Presentation type:
GM – Geomorphology

In January 2024, the state of Maine's, USA, coastline experienced multiple storms that caused extensive damage to public infrastructure and private property. The town of Wells, which encompasses the Webhannet and Ogunquit estuaries, suffered damage to “grey” coastal defenses, such as seawalls, bulkheads, and riprap, which were breached and therefore not able to protect roads and buildings. Failure of traditional defenses has partly motivated a growing interest in nature-based solutions, in addition to the range of ecosystem services these natural systems can provide, for enhancing protection along Maine’s coastline in areas where the adoption of such “green” solutions is  feasible. Saltmarsh restoration, for example,  is an approach that aims to bring back degraded ecological function of a tidal marsh, while simultaneously providing increased flood protection. In this study, we develop a LISFLOOD-FP model for the town of Wells using high-resolution (~1m) DEM and land cover datasets. We validate the model through satellite imagery such as Sentinel-2 data. We use the model to map the inundation extent in Wells during the January 10th coastal storm and to estimate flood exposure of the built environment. Next, we simulate the restoration of the tidal marsh within the two estuaries and assess its ability to reduce the flood footprint of the January 10th storm. To this end, we identify megapools suitable for drainage, thin layer placement, and revegetation, and therefore modify the model’s elevation and roughness coefficient in these targeted areas. Our study evaluates the effectiveness of pool-to-marsh restoration as a nature-based approach in decreasing flood depth and velocity near adjacent buildings and roads.

How to cite: Boumis, G., Hamidi, E., and Spencer, T. B.: Coastal flood impacts on the built environment in Wells, Maine: Assessing the effectiveness of pool-to-marsh restoration in reducing exposure, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-131, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-131, 2026.

EGU26-314 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1 | Highlight

Upscaling Nature-Based Coastal Solutions Through Integrated Design: Collaborative Data, Modeling, and Landscape Design for the Deer Island EWN Project 

Amanda Tritinger, Sydney Crisanti, Steven Bailey, Jacob Berkowitz, Elizabeth Godsey, Burton Suedel, and Jeffrey King

Nature-based coastal solutions (NBCS) are increasingly recognized as effective, adaptable, and multifunctional approaches to mitigating coastal hazards while supporting ecological, economic, and social co-benefits. Despite a rapidly expanding evidence base, scaling of NBCS from localized interventions to regional, systems-level applications remains a fundamental challenge, particularly for long-term planning under accelerating sea-level scenarios, increasing storm intensity, and complex governance environments. This paper presents a comprehensive, interdisciplinary case study of Deer Island, Mississippi (USA), an Engineering With Nature® (EWN®) project that illustrates how integrated science, engineering, landscape architecture, and strategic partnerships can support the design, quantification, and implementation of NBCS at scale.

Deer Island represents a decade-long collaborative effort involving federal, state, academic, and non-profit partners working to stabilize eroding shorelines, restore degraded habitats, and strengthen the island’s overall geomorphic and ecological resilience. A central component of the project is an extensive data-collection program designed to quantify “as-is” island conditions and constrain uncertainty in future performance predictions. This includes topo-bathymetric surveys, sediment coring, vegetation mapping, and hydrodynamic and morphodynamic monitoring. All variations of work that build on the state-of-the-art techniques described in recent coastal resilience literature and research produced by the U.S. Army Corps' Engineering With Nature (EWN) research program. These datasets provide the empirical foundation for both the engineering design and the landscape architectural vision, ensuring that proposed nature-based features are grounded in site-specific processes.
Landscape architects worked alongside engineers and scientists to develop multifunctional NBCS designs that rebuild critical marsh, beach, and dune systems while enhancing habitat connectivity, recreational value, and long-term adaptability. These design concepts were translated into quantitative performance assessments using process-based numerical models that simulate storm surge attenuation, wave energy reduction, sediment transport, and morphological evolution under present and future climate scenarios. These modeling results demonstrate measurable risk-reduction benefits at both the island scale and the broader Mississippi Sound region, underscoring the importance of designing for system connectivity rather than isolated features.
A defining strength of this project is its collaborative, multi-sector governance structure. Regular engagement among engineers, ecologists, coastal managers, landscape architects, federal and state agencies, universities, and local stakeholders enabled iterative refinement of design alternatives, strengthened regulatory alignment, and ensured that both engineering and ecological performance criteria were jointly prioritized. This partnership-driven approach reduced institutional barriers, improved long-term maintenance planning, and provided a replicable model for other regions seeking to scale NBCS through coordinated decision-making.
Deer Island will has entered the construction phase and is marking a critical transition from concept to implementation, and will be monitored for years following. As one of the largest engineered NBCS efforts in America's Gulf waters, it demonstrates how integrated data collection, process-based modeling, and collaborative landscape-informed design can materially advance long-term resilience, reduce uncertainty, and provide transferable pathways for scaling NBCS across diverse environmental and governance contexts.

How to cite: Tritinger, A., Crisanti, S., Bailey, S., Berkowitz, J., Godsey, E., Suedel, B., and King, J.: Upscaling Nature-Based Coastal Solutions Through Integrated Design: Collaborative Data, Modeling, and Landscape Design for the Deer Island EWN Project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-314, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-314, 2026.

EGU26-885 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Challenges on salt marsh restoration: from seed to climate resilience 

Inês Carneiro, Ana I. Sousa, Johan Van de Koppel, and A. Rita Carrasco

Salt marsh restoration can be considered an essential nature-based solution for coastal protection and climate change mitigation. However, restoration practices present a myriad of challenges, particularly in the journey from seed germination to achieving climate resilience, as response to challenges such as variable hydrology, and climate change impacts that can hinder seed establishment and growth. Effective restoration requires a deep understanding of the local ecology, the selection of native plant species, and adaptive management strategies to foster resilience against rising sea levels and shifting climate patterns. Active restoration is used less often than passive restoration, and involves improved seedling and planting techniques, with a drawback related to the physical damage done to healthy habitats through the collection of donor plants. A recent alternative solution to counter this destructive issue involves the installation of a plant nursery (mesocosms) for seed germination and plant production.

In this study, we present the experimental design and preliminary data on halophytes’ germination and seed propagation strategies, conducted in a mesocosm conditions.  Our goal is to assess the optimal abiotic conditions to initiate the germination process of Atriplex Portucaloides seeds (mid-high marsh species), collected at Ria de Aveiro coastal lagoon (centre Portugal). Simultaneously, this study provides valuable insights into the climate resilience of Sporobolus maritimus (low marsh species) under increasing flood conditions, framed within various sea-level rise scenarios. Through fieldwork experiments at the Ria Formosa lagoon (south Portugal), data on the plant's adjustments to prolonged hydroperiods have been recorded. Adjustments in growth patterns and survival rates of Sporobolus maritimus are crucial for understanding the plant's response to environmental changes and provide essential information for estimating the longevity of restored populations. By addressing these two challenges, the obtained results enhance knowledge and support the development of effective restoration strategies to enhance the resilience of coastal salt marsh ecosystems against climate change.

 

Keywords: salt marshes, halophyte nursery infrastructure, sea-level rise, field experiment, resilience.

 

Acknowledgments: This study had the support of the Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT), through the strategic projects UID/00350/2025 (CIMA), UID/50017/2025 (doi.org/10.54499/UID/50017/2025) and LA/P/0094/2020 (doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0094/2020) (CESAM- Centro de Estudos do Ambiente e do Mar). Inês Carneiro by was supported by the PhD grant 2024.02443.BD, also funded by the FCT. Thanks are also due to FEDER - Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional funds through the COMPETE 2030 and by Portuguese funds through FCT in the framework of the project COMPETE2030-FEDER-00929100 (BLUE-REWET).

How to cite: Carneiro, I., Sousa, A. I., Koppel, J. V. D., and Carrasco, A. R.: Challenges on salt marsh restoration: from seed to climate resilience, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-885, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-885, 2026.

EGU26-2801 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Mangroves as natural storm protection: How changing cyclones affect their role 

Yu Mo, Jim Hall, Andrew Baldwin, Marc Simard, and Ian Donohue

Mangroves help protect coastlines from storms in many regions around the world. However, less is known about how changing storm activities may influence this protection. Using global storm records and a transparent computer model, we examined how cyclone patterns have changed over recent decades. We found that between 1981–2000 and 2001–2020, mangrove exposure to cyclones increased by 13%. Importantly, the type of cyclones affecting mangroves has also changed: slow-moving cyclones have become much more common in the Caribbean, while fast-moving cyclones have increased in East Asia. These changes can affect how mangroves are damaged and how well they can continue to act as natural barriers against storms. Our findings highlight the need to consider changing storm behaviour when using mangroves as nature-based solutions for coastal protection under climate change.

How to cite: Mo, Y., Hall, J., Baldwin, A., Simard, M., and Donohue, I.: Mangroves as natural storm protection: How changing cyclones affect their role, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2801, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2801, 2026.

Enhancing Biodiversity Through Repurposing Manmade Structures with Secondary Coatsal Benefits

Authors: Henric Schmidt1, Nicoletta Leonardi1, Darryl Newport2, Andy Plater1,Stephen Roast3

Affiliation: 1University of Liverpool, UK; 2University of Suffolk, UK. 3 Sizewell C, UK.

The decommissioning of coastal nuclear power stations, such as the Magnox site at Sizewell A, offer a critical opportunity for coastal management. Traditionally, decommissioning involves the removal of large radioactive components making the decommissioning dangerous and expensive however, these degrading materials offer significant untapped value for boosting biodiversity in nearby marine environment by providing habitat for flora and fauna furthermore these artificial reefs are effective at reducing coastal erosion and providing flood protection. This research investigates the feasibility of repurposing decommissioned nuclear infrastructure to serve a dual purpose: reducing coastal erosion and providing flood protection through wave energy dissipation and enhancing marine biodiversity by providing shelter for marine life.

To accurately assess the feasibility of this project, this study employs a three-pronged methodological approach. First, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) will be utilized to model various structural orientations and reef designs, identifying which configurations maximize both wave energy dissipation and the creation of low flow rate areas which are required to induce biodiversity. Second, on site visits and SCUBA dives at Sizewell A will be conducted to establish a current ecological baseline and assess the existing structural condition. Finally, findings from the digital models and field observations will be validated through laboratory emulation, using scaled physical models in a wave tank to test the most promising designs under controlled hydrodynamic conditions.

By integrating digital simulation, field observation, and physical experimentation, this research aims to bridge the gap between nuclear decommissioning and coastal engineering. The project seeks to provide a framework for the effective utilization of legacy concrete structures, such as those found at Sizewell A. Furthermore, this research will provide insights into "Design for Decommissioning," potentially influencing the structural design of future nuclear plants to facilitate repurposing for marine applications. Ultimately, this work aims to provide a scalable model for how the nuclear industry can contribute to a more sustainable and "nature-positive" future, transforming industrial liabilities into resilient ecological assets that also protect vulnerable coastlines.

How to cite: Schmidt, H.: Enhancing Biodiversity Through Repurposing Manmade Structures with Secondary Coatsal Benefits, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3937, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3937, 2026.

Currently, a substantial proportion of power stations, railway infrastructure, wastewater treatment facilities, and residential areas are at risk of coastal flooding, resulting in significant annual economic losses. Hard engineering solutions are becoming economically unviable due to the high costs of construction, maintenance, and adaptation to changes in sea level and storms.

For this reason, there is a growing interest in engineering with nature (including the creation of salt marshes, seagrass beds, beach nourishment, and mega-nourishment), which offers a more economically viable alternative and supports net zero-carbon emissions and local amenity value, as highlighted in the 25-year Government Plan to Improve the Environment and the FCERM strategies for England, Scotland, and Wales.

However, despite the growing recognition of the necessity to move towards this greener alternative for coastal protection, there is still limited guidance on the implementation of engineering with nature compared to hard engineering solutions. There are no quantitative and process-based decision-making tools or guidelines to aid engineers, planners, and governments in selecting coastal management strategies suited to their unique local environments. There remain many uncertainties regarding the conditions that maximize the establishment and longevity of engineering with nature, as well as uncertainties regarding its effectiveness.

The project ENARM develops novel understanding necessary to protect coastal infrastructure and coastal communities through the widespread adoption of engineering with nature. ENARM uses a novel combination of remote sensing, artificial intelligence, and computer models to provide, for the first time, design criteria for coastal protection using engineering with nature, as well as the knowledge necessary to select the most durable and efficient coastal management type and location.

Results are summarised into interactive decision-support tools, to enable a consistent evaluation of the pros and cons of different coastal management interventions, including uncertainties related to their effectiveness under different sea-level rise and storm scenarios.

How to cite: Leonardi, N.: Combining Artificial Intelligence, remote sensing and computer modelling for the design of Nature Based Solutions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7898, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7898, 2026.

EGU26-10982 | ECS | Posters on site | ITS4.13/GM1

Redefining Our Urban Boundaries: Valuing Development Pathways for (Peri)Urban Vacant and Derelict Land 

Simla Green, Nick Hanley, Martin Hurst, and Larissa Naylor
Low-elevation coastal zones are becoming increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, including sea level rise, intensified storm events, and accelerated coastal erosion. Historically, the abundance of resources in coastal regions has contributed to the emergence of major global cities. Now, despite escalating exposure and vulnerabilities to coastal hazards, coastal migration and urbanisation persist, highlighting society's socio-economic dependence on coastal ecosystems.
 
In post-industrial cities, balancing urban resilience with socio-economic development has led to a critical review of how vacant and derelict land can be redeveloped to enhance ecological function, resilience, and social cohesion. This study examines public preference for hybrid blue-green infrastructure as a nature-based solution in urban and peri-urban environments vulnerable to coastal hazards. Prior UK research has highlighted the public's preference for saltmarsh conservation, as well as the ecosystem services it provides, with a focus on rural and protected areas. However, there remains a limited understanding of public preferences for introducing saltmarsh as part of hybrid blue-green infrastructure at the urban fringe.
 
This study addresses this gap by using the Contingent Valuation Method to estimate the willingness to pay for redeveloping vacant and derelict land into hybrid blue-green infrastructure that provides flood and climate resilience through coastal buffer zones and multifunctional green spaces. A representative sample of the Scottish population (n = 2000) was drawn from sixteen local authorities surrounding the Clyde and Forth estuaries. Using a split-sample design, we evaluated how visualisations of vacant and derelict land versus a residential urban development influenced public valuation of estuarine nature-based restoration.
 
Our results demonstrate a preference for nature-based restoration over conventional grey infrastructure, highlighting the perceived social and environmental benefits of nature-based solutions in estuarine environments. Mean willingness to pay per annum per household was £35.98 in the Clyde Estuary Region and £39.31 in the Forth Estuary Region. By estimating willingness to pay for the creation of hybrid blue-green infrastructure, this research provides a valuation framework to inform adaptive urban planning and climate-resilient transitions in coastal environments.

How to cite: Green, S., Hanley, N., Hurst, M., and Naylor, L.: Redefining Our Urban Boundaries: Valuing Development Pathways for (Peri)Urban Vacant and Derelict Land, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10982, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10982, 2026.

EGU26-13833 | ECS | Posters on site | ITS4.13/GM1

Modelling combined wave and water-level hazards at a nature-based infrastructure site in British Columbia, Canada 

Marina M.J. St. Marseille, Ryan P. Mulligan, Jamie Gauk, Enda Murphy, and Mitchel Provan

Climate change is continuing to affect coastal regions through rising global sea levels and evolving storm conditions, while land subsidence further amplifies relative sea-level rise in many low-lying areas. Coastal hazards arising from the combined effects of waves and high water levels are increasingly exposing areas to erosion and flooding. In this study, a low-lying region along the coast of Boundary Bay in British Columbia (BC), which is exposed to waves and storm surges, is studied. Communities and critical infrastructure in this region are protected from flooding by an existing 100-year-old dyke, which was not designed to account for sea-level rise. The “Living Dyke” is a pilot study implemented by the City of Surrey, BC, to assess and demonstrate the viability of nature-based infrastructure solutions to enhance coastal flood protection in the region. The project involves placing sediment and planting native salt marsh vegetation to test four stabilization techniques including brushwood dams, a sand berm, rock berm, and oyster-shell bags within the intertidal zone to attenuate waves and reduce wave overtopping of the dyke. In collaboration with biologists and ecologists, adaptive management, monitoring, replanting, and brushwood dam repair has occurred since construction in 2023. A series of in-situ pressure sensors have been deployed to monitor wave and water-level conditions at the field site. Using the observations, a high-resolution numerical model (XBeach) is calibrated, validated and applied to simulate storm events and flooding scenarios at the Living Dyke. Modelling of major wave events and sea-level rise scenarios is conducted to evaluate the performance of the different stabilization techniques. The results provide insight to the potential benefits of the Living Dyke as a nature-based technique to mitigate coastal squeeze and reduce the combined impacts of waves, storm surges, and sea-level rise. Ultimately, the interdisciplinary results integrate to provide the City of Surrey with guidance on the implementation of a field-scale nature-based infrastructure solution along the dyke.

How to cite: St. Marseille, M. M. J., Mulligan, R. P., Gauk, J., Murphy, E., and Provan, M.: Modelling combined wave and water-level hazards at a nature-based infrastructure site in British Columbia, Canada, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13833, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13833, 2026.

EGU26-15854 | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

On the importance of recognizing the large regional and temporal variability of coastal mangrove processes along the Mekong Deltaic Coast 

Hung M. Phan, Marcel J.F. Stive, Linh K. Phan, Son H. Truong, Tung H. Dao, and Trung H. Le

The analysis to be presented is focusing on the importance of the large historical regional variability and large recent temporal variability of mangrove processes along the Mekong Delta Coast. Such variability is insufficiently recognized in literature. Existing research and proposed solutions are often targeting specific provincial issues, presenting local not thoroughly tested solutions, and more importantly that are not generally applicable to other regions and sometimes even detrimental for other regions.

A thorough description is given of the longer-term differences in geography and physical processes, on centennial scales and on more recent, decade-scale human impacts on the various coastal regions of the Mekong Delta. For each of these regions, we present an analysis of the above-mentioned aspects, based on geological, historical, and recent observations of coastal evolution. Current physical process insights on mangrove dynamics are discussed, while including recent and expected impacts of human-induced and climatic change-induced impacts. A most pivotal finding is the quite recent occurrence of a tipping event causing the Mekong Deltaic Western Coast and parts of the Mekong Deltaic Eastern Coast turning to extreme erosion while having been stable over 100 years in the last century.

Our analysis aims to elucidate the profound geographical and temporal variability of coastal mangrove processes along the Mekong River Delta. This provides important information for new research studies that are welcomed strongly to support Vietnam in its quest to solve mangrove issues along the Mekong Delta Coast in a sustainable, nature-inspired manner. The Mekong Delta is of paramount national importance in an economic sense, and at least as important the delta is home to nearly 20 million inhabitants, who have their livelihood based on the coastal region.

How to cite: Phan, H. M., Stive, M. J. F., Phan, L. K., Truong, S. H., Dao, T. H., and Le, T. H.: On the importance of recognizing the large regional and temporal variability of coastal mangrove processes along the Mekong Deltaic Coast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15854, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15854, 2026.

EGU26-16049 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Economic comparison of sea-level rise adaptation solutions along the green-gray infrastructure continuum: a case study from an estuary on the U.S. Pacific Coast 

Samuel Zapp, Matthew Brand, Yusuf Taofiq, Peter Bacopoulos, Heida Diefenderfer, Margaret McKeon, Jenni Schmitt, and Christopher Janousek

Compound flooding in urban coastal areas is expected to become an increasingly costly problem due to projected sea-level rise throughout the 21st century. The emergence, and increasingly widespread acceptance, of “green infrastructure solutions” in recent years provides a wider range of adaptation measures compared to traditional gray infrastructure alone but comes with additional challenges. First, the impact of green infrastructure on flood risk is less straightforward to quantify relative to the augmentation of hard structures. Second, the net economic impact of green vs gray infrastructure in the form of flood reduction and associated ecosystem co-benefits is difficult to compare. Here we present a cost-benefit analysis of different sea-level rise adaptation options for Coos Bay, Oregon, U.S., which each incorporate different degrees of wetland restoration (green infrastructure) and levee heightening (gray infrastructure). For each scenario, continuous water level predictions are produced over the period 2020-2100 by pairing a physically constrained hybrid harmonic tidal water level model with stochastically modeled storm surges and a simplified wind wave runup model. Property damages and transportation delay costs are then calculated for each flooding event. This novel workflow produces temporally granular flood damage quantification which incorporates evolving hydrodynamic and meteorologic conditions. We hypothesize that wetland restoration will be cost-competitive with levee heightening once ecosystem services are financialized along with avoided flood losses.

How to cite: Zapp, S., Brand, M., Taofiq, Y., Bacopoulos, P., Diefenderfer, H., McKeon, M., Schmitt, J., and Janousek, C.: Economic comparison of sea-level rise adaptation solutions along the green-gray infrastructure continuum: a case study from an estuary on the U.S. Pacific Coast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16049, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16049, 2026.

EGU26-16146 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Seasonal variation in stem morphology critically influences long-term saltmarsh development 

Acacia Markov, Jacob Stolle, Stijn Temmerman, Olivier Gourgue, Ioan Nistor, and Abolghasem Pilechi

Saltmarshes provide numerous ecosystem services, contributing to climate change mitigation (carbon sequestration) and adaptation (coastal protection). While capable of accreting sediments in a dynamic equilibrium with changing sea levels, uncertainty remains regarding their continued resilience under accelerated rates of sea level rise (SLR). Ultimately, an improved understanding of how saltmarsh systems develop and evolve under changing conditions is needed to inform management and restoration strategies. Numerical frameworks that couple hydro-morphodynamics and vegetation dynamics (“eco-geomorphic” models) are emerging to support such advancements. Challenged by conflicts of scale and high computational costs, however, saltmarsh modelling studies often implement simplifications that ignore short-term vegetation dynamics such as seasonal growth cycles. Consequently, it remains poorly understood how seasonal variation impacts saltmarsh eco-geomorphic processes on sub-annual to multi-decadal timescales, and if there are implications for ecosystem vulnerability to SLR.

To address this, a numerical study was developed based on seasonal stem measurements of Sporobolus alterniflorus from the St. Lawrence Estuary (Québec, Canada). Coupling hydro-morphodynamics (TELEMAC-2D, GAIA) with a cellular automaton for vegetation dynamics, a novel eco-geomorphic framework was applied to simulate saltmarsh development under scenarios with explicit seasonal variation, versus vegetation properties averaged over the growing season. For each scenario, the model was used to simulate 180 years of eco-geomorphic development for an initially bare, idealized tidal domain.

This study demonstrates, for the first time, how sub-annual seasonal processes contribute to ecosystem development over the long-term (decades to centuries). Simulations that incorporated explicit seasonal variation in stem characteristics yielded more rapidly accreting saltmarsh platforms, with denser tidal channel networks; both supporting improved resilience under SLR. Sediment delivery to saltmarsh interiors was promoted during seasons of low biomass, while seasons of peak biomass strengthened flow routing around vegetation patches, enhancing channel network development. Identifying new mechanisms underlying long-term saltmarsh evolution and resilience, this work highlights the critical importance of integrating seasonality into eco-geomorphic models.

How to cite: Markov, A., Stolle, J., Temmerman, S., Gourgue, O., Nistor, I., and Pilechi, A.: Seasonal variation in stem morphology critically influences long-term saltmarsh development, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16146, 2026.

EGU26-17431 | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Sedimentation fields: human activity, maintenance and the implications for successful saltmarsh restoration 

Jonathan Dale, Cai Ladd, Michael Kennedy, and Michelle Farrell

Saltmarsh habitat provides important ecosystem services such as water quality regulation, carbon sequestration, and flood defence. Marshes are also experiencing significant losses globally. One method of restoring saltmarsh habitat is the use of structures such as sedimentation fields to enclose areas of mudflat and encourage sediment deposition. Sedimentation fields offer opportunities for restoration in areas that are unsuitable for other, more common, restoration methods such as managed realignment. They can also provide protection for fixed engineered defence structures such as sea walls. However, sedimentation fields have predominantly been studied using numerical models or with a focus on vegetation colonisation. Therefore, it remains unknown whether the restored habitat can become self-sustaining through biophysical feedback processes accelerating vertical marsh buildup or whether there is a need for continued maintenance to prevent erosion of the deposited sediment.

 

This study presents findings from an empirical investigation of Rumney Great Wharf, Wales. Sedimentation fields were constructed here between 1989 and 2005, but since 2010 no maintenance has been carried out with fencing being eroded and lost. This allows for assessments of whether the restored area is self-sustaining or if continued maintenance is required. We show that 87% of the total area enclosed by sedimentation fields experienced erosion between May 2023 and 2024. This is despite sediment trap measurements indicating the potential for sediment to accrete at more than 9 cm/year. Trends in sedimentological processes are contextualised using depth, current velocity, wave action, and suspended sediment data. Our findings are evaluated in terms of the requirements for further research into sedimentary processes operating in sedimentation fields.

 

Using the insights gained from our study, we discuss the need to consider sedimentation fields as a continuation of human activity influencing natural processes, rather than the removal or reversal of the influence of prior human activity. We emphasise the need for transdisciplinary approaches to (i) develop further understanding of the interactions between physical and biological processes to enhance ecosystem functioning in sites restored using sedimentation fields, and (ii) to inform the design of future schemes. Further research is needed to fully justify the implementation of future sedimentation field construction, identify suitable locations for such schemes and inform their management, and to ensure such schemes provide a nature-based solution to coastal management challenges.

How to cite: Dale, J., Ladd, C., Kennedy, M., and Farrell, M.: Sedimentation fields: human activity, maintenance and the implications for successful saltmarsh restoration, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17431, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17431, 2026.

EGU26-19931 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

From debris to defence: reclaiming driftwood's role on our shores 

Alice Twomey and Nils Goseberg

As climate change intensifies storm frequency and sea-level rise, global shorelines face increasing rates of erosion, threatening coastal ecosystems such as saltmarshes. Although saltmarshes are critical global assets for carbon sequestration and coastal defence, they are increasingly vulnerable to hydrodynamic stress. Conventional coastal engineering strategies to reduce erosion and maintain our coastal ecosystems often require significant capital and resource-intensive maintenance, driving an urgent need for lower-cost, nature-based solutions (NbS).  

Driftwood, or Large Woody Debris (LWD), is a naturally occurring resource that is frequently removed from many coastal systems, despite its ecological benefits. While the use of LWD for sediment stabilisation and dune restoration has been documented in areas of Canada and New Zealand, many projects continue to face high failure rates. A significant disconnect exists between high-level policy support for these NbS and the lack of technical guidelines to ensure their success. Consequently, the potential for anchored LWD to serve as a permanent intervention in saltmarsh environments remains under-researched.

This project seeks to address the current lack of technical guidelines and the high rate of previous project failures by investigating the viability of anchored LWD as an NbS and restoration strategy. By evaluating the impact of these structures on morphodynamics and sediment stability, this research aims to standardise the application of anchored LWD, offering a scalable, cost-effective strategy to utilise debris as coastal defence.

How to cite: Twomey, A. and Goseberg, N.: From debris to defence: reclaiming driftwood's role on our shores, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19931, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19931, 2026.

EGU26-21266 | ECS | Orals | ITS4.13/GM1

Influence of structural parameters of Coastal Protections on near-bed shear stress and turbulence 

Marie Martinot, Samuel Meulé, Raphaël Certain, Mathis Cognat, Alexis Beudin, Julien Dalle, and Alejandro Caceres-Euse

In response to the challenges posed by coastal erosion and rising sea levels, bio-inspired strucutres represent an innovative solution by combining physical protection with ecological benefits. This study investigates how key structural parameters, including tortuosity, surface roughness, porosity, and structural diversity, affect near-bed shear stress and turbulence around bio-inspired coastal defense modules.

Wave flume experiments were conducted using fifty-one different modules, organized in three rows and tested under five monochromatic wave conditions (heights 2.5–10 cm, periods 1–2 s), scaled for Mediterranean deployment. Measurements from resistive wave gauges and Vectrino velocimeters were used to analyse wave energy dissipation, vertical current profiles, turbulence, and bed shear stress.

Preliminary results show that structural geometry appears to influence local hydrodynamics, with implications for a better understanding of how the selected parameters affect the surrounding hydrodynamic conditions. The effects of the parameters are ranked to guide the development of efficient, multifunctional, bio-inspired coastal defense solutions. A combination of several of these parameters, within a single module and then at the scale of an entire structure, allowed us to explore the potential benefits of structural complexity in coastal protection systems.

How to cite: Martinot, M., Meulé, S., Certain, R., Cognat, M., Beudin, A., Dalle, J., and Caceres-Euse, A.: Influence of structural parameters of Coastal Protections on near-bed shear stress and turbulence, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21266, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21266, 2026.

The Oxford Marine Protection Project, in collaboration with WWF Philippines, is supporting community-based mangrove conservation in the Del Carmen Mangrove Forest in Siargao, recognised as the largest intact mangrove forest in the Philippines. We present an integrated framework combining on-ground assessments with novel satellite and geospatial datasets across four categories: habitat extent and condition, environmental stressors, biodiversity indicators (quantified using Bio-in-the-Box pipelines), and spatialised threat data, including evidence of illegal logging.

This multi-source approach is used to assess ecosystem vulnerability and co-benefits such as coastal protection and blue-carbon potential. The framework supports the identification of biodiversity hotspots, storm-resilient areas, degraded zones requiring restoration, and locations impacted by resource extraction. Our work demonstrates how integrated remote sensing and biodiversity data can strengthen the design, prioritisation, and long-term evaluation of nature-based coastal solutions in community-managed mangrove systems.

How to cite: Mukherjee, H.: Mangrove conservation in the Largest Mangrove Forest of Philippines - Integrating satellite data with community conservation efforts , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21594, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21594, 2026.

For centuries the Sibillini Mountain Range, in the Italian Apennines, has been inhabited by mysterious legendary tales, celebrated by poems, romances, travel diaries and even scientific investigations. On the top of Mount Sibyl (2,173 mt.) the entrance to a large cave is present, now obstructed: according to the legend it housed the subterranean abode of an oracular Sibyl, a prophetess and seductive queen. Another legend lives on Mount Vettore (2,476 mt.), a different peak raising just a few miles away: there lies a glacial lake, in which the cursed body of Pontius Pilate, the ancient prefect of Judaea, would rest guarded by legions of demons. To them necromancers would have resorted, in past centuries, for the consecration of their grimoires.

Since the late eighteenth century, the two legends have been an object of study for philologists, medievalists, folklorists and other scholars. Research has mainly been conducted on the sibylline legend, considered as an independent tale, in search of a mythical connection to classical Sibyls. However, a correct approach to both legends should be based on the following question: how can the Sibillini Mountain Range host two different, mythically-mighty, mutually-independent legendary tales, on two neighboring peaks?

A new insight on the origin of this legendary tradition has been recently proposed by the author of the present abstract, based on a geomythological approach.

The applied methodology has included a phased analysis specifically designed to address the multi-layered stratification of the legendary material living amid the Sibillini Mountain Range.

The results of the first phase rendered it possible to outline the manifest lineage of the legend of Mount Sibyl from the Matter of Britain, in which a similar character named 'Sibyl' is widely present as a companion and alter ego of Morgan le Fay; at the same time, the well-known medieval origin of the legend of Pontius Pilate and his corpse was fully retraced: a tale that has been narrated in a long series of works since the High Middle Ages, showing that the legend of the Sibillini Mountain Range is the local version of a wider tradition.

The subsequent analysis has cast a specific light on the potential presence of an earlier legendary tradition, marked by a dark hue and significant otherworldly characters. This more ancient narrative was certainly a main attraction factor for the later, medieval legends.

Finally, it clearly appeared that the cave and the lake were fundamental elements in the original, underlying legend, as geographical landmarks and possible access points to some sort of Otherworld in the beliefs of the local populations in antiquity.

As a conclusion, the original legend was conjecturally connected with the peculiar seismic behaviour of the Sibillini Mountain Range, whose territory is recurrently stricken by devastating earthquakes (2016, 1979, 1859, 1730, 1703, 1328, 99 B.C., 268 B.C. and beyond). The presence of a cult of earthquake demons to be appeased was envisaged. This is an unprecedented result, never proposed before by other scholars: a bright instance of mythogenic landscapes, cultural narratives and intangible geoheritage.

How to cite: Sanvico, M.: The Sibillini Mountain Range in Italy: a Disregarded Geoheritage now Unveiled, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2327, 2026.

The 1755 Lisbon earthquake was one of the most powerful and destructive earthquakes in European history. It struck on the morning of All Saints Day around 09:40 local time, with an estimated magnitude of 8 to 9 Mw. The initial violent shaking for 3 to 9 minutes, was followed by a Tsunami 1 hour later.  In Lisbon the height of the tsunami waves is estimated around 5 to 6 meters, but in several coastal areas it may have attained over 15 meters. The disaster destroyed the powerful city of Lisbon and had a profound effect on the European Enlightenment, sparking intense philosophical and theological debates about divine judgment, the problem of evil (theodicy), and human rationality.

The higher historical record of the tsunami has been reported at Penafirme, a small locality at the Oeste Geopark, 50 km N of Lisbon. Detailed written descriptions testify the tsunami advance and the destruction of an Augustinian Order convent at the height of 16m and 700m away from the coastline. Around this place, several myths appeared, related to this geodynamic event.

i) Santa Cruz (Holly Cross) – when the fishermen saw the huge wave coming from the sea, they ran away to embrace and stay all together around a big wooden cross, which miraculously saved them.

ii) Frei Aleixo (Friar Alexis) – considered to be the only victim, this monk tried to escape the tsunami, running uphill over 80m, and dying due to exhaustion at the top, where a limestone cross signs the fatality.

iii) Ilhéu Grande (Big islet) – a small islet once existed close to the convent and local people say that the tsunami brought so much sand that it connected it to land.

iii) Quinta da Areia (Sandy Farm) - the sea surged and stopped near this rich coastal farm and two mermaids were dragged ashore; the farm workers burned the younger mermaid and the mother mermaid told them they would never have luck again, up to the fifth generation; the farm quickly declined and has been abandoned, remaining in ruins until today.

All these local stories and myths testify the importance given by local people to remarkable natural hazards, such as a huge tsunami. These myths and the historical importance of the event and the ruins are a vivid reminder of the importance of geodynamic processes in shaping the landscape and the communities’ traditions at the Oeste UNESCO Global Geopark.

How to cite: Pimentel, N.: Local myths related to the 1755 Tsunami at Penafirme (Oeste Geopark, Portugal), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5984, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5984, 2026.

EGU26-7009 | ECS | Orals | ITS3.4/GM3

When Faults Wriggle.  Geomythological Evidence of a Pre-Hispanic Earthquake in Cusco, Peru 

Andy Combey, Laurence Audin, and Carlos Benavente

Many human communities across the globe have associated seismic activity and ground motion with mythological creatures believed to roam beneath the Earth’s surface. A recurrent expression of this association is the link between snakes and earthquakes in human folklore. In the Americas, the Chumash people of southern California attributed the frequent ground shaking along the San Andreas Fault to the movements of underground serpents. In Patagonia, the struggle between the snakes Trentren and Caicai occupies a central place in Mapuche mythology, embodying tectonic uplifts and subsidence associated with subduction earthquakes. In the central Andes, the amaru, a chthonian, serpent-like deity of pre-Hispanic cosmology, was likewise associated with violent geological or climatic processes, and its appearance was commonly perceived as a rupture in the equilibrium of the world, a pachacuti. In ancient and modern Peru, earthquakes have repeatedly reshaped landscapes and profoundly affected human societies. In the absence of an intelligible pre-Hispanic writing system, indigenous oral traditions, later recorded in colonial chronicles, represent a particularly valuable, yet long underexploited, source for identifying past extreme natural events. These transgenerational memories are nonetheless rooted in empirical environmental knowledge, conveyed through alternative narrative systems.

This contribution proposes a geomythological reinterpretation of a passage from the Relación de antigüedades deste reyno del Piru, written in the mid-seventeenth century by the indigenous author Pachacuti Yamqui Salcamaygua. The chronicle recounts the seemingly fantastic appearance of an amaru above the city of Cusco during the Inca period. Through a cross-analysis of toponymic, geomorphological, and seismological data, we suggest that the underlying event corresponds to a major earthquake during the 15th century CE. The propagation of a surface rupture across the landscape may have been perceived as the sudden emergence of a serpent-like being wriggling over the mountains and leaving an undulating surface trace. If confirmed, this account may represent the oldest seismic event documented by written sources in South America. More broadly, this oral tradition may testify to the strong imprint of earthquakes on the collective memory of Andean societies by transforming a tectonic feature into a mythogenic landscape. Beyond its scientific implications, this geomyth also holds significant potential in terms of geoheritage and geoeducation. Within the framework of a French–Peruvian initiative, this cultural narrative has been adapted into an illustrated book to raise awareness of seismic risk among younger generations.

How to cite: Combey, A., Audin, L., and Benavente, C.: When Faults Wriggle.  Geomythological Evidence of a Pre-Hispanic Earthquake in Cusco, Peru, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7009, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7009, 2026.

EGU26-7929 | Posters on site | ITS3.4/GM3

Quartz and Tourmaline: Light, Electricity, and the Geophysical Roots of Mythogenic Landscapes 

David Martin Freire-Lista and Mark MacCoy

Mythogenic landscapes are environments where geological features and physical processes actively shape myths, beliefs, and cultural imaginaries. This contribution explores the role of mineral-specific physical properties—particularly those of quartz and tourmaline—in the development of symbolic narratives, ritual practices, and geomyths associated with prehistoric landscapes. Quartz and tourmaline are widely documented in archaeological contexts worldwide, including rock art sites, ritual deposits, burials, and ceremonial spaces, suggesting that their cultural significance extends beyond purely utilitarian uses.

Both minerals exhibit remarkable electrical and luminous behaviors. Tourmaline displays strong piezoelectric and pyroelectric properties, generating electric fields, particle attraction, and ash reorientation when subjected to pressure or heat. Quartz, in addition to being piezoelectric, exhibits triboluminescence: the emission of visible light when fractured, struck, or knapped. These effects can produce sparks, flashes, and electrostatic phenomena that are directly observable without specialized technology. In prehistoric contexts—during tool production, rock engraving, or campfire activities—such phenomena may have been perceived as manifestations of vital or solar forces acting within stone.

Ethnographic, linguistic, and archaeological evidence indicates that quartz has been interpreted in several cultures as a “solar stone,” a material associated with light, power, and cosmological significance. The recurrent presence of quartz in ritual and symbolic contexts suggests that its luminous and electrical responses contributed to its mythogenic potential. Similar interpretations can be proposed for tourmaline, whose pyroelectric behavior is reflected in vernacular names such as ash-attractor, pointing to empirical observations of its interaction with fine particles.

This paper argues that these minerals acted as abiotic cultural agents within mythogenic landscapes, mediating between geological processes and human perception. Their physical properties may have inspired solar motifs in rock art, geomyths explaining landscape features, and beliefs linking stone, light, and spiritual power. Such interpretations highlight how geophysical phenomena contributed to intangible geoheritage long before scientific explanations emerged.

By integrating mineral physics, archaeology, and geomythology, this study emphasizes the need to evaluate geoheritage not only for its scientific value but also for its culture-shaping significance. Recognizing the mythogenic role of quartz- and tourmaline-rich landscapes enhances their potential for geoeducation, public engagement, and geotourism, reinforcing the deep and enduring connections between humans and the dynamic Earth.

This publication is part of the grant RYC2023-042760-I, funded by MCIU/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 and ESF+.

How to cite: Freire-Lista, D. M. and MacCoy, M.: Quartz and Tourmaline: Light, Electricity, and the Geophysical Roots of Mythogenic Landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7929, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7929, 2026.

The association of supernatural imagery with elements of the landscape was a common phenomenon in traditional cultures (Piotrowski 2024; Juśkiewicz et al. 2025). This process depends on the cultural context and encompasses two fundamental levels of the relationship between the abiotic environment and humans: symbolic interaction or/and utilitarian interaction. Symbolic interactions shaped the perception and meaning of erratic boulders. Legends (belief narratives) – similar to myths – link the existence of geological objects with the actions of supernatural forces, such as devils or mythically inclined figures, e.g., giants (Motz 1982, 70-71; Lanza, Negrete 2007, 61). Examples of such correlations can be found in Kashubian folk beliefs, where peninsulas were said to have been created by giants known as Stolem (Gulgowski 1911, 169).  In Pomerania, legends associate glacial erratics with both mythological beings (for example giants and devils) and historical figures (Huns, Teutonic Knights, Swedes), who rise to the rank of mythical heroes (Kolberg 1965, 375; Lorentz 2020, 148). Similar phenomena can be observed in other regions of Europe, such as Scandinavia, where rocks and stones were often attributed to the activities of trolls and giants or heroes in England (Oinas 1976, 6-7). A significant number of boulders bear traces of human processing, such as incisions and chisel marks, aimed at breaking the rock or producing millstones. These activities had both functional and symbolic dimensions. Glacial erratics and all forms of human activity associated with them should be regarded as part of geocultural heritage, encompassing both material and immaterial aspects. Their value lies at the intersection of geology and culture. Such an approach reveals their multidimensional semiotic nature. Integrated into the processes of meaning-making and valuation – typical of human world-ordering – they generate representations characteristic of a given culture and historical period. Recognizing glacial erratics as geocultural heritage thus allows us to link natural and cultural landscapes, highlighting their role as tangible markers of human interaction with the environment across time.

Acknowledgements

This paper was conducted as part of two research projects funded by the National Science Centre in Poland (grant No. 023/49/N/HS3/02181 and grant No. 2019/35/B/HS3/03933)

References

Juśkiewicz, W.; Jaszewski, J.; Brykała, D.; Piotrowski, R.; Juśkiewicz, K. B.; Alexander, K.M., 2025. Supernatural beings of Pomerania: postmodern mapping of folkloristic sources. Journal of Maps 21(1). DOI: 10.1080/17445647.2024.2434015

Kolberg, O. 1965. Pomorze, t. 39, Wrocław-Poznań.

Lanza, T.; Negrete A. 2007. From myth to Earth education and science communication. In: Myth and Geology, eds. L. Piccardi and W. B. Masse. Geological Society. Special Publication 273: 61-66.

Lorentz F. 2020. Zarys etnografii kaszubskiej. In: Lorentz F.; Fischer A. Zarys etnografii Kaszub. Gdynia.

Motz, L. 1982. Giants in Folklore and Mythology: A New Approach. Folklore 93(1): 70-84.

Oinas, F.J. 1976. The Finnish and Estonian folk epic. Journal of Baltic Studies 7(1): 1-12.

Piotrowski, R. & Juśkiewicz, W. 2024. Folk Narratives about Water Bodies in the Southern Baltic Lowland: From Geomythological Interpretations to Examples of Symbolic Eco-Symbiosis. Folklore 135(4):534-552. DOI: 10.1080/0015587X.2024.2410055

 

 

How to cite: Piotrowski, R., Brykała, D., and Czubla, P.: Giants, Huns, and the Devil: Geofolklore of Erratic Boulders in the Southern Baltic Lowlands and Their Geocultural Significance, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10470, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10470, 2026.

EGU26-10700 | Posters on site | ITS3.4/GM3

Secondary Use of Millstones and Quernstones as an Example of Historical Circular Economy and Geocultural Heritage 

Dariusz Brykała, Piotr Czubla, Robert Piotrowski, Wojciech Bartz, and Olaf Juschus

Until the early 20th century, the economy operated in a nearly zero-waste manner, where tools and utensils were utilized until they were completely worn out and subsequently repurposed. A prime example of this historical circular economy is the reuse of millstones and quernstones. On the Southern Baltic Lowlands, these objects were often crafted in situ from Pleistocene erratic boulders transported by the Scandinavian ice sheet. Due to their high production costs and durable material, worn-out stones were rarely discarded; instead, they were adapted for new, often symbolic or structural roles.

Beyond their primary function in food production, these stones developed a specific emotional and cultural bond with human communities. In folklore and biblical tradition, the millstone became a powerful symbol of transformation, death, and rebirth. This spiritual dimension is reflected in their widespread use in sacred and funerary contexts. Millstones were commonly repurposed as altars, ciboria, and gravestones in both Christian and Jewish cemeteries. A unique regional phenomenon, particularly prevalent in Northern Poland and Northeastern Germany, was the practice of embedding millstones into the exterior walls of churches, where they served both as construction material and objects of local symbolic significance.

Structurally, the mass and pre-existing axial holes of these stones made them ideal for stabilizing monuments. Historical and archaeological evidence points to their use as foundations and socket-stones for high crosses. In these cases, the stones provided a ready-made anchorage system for large stone or wooden shafts.

In the modern era, these artifacts have transitioned into the realm of geotourism and geoeducation. Often featured in lapidaries or integrated into the small architecture of public parks and private gardens, they continue to document the enduring relationship between human creativity and geological resources. This long-standing practice of stone reuse demonstrates an early mastery of sustainable material management and remains a vital part of our geocultural heritage.

This work was supported by the National Science Centre, Poland (Grant No. 2019/35/B/HS3/03933).

How to cite: Brykała, D., Czubla, P., Piotrowski, R., Bartz, W., and Juschus, O.: Secondary Use of Millstones and Quernstones as an Example of Historical Circular Economy and Geocultural Heritage, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10700, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10700, 2026.

EGU26-14300 | Posters on site | ITS3.4/GM3 | Highlight

Meteoritics and Dante's Inferno: Examining Satan's Fall as an Impact Event  

Timothy Burbery

Dante’s Inferno has been profitably examined in geological terms. Although the landscape traversed by Dante and Virgil springs primarily from the poet’s imagination, it also contains numerous real-world geological events such as earthquakes and landslides. The poet’s Hell is also highly mythologized with copious references to classical myths, since biblical sources say little about the actual features of Hell. This poster builds on geological studies of the poem by considering the geophysical elements of Satan’s fall from Heaven, an event touched on in Jewish and Christian scriptures and paralleled somewhat by the Greek myth of the Titanomachy. Although Dante was not a scientist, he was one of the first persons in history to think through the physical effects of a large mass slamming into the earth at high speed. In Dante’s vision, the devil’s size and velocity are such that when he lands, he instantly creates Hell, a massive, circular, terraced crater that reaches to the center of the earth. This poster will place Dante’s medieval understanding of the physics of this event into conversation with meteoritics and the scientific understanding of impacts such as the K-T event, which destroyed most of the non-avian dinosaurs, and the moon’s possible formation that resulted when a Mars-sized planet (named Theia) collided with the early earth. The modern study of meteors was not firmly established until the 19th century; prior to this point, meteors were seen as merely atmospheric phenomena, and were not connected to rocks falling from the sky. Only after scientific study of the 1833 meteor shower (known today as the Leonids and re-occurring about every 33 years, in the constellation Leo), did astronomers realize that meteors were astronomical events. Dante’s poetic anticipation of some of the insights of meteoritics thus confirms the Inferno as a mythogenic landscape and presents numerous opportunities for geo-education.  

How to cite: Burbery, T.: Meteoritics and Dante's Inferno: Examining Satan's Fall as an Impact Event , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14300, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14300, 2026.

Leigh Franks ORCID 0000-0003-1817-9769

Patrick D Nunn ORCID 0000-0002-3718-614X

Adrian McCallum ORCID 0000-0001-9295-5741

 

Abstract 

 

Australian Indigenous Oral Traditions preserve transgenerational memories of geological (and other environmental) events, including hazardous volcanic activity. Details within these recollections are increasingly being recognised for their potential to inform geoscientists and ethnographers about deep-time landscape evolution and related geological processes. Many traditions recall impactful events that changed or created particular landscape features that are well remembered in Indigenous narratives and are plausibly linked to identified locations. Such stories (or ‘geomythologies’) also may include eye-witness accounts of sea-level rise, meteor impacts, tsunami, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, in some cases dating from the Early Holocene (11.7 ka BP) and possibly earlier. Despite enduring memories of eruptive events in Australia, not all volcanism has associated stories, raising questions about the reasons for why some stories may have survived and others did not.

 

This paper builds on global research into the longevity and accuracy of oral traditions and argues that Australian Aboriginal traditions of volcanism include some of the oldest such narratives of their kind in the world. It also demonstrates how efforts to ‘authenticate’ them (from Western literate-scientific perspectives) can provide a pathway for integrating Indigenous knowledge and academic scientific approaches. This study examines the presence and absence of oral traditions across mapped volcanic provinces and identifies a correlation between story occurrence and areas of geologically recent activity. It also finds a consistent absence of such traditions where eruptive activity is known to predate archaeologically constrained human occupation of the region.

How to cite: Franks, L., Nunn, P., and McCallum, A.: Australian Aboriginal Traditions of volcanism: Ancient recollections of eruptions and their nature, purpose, and contemporary importance., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15309, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15309, 2026.

Erratic boulders are among the most striking geological features left behind by former ice sheets. In Poland, repeated advances and retreats of the Fennoscandian Ice Sheet (FIS) during the Pleistocene resulted in the deposition of thick sequences of clastic sediments and fragments of Scandinavian bedrock of varying sizes, including large erratic boulders. These impressive geological objects are not only valuable archives of past glacial activity, but also play an important role in society, functioning as natural resources, prominent landscape markers, and rich sources of geomythological narratives.

This study examines the distribution and characteristics of large erratic boulders in Poland. These features were identified using published literature, maps, and catalogues of environmentally protected sites, such as registers of natural monuments. A comprehensive GIS database was compiled, incorporating all available information on each boulder, including location, dimensions, petrography, and, where possible, historical background. Many of these erratics possess considerable cultural significance for local communities, giving rise to legends and myths, serving as esoteric or symbolic places, or commemorating important historical events. This contribution presents and discusses the most compelling legends and myths associated with large erratic boulders in Poland.

 

This research was supported by the National Science Centre, Poland (grant numbers 2023/49/N/HS3/02181 and 2022/46/E/ST10/00074).

How to cite: Tylmann, K.: Great Glacial Giants: Erratic Boulders in Poland as Sources of Geomythology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16628, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16628, 2026.

By mapping folklore narratives of the “supernatural” and ritual activities onto the landscape, interdisciplinary research demonstrates that village and estate boundaries embody liminal symbolism, marking thresholds between the “world of the living” and the beyond. Oral traditions concerning apparitions, sacrifices, burials, deaths, and the killing of folkloric beings are particularly concentrated along cadastral and estate boundaries, endowing them with a “supernatural” dimension and preserving traces of Slavic cultic spaces. Interdisciplinary analysis combining folkloristics, anthropology, archaeology, and geodesy further reveals that many old landscape boundaries were marked by Slavic and Christian sacred sites. Historical records and ethnological research also indicate that landscape boundaries were connected with a variety of ritual activities, one of the most interesting being “death resting places.” Several mythical mountains in the landscape of the Slovenian Karst function not only as boundary markers but also as cosmogonic mountains, threatening people with floods from within. Such is the case of the hill named Čuk, where a serpent or devil was believed to control the water inside the hill, and ritual processions were organized to protect the villages below from flooding. Another cosmic mountain is Nanos, which was believed to stand on pillars, and if they were to collapse, the region would be flooded. Drawing on these and similar oral traditions related to specific landscape features, the paper reflects on the meanings that such flood-threatening mountains held in traditional culture.

How to cite: Hrobat Virloget, K.: Mythological landscape of Karst, Slovenia. From the symbolism of boundaries to mountains floods. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22259, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22259, 2026.

EGU26-22418 | Posters on site | ITS3.4/GM3

Heaven and Earth –How Early Geoscientists Inscribed Terrestrial Routes into the Sky 

Kai Wirth and Manfred F. Buchroithner

The contribution approaches early navigation and geography from a historical and interdisciplinary perspective, focusing on the role of the sky as a central reference system for spatial orientation, knowledge transmission and geographic thinking. Examining the Sumerian invention of constellations as "paths" and Isaac Newton's guessings about the sense of ancient Greek constellation design as practical and symbolic tools for navigation, the paper highlights how geographic knowledge was structured and preserved prior to the emergence of standardized cartography. Based upon examples from antiquity, the presentation situates early geographic practices within their cultural and scientific contexts and addresses the close relationship between astronomy and geography in the formation of early geoscientific thinking. The contribution is intended for an interdisciplinary audience and aims to stimulate discussion on the historical foundations of spatial knowledge and navigation.

How to cite: Wirth, K. and Buchroithner, M. F.: Heaven and Earth –How Early Geoscientists Inscribed Terrestrial Routes into the Sky, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22418, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22418, 2026.

EGU26-22790 | Orals | ITS3.4/GM3

Mewlen, tornadoes and waterspouts in Chile: a situated geomythological perspective  

Roberto Rondanelli, Cristian Bastías-Curivil, María Ignacia Silva, and Reynaldo Charrier

The May 2019 tornado outbreak in south-central Chile abruptly reinserted tornadoes and waterspouts into public awareness, surprising both the population and parts of the atmospheric-science community. Yet historical sources indicate that these phenomena are not new in Chile, and Mapuche oral traditions preserve long-standing interpretations and practical orientations toward severe storms. Here we develop a situated geomythology framework to examine Mapuche narratives concerning the mewlen/meulén (tornado/whirlwind beings) as forms of situated knowledge (inarrumen) produced in specific territories and transmitted through oral, ritual, linguistic, and toponymic practices. Rather than reducing myth to a distorted chronicle that must be validated by a single "true" geophysical event, we analyze how narratives generate () observational resonances with physical processes and (ii) relational efficacy that guides action, memory, and care within communities. Drawing on colonial and republican written records (including early literary mentions), ethnographic archives, and contemporary references, we identify recurring descriptions of tornado behavior — cyclonic rotation, preferred approach directions, afternoon timing, and gradations of intensity — that are consistent with modern meteorological characterizations of tornadic convection. We further show that place names and vernacular uses of mewlen/meulén variants function as landscape-anchored markers of hazard memory and local prudential norms.

We argue that periods of institutional skepticism regarding tornado occurrence in Chile contributed to scarce systematic observations and delayed risk awareness, particularly in territories historically inhabited by Mapuche communities. Integrating historical–cultural evidence with meteorological perspectives can strengthen tornado climatologies in data-sparse regions and support risk communication that respects epistemic plurality while improving preparedness for rare but high-impact convective hazards.

 

How to cite: Rondanelli, R., Bastías-Curivil, C., Silva, M. I., and Charrier, R.: Mewlen, tornadoes and waterspouts in Chile: a situated geomythological perspective , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22790, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22790, 2026.

EGU26-3116 | Orals | MAL29-GM | Ralph Alger Bagnold Medal Lecture

Concepts to close the circle between 21st century biogeomorphology, higher education and societal impact 

Maarten Kleinhans

Rivers, deltas and coasts have dynamic patterns of sand, mud and vegetation. These patterns are colourful, energetic, alive, important to, and affected by, societies on Earth. In contrast, the remains of rivers and deltas on planet Mars tell a story of a dry, frozen and probably lifeless planet. For meaningful research, not only novel scientific methods are needed, but also the concepts enabling ourselves and our students to enhance our learning and societal application. We must and can do better in closing the circle between science, diversifying impact activities and educating the students. Our alumni could accomplish so much more if only they knew how.

Replicating and studying the dynamic patterns of river meandering and shallow estuaries in scale experiments (in my tidal flume www.uu.nl/metronome) has been challenging, not only because of the usual scaling problems. Representing such systems in scale experiments requires that we include a minimum set of processes and dynamic boundary conditions that allow a (quasi-)steady state to develop with the target patterns and behaviours. I will show how a complex biogeomorphic systems approach led to beautiful dynamic meandering rivers and estuaries in our lab. Our scale experiments play an unexpectedly large role in education and impact in showing tangibly how the rivers, estuaries and coastal plains developed and what this may mean for their management.

I will then take a step back and critically question what and how we are learning as experimenters and modellers. I learned about how we learn and how we can improve our learning and teaching by using concepts from philosophy of science on causality in complex systems, material modelling and representation of the world. I will focus on some academic thinking skills and societal literacy skills that are often underemphasized in education but fundamental to 21st century geomorphology with societal impact.

Third, societal use of, and interactions with, biogeomorphic systems pose challenges: the combination of accelerating climate crisis, historic land use change and intensifying economic activities deteriorate ecosystems and increase droughts, flooding and land loss. Ideally, societal responses to the climate and biodiversity crises are based on systems understanding on a timescale of years to centuries. Many scientists are hampered by taking either an activist position or an ‘objective’ or at least ‘neutral’ academic position, while there are 50 shades of green in between them. Merely ‘neutrally’ informing public and policymakers, as a sender, is ineffective because they, the receivers, have interests, perspectives and usually a lack of academic knowledge. Being an activist is also not often effective and may raise questions about the legitimacy of our science. How do we navigate these roles? I will show how I, in transdisciplinary teamwork, am learning to navigate the positionality of ‘neutral scientist’, educator, agent of change and political lobbyist, boldly stumbling where others have stumbled before.

How to cite: Kleinhans, M.: Concepts to close the circle between 21st century biogeomorphology, higher education and societal impact, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3116, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3116, 2026.

EGU26-2198 | Orals | GM1.1 | GM Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture

Cryosphere-fed rivers 

Dongfeng Li

Cryosphere-fed rivers drain glacier, snow, and permafrost landscapes and are characterized by glacial, nival, pluvial and mixed hydrological regimes. Such river systems originate from high-mountain areas and polar regions, and transport water, sediment, nutrients, and organic carbon downstream, underpinning the freshwater and coastal ecosystems and supporting the lives of more than one-third of the world's population. In response to the amplified climate change, accelerating glacier-snow melt and permafrost thaw, the cryosphere-fed rivers are overall becoming warmer, wider and muddier associated with markedly increasing river turbidity and suspended sediment concentrations. In this talk, I will present the observed and modelled changes in cryosphere-fed rivers and examine their implications for channel mobility and the carbon cycle across both High Mountain Asia and the pan-Arctic. To better assess the impacts of changing climate on the functions and services of river ecosystems in strategically important cold regions, I highlight the pressing need to integrate multiple-sourced river observations, to develop empirical, physics-based, and AI-based river flux models, and to promote interdisciplinary scientific collaboration. The innovative system approach would best come from the creation of an interdisciplinary collaborative initiative, where geomorphologists, climatologists, ecologists, glaciologists, permafrost scientists, hydrologists, and civil engineers work together to establish an integrated cryosphere-water-sediment-carbon-ecology observation platform that facilitates the mechanism understanding and development of novel and powerful models. Furthermore, dialogues and collaboration between international scientists, stakeholders, local communities, and policymakers would help to bridge the gaps between state-of-the-art scientific findings and practicable adaptation strategies.

How to cite: Li, D.: Cryosphere-fed rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2198, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2198, 2026.

The hydrological response of a basin is fundamentally controlled by geomorphic processes, structures, and physiographic characteristics. Horton’s geomorphological laws, basin topology, and kinematic properties have long been employed to derive flood response in ungauged basins through various Geomorphological Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (GIUH) frameworks. This study investigates ten ungauged tributary sub-basins of the Shilabati River in eastern India to analyse how basin morphometry and topology regulate travel-time distribution of water particles and flash-flood potential. The Width Function Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (WFIUH), a GIUH variant, is applied to derive the geomorphological control on peak flow and time to peak, while the morphometric analysis is performed to investigate the effect of basin characteristics on these hydrologic response parameters. The WFIUH is obtained using the flow length extracted from the SRTM DEM, together with spatially variable and fixed hillslope velocities estimated from land use-land cover and slope using the Soil Conservation Services (SCS), uniform-flow, and Manning’s velocity formulae. Due to the absence of observed streamflow, WFIUH results are evaluated against the Geomorpho-climatic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (GcIUH) derived from climate-dependent channel velocity and drainage network topology, as well as observed flood events. 
Results show that all variable-velocity WFIUHs have longer time bases and a lower peak flow than fixed-velocity WFIUHs, because the highest velocity cells are associated with the smallest drainage contributing areas. The SCS-based variable velocity WFIUH aligns with the GcIUH, reproducing both the peak flow and time to peak of the IUH more accurately compared to the other methods. Small, circular, and comparatively steeper sub-basins exhibit shorter times to peak (8.5-10.5 hours), indicating a high flash-flood potential, mainly in sub-basins 3-6. On the contrary, elongated and well-bifurcated sub-basins reveal slightly delayed peaks (10.5-15.5 h) but remain capable of producing moderate-to-high floods due to their larger drainage areas, as confirmed by the flash flood event in 2025 in sub-basins 1, 8-10. Correlation analysis reveals that circularity ratio, relief ratio, and hypsometric integral are positively associated with peak flow, suggesting enhanced flow synchronization in compact and steep sub-basins. In contrast, time to peak shows moderate to strong negative correlations with these parameters and positive correlations with stream length and bifurcation ratios, indicating delayed response in elongated and highly branched drainage networks due to dispersed flow paths.
Therefore, basin morphometry and drainage network topology effectively govern hydrologic responses of the sub-basins. The spatially variable SCS velocity-based WFIUH provides a more realistic depiction of hydrologic response in ungauged sub-basins. Hence, this method is well-suited for event-based lumped hydrological modelling as well as for sub-basin prioritization in flash flood risk assessment.

How to cite: Das, T. and Das, S.: Geomorphic controls on flood response using the Width Function Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph framework , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-570, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-570, 2026.

EGU26-2250 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Feasibility of Action Camera-Based Videogrammetry for Multi-Temporal 3D Monitoring of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters 

Valentina Martínez Olmedo, Ana Margarida Bento, Marcos Arza-García, and José Alberto Gonçalves

Coastal protection infrastructures such as rubble-mound breakwaters (RMBs) demand frequent geometric inspection to quantify armor-layer dynamics and support reproducible structural monitoring. While UAV-based photogrammetry and LiDAR are established reference techniques for rapid 3D mapping, high revisit rates remain operationally constrained by wind sensitivity, sensor payload limits, and regulatory flight restrictions. Videogrammetry complements these approaches by increasing inter-frame overlap and mitigating missed-trigger acquisitions, especially useful in complex coastal scenes (e.g., those affected by occlusions between armor units and block interstices). As in conventional photogrammetry, videogrammetry relies on image redundancy and self-calibration rather than highly sophisticated instrumentation. Despite this potential, consumer-grade action cameras remain scarcely validated for multi-epoch 3D monitoring in coastal engineering, mainly due to wide-angle lens distortion and coarse onboard GNSS geotag precision.

This study assesses pole-mounted GoPro videogrammetry for multi-temporal 3D relative change detection in the emerged portions of a detached rubble-mound breakwater at Cabedelo do Douro (PT). Two survey epochs were acquired in July 2024 and November 2024 to characterize the above-water zone, inspecting the seaward slope, the landward armor-toe transition, and the horizontal crest platform segment at one of the heads of the RMB. Frames were extracted at 1 Hz and processed in Metashape using an SfM-MVS (Structure-from-Motion Multi-View Stereo) self-calibrating camera model. Multi-epoch point clouds were coregistered in CloudCompare with ICP (Iterative Closest Point) refinement over stable crest and toe areas, and 3D changes were quantified using M3C2 (Multiscale Model-to-Model Cloud Comparison), generating signed distance maps and detection histograms. A concurrent UAV-RTK survey, supported by additional GNSS-measured ground control points (GCPs), served as a geometric benchmark.

Mean ActionCam-to-UAV sensor offsets were +0.06 m, confirming that, despite potentially unstable absolute georeferencing in GoPro-derived reconstructions, the resulting point clouds preserve sufficient geometric and scale consistency to support relative multi-temporal 3D change detection and the identification of concrete armor-unit displacements. Results confirm that pole-mounted videogrammetry supports rapid, repeatable, low-cost SHM (Structural Health Monitoring) observations, providing defensible detection thresholds and reproducible change-detection limits for engineering interpretation and maintenance support.

How to cite: Martínez Olmedo, V., Bento, A. M., Arza-García, M., and Gonçalves, J. A.: Feasibility of Action Camera-Based Videogrammetry for Multi-Temporal 3D Monitoring of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2250, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2250, 2026.

EGU26-5775 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Fully Automated Unsupervised Machine Learning Framework for Mapping Erosion Hotspots in Quick Clay Areas Using Remote Sensing–Derived Data 

Orkun Türe, Rui Tao, Jean-Sébastien L’Heureux, Emir Ahmet Oguz, and Ankit Tyagi

Quick clays are fine-grained, highly sensitive marine deposits that are widespread across formerly glaciated regions, including Norway, Sweden, Finland, and Canada. The low remoulded strength of the quick clays makes them particularly susceptible to extensive retrogressive landslides, which pose serious challenges to society. Erosion is recognized as one of the most important pre-conditioning and triggering factor for quick clay landslide. Therefore, identification of the erosion hotspots is essential for understanding landslide initiation processes and for effective hazard mitigation in quick clay terrains. Machine learning has emerged as an effective tool for erosion hotspot mapping, allowing complex spatial patterns and nonlinear interactions among erosion-controlling factors to be identified from remote sensing–derived data. Recent studies have demonstrated that Deep Neural Networks can be effectively employed to identify erosion-prone zones in quick clay environments when sufficient labelled data are available. This study investigates whether unsupervised machine learning applied to remote sensing–derived data can effectively identify erosion hotspots in quick clay areas. A fully automated, Python-based workflow was developed for erosion hotspot mapping in quick clay areas using remote sensing–derived data. The dataset includes terrain, hydrological, environmental, and anthropogenic parameters relevant to erosion and slope instability. Initially, a total of twenty input parameters were considered. Pearson correlation coefficients were computed to assess inter-feature dependencies, and principal component analysis (PCA) was employed to evaluate feature importance. The unsupervised analysis was performed using multiple clustering techniques to capture different structural characteristics of the data where each cluster represents a distinct level of erosion susceptibility. The results suggest that the proposed unsupervised framework can effectively delineate erosion hotspots in quick clay areas and constitutes an initial step toward the development of early warning systems.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by the Research Council of Norway through the SAFERCLAY project (Grant No. 352887). Orkun Türe was supported by the Council of Higher Education of Türkiye under the DOSAP scholarship programme and served as a visiting researcher at NGI and NTNU.

How to cite: Türe, O., Tao, R., L’Heureux, J.-S., Oguz, E. A., and Tyagi, A.: Fully Automated Unsupervised Machine Learning Framework for Mapping Erosion Hotspots in Quick Clay Areas Using Remote Sensing–Derived Data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5775, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5775, 2026.

EGU26-5929 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Controls on the size and mobility of deep-seated landslides in the North Tanganyika - Kivu Rift region, Africa 

Toussaint Mugaruka Bibentyo, Antoine Dille, Axel Deijns, Charles Nzolang, Stijn Dewaele, and Olivier Dewitte

The size and mobility of landslides control their impact on both landscapes and communities. Despite their importance to understanding landslide mechanisms and associated hazards, few studies have examined the factors controlling these two characteristics, particularly at a large scale. This is especially the case for deep-seated landslides that occur across diverse geomorphological and lithological settings. Further, most research focuses on recent landslides and thus fail to consider historical processes that could be associated with environmental conditions that differ from the contemporary ones. Here, we investigate the influence of geomorphology and lithology on the size and mobility of old and recent deep-seated landslides in the North Tanganyika-Kivu Rift region in Africa, an under-researched mountainous environment located in the tropics. Based on a comprehensive inventory of ~2500 landslides, we show that mobility increases with size, especially for the old landslides. These old landslides are significantly larger than the recent ones, likely due to potential progressive landslide growth over time and  influenced by the region’s paleoseismic activity. The main controls on both the size and mobility of deep-seated landslides are lithology and, to a lesser extent, fluctuations in Lake Kivu’s level during the Holocene. Landscape rejuvenation by migrating knickpoints associated with rifting also plays a key role in determining landslide size: in rejuvenated landscapes, landslides tend to be larger than those in relict landscapes. The presence of these large landslides favours the development of smaller ones along their margins, reflecting the influence of path dependency on landslide occurrence and size. Our findings underscore the importance of considering the chronology of landslide occurrence and the long-term legacy of landscape evolution in shaping landslide characteristics.

How to cite: Mugaruka Bibentyo, T., Dille, A., Deijns, A., Nzolang, C., Dewaele, S., and Dewitte, O.: Controls on the size and mobility of deep-seated landslides in the North Tanganyika - Kivu Rift region, Africa, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5929, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5929, 2026.

EGU26-6006 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

High-energy sediment dynamics in ephemeral Andean mountain streams: The case of Río Seco, Peru 

Lenin Rosales Torres and María Cárdenas-Gaudry

Ephemeral mountain streams on the western Andean slopes remain dry most of the year, yet during intense rainfall events they generate short-lived flash floods with exceptionally high sediment transport capacity. This study investigates the hydraulic response of the upper Río Seco micro-basin (Huaycoloro catchment, Peru) under extreme rainfall scenarios, using a hydraulic–geomorphological framework that links surface hydrology with sediment mobility thresholds. Design discharges were estimated through IDF-based rainfall analysis and classical hydrological methods, while sectional hydraulic modelling using the Manning equation provided flow velocities and bed shear stresses along representative channel reaches. Results indicate mean velocities ranging from 2.4 to 3.4 m/s and shear stresses up to 215 Pa. These values exceed the critical shear stress of the coarse gravel bed by more than five times, indicating generalized sediment mobility and strong incision potential in confined steep reaches. Such conditions promote significant sediment supply from the upper basin, increasing the likelihood of downstream channel aggradation and flood hazard in peri-urban sectors of eastern Lima. To our knowledge, this is the first hydraulic–geomorphological quantification of sediment mobility thresholds in an arid Andean micro-basin under design-storm conditions. The findings provide quantitative evidence supporting the need to transition from purely water-based flood models toward sediment-inclusive risk assessments in steep ephemeral mountain catchments.

How to cite: Rosales Torres, L. and Cárdenas-Gaudry, M.: High-energy sediment dynamics in ephemeral Andean mountain streams: The case of Río Seco, Peru, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6006, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6006, 2026.

Flood-prone small mountainous catchments hosting critical infrastructure, such as bridges and transport networks, require integrated hydrologic–hydraulic analyses to ensure long-term resilience under changing climatic and land-use conditions. This study develops a coupled HEC-HMS–HEC-RAS modelling framework to quantify design discharges, inundation patterns and local hydraulic controls for the torrential stream crossing the settlement of Kato Nevrokopi in Northern Greece. Using high-resolution topographic data (DEM), GIS-based basin delineation and long-term rainfall records, design storms for multiple return periods are derived and transformed into flood hydrographs at the catchment outlet. These hydrographs force 1D steady-flow simulations in HEC-RAS, explicitly representing bridges, piers and local constrictions that act as morphodynamic bottlenecks and potential failure points under extreme flows. Model results are used to generate flood extent and water-depth maps for events up to the 1,000-year return period, identify critical cross-sections where afflux and backwater effects are most pronounced, and assess the effectiveness of alternative layout and channel-training configurations. The analysis is framed within the current EU Floods Directive 2007/60/EC and Greek legislation for stream delineation, linking quantitative hazard metrics to planning constraints and infrastructure design requirements. The work highlights how relatively simple, openly available tools, when combined with detailed geometric representation of bridges and channel morphology, can support evidence-based decisions on flood protection works, minimise over-engineering, and improve the adaptive management of critical infrastructure in steep, data-scarce basins.

How to cite: Pavlidis, K. and Valyrakis, M.: Hydrologic-hydraulic modelling and flood hazard mapping for infrastructure resilience in a small mountainous catchment on Northern Greece, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7986, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7986, 2026.

EGU26-8868 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Natural Riverbed Stability in a Small-to-Medium-Sized Mountainous River: A Baseline Investigation of the Qin River Prior to the Pinglu Canal Construction 

Supeng Zhu, Jian Sun, Changgen Liu, Lihua Chen, and Wenzhou Chen

The construction of mega-canals necessitates a profound understanding of the pre-existing fluvial equilibrium to mitigate adverse geomorphic consequences, particularly in rivers with limited channel capacity. This study focuses on the intrinsic stability mechanisms of the Qin River, a typical small-to-medium-sized mountainous river in South China, prior to the implementation of the Pinglu Canal project. Field surveys and sediment analyses were conducted to characterise the natural bed state, with a focus on a morphologically representative reach. The findings indicate that the riverbed has historically maintained a strong dynamic equilibrium, supported by lateral confinement from riparian vegetation and natural armor processes unique to mountainous fluvial regimes, which are derived from tributary inputs. The analysis reveals that specific hydrodynamic thresholds and sediment connectivity are essential for maintaining this stability. Therefore, rather than hydraulic stress alone, the system's main vulnerability is determined to be the possible disruption of these established equilibrium conditions, particularly with regard to geological substrate constraints and longitudinal continuity. These results establish a scientific standard for assessing the potential disturbance risks of canalization in delicate mountainous river systems by providing a critical morphodynamic baseline.

How to cite: Zhu, S., Sun, J., Liu, C., Chen, L., and Chen, W.: Natural Riverbed Stability in a Small-to-Medium-Sized Mountainous River: A Baseline Investigation of the Qin River Prior to the Pinglu Canal Construction, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8868, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8868, 2026.

EGU26-10337 | Posters virtual | VPS26

ArtPOP - Automated RecogniTion of Palynomorphs and Organic sedimentary Particles  

Kasia K. Śliwińska and Nikolai Andrianov

The traditional workflow in palynology begins with the removal of rock minerals through acid digestion and heavy liquid separation, followed by mounting the organic residue on a glass slide, and analysing it under a transmitted light microscope. Using the microscope, palynologists manually identify and assign the observed particles to predefined categories within a designated counting area on each slide. Counting typically continues until a target number of particles has been reached (often between 200 to 300).

Beyond the commonly analysed palynomorphs such as pollen, spores, and dinoflagellate cysts, palynological slides may also contain a diverse range of acid resistant organic sedimentary particles, including freshwater algae, phytoclasts, amorphous organic matter, and many others. Examining the full spectrum of these particles is known as palynofacies analysis. It is one of the most powerful methods for reconstructing depositional environments in sedimentary rocks, as it relies on the distribution and relative abundances of these particles.

However, traditional counting methods for palynological and palynofacies analysis present several limitations. The counting area is rarely defined with precision, making it difficult to reproduce analyses. As a result, if any annotations need to be corrected, the entire counting workflow must be repeated. A particularly challenging aspect is the objective estimation of particles such as amorphous organic matter or phytoclasts, which are always fragmented and do not exist as discrete entities. Moreover, identification accuracy can vary substantially between analysts depending on experience, introducing challenges for reproducibility, comparability, and integration across datasets.

Digitizing palynological slides offers a promising opportunity to reduce subjectivity and personal bias by enabling particle annotation directly on high resolution digital images. This approach also supports iterative analysis, allowing annotations to be updated or refined without repeating the microscopy workflow. Through the ArtPOP project, we aim to develop objective, widely applicable annotation tool that enhance the robustness of paleoenvironmental reconstructions and facilitate integration across diverse palynological datasets. In this presentation, we provide an overview of challenges and advantages associated with digitizing the palynological workflow. We also present our preliminary results of the AI-augmented annotation of selected sedimentary particles.

How to cite: Śliwińska, K. K. and Andrianov, N.: ArtPOP - Automated RecogniTion of Palynomorphs and Organic sedimentary Particles , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10337, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10337, 2026.

EGU26-10713 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Delayed carbon-cycle stabilization and ecological recovery across the K/Pg boundary: evidence from the Um Sohryngkew River section, Meghalaya (India) 

Subham Patra, Jahnavi Punekar, Priyeshu Srivastava, Suman Rawat, Arun Bhadran, and Drishya Girishbai

The Cretaceous–Paleogene (K/Pg) mass extinction represents one of the most severe crises in Earth history, with marked regional variations in the tempo of pre- and post-extinction environmental stress and ecological recovery. The Um Sohryngkew River (USR) section of Meghalaya (NE India) provides a unique perspective on stress and recovery dynamics in a marine setting proximal to the Deccan Traps. This study integrates planktonic foraminiferal assemblage data with sedimentological observations and bulk-carbonate δ13C measurements to reconstruct the nature and duration of marine stress and to constrain the timing of ecological and carbon-cycle recovery in the eastern Tethyan realm. This integrated, high-resolution multi-proxy approach was previously lacking for this Deccan-proximal archive, and provides a critical constraint on how volcanogenic forcing modulated K/Pg stress and recovery at regional to global scales.

The late Maastrichtian record at USR indicates highly stressed surface-ocean conditions. Planktonic assemblages are dominated by small opportunistic taxa, particularly Guembelitria cretacea (>80%), with strong dwarfing, dominance of thin-walled morphotypes, poor preservation, and a near absence of heavily calcified taxa (e.g., Pseudotextularia spp., Globotruncana spp.). These assemblage and preservation features point to sustained calcification stress and unfavourable conditions for carbonate production in surface waters, consistent with enhanced nutrient input and surface-water acidification under intensified continental weathering/runoff and volcanogenic CO2 emissions. Following the K/Pg boundary, planktonic foraminiferal abundance (4 tests/g) and diversity remained markedly suppressed through the early Danian. The post-boundary interval is similarly characterised by persistent dominance of small opportunistic taxa (>30%; e.g., Guembelitria spp. and Chiloguembelina spp.) and continued dwarfing, indicating sustained calcification stress and hindered ecosystem rebuilding. Bulk-carbonate δ13C indicates delayed carbon-cycle recovery, beginning only after ~750 kyr at USR compared to ~200–300 kyr at many distal sites. Ecological recovery lagged further, with low diversity and small test sizes persisting for ~2 Myr until biozone P1c, indicating decoupling between carbon-cycle recovery and biological reorganization under continued environmental forcing.

The first robust evidence for ecological improvement appears in planktonic foraminiferal biozone P1c, where assemblages become more diverse and better preserved, test sizes increase, and morphogroup proportions stabilise. These changes suggest improved conditions for calcification, progressive strengthening of the pelagic carbonate system, and a more efficient biological pump. By biozones P1c–P2, community structure indicates that ecological balance was largely restored, and carbonate production increased steadily towards a better-developed carbonate-factory environment. Comparison with global K/Pg records suggests that recovery mechanisms in the USR section broadly mirror global ecological and biogeochemical feedbacks, but their timing is substantially delayed relative to distal sections. Importantly, similar evidence for prolonged stress and delayed recovery has also been documented from the Krishna–Godavari Basin of southern India, supporting a coherent regional pattern in marine environments proximal to the Deccan Traps. Together, these Deccan-proximal records highlight strong spatial heterogeneity in post-K/Pg recovery trajectories, including a delayed return to stable carbon cycling, carbonate production, and ecosystem structure.

How to cite: Patra, S., Punekar, J., Srivastava, P., Rawat, S., Bhadran, A., and Girishbai, D.: Delayed carbon-cycle stabilization and ecological recovery across the K/Pg boundary: evidence from the Um Sohryngkew River section, Meghalaya (India), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10713, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10713, 2026.

EGU26-11678 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Rare-event detection of incipient sediment motion from smart-particle time series using deep learning 

Ilias Mavris and Manousos Valyrakis


Incipient sediment motion in turbulent flows remains difficult to characterize and predict because the underlying hydrodynamic forces are highly intermittent and events are sparse in time, even in well-controlled experiments. This study investigates whether temporal deep-learning architectures can detect the onset of particle motion directly from high-frequency velocity time series measured by an instrumented “smart sphere” [1, 2], without explicit force or torque measurements. The workflow includes detrending and cleaning of raw signals, physics-informed signal transforms (e.g. smoothed velocity, acceleration, jerk, and kinematic impulse proxies), segmentation with sliding windows, and supervised training of temporal deep-learning architectures, including recurrent, convolutional, and attention-based models, using class-imbalance mitigation such as focal loss, class weighting, and data augmentation.
Hyperparameter optimization is performed automatically with Optuna, and model performance is assessed using ROC and precision–recall curves, confusion matrices and time-resolved prediction performance. Results show that all tested architectures can learn consistent kinematic signatures preceding incipient motion from single-axis velocity time series, with models incorporating attention mechanisms achieving the highest recall on rare motion-onset events, consistent with their ability to focus on intermittent, high-magnitude kinematic bursts preceding entrainment. These findings demonstrate that deep learning applied to smart-particle sensor data can provide an efficient, non-intrusive tool for particle-scale sediment transport monitoring and real-time–capable event detection. The approach is directly relevant to the session’s focus on particle-scale transport mechanics and data-driven upscaling, and opens avenues for integrating deep-learning-based event detection into multi-scale sediment transport models in geophysical and engineered flows.

References
[1] Al-Obaidi, K., Xu, Y., & Valyrakis, M. (2020). The design and calibration of instrumented particles for assessing water infrastructure hazards. Journal of Sensor and Actuator Networks, 9(3), 36.
[2] AlObaidi, K., & Valyrakis, M. (2021). Linking the explicit probability of entrainment of instrumented particles to flow hydrodynamics. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 46(12), 2448-2465.

How to cite: Mavris, I. and Valyrakis, M.: Rare-event detection of incipient sediment motion from smart-particle time series using deep learning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11678, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11678, 2026.

EGU26-12124 | Posters virtual | VPS26

Seasonal variability at the onset of the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age: insights from Gigantoproductus shells 

Gaia Crippa, Lucia Angiolini, Karem Azmy, Enrico Cannaò, Eamon Doyle, Giovanna Della Porta, John Murray, Michael O’Connell, Marco Viaretti, and David A.T. Harper

Understanding transformations of the climate system in the geological past is essential for predicting and mitigating the effects of global climate change in the next future. The geological record provides a unique archive that documents long-term fluctuations of environmental variables, including seasonality. Seasonality appears to have played a crucial role in extreme climate transitions, highlighting the importance of constraining its variability in the past. Increased seasonality is often associated with colder conditions and the development of ice accumulations, making it a key parameter for understanding and forecasting climate change.

Species of the brachiopod Gigantoproductus are giants within the Palaeozoic sedentary benthos, characterised by exceptional size and thick shells, reaching over 30 cm in width and more than 1 cm in shell thickness. These features make them unparalleled bioarchives for palaeoecological and palaeoclimatic reconstructions, enabling the investigation of long-term changes during key intervals of past climate change.

In this study, specimens of Gigantoproductus semiglobosus from upper Visean (Mississippian, Carboniferous) successions of western Ireland (Aran Islands and the Burren) were subjected to detailed diagenetic screening and subsequently analysed using a sclerochemical approach (δ18O, δ13C). These analyses were used to reconstruct seasonal variability and to provide additional evidence for the timing of Mississippian phases of the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age (LPIA).

Our results show that δ18O profiles from well-preserved shells record high seasonal variations (Δδ18O = 0.9 to 1.9 ‰ corresponding to a ΔT = 4 to 11 °C) for palaeoequatorial settings, as also observed in coeval species of Gigantoproductus from the UK (Angiolini et al., 2019). This seasonal variation is much higher than that recorded in comparable shallow water, low latitude environments both nowadays and in the distant past. The pronounced seasonality recorded by several species of Gigantoproductus from western Ireland and the UK at low palaeolatitudes supports the onset of a sustained Gondwanan glaciation in the late Visean. Also, the palaeogeographic distribution of the species of Gigantoproductus and the geochemical composition of their shells indicate that low-latitude Mississippian ocean waters did not experience a temperature decrease at the onset of the Gondwanan glaciation, but rather a marked increase in seasonal variability.

Overall, this study highlights the importance of resolving long-term changes in seasonality, using fossil carbonate shells as palaeoclimatic archives during different intervals of climate change, in both the recent and distant past, to better understand and predict long-term transformations of the climate system.

 

 

References

Angiolini et al. (2019). The giants of the phylum Brachiopoda: a matter of diet? Palaeontology, Vol. 62, Part 6, pp. 889–917

How to cite: Crippa, G., Angiolini, L., Azmy, K., Cannaò, E., Doyle, E., Della Porta, G., Murray, J., O’Connell, M., Viaretti, M., and Harper, D. A. T.: Seasonal variability at the onset of the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age: insights from Gigantoproductus shells, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12124, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12124, 2026.

EGU26-15851 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Geomorphological controls on the persistence and extent of Landfast Sea Ice in James Bay Region 

Debangshu Banerjee, Kaushik Gupta, and Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Bathymetry plays a critical role in determining the occurrence and stability of landfast sea ice, although its seasonal impact on sub-Arctic ice-covered shelves has yet to be thoroughly quantified and understood. Our study explores the ways in which nearshore bathymetry and coastal topography influence the spatial distribution, seasonal persistence, and variability of landfast sea ice, with an emphasis on shallow embayments of James Bay. Our hypothesis suggests that factors like coastal orientation and bathymetry provide extent and stability to the landfast sea ice in the James Bay region, rather than being exclusively governed by marine and atmospheric factors. Using satellite-derived observations of landfast sea-ice delineations, regional bathymetric datasets, and information on coastal geomorphological configuration, this analysis will quantify statistical relationships among the landfast-ice edge extent and persistence metrics with the bathymetric thresholds and coastal orientations. Initial findings indicate that recurrent landfast ice extents are larger and their persistence is higher when there is a shallow water column, undulating bathymetry with mounds, and/or offshore features. Our observations support the hypothesis that bathymetry plays a crucial role in determining the presence and stability of landfast sea ice. By explicitly correlating bathymetry and geomorphology with landfast ice phenology and stability indicators, our research aims to advance both conceptual and quantitative understandings within coastal ice modelling frameworks and refine projections concerning the response of landfast sea ice to ongoing Arctic amplification and climate change.

How to cite: Banerjee, D., Gupta, K., and Mukhopadhyay, A.: Geomorphological controls on the persistence and extent of Landfast Sea Ice in James Bay Region, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15851, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15851, 2026.

EGU26-17175 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Physical geomorphometry: From a concept to practical applications 

Anton Popov and Jozef Minár

Physical geomorphometry is young way that describe land surface morphology through gravitational energy and mass and energy movement. Unlike statistical and general geomorphometric approaches, physical geomorphometry bridging land surface characteristics and fundamental physical processes allows to interpret geomorphological primitives from genetic point of view. In this study we incorporated latest achievements of physical geomorphometry concept to demonstrate a transition from theoretical aspects to practical applications of the concept.

In the research we applied a set of physical geomorphometric (PG) indices that describes landform development from different points of view. Moreover, we used a modified algorithm of physically based elementary land-surface segmentation algorithm that integrates dynamic least-squares DEM generalization with object-based image analysis. The method is evaluated across contrasting environments, including glacial and karst landscapes, and is further extended to marine settings for seabed landform classification. Key contribution is the application of PG signature concept that unify the set of PG indices and therefore quantitatively describes landforms based on the balance and magnitude of geomorphic energies.

Our results demonstrate that the approach allows us to obtain genetically interpretable landforms both in terrestrial and submarine landscapes. Physical geomorphometric signature is highly effective in landform groups comparison and detection of each group’s potential affinity to development i.e. their disequilibrium. It also helped us to define transitional forms of landforms that are usually overlooked by general geomorphological methods.

Overall, the work highlights robustness and applicability of the concept of physical geomorphometry in various application in geosciences and beyond, that was partially demonstrated in the research.

How to cite: Popov, A. and Minár, J.: Physical geomorphometry: From a concept to practical applications, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17175, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17175, 2026.

EGU26-19944 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

FROM CATCHMENT TO CHANNEL: HIGH-PERFORMANCE PARALLEL MODELING OF SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN THE TEL RIVER BASIN USING ANUGA Sed 

Akshay Vyankat Dahiwale, Upasana Dutta, Yogesh Kumar Singh, Girishchandra Yendargaye, T S Murugesh Prabhu, and Sekhar Muddu

The Tel River, a major tributary of the Mahanadi River in eastern India, exhibits strong spatial and temporal variability in flow and sediment dynamics due to its monsoon-driven hydrology, heterogeneous terrain, and increasing human interventions. Soil erosion and sediment transport, although naturally driven by rainfall and surface runoff, have been significantly altered by agriculture, urbanization, and water management structures, leading to changes in soil loss, sedimentation, and degradation of water resources. Therefore, in this study, the production of soil erosion in the Tel River Basin is estimated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), while riverine sediment transport is simulated using ANUGA-Sed, a two-dimensional shallow-water hydrodynamic and sediment transport model based on a finite-volume scheme. The ANUGA flow and sediment modules were calibrated and validated using observed discharge and suspended sediment data from multiple gauging stations along the Tel River. Parallel simulations performed on the Param Pravega high-performance computing systems significantly reduced computation time while maintaining numerical accuracy, enabling high-resolution modelling of the entire Tel River Basin. The model was further evaluated for elasticity, computational accuracy, and optimal grid distribution per node on the HPC system, demonstrating robust scalability and efficient utilization of computational resources.

The model results show strong agreement with observations, with errors in net erosion and deposition generally below 10%. The simulations successfully reproduce the spatial patterns of sediment generation, transport, and deposition along the river network. Importantly, the model provides new insights into sediment dynamics between gauging stations where direct measurements are unavailable and captures cross-sectional channel changes associated with sediment transport processes. These results were further validated using field-based suspended sediment data collected in October 2023 at intermediate river locations using portable sampling instruments. The simulations reveal distinct zones of high erosion and deposition that are critical for understanding flood conveyance and channel stability. Overall, the results confirm that ANUGA-Sed can reliably simulate suspended sediment transport and riverbed changes in monsoon-dominated river systems.

How to cite: Dahiwale, A. V., Dutta, U., Singh, Y. K., Yendargaye, G., Prabhu, T. S. M., and Muddu, S.: FROM CATCHMENT TO CHANNEL: HIGH-PERFORMANCE PARALLEL MODELING OF SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN THE TEL RIVER BASIN USING ANUGA Sed, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19944, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19944, 2026.

EGU26-19976 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Cryoseismic monitoring in the Schirmacher Oasis, East Antarctica 

Nivika Singh Sattasi, Vipul Silwal, Manoj Tm, Ariz Ahamad, Ankit Suthar, and Sanjay Singh Negi

We conducted a two-month-long cryoseismic monitoring study in the Schirmacher Oasis, East Antarctica, to investigate icequake activity caused by the movement and melting of ice sheets. For this purpose, we deployed a Raspberry Shake seismometer on the Antarctic land and ice sheet for a month. Through a comparative analysis of the recorded seismic data, we gained insights into ice dynamics and diurnal icequake patterns. The Raspberry Shake instrumentation, powered by solar energy, offers a cost-effective approach for establishing a dense seismic network. During installation, the seismometer, solar controller, and Li-ion battery were housed in a wooden box lined with nitrile foam for insulation. The analysis suggests that icequake detections follow a distinct diurnal pattern, with more events occurring during the daytime. Furthermore, we also observe interdependence between icequake detections and high wind speeds.We use a multi STA/LTA approach for event detection on a continuous 11-day period while the seismometer was on ice. We detect 2249 icequake events, which are further manually classified into three categories. More than half of icequakes (67%) belong to a shallow origin and some are indicative of deep icequakes (9%).These findings highlight the need for a denser seismic network and more detailed investigations to further understand the impact of climate change on melting ice sheets.

How to cite: Sattasi, N. S., Silwal, V., Tm, M., Ahamad, A., Suthar, A., and Negi, S. S.: Cryoseismic monitoring in the Schirmacher Oasis, East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19976, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19976, 2026.

EGU26-20785 | ECS | Posters virtual | VPS26

Remote sensing analysis of water dynamics within floodplain lakes in the eastern part of the Mackenzie River delta 

Damian Ciepłowski and Michał Habel

River deltas play a crucial role in the transport of sediments and nutrients between river catchments and the sea. Scientific studies have demonstrated that Arctic deltas have a significant potential for sediment retention. Ongoing climate change is accelerating the thawing of permafrost, which largely constitutes the substrate of Arctic deltas, thereby affecting the morphological and hydrological evolution of these low-lying tundra systems.

The aim of this study is to estimate changes in the surface area and flood storage capacity of deltaic lakes using remote sensing methods. Optical and radar satellite data from Sentinel-2 and RADARSAT-2 were used, obtained under a grant from the Canadian Space Agency (application no. RCM CSA-RC-FORM-0003), together with advanced tools for spatial and radar data analysis. The selected study area is an eastern part of the Mackenzie River Delta (Canada, Northwest Territories), namely Big Lake, located near the city of Inuvik, approximately 130 km from the Beaufort Sea. The Big Lake is a through-flow lake with an area of about 800 ha. It is part of a system of approximately 2,000 lakes that maintain year-round connectivity with the East Channel, one of the main distributary channels conveying water within the delta.

The presented results are based on satellite and hydrological analyses conducted at the beginning of the ice-free water period, occurring at the turn of May and June. The study includes a comparison of satellite observations with gauge data. To determine the extent and volume of floodwaters, the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), advanced radar data analyses, and statistical analyses of hydrological data from Water Survey of Canada (WSC) were applied. Satellite imagery acquired during open-water seasons made it possible to delineate shoreline extents and the associated water surface elevations. Selected years from the period 2011–2024 were analysed; for example, it was estimated that at the turn of May and June 2024 the lake stored approximately 8.2 million m³ of water over a period of 49 days.

Considering sediment transport, the Mackenzie River is the largest supplier to the Arctic Ocean, delivers more than 100 million tonnes of sediment annually. Previous studies characterise these sediments as predominantly fine-grained fractions that are easily transported. The presence of an organic-rich catchment combined with the magnitude of fluvial sediment transport highlights the importance of understanding the mechanisms governing sediment distribution, quantities, and areas of deposition within the delta system.

This research is being conducted with the permission of the Government of Canada – North West Territories (NWT) – research licence number 17694 which was issued under application number 6131 and financed by the Polish Ministry of Education and Science - National Research Agency, title: Evaluation of the settling velocity and trapping capacity of sediments in lakes in the Great Arctic River deltas, grant no. 2023/50/O/ST10/00597.

How to cite: Ciepłowski, D. and Habel, M.: Remote sensing analysis of water dynamics within floodplain lakes in the eastern part of the Mackenzie River delta, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20785, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20785, 2026.

The non-linear feedback mechanisms and interactions between discharge-sediment supply and instream (riparian) vegetation cover generate spatio-temporal heterogeneity in braided channel forms. The present study examines such relationships among three contrasting braided rivers of India: the Brahmaputra (highly braided), the Brahmani (weakly braided) and the Netravathi (meandering-braided). Long term JRC Surface water layer, vegetation-water remote sensing indices, numerical model derived hydrological datasets and periodic field visits have been integrated to understand the vegetation–hydrology–sediment coupling across these braided river systems.  The results show that the channel forming discharges in the Brahmaputra shows a hierarchical level and extreme events dominate over the effect of sparse vegetated landforms. In weakly braided reaches, channel-in-channel form oscillates between two extreme nodes depending upon the intensity of disturbing events. For rivers with meandering-braided transition form, channels are relatively stable and riparian vegetation cover generate a stable geometry and absence of floodplain sediment storage.   

How to cite: Pradhan, C.: Integrating Google Earth Engine Cloud Computing and Fluvial Surveys to Quantify Vegetation–Hydrology–Sediment Coupling in Contrasting Braided River Systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21498, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21498, 2026.

GM1 – General Geomorphology

EGU26-2198 | Orals | GM1.1 | GM Division Outstanding ECS Award Lecture

Cryosphere-fed rivers 

Dongfeng Li

Cryosphere-fed rivers drain glacier, snow, and permafrost landscapes and are characterized by glacial, nival, pluvial and mixed hydrological regimes. Such river systems originate from high-mountain areas and polar regions, and transport water, sediment, nutrients, and organic carbon downstream, underpinning the freshwater and coastal ecosystems and supporting the lives of more than one-third of the world's population. In response to the amplified climate change, accelerating glacier-snow melt and permafrost thaw, the cryosphere-fed rivers are overall becoming warmer, wider and muddier associated with markedly increasing river turbidity and suspended sediment concentrations. In this talk, I will present the observed and modelled changes in cryosphere-fed rivers and examine their implications for channel mobility and the carbon cycle across both High Mountain Asia and the pan-Arctic. To better assess the impacts of changing climate on the functions and services of river ecosystems in strategically important cold regions, I highlight the pressing need to integrate multiple-sourced river observations, to develop empirical, physics-based, and AI-based river flux models, and to promote interdisciplinary scientific collaboration. The innovative system approach would best come from the creation of an interdisciplinary collaborative initiative, where geomorphologists, climatologists, ecologists, glaciologists, permafrost scientists, hydrologists, and civil engineers work together to establish an integrated cryosphere-water-sediment-carbon-ecology observation platform that facilitates the mechanism understanding and development of novel and powerful models. Furthermore, dialogues and collaboration between international scientists, stakeholders, local communities, and policymakers would help to bridge the gaps between state-of-the-art scientific findings and practicable adaptation strategies.

How to cite: Li, D.: Cryosphere-fed rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2198, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2198, 2026.

EGU26-2032 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Toward High-Resolution Mapping of Desert Pavements: Field Surveys and First Results from Namibia 

Mohamed Bourriz and Alexander Brenning

Desert pavements are widespread geomorphic features in drylands, but their distribution and characteristics have not been adequately characterized. They play a critical role in the atmospheric dust cycle where they control dust emission and entrainment. Against this backdrop, the goal of this project is to map the distribution and physical characteristics of desert pavements and related stone-armored surfaces using field evidences, terrain analysis and remote sensing data, and machine-learning models. Our focus is on Namibia, where we start from an initial distribution assessment generated by GIS-based multicriteria suitability analysis.

Ground-truth data acquisition is conducted as an extensive field survey to document desert pavements across regional environmental gradients. Following zigzag transects, we record pavement characteristics including surface roughness, clast size and weathering features, and geomorphic information including micro-topography and signs of water erosion. Special emphasis is placed on the detection and characterization of vesicular horizons discriminating desert pavements against other stone-armored surfaces. We use UAV photogrammetry as well as ground-level optical and thermal surface imaging for detailed documentation and to facilitate precise local-scale analyses. These ground-truth observations will provide a representative empirical basis for analyzing pavement-forming processes and will support the development of a hybrid geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) framework that integrates optical and thermal remote sensing data with terrain attributes derived from digital elevation models for digital soil mapping at a high spatial resolution.

As a preparatory step guiding the field surveys, we refine our recently proposed Desert Pavement Potential Index (DPPI) by incorporating additional environmental constraints. The updated index (DPPI v2) integrates a diurnal soil temperature range layer and a desert bloom index (DBI) into the existing index that is based on general precipitation, vegetation, soil texture, and disturbance patterns. The DBI, derived from a 26-year MODIS NDVI archive, allows stable pavements to be distinguished from surfaces that experience episodic greening and thus root development. A preliminary validation, limited to areas where the original DPPI suggested geomorphically plausible pavement conditions (DPPI ≥ 0.75) so as to avoid trivial contrasts with clearly unsuitable or vegetated surfaces and thereby enable a more meaningful assessment, indicates a considerable improvement in discrimination skill (area under the ROC curve: 0.864 for DPPI v2 vs. 0.779 with the original index). Visual comparison further shows that DPPI v2 produces a spatially more constrained and geomorphically coherent envelope of pavement-favorable conditions.

Taken together, the combination of field observations with multi-source GeoAI models is expected to provide a scalable framework for mapping desert pavements in Namibia, which will improve the representation of surface processes in atmospheric dust modeling.

How to cite: Bourriz, M. and Brenning, A.: Toward High-Resolution Mapping of Desert Pavements: Field Surveys and First Results from Namibia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2032, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2032, 2026.

EGU26-2298 | Posters on site | GM1.2

Cosmogenic 10Be–26Al Isochron Burial Dating of Basalt-Capped Fluvial Deposits in the Hantan River Basin, Korea 

Yire Choi, Hoil Lee, Tae-Ho Lee, and Min Han

The Hantan River basin (central–northern Korean Peninsula) is characterized by a Quaternary volcanic–fluvial landscape in which basaltic lava flows repeatedly overlie unconsolidated fluvial deposits. Beneath these lava flows, the Baeguiri Formation consists of channelized fluvial conglomerates and sands with associated overbank silts and clays, unconformably overlying Devonian basement units. While the emplacement ages of overlying basalts are relatively well constrained by K–Ar and 40Ar/39Ar dating, the depositional and burial timing of the underlying fluvial conglomerates remains poorly constrained and controversial. Previous age estimates for the Baeguiri Formation, derived indirectly from basalt contact ages, fission-track, and TL/OSL methods, provide only partial constraints and may be affected by inheritance, post-depositional reworking, and uncertainty in the time lag between sediment deposition and lava burial.

To directly date the burial of the fluvial conglomerates and to assess potential temporal heterogeneity among key outcrops, we apply cosmogenic radionuclide (CRN) burial dating using paired 10Be and 26Al measurements on quartz-bearing gravel from conglomeratic units of the Baeguiri Formation at four representative sites in the Hantan River system: Eundaeri (Chatan Stream tributary), Baeguigyo Bridge, Jangjingyo Bridge, and Hantangang Dam along the mainstem Hantan River. At all sites, the conglomerates are fully covered by multi-meter-thick basalt flows, locally associated with pillow lavas and slabby flow-top structures, indicating rapid burial and long-term attenuation of cosmic-ray exposure. Burial ages are calculated using isochron approaches to account for variable pre-burial exposure histories and possible partial reworking within fluvial deposits.

The resulting burial ages provide direct chronological constraints on the timing of isolation of the Baeguiri Formation from surface processes, allowing us to (1) Test whether burial of the fluvial conglomerates by basalt flows was synchronous across different outcrops, (2) Quantify spatial and temporal heterogeneity in sedimentation–burial events within the Baeguiri Formation, and (3) Evaluate implications for refining stratigraphic relationships between fluvial deposits and multi-stage basalt emplacement in the Hantan River volcanic–fluvial succession. This study highlights the effectiveness of CRN burial dating for directly constraining the age of basalt-buried fluvial conglomerates in complex Quaternary volcanic plateaus.

How to cite: Choi, Y., Lee, H., Lee, T.-H., and Han, M.: Cosmogenic 10Be–26Al Isochron Burial Dating of Basalt-Capped Fluvial Deposits in the Hantan River Basin, Korea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2298, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2298, 2026.

EGU26-5207 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Geophysics-based landslide zonation explains spatial variability in tree-ring growth disturbances 

Filip Schlesinger and Karel Šilhán

Complex landslides contain internally heterogeneous zones that may respond differently to reactivation, complicating tree-ring based chronologies of slope activity. This study combines dendrogeomorphological analysis with electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) to test whether geophysics-based zonation could explain the spatial variability of tree-ring disturbances within a large complex landslide. ERT profiles and geomorphological mapping delineated three mechanically distinct zones: a downslope shallow-landslide sector (S zone), a moisture-rich gap infilled by weakly consolidated material (G zone), and an adjacent compact block with tension cracks (B zone). In total, 200 Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst) were analysed for reaction wood (RW) and abrupt growth suppression (GS). RW intensity was quantified for each affected ring and GS classified by relative ring-width reduction.

RW clearly dominates across the landslide. The S zone shows the highest stem inclinations and RW intensities, indicating enhanced shallow deformation, whereas RW duration is similar among zones. GS occurs everywhere but is proportionally most frequent in the B zone. Correlation analyses show that in the S and G zones, RW intensity and duration relate significantly to stem inclination, while no significant relationships appear in the B zone.

These results demonstrate that internal landslide heterogeneity, as delineate by ERT, is reflected in tree-ring responses. Geophysics-based zonation offers an effective framework for interpreting growth disturbances and improves dendrogeomorphic reconstructions of complex slope movements.

How to cite: Schlesinger, F. and Šilhán, K.: Geophysics-based landslide zonation explains spatial variability in tree-ring growth disturbances, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5207, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5207, 2026.

EGU26-5217 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Hard Coal Spoil Heaps as Complex Geosystems: A Conceptual Framework Based on Physical-Geographical Controls 

Natálie Bedrunková and Jan Lenart

Hard coal spoil heaps form distinctive anthropogenic landforms and highly dynamic geosystems within post-mining landscapes. Their extreme physical-geographical conditions arise from interactions between heterogeneous substrate properties, distinct geomorphic processes, specific hydrological regimes, microclimatic anomalies, and thermal activity. Although thermal activity and contamination have been widely studied due to their environmental relevance, research on spoil heaps remains fragmented and often focused on isolated components of the system. Integrated, holistic approaches that explicitly link individual subsystems are still largely lacking. This contribution presents a synthesis of current global knowledge and introduces a conceptual geosystem model demonstrating that morphometric variables (local relief, slope, and aspect) act as primary drivers of spoil heap dynamics. The model captures cascading interactions among geomorphological, hydrological, thermal, and microclimatic processes and provides a unifying framework for interpreting spoil heaps as complex anthropogenic geosystems. This approach provides a basis for future interdisciplinary research and supports a more systematic understanding of spoil heap evolution, their environmental impacts, and potential future landscape functions.

How to cite: Bedrunková, N. and Lenart, J.: Hard Coal Spoil Heaps as Complex Geosystems: A Conceptual Framework Based on Physical-Geographical Controls, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5217, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5217, 2026.

EGU26-7278 | Posters on site | GM1.2

GIS-based landslide susceptibility assessment on low slopes: the case study of Anenii Noi district, the Republic of Moldova 

Angela Cantir, Ioana Chiriac, Olga Crivova, Stela Curcubat, Ghennadi Sirodoev, George-Marius Cracu, Raluca-Gabriela Nicoara, Mirela Paraschiv, Andrei Schvab, George Secareanu, Natasa Vaidianu, and Igor Sirodoev

The Republic of Moldova is known for the high frequency of landslides on small slopes and within agricultural areas. As a part of the transboundary research project “The impact of European agricultural policies on land use: Romania's experience and lessons for the Republic of Moldova in a European perspective – MapLURoMd”, this study aims to evaluate the spatial distribution of landslides in Anenii Noi District, Republic of Moldova, using GIS-based analysis and field verification. The research is based on 2020 orthophotographic images, processed in ArcGIS 10.4.1 and validated by GPS-based ground surveys. Landslide occurrence was analysed in relation to three morphometric parameters: slope gradient, altitude, and slope exposure. The applied methodology enabled the identification and mapping of landslide-affected areas and the assessment of their relationship with terrain characteristics. The lithological composition, a known factor for landslide development in general, was not important in our case due to a lack of regional diversity. As a result, several thematic maps were generated, including landslide distribution, altitude, slope, and slope exposure maps. The proportion of areas affected by landslides within different morphometric classes was also quantified. The results highlight zones of increased landslide susceptibility, providing valuable support for landslide risk mitigation, territorial planning, and land management within the Republic of Moldova's agricultural development policy.

How to cite: Cantir, A., Chiriac, I., Crivova, O., Curcubat, S., Sirodoev, G., Cracu, G.-M., Nicoara, R.-G., Paraschiv, M., Schvab, A., Secareanu, G., Vaidianu, N., and Sirodoev, I.: GIS-based landslide susceptibility assessment on low slopes: the case study of Anenii Noi district, the Republic of Moldova, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7278, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7278, 2026.

EGU26-8500 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Overlooked high-elevation gentle slopes/rivers in the rapidly uplifting Taiwan orogen 

Fang-Yu Li, Meng-Long Hsieh, and Young-Fo Chang

Many scholars believe that the core part of the Taiwan orogen, with rapid tectonic uplift for millions of years but only 3000 - 4000 m high, has obtained a topographic steady state, in which the tectonic uplift is balanced by erosion. Steady-state topography is expected to be dominated by steep slopes reaching the angle of repose. With this new notion, the existence of gentle slopes/rivers in the core part of the orogen, which has been noted by Japanese scholars a century ago, was recently overlooked, and those gentle landforms were regarded as “transient” features. We thoroughly examined the topography of the orogen and confirmed the observations by the Japanese scholars: (1) the gentle slopes/rivers, surrounded by steep slopes/knickzones downward, are mainly exhibited on or near drainage divides; (2) the gentle rivers show a great range of width and sinuosity; those flowing in wide valleys are commonly associated with ponds or wetlands; (3) the slopes drained by the gentle rivers can be gentle or steep; the gentle slopes are typically underlain by thick, heavily weathered colluviums; (4) many major drainage divides follow rounded ridges with gentle slopes on both sides; (5) the gentle slopes/rivers are widely exhibited throughout the orogen, from north to south, from west to east, and from low to high elevations.

The juxtaposition between the observed gentle slopes/rivers and the steep slopes/knickzones around them has suggested the change of river behavior from incision-limited to incision-dominated, associated with an increase in landslide activity. The spatial configuration of these landforms further shows re-organization of drainage systems, including river capture and its resulting contraction/expansion of catchments, adjusting to the inferred geomorphic change. Through these analyses, we have confidence that the observed gentle slopes/rivers are better treated as relict landforms preserved on/near ridge tops, not “transient” features developed after the loss of catchment areas as suggested by some scholars.            

Our inferred geomorphic change fits well with the known thermochronological data and the data from the sediment-hydrogen-isotope-based paleo-topographic studies, which jointly show an acceleration of both crustal denudation and surface uplift starting later than 2 Ma. We propose that the orogen had long been dominated by hills when both tectonic uplift and denudation were slow (< 2 mm/yr). The uplift then accelerated (up to 6 - 8 mm/yr), triggering river incision/landsliding which progressively eroded the gentle slopes/rivers created earlier. Since then, the combined river/hillslope erosion has not been able to balance the tectonic uplift, which allowed the preexisting gentle landforms to be raised to high elevations (as long as they are preserved). Once these gentle landforms were raised to elevations > 3000 m, they facilitated snow accumulation and thus, glaciation, during the last glacial period (i.e. the relict cirques and U-shape valleys currently preserved in the orogen were strongly inherited from the preexisting gentle landforms).

How to cite: Li, F.-Y., Hsieh, M.-L., and Chang, Y.-F.: Overlooked high-elevation gentle slopes/rivers in the rapidly uplifting Taiwan orogen, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8500, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8500, 2026.

EGU26-10763 | Posters on site | GM1.2

The High Plains of Southern Norway: Result of Late Mesozoic – Cenozoic Episodic Tectonics 

Johan Bonow, James Chalmers, and Peter Japsen

The origin of the mountains of Norway (the Scandes) is controversial. Here we show that the high-level landscape of the Southern Scandes consists mostly of three extensive, low-relief surfaces separated by escarpments. The surfaces extend across 90,000 km2 and cut across rocks of different lithologies and post-date the Jurassic surface on the slopes of the Southern Scandes. The surfaces are peneplains graded by river erosion to a base level of sea level during the Late Cretaceous, Paleocene and Miocene. They were all subsequently slightly folded, tilted and uplifted to their present elevations of 1000–1400, 1300–1700 and 1600–1900 m, forming a landscape with distinct steps. The final uplift began in the early Pliocene and caused incision of fluvial valleys and exhumation of the Jurassic surface stripped from its protective cover of Jurassic and younger sediments. Many fluvial valleys were reshaped into glacial valleys and fjords during the Quaternary, while the stepped peneplains kept much of their pre-glacial appearance. The Scandes have not remained high since the Caledonian Orogeny, they are not shaped by footwall uplift and the plateau surfaces are not the result of glacial erosion. The repeated episodes of subsidence and uplift, burial and exhumation that shaped the high-level landscape of the Southern Scandes were driven by sub-lithospheric forces and intra-plate stress. This landscape resembles the elevated passive continental margins (EPCMs) that occur globally in all climate zones. The observations reported here provide important constraints on studies of the tectonic development of western Scandinavia and other EPCMs.

How to cite: Bonow, J., Chalmers, J., and Japsen, P.: The High Plains of Southern Norway: Result of Late Mesozoic – Cenozoic Episodic Tectonics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10763, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10763, 2026.

EGU26-17764 | Posters on site | GM1.2

Regional mapping of carbonate karst landforms and landscape in Central Apennines (Abruzzo, Central Italy) 

Francesco Morelli and Tommaso Piacentini

The Central Apennine is a key sector for karst studies in Italy, nevertheless recent systematic mapping of epigean karst landforms remains scarce. Despite extensive research on hypogene karst and springs, there is a lack of region-wide, high-resolution mapping of surface karst features using modern GIS-based approaches. This study addresses that gap by producing a new comprehensive, multiscale investigation, classification and mapping of karst landforms and landscapes in Central Italy (Abruzzo region)

Carbonate terrains, mainly Jurassic–Cretaceous limestones, cover about 70% of the chain sector of the region and are organized into morpho-structural units bounded by active normal faults. These tectonic features have fragmented ancient karst surfaces and influenced the development of endoreic basins and fluvio-karst drainage patterns. To address this complexity, the research workflow combined traditional geomorphological interpretation with semi-automatic detection techniques applied to multiresolution DTMs (10 m and 5 m), supported by 1 m LiDAR data where available.

The methodology was structured across three scale ranges: (i) small scale (1:200,000–1:50,000) for the definition of carbonate karst morpho-units (CKMUs); (ii) intermediate scale (1:50,000–1:25,000) for the delineation of the main karst areas within CKMUs; and (iii) large scale (1:25,000–1:5,000) for detailed mapping and classification of individual landforms. At the lower scale ranges manual remote mapping was used for larger features, whereas at higher scale, semi-automatic procedures were employed to map smaller features. The applied methods included: (i) fill-sinks algorithms for closed depressions (e.g. dolines, uvala); (ii) raster stacking of DTM-derived parameters (Sky View Factor, Topographic Position Index, curvature) for open depressions; and (iii) supervised filtering of karst valleys from the regional drainage network at 1:5,000 scale.

All outputs were validated through remote checks and field surveys in four representative test areas.

The research workflow led to the definition of:

  • 12 CKMUs at regional scale, according to tectonic, morphostructural, and hydrogeological boundaries, which also provided criteria for defining additional sub-units;
  • 347 main karst areas at intermediate scale, classified into six types based on landforms clustering: (1) areas with solution dolines; (2) areas with collapse dolines; (3) areas with karst valleys; (4) tectono-karst plains; (5) areas with solution dolines and karst valleys; (6) areas with solution dolines and tectono-karst plains;
  • 53,887 landforms mapped at large scale, grouped into five classes: (1) 4,371 closed depressions (closed-contour dolines); (2) 30,247 open depressions (open-contour dolines); (3) 130 karst plains (large uvala, small poljes); (4) 14 poljes; and (5) 19,125 karst valleys (dry or blind valleys). Classification thresholds of depressions were based on surface extension (0.04 km² between dolines and karst plains; 2 km² between karst plains and poljes), with few outliers due to manual adjustments. The resulting dataset was compiled into a regional map (represented at 1:100,000 scale) and stored in a geospatial archive.

This integrated approach demonstrates the effectiveness of combining classic and GIS-based techniques for regional-scale karst feature mapping. The new map and archive provide a replicable framework for further studies and an essential tool for hydrogeological modelling, hazard assessment, and geodiversity management.

How to cite: Morelli, F. and Piacentini, T.: Regional mapping of carbonate karst landforms and landscape in Central Apennines (Abruzzo, Central Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17764, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17764, 2026.

EGU26-19314 | Posters on site | GM1.2

Luminescence dating and thermochronometry for Earth science applications in Aotearoa New Zealand: opportunities and potential 

Chloé Bouscary, Andy Nicol, and James Shulmeister

Aotearoa New Zealand’s dynamic geological landscape, shaped by complex tectonic activity, rapid uplift, and diverse climatic conditions, provides an exceptionally valuable environment for the application of trapped-charge methods across multiple Earth science disciplines. While significant trapped-charge research has already been conducted in New Zealand, substantial opportunities remain to expand this work. Techniques such as optically and infrared stimulated luminescence (OSL and IRSL) and electron spin resonance (ESR), employed for sediment and bedrock dating, rock-surface exposure dating, burial dating, palaeothermometry, or low-temperature thermochronometry, offer powerful tools for investigating geological and geomorphological processes across timescales ranging from decades to millions of years.

In surficial deposits, luminescence and ESR dating can constrain soil development and sediment stratigraphy, as well as the timing of processes such as sand dune migration, fluvial terrace formation, landslides, glacial retreat, archaeological site occupation, and coastal progradation. Single-grain and multi-signal approaches enable reconstruction of sediment transport pathways, provenance analysis, and deposition rates, providing insight into river dynamics, earthquake-triggered liquefaction, and the recurrence of mass-wasting events. When applied to bedrock and fault zones, trapped-charge thermochronometry and rock-surface dating can record low-temperature cooling histories, uplift rates, exhumation patterns, and fault activity, bridging the temporal gap between short-term surface processes and long-term crustal evolution, and offering complementary insights into the interplay between tectonics, climate, and landscape evolution.

Trapped-charge methods can also support geothermal studies and paleoclimate reconstructions, linking surface processes to tectonic and climatic forcing across New Zealand’s diverse environments. By integrating these trapped-charge techniques with geological, geomorphic, and geodetic observations, we can gain a deeper understanding of landscape evolution, active tectonics, seismic hazards, and resource management in the geologically active region of Aotearoa New Zealand.

How to cite: Bouscary, C., Nicol, A., and Shulmeister, J.: Luminescence dating and thermochronometry for Earth science applications in Aotearoa New Zealand: opportunities and potential, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19314, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19314, 2026.

EGU26-19801 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Environmental Properties of Proglacial Meltwater Geomorphic Units in Lithuania’s Post-Glacial Landscapes 

Markas Kazlauskas and Julius Mačiulaitis

Proglacial meltwater systems played a key role in shaping post-glacial landscapes in parts of Lithuania, forming a variety of landforms such as meltwater channels, outwash plains, glaciofluvial valleys, terrace systems and related sedimentary landforms. Although these landforms have been widely described in terms of glacial and proglacial processes, their role in structuring present-day environmental conditions has received comparatively less attention.

In this study, we examine selected proglacial meltwater geomorphic units in Lithuania and explore their environmental properties, with particular emphasis on sedimentological characteristics, soils, vegetation patterns, and land-use structure. Geomorphic units were identified through interpretation of LiDAR-derived digital elevation models supported by geological mapping. These data were combined with spatial information on soils, land cover, and landscape structure to characterise the environmental context of individual units.

The results explore whether and how proglacial meltwater geomorphic units are associated with variations in environmental characteristics within Lithuania’s post-glacial landscapes.

The study considers the relevance of proglacial meltwater geomorphic units as a framework for interpreting landscape organisation and environmental properties. This perspective may contribute to improved landscape interpretation, environmental assessment, and spatial planning in formerly glaciated regions.

How to cite: Kazlauskas, M. and Mačiulaitis, J.: Environmental Properties of Proglacial Meltwater Geomorphic Units in Lithuania’s Post-Glacial Landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19801, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19801, 2026.

EGU26-20389 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Estimation of river depths and bedload based on dimensions in plan view 

Mario Klösch, Severin Hohensinner, Roman Dunst, Rolf Rindler, and Helmut Habersack

Historical maps are a very valuable source of information on the morphology of rivers in an earlier, more natural state. However, these maps provide no or limited information on river depth, whereas knowledge of river depth distribution is required for the calculation of historical bedload. In times when rivers are impacted by multiple pressures on the sediment cycle, such knowledge would help to define a range of realistic bedload supplies required for successful river restoration.

This paper presents a tool that can be used to estimate the elevation distribution of the river bed and the resulting bedload based on active and bankfull channel widths obtained from maps. A power function represents the width-depth curve and is fitted to the mean active and bankfull widths and the respective discharge capacities. The applicability to historical maps of the Upper Drava River was confirmed by archive material on historical lowest flow depths.

How to cite: Klösch, M., Hohensinner, S., Dunst, R., Rindler, R., and Habersack, H.: Estimation of river depths and bedload based on dimensions in plan view, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20389, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20389, 2026.

EGU26-21128 | ECS | Posters on site | GM1.2

Do deep geological structures influence shallow Quaternary erosional patterns in the North Sea? 

Lasse Tésik Prins, Lis Allart, Rasmus Bødker Madsen, Tala Maria Aabø, Lars Ole Boldreel, Katrine Juul Andresen, Ole Rønø Clausen, Sunny Singhroha, and Peter Sandersen

Tunnel valley formation and orientation are primarily controlled by the hydraulic gradient beneath large ice sheets. However, recent onshore studies from Denmark have motivated the hypothesis that deep fault systems may also influence the position and orientation of shallow erosional features like tunnel valleys. Onshore, this hypothesis has been supported by observed similarities in the overall orientation and spatial trends of deep fault systems and shallow erosional features. These correlations have been attributed to reactivation of the faults due to loading and unloading by large ice sheets as well as subtle variations in sediment strength caused by the deep structural features.

Importantly, these onshore studies are based on interpretations of transient electromagnetic data and sparse 2D reflection seismic data. Offshore where reflection seismic data is almost exclusively applied, the onshore methods cannot be applied directly, leaving the question of deep–shallow correlations largely unexplored.

In order to test this hypothesis further, we have gathered previously mapped tunnel valleys and deep geological structures offshore, combined with new interpretations from various reflection seismic data sets and analyzed the orientation and position of the tunnel valleys on both regional and local scale using a geostatistical approach specifically developed for this study. This approach allows us to distinguish between local and regional-scale correlations, which can support the hypothesis offshore while also be applied onshore. The large-scale analysis can also highlight other trends within the extensive suite of buried tunnel valleys in the North Sea, including the influence of salt structures, multiple tunnel valley generations and past ice sheet dynamics.

How to cite: Prins, L. T., Allart, L., Madsen, R. B., Aabø, T. M., Boldreel, L. O., Andresen, K. J., Clausen, O. R., Singhroha, S., and Sandersen, P.: Do deep geological structures influence shallow Quaternary erosional patterns in the North Sea?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21128, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21128, 2026.

EGU26-1897 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

The Unreliable Narrator: LSTM Internal States Fluctuate with Software Environments Despite Robust Predictions 

Ryosuke Nagumo, Ross Woods, and Miguel Rico-Ramirez

Since the robust performance of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks was established, their physics-awareness and interpretability have become central topics in hydrology. Seminal works (e.g., Lees et al. (2022)) have argued that LSTM internal states spontaneously capture hydrological concepts, and suggested that cell states can represent soil moisture dynamics despite not being explicitly trained on such data. Conversely, more recent studies (e.g., Fuente et al. (2024)) demonstrated that mathematical equifinality causes non-unique LSTM representations with different initialisations.

In this work, we report an arguably more systematic "bug" in the software environment that causes instability in internal states. We initially aimed to investigate how internal states behave differently when trained with or without historical observation data. We encountered this issue while reassembling a computational stack and attempting to replicate the initial results, as the original Docker environment was not preserved. While random seeds have been indicated to lead to different internal state trajectories, we found the computational backend (e.g., changing CUDA versions, PyTorch releases, or dependent libraries) also produces them. These are the findings:

  • In gauged catchments: Discharge predictions remained stable (in one catchment, NSE was 0.88 ± 0.01) across computational environments, yet the internal temporal variations (e.g., silhouette, mean, and std of cell states) fluctuated noticeably.
  • In pseudo-ungauged scenarios: The prediction performance itself became more reliant on the computational environment (in the same catchment, NSE dropped to 0.31 ± 0.15), yet the internal temporal variations of the cell states fluctuated only as much as they did during the gauged scenario.

These findings suggests that instability in the computational environment poses not only a risk of altering interpretability in training (by altering internal states) but also casts doubt on reliability in extrapolation (by altering outputs).

It is worth mentioning that we confirmed this is not a replicability issue; completely identical cell states and predictions are produced when the computational environment, seeds, and training data are held constant. We argue that such stability must be established as a standard benchmark before assigning physical meaning to deep learning internals.

How to cite: Nagumo, R., Woods, R., and Rico-Ramirez, M.: The Unreliable Narrator: LSTM Internal States Fluctuate with Software Environments Despite Robust Predictions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1897, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1897, 2026.

EGU26-2771 | Posters on site | EOS4.4

New EGU Manuscript Types: Limitations, Errors, Surprises, and Shortcomings as Opportunities for New Science (LESSONS) 

John Hillier, Ulrike Proske, Stefan Gaillard, Theresa Blume, and Eduardo Queiroz Alves

Moments or periods of struggle not only propel scientists forward, but sharing these experiences can also provide valuable lessons for others. Indeed, the current bias towards only publishing ‘positive’ results arguably impedes scientific progress as mistakes that are not learnt from are simply repeated. Here we present a new article type in EGU journals covering LESSONS learnt to help overcome this publishing bias. LESSONS articles describe the Limitations, Errors, Surprises, Shortcomings, and Opportunities for New Science emerging from the scientific process, including non-confirmatory and null results. Unforeseen complications in investigations, plausible methods that failed, and technical issues are also in scope. LESSONS thus fit the content of the BUGS session and can provide an outlet for articles based on session contributions. Importantly, a LESSONS Report will offer a substantial, valuable insight. LESSONS Reports are typically short (1,000-2,000 words) to help lower the barrier to journal publication, whilst LESSONS Posts (not peer-reviewed, but with a DOI on EGUsphere) can be as short as 500 words to allow early-stage reporting. LESSONS aim to destigmatise limitations, errors, surprises and shortcomings and to add these to the published literature as opportunities for new science – we invite you to share your LESSONS learnt.

 

Finally, a big thank you from this paper’s ‘core’ writing team to the wider group who have helped shape the LESSONS idea since EGU GA in 2025, including PubCom and in particular its Chair Barbara Ervens.

How to cite: Hillier, J., Proske, U., Gaillard, S., Blume, T., and Queiroz Alves, E.: New EGU Manuscript Types: Limitations, Errors, Surprises, and Shortcomings as Opportunities for New Science (LESSONS), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2771, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2771, 2026.

EGU26-3077 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

False Starts and Silver Linings: A Photocatalytic Journey with Layered Double Hydroxides 

Anna Jędras and Jakub Matusik

Photocatalysis is frequently presented in the literature as a straightforward route toward efficient degradation of pollutants, provided that the “right” material is selected. Layered double hydroxides (LDH) are often highlighted as promising photocatalysts due to their tunable composition and reported activity in dye degradation. Motivated by these claims, this study evaluated LDH as mineral analogs for photocatalytic water treatment, ultimately uncovering a series of unexpected limitations, methodological pitfalls, and productive surprises.

In the first stage, Zn/Cr, Co/Cr, Cu/Cr, and Ni/Cr LDHs were synthesized and tested for photocatalytic degradation of methylene blue (0.02 mM) and Acid Blue Dye 129 (0.3 mM). Contrary to expectations,1 photocatalytic performance was consistently low. After one hour of irradiation, concentration losses attributable to photocatalysis did not exceed 15%, while most dye removal resulted from adsorption. Despite extensive efforts to optimize synthesis protocols, catalyst composition, and experimental conditions, this discrepancy with previously published studies could not be resolved.

To overcome limitations related to particle dispersion, surface accessibility, and charge-carrier separation, a second strategy was pursued by incorporating clay minerals as supports.2 Zn/Cr LDH, identified as the most active composition in preliminary tests, was coprecipitated with kaolinite, halloysite, and montmorillonite. Experiments with methylene blue (0.1 mM) and Acid Blue 129 (0.3 mM) demonstrated enhanced adsorption capacities. However, photocatalytic degradation efficiencies remained poor, typically below 10% after one hour, indicating that apparent performance gains were largely adsorption-driven rather than photochemical.

This failure proved to be a turning point. Instead of abandoning LDH entirely, they were combined with graphitic carbon nitride (GCN) to form a heterostructure.3 This approach resulted in a dramatic improvement: after optimization of the synthesis protocol, 99.5% of 1 ppm estrone was degraded within one hour.4 Further modifications were explored by introducing Cu, Fe, and Ag into the LDH/GCN system. While Cu and Fe suppressed photocatalytic activity, silver, at an optimized loading, reduced estrone concentrations below the detection limit within 40 minutes.5

This contribution presents a full experimental arc - from promising hypotheses that failed, through misleading adsorption-driven “successes,” to an ultimately effective but non-intuitive solution - highlighting the value of negative results and surprises as drivers of scientific progress.

This research was funded by the AGH University of Krakow, grant number 16.16.140.315.

Literature:

1            N. Baliarsingh, K. M. Parida and G. C. Pradhan, Ind. Eng. Chem. Res., 2014, 53, 3834–3841.

2            A. Í. S. Morais, W. V. Oliveira, V. V. De Oliveira, L. M. C. Honorio, F. P. Araujo, R. D. S. Bezerra, P. B. A. Fechine, B. C. Viana, M. B. Furtini,
              E. C. Silva-Filho and J. A. Osajima, Journal of Environmental Chemical Engineering, 2019, 7, 103431.

3            B. Song, Z. Zeng, G. Zeng, J. Gong, R. Xiao, S. Ye, M. Chen, C. Lai, P. Xu and X. Tang, Advances in Colloid and Interface Science, 2019, 272, 101999.

4            A. Jędras, J. Matusik, E. Dhanaraman, Y.-P. Fu and G. Cempura, Langmuir, 2024, 40, 18163–18175.

5            A. Jędras, J. Matusik, J. Kuncewicz and K. Sobańska, Catal. Sci. Technol., 2025, 15, 6792–6804.

How to cite: Jędras, A. and Matusik, J.: False Starts and Silver Linings: A Photocatalytic Journey with Layered Double Hydroxides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3077, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3077, 2026.

EGU26-4074 | Orals | EOS4.4

Instructive surprises in the hydrological functioning of landscapes 

James Kirchner, Paolo Benettin, and Ilja van Meerveld

BUGS can arise in individual research projects, but also at the level of communities of researchers, leading to shifts in the scientific consensus.  These community-level BUGS typically arise from observations that are surprising to (or previously overlooked by) substantial fractions of the research community.  In this presentation, we summarize several community-level BUGS in our field: specifically, key surprises that have transformed the hydrological community's understanding of hillslope and catchment processes in recent decades.  

Here are some examples.  (1) Students used to learn (and some still do today) that storm runoff is dominated by overland flow.  But stable isotope tracers have convincingly shown instead that even during storm peaks, streamflow is composed mostly of water that has been stored in the landscape for weeks, months, or years.  (2) Maps, and most hydrological theories, have typically depicted streams as fixed features of the landscape.  But field mapping studies have shown that stream networks are surprisingly dynamic, with up to 80% of stream channels going dry sometime during the year.  (3) Textbooks have traditionally represented catchment storage as a well-mixed box.  But tracer time series show fractal scaling that cannot be generated by well-mixed boxes, forcing a re-think of our conceptualization of subsurface storage and mixing.  (4) Waters stored in aquifers, and the waters that drain from them, have traditionally been assumed to share the same age.  But tracers show that waters draining from aquifers are often much younger than the groundwaters that are left behind, and this was subsequently shown to be an inevitable result of aquifer heterogeneity. 

Several examples like these, and their implications, will be briefly discussed, with an eye to the question: how can we maximize the chances for future instructive surprises?

How to cite: Kirchner, J., Benettin, P., and van Meerveld, I.: Instructive surprises in the hydrological functioning of landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4074, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4074, 2026.

Coming from geosciences, we hopefully know what we want to do. Coming from numerics, however, we often know quite well what we are able to do and look for a way to sell it to the community. A few years ago, deep-learning techniques brought new life into the glaciology community. These approaches  allowed for simulations of glacier dynamics at an unprecedented computational performance and motivated several researchers to tackle the numerous open questions about past and present glacier dynamics, particularly in alpine regions. From another point of view, however, it was also tempting to demonstrate that the human brain is still more powerful than artificial intelligence by developing a new classical numerical scheme that can compete with deep-learning techniques concerning its efficiency.

Starting point was, of course, the simplest approximation to the full 3-D Stokes equations, the so-called shallow ice approximation (SIA). Progress was fast and the numerical performance was even better than expected. The new numerical scheme enabled simulations with spatial resolutions of 25 m on a desktop PC, while previous schemes did not reach simulations below a few hundred meters.

However, the enthusiasm pushed the known limitations of the SIA a bit out of sight. Physically, the approximation is quite bad on rugged terrain, particularly in narrow valleys. So the previous computational limitations have been replaced by physical limitations since high resolutions are particularly useful for rugged topographies. In other words, a shabby house has a really good roof now.

What are the options in such a situation?

  • Accept that there is no free lunch and avoid contact to the glacialogy community in the future.
  • Continue the endless discussion about the reviewers' opinion that a spatial resolution of 1 km is better than 25 m.
  • Find a real-world data set that matches the results of the model and helps to talk the problems away.
  • Keep the roof and build a new house beneath. Practically, this would be developing a new approximation to the full 3-D Stokes equations that is compatible to the numerical scheme and reaches an accuracy similar to those of the existing approximations.
  • Take the roof and put it on one of the existing solid houses. Practically, this would be an extension of the numerical scheme towards more complicated systems of differential equations. Unfortunately, efficient numerical schemes are typically very specific. So the roof will not fit easily and it might leak.

The story is open-ended, but there will be at least a preliminary answer in the presentation.

 

How to cite: Hergarten, S.: How useful is a new roof on a shabby house? An example from glacier modeling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4196, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4196, 2026.

EGU26-4587 | Posters on site | EOS4.4

The importance of describing simple methods in climate sensitivity literature 

Anna Zehrung, Andrew King, Zebedee Nicholls, Mark Zelinka, and Malte Meinshausen

“Show your working!” – is the universal phrase drilled into science and maths students to show a clear demonstration of the steps and thought processes used to reach a solution (and to be awarded full marks on the exam). 

Beyond the classroom, “show your working” becomes the methods section on every scientific paper, and is critical for the transparency and replicability of the study. However, what happens if parts of the method are considered assumed knowledge, or cut in the interests of a word count? 

An inability to fully replicate the results of a study became the unexpected glitch at the start of my PhD. Eager to familiarise myself with global climate model datasets, I set out to replicate the results of a widely cited paper which calculates the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) across 27 climate models. The ECS is the theoretical global mean temperature response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 relative to preindustrial levels. A commonly used method to calculate the ECS is to apply an ordinary least squares regression to global annual mean temperature and radiative flux anomalies. 

Despite the simplicity of a linear regression between two variables, we obtained ECS estimates for some climate models that differed from those reported in the original study, even though we followed the described methodology. However, the methodology provided only limited detail on how the raw climate model output – available at regional and monthly scales – was processed to obtain global annual mean anomalies. Differences in these intermediate processing steps can, in turn, lead to differences in ECS estimates.

Limited reporting of data-processing steps is common in the ECS literature. Whether these steps are considered assumed knowledge or deemed too simple to warrant explicit description, we demonstrate that, for some models, they can materially affect the resulting ECS estimate. While the primary aim of our study is to recommend a standardised data-processing pathway for ECS calculations, a secondary aim is to highlight the lack of transparency in key methodological details across the literature. A central takeaway is the importance of clearly documenting all processing steps – effectively, to “show your working” – and to emphasise the critical role of a detailed methods section.

How to cite: Zehrung, A., King, A., Nicholls, Z., Zelinka, M., and Meinshausen, M.: The importance of describing simple methods in climate sensitivity literature, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4587, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4587, 2026.

Observation of atmospheric constituents and processes is not easy. As atmospheric chemists, we use sensitive equipment, for example mass spectrometers, that we often set up in a (remote) location or on a moving platform for a few-weeks campaign to make in-situ observations. All this with the goal of explaining more and more atmospheric processes, and to verify and improve atmospheric models. However, glitches can happen anywhere in an experiment, be it in the experimental design, setup, or instrumental performance. Thus, complete data coverage during such a campaign is not always a given, resulting in gaps in (published) datasets. And the issue with air is that you can never go back and measure the exact same air again. Here, I would like to share some stories behind such gaps, and what we learned from them. This presentation aims to encourage early career researchers who might be struggling with feelings of failure when bugs, blunders and glitches happen in their experiments - you are not alone! I will share what we learned from these setbacks and how each of them improved our experimental approaches.

How to cite: Pfannerstill, E. Y.: Why are there gaps in your measurements? Sharing the stories behind the missing datapoints, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5494, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5494, 2026.

Over a 24-year research period, three successive experimental investigations led to three publications, each of which falsified the author’s preceding hypothesis and proposed a revised conceptual framework. Despite an initial confidence in having identified definitive solutions, subsequent experimental evidence consistently demonstrated the limitations and inaccuracies of earlier interpretations. This iterative process ultimately revealed that samples, in particular geological reference materials, sharing identical petrographic or mineralogical descriptions are not necessarily chemically equivalent and can exhibit markedly different behaviors during chemical digestion procedures. These findings underscore the critical importance of continuous hypothesis testing, self-falsification, and experimental verification in scientific research, particularly when working with reference materials assumed to be identical. I will be presenting data on the analysis of platinum group elements (PGE) and osmium isotopes in geological reference materials (chromitites, ultramafic rocks and basalts), which demonstrates the need for challenging matrices for method validation. 

How to cite: Meisel, T. C.: Self-falsification as a driver of scientific progress: Insights from long-term experimental research, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5771, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5771, 2026.

EGU26-6794 | ECS | Orals | EOS4.4

Back to square one (again and again): Finding a bug in a complex global atmospheric model   

Nadja Omanovic, Sylvaine Ferrachat, and Ulrike Lohmann

In atmospheric sciences, a central tool to test hypotheses are numerical models, which aim to represent (part of) our environment. One such model is the weather and climate model ICON [1], which solves the Navier-Stokes equation for capturing the dynamics and parameterizes subgrid-scale processes, such as radiation, cloud microphysics, and aerosol processes. Specifically, for the latter exists the so-called Hamburg Aerosol Module (HAM [2]), which is coupled to ICON [3] and predicts the evolution of aerosol populations using two moments (mass mixing ratio and number concentration). The high complexity of aerosols is reflected in the number of aerosol species (total of 5), number of modes (total of 4), and their mixing state and solubility. The module calculates aerosol composition and number concentration, their optical properties, their sources and sinks, and their interactions with clouds via microphysical processes. Aerosol emissions are sector-specific and based on global emission inventories or dynamically computed.

Within our work, we stumbled upon an interesting pattern occurrence in our simulations upon changing/turning off single emission sectors. If we, e.g., removed black carbon from aircraft emissions, the strongest changes emerged over the African continent, which is not the region where we were expecting to see the strongest response. Further investigations revealed that this pattern emerges independently of the emission sector as well as species, confirming our suspicion that we are facing a bug within HAM. Here, we want to present how we approached the challenge of identifying and tackling a bug within a complex module with several thousand lines of code.

 

[1] G. Zängl, D. Reinert, P. Ripodas, and M. Baldauf, “The ICON (ICOsahedral Non-hydrostatic) modelling framework of DWD and MPI-M: Description of the non-hydrostatic dynamical core,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 141, no. 687, pp. 563–579, 2015, ISSN: 1477-870X. DOI: 10.1002/qj.2378

[2] P. Stier, J. Feichter, S. Kinne, S. Kloster, E. Vignati, J. Wilson, L. Ganzeveld, I. Tegen, M. Werner, Y. Balkanski, M. Schulz, O. Boucher, A. Minikin, and A. Petzold, “The aerosol-climate model ECHAM5-HAM,” Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2005. DOI: 10.5194/acp-5-1125-2005

[3] M. Salzmann, S. Ferrachat, C. Tully, S. M¨ unch, D. Watson-Parris, D. Neubauer, C. Siegenthaler-Le Drian, S. Rast, B. Heinold, T. Crueger, R. Brokopf, J. Mülmenstädt, J. Quaas, H. Wan, K. Zhang, U. Lohmann, P. Stier, and I. Tegen, “The Global Atmosphere-aerosol Model ICON-A-HAM2.3–Initial Model Evaluation and Effects of Radiation Balance Tuning on Aerosol Optical Thickness,” Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol. 14, no. 4,e2021MS002699, 2022, ISSN: 1942-2466. DOI: 10.1029/2021MS002699

How to cite: Omanovic, N., Ferrachat, S., and Lohmann, U.: Back to square one (again and again): Finding a bug in a complex global atmospheric model  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6794, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6794, 2026.

In situ cloud measurements are essential for understanding atmospheric processes and establishing a reliable ground truth. Obtaining these data is rarely straightforward. Challenges range from accessing clouds in the first place to ensuring that the instrument or environment does not bias the sample. This contribution explores several blunders and unexpected glitches encountered over fifteen years of field campaigns.

I will share stories of mountain top observations where blowing snow was measured instead of cloud ice crystals and the ambitious but failed attempt to use motorized paragliders for sampling. I also reflect on winter campaigns where the primary obstacles were flooding and mud rather than cold and snow. While these experiences were often frustrating, they frequently yielded useful data or led to new insights. One such example is the realization that drone icing is not just a crash risk but can also serve as a method for measuring liquid water content. By highlighting these setbacks and the successful data that emerged despite them, I aim to foster a discussion on the value of trial and error and persistence in atmospheric physics.

How to cite: Henneberger, J.: How Not to Measure a Cloud: Lessons from Fifteen Years of Fieldwork Failures, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8228, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8228, 2026.

EGU26-8359 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

Do trees save lives under climate change? It’s complicated  

Nils Hohmuth, Nora L. S. Fahrenbach (presenting), Yibiao Zou (presenting), Josephine Reek, Felix Specker, Tom Crowther, and Constantin M. Zohner

Forests are powerful climate regulators: Their CO2 uptake provides a global biogeochemical cooling effect, and in the tropics, this cooling is further strengthened by evapotranspiration. Given that temperature-related mortality is a relevant global health burden, which is expected to increase under climate change, we set out to test what we thought was a promising hypothesis: Can forests reduce human temperature-related mortality from climate change? 

To test this, we used simulated temperature changes to reforestation from six different Earth System Models (ESMs) under a future high-emission scenario, and paired them with age-specific population data and three methodologically different temperature-mortality frameworks (Cromar et al. 2022, Lee et al. 2019, and Carleton et al. 2022). We expected to find a plausible range of temperature-related mortality outcomes attributable to global future forests conservation efforts.

Instead, our idea ran head-first into a messy reality. Firstly, rather than showing a clear consensus, the ESMs produced a wide range of temperature responses to reforestation, varying both in magnitude and sign. This is likely due to the albedo effect, varying climatological tree cover and land use processes implemented by the models, in addition to internal variability which we could not reduce due to the existence of only one ensemble member per model. Consequently, the models disagreed in many regions on whether global forest conservation and reforestation would increase or decrease temperature by the end of the century.

The uncertainties deepened when we incorporated the mortality data. Mortality estimates varied by up to a factor of 10 depending on the ESM and mortality framework used. Therefore, in the end, the models could not even agree on whether forests increased or decreased temperature-related mortality. We found ourselves with a pipeline that amplified uncertainties of both the ESM and mortality datasets.

For now, the question remains wide open: Do trees save us from temperature-related deaths in a warming world, and if so, by how much?

 

* The first two authors contributed equally to this work.

How to cite: Hohmuth, N., Fahrenbach (presenting), N. L. S., Zou (presenting), Y., Reek, J., Specker, F., Crowther, T., and Zohner, C. M.: Do trees save lives under climate change? It’s complicated , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8359, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8359, 2026.

EGU26-10401 | ECS | Orals | EOS4.4

The empty mine: Why better tools do not help you find new diamonds 

Ralf Loritz, Alexander Dolich, and Benedikt Heudorfer

Hydrological modelling has long been shaped by a steady drive toward ever more sophisticated models. In the era of machine learning, this race has turned into a relentless pursuit of complexity: deeper networks and ever more elaborate architectures that often feel outdated by the time the ink on the paper is dry. Motivated by a genuine belief in methodological progress, I, like many others, spent considerable effort exploring this direction, driven by the assumption that finding the “right” architecture or model would inevitably lead to better performance. This talk is a reflection on that journey; you could say my own Leidensweg. Over several years, together with excellent collaborators, I explored a wide range of state-of-the-art deep-learning approaches for rainfall–runoff modelling and other hydrological modelling challenges. Yet, regardless of the architecture or training strategy, I repeatedly encountered the same performance ceiling. In parallel, the literature appeared to tell a different story, with “new” models regularly claiming improvements over established baselines. A closer inspection, however, revealed that rigorous and standardized benchmarking is far from common practice in hydrology, making it difficult to disentangle genuine progress from artefacts of experimental design. What initially felt like a failure to improve my models turned out to be a confrontation with reality. The limiting factor was not the architecture, but the problem itself. We have reached a point where predictive skill is increasingly bounded by the information content of our benchmark datasets and maybe more importantly by the way we frame our modelling challenges, rather than by model design. Like many others, I have come to believe that if we want to move beyond the current performance plateau, the next breakthroughs are unlikely to come from ever more complex models alone. Instead, as a community, we need well-designed model challenges, better benchmarks, and datasets that meaningfully expand the information available to our models to make model comparisons more informative.

How to cite: Loritz, R., Dolich, A., and Heudorfer, B.: The empty mine: Why better tools do not help you find new diamonds, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10401, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10401, 2026.

EGU26-13630 | ECS | Orals | EOS4.4

How NOT to identify streamflow events? 

Larisa Tarasova and Paul Astagneau

Examining catchment response to precipitation at event scale is useful for understanding how various hydrological systems store and release water. Many of such event scale characteristics, for example event runoff coefficient and event time scale are also important engineering metrics used for design. However, deriving these characteristics requires identification of discrete precipitation-streamflow events from continuous hydrometeorological time series.

Event identification is not at all a trivial task. It becomes even more challenging when working with very large datasets that encompass a wide range of spatial and temporal dynamics. Approaches range from visual expert judgement to baseflow-separation-based methods and objective methods based on the coupled dynamics of precipitation and streamflow. Here, we would like to present our experience in the quest to devise the “ideal” method for large datasets – and trust us, we tried, a lot. We demonstrate that expert-based methods can be seriously flawed simply by changing a few meta parameters, such as the length of displayed periods, baseflow-separation-based methods deliver completely opposite results when different underlying separation methods are selected, and objective methods suddenly fail when dynamics with different temporal scales are simultaneously present.

Ultimately, we realized that finding a one-size-fits-all method was not possible and that compromises had to be made to select sufficiently representative events across large datasets. Therefore, we advocate for pragmatic case-specific evaluation criteria and for transparency in event identification to make study results reproducible and fit for purpose, if not perfect.

How to cite: Tarasova, L. and Astagneau, P.: How NOT to identify streamflow events?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13630, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13630, 2026.

EGU26-14148 | Orals | EOS4.4 | Highlight

Buggy benefits of more fundamental climate models 

Bjorn Stevens, Marco Giorgetta, and Hans Segura

A defining attribute of global-storm resolving models is that modelling is replaced by simulation.  In addition to overloading the word “model”  this avails the developer of a much larger variety of tests, and brings about a richer interplay with their intuition.  This has proven helpful in identifying and correcting many mistakes in global-storm resolving models that traditional climate models find difficult to identify, and usually compensate by “tuning.”  It also means that storm-resolving models are built and tested in a fundamentally different way than are traditional climate models. In this talk I will review the development of ICON as a global storm resolving model to illustrate how this feature, of trying to simulate rather than model the climate system, has helped identify a large number of long-standing bugs in code bases inherited from traditional models; how this can support open development; and how sometimes these advantages also prove to be buggy.

How to cite: Stevens, B., Giorgetta, M., and Segura, H.: Buggy benefits of more fundamental climate models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14148, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14148, 2026.

EGU26-14374 | Orals | EOS4.4

The dangerous temptation of optimality in hydrological and water resources modelling 

Thorsten Wagener and Francesca Pianosi

Hydrological and water systems modelling has long been driven by the search for better models. We do so by searching for models or at least parameter combinations that provide the best fit to given observations. We ourselves have contributed to this effort by developing new methods and by publishing diverse case studies. However, we repeatedly find that searching for and finding an optimal model is highly fraught in the presence of unclear signal-to-noise ratios in our observations, of incomplete models and of highly imbalanced databases. We present examples of our own work through which we have realized that achieving optimality was possible but futile unless we give equal consideration to issues of consistency, robustness and problem framing. We argue here that the strong focus on optimality continues to be a hindrance for advancing hydrologic science and for transferring research achievements into practice – probably more so than in other areas of the geosciences.

How to cite: Wagener, T. and Pianosi, F.: The dangerous temptation of optimality in hydrological and water resources modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14374, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14374, 2026.

Among soil physical analyses, determination of the soil particle-size distribution (PSD) is arguably the most fundamental. The standard methodology combines sieve analysis for sand fractions with sedimentation-based techniques for silt and clay. Established sedimentation methods include the pipette and hydrometer techniques. More recently, the Integral Suspension Pressure (ISP) method has become available, which derives PSD by inverse modeling of the temporal evolution of suspension pressure measured at a fixed depth in a sedimentation cylinder. Since ISP is based on the same physical principles as the pipette and hydrometer methods, their results should, in principle, agree.

The ISP methodology has been implemented in the commercial instrument PARIO (METER Group, Munich). While elegant, the method relies on pressure change measurements with a resolution of 0.1 Pa (equivalent to 0.01 mm of water column). Consequently, the PARIO manual strongly advises avoiding any mechanical disturbance such as thumping, bumping, clapping, vibration, or other shock events. This warning is essentially precautionary, because to date no systematic experimental investigation of such disturbances has been reported.

To explore this issue, we prepared a single 30 g soil sample following standard PSD procedures and subjected it to 26 PARIO repeated measurement runs over a period of five months, each run lasting 12 h. Between runs, the suspension was remixed but otherwise not altered. The first ten runs (over ten days) were conducted without intentional disturbance to establish baseline repeatability. This was followed by eight runs with deliberately imposed and timed disturbances that generated single or repeated vibrations (“rocking and shocking”). After approximately two and five months, we conducted additional sets of five and three undisturbed runs, respectively.

We report how these mechanical disturbances, along with temperature variations during measurement and the time elapsed since sample pre-treatment, affected the derived PSD. The results provide a first quantitative assessment of how fragile—or robust—the ISP method and PARIO system really are when reality refuses to sit perfectly still.

 

How to cite: Nemes, A. and Durner, W.: Rocking and Shocking the PARIOTM: How Sensitive Is ISP-Based Particle-Size Analysis to Mechanical Disturbance?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14763, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14763, 2026.

EGU26-14852 | Posters on site | EOS4.4

Some Norwegian soils behave differently: is it an inheritance from marine sedimentation? 

Attila Nemes, Pietro Bazzocchi, Sinja Weiland, and Martine van der Ploeg

Predicting soil hydraulic behavior is necessary for the modeling of catchments and agricultural planning, particularly for a country like Norway where only 3% of land is suitable for farming. Soil texture is an important and easily accessible parameter for the prediction of soil hydraulic behavior. However, some Norwegian farmland soils, which formed as glacio-marine sediments and are characterized by a medium texture, have shown the hydraulic behavior of heavy textured soils. Coined by the theory behind well-established sedimentation-enhancing technology used in waste water treatment, we hypothesized that sedimentation under marine conditions may result in specific particle sorting and as a result specific pore system characteristics. To test this, we designed four custom-built devices to produce artificially re-sedimented columns of soil material to help characterize the influence of sedimentation conditions. We successfully produced column samples of the same homogeneous mixture of fine-sand, silt, and clay particles obtained by physically crushing and sieving (< 200 µm) subsoil material collected at the Skuterud catchment in South-East Norway, differing only in sedimentation conditions (deionized water vs 35 g per liter NaCl solution). Then, the inability of standard laboratory methods to measure the saturated hydraulic conductivity of such fine material, led us to “MacGyver” (design and custom-build) two alternative methodologies to measure that property, i.e. i) by adapting a pressure plate extractor for a constant head measurement and ii) by building a 10 m tall pipe-system in a common open area of the office, in order to increase the hydraulic head on the samples. There was a learning curve with both of those methods, but we have found that the salt-water re-sedimented columns were about five times more permeable than the freshwater ones, which was the complete opposite of our expectations. However, an unexpected blunder in the conservation of our samples suggests that our hypothesis should be further explored rather than dismissed. These contributions hint about the mechanisms that may underlie the anomalous hydraulic behaviour of certain Norwegian soils and raise new questions on the formation of marine clays, improving knowledge available for land managers and modellers.

 

How to cite: Nemes, A., Bazzocchi, P., Weiland, S., and van der Ploeg, M.: Some Norwegian soils behave differently: is it an inheritance from marine sedimentation?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14852, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14852, 2026.

EGU26-16619 | Orals | EOS4.4

The unknown knowns – the inconvenient knowledge in hydrogeology we do not like to use 

Okke Batelaan, Joost Herweijer, Steven Young, and Phil Hayes

“It is in the tentative stage that the affections enter with their blinding influence. Love was long since represented as blind…The moment one has offered an original explanation for a phenomenon which seems satisfactory, that moment affection for his intellectual child springs into existence…To guard against this, the method of multiple working hypotheses is urged. … The effort is to bring up into view every rational explanation of new phenomena, and to develop every tenable hypothesis respecting their cause and history. The investigator thus becomes the parent of a family of hypothesis: and, by his parental relation to all, he is forbidden to fasten his affections unduly upon any one” (Chamberlin, 1890).

The MADE (macro-dispersion) natural-gradient tracer field experiments were conducted more than 35 years ago. It aimed to determine field-scale dispersion parameters based on detailed hydraulic conductivity measurements to support transport simulation. A decade of field experiments produced a 30-year paper trail of modelling studies with no clear resolution of a successful simulation approach for practical use in transport problems.  As a result, accurately simulating contaminant transport in the subsurface remains a formidable challenge in hydrogeology.

What went awry, and why do we often miss the mark?

Herweijer et al. (2026) conducted a ‘back to basics’ review of the original MADE reports and concluded that there are significant inconvenient and unexplored issues that influenced the migration of the tracer plume and or biased observations. These issues include unreliable measurement of hydraulic conductivity, biased tracer concentrations, and underestimation of sedimentological heterogeneity and non-stationarity of the flow field. Many studies simulating the tracer plumes appeared to have ignored, sidestepped, or been unaware of these issues, raising doubts about the validity of the results.

Our analysis shows that there is a persistent drive among researchers to conceptually oversimplify natural complexity to enable testing of single-method modelling, mostly driven by parametric stochastic approaches. Researchers tend to be anchored to a specialised, numerically driven methodology and have difficulty in unearthing highly relevant information from ‘unknown known’ data or applying approaches outside their own specialised scientific sub-discipline. Another important aspect of these ‘unkowns knowns’ is the tendency to accept published data verbatim. Too often, there is no rigorous investigation of the original measurement methods and reporting, and, if need be, additional testing to examine the root cause of data issues.

Following the good old advice of Chamberlin (1890), we used a knowledge framework to systematically assess knowns, unknowns, and associated confidence levels, yielding a set of multi-conceptual models. Based on identified 'unknowns', these multi-models can be tested against reliable 'knowns' such as piezometric data and mass balance calculations.  

Chamberlin, T.C., 1890, The method of multiple working hypotheses. Science 15(366): 92-96. doi:10.1126/science.ns-15.366.92.

Herweijer J.C., S. C Young, P. Hayes, and O. Batelaan, 2026, A multi-conceptual model approach to untangling the MADE experiment, Accepted for Publication in Groundwater.

How to cite: Batelaan, O., Herweijer, J., Young, S., and Hayes, P.: The unknown knowns – the inconvenient knowledge in hydrogeology we do not like to use, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16619, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16619, 2026.

EGU26-17373 | Posters on site | EOS4.4

The Hidden Propagator: How Free-Slip Boundaries Corrupt 3D Simulations 

Laetitia Le Pourhiet

Free-slip boundary conditions are routinely used in 3D geodynamic modelling because they reduce computational cost, avoid artificial shear zones at domain edges, and simplify the implementation of large-scale kinematic forcing. However, despite their apparent neutrality, our experiments show that free-slip boundaries systematically generate first-order artefacts that propagate deep into the model interior and can severely distort the interpretation of continental rifting simulations.

Here we present a set of 3D visco-plastic models inspired by the South China Sea (SCS) that were originally designed to study the effect of steady-state thermal inheritance and pluton-controlled crustal weakening. Unexpectedly, in all simulations except those with a very particular inverted rheological profile (POLC), the free-slip boundary on the “Vietnam side” of the domain generated a persistent secondary propagator, producing unrealistic amounts of lithospheric thinning in the southwest corner. This artefact appeared irrespective of crustal rheology, seeding strategy, or the presence of thermal heterogeneities.

We identify three systematic behaviours induced by free-slip boundaries in 3D:
(1) forced rift nucleation at boundary-adjacent thermal gradients,
(2) artificial propagator formation that competes with the intended first-order rifting, and
(3) rotation or shearing of micro-blocks not predicted by tectonic reconstructions.

These artefacts originate from the inability of free-slip boundaries to transmit shear traction, which artificially channels deformation parallel to the boundary when lateral thermal or mechanical contrasts exist. In 3D, unlike in 2D, the combination of oblique extension and boundary-parallel velocity freedom leads to emergent pseudo-transform behaviour that is entirely numerical.

Our results highlight a key negative outcome: free-slip boundaries cannot be assumed neutral in 3D rift models, especially when studying localisation, obliquity, multi-propagator dynamics, or the competition between structural and thermal inheritance. We argue that many published 3D rift models may unknowingly include such artefacts.

 

How to cite: Le Pourhiet, L.: The Hidden Propagator: How Free-Slip Boundaries Corrupt 3D Simulations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17373, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17373, 2026.

EGU26-18600 | Posters on site | EOS4.4

Data Disaster to Data Resilience: Lessons from CEDA’s Data Recovery  

Edward Williamson, Matt Pritchard, Alan Iwi, Sam Pepler, and Graham Parton

On 18 November 2025, a small error during internal data migration of between storage systems of the JASMIN data analysis platform in the UK led to a substantial part of the CEDA Archive being made temporarily unavailable online (but not lost!). The unfortunate incident caused serious disruption to a large community of users (and additional workload and stress for the team), it provided important learning points for the team in terms of:  

  • enhancing data security,  
  • importance of mutual support among professional colleagues,  
  • the value of clear and transparent communications with your users 
  • a unique opportunity to showcase the capabilities of a cutting-edge digital research infrastructure in the recovery and return to service with this “unscheduled disaster recovery exercise”. 

 

We report on the circumstances leading to the incident, the lessons learned, and the technical capabilities employed in the recovery. One example shows, nearly 800 Terabytes of data transferred from a partner institution in the USA in just over 27 hours, at a rate of over 8 Gigabytes per second using Globus. The ability to orchestrate such a transfer is the result of many years of international collaboration to support large-scale environmental science, and highlights the benefits of a federated, replicated data infrastructure built on well-engineered technologies.

How to cite: Williamson, E., Pritchard, M., Iwi, A., Pepler, S., and Parton, G.: Data Disaster to Data Resilience: Lessons from CEDA’s Data Recovery , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18600, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18600, 2026.

EGU26-19755 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

Opposite cloud responses to extreme Arctic pollution: sensitivity to cloud microphysics, or a bug? 

Rémy Lapere, Ruth Price, Louis Marelle, Lucas Bastien, and Jennie Thomas

Aerosol-cloud interactions remain one of the largest uncertainties in global climate modelling. This uncertainty arises because of the dependence of aerosol-cloud interactions on many tightly coupled atmospheric processes; the non-linear response of clouds to aerosol perturbations across different regimes; and the challenge of extracting robust signals from noisy meteorological observations. The problem is particularly acute in the Arctic, where sparse observational coverage limits model constraints, pristine conditions can lead to unexpected behaviour, and key processes remain poorly understood.

A common way to tackle the challenge of uncertainties arising from aerosol-cloud interactions in climate simulations is to conduct sensitivity experiments using cloud and aerosol microphysics schemes based on different assumptions and parameterisations. By comparing these experiments, key results can be constrained by sampling the range of unavoidable structural uncertainties in the models. Here, we apply this approach to a case study of an extreme, polluted warm air mass in the Arctic that was measured during the MOSAiC Arctic expedition in 2020. We simulated the event in the WRF-Chem-Polar regional climate model both with and without the anthropogenic aerosols from the strong pollution event to study the response of clouds and surface radiative balance. To understand the sensitivity of our results to the choice of model configuration, we tested two distinct, widely-used cloud microphysics schemes.

Initial results showed that the two schemes simulated opposite cloud responses: one predicted a surface cooling from the pollution that was reasonably in line with our expectations of the event, while the other predicted the opposite behaviour in the cloud response and an associated surface warming. These opposing effects seemed to suggest that structural uncertainties in the two schemes relating to clean, Arctic conditions was so strong that it even obscured our ability to understand the overall sign of the surface radiative response to the pollution.

However, since significant model development was required to couple these two cloud microphysics schemes to the aerosol fields in our model, there was another explanation that we couldn’t rule out: a bug in the scheme that was producing the more unexpected results. In this talk, we will explore the challenges of simulating the Arctic climate with a state-of-the-art chemistry-climate model and highlight how examples like this underscore the value of our recent efforts to align our collaborative model development with software engineering principles and Open Science best practices.

How to cite: Lapere, R., Price, R., Marelle, L., Bastien, L., and Thomas, J.: Opposite cloud responses to extreme Arctic pollution: sensitivity to cloud microphysics, or a bug?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19755, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19755, 2026.

All statistical tools come with assumptions. Yet many scientists treat statistics like a collection of black-box methods without learning the assumptions. Here I illustrate this problem using dozens of studies that claim to show that solar variability is a dominant driver of climate. I find that linear regression approaches are widely misused among these studies. In particular, they often violate the assumption of ‘no autocorrelation’ of the time series used, though it is common for studies to violate several or all of the assumptions of linear regression. The misuse of statistical tools has been a common problem across all fields of science for decades. This presentation serves as an important cautionary tale for the Earth Sciences and highlights the need for better statistical education and for statistical software that automatically checks input data for assumptions.

How to cite: Steiger, N.: Pervasive violation of statistical assumptions in studies linking solar variability to climate, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19776, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19776, 2026.

EGU26-20122 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

Developing Matrix-Matched Empirical Calibrations for EDXRF Analysis of Peat-Alternative Growth Media 

Thulani De Silva, Carmela Tupaz, Maame Croffie, Karen Daly, Michael Gaffney, Michael Stock, and Eoghan Corbett

A key reason for the widespread use of peat-based growth media in horticulture is their reliable nutrient availability when supplemented with fertilisers. However, due to environmental concerns over continued peat-extraction and use, peat-alternatives (e.g., coir, wood fibre, composted bark, biochar) are increasingly being used commercially. These alternative media often blend multiple materials, making it crucial to understand elemental composition and nutrient interactions between components. This study evaluates whether benchtop Energy Dispersive X-ray Fluorescence (EDXRF) can provide a rapid method for determining the elemental composition of peat-alternative components.

Representative growing media components (peat, coir, wood fibre, composted bark, biochar, horticultural lime, perlite, slow-release fertilisers, and trace-element fertiliser) were blended in different ratios to generate industry-representative mixes. Individual components and prepared mixes were dried and milled to ≤80 μm. An industry-representative mix (QC-50: 50% peat, 30% wood fibre, 10% composted bark, 10% coir, with fertiliser and lime additions) and 100% peat were analysed by EDXRF (Rigaku NEX-CG) for P, K, Mg, Ca, S, Fe, Mn, Zn, Cu and Mo, and compared against ICP-OES reference measurements. The instrument’s fundamental parameters (FP) method using a plant-based organic materials library showed large discrepancies relative to ICP-OES (relative differences: 268–390 084%) for most elements in both QC-50 and peat, with the exception of Ca in QC-50 (11%). These results confirm that the FP approach combined with loose-powder preparation is unsuitable for accurate elemental analysis of organic growing media.

An empirical calibration was subsequently developed using 18 matrix-matched standards (CRMs, in-house growing media and individual component standards). Matrix matching is challenging because mixes are mostly organic by volume, yet variable inorganic amendments (e.g., lime, fertilisers, and sometimes perlite) can strongly influence XRF absorption/enhancement effects. Calibration performance was optimised iteratively using QC-50 as the validation sample, until relative differences were <15% for all elements. When applied to 100% peat, agreement with ICP-OES results improved substantially for some macro-elements (e.g. Mg 10%, Ca 1%, S 19%) but remained poor for most trace elements (28–96%), demonstrating limited transferability of this calibration method across different elements and matrices tested.

Overall, these results demonstrate that loose powder preparation does not provide sufficiently robust accuracy for EDXRF analysis of organic growing media even with meticulous empirical matrix-matched calibration. We are therefore developing a pressed pellet method using a low-cost wax binder to improve sample homogeneity (packing density) and calibration transferability. Twenty unknown mixes will be analysed using both loose powder and pressed-pellet calibrations, and agreement with reference data (ICP-OES) will confirm method validation, supporting the development of EDXRF as a novel approach for growing media analysis.

How to cite: De Silva, T., Tupaz, C., Croffie, M., Daly, K., Gaffney, M., Stock, M., and Corbett, E.: Developing Matrix-Matched Empirical Calibrations for EDXRF Analysis of Peat-Alternative Growth Media, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20122, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20122, 2026.

EGU26-20375 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS4.4

From Field to File: challenges and recommendations for handling hydrological data 

Karin Bremer, Maria Staudinger, Jan Seibert, and Ilja van Meerveld

In catchment hydrology, long-term data collection often starts as part of a (doctoral) research project. In some cases, the data collection continues on a limited budget, often using the field protocol and data management plan designed for the initial short-term project. Challenges and issues with the continued data collection are likely to arise, especially when there are multiple changes in the people involved. It is especially difficult for researchers who were not directly involved in the fieldwork to understand the data and must therefore rely on field notes and archived data. They then often encounter issues related to inconsistent metadata, such as inconsistent date-time formats and inconsistent or missing units, missing calibration files, and unclear file and processing script organization.

While the specific issues may sound very case-dependent, based on our own and other’s experiences from various research projects, it appears that many issues recur more frequently than one might expect (or be willing to admit). In this presentation, we will share our experiences with bringing spatially distributed groundwater level data collected in Sweden and Switzerland from the field to ready-to-use files. Additionally, we provide recommendations for overcoming the challenges during field data collection, data organization, documentation, and data processing using scripts. These include having a clear, detailed protocol for in the fieldwork and the data processing steps, and ensuring it is followed. Although protocols are often used, they are frequently not detailed enough or are not used as designed. The protocols might also not take into account the further use of the data, such as for hydrological modelling, beyond field collection. 

How to cite: Bremer, K., Staudinger, M., Seibert, J., and van Meerveld, I.: From Field to File: challenges and recommendations for handling hydrological data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20375, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20375, 2026.

In 2014 we developed the Wageningen Lowland Runoff Simulator (WALRUS), a conceptual rainfall-runoff model for catchments with shallow groundwater. Water managers and consultants were involved in model development. In addition, they sponsored the steps necessary for application: making an R package, user manual and tutorial, publishing these on GitHub and organising user days. WALRUS is now used operationally by several Dutch water authorities and for scientific studies in the Netherlands and abroad. When developing the model, we made certain design choices. Now, after twelve years of application in water management, science and education, we re-evaluate the consequences of those choices.

The lessons can be divided into things we learned about the model’s functioning and things we learned from how people use the model. Concerning the model’s functioning, we found that keeping the model representation close to reality has advantages and disadvantages. It makes it easy to understand what happens and why, but it also causes unrealistic expectations. Certain physically based relations hampered model performance because they contained thresholds, and deriving parameter values from field observations resulted in uncertainty and discussions about spatial representativeness.

Concerning the practical use, we found that the easy-to-use, open source R package with manual was indispensable for new users. Nearly all users preferred default options over the implemented user-defined functions to allow tailor-made solutions. Parameter calibration was more difficult than expected because the feedbacks necessary to simulate the hydrological processes in lowlands increase the risk of equifinality. In addition, lack of suitable discharge data for calibration prompted the request for default parameter values. Finally, the model was subject to unintended model use, sometimes violating basic assumptions and sometimes showing unique opportunities we had not thought of ourselves.

C.C. Brauer, A.J. Teuling, P.J.J.F. Torfs, R. Uijlenhoet (2014): The Wageningen Lowland Runoff Simulator (WALRUS): a lumped rainfall-runoff model for catchments with shallow groundwater, Geosci. Model Dev., 7, 2313-2332, doi:10.5194/gmd-7-2313-2014

How to cite: Brauer, C.: Re-evaluating the WALRUS rainfall-runoff model design after twelve years of application, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21915, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21915, 2026.

GM2 – Geomorphologists' tools and Methods

Using a new global seismological analysis technique designed to detect long-lasting coherent signals, we identify both previously known and entirely unrecognized resonant-like seismic emissions at periods longer than 10 seconds. A detailed examination of these signals allows us to locate their sources with remarkable precision. Strikingly, they cluster in offshore sedimentary basins near major river fans and beneath ice-covered regions. Although their resonant character resembles classic volcanic tremor, the source locations indicate that they are not associated with any known volcanic system.

A careful analysis of their frequency content, spatial distribution, and radiation patterns instead suggests that these signals may originate from the resonance of fluids within shallow subsurface reservoirs. This interpretation aligns with the presence of large volumes of gas, oil, and water in thick sedimentary basins, and with seafloor seepage structures that release substantial amounts of naturally generated fluids from depths of roughly 5–10 km.

By tracking the temporal evolution of these signals, we also identify a pronounced seasonal modulation that mirrors oceanic variability. This observation points to a significant coupling between the oceans and the solid Earth, potentially mediated by static or dynamic stress transfer.

The detection of these newly recognized signals opens a promising path toward probing the largely unexplored dynamics of sedimentary layers and their sensitivity to external environmental forcing. More broadly, these findings introduce a new class of geophysical observables capable of revealing how the shallow lithosphere responds to, and interacts with, oceanic processes on seasonal to long-term timescales.

How to cite: Poli, P. and Takano, T.: Detection and characterization of resonant signals in global seismology: Evidence for shallow fluid reservoirs and their interaction with the oceans, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1453, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1453, 2026.

EGU26-4482 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

Frequency-Resolved Seismic Source Localization in Fluvial Settings Using Dense Arrays 

Samidha Venkatesh Revankar, Florent Gimbert, and Alain Recking

Monitoring dynamic surface processes such as sediment transport and turbulence during high-flow events remains a major challenge in fluvial geomorphology. Seismic methods provide a non-invasive alternative, but robust source localisation is challenged by the distributed nature of fluvial sources, heterogeneous shallow structures, and the broadband character of the signals they produce. Because turbulence and bedload dominate different parts of the spectrum, we require broadband analysis. We establish a generalised framework for frequency-resolved seismic source localisation using dense arrays and matched field processing. We introduce a hybrid processing strategy that exploits the array differently across frequencies: full-network matched field processing at low frequencies, where coherence spans the entire aperture, and sub-array averaging at higher frequencies, where coherence is confined to local scales. We apply the framework to a field case, where we retrieve frequency-dependent source regions across the active channel and separate low-frequency turbulent noise from higher-frequency bedload impacts. We conduct synthetic tests to quantify localisation uncertainty as a function of frequency, sensor density, and signal-to-noise ratio. Across the 2-40 Hz range, we find that localisation uncertainty varies from a few metres at low frequencies to more than 100 m at high frequencies, reflecting the expected loss of resolution at shorter wavelengths. By quantifying these trade-offs, we provide practical guidance for future deployments, including sensor spacing and array geometry required to achieve a target resolution.

How to cite: Venkatesh Revankar, S., Gimbert, F., and Recking, A.: Frequency-Resolved Seismic Source Localization in Fluvial Settings Using Dense Arrays, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4482, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4482, 2026.

EGU26-5278 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Spatiotemporally evolving particle impact rates in sediment-generated acoustic signals 

Zheng Chen, Dieter Rickenmann, Fabian Walter, Brian McArdell, Jiahui Kang, Christoph Wetter, and Alexandre Badoux

High-frequency acoustic and seismic signals generated by granular flows, such as bedload transport and debris flows, provide valuable information on sediment dynamics, yet the physical interpretation remains challenging. In dense or partially dense solid-fluid granular flows, signal generation is controlled not only by particle-bed impacts but also by frequent inter-particle collisions within the actively shearing layer. These collisions are shear-driven and evolve rapidly in time and space, with impact rates being highly sensitive to shear strain rate, time, and granular layer thickness. However, most existing particle impact rate models assume stationary conditions and neglect the spatiotemporal variability inherent in natural geophysical flows, limiting the ability to explain observed non-stationary spectral signatures. Here, we develop a new analytical framework for particle impact rate in solid-fluid two-phase granular flows based on non-equilibrium thermodynamics. The model explicitly links collision rate to shear strain rate, granular state variables, and the thickness of the basal shearing layer, allowing impact rates to evolve dynamically in time and space. Reformulating the model in the frequency domain provides a direct theoretical connection between evolving collision rates and the spectral properties of the generated acoustic and seismic signals. For saturated channel beds, we further investigate the two-way coupling between pore water pressure and particle impacts in signal generation. Particle impacts are conceptualized as transient mechanical sources that locally compact the granular skeleton, reduce pore volume, and generate excess pore pressure, which in turn feeds back on particle impacts. Analytical solutions demonstrate that the amplitude and persistence of impact-induced pore pressure perturbations are controlled by bed permeability, shear strain rate, and the thickness of the basal shear layer. An increase in pore pressure reduces effective stress and feeds back on collision dynamics, introducing an additional control on signal generation. Building on these results, we extend existing power spectral density formulations to show that temporally evolving particle impact rates modulate frequency spectra by redistributing spectral power across frequences, resulting in departures from classical spectral scaling. Pore pressure effects further modify spectral amplitudes and attenuation. The proposed framework offers new physical insights into sediment-generated signals, enabling improved interpretation of evolving particle impact rates and pore pressure related effects in bedload transport and debris flows.

How to cite: Chen, Z., Rickenmann, D., Walter, F., McArdell, B., Kang, J., Wetter, C., and Badoux, A.: Spatiotemporally evolving particle impact rates in sediment-generated acoustic signals, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5278, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5278, 2026.

EGU26-6957 | Posters on site | GM2.1

Seismic signatures of large river dynamics revealed by a dense seismic array at the Tiger Leaping Gorge of the Jinsha River, SE Tibet 

Xiaodong Yan, Hui Tang, Jing Liu-Zeng, Jens Turowski, Yan Wang, Jinglei Yang, Jichuan Wang, and Qi Zhou

Fluvial seismology is an emerging field that exploits seismic signals generated by fluvial processes to monitor bedload transport and flow turbulence. Currently, most previous studies have focused on small mountain rivers, while seismic signatures from large rivers remain poorly explored. The Tiger Leaping Gorge is a deeply incised, narrow gorge in the upper Yangtze River characterized by extreme topographic relief and intense fluvial incision. Over a river length of approximately 20 km, the riverbed elevation drops by ~200 m, and the maximum discharge can reach ~5000 m³ s⁻¹, making the gorge an exceptional natural laboratory for investigating the coupling between seismic signals and hydrodynamic processes in large rivers. Until March 2022, we deployed 35 seismic stations along the riverbanks of the Tiger Leaping Gorge to continuously monitor the actively incising river segment.

We analyzed eight months of continuous seismic data along the river channel. In contrast to observations from small rivers, we identify two distinct and well-separated seismic energy bands at most stations. Temporal variations in both frequency bands show strong correlations with river discharge. We interpret the higher-frequency energy band as being primarily generated by small-scale eddy interacting with a rough riverbed, a process that appears to be particularly pronounced in large rivers. Building on existing models of turbulence-generated and bedload-generated seismic signals, we further tested different inversion approaches and applied them to all stations in the array. This allowed us to reconstruct the spatiotemporal variations in river stage and bedload transport across the study area.

Our results reveal that large rivers exhibit seismic signal characteristics controlled by distinct flow-related mechanisms, a phenomenon that has not been fully recognized in previous studies of small-scale rivers. Moreover, this study demonstrates that dense seismic arrays can resolve river dynamic processes at high spatial and temporal resolution, highlighting the potential of fluvial seismology for monitoring large river systems.

How to cite: Yan, X., Tang, H., Liu-Zeng, J., Turowski, J., Wang, Y., Yang, J., Wang, J., and Zhou, Q.: Seismic signatures of large river dynamics revealed by a dense seismic array at the Tiger Leaping Gorge of the Jinsha River, SE Tibet, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6957, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6957, 2026.

EGU26-9430 | Posters on site | GM2.1

Seismic monitoring of sediment transport during flash floods:  Case studies of Storms Alex and Aline on the Roya river, France 

Marie-Odile Dib, Malgorzata Chmiel, Margot Chapuis, Jean-Paul Ampuero, Morgan Abily, Diego Mercerat, and Françoise Courboulex

In mountain catchments, floods can mobilize large amounts of sediment, yet monitoring these events remains a major challenge. Understanding the processes governing sediment transport during extreme floods, such as flood waves and sediment pulses, is key to improving our understanding of rapid erosion dynamics. Environmental seismology offers a powerful approach to detect and quantify these processes remotely and continuously with high temporal resolution.

The Mediterranean basin is characterized by a climate and topography prone to flash floods. The objective of this work is to quantify the sediment transport that occurred during the extreme flooding associated with Storm Alex (October 2020), and the subsequent major flood caused by Storm Aline (October 2023), on the Roya River in southeast France.

To address this objective, we use seismic measurements from a single-component geophone (natural frequency of 4.5 Hz) installed at 5 m from the Roya River. We apply previously developed physical models describing the seismic power generated by river bedload transport (saltation model) and turbulent flow. Comparison with model predictions suggests that, at such short distances, the recorded seismic power is dominated by the bedload process, allowing us to focus on the saltation model.

To quantify the sediment transport during periods of peak seismic amplitude, we calibrate the parameters of the saltation model to the Roya River context. Although the resulting volumetric sediment flux is consistent in order of magnitude with theoretical and empirical estimates, the complexity of the physical environment calls for further investigation. Seismic parameters of the riverbed, realistic grain size distributions of transported sediments, and local hydrometric data remain difficult to constrain directly. We address these uncertainties through sensitivity analyses, which show that seismic medium parameters mainly control the shape of the seismic spectrum. We therefore explore the use of real data that we obtain from an active and passive seismic experiment to adjust those parameters

Water depth is another key parameter of the saltation model, as it controls the basal shear stress. We estimate flow depth using upstream discharge measurements and local discharge modeling with simplified theoretical relationships between flow depth, river width, and discharge. Ongoing and future work includes seismic array measurements and local hydraulic modelling to further constrain model parameters. Overall, our results highlight the potential of environmental seismology to quantify sediment transport during extreme flash floods and to improve process-based understanding of sediment transfer in steep Mediterranean river systems.

How to cite: Dib, M.-O., Chmiel, M., Chapuis, M., Ampuero, J.-P., Abily, M., Mercerat, D., and Courboulex, F.: Seismic monitoring of sediment transport during flash floods:  Case studies of Storms Alex and Aline on the Roya river, France, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9430, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9430, 2026.

EGU26-9446 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Liquefied Deposition Layers Modulate Seismic Wave Propagation in Surge-type Debris Flows 

Fengrun Jiang and Dongri Song

Surge-type debris flows advance through successive surges, during which in-channel deposition layers progressively develop between surges and continuously modify basal conditions. Seismic observations from Jiangjia Ravine show that ground vibration amplitudes systematically weaken as surge sequences evolve, even when successive surges exhibit similar flow magnitudes, implying a breakdown in the conventional scaling between flow intensity and seismic response. This phenomenon is interpreted as a consequence of the progressive buildup and partial liquefaction of inter-surge deposition layers, rather than the influence of static, pre-existing bed deposits. To represent this process quantitatively, we introduce an effective transmission parameter (ξ) into a fluvial seismology framework and establish a sigmoid relationship between ξ and the normalized thickness of the deposition layer (H*). Incorporating this relationship substantially enhances the ability to reproduce observed variations in seismic power spectral density (PSD) across surge sequences and offers a transferable means of capturing subsurface flow–bed coupling. These results highlight the importance of dynamic bed evolution in controlling debris-flow-generated seismic signals and provide new insights for improving real-time monitoring and early-warning strategies in sediment-laden mountain catchments.

How to cite: Jiang, F. and Song, D.: Liquefied Deposition Layers Modulate Seismic Wave Propagation in Surge-type Debris Flows, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9446, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9446, 2026.

EGU26-9607 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Typhoon-driven Near-surface Groundwater Dynamics Revealed by Ambient Noise in the Mountain Watershed 

Cheng-Hua Tsai, Ci‐Jian Yang, Luc Illien, and Li-Wei Chen

Near-surface groundwater dynamics (NSGD) reflect residence and recharge of the terrestrial water and control the water resource of the downstream area. Environmental seismology, using seismic velocity changes (dv/v), provides a non-invasive approach to observe NSGD. Here, we use ambient seismic noise at four seismic stations, hydraulic, and meteorological records from the Liwu watershed, Taiwan, following Typhoon Kompasu in 2021 to investigate NSGD in response to typhoon rainfall. We used the single-station cross-component (SC) method to construct daily correlation functions, and dv/v was computed by the stretching method in the frequency band of 4–8 Hz. Moreover, we simulated dv/v using a near-surface layer of limited storage capacity and adjusted hydraulic conductivity (Ks). Our results indicate that peak dv/v at the downstream station was about four times that at the divide, with recovery to pre-typhoon levels taking 29 days, compared to 8 days at the divide station. Simulated Ks shows that hydraulic conductivity values higher than borehole-derived estimates are required to best capture the observed dv/v responses, indicating the preferential flow may be via colluvium and fractured bedrock in the study site. In short, a five-day typhoon produced nearly one month of NSGD, demonstrating that near-surface groundwater may function as a temporary storage zone for deep groundwater. These results demonstrate that ambient seismic noise can resolve short-term subsurface water dynamics during extreme events, offering new constraints on water residence times and aquifer structure that are relevant for disaster management and biogeochemical studies in mountainous watersheds.

How to cite: Tsai, C.-H., Yang, C., Illien, L., and Chen, L.-W.: Typhoon-driven Near-surface Groundwater Dynamics Revealed by Ambient Noise in the Mountain Watershed, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9607, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9607, 2026.

EGU26-9649 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

 Observing subglacial bedload transport dynamics with on-ice seismic networks on Glacier d’Otemma, Switzerland 

Eva Wolf, Davide Mancini, Michael Dietze, Eleonore Stutzmann, Jean-Philippe Metaxian, and Stuart Lane

The manner by which glaciers evacuate the products of erosion is poorly known, especially for the coarser-sized sediments produced by plucking and quarrying, that is the bedload fraction. It has traditionally been assumed that bedload export from Alpine glaciers is relatively efficient. However, continuous, seismic measurements of bedload transport at glacier portals question this assumption as do the results of numerical modelling experiments. There are a number of possible hypotheses to explain such inefficiency, including the structure and geometry of subglacial channels, periodic variation in discharge due to diurnal melt cycles and near-ice margin effects. The problem remains, however, that there are no published datasets on subglacial bedload transport to investigate the effects, not surprising because of the challenges associated with measuring it. The aim of this research is to harness environmental seismology to quantify subglacial bedload transport rates for the first time using on-ice measurements.

In the first part of the project, we traced the location and development of two subglacial channels of Glacier d’Otemma, Valais, Switzerland. In this study, we investigate the discharge and sediment traveling in our identified channels. With the help of thirty seismic sensors on the glacier surface and at the glacial terminus, we record the seismic activity of Glacier d’Otemma during its melt season in 2024. We trace the path the sediment takes underneath the glacier with seismic beamforming techniques and relate it to the previously identified shape of the subglacial drainage system. A line of seismic sensors along the glacier was able to record waves of bedload as they travel underneath the ice. With the help of physical models, the spectral information of the ground motion data is translated into sediment transport and discharge quantities. The project contributes to reveal the interaction of sediment and the characteristics of subglacial drainage system in alpine glaciers, giving further insights into erosion mechanisms at play.

How to cite: Wolf, E., Mancini, D., Dietze, M., Stutzmann, E., Metaxian, J.-P., and Lane, S.:  Observing subglacial bedload transport dynamics with on-ice seismic networks on Glacier d’Otemma, Switzerland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9649, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9649, 2026.

EGU26-9781 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

A Robust Framework for Clustering Variable-Length Seismic Events: A Cryogenic Case Study  

Antonia Kiel, Conny Hammer, and Vera Schlindwein

Long-term seismic monitoring provides a unique insight into glacier and ice-shelf dynamics. However, the extraction of meaningful cryoseismic information from continuous multi-year records remains challenging. Icequake events frequently show unclear or overlapping signals due to harsh environmental conditions and persistent background activity. While the utilisation of variable event lengths can be instrumental in the avoidance of merging multiple events into a single window, most unsupervised learning methods require fixed input durations. This emphasises the necessity for a novel unsupervised clustering approach that can handle time-variant events of varying lengths while robustly detecting outliers. The method should be physics-based to accommodate the limited prior knowledge of icequake characteristics. It should also operate directly on large event catalogues, without reliance on handcrafted features.

To address this issue, the incrementally buffered dynamic time warping clustering is introduced. This is a new approach to clustering dynamic time warping (DTW) distances of events and it incorporates the requirements stated above. The method starts with an initial k-medoids clustering on a pairwise DTW distance matrix of a subset of events, thereby generating initial k clusters. The subsequent addition of new samples is based on a statistically robust distance threshold from the distribution in within-cluster distances of the initial step. Each event is compared only to existing medoids, assigned to the nearest cluster if the DTW distance falls below the threshold, or temporarily placed in a buffer when classified as an outlier. The promotion of buffered events to new clusters is only permitted when the criteria for similarity and minimum sample count are met, thus preventing the formation of spurious clusters from isolated noise events. Lastly, a final global reassignment step is performed. This step involves the recomputation of all event-to-medoid distances. The purpose of this is to stabilise cluster boundaries and refine the catalogue. The combination of these steps results in a scalable and transparent algorithm that is well-suited to the analysis of extensive environmental time-series data.

The present study applies this framework to a time span of several years of vertical-component seismic data from the 16-sensor Watzmann array at Neumayer Station III, Antarctica. Preliminary results indicate the presence of numerous persistent families of icequakes. These are analysed with regard to their correlation with environmental conditions, including tidal modulation and wind.

How to cite: Kiel, A., Hammer, C., and Schlindwein, V.: A Robust Framework for Clustering Variable-Length Seismic Events: A Cryogenic Case Study , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9781, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9781, 2026.

EGU26-10606 | Posters on site | GM2.1

Surveying and modelling the distributed effects of wind and rain 

Michael Dietze

Atmospheric effects, specifically wind and precipitation, are often considered as dominant sources of noise in seismic records, both in the high frequency and ultra low frequency domain. However, those two processes are also important drivers of geomorphic activity: wind causing advective processes, aeolian transport and erosion, tree uprooting, and energy transfer from the atmosphere to the ground. Precipitation, specifically rain, controls splash erosion, surface sealing through puddling, soil moisture, groundwater fluctuations, and importantly, the initiation of surface flow and resulting flood and sediment transport waves. Despite their widespread reflection in seismic data sets, especially in the context of environmental seismology studies, there is surprisingly little valorisation of the signal content associated with these two environmental variables. Here, I show case study based examples of the different signatures of wind and rain in seismic data sets to illustrate the systematic variability arising from different process modes, intensities and types of interaction with elements of the Critical Zone. I make use of physical models of rainfall and modified models of wind interaction with open ground and trees, to explore the information that can be extracted from seismic data sets by inverting those models in combination.

How to cite: Dietze, M.: Surveying and modelling the distributed effects of wind and rain, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10606, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10606, 2026.

EGU26-11529 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

Seismoacoustic Localization and Source Level Estimation of Blue Whale Calls in the Gulf of St. Lawrence 

Eva Goblot, Romina Gehrmann, David Barclay, Katherine Indeck, Alexandre Plourde, Elahe Sirati, and Mladen Nedimović

Quantifying the source levels and localizing blue whale vocalizations in the Gulf of St. Lawrence is essential for effective management of this endangered population in a region of intense shipping activity. We present an innovative study leveraging data from diverse observational platforms, i.e., ocean bottom seismometers and underwater gliders. Since 2019, gliders equipped with hydrophones have been deployed every summer in the Honguedo Strait shipping lane between Gaspé and Anticosti Island, in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, to trigger mitigation measures when detecting North Atlantic right whales. These platforms have recorded acoustic signals produced by many other whale species, including the endangered Northwest Atlantic (NWA) blue whale, for which similar mitigation measures have not been established. This is because the source level of NWA blue whale vocalizations (e.g. Arch calls) and their detection range from gliders in the region remain unquantified. Yet, these parameters are necessary for cetacean density estimation and for evaluating the feasibility of using this call type for dynamic management frameworks. We take advantage of four ocean bottom seismometers (OBS) on which NWA blue whale calls were detected. We analyse a 1-hour subset of 79 Arch calls that were co-detected on glider and OBS data. The vocalizing whale is localized using a time-difference-of-arrival approach with a coupled ocean-acoustic model that incorporated spatially varying bathymetry, sound speed, and sediment properties. Received levels at each OBS were calibrated using a transfer function, derived from simultaneous particle-velocity and pressure measurements, to quantify the response of the seismometer to the waterborne acoustic wave. Source levels were then estimated using the calibrated received levels and a parabolic equation transmission loss model configured to the environment along the source-receiver path. Preliminary results from our case study demonstrate that Arch calls can be detected in the Northwest Gulf up to 125 km and 150 km from an OBS and glider, respectively, where the difference is primarily explained by the receiver’s position in the water column. The measured acoustic features of Arch calls suggest propagation similarities to infrasonic blue whale vocalizations (i.e., songs). These findings have ecological implications and can inform management strategies in an area heavily used by both whales and vessels.

How to cite: Goblot, E., Gehrmann, R., Barclay, D., Indeck, K., Plourde, A., Sirati, E., and Nedimović, M.: Seismoacoustic Localization and Source Level Estimation of Blue Whale Calls in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11529, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11529, 2026.

EGU26-12096 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Seismic Transients of Internal Deformation in an Active Rockslide (Spitze Stei, Switzerland): First Insights from a Dense Seismic Nodal Array  

Bivas Das, Małgorzata Chmiel, Francoise Courboulex, Fabian Walter, Xavier Martin, Juan-Sebastián Osorno-Bolívar, Christian Kienholz, Gabriela Arias, and Martijn van den Ende

The unstable rock slope "Spitze Stei" (Kandersteg, Switzerland) has shown significantly increased activity for several years. Since 2018, observed displacement rates can exceed 40 cm per day seasonally. The instability covers a total area of ​​approximately half a square km. The volume of the moving rock and debris mass is ~16 million m3, distributed across several rock compartments. Driven by degrading permafrost and enhanced gliding planes, these primary gravitational instabilities result in secondary, often destructive, debris flows into the Oeschibach channel. While continuous monitoring is essential for risk management, traditional visual and radar methods are often constrained by adverse weather conditions, limited temporal resolution and limited sensitivity to subsurface processes. To overcome these limitations and monitor rockslide internal deformation, material damage, and ongoing mass-movement processes at high spatial resolution, a dense temporary seismic network consisting of 64 SmartSolo nodes (natural frequency 5 Hz) were deployed across the slope at the end of June 2025 and operated for nearly three months. This dataset is complemented by recordings from three semi-permanent seismometers that have been operating since October 2021, providing a longer-term reference for background seismicity and site-specific noise characteristics.

We analyze the continuous seismic records to detect and characterize signals from a variety of mass-movement phenomena, including rockfalls, granular flows, debris flows and avalanche-related activity. Signals are evaluated based on waveform properties, duration, amplitude evolution, and spectral content, with comparisons across sensor types and periods. A key objective is to isolate and cluster internal microseismic activity, distinguishing it from background noise, external sources (e.g., icequakes), and transient permafrost-related signals.

Our preliminary results highlight a diverse set of seismic signal types linked to both surface processes and internal rockslide dynamics. This observed variability suggests changes in deformation style across different rock compartments, demonstrating the potential of dense nodal seismic arrays to resolve internal rockslide processes relevant for hazard monitoring.

How to cite: Das, B., Chmiel, M., Courboulex, F., Walter, F., Martin, X., Osorno-Bolívar, J.-S., Kienholz, C., Arias, G., and van den Ende, M.: Seismic Transients of Internal Deformation in an Active Rockslide (Spitze Stei, Switzerland): First Insights from a Dense Seismic Nodal Array , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12096, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12096, 2026.

EGU26-12146 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Building a Demonstration Tsunami alert system in the Uummannaq fjord, Greenland 

Dario Jozinović, John Clinton, Frédérick Massin, Leonard Seydoux, Eva Mätzler, and Jonas Petersen

Iceberg calving and near-shore landslides in Greenland produces seiches in the fjords - standing tsunami-like waves on the order of minutes of period that resonate for hours (or even days in extreme cases, see Svennevig et al., 2024), and can pose danger to the population and cause damage to infrastructure in the villages. For more than a decade, it has been known that broadband seismic sensors on-shore are sensitive to the ground tilt induced by these waves (Amundsen et al., 2012). Seiches are typically seen in seismic data as very long period waves that last tens of minutes to hours. This means that a network of on-shore seismic sensors can be employed to provide a tsunami early warning (TEW) system for both on-site and network-wide TEW. A major advantage of seismic networks over pressure gauges is the fact that the sensors are not exposed to the destructive forces of sea ice and icebergs, which are abundant in many regions of Greenland. In this work we demonstrate how a seismic network in the Uummannaq fjord (Greenland) can be used to provide TEW to the villages in the fjord. We further demonstrate an algorithm that allows detecting seiches and discriminating them from other sources of long-period signals (mostly large teleseismic earthquakes). Such an algorithm, however, can be significantly affected by corrupted data (spikes, steps, etc.), which produce false alarms. We then demonstrate how we can remove these false triggers using a deep scattering network (Seydoux et al., 2020). Our results show that we can detect seiches with little false alarms and provide timely TEW in the Uummannaq fjord, including the 2017 Nuugatsiaq landslide. We also demonstrate our implementation of the developed TEW algorithm into a real-time system in SeisComP. 

How to cite: Jozinović, D., Clinton, J., Massin, F., Seydoux, L., Mätzler, E., and Petersen, J.: Building a Demonstration Tsunami alert system in the Uummannaq fjord, Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12146, 2026.

EGU26-12535 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Frequency-dependent seismic response to hydrological and bedload forcing in a glacier-fed stream 

Flavia Marini, Marco Piantini, Francesco Comiti, Matteo Bertagni, and Carlo Camporeale

Proglacial streams that drain Alpine glaciers are characterized by variable hydrological forcing and highly intermittent sediment transport, making continuous monitoring of hydro-sedimentary processes necessary to understand their dynamics. Near-field seismic monitoring has recently been established as a valid non-invasive approach to studying river dynamics, since ground vibrations are sensitive to both flow turbulence and bedload transport.

In this study, we analyse the seismic response of a proglacial stream fed by the Rutor Glacier, the sixth-largest glacier in the Italian Alps, integrating passive seismic monitoring with hydrological and climatic observations. Three geophones were installed close to the active channel and continuously recorded ground vibrations at 200 Hz during the 2025 ablation season (June–September). The seismic power spectral density was analysed across different frequency bands. Water level was monitored using pressure sensors, while discharge was estimated using saline dilution tests, allowing the relationship between seismic signals and hydrological forcing to be investigated.

The preliminary results show marked diurnal fluctuations in water level driven by glacial melt. At low frequencies (5–15 Hz), seismic power increases predominantly linearly with water level, suggesting a dominant control by water flow turbulence. In contrast, at relatively high frequencies (30–40 Hz), the seismic response becomes nonlinear and exhibits a clear change in slope when a critical water level is exceeded, suggesting the activation and/or intensification of bedload transport superimposed on the hydraulic signal.

This study highlights the potential of environmental seismology as a non-invasive and continuous monitoring approach to investigate hydro-sedimentary dynamics in highly variable proglacial environments.

How to cite: Marini, F., Piantini, M., Comiti, F., Bertagni, M., and Camporeale, C.: Frequency-dependent seismic response to hydrological and bedload forcing in a glacier-fed stream, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12535, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12535, 2026.

EGU26-15481 | Posters on site | GM2.1

Field-scale artificial channel experiments for fluvial DAS observations 

Wei-An Chao, Chi-Yao Hung, Yu-Shiu Chen, and Su-Chin Chen

Understanding river sediment transport, and bedrock incision remains a major challenge in fluvial geomorphology Capturing their full temporal dynamics requires long-term monitoring of experimental catchments. This study explores the potential of Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) technology to advance our understanding of fluvial sediment transport and riverbed evolution. DAS not only records strain or strain rates at meter-scale resolutions, similar to riverine dense geophone arrays but also captures a broad frequency range (mHz to kHz), comparable to hydrophones. Two experiments were conducted in meandering and straight artificial channels, with boundaries lined by waterproof membranes and stone protections, allowing for systematic effects of boundary and meandering shape. The experimental channels had a trapezoidal cross section, with widths ranging from approximately 2 to 4 m and bed slopes of 4–5°. During the experiments, the maximum flow depth reached about 0.3–0.4 m, the discharge ranged between 0.5 and 1 m³ s⁻¹, and the median grain size (D50) was approximately 10–20 mm. The experiments were monitored using a synchronized multi-sensor framework that combined UAV- and ground-based photogrammetry, particle tracking velocimetry, water-level gauges, stand-alone hydroacoustic sensor, riverine seismic dense array and DAS monitoring. Two fiber-optic burial configurations were examined for strain-rate sensing: (1) burial within a 30 cm thick sediment layer, and (2) installation beneath the armored riverbed (riprap) layer, allowing assessment of coupling conditions. Two-gauge lengths (2 m and 10 m) were also tested to evaluate their influence on strain-rate measurements. In our artificial channel experiments, the DAS measurements successfully captured high–spatiotemporal-resolution riverbed erosion and deposition dynamics. Fibers buried beneath the armored riverbed layer exhibited less sensitivity to riverbed morphological changes compared to those embedded within the sediment layer. In addition, the integration of DAS strain-rate, hydrophone, and riverbank seismic array data provided a comprehensive characterization of sediment transport processes across the channel. This study demonstrated that fluvial DAS enables continuous, high–spatiotemporal-resolution monitoring of sediment transport and riverbed evolution.

 

How to cite: Chao, W.-A., Hung, C.-Y., Chen, Y.-S., and Chen, S.-C.: Field-scale artificial channel experiments for fluvial DAS observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15481, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15481, 2026.

EGU26-16077 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

How farming practices reshape soil hydrodynamics 

Qibin Shi, Marine Denolle, David Montgomery, Abigail Swann, Nicoleta Cristea, Ethan Williams, Nan You, Joe Collins, Ana Prada Barrio, Simon Jeffery, Paula Misiewicz, and Tarje Nissen-Meyer

Farming practices reshape soil hydrodynamics by altering near-surface structure, mechanical stiffness, and water transport pathways, yet their impacts remain difficult to observe at field scale and high temporal resolution. Here we combine distributed acoustic sensing with physics-based hydromechanical modeling to quantify how tillage systems and soil compaction influences minute-scale, meter-scale seismic and hydrological responses in agricultural soils. We show that dynamic capillary effects govern transient soil stiffness and moisture redistribution following rainfall, with disturbed soils exhibiting sharp post-rain seismic velocity reductions associated with near-surface saturation. These responses are followed by pronounced hysteretic velocity recoveries driven by evapotranspiration, revealing strong memory effects in soil–water dynamics. Seismically inverted estimates of soil saturation demonstrate how farming-induced disturbance reshapes water flux partitioning and subsurface storage. Our results provide direct observational evidence that farming practices fundamentally reorganize soil hydrodynamics and establish distributed seismic sensing as a scalable, non-invasive approach for observing  soil processes relevant to land–atmosphere exchange, Earth system modeling, and resilience to hydrological extremes.

How to cite: Shi, Q., Denolle, M., Montgomery, D., Swann, A., Cristea, N., Williams, E., You, N., Collins, J., Prada Barrio, A., Jeffery, S., Misiewicz, P., and Nissen-Meyer, T.: How farming practices reshape soil hydrodynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16077, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16077, 2026.

EGU26-16328 | Posters on site | GM2.1

Seismic Monitoring of Rockfalls Enhanced by LiDAR and Photogrammetric Data: Towards Automatic Detection and Early Warning. 

Mar Tapia, Marta Guinau, Xabier Blanch, Antonio Abellan, Bixen Telletxea, Jana Martín, and Francesc Meneses

Continuous seismic monitoring has proven effective for detecting rockfalls, yet most studies rely on multiple stations or dense arrays, increasing cost and complexity. This study demonstrates that a single seismic station, located approximately 100 m from the event site, can detect small rockfalls (<0.005 m³), characterize their dynamics, and estimate their volumes.

The approach relies on careful signal processing, combining STA/LTA analysis, envelope calculation, and parameters such as amplitude, duration, and frequency, to reveal distinctive features of rockfall events. This methodology emphasizes the quality of extracted information over the quantity of data, enabling real-time identification of minor precursory events even amidst diverse environmental and anthropogenic noise.

LiDAR and photogrammetry provide high-resolution spatial data to calibrate and validate detections, but their limited temporal resolution prevents continuous monitoring. Controlled block-fall experiments further optimized station placement and confirmed the system’s sensitivity. These results demonstrate the potential of cost-effective, single-station seismic monitoring for automatic rockfall detection and early warning, offering a practical solution for hazardous mountainous regions.

How to cite: Tapia, M., Guinau, M., Blanch, X., Abellan, A., Telletxea, B., Martín, J., and Meneses, F.: Seismic Monitoring of Rockfalls Enhanced by LiDAR and Photogrammetric Data: Towards Automatic Detection and Early Warning., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16328, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16328, 2026.

EGU26-16347 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Using flexural waves recorded by distributed acoustic sensing to infer the ice thickness and water depth of a frozen lake 

Eduardo Valero Cano, Ludovic Moreau, Felix Strobel, and Gregor Hillers

Information about frozen lakes, including ice rigidity, ice thickness, and water depth, is essential for environmental studies and practical applications. Although these properties can be measured in the field, such measurements are labor-intensive and spatially limited, motivating the development of alternative observation methods. Seismic waves provide an effective approach to studying frozen lakes, as their propagation velocity depends on the physical properties of the ice–water system, including the elastic moduli and thickness of the ice, and water column depth. In this study, we investigate the use of wind-driven flexural waves recorded by a distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) system to infer ice thickness and water depth beneath a 1000 m fiber-optic cable installed on Lake Pääjärvi, southern Finland. We identify wind-induced flexural waves in the 0.01-0.5 Hz frequency band, extract their dispersion curves, and invert them using a grid search to estimate effective ice thickness and water depth under four cable intervals. Our estimates indicate effective ice thicknesses ranging from 22 to 34 cm and effective water depths ranging from 0.8 to 31 m. Absolute differences between effective estimates and arithmetic averages of field measurements range from 0.5 to 8.6 cm for ice thickness and 1.2 to 10.3 m for water depth. Our estimates reproduce the observed dispersion curves and agree with field measurements, demonstrating that it is possible to obtain first-order information about ice thickness and water depth in frozen lake environments. However, the robustness of water depth estimates is limited by the wavenumber content of the flexural waves. In our case, the uncertainty of the water depth estimates increases from 0.43 to 12.05 m as water depth increases because low-wavenumber flexural waves, which are most sensitive to the water column, are not resolved by the dispersion curves. Another important observation is that refraction of flexural waves toward shallower water must be considered when converting apparent velocities measured along the cable to true velocities. If this effect is neglected, dispersion curves and the estimated parameters can be biased.

How to cite: Valero Cano, E., Moreau, L., Strobel, F., and Hillers, G.: Using flexural waves recorded by distributed acoustic sensing to infer the ice thickness and water depth of a frozen lake, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16347, 2026.

EGU26-17225 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

A seismic shift for soil health monitoring: scalable, non-invasive seismology at the decimetre scale. 

Matteo Bagagli, Kevin Davidson, Maria Tsekhmistrenko, Joe Collins, Morine Wangechi, Peter Mosongo, Kuangdai Leng, Jiayao Meng, Yder Masson, Simon Jeffery, and Tarje Nissen-Meyer

Soil is a complex ecosystem at the heart of survival for all life on land. Harbouring more carbon than the atmosphere and vegetation combined, it is home to more than 60% of Earth's species and delivers 99% of calories for the human food system. Despite growing demands, more than 70% of global arable land is classified as degraded. Monitoring soils and thereby improving soil health at scale is difficult due to their multiscale heterogeneity, limited accessibility of remote sensing techniques, and destructive, labour-intensive nature of soil coring, on the other hand. Geophysical techniques offer a tangible alternative. To date, active seismics have scarcely been considered for the living topsoil, a layer mere 10-50 cm below our feet.

We show how seismology with ultrahigh frequency wavefields above 500 Hz generated by hammer strikes and recorded by cheap, bespoke geophones should allow us to infer on a variety of crucial soil health parameters, such as bulk density, soil moisture, topsoil depth, soil carbon, and more, which collectively give rise to determining soil function and health. We present consistently high data quality up to 1500 Hz collected across three continents in more than 10 ecosystems and crop types, showcase a pathway for automated data processing and inference, introduce novel low-cost MEMS sensors, and highlight emerging AI engines.

Our non-profit organisation, Earth Rover Program, is tasked with implementing the vision towards a global soil health assessment of unprecedented resolution and coverage. This, in turn, can eventually equip farmers with spatially explicit, local knowledge of their soils’ state and suggest remedial measures based on this novel data, with the potential to reduce environmental pressures and agricultural costs while increasing long-term yields.

How to cite: Bagagli, M., Davidson, K., Tsekhmistrenko, M., Collins, J., Wangechi, M., Mosongo, P., Leng, K., Meng, J., Masson, Y., Jeffery, S., and Nissen-Meyer, T.: A seismic shift for soil health monitoring: scalable, non-invasive seismology at the decimetre scale., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17225, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17225, 2026.

EGU26-17386 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

Estimation of Frost-Induced Stress Using Time-Lapse Ultrasonic Testing and their Effect on the Dynamics of an Alpine Rock Pillar 

Romain Rousseau, Juliane Starke, Pierre Bottelin, Ludovic Moreau, Laurent Baillet, and Eric Larose

Rock fracturing plays a key role in the formation of mountain landscapes and natural hazards. Freezing is one of the main triggers of erosion and fracturing in the Alps. However, questions remain about the impact of freezing on the resonance frequency of rock pillars and the quantification of mechanical stress generated by ice in natural cliffs. 

To better understand the effect of frost at the centimeter and meter scale, long-term recordings were made using repeatable ultrasonic signals to measure both sound velocity and waveform changes. These observations are combined with the measurement of the pillar's fundamental resonance frequency. The investigated Tête Noire rock pillar consists of micaschist and is instably hanging above the city of Trient in the western Swiss Alps. 

The results show that during freezing, the fundamental resonance frequency increases by 50 %, the P-wave velocity increases by 17 %, and for later arrivals (coda wave) velocity increases by 4 %. After the freezing period, a irreversible drop in P-wave and coda wave velocities is visible, but not in the fundamental resonance frequency which is coming back to its initial value. This decrease in velocity is accompanied by a decorrelation of the ultrasonic waveforms. Reproducing the observed P wave velocity changes on 0.5m thick layer on a finite element COMSOL simulations of the pillar, we determine that the changes in velocity in the rock do not explain the fundamental resonance frequency changes. We therefore propose that the increase in fundamental resonance frequency results from ice filling the rear crack, and we estimate an order of magnitude of about 1.7 m for the ice height, compared with the initial crack size of 10 m. 

To estimate the freezing stress, from the measured velocity changes, we determined the acousto-elastic constant of the Tête Noire micaschist on a representative laboratory sample using uniaxial compression experiments. Those results reveal that the generated freezing induced stress are in the subcritical regime with an order of magnitude of a few tens MPa and are, hence able to damage slightly the rock, irreversibly. The drop in correlation coefficient and in the waves velocity support this conclusion. 

This work was funded by the European Research Council (ERC) under grant No. 101142154 - Crack The Rock project

How to cite: Rousseau, R., Starke, J., Bottelin, P., Moreau, L., Baillet, L., and Larose, E.: Estimation of Frost-Induced Stress Using Time-Lapse Ultrasonic Testing and their Effect on the Dynamics of an Alpine Rock Pillar, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17386, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17386, 2026.

EGU26-17578 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Seismic events classification using language syntax and biomimesis 

Stefania Ursica and Niels Hovius

The planet’s surface is a restless orator: its fractures, failures and flows in response to climatic, tectonic and anthropogenic forcing inscribe narratives in seismic waveforms. Our limited success in decoding these narratives by classification and attribution of complex, incognito signals, threatens to leave Environmental Seismology data-rich but epistemologically impoverished. We propose that geomorphic signals can be formalized as language and tracked as evolving lineages. Hence, we develop a self-organizing, classification method with comprehension, resulting in an explainable, evolving phylogenetic tree. Unlike supervised classification methods that require exhaustive labels or clustering algorithms that conflate statistical similarity with physical kinship, our classification tool learns without labels, generalizes without forgetting physics, and explains without obfuscation.

We present a “glass-box” classifier, unsupervised in perception but supervised in its definition, that treats seismic data not as flat feature vectors but as structured, generative text, translating ground motion into a lexicon of geomorphic processes. Our system discovers its own alphabet, syntax, and semantics: autonomously constructing a taxonomic tree for seismic events while remaining interpretable. To do so, we break down the continuous seismic signal into discrete "phonemes." Multi-scale temporal descriptors, impulsive micro-textures (1.25 s), meso-scale envelope dynamics (5 s) and slow background trends (20 s), compose a multi-metric feature suite. These windows are fused into a tensor encoding nonlinear force interactions, then discretized through RVQ into context-aware symbols. Thus, we replace the geometric rigidity of static clustering with a dynamic evolutionary state space where signal classes behave as adapted species (rockfalls, landslides, debris flows, mine collapses, volcanic tremors, GLOFs, tectonic and glacial earthquakes, nuclear explosions, anthropogenic noise), governed by the Free Energy Principle. Similarity of process signals is tripartite: syntactic (grammar divergence), information-theoretic (surprisal), and algorithmic (NCD). This distinguishes events that look alike but have differing mechanisms: a debris flow and lahar may share "rumble" words, yet obey distinct physical grammars.

Modeled on Darwinian phylodynamics, the spectral species defined by their grammatical structure (causality), "metabolize" incoming data by minimizing thermodynamic surprise. The populations undergo sympatric speciation, hybridization, commensalism, and extinction, disentangling the "phylogenetic distance" (similarity) between superficially similar signals, and ultimately resulting in optimized classification. The algorithmic biomimicry of our approach outperforms static taxonomies that fail in non-stationary Earth systems without retraining.

Applied to a global, geologically heterogeneous inventory of >6000 curated records, preliminary results show phonemes reliability reaches 94–98% across stations and a >50% drop in articulation-structure complexity from noise to geomorphic events. The inferred phylogeny is physically meaningful, decoupling categories in distinct topological manifolds, allowing the classifier to reject false positives without supervision. Uncertainty is metabolized: high-aleatoric/low-epistemic signals (inherent noise) separate from low-aleatoric/high-epistemic anomalies (black swans: candidate new species). Free Energy scores, combine complexity and inaccuracy, outperform baselines in robustness to gaps, clipping, and dropout by over 20%.

The model is self-interpreting; rather than an opaque class label, it outputs a semantic sentence, exposing the decision path to a physically meaningful event classification, whilst also encapsulating information unique to specific events. Legible, self-improving classification turns detection into naming, and identity into process understanding.

How to cite: Ursica, S. and Hovius, N.: Seismic events classification using language syntax and biomimesis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17578, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17578, 2026.

EGU26-17665 * | Orals | GM2.1 | Highlight

Seismic observations and modelling of the August 2025 Tracy Arm, Alaska landslide, megatsunami, precursory seismicity, and seiche 

Stephen Hicks, Dan Shugar, Mira Berdahl, Jacqueline Caplan-Auerbach, Göran Ekström, Aram Fathian, Marten Geertsema, Bretwood Higman, Ezgi Karasozen, Patrick Lynett, Thomas Monahan, Gerard Roe, Kristian Svennevig, Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries, and Michael West

On 10 August 2025, a large landslide (>64×10⁶ m³) collapsed more than 1,000 m onto South Sawyer Glacier and into Tracy Arm fjord in Southeast Alaska. The resulting tsunami ran up the opposing fjord wall to a height of 480 m, the second-highest tsunami ever recorded.

The landslide was preceded by more than 24 hours of repeated microseismicity (up to M~2), with event rates increasing until ~1 hour before failure, signalling a transition to continuous slip of the overall rock mass.

The landslide generated globally observed body and long-period seismic waves equivalent to an Mw 5.4 earthquake, making it one of the largest-magnitude landslides in decades. From regional and global seismic data, we infer a total mass of ~370 million metric tons, exceeding estimates from remote sensing and DEM analysis. This discrepancy suggests that water displacement during the initial tsunami contributed to the long-period global seismic signal.

Following the landslide signal, we observe monochromatic seismic waves worldwide with dominant periods of 50, 52, 66, and 86 s. The 66 s mode is strongest and persists for >36 hours at regional stations. Surface-wave radiation patterns, numerical tsunami modelling, and SWOT satellite water-height observations support the genesis of a fjord-transverse landslide-induced seiche (LIS) in the central fjord. However, seismic radiation is more complex than that of the 2023 Dickson Fjord, Greenland LIS event, likely reflecting differences in the landslide location and its direction, fjord geometry, and interaction of multiple seiche modes.

Despite heavy summer vessel traffic in Tracy Arm, there were no fatalities, making this a near miss. Seismic observations, combined with remote sensing, provide a critical pathway for forecasting and early warning of cascading landslide–tsunami events and for understanding ice–land–water interactions in polar environments.

How to cite: Hicks, S., Shugar, D., Berdahl, M., Caplan-Auerbach, J., Ekström, G., Fathian, A., Geertsema, M., Higman, B., Karasozen, E., Lynett, P., Monahan, T., Roe, G., Svennevig, K., Van Wyk de Vries, M., and West, M.: Seismic observations and modelling of the August 2025 Tracy Arm, Alaska landslide, megatsunami, precursory seismicity, and seiche, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17665, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17665, 2026.

EGU26-18176 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Low frequency icequakes as the signature of transient subglacial water flow underneath the Greenland Ice Sheet 

Hugo Rousseau, Jules Le Bot, Florent Gimbert, Reza Esfahani, Michel Campillo, Samuel H. Doyle, Stephen Livingstone, Andrew Sole, Alexandre Michel, Nicolas Paris, and Tifenn Le Bris

The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is a major contributor to global sea-level rise. However, predicting its future contribution remains complicated due to large uncertainties in modeling seasonal velocity variations. One of the key challenges is to better constrain the role of isolated subglacial water cavities. Over the melting season, water pressure within these cavities fluctuates, causing the glacier base to be coupled or decoupled from the bedrock. This process modulates basal friction, thereby influencing the velocity of the glacier.
Yet, the mechanisms by which these cavities depressurize by connecting to efficient drainage systems remain poorly understood, particularly for rapid drainage events where viscous creep cannot play a role (Mejia et al., 2021).
To investigate this phenomenon and identify key hydrological parameters, a dense seismic array (Gimbert et al., 2021; Nanni et al., 2021) and a GNSS station was deployed over purported subglacial lakes at Isunguata Sermia, West Greenland. In early September, the GNSS station highlighted a sharp decrease in ice surface elevation, accompanied by intense seismicity at the ice-bed interface. We used unsupervised machine learning to explore recorded seismic signals and identified Low-Frequency Icequakes (LFI), which do not follow classical rupture scaling laws. Additionally, many of these events were followed by a tremor with very low frequencies (~2 Hz). These tremors migrated spatially over time, following a diffusion pattern correlated with the ice surface subsidence, suggesting water migration at the ice-bed interface and thus, a lake drainage. However, the estimated diffusion coefficient is two orders of magnitude higher than predicted by Darcy's flow law. This suggests a hydrofracturing mechanism, facilitating rapid connections between multiple isolated cavities rather than a simple, localized lake drainage process.
Unlike previous interpretations of LFIs observed on glaciers (Thelen et al., 2013; Helmstetter, 2022), our findings suggest that these events do not represent stick-slip mechanisms at the glacier base but are instead, generated by fluid pressure diffusion due to the pressure difference between two isolated cavities. To further support this idea, we propose a theoretical forward model for seismic noise generation driven by pressure diffusion. The model is based on the geometric and hydrological characteristics of the cavities, including cavity width, inter-cavity spacing, the diffusion coefficient and the water volume. Accurate identification of these parameters, based on observations allows us to reproduce the key features of the observed power spectrum.

How to cite: Rousseau, H., Le Bot, J., Gimbert, F., Esfahani, R., Campillo, M., Doyle, S. H., Livingstone, S., Sole, A., Michel, A., Paris, N., and Le Bris, T.: Low frequency icequakes as the signature of transient subglacial water flow underneath the Greenland Ice Sheet, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18176, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18176, 2026.

EGU26-18499 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Evaluating Frequency Band and Stretching Time Window Effects on Noise-Based dv/v for Subsurface Hydrological Monitoring 

Laura Rossana Fracica Gonzalez, Christoff Andermann, Benoit Abadie, John Armitage, Elisabeth Dietze, Niels Hovius, Luc Illien, Birgitta Putzenlechner, and Michael Dietze

Environmental seismology increasingly employs relative changes in seismic velocity (dv/v) with time, derived from continuous seismometer recordings, to infer temporal variations in ground properties such as soil moisture and groundwater dynamics. However, despite that widespread use, there is no consensus on optimal frequency bands and stretching time windows used to extract reliable dv/v time series. Previous studies addressing deep, and shallow groundwater dynamics each applied distinct combinations of frequency bands and stretching time windows, raising the key question: how comparable are dv/v results derived from different parameter choices, and how consistently do they represent subsurface hydrological variability?

This work presents an intercomparison of commonly used noise-based dv/v combinations of frequency bands and stretching time windows across two hydrological domains: (1) groundwater at depth, and (2) shallow critical zone hydrology. For each domain, we review and implement published combinations of the previous parameters and assess their influence on the resulting dv/v time series.

To evaluate their methodological impact, we compare the different dv/v estimates amongst themselves and against independent environmental control datasets, including groundwater levels, soil moisture time series, and additional hydroclimatic observations. For both domains, we complement literature case studies with our own two field datasets from Germany, one in the Eifel and one in the Harz region. In the Eifel region, a network of ten seismic stations has been deployed across two sub-catchments in the upper Ahr Valley, composed of intensively folded and fractured Devonian mudstone and carbonate rocks. Continuous seismic records are paired soil moisture sensors at depths down to 40 cm and groundwater well measurements from nearby monitoring sites. In the Harz Mountains, we use additional seismic, top soil moisture, and hydrological observations to extend the comparison to a geologically and hydroclimatically distinct setting, with variable soil cover on weathered granite boulders creating abundant water flow in the shallow subsurface.

We hypothesize that different combinations of frequency bands and stretching time windows will produce systematically distinct dv/v patterns, even when applied to the same dataset, and that their sensitivity will vary across deep groundwater systems and shallow surface hydrology. By identifying parameter combinations that enhance or mask relations with the independently sensed environmental variables, this study aims to better understand methodological controls between these parameters and contribute towards a more consistent and comparable practice for environmental applications.

How to cite: Fracica Gonzalez, L. R., Andermann, C., Abadie, B., Armitage, J., Dietze, E., Hovius, N., Illien, L., Putzenlechner, B., and Dietze, M.: Evaluating Frequency Band and Stretching Time Window Effects on Noise-Based dv/v for Subsurface Hydrological Monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18499, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18499, 2026.

EGU26-18667 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Resolving environmental processes by imaging and monitoring lake ice properties of the boreal Lake Pääjärvi, southern Finland 

Felix Strobel, Gregor Hillers, Tom Jilbert, John Loehr, Christian Stranne, Tahvo Oksanen, Jonathan Vänskä, Roméo Courbis, Annukka Rintamäki, Amir Sadeghi-Bagherabadi, Lasse Weißgräber, Yinshuai Ding, Marc de Langenhagen, Eduardo Valero Cano, Aurélien Mordret, Cédric Schmelzbach, Ludovic Moreau, Olivier Coutant, and Céline Hadziioannou and the DYNALake deployment team

The composition, structure, and dynamics of a transient ice sheet that forms and disintegrates on a boreal lake is influenced by meteorological and environmental processes. This includes trapping of upwelling methane from the lake sediments, which is in turn affected by eutrophication in the catchment area. Methane is a potent greenhouse gas, yet documented sources and sinks to the atmospheric budget are highly unbalanced. Here we explore a novel approach for quantifying methane ebullition from a boreal lake that combines seismic methods together with interdisciplinary observation methods.

 

The DYNALake project centerpiece is an array of ~210 seismic geophones arranged in an aperiodic tiling configuration that we deployed in February 2025 on the ~20 cm thick ice of Lake Pääjärvi some 100 km north of Helsinki. The 10-km scale lake array is complemented by a sparser network of 31 land-based sensors installed around the lake between fall 2024 and spring 2025, three dense circular arrays enabling local beamforming and estimating array derived rotation, a DAS system with a 1 km-long fibre optic cable, an underwater echosounder to monitor potential methane ebullition, a rotational seismometer, a microphone to record seismo-acoustic waves, a Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) survey, water chemistry measurements, manual ice thickness sampling and ice coring, and meteorological data. The project popularizes the subarctic wintertime fieldwork and the science by making a professional documentary for science communication, outreach, and education.

 

We present initial results on spatial and temporal variations in lake-ice thickness and on the quality and characteristics of the recorded seismic data. The observations include distinct ice-guided wavefield signatures, including QS₀ (quasi-symmetric) and SH₀ (horizontally polarized shear) modes used to estimate elastic parameters such as Young’s modulus and Poisson’s ratio, as well as the dispersive QS (quasi-Scholte) mode that is primarily sensitive to ice thickness at higher frequencies. We compare signals from natural sources and hammer shots across the different sensor types. We show examples of noise correlation wavefields, beamforming results, and seismo-acoustic records that can be used to characterize seismic activity patterns and resolve variable ice properties. Seismic activity in the 0.03–0.2 Hz band increases during high-wind episodes, while higher-frequency signals (0.1–1000 Hz) correlate with rapid air-temperature cooling events. The GPR profile images the spatial ice variability across the lake that is compatible with the in situ measurements. The geochemical water sample analysis suggests Lake Pääjärvi is a source of methane.

 

We discuss the potential of the data quality and the sensor configuration for signal detection and for icequake and passive tomography lake ice images to resolve spatially variable air and gas bubble properties that are controlled by environmental processes. This synthesis demonstrates that the application of environmental seismology concepts can form a bridge between bottom-up ebullition monitoring and remote-sensing approaches.

How to cite: Strobel, F., Hillers, G., Jilbert, T., Loehr, J., Stranne, C., Oksanen, T., Vänskä, J., Courbis, R., Rintamäki, A., Sadeghi-Bagherabadi, A., Weißgräber, L., Ding, Y., de Langenhagen, M., Valero Cano, E., Mordret, A., Schmelzbach, C., Moreau, L., Coutant, O., and Hadziioannou, C. and the DYNALake deployment team: Resolving environmental processes by imaging and monitoring lake ice properties of the boreal Lake Pääjärvi, southern Finland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18667, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18667, 2026.

EGU26-18693 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Fibre-Optic Monitoring of An Alpine Slope Instability Using Seismic Events: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis 

Tjeerd Kiers, Cédric Schmelzbach, Julius Grimm, Florian Amann, Hansruedi Maurer, Pascal Edme, Yves Bonanomi, and Johan Robertsson

Slope instabilities pose an increasing threat to populations and infrastructure across various regions worldwide. Therefore, a fundamental understanding of processes governing slope failure is critical for improving hazard mitigation. While remote-sensing and synthetic aperture radar methods effectively capture surface displacement, they provide limited information on subsurface dynamics. Seismic monitoring and imaging techniques can provide valuable complementary information on the internal structure, material properties, and time-dependent processes associated with unstable slopes.

We present a large-scale application of long-term Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) measurements to investigate the spatial and temporal evolution of microseismicity at Cuolm da Vi (Central Switzerland), one of the largest active slope instabilities in the Alps. We deployed a 6.5 km long fibre-optic array to record continuous DAS data over a five-month period in spring 2023. Using a coherence-based detection method that exploits the dense spatial sampling of DAS, we identified 1,277 local seismic events. Event locations were obtained by adapting a matched field processing (MFP) approach to DAS observations, resulting in a comprehensive microseismic catalogue. The localisation workflow was validated through a controlled-source experiment and by comparison with a traveltime inversion of manually picked arrivals for selected events.

The resulting event distribution shows a pronounced spatial correspondence with known tectonic structures at Cuolm da Vi, particularly steeply dipping fracture systems, suggesting that much of the observed seismicity is linked to internal deformation processes related to a toppling movement. Clusters of elevated event density coincide with regions of reduced seismic velocities or strong velocity contrasts inferred from an independently derived three-dimensional velocity model. During the five-month observation time, the seismicity exhibits three distinct phases of elevated activity, with the first two closely following periods of intense precipitation and snowmelt. In addition, distinct spatial migration patterns of seismic activity emerge across different timescales.

The findings of our study demonstrate that DAS enables long-term monitoring of microseismic activity over spatially extensive and challenging Alpine terrain. The results provide new constraints on the internal structure and evolving dynamics of the Cuolm da Vi instability and additionally, highlight the potential of DAS-based seismic monitoring to improve hazard assessment and advance our understanding of deep-seated slope failure processes.

How to cite: Kiers, T., Schmelzbach, C., Grimm, J., Amann, F., Maurer, H., Edme, P., Bonanomi, Y., and Robertsson, J.: Fibre-Optic Monitoring of An Alpine Slope Instability Using Seismic Events: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18693, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18693, 2026.

EGU26-21031 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Landslide Monitoring in Joshimath through Passive Seismology and SAR Interferometry 

Shubham Mishra and Satish Maurya

Landslides remain one of the most pervasive natural hazards in the Himalayan region, exacerbated by intense rainfall, steep topography, and anthropogenic activity. Accurate detection, monitoring, and hazard zoning of these slope failures are essential for mitigating their impact on communities and infrastructure. This research integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (InSAR) with Seismic Ambient Noise Interferometry (SANI) monitoring to provide a comprehensive assessment of landslide-prone regions. Using time-series InSAR techniques such as Persistent Scatterer (PS-InSAR) and Small Baseline Subset (SBAS) interferometry, implemented through open-source tools like OpenSAR Lab, MintPy, LiCSBAS, and StaMPS, we processed multi-temporal SAR datasets from January 2020 to December 2024 to retrieve surface deformation rates. This analysis enabled the identification of both active and slowly deforming landslides across the study area. 

The seismic velocity change was computed to monitor subsurface behavior from 17th June 2024 to 17th July 2024 using three seismic stations, viz AULI, CHAD, and KVSJ, located in Joshimath, Chamoli. The dv/v calculate for KVSJ shows a prominent velocity drop on July 5th, 2024. The landslides occurred on the 9th and 10th of July 2024. The drop in velocity can be attributed to increased moisture due to precipitation, which results in rigidity loss. The observed velocity drop may be interpreted as a precursor signal to landslide occurrence. However, the dv/v plots for the AULI and CHAD do not show any prominent drop in the velocity. The one possible reason could be the aspect of the downslope area that orients to a relatively stable valley bottom. As the region hosts metasedimentary rock, the subsurface response to the infiltration of rainwater could also have contributed to the different behavior of these two stations, and this is to be further investigated to identify the plausible causes.

The integrated methodology presented in this work demonstrates that the synergy between InSAR and passive seismology not only improves landslide detection and monitoring capabilities but also contributes to more informed early warning systems and risk reduction strategies. This study contributes to the broader goal of disaster-resilient infrastructure planning in mountainous terrains.

How to cite: Mishra, S. and Maurya, S.: Landslide Monitoring in Joshimath through Passive Seismology and SAR Interferometry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21031, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21031, 2026.

EGU26-21131 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.1

Can we track the up-glacier migration of a subglacial channelized drainage system by means of environmental seismology? 

Daniel Binder, Stefan Mertl, Signe Hillerup Larsen, and Eva P.S. Eibl

During the melt season, subglacial drainage systems typically evolve from a high-pressure, distributed system to a low-pressure, channelized network that progressively extends up-glacier from the terminus in response to meltwater availability. Resolving the spatial and temporal evolution of this transition remains challenging, particularly with small seismological networks, or even single stations.In spring 2023, we deployed three seismological stations along the central flow line of the southeast outlet glacier of the A. P. Olsen Ice Cap, northeast Greenland. The stations spanned the full vertical extent of the ablation zone and continuously recorded throughout the 2023 melt season.We apply and compare different seismological analysis techniques with the potential to detect changes in subglacial hydrological conditions. The seismic observations are interpreted in conjunction with meteorological data from two automatic weather stations located in the lower and upper ablation zone. We assess the capability of environmental seismological monitoring with single stations to track drainage system development in space and time.

How to cite: Binder, D., Mertl, S., Larsen, S. H., and Eibl, E. P. S.: Can we track the up-glacier migration of a subglacial channelized drainage system by means of environmental seismology?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21131, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21131, 2026.

EGU26-22884 | ECS | Orals | GM2.1

An earthquake-triggered rock avalanche on Jan Mayen Island conditioned by Arctic warming 

Guilherme W. S. de Melo, Reginald Hermanns, Jacob M. Bendle, Ingo Grevemeyer, Simone Cesca, Aderson F. do Nascimento, Lars Ottemöller, Gökhan Aslan, Quentin Brissaud, Volker Oye, and Heidrun Kopp

Large earthquakes can trigger cascading environmental impacts in continent (e.g. 1964 Mw 9.2 Alaska and 2015 Mw 7.9 Nepal earthquakes), yet such processes remain poorly documented in oceanic and polar settings. Here, we present a multidisciplinary investigation of the 2025 Mw 6.5 oceanic strike-slip earthquake that occurred on 10 March 2025 along the Jan Mayen oceanic transform fault, Arctic Ocean, and its surface and cryospheric impacts on local Jan Mayen Island. Using relocated local seismicity, regional waveform modelling, GNSS time series, seismic noise interferometry, infrasound observations, high-resolution optical satellite imagery, and long-term air-temperature records, we reconstruct the sequence of events linking the earthquake rupture to a major rock-slope failure. The earthquake, which ruptured for ~40 km long in transform faulting, triggered a rock avalanche from a steep, glacier-adjacent volcanic slope, depositing 0.8-1.2x106 m3 of debris material over ~0.9 km2 of the Kjerulf Glacier and reaching the coastline. Infrasound signals constrain the timing of slope failure to within minutes of the mainshock, supporting a co-seismic trigger. Satellite imagery further reveals contemporaneous calving at the Weyprecht Glacier. We observed from pre-2025 satellite imagery that multiple smaller rock-slope failures between 2019 and 2024, indicating progressive slope weakening prior to the earthquake. Also, long-term air-temperature records show a marked warming trend over recent decades, including the near absence of extreme cold winters since the late 1990s and an increasing frequency of anomalously warm summer days, consistent with Arctic amplification. We interpret the 2025 rock failure at Kjerulf Glacier as an earthquake-triggered collapse of a slope preconditioned by permafrost degradation associated with this warming trend. Our results demonstrate that oceanic strike-slip earthquakes can generate significant onshore geohazards in polar environments and highlight the importance of integrated geophysical and remote-sensing approaches for monitoring earthquake-climate-cryosphere interactions in the Arctic.

How to cite: de Melo, G. W. S., Hermanns, R., Bendle, J. M., Grevemeyer, I., Cesca, S., do Nascimento, A. F., Ottemöller, L., Aslan, G., Brissaud, Q., Oye, V., and Kopp, H.: An earthquake-triggered rock avalanche on Jan Mayen Island conditioned by Arctic warming, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22884, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22884, 2026.

EGU26-459 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Linking Sediment Properties and Erosion Dynamics in Badlands Using Machine Learning 

Milica Stefanović, Milica Kašanin-Grubin, Nevena Antić, Maxime Brouat, Bruno Yun, and Srdjan Vesic

    

As a part of the bilateral project between France and Serbia “Erosion Unveiled: AI-Driven Insights into Lithology and Climate Change Impacts” EARTH both the French and Serbian teams have started to develop interdisciplinary collaboration at the interface between artificial intelligence and geosciences. The joint activities have focused on the development of predictive and causal models for weathering changes of sediment of different lithology, combining in-person research exchanges, data-driven experimentation, and methodological design.

Ideal landscapes for this type of study are badlands, characterized by limited vegetation, minimal human activity, and a variety of active geomorphological processes such as weathering, erosion, landslides, and piping. These areas can develop under a wide range of climatic conditions, and their formation is controlled by the interplay between lithology, terrain morphology, climate, and erosional processes. Previous research has shown that different lithologies display distinct erosion rates and geomorphic behaviors, while even areas composed of the same lithology may respond differently depending on environmental conditions. Such variability has become increasingly relevant in the context of global climate change.

The main aim of this joint research is to connect the sediment properties to the behavior of the rocks from the weathering experiments and to summarize the data to improve the prediction model. Therefore, in this study a database compiled of results from 10 weathering experiments of badland materials using simulations of different types of precipitation (rain and snow) and drying conditions (from -4 °C to 40 °C). The dataset includes the following leachate properties: volume, pH, EC, and ion concentrations.

After performing the necessary data processing methods (handling of missing data, normalisation, etc.), we make use of standard supervised machine learning (including random forest, temporal convolution networks, recurrent neural networks) and multimodal data fusion techniques combining laboratory-derived measurements with image-based features of sediment samples to perform various predictions. To identify key material properties that influence the development of badlands terrain, we explored and discussed the result of different XAI approaches. Those include gradient-based explanations, perturbation-based methods (LIME and SHAP),  and the creation of surrogate models. Based on these results, a data-driven classification of erodible sediments is proposed, as well as predictive models that allow for accurate forecasting of terrain evolution under different climatic conditions.

By integrating AI with detailed laboratory-derived data, our research provides a complementary perspective on badland material evolution. This approach not only enhances model interpretability but also opens new possibilities for hybrid geomorphic modeling, where material characteristics are used to develop more robust and transferable predictions. Ultimately, this study highlights the potential of AI-driven methods to improve our understanding of erosion processes and contribute to the development of more transparent, reproducible, and data-rich frameworks within geomorphological research.

How to cite: Stefanović, M., Kašanin-Grubin, M., Antić, N., Brouat, M., Yun, B., and Vesic, S.: Linking Sediment Properties and Erosion Dynamics in Badlands Using Machine Learning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-459, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-459, 2026.

EGU26-1142 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Optical Flow-based Tool for Surface Velocity Monitoring in River Systems: A Step Toward AI-driven Flood Risk Management 

Gaetano Sabato, Antonio Luparelli, Marco Chirivì, and Andrea Lupi

Recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and computer vision have opened new opportunities for automated monitoring and analysis in geomorphology. Among these, optical flow methods represent a powerful approach for quantifying surface velocity fields in rivers using video data. This work presents the development and application of a low-cost optical flow tool designed to estimate river surface velocity from fixed monitoring points, offering a practical and scalable solution for hydrological and flood-risk management applications.

The proposed method relies on the implementation of an AI-assisted optical flow algorithm capable of tracking the motion of water surface patterns (e.g., ripples, foam, floating debris) in standard RGB video sequences. By leveraging dense flow estimation and adaptive filtering, the tool produces high-resolution velocity maps that can be continuously updated in near real time. The system has been tested in different riverine environments, showing robust performance under varying lighting and flow conditions, and demonstrating its ability to capture both steady and transient flow dynamics.

One of the key strengths of this approach lies in its low operational cost and flexibility. The method can be implemented using conventional cameras and open-source software, eliminating the need for expensive. This makes it particularly suitable for establishing permanent observation points in critical areas, such as flood-prone zones or regions with limited monitoring infrastructure. Continuous optical monitoring of surface velocity provides valuable information for calibrating hydrodynamic models, identifying changes in river morphology, and supporting early-warning systems for extreme hydrological events.

Beyond the technical development, this research emphasizes the importance of integrating AI-based monitoring tools within broader frameworks for territorial management and risk mitigation. Establishing collaborations with stakeholders such as Basin Authorities, local governments, and civil protection agencies—can significantly enhance the effectiveness of these systems. Shared data platforms and automated AI-driven analytics could enable more proactive responses to extreme events, improving preparedness and resilience in flood-prone communities.

In future developments, the integration of deep learning models for feature detection and noise reduction could further enhance the accuracy and robustness of surface velocity estimation. Combining optical flow data with other remote sensing sources (e.g., UAV imagery, satellite observations) could also provide a multi-scale understanding of fluvial dynamics. This research thus contributes to the growing field of AI applications in geomorphology, highlighting how intelligent, low-cost monitoring systems can play a crucial role in sustainable river management and flood risk assessment.

How to cite: Sabato, G., Luparelli, A., Chirivì, M., and Lupi, A.: Optical Flow-based Tool for Surface Velocity Monitoring in River Systems: A Step Toward AI-driven Flood Risk Management, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1142, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1142, 2026.

EGU26-1804 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.2

Evaluation of a deep learning model to classify convective and stratiform precipitation patterns  

Alok Kushabaha, Juan Jesús González Alemán, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Daniele Mastrangelo, and Giulia Panegrossi

The Mediterranean Sea is often affected by tropical-like cyclones, which cause heavy rainfall, strong winds, storm surges and flooding. The accurate classification of precipitation into convective and stratiform within these systems is essential for understanding storm dynamics and improving predictive models. In this study, we developed a deep learning approach based on U-Net architecture to classify convective and stratiform precipitations during Mediterranean cyclones using the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) IMERG product. We derived physically consistent labels for training through an exponential distribution-based thresholding of rainfall intensities. The trained U-Net model effectively reproduced the spatial structure of convective rainbands and surrounding stratiform regions within the cyclone structure. In addition to validating the convective precipitation detection using brightness temperature satellite observations and ERA5 reanalysis, we also incorporated pluviometer records. These ground-based measurements confirmed the model’s strong capability to identify areas affected by convective precipitation. This study demonstrates the potential of integrating a physics-based approach with deep learning for high-resolution characterization of precipitation in Mediterranean cyclones. While the segmentation of convective precipitation alone does not directly quantify coastal hazard, these results provide essential input layers for downstream coastal-impact assessments. In particular, the high-resolution identification of convective rainfall can be integrated into hydrological and hydraulic models (e.g., HEC-RAS or similar) to simulate surface runoff, flash-flood dynamics, and related coastal impacts under a changing climate.

How to cite: Kushabaha, A., Alemán, J. J. G., Miglietta, M. M., Mastrangelo, D., and Panegrossi, G.: Evaluation of a deep learning model to classify convective and stratiform precipitation patterns , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1804, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1804, 2026.

EGU26-3878 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Automated seafloor feature recognition in Side-Scan Sonar data using Segment Anything Models (SAM): a case study from Apulian coastal nearshores 

Francesca Parisi, Vincenzo Mariano Scarrica, Francesco De Giosa, and Antonino Staiano

Human activities are increasingly degrading European coastal seabed, highlighting the need for efficient monitoring tools. To address these impacts, the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) was established in 2008 with the aim of protecting and preserving marine ecosystem while ensuring their sustainable use.

Within this framework, high-resolution seafloor mapping represents a fundamental tool for coastal governance, habitat monitoring and marine geological studies. Fine-scale survey using Side-Scan Sonar (SSS), often integrated with AUV systems, provides detailed information on seabed morphology and acoustic facies, supporting habitat mapping and coastal management.

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), combined with Geographic Information Systems (GIS), have significantly improved the automated interpretation and mapping of submerged morphological features from marine geophysical data. In this context, this study investigates the application of computer vision techniques to nearshore environments along the Italian coastline, with a specific focus on the Segment Anything Model (SAM) framework.

We evaluate both the foundation-model implementation of SAM (SAM2) and its prompt-driven variant (SAM3) for the detection and classification of seafloor features in high-resolution SSS mosaics. The analysis was conducted on three nearshore areas in the Apulia region (southern Italy): Torre Guaceto (BR), Leporano (TA) and Zapponeta (FG). Using SAM2, we implemented a supervised workflow in which manually segmented features, including ripple marks, coralligenous formations, seagrass beds, sandy plains and rocky outcrops were used to train a Contrastive Captioner (CoCa) classifier via transfer learning. This approach achieved a test Macro F1 score of approximately 0.90.

In parallel, the text-promptable SAM3 model was employed for zero-shot segmentation of small, high-backscatter point-like features (“white dots”). These features were validated through an independent AUV-based video survey and confirmed to correspond to coralligenous formations. This result demonstrates the capability of SAM3 to rapidly extract geologically meaningful targets without requiring prior training.

Future developments will focus on alternative strategies and model refinement to further improve detection accuracy and robustness.

How to cite: Parisi, F., Scarrica, V. M., De Giosa, F., and Staiano, A.: Automated seafloor feature recognition in Side-Scan Sonar data using Segment Anything Models (SAM): a case study from Apulian coastal nearshores, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3878, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3878, 2026.

Alluvial-coastal plains and shallow-marine areas are facing increasing hydrological pressure from rising sea levels, changing precipitation patterns, and more frequent extreme events that alter their water balance. Prolonged droughts and unsustainable freshwater withdrawals further exacerbate the problem, causing saline intrusion into already vulnerable aquifers. In this context, adjusting drainage channel levels has become a key climate adaptation strategy. Our work combines long-term forecasting of aquifer dynamics using hydro-climatic data, including meteorological forecasts, with near-real-time forecasting to optimize the operation of high-capacity pumping stations that safeguard the drainage network of San Rossore Migliarino Massaciuccoli Regional Park (Pisa, Italy). The study addresses two complementary forecasting approaches: 1. Extended-range forecasting of aquifer levels through the integration of historical groundwater measurements and meteorological forecasts, with particular emphasis on precipitation and temperature projections over a two-week period. This approach provides weekly predictive outputs essential for determining optimal operational thresholds for pump activation, accurately tailored to varying seasonal and meteorological conditions throughout the year. 2. An operational, near-real-time forecasting framework designed to support daily management decisions. This system incorporates real-time data on meteorological conditions, groundwater levels, channel hydrometric levels, and drainage system activity to serve as an early warning mechanism during exceptional events requiring prompt intervention. Overall, preliminary results unequivocally highlight how integrated long-term and near-real-time operational forecasting systems are now indispensable for sustainable and resilient water resource management. Such systems allow for proactive anticipation of critical conditions, optimized drainage system use, reduced energy consumption, and preservation of the hydro-saline equilibrium in coastal aquifers. This emphasizes the necessity for continuous monitoring and technologically advanced solutions in fragile alluvial-coastal plains facing intensifying climatic and anthropogenic pressures.

How to cite: Lupi, A.: Integrated forecasting approaches for optimizing alluvial-coastal drainage systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4986, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4986, 2026.

EGU26-7293 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Machine Learning techniques for the detection of geomorphological features in badland landscapes 

Angelo Sozio, Antonella Marsico, Rosa Colacicco, Marco La Salandra, Sandro Muscillo, Alberto Refice, and Domenico Capolongo

Badland landscapes, characterised by intensely dissected slopes on unconsolidated sediments or soft rocks, are crucial hotspots for understanding soil erosion and sediment transport dynamics. Consequently, alongside their rapid climatic responses and links to anthropic land use, the geomorphological processes driving badlands morphogenesis are widely studied; recently, approaches combining multiplatform remote sensing and Machine Learning (ML) have been proposed due to their superior performance compared to other statistical models.

This study develops an integrated and multi-source approach using detailed geomorphic and hydrological parameters through a Random Forest (RF) algorithm to obtain a high-resolution land cover classification and erosion susceptibility maps of badland landscape in Basilicata Region (Italy). The workflow analyses geomorphological data at the micro-topography scale (3 cm/px) for geomorphometric landscape classification. Topographic and hydrological predictors were extracted from high-resolution Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) and orthomosaics were derived from optical images acquired in a drone survey conducted in May 2025. Spanning 0.025 km², the study area exhibits characteristic badland morphologies, located on poorly cemented silty clays from the Lower Pleistocene. Two different experiments were conducted. In the first one, ten topographic and hydrological predictors (e.g. Topographic Position Index, aspect, profile and tangent curvatures, Stream Power Index) were computed using open-source GDAL and GRASS GIS tools to assemble a multi-layer spatial dataset. In the second experiment, the R, G and B bands from the optical orthomosaics were also considered and included as three additional predictors. In both the experiments, 9,900 training points and 3,000 test points were extracted from the dataset to conduct a spatial cross-validation. Following the accuracy assessment, the algorithm was retrained on the full dataset to generate: i) a land cover map of three features: ‘Badland’, ‘Vegetation’ and ‘Pediment’; and ii) an erosion susceptibility map based on the probability of a pixel belonging to the ‘Badland’ class. The first experiment using only morphometric predictors showed a global accuracy of 82.49%, while the second experiment integrating the three RGB bands increased accuracy to 97.43%.

How to cite: Sozio, A., Marsico, A., Colacicco, R., La Salandra, M., Muscillo, S., Refice, A., and Capolongo, D.: Machine Learning techniques for the detection of geomorphological features in badland landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7293, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7293, 2026.

EGU26-10389 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Comparison of Machine Learning Results of Glacial Landform Classification of Datasets From Svalbard and Antarctica 

Matthew Danielson, Tam Truong, and Martin Jakobsson

In formerly glaciated regions, high resolution multibeam bathymetry is crucial to understand submarine glacial landforms and the processes that formed them. Using submarine glacial landforms to study past glacial dynamics contributes to the understanding of how glacial margins will change in the future. The increase in mapped seafloor coverage also creates an opportunity to develop and deploy automated models for recognizing and classifying glacial and glacimarine features. Datasets of glacial and glacimarine features were developed from manual interpretation of multibeam bathymetry from the deglaciated shelves of Svalbard and Antarctica. Features were assigned to one of 10 classes: crag and tails; flutes and drumlins; grounding zone wedges; mega-scale glacial lineations; channels; iceberg ploughmarks; large moraines; small moraine ridges; planes; and bedrock structures. Additional morphological analysis was performed for each feature in both datasets. For each sample, inputs to the model included bathymetry, slope, aspect, profile curvature, tangential curvature, and the rasterized outline of the feature of interest. We performed classification using six established Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architectures, including ConvNeXtTiny, DenseNet201, EfficientNet, MobileNet, ResNet50, a baseline Simple CNN in addition to a Genetic Conditioned Convolutional Neural Network (GC-CNN). Three approaches were taken using the datasets: 1) Training separate models using the Svalbard and Antarctica datasets with testing only on the same dataset. 2) Training separate models using the Svalbard and Antarctica datasets and testing on the other dataset. 3) Training a combined model using all available data from both datasets and testing on a separate dataset from North Greenland. Our results show that morphological differences between features from different regions have a significant effect on machine learning model accuracy. Developing robust glacial landform classification models that can be applied to features from all regions require data that capture the variability of a particular feature class.

How to cite: Danielson, M., Truong, T., and Jakobsson, M.: Comparison of Machine Learning Results of Glacial Landform Classification of Datasets From Svalbard and Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10389, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10389, 2026.

EGU26-10505 | Posters on site | GM2.2

Introducing ImageGrains 2.0 for improved grain size and shape measurements in 2D and 3D data from images of sediment 

David Mair, Guillaume Witz, Ariel Do Prado, Philippos Garefalakis, Amanda Wild, Fanny Ville, Bennet Schuster, Michael Horn, Jürgen Österle, Stefano Fabbri, Camille Litty, Stefan Achleitner, Sebastian Leistner, Clemens Hiller, and Fritz Schlunegger

Obtaining information on the size and shape of individual sediment grains is fundamental to many geoscientific applications, as these properties provide insights into sediment transport and depositional processes. Conventional approaches for grain size and shape analysis rely on manual or semi-automated workflows and are therefore labor-intensive and time-consuming. Recent advances in deep learning, particularly in image segmentation and object detection, have enabled the development of automated methods for measuring grain size and shape. However, existing approaches typically are trained on homogeneous, task-specific datasets, which limits their ability to generalize across different data types and settings. Additionally, challenging image characteristics often compromise the segmentation accuracy.

We present an upgraded version 2.0 of the ImageGrains framework (Mair et al., 2024), which leverages a recently published next-generation segmentation model, Cellpose-SAM (Pachitariu et al., 2025). We re-trained this model on our newly released open-access dataset comprising 243 images and more than 29,000 manually annotated sediment grains. This dataset consists of images from various settings, including photographs of fluvial gravel, coarse pro-glacial deposits, and X-ray computed tomography scans of glacial till and marine sand. We use these data to benchmark the segmentation performance of the method against ground-truth annotations and to compare it to the performance of existing segmentation methods.

The results show that ImageGrains 2.0 achieves higher segmentation accuracy and improved generalization to previously unseen data compared to current state-of-the-art methods. When comparing the size and shape of grains predicted by the model with the ground truth annotations, we find that the increase in segmentation accuracy of our upgraded framework directly translates to more precise and realistic morphometric results, such as grain size distributions. We make our framework available to the community as a free and open-source installable Python package, as well as through interactive computing environments such as Jupyter Notebooks and a graphical user interface.

 

References

Mair et al. (2024): Automated detecting, segmenting and measuring of grains in images of fluvial sediments: The potential for large and precise data from specialist deep learning models and transfer learning, ESPL, 49, 1099–1116, https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5755.

Pachitariu, et al. (2025): superhuman generalization for cellular segmentation, https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.04.28.651001.

How to cite: Mair, D., Witz, G., Do Prado, A., Garefalakis, P., Wild, A., Ville, F., Schuster, B., Horn, M., Österle, J., Fabbri, S., Litty, C., Achleitner, S., Leistner, S., Hiller, C., and Schlunegger, F.: Introducing ImageGrains 2.0 for improved grain size and shape measurements in 2D and 3D data from images of sediment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10505, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10505, 2026.

EGU26-10851 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Physics-Informed Genetic-Conditioned Network for Glacial Landform Classification 

Tam Truong, Matthew Danielson, and Martin Jakobsson

Recent advances in deep learning, particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs), together with the increasing availability of high-resolution multibeam bathymetry data, have made automated classification of glacial landforms increasingly feasible. However, robust and scalable classification remains challenging. The main challenge is not only computational scale, but the mismatch between data-driven learning and the physics-governed nature of glacial terrain. To address this gap, we propose a physics-informed deep learning framework for automated classification of submarine glacial landforms from multibeam bathymetry. Unlike conventional CNNs that rely purely on data-driven features, our approach integrates physically meaningful constraints reflecting glacial geomorphology. Specifically, we develop a Physics-Informed Genetic-Conditioned Network (PI-GCNet) by integrating a genetic-conditioned layer into a standard CNN and introducing a physics-guided loss that enforces geomorphological consistency. Each landform class is represented by a learnable genome vector initialized from class-wise statistics of depth, slope, and curvature and trained jointly with the embeddings. A genetic attraction and repulsion mechanism structures the latent space, and classification is performed via an energy-based distance between embeddings and genomes. We further optimize a composite objective combining genetic Cross-Entropy, genome regularization for stable and interpretable representations, and a class-wise slope deviation loss penalizing departures of predicted mean slope from expected class-specific values. Together, these components enhance robustness and interpretability, enabling scalable and physically consistent mapping of submarine glacial landforms. We validate the proposed model using high-resolution multibeam bathymetry acquired in northern Greenland. We prepared a dataset of 1515 samples across 10 classes of glacial and glacimarine features identified through manual interpretation. Model inputs include bathymetry, slope, aspect, profile curvature, tangential curvature, and the rasterized outline of each feature. In addition, we compare PI-GCNet with state-of-the-art deep learning baselines to demonstrate reliability and improved generalization.

How to cite: Truong, T., Danielson, M., and Jakobsson, M.: Physics-Informed Genetic-Conditioned Network for Glacial Landform Classification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10851, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10851, 2026.

Drumlins are key indicators of subglacial processes and former ice-flow patterns, but regional drumlin inventories are often compiled manually, limiting scalability and reproducibility. This contribution presents a workflow for drumlin segmentation, prediction, and GIS-ready analysis using deep learning applied to digital elevation models (DEM) and an existing, manually mapped, drumlin reference shapefile from Latvian drumlin fields. The DEM is tiled into 640×640 image patches, and reference polygons are converted into You Only Look Once (YOLO)(Ultralitics S.a.) segmentation labels. A YOLOv11 segmentation model is trained for drumlin delineation and then used to generate predictions across the tiled DEM. Predicted outputs (TXT masks) are converted back into georeferenced polygons and exported as GeoPackages, enabling immediate integration with standard GIS-based morphometric analysis and mapping methods.

Model performance is evaluated using both standard YOLO metrics and an inventory comparison against the control dataset. The statistics for bounding boxes, precision and recall reach 0.808 and 0.652, with mAP50 of 0.755 (mAP50–95: 0.514). For segmentation masks, precision and recall are 0.757 and 0.601, with mAP50 of 0.672 (mAP50–95: 0.275). Inventory comparison yields 1190 predicted vs 1146 control drumlins, with 906 true positives, 284 false positives, and 247 false negatives, corresponding to precision 0.761, recall 0.786, and F1 0.773 (nMCC: 0.387).

The results demonstrate that YOLO-based segmentation can produce georeferenced drumlin polygons at scale with quantified uncertainty, providing a practical route toward repeatable drumlin inventories and downstream geomorphological analyses.

This research was funded by the Latvian Council of Science, project "Reconstruction of ice stream dynamics and deglaciation of the SE sector of the Scandinavian Ice Sheet in Latvia", project No.lzp-2024/1-0193

How to cite: Puriņš, H. H.: ML assisted drumlin inventory: YOLOv11 segmentation, polygon reconstruction, and accuracy assessment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11575, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11575, 2026.

EGU26-12102 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.2

Enhancing Multi-Temporal 3D Reconstruction of River Corridor Dynamics with Deterministic NeRF Sampling Strategies 

Perpetual Akwensi, Frederik Schulte, and Lukas Winiwarter

Effective monitoring of hydro-geomorphological processes such as sediment displacement and channel migration using UAV-captured RGB images requires accurate, temporally consistent 3D reconstructions that enable the estimation of height/volume changes across multiple acquisitions epochs, despite variations in imaging conditions, flight paths, and camera geometries. Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) offer a powerful framework for reconstructing complex fluvial environments from multi-view imagery. However, standard NeRF training relies on equal‑probability random pixel sampling, a strategy that introduces stochasticity into the reconstruction process and undermines the temporal repeatability required for change detection. When separate NeRFs are trained for different epochs the random sampling of pixels – combined with differing camera poses – leads to inconsistent ray distributions and surface sampling, and reduced comparability of resulting reconstructions. These effects are particularly detrimental in dynamic river corridors where low-texture surfaces, water reflections and surface motions already limit reconstruction coverage and stability.

We propose Coverage-Efficient Non-redundant Sampling (CENS) as a grid-based deterministic alternative to random pixel sampling in NeRF training, combined with a pose-consistent inference framework, to improve temporal reconstruction repeatability for hydro-geomorphic change analysis. Instead of randomly sampling pixels per iteration, we impose a spatially deterministic sampling grid that ensures intra-epoch spatial coverage and consistency. To address the challenge of differing camera poses between epochs, we introduce a cross‑epoch evaluation strategy in which all epochs are queried using a shared set of reference camera poses – either drawn from one epoch’s camera set or defined as a synthetic virtual camera lattice – after alignment to a common world coordinate frame. This enables pose‑consistent rendering across time even when the original acquisition geometries differ.

Rendered depth maps from these shared viewpoints are then projected onto a fixed world-space grid, enabling cell-wise comparison of height and volume change. This two-layer determinism—fixed sampling during training and fixed camera/grid sampling during inference—decouples temporal analysis from the stochastic and pose‑dependent variability inherent in standard NeRF pipelines.

We will evaluate the method on multi‑epoch UAV imagery of an active river reach, comparing reconstructions trained with traditional random pixel sampling against those produced using the proposed CENS approach. With improved intra-epoch spatial coverage and geometric stability, combined with pose-consistent inference, we anticipate that the proposed approach will yield more coherent inter-epoch estimates of sediment elevation, channel-bed change and/or bank erosion, with lower uncertainty in low-textured or reflective regions. We expect corresponding 3D points from different epochs to align more consistently in world space, enabling more reliable detection of subtle geomorphic adjustments like bar migration, scour-fill cycles, and/or sediment redistribution.

This study aims to demonstrate that sampling strategy and inference geometry are critical, yet previously overlooked, determinants of temporal repeatability in NeRF-based hydro-geomorphological monitoring. By replacing stochastic pixel sampling with deterministic grids and enforcing shared inference poses across epochs, we introduce a simple but potentially powerful modification that may enhance the reliability of NeRF-derived height/volume change estimates in dynamic river environments. The approach could open new possibilities for long‑term environmental and hydro-geomorphological research where spatiotemporal consistency is essential.

How to cite: Akwensi, P., Schulte, F., and Winiwarter, L.: Enhancing Multi-Temporal 3D Reconstruction of River Corridor Dynamics with Deterministic NeRF Sampling Strategies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12102, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12102, 2026.

EGU26-12111 | Posters on site | GM2.2

Integration of Remote Sensing techniques to assess badlands susceptibility in the Basilicata region (Southern Italy) 

Giusy Santoro, Rosa Colacicco, Domenico Capolongo, and Antonella Marsico

Badlands are landscapes that develop on poorly consolidated bedrock under high erosion rates and their spatial distribution in Italy is related to marine clays outcrops. These landscapes are vulnerable to dynamic changes driven by geological processes, biological and anthropic factors at different spatial and temporal scales. This characteristic, along with the rapid transformation of landforms makes them ideal open-field laboratories, suitable for testing and improving means for predictive analysis. The study focuses on Badlands landscapes of the Basilicata region (Southern Italy) to explore the potential of the integration of different remotely-sensed data, from ground-based to satellite-based  technologies, in the definition of a probabilistic model for the evaluation of erosion trends. The integrative approach is essential for a comprehensive study of landscape dynamics, accounting for the complex interactions between top-down drivers (climatic and anthropogenic) and bottom-up drivers (biotic and geomorphological factors) of landforms evolution. In this perspective, Machine Learning (ML) techniques are effective tools for analysing the spatially heterogeneous responses of different morphologies in order to study their evolution and, therefore, their susceptibility to various processes (landslides, soil erosion). Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) distribution models estimate a target probability distribution as a function of environmental predictors based on presence-only data. This approach has found several applications in the field of geomorphology, providing a more user-friendly and accessible way to perform studies based on statistical predictions. In contrast, MaxEnt has proven to be less robust in accuracy than other ML models. To overcome this issue while still guaranteeing accessibility, the study proposes the use of an advancement of the classical MaxEnt software called spatialMaxEnt, more sensible to the spatial distribution of data due to spatial cross-validation and a series of optimized functionalities to minimize overfitting. Presence data comprehends sites of occurrence of erosion processes identified through high-resolution topographic data within three study areas (Aliano, Tursi and Montalbano Jonico), externally grouped based on spatial autocorrelation, while environmental variables include topographic, climatic and anthropic attributes. A multicollinearity analysis using Pearson’s correlation coefficient is conducted prior to the MaxEnt modelling to identify and exclude highly correlated variables. This procedure ensures the selection of the most explanatory predictors and reduces the risk of model overfitting. The output data of the study is represented by Badlands susceptibility maps. This study further recommends comparisons with other AI-based models, as well as their possible combination, to enhance the robustness and significance of the results. Despite the challenges, the layers produced and the implementation of methodologies for modelling and identifying erosion-prone areas remains a fundamental tool for environmental monitoring and decision aimed at the conservation of the geological heritage.

How to cite: Santoro, G., Colacicco, R., Capolongo, D., and Marsico, A.: Integration of Remote Sensing techniques to assess badlands susceptibility in the Basilicata region (Southern Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12111, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12111, 2026.

EGU26-12758 | Posters on site | GM2.2

Beyond optimistic accuracy: effects of spatial autocorrelation and feature redundancy in large-scale landslide susceptibility models 

Domenico Capolongo, Saverio Mancino, and Giuseppe Amatulli

Large scale landslide susceptibility modelling (LSM) has rapidly evolved with the availability of large landslide inventories and high-resolution global environmental datasets. However, two fundamental issues continue to undermine the reliability and interpretability of such models: spatial autocorrelation (SAC) in landslide occurrences and strong feature redundancy (FR) among terrain-derived and environmental predictors. Although both factors are known to affect model outcomes, their relative and distinct impacts on predictive performance and model interpretability at large to global scales are still poorly disentangled. Here, we present a comparative modelling study aimed at systematically evaluating how SAC and FR differently influence large-scale landslide susceptibility models outcome. Using the UGLC (Unified Global Landslide Catalog, https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2025-482/), which includes more than one million landslide records and an equal number of geomorphologically constrained non-landslide samples, we implement Random Forest (RF) models under three experimental settings: (i) conventional random train–test splitting, (ii) spatial k-means clustered train–test splitting to mitigate SAC-induced bias, and (iii) random train–test splitting combined with feature de-correlation to mitigate multicollinearity among 60 global geomorphological, hydrological, geological, and soil predictors. Our results show that random splitting leads to strongly optimistic performance (accuracy ≈ 0.96), dominated by spatial dependence between training and testing samples. When spatial clustering is applied, model performance decreases markedly (accuracy ≈ 0.82), exposing the true predictive capability under spatial independence. Feature de-correlation does not address SAC-related bias but produces measurable gains in robustness (accuracy ≈ 0.94), improving model interpretability across diverse climatic and geomorphological settings. These findings highlight that SAC and FR affect global LSM in fundamentally different ways. A spatial train–test splitting is indispensable for unbiased performance assessment, whereas feature de-correlation serves as a complementary strategy to enhance model stability and interpretability. This distinction is critical for the development of scientifically interpretable and operationally reliable global landslide susceptibility models.

How to cite: Capolongo, D., Mancino, S., and Amatulli, G.: Beyond optimistic accuracy: effects of spatial autocorrelation and feature redundancy in large-scale landslide susceptibility models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12758, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12758, 2026.

EGU26-13506 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Multi-Sensor Based Nearshore Bathymetry Projection in Rocky Coastlines Using Machine Learning Techniques 

Maxwell Arhin, Niamh Cullen, Susan Hegarty, and Mary Bourke

Accurate characterisation of nearshore bathymetry is crucial for modelling waves, monitoring hazards, and managing coasts. 

Ship-based technologies produce accurate bathymetry measurements but are expensive, time-consuming, and dangerous to use in relatively shallow coastal terrain, areas with rock outcrops, and intense waves. This results in a lack of bathymetry data in shallow coasts, creating a data void in nearshore zones. 

Several studies have used remotely sensed imagery for inverting nearshore bathymetry in shallow, homogeneous sandy coastal systems. However, existing empirical models often fail to estimate accurate bathymetry in energetic rock coast environments. To date, little or no attention has been placed on deriving nearshore bathymetry in rock coastlines due to high turbidity and heterogeneous bottom substrates. Empirical models do not perform effectively in determining nearshore water depth, which explains the greater focus on soft-coast systems and the neglect of rocky coastlines.

Multispectral (MS) optical sensors are preferred for bathymetry studies. The blue and green bands of the optical satellite image are limited in depth by turbidity, large waves, and currents. In contrast, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) can track surface roughness and infer water depths in active waves and swells. By integrating passive optical and active SAR data, the limitations of relying solely on multispectral images to derive bathymetry in complex coastal areas can be overcome.

Rocky coasts are characterised by morphological heterogeneity that promotes increased turbulence under wave forcing. This affects light penetration and increases the complexity of optical water properties, reducing the accuracy of projected nearshore water depth using only optical sensors. While the western seaboard of Ireland is dominated by hard, rocky, cliffed coastline and extreme wave climates, it has a significant data gap in nearshore bathymetry.  

In a multi-sensor approach, this research used machine learning techniques to combine multispectral Sentinel-2 and Sentinel-1 SAR data with multibeam data to provide a comprehensive dataset for projecting nearshore bathymetry. This was carried out using supervised machine learning to train known depth values in a given coastal area, and unsupervised machine learning to predict unknown water depths in another nearshore zone. Projected water depth was validated using single-beam sonar data collected in Ballard Bay.

Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM, techniques were used to train models. Models were then applied to generate nearshore bathymetry maps at three locations on the west coast of Ireland: Ballard Bay, Farrihy Bay, and Loop Head. The results indicated that Random Forest outperformed the XGBoost and LightGBM models across all sites, with R² values of 0.782, 0.765, and 0.740, respectively, with corresponding Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.578m, 0.698m, and 0.756m. A stacking ensemble model was built by combining the three models, which improved the R² for bathymetry prediction by 10% at all sites.

This research represents one of the first applications of machine learning–based nearshore bathymetry reconstruction focused specifically on rocky coastlines. The proposed ensemble method can produce precise bathymetric maps for nearshore areas across diverse regions and time periods. This will enable frequent assessment of rock coast evolution in relation to potential climate-driven impacts. 

How to cite: Arhin, M., Cullen, N., Hegarty, S., and Bourke, M.: Multi-Sensor Based Nearshore Bathymetry Projection in Rocky Coastlines Using Machine Learning Techniques, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13506, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13506, 2026.

The soil weathering rate of karst carbonate rocks is very low, resulting in scarce and thin soil layers. Under the subtropical monsoon climate, a well-developed epikarst zone is formed in the upper part of the vadose zone, with abundant fractures and pores filled with soil. The karst hillslopes surface bedrock is exposed, forming a mosaic soil landscape with soil.However, traditional profile surveys make it difficult to quantitatively determine the spatial distribution of soil and the epikarst zone with high precision; additionally, complex lithological conditions and strong spatial heterogeneity of carbonate rocks further limit the accurate quantification of soil thickness (ST) and epikarst thickness (EkT).

Therefore, this study investigated the soil-epikarst structures and their spatial distribution at different topographic locations (including different hillslope positions, ridges, saddles, and valleys) using Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT, 5268 sampling points) in a peak cluster-valley catchment in Southwest China. Furthermore, an interpretation method was established, where the application of revised inflexion points in 1D resistivity vertical profiles for improving ST and EkT characterization accuracy was assessed, with interpretations validated against borehole data.

Results showed that between hillslopes, the average ST ranges from 0.42 to 0.52 m, and the average EkT ranges from 3.38 to 4.58 m. The average ST in the valley (3.23 m) is significantly greater than that on hillslopes (0.49 m). Although there are some scattered, fragmented areas with EkT exceeding 20 m in the valley, both the average and median EkT in the valley (3.77 m and 2.98 m) are slightly smaller than those on hillslopes (3.93 m and 3.63 m).

This study integrated high-density ERT observations with a 1-m UAV LiDAR DEM and interpretable machine learning to predict karst soil and epikarst thickness. Important topographic controlling factors were screened out by machine learning, including those affecting ST (i.e., slope position (SP), relative elevation (RElev), slope gradient (S), slope roughness (SR), hillslope shape (HS), slope aspect (SOS), profile curvature (PrC)) and those affecting EkT (i.e., plan curvature (PLC), profile curvature (PrC), flow length (FLU), flow direction (FLD), aspect (A), relative elevation (RELE)).

Moreover, machine learning has made it possible to predict the spatial distribution of soil and the epikarst zone in the catchment with high precision, thereby providing structural information for studies such as soil erosion investigation, hydrological models, and material transport in porous media.

Keywords

Karst; Epikarst zone; Soil thickness (ST); Epikarst thickness (EkT); Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT); Machine learning; Southwest China

How to cite: Peng, T., Jiang, W., and Dai, B.: ERT and Interpretable Machine Learning Integrated Prediction of Karst Soil and Epikarst Thickness in a Peak Cluster-Valley Catchment, Southwest China, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15480, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15480, 2026.

EGU26-17529 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.2

Learning DEM Completion with Pretrained Spatial Representations 

Tianxin Lu, Michel Jaboyedoff, Ruoshen Lin, and Jingrou Wu

Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a fundamental representation of terrain surfaces and are widely used in geomorphological analysis and terrain modeling. Traditional interpolation-based techniques are commonly used to address missing or unobserved regions in DEMs. However, these methods can struggle to recover coherent terrain structures when the gaps are large or irregular.

In this work, we investigate DEM completion by adapting model representations pretrained on large-scale image datasets to elevation data, which provides an effective initialization for Transformer models without requiring training from scratch. A Transformer-based architecture is employed to capture long-range spatial dependencies and global terrain structure, which are essential for reconstructing missing elevation regions. Geomorphological constraints are incorporated into the learning process to guide the reconstruction toward structurally consistent and physically plausible terrain surfaces.

Experimental results on a subset of the swisstopo DEM dataset demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 6 m and a root mean squared error (RMSE) of approximately 11 m on the validation. Given that the average per-sample local topographic amplitude is approximately 256 m, an MAE of 6 m corresponds to less than 3% of this scale. The proposed approach leads to more coherent and structurally consistent DEM reconstructions compared to traditional interpolation-based methods, particularly in regions with missing or sparsely sampled elevation data. While the framework is developed for DEM completion, similar modeling principles could potentially be explored for other spatial surface reconstruction problems involving incomplete geospatial data.

How to cite: Lu, T., Jaboyedoff, M., Lin, R., and Wu, J.: Learning DEM Completion with Pretrained Spatial Representations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17529, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17529, 2026.

EGU26-18865 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Diffusion-based Super-Resolution of Arctic Bathymetry for Glacial Geomorphology 

Jan Matwiejczuk, Jens Jasche, Larry Mayer, Rezwan Mohammad, and Martin Jakobsson

Bathymetric mapping of the Arctic seafloor remains challenging due to persistent sea ice, which limits systematic surveys and degrades multibeam echosounder (MBES) data through reduced swath width, ice interference, and vessel-induced noise. As a result, Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) derived from MBES data in ice-covered regions are often fragmented, coarse, and incomplete, obscuring bottom morphological features. These includes submarine glacial landforms that are informative of past glacier extents and ice-sheet dynamics. Standard interpolation is commonly used for upsampling and gap-filling but systematically oversmooths seafloor morphology, removing the small-scale variability central to glacial geomorphological interpretation.

Here, we investigate whether domain-informed generative super-resolution can recover geomorphologically meaningful structure in degraded Arctic bathymetry. We target upscaling from 100–200 m grid cell resolution to 25 m (4×–8×), with explicit emphasis on preserving glacial landforms rather than optimizing pixel-wise fidelity. We compile (i) 25 m MBES-derived bathymetry from surveys near northern Greenland and around Svalbard, which is downsampled to 100 m and 200 m to create controlled low-resolution inputs, and (ii) a larger set of terrestrial post-glacial Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) from Norway, Iceland, and the Hudson Bay region derived from airborne LiDAR and satellite products. The terrestrial DEMs provide a geomorphological prior without hydroacoustic artifacts and are used for training, while MBES data are reserved exclusively for evaluation in the Arctic bathymetry use case, acknowledging the domain shift between terrestrial and submarine environments.

We train a conditional diffusion model with a U-Net backbone to generate 25 m terrain conditioned on low-resolution inputs. In controlled downsampling experiments, conventional super-resolution metrics show limited separation from deterministic baselines; however, distributional similarity, quantified using the Wasserstein distance of elevation-value distributions, consistently improves. Qualitative assessments in regions such as Svalbard, Nares Strait, and Victoria Fjord show that the diffusion model produces sharper glacial lineations, more distinct retreat moraines, and clearer iceberg scour patterns than interpolation-based methods. To better quantify these geomorphological improvements, we introduce a Fourier-domain evaluation based on radial power spectral density and cross-correlation. Frequency-domain analysis shows that diffusion outputs more closely match the spectral characteristics of the 25 m reference data and tend to restore mid-wavelength power associated with glacial bedforms. Overall, the results suggest that domain-informed generative super-resolution can produce more interpretable bathymetric grids, while underscoring the need for evaluation metrics aligned with geomorphological realism.

How to cite: Matwiejczuk, J., Jasche, J., Mayer, L., Mohammad, R., and Jakobsson, M.: Diffusion-based Super-Resolution of Arctic Bathymetry for Glacial Geomorphology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18865, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18865, 2026.

EGU26-19667 | Posters on site | GM2.2

AI and ML applications on plunging cliffs 

Stefano Furlani

This abstract examines the role of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) in the geomorphological surveying of plunging cliffs, which represent some of the most dynamic and hazardous landforms on Earth. These steep and inaccessible environments are shaped by complex interactions between marine erosion, tectonics, weathering, and gravitational processes. Due to the complex logistics, traditional field-based surveying can be both risky and limited in spatial coverage. AI and ML techniques provide powerful tools to overcome these constraints by enabling the automated analysis of large, multi-source geospatial datasets, such as images, physical-chemical data, etc.

Data collected via swim surveys, drones, satellite imagery, and photogrammetry can be integrated into AI-driven workflows. Convolutional neural networks and other deep learning architectures can automatically detect coastal landforms, allowing detailed mapping of geomorphological features at unprecedented scales. Change detection algorithms applied to time-series datasets identify subtle deformation, rockfall precursors, and erosion patterns that may not be visible in the field or through manual interpretation. In parallel, ML-based classification and clustering methods help differentiate cliff characteristics, such as lithological units and surface conditions, improving the understanding of cliff geomorphic behaviour.

Overall, AI and ML can guide the transformation of plunging cliff geomorphological surveying from a largely manual and episodic practice into a continuous, high-resolution and, in the near future, predictive science. This approach not only enhances scientific insight into sea cliff dynamics but also provides practical tools for early warning systems, land-use planning, and the long-term management of these environments.

How to cite: Furlani, S.: AI and ML applications on plunging cliffs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19667, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19667, 2026.

EGU26-21186 | ECS | Orals | GM2.2

Machine learning–based reconstruction of Late-Quaternary coastal paleo-landscapes: an AI framework 

Alessia Sorrentino, Gaia Mattei, Gerardo Pappone, Angelo Ciaramella, and Pietro Patrizio Ciro Aucelli

Artificial Intelligence is increasingly reshaping geomorphological research by enabling scalable, data-driven analyses of complex Earth surface processes. In this contribution, we present a supervised machine-learning framework for reconstructing Late-Quaternary coastal paleo-landscapes, applied to the rocky coasts of the Cilento Promontory (southern Tyrrhenian Sea), a tectonically quasi-stable sector preserving well-constrained sea-level indicators.
We trained a Random Forest classifier on an expert-labelled geomorphological dataset integrating DEM-derived morphometric parameters, lithology, distance from the coastline, and field-validated paleo-environmental markers. The model was developed within a fully reproducible workflow and validated against independent geomorphological mapping and sea-level proxy datasets.
Results demonstrate high classification performance and the ability to automatically discriminate between Last Interglacial paleo-sea cliffs and polycyclic, currently active coastal cliffs across different lithological contexts. The AI-based approach overcomes key limitations of traditional “bathtub” methods, allowing the detection of relict and partially buried landforms and extending paleo-landscape reconstructions into areas lacking direct field evidence.
Beyond the specific case study, this work illustrates how machine-learning approaches can be effectively integrated with geomorphological knowledge to reconstruct complex coastal paleo-landscapes. The proposed framework allows the identification of inherited and partially obscured landforms that are difficult to detect through traditional methods alone, offering a transferable tool for investigating long-term coastal evolution. This integration of AI and geomorphology provides new insights into the geomorphic response of rocky coasts to Quaternary sea-level fluctuations and climatic forcing.

How to cite: Sorrentino, A., Mattei, G., Pappone, G., Ciaramella, A., and Aucelli, P. P. C.: Machine learning–based reconstruction of Late-Quaternary coastal paleo-landscapes: an AI framework, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21186, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21186, 2026.

EGU26-3485 | PICO | GM2.3

Definition of an erosion law for cohesive sediments from Gironde estuary using rheology 

Sebastien Jarny, Gracia Salloum, Guillaume Gomit, and Lionel Thomas

The accumulation of cohesive sediments is one of the most prominent issues in many tidal estuaries, as it has major implications on estuarine morphodynamics and on water quality and dredging strategies to support harbor activities. The work presented here focuses on the Gironde estuary, and more specifically on the Cadillac site located 40 km upstream of Bordeaux, where sediments were taken from the banks at low tide.

The first step was to characterise the physical properties of these materials by means of a granulometric analysis and rheological tests. Granulometric analysis (Mastersizer 3000, Malvern) is used to ensure the homogeneity of the sediments taken during the various campaigns. These reworked materials are then studied from a rheological point of view (HR2, TA Instruments) in order to identify in particular their yield stress for setting in motion. To do this, flow tests were carried out in a coaxial disc geometry in order to define the corresponding rheogram. The Hershel-Bulkley behaviour law is then applied to the descent curve to identify the yield stress. Once the protocol has been established, the effect of concentration is measured by diluting the sediments taken and the concentration is measured a posteriori by weighing the samples before and after drying. In this way, the law governing the evolution of yield stress as a function of concentration can be established.

Erosion tests were then carried out in a laboratory channel. The sediments were placed in the space left free between two ramps placed at the bottom of the channel. Initially, the threshold stress for setting the various samples in motion was established by gradually increasing the flow rate in the channel for a given height of water. The flow rate at which movement starts to occur on the sediment surface is noted. This flow rate is then translated into parietal stress on the bottom using PIV calibration on a rigid surface. It is assumed that the friction stress on the rigid bottom is equal to the minimum stress required to set the sediment in motion. These tests are repeated for different sediment concentrations. In a second phase, flows greater than the minimum flow are applied for 45 minutes and the quantity of sediment eroded is obtained by a double weighing method and by optical measurement using a 3D camera. In this way, the erosion rate, defined by the change in mass over time on a given reference surface, can be established and its evolution as a function of flow parameters and rheological properties can be determined. The final aim is to be able to propose an erosion law corresponding to the sediments of the Gironde estuary, which could then be used in numerical modelling.

This work was supported by the French National Agency for Research in the context of EMPHASE project (ANR-19-FQSM-0003).

This work pertains to the French Government program “Investissements d’Avenir” EUR INTREE, reference ANR-18-EURE-0010.

How to cite: Jarny, S., Salloum, G., Gomit, G., and Thomas, L.: Definition of an erosion law for cohesive sediments from Gironde estuary using rheology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3485, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3485, 2026.

EGU26-3492 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Definition of an Erosion Law for Sediments of the Saône River, France 

Gracia Salloum, Damien Trujillo, Franck Weingertner, Guillaume Gomit, and Sebastien Jarny

The erosion of riverbeds and banks in navigable channels controls the stability of the channel, the flow of sediment, and the maintenance of navigation depth. Understanding the erosion dynamics of natural sediments is crucial for predicting morphodynamical changes due to human-induced hydraulic influences.

This research examines the erosion characteristics of transitional fine to medium sand sediments from the Saône River (France), with the goal of establishing an empirical erosion law that connects hydraulic shear to sediment transport in these materials. Granulometric analyses revealed well sorted medium sand (D50 ≈ 140 –160 μm), suggesting weak cohesion yet hydraulically mobile beds. Flume experiments performed under regulated flow conditions demonstrated a gradual onset of erosion within a flow rate range of 26–47 l/s, indicating that incipient motion takes place along a continuum rather than at a specific critical threshold. Time-dependent experiments indicated an initial period of quick detachment succeeded by a decrease in erosion rate, influenced by surface armoring and a depletion of the easily entrainable fraction. Dimensionless transport data were fitted using the Meyer-Peter and Müller (1948) and Van Rijn (1984) expressed respectively as Φ = 140.3(θ − 0.07)4.43 and Φ =0.00153 d-0.3(θ/0.07 - 1)4.43 with R2 ≈ 0.74. The steep exponents highlight the nonlinear sensitivity of transport to excess shear stress, characteristic of transitional sediments. The derived relationships provide a quantitative foundation for predicting ship-induced erosion and sediment mobilization in navigable river systems.

This research was funded in whole or in part by the Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) under project ANR-23-CE51-0032-01

How to cite: Salloum, G., Trujillo, D., Weingertner, F., Gomit, G., and Jarny, S.: Definition of an Erosion Law for Sediments of the Saône River, France, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3492, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3492, 2026.

EGU26-7831 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Using smart rocks to improve understanding of bedload transport in a proglacial forefield 

Margaux Hofmann, Kyle Roskilly, Georgina Bennett, and Stuart N. Lane

Glacier-fed streams and their downstream ecosystems are influenced by bedload transport. An excess of bedload supply can lead to hazards, whilst an insufficiency can degrade in-stream habitats.  However, the processes by which bedload is mobilised and transported in such environments remain poorly understood, partly because its direct monitoring is challenging. Recent developments in micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS), particularly inertial measurement units (IMUs) for environmental applications, allow this gap to be addressed. Whilst IMU sensors have been primarily used for landslide and rockfall monitoring, their application to fluvial sediment transport is still emerging. Here, we use an innovative approach in which "smart rocks", rocks equipped with triaxial IMUs (accelerometers, gyroscopes, and magnetometers), are deployed in an Alpine proglacial environment. In combination with wireless data transmission, they can be described as “smart” as they can collect data autonomously and transmit it over quite long distances, via Long Range Wide Area Network (LoRaWAN) technology, which allows near real-time communication.

This work presents preliminary results from field tests conducted in autumn 2025 in the proglacial forefield of the Bas Glacier d’Arolla (Swiss Alps) in order to assess their applicability in a realistic alpine environment and to evaluate their potential for capturing bedload transport. Detailed results of a single particle during the flushing of hydropower infrastructure allow quantification of the forces associated with particle entrainment, transport, and resting phases. Central to the method are issues associated with data transmission and particle traceability. However, this preliminary work already demonstrates the potential of smart rocks as a promising tool for improving our understanding of bedload transport in alpine environments, especially for understanding sediment transport processes at the individual particle scale.

How to cite: Hofmann, M., Roskilly, K., Bennett, G., and Lane, S. N.: Using smart rocks to improve understanding of bedload transport in a proglacial forefield, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7831, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7831, 2026.

Luminescence is now used to date the exposure of rocks at the Earth’s surface or to measure their erosion rates. These methods are based on the observation that the luminescence of a rock exposed to sunlight is not only reset (bleached) at the surface but also at depth below the surface. For a stable surface, this bleaching depth (PBl) increases over time, forming a “bleaching front” that propagates into the rock interior. For an eroding surface, models show that a balance establishes between erosion and bleaching, and that PBl then depends on the erosion rate. Here, we present luminescence measurements performed on pebble surfaces sampled along a river in order to assess whether longitudinal variations in PBl could be used to quantify pebble transport durations or their abrasion (attrition).

Our study focuses on the Ardèche River (France), a ~120 km long river which is a tributary of the Rhône River. In its headwaters, in the Cévennes (french Massif Central), the eroded bedrock consists of Paleozoic metamorphic and plutonic rocks (including granites) and Quaternary volcanics. Then, along most of its course (~ 90 km) the river flows and cuts into Mesozoic carbonates. In its downstream end, it forms a  ~200 m deep and 30 km long gorge (“Gorges de l’Ardèche”), before connecting to the Rhône.

We consider here the luminescence of pebbles and cobbles sampled on twelve site along the Ardèche modern floodplain. For this purpose, we first characterized the granulometric distribution of alluvial bars on the 12 sites and then sampled granitic cobbles considering the D50 and D90 of the distributions.

Luminescence profiles (IRSL) of granite pebbles show PB1 depths ranging between 2 and 10 mm. For the D50 fraction, the luminescence signal reflects a progressive downward deepening of PB1, from the upstream area to the entrance of the gorges. Within the gorges, a slight reduction in PB1 depth is observed that we attribute to enhanced pebble abrasion within the gorges. Our results suggest that luminescence could form the basis of a new method for investigating the transport and abrasion of pebbles in fluvial systems.

 

How to cite: Allebe, M., Brill, D., and Bonnet, S.: Evaluation of luminescence techniques for investigating the transport and abrasion of pebbles in fluvial systems: the Ardèche River (France), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9287, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9287, 2026.

EGU26-11075 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

A data-driven framework for calibrating 2D morpho-sedimentary models in gravel-bed meandering rivers 

Guillaume Piasny, Pierre-André Garambois, and Laurent Schmitt

Lateral channel mobility is a key process controlling the morphodynamic evolution of large gravel-bed rivers, yet it remains difficult to represent numerically because of the strong coupling between flow hydraulics, sediment transport and bank erosion. This communication presents a data-driven approach for morpho-sedimentary model calibration, based on several complementary research articles derived from extensive field measurements and combining dense field instrumentation with a rich multi-sensor dataset to constrain detailed numerical models.

The proposed framework is applied to the morphodynamic modelling of an actively migrating meander of the Moselle River (north-eastern France), located within the Wild Moselle regional nature reserve. A multi-year field monitoring program included topo-bathymetric LiDAR surveys, water level records, ADCP velocity measurements, photogrammetric monitoring of bank erosion, direct (in situ) and indirect (hydrophone) bedload measurements, and particle mobility analyses using painted bed patches and RFID tracers.

A high-resolution 2D hydro-sedimentary model was implemented using TELEMAC-2D coupled with SISYPHE to investigate the processes governing meander dynamics. Model parameterization was constrained by in situ measurements, enabling the reproduction of observed flow patterns, sediment transport and bank erosion processes. Particular attention was paid to the contribution of bank-derived sediments to bedload transport and their role in channel morphodynamic.

Results show that the morpho-sedimentary model is capable of reproducing observed bank retreat, highlighting the potential of data-constrained two-dimensional approaches to represent inherently three-dimensional erosion processes. This modelling framework provides a robust basis for assessing future channel evolution and for exploring river management scenarios addressing lateral channel mobility and associated risks to infrastructure destabilization.

How to cite: Piasny, G., Garambois, P.-A., and Schmitt, L.: A data-driven framework for calibrating 2D morpho-sedimentary models in gravel-bed meandering rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11075, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11075, 2026.

Sediment transport is a fundamental process governing river hydraulics and channel morphology. During hyperconcentrated flows and flooding events, conventional optical and in situ sampling techniques are often unable to capture sediment transport behavior continuously. Previous studies have shown that contact-based hydroacoustic measurements can capture acoustic signals generated by particle impacts on the riverbed and enable continuous observations under high stream power conditions (Geay et al., 2017). However, contact-based hydroacoustic sensors are vulnerable to damage during flood events, resulting in high maintenance costs. To address this limitation, this study develops a low-cost, autonomous hydrophone system capable of continuous hydroacoustic recording. The system was tested in a large-scale field artificial channel constructed along the Landao Creek at Huisun Forest Station, Taiwan, where controlled discharges supplied from the upstream Nenggao Main Canal enabled experiments under dry-bed, steady-flow, and flood-peak conditions. To assess the performance of the autonomous hydrophone, a multi-physics sensing framework was established by synchronously deploying the hydrophone, a distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) system, and a microseismic sensor (SmartSolo). Under identical hydraulic and sediment supply conditions, hydroacoustic, ground vibration, and fiber-optic strain-rate signals were simultaneously recorded and analyzed to infer sediment transport behavior and riverbed activity. For data analysis, power spectral density (PSD) was employed as the primary frequency-domain method to analyze band-limited energy variations using a moving-window approach. In addition, waveform clipping events were detected and statistically analyzed to further identify high-energy transient events, which were used as an auxiliary indicator of bedload activity. The results indicate that the autonomous hydrophone reliably captures acoustic signatures associated with sediment transport and exhibits strong consistency with DAS strain-rate and microseismic observations, demonstrating its potential for integrated sediment transport monitoring in controlled artificial channel experiments.

 

Keywords: sediment transport; low-cost autonomous hydrophone; fiber-optic strain rate; microseismic signals

How to cite: Chen, B.-Y. and Chao, W.-A.: A Low-Cost Autonomous Hydrophone System Integrated with Multidisciplinary Observations for Sediment Transport Monitoring in a Large-Scale Field Artificial Channel, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11627, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11627, 2026.

EGU26-12030 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Temporal Resolution Controls on Ensemble Statistics of Bedload Transport 

Anshul Yadav and Rachel Glade

The movement of bedload sediment results from episodic grain motion involving hops and rests
controlled by hydrodynamic forces and collisions with the bed surface. Despite extensive research
studying the velocity distributions, there is no firm consensus regarding particle-scale dynamics,
particularly whether velocity distributions exhibit exponential-like or gamma-like characteristics.
In this work using high-resolution LES–DEM simulations, we investigate how observational
thresholds and flow conditions shape grain motion statistics. Our results demonstrate that velocity
threshold choices critically affect the observed distributions as including low-velocity events
produces exponential-like streamwise (vx) and Laplace-like cross-stream (vy) velocity distributions,
while filtering these events yields gamma and Gaussian forms. The streamwise velocity
distribution maintains its exponential character across flow intensities, but cross-stream
distributions evolve from Gaussian to Laplace-like as turbulent forcing strengthens. Fine-scale
analysis of velocity–acceleration phase space exposes highly asymmetric acceleration signatures
controlled by impact-driven collisions, whereas coarser temporal averaging generates symmetric
patterns. Hop distances exhibit Weibull-type distributions with stable scale factors, while the
relationship between hop length and duration transitions from quadratic to linear dependence
across all flow regimes, revealing inherent scale-dependent transport mechanisms. Throughout the
investigated conditions, bedload transport rates increase predominantly via nonlinear growth in the
number of mobile particles (particle activity), with mean particle velocities showing minimal
variation. These findings reconcile contradictory literature on bedload kinematics, emphasizing the
dominant role of particle mobilization dynamics, and reveal how measurement protocols introduce
systematic biases in grain-scale statistical characterization.

How to cite: Yadav, A. and Glade, R.: Temporal Resolution Controls on Ensemble Statistics of Bedload Transport, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12030, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12030, 2026.

EGU26-13574 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Are the source and sink behaviour simulated by a network-scale sediment transport model credible?   

Sahansila Shrestha, Francesca Pianosi, Elisa Bozzolan, Diane Doolaeghe, Nicola Surian, and Simone Bizzi

In this work, we employ Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) to quantify the robustness of sediment fluxes and sediment budgeting simulated at the river network scale. These simulations are subject to significant uncertainties when determining key drivers of transport capacity estimation, such as active transport width, river slope, or grain size distribution. These parameters, already difficult to estimate accurately at the scale of individual river cross-sections, become even more challenging to constrain at the network or entire river scale.  

We achieve this by applying the network scale sediment transport model, D-CASCADE (Dynamic CAtchment Sediment Connectivity And DElivery), to the 528 km long Po River basin in Northern Italy. D-CASCADE divides a river network into discrete units, termed ‘reaches’, and uses an empirical sediment transport formula to estimate how sediment is transported through this network. The river Po was divided into 35 reaches of homogenous geomorphic characteristics of a few kilometers each, and the model includes the input from 21 of its main tributaries.  We simulated the sediment transfer across this network for five hydrological years (2017-2021), with a daily time step.

Monte Carlo simulations were conducted using 1000 realizations, jointly perturbing the nominal value of 9 input parameters, such as active transport width, slope, roughness coefficient, and initial grain size distribution (GSD), for all the 35 reaches composing the Po River course. Specifically, the proposed methodology aims at assessing whether the plausible variations of the input parameters (that we established from field data and expert judgement) affect the nature of a river reach in the simulations, as sediment source (negative sediment budgeting), sink (positive sediment budgeting), or at equilibrium (sediment budget under a threshold), hence impacting its geomorphic behavior. The results indicated a strong robustness in classification, as no transition from source to sink was observed in any reach in the network. Nonetheless, some reaches shifted from being classified as either source or sink to

Regional Sensitivity Analysis (RSA) was then applied to identify which uncertain parameters have the greatest influence on such transitions. The RSA results showed that the active width, slope, roughness coefficient, and active layer depth are the primary input parameters affecting the river's state in gravel-dominated reaches, while the initial grain size distribution (GSD) is important in its sand-dominated reaches.

The presented approach applied to such network models allows for testing whether modelled river reaches maintain similar geomorphic behaviour despite the input uncertainties, while also identifying river network segments that exhibit an increased sensitivity and to which parameters. These insights can help prioritize efforts in data collection (known to be resource and time-demanding) and/or guide model calibration (known to be computationally expensive) towards parameters and locations whose improvements would most effectively reduce the final model uncertainty.

 

 

 

How to cite: Shrestha, S., Pianosi, F., Bozzolan, E., Doolaeghe, D., Surian, N., and Bizzi, S.: Are the source and sink behaviour simulated by a network-scale sediment transport model credible?  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13574, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13574, 2026.

EGU26-13958 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Post-Flood Sediment Deposition Analysis Using SAR Interferometry: A Case Study of the 2024 Flood in Feni district, Bangladesh 

Abdullah Al Jahib, Md Asadullahil Galib Fardin, and Sameer Mahmud Khan

Being a country with heavy monsoon rains and seasonal flooding, every year Bangladesh faces severe damage, some of which are irreparable. The flood of 2024 which occurred in August, severely affected the north-eastern and south-eastern part of the country. Feni district was severely affected because of heavy water flow from the Dumboor dam in Tripura state. Subsequently, bringing massive amount of sediment load through the hilly area. These flooding events cause significant damage to human life in the region, the flood-associated sediment is also crucial for the region's agriculture. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to find the amount of sediment deposited due to the flood in the Feni floodplain. To achieve this objective, interferometry methods were used to create the Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) of the floodplains before and after the flood. To analyze the flood-plain state before the flood, two images were selected from 29th May to 10th June and two images were selected after the flood between 8th to 20th October. Single Look Complex (SLC) products were chosen, which consist of focused SAR data, geo-referenced using orbit , attitude data from the satellite and provided in slant-range geometry. The Sentinel-1 images were pre-processed . Than phase was unwrapped, and converted to DEM. The software SNAP, which is a common architecture of all Sentinel toolboxes, was used for DEM generation. After the DEM generation, 8 profiles were drawn to observe the change in topography due to sedimentation by HEC-RAS software. It was found that there was an average of 2.7 cm sediment deposition throughout the region and a 7.5 cm maximum deposition.

How to cite: Jahib, A. A., Fardin, M. A. G., and Khan, S. M.: Post-Flood Sediment Deposition Analysis Using SAR Interferometry: A Case Study of the 2024 Flood in Feni district, Bangladesh, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13958, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13958, 2026.

Catastrophic sediment release in fluvial systems is largely driven by landsliding that occurs naturally in mountain belts during extreme events, such as earthquakes or storms. Sediments are routed through the river system until they are stored either permanently in alluvial fans and lakes or temporarily in floodplains. The river response to such catastrophic sediment release has already been studied with 2D numerical models using a single effective grain size. Yet, in natural systems, sediment grain-size distributions can span several orders of magnitude and evolve during transport.

We present the new multi-grain-size sediment transport and sorting model SEDSCAPE (Sediment Entrainment Deposition and Storage based on the Concepts of Accessibility and Partial Equilibrium). This model was developed to predict how sediments of heterogeneous sizes that originate from landslides triggered by extreme events such as earthquakes and storms propagate through a river system. As modelling the 3D response of a river reach is computationally challenging, we couple SEDSCAPE with STRIMM (Lague, 2010), a model of river width evolution, to provide a simplified 2.5D approach. In turn, we can predict both morphodynamic changes and the full spectrum of sediment fluxes towards the floodplain and at the river outlet, and thus the sedimentary records in these locations.

We conducted numerical simulations of a constricted river reach consisting of a straight channel with floodplains on both sides. A time series of sediment and water discharges was applied to predict the response of a river reach affected by a landsliding event over several months to years. For comparison purposes, similar simulations were conducted with a single grain size.

Numerical simulations reveal: i) how different levels of sediment mobilization (water discharge) control sediment sorting processes and in turn sediment fluxes, ii) how the grain-size specific signals propagate in a river reach and are preserved in the channel and floodplain stratigraphy in response to a catastrophic sediment release, and ii) how the channel width adjusts with stochastic flow conditions and sediment supply.

The comparison between single- and multiple-grain-size simulations highlights the relevance of the multiple-grain-size approach to predict the response of a river reach to a catastrophic sediment release. Indeed, only the multi-grain-size approach is able to capture the hysteresis of transport, and different hysteresis patterns are obtained depending on the grain size as they have heterogeneous levels of mobilization and are not affected by sorting processes in the same way.

These results were obtained in the context of the SCALEES (Signature of sediment CAscades following Landslides triggered by Extreme Events in the Stratigraphy) project funded by the European Union. One key outcome of this project is the development of numerical models that will allow us to predict the full signal (all grain sizes) of sediment cascades preserved in stratigraphy in response to an extreme event. It will also pave the way for inverting the stratigraphic record of landslide-induced sediment cascades for quantitative insights into their response amplitudes and relaxation times.

How to cite: Le Minor, M., Lague, D., Howarth, J., and Davy, P.: Application of a coupled model of channel width evolution and multi-grain size sediment transport to predict the full signal (all grain sizes) of sediment cascades preserved in stratigraphy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15663, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15663, 2026.

EGU26-19732 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Sediment transport in rough bed rivers 

Robert Houseago, Rebecca Hodge, Will Norris, and Takuya Inoue

Sediment entrainment thresholds in rivers have been widely studied, informing the prediction of bedload transport rates that underpin morphodynamic modelling. However, quantification of sediment entrainment in complex channels with varying degrees of bedrock exposure and sediment cover remains limited. Here, physical modelling was conducted to simulate a 1:10 scaled model of a bedrock reach from the River Garry in Scotland. Sediment entrainment thresholds were measured for isolated grains corresponding to selected percentiles of the bed grainsize distribution (D10, D50,  D90) over a bedrock surface with five sediment cover percentages (0, 25, 50, 75, 100%). Bed roughness metrics (e.g. standard deviation of bed elevation) of each bed were calculated. Sediment entrainment was found to be modulated by the bed roughness, resulting from the bedrock topography and infilling of depressions with sediments. Particle tracking revealed the spatial transport of sediment grains, along with the influence of localised bed roughness features on sediment dynamics.

How to cite: Houseago, R., Hodge, R., Norris, W., and Inoue, T.: Sediment transport in rough bed rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19732, 2026.

EGU26-22274 | ECS | PICO | GM2.3

Cohesive sediments alter coastal bar dynamics under waves and currents 

Anne Baar, Brendan Murphy, Stuart McLelland, and Daniel Parsons

Coastal systems are highly dynamic environments where sand and mud are transported under the complex interactions of bathymetry, currents and waves. A better understanding of the natural dynamics at the scale of individual bars is required for a fundamental understanding of the formation of coastal environments and how they will respond to changes in the future. However, many coastal environments consist of spatially varying mixtures of sand and mud, while current sediment transport predictors and empirical relations of bar dynamics do not take into account the effect of cohesive sediment. The current research therefore aims to characterize the relative influence of clay on the direction of sediment transport and the resulting morphodynamic change of coastal bars under the combined action of waves and currents.

To this end, experiments were conducted in the Total Environment Simulator, a large-scale wave-current flume facility at the University of Hull (6m x 11m, 0.4m deep). The experimental setup consisted of a circular mound of a mixture of sand and clay, placed on top of a flat sand bed in the centre of the flume. The experimental conditions were systematically varied between runs, with 4 different clay percentages of the mound, and 5 different combinations of wave height and current velocity, while keeping the total bed shear stress constant. Flow velocity, water level and bed levels were monitored during each run, and the bed was scanned before and after each experiment.

Observations of the mound morphology show lateral diffusion due to sediment transport perpendicular to the wave direction under the influence of gravity, and streamwise migration due to sediment transport in the direction of the flow. Increasing the cohesivity altered the relative influence of the waves and currents on the direction of sediment transport and therefore the final shape of the mound. With increasing clay content, relatively more lateral and less streamwise transport occurred under the same hydrodynamic conditions. Furthermore, wave height had a greater control on the morphology with increasing clay content, since higher waves were more effective in winnowing out the clay into suspension and thereby mobilizing the sand fraction. These results imply that coastal and estuarine environments with spatially varying clay content will adapt differently to changing hydrodynamic conditions. In systems with a relatively high clay content, wave energy will have an important control on dynamics as it is needed to mobilize the sediment.

How to cite: Baar, A., Murphy, B., McLelland, S., and Parsons, D.: Cohesive sediments alter coastal bar dynamics under waves and currents, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22274, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22274, 2026.

EGU26-565 | ECS | Orals | GM2.4

Post-rift evolution of the southeastern Australia Great Escarpment from apatite 4He/3He thermochronology 

Wenbo Zhan, Lingxiao Gong, Marissa Tremblay, Magdalena Curry, and Malcolm McMillan

High-relief great escarpments are prominent geomorphic features characterizing many passive continental margins, extending for hundreds to thousands of kilometers subparallel to the continent-ocean boundary and connecting coastal plains with upland plateaus. Initial formation of these escarpments is most often attributed to oceanic rifting preceding passive margin development. However, in many cases, including our study area in SE Australia, these escarpments have persisted for tens to hundreds of millions of years after rifting, raising questions about their geomorphic origin and evolution. One of the challenges to understanding the evolution of great escarpments is that erosion-driven exhumation produced during their retreat from the coast is expected to be too small in magnitude to be recorded by conventional thermochronometers, such as apatite fission track (AFT). Here, we present apatite 4He/3He thermochronology results from a bedrock transect across the SE Australian escarpment. Existing AFT and conventional (U-Th)/He data in SE Australia appear to lack sufficient resolution to fully document the timing of cooling associated with escarpment retreat. Apatite 4He/3He thermochronology, on the other hand, is sensitive to temperatures as low as 35 ºC, making it suitable for detecting cooling signals from the estimated 1-1.5 km total exhumation associated with escarpment retreat in this region. Preliminary thermal history models based on our initial apatite 4He/3He data document an increase in cooling rates across the coastal plain ca. 120-80 Ma. This late Cretaceous signal overlaps with the initiation of rifting of the Tasman Sea and is consistent with a plateau degradation style of escarpment evolution, where the escarpment formed and retreated to near its present-day position rapidly after rifting. Ongoing acquisition of additional apatite 4He/3He data will allow us to further assess the extent of late Cretaceous cooling along the coastal plain and better constrain landscape evolution models of escarpment development.

How to cite: Zhan, W., Gong, L., Tremblay, M., Curry, M., and McMillan, M.: Post-rift evolution of the southeastern Australia Great Escarpment from apatite 4He/3He thermochronology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-565, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-565, 2026.

The dynamic Cape south coast of South Africa is widely recognised for its extensive occurrence of aeolian coastal dunes and older (cemented) aeolianites; the latter are thought to preserve records of dune formation spanning multiple glacial-interglacial cycles. However, existing records are dominated by Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 1 and 5e ages. Extensive and (assumed) much older deposits have been identified, but are largely unstudied. By reconstructing their chronologies, we aim to generate new insights into coastal change during the Early to Middle Pleistocene and examine the factors that control long-term preservation of aeolianite deposits on a tectonically stable coastline. We anticipate preservation to be largely influenced by local topography and underlying geology.

Here we focus on the geomorphic history of Walker Bay, southwest of Cape Town. Our aim is to integrate a suite of geophysical (ground penetrating radar-GPR), geochemical (ICP-MS, SEM) and luminescence (TT-OSL (quartz) and post-IR-IRSL (K-feldspar)) dating methods to unravel the chronology, structure and provenance of dune sands within the embayment. 

Initial results indicate an age range of ~1 million years to ~600,000 years. The applied methods TT-OSL, IR225, and IR290 show some results that are close to each other, while others vary outside the error range. We also observe several unusual aeolian deposits, some of which are far from the modern coastline and reach elevations of more than 250m above sea level (amsl). Other locations with closely juxtaposed aeolianites (dating to >600ka), substantially greater than any yet published for this coastline, and uncemented sands (late Pleistocene) dated to MIS-3, a period with fewer records & sea-levels were significantly lower than present. The results challenge existing models, which suggest that pulses of dune formation occurred primarily during the MIS-5 and MIS-1 highstands. Several questions arise as to the mechanisms of aeolianite formation/preservation at such heights and distances relative to the modern coast, and the results present further questions: Is Walker Bay Unique? Or are such complex suite deposits much more widespread? On this basis, we consider whether methodological and sampling limitations have led to a spatio-temporal biased record of long-term dune formation in this region. Or is it a completely different system than what has been observed on the coast before?

How to cite: Borde, H., Carr, A., Cawthra, H., and Cowling, R.: Extending the record of coastal aeolian landscape change into the Middle and Early Pleistocene: a multi-method comparison SAR-OSL, TT-OSL and post-IRIR, Walker Bay, South Africa, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-641, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-641, 2026.

EGU26-675 | ECS | Orals | GM2.4

Open to closed basin: tectonic and climatic feedback in the evolution of the largest Himalayan lake system  

Sumit Sagwal, Anil Kumar, Pradeep Srivastava, Subhojit Saha, and Mohd Shahrukh

The geomorphological evolution of landscapes is primarily governed by the coupled influence of tectonics and climate, with their relative dominance varying through time and space. In the Ladakh Himalaya, where active deformation intersects pronounced Quaternary climatic fluctuations, this coupling produces a distinct geomorphic signature. The Muglib Valley, formerly the outlet of Pangong Tso, demonstrates a system in which tectonic forcing initiated hydrological reorganisation, subsequently amplified by climatic variability. The region lies along the Karakoram Fault system, where oblique right-lateral slip with a vertical component (3–5 mm yr⁻¹) has modified basin geometry, offset valley alignments, and generated localised blockages that facilitated lake formation. Detailed geomorphic and sedimentological analyses across seven field sections reveal marked spatial variability: stacked gravels and conglomerates represent sustained fluvial aggradation, while thick fan and lacustrine deposits reflect progressive sediment overloading and hydrological stagnation, respectively. Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) ages indicate a steady flow of water from Pangong Tso between ~54 ± 4.3 ka and 21 ± 3 ka. Thereafter, the channel was cut and eventually abandoned at ~9 ± 1 ka. The latter coincides with intensified monsoonal precipitation during the Holocene Climate Optimum, which enhanced sediment flux and triggered fan progradation, ultimately blocking the Muglib outlet. This geomorphic transformation converted Pangong Tso from an open to a closed basin, isolating an upstream catchment of ~2000 km² and terminating water and sediment supply to the Tangste River. The findings demonstrate that slow but persistent tectonic activity along the Karakoram Fault primarily governed drainage reorganisation, while monsoon intensification acted as an additive trigger that accelerated fan aggradation and hydrological isolation. The Muglib system thus provides an example of coupled tectonic–climatic feedback that has reshaped the fluvial architecture and sediment connectivity in the Trans-Himalayan landscape.

How to cite: Sagwal, S., Kumar, A., Srivastava, P., Saha, S., and Shahrukh, M.: Open to closed basin: tectonic and climatic feedback in the evolution of the largest Himalayan lake system , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-675, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-675, 2026.

The geomorphic and sedimentological evolution of the dynamic Satluj River basin is understood through a detailed analysis that combines comprehensive morpho-sedimentary mapping, lithofacies analysis, and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating to evaluate the impact of base-level fluctuations. Although the valley is far from the current coastline, evidences of minor changes in base level caused by climate and sea level processes reach deep into the hinterland is clearly seen in such a dynamic mountain catchment of the Himalaya. These changes majorly control river dynamics, sediment transport, and overall landscape evolution. Frequent landslides, temporary channel damming, lake formation, and large fluvio-lacustrine sedimentary successions direct periods of enhanced sediment input and aggradation. Morphotectonic indices and the presence of seismites in these deposits suggest significant tectonic influence on base-level-driven geomorphic responses.

Optical chronology identifies two major aggradation phases: one from about 30 to 24 ka and another from about 17 to 11 ka. During these phases, more sediment was deposited, less material was transported, and the local base level temporarily rose owing to valley damming. In these periods, the landscape was unstable, resulting in numerous mass-wasting events, the creation of dammed palaeolakes, and the preservation of extensive sedimentary records. Subsequent incision stages form strath terraces, vertically incised gorges, offset channels, and modifications in the shape of Quaternary sediments. This indicates that the base level declined again and tectonic activity resumed.

The observed relationship between aggradation-incision cycles, dammed lakes, and tectonically influenced base-level fluctuations demonstrates how climate-driven base-level modifications can be greatly amplified in dynamic mountain belts. The findings suggest that base-level signals connected to sea-level fluctuations may have an indirect impact on sedimentation and geomorphology over significant distances upstream through complex sediment-routing systems. This study adds new constraints on late Quaternary catchment-scale geomorphic adjustment and improves understanding of how sea-level-induced base-level changes interact with tectonics, landslides, and fluvial processes to shape the Himalayan landscape.

How to cite: Shahrukh, M. and Kumar, A.: Propagation of Base-Level Signals into an Active Himalayan Catchment: Morpho-Sedimentary and OSL Evidence from the Satluj River Valley, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-730, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-730, 2026.

The deglaciation history of the European Alps is thought to be well established, however, the timing of glacier retreat in the eastern Alps remains poorly constrained. Here, we present the first 10Be exposure ages from the Klagenfurt Basin (Carinthia, Austria), which was covered by the piedmont lobe of the Drau glacier during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). The 10Be ages were obtained from glacially polished quartz veins between ~530 and ~800 m a.s.l. and range from 17.4±0.6 to 13.5±0.7 ka (mean age: 15.9±1.0 ka). The age data indicate that deglaciation of the Klagenfurt Basin occurred near the end of the Oldest Dryas stadial and are consistent with published 10Be ages from the flat tops of the ~2000-m-high Nock Mountains farther north (mean age: 15.0±1.2 ka) (Wölfler et al., 2022). Both data sets refute a widely accepted scenario, in which the southeastern Alps were already ice-free by ~19-18 ka (e.g., van Husen, 1997; Reitner, 2007; Ivy-Ochs et al., 2023). Our reassessment of the underlying age constraints for this still prevailing view shows that the respective 14C ages were obtained from bulk-sediment samples in two postglacial lakes (Lake Längsee: Schmidt et al., 1998, 2002; Lake Jeserzer See: Schmidt et al, 2012). 14C ages from bulk lake-sediment samples are, however, known to overestimate the true sedimentation age due to a reservoir effect (e.g., Ilyaschuk et al., 2009; Hou et al., 2012). At Lake Längsee, the overestimation of the true sedimentation ages by the 14C ages is confirmed by a layer of Neapolitan Yellow Tuff, whose age was independently determined by 40Ar/39Ar dating at its origin (Deino et al., 2004). Later deglaciation than previously assumed is further supported by two published 10Be age data sets from the Hohe Tauern mountains, which indicate LGM ice-surface lowering between ~18.6 and ~14.8 ka (Wirsig et al., 2016) and rock-glacier stabilization at ~16-14 ka (Steinemann et al., 2020), respectively. Our interpretations agree with palaeo-precipitation records derived from cave carbonates, which indicate enhanced autumn and winter precipitation during the LGM and until ~17 ka (Spötl et al., 2021; Warken et al., 2024). The combined evidence presented in our study shows that deglaciation of the southeastern Alps occurred at ~16-15 ka and hence later than previously thought.

References

Deino et al., 2004, J. Volcanol. Geotherm. Res., 133, 157–170, doi.org/10.1016/S0377-0273(03)00396-2.

Hou et al., 2012, Quat. Sci. Rev., 48, 67–79, doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.06.008.

Ilyaschuk et al., 2009, Quat. Sci. Rev., 28, 1340–1353, doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.01.007.

Ivy-Ochs et al., 2023, In: European Glacial Landscapes—The Last Deglaciation, 175–183, doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-91899-2.00005-X.

Reitner, 2007, Quat. Int. 164/165, 64–84, doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2006.12.016.

Schmidt et al., 1998, Aquat. Sci. 60, 56-88.

Schmidt et al., 2002, Quat. Int., 88, 45–56.

Schmidt et al., 2012, J. Quat. Sci. 27, 40–50. doi.org/10.1002/jqs.1505.

Spötl et al., 2021, Nature Commun. 12, 1839, doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22090-7.

Steinemann et al., 2020, Quat. Sci. Rev. 241, 106424, doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106424.

Warken et al., 2024, Comm. Earth Environ. 5, 694, doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01876-9.

Wirsig et al., 2016, Quat. Sci. Rev. 143, 37–50, doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.05.001.

Wölfler et al., 2022, J. Quat. Sci., 37, 677–687, doi.org/10.1002/jqs.3399.

How to cite: Hampel, A. and Hetzel, R.: Deglaciation of the Klagenfurt Basin (Austria): constraints from 10Be exposure dating and implications for the glacial history of the southeastern Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1613, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1613, 2026.

EGU26-1787 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4

Accelerated uplift of the Rhenish Massif (central Europe) since 700–800 ka revealed by isochron-burial dating of strath terraces 

Monica Terraza, Reinhard Wolff, Ralf Hetzel, Benedikt Ritter, Steven Binnie, Johannes Preuss, Christian Hoselmann, Michael Weidenfeller, and Stefan Heinze

The uplift of the Rhenish Massif is recorded by strath terraces along major rivers, however, absolute age control for the terraces is still scarce, and terrace correlations with Quaternary climate cycles are uncertain and partly contradictory. Along the Rhine, two terrace levels – the Older and Younger Main Terrace (OMT and YMT) – occur above a marked break-in-slope, which separates a steep lower valley from a broad upper valley with gentle slopes. Based on limited paleomagnetic data, an age of 730–800 ka for the YMT was often assumed and used to estimate rock uplift (e.g., Meyer & Stets, 1998). Here, we present the first 10Be – 26Al isochron-burial ages for the OMT and YMT at two sites: Kasbach-Ohlenberg and Bad Hönningen. At Kasbach-Ohlenberg, the OMT yields a burial age of 1.4–1.6 Ma, while the YMT is dated to 0.7–0.8 Ma. These ages and the small vertical distance of only a few meters between both terraces indicate a prolonged period with little river incision, followed by a phase of more rapid incision and rock uplift. The elevation of the bedrock strath of the YMT above the Rhine (i.e., ~160 m) implies an average uplift rate of ~200 m/Ma during this phase. At Bad Hönningen, the OMT yields a burial age of 1.1-1.4 Ma. This younger age and the higher elevation of the OMT at this site suggest that rock uplift increases toward the internal part of the Rhenish Massif. The temporal coincidence between the onset of uplift and plume-related intraplate volcanism in the Eifel at ~700 ka (e.g., Lippolt et al., 1983) suggests a mantle-driven origin for the uplift. Our ongoing work will result in additional age–elevation data for terrace sites along the Rhine, thus enabling a more detailed reconstruction of the timing, rate, and spatial variability of uplift in the Rhenish Massif.

References
Lippolt, H.J., 1983. Distribution of volcanic activity in space and time. In: Fuchs, K., von Gehlen, K., Mälzer, H., Murawski, H., Semmel, A. (Eds.), Plateau Uplift. Springer, Berlin, pp. 112–120.
Meyer, W., Stets, J., 1998. Junge Tektonik im Rheinischen Schiefergebirge und ihre Quantifizierung. Z. dt. geol. Ges. 149, 359–379. https://doi.org/10.1127/zdgg/149/1998/359.

How to cite: Terraza, M., Wolff, R., Hetzel, R., Ritter, B., Binnie, S., Preuss, J., Hoselmann, C., Weidenfeller, M., and Heinze, S.: Accelerated uplift of the Rhenish Massif (central Europe) since 700–800 ka revealed by isochron-burial dating of strath terraces, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1787, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1787, 2026.

EGU26-2959 | Posters on site | GM2.4

Quantification of Quaternary loess cover and integrated denudation rates using cosmogenic nuclide Aluminium-26 and Beryllium-10 disequilibrium (Mecsek Mountains, Pannonian Basin) 

Zsófia Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger, Mads Farschou Knudsen, Márton Bauer, Tamás Telbisz, Aster Team, and Krisztina Sebe

In areas of multiple exposure-burial histories the use of two cosmogenic radionuclides (CRN) with different half-lives allows to reveal the disequilibrium between CRN concentrations and provide a better understanding of landscape evolution. This study aims to quantify bedrock denudation rates in the Western Mecsek Mts (southern Pannonian Basin), a low-elevation hilly area that is currently being exhumed from under its loess cover deposited during the Quaternary glaciations. Concentrations of 10Be and 26Al were measured in samples taken from flat, soil-covered ridge tops and stream sediments from several small river catchments composed of Permian and Triassic sandstones and conglomerates. Low 26Al/10Be ratios are indicative of unsteadiness caused by significant past burial of the bedrock surfaces. A Monte Carlo (MC) model was developed to reveal the temporal evolution of the loess cover as a function of glacial-interglacial climate, and to determine the true rate of bedrock denudation accounting for both loess-covered periods with shielding and zero erosion as well as phases of exposure and bedrock denudation during periods without loess.

Our model showed that higher-elevation catchments and ridges were exposed for 40 to 85%, while lower-elevation areas were uncovered for less than 30% of time during the last 1 Ma. The modelled time integrated bedrock denudation rates were similar for the ridge crests and basin-averaged samples suggesting a steady relief. However, a well-expressed difference was found between the areas spending most of the time loess covered and the less covered group with mean integrated denudation rates of 5±5 m/Ma and 19±8 m/Ma, respectively. Single nuclide 10Be denudation rates overestimated the modelled, time-integrated denudation rates by a factor of ~1.5 for the more exposed group and by a factor of ~13 (up to >30) for the mostly covered areas. These rates, especially the latter, are slower than published values for similar climatic, tectonic, and topographic settings. If the simple, single nuclide 10Be approach was used, these differences would have remained hidden, and the true lowering rate of bedrock would have been overestimated by a factor that increases with the shielding time.

This is the first study quantifying the influence of past loess covers on CRN concentrations in bedrock and to estimate the denudation rates corrected for this shielding. Our findings reveal that the steady-state assumption of the CRN concentrations may also be violated in small, non-glaciated catchments without intermittent sediment storage. Where single-nuclide 10Be denudation rates are higher than sediment-trap estimates, the shielding effect of past sediment cover (such as loess) could also explain the discrepancy. Accordingly, we recommend the use of the paired 26Al/10Be approach to test the presumption of cosmogenic nuclide equilibrium not only in large catchments and formerly glaciated areas, but also in settings where past sediment cover may have lasted long enough to lower the CRN ratio.

Funding: PURAM, Mecsekérc Ltd., NKFIH project FK 124807. Sample processing: Cosmogenic Laboratories of Budapest (n=16) and of the University of Edinburgh (n=4); AMS measurements: ASTER, Aix en Provence (n=16) and SUERC, Glasgow (n=4)

How to cite: Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger, Z., Knudsen, M. F., Bauer, M., Telbisz, T., Team, A., and Sebe, K.: Quantification of Quaternary loess cover and integrated denudation rates using cosmogenic nuclide Aluminium-26 and Beryllium-10 disequilibrium (Mecsek Mountains, Pannonian Basin), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2959, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2959, 2026.

Over the past decade, several research groups have developed and applied methods for using Infra-Red Stimulated Luminescence (IRSL) from sand-sized grains of alkali feldspar collected from the active channels of different rivers. These methods used either conventional multiple grain IRSL measurements, or single grain IRSL determinations, but all depend on comparisons of results from different sampling locations to reconstruct virtual velocity. In its simplest form, this approach relies on the Ergodic principle as the basis for time-space equivalence of different samples. While this can often represent a successful approach, recent anthropogenic disturbances to fluvial systems may in some cases render this method problematic. For example, where channel engineering or dam construction cuts off or modifies the natural sediment supply, samples collected downstream of these locations may provide signals that are inconsistent with those from upstream.

For this reason, our research team has been developing IRSL approaches to attempt to reconstruct sediment storage times and virtual velocity by inverting measured Multiple Elevated Temperature (MET) IRSL signals from single grains of alkali feldspar. Some grains preserve a record that is shaped by multiple episodes of storage during burial and light exposure during transport; storage causes trapped charge populations responsible for IRSL signals to grow in a predictable manner, while light exposure causes a reduction in each population. Multiple IRSL signals measured at a range of temperatures in the laboratory display different sensitivity to light, resulting in different degrees of “bleaching” (reduction in trapped charge). When a grain is subject to multiple episodes of burial and bleaching, the different IRSL signals move away from being in an equilibrium ratio with each other, allowing us to constrain their past burial and bleaching histories, within some limits. In this presentation, we shall compare results from this novel single grain MET-IRSL inversion approach with conventional IRSL sediment transport approaches, and assess performance from grains subject to laboratory simulations of different burial-bleach cycles. The new technique has great potential to help understand contemporary and past fluvial dynamics and sediment storage, as well as determination of sediment sources and channel erosional processes, and can contribute significantly to applications such as catchment carbon dynamics, or assessing impacts of engineering structures.

How to cite: Rhodes, E. and Spano, T.: Reconstructing virtual velocity and fluvial dynamics using MET-IRSL from single grains of sand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4552, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4552, 2026.

EGU26-5323 | Posters on site | GM2.4

A gradient boosted decision tree approach for high-resolution luminescence chronologies 

Sebastian Kreutzer, Maryam Heydari, Paul R. Hanson, Annette Kadereit, Shannon A. Mahan, and Christoph Schmidt

Luminescence ages are powerful agents for tracing past sediment dynamics and deciphering complexities inherent in the evolution of past landscapes. If applied in temporal periods suitable for luminescence-based methods, they provide accurate dating results but with somewhat limited spatial resolution. This is primarily due to the time-consuming nature of luminescence sample preparation and measurement procedures. Luminescence screening methods, for instance, using portable equipment [1] that focuses only on light intensities rather than absorbed dose/dose-rate ratios, provide a convenient shortcut. Assuming a suitable geologically homogeneous environment, they provide initial insights and relative chronologies and can be useful in developing an appropriate sampling strategy for a more detailed study.

However, the hope of delivering, even provisionally, instant chronologies could not yet be satisfied. While our approach similarly cannot offer instant chronologies, we propose here a gradient-boosted decision tree approach [2] to model the complex interactions among physical parameters (e.g., dose rate, water content, sedimentology) and convert luminescence intensity values into the age domain. Our approach uses age-depth relationships of ages and intensities from different profiles, combined with additional features such as geographical information (latitude, longitude, depth below ground surface). We demonstrate that we can satisfactorily and robustly predict pseudo-luminescence ages from signal intensities using only a small training dataset (n = 31). This enables us to considerably enhance the age resolution of luminescence dating chronologies in suitable environments, particularly in those where sedimentary deposits are relatively homogenous.

A limitation of our approach is our reliance on a favourable, homogeneous sampling environment (here, sandy deposits of aeolian origin), which cannot be directly transferred to other geologically more complex settings; however, we are confident that the general approach remains valid and can be adapted on regional scales to increase age resolution.

References

[1] Sanderson, D. C. W. and Murphy, S.: Using simple portable OSL measurements and laboratory characterisation to help understand complex and heterogeneous sediment sequences for luminescence dating, Quaternary Geochronology, 5, 299–305, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2009.02.001, 2010.

[2] Chen, T. and Guestrin, C.: XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System, in: Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, New York, NY, USA, 785–794, https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785, 2016.

How to cite: Kreutzer, S., Heydari, M., Hanson, P. R., Kadereit, A., Mahan, S. A., and Schmidt, C.: A gradient boosted decision tree approach for high-resolution luminescence chronologies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5323, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5323, 2026.

EGU26-5827 | Posters on site | GM2.4

Helium-based thermochronometry and cosmogenic noble gas geochemistry in the Thermochronology @ Purdue (T@P) noble gas mass spectrometry facility 

Marissa M. Tremblay, Hongcheng Guo, Eric T. Dziekonski, Ryan B. Ickert, and Devin Blair

The Thermochronology @ Purdue (T@P) noble gas mass spectrometry facility was established at Purdue University between 2020 and 2023. In this presentation, we will detail the T@P laboratory’s instrument configuration and demonstrate the facility’s capabilities for both helium-based thermochronometry and cosmogenic noble gas geochemistry. The primary instrument in the T@P laboratory is an Isotopx NGX, a multi-collector sector field mass spectrometer with a Nier-type source, which has a custom detector configuration consisting of three discrete dynode electron multipliers, including one fitted with an electrostatic filter, and two Faraday cups with ATONA® amplifiers. The NGX is connected to a custom-built, fully automated, ultra-high vacuum extraction line that includes an activated charcoal cryogenic trap and two getters for gas purification, two manometrically-calibrated gas standards for sensitivity calibration (air and 3He-enriched helium), and a manometrically-calibrated 3He spike for measurements of radiogenic 4He by isotope dilution. Gases are extracted by heating samples under vacuum using a diode laser system in a feedback control loop with either a calibrated optical pyrometer (better than ± 10 ºC precision), or a bare, thin-wire thermocouple in contact with the sample (better than ± 3 ºC precision). We will present isotopic analyses made in the T@P laboratory of reference materials for both helium-based thermochronometry (Durango apatite) and cosmogenic noble gas geochemistry (CRONUS-P, CRONUS-A, CREU-1) as well as from example applications in Earth and planetary surface processes.

How to cite: Tremblay, M. M., Guo, H., Dziekonski, E. T., Ickert, R. B., and Blair, D.: Helium-based thermochronometry and cosmogenic noble gas geochemistry in the Thermochronology @ Purdue (T@P) noble gas mass spectrometry facility, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5827, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5827, 2026.

EGU26-5853 | Posters on site | GM2.4

 Radiofluorescence as a tool to estimate the degree of friction-induced heat caused by co-seismic slip  

Maryam Heydari, André Niemeijer, and Sebastian Kreutzer

Sufficient temperature rise during frictional heating is a key parameter controlling whether luminescence dating of fault gouges can determine the timing of past earthquakes. Regardless, the true temperatures induced in the rock during a co-seismic slip event are often unknown. This significantly hampers the accuracy of luminescence age results from fault gouges. Laboratory-controlled friction experiments can adequately simulate different friction scenarios by modulating normal stress and slip velocity and then recording induced temperatures using thermocouples [1] or an infrared camera [2]. However, monitoring those events in nature is highly impractical for past events.

Systematic luminescence studies on ultraviolet (UV) radiofluorescence (RF) of quartz reported a strong correlation between heating and subsequently recorded UV-RF signaldynamics [3,4].

Here, we explore the potential of UV-RF to shed light on the extent of friction-induced temperature in quartz-bearing host rocks. In our experiments, we tested one sediment quartz sample with a known luminescence characteristic and a polymineral sample from the North Tehran Fault. For one part of each sample, we first recorded a UV-RF temperature profile after heating subsamples in batches from 30 ºC to 575 ºC in increments of 25 ºC. The other (untreated) part was then subjected to frictional heating in the laboratory under a normal stress of 12 MPa and a slip velocity of 5 cm/s using a rotary shear apparatus. During the experiment, the frictional heat was recorded using an infrared camera. We then measured the UV-RF signal and projected the results onto the signal-preheat profile to estimate the (unknown) frictional heat temperature.

Although our study is preliminary at this stage, we could calculate realistic friction-induced temperatures for the quartz sample. In contrast, the UV-RF signals of the polymineral sample will require additional experiments. We will present the experimental design and initial results, and discuss the challenges and the potential of our approach for tracking the temperature levels generated by earthquakes.

References

[1] Kim, J.H., Ree, J.-H., Choi, J.-H., Chauhan, N., Hirose, T., Kitamura, M., 2019. Experimental investigations on dating the last earthquake event using OSL signals of quartz from fault gouges. Tectonophysics 769, 228191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2019.228191

[2] Heydari, M., Kreutzer. S., Hung, C.C., Martin, L., Ghassemi, M.R., Tsukamoto, S., Niemeijer, A., under review, Scientific Reports. Unveiling Earthquakes: Thermoluminescence Signal Resetting of a Natural Polymineral Sample in Laboratory-Produced Fault Gouge

[3] Friedrich, J., Pagonis, V., Chen, R., Kreutzer, S., and Schmidt, C.: Quartz radiofluorescence: a modelling approach, Journal of Luminescence, 186, 318–325, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlumin.2017.02.039, 2017a.

[4] Friedrich, J., Fasoli, M., Kreutzer, S., and Schmidt, C.: The basic principles of quartz radiofluorescence dynamics in the UV - analytical, numerical and experimental results, Journal of Luminescence, 192, 940–948, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlumin.2017.08.012, 2017b.

How to cite: Heydari, M., Niemeijer, A., and Kreutzer, S.:  Radiofluorescence as a tool to estimate the degree of friction-induced heat caused by co-seismic slip , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5853, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5853, 2026.

EGU26-8126 | ECS | Orals | GM2.4

Quartz luminescence and ESR thermochronometry of drill-core sediments from the Anadarko Basin, USA 

Aditi K. Dave, Melanie Kranz-Bartz, Gilby Jepson, Maxime Bernard, Christoph Schmidt, Audrey Margirier, and Georgina E. King

Constraining rock time–temperature histories below ~100 °C (corresponding to the upper ~3 km of the Earth’s crust) is crucial for understanding the interactions between tectonics, erosion, and climate over Quaternary timescales. However, reconstructing thermal histories spanning 104-10⁶ years within the ~25-75 °C temperature range remains a significant challenge. Trapped-charge dating techniques, such as Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) and Electron Spin Resonance (ESR), enable measurement of different temperature-sensitive (< 100 oC) trapped charge dating signals within quartz minerals, thereby offering the potential to fill this temporal and thermal gap. Quartz OSL signals often saturate over timescales of ~104 years, while ESR signals saturate over longer timescales of ~106 years; used together, these methods provide a powerful tool for constraining cooling and exhumation histories over the Quaternary.

A key challenge in establishing quartz OSL and ESR thermochronometry as a robust method lies in the lack of reliable and comprehensive benchmark studies. This study addresses this limitation by investigating quartz from drill-core sediments in the Anadarko Basin (Oklahoma, USA) with a well-constrained temperature history (~30−80 oC) based on empirical calibration with a stable geothermal gradient. Down-core measurement of OSL and ESR signals show promising results exhibiting a systematic decrease in intensity with increasing temperature (and depth), with OSL signals reaching saturation in the lower temperature range. Here, we conduct a detailed investigation of sample-specific signal saturation limits, thermal decay kinetics and temperature-sensitivity of OSL and ESR signals, followed by inversion of these different trapped charge signals for temperature. Our results provide a comprehensive and robust benchmark study to assess the potential and limitations of quartz OSL and ESR thermochronometry for reconstructing temperature histories in natural settings.

How to cite: Dave, A. K., Kranz-Bartz, M., Jepson, G., Bernard, M., Schmidt, C., Margirier, A., and King, G. E.: Quartz luminescence and ESR thermochronometry of drill-core sediments from the Anadarko Basin, USA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8126, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8126, 2026.

EGU26-9469 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4

Dating DK: Cosmogenic 10Be depth profiling of glacial outwash plains in Denmark 

Lis Allaart, Jesper Nørgaard, Mads Faurschou Knudsen, Lærke Therese Andersen, Jakob Birk Nielsen, and Nicolaj Krog Larsen

During the Quaternary period the Fennoscandian ice sheet reached far into Europe on several occasions. Especially the last two ice sheet expansions, the Saalian and Weichselian, left many marks on the Danish land surface and shaped the landscape, leaving behind outwash plains, terminal moraines, tunnel valleys, and other glacial landforms. Although, there is general consensus regarding which ice advances resulted in which landscape features, most correlations have not yet been verified by absolute dating. To improve constraints on the ice cover history of the Danish area, we have carried out 10Be profiling on several outwash plains across Denmark. These outwash plains have been chosen (i) to constrain the timing of the overall ice margin retreat across Denmark, and (ii) to decipher whether the northern part of the prominent 90-degree landform (the “Main Stationary line”) belongs to the Last Glacial Maximum advance (~20.000 years ago) or a previous ice advance, such as the Kattegat advance (~30.000 years ago). Denmark is located right at the foothills of the Fennoscandian ice sheet, and we expect our results to have strong implications on the understanding of ice sheet dynamics at play during advance-retreat cycles of continental sized ice sheets, as well as to improve the understanding of the glacial history of Northern Europe. At EGU some of the preliminary results from this investigation will be presented.

10Be profiling is a technique which involves sampling sediment from several depths below the surface at a specific location. Interpretation of the 10Be concentrations can lead to age estimation of the sampled deposit, since the concentrations will depend on the cosmogenic exposure history of the sediment package. A set of samples from different depths are needed to separate the pre- and post-burial 10Be nuclide concentrations or to draw attention to 10Be irregularities throughout the profile indicating asynchronous deposition. The numerical modelling of nuclide concentrations carried out in this study serves as proof of concept and highlights the applicability of the 10Be profiling approach. Hence, alongside the preliminary results of the study, our novel MATLAB implementations for interpreting 10Be profiles will also be showcased.

How to cite: Allaart, L., Nørgaard, J., Knudsen, M. F., Andersen, L. T., Nielsen, J. B., and Larsen, N. K.: Dating DK: Cosmogenic 10Be depth profiling of glacial outwash plains in Denmark, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9469, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9469, 2026.

EGU26-12912 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4

Understanding key assumptions in cosmogenic nuclide-derived catchment-average denudation rates 

Lennart Grimm, Byron A. Adams, and Matthew Fox

Basin-averaged erosion rates derived from cosmogenic nuclide concentrations are one of the most commonly used data for the study of landscape evolution histories across a wide range of tectonic and climatic regimes. Despite recent advances in global nuclide datasets and analytical techniques, methods for converting measured concentrations into denudation rates have progressed little.

Converting cosmogenic nuclide concentrations to denudation rates requires several key assumptions; however, one in particular is more difficult to assess, which is that denudation rates remain spatially and temporally constant over timescales comparable to the nuclide integration period. These assumptions rarely hold in nature, especially in mountain catchments with pronounced knickpoints propagating upstream, complicating the interpretation of a single mean concentration. Previous studies have often only evaluated how mean concentrations are affected when one or more assumptions are violated. However, minerals sampled from complex landscapes likely represent distinctly non-Gaussian populations that cannot be adequately characterized by a single mean value.

We present modelling results of cosmogenic nuclide concentration distributions in catchments experiencing spatially and temporally variable denudation rates under different tectonic and climatic forcings. Analysing concentration distributions rather than mean values alone reveals how assumption violations affect inferred denudation rates. Our model employs a detachment-limited stream power law and calculates nuclide accumulation from multiple production pathways using the Lifton-Sato-Dunai scaling scheme.

Preliminary results indicate that the presence of knickpoints does not significantly compromise the interpretation of cosmogenic nuclide concentrations except in cases with fast knickpoint retreat rates in high-relief catchments. However, we find that even moderate climatic changes (simulated by varying the erodibility constant), can yield significant errors in inferred versus real denudation rates. We propose that simple evaluations of cosmogenic nuclide distributions can enhance the reliability of denudation rate estimates in future applications.

How to cite: Grimm, L., Adams, B. A., and Fox, M.: Understanding key assumptions in cosmogenic nuclide-derived catchment-average denudation rates, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12912, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12912, 2026.

EGU26-12968 | Orals | GM2.4

Bridging classical low-temperature thermochronology and geomorphology: ESR thermochronology constraints on Plio-Quaternary exhumation and canyon incision across the Colorado Plateau 

Audrey Margirier, Aditi K. Dave, Gilby Jepson, Stuart Thomson, Pierre G. Valla, Anne Voigtländer, Christoph Schmidt, and Georgina E. King

The timing and drivers of canyon incision across the Colorado Plateau are strongly debated, particularly the roles of deep-seated processes, tectonics, geological inheritance, and climate. A major limitation in resolving canyon incision histories and their controlling processes is that the amount of exhumation associated with incision is often too small to be robustly recorded by classical low-temperature thermochronometers such as apatite fission track and (U–Th)/He. Resolving the timing of exhumation acceleration and onset of canyon incision therefore requires thermochronological tools sensitive to lower temperatures and shorter timescales, such as electron spin resonance (ESR).

Here, we focus on Zion Canyon, an emblematic and well-studied canyon on the western margin of the Colorado Plateau, to evaluate the potential of ESR thermochronology to resolve late Cenozoic to Quaternary exhumation/incision histories. Classical low-temperature thermochronometers suggest that exhumation began around 7 Ma. This exhumation signal integrates regional plateau denudation and canyon incision, preventing the isolation of incision-specific dynamics. In contrast, independent geomorphic constraints document significantly higher incision rates over the last ~1 Myr, implying temporal variations in incision that cannot be resolved with classical thermochronology.

We apply ESR thermochronology to a bedrock elevation profile from Zion Canyon to (i) quantify Quaternary incision rates and (ii) test for changes in cooling rates associated with canyon incision. Preliminary ESR results reveal an increase in cooling rates at ~3–2 Ma, suggesting an acceleration of incision during the late Pliocene–early Pleistocene. These results highlight the potential of ESR thermochronology to bridge the temporal gap between geomorphological constraints and classical thermochronology, and to provide new quantitative constraints on the timing and rates of canyon incision across the Colorado Plateau. In addition, preliminary data from the Grand Canyon (where the incision history is particularly complex and controversial) suggest that ESR signals are not saturated, highlighting the method’s potential to resolve cooling and exhumation over the last few million years in other canyons.

How to cite: Margirier, A., Dave, A. K., Jepson, G., Thomson, S., Valla, P. G., Voigtländer, A., Schmidt, C., and King, G. E.: Bridging classical low-temperature thermochronology and geomorphology: ESR thermochronology constraints on Plio-Quaternary exhumation and canyon incision across the Colorado Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12968, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12968, 2026.

EGU26-13563 | ECS | Orals | GM2.4

Development of a globally applicable palaeothermometry method based on luminescence: Advances in method development and validation 

Salome Oehler, Pontien Niyonzima, Georgina E. King, Rabiul H. Biswas, Frédéric Herman, Maxime Bernard, Audrey Margirier, Rosemary Nalwanga, Mohamed El-Raei, and Christoph Schmidt

The scarcity of terrestrial temperature proxies has been a major challenge in the reconstruction of continental climate evolution throughout the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the Pleistocene-Holocene transition. Understanding such extreme climatic conditions and major system shifts in Earth’s history is paramount for constraining climate sensitivity and predicting future climate evolution in the light of rising greenhouse gas concentrations.

Our research aims to develop a globally applicable method for temperature sensing during this timescale using the low-temperature (i.e., 200–280 °C) thermoluminescence (TL) signal of near-surface bedrock feldspar which has been demonstrated to be sensitive to terrestrial surface air temperature fluctuations over geological timescales (Biswas et al., 2020). As such, palaeothermometry represents one of few available proxies for terrestrial temperature and can aid in quantifying the magnitude of rapid climate changes on a more local scale.

While the theoretical feasibility of TL palaeothermometry has been demonstrated (Biswas et al., 2020), it still requires accurate validation on additional samples of well-constrained temperature history. Furthermore, the method has not yet been applied to a broad set of samples for temperature reconstruction purposes.

Our contribution aims to close this knowledge gap by benchmarking recent methodological improvements against samples from borehole sites located in Germany and Japan. We further present first surface air temperature reconstructions at a number of study sites, which we intend to use to constrain the evolution of altitudinal and latitudinal temperature gradients since the LGM. We show that TL palaeothermometry can be used to retrieve accurate rock and surface air temperatures and may now be more routinely applied.

 

References

Biswas, R.H., Herman, F., King, G.E., Lehmann, B., Singhvi, A.K., 2020. Surface paleothermometry using low-temperature thermoluminescence of feldspar. Clim. Past 16, 2075-2093.

How to cite: Oehler, S., Niyonzima, P., King, G. E., Biswas, R. H., Herman, F., Bernard, M., Margirier, A., Nalwanga, R., El-Raei, M., and Schmidt, C.: Development of a globally applicable palaeothermometry method based on luminescence: Advances in method development and validation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13563, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13563, 2026.

EGU26-14245 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4

Cross-Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of OSL Rock Surface Exposure Dating Using Cosmogenic Nuclide Ages on an Uinta Mountains Rock Glacier (Utah, USA) 

Daniel Sperlich, Jeffrey Munroe, Arne Ramisch, and Michael C. Meyer

Rock glaciers are common permafrost features in mountain landscapes around the globe with a geohazard relevance sourcing large amounts of debris while also acting as aquifers storing large amounts of water, yet their long-term (i.e. centennial to millennial scale) dynamics remain poorly constrained due to limited dating efforts. Short term observations, via GPS, InSAR, UAVSAR, Lidar or feature tracking, show acceleration of flow rates of rock glaciers in all mountain regions.

We use rock glacier RG-2 in the Uinta Mountains (Utah, USA, 3 300 m asl) as a natural laboratory to test and cross-calibrate a novel luminescence-based surface dating technique: optically stimulated luminescence rock surface exposure dating (OSL RSeD). This method exploits the latent OSL or IRSL signals stored in quartz and feldspar bearing rocks and the fact that, in the upper centimeters of rock surfaces, these signals are reset (zeroed) by daylight exposure. By integrating previously CRN-dated quartzite boulders (n = 9) on RG-2 into our analysis, we (i) assess the sensitivity of parameters in the OSL bleaching-with-depth model, (ii) evaluate the model’s underlying assumptions, and (iii) interpret the resulting OSL ages.

Furthermore, we present a standardized, statistically robust workflow to normalize luminescence-depth profiles to saturation based on sequential analysis, suitable for datasets obtained by the 1D-coring-and-slicing- as well as the 2D-EMCCD-approach for various geological and archaeological dating applications.

How to cite: Sperlich, D., Munroe, J., Ramisch, A., and Meyer, M. C.: Cross-Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of OSL Rock Surface Exposure Dating Using Cosmogenic Nuclide Ages on an Uinta Mountains Rock Glacier (Utah, USA), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14245, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14245, 2026.

EGU26-14441 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4 | Highlight

From Free-Flowing to Fragmented: Using Calibrated Models to Assess Impacts of Multiple Dams on Watershed Evolution 

Christopher Sheehan, Mark Behn, Noah Snyder, Luca Cortese, and Travis Dahl

Over the past few centuries, the natural flow of river water and sediment has been significantly disrupted by human activities, including land‐use change, dam and reservoir construction, and variable precipitation. Sediment accumulation in reservoirs leads to declining storage capacity, reduced water quality, and navigational challenges. While hydraulic models can characterize these issues over annual to decadal timescales, they are less effective for predicting sedimentation trajectories over decades to centuries. At these longer timescales, feedbacks between reservoir sedimentation and upstream erosion and deposition influence delta growth and sediment delivery, complicating the development of long-term sediment management strategies. To address this gap, we developed a workflow for building and calibrating open source, coupled landscape evolution models (LEMs) and delta sedimentation models (DSMs) for real-world watersheds. Here, we present preliminary results from the Chattahoochee River in the southeastern United States. The river is segmented by six major dams, each creating a reservoir and corresponding sub-catchment. We constructed a set of six LEMs using Landlab (one for each sub-catchment) and run them sequentially from upstream to downstream, using the sediment outflux from each model as input for the next. The LEMs are calibrated using cosmogenic ¹⁰Be mean catchment erosion rates, modern land-use data, and sediment trapping calculations. We then evaluated how well each model reproduced watershed sediment fluxes inferred from late 21st century suspended-sediment measurements. The DSMs are constructed using PyDeltaRCM and are driven by output sediment flux and provenance data from the LEMs. Using the pre-reservoir topography as a boundary condition, we validate the models by replicating the post-reservoir delta growth. We then use variable land use and hydraulic forcings in the LEMs to assess different future sedimentation patterns in the deltas. Our workflow can be easily applied to any reservoir with bathymetric data and can help stakeholders understand how upstream human impacts may influence a range of possible sedimentation patterns over the coming decades.

How to cite: Sheehan, C., Behn, M., Snyder, N., Cortese, L., and Dahl, T.: From Free-Flowing to Fragmented: Using Calibrated Models to Assess Impacts of Multiple Dams on Watershed Evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14441, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14441, 2026.

The rate of bedrock river incision both regulates and depends on the size distribution of sediment produced on hillslopes. Quantifying how hillslope sediment size varies across catchment scales is therefore fundamental to understanding feedbacks between weathering, erosion, and tectonic uplift in mountain landscapes. Here, we quantify spatial variations in hillslope sediment size distributions within a steep mountain catchment using a numerical model that combines a granulometric analysis of detrital cosmogenic nuclide and apatite (U–Th)/He age measurements from each of twelve sediment size classes ranging from medium sand to boulders. The model accounts for sediment production, mixing, and particle size evolution during transport using particle-wear relationships calibrated from tumbling experiments conducted in rotating wheels of varying size. Because these experiments span five orders of magnitude in calculated sediment energy, they enable upscaling of measured abrasion and fragmentation relationships from laboratory to field conditions. 

Measured age distributions by size class show excesses and deficits relative to spatially uniform erosion that we detect using a Monte Carlo-based departure analysis. For example, cobbles at the outlet are relatively old and thus preferentially derived from higher elevations while boulders are relatively young and thus preferentially derived from lower elevations. When these granulometric elevation distributions are combined with measured granulometric variations in cosmogenic nuclides, our model predictions are consistent with independent field-based measurements of hillslope sediment size distributions and their spatial variability across the catchment. Hence, the measured size-dependent variations in cosmogenic nuclides at our study site need not be attributed solely to depth-dependent shielding of relatively coarse material on steep hillslopes. Instead, the granulometric variability in isotopic tracers can be explained by the linkage between erosion rate and particle size production. Together, these results demonstrate that coupling granulometric cosmogenic nuclides and tracer thermochronology with empirically calibrated particle-wear relationships provides a powerful framework for predicting spatial variations in sediment production and erosion in mountain landscapes.

How to cite: Riebe, C., Sklar, L., and Lukens, C.: Hillslope sediment size distributions revealed by granulometric cosmogenic nuclides, detrital thermochronology, and experimentally calibrated particle wear relationships, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15046, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15046, 2026.

Erosion breaks down mountains, yet it is sediment transport that removes sediment and transforms landscapes. Quantifying the rates of sediment transport is a challenging task. Luminescence, traditionally a Quaternary dating method, offers a means to help us constrain sediment transport as a unique sunlight-sensitive tracer. One of the sediment transport properties that luminescence can potentially constrain is the characteristic transport lengthscale, or hop length, that describes the mean distance of transport between long-term storage events, or rest times. Here, I discuss considerations for using luminescence to estimate hop lengths and rest times with potentially heavy- and thin- tailed probability distributions. I present recent work modeling transport distance versus in-channel sunlight exposure and highlight recent contributions in the literature that show the impressive potential of luminescence sediment tracing.

How to cite: Gray, H.: Estimating sediment transport scales with luminescence as a sediment tracer, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15487, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15487, 2026.

EGU26-15516 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.4

Landscape Response to Rapid Uplift in Southwestern Taiwan: Insights from Denudation Rates Measurement from Cosmogenic 10Be (Meteoric)/9Be Ratios and Morphometric Indices 

Ngoc-Thao Nguyen, Lionel Siame, Maryline Le Béon, Laëtitia Léanni, Erwan Pathier, and Aster Team

Located at an active arc-continent collision zone subject to a tropical climate, the Taiwan mountain belt is characterized by intense tectonic activity, resulting in rapid landscape evolution. In the Western Foothills of southwestern Taiwan, geodetic data reveal rapid surface deformation during periods of low seismicity, where the upper crust is dominated by mudstone lithology. However, mapped active structures do not fully explain the observed sharp deformation gradients and uplift patterns. This discrepancy motivates an evaluation of how strain is accommodated across different timescales and whether the present-day deformation reflects persistent long-term kinematics or transient processes.

Using the ratio of meteoric 10Be to mineral-weathered 9Be measured from five river-sediment samples collected from watersheds with distinct short-term uplift rates, spatial variations in basin-scale denudation rates (Dmet) and their relationship to short-term uplift are evaluated. Although meteoric-10Be-derived denudation rates are particularly suitable for quartz-poor regions such as southwest Taiwan, the method relies on several assumptions that require validation. To assess its applicability, additional samples were collected from watersheds in the Central Range east of the study area, where in situ 10Be-derived denudation rates (Dinsitu) are available.

In the Western Foothills area, Dmet successfully captures large-basin denudation (0.77 ± 0.07 mm/yr) as the integrated signal of sub-basin denudation rates (average of 0.74 ± 0.01 mm/yr). Across two regions, Dmet values are systematically lower in the Western Foothills than in the Central Range (5.8 - 7.4 mm/yr, with an outlier of 32 mm/yr), reflecting contrasts in lithology, climate setting, and topographic relief. In the Central Range, Dinsituvalues (0.2-4.5 mm/yr) differ from Dmet, suggesting that potential grain-size differences between the two methods lead to distinct sediment transport behaviors. Nevertheless, Dmet remains informative by reproducing basin–sub-basin integration in the Western Foothills and distinguishing denudation regimes between regions.

Within the Western foothills, Dmet correlates weakly with uplift rate, slope, and relief. The normalized channel steepness index (ksn­) shows an unexpectedly weak to negative relationship with Dmet. This pattern suggests that meteoric 10Be-derived denudation rates might not represent short-term surface deformation rates or are integrated over timescales that differ from those represented by geomorphic indices. This likely reflects transient surface adjustments rather than steady-state conditions. In contrast, Dmet seems to positively correlate with the extent of barren-land (badland) surfaces developed in weak mudstone formation, suggesting first-order control on basin-averaged meteoric 10Be inventories. Although badlands have been proposed to be associated with rapid erosion in this region, the correspondence between their development timescale and the integration timescale of meteoric 10Be derived denudation remains uncertain.

Future work will expand sampling across additional basins spanning a wider range of badland extent and uplift signatures to test the robustness of these relationships and refine the link between short-term deformation and longer-term surface response. Additional analyses will quantify meteoric 10Be inventories on barren land and vegetated hillslopes to evaluate differences in meteoric 10Be retention across contrasting hillslope environments, thereby refining the applicability and sensitivity of the methods to hillslope transport processes.

How to cite: Nguyen, N.-T., Siame, L., Le Béon, M., Léanni, L., Pathier, E., and Team, A.: Landscape Response to Rapid Uplift in Southwestern Taiwan: Insights from Denudation Rates Measurement from Cosmogenic 10Be (Meteoric)/9Be Ratios and Morphometric Indices, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15516, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15516, 2026.

EGU26-16139 | Posters on site | GM2.4

Dating faulted terrace surfaces with thin aeolian loess cover by using terrestrial Be-10 depth profiles: an attempt along the Nobi active fault system, central Japan 

Heitaro Kaneda, Yuki Matsushi, Yuya Ogura, Ryoga Ohta, and Hiroyuki Matsuzaki

High-definition digital elevation models (DEMs) from airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR) are very powerful tools in detecting unknown tectonic-geomorphic features and quantifying cumulative slip from repeated faulting events. The faulted geomorphic features, however, need to be somehow dated to convert the slip to long-term slip rate, and this task still remains as a challenging part of many tectonic geomorphic and paleoseismic studies. The dating is particularly difficult in mountainous and densely vegetated regions, where we are most benefitted from LiDAR DEMs but most often confront challenges in finding datable organic materials in high-energy gravelly deposits. Here we attempted to date left-laterally faulted fluvial terrace surfaces discovered along the Nobi active fault system (NAFS) in the Etsumi Mountains, central Japan, by using a terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide Be-10. In this region, terrace surfaces are covered with thin aeolian loess deposits of <1 m thick, with generally thinner loess cover on younger and lower surfaces. We employed the depth-profile method to simultaneously determine the age and inherited nuclide concentration, incorporating the effect of loess deposition after terrace abandonment. Exploratory pits for depth profiling were excavated at two sites along the NAFS; the Nukumi-Shiratani site on the low terrace surface along the Nukumi fault and the Nogo site on the middle terrace surface along the Neodani fault. Our results show the terrace abandonment ages that are consistent with the generally accepted terrace-formation and incision history modulated by global climate changes (MIS 2 and MIS 4 for the low and middle terrace surfaces, respectively) and also with crypto tephras identified in the loess deposits. In turn, the long-term left-lateral slip rate for the Nukumi fault was first determined whereas that for the Neodani fault proved to be substantially larger than estimates from previous studies.

How to cite: Kaneda, H., Matsushi, Y., Ogura, Y., Ohta, R., and Matsuzaki, H.: Dating faulted terrace surfaces with thin aeolian loess cover by using terrestrial Be-10 depth profiles: an attempt along the Nobi active fault system, central Japan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16139, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16139, 2026.

EGU26-16746 | Posters on site | GM2.4

Putting rates on the buzz-saw? Constraining the timing and rate of cirque valley incision, Rhône valley, Switzerland. 

Georgina King, Maxime Bernard, Xiaoxia Wen, Simon Cox, Aditi Dave, and Christoph Schmidt

The observation that topography trends with snowline altitude despite large differences in tectonic uplift in various locations provides the foundation of the glacial buzz-saw hypothesis. However, despite numerous modelling studies, very few quantitative data are available that document the timing or rate of glacial topography formation. Consequently, challenges remain to explain why some localities (e.g. Alaska, southern Andes) seem to escape the glacial buzz-saw. This data gap is driven by the difficulty in constraining rates of glacial erosion over kyr-Myr timescales.

Here, we use a novel thermochronometry technique, based on the Electron Spin Resonance (ESR) of quartz minerals, to constrain the timing of cirque basin formation adjacent to the Rhône valley, Switzerland. The Fully basin, near the town of Sion, sits above the ~1.5 km deep glacial Rhône valley, and is thought to have been incised by ~400 m during the Quaternary. Samples were collected in a transect across the basin, and complement samples previously investigated using ESR-thermochronometry from the Rhône valley (Wen et al., 2024).

Forward modelling using a modified version of Pecube together with the kinetic parameters of existing ESR samples from the area (Wen et al., 2024) shows that ESR-thermochronometry data should be able to constrain the timing of cirque basin incision. This will provide the first dates and rates of glacial buzz-saw activity and will be contrasted with the timing of Rhône valley incision.

How to cite: King, G., Bernard, M., Wen, X., Cox, S., Dave, A., and Schmidt, C.: Putting rates on the buzz-saw? Constraining the timing and rate of cirque valley incision, Rhône valley, Switzerland., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16746, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16746, 2026.

EGU26-18749 | ECS | Orals | GM2.4

Controls on moraine exposure-age clustering and implications for sampling strategy 

Anna Jandová, Benjamin J. Stoker, Martin Margold, and John D. Jansen

Past glacier fluctuations can be reconstructed successfully via cosmogenic nuclide exposure dating of boulders protruding from the moraine surface. However, post-depositional processes like denudation, slope failure and weathering, together with nuclide inheritance, potentially affect nuclide concentrations and diminish the accuracy of moraine age estimates. Post-depositional exhumation of boulders leads to incomplete cosmic-ray exposure and thus underestimated ages. Conversely, some boulders contain nuclides produced prior to their deposition (nuclide inheritance) due to insufficient depth of glacier erosion, incorporation of older glacigenic sediments or material from surrounding non-glaciated areas. Nuclide inheritance yields age estimates older than the true age of moraine formation.

With an aim to evaluate the controls on moraine denudation and to gain insights to the reliability of exposure dating and sampling strategy, we compiled a global dataset of 10,083 10Be-based exposure dates from the Expage database. Clustering of exposure ages from each moraine was used as an indicator of dating quality, assuming that boulders without prior or incomplete exposure should yield a well-clustered (MSWD<2) age. Moraine age-clustering was analysed with respect to climate, topography, location and type of ice mass. 

We find that just 23% of moraine ridges with at least three exposure dates show well-clustered exposure ages, increasing to 69% after iterative removal of outliers with the highest deviation. Exposure-age clustering is mainly a function of moraine age: clustering is best among moraines of 15–10 ka age and decreases notably for moraines that are either younger or older. Climate also matters: well-clustered moraine ages are more frequent in regions with milder climates experiencing higher mean annual temperature and precipitation and lower annual temperature range. Conversely, poorly-clustered ages (e.g. Antarctic Ice Sheet, Cordilleran Ice Sheet, northeastern Asia, High Mountain Asia and Greenland) appear to reflect aridity, extreme cold, or large annual temperature range, but may also stem from complex glacial histories involving multiple glacier readvances.

A key implication for moraine boulder sampling strategies is the effect of the number of samples per moraine. While 36% of the examined moraines comprise only three samples, the likelihood of obtaining a well-clustered age increases significantly by sampling four. The optimal number of samples varies with moraine age and climate. For moraines dated to 20–10 ka, four samples are generally sufficient, whereas younger or older moraines typically require seven or more samples to achieve a similar level of accuracy. The optimal number of samples increases toward colder climates, from temperate (3–4 samples or more) through boreal (5–6 samples or more) to polar climates (7 or more).

How to cite: Jandová, A., Stoker, B. J., Margold, M., and Jansen, J. D.: Controls on moraine exposure-age clustering and implications for sampling strategy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18749, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18749, 2026.

EGU26-22489 | Posters on site | GM2.4

Geomorphic imprint of an Early Pleistocene uplift phase of the Andean forearc and its underlying mechanisms 

Conrado Rubén Gianni, Paolo Ballato, Taylor Schildgen, Guido Gianni, Hella Wittmann, Daniel Melnick, and Claudio Faccenna

The southern Central Andes forearc preserves extensive low-relief wave-cut platforms and fluvial terraces that record long-term margin uplift, yet the timing and driving mechanisms are still debated. Here we present eleven new in situ ¹⁰Be exposure ages from high fluvial terraces and four ages from a lower terrace, combined with geomorphic analyses across eight adjacent catchments, to reassess the age and tectonic significance of the degradational surfaces (pediplain) present between 29.5 and 32.5°S. Erosion-corrected exposure ages indicate that the high terrace formed during the Early Pleistocene, while a lower terrace records incision at Middle Pleistocene. Longitudinal terrace–channel profiles reveal systematically increasing relief toward the coast that terminates near the surface projection of the 50–60 km slab-depth contour, coincident with the downdip limit of megathrust domain-C earthquakes. This spatial relationship supports a regionally coherent uplift signal produced by the cumulative effect of deep coseismic deformation. In peninsular settings, notably the Altos de Talinay, this long-wavelength signal is overprinted by short-wavelength uplift consistent with localized underplating. Our results demonstrate that the high fluvial terraces and the shore wave-cut platform constitute a single, regionally continuous geomorphic marker recording an Early Pleistocene forearc uplift phase extending from ~16° to 42°S. This orogen-scale emergence implies a subtle but widespread change in subduction dynamics during the last Early Pleistocene, the causes of which are not clearly understood.

How to cite: Gianni, C. R., Ballato, P., Schildgen, T., Gianni, G., Wittmann, H., Melnick, D., and Faccenna, C.: Geomorphic imprint of an Early Pleistocene uplift phase of the Andean forearc and its underlying mechanisms, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22489, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22489, 2026.

EGU26-22933 | Posters on site | GM2.4

The Python time machine – an open source software application for luminescence-based rock surface dating 

Michael Meyer, Trine Freiesleben, and Thomas Riedle

Luminescence dating of rock surfaces is an emerging and exciting branch of research in geochronology with great application potential. In principle the technique can be used to date hitherto undatable geological and archaeological materials or geomorphological landscape elements. As such, luminescence-based rock surface dating (RSD) is highly complementary to OSL sediment burial and other Quaternary dating techniques.   

RSD basically comes in two variants: rock surface burial dating (RSbD) and rock surface exposure dating (RSeD), both being highly active and promising geochronological research strands undergoing methodological development, refinement and testing. Meanwhile numerous ways of analyzing RSb and RSe luminescence data exist and different approaches to calculate rock surface ages have been introduced, yet no standardized way of handling RSb or RSe luminescence data has been put forward.

Here we present an open-source software package that is based on the software language Python©. The program enables users to evaluate their rock surface luminescence data via a simple graphical user interface (GUI). The program allows processing of data which originate either from CCD or EMCCD images or from the conventional "drilling and slicing" approach and takes various types of OSL, IRSL and IRPL signals into account. We incorporated all currently available and stat-of-the art bleaching models into the software package and provide the user with maximum degree of flexibility for normalizing luminescence signals. In the case of RSeD different calibration procedure options are implemented. Ultimately, the software allows single as well as multiple exposure and burial ages from rock surfaces to be derived.

How to cite: Meyer, M., Freiesleben, T., and Riedle, T.: The Python time machine – an open source software application for luminescence-based rock surface dating, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22933, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22933, 2026.

EGU26-807 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Deep-learning classification of cave-floor surface types from LiDAR data for detailed cave mapping 

Michaela Nováková, Jozef Šupinský, and Jozef Širotník

High-resolution 3D mapping of subterranean environments remains challenging due to their complex geometry, low-light conditions, and restricted accessibility. Among these environments, caves represent particularly demanding settings where detailed spatial documentation is essential for monitoring processes, supporting exploration and conservation efforts. Laser scanning has become a key technique for capturing accurate and detailed 3D representations of caves that form the basis for this heritage documentation and multidisciplinary research. Despite these advances, the creation of cave maps still commonly relies on traverse-line measurements and field sketches, later digitized using specialized cave-surveying software. In recent years, LiDAR data have been used for deriving the cave extent. While this method effectively captures the general geometry of cave passages, the delineation of cave-floor units, sediments, speleothems, rock blocks, and other features remains largely manual and relies heavily on the surveyor’s interpretation. As a result, feature boundaries vary between authors, and detailed cave-surface representation lacks reproducibility that is problematic for long-term documentation. In this study, we explore the use of deep-learning semantic segmentation for classifying selected cave-floor surface types based on geometric features derived from LiDAR data. Building on previous work focused on semi-automatic cave-map generation from LiDAR point clouds, we extend the workflow from deriving cave extent and floor morphology toward the automated interpretation of surface materials and forms. The method was tested on several common cave-floor surface types, including clastic sediments, flowstone, and bedrock, as well as artificial surfaces and objects typical in showcaves. The resulting classifications show that deep-learning models can distinguish surfaces with subtle geometric differences and produce consistent, reproducible delineations of units that are traditionally mapped by hand. Compared with manual digitization, the approach reduces subjectivity and provides a scalable way to generate polygonal layers used in speleocartographic workflows.

How to cite: Nováková, M., Šupinský, J., and Širotník, J.: Deep-learning classification of cave-floor surface types from LiDAR data for detailed cave mapping, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-807, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-807, 2026.

EGU26-1968 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Comparative Analysis of 30-m DEM Products for Hydrological Applications: A Case Study in the Flinders Catchment Australia 

Laleh Jafari, Ben Jarihani, Jack Koci, Ioan Sanislav, and Stephanie Duce

Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are fundamental to hydrological modelling, watershed delineation, flood hazard assessment, and resource management. However, the reliability of these applications depends heavily on the vertical accuracy of the DEMs. Although several global DEM products with 30-m spatial resolution are widely available, variations in sensor technology, data acquisition methods, and surface characteristics can significantly influence their accuracy and suitability for hydrological studies. This research provides a comparative evaluation of five commonly used global DEMs—TanDEM-X, ASTER GDEM, SRTM, Copernicus DEM, and ALOS World 3D—by assessing their vertical accuracy against high-resolution airborne LiDAR data and ICESat-2 ATL06 measurements. The findings aim to inform best practices for selecting DEMs in hydrological modelling and catchment-scale applications, particularly in data-scarce regions.

The Flinders River catchment in northern Queensland was selected as the critical test area for evaluating how DEM errors propagate into hydrological calculations. This region is characterised by low rainfall and pronounced topographic variability, encompassing flat lowland plains, dissected upland terrain, and localised areas of steep slopes. All DEMs were standardised to a common horizontal and vertical reference framework and co-registered with the test datasets to eliminate systematic discrepancies. ICESat-2 ATL06 data were rigorously filtered to retain only the highest-quality measurements, based on a combination of quality flags, topographic slope thresholds, and signal strength criteria in vegetated areas.

Elevation differences were computed at matched locations, and DEM performance was evaluated using key statistical metrics, including bias, root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), median error, and standard deviation. To provide a more comprehensive assessment, error behaviour was analysed in relation to terrain slope and catchment characteristics, highlighting zones most vulnerable to error propagation in flow routing and watershed delineation. Systematic patterns in DEM error were further examined with respect to sensor characteristics under varying landscape conditions.

Results indicate that TanDEM-X and Copernicus DEM exhibit the highest vertical accuracy, closely aligning with ICESat-2 and LiDAR observations, whereas ASTER GDEM and SRTM show larger mean errors, particularly in dissected or mountainous terrain. These findings suggest that TanDEM-X and Copernicus DEM are preferable for hydrology-focused applications in semi-arid basins, while ASTER and SRTM should be used cautiously where precise modelling is required. The study underscores the importance of DEM accuracy evaluation in relation to basin characteristics, as errors can significantly influence hydrological modelling outcomes.

How to cite: Jafari, L., Jarihani, B., Koci, J., Sanislav, I., and Duce, S.: Comparative Analysis of 30-m DEM Products for Hydrological Applications: A Case Study in the Flinders Catchment Australia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1968, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1968, 2026.

EGU26-3936 | Posters on site | GM2.5

Historical Images for Surface Topography Reconstruction Intercomparison eXperiment (Historix) 

Amaury Dehecq, Friedrich Knuth, Joaquin Belart, Livia Piermattei, Camillo Ressl, Robert McNabb, and Luc Godin

Historical film-based images, acquired during aerial campaigns since the 1930s and from satellite platforms since the 1960s, provide a unique opportunity to document changes in the Earth’s surface over the 20th century. Yet, these data present significant and specific challenges, including complex distortions in the scanned image and poorly known exterior and/or interior camera orientation. In recent years, semi- or fully-automated approaches based on photogrammetric and computer vision methods have emerged (e.g., Knuth et al., 2023; Dehecq et al., 2020; Ghuffar et al., 2022), but their performance and limitations have not yet been evaluated in a consistent way.

The ongoing “Historical Images for Surface Topography Reconstruction Intercomparison eXperiment (Historix)” project aims at comparing existing methods for processing stereoscopic historical images and harmonizing processing tools.

Within this experiment, participants are provided with a set of historical images and available metadata and invited to return a point cloud and estimated camera parameters. We selected two study sites near Casa Grande, Arizona, and south Iceland, chosen for their  good availability of historical images and variety of terrain types. For each site, we selected 3 sets of film-based images acquired in the 1970s or 80s, overlapping in space and time: aerial images with fiducial marks from publicly available archives and 2 image sets from the American Hexagon (KH-9) reconnaissance satellite missions acquired by the mapping camera (KH-9 MC) and panoramic camera (KH-9 PC). The submitted elevation data will be cross-validated across different image sets and participant submissions, as well as against reference elevation data over stable terrain. The spread in the retrieved elevations will be analysed with respect to image type, terrain type and processing methods to highlight the strengths and limitations of the different approaches.

In this presentation, we will introduce the experiment design, the selected benchmark dataset, the current methodologies and the preliminary results of the intercomparison. Finally, we will present some of the open-source code that exist or are being developed to process historical images.

How to cite: Dehecq, A., Knuth, F., Belart, J., Piermattei, L., Ressl, C., McNabb, R., and Godin, L.: Historical Images for Surface Topography Reconstruction Intercomparison eXperiment (Historix), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3936, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3936, 2026.

EGU26-4849 | ECS | Orals | GM2.5

Historical aerial imagery–derived Digital Elevation Models and orthomosaics for glacier change assessment in the western Antarctic Peninsula since 1989 

Vijaya Kumar Thota, Thorsten Seehaus, Friedrich Knuth, Amaury Dehecq, Christian Salewski, David Farías-Barahona, and Matthias H.Braun

The Antarctic Peninsula (AP) is a hotspot of global warming, with pronounced atmospheric warming reported during the 20th century. Although it is critical in terms of climate change studies, the mass balance of glaciers prior to 2000 remains poorly constrained. Existing mass balance estimates are further characterized by high uncertainties due to a lack of observations. In contrast, more than 30000 historical images in archives are the sole direct observations to quantify past glacial changes and their contribution to sea-level rise. 

In this study, we present a unique, timestamped, high-resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and orthomosaic dataset, derived from aerial imagery that covers about 12000 km2 area on the western Antarctic Peninsula and surrounding islands between 66–68° S. We used a film-based aerial image archive from 1989 acquired by the Institut für Angewandte Geodäsie (IfAG), and is kept in the Archive for German Polar Research at the Alfred Wegener Institute, Germany, to generate the historical DEMs and orthoimages. The historical DEMs were co-registered to the Reference Elevation Model of Antarctica (REMA) mosaic on stable terrain. Our historical DEMs have vertical accuracies better than 6 m and 8 m with respect to modern elevation data, REMA, and ICESat-2, respectively. We have made this dataset publicly available at  https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16836526.

Initial mass balance estimates from DEM differencing of our 1989 DEM with recent surfaces from REMA strip DEMs show a near-constant ice mass despite widespread glacier frontal retreat and thinning. We hypothesize that low-elevation ice thickness loss in this period is largely compensated by higher surface mass balance in higher areas. However, this regime appears to be changing, with glaciers transitioning toward increased dynamic activity with enhanced mass loss, and higher ice fluxes.

How to cite: Thota, V. K., Seehaus, T., Knuth, F., Dehecq, A., Salewski, C., Farías-Barahona, D., and H.Braun, M.: Historical aerial imagery–derived Digital Elevation Models and orthomosaics for glacier change assessment in the western Antarctic Peninsula since 1989, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4849, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4849, 2026.

Quantifying pebble size, shape, and roundness is fundamental to
understanding sediment transport and abrasion in fluvial systems, yet
remains challenging in natural, densely packed settings.  Most existing
approaches rely on 2D imagery and therefore fail to capture true
three-dimensional morphology. Here, we present a curvature-based instance
segmentation framework for reconstructed surface meshes and demonstrate its
role as a key step enabling 3D roundness and orientation analysis.

In our approach, individual pebbles are detected directly from 3D surface
reconstructions using curvature features, without prior shape assumptions.
Validation against high-resolution reference models yields a high detection
precision of 0.98, with remaining errors mainly due to under-segmentation
in overly smooth reconstructions.  Estimates of 3D pebble orientation are
strongly controlled by the represented surface area, highlighting both the
potential and current limitations of orientation retrieval from incomplete
surface segments.

We illustrate how reliable segmentation allow downstream 3D shape and
roundness analyses that are not accessible in 2D, including curvature-based
surface metrics and volumetric descriptors. Example fluvial scenes
demonstrate that segmentation quality directly controls the stability of
roundness estimates and their geomorphic interpretation. Our results
establish curvature-based 3D pebble segmentation as a methodological
foundation for reproducible analyses of pebble shape, roundness, and
orientation in natural river systems.

How to cite: Rheinwalt, A. and Bookhagen, B.: Curvature-based pebble segmentation as a foundation for 3D roundness and orientation analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5922, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5922, 2026.

Currently available global Digital Elevation Model (DEM) surfaces are either derived from the stereoscopic exploitation of multispectral satellite imagery, point-wise laser altimetry measurements or the interferometric processing of bistatic synthetic aperture radar data, but only radar data allows the acquisition of a global product in a reasonable timeframe. The public private partnership of DLR and Airbus in the TanDEM-X mission paved the ground for the WorldDEM product line and its derivatives such as the Copernicus DEM. Both datasets are based on data acquisitions from December 2010 to January 2015, manual and semi-automated DEM editing procedures and represent a very accurate, very consistent and only pole-to-pole DEM data set. The Copernicus DEM is available with a free-and-open licence.

Various ecosystems such as the geosphere, biosphere, cryosphere and anthroposphere are subject to continuous changes which demand the monitoring of Earth’s topography in regular updates of global Digital Elevation Model data. The WorldDEM Neo product represents the successor of the aforementioned WorldDEM but is based on a fully-automated editing & production process and newer data: the on-going TanDEM-X mission is expected to operate until 2028 and has created an archive of up-to-date DEM scenes ready for integration into a new global DEM coverage (>90% of global landmass acquired between 2017 and 2021; ~60% of global landmass acquired again between 2021 and 2025). In conjunction with continuous improvements of the fully-automated production processes, a new global DEM coverage of WorldDEM Neo is produced early 2026. DEM applications such as the orthorectification of raw satellite imagery will benefit from the availability of an accurate and up-to-date global DEM dataset. Other applications such as multi-temporal 3D change analysis based on a single satellite mission (TanDEM-X) are possible and support the understanding of environmental changes thanks to the 3rd dimension. The rapid availability of the error-compensated WorldDEM Neo Digital Surface Model (DSM) and bare-ground Digital Terrain Model (DTM) after raw data acquisition serve various applications of global DEMs. Future acquisitions of the on-going TanDEM-X mission (until 2028) allow the processing of final and up-to-date DSM and DTM coverages at the end of the mission lifetime.

The presentation comprises a short look into the history with its manual & semi-automated DEM editing procedures. The main focus will be on the fully-automated production processes for truly global DSM & DTM coverages. Accuracy metrics, 3D change statistics between the different global coverages but also visual impressions of the various global DEM coverages will be addressed, too. On-going challenges with interferometry-based elevation data are part of an outlook and different error compensation strategies (e.g. height reconstruction from radar amplitude data based on machine-learning techniques) are highlighted.

How to cite: Fahrland, E. and Schrader, H.: Updating and upgrading a global Digital Elevation Model - the fully automated production of WorldDEM Neo with acquisitions until 2025, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6660, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6660, 2026.

EGU26-9007 | ECS | Orals | GM2.5

Use of time-lapse photogrammetry to capture substantial accumulation rates on an on-glacier avalanche deposit  

Marin Kneib, Patrick Wagnon, Laurent Arnaud, Louise Balmas, Olivier Laarman, Bruno Jourdain, Amaury Dehecq, Emmanuel Le Meur, Fanny Brun, Andrea Kneib-Walter, Ilaria Santin, Laurane Charrier, Thierry Faug, Giulia Mazzotti, Antoine Rabatel, Delphine Six, and Daniel Farinotti

Avalanches are critical contributors to the mass balance and spatial accumulation patterns of mountain glaciers. While gravitational snow redistribution models predict high localized accumulation, these predictions lack field validation due to the difficulty of monitoring highly dynamic avalanche cones. Here, we present two years of high-resolution monitoring of a large avalanche cone in the accumulation area of Argentière Glacier (French Alps). To capture these dynamics, we employed a multi-sensor approach: Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) surveys and a time-lapse photogrammetry array consisting of 7 low-cost cameras deployed ~1 km away from the cone. The distance of the sensors from the surveyed area, its geometry (>30°), its surface characteristics (smooth snow surface) and the absence of fixed stable terrain due to the surrounding headwalls being episodically covered in snow made this environment particularly challenging for the photogrammetry methods applied. Point clouds and Digital Elevations Models were produced at a two-week resolution using Structure-from-Motion photogrammetry in Agisoft Metashape v1.8.3. with the alignment being constrained with Pseudo Ground Control Points. We could further co-register all point clouds to a September UAV acquisition with the Iterative Closest Point algorithm from the open-source project Py4dgeo, using automatically-derived stable ground from the RGB information of the images.

Methodological validation shows that while side-looking time-lapse photogrammetry captures the overall trend, it tends to underestimate elevation changes compared to UAV data, with biases up to 1.8 m and standard deviations of 2–6 m. Winter-time acquisitions with low light conditions over smooth snow surfaces also lead to reduced correlation over the cone. Despite these uncertainties, our results reveal extreme spatial variability in accumulation. The top of the cone is the most active zone, exhibiting elevation changes of ~30 m annually and a strong accumulation of 60 m w.e. between March 2023 and 2025 when accounting for the ice flow—roughly 15 times the annual mass balance recorded by the GLACIOCLIM program in the nearby accumulation area not affected by avalanche deposits. We identify a topographical threshold for snow storage: the upper cone fills early in the season until reaching a critical slope of ~35°, after which subsequent avalanches bypass the apex to deposit mass at the cone’s base. From May onwards, mass redistribution is further modulated by the development of surface channels. Our findings demonstrate that time-lapse photogrammetry is a viable tool for monitoring dynamic glacier surfaces and provide rare empirical evidence of the dominant role avalanches play in glacier mass budgets.

How to cite: Kneib, M., Wagnon, P., Arnaud, L., Balmas, L., Laarman, O., Jourdain, B., Dehecq, A., Le Meur, E., Brun, F., Kneib-Walter, A., Santin, I., Charrier, L., Faug, T., Mazzotti, G., Rabatel, A., Six, D., and Farinotti, D.: Use of time-lapse photogrammetry to capture substantial accumulation rates on an on-glacier avalanche deposit , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9007, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9007, 2026.

EGU26-9167 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Optimizing SfM workflows for continuous river bank monitoring: evaluating image alignment accuracies across diverse environmental conditions 

László Bertalan, Lilla Kovács, Laura Camila Duran Vergara, Dávid Abriha, Robert Krüger, Xabier Blanch Gorriz, and Anette Eltner

River bank erosion represents a dynamic geomorphic hazard, particularly in meandering channels where migration rates threaten critical infrastructure and agricultural land. While our previous work on the Sajó River (Hungary) established a novel, low-cost monitoring framework utilizing Raspberry Pi (RPi) cameras for near-continuous observation, the reliability of photogrammetric reconstruction under uncontrolled outdoor conditions remains a critical challenge. This study presents a systematic evaluation of the accuracy constraints inherent in automated Structure-from-Motion (SfM) processing pipelines, with a specific focus on optimizing image alignment across a wide range of scene conditions.

To determine the robustness of RPi imagery, we conducted a comprehensive sensitivity analysis of the SfM-based image alignment phase. We systematically tested over 120 variations of processing parameters, manipulating keypoint and tie-point limits, upscaling factors, and masking strategies. The implementation of rigorous masking was critical, as the imagery is geometrically challenging: the moving river surface in the foreground and the sky in the background occupy the majority of the field of view, leaving only a narrow, static fraction of the image relevant for reliable 3D reconstruction. These combinations were evaluated against a dataset representing the full range of environmental variability, including clear, cloudy, dark, foggy, overexposed, and rainy conditions, as well as distinct hydrological states such as low flows, flood events, and snow cover.

Preliminary results indicate that a specific balance of 30,000 keypoints and 5,000 tie points (ratio 6.0) optimizes reconstruction fidelity, achieving an RMS error of 0.75 pixels under clear weather conditions. Notably, the system demonstrated unexpected robustness in low-light scenarios, maintaining consistent error margins of 1.17–1.18 pixels across various configurations. Conversely, scaling up these limits beyond the optimum yielded diminishing returns, confirming that higher computational loads do not necessarily equate to improved geometric accuracy. Furthermore, we applied gradual selection algorithms to filter sparse point clouds, removing unreliable points based on reconstruction uncertainty to isolate the most geometrically valid features.

The crucial final phase of this research bridges the gap between digital reconstruction and physical reality. We validate the optimized SfM-based point clouds by comparing them directly against high-precision Terrestrial Laser Scanning (TLS) data acquired during two previous campaigns and upcoming field surveys. This multi-temporal comparison allows us to quantify specific error margins for volumetric and horizontal material displacement calculations. By defining these accuracy constraints, we establish a validated protocol for calculating erosion volumes during high-flow events, ensuring that automated, low-cost monitoring systems can provide actionable, high-precision data for river management even under adverse environmental conditions.

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The research was funded by the DAAD-2024-2025-000006 project-based research exchange program (DAAD, Tempus Public Foundation).

How to cite: Bertalan, L., Kovács, L., Duran Vergara, L. C., Abriha, D., Krüger, R., Blanch Gorriz, X., and Eltner, A.: Optimizing SfM workflows for continuous river bank monitoring: evaluating image alignment accuracies across diverse environmental conditions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9167, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9167, 2026.

Long-term observations of glacier mass change provide a key indicator of atmospheric warming and are essential for understanding glacier behaviour and responses to climate forcing. Archived aerial photographs represent an underutilised source of historical information from which three-dimensional surface geometry can be reconstructed to quantify past glacier change. This approach is particularly valuable in Antarctica, where surface-elevation change prior to the 1990s remains poorly constrained due to limited pre-satellite altimetry and a scarcity of reliable Ground Control Points (GCPs). As a result, historic mass-balance estimates have largely relied on climate reanalysis and modelling.

Advances in photogrammetric techniques have substantially improved the efficiency and accuracy of Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) derived from historical aerial imagery. Here, we present a newly compiled inventory of Antarctic aerial surveys conducted throughout the twentieth century, documenting their spatial and temporal coverage to identify regions suitable for DEM reconstruction. Then, building on established workflows, we show newly constructed DEMs for three glaciers that formerly fed the Larsen A Ice Shelf on the Antarctic Peninsula, capturing surface geometry both before and after its collapse in 1995. These reconstructions reveal heterogenous glacier responses to reduced buttressing, controlled by local morphology and consistent with previous regional observations.

How to cite: Rowe, E., Willis, I., and Fenney, N.: Compiling an Inventory of Historic Antarctic Aerial Photographs to Measure Long-Term Glacial Mass Balance Change from Digital Elevation Models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13015, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13015, 2026.

EGU26-13875 | Posters on site | GM2.5

Using high-resolution bathymetric data from a multibeam sonar acquisition to map and analyse geomorphical underwater structures in the proglacial Grastallake in the Horlachtal valley/ Ötztal Alps 

Florian Haas, Manuel Stark, Jakob Rom, Lucas Dammert, Till Kohlhage, Toni Himmelstoss, Diana-Eileen Kara-Timmermann, Moritz Altmann, Carolin Surrer, Korbinian Baumgartner, Peter Fischer, Sarah Betz-Nutz, Tobias Heckmann, Norbert Pfeifer, Gottfried Mandlburger, and Michael Becht

As part of the DFG research group “Sensitivity of high alpine geosystems to climate change since 1850” (SEHAG), high-resolution multibeam sonar data was collected from the proglacial Grastallake in the Ötztal valley during a boat survey in the summer of 2025. The Grastallake has an area of approximately 63,000 m², a maximum depth of approximately 16 m, and lies at an altitude of 2,584 m. The lake is situated in a former cirque, and its shores and the surrounding are partly composed of loose material and partly of solid rock. In the western part, there is a large whaleback with already known Egesen-moraines on top. On the southern and eastern shores, larger active debris flow cones are coupled to the lake, with meltwater runoff from the higher Grastalferner glacier flowing into the lake as a perennial stream via the eastern debris flow cone. Due to the permanent inflow from the glacier and the topographic conditions of the catchment area, the eastern debris flow cone is very active and has intensively been reshaped by several extreme debris flow events during the last years.

The bathymetric data was collected using a Norbit multibeam sonar (WBMS), which was supplemented by an SBG INS system (dual GNSS patch antenna system, SBG Eclipse D) by Kalmar Systems. Since the underwater topography of the lake was unknown and its high turbidity due to the glacier inflow, the first step was to conduct a rough survey of the lake. This step made it possible to create a coarse depth map on site in order to identify spots with shallow water, determine the system settings, and draw up a navigation plan along strips. After field work the recorded data was processed using Quinertia for trajectory calculation and Opals for strip adjustment. This resulted in a final 3D point cloud with an average point density of 400 points per square meter, which was converted to raster data in order to perform spatial analyses.

Using the data, geomorphological forms were mapped in a first step. In addition to a previously unknown late glacial moraine section, the underwater deposits of recent debris flows became visible. In addition to mapping, geomorphological structures were used for spatial analysis, such as comparing the depositions of debris flows above and below the water. Since the data is very well suited for mapping underwater structures, this case study demonstrates the enormous potential of bathymetric data acquired by multibeam sonar measurements, that has rarely been used for geomorphological studies to date. Multitemporal analysis in the sense of a 4D analysis could only be carried out to a limited extent in this case study. However, with the data now available, multitemporal analysis, i.e., quantification of sediment input into lakes, will also be possible in the future. This would then enable assessments to be made of the hazard potential of newly formed lakes in the proglacial area and of their lifespan. 

How to cite: Haas, F., Stark, M., Rom, J., Dammert, L., Kohlhage, T., Himmelstoss, T., Kara-Timmermann, D.-E., Altmann, M., Surrer, C., Baumgartner, K., Fischer, P., Betz-Nutz, S., Heckmann, T., Pfeifer, N., Mandlburger, G., and Becht, M.: Using high-resolution bathymetric data from a multibeam sonar acquisition to map and analyse geomorphical underwater structures in the proglacial Grastallake in the Horlachtal valley/ Ötztal Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13875, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13875, 2026.

EGU26-17031 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

High-precision point cloud generation for forest inventory: Integrating GNSS-RTK and SLAM for handheld laser scanning 

Carolin Rünger, Stefan Binapfl, Ferdinand Maiwald, Robert Krüger, and Anette Eltner

In recent years, forest management and inventory have increasingly relied on handheld personal laser scanners (H-PLS) for capturing flexible three-dimensional data. These systems have become essential for extracting critical tree attributes, such as diameter at breast height (DBH) and tree height. Most traditional H-PLS systems utilize Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM), which fuses LiDAR and Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) data to reconstruct environments. However, SLAM is based on relative sensor measurements, which inherently causes accumulated errors and trajectory drift. In complex forest environments, similar-looking stems and moving vegetation can further confuse the mapping process, resulting in distorted point clouds or duplicated stems that reduce the accuracy of extracted tree attributes.

While Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-based Real-Time Kinematic (RTK) positioning provides centimetre-level absolute accuracy and usually drift-free trajectories, its application in forestry is critically hindered by signal obstruction in dense canopies. The integration of GNSS-RTK and SLAM offers a robust and synergetic solution to these challenges, allowing one method to compensate for the failures of the other. A promising development in this field is an H-PLS system that integrates GNSS-RTK, IMU, LiDAR, and camera measurements to generate georeferenced point clouds directly in the field. This hybrid approach utilizes LiDAR and camera data to maintain positioning during GNSS outages and utilizes RTK information to re-initialize and correct the trajectory once the signal is restored.

Our study evaluates whether this integrated GNSS-RTK SLAM approach improves point cloud geometry and tree attribute extraction compared to traditional SLAM methods without GNSS integration. We conducted a field campaign in a mixed forest stand during the leaf-off period to simulate realistic operating conditions with alternating GNSS visibility. The performances of a SLAM-only and a SLAM + GNSS-RTK H-PLS were validated against highly accurate terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) reference data. The analysis involved tree segmentation to assess individual tree identification and the derivation of DBH, stem positions, and tree heights. Furthermore, we investigated internal geometric quality by analysing local noise levels using cross-sectional residuals relative to fitted circles and assessed spatial homogeneity to identify artifacts like duplicated stems or gaps.

Initial results indicate that the SLAM + GNSS-RTK H-PLS system provides DBH estimates comparable to TLS, with observed differences of 6.3 mm and 1.17 cm for major and minor axes, respectively. Despite slight overestimations due to scattering, the significantly reduced acquisition time makes this integrated system an efficient alternative for forestry applications. These findings contribute to a better understanding of how integrated positioning systems can enhance mobile laser scanning workflows and support the development of autonomous, high-precision forest mapping solutions.

How to cite: Rünger, C., Binapfl, S., Maiwald, F., Krüger, R., and Eltner, A.: High-precision point cloud generation for forest inventory: Integrating GNSS-RTK and SLAM for handheld laser scanning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17031, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17031, 2026.

EGU26-17484 | Orals | GM2.5

Permanent terrestrial laser scanning for environmental monitoring 

Roderik Lindenbergh, Sander Vos, and Daan Hulskemper

Many topographic scenes demonstrate complex dynamic behavior that is difficult to map and understand. A terrestrial laser scanner fixed on a permanent position can be used to monitor such scenes in an automated way with centimeter to decimeter quality at ranges of up to several kilometers. Laser scanners are active sensors, and can continue operation during night. Their independence from surface texture properties ensures in principle that they provide stable range measurements for varying surface conditions.

Recent years have seen an increase in the employment of such systems for different applications in environmental geosciences, including forestry, glaciology and geomorphology. This employment resulted in a new type of 4D topographic data sets (3D point clouds + time) with a significant temporal dimension, as such systems can acquire thousands of consecutive epochs.

However, extracting information from these 4D data sets turns out to be challenging, first, because of insufficient knowledge on error budget and correlations, and second, because of lack of algorithms, benchmarks, and best-practice workflows.

The presentation will showcase recently active systems that monitored a forest, a glacier, an active rockfall site and a sandy beach respectively. Data from these systems will be used to illustrate different systematic challenges that include instabilities of the sensor system, meteorological and atmospheric influence on the data product and the maybe surprising need for alignment of point clouds from different epochs.

In addition, different ways to extract information from these 4D data sets will be discussed, in connection with particular applications. While bi-temporal change detection is often a starting point for exploring 4D data, several methods are being developed that truly exploit the extensive time dimension, including tracking, trend analysis, time series clustering and spatio-temporal region growing.

Lessons learned from experiences with these systems in different domains lead to several recommendations for future employment considering field of view design, auxiliary sensors (e.g. IMU, camera, weather station) and the possible deployment of low-cost alternatives, thereby providing a view on the near future of permanent laser scanning.

Reference

Lindenbergh, R., Anders, K., Campos, M., Czerwonka-Schröder, D., Höfle, B., Kuschnerus, M., Puttonen, E., Prinz, R., Rutzinger, M., Voordendag, A & Vos, S. (2025). Permanent terrestrial laser scanning for near-continuous environmental observations: Systems, methods, challenges and applications. ISPRS Open Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 17, 100094. DOI: 10.1016/j.ophoto.2025.100094

How to cite: Lindenbergh, R., Vos, S., and Hulskemper, D.: Permanent terrestrial laser scanning for environmental monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17484, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17484, 2026.

Beachrocks are cemented coastal deposits formed within the intertidal zone by the precipitation of magnesium-rich calcium carbonate. They constitute important paleogeographic and paleoclimatic markers, as they allow the reconstruction of past shoreline evolution. In addition, beachrocks influence current coastal dynamics and represent valuable geological heritage and ecological reservoirs that require preservation.

This study focuses on a sequence of multiple beachrock levels located along the Catalan Coast (NE Iberian Peninsula). The system consists of a complex sequence of submerged beachrocks with a wide formation range, situated at water depths between −0.25 m and −48 m below the current sea level. These deposits exhibit lateral continuity of up to 4.5 km and are characterized by reduced thicknesses and low geomorphic expression. The underlying substrate is composed of unconsolidated marine sediments. In certain sectors, a spatial overlap with Posidonia oceanica meadows occurs.

The aforementioned characteristics hinder their cartographic representation using traditional methods, such as aerial image interpretation and hillshade maps derived from bathymetric data, particularly for thin structures located at greater depths and in areas where Posidonia oceanica meadows are present.

The aim of this study is to evaluate the usefulness of the Red Relief Image Map (RRIM) method as an alternative quantitative terrain visualization tool for the cartography of submerged beachrocks. This method is based on the quantitative attribute openness, which expresses the degree of dominance or enclosure of a location on an irregular surface and enhances concave (negative openness) and convex (positive openness) features. Using this attribute, the RRIM method combines three main elements: topographic slope, positive openness and negative openness, allowing the visualization of subtle, low-relief topographic structures on apparently flat surfaces.

Using this approach, this study aims to improve the identification and cartographic delineation of submerged beachrock levels and to define optimal visualization parameters that contribute to a better understanding of the beachrock sequence.

How to cite: Vicente, M.-A., Mencos, J., and Roqué, C.: Testing the Red Relief Image Maps methodology to enhance the beachrock cartography in Torredembarra coast (Catalan coast, West  Mediterranean Sea), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17571, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17571, 2026.

EGU26-17927 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Long-term glacier elevation change at Gran Campo Nevado since 1945  

Lucas Kugler, Camilo Rada, Clare Webster, Jan Dirk Wegner, Etienne Berthier, and Livia Piermattei

Scanned historical aerial photographs acquired with film cameras from the early twentieth century to the early 2000s are the longest and richest archive of Earth observation data for reconstructing past topography. Those with stereoscopic acquisition enable the generation of Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) and orthoimages when processed with photogrammetric techniques, extending the assessment of environmental change beyond the time scale of modern satellite observations.  

In this study, we present a long-term (1945-2020) dataset of glacier surface elevation for the Gran Campo Nevado ice field in southern Chile. The dataset is based on aerial photographs acquired in 1945 using a Trimetrogon camera and in the 1980s and 1990s using nadir-looking film cameras from the Chile60 and Geotec flight campaigns, complemented by a 2020 Pléiades satellite–derived DEM made available through the Pléiades Glacier Observatory program (Berthier et al., 2023). To process the historical photographs, we developed an open-source pipeline that builds on structure-from-motion (SfM) principles and incorporates learning-based feature-detection and matching algorithms, such as SuperPoint and LightGlue. Absolute image orientation is achieved through automated detection of ground control points derived from the Pléiades DEM and orthoimage. DEMs accuracy was evaluated over stable terrain by comparing them with the Pléiades reference DEM. As well, the reconstructed DEMs are compared with those obtained using an established SfM processing workflow (HSfM; Knuth et al., 2023). The resulting DEMs provide a reconstruction of glacier surface elevation spanning more than seven decades, and glacier elevation changes are quantified from the DEM time series. By using reproducible, open-source methodologies, this presentation demonstrates opportunities for the research community to leverage other historical datasets and extend analyses beyond what is possible with modern satellite observations alone. 

How to cite: Kugler, L., Rada, C., Webster, C., Wegner, J. D., Berthier, E., and Piermattei, L.: Long-term glacier elevation change at Gran Campo Nevado since 1945 , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17927, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17927, 2026.

EGU26-18399 | ECS | Orals | GM2.5

From badland to bushland? Analysis of geomorphic process dynamics and vegetation development in a sub-humid calanchi area based on high-resolution UAS data (2014-2024). 

Manuel Stark, Annalisa Sannino, Martin Trappe, Jakob Rom, Jakob Forster, Georgia Kahlenberg, Florian Haas, and Francesca Vergari

Badlands are among the most rapidly developing landscapes and exhibit a significant degree of geomorphological activity. In semi-arid/ sub-humid landscapes, specific precipitation dynamics result in particularly rapid geomorphological development. This applies in particular to land cover and geomorphology. This study employs quantitative, multi-temporal analysis to examine the spatio-temporal changes in a sub-humid calanchi badland in the upper Val d'Orcia (Italy) over a period of ten years (2014-2024). Particular emphasis lies on the dynamics of geomorphological processes and topographical changes, while considering the variables of vegetation and precipitation. The analysis encompasses both extreme events and prolonged rainfall lasting several days, which are the primary factors for surface changes in subhumid badlands. The utilisation of UAS SfM-MVS in conjunction with precise dGNSS measurements facilitates high-resolution change detection and landform analysis across five distinct observation periods, each spanning two years (= five DoD). The interactions between vegetation and geomorphological processes are investigated using a semi-automatic mapping approach based on the Triangular Greenness Index (TGI) and the interpretation of topographical changes (DoD). The vegetation analysis are based on high-resolution orthomosaics with a resolution of 0.05 m, while the geomorphic change detection analysis is carried out on 2.5D rasterised digital surface models with a resolution of 0.25 m. The major results are as follows: The mean slope gradient of the entire study site remained largely stable despite certain areas showing enhanced geomorphic activity. The DoD analysis revealed four 'geomorphic hot spots', areas of enhanced geomorphic activity and sediment contribution from the tributaries to the main valley (the major deposition area). The annual erosion rates vary between -0.4 cm (2018-2022) and -4 cm (2022-2024). The observed topographic changes can be attributed primarily to high-magnitude events (complex landslides and debris-like flows) that occur irregularly. The multi-temporal mapping of landforms has revealed a significant reduction in water erosion, with a 50% decrease observed from 35% in 2014 to 17% in 2024. Furthermore, the combination of 2D-mappings and 2.5D DoD-analysis enabled the documentation of a geomorphological process previously unknown in badland areas, namely gravitational bulging. This describes the deformation of sediments in lower-lying clay layers as a response to water infiltration, high swelling capacities of clays and the pressure exerted by the sediment packages lying above them. A significant increase in vegetation cover has been observed, particularly in areas designated as potentially moist and gentle terrain, often the deposition areas from the previous period. In general, vegetation underwent a gradual transition, evolving from a fragmented to a continuous structure, primarily due to the widespread colonisation of the main valley and the landslide pathways.  Although the area affected by erosion processes decreased over the course of the study period, erosion rates remained relatively constant. This indicates a shift from high-frequency to high-magnitude processes in the most recent observation period. Overall, the phase under consideration in this study (2014-2024) can be characterised as a phase of badland stabilisation.

How to cite: Stark, M., Sannino, A., Trappe, M., Rom, J., Forster, J., Kahlenberg, G., Haas, F., and Vergari, F.: From badland to bushland? Analysis of geomorphic process dynamics and vegetation development in a sub-humid calanchi area based on high-resolution UAS data (2014-2024)., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18399, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18399, 2026.

EGU26-19445 | ECS | Orals | GM2.5 | Highlight

From Static to Dynamic: Modernizing the Sharing of HistoricalPhotogrammetry Datasets 

Felix Dahle, Roderik Lindenbergh, and Bert Wouters

The recovery of historical topography from analogue aerial archives has has become a well-established workflow in geosciences, unlocking high-resolution records of topographic change that were previously inaccessible. However, the standard practice for sharing these results relies on static FTP servers or raw file downloads. Consequently, these datasets often remain difficult to discover, particularly for researchers from other disciplines who cannot easily assess the spatial coverage or relevance of the archive through static file lists. Furthermore, existing web-based visualization solutions often require complex database configurations and advanced full-stack development skills, rendering them inaccessible for many geoscience research groups lacking dedicated software engineers.

In this work, we present a lightweight, open-source web application designed to support the publication of historical photogrammetric data. The design prioritizes portability and ease of deployment for non-developers. Unlike complex Content Management Systems (CMS) that rely on heavy database backends, our tool utilizes a streamlined file-based ingestion pipeline. Researchers can deploy a fully interactive instance by populating a directory structure with standard geospatial vector formats (e.g., Shapefiles, GeoJSON) and point cloud data. The Node.js-based backend automatically parses these inputs to configure the visualization interface, thereby eliminating the need for manual database administration.

We demonstrate the capabilities of the website using a dataset from the Antarctic TMA archive with ~ 250.000 images. The resulting interface facilitates spatio-temporal discovery through an interactive map that visualizes survey footprints, including the residuals between metadata-derived and SfM-estimated positions. This allows users to rapidly assess geometric quality and survey coverage. To extend the platform beyond simple 2D mapping, we present the architectural integration of Potree for browser-based 3D visualization. We discuss the workflow for streaming massive point clouds to the client, a feature designed to transform the website from a passive gallery into an active analytical tool for measurement and validation. Finally, we address the challenge of data distribution by outlining the implementation of a bulk-download utility, structured to allow users to filter and request specific subsets of raw imagery, associated metadata and processed data based on their visual selection.

By providing a self-contained, low-dependency solution, we aim to shift the community standard from static archiving to dynamic, interactive exploration. This tool allows geoscientists to easily share their historical images and reconstructions and make their data truly accessible to the broader scientific community without the overhead of custom software development.

How to cite: Dahle, F., Lindenbergh, R., and Wouters, B.: From Static to Dynamic: Modernizing the Sharing of HistoricalPhotogrammetry Datasets, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19445, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19445, 2026.

EGU26-20499 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Detecting desert kites in 3D point clouds by learning anomalies 

Reuma Arav

Desert kites are large prehistoric hunting traps typically composed of two long, low stone walls that converge toward an enclosure.  These structures are widely distributed across the arid and semi-arid margins of the Middle East and Central Asia, exhibiting substantial variability in size, geometry, construction techniques, and topographic setting. To better understand their functionality from the Neolithic to sub-contemporaneous times, terrestrial laser scanning has increasingly been used to capture high-resolution three-dimensional representations of desert kites, enabling detailed characterization of their construction and local terrain setting. However, the kites’ subtle expression, their large spatial extent, and their progressive blending into the natural surface complicate their detection. These difficulties are further exacerbated by variable point density resulting from the alignment of multiple terrestrial scans, unavoidable occlusions caused by topography or vegetation, and the sheer volume of data produced by high-resolution ground-based surveys.  Together, these factors make the reliable identification and analysis of desert kite features within raw terrestrial point clouds a challenge, which requires extensive manual intervention and expert interpretation.

In this study, I present an automated, machine-learning-based approach for highlighting desert kite features directly within 3D point clouds derived from terrestrial laser scanning, without the need for manual annotation or labelled training data. The proposed method is based on the premise that the kites' structures introduce geometric irregularities (anomalies) relative to the surrounding natural surface. Rather than explicitly modelling the kite's form  or imposing predefined shape descriptors, the method learns a representation of the underlying terrain surface directly from the point cloud. This learned representation is then used to reconstruct the surface, which is subsequently compared to the original terrestrial measurements. Local deviations between the reconstructed surface and the original point cloud are quantified, with larger reconstruction errors interpreted as potential surface anomalies indicative of the kite's features. 

The proposed workflow is fully data-driven and unsupervised. It does not rely on prior knowledge of kite geometry, site-specific heuristics, or expert-defined thresholds. Instead, the learning process adapts to the local surface characteristics captured in the input dataset, making it robust to variations in resolution, occlusions, and terrain complexity commonly encountered in terrestrial laser scanning surveys. 

The findings demonstrate that surface-reconstruction-based anomaly detection offers a promising pathway for the automated identification of desert kite features in terrestrial 3D point clouds. More broadly, the approach is applicable to archaeological structures that exhibit weak or subtle geometric signatures. By reducing dependence on manual interpretation and labelled datasets, the method supports more objective, scalable, and reproducible analyses of archaeological landscapes, particularly in complex terrain where anthropogenic features are embedded within natural surfaces.

How to cite: Arav, R.: Detecting desert kites in 3D point clouds by learning anomalies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20499, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20499, 2026.

Despite significant advancements in landslide monitoring, landslides occurring on densely forested slopes remain largely unexplored. While conventional subsurface characterization methods (e.g., DPH, CPT, percussion drilling) are often impractical due to limited accessibility and steep rugged terrain, surficial analyses using remote sensing techniques frequently face challenges in capturing high-resolution ground surface data due to occlusion caused by dense vegetation cover as well as technical limitations.
Although trees and forests are generally acknowledged to reduce the probability of landslide occurrence, they are unlikely to prevent or substantially mitigate deep-seated landslides or failures on very steep slopes. Instead, trees may serve as proxies of landslide activity, potentially improving the understanding and monitoring of densely forested slopes. Affected by slope movements, trees experience external growth disturbances and develop characteristic growth anomalies that can be partly attributed to underlying landslide processes.

Multiple studies have demonstrated the feasibility of extracting such external growth disturbances, primarily stem tilting, by assessing the inclination and curvature of tree stems in LiDAR point clouds, greatly building upon previous forestry-related studies exploring the mapping, classification, and derivation of stem parameters such as height and diameter from digital twins. However, the potential to extract externally visible eccentric growth patterns in stem cross-sections at heights of maximum bending, analogous to dendrogeomorphologic tree-ring analyses, as a proxy for landslide activity has not yet been explored. Additionally, the classification of overall tree shape may provide valuable insights into the characteristics of underlying slope movements, but, to the best of the author’s knowledge, this has not been addressed in previous research.

To investigate the potential of automatically extracting tree shape and stem eccentricity from LiDAR data, and to evaluate their suitability as proxies of landslide activity, we introduce an improved two-stage processing pipeline for tree identification and extraction, along with a dedicated framework for digital dendrogeomorphology. Building upon previous work, we compute normal vectors of locally fitted planes and projected point densities to separate trees from the point cloud. To enhance the extraction of complex shaped trees (e.g., S-shaped or pistol-butted) characteristic of landslide-prone slopes, we introduce dynamically adjusted normal vector thresholds derived from estimated stem inclination. After segmenting tree stems from the point cloud, ellipses are fitted at configurable height intervals to determine cross-section centroids. These centroids are then connected as vertices of a 3D polyline, which is subsequently smoothed using a natural spline to represent the generalized stem geometry. Based on the curvature of the resulting polyline, the height of maximum bending is identified, and the corresponding cross-section eccentricity is extracted. In addition, the curvature of the polyline is used to categorically classify overall tree shape.

Our digital dendrogeomorphology approach applied to 3D point clouds enables accurate extraction of stem eccentricity, even for complex tree shapes typical of landslide-prone slopes. When paired with automated tree-shape classification, these data offer insights into slope movement and improve understanding of landslide processes in densely forested environments.

How to cite: Kamaryt, T.-H. and Müller, B.: Tree Geometry as a Potential Proxy for Landslide Activity in Densely Forested Slopes: A LiDAR-Based Digital Dendrogeomorphology Approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21238, 2026.

Large-scale infrastructure development in mountain regions produces significant changes in slope morphology and surface processes. However, stability assessments conducted after construction often rely on static or short-duration evaluations. These approaches tend to assume an immediate geomorphic adjustment to human disturbance, which can overlook delayed and nonlinear responses of hillslopes. This study examines terrain adjustments that occur with a time delay following major construction activities in complex mountainous settings. The analysis is based on a series of high-resolution topographic datasets obtained through repeated LiDAR surveys along the Sibiu - Pitești motorway corridor in the Southern Carpathians of Romania. Changes in terrain configuration caused by excavation, filling, drainage alteration, and the unloading of slopes are identified by comparing elevation models and terrain metrics. Instead of focusing solely on deformation located at the site of intervention, the study investigates terrain responses that appear later and in areas situated upslope or laterally from the engineered zones. Findings show that slope instability and surface reorganization often emerge after a measurable time delay, typically reactivating existing geomorphic features such as drainage pathways, slope breaks, and erosional forms. These responses are not random but show a strong dependence on prior landscape conditions and the type of construction-related disturbance. The results emphasize the limitations of early assessments performed shortly after construction, which may fail to capture landscape dynamics relevant for landslide initiation. The study demonstrates the usefulness of repeated LiDAR mapping for detecting evolving terrain responses in engineered mountain landscapes and supports the integration of time-sensitive processes into hazard assessment strategies.

How to cite: Al-Taha, W., Andra-Topârceanu, A., and Mustățea, S.: Delayed slope response to infrastructure-induced landscape modifications in mountainous terrain revealed by high-resolution LiDAR analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21758, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21758, 2026.

EGU26-22072 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.5

Automated photogrammetric reconstruction of Birch Glacier, Switzerland (1946–2025): A high-density time series of topographic change preceding catastrophic glacier collapse 

Friedrich Knuth, Elias Hodel, Holger Heisig, Mauro Marty, Mylène Jacquemart, Andreas Bauder, Jean-Luc Simmen, and Daniel Farinotti

As glaciers retreat, permafrost degrades, and mountains destabilize, modern landscape evolution is increasing the potential for catastrophic events, such as the Birch Glacier collapse on May 28, 2025. To improve our understanding of mass movements in mountainous regions and support future hazard assessment and risk mitigation efforts, we are generating time series of glacier surface elevation change from historical aerial photography provided by the Swiss Federal Office of Topography (Swisstopo). 

In this case study, we leveraged multi-temporal photogrammetric reconstruction and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) coregistration techniques, implemented in the Historical Structure from Motion (HSfM) pipeline, to generate an ~80-year record of self-consistent DEMs and orthoimage mosaics from analog film imagery collected over the Birch Glacier between 1946 and 2010. From 1985 until 2010 we generated nearly annual surface measurements, making this a unique and remarkably dense historical time series. The time series is augmented with modern surface measurements generated from linescan and UAV imagery collected during the period of 2010 to 2025. To quantify the uncertainty of elevation change measurements we compute residuals with respect to the swissSURFACE3D elevation over stable ground, defined by the swissTLM3D land surface classification. The reconstructed time series provides geometric constraints to precisely model the preconditioning phase leading up to the May 2025 Nesthorn-Birchglacier hazard cascade, which may help mitigate future risks in mountainous terrain (see Jacquemart et al. 2026 in GM3.1)

How to cite: Knuth, F., Hodel, E., Heisig, H., Marty, M., Jacquemart, M., Bauder, A., Simmen, J.-L., and Farinotti, D.: Automated photogrammetric reconstruction of Birch Glacier, Switzerland (1946–2025): A high-density time series of topographic change preceding catastrophic glacier collapse, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22072, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22072, 2026.

EGU26-1632 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

Interplay Between Event Frequency and Intensity in Future Rainfall Erosivity revealed by Convection-permitting climate models 

Assumpta Ezeaba, Eleonora Dallan, Petr Vohnicky, and Marco Borga

Authors:

Ezeaba Assumpta1, Dallan Eleonora1, Vohnicky Petr1, Borga Marco1

1 Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Legnaro, Italy

Type of presentation:

Poster

 

Title:

Interplay Between Event Frequency and Intensity in Future Rainfall Erosivity revealed by Convection-permitting climate models

 

Abstract:

Soil erosion represents a critical environmental and economic challenge facing agricultural landscapes, and its severity could be amplified by the rising intensity of extreme rainfall in a warming climate. Rainfall erosivity, a key driver of erosion, depends on both rainfall intensity and the frequency of erosive events, making it highly sensitive to their ongoing and future changes. High resolution convection-permitting models (CPMs) offer enhanced representation of sub-daily rainfall extremes, yet their application to soil erosion studies remains limited.

This work assesses the skill of an hourly CPM in reproducing historical rainfall erosivity in a Mediterranean Island, Sicily, and evaluates its future changes under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Modelled rainfall was first bias-corrected using intensity thresholds and scaling factors derived from high temporal-resolution observations. The CPM shows underestimate in maximum rainfall intensity and erosive event frequency, and thus in mean annual erosivity, especially in lowland and coastal areas. These biases highlight challenges in simulating short-duration convective events, sea-land interactions, and mismatches between point-based and gridded datasets. Future projections show divergent outcomes: under RCP4.5 moderate frequency decrease combines with higher intensities leading to a moderate net increase in erosivity, whereas under the RCP8.5 scenario a marked (17%) reduction in event frequency dominates the signal, yielding lower future erosivity despite rainfall intensification.

The results demonstrate that bias correction procedures should consider topographic dependence and different erosivity-related variables, and that future erosivity cannot be inferred from intensity changes alone; event frequency is equally relevant. Incorporating high-resolution climatic models and explicitly accounting for frequency-intensity interactions are therefore essential for robust erosion risk assessments and climate adaptation strategies.

 

This study was carried out within the RETURN Extended Partnership and received funding from the European Union Next‐GenerationEU (National Recovery and Resilience Plan—NRRP, Mission 4, Component 2, Investment 1.3—D.D. 1243 2/8/2022, PE0000005); and within the Space It Up project funded by the Italian Space Agency, ASI, and the Ministry of University and Research, MUR, under contract n. 2024-5-E.0 - CUP n. I53D24000060005.

How to cite: Ezeaba, A., Dallan, E., Vohnicky, P., and Borga, M.: Interplay Between Event Frequency and Intensity in Future Rainfall Erosivity revealed by Convection-permitting climate models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1632, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1632, 2026.

EGU26-2481 | Orals | GM2.6

A Fully-Resolved Simulation Study of Seabed Liquefaction and Dynamic Response Using a Coupled LBM-IBM-DEM Approach 

Jinfeng Zhang, qinghe Zhang, zhongyue Li, and guangwei Liu

Wave-induced seabed liquefaction is a common factor leading to submarine instability, primarily occurring in silty seabeds. Under wave action, the pore water pressure within the seabed continuously increases. When the pore water pressure approaches or exceeds the total stress of the soil, the effective stress of the soil tends toward zero, resulting in liquefaction. Currently, most models of seabed dynamic response are based on macroscopic constitutive equations derived from Biot’s consolidation theory, making it difficult to accurately reveal the mesoscale mechanisms of seabed behavior under wave loading. This study employs a coupled numerical approach integrating the Lattice Boltzmann Method (LBM), the Immersed Boundary Method (IBM), and the Discrete Element Method (DEM) to systematically investigate the dynamic response and liquefaction process of a seabed under wave action. In this model, DEM is used to describe the motion and interactions of seabed sediment particles, LBM is applied to simulate fluid flow behavior, and IBM handles the coupling effects between particles and the fluid. Additionally, to improve computational efficiency, local grid refinement is applied near the seabed region, enhancing overall calculation performance. Using this coupled model, the periodic variations of wave-induced pore water pressure and effective stress in the seabed are studied, and the simulation results are validated against experimental data. The results show good agreement between simulations and experiments, accurately reflecting the dynamic response characteristics of the seabed under wave action. The model not only reveals the interaction mechanisms between soil particles and pore fluid from a microscopic perspective but can also be further extended to study the coupled effects of liquefaction and scour on near-bed sediment transport, offering significant theoretical insights and practical engineering value.

How to cite: Zhang, J., Zhang, Q., Li, Z., and Liu, G.: A Fully-Resolved Simulation Study of Seabed Liquefaction and Dynamic Response Using a Coupled LBM-IBM-DEM Approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2481, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2481, 2026.

There are no theoretical formulas that can accurately predict the sand transport rate (Qm) over the Gobi surface. We report herein high-frequency field observations of wind-blown sand processes over the Gobi surface under extremely high winds in eastern Xinjiang, China. The results reveal that the power-law exponent of the scaling relationship between Qₘ and friction wind velocity (uτ) in the extremely high winds with high gravel coverage Gobi area can reach 15.51, significantly exceeding that on sandy surfaces. Meanwhile, there is a favorable power-law between Qm and the fluctuation intensity of the vertical wind velocity (Iw), whereas the correlation between Qₘ and the streamwise fluctuation intensity (Iu) is weak. Therefore, Iw has a significant application in constructing the prediction model for Qₘ over such Gobi surfaces. This study provides a new insight into the quantitative analysis of the aeolian transport over the windy Gobi areas.

How to cite: Wang, T.: Sand Transport Rate and Turbulent Fluctuation in AeolianTransportation Over the Gobi Surface Under ExtremelyHigh Winds, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2690, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2690, 2026.

EGU26-2920 | Orals | GM2.6

Debris Flow Surges Amplification Controlled by Topography and Rheology 

Dongri Song and Yunhui Liu

Field observations in the Jiangjia Ravine show that surge characteristics evolve systematically along the flow path. As the flows transition from steep upstream slopes to gentler downstream reaches, surge forms shift from high-frequency low-amplitude surges to low-frequency high-amplitude surges. To explain the spatial evolution of surges, we develop a mechanistic model governed by slope geometry and yield stress. The shear stress can fall below the yield stress at slope breaks, temporarily blocking the flow. Subsequent surges with higher shear stress exceed the yield stress and remobilize the stored material. Experimental results show that on the steep slope, the mixture generates unsteady roll waves. Once these waves reach the gentle slope, they further amplify and evolve into distinct surge fronts, confirming the proposed model. These findings establish a conceptual framework for understanding the accelerated evolution of debris-flow surges.

How to cite: Song, D. and Liu, Y.: Debris Flow Surges Amplification Controlled by Topography and Rheology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2920, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2920, 2026.

Extreme hydro-meteorological events are among the primary drivers of hydrologic and geomorphic hazards, posing an increasing threat to societies worldwide. The combined effects of climate change, and increased exposure and vulnerability in hazard-prone areas have led to a continuous rise in disaster risk.
This contribution addresses some key challenges in forecasting and managing hydro-meteorological processes across two main interrelated contexts—data-rich or data-scarce regions—which, despite their known differences, share common issues of scale, complexity, and uncertainty in hazard–society interactions.
In both environments, local-scale factors such as small-scale processes, and human disturbances interact with regional climate variability and large-scale atmospheric drivers to shape evolving hydro-geomorphic processes. At the same time, decisions happen at national, basin, or urban scales, often creating cross-scale mismatches between where hydro-meteorological processes materialize and where decisions are taken.
The presentation discusses how Earthcasting-oriented approaches, such as the integration of remote sensing, reanalysis products, crowd-sourced information, and qualitative socio-economic data, can partially address these gaps. While these data sources introduce new uncertainties, they also provide opportunities to improve awareness and support process-based forecasts and decision-making in regions where conventional data are unavailable, or they might not be enough.
Building on recent advances in technology but also risk science, this talk advocates for integrated assessment frameworks that explicitly account for cross-scale interactions, feedbacks, and data limitations, also highlighting implications for communication strategies. Ultimately, advancing such integrated approaches is essential for translating scientific knowledge into an added social value of the predictability of Earth surface processes.

How to cite: Sofia, G.: From Climate Data to Decisions in the Age of Extremes:  Challenges and Opportunities, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3013, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3013, 2026.

EGU26-4395 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

An Evaluation of Riverbed Roughness Metrics Derived from UAV–SfM Point Clouds and Their Relationships with Grain Size Distribution in Mountain Rivers 

Tung Yang Lai, Chyan Deng Jan, Kuan Chung Lai, and Yu Chao Hsu

Understanding sediment grain size distribution in riverbeds is fundamental to analyses of sediment transport, riverbed morphology, and ecological habitats. Recent advances in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)–Structure-from-Motion (SfM) photogrammetry have enabled indirect characterization of sediment grain size (D) using surface roughness (R) derived from point cloud analyses. However, the relationships between grain size and roughness, as obtained using different roughness metrics in mountain rivers, remain insufficiently investigated.

In this study, manual sediment sampling and high-resolution UAV surveys were conducted across multiple mountainous river reaches in Taiwan, characterized by coarse bed materials and wide grain size distributions. SfM-derived point clouds were used to compute three roughness metrics: roughness height (RH), standard deviation of elevations (σ), and detrended standard deviation (σd). Linear relationships were established between local grain sizes (Di, where i = 16, 25, 50, 75, and 84) and their corresponding percentile roughness values (Ri). In addition, integrated power-law relationships were developed by pooling all paired Di–Ri data across the study reaches.

The results indicate that all three roughness metrics (RH, σ, and σd) exhibit strong correlations with grain size in gravel-bed rivers when analyses are conducted within the same river reach. The linear Di–Ri relationships show moderate to strong correlations (R² = 0.57–0.95), with the D50–R50 relationship demonstrating the highest consistency across all three metrics. Similarly, the integrated power-law relationships derived from the three roughness metrics yield high correlations (R² = 0.89–0.93). However, notable differences emerge when these relationships are applied to other river reaches. The RH-based relationship maintains more consistent predictive performance, whereas relationships derived from σ and σd exhibit larger deviations. These results suggest that RH-based roughness metrics offer superior applicability for estimating sediment grain size in mountain rivers. Overall, this study provides practical insights into the selection of suitable roughness metrics for grain size estimation in coarse-grained riverbeds.

How to cite: Lai, T. Y., Jan, C. D., Lai, K. C., and Hsu, Y. C.: An Evaluation of Riverbed Roughness Metrics Derived from UAV–SfM Point Clouds and Their Relationships with Grain Size Distribution in Mountain Rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4395, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4395, 2026.

EGU26-5017 | Orals | GM2.6

A depth-averaged grain-fluid model with dilatancy and an upper-solid layer 

Anne Mangeney, Francois Bouchut, Enrique Fernandez-Nieto, and Gladys Narbona-Reina

To effectively assess the growing hazard related to debris flows, it is crucial to simulate these natural
grain-fluid flows at a reasonable computational cost. To complement existing depth-averaged grain-fluid flow
models with an upper-fluid layer, we propose here a model with an upper-solid layer, as a first step towards the
development of unified models describing all possible configurations. This model accounts for granular mass
dilatancy and pore fluid pressure feedback and solves for solid and fluid velocity in the mixture and for the
upper-solid velocity. Simulation in uniform configurations reveals the rich behaviour of the flow and shows that
the upper-solid and upper-fluid models may predict very different behaviour. Our work highlights the need of
developing two-layer models accounting for dilatancy and unifying upper-solid and upper-fluid configurations
in the same framework.

How to cite: Mangeney, A., Bouchut, F., Fernandez-Nieto, E., and Narbona-Reina, G.: A depth-averaged grain-fluid model with dilatancy and an upper-solid layer, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5017, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5017, 2026.

EGU26-5469 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Semi-resolved LES–DEM simulations of turbulent bedload transport from saltation to sheet flow regimes 

Yuxiang Liu, Lu Jing, Zi Wu, and Xudong Fu

Bedload transport is ubiquitous in natural environments and encompasses flow regimes from saltation to sheet-flow, characterized by distinct fluid–particle interaction mechanisms. Accurately capturing these processes requires a numerical approach that can capture both turbulence and fluid-particle interactions, for which challenges exist due to the constraints of grid resolution on the coupling accuracy. In this study, we propose a semi-resolved LES–DEM framework to overcome such limitations in the conventional CFD-DEM paradigm. A feedback-controlled body-force term is also proposed to maintain a prescribed discharge under periodic boundary conditions in turbulent open-channel flow simulations. Three benchmark cases are conducted to assess the accuracy and robustness of the proposed framework, including clear-water turbulent channel flow as well as bedload transport in both saltation and sheet-flow regimes. The present method is demonstrated to effectively overcome the conventional grid-size limitation and thus allows the fluid field to be resolved on sufficiently fine grids while preserving accurate fluid-particle coupling. We further investigate the micromechanical processes underlying the transition from the saltation to sheet-flow regimes and quantify the thickness of the transport layers as functions of the Shields number. Overall, this framework provides a unified and reliable numerical tool for simulating sediment transport across a broad range of flow regimes, offering a solid basis for micromechanical analysis and the development of continuum models.

How to cite: Liu, Y., Jing, L., Wu, Z., and Fu, X.: Semi-resolved LES–DEM simulations of turbulent bedload transport from saltation to sheet flow regimes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5469, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5469, 2026.

EGU26-7103 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Size segregation of granular mixtures under recirculation 

Yanan Chen and Christophe Ancey

Particle-size segregation is a common phenomenon in granular materials that has attracted increasing attention in recent years. Yet segregation under recirculation remains underexplored compared to segregation in simple-sheared gravity-driven flows. In this study, we investigated the dynamics of a bi-dispersed granular mixture flowing over an inclined conveyor belt. This belt pulled particles upstream, creating a recirculating flow. We visualized the internal structure of granular flow in a vertical plane by matching the refractive indices of the fluid and particles, and then located the particles. We observed an upstream accumulation of small particles and downstream accumulation of large particles, these two regions being separated by a curved interface. We think that this separation resulted from the interplay between particle recirculation and segregation: 1) surface particles moved downstream while bottom particles moved upstream; 2) segregation led to particles separating during recirculation, with full separation achieved at the channel ends. We developed a depth-averaged advection-diffusion equation to quantify this phenomenon by treating the recirculation as convection. This study provides new insights into the coupled mechanisms of recirculation and segregation in granular materials.

How to cite: Chen, Y. and Ancey, C.: Size segregation of granular mixtures under recirculation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7103, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7103, 2026.

EGU26-7135 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Fluvial geomorphology and historical evolution of the Var River, France: a case study of a highly anthropic Mediterranean braided channel 

Sebastián Granados-Bolaños, Fanny Picourlat, Youness Ouassanouan, Felix Billaud, Margot Chapuis, and Morgan Abily

The Var River in southeastern France represents an example of a Mediterranean fluvial system profoundly modified by human activity. Over the past eight decades, engineering works, gravel mining, and urbanization have progressively confined and simplified the channel, while the river remains a vital water resource for the city of Nice and its surroundings.

We present a multi-temporal and multi-scale analysis of the lower Var River’s morphological evolution between 1940 and 2025. Historical aerial and satellite images (n > 50) were analyzed to quantify changes in braided index, channel confinement ratio, slope–width relationships, and channel morphology classes. A high-resolution UAV survey conducted in 2025 covered 20 km of the lower valley, producing detailed orthomosaics and digital elevation models from over 80,000 images. Additional sedimentological analyses combining terrestrial photogrammetry and laboratory measurements thoroughfully characterized grain size and lithology of fluvial landforms.

Results reveal a complex spatial pattern in channel form: the lower Var alternates between multi-thread and single-thread morphologies along its 20 km course, with transitions occurring over distances of less than one km. These abrupt shifts are linked to local confinement, engineered structures (among which weirs which underwent recent lowering), and bedload disconnection. Overall, the river has undergone strong simplification and narrowing, with active-channel reductions exceeding 60% in channelized reaches. The present morphology reflects a hybrid, fluvial state shaped by human regulation and contrasted hydrology. These findings provide new insights into the geomorphic resilience of Mediterranean rivers and inform sediment management and corridor planning for the Nice Metropolitan region, since it present the first high-resolution analysis of this fluvial corridor.

How to cite: Granados-Bolaños, S., Picourlat, F., Ouassanouan, Y., Billaud, F., Chapuis, M., and Abily, M.: Fluvial geomorphology and historical evolution of the Var River, France: a case study of a highly anthropic Mediterranean braided channel, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7135, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7135, 2026.

Granular sediments in rivers, coasts, and pipelines often undergo particle size segregation due to the action of the carrier fluid and particle-particle interactions. This process can significantly affect geomorphology and the associated geohazards, but our mechanistic understanding of granular segregation in fluid-driven bedload transport remains elusive. In this study, a particle-scale numerical simulation based on the coupled computational fluid dynamics–discrete element method (CFD-DEM) is conducted to investigate the segregation of a bidisperse bed sheared by high-viscosity fluids. The evolution of segregation under varying shear intensities, characterized by the Shields number, is systematically analyzed in laminar flow. The results show that: (1) under various Shields numbers, the granular bed can be divided into an upper bedload layer (fluid-like, fast-moving) and a lower creep layer (solid-like, slowly moving), with the bedload layer thickening and the creep layer thinning linearly as the shear intensity increases; (2) particle segregation evolves exponentially over time, and at the same duration, the final degree of segregation for the entire bed increases linearly with the Shields number; (3) the segregation timescale shows a non-monotonic dependence on the Shields number, governed by the competing effects of increasing segregation velocity and active layer thickness as the Shields number is increased; and (4) the segregation timescale follows a power-law relationship with the shear rate in laminar flow, showing similarities to dry granular flow behavior. Future work will focus on developing a predictive model that captures the evolution of coarse and fine particle concentration profiles, thereby enhancing our modeling capabilities of granular segregation and its feedback effects on the mobility of sediment transport.

How to cite: Li, X. and Jing, L.: Size Segregation of Bidisperse Granular Beds in Laminar Shear Flow: A CFD-DEM Investigation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8573, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8573, 2026.

EGU26-9692 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

Evaluation of a downscaled Regional Climate Model for analysing the frequency of debris flows since 1850 

Jakob Rom, Madlene Pfeiffer, Ben Marzeion, Tobias Heckmann, Florian Haas, and Michael Becht

Debris flows are a major natural hazard in mountainous regions worldwide and significantly impact the sediment budgets in alpine areas. However, the development of debris flow frequency under climate change conditions has not yet been conclusively clarified, as long-term, comprehensive event records (i.e. not biased towards large events) are scarce. As alpine debris flows are predominantly triggered by high-intensity and short-duration rainfall events, precipitation records can be useful for inferring potential triggers, particularly under transport-limited conditions. As high-resolution precipitation measurements are rarely available over long periods of time, we employed dynamical downscaling of a Regional Climate Model (RCM) based on the Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF). This approach resulted in a high-resolution climate model dataset covering most of the Central Alps, with a spatial resolution of 2x2 km and a temporal resolution of 15 minutes. This model enabled us to analyse high-intensity, short-duration rainfall events since the end of the Little Ice Age in 1850.

We compared the RCM with a debris flow record in the Horlachtal catchment in Tyrol, Austria. By analysing remote sensing datasets such as historical and recent aerial imagery, airborne lidar data and lichenometric dates, we identified 991 individual debris flows in the area between 1947 and 2022. Combining the observation dataset with the RCM rainfall data enabled us to take an integrated approach to assessing changes in debris flow frequency in the Horlachtal and their climatic drivers since 1850. The results provide insights into possible future trends in debris flow frequency in a changing climate, showing a weak positive long-term trend for the Horlachtal. The RCM's coverage allows for similar studies in other Alpine regions, offering more detailed insights into the spatial variability of changes in debris flow activity within the Central Alps.

How to cite: Rom, J., Pfeiffer, M., Marzeion, B., Heckmann, T., Haas, F., and Becht, M.: Evaluation of a downscaled Regional Climate Model for analysing the frequency of debris flows since 1850, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9692, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9692, 2026.

EGU26-9737 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Morphodynamic responses to the 2000 Yigong dam-break flood: Insights from back-analysis and cross-scale modelling challenges 

Yunlong Lei, Marwan Hassan, Giorgio Rosatti, Luigi Fraccarollo, Daniel Zugliani, Xudong Fu, and Hongling Shi

Landslide Dam-Break Outburst Floods (LDBOF) are devastating natural hazards that drastically reshape downstream river morphologies. However, their inaccessibility, high risk of equipment loss, and sparse field data collection severely hinder hazard understanding and timely warning capabilities. The 2000 Yigong LDBOF event in China is one of the most significant modern recorded cases, yet it suffers from limited observational data. To address this gap, we integrated multi-source data—including open-source elevation datasets, literature-derived records, satellite-based flood inundation extents, and direct field observations—to develop a comprehensive input dataset for hydro-morphodynamic modeling of the event. Model validation against field observations and comparable studies confirmed the reasonableness of simulated lake emptying, dam breaching, flood inundation, bank erosion, and channel infilling processes. Our results reveal key morphodynamic characteristics of the Yigong LDBOF: dam material transport was dominated by translational motion during the flood rising stage and dispersive transport during the falling stage. The outburst flood peak discharge reached ~60 times that of typical meteorological floods, significantly amplifying the effects of river width on dam material transport. We further proposed a sediment transport equation that incorporates the regulatory effect of large boulders. Post-event channel recovery simulations, validated with remote sensing data, indicated minimal planform changes, with bed incision driven by headward erosion as the dominant morphological adjustment. Large boulders acted as a stabilizing factor, limiting upstream erosion and forming sediment supply-limited reaches. This study provides a robust multi-source data integration and modeling framework for LDBOF events with sparse observations, offers new insights into cross-scale hydro-morphodynamic processes of extreme floods, and the proposed sediment transport equation improves the accuracy of simulating boulder-influenced sediment dynamics—supporting hazard risk assessment and downstream river management for future LDBOF events.

How to cite: Lei, Y., Hassan, M., Rosatti, G., Fraccarollo, L., Zugliani, D., Fu, X., and Shi, H.: Morphodynamic responses to the 2000 Yigong dam-break flood: Insights from back-analysis and cross-scale modelling challenges, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9737, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9737, 2026.

EGU26-11152 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

Efficient Hydrodynamic Modeling at the Landscape Scale: Quantifying River Width and Shear Stress Variability to Decode Tectonic Signals 

Boris Gailleton, Philippe Steer, Guillaume Cordonnier, and Fiona Clubb

Basal shear stresses exerted by river flow control the capacity of river to erode and transport sediment. Material properties (e.g. lithology, grain size) modulate how basal shear stress translates into morphological change. Quantifying the spatial variability of basal shear stress is therefore essential to assess fluvial erosion processes and to infer the tectonic and climatic forcings recorded in landscape morphology. 

Direct and systematic measurement of the basal shear stress in rivers is not feasible at large scales, making numerical hydrodynamic modelling the primary tool for its estimation. However, applications beyond the reach scale remain computationally prohibitive due to (i) the need for high-resolution topography to resolve channels, banks, and bars, and (ii) the numerical cost of solving the Shallow Water Equations (SWEs), which require small time steps to propagate changes induced and complex solvers. 

Here, we present a novel numerical framework that substantially reduces the computational cost of hydrodynamic modelling for morphometric analysis, enabling simulations over large, high-resolution DEMs and ranges of hydrological conditions. The approach reformulates the SWEs into a simplified stationary scheme, linearizing algorithmic complexity, and allowing scalable computations. In addition, we employ GPU-accelerated, graph-based flow accumulation algorithms to compute discharge efficiently. Together, these developments reduce computation time by up to three orders of magnitude compared to conventional hydraulic modelling approaches. 

The method is implemented in the pyfastflow package within the TopoToolbox ecosystem. We apply it to more than 100 watersheds in the Mendocino Triple Junction (California, USA), a region characterized by strong spatial gradients in tectonic uplift. Hydrodynamics are computed for five hydrological states constrained by precipitation data, spanning low flow to flood conditions. We quantify spatial variations in river width and shear stress and show that these metrics capture complementary temporal signatures of uplift timing and magnitude. Basin-wide shear stress responds quickly to uplift onset but exhibits a significantly delayed response during relaxation, whereas channel width displays a more variable and spatially contrasted transient signal upstream of the onset. 

How to cite: Gailleton, B., Steer, P., Cordonnier, G., and Clubb, F.: Efficient Hydrodynamic Modeling at the Landscape Scale: Quantifying River Width and Shear Stress Variability to Decode Tectonic Signals, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11152, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11152, 2026.

Coherent, energetic airflow structures control the incipient aeolian entrainment of coarse sediment and plastic debris, but their effect is poorly captured by classical, time-averaged shear-stress thresholds. This contribution showcases the results from recently published work [1, 2] that combines a particle-scale energy framework with wind-tunnel observations to quantify how individual sweeps and related structures trigger rocking, creep and full rolling, thereby regulating geomorphic work and debris mobility at Earth’s surface.

Wind-tunnel experiments were conducted in a 30 m environmental facility over a fixed rough bed of identical 40 mm celluloid spheres, representing idealized gravel and light plastic debris under fully turbulent, near-threshold flow (U ≈ 7.5–8.2 m s⁻¹). Synchronous 1 kHz measurements of near-bed airflow (2D hot-film) and particle displacement (0.1 mm laser distance sensor) resolve intermittent rocking and episodic rolling of a single exposed particle on a regular bed, under an atmospheric boundary layer with logarithmic mean profile and near-surface turbulence intensities up to ~20%.

A micromechanical model defines “energetic airflow events” as intervals where instantaneous drag exceeds an initial resistance level and persists for a finite duration, and relates their energy content Ef ∝ ∫u³dt to the minimum mechanical work F_g z_cr required to push a particle over its micro-topographic barrier. The resulting work-based criterion C_eff∫u³dt ≥ const introduces a normalized efficiency C_eff, estimated from the ratio of drag work ∫u²vdt to event energy, which partitions motion regimes from creep through rocking to incipient rolling and near-saltation. Quadrant analysis of uw shows that >85% of both rocking and rolling events are associated with Q4 sweeps; a simple peak-force condition u²_f,p ≥ u²_cr,0 is necessary for motion but insufficient for full entrainment, whereas the energy criterion correctly classifies ≈90–95% of observed rocking vs. rolling events. These results provide a transferable, event-based description of how coherent turbulent structures drive low-mobility aeolian transport, including mechanical sieving on gravel-mantled megaripples and the mobilisation of meso- to micro-plastic debris.

 

References

[1] Valyrakis, M., Zhao, X., Pähtz, T., & Li, Z. (2025). The role of energetic flow structures on the aeolian transport of sediment and plastic debris. Acta Mechanica Sinica, 41(1), 324467. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10409-024-24467-x.
[2] Zhao, X. H., Valyrakis, M., Pähtz, T., & Li, Z. S. (2024). The role of coherent airflow structures on the incipient aeolian entrainment of coarse particles. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 129(5), e2023JF007420. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JF007420.

How to cite: Valyrakis, M., Pähtz, T., and Zhao, X.: From sweeps to sieving: a particle scale work-based criterion for intermittent aeolian entrainment of gravel and plastics under coherent turbulent structures, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11556, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11556, 2026.

EGU26-11632 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

 Influence of Pocket Geometry on the Incipient Entrainment of Coarse Particles in Turbulent Flows  

Aikaterini Papadaki and Manousos Valyrakis

The incipient motion of coarse particles critically governs bed stability, sediment transport dynamics, and geomorphic evolution in turbulent flows, with profound implications for riverbed destabilization, flood risk, and the integrity of hydraulic infrastructure. Despite extensive research, the ways under which microtopographic pocket arrangements—clusters or depressions formed by particle packing— modulate entrainment thresholds remains relatively underexplored. 
This presentation aims to outline the effects of varied pocket configurations on the critical hydraulic conditions required for particle entrainment under turbulent flow fields. Utilizing instrumented particles equipped with inertial measurement units (IMUs) [1, 2] to record high-fidelity particle accelerations and angular velocities, we probe both particle kinematics and dynamics, at the onset of motion. Novel flow-particle interaction metrics, derived from these measurements, reveal the underlying physical mechanisms—such as torque imbalances and lift generation—that drive or resist entrainment.
We hypothesize that subtle differences in pocket geometry and orientation can substantially elevate or lower the entrainment threshold, necessitating distinct flow field characteristics (e.g., shear stress and turbulence intensity) for motion initiation [3, 4]. Preliminary results from controlled flume experiments demonstrate threshold shifts across configurations, underscoring the sensitivity of bed stability to local topography. 
These insights aim to highlight the transformative potential of IMU-based instrumentation for real-time risk assessment of riverbed and bank destabilization in natural streams, as well as scour development in engineered channels, for sustainable river management and infrastructure resilience.
 
References
1. Al-Obaidi K, Xu Y, Valyrakis M. The design and calibration of instrumented particles for assessing water infrastructure hazards. J Sens Actuator Netw. 2020;9(3):36. doi:10.3390/jsan9030036.
2. Al-Obaidi K, Valyrakis M. A sensory instrumented particle for environmental monitoring applications: development and calibration. IEEE Sens J. 2021;21(8):10153-10166. doi:10.1109/JSEN.2021.3053080.
3. Al-Obaidi K, Valyrakis M. Linking the explicit probability of entrainment of instrumented particles to flow hydrodynamics. Earth Surf Process Landf. 2021;46(12):2448-2465. doi:10.1002/esp.5178.
4. Al-Obaidi K, Valyrakis M. Coherent flow structures linked to the impulse criterion for incipient motion of coarse sediment. Appl Sci (Basel). 2023;13(19):10656. doi:10.3390/app131910656.

How to cite: Papadaki, A. and Valyrakis, M.:  Influence of Pocket Geometry on the Incipient Entrainment of Coarse Particles in Turbulent Flows , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11632, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11632, 2026.

EGU26-12336 | Posters on site | GM2.6

Basal force distribution from steady fully-developed granular flows 

Hui Tang, Jun Fang, Yifei Cui, Jens Turowski, Lu Jing, and Yong Kong

Understanding the impact of geophysical flows on the channel bed is essential for assessing erosion processes of bed material. In this study, the discrete element method (DEM) is used to simulate idealized, steady-state, fully-developed granular flows impacting the channel bed with systematically varying total particle number (1000-30000), grain size (2-16mm), and slope angle (28-34°) to investigate the probability distributions of the basal force. The probability density functions of the basal force, normalized to the mean force, were calculated and fitted with ten probability distributions. Four indices, namely R2, Residual Sum of Squares (RSS), Wasserstein distance, and information entropy, are introduced to evaluate the goodness of fit for each probability density distribution. By comparison, the broad probability density distribution of normalized basal force can be well-described by Gamma distributions (GD) with its shape and scale parameters. The shape parameter of the Gamma distribution is positively correlated with the total particle number and grain size, but negatively correlated with the slope angle. An opposite relationship is revealed in the scale parameter of the Gamma distribution. Additionally, we analyzed flow kinematics by calculating the coordination number, dimensionless velocity, shear rate, inertial number, and volume fraction, and linking these variables to the shape and scale parameters. The coordination number, shear rate, inertial number, and volume fraction serve as effective proxies for the shape and scale parameters, enabling interpretation of the statistical characteristics of monitored basal forces in geophysical mass flows.

How to cite: Tang, H., Fang, J., Cui, Y., Turowski, J., Jing, L., and Kong, Y.: Basal force distribution from steady fully-developed granular flows, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12336, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12336, 2026.

EGU26-12572 | Posters on site | GM2.6

Multi-Modal Monitoring and Modelling of Extreme Hydro-Geomorphological Events: Bridging the Gap Between Local Dynamics and Catchment-Scale Predictions 

Anette Eltner, Michael Dietze, Julia Kowalski, Jochen Aberle, Jens Grundmann, and Bernhard Vowinckel

The central challenge in understanding extreme hydro-geomorphologic events is the persistent lack of integrated, quantitative observations capable of developing and constraining predictive models. While flash floods and associated sediment transport represent an escalating hazard under climate change, their underlying dynamics remain poorly understood across the spatio-temporal scales required for effective risk mitigation. Existing monitoring is often fragmented, with upcoming novel approaches only partly resolving key unknowns when used in isolation. For instance, optical methods such as UAV-based photogrammetry and camera gauges provide high resolution surface process data but cannot resolve subsurface bedload dynamics, whereas environmental seismic methods capture particle-riverbed interactions and signatures of turbulence but produce indirect, composite signals that are difficult to isolate and quantify.

To bridge this gap, we envision a multi-modal approach that moves beyond those single-technique or single-sensor proxies. To reliably and robustly observe temporarily evolving interlinked key parameters, i.e., water level, flow velocity, and hydraulic geometry, major steps involve using stereo-vision for precise scaling and channel cross-section updates, alongside AI-based optical flow for complex velocity fields. By integrating low-cost, event-triggered sensors (e.g., thermal & multispectral cameras, seismometers, and LiDAR), we can automate the retrieval of discharge as well as additional parameters such as turbidity and granulometry. Using photogrammetric change detection and AI-driven image processing we can further bridge terrestrial and aerial perspectives (e.g., from UAV), moving toward a physically consistent characterization of extreme events. By integrating high-resolution 3D imaging and seismic data inversion, it becomes possible to capture water and sediment dynamics simultaneously, resulting in unique complementary information on the same event.

In this framework, laboratory experiments provide the necessary controlled conditions to infer the capabilities, caveats and calibration measures for this sensor integration. Highly resolved computational fluid dynamics multiphase flow modelling will generate synthetic reference datasets to disentangle environmental signals and sensor noise. These heterogeneous data streams are integrated via AI-based fusion and uncertainty modelling to resolve non-linear relationships governing coupled water–sediment dynamics. Ultimately, hydrological and hydraulic modelling serves as a testbed for upscaling, in which models are informed by improved process knowledge-based observation data and its uncertainty to evaluate how small-scale insights alter catchment-scale predictions.

From this framework, significant gaps emerge that define the current research frontier. A critical unresolved challenge is the systematic separation of source terms from the superimposed signals generated by the actively evolving sediment-carrying river during flood events. Furthermore, the transition from "data-rich" local observations to “data-poor” but "process-informed" regional models is still hindered by the lack of scalable frameworks that can maintain physical consistency across different scales, i.e., climatic and geomorphological regimes. Addressing these gaps requires a coordinated shift from observing isolated parameters to an integrative, physics-based monitoring loop that can provide truly scalable, model-ready information for extreme events.

How to cite: Eltner, A., Dietze, M., Kowalski, J., Aberle, J., Grundmann, J., and Vowinckel, B.: Multi-Modal Monitoring and Modelling of Extreme Hydro-Geomorphological Events: Bridging the Gap Between Local Dynamics and Catchment-Scale Predictions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12572, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12572, 2026.

EGU26-12701 | Orals | GM2.6

Rheology of sedimentary flows across the viscous–inertial transition 

Bernhard Vowinckel, Alireza Khodabakhshi, Sudarshan Konidena, and Franco Tapia

Dense sedimentary flows underpin a wide range of geomorphic processes, from bedload transport in rivers to debris-laden shallow flows, yet their rheological description across regimes remains incomplete. In particular, the transition from viscous-dominated to inertia-dominated behavior in dense suspensions poses a central challenge for constitutive modeling of subaqueous sediment transport. Here, we present a unified numerical investigation of the viscous–inertial transition in sheared sedimentary flows using particle-resolved Direct Numerical Simulations (pr-DNS), spanning idealized rheometric configurations and flow-driven sediment beds.

We employ both pressure-imposed and volume-imposed rheological frameworks to systematically probe the role of fluid viscosity, shear rate, granular pressure, particle friction, confinement, and boundary roughness. Across configurations, we characterize rheology in terms of the macroscopic friction and solid volume fraction expressed as functions of combined viscous and inertial control parameters. Our results confirm that the transition can be described by an additive scaling of visco-inertial stresses but reveal that different rheological quantities respond differently to inertia.

In pressure-imposed simulations of dense frictional suspensions, we find that the viscous–inertial transition occurs at Stokes numbers ranging from 5 to around 8, consistent with recent experiments. Notably, shear stress exhibits a more gradual transition than particle pressure, indicating a decoupling of stress components. Microstructural analysis shows that this behavior arises from the combined action of lubrication and tangential contact forces, as particles progressively shift from rolling to sliding contacts. This shift is governed not only by the Stokes number, but also by proximity to jamming and inter-particle friction.

Complementary volume-imposed simulations between rough confining walls demonstrate that boundary conditions strongly influence the measured rheology through particle layering and inter-layer mixing. Wall roughness and cell height modulate stress levels and effective friction, including weakening of the macroscopic friction during the transition, while preserving a consistent viscous–inertial scaling across cases. Despite a reduction in contact number, increased force magnitudes on remaining contacts drive the inertial regime.

Finally, simulations of pressure-driven shallow flows over sediment beds show that the transition occurs at Stokes numbers comparable to those of our numerical and experimental results of pressure-imposed rheometry, with distinct scaling coefficients for volume fraction and macroscopic friction. Together, these results highlight the complex, multi-scale nature of sediment rheology and underscore the need for refined constitutive laws that explicitly account for microstructure, confinement, and stress anisotropy in geomorphic sediment transport.

How to cite: Vowinckel, B., Khodabakhshi, A., Konidena, S., and Tapia, F.: Rheology of sedimentary flows across the viscous–inertial transition, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12701, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12701, 2026.

EGU26-13379 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Resolved DNS of bedload transport with realistic grain morphology 

Ricardo Rebel and Jochen Fröhlich

The prediction of bedload sediment transport remains challenging due to the multi-scale interactions that link grain-scale dynamics, bed morphology, and turbulence. Grain-scale processes are influenced by particle shape and contribute to the spread in existing bedload models. Experimental access to these processes is limited, making numerical simulations a valuable complementary tool. Most numerical studies to date represent sediment grains as spheres to reduce computational cost or intentionally exclude shape effects. More recent work has demonstrated the importance of shape using ellipsoidal approximations which capture the overall grain form but loose finer surface irregularities. Only a few simulations have employed more realistic clumped-sphere grain approximations and have shown that grain shape introduces significant uncertainty in entrainment and transport predictions.

This contribution advances the quantification of grain-shape effects by using realistic representations of grain geometry obtained from measurements in the literature. It presents direct numerical simulations of turbulent bedload transport with low particle loading in a highly mobile regime using fully resolved, realistic sand grains. Three simulations with monodisperse but polymorph particles are considered, such that only grain shape is varied. One configuration represents smooth, well-rounded sand grains, the second consists of more angular and irregular grains. A third simulation with uniform spheres serves as a reference. The realistic grain samples are generated statistically following an established methodology that yields two distinct sand populations. The grains in these populations are characterized using sphericity and roundness and are classified using the Zingg diagram. Although the Zingg-class of all grains is spheroid, the grain populations can be subdivided based on the distributions of the other two shape descriptors, with sphericity capturing larger-scale morphology and roundness reflecting smaller-scale surface irregularities.

Across the three simulations, the Shields parameter increases with increasing grain irregularity. Furthermore, the particle ensembles in all simulations show oscillatory dynamics during statistically steady bedload transport, attributed to the recurring formation of particle clusters, with the characteristic period increasing with grain irregularity. Shape-conditioned statistics obtained through double averaging show that in the case of the angular grain population more rounded grains accumulate near the channel bottom, while more angular grains are transported to higher elevations. This sorting is not observed for the well-rounded grain population. Additionally, for both grain populations, the rotational energy of the grains increases with irregularity, although rotation remains overall weak compared to translational motion in the present highly mobile regime.

How to cite: Rebel, R. and Fröhlich, J.: Resolved DNS of bedload transport with realistic grain morphology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13379, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13379, 2026.

EGU26-15476 | Posters on site | GM2.6

The Edge of Stability: From Collective Vibrations to Jamming and Failure in Granular Media 

Pj Zrelak, Eric Breard, Symeon Makris, and Josef Dufek

Granular media is observed in a variety of natural contexts. Whether they come in the form of landslides, debris flows, pyroclastic density currents, bed load, fault gouge, or magmatic crystals, they can fail catastrophically and jam. Here we introduce a characterisation that examines collective motion within granular systems to probe their stability as they are pushed towards the point of failure and stoppage. Using particle-resolved simulations, we show that this characterisation gives early indication of weakening prior to external measures. This characterisation is agnostic to the method of destabilisation, whether it be from increasing slope angles or fluid injection. Applying this characterisation to analogue experiments shows that it can easily demarcate between a static deposit, agitated particles, and an actively destabilizing layer, showing promise in using remote signals to probe the stability of natural systems.

How to cite: Zrelak, P., Breard, E., Makris, S., and Dufek, J.: The Edge of Stability: From Collective Vibrations to Jamming and Failure in Granular Media, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15476, 2026.

Braided rivers are dynamic systems that support diverse habitats associated with their shifting mosaic of anabranches, backwaters, bars and islands. These units are characterized by chaotic, but not random, distributions of substrate, elevation and hydraulics at multiple scales. Modelling sediment supply or flow-driven changes in riverbed composition is notoriously difficult given the inherent dynamism and multiple scales defining large braided rivers.

In this research, we present a new data-rich modelling framework which combines census-scale [1 m] substrate classification with detailed 2D hydraulic models. The resulting transport capacity estimates can, for a static bed, be quickly applied to any transient flow scenario while retaining spatial detail. We then use the information gathered during the 2D modelling to parameterise a 1.5-dimensional transport solution in the time-evolving CASCADE sediment routing framework.

The 2D model uses a substrate map of a 56-km reach of the Rangitata [Rakitata] River, Aotearoa New Zealand, derived by machine learning based on high-fidelity helicopter lidar and orthophotography. A library of 2D steady-state hydraulic models is then run over the substrate map to predict the spatial and temporal capacity for sediment transport.

The adapted 1.5D-CASCADE model captures a defining feature of braided rivers, width variability, with a reach-specific hypsometric solver, tested against the 2D results, that predicts flow and sediment transport. The half-dimension is width, discretised against height using the 2D predictions of inundation and active area. The 1.5D model can then evolve bed composition both laterally across the braidplain and longitudinally down the river, within hydraulic geometry set by the template survey, including storage and remobilisation in side channels and floodplains.

The models are tested and applied to simulate the effects of flow regulation on bed composition in the Rangitata River. The model’s longitudinal consistency was only possible when using the spatial substrate data, and predictions are corroborated by lidar change detection. Results demonstrate that subtle changes in flow regime can alter where sediment is stored across the braidplain, with sedimentation impacts focused on side channels. Transfer of the model to other rivers indicates that width-varying solvers produce more stable sediment routing predictions than any single width, while remaining computationally efficient. 

How to cite: Rogers, J. and Brasington, J.: Adapting CASCADE for braided rivers: A 1.5D sediment transport approach with variable substrate and width, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15789, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15789, 2026.

EGU26-16255 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

Shape Matters: How particle morphology affects the location ofthe Gravel-Sand Transition. 

Swagat Kumar Panda, Samantak Kundu, Sanjay Kumar Mandal, and Dirk Scherler

In foreland basins adjacent to collisional mountain belts, rivers exhibit an abrupt gravel-sand transition (GST) at ~10-40 km downstream of mountain fronts, where surface median grain size reduces from ~10 mm to ~1 mm. This is the only abrupt downstream reduction in grain size in fluvial systems. Existing theories attribute GST formation to size-selective transport of bimodal sediment, rapid deposition of sand from the washload, and gravel exhaustion. These mechanisms predict that GST location should respond systematically to changes in hydraulic conditions (channel gradient, flow strength), sediment supply (gravel flux), and accommodation space (subsidence rate). However, observations from the Himalayan foreland basin reveal significant along-strike variability in GST locations despite similar gravel lithology, comparable subsidence rates, and uniform climatic forcing. This unexplained spatial variability indicates that additional controls on GST formation remain poorly understood.

Here, we hypothesize that particle shape—an intrinsic sediment property traditionally considered secondary to grain size—exerts first-order control on GST location through its influence on gravel mobility. To test this hypothesis, we developed a force-balance framework accounting for drag, lift, and rotational forces to model gravel transport as a function of particle shape. Experiments with varying bed matrix characteristics demonstrate that gravel mobility is strongly modulated by shape variations under identical hydraulic conditions. Field measurements of particle shape distributions from Himalayan foreland rivers reveal that GST locations coincide spatially with downstream increases in the proportion of low-mobility shapes (equant and platy forms). Progressive accumulation of these less mobile shapes reduces the bulk mobility of the gravel bedload, causing the gravel front to stall.

Our results demonstrate that particle shape exerts first-order control on GST formation and location, operating independently of climate and tectonic forcing. This intrinsic control has likely influenced sediment routing in both ancient and modern foreland basins worldwide. The findings suggest that GST positions in stratigraphic records reflect the evolution of particle shape rather than solely changes in external forcing. Understanding this shape-controlled mechanism is essential for interpreting sedimentary archives, predicting downstream sediment delivery, and refining landscape evolution models in mountain-foreland systems.

How to cite: Panda, S. K., Kundu, S., Mandal, S. K., and Scherler, D.: Shape Matters: How particle morphology affects the location ofthe Gravel-Sand Transition., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16255, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16255, 2026.

EGU26-16411 | Orals | GM2.6

Bed shear stress in bedload transport: new methods of sidewall correction and bed surface determination 

Thomas Pähtz, Yulan Chen, Han Yu, Maoxing Wei, and Orencio Duran

The study-to-study variability of bedload flux measurements in turbulent sediment transport borders an order of magnitude, even for idealized laboratory conditions. This uncertainty stems from physically poorly supported, empirical methods to account for channel geometry effects in the determination of the transport-driving bed shear stress and from study-to-study grain shape variations. Here, we derive a universal procedure of bed shear stress determination. It consists of a physically-based definition of the bed surface and a channel sidewall correction that does largely not rely on empirical elements, except for well-established scaling coefficients associated with Kolmogorov's theory of turbulence. Application of this procedure to bedload transport of spherical grains---to rule out grain shape effects---collapses data from existing laboratory measurements and grain-resolved CFD-DEM simulations for various channel geometries onto a single curve. By contrast, classical sidewall corrections, such as the Einstein-Johnson method, as well as an alternative bed surface definition, are unable to universally capture these data, especially those from shallow or very narrow channel flows. The sidewall correction method is also independently supported by data from systematic experiments of open-channel flows over fixed rough beds with various width-to-depth ratios.

How to cite: Pähtz, T., Chen, Y., Yu, H., Wei, M., and Duran, O.: Bed shear stress in bedload transport: new methods of sidewall correction and bed surface determination, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16411, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16411, 2026.

EGU26-16480 | Orals | GM2.6

Vertical Velocity Profiles in Erosive Landslides 

Ivo Baselt, Michael Krautblatter, Shiva Pudasaini, and Katharina Wetterauer

Vertical velocity profiles in erosive multiphase mass flows control how momentum is transferred from a moving landslide to the underlying bed and therefore govern erosion, entrainment, and mass enhancement. Although erosion is known to increase landslide mobility, the particle-scale mechanisms by which internal shear drives sediment mobilisation remain poorly constrained. In particular, the vertical distribution of velocity in erosive granular flows is largely unknown, despite providing the critical link between flow dynamics and bed response. Field measurements document a wide range of velocity profile shapes but lack the spatial resolution required to quantify shear close to the bed. By contrast, previous laboratory studies either failed to resolve internal kinematics under erosive conditions or relied on artificial, rounded particles that suppress the frictional interactions characteristic of natural sediments. Consequently, differences between landslide velocity and the velocity of the eroded bed, as well as the vertical shear rates underpinning erosion-entrainment-mobility formulations, remain largely unconstrained by empirical data.

Here we present a new experimental dataset that directly addresses this gap. We conducted controlled laboratory experiments on landslide-like granular flows moving over an erodible bed composed of naturally crushed sand-gravel mixtures. A measurement approach based on Particle Image Velocimetry combines lateral imaging with plan-view observations, allowing continuous vertical velocity profiles to be reconstructed across the full flow depth during active erosion and entrainment. The experiments include dry granular flows and flows with varying water content, two representative grain-size classes, and systematic comparisons between erosive runs and reference cases over a rigid bed.

The results show that both the inertia of the erodible material and the time-dependent erosion rate fundamentally alter the vertical velocity profile. The velocity of the moving landslide and that of the erodible bed can now be clearly distinguished, enabling direct calculation of entrainment velocity and erosion drift. Shear mainly occurs near the bed-flow interface, evolving dynamically as material is entrained and creating velocity gradients that cannot be captured by depth-averaged approximations. These measurements provide the first quantitative characterisation of vertical shear under fully erosive conditions using realistic sediment properties. By resolving particle-scale velocity gradients, this study establishes the experimental basis required to calibrate and verify erosion-mobility models that explicitly depend on shear-rate-controlled entrainment, thereby advancing the predictive modelling of erosive landslides.

How to cite: Baselt, I., Krautblatter, M., Pudasaini, S., and Wetterauer, K.: Vertical Velocity Profiles in Erosive Landslides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16480, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16480, 2026.

EGU26-16521 | ECS | Orals | GM2.6

Geomorphic and sedimentary records for deciphering the landform evolution at the Damodar and Barakar River confluence 

Surajit Kundu, Subhajit Sinha, and Sk Mafizul Haque

Fluvial dynamics hinge on sediment erosion, transport, and deposition. These are the forcing factors responsible for changing channel morphology and landform evolution. Our study analyses these processes at the confluence of the Damodar River and the Barakar River in eastern India. It is a transitional zone between Archaean-Proterozoic crystalline rocks, lower Gondwana formations, and Quaternary alluvium. The landscape remains in a constant state of change, shaped by the annual pulse of flood and profoundly altered by two hundred years of anthropogenic activity.

An integrated framework evaluates boundary conditions, morphologic responses, fluvial drivers, and terrace archives. Despite comparable flow velocities in active channels, rivers transport distinct grain sizes and lithologies. The right-bank remnants of the Damodar River evidence past high-energy regimes and are absent on the left bank. Terrace sequences are unpaired, sedimentologic units are unmatched, and bank structures preserve ancient high-velocity signatures.

How to cite: Kundu, S., Sinha, S., and Haque, S. M.: Geomorphic and sedimentary records for deciphering the landform evolution at the Damodar and Barakar River confluence, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16521, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16521, 2026.

Coupled interactions between climate, vegetation, and geomorphic processes control sediment export from rapidly eroding badlands; however, their relative roles under future climate scenarios remain poorly constrained. We present a coupled landscape evolution model (LEM) and a dynamic vegetation model, CLIMBAD, applied to the Laval catchment (Draix-Bléone CZO, SE France) in a badland setting, to quantify how fluvial and hillslope erosion, together with frost weathering and vegetation dynamics, drive historical and projected sediment fluxes. The LEM is forced by temperatures (acting on frost weathering) and precipitation events, including depth, duration, and peak intensity. The dynamic vegetation model is calibrated to 1982-2021 vegetation maps and driven by topographic and climatic variables. Future climate (2022-2099) is generated using a stochastic weather generator calibrated on observations from historical data and future projections obtained from a regional climate model.

Model evaluation for 1985-2021 shows that coupling dynamic vegetation to the LEM improves agreement with observed annual sediment fluxes at the catchment outlet (i.e., R2 increased from ~0.60 to ~0.66), demonstrating the importance of vegetation-erosion feedbacks. To isolate climatic controls, we ran four scenarios for future climate: (i) changing temperature (T) and precipitation (P), (ii) constant T with changing P, (iii) changing T with constant P, and (iv) constant T and P. These results help disentangle the relative contribution of a change in the precipitation regime and a change in temperature on sediment fluxes in a coupled system, with direct implications for sediment hazard assessment in climate‑sensitive badland landscapes.

How to cite: Sharma, H., Le Bouteiller, C., and Boulangeat, I.: Coupling Landscape Evolution and Dynamic Vegetation Models to Simulate Sediment Fluxes under Historical and Future Climate in the Laval Catchment (Draix-Bleone CZO, SE France), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19059, 2026.

EGU26-19202 | ECS | Posters on site | GM2.6

Surrogate-based sensitivity analysis and calibration for the hydro-sedimentary modeling of an elementary agricultural catchment 

marylin rubi uchasara huarachi, veronique gervais, John armitage, Christine franke, and claire alary

Landscape evolution models typically solve three main processes: the conversion of rainfall to runoff, flow routing, erosion, and sediment transport, for a given precipitation time series, and a topographic surface. They can help to predict watershed dynamics in response to potential extreme events and anticipate potential damages. To that purpose, models must accurately represent the studied catchment and reproduce available observations, such as water discharge and sediment flux. This requires adjusting the model parameters representing the catchment characteristics, which can be challenging due to long simulation times, many uncertain characteristics and modeling errors.  

This study focuses on modeling the Pommeroye catchment — a 0.54 km² elementary watershed in the Canche River basin in northern France. The objective is to identify models able to reproduce the twenty extreme events identified in the data collected during the 2016-2017 hydrological year for discharge and suspended sediment at the catchment outlet. Topography is derived from a high-resolution (1m) LiDAR-derived digital elevation model. CAESAR-Lisflood is considered for dynamic simulation. The rainfall-to-runoff is modeled with a local storage term that has an exponential recession and is controlled by the water storage depth parameter “m”. From the generated surface runoff, the model continuously computes the flux of water and sediment across cells. Flow routing is solved via a reduced solution to the shallow water equations, where the friction term is computed via the Manning-Strickler model and hence controlled by the Manning’s roughness. Sediment transport follows the Wilcock and Crowe parameterization, with multiple controlling parameters. For the Pommeroye catchment, model run times are long, e.g. up to 24 hours on 36 CPUs, limiting the number of simulations that can be performed in practice. To overcome this, we developed a workflow combining machine learning-based surrogate models with sensitivity analysis and calibration. Gaussian processes are considered to mimic CAESAR-Lisflood from a limited training set and provide fast estimations of the simulator outputs for any input parameter values within given ranges. Instead of CAESAR-Lisflood, these predictions are used for variance-based sensitivity analysis (Sobol’ indices) and optimization (Efficient Global Optimization), drastically reducing the computation times.

A first sensitivity analysis highlighted that the m parameter mainly affects water discharge. However, no single m parameter value enables the model to correctly reproduce all data: the best fit is obtained with increasing values throughout the year, starting with low values in winter. In a second study, we thus added flexibility with time-dependent monthly values for m, leading to an improved match with water discharge data. Finally, the EGO approach - with fixed monthly m values - was considered to better reproduce suspended sediment data, identifying settling velocity and Manning’s roughness as key factors.

How to cite: uchasara huarachi, M. R., gervais, V., armitage, J., franke, C., and alary, C.: Surrogate-based sensitivity analysis and calibration for the hydro-sedimentary modeling of an elementary agricultural catchment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19202, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19202, 2026.

EGU26-21488 | Orals | GM2.6

Evaluation of convection-permitting models for rainfall erosivity in an Alpine region 

Marco Borga, Ahmed Mansoor, Eleonora Dallan, and Marra Francesco

Rainfall erosivity is a major driver of soil erosion and is highly sensitive to short-duration precipitation extremes, which are expected to intensify under climate change. Great advancement on climate data have been seen in the last decade, and convection-permitting climate models (CPMs) offer new opportunities to simulate rainfall characteristics relevant to erosivity. However, their performance in complex terrain remains insufficiently quantified.

We evaluate rainfall erosivity (RUSLE R-factor) simulated by a nine-member CPM ensemble from the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study on Convective Phenomena over Europe, focusing on the Great Alpine Region. CPM estimates are compared with long-term, high-resolution rain-gauge observations from ~500 stations spanning a wide elevation range. We quantify and apply a temporal adjustment to reconcile hourly model output with 10-minute observations, then model performance vs observations is assessed for key erosivity-related variables, including rainfall intensity, event depth, frequency of erosive events, and mean annual erosivity. The CPM ensemble reproduces the spatial variability of rainfall erosivity with good skill and overall low bias, but exhibits clear elevation-dependent biases. Erosivity is underestimated at low elevations and increasingly overestimated at higher elevations, reflecting biases in rainfall intensity and/or event frequency. While low-elevation biases are largely consistent with sampling variability, high-elevation biases are predominantly systematic.

These results highlight the potential of CPMs for rainfall erosivity assessment and the importance of accounting for elevation-dependent biases in mountainous regions.

How to cite: Borga, M., Mansoor, A., Dallan, E., and Francesco, M.: Evaluation of convection-permitting models for rainfall erosivity in an Alpine region, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21488, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21488, 2026.

EGU26-22114 | Posters on site | GM2.6

A model for the fluvial transport of different size and density classes 

Ana M Ricardo, Rui M L Ferreira, Arianna Varrani, Massimo Guerrero, Pawel Rowinski, and Magdalena Mrokowska

A numerical model is developed for the transport of mixed natural sediment and plastic particles, accounting for multiple size classes and material densities. The conceptual model drawn from a classico Hirano layered description. It includes a transport layer, an active layer and a substratum. In the transport layer mass conservation consists on fraction-wise Exner equations, including pickup and deposition rates, convective and diffusive transport in the transport layer, and local accumulation for each size and density class. Convective fluxes are the product of particle activity for each size and density classes (the conservative variables) and particle bulk velocity. The latter computed using a modified Luque and van Beek formulation, adapted to account for different sizes and particle densities. Thresholds for incipient motion are taken as calibration coefficients. A flux limiter is implemented to avoid over-saturation of the transport layer and to ensure positivity of particle activity. The pickup function is derived from probabilistic descriptions of sediment entrainment (taking into account density) and deposition rates are functions of actual particle activity and sedimentation velocity. The dynamics of the active layer is determined by empirical availability functions by size. The volume of the active layer is kept constant and scaling with the initial d90 of the mixture. Instantaneous mixing is assumed. As a consequence, during deposition the composition of the active is transferred to the substratum. During erosion, the composition of the substratum is incorporated in the active layer.

The model is calibrated with laboratory experiments conducted under steady and overfeeding flow conditions. Two flumes were employed. A 5.2 m long, 25 cm wide, and 35 cm deep flume was used to conduct flat-bed experiments in two scenarios: (i) homogeneous bed composed of plastic granules, and (ii) gravel or sand bed mixed with plastic granules, which were manually seeded at clastic bed surface for different covering percentage. A 12 m long, 40 cm wide channel was used to conduct gravel-sand sediment sorting experiments, leading to surface coarsening, and overfeeding experiments. Calibration consisted in finding best fits to threshold values of grain velocities, ensuring the observed equal mobility characteristics of poorly sediments with the same density. After calibration, the simulations reproduce the observed grave-sand sheet propagation in the overfeeding experiments. Simulations of the tests of different density classes indicate that coarse, low-density particles exhibit higher mobility than equally sized quartz particles, while the mobility of fine, low-density particles is comparable to that of natural sand of similar size. The model provides a consistent and conservative framework for representing the coupled transport and sorting of sediment–plastic mixtures in open-channel flows.

 

Acknowledgement: This works was supported by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) through project Project DT4Rivers COMPETE2030‐FEDER‐00760800 and European Union through Interreg Atlantic 2021-2017 project TRAP – EAPA_0122/2024

How to cite: Ricardo, A. M., L Ferreira, R. M., Varrani, A., Guerrero, M., Rowinski, P., and Mrokowska, M.: A model for the fluvial transport of different size and density classes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22114, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22114, 2026.

EGU26-3833 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3 | Highlight

Risk near hydroelectric structures – Determination of critical velocity thresholds for river users (swimmers and floating crafts) 

Thomas Morlot, Arnaud Belleville, and Matthieu Le Brun

Whether we talk about safety reasons, energy production or regulation, water resources management is one of EDF’s (Électricité De France, French hydropower company) main concerns.

The range of water-based activities is steadily increasing : paddleboarding, canoeing, float-tube fishing, these floating crafts are now widely available at low cost and are becoming popular on rivers. EDF’s hydroelectric facility operators are regularly faced with the intrusion of swimmers and watercraft near the structures. This occurs, for example, beyond the restricted zone upstream of hydroelectric installations. This zone, usually marked by a line of buoys, is intended to prevent drowning accidents that could result from the start-up of a turbine or any other system capable of creating a suction current. Similar risks exist downstream of the structures, where currents and depths attract swimmers and floating crafts.

Given the risky behavior of river users, EDF’s challenge is to secure the vicinity of its installations by assessing the danger and proposing appropriate countermeasures. In this context, EDF aims at determining current thresholds beyond which the swimming ability and maneuvering capacity of floating crafts (paddleboards, canoes, float-tubes) for different user profiles (children, adults, athletes) are no longer sufficient to escape the danger of being sucked in or swept away. This study therefore only concerns areas where users cannot stand in the river. Such work will enable the company to implement the necessary measures to secure zones considered hazardous near hydroelectric structures.

To carry out this work, tests in collaboration with members of the SDIS 81 Water Rescue team were conducted at the Millau whitewater stadium to determine the current speeds beyond which swimmers and light watercraft can no longer escape danger. These trials, carried out under controlled and safe conditions, involved scenarios of swimming and maneuvering floating crafts in currents ranging from weak to strong at the Millau water sports facility. The objective was to assess the swimming and mobility capacities of swimmers and non-motorized watercraft (paddleboards, canoes, float-tubes) across different current speed ranges.

All the tools routinely used by EDF hydrometric teams to measure flow velocities were deployed (ADCP, current meter, SVR radar, LSPIV) to better characterize the different current speeds tested.

The results obtained made it possible to identify the threshold values sought, based on current speed and the presence or not of turbulence. Finally, a theoretical approach based on Newton’s second law helped corroborate the empirical results obtained during the tests.

How to cite: Morlot, T., Belleville, A., and Le Brun, M.: Risk near hydroelectric structures – Determination of critical velocity thresholds for river users (swimmers and floating crafts), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3833, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3833, 2026.

EGU26-4747 | ECS | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Field Estimation of Manning’s Roughness and Its Application to CSA Discharge Computation during Flood Events 

Lee Ikhan, Kim Dongsu, Kim Dohyeon, Seo Gibeom, and Yun Jonghyeon

River discharge is a key indicator for water resources management and flood forecasting; however, the traditional single stage–discharge rating curve used for its estimation produces systematic errors under unsteady flow conditions due to hysteresis. In this study, field-measured Manning’s roughness coefficients (n) are first estimated at Naju Bridge on the Yeongsan River by combining H-ADCP–measured discharges with water-surface slopes derived from upstream and downstream stage observations, using the continuous slope–area (CSA) framework in inverse form. The resulting 10-min n time series for the 2020 flood events is then segmented by stage to represent cross-sectional controls on roughness. These stage-wise n segments are subsequently applied to the CSA method to compute discharge time series for the 2019 and 2021 flood events, and the estimates are validated against observations. The estimated n exhibits a consistent stage-dependent pattern, including a rapid decrease at low stages, convergence at intermediate stages, an inflection point near the onset of rapid cross-sectional expansion, and an increase at high stages, reaching n ≈ 0.08–0.09 during extreme floods—values higher than those from conventional empirical formulas and design criteria. Using the measured and stage-segmented n, the CSA-based discharge estimates successfully reproduce hysteresis across six flood events, achieving R² ≥ 0.94 and peak error ≤ 3%, although nRMSE exceeds 10% under low-flow conditions. Overall, applying field-derived roughness substantially improves CSA discharge estimation and supports the practical use of roughness monitoring and CSA-based computation in rivers subject to unsteady flow.

How to cite: Ikhan, L., Dongsu, K., Dohyeon, K., Gibeom, S., and Jonghyeon, Y.: Field Estimation of Manning’s Roughness and Its Application to CSA Discharge Computation during Flood Events, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4747, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4747, 2026.

Sediment transport is a key process in fluvial geomorphology, particularly in gravel-bed rivers, as it controls channel morphology and has important implications for river management and restoration. This process occurs in three main phases: entrainment, movement, and deposition, and is influenced by factors such as particle size, shape, density, angularity, imbrication, and the ratio between transported sediment size and bed material.  Although field data on sediment transport are essential, they are often difficult to obtain. To overcome this, a wide range of monitoring techniques has been developed, including direct samplers such as the Helley-Smith sampler and bedload traps, acoustic sensors such as geophones and hydrophones, and laboratory experiments that allow sediment dynamics to be studied under controlled conditions. In parallel, sediment transport models rely strongly on grain size distribution, either using the full distribution or representative metrics such as D50 or D84. Since the 1990s, sediment tracking has become increasingly important, with gravel tagging emerging as a widely used method for analysing sediment mobility and travel distances. Technological advances have significantly improved recovery rates, particularly through the use of electronic tags. Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT) tags are now commonly used due to their small size, low cost, long lifespan, and passive operation. Active tags, such as VHF and UHF, enable continuous tracking via fixed antennas but are larger and more expensive. In this work, we used active tags to estimate the volume of sediment mobilised by deploying RFID‑tagged gravels, thereby improving our understanding of sediment movement through the concept of virtual velocity. Tag seeding was carried out at four sites upstream of the first fixed antenna. Preliminary results show that gravels in the 45–181 mm size range (85% of all seeded material) have been mobilised over distances of approximately 700 m and detected by the antennas, whereas gravels in the coarsest size classes have not yet been recorded. In conclusion, higher‑magnitude events are required for the coarsest particle sizes to become mobile and be detected by the first antenna. Although several low‑magnitude events have occurred, very few of the mobilised gravels have been detected by the second antenna located downstream of the first, suggesting that they may have become buried or trapped in pools.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: This work is funded by the European Research Council (ERC) through the Horizon Europe 2021 Starting Grant program under REA grant agreement number 101039181 - SEDAHEAD.

How to cite: Juez, C. and Rabanaque, M. P.: Sediment mobility in a gravel-bed river (Aragón Subordán River, Central Spanish Pyrenees) assessed using active RFID tags, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7104, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7104, 2026.

River flow conditions at high latitudes show strong seasonal variability due to changes in hydrological conditions throughout the year. During winter, ice cover reduces flow velocity. In spring, snowmelt increases discharge and often results in flooding. During summer and autumn, rainfall can cause temporary increases in discharge. High-latitude fluvial environments are particularly sensitive to climate change, which has been found to have a stronger impact in these regions than in rivers at lower latitudes. This study investigated seasonal flow dynamics in a single meander bend of the Oulankajoki River in Finland during winter, spring, and autumn over one hydrological year using an Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP). Vertical ADCP surveys provided detailed cross-sectional velocity profiles and flow directions throughout the water column in each field campaign.

Results showed significant variation between seasons. Winter ice cover significantly reduced near-surface velocities and shifted the high-velocity core (HVC) to mid-depth, whereas in open-water conditions the highest velocities occurred closer to the surface. In open-channel conditions, peak velocities were observed in the shallow upstream and deep downstream sections of the bend, while in winter flow decelerated downstream of the bend apex.  During winter and autumn, the HVC was located near the inner bank in the upstream section of the meander bend and gradually shifted to the outer bank before the bend apex. Downstream of the apex, the HVC migrated from the outer bank toward the center of the channel. Unlike in winter and autumn, the spring flood caused the HVC to migrate from the upstream of the meander, flow directly across the point bar, and shift toward the outer bank at the apex.

The study is now being extended by integrating continuous monitoring of flow conditions using a side-looking Doppler current meter. This enables long-term, high-resolution observations, including ice-covered periods. Combining vertical and horizontal ADCP measurements is expected to provide a rare, spatially comprehensive and temporally continuous dataset. This integration enables improved characterization of flow variability and seasonal dynamics in high latitude rivers, thereby enhancing hydrological analyses and process-based modeling.

How to cite: Korkiakoski, K.: From short-term vertical ADCP measurements to continuous Side-Looking current meter monitoring in a high-latitude river, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7246, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7246, 2026.

EGU26-7926 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Applying image velocimetry on curved free‑surface geometries of known shape such as spillways or free-nappe: the OrthoCyd method. 

Guillaume Bodart, Alexandre Hauet, Jérôme Le Coz, and Magali Jodeau

Ensuring the safety of spillways during flood events is a critical challenge for dam operators and public authorities. Accurate knowledge of flow velocities along spillways and downstream of ski jumps is essential for assessing the erosive potential of high‑velocity flows and preventing structural damage. However, intrusive velocity measurement techniques are unsuitable in such configurations due to limited accessibility and the very high flow speeds involved. Image‑based velocimetry offers an attractive alternative, providing instantaneous, spatially distributed velocity fields from a single viewpoint. Yet, conventional image-based techniques rely on the assumption of a planar free surface, which becomes invalid for curved flows such as those encountered on spillway chutes or nappe flows. Surface curvature induces geometric distortions in ortho‑rectified images, leading to significant velocity errors.

Stereo‑vision systems can be used to reconstruct non‑planar free surfaces, but their deployment on full‑scale spillways is complex and costly as it requires synchronized cameras with high spatial and temporal resolution. To overcome these limitations, we propose OrthoCyd, a novel single‑camera orthorectification method dedicated to flows whose free‑surface geometry is known a priori and corresponds to a right‑cylindrical surface (i.e., a planar surface which is curved along the longitudinal dimension). This approach is well suited to spillway chutes, with the assumption that the free surface follows the underlying curved geometry. OrthoCyd enable consistent displacement measurements with any image-velocimetry method (block matching, tracking, optical flow, spatio-temporal approach). This method extends the applicability of image‑based velocimetry to non‑planar free‑surface flows while maintaining the simplicity and practicality of single‑camera acquisition systems.

Two applications illustrate the method: a laboratory experiment on a free‑nappe flow, and a field application on an operating spillway. These examples demonstrate that OrthoCyd provides reliable velocity measurements in both controlled and full‑scale conditions.

How to cite: Bodart, G., Hauet, A., Le Coz, J., and Jodeau, M.: Applying image velocimetry on curved free‑surface geometries of known shape such as spillways or free-nappe: the OrthoCyd method., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7926, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7926, 2026.

EGU26-8486 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Relationship between Cross-Sectional Mean Velocity and Surface Velocity in Rivers 

Sinjae Lee, Bokjin Jang, and Jihea Lee

Recently, non-contact current meters (radar, image-based) are widely used to measure the discharge of rivers, and research and cases of calculating discharge by applying surface velocity-based index velocity method and velocity distribution method are increasing. To apply index velocity or velocity distribution methods based on surface velocity, the relationship between the surface velocity used as the index velocity and the cross-sectional average velocity must be known. In general, in straight channels with sufficiently large channel width, the ratio of the cross-sectional average velocity to the maximum velocity (ϕ(M)) is known to be between 0.6 and 0.7.

In this study, the relationship between the maximum surface velocity and the cross-sectional average velocity was analyzed. Using 179 flow measurement data from 60 sites, the ratio of the cross-sectional average velocity to the maximum surface velocity (≈ϕ(M)) was calculated. As a result, ϕ(M) was analyzed to have an average of 0.64(correlation coefficient R=0.86). When the relationship between the two elements was established as a linear equation, the slope was calculated to be 0.6306 (R=0.74). The ratio of ϕ(M) and the velocity coefficient α (ratio of reference discharge/surface velocity discharge (α=1 applied)) was calculated to be 0.75 on average (range 0.51 to 0.91), and when the relationship between the two elements was established as a linear equation, the slope was calculated to be 0.7586 (R= 0.68). The correlation coefficient between ϕ(M) and the maximum surface velocity/average surface velocity of the cross-section was calculated to be -0.84, indicating that ϕ(M) shows a strong correlation with the distribution characteristics of the surface velocity. When the relationship between the two factors was established as an exponential equation, the coefficient of determination was calculated to be 0.76, confirming that the value of ϕ(M) can be estimated and used through surface velocity measurements.

keyword : average velocity, surface velocity, index velocity, ϕ(M)

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by Korea Environment Industry & Technology Institute (KEITI) through Research and development on the technology for securing the water resources stability in response to future change Program, funded by Korea Ministry of Climate, Energy and Enviroment (MCEE)(RS-2024-00336020)

How to cite: Lee, S., Jang, B., and Lee, J.: Relationship between Cross-Sectional Mean Velocity and Surface Velocity in Rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8486, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8486, 2026.

EGU26-8722 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

An Integrated Regression Model for Estimating the Velocity Index in Non-Contact River Discharge Measurements 

Tae Hee Lee, Jung Hwan Chun, Seung Ho Park, Tae Woong Ok, and Woo Jin Kim

Non-contact river discharge measurement techniques, such as radar-based surface velocity sensors, are increasingly applied in hydrological observations due to their advantages in operational safety and accessibility during flood events. However, these sensors directly measure only surface velocity, and reliable discharge estimation therefore requires conversion to depth-averaged velocity using an accurately estimated velocity index (α). In practice, α is often treated as a constant or determined empirically, which can lead to substantial uncertainty, particularly under unsteady flow conditions. 

This study proposes a regression-based framework to quantify the velocity index as a function of hydraulic and flow variability characteristics, using field observations from natural rivers. Both Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements and radar-based surface velocity data are employed. First, reliable depth-averaged velocities and velocity profiles are obtained from ADCP observations, from which reference velocity index values are derived. Subsequently, corresponding α values for radar observations are generated using stage–discharge relationships, and the regression dataset is expanded by integrating both ADCP- and radar-based cases.

The velocity index is formulated using a hybrid multiplicative regression model incorporating water surface slope, channel aspect ratio, and the rate of water level change (dH/dt). In particular, the inclusion of the water level change rate explicitly accounts for unsteady flow effects occurring during rising and falling stages of flood events. Model performance and robustness are comprehensively evaluated using adjusted coefficient of determination, root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error, and variance inflation factor to assess both predictive accuracy and multicollinearity.

Results indicate that the three-variable model consisting of water surface slope, channel aspect ratio, and water level change rate achieves the most favorable balance, exhibiting the lowest prediction errors while maintaining low multicollinearity. The incorporation of dH/dt is shown to effectively represent hysteresis effects in the relationship between surface velocity and depth-averaged velocity during flood conditions, significantly improving model stability.

The regression model proposed in this study is developed based on an integrated dataset combining ADCP and radar observations and provides a velocity index formulation that is applicable across a wide range of hydraulic conditions, including unsteady flood flows, without dependence on a specific sensor type. The results confirm that the proposed model contributes to improving the reliability and consistency of depth-averaged velocity estimation in non-contact river discharge measurements.

Keywords : Non-contact river discharge measurement, Velocity index (mean velocity conversion coefficient), Surface velocity, Unsteady flow conditions, Regression model

 

Acknowledgements 
This work was supported by Korea Environment Industry & Technology Institute (KEITI) through Research and development on the technology for securing the water resources stability in response to future change Program, funded by Korea Ministry of Climate, Energy and Enviroment (MCEE)(RS-2024-00336020)
 

How to cite: Lee, T. H., Chun, J. H., Park, S. H., Ok, T. W., and Kim, W. J.: An Integrated Regression Model for Estimating the Velocity Index in Non-Contact River Discharge Measurements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8722, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8722, 2026.

EGU26-9919 | ECS | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

River surface velocity estimation using UAS-borne Doppler radar and continuous wavelet transform 

Zhen Zhou, Xinqi Hu, Fabian Merk, Markus Disse, Elisa Caccamo, Silvia Barbetta, Daniele Giordan, Angelica Tarpanelli, Villads Flendsted Jensen, Michael Andreas Pedersen, Sune Nielsen, Daniel Wennerberg, Viktor Fagerström, David Gustafsson, and Peter Bauer-Gottwein

Accurate measurement of river surface velocity is essential for hydrological monitoring, flood forecasting, and water resource management. In contrast with traditional in-situ point measurements using electromagnetic current meters, remote sensing techniques offer significant advantages for river surface velocity estimation, including rapid data acquisition, lower operational costs, and contactless operation. Based on Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) equipped with Doppler radar becomes more attractive due to it is suitable for real-time velocity determination and has fewer limitations.

The UAS-borne Doppler radar estimates river surface velocity by detecting the frequency shift of backscattered microwaves, with the drone operating at a controlled hover altitude of approximately 4 meters above the water surface during field measurements. However, the propeller wash (propwash) generated by the UAS distorts the radar return signal, resulting in a composite velocity measurement that combines the true river surface flow with the locally induced airflow velocity. To isolate the true river velocity, we introduce a bidirectional observation scheme in which the same surface footprint is measured from two opposing directions. The Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) algorithm is employed to extract the mixed velocity components from each directional dataset. By analytically reconciling these bidirectional measurements, the downwash contribution is effectively removed, thereby yielding a refined estimate of the true river surface velocity.

In this study, river surface velocity was analysed across more than 50 cross-sections spanning four distinct rivers, covering a broad velocity range from 20 cm/s to 250 cm/s. To validate the velocity estimates obtained from the UAS-Doppler radar and CWT method, comparisons were made against in-situ measurements collected using instruments such as the OTT MF Pro, Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCP), and flow trackers. Quantitative analysis confirmed that the UAS-Doppler radar system provides reliable river flow velocity measurements while offering enhanced efficiency in post-processing workflows.

How to cite: Zhou, Z., Hu, X., Merk, F., Disse, M., Caccamo, E., Barbetta, S., Giordan, D., Tarpanelli, A., Flendsted Jensen, V., Andreas Pedersen, M., Nielsen, S., Wennerberg, D., Fagerström, V., Gustafsson, D., and Bauer-Gottwein, P.: River surface velocity estimation using UAS-borne Doppler radar and continuous wavelet transform, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9919, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9919, 2026.

EGU26-10110 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Ensuring Data Quality in River Discharge Measurements: Strategies and Future Directions 

Silke Kainz, Martin Hasenhündl, and Steffen Büchen

Ensuring high-quality river discharge measurements is fundamental for flood protection, forecasting and assessing water availability under changing climate conditions. While modern technologies such as Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCP), camera-based surface velocimetry and emerging sensor technologies offer advanced capabilities, they also present new challenges in terms of quality assurance compared to traditional instruments such as rotating-element current meters.

Although the modern measurement methods mentioned above are already in use in many countries, standardized testing procedures are still lacking. Coupled with the complexity of device application and data evaluation, and the absence of standardized operating protocols in these areas, the accuracy of these methods may be compromised compared to conventional techniques. Addressing these issues requires innovative, internationally coordinated approaches to quality assurance that can adapt to future developments.

Several strategies have proven effective in improving data reliability:

  • Routine device checks and maintenance to guarantee functionality and detect early signs of malfunction.
  • Regular intercomparison measurements to identify systematic and random errors, highlight operational differences, and ensure comparability of results.
  • Continuous training and experience exchange to reduce operational errors and strengthen technical expertise.
  • Development of independent software solutions and adoption of open data principles to reduce black box solutions, enable robust data analysis and foster innovation.
  • Creation of guidelines and institutionalization of standards for measurement methods, intercomparison programs and device testing.
  • Promotion of research and development to advance measurement techniques and adapt to emerging technologies.

Our work highlights effective measures and underscores the need for coordinated international initiatives to establish common standards. By combining research, operational experience, and international collaboration, we can collectively strengthen the reliability of river monitoring worldwide.

How to cite: Kainz, S., Hasenhündl, M., and Büchen, S.: Ensuring Data Quality in River Discharge Measurements: Strategies and Future Directions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10110, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10110, 2026.

EGU26-11565 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Using Electrical Conductivity as a Proxy for Q: A Madman’s Delusion or Elusive Science 

Gabriel Sentlinger, Florentin Hofmeister, Michele Combatti, Alessio Gentile, Gabriele Chiogna, Steven Weijs, Alexandre Hauet, David Mindham, and Rhys Mahannah

Salt Dilution (SD) is an accurate, safe, relatively inexpensive, and easily employed method to measure water flow in turbulent streams and rivers. Often, Temperature Compensated Electrical Conductivity (EC.T) sensors are deployed continuously in Automated Salt Dilution (AQ) flow measurement systems. Recent studies (Cano-Paoli, K., Chiogna, G., and Bellin, A. 2019) have examined how well a continuous EC.T record can be used in regression analysis to estimate the Discharge. EC.T has the benefit of not requiring a stable Pressure Transducer (PT) elevation and avoids other complications of a stage-discharge station, such as shifting hydraulic controls. However, EC.T can be impacted by sediment fouling, aeration, and seasonal/storm event-related changes to the relationship with Q. This study examines how robust a combined stage-discharge-EC.T time series can be for the generation of a maximum likelihood flow hydrograph. This relationship can be useful for infilling missing data and determining hydraulic control shifts in the stage-discharge relationship. Examples are presented from several mountainous catchments.

How to cite: Sentlinger, G., Hofmeister, F., Combatti, M., Gentile, A., Chiogna, G., Weijs, S., Hauet, A., Mindham, D., and Mahannah, R.: Using Electrical Conductivity as a Proxy for Q: A Madman’s Delusion or Elusive Science, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11565, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11565, 2026.

EGU26-15987 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Characteristics of Surface-to-Depth-Averaged Velocity Conversion Factors Based on ADCP Measurements 

Kisung Lee, Sinjae Lee, and Soojeen Yang

This study investigates surface-to-depth-averaged velocity relationships for discharge estimation across a wide range of river scales and flow conditions. The analysis focuses on conversion factors used in surface-velocity-based discharge estimation and their hydraulic controls. A total of 172 ADCP datasets collected from Korean rivers between 2016 and 2018 were reprocessed using an updated version of QRev to obtain consistent and reliable velocity and discharge estimates. Surface velocities were estimated using QRev-based extrapolation and power-law velocity profile methods, and conversion factors were calculated as the ratio of depth-averaged velocity to surface velocity.

The mean conversion factor was 0.88 for the extrapolation method and 0.85 for the power-law method, with most values ranging between 0.80 and 0.90. The estimated uncertainty was approximately 7–8%. Analysis of hydraulic variables showed that conversion factors increased with water surface width and mean depth, whereas weak negative trends were observed with mean velocity and shape factor. Correlation coefficients were generally below 0.5, indicating substantial scatter and limitations in generalizing conversion factors based on single hydraulic parameters.

Acknowledgements
This work was supported by Korea Environment Industry & Technology Institute (KEITI) through Research and Development on the Technology for Securing the Water Resources Stability in Response to Future Change program, funded by Korea Ministry of Climate, Energy and Environment (MCEE) (RS-2024-00336020)

Keywords : Surface velocity, Depth-averaged velocity, Conversion factor, ADCP, Natural rivers

 

How to cite: Lee, K., Lee, S., and Yang, S.: Characteristics of Surface-to-Depth-Averaged Velocity Conversion Factors Based on ADCP Measurements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15987, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15987, 2026.

EGU26-17351 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

RUHM: An open-source tool for rapid stage–discharge Rating curve Uncertainty estimation using Hydraulic Modelling and UAV data 

Ida Westerberg, Reinert Karlsen, Valentin Mansanarez, and Axel Lavenius

We present RUHM (Rating curve Uncertainty estimation using Hydraulic Modelling), a new open-source tool for rapid estimation of stage–discharge rating curves and their uncertainty at river discharge monitoring stations. A rating curve models the relation between stage (water level) and discharge at a river location and is used to derive discharge time series from water level at most discharge monitoring stations worldwide. However, many stage-discharge field gaugings are needed to estimate rating curves and their uncertainty using traditional approaches. RUHM combines a 1D hydraulic model with Bayesian inference and uncertainty estimation techniques to more rapidly estimate a rating curve and its associated uncertainty with a minimum of three low to middle flow gaugings. The data needed to use RUHM can be effectively collected using drone/UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) surveys, reducing field efforts compared with traditional approaches. Our open-source implementation of RUHM is written in Python and features a graphical user interface, a user manual, two workflows for pre-processing UAV-derived and/or traditionally surveyed data to generate the RUHM input data files, and example datasets with UAV data. Applications of RUHM to Swedish stations show well-constrained and robust uncertainty estimates where the 1D-flow assumption holds, and wider uncertainty intervals where it does not.

How to cite: Westerberg, I., Karlsen, R., Mansanarez, V., and Lavenius, A.: RUHM: An open-source tool for rapid stage–discharge Rating curve Uncertainty estimation using Hydraulic Modelling and UAV data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17351, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17351, 2026.

EGU26-18005 | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Rating curve estimation in ungauged basins using coupled hydrological–hydraulic modelling and multi-source remote sensing and UAS data 

Xinqi Hu, Zhen Zhou, Faizan Anwar, Ye Tuo, Sune Nielsen, Fabian Merk, Peter Bauer-Gottwein, and Markus Disse

Discharge observations mainly rely on gauged water levels through rating curves (RC), whose reliable establishment requires long term measurements that are often unavailable due to high maintenance costs, complex terrain, and political reasons. As a result, many basins worldwide remain ungauged, making RC estimation particularly challenging. Recent advances in remote sensing, including satellite altimetry, provide new opportunities for discharge and RC estimation in ungauged basins. However, several challenges remain, including parameter equifinality in discharge inversion from water level, oversimplified assumptions of channel resistance and cross-sectional instability in morphologically active rivers. While Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) enable retrieval of channel geometry in complex and hard-to-reach river reaches which imposes an important constraint to mitigate parameter equifinality in hydrodynamic modeling, a systematic assessment of how UAS and remote sensing observations can be combined to reliably estimate rating curves in fully ungauged basins remains lacking.

Funded by European Union's Horizon Europe project UAWOS (Unoccupied Airborne Water Observing System), this study presents a RC estimation framework specifically for ungauged basins using multisource remote sensing, UAS data, and a coupled lumped rainfall–runoff and one-dimensional hydrodynamic model. The model is fully forced and calibrated using remote sensing and UAS observations only. To address parameter equifinality, we first perform a temporal-scale dependent parameter sensitivity analysis to assess the identifiability of model parameters given availability of different remote sensing observations. Based on the sensitivity results, a multi-staged Bayesian calibration strategy is introduced, in which each observation type constrains only the parameter subspace supported by its information content. Isar River, Germany was chosen to test and evaluate the feasibility of the proposed methodology.

Overall, the proposed framework provides a transferable theoretical and technical pathway for estimating RC in ungauged river basins, demonstrating the potential of combining UAS and remote sensing data to derive RC, without relying on prior discharge measurements and offering implications for estimation of ungauged catchments.

How to cite: Hu, X., Zhou, Z., Anwar, F., Tuo, Y., Nielsen, S., Merk, F., Bauer-Gottwein, P., and Disse, M.: Rating curve estimation in ungauged basins using coupled hydrological–hydraulic modelling and multi-source remote sensing and UAS data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18005, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18005, 2026.

EGU26-19079 | ECS | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

Difficulties in measuring remote ephemeral systems: A long term comparison of weir derived and manually measured discharge in the Canadian Rocky Mountains. 

Eamon Turner, Uldis Silins, J. Jeremy Fitzpatrick, Kathleen Beamish, and Chris Williams

Ephemeral stream networks represent the majority of stream reach length, yet are the focus of relatively fewer field studies. The intermittent and sometimes flashy nature of many ephemeral streams make them difficult to gauge. There is often only a brief window to measure an adequate range of flows to develop a stage discharge relationship. The highest flows are infrequent and difficult to measure which leads to uncertainty in accurate peak flow predictions using rating curve methods. Weir installation in ephemeral streams can be advantageous because it reduces field work in remote sites, and captures the full range of discharge in real time. Most weir focused literature explores weir design in laboratory settings and implementation in urban/industrial environments; less literature has demonstrated the difficulties and tradeoffs of applying weirs to remote natural watersheds. Moreover, it is uncommon to find direct comparisons of weir derived and manually measured discharge over a long time period. 
Here we compare 13 years of paired weir-derived and measured discharge data in an ephemeral, snow-melt dominated catchment in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains. Errors associated with the weir routinely occurred during the start of the melt freshet and post-cessation dates. Freezing in the weir reservoir created uncertainty in determining early season discharge, and small post-cessation events were not measured if the weir reservoir did not fill enough to reach the bottom of the weir outflow. Furthermore, the weir consistently underestimated discharge relative to paired manually measured discharge, which suggests significant rates of leakage from the weir. On average, 37% of the measured discharge was not accounted for by the weir (rate of leakage). Additionally, the rate of leakage was not constant in time. Rates of leakage varied seasonally and interannually (annual averages ranged from 18%-55% of measured discharge) and were positively, but only weakly correlated with discharge. This suggests several environmental factors could impact leakage rates. Using the measured discharge points to scale the weir data reduced the overall average discrepancy between weir and measured discharge to 4%. Once applied across the discharge record, the leakage scaling correction resulted in an increase in average annual water yield of 80mm across 13 years. These data suggest that weir leakage in natural systems may be a significant source of error and highlights the importance of regular field calibration.

How to cite: Turner, E., Silins, U., Fitzpatrick, J. J., Beamish, K., and Williams, C.: Difficulties in measuring remote ephemeral systems: A long term comparison of weir derived and manually measured discharge in the Canadian Rocky Mountains., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19079, 2026.

EGU26-19389 | ECS | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

A novel low-cost stereo camera system for river monitoring. 

Pedro Zamboni, Robert Krüger, László Bertalan, and Anette Eltner

Most existing developments in camera gauges focus on single-camera configurations supported by ancillary information, such as detailed three-dimensional (3D) channel geometry and ground control points (GCPs). In these approaches, the water surface is delineated from images and reprojected onto a predefined 3D terrain model. However, acquiring accurate and up-to-date 3D models is often challenging or impractical, particularly in dynamic river environments where channel geometry evolves over time. As a result, frequent model updates are required to maintain measurement accuracy. Another key limitation of conventional camera gauges is the limited quantification of uncertainty in water level estimation. Surface velocity is typically derived using image velocimetry or particle tracking velocimetry. While these methods can provide accurate velocity measurements, they are contingent upon the selection of several parameters that must be meticulously chosen for each monitoring site. Furthermore, the performance of these methods can be degraded by challenging camera poses, varying illumination conditions, and flow regimes.

To address these limitations, we introduce a novel low-cost camera gauge system that integrates stereo photogrammetry with artificial intelligence (AI). The system comprises two low-cost cameras connected to a microcomputer capable of capturing, storing, and transmitting images and short video sequences to an online server. An AI-assisted multi-epoch stereo photogrammetry workflow is then applied to estimate camera pose and reconstruct dense 3D model. This process eliminates the need for predefined 3D data of the cross-section and allows us to compute a new and updated 3D model for each image pair. The updated 3D models are the key component of our methodology, from each water level and water surface velocity can measured in scaled values. Additionally, geomorphologic process can be also measured comparing subsequently 3D models. River water surface segmentation is performed using two foundation models, Grounding DINO and the Segment Anything Model (SAM). River waterlines from both images are then matched and projected into the 3D model, from which the water level is retrieved. This approach enables explicit assessment of errors in water level measurements. Particles tracked in video sequences, using a robust AI model, in both images are further projected into the 3D model, enabling scaled estimation of water surface velocity and, subsequently, river discharge.

The proposed methodology provides a robust and scalable remote sensing solution for river monitoring, enabling the observation of hydrological variables and geomorphological processes. Its low cost and reduced reliance on site-specific ancillary data make it well suited for addressing observational data gaps and for densifying hydrological monitoring networks. Moreover, with an appropriate setup, the system can be used for real-time monitoring, making it a valuable tool in scenarios such as flash floods.

How to cite: Zamboni, P., Krüger, R., Bertalan, L., and Eltner, A.: A novel low-cost stereo camera system for river monitoring., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19389, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19389, 2026.

EGU26-19665 | ECS | Posters on site | HS1.1.3

River ice under climate change: integrating modelling and data acquisition methods for detecting changes 

Reeta Vaahtera, Marijke de Vet, Noora Veijalainen, and Eliisa Lotsari

Fluvial ice significantly impacts river hydrodynamics by increasing flow resistance, which leads to altered water levels, flow velocities, and turbulence characteristics. River ice also has socio-economic implications as it impacts energy production, flood risk management, and transportation. These effects have remarkable spatial extent: approximately one third of the Earth’s landmass is drained by seasonally freezing rivers. At the same time, the Earth system is experiencing rapid and dramatic changes due to changing climate and these changes are intense in northern areas due to even faster warming and fragile ecosystems. Despite the importance of understanding these changes, obtaining detailed information of ice-covered hydrodynamics remains challenging and potentially dangerous, resulting in limited data availability even under current conditions.

In this research, more comprehensive insights into fluvial ice and ice-covered hydrodynamics in Finland are achieved by integrating novel approaches in physical modelling, numerical modelling, and field data acquisition and processing. Information of current conditions in the studied subarctic rivers is gathered using conventional methods, such as flow velocity measurements, as well as emerging technologies including underwater drones. The study includes ice growth calculations under projected climate and flow conditions. Flume experiments in an indoor flume with proxy ice and bed topography and pressurised conditions are conducted to observe ice-covered hydraulics in a controlled environment. New methodologies and integration of different approaches allow for gathering more comprehensive information on seasonally freezing rivers and help in predicting future changes in response to climate change.

How to cite: Vaahtera, R., de Vet, M., Veijalainen, N., and Lotsari, E.: River ice under climate change: integrating modelling and data acquisition methods for detecting changes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19665, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19665, 2026.

EGU26-4 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Advanced phycocyanin detection in a South American lake using Landsat imagery and remote sensing 

Lien Rodríguez-López, David Bustos Usta, Lisandra Bravo Alvarez, Iongel Duran Llacer, Luc Bourrel, Frederic Frappart, and Roberto Urrutia

In this study, multispectral images were used to detect toxic blooms in Villarrica Lake in Chile, using a time series of water quality data from 1989 to 2024, based on the extraction of spectral information from Landsat 8 and 9 satellite imagery. To explore the predictive capacity of these variables, we constructed 255 multiple linear regression models using different combinations of spectral bands and indices as independent variables, with phycocyanin concentration as the dependent variable. The most effective model, selected through a stepwise regression procedure, incorporated seven statistically significant predictors (p < 0.05) and took the following form: FCA = N/G + NDVI + B + GNDVI + EVI + SABI + CCI. This model achieved a strong fit to the validation data, with an R2 of 0.85 and an RMSE of 0.10 μg/L, indicating high explanatory power and relatively low error in phycocyanin estimation. When applied to the complete weekly time series of satellite observations, the model successfully captured both seasonal dynamics and interannual variability in phycocyanin concentrations (R2 = 0.92; RMSE = 0.05 μg/L). These results demonstrate the robustness and practical utility for long-term monitoring of harmful algal blooms in Lake Villarrica.

How to cite: Rodríguez-López, L., Bustos Usta, D., Bravo Alvarez, L., Duran Llacer, I., Bourrel, L., Frappart, F., and Urrutia, R.: Advanced phycocyanin detection in a South American lake using Landsat imagery and remote sensing, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4, 2026.

EGU26-125 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Flood Dynamics and Frequency Mapping in the Lower Ganges Floodplain in India Using Multi-Temporal Sentinel-1 SAR Observations (2016–2024) 

Mohammad Sajid, Haris Hasan Khan, Arina Khan, and Abdul Ahad Ansari

The Ganges floodplains are among the most flood-prone regions in India, where recurrent inundations cause significant socio-economic and ecological impacts. Understanding the spatial distribution, frequency, and dynamics of flooding is essential for effective floodplain management and enhancing climate resilience. This study examines the flood frequency and spatial extent across a section of the Ganga River floodplains in Bihar, utilising multi-temporal Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data spanning the period from 2016 to 2024. Flooded areas were delineated through an optimal threshold-based classification of VH-polarised backscatter images, with threshold values ranging from -19.5 dB to -22.3 dB. Annual flood extents were mapped, and an inundation frequency composite was generated to identify zones experiencing recurrent flooding. The spatial analysis revealed substantial variability in flood occurrence, with extensive inundation observed in low-lying regions. Several areas were inundated in more than 60% of the study years, indicating chronic flood exposure. The decadal analysis revealed that August and September were the peak months for flooding, with some areas remaining inundated for more than one month, which had an adverse impact on both human settlements and agricultural lands. Validation using optical satellite imagery from Sentinel-2 confirmed a 98% accuracy in the SAR-derived flood extent, reinforcing the reliability of the classification method. The temporal flood frequency analysis provides crucial insights into long-term flood dynamics and helps identify hydrologically sensitive zones. Overall, this study highlights the effectiveness of SAR-based monitoring in understanding floodplain behaviour under changing climatic and hydrological conditions, and supports improved flood hazard mapping, hydrodynamic model calibration, and sustainable flood risk management in the Ganges Basin and other monsoon-affected regions.

Keywords: Flood Inundation, Multi-Temporal, Time-Series, Flood Frequency, Sentinel-1 SAR, Ganges River

How to cite: Sajid, M., Hasan Khan, H., Khan, A., and Ansari, A. A.: Flood Dynamics and Frequency Mapping in the Lower Ganges Floodplain in India Using Multi-Temporal Sentinel-1 SAR Observations (2016–2024), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-125, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-125, 2026.

Wetlands are very sensitive hydrological ecosystems that are essential for groundwater recharge, flood control, and biodiversity. Climate variability, changed river regimes, and unsustainable anthropogenic pressures are all posing new challenges to their stability. The current work evaluates the two-decade hydro-climatic dynamics of the Haiderpur Wetland (Ganga River, India) by merging optical (Landsat), radar (Sentinel-1), and gridded climate (ERA5, CHIRPS) datasets with GRACE-based groundwater anomalies. On the Google Earth Engine (GEE), processing of time-series Landsat (NDVI, NDWI, LST) and Sentinel-1 (SAR) data to monitor all-weather surface inundation and vegetation structure. To disentangle climatic and anthropogenic drivers, these remote sensing products are statistically correlated against ERA5-Land (Evapotranspiration) and CHIRPS (Precipitation) data, alongside GRACE groundwater anomalies. The findings demonstrated a considerable downward trend in pre-monsoon NDWI and wetland water distribution. This was accompanied by a significant increase in LST and an unexpected increase in NDVI. All-weather Sentinel-1 data validated the drying trend. On the other hand, 'greening' (as indicated by NDVI) in a drying environment suggests a structural shift from native wetland vegetation to more drought-tolerant or invasive terrestrial plants. The study assesses the capability of a multifaceted (optical-radar-climate) GEE strategy to quantify the individual contributions of climatic and anthropogenic factors, while also monitoring wetland development. Furthermore, these findings quantify the hydro-ecological vulnerability of major Ramsar wetlands and emphasize the vital need for coordinated water management to sustain ecosystems in the Ganga River Basin, with far-reaching implications for global wetland conservation.

Keywords: Hydrology, GRACE, Climate Change, SAR, NDVI, NDWI, LST

How to cite: Ansari, A. A., Hasan Khan, H., Khan, A., and Sajid, M.: Hydro-Ecological Vulnerability of  Ganga River Wetland (India): A Multi-Sensor Remote Sensing and GRACE-based Assessment of the Haiderpur Ramsar Site, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-147, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-147, 2026.

Floods are the costliest and most frequently occurring natural disasters. One of the key factors in preventing and reducing losses is providing a reliable flood map. However, the uncertainty associated with either flood inundation model or data, specifically the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), may have adverse effects on the reliability of flood stage and inundation maps. Therefore, a systematic understanding of the uncertainty is necessary. In this study, an attempt is made to assess whether models are more susceptible to the uncertainties or the data itself. In order to do this, a SCIFRIM (Slope-corrected, Calibration-free, Iterative Flood Routing and Inundation Model) is employed, utilizing a list of DEM datasets to reconstruct the October 2024 Valencia flood event. The modelled flood extents were validated against those derived from multi-sensor remote sensing data. The Critical Success Index (CSI) was calculated to assess the agreement between observed and modelled flood extents, yielding values of 0.49 and 0.59 for October 30th and 31st, respectively, when combining SCIFRIM and Lidar-DEM. Additionally, a multi-model comparison has been performed between SCIFRIM and CaMa-Flood (Catchment-based Macro-scale Floodplain), HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System), and TUFLOW (Two-dimensional Unsteady FLOW), demonstrating its relevance in terms of outputs (flood extent and stage) and model runtime. The findings demonstrate that the proposed modeling framework offers a reliable approach for flood assessment. It has great potential to support rapid assessment and decision-making in data-scarce regions.

How to cite: Tripathi, G., Sarkar, E., and Biswal, B.: Evaluating Slope-corrected, Calibration-free, Iterative Flood Routing and Inundation Model (SCIFRIM)-based Flood Inundation against multi-satellite observation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-436, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-436, 2026.

Floods are highly dynamic hazards whose spatial extent can change rapidly within hours. Timely and accurate monitoring is essential for early warning, emergency response, and post-disaster assessment. A major challenge in current Earth Observation (EO) based approaches is the difficulty of capturing the complete evolution of a flood event, including its maximum flood extent. This information is often missing due to temporal gaps in Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) acquisitions and cloud cover in optical imagery. Missing the peak extent limits the accuracy of impact assessments and poses challenges for applications such as parametric insurance, which depend on reliable measurements of flood magnitude. Although daily flood products exist, they are often based on large-scale multi-spectral sensors and struggle during persistent cloud cover as well as with resolution for smaller events, creating an urgent need for a more reliable method for daily flood estimation from higher-resolution SAR datasets. To address these challenges, we propose a novel deep learning framework that fuses EO-based coarse dynamic hydrometeorological data with static geospatial datasets to produce high-resolution daily flood extent maps. Our approach integrates static flood conditioning inputs, including elevation, Height Above Nearest Drainage, Urban Development Area, flow direction, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Normalized Difference Built-up Index, soil clay and sand content, and pre-flood SAR and multispectral imagery with dynamic hydrometeorological variables such as daily precipitation and soil moisture. The model adopts a multi-stage vision transformer architecture: encoders extract multi-level latent representations from all inputs, which are then fused using cosine similarity, normalization, and temporal attention mechanisms. A decoder reconstructs high-resolution flood extent, followed by a Gaussian filter to reduce high-frequency noise. The framework is fully supervised using the globally available KuroSiwo flood mask dataset, ensuring transferability across diverse geographic regions and climate zones. In addition, this research provides a complete data preparation workflow that converts flood mask shapefiles into standardized image patch datasets, including a modular input selection interface that removes dependence on inputs included in specific datasets, directly suitable for deep learning training, enabling straightforward implementation and practical applicability. The model is trained and evaluated across three distinct climate zones on multiple continents, demonstrating a robust capability to overcome the temporal limitations of SAR data and cloud-induced gaps in optical observations. Held-out region tests with strict geographic separation to minimize spatial autocorrelation induced data leakage, further ensure unbiased evaluation and true transferability. Preliminary tests across multiple continents yield stable performance, with cross-site metric variations remaining within approximately 5-7 percent. This study introduces the first deep learning framework for daily fine-scale flood extent mapping using purely EO data which are globally accessible, providing a scalable and transferable solution for real-time flood monitoring, disaster management, and potential applications in parametric insurance by improving flood mapping cadence and reliably estimating maximum flood extents.

Keywords: spatio-temporal fusion, vision transformer, high-resolution flood mapping

How to cite: Surojaya, A., Kumar, R., and Dasgupta, A.: DeepFuse2.0: Novel Deep Learning-based Fusion of Satellite-based Hydroclimatic Data and Flood Conditioning Factors for Daily Flood Extent Mapping, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1047, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1047, 2026.

EGU26-1092 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Cross-Biome Transferability of SAR-based Flood Mapping with Random Forests 

Paul Christian Hosch and Antara Dasgupta

Fully automated, globally applicable flood-mapping systems must earn user trust, which in turn requires systematic testing across diverse environmental conditions to understand performance stability and a clear understanding of model transferability. While some recent studies have evaluated cross-site performance of flood mapping algorithms, the cross-biome transferability of Random Forest (RF) models for SAR-based flood delineation has not yet been thoroughly evaluated. In this study, we assess how well RF classifiers trained for binary flood detection generalize across biomes using primarily Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data. Our feature stack comprises 14 variables, including 9 SAR-derived features (Sentinel-1 VV and VH backscatter and associated temporal-change metrics) which provide information on the flood-induced land surface changes and 4 contextual predictors such as land cover and topographic indices which influence radar backscatter and help to reduce as well as mitigate uncertainties. Experiments were conducted across 18 flood events distributed equally amongst 6 distinct biomes: (1) Deserts and Xeric Shrublands, (2) Tropical and Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests, (3) Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests, (4) Temperate Coniferous Forests, (5) Mediterranean Forests, Woodlands and Scrub, (6) Temperate Grasslands, Savannas and Shrublands. Model transferability is evaluated using a two-level nested cross-validation approach. First, intra-biome performance is established through an inner 3-fold Leave-One-Group-Out Cross-Validation (LOGO-CV), in which models are trained on all but one site within a biome and evaluated on the held-out site iteratively. Second, inter-biome transferability is quantified using an outer 6-fold LOGO-CV, treating each biome as a distinct group. In this setup, models are trained on all biomes except one and evaluated on all sites of the held-out biome. Classification performance is assessed using Overall Accuracy (OA), F1-score, Precision, Recall, and Intersection over Union (IoU), with all experiments repeated across 10 independent iterations to capture model structural and sampling variability.

Preliminary results on select biomes show substantial variation in inter-biome transferability. Notably, in some cases, models transferred between biomes outperform those trained within the same biome. These findings highlight the need for comprehensive biome-level transferability assessments to better understand the capabilities and limitations of RF-based flood mapping under globally diverse conditions, ultimately supporting more transparent and trustworthy flood-mapping products for end users.

How to cite: Hosch, P. C. and Dasgupta, A.: Cross-Biome Transferability of SAR-based Flood Mapping with Random Forests, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1092, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1092, 2026.

EGU26-1266 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Cross-Biome Feature Importance Stability Analysis for SAR-based Flood Mapping with Random Forests 

Parisa Havakhor, Paul Hosch, and Antara Dasgupta

Flood mapping using machine learning methods such as Random Forests (RF) requires informed feature engineering and selection. Despite feature-importance rankings across different biomes and land covers varying substantially, the stability of these feature rankings has not been evaluated specifically for RF-based flood delineation. In this study, we investigate the consistency of RF feature-importance rankings in a binary flood-classification task primarily based on Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery. The feature stack comprises 14 variables, including 9 SAR-based features, Sentinel-1 VV and VH polarizations and their temporal-change metrics which inform the flood extent identification, and 4 contextual features such as land cover and topographic indices which provide information on backscatter uncertainties. The classification task was conducted across 18 flood events spanning six distinct biomes: (1) Deserts and Xeric Shrublands, (2) Tropical and Subtropical Moist Broadleaf Forests, (3) Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests, (4) Temperate Coniferous Forests, (5) Mediterranean Forests, Woodlands and Scrub, and (6) Temperate Grasslands, Savannas and Shrublands. Three feature-attribution methods were evaluated: (1) Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) provides a game-theoretic framework for feature attribution and is widely recognized for its consistency and interpretability; (2) Mean Decrease in Impurity (MDI), computed during tree growth, is the most commonly used importance metric for RF models; (3) Permutation feature importance (MDA) offers a model-agnostic approach that assesses importance by measuring the reduction in model accuracy when feature values are randomly shuffled. Both feature cardinality and feature correlation, which bias the feature rankings for these algorithms in different ways, were considered during interpretation. All experiments were repeated across 10 independent iterations to account for random variability. We first examined feature-importance rankings independently across the three sub-sample studies within each biome to establish baseline intra-biome variability, followed by quantification of inter-biome variability to assess whether feature-importance patterns transfer across different environmental conditions. Preliminary results across select biomes indicate stable rankings for SAR-based features, with VV and VH event polarizations dominating the decision boundary, while contextual descriptors, particularly terrain indices such as Height Above the Nearest Drainage, exhibit greater variability both within and between biomes. Understanding the transferability of feature-importance patterns and feature stacks across biomes is critical for developing an RF-based flood-mapping pipeline that operates reliably under diverse environmental conditions worldwide and ultimately builds user trust in the resulting products.

How to cite: Havakhor, P., Hosch, P., and Dasgupta, A.: Cross-Biome Feature Importance Stability Analysis for SAR-based Flood Mapping with Random Forests, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1266, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1266, 2026.

EGU26-1859 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Detecting Waterlogging in Agricultural Fields in Denmark using High-Resolution PlanetScope Time Series 

Jasper Kleinsmann, Julian Koch, Stéphanie Horion, Gyula Mate Kovacs, and Simon Stisen

Waterlogging in agricultural fields is the condition of temporally inundated areas driven by extreme rainfall, rising groundwater or poor drainage, and has been identified as a major issue by Danish farmers. During the inundation period, plants are deprived of oxygen which negatively affects the root development and leads to decreased yields and grain quality. Additionally, these waterlogged areas are a large source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The issue is expected to exacerbate under current climate projections through wetter winters and rising groundwater levels in Denmark. Hence, an increased understanding of the spatio-temporal dynamics of waterlogging is required to future-proof the management strategies. The research goals are three-fold: (1) to optimise the detection of waterlogging, (2) to reveal inter- and intra-annual patters across Denmark and (3) to investigate the drivers of waterlogging such as climate, topography and bio-physical conditions. We aim to detect waterlogged areas through a deep learning semantic segmentation approach utilising multi-temporal PlanetScope imagery and nation-wide high resolution elevation data. This approach requires a manually delineated reference dataset to train, validate and test the model which needs to be well-balanced spatially, e.g. covering various soil types, and temporally, e.g. including various illumination conditions. Additionally, we will experiment with various model architectures, backbones and covariate combinations to optimise the segmentation performance. Initial tests using a UNET architecture and building upon a published reference dataset by Elberling et al. (2023), show promising results and lay the foundation for the upcoming model development and extension of the existing reference data.

 

Elberling, B. B., Kovacs, G. M., Hansen, H. F. E., Fensholt, R., Ambus, P., Tong, X., ... & Oehmcke, S. (2023). High nitrous oxide emissions from temporary flooded depressions within croplands. Communications Earth & Environment, 4(1), 463.

 

How to cite: Kleinsmann, J., Koch, J., Horion, S., Kovacs, G. M., and Stisen, S.: Detecting Waterlogging in Agricultural Fields in Denmark using High-Resolution PlanetScope Time Series, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1859, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1859, 2026.

EGU26-2995 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

SaferSat: The Saferplaces’s  Operational Sentinel-1 Toolbox for Multi-Temporal Flood Extent Mapping, Water-Depth Estimation and Impact Assessment  

Saeid DaliriSusefi, Paolo Mazzoli, Valerio Luzzi, Francesca Renzi, Tommaso Redaelli, Marco Renzi, and Stefano Bagli

Operational flood intelligence for emergency response and insurance, providing a rapid overview of impacted land, population, and economic damages, requires mapping solutions that remain reliable under adverse observational conditions and across diverse landscapes. Although Sentinel-1 SAR provides consistent global, all-weather and day-and-night coverage, automated flood extraction is challenged by speckle noise, land-cover heterogeneity, and confusion between floodwater and permanent low-backscatter surfaces. These limitations highlight the need for approaches that exploit temporal backscatter changes while maintaining global robustness and computational efficiency.

We present SaferSat, a fully automated Sentinel-1 toolbox for flood-extent mapping, water-depth estimation, and impact assessment. SaferSat is part of SaferPlaces (saferplaces.co), a global Digital Twin platform for flood risk intelligence supporting emergency response and insurance applications. Central to the framework is Pr-RWU-Net (Progressive Residual Wave U-Net), a lightweight deep-learning model with 2.6 million trainable parameters, designed to detect flood-induced backscatter changes using VV-polarized SAR imagery. The model uses a three-channel input; pre-event VV, post-event VV, and their radiometric difference, enhancing inundation sensitivity while mitigating VH instability for global deployment.

SaferSat provides end-to-end processing: automated data retrieval, multi-date flood inference, and Maximum Flood Extent generation. To reduce SAR ambiguities, it generates auxiliary layers: a vegetation mask for SAR "blind spots" and a low-backscatter anomaly mask for permanent dark features. Flood extent layers are integrated with the FLEXTH model and GLO-30 or local high-resolution LiDAR DTMs for water-depth reconstruction. The system also analyzes acquisition patterns to predict short-term revisit opportunities. Impact assessment intersects flood extents with JRC GHS-POP and ESA WorldCover datasets.

The Pr-RWU-Net model was trained on the S1GFloods dataset, containing 5,360 paired pre- and post-event Sentinel-1 GRD images across 42 flood events from 2016–2022. Binary flood masks were generated via semi-automated thresholding and expert quality control. Evaluation on the test split achieved an IoU of 90.0%, F1-score 94.6%, Recall 95.6%, Precision 93.8%, and overall accuracy 96.6%.

Operational applicability was demonstrated on three 2025 flood events: Romania, Pakistan, and France. SaferSat flood extents closely matched SAR manual driven flood references (IoU 89–92%) and CEMS products (IoU 85–88%). Water-depth estimation against a reference hydrodynamic model yielded a MAE of 34–40 cm and correlation R of 0.78–0.82. For a 260 km² flood in Romania, the full processing chain completed in ~3 minutes on a standard CPU, demonstrating suitability for rapid, large-scale deployment.

SaferSat is available globally through SaferPlaces, supporting emergency response and insurance applications. Future developments aim to enhance SaferSat globally via integration of commercial satellite data to reduce revisit time and rapid hydrodynamic modeling to address radar limitations.

How to cite: DaliriSusefi, S., Mazzoli, P., Luzzi, V., Renzi, F., Redaelli, T., Renzi, M., and Bagli, S.: SaferSat: The Saferplaces’s  Operational Sentinel-1 Toolbox for Multi-Temporal Flood Extent Mapping, Water-Depth Estimation and Impact Assessment , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2995, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2995, 2026.

EGU26-3018 | Posters on site | HS6.5

Advancing Flood Forecasting in Large River Basins Using Multi-Mission Satellite Data: the EO4FLOOD project 

Angelica Tarpanelli and the EO4FLOOD Team

Floods are among the most destructive natural hazards worldwide, causing severe impacts on human health, ecosystems, cultural heritage and economies. Over the past decades, both developed and developing regions have experienced increasing flood-related losses, a trend that is expected to intensify under climate change due to shifts in precipitation patterns and the frequency of extreme events. In many large river basins, particularly in data-scarce regions, flood forecasting remains highly uncertain because of limited in situ observations and complex hydrological and hydraulic dynamics.

EO4FLOOD is an ESA-funded project aimed at demonstrating the added value of advanced Earth Observation (EO) data for improving flood forecasting at regional to continental scales. The project focuses on the integration of multi-mission satellite observations with hydrological and hydrodynamic modelling frameworks to support flood prediction up to seven days in advance, with an explicit treatment of uncertainty.

A key outcome of EO4FLOOD is the development of a comprehensive and openly available EO-based dataset designed to support flood modelling and forecasting studies. The dataset covers nine large and hydrologically complex river basins worldwide, selected to represent a wide range of climatic, physiographic and anthropogenic conditions, and characterized by limited or heterogeneous availability of ground-based observations. It integrates high-resolution satellite products from ESA and non-ESA missions, including precipitation, soil moisture, snow variables, flood extent, water levels and satellite-derived river discharge.

Within EO4FLOOD, these EO datasets are combined with hydrological and hydraulic models, enhanced by machine learning techniques, to improve flood prediction skill and to better quantify predictive uncertainty in data-scarce environments. The project also investigates the role of human interventions, such as reservoirs and land-use changes, in modulating flood dynamics across the selected basins.By making this multi-variable EO dataset publicly available, EO4FLOOD aims to support the broader hydrological community in testing, benchmarking and developing flood modelling and forecasting approaches in challenging large-basin settings. The project provides a unique opportunity to explore the potential and limitations of EO-driven flood forecasting and contributes to advancing the use of satellite observations for global flood risk assessment and management.

How to cite: Tarpanelli, A. and the EO4FLOOD Team: Advancing Flood Forecasting in Large River Basins Using Multi-Mission Satellite Data: the EO4FLOOD project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3018, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3018, 2026.

            Water security in the Chi River Basin is critical for the agricultural economy and ecosystem stability of Yasothon Province, Thailand. However, effective spatiotemporal monitoring of water surface dynamics is frequently hindered by persistent cloud cover during the monsoon season, limiting the utility of traditional optical remote sensing. This study addresses this challenge by developing a robust Multi-Sensor Deep Learning Fusion system that integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and optical satellite imagery to ensure continuous observation capabilities.

            We employ a U-Net convolutional neural network architecture, selected for its high boundary precision and efficiency with limited training datasets. The model is trained on a fused six-channel input configuration, combining Sentinel-1 SAR data (weather-independent) with Sentinel-2 optical bands (RGB), augmented by the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). This multi-modal approach enhances feature extraction, allowing for the accurate differentiation of open water from floating vegetation and flooded agricultural lands in complex transition zones.

            The study analyzes the hydrological cycle of 2022, capturing distinct drought, flood, and post-flood conditions. To ensure hydrological validity, the model’s segmentation outputs are not merely visually assessed but are quantitatively validated against ground-truth water level data from the E.20A gauge station in Kham Khuean Kaeo District. By establishing a precise Stage-Area Relationship, this research demonstrates a scalable, cost-effective framework for flood risk assessment and water capital estimation, offering a resilient solution for river basin management in cloud-prone tropical regions.

How to cite: Pruekthikanee, P.: Multi-Sensor Deep Learning Fusion for Spatiotemporal Water Surface Monitoring in the Yasothon Province's Chi River Basin, Thailand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4154, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4154, 2026.

EGU26-5752 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Satellite-Enhanced Flood Modelling for the Niger River Basin using a Synergy of Hydrological Modelling and Earth Observation Data 

Shima Azimi, Alexandra Murray, Connor Chewning, Cecile Kittel, Henrik Madsen, Fan Yang, Maike Schumacher, and Ehsan Forootan

Accurate water cycle representation in data-scarce and flood-prone regions like the Niger River Basin demands stronger integration between remote sensing and hydrological modelling. Spanning ten water-stressed nations, this basin faces critical challenges under climate change, requiring robust water-budget assessments to guide resilience strategies. We employ DHI’s Global Hydrological Model (DHI-GHM) to simulate key hydrological components of the regional water cycle. Model outputs for surface and root-zone soil moisture (SSM and R-ZSM) and terrestrial water storage (TWS) are systematically compared against satellite observations (GRACE/GRACE-FO and multiple soil moisture products) to identify discrepancies and enhance the understanding of regional hydrological behavior. A near real-time SSM data assimilation scheme is implemented to enhance spatiotemporal accuracy of surface and top-soil interactions, particularly beneficial in the flood-sensitive Inner Niger Delta. Post-assimilation hydrological outputs are coupled with the CaMa-Flood surface hydraulic model to simulate inundation dynamics, enabling improved flood prediction and supporting risk management. Finally, we pursue two-way coupling of hydrological and hydrodynamic models by integrating river flow–storage feedbacks to advance flood forecasting and sustainable water-resources planning. 

How to cite: Azimi, S., Murray, A., Chewning, C., Kittel, C., Madsen, H., Yang, F., Schumacher, M., and Forootan, E.: Satellite-Enhanced Flood Modelling for the Niger River Basin using a Synergy of Hydrological Modelling and Earth Observation Data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5752, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5752, 2026.

EGU26-5862 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Refining global wetland characterization using an unsupervised, wetness-based dynamic framework 

Yang Li, Nandin-Erdene Tsendbazar, Kirsten de Beurs, Lassi Päkkilä, and Lammert Kooistra

Existing global wetland datasets and monitoring approaches emphasizepersistent inundation, while intermittent inundation and waterlogged states—especially where vegetation is present—are underrepresented or of lower accuracy. This leads to inaccurate estimates of greenhouse gas emissions from carbon-rich systems (e.g., peatlands). Meanwhile, the predominance of annual mapping limits the capture of intra-annual variability, further reinforcing these inaccuracies and obscuring sub-seasonal disturbances from human activities (e.g., shifts in rice-cropping intensity). This study presents an unsupervised, wetness-driven framework for improving global wetland monitoring that leverages earth observation data streams. For framework development, the OPtical TRApezoid Model is applied to Harmonized Landsat-Sentinel imagery to retrieve surface wetness, followed by wetland delineation using a scene-adaptive grid-based thresholding algorithm. This framework is applied to 824 globally distributed 0.1° grid cells encompassing 9,781 land-cover-labeled sites and 134 sites with daily wet–dry labels across 28 Ramsar wetlands, and validated for spatial delineation, thematic, and temporal accuracy. Comparative analysis employs Dynamic World, the first global 30 m wetland map with a fine classification system (GWL_FCS30), and the modified Dynamic Surface Water Extent algorithm (DSWE). Our framework achieved moderate spatial delineation accuracy with F1 of 0.64 (recall 0.75, precision 0.56), comparable in F1 to Dynamic World and with higher recall than DSWE and GWL_FCS30. It delivered the highest temporal accuracy (F1 0.72; precision 0.81; recall 0.64) and improved thematic accuracy for vegetated wetland, reducing omission with modest commission. The proposed wetland monitoring framework enables more accurate targeted policy interventions.

How to cite: Li, Y., Tsendbazar, N.-E., de Beurs, K., Päkkilä, L., and Kooistra, L.: Refining global wetland characterization using an unsupervised, wetness-based dynamic framework, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5862, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5862, 2026.

EGU26-6114 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Evidential Deep Learning for Uncertainty-Aware Global Flood Extent Segmentation 

Chi-ju Chen and Li-Pen Wang

Flood extent mapping from satellite imagery plays a critical role in disaster response and flood risk management, particularly as flood events become more frequent and severe under a changing climate. At its core, the task involves classifying each pixel in an optical satellite image as flooded or non-flooded. Recent deep learning-based segmentation models have demonstrated strong performance at the global scale. However, despite their accuracy, most existing approaches provide deterministic predictions and offer limited information on the reliability of individual pixel-level outputs. This lack of uncertainty information constrains their operational applicability, especially in high-risk scenarios where models may exhibit overconfident but incorrect predictions.

To address this limitation, we extend a global flood extent segmentation framework by explicitly incorporating uncertainty quantification. Specifically, an Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) approach is integrated into a UNet++ architecture within the ml4floods framework, enabling simultaneous prediction of flood extent and associated pixel-wise uncertainty. Within the EDL formulation, network outputs are interpreted as evidence and parameterised using a Beta distribution, providing a principled estimate of predictive uncertainty. Furthermore, total uncertainty is decomposed into aleatoric and epistemic components, allowing clearer interpretation of whether uncertainty arises from data ambiguity or from limited model knowledge.

The proposed approach is evaluated using the extended WorldFloods global flood dataset. Preliminary results indicate that the EDL-enhanced model maintains promising segmentation performance while producing informative uncertainty maps. Elevated uncertainty is consistently observed in misclassified regions and along land-water boundaries, where optical signals are inherently ambiguous. These results demonstrate that uncertainty estimates offer valuable insight into model reliability and support operational decision-making by highlighting areas that require closer inspection. In practice, uncertainty-guided triage can help prioritise expert review and resource allocation, focusing attention on regions where decision risk is highest.

How to cite: Chen, C. and Wang, L.-P.: Evidential Deep Learning for Uncertainty-Aware Global Flood Extent Segmentation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6114, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6114, 2026.

EGU26-6180 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

 The capabilities of virtual gauging stations in satellite monitoring of water bodies 

Ildar Mukhamedjanov and Gulomjon Umirzakov

Remote sensing technologies provide effective tools for monitoring and assessing the state of inland water bodies, enabling extraction of various hydrological parameters from satellite observation. Central Asian and some African countries are currently implementing practical programs aimed at mitigating water scarcity and improving the management of transboundary water resources. Rivers and their tributaries flowing across national boundaries require continuous monitoring to support early warning of droughts and floods at the basin scale.

Conventional ground-based hydrological stations are traditionally used to measure water level, estimate daily river discharge, and support hydrological forecasting. However, limitations related to accessibility, data-sharing restrictions, and the high cost of installation and maintenance often constrain their spatial coverage and long-term operation.  Virtual gauging station (VGS) represents a complementary remote-sensing approach, providing time series derived from the long-term satellite image archives. A VGS is defined as a free-shaped polygon on the map used to analyze data within the borders of this polygon and collect observations based on the requirements. Currently, VGS applications primarily rely on optical satellite imagery from Sentinel-2, Landsat-4, -5, -7, -8, -9 missions to estimate water surface area (WSA) using spectral water index (MNDWI, AWEI or AWEIsh). Variations in WSA serves as a proxy for surface water availability and river dynamics. 

In addition, VGS can be used to enrich satellite altimetry-based water level (H) time series. For this purpose, the VGS polygon is calibrated using reference altimetric observations obtained from open-access data source (e.g. SDSS, DAHITI, Hydroweb). Calibration involves estimating the parameters of a regression model describing the functional relationship between water level and water surface area.  The resulting values can finally be integrated into hydrological models to support short-term river discharge forecasting. Thus, VGS provides continuous hydrological information independent of ground-based measurements, while optional validation against in-situ observations allows for the assessment of the model uncertainty.  Based on the experimental analysis, optimal placement of VGS polygons is recommended dynamically active river sections that account for annual riverbed displacement, as well as in river reaches located near satellite altimeter ground tracks to improve calibration accuracy.

The experiments demonstrated that correlation between ground truth and forecasted water level values is upper 0,85 and mean absolute error is lower than 0,3 m. The following result has been obtained using linear regression which shows that application of more complex forecasting models could significantly improve the results.

How to cite: Mukhamedjanov, I. and Umirzakov, G.:  The capabilities of virtual gauging stations in satellite monitoring of water bodies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6180, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6180, 2026.

EGU26-6408 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Multisensor Ensemble Mapping of Sub-hectare Ephemeral Surface Water in Kenyan ASALs 

James Muthoka, Pedram Rowhani, Chloe Hopling, Omid Memarian Sorkhabi, and Martin Todd

Ephemeral pans and seasonal ponds in arid and semi-arid lands supply critical water for pastoral and ecological systems, yet are not routinely monitored due to their small size, highly dynamic and spectral confusion with vegetation and shadows. We present and evaluate a multisensor mapping approach to detect sub-0.5 ha surface water bodies and quantify their linkage to rainfall variability to inform decision making.

Our approach fuses Sentinel-1 SAR, Sentinel-2 optical indices and DEM derived covariates within an ensemble classifier (voting of Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Decision Tree models). Predictive uncertainty is mapped using ensemble agreement and class probabilities, and we compare SAR-only, optical-only, terrain-only, and fused configurations. Additionally, rain and ephemeral surface water dynamics are modelled using generalised additive models with CHIRPs  and local rain gauge observations to test the lagged relationships in monthly water area anomalies.

Results show the fused model achieves an overall accuracy of 85%, outperforming Sentinel-1, and Sentinel-2 (78% and 72%, respectively). Generalised additive models explain 62% of variance in monthly water area anomalies, with a strong response at 1-3 month lags. These results show multisensor fusion with  quantified uncertainty improves detection of ephemeral surface water and enables estimation of rainfall thresholds and lagged dynamics relevant to pastoral water planning and targeted anticipatory action interventions.

How to cite: Muthoka, J., Rowhani, P., Hopling, C., Memarian Sorkhabi, O., and Todd, M.: Multisensor Ensemble Mapping of Sub-hectare Ephemeral Surface Water in Kenyan ASALs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6408, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6408, 2026.

EGU26-6586 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Do Geospatial Foundation Models Improve SAR-Based Flood Mapping?  

Antara Dasgupta and Moetez Zouaidi

Accurate and timely flood delineation is a cornerstone of disaster response and hydrological risk management. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is uniquely suited to this task because it operates independently of cloud cover and illumination, yet its interpretation remains challenging due to speckle, terrain effects, vegetation scattering, and ambiguities between flooded and permanent water as well as shadows and smooth surfaces such as tarmac. While deep learning has substantially advanced SAR-based flood segmentation, most existing models are trained from scratch and often struggle to generalize across regions and flood regimes. Recently, geospatial foundation models (GFMs) pretrained on massive satellite archives have shown promise, but their benefits for SAR-based flood mapping remain insufficiently quantified. This paper presents a controlled, large-scale global scale evaluation and benchmarking of a vision-transformer based GFM (NASA IBM Prithvi) against two task-specific segmentation architectures, the SegFormer (hierarchical transformer) and the commonly used U-Net (convolutional neural network), including lightweight variants, for post-event SAR-based flood mapping. All models were trained and evaluated under a standardized pipeline that explicitly addresses extreme class imbalance via stratified negative sampling and weighted loss functions. Training and validation used the expert-annotated Kuro Siwo dataset (43 flood events, 67,490 Sentinel-1 VV/VH tiles), while generalization is assessed on both the in-distribution Kuro Siwo test set and the out-of-distribution Sen1Floods11 hand labelled benchmark dataset. Results show that stratified negative sampling (controlling how many background-only tiles are shown to the model in each training epoch) increases precision by approximately 6% and mean Intersection-over-Union (mIoU) by about 7% relative to no sampling, while stabilizing training loss dynamics. On the in-distribution data, all architectures reach similar performance (mIoU ≈ 0.82), indicating that well-designed task-specific models remain competitive with GFMs. However, under out-of-distribution conditions, the foundation model Prithvi (mIoU 0.768) closely matches the performance of the SegFormer (mIoU 0.772) and clearly outperforms the U-Net (mIoU 0.712), highlighting the robustness of transformer-based representations when transferring across datasets. Pretraining on optical imagery yields only modest gains for SAR (+3.4% mIoU), suggesting that architectural inductive biases and data handling matter more than cross-modal pretraining. Notably, lightweight GFM variants achieve comparable accuracy with up to 94% fewer parameters, demonstrating strong potential for operational deployment. Scene-level analysis reveals that CNNs suppress scattered false alarms due to the neighborhood contextualization but miss large, continuous floods, while transformers preserve spatial coherence yet overpredict along complex boundaries and scattered surface water ponding, especially near permanent water bodies. Findings demonstrate that while SAR-based flood mapping accuracy requires a combination of appropriate model architectures and class imbalance-aware training, rather than foundation-scale pretraining alone. However, for spatial and statistical transfer to out of distribution datasets, GFMs offer substantial advantages and provide above-average performance for unseen cases, even without localized fine-tuning.

How to cite: Dasgupta, A. and Zouaidi, M.: Do Geospatial Foundation Models Improve SAR-Based Flood Mapping? , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6586, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6586, 2026.

EGU26-6617 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

SARFlood: A Web-Based, Cloud-Native Platform for Automated and Optimized ML-based SAR Flood Mapping    

Patrick Wilhelm, Paul Hosch, and Antara Dasgupta

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery offers weather-independent observation capabilities critical for monitoring flood events. However, SAR-based flood detection workflows typically require specialized software, local computational resources, and expert knowledge in remote sensing. This work presents SARFlood, a web-accessible application that automates the complete SAR flood detection pipeline using the OpenEO platform. SARFlood is built on a Flask backend architecture designed for accessibility and reproducibility. Users interact with the system through a web interface that guides them through case study creation, including Area of Interest (AOI) definition via shapefile upload, event date specification, and optional ground truth data integration. The application implements OpenEO OAuth 2.0 authentication using the device code flow, enabling secure access to the Copernicus Data Space Ecosystem (CDSE) backend without requiring users to manage API credentials locally. Session-based project management allows users to track processing progress in real-time through a status reporting system that monitors each pipeline stage. Data acquisition is performed server-side via OpenEO, while feature engineering processors execute locally. The data acquisition module fetches multiple data sources through a unified OpenEO interface: pre-event and post-event Sentinel-1 VV and VH imagery, Digital Elevation Models (DEM) with automatic source fallback (FABDEM, Copernicus 30m/90m), and ESA WorldCover land cover classification. The OpenStreetMap water body features and the FathomDEM are acquired via their own APIs/websites. A caching system prevents redundant API calls for previously acquired datasets, significantly reducing processing time for iterative analyses, while keeping licensing in mind so only users who are logged in and have the according license will be able to access the cached files. The processing pipeline computes a comprehensive feature stack for flood detection. SAR derivatives include intensity bands, VV/VH polarization ratios, and change detection metrics computed in decibel space to enhance flood signal discrimination. Topographic features encompass slope and Height Above Nearest Drainage (HAND) derived from the DEM, as key indicators of flood susceptibility. Flow direction calculations use an expanded bounding box to determine the extended HAND computation domain to address edge artifacts, finally cropped to the original AOI during band compilation, ensuring computationally efficient and accurate flow routing. Additionally, stream burning is implemented to improve drainage network delineation. Further, contextual features include Euclidean Distance to Water and rasterized land cover classification. Users can currently upload ground truth shapefiles (e.g., Copernicus EMS), which are automatically rasterized and compiled into the output stack, enabling supervised classification workflows.  

SARFlood includes integrated sampling and training modules. Multiple strategies such as Simple Random, Stratified, Generalized Random Tessellation Stratified, and Systematic Grid sampling are supported. The training module implements Random Forest classification with Leave-One-Group-Out Cross-Validation across multiple case studies, hyperparameter optimization via Bayesian search, and feature importance assessment through Mean Decrease Impurity, permutation importance, and SHAP values. The platform-, data- and model-agnostic design principles used in developing SARFlood, support open science and FAIR practices in the geoscience community. By combining web accessibility with robust feature engineering and machine learning integration, SARFlood provides researchers with a reproducible platform for generating uncertainty-aware flood labels lowering barriers to use. 

How to cite: Wilhelm, P., Hosch, P., and Dasgupta, A.: SARFlood: A Web-Based, Cloud-Native Platform for Automated and Optimized ML-based SAR Flood Mapping   , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6617, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6617, 2026.

EGU26-7132 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Monitoring Freshwater Bodies over the Past 40 Years Using Synthetic Monthly Sentinel-2 MSI Imagery  

Federica Vanzani, Patrice Carbonneau, Simone Bizzi, Martina Cecchetto, and Elisa Bozzolan

In the last decade rapid advancements in remote sensing have opened new frontiers in our ability to monitor freshwater bodies dynamics at the global scale. Most works have taken advantage of the long time series of Landsat constellations (30 m resolution) relying on spectral indices to identify water. Recently, much progress has also been made in the development and use of deep learning models capable of explicit semantic classification of river water, lake water and sediment bars, based on Sentinel-2 (S2) MSI imagery (10 m resolution). In this work, we present an approach that seeks to extend these existing, trained, fluvial landscape classification models to Landsat data in order to observe long-term water and morphological shifts in rivers and lakes. Rather than explicitly re-training the models with Landsat data and labour-intensive manual label data, we apply a domain transfer approach to generate synthetic S2 MSI imagery from Landsat inputs. This approach has the advantage that the training of deep learning domain transfer models only requires synchronous Landsat and Sentinel data and thus obviates the need for manual labels.

The results show that, when using these synthetic images, river water, lake water and sediment bars are classified with an F1 score of 0.8, 0.94, 0.65 respectively, which represents a decrease of ca. 10% for river water and 20% for sediment with respect to real S2 imagery. By adopting this integrated approach, we are therefore able to monitor, for the first time, lake water, river water and sediment bars at 10 m resolution, over a 40-year period, integrating both synthetic S2 and real S2 acquisitions through a single, fluvial landscape segmentation model. Classification obtained from median monthly images can then be aggregated at the yearly or multi-yearly scale to delineate river or lake water fluctuations, and active channels (river water plus sediment bars) trajectories, from specific freshwater bodies to the global scale.

How to cite: Vanzani, F., Carbonneau, P., Bizzi, S., Cecchetto, M., and Bozzolan, E.: Monitoring Freshwater Bodies over the Past 40 Years Using Synthetic Monthly Sentinel-2 MSI Imagery , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7132, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7132, 2026.

EGU26-7320 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Evaluating multimodal optical and SAR learning strategies for flood and surface water delineation 

jiayin xiao, zixi li, and fuqiang tian

Flood and surface water mapping from satellite observations remains challenging due to the complementary yet heterogeneous characteristics
of optical and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data. While deep learning has achieved promising results, existing studies are often evaluated on
isolated datasets or focus on a single modality, limiting their comparability and operational relevance. In this study, we conduct a large-scale and systematic evaluation of optical, SAR, and combined optical–SAR learning strategies for flood and surface water mapping across multiple public satellite benchmarks. Using a common training and evaluation protocol, we compare lightweight convolutional networks and large pretrained vision models under single-modality and multimodal settings. The analysis reveals that attention-based multimodal fusion consistently improves water delineation accuracy on most datasets, while model capacity and preprocessing choices play a critical role in balancing missed detections and false alarms. On global-scale benchmarks, moderately sized backbones coupled with dedicated fusion mechanisms achieve robust performance without relying on extremely large models.These findings provide practical guidance for selecting architectures and fusion strategies in operational flood mapping and establish a reproducible benchmark for future optical and SAR studies.

How to cite: xiao, J., li, Z., and tian, F.: Evaluating multimodal optical and SAR learning strategies for flood and surface water delineation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7320, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7320, 2026.

EGU26-7998 | Orals | HS6.5

Ten years of floods across Europe mapped from space with reconstructed water depths  

Andrea Betterle and Peter Salamon

Floods are among the most deadly and destructive natural disasters. Improving our understanding of large-scale flood dynamics is crucial to mitigating their dramatic consequences. Unfortunately, systematic observation-based datasets—especially featuring flood depths—have been lacking.

This contribution presents advancements in developing an unprecedented catalogue of satellite-derived flood maps across Europe from 2015 onwards. Results are based on the systematic identification of floods in the entire Sentinel-1 archive at 20 m spatial resolution as provided by the Global Flood Monitoring component of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service. Using a novel algorithm that accounts for terrain topography, flood maps are enhanced and provided with water depth estimates—a critically important information for flood impact assessments.

The resulting dataset represents a significant step towards the creation of a global flood archive. It provides new tools for interpreting flood hazards on large scales, with substantial implications for flood risk reduction, urban development planning, and emergency response.

How to cite: Betterle, A. and Salamon, P.: Ten years of floods across Europe mapped from space with reconstructed water depths , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7998, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7998, 2026.

EGU26-8292 | Posters on site | HS6.5

Modelling wetland resilience to climate change and anthropogenic impacts. 

Patricia Saco, Rodriguez Jose, Breda Angelo, Eric Sandi, and Steven Sandi

Coastal wetlands provide a wide range of ecosystem services, including shoreline protection, attenuation of storm surges and floods, water quality improvement, wildlife habitat and biodiversity conservation. These ecosystems have been observed to sequester atmospheric carbon dioxide at rates significantly higher than many other ecosystems, positioning them as promising nature-based solutions for climate change mitigation.  However, projections of coastal wetland conditions under sea-level rise (SLR) remain highly variable, owing to uncertainties in environmental factors as well as the necessary simplifications embedded within the wetland evolution modelling frameworks. Assessing wetland resilience to rising sea levels and the effect of anthropogenic activities is inherently complex, given the uncertain nature of key processes and external influences. To enable long-term simulations that span extensive temporal and spatial scales, models must rely on a range of assumptions and simplifications—some of which may significantly affect the interpretation of wetland resilience.

 

Here we present a novel eco-hydro-geomorphological modelling framework to predict wetland evolution under SLR. We explore how accretion and lateral migration processes influence the response of coastal wetlands to SLR, using a computational framework that integrates detailed hydrodynamic and sediment transport processes. This framework captures the interactions between physical processes, vegetation, and landscape dynamics, while remaining computationally efficient enough to support simulations over extended timeframes. We examine several common simplifications employed in models of coastal wetland evolution and attempt to quantify their influence on model outputs. We focus on simplifications related to hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and vegetation dynamics, particularly in terms of process representation, interactions between processes, and spatial and temporal discretisation. Special attention is given to identifying modelling approaches that strike a balance between computational efficiency and acceptable levels of accuracy. We will present recent model results to assess the resilience of coastal wetland to SLR on several sites around the world and will discuss new results to assess the effect of human interventions and infrastructure on wetland resilience.

How to cite: Saco, P., Jose, R., Angelo, B., Sandi, E., and Sandi, S.: Modelling wetland resilience to climate change and anthropogenic impacts., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8292, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8292, 2026.

EGU26-9354 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

L-band InSAR to complement SAR inundation mapping under vegetation 

Clara Hübinger, Etienne Fluet-Chouinard, Daniel Escobar, and Fernando Jaramillo

Wetland inundation dynamics are key for understanding flood regulation, ecosystem functioning and greenhouse gas emissions. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) can map water extent independent of cloud cover and can partly penetrate vegetation, particularly at L-band. Many SAR inundation products rely primarily on intensity thresholding and indicators such as specular reflection and double-bounce scattering. However, these approaches can underestimate inundation extent in densely vegetated wetlands where volume scattering can obscure the water signal. Here we demonstrate how L-band interferometric SAR (InSAR) can complement intensity-based inundation mapping under vegetation by exploiting phase differences between repeat SAR acquisitions. Using ALOS PALSAR-1 and PALSAR-2, together providing a nearly two-decade observational archive, we show that L-band InSAR can capture inundation dynamics in tropical floodplain wetlands, such as the Atrato floodplain (Colombia) and Amazon várzea floodplains (e.g., along the Río Pastaza). In the Atrato floodplain, the InSAR-derived flooded vegetation extent shows pronounced seasonal variability, ranging from ~500 to >1500 km² during 2007–2011. Comparison with existing L-band SAR inundation products yields ~70% overall agreement, while InSAR consistently detects broader inundated extents in densely vegetated floodplain areas where intensity-based thresholding underestimates inundation. This complementarity among methodologies is particularly relevant for inundation extent data products from the NASA–ISRO NISAR mission, which are expected to rely largely on SAR backscatter thresholding. Our results highlight the value of integrating InSAR-derived information to strengthen wetland inundation monitoring under vegetated canopies.

How to cite: Hübinger, C., Fluet-Chouinard, E., Escobar, D., and Jaramillo, F.: L-band InSAR to complement SAR inundation mapping under vegetation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9354, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9354, 2026.

EGU26-9758 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Hydrologically-Informed DTM Super-Resolution for Rapid Flood Depth Estimation 

Sandro Groth, Marc Wieland, Christian Geiß, and Sandro Martinis
Reliable estimation of flood depths from satellite-derived inundation extent information critically depends on the spatial resolution and hydrological consistency of the underlying digital terrain model (DTM). Accurate, very high–resolution DTMs are typically not publicly available, difficult to access within the time constraints of rapid mapping, and lack consistent coverage. Although open-access DTMs such as the Forest and Buildings removed Copernicus DEM (FABDEM) provide global coverage, their coarse spatial resolution often fails to represent important small-scale terrain features that control flow paths, slopes, and local water accumulation. To address these limitations, this study proposes a deep learning framework for DTM super-resolution that combines low-resolution DTMs with optical satellite imagery by integrating hydrological knowledge into the training process to force the reconstruction of relevant topographic features for improved flood inundation depth estimation.

The proposed approach employs a residual channel attention network (RCAN) enhanced with optical satellite imagery as auxiliary input to upscale low-resolution terrain data. Central to the methodology is a collaborative hydrologic loss function that guides network optimization beyond elevation-based accuracy. In addition to the mean absolute elevation error (MAE), the loss integrates slope deviation and flow direction disagreement to focus the learning on the reconstruction of terrain features that are directly relevant for hydrologic applications.

Unlike other super-resolution approaches, which are often using downscaled versions of the low-resolution inputs to learn super-resolved DTMs, the proposed framework was trained on a growing set of aligned patches of real-world globally available low-resolution elevation data, optical satellite imagery, and high-resolution reference DTMs derived from airborne LiDAR. Model performance is evaluated against conventional interpolation and standard super-resolution baseline architectures, including convolutional neural networks (CNN) as well as geospatial foundation models (GFM). To assess the practical impact on flood mapping, the super-resolved DTMs are tested on a set of real-world flood events in Germany by using the well-known Flood Extent Enhancement and Water Depth Estimation Tool (FLEXTH) to derive inundation depth metrics.

Results show that integrating DTMs derived using hydrologically guided super-resolution into flood depth tools can lead to more accurate flood depth estimates compared to low-resolution or other super-resolved inputs. The added hydrologic loss significantly improves the preservation of slopes and flow directions while maintaining elevation accuracy.

Overall, the presented framework offers a method to generate hydrologically meaningful high-resolution DTMs from globally available low-resolution inputs to benefit flood depth estimation in areas, where no high-resolution terrain information is available.

How to cite: Groth, S., Wieland, M., Geiß, C., and Martinis, S.: Hydrologically-Informed DTM Super-Resolution for Rapid Flood Depth Estimation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9758, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9758, 2026.

Flash flood disasters have increased by more than 50% in the first 20 years of the 21st century compared to the last 20 years of the 20th century. Monitoring and understanding flood events might lead to better mitigation of this natural hazard. Using SAR and SAR interferometry (InSAR) proved to be a useful tool for mapping flooded areas due to the lower backscatter or decorrelation of the SAR signal in an open-water environment. In Arid regiem, flash flood water is rapidly drained by evaporation or percolation, often before the satellite image is acquired. To overcome this challenge, we propose in this study to use the InSAR coherency loss, created by surface changes during a flash-flood, to map the runoff path and utilize it to quantify peak discharge (Qmax).

We focus on the Ze’elim alluvial fan along the western shore of the Dead Sea, Israel, an arid area affected by seasonal flash floods a few days a year. We use 34 interferograms of X-band (COSMO-SkyMed/TerraSAR-X) SAR data, covering 25 runoff events between 2017 and 2021, and upstream hydrological gauge data. To consider the natural decorrelation processes, we calculate a normalized coherence (ϒn) term, using the average coherence of the study area and the average coherence of a stable reference area, identified by differential LiDAR measurements.

We find a strong correlation between gn and the logarithm of the peak discharge (Qmax). However, the method is limited by a minimal peak discharge—where energy is too low to change the surface—and maximal total water volume—where decorrelation is saturated. The method may provide tools for reconstructing runoff data in arid areas where historical SAR data is available, and for monitoring in difficult access areas or where hydrological stations are sparse or damaged.

How to cite: Nof, R.: Estimating Flash Flood Discