3.1 | G Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture

Geodesy: a sensor for hydrology 

Kristel Chanard

Understanding how the Earth’s shape, gravity field and rotation change in response to shifting hydrological, atmospherical and oceanic mass loads at its surface has great potential for monitoring the evolving climate. Recent advances in the field, namely hydrogeodesy, have required hand-in-hand development and improvement of the observing techniques and of our understanding of the solid Earth-climate interactions. 

In particular, measurement of the spatial and temporal variations of the Earth's gravity field by the GRACE and GRACE-Follow On satellite missions offer an unprecedented measurement of the evolution of water mass redistribution, at timescales ranging from months to decades. However, the use of GRACE and GRACE-FO data for hydrological applications presents two major difficulties. First, the mission design and data processing lead to measurement noise and errors that limit GRACE missions to large-scale applications and complicates geophysical interpretation. Moreover, temporal observational gaps, including the 11 month-long gap between missions, prevent the interpretation of long-term mass variations. Secondly, disentangling sources of signals from the solid Earth and continental hydrology is challenging and requires to develop methods benefiting from multiple geodetic techniques. 

To reduce noise and enhance geophysical signals in the data, we develop a method based on a spectral analysis by Multiple Singular Spectrum Analysis (M-SSA) which, using the spatio-temporal correlations of the GRACE-GRACE-FO time series, can fill observational gaps and remove a significant portion of the distinctive noise pattern while maintaining the best possible spatial resolution. This processing reveals hydrological signals that are less well or not resolved by other processing strategies. We discuss regional hydrological mass balance, including lakes, aquifers and ice caps regions, derived from the GRACE-GRACE-FO M-SSA solution. Furthermore, we discuss methods to separate sources of gravity variations using additional in-situ hydrological data or geodetic measurements of the Earth’s deformation. 

How to cite: Chanard, K.: Geodesy: a sensor for hydrology, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12642, 2022.

EGU22-12684 | Presentations | G3.1

Twenty years of volume transport from satellite gravimetry in the Atlantic and Southern Ocean 

Andreas Kvas, Katrin Bentel, Saniya Behzadpour, and Torsten Mayer-Gürr

With an observation period of almost twenty years and global data coverage, satellite gravimetry has become a crucial tool for monitoring the state of our planet in a changing climate. Gravimetry-derived mass change has seen numerous applications in different geoscientific disciplines and has fundamentally improved our understanding of the Earth system. One such application is the determination of meridional and zonal volume transport variability based on ocean bottom pressure (OBP) variations, which can provide key insights into climate-relevant ocean currents like the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) or the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). However, the limited spatial resolution, signal leakage from other geophysical subsystems like the hydrosphere, cryosphere or solid Earth make satellite gravimetry-derived transport estimates difficult to interpret. In this study we investigate geostrophic volume transport variability based on observations of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) for selected cross sections in the Atlantic and Southern Ocean. We focus on interannual transport variations in the deep ocean, where the more moderately sloping topography poses less stringent requirements on the spatial resolution of the OBP fields, and the lower temporal resolution reduces the impact of observation noise by providing longer averaging periods. Basis for the derived transport variations are high-resolution OBP fields determined in an ensemble Kalman filter approach. This allows us to also propagate the inherent observational noise to transport level and together with glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) und hydrological model statistics quantify the uncertainty and sensitivity of the derived transport time series. We further contrast results for the Atlantic and Southern Ocean and show the different impact of the satellite observation geometry on meridional and zonal transport estimates.

How to cite: Kvas, A., Bentel, K., Behzadpour, S., and Mayer-Gürr, T.: Twenty years of volume transport from satellite gravimetry in the Atlantic and Southern Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12684, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12684, 2022.

EGU22-241 | Presentations | G3.2

Inferring Near-Surface Density and Surface Roughness from Satellite-Based Radar Altimetry over Greenland 

Kirk Michael Scanlan and Sebastian B. Simonsen

Estimates of mass balance across the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) are commonly based on the joint interpretation of satellite radar altimetry measurements and the outputs of climate models. Conventional radar altimetry measurements, such as those produced by ESA’s CryoSat-2 platform, provide an observational constraint on the physical dimensions of the ice sheet (i.e., surface height), while climate models attempt to constrain relevant mass fluxes (i.e., precipitation, run-off, and evaporation/sublimation). However, this approach provides no direct observational insight into the large-scale state and temporal evolution of near-surface density across the ice sheet; a critical quantity through which surface deformation and mass flux estimates are linked to overall mass balance.

To date, the analysis of space-based radar altimetry measurements over the GrIS has been predominantly concerned with determining the range between the satellite and the surface as a means of quantifying changes in ice column thickness. While some studies have investigated the relative shape of the measured return echo, little attention has been paid to its actual recorded strength. Radar Statistical Reconnaissance (RSR), originally developed for use with radar reflections from the surface of Mars, provides a framework for the interpretation of backscattered surface echo powers and the quantitative estimation of near-surface properties. The RSR method relies on using the distribution of a set of observed echo strengths in order to determine their coherent and incoherent components. These decomposed reflection components are then assumed to be related to near-surface density (coherent) and wavelength-scale surface roughness (incoherent) respectively.

In this study, we present the first attempt to apply the RSR methodology to Ku-band (SIRAL; on-board ESA CryoSat-2) and Ka-band (ALtiKa; on-board ISRO/CNES SARAL) radar altimetry measurements acquired over the GrIS. In continual operation since July 2010 and March 2013 respectively, the longevity of these spacecraft along with their dense spatial coverage of the GrIS provides a tantalizing opportunity to produce long-term trends in near-surface density. Surface echo powers are extracted from recorded waveforms contained in CryoSat-2 SARin FBR data products as well as SARAL SGDR data products and organized by month. We focus on waveforms in the CryoSat-2 SARin FBR data products in lieu of those from LRM Level 1B data products in order to increase the spatial density of surface echo power measurements and therefore, the spatial resolution of the RSR results. Estimates of coherent and incoherent power are then produced on a month-by-month basis for a constant set of grid points (5 km by 5 km spacing) across the GrIS. We calibrate the coherent component of the CryoSat-2 and SARAL surface echoes to near-surface density using in situ measurements from the SUMup dataset.

This research into leveraging the radiometric information previously ignored in radar altimetry measurements to determine near-surface densities across the GrIS is a new frontier in Earth Observation. The capability to observationally determine near-surface density across the GrIS represents a fundamental contribution to refining surface mass balance estimates and understanding the evolution of the ice sheet in face of a changing climate.

How to cite: Scanlan, K. M. and Simonsen, S. B.: Inferring Near-Surface Density and Surface Roughness from Satellite-Based Radar Altimetry over Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-241, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-241, 2022.

EGU22-538 | Presentations | G3.2

Exploring Coastal Altimetry Datasets for Indonesian Seas in relation to Local Tide Gauges 

Zulfikar Adlan Nadzir, Luciana Fenoglio-Marc, Bernd Uebbing, and Jürgen Kusche

Satellite Altimetry has been continuously providing precise sea level for the last 28 years. However, the conventional altimetry is not at its best for the coast because it is hampered by mixed returns of electromagnetic waves due to disturbance from lands and inconsistencies of corrections. Since coastal regions are a vital part of human societies, improving methods to understand the coastal ocean topography, sea level, and its change is essential. In the last seven years alone, there are several specifically-designed coastal retracker that aimed to overcome the disturbance that occurred on the coasts. However, until now, there are only a few extensive studies have compared the accuracy and precision of retrackers and range corrections combination with regards to tide gauges on the coast of Indonesia. A region where the oceanographic condition and land and sea interaction is challenging, mainly due to the existence of shallow seas, narrow straits, and bays.

In this study, we compare sea level heights obtained using six processing schemes mostly dedicated to coastal areas. Three of them are for conventional altimetry (ALES, X-TRACK, and X-TRACK/ALES) and the other for SAR altimetry (STARS, SAMOSA++ in SARvatore and SINCS in TUDaBo). The first covers 20 years and corresponds to the repeat-track phase of Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3. The second covers 10 years and corresponds to the SAR-mode measurements of Cryosat-2, Sentinel-3A/3B, and Sentinel-6. We apply similar state-of-the-art corrections designed for coastal areas.

On the other hand, a set of Indonesian tide gauge stations are being evaluated and selected in terms of their time series and their relationship with the GNSS station near it, identifying the effect of vertical land motion. Those tide gauges are considered as reference and used to assess which combination of retrackers and range corrections provide the sea level height which best agrees with in-situ data.

The results will have implications for understanding the goodness of altimetry processing schemes and of the corrections in the coastal zone, at less than 10 km. Moreover, the result is also will be used to determine precise MDT and in turn, gravity anomaly of Indonesian seas.

How to cite: Nadzir, Z. A., Fenoglio-Marc, L., Uebbing, B., and Kusche, J.: Exploring Coastal Altimetry Datasets for Indonesian Seas in relation to Local Tide Gauges, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-538, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-538, 2022.

EGU22-2834 | Presentations | G3.2

Increased variability in Greenland Ice Sheet runoff detected by CryoSat-2 satellite altimetry 

Thomas Slater, Andrew Shepherd, Malcolm McMillan, Amber Leeson, Lin Gilbert, Alan Muir, Peter Kuipers Munneke, Brice Noël, Xavier Fettweis, Michiel van den Broeke, and Kate Briggs

Runoff from the Greenland Ice Sheet has increased over recent decades affecting global sea level, regional ocean circulation, and coastal marine ecosystems. Runoff now accounts for most of Greenland’s contemporary mass imbalance, driving a decline in its net surface mass balance as the regional climate has warmed. Although automatic weather stations provide point measurements of surface mass balance components, and satellite observations have been used to monitor trends in the extent of surface melting, regional climate models have been the principal source of ice sheet wide estimates of runoff. To date however, the potential of satellite altimetry to directly monitor ice sheet surface mass balance has yet to be exploited. Here, we explore the feasibility of measuring ice sheet surface mass balance from space by using CryoSat-2 satellite altimetry to produce direct measurements of Greenland’s runoff variability, based on seasonal changes in the ice sheet’s surface elevation. Between 2011 and 2020, Greenland’s ablation zone thinned on average by 1.4 ± 0.4 m each summer and thickened by 0.9 ± 0.4 m each winter. By adjusting for the steady-state divergence of ice, we estimate that runoff was 357 ± 58 Gt/yr on average – in close agreement with regional climate model simulations (root mean square difference of 47 to 60 Gt/yr). As well as being 21 % higher between 2011 and 2020 than over the preceding three decades, runoff is now also 60 % more variable from year-to-year as a consequence of large-scale fluctuations in atmospheric circulation. In total, the ice sheet lost 3571 ± 182 Gt of ice through runoff over the 10-year survey period, with record-breaking losses of 527 ± 56 Gt/yr first in 2012 and then 496 ± 53 Gt/yr in 2019. Because this variability is not captured in global climate model simulations, our satellite record of runoff should help to refine them and improve confidence in their projections.

How to cite: Slater, T., Shepherd, A., McMillan, M., Leeson, A., Gilbert, L., Muir, A., Kuipers Munneke, P., Noël, B., Fettweis, X., van den Broeke, M., and Briggs, K.: Increased variability in Greenland Ice Sheet runoff detected by CryoSat-2 satellite altimetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2834, 2022.

Measuring river water level is essential for the global freshwater system monitoring, water resource management, hydrological model development, and climate change assessment. Despite its importance, the number of in-situ gauges has decreased over the recent decades. Moreover, many of the river systems are monitored either sparsely or not long enough to investigate their long-term evolution. Satellite altimetry is a unique technique that has enabled quantifying river levels for more than 25 years. Single mission altimetric water level time series can be obtained at the intersection of the satellite ground tracks and the river. For operational hydrology, however, single mission satellite altimetry is limited in its spatial and temporal sampling governed by the orbit configuration. This study proposes a framework to estimate the long-term sub-monthly river water level over the entire river using Least-Squares Collocation (LSC) by benefiting from multi-mission altimetric water levels (both interleaved and repeat orbit missions). The proposed method allows us to obtain dense water level observations both in time and space.  We present the results over the Mackenzie River basin, located in Canada, and validate against in-situ data.

How to cite: Saemian, P., Tourian, M. J., and Sneeuw, N.: A least-squares collocation approach to densifying river level from multi-mission satellite altimetry; Case study Mackenzie River basin, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3699, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3699, 2022.

EGU22-4221 | Presentations | G3.2

Influence of environmental factors on the accuracy of the Sentinel-3A altimetry over Polish rivers 

Michał Halicki and Tomasz Niedzielski

Satellite altimetry is a technique of measuring height. Originally developed to observe sea level dynamics, altimetry has proven its usefulness in monitoring inland waters. Over the recent years these observations became an important supplement to the classical river gauge records. Due to the improvement of the accuracy of altimetric measurements, river water levels are being used in numerous hydrological projects, aiming to calculate water storage or to predict water levels and river discharges. Despite the improving quality of altimetric data, the accuracy of river stage measurements is still in the decimetre range, an order of magnitude lower than altimetry-based sea level observations. This is due to several factors that can lead to the deterioration of altimeter readings.

Our study is the first attempt to assess the accuracy of water levels measured by the Sentinel-3A altimetry at virtual stations (intersections of a satellite ground tracks and a river channel, hereinafter abbreviated as VS) located along Polish rivers. Further, this study aims to investigate the influence of the environmental factors on the data accuracy. The study is conducted on six biggest Polish rivers (Vistula, Odra, Warta, Bug, Narew, San) which drain predominantly lowlands, and – based on width – can be classified as small and medium rivers (40–610 m in width).

In order to assess the accuracy of measurements at virtual sites, we compare water level anomalies of these readings with stages from two adjacent gauges: one downstream and one upstream a VS. In this study we used Sentinel-3A water levels from the Hydroweb database (http://hydroweb.theia-land.fr/ – last access 09.01.2022). The time span of gauge and altimetry data ranges from April 2016 to August 2019. Since the virtual sites are located up to 73 km away from the adjacent gauges (with mean distance of 20.12 km), we decided to calculate the time shift occurring between the analysed stations. Such a unification of times is based on a two-gauge relationship, calculated for each of the satellite measurements.

We found that the root mean square error ranges from 0.12 to 0.44 m, with mean of 0.22 m. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) varies between 0.40 and 0.98 (with mean of 0.84) for 67 pairs of time series, out of 68 considered. We found no correlation between the accuracy of Sentinel-3A water levels and the river width, neither for the small nor medium river sections. Likewise, land cover (determined using the Corine Land Cover 2018 data) has not been identified as an environmental factor to constrain the data accuracy. However, we found that complex river channel morphology (i.e. the occurrence of sandbars) and the unfavourable geographical setting of the VS (river channel parallel to satellite ground track or its multiple crossing) occur more often at VS with lower NSE (⩽0.8).

This study confirms the usability of the Sentinel-3A altimetry over Polish rivers and identifies factors to constrain its accuracy. The research is supported by the National Science Centre, Poland, through the project no. 2020/38/E/ST10/00295. Our results were recently published in Journal of Hydrology (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127355).

How to cite: Halicki, M. and Niedzielski, T.: Influence of environmental factors on the accuracy of the Sentinel-3A altimetry over Polish rivers, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4221, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4221, 2022.

EGU22-4946 | Presentations | G3.2

Systematic errors in Cryosat-2 swath elevations and their impacts on glacier mass balance estimates 

Jan Haacker, Bert Wouters, and Cornelis Slobbe

Almost ten years ago, the first elevation estimates based on swath processing of interferometric CryoSat-2 altimeter observations were published, mapping the surface of Devon ice cap. The new method holds a great potential to provide dense data coverage, in space and time. Indeed, ESA recently started releasing digital elevation models at a 2 by 2 km resolution for a rolling 3 month data aggregation cycle. Such spatiotemporal resolutions are especially valuable in versatile and dynamic regions as mountain glaciers. In this presentation, we describe systematic errors on the order of 10 m with about yearly periodicity that arise in the proximity of hills and valleys. One error is caused by the superposition of multiple signals, the other is caused by the Fourier-transformation in the SAR beam-forming process. Both are intrinsic to the measuring concept, but their effect can potentially be limited by data filtering strategies. We report the influence of the commonly used coherence and power threshold based filtering on derived elevation change rates. For data users, awareness of these issues is especially important to interpret the observations correctly and to understand that there is a large systematic part in the overall uncertainty.

How to cite: Haacker, J., Wouters, B., and Slobbe, C.: Systematic errors in Cryosat-2 swath elevations and their impacts on glacier mass balance estimates, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4946, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4946, 2022.

EGU22-7598 | Presentations | G3.2

Validation of conventional and retracked Sentinel-3 observations along the Norwegian coast 

Matea Tomic, Gholamreza Joodaki, Kristian Breili, Christian Gerlach, and Vegard Ophaug

Satellite altimetry is one of the fundamental techniques for Earth observation, which provides precise measurements with frequent sampling and global coverage. However, its performance is degraded in coastal areas due to different factors, such as land contamination, erroneous tropospheric corrections or complex tidal patterns. In order to improve performance of satellite altimetry in the coastal zones, an increasing number of dedicated coastal altimetry products have been developed and validated in specific areas in later years. Those products are based on the improved analysis of backscattered signals in order to increase accuracy of altimetry observations in the coastal zones. One such product is the Adaptive Leading Edge Subwaveform (ALES) retracker, specifically aimed at the issue of land contamination. As of yet, it has not been validated along the whole, complex Norwegian coastline, with thousands of small islands, narrow fjords, and rough topography.  Thus, this study aims to validate the ALES retracker along the Norwegian coast, comparing conventional and ALES-retracked Sentinel-3 A/B observations with tide gauge observations. Altimetry-tide gauge comparison pairs are found by considering altimetry observations within optimum radii around each tide gauge, determined by minimizing the root mean square of differences (RMSD) for a range of candidate radii. It was found that the optimum radii for tide gauges located towards the open ocean are smaller than for those located inside fjords, because the observation accuracy degrades in the latter areas. Thus, it was necessary to increase radii, i.e. to include more points on the open-sea, for tide gauges inside fjords in order to minimize the RMSD. It was concluded that the ALES dataset generally gave better results (in terms of RMSD and correlation to the tide gauges) than conventional datasets, as well as giving a larger number of valid observations. The results are promising for future optimal combination of altimetry observations with other available sea-level observations in the coastal zone, e.g., from tide gauges, ships, unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) or airborne LiDAR. A prerequisite for such a combination is a reliable error description of each data type, to which the current study serves as a contribution. 

How to cite: Tomic, M., Joodaki, G., Breili, K., Gerlach, C., and Ophaug, V.: Validation of conventional and retracked Sentinel-3 observations along the Norwegian coast, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7598, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7598, 2022.

EGU22-10723 | Presentations | G3.2

Impact analysis of surface water level and discharge from the new generation of altimetry observations 

Luciana Fenoglio-Marc, Hakan Uyanik, Jiaming Chen, and Jürgen Kusche

Surface water level and river discharge are key observables of the water cycle and among the most sensible indicators that integrate long-term change within a river basin. Satellite altimetry provides valuable information on water level variation in rivers, lakes and reservoirs and once combined with satellite imagery, river discharge and lake storage changes can be estimated. Over the last decade, a two-dimensional observational field is derived by merging innovative space and in-situ data. The new generation of spaceborne altimeters includes Delay Doppler since 2010 with CryoSat-2, laser technique since 2018 with ICESAT-2 and bistatic SAR altimeter techniques with SWOT planned to be launched late this year. This shows a potential for monitoring the impact of water use and to characterize climate change. The mission SWOT will provide river discharge innovatively derived from contemporaneous river slope, height and width observations.

Our hypothesis is that the new space missions provide (a) surface water levels of higher accuracy and resolution compared to previous altimetric and in-situ observations and (b) new parameters to estimate river discharge and water storage change. A better sampling of flood event detection and of the long-term evolution is expected. We discuss here methodology and applications for satellite altimetry in the fields of hydrology and consider the two open research questions: (1) How can we fully exploit the new missions to derive best estimates of water level and storage change and river discharge and (2) can we separate natural variability from human water use.

For the first goal, we derive a multi-sensor database in an automatic processing which identifies the virtual gauge location and constructs the water height and water extension time-series. Water heights of the official release and of enhanced processing in project Hydrocoastal and in-house are used. Discharge and storage change time-series are derived from hydraulic equations using water extension and slope. First river basin considered is the Rhine river basin, where we obtain at 20 virtual stations a mean accuracy of 15 cm comparing altimeter and river height data. The derived discharge agrees within 18% with the in-situ discharge estimate.

For the second goal, we study past and present discharge and storage change, which are responses to both anthropogenic (deforestation, land use change, urbanization, reservoirs) and natural (climate modes, climate variability, rainfall, glacier and snow melting) processes. We discuss potential and limitations of satellite altimetry constellations for monitor recent river extremes and long-term changes. The work is part of Collaborative Research Centre CRC1502 “Regional Climate Change: Disentangling the role of Land Use and water management” of the German Research Foundation DFG.

How to cite: Fenoglio-Marc, L., Uyanik, H., Chen, J., and Kusche, J.: Impact analysis of surface water level and discharge from the new generation of altimetry observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10723, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10723, 2022.

Multi-Frequency and multi-Satellite Approaches for enhanced snow, ice and elevation in the polar oceans: updates from Polar+ and Cryosat+ ESA projects

We propose new methods for multi-frequency snow, ice and sea surface retrievals building on the legacy of the Arctic+ Snow project where we developed two products: the dual-altimetry Snow Thickness (DuST) and the Snow on Drifting Sea Ice (SnoDSI) and on the recent ESA projects: Polar+ Snow on Sea Ice and CryoSat+ Antarctic Ocean.  

The primary objective of the Polar+ Snow of Sea Ice ESA project is to investigate multi-frequency approaches to retrieve snow thickness over all types of sea ice surfaces in the Arctic and provide a state-of-the-art snow product. Our approach follows ESA ITT recommendations to prioritise satellite-based products and will benefit from the recent "golden era in polar altimetry" with the successful launch of the laser altimeter ICESat-2 in 2018 complementing data provided by the rich fleet of radar altimeters, CryoSat-2, Sentinel-3 A/B, AltiKa. Our primary objective is to produce an optimal snow product over the recent "operational" period. This will be complemented by additional snow products covering a longer periods of climate relevance and making use of historical altimeters (Envisat, ICESat-1) and passive microwave radiometers for comparison purposes (SMOS, AMSRE, AMSR-2).

The CryoSat+ Antarctic Ocean ESA project aims at exploring alternative methods to derive sea ice thickness and sea surface height measurements over the Antarctic Ocean. The potential of CryoSat-2 to retrieve information on mesoscale features over the area is also explored.  Exciting new results include (i) a detailed inter-comparison of all processing options along-track; (ii) novel optimal interpolation techniques; (iii) dual frequency approaches tested in the SO for snow retrieval; (iv) Lagrangian drift snow products for the SO. This work is supporting the progress of the gridded product development during. Complementing this project, a new ESA project looking at tides in the Southern Ocean (ALBATROSS) started and will offer a clear pathway to impact to the new algorithms developed as part of CSAO. 

We will present exciting methods explored to validate our results against in situ, airborne and other satellite data, including from NASA’s ICESat-2.

How to cite: Tsamados, M. and the POLAR+ Snow on Sea Ice team: Multi-Frequency and multi-Satellite Approaches for enhanced snow, ice and elevation in the polar oceans: updates from Polar+ and Cryosat+ ESA projects, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12366, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12366, 2022.

EGU22-13067 | Presentations | G3.2

Applications of Satellite Altimetry Observations 

Margaret Srinivasan, Vardis Tsontos, and Faisal Hossain

Thirty years of altimetry satellite observations have provided important information that enables research discoveries and aids in the development of user-driven applications. National and international space and operational agencies have committed substantial resources to developing and continuing observations of the ocean and large water bodies (lakes, reservoirs, large rivers) through collaboration in these missions. Over the next few years, NASA and other agencies will launch new research missions with technologies that will extend, expand, and evolve observations of ocean, coastal and inland waters. New discoveries and advances in societally relevant applications can be leveraged with increased spatial, temporal and spectral resolutions. We will highlight the use of data from these existing and planned missions for operational and applied user-driven applications and their societal benefits. Topics may include the use of existing, retrospective, and expected time series that contribute to applications such as marine operations, marine biology and biodiversity, coastal studies, hurricanes and other hazards, as well as hydrologic assessments, water resources management, and other surface water applications.

How to cite: Srinivasan, M., Tsontos, V., and Hossain, F.: Applications of Satellite Altimetry Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13067, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13067, 2022.

EGU22-13466 | Presentations | G3.2

Monitoring SAR-altimeter missions at non-dedicated tide gauge stations in the German Bight 

Saskia Esselborn and Tilo Schöne

Sea level variations from satellite altimetry need to be consistently calibrated and monitored when used for climate studies. Here, we focus on the estimation of biases and the monitoring of precision and drifts of three SAR-altimeter missions (Sentinel-3A, Sentinel-3B and Sentinel-6MF) at eleven tide gauge stations in the German Bight (Southeastern North Sea). The corresponding operational GNSS-controlled tide gauge stations are partly located in open water, partly at the coast close to mudflats and deliver data every minute in the period 2016 to 2021. Instantaneous sea level (total water envelope) from altimetry is extracted at virtual stations in close vicinity to the gauges (2 to 24 km) and for different retrackers. The processing is optimized for the region and empirically adjusted for the comparison with the nearby tide gauges readings. The precision of the altimeters is depending on location and mission and is shown to be better than 3 cm. The relative drifts between tide gauges and altimetry are discussed.

How to cite: Esselborn, S. and Schöne, T.: Monitoring SAR-altimeter missions at non-dedicated tide gauge stations in the German Bight, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13466, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13466, 2022.

EGU22-50 | Presentations | G3.3

Towards an improved understanding of vertical land motion and sea-level change in eastern North America 

Soran Parang, Glenn A. Milne, Makan A. Karegar, and Lev Tarasov

Many coastal cities are an early casualty in climate-related coastal flooding because of processes resulting in land subsidence and thus enhanced relative sea-level (RSL) rise. Much of the Atlantic coast of North America has been sinking for thousands of years, at a maximum rate of ~20 cm per century as a consequence of solid Earth deformation in response to deglaciation of the Laurentide ice sheet (between ~18,000 and ~7,000 years ago) [e.g. Love et al., Earth's Future, 4(10), 2016]. Karegar et al. [Geophysical Research Letters, 43(7), 2016] have shown that vertical land motion along the Atlantic coast of the USA is an important control on nuisance flooding. A key finding in this study is that while glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) is the dominant process driving land subsidence in most areas, there can be large deviations from this signal due to the influence of anthropogenic activity impacting hydrological processes. For example, between Maine (45°N) and New Hampshire (43°N), the GPS data show uplift while geological data show long-term subsidence. The cause of this discrepancy is not clear, but one hypothesis is increasing water mass associated with the James Bay Hydroelectric Project in Quebec [Karegar et al., Scientific Reports, 7, 2017].

The primary aim of this study is to better constrain and understand the processes that contribute to contemporary and future vertical land motion in this region to produce improved projections of mean sea-level change and nuisance flooding. The first step towards achieving these aims is to determine a GIA model parameter set that is compatible with observations of past sea-level change for this region. We make use of two regional RSL data compilations: Engelhart and Horton [Quaternary Science Reviews, 54, 2012] for northern USA and Vacchi et al. [Quaternary Science Reviews, 201, 2018] for Eastern Canada, comprising a total of 1013 data points (i.e., sea level index points and limiting data points) over 38 regions distributed throughout our study region. These data are well suited to determine optimal GIA model parameters due to the magnitude of other signals being much smaller, particularly in near-field regions such as Eastern Canada. We consider a suite of 32 ice history models that is comprised mainly of a subset from Tarasov et al. [Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 315–316, 2012] as well as the ICE-6G and ANU models. We have computed RSL for these ice histories using a state-of-the-art sea-level calculator and 440 1-D Earth viscosity models per each ice history model to identify a set of Earth model parameters that is compatible with the observations.

How to cite: Parang, S., Milne, G. A., Karegar, M. A., and Tarasov, L.: Towards an improved understanding of vertical land motion and sea-level change in eastern North America, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-50, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-50, 2022.

EGU22-852 | Presentations | G3.3

The inclusion of ice model uncertainty in 3D Glacial Isostatic Adjustment modelling: a case study from the Russian Arctic 

Tanghua Li, W. Richard Peltier, Gordan Stuhne, Nicole Khan, Alisa Baranskaya, Timothy Shaw, Patrick Wu, and Benjamin Horton

The western Russian Arctic was partially covered by the Eurasian ice sheet complex during the Last Glacial Maximum (~26 ka BP) and is a focus area for Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) studies. However, there have been few GIA studies conducted in the Russian Arctic due to the lack of high quality deglacial relative sea-level (RSL) data. Recently, Baranskaya et al. (2018) released a quality-controlled deglacial RSL database for the Russian Arctic that consists of ~400 sea-level index points and ~250 marine and terrestrial limiting data that constrain RSL since 20 ka BP. Here, we use the RSL database to constrain the 3D Earth structure beneath the Russian Arctic, with consideration of the uncertainty in ice model ICE-7G_NA, which is assessed via iteratively refining the ice model with fixed 1D Earth model to achieve a best fit with the RSL data. Also, the uncertainties in 3D Earth parameters and RSL predictions are investigated.

 

We find an optimal 3D Earth model (Vis3D) improves the fit with the deglacial RSL data compared with the VM7 1D model when fixed with the ICE-7G_NA ice model. Similarly, we show improved fit in the White Sea area, where 1D model shows notable misfits, with the refined ice model ICE-7G_WSR when fixed with VM7 Earth model. The comparable fits of ICE-7G_NA (Vis3D) and ICE-7G_WSR (VM7) implies that the uncertainty in the ice model might be improperly mapped into 3D viscosity structure when a fixed ice model is employed. Furthermore, fixed with refined ice model ICE-7G_WSR, we find an optimal 3D Earth model (Vis3D_R), which fits better than ICE-7G_WSR (VM7), and the magnitude of lateral heterogeneity decreases significantly from Vis3D to Vis3D_R.  We conclude that uncertainty in the ice model needs to be considered in 3D GIA studies.

How to cite: Li, T., Peltier, W. R., Stuhne, G., Khan, N., Baranskaya, A., Shaw, T., Wu, P., and Horton, B.: The inclusion of ice model uncertainty in 3D Glacial Isostatic Adjustment modelling: a case study from the Russian Arctic, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-852, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-852, 2022.

EGU22-918 | Presentations | G3.3

Regional GIA: modelling choices and community needs 

Riccardo Riva

GIA is a global process, because of gravitational effects, its interplay with earth rotation, and the large spatial extent of ice-sheet and ocean loading. However, mainly due to the presence of heterogeneities in the structure of crust and upper mantle, modelling of GIA signals often requires a regional approach. This is particularly true in the light of continuous advances in earth observation techniques, that allow increasingly accurate determination of land deformation, coastal sea level change, and mass balance of glaciers and ice sheets.

This talk will address a number of open issues related to regional GIA models, such as the effect of transient and non-linear rheologies, and the complementary role of forward and semi-empirical approaches, with an eye on the needs of the geodetic, sea level and cryosphere communities.

How to cite: Riva, R.: Regional GIA: modelling choices and community needs, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-918, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-918, 2022.

EGU22-1343 | Presentations | G3.3

Resolving the Influence of Ice Stream Instability on Postglacial Relative Sea-Level Histories: the case of the St Lawrence River Channel Ice Stream 

Richard Peltier, Tanghua Li, Gordan Stuhnne, Jesse Velay-Vitow, Matteo Vacchi, Simon Englehart, and Benjamin Horton

A challenge to understanding Late Quaternary glaciation history is the mechanism(s) responsible for the asymmetry in an individual glaciation cycle between the slow pace of glaciation and the more rapid pace of deglaciation (e.g., Broecker and Van Donk, 1970). It is increasingly clear that a major contributor to the rate of global deglaciation is the instability of marine terminating ice streams. Recent analyses by Velay-Vitow et al. (2020) suggest that these instabilities were often triggered by ocean tides of anomalously high amplitude. Examples include the Hudson Strait Ice Stream responsible for Heinrich Event 1 (H1) and the Amundsen Gulf Ice Stream. Here, we analyse the instability of the Laurentian Channel and St Lawrence River Channel ice stream system. Our analysis begins with the recognition of highly significant misfits of up to 60 m at ~9,000 calendar years ago between deglacial relative sea-level histories inferred by Vacchi et al. (2018) at sites along the St Lawrence River Channel and those predicted by the ICE-6G_C (VM5a) and ICE-7G_NA (VM7) models of the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment process. We suggest that these disagreements between models and data may be due to the St Lawrence River Channel ice stream becoming unstable during the deglaciation of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) due to the hypothesized tidal mechanism for ice stream destabilization. We investigate a sequence of scenarios designed to provide a best estimate of the timing of this event. Since this ice stream penetrated deeply into the interior of the LIS and was connected to the Laurentian Channel ice stream, the instability of the latter was required in order for destabilization of the St Lawrence River channel ice stream to be possible. We explore the consistency of the implied sequence of events with the observational constraints.

How to cite: Peltier, R., Li, T., Stuhnne, G., Velay-Vitow, J., Vacchi, M., Englehart, S., and Horton, B.: Resolving the Influence of Ice Stream Instability on Postglacial Relative Sea-Level Histories: the case of the St Lawrence River Channel Ice Stream, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1343, 2022.

EGU22-1447 | Presentations | G3.3 | Highlight

Benchmark of numerical GIA codes capable of laterally heterogeneous earth structures 

Volker Klemann, Jacky Austermann, Meike Bagge, Natasha Barlow, Jeffrey Freymueller, Pingping Huang, Erik R. Ivins, Andrew Lloyd, Zdeněk Martinec, Glenn Milne, Alessio Rovere, Holger Steffen, Rebekka Steffen, Wouter van der Wal, Maryam Yousefi, and Shijie Zhong

During the last decade there has been an increasing demand to improve models of present-day loading processes and glacial-isostatic adjustment (GIA). This is especially important when modelling the GIA process in tectonically active regions like the Pacific Northwest, Patagonia or West Antarctica. All these regions are underlain by zones of low-viscosity mantle. Although one-dimensional earth models may be sufficient to model local-scale uplift within these regions, modeling of the wider-scale deformation patterns requires consideration of three-dimensional viscosity structure that is consistent with other geophysical and laboratory findings. It is this wider-scale modeling that is necessary for earth-system model applications as well as for the validation or reduction of velocity fields determined by geodetic observation networks based on GNSS, for improving satellite gravimetry, and for present-day sea-level change as paleo sea-level reconstructions.

There are a number of numerical GIA codes in the community, which can consider lateral variations in viscoelastic earth structure, but a proper benchmark focusing on lateral heterogeneity is missing to date. Accordingly, ambiguity remains when interpreting the modelling results. The numerical codes are based on rather different methods to solve the respective field equations applying, e.g., finite elements, finite volumes, finite differences or spectral elements. Aspects like gravity, compressibility and rheology are dealt with differently. In this regard, the set of experiments to be performed has to be agreed on carefully, and we have to accept that not all structural features can be considered in every code.

We present a tentative catalogue of synthetic experiments. These are designed to isolate different aspects of lateral heterogeneity of the Earth's interior and investigate their impact on vertical and horizontal surface displacements, geocenter and polar motion, gravity, sea-level change and stress. The study serves as a follow up of the successful benchmarks of Spada et al. (2011) and Martinec et al. (2018) on 1D earth models and the sea-level equation. The study was initiated by the PALSEA-SERCE Workshop in 2021 (Austermann and Simms, 2022) and benefits from discussions inside different SCAR-INSTANT subcommittees, the IAG Joint Study Group 3.1 “Geodetic, Seismic and Geodynamic Constraints on Glacial Isostatic Adjustment", the IAG Subcommission 3.4 “Cryospheric Deformation" and PALSEA.

References:

Austermann, J., Simms, A., 2022 (in press). Unraveling the complex relationship between solid Earth deformation and ice sheet change. PAGES Mag., 30(1). doi:10.22498/pages.30.1.14

Martinec, Z., Klemann, V., van der Wal, W., Riva, R. E. M., Spada, G., Sun, Y., Melini, D., Kachuck, S. B., Barletta, V., Simon, K., A, G., James, T. S., 2018. A benchmark study of numerical implementations of the sea level equation in GIA modelling. Geophys. J. Int., 215:389-414. doi:10.1093/gji/ggy280

Spada, G., Barletta, V. R., Klemann, V., Riva, R. E. M., Martinec, Z., Gasperini, P., Lund, B., Wolf, D., Vermeersen, L. L. A., King, M. A. (2011). A benchmark study for glacial isostatic adjustment codes. Geophys. J. Int., 185:106-132. doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.04952.x

How to cite: Klemann, V., Austermann, J., Bagge, M., Barlow, N., Freymueller, J., Huang, P., Ivins, E. R., Lloyd, A., Martinec, Z., Milne, G., Rovere, A., Steffen, H., Steffen, R., van der Wal, W., Yousefi, M., and Zhong, S.: Benchmark of numerical GIA codes capable of laterally heterogeneous earth structures, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1447, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1447, 2022.

EGU22-1479 | Presentations | G3.3

Peripheral and near field relative sea-level predictions using GIA models with 3D and regionally adapted 1D viscosity structures 

Meike Bagge, Volker Klemann, Bernhard Steinberger, Milena Latinovic, and Maik Thomas

Glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) describes the viscoelastic response of the solid Earth to ice-sheet and ocean loading. GIA models determine the relative sea-level based on the viscoelastic deformations of the Earth interior including self-gravitation due to the loading of the water redistribution between ocean and ice and rotational effects. Choosing an Earth structure that adequately reflects the viscoelastic behavior of a region remains a challenge. For a specific region, the viscosity stratification can be inferred from present-day geodetic measurements like sea-level, gravity change and surface displacements or from paleo observations of former sea level. Here, we use a suite of geodynamically constrained 3D Earth structures that are derived from seismic tomography models and create regionally adapted 1D Earth structures to investigate to what extent regional, radially symmetric structures are able to reproduce the solid Earth response of a laterally varying structure. We discuss sea-level variations during the deglaciation in the near field (beneath the former ice sheet) and peripheral regions (surrounding the ice sheet) with focus on North America and Antarctica as well as Oregon and Patagonia. The suite of 3D Earth structures vary in transfer functions from seismic velocity to viscosity, i.e., in Arrhenius law and viscosity contrast between upper mantle and transition zone. We investigate how the relative sea-level predictions of the model suite members are affected due to the simplification of the Earth structure from 3D to 1D.

In general, our results support previous studies showing that 1D models in peripheral regions are not able to reproduce the 3D models’ predictions, because the response depends on the deformational behavior beneath the adjacent ice sheet and the local structure (superposition). Furthermore, the analysis of the model suite members shows different response behaviors for the 1D and 3D cases, e.g., suite members with weaker dependence of viscosity on seismic velocity can predict lowest RSL for the 3D case, but largest RSL for the 1D case. This indicates the relevance of the 3D structure in peripheral regions. 1D models in the near field are more capable to reproduce 3D model response behavior. But also here, deviations indicate that the lateral variations in the Earth structure beneath the ice sheet influence local relative sea-level predictions. 

How to cite: Bagge, M., Klemann, V., Steinberger, B., Latinovic, M., and Thomas, M.: Peripheral and near field relative sea-level predictions using GIA models with 3D and regionally adapted 1D viscosity structures, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1479, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1479, 2022.

Further understanding of Antarctic Ice Sheet responses to global climate changes requires an accurate and continuous reconstruction of the AIS changes. However, the erosive nature of ice-sheet expansion and sea-level drop and the difficulty of accessing much of Antarctica make it difficult to obtain field-based evidence of ice-sheet and sea-level changes before the Last Glacial Maximum. Limited sedimentary records from the Indian Ocean sector of East Antarctica demonstrate that the sea level of Marine Isotope Stage 3 was close to the present level despite the global sea-level drop lower than −40 m. Although previous GIA-derived sea levels hardly explain these sea-level observations, we demonstrate glacial isostatic adjustment modeling with refined Antarctic Ice Sheet loading histories. Our experiments reveal that the Indian Ocean sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet would have been required to experience excess ice loads before the Last Glacial Maximum in order to explain the observed sea-level highstands during Marine Isotope Stage 3. We also conduct a sensitivity test of the small Northern American Ice Sheet during Marine Isotope Stage 3, suggesting that this small ice sheet is not enough to achieve sea-level highstands during Marine Isotope Stage 3 in the Indian Ocean sector of East Antarctica. As such, we suggest that the Indian Ocean sector of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet reached its maximum thickness before the global Last Glacial Maximum.
 
Reference
Ishiwa, T., Okuno, J., and Suganuma, Y., 2021. Excess ice loads in the Indian Ocean sector of East Antarctica during the last glacial period. Geology, 49, 1182–1186. https://doi.org/10.1130/g48830.1

How to cite: Ishiwa, T., Okuno, J., and Suganuma, Y.: Excess ice loads prior to the Last Glacial Maximum in the Indian Ocean sector of East Antarctica derived from sea-level observations and GIA modeling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1568, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1568, 2022.

EGU22-1807 | Presentations | G3.3

Three-dimensional velocity variations due to ice mass changes in Greenland – Insights from a compressible glacial isostatic adjustment model 

Rebekka Steffen, Holger Steffen, Pingping Huang, Lev Tarasov, Kristian K. Kjeldsen, and Shfaqat A. Khan

The lithospheric thickness beneath and around Greenland varies from a few tens of kilometres in offshore regions to several tens of kilometres (up to 200 – 250 km) in land areas. But, due to different datasets and techniques applied in geophysical studies, there are large differences between the different geophysical lithosphere models. As an example, lithosphere models from seismological datasets show generally larger values (above 100 km), while models using gravity or thermal datasets tend to be thinner (values mostly below 100 km). To model the deformation associated with the melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet a detailed lithosphere model is required. Nevertheless, seismologically obtained lithosphere models are the ones usually applied in these so-called glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) models. Besides, GIA models can be used to provide additional constraints on the lithospheric thickness.

Results from most 3D GIA models are compared to observed vertical velocities only, while horizontal velocities are known to be sensitive to the lateral variations of the Earth (e.g., lithospheric thickness). But, horizontal velocities from incompressible GIA models, which are commonly used, are not suitable due to the neglect of material parameter changes related to the dilatation. Compressible GIA models in turn can provide more accurate estimates of the horizontal and vertical viscoelastic deformations induced by ice-mass changes. Here, we use a variety of lithospheric thickness models, obtained from gravity, thermal, and seismological datasets, in a three-dimensional compressible GIA Earth model. The GIA model will be constructed using the finite-element software ABAQUS (Huang et al., under review in GJI) and applying recent ice history models Huy3 and GLAC-GR2a for Greenland in combination with the Little Ice Age deglaciation model by Kjeldsen et al. (2015). We will compare various lithosphere models, including their impact on the modelled 3D velocity field, and compare these against independent GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) observations.

References:

Huang, P., Steffen, R., Steffen, H., Klemann, V., van der Wal, W., Reusen, J., Wu, P., Tanaka, Y., Martinec, Z., Thomas, M. (under review in GJI): A finite element approach to modelling Glacial Isostatic Adjustment on three-dimensional compressible earth models. Geophysical Journal International. Under review.

Kjeldsen, K., Korsgaard, N., Bjørk, A. et al. (2015): Spatial and temporal distribution of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet since AD 1900. Nature 528, 396–400, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16183.

How to cite: Steffen, R., Steffen, H., Huang, P., Tarasov, L., Kjeldsen, K. K., and Khan, S.: Three-dimensional velocity variations due to ice mass changes in Greenland – Insights from a compressible glacial isostatic adjustment model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1807, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1807, 2022.

EGU22-4475 | Presentations | G3.3

The effect of uncertain historical ice information on GIA modelling 

Reyko Schachtschneider, Jan Saynisch-Wagner, Volker Klemann, Meike Bagge, and Maik Thomas

When inferring mantle viscosity by modelling the effects of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) a necessary constraint is the external forcing by surface loading. Such forcing is usually provided by a glaciation history, where the mass-conserving sea-level changes are considered solving the sea-level equation. The uncertainties of glaciation history reconstructions are quite large and the choice of a specific history strongly influences the deformation response obtained by GIA modelling. The reason is that any history is usually based on a certain Earth rheology, and mantle viscosity inversions using such models tend to resemble the viscosity structure used for the glaciation history (Schachtschneider et al., 2022, in press). Furthermore, uncertainties of glaciation histories propagate into the respective GIA modelling results. However, to quantify the impact of glaciation history on GIA modelling remains a challenge.

In this study we investigate the effect of uncertainties in glaciation histories on GIA modelling. Using a particle-filter approach we study the effect of spatial and temporal variations in ice distribution as well as the effect of total ice mass. We quantify the effects on a one-dimensional viscosity stratification and derive measures to which extent changes in sea-level pattern and surface deformation depend on variations in ice loading.

 

References:

Schachtschneider, R., Saynisch-Wagner, J., Klemann, V., Bagge, M., Thomas, M. 2021. Nonlin. Proc. Geophys., https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-2021-22

How to cite: Schachtschneider, R., Saynisch-Wagner, J., Klemann, V., Bagge, M., and Thomas, M.: The effect of uncertain historical ice information on GIA modelling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4475, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4475, 2022.

EGU22-4969 | Presentations | G3.3 | Highlight

Sea level response to Quaternary erosion and deposition in Scandinavia 

Gustav Pallisgaard-Olesen, Vivi Kathrine Pedersen, Natalya Gomez, and Jerry X. Mitrovica

The landscape in western Scandinavia has undergone dramatic changes through numerous glaciations during the Quaternary. These changes in topography and in the volumes of offshore sediment deposition, have caused significant isostatic adjustments and local sea-level changes, owning to erosional unloading and de- positional loading of the lithosphere. This geomorphic mass redistribution also has the potential to perturb the geoid, resulting in additional sea-level changes. However, the combined sea-level response from these processes is yet to be investigated in detail for Scandinavia.

In this study we estimate the total sea-level change from i) late Pliocene- Quaternary onshore bedrock erosion and erosion of sediments on the coastal shelf and ii) the subsequent deposition in the Norwegian Sea, northern North Sea and the Danish region. We use a gravitationally self-consistent global sea- level model that includes the full viscoelastic response of the solid Earth to surface loading and unloading. In addition to total late Pliocene-Quaternary geomorphic mass redistribution, we also estimate transient sea-level changes related specifically to the two latest glacial cycles.

We utilize existing observations of offshore sediment thicknesses of glacial origin, and combine these with estimates of onshore glacial erosion and of erosion on the inner shelf. Based on these estimates, we define mass redistribution and construct a preglacial landscape setting as well as approximate a geomorphic history of the last two glacial cycles.

Our results show that erosion and deposition has caused a sea-level fall of ∼50-100 m along the southern coast of Norway during the last two glacial cycles reaching ∼120 m in the offshore Skagerak region. The total relative sea-level fall during the Quaternary reach as much as ∼350 m in Skagerak. This highlights the importance of accounting for geomorphic sediment redistribution in glacial isostatic-adjustment modelling when interpreting ice sheet histories and glacial rebound.

How to cite: Pallisgaard-Olesen, G., Pedersen, V. K., Gomez, N., and Mitrovica, J. X.: Sea level response to Quaternary erosion and deposition in Scandinavia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4969, 2022.

EGU22-5146 | Presentations | G3.3

The use of Non-Linear Geometry (NLGEOM) and gravity loading in flat and spherical Finite Element models of Abaqus for Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) 

Jesse Reusen, Pingping Huang, Rebekka Steffen, Holger Steffen, Caroline van Calcar, Bart Root, and Wouter van der Wal

In geodynamic studies, most Finite-Element (FE) models in the commercial FE software Abaqus use elastic foundations at internal boundaries. This method works well for incompressible and so-called material-compressible material parameters but it is unclear if it works sufficiently well for implementing compressibility, especially in a 3D spherical model. The latter is of importance in investigations of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A possible alternative method is based on a combination of explicit gravity loading with non-linear geometry (NLGEOM parameter in Abaqus) (Hampel et al., 2019). This method would remove the need to make a stress transformation to get the correct GIA stresses, and automatically accounts for the change in internal buoyancy forces that arises when allowing for compression, according to the Abaqus Documentation. We compared the method for (in)compressible flat (~half-space) FE models with existing numerical half-space and spherical (in)compressible codes and tested the applicability of this method in a spherical FE model. We confirm that this method works for multi-layer incompressible flat FE models. We furthermore notice that horizontal displacement rates of incompressible flat FE models match those of spherical incompressible GIA models below the current GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) measurement accuracy of 0.2-0.3 mm/a, but only for ice sheets that are smaller than 450 km in extent. For compressible models, disagreements in the vertical displacement rates are found between the flat NLGEOM model and the compressible Normal Mode code ICEAGE (Kaufmann, 2004). An extension of the NLGEOM-gravity method to a spherical FE model, where gravity must be implemented in the form of body forces combined with initial stress, leads to a divergence of the solution when viscous behaviour is turned on. We thus conclude that the applicability of the NLGEOM method is so far limited to flat FE models, and in GIA investigations for flat models the applicability further depends on the size of the load (ice sheet, glacier).

References:

Hampel, A., Lüke, J., Krause, T., & Hetzel, R., 2019. Finite-element modelling of glacial isostatic ad-
justment (GIA): Use of elastic foundations at material boundaries versus the geometrically non-linear
formulation, Computers & geosciences, 122, 1–14.

Kaufmann, G. (2004). Program Package ICEAGE, Version 2004. Manuscript. Institut für Geophysik der Universität Göttingen.

How to cite: Reusen, J., Huang, P., Steffen, R., Steffen, H., van Calcar, C., Root, B., and van der Wal, W.: The use of Non-Linear Geometry (NLGEOM) and gravity loading in flat and spherical Finite Element models of Abaqus for Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5146, 2022.

EGU22-6013 | Presentations | G3.3 | Highlight

A finite element approach to modelling Glacial Isostatic Adjustment on three-dimensional compressible earth models 

Pingping Huang, Rebekka Steffen, Holger Steffen, Volker Klemann, Wouter van der Wal, Jesse Reusen, Yoshiyuki Tanaka, Zdeněk Martinec, and Maik Thomas

A new finite element method called FEMIBSF is presented that is capable of modelling Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) on compressible earth models with three-dimensional (3D) structures. This method takes advantage of the classical finite element techniques to calculate the deformational and gravitational responses to the driving forces of GIA (including body forces and pressures on Earth’s surface and core-mantle boundary, namely CMB). Following Wu (2004) and Wong & Wu (2019), we implement the GIA driving forces in the commercial finite element software Abaqus and solve the equation of motion in an iterative manner. Different from those two studies, all formulations and calculations in this study are not associated with spherical harmonics but are performed in the spatial domain. Due to this, FEMIBSF is free from expanding the load, displacement, and potential into spherical harmonics with the short-wavelength components (of high degree and order) neglected. We compare the loading Love numbers (LLNs) generated by FEMIBSF with their analytical solutions for homogeneous models and numerical solutions for layered models calculated by the normal-mode approach/code, ICEAGE (Kaufmann, 2004), the iterative body force approach/code, IBF (Wong & Wu, 2019) and the spectral-finite element approach/code, VILMA-C (Martinec, 2000; Tanaka et al., 2011). We find that FEMIBSF agrees well with analytical and numerical LLN results of these codes. In addition, we show how to compute the degree-1 deformation directly in the spatial domain with the finite element approach and how to implement it in a GIA model using Abaqus. Finally, we demonstrate that the CMB pressure related to the gravitational potential change in the fluid core only influences the long-wavelength surface displacement and potential such as the degree-2 component.

 

References

 

Kaufmann, G. (2004). Program Package ICEAGE, Version 2004. Manuscript. Institut für Geophysik der Universität Göttingen.

 

Martinec, Z. (2000). Spectral–finite element approach to three-dimensional viscoelastic relaxation in a spherical earth. Geophysical Journal International142(1), 117-141.

 

Tanaka, Y., Klemann, V., Martinec, Z. & Riva, R. E. M. (2011). Spectral-finite element approach to viscoelastic relaxation in a spherical compressible Earth: application to GIA modelling. Geophysical Journal International184(1), 220-234.

 

Wong, M. C. & Wu, P. (2019). Using commercial finite-element packages for the study of Glacial Isostatic Adjustment on a compressible self-gravitating spherical earth–1: harmonic loads. Geophysical Journal International217(3), 1798-1820.

 

Wu, P. (2004). Using commercial finite element packages for the study of earth deformations, sea levels and the state of stress. Geophysical Journal International, 158(2), 401-408.

 
 
 

How to cite: Huang, P., Steffen, R., Steffen, H., Klemann, V., van der Wal, W., Reusen, J., Tanaka, Y., Martinec, Z., and Thomas, M.: A finite element approach to modelling Glacial Isostatic Adjustment on three-dimensional compressible earth models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6013, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6013, 2022.

EGU22-6236 | Presentations | G3.3

Identifying geographical patterns of transient deformation in the geological sea level record 

Karen M. Simon, Riccardo E. M. Riva, and Taco Broerse

In this study, we examine the effect of transient mantle creep on the prediction of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) signals. Specifically, we compare predictions of relative sea level change from GIA from a set of Earth models in which transient creep parameters are varied in a simple Burgers model to a reference case with a Maxwell viscoelastic rheology. The model predictions are evaluated in two ways: first, relative to each other to quantify the effect of parameter variation, and second, for their ability to reproduce well-constrained sea level records from selected locations. Both the resolution and geographic location of the relative sea level observations determine whether the data can distinguish between model cases. Model predictions are most sensitive to the inclusion of transient mantle deformation in regions that are near-field and peripheral relative to former ice sheets. This sensitivity appears particularly true along the North American west coast in the region of the former Cordilleran Ice Sheet, which experienced rapid sea-level fall following deglaciation between 14-12 kyr BP. Relative to the Maxwell case, Burgers models better reproduce this rapid phase of regional postglacial sea level fall. As well, computed goodness-of-fit values in this region show a clear preference for models where transient deformation is present in the whole or lower mantle, and for models where the rigidity of the Kelvin element is weakened relative to the rigidity of the Maxwell element. In contrast, model predictions of relative sea-level change in the far-field show little or weak sensitivity to the inclusion of transient deformation.

How to cite: Simon, K. M., Riva, R. E. M., and Broerse, T.: Identifying geographical patterns of transient deformation in the geological sea level record, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6236, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6236, 2022.

EGU22-6829 | Presentations | G3.3

Dependence of GIA-induced gravity change in Antarctica on viscoelastic Earth structure 

Yoshiya Irie, Jun'ichi Okuno, Takeshige Ishiwa, Koichiro Doi, and Yoichi Fukuda

The Antarctic ice mass loss is accelerating due to recent global warming. Changes in Antarctic ice mass have been observed as the gravity change by GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellites. However, the gravity signal includes both the component of the ice mass change and the component of the solid Earth response to surface mass change (Glacial Isostatic Adjustment, GIA). Evaluating the GIA-induced gravity change requires viscoelastic Earth structure and ice history from the last deglaciation.

Antarctica is characterized by lateral heterogeneity of seismic velocity structure. West Antarctica shows relatively low seismic velocities, suggesting low viscosity regions in the upper mantle. On the other hand, East Antarctica shows relatively high seismic velocities, suggesting thick lithosphere. Here we examine the sensitivities of GIA-induced gravity change in Antarctica to upper mantle viscosity and lithosphere thickness using spherically symmetric Earth models.

Results indicate that the gravity field change depends on both the upper mantle viscosity profile and the lithosphere thickness. In particular, the long-wavelength gravity field changes become dominant in the adoption of viscoelastic models with a low viscosity layer beneath the elastic lithosphere. The same trend is also shown in the adoption of viscoelastic models with a thick lithosphere, and there is a trade-off between the structure of the low viscosity layer and the thickness of the lithosphere. This trade-off may reduce the effect of the lateral variations in Earth structure beneath Antarctica on the estimate of Antarctic ice sheet mass change.

How to cite: Irie, Y., Okuno, J., Ishiwa, T., Doi, K., and Fukuda, Y.: Dependence of GIA-induced gravity change in Antarctica on viscoelastic Earth structure, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6829, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6829, 2022.

EGU22-7609 | Presentations | G3.3

Deglaciation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet modeled with the coupled solid Earth – ice sheet model system PISM-VILMA 

Torsten Albrecht, Ricarda Winkelmann, Meike Bagge, and Volker Klemann

The Antarctic Ice Sheet is the largest and most uncertain potential contributor to future sea level rise. Understanding involved feedback mechanisms require physically-based models. Confidence in future projections can be improved by models that can reproduce past ice sheet changes, in particular over the last deglaciation. The complex interaction between ice, bedrock and sea level plays an important role in ice sheet instability with a large variety of characteristic response time scales dependent on the heterogeneous Earth structure underneath Antarctica and the ice sheet dynamics.

We have coupled the VIscoelastic Lithosphere and MAntle model (VILMA) to the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM v2.0, www.pism.io) and ran simulations over the last two glacial cycles. In this framework, VILMA considers both viscoelastic deformations of the solid Earth by considering a three-dimensional rheology and a gravitationally self-consistent mass redistribution in the ocean by solving for the sea-level equation. PISM solves for the stress balance for a changing bed topography, which is updated in 100 years coupling intervals and which can directly affect ice sheet flow and grounding line dynamics.

Here, we show first results of coupled PISM-VILMA simulations scored against a database of geological constraints including sea level index points. We discuss sensitivities of model parameters and climatic forcing in preparation for a larger parameter ensemble study. This project is part of the German Climate Modeling Initiative PalMod.

 

How to cite: Albrecht, T., Winkelmann, R., Bagge, M., and Klemann, V.: Deglaciation of the Antarctic Ice Sheet modeled with the coupled solid Earth – ice sheet model system PISM-VILMA, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7609, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7609, 2022.

EGU22-7906 | Presentations | G3.3

Glacial Isostatic Adjustment in Antarctica : a rheological study 

Alexandre Boughanemi and Anthony Mémin

 The Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) is the largest ice sheet on Earth that has known important mass 
 changes during the last 20 kyrs. These changes deform the Earth and modify its gravity field, 
 a process known as Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA). GIA is directly influenced by the mechanical
 properties and internal structure of the Earth, and is monitored using Global Navigation Satellite 
 System positioning or gravity measurements. However, GIA in Antarctica remains poorly constrained  
 due to the cumulative effect of past and present ice-mass changes, the unknown history of the past
 ice-mass change, and the uncertainties of the mechanical properties of the Earth. The viscous 
 deformation due to GIA is usually modeled using a Maxwell rheology. However, other geophysical
 processes employ Andrade (tidal deformation) or Burgers (post-seismic deformation) laws that could 
 result in a more rapid response of the Earth. We investigate the effect of using these
 different rheology laws to model GIA-induced deformation in Antarctica.  

Employing the ALMA and TABOO softwares, we use the Love number and Green functions formalism to
compute the surface motion and the gravity changes induced by the past and present ice-mass redistributions.
We use the elastic properties and the radial structure of the preliminary reference Earth model (PREM) and the
viscosity profile given by Hanyk (1999). The deformation is computed for the three rheological laws mentioned
above using ICE-6G and elevation changes from ENVISAT (2002-2010) to represent the past and present changes
of the AIS, respectively. 

We obtain that the three rheological laws lead to significant Earth response within a 20 kyrs time interval since
the beginning of the ice-mass change. The differences are the largest between Maxwell and Burgers rheologies
during the 500 years following the beginning of the surface-mass change. Regarding the response to present
changes in Antarctica, the largest discrepancies are obtained in regions with the greatest current melting rates,
namely Thwaites and Pine Island Glacier in West Antarctica. Uplift rates computed twelve years after the end of
the present melting using Burgers and Andrade rheologies are five and two times larger than those obtained
using Maxwell, respectively. 

How to cite: Boughanemi, A. and Mémin, A.: Glacial Isostatic Adjustment in Antarctica : a rheological study, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7906, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7906, 2022.

EGU22-8112 | Presentations | G3.3

Investigating the Sensitivity of North Sea Glacial Isostatic Adjustment during the Last Interglacial to the Penultimate Deglaciation of Global Ice Sheets 

Oliver Pollard, Natasha Barlow, Lauren Gregoire, Natalya Gomez, Víctor Cartelle, Jeremy Ely, and Lachlan Astfalck

The Last Interglacial (LIG; MIS 5e) period (130 - 115 ka) saw the last time in Earth’s history that polar temperatures reached 3 - 5 °C above pre-industrial values causing the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to shrink to sizes smaller than those of today. Similar polar temperature increases are predicted in the coming decades and the LIG period could therefore help to shed light on ice-sheet and sea-level responses to a warming world. 

LIG estuarine sediments preserved in the North Sea region are promising study sites for identification of the Antarctic ice sheet's relative contribution to LIG sea level, as well as for the reconstruction of both the magnitude and rate of LIG sea-level change during the interglacial. For these purposes, sea-level records in the region must be corrected for the impacts of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) which is primarily a consequence of two components: the evolution of terrestrial ice masses during the Penultimate Deglaciation (MIS 6), predominantly the near-field Eurasian ice sheet, and the viscoelastic structure of the solid Earth. 

The relative paucity of geological constraints on characteristics of the MIS 6 Eurasian ice sheet makes it challenging to evaluate its effect on sea level in the North Sea region. In order to model the Eurasian ice extent, thickness, and volume during the Penultimate Deglaciation we use a simple ice sheet model (Gowan et al. 2016), calibrated against models of the Last Glacial Maximum. By employing a gravitationally consistent sea-level model (Kendall et al. 2005), we generate a large ensemble of GIA outputs that spans the uncertainty in parameters controlling both the viscoelastic earth model and the evolution of global ice sheets during the Penultimate Deglaciation. By performing spatial sensitivity analysis with this ensemble, we are able to demonstrate the relative importance of each parameter in controlling North Sea GIA. Our comprehensive approach to exploring uncertainties in both the global ice sheet evolution and solid earth response provides significant advances in our understanding of LIG sea level.

How to cite: Pollard, O., Barlow, N., Gregoire, L., Gomez, N., Cartelle, V., Ely, J., and Astfalck, L.: Investigating the Sensitivity of North Sea Glacial Isostatic Adjustment during the Last Interglacial to the Penultimate Deglaciation of Global Ice Sheets, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8112, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8112, 2022.

EGU22-8350 | Presentations | G3.3 | Highlight

Reconstructing large scale differential subsidence in the Netherlands using a spatio-temporal 3D paleo-groundwater level interpolation 

Kim de Wit, Roderik S.W. van de Wal, and Kim M. Cohen

Subsidence is a land use problem in the western and northern Netherlands, especially where both shallow soft soil subsidence and deeper subsidence components, including glacio-isostatic adjustment (GIA), add up. The aim of this study is to improve the estimation of the GIA component within the total subsidence signal across the Netherlands during the Holocene, using coastal plain paleo-water level markers. Throughout the Holocene, the GIA induced subsidence in the Netherlands has been spatially and temporally variant, as shown by previous studies that used GIA modelling and geological relative sea-level rise reconstructions. From the latter work, many field data points are available based on radiocarbon dated coastal basal peats of different age and vertical position. These reveal Holocene relative sea-level rise to have been strongest in the Wadden Sea in the Northern Netherlands. This matches post-glacial GIA subsidence (forebulge collapse) as modelled for the Southern North Sea, being located in the near-field of Scandinavian and British former ice masses.

In this study, geological data analysis of RSL and other paleo-water level data available from the Dutch coastal plain for the Holocene period is considered in addition. The analysis takes the form of designing and executing a 3D interpolation (kriging with a trend: KT), where paleo-water level Z(x,y,age) is predicted and the field-data points are the observations (Age, X, Y and Z as knowns). We use a spatio-temporal 3D grid that covers the Dutch coastal plain, and reproduces and unifies earlier constructed sea level curves and high-resolution sampled individual sites (e.g. Rotterdam). The function describing the trend part of the interpolation separates linear and non-linear components of relative water level rise, i.e.: long-term background subsidence and shorter-term GIA subsidence signal and postglacial water level rise. The kriging part then processes remaining subregional patterns. The combined reconstruction thus yields a spatially continuous parameterization of regional trends that (i) allows to separate subsidence from water level rise terms, and (ii) is produced independently of GIA modelling to enable cross-comparison. Results are presented for the coastal plain of the Netherlands ([SW] Zeeland – Rotterdam – Holland – Wadden Sea – Groningen [NE]). The percentage of the total coastal-prism accommodation space that appears due to subsidence, from the south to the north of the study area increases by 20%. Holocene-averaged subsidence rates from the first analysis ranged from ca. 0.1 m/kyr (Zeeland) to 0.4 m/kyr (Groningen), which is 5-10 times larger than present-day GPS/GNSS-measured rates.

The research presented in this abstract is part of the project Living on soft soils: subsidence and society (grantnr.: NWA.1160.18.259). 

How to cite: de Wit, K., van de Wal, R. S. W., and Cohen, K. M.: Reconstructing large scale differential subsidence in the Netherlands using a spatio-temporal 3D paleo-groundwater level interpolation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8350, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8350, 2022.

EGU22-9485 | Presentations | G3.3

An adaptive-triangular fully coupled 3D ice-sheet–sea-level model 

Jorjo Bernales, Tijn Berends, and Roderik van de Wal

Regional sea-level change and the deformation of the solid Earth can lead to important feedbacks on the long- and short-term evolution and stability of ice sheets. A rigorous manner of accounting for these feedbacks in model-based ice-sheet reconstructions and projections, is to establish a two-way coupling between an ice-sheet and a sea-level model. However, the individual requirements of each of these two components such as a global, long ice sheet load history or a high ice-model resolution over critical sectors of an ice sheet are at present not easy to combine in terms of computational feasibility. Here, we present a coupling between the ice-sheet model UFEMISM, which solves a range of approximations of the stress balance on a dynamically adaptive irregular triangular mesh, and the gravitationally self-consistent sea-level model SELEN, which incorporates the glacial isostatic adjustment for a radially symmetric, viscoelastic and rotating Earth, including coastline migration. We show global simulations over glacial cycles, including the North American, Eurasian, Greenland, and Antarctic ice sheets, and compare its performance and results against commonly used alternatives.

How to cite: Bernales, J., Berends, T., and van de Wal, R.: An adaptive-triangular fully coupled 3D ice-sheet–sea-level model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9485, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9485, 2022.

EGU22-9968 | Presentations | G3.3

Interacting melt-elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks allow for distinct dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet 

Maria Zeitz, Jan M. Haacker, Jonathan F. Donges, Torsten Albrecht, and Ricarda Winkelmann

Interacting feedbacks play an important role in governing the stability of the Greenland Ice Sheet under global warming. Here we study the interaction between the positive melt-elevation feedback and the negative feedback from glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), and how they affect the ice volume of the Greenland Ice Sheet on long time scales. We therefore use the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) coupled to a simple solid Earth model (Lingle-Clark) in idealized step-warming experiments. Our results suggest that for warming levels above 2°C, Greenland could become essentially ice-free on the long-term, mainly as a result of surface melting and acceleration of ice flow. The negative GIA feedback can mitigate ice losses and promote a partial recovery of the ice volume.

Exploring the full factorial parameter space which determines the relative strength of the two feedbacks reveals that four distinct dynamic regimes are possible: from stabilization, via recovery and self-sustained oscillations to the irreversible collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet. In the recovery regime an initial ice loss is reversed and the ice volume stabilized at 61-93% of the present day volume. For certain combinations of temperature increase, atmospheric lapse rate and Earth mantle viscosity, the interaction of the GIA feedback and the melt-elevation feedback leads to self-sustained, long-term oscillations in ice-sheet volume with oscillation periods of tens to hundreds of thousands of years and oscillation amplitudes between 15-70% of present-day ice volume. This oscillatory regime reveals a possible mode of internal climatic variability in the Earth system on time scales on the order of 100,000 years that may be excited by or synchronized with orbital forcing or interact with glacial cycles and other slow modes of variability.

How to cite: Zeitz, M., Haacker, J. M., Donges, J. F., Albrecht, T., and Winkelmann, R.: Interacting melt-elevation and glacial isostatic adjustment feedbacks allow for distinct dynamic regimes of the Greenland Ice Sheet, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9968, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9968, 2022.

Geodetic time series from autonomous GNSS systems distributed across Antarctica are revealing unexpected patterns and startling rates of crustal deformation due to GIA.  Linked with seismic mapping and derived rheological properties of the Antarctic crust and mantle, and with new modeling capabilities, our understanding of the timescales of GIA response to ice sheet change is swiftly advancing.  Rapid GIA response allows for cryosphere-solid earth interactions that can alter ice sheet behavior on decadal and centennial timescales.  Continued progress in understanding how such feedbacks may influence future contributions of polar ice sheets to global sea level change requires continuing and expanding our geodetic observations. What frameworks can lead to implementation of this goal?  U.S. and international science vision documents pertaining to geodynamics, the changing cryosphere and sea level, all point to international collaborative efforts as the way to achieve ambitious science goals and extend observational capacities in polar regions.  SCAR research programmes facilitated the network vision and collaborative relations that led to the POLENET (POLar Earth observing NETwork) network of geophysical and geodetic instruments during the International Polar Year 2007-08. Can the SCAR INSTANT programme provide a framework for collaborative initiatives between national Antarctic programs to form a sustainable model to support acquisition of the observations required to meet community science objectives?  Let’s consider the ‘grass roots’ actions by the science community needed to push international, interdisciplinary science frameworks forward.

How to cite: Wilson, T. J.: GNSS Observations of Antarctic Crustal Deformation – International Framework for Future Networks?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10610, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10610, 2022.

EGU22-10884 | Presentations | G3.3

Effect of Icelandic hotspot on Mantle viscosity in southeast Greenland 

Valentina R. Barletta, Wouter van der Wal, Andrea Bordoni, and Shfaqat Abbas Khan

Recent studies suggest the hotspot currently under Iceland was located beneath eastern Greenland at ~40 Ma BP and that the upwelling of hot material from the Iceland plume towards Greenland is ongoing. A warm upper mantle has a low viscosity, which in turn causes the solid Earth to rebound much faster to deglaciation. In the area of the Kangerlussuaq glacier, a large GPS velocities residual after removing predicted purely elastic deformations caused by present-day ice loss suggests the possibility of such fast rebound to little ice age (LIA) deglaciation. Here we investigate the lithospheric thickness and the mantle viscosity structure beneath SE-Greenland by means of model predictions of solid Earth deformation driven by a low viscosity mantle excited by the LIA deglaciation to the present day. From the comparison of such modeled deformations with the GPS residual, we conclude that 1) a rather thick lithosphere is preferred (90-100 km) 2) and the upper mantle most likely has a viscosity that changes with depth. Assuming a two layer upper mantle, it is not well constrained which part of the upper mantle has to be low, with a preference for low viscosity in the deeper upper mantle.

To understand such results we implemented forward modelling with more realistic earth models, relying on improvements in seismic models, petrology and gravity data. This yields 3D viscosity maps that can be compared to inferences based on the 1D model and forms the basis for 3D GIA models. The conclusion based on the 1D model can be explained with 3D Earth models. In the area of the Kangerlussuaq glacier the seismic derived viscosities prefer a higher viscosity layer above a lower viscosity one. This stems from the slow decrease in viscosity with depth. The layer that is characterized as shallow upper mantle still contains shallow regions with low temperatures, while the deeper upper mantle reaches low viscosities. Generally, for GIA earth models the “higher above lower” viscosity layering is unusual. However, the analysis of the 1D model clearly shows this to be one of the preferred model regions, in combination with a large lithosphere thickness of 100 km. This is a notable result that draws attention to the importance of shallow layering in GIA models. 

How to cite: Barletta, V. R., van der Wal, W., Bordoni, A., and Khan, S. A.: Effect of Icelandic hotspot on Mantle viscosity in southeast Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10884, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10884, 2022.

EGU22-10942 | Presentations | G3.3

Separating of Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) across Antarctica from GRACE/GRACE-FO observations via Independent Component Analysis (ICA) 

Tianyan Shi, Yoichi Fukuda, Koichiro Doi, and Jun’ichi Okuno

The redistribution of the near-surface solid Earth due to glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), which is the ongoing response of the solid Earth due to changes in the ice-ocean load following the Last Glacial Maximum, has a direct impact on the inferred Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) mass balance from gravimetric data acquired during the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions.

However, sparse in-situ observation networks across Antarctica have led to the inability to effectively constrain the GIA effect. Here, we analyze the mass change patterns across Antarctica via independent component analysis (ICA), a statistics-based blind source separation method to extract signals from complex datasets, in an attempt to reduce uncertainties in the glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) effects and improve understanding of AIS mass balance.

The results reveal that GIA signal could be directly separated from GRACE/GRACE-FO observations without introducing any external model.  Although the GIA signal cannot be completely isolated, the correlation coefficients between ICA-separated GIA, and the ICE-5G and ICE-6G models are 0.692 and 0.691, respectively. The study demonstrates the possibility of extracting GIA effects directly from GRACE/GRACE-FO observations.

How to cite: Shi, T., Fukuda, Y., Doi, K., and Okuno, J.: Separating of Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) across Antarctica from GRACE/GRACE-FO observations via Independent Component Analysis (ICA), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10942, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10942, 2022.

EGU22-11569 | Presentations | G3.3

The influence of Earth’s hypsometry on global sea level through a glacial cycle and into the future 

Vivi Kathrine Pedersen, Natalya Gomez, Gustav Pallisgaard-Olesen, Julius Garbe, Andy Aschwanden, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Jerry Mitrovica

Earth’s topography and bathymetry is shaped by a complex interplay between solid-Earth processes that deform the Earth from within and the surface processes that modify the outer shape of the Earth. At the surface, an ultimate baselevel set by global sea level marks the defining transition from erosion to deposition. Over geological time scales, this baselevel has resulted in a distinct hypsometric distribution (distribution of surface area with elevation), with the highest concentration of surface area focused in a narrow elevation range near present-day sea level.

This particular feature in Earth’s hypsometry makes the global land fraction very sensitive to changes in sea level. Indeed, a sea-level change will result in a significant change in the land fraction as dictated by the hypsometric distribution, thereby modulating the very same sea-level change. However, it remains unexplored exactly how sea-level changes have modified the global land fraction over past glacial cycles and into the future.

Here we analyse how Earth’s hypsometry has changed over the last glacial cycle as large ice sheets waxed and waned particularly in Scandinavia and North America. These changes in global ice volume resulted in a significant global excursion in sea level, modulated regionally by solid-Earth deformation, gravitational effects, and effects from Earth’s rotation. These changes modified Earth’s hypsometry, and therefore the global land fraction at any given time. Consequently, we can map out how Earth’s hypsometry has influenced global mean sea level (GMSL) over time. To examine this relationship between Earth’s hypsometry and sea level further, we look to the deep future, to a scenario where both the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Antarctic Ice Sheets will melt away completely over multi-millennial timescales. This scenario is not meant to represent a realistic future scenario per se, but it allows us to define the hypsometric GMSL correction needed for any GMSL that the Earth has experienced recently or will experience in the future.

How to cite: Pedersen, V. K., Gomez, N., Pallisgaard-Olesen, G., Garbe, J., Aschwanden, A., Winkelmann, R., and Mitrovica, J.: The influence of Earth’s hypsometry on global sea level through a glacial cycle and into the future, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11569, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11569, 2022.

EGU22-12689 | Presentations | G3.3

Improving past and future relative sea-level constraints for the Norwegian coast 

Thomas R. Lakeman, F. Chantel Nixon, Anders Romundset, Matthew J.R. Simpson, John Inge Svendsen, Kristian Vasskog, Stein Bondevik, Glenn Milne, and Lev Tarasov

New research aims to improve relative sea-level (RSL) projections for the Norwegian coast. The main objectives are to: i) collect observations of past RSL changes, ranging from the end of the last ice age to the last century, ii) develop a high-quality database of post-glacial sea-level index points (SLIPs) for the Norwegian coast, and to iii) improve our understanding of past and future vertical land motion using glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) modelling. To now, our collection of new empirical data has focussed on three significant, but enigmatic RSL histories that are not adequately reproduced in existing GIA models: very recent stillstands and transgressions documented by historical tide gauge records, rapid transgressions during the early- to mid-Holocene Tapes period, and abrupt transgressions during the latest Pleistocene Younger Dryas chronozone. Ongoing field sampling is focussed on developing high-resolution RSL trends from salt marshes, isolation basins, and raised beaches, using multiple biostratigraphic and geochemical proxies (i.e. micropaleontology, macrofossils, x-ray fluorescence, C/N) and dating techniques (i.e. Pb-210, Cs-137, C-14, tephrochronology, geochemical markers). Results from various localities spanning the Norwegian coast provide robust constraints for the timing and rate of RSL change during the Younger Dryas and Tapes chronozones. Additional results providing new estimates of very recent RSL trends in southwest Norway are presented by Holthuis et al. (Late Holocene sea-level change and storms in southwestern Norway based on new data from intertidal basins and salt marshes; Session CL5.2.2). These new and emerging constraints are being integrated into a post-glacial RSL database that incorporates high-quality data from the entire Norwegian coastline. Over 1000 SLIPs have been assembled from published studies. These existing data were updated using current radiocarbon calibration curves, high-resolution digital elevation models, new field observations, and new quantitative estimates of relevant uncertainties. Ongoing GIA modelling is utilizing the new RSL database, a glaciological model that freely simulates ice sheet changes, as well as geodetic and ice margin chronology constraints, to develop rigorous uncertainty estimates for present and future GIA along the Norwegian coast.

How to cite: Lakeman, T. R., Nixon, F. C., Romundset, A., Simpson, M. J. R., Svendsen, J. I., Vasskog, K., Bondevik, S., Milne, G., and Tarasov, L.: Improving past and future relative sea-level constraints for the Norwegian coast, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12689, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12689, 2022.

Uncertainty in present-day glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) rates represent at least 44% of the total gravity-based ice mass balance signal over Antarctica. Meanwhile, physical couplings between solid Earth, sea level and ice dynamics enhance the dependency of the spatiotemporally varying GIA signal on 3D rheology. For example, the presence of low-viscosity mantle beneath melting marine-based ice sheet sectors such as the Amundsen Sea Embayment may delay or even prevent unstable grounding line retreat. Improved knowledge of upper mantle thermomechanical structure is therefore required to refine estimates of current and projected ice mass balance.

Here, we present a Bayesian inverse method for mapping shear wave velocities from high-resolution adjoint tomography into thermomechanical structure using a calibrated parameterisation of anelasticity at seismic frequency. We constrain the model using regional geophysical data sets containing information on upper mantle temperature, attenuation and viscosity structure. The Globally Adaptive Scaling Within Adaptive Metropolis (GASWAM) modification of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is utilised to allow efficient exploration of the multi-dimensional parameter space. Our treatment allows formal quantification of parameter covariances, and naturally permits us to propagate uncertainties in material parameters into uncertainty in thermomechanical structure.

We find that it is possible to improve agreement on steady state viscosity structure between tomographic models by approximately 30%, and reduce its uncertainty by an order of magnitude as compared to a forward-modelling approach. Direct access to temperature structure allows us to estimate lateral variations in lithospheric thickness, geothermal heat flow, and their associated uncertainties.

How to cite: Hazzard, J., Richards, F., Roberts, G., and Goes, S.: Reducing Uncertainty in Upper Mantle Rheology, Lithospheric Thickness and Geothermal Heat Flow Using a Bayesian Inverse Framework to Calibrate Experimental Parameterisations of Anelasticity, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12967, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12967, 2022.

This article presents a comprehensive benchmark study for the newly updated and publicly available finite element code CitcomSVE for modeling dynamic deformation of a viscoelastic and incompressible planetary mantle in response to surface and tidal loading. A complete description of CitcomSVE’s finite element formulation including calculations of the sea-level change, polar wander, apparent center of mass motion, and removal of mantle net rotation is presented. The 3-D displacements and displacement rates and the gravitational potential anomalies are solved with CitcomSVE for three benchmark problems using different spatial and temporal resolutions: 1) surface loading of single harmonics, 2) degree-2 tidal loading, and 3) the ICE-6G GIA model. The solutions are compared with semi-analytical solutions for error analyses. The benchmark calculations demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of CitcomSVE. For example, for a typical ICE-6G GIA calculation with a 122-ky glaciation-deglaciation history, time increment of 100 years, and ~50 km (or ~0.5 degree) surface horizontal resolution, it takes ~4.5 hours on CPU 96 cores to complete with about 1% and 5% errors for displacements and displacement rates, respectively. Error analyses shows that CitcomSVE achieves a second order accuracy, but the errors are insensitive to temporal resolution. CitcomSVE achieves the parallel computation efficiency >75% for using up to 6,144 CPU cores on a parallel supercomputer. With its accuracy, computing efficiency and its open-source public availability, CitcomSVE is a powerful tool for modeling viscoelastic deformation of a planetary mantle in response to surface and tidal loading problems. 

How to cite: Zhong, S., Kang, K., Aa, G., and Qin, C.: CitcomSVE: A Three-dimensional Finite Element Software Package for Modeling Planetary Mantle’s Viscoelastic Deformation in Response to Surface and Tidal Loads, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13136, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13136, 2022.

EGU22-13323 | Presentations | G3.3

Mantle viscosity derived from geoid and different land uplift data in Greenland 

Mohammad Bagherbandi, Hadi Amin, Linsong Wang, and Masoud Shirazian

The Earth’s mass redistribution due to deglaciation and recent ice sheet melting causes changes in the Earth’s gravity field and vertical land motion in Greenland. The changes are because of ongoing mass redistribution and related elastic (on a short time scale) and viscoelastic (on time scales of a few thousands of years) responses. These signatures can be used to determine the mantle viscosity. In this study, we infer the mantle viscosity associated with the glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) and long-wavelength geoid beneath the Greenland lithosphere. The viscosity is determined based on a spatio-spectral analysis of the Earth’s gravity field and the land uplift rate in order to find the GIA-related gravity field. We used and evaluated different land uplift data, i.e. the vertical land motions obtained by the Greenland Global Positioning System (GPS) Network (GNET), GRACE and Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) data. In addition, a  combined land uplift rate using the Kalman filtering technique is presented in this study. We extract the GIA-related gravity signals by filtering the other effects due to the deeper masses i.e. core-mantle (related to long-wavelengths) and topography (related to short-wavelengths). To do this, we applied correlation analysis to detect the best harmonic window. Finally, the mantle viscosity using the obtained GIA-related gravity field is estimated. Using different land uplift rates, one can obtain different GIA-related gravity fields. For example, different harmonic windows were obtained by employing different land uplift datasets, e.g. the truncated geoid model with a harmonic window between degrees 10 to 39 and 10 to 25 showed a maximum correlation with the GIA model ICE-6G (VM5a) and the combined land uplift rates, respectively. As shown in this study, the mantle viscosities of 1.6×1022 Pa s and 0.9×1022 Pa s for a depth of 200  to 650  km are obtained using ICE-6G (VM5a) model and the combined land uplift model, respectively, and the GIA-related gravity potential signal.

How to cite: Bagherbandi, M., Amin, H., Wang, L., and Shirazian, M.: Mantle viscosity derived from geoid and different land uplift data in Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13323, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13323, 2022.

EGU22-208 | Presentations | G3.4

Updating the GNSS velocity field in the Eastern Betics 

Juan J. Portela Fernández, Alejandra Staller, Marta Béjar-Pizarro, and Giorgi Khazaradze

The Eastern Betics, located on the SE of Spain, is one of the areas with the highest seismic activity within the Iberian Peninsula. The Eastern Betic Shear Zone (EBSZ) is comprised by a set of active, slow-moving faults, which are partially absorbing the ~5 mm deformation caused by the convergence between the Eurasian and Nubian plates. The precise kinematics of these faults remains unclear to this date, due to their slow slip rates and the distributed strain across the region. 

Over the past years, several studies have focused on this area, especially after the devastating 2011 Lorca earthquake (Mw 5.1). However, there is a lack of precise GNSS observations in the central area of the EBSZ. Therefore, we present here an updated GNSS velocity field of the central EBSZ, which includes all the available continuous stations in the area, as well as continuous and campaign observations carried out under the GeoActiva project (CGL2017-83931-C3-3-P). 

Additionally, we discuss alternative deformation sources affecting the GNSS observations (other than those of tectonic origin), such as the human-induced subsidence in the Guadalentín River Basin. We use Sentinel-1 SAR images to identify the affected areas and to quantify the impact on the GNSS velocities.

This work has been developed in the framework of GeoActiva project (CGL2017-83931-C3-3-P, funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and by “ERDF A way of making Europe”) and e-Shape project (H2020 programme, Grant Agreement 820852), as well us under Grant FPU19/03929 (funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and by “FSE invests in your future”).

How to cite: Portela Fernández, J. J., Staller, A., Béjar-Pizarro, M., and Khazaradze, G.: Updating the GNSS velocity field in the Eastern Betics, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-208, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-208, 2022.

EGU22-1351 | Presentations | G3.4

Crustal deformation near Lisbon, Portugal, from GNSS and PSInSAR data 

João Fonseca, Mimmo Palano, Ana Falcão, Alexis Hrysiewicz, and José Férnandez

The Lisbon Metropolitan Area, in the southern sector of the Lusitanian basin, SW Portugal, has been affected by relevant seismicity. Known destructive earthquakes affecting the region range in time from 1344 to 1969, and include catastrophic occurrences in 1356, 1531, 1909 and 1755. Modern instrumental data are available for the M7.8 Cadiz Gulf earthquake of 1969 only, which reached EMS-98 intensity 5 to 6 in the study area. While several of these earthquakes nucleated offshore, the 1909 earthquake, with estimated magnitude in the range M6.0-M6.5, had a clear intraplate nature, and it is widely accepted that the M7 1531 earthquake also nucleated onshore, in the active structures of the Lower Tagus Valley. The relative importance of the contributions of onshore versus offshore sources to seismic hazard in Portugal is largely debated. On one hand, in view of the modest NW Africa – SW Iberia convergence rate (~4 mm/yr in a NW-SE direction), it has been argued that most of the cumulated crustal deformation is fully released by 1969-type offshore earthquakes of the Gulf of Cadiz, implying that intraplate faults account for very small slip-rates. It follows that destructive intraplate earthquakes are deemed very rare events with limited contribution to the probabilistic hazard. This view is supported by very low intraplate slip-rate estimates of 0.005 to 0.3-0.5 mm/yr derived from geological studies. However, seismic hazard disaggregation studies indicate that the dominant scenario is the rupture of an intraplate fault.

Using a dense GNSS dataset coupled with PSInSAR analysis, we characterize the style of crustal deformation in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area and estimate the associated fault slip rates. We provide evidence of sinistral simple shear driven by a NNE-SSW first-order tectonic lineament. PSInSAR vertical velocities corroborate qualitatively the GNSS strain-rate field, showing uplift/subsidence where the GNSS data indicate contraction/extension. We propose the presence of a small block to the W of Lisbon moving independently towards the SW with a relative velocity of 0.96±0.20 mm/yr. Comparison between geodetic and seismic moment-rates indicates a high seismic coupling. We conclude that the contribution of intraplate faults to the seismic hazard in the Lisbon Metropolitan Area is more important than currently assumed.

How to cite: Fonseca, J., Palano, M., Falcão, A., Hrysiewicz, A., and Férnandez, J.: Crustal deformation near Lisbon, Portugal, from GNSS and PSInSAR data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1351, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1351, 2022.

EGU22-1564 | Presentations | G3.4

Development of a method to analyze the error factor of GNSS-A system using SGO-A data 

Yusuke Yokota, Tadashi Ishikawa, Shun-ichi Watanabe, and Yuto Nakamura

The GNSS-A seafloor geodetic observation array (SGO-A) has been operated in about 20 years by the Japan Coast Guard [Ishikawa et al., 2020]. It has become possible to measure interplate coupling condition and shallow slow slip events along the Nankai Trough in recent years [Yokota et al., 2016; Yokota and Ishikawa, 2020], and it has become possible to interpret the time change of postseismic deformation following the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake [Watanabe et al., 2021]. For understanding the detail physical process of the plate boundary (e.g., SSE), it is necessary to understand the accuracy of the GNSS-A system and study the quantification and attenuation of the error source.

SGO-A data is very useful for this purpose. This dataset is located in the SGO-A site, and basic analysis software GARPOS is also open to the public [Watanabe et al., 2020]. The format is also defined, and a lot of information necessary for error analysis is published.

For example, using the estimation result of SGO-A data by GARPOS, the relationship between the vertical movement and the sound speed structure’s disturbance can be investigated from the residual of the vertical movement and the estimated sound speed structure. In addition, the existence of unexpected errors and their effects can be considered by examining the correlation with the position of the seafloor station.

It is also possible to understand the disturbance in the ocean from the estimated disturbance of the sound speed structure. Recently, the theoretical background for this estimation has been organized and made easier to handle. Considering this result and the comparison of the ocean fields that are likely to occur in reality, it was also found that the observation accuracy is expected to be improved depending on the observation points. In this presentation, we introduce the interpretation method of GNSS-A data that is being developed in recent years.

 

SGO-A data: https://www1.kaiho.mlit.go.jp/KOHO/chikaku/kaitei/sgs/datalist_e.html

GARPOS: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4522027

How to cite: Yokota, Y., Ishikawa, T., Watanabe, S., and Nakamura, Y.: Development of a method to analyze the error factor of GNSS-A system using SGO-A data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1564, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1564, 2022.

EGU22-1652 | Presentations | G3.4

Overview of the seafloor geodetic observation conducted by the Japan Coast Guard using the GNSS-Acoustic ranging combination technique 

Yuto Nakamura, Tadashi Ishikawa, Shun-ichi Watanabe, and Yusuke Yokota

The Japanese Islands lie along subduction zones where the Pacific Plate and the Philippine Sea Plate subduct, making the islands one of the most seismically active zones in the world. Japan, prone to earthquake disasters throughout its history, has constructed numerous seismic and geodetic observation networks to elucidate the mechanism of catastrophic megathrust earthquakes that occur along the plate boundary near the subduction zones.

The Hydrographic and Oceanographic Department of the Japan Coast Guard (JCG) is one of the government branches that conduct geodetic observations to advance megathrust earthquake research. JCG conducts seafloor geodetic observation using the GNSS-Acoustic ranging combination technique (GNSS-A). GNSS-A enables us to measure the global coordinates of a seafloor reference point in precision of centimeters by simultaneously conducting GNSS observation of a sea surface platform (i.e., survey vessel, buoy, autonomous vehicle…) and trilateration of seafloor benchmarks using acoustic ranging. As of now, JCG regularly conducts GNSS-A observations at 27 seafloor sites along the Japan Trench and the Nankai Trough, named the Seafloor Geodetic Observation Array (SGO-A).

JCG has been conducting GNSS-A seafloor geodetic observation since 2000, and numerous technological advancements have been made in the past 20 years, significantly improving the observation frequency and positioning precision. The observation system currently operated by the JCG using survey vessels enables us to measure 3-4 times per year per seafloor site (Ishikawa et al. 2020, Front. Earth Sci.). Recently, we have developed an open-source GNSS-A analysis software named “GARPOS”, which simultaneously estimates sound speed perturbation and seafloor benchmark positions using empirical Bayesian inversion (Watanabe et al. 2020, Front. Earth Sci.).

Our regular observation at the SGO-A sites along the Japan Trench has revealed co- and postseismic processes of the 2011 Tohoku-oki Earthquake (Watanabe et al. 2021, EPS). Along the Nankai Trough, we have elucidated heterogeneous interplate coupling (Yokota et al. 2016, Nature) and shallow slow slip events (Yokota and Ishikawa 2020, Sci. Adv.). In this presentation, we review our observation and analysis methods, tectonic phenomena revealed from our observation, and the latest observation results at our SGO-A sites.

How to cite: Nakamura, Y., Ishikawa, T., Watanabe, S., and Yokota, Y.: Overview of the seafloor geodetic observation conducted by the Japan Coast Guard using the GNSS-Acoustic ranging combination technique, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1652, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1652, 2022.

EGU22-1675 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

The Dynamics of the India-Asia collision revealed by Geodetic Imaging of the Tibetan plateau 

Tim Wright, John Elliott, Jin Fang, Andrew Hooper, Greg Houseman, Milan Lazecky, Yasser Maghsoudi, Qi Ou, Barry Parsons, Chris Rollins, Richard Styron, Hua Wang, and Gang Zheng

Assessing the distribution of seismic hazard in the continents requires an understanding of how much deformation is accommodated by major faults. In one view, upper-crustal seismogenic faults respond passively to continuous viscous deformation of the underlying lithosphere; the alternative model is that lithospheric-scale faults control the distribution of deformation and hazard. We combine InSAR data derived from automatic (COMET-LiCSAR) processing of Sentinel-1 data (2015-2021) with a compilation of velocities from GNSS stations to produce the first high-resolution surface velocity field for the Tibetan plateau, where the collision of rigid Indian lithosphere with Eurasia has created the largest deforming region on the planet. We tie the reference frame of InSAR line-of-sight velocities to Eurasia using a joint inversion for surface velocities on a triangular mesh and reference frame adjustment parameters following the approach described in Wang and Wright 2012. We use the referenced InSAR data to invert for high-resolution East-West and Vertical velocities. The results show that the internal deformation of the Tibetan plateau can be described as a combination of distributed deformation and focused strain on a few major faults (Altyn Tagh, Kunlun, Haiyuan, Xianshuihe). We also observe continued postseismic transients associated with earthquakes that occurred within 20 years of the observations, including the 2001 Kokoxili and 1997 Manyi earthquakes. The highest elevations of the Tibetan plateau show dilatation, demonstrating the importance of internal buoyancy forces in continental tectonics. We present a new dynamic model that can explain the key features of the observations.

How to cite: Wright, T., Elliott, J., Fang, J., Hooper, A., Houseman, G., Lazecky, M., Maghsoudi, Y., Ou, Q., Parsons, B., Rollins, C., Styron, R., Wang, H., and Zheng, G.: The Dynamics of the India-Asia collision revealed by Geodetic Imaging of the Tibetan plateau, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1675, 2022.

EGU22-1709 | Presentations | G3.4

Mapping the distribution of strain along multiple strike-slip faults in the Chaman fault system from InSAR 

Manon Dalaison, Romain Jolivet, and Laetitia Le Pourhiet

The Chaman plate boundary between India and Eurasia is a wide faulted region in Pakistan and Afghanistan, hosting distributed seismicity. Along the western edge of the deforming region, the Chaman fault currently accommodates less than 15 mm/yr of slip, while the differential left-lateral motion between both tectonic plates is close to 30 mm/yr. In the past century, significant earthquakes have ruptured structures east of the Chaman fault, including the 1931 Mach earthquake and 1935 Quetta earthquake with magnitudes (Mw) greater than seven. We aim to identify where strain focuses so that active structures likely to rupture in large earthquakes are outlined. We use ground velocities computed from 6 years-long InSAR time series in ascending and descending line of sights to map gradients of deformation in the Kirthar ranges. InSAR data reveals that most of the current plate boundary strain focuses east of the Chaman and Ghazaband fault in the central axis of the ranges. We model velocities along profiles across the plate boundary as the surface expression of left-lateral slip on several vertical faults: the Chaman fault, the subparallel Ghazaband fault, the Hoshab fault and one to three unknown faults to the east. We localise strain in the continuation of the Ornach Nal in the south and along the Quetta-Kalat fault which is thought to have hosted the 1935 Quetta earthquake (Mw 7.7). Three discrete portions of the Ghazaband fault slip with rates close to 10 mm/yr. Our description of partitioning matches known seismic ruptures, and makes sense in a geodynamical and geological perspective. We propose a tectonic model of the plate boundary evolution with an eastward migration of strain.

How to cite: Dalaison, M., Jolivet, R., and Le Pourhiet, L.: Mapping the distribution of strain along multiple strike-slip faults in the Chaman fault system from InSAR, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1709, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1709, 2022.

EGU22-1948 | Presentations | G3.4

Tectonic strain rates in the Anatolia-Caucasus region from Sentinel-I InSAR and GNSS, and their implications for seismic hazard 

Chris Rollins, Tim Wright, Yasser Maghsoudi, Milan Lazecky, Andrew Hooper, and Jonathan Weiss

Geodetic measurements of crustal deformation can provide crucial constraints on a region’s tectonics and seismic hazard. An ideal is for these measurements to be able to directly image deformation well enough (at the surface) that the remaining uncertainty is largely about its depth extent. For this, geodetic measurements need to be five things: spatially dense (on the scale of individual faults), spatially wide-ranging (enough to capture the entirety of strain signals), temporally dense (enough that noise and nuisances can be understood), temporally wide-ranging (enough to bring out gradual interseismic deformation), and accurate. Sentinel-IA InSAR, as processed through large-scale workflows like the COMET-LiCS system and when combined with high-quality GNSS data, is arguably the first geodetic dataset with the potential to be all five. We are using this combination to construct high-resolution maps of crustal deformation and strain across the Alpine-Himalayan Belt. In the Anatolia-Caucasus region, we resolve the large-scale deformation patterns of the North Anatolia and East Anatolian Faults, and a deformation front extending northeastward from their intersection into the Caucasus that is consistent with the locations of large earthquakes. Taking this relationship further, we pair the strain rate map with the Turkish and ISC-GEM seismic catalogues to estimate the recurrence intervals of large, moderate and small earthquakes throughout the Anatolia-Caucasus region assuming conservation of seismic moment. On the North Anatolian Fault, we find that this balance is consistent with the ~250-year recurrence interval between the last two earthquake sequences.

How to cite: Rollins, C., Wright, T., Maghsoudi, Y., Lazecky, M., Hooper, A., and Weiss, J.: Tectonic strain rates in the Anatolia-Caucasus region from Sentinel-I InSAR and GNSS, and their implications for seismic hazard, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1948, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1948, 2022.

EGU22-2138 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

Impact of employing a waveglider on GNSS-Acoustic survey along the Japan trench 

Motoyuki Kido, Chie Honsho, Fumiaki Tomita, Yusaku Ohta, Ryota Hino, and Takeshi Iinuma

Following the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake, we constructed seafloor geodetic benchmarks for GNSS-Acoustic measurement at twenty sites along the Japan trench in September 2012 and have started repeating surveys since then. Reliable horizontal displacement rates were obtained to date for a sufficiently long period of surveys, which revealed the coexistence of viscoelastic relaxation and after slips from place to place. Further analysis to estimate vertical motion, we preliminary exposed regions of uplift and subsidence, although the expected errors were still significant. However, the pattern of vertical motion gives independent information from the horizontal ones for verifying viscoelastic models and evaluating the extent of after slips.

We introduced an unmanned autonomous vehicle, called Waveglider (WG), as a surface platform instead of a ship, which overcomes the deficiency in ship-time in the sense of budget and human resources. Actually, data obtained by WG bear comparison with that by shipboard survey, and even the onboard-processed data can be transmitted to the onshore station via satellite system nearly in realtime. Moreover, significantly intensive use of WG helps increase the survey frequency, which can have a chance to identify slow slip events; for instance, marine seismometers have revealed the existence of slow events off the Sanriku region near our survey sites. 

The WG deficit is sometimes trapped against sea current even along the Japan trench, typically when over 2 knots, and fails into low power conditions depending on weather, season, and solar culmination altitude. Well-organized planning and operation may reduce such deficit. More practically, the slower speed of WG prevents efficient moving survey over a transponder array, especially for deep (>5000m) sites having a large footprint of the array, which is typical for our sites. Insufficient moving survey degrades the accuracy in vertical crustal movement, the importance of which increases to monitor the afterslip distribution as noted above. Then we solve this problem using a different approach that utilizes different incident angles even in point survey by employing two concentric triangles of different sizes for a six transponder site or a triangle with a centered one for a four transponder site.

If WG operation would become more common and can be appropriative, a fully continuous survey will be realized at a specific site without a moored buoy. This will be valuable not only for detecting temporal phenomena like slow slip events but also for disaster mitigation to monitor offshore fault failure in realtime. In addition, such prompt measurement just after a large earthquake reveals rapid postseismic deformation in an early stage. Long-term continuous operation requires particular battery specifications and operational fashion for seafloor transponders. We are also designing such transponders at this moment.

How to cite: Kido, M., Honsho, C., Tomita, F., Ohta, Y., Hino, R., and Iinuma, T.: Impact of employing a waveglider on GNSS-Acoustic survey along the Japan trench, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2138, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2138, 2022.

EGU22-2737 | Presentations | G3.4

Transient aseismic slip and crustal shortening following 2017 Iran-Iraq (Sarpol-e Zahab) Mw 7.3 Earthquake Inferred from 3 years of InSAR Observations 

Zelong Guo, Mahdi Motagh, Jyr-Ching Hu, Guangyu Xu, Mahmud Haghshenas Haghighi, Abbas Bahroudi, and Aram Fathian

The 2017 Mw 7.3 Sarpol-e Zahab earthquake is the largest instrumentally recorded event to have ruptured in the Zagros Fold-thrust belt. In this study, we perform multi-temporal interferometry analysis using Sentinel-1 SAR data to investigate changes in postseismic ground deformation at the Earth’s surface and interpret this change in terms of various models including kinematic afterslip, stress-driven afterslip and viscoelastic response. We show that the kinematic afterslip model can explain the postseismic deformation spatiotemporally, while the stress-driven afterslip model tends to underestimate the earlier deformation in the western part of the postseismic deformation field. The viscoelastic response, however, is negligible with the best-fitting viscosity which is on the order of 1019 Pa s. By an integrated analysis of geodetic inversion results, geological cross-section data, regional stratigraphic column and local structures, we infer that the spatial heterogeneity of frictional property of fault plane and/or more complex geological structures may explain the underfitting between the earlier postseismic deformation and the corresponding stress-driven afterslip models. Because the coseismic rupture propagated along a basement-involved fault while the postseismic slip was more likely activated the frontal structures and/or shallower detachments in the sedimentary cover, the 2017 Sarpol-e Zahab earthquake may be evidence of a typical event which contributes both of the thick- and thin-skin shortening of Zagros in both seismic and aseismic way.

How to cite: Guo, Z., Motagh, M., Hu, J.-C., Xu, G., Haghighi, M. H., Bahroudi, A., and Fathian, A.: Transient aseismic slip and crustal shortening following 2017 Iran-Iraq (Sarpol-e Zahab) Mw 7.3 Earthquake Inferred from 3 years of InSAR Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2737, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2737, 2022.

EGU22-2951 | Presentations | G3.4

Geodynamic features of the Central part of the Greater Caucasus according to GNSS observations 

Vadim Milyukov, Alexey Milronov, Grigory Steblov, Valery Drobishev, and Hariton Hubaev

The Central part of the Greater Caucasus, as a part of the Alpine-Himalayan mobile belt, is a zone of complex tectonics associated with the interaction of the two major tectonic plates, Arabian and Eurasian. This work presents the strain rate and spatial distribution in the Central part of the Greater Caucasus. The assessments have been done based on long-term observations on the regional GNSS network, which currently consists of 7 continuous stations and 59 campaign sites. 45 IGS stations were used as the fiducial stations in the data analysis. The strain-rate tensor is calculated using the Shen method.

The results of our study show that, in general, this region is in the state of tectonic compression over which there are some features characteristics of particular structures of the region. The Main Caucasian Ridge and the trough of the southern slope are in the state of not only submeridional compression, but also sublatitudinal extension, which leads to an intensive dilatant expansion of the eastern segment of this area. The strain pattern of the northern part of the region differs from the southern one. The northern slope of the Main Caucasian Ridge zone and the foothill trough, including the Vladikavkaz fault zone, are in the state of compression with moderate intensity. At the same time, an analysis of the distribution of earthquake epicenters has shown that the Northern branch is currently aseismic in the central and eastern parts of the Vladikavkaz fault. This geodynamic feature indicates the high seismic potential of the Vladikavkaz Fault Zone.

This work is supported by the State assignment of the Vladikavkaz Scientific Center RAS, and partly by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, grant no. 21-55-45007.

How to cite: Milyukov, V., Milronov, A., Steblov, G., Drobishev, V., and Hubaev, H.: Geodynamic features of the Central part of the Greater Caucasus according to GNSS observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2951, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2951, 2022.

EGU22-3210 | Presentations | G3.4

Crustal deformation along the Tell Atlas of Algeria from joint multi-temporal InSAR, GPS results and seismotectonic analysis 

Sihem Miloudi, Mustapha Meghraoui, Souhila Bagdi, Kamel Hasni, and Salem Kahlouche

Northern Algeria experienced moderate and large earthquakes (with Mw > 6) during the last decades due to the convergence between the African and Eurasian plates. We conduct the joint analysis of multi-temporal SAR-dataset (1995 to 2021), combined with the GPS velocities (2007 to 2018) and seismotectonic studies in the Chlef-El Asnam and Zemmouri Mitidja regions of the Tell Atlas. The multidisciplinary approach adopted in this study has the advantage of integrating the interseismic (paleoseismology, tectonic geomorphology), the coseismic and postseismic (airborne geodesy) crustal deformation. The multi-temporal interferometry is performed using the standard method for persistent scatterers (StaMPS/MTI software) applied to ERS1/2, ENVISAT and Sentinel SAR images, all from C-band dataset on descending and ascending  orbits. The GPS velocities are modeled and re-interpreted  from previous works in order to fit the tectonic block sub-division and related major faulting geometry. The seismicity rate and associated major earthquakes such as the El Asnam in 10/10/1980 (Mw 7.1) and Zemmouri-Boumerdes in 05/21/2003 (Mw 6.8) mark the seismotectonic characteristics of the Tell Atlas. The achieved data analysis and results of the joint InSAR, GPS and seismotectonics reveal that large areas with active deformation undergo uplifting and shortening with a consistent tectonic, geodetic and seismicity rate ranging between 2 and 3 mm/yr.

How to cite: Miloudi, S., Meghraoui, M., Bagdi, S., Hasni, K., and Kahlouche, S.: Crustal deformation along the Tell Atlas of Algeria from joint multi-temporal InSAR, GPS results and seismotectonic analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3210, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3210, 2022.

EGU22-3274 | Presentations | G3.4

Full-Bayesian GNSS-A seafloor positioning solution derived by the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method 

Shun-ichi Watanabe, Tadashi Ishikawa, Yuto Nakamura, and Yusuke Yokota

For the seafloor geodesy, the GNSS-A is an only tool to directly solve the global positions with the precision of centimeters. Different from the terrestrial GNSS observations, the GNSS-A has a lot of difficulties both in the observation operation and the error corrections. For the latter issue, the researchers should take care that the GNSS-A solutions strongly affected by the underwater sound speed perturbation because it uses acoustic waves for ranging between the sea-surface and seafloor instruments. To solve this issue, the authors had developed the GNSS-A analysis software named “GARPOS” (Watanabe et al., 2020, Front. Earth Sci.), which simultaneously solves the seafloor positions and the perturbation effects based on the empirical Bayes (EB) approach. It can search the appropriate strength of smoothness constraint to the temporal change of perturbation field using the statistical criterion, to avoid the overfitting of the travel-time residuals. This software provided the sufficiently stable solutions to discuss the time-dependent crustal deformation (e.g., Watanabe et al., 2021, Earth Planets Space). Meanwhile, to provide the information on the variance of estimated positions as the joint posterior probability, the probability distributions of hyperparameters should be accounted. Therefore, we developed the program for sampling from the full-Bayesian (FB) posterior probability, based on the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). In this presentation, we introduce the methodology of GARPOS and its expansion to the MCMC mode. We will also show the MCMC results for the GNSS-A data obtained at sites of the Seafloor Geodetic Observation Array (SGO-A) operated by the Japan Coast Guard, to discuss the difference between the EB-based and FB-based solutions.

How to cite: Watanabe, S., Ishikawa, T., Nakamura, Y., and Yokota, Y.: Full-Bayesian GNSS-A seafloor positioning solution derived by the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo method, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3274, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3274, 2022.

EGU22-3758 | Presentations | G3.4

GNSS/Acoustic positioning of acoustic beacons on the seafloor using an autonomous surface vehicle. Example from the FOCUS experiment offshore Sicily (Italy) 

Lenhof Edgar, Royer Jean-Yves, Ballu Valérie, Sakic Pierre, Poitou Charles, Beauverger Mickaël, Coulombier Thibault, Dausse Denis, Jamieson Gregor, Morvan Pierre-Yves, and Gutscher Marc-André

The FOCUS project funded by the European Research Council aims at monitoring deformation across an active submarine fault with an optical fiber using laser reflectometry. To calibrate the measured strains in an absolute reference frame, such as the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF), a network of eight seafloor geodetic stations was deployed on both sides of the cable and fault. The fault (North Alfeo) is located at the foot of Mount Etna collapsing slope, offshore Sicily, and shows evidence of right-lateral strike-slip in the order of 2 cm per year.

To locate the acoustic beacons relative to the ITRF, we use a GNSS/Acoustic positioning method. Its principle is to jointly acquire positions of a surface platform relative to the GNSS and, acoustically, relative to the beacons on the seafloor. Positioning a set of beacons over the years should yield their absolute displacement. The optical cable and geodetic stations were deployed in October 2020 at a depth of ~1850m. The first set of GNSS/A data was acquired in August 2021. The next set will be collected in July 2022.

GNSS/A positioning of acoustic beacons on the seafloor within 1 cm is a challenge. The lever arm between the GNSS and acoustic antennas on the surface platform must be precisely known; the motion of the platform (i.e. antennas) must be precisely monitored. Then, in addition to reducing the uncertainties in GNSS positioning, an acquisition strategy must be designed to minimize the uncertainties in the acoustic ranging data, due to the unknown sound-speed field in the water column and its variability during the ranging sessions (5-6 hours).

To address these challenges, we used an Autonomous Surface Vehicle (ASV) equipped with a GNSS antenna, an ultra-short acoustic baseline (USBL) transponder coupled with an inertial system (INS). The ASV (3m x 1.60m) has the advantage of being very maneuvrable, acoustically silent (electric power), and compact (reduced lever-arm between antennas). Instead of positioning a single beacon (e.g. boxin), we positioned the ASV relative to several beacons at once and tested different trajectories: quasi-static stations of the ASV (within few meters) at the barycenter of 3 beacons, or series of straight profiles equidistant to pairs of beacons. In addition, while the ASV was acquiring GNSS/A data, a series of vertical temperature/pressure/salinity (CTD) profiles was acquired from the support vessel (R/V Tethys II) to monitor changes in the sound-speed.

Here we discuss the first results in processing these data and the ensuing uncertainty on the positioning. The GNSS data are reprocessed using Precise Point Positioning (PPP) with Ambiguity Resolution (AR). The improved navigation is then reprocessed with the INS data to obtain a precise position of the USBL center of mass. Then the acoustic ranging data can be merged with the sound-speed information to locate the beacon barycenter, using a least-squares inversion.

How to cite: Edgar, L., Jean-Yves, R., Valérie, B., Pierre, S., Charles, P., Mickaël, B., Thibault, C., Denis, D., Gregor, J., Pierre-Yves, M., and Marc-André, G.: GNSS/Acoustic positioning of acoustic beacons on the seafloor using an autonomous surface vehicle. Example from the FOCUS experiment offshore Sicily (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3758, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3758, 2022.

EGU22-3882 | Presentations | G3.4

Adria-Eurasia collision front: insights from GNSS time series in NE Italy 

Andrea Magrin, Lavinia Tunini, David Zuliani, and Giuliana Rossi

North-Eastern Italy is a region of particular interest in tectonics because it is located on the northernmost edge of the convergent margin between Eurasia and the Adria microplate with consequences on the regional deformation and seismicity. The FReDNet (Friuli Venezia Giulia Deformation Network) GNSS network was established in 2002 to monitor the crustal deformation in NE-Italy and it is currently counting 19 permanent GNSS stations. In order to place the regional deformation in a broader tectonic context, we processed the data from FReDNet and other geodetic networks covering northern Italy and surrounding areas (including some sites in Slovenia and Austria) in the period 2002-2021. We used the GAMIT-GLOBK software ver10.71 to process multi-satellite data and to calculate the position and velocity for each station. We processed the whole dataset by using Galileo and G100 CINECA HPC clusters.  

In this study, we will show the processing strategies and analyze the GNSS time-series of NE-Italy stations, as well as the outcoming deformation field. The preliminary results  confirm the decrease in the velocity module from the Friuli plain toward the Alps, suggesting a possible deformation accrual in the latter.

This research was supported by OGS and CINECA under HPC-TRES program award number 2020-11. We acknowledge the CINECA award under the ISCRA initiative, for the availability of high performance computing resources and support (IscraC IsC83_GPSIT).

How to cite: Magrin, A., Tunini, L., Zuliani, D., and Rossi, G.: Adria-Eurasia collision front: insights from GNSS time series in NE Italy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3882, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3882, 2022.

EGU22-4483 | Presentations | G3.4

Decadal change of the Apulia microplate motion preceding the Mw 6.4, 26 November 2019 Durres (Albania) earthquake 

Bjartur Í Dali Udbø, Giampiero Iaffaldano, and Juan Martin de Blas

Contemporary rigid motions of tectonic plates, which are inferred from geodetic data collected over several years, are commonly assumed to remain steady over the earthquake cycle. Such a tenet is predicated on the notion that stresses associated with the earthquake cycle might not be sufficient to overcome the asthenosphere viscous resistance at the lithosphere base, which counters plate--motion changes. This, however, has never been verified against observations. Here we focus on the Apulia microplate, a rigid tectonic unit located in the buffer zone between the Eurasia and Nubia plates, to show that its rigid motion constrained by Global Positioning System time series has changed in the decade preceding the Mw 6.4, 26 November 2019 Durres (Albania) earthquake. Furthermore, we investigate whether such a change could be the result of the interseismic stress buildup associated with the Durres earthquake cycle. 

 

How to cite: Í Dali Udbø, B., Iaffaldano, G., and Martin de Blas, J.: Decadal change of the Apulia microplate motion preceding the Mw 6.4, 26 November 2019 Durres (Albania) earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4483, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4483, 2022.

EGU22-4565 | Presentations | G3.4

Characterizing spatio-temporal changes in volcanic rock aquifer compaction using satellite-based geodetic measurements (GNSS and InSAR) 

Mireia Jones, Pablo J. Gonzalez, Maria Charco, Rayco Marrero, and Antonio Eff-Darwich

Volcanic reservoirs are usually the main source of freshwater on volcanic islands. On Tenerife Island, groundwater extraction occurs by drilling horizontal water tunnels. This has resulted in a sustained extraction due to the hundreds of water tunnels that have been drilled since around 1900 for agriculture, industry and freshwater supply. The extraction is exceeding the natural recharge, leading to groundwater table decline, locally up to 200+ m of down drop. Since 2000, satellite radar interferometry (InSAR) applied to measure surface deformation has located several subsidence bowls (e.g., Fernandez et al., GRL 2009). The localized surface deformation patterns have been correlated with water table changes and hence aquifer compaction. By overlapping InSAR data time series with Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) we hope to better understand the compaction processes around volcanic aquifers and explain the observed surface deformation.  This knowledge could help make decisions about water management policies.

To investigate the compaction processes affecting the volcanic rock aquifers of Tenerife, we utilize simultaneous geodetic observations using Global Navigation Satellite Systems time series (GNSS) and satellite radar interferometry over the period October 2014 to December 2021. The GNSS network is composed of 10 GNSS sites and it was processed by the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory (Blewitt et al., 2018; http://geodesy.unr.edu/NGLStationPages/gpsnetmap/GPSNetMap.html). The satellite radar interferometry time series were computed using Sentinel-1 ascending and descending orbits with ID tracks 060 and 096, respectively. Finally, we analyzed the spatio-temporal behaviour using statistical methods to identify distinct regions more or less affected by the underlying aquifer mechanical processes. 

Blewitt, G., W. C. Hammond, and C. Kreemer (2018), Harnessing the GPS data explosion for interdisciplinary science, Eos, 99,https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EO104623.

Fernandez, J., et al. (2009), Gravity-driven deformation of Tenerife measured by InSAR time series analysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04306, doi:10.1029/2008GL036920.

How to cite: Jones, M., Gonzalez, P. J., Charco, M., Marrero, R., and Eff-Darwich, A.: Characterizing spatio-temporal changes in volcanic rock aquifer compaction using satellite-based geodetic measurements (GNSS and InSAR), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4565, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4565, 2022.

EGU22-4587 | Presentations | G3.4

Have the 1999 Izmit-Düzce earthquakes influenced the motion and seismicity of the Anatolian microplate? 

Giampiero Iaffaldano, Juan Martin de Blas, and Eric Calais

In the current plate tectonics paradigm, relative plate motions remain unperturbed by temporal stress changes occurring during the seismic cycle, whereby the stress slowly built up along tectonic plate boundaries is suddenly released by rapid fault slip during earthquakes. However, the viscous resistance at the base of tectonic units of small size (i.e., microplates), and thus the torques needed to change their rigid motions, are significantly smaller than those needed for large size plates. In fact, a recent study that generates numerical simulations of synthetic microplates indicates that it is theoretically possible to link the temporal evolution of geodetically-observed microplate motions to the stresses associated with the seismic cycle.

Here we show that the rigid motion of the whole Anatolian microplate, measured using space geodetic techniques, was altered by the stress released during the 1999 Izmit-Düzce earthquakes, which ruptured along the North Anatolian Fault. This kinematic change requires a torque change that is in agreement with the torque change imparted upon the Anatolian microplate by the Izmit-Düzce coseismic stress release. This inference holds across realistic ranges of data noise and controlling parameters, and is not hindered by active deformation in western Anatolia. These results suggest the existence of a whole-plate kinematic signal associated with the stress released by large earthquakes.

How to cite: Iaffaldano, G., Martin de Blas, J., and Calais, E.: Have the 1999 Izmit-Düzce earthquakes influenced the motion and seismicity of the Anatolian microplate?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4587, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4587, 2022.

EGU22-4642 | Presentations | G3.4

Linking the Nazca plate rigid motions to the megathrust earthquakes occurring along the Chilean subduction zone 

Juan Martin de Blas, Giampiero Iaffaldano, Andrés Tassara, Daniel Melnick, and Marcos Moreno

It is typically assumed that the relative plate motions are not affected by temporal stress changes occurring during the seismic cycle, which comprises a phase of slow buildup of stress (interseismic phase) followed by a phase of sudden release of stress accompanied by rapid fault slip (coseismic phase). However, small- to medium-sized tectonic plates experience a reduced viscous resistance at their base, making the torques necessary to change their motions comparable to those generated by large earthquakes.

Here we explore whether the motions of medium-size tectonic plates experience temporal variations associated with earthquake-cycle stresses. In particular, we focus on the kinematics of the Nazca plate (NZ) in relation to the most recent Mw>8 megathrust earthquakes occurring across the Chilean trench (e.g., 2010 Maule and 2015 Illapel earthquakes). We utilise available GNSS time series to explore links between the recent (i.e., past two decades) plate kinematics and the seismic cycle of megathrust earthquakes occurring along the Chilean subduction zone. Our approach differs from classical studies on the earthquake-cycle induced deformation of the plate boundary region in that it focuses on the potential impact of large earthquakes onto rigid whole-plate kinematics.

How to cite: Martin de Blas, J., Iaffaldano, G., Tassara, A., Melnick, D., and Moreno, M.: Linking the Nazca plate rigid motions to the megathrust earthquakes occurring along the Chilean subduction zone, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4642, 2022.

EGU22-5142 | Presentations | G3.4

The 29th November, 2020 Earthquake in the Eastern Cordillera (NW Argentina): new results on InSAR and coherence time-series analyses 

Sofia Viotto, Bodo Bookhagen, Guillermo Toyos, and Sandra Torrusio

On November 29, 2020 an ~6 Mw earthquake occurred at a depth of almost 10 km (United States Geological Survey) in the Eastern Cordillera in northwestern Argentina. The epicenter was located near the towns of Caspalá and Santa Ana (Salta province) in the Quebrada de Humahuaca, and the maximum surface deformation was measured over the Hornocal syncline. The earthquake was the first recorded in this area in the last three decades. As a consequence, several mass movements were triggered from the nearby slopes composed of mechanically weakened rocks. Fortunately, only damage to buildings and infrastructure were reported.

This research presents the vertical deformation associated with this event relying on Sentinel 1A/1B C-band and ALOS2 L-band data. We generate interferometric time series from the Sentinel data, spanning 2 years prior to the event, on ascending and descending passes and invert to displacement time series. We use ALOS2 (Scansar mode) data on ascending and descending passes, and create interferograms by pairing images acquired before and after the earthquake. We determine the three-dimensional motion components by combining the four view angles. Using the Sentinel-1 data, we analyzed the coherence time series to identify mass movements triggered by the earthquake, thus we present a mass-movement detection approach for SAR coherence data using varying time scales and durations of coherence calculations.

Based on the interferometric time series from the Sentinel data on ascending and descending passes, we measured a maximum cumulative line-of-sight (LOS) displacement of about 10 cm over the Hornocal syncline. We measured similar LOS displacement in interferograms based on ALOS data. We determine that the Hornocal fold subsided and the maximum deformation area was constrained between 65.25° and 65.10° W longitude with 23.31° S as central latitude. Moreover, results based on the coherence time series showed that the maximum concentration of mass movements occurred within the closest 10 km of the epicentre, mainly on the slopes of the Hornocal syncline. Additional mass movement signals were recorded several kilometres from the source. The mass movements triggered by the earthquake exceed the number of mass movements associated with rainfall during the South American Monsoon.

How to cite: Viotto, S., Bookhagen, B., Toyos, G., and Torrusio, S.: The 29th November, 2020 Earthquake in the Eastern Cordillera (NW Argentina): new results on InSAR and coherence time-series analyses, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5142, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5142, 2022.

Spatial geodesy through GNSS allows to measure with a millimetric precision the displacement of the lithosphere during the seismic cycle. The post-seismic part of this cycle can last for decades, traduced by long-lasting surface deformations. One of the main physical processes involved in the postseismic deformation is the viscoelastic relaxation in the asthenosphere. However, a long term debate persists about the involved rheology of the asthenosphere:  Is the viscosity highly variable from one region to the next and is effective viscosity Newtonian (linear) or non-Newtonian (non linear)? 

To investigate these questions, we compare the horizontal post-seismic deformations induced by three Chilean megathrust earthquakes: Maule Mw8.8 (2010), Illapel Mw8.3 (2015) and Iquique Mw8.1 (2014). For each earthquake, we select permanent GPS stations along profiles perpendicular to the trench, extending as far as 1400 km. We calculate the ratio of the cumulative post-seismic (post) over 5 years and the coseismic (co) displacements for each station. Remarkably, at a given distance to the trench, the post/co ratios from the three earthquakes differ only slightly.

What can be the interpretation of this observation in terms of rheology of the asthenosphere? First we can analyse the response of the asthenosphere in the case of homothetic earthquakes of different magnitude. The post/co ratio obeys simple analytical relationships: For a Newtonian rheology, it is simply a function of the (time/viscosity) ratio. For a non-Newtonian viscosity with a stress exponent n=3, the timescale becomes inversely proportional to M**2, where M is the moment of the earthquake. We show that these relationships are only slightly modified when the earthquakes are no longer homothetic and that the post/co ratio is a good proxy to quantify the strain-rate and stress ratio in the underlying asthenosphere. As a conclusion, the post-seismic deformation following the three Chilean earthquakes reveals very similar viscosity. In particular, a Newtonian, rather than a non-Newtonian, effective viscosity is required to explain the post-seismic deformation process.

How to cite: Boulze, H., Fleitout, L., Klein, E., and Vigny, C.: Comparison of horizontal post-seismic deformations induced by Maule, Iquique, and Illapel megathrust earthquakes: A clue to a linear asthenospheric viscosity?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6216, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6216, 2022.

EGU22-7131 | Presentations | G3.4

Interseismic Strain Accumulation Along The Tabriz-Van (Iran-Turkey) Shear Zone 

Tohid Nozadkhalil, Ziyadin Çakir, Semih Ergintav, and Arkadaş Özakin

In order to improve our understanding of the present-day  continental deformation in the Iranian-Turkish plateau we map the surface motions across the Iranian-Turkish boundary between Ardabil (NW Iran) and Van (E Turkey) using Sentinel-1 satellites’ TOPSAR data between 2014 and 2021 on descending (6, 79, 152) and ascending (101, 174 and 72) tracks. Interferograms generated with GMTSAR are used to calculate PS-InSAR time series with the multi-temporal InSAR analysis tools of the StaMPS software. Mean line of sight (LOS) velocity fields reveal a dominant right-lateral shear zone between Tabriz and Van acting as a boundary between Eurasian and Arabian plates. The Tabriz-Van shear zone (TVSZ) comprises the North Tabriz, Kotur, Ozalp and Ercis faults. We model the LOS velocity fields using TDEFNODE, a fortran package for block modelling and estimate slip rates and locking depthes along the TVSZ. The best fitting model suggests a 9±2 km of looking depth and a westward increasing slip rate from 7 to 10±2 mm/yr, consistent with GNSS observations. To the west the TVSZ appears to join with Karliova Triple Junction (KTJ). This dextral slip fault zone accommodates a part of motion resulting from the Arabia–Eurasia collision and has experienced a westward migration in M > 5 events since the 18th century including the 18th and 19th century M > 7 events along the North Tabriz Fault. 

How to cite: Nozadkhalil, T., Çakir, Z., Ergintav, S., and Özakin, A.: Interseismic Strain Accumulation Along The Tabriz-Van (Iran-Turkey) Shear Zone, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7131, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7131, 2022.

EGU22-8264 | Presentations | G3.4

Active Strike-Slip Fault Monitoring Using Marine Geodesy, Offshore Mt Etna, Sicily (Italy) 

Jean-Yves Royer, Edgar Lenhof, Charles Poitou, Valerie Ballu, Thibault Coulombier, Denis Dausse, Pierre Sakic, Gregor Jamieson, Pierre-Yves Morvan, and Marc-André Gutscher

In the framework of the European Research Council (ERC) funded project – FOCUS, testing laser reflectometry in a fiber optic cable to detect movement across an active submarine fault in real time, an array of eight acoustic beacons has been set up for monitoring motions across the fault and calibrating the observation from the fiber optic cable (see Gutscher et al. abstract in session SM2.1). The two experiments jointly started in October 2020. The selected North-Alfeo Fault is located at the foot of Mount Etna and shows evidence of right-lateral strike-slip motion.

The geodetic array forms a triangular web of 28 baselines, 16 of which cross the fault and 4 of which are parallel to the sections of fiber-optic cable cutting the fault.  Beacon depths range from 1910 to 1806m.  Each baseline, 400 to 1800 m long, is measured 4 times a day in both directions. Additional sensors simultaneously monitor the temperature (at ±0.001˚C) and pressure (at ±0.01dbar), so that sound-speed can be derived, and acoustic ranging (at ±1 microsecond) converted into distances. Inclinometers monitor the stability of the beacons (at ±0.05˚), mounted on 3m-high tripods, which, so far, have remained stable on the seabed.

The collected data (Jan. 2022) show transient and inhomogeneous environmental changes, due to cold bottom-water flows or mixing that last from days to weeks, and hence causing transient changes in the sound-speed and measured acoustic flight-times between beacons. Sound-speed (SSP) varies up to 0.1 m/s, inducing changes up to 25 microsecondes in one-way flight-times (equivalent to a 4-cm displacement at a constant SSP). Unfortunately, such an episode occurred when the optic fiber detected a significant elongation (20 - 40 microstrain) at two fault crossings, between 19 and 21 November 2020. Further processing is underway to extract possible actual displacements from the first 14 months of continuous acoustic ranging.

How to cite: Royer, J.-Y., Lenhof, E., Poitou, C., Ballu, V., Coulombier, T., Dausse, D., Sakic, P., Jamieson, G., Morvan, P.-Y., and Gutscher, M.-A.: Active Strike-Slip Fault Monitoring Using Marine Geodesy, Offshore Mt Etna, Sicily (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8264, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8264, 2022.

EGU22-8531 | Presentations | G3.4

Spatial Heterogeneity of Uplift Pattern in the Western European Alps Revealed by InSAR Time-Series Analysis 

Marie-Pierre Doin, Marguerite Mathey, Pauline André, Andrea Walpersdorf, Stéphane Baize, and christian Sue

Within the low-deforming western European Alpine belt, GNSS measurements show that uplift is the main signal characterizing current surface deformation in the range, reaching up to 2 mm/yr, while no shortening is observed across the belt. Based on the huge amount of satellite data available today, it now appears possible to constrain new high resolution surface velocities in the western Alps, which is of primary importance to better understand the links between surface deformation and neotectonics processes in this region.

Relying on ~ 170 radar acquisitions from Sentinel-1 satellite over four years, we propose for the first time an InSAR-based mapping of the uplift pattern affecting the Western Alps on a ~350x175 km-wide area. Their processing is challenging due to the high noise level inherent to mountainous areas and the low expected deformation signal. We thus use in this study the NSBAS small baseline approach (Doin et al., 2011) for interferograms corrections, unwrapping, and time-series inversion. Atmospheric corrections are made using ERA5 reanalysis model (Hersbach et al., 2020). We estimate regional line-of-sight (LOS) velocities by correcting the resulting time-series from outliers and by separating seasonal and linear signals through different approaches which all yield similar results, thus highlighting the robustness of the obtained LOS velocity field. Based on several assumptions, we finally convert LOS velocities to uplift rates using local incidence angles.

The corresponding InSAR-derived velocity field is validated by the comparison with GNSS solutions. They both show uplift in the core of the belt, with higher rates in its northern part, and subsidence at its periphery. Our approach however provides a denser spatial distribution of vertical motions compared with GNSS. Higher uplift rates are found within the external crystalline massifs compared with surrounding areas, in agreement with the variations expected from recent deglaciation and long-term exhumation data.

These results bring new insights into active tectonics in the Western Alps. While several distinct wavelength patterns can be identified within the uplift signal throughout the western Alps, we suggest that they may originate from common geodynamic processes, with differential surficial responses explaining their localization. These processes may involve glacial isostatic adjustment, erosion, and/or slab break-off.

How to cite: Doin, M.-P., Mathey, M., André, P., Walpersdorf, A., Baize, S., and Sue, C.: Spatial Heterogeneity of Uplift Pattern in the Western European Alps Revealed by InSAR Time-Series Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8531, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8531, 2022.

EGU22-9748 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

In-situ monitoring of strain on the seafloor: an overview and results of the GeoSEA projects 

Heidrun Kopp, Dietrich Lange, Morelia Urlaub, Florian Petersen, and Anna Jegen

The ocean floor is the outer solid shell for over 70% of our planet, which is continuously moved and deformed in the course of global plate tectonics. These processes lead to tectonic stresses building up in the seafloor, which over long periods of time become so large that they suddenly and usually (still) unexpectedly discharge in an earthquake. In the marine environment, the seafloor cannot be studied with the established tools of tectonic geodesy, as water is not a suitable medium for geodetic systems that depend on the relatively unperturbed transmission of electromagnetic waves. During the past three decades, advances made by using space geodetic systems, such as GPS and InSAR, have revolutionized our ability to precisely track actively deforming areas onshore in high spatial and temporal resolution. Offshore, seafloor geodesy aims at precise underwater measurements of interstation distances, absolute positions, water depth, and tilt. Seafloor displacement occurs in the horizontal (x,y) and vertical direction (z) as a function of time (t). The vertical displacement is measured by monitoring pressure variations at the seafloor. Horizontal seafloor displacement can be measured either using an acoustic/GPS combination to provide absolute positioning or by long-term acoustic telemetry between different beacons fixed on the seafloor to determine relative distances by using the travel time observations to each other, which is the technique used in the framework of the GeoSEA project (Geodetic Earthquake Observatory on the SEAfloor) with the aim to record deformation directly on the seafloor. Acoustic direct path measurements by the GeoSEA Array were conducted across the North Anatolian Fault in the Sea of Marmara, on the flank of Mt Etna in the Ionian Sea, and on the North-Chilean subduction zone in the eastern Pacific. The goal of these observations is to be able to directly measure the stress buildup and use it to refine estimates of the hazard situation. Since the expected deformation rates are low (a few cm/year at most), the stations have to remain on the seafloor for several years, where they measure autonomously in water depths up to 5,500 m with a precision of 5 mm, allowing for precise measurements of strain build-up in the seafloor. The results from the different campaigns reveal the range and degree of coupling as well as the distribution of deformation, ranging from fully locked to slow-slip movement.

How to cite: Kopp, H., Lange, D., Urlaub, M., Petersen, F., and Jegen, A.: In-situ monitoring of strain on the seafloor: an overview and results of the GeoSEA projects, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9748, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9748, 2022.

EGU22-9770 | Presentations | G3.4

How to detect slow slip and long-term seafloor deformation? Lessons from two acoustic ranging campaigns on the submerged flank of Mt Etna 

Florian Petersen, Morelia Urlaub, Felix Gross, Alessandro Bonforte, and Heidrun Kopp

The Earth’s ocean floor deforms continuously under the influence of tectonic and non-tectonic processes. In the recent decade, the installation of seafloor geodetic instruments to accurately monitor fault displacement and strain accumulation has greatly improved our understanding of seafloor deformation and our knowledge of associated offshore hazards. In particular, the application of acoustic direct-path ranging networks allows the detection of displacement and strain accumulation of faults in millimeter-level precision.

On-land geodetic networks revealed that the Southeast flank of Mount Etna slides seawards at a rate of ~3 cm/yrs. The highest rates are observed near the coast and the volcano flank extends far into the Ionian Sea. The long-term deformation is superimposed by frequent slow-slip events with up to ~3 cm displacement. Our first acoustic ranging measurements between 2016 and 2018 confirmed offshore active deformation and seafloor displacement by detecting a slow-event of up to ~4 cm with a right-lateral offset. Thus, the application of direct-path ranging transponders has proven to be a promising tool to monitor horizontal and vertical displacement of such strike-slip fault zones. However, the observation of long-term deformation, as observed on onshore faults, is lacking. Therefore, we conducted a second acoustic geodetic deployment at the same site offshore Mount Etna between September 2020 and November 2021 and used a different network design. The new data set shows an indication for slow long-term seafloor deformation, which had not been resolved in the first deployment. By comparing the different configurations of the acoustic direct-path networks we were able to improve data processing to achieve millimeter-level precision. We have learned that longer-distance measurements over a sharp fault favor the detection of slow-slip events, but impede the observation of slow long-term deformation. In order to resolve the latter movement, very short baselines close to the fault trace are ideal. Therefore, a trade-off between long and short-distance measurements might be the key for compressive deformation monitoring. Our results prove that the direct-path acoustic ranging technique is well-suited to detect different styles of fault slip at faults with sharp surface traces.

How to cite: Petersen, F., Urlaub, M., Gross, F., Bonforte, A., and Kopp, H.: How to detect slow slip and long-term seafloor deformation? Lessons from two acoustic ranging campaigns on the submerged flank of Mt Etna, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9770, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9770, 2022.

EGU22-10160 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

Volcano-tectonic interactions within two recently discovered submarine volcanic fields: Implication for geodynamics in the Comoros 

Pierre Boymond, Nathalie Feuillet, Isabelle Thinon, Luc Scholtès, Sylvie Leroy, Anaïs Rusquet, Charles Masquelet, and Eric Jacques and the SISMAORE team

The birth of a new volcano offshore the eastern coast of Mayotte, one of the oldest volcanic island in the Comoros archipelago rose questions about the origin of the volcanism in this area. The volcano-tectonic context of this region is poorly known mainly because high-resolution marine data was missing. Here we present new marine geophysical data (bathymetry, backscatter and seismic reflexion data) acquired between December 23 2020 and February 11 2021 during the SISMAORE cruise (Thinon et al., 2021) in the framework of the French ANR COYOTES project. The high-resolution multibeam bathymetric and backscatter data reveal the existence of two submarine volcanic provinces we named N’Droundé and Mwezi (Thinon et al., 2022). In these provinces, we identified faults scarps, volcanic structures, lava flows and flat-top sedimentary domes on the seafloor. Those volcanic and tectonic features are very well preserved in the morphology and very reflective in the backscatter attesting that they are recent and probably active. Several seismic reflection profiles crosscut those structures. They reveal that the sedimentary layers are cut by faults and intruded by sills and dykes. We showed that the recent deformations of the seafloor such as flat-topped domes and grabens are promoted by those intrusions. The recent deformation of the sediments accommodating the magmatic intrusions are used as indirect markers to establish a relative chronology of magmatic activity in the two volcanic provinces. We showed that the magmatism is older in the N’Droundé volcanic province, near Grande Comore than in Mwezi’s, North-East of Anjouan. We also showed from the analysis of sills and dykes in the sedimentary cover that the magmatism intruded during two non-concurring episodes.

Those volcano-tectonic features align in a mean NW-SE direction and may have likely emplaced in a NE-SW extensional stress field. At a smaller spatial scale, some diking-induced graben form swarms of different directions implying local perturbation of the regional stress field by volcanic intrusions.

Overall, those observations are crucial to improve our knowledge of the geodynamics in the area and to constrain boundary conditions for future numerical modeling of deformation at lithospheric scale.

How to cite: Boymond, P., Feuillet, N., Thinon, I., Scholtès, L., Leroy, S., Rusquet, A., Masquelet, C., and Jacques, E. and the SISMAORE team: Volcano-tectonic interactions within two recently discovered submarine volcanic fields: Implication for geodynamics in the Comoros, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10160, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10160, 2022.

EGU22-10281 | Presentations | G3.4

Present-day uplift of the East Kunlun Shan, Northern Tibetan Plateau 

Shaozhuo Liu, Jean-Mathieu Nocquet, Xiwei Xu, Sigurjón Jónsson, Guihua Chen, Xibin Tan, and Yann Klinger

Part of the 5-km high Tibetan plateau is undergoing eastward extension and crustal thinning, which might be the signature of a waning orogeny. However, the actual extent of such processes throughout the high plateau remains uncertain. Here, we examine the impact of tectonic, geodynamic, and climate-related surface processes on the vertical deformation monitored since 2007 by continuous Global Positioning System (GPS) across the East Kunlun Shan (EKS), the largest relief inside the Tibetan plateau. GPS measurements reveal 1-2 mm/yr uplift of the EKS relative to the 2-km-lower Qaidam Basin. However, the range-perpendicular shortening is limited at most to ~1 mm/yr, which is not adequate to drive the observed vertical motion. Instead, (1) the isostatic response to erosion and regional deglaciation since the last glacial period likely accounts for a significant fraction, up to 40%, of our GPS derived vertical rate, and (2) the EKS and its surrounding region to the south are probably still rising at ~1 mm/yr, rather than subsiding. Thus, our results show that this part of the northern Tibetan plateau is rising, demonstrating that the Tibetan Plateau is still actively growing, in contrast with previous models proposing the passive demise of the high plateau due to erosion and gravitational collapse.

How to cite: Liu, S., Nocquet, J.-M., Xu, X., Jónsson, S., Chen, G., Tan, X., and Klinger, Y.: Present-day uplift of the East Kunlun Shan, Northern Tibetan Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10281, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10281, 2022.

EGU22-10329 | Presentations | G3.4

Geodetic evidence for a significant component of shortening along the northern Caribbean strike-slip plate boundary in southern Haiti 

Eric Calais, Steeve Symithe, and Bernard Mercier de Lépinay

GPS measurements within the transform Caribbean–North American plate boundary in Hispaniola, Greater Antilles, with five additional years of data at continuous sites and additional campaign measurements, significantly improve the resulting velocities of earlier works. In a Caribbean-fixed frame, velocities at sites located along the island's southern coast are small (< 2 mm/yr), indicating that the offshore active faults mapped south of Haiti are currently slipping at very low rates. In the Southern Peninsula, velocities are oriented westward, parallel to the Enriquillo fault zone, consistent with strain accumulation on that left-lateral strike-slip fault. North of the Southern Peninsula, including the Gonâve island, velocities are consistently trending SW to WSW, oblique to the east-west direction of the plate boundary. This difference in velocity trend between the Southern Peninsula and areas to the north indicates regional shortening north of the southern Peninsula with an amplitude of 6-7 mm/yr of plate boundary-normal shortening. Geologic and high-resolution seismic data show that this shortening is likely taking place just at the northern coast of the Southern Peninsula, localized on a north-verging reverse fault system offshore the north coast of the Southern Peninsula of Haiti. This reverse fault system extends westward a similar fault system previously described on the southern edge of the Cul-de-Sac Plain, together delineating what we call the "Jérémie-Malpasse" reverse-fault system. This fault zone marks the boundary between the Caribbean Large Igneous Province to the south (CLIP), an oceanic plateau outcropping in the Southern Peninsula, and terranes of island arc crust to the north, a rare case of ongoing obduction in a transform context. This setting, consistent with the source mechanisms of the Mw7.0 January 2010 and Mw7.2 August 20121 earthquakes in southern Haiti, has significant implications in terms of regional seismic hazard.

How to cite: Calais, E., Symithe, S., and Mercier de Lépinay, B.: Geodetic evidence for a significant component of shortening along the northern Caribbean strike-slip plate boundary in southern Haiti, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10329, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10329, 2022.

EGU22-10652 | Presentations | G3.4

Ongoing crustal deformation and earthquake swarm in the Noto Peninsula, central Japan 

Takuya Nishimura, Tomoaki Nishikawa, Daisuke Sato, Yoshihiro Hiramatu, and Akihiro Sawada

Earthquake swarms are generally interpreted as phenomena related to external stress perturbation including slow slip events and magma intrusion or weakening of fault strength due to pore pressure increase. Extensive swarm activities accompanying geodetically detectable deformation are often observed along plate boundary faults and volcanic areas. However, an extensive seismic swarm started in December 2021 at the northern tip of the Noto Peninsula, central Japan, which is a non-volcanic/geothermal area far from the major plate boundaries. We present a preliminary report of observed seismicity, crustal deformation, and their interpretation. The swarm activity started with several episodic earthquake bursts in the first several months and turned to be a continuous activity. The number of M≥1 earthquakes has been roughly constant at ~120 per week since July 2021, as of January 2022. The largest M5.1 earthquake occurred on September 16, 2021. Focal mechanisms of large earthquakes including the largest one suggest reverse faulting with a compressional axis of NW-SE. The focal depth ranges between 10-18 km. Transient displacements are observed at three permanent GNSS stations operated by the Geospatial Information Authority of Japan within 30 km from the epicentral region of earthquake swarms. The annual observed displacement from December 2021 suggests inflation with up to 12 mm of horizontal displacement and 30 mm of uplift. We installed four new GNSS stations near the epicentral area in September 2021 and found rapid extensional deformation around the epicentral area. Assuming a spherical inflation (Mogi) source, we estimated an annual volumetric increase of ~2.5 x 107 m3 at a depth of ~12 km. We speculate the volumetric increase is caused by upwelling water originally dehydrated from the subducted Pacific plate. Although the estimated source predicts to increase of the Coulomb stress in the epicentral area, the temporal evolution of crustal deformation and earthquake activity is not always synchronized. It may suggest fault weakening due to pore fluid migration into the fault zone.

How to cite: Nishimura, T., Nishikawa, T., Sato, D., Hiramatu, Y., and Sawada, A.: Ongoing crustal deformation and earthquake swarm in the Noto Peninsula, central Japan, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10652, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10652, 2022.

EGU22-10716 | Presentations | G3.4

Kinematics Characterization of Slow-Moving Landslide using InSAR Time Series Analysis in the South-Central Andes of NW Argentina 

Mohammad M. Aref, Bodo Bookhagen, and Manfred R. Strecker

Slow-moving landslides pose significant natural hazards to humans and infrastructure.  Analysis of Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time series provide the opportunity to monitor unstable hillslopes in difficult to access terrains at large spatial scales.

The geological conditions and land cover of the eastern Central Andes in northwestern Argentina ranges from densely vegetated areas in the low elevation foreland at around 1000 metres to arid, vegetation free conditions at high elevations at about 6000 metres. The land cover has a significant impact on the spatial and temporal InSAR signal decorrelation and deformation estimation. In our study, we extract InSAR time series from Sentinel-1 ascending and descending data acquired between 2014 and 2021 using both linear small baseline technique and non-linear phase inversion techniques to have a better understanding of deformation rate estimation techniques for landslide detection in complex areas. We identified several landslides including three main translational bodies with areas exceeding 1 km2 and downslope deformation rates in excess of 5-10 cm/yr. 

Our study is influenced by ionospheric total electron content variation for the C band Sentinel-1 ascending phase observations. We applied the split range-spectrum technique to minimize the ionospheric contribution on the phase measurements. The tropospheric signal was estimated using both statistical approaches based on topography and weather models to reduce the effects of atmospheric water vapor during South American Monsoon activity. We explore the impact of topographic relief on tropospheric phase delay. We compared our deformation-rate estimates with a double-differencing time series with local and regional spatial filters to mitigate tropospheric noise and unwrapping problems in the time series. We take advantage of connected component analysis and hierarchical clustering approaches on the mean velocity from the double-difference time series and vertical component derived from the 3D decomposition of InSAR time series to map landslides with similar characteristics. Our results highlight the importance of the several processing parameters during InSAR time-series analysis and their sensitivity toward slow-moving landslide detection.

How to cite: M. Aref, M., Bookhagen, B., and R. Strecker, M.: Kinematics Characterization of Slow-Moving Landslide using InSAR Time Series Analysis in the South-Central Andes of NW Argentina, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10716, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10716, 2022.

EGU22-11238 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

Measuring interseismic deformation of the Dead Sea fault from along-track Sentinel-1 TOPS interferometry 

Xing Li, Sigurjón Jónsson, Zhangfeng Ma, Frédéric Masson, and Yann Klinger

The north-south component of ground deformation remains difficult to derive from InSAR due to the limited sensitivity of standard InSAR observations in that direction. The new approach of burst-overlap interferometry (BOI) exploits swath overlaps of the Sentinel-1 TOPS acquisition mode to retrieve accurate north-south displacements. We applied time-series analysis to such along-track BOI observations of the roughly north-trending Dead Sea fault. Using a large number of Sentinel-1 images acquired from both ascending and descending tracks, we retrieved the horizontal displacement in the burst-overlap areas. Mis-registration errors caused by orbit errors, timing errors, or tropospheric delays are limited in burst-overlap velocities, and ionospheric delays can be reduced through spatial averaging, enhancing the surface displacement estimation. However, interferometric decorrelation is a challenge, as it degrades the co-registration performance in addition leading to fewer observations, particularly near the northern Dead Sea fault. By exploiting hundreds of images, we find a clear and consistent velocity change across different segments of the Dead Sea fault, using coherent distributed scatters optimized by integrating temporal coherence. Modeling of the ascending and descending BOI velocity results suggests that the fault-parallel velocity is in the range 4.2-5.0 mm/yr south of the Lebanese restraining bend, whereas only about half of that to the north of it. The results demonstrate the applicability of BOI time-series analysis in medium-to-low coherence regions with low deformation rates.

How to cite: Li, X., Jónsson, S., Ma, Z., Masson, F., and Klinger, Y.: Measuring interseismic deformation of the Dead Sea fault from along-track Sentinel-1 TOPS interferometry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11238, 2022.

EGU22-11401 | Presentations | G3.4

Modelling the post-seismic deformations measured by GNSS and InSAR, following the 2014 Iquique earthquake, Chile 

Juliette Cresseaux, Anne Socquet, Mathilde Radiguet, Marie-Pierre Doin, David Marsan, Mathilde Marchandon, Flora Huiban, and Rémi Molaro-Maqua

Large earthquakes are followed by a post-seismic period during which the stresses induced by the co-seismic phase are relaxed through different processes. This post-seismic phase participates to the redistributions of stresses in the earth, and understanding its mechanism is a key to understand interactions between earthquakes at different spatial and temporal scales. In subduction zones the most important terms are the afterslip and the visco-elastic relaxation. It is generally considered that the two mechanisms affect different spatial and temporal scales: the afterslip is prevalent the first months in the surrounding of the fault, while the visco-elastic relaxation process affects a larger area and lasts a longer time. The time-space pattern of the measured deformation can help to characterize the rheology of the underlying structure.

In this work we look at the processes involved after the Iquique earthquake.

 

To explore the processes driving the post-seismic deformation, we use a finite element model (FEM) (2D model, using the FEM software Pylith) that is constrained with InSAR and GNSS data. The GPS time series (processed with GipsyX) include 83 stations located in North Chile, Peru and Bolivia. The post-seismic signal is isolated using a trajectory model. The InSAR data consist in two Sentinel-1 time series (ascending and descending tracks) processed with the NSBAS chain, they include 514 interferograms, starting 7 months after the earthquake up to the end of 2019. In the model we impose a co-seismic displacement on the plate interface and explore the influence of the structure and the rheology on the predicted surface displacement.

 

Our tests reveal that the viscosity in the continental and the oceanic mantle both have an impact on the displacement produced at the surface. The difference between these viscosities controls the movements allowed at depth. The crust thickness and the presence of a cold nose have a clear impact on the wavelength and the location of the maximum of amplitude, respectively.

The afterslip is the major contribution at short time. At longer time, it affects weakly the near trench displacements. To fit the long-term data, we show that visco-elastic relaxation is needed. After 7 months, the InSAR data show a clear spatial wavelength with a strong signal 150 to 300 km from the trench which can be explained by the visco-elastic process.

We pointing out that these is a trade-off between the contribution of afterslip and visco-elastic relaxation. However, both processes affect different space and time, and the comparison with GNSS data and two InSAR tracks allows to strongly constrain the model and reduce the range of plausible models.

How to cite: Cresseaux, J., Socquet, A., Radiguet, M., Doin, M.-P., Marsan, D., Marchandon, M., Huiban, F., and Molaro-Maqua, R.: Modelling the post-seismic deformations measured by GNSS and InSAR, following the 2014 Iquique earthquake, Chile, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11401, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11401, 2022.

EGU22-11454 | Presentations | G3.4 | Highlight

Contribution of Direction-of-Arrival Observations for Geodetic Seafloor Positioning Using an Unmanned Surface Vehicle 

Pierre Sakic, Clémence Chupin, Valérie Ballu, Thibault Coulombier, Pierre-Yves Morvan, Paul Urvoas, Mickael Beauverger, Edgar Lenhof, and Jean-Yves Royer

Precise underwater geodetic positioning remains a challenging operation. Measurements combining surface positioning (GNSS) with underwater acoustic positioning are usually performed from research vessels. We present an alternative approach using a small Unmanned Surface Vehicle (USV) equipped with a compact GNSS/Acoustic experimental configuration, which is more cost-effective and easier to deploy. The positioning system included a GNSS receiver mounted above an Ultra Short Baseline (USBL) module integrated with an inertial system (INS) to correct the USV movements. The experiment conducted in the shallow waters (40 m) of the Bay of Brest, France, provided a data set to derive the coordinates of individual transponders from two-way-travel times and direction of arrival (DOA) of acoustic rays from the transponders to the USV. We tested different acquisition protocols (box-in circles around transponders and two static positions of the USV). Using a least-squares inversion, we show that DOAs improve single transponder positioning both in box-in and static acquisitions. From a series of short positioning sessions (20 min) over two days, we achieved repeatability of ~5 cm in the locations of the transponders. Post-processing of the GNSS data also significantly improved the two-way-travel times' residuals compared to the real-time solution.

How to cite: Sakic, P., Chupin, C., Ballu, V., Coulombier, T., Morvan, P.-Y., Urvoas, P., Beauverger, M., Lenhof, E., and Royer, J.-Y.: Contribution of Direction-of-Arrival Observations for Geodetic Seafloor Positioning Using an Unmanned Surface Vehicle, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11454, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11454, 2022.

EGU22-283 | Presentations | G3.5

Analysis of the polar motion excitation function based on ITSG daily models 

Aleksander Partyka, Jolanta Nastula, Justyna Śliwińska, Tomasz Kur, and Małgorzata Wińska

Understanding the polar motion (PM) changes is one of the major tasks in geodesy. In order to understand this changes cause by internal forces, it is necessary to analyse the so called PM excitation functions of geophysical fluids layers, namely atmosphere, ocean, and land hydrology with cryosphere. The impact of atmosphere and oceans is pretty well understood, but the impact of land hydrology is not well known and the study of the Hydrological Angular Momentum (HAM) is still the main research topic in finding the agreement between observed geodetic changes in PM and geophysical ones. The study of different HAM excitations are possible, among other things, through the use and analysis of temporal gravity models, which are constantly being developed by numerous research centres around the world.

The main aim of this study is to compare the equatorial components of the PM excitation (χ1 and χ2) calculated using the ITSG (The Institute of Geodesy at Graz University of Technology) daily gravity field models (ITSG-Grace2014, ITSG-Grace2016, ITSG-Grace2018) with other daily models and reference data, in order to assess their accuracy. The comparison of successive versions of ITSG solutions (2014, 2016, 2018) will allow for the assessment of the improvement in the accuracy of the excitation functions determined on their basis. Their potential for use in future research will be evaluated. These models are an object of study due to the fact that they have a daily temporal resolution, unlike most models that offer a monthly resolution.

The ITSG-Grace models used in the study were created by researchers at Technische Universität Graz using data obtained from the GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) and GRACE-FO (Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment-Follow-On) missions. The equatorial components of the PM excitation were calculated from the relationship between χ1, χ2 and degree-2, order-1 Stokes coefficients (∆C21, ∆S21) available in the ITSG-Grace models. In this study, HAM series from the LSDM (Hydrological Land Surface Discharge Model) delivered by GFZ (GeoForschungsZentrum in Potsdam) and GAO geodetic residuals, being a differences between geodetic angular momentum (GAM) and a sum of atmospheric and oceanic excitaions, provided by Observatoire de Paris were used for comparison with PM excitation series determined from ITSG-Grace models.

In order to compare the PM excitation determined from ITSG-Grace models with series obtained using other models, trends as well as seasonal and non-seasonal variations were determined. Correlations between the series, amplitude agreement and root mean square errors were calculated, on the basis of which their accuracy and relations with other models were assessed.

How to cite: Partyka, A., Nastula, J., Śliwińska, J., Kur, T., and Wińska, M.: Analysis of the polar motion excitation function based on ITSG daily models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-283, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-283, 2022.

EGU22-2430 | Presentations | G3.5

The short-term prediction of LOD  introducing atmospheric angular momentum by  1D-Convolutional Neural Networks (1D-CNN ) 

Sonia Guessoum, Santiago Belda, José Manuel Ferrándiz, Sadegh Modiri, Robert Heinkelmann, and Harald Schuh

Abstract
Knowledge of the Earth orientation parameters (EOP) is essential for numerous practical and scientific applications including, positioning and navigating in space and on Earth.
The LOD (length of day), which represents the variation in the Earth's rotation rate, is the most difficult to forecast since it is primarily affected by the torques associated with changes in atmospheric circulation. Therefore, accurate LOD predictions are an ongoing challenge and are the focus of this work.
Consequently, there is a compelling need to identify next-generation time series prediction algorithms to be integrated into an operational processing chain. Of specific interest is the emergence of deep learning methods.  These methods tend to behave as highly adaptive and versatile fitting algorithms and can thus replace conventional fitting functions for enabling more accurate predictions.
In this study, the 1D-Convolutional Neural Networks (1D-CNN) is introduced to model and to predict the LOD using the IERS EOP 14 C04 and the axial Z component of the atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) taken from the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), since it is strongly correlated with the LOD changes. The prediction procedure operates as follows: First, we detrend the LOD and Z-component series by using the LS method, then, we obtain the residuals series of each one to be used in the 1D-CNN prediction algorithm. Finally,  we analyzed the results before and after introducing the AAM function. These results prove the potential of the proposed method as an optimal algorithm to successfully reconstruct and predict LOD for up to 7 days.
Keywords

1D-Convolutional Neural Networks (1D-CNN);  Length of the day;  atmospheric angular momentum(AAM) function; prediction

How to cite: Guessoum, S., Belda, S., Ferrándiz, J. M., Modiri, S., Heinkelmann, R., and Schuh, H.: The short-term prediction of LOD  introducing atmospheric angular momentum by  1D-Convolutional Neural Networks (1D-CNN ), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2430, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2430, 2022.

EGU22-3232 | Presentations | G3.5

Using Atmosphere and Ocean Angular Momentum for Earth Orientation 

Nicholas Stamatakos, Dennis McCarthy, Mark Psiaki, and David Salstein

The accuracy and robustness to input data outages of near real-time estimates and short-term predictions of Earth orientation parameters (EOPs) may be enhanced by using atmosphere and ocean angular momentum data accounting for the global conservation of angular momentum in the Earth system. The US Navy Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) data that combines the motion and mass fields of the atmosphere angular momentum information from the NAVY Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM 1.2) with that of the ocean angular momentum information from the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) provides a source that can be used to evaluate the nature of the possible contribution of these physical data to the operational determination of the EOPs.  The rates of change of the EOPs derived from the most recent angular momentum data are evaluated in comparison with observed values of polar motion and UT1-UTC rates from the IERS RS/PC EOP data series, and the stability of statistical models accounting for systematic errors in scaling and bias in the ESPC data was investigated.  Analyses of these data show good agreement and indicate the viability of the practical integration of the rate data alone as well as in combination with data from other techniques in the operational determination of EOPs. Two years of past ESPC data were analyzed to provide estimates of the possible precision of the resulting polar motion and UT1-UTC data.

How to cite: Stamatakos, N., McCarthy, D., Psiaki, M., and Salstein, D.: Using Atmosphere and Ocean Angular Momentum for Earth Orientation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3232, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3232, 2022.

EGU22-3377 | Presentations | G3.5

Estimation of Earth rotation parameters from Lunar Laser Ranging data 

Liliane Biskupek, Vishwa Vijay Singh, Jürgen Müller, and Mingyue Zhang

In addition to Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) the Earth rotation phase ∆UT1 can also be determined directly from Lunar Laser Ranging (LLR) data. With the other Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) like terrestrial pole coordinates and nutation parameters, the determination of a full set of EOP is possible from LLR observations. In recent years LLR observations have been carried out with bigger telescopes (APOLLO) and at infrared wavelength (OCA, Wettzell). This resulted in a better distribution of LLR data over the lunar orbit and retro-reflectors with a higher accuracy. The aim of our recent study is to quantify, how much the EOP determination can be improved with the new high-accurate LLR data compared to previous years and if it can then be used to validate VLBI results. First, we focus on estimating ∆UT1 and terrestrial pole coordinates from different constellations such as single or multi-station data and for a different number of normal points per night. The accuracies of the results determined from the new LLR data (after 2000.0) have significantly improved, being less than 20 µs for ∆UT1, less than 2.5 mas for xp, and less than 3 mas for yp for nights selected from subsets of the LLR time series which have 10 and 15 normal points obtained per night. Second, we focus on the determination of corrections of the nutation coefficients to the MHB2000 model of the IERS Conventions 2010. Here we also see significant smaller correction values and accuracies with an improvement of one order of magnitude, that means accuracies better then 0.01 mas. Recent results will be presented and discussed.

This research was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy – EXC-2123 QuantumFrontiers – 390837967.

How to cite: Biskupek, L., Singh, V. V., Müller, J., and Zhang, M.: Estimation of Earth rotation parameters from Lunar Laser Ranging data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3377, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3377, 2022.

EGU22-3642 | Presentations | G3.5

Secular changes in length of day induced by the redistribution potential 

Alberto Escapa, Tomás Baenas, and José Manuel Ferrándiz

The secular change in the length of day due to mass redistribution effects is revisited using the Hamiltonian formalism of the rotation of a two-layer deformable Earth. The dissipative effects at the core-mantle boundary are described through a coupling torque formulated by means of generalized forces. Taking advantage of the canonical procedure, a closed analytical formula for the secular deceleration of the rotation rate is obtained, which can be evaluated using frequency-dependent Love numbers corresponding to solid and oceanic tides.

Under the widespread assumption of totally coupled core and mantle layers in the long-term response, a secular angular deceleration of 1328.6 as/cy2 is calculated, equivalent to an increase of 2.418 ms/cy in the length of day. Such an estimate is in very good agreement with recent observational values and theoretical predictions based on comparable modeling features. The complete research work can be consulted in the paper by Baenas, T., Escapa, A., and Ferrándiz, J. M. (2021), entitled “Secular changes in length of day: Effect of the mass redistribution” (A&A 648, A89).

This work has been partially supported by the Spanish projects PID2020-119383GB-I00 funded by Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/) and  PROMETEO/2021/030 funded by Generalitat Valenciana.

 

How to cite: Escapa, A., Baenas, T., and Ferrándiz, J. M.: Secular changes in length of day induced by the redistribution potential, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3642, 2022.

EGU22-4031 | Presentations | G3.5

Accuracy of proposed corrections to the current precession-nutation models: A first assessment 

José M. Ferrándiz, Santiago Belda, Miguel Ángel Juárez, Tomás Baenas, Sadegh Modiri, Robert Heinkelmann, Alberto Escapa, and Harald Schuh

Since 2020 a few research groups have reported new estimations of nutation amplitudes or precession parameters, usually presented as corrections to the nutation and precession theories IAU2000 and IAU2006, as well as new empirical models for the free core nutation (FCN). The main effect of those proposed corrections is reducing the unexplained variance of the celestial pole offsets (CPO) time series. The improvement of the accuracy of CPO models was encouraged by Resolution 5 of the 2019 General Assembly of the International Association of Geodesy (IAG), included among the recommendations of the GGOS/IERS Unified Analysis Workshop held that year, and also supported by Resolution B2 of the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in 2021.

The variance reduction attainable by refining the precession offsets and rates and the amplitudes of the forced nutations is noticeably larger than that resulting from the corrections needed for the consistency of the precession and nutation theories (Escapa et al 2018). However, the amount of the improvement depends strongly on the various fitting strategies, the input CPO series and the time periods chosen for benchmarking.

That fact is shown through the accuracy assessment of a selection of correction models proposed by the authors and other teams, either supplemented with FCN models or not, and for a selection of input CPO data and time spans.

 

The work of JMF, AE, and TB was partially supported by Spanish Projects PID2020-119383GB-I00 funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and PROMETEO/2021/030 (Generalitat Valenciana); and SB was  supported partially by Generalitat Valenciana (SEJIGENT/2021/001) and the European Union˜NextGenerationEU (ZAMBRANO 21-04) .

How to cite: Ferrándiz, J. M., Belda, S., Juárez, M. Á., Baenas, T., Modiri, S., Heinkelmann, R., Escapa, A., and Schuh, H.: Accuracy of proposed corrections to the current precession-nutation models: A first assessment, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4031, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4031, 2022.

EGU22-4720 | Presentations | G3.5

Are ocean reanalyses useful for Earth rotation research? 

Lara Börger and Michael Schindelegger

Oceanic circulation and mass-field variability play important roles in exciting Earth’s wobbles and changes in length-of-day (ΔLOD), on time scales from days to several years. Quantifying these effects require estimates of ocean angular momentum (OAM), which are typically drawn from numerical forward models or coarse-resolution ocean state estimates. A little-tested alternative in this regard is the emerging suite of ocean reanalyses, operating at eddy-permitting horizontal resolution (1/4°) and with sequential data assimilation (DA) schemes. Here, we compute geophysical excitation series from three identically configured global ocean reanalyses that are based on the same hydrodynamic core and input data (e.g., altimetry, Argo, sea surface temperature) but different DA schemes. The resulting OAM time series are compared both with each other and with atmosphere-corrected geodetic excitation from 2007 to 2011. For periods less than 120 days, the reanalyses series typically explain 40–50% of the residual observed polar motion excitation, somewhat less than a widely used ocean state estimate. By contrast, the reanalyses’ skill in accounting for oceanic signals in ΔLOD is more varied, particularly when seasonal and longer time scales are included in the comparison. This result points to a misclosure of the global mass balance constraint among atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial hydrology, in part depending on whether or not a specific reanalysis considers the discharge of continental freshwater into the ocean. Together, our analyses provide insight into the kinematic consistency of newly available ocean reanalyses and give a quantitative understanding of the influence of different DA schemes on OAM estimates.

How to cite: Börger, L. and Schindelegger, M.: Are ocean reanalyses useful for Earth rotation research?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4720, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4720, 2022.

EGU22-4801 | Presentations | G3.5

Characteristics and results of two years of a VLBI southern hemisphere intensive observing program 

Sigrid Böhm, Jakob Gruber, Lisa Kern, Jamie McCallum, Lucia McCallum, Tiege McCarthy, Jonathan Quick, and Matthias Schartner

The parameter dUT1 (UT1-UTC, difference of universal time to atomic time) is essential for the transformation between celestial and terrestrial reference systems, inherent in precise navigation and positioning applications. Geodetic Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) is the only technique to directly observe dUT1. Real-time or near-real-time navigation tasks are dependent on rapid access to Earth orientation estimates or predictions. On a rapid turnaround basis, dUT1 is provided via so-called intensive sessions, which are routinely observed daily for one hour on one or sometimes more baselines. All currently operational intensive sessions are observed using northern hemisphere stations only.

In a joint initiative of TU Wien, the University of Tasmania, the Hartebeesthoek Radio Astronomy Observatory, and later on also ETH Zurich, we set up the southern hemisphere intensive observing program (SI). The SI sessions are observed with three VLBI telescopes all located south of the equator: HART15M (South Africa), HOBART12 (Tasmania), and YARRA12M (Western Australia). Observations including HOBART12 are observed in mixed-mode configuration, using the VGOS receiver in Hobart and the legacy systems at the two other stations.

By January 2022, we have successfully observed, correlated, and analyzed more than 50 SI sessions from the years 2020 and 2021. The resulting dUT1 values from the southern intensives are compared with dUT1 from the EOP 14 C04 series and with the results of other "northern intensives". The residuals with respect to C04 of the SI are on the same level as those of the INT1 and INT3 sessions and also match the level of agreement between all the various southern and northern intensives series.

How to cite: Böhm, S., Gruber, J., Kern, L., McCallum, J., McCallum, L., McCarthy, T., Quick, J., and Schartner, M.: Characteristics and results of two years of a VLBI southern hemisphere intensive observing program, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4801, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4801, 2022.

EGU22-5059 | Presentations | G3.5

Combination of GNSS, VLBI and SLR data for consistent estimation of Earth Rotation Parameters 

Lisa Lengert, Claudia Flohrer, Anastasiia Girdiuk, Hendrik Hellmers, and Daniela Thaller

We present the current activities of the Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (BKG) towards a combined processing of VLBI, GNSS and SLR data. The main goal of the combined analyses of the three different space-geodetic techniques is the improvement of the consistency between the techniques through common parameters, i.e., mainly Earth Rotation Parameters (ERPs). The combination is based on homogenized, datum-free NEQs which allow a rigorous combination on the normal equation level instead of the observation level.

Based on our previous combination studies using GNSS data and VLBI Intensive sessions on a daily and multi-day level, we generate a consistent, low-latency ERP time series with a regular daily resolution for polar motion and dUT1. We achieved in this way a significant accuracy improvement of the dUT1 time series and a slight improvement of the pole coordinates time series, comparing ERPs from the combined processing with the individual technique-specific ERPs.

In the second step, we extend the multi-day combination of GNSS and VLBI Intensive sessions by adding VLBI 24-hour sessions. The additional combination with VLBI R1/R4 data further stabilizes all ERPs twice per week and enables the estimation of high-precision ERP time series with a latency of about two weeks. With this combination approach, we obtained a further improvement in the dUT1 time series. For the pole coordinates time series, the accuracy of the estimates is almost at the same level as for the rapid combined solution.

In our recent studies, we want to investigate improvements in the representation of the ERP parameters of the VLBI 24-hour sessions. Furthermore, we want to extend the combination of GNSS and VLBI data by adding SLR sessions in order to exploit the benefit of the combination to its maximum extend. We expect that SLR improves the combined ERP solution in particular through a stable contribution of LOD. We analyse the impact of the combination on the global parameters of interest, i.e., mainly dUT1, polar motion and LOD, but also on station coordinates.

Based on the improved combination method, we intent to set up a new operational BKG-ERP product.

How to cite: Lengert, L., Flohrer, C., Girdiuk, A., Hellmers, H., and Thaller, D.: Combination of GNSS, VLBI and SLR data for consistent estimation of Earth Rotation Parameters, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5059, 2022.

EGU22-5234 | Presentations | G3.5

Preliminary results from the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign of the IERS 

Jolanta Nastula, Henryk Dobslaw, Justyna Śliwińska, Tomasz Kur, Malgorzata Wińska, and Aleksander Partyka

Precise positioning and navigation on the Earth’s surface and in space require accurate Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) data and predictions. In the last few decades, the problem of EOP prediction has become a subject of increased attention within the international geodetic community, and many research centres from around the world have developed their own methods of forecasting the EOP. It is not surprising that those various predictions differ in many aspects such as accuracy and the length of the forecast horizon.

A re-assessment of the various EOP prediction capabilities is currently pursued in the frame of the 2nd EOP PCC, which started in September 2021. The new campaign was prepared by the EOP PCC office run by the Space Research Centre of the Polish Academy of Sciences (CBK PAN) in cooperation with GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) and under the auspices of the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS). The campaign will be continued until the end of the year 2022 and all interested scientists are invited to contribute with new predictions at any time.

In this presentation, we provide preliminary results of the 2nd EOP PCC by focusing on the quality of EOP predictions up to 10 days into the future. The quality assessment includes metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) for the ensemble of all predictions, but also more detailed assessments of individual predictions. The accuracy of EOP forecasts is determined using IERS 14 C04 solution as a reference. We will pay special attention to the impact of input data exploited by participants, including the Effective Angular Momentum functions.

How to cite: Nastula, J., Dobslaw, H., Śliwińska, J., Kur, T., Wińska, M., and Partyka, A.: Preliminary results from the Second Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign of the IERS, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5234, 2022.

EGU22-5819 | Presentations | G3.5

Impact of erroneous station coordinates on the estimation of UT1-UTC with VLBI Intensive sessions 

Lisa Kern, Matthias Schartner, Johannes Böhm, Sigrid Böhm, Axel Nothnagel, and Benedikt Soja

So-called Intensives are one-hour-long VLBI sessions including mostly two stations, which are routinely observed to derive the Earth's phase of rotation expressed through the parameter UT1-UTC. Due to the limitation in time and participating stations, only a few parameters of interest can be estimated during the analysis, whereas others are fixed to their a priori values, such as the remaining Earth orientation parameters, as well as station and source coordinates. 

It is common knowledge that the impact of errors in the a priori station coordinates on the UT1-UTC results changes depending on the location, orientation and length of the baseline. In this presentation, we examine these effects for the first time in a systematic way covering the whole Earth. We performed Monte-Carlo simulations (MCS) with realistic noise models for a global 10° grid of artificial VGOS stations. The grid covers latitudes of -80° to 80° and longitudes of 0° to 180°. All possible and unambiguous baselines between these artificial telescopes are investigated. For every baseline, monthly schedules were generated over one year to eliminate source selection effects. In the MCS, the station coordinates are compromised with an error of 5 mm in either North-South, East-West or Up-Down direction. 

Thereby, we demonstrate that errors along the East-West direction tend to be less critical for long East-West baselines compared to errors in North-South direction. Furthermore, we show that errors in the station height are less critical compared to errors in North-South or East-West direction. The simulation results show that investigations of suitable locations for additional radio telescopes for UT1-UTC Intensive sessions cannot be selected by investigations in analytical equations such as the partial derivatives of the parameters alone but need more sophisticated analyses of error propagation.

How to cite: Kern, L., Schartner, M., Böhm, J., Böhm, S., Nothnagel, A., and Soja, B.: Impact of erroneous station coordinates on the estimation of UT1-UTC with VLBI Intensive sessions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5819, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5819, 2022.

EGU22-7119 | Presentations | G3.5

High Resolution Inertial Earth Sensing with Large Sagnac Interferometers 

Karl Ulrich Schreiber, Jan Kodet, Urs Hugentobler, Thomas Klügel, Andreas Brotzer, and Heiner Igel

Ring lasers are now resolving the rate of rotation of the Earth with 8 significant digits. Technically they constitute a Sagnac interferometer, where a traveling wave resonator, circumscribing an arbitrary contour, defines the optical frequency of two counter-propagating resonant laser beams. Subtle non-reciprocal effects on the laser beam however, cause a variable bias, which reduces the long-term stability. Over the last two years, we have improved the performance of the G ring laser to the point that we obtain long-term stable conditions over more than 50 days. Advances in the modeling of the non-linear behavior of the laser excitation process as well as some small but signicant improvements in the operation of the laser gyroscope are taking us now right to the doorstep of the periodic part of the Length of Day signal. In this talk we outline the current state of the art of inertial rotation sensing in the geosciences. Furthermore we discuss the next steps for an enhanced stability. At this point in time there is no apparent fundamental limit of this technique in sight.

How to cite: Schreiber, K. U., Kodet, J., Hugentobler, U., Klügel, T., Brotzer, A., and Igel, H.: High Resolution Inertial Earth Sensing with Large Sagnac Interferometers, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7119, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7119, 2022.

EGU22-7481 | Presentations | G3.5

Effects of topographic coupling at core-mantle boundary in rotation and orientation changes of the Earth. 

Véronique Dehant, Jeremy Rekier, Mihaela Puica, Marta Folgueira Lopez, Antony Trihn, and Tim Van Hoolst

We study coupling mechanisms at the topographic core-mantle boundary (CMB) of the Earth in the frame of nutations and Length-of-Day (LOD) variations. The CMB topography is usually considered to have a smooth spherical or elliptical shape, however, in reality it is bumpy and there are mountains and valleys representing local height differences of the order of a kilometer. The existence of a topography induces inertial waves that need to be considered in the flow of the core. This is in addition to the Poincaré fluid motion when the nutations are computed and in addition to a relative rotation of the fluid opposite and of the same amplitude as that of the mantle for LOD variations. The additional pressure and the topographic torque depend on the shape of the CMB and can be related to the spherical harmonic coefficients of the CMB topography. We follow the philosophy of the computation of Wu and Wahr [Geophys. J. Int., 128(1), 18-42, 1997] and determine the coefficients of the velocity field in the core at the CMB in terms of the topography coefficients. We used an analytical approach instead of a numerical one. We confirm that some topography coefficients may enhance length-of-day variations and nutations at selected frequencies, and show that these increased rotation variations and nutations are due to resonance effects with inertial waves in the incremental core flow.

How to cite: Dehant, V., Rekier, J., Puica, M., Folgueira Lopez, M., Trihn, A., and Van Hoolst, T.: Effects of topographic coupling at core-mantle boundary in rotation and orientation changes of the Earth., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7481, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7481, 2022.

EGU22-7729 | Presentations | G3.5

Exploiting the combined GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions to determine gravimetric excitation of polar motion 

Justyna Śliwińska, Małgorzata Wińska, and Jolanta Nastula

Interpretation of variations in polar motion (PM) excitation due to global mass redistribution of atmosphere, oceans, hydrosphere and cryosphere is an important task that takes place on the boundary between geodesy and geophysics. The role of Earth’s surficial fluids in PM excitation is usually assessed by analysing time series of atmospheric, oceanic, hydrological and cryospheric angular momentum (AAM, OAM, HAM and CAM, respectively). With the launch of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) missions, a new era of using global gravity data to determine gravimetric excitation of PM has begun. This can be done due to linear relationship between degree-2 order-1 coefficients of geopotential and equatorial components of PM excitation.

A number of institutes around the world routinely process and deliver GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions; however, the non-negligible differences between PM excitation  estimates derived from data provided by various data centres exist. The choice of most appropriate GRACE/GRACE-FO solution for the purpose of HAM and CAM determination is a very complex task and depends on several factors like considered time period, analysed oscillation and assumed criterion of evaluation. The use of a combination of multiple GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions is a very common approach in various research tasks.

In this work, we create combined GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions to determine the total effect of HAM and CAM (HAM/CAM) on PM excitation. To do so, we use three-cornered hat method to estimate noise level of single GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions. We also consider unweighted and weighted mean of GRACE/GRACE-FO datasets as well as publicly available combined solutions such as that provided by the International Combination Service for Time-variable Gravity Field (COST-G). Our estimates of HAM/CAM based on the combined data are compared to the HAM/CAM determined from single solutions and to the hydrological plus cryospheric signal in observed (geodetic) excitation called geodetic residuals (GAO). As data form Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) are also recommended to determine HAM/CAM, especially in the period of lack of GRACE or GRACE-FO measurements, we include SLR solutions to our analyses. Our work aims to check whether the combination of multiple solutions from different computing centres noticeable increases the compliance between HAM/CAM and GAO in several spectral bands like seasonal and non-seasonal oscillations.

How to cite: Śliwińska, J., Wińska, M., and Nastula, J.: Exploiting the combined GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions to determine gravimetric excitation of polar motion, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7729, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7729, 2022.

EGU22-8877 | Presentations | G3.5

Investigating INT2 and INT3 VLBI session performance for the determination of dUT1 

Matthias Schartner, Christian Plötz, and Benedikt Soja

The rapid determination of the Earth's phase of rotation, expressed through the Earth rotation parameter dUT1, is one of the core tasks of geodetic Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI). To ensure a low latency between observation and analysis results, dedicated 1-hour-long VLBI sessions, so-called Intensives, are regularly observed. Two of these Intensive programs, namely INT2 and INT3, are organized and monitored by the joint IVS operation center DACH. 

Within this study, a detailed overview over the last five years of the VLBI Intensive observing programs INT2 and INT3 is provided. INT2 sessions are typically observed on Saturdays and Sundays using a single baseline and a recording rate of 256 Mbps. INT3 sessions are multi-baseline Intensives with up to five stations, observed on Mondays with a recording rate of 1 Gbps. 

Starting in 2019, the scheduling strategy of the INT3 sessions was significantly changed, leading to a reduction of the estimated average dUT1 formal errors by 25% (from (6.1 ± 2.0) µs to (4.5 ± 1.0) µs) for the 4-station network. The improvement w.r.t. dUT1 mean formal errors for the 5-station network is 45% (from (6.3 ± 1.7) µs to (3.5 ± 0.5) µs). 

The best performing INT2 baseline is observed between station MK-VLBA (USA) and WETTZELL (Germany). Mid-2020, the same change was applied for these INT2 sessions, leading to a reduction in the average dUT1 mean formal error of 44% (from (11.7 ± 5.7) µs to (6.6± 4.7) µs). 

Furthermore, comparisons of dUT1 estimates from various analysis centers w.r.t. IERS EOP C04 and JPL EOP2 are conducted. It is revealed that the previously mentioned INT2 baseline shows a bias of only -2.5 µs and 1.9 µs based on the estimates provided by the analysis centers Goddard Space Flight Center (GSF) and Bundesamt für Karthographie und Geodäsie (BKG), respectively, when compared with JPL EOP2. In contrast, the bias is 10.4 µs and 14.9 µs w.r.t. IERS EOP C04. 

Besides analyzing dUT1 formal errors, the latency of the dUT1 results is compared. For INT3 sessions, results are typically available within 24 hours, while it takes two to three days for INT2 sessions, due to observations occurring on weekends. This reveals that the increased data volume recorded by the up to five stations with 1 Gbps does not increase the latency of the analysis results and dUT1 estimates can be obtained within 24-hours. 

Overall, this work provides a detailed insight into the INT2 and INT3 session performances, revealing a strong positive trend in the precision of dUT1 measurements over the last few years.

How to cite: Schartner, M., Plötz, C., and Soja, B.: Investigating INT2 and INT3 VLBI session performance for the determination of dUT1, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8877, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8877, 2022.

EGU22-9343 | Presentations | G3.5

An empirical analysis of the free core nutation period from VLBI-based series of celestial pole offsets 

Santiago Belda, Jose M. Ferrándiz, Alberto Escapa, Sadegh Modiri, Victor Puente, Robert Heinkelmann, and Harald Schuh

Currently, accurate observations of the Celestial Intermediate Pole (CIP) can only be obtained by the Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) technique. The differences among the observed CIP and that derived from IAU 2006/2000A precession-nutation model are the Celestial Pole Offsets (CPO). CPO contain the free core nutation (FCN), trends, and harmonics due to limitations of IAU precession-nutation model, geophysical excitations, etc. as well as the noise of observations. FCN is a free rotational mode of the Earth and, in principle, cannot be predicted. It can be determined from CPO time series with the use of different empirical models. The development of such models, and the enhancing of the existing ones, has been suggested in the IAU/IAG Joint Working Group ”Improving Theories and Models of the Earth’s Rotation (ITMER)”, since FCN contribution is the main one of CPO. The accurate estimation of the free core nutation (FCN) period of about 430 days is a challenging prospect. Comparison of the FCN period obtained by different authors and methods shows slight discrepancies. But, is there any evidence that the period of the FCN varies with time? If so, then this would complicate making a model of it. The FCN phase drift in 2000 could be related to that, but the is no clear evidence. In this study, we tested different FCN periods using several subsets of the observed nutations derived from VLBI analysis with the purpose of finding the optimal configuration that provides the lowest residuals. That is why a large quantity of empirical FCN models were also estimated and tested with different sliding window lengths and FCN periods. This analysis could bring us significantly closer to meet the accuracy goals pursued by the Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) of the International Association of Geodesy (IAG), i.e. 1 mm accuracy and 0.1 mm/year stability on global scales in terms of the ITRF defining parameters.

This research was supported partially by Generalitat Valenciana (SEJIGENT/2021/001) and the European Union—NextGenerationEU (ZAMBRANO 21-04) (S.B). This research was also supported by Spanish Projects PID2020-119383GB-I00 funded by Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/) and  PROMETEO/2021/030 funded by Generalitat Valenciana (J.M.F., A.E.).

How to cite: Belda, S., Ferrándiz, J. M., Escapa, A., Modiri, S., Puente, V., Heinkelmann, R., and Schuh, H.: An empirical analysis of the free core nutation period from VLBI-based series of celestial pole offsets, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9343, 2022.

EGU22-10327 | Presentations | G3.5

On the elastodynamics of rotating planets 

Matthew Maitra and David Al-Attar

We present a theoretical framework for modelling the rotational dynamics of solid elastic bodies. It takes full account of: Earth’s variable rotation, aspherical topography, and lateral variations in density and wave-speeds. It is based on an exact decomposition of the body’s motion that separates out the motion’s elastic and rotational components, in a way that we will make precise. As a prelude to the elastic problem, we show how Hamilton’s principle provides an elegant means of deriving the exact and linearised equations of rigid body motion, then study the normal modes of a rigid body in uniform rotation. We subsequently build on these ideas to write down the exact equations of motion of a variably rotating elastic body. We linearise the equations and discuss their numerical solution, before showing how to extend these ideas to analyse N elastic bodies interacting through gravity. We finally discuss the extensions that would be necessary in order to describe layered fluid-solid bodies, and discuss the applications of this work to problems of Earth rotation.

How to cite: Maitra, M. and Al-Attar, D.: On the elastodynamics of rotating planets, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10327, 2022.

EGU22-11411 | Presentations | G3.5

Towards the improvement of EOP prediction: first results of the 2nd EOP PCC 

Sadegh Modiri, Daniela Thaller, Santiago Belda, Sonia Guessoum, Jose M Ferrandiz, Shrishail Raut, Sujata Dhar, Robert Heinkelmann, and Harald Schuh

The real-time Earth orientation parameters (EOP) estimation is needed for many applications, including precise tracking and navigation of interplanetary spacecraft, climate forecasting, and disaster prevention. However, the complexity and time-consuming data processing always lead to time delays. Accordingly, several methods were developed and applied for the EOP prediction. However, the accuracy of EOP prediction is still not satisfactory even for prediction of just a few days in the future. Therefore, new methods or a combination of the existing approaches can be investigated to improve the predicted EOP. To assess the various EOP prediction capabilities, the international Earth rotation and reference systems service (IERS) established the working group on the 2nd Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (2nd EOP PCC).
Our EOP prediction team provides the full set of EOP predictions weekly for one year ahead. The SSA+Copula method and the empirical free core nutation (FCN) model (named B16) are used for Earth rotation parameters and celestial pole offsets (CPO) prediction, respectively. 
Our preliminary results illustrate an improvement in EOP prediction compared to the current EOP prediction methods, especially on CPO. Additionally, the comparison with other method results indicates that the proposed techniques can efficiently and precisely predict the EOP at different terms (short, mid, and long term).

How to cite: Modiri, S., Thaller, D., Belda, S., Guessoum, S., Ferrandiz, J. M., Raut, S., Dhar, S., Heinkelmann, R., and Schuh, H.: Towards the improvement of EOP prediction: first results of the 2nd EOP PCC, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11411, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11411, 2022.

EGU22-12091 | Presentations | G3.5

Prediction of UT1-UTC by machine learning techniques 

Sujata Dhar, Shashank Pathak, Robert Heinkelmann, Santiago Belda, Harald Schuh, and Nagarajan Balasubramanian

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are used to learn from data and make data-driven predictions. These algorithms consider pattern recognition and computational learning on the data. Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) are the monitoring parameters for the Earth’s rotation. UT1-UTC is an EOP that monitors the time required by the Earth to complete a rotation versus atomic time. This parameter is indispensable for many applications like precise satellite orbit determination, interplanetary space navigation, etc. In this study, we will use novel ML algorithms to predict the UT1-UTC (IERS C04) time series and investigate its performance against each other and also, w.r.t. the conventional prediction fitting methods, like Least Squares (LS), Auto-Regressive (AR), Multivariate Autoregressive (MAR) methods, etc. In this work, a diversity of advanced ML algorithms will be tested: Random Forest (RF), Generalized Linear Model (GLM), Gradient Boosted Model (GBM), K-means and prophet algorithms. We would like to optimize the UT1-UTC prediction technique to work well with the short-term prediction up to 10 days. Finally, these ML predictions will be compared against those from the last Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign (EOP PCC) from October 1, 2005 to February 28, 2008. This detailed study would be useful to understand the performance of ML techniques on the UT1-UTC time series and would lead to further development of better prediction models using ML algorithms. 

Key words: Machine Learning, Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP), UT1-UTC, predictions

How to cite: Dhar, S., Pathak, S., Heinkelmann, R., Belda, S., Schuh, H., and Balasubramanian, N.: Prediction of UT1-UTC by machine learning techniques, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12091, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12091, 2022.

EGU22-740 | Presentations | OS4.1

Using citizen science to digitise 3 million hand-written tide-gauge data entries 

Joanne Williams, Andrew Matthews, and Elizabeth Bradshaw
How can you get sea-level data faster than one day at a time? Get it from the past!
 
The port of Liverpool is one of the world's longest sea-level records, but for the 1800s the only digital record is hand-calculated monthly mean data, which have many gaps. Hand-written ledgers contain high frequency (15 minute) records from 1853 to 1903, both at Liverpool and neighbouring Hilbre Island. In 2021, we coordinated over 3600 volunteers through the Zooniverse website to transcribe this data. At the time of writing this abstract, the transcription is nearing completion.  From the newly digitised data we can examine whether tides in the Mersey have changed and reassess the frequency of rare storm surge events. We now understand the reason for the gaps in the Liverpool monthly mean sea-level, which are due to a dock fire and an intermittent siltation problem at low water, and may be able to use the Hilbre data to help fill them.
 
We report on the feasibility of this process for other transcription projects, the unusual quality control requirements for volunteer transcription, and present the newly restored data with 19th Century tides, storm surges and sea-level.
 

How to cite: Williams, J., Matthews, A., and Bradshaw, E.: Using citizen science to digitise 3 million hand-written tide-gauge data entries, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-740, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-740, 2022.

Breaking internal tides contributes substantially to small-scale turbulent mixing in the ocean interior and hence to maintaining the large-scale overturning circulation. How much internal tide energy is available for ocean mixing can be estimated by using semi-analytical methods based on linear theory. Until recently, a method resolving the horizontal direction of the barotropic-to-baroclinic energy transfer was lacking. We here present the first global application of such a method for the first vertical mode of the principal lunar semi-diurnal tide. The conversion rate estimates are in general agreement with those obtained in previous studies, albeit somewhat smoother since the non-locality of the internal tide generation problem is taken into account more strongly. An advantage is that the conversion rate is positive definite with the new method. We also show that the effect of supercritical slopes on the modally decomposed internal tides is different than previously suggested. To deal with this the continental shelf and the shelf slope are masked in the global computation. The result shows that the energy flux can vary substantially with direction depending on the shape and orientation of topographic obstacles and the flow direction of the local tidal currents. Taking this additional information into account in tidal mixing parameterizations could have important ramifications for vertical mixing and water mass properties in global numerical simulations.

How to cite: Nycander, J. and Pollmann, F.: Resolving the horizontal direction of internal tide generation: Global application for the first mode M2-tide, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1159, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1159, 2022.

EGU22-1644 | Presentations | OS4.1

Internal Tide Generation by Submarine Canyons 

Joseph Elmes, Stephen Griffiths, and Onno Bokhove

Approximately 70% of the global dissipation of the barotropic tide occurs in the waters of the continental margins, due to bottom friction on the shelves and internal tide generation at the continental slopes. Here we are interested in the latter process, and how it depends upon the presence of submarine canyons, which are a ubiquitous feature of continental slopes. Whilst there have been modeling studies of internal tide generation at particular canyons (e.g., Monterey), our emphasis is on understanding the effects of canyon geometry more generally, given the diversity of canyons that exist across the globe.  

To do this, we study idealised canyon configurations cutting through idealised continental slopes, enabling us to define and then explore a relevant parameter space (canyon length, width, depth, etc.). For forcing by a prescribed barotropic tide, taking the form of a Kelvin wave with predominantly alongshore flow, we investigate both the amplitude and direction of the implied radiating internal tides, and generate scaling laws for how the tidal dissipation varies across parameter space.

Such a study would be challenging and extremely time consuming with traditional ocean circulation models, because of the small length scales of both the canyons and the internal tides. For efficiency, we thus use the multi-modal linear modelling strategy of Griffiths and Grimshaw (2007), but solved with cutting-edge numerics in the form of a Discontinuous Galerkin Finite Element methodology. We have generated high-quality multi-scale triangular meshes to resolve the canyons, and can deploy a range of test-function orders and numerical fluxes therein. This methodology is a key part of this study.

How to cite: Elmes, J., Griffiths, S., and Bokhove, O.: Internal Tide Generation by Submarine Canyons, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1644, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1644, 2022.

EGU22-2478 | Presentations | OS4.1

The assessment of minor tidal constituents in ocean models for optimising the ocean tidal correction 

Michael Hart-Davis, Roman Sulzbach, Denise Dettmering, Maik Thomas, Christian Schwatke, and Florian Seitz

Satellite altimetry observations have provided a significant contribution to the understanding of global sea surface processes, particularly allowing for advances in the accuracy of ocean tide estimations. Accurate estimations of ocean tides are valuable for the understanding of sea surface processes from along-track satellite altimetry. Ocean tide models have done a suitable job in providing these estimations, however, difficulties remain in the handling of minor tidal constituents. The estimation of minor tides from altimetry-derived products proves difficult due to the relatively small signals of these tides and due to the temporal sampling of the altimetry missions meaning a long time series of observations is required. This is generally solved by models and tidal prediction software by using admittance theory to infer these minor constituents from the more well-known and better estimated major constituents. In this presentation, the results of a recent study that looked at the estimation of several minor constituents directly from tide models compared to the inferred version of these tides are presented. The model used for the direct estimations and the inferences is a regional version of the Empirical Ocean Tide model (EOT) which is a data-constrained model derived from multi-mission satellite altimetry. The resultant estimations from these two approaches are compared to two global numerical tide models (TiME and FES2014) and in situ tide gauge observations (from the TICON dataset). Based on the study of eight tidal constituents, a recommendation of directly estimating four tides (J1, L2, μ2 and ν2) and inferring four tides (2N2, ϵ2, MSF and T2) is given to optimise the ocean tidal correction. Following on from this, a new approach of merging tidal constituents from different tide models to produce the ocean tidal correction for satellite altimetry that benefits from the strengths of the respective models is presented. This concept allows for the benefit of using data-constrained tide models in the estimation of the major constituents as well as the use of numerical models in providing a greater number of minor constituents, to be combined to provide a more optimised estimation of the full tidal signal.

How to cite: Hart-Davis, M., Sulzbach, R., Dettmering, D., Thomas, M., Schwatke, C., and Seitz, F.: The assessment of minor tidal constituents in ocean models for optimising the ocean tidal correction, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2478, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2478, 2022.

EGU22-3944 | Presentations | OS4.1

The new GESLA-3 tide gauge data set and its quality control for tidal studies 

Marta Marcos, Ivan D. Haigh, Stefan A. Talke, Michael Hart-Davis, Denise Dettmering, Philip L. Woodworth, and John R. Hunter

The Global Extreme Sea Level Analysis (GESLA) dataset contains, in its recently released version 3, a total of 5199 tide gauge records of hourly (or higher) temporal resolution, globally distributed and totalling more than 91000 years of data (www.gesla.org). This represents twice the number of observations compared to the former version of the database. The tide gauge records have been compiled from multiple data providers and so they have different levels of quality controls. Here we describe a set of tools to homogenise and quality control sea level observations from raw GESLA files, including adjustments of datum jumps and time shifts in the time series. We apply these tools to estimate tidal constituents from the extended in-situ dataset. The results are used to identify the river influences on coastal tide gauges and to map the spatial patterns of mean tidal ranges along densely monitored coastlines.

How to cite: Marcos, M., Haigh, I. D., Talke, S. A., Hart-Davis, M., Dettmering, D., Woodworth, P. L., and Hunter, J. R.: The new GESLA-3 tide gauge data set and its quality control for tidal studies, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3944, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3944, 2022.

EGU22-4019 | Presentations | OS4.1

Tides And Relative Dissipation In Supercycles – An overview of tidal modelling work with OTIS and what’s next. 

Hannah Sophia Davies, J. A. Mattias Green, Dave Waltham, and João C. Duarte

The supercontinent cycle and Wilson cycle describe the periodic formation and termination of supercontinents and ocean basins respectively. This cyclicity has occurred since the beginning of the Phanerozoic, however, it may have been active in some form much earlier (i.e., during the Proterozoic). The periodic opening and closing of ocean basins following the Wilson cycle has been found to affect the tides, as oceans grow and shrink over geological time, they occasionally allow open ocean tidal resonance to occur. These resonant periods are relatively short lived (~ 20 Ma) however, they profoundly affect the tidal energy budget of the planet while active.  

We have now investigated the relationship between tides and “plate tectonics” during the Archean, Paleo-Proterozoic, Cryogenian, Ediacaran, Devonian, and during conceptualised future supercontinent scenarios. We find that periods of open ocean tidal resonance occur much more frequently in our tidal models after ~600 Ma. While earlier periods of Earth history where the Moon was physically closer produce higher relative tides, later periods such as the Ediacaran, Devonian and present day produce higher tides through open ocean resonance. This trend continues into the near future, with open ocean resonance likely occurring multiple times before the formation of the next supercontinent. Notwithstanding, the Cryogenian period represents an outlier in this trend, with very low tidal dissipation rates. We conclude that this is due to the global “snowball” glaciations of the time supressing the tide. Despite the Cryogenian outlier, our results are consistent with other deep-time modelling studies.

The result of the Cryogenian, and the disparity in time between periods which we have tidally modelled, show that more work is needed to fully reconstruct the tidal environment of the Earth in deep-time. Filling in the missing periods with tidal modelling efforts and including the effect of other components of the Earth system, (i.e., glacial periods/climate, orbital parameters, and tectonic setting) are all needed to establish a robust record of the tide in deep-time. This can then be further validated with other models and geological data of the tide to help us better understand Lunar orbital evolution, and the Earth system in the past and potentially in the future.

How to cite: Davies, H. S., Green, J. A. M., Waltham, D., and Duarte, J. C.: Tides And Relative Dissipation In Supercycles – An overview of tidal modelling work with OTIS and what’s next., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4019, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4019, 2022.

EGU22-4695 | Presentations | OS4.1

Modeling the impact of contemporary ocean stratification changes on the global M2 tide 

Lana Opel and Michael Schindelegger

Low-frequency non-astronomical changes of tides are among the most puzzling signals in the world ocean. Although the relevance of these signals in the order of a few cm is gradually being appreciated in the context of coastal flooding or de-aliasing of satellite gravimetry observations, a detailed quantitative understanding of the causative mechanisms has been lacking. Among the suspected forcing factors are fluctuations and trends in relative sea level, basin geometry (associated with, e.g., melting Antarctic ice-shelves), bed roughness, and ocean stratification. Here, we use a high-resolution general circulation model to spatially map the influence of stratification changes on the global M2 tide, on time scales from years out to decades. We conduct global tidal simulations in annually changing density structures, as drawn from hydrographic profiles and other external datasets (e.g., an eddying ocean reanalysis) from 1993 to present day. We perform internal-tide permitting simulations (1/12° horizontal grid spacing, 50 vertical layers) to resolve the relevant physics, particularly low-mode barotropic-to-baroclinic energy conversion at topographic features and vertical mixing in shallow water. Atmospheric forcing is omitted to constrain the model’s density distribution to the prescribed initial hydrography. We validate the resulting annual M2 amplitude changes against estimates from harmonically analyzed tide gauge series, distributed across the globe. Particular emphasis in our analysis is given to the tropical Pacific and the South China Sea, where the seesawing of stratification between positive and negative phases of ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) is expected to introduce spatially coherent amplitude modulations of ±1 cm on interannual time scales.

How to cite: Opel, L. and Schindelegger, M.: Modeling the impact of contemporary ocean stratification changes on the global M2 tide, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4695, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4695, 2022.

EGU22-7405 | Presentations | OS4.1

Energy of the semidiurnal internal tide from Argo data compared with theory 

Gaspard Geoffroy, Jonas Nycander, and Casimir de Lavergne

A global map of the amplitude of the semidiurnal internal tide at the 1000 dbar level, obtained from Argo park-phase data, is converted to depth-integrated energy density. As opposed to current satellite altimeter data, the high sampling rate of the floats enables the direct observation of the total wave field, including waves with a time varying phase difference to the astronomical forcing. Thus, the Argo-derived energy content is only affected by mixing, scattering, and nonlinear processes. The Argo data alone do not allow for retrieving the distribution of the energy over the different vertical modes. Nevertheless, the modal partitioning of the Argo-derived energy content is inferred from other datasets. The results are compared with a geographical distribution of the internal tide energy content estimated with a Lagrangian ray tracing model. The outcome is in turn used to tune the modelled attenuation of low-mode internal tides.

How to cite: Geoffroy, G., Nycander, J., and de Lavergne, C.: Energy of the semidiurnal internal tide from Argo data compared with theory, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7405, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7405, 2022.

EGU22-8346 | Presentations | OS4.1

Tidal sea level oscillations in the Sea of Azov 

Arina Korzhenovskaia, Igor Medvedev, and Viktor Arkhipkin

The Sea of Azov is the most isolated and shallow sea of the World Ocean. Longterm hourly data from 14 coastal tide gauges were used to study the features of tides in the Sea of Azov. Spectral analysis showed well-defined spectral peaks at tidal diurnal and semidiurnal frequencies. Harmonic analysis of tides for individual annual sea level series with consecutive vector averaging over the entire observation period was applied to estimate mean amplitudes and phases of 11 tidal constituents. The amplitude of the major diurnal harmonics is generally greater than the semidiurnal ones. The amplitude of the diurnal radiational constituent S1 changes from 6 cm at the head of the Taganrog Bay to 0.5 cm in the Kerch Strait, while the amplitude of the main semidiurnal gravitational harmonic M2 inside the sea varies from 1.0 cm in the southeastern part of the Sea of Azov, to 0.38 cm at Mysovoye. The tidal form factor within the Sea of Azov changes significantly from the diurnal form in the north to the mixed, mainly semidiurnal near the Kerch Strait. The maximum theoretical tidal range of 19.5 cm were found at the head of the Taganrog Bay, and the lowest was noted in the Kerch Strait, 4.9 cm. The assumption about the predominantly radiational genesis of diurnal tides is confirmed by the seasonal variations of their spectrum. Radiational tides in the Sea of Azov may be initiated by sea breeze winds, which is best expressed in summer.

How to cite: Korzhenovskaia, A., Medvedev, I., and Arkhipkin, V.: Tidal sea level oscillations in the Sea of Azov, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8346, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8346, 2022.

EGU22-9241 | Presentations | OS4.1

Relative Changes in Tidal Ranges on the Northern Hemisphere since the Last Glacial Maximum 

Roman Sulzbach, Volker Klemann, Henryk Dobslaw, Gregor Knorr, Gerrit Lohmann, and Maik Thomas

Ocean tidal dynamics depend on several factors of which some have experienced considerable changes since the last glacial maximum (LGM). Mainly driven by deglaciation-induced sea-level rise and altered oceanographic conditions, these changes comprise (i) the global bathymetric conditions that control ocean tide resonances, (ii) shallow-water energy dissipation in shelf seas, (iii) deep-ocean energy dissipation by internal wave drag, and (iv) sea-ice energy dissipation affected by the reduced sea-ice coverage. The corresponding changes in tidal range and energy dissipation (e.g., Wilmes and Green, 2014) with respect to modern-day tidal conditions are important for reconstructing paleo-oceanographic conditions with a direct impact on paleoclimatic simulations and, e. g., the interpretation of sea-level markers that depend on the actual tidal range.

In this contribution, we present paleo tidal simulations obtained with the purely hydrodynamic ocean tide model TiME2021 (Sulzbach et al. 2021), which was updated with a sea-ice friction parametrization. Applying bathymetry changes due to glacial isostatic adjustment and internal dissipation changes due to paleo ocean stratification and paleo sea-ice coverage, we find the latter effect (iv) to be of minor importance. For a timespan ranging from modern-day conditions to 21 ky before present, simulations were performed on a rotated numerical grid that ensures high accuracy in the Pan-Arctic region which is known to have drastically changed in the semidiurnal tidal regime from micro- to mega-tidal (e.g., Velay-Vitow and Peltier, 2020). We find the phenomenon of Arctic Megatides being highly sensitive to the employed parametrization of Self-Attraction and Loading (SAL), which can be locally approximated or included to full extent by considering a global load Love number approach. For a cylindrical, analytical model of the Arctic basin, the observed behavior of the Arctic tidal regime can be directly related to properties of the lowest-order Arctic Kelvin wave, so, it can be traced back to bathymetric changes.

In line with other studies, we find tidal energy dissipation especially in the deep ocean to be strongly increased during the LGM. We further present charts for different epochs displaying relative changes in the tidal range with respect to modern conditions that show deviations of several meters in critical regions (Arctic Ocean, South China Sea, Baffin Bay). The employed approach is based on simulations of two major partial tides per tidal band (M2, K2 and O1, K1) and the linear admittance theory. This information is aimed to be used with sea-level markers that are sensitive to tidal levels in order to improve the consistency of paleo sea-level reconstructions.

 

References:

[1] Wilmes S. B. and Green J. A. M. (2014), JGR: Oceans, 119, 4083–4100

[2] Sulzbach, R., Dobslaw, H., & Thomas, M. (2021), JGR: Oceans., 126, 1–21

[3] Velay-Vitow, J. and Peltier, W. R. (2020), Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL08987

How to cite: Sulzbach, R., Klemann, V., Dobslaw, H., Knorr, G., Lohmann, G., and Thomas, M.: Relative Changes in Tidal Ranges on the Northern Hemisphere since the Last Glacial Maximum, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9241, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9241, 2022.

EGU22-9396 | Presentations | OS4.1

A new service providing sea level height data using GNSS sensors from around the globe 

Elizabeth Bradshaw, Andrew Matthews, Simon Williams, and Angela Hibbert

The Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level (PSMSL) is the internationally recognised global sea level data bank for long-term sea level change information from tide gauges, responsible for the collection, publication, analysis and interpretation of sea level data. There is a need both for more records in data sparse regions such as Antarctica, the Arctic and Africa, and for a low cost method for monitoring climate change through sea level. 

While tide gauge sensors themselves are not very expensive, the costs in operating them over a long period of time can be considerable. Sensors based in the water are prone to biofouling, and can require divers to access. Meanwhile, land-based sensors are exposed to damage from accidents, storms, and vandalism. 

The emerging field of GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems, such as GPS, GLONASS, Galileo and BeiDou) interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR) provides an alternative way to measure sea level. Permanent GNSS receivers are routinely installed near the coast to monitor land movements, and we can infer sea level by comparing the direct signal to a GNSS with those reflected off the surface of the water. GNSS-IR does not yet match the accuracy of traditional tide gauges, but has the potential to be part of an affordable, effective monitoring system of water levels. 

Here we present a new data portal of sea level measured using GNSS-IR, developed as part of the EuroSea project. So far, we have extracted sea level data from over 250 GNSS receivers worldwide. At each site we provide a file of calculated sea levels, along with metadata about the site, some diagnostic plots, and links to the source of the original GNSS data. We have also created an interactive map to help investigate the footprint of a GNSS installed at any location. 

At present the portal is in a beta stage of development, and we hope to continue to make improvements, including hosting the data on a server with an API (ERDDAP) to allow interoperable access to data and metadata in a wide range of formats. We have carried out proof-of-concept tests that demonstrate that data can be provided in near real time, and aim to secure funding to allow us to add this in the future. 

How to cite: Bradshaw, E., Matthews, A., Williams, S., and Hibbert, A.: A new service providing sea level height data using GNSS sensors from around the globe, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9396, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9396, 2022.

EGU22-9505 | Presentations | OS4.1

Developments of the Global Tide and Surge Model 

Jelmer Veenstra, Sanne Muis, and Martin Verlaan

The Global Tide and Surge Model (GTSM) is a depth-averaged hydrodynamic model, developed by Deltares. GTSM can be used to dynamically simulate water levels and currents, that arise from tides and storm surges. The model is based on Delft3D Flexible Mesh software and has a spatially varying resolution which increases towards the coast. Previous studies with this model used GTSMv3.0 and focused for instance on operational forecasting, reanalysis and climate projections and estimation of return periods (Muis et al., 2020; Dullaart et al., 2021), satellite altimetry (Bij de Vaate, 2021), changes in tides due to sea level rise and various others.

Significant improvements in model performance were made in the newest GTSMv4.1, released in 2021. This model with increased resolution and improved representation of physical processes was calibrated by applying bathymetry and friction correction (Wang et al., 2021). From GTSMv3.0 to GTSMv4.1, the model performance showed great improvements with a 37% reduction of the root-mean-squared-error between modelled and observed tides from 17.8 cm to 11.3 cm.

The model development is an ongoing and continuous effort. The current developments are to improve the grid+bathymetry, representation of the sea-land interface, improving the spatial distribution of internal tide energy dissipation and the inclusion of other baroclinic processes like steric and radiational tides. Preliminary results show improvements in several areas. Furthermore, improving geometry representation by cutting parts of coastal cells with a landboundary often shows to improve the model performance just as significant as a resolution increase, while saving computational cost.

How to cite: Veenstra, J., Muis, S., and Verlaan, M.: Developments of the Global Tide and Surge Model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9505, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9505, 2022.

EGU22-9980 | Presentations | OS4.1

Evolution of tides and tidal dissipation over the last glacial cycle 

Sophie-Berenice Wilmes and J. A. Mattias Green

Simulations of the tides from the Last Glacial Maximum (26.5 – 19 kyr BP) to the present show large amplitude and dissipation changes, especially in the semi-diurnal band during the deglacial period. New reconstructions of global ice sheet history and sea levels allow us to extend the tidal simulations back to cover most of the last glacial cycle. Climate during this period was far from stable with periods of ice sheet advance and lower sea levels interspaced with ice sheet melting and sea level increases. Here, using the sea level and ice history from Gowan et al., 2021, we present simulations of tidal amplitudes and dissipation from 80 kyr BP to present using the tide model OTIS. Our results show large variations in amplitudes and dissipation over this period for the M2 tidal constituent with several tidal maxima. Due to the lower sea levels and altered bathymetry open ocean dissipation was enhanced with respect to present day levels for most of the glacial cycle. This result is important in the context of historical ocean mixing rates. For the semi-diurnal K1 tide, in contrast, changes are mainly local or regional. 

How to cite: Wilmes, S.-B. and Green, J. A. M.: Evolution of tides and tidal dissipation over the last glacial cycle, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9980, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9980, 2022.

EGU22-10432 | Presentations | OS4.1

Tidal effects in a global general circulation model: comparison between coarse and high resolution configurations 

Federica Borile, Simona Masina, Doroteaciro Iovino, Nadia Pinardi, and Paola Cessi

The energy budget of the global ocean circulation highlights the importance of winds and tides as main sources of energy. As wind forcing acts at the ocean surface, tidal potential affects the entire water column and, in regions of rough topography, it generates energy conversion from barotropic to baroclinic high frequency modes. An intercomparison is computed between experiments with and without tidal forcing, using a global ocean general circulation model in two different configurations, respectively mesoscale-permitting and mesoscale-resolving ones. Regardless of the resolution, the contribution of tides to the mean kinetic energy is negligible on the global scale, while it enhances the eddy kinetic energy, especially on continental shelves and rough bottom topography sites, where internal waves are generated before being dissipated or radiated away. The interaction between these waves and mesoscale features is enhanced in the higher-resolution experiments, and their effects on the mean circulation are analysed in two regions where the tidal activity is well documented: the North-West Atlantic Ocean and the Indonesian region. We investigate the impact of internal tides presence on the modelled tidal amplitude, and we include a topographic wave drag as an additional term of internal wave dissipation.

How to cite: Borile, F., Masina, S., Iovino, D., Pinardi, N., and Cessi, P.: Tidal effects in a global general circulation model: comparison between coarse and high resolution configurations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10432, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10432, 2022.

EGU22-10852 | Presentations | OS4.1

Internal Tide Scattering by an Isolated Cyclogeostrophic Vortex 

Jeffrey Uncu and Nicolas Grisouard

Internal tides (ITs) are internal waves which oscillate at the tidal frequencies. ITs may cross entire ocean basins and along the way, they may be redirected, break, and dissipate. The latter is due to changes in stratification, bottom turbulence, wave-wave interactions, and of interest in this study, the scattering of ITs by balanced flow. Mesoscale wave-vortex interactions are characterized by low Rossby numbers. With the aid of satellite altimetry, the effects of mesoscale eddies on ITs has been used successfully to map low mode IT propagation.  In the submesoscale, these interactions become more complex, due to strong non-linearities, a partial breakdown of geostrophic balance, and intermediate scales for both balanced flows and ITs, which are hard to observe with current methods. However, the next generation of satellite altimetry, the Surface Water and Ocean Topography mission, will have fine enough resolution to begin to capture the submesoscale, which makes it an exciting time to explore wave-vortex interactions in this regime. We use the one-layer shallow water model to run idealized numerical simulations of a single wave mode propagating through a (cyclo)geostrophic vortex. By varying the Rossby number, which controls the strength of the vortex, and varying the relative scale of the vortex size to IT wavelength, we observe the IT energy redistribution at the lee side of a submesoscale vortex. We find that high Rossby numbers and relatively small waves will induce sharper deflections in wave propagation, which we quantify with energy flux calculations. By applying complex demodulation, we can filter the incoming plane wave to reveal the characteristic pattern of an isolated vortex scatter, which consists of three beams, two slightly skewed beams from the edge of the vortex, and one strongly skewed beam from the middle.

How to cite: Uncu, J. and Grisouard, N.: Internal Tide Scattering by an Isolated Cyclogeostrophic Vortex, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10852, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10852, 2022.

EGU22-12362 | Presentations | OS4.1

Adjoint modeling of load-tide sensitivity 

Andrei A. Dmitrovskii, Hilary Martens, Amir Khan, Martin van Driel, and Christian Boehm

Deformations of the solid Earth as a response to ocean tidal loading (OTL) are sensitive to the material properties of Earth’s interior across a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Studying tidal response can provide constraints on the interior structure, which are complementary to seismic tomography and particularly important to explore the interior response to low frequency loads. Although seismic tomography is widely used to constrain the Earth’s interior, it is prone to be only slightly sensitive to the density distribution in the interior with an increase of the sensitivity towards the long period signal. Whereas previous research (e.g. Ito & Simons, 2011, Martens et al., 2016) has shown that the tidal surface displacements may be sensitive to elastic properties of the interior to the same extent as to the mass distribution in the lithosphere and the mantle. The latter are of massive interest to all fields of geophysics and especially geodynamics.

We present a numerical approach to simulate the elastic and gravitational responses of the solid Earth that relies on the spectral-element method. Modeling the governing equations in a 3-D Earth using a coupled system of the elastostatic and Poisson’s equations enables us to include effects like topography or lateral variations in Earth structure. The adjoint method is a powerful technique to simultaneously compute sensitivity with respect to all material parameters, e.g., density and elastic moduli, by solving an auxiliary linear system. We introduce a recipe for computing adjoint-based sensitivities of the complex-valued amplitude of surface displacement by two simulations for the real and imaginary part of the surface load. Those two simulations are independent under assumption of negligible attenuation.

How to cite: Dmitrovskii, A. A., Martens, H., Khan, A., van Driel, M., and Boehm, C.: Adjoint modeling of load-tide sensitivity, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12362, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12362, 2022.

Sea level change affects hundreds of millions of people living in coastal regions. In addition to measuring the total sea level change via satellite altimetry, it is important to understand individual mass and steric contributors on global and regional scales. Consequently, deriving accurate global and regional sea level budgets is of key interest for understanding the underlying processes and aid in assessing future impacts of sea level rise. Furthermore, steric sea level change is related to the Earth’s Energy Imbalance and thus a key indicator of global warming.

The global fingerprint inversion method (Rietbroek et al., 2016) allows to combine GRACE(-FO) gravity measurements and along-track satellite altimetry observations in order to jointly estimate the individual mass and steric changes in a consistent manner. We use an extended fingerprint approach which allows further separation of the ocean mass variations into contributions from the melting of land glaciers and the Greenland and Antarctic ice-sheets as well as terrestrial hydrology effects and changes of the internal mass transport within the ocean. Furthermore, the updated inversion presented here, aims at splitting the steric sea level change into contributions of the upper 700m and the deeper ocean.

Here, we present the inversion results of a closed global sea level budget (within 0.1 mm/yr) during the GRACE era (2002-04 till 2015-12) attributing 1.68 mm/yr and 1.40 mm/yr to ocean mass and steric changes, respectively. Compared to state-of-the art studies the steric contribution is found to be in line while the mass estimates are slightly lower. We provide budgets for major ocean basins and compare our results to individually processed GRACE, altimetry and ocean re-analysis datasets as well as published estimates. Furthermore, we will show preliminary results when extending the inversion to incorporate additional GRACE-FO data. Finally, we extent our investigations to regional sea level budgets for selected regions of interest, such as the Bay of Bengal or the North Sea, which are dominated by completely different sea level components.

How to cite: Uebbing, B., Rietbroek, R., and Kusche, J.: Investigating global and regional sea level budgets by combining GRACE(-FO) and altimetry data in a joint fingerprint inversion, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2190, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2190, 2022.

EGU22-2489 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Introducing WALIS, the World Atlas of Last Interglacial Shorelines Version 1.0 

Alessio Rovere, Deirdre D. Ryan, Matteo Vacchi, Andrea Dutton, Alexander Simms, and Colin Murray-Wallace

We present Version 1.0 of the World Atlas of Last Interglacial Shorelines (WALIS), a global database containing samples and sea-level proxies dated to Marine Isotope Stage 5 (~70 to 130 ka). The database was built through manuscripts and associated datasets compiled in a Special Issue of the journal Earth System Science data (https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/special_issue1055.html). We collated the single contributions (archived in Zenodo at this link: https://zenodo.org/communities/walis_database/) into an open-access standalone database. Database documentation is available at this link: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3961544. Version 1.0 of the database contains 4005 sea-level index points and 4390 dated samples connected with several tables containing relevant metadata (e.g., elevation measurement techniques, sea-level datums, and literature references).

How to cite: Rovere, A., Ryan, D. D., Vacchi, M., Dutton, A., Simms, A., and Murray-Wallace, C.: Introducing WALIS, the World Atlas of Last Interglacial Shorelines Version 1.0, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2489, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2489, 2022.

EGU22-2577 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Evidence of acceleration in sea-level rise for the North Sea 

Riccardo Riva, David Steffelbauer, Jos Timmermans, Jan Kwakkel, and Mark Bakker

Global mean sea-level rise (SLR) has accelerated since 1900 from less than 2 mm/year during most of the century to more than 3 mm/year since 1993. At the regional scale, detection of an acceleration in SLR is difficult, because the long-term sea-level signal is obscured by large inter-annual variations with multi-year trends that are easily one order of magnitude larger than global mean values. Here, we developed a time series approach to determine whether regional SLR is accelerating based on tide gauge data. We applied the approach to eight 100-year records in the southern North Sea and detected, for the first time, a common breakpoint in the early 1990s. The mean SLR rate at the eight stations increases from 1.7±0.3 mm/year before the breakpoint to 2.7±0.4 mm/year after the breakpoint (95% confidence interval), which is unprecedented in the regional instrumental record. These findings are robust provided that the record starts before 1970 and ends after 2015.

How to cite: Riva, R., Steffelbauer, D., Timmermans, J., Kwakkel, J., and Bakker, M.: Evidence of acceleration in sea-level rise for the North Sea, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2577, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2577, 2022.

EGU22-2605 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Inverting marine terrace morphology to constrain paleo sea-level 

Gino de Gelder, Navid Hedjazian, Anne-Morwenn Pastier, Laurent Husson, and Thomas Bodin

Quantifying paleo sea-level changes is an important challenge given its intricate relation with paleo-climate, -ice-sheets and geodynamics, but pre-Holocene uncertainties currently span several tens of meters. The world’s coastlines provide an enormous geomorphologic dataset, and recent modelling studies have showed their potential in constraining paleo sea-level through forward landscape evolution modeling. We take a next step, by applying a Bayesian approach to invert the geometry of marine terrace sequences to paleo sea-level. Using a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method, we test our model on synthetic profiles and two observed marine terrace sequences. The synthetic profiles – with known input parameters – show that there are optimal values for uplift rate, erosion rate, initial slope and wave base depth to obtain a well-constrained inversion. Both the inversion of synthetic profiles and a terrace profile from Santa Cruz (Ca, US) show how sea-level peaks are easier to constrain than sea-level troughs, but that also solutions for peaks tend to be non-unique. Synthetic profiles and profiles from the Corinth Rift (Greece) both show how inverting multiple profiles from a sequence can lead to a narrower range of possible paleo sea-level, especially for sea-level troughs. This last result emphasizes the potential of inverting coastal morphology: joint inversion of globally distributed marine terrace profiles may eventually reveal not only local relative sea-level histories, but catalyse a better understanding of both global paleo sea-level and glacio-isostatic adjustments.

How to cite: de Gelder, G., Hedjazian, N., Pastier, A.-M., Husson, L., and Bodin, T.: Inverting marine terrace morphology to constrain paleo sea-level, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2605, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2605, 2022.

EGU22-3307 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Drivers for seasonal variability in sea level around the China seas 

Ying Qu, Svetlana Jevrejeva, Joanne Williams, and John Moore

Globally variable ocean and atmospheric dynamics lead to spatially complex seasonal cycles in sea level. The China Seas, that is the Bohai, Yellow, East China and the South China seas, is a region with strong seasonal amplitudes, and straddles the transition between tropical and temperature zones, monsoonal and westerlies, shelf and deep ocean zones. Here we investigate the drivers for seasonal variability in sea level from tide gauge records, satellite altimetry along with output from the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean) model including sea surface height and ocean bottom pressure along with meteorological data in the China Seas. The seasonal cycle accounts for 37% - 94% of sea level variability in 81 tide gauge records, ranging from 18 to 59 cm. We divided the seasonal cycles into four types: 1) an asymmetric sinusoid; 2) a clearly defined peak on a flat background; 3) a relatively flat signal; 4) a symmetric co-sinusoid. Type 1 is found in northern China and Taiwan, Korea, Japan and The Philippines where Inverse Barometer (IB) effects dominates seasonality along with a steric contribution. The seasonal monsoon associated with barotropic response and freshwater exchange play important roles in type 2, (eastern and southern Chinese coasts), type 3 (East Malaysia) and type 4 (Vietnam and Gulf of Thailand). IB corrected seasonal cycle amplitudes are larger in continental shelf areas than the deep ocean, with a maximum in the Gulf of Thailand, and NEMO underestimates the seasonal amplitude along the coast by nearly 50%.

How to cite: Qu, Y., Jevrejeva, S., Williams, J., and Moore, J.: Drivers for seasonal variability in sea level around the China seas, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3307, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3307, 2022.

EGU22-3342 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Local and remote forcing of sea-level variation off the northeast US coast 

Tong Lee, Ou Wang, Christopher Piecuch, Ichiro Fukumori, Ian Fenty, Thomas Frederikse, Dimitris Menemenlis, Rui Ponte, and Hong Zhang

The relative contributions of local and remote wind stress and air-sea buoyancy forcing to sea-level variations along the East Coast of the United States are not well quantified, hindering the understanding of sea-level predictability there. Here, we use an adjoint sensitivity analysis together with an Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) ocean state estimate to establish the causality of interannual sea-level variations near the Nantucket island, the approximate geographic center of the northeast US coast where sea-level fluctuations are coherent. Wind forcing explains 68% of the Nantucket interannual sea-level variance, while wind and buoyancy forcing together explain 97% of the variance. Wind stress contribution is near-local, primarily from the New England shelf northeast of Nantucket. We disprove a previous hypothesis about Labrador Sea wind stress being an important driver of Nantucket sea-level variations and another hypothesis suggesting local wind stress being a secondary driver. Buoyancy forcing, as important as wind stress in some years, includes local contributions as well as remote contributions from the subpolar North Atlantic that influence Nantucket sea level a few years later. Our rigorous adjoint-based analysis corroborates previous correlation-based studies that sea-level variations in the subpolar gyre and the northeast US coast can both be influenced by subpolar buoyancy forcing. Forward forcing perturbation experiments further indicate remote buoyancy forcing affects Nantucket sea level mostly through slow advective processes, although waves can cause rapid Nantucket sea level response within a few weeks. Our results quantifying the spatial distribution of forcing contributions to Nantucket sea-level variations are also useful for the development of machine-learning models for predicting sea-level variation off the northeast US coast.

How to cite: Lee, T., Wang, O., Piecuch, C., Fukumori, I., Fenty, I., Frederikse, T., Menemenlis, D., Ponte, R., and Zhang, H.: Local and remote forcing of sea-level variation off the northeast US coast, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3342, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3342, 2022.

EGU22-3512 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Regionalizing the Sea-level Budget Using a Neural Network Approach 

Carolina Machado Lima de Camargo, Marta Marcos, Ismael Hernandez-Carrasco, Tim H.J. Hermans, Riccardo E.M. Riva, and Aimée B.A. Slangen

Understanding the drivers of present-day sea-level change is vital for improving sea-level projections and for adaptation and mitigation plans against sea-level rise. Sea-level budget (SLB) studies focus on attributing the observed sea-level change to its different drivers (steric and barystatic changes). While the global mean SLB is closed, explaining the drivers of sea-level change on a finer spatial scale leads to large discrepancies. Recent studies have shown that closing the regional budget on a regular 1x1˚ grid is not possible due to limitations of the observations itself, but also due to the spatial patterns and variability of the underlying processes. Consequently, the regional budget has been mainly analyzed on a basin-wide scale.

 In this study we use Self-Organizing Maps (SOM), an unsupervised learning neural network, to extract regions of coherent sea-level variability based on 27 years of satellite altimetry data. The SOM clusters have a higher level of spatial detail compared to entire ocean basins, while being large enough to allow for a consistent sea-level budget analysis. The clusters also show how sea-level variability is interconnected among different ocean regions (for example, due to large-scale climate patterns). We perform the clustering analysis on the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific Oceans separately, obtaining a total of 18 clusters. Preliminary results show that we can close the sea-level budget from 1993-2017 in 67% of the clusters. The regions with discrepancies highlight important regional processes that are affecting sea-level change and have not thus far been included in the sea-level budget. In this way, using neural networks provides new insight into regional sea-level variability and its drivers.

How to cite: Machado Lima de Camargo, C., Marcos, M., Hernandez-Carrasco, I., Hermans, T. H. J., Riva, R. E. M., and Slangen, A. B. A.: Regionalizing the Sea-level Budget Using a Neural Network Approach, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3512, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3512, 2022.

EGU22-3934 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Sea level projections portal for communicating impacts to policymakers 

Andrew Matthews and Sveta Jevrejeva

Small island developing states are particularly at risk from extreme water levels and coastal erosion. Policy makers require information to support decision making on how to improve resilience and adapt to future changes. Here we present a web portal designed to display different sea level projections across the Caribbean Sea, developed as part of our contribution to the UK Government’s Commonwealth Marine Economies (CME) programme and the UK Natural Environment Research Council’s ACCORD programme.

The portal has been designed using free and open-source software, and is self-contained, allowing it to be deployed on local partner websites with minimal effort. The responsive design allows the portal to work as well on as it does on PCs.

Currently the portal displays projected sea level for over 50 locations across the Caribbean, along with sea level data available at the site, but extra sites can be added easily. Quality controlled data has been used where possible; where this is not available, we have used automated software developed earlier in the CME programme to perform basic quality control.

Similarly, the portal provides projections from four sea level scenarios based on earlier National Oceanography Centre work, but other projections can be added by updating configuration files.

The portal can be accessed at https://psmsl.org/accord/projections.html

How to cite: Matthews, A. and Jevrejeva, S.: Sea level projections portal for communicating impacts to policymakers, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3934, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3934, 2022.

EGU22-4091 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

How robust are estimates of hydrology–driven global sea level change based on modelling and GRACE data? 

Juergen Kusche, Christan Mielke, Olga Engels, Li Fupeng, and Bernd Uebbing

One of the less well-known contributions to global sea level change is the net mass loss or gain of non-cryospheric land water storage, here abbreviated as hydrology-driven global mean sea level rise (HDGMSL). HDGMSL is due to natural variability in the climate system and direct and indirect anthropogenic processes, such as reservoir building, deforestation and land use change, land glacier mass imbalance,  groundwater depletion, and changes in the atmosphere-ocean water fluxes. It has a large inter-annual variability, as  otherwise only observed in the thermo-steric contribution to sea level, and the sign of its net rate over the last decades is still debated.

Here, we revisit estimates of HDGMSL from GRACE and from global hydrological models. We scrutinize the robustness of estimates in the presence of climate variability within the limited GRACE time-frame, in particular large ENSO modes. To this end we make use of an ensemble of three GRACE solutions and a 32-member ensemble of the WGHM hydrological model where various parameters were realistically perturbed. Moreover we consider two different 40-year reconstructions of terrestrial water storage that were trained on GRACE data, two methods of mode decomposition, and we employ different trend estimators including a state-space parameterization. We conclude that HDGMSL was positive in the GRACE time frame with different estimators pointing to rates between -0.01 and 0.30 mm/a, which is probably not representative for a 40-year span. In addition, all conventional error estimates are found to be over-optimistic.

How to cite: Kusche, J., Mielke, C., Engels, O., Fupeng, L., and Uebbing, B.: How robust are estimates of hydrology–driven global sea level change based on modelling and GRACE data?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4091, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4091, 2022.

EGU22-4228 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Sea level rise along the coastline of Colombia: A vulnerability assessment 

Hannes Nevermann, Jorge Nicolas Becerra Gomez, Peter Fröhle, and Nima Shokri

Abstract

In recent decades, the sea level has risen notably compared to the most recent millennia. This poses serious threats to environment and human population over the next century especially in coastal zones. Every region has climatic and non-climatic drivers of sea level rise which needs to be considered when adaptation and mitigation policies are implemented. We analyzed the coastal consequences of sea level rise along the Caribbean and Pacific coastlines of Colombia. Sea level rise projections published in August 2021 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in the 6th assessment report were used in this study (IPCC, 2021). Five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for the 21st century (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5. SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) were examined. Our results indicate a sea level rise of 1.04 m in the worst-case scenario (SSP5-8.5) which could cause land loss in an area of 2840.64 km². The area at risk will impact 12 departments or 86 municipalities with different social, environmental, economic, and cultural conditions that need to be considered when implementing mitigation policies. Our results illustrate how the projected sea level changes influence a variety of parameters such as area at the potential risk of inundation, land use of the affected area and general socio-economic impacts along the Caribbean and Pacific coastlines of Colombia.

 

Reference

IPCC (2021), Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press.

How to cite: Nevermann, H., Becerra Gomez, J. N., Fröhle, P., and Shokri, N.: Sea level rise along the coastline of Colombia: A vulnerability assessment, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4228, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4228, 2022.

EGU22-4414 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

High-resolution climate ensemble reveals low confidence in projected changes in storm surges for the mid-century 

Sanne Muis, Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts, José A. Á. Antolínez, Dewi Le Bars, Job C. Dullaart, Trang Minh Duong, Li Erikson, Rein Haarsma, Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea, Andrea O'Neill, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Malcolm Roberts, Kun Yan, Martin Verlaan, and Philip J. Ward

In the coming decades, regions across the globe will be faced with increases in coastal flooding due to sea-level rise and changes in climate extremes. In a collective effort, we have produced new extreme sea level projections derived from an ensemble of high-resolution climate models. Our approach is based on the Global Tide and Surge Model forced with model outputs from the HighResMIP experiments. The HighResMIP models have a much higher spatial resolution than the previous generation of climate models, and can better resolve storms, including tropical cyclones. The dataset has global coverage and spans the period 1950-2050. The dataset provides: 1) timeseries of storm surges, astronomical tides, and total still water levels; and 2) water level statistics for different time slices, including percentiles and return periods.

In this contribution we focus on storm surges and have a first look at model performance for present-day climate conditions and at projected changes. Comparison of the 1 in 10-year surge levels against the ERA5 reanalysis reveals a large spatial bias for some of the HighResMIP models, highlighting the need for multi-model ensembles and bias correction. Comparison of the 1 in 10-year surge levels between the 1951-1980 and 2021-2050 period, shows that some regions, such as Northwest Europe, Alaska, China, and Patagonia, may be faced with an increase in storm surges (>0.1 m), while other regions, such as the Mediterranean and South Australia may see a decrease in storm surges. Overall, the projected changes are characterized by large intermodel variability due the uncertainties that arise from the climate models, internal variability, and extreme value statistics. Future research should aim to better constrain the uncertainties, which can be achieved by a more in-depth exploration of the changes in the meteorological conditions, enlarging the model ensemble, and the implementation of bias correction methods.

The full datasets will soon become openly available at the C3S Climate Data Store and can be used to inform climate impact assessments.

How to cite: Muis, S., Aerts, J. C. J. H., A. Á. Antolínez, J., Le Bars, D., Dullaart, J. C., Minh Duong, T., Erikson, L., Haarsma, R., Irazoqui Apecechea, M., O'Neill, A., Ranasinghe, R., Roberts, M., Yan, K., Verlaan, M., and Ward, P. J.: High-resolution climate ensemble reveals low confidence in projected changes in storm surges for the mid-century, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4414, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4414, 2022.

EGU22-4426 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Seasonal signal and regional sea level variability over the past 25 years 

Svetlana Jevrejeva and Hindumathi Palanisamy

In this study we have quantified the role of seasonal cycles in globally observed sea level variability from satellite altimetry over 1993-2018. We show the largest seasonal variability, with contribution more than 80% of total variance, is detected in particular regions- the marginal seas over the continental shelf regions in South East Asia and Gulf of Carpentaria, tropical Atlantic along the coastal regions of east Atlantic Ocean, Arabian Sea, regions of Mediterranean, Red Sea with amplitudes greater than 20cm in majority of these locations. The rest of the ocean, mainly deep open ocean, exhibits strong signatures of non-seasonal variability related to interannual and longer scale cycles.

For the regions with large seasonal variability (e.g. South East Asia coastline), analysis of seasonal variability demonstrate a good agreement in amplitude and phase from satellite altimetry and tide gauges records. While steric contribution can explain more than 80% of total variability in the deep ocean areas, in shallow areas we explain a large part of variability though wind driven during the two monsoon seasons, and not attributed to the steric changes.

How to cite: Jevrejeva, S. and Palanisamy, H.: Seasonal signal and regional sea level variability over the past 25 years, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4426, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4426, 2022.

EGU22-5156 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

High-resolution projections of extreme sea level changes along the coasts of western Europe 

Alisée Chaigneau, Angélique Melet, Stéphane Law-Chune, Aurore Voldoire, Guillaume Reffray, and Lotfi Aouf

Extreme sea levels (ESLs) are a major threat for coastal and low-lying regions. Climate change induced sea level (SL) rise will increase the frequency of ESLs. Projections of ESLs are thus of great interest for coastal risk assessment and decision-making. SL projections are typically produced using global climate models (GCMs). However, GCMs do not explicitly resolve key processes driving ESL changes at the coast (e.g. waves, tides). In this study, a regional model IBI-CCS is set up to refine SL projections of a GCM over the north-eastern Atlantic region bordering western Europe using dynamical downscaling. For a more complete representation of processes driving coastal ESL changes, tides and atmospheric surface pressure forcing are explicitly resolved in IBI-CCS in addition to the ocean general circulation. Furthermore, to include the wave setup contribution to ESLs, a dynamical downscaling of a wave global model is performed over the same north-eastern Atlantic domain using the currents and sea level outputs of the IBI-CCS regional ocean model. All the regional simulations are performed over the 1950 to 2100 period for two climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5).

Comparisons to reanalyses and observations over the 1993-2014 indicate that ESLs are satisfactorily represented in the regional simulations. In a second phase, the projected changes in ESLs are analyzed, particularly in term of changes in return levels and return periods. The coupling effects between the key processes driving ESL changes at the coast are investigated. We notably assess the influence of the wave setup contribution to ESLs and to projected changes in ESLs and to their return periods. In addition, the impact of accounting for hourly sea level changes in the wave regional model on ESLs and projections of ESLs is estimated.

How to cite: Chaigneau, A., Melet, A., Law-Chune, S., Voldoire, A., Reffray, G., and Aouf, L.: High-resolution projections of extreme sea level changes along the coasts of western Europe, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5156, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5156, 2022.

EGU22-5203 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Mediterranean coastal sea level reconstruction based on tide gauge observations 

Jorge Ramos Alcántara, Damià Gomis Bosch, and Gabriel Jordà Sánchez

In order to carry out a proper coastal management it is compulsory to have oceanographic databases that accurately characterize the spatiotemporal variability of sea level along the coast. A first source of sea level observations are tide gauges, which cover different time periods, some of them dating back to the 17th century. Whereas tide gauges generally provide very accurate measurements, their main limitation is that they are point-wise measurements with a heterogeneous spatial distribution and temporal coverage. Therefore, it is difficult to represent the complexity of sea level variability at the coast directly from tide gauge observations. Since 1992, sea level measurements provided by satellite altimetry are also available. This technique has a quasi-global coverage, and by minimising all sources of error affecting the measurements, an accuracy close to 1 cm can be achieved. However, altimetric products have a limited spatial and temporal resolution due to the separation between adjacent satellite ground tracks and to the revisiting time of the satellites. Most important, the accuracy of altimetry observations decreases very rapidly near the coast; despite the advances reached in recent years, standard altimetric data are only available from 5-10 km offshore.

As an alternative to coastal altimetric products, in this work we develop a new methodology to reconstruct coastal sea level from a number of tide gauge observations, which in our case is applied to the western basin of the Mediterranean sea. The reconstruction covers all coastal regions and has the spatial and temporal resolution required to characterise coastal processes. The sea level reconstruction is based on a multiscale optimal interpolation where the spatial correlations between tide gauges and all the coastal points has to be determined prior to the interpolation. In our case, these correlations are computed from the outputs of a high-resolution numerical model. As for observations, for the monthly reconstruction we use PSMSL tide gauge records, which cover the period from 1884 to 2015. For the daily reconstruction we use the series of the GESLA-2 data set, which cover from 1980 to 2015.

A cross-validation test developed to validate the skills of the method shows that our reconstruction clearly outperforms altimetric and modelling products at different time scales, and therefore represents a valuable contribution to the attempts of recovering coastal sea level. Thus, the obtained reconstruction has been used to complement the characterization of open sea level variability in the western Mediterranean previously done by other authors, allowing us to estimate coastal sea level trends, and to examine the correlation between Western Mediterranean coastal sea level and the main North Atlantic climate indices. The limitations and applicability of the method to other regions will also be discussed in the presentation.

How to cite: Ramos Alcántara, J., Gomis Bosch, D., and Jordà Sánchez, G.: Mediterranean coastal sea level reconstruction based on tide gauge observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5203, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5203, 2022.

EGU22-5281 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

The impact of continuous space and time-resolving vertical land motion on relative sea level change 

Julius Oelsmann, Marta Marcos, Marcello Passaro, Laura Sánchez, Denise Dettmering, and Florian Seitz

Vertical land motion (VLM) is a major contributor to relative sea level change (RSLC). Hence, understanding and estimating VLM is critical for the investigation of contemporary and projected coastal RSLC and the allocation of its uncertainties. However, there are several challenges involved in the determination of the linear component of VLM. Firstly, the sparse and inhomogeneous distribution of point-wise VLM observations hinder the direct analysis of VLM continuously in space along the coastline. Secondly, the commonly applied working-hypothesis that VLM can be generally assumed as ‘linear’, is not entirely valid for regions, which are affected by nonlinear processes such as earthquakes, surface mass loading changes or other phenomena. Thus, in order to overcome the limitations of data-availability and to account for time-variable VLM, we develop a new approach to estimate continuous time- and space-resolving (3D) VLM over the period 1995-2020.

We apply a Bayesian Principal Component Analysis to a global network of quality controlled VLM observations (GNSS data and differences of satellite altimetry and tide gauge observations) to extract common modes of variability and to cope with the incomplete VLM data. The estimated modes represent a superposition of large scale VLM fingerprints. These include linear motion signatures, e.g., associated with the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA), as well as regional patterns of coherent responses to earthquakes or terrestrial water storage changes, which exhibit inter-annual to decadal variability. To generate the 3D VLM reconstruction, the VLM fingerprints are interpolated in space with a Bayesian transdimensional regression, which automatically infers the spatial resolution based on the distribution of the data.

Our approach not only provides an essential observation-based alternative to previously employed VLM estimates from GIA models or interpolated VLM maps, but also allows to directly attribute VLM trend uncertainties to the temporal variability estimated over the period of observation. We combine the VLM dataset with century-long tide gauge RSLC observations to demonstrate the limitations of extrapolating nonlinear VLM back in time and to identify regional differences (in the order of mm/year) of contemporary absolute sea level (ASL) change (1900-2015) w.r.t. a recent sea level reconstruction, which employs a GIA-VLM signature only. Using the present-day VLM estimates, we disentangle the contributions of VLM and projected ASL change (from CMIP6 models) and uncertainties to RSLC (2020-2150). The regional RSLC error budget analysis enables the identification of regions where robust assessments of future RSLC are feasible and where VLM uncertainties dominate the projected ASL uncertainties, while explaining up to 75% of the combined uncertainties. Besides these applications, the VLM estimate represents a vital source of information for various sea level studies focused on the analysis of tide gauge or satellite altimetry observations in coastal areas.

How to cite: Oelsmann, J., Marcos, M., Passaro, M., Sánchez, L., Dettmering, D., and Seitz, F.: The impact of continuous space and time-resolving vertical land motion on relative sea level change, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5281, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5281, 2022.

EGU22-6530 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Common Era sea-level budgets of North America 

Jennifer Walker, Robert Kopp, Timothy Shaw, Geoff Richards, and Benjamin Horton

A sea-level budget improves understanding of driving processes and their relative contributions. However, most sea-level budget assessments are limited to the 20th and 21st centuries and are global in scale. Here, we estimate the sea-level budget on centennial to millennial timescales of the Common Era (last 2000 years). We expand upon previous analysis of sites along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast (Walker et al., 2021) and produce site-specific sea-level budgets for all of the eastern and western North American coastlines and Gulf coast. This broader scope further improves understanding of the temporal evolution and variability of driving processes of sea-level changes in the past and present, and which will shape such changes in the future.

To produce the sea-level budgets, we use an updated global database of instrumental and proxy sea-level records coupled with a spatiotemporal model. Using the unique spatial scales of driving processes, we separate relative sea-level records into global, regional, and local-scale components. Preliminary results along the eastern North American coastline reveal that each budget is dominated by regional-scale, temporally-linear processes driven by glacial isostatic adjustment until at least the mid-19th century. This signal exhibits a spatial gradient, ranging from 1.0 ± 0.02 mm/yr (1σ) in Newfoundland to a maximum of 1.6 ± 0.02 mm/yr in southern New Jersey to 0.5 ± 0.02 mm/yr in Florida. Non-linear regional and local-scale processes, such as ocean/atmosphere dynamics and groundwater withdrawal, are smaller in magnitude and vary temporally and spatially. The most significant change to the budgets is the increasing influence of the global signal due to ice melt and thermal expansion since ~1800 CE, which reaches a 20th century rate of 1.3 ± 0.1 mm/yr, accounting for 43-65% of each budget.

How to cite: Walker, J., Kopp, R., Shaw, T., Richards, G., and Horton, B.: Common Era sea-level budgets of North America, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6530, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6530, 2022.

EGU22-7733 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Decadal changes of the Adriatic sea level – exploring the combined effect of sea level rise and climate regime’s shift 

Mia Pupić Vurilj, Jadranka Šepić, and Pave Pilić

In this study, an analysis of the observed Adriatic mean sea level time series has been carried out in order to determine the primary causes of the changes documented during the last 50 years.  Monthly sea level data were downloaded from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level for seven stations located along the northern and eastern Adriatic coast: Venice, Trieste, Rovinj, Bakar, Zadar, Split and Dubrovnik. Significant positive sea level trend, related to climate change, was detected at the majority of the stations. Further on, using Rodionov’s regime shift index algorithm, several regime shifts were detected. The first pronounced regime shift occurred in 1989 resulting with mean sea level lower than usual for an average of 4.37 cm; the second regime shift occurred in 1996 when mean sea level increased for an average of 2.07 cm; and the third regime shift, which is still on-going, started in 2009 when mean sea level abruptly increased to 5.3 cm above average.  A relationship between North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and sea level data has been explored, using both monthly and yearly data. High and significant correlation between the two was established for all data, and in particular for the winter season (December, January, February, March). All climate shifts were related to pronounced changes of NAO. The negative shift starting in 1989 was related to the positive phase of NAO, i.e. to weaker cyclonic activity over the Mediterranean and the Adriatic Sea. Oppositely, the two latter positive regime shifts were related to significant decrease and negative phases of NAO, with NAO reaching the most negative values of the entire observation period during the shift starting in 2009. Negative phase of NAO corresponds to stronger cyclonic activity over the Mediterranean and the Adriatic Sea. In conclusion, documented rise of the Adriatic sea level during the last 50 years, and in particular accelerated rise during the last 20 years represent a combination of mean sea level rise due to climate change and due to atmospherically induced shift of climate regimes.

How to cite: Pupić Vurilj, M., Šepić, J., and Pilić, P.: Decadal changes of the Adriatic sea level – exploring the combined effect of sea level rise and climate regime’s shift, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7733, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7733, 2022.

EGU22-8092 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Synergistic use of tide gauges, satellite altimetry and GPS data for sea level studies 

Francesco De Biasio and Stefano Vignudelli

The relationship between satellite-derived absolute sea level change rates, tide gauge (TG) observations of relative sea level change and global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical land motion (VLM) at local scale has been investigated in previous studies [eg. Vignudelli et al., 2018]. The paucity of collocated TG-GPS data and the lack of a well-established mathematical frame in which simultaneous and optimal solutions can be derived, have emphasized the difficulty of deriving spatially-consistent information on the sea level rates. Other studies have claimed the possibility to set locally isolated information into a coherent regional framework using a constrained linear inverse problem approach [Kuo et al., 2004; Wöppelmann and Marcos, 2012].

The approach cited in the above papers has been recently improved in De Biasio et al. [2020]. A step in advance is now to develop an effective synergistic use of global positioning system (GPS) data, tide gauge measurements and satellite altimetry observations. In this study GPS data are used as a real source of information on the relative Vertical Land Motion (VLM) between pairs of tide gauges, and not as mere term of comparison of the results obtained by differencing relative and absolute sea level observations time series.

Long, consistent and collocated tide gauge and GPS observations time series are extracted for a handful of suitable coastal locations, and used in the original formulation of the constrained linear inverse problem, together with satellite altimetry data. Some experiments are conducted without GPS observations (traditional setup), and with GPS observations (the new proposed approach) Results are compared in order to assess the impact of GPS observations directly into the formulation of the constrained linear inverse problem.

The satellite altimetry data-set used in this study is that offered by the European Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) through its Climate Data Store archive. It covers the global ocean since 1993 to present, with spatial resolution of 0.25 x 0.25 degrees. This data set is constantly updated and relies only on a couple of simultaneous altimetry missions at a time to provide stable long-term variability estimates of sea level. Tide gauge data are extracted from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level archive and from other local sea level monitoring services. GPS vertical position time series and/or VLM rates are taken from the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory and other public GPS repositories.

REFERENCES

Vignudelli, S.; De Biasio, F.; Scozzari, A.; Zecchetto, S.; Papa, A. In Proceedings of the International Association of Geodesy Symposia; Mertikas, S.P., Pail, R., Eds.; Springer: Cham, Switzerland, 2020; Volume 150, pp. 65–74. DOI: 10.1007/1345_2018_51

Kuo, C.Y.; Shum, C.K.; Braun, A.; Mitrovica, J.X. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2004, 31. DOI: 10.1029/2003GL019106

Wöppelmann, G.; Marcos, M. J. Geophys. Res. Ocean. 2012, 117. DOI: 10.1029/2011JC007469

De Biasio, F.; Baldin, G.; Vignudelli, S. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8, 949. DOI: 10.3390/jmse8110949

How to cite: De Biasio, F. and Vignudelli, S.: Synergistic use of tide gauges, satellite altimetry and GPS data for sea level studies, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8092, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8092, 2022.

The last interglacial (LIG), ca. 128-116 ka, is widely considered a process analogue in understanding Earth’s systems in a future warmer climate. In particular, significant effort has been made to better constrain ice sheet contributions to sea level rise through direct field observation of relative sea level (RSL) indicators. In order to extract the RSL, a series of corrections for formational parameters and post-depositional processes need to be applied. Along tropical coastal margins, LIG RSL observations are predominately based on exposed shallow coral reef sequences due to their relatively narrow indicative range and reliable U-series chronological constraints. However, the often-limited sub-stadial temporal preservation of many Pleistocene reef sequences on stable coastlines restrict many reported RSLs to a series of distinct points in within the LIG. This in turn, limits ability to elucidate different commonly reported meter-scale sub-stadial sea level peak patterns and their associated uncertainties. In order to address this shortcoming, lithostratigraphic and geomorphologic traces are often used to place RSLs into a broader context. Unfortunately, this is often subjective, with significant reliance on field observations where missing facies and incomplete sequences can distort interpretations. Stepping back from a conventional approach, in this study we generate a spectrum of synthetic Quaternary subtropical fringing reefs in southwestern Madagascar within the DIONISOS forward stratigraphic model environment. Each reef sequence has been subjected to distinct Greenland and Antarctica melt scenarios produced by a coupled ANICE-SELEN global isostatic adjustment model, matching previously hypothesized LIG sea level curves in the Indo-Pacific Basin. The resulting suite of synthetic reef sequences provides the ability to probabilistically test any number of melt scenarios against the sensitivity of the stratigraphic record. We propose this accessible additional quantitative quality control during the final interpretation phase of establishing emergent reef sequence based LIG RSL indicators can assist in narrowing down the wide uncertainty surrounding inter-stadial ice sheet behaviors.   

How to cite: Boyden, P., Stocchi, P., and Rovere, A.: Assessing Last Interglacial Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheet melting through forward stratigraphic derived synthetic outcrops: test case from Southwestern Madagascar, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8270, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8270, 2022.

EGU22-8462 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Sensitivity of SSP585 sea-level projections to ocean model resolution in the MPI-ESM climate model 

Chathurika Wickramage, Armin Köhl, Detlef Stammer, and Johann Jungclauss

The existence of reliable coastal sea-level projections is essential for identifying necessary adaptation and mitigation strategies of policymakers and coastal communities over the following decades. However, today only a few ocean components of climate projections can resolve the small-scale processes that affect the Dynamic Sea Level (DSL) change in the open ocean and in coastal areas, predominantly in the eddy rich regions such as Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) and the western boundary currents. Therefore, we investigate the dependence of regional sea-level projections on ocean model resolution using the recent Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) for the shared socioeconomic pathway 585 (SSP585, fossil-fuel development). By comparing the climate change scenario from 2080 to 2099 to a historical simulation from 1995 to 2014, our results indicate that the models, from eddy-rich (ER), eddy-permitting (HR) to coarser resolution (LR), successfully produce the previously identified global DSL patterns. However, the magnitude of the DSL increase in the North Atlantic subpolar gyre and the decrease in the subtropical gyre is significantly larger in the ER ocean in contrast to HR and LR; the same holds for the magnitude of the opposite dipole pattern in the North Pacific. In the southern ocean, the DSL increases north of ACC but decreases further to the south, projecting much smaller changes in the ER. We note that the meridional shift of ACC, associated with sea-level change, is smaller in ER than in HR and LR, indicating an accelerated ACC compared to HR simulation, which shows no acceleration at the end of the 21st century.

How to cite: Wickramage, C., Köhl, A., Stammer, D., and Jungclauss, J.: Sensitivity of SSP585 sea-level projections to ocean model resolution in the MPI-ESM climate model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8462, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8462, 2022.

EGU22-8657 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Long-Term Wind Influence on Sea Level Along the Dutch Coast 

Iris Keizer, Dewi Le Bars, André Jüling, Sybren Drijfhout, and Roderik van de Wal

We studied the wind influence on multidecadal variability and trend of sea level along the Dutch coast. Annual mean sea level for the period 1890 to 2020 is obtained from 6 tide gauges. We compared three widely used multi-linear regression models relating sea level and wind based on either local zonal and meridional wind speed or large-scale pressure patterns. For this purpose, surface wind and pressure data from the ERA5 reanalysis and the twentieth century reanalysis v3 (20CRv3) are used 

 

We find a significant multi-decadal mode of variability with an amplitude of around 1 cm and a period of 40 to 60 years that is related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability. We show that this multi-decadal wind variability is responsible for an average drop in sea level of 0.5 mm/yr over the last 40 years which is around a quarter of the total sea level rise of 2 mm/yr over that period. Therefore, wind effects on sea level partly masked sea level acceleration at the Dutch coast. This is important for sea level monitoring supporting decision making. 

 

The same multi-linear regression models are then applied to the CMIP6 historical and future climate scenario data to make projections of future wind impact on sea level along the Dutch coast. Contrary to our expectation based on a previous study in the German Bight (Dangendorf et al. 2014) we find no sign that long term wind changes will increase sea level during the 21st century. 

 

Reference: 

Dangendorf, Sönke, Thomas Wahl, Enno Nilson, Birgit Klein, and Jürgen Jensen. “A New Atmospheric Proxy for Sea Level Variability in the Southeastern North Sea: Observations and Future Ensemble Projections.” Climate Dynamics 43, no. 1–2 (July 2014): 447–67. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1932-4. 

 

How to cite: Keizer, I., Le Bars, D., Jüling, A., Drijfhout, S., and van de Wal, R.: Long-Term Wind Influence on Sea Level Along the Dutch Coast, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8657, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8657, 2022.

EGU22-8674 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Noisy Input Generalised Additive Model for Relative Sea Level along the East Coast of North America 

Maeve Upton, Andrew Parnell, Andrew Kemp, Gerard McCarthy, and Niamh Cahill

The 2021 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report highlighted how rates of sea level rise are the fastest in at least the last 3000 years. As a result, it is important to understand historical sea level trends at a global and local level in order to comprehend the drivers of sea level change and the potential impacts. The influence of different sea level drivers, for example thermal expansion, ocean dynamics and glacial – isostatic adjustment (GIA), has changed throughout time and space. Therefore, a useful statistical model requires both flexibility in time and space and have the capability to examine these separate drivers, whilst taking account of uncertainty.

The aim of our project is to develop statistical models to examine historic sea level changes for North America's and Ireland's Atlantic Coast. For our models, we utilise sea-level proxy data and tide gauge data which provide relative sea level estimates with uncertainty. The statistical approach employed is that of extensions of Generalised Additive Models (GAMs), which allow separate components of sea level to be modelled individually and efficiently and for smooth rates of change and accelerations to be calculated.

The model is built in a Bayesian framework which allows for external prior information to constrain the evolution of sea level change over space and time. The proxy data is collected from salt-marsh sediment cores and dated using biological and geochemical sea level indicators. Additional tide gauge data is taken from the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level online. Uncertainty in dating is extremely important when using proxy records and is accounted for using the Noisy Input uncertainty method (McHutchon and Rasmussen 2011).

By combining statistical models, proxy and tidal gauge data, our results have shown that current sea level along North America’s east coast is the highest it has been in at least the last 15 centuries. The GAMs have the capability of examining the different drivers of relative sea level change such as GIA, local factors and eustatic influences. Our models have demonstrated that GIA was the main driver of relative sea level change along North America’s Atlantic coast, until the 20th century when a sharp rise in rates of sea level change can be seen.

This work is part of the larger nationally funded Irish A4 project (Aigéin, Aeráid, agus Athrú Atlantaigh — Oceans, Climate, and Atlantic Change), funded by the Marine Institute. It aims to examine ocean and climate changes in the Atlantic Ocean. The project targets three aspects of the Atlantic: its changing ocean dynamics; sea level changes; and Irish decadal climate predictions. In the future, we will apply this modelling technique to produce a long term historical record for relative sea level change in Ireland.

How to cite: Upton, M., Parnell, A., Kemp, A., McCarthy, G., and Cahill, N.: Noisy Input Generalised Additive Model for Relative Sea Level along the East Coast of North America, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8674, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8674, 2022.

EGU22-9058 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Prediction of future sea-level rise in land suitability for mangrove rehabilitation and restoration in Indonesia 

Luri Nurlaila Syahid, Raymond D. Ward, Anjar D. Sakti, Dian Rosleine, Ketut Wikantika, and Wiwin Windupranata

Mangroves have many benefits, both for humans and for the surrounding ecosystem. One of the most benefits from mangroves is that mangroves have coastal blue carbon reserves up to five times greater than the total carbon storage of temperate, taiga, and tropical forests. But recently, mangroves have decreased in extent by 20-35% due to both anthropogenic and naturogenic factors. One of the naturogenic factors that impact mangroves is sea-level rise. Mangroves cannot survive if sediment accumulation cannot keep pace with sea-level rise. This can result in mangrove death or zonal shifts in plant communities.

The decline in mangrove areas has resulted in increases in carbon emissions. This increase in carbon costs $US6-24 billion in economic damage annually. Indonesia experienced the highest increase in carbon dioxide emissions in the world in 1990-2010. Whereas in the Paris agreement, 2015, countries in the world including Indonesia have committed to reducing emissions by 29-41% by 2030. Therefore, rehabilitation and restoration of mangroves need to be undertaken, as well as identification of those mangroves most under threat.

The aim of this study is to model future sea-level rise and the impact of its exposure on land suitability for mangrove rehabilitation and restoration in Indonesia. This study uses the integration of remote sensing, statistical, and future climate model data combined with GIS methods to produce a sea-level rise model. This study also uses several scenarios both climate and temporal to predict sea-level rise.

The results of this study indicate that there are several areas that have high exposure caused by sea-level rise. This is exacerbated by low rates of sedimentation or land subsidence in some areas. In contrast, several other areas experienced high rates of accretion and thus are at less risk. Changes in rates of inundation caused by sea-level rise have caused some areas suitable for planting mangroves to become unsuitable. Therefore, if planting is carried out in the area now, it is very likely that the mangrove will be submerged by excessive tidal inundation and any rehabilitation and restoration carried out will fail.

This study is expected to be taken into consideration in driving new policy based on the results of the model. This study can also be used as a guide to consider which areas are suitable for mangrove rehabilitation and restoration without the threat of a sea-level rise in the future.

How to cite: Syahid, L. N., Ward, R. D., Sakti, A. D., Rosleine, D., Wikantika, K., and Windupranata, W.: Prediction of future sea-level rise in land suitability for mangrove rehabilitation and restoration in Indonesia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9058, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9058, 2022.

EGU22-9778 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

GESLA Version 3: A major update to the global higher-frequency sea-level dataset 

Ivan D. Haigh, Marta Marcos, Stefan A. Talke, Philip L. Woodworth, John R. Hunter, Ben S. Hague, Arne Arns, Elizabeth Bradshaw, and Philip Thompson

This paper describes a major update to the quasi-global, higher-frequency sea-level dataset known as GESLA (Global Extreme Sea Level Analysis). Versions 1 (released 2009) and 2 (released 2016) of the dataset have been used in many published studies, across a wide range of oceanographic and coastal engineering-related investigations concerned with evaluating tides, storm surges, extreme sea levels and other related processes. The third version of the dataset (released 2021), presented here, contains twice the number of years of data (91,021), and nearly four times the number of records (5,119), compared to version 2. The dataset consists of records obtained from multiple sources around the world. This paper describes the assembly of the dataset, its processing and its format, and outlines potential future improvements. The dataset is available from https://www.gesla.org.

How to cite: Haigh, I. D., Marcos, M., Talke, S. A., Woodworth, P. L., Hunter, J. R., Hague, B. S., Arns, A., Bradshaw, E., and Thompson, P.: GESLA Version 3: A major update to the global higher-frequency sea-level dataset, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9778, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9778, 2022.

EGU22-10973 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Late Cenozoic sea-level indicators in west Luzon, Philippines 

Kathrine Maxwell, Hildegard Westphal, Alessio Rovere, and Kevin Garas

Using the framework of the World Atlas of Last Interglacial Shorelines (WALIS), we produced a standardized database of Last Interglacial (LIG) sea-level indicators in Southeast Asia after reviewing available studies on relative sea-level (RSL) proxies such as coral reef terraces and tidal notches in the Philippines; Sulawesi; and Sumba, Timor, and Alor regions. In total, we reviewed 43 unique RSL proxies in the region and highlighted sites for future studies. Following this work, we revisited a site in west Luzon, Philippines where LIG coral reef terraces were previously reported. In this paper, we present new geomorphic and stratigraphic data on the fossil coral reef terraces in Pangasinan, west Luzon which adds to the limited sea-level indicators in the region. The low-lying areas of western Pangasinan are underlain by sequences of calcareous sandstone-mudstone with minor pebbly conglomerate and tuffaceous sandstone units belonging to the Sta. Cruz Formation, with tentative age designation of Late Miocene to Early Pliocene. Unconformably overlying the tentatively assigned sandstone unit of Sta. Cruz Formation is the Plio-Pleistocene Bolinao Limestone, the youngest formational unit in the area. Based on previous literature, a sequence of coral reef terraces (possibly LIG) is cut onto the Bolinao Limestone. Rising to about 14 meters above mean sea level (m amsl) along the coast of western Pangasinan are previously dated Holocene coral reef terraces. While additional data is needed to shed more light on the RSL changes in the region, our work proves to be more challenging due to the difficulties of doing field surveys during a global pandemic. Nonetheless, we hope that data from this research will help us further understand the different drivers of past sea-level changes in SE Asia providing necessary geologic baseline data for projections of sea-level change in the future.

How to cite: Maxwell, K., Westphal, H., Rovere, A., and Garas, K.: Late Cenozoic sea-level indicators in west Luzon, Philippines, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10973, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10973, 2022.

EGU22-11156 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Danish Climate Atlas view on sea level change in future 

Jian Su, Elin Andrée, Jacob W. Nielsen, Steffen M. Olsen, and Kristine S. Madsen

Wind patterns projected for the region, together with sea level rise and land rise, call into question our current understanding of extreme storm surges in the Danish coastal area. The Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) will research changes in the extreme statistics of sea level in the twenty-first century through the 'Danish Climate Atlas,' a new national climate service initiative. The study will make use of multi-scenarios, multi-models and multi-parameters approach to focus on the uncertainty of the projected change in extreme statistics of sea level.  Historical sea level records suggest that the relative sea level (RSL) along the Danish North Sea coast south of Skagerrak has been increasing with the global mean sea level (GMSL) rise. However, RSL has been absent in the central Skagerrak-Kattegat Seas, owing to the Fennoscandian post-glacial land-uplift offsetting the GMSL rise. According to the recent IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (SROCC), due to Antarctic ice sheet dynamics, GMSL would grow more than previously estimated in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) by the end of the twenty-first century under RCP8.5. We regionalized the SROCC sea level forecasts for the "Danish Climate Atlas" dataset. Our findings indicate that sea level projections under RCP8.5 result in a > 40 cm RSL rise in the Skagerrak-Kattegat Seas by the end of the twenty-first century, which may necessitate a new adaptation strategy in this region. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the rate of mean sea level rise will exceed the rate of land rise earlier than previously estimated by AR5. We emphasize, in particular, the impact of these new predictions on future severe sea levels in this region. Our findings suggest that this more current GMSL prediction should be factored into coastal risk assessments in the Skagerrak-Kattegat Seas in this century.

How to cite: Su, J., Andrée, E., Nielsen, J. W., Olsen, S. M., and Madsen, K. S.: Danish Climate Atlas view on sea level change in future, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11156, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11156, 2022.

Cultural heritage not only witnesses past spiritual and aesthetic attitudes of mankind, but also represents a unique means to investigate the intimate relationship between humanity and the environment.  We present an overview and preliminary data of the SPHeritage Project, which investigates evidence of Palaeolithic human occupation and cultural heritage in the NW Mediterranean area in conjunction with Pleistocene sea-level change studies. A tightly interdisciplinary approach is necessary to use cultural heritage as a proxy for sea-level change evidence. The SPHeritage Project (MUR grant: FIRS2019_00040, P.I.: M. Pappalardo) investigates how human populations have responded to environmental changes and sea-level variations over the last 400,000 years in the Ligurian-Provençal coastal area (along the border between Italy and France) using a combination of micro-invasive methods applied to in situ and previously excavated sediments of uttermost archaeological relevance. In this area, particularly in the archaeological area of Balzi Rossi, a unique assemblage of archaeological sites dating to the Palaeolithic can be found in a rocky coast geomorphological setting where sea-level indicators of the last 3 or 4 interglacials are present. They lack reliable dating and a standardized assessment of the palaeo sea level they record. Improved age constraint of the coastal deposits and recording of relative sea-level (RSL) change evidence is necessary for: i) contribution to the standardized inventory of past interglacial sea-leves; ii) investigating changes in the biodiversity of rocky coastal marine ecosystems triggered by different interglacial environmental conditions; iii) the development of a self-consistent Glacial Isostatic Adjustment model capable of including the residual effect of previous interglacials’ rebound on the isostatic response of later interglacials; iv) investigating how RSL change and consequent shoreline fluctuations can drive settlement strategies and human migration/dispersal patterns. This project is challenged by the previous removal of large portions of the local archaeological sequences in earlier investigations beginning at the end of the nineteenth century. The challenge in this Project is that most of the local archaeological sequences have been extensively investigated since the end of the nineteenth century and large part of the deposits were removed. Therefore, we will combine analyses of relict in situ sediments with those of stratigraphically constrained materials preserved in museums and archaeological deposits worldwide. Moreover, traces of past shorelines will be searched for in the sedimentary sequence of the continental shelf through geophysical surveys and, if this will prove possible, through direct sediment coring. Our preliminary data are promising, and suggest that this interdisciplinary and microinvasive approach can provide valuable evidence on sea-level change from archaeological areas without hampering cultural heritage preservation.

How to cite: Pappalardo, M. and the SPHeritage Project members: Investigating Pleistocene sea-level changes along the northern Mediterranean coast through Palaeolithic cultural heritage: perspectives from the S-P-Heritage Project, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11357, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11357, 2022.

EGU22-11476 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Understanding the role of internal climate variability in future sea level trends 

Mélanie Becker, Mikhail Karpytchev, and Aixue Hu

Estimating the magnitude of future sea level rise is among the primary goals of current climate research. Sea level projections contain inherent irreducible uncertainty, which is due to internal climate variability (ICV). This uncertainty is commonly estimated from a spread of sea level projections obtained from Global Climate Models (GCM) under the same forcing but with slightly different initial conditions. Here we analyze the ICV contribution to the sea level variations (1) across the Large Ensembles (LE) of Community Earth System Model (CESM) obtained under different warming scenarios and (2) from an alternative approach based on the power-law statistics theory. The magnitude of the sea level response to ICV is also evaluated by comparison with actual tide gauge data. We show that certain coastal regions of the globe are more sensitive to ICV than others, both in observations and in the GCM results. We identify regions where the sea level change will become significant beyond the ICV, providing useful climate change adaptation guidance.

How to cite: Becker, M., Karpytchev, M., and Hu, A.: Understanding the role of internal climate variability in future sea level trends, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11476, 2022.

EGU22-11672 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Hourly sea-level change with long-term trends for impact attribution: the HLT Dataset 

Matthias Mengel, Simon Treu, Sanne Muis, Sönke Dangendorf, Thomas Wahl, Stefanie Heinicke, and Katja Frieler

Rising seas are a threat for human and natural systems along coastlines. The relation between global warming and sea-level rise is established, but impacts due to historical sea-level rise are not well quantified on a global scale. To foster the attribution of observed coastal impacts to sea-level rise, we here present HLT, a sea-level forcing dataset encompassing factual and counterfactual sea-level evolution along global coastlines from 1979 to 2015. HLT combines observation-based long-term changes with reanalysis-based hourly water level variation. Comparison to tide gauge records shows improved performance of HLT, mainly due to the inclusion of density-driven sea-level change. We produce a counterfactual by removing the trend in relative sea level since 1900. The detrending preserves the timing of historical extreme sea-level events. Hence, the data can be used in event-based impact attribution to sea-level rise with tuples of impact simulations driven with the factual and counterfactual dataset. The dataset is made available openly through the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP).

How to cite: Mengel, M., Treu, S., Muis, S., Dangendorf, S., Wahl, T., Heinicke, S., and Frieler, K.: Hourly sea-level change with long-term trends for impact attribution: the HLT Dataset, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11672, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11672, 2022.

EGU22-12063 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Sub-hourly sea level quality-controlled dataset to quantify extreme sea levels along the European coasts 

Marijana Balić, Jadranka Šepić, Leon Ćatipović, Srđan Čupić, Jihwan Kim, Iva Međugorac, Rachid Omira, Havu Pellikka, Krešimir Ruić, Ivica Vilibić, and Petra Zemunik

Extreme sea levels can lead to floods that cause significant damage to coastal infrastructure and put people's lives in danger. These floods are a result of physical processes occurring at various time and space scales, including sub-hourly scales. To estimate the contribution of sub-hourly sea level oscillations to extreme sea levels, raw sea level data from about 300 tide gauge stations along the European coasts, with a sampling resolution of less than 20 minutes, were collected. The data were obtained from: (1) the IOC-SLSMF website (290 stations); (2) National agencies (Portugal, Finland, Croatia –24 stations). Portions of the raw dataset had various data quality issues (i.e., spikes, shifts, drifts) hence quality control procedure was required. Out of range values, values with a 50 cm difference from one neighbouring value or a 30 cm difference from both neighbouring values, were automatically removed. The automatic spike detection procedure was carried out by removing values that differed by three standard deviations from a spline fitted with the least squares method. Following the automatic quality control, all remaining data were visually examined and spurious data were removed manually.

The resulting data set contains sea level data from 2007. to 2021., with an average record length of approximately 7 years, however the length varies from a few months at some stations to 13 years at others. Tide gauges with longer records (>10 years) are based in the Baltic region, France and Spain, whereas the ones with shorter records (<3 years) are mostly based in the Eastern Mediterranean. The Western Mediterranean and western Europe have a high station coverage with records of various lengths. Tide gauges mostly provide data with a one-minute sampling frequency, however, some of them still record on a multi-minute scale (i.e., United Kingdom with 15 minutes and Norway and the Netherlands with 10 minutes sampling frequency).

Preliminary statistical analyses were done, resulting with spatial and temporal distribution of contribution of high-frequency sea level oscillations to total sea level extremes along the European coasts.

How to cite: Balić, M., Šepić, J., Ćatipović, L., Čupić, S., Kim, J., Međugorac, I., Omira, R., Pellikka, H., Ruić, K., Vilibić, I., and Zemunik, P.: Sub-hourly sea level quality-controlled dataset to quantify extreme sea levels along the European coasts, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12063, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12063, 2022.

EGU22-13026 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Sea-level rise: from global perspectives to local services 

Gael Durand, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Tamsin L. Edwards, Paul R. Holland, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Ben Marzeion, Ruth Mottram, Robert J. Nicholls, Frank Pattyn, Frank Paul, Aimée B.A. Slangen, Ricarda Winkelmann, Clara Burgard, Caroline J. van Calcar, Jean-Baptiste Barré, Amélie Bataille, and Anne Chapuis

Coastal areas are highly diverse, ecologically rich, regions of key socio-economic activity, and are particularly sensitive to sea- level change. Over most of the 20th century, global mean sea level has risen mainly due to warming and subsequent expansion of the upper ocean layers and the melting of glaciers and ice caps. Over the last three decades, increased mass loss of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets has also started to contribute significantly to contemporary sea-level rise. The future mass loss of these ice sheets, which combined represent a sea-level rise potential of ~65 m, constitutes the main source of uncertainty in long-term (centennial to millennial) sea-level rise projections. Improved knowledge of the magnitude and rate of future sea-level change is therefore of utmost importance. Moreover, sea level does not change uniformly across the globe, and can differ greatly at both regional and local scales. The most appropriate and feasible sea level mitigation and adaptation measures in coastal regions strongly depend on local land use and associated risk aversion. Here, we advocate that addressing the problem of future sea-level rise and its impacts requires (i) bringing together a transdisciplinary scientific community, from climate and cryospheric scientists to coastal impact specialists, and (ii) interacting closely and iteratively with users and local stakeholders to co-design and co-build coastal climate services, including addressing the high-end risks. Following these principles, as also adopted in the EU project “Projecting sea-level rise: from projections to local implications” (PROTECT), we encourage the formation of research consortia that cover the entire knowledge chainIn this way global sea-level science can be linked to effective coastal climate services at the scale of risk and adaptation

How to cite: Durand, G., van den Broeke, M. R., Le Cozannet, G., Edwards, T. L., Holland, P. R., Jourdain, N. C., Marzeion, B., Mottram, R., Nicholls, R. J., Pattyn, F., Paul, F., Slangen, A. B. A., Winkelmann, R., Burgard, C., van Calcar, C. J., Barré, J.-B., Bataille, A., and Chapuis, A.: Sea-level rise: from global perspectives to local services, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13026, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13026, 2022.

EGU22-13328 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Long-term trends and variations in sea level of the Black Sea 

Şehriban Saçu and Olgay Şen

The Black Sea is an almost enclosed basin interacted with the Mediterranean Sea through the Bosporus. It has a large catchment area receiving freshwater from the second longest river in Europe, the Danube, and other rivers spread over Europe and Asia. The total riverine discharge is 350 km3/year where the Danube contributes about 65% of the total discharge. Although evaporation rates (280 km3/year) exceed precipitation rates (200 km3/year), large riverine discharge makes the Black Sea an estuarine type basin.  The main feature of the Black Sea is a basin-wide cyclonic circulation, namely Rim Current. The cyclonic circulation causes a lower sea level in the inner part of the basin and a higher sea level in the shelf region. The freshwater budget and thermal expansion of the water are other factors affecting sea level of the Black Sea.  The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) could also influence sea level through changes in atmospheric pressure and the above-mentioned factors.  

 

In this study, firstly we investigated long term trends in sea level of the Black Sea on the basis of the tide gauge measurements, satellite altimetry, and gravity measurements from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). Then, we assessed role of the wind curl, freshwater budget, and NAO on sea level variations through temporal and spatial data analysis. The tide gauge measurements suggest a positive sea level trend of about 1.05 – 2.37 mm/years, for a time period >50 years. Basin mean sea level derived from altimeter and GRACE (years between 2003-2019), does not exhibit a statistically significant trend (p<0.05) which might result from the shift towards a positive NAO condition in the last 30-years. We found that sea level variations both in the coastal and inner part of the basin are significantly correlated (p<0.05) with Danube discharge but these correlations are smaller in the inner part. The agreement between interannual variations of Danube discharge and the NAO index suggests that sea level variations are also associated with NAO index. An Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis with associated time series (Principal Components, PC) is applied to the gridded altimeter data to capture space and time features of sea level variability. The first mode of the EOF explained about %81.9 of the total variability and showed the same sign over the basin indicating an in-phase oscillation of the whole Black Sea. The PC1 shows interannual variations in accordance with freshwater budget (r=0.76, p<0.05). The second mode of the EOF accounts for %5.7 of the total variability, has opposite signs in coastal and inner parts, the oscillation implied by this mode could be related to the Rim Current intensity governed by wind curl.

 

How to cite: Saçu, Ş. and Şen, O.: Long-term trends and variations in sea level of the Black Sea, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13328, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13328, 2022.

EGU22-13467 | Presentations | CL3.1.1

Effect of Holocene sediment redistributions on the relative sea level at present in the Ayeyarwady delta (aka Irrawaddy delta, Myanmar) 

Céline Grall, Adrien Henry, Mikhail Karpytchev, and Melanie Becker

Under high seasonal monsoon rainfall and active tectonics, the Ayeyarwady delta is a large delta plain characterized by a high sediment supply. Also, the Ayeyarwady river, together with the Sittaung, and the Salween Rivers are bringing ~600 Mt/yr of sediments to the Andaman Sea through the Gulf of Martaban. A recent research effort have allowed characterizing the sedimentation at present and since the mid-Holocene. We here propose to integrate these published observations in a stratigraphic reconstruction and to determine by numerical modelling how much these Holocene massive sediment transfers play on coastal subsidence and relative sea level at present.

The present average sedimentation rate at the front of Ayeyarwady delta is ~10 cm/yr and the delta may be divided in two sectors: an eastern embayed sector and a western open coast sector. During the mid-Holocene, the aerial part of the delta have experimented fast progradation rate, reaching prograding rate of ~ 30 m/yr. When applying this sedimentation pattern on a preliminary (radial) viscoelastic Earth model, we show that sediment isostasy plays on the regional coastal dynamics and subsidence at present. In addition, the Ayeyarwady delta lies in a complex tectonic setting, bounded to the west by the Indo-Burman collision zone, and to the east by the sub-vertical dextral Sagaing Fault. We are integrating this tectonic setting in an earth model that allows lateral vertical discontinuity for exploring how much this significantly changes the modelling results.

How to cite: Grall, C., Henry, A., Karpytchev, M., and Becker, M.: Effect of Holocene sediment redistributions on the relative sea level at present in the Ayeyarwady delta (aka Irrawaddy delta, Myanmar), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13467, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13467, 2022.

EGU22-216 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Exploring the mechanical influence of mush poroelasticity on volcanic surface deformation 

Rami Alshembari, James Hickey, Ben J. Williamson, and Katharine Cashman

Understanding the mechanical behaviour of melt reservoirs is vital for advancing geophysical models that aim to constrain the evolution of subvolcanic systems and inform hazard monitoring and mitigation. From geophysical and petrological studies, large melt-dominated (magma) reservoirs are difficult to sustain over long periods of time. Melt is more likely to reside within reservoirs which consist of variably packed frameworks of crystals, so-called crystal mush, as well as in pockets of magma, in changing proportions over time. The behaviour of crystal mush, in particular, is emerging as a vital consideration in understanding how magmatic systems evolve. In addition, current models for volcano deformation often consider static magma sources and thus provide little insight into the internal dynamics of melt reservoirs; and these models ignore the presence of crystals and therefore the likely poroelastic mechanical response to melt intrusion or withdrawal. Our study considers the melt reservoir to be partly crystalline (> 50% crystal fraction), with melt residing between crystals. We examine the influence of poroelastic mechanical behaviour on the evolution of reservoir pressure and the resultant surface deformation. From our results, the modelling of a crystal mush rather than a 100% melt magma reservoir can significantly modify the resulting spatial and temporal mechanical evolution of the system. Specifically, the poroelastic behaviour of a mush reservoir will continue to develop following the end of a melt injection period, generating further time-dependent surface displacements. Post-injection and post-eruption inflation can occur, which are linked to a poroelastic response associated with continuous melt diffusion. Following an injection/eruption, a steady-state point is eventually achieved when the fluid pressure reaches a uniform value throughout the reservoir. This process is controlled by the poroelastic diffusivity. Increasing the reservoir crystal fraction from 50% to 90% reduces the mobility of melts, decreases permeability, and leads to a slow rate of melt diffusion. Our study confirms that volcanic surface deformation can occur without continued intrusion or withdrawal of melt.

How to cite: Alshembari, R., Hickey, J., J. Williamson, B., and Cashman, K.: Exploring the mechanical influence of mush poroelasticity on volcanic surface deformation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-216, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-216, 2022.

EGU22-583 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Contribution of the use of a plate model to calculate the stresses at large silicic systems 

Alexandra Morand, Stephen Tait, and Geneviève Brandeis

Large silicic systems can produce devastating eruptions with emitted volumes greater than 100 km³ and worldwide impacts. Such eruptions suggest the presence of significant reservoirs of silicic magma at shallow depths. Understanding how these reservoirs form is crucial to understanding how they affect the surrounding rock. But the shape and the organization of magmatic storage are still debated, despite their crucial influence on the results of theoretical predictions. Based on physical considerations of silicic-magma properties and the continental-crust state of active systems; our hypothesis is that the rise of silicic magma is stopped by the Brittle Ductile Transition. As the relaxation time of the ductile part of the crust is very short compared to the lifetime of such systems, magma storage could be considered as a buoyant liquid stored beneath an elastic plate. We thus used a plate model to theoretically predict the stress above those large magma chambers. To test our hypothesis, we computed the general behaviours of large silicic systems and compared them to natural cases. We first calculated the stress field produced in the plate. Results show that stressed values can reach tens of MPa, which is enough to cause plate failure. Then, we compared reservoir dimensions and volumes predicted by our model when failure could occur with documented ones for past eruptions. We showed that the two are consistent with each other. In a broader perspective, we then showed that stresses produced in the plate by the magma chamber can produce circular faults above the storage zone. This result has direct implications for the understanding of caldera formation during large silicic eruptions.

How to cite: Morand, A., Tait, S., and Brandeis, G.: Contribution of the use of a plate model to calculate the stresses at large silicic systems, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-583, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-583, 2022.

EGU22-607 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Integrated Multi-scale approach for constraining source parameters responsible of deformation field in volcanic framework. 

Andrea Barone, Maurizio Fedi, Antonio Pepe, Susi Pepe, Giuseppe Solaro, Pietro Tizzani, and Raffaele Castaldo

The monitoring and characterization of volcanic systems are performed through measurements of different nature; among these, the development of the remote sensing technologies has supported the analysis and interpretation of the ground deformation field, for which the Differential SAR Interferometry (DInSAR) technique provides a large amount of densely sampled measurements over space and time (Dzurisin, 2007). The modeling of these datasets leads to understand the changes of physical and geometrical parameters of deep and/or shallow volcanic reservoirs by using different strategies, such as the forward (Lu et al., 1998), the parametric (Battaglia et al., 2013) and tomographic (Camacho et al., 2020) inverse modeling. Unfortunately, these methods could bring to ambiguous interpretation of deformation measurements because of ambiguities of inherent, theoretical, algebraic, instrumental/experimental nature.

Here, we model the deformation field in volcanic framework through a different approach, which is mainly based on harmonic elastic fields satisfying the homogeneity laws; in particular, we use multi-scale procedures, such as the Multiridge (Fedi et al., 2009) and ScalFun (Fedi et al., 2007) methods, and boundary analysis technique, such as the Total Horizontal Derivative (THD) (Blakely, 1996), for unambiguous estimate of the geometrical parameters of the deformation sources, which are the depth, the horizontal position, the shape and the horizontal extent.

Starting from the harmonic solutions of the Navier’s equation, Castaldo et al. (2018) and Barone et al. (2019) have shown that multi-scale methods are valid tools to study simple field sources as the Mogi one, according to the homogeneity law and the Euler’s equation. To generalize this approach, we show the use of multi-scale methods to model sources with any geometry, also irregular. We test our methodology, which is an integration of multi-scale techniques, on Finite Element synthetic deformation field generated through Comsol Multiphysics software package; we consider both regular and irregular geometry cases by analysing different deformation component estimating the source geometry without any reference model.

Finally, we use the proposed approach to investigate the ground deformation pattern of the 2004 – 2010 uplift episode occurred at Yellowstone caldera resurgent domes area and the 2013 unrest event at Fernandina volcano (Galapagos Archipelago, Ecuador); in the first case, we use the vertical component and the integrated multi-scale approach to highlight the geometrical irregularities of the retrieved sill-like intrusion; in the second case, we analyse the E-W component retrieving a ≈ 1.5 km b.s.l. deep pipe-like source.

We conclude that our approach is crucial for retrieving an unconstrained geometrical model of the deformation source.

How to cite: Barone, A., Fedi, M., Pepe, A., Pepe, S., Solaro, G., Tizzani, P., and Castaldo, R.: Integrated Multi-scale approach for constraining source parameters responsible of deformation field in volcanic framework., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-607, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-607, 2022.

Lava dome collapse hazards are intimately linked with their morphology and internal structure. We present new lava dome emplacement models that use calibrated rock strengths and allow material behaviour to be simulated for three distinct units: (1) a ductile, fluid core; (2) a solid upper carapace; and (3) disaggregated talus slopes. We first show that relative proportions of solid and disaggregated rock depend on rock strength, and that disaggregated talus piles can act as an unstable substrate and cause collapse, even in domes with a high rock strength. We then simulate sequential dome emplacement, demonstrating that renewed growth can destabilise otherwise stable pre-existing domes. This destabilisation is exacerbated if the pre-existing dome has been weakened following emplacement, e.g., through processes of hydrothermal alteration. Finally, we simulate dome growth within a crater and show how weakening of crater walls can engender sector collapse. A better understanding of dome growth and collapse is an important component of hazard mitigation at dome-forming volcanoes worldwide.

How to cite: Harnett, C. and Heap, M.: Exploring lava dome mechanics & structure: how does stability change as a function of rock strength?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-691, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-691, 2022.

EGU22-1431 | Presentations | GMPV9.4 | Highlight

An analytical model for the ascent speed of a viscous fluid batch in three dimensions 

Timothy Davis and Eleonora Rivalta

There are few analytical models of 3D dyke ascent due in part to the algebraic complexity of deriving such solutions but also due to a lack of numerical schemes that can be used to test the validity of their simplifying assumptions. Recent developments in hydro-fracture codes allow for numerical simulation of constant inflow/finite batches of fluid rising towards the ground surface (Zia and Lecampion, 2020). Such schemes allow us to formulate and test some analytical approximations of this process.

Recently, analytical formulations have reproduced in three dimensions the self-sustaining ascent of a batch of fluid, where a fracture ascends upwards once a given “critical" volume of fluid is injected (Davis et al., 2020; Salimzadeh et al., 2020; Smittarello et al., 2021). The critical volume is dependent on: the rock stiffness, the density contrast between the fluid and rock and the rock toughness. Such formulations have been verified numerically, showing that relatively small batches of fluid are required before these begin to ascend towards the ground surface. In particular, these estimated critical volumes are below observed eruptive volumes and far below typical industrial fluid injection volumes. We investigate how accounting for fluid flow in the model can lead to better estimates of the critical volumes, ascent timescales and the fracture size.

We first detail an approximation of the ascent speed for a given volume of fluid, deriving an approximate maximum ascent speed of a fracture. We show this speed is linearly proportional to the injected volume and inversely proportional to the material stiffness and fluid viscosity. Secondly, we adapt the 2D similarity solution of Spence and Turcotte (1990), showing how to scale this in 3D. This solution describes how the ascent speed decelerates from its initial velocity. We note that in particular the decay in the front velocity is dependent on volume (V) and time (t) with the following scaling V(1/2)/t(2/3). Our resulting analytical solution matches well to decay speeds from 3D numerical experiments with a finite fluid batch. We discuss the implications this scaling has on the ascent speed of magmatic intrusions and the stability of industrial operations.

Lastly, we briefly discuss formulations describing how density, stress and stiffness interfaces can trap ascending fractures.

Davis, T., Rivalta, E. and Dahm, T., 2020. Critical fluid injection volumes for uncontrolled fracture ascent. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(14), p.e2020GL087774.

Salimzadeh, S., Zimmerman, R.W. and Khalili, N., 2020. Gravity Hydraulic Fracturing: A Method to Create Self‐Driven Fractures. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(20), p.e2020GL087563.

Smittarello, D., Pinel, V., Maccaferri, F., Furst, S., Rivalta, E. and Cayol, V., 2021. Characterizing the physical properties of gelatin, a classic analog for the brittle elastic crust, insight from numerical modeling. Tectonophysics, 812, p.228901.

Spence, D.A. and Turcotte, D.L., 1990. Buoyancy‐driven magma fracture: A mechanism for ascent through the lithosphere and the emplacement of diamonds. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 95(B4), pp.5133-5139.

Zia, H. and Lecampion, B., 2020. PyFrac: A planar 3D hydraulic fracture simulator. Computer Physics Communications, 255, p.107368.

How to cite: Davis, T. and Rivalta, E.: An analytical model for the ascent speed of a viscous fluid batch in three dimensions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1431, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1431, 2022.

EGU22-2480 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

The Deformation Style of Somma-Vesuvius 

Bruno Massa, Raffaele Castaldo, Luca D’Auria, Ada De Matteo, Michael R. James, Stephen J. Lane, Susi Pepe, and Pietro Tizzani

The Somma-Vesuvius volcano is one of the most dangerous on the Earth due to its proximity to the city of Napoli (Southern Italy). The volcanic edifice has a typical asymmetric shape: the truncated cone of Mt.  Somma topped by the Vesuvius “Gran Cono”. Somma-Vesuvius last erupted in 1944 and is currently quiescent, experiencing fumarolic activity, low-energy seismicity and slow ground deformation (subsidence of the edifice itself and uplift in the surrounding area). Understanding the deformation style of Somma-Vesuvius and the corresponding long-term structural evolution allows inferences about volcanic activity and associated hazards. A large amount of data has already been collected about Somma-Vesuvius. Nevertheless, the deformation style affecting its volcanic edifice is still matter of debate. We present results of an integrated numerical-analogue modeling approach aimed at refining the current state of deformation of this volcano. Numerical models were built using a Finite Element (FE) method, implemented with a three-dimensional time-dependent fluid-dynamic approach, representative of both 1:100,000 and 1:1 scales. A wide range of laboratory analog models were built at a scale of 1:100,000, using sand mixtures as brittle medium and polydimethylsiloxane as a ductile one. A comparison with the actual Somma-Vesuvius deformation velocity patterns, obtained by differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DInSAR) and GPS measurements, allowed the selection of a pair of analog/numerical models that faithfully reproduced the field and remote sensing observations. The modeling procedure adds new constrains supporting a combined gravitational spreading-sagging process governing the deformation of the Somma-Vesuvius volcano. This conclusion has a critical consequence: the recognized deformation processes support the presence of a tensional regime. This has the potential implication of reducing the loading stress on the magmatic reservoir system and, consequently, of decreasing the Volcanic Explosive Index of eruptive events. The refined knowledge of the actual deformation process affecting Somma-Vesuvius should be a key contribution to a reliable volcanic surveillance system.

How to cite: Massa, B., Castaldo, R., D’Auria, L., De Matteo, A., James, M. R., Lane, S. J., Pepe, S., and Tizzani, P.: The Deformation Style of Somma-Vesuvius, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2480, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2480, 2022.

EGU22-2639 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Quantification of Volcano Deformation caused by Volatile Accumulation and Release 

Arne Spang, Mike Burton, Boris Kaus, and Freysteinn Sigmundsson

Magma stored in the crust may exsolve a significant amount of volatiles, primarily CO2, but also H2O and SO2 if cooling promotes crystallisation and volatile exsolution. These volatiles may, over time, segregate and accumulate into a gas-rich foam at the roof of the magma body. This is the underpinning process to explain the frequently observed ‘excess gas’ produced in explosive eruptions, where the amount of erupted SO2 is much larger than can be explained by the mass of erupted products and the initial dissolved S content.

Here, we examine and quantify the buoyancy force exerted on the crust due to the presence of accumulated volatiles in the roof of a magma reservoir of exsolved volatiles. This foam has a significantly lower density than magma or the crust, and will therefore produce a buoyancy force which will manifest as deformation of the volcanic edifice above. A key concept in this work is that the accumulation of the foam layer may occur slowly over long time periods and therefore be challenging to detect. However, upon eruption, the gas phase will be suddenly lost, and the removal of the buoyant volatiles will result in syn-eruptive subsidence, in addition to that expected from the eruption of lavas.

We present three-dimensional, visco-elasto-plastic, thermomechanical modeling results which quantify the ground deformation arising from the growth and sudden release of a volatile reservoir. We find that the deformation is independent from the thermal structure of the crust and the shapes of the volatile and magma reservoirs. Instead, it is a function of the volume, density and depth of the volatile reservoir and crustal rigidity. This allows us to derive a scaling law for the volatiles’ contribution to syn-eruptive subsidence.

Applying our scaling law to the April 2015 eruption of the Chilean stratovolcano Calbuco, together with estimates of the pre-accumulated volatile mass, suggests that up to 25% of the observed syn-eruptive subsidence can be explained by the release of a buoyant reservoir of exsolved volatiles. Our results highlight the key role that volatile-driven buoyancy can have in volcano deformation and show a new link between syn-eruptive degassing and deflation. They also highlight that shallow gas accumulation and release may have a major impact on ground deformation of volcanoes and can serve as an explanation for inflation/deflation of up to a few cm.

How to cite: Spang, A., Burton, M., Kaus, B., and Sigmundsson, F.: Quantification of Volcano Deformation caused by Volatile Accumulation and Release, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2639, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2639, 2022.

EGU22-2704 | Presentations | GMPV9.4 | Highlight

Structural failure and shallow dike intrusion at Nyiragongo volcano (D.R Congo) 

Delphine Smittarello, Julien Barrière, Nicolas d'Oreye, Benoit Smets, Adrien Oth, Caroline Michellier, Tara Shreve, Raphael Grandin, Valérie Cayol, Christelle Wauthier, Dominique Derauw, Halldor Geirsson, Nicolas Theys, Hugues Brenot, Jean-Luc Froger, Adalbert Muhindo, and François Kervyn

After January 1977 and January 2002, the third historically known flank eruption of Nyiragongo volcano and the first ever to be recorded by dense measurements both on the ground and from space started on the 22nd of May 2021, although no alarming precursory unrest had been reported. Nyiragongo lava flows threatened about 1 million of inhabitants living in the cities of Goma (Democratic Republic of Congo) and Giseny (Rwanda).

In the following days, seismic and geodetic data as well as fracture mapping revealed the gradual southward propagation of a shallow dike from the Nyiragongo edifice underlying below Goma airport on May 23-24, then Goma and Gisenyi city centers on May 25-26 and finally below the northern part of Lake Kivu on May 27. Southward migration of the associated seismic swarm slowed down between May 27 and June 02. Micro seismicity became more diffuse, progressively activating transverse tectonic structures previously identified in the whole Lake Kivu basin.

Here we exploit ground based and remote sensing data as well as inversion and physics-based models to fully characterize the dike size, the dynamics of dike propagation and its arrest against a structural lineament known as the Nyabihu Fault. This work highlights the shallow origin of the dike, the segmented dike propagation controlled by the interaction with pre-existing fracture networks and the incremental crater collapse associated with drainage which led to the disappearance of the world’s largest long-living lava lake on top of Nyiragongo.

How to cite: Smittarello, D., Barrière, J., d'Oreye, N., Smets, B., Oth, A., Michellier, C., Shreve, T., Grandin, R., Cayol, V., Wauthier, C., Derauw, D., Geirsson, H., Theys, N., Brenot, H., Froger, J.-L., Muhindo, A., and Kervyn, F.: Structural failure and shallow dike intrusion at Nyiragongo volcano (D.R Congo), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2704, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2704, 2022.

EGU22-3238 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Making space for magma fingers and sheet intrusions: the importance of intrusion tip velocities 

Jonas Köpping, Alexander R. Cruden, Craig Magee, Samuel Thiele, Anja Slim, and Andrew Bunger

Magma transport through the Earth’s crust is commonly described to occur through interconnected planar sheet intrusions such as dykes and sills, which form so called magma plumbing systems. Elongate intrusion geometries (i.e., magma fingers and segments), hereafter referred to as elements, may form during magma transport due to viscous and/or elastic instabilities at the propagating intrusion tip, and they are often observed at the outer margin of solidified sheet intrusions. Field observations, geophysical datasets, and analogue models further show that when elements grow in width, they can coalesce, indicating that planar sheet intrusions can form and grow by the amalgamation of individual elements. Previous studies suggest that the emplacement and growth of elements is accommodated by one dominating emplacement end-member process, namely: i) tensile-elastic fracturing, ii) shear failure, or iii) viscous deformation (e.g., host rock fluidisation). However, the interplay between individual end-member processes remains poorly understood. Here we present field observations of elongate magma fingers located at the SE margin of the Paleogene Shonkin Sag laccolith (Montana, USA) to assess how host rocks (Cretaceous Eagle Sandstone) deform to make space for the magma. We combine drone photogrammetry surveys with field mapping and microstructural analyses to describe and quantify host rock deformation in the vicinity of 37 magma fingers, and we conduct thermal modelling to further evaluate the conditions at which viscous deformation due to host rock fluidisation is feasible.

Our field observations show that all three proposed end-member processes accommodated the emplacement of magma fingers at the SE margin of the Shonkin Sag laccolith. Brittle deformation, shear failure, and folding of host rock mainly occurs in the compressional regime between two adjacent magma fingers, whereas host rock fluidisation and mobilisation is predominantly observed at the cross-sectional, lateral finger tips. Our photogrammetric analyses show that up to 40 % of the finger thickness is accommodated by elastic host rock uplift. Critically, this range of host rock deformation mechanisms is observed in one outcrop at metre scale, and in some cases associated with an individual magma finger. Thermal modelling of temperatures ahead of a propagating intrusion tip indicates that intrusion induced host rock fluidisation is only possible at low tip velocities of ≤ 10-5 m/s, which can vary depending on the emplacement depth, magma temperature, and the thermal diffusivity of the host rock.

Overall, we conclude that the emplacement of magma fingers at the outer margin of the Shonkin Sag laccolith was accommodated by a combination of elastic host rock uplift and both brittle and ductile host rock deformation. Based on our field observations and thermal modelling results, we suggest that intrusion tip velocities and the resulting strain rate are key parameters that control the dominating space-making mechanisms during magma emplacement. Due to the elongate geometry of elements and the resulting different strain rates at their lateral and frontal tips, we further propose that deformation mechanisms observed at lateral tips in cross sectional outcrops are likely decoupled from those at frontal tips such that they may not be equivalent.

How to cite: Köpping, J., Cruden, A. R., Magee, C., Thiele, S., Slim, A., and Bunger, A.: Making space for magma fingers and sheet intrusions: the importance of intrusion tip velocities, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3238, 2022.

EGU22-3579 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

The influence of the 2018 Lombok earthquake sequence, Indonesia on the unrest Rinjani volcano inferred from InSAR time-series analysis 

Siyuan Zhao, Simon McClusky, Meghan Miller, Phil Cummins, and Matt Garthwaite

Rinjani volcano is a highly active volcano located on Lombok Island in eastern Indonesia which has experienced ten eruptions in the last 100 years. Between 2014 and 2020, this stratovolcano has erupted twice, on 25th October 2015; and on 1st August 2016. Both eruptions lasted approximately two months, with activity concentrated in the volcanoes central Barujari Crater region. In 2018, four deadly (Mw 6.2 to 6.9) earthquakes struck the north coast of Lombok Island on 28th July, 5th August, and 19th August, causing hundreds of fatalities and extensive damage. These earthquakes also resulted in the remobilization of ash deposits on the flanks of Rinjani volcano located on the north island as landslides. Our InSAR-based finite fault rupture modelling suggests the estimated maximum fault slip of 1.4 m, 2.3 m, and 2.5 m for the three mainshocks located on southward dipping fault planes to the northwest-northeast of the Rinjani volcano occurred at depths of ~15 km, 12 km, and 32 km, respectively. Coulomb stress change modelling based on the these rupture models indicates about 1 MPa of extensional stress change at 10 to 20 km of depth around the crater region was observed, which may promote opening of the magma conduit. The short distance between the peak slip region and the volcano, as well as the stress change, raises the question of whether the earthquake sequence may have influenced the spatio-temporal deformation pattern of the Rinjani volcano.We use an InSAR time-series, consisting of 658 descending and 370 ascending Sentinal-1 interferograms to investigate the time-dependent inflation and deflation signals around the crater region generated by the 2015, 2016 eruptions and the 2018 earthquakes. We analyse the average inflation/deflation rate and the cumulative displacements in different periods between 2014 and 2020 to quantify the volcano deformation before and after the 2018 earthquake sequence. Our preliminary results reveal that the crater region has undergone rapid inflation of up to 20 mm/yr through the 2014 to 2017 period, before significantly slowing to ~10 mm/yr over the 2017 to 2018 period. During the first three months following the 2018 earthquake sequence, a noticeable deflation of the edifice was detected, followed by gentle inflation lasting until late 2020. These results imply that the influence of the 2018 earthquakes acted to reduce the pressure in the reservoir, at least temporarily. We will present results from modelling the volume change and the location of the volcano pressure source for better understanding how changes in the magma body and magma movement may have been influenced by the 2018 Lombok earthquake sequence.

How to cite: Zhao, S., McClusky, S., Miller, M., Cummins, P., and Garthwaite, M.: The influence of the 2018 Lombok earthquake sequence, Indonesia on the unrest Rinjani volcano inferred from InSAR time-series analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3579, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3579, 2022.

EGU22-3623 | Presentations | GMPV9.4 | Highlight

Flank instability at Mount Etna: new insights from seafloor deformation monitoring 

Morelia Urlaub, Florian Petersen, Alessandro Bonforte, Felix Gross, and Heidrun Kopp

Coastal and ocean island volcanoes are renowned for having unstable flanks, which expresses as slow seawards flank sliding observable by geodetic techniques and/or catastrophic sector collapses. A large section of these unstable flanks is often below sea level, where information on the volcanotectonic structure and, in particular, ground deformation are limited. Consequently, kinematic models that attempt to explain measured onshore ground deformation associated to flank instability are poorly constrained in the offshore area. This is also the case for Mount Etna’s unstable south-eastern flank that slides seawards at rates of 2-3 cm/yr. Displacements associated to flank movement, observed onshore by geodetic and remote sensing techniques, show maximum values at the coast and kinematic models consistently predict even larger movements seawards of the coast. Our seafloor geodetic measurements between 2016 and 2018 confirmed that offshore flank slip is equal or slightly larger compared to onshore slip. The main displacement was released during one slow slip event. Here, we present new data from a second deployment of the seafloor geodetic network in the same location with the same direct-path acoustic ranging technique and a modified network design. The measurements allow reconstructing relative seafloor displacement within the network at sub-centimetre precision, from September 2020 until November 2021. The preliminary results indicate a possible eastward sliding of the flank, although the overall slip of <1 cm is close to the limit of resolution. Flank slip is continuous over the observation period. With our seafloor geodetic network, we are able to record different styles of fault slip and deformation rates. Ongoing long-term monitoring will show how these styles of deformation interact, and which type of flank movement is dominant in the offshore sector.

How to cite: Urlaub, M., Petersen, F., Bonforte, A., Gross, F., and Kopp, H.: Flank instability at Mount Etna: new insights from seafloor deformation monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3623, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3623, 2022.

EGU22-3732 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Dike geometry and scaling controlled by kinetics rather than host rock toughness 

Simon Gill, Richard Walker, Ken McCaffrey, and Catherine Greenfield

A common method of characterising dikes is to plot their measured maximum thickness (T) against their horizontal length (L). This method has been applied widely to fault systems to determine critical mechanical controls on intraplate fault evolution, in which the maximum displacement Dmax  is related to L by Dmax=γLn, where typically n=1. This power law Dmax-L relationship (with scatter) is inferred to represent scaling under constant driving stress. For dikes and other opening mode fractures (e.g., joints, veins, and sills) T-L scaling is typically shown as n=0.5 (i.e. T=αL0.5 ) albeit with significant scatter in aspect ratio at all data-rich length scales. In contrast to the frictional control for shear faults, this square root scaling is consistent with growth under conditions of constant rock properties, including material fracture toughness KIC (i.e., the ability of a material containing a crack to resist fracture). Understanding scaling relationships therefore has significant implications for the mechanics of intrusions and other opening mode fractures.

                Thickness versus length (T-L) data for dikes (and veins, sills, etc., but here we focus on dikes) are universally interpreted using a linear elastic 2D pressurised crack model. The model assumes mechanical equilibrium, such that the stress intensity, K , at the tip of the dike is equal to the mode I fracture toughness of the country rock, KIC . Measured thickness to length ratios are generally consistent with reasonable magma excess pressure estimates, in the range of 1–10 MPa, but the large areas over which that pressure operates in a constant pressure model results in extremely large stress intensity at the tip, which then requires excessively large fracture toughness to stabilise the crack: for most dike sets, KIC=300-3000 MPa.m0.5, which is about 100–1000 times that of measured KIC values for rocks at upper crustal depths.

Here we propose that solidified intrusions variably preserve internal pressure gradients (required for magma flow), representing cracks controlled by kinetics; they are non-equilibrated structures and cannot be treated in continuum with toughness-controlled, uniform pressure (equilibrium) structures such as veins, or many types of scaled analogue model. Early stages of dike growth (inflation) result in increasing length and thickness, but magma pressure gradients within the dike may serve to drive late-stage lengthening at the expense of maximum thickness (relaxation). For cracks in 2D, we find that inflation is controlled by the magma injection rate, viscosity, and host rock stiffness. Pressure relaxation in the dike is controlled by magma viscosity and host rock stiffness, with the timescale of operation controlled by host rock thermal diffusivity (i.e., cooling toward eventual solidification). This combination of parameters imposes conditions that are unique to individual dikes and dike systems of variable volume, magma type, host rocks, and depth of emplacement, hence we suggest there is no unique scaling law for solidified intrusions. Host rock fracture toughness has no impact on kinetics-controlled dike growth in the upper crust, with the key controls being the host rock compliance relative to the magma flow, which will change during dike emplacement

How to cite: Gill, S., Walker, R., McCaffrey, K., and Greenfield, C.: Dike geometry and scaling controlled by kinetics rather than host rock toughness, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3732, 2022.

EGU22-3883 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

High-resolution InSAR reveals deformation inside the crater of Agung, Indonesia, prior to the 2017 eruption. 

Mark Bemelmans, Juliet Biggs, James Wookey, Mike Poland, Susanna Ebmeier, and Devy Syahbana

In September 2017, volcanic unrest in the vicinity of Mount Agung, Bali, Indonesia, increased drastically as a dike intruded between Agung and Batur volcanoes. This intrusion was followed by 5 weeks of declining activity before the eventual explosive eruption from Agung’s summit starting on November 21, 2017. We use high-resolution satellite SAR imagery to detect pre-eruptive intra-crater uplift at Agung volcano. We show that deformation of the crater floor occurred together with the dike intrusion to the northwest of the volcano. We attribute the deformation to a hydrothermal system less than 300 m below the surface that was activated by the injection of magmatic gasses. This finding indicates that Agung’s shallow magmatic system was active from the start of the increased unrest. Additionally, we observe a pulse of intra-crater uplift within 3-0.5 days prior to the onset of the eruption. The second pulse of uplift was one of the only precursors to the eruption and was probably caused by interaction between the hydrothermal system and the ascending magma. The detection of localized deformation during a volcanic crisis has important implications for eruption and unrest forecasting at Mount Agung and similar volcanoes and argues for monitoring with high-resolution SAR, which is capable of achieving both outstanding spatial resolution and, if sufficient satellites are used, excellent temporal coverage.

How to cite: Bemelmans, M., Biggs, J., Wookey, J., Poland, M., Ebmeier, S., and Syahbana, D.: High-resolution InSAR reveals deformation inside the crater of Agung, Indonesia, prior to the 2017 eruption., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3883, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3883, 2022.

EGU22-4214 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Modelling the shape of a growing fluid-filled crack and computing its propagation velocity: application to magmatic dykes. 

Francesco Maccaferri, Severine Furst, and Virginie Pinel

The physics describing fluid-filled fracture growth is simple to describe, but extremely challenging to implement in an analytical, and even in a numerical modelling scheme. The fracturing process is governed by the equations for a brittle-elastic medium, while the internal flow is described by fluid dynamics equations. The pressure profile within the fluid-filled crack, the crack shape, and the velocity of crack growth, results from the solution of the coupled elastic and fluid-dynamic problem, that is far from been trivial. Magmatic dykes can be seen as a sub-set of the larger family of fluid-filled fractures. So far, two main schools have been established for modelling magmatic dykes: they have been named “fracture dominated” and “viscous dominated”, according to the fracture propagation regime that they target. Fracture dominated models are used when the fluid viscosity contributes with a negligible forcing to the total budget of the problem. They can describe complex crack shapes, account for heterogeneous stress fields and crustal heterogeneity, and compute the direction of crack growth. However they give no information about the crack propagation velocity. On the other hand, the viscous dominated school, drastically simplifies the crack geometry and the crustal structures, but can account for the interaction between elastic and viscous forces, hence it can compute the crack propagation velocity along a prescribed trajectory.

A few years ago, we teamed up, coming from these two different modelling schools, with the aim of merging our approaches in a single modelling scheme. Here we present a new modelling scheme, which computes the dynamic shape of a moving fluid-filled crack, built with the BE technique, in plane strain approximation (2D). Our model account for heterogeneous crustal stress and complex fracture propagation paths, and compute the crack shape considering the fluid viscosity and the crack propagation velocity. The crack velocity can be given as input to our model, or computed as output in the assumption that the main sources of energy dissipation are the brittle fracturing and the laminar viscous flow. We compare our model results with previous numerical models from the fracture dominated and viscous dominated schools, and present the implications of our findings with regards to some of the most important parameters characterising a magmatic intrusion, such as its volume, buoyancy and viscosity of magma, and rock fracture toughness. Eventually we show an application of the model to the rising of the dyke that fed the 1998 Piton de la Fournaise eruption (La Réunion Island).

How to cite: Maccaferri, F., Furst, S., and Pinel, V.: Modelling the shape of a growing fluid-filled crack and computing its propagation velocity: application to magmatic dykes., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4214, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4214, 2022.

EGU22-4677 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

A novel trans-dimensional inversion algorithm to model deformation sources with unconstrained shape in finite element domains 

Erica De Paolo, Nicola Piana Agostinetti, and Elisa Trasatti

Ground deformation signals, detected by geodetic instruments, can provide valuable insights on subsurface processes. The deformation field patterns, in fact, typically reflect characteristics of the buried source such as the position, depth, shape and volume variation. The increasing accuracy and spatio-temporal density of remote-sensing measurements allow us to map these patterns with unprecedented detail, highlighting the need to quantitatively investigate the processes at the origin. In active volcanic sites, in presence of deep pressurized reservoirs, e.g. magma chambers, the correct interpretation of geodetic signals is essential to define the hazard potential. Inverse modeling techniques are commonly employed for this goal, providing quantitative estimates of parameters describing the volcanic source. However, despite the robustness of the available approaches, a realistic imaging of reservoirs is still challenging. The widely used analytical models return quick but simplistic results, assuming an isotropic and elastic crust and forcing the solution to fit in pre-established geometric shapes. The use of inaccurate assumptions about the source shape can lead to the misinterpretation of other fundamental parameters, affecting the reliability of the solution. A more sophisticated analysis, accounting for the effects of topographic loads, crust inelasticity and the presence of structural discontinuities, requires the employment of numerical models, like those based on finite elements methods (FEM), but also a much higher computational effort. Here, we present a novel approach aimed at overcoming the aforementioned limitations. This method allow us to retrieve deformation sources without a-priori shape constraints, benefiting from the advantages of FEM simulations at a cost-efficient computing effort. We image the deformation source as an assembly of elementary units, each one represented by a cubic element of a regular FE mesh, loaded, in turn, with the six components of the stress tensor. The surface response to each stress component is computed and linearly combined to obtain the total displacement associated to the elementary source. This can be extended to a volume of multiple elements, approximating a deformation source of potentially any shape. Our direct tests prove that the sum of the responses associated to an assembly of solid units, loaded with an appropriate stress tensor, is numerically equivalent to the deformation fields produced by corresponding analytical and FEM cavities with uniform pressures applied at their boundaries. Our ability to simulate pressurized cavities in a continuum domain allow us to pre-compute a library of unitary surface responses, i.e., the Green’s function matrix, and to avoid complex re-meshing. We develop a Bayesian trans-dimensional inversion algorithm to select, scale and sum the displacements associated to each unit belonging to the assemblies that best fit the observations. In particular, we employ two sets of 3D Voronoi cells to sample the model domain, selecting the elementary units contributing to the source solution and the part belonging to the set representing the crust, which remains inactive. In this contribution, we present the original methodology and preliminary applications.

How to cite: De Paolo, E., Piana Agostinetti, N., and Trasatti, E.: A novel trans-dimensional inversion algorithm to model deformation sources with unconstrained shape in finite element domains, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4677, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4677, 2022.

When magma ascends through the shallow parts of terrestrial planetary crust, it deforms the surrounding host rocks. The deformation patterns observed at the surface offer indirect means to characterize the position, geometry and volume of subsurface magmatic intrusions. To enable real-time eruption forecasting during volcano unrest, most volcano geodetic models assume that magma intrusion induces linearly elastic deformation of homogeneous shallow planetary crust. Other indirect geophysical volcano monitoring data (e.g., seismology, gravimetry) however offer only limited opportunity for validating geodetic model results. Moreover, recent geological observations at exhumed volcano plumbing systems and geophysical observations of recent intrusion events have shown that plastic behaviour can dominate in heavily fractured and heterogeneous volcanic edifices and tectonically active areas. The question remains how large the effect of unaccounted plastic deformation could be on estimated intrusion characteristics.

Scaled laboratory experiments can be an innovative tool to assess by how much modelled magma intrusion characteristics – volume, geometry, position – deviate from reality in circumstances where plastic deformation processes are important. We used a tensile rectangular dislocation in a homogeneous, linearly elastic half-space to invert the three components of near-surface displacements extracted from X-ray Computed Tomography imagery of laboratory experiments of analogue dyke injection in cohesive mixtures of quartz sand and gypsum powder. The model results favored by the inversions are then compared to the three-dimensional characteristics of the analogue magma intrusions observed in the X-ray CT imagery. To further investigate the effect of more complex model geometry, we also used a tensile distributed-opening dislocation geometry. Preliminary results show that inversion results can be improved by fixing values of parameters that control the position of the modelled dislocation, but significant discrepancies remain between the modelled and observed intrusion geometry, orientation and volume. This test study helps gaining insight on the limitations of commonly used volcano geodetic modelling and inversion methods, and provides a novel basis for interpreting geological, geodetic and geophysical data related to volcanic deformation. The experimental results pave the way for developing complex forward models of magma-induced deformation in the heterogeneous shallow crust of terrestrial planets.

How to cite: Poppe, S., Wauthier, C., and Fontijn, K.: Elastic vs. plastic: Inversion of analogue magma-induced surface displacements in granular materials in laboratory experiments, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4902, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4902, 2022.

EGU22-5239 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

A conceptual model for the initiation of flank creep at Pacaya Volcano, Guatemala 

Judit Gonzalez Santana, Christelle Wauthier, and Michelle Burns

Magma emplacement is a recognized trigger of volcanic flank instability. There is also growing evidence for links between magmatic intrusions and accelerating creep on detachment faults within volcanic edifices. This driver was recently proposed at Pacaya, an active basaltic stratovolcano in Guatemala with evidence for past flank collapse, and magma-driven flank instability during major eruptions in 2010 and 2014. In order to understand the conditions under which flank creep can be initiated, sustained, or halted at active volcanoes, we investigate the links between flank creep and eruptive behavior at Pacaya and devise a conceptual model for the initiation of flank creep. Flank creep is quantified through time-series of surface displacements from 2007 to 2020 using seven Synthetic Aperture Radar datasets, and eruptive behavior is described through volcanic activity reports, ash advisories, thermal anomaly time-series, and lava flow maps. We identify large transient flank instabilities coincident with vigorous eruptions in 2010 and 2014, but not during times of similarly elevated activity in 2007 to 2009 and 2018 to 2020. Slower creep takes place during the relatively quiescent 2010 to 2014 and 2015 to 2018 intervals, following the 2010 and 2014 transient instability events. Our analysis suggests that during times of elevated volcanic unrest with persistent thermal anomalies and degassing, attributed to open-vent volcanism, as in 2007 to 2009 and 2018 to 2020, magma movements in an open conduit happen with little associated deformation and flank motion. Conversely, whenever new vents open outside the summit area, irrespective of whether this takes place at the start or during a transition in an eruption, transient flank creep can be initiated, as in 2010 and 2014. Therefore, the opening of new vents away from the main summit cone at Pacaya, especially in a north-northwest to south-southeast alignment, could forewarn an increased likelihood of new or accelerating flank creep.

How to cite: Gonzalez Santana, J., Wauthier, C., and Burns, M.: A conceptual model for the initiation of flank creep at Pacaya Volcano, Guatemala, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5239, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5239, 2022.

EGU22-5350 | Presentations | GMPV9.4 | Highlight

How studying solidified, exposed magma chambers helps to interpret volcano deformation and pre-eruptive unrest 

Steffi Burchardt, Emma Rhodes, Tobias Mattsson, Taylor Witcher, Tobias Schmiedel, Erika Ronchin, Sonja Greiner, Orlando Quintela, and Abigail C. Barker

The remnants of kilometre-sized solidified magma bodies exposed in volcanic areas are the product of magma accumulation beneath active volcanoes. These magma bodies can have formed over time spans ranging from months to hundreds of thousands of years, and some have triggered unrest and fed eruptions at the volcano surface. Here, we focus on melt-dominated magma bodies in the upper crust, which represents a sub-volcanic magma-storage level overlying a deeper, likely mush-dominated, igneous plumbing system. Based on several examples in eastern Iceland, we present field observations, structural analyses, 3D reconstructions, and petrological and fabric analyses that shed light on (1) the growth of magma chambers during single, fast, or multiple, long-term, magma injection events and (2) the deformation of the surrounding host rock as a result of different styles of magma emplacement. Moreover, we present evidence for syn-emplacement eruptions from one of the field examples.

We then discuss how field studies of solidified upper crustal magma chambers can inform the interpretation of volcanic unrest signals at active volcanoes. For instance, certain styles of magma emplacement create pronounced surface deformation and seismicity, while others may show initial seismicity that resembles dyke and/or sill emplacement but then allows for the emplacement of vast amounts of magma at shallow depth. This emplacement can likely happen without any significant surface deformation and with very little seismicity. Hence, solidified, exposed magma chambers that formed in the upper crust can provide valuable clues to improve eruption risk and volcano hazard assessment.

How to cite: Burchardt, S., Rhodes, E., Mattsson, T., Witcher, T., Schmiedel, T., Ronchin, E., Greiner, S., Quintela, O., and Barker, A. C.: How studying solidified, exposed magma chambers helps to interpret volcano deformation and pre-eruptive unrest, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5350, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5350, 2022.

EGU22-5634 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Energy budget during magma ascent: using viscous fluid-filled crack in laboratory models to investigate magmatic dike intrusions in natural settings 

Ayleen Gaete, Francesco Maccaferri, Eleonora Rivalta, and Nicola Alessandro Pino

Dikes play a significant role in transporting magma from the Earth's depth to the surface. Likewise, dikes constitute a network of intrusions connected to storage bodies that form the volcanic plumbing system promoting magma transport beneath and inside active volcanic centers, channeling its ascent during volcanic eruptions.

Characterizing the dike properties is critical for determining whether a dike will reach the surface and estimating the time it needs to do so. Increasing our understanding of diking could contribute to assessing the volcanic hazard.

We implement laboratory models by means of viscous-oil injections in solidified gelatin to study the dynamic properties of magmatic dikes propagating in the upper crust. We prepare gelatin at 1.5 wt.% gel and 15 wt.% salt to produce a host medium with lower resistance to fracturing and higher density that facilitates the propagation of viscous fluids. Salty gelatin is carefully prepared following a protocol that ensures the elastic properties remain consistent over all our experiments. We inject oils 1000 and 10000 times more viscous than water from the bottom of the gelatin tank. Injection volumes range from 10 to 50 ml. Such experimental setting ensures a correct scaling of magma buoyancy and viscosity to study dike dynamics. A camera facing the models follows the vertical trajectory of the dike. The second camera positioned above the models records the opening and width of the crack just before the eruption.

From camera data recorded for a large set of experiments, we constrain the propagation velocity for different dike volumes. We implemented these experiments to study fluid-filled crack velocity and velocity variations as a function of fluid volume, buoyancy, viscosity, and gelatin fracture toughness. We simulate the laboratory experiments using a numerical model for dike propagation to address fundamental questions about the total energy budget involved in the fluid-filled fracture propagation process. Here we present preliminary results concerning the energy budget, in particular, comparing the energy needed to extend the brittle fracture with respect to the energy dissipated by the viscous fluid motion and better characterizing the propagation regime of the experiments versus magmatic dikes.

We foresee the application of these models to caldera settings, focusing on Campi Flegrei, Italy.

How to cite: Gaete, A., Maccaferri, F., Rivalta, E., and Pino, N. A.: Energy budget during magma ascent: using viscous fluid-filled crack in laboratory models to investigate magmatic dike intrusions in natural settings, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5634, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5634, 2022.

EGU22-5637 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Numerical modelling of unrest signals at Mt. Ruapehu (New Zealand) 

Fee Arens, Joachim Gottsmann, Armando Coco, James Hickey, and Geoff Kilgour

The absence of precursory signals of recent eruptions at Mt. Ruapehu poses a problem for hazard assessment and risk mitigation at the popular Tongariro National Park. Ruapehu hosts an active hydrothermal system with volcanic unrest being driven by either migration of magma, hydrothermal fluids, or a combination of both. In our study, we develop a suite of 2D axisymmetric numerical models to study the detectability limit of precursory subsurface processes at Ruapehu to inform recommendations for monitoring protocols. In our models magmatic unrest (MU) results from pressurisation of a transcrustal elliptical mush zone due to the intrusion of juvenile magma which triggers a poroelastic response in the hydrothermal system. Hydrothermal unrest (HTU) is simulated by the injection of hot multicomponent and multiphase fluids (H2O and CO2) into Ruapehu’s hydrothermal system (HTS), where thermo-poroelastic responses are triggered. We simultaneously solve for ground displacement, self-potential (SP) anomalies and residual gravity changes resulting from the subsurface perturbations, with model parameterization adapted to Ruapehu. All models account for topography and subsurface mechanical and hydro-electric heterogeneities.

For a plausible reference parameter set, we find that geophysical observables are markedly distinct in their magnitude and wavelength in both magmatic and hydrothermal unrest scenarios. Most geophysical anomalies show their largest magnitudes directly above the hydrothermal system, with signals falling off rapidly with distance. At Ruapehu’s summit plateau (500 m from the HTS) vertical displacement amplitudes for MU simulations are 1.5 times smaller than maximum magnitudes of 1.2 cm for HTU simulations, with the latter being above conventical detection limits (1 cm in the vertical). Maximum residual gravity changes on the plateau are -4 μGal for HTU simulations and hence below detection levels of standard field observations, while for MU simulations with a source density change of 10 kg/m3 resulting signal magnitude is twice as high. Modelled SP anomalies are predicted to exceed conventional detection levels of 0.1 mV with typical SP signals for HTU simulations attaining maximal amplitudes of 1.3 mV, which are ~3 times larger than those resulting from MU simulations.

Parameter exploration shows that residual gravity changes for MU simulations are predominantly controlled by reservoir density changes, while SP polarity and magnitude strongly depends on the hydro-electric coupling coefficient for both unrest scenarios. Moreover, we find that the Biot-Willis coefficient (degree of poroelastic response) has the greatest influence on displacement amplitudes for HTU simulations, with negligible effect on displacement, SP and gravity changes resulting from MU simulations. Although gravity changes and displacements for reservoir strengths (volume/overpressure) > 7 km3/MPa are greater as for reference simulations, vertical displacement remains below detection levels. Magnitudes of all signals from HTU simulations correlate with fluid fluxes. Our interpretation of the findings is that magmatic unrest at Ruapehu should be identifiable by joint residual gravity and SP time series, whereas ground displacements >1 cm in the vertical and SP anomalies should be indicative of hydrothermal unrest.

How to cite: Arens, F., Gottsmann, J., Coco, A., Hickey, J., and Kilgour, G.: Numerical modelling of unrest signals at Mt. Ruapehu (New Zealand), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5637, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5637, 2022.

EGU22-6071 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Microseismicity reveals the fault geometry and internal structure of the re-inflating Bárðarbunga caldera 

Tom Winder, Nick Rawlinson, Bryndís Brandsdóttir, Kristín Jónsdóttir, and Robert S. White

Between August 2014 and February 2015 the subglacial Bárðarbunga caldera collapsed, subsiding more than 65 metres as magma flowed out from beneath it to feed a dike intrusion and fissure eruption at Holuhraun. Subsequently, the caldera has been re-inflating, likely indicating recharge of the crustal magma storage reservoir. Sustained seismicity along the caldera ring faults – but with reversed polarity compared to the eruption period – further indicates its ongoing resurgence1. Between June-August 2021 we installed an array of 6 seismometers on the ice cap above Bárðarbunga, to provide improved constraints on earthquake locations and focal mechanisms, and to improve ray coverage in the region beneath the caldera.

Tilt-tolerant Güralp Certimus sensors provided high-quality three-component recordings throughout the deployment, despite significant ice movement. We used QuakeMigrate2 – a powerful migration-based automatic earthquake detection and location algorithm – to produce a catalogue of more than 8,500 earthquakes during the two month deployment, with a magnitude of completeness of ML -0.8. These are dominantly composed of high-frequency volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes around the caldera margins. Waveform cross-correlation and relative-relocation reveals a sharply defined ring fault, which is consistent in geometry with geodetic constraints obtained during the deflation period in 2014-15. Tightly constrained focal mechanisms provide further insight into the geometry of the caldera-bounding fault system.

Low frequency earthquakes observed between 15 - 25 km depth b.s.l. in the normally ductile part of the crust below Bárðarbunga signify activity at the roots of the volcano, which may indicate fluid ascent pathways. Further long-period earthquakes in the centre of the caldera, at around 5 km b.s.l., possibly mark the location of the shallow magma storage reservoir. Precise manually picked phase arrival times will be inverted to produce a local body-wave tomography model of the internal structure of the volcano. Together with the seismicity, this will provide the first image of the magma plumbing system that feeds Bárðarbunga. It will furthermore provide constraints on the relative geometry of the caldera ring faults and magma reservoir that drained during the 2014-15 eruption and caldera collapse, and which is now re-inflating to drive the ongoing resurgence. These may be compared to laboratory and numerical models of caldera formation and faulting mechanisms to provide an improved general understanding of this important volcanic phenomenon.

 

1: Southern, E.O., Winder, T., White, R.S. and Brandsdóttir, B., 2021. Ring Fault Slip Reversal at Bárðarbunga Volcano, Iceland: Seismicity during Caldera Collapse and Re-Inflation 2014-2018. https://doi.org/ 10.1002/essoar.10510097.1

2: Winder, T., Bacon, C., Smith, J., Hudson, T., Greenfield, T. and White, R., 2020. QuakeMigrate: a Modular, Open-Source Python Package for Automatic Earthquake Detection and Location. https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10505850.1

How to cite: Winder, T., Rawlinson, N., Brandsdóttir, B., Jónsdóttir, K., and White, R. S.: Microseismicity reveals the fault geometry and internal structure of the re-inflating Bárðarbunga caldera, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6071, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6071, 2022.

EGU22-6194 | Presentations | GMPV9.4 | Highlight

Low-temperature thermal unrest and deformation at active volcanoes: The intriguing case of Domuyo and Taal calderas 

Társilo Girona, Paul Lundgren, Grace Bato, and Claire Puleio

Understanding the processes that govern the inter-eruptive dynamics of volcanic calderas (e.g., Campi Flegrei, Yellowstone) is crucial to detect unrest and better forecast their activity. This is an important concern to monitoring agencies because calderas may represent major hazards to modern societies, both at local and global scale. One of the most intriguing caldera-related phenomena is the so-called breathing, i.e., continuous inflation-deflation cycles on the order of up to 10s of centimeters per year and with characteristic periodicities ranging from a few years to decades. In this study, we explore the breathing activity of Domuyo volcano (Argentina), a dacitic-rhyolitic caldera in the Southern Andes whose most recent eruption occurred >10,000 years ago (Lundgren et al., 2020); and the recent breathing phase leading to the moderate (volcano explosivity index 3) eruption in January 2020 at Taal volcano (Philippines). In particular, we integrate geodetic data (retrieved from the synthetic aperture radar -SAR- sensors onboard ALOS, ALOS-2, Radarsat-2, and Sentinel-1 satellites) with a recently discovered observable found to emerge on active volcanoes during unrest (Girona et al., 2021): low-temperature (~1 K over ambient temperature), large-scale (up to 10s of km2), long-term ( 6 months/1 year) thermal anomalies (retrieved from the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometers -MODIS- onboard NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellites). Our analysis shows that geodetic and thermal unrest are significantly correlated, although the time series are phase shifted. To interpret these phase shifts and their implications, we develop a first-order, 1D numerical model based on mass, momentum, and energy conservation that couples the permeable flow of gases through the shallow crust, the viscoelastic deformation of the crust, the condensation of magmatic water vapor in the subsurface, and the diffusive transport of heat to the surface. Our preliminary results show that: (i) phase shifts between thermal and geodetic time series are controlled by detection limits, and by the coupling between magma reservoir processes and the transport of gas and heat through the crust; (ii) the pressure inside magma reservoirs can oscillate spontaneously during quiescent outgassing at the typical breathing timescales, thus suggesting that some geodetic and thermal unrest episodes are not necessarily associated to new magma inputs, but to the intrinsic dynamics of active magma reservoirs. This study has important implications for assessing volcanic hazards through improved eruption forecasting methods.

Girona, T., Realmuto, V. & Lundgren, P. Large-scale thermal unrest of volcanoes for years prior to eruption. Nat. Geosci. 14, 238–241 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00705-4.

Lundgren, P., Girona, T., Bato, M.G. et al. The dynamics of large silicic systems from satellite remote sensing observations: the intriguing case of Domuyo volcano, Argentina. Sci Rep 10, 11642 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-67982-8.

 

How to cite: Girona, T., Lundgren, P., Bato, G., and Puleio, C.: Low-temperature thermal unrest and deformation at active volcanoes: The intriguing case of Domuyo and Taal calderas, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6194, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6194, 2022.

EGU22-6487 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Linking surface Observables to sub-Volcanic plumbing-system:a multidisciplinary approach for Eruption forecasting at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy). 

Lucia Pappalardo, Stefano Caliro, Anna Tramelli, and Elisa Trasatti and the LOVE-CF team

The Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) is one of the most dangerous volcanoes in Europe and is currently in a new phase (started in 2000 and still ongoing) of the unrest that has persisted intermittently for several decades (main crises occurred in 1950-52, 70-72 and 82-84). The current activity has prompted the Italian Civil Protection to move the Campi Flegrei volcano from the first (“base” or “green”) to the second (“warning” or “yellow”) level of alert since the end of 2012.

The geophysical and geochemical changes accompanying the unrest stimulated a number of scientific investigations that resulted in a remarkable production of articles over the last decade. However, large uncertainties still persist on the architecture of the caldera plumbing system as well as on the nature of the subsurface processes driving the current (and previous) unrest.

LOVE-CF is a 4-years project started in October 2020 and funded by INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia), with the aim of improving our ability to forecast the behaviour of the Campi Flegrei caldera, through a multi-disciplinary approach based on a combination of volcanological, petrological, geochemical, seismological and geodetic observations, as well as experiments and numerical models. 

We present the project objectives and methods, and show obtained preliminary results. Particularly our investigation includes: 

  • a) the integration of structural, volcanological and petrological data from representative past eruptions with results of decompression experiments and numerical models of conduit dynamics and dyke propagation;
  • b) innovative geochemical (new redox gas species and CH4isotopes), minero- petrological (alteration products) and seismic (fumarolic tremor) measurements at the crucial “Solfatara-Pisciarelli” hydrothermal site as well as geochemical characterization of submarine emissions in the area of “Secca delle Fumose” in the Gulf of Pozzuoli which has been poorly-explored so far;
  • c) novel multi-dimensional statistical analysis of seismic, geochemical and geophysical records collected (both on land and offshore) in the last decades and in the recent period of unrest, constrained by geological observations and advanced numerical modelling;
  • d) comprehensive analysis of surface deformations from historical data (since 35 BC) to modern techniques (both in-situ and remote sensing), and related modelling to disclose the active plumbing system and the relationship among the different sources of deformation throughout the decades and centuries.

How to cite: Pappalardo, L., Caliro, S., Tramelli, A., and Trasatti, E. and the LOVE-CF team: Linking surface Observables to sub-Volcanic plumbing-system:a multidisciplinary approach for Eruption forecasting at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy)., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6487, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6487, 2022.

EGU22-7207 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Transport of mafic magma through the crust and  sedimentary basins: Jameson Land, East Greenland 

Christian Haug Eide, Nick Schofield, John Howell, and Dougal Jerram

Igneous sheet-complexes transport magma through the crust, but most studies have focused on single segments of the magma-transport-system or have low resolution. In the Jameson Land Basin in East Greenland, reflection-seismic data and extensive outcrops give unparalleled constraints on mafic intrusions down to 15 km. This dataset shows how sill-complexes develop and how magma is transported from the mantle through sedimentary basins. The feeder zone of the sill-complex is a narrow zone below basin, where a magmatic underplate body impinges on thinned crust. Magma was transported through the crystalline crust through dykes. Seismic data and published geochemistry indicate magma was supplied from a magmatic underplate, without perceptible storage in crustal magma-chambers and crustal assimilation. As magma entered the sedimentary basin, it formed distributed, bowl-shaped sill-complexes throughout the basin. Large magma volumes in sills (4-20 times larger than the Skaergaard Intrusion), and few dykes highlight the importance of sills in crustal magma-transport. On scales smaller than 0.2 km, host-rock lithology, and particularly mudstone tensile strength-anisotropy, controls sill-architecture in the upper 10km of the basin, whereas sills are bowl-shaped below the brittle-ductile transition zone. On scales of kilometres and towards basin margins, tectonic stresses and lateral lithological changes dominate architecture of sills.

How to cite: Eide, C. H., Schofield, N., Howell, J., and Jerram, D.: Transport of mafic magma through the crust and  sedimentary basins: Jameson Land, East Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7207, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7207, 2022.

EGU22-7614 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Faulting induced by underground magma migration: new insights from detailed field analysis (Campi Flegrei, Italy) 

Renato Diamanti, Giovanni Camanni, Jacopo Natale, and Stefano Vitale

Faulting triggered by magma migration at depth is a not-rare phenomenon in volcanic areas, where they can be found at very different scales. By analogue and numerical models, it has been shown that these types of faults can display a complex structure that often comprises an array of fault segments with both normal and reverse senses of movement. In this work, we analyzed in detail, and for the first time using field data, a fault array associated with the collapse induced by underground magma migration. The fault array crops out in cross-section within a recent volcanic succession in the Campi Flegrei caldera (southern Italy). Analyses focused on defining the spatial and temporal relationships between the normal and reverse fault segments of the fault array to provide insights into the process of collapse development. Based on geometric and displacement data, we propose that normal and reverse faults likely acted simultaneously to accommodate the collapse after a rapid phase of fault propagation.

How to cite: Diamanti, R., Camanni, G., Natale, J., and Vitale, S.: Faulting induced by underground magma migration: new insights from detailed field analysis (Campi Flegrei, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7614, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7614, 2022.

EGU22-7941 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Nested crater morphology, ring-structures and temperature anomalies detected by close-range photogrammetry and thermal remote sensing at Láscar volcano, Chile 

Lun Ai, Thomas Walter, Francesco Massimetti, Felipe Aguilera, Rene Mania, Martin Zimmer, Christian Kujawa, and Manuel Pizarro

Volcanic craters often develop in clusters and enclose smaller, subsidiary vents and ring structures. Details on the ongoing geomorphology and structural evolution, however, are commonly lacking for active volcanic craters due to difficult and hazardous access. Therefore, remote sensing based investigation at active volcanoes is providing unique data allowing entrance to inaccessible summit craters. Here we describe novel drone and satellite data collected at Láscar, the most active volcano in the central Andes. Láscar hosts five partially nested craters, the deepest crater of the eastern three persist active and was the site of numerous violent explosions in the past decades. Using a Pleiades tri-stereo satellite dataset, we constructed a 1-m resolution digital terrain model (DTM) and orthomap that we used to identify subtle structures and morphologies of the eastern three nested craters. However, due to the shadow effect caused by the deep concave shape of the active crater, its geometry remains unclear. We complement this analysis by unoccupied aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys in 2017 and 2020 by employing both an optical and a thermal imaging camera. We systematically mapped the entire crater field and could also fly into the deep active crater to acquire close range images. We applied the Structure-from-Motion (SfM) method that enables us to create centimeter-scale DTMs, optical and thermal orthomosaics. Using this data-set we create an inventory of fumaroles and thermal anomalies. By calculating the difference of the 2017 and 2020 data, we quantify the spatial and volumetric changes that occurred during the observation period. We find changes mostly concentrated at the crater floor, material accumulation, thermal anomalies changing, as well as localized rock falls into the crater. We note that highest temperature anomalies are restricted by the central circular structure at the crater floor, consistent with the location of a thermal anomaly episode that peaked in late 2018, possibly representing the surface expression of the underlying conduit. Thus, by linking the satellite and drone data we derive important morphological, thermal and structural information and discuss the crater morphology and characteristics of episodic unrest phases at Láscar.

How to cite: Ai, L., Walter, T., Massimetti, F., Aguilera, F., Mania, R., Zimmer, M., Kujawa, C., and Pizarro, M.: Nested crater morphology, ring-structures and temperature anomalies detected by close-range photogrammetry and thermal remote sensing at Láscar volcano, Chile, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7941, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7941, 2022.

EGU22-8020 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

A global statistical study on the triggering of volcanic eruptions by large tectonic earthquakes 

Alex Jenkins, Alison Rust, and Juliet Biggs

Recent studies have shown that large tectonic earthquakes are capable of triggering volcanic eruptions (i.e. increasing the number of eruptions within a defined time period) up to hundreds of kilometres away. However, the prevalence of eruption triggering is less clear, with findings ranging from little evidence for triggered eruptions, to a fourfold increase in the number of eruptions following nearby large earthquakes. Some of this variability is likely due to differences in definitions of what constitutes a triggered volcanic eruption, including a lack of consensus on the maximum distance and time lag between an earthquake and a triggered volcanic eruption, the minimum magnitude of earthquake considered, and how aftershocks are incorporated into the analysis. A further source of variability arises from the different datasets used, including regional versus global studies, and the inclusion of incomplete earthquake and eruption records from before the modern instrumental era. To help address these issues, we provide a comprehensive statistical study of how large earthquakes affect volcanic eruption rates, using complete and unbiased global datasets spanning 1960-2021. We take a systematic approach to investigating how parameters such as the maximum distance and time lag between earthquake-eruption pairs, the minimum earthquake magnitude considered, and the declustering of aftershocks affects the results. We also investigate how previously unstudied earthquake parameters such as source depth and mechanism affect the prevalence of eruption triggering. Our results are placed in statistical context through the use of Monte Carlo simulations using randomised earthquake and eruption catalogues. Preliminary results indicate that, contrary to a previous focus on large subduction megathrust earthquakes, deep normal faulting earthquakes have the greatest eruption triggering tendency. However, when compared with randomised earthquake and eruption catalogues, the overall statistical significance of observed eruption triggering is fairly low.

How to cite: Jenkins, A., Rust, A., and Biggs, J.: A global statistical study on the triggering of volcanic eruptions by large tectonic earthquakes, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8020, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8020, 2022.

EGU22-8341 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Shoreline-crossing geomorphology of instable volcanic islands from a quantitative DEM analysis 

Elisa Klein, Morelia Urlaub, and Sebastian Krastel

Volcanic islands are known to be a source of many natural hazards associated with active volcanism. The processes leading to the instability of their flanks, however are less well understood. The movement of an instable volcanic flank occurs in either or both of two ways; slow sliding of several cm per year (i.e. Etna, Italy) and/or the catastrophic collapse of a large portion of the edifice (i.e. Anak Krakatau, Indonesia). The conditions and precursors leading to such events are often unknown.

The limited availability of high-resolution bathymetry data especially at the coast is often restricting the quantitative geomorphological investigation to the subaerial part of the volcanic island. It is essential, however, to include the entire volcanic edifice as instability affects the volcano from summit to seafloor. In this study, we test whether and in which way, the morphology of the volcanic edifice affects its instability.

We therefore combine openly available high-resolution bathymetric and topographic grids (50-150m grid spacing) to create shoreline-crossing DEMs of more than 25 volcanic islands in four areas (archipelagos of Hawaii, Canaries, Mariana Islands and South Sandwich Islands). Additionally, we define sections of equal angle (flanks) with the summit as the central point. Morphological parameters, such as area, volume, height from seafloor, slope etc. of both the entire volcano and each of the 8 flanks, respectively are derived from the DEM grids and inserted into a database. The statistical analysis of this data combined with the history of flank failure will shed light on the influence the morphology of a volcanic island has on its instability. This will lead to a better understanding of the processes involved in the movement of instable volcanic flanks.

How to cite: Klein, E., Urlaub, M., and Krastel, S.: Shoreline-crossing geomorphology of instable volcanic islands from a quantitative DEM analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8341, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8341, 2022.

Late Proterozoic to Early Palaeozoic metavolcano-sedimentary successions are important components of the Variscan massifs of Europe. Felsic and mafic metavolcanic rocks with Cambro-Ordovician protolith ages also occurs in the Staré Město Belt (SMB) in the Central Sudetes (Czech Republic, Poland) (e.g. Kröner et al. 2000). The SMB is the NNW-trending fold-and-thrust belt that forms the eastern margin of the Saxothuringian Zone of the Bohemian Massif. To constrain timing and geodynamic setting of the volcanism recorded in that part of the Saxothuringia, the whole rock geochemistry, zircon trace element geochemistry and U-Pb zircon geochronology of metabasalts, metagabbros and acid metavolcanites of the SMB were carried out.

Field and petrographic studies show that bimodal association in the SMB is mainly expressed by alternating layers of fine-grained amphibolites composed of Amp, Pl and Px and fine- and medium-grained acid metavolcanites composed of Qz, Pl, Kfs, Grt, Bt and Ms. Such close relationships between felsic and mafic meta-volcanic rocks suggest their common origin. Whole-rock geochemistry data suggest, however, a diversity both in the chemical composition and tectonic environments of formation of their igneous protoliths. Magmatic precursors of the amphibolites were tholeiitic and calc-alkaline basalts, andesitic basalts and andesites that were derived either from MORB, BABB, volcanic arc or within-plate magmas. The acid metavolcanites originated from rhyolites and dacites belonging to tholeiite, calc and calc-alkaline series. Geotectonic diagrams suggest that the felsic magmas were formed most likely in island arc or continental arc environments.

New LA-ICPMS zircon dating of two metadetrital rocks of the SMB revealed the predominance of Neoproterozoic-Cambrian and Palaeoproterozoic age clusters, characteristic for rocks of the Saxothuringian Zone. Zircon dating of four samples of acid metavolcanites, two samples of metabasalts and one sample of metagabbro confirmed that their igneous protoliths crystalized at the same time, at ca. 495-500 Ma. Trace elements in zircons were analyzed in all metavolcanic samples. Range of values of Nb/Yb = 0.001-0.1, U/Yb = 0.1-10 and Y = 25-6993 ppm are observed in both types of rocks and together indicate a contribution of continental crust in the SMB volcanites. Their values plotted on geotectonic classification diagrams of Grimes et al. (2015) suggest a continental arc setting for the whole Late Cambrian bimodal volcanism in the easternmost part of the Saxothuringian Zone.

The research was financed from the grant of the National Science Center, Poland No. 2018/29/B/ST10/01120.

 

References:

Grimes, C.B., Wooden, J.L., Cheadle, M.J., John, B.E., 2015.  “Fingerprinting” tectono-magmatic provenance using trace elements in igneous zircon. Contrib Mineral Petrol 170, 46.

Kröner, A., Štipská, P., Schulmann, K., Jaeckel, P., 2000. Chronological constraints on the pre-Variscan evolution of the northeastern margin of the Bohemian Massif, Czech Republic. In: Franke, W., Haak, V., Oncken, O., Tanner, D. (Eds.), Orogenic Processes: Quantification and Modelling in the Variscan Belt. Geological Society, London, Special Publications 179, pp. 175–197.

How to cite: Śliwiński, M., Jastrzębski, M., Machowiak, K., and Sláma, J.: Age and geotectonic setting of metavolcanic rocks in the eastern Saxothuringian margin: whole rock geochemistry, zircon trace element geochemistry and U-Pb geochronology of the Staré Město Belt (Czech Republic, Poland), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8363, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8363, 2022.

EGU22-8478 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

New age constraints for Early Palaeozoic volcanism and sedimentation of the Kaczawa Complex, the Sudetes (SW Poland) 

Mirosław Jastrzębski, Katarzyna Machowiak, Marek Śliwiński, and Jiří Sláma

In Variscan Europe, bimodal magmatism related to Early Palaeozoic thermal event in the northern part of Gondwana has been widely documented in rock successions extending from Spain to Poland (e.g. Franke et al. 2017). The Kaczawa Complex, the SW Poland, contains Early Palaeozoic felsic, intermediate to basic volcanic rocks, and Cambrian to Early Carboniferous sediments all involved in complex processes of the Variscan collision(s). This contribution provides new LA-ICPMS UP zircon data that specify the age and provenance of some important rocks occupying the lower part of the stratigraphic column of the Kaczawa Complex: 1) Osełka metarhyodacytes, 2) Lubrza metatrachytes, 3) Radzimowice slates and 4) Gackowa metasandstones.

The U-Pb dating of zircons coming from the Osełka metarhyodacites yields a crystallization age of 500±5 Ma, while the zircon dating of the Lubrza metatrachytes yields the Concordia age of 495±3 Ma. These data confirm the early Palaeozoic age of the volcanism of the Kaczawa Complex (e.g. Muszyński, 1994; Kryza et al. 2007), but they strongly suggest a single event of the bimodal volcanic activity. An inherited age component of c. 630 Ma is present in the Lubrza metatrachytes. The zircon dating of the accompanied metasedimentary rocks i.e. two samples of Radzimowice slates and one sample of the Gackowa metasandstones yields comparable detrital age spectra. The maximum depositional ages of these rocks are ca. 535 Ma. The Radzimowice and Gackowa metasedimentary rocks show the predominance of Neoproterozoic age zircons clustering around 580-605 Ma, 630-640 Ma and 730-770 Ma, which indicates that the sedimentary basins were mainly supplied by erosion of crystalline rocks of Ediacaran up to Tonian age. Paleoproterozoic and Archean components (1.7 Ga, 2.0-2.1 Ga and 2.9-3.0 Ga) are less common.

All these data show that rocks from the lower part of the lithostratigraphic column of the Kaczawa Complex represent the Late Cambrian metavolcano-sedimentary successions. The detrital zircon age spectra indicate that the source areas for the Kaczawa Complex metapelites may have been in the West Africa Craton of Gondwana.

The research was financed from the grant of the National Science Center, Poland No. 2018/29/B/ST10/01120.

 

References:

Franke, W., Cocks, L. R. M., Torsvik, T. H. 2017. The Palaeozoic Variscan oceans revisited. Gondwana Research 48, 257–284.

Kryza R., J.A. Zalasiewicz, S. Mazur, P. Aleksandrowski, S. Sergeev, S. Presnyakov, 2007. Early Palaeozoic initial-rift volcanism in the Central European Variscides (the Kaczawa Mountains, Sudetes, SW Poland): evidence from SIMS dating of zircons. Journal of the Geological Society, London 164, 207-1215

Muszyński A., 1994. Kwaśne skały metawukanogeniczne w środkowej części Gór Kaczawskich: studium petrologiczne. Wyd. Nauk. UAM., seria geologia, Nr 15: 144 pp

 

How to cite: Jastrzębski, M., Machowiak, K., Śliwiński, M., and Sláma, J.: New age constraints for Early Palaeozoic volcanism and sedimentation of the Kaczawa Complex, the Sudetes (SW Poland), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8478, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8478, 2022.

EGU22-9024 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Joint analysis of GNSS and seismic data to track magma transport at Piton de la Fournaise volcano (La Réunion, France) 

Cyril Journeau, Aline Peltier, Nikolai Shapiro, François Beauducel, Valérie Ferrazzini, Zacharie Duputel, and Benoit Taisne

Geophysical measurements from the networks of instruments maintained by volcano observatories for several decades provide a large database that is rich in information concerning magma transport from deep storage zones to its shallow propagation before eruptions. In this study, we analyze multi-year time series of GNSS and seismic data acquired at Piton de la Fournaise (PdF) volcano (La Réunion, France) from 2014 up to now. These observations are sensitive to the dynamics of the magma within the volcanic system and their detailed study allows us to better apprehend its behavior both during pre-eruptive periods, by informing us about the preparation phases before an eruption and also during co-eruptive periods, by following the eruptions time-evolution and the corresponding dynamics.

We propose to scan continuously GNSS data by inverting them in time windows ranging from minutes to days using a point compound dislocation model (pCDM). This approach provides analytical expressions for surface displacements due to a complex source of deformation with variable geometry to model different shapes such as dikes, prolate ellipsoids, or pipes. As a result, we image a deep reservoir around 7-8 km below the PdF summit, as well as, in some cases, the upward magma migration dynamics in the crust over several days toward a shallow reservoir at sea level and the final dyke propagation over a few hours that ultimately feeds the eruptive site.

These observations are systematically compared to seismic data over the same time period and are jointly interpreted. We use both the seismicity catalog of "regular" volcano-tectonic events as well as the results of cross-correlations network-based methods obtained with the CovSeisNet package allowing the detection of “un-regular” signals and the location of their sources, such as micro-seismicity generated during dyke propagation, and long-period seismicity (tremor and LP events).

The joint use of information from geodetic and seismic networks constitutes an important step in improving our knowledge of volcanic systems. While the analysis of GNSS network data enables the imaging of active pressure-sources in the system with an estimation of the volumes of involved magma, the seismic network analysis allows for a more detailed view of the magma dynamics in the volcanic edifice.

How to cite: Journeau, C., Peltier, A., Shapiro, N., Beauducel, F., Ferrazzini, V., Duputel, Z., and Taisne, B.: Joint analysis of GNSS and seismic data to track magma transport at Piton de la Fournaise volcano (La Réunion, France), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9024, 2022.

EGU22-9033 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Thermo-mechanical effects of dyke host rocks in response to turbulent magma flow 

Rahul Patel, D Srinivasa Sarma, and Aurovinda Panda

We study the thermal erosion and mechanical fragmentation of dyke host rocks using a thermodynamical and fluid-mechanical approach. It is inferred that the latent heat of magma mainly causes the thermal damage of dyke host rocks and encourages thermal erosion. The application of fluid-dynamical shear stress on the dyke walls induced by turbulence magma flow results in mechanical fragmentation., We calculated the Reynolds number to confirm these findings to decipher the nature of magma flow through the dykes. The estimated Reynolds number for 30 dykes is in excess of 2000 suggesting that magma ascends turbulently through the dykes. The turbulence of magma flow provides additional energy to derive thermal erosion and mechanical fragmentation.  In order to better understand the thermo-mechanical effect of dyke host rocks, we used the mass conservation principle. Equations for mass conservations are derived to better explain the complex interactions between magma and host rock. Heat transfer, magma flow rate, magma flow velocity, and host rock melting are calculated. The presence of xenoliths in the dykes is primary evidence that the dykes have been mechanically fragmented. We present an integrodifferential equation to understand the kinematic of mechanical fragmentation and size of xenoliths varies due to secondary Collison within a dyke. Presented results are useful to understand the nature of magma, dyke host rock melting, and magma evolution.

Key words: Thermal erosion, mechanical fragmentation, turbulent magma flow, dykes

How to cite: Patel, R., Sarma, D. S., and Panda, A.: Thermo-mechanical effects of dyke host rocks in response to turbulent magma flow, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9033, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9033, 2022.

EGU22-9059 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Likely ring-fault activation at Askja caldera (Iceland) during the 2021 unrest 

Adriano Nobile, Hannes Vasyura-Bathke, Reier Viltres, Daniele Trippanera, Benedikt Gunnar Ófeigsson, Joël Ruch, and Sigurjón Jónsson

The Askja volcanic system, located in the North Volcanic Zone of Iceland, consists of a central volcano with three nested calderas (Kollur, Askja, and Öskjuvatn) and a 20 km wide and ~190 km long fissure swarm with a NNE-SSW trend. Kollur caldera is ~5 km wide and formed in the Pleistocene while the younger 8-km wide Askja caldera, the largest among the three, formed in the Holocene. The smaller (~4 km) and lake-filled Öskjuvatn caldera is located within the Askja caldera and formed following the 1875 Plinian eruption. This event was followed by several localized eruptions along the Öskjuvatn ring fault system (1921, 1922, and 1929) and the last eruption occurred in 1961 in correspondence with the Askja northern caldera border. After this eruption, the Askja caldera first underwent inflation for several years followed by slow (< 1 cm/yr) subsidence over decades. In early August 2021, the volcano entered a period of unrest with new earthquake activity located below the central volcano, and the GNSS station OLAC, located near the center of Askja caldera, started to uplift at a high rate (~3 cm/week). The uplift continued until the end of November 2021. Here we use SAR images acquired from four different orbits (two ascending and two descending) by the Sentinel-1 satellites to study the ground deformation during this unrest period. Only data from the first half of the unrest period could be used (until the end of September). Later, heavy snow resulted in the loss of interferometric coherence within the caldera, preventing retrieval of the deformation signal. The maximum ground displacement of ~10 cm (from the end of July to the end of September) was found at the center of the Askja caldera, near the western shore of Öskjuvatn Lake. Interestingly, the interferograms show an asymmetric deformation pattern that follows the ring faults in the northwestern part of Askja caldera. Analytical models suggest that a roughly 7 x 3 km2 NW-SE elongated sill inflated at a shallow depth of ~2 km below the Askja caldera. However, simple sill models cannot explain the asymmetrical deformation pattern observed in the InSAR data. Therefore, using boundary element modeling, we find that while the magmatic intrusion accounts for the broad uplift, possible ring-fault activity would localize the deformation close to the caldera rim. Furthermore, an elongated sill, like the one obtained from the first source estimation, would probably activate only a part of the ring-fault system, leading to an asymmetric deformation pattern.

How to cite: Nobile, A., Vasyura-Bathke, H., Viltres, R., Trippanera, D., Gunnar Ófeigsson, B., Ruch, J., and Jónsson, S.: Likely ring-fault activation at Askja caldera (Iceland) during the 2021 unrest, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9059, 2022.

EGU22-9161 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Enrichment of immobile elements in synmagmatic fractures 

Taylor Witcher, Steffi Burchardt, Michael Heap, Alexandra Kushnir, Anne Pluymakers, Tobias Schmiedel, Iain Pitcairn, Tobias Mattsson, Pim Kaskes, Philippe Claeys, Shaun Barker, and Johan Lissenberg

Useful minerals containing rare Earth elements (REE) and metals are sourced from magma bodies, but exactly how these elements initially leave the magma is not well known. Here we present textural and chemical analyses of mineral-filled fracture bands within the rhyolitic Sandfell laccolith exposed in eastern Iceland. The fracture fillings showcase dynamic and complex textures and imply multiple energy levels during precipitation. The dominant mineral phases are Fe- and Mg-oxides, Mn carbonate, and La/Ce oxide. The textures they present are comb, laminate, radial, and a rounded reworked clastic texture filling the tips. Microtomography images of hand-samples show the fractures are stretched-penny shaped, and contain 80 vol% fillings and 20 vol% void space. The connectivity of fractures within one band is limited to 1-3 neighbours, via small oblique fractures joining two main fractures together. µXRF measurements revealed distinct halos of 0.8 wt% Fe depletion surrounding each facture, and within the fracture-fill a strong enrichment in an unusual suite of elements including Fe, Mn, Cl, Zn, Cr, Y, Ce, and La. This assemblage is puzzling, as many of these elements are typically carried by fluids which have strong alteration effects on the surrounding rock, and there is a lack of this kind of alteration at Sandfell. Our working hypothesis is that the formation of the fractures provided a degassing pathway through the impermeable magma. However, the nature and the composition of the magmatic volatiles are as yet unknown. The minimal connectivity between fractures (at hand-sample scale) suggests fluid would have travelled through the length of one to three fractures until intersecting with another fracture band system, and minerals precipitated along the way. Given the ubiquitous occurrence of the fracture bands within the laccolith, this small-scale process compounds into large amounts of mass transfer overall. The fractures at Sandfell may be a snapshot of the initial process of removing incompatible elements from silicic magma.

How to cite: Witcher, T., Burchardt, S., Heap, M., Kushnir, A., Pluymakers, A., Schmiedel, T., Pitcairn, I., Mattsson, T., Kaskes, P., Claeys, P., Barker, S., and Lissenberg, J.: Enrichment of immobile elements in synmagmatic fractures, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9161, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9161, 2022.

EGU22-9381 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Deformation observations and geodetic modelling during the recent unrest at Askja volcano 

Michelle Parks, Benedikt Ófeigsson, Vincent Drouin, Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Andrew Hooper, Halldór Geirsson, Sigrún Hreinsdóttir, Hildur Friðriksdóttir, Erik Sturkell, Ásta Hjartadóttir, Chiara Lanzi, Siqi Li, Sara Barsotti, and Bergrún Óladóttir

At the beginning of August 2021, inflation was detected at Askja volcano, on a continuous GNSS station located to the west of Öskjuvatn and on interferograms generated using data from four separate Sentinel-1 tracks. Ground deformation measurements at Askja commenced in 1966 with levelling observations and since this time additional ground monitoring techniques have been employed, including GNSS and Satellite interferometry (InSAR) to detect long-term changes. Ground levelling measurements undertaken between 1966-1972 revealed alternating periods of deflation and inflation. Measurements from 1983-2020 detailed persistent subsidence of the Askja caldera, initially at an inferred rate of 7 cm/yr, decaying in an exponential manner. Suggested explanations for the long-term subsidence include magma cooling and contraction, or withdrawal of magma – eventually facilitated by an extensive magma-rich plumbing system, with an open conduit between the uppermost and the deeper parts of the magmatic system. This presentation will focus on the recent period of uplift and provide an overview of the GNSS and InSAR observations to date and present the latest geodetic modelling results which describe the best-fit source for the observed deformation.

How to cite: Parks, M., Ófeigsson, B., Drouin, V., Sigmundsson, F., Hooper, A., Geirsson, H., Hreinsdóttir, S., Friðriksdóttir, H., Sturkell, E., Hjartadóttir, Á., Lanzi, C., Li, S., Barsotti, S., and Óladóttir, B.: Deformation observations and geodetic modelling during the recent unrest at Askja volcano, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9381, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9381, 2022.

EGU22-9479 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Current crustal movement in the East Eifel Volcanic Field – anthropogenic or volcanic? 

Michael Frietsch, Lidong Bie, Joachim Ritter, Andreas Rietbrock, and Bernd Schmitt

Monitoring crustal movements is essential to volcanic hazard assessment in areas of active volcanism. These surface movements occur on a wide range of time scales and wavelengths. However, the origin of crustal movements is not always associated with volcanic activities, particularly in areas with rigorous human activities (i.e., ground water extraction). It is challenging yet critical to distinguish between the ongoing volcanic and anthropogenic activities. In this study, we focus on the East Eifel Volcanic Field, which consists of multiple active Quaternary volcanoes. We report areas of uplift and subsidence 2-3 km away from each other near the Laacher See volcanic crater (2-3 km distance), and investigate the mechanisms responsible for the reversed deformation in such close proximity.

PS-InSAR measurements by the BodenBewegungsdienst Deutschland (BBD) show notable ground displacements in this area for the period between 2014 and 2019. The deformation is clearly mapped by three different tracks of the Sentinel-1 satellite – two ascending and one descending, which confirms the robustness of the signal being detected by PS-InSAR. The main deformation is round in shape, and the rates peak up to 10 mm per year in line-of-sight (LOS) for the uplift area near the village Glees and reach down to -4 mm LOS for the subsidence zone in the vicinity of the village Wehr. To investigate the likely mechanism responsible for the ground displacements, we model the crustal movements with two spherical pressure point sources (i.e., the Mogi sources) simultaneously using a combined global and local optimization scheme. In the inversion, we search for the optimal combinations for a set of four parameters (latitude, longitude, depth and volume) for each Mogi source. The global optimization is achieved by Multi-Level Single-Linkage algorithm and we use the PRAXIS algorithm to find the local minimum. We include all three tracks of data, of which the different satellite viewing geometries help stabilize the inversion.

Our results show that the uplift trend in Glees can be explained by an additional volume of 13000 m³ per year at 530 m depth. The subsidence near Wehr can be best fitted by a decrease in volume of 1700 m³ per year at 340 m depth. The modelling results show a trade-off between depth and volume, however, the uncertainties are smaller for the subsidence source near Wehr. Residuals trending in SW-NE direction are observed at the Glees uplift area, and the relatively large parameter uncertainties for Glees uplift zone are likely due to sparse persistent scatters there. Given the shallow depth of the Mogi sources, we interpret the Glees uplift being predominantly associated with fluid refilling in the respective volume caused by former CO2 extraction. The subsidence around Wehr is linked to ongoing industrial CO2 extraction. Our study identifies anthropogenic factors that may cause ground deformation in an active volcanic region, and has implications for future volcanic hazard assessment.

How to cite: Frietsch, M., Bie, L., Ritter, J., Rietbrock, A., and Schmitt, B.: Current crustal movement in the East Eifel Volcanic Field – anthropogenic or volcanic?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9479, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9479, 2022.

The location and volume change of pressurized magma chambers can be constrained by inverse modelling of the surface displacements they cause. Through a joint inversion of surface displacements and gravity changes the chamber mass change during the pressurization period can also be inferred. Such inversions often start with constraining the deformation source parameters using the deformation data alone (step 1). Using these parameters the gravity data are then corrected for the effect of mass redistribution in the host rocks and surface uplift/subsidence associated with the chamber expansion (step 2). Next, the corrected gravity changes together with the source location from the deformation inversion are used to infer the intrusion mass (step 3). Provided that the intrusion compressibility is known, the intrusion density can be estimated from the intrusion mass and source volume change from step 1 and step 3, respectively (step 4).

We show that the original gravity data (only corrected for ambient effects) are directly related to the deformation source parameters through the deformation-induced gravity changes and the free-air effect. Thus, both of these effects, which have been mostly considered as nuisance, in fact can be harvested to provide better constraints on the deformation source parameters and the mass changes. We propose a Bayesian framework for the joint inversion of deformation and gravity data by which all the deformation source parameters and chamber mass change are constrained simultaneously. This way, steps 1 to 3 of the previous approach are carried out at once. The advantages of the suggested approach are: (a) this way the gravity data help constrain deformation source parameters with smaller uncertainties, (b) it leads to a smaller uncertainty for the inferred mass change, (c) the optimal relative weights of various deformation and gravity datasets can be estimated as hyper-parameters within the Bayesian inference, thus, they are estimated directly and in an objective way, (c) the gravity and deformation stations need not be co-located, (d) errors associated with interpolation of vertical displacements at gravity benchmarks are avoided, (e) the uncertainty of vertical displacements is no longer propagated into the reduced gravity changes, and thus, mass changes are estimated more accurately.  

We apply this approach to the deformation and gravity data associated with the 1982-1999 inflation period at Long Valley caldera. The results agree with those from earlier efforts; however, show a clear improvement in the constrained source parameters and the intrusion mass. We discuss the implications and benefits of this approach depending on the relative quality of the deformation and gravity data.

How to cite: Nikkhoo, M. and Rivalta, E.: A new framework for simultaneous inversions of deformation and gravity data applied to the 1982-1999 inflation at the Long Valley caldera, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9620, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9620, 2022.

EGU22-10225 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Bimodal maar volcanism in a post-collisional extensional regime: A case study of Acıgöl (Nevşehir) volcanic field (central Anatolia, Turkey) 

Göksu Uslular, Gonca Gençalioğlu-Kuşcu, Joël Ruch, Matteo Lupi, Oliver Higgins, Florence Bégué, and Luca Caricchi

The crustal structure is one of the fundamental factors that affects the type, composition, and spatial distribution of monogenetic volcanoes. The formation of maars, the second-most common type of monogenetic volcanoes, is mainly influenced by crustal lithologies, depth of explosions, and water-magma interactions together with magma rheology and tectonic structures. The Acıgöl caldera, located in the extensional setting of the central Anatolian plateau, contains both felsic and mafic maars. This rare compositional juxtaposition makes it a suitable location to better understand the relationship between magma chemistry and maar architecture. It includes closely spaced yet compositionally different monogenetic complexes (i.e., maars with either lava dome or scoria cone) and provides a fabulous opportunity to elucidate the role of crustal processes in the eruptional dynamics of maars.

Here we present an integrative study with detailed morphological (drone mapping), depositional (componentry, ash morphology), and petrological (whole-rock, glass, and mineral geochemistry) characteristics of rhyolitic (whole-rock; ~76.7 wt.% SiO2, glass; ~77.2 wt.% SiO2) İnallı, Kalecitepe, Acıgöl, and Korudağ maars, and mugearitic (~52.7 wt.% SiO2) İcik maar. Our observations show a wide range of morphological features with spectacular examples of nested and compound craters. Field observations, together with the detailed stratigraphical analysis and literature-based geochronological data, reveal that the formations of maars and the subsequent lava domes or scoria cones are spatially migrating events within the same magmatic episode. We hence relate this to the rejuvenation of conduits, along with the pre-existing structures of the Acıgöl caldera that are almost perpendicular to the local extensional direction (NE-SW).

Non-modal batch melting models reveal that all investigated maars have a similar parental magma source (i.e., the most primitive basalt in central Anatolia with the Mg# of 72.4). This is formed by partial melting of a metasomatized lithospheric mantle with contribution from an OIB-like asthenospheric melt. The uprising magma that also produced the entire Quaternary volcanics in central Anatolia was possibly trapped at different crustal depths beneath the Acıgöl caldera and formed the maars with various degrees of magmatic differentiation processes. We conclude that İcik maar emanated from a relatively deep (lower crustal?) mantle-derived magma source evolved by assimilation and fractional crystallization processes. In contrast, the felsic maars were presumably formed by the short-lived ponding of the same magma source at shallower depths, which was partially assimilated by the basement intrusive rocks and dominantly shaped by the feldspar-driven fractional crystallization. Finally, the well-exposed examples of felsic maars in the study area and their comparison with the mafic counterparts could be a good contribution to the ever-growing literature on maar volcanism.

How to cite: Uslular, G., Gençalioğlu-Kuşcu, G., Ruch, J., Lupi, M., Higgins, O., Bégué, F., and Caricchi, L.: Bimodal maar volcanism in a post-collisional extensional regime: A case study of Acıgöl (Nevşehir) volcanic field (central Anatolia, Turkey), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10225, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10225, 2022.

Volcanic eruptions present serious risk to human life and infrastructure. This risk can be minimized by improving eruption forecasts, which in turn requires increasing our capabilities to detect volcanic unrest and a better understanding of the physicochemical processes governing magma-hydrothermal interactions. The improvement of eruption forecasting techniques is especially important as some volcanic eruptions can occur with little to no precursory warning signs. That was the case of the most recent eruption at Okmok caldera, which took place in 2008 between July 12 – August 23, with a volcanic explosivity index of 4. This eruption highlighted the need to develop new methods to detect precursory activity and unrest.

Recently, through the analysis of satellite-based thermal spectroscopy data from MODIS instruments, Girona et al. (2021) found that low-temperature thermal anomalies along the flanks of volcanoes can predate their eruptions. In this work, we use an updated version of the method presented in Girona et al. (2021) to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of low-temperature thermal anomalies at Okmok Caldera between July of 2002 and November of 2021. Preliminary analysis shows ~1-1.3 degrees of warming at Cone A in the ~3 years leading up to the 2008 eruption. This analysis also shows a warming trend in the caldera at several cones (D, E, A, and Ahmanilix), peaking in 2014, with brightness temperatures increasing by ~1-1.4 degrees for ~2 years (correlating with an observed inflation event); along with current warming at the same cones of ~0.8-1.2 degrees beginning in ~2017.

We propose that the low-temperature thermal anomalies observed at different cones of Okmok caldera are linked to the latent heat released during the condensation of magmatic and/or hydrothermal water vapor in the subsurface. In particular, we design a 1-dimensional thermal diffusion model to quantify how long it will take for the surface ground temperature to increase by one kelvin in response to the subsurface condensation of water vapor. Our preliminary analysis shows that, for realistic values of the parameters involved, the surface requires ~3.3 years to increase its temperature by one kelvin in response to a diffuse H2O flux of 161.5 kg/s condensing at 30m depth, and ~21.7 years for the surface to increase by one kelvin in response to the same gas flux condensing at 60m depth. The observed low-temperature thermal anomalies at Okmok are therefore consistent with the condensation of magmatic and/or hydrothermal water vapor at no more than a few tens of meters depth below the surface.

This work provides further insight into how volcanic hydrothermal subsurface processes manifest as thermal anomalies on the surface, and how these thermal anomalies can be used to detect unrest at Okmok and other active volcanoes. In the future, we aim to integrate the spatiotemporal distribution of low-temperature thermal anomalies with deformation, seismic signals, and diffuse gas emissions prior to and during eruptions.

 

Girona, T., Realmuto, V. & Lundgren, P. Large-scale thermal unrest of volcanoes for years prior to eruption. Nat. Geosci. 14, 238–241 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00705-4.

How to cite: Puleio, C. and Girona, T.: Spatiotemporal distribution of low-temperature thermal anomalies at volcanic calderas: The case of Okmok volcano, Alaska, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10264, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10264, 2022.

EGU22-10486 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Dyke-induced vs tectonic-controlled graben formation in a heterogeneous crust: Insights from field observations and numerical models 

Kyriaki Drymoni, Elena Russo, Alessandro Tibaldi, Fabio Luca Bonali, and Noemi Corti

Dyke propagation is the most common way of magma transfer towards the surface. Their emplacement generates stresses at their tips and the surrounded host rock initiating surficial deformation, seismic activity, and graben formation. Although active deformation and seismicity are studied in monitored volcanoes, the difference between dyke-induced and tectonic-controlled grabens is still less understood.

Here, we explore the difference between dyke-induced vs tectonic-controlled graben formation in stratovolcanoes with heterogeneous crustal properties like Mt. Etna (Italy) and Santorini (Greece). The field observations are related to Mt. Etna's 1928 AD fissure eruption, which partly generated dyke-induced grabens along its expression, and to the Santorini volcano, where tectonic-controlled grabens become pathways for later dyke injections. Field campaigns have revealed the stratigraphic sequence of the shallow host rock successions that became the basis of several suites of numerical models. The latter investigated the boundary conditions (overpressure or external stress field) and the geometrical and mechanical parameters that i) could produce temporary stress barriers and hence stall the propagation of a dyke towards the surface, and ii) shall form a graben at the surface. The detailed analysis, results and interpretations propose that soft materials in the stratigraphy, such as pyroclastic rocks, suppress the stresses at the vicinity of a propagating dyke and do not promote the generation of a graben above a propagating dyke. Also, the study explores the conditions where inclined ascending dykes produce semi-grabens and the generation of wide or narrow graben structures. Finally, the results give valuable insights on the field-related parameters that can encourage dyke deflection in pre-existing grabens in the shallow crust. All the latter can be theoretically applied in similar case studies worldwide.

How to cite: Drymoni, K., Russo, E., Tibaldi, A., Bonali, F. L., and Corti, N.: Dyke-induced vs tectonic-controlled graben formation in a heterogeneous crust: Insights from field observations and numerical models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10486, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10486, 2022.

EGU22-10766 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Structure of a new submarine volcano and magmatic phases to the East of Mayotte, in the Comoros Archipelago, Indian Ocean. 

Charles Masquelet, Sylvie Leroy, Matthias Delescluse, Nicolas Chamot-Rooke, Isabelle Thinon, Anne Lemoine, Dieter Franke, Louise Watremez, Philippe Werner, and Daniel Sauter and the SISMAORE team

50 km East of Mayotte Island (North Mozambique Channel; Comoros Archipelago), a submarine volcanic edifice formed during the first year of a seismo-volcanic crisis, between May 2018 and May 2019. Thanks to the French ANR Project COYOTES and the SISMAORE oceanographic cruise (2021), a multichannel seismic profile gives the first in-depth image of the new East-Mayotte volcano and its surrounding volcanic area. The seismic interpretation reveals that several distinct magmatic phases affected the area. The new volcano is built on a ~150 m thick sedimentary layer. Beneath this sedimentary layer, we found a major volcanic layer, ~2.5 km thick, which extends ~91 km to the south and ~33 km to the north of the newly formed submarine volcano. This volcanic unit is composed of multiple seismic facies that may indicate distinct successive volcanic phases. We interpret this major volcanic layer as part of the Mayotte volcanic edifice, with the presence of a complex magmatic feeder system underneath. We observe a ~2.2-2.5 km thick sedimentary cover between the main volcanic layer, below the new volcano, and the top of the crust. We tentatively identified the top-Oligocene seismic horizon (~23 Ma) well above the main volcanic layer, and assuming a constant sedimentation rate we estimate the onset of the volcanism at Mayotte Island at 28 Ma.

How to cite: Masquelet, C., Leroy, S., Delescluse, M., Chamot-Rooke, N., Thinon, I., Lemoine, A., Franke, D., Watremez, L., Werner, P., and Sauter, D. and the SISMAORE team: Structure of a new submarine volcano and magmatic phases to the East of Mayotte, in the Comoros Archipelago, Indian Ocean., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10766, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10766, 2022.

EGU22-11437 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

The destructive 1928 fissure eruption of Mt Etna (Italy): surficial deformation revealed by field data and FEM numerical modelling 

Elena Russo, Alessandro Tibaldi, Fabio Luca Bonali, Noemi Corti, Kyriaki Drymoni, Emanuela De Beni, Stefano Branca, Marco Neri, Massimo Cantarero, and Federico Pasquarè Mariotto

The present research is aimed at evaluating the wide surficial deformation associated with the destructive 1928 fissure eruption on Mt. Etna, Italy: with its high effusion rates and the low elevation of the main eruptive vents, this eruption caused the destruction of the Mascali town. The main aim of our work is to reconstruct the geometry, kinematics and origin of the system of faults and fissures formed during the 1928 event. Our study has been performed through a multidisciplinary approach consisting of field observations, aerial photo interpretation and Finite Element Method (FEM) modeling through COMSOL Multiphysics® (v5.6). Field data consist of 438 quantitative measurements: azimuth values, opening direction and aperture of dry/eruptive fissures, as well as attitude and offsets of faults. Our detailed structural analysis allowed us to detect four different tectonic settings related to dike propagation scenarios, which, from west to east, are: 1) a sequence of 8 eruptive vents surrounded by a 385-m wide graben, 2) a 2.5-km long single eruptive fissure, 3) a half-graben up to 74-m-wide and a symmetric 39-m-wide graben without evidence of eruption, 4) alignment of lower vents along the pre-existing Ripe della Naca faults. 

As a next step, several numerical models have been developed to investigate the relationship between diking and surficial deformation. We performed sensitivity analyses, by modifying crucial parameters, such as a range of dike overpressure values (1-20 MPa), host rock properties (Young modulus ranging from 1 to 30 GPa), stratigraphic sequence, and layer thickness. Furthermore, the distribution of tensile and shear stresses above the dike tip has been evaluated. Results revealed the presence of temporary stress barriers, which consist of soft (e.g. tuff) layers, that control the surficial deformation above a dike propagating to the surface by suppressing the distribution of shear stresses.

How to cite: Russo, E., Tibaldi, A., Bonali, F. L., Corti, N., Drymoni, K., De Beni, E., Branca, S., Neri, M., Cantarero, M., and Pasquarè Mariotto, F.: The destructive 1928 fissure eruption of Mt Etna (Italy): surficial deformation revealed by field data and FEM numerical modelling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11437, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11437, 2022.

The Piton de la Fournaise volcano is located on the southeastern part of La Réunion Island and is inserted in the tectonic framework of the Indian Ocean. It is one of the most active worldwide volcanoes and it can be classified as a hot-spot basaltic one.

In this work, we focus on the eruption occurred from 11 to 15 August 2019 on the southern-southeastern flank of this volcano, inside the Enclos Fouqué caldera. In particular, this distal event was characterized by the opening of two eruptive fissures and accompanied by shallow volcano-tectonic earthquakes.

Firstly, we investigate the surface deformations induced by the occurred eruptive activity, by exploiting Differential Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (DInSAR) measurements; they are obtained by processing the data collected by the Sentinel-1 satellite of the Copernicus European Program along ascending and descending orbits. Due to the position of the island in the southern hemisphere, the processed S1 interferograms are characterized by a 12-days temporal baseline; for this reason, they measure the ground deformations generated during both the pre- and co-eruptive phases. Then, we analyze the distribution of the relocated hypocenters to recognize the activated structures and to furnish further constraints to our model. Finally, we perform an analytical modelling to the computed coseismic DInSAR displacements, with the aim of investigating the volcanic source/s responsible for the measured surface deformation field.

The retrieved results reveal that several volcanic sources (one sill and four dikes, in particular) have been active during the pre- and the co-eruptive phases, allowing the magma transport towards the surface; their action can justify the complexity of the observed deformation pattern. Our findings are in good agreement with the seismicity recorded by the Observatoire Volcanologique du Piton de la Fournaise network and with several geophysical evidences, such as the comparison between the volume of the retrieved sources and the erupted magma volumes, and the fissures location.

How to cite: Valerio, E., De Luca, C., Manzo, M., Lanari, R., and Battaglia, M.: Geodetic modelling of a multi-source deformation pattern retrieved through Sentinel-1 DInSAR measurements: the 11-15 August 2019 Piton de la Fournaise (La Réunion Island) eruption case-study, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11497, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11497, 2022.

EGU22-12183 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

The 2021 unrest phase of Vulcano volcano (Aeolian islands) detected by SAR,GNSS and GB-RAR 

Guglielmino Francesco, Alessandro Bonforte, and Giuseppe Puglisi

Starting from July 2021, a gradual unrest of Vulcano volcano was recorded by monitoring system managed by INGV, marked by a progressive change of many parameters from the multi-disciplinary networks.

The fumaroles located on the crater rim and along the flank of the cone shown temperature increase ( up to 350 degree Celsius) and  an increase of the flux of carbon dioxide and sulfur dioxide in gas emissions. Furthermore, the increase of the occurrence of with very-long-period (VLP) events was recorded by seismic network, and a rapid uplift of about 1 cm/month was recorded at VCRA GNSS permanent station located on the North slope of the “La Fossa” cone.

In order to image the ground deformation accompanying the unrest phase, we analyzed the 2020-2021 ascending and descending ESA-Copernicus Sentinel-1A and 1B C-band SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) acquired in TopSAR (Terrain Observation with Progressive Scans SAR) Interferometric Wide mode with A-DINSAR techniques. On October 2021 a new GNSS survey was performed on the ”Lipari-Vulcano” network. We integrated the SAR data and the GNSS data applying the SISTEM method, and the preliminary results are consistent with the Vulcano hydrothermal system dynamics, with a deformation pattern limited to the cone area.

In order to monitoring continuously and more in detail the change in ground deformation, on December 2021 we installed 4 additional GNSS mobile stations and a permanent GB-RAR (ground-based real aperture radar) on the island. The GB-RAR system was installed at the Lipari Observatory, at a distance of about 5 km from Vulcano, and it is able to image the whole Vulcano north area, with a rectangular pixel resolution of 3x30 m and a precision of the displacement along the line of sight of about 1 mm.

At time of this abstract no ground deformation have been recorded in the last month, the microseismic activity reduced but the fumarole temperatures at the crater and gas emissions of carbon and sulphur dioxide remained at high level.

How to cite: Francesco, G., Bonforte, A., and Puglisi, G.: The 2021 unrest phase of Vulcano volcano (Aeolian islands) detected by SAR,GNSS and GB-RAR, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12183, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12183, 2022.

EGU22-12391 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Gravitational volcano flank motion imaged by historical air photo correlation during the M7.7 Kalapana earthquake (1975), Big Island, Hawaii 

Stefano Mannini, Joel Ruch, James Hollingsworth, Don Swanson, and Ingrid Johanson

Volcanic islands are often subject to flank instability, being a combination of magma intrusions along rift zones, gravitational spreading and extensional faulting observable at the surface. The Kilauea is one of the most active volcano on Earth and its south flank show recurrent flank acceleration related to large earthquakes and magmatic intrusions. 
Here we focus on the M 7.7 Kalapana earthquake that occurred on 29 November 1975. It triggered ground displacement of several meters all over the south flank of the Kilauea volcano. The identification and quantification of the co-seismic rupture aim to better understand the overall flank motion and its connection to key structural components, such as between the southwest and east rift zones and the deep basal detachment where large earthquakes episodically nucleate.
Using optical imagery correlation technique, we analyzed the displacement that occurred during the 1975 earthquake. We used 26 and 22 historical air photos as pre-event (October 1974 and July 1975, respectively) and 7 and 44 for the post-event time period (December 1976 and March 1977, respectively).  Results show metrical horizontal displacement (north-south direction) along a 25 km long East West sector of the Kilauea south flank. We show that the ground rupture is continuous with most portions of faults that have been reactivated. Locally, the displacement values we found are in good agreement with punctual EDM measurements. Several fault segments have been activated close to the shore and their extension were previously unnoticed. Interestingly, we observe a constant increase of the offset away from the epicenter in the West direction, from a few meters up to ~12 meters, west of the Hilina Pali road. The deformation turns out to be higher where the faults are oriented NE-SW (western sector) compared to E-W oriented structures. It also shows that the flank is strongly influenced by gravitational effect, typical from large landslide processes. This observation provides additional information to better understand the connection between the Hilina fault system and the basal detachment.  Episodic flank motions on volcanic islands are rare events and this work contributes to the overall comprehension of volcano flank instability elsewhere.

How to cite: Mannini, S., Ruch, J., Hollingsworth, J., Swanson, D., and Johanson, I.: Gravitational volcano flank motion imaged by historical air photo correlation during the M7.7 Kalapana earthquake (1975), Big Island, Hawaii, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12391, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12391, 2022.

Volcano-tectonic systems involve a relation between magma propagation and faulting that is fundamental in volcanology research. Earth’s upper crust is often modelled as homogeneous and elastic. However, fracturing and reactivation of pre-existing structures plays a key role in volcano-tectonic processes and magma propagation. Moreover, obliquity affects > 70% of Earth’s rifts. This study aims at investigating inherited structures’ role on magma propagation in extensional settings, subject to different degrees of opening obliquity.

We performed a detailed and extensive structural mapping based on UAV imagery and field observations in the North Volcanic Zone, choosing representative rift segments that have likely a cyclic nature and display different obliquity degrees. We selected four zones within the Askja and Bárðarbunga volcanic systems, delimited by the Fjallagjá graben to the North and the Holuhraun graben to the South. Structures progressively bend from an almost N-S orientation in the North to a rather NE-SW to the South, while the strain field orientation of the rift shows a constant extension vector’s azimuth of ~104°. Recently, the 2021 Fagradalsfjall volcano-tectonic event show an extreme case of high obliquity end-member system along the plate boundary.

We did a detailed morphostructural analysis of the processed imagery (~3 cm/px DEMs and ~2cm/px orthomosaics) and analysed fracture orientations, sense of opening and the effect of topography on the rift segments. The strength of the obliquity signal increases going from North (where no clear obliquity dominance is observed) to South (where Holuhraun shows distinct obliquity with a left lateral sense of shear), following the curvature of the overall rift segments. The processed imagery revealed typical structures related to volcano-tectonic processes, such as monoclines, open fractures, nested grabens with fault scarps that suggest reactivation, and intrusions oblique to the graben shoulders. For example, in the northern zone, we observe that eruptive fissures are ~ parallel to the main orientation of the plate boundary extension, but ~10°-20°consistently oblique to the enclosing graben shoulders.

Our observations help constraining the stress configuration and their evolution during intrusions.
The aim is to unveil the processes that govern magma propagation in a fractured crust at divergent plate boundaries from depth to the surface, which exert a fundamental influence on eruptions locations.

How to cite: Panza, E. and Ruch, J.: Obliquity and rifting: Interaction of faulting and magma propagation during volcano-tectonic events in North Iceland using UAV-based structural data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12760, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12760, 2022.

EGU22-12860 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

New data on Campanian Ignimbrite of southern Italy: changing paradigm for Campi Flegrei caldera and the Campanian volcanism 

Giuseppe De Natale, Christopher R.J. Kilburn, Giuseppe Rolandi, Claudia Troise, Renato Somma, Alessandro Fedele, Gianfranco Di Vincenzo, Roberto Rolandi, and Judith Woo

We present a new stratigraphy, inferred from several drillings carried out in the framework of the ICDP Campi Flegrei Deep Drilling Project , for the largest volcanic eruption in Europe since at least the Late Pleistocene. The eruption produced the Campanian Ignimbrite of southern Italy. It is conventionally believed to have triggered collapse of the large Campi Flegrei caldera, which, in turn, has been identified as a source for future ignimbrite volcanism. New borehole and radioisotopic data challenge this interpretation. They indicate that the Campanian Ignimbrite was erupted through fissures in the Campanian Plain, north of Campi Flegrei, and was not responsible for caldera collapse. The results are consistent with ignimbrite volcanism being controlled by a common magmatic system beneath the Campanian Plain. Understanding the dynamics of the whole plain is thus essential for evaluating the likelihood of similar future events.

How to cite: De Natale, G., Kilburn, C. R. J., Rolandi, G., Troise, C., Somma, R., Fedele, A., Di Vincenzo, G., Rolandi, R., and Woo, J.: New data on Campanian Ignimbrite of southern Italy: changing paradigm for Campi Flegrei caldera and the Campanian volcanism, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12860, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12860, 2022.

EGU22-13057 | Presentations | GMPV9.4

Joint GNSS-InSAR analysis of ground deformation on the eastern flank of Mount Etna. 

Francesco Carnemolla, Alessandro Bonforte, Fabio Brighenti, Pierre Briole, Giorgio De Guidi, Francesco Guglielmino, and Giuseppe Puglisi

Mount Etna is located on eastern Sicily on the border of the collision zone between the Eurasia and Nubia plate. The regional geodynamic framework is characterized by two superimposed regional tectonic domains: a compressional one oriented N-S and an extensional one oriented approximately WNW-ESE. These two domains, together with the volcano-tectonic one, generated a tectonic system which is unique in the world. It exhibits a complex system of faults prevalently on the eastern flank of the volcano, which is the most complicated in terms of interaction between the tectonic, volcano and gravitational processes. The eastern flank of Mount Etna is the most active area of the volcano in terms of deformation and seismicity, because the deformation rates are at least one order of magnitude greater than the surrounding area, due to the eastwards sliding of this flank.

The monitoring and analysis of the high deformation occurring on the eastern flank of Mount Etna is the keystone for understanding the volcano-tectonic dynamics that, apart from the tectonic and volcanic processes, it is paramount relevant because involves the instability of this flank in a densely inhabited area. In this context the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia – Osservatorio Etneo (INGV-OE) created one of the most sophisticated and complete monitoring networks in the world in terms of number of multi-disciplinary station (seismic, geodetic, geochemistry). Since 2014, the GeoDynamic & GeoMatic Laboratory (GD&GM-LAB) of the University of Catania started to create many GNSS sub networks, belonging to the UNICT-Net, in order to determine the offsets occurring on the blocks of each fault of the eastern flank.

In order to have a complete analysis of deformation, INGV-OE and the GD&GM-LAB started to consider this area as an “open-air laboratory” where integrate GNSS and InSAR data with the twofold objective: to characterize the dynamic of this area for contributing to the volcanic hazard assessment and to identify precursor phenomena on shear structures analysing the relationship between kinematics, dynamics and volcano processes in the frame of the ATTEMPT INGV project.

How to cite: Carnemolla, F., Bonforte, A., Brighenti, F., Briole, P., De Guidi, G., Guglielmino, F., and Puglisi, G.: Joint GNSS-InSAR analysis of ground deformation on the eastern flank of Mount Etna., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13057, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13057, 2022.

EGU22-1388 | Presentations | GD9.2

A high-resolution record of vertically-resolved seawater salinity in the Caribbean Sea mixed layer since 1700 AD. 

Amos Winter, Davide Zanchettin, Malcolm McCulloch, Manuel Rigo, Clark Sherman, and Angelo Rubino

The Caribbean Sea in the tropical Atlantic is one of the major heat engines of the Earth and a sensitive area for monitoring climate variability. Salinity changes in the Caribbean Sea record changes in ocean currents and can provide information about variations in ocean heat transport. Seawater salinity in the Caribbean Sea has been monitored in recent decades, nevertheless, of all oceanographic environmental parameters salinity information before the instrumental period remains limited, due to the difficulty of reconstructing salinity, arguably the most difficult natural archives to recreate. We were able to reconstruct salinity changes in the Caribbean Sea from 1700 to the present from southwest Puerto Rico using slowly growing and long-lived scelerosponges from southwest Puerto Rico. These well-dated sponges are known to precipitate their skeletons in isotopic equilibrium (i.e., their record is not affected much by vital effects) and were retrieved from various depths in the mixed layer, from the surface to 90 m depth. We were able to establish salinity changes by deconvoluting stable isotopes (d18O) and trace element (Sr/Ca) proxies taken from the sponges at regular intervals. In this contribution, we will present the salinity record and illustrate the process for salinity reconstruction. We will also discuss how we determine how salinity changes in our record relate to radiative forcing as well as connect them with dominant mechanisms operating in the region, including changes in the position of the InterTtropical Convergence Zone and intensity of the Atlantic meridional Overturning Circulation over time.

How to cite: Winter, A., Zanchettin, D., McCulloch, M., Rigo, M., Sherman, C., and Rubino, A.: A high-resolution record of vertically-resolved seawater salinity in the Caribbean Sea mixed layer since 1700 AD., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1388, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1388, 2022.

EGU22-3134 | Presentations | GD9.2

Reconstructing the climate of the Extremadura region (SW Spain) from documentary sources 

José M. Vaquero, María C. Gallego, Nieves Bravo-Paredes, Víctor M.S. Carrasco, and Irene Tovar

In recent years, our research group has tried to improve the knowledge of the historical climate of the Extremadura region, located in the interior of the southwest of the Iberian Peninsula. Some results can be highlighted:

  • Temperature and precipitation indices were constructed for the period 1750-1840 from the correspondence of the Duke of Feria (Fernández-Fernández et al., 2014, 2015, 2017).
  • We have recovered many “pro pluvia” rogation dates (Domínguez-Castro et al., 2021) and we have seen their relationship with the North Atlantic Oscillation (Bravo-Paredes et al., 2020).
  • We have studied the catastrophic floods of the Guadiana River since AD1500 (Bravo-Paredes et al., 2021).
  • We have recovered more than 700,000 meteorological data from the Extremadura region taken in the 19th and early 20th centuries (Vaquero et al., 2022), including some uncommon series (Bravo-Paredes et al., 2019).

In recent months, we have started a study of the meteorological information published by the regional press of Extremadura in the last 150 years and here we will present some preliminary results.

References

Bravo-Paredes, N. et al. (2019) Tellus B 71, 1663597.

Bravo-Paredes, N. et al. (2020) Atmosphere 11(3), 282.

Bravo-Paredes, N. et al. (2021) Science of the Total Environment 797, 149141.

Domínguez-Castro, F. et al. (2021) Scientific Data 8, 186.

Fernández-Fernández, M.I. et al. (2014) Climatic Change 126, 107.

Fernández-Fernández, M.I. et al. (2015) Climatic Change 129, 267.

Fernández-Fernández, M.I. et al. (2017) Climatic Change 141, 671.

Vaquero, J.M. et al. (2022) Geoscience Data Journal. https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.131

How to cite: Vaquero, J. M., Gallego, M. C., Bravo-Paredes, N., Carrasco, V. M. S., and Tovar, I.: Reconstructing the climate of the Extremadura region (SW Spain) from documentary sources, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3134, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3134, 2022.

EGU22-3906 | Presentations | GD9.2

Earthquake detection in time-series of laser strainmeter measurements as a first step towards automatic signal classification. 

Valentin Kasburg, Alexander Breuer, Martin Bücker, and Nina Kukowski

Geophysical observatories around the world collect data on various natural phenomena within the Earth and on its surface. Many of these measurements are made automatically, sometimes at high sampling rates, so that enormous amounts of data accumulate over the years. Continuous analysis is important to classify current phenomena and decide which data are important and which can be downsampled later.

At Moxa Geodynamic Observatory, located in central Germany, several laser strainmeters have been installed in subsurface galleries in order to measure strain of the Earth's crust. These instruments run in north-south, east-west, and northwest-southeast directions. Nano-strain rates are determined with a sampling rate of 0.1 Hz almost continuously over distances of 26 and 38 m, respectively, since summer 2011.

Signals of tectonically induced crustal deformation are superimposed by other signals of greater amplitude, e.g., tides, changes in atmospheric pressure, hydrologic events such as heavy rainfall, and earthquakes. Classification of these events is important to better associate jumps in the temporal vicinity and to distinguish anomalies from instrument failures. To avoid time-consuming pattern recognition by hand, algorithms are required to do most of the work automatically. Due to recent advances in the field of artificial intelligence, it is possible to implement time series algorithms that are capable of unifying and automating many steps of data analysis. Although artificial intelligence applications are increasingly used to support data analysis, their use for time series of geophysical origin so far is not widespread outside of seismology.

In this contribution, an approach to automatically detect earthquakes in the strain data using 1D Convolutional Neural Networks is presented, including the generation of artificial training data with time series data augmentation. Also the training process and generation of new training data, based on classification by hand and false predictions of the trained model is described. The 1D Convolutional Neural Networks are able to identify almost all earthquakes in the strain data and have F1 values > 0.99, showing that their application has the potential to significantly reduce the time required in signal classification of observatory time series data.

How to cite: Kasburg, V., Breuer, A., Bücker, M., and Kukowski, N.: Earthquake detection in time-series of laser strainmeter measurements as a first step towards automatic signal classification., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3906, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3906, 2022.

EGU22-6814 | Presentations | GD9.2

Long term deformation and seismic observations at the Mont Terri rock laboratory 

Dorothee Rebscher, Senecio Schefer, Finnegan Reichertz, Yves Guglielmi, William Foxall, Inma Gutiérrez, and Edi Meier

The Mont Terri rock laboratory, located in the Swiss Jura Mountains, is dedicated to research on argillaceous rocks. Since its founding in 1996, the objective is the hydrogeological, geochemical, and geotechnical characterisation of Opalinus Clay in the context of nuclear waste repositories. More recently, the work has broadened to additional fields, covering potential uses of the deep geological subsurface such as geological storage of carbon dioxide and geothermal energy. With the excellent infrastructure, a comprehensive database, and the broad scientific and technological expertise, knowledge is enhanced e.g. through the advancement and comparison of approaches as well as the development and testing of novel investigation methods. These, as well as studies on feasibility and risk assessment, are of benefit also for underground laboratories in general and in situ explorations in different rock types worldwide. Due to the long-term commitment and the available gallery space of the research facility, elaborate as well as decade-long experiments can be implemented.

In order to detect, quantify, and understand short- and long-term deformations in the Mont Terri rock laboratory, quasi continuous time series are established employing various monitoring techniques. The latter complement each other in regard to their spatial dimensions, operational frequency optima, and their point or integral information. The approach combines

  • a 50 m long uniaxial hydrostatic levelling system (HLS, Type “PSI”, positioned along a gallery wall, measuring principle: electrical plate capacitors),
  • four mini-arrays of very-broad-band triaxial seismometers, installed in the rock laboratory (one under the HLS) as well as outside the rock laboratory at the surface,
  • and an array of high resolution, biaxial platform tiltmeters, with instruments situated close to the HLS and in various parts of the rock laboratory, integrated in other in situ experiments.

The observed signals and their analysis differ in space and time. They range from the detection of local nanoseismic as well as large tele seismic events, to the determination of earth tides, and to the identification of seasonal trends versus other long term geodetic movements. Besides the mutual comparison of the three deformation measurements, the time series provide valuable input for numerous scientific questions such as the stability of the rock laboratory as a whole or in its parts, the influence of excavation, ventilation, or fluid injection on rock matrix and faults. Long data series of ambient parameters, essential for interpretation of the deformation records, such as temperature, pressure, and humidity, are recorded by sensors integrated in the above listed instruments and are also of interest in further experiments performed by the Mont Terri Consortium.

How to cite: Rebscher, D., Schefer, S., Reichertz, F., Guglielmi, Y., Foxall, W., Gutiérrez, I., and Meier, E.: Long term deformation and seismic observations at the Mont Terri rock laboratory, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6814, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6814, 2022.

EGU22-8343 | Presentations | GD9.2 | Highlight

Variations of the Earth magnetic field: From geomagnetic storms to field reversal 

Roman Leonhardt

The geomagnetic field, the Earth’s primary barrier against charged particles from the sun, varies on time scales from million years to sub-second fluctuations. In the past decades significant advances in measurement techniques, both ground and space based, paleo- and rock magnetic methods, as well as numerical and analytical simulations, improved our understanding of underlying processes and their consequences on our planet and on our society. Geomagnetic storms, often related to coronal mass ejections on the sun and their interaction with the Earth‘s magnetic field, pose a threat to our modern society as they affect satellites, disturb radio communication, and, in particular, damage power grids and cause electrical blackouts on a massive scale. Ground based measurements, which are used together with satellite data to investigate these events, point towards the occurrence of global scale major storms once every 100 years. When further looking at such observatory data, which is existing for the last few hundred years, it is also striking that the global Earth‘s magnetic field is gradually weakening, by more the 10% in the past 200 years. Paleo- and archeomagnetic investigations are used to extend our observational range into the past in order to clarify the significance and reasons of this field reduction. When looking even further into the past, complete flips of the geomagnetic field are recorded in geological archives like volcanic rocks and sediments. These geomagnetic field reversals, the last one happening about 770kyrs ago, are accompanied by strong reductions of the geomagnetic field strength and complex field behavior on the Earths surface, effects which are sometimes brought into connection with our modern observation of field reduction. This presentation will provide a comprehensive overview about geomagnetic field variations, and the necessity of using long timeseries for interpretation of its current state and future evolution.

How to cite: Leonhardt, R.: Variations of the Earth magnetic field: From geomagnetic storms to field reversal, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8343, 2022.

To achieve very low ambient noise and thus very good conditions for long-term geophysical observations at a high level of instrumental accuracy in order to decipher also faint signals from Earth and environmental processes, sensors often are installed in the subsurface in galleries or in boreholes. This however, makes it necessary to consider the potential influence of the geological setting and properties of the surrounding rock formations and overburden.
Moxa Geodynamic observatory, located in a remote part of the Thuringian slate mountains, approximately 30 km south of Jena, provides an ideal setting to address this topic as it comprises two galleries, which are running perpendicular to each other. As the observatory is built at the toe of a relatively steep slope, coverage of the galleries varies along them. Further, the tectonic structure and hydrological settings of the overburden is rather complex.
Instruments sensitive to deformation, which include three laser strain meters measuring nano-strain, borehole tiltmeters and a superconducting gravimeter CD-034, together with other instruments, e.g. a node for the Global Network of Optical Magnetometers for Exotic physics (GNOME), are installed in various positions in the building of the observatory, close to the building, and in the galleries. The laser strainmeters record along three galleries in north-south, east-west and NW-SE directions. Further, information on fluid flow is gained from downhole temperature measurements employing an optical fiber and several groundwater level indicators, some of them installed in shallow boreholes. Additionally, information on environmental parameters is coming from a climate station and on the subsurface tectonic structure from various near surface geophysical data sets. 
Here, we present first results of an ongoing project which combines actual deformation recordings, structural and drillhole information to decipher how the tectonic structure of the and groundwater movement within the overlying slope on top of the observatory’s galleries may impact on the various instrumental recordings.

How to cite: Kukowski, N., Kasburg, V., Goepel, A., Schwarze, C., Jahr, T., and Stolz, R.: Impact of the geological setting of the overburden on long-time series recorded at underground geophysical observatories: case study from the FSU Jena Geodynamic Observatory Moxa (Thuringia, central Germany, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11079, 2022.

EGU22-11916 | Presentations | GD9.2

Downscaling to high-resolution and correcting air temperature from the ERA5-Land over Ethiopia 

Mosisa Tujuba Wakjira, Nadav Peleg, and Peter Molnar

Climate information from in-situ observation networks can be used to significantly improve the accuracy of gridded climate datasets, even in data-scarce regions. We applied a bias correction and spatial disaggregation method on daily maximum and minimum ERA5-Land (ERA5L) 2-m air temperature dataset covering Ethiopia. Due to large gaps in the observed temperature data, the bias correction is based on the statistics rather than the complete time series. First, long-term daily, monthly and annual temperature statistics (mean and variance) were summarized for the time series obtained from 155 stations covering the period 1981-2010. Second, the temperature statistics were interpolated onto a 0.05° x 0.05° grid using an inverse non-Euclidean distance weighting approach. This method accounts for the effects of elevation, thus enabling downscaling of the temperature to a higher spatial resolution. Next, the ERA5L maximum and minimum temperature were bias-corrected using quantile mapping assuming a Gaussian distribution transfer function. The quantile mapping was performed at daily, monthly and annual time steps to reproduce the climatology, seasonality, and interannual variability of the data. The performance of the bias correction was evaluated using the leave-out-one cross-validation method. The cross-validation shows that the bias-corrected maximum (minimum) daily temperature has an improved mean absolute error value of 68% (52%) in comparison to the original ERA5L reanalysis air temperature bias. The bias-corrected dataset is therefore suggested as an alternative for the ERA5L and can be used in a wide range of applications in Ethiopia.

How to cite: Wakjira, M. T., Peleg, N., and Molnar, P.: Downscaling to high-resolution and correcting air temperature from the ERA5-Land over Ethiopia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11916, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11916, 2022.

Geomagnetic activity is a measure aimed to quantify the effect of solar wind upon the Earth's magnetic environment. The main structures in solar wind driving geomagnetic activity are the coronal mass ejections (CME) and the high-speed solar wind streams together with related co-rotating interaction regions (HSS/CIR). While CMEs are closely related to sunspots and other active regions on solar surface, the HSSs are related to solar coronal holes, forming a proxy of solar polar magnetic fields. This gives an interesting possibility to obtain versatile information on solar activity and solar magnetic fields from geomagnetic activity.

Various indices have been developed to quantify and monitor global geomagnetic activity. The most often used indices of overall geomagnetic activity are the aa index, developed by P. Mayaud and running already since 1868, and the Kp/Ap index, developed by J. Bartels and running since 1932. Both aa and Kp/Ap depict the increase of geomagnetic activity during the first half of the 20th century, and a steep decline in the 2000s. However, although the two indices are constructed from midlatitude observations using roughly the same recipe, they depict notable differences during the 90-year overlapping interval. While the Kp/Ap index reaches a centennial maximum in the late 1950s, at the same time as sunspots, the aa index has its maximum only in 2003. Also, the Kp/Ap is systematically relatively more active in the first decades until 1960s, while aa is more active thereafter. The Dst index was developed to monitor geomagnetic storms and the ring current since 1957. We have corrected some early errors in the Dst index and extended its time interval to 1932. This extended storm index is called the Dxt index. Here we study these long-term geomagnetic indices and their differences. We also use their different dependences on the main solar wind drivers in order to obtain new information on the centennial evolution of solar activity and solar magnetic fields.

How to cite: Mursula, K.: Long-term geomagnetic activity: Comparison and analysis of geomagnetic activity indices during the last 90 years, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12745, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12745, 2022.

Slope-related mass movements and erosional processes are common in all regions on Earth and especially dangerous in mountain areas, where they can rapidly transfer material, threatening human lives and infrastructure. However, the characteristics and activity of small scale (< 1000 m2) events in highly elevated tropical mountains remain poorly understood, even though these areas are often populated. The morphological characterization and investigation of the short-term dynamics of different types of mass movement and erosional processes can help infer about slope processes and take appropriate actions to limit associated hazards. This contribution aims:(1) To recognize the different processes that contribute to overall slope dynamics; (2) To document the morphology and short-term (annual dynamics) of geohazards-related landforms (e.g. small landslides, erosional rills and gullies); (3) To investigate the relationships between the characteristics and dynamics of geohazard sites and the landscape properties; (4) To develop a model of mass wasting mechanisms as agents of slopes development in tropical mountains.

The study areas were located in South America in Cordillera Vilcanota (Willkanuta) in Peruvian Andes and Eje Cafetero region in Colombian Andes. We documented and investigated the morphology and annual spatial pattern of activity of 15 sites representing different types of geohazards. Topographic analyses were based on time series of data captured using an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). Where possible, we investigated the observed dynamics of slope processes in combination with data on anthropogenic use to identify the main possible hazards. We identified four main types of processes responsible for transforming the land surface within studied sites: landslides, debris flows, falling, accelerated soil erosion. The morphological expression of these processes included the formation of erosional rills and gullies, landslide head scarps and lobes, debris flow channels, and avalanche deposits. In addition, we identified two main processes that control the activity of small geohazard sites. First, road works often caused activation of mass movements because of undercutting roadsides and associated anthropogenic earth movements. Second, the topographic properties of slopes (mainly slope and aspect) can increase the landscape response to direct anthropogenic pressure. Documented activity often follows a pattern of initiation of movements at the bottom of the site and its further propagation towards the upper escarpment. These results suggest that the dynamics of small geohazard sites strongly depend on local conditions and direct human impacts. While individual events are hard to predict, the presence of fine-scale rills and furrows might be helpful as indicators of probable increase in activity of slope processes. Over the longer time scales, that can be used to identify the most hazardous elements of the slope systems.

This project was funded by Narodowe Centrum Nauki (National Science Centre, Poland), grant number 2015/19/D/ST10/00251

How to cite: Ewertowski, M. and Tomczyk, A.: Mapping and geomorphological characterization of small-scale slope-related geohazards in the tropical high-mountain environment: case studies from Cordillera Villcanota, Peru and Eje Cafetero, Colombia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-979, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-979, 2022.

Floods are processes that significantly affect populations, the environment, economy and infrastructure. The Municipality of Saint Bernard, a rural, data-scarce locality, is one of the areas in the Philippines frequently affected by flooding. Risk Evaluation and Flood Susceptibility Mapping are critical components of flood prevention and mitigation techniques because they identify the most susceptible locations based on physiographic attributes that influence flooding propensity. The first objective of this study is to generate a flood susceptibility map for the identification of barangays or zones susceptible to flood in the Municipality of Saint Bernard based on the eight (8) physiographic maps, namely: (i) Fluvial Geomorphology, (ii) Slope, (iii) Elevation, (iv) Lithology, (v) Land cover, (vi) Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), (vii) Drainage density, and (viii) Distance from the Rivers and Streams. AHP serves to determine the weights of the aforementioned factors. The distance to rivers and streams is ranked as the essential factor for finding areas susceptible to flooding, with the highest weighted rate of 20.10%. The authors utilized a quantitative approach to validate the generated flood susceptibility map by correlating with the historical flood datasets. The quantitative validation showed an excellent agreement between the susceptibility zones and historical flood events, of which 74.6% were coincident with high or very high susceptibility levels, thus confirming the effectiveness of AHP. The second objective of this study is to evaluate the relative percentage risk of flooding in every barangays or zones and the generation of risk exposure maps, which is essential to visualize each barangays' or zones' builtups, roads, and the population at risk.

How to cite: Bendijo, J. R. and Morales, M. D.: Potential Flood-Prone Areas in the Municipality of Saint Bernard, Southern Leyte, Philippines: Risk Evaluation and Flood Susceptibility Mapping using GIS-based Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1574, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1574, 2022.

EGU22-2660 | Presentations | NH6.4

Multi-temporal sediment-yield estimates in a steep headwater catchment using UAV and sensor measurements. Challenges and results from the Rebaixader debris-flow monitoring site (Pyrenees). 

Marcel Hürlimann, Roger Ruiz-Carulla, José Moya, Ona Torra, Felipe Buill, and M. Amparo Núñez-Andrés

Debris flow and related processes strongly affect the morphology of headwater catchments and deliver large amounts of sediments into the drainage network. The Rebaixader monitoring site, which is situated in the Central Pyrenees, is a perfect location to analyse different slope mass-wasting processes and to quantify the sediment yield in this headwater catchment. Two types of data are available: first, yearly photogrammetric surveys by Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) have been performed since 2016, and second, an instrumental monitoring system is operational since 2009. Therefore, six years of data can be compared by these two approaches. While the UAV surveys produce point-clouds, Digital Surface Models (DSM) and orthophotos, the monitoring system determines the total volume of each torrential flow by flow-depth sensors, geophones and video cameras. Therefore, the volumes of the torrential flows determined by the instrumental monitoring system were compared and contrasted with those obtained from the DoD (Dem of differences) of photogrammetric reconstructions from UAV flights.

The final values of the sediment yield are between 0.1 and 0.2 m3/m2/y, which shows that this torrential catchment has a very high erosion activity.

The experience from this study shows that the applied monitoring techniques make it possible to i) quantify the sediment yield, ii) identify the different phenomena, and iii) determine the spatial distribution of each process. Regarding the UAV-datasets, the appropriateness of using DoD or advantages of comparing directly the different 3D point clouds are other conclusions derived from this study that will be discussed.

How to cite: Hürlimann, M., Ruiz-Carulla, R., Moya, J., Torra, O., Buill, F., and Núñez-Andrés, M. A.: Multi-temporal sediment-yield estimates in a steep headwater catchment using UAV and sensor measurements. Challenges and results from the Rebaixader debris-flow monitoring site (Pyrenees)., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2660, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2660, 2022.

EGU22-5942 | Presentations | NH6.4

Using remote sensing and GIS to project climate risk for asset management users 

James Brennan, Claire Burke, Laura Ramsamy, Hamish Mitchell, and Kamil Kluza
At Climate X we are producing risk estimates for the UK to help businesses and communities mitigate and adapt for climate change related losses. Climate X provides risk scores and expected financial losses from a plethora of hazards including flooding, subsidence, landslides, drought, fire and extreme heat. To do this at the scales we need, Earth Observation (EO) and other geospatial data sets play a crucial role in both physical modelling and risk estimation. Generating rich geospatial datasets to sit as the bedrock of risk models requires intelligent use of multiple data sources, involving the fusion of EO data from synthetic aperture radar, lidar and optical instruments and across processing levels from L1 to L3. This talk will cover the generation and use of these datasets that drive physical risk models (flooding) as well as ML enabled models (Landslides and subsidence).

How to cite: Brennan, J., Burke, C., Ramsamy, L., Mitchell, H., and Kluza, K.: Using remote sensing and GIS to project climate risk for asset management users, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5942, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5942, 2022.

EGU22-6058 | Presentations | NH6.4

The Relationship Between Soil Moisture and Drought Monitoring Using Sentinel-3 SLSTR Data in Lower Eastern Counties of Kenya 

Ghada Sahbeni, Peter K. Musyimi, Balázs Székely, and Tamás Weidinger

Drought is an extreme climate phenomenon that influences Earth’s water resources and energy balance. It affects hydrological cycle processes such as evapotranspiration, precipitation, surface runoff, condensation, and infiltration. Its extreme and severe occurrences threaten food security and drinking water availability for local populations worldwide. In this regard, this study uses Sentinel-3 SLSTR data to monitor drought spatiotemporal variation between 2019 and 2021 and investigate the crucial role of vegetation cover, land surface temperature, and water vapor amount in influencing drought dynamics over Kenyan’s lower eastern counties. Three essential climate variables (ECVs) of interest were extracted, namely, land surface temperature (LST), fractional vegetation cover (FVC), and total column water vapor (TCWV). These features were processed for four counties between the wettest and driest episodes in 2019 and 2021. The results showed that Makueni county has the highest FVC values of 88% in April and 76% in both periods and years. Machakos and Kitui counties had the lowest FVC estimates of 51% in September for both periods and range between 63% and 65% during dry seasons of both years. The land surface temperature has drastically changed over time and space, with Kitui county having the highest estimates of approximately 27 °C and 29 °C in April 2019 and September 2019, respectively. A significant spatial variation of TCWV was noticed across different counties, with the lowest value of 22 mm in Machakos county during the dry season of 2019, while Taita Taveta county had the highest estimates varying from 30 to 41 mm during the wettest season of 2021. Land surface temperature variation is negatively proportional to vegetation density and soil moisture content, as non-vegetated areas are expected to have lower moisture. A close link between TCWV and soil moisture content has been well established. Overall, Sentinel-3 SLSTR products depict an efficient and promising data source for drought monitoring, especially in cases where in situ measurements are scarce. ECVs produced maps will assist decision-makers in a better understanding of drought events that extremely influence agriculture in Kenya’s arid and semi-arid areas. Similarly, Sentinel-3 products can be used to interpret hydrological, ecological, and environmental changes and implications under different climatic conditions.

How to cite: Sahbeni, G., Musyimi, P. K., Székely, B., and Weidinger, T.: The Relationship Between Soil Moisture and Drought Monitoring Using Sentinel-3 SLSTR Data in Lower Eastern Counties of Kenya, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6058, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6058, 2022.

Landslide mapping using Machine Learning approaches often relies on various image statistics determined by neighbourhood functions. In this presentation, the effect of a graph network for the definition of the neighbourhood of each pixel is shown on the example of the Weheka valley, New Zealand. The graph network integrates the physical properties of sliding and flowing masses into the classification process of earth observation imagery. This neighbourhood is determined by connecting nodes based on the flow direction and therefore replacing common raster formats. Both Sentinel 1 and Sentinel 2 acquisitions are used to determine the change in each pixel. From the Sentinel 1 data the Beta Nought is calculated, and the Sentinel 2 data is used to derive multiple indices (e.g., NDWI and NDVI). These products are combined in each node of the graph network. Within the neighbourhood defined by the graph network image statistics (e.g., mean, and standard deviation) are derived for each node. All data and derived products are used to train a Random Forest Classifier which is applied to three different extents of a landslide in the Weheka valley. 81.11% of the affected area is detected for the largest event with a decreasing accuracy towards the margins of the reference area.  

How to cite: Luck, M. A. and Hajnsek, I.: Integration of a Graph Network for the Definition of Neighbourhood in Landslide Detection with Machine Learning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7141, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7141, 2022.

EGU22-7536 | Presentations | NH6.4

An integrated UAS and TLS approach for monitoring coastal scarps and mass movement phenomena. The case of Ionian Islands. 

Michalis Diakakis, Emmanuel Vassilakis, Spyridon Mavroulis, Aliki Konsolaki, George Kaviris, Evangelia Kotsi, Vasilis Kapetanidis, Vassilis Sakkas, John D. Alexopoulos, Efthymis Lekkas, and Nicholas Voulgaris

Mediterranean tectonically-active coastal areas are a highly-dynamic environment balancing internal tectonic dynamics with external geomorphic processes, as well as manmade influences. Especially in touristic areas characterized by high built-up pressure and land value, where these dynamics are even more concentrated, the evolution of coastal environments needs careful and high-resolution study to identify localized risk and the processes they derive from.
Recently, new advanced remote sensing techniques such as Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)- and Terrestrial Laser Scanners (TLS)-aided monitoring have improved our capabilities in understanding the natural processes and the geomorphic risks (i.e. mass movement phenomena).
An integrated study comprising Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) and Light Detection And Ranging (LIDAR) sensors was conducted in coastal areas of the southern Ionian Islands (Western Greece) aiming to the mitigation of earthquake-triggered landslide risk and to responsible coastal development. Located at the northwesternmost part of the Hellenic Arc, this area is characterized by high seismicity and has been affected by destructive earthquakes mainly due to the Cephalonia Transform Fault Zone (CTFZ), which constitutes one of the most seismic active structures in the Eastern Mediterranean region. One of the most common environmental effect triggered by these earthquakes are landslides distributed along fault scarps in developed and highly visited coastal areas. Furthermore, this area is highly susceptible to hydrometeorological hazards inducing intense geomorphic processes, including Medicanes among others.
These technologies allow a highly-detailed view of landslide processes, providing insights on the structures and factors controlling and triggering failures along coastal scarps as well as highlighting susceptible zones and high-risk areas with accuracy and mitigating adverse effects with precision and clarity. Overall, by providing a better understanding of the risks the approach used allows a more sustainable development of these coastal segments enhanced by risk mitigation.
The study was conducted in the framework of the project “Telemachus - Innovative Operational Seismic Risk Management System of the Ionian Islands”, co-financed by Greece and the European Union (European Regional Development Fund) in Priority Axis “Environmental Protection and Sustainable Development” of the Operational Programme “Ionian Islands 2014–2020”.

How to cite: Diakakis, M., Vassilakis, E., Mavroulis, S., Konsolaki, A., Kaviris, G., Kotsi, E., Kapetanidis, V., Sakkas, V., Alexopoulos, J. D., Lekkas, E., and Voulgaris, N.: An integrated UAS and TLS approach for monitoring coastal scarps and mass movement phenomena. The case of Ionian Islands., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7536, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7536, 2022.

EGU22-8587 | Presentations | NH6.4

High-resolution mobile mapping of slope stability with car- and UAV-borne InSAR systems 

Othmar Frey, Charles Werner, Andrea Manconi, and Roberto Coscione
Terrestrial radar interferometry (TRI) has become an operational tool to measure slope surface displacements [1,2]. The day-and-night and all-weather capability of TRI together with the ability to measure line-of-sight displacements in the range of sub-centimeter to sub-millimeter precision are strong assets that complement other geodetic measurement techniques and devices such as total stations, GNSS, terrestrial laser scanning, and close/mid-range photogrammetric techniques.

(Quasi-)stationary TRI systems are bound to relatively high frequencies (X- to Ku-band or even higher) to obtain reasonable spatial resolution in azimuth and yet the azimuth resolution is typically only in the order of tens of meters for range distances beyond a few kilometers. These aspects are limiting factors to obtain surface displacement maps at high spatial resolution for areas of interest at several kilometers distance and also for (slightly) vegetated slopes due to the fast temporal decorrelation at high frequencies.
 
Recently, we have implemented and demonstrated car-borne and UAV-borne repeat-pass interferometry-based mobile mapping of surface displacements with an in-house-developed compact L-band FMCW SAR system which we have deployed 1) on a car and 2) on VTOL UAVs (Scout B1-100 and Scout B-330) by Aeroscout GmbH [3,4]. The SAR imaging and interferometric data processing is performed directly in map coordinates using a time-domain back-projection (TDBP) approach [5,6] which precisely takes into account the 3-D acquisition geometry.

We have meanwhile further consolidated our experience with the repeat-pass SAR interferometry data acquisition, SAR imaging, interferometric
processing, and surface displacement mapping using the car-borne and UAV-borne implementations of our InSAR system based on a number of repeat-pass interferometry campaigns. In our contribution, we present the capabilities of this new InSAR-based mobile mapping system and we discuss the lessons learned from our measurement campaigns.
 

References:
[1] Caduff, R., Schlunegger, F., Kos, A. & Wiesmann, A. A review of terrestrial radar interferometry for measuring surface change in the geosciences. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 40, 208–228 (2015).
[2] Monserrat, O., Crosetto, M. & Luzi, G. A review of ground-based SAR interferometry for deformation measurement. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 93, 40–48 (2014).
[3] O. Frey, C. L. Werner, and R. Coscione, “Car-borne and UAV-borne mobile mapping of surface displacements with a compact repeat-pass interferometric SAR system at L-band,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Geosci. Remote Sens. Symp., 2019, pp. 274–277.
[4] O. Frey, C. L. Werner, A. Manconi, and R. Coscione, “Measurement of surface displacements with a UAV-borne/car-borne L-band DInSAR system: system performance and use cases,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Geosci. Remote Sens. Symp.IEEE, 2021, pp.628–631.
[5] O. Frey, C. Magnard, M. Rüegg, and E. Meier, “Focusing of airborne synthetic aperture radar data from highly nonlinear flight tracks,” IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., vol. 47, no. 6, pp. 1844–1858, June 2009.
[6] O. Frey, C. L. Werner, and U. Wegmuller, “GPU-based parallelized time-domain back-projection processing for agile SAR platforms,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Geosci. Remote Sens. Symp., July 2014, pp. 1132–113.

How to cite: Frey, O., Werner, C., Manconi, A., and Coscione, R.: High-resolution mobile mapping of slope stability with car- and UAV-borne InSAR systems, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8587, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8587, 2022.

EGU22-9087 | Presentations | NH6.4

The use of UAV-derived ultrahigh resolution data for the assessment of semiarid badland exposure to hazardous geomorphological processes: case of the Eastern Caucasus foothills 

Andrey Medvedev, Natalia Telnova, Natalia Alekseenko, Arseny Kudikov, Bashir Kuramagomedov, and Yaroslav Grozdov

Specific features of current semiarid landscape along the Eastern Caucasus foothills (so-called Dagestan extra-mountain region) are badlands formed on loess and clay deposits. The active piping, erosional and gravitational processes present a direct hazard for extensive grazing activities and infrastructure facilities accommodated here. The badlands topography is complicated with the abundance of diverse pseudokarst forms such as blind valleys, caverns, different sized and shaped sinkholes. Such typical patterns as chains of elongated sinkholes, marking the direction of underground flow along the bottoms of erosional forms, are rather distinguishable on satellite imagery with submeter spatial resolution. However, the real density and morphometric analysis of surface pseudokarst forms can be well mapped and analyzed only by means of remote sensing data with ultrahigh spatial and vertical resolution (about several decimeters). For the area in study we used UAV-derived data from 100 m altitude of survey to produced Digital Terrain Model (DTM) with resolution of 20 cm. The automatic extraction of DTM’s for semiarid badland with sparse desert steppe vegetation was rather simple but there is obvious limitations of using UAV data for morphometric analysis of the badland were manifested in the formation of the so-called "dead zones" in case of the large and deep sinkholes. For a complete three-dimensional reconstruction of the badland topography, the terrestrial laser scanning data were additionally involved.

As a result of the analysis of the DTM with very high resolution, derived highly-detailed morphometric and hydrological models were built, reflecting the complex structure and genesis of the badland topography. Automatic identification and mapping of sinkholes reveal the prevalence of large sinkholes with a diameter of 5-15 m and a depth of 1-3 m along the erosional valleys for the study area. Along the slopes more smaller sinkholes forms (up to 0.3 m in diameter and up to 1 m in depth) were identified, the complex network of gullies and micro-terraces pattern were clearly reconstructed. Identification and mapping of sites with high susceptibility to current processes of different genesis was done: in particular, the identified closed catchment micro-basins are areas of predominance of piping processes, while the escarpments in the upper parts of the steep slopes of the badlands are most affected by erosional processes with formation of micro-gullies.

Under regular monitoring of piping, erosional and gravitational processes remodeling the badland topography, it is necessary to carry out multitemporal UAV surveys at low altitudes along with terrestrial laser scanning data. Such complex approach will make it possible to identify more reliably the current ratio of surface and groundwater runoff, and to early allocate and warn the hazardous geomorphological processes.

How to cite: Medvedev, A., Telnova, N., Alekseenko, N., Kudikov, A., Kuramagomedov, B., and Grozdov, Y.: The use of UAV-derived ultrahigh resolution data for the assessment of semiarid badland exposure to hazardous geomorphological processes: case of the Eastern Caucasus foothills, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9087, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9087, 2022.

EGU22-9513 | Presentations | NH6.4

Remote sensing detection of climate-smart practices: Enhancing farm resilience in Austria 

Juan Carlos Laso Bayas, Martin Hofer, Ian McCallum, Gernot Bodner, Maxim Lamare, Olha Danylo, Victor Maus, David Luger, Linda See, and Steffen Fritz

Climate-smart agricultural practices are techniques that help crops to endure “extreme” weather events. Practices such as minimum or no tillage, crop rotations, and cover crops reduce wind and rain-driven erosion, enhance soil physical quality, and enable soil to store water for a longer time. Climate change has already led to an increased frequency of “extreme” weather events including prolonged dry spells and intense rain. From a farmer’s perspective, a clearer and more spatially explicit demonstration of how these practices can enhance the resilience of farms would support their accelerated uptake and thus result in increased food security. From a policy maker’s perspective, knowing the extent of adoption and location of these more resilient farms would enable them to produce policies that facilitate and promote the adoption of these practices, which can buffer the effects of climate change. The use of remote sensing to detect these practices would, therefore, benefit this process. Several existing remote sensing-derived indicators, such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), are already in use. They inform farmers and policy makers on, e.g., crop and nutrient status. A combination of existing and new remote sensing-derived indices is needed to facilitate and streamline the detection and promotion of climate-smart practices, but a lack of in-situ data to date has prevented the development and verification of new models of detection. The “SATFARM services” project, which brings together expertise in agriculture, remote sensing, and data analysis, aims to connect a large agricultural time-series data set, provided by the Austrian Chamber of Agriculture, with various remote-sensing derived indicators. The goal is to detect and track climate-smart practices and to display the results on a platform (https://apps.sentinel-hub.com/eo-browser/) accessible to farmers, researchers, and policy makers. This presentation will showcase the methodology employed, the initial results and the display of these indicators on the platform.

How to cite: Laso Bayas, J. C., Hofer, M., McCallum, I., Bodner, G., Lamare, M., Danylo, O., Maus, V., Luger, D., See, L., and Fritz, S.: Remote sensing detection of climate-smart practices: Enhancing farm resilience in Austria, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9513, 2022.

EGU22-10813 | Presentations | NH6.4

3D Reconstruction of the ancient church Santiago the Apostle, Morelos, Mexico as a follow up to the damage caused by the 2017 earthquake 

Jesús Eduardo Méndez Serrano, Jesús Octavio Ruiz Sánchez, Nelly Lucero Ramírez Serrato, Nestor López Valdés, and Mariana Patricia Jácome Paz

On September 19, 2017, Mexico was rocked by a 7.1 earthquake, causing an immense amount of damage in the states near the epicenter. This earthquake caused hundreds of damages in historical heritage, mainly in the states of Puebla, Oaxaca and Morelos. The patrimonial damages occurred were so extensive that they are prolonged till this day. Nepopualco Morelos was one of the towns that suffered great destruction by this shaking event. Their historical and main church, “Santiago the Apostle”, was  shattered in the shake, and the cleanup is still ongoing. The objective of this project was to create a 3D model of the Santiago the Apostle Church to view the process of restoration done by the National Institute of Anthropology and History (INAH). The 3D model obtained was the result of 478 images, which were captured by three different drone flights and a set of images shot on terrestrial. These flights were done by an Anafi Parrot drone, two circular flights and a double grid flight (180 and 256 images, respectively). For the purpose of obtaining a georeferenced accurate model, twelve ground control points were acquired in the field using a Emlid Reach RS+. The 3D model  presented in this project is a high-resolution model that allows the spatial analysis of the cabinet structure and represents a low-cost methodology. This model presents a centimeter resolution, while the error corresponds to 1.56%. The main contribution of this work is the obtainment of a 3D model of  Nepopualco´s historical church in which the final product shows the present stage of reconstruction done on the structural damages caused by the earthquake. The 3D reconstruction model will be delivered to the corresponding authorities of the National Institute of Anthropology and History. There is a possible consideration in creating other models that may help the INAH in the recovery process of cultural heritage affected by natural phenomena, as well as its structural mitigation. This project is the first effort on creating a digital catalog of these types of structures that make up Morelos’ historical heritage.
Acknowledgments:
Thanks to Arq. Antonio Mondragón from INAH,  Arq. Aimeé Mancilla and Arq.  Fabián Bernal Orozco for their facilities and support. We also want to thank Mr. Félix García Reyes and Gilberto García Peña, the community representatives, for their assistance in opening the entrance to the church.

How to cite: Méndez Serrano, J. E., Ruiz Sánchez, J. O., Ramírez Serrato, N. L., López Valdés, N., and Jácome Paz, M. P.: 3D Reconstruction of the ancient church Santiago the Apostle, Morelos, Mexico as a follow up to the damage caused by the 2017 earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10813, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10813, 2022.

EGU22-11192 | Presentations | NH6.4

Close-range hybrid solutions for glaciers instabilities monitoring 

Daniele Giordan, Niccolò Dematteis, Fabrizio Troilo, Paolo Perret, Simone Gotterdelli, and Luca Morandini

The dynamics that characterizes glaciers instabilities are often not well known because the study of these phenomena is done in many cases after their occurrence. A few examples of dedicated high resolution and high-frequency monitoring networks have been recently implemented to support risk assessment and management of glaciers affected by large potential instabilities.

The current climate trend and the rise of high mountain regions occupations by several anthropic activities have recently created areas affected by high potential risk due to the activation of glacial hazards, in particular during the summer season.

A few possible solutions are available: the substantial limitation of touristic exploitation of these areas or the management of the risk aimed to reduce the restrictions in accessing such high-value areas.

In this regard, it is required the implementation of high-resolution and high-frequency monitoring networks able to follow the evolution of the glacier and increase the knowledge of its dynamics.

In the Courmayeur municipality (Italy), the Planpincieux Glacier is a clear example of this critical condition: an active glacier with an unstable sector that could create a large ice avalanche that can reach the bottom of the valley, which is characterized by the presence of settlements and a famous touristic area.

For this reason, in the last decade, an innovative monitoring network has been implemented and tested in this very complex environment. The system comprises doppler radar, ground-based interferometric SAR and optical monitoring stations. The implementation of this hybrid network is a challenging task not only for the calibration of single instruments but also for the creation of network management that can acquire the dataset of different monitoring systems to obtain a precise representation of the evolution of the glacier. This is the final step that should be implemented for an effective strategy to support decision-makers.

How to cite: Giordan, D., Dematteis, N., Troilo, F., Perret, P., Gotterdelli, S., and Morandini, L.: Close-range hybrid solutions for glaciers instabilities monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11192, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11192, 2022.

EGU22-11334 | Presentations | NH6.4

Mapping Exposure to Landslides by Means of Artificial Intelligence and UAV Aerial Imagery in the Curvature Subcarpathians, Romania 

Zenaida Chitu, Ionut Sandric, Viorel Ilinca, and Radu Irimia

Curvature Subcarpathians is one of Romania's most complex geological and geomorphic areas, frequently affected by landslides. The juxtaposition of snowmelt and spring rainfalls triggers significant damages to roads and buildings every few years (2018, 2021). In this context, accurately delineating the most affected areas becomes critical for evaluating landslides exposure. Aerial images have begun to be used more and more for different risk assessment phases to detect natural phenomena spread and damaged infrastructure elements. In this study, we use fully automatic detection of the landslide body and infrastructure elements (intact or collapsed buildings and roads) to support Regional Civil Protection Agencies in disaster intervention decision support. Our methodology is based on deep learning techniques for automatic detection, mapping and classification of landslide and infrastructure elements. A U-Net model was trained to detect the landslide body, and several Mask RCNN models were trained to detect the landslide features and infrastructure elements. The training accuracy for the U-Net model used for landslide body mapping is 0.86, and the validation accuracy is 0.80. The training accuracy of the Mask RCNN models is 0.76 for landslide cracks, 0.82 for roads and 0.92 for buildings. Some confusions between landslide cracks and local roads without asphalt are often seen in rural areas. The models are run on high-resolution aerial imagery collected with Unammend Aerial Vehicles after a landslide event. The data obtained from the deep learning models are further integrated with information from various sources such as aerial/satellite imagery, online GIS resources, weather forecasts, and spatial analysis techniques for providing a helpful tool to emergency management specialists. The tools have been integrated into a GIS platform that acts as a decision support system, and it can be used from a graphical user interface without the need to have programming skills.

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by a grant of the Romanian Ministry of Education and Research, CCCDI - UEFISCDI, project number PN-III-P2-2.1-PED-2019-5152, within PNCDI III (project coordinator Ionuț Șandric, https://slidemap.gmrsg.ro) and by the project PN19450103 / Core Program (project coordinator Viorel Ilinca).

How to cite: Chitu, Z., Sandric, I., Ilinca, V., and Irimia, R.: Mapping Exposure to Landslides by Means of Artificial Intelligence and UAV Aerial Imagery in the Curvature Subcarpathians, Romania, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11334, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11334, 2022.

EGU22-12942 | Presentations | NH6.4

Flood detection products to support emergency management services in the Lombardy region 

Ignacio Gatti, Andrea Taramelli, Mario Martina, Serena Sapio, Maria Jimenez, Marcello Arosio, Emma Schiavon, Beatrice Monteleone, and Margherita Righini

Earth Observation (EO) environments have been increasing exponentially in the last decades. New generation of satellites are designed for monitoring climate related hazards, providing higher spatial and temporal resolution images. Hazards processes are triggered by anomalies in precipitation. The service will be able to provide information on the extent of the flood footprint. The test area is located south of the city of Milan, where the urban area of Pavia is located. There was an unexpected high runoff of the Ticino river that produced high water in the flood-plain surface, affecting the local population for three consecutive days and with a total damage estimate of 250,699 euro.

The identification of datasets counts on a broad availability of EO data processed, such as C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data from the Sentinel 1 satellite constellation together with X-band SAR data provided by the TerraSAR-X.  Methods include in-SAR coherence, by cross-multiplying the two SAR images or techniques like threshold with a final pixel size of Sentinel 1 of 8.9 m and 1.8 m of TerraSAR-X. Imagery from the 25th of November (Sentinel 1) with a VV (vertical transmit, vertical receive) polarization and from the 27th of November (TerraSAR-X) with a HH (for horizontal transmit and horizontal receive) polarization were selected. Different bands have different characteristics, for instance in penetration and spatial resolution.

Obtained products include urban footprint and flood detection maps. Results could provide an important decision support tool for a wide range of actors, including public authorities to support the preparedness, mitigation and response phases of the emergency management cycle. In addition, adaptation measurements, intervention and urban planning, as well as flood mitigation activities are additional benefits. Future analysis will include impact estimates and vulnerability analysis on the urban footprint area.

 

How to cite: Gatti, I., Taramelli, A., Martina, M., Sapio, S., Jimenez, M., Arosio, M., Schiavon, E., Monteleone, B., and Righini, M.: Flood detection products to support emergency management services in the Lombardy region, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12942, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12942, 2022.

EGU22-1080 | Presentations | GM6.5

­­­­Disentangling shallow sources of subsidence in an urbanized reclaimed coastal plain, Almere, South Flevopolder the Netherlands 

Manon Verberne, Kay Koster, Aris Lourens, Joana Esteves Martins, Jan Gunnink, Thibault Candela, and Peter Fokker

Reclaimed coastal plains often experience significant subsidence as a result of phreatic water level lowering, which induces oxidation of organic material, shrinkage of clay, and sediment compaction. A primary example in the center of the Netherlands, is the ‘South Flevopolder’ which was reclaimed in 1968 and transformed into an area for residential, industrial and agricultural use. The area subsided over 1.5 m since its reclamation and its surface is still lowering.

The city of Almere, with roughly 200.000 inhabitants and a surface area of c. 250 km2, is situated in the South Flevopolder. Most buildings in the city are founded in deeper Pleistocene sand, whilst objects such as parking lots, sport fields and playgrounds are often unfounded and are directly situated on the younger Holocene coastal deposits. Currently, the unfounded objects show subsidence rates as high as 5 mm per year for which the different subsidence rates  may be related to subsurface heterogeneities. The upper layers in the area are dominated by clay and sand, up to a few meters in thickness, which overly peat and highly organic layers. The lowering of the phreatic surface results in an erratic pattern of subsidence over the area.

We present a workflow to disentangle and parameterize the different contributions of shallow subsidence from Interferometric synthetic-aperture radar (InSAR) measurements. InSAR measurements from founded and unfounded scatterers are separated with a dimensionality reduction technique, t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE), followed by an automatic detection of clusters with Hierarchical Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (HDBSCAN). We have limited ourselves to structures with a construction date of >10 years with respect to the first InSAR measurement date to reduce the effect of construction-related consolidation and isolate the effect of shallow subsidence related to reclamation and phreatic surface level changes. The filtered dataset represents the surface response of unfounded structures in the urbanized reclaimed coastal area.

The subsidence processes are disentangled and parameterized with an Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ES-MDA). Additional input data for this method is provided by a phreatic groundwater level model and a voxelized lithological model from the surface towards the top of the Pleistocene sand layers.

We show that the automated data selection method prevents bias by selecting unfounded objects and the proposed workflow can be of aid when studying shallow subsidence in urbanized areas, where most objects are founded below the level at which shallow subsidence takes place. The results of this study quantify the rate of the different subsidence processes on a spatiotemporal scale and thus provide insights for tailored decision making to mitigate subsidence.

How to cite: Verberne, M., Koster, K., Lourens, A., Esteves Martins, J., Gunnink, J., Candela, T., and Fokker, P.: ­­­­Disentangling shallow sources of subsidence in an urbanized reclaimed coastal plain, Almere, South Flevopolder the Netherlands, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1080, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1080, 2022.

In August 2017, Hurricane Harvey brought record rainfall, elevated storm tide, flooding and socioeconomic devastation to southeastern Texas. Using the radar backscattering difference between Sentinel-1A/B satellite acquisitions, a snapshot of standing water at the time of the satellite acquisition is provided and compared with designated flood hazard zones.

Next, Vertical land motion (VLM) is found by combining GNSS with multitemporal interferometric processing of SAR datasets acquired by ALOS and Sentinel-1A/B satellites. Land subsidence is observed up to 49 mm/yr during the ALOS acquisition period (Jul-2007–Jan-2011) and 34 mm/yr for the Sentinel-1A/B (Dec-2015 to Aug-2017) acquisition periods. Of the flooded area, 85% subsided at a rate > 5 mm/yr supported by the Chi-square test of independence.

Hurricane Harvey and other recent storms highlight potential vulnerabilities of flood resilience plans in coastal Texas that will degrade with climate change and rising seas. Combining VLM with sea-level rise (SLR) projections and storm surge scenarios for the years 2030, 2050, and 2100, we quantify the extent of flooding hazards for the Houston and Galveston areas. VLM is resampled and projected on LIDAR high-resolution topographic grids, then multiple inundation and flooding scenarios are modeled. By the year 2100, over 76 km2 are projected to subside below sea level from VLM. Holding other variables constant, subsidence increases the area of inundation over SLR alone by up to 39%. Under the worst-case composite scenario of an 8-m storm surge, subsidence, and the SLR RCP8.5, the total affected area is 1,156 km2. These composite scenarios produce model maps which can improve flood resiliency plans.

How to cite: Miller, M. M. and Shirzaei, M.: Land subsidence correlated with flooding during Hurricane Harvey and the assessment of future flood hazards for Houston & Galveston Texas, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1300, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1300, 2022.

EGU22-1464 | Presentations | GM6.5

InSAR-derived present-day rates and drivers of coastal land subsidence at Capo Colonna, Italy 

Francesca Cigna and Deodato Tapete

The Capo Colonna promontory in southern Italy has long been affected by ground instability involving not only coastal erosion and loss of land, but also a noticeable subsidence process, both posing risk to houses and roads built onto the promontory, alongside its archeological site including Hera Lacinia’s sanctuary. Tectonic-induced submergence of some formerly exposed structures and sites and landward retreat up to 200 m were recorded over the centuries along the coastlines of this region. Anthropogenic activities associated with hydrocarbon exploitation add onto Capo Colonna’s ground deformation drivers, with an influence zone that appears to be mostly limited to the shallow-marine terrace that defines the promontory. Subsidence at the site has been monitored since 2005 with geodetic and geophysical methods by the national hydrocarbons authority and the archaeological superintendence. More recent investigations included satellite Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) techniques, that revealed −1 to −2 cm/year subsidence rates in 1992−2014 [1-2]. Artificial corner reflectors were also installed to enhance the backscattering properties of the archaeological site and the coastline, trying to ease identification of persistent and coherent scatterers suitable to act as InSAR monitoring targets [2]. This work extends the temporal coverage of past InSAR surveys using two 6 year-long big data stacks of ~300 Sentinel-1 IW scenes each [3], allowing the estimation of subsidence rates and patterns to date, with an unprecedented weekly temporal sampling. The Parallel Small BAseline Subset (P-SBAS) method integrated in ESA’s Geohazards Exploitation Platform (GEP) is used to run the advanced image processing workflow using a cloud environment. Present-day vertical rates are found in the order of −0.7 to −1.5 cm/year, with peaks of −2.3 cm/year. Two clear bands of east-west deformation are identified, with rates reaching ±1 cm/year and pointing towards the maximum subsidence center, i.e. west of a gas production well. While Sentinel-1 data corroborate the spatial association between land subsidence and gas extraction infrastructure (that was already observed in previous studies), the new results suggest an acceleration of the subsidence process with respect to its long-term trend. Some previously unknown short-term trend variations that overlapped onto the main subsidence process over the last few years are also highlighted, owing to the temporal granularity of the Sentinel-1 acquisitions. These outcomes contribute to advance the understanding of a local phenomenon studied for years, and prove the benefits that technical improvements in satellite observations can bring to refine coastal subsidence rates and distinguish driving factors.

 

[1] Tapete D., Cigna F. 2012. Site-specific analysis of deformation patterns on archaeological heritage by satellite radar interferometry. MRS Online Proceedings Library, 1374, 283-295. https://doi.org/10.1557/opl.2012.1397

[2] Cigna F. et al. 2016. 25 years of satellite InSAR monitoring of ground instability and coastal geohazards in the archaeological site of Capo Colonna, Italy. In: SAR Image Analysis, Modeling, and Techniques XVI, SPIE, Vol. 10003, id. 100030Q. https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2242095

[3] Cigna F., Tapete D. 2021. Sentinel-1 big data processing with P-SBAS InSAR in the Geohazards Exploitation Platform: an experiment on coastal land subsidence and landslides in Italy. Remote Sensing, 13, 885. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13050885

How to cite: Cigna, F. and Tapete, D.: InSAR-derived present-day rates and drivers of coastal land subsidence at Capo Colonna, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1464, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1464, 2022.

EGU22-1721 | Presentations | GM6.5

On the Disaster Risk Reduction of Land Subsidence in Indonesia's Northern Coastal Areas of Java 

Hasanuddin Z. Abidin, Heri Andreas, Irwan Gumilar, Teguh P. Sidiq, Dhota Pradipta, and Bambang D. Yuwono

Land subsidence has been observed in several locations along Indonesia's northern coast of Java, most notably in Jakarta, Indramayu, Semarang, Demak, and Pekalongan. It could be caused by a combination of natural and anthropogenic processes, such as excessive groundwater extraction, natural consolidation of alluvium soil, building and construction load, and tectonic activity. Observations using various geodetic methods, including Leveling, GPS, and InSAR, show that typical subsidence rates of 3-10 cm/year have occurred and continue to occur at these locations. The rates vary both spatially and temporally. Coastal subsidence causes coastal inundation, flooding, and infrastructure sinking and cracking, resulting in significant infrastructure, economic, environmental, and social losses. Coastal flooding and inundation are typically exacerbated by high tides, high waves, and heavy rain. Given the significant impact of land subsidence in the coastal area on community life activities and regional development, sustainable disaster risk reduction management must be used to prevent and mitigate land subsidence. Furthermore, because this phenomenon persists, both the government and the community must continue to adapt to its consequences. This paper describes the observations and effects of land subsidence on Java's north coast, specifically in Jakarta and Semarang. Initiatives and programs to aid in prevention, mitigation, and adaptation will be proposed and discussed.

How to cite: Abidin, H. Z., Andreas, H., Gumilar, I., Sidiq, T. P., Pradipta, D., and Yuwono, B. D.: On the Disaster Risk Reduction of Land Subsidence in Indonesia's Northern Coastal Areas of Java, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1721, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1721, 2022.

EGU22-2133 | Presentations | GM6.5

Ground subsidence and relative sea level rise in coastal areas of China 

Sihui Li, Jie Dong, Lu Zhang, and Mingsheng Liao

The global mean sea level rise (SLR) is accelerating and has reached 3.2 mm/yr over the last decades. Combining with local ground subsidence, relative sea level rise (RSLR) rate will be dozens of times the global mean sea level rise in some areas with serious subsidence. The RSLR will lead to an increase in the frequency of floods and storm surges, salinization of surface and ground waters, coastal erosion, and degradation of coastal habitats, which will have a serious impact on coastal cities and low-lying areas.

In this study, we combine satellite altimetry data with time series interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) to capture the distribution of RSLR rates along China's coastline. The Sentinel-1 SAR data from nine ascending tracks covering China’s coastal areas from 2016 to 2020 are used for SBAS analysis to obtain ground subsidence within the 100 km buffer zone of China’s coastline. The line of sight (LOS) deformation is projected to the vertical direction based on the incidence angle. Then 33 GNSS stations from Crustal Movement Observation Network of China whose three-dimensional velocities are known within the inertial terrestrial reference frame (ITRF) are used to calibrate and validate the obtained InSAR ground deformation rates. We use satellite altimetry products from Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) to calculate the sea level change, and four tide gauges from the national marine data center are used for validation purposes. The ground deformation rates are combined with SLR rates to calculate RSLR rates.

The results show that significant ground subsidence has occurred in some coastal areas of China, including Dalian and Jinzhou in Liaoning Province, Lianyungang, Huai 'an and Yancheng in Jiangsu Province, Ningbo, Zhoushan and Wenzhou in Zhejiang Province, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Zhuhai in Guangdong Province and so on. The subsidence in Tianjin, Tangshan, and Dongying are the most serious, with the maximum subsidence rate exceeding 200 mm/yr. Overexploitation of underground liquid resources such as water and oil is the main cause of ground subsidence in China's coastal areas. While in Shanghai, the ground subsidence has been effectively controlled with the decrease of groundwater exploitation and artificial recharge of aquifer systems.

The SLR rates in China's coastal areas are slightly higher than the global average, but the maximum is less than 6 mm/yr, which makes ground subsidence dominant in the analysis of RSLR and the distribution of RSLR is consistent with that of ground subsidence. Based on the profile analysis of RSLR along the coast, there are many places that have high RSLR rates due to ground subsidence, such as Tangshan, Tianjin, Dongying, Weifang, Lianyungang, Yancheng, Ningbo, Wenzhou, Zhuhai and so on, among which the RSLR rate in Dongying is close to 200 mm/yr. Understanding the distribution of RSLR can provide decision-making suggestions for the government’s urban planning of coastal cities.

How to cite: Li, S., Dong, J., Zhang, L., and Liao, M.: Ground subsidence and relative sea level rise in coastal areas of China, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2133, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2133, 2022.

EGU22-2549 | Presentations | GM6.5

Natural and anthropogenic factors shaping the shoreline of Klaipeda, Lithuania 

Vitalijus Kondrat, Ilona Sakurova, Egle Baltranaite, and Loreta Kelpsaite-Rimkiene

Port of Klaipeda is situated in a complex hydrological system, between the Curonian Lagoon and the Baltic Sea, at the Klaipeda strait in the South-Eastern part of the Baltic Sea. It has almost 300 m of jetties separating the Curonian Spit and the mainland coast, interrupting the main path of sediment transport through all South-Eastern coast of the Baltic Sea. Due to the Port of Klaipeda reconstruction in 2002 and the beach nourishment project, which was started in 2014, the shoreline position change tendency was observed. Shoreline position measurements of various periods can be used to derive quantitative estimates of coastal processes direction and intensity. This data can be used to further our understanding of the scale and timing of shoreline changes in a geological and socio-economic context. This study analyzes long and short-term shoreline position changes before and after the Port of Klaipeda reconstruction in 2002. Positions of historical shorelines from various sources were used, and the rates (EPR, NSM, and SCE) of shoreline changes have been assessed using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS). An extension of ArcGIS. K-means clustering was applied for shoreline classification into different coastal dynamic stretches. Coastal development has changed in the long-term (1984–2019) perspective: the eroded coast length increased from 1.5 to 4.2 km in the last decades. Coastal accumulation processes have been restored by the Port of Klaipeda executing the coastal zone nourishment project in 2014.

How to cite: Kondrat, V., Sakurova, I., Baltranaite, E., and Kelpsaite-Rimkiene, L.: Natural and anthropogenic factors shaping the shoreline of Klaipeda, Lithuania, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2549, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2549, 2022.

EGU22-3199 | Presentations | GM6.5 | Highlight

Localized coastal subsidence in Miami Beach and Surfside, Florida 

Shimon Wdowinski and Simone Fiaschi

We revisit our study of localized land subsidence in Miami Beach, which relied on SAR data from the 1990s (Fiaschi and Wdowinski, 2020) to detect changes in subsidence patterns and velocities. Our original study used ERS-1/2 data acquired during 1993-1999 and revealed that subsidence occurs in localized patches (< 0.02 km2) with a magnitude of up to 3 mm/yr. Most of the subsidence occurred in the western side of the city in urban areas built on reclaimed wetlands. We also detected one location of localized subsidence in the eastern part of the city, which centered at a 12-story condominium building. This building, Champlain's South Tower (CTS), collapsed on June 24th, 2021 resulting in the tragic death of 98 residents. The study revealed that the CTS slowly settled during the 6-years observation period (1993-1999), which may induce structural damage to the building, 20-30 years before the building’s collapse.

Following the tragic collapse of the CTS, societally important questions were raised by investigating teams, the media, and the public. In the current study we address some of these important questions:

  • Did the detected subsidence of the CTS in the 1990s have a differential component?
  • Did the CTS building continue subsiding after 1999?
  • Did other subsiding areas in Miami Beach continue to subside after 1999?
  • Did other areas in Miami Beach start subsiding after 1999? 
  • What is the significance of these findings?

The answer to the first question is based on a new post-processing of the ERS-1/2 solution, which revealed a small (0.5 mm/yr) differential component of the CTS building during 1993-1999. The answers to the next three questions were obtained from the analysis of Sentinel-1 data acquired during 2016-2021, which revealed a somewhat different subsidence field compared to the ERS-1/2 results. Finally, we used soil consolidation theory to explain the significance of the ERS-1/2 and Sentinel-1 results in terms of primary and secondary soil consolidation processes.

How to cite: Wdowinski, S. and Fiaschi, S.: Localized coastal subsidence in Miami Beach and Surfside, Florida, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3199, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3199, 2022.

EGU22-3943 | Presentations | GM6.5

A Federated Learning approach to use confidential hydrocarbon extraction data for investigating coastal subsidence 

Madelon Molhoek, Kay Koster, Merijn de Bakker, Thibault Candela, Joana Esteves Martins, and Peter Fokker

Hydrocarbon reservoirs can be situated below low-lying coastal plains. Extraction from these reservoirs are known to cause substantial amounts of subsidence. Yet, the relative contribution of hydrocarbon extraction to total subsidence is often ignored in many coastal areas around the world. The primary reason for such negligence is because hydrocarbon extraction data are often confidential and therefore difficult to access for scientific research purposes. Incorporating the effects of hydrocarbon extraction in coastal subsidence research is however critical, as reservoirs can be depleted for decades in a row, causing decimeters of subsidence. Furthermore, gas is recently labeled by the European Union as a ‘green energy,’ motivating countries to increase production from low-lying coastal areas. Therefore, taking coastal subsidence by hydrocarbon extraction into account with datasets that are commonly private is essential for understanding regional subsidence processes, and eventually to design mitigation or adaptation strategies. 

In this study, we present the outline of a workflow being developed to deploy hydrocarbon extraction data for subsidence modelling while acknowledging data privacy constraints. The targeted area is the urbanized coastal plain of Friesland (The Netherlands), which is subsiding by compaction of ca. 2-3 km deep gas reservoirs, as well as by surficial processes such as peat oxidation and clay shrinkage. 

The core of the method is a Federated Learning framework for Neural Networks on vertically partitioned data including cryptographic techniques. Federated Learning implies that a central model can be trained on data which is only stored locally. Therefore, the data does not leave the premises of the data-owner (in this case the hydrocarbon operator), to protect confidential information. Such a model trains at each dataset and only model-updates are sent back and aggregated to the central server. The trained model and its output are shared between the parties involved.  

Our workflow comprises a secure learning set-up for gas reservoir pressure depletion. The workflow uses the library FATE (FAir, Transparent and Explainable decision making), which combines secure inner sect (a Multi-Party Computation) techniques with a bottom and top split Neural Network, combining the outputs of the bottom models with an interactive layer. The technique of Neural Network was selected for flexibility in algorithms used, such as future intertwining of the workflow with physical models (e.g., transfer learning and physics informed neural networks). Current work focuses on extracting relevant information on feature importance causing subsidence from the Federate Learning framework without compromising confidentiality. 

Preliminary results show that a Federated trained model does not significantly increase the prediction error compared to a centrally trained model, suggesting that the developed approach can be a critical step forward in convincing hydrocarbon operators to provide their data in a confidential way. In this way, subsidence by hydrocarbon extraction can be integrated into overall coastal subsidence studies. 

How to cite: Molhoek, M., Koster, K., de Bakker, M., Candela, T., Esteves Martins, J., and Fokker, P.: A Federated Learning approach to use confidential hydrocarbon extraction data for investigating coastal subsidence, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3943, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3943, 2022.

EGU22-5138 | Presentations | GM6.5

Relative sea-level rise scenarios for 2100 in the Venice lagoon by integrated geodetic data, high-resolution topography and climate projections. New insights from the SAVEMEDCOASTS-2 Project. 

Marco Anzidei, Michele Crosetto, Josè Navarro, Cristiano Tolomei, Petros Patias, Charalampos Georgiadis, Antonio Vecchio, Fawzi Doumaz, Lucia Trivigno, Antonio Falciano, Michele Greco, Enrico Serpelloni, Silvia Torresan, Qui Gao, Anna Barra, Claudia Ferrari, Chiara Tenderini, Xenia Loizidou, and Demetra Orthodoxou

Here we show and discuss the results arising from the SAVEMEDCOASTS-2 Project (Sea Level Rise Scenarios along the Mediterranean Coasts - 2, funded by the European Commission ECHO) for the Venice lagoon (northern Italy). We used geodetic data from global navigation satellite system (GNSS), synthetic aperture radar interferometric measurements (InSAR) from Copernicus Sentinel-1A (S1A) and Sentinel-1B (S1B) sensors and sea-level data from a set of tidal stations, to show subsidence rates and SLR in this area. The lagoon is well known for centuries to be prone to accelerated SLR due to natural and anthropogenic land subsidence that is causing increasing events of flooding and storm surges exacerbated by climate change. We focused on selected zones of the lagoon, characterized by particular heritage, coastal infrastructures and natural areas where the expected RSLR by 2100 is a potential cause of significant land flooding and morphological changes of the land. Results of the multi-temporal flooding scenarios until 2100 are based on the spatially variable rates of vertical land movements (VLM), the topographic features of the area provided by airborne Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR) data and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR-5) projections of SLR in the Representative Concentration Pathways RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios. Our results show a diffuse land subsidence locally exceeding 9±2 mm/yr1. A variable RSLR between 0.62±0.12 m and 1.26±0.12 m is expected for 2100 AD in the RCP8.5 scenario. For this reference epoch, most of the investigated areas will be vulnerable to inundation in the next 80 years. A relevant concern is the protection of the historical city of Venice although the MOSE system has recently come into operation to prevent the effects of high tides in the lagoon. The hazard implications for the population living along the shore should push land planners and decision-makers to take into account long-term SLR scenarios in the definition and prioritization of adaptive pathways for a climate-resilient management of the Venice lagoon.

How to cite: Anzidei, M., Crosetto, M., Navarro, J., Tolomei, C., Patias, P., Georgiadis, C., Vecchio, A., Doumaz, F., Trivigno, L., Falciano, A., Greco, M., Serpelloni, E., Torresan, S., Gao, Q., Barra, A., Ferrari, C., Tenderini, C., Loizidou, X., and Orthodoxou, D.: Relative sea-level rise scenarios for 2100 in the Venice lagoon by integrated geodetic data, high-resolution topography and climate projections. New insights from the SAVEMEDCOASTS-2 Project., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5138, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5138, 2022.

Coastal landscapes are dynamic sites, with their evolution strongly linked with sea level variations and tectonic activity produced intense faulting at different temporal and spatial scales. Geomorphological features in the coastal area, such as beachrock formations, can function as indicators of the coastal landscape evolution through time. However, mapping beachrocks on coastal areas is fundamental to study beach evolution and the vulnerability of low-lying coasts to erosion and waves. Also, high resolution coastal maps are going to be obtained by using air photogrammetry (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle-UAV) to construct the changing dynamics of the coastal geomorphology of the region in recent years. Moreover, the existence of beachrocks and monitoring them in far-field sites provide a good potential indicator of former sea level position. Such a case is the northern coast of the Sea of Marmara (Tekirdag-Altinova coastal area), hosting submerged beachrocks bordering low-lying coasts. However, our knowledge of the submerged beachrocks in the Sea of Marmara coasts is limited and scarce.

 

The Tekirdag-Altinova coastal area lies in the western Marmara Region, being part of the Sea of Marmara. The western coasts of the Marmara Region include a number of natural features inherited from their coastal evolution. Typically, the western coasts of the Marmara Region are composed of a sandy beach, bordered by a low lying beachrock, a coastal lagoon and an alluvial plain. Furthermore, in this region relative sea level (RSL) changes during late Quaternary and its vicinity are generally not homogeneous as a result of the tectonic activity controlled by the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ) that played a crucial role in the coastal evolution at different periods of the region.

 

The aim of the study is to define spatial extent of the beachrocks, and to collect high-resolution aerial photos of the coastline in the study area. For this purpose, we performed coupled detailed aerial surveys with UAV, analysis of aerial photogrammetry and morphometric analysis to study beachrock outcrops found down to 2 m below the present sea level with a ~5 km coastal extend. In particular, it was used to generate a dense point cloud and successively a high resolution Digital Surface Model (DSM) of submerged beachrocks. Hereby, Structure from Motion (SfM) photogrammetry technique was exploited to a low-cost and effective UAV derived imagery to achieve monitoring submerged beachrocks. Then, we further carried out one or more underwater transects to measure width and depth of the beachrock slabs and sampled seaward and landward parts of each beachrock slab. As a result of our analysis, we aim to better elucidate monitoring the submerged beachrocks in the nearshore of the Tekirdag-Altinova coastal area and provide new insight to the RSL evolution.

How to cite: Özcan, O., Tarı, U., Sunal, G., and Yaltırak, C.: Monitoring beachrock and low-altitude aerial photogrammetry-UAV in the northern coast of the Sea of Marmara, Turkey: A tool for coastal evolution and relative sea level change, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5794, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5794, 2022.

EGU22-6617 * | Presentations | GM6.5 | Highlight

Implications of subsidence for coastal flood risk and adaptation in China 

Robert Nicholls and Jiayi Fang

Land subsidence is impacting large populations in coastal Asia via relative sea-level rise. This paper quantitatively assesses the risks and possible response strategies for China from 2020 to 2050, focusing on observed changes in urban and delta areas where subsidence is largest. Using observed subsidence rates as scenarios, flood impacts are assessed with the Dynamic and Interactive Vulnerability Assessment (DIVA) model framework. Land area, population and assets exposed to the 100-year coastal flood event by 2050 are approximately 20%-39%, 17%-37% and 18%-39% higher than assuming climate change only scenarios. Realistic subsidence control measures can reduce this growth in exposure, leading to 7% more exposed land, 6% more population and 7% more assets than due to climate change alone. This emphasizes that subsidence control, combined with upgraded coastal protection, is a plausible and desirable adaptation response for coastal China.

Our results emphasise that subsidence is degrading China’s coastal environment quality and well-being. Subsidence is nationally significant as people preferentially live in the subsiding areas. Compared with natural subsidence occurring and accumulating over centuries and longer, human-induced subsidence is more local and is usually much more rapid. The effects of human-induced subsidence are visible over relatively shorter timescales (i.e., decades). It reduces the effective protection levels of dikes and amplifies the consequences of failure of flood protection infrastructure. For example, subsidence in Shanghai, has required the flood defence walls to be raised four times since 1959, amounting to more than a three metre raise, requiring large expenditure and also enhancing residual risk.

Subsidence can also lead to saline intrusion and water logging thus affecting water quality, ecosystem service and agriculture. In urban areas, subsidence is greater than in rural environments, due to greater groundwater withdrawal and lowering of water tables enhancing consolidation in geologically young sediments. Significant land subsidence and deformation is also observed in new coastal reclamations such as Hong Kong, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Tianjin, where critical infrastructure is often located, such as airports. New reclamations should expect subsidence and design for it.

In conclusion, this research shows it is essential to understand and address subsidence and resulting relative sea-level rise across coastal China. Traditionally, subsidence is considered a local problem. This study demonstrates subsidence has national implications and there is a need for a national policy response: a combination of subsidence control and adaptation (e.g. higher dikes). More detailed national and regional assessments of flooding and subsidence are recommended include the costs and benefits of management in the context of climate-induced sea-level rise. The issues raised in this paper have global significance, particularly in south, south-east and east Asia. Similar assessments across these Asian nations and more systematic collection of subsidence data would facilitate improved responses to this issue.

How to cite: Nicholls, R. and Fang, J.: Implications of subsidence for coastal flood risk and adaptation in China, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6617, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6617, 2022.

EGU22-8682 | Presentations | GM6.5

Investigating the sources of surface mass loading signals in coastal GNSS permanent stations 

Jagat Dwipendra Ray, Walyeldeen Godah, Balaji Devaraju, and M Sithartha Muthu Vijayan

The GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) position time series contains various geophysical signals which can be grouped into tectonic and non-tectonic signals. The tectonic signals include the signals of crustal deformation, volcanic deformation, transient signals of the earthquake and even landslide. On the other hand, the non-tectonic signal contains contributions of various surface mass loadings induced by temporal mass variations within the Earth’s system. The effects of the tidal components of these temporal mass variations are generally get removed during routine GNSS data processing. However, the effects of non-tidal mass loading are typically removed in the post GNSS data processing stage. Therefore, a raw GNSS position time series provides an opportunity to study the sensitivity of a GNSS station towards various non-tidal mass loadings. The understanding of the effect of non-tidal mass loadings in coastal GNSS stations is very important as these coastal GNSS stations are generally used to constrain vertical land motions of Tide gauge stations.

The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of various non-tidal mass loadings, such as non-tidal ocean loading, non-tidal atmospheric loading, hydrological loading and sea level loading, in a few coastal GNSS permanent stations. The vertical GNSS position time series of these stations are obtained from the Nevada Geodetic Laboratory (NGL) and analysed using the seasonal decomposition method. The seasonal components of the GNSS position time series resulting from this analysis are assessed through surface deformations due to various surface mass loading effects provided by the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ). Furthermore, the resulted seasonal components of the GNSS position time series are also compared with the corresponding ones obtained from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment/GRACE Follow-On (GRACE/GRACE-FO) satellite missions data. The results of these assessments and comparisons are analysed and discussed from the perspective of surface deformations induced by non-tidal mass loadings at coastal GNSS stations.

How to cite: Ray, J. D., Godah, W., Devaraju, B., and Vijayan, M. S. M.: Investigating the sources of surface mass loading signals in coastal GNSS permanent stations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8682, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8682, 2022.

EGU22-9302 | Presentations | GM6.5

on GNSS-IR technique for measuring shallow sediment compaction 

Makan Karegar

The solid Earth aspects of relative sea-level change can dominate in low-lying coastal areas with potentially vulnerable to accelerating rates of sea-level rise. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) as companion tools to tide gauges allow long-term assessment of solid Earth deformation, thus essential for disclosing climate-forced mechanisms contributing to sea-level rise (SLR). So far, it has not been possible to measure shallow displacements that occur above the base of GNSS monument because conventional positioning determines the vertical component of position changes resulting from displacements occurring beneath the foundation. We use an emerging technique, GNSS interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR), to estimate the rate of this process in two coastal regions with thick Holocene deposits, the Mississippi Delta and the eastern margin of the North Sea. We show that the rate of land motion from shallow compaction is comparable to or larger than the rate of SLR. Since many of the world's great coastal cities are built on river deltas with comparable Holocene sections, our results suggest that estimates of flood risk and land loss have been underestimated. We demonstrate environmental impact of parking lots and streets surrounding several monitoring sites on GNSS measurements. Such kinematic environments will perturb the amplitude of reflected signals to GNSS sensors and leave time-variable imprints on GNSS observations. Thus, obtaining desirable reflections for shallow subsidence monitoring could be challenging.

How to cite: Karegar, M.: on GNSS-IR technique for measuring shallow sediment compaction, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9302, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9302, 2022.

EGU22-10589 | Presentations | GM6.5

Mapping subsidence in Lagos, Nigeria with Sentinel-1A/B Satellite Radar 

Joel Johnson, Kristy Tiampo, Eduard Heijkoop, Michael Willis, and Steven Nerem

Over 10 percent of the worlds’ population lives less than 10 meters above sea level(McGranahan et al,. 2007), at risk for rising seas and sinking coasts. In addition, coastal inhabitants preferentially live in locations that are subsiding (Nicholls et al,. 2021), representing a flooding threat to people and infrastructure in coastal cities. Findings from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPPC) outline the risks and impacts of sea level rise on flooding and identify a knowledge gap regarding the combined effects with coastal subsidence. When drivers of subsidence combine, they can generate sinking rates of 6-100mm/yr, an order of magnitude larger than the 3-10mm/yr for sea level rise (Erkens et al., 2015). 

Access to C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data through the European Space Agency (ESA) Sentinel-1A/B satellites and the upcoming NASA-ISRO SAR (NISAR)  mission provides increased opportunities for differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (DInSAR) monitoring. Here we provide results from a dockerized supercomputer workflow that rapidly generates DInSAR pairs from Sentinel-1 imagery using the JPL/Caltech/Stanford InSAR Scientific Computing Environment (ISCE)  processing software (Rosen et al., 2012) at ~10 meter resolution. Results from this workflow are used to create a time series of subsidence for Lagos, Nigeria, where rapid urban growth has led to accelerated subsidence throughout the city.

How to cite: Johnson, J., Tiampo, K., Heijkoop, E., Willis, M., and Nerem, S.: Mapping subsidence in Lagos, Nigeria with Sentinel-1A/B Satellite Radar, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10589, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10589, 2022.

EGU22-11861 | Presentations | GM6.5

Using Synthetic Aperture Radar Images to Monitor Sand Dredgers in Taiwan Strait 

Tsung Ying Tsai and Kuo Hsin Tseng

        With the unique geological setting, Taiwan Strait was formed by shallow bathymetry and gentle topography composed of sandy substrate types. The depth of this area seldom exceeds 100 m, and it could be shallower than 20 m in the Taiwan Shoal area. Therefore, in recent years, there have been frequent cases of illegal sand dredgers around the central of Taiwan Strait. Apart from destroying marine ecology, the greatest problem of illegal sand pumping is the consequential retreat of the neighboring coastline.

        To address this problem, the objective of this research aims to take advantage of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) technology in satellite remote sensing, and to monitor the spatiotemporal hotspots of unidentified vessels. SAR instruments have the advantages of superior penetration, high resolution, and independent from sunlight, making it a great tool for ocean object detection. This research uses Sentinel-1 SAR imagery as data source. We take Taiwan strait as study area and focused on Taiwan Shoal and the offshore of Matsu islands, which are the regions with higher number of cases of illegal sand dredging in recent years. The workflow is composed of four steps: image preprocessing, land masking, prescreening, and ship discrimination. Our preliminary results show that the developed algorithm can automatically detect targets over a specific size (>30 m), with an accuracy of >80% compared with the manually identified results. The hotspot of sand dredgers is changing in locations in the last three years, with the peak number occurred in 2019. It is concluded that Sentinel-1 SAR image has the ability to serve as a tool for ship detection.

How to cite: Tsai, T. Y. and Tseng, K. H.: Using Synthetic Aperture Radar Images to Monitor Sand Dredgers in Taiwan Strait, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11861, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11861, 2022.

G4 – Satellite Gravimetry, Gravity and Magnetic Field Modeling

EGU22-1168 | Presentations | G4.1

A Tool for  Accelerometer Modeling 

Arthur Reis, Alexey Kupriyanov, and Vitali Müller

    Accelerometers are integral part of the science instrument payloads of space based gravimetry and gravitational wave measurements. These are either used to detect the actuating forces on the body of the spacecraft, to enable a drag-free scenario where a test mass will follow a geodesic, or combined in pairs as to build a gradiometer. From a technological standpoint, different techniques have been used to measure the acceleration, from capacitance reading, to optical interferometry, to cold atom interferometry. As the next generation gravimetry missions are considered, there is a need to assist the design of this instrument, preferentially without having to recreate a model for each family of devices within the same framework, in order to simulate its performance and to enable the best science return.
    
    Here is presented a tool to model and simulate accelerometers. This comprises a Simulink library containing the components and their associated Matlab scripts. It is being developed to be modular, parametric, agnostic in respect of measurement technique, flexible in the mode of operation of the instrument, and instantiable to accommodate scenarios with multiple accelerometers on one or more spacecrafts. This tool can run as a standalone simulation, with multiple arbitrary generated noise inputs to obtain the overall noise budget and also can be integrated with XHPS, a Simulink library that simulates satellite dynamics with high precision gravity field models, to calculate the in-flight instrument sensitivity.

How to cite: Reis, A., Kupriyanov, A., and Müller, V.: A Tool for  Accelerometer Modeling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1168, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1168, 2022.

EGU22-1231 | Presentations | G4.1

Gravitational Potential Difference Between Optical-Atomic Clocks onboard China Space Station (CSS) and Ground Station via Optical Time Transfer links 

Abdelrahim Ruby, Wenbin Shen, Ahmed Shaker, Pengfei Zhang, Ziyu Shen, and Mostafa Ashry

High accuracy and stability of time and frequency transfer links are significant to realizing high-precision time synchronization in geodesy, navigation, and metrology. Also, the current and future challenges for space and ground geodetic observatories are to transfer high-stability time and frequency signals between remote locations. Therefore, future optical spatial links, such as Laser Time Transfer (LTT) on China Space Station (CSS) which will equip with atomic clocks and optical clocks with stabilities of 2 × 10−16 and 8 × 10−18, respectively, are a promising technique for high-precision time transfer links, because laser time transfer links are highly accurate, with fewer delays, and unambiguous observable compared to microwave domain links. The most promising applications for optical time transfer links and optical clocks are fundamental physics and relativistic geodesy. For instance, gravitational redshift test and determination of relativistic geoid. Based on the gravitational frequency shift effect predicted by General Relativity Theory (GRT), this study discusses an approach for determining the gravitational potential difference between optical-atomic clocks onboard China Space Station (CSS) and ground station via optical time transfer link, which could have potential applications in geoscience. For testing purposes, we will use the observations of the Time Transfer by Laser Link (T2L2) on the Jason-2 mission to evaluate the performances of the data analysis algorithm. This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundations of China (NSFC) under Grants 42030105, 41721003, 41804012, 41974034, 41631072, 41874023, Space Station Project (2020)228, and the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China under Grant 2019CFB611.

How to cite: Ruby, A., Shen, W., Shaker, A., Zhang, P., Shen, Z., and Ashry, M.: Gravitational Potential Difference Between Optical-Atomic Clocks onboard China Space Station (CSS) and Ground Station via Optical Time Transfer links, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1231, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1231, 2022.

EGU22-1402 | Presentations | G4.1

Potentiality of Multi-GNSS precise point positioning time transfer with ambiguity resolution in determining gravity potential 

Wei Xu, Wenbin Shen, Lihong Li, Lei Wang, An Ning, and Ziyu Shen

In this study the time transfer algorithms of the precise point positioning (PPP) and integer PPP (IPPP) are extended to Global Positioning System (GPS), Global Navigation Satellite System (GLONASS), BeiDou Navigation Satellite System (BDS) and Galileo Navigation Satellite System (Galileo). Taking BRUX-OPMT, BRUX-PTB, BRUX-WTZR, and BRUX-CEBR four-time links as an example, the performances of the PPP and the IPPP time transfer of the GPS, BDS, Galileo and GLONASS systems are compared and analyzed. The results show that the performances of GPS and Galileo are better than those of BDS and GLONASS. With an ambiguity resolution, the frequency instability in time transfer can reach sub 10-16 level after five days. Compared with the PPP solutions, the long-term frequency stability of IPPP is improved by above 15% on average. If the frequency instability of the clock reaches 1 × 10-18, an equivalent altitude difference of 1.0 cm can be sensed with the help of the PPP or IPPP time transfer technique. High-precision GNSS time transfer methods, especially the IPPP time transfer techniques with their advantages in long-term stability, will provide prospective applications for determining the gravity potential, measuring height, and unifying the world height system. This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundations of China (NSFC) under Grants 42030105, 41721003, 41804012, 41631072, 41874023, Space Station Project (2020)228, and the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China under Grant 2019CFB611.

Keywords  Multi-GNSS  PPP  Ambiguity resolution  Time transfer  Gravity potential

How to cite: Xu, W., Shen, W., Li, L., Wang, L., Ning, A., and Shen, Z.: Potentiality of Multi-GNSS precise point positioning time transfer with ambiguity resolution in determining gravity potential, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1402, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1402, 2022.

EGU22-1743 | Presentations | G4.1

Detection of Time Variable Gravity Signals using Terrestrial Clock Networks 

Asha Vincent, Juergen Mueller, and Hu Wu

Local gravity potential variations can be determined from the frequency differences of high-performance optical clocks at different locations. Case studies for three regions affected by different mass change processes - Himalaya, Amazon and Greenland - provide promising results. Time-varying gravity signals can be observed with clocks that achieve fractional frequency uncertainties of 10-18 corresponding to 0.1 m2/s2 in gravity potential variation. As the clocks rest on the deformable earth surface, clock observations do not only include potential variations due to mass changes but also associated variations due to the vertical deformation of the land. For the simulations, vertical displacements were derived from real GNSS measurements, and mass variations were computed from GRACE solutions. In the Himalayan region, seasonal variations with a maximum range of [-0.2 0.2] m2/s2 were obtained. There, early and long-lasting precipitation patterns in North East India and the gradual spreading towards the West can be potentially observed by a dedicated clock network. In the case study for the Amazon region, seasonal variations with a maximum range of [-0.5 0.5] m2/s2 to be observed by clocks also reveals the Amazon’s seasonal secrets of annual rainfall variability at the north and south of the equator. The rainy season in the north of the equator is during the summer season from June to August, but from November to April in the south of the equator. The long-term trend of the ice mass loss in Greenland between 2004 and 2015 causes signals of potential variations of 1 m2/s2 that again can be observed by clock measurements. Especially, the higher rates of potential mass variations in the west and south parts of Greenland can well be observed. These examples illustrate impressively that terrestrial clock networks can be used as a modern tool for detecting various time-variable gravity signals for understanding the local patterns of the variations and for providing complementary information.    

Acknowledgment: 

This study has been funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany's Excellence Strategy EXC 2123 Quantum Frontiers - Project-ID 90837967 and the SFB 1464 TerraQ - Project-ID 434617780 within project C02. 

How to cite: Vincent, A., Mueller, J., and Wu, H.: Detection of Time Variable Gravity Signals using Terrestrial Clock Networks, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1743, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1743, 2022.

EGU22-1871 | Presentations | G4.1

Defining a Unified Height System for Africa using Relativistic Geodetic Approaches. 

Mostafa Ashry, wenbin Shen, ziya Shen, Zhang Pengfei, Abdelrahim Ruby, and Hussein Abd-Elmotaal

Establishing an International Height Reference Frame (IHRF) has been a major goal of the International Association of Geodesy (IAG) for a long time. The scope of this study is to define a unified height system for Africa using the advantages of relativistic geodetic approaches via spatial time-frequency links. We propose a ground clock network connected with the ACES (Atomic clocks ensemble in Space) by frequencies transfer. The gravitational potential of the ACES will be determined using a gravity field model. The ground stations include stationary clocks as the backbone of the frame. Frequency transfer between the ACES and these stations will be simulated. The gravitational potential differences between the ACES and the ground stations will be computed using the tri-frequency combination method. Finally, the gravitational potential of the ground stations will be determined and converted to orthometric height. The TFC uses the uplink of carrier frequency 13.475 GHz (Ku band) and downlinks of carrier frequencies 14.70333 GHz (Ku band) and 2248 MHz (S-band) to transfer frequency signals. Here we present a simulation experiment. In this experiment, we use the international space station (ISS) orbit data, ionosphere and troposphere models, regional gravitational potential and geoid for Africa, solid Earth tide model, and simulated clock data by a conventionally accepted stochastic noises model. We consider various effects, including the Doppler effect, second-order Doppler effect, atmospheric frequency shift, tidal effects, refraction caused by the atmosphere, and Shapiro effect, with accuracy levels of decimetres. This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundations of China (NSFC) under Grants 42030105, 41721003, 41804012, 41631072, 41874023, Space Station Project (2020)228, and the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China under Grant 2019CFB611.

How to cite: Ashry, M., Shen, W., Shen, Z., Pengfei, Z., Ruby, A., and Abd-Elmotaal, H.: Defining a Unified Height System for Africa using Relativistic Geodetic Approaches., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1871, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1871, 2022.

EGU22-1949 | Presentations | G4.1

Measuring Height Difference Using Two-Way Satellite Time And Frequency Transfer 

Peng Cheng, WenBin Shen, Xiao Sun, Chenghui Cai, Kuangchao Wu, and Ziyu Shen

According to general relativity theory, the clock at a position with lower geopotential ticks slower than an identical one at a position with higher geopotential. Here, we provide a geopotential determination using a non-transportable hydrogen clock and a transportable hydrogen clock for altitude transmission based on the two-way satellite time and frequency transfer (TWSTFT) technique. First, we set one hydrogen clock on the fifth floor and another hydrogen clock on the ground floor of a building in Beijing, with their height difference of 22.8 m measured by tape, and compared the time difference between these two clocks by TWSTFT for 13 days. Then, we set both clocks on the ground floor and compared the time difference between the two clocks for 7 days for the purpose of the zero-baseline calibration (synchronization). Based on the measured time difference between the two clocks at different floors, we obtained the height difference 28.0±5.4 m, which coincides well with the tape-measured result. This experiment provides a method of height propagation using precise clocks based on the TWSTFT technique. This study is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41721003, 42030105, 41631072, 41804012, 41874023, 41974034), Space Station Project (2020)228 and Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province (grant No. 2019CFB611).

How to cite: Cheng, P., Shen, W., Sun, X., Cai, C., Wu, K., and Shen, Z.: Measuring Height Difference Using Two-Way Satellite Time And Frequency Transfer, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1949, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1949, 2022.

EGU22-2016 | Presentations | G4.1

Monitoring crustal vertical deformation by optical clocks network 

Anh The Hoang and WenBin Shen

Optical clocks with increasingly high accuracy have broadened scopes of applications of atomic clocks in scientific community as well as in life. One of the applications of optical clocks is based on the Einstein’s general relativity theory (GRT) to determine geopotential as well as orthometric height. The GRT concludes that a clock at a higher position (with a lower geopotential) will run faster than a clock at a lower position (with a higher geopotential). Therefore, relativistic geodesy has studied and come to the conclusion: using a clock with a stability of 10-18, the height difference will be determined with an accuracy of 1 cm. Currently, optical clocks with a stability of 10-19 have been created in the laboratory, which help scientists investigate prospective applications of the clocks in geodesy. One of the issues that scientists are interested in is monitoring the vertical deformation of the Earth's crust such as slow sliding events, earthquakes, volcanoes, etc. Here, we propose an optical clock network model for monitoring the vertical deformation of the Earth's crust. The optical clocks will be located at the fault layers and connected by fiber optic cables. The advantage of using a clock network over other classical methods (spirit leveling, GNSS) is that it is not only convenient and accurate (centimeter level or higher) but also not restricted by measurement time and geographic conditions. This study is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (grant Nos. 42030105, 41721003, 41631072, 41874023, 41804012), and Space Station Project (2020)228.

Key words: GRT, optical clocks network, orthometric height, crustal vertical deformation.

How to cite: Hoang, A. T. and Shen, W.: Monitoring crustal vertical deformation by optical clocks network, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2016, 2022.

EGU22-2023 | Presentations | G4.1

Sensor and performance modelling of an optical accelerometer for future gravity field missions 

Alexey Kupriyanov, Arthur Reis, Manuel Schilling, Vitali Müller, and Jürgen Müller

Electrostatic accelerometers (EA) are one of the limiting factors of space gravimetry missions dominating the error contribution at low frequencies (<10−3Hz). The focus of this study is on the modelling of an optical accelerometer that can improve gravity field retrieval to unprecedented accuracy. Contrary to GRACE(-FO) or GOCE accelerometers, optical accelerometers sense the motion of the test mass (TM) in one or more axes by applying laser interferometry. Combination of sensing in multiple directions and of several test masses would lead to enhanced gradiometry which would improve the determination of the static gravity field to a higher spatial resolution. Modelling of the above-mentioned accelerometer blocks in Matlab Simulink allows to simulate various TM measurement scenarios for satellite missions under different conditions, e.g. dedicated satellite configurations, various non-gravitational forces, etc. This research is based on very promising results of the mission LISA-Pathfinder (LPF) which has demonstrated the benefit of a drag-free system in combination with optical accelerometry that allowed sensing of non-gravitational accelerations several orders of magnitude more accurate than those of current gravity missions like GRACE-FO. This research project is carried out in close collaboration with the IGP and the DLR-SI, to provide - on the long run - a roadmap for improved angular and linear accelerometry for the next generation of gravity field missions.

In this presentation, we now introduce a functional model of 6 degrees-of-freedom (DoF) optical accelerometer and compare its output with the measurements of electrostatic accelerometers for the dual satellite configuration, i.e. GRACE-FO mission. Also, the current state of the Simulink implementation of the accelerometer model which are mainly developed by IGP are presented. Finally, the simulated gravity gradients from the novel gradiometer based on the optical accelerometers are demonstrated as well as benefits that can be acquired from this sensor.

This project is funded by: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) – Project-ID 434617780 – SFB 1464.

How to cite: Kupriyanov, A., Reis, A., Schilling, M., Müller, V., and Müller, J.: Sensor and performance modelling of an optical accelerometer for future gravity field missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2023, 2022.

EGU22-2158 | Presentations | G4.1

Geopotential measurement with a robust, transportable Ca+ optical clock 

Yao Huang, Hua Guan, and Kelin Gao

We present a robust, transportable Ca+ optical clock, with a systematic uncertainty of 1.3 × 10−17 limited
by the black-body radiation (BBR) field evaluation and an uptime rate of >75% over a 20-day period. The
clock is then installed in an air-conditioned car trailer, making it more convenient for applications. Referenced
to a stationary laboratory clock, geopotential measurements are made with the transportable clock with a total
uncertainty of 0.33 m (statistically 0.25 m and systematically 0.22 m) and agree with the spirit level measurement.
After being moved >1200 km, the absolute frequency of the Ca+ optical clock transition is measured
as 411 042 129 776 400.41(23) Hz, with a fractional uncertainty of 5.6 × 10−16, which is about one order
of magnitude smaller than our previous measurement. The transportable built can be used for sub-meter-level
elevation measurements, comparing intercontinental optical clocks, verifying basic physical theories, etc.

How to cite: Huang, Y., Guan, H., and Gao, K.: Geopotential measurement with a robust, transportable Ca+ optical clock, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2158, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2158, 2022.

EGU22-2841 | Presentations | G4.1

Characteristics of Differential Lunar Laser Ranging 

Mingyue Zhang, Jürgen Müller, Liliane Biskupek, and Vishwa Vijay Singh

With more than 50 years of distance measurements for tracking the Moon from Earth by using laser pulses, Lunar Laser Ranging (LLR) plays an important role in many research fields, e.g., relativity tests and lunar interior modelling. However, due to the limited LLR accuracy, mainly caused by the Earth’s atmosphere, some Earth-Moon parameters can only be determined with poor quality and certain details of the lunar interior cannot be assessed. A new laser station of JPL will enable a new technique of lunar tracking: Differential Lunar Laser Ranging (DLLR). The DLLR observation is the difference of any two consecutive ranges obtained by fast switching of a station between two or more reflectors. Because of the large reduction of the Earth’s atmospheric error, a big improvement of the observation accuracy of about 30 µm can potentially be obtained. Therefore, DLLR will provide an excellent chance to estimate various parameters with higher accuracies and to achieve a better understanding of the lunar interior. It is also expected to be beneficial for relativity tests, e.g., related to the equivalence principle (EP). For the comparison of DLLR and LLR with respect to the parameter sensitivity, correlation and accuracy, simulated DLLR data has been generated having the same distribution, time span and number of observations as LLR. DLLR and LLR keep the same sensitivity for one group of parameters which include, e.g., the lunar rotation parameters. However, owing to the cancelling effect of DLLR on the station side, DLLR is less sensitive for a second group of parameters, e.g., for the station coordinates. But this can be compensated by its high measurement accuracy. The parameter accuracy of the second group estimated using DLLR remains at the same level as that obtained by LLR, while the parameter accuracy of the first group is significantly enhanced. The DLLR concept increases the correlation of reflectors and stations. Fortunately, some decorrelation can be reached by selecting a larger switching interval from one reflector to the next (e.g., 15 min instead of 1.5 min). Besides the Newtonian parameters, DLLR can also improve the estimation of the relativity parameters. In this presentation, we illustrate the basic principles of DLLR, its typical characteristics and quantify the potential improvement for the determination of various parameters of the Earth-Moon system.

Acknowledgement. This research was funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy–EXC-2123 QuantumFrontiers–390837967.

How to cite: Zhang, M., Müller, J., Biskupek, L., and Singh, V. V.: Characteristics of Differential Lunar Laser Ranging, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2841, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2841, 2022.

EGU22-3208 | Presentations | G4.1

Filling GRACE Gaps Using GRACE-Derived Time Varying Model  

Hussein A. Mohasseb, Hussein A. Abd-Elmotaal, and WenBin Shen

Using time-variable gravity field models has recently become essential for studying the hydrology change, ice melting, Earth’s crust deformation, etc. One of the most successful missions for establishing the time-variable gravity field model is the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission and its successor GRACE-Follow On (GARCE-FO) mission. However, the eleven-month gap between the end of GRACE's life span and the start of GRACE-FO observations hinders the study continuation. This investigation is devoted to model the GRACE data using time-variable gravity field model employing a smart least-squares regression technique. The GRACE-derived time-variable gravity field model is validated first using available GRACE data used in the modeling technique (to measure the internal precision of the model) as well as using available GRACE data which have not been used in the modeling technique (to measure the external accuracy of the model). The assessment of the derived model has been carried out at two different levels in the frequency domain (through the harmonic coefficients and the degree variances) and in the space domains (through the total water storage change in Africa). The GRACE-derived time-variable gravity field model has then been used to fill in the GRACE/GRACE-FO gap. A comparison among the existing techniques of filling-in the GRACE gaps versus the derived technique within the current investigation is given and widely discussed. This study is supported by the National Natural Science Foundations of China (NSFC) under Grants 41874023, 41721003, 41631072.

Keywords: GRACE, GRACE-FO, Gravity, GRACE gap, TWS, Least square adjustment. 

How to cite: Mohasseb, H. A., Abd-Elmotaal, H. A., and Shen, W.: Filling GRACE Gaps Using GRACE-Derived Time Varying Model , EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3208, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3208, 2022.

EGU22-3535 | Presentations | G4.1

Sensing individual components of atmospheric mass variability with future satellite gravimetry missions 

Henryk Dobslaw and Kyriakos Balidakis

Observations of the time-variable gravity field by means of GRACE and GRACE-FO are long known to be impacted by atmospheric non-tidal mass variability. To avoid aliasing artifacts from high-frequency mass variations into the Level-2 monthly gravity fields that are being calculated routinely out of the mission data, the impact of atmospheric mass variations is reduced with a time-variable background model based on ECMWF operational and reanalysis data (i.e., AOD1B). Future satellite constellations based on low-low satellite-to-satellite tracking in a double pair configuration as currently jointly explored by NASA and ESA within the MCM/MAGIC mission concept have the ability to directly observe atmospheric mass variations down to much shorter time-scales so that (possibly erroneous) background models might not be necessary anymore in the future. 

By means of two modern global atmospheric reanalyses ERA5 and MERRA2, we will assess the impact of non-tidal atmospheric mass variability for both the total atmospheric signal as well as its individual components (i.e., dry atmospheric mass; water vapor partial pressure; atmospheric moisture flux divergences, etc.). Results will be presented for different frequency bands (< 3days; 3-10 days; 10-30 days) and contrasted against the differences between ERA5 and MERRA2 as a measure of the present-day uncertainties in large-scale atmospheric modelling. This analysis will allow to explore the potential contribution of gravimetric satellite observations to future atmospheric reanalysis efforts -- or eventually even operational numerical weather prediction as long as the latency of satellite gravimetric data can be drastically improved.

How to cite: Dobslaw, H. and Balidakis, K.: Sensing individual components of atmospheric mass variability with future satellite gravimetry missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3535, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3535, 2022.

EGU22-5697 | Presentations | G4.1 | Highlight

Quantum navigation with multi-axis atomic interferometry and hybrid 

Yueyang Zou, Mouine Abidi, Philipp Barbey, Ashwin Rajagopalan, Christian Schubert, Matthias Gersemann, Dennis Schlippert, Sven Abend, and Ernst M. Rasel

Atomic interferometers use the interference of cold or ultra-cold matter waves and are a promising tool for high-precision inertial sensors. The principle of freedom from drift of such sensors is an interesting property for autonomous navigation. In this context, a compact geometry of differential atomic interferometers to differentiate between accelerations and rotation rates is demonstrated and a concept for a compact six-axis sensor is presented [1]. It is based on our experimental studies on atom-chip-based interferometry [2] in combination with atom-chip sources for a high flux of condensed atoms [3]. Hybrid approaches that implement a fusion with classic sensors can remove the limitations of previous quantum sensors in terms of data rate and bandwidth [4].

So far, various components of quantum navigation based on laboratory systems have been demonstrated and their application tested in controlled environments. Current projects and proposals aim to qualify the first sensors for field use. They rely on either commercially available sub-systems or, in some cases, custom-made products and integrate them into laboratory environments. We hereby present our preliminary system design with Bose-Einstein condensates (BECs) of 87Rb atoms for a transportable demonstrator aiming at a multi-axis inertial sensor, for the precise measurement of accelerations and rotation.

 

We acknowledge financial support from the Deutsche Forschungs-gemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy - EXC-2123 QuantumFrontiers - 390837967 and through the CRC 1227 (DQ-mat), as well as support from DLR with funds provided by the BMWi under grant no. DLR 50RK1957 (QGyro) and DLR 50NA2106 (QGyro+).

 

[1] M. Gersemann, et al. Eur. Phys. J. D, 74 10 203, 2020

[2] S. Abend et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 117, 203003, 2016

[3] J. Rudolph et al., New J. Phys. 17, 065001, 2015.

[4] L.L. Richardson, et al. Commun. Phys. 3, 208, 2020

How to cite: Zou, Y., Abidi, M., Barbey, P., Rajagopalan, A., Schubert, C., Gersemann, M., Schlippert, D., Abend, S., and Rasel, E. M.: Quantum navigation with multi-axis atomic interferometry and hybrid, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5697, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5697, 2022.

EGU22-6448 | Presentations | G4.1

Laser Ranging Interferometers in GRACE-FO and for NGGM - Status 

Vitali Müller, Laura Müller, Malte Misfeldt, Henry Wegener, Markus Hauk, Gerhard Heinzel, Kai Voss, and Kolja Nicklaus

The Laser Ranging Interferometer (LRI) onboard the GRACE Follow-On mission is operational for almost four years. It provides high-quality ranging data with a noise below 1 nm/√Hz at Fourier frequencies around 1 Hz, as well as attitude information with respect to the line-of-sight between the two spacecraft. Future missions are being developed by ESA under the name Next Generation Gravity Mission (NGGM) and on US-side as so-called Mass Change Mission (MCM), and in a joint frame as Mass Change and Geosciences International Constellation (MAGIC).

In this presentation, we discuss the basic working principle of the LRI and show some advantages of the design. The low ranging noise below 35 mHz Fourier frequency allows to retrieve finer structures of Earth’s gravity field than possible with conventional microwave ranging. In contrast, the low fluctuations at higher frequencies are useful to characterize the satellite platforms, e.g., thrusters and impulse-like non-gravitational accelerations, potentially from impacts of micrometeorites. We address the learned lessons from the instrument so far and sketch the challenges and development efforts ongoing for the upcoming missions.

How to cite: Müller, V., Müller, L., Misfeldt, M., Wegener, H., Hauk, M., Heinzel, G., Voss, K., and Nicklaus, K.: Laser Ranging Interferometers in GRACE-FO and for NGGM - Status, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6448, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6448, 2022.

EGU22-8513 | Presentations | G4.1

Optimization and characterization of a differential quantum gravimeter 

Camille Janvier, Vincent Ménoret, Sébastien Merlet, Arnaud Landragin, Franck Pereira dos Santos, and Bruno Desruelle

Measuring the acceleration of the Earth’s gravity g and the gravity gradient simultaneously and at the same location promises to provide enhanced information about the distribution of underground masses, especially at shallow depths [1]. Quantum sensors relying on Atom Interferometry with laser cooled-atoms [2,3] is a technology of choice to implement such new sensing capability and an industry-grade demonstrator has been recently developed [4] by iXblue.

This Differential Quantum Gravimeter (DQG) has been operational for more than two years and has demonstrated state-of-the-art sensitivity mainly limited by Quantum Projection Noise down to a noise floor at about 40E/sqrt(tau). We will present as well a 21 day long run with the demonstration of a resolution below 1E for the measurement of the vertical gravity gradient (1E = 10-9 s-2 = 0.1 µGal/m) and 0.5 µGal for the measurement of g. Moreover in order to illustrate the potential for mass balance monitoring and gravity survey we will present a proof-of-principle experiment with realistic masses and measurement duration. We will provide insight on an previsional accuracy budget and main biases.

The compactness of the instrument and the field-tested technology [5] on which it is based, allows to consider the deployment of this new sensor in real environment as a future short-term outcome to investigate both spatial and temporal mass balance in the field. Promising case studies will be discussed, as this type of sensor can sense mass changes that are not detected by gravimeters.

[1] G. Pajot, O. de Viron, M. M. Diament, M. F. Lequentrec-Lalancette, V. Mikhailov, GEO-PHYSICS 73, 123 (2008).

[2] R.Geiger, A.Landragin, S.Merlet, F.P.D.Santos, AVS QuantumScience 2, 024702(2020).

[3] V. Ménoret et al., "Gravity measurements below 10−9 g with a transportable absolute quantum gravimeter", Nature Scientific Reports, vol. 8, 12300 (2018)

[4] A compact differential gravimeter at the quantum projection noise limit, to be published in Physical Review A

[5] A.-K. Cooke, C. Champollion, N. Le Moigne, Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and

Data Systems Discussions 2020, 1 (2020).

How to cite: Janvier, C., Ménoret, V., Merlet, S., Landragin, A., Pereira dos Santos, F., and Desruelle, B.: Optimization and characterization of a differential quantum gravimeter, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8513, 2022.

EGU22-8556 | Presentations | G4.1

Data-Unconstrained Modeling and Detection of 9 Individual Partial Ocean Tides of Third-Degree by Terrestrial Gravimetry 

Hartmut Wziontek, Roman Sulzbach, Michael Hart-Davis, Henryk Dobslaw, Hans-Georg Scherneck, Michel Van Camp, Ove Christian Dahl Omang, Ezequiel D. Antokoletz, Christian Voigt, Denise Dettmering, and Maik Thomas

The Tide-Generating Potential (TGP) of the Moon is not symmetric but asymmetric with respect to the Lunar sub-orbital axis due to its relative proximity compared to astronomical length scales. This asymmetry can be described in the first order by the third-degree of the TGP expanded in Spherical Harmonic functions. Despite the tiny magnitude of this asymmetry (1/60 of the leading, second degree) several corresponding oceanic partial tides were previously detected in both tide gauge and superconducting gravimeter records. 


In this contribution, we present solutions with the data-unconstrained ocean tide model TiME (Sulzbach et al. 2021) for a number of partial tides of the third degree in all relevant tidal bands (long-period to terdiurnal). Tuning the model with the recently compiled TICON-td tide gauge dataset, we find the modelled ocean tide signals to agree at levels over 50 % with oceanographic data. The gravimetric impact of the oceanic load tides on 16 globally distributed gravimeter stations which amounts to only a few nGal is then modelled by 2 approaches: (1) a computation with SPOTL and (2) with an approach constrained by load Love numbers. While the gravity constituents modeled with both approaches are close to identical, comparison to the analysed constituents shows a high agreement between 63% to 80% for the degree-3 components depending on the selected partial tide solution, thereby confirming both the low noise level of state-of-the-art superconducting gravimeter recordings and the applied hydrodynamic modelling. 


By modeling and analyzing for additional degree-3 constituents (resulting in three partial tides in the diurnal, semidiurnal and terdiurnal band), load tide admittance functions of degree-3 can be calculated. We show that third-degree ocean and load tides exhibit a considerable admittance-dispersion that should be considered when estimating load tide contributions of other third-degree partial tides. For example, a larger number of degree-3 tides can be considered for satellite gravity when combining the presented solutions with a linear admittance approach, which might become relevant already for the upcoming MCM/MAGIC constellation currently studied by NASA and ESA.

References:
[1] Sulzbach, R., Dobslaw, H., & Thomas, M. (2021), JGR: Oceans., 126, 1–21, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC017097

How to cite: Wziontek, H., Sulzbach, R., Hart-Davis, M., Dobslaw, H., Scherneck, H.-G., Van Camp, M., Omang, O. C. D., Antokoletz, E. D., Voigt, C., Dettmering, D., and Thomas, M.: Data-Unconstrained Modeling and Detection of 9 Individual Partial Ocean Tides of Third-Degree by Terrestrial Gravimetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8556, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8556, 2022.

EGU22-9417 | Presentations | G4.1

Gravity field recovery of the MOCAST+ quantum mission proposal 

Öykü Koç, Mirko Reguzzoni, Lorenzo Rossi, Federica Migliaccio, Khulan Batsukh, and Alfonso Vitti

The main scope of the MOCAST+ project was the investigation of the performance of a gravity field mission based on a constellation of spacecrafts, each having both an atomic clock and a single-axis cold atom gradiometer onboard. The proposed payload is based on the integration of two different technologies: atomic interferometry gravity sensors and optical clocks, the atomic species being strontium atoms. This study was focused on investigating whether this combination can give the possibility of improving the estimation of both temporal and static gravity field models. 

Several different mission scenarios e.g., by considering different atomic species (Rb and Sr), inter-satellite distances, noise power spectral densities, and observation sampling rates were considered. Moreover, the same scenarios were applied to different satellite configurations such as the Bender configuration with either two or three satellites along each orbit. For these simulations, the so-called space-wise approach was exploited. This approach consists of estimating the long wavelengths of the field from the potential differences and then using this estimation to reduce the already filtered gravity gradients. Later, these residuals are processed by a local collocation gridding procedure with the aim of improving the solution especially (but not only) for the shorter wavelengths. In order to obtain spherical harmonic coefficients, the conversion from gridded values is performed by discretized quadrate formula, and finally, the error budget is computed by Monte Carlo simulations. The processing method was validated by comparing its results with those obtained by a classical time-wise approach working in the frequency domain. 

The results of the end-to-end simulations performed during the MOCAST+ study showed that the Bender configuration with either two or three satellites along each orbit provides significantly better monthly gravity field solutions, as compared to a “nominal” configuration with two or three satellites in a “GRACE-like” formation. In this way, it is in fact possible to obtain better performances than GRACE at low harmonic degrees. For the static gravity field retrieval, periods longer than two months were considered. In this case, the results showed that thanks to the lower noise level and stability of the cold atom gradiometer, there will be the opportunity to improve the GOCE performances at high harmonic degrees. 

How to cite: Koç, Ö., Reguzzoni, M., Rossi, L., Migliaccio, F., Batsukh, K., and Vitti, A.: Gravity field recovery of the MOCAST+ quantum mission proposal, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9417, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9417, 2022.

EGU22-9568 | Presentations | G4.1

Results of the MOCAST+ study on a quantum gravimetry mission 

Federica Migliaccio, Khulan Batsukh, Giovanni Battista Benciolini, Carla Braitenberg, Öykü Koç, Sergio Mottini, Alberto Pastorutti, Tommaso Pivetta, Mirko Reguzzoni, Gabriele Rosi, Lorenzo Rossi, Fiodor Sorrentino, Guglielmo Maria Tino, and Alfonso Vitti

MOCAST+ (MOnitoring mass variations by Cold Atom Sensors and Time measures) is a recently concluded study funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASl) and jointly carried out by several Italian research groups, focusing on a gravimetry mission based on quantum technology.

In the past twenty years, space missions like GRACE and GRACE-FO have formed a well-organized user community tracking the Earth mass movement to study environmental changes on a global scale using data from satellite measurements. In fact, monitoring global parameters underlying climate change, water resources, flooding, melting of ice masses and the corresponding global sea level rise is of paramount importance, since remote sensing of the changes of the Earth gravitational field provides basic data on, e.g., geodynamics, earthquakes, hydrology or ice sheets changes.

Since classical sensors have reached a high level of maturity with a limited potential for further improvement, a large interest has developed in novel technologies based on quantum technologies and quantum sensing. These technologies promise to offer higher sensitivity and drift-free measurements, and higher absolute accuracy for terrestrial as well as space missions, thus giving direct access to more precise long-term measurements and comparisons.

Europe is at the forefront of quantum technologies, and activities towards the deployment of pathfinder quantum gravimetry mission within this decade are being funded at various levels. Looking at a time frame beyond the present decade, in the MOCAST+ study we have analyzed the performance of a quantum enhanced payload consisting of a Cold Atom Interferometer based on strontium atoms and acting as a gravity gradiometer, plus an optical frequency measurement using an ultra-stable laser, in order to also provide time measurements. The main goals of the study were to define the level of accuracy which can be expected from such a payload and the level of accuracy which is needed in order to detect and monitor phenomena identified in the Scientific Challenges of the ESA Living Planet Program, in particular Cryosphere, Ocean and Solid Earth.

We will present the results of the study in terms of proposed payload, mission profile and preliminary platform design, results of end-to-end simulations and assessment of the impact of the proposed mission for geophysical applications.

How to cite: Migliaccio, F., Batsukh, K., Benciolini, G. B., Braitenberg, C., Koç, Ö., Mottini, S., Pastorutti, A., Pivetta, T., Reguzzoni, M., Rosi, G., Rossi, L., Sorrentino, F., Tino, G. M., and Vitti, A.: Results of the MOCAST+ study on a quantum gravimetry mission, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9568, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9568, 2022.

EGU22-11442 | Presentations | G4.1 | Highlight

The Framework of Relativistic Geodesy: What do we know? 

Dennis Philipp, Claus Laemmerzahl, and Eva Hackmann

Conventional geodesy builds on (the concepts of) Newtonian gravity. Thus, at the level of a relativistic theory of gravity, the underlying framework needs to be extended and basic notions need to be generalized.
This opens an entirely new perspective on the matter - chronometric geodesy - which investigates gravity by, e.g., the use of clocks and clock networks.
In this talk, the status of the theoretical framework of relativistic geodesy will be discussed and basic concepts such as the potential(s), multipole moments, geoid, reference ellipsoid, and height notions in the conventional and in the relativistic framework will be addressed. Moreover, observables and measurement prescriptions are discussed and an outlook on future developments is given.

How to cite: Philipp, D., Laemmerzahl, C., and Hackmann, E.: The Framework of Relativistic Geodesy: What do we know?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11442, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11442, 2022.

EGU22-11635 | Presentations | G4.1

Gravity data acquisition and validation of the interferometric meaurement concept with the transportable absolute Quantum Gravimeter QG-1 

Waldemar Herr, Nina Heine, Ernst M. Rasel, Jürgen Müller, and Ludger Timmen

The transportable Quantum Gravimeter QG-1 derives the local gravity value from the interferometric signal of magnetically collimated Bose-Einstein condensates (BECs) released into free-fall and detected by absorption imaging. The objective of the device is to determine the local gravity value with an uncertainty < 3 nm/s2. The projected gain in accuracy in contrast to cold atoms is facilitated by the minimised initial velocity and expansion rate of the BEC.

In this contribution we describe our transportable setup, the status of implementation of first interferometric studies and give an evaluation of preliminary gravity data recorded with the Quantum Gravimeter QG-1, showing the operability of key functionalities of the device and the validity of
the concept. We indicate next steps to increase the instrument’s sensitivity and to verify the measurement’s level of uncertainty.

The research is funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy – EXC-2123
QuantumFrontiers – 390837967 and under Project-ID 434617780 – SFB 1464 TerraQ - Relativistic and Quantum-based Geodesy.

How to cite: Herr, W., Heine, N., Rasel, E. M., Müller, J., and Timmen, L.: Gravity data acquisition and validation of the interferometric meaurement concept with the transportable absolute Quantum Gravimeter QG-1, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11635, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11635, 2022.

EGU22-12241 | Presentations | G4.1

Evaluation of the AQG-A02 and AQG-B02 absolute quantum gravimeter accuracy 

Julian Glässel, Marvin Reich, Andreas Güntner, Hartmut Wziontek, Reinhard Falk, and Axel Rülke

Quantum gravimeters measure absolute gravity by the matter-wave interference of ultracold atoms. This poses a promising new alternative technology to the established falling corner cube gravimeters, such as the FG5/X, which currently provide the reference for absolute terrestrial gravimetry. Due to the lack of mechanical components, quantum gravimeters offer advantages in maintenance and allow for continuous operation over extended time periods. Moreover, the fundamental difference in measurement principle could reveal potentially unknown systematic biases in either system.

The iXblue Absolute Quantum Gravimeter (AQG) is the first commercially available instrument of this kind. As one of the early users, BKG and GFZ are evaluating the AQG-A02 and AQG-B02 for performance and future application in routine operations. In autumn 2021, both instruments have for the first time taken part in a comparison, the international comparison of absolute gravimeters WET-CAG2021 at the Geodetic Observatory Wettzell, Germany. Here we present current results based on these measurements, regarding the AQG’s absolute accuracy. Further, we evaluate signal stability from a long-term measurement over 6 weeks.

How to cite: Glässel, J., Reich, M., Güntner, A., Wziontek, H., Falk, R., and Rülke, A.: Evaluation of the AQG-A02 and AQG-B02 absolute quantum gravimeter accuracy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12241, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12241, 2022.

EGU22-111 | Presentations | G4.2

Bridging GRACE and GRACE Follow-On TWS gap using forward-backward autoregressive model 

Artur Lenczuk, Anna Klos, Matthias Weigelt, Wieslaw Kosek, Jan Mikocki, and Janusz Bogusz

Nowadays, huge number of regions spread around the World are struggling with the problem of water availability. Hence, the quality and quantity of continental water resources must be regularly controlled. Currently, land water components are monitored, among others by measuring their weight, type and density or analyzing the level of water in the stilling wells. However, due to the time-consuming nature of such measurements, information on each components monitoring is lacking in many areas. For 15 years, the information about global hydrological changes has been regularly examined using monthly gravity fields provided by Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission. GRACE mission ended in October 2017 and almost a year later, the GRACE Follow‐On (GRACE-FO) mission was launched in May 2018. Bridging the gap between both GRACE missions is currently a large challenge. In the following study, we propose a new bridging approach based on remove-restore technique combined with an autoregressive model (AR); the latter is utilized for residuals. The residuals are obtained as differences between GRACE/GRACE-FO data and climatology defined by Total Water Storage (TWS) parameter for Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) hydrological model. Residual annual sine-curve and its 3 overtones are then subtracted with the use of Least Squares Estimation (LSE) method. We predict missing TWS values using backward-forward AR approach. We conduct the TWS forecasting in two stages: (1) based only on the values before the gap (forward approach) and (2) the values available after the gap (backward approach). In our study, to test the adopted approach, we generate artificial 11 months gap. Comparing TWS values from our technique to values from original GRACE data in testing gap, we obtain differences within ±90 cm with median equal to -8 cm. The extreme values are observed in Amazon, Southern Asia or Alaska. The analysis of ratio between GRACE minus GLDAS and GRACE minus predicted values shows that our approach is better than the hydrological model standalone for more than 70% of continental areas. In the case of natural gap between both GRACE generation mission, the misclosures in backward-forward prediction calculated between TWS values predicted by forward and backward approach is 10 cm. This represents approximately 20% of total signal for observed TWS in 53% areas of the World. The presentation will include a discussion on regional analysis upon the areas characterized with extreme water changes occurred in natural observation gap. Analysis shows that presented method is able to capture the occurrence of droughts or floods, but does not reflect its magnitude. The obtained results indicate that presented remove-restore AR approach can be utilized to forecast geophysical changes much better for regions characterized with insignificant seasonal hydrological effect.

How to cite: Lenczuk, A., Klos, A., Weigelt, M., Kosek, W., Mikocki, J., and Bogusz, J.: Bridging GRACE and GRACE Follow-On TWS gap using forward-backward autoregressive model, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-111, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-111, 2022.

EGU22-821 | Presentations | G4.2

On reduction of the filtered GOCE SGG data from the orbit level to a mean orbit 

Ilias N. Tziavos, Elisavet G. Mamagiannou, Eleftherios A. Pitenis, Dimitrios A. Natsiopoulos, and Georgios S. Vergos

The overall goal of the GeoGravGOCE project, funded by the Hellenic Foundation for Research Innovation, is to employ GOCE data products, mainly the original Satellite Gravity Gradiometry (SGG) data, and model the geoid in the Hellenic area and the surrounding regions. However, to utilize the original GOCE SGG data for geoid modeling, filtering is needed as well as a reduction to a mean orbit (MO) so that downward continuation to the Earth’s surface (ES) can be realized. After investigating various filtering options (Finite Impulse Response - FIR, Infinite Impulse Response - IIR, and wavelet multi-resolution analysis - MRA), both in the frequency and the space domain, it was concluded that an FIR with order 1500 would be the optimal one. This was based on both comparisons with upward continued gradients from the XGM2019 global geopotential model (GGM) and the spectrum cut-off of the various filters tested within the GOCE measuring bandwidth. Then, downward continuation of the filtered data to a mean sphere (MS) was necessary. With a maximum altitude, within the GOCE 3-year mission, close to 295 km and a minimum of about 240km, GOCE data generated at a mean level of 230 km. Regular 5’x5’ grids of the disturbing potential gradients Tij were generated using both XGM2190 and EGM2008 up to their maximum degree and order, while a combined solution using TIM-R6 to degree and order 165 and EGM2008 as fill-in was also used. The GGM information was used to simulate the downward continuation of Tij, so that this can then be applied to the actual GOCE data. The reduction to a MS was performed by estimating GGM gradient grids per 1 km from the MS to the maximum orbital level, and then using a linear interpolation for the reduction from the actual satellite height. It was found that the reduction with height of the gravity gradients varies linearly, while the use of XGM2019 provided the overall best results. After interpolating from the GGM grids, Tij values from XGM were estimated at the initial GOCE points and then used to reduce the GOCE SGGs to the MO. Finally, and in order to estimate residual Tij at the MO, three different options were tested. First, an analytical spherical harmonic synthesis (SHS) of and  at 230km was carried out. Then, the same effects were estimated using a grid of 1’x1’ disturbing potential gradients as well as a 5’x5’ grid. For each of these cases, the rigorous SHS and the two based on interpolation have been determined, showing that even a global 5’x5’ grid of disturbing potential gradients is sufficient and analytical determination of the GGM contribution is not necessary.

How to cite: Tziavos, I. N., Mamagiannou, E. G., Pitenis, E. A., Natsiopoulos, D. A., and Vergos, G. S.: On reduction of the filtered GOCE SGG data from the orbit level to a mean orbit, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-821, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-821, 2022.

EGU22-1604 | Presentations | G4.2

Treatment of Noise in GRACE Gravity Field Recovery: A Comparison between Empirical Parameterization and Stochastic Modelling 

Yufeng Nie, Yunzhong Shen, Roland Pail, and Qiujie Chen

Continuous efforts have been made by different GRACE data analysis centers to improve the quality of monthly gravity field solutions, where one of the key issues concerns the treatment of noise in the parameter estimation process. In the broader context, the noise is not limited to the imperfection of sensor measurements only but also includes unmodelled and/or mismodelled parts of the satellite dynamics. In this contribution, we revisit four widely used strategies to reduce the influence of noise in GRACE gravity field recovery, which are: the estimation of high-frequency (constrained) empirical accelerations (ACC for short); the estimation of K-band range-rate empirical parameters (KBR); the utilization of fully populated covariance matrix for data weighting (COV), and the time series model-based filtering technique (FILT). In their ways to deal with the noise, the ACC and KBR strategies can be grouped into the method of empirical parameterization, while the COV and FILT strategies belong to the treatment of stochastic modelling. From a theoretical aspect, we regard the ACC and COV strategies as special cases of the least-squares collocation (LSC); the ACC and KBR strategies can be directly linked by the linear perturbation theory, while the COV and FILT strategies resemble different spectral estimation methods. Furthermore, we use numerical simulations to evaluate the performances of the four strategies, which show that the ACC, COV and FILT are more effective in mitigating noise than the KBR strategy. In the spectral domain, the stochastic modelling-based strategies (COV and FILT) have the full-spectrum capability to treat noise, while empirical parameters adopted in the ACC and KBR strategies work as high-pass filters. Consequently, stochastic modelling can lead to more consistent formal error estimates than empirical parameterization, especially for high-degree spherical harmonic coefficients.

How to cite: Nie, Y., Shen, Y., Pail, R., and Chen, Q.: Treatment of Noise in GRACE Gravity Field Recovery: A Comparison between Empirical Parameterization and Stochastic Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1604, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1604, 2022.

EGU22-1864 | Presentations | G4.2

Global Mean Mass Sea-Level Rise From 1993 to 2016 Derived by Tongji Monthly Gravity Field Solutions 

Yunzhong Shen, Qiujie Chen, Fengwei Wang, Xingfu Zhang, and Yufeng Nie

In this contribution, we estimate the global mean mass sea-level (GMMSL) rise spanning January 1993 to December 2016 by using the Tongji-Grace2018 and Tongji-LEO2021 monthly gravity field solutions. In the post-processing, Tongji-Grace2018 and Tongji-Leo2021 solutions are filtered with P4M6 decorrelation plus Gauss 300km filtering, Tongji-Leo2021 solutions are filtered with Gaussian 1000km filtering, the C20 and degree-1 coefficients are replaced with those from the GRACE technique note 13 and 14 for Tongji-Grace2018 solutions, and with those from satellite laser ranging for Tongji-LEO2021 solutions, the post-glacial isostatic adjustments are corrected with ICE6G-D model, and a 300km buffer zone is used due to leakage error. Moreover, the GMMSL is averaged with the open oceans within the latitude of ±66°, the Caspian Sea, Black Sea and the Mediterranean Sea are excluded. The derived GMMSL rise from Tongji-LEO2021 and Tongji-Grace2018 solutions is 1.67±0.08 mm/yr from 1993.01 to 2016.12, consistent with 1.73±0.08 mm/year from Altimetry minus Steric. When the same missing months as gravity field solutions are removed, the GMMSL rise from Altimetry minus Steric is 1.68±0.08 mm/yr from 1993.01 to 2016.12, much close to that from Tongji-LEO2021 and Tongji-Grace2018 solutions.

How to cite: Shen, Y., Chen, Q., Wang, F., Zhang, X., and Nie, Y.: Global Mean Mass Sea-Level Rise From 1993 to 2016 Derived by Tongji Monthly Gravity Field Solutions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1864, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1864, 2022.

EGU22-2032 | Presentations | G4.2

Climate-driven rapid mass loss in West Antarctica revealed by Swarm gravimetry in the absence of GRACE 

Chaoyang Zhang, Che-Kwan Shum, Aleš Bezděk, Michael Bevis, João Teixeira da Encarnação, Byron Tapley, Yu Zhang, Xiaoli Su, and Qiang Shen

GRACE observations revealed that rapid mass loss in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) abruptly paused in 2015, followed by a much lower rate of mass loss ( 21.3±5.7 Gt‧yr-1) until the decommissioning of GRACE in 2017. The critical 1-year GRACE inter-mission data gap raises the question of whether the reduced mass loss rate persists. The Swarm gravimetry data, which have a lower resolution, show good agreement with GRACE/GRACE-FO observations during the overlapping period, i.e. high correlation (0.78) and consistent trend estimates. Swarm data efficiently bridge the GRACE/GRACE-FO data gap and reveal that WAIS has returned to the rapid mass loss state (  161.5±48.4  Gt‧yr-1) that prevailed prior to 2015 during the GRACE inter-mission data gap. The changes in precipitation patterns, driven by the climate cycles, further explain and confirm the dramatic shifts in the WAIS mass loss regime implied by the Swarm observations.

How to cite: Zhang, C., Shum, C.-K., Bezděk, A., Bevis, M., Teixeira da Encarnação, J., Tapley, B., Zhang, Y., Su, X., and Shen, Q.: Climate-driven rapid mass loss in West Antarctica revealed by Swarm gravimetry in the absence of GRACE, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2032, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2032, 2022.

EGU22-2225 | Presentations | G4.2

Long-Term Stability of AOD1B RL07 

Linus Shihora, Henryk Dobslaw, Kyriakos Balidakis, and Robert Dill

The Atmosphere and Ocean non-tidal De-aliasing Level-1B (AOD1B) product is widely used in satellite gravimetry to correct for transient effects of atmosphere-ocean mass variability that would otherwise alias into monthly-mean global gravity fields. The most recent release is based on the global ERA5 reanalysis and ECMWF operational data together with simulations from the general ocean circulation model MPIOM consistently forced with fields of the same atmospheric data-set.

To fully utilize the potential of geodetic data for climate applications, addressing long-term stability in background (or observation-reduction) models is critically important. In this contribution we assess the three hourly tendencies, trends and long-term variations of surface pressure as well as ocean bottom pressure in the new release 07 of AOD1B. Special focus is placed on the transition from ERA5 to ECMWF operational atmospheric data and the influence of model changes in the ECMWF data.

How to cite: Shihora, L., Dobslaw, H., Balidakis, K., and Dill, R.: Long-Term Stability of AOD1B RL07, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2225, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2225, 2022.

EGU22-2976 | Presentations | G4.2

COST-G: Status and recent developments 

Adrian Jaeggi, Ulrich Meyer, Heike Peter, Joao Teixeira Encarnacao, Martin Lasser, Frank Flechtner, Christoph Dahle, Eva Boergens, Christoph Förste, Torsten Mayer-Gürr, Andreas Kvas, Saniya Behzadpour, Jean-Michel Lemoine, Stéphane Bourgogne, Igor Koch, Jakob Flury, Andreas Groh, Annette Eicker, Alejandro Blazquez, and Benoit Meyssignac

Three years after its inauguration we draw a very positive résumé of the work of IAG’s Combination Service for Time-variable Gravity Fields (COST-G). The operational combination of GRACE-FO monthly gravity fields runs flawlessly. All seven associated and partner analysis centres timely provide high quality gravity fields, the COST-G quality control returns reliable noise and signal assessment based on meanwhile almost 4 years of GRACE-FO data, and the evaluation confirms the robustness and low noise level of the combined products.

COST-G is a highly dynamic service that is further developed in the frame of the Horizon2020 project Global Gravity-Based Groundwater Product (G3P) project, where an alternative accelerometer transplant product was developed, which in COST-G test combinations showed a very positive effect on the C30 gravity field coefficient and led to a general noise reduction in the medium to high degree range. Moreover, a deterministic signal model based on the monthly combinations has been released for the first time in September 2021 as a new COST-G product. It is updated quarterly with the most recent GRACE-FO data and aims to support operational precise orbit determination of low Earth orbiters. For the near future an extension of COST-G to also include analysis centres from China is envisaged and plans go to a revised combination of the reprocessed GRACE time-series.

How to cite: Jaeggi, A., Meyer, U., Peter, H., Teixeira Encarnacao, J., Lasser, M., Flechtner, F., Dahle, C., Boergens, E., Förste, C., Mayer-Gürr, T., Kvas, A., Behzadpour, S., Lemoine, J.-M., Bourgogne, S., Koch, I., Flury, J., Groh, A., Eicker, A., Blazquez, A., and Meyssignac, B.: COST-G: Status and recent developments, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2976, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2976, 2022.

EGU22-3215 | Presentations | G4.2

Inferring Missing Solutions within and between GRACE and GRACE-FO Missions 

Ashraf Rateb, Bridget R. Scanlon, Alexander Sun, and Himanshu Save

Since 2002, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission and its successor (Follow-On) (FO) monitored the temporal variations of Earth's gravity field at monthly timescales and provided data to assess natural and anthropogenic drivers of water storage variability. Yet, missing solutions within and between the missions disrupt the continuity of observations and weaken the interpretation of changes in the Earth's mass movements. Most approaches used to impute the missing solutions rely on external data, either from a separate satellite (e.g., SWARM), or Global Positioning System, or adopting hydrological and climate data within statistical learning frameworks. Such approaches jeopardize the uniqueness of GRACE-GRACE FO observations and introduce a level of uncertainty from the external data. In addition, the missing solutions are commonly imputed over land only, but not for the ocean or the ice sheets. Further, the reconstructed signals are recovered as single value without uncertainty estimates.

The objective of this research was to impute missing solutions within and between the two missions using GRACE data alone within a Bayesian framework. We decomposed the geophysical signal in GRACE-GRACE (FO) data into its temporal components and modeled each component to infer their posterior distribution over monitored and missing dates. The geophysical signal in GRACE missions is structured as a trend, interannual, annual, and semi-annual cycles. Using informative priors on the ranges of signal intercepts, slopes, frequencies, variability, and amplitudes and assuming these parameters follow a normal distribution, we approximated the posterior distribution of each component using four chains of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. We used 4000 samples for each chain  (518x106 iterations globally) and ensured equilibrium sampling and posteriors convergence over the parameters. Medians of posterior distributions of all components were then added back to reconstruct the signal, and uncertainty was derived at 95% credible interval. Finally, to maintain the same level of variability as the original data, model residuals were added back over the monitored times only. We reconstructed 229 solutions for the period 04/2002 -04/2020 using 188  mascons solutions released by the University of Texas at Austin, Center for Space Research at a 1-degree scale and for 30 hydrological basins.  

Results reveal that the reconstructed data explain most of the total variability in original data with median r-square of 0.99 at basin scale. However, the explained variability decreases to median 78% at grid scale. We noticed that model performance is good for most of the land/ocean and ice sheet surfaces with r-square over 0.8, except in regions where the signal was already weak (e.g., Sahara desert) or where sub-annual fluctuations mostly dominate the signal (e.g., southern Indian and Pacific Oceans and northern Atlantic Ocean). We attribute this low performance to the model parameterizations. However, the variability in GRACE data is maintained in these regions when the residuals are added back. The implemented framework does not rely on or require external information and uses GRACE data only. The predictive posterior distributions can be adopted for nowcasting and integrated into near-real-time applications (e.g., data assimilation), which minimizes the GRACE data latency.  

How to cite: Rateb, A., R. Scanlon, B., Sun, A., and Save, H.: Inferring Missing Solutions within and between GRACE and GRACE-FO Missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3215, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3215, 2022.

EGU22-3672 | Presentations | G4.2 | Highlight

GRACE-FO Science Results and Mission Status 

Frank Flechtner, Felix Landerer, Himanshu Save, Christopher Mccullough, Christoph Dahle, Srinivas Bettadpur, Michael Watkins, Krzysztof Snopek, and Robert Gaston

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow-On (GRACE-FO) mission has collected nearly 4 years of monthly gravity and mass change observations since its launch in May 2018. On March 17 we have celebrated the 20th anniversary of the GRACE launch. The combined GRACE/GRACE-FO mass change data record is therefore now spanning exactly two decades, and is an essential tool to quantify and track Earth’s water movement and surface mass changes across the planet. Monitoring changes in ice sheets and glaciers, near-surface and underground water storage, the amount of water in large lakes and rivers, as well as changes in sea level and ocean currents provides an integrated global view of how Earth’s water cycle and energy balance are evolving.

In this presentation we will update the community on the current GRACE-FO mission status and near-term plans, including instrument and flight system performance (i.e., satellite health status and outlook, performance of precise inter-satellite ranging from the K/Ka band and Laser Ranging Interferometers, and accelerometry as processed at Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), the official Level-1 data analysis center). We will discuss the GRACE-FO science data quality, reprocessing plans, and highlight recent science results, discoveries, and applications. Finally, we will conclude with a short outlook towards achieving continuity with future mass change missions.

How to cite: Flechtner, F., Landerer, F., Save, H., Mccullough, C., Dahle, C., Bettadpur, S., Watkins, M., Snopek, K., and Gaston, R.: GRACE-FO Science Results and Mission Status, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3672, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3672, 2022.

EGU22-3679 | Presentations | G4.2

Deep mass redistribution prior to the Maule earthquake revealed by GRACE satellite gravity 

Marie Bouih, Isabelle Panet, Dominique Remy, Laurent Longuevergne, and Sylvain Bonvalot

The control on megathrust earthquake generation exerted by deeper subduction processes remains poorly understood and still insufficiently documented. Here, we use the 2003-2014 space-time variations of the Earth’s gravity gradients derived from the GRACE geoids in order to probe aseismic mass variations at depth and their possible interactions with intraplate seismicity along the Chilean margin. We work with three different datasets of GRACE geoid models over a large region surrounding the rupture zone of the Mw 8.8 2010 Maule earthquake. In order to separate signals associated with mass sources of differents sizes, shapes or orientations, we reconstruct each month the Earth’s gravity gradients at different spatial scales from these geoid models. Our analysis emphasizes a highly anomalous, large-amplitude gravity gradients signal that appears three months prior to the earthquake North of the epicentral zone, and progressively increases until the megathrustal rupture, in all three datasets. We show that this large signal cannot be caused by a shallow hydrological source nor by GRACE striping artefacts and dealiasing models. Instead, we conclude that its most likely origin is in mass redistributions within the solid Earth on the continental side of the subduction zone. These anomalous gravity gradient variations could be explained by a deep extensional deformation of the slab around 150-km depth along the Nazca Plate subduction direction, driving large-scale fluid motion in the subduction zone and into the overriding lithosphere. Our results highlight the importance of observations of the Earth’s time-varying gravity field from satellites to probe aseismic mass redistributions in-depth major plate boundaries . The detection of such mass redistributions at depth by GRACE and their interactions with interplate seismicity opens a new field of research to better characterize and understand the dynamics of the seismic cycle at megathrusts.

How to cite: Bouih, M., Panet, I., Remy, D., Longuevergne, L., and Bonvalot, S.: Deep mass redistribution prior to the Maule earthquake revealed by GRACE satellite gravity, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3679, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3679, 2022.

EGU22-4429 | Presentations | G4.2

GRACE Follow-On Accelerometer Data Recovery by High-Precision Environment Modelling 

Moritz Huckfeldt, Benny Rievers, Florian Wöske, and Meike List

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellites are equipped with high-precision three-axis accelerometers to measure all non-gravitational accelerations acting on the satellites. The accelerometer data are mainly used to account for the influence of these accelerations in the gravity-field-recovery process. Unfortunately, after only one month in orbit the accelerometer on one of the two satellites produced decreasingly accurate measurements. Due to this, the GRACE-D accelerometer data have to be replaced by artificial data. The procedure for the official GRACE-FO Science Data System (SDS) data products is a so called transplant of GRACE-C data.

As an alternative approach, we present a modelling method, where the GRACE-D accelerometer data are based on high-precision non-gravitational force and disturbance modelling. We compare our modelled data to thruster-free accelerometer data derived from the official SDS data products. With this, we can evaluate the performance and show details of our approach. For example, the influence of an in-situ drag-coefficient estimation based on Sentman’s approach. In contrast to other GRACE-FO accelerometer-data-recovery approaches, no transplant of data is incorporated.

This work is part of the Collaborative Research Center 1464 TerraQ and funded by DFG.

 

How to cite: Huckfeldt, M., Rievers, B., Wöske, F., and List, M.: GRACE Follow-On Accelerometer Data Recovery by High-Precision Environment Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4429, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4429, 2022.

In the frame of the CubeGrav project, funded by the German Research Foundation, Cube-satellite networks for geodetic Earth observation are investigated on the example of the monitoring of Earth’s gravity field. Satellite gravity missions are an important element of Earth observation from space, because geodynamic processes are frequently related to mass variations and mass transport in the Earth system. As changes in gravity are directly related to mass variability, satellite missions observing the Earth’s time-varying gravity field are a unique tool for observing mass redistribution among the Earth’s system components, including global changes in the water cycle, the cryosphere, and the oceans. The basis for next generation gravity missions (NGGMs) is based on the success of the single satellite missions CHAMP and GOCE as well as the dual-satellite missions GRACE and GRACE-FO launched so far, which are all conventional satellites.   
In particular, feasibility as well as economic efficiency play a significant role for future missions, with a focus on increasing spatio-temporal resolution while reducing error effects. The latter include the aliasing of the time-varying gravity fields due to the under-sampling of the geophysical signals and the uncertainties in geophysical background models. The most promising concept for a future gravity field mission from the studies investigated is a dual-pair mission consisting of a polar satellite pair and an inclined (approx. 70°) satellite pair. Since the costs for a realization of the Bender constellation are very high, this contribution presents results of the CubeGrav project and focuses on alternative concepts in the form of different constellations and formations of small satellites. The latter includes both satellite pairs and chains consisting of trailing satellites. The aim is to provide a cost-effective alternative to the previous gravity field satellites while simultaneously increasing the spatiotemporal resolution and minimizing the above-mentioned error effects.

In numerical closed-loop simulations, the impact of different satellite formations and constellations will be investigated for the retrieval of monthly gravity fields. The configurations differ in the orbital setup including the number of orbital planes and key orbit parameters like altitude and inclination. The ground track coverage of the selected orbits will be analysed since an improved spatial sampling with specific sub-cycles is beneficial for estimating short-temporal gravity fields which will be co-parametrized in the overall solution approach. Due to the large number of observations, it is possible to retrieve sub-daily gravity fields down to quarter-day resolution, which exceeds the capabilities of the existing gravity mission like GRACE or GRACE-FO by far. These (sub-)daily gravity field solutions can also improve the overall monthly gravity product, which will be proven for several satellite constellations and formations. All in all, the opportunities and limits of multiple satellites pairs and chains of trailing satellites for achieving the highest possible spatial and temporal resolution shall be analysed in detail.

How to cite: Pfaffenzeller, N. and Pail, R.: Potential and limits of small satellite networks for temporal gravity field retrieval in the frame of the CubeGrav Project, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5005, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5005, 2022.

EGU22-5202 | Presentations | G4.2

Assessment of gravity field models derived from Sentinel GPS data 

Thomas Grombein, Martin Lasser, Daniel Arnold, Ulrich Meyer, and Adrian Jäggi

Besides gravity field information derived from ultra-precise inter-satellite ranging of dedicated missions like GRACE and GRACE-FO, the analysis of GPS tracking data collected by various Low Earth orbiting (LEO) satellites can provide alternative and mostly uninterrupted time series of large-scale time-variable gravity field signals. For this purpose, the GPS data may be used to derive kinematic LEO orbit positions that can subsequently be utilized as pseudo-observations for gravity field recovery.

In this study, we focus on the use of the GPS data obtained by the Copernicus Sentinel-1, -2, and -3 missions. Each of these missions consists of a constellation of two LEO satellites operating on sun-synchronous orbits with inclinations of about 98° and at different altitudes ranging from about 700 to 800 km. Besides mission-specific instruments, the Sentinel satellites are equipped with high-quality dual-frequency GPS receivers providing a data sampling rate of 10s (Sentinel-1, -2) or 1s (Sentinel-3). At the Astronomical Institute of the University of Bern (AIUB), GPS-based precise orbit determination is routinely performed for the Sentinel satellites. We make use of the kinematic LEO orbit positions to perform gravity field recovery with the Celestial Mechanics approach. In the presentation, we will provide details on the quality and sensitivity of Sentinel-based gravity field models and analyze their contribution to a combined gravity field time series derived from Swarm and GRACE-FO GPS data.

How to cite: Grombein, T., Lasser, M., Arnold, D., Meyer, U., and Jäggi, A.: Assessment of gravity field models derived from Sentinel GPS data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5202, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5202, 2022.

EGU22-5372 | Presentations | G4.2

Advanced processing strategies for an improved GFZ GRACE/GRACE-FO Level-2 data release 

Markus Hauk, Michael Murböck, Natalia Panafidina, Christoph Dahle, Josefine Wilms, Frank Flechtner, and Rolf König

GFZ, as part of the GRACE/GRACE-FO Science Data System, is one of the official Level-2 processing centers routinely providing monthly gravity models. These models are used by a wide variety of geoscientists to infer mass changes mainly at the Earth’s surface. While the current release 6 (RL06) is still operationally processed, plans and internal tests for a reprocessed GFZ RL07 time series are already in progress.

In this context, recent developments have been made within the Research Unit (RU) NEROGRAV (New Refined Observations of Climate Change from Spaceborne Gravity Missions), funded for 3 years by the German Research Foundation DFG. The central hypothesis of this RU reads: “Only by concurrently improving and better understanding of sensor data, background models, and processing strategies of satellite gravimetry, the resolution, accuracy, and long-term consistency of mass transport series from satellite gravimetry can be significantly increased; and only in that case the potential of future technological sensor developments can be fully exploited.” Two of the individual projects within the RU closely interact on optimized space-time parameterization (reducing non-tidal temporal aliasing error effects) and stochastic modeling regarding instrument data (accelerometer and inter-satellite ranging observations) as well as background models (e.g. by the utilization of covariance information for ocean tides).

This presentation provides an overview of the developed advanced processing strategies, and their individual and combined impact on GFZ’s Level-2 products compared to current GFZ RL06 solutions.

How to cite: Hauk, M., Murböck, M., Panafidina, N., Dahle, C., Wilms, J., Flechtner, F., and König, R.: Advanced processing strategies for an improved GFZ GRACE/GRACE-FO Level-2 data release, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5372, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5372, 2022.

EGU22-5508 | Presentations | G4.2 | Highlight

Robustness and singularity of pre-seismic signals in GRACE gravity solutions: application to the 2011 Tohoku Mw9.0 Earthquake 

Isabelle Panet, Clément Narteau, Jean-Michel Lemoine, Sylvain Bonvalot, and Dominique Remy

Documenting the preparation phase of giant earthquakes and retrieving pre-seismic signals of upcoming events is a crucial challenge. Over the short term, various deformation transients have been detected before large subduction events, emphasizing in particular the role of the slab pull in driving plate motions (e.g., Bouchon et al., 2016 ; Bedford et al., 2020). Among them, we previously evidenced an anomalous gravity gradient signal during the months before the March 2011 Tohoku earthquake, likely originating from the solid Earth (Panet et al., 2018). We showed that it could reflect a broad deformation of the subducted slab prior to the event, generating the giant earthquake as the deformation propagated from depth to surface.

Taking the example of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, we conduct here a systematic and global retrospective analysis of time series of GRACE-reconstructed gravity gradients truncated in February 2011. Our aim is to test whether the gravity gradient variations preceeding the earthquake can be identified as singular and potentially originating from the solid Earth in an automated way and without knowledge on the upcoming event. First, we enhance the angular resolution of the gravity gradients in order to extract signals closely aligned with a chosen plate boundary orientation. Along this preferred orientation, we extract fast temporal variations at the sub-annual timescales of geodetic, gravitational and seismic signals reported before the event in previous studies. To evaluate the significance of the obtained gravity gradient anomalies, we design a method to extract coherent signals between different GRACE gravity field models and assess their sensitivity to the dealiasing ocean model. We present and discuss the results of these analyses applied to different sets of GRACE gravity models: the GRGS03, GRGS04 and CSR06 solutions, as well as their respective ocean dealiasing models. Beyond the case of the Tohoku earthquake, our approach can be applied to the systematic monitoring of the Pacific subduction belt, to detect gravity variations potentially linked with sudden changes in slab motions in-depth these plate boundaries.

 

References

Bedford, J. R., et al. (2020). Months-long thousand-kilometre-scale wobbling before great subduction earthquakes, Nature 580, 628-635.

Bouchon, M., et al.  (2016). Potential slab deformation and plunge prior to the Tohoku, Iquique and Maule earthquakes, Nature Geoscience 9, 380-383.

Panet, I., et al. (2018). Migrating pattern of deformation prior to the Tohoku-Oki earthquake revealed by GRACE data, Nature Geoscience 11, 367-373.

How to cite: Panet, I., Narteau, C., Lemoine, J.-M., Bonvalot, S., and Remy, D.: Robustness and singularity of pre-seismic signals in GRACE gravity solutions: application to the 2011 Tohoku Mw9.0 Earthquake, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5508, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5508, 2022.

EGU22-5820 | Presentations | G4.2

Bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-Follow On by the combination of HLSST and SLR 

Matthias Weigelt, Adrian Jäggi, Ulrich Meyer, Daniel Arnold, Torsten Meyer-Gürr, Bramha Dutt Vishwakarma, Balaji Devaraju, Holger Steffen, Krzysztof Sosnica, and Sahar Ebadi

GRACE has been undoubtedly one of the most important sources to observe mass transport at global and regional scales. Within the COST-G project, GRACE and GRACE-Follow On gravity field solutions from various processing centers are being combined to further increase the spatial and temporal resolution. However, the GRACE and GRACE-Follow On time series suffer from a data gap of about one year. Thus, there is a need for an intermediate technique that will bridge the gap between the two missions and will allow 1) for a continued and uninterrupted time series of mass observations and 2) to compare, cross-validate and link the two time series. Here, we present a complete series that covers the gap period between the end of the GRACE mission in 2017 and the first available solutions of GRACE-Follow On in 2018. We will focus on the combination of high-low satellite-to-satellite tracking (hlSST) of low-Earth orbiting satellites by GNSS in combination with SLR. SLR is known to provide highest quality time-variable gravity for the very low degrees (2-5) and hlSST is able to provide a higher spatial resolution at a lower precision in the very low degrees. We discuss also the achievable spatial and temporal resolutions and possible applications in GIA and in interseasonal variation analysis. 

How to cite: Weigelt, M., Jäggi, A., Meyer, U., Arnold, D., Meyer-Gürr, T., Vishwakarma, B. D., Devaraju, B., Steffen, H., Sosnica, K., and Ebadi, S.: Bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-Follow On by the combination of HLSST and SLR, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5820, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5820, 2022.

EGU22-6109 | Presentations | G4.2

Derivation of an alternative GRACE Follow-On LRI1B data product 

Laura Müller, Vitali Müller, Malte Misfeldt, Henry Wegener, Markus Hauk, and Gerhard Heinzel

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) was a space mission from 2002-2017. While the two identical satellites were orbiting the Earth one after the other, the inter-satellite distance variations caused by the Earth's mass distribution were measured. This data can be used to determine the structure of the Earth's gravity field and observe its time-varying component, such as melting ice caps or water storage on land.  In order to continue these useful data streams, a GRACE Follow-On mission was launched in 2018. This successor hosts a novel instrument called the Laser Ranging Interferometer (LRI) for measuring the distance variations with higher precision than the conventional Microwave Instrument (MWI).

The raw measurements of the LRI need to be converted into an intermediate data product before the gravity field recovery can start. The official LRI1B data product is provided by the Science Data System (SDS) based on multiple processing steps. Here, we present an alternative LRI1B data set, that allows investigating different processing strategies and algorithms which might improve the data quality. For instance, our processing uses a different deglitching algorithm for detecting and removing phase jumps,  which are caused by thruster activation of the satellites. Furthermore, we indicate special events like phase jumps, sun-blindings and momentum-transfer-events likely caused by micrometeorites in the quality flag. Additionally, the light time correction used for conversion of the biased range into an instantaneous range is computed differently for the AEI-LRI1B product. Comparing the versions of SDS and AEI allows us to verify and validate the correctness of the officially provided LRI1B of SDS.

How to cite: Müller, L., Müller, V., Misfeldt, M., Wegener, H., Hauk, M., and Heinzel, G.: Derivation of an alternative GRACE Follow-On LRI1B data product, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6109, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6109, 2022.

EGU22-6526 | Presentations | G4.2

Contribution of SLR to combined hlSST+SLR solutions for bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-Follow On 

Sahar Ebadi, Matthias Weigelt, Adrian Jäggi, Ulrich Meyer, Daniel Arnold, and Torsten Mayer-Gürr

GRACE and GRACE-Follow On gravity field solutions form an unprecedented time series of time-variable gravity field which is indispensable for geosciences, water and climate monitoring. However, the GRACE and GRACE-Follow On time series suffer from a data gap of about one year. Thus, there is a need for an intermediate technique that will bridge the gap between the two missions and will allow 1) for a continued and uninterrupted time series of mass observations and 2) to compare, cross-validate and link the two time series. The most promising method for the long-wavelength part of the gravity field is a combination of high-low satellite-to-satellite tracking (hlSST) of low-Earth orbiting satellites by GNSS in combination with satellite laser ranging (SLR), where SLR is known to provide the highest quality time-variable gravity for the very low degrees (2-5) and hlSST is able to provide a higher spatial resolution at a lower precision in the very low degrees. In this contribution, we discuss the importance of the SLR contribution to the combined solution showing that a hlSST solution is underperforming and a considerable improvement and stabilization for the low degrees can be achieved by the inclusion of SLR for the very low degrees. We also shed light on different combination techniques on the normal equation level with and without variance component estimation and discuss their advantages and difficulties in the implementation.

How to cite: Ebadi, S., Weigelt, M., Jäggi, A., Meyer, U., Arnold, D., and Mayer-Gürr, T.: Contribution of SLR to combined hlSST+SLR solutions for bridging the gap between GRACE and GRACE-Follow On, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6526, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6526, 2022.

EGU22-6771 | Presentations | G4.2

Static Gravity Field Recovery and Accuracy Analysis Based on Reprocessed GOCE Level 1b Gravity Gradient Observations 

Jianhua Chen, Xingfu Zhang, Qiujie Chen, Yunzhong Shen, and Yufeng Nie

Gravity gradient observations of GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer) provide important data support for the recovery of the short-wavelength part of the static gravity field, in which the influence of time-varying gravity signals should be reduced first. In this contribution, we carried out the following investigations on the static gravity field recovered from GOCE level 1b gravity gradient observations: (1) We updated the background models and according to the IERS2010 convention to remove the time-varying signals in the gravity gradient observations, and analyzed their influence on the subsequent static gravity field recovery; (2) We set up the 300 degrees and order(d/o) GOCE gravity gradient normal equations by the direct method with the reprocessed GOCE Level 1b gravity gradient observations; (3) In order to effectively treat the influence of polar gap, we combined the 300 d/o of the GOCE gravity gradient normal equation with 180 d/o Tongji-Grace02s normal equation and the Kaula’s regularization constraints; (4) GNSS/Leveling data, quasi-geoid model and DTU marine gravity anomaly are used to validate the accuracy of our combined solution, which shows that the accuracy of it is comparable to the state-of-art GOCO06s model.

How to cite: Chen, J., Zhang, X., Chen, Q., Shen, Y., and Nie, Y.: Static Gravity Field Recovery and Accuracy Analysis Based on Reprocessed GOCE Level 1b Gravity Gradient Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6771, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6771, 2022.

EGU22-7585 | Presentations | G4.2

Towards a new ITSG-Grace release: updated data products and improvements within the processing chain 

Torsten Mayer-Guerr, Saniya Behzadpour, Andreas Kvas, Sandro Krauss, Sebastian Strasser, and Barbara Süsser-Rechberger

The Institute of Geodesy of the Graz University of Technology has a successful record in producing GRACE/GRACE-FO gravity fields using an in-house developed software, the Gravity Recovery Object Oriented Programming System (GROOPS). The ITSG-Grace2018 gravity field model is the latest release of the ITSG sequence covering the complete GRACE/GRACE-FO time-span. The new release will be based on planned Level-1B Release 05 data and the AOD1B Release 07 dealiasing product. It will include a static field, unconstrained monthly, as well as Kalman smoothed daily solutions.

Updates and improvements over the previous release are summerized as follows: (a) We revisit the Level-1A processing of transplant accelerometer data and co-estimate their unmodeled linear accelerations due to thruster activities; (b) We improve the estimation of subdaily high-frequency mass variations by increasing both temporal and spatial resolutions; (c) Taking advantage of the available GRACE-FO LRI measurements, we introduce combined KBR and LRI gravity field solutions based on a stochastic modeling that determines proper weighting between KBR and LRI observations.

This contribution will highlight the selected parts of the processing chain and their effect on the estimated gravity field solutions.

How to cite: Mayer-Guerr, T., Behzadpour, S., Kvas, A., Krauss, S., Strasser, S., and Süsser-Rechberger, B.: Towards a new ITSG-Grace release: updated data products and improvements within the processing chain, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7585, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7585, 2022.

EGU22-7848 | Presentations | G4.2

Time-variable gravity and mass redistribution from synergistic use of GRACE-FO and Chinese gravity satellites 

Christina Lück, Jürgen Kusche, Wei Feng, Yunzhong Shen, Qiujie Chen, and Changqing Wang

The project „Time-variable gravity and mass redistribution from synergistic use of GRACE-FO and Chinese gravity satellites“ aims at establishing improved time-variable gravity field models. This work is a joint initiative of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) and the German Research Foundation (DFG).

Gravity field estimation from the existing GRACE and GRACE-FO missions will be improved, e.g. by optimizing dealiasing signals, refining the noise modeling, accelerometer calibration and optimizing anisotropic filtering techniques. Furthermore, the possibilities of a combination with the upcoming Chinese gravity field mission TianQin-2 will be explored and optimal orbit parameters for TianQin-2 will be determined.

One focus area is the East China Sea. Here, we will isolate the ocean mass change signal over this study region and apply a joint inversion framework to close the regional sea level budget. The contribution of sediment discharge will be accounted for by evaluating oceanic velocities from an ocean model using a Lagrangian approach.

Groundwater storage (GWS) variations will be closely investigated over the North China Plain. First, GWS is calculated by evaluating GRACE(-FO) gravity solutions. For this aim, non-GWS compartments will be removed using global and regional models. An error-estimation considers the uncertainty of measurement errors, post-processing of the gravity field solutions and model errors. Secondly, GWS will directly be inferred from hydrological models. Observations from monitoring wells and GPS stations will be used as independent additional observations.

In this contribution, we will introduce our project and its objectives in more detail. Furthermore, we will show preliminary results regarding ocean mass change in the East China Sea and GWS variations over the North China Plain.

How to cite: Lück, C., Kusche, J., Feng, W., Shen, Y., Chen, Q., and Wang, C.: Time-variable gravity and mass redistribution from synergistic use of GRACE-FO and Chinese gravity satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7848, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7848, 2022.

EGU22-7931 | Presentations | G4.2

Variance component estimation for co-estimated noise parameters in GRACE Follow-On gravity field recovery 

Martin Lasser, Ulrich Meyer, Daniel Arnold, and Adrian Jäggi

Temporal gravity field modelling from GRACE Follow-On deals with several noise sources polluting the observations and the system of equations, be it actual measurement noise or mis-modellings in the underlying background models. One way to collect such deficiencies is to co-estimate additional pseudo-stochastic parameters in the least-squares adjustment which are meant to absorb any kind of noise while retaining the signal in the gravity field and orbit parameters. In the Celestial Mechanics Approach (CMA) such pseudo-stochastic parameters are typically piece-wise constant accelerations set up in regular intervals of e.g., 15 min, and an empirically determined constraint is added to confine the impact of the additional quantities. As the stochastic behaviour of these parameters is unknown because they reflect an accumulation of a variety of noise sources, Variance Component Estimation (VCE) is a well established tool to assign a stochastic model to the pseudo-stochastic orbit parameters driven by the observations.
In the simplest case the magnitude of the constraints of the pseudo-stochastic orbit parameters can be determined fully automatically.

We present results for GRACE Follow-On gravity field recovery when extending the CMA by stochastic models for the piece-wise constant accelerations computed with VCE and provide noise and signal assessment applying the quality control tools routinely used in the frame of the Combination Service for Time-variable gravity fields (COST-G).

How to cite: Lasser, M., Meyer, U., Arnold, D., and Jäggi, A.: Variance component estimation for co-estimated noise parameters in GRACE Follow-On gravity field recovery, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7931, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7931, 2022.

The purpose of this study is to diagnose how the magnetic disturbances and the flow of the vertical currents can be identified from the non-gravitational acceleration measurements of GRACE C. Whereas the non-gravitational measurements are routinely used for the gravity field modelling, they can be used for the study of the upper atmosphere. Thus, separating the dominant forces of Solar Radiation Pressure (SRP) and the drag acting on the satellite is crucial in the calibration of the accelerometers and in understanding how the non-gravitational forces affect the satellite. In our analysis, we use an alternative weighted 1B dataset (ACW1B) of non-gravitational accelerations, which comprises the standard deviations of each measurement derived from the 1A data (10 Hz) using a weighted Gaussian filter with a cut-off frequency of 35mHz. Subsequently, we extract the atmospheric drag and the SRP, acting on the GRACE C satellite, directly from the accelerometer measurements. The weighted residual series along the three axes of the Science Reference Frame are analyzed based on their latitudinal, longitudinal, and local time variations and are compared with the field-aligned currents (FAC) dataset derived from the magnetic observations of GRACE C, provided by GFZ. We analyze the residual series in Magnetic Local Time (MLT) during the periods of combined Solstices, Equinoxes and on monthly basis in different frequency bands. In the higher frequency bands (f > 0.02 Hz) high correlation between the accelerometer residual series and the FACs is revealed, especially in the radial direction. The measurements in the along-track direction are the most disturbed during the geomagnetic storms, while in the radial direction we can distinctly identify the disturbances caused by the Earth Radiation pressure in the lower frequency bands. In the cross-track direction, the residual series reveal a strong signal in the equatorial region due to thruster activations. High dependency on Magnetic Local Time along the three axes of the accelerometer and consistent monthly differences between the ascending and descending tracks are investigated and presented.

How to cite: Tzamali, M. and Pagiatakis, S.: Non-gravitational accelerations and magnetic disturbances: What can be observed from the residual series of accelerometers on GRACE C?, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8955, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8955, 2022.

EGU22-11161 | Presentations | G4.2

GRACE-FO RL06 Level-2 Gravity Fields and Mascon Solutions from CSR: Assessments and Future Plans 

Himanshu Save, Srinivas Bettadpur, Peter Nagel, Nadege Pie, Steven Poole, Mark Tamisiea, and Zhigui Kang

The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow-On (GRACE-FO) mission, launched in May 2018, continues the time-variable gravity field time series first established by the GRACE mission in 2002. This paper will provide the assessment of the different gravity field and mass anomaly products produced at the Center for Space Research (CSR). This paper will present the error characterization of the official CSR RL06 solutions and its evolution along with uncertainty quantification.  This paper will present the results of the assessments relative to both the expectations from GRACE performance and relative to expectations of signals in independent datasets. This paper will provide introduction to multiple experimental mass anomaly products produced at CSR and will summarize the improvements planned for the future. 

How to cite: Save, H., Bettadpur, S., Nagel, P., Pie, N., Poole, S., Tamisiea, M., and Kang, Z.: GRACE-FO RL06 Level-2 Gravity Fields and Mascon Solutions from CSR: Assessments and Future Plans, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11161, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11161, 2022.

EGU22-11396 | Presentations | G4.2

Reprocessing of LUH GRACE solutions – current status 

Igor Koch, Mathias Duwe, and Jakob Flury

Currently a reprocessing of the LUH GRACE monthly gravity field solutions is carried out at our institute. The new processing chain utilizes updated background models, parametrization and outlier detection. This processing chain is consistent with the approach currently applied for our operational GRACE-FO time series. In this contribution, we present our gravity field recovery strategy. The reprocessed time series is compared to the previous LUH GRACE series as well as to the most recent series of other GRACE analysis centers. We present a comparison of the noise behavior (in terms of residual signal over the oceans), signal content (river basin amplitudes, regional mass trends) and low degree coefficients. In addition, post-fit range-rate residuals are inspected.

How to cite: Koch, I., Duwe, M., and Flury, J.: Reprocessing of LUH GRACE solutions – current status, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11396, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11396, 2022.

EGU22-11782 | Presentations | G4.2

Eight years of temporal gravity changes observed by the Swarm satellites 

Joao Teixeira da Encarnacao, Daniel Arnold, Ales Bezdek, Christoph Dahle, Junyi Guo, Jose van den IJssel, Adrian Jaeggi, Jaroslav Klokocnik, Sandro Krauss, Torsten Mayer-Guerr, Ulrich Meyer, Josef Sebera, Ck Shum, Pieter Visser, and Yu Zhang

The GPS data collected by the Swarm satellites form the basis for monthly global gravity field models that are complete and uninterrupted since late 2013, thus already covering a period of eight years. A nice aspect is that this time series covers the gap between the GRACE and GRACE-FO missions, as well as any other short gaps in their time series, with a spatial resolution of roughly 1500 km.

The Astronomical Institute of the University of Bern, the Astronomical Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, the Delft University of Technology, the Institute of Geodesy of the Graz University of Technology, and the School of Earth Sciences of the Ohio State University have teamed up to routinely provide these monthly models, with the support of the European Space Agency and the International Combination Servicefor Time-variable Gravity Fields (COST-G). The models are published every 3 months at ESA’s Swarm Data Access server (https://swarm-diss.eo.esa.int) as well at the International Centre for Global Earth Models (http://icgem.gfz-potsdam.de/series/02_COST-G/Swarm). Our gravity field models do not rely on any other source of gravimetric data nor any a priori information in for example the form of temporal and spatial correlations. The strength of our approach is that each institute exploits different gravity inversion strategies, thus producing independent solutions, which are combined at the solution level using weights derived with Variance Component Estimation.

Considering a reference parametric model derived from GRACE/GRACE-FO data, our models traditionally agree at the level of roughly 4 cm Equivalent Water Height (EWH). Since early 2020, developments in the processing of the kinematic orbits have improved this figure to 3 cm. A particularity of the Swarm gravity field models is that the deep ocean areas are ~30-50% noisier than land areas, with the underlying reason yet unknown. At the spatial resolution of Swarm, the time series of large water storage basins show a temporal correlation of 0.75 when compared with GRACE models, and their trends agree within 1 cm/year in terms of EWH.

How to cite: Teixeira da Encarnacao, J., Arnold, D., Bezdek, A., Dahle, C., Guo, J., van den IJssel, J., Jaeggi, A., Klokocnik, J., Krauss, S., Mayer-Guerr, T., Meyer, U., Sebera, J., Shum, C., Visser, P., and Zhang, Y.: Eight years of temporal gravity changes observed by the Swarm satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11782, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11782, 2022.

EGU22-12024 | Presentations | G4.2

Data-driven gap filling and spatio-temporal filtering of the GRACE-GRACE-FO records 

Louis-Marie Gauer, Kristel Chanard, and Luce Fleitout

The Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE; April-2002-June 2017) and current GRACE-Follow On (GRACE-FO; June 2018-present) missions have provided monthly global measurements of the space and time varying Earth’s gravity field, monitoring changes in the ice-sheets and glaciers, hydrological water storage, sea level and within solid Earth. Yet, temporal gaps, including the long 11 months gap between missions, prevent the interpretation of long-term mass variations. Moreover, despite the data processing strategy adopted, GRACE and GRACE-FO solutions show high level of distinctive unphysical noise.  
Consequently, we use the Multi-Channel Singular Spectrum Analysis (MSSA) and exploit both spatial and temporal information contained in multiple solutions of GRACE and GRACE-FO to fill the observational gaps and develop a data-driven spatio-temporal filter to enhance the data signal-to-noise ratio. 
First, we use the well-established decorrelation DDK7 filter to remove a large part of the distinctive noise in a North-South striping patterns. Because we detect persisting noise at high orders, we develop a complementary filter based on the residual noise between fully-processed data and parametric fit to the observations. We then fill observational gaps using an iterative M-SSA approach and series of equivalent water height from four Level-2 solutions (CSR, GFZ, JPL, TU-GRAZ). The method is validated on a synthetic test, where we remove and reconstruct one year of the time series. By using multiple solutions in the process, we form a combined solution based on their common modes of variability. Finally, we take full advantage of the M-SSA to reduce residual spatially uncorrelated noise, namely stripes, by conserving common signals between times series of each point on the globe and its neighbors.  
Comparison of the GRACE-GRACE-FO M-SSA solution with independent observations of the low-degree Earth’s gravity field via Satellite Laser Ranging validates the method’s potential to recover missing observations. Furthermore, comparisons with other solutions show a significant noise reduction compared to spherical harmonic solutions, and the ability to retrieve short-wavelengths geophysical signals masked by Mascons-type processing strategy.

How to cite: Gauer, L.-M., Chanard, K., and Fleitout, L.: Data-driven gap filling and spatio-temporal filtering of the GRACE-GRACE-FO records, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12024, 2022.

EGU22-13016 | Presentations | G4.2

Assessment of Land Surface and Atmospheric Model Mass Flux Using Water Balance Techniques and GRACE/GRACE-FO Data 

Benjamin Krichman, Srinivas Bettadpur, and Tatyana Pekker

GRACE mission data is used to derive variations in terrestrial water storage in order to evaluate approaches to the water balance. The data in the span of the GRACE and GRACE Follow-On missions is analyzed, and long-term behavior of a variety of basins is characterized. Terrestrial water storage variations are calculated via a combination of flux quantities from land surface models and atmospheric reanalyses using two common water balance approaches as well as a third approach using a novel algorithm for basin boundary discretization. Results are used to evaluate the new approach and form an understanding of its limitations, in relation to both the model data ingested as well as the characteristics of the regions in question.  From the results, we observe significant variations in model performance over diverse geography and climatic conditions, such as diminished accuracy in atmospheric reanalyses under the effect of long term drought. These observations suggest utility as a diagnostic to assess and inform improvement in the studied models.

How to cite: Krichman, B., Bettadpur, S., and Pekker, T.: Assessment of Land Surface and Atmospheric Model Mass Flux Using Water Balance Techniques and GRACE/GRACE-FO Data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13016, 2022.

EGU22-650 | Presentations | G4.3

Investigation of different geoid computation techniques in the frame of the ModernGravNet project 

Vassilios Grigoriadis, Vassilios Andritsanos, Dimitrios Natsiopoulos, and Georgios Vergos

In the frame of the “Modernization of the Hellenic Gravity Network” project, we aim at computing a high resolution and accuracy geoid for Greece. For this reason, we selected initially two test areas in northern and southern Greece covering an area of about 100 km2 each, where gravity and GNSS/leveling measurements were carried out. Based on these recent, well documented and reliable measurements, we investigate the use of different techniques for the determination of the geoid, including Least-Squares Collocation, FFT and Input-Output Systems, following the Remove-Compute-Restore approach. For the remove/restore part, we examine different Residual Terrain Modeling schemes along with the use of older and recent Global Geopotential Models. Moreover, we compute the geoid-quasigeoid separation term using different approaches. We then validate the results obtained against the new GNSS/leveling measurements across the test areas and draw conclusions towards the determination of a regional geoid for Greece.

How to cite: Grigoriadis, V., Andritsanos, V., Natsiopoulos, D., and Vergos, G.: Investigation of different geoid computation techniques in the frame of the ModernGravNet project, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-650, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-650, 2022.

EGU22-711 | Presentations | G4.3

The deep structure of the Richat magmatic intrusion (northern Mauritania) from geophysical modelling. Insights into its kinematics of emplacement 

El Houssein Abdeina, Sara Bazin, Gilles Chazot, Hervé Bertrand, Bernard Le Gall, Nasrrddine Youbi, Mohamed Salem Sabar, Mohamed Khalil Bensalah, and Moulay Ahmed Boumehdi

The famous circular structure of Richat, sometimes referred to as “the eye of Africa”, is located in the northwestern part of the Taoudeni basin, in the central part of the Mauritanian Adrar plateaus. It is expressed at the surface as a slightly elliptical depression, about 40 kilometers in diameter, marked by concentric ridges of Proterozoic-Lower Paleozoic sediments. Its origin as resulting from either a meteorite impact or a deep magmatic intrusion, has been long debated. Modelling of high-resolution airborne magnetic data as well as satellite gravity data reinforces the intrusion hypothesis. Geophysical modelling has been calibrated by determinations of rock properties from various types of magmatic lithologies sampled in the field. The three complementary types of geophysical data allow us to image at various scales and depths the buried structures of the Richat magmatic complex, to determine the areas most affected by hydrothermal alteration and finally to elaborate a kinematic model for its emplacement. We emphasize that : (1) the Richat intrusion is characterized by the presence of two important circular magnetic signals that coincide with gabbroic ring dykes partly exposed at the surface, (2) its overall circular structure rests above a deep mafic (gabbroic) body, (3) the upwelling of magma at the surface has been facilitated by the presence of concentric faults and (4) the central zone of the complex recorded intense hydrothermal alteration. This case study aims to provide insights for similar types of magma-induced ring structures observed worldwide.

How to cite: Abdeina, E. H., Bazin, S., Chazot, G., Bertrand, H., Le Gall, B., Youbi, N., Sabar, M. S., Bensalah, M. K., and Boumehdi, M. A.: The deep structure of the Richat magmatic intrusion (northern Mauritania) from geophysical modelling. Insights into its kinematics of emplacement, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-711, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-711, 2022.

EGU22-780 | Presentations | G4.3

Effect of Gravity Data Coverage on the Gravity Field Recovery: Case Study for Egypt (Africa) and Austria 

Hussein Abd-Elmotaal and Norbert Kühtreiber

The coverage of the gravity data plays an important role in the geoid determination. This paper tries to answer whether different geoid determination techniques would be affected similarly by such gravity data coverage. The paper presents the determination of the gravimetric geoid in two different countries where the gravity coverage is quite different. Egypt (representing the same situation in Africa) has sparse gravity data coverage over relatively large area, while Austria has quite dense gravity coverage in a significantly smaller area. Two different geoid determination techniques are tested. They are Stokes’ integral with modified Stokes kernel, for better combination of the gravity field wavelengths, and the least-squares collocation technique. The geoid determination has been performed within the framework of the non-ambiguous window remove-restore technique (Abd-Elmotaal and Kühtreiber, 2003). For Stokes’ geoid determination technique, the Meissl (1971) modified kernel has been used with numerical tests to obtain the best cap size for both geoids in Egypt and Austria. For the least-squares collocation technique, a modelled covariance function is needed. The Tscherning-Rapp (Tscherning and Rapp, 1974) covariance function model has been used after being fitted to the empirically determined covariance function. The paper gives a smart method for such covariance function fitting. All geoids are fitted to GNSS/levelling geoids for both countries. For each country, the computed two geoids are compared and the correlation between their differences versus the gravity coverage is comprehensively discussed.

How to cite: Abd-Elmotaal, H. and Kühtreiber, N.: Effect of Gravity Data Coverage on the Gravity Field Recovery: Case Study for Egypt (Africa) and Austria, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-780, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-780, 2022.

EGU22-787 | Presentations | G4.3

GOCE SGG data downward continuation to the Earth’s Surface 

Georgios S. Vergos, Eleftherios A. Pitenis, Elisavet G. Mamagiannou, Dimitrios A. Natsiopoulos, and Ilias N. Tziavos

The combination of GOCE Satellite Gravity Gradiometer (SGG) data with local free-air gravity anomalies, towards the estimation of improved geoid and gravity field models, requires their downward continuation to the Earth’s surface (ES). Within the GeoGravGOCE project, which aims to explore the local improvements in geoid and gravity field modeling offered by GOCE, optimal combination of GOCE and surface data was sought in order to acquire insights of their contribution especially over poorly surveyed areas. GOCE SGG data are first pre-processed, to filter out noise and reduce long-wavelength correlated errors, and are consequently reduced to a mean orbit (MO) so that downward continuation to the Earth’s surface can be carried out. The reduction from the orbit level to a MO was performed by estimating GGM gradient grids per 1 km from the MO to the maximum orbital level, and then linearly interpolating for the reduction from the actual satellite height. Having determined the filtered GOCE filtered SGG data to a MO, the next step referred to their downward continuation to the ES. Gravity anomalies from XGM2016 generated on the ES have been used as ground truth and were upward continued to the MO in the spectral domain through the input output system theory method. The evaluation of GOCE SGG data to the MO with GGM-derived gradients is performed using a Monte-Carlo annihilation method finding the global minimum of a cost function that may possess several local minima. The GOCE data that satisfy the aforementioned criteria of this simulated annealing method are frozen and the steps mentioned above are repeated until all generated SGG data meet the criterion. The developed procedure can be successfully applied for downward continuation of GOCE SGG from a MO to the ES for regional gravity field applications. The present work summarizes the results achieved while the evaluation is performed against local free-air gravity anomalies and residuals to XGM2019.

How to cite: Vergos, G. S., Pitenis, E. A., Mamagiannou, E. G., Natsiopoulos, D. A., and Tziavos, I. N.: GOCE SGG data downward continuation to the Earth’s Surface, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-787, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-787, 2022.

EGU22-927 | Presentations | G4.3

Practical implementation of the IHRF employing local gravity data and geoid models 

Riccardo Barzaghi and Georgios Vergos

With the definition of the International Height Reference System (IHRS) and the development of a roadmap for its implementation through the International Height Reference Frame (IHRF), an analytical evaluation of the various approaches for the practical determination of potential values at IHRF is necessary. In this work we focus on two main approaches to estimate geopotential values at IHRF stations. The first approach resides on the use of either local gravity anomalies and gravity disturbances around each site and the geopotential determination based on Stokes’ and Molodensky’s boundary value problems, respectively. In this scheme, the influence of the classical residual terrain model (RTM) reduction as well as that of RTM effects based on spherical harmonics expansion of the topographic potential are investigated. Furthermore, the introduction of possible biases within the various pre- and post-processing steps are thoroughly investigated, as e.g., during the estimation of station geometric heights, along with the influence of the quasi-geoid to geoid separation estimation. In the second approach, we investigate the determination of geopotential values based on either national and regional geoid models, i.e., resembling the case that access to local gravity data is not available, and the determination has to be based on some available geoid model. In the present work we analyze the theoretical and methodological steps that need to be followed in each approach, identifying the possible sources of biases. Finally, some early results are presented aiming at providing a roadmap and an error assessment for the practical realization of the IHRF.

How to cite: Barzaghi, R. and Vergos, G.: Practical implementation of the IHRF employing local gravity data and geoid models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-927, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-927, 2022.

EGU22-1602 | Presentations | G4.3

Comparison between towed absolute and shipborne 3C fluxgate magnetic measurements in shallow water. Applications for marine geophysical surveys. 

Hugo Reiller, Jean-François Oehler, Sylvain Lucas, Guy Marquis, Didier Rouxel, and Marc Munschy

We compare marine magnetic measurements simultaneously acquired with absolute and three-component fluxgate sensors to evaluate their respective benefits for marine geophysical mapping and detection surveys.

Shom collected the data in shallow waters, in the Bay of Brest (France) and in the Iroise Sea, during two cruises in the Fall 2021. As per standard practice, an absolute Overhauser magnetometer was towed 180 m behind the 60 m-long Laplace and Lapérouse hydrographic vessels. In addition, two vector magnetometers were temporarily installed at the top of the ship’s mast and on the roof of a 10 m-long launch. Scalar data were processed following Shom’s standards: shift to sensor position, layback adjustments, removal of gyrations and spikes, filtering and calculation of magnetic anomalies by removing the IGRF model (Alken et al., 2021) and reducing external variations measured at a local reference station. Vector data were corrected for the strong magnetic fields generated by the hull and other steel components of the ship by the application of a “scalar compensation” using a least-squares regression analysis (Leliak, 1961) on data from figures of merit. The compensated vector data then need to be low-pass filtered to remove uncorrected variations of attitude and heading. Magnetic anomalies were finally computed by removing the median value for each profile and reducing external variations from the same local reference station.

Our first results show that maps of total-field anomalies derived from vector data acquired on the ship are very close to those of the absolute data upward-continued to the altitude of the mast. This similarity suggests that it is possible to perform good-quality magnetic surveys without the constraint of having to tow an instrument. The different processing steps however raise the detection threshold for anthropogenic objects lying on the seafloor or partially buried. Vector data acquired on smaller launchs are much more complicated to compensate as ranges of pitch, roll and heading variations are greater than for a large ship and potentially imperfectly sampled by the figures of merit.

How to cite: Reiller, H., Oehler, J.-F., Lucas, S., Marquis, G., Rouxel, D., and Munschy, M.: Comparison between towed absolute and shipborne 3C fluxgate magnetic measurements in shallow water. Applications for marine geophysical surveys., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1602, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1602, 2022.

EGU22-1673 | Presentations | G4.3

Crustal structures from receiver functions and gravity analysis in central Mongolia 

Alexandra Guy, Christel Tiberi, and Saandar Mijiddorj

3D forward gravity modelling combined with receiver function analysis characterize the structures of the southern part of the Mongolian collage. Recently, a multidisciplinary approach integrating potential field analysis with geology and magmatic geochemistry demonstrate that relamination of an allochtonous felsic to intermediate lower crust played a major role in southern Mongolia structure. Relamination of material induces a homogeneous layer in the lower crust, which contrasts with the highly heterogeneous upper crustal part composed of different lithotectonic domains. The seismic signals of the 48 stations of the MOBAL2003 and the IRIS-PASSCAL experiments were analyzed to get the receiver functions. The resulting crustal thickness variation is first compared with the topography of the Moho determined by the 3D forward modeling of the GOCE gravity gradients. In addition, seismic stations south of the Hangay dome display significant signal related to the occurrence of a low velocity zone (LVZ) at lower crustal level. The receiver function analysis also revealed a significant difference between the crustal structures of the Hangay dome and the tectonic zones in the south. Finally, these seismic analysis inputs such as crustal thickness, strike and dips of the seismic interfaces as well as the boundaries and the lithologies of the different tectonic zones constitute the starting points from the 3D forward gravity modelling. The combination of these two independent methods enhances the occurrence and the extent of a low velocity and a low density zone (LVLDZ) at lower crustal level beneath central Mongolia. These LVLDZ may demonstrate the existence of the relamination of a hydrous material in southern Mongolia.

How to cite: Guy, A., Tiberi, C., and Mijiddorj, S.: Crustal structures from receiver functions and gravity analysis in central Mongolia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1673, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1673, 2022.

EGU22-1899 | Presentations | G4.3

Bathymetric Effects on Geoid Modeling 

Xiaopeng Li, Miao Lin, Jordan Krcmaric, Yuanyuan Jia, Ck Shum, and Daniel Roman

Bathymetric data over lake areas are not included in previous NGS (National Geodetic Survey) geoid model computations. Mean lake surfaces are used as the bare rock surface during the modeling. This approximation treats the water body as rocks with the same size, and causes errors that can be avoided. This study uses the bathymetric model to rigorously compute the volume of water bodies instead of treating them as rocks, during geoid modeling. To make fair comparisons and show the effects clearly, three sets of geoid models are generated with the same theory currently used at NGS, and with the same parameters. Model-Base is computed without bathymetric information of the water body. In this model, the real water bodies are simply replaced by rocks. Model-Condensed and Model-Density are generated with bathymetric information. The treatments of water bodies are different between the two models, but both are based on the hypothesis of mass conservation. The water bodies are condensed into the equivalent rocks in the Model-Condensed, leading to the geometrical shape changes in the lake area. In the Model-Density, the density of each topographical column bounded by the lake surface and geoid is taken as the average of the density of water and rock bodies included in this column, resulting in the density changes in the lake area. The study area is focused on the Great Lakes area of North America. The geoid model differences between Model-Condensed and Model-Base range from -18 to 25 mm, forming a Gaussian distribution. The distribution of the geoid model differences between Model-Density and Model-Base are not in a Gaussian form, and their values are in the range between -1 and 18 mm. Both the nearby GNSS/Leveling bench marks from US and the multi-year averaged altimetry data are used to validate the results. Consistent geoid model precision improvements of about 2 mm are confirmed around the Lake Superior, which is the deepest and largest lake, over all selected frequency bands of the Stokes’s kernel. The numerical results prove the importance of considering water bodies in the determination of a high-accuracy geoid model over the Great Lakes area.

How to cite: Li, X., Lin, M., Krcmaric, J., Jia, Y., Shum, C., and Roman, D.: Bathymetric Effects on Geoid Modeling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1899, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1899, 2022.

EGU22-2625 | Presentations | G4.3

Magnetic and gravimetric modeling of the Monchique magmatic intrusion in south Portugal 

Gabriela Camargo, Marta Neres, Machiel Bos, Bento Martins, Susana Custódio, and Pedro Terrinha

The Monchique alkaline complex (MAC) crops out in southern Portugal with a roughly elliptical shape of about 80 km2 elongated along ENE-WSW direction. The MAC dates to Late Cretaceous (69-72 Ma) and intrudes the Carboniferous Flysh formation of the South Portuguese Zone. At the surface, it comprises two main types of syenites: a central homogeneous nepheline syenite surrounded by a heterogeneous syenite unit, and some less expressive outcrops of mafic rocks (gabbros, hornfels, breccia and basalts). This igneous complex belongs to the Upper Cretaceous West Iberia alkaline magmatic event, characterized by alkaline magmatism of sublithospheric origin and active from approximately 100 Ma to 69 Ma.

The Monchique region hosts the most active seismic cluster of mainland Portugal, with low magnitude earthquakes (M < 4) that occur along lineations with NNE–SSW and WNW–ESE preferred orientation.

In this work we study the Monchique region through gravimetric and magnetic methods in order to: 1) better understand how the MAC influences the geomagnetic and gravimetric field in the region; 2) to create a new and consistent 2D and 3D model for the intrusion; and 3) to help constraining the origin of the observed seismicity and its possible relation with the existence of subcropping magmatic bodies.

We process recently acquired data - ground gravity survey (49 points) and drone-borne aeromagnetic survey – and integrate it with existing data. The interpretation of gravimetric results is complemented by density analysis of magmatic and host rocks. We perform 3D magnetic and gravity inversion to model the geometry of gravity and magnetic sources, and 2D magnetic forward modeling along a representative profile.

The calculated Bouguer gravity anomaly shows a positive gradient towards the southwest with a negative peak in the center of the Monchique mountain. However, when applied the terrain correction (complete Bouguer anomaly), this peak vanishes. This is justified by the similar mean density values for the syenite and host rocks, respectively 2560 kg/m3 and 2529 kg/m3.

The new aeromagnetic data allows for mapping the Monchique magnetic anomaly with unprecedented detail and reveal a 10 km elongated anomaly with 30 m wavelength with maximum 1707 nT amplitude. 3D susceptibility inversion models show a 15km long body with maximum depth between 5-10km, and susceptibility >0.02 SI, in agreement with previous susceptibility analysis in the region. The highest magnetic signal is found at Picota hill (east), but the deepest parts of the intrusion seem to be bellow Foia hill (west). It is noteworthy that earthquake hypocenters concentrate at depths of 5-20 km, thus below most of the modeled magmatic intrusion.  

This work was developed for the MSc thesis of GCC, in the frame of ATLAS project (PTDC/CTA-GEF/31272/2017), POCI-01-0145-FEDER-031272, FEDER-COMPETE/POCI 2020) partly funded by FCT. FCT is further acknowledged for support through projects UIDB/50019/2020-IDL, PTDC/CTA-GEF/1666/2020 and PTDC/CTA-GEF/6674/2020.

How to cite: Camargo, G., Neres, M., Bos, M., Martins, B., Custódio, S., and Terrinha, P.: Magnetic and gravimetric modeling of the Monchique magmatic intrusion in south Portugal, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2625, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2625, 2022.

The presence of subglacial sediments is important in enabling streaming ice flow and may be a critical controlling factor in determining the onset regions of ice streams. Improving our knowledge of the location of sedimentary basins underlying large ice sheets will improve our understanding of how the substrate influences the ice streams.  Advancing our understanding of the interaction between subglacial sediments and ice flow is critical for predictions of ice sheet behavior and the consequences on future climate change. To date, no comprehensive distribution of onshore and offshore sedimentary basins over Antarctica has been developed. The goal of this project is to use a combination of large-scale datasets to characterize known basins and identify new sedimentary basins to produce a continent-wide mapping of sedimentary basins and provide improved basal parametrizations conditions that have the potential to support more realistic ice sheet models. The proposed work is divided into three main steps. In the first step, the Random Forest (RF), a supervised machine learning algorithm, is used to identify sedimentary basins in Antarctica. In the second step, a regression analyses between aerogravity data and topography is done to evaluate the gravity signal related to superficial heterogeneities (i.e. sediments) and compare the results to the depth of magnetic sources using the Werner deconvolution method. Last, the correlation between sedimentary basins and ice streams is investigated. Here, we will present the preliminary results from Step 1. The Random Forest uses ensemble learning method for classification and regression. The classification rules for this present work are based on the geophysical parameters of major known sedimentary basins. First we classify the known basins with all available geophysical compilations including topography, gravity and magnetic anomalies, sedimentary thickness, crustal thickness, geothermal heat flux, information on the geology, rocky type and bedrock geochemistry, and then use the Random Forest machine learning algorithm to classify the geology underneath the ice into consolidated rock and sediments based on these parameters.

How to cite: Constantino, R. R., Tinto, K. J., and Bell, R. E.: Using random forest machine learning algorithm to help investigating the relationship between subglacial sediments and ice flow in Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2658, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2658, 2022.

EGU22-3409 | Presentations | G4.3

Short-wavelength Bouguer anomaly and folding with disclination in the northeastern Japan 

Mitsuhiro Hirano and Hiroyuki Nagahama

In the northeastern Japan arc with the active compressive stress field since ~3 Ma, it is reported that a characteristic relationship between crustal deformation including faulting and short-wavelength (< 160 km) Bouguer anomalies. According to previous studies, active faults tend to be located in negative regions, which are caused by cracks and volumetric strain due to accumulated fault dislocation. Especially, it is shown that in strain concentration zones with active faults and muti folding, the effect of accumulated fault dislocation forms the negative zones of gravity anomaly along the northeastern Japan arc, impacting the pattern of short-wavelength Bouguer anomalies throughout the entire arc. In this presentation, we extend this concept further and discuss the positive and negative zones of gravity zones along the entire northeastern Japan arc from the geometrical viewpoint of folding with one of the defect, disclination. Folding is described by Euler-Schouten curvature tensor, which defines the protrusion of included space (e.g., two-dimensional Riemannian space) from enveloping space (e.g., three-dimensional Euclid space). Based on previous studies, the density of earthquake occurrence is proportional to the curvature of the plastic folding deformation of the crust, which is related to Euler-Schouten curvature, and fault dislocation also accumulates at the regions with its high curvature. The row (accumulation) of fault dislocation can be replaced by the disclination, and Riemann-Christoffel curvature, derived from Euler-Schouten curvature tensor, also expresses disclination density. In particular, angular folding with local curvature accompanied by a pair of disclination is called Kink folding, forming the mass-loss or mass-excess regions around disclination. Since Kink folding can approximately be the same as the undulating region bounded by several faults (fault block) in strain concentration zones, it is expected that the northeastern Japan arc has not only negative zones of gravity anomaly but also positive zones along the arc due to the mass-loss or mass-excess regions around disclination. Therefore, we conclude that the positive and negative zones of gravity anomaly along the northeastern Japan arc reflect the geometric condition of the crust with disclination.

How to cite: Hirano, M. and Nagahama, H.: Short-wavelength Bouguer anomaly and folding with disclination in the northeastern Japan, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3409, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3409, 2022.

EGU22-3615 | Presentations | G4.3

Moho depth evaluation using GOCE gradient data and Least Square Collocation over Iran 

Carlo Iapige De Gaetani, Hadi Heydarizadeh Shali, Sabah Ramouz, Abdolreza Safari, and Riccardo Barzaghi

Investigating the crustal architecture, specifically the discontinuity interface between the upper mantle and lower crust of the Earth, so-called Moho, can be done in three prevailing techniques, namely lithology, seismicity, and gravity. In contrast to using the information from analyzing the characteristics of rocks and seismic waves, which are sparsed and expensive, inverting gravity data of satellite missions such as GOCE and GRACE is a suitable alternative for such purposes.

The present paper attempts to map the Moho surface using the gravity data as we considered a simplified Earth model based on three shells including the core, mantle and crust with a potential T on a given sphere outside this body. In this notation, by subtracting the topographic effects, compensating for density anomalies in the crust, and other known constants from the observation that are given on and outside the mean Earth radius, one is left with the potential of a single layer on the mean Moho sphere by taking into consideration the Helmert condensation approach. In planar approximation, this is to say that the topography is formally referred to an xy plane and also the condensation surface which is a plane, situated at a depth D below the previous one. Therefore, relating the topographic load of a mass column with height h over the same elementary area element at depth d, the measure of how deep the crust is sinking into the mantle material as a consequence of the load, we can interpret the Moho variations with respect to some mean crustal thickness.

To do this inversion, we applied the Least Square Collocation (LSC) approach which uses the functional relationships between the quantities, the auto-covariance and cross-covariance matrices based on a covariance function between observations and the unknowns. Practically, after constructing the required residual data, an empirical covariance is estimated, then fitted to analytical one to define the required covariance models.

Finally, the Moho variations has been estimated in an active tectonic zone created by the continental collision of the Arabian plate from South-West and Turan shield from North-East with respect to a mean Moho depth equal to 45 km. Results of this study are comparable and much the same with other studies so that different rheological zones of Iranian plateau can be seen in this estimated map of Moho. For instance, a maximum depth is estimated for Sanandaj-Sirjan zones in South-East and minimum depth for Caspian Sea in North.

How to cite: De Gaetani, C. I., Heydarizadeh Shali, H., Ramouz, S., Safari, A., and Barzaghi, R.: Moho depth evaluation using GOCE gradient data and Least Square Collocation over Iran, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3615, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3615, 2022.

EGU22-4230 | Presentations | G4.3

Crowd modelling: Launching an open gravity-modelling call to challenge the Balmuccia peridotite body 

György Hetényi, Ludovic Baron, Matteo Scarponi, Shiba Subedi, Konstantinos Michailos, Fergus Dal, Anna Gerle, Benoît Petri, Antonio Langone, Andrew Greenwood, Luca Ziberna, Mattia Pistone, Alberto Zanetti, and Othmar Müntener

Modelling of geophysical data is often subject to choices made by the researcher undertaking the work. The level of structural complexity in the model, the bounds on parameters imposed by a priori knowledge, the thoroughness and efficiency in exploring the parameter space may all lead to bias in determining what the best fitting models can be.

To avoid bias from our own ideas in constraining the subsurface shape of a given density anomaly, we hereby invite anyone interested to create their own models. This is planned by sharing the same gravity data measured in the field, the same digital elevation model, the main features of the local geological maps, and bounds on the encountered rock density values. These data will be shared openly, in the form of a modelling challenge: each participating researcher or group is expected to submit their solution(s). All these will be compared during a dedicated workshop, ultimately resulting in a joint publication.

The target of this modelling challenge is the world-famous Balmuccia peridotite body (45.84°N, 8.16°E) in the Ivrea-Verbano Zone (IVZ). Here mantle rocks are naturally exposed at the surface, in the broader context of the IVZ, a middle- to lower crustal terrain along the Europe-Adria plate boundary’s eastern side. The surface exposure of the Balmuccia peridotite is ~ 4.4 km N-S by 0.6 km E-W, with outcrop elevation changes exceeding 1000 m. About 150 new gravity data points have been measured within a radius of 3 km from the centre of the peridotite body, along more or less accessible paths and slopes. The measurements have been carried out with a Scintrex CG-5 relative gravimeter, tied to a reference point, and all points located via differential GPS with typical vertical precision of a few cm. Farther away regional gravity data is available at few km spacing.

Beyond the modelling challenge, the interest in constraining the subsurface shape of the Balmuccia peridotite body is its future target role in the ICDP DIVE continental drilling project (www.dive2ivrea.org).

How to cite: Hetényi, G., Baron, L., Scarponi, M., Subedi, S., Michailos, K., Dal, F., Gerle, A., Petri, B., Langone, A., Greenwood, A., Ziberna, L., Pistone, M., Zanetti, A., and Müntener, O.: Crowd modelling: Launching an open gravity-modelling call to challenge the Balmuccia peridotite body, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4230, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4230, 2022.

EGU22-4803 | Presentations | G4.3

Separation of gravimetric and magnetic anomalies with different degrees of regionality in the Eastern Carpathians, Romania 

Natalia-Silvia Asimopolos and Laurentiu Asimopolos

The gravity and magnetic anomalies separation operation consists in determining the number of sources, the characteristics of each (depth, density, shape, and dimensions) so as to result in cumulative total anomaly, measured at the Earth’s surface. This separation has to be done in the context of the fundamental ambiguity of gravimetric and magnetic information, based on the cause-effect ratio. There are various methods for achieving this separation of anomalies. This paper presents some examples of the use of the moving average method and the polynomial trend surfaces. In particular, we presented the results of the mobile mediation with different windows compared to the tendency surfaces with different degrees, for a case study in Eastern Carpathians mountains area. For this study we used data available from several sources.

From the International Gravimetric Bureau we used gravimetric data for the WGM2012 geoglobal model: Bouguer anomaly for density 2.67 g / cm3, outdoor anomaly, isostatic anomaly, gravitational disturbance and altitude.

From the geophysics portal of the Geological Institute of Romania we used the magnetic data resulting both from the scanning of the national geomagnetic maps and from the catalogs of measurements from the archive. We also used the deep geological sections made on the basis of seismic data, corroborated with gravimetric and magnetic data that cross the Eastern Carpathians.

Other data used for depth correlations were the isobath map of the Moho surface, the Conrad surface, the geoid, and the quasigeoid.

For the study of deep tectonics based on all the data used we used the correlation coefficient between various parameters, calculated in movable windows of different sizes both in plan and in space. For this we have developed specific calculation programs.  The moving average is a direct method for separating regional effects and local (residual) effects. Polynomial trend surfaces analysis contributes to the recognition, isolation and measurement of trends that can be calculated and represented by analytical equations, thus achieving a separation in regional and local variations. The analytical expressions of the polynomial trends based on the least squares method were calculated, highlighting the regional trend caused by the deep structures. Then, by calculating the residual values resulting from the difference between the initial values and the trend values from the network nodes used, we highlighted the superficial local effects. We also obtained information about the regional trend caused by geological structures at medium and large depths, by calculating the difference between gravity parameters, obtained with different moving average windows or tendency surfaces with different degrees, interpolated in same network.

How to cite: Asimopolos, N.-S. and Asimopolos, L.: Separation of gravimetric and magnetic anomalies with different degrees of regionality in the Eastern Carpathians, Romania, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4803, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4803, 2022.

EGU22-6489 | Presentations | G4.3

Drone-magnetic survey along the Alentejo coast (SW Portugal): a quest for the intruded Messejana fault 

Diogo Rodrigues, Marta Neres, Pedro Terrinha, Machiel Bos, and Bento Martins
 
 

How to cite: Rodrigues, D., Neres, M., Terrinha, P., Bos, M., and Martins, B.: Drone-magnetic survey along the Alentejo coast (SW Portugal): a quest for the intruded Messejana fault, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6489, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6489, 2022.

EGU22-6615 | Presentations | G4.3

Examination of magnetic map variability and uncertainty: crustal magnetic anomalies in oceanic areas 

Richard Saltus, Arnaud Chulliat, Brian Meyer, and Martin Bates

To paraphrase a common model aphorism: “all magnetic maps are wrong, some are useful”. In other words, all maps of the Earth’s magnetic field are subject to uncertainty, both observationally and dynamically. Depending on the intended use of the map, this uncertainty will have varying implications. For those of us who build and use magnetic maps it is important to gain understanding of the uncertainty in these maps to ensure that they are clearly presented and suitable for a given use.

Uncertainty evaluation is a general challenge that affects all magnetic maps and models, but here we concentrate on maps of magnetic anomalies (i.e., perturbations of the Earth’s main field primarily due to variations in magnetic minerals in the crust and shallow mantle) in oceanic areas.

Magnetic anomaly maps for oceanic regions are typically representations of gridded data. The grids are built from available data which generally consists of marine trackline data with a range of ages, collection parameters and uncertainty in original observations. Data coverage and trackline geometries are highly variable around the world. For example, near-shore regions in the Northern Hemisphere tend to be well sampled, whereas open ocean portions of the Southern Hemisphere are poorly sampled.

Quantification of cell by cell uncertainty for magnetic anomaly grids can be subdivided into two regimes: cells containing data and cells without data. For cells containing data, factors such as point-wise observation uncertainty, number of observations, and spatial distribution of data, can be analysed to estimate grid value uncertainty. For interpolated cells, factors such as distance to nearest data cells, local field behavior, and uncertainty in surrounding cells are relevant.

Using NOAA/NCEI trackline marine data for portions of the Caribbean Sea and North Atlantic we are constructing and testing uncertainty models and methods for representing this uncertainty for a variety of magnetic map uses. For a marine magnetic anomaly grid of a portion of the North Atlantic at a 4 km grid interval (the same grid interval used by our global EMAG2 magnetic anomaly compilation), the calculated cell level uncertainty ranges from 20 nT to 150 nT with a mean value of 90 nT. This mean value is similar to the average grid uncertainty of 100 nT/cell that we estimated for marine areas of EMAG2v3. Different gridding approaches, including kriging or minimum curvature algorithms, yield variations in individual cell values, but these variations fall within our estimated uncertainty ranges. 

How to cite: Saltus, R., Chulliat, A., Meyer, B., and Bates, M.: Examination of magnetic map variability and uncertainty: crustal magnetic anomalies in oceanic areas, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6615, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6615, 2022.

EGU22-6671 | Presentations | G4.3

Accuracy requirements of the gravity measurements for sub-centimetre geoid 

Ismael Foroughi, Spiros Pagiatakis, Mehdi Goli, and Stephen Ferguson

In this contribution, we estimate the uncertainty (error) of the input gravity measurements needed for the determination of the geoid with an internal sub-centimetre accuracy. The accuracy of the geoid height is a function of the resolution/accuracy of the input gravity and topographical data, and the methodology used to solve a geodetic boundary value problem. The purpose of this study is to estimate the maximum allowable error in the terrestrial gravity measurements based on a required standard deviation of the error in the geoid heights (e.g., ≤1cm). This is done with an assumption of a known Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and an Earth Gravitational Model (EGM) along with their error estimates.

 

We use the one-step integration method (one-step kernel) for the determination of the geoid. In this method, the anomalous gravity at any surface above the geoid is estimated by integrating over the geoid-level disturbing potentials in harmonic space. By applying the covariance law to the one-step integration method, the error of the gravity measurements at the Earth's surface can be estimated using the expected error of the geoid heights. Taking advantage of the remove-compute-restore technique, we estimate the error of the residual surface gravity measurements using the (known) error estimates of the topographical and EGM corrections.  

 

We select the Colorado test area (35°N - 40°N, 250°E - 258°E) to generate a 1¢×1¢ grid of geoid random errors with a standard deviation of 1cm. We use the topographical data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) Ver. 3.0. and the global model of DIR_R5 up to degree/order 140 to apply the remove-compute-restore technique. The uncertainty estimate of the SRTM heights and the covariance matrix of the spherical harmonic coefficients of the DIR_R5 are used to calculate the errors of the topographical gravitational attraction and low-degree EGM signals on the geoid heights and surface anomalous gravity data.

 

Our preliminary results show that to achieve a sub-centimetre accuracy in the Colorado area, we require grid surface gravity measurements with a standard deviation of less than 2.5mGal. This result is optimistic as in the geoid determination process, the anomalous gravity data are downward continued from the Earth’s surface to the geoid, whereas this step is not required in our experience. Besides, we assume a constant standard deviation of 1cm for all the errors of the geoid heights, whereas such high accuracy may not be needed in high mountains. We will provide further results for the elevation-dependent geoid error and also investigate the effect of downward continuation on our results.     

How to cite: Foroughi, I., Pagiatakis, S., Goli, M., and Ferguson, S.: Accuracy requirements of the gravity measurements for sub-centimetre geoid, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6671, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6671, 2022.

EGU22-7769 | Presentations | G4.3

Two-dimensional gravity and magnetic model along a new WARR profile in the transition zone from the Precambrian to Palaeozoic platform in the southern Baltic 

Małgorzata Ponikowska, Stanislaw Mazur, Tomasz Janik, Dariusz Wójcik, Michał Malinowski, Christian Hübscher, and Ingo Heyde

Defining a transition zone between the Precambrian East European Craton (EEC) and the Palaeozoic West European Platform (WEP) is still a matter of discussion despite a large body of geophysical and geological data. The main tectonic feature of the transition zone is the Teisseyre-Tornquist Zone (TTZ), which has been variously interpreted over the past decades mainly because of a thick (c. 10 km) Palaeozoic and Mesozoic sedimentary cover masking its crustal architecture.  We investigated the crustal structure of the TTZ using a 270-km long wide-angle reflection/refraction profile (WARR) measured along 15 ocean-bottom seismometers and 2 land stations during the course of the RV MARIA S. MERIAN expedition ‘MSM52’. This NE to SW profile is oriented nearly parallel to the Polish coast, located ~ 48 km south of the Danish island of Bornholm. We prepared a two-dimensional gravity and magnetic forward model along this profile, using the Geosoft GM-SYS software with layers of infinite length. The basis for the potential field modelling is a seismic velocity model that has been prepared through trial-and-error forward modelling.

The seismic velocity model shows a continuity of the lower and middle crust of the EEC towards the basement of the WEP. The synthetic magnetic profile is smooth and indicates that the seismic data accurately revealed the geometry and depth of the magnetic (crystalline) basement. However, the model was unable to replicate short-wavelength, high-amplitude magnetic anomalies in the ENE section of the profile, probably representing iron oxide mineralisation in the crystalline basement of the EEC. The gravity model shows 3 areas of misfit between the synthetic and observed gravity profile. The most prominent misfit coincides with the NE boundary of the TTZ. To remedy the misfit, we produced two alternative gravity models that deviate from the seismic velocity model in the problematic area. One model postulates a crustal keel underneath the NE section of the TTZ and the other suggests the presence of a middle crust magmatic intrusion. Both models equally and adequately reduce the misfit of the gravity model.

Our models suggest a SW-ward continuation of the Baltica middle and lower crust through the TTZ and seem to preclude the coincidence of the Caledonian Thor suture with the TTZ. An important perturbation of the upper crust and sedimentary cover within the latter is mostly associated with the superimposed effects of Devonian-Carboniferous and Permian-Mesozoic extension. The only conspicuous compressional event confirmed by our data is the Late Cretaceous-Paleogene inversion of the Permian-Mesozoic basin. Due to limited resolution, our models did not reveal the effects of Caledonian nor Variscan shortening, including the Caledonian Deformation Front.

This study was funded by the Polish National Science Centre grant no UMO-2017/27/B/ST10/02316.

How to cite: Ponikowska, M., Mazur, S., Janik, T., Wójcik, D., Malinowski, M., Hübscher, C., and Heyde, I.: Two-dimensional gravity and magnetic model along a new WARR profile in the transition zone from the Precambrian to Palaeozoic platform in the southern Baltic, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7769, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7769, 2022.

EGU22-8228 | Presentations | G4.3

New insights to characterize the La Cerdanya basin structure from 3D gravity modelling 

Pilar Clariana, Roberto Muñoz, Concepción Ayala, Fabián Bellmunt, Perla Piña-Varas, Ruth Soto, Anna Gabàs, Albert Macau, Félix Rubio, Carmen Rey-Moral, and Joan Martí

The acquisition and interpretation of gravity and magnetic data represents a cost-effective tool in geophysics since it allows to determine the geometry and distribution of the density and magnetic properties at depth of the subsurface rocks. The study area, where gravity and magnetic data have been interpreted, is the La Cerdanya basin (Eastern Pyrenees), a Neogene ENE-WSW oriented half graben located in the Axial Zone, the central part of the Pyrenees mainly formed by Paleozoic rocks. It is situated in the NW block of the La Tet fault and its Neogene sediments lie unconformably on top of the Paleozoic basement. Its dimensions are approximately 30 km long and 7 km wide. The tectonic evolution and geometry of the La Cerdanya basin is not well known and this work aims to add new constraints to help solving the Neogene tectonic evolution of the Eastern Pyrenees and to improve the knowledge of its 3D geometry. 

The magnetic anomaly map of the study area, based on airborne magnetic data, shows very little contrasts of the magnetic properties between the Neogene rocks of the La Cerdanya basin and the Paleozoic rocks surrounding it. Gravity data consist of previous and new acquired gravimetric stations and the residual Bouguer anomaly map shows density contrasts big enough to model the geometry of the basin and the neighbor intrusive bodies. They have been incorporated into a 3D geological model based on available geological and petrophysical data using the 3D GeoModeller software. The 3D potential fields model has been made taking into account the three most representative units outcropping in the study area: the Neogene rocks, the Late Carboniferous intrusive bodies and the Paleozoic basement. The resulting potential fields response of the model is consistent with the observed data. The 3D model shows a basin slightly deeper than shown in previous works and has helped to better define the 3D geometry of the basin and the along-strike geometry of the La Tet fault.

How to cite: Clariana, P., Muñoz, R., Ayala, C., Bellmunt, F., Piña-Varas, P., Soto, R., Gabàs, A., Macau, A., Rubio, F., Rey-Moral, C., and Martí, J.: New insights to characterize the La Cerdanya basin structure from 3D gravity modelling, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8228, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8228, 2022.

Magnetic surveys employing Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) allow a fast and affordable acquisition of high-resolution data. We developed a self-built carbon-fiber frame which can be used to attach magnetometers 0.5 m below an UAS. In order to remove undesired signals from the magnetic recordings that originate from the aircraft and that can cause strong heading errors, we apply calibration processes often referred to as magnetic compensation. These processes are usually applied for manned aerial surveys for both scalar and vector magnetometer data and require flying a calibration pattern prior to a survey. We recently published open-source software written in Python to process data and compute compensations for both scalar and vector magnetometers. We tested our method with two commercially available magnetometer systems (scalar and vector) by flying dense grid patterns over a test site using different suspension methods (magnetometer system attached to 2.8 m long tethers, fixed on the landing gear of the UAS, and fixed on our frame configuration). The accuracy of the magnetic recordings was assessed using both standard deviations of the calibration pattern and tie-line cross-over differences from the grid survey. Our frame configuration resulted after magnetic compensation in the highest accuracy of all configurations tested. The frame also allows for the acquisition of aeromagnetic data under a wide range of flight conditions. This is of great advantage compared to the often-used tethered solutions to avoid recording the aircraft’s signals. Since tethered payloads are prone to rotations and swing motions, they require skilled pilots and can be difficult to fly safely. In contrast to that, our system is easy to use and due to its high in-flight stability, even fully autonomous flights are possible. Since the calibration flights that are required for magnetic compensation need to be collected in areas with low magnetic gradients, it can be difficult to find suitable locations in areas with strong magnetic gradients – such as in volcanic and geothermally active regions. However, a survey collected at the location of the calibration site can be used to evaluate the geological magnetic signal. The compensation process involves then two successive evaluations of the compensation parameters. First, an approximate evaluation of the compensation parameters is done assuming a constant value of the magnetic field at the calibration site. The resulting compensation parameters are then used to compensate the survey data collected over the calibration site and evaluate the magnetic field along the calibration pattern trajectory. Second, the compensation parameters are reevaluated taking the magnetic field variations into account. We tested this double calibration scheme on recordings that were collected over the Krafla geothermal area in the Northern Volcanic Zone of Iceland. The double calibrated data resulted in higher accuracy than a single calibration showing that this method can improve magnetic compensation in magnetically high-gradient areas.

How to cite: Kaub, L., Bouligand, C., and Glen, J. M. G.: Collecting and calibrating magnetic data from surveys with Uncrewed Aerial Systems (UAS) and an approach for regions with strong magnetic gradients, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11258, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11258, 2022.

EGU22-11302 | Presentations | G4.3

Gravimetric quasi-geoid of the Baltic Sea and comparison to GNSS levelling, DTU21 and tide gauges 

Hergeir Teitsson and René Forsberg

A gravimetric quasi-geoid model, based on the latest FAMOS database release, has been computed for the Baltic Sea region, aiming for a best-possible model on the sea, while not focusing on the surrounding land.

 The geoid computation is based on the FFT remove-compute-restore method. XGM2019 is used as global reference field, with a Wong-Gore linear tapering from 180 to 200. No terrain corrections are included in the computation, since these are not expected to contribute to the accuracy of the model on the sea.

The gravimetric quasi-geoid model is compared to a GNSS-levelled ITRF2008 zero-tide dataset, the altimetry based DTU21 Mean Sea Surface dataset, and to a few tide gauge stations distributed throughout the region. Some preliminary comparisons to the GNSS-levelling dataset indicates that the gravimetric geoid has an accuracy of ±25 mm in the region surrounding the Baltic Sea.

How to cite: Teitsson, H. and Forsberg, R.: Gravimetric quasi-geoid of the Baltic Sea and comparison to GNSS levelling, DTU21 and tide gauges, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11302, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11302, 2022.

EGU22-12321 | Presentations | G4.3

eXperimental jOint inveRsioN (XORN) project: first results of a 3D joint gravity and magnetic inversion 

Martina Capponi and Daniele Sampietro

The Earth crust represents less than 1% of the volume of our planet but is exceptionally important as it preserves the signs of the geological events that shaped our planet. This thin layer is the place where the natural resources we need can be accessed (e.g.  critical raw materials, geothermal energy, water, oil and gas, minerals, etc.). For these reasons, a thorough understanding of its structure is crucial for both scientific and industrial future activities. It is well known that potential fields methods, exploiting gravity and magnetic fields, are among the most important tools to recover fundamental information on the Earth crust. In recent years, thanks to the increasing availability of seismic/seismological data and to gravity and magnetic satellite missions, the crust has been thoroughly investigated and modelled at global and continental scales. However, despite this progress, it remains poorly understood in many regions as global models are often too coarse to provide detailed information about the regional and local dynamics.  

With this respect, the challenge to be faced nowadays is represented by the development of ad-hoc techniques to fully exploit these different geophysical global data and to merge them with regional datasets compiled at the Earth’s surface. Currently, the different sources of information when analysed individually suffer from non-uniqueness. Magnetic and gravity signals detect different crustal parameters and rarely coincide because various combinations of geological structures generate similar observations outside the sources. A promising solution is represented by the joint processing in a consistent way of both gravity and magnetic fields data, possibly incorporating the available geological knowledge and constraints coming from seismic acquisitions, in such a way to reduce the space of possible solutions. 

In the eXperimental jOint inveRsioN (XORN) project, funded by the European Space Agency through the EO4society program, Geomatics Research & Development srl (GReD) together with Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans (LMV) of Clermont Auvergne University will develop an innovative algorithm aiming at performing complete 3D joint inversion of gravity and magnetic fields properly constrained by geological a-priori qualitative information. The developed algorithm will be used within the project to recover a 3D regional model of the Earth crust in the Mediterranean Area in terms of density and magnetic susceptibility distribution within the volume, and in terms of depths of the main geological horizons. Within this regional case study particular attention will be given to the bathymetric layer thus defining and testing a strategy that could potentially be applied worldwide to improve our knowledge of this layer which is fundamental for every application that aims at studying (e.g. for tsunami hazards), conserving and sustainably using the oceans, seas and marine resources. 

The first results about technical developments will be here presented together with preliminary modelling aspects of the Mediterranean test case. 

How to cite: Capponi, M. and Sampietro, D.: eXperimental jOint inveRsioN (XORN) project: first results of a 3D joint gravity and magnetic inversion, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12321, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12321, 2022.

EGU22-12459 | Presentations | G4.3

Geologic and Tectonic units in the Iranian Plateau from present and future satellite missions 

Carla Braitenberg, Tommaso Pivetta, Alberto Pastorutti, and Magdala Tesauro

The objective of this work is to investigate the geologic and tectonic units in the Iranian plateau in relation to the information that can be obtained from the gravity field observed from space. The objective requires to collect seismologic tomography, seismicity, geodetic observations of crustal movements, a database of active faults, active seismic investigations of sediment depths, heat flow measurements and to use this information as a constraint for gravity inversion with the present available satellite-derived gravity field. The gravity field correlated to the topography defines blocks of the plateau, which indicates varying crustal rigidity (Pivetta and Braitenberg, 2020). We find that mechanisms of vertical growth are tied to crustal thickening, coherently identified from the gravity field, seismic tomography and isostasy. Persistent high density crustal blocks are identified for instance SE of Isfahan, which require further investigation and validation, also in relation to magmatism. The study is embedded in a major project addressing the “Intraplate deformation, magmatism and topographic evolution of a diffuse collisional belt: Insights into the geodynamics of the Arabia-Eurasia collisional zones” financed by the Italian Ministry (PRIN 2017). When defining the density structure and its uncertainties, the question appears, what improvements on the knowledge of the structure, seismic faults, and on the block-structure can be expected from future gravity missions, with a payload of quantum gradiometers and atom-clocks in a multi satellite configuration. The geophysical sensitivity to quantum gravimetry in space is of interest to the MOCAST+ ASI project, a follower project of the MOCASS ASI project, in which the geophysical sensitivity of the quantum gradiometer payload has been studied (Pivetta et al., 2021).

Pivetta, T., & Braitenberg, C. (2020). Sensitivity of gravity and topography regressions to earth and planetary structures. Tectonophysics, 774, 228299. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2019.228299

Pivetta, T., Braitenberg, C. & Barbolla, D.F. (2021) Geophysical Challenges for Future Satellite Gravity Missions: Assessing the Impact of MOCASS Mission. Pure Appl. Geophys. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-021-02774-3

How to cite: Braitenberg, C., Pivetta, T., Pastorutti, A., and Tesauro, M.: Geologic and Tectonic units in the Iranian Plateau from present and future satellite missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12459, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12459, 2022.

EGU22-12634 | Presentations | G4.3

Lithospheric architecture across the Zagros Orogen as sensed by the integration of isostatic analysis, gravity inversion, and seismic tomography 

Alberto Pastorutti, Carla Braitenberg, Tommaso Pivetta, and Magdala Tesauro

Regional-scale geophysics is a central tool in improving the knowledge on geologic and tectonic units and on their structural relationships in a complex convergent setting. Harmonization, reduction, and integrated modelling of data such as gravity models and seismic tomographies allows to constrain the geometry and properties of geologic bodies at depth and to test hypotheses on their evolution. In the context of an interdisciplinary project involving multiple Italian institutions, “Intraplate deformation, magmatism and topographic evolution of a diffuse collisional belt: Insights into the geodynamics of the Arabia-Eurasia collisional zones”, we present the result of an integrated analysis across the Zagros Orogen. It represents the most active collisional zone in the Iranian plateau, consequent to the NE-ward subduction of the Neo-Tethyan Ocean.

 

We integrate models of surface topography and gravity through isostatic analysis, i.e. by enquiring the relationship connecting the two observables – the former expressing the load on the lithosphere, the latter a proxy of the crust-mantle boundary undulations. We developed and employed two independent methods, one relying on plate flexure and providing estimates on the spatial distribution of the integrated rigidity of the lithosphere, the other a non-parametric residualization method, based on topo-gravity regression analysis (Pivetta and Braitenberg, 2020). We refine their estimates by including the additional information provided by locally available models of sedimentary infills, in order to correct the loads, and by seismological Moho depth data (e.g. Gvirtzman et al., 2016), to mitigate ambiguities in the crustal thickness inferred from gravity inversion. This analysis allowed the isolation of different rigidity domains - which reflect the assemblage of tectonic provinces and the shallow expression of deep structures - and to obtain the anomalous quantities (e.g. residual gravity disturbance, residual topography) which the initial model does not explain. These include intra-crustal loads, which correlate with areas affected by magmatism and can provide further constrain on the geometry of buried structures.

 

We then improve these estimates with the data derived from seismic tomographies, including the recent shear-wave velocity model by Kaviani et al. (2020). By employing a velocity-to-density conversion strategy and gravity forward modelling, we show the impact of prior reduction of gravity data for upper-mantle signal sources. In addition to that, we use tomography-derived temperature modelling to estimate the variations of lithospheric strength profiles throughout the study area, comparing it with the independently estimated flexural rigidity.

 

Pivetta, T., & Braitenberg, C. (2020). Sensitivity of gravity and topography regressions to earth and planetary structures. Tectonophysics, 774, 228299. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2019.228299

Gvirtzman, Z., Faccenna, C., & Becker, T. W. (2016). Isostasy, flexure, and dynamic topography. Tectonophysics, 683, 255–271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2016.05.041

Kaviani, A., Paul, A., Moradi, A., Mai, P. M., Pilia, S., Boschi, L., Rümpker, G., Lu, Y., Zheng, T., Sandvol, E. (2020). Crustal and uppermost mantle shear wave velocity structure beneath the Middle East from surface wave tomography. Geophysical Journal International, 221(2), 1349–1365. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaa075

How to cite: Pastorutti, A., Braitenberg, C., Pivetta, T., and Tesauro, M.: Lithospheric architecture across the Zagros Orogen as sensed by the integration of isostatic analysis, gravity inversion, and seismic tomography, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12634, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12634, 2022.

EGU22-12704 | Presentations | G4.3

Joint inversion of gravity and electromagnetic data — New constraints on the 3-D structure of the lithosphere beneath Central Mongolia 

Matthew Joseph Comeau, Max Moorkamp, Michael Becken, and Alexey Kuvshinov

Joint inversion of complementary datasets is an important tool to gather new insights and aid interpretation, especially in regions which show structural complexity. Using the joint inversion framework jif3D [1] with a newly developed coupling for density and resistivity, based on a variation of information approach which is a machine-learning method that constructs a possible relationship between the properties [2], we combine satellite gravity measurements with electromagnetic data, from broadband and long-period magnetotellurics [3,4,5,6].

Central Mongolia is located in the continental interior, far from tectonic plate boundaries, yet has a high-elevation plateau and enigmatic widespread low-volume basaltic volcanism [7,8,9]. The processes responsible for developing this region remain unexplained and there are questions about its tectonic evolution. A recent project employed thermo-mechanical numerical modeling [10] to simulate the temporal evolution of various tectonic scenarios, offering an opportunity to test hypotheses and determine which are physically plausible mechanisms. Constraints on lithospheric properties, e.g., density distribution, are important for evaluating the geodynamic models. Furthermore, they can help shed light on questions regarding the nature of lower crustal electrical conductors [11], which may be related to tectonically-significant low-viscosity zones.

We will present preliminary results that provide new constraints on the 3-D structure of the lithosphere beneath Central Mongolia, as well as a roadmap for moving towards integrating geophysical results into geodynamic modeling to better understand the evolution of the lithosphere.

 

References:

[1]  Moorkamp, M. et al. 2011. A framework for 3-D joint inversion of MT, gravity and seismic refraction data. Geophysical Journal International, 184(1). https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2010.04856.x 

[2]  Moorkamp, M., 2021. Deciphering the state of the lower crust and upper mantle with multi-physics inversion. ESSOAr. https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10508095.1 

[3]  Comeau, M.J., et al., 2018. Evidence for fluid and melt generation in response to an asthenospheric upwelling beneath the Hangai Dome, Mongolia. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2018.02.007 

[4]  Käufl, J.S., et al., 2020. Magnetotelluric multiscale 3-D inversion reveals crustal and upper mantle structure beneath the Hangai and Gobi-Altai region in Mongolia. Geophysical Journal International, 221(2). https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaa039 

[5]  Becken, M., et al., 2021a. Magnetotelluric Study of the Hangai Dome, Mongolia. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/GIPP-MT.201613.1 

[6]  Becken, M., et al., 2021b. Magnetotelluric Study of the Hangai Dome, Mongolia: Phase II. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/GIPP-MT.201706.1 

[7]  Comeau, M.J., et al., 2021a. Images of a continental intraplate volcanic system: from surface to mantle source. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 587. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2021.117307 

[8]  Papadopoulou, M., et al., 2020. Unravelling intraplate Cenozoic magmatism in Mongolia: Reflections from the present-day mantle or a legacy from the past? Proceedings of the EGU. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-12002 

[9]  Ancuta, L.D., et al., 2018. Whole-rock 40Ar/39Ar geochronology, geochemistry, and stratigraphy of intraplate Cenozoic volcanic rocks, central Mongolia. Geological Society of America Bulletin, 130. https://doi.org/10.1130/b31788.1 

[10]  Comeau, M.J., et al., 2021b. Geodynamic modeling of lithospheric removal and surface deformation: Application to intraplate uplift in Central Mongolia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 126(5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB021304

[11]  Comeau, M.J., et al., 2020. Compaction driven fluid localization as an explanation for lower crustal electrical conductors in an intracontinental setting. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(19). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl088455 

 

 

 

How to cite: Comeau, M. J., Moorkamp, M., Becken, M., and Kuvshinov, A.: Joint inversion of gravity and electromagnetic data — New constraints on the 3-D structure of the lithosphere beneath Central Mongolia, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12704, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12704, 2022.

The U.S. National Geodetic Survey (NGS), an office of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), is preparing for the release of a new vertical datum, the North American-Pacific Geopotential Datum of 2022 (NAPGD2022). This new datum will be based on a high degree spherical harmonic model of the Earth’s gravitational potential, and will yield a geoid undulation model (GEOID2022) to calculate orthometric heights from GNSS-derived ellipsoid heights.

As part of the preparation for the new vertical datum, NGS has computed annual experimental geoid models (xGEOID) since 2014. The xGEOID model released in 2020 (xGEOID20) uses an updated digital elevation model (DEM) composed of TanDEM-X, MERIT, and USGS 3DEP data. The DEMs are merged together to create a seamless elevation model across the extent of the xGEOID20 model. The accuracy of the merged DEM is tested using independent datasets such as GPS observations on leveled bench marks and ground elevations from ICESat-2. The effect of the updated DEM on the geoid model is also determined by comparing geoid models computed with previous DEMs to the new xGEOID20 model, and with comparisons to the NGS Geoid Slope Validation Survey lines.

How to cite: Krcmaric, J.: Development and evaluation of the xGEOID20 Digital Elevation Model at NGS, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13101, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13101, 2022.

EGU22-13195 | Presentations | G4.3

4D Antarctica: recent aeromagnetic, aerogravity and satellite data compilations provide a new tool to estimate subglacial geothermal heat flux 

Fausto Ferraccioli, Ben Mather, Egidio Armadillo, Rene Forsberg, Jörg Ebbing, Jonathan Ford, Karsten Gohl, Graeme Eagles, Chris Green, Javier Fullea, Massimo Verdoya, and Juan Luis Carillo de la Cruz

Geothermal heat flux (GHF), coupled with subglacial topography and hydrology, influences the flow of the overlying Antarctic ice sheet. GHF is related to crustal and lithospheric structure and composition and tectonothermal evolution, and is also modulated by subglacial sedimentary basins and bedrock morphology. Despite its importance for both solid earth and cryosphere studies, our knowledge of Antarctic GHF heterogeneity remains limited compared to other continents- especially at regional scale. This is due to the paucity of direct measurements and the spatial gap wrt much larger scale geophysical proxies for GHF, based on continental-scale magnetic and seismological predictions that also differ considerably from each other in several regions. To reduce this major knowledge gap, the international community is increasingly active in analysing geophysical, geological and glaciological datasets to help constrain GHF (e.g. Burton-Johnson et al., SCAR-SERCE White Paper, 2020). Here we focus on 4D Antarctica- an ESA project that aims to help link bedrock, crust, lithosphere and GHF studies, by analysing recent airborne and satellite-derived potential field datasets. 

We present our recent aeromagnetic, aerogravity and satellite data compilations for 5 study regions, including the Amundsen Sea Embayment sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (e.g. Dziadek et al., 2021- Communications Earth & Environment) and the Wilkes Subglacial Basin (WSB), the Recovery glacier catchment, the South Pole and Gamburtsev Subglacial Mountains and East Antarctic Rift region. We apply Curie Depth Point (CDP) estimation on existing aeromagnetic datasets and compilations in our study regions conformed with SWARM satellite magnetic data (Ebbing et al., 2021- Scientific Reports). We tested the application of different methods, including the centroid (e.g. Martos et al., 2017, GRL) and Bayesian inversion approaches of Curie depth and uncertainty (e.g. Mather and Fullea, 2019- Solid Earth) and defractal and geostatistical methods (e.g. Carrillo-de la Cruz et al., 2021- Geothermics). We then compare our CDP results with crust and lithosphere thickness and interpretations of crustal and lithospheric setting.

Using our new aeromagnetic interpretations we define Precambrian and early Paleozoic subglacial basement in East Antarctica that is mostly concealed beneath Phanerozoic sedimentary basins and ice sheet cover. This enables us to discuss whether different basement provinces differ in terms of CDP estimates (as expected), or if these are either not or only partially resolved. A particularly informative case is the WSB. Here our magnetic assessments of GHF heterogeneity for the Terre Adelie Craton, Wilkes Terrane and Ross Orogen can be indirectly tested by exploiting independent geological and geophysical information derived from their Australians correlatives, namely the Gawler and Curnamona cratons and the Delamerian Orogen. 

Our Curie depth estimates yield geologically reasonable thermal boundary conditions required to initialise new thermal modelling efforts in several study areas. However, developing 3D models of crust and lithosphere thickness and intracrustal composition (as a proxy for the ranges of radiogenic heat production and thermal conductivity) with reasonably detailed crustal architecture, derived from both potential field and seismological datasets is a key next step to constrain Antarctic geothermal heat flux heterogeneity at higher-resolution ice stream scale.  

How to cite: Ferraccioli, F., Mather, B., Armadillo, E., Forsberg, R., Ebbing, J., Ford, J., Gohl, K., Eagles, G., Green, C., Fullea, J., Verdoya, M., and Carillo de la Cruz, J. L.: 4D Antarctica: recent aeromagnetic, aerogravity and satellite data compilations provide a new tool to estimate subglacial geothermal heat flux, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13195, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13195, 2022.

EGU22-13231 | Presentations | G4.3

Geostatistical Gravity Inversion for Estimating Sub-Ice-Bathymetry 

Jonas Liebsch, Jörg Ebbing, Hannes Eisermann, and Graeme Eagles

Sub-ice-bathymetry is an important boundary condition when modelling the evolution of ice shelves and ice sheets. Radar sounding is a proven method to reveal the sub-ice-topography beneath grounded ice. However, it fails to image the bathymetry beneath the floating ice shelves due to the strong radar reflectivity of sea water. As an alternative, the inversion of gravity measurements has been used increasingly frequently in recent years. To overcome the ambiguity of inverse modelling, this method benefits from independent depth constraints derived from direct measurements distributed throughout the model area, such as by active seismic, hydroacoustic, and radar methods.

Here, we present a novel geostatistical approach to gravity inversion and compare it to the classical and more commonly used FFT approach. Instead of only fitting individual points, we also include the spatial continuity of the sub-ice morphology. To do so, we calculate a variogram that fits the available depth measurements and derive a covariance matrix from it. The covariance matrix and an initial bathymetry model obtained by kriging together describe an a-priori probability density. For the inversion, the model bathymetry is related to the measured gravity using a quasi-Newton method, for which the derived probability density serves as the inversion’s regularization term. We successfully apply the algorithm to airborne gravity data across the Ekström ice shelf (Antarctica) and compare our results with those of previous studies based on the classical approach. The simplified addition of constraints both for the geometry and the density structure in our approach proves to be advantageous.

How to cite: Liebsch, J., Ebbing, J., Eisermann, H., and Eagles, G.: Geostatistical Gravity Inversion for Estimating Sub-Ice-Bathymetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13231, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13231, 2022.

EGU22-4165 | Presentations | G4.4

An update to the development of the Wee-g: A high-sensitivity MEMS-based relative gravimeter for multi-pixel applications 

Kristian Anastasiou, Giles Hammond, Douglas Paul, Karl Toland, Abhinav Prasad, Steven Bramsiepe, Elizabeth Passey, and Henrietta Rakoczi

The measurement of tiny variations of gravity over long time-scales or across the landscape has been of interest for geophysicists and various industries since the development of the first modern gravimeter. The manufacturing cost and overall survey time required with commercial gravimeters, however, limit their potential application. The MEMS gravimeter developed at the University of Glasgow, Wee-g, is a small form-factor, high-sensitivity relative gravimeter under development, with its low cost enabling the potential to be used in a multi-pixel setting, such as the network planned to be installed around Mount Etna under the NEWTON-g project.

Since the previous reporting of the development and assembly of a MEMS based high-sensitivity relative gravimeter for multi-pixel imaging applications (Toland, K et al, EGU2021-13167), significant progress has been achieved towards the goal of achieving multi-pixel imaging. Wee-g field prototypes have been delivered to end users for various projects, including one currently deployed on Mount Etna since summer 2021. The field prototype running on Mount Etna is running in parallel with an iGrav commercial gravimeter to help understand the characteristics of the Wee-g and allow for comparisons with a commercial device. Currently, multiple final design Wee-g devices are being manufactured for delivery, such as for the multi-pixel array as part of NEWTON-g and for various outdoor field trials. 

This presentation will report on the analysis of the field prototype Wee-g device that is currently running on Mount Etna, as well as the progress that has been made in manufacturing multiple Wee-g devices, and the outlook for activities that will be running throughout 2022, paving the way to a more effective and detailed method of gravity surveying.

How to cite: Anastasiou, K., Hammond, G., Paul, D., Toland, K., Prasad, A., Bramsiepe, S., Passey, E., and Rakoczi, H.: An update to the development of the Wee-g: A high-sensitivity MEMS-based relative gravimeter for multi-pixel applications, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4165, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4165, 2022.

EGU22-4718 | Presentations | G4.4

First results from the AQG-B07 absolute quantum gravimeter 

Przemyslaw Dykowski, Maxime Arnal, Vincent Menoret, Marcin Sękowski, Kamila Karkowska, Monika Wilde-Piórko, and Jan Kryński

In October of 2021 the AQG-B07 absolute quantum gravimeter has been installed at the Borowa Góra Geodetic Geophysical Observatory. Since its installation the instrument is under ongoing evaluation performance and testing at Borowa Góra as well as in other locations in Poland.

Within the first months of the AQG-B07 operation periodic continuous measurements were conducted at Borowa Góra as well as multiple gravity determinations on gravity stations at the gravimetric laboratory. Gravity values obtained with the AQG-B07 were compared with those from the A10-020 absolute gravimeter using the record of the iGrav-027 superconducting gravimeter to evaluate the offset between those absolute instruments. Continuous gravity records allowed to evaluate the short term stability of the AQG-B07 against the expected behaviour of the instrument. By the end of 2021 a 12 day record have been collected with a broadband seismometer recording side by side which allowed to evaluate the noise characteristic of residual gravity values collected with the AQG-B07 gravimeter.

In January of 2022 the gravimeter was operating in Warsaw in the premises of the Institute of Geodesy and Cartography located in an urban area. Gravity measurements conducted in more active micro seismic environment allowed to gain a better perspective on the performance of the AQG-B07. Absolute gravity determinations were simultaneously done with the A10-020 gravimeter at the same location.

Evaluations of noise as well as analysis against the seismometer, in particular to test the ability of the AQG-B07 to record earthquakes for determination of the seismic structure of the Earth's mantle from the analysis of surface waveforms, were performed in the framework of the research project No. 2017/27/B/ST10/01600 financed from the funds of the Polish National Science Centre.

How to cite: Dykowski, P., Arnal, M., Menoret, V., Sękowski, M., Karkowska, K., Wilde-Piórko, M., and Kryński, J.: First results from the AQG-B07 absolute quantum gravimeter, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4718, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4718, 2022.

EGU22-5491 | Presentations | G4.4

Combined discrete and continuous gravity measurements at Vulcano Island (Aeolian Archipelago, Italy) 

Filippo Greco, Daniele Carbone, Danilo Contrafatto, Alfio Alex Messina, and Giovanna Berrino

We present the preliminary results of combined discrete and continuous gravity measurements, carried out at Vulcano Island (Aeolian Archipelago, Sicily, southern Italy), in the period October 2021 - January 2022. The gravity observations have been aimed at investigating the dynamics of the volcanic-hydrothermal system, during an interval when significant changes in chemical properties, temperatures and emission rates of La Fossa crater fumaroles were observed.

Campaigns of gravity measurements were carried out at Vulcano on an annual basis, between 1982 and 2014. The gravity network initially included 11 benchmarks and grew through time. For the period considered here, the discrete gravity measurements were repeated twice (October and November 2021) on a network consisting of 19 benchmarks. The network is linked to an external reference station, situated in Milazzo (Sicily north coast), that has been a site of absolute measurement since 1990. In order to obtain information on the time scales of the volcanic and hydrothermal processes able to induce bulk mass changes, three stations for continuous gravity measurements were installed in October 2021.

Comparison between campaign data collected in 2014 and in October 2021 reveals a gravity decrease affecting the whole volcano, with a maximum amplitude of about -100 microGal in the area of La Fossa. No significant gravity changes were observed between October and November 2021. On the other hand, continuous gravity observations showed high frequency variations affecting only one of the three stations, thus indicating that they are due to fast-evolving and local processes, occurring within shallow sources. Transient signals also appear in the time series from the three stations during Very Long Period (VLP) events.

Our findings indicate that the combined use of discrete and continuous gravity measurements is a promising tool for studying the volcano-hydrothermal system of Vulcano and mitigating potential hazards.

How to cite: Greco, F., Carbone, D., Contrafatto, D., Messina, A. A., and Berrino, G.: Combined discrete and continuous gravity measurements at Vulcano Island (Aeolian Archipelago, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5491, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5491, 2022.

EGU22-7016 | Presentations | G4.4

First results from an absolute atom interferometry gravimeter at Mt. Etna volcano 

Daniele Carbone, Laura Antoni-Micollier, Vincent Ménoret, Jean Lautier-Gaud, Filippo Greco, Thomas King, Alfio Messina, Danilo Contrafatto, and Bruno Desruelle

In the framework of the NEWTON-g project, the field version of the Absolute Quantum Gravimeter produced by iXblue (AQG-B) was deployed in the summit crater zone of Mt. Etna volcano (Italy), in the summer of 2020. This is the first absolute atom interferometry gravimeter ever deployed on an active volcano. The device was installed in the facilities of the Pizzi Deneri volcanological observatory (PDN; 2800 m elevation, 2.5 km from the summit craters).
Despite the unfavorable environmental conditions at the installation site and the occurrence of phases of high volcanic tremor, the AQG-B provided high-quality continuous data, suitable for studying volcano-related gravity changes. Indeed, it has been possible to track gravity changes with amplitudes ranging between a few tens and a few hundreds of nm/s2, occurring over a wide range of time scales.
Here, we describe the main features of the AQG-B and the issues that were addressed to allow its deployment in the summit zone of an active volcano. We also present the months-long time series that were acquired in 2020 and 2021, with a special focus on the anomalies likely related to volcanic processes.

How to cite: Carbone, D., Antoni-Micollier, L., Ménoret, V., Lautier-Gaud, J., Greco, F., King, T., Messina, A., Contrafatto, D., and Desruelle, B.: First results from an absolute atom interferometry gravimeter at Mt. Etna volcano, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7016, 2022.

EGU22-7070 | Presentations | G4.4

Inflation at Askja, Iceland. New and revisited relative microgravity data. 

Elske de Zeeuw van Dalfsen, Josefa Sepulveda Araya, Andy Hooper, Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Erik Sturkell, Siqi Li, Chiara Lanzi, Mathijs Koymans, and Jeanne Giniaux

In August 2021 Askja caldera in Iceland started to show uplift after decades of subsidence. The uplift signal is centered at the northwestern edge of lake Ӧskjuvatn and an order of magnitude larger than the subsidence in the last decade. In September 2021 a geodesy campaign was carried out at Askja, including relative microgravity measurements acquired with the use of two Scintrex CG-5 instruments. Relative microgravity campaigns at Askja are not straightforward due to the long walking distances between sites, which makes a “double loop” procedure impossible. We revisit existing Scintrex relative microgravity data sets (2015 onward) and analyse data using the same joint weighted least squares inversion routine. We define recommendations for future relative microgravity campaigns at Askja which will be important to establish the cause of the ongoing uplift. The density of subsurface magma is only identifiable with microgravity data. Knowledge of the type of magma accumulating under Askja is vital to assess possible hazard implications.

How to cite: de Zeeuw van Dalfsen, E., Sepulveda Araya, J., Hooper, A., Sigmundsson, F., Sturkell, E., Li, S., Lanzi, C., Koymans, M., and Giniaux, J.: Inflation at Askja, Iceland. New and revisited relative microgravity data., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7070, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7070, 2022.

EGU22-7200 | Presentations | G4.4

Repeated vertical relative gravity measurements in a well shaft for monitoring water storage changes in the vadose zone 

Marvin Reich, Stephan Schröder, Markus Morgner, Knut Günther, Heiko Thoss, and Andreas Güntner

The vadose zone plays a key-role for a comprehensive understanding of hydrological states and processes at the interfaces of atmosphere, soil, vegetation and groundwater. Yet it is the most difficult hydrological compartment to observe water storage and fluxes due to limited accessibility and high heterogeneity. Terrestrial gravimetry represents a potentially useful monitoring method for this compartment. Its non-invasive and integrative nature provides many advantages compared to traditional hydrological field methods. Nevertheless, these benefits go along with some methodological downsides: vadose zone water storage changes, for instance, can only be disentangled from integrative measurements if all undesired signal components are known. This can be a challenge in particular for observations with a single gravimeter. However, using two gravimeters may open up new possibilities as the undesired signal components may cancel out when calculating the differences of the gravity observations of both devices. The latter approach was applied in the presented study.

We carried out monthly relative gravity campaigns in the TERENO Observatory (Mueritz National Park, North-East Germany) using 2 Scintrex CG-6 gravimeters (#58, #69). On this site, we have an iGrav (#33) continuously operating since end of 2017. In May of 2019 we started with the monthly campaigns in an about 170 years old water well shaft, located at a distance of about 50 m from the iGrav. This well shaft has a diameter of roughly 2 m and a total depth of 13 m. The groundwater table is one to two meters below the well bottom and continuously monitored. During the campaigns in each month, we performed repeated gravity measurements on 3 pillars: one next to the iGrav, one next to the well shaft on the terrain surface and one on the bottom of the well shaft. This monthly data is compared and chronologically connected to the continuous recordings of the iGrav. Differences of the CG-6 gravity measurements between top and bottom of the well provide a unique dataset for describing the water storage variations in the vadose zone of 13 m thickness. Additionally, we set these observations into the context of meteorological and near-surface soil moisture time series monitored at the site.

How to cite: Reich, M., Schröder, S., Morgner, M., Günther, K., Thoss, H., and Güntner, A.: Repeated vertical relative gravity measurements in a well shaft for monitoring water storage changes in the vadose zone, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7200, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7200, 2022.

EGU22-9893 | Presentations | G4.4

In-situ gravity measurements using a vibrating beam MEMS accelerometer designed for surface microgravimetry. 

Matthew Reed, Guillermo Sobreviela-Falces1, Milind Pandit, James Mcintosh, Douglas Young, Callisto Pili, Julian Abbott, Guy Brook, Niall MacCarthy, Daniel Boddice, Farough Rahimzadah, Nicole Metje, Jamie Vovrosh, Colin Baker, and Ashwin Seshia

A differential vibrating beam MEMS gravimeter has been produced and used for the first time in a prototype system to measure and map a gravity anomaly. The Allan deviation for the system is 10 μGal for an integration time of 1000 s. The specification of the MEMS gravimeter is consistent with earlier prototypes [1, 2] reported on in previous years, where we have shown instances of tidal tracking and seismic measurements.

Here, we present results of our first mapping of a gravity anomaly with the SMG-Grav10 prototype system. The measurements were taken at the new National Buried Infrastructure Facility (NBIF), sited at the University of Birmingham; where a 2 m diameter cylindrical plastic pipe has been buried under sand at a depth of 0.3 m, producing a modelled gravity anomaly of ~40 µGal. Gravity data was acquired at a number of stations situated along a survey line on the surface above the NBIF tunnel. The vibrating beam MEMS gravimeter has been able to record the resulting gravity anomaly and recreate the modelled relative gravity values. The average error reported across all measurement stations is 10 µGal, with the smallest measurement error of 5 µGal. These results are benchmarked relative to a commercially available reference gravimeter (Scintrex CG-6) employed to map the same anomaly.

[1] Topham, A. et al., Use of a vibrating beam MEMS accelerometer for surface microgravimetry, EGU 2021.

[2] Mustafazade, A., Pandit, M., Zhao, C. et al. A vibrating beam MEMS accelerometer for gravity and seismic measurements. Sci Rep 10, 10415 (2020).

How to cite: Reed, M., Sobreviela-Falces1, G., Pandit, M., Mcintosh, J., Young, D., Pili, C., Abbott, J., Brook, G., MacCarthy, N., Boddice, D., Rahimzadah, F., Metje, N., Vovrosh, J., Baker, C., and Seshia, A.: In-situ gravity measurements using a vibrating beam MEMS accelerometer designed for surface microgravimetry., EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9893, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9893, 2022.

EGU22-10306 | Presentations | G4.4

Design and Testing of a MEMS Semi-Absolute Pendulum Gravimeter 

Phoebe Utting, Richard Walker, Abhinav Prasad, Giles Hammond, and Richard Middlemiss

Gravimetry has many useful applications from volcanology to oil exploration; being a method able to infer density variations beneath the ground. Therefore, it can be used to provide insight into subsurface processes such as those related to the hydrothermal and magmatic systems of volcanoes. Existing gravimeters are costly and heavy, but this is changing with the utilisation of a technology most notably used in mobile phone accelerometers: MEMS – (Microelectromechanical-systems). A team at the University of Glasgow has already developed a MEMS relative gravimeter and is currently collaborating with multiple European institutions to make a gravity sensor network around Mt Etna - NEWTON-g. A second generation of the MEMS sensor is now being designed and fabricated in the form of a semi-absolute pendulum gravimeter. Gravity data for geodetic and geophysical use were provided by pendulum measurements from the 18th to the 20th century. However, scientists and engineers reached the limit of fabrication tolerances and readout accuracy approximately 100 years ago. With nanofabrication and modern electronics techniques, it is now possible to create a competitive pendulum gravimeter again. In this presentation the design and fabrication techniques of a new MEMS pendulum gravimeter will be outlined. The design comprises two pendula, which oscillate in anti-phase to reduce the influence of seismic noise. Nanofabrication methods have been used to create both flexure and knife-edge pivot points. An optical shadow-sensor has been developed to monitor the position of the pendula. This optical readout can provide measurements to sub-nanometre precision. Data collected from laboratory testing will be presented, demonstrating the progression being made towards a prototype field device. This data will include measurements of the influence of tilt-sensitivity and the seismic and shadow sensor noise floors.  Altitude tests of the free-air effect will be presented to demonstrate the current sensitivity of the device. If semi-absolute values of gravity can be measured, then instrumental drift concerns are reduced. Additionally, the need for calibration against commercial absolute gravimeters may not be necessary. This promotes improved accessibility of gravity measurements at an affordable cost.

How to cite: Utting, P., Walker, R., Prasad, A., Hammond, G., and Middlemiss, R.: Design and Testing of a MEMS Semi-Absolute Pendulum Gravimeter, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10306, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10306, 2022.

EGU22-11539 | Presentations | G4.4

Hydrodynamics of an allogenic karstic system from coupled gravimetric and hydrologic observations 

Tommaso Pivetta, Braitenberg Carla, Franci Gabrovšek, Gerald Gabriel, and Bruno Meurers

The Classical Karst region, a region shared between Italy and Slovenia, hosts one of the most archetypical karstic aquifers in the world. Here, the large limestone plateau has been continuously dissolved by meteoric waters during the past 5 million years, leading to the formation of large cavities interconnected by a well-developed network of conduits and shafts. The system is also fed by an important allogenic contribution, the Reka river, which enters the Classical Karst aquifer through the Škocjan cave system and flows underground for more than 30 km, finally outflowing in the Adriatic Sea. The Reka river experiences large flow variations during the recharge process, resulting in fast and large water accumulation in several cave systems along its underground water path. The Škocjan caves are able to store up to 3 million m3 of water during one of these flood events and represent just one example of these allogenic dominated karstic systems in the Classical Karst.In 2018 a continuously recording gravimeter (gPhone gravimeter) was installed nearby the Škocjan caves to get more insights into the water mass balance of the system during these flood events; the instrument is presently still operating. In February 2019 the gravimeter recorded one of the largest events in the past 50 years  (peak discharge > 300 m3/s) that caused flooding of the cave system with a recorded water level increase >80 m and gravity variations >400 nm/s2. Modelling of both gravimetric and hydraulic responses allowed to obtain a new hydraulic model of the cave system and a refined mass flux estimate during the flood (Pivetta et al., 2021). Apart from this event, the gravimeter was able to record the response to a few smaller flood events with peak flows of less than 250 m3/s. The gravity and hydraulic response to smaller floods differs dramatically from the 2019 event both in magnitude and time difference between peak flood and peak gravity. In this contribution we aim to describe in more detail the different response of the coupled gravimetric hydrologic observations to different flood events, evidencing the complex non-linear response of this karstic system to the recharge process. By discussing this case we show the potential of terrestrial gravity observation to depict the hydro-dynamics of this system and the potential of a remote monitoring of the storage units. In future an array of MEMs gravimeters in the Classical Karst could be an excellent tool to fill the gaps of the sparse hydrologic observations, helping to obtain a full 4D model of the hydrodynamics of the system.

Pivetta, T., Braitenberg, C., Gabrovšek, F., Gabriel, G., and Meurers, B.: Gravity as a tool to improve the hydrologic mass budget in karstic areas, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 6001–6021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6001-2021, 2021. 

How to cite: Pivetta, T., Carla, B., Gabrovšek, F., Gabriel, G., and Meurers, B.: Hydrodynamics of an allogenic karstic system from coupled gravimetric and hydrologic observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11539, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11539, 2022.

EGU22-11950 | Presentations | G4.4

Hydrological changes in high alpine environments detected with relative gravimetry 

Riccardo Scandroglio, Markus Heinze, Till Rehm, Roland Pail, and Michael Krautblatter

Here we present the first long-time mass monitoring in periglacial environment with spring gravimetry and correlate it with external weather conditions (rainfall, snow melt) and cleft water discharge to understand water dynamics inside the bedrock.

Water is widely recognized as a preparing and triggering factor in unstable slopes. Pressurized water is documented coincident to alpine rock slope failures, but the quantification of water and of effective destabilizing pressures inside the slope remains unresolved. Gravimetry allows to monitor water mass changes at different resolutions: satellite based gravimetry can detect hydrological changes with kilometer scale, while ground based absolute and relative superconducting gravimeters provide promising results at sub-basins scale. However, only relative spring gravimeters are light and handy enough for extended measurements in high-alpine environments, but example of this use are missing in the literature.

We conducted monthly relative measurements with a spring gravimeter Scintrex CG-5 at 20 stations located at different altitude and slope expositions inside the permafrost affected Kammstollen tunnel (Mount Zugspitze, 2962 m asl, Germany) from 2015 to 2021. Additionally, monitoring with temperature loggers and electrical resistivity detected permafrost degradation, geological mapping provided cleft structure and snowpack simulations quantified water from snowmelt. Due to the low porosity of the local lithology (Wetterstein Limestone with 4-5% effective porosity), we expect perched water to accumulate in single fractures, especially when they are sealed by permafrost.

A clear seasonal trend results from gravimetry, resistivity and temperature measurements, mainly attributable to the hydrological summer-winter cycle. Correlation with the water flow in clefts is also evident, as well with the snowmelt from the models. Uncertainties due to internal drifts of the instrument can be corrected but also show the limitations of this highly sensitive instrument.

Although measuring hydrostatic pressures in single clefts remains an open challenge, this feasibility study is a benchmark showing that relative gravimetry can provide quantitative data on fluid flow and hydrostatic pressure in fractures even in periglacial and mountainous environments.

How to cite: Scandroglio, R., Heinze, M., Rehm, T., Pail, R., and Krautblatter, M.: Hydrological changes in high alpine environments detected with relative gravimetry, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11950, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11950, 2022.

EGU22-12693 | Presentations | G4.4

Gravimetric investigation of the structure of the Etna summit craters system 

Pavol Zahorec, Juraj Papčo, Filippo Greco, Alfio Messina, Jaroslava Pánisová, Peter Vajda, and Daniele Carbone

New gravimetric observations were carried out in the summit area of Mt. Etna in July 2021. Only the north-west half of the planned survey area was accessible to field work due to ongoing intense eruptive activity. The new gravimetric observation points (171 in number) were positioned using precise geodetic positioning based on GNSS technology. Due to rough conditions, unstable ground and wind, the gravity observations were collected with a precision of about 15 microGal using two relative gravimeters (CG5 and CG6). Complete Bouguer anomalies (CBA) were compiled. The computation of accurate topographic correction for CBA compilation poses a challenge because of the ever-changing topography around the summit craters due to intense eruptive activity. Precise topographic correction was computed using the Toposk software. The available high resolution (5 m) DEM released in 2016, and the reference constant topographic density of 2300 kg/m3, which resulted from our analysis as representative for the summit area, were adopted for the numerical evaluation of the topographic correction. These data will serve the 2D and 3D density modelling for determining the subsurface structural model of the summit area and the upper-most part of magma feeders of the summit craters on Etna.

How to cite: Zahorec, P., Papčo, J., Greco, F., Messina, A., Pánisová, J., Vajda, P., and Carbone, D.: Gravimetric investigation of the structure of the Etna summit craters system, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12693, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12693, 2022.

EGU22-12991 | Presentations | G4.4

Mathematics & Analysis of a MEMS Semi-Absolute Pendulum Gravimeter 

Richard Walker, Phoebe Utting, Richard Middlemiss, Abhinav Prasad, and Giles Hammond

This research provides an overview of the mathematics influencing the design of a pendulum-based semi-absolute MEMS (Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems) gravimeter, currently being developed at the University of Glasgow. The device comprises two pendula actuated in anti-phase, allowing a differential measurement of local gravity that is isolated from seismic noise. The pendula are pivoted about a narrow flexure, and are therefore subject to changes in elastic stiffness with temperature. By adding mass this effect is diluted and the behaviour becomes asymptotically dominated by the gravitational restoring force, reducing temperature sensitivity.

 

The rationale behind the basic topology of the device will first be explained in terms of both the differential representation of the system and the corresponding vibratory profile modelled using finite-element software. This is followed by a brief discussion of the main factors influencing the measurement of gravity such as thermal and damping effects. The primary focus of the research will be how best to model the physics of pendulum motion, how to extract a value for gravity from this model, and the optimum sampling technique required in order to satisfy both device sensitivity and hardware limitations. A comparison between the simulated behaviour and preliminary experimental data will then be made from which the efficacy of the modelling solution can be inferred. Finally, the results of a lift-test, wherein the device is moved to various floors of a building and which is designed to estimate the performance of the device, will be discussed and contrasted with similar data from an existing relative MEMS gravimeter (the 'wee-g'), as well as any projected design modifications considered as a consequence of these results.

How to cite: Walker, R., Utting, P., Middlemiss, R., Prasad, A., and Hammond, G.: Mathematics & Analysis of a MEMS Semi-Absolute Pendulum Gravimeter, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-12991, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12991, 2022.

Deformation source inversions have played a substantial role in our present understanding of magma plumbing systems at active volcanoes. Such inversions mostly rely on analytical models for uniformly-pressurized cavities as idealized representations of expanding magma bodies. The most common analytical cavity models used for rapid inversions are the isotropic point-source, the finite spheroidal cavity model and tensile dislocations or cracks. All these models have very specific shapes which cannot represent potentially significant deviations of magma chambers from axisymmetric geometries; thus, this aspect of volcano deformation sources has largely remained unexplored. Potential deviations from spherical and spheroidal shapes may explain the long-wavelength systematic residuals often encountered in inversions of deformation data. Even if the biases in the inferred deformation source parameters are small, they may translate into large biases in the mass change constrained through joint inversion of deformation and gravity data.
The next step to promote our understanding about volcano deformations is to explore these complexities in the source geometries and their implications. We develop a finite ellipsoidal cavity model (finite ECM) that is a solution for surface displacements and deformation-induced gravity changes caused by finite pressurized ellipsoidal cavities. The model can be used to constrain deformation source parameters and subsurface mass changes caused by magmatic intrusions and other processes pressurizing relatively shallow magma chambers. The model is in the form of a distribution of triaxial point sources with depth-dependent spacing and strengths. We systematically validate and benchmark the model by using analytical and numerical solutions. Also through these comparisons, we explore the limitations of the finite ECM. In particular, we analyze the biases in the inferred source depth, volume change and mass change due to the approximations inherent in the model. The finite ECM is computationally efficient and can be used for coupled inversions of deformation and gravity data.

How to cite: Nikkhoo, M. and Rivalta, E.: A new solution for displacements and gravity changes caused by pressurized (triaxial) ellipsoidal cavities in a half-space: source configuration and implications for joint inversions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13046, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13046, 2022.

G5 – Geodetic Monitoring of the Atmosphere

An accurate simulation global thermospheric neutral density (TND) on various altitudes is important for geodetic and space weather applications. In addition, this is essential for designing the low-Earth-orbit (LEO) missions, predict their missions’ lifetime and performing a reliable attitude control. Although empirical and physics-based models typically simulate TND variations, the quality of these models is limited due to various structural simplifications and the uncertainty of inputs. Here, we present an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based calibration and data assimilation (C/DA) technique that updates the model's states and simultaneously calibrates its key parameters. The proposed approach provides the opportunity to improve the now-cast and forecast skills of the NRLMISISE-00 and NRMSIS-2.0 models through re-calibrating the model’s key parameters including those controlling the influence of solar radiation and geomagnetic activity as well as those related to the calculation of exospheric temperature.

In this research, TND estimates from on-board accelerometer measurements of GRACE, GRACE-FO and Swarm are ingested as observations into the NRLMSISE-00 and NRLMSIS-2.0 models based on the C/DA. The newly calibrated model, called here ‘C/DA-NRLMSISE’, is then used to simulate global maps of TND as well as individual neutral mass densities covering the altitudes of 300-600 km. Various investigations are performed to test the temporal and vertical consistency of the TND outputs from C/DA-NRLMSISE.

How to cite: Kosary, M., Forootan, E., Farzaneh, S., and Schumacher, M.: A Calibration and Data Assimilation Approach to Use GRACE, GRACE-FO and Swarm Accelerometer Measurements for Forecasting Global and Multi-level Thermospheric Neutral Density Fields, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-282, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-282, 2022.

EGU22-2189 | Presentations | G5.1

Kinematic orbits and their usage in determining space weather storms induced orbit decays 

Barbara Suesser- Rechberger, Sandro Krauss, Manuela Temmer, Sofia Kroisz, Lukas Drescher, Saniya Behzadpour, and Torsten Mayer-Gürr

Low earth orbiting (LEO) satellites can be affected by space weather events like coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in such a way that the drag force acting on the spacecraft is enhanced due to increasing atmospheric neutral density. As a consequence, this leads to an additional storm induced orbit decay. LEO satellites equipped with accelerometers offer the possibility to deduce information on the current state of the atmospheric neutral mass density based on the measurements of non-gravitational forces acting on the spacecraft. However, satellites with suitable onboard accelerometers are extremely rare. An alternative method to derive atmospheric densities along a satellite trajectory can be realized through the usage of global navigation satellite system (GNSS) based kinematic orbit information. This approach offers the advantage that that theoretically almost every LEO satellite mission which is tracked by GNSS can be used for the evaluation. In addition, through the increasing number of analysable satellites the explorable altitude range can be expanded to 300 km - 800 km. Thus, a tomography of the upper Earth’s atmosphere is feasible and the impact of a solar event on a satellite can be estimated as a function of its orbital altitude. In this study, we present density estimates based on kinematic orbits during quiet and active solar periods. The results are compared to state-of-the-art thermosphere models like the NRLMSIS 2.0, JB2008 and HASDM. In the case of extreme solar events the investigations are extended by estimating the storm induced orbit decay for different altitudes and satellites.

How to cite: Suesser- Rechberger, B., Krauss, S., Temmer, M., Kroisz, S., Drescher, L., Behzadpour, S., and Mayer-Gürr, T.: Kinematic orbits and their usage in determining space weather storms induced orbit decays, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2189, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2189, 2022.

EGU22-2911 | Presentations | G5.1

An Assimilative Version of TIE-GCM using PDAF 

Armin Corbin, Kristin Vielberg, and Jürgen Kusche

The TIE-GCM (Thermosphere Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model) is a numerical model of the upper atmosphere, providing extensive information about the neutral and charged particles therein. It enables simulations of the neutral density that is required to compute the drag acceleration acting on satellites. We have developed an assimilative version of the TIE-GCM using PDAF (Parallel Data Assimilation Framework), to improve the neutral density modeling and the derived drag acceleration. Here, we present an experiment in which we assimilate neutral densities from a calibrated empirical model into the TIE-GCM: In a first step, we have scaled the NRLMSIS2.0 with densities derived from the CHAMP accelerometer, then evaluated it on a regular grid and finally assimilated the neutral densities into the TIE-GCM. We assess the performance of the assimilation framework using densities derived from the CHAMP and GRACE acceleromerters. The investigated time period includes quiet and stormy conditions.

How to cite: Corbin, A., Vielberg, K., and Kusche, J.: An Assimilative Version of TIE-GCM using PDAF, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2911, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2911, 2022.

Many ionospheric studies require the global state of the Earth’s ionosphere D-Region. It is valuable for HF-band radio-waves propagation problems and as the lower boundary and/or initial conditions for the numerical modeling. A robust D-Region model is also required as the reference state that may be used for data interpretation, assimilation, to fill missed values, or as a convenient representation of observations. The existing trend of Python scientific infrastructure application for the ionosphere and space weather modeling triggers the need for a D-Region model for the Python ecosystem.


FIRI-2018 is a mature model of the Earth’s non-auroral non-disturbed ionospheric D-Region. It is the successor of FT-2001, a model included into IRI-2016, which is the de-facto standard model of the Earth’s ionosphere. To an end-user, the FIRI-2018 model was provided by Friedrich et al. (2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JA025437 ) as a set of pre-calculated reference electron density profiles for the Northern Hemisphere. pyFIRI (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2021.100885) is the Python3 package built on top of those reference profiles. Our presentation aims to describe the principal features of the pyFIRI package and to highlight our preliminary results on FIRI-2018 extrapolation to the Southern Hemisphere.


Acknowledgement. Authors are grateful to Dr. Martin Friedrich for the fruitful discussion and detailed consulting on the FIRI-2018 model. We acknowledge Dr. Martin Friedrich, Dr. Klaus Torkar, and Christoph Pock for making FIRI-2018 data freely available, and for kind permission to adopt these data for the pyFIRI package. Without this, the pyFIRI package would not be possible to develop. 

How to cite: Zolotov, O. and Knyazeva, M.: On pyFIRI implementation: non-disturbed non-auroral ionospheric D-Region model for the Python ecosystem, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4273, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4273, 2022.

EGU22-5129 | Presentations | G5.1

Topside Ionosphere Radio Observations from multiple LEO-missions 

Lucas Schreiter, Guram Kervalishvili, Jan Rauberg, Claudia Stolle, Jose van den Ijssel, Daniel Arnold, Chao Xiong, and Andyara Oliveira Callegare

Topside Ionosphere Radio Observations from multiple Low Earth Orbiting (LEO)-missions (TIRO) is a project in ESA’s Swarm Data, Innovation, and Science Cluster (DISC) framework. TIRO provides high accuracy Total Electron Content (TEC) from dual-frequency GPS receivers onboard CHAMP (2000-2010), GRACE (2002-2017), and GRACE Follow-On (since 2018) missions. Special emphasis is put to ensure maximum consistency between the previously and operationally derived data sets from GOCE and Swarm to investigate conjunctions and thus ensure the consistency of the entire timeline from as early as CHAMP up to GRACE-FO. The primary science instrument onboard GRACE and GRACE-FO is a K-Band inter-satellite ranging system, which in this study is used to derive an estimate of the in-situ electron density. The derived electron density will be validated using both, the International Reference Ionosphere (IRI) model and radar observations taken at Millstone Hill, Arecibo, EISCAT, Resolute Bay, and Jicamarca. 

 

In combination, these products form long-term series and almost cover two full solar cycles by the continuous TEC data set and electron density either taken by CHAMP, GRACE, Swarm, or GRACE-FO. We will present climatological studies as well as case studies of selected events, such as equatorial plasma depletions, simultaneously observed by GPS and K-Band.  

How to cite: Schreiter, L., Kervalishvili, G., Rauberg, J., Stolle, C., van den Ijssel, J., Arnold, D., Xiong, C., and Callegare, A. O.: Topside Ionosphere Radio Observations from multiple LEO-missions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5129, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5129, 2022.

EGU22-6303 | Presentations | G5.1

A comparison of scale factors for the thermospheric density from Satellite Laser Ranging and Accelerometer Measurements to LEO satellites 

Michael Schmidt, Lea Zeitler, Armin Corbin, Kristin Vielberg, Sergei Rudenko, Anno Löcher, Mathis Bloßfeld, and Jürgen Kusche

A major problem in the precise orbit determination of Low-Earth-Orbiting (LEO) satellites at altitudes below 1000 km is the modeling of the aerodynamic drag which mainly depends on the thermospheric density and causes the largest non-gravitational acceleration. Typically, empirical thermosphere models such as NRLMSISE-00, JB2008 or DTM2013 are used to calculate density values at satellite positions. However, since the current thermosphere models cannot provide the required accuracy, unaccounted variations in the thermospheric density may lead to significantly incorrect satellite positions.

At EGU 2021, we presented a study comparing thermospheric density corrections for the NRLMSISE-00 model in terms of scale factors calculated from satellite laser ranging (SLR) measurements to various  spherical LEO satellites (Starlette, Stella, Larets, etc.) with the corresponding values from accelerometer measurements on-board CHAMP and GRACE. In the meantime we significantly extended our study and published the results (Zeitler et al. 2021).

Our results demonstrate that both measurement techniques can be used to derive comparable (with correlations of up to 80% and more depending on altitude) scale factors of the thermospheric density with a temporal resolution of 12 hours, which vary around the value 1. This indicates to which extent the NRLMSISE-00 model differs from the observed thermospheric density. On average, during high solar activity, the model underestimates the thermospheric density and should be scaled up using the estimated scale factors. We find our estimated scale factors close to the results from Emmert et al. (2021); except for the most recent period where a different trend is observed. We also find a linear decrease of the estimated thermospheric density scale factors above 680 km of about −5% per decade due to climate change. This fits well to the results from Solomon et al. (2015). Furthermore, we validate the approach of deriving scale factors from SLR measurements by using two independent software packages.

Emmert, J. T., Dhadly, M. S., & Segerman, A. M. (2021). A Globally Averaged Thermospheric Density Data Set Derived From Two-Line Orbital Element Sets and Special Perturbations State Vectors. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 126 (8), e2021JA029455. doi: 10.1029/2021JA029455

Solomon, S. C., Qian, L., & Roble, R. G. (2015). New 3-D simulations of climate change in the thermosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 120 (3), 2183–2193. doi: 10.1002/2014JA020886

Zeitler L., Corbin A., Vielberg K., Rudenko S., Löcher A., Bloßfeld M., Schmidt M., & Kusche J. (2021). Scale factors of the thermospheric density ‐ a comparison of SLR and accelerometer solutions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 126, e2021JA029708. doi: 10.1029/2021JA029708

How to cite: Schmidt, M., Zeitler, L., Corbin, A., Vielberg, K., Rudenko, S., Löcher, A., Bloßfeld, M., and Kusche, J.: A comparison of scale factors for the thermospheric density from Satellite Laser Ranging and Accelerometer Measurements to LEO satellites, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6303, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6303, 2022.

The neutral mass density of the upper atmosphere (thermosphere) can be determined by orbit and accelerometer data from Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites. Especially the accelerometers of geodetic satellites, measuring the non-gravitational accelerations acting on the satellites, are a very useful observation for precise density determination also on very short time scales.

Nevertheless, the accelerometers of geodetic satellites are affected by bias and drift. Therefore a calibration of the data is indispensable. A time dependent bias and scale factor are to be determined. Usually calibration parameters are estimated by dynamic Precise Orbit Determination (POD) or Gravity Gield Recovery (GFR), together with all other parameters of interest. In both cases, the estimated accelerometer calibration parameters are not the major interest. With the used parametrizations and weighting of the observations, good gravitational field and orbit solutions, do not necessarily give good or physical accelerometer calibration solutions. This is unsatisfying, especially for the anticipated use in density determination and the direct comparison to modeled non-gravitational accelerations.

In this contribution we use dynamic POD and investigate different parametrization strategies tailored for an accurate and physical accelerometer calibration for thermospheric density determination. For example we investigate the effect of constraining the accelerometer calibration parameters in that way, that a continuous calibration over all arcs is achieved, where normally each arc is treated locally separated from all other arcs, leading to jumps in the calibration. The scale factor, which is highly correlated to the estimated bias, is concurrently estimated but over a longer batch of arcs. We compare different bias parametrizations, arc lengths, as well as different observation data and weighting strategies.

Finally we show some preliminary density estimation results with our approach and the influence of the accelerometer calibration.

How to cite: Wöske, F. and Rievers, B.: Accelerometer calibration for thermospheric neutral density estimation with GRACE data by dynamic Precise Orbit Determination (POD) with tailored parametrization, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-7702, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7702, 2022.

EGU22-8459 | Presentations | G5.1

Impact of GIM uncertainties on the single-frequency PPP over the Brazilian region 

Gabriel Jerez, Manuel Hernández-Pajares, Andreas Goss, Crislaine Silva, Daniele Alves, and João Monico

The vertical total electron content (VTEC) is one of the main quantities to describe the state of the ionosphere. To dispose this information is important to mass market Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) users to correct the ionospheric delay for positioning. The VTEC values and the corresponding standard deviations are routinely provided in the so-called Global Ionosphere Maps (GIM), with time intervals of 2, 1 and 0.25 hours on regular grids with 2.5º resolution in latitude and 5º resolution in longitude. To determine the ionospheric corrections from the GIMs for positioning applications, a quadratic interpolation is typically applied to the VTEC grid values which generally does not take into account the VTEC uncertainties. In this context, the impact of the use of the VTEC standard deviation is assessed in the positioning domain, considering the GIMs of two different analysis centers. The impact of the VTEC uncertainties is analyzed by means of single-frequency precise point positioning (PPP), applied to four Brazilian GNSS stations in different regions, considering four scenarios: geomagnetic storm, low solar flux and high solar flux (equinox and solstice). The use of the VTEC uncertainties values provided a significant improvement coinciding with high solar flux, especially for stations in regions under the most intense ionospheric effect, with mean rates of improvements up to 47%.

How to cite: Jerez, G., Hernández-Pajares, M., Goss, A., Silva, C., Alves, D., and Monico, J.: Impact of GIM uncertainties on the single-frequency PPP over the Brazilian region, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8459, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8459, 2022.

EGU22-8475 | Presentations | G5.1

Modelling global vertical total electron content with machine learning 

Karolina Kume, Yuri Shprits, Artem Smirnov, Irina Zhelavskaya, Ruggero Vasile, and Stefano Bianco

This study introduces a new two-step neural-network based approach for modelling vertical total electron content (VTEC) on a global level. The inputs to the neural network are chosen and evaluated through different feature selection techniques, namely time-lagged Pearson cross-correlation, mutual information, random forests and permutation feature importance. The feature sets consist of geomagnetic and solar wind indices, their time histories and geomagnetic and geographic coordinates. The parameters of the neural networks are tuned with cross validation and the final model is tested in extended time intervals covering a wide range of solar activity conditions. The proposed approach increases computational efficiency and provides with a high generalization skill.

How to cite: Kume, K., Shprits, Y., Smirnov, A., Zhelavskaya, I., Vasile, R., and Bianco, S.: Modelling global vertical total electron content with machine learning, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8475, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8475, 2022.

EGU22-8785 | Presentations | G5.1

Swarm in-situ electron density disturbances over Greenland compared to VTEC disturbances from ground-based GNSS, during three geomagnetic storms 

Wojciech Jarmolowski, Enric Monte-Moreno, Paweł Wielgosz, Jacek Paziewski, Manuel Hernandez-Pajares, Wojciech Miloch, Yaqi Jin, Jens Berdermann, Mainul Hoque, Per Høeg, Alberto Garcıa Rigo, Beata Milanowska, Lasse Clausen, Heng Yang, Haixia Lyu, and Raul Orús-Pérez

The objective of the work is to compare geomagnetic storm impact on the ionosphere parameters measured from ground-based GNSS permanent stations and Swarm satellites. The analyses compare the changes of vertical total electron content (VTEC) measured along the entire ionosphere cross-section to the variations of electron density (ED) on the orbit, at ~500 km altitude. The objective is how sensitive are the measures of electric field variations available on the Earth, with respect to those obtained from the satellite orbit. The study applies Swarm in-situ ED measured by Langmuir Probes (LP), topside TEC from onboard Swarm GNSS receivers and vertical TEC determined from ground-based GNSS stations available in the area of the Northern polar cap. Ground and satellite data were processed in different ways. Ground-based VTEC is available at number of stations providing heterogeneous but useful horizontal coverage. Therefore ROTI values were calculated from VTEC as gradient values capable to indicate the disturbances. These ROTI values were interpolated spatially to obtain maps. Swarm passes over the polar cap starting from 45° lasts for several minutes each, and repeat in this region approximately every 1.5 h. Such along-track collected small data samples are useless in horizontal correlation analysis. Therefore Swarm data disturbances, in this case, are extracted with the use of Fourier transform-based filtering and are also analyzed in the spectrograms based on short-term Fourier transform (STFT). The case study has used three geomagnetic storms, namely: the St. Patrick storm of March 17, 2015, the storm on June 22, 2015, and the storm on August 25-26, 2018. The results reveal differences in storm impact on VTEC measured by GNSS on the Earth, with respect to the storm influence on topside TEC and in-situ ED disturbances measured onboard the Swarm. The overall summary statistics provide some preliminary conclusions on different times of the reaction to the storm. Additionally, some interesting differences between FT filtering and a very popular moving average are shown, with respect to Swarm data. The research was done in the frame of the FORSWAR project (Forecasting Space Weather in the Arctic Region) funded by ESA.

How to cite: Jarmolowski, W., Monte-Moreno, E., Wielgosz, P., Paziewski, J., Hernandez-Pajares, M., Miloch, W., Jin, Y., Berdermann, J., Hoque, M., Høeg, P., Garcıa Rigo, A., Milanowska, B., Clausen, L., Yang, H., Lyu, H., and Orús-Pérez, R.: Swarm in-situ electron density disturbances over Greenland compared to VTEC disturbances from ground-based GNSS, during three geomagnetic storms, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8785, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8785, 2022.

EGU22-8931 | Presentations | G5.1

Validation of DGFI-TUM’s new ionosphere model: case studies for year 2018 

Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk, Beata Milanowska, Michael Schmidt, Andreas Goss, Eren Erdogan, Wojciech Jarmołowski, and Paweł Wielgosz

In the last decades, advances in satellite technologies, data analysis techniques, and models, and a growing number of analysis centers allow modeling the ionospheric electron content with unprecedented accuracy. International GNSS Service (IGS) Ionosphere Associated Analysis Centers (IAAC) continuously provide global ionospheric maps (GIMs) based on processing GNSS data from the ground IGS network. It is a great advantage that these GIMs are often based on very different modeling techniques and thus, are also characterized by different accuracy levels. Due to the dynamic nature of the ionosphere, there is a permanent need to improve the modeling techniques of ionospheric key parameters such as the vertical total electron content (vTEC).

In this presentation, we evaluate a new ionosphere model from DGFI-TUM denoted OTHG, which is a candidate for a new IGS IAAC product. The OTHG model is based on tensor products of trigonometric B-spline functions in longitude and polynomial B-spline functions in latitude for a global representation (Goss et al. 2019). Here, we complement our earlier investigations of the seven analysis center models (Wielgosz et al. 2021) with new results for the OTHG GIMs. For these investigations, we use our own validation methodology presented in Krypiak-Gregorczyk et al. (2017), which is based on GIM-derived slant TEC (sTEC) comparison with carrier phase geometry-free combination of GNSS signals. In the presented study, we use one year of GNSS data collected by 25 globally distributed stations. The overall yearly RMS value is calculated for each product based on all 365 days of continuous observations from all stations. The results show that the overall RMS of the tested GIMs ranges from 0.93 TECU to 1.29 TECU. The OTHG GIMs performed as one of the best. In addition, GIM vTEC comparisons to Jason-2 and Jason - 3 altimetry data are studied. In these analyses, the OTHG GIMs also showed a good performance. Therefore, it can be concluded that  DGFI-TUM is a valuable ionospheric product for the research community.

 

Goss A., Schmidt M., Erdogan E., Görres B., Seitz F. (2019) High-resolution vertical total electron content maps based on multi-scale B-spline representations. Annales Geophysicae, 37(4), 10.5194/angeo-37-699-2019

Krypiak-Gregorczyk A., Wielgosz P., Borkowski A. (2017) Ionosphere Model for European Region Based on Multi-GNSS Data and TPS Interpolation, Remote Sensing, 9(12), 1221,  DOI:10.3390/rs9121221

Wielgosz P., Milanowska B., Krypiak-Gregorczyk A., Jarmołowski W. (2021) Validation of GNSS‑derived global ionosphere maps for different solar activity levels: case studies for years 2014 and 2018. GPS Solutions 25, 103. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10291-021-01142-x

How to cite: Krypiak-Gregorczyk, A., Milanowska, B., Schmidt, M., Goss, A., Erdogan, E., Jarmołowski, W., and Wielgosz, P.: Validation of DGFI-TUM’s new ionosphere model: case studies for year 2018, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8931, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8931, 2022.

EGU22-9517 | Presentations | G5.1

Improving the ionospheric state estimate during geomagnetic storm time through assimilation of neutral density data 

Isabel Fernandez-Gomez, Timothy Kodikara, Claudia Borries, Ehsan Forootan, Michael Schmidt, and Mihail Codrescu

During geomagnetic storms, communication and navigation instruments can be dramatically affected by the rapid changes that occur in the upper atmosphere. The assimilation of data in physics-based models such as the Coupled Thermosphere Ionosphere Plasmasphere electrodynamics (CTIPe) model through and ensemble Kalman filter, can improve the representation of the thermosphere-ionosphere (TI) system. Due to the coupled nature of the TI system, the ionosphere is affected by, among others, changes in the neutral atmosphere. In this study, we investigate the capability of the CTIPe model to provide better estimates of the ionosphere by improving its specification of the thermosphere via data assimilation. Here, we assimilate thermospheric mass density (TMD) observations from the Swarm mission normalized to 400 km altitude during the 2015 St. Patrick’s Day storm. The changes that occur in the ionosphere due to assimilation of TMD data are measured by means of the difference between the model results with and without assimilation. To measure the improvement gained with data assimilation, we compare with independent measurements of electron density along the orbit of GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) satellite, that shows a reduction in the root mean square error (RMSE) by a 22% with respect to the non-assimilation run. The impact on the global scale is measured by comparing the CTIPe model results with the corresponding output of the 3D B-Spline electron density model. The results illustrate that the electron density equatorial region is the most affected region by assimilation of TMD, with an average RMSE reduction of 25% at the assimilation altitude of 400 km.

How to cite: Fernandez-Gomez, I., Kodikara, T., Borries, C., Forootan, E., Schmidt, M., and Codrescu, M.: Improving the ionospheric state estimate during geomagnetic storm time through assimilation of neutral density data, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9517, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9517, 2022.

EGU22-9644 | Presentations | G5.1

Assimilation frameworks for merging accelerometer derived thermospheric neutral mass density estimates with empirical and physical models 

Ehsan Forootan, Mona Kosary, Saeed Farzaneh, and Maike Schumacher

Atmospheric drag has a direct relationship with the thermospheric neutral density (TND) and represents a considerable impact on the precise orbit determination (POD) and prediction of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, for example those with the altitude of less than 1000 km, as well as space debris. The distribution of TND combined with the solar and geomagnetic activity has a direct impact on the electron distribution in the ionosphere. The latter is important for medium- and long-range high frequency communication, positioning, and over-the-horizon radar systems. New capabilities to understand, model and predict thermosphere variables are typically provided by models; however, the quality of them is limited due to their imperfect structure and uncertainty of their inputs. In this study, we present various data assimilation frameworks to take advantage of freely available accelerometer derived TNDs from GRACE, GRACE-FO and Swarm missions. This is realized by (1) formulating ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)-based calibration and data assimilation (C/DA) procedures to update the model's states (and simultaneously calibrates its key parameters if needed); and (2) an empirical decomposition-based data assimilation is applied to merge satellite derived along-track estimates with global model derived TND simulations. The results of these two frameworks are then evaluated against independent measurements. The technical challenges and benefits are discussed in detail.

How to cite: Forootan, E., Kosary, M., Farzaneh, S., and Schumacher, M.: Assimilation frameworks for merging accelerometer derived thermospheric neutral mass density estimates with empirical and physical models, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9644, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9644, 2022.

EGU22-10430 | Presentations | G5.1

Positioning performance of the Neustrelitz Total Electron Content Model (NTCM) driven by Galileo ionization coefficients 

Juan Andrés Cahuasquí, Mainul Hoque, and Norbert Jakowski

GNSS single-frequency applications are affected by the interaction of the radio signals with the free electrons of the ionosphere, introducing range errors of up to 100 m in the L-band. Besides the GPS Klobuchar and the Galileo NeQuick ionospheric models, also the Neustrelitz Total Electron Content Model (NTCM) has been proposed as a practicable solution to mitigate such propagation errors.

In this investigation we present a global statistical validation of the NTCM version driven by Galileo ionization coefficients (NTCM-GlAzpar) by comparing its performance with the performance achieved by the NeQuickG and Klobuchar models in the position domain. For this aim, we used the ESA analysis tool “gLAB” in the Standard Point Positioning (SPP) mode and GNSS data over two different time periods. The first period covers one month of perturbed solar activity (December 2014) and the second period corresponds to a month of quiet conditions (December 2019). We achieved a worldwide coverage with data from up to 73 receivers of the International GNSS Service (IGS).

Our statistical analysis allows us to conclude that the NTCM-GlAzpar model clearly outperforms the results achieved with the Klobuchar model and is slightly better, or at least comparable, to the performance shown by NeQuickG. Indeed, the root mean squared (RMS) values of the hourly mean 3D position errors obtained for the global dataset are 4.36, 4.61 and 6.71 meters for perturbed conditions and 2.32, 2.35 and 2.75 meters for the quiet period, respectively for the NTCM-GlAzpar, NeQuickG and Klobuchar models. Nevertheless, through a geographic- and diurnal-specific analysis, we identify also that the performance of NTCM-GlAzpar slightly decreases for conditions of reduced solar activity – at night time, higher latitudes and low perturbations.

We further discuss the applicability of the NTCM-GlAzpar ionospheric model in GNSS single-frequency applications motivated by its simple software adaptations and low computational cost.

How to cite: Cahuasquí, J. A., Hoque, M., and Jakowski, N.: Positioning performance of the Neustrelitz Total Electron Content Model (NTCM) driven by Galileo ionization coefficients, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10430, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10430, 2022.

EGU22-11458 | Presentations | G5.1

Combination of IGS Real-Time Global Ionospheric Maps at CAS: Method and Analysis 

Ningbo Wang, Yan Zhang, Zishen Li, Yang Li, and Andrzej Krankowski

Benefiting from the global multi-frequency and multi-constellation GNSS measurements provided by the International GNSS Real-Time Service (IGS-RTS), real-time global ionospheric maps (RT-GIMs) have been generated by the Chinese Academy of Science (CAS), Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES) and Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC) since 2017, and late by Wuhan University (WHU) since late 2020. To provide a more stable real-time ionospheric correction stream for precise GNSS application and ionospheric space weather monitoring, an experimental combined RT-GIM has been generated at CAS since late-2021 using real-time streams from CNES, UPC, WHU, and CAS itself. CAS combined RT-GIM streams are transmitted in both RTCM-SSR (IONO01IGS0) and IGS-SSR (IONO01IGS1) standards, which are freely accessible from IGS (products.igs-ip.net:2101) and CAS (cas-ip.gipp.org.cn:2101) casters. Following the motivation for the RT-GIM combination, the method used to generate the CAS combined RT-GIM is described in detail. The performance of CAS combined RT-GIM is validated in both RT-GPS dSTEC and single-frequency precise point positioning (SF-PPP) domains by comparison with the existing combined RT-GIM provided by UPC. CAS combined RT-GIM is presently validated and analyzed for a short period (2-3 months), and the analysis covering different time spans (e.g., different seasons) is being done together with the RT-GIM combination.

How to cite: Wang, N., Zhang, Y., Li, Z., Li, Y., and Krankowski, A.: Combination of IGS Real-Time Global Ionospheric Maps at CAS: Method and Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-11458, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-11458, 2022.

EGU22-480 | Presentations | G5.2

Impact of transient atmospheric phenomena on radar interferometric processing of Sentinel-1 SAR satellite images 

Csilla Szárnya, István Bozsó, Eszter Szűcs, and Viktor Wesztergom

In the last decades, the development of space geodesy methods has allowed much more accurate observations of planetary surface dynamics than before. The various SAR satellites, like global navigation systems, make their observations in different microwave frequency ranges (1-10 GHz). The Earth's atmosphere is transparent to the microwave signal, but the factors affecting wave propagation (propagation direction and velocity) in the medium are time-dependent, the medium is anisotropic, inhomogeneous and, in the case of the ionosphere, dispersive. Without the correction of such atmospheric artifacts the resulting signal delay is evaluated as a displacement during processing, which can be in the order of tens of meters.

In order to get information about the actual geophysical processes from the displacement values derived from satellite data, the effects on wave propagation must also be taken into account. Radar interferometric methods are particularly suitable for detecting processes with velocities in the order of a few mm/year, but are limited by the lack of quantitative knowledge of the signal delay in the wave propagation, which is of particular importance for the study of processes on a regional scale.

Wave propagation in the neutral atmosphere is mostly distorted by refraction due to water vapour, and the correction is complicated by the dynamic variation of the water vapour content and the inaccurate knowledge of the atmospheric water vapour. In the ionosphere, in addition to Faraday-rotation and electron density dependent refraction, the dispersive nature of the medium is another source of error.

Transient atmospheric phenomena (frontal and thunderstorm systems, ionospheric disturbances, sporadic E layers, etc.), which are predominantly inhomogeneous in nature, further complicate the correction of their effects, but also provide an excellent opportunity to study them. The Sentinel-1 satellite images cover an area  of 250 km x 250 km with  a resolution of 5 m x 20 m. This resolution may prove useful for studying atmospheric inhomogeneities.

In radar interferometric processing, virtual displacements generated by atmospheric phenomena can be investigated in areas that are assumed to be geologically stable and contain well-identified objects that provide strong signal reflection. For the latter, corner reflectors  points specifically designed for this purpose have already been developed.

In the area of Sopron (Hungary), there are 4 such installed permanent artificial reflectors. By including these points and by comparing measurements from the local ionosonde and meteorological station, we have studied the influence of atmospheric phenomena on radar interferometric processing and the applicability of radar interferometry for the study of atmospheric phenomena.

How to cite: Szárnya, C., Bozsó, I., Szűcs, E., and Wesztergom, V.: Impact of transient atmospheric phenomena on radar interferometric processing of Sentinel-1 SAR satellite images, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-480, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-480, 2022.

EGU22-974 | Presentations | G5.2 | Highlight

Mapping Flooding and Inundation Dynamics Using Spaceborne GNSS-R Observations 

Clara Chew and Eric Small

Even the youngest child knows that fresh water is crucial for life, and it’s easy to see and appreciate our reservoirs, lakes, and rivers for the numerous services they provide, not only for drinking water but also for transportation and the health of our ecosystems. But inland surface water is both a friend and a foe. Too much of it can be devastating for communities—floods are one of the costliest natural disasters, and they often disproportionally impact the most vulnerable members of those communities. Too little of it, though, can be just as destructive. Years-long droughts empty reservoirs, increase wildfire risk, and can lead to conflict over remaining water resources. Quantifying the amount and extent of inland surface water is thus important for knowing where we lie in this delicate balance between abundance and scarcity.

A variety of approaches to map flood and inundation dynamics already exist, be they stream gage data, hydrologic models, or remote sensing observations from satellites. All of them have advantages and challenges, and none alone provide a complete picture of the extent of surface water at any one particular moment. This presentation will describe a new approach to mapping flooding and inundation dynamics, which can provide complementary information to that which already exists via other sensors, models, or networks. This approach uses spaceborne Global Navigation Satellite System-Reflectometry (GNSS-R) observations to infer surface water extent. Currently, the vast majority of spaceborne GNSS-R data come from the Cyclone GNSS (CYGNSS) constellation, a NASA mission comprised of eight small satellites orbiting the tropics.  Here, we will present flood inundation maps derived from CYGNSS data for the full period of record (2017 – present), which are gridded to three km and have a temporal revisit rate of three days. We will discuss the retrieval algorithm, its validation, limitations of our approach, and plans to disseminate the data to the public. Finally, we will comment on the potential of GNSS-R data beyond CYGNSS to provide hydrologic information to the broader research community and other end users.

How to cite: Chew, C. and Small, E.: Mapping Flooding and Inundation Dynamics Using Spaceborne GNSS-R Observations, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-974, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-974, 2022.

EGU22-1079 | Presentations | G5.2

Development of a cost efficient observation operator for GNSS tropospheric gradients 

Florian Zus, Dick Galina, and Jens Wickert

GNSS data collected at a single station allow the estimation of the Zenith Total Delay (ZTD) and tropospheric gradients. In order to make use of such data in numerical weather prediction the observation operators must be developed. The development of a cost efficient observation operator for ZTDs is a straightforward task. On the other hand the development of a cost efficient observation operator for tropospheric gradients is not an easy task. It is also important to bear in mind that for variational data assimilation the corresponding tangent-linear and adjoint operators must be coded.

Our current observation operator for tropospheric gradients is based on dozens of tropospheric delays (Zus et al., 2019). Thereby each tropospheric delay is computed with high precision utilizing a technique called ray-tracing. Clearly, this makes the current observation operator for tropospheric gradients for practical applications too expensive. In this contribution we show how to reduce the computational cost. For example, as expected the high precision with which the tropospheric delays are computed is not too crucial. In addition, the number of tropospheric delays that are involved in the computation of the tropospheric gradients can be reduced. The tropospheric gradients can be understood as a specific linear combination of tropospheric delays. Hence, the difficulty in the derivation of the tangent-linear (adjoint) code for tropospheric gradients lies in the difficulty in the derivation of the tangent-linear (adjoint) code for tropospheric delays. However, this does actually not pose a problem as these codes are available from our previous work.

The output of this study is a cost efficient observation operator (a piece of Fortran code), which, together with its tangent-linear and adjoint operator, is ready to be implemented into existing assimilation systems. One of them is our experimental assimilation system (Zus et al., 2019). Another one will be the assimilation system of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in support of the research project EGMAP (Exploitation of GNSS tropospheric gradients for severe weather Monitoring And Prediction) funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG).

Zus, F.; Douša, J.; Kačmařík, M.; Václavovic, P.; Dick, G.; Wickert, J. Estimating the Impact of Global Navigation Satellite System Horizontal Delay Gradients in Variational Data Assimilation. Remote Sens. 2019, 11, 41. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11010041

How to cite: Zus, F., Galina, D., and Wickert, J.: Development of a cost efficient observation operator for GNSS tropospheric gradients, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1079, 2022.

EGU22-1493 | Presentations | G5.2

Quantifying the impact of environmental loading on Zenith Tropospheric Delays in Europe 

Anna Klos, Janusz Bogusz, Rosa Pacione, Vincent Humphrey, and Henryk Dobslaw

We assess the impact of the environmental loading on the Zenith Total Delay (ZTD) time series estimated within the second re-processing campaign of the EUREF Permanent GNSS Network (EPN). In particular, we used one solution provided by the ASI (Agenzia Spaziale Italiana Centro di Geodesia Spaziale, Italy), and two solutions provided by the GOP (Geodetic Observatory Pecny, Czech Republic) EPN analysis centers, along with the combined products. We find that ZTD time series derived within individual solutions are characterized by pure autoregressive noise, which is reduced during the combination in favor of white noise. This reduces the error of ZTD trends and is of great importance for numerous applications, as climate analyses, where trend is taken into account. Combination procedure does not however affect spatio-temporal patterns of ZTD residuals (linear trend and seasonal signals removed beforehand). We observe no impact of non-tidal oceanic loading on the ZTD residuals. Then, we compute ZTD differences from the two GOP solutions, which only differ by unmodelled non-tidal atmospheric loading. We prove that there is a similarity between the ZTD differences and non-tidal atmospheric loading which is strongly demonstrated in terms of unusual loading events, as significant inter-annual signals or large seasonal peaks. As these similarities account for 54% of ZTD differences, this indicates that unmodelled non-tidal atmospheric loading effect contributes to the ZTD residuals interpreted as a noise, affecting errors of trends. Therefore, we recommend that the non-tidal atmospheric loading is included at the observation level, once high-significance of ZTD parameters is required.

How to cite: Klos, A., Bogusz, J., Pacione, R., Humphrey, V., and Dobslaw, H.: Quantifying the impact of environmental loading on Zenith Tropospheric Delays in Europe, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1493, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1493, 2022.

EGU22-1789 | Presentations | G5.2

On the Temporal Variability of Tidal Atmospheric Signals 

Kyriakos Balidakis, Florian Zus, and Henryk Dobslaw

The reduction of geophysically induced high-frequency harmonic variations inherent in space geodetic measurements is carried out on the basis of physically-driven empirical models that may vary spatially, under the implicit assumption that they do not vary in time. Motivated by the fact that the parameters driving processes such as the atmospheric tides (largely induced by the absorbtion of ultraviolet and infrared radiation by Ozone and water vapor) that in turn partly excite the oceanic tides are affected by climate change, in this contribution we put the time-invariance modelling assumption to the test with a focus on harmonic deformation and atmospheric delay. To study temporal variations in atmospheric tides, we have analyzed hourly series from ECMWF’s latest reanalysis, the ERA5, including its back-extension. To validate the harmonic estimates and the temporal evolution thereof, we have resorted to two largely independent reanalyses: the MERRA2 and the JRA55. Recovering the evolution of harmonic coefficients has been carried out employing a square-root information filter (SRIF) and a Dyer-McReynolds smoother. Subsequently, the pressure harmonic fields are convolved with load Green’s kernels to simulate crustal displacements and harmonic pressure, temperature, and humidity fields are used to evaluate the refractivity integrals via ray-tracing. We found that the most important high-frequency waves, that is, the solar diurnal and semi-diurnal exhibit marked secular and seasonal variations. We find that harmonic S2 estimates for sites in the tropics from an hourly five-year long time series segment vary by up to 25% depending on the temporal boundaries thereof and the annual amplitudes of the S2 amplitude series from the SRIF can exceed 10 Pa.

How to cite: Balidakis, K., Zus, F., and Dobslaw, H.: On the Temporal Variability of Tidal Atmospheric Signals, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1789, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1789, 2022.

EGU22-1811 | Presentations | G5.2

A low-cost GNSS buoy for water vapour monitoring over the Oceans 

Pierre Bosser, Victor Bennini, Mohammed Bouasria, Yanis Grit, and Aurélie Panetier

In recent years, the significant growth of positioning applications has come with the development of low-cost dual frequency Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) receivers. The accuracy of these receivers in terms of positioning has been proved. Various studies have also highlighted the ability of these receivers to precisely monitor the atmospheric water vapour. The low cost of such receivers enables large deployment, thus presenting an advantage for many geoscience applications.

In this context, we have developed a hydrographic buoy prototype, equipped with low-cost GNSS receiver and antenna. This buoy was first aimed to be used for the monitoring in delayed time of offshore tides and currents, by a precise point positioning analysis of the GNSS raw data. In addition, the ability of this low-cost GNSS buoy for the water vapour monitoring was also investigated through the assessment of Zenith Tropospheric Delay (ZTD) estimates from the post-processing of the raw data. The comparisons with ZTD estimates from a nearby ground-based GNSS geodetic antenna and the ECMWF fifth ReAnalysis (ERA5), provide pretty good results with RMS differences lower than 10 mm. 

These conclusive results highlight the opportunities for the use of such low-cost systems for meteorology and climatology applications over the Oceans.

How to cite: Bosser, P., Bennini, V., Bouasria, M., Grit, Y., and Panetier, A.: A low-cost GNSS buoy for water vapour monitoring over the Oceans, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1811, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1811, 2022.

Abstract: Usually, one can use the line-of-sight observations of GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) in not only positioning and navigation, but also in describing the medium that they pass through, such as ionosphere and troposphere. Particularly, for a specific station, one can further use obtained tropospheric wet delay in zenith direction to calculate integrated water vapor (IWV) or precipitable water vapor (PWV) with a transfer coefficient related to in-situ meteorological elements. Further, with IWVs or PWVs at a number of stations in a region, one can additionally discover the spatio-temporal distribution of water vapor by using the so-called tomography technology, noted as TWV hereafter. In this work, both retrieved PWVs and TWVs are analyzed and used in monitoring a rainfall process in Hong Kong ranging from 113.86°E to 114.36°E and 22.05°N to 22.40°N. A self-generated water vapor tomography package named GWATOS (GNSS Water vapor Tomography Software) is employed, and the Kalman filtering is used in the package to try to include more information that is valuable. The in-situ GNSS observations with interval of 5s and meteorological observations with interval of 60s at 18 stations in SatRef (Satellite positioning Reference station network) from 1st to 31st of May, 2016 are processed with BERNESE software by using the precise point positioning mode to retrieve the tropospheric delays. The temporal resolution of resulted PWVs is 30 minutes, and spatial resolution of TWVs is 0.05° in longitude, 0.07° in latitude and 15 unequal layers in height. In the experiment, the radiosonde profile data sets with temporal resolution of 12 hours at a station named Kings Park provided by University of Wyoming are used to externally assess GNSS retrieved water vapor. The retrieved PWVs show good consistency with results from radiosonde. The PWVs indicate obvious periods of high values, e.g., at 10th and 21st of May, and frequent variations, e.g., at 27th and 28th of May. As an example, the regional PWVs itself and its variation both in time and in space are analyzed to monitor the earlier-start, ongoing and end stage of rainfall process in 10th of May, where both Red and Amber rainstorm warning are given. The results depict that abnormal period of PWVs are in good agreement with recorded rainfall period by Hong Kong Observatory. The results of retrieved TWVs show good internal and external agreements, the statistics are about 2.0mm and 1.7mm, respectively. The water vapor and its spatio-temporal variations in layers lower than 400 m and between 400m and 800m are investigated emphatically. The results show that both retrieved PWVs and TWVs with high spatio-temporal resolution could reflect rainfall process to some extent, especially the earlier-start and end stage of rainfall. That is to say, GNSS retrieved water vapor could be used to monitor the rainfall process in an auxiliary way. More importantly, no matter PWVs or TWVs could be used to trace the movement of water vapor or its structure both in time and in space, which can be further used in meteorology study for more detail information.

How to cite: Wang, M.: Spatio-temporal distributed water vapor retrieved from GNSS observations and its usage in monitoring a rainfall process in Hong Kong, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1872, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-1872, 2022.

EGU22-2067 | Presentations | G5.2

Dynamic Tomography Principle: An Adaptive Variable-Scale Approach to GNSS Atmospheric Water Vapor Tomography 

Wenyuan Zhang, Gregor Moeller, Shubi Zhang, Nanshan Zheng, and Nan Ding

Atmospheric water vapor is an important greenhouse gas in the Earth’s atmosphere and significantly impact the thermodynamics of the atmosphere. Due to its dramatic spatio-temporal variability, knowing the three-dimensional (3D) distribution of it is a key goal of atmospheric observation that has been very difficult to attain. However, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) tomography is a promising technique that retrieves the 3D observation of atmospheric water vapor using data from all satellite constellations with a dense station network. In the last decades, various tomography algorithms were developed based on the fixed-scale tomography (FST) system with an unchangeable tomographic domain and voxel. Here we demonstrate the development of a new adaptive variable-scale tomography (AVST) system to determine the optimal dynamic boundary of tomography area and the adaptive resolution of tomography voxel in different atmospheric layers. First, the optimal regular tomography region of each layer is constructed by the boundary optimal approach based on the convex hull algorithm. Subsequently, we define a water vapor index (WVI) and introduce a WVI invariance discretized principle to obtain the variable-scale voxels in different layers.

The proposed method is applied to reconstruct the 3D adaptive water vapor fields over Hong Kong region using the GNSS data in August 2017. For validations, we compared the tomographic water vapor profiles with the reference profiles from radiosonde, and assessed the tomographic overall distributions using independent ERA5 data. The results show that AVST approach is superior to the FST method in both water vapor profiles and 3D distributions, with the mean root-mean-square-error (RMSE) improved by 30% and 23%, respectively. Such improvements highlight the significant potential of the proposed principle for reconstructing the 3D adaptive atmospheric water vapor fields to advance rainfall forecast and meteorological research.

How to cite: Zhang, W., Moeller, G., Zhang, S., Zheng, N., and Ding, N.: Dynamic Tomography Principle: An Adaptive Variable-Scale Approach to GNSS Atmospheric Water Vapor Tomography, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2067, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2067, 2022.

EGU22-2454 | Presentations | G5.2

Extreme hydrometeorological events, a challenge for geodesy and seismology networks 

Michel Van Camp, Olivier de Viron, Alain Dassargues, Laurent Delobbe, and Kristel Chanard

The use of seismometer and gravimeter captures complementary data and brings a new understanding of the July 2021 catastrophic floods in Belgium. A sudden increase in seismic noise coincides with the testimony reporting on a “tsunami” downstream of the Membach geophysical station, along the Vesdre valley. Concurrently, the gravimeter evidenced a rising saturation of the weathered zone, thus showing less and less water accumulation. When rain re-intensified after a 3-hour break, the saturated state of the subsoil induced an accelerated increase of the runoff, as revealed by the Vesdre River flow, in a much stronger way than during the rainy episodes just before. We show that a gravimeter can detect in real-time the saturation of the catchment subsoil and soil. This saturation resulted, when the rain re-intensified, in a sudden, devastating and deadly flood. This opens perspectives to use real-time gravity for early warnings of such events

How to cite: Van Camp, M., de Viron, O., Dassargues, A., Delobbe, L., and Chanard, K.: Extreme hydrometeorological events, a challenge for geodesy and seismology networks, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2454, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2454, 2022.

EGU22-2732 | Presentations | G5.2

INTOMO -  Modeling of satellite to satellite excess phase (GNSS to LEO) 

Adam Cegła, Paweł Hordyniec, Gregor Moeller, Estera Trzcina, Natalia Hanna, and Witold Rohm

The number of tropospheric observations that are assimilated in current numerical weather forecasting systems, is large. From automatic weather stations, to geostationary satellites, from radiosondes to polar orbiting  microwave satellites. Amid the currently available data sources, GNSS stands out as a bias free, self calibrating, high fidelity temperature and water vapour measurements. 
Until recently GNSS was used weather forecasting only in two ways: as a ground-based point, high-frequency observation of integrated water vapour (IWV) or zenithal integrated observation of temperature and water vapour, or as a sparse space-based profile observation of temperature and water vapour content (provided as a refractivity or bending angle profile). In the last couple of years GNSS tomography, a 3D imaging technique, is gaining attention as a weather model data source. However, low space resolution combined with large uncertainty of the tomography reconstruction makes this technique difficult to apply in operational forecasting. 
Therefore this technique, to be considered as a valuable data source in weather models, has to be numerically stable with known repeatable uncertainty. We believe that a way forward is to combine space-based and ground-based observations using the tomography principle. A way forward is to effectively simulate the signal trajectory between the GNSS transmitter and GNSS receiver (Low Earth Orbiting LEO satellite). 3D ray-tracing modelling of the radio occultation (RO) event based on Numerical Weather Model is performed. The challenge here is to make these ray-tracing results comparable with excess phase observations at the LEO satellite.  
Modelling by 3D ray-tracing is performed by the modified Atmospheric TOMography (ATOM) software with the use of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 model. This module uses the position of the GNSS satellites as starting point and iteratively propagates the signal path by collecting information on refractive parameters along its path based on nodal points. This study is based on the ten selected RO events from the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) report “Optimising tracking strategies for Radio Occultation. Task 1 - the profile dataset.”. Modelling was performed by varying the grid resolution of the ERA5 model and the length of a propagator step size segment to obtain total excess phase delay values. Additionally, Radio Occultation Processing Package (ROPP) 2D ray-tracing multiple phase screen simulation was run to confront obtained from ATOM phase delays. The COSMIC Data Analysis and Archive Center (CDAAC) observed excess phase was used as a reference data source. 

How to cite: Cegła, A., Hordyniec, P., Moeller, G., Trzcina, E., Hanna, N., and Rohm, W.: INTOMO -  Modeling of satellite to satellite excess phase (GNSS to LEO), EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2732, 2022.

Integrated Water Vapour (IWV) measurements from similar or different techniques are often inter-compared for calibration and validation purposes. Results are traditionally interpreted is terms of bias (difference of the means), standard deviation of the differences, and slope and offset parameters of a linear regression between the IWV measurements of the tested instrument with respect to the reference instrument. When the two instruments are located at different elevations, a correction must be applied to account for the contribution of atmosphere between the sites. Therefore, empirical formulations are often used. In this work it is shown that the widely-used model based on a standard, exponential, profile for water vapour density cannot properly correct the contribution of the atmospheric layer on the bias, slope, and offset parameters simultaneously. For example, correcting the bias degrades the slope and offset parameters, and vice-versa, with this model. An alternative method is proposed to derive an empirical model from real profiles observed by radiosondes. The method is developed for the special case of a tropical mountainous area with high IWV contents and strong diurnal and seasonal variations. Its application is illustrated with two examples, i) GPS to GPS comparisons and ii) GPS to satellite microwave radiometer comparisons.

How to cite: Bock, O.: An improved vertical correction method for the inter-comparison of Integrated Water Vapour measurements, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-2772, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-2772, 2022.

EGU22-3450 | Presentations | G5.2

Ground-based GNSS data processing for atmospheric water vapor retrieval at Wuhan University and some applications 

Weixing Zhang, Yidong Lou, Yaozong Zhou, Xianjie Li, Jingna Bai, and Zhenyi Zhang

Wuhan University has joined the E-GVAP program as one of the analysis centers (ACs) since 2019. Data at about 300 global GNSS stations are routinely processed in near-real-time at Wuhan University for tropospheric delay product. Both the single GPS solution and the recent multi-GNSS (GPS/GLONASS/Galileo/BDS) solution have been delivered to E-GVAP. Besides the near-real-time processing, we also work on the long-term historical data reprocessing for climate research and on the real-time processing for atmospheric monitoring. In the reprocessing work, by taking the recent ERA5 and homogenized radiosonde data as reference, we have made comprehensive investigations on the impacts of different models (e.g., the mapping function) and settings (e.g., the cut-off elevation angle) using global data of more than two decades. The long-term water vapor product was used for climate analysis and for inter-comparisons among different techniques (GNSS, radiosonde, reanalysis, MODIS, etc.). In the real-time processing work, we have carried out a four-month real-time water vapor retrieval campaign in three cities of China in 2021 by including the latest BeiDou-3 satellites and by using the high-accuracy satellite product transmitted by BeiDou-3 GEO satellites on the B2b signal. The data processing work in reprocessing, near-real-time and real-time modes at Wuhan University will be systematically introduced and some applications in climate research and atmospheric monitoring will be presented.

How to cite: Zhang, W., Lou, Y., Zhou, Y., Li, X., Bai, J., and Zhang, Z.: Ground-based GNSS data processing for atmospheric water vapor retrieval at Wuhan University and some applications, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-3450, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-3450, 2022.

EGU22-4444 | Presentations | G5.2

NWM/GNSS tightly coupled tropospheric delay estimation and application on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) platform 

Zhenyi Zhang, Weixing Zhang, Yidong Lou, Yaozong Zhou, Jingna Bai, and Zhixuan Zhang

Water vapor is of great importance to the atmosphere and weather research. Airborne GNSS-based tropospheric delay estimation can reveal the atmosphere profile information, which is of more importance than site-based products and acts as an independent observation for meteorological application. On the other hand, progress in the meteorological community such as numerical weather models (NWMs) and forecast operations have the potential to augment GNSS. Many studies have investigated methods for applying NWMs in GNSS, mainly considering NWMs as a priori information. However, most methods implemented are merely suitable for static ground stations. They may not be optimal for dynamic platforms like unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) since the troposphere condition changes dramatically with vertical velocity and height. Under this background, we propose an NWM/GNSS tightly coupled method to take the best advantage of NWMs into GNSS data processing. The technique utilizes NWMs as a priori and considers the vertical distribution of the atmosphere to adaptively adjust the stochastic model for tropospheric delay estimation depending on the actual circumstance. The proposed method has been evaluated by an experiment using UAV and Global Forecast System (GFS) and found an improvement of precision and stability of tropospheric delay estimates.

How to cite: Zhang, Z., Zhang, W., Lou, Y., Zhou, Y., Bai, J., and Zhang, Z.: NWM/GNSS tightly coupled tropospheric delay estimation and application on an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) platform, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4444, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4444, 2022.

EGU22-4471 | Presentations | G5.2

Relative tropospheric delay fields by GNSS, InSAR and NWP models in an Alpine Region 

Endrit Shehaj, Othmar Frey, Gregor Moeller, Matthias Aichinger-Rosenberger, Alain Geiger, and Markus Rothacher

Atmospheric interaction with microwaves causes refraction as well as delays of electromagnetic signals. Although the effects are the same for all microwave signals including GNSS and radar, different spatio-temporal sampling of the tropospheric delays, different frequencies resulting in different phase sensitivity to path delays changes, as well as different processing strategies, assumptions and algorithms may lead to differences in the quantified tropospheric estimates. In case of GNSS, the most typical troposphere-related product is the zenith total delay - quantified after the mapping of all GNSS slant delays in the zenith direction. On the other side, double-difference tropospheric slant delays in persistent scatterer interferometry can be obtained in an iterative manner by isolating and subsequently adding the unwrapped low spatial frequency components of the phase residuals to update the estimate of the tropospheric phase. The updated tropospheric phase is then subtracted before the next iteration of point-wise regression-based estimations of topographic corrections and surface displacements. This iterative process is repeated for all scatterers with acceptable standard deviation of the phase residuals until convergence is reached. For comparison of the different tropospheric delays, the spatio-temporal characteristics of GNSS and InSAR observations must be considered. In this work, we use statistical interpolation methods to collocate the GNSS ZTDs with the InSAR measurements. Moreover, as another external (independent) observation we consider 3D fields of numerical weather models, which are integrated in the slant direction to produce (relative) tropospheric delay maps.

As a case study, an alpine region in the Valais area, Switzerland has been selected, which is an interesting scenario due to the high variability of the refractive index over complex terrain. A relatively dense GNSS network, as well as an interferometric time series of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images are available for the time span of 2008-2013. After introducing the available observations into the collocation approach, we perform the comparison and evaluation of the different tropospheric delays. In addition, we address the following two questions: How should the correct signal part be considered when modeling tropospheric delays using collocation? What is the effect of the GNSS network in terms of size and resolution? This work is an effort in understanding the different estimated/modeled delays, and it aims to set a baseline and a framework for the fusion of GNSS and InSAR tropospheric delays for the monitoring of the atmospheric state over complex terrain.

How to cite: Shehaj, E., Frey, O., Moeller, G., Aichinger-Rosenberger, M., Geiger, A., and Rothacher, M.: Relative tropospheric delay fields by GNSS, InSAR and NWP models in an Alpine Region, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-4471, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-4471, 2022.

EGU22-5189 | Presentations | G5.2

Multi-GNSS Meteorology at GFZ Potsdam: Severe flood events in Germany in July 2021 

Karina Wilgan, Galina Dick, Florian Zus, and Jens Wickert

The year 2021 abounded in many severe weather events. The Ahr Valley flood in July, where almost 200 people have lost their lives, was the deadliest natural disaster in Germany since 1962. This shows that heavy precipitation is still one of the most dangerous weather phenomena in Europe. Improving its prediction will lead to better warning systems e.g., against flash floods, debris falls or landslides. One way of improving the forecasts is the assimilation of external data. Several weather services operationally assimilate the data from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), mostly the GPS-only zenith total delay (ZTD) or integrated water vapor (IWV) into their Numerical Weather Models (NWMs).  

The current research project of the German Research Foundation DFG (Advanced MUlti-GNSS Array for Monitoring Severe Weather Events, AMUSE), performed in a cooperation of TUB, GFZ and the German Weather Service (DWD), focuses on the assimilation of the advanced multi-GNSS products, especially slant total delays (STDs), into NWMs. In this study, we present the derivation of the multi-GNSS (at the moment GPS/GLONASS/Galileo) tropospheric products at GFZ, i.e. the ZTDs, STDs and tropospheric gradients, for the severe floods in July 2021 in Germany. The obtained parameters are compared with the global NWMs: ERA5 reanalysis of ECMWF and two forecast models: ICON run by the DWD and GFS run by the US Weather Service. The results show that all considered GNSS solutions have a similar level of agreement with the NWMs. However, for the flood regions in the western Germany, the biases from the multi-GNSS solutions are smaller compared to the GPS-only solutions. The NWM parameters are compared also with each other. There are differences between the particular models, however, the differences are smaller than between the NWM and GNSS.

How to cite: Wilgan, K., Dick, G., Zus, F., and Wickert, J.: Multi-GNSS Meteorology at GFZ Potsdam: Severe flood events in Germany in July 2021, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5189, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5189, 2022.

EGU22-5237 | Presentations | G5.2

Investigation of shipborne GNSS ZTD retrieval processing parameters by simulation 

Aurélie Panetier, Pierre Bosser, and Ali Khenchaf

The aim of this work is to study the impact of the processing parameterization on the estimation of the zenith total delay (ZTD) from a shipborne GNSS antenna measurement.

For this purpose, we used a simplified observation model, and simulated a realistic configuration of measurements (ephemerids, troposphere, motion of the shipborne antenna). Different sources of error that could affect the measurement were also simulated. The impact of these errors was then evaluated on the estimation by Kalman filtering, using different parameterizations (multi-constellation, solution sampling, random walk process noise for the ZTD estimates, observation weighting, cut-off angle).

As it could have been expected, low cut-off angle (in the range of 3 to 7 degrees) and multi-constellation provide more accurate results. The choice of the data weighting is shown to significantly impact the difference on the estimates, and the use of a square-root of sine function, or uniform weighting of elevation gives the most conclusive results. High value of random walk process noise for ZTD estimates should also be avoided. Globally, the accuracy of the ZTD estimation can be improved up to more than 90% according to the configuration.

The results of this work will be helpful to set up an optimal parameterization for the processing of massive dataset of GNSS measurements acquired from shipborne antennas.

How to cite: Panetier, A., Bosser, P., and Khenchaf, A.: Investigation of shipborne GNSS ZTD retrieval processing parameters by simulation, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-5237, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-5237, 2022.

EGU22-6873 | Presentations | G5.2

MPG-S-NET: A multi-purpose low-cost GNSS collocation station network 

Matthias Aichinger-Rosenberger, Gregor Moeller, Roland Hohensinn, and Markus Rothacher

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers are very versatile sensors, which have not only revolutionized positioning and navigation applications, but also provide numerous opportunities for environmental monitoring and remote sensing. Beside the monitoring of long-term ground movements and geodynamics, typical applications include the provision of water vapor estimates for numerical weather prediction (NWP) and climate studies as well as real-time applications such as seismic and geohazard monitoring. The rising number and quality of low-cost GNSS equipment, coupled with innovative telecommunication approaches (Internet of Things), allow for an increased and more cost-effective usage of such devices for those monitoring purposes, and thus foster a fast decision-making process.

An especially beneficial approach is the collocation of GNSS sensors at already existing meteorological or seismic stations. By using available infrastructure for power supply and communication, it can provide a sustainable and energy-effective extension of existing monitoring capabilities. The different parameters collected on-site can be used for cross-validation or provision of corrections for GNSS positioning. Furthermore, through (close to) real-time availability of observations, such collocated stations can aid early-warning systems for many different types of natural hazards (from extreme weather events to landslides and earthquakes). At the Institute of Geodesy and Photogrammetry at ETH Zürich we develop GNSS instrumentation to equip meteorological stations from the SwissMetNet (SMN). The work is carried out in the course of a pilot study in cooperation with MeteoSwiss.

This contribution introduces initial results of the SMN station Zürich-Affoltern, where the first prototype GNSS payload has been installed. We highlight key capabilities of the low-cost GNSS equipment used for these high-precision geomonitoring purposes. Moreover, we discuss concrete ideas for the build-up of a dedicated collocation network within the DACH (Germany-Austria-Switzerland) border area and the opportunities arising from it. These opportunities include the sustainable enhancement of infrastructure for climate change monitoring in the Alpine region as well as the build-up of early-warning systems for multiple types of geohazards. The latter might be achieved through the combination of parameters collected on-site with complementary data (e.g. satellite observations or NWP output) using innovative, data-driven approaches. Finally, we showcase examples and the potential of recent and ongoing works using these data-driven approaches.

How to cite: Aichinger-Rosenberger, M., Moeller, G., Hohensinn, R., and Rothacher, M.: MPG-S-NET: A multi-purpose low-cost GNSS collocation station network, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6873, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6873, 2022.

EGU22-6891 | Presentations | G5.2

Increasing trend of Precipitable Water Vapor in Antarctica and Greenland 

Junsheng Ding, Junping Chen, and Wenjie Tang

Polar precipitable water vapor (PWV) is expected to increase under a warming climate. However, the conventional approach cannot provide sufficient long-term PWV records due to the high maintenance costs. Fortunately, the exponential explosion in the number of geodetic-quality Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations has broken this deadlock. Utilizing 20 radiosonde (RS) and 105 GNSS station data over two decades (1994-2020), we analyzed and evaluated the spatial and temporal variability characteristics of PWV in Antarctica and Greenland. The multi-year mean PWV values for Antarctica and Greenland were 5.63 ± 1.67 mms and 7.63 ± 1.35 mms, respectively, with annual standard deviations (STD) of PWV of 1.60 ± 0.77 mms and 3.44 ± 0.92 mms, respectively. In both Antarctica and Greenland, the PWV annual STD shows a gradual increase from the land center to the edge; while the PWV mean decreases with increasing latitude in Greenland, there is no significant latitudinal correlation in Antarctica. There is no significant regional difference in PWV trends, and from the statistical results, both Antarctica and Greenland show an increasing trend from year to year. The PWV trends in Antarctica and Greenland were 0.29 ± 0.77 mm/decade and 0.27 ± 0.64 mm/decade, respectively, with relative PWV trends of 5.98 ± 12.93%/decade and 3.87 ± 8.45%/decade, respectively.

How to cite: Ding, J., Chen, J., and Tang, W.: Increasing trend of Precipitable Water Vapor in Antarctica and Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-6891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6891, 2022.

EGU22-8226 | Presentations | G5.2

Deep learning in spaceborne GNSS-R: Recent methodologies and atmospheric products 

Tianqi Xiao, Milad Asgarimehr, Caroline Arnold, Daixin Zhao, Tobias Weigel, Lichao Mou, and Jens Wickert

 

The capability of Deep Learning (DL) for operational wind speed retrieval from the measured Delay-Doppler Maps (DDMs) is recently characterized. It is shown that such techniques can lead to a significant improvement in the derived atmospheric data products. A global ocean dataset is developed processing the measurements of NASA Cyclone GNSS (CYGNSS). The model is based on convolutional layers for direct feature extraction from bistatic radar cross-section (BRCS) DDMs and fully connected layers for processing ancillary technical and higher-level input parameters. This model leads to an RMSE of 1.36 m/s and a significant improvement of 28% in comparison to the officially operational retrieval algorithm.

From the theoretical knowledge, several error sources are known, the modeling and correction of which is not easy due to their highly nonlinear interaction with other and the dependent parameters. DL is potentially able to learn such trends and correct the associated biases. For instance, rain splash on the ocean surface and swell waves alter the surface roughness, and consequently, the GNSS scattering patterns, which appear as a considerable bias in GNSS-R wind products. The magnitude of such biases is nonlinearly dependent on several technical and environmental parameters including the reflection geometry, and ocean surface state. After a brief introduction to the known physical mechanisms, we discuss how a DL-based fusion with data on bias-causing parameters, can improve the wind speed predictions.

How to cite: Xiao, T., Asgarimehr, M., Arnold, C., Zhao, D., Weigel, T., Mou, L., and Wickert, J.: Deep learning in spaceborne GNSS-R: Recent methodologies and atmospheric products, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-8226, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-8226, 2022.

EGU22-9247 | Presentations | G5.2

Applying Machine Learning Methods to predict rain using GNSS products and meteorological parameters 

Zohreh Adavi, Elżbieta Lasota, Witold Rohm, and Robert Weber

Nowadays, weather forecast is an important factor of everyday life that we should be well prepared for. Especially the amount of rainfall can positively or negatively influence our lifestyle. While a moderate rainfall is supportive for agriculture or provision of potable water, too much rainfall can  cause disasters like floods. Therefore, accessing the rain information in near-real-time is beneficial in all aspects. In recent years, GNSS meteorology has been widely utilized as a valuable tool to better interact with the weather conditions in the now-casting and forecasting applications. Nevertheless, rainfall cannot be estimated directly from the GNSS measurements, and therefore some other methods like Artificial Intelligence (AI) are employed to do so. One of the well-known methods in AI is Machine Learning (ML) which focuses on data in order to model or classify various cases such as anomaly detection, earthquake prediction, and rainfall classification. The main objective of this research is to develop a predictive model for accumulated rain every 3 hours for an area populated with 21 GNSS stations of the EUREF Permanent GNSS Network (EPN). For this purpose, we applied different ML methods. The period of interest ranges from 2017 January to 2021 October. The years 2017 to 2020 are used for training, and 2021 is utilized to evaluate the rain model. The temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity, Zenith Wet Delay (ZWD), Gradients (GN-S, GE-W), Total Electron Contents (TEC) are selected as input parameters in ML. Besides, the rain product from Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) is considered as the reference of the model. Finally, the accumulated rain prediction models are derived every 3 hours over the area of interest.

How to cite: Adavi, Z., Lasota, E., Rohm, W., and Weber, R.: Applying Machine Learning Methods to predict rain using GNSS products and meteorological parameters, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-9247, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-9247, 2022.

EGU22-10832 | Presentations | G5.2

Sea state dependent Doppler spread as a limit of coherent GNSS reflectometry from an airborne platform 

Mario Moreno, Maximilian Semmling, Georges Stienne, Wafa Dalil, Mainul Hoque, Jens Wickert, and Serge Reboul

Sea level rise and sea state variability due to climate change and global warming are major research topics in the scientific community. Wind speed (WS) and significant wave height (SWH) are usable parameters to monitor the sea state threats and the impact of the ocean weather conditions in coastal areas. GNSS reflectometry (GNSS-R) has shown considerable promise as a remote sensing technique for ocean parameters estimation. Multiple studies have been successfully conducted in the recent two decades by using GNSS-R ground-based, airborne and spaceborne data to retrieve geophysical properties of the sea surface.

The focus of this study is to investigate the Doppler shift of the reflected signal as observable to estimate the Doppler spread (DS) and determine its correlation with sea state changes, making use of GNSS-R airborne data in coastal areas. An additional aim is to study the possibility of using the Doppler spread as a metric for coherent GNSS reflectometry for applications such as precise altimetry and precise total electron content (TEC) estimates. An experiment was conducted from the 12th to the 19th of July 2019 along Opal Coast, between the cities of Calais and Boulogne-sur-Mer, France. The experiment consisted of multiple flights at an altitude of ~780m (a.m.s.l). The direct and reflected signals were received by dual-polarized (Right-Handed and Left-Handed Circular Polarizations) antenna mounted on a gyrocopter.

A software receiver is used to process the direct and reflected signals from the right-hand channel. The resulting in-phase (I) and quadrature (Q) components (at 50 Hz rate) of the reflected signals are analyzed in the spectral domain every ten seconds to obtain the relative Doppler shift and power estimates. The coherence is established by analyzing the phase observations obtained from I and Q. The sensitivity of the reflected signal estimates and the sea state is determined by the correlation between the Doppler Spread with wind speed and significant wave height. The latter two were obtained from the atmospheric, land and oceanic climate model, ERA5, provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).

Initial results have shown promising performance at a calm sea (WS: 2.9 m/s and SWH: 0.26 m) and grazing angles. Satellites with low elevations (E < 10°) present a Doppler Spread of 0.3 Hz and its Pearson correlations with respect to WS and SHW are 0.89 and 0.75, respectively. The performance is relatively poor for high elevation events (E > 30°). The DS increases up to 2.1 Hz and the correlation decrease to 0.55 and 0.42 respectively. Coherence conditions are still under study; however, preliminary phase analysis reveals coherent observations at events with elevations below 15° and sea state with a significant wave height of 0.26 m.

How to cite: Moreno, M., Semmling, M., Stienne, G., Dalil, W., Hoque, M., Wickert, J., and Reboul, S.: Sea state dependent Doppler spread as a limit of coherent GNSS reflectometry from an airborne platform, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-10832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-10832, 2022.

EGU22-13374 | Presentations | G5.2

The Precipitable Water Vapour GNSS monitors at the Canary Islands Astronomical Observatories: towards an optimization of the final accuracy 

Julio A. Castro-Almazán, Begoña García-Lorenzo, Casiana Muñoz-Tuñón, and Ignacio Romero

Since proposed by Bevis et al. in 1992, GNSS Meteorology has become a very competitive field, mainly because it provides a relatively cheap, extensive network of stations, with global and 365d/24h coverage. Therefore, the method has been widely validated by comparison with other reference techniques. A majority of the comparisons show both dry or wet bias for the PWV obtained from GNSS, depending on the particular station, as a consequence of such an heterogeneous network working on a vast set of atmospheric scenarios. Thus, most of the effort has been focused on getting the best possible global information, guarantying homogeneity. Instead, the goal of a PWV monitor for Astronomy is not homogeneity, but getting the most out of a particular station. In this work we aimed a high precision and high accuracy real-time monitor supporting IR and μW astronomical observations. We have reviewed the technique and identified the external factors impacting in the final error, including local barometric pressure and temperature measurements, weighted mean temperature based on local vertical profiles, and an independent calibration through a detailed comparison with high vertical resolution radiosondes. We discuss the final error and accuracy achieved, the lower detection limit of the technique, and possible new improvements.

How to cite: Castro-Almazán, J. A., García-Lorenzo, B., Muñoz-Tuñón, C., and Romero, I.: The Precipitable Water Vapour GNSS monitors at the Canary Islands Astronomical Observatories: towards an optimization of the final accuracy, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13374, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13374, 2022.

EGU22-13470 | Presentations | G5.2

Water Vapour assessment using GNSS and Radiosondes and long-term trends estimation over Polar Regions 

Monia Negusini, Boyan Petkov, Vincenza Tornatore, Stefano Barindelli, Leonardo Martelli, Pierguido Sarti, and Claudio Tomasi

The atmospheric humidity in the Polar Regions is an important factor for the global budget of water vapour, which is a significant indicator of Earth’s climate state and evolution. The Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) can make a valuable contribution in the calculation of the amount of Precipitable Water Vapour (PW). We focus on Polar Regions, especially Antarctica. 20-year GPS observations, acquired by more than 40 GNSS geodetic stations, were processed with the purpose of ensuring the utmost accuracy of the PW retrieval, adopting homogeneous, consistent, and up-to-date processing strategies. We also estimated PW from radio-sounding stations (RS), which operate Vaisala radiosondes, co-located with GNSS stations. The PW values from global atmospheric reanalysis model were used for validation and comparison, very high correlation coefficients between times series, have been highlighted both in the Arctic and Antarctica. A small dry bias of RS vs. GPS values was found in the Arctic, while no clear behaviour is present in Antarctica. The PWGPS and PWRS seasonal variations are consistent, as also confirmed by scatter plots.

After validation, long-term trends, both for Arctic and Antarctic regions, were estimated using Hector scientific software, which allows the estimation of trends from time series with temporal correlated noise. We applied a function to estimate the linear trend plus the annual/semiannual signals, and autoregressive noise model AR(1) which best fits the residuals of all investigated PW time series. We investigated also on the choice of the most suitable noise model, this study was useful in determining the residuals of the time series, once the trend and seasonal signals were subtracted. Positive PWGPS trends dominate at Arctic sites near the borders of the Atlantic Ocean. Sites located at higher latitudes show no significant values. Negative PWGPS trends were observed in the Arctic region of Greenland and North America. A similar behaviour was found in the Arctic for PWRS trends. The stations in the West Antarctic sector show a general positive PWGPS trend, while the sites on the coastal area of East Antarctica exhibit some significant negative PWGPS trends, while in most cases, no significant PWRS trends were found. The present work confirms also that GPS is also able to provide reliable estimates of water vapour content in regions where data are sparse and not easy to collect as the Arctic and Antarctic regions are.

How to cite: Negusini, M., Petkov, B., Tornatore, V., Barindelli, S., Martelli, L., Sarti, P., and Tomasi, C.: Water Vapour assessment using GNSS and Radiosondes and long-term trends estimation over Polar Regions, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-13470, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-13470, 2022.

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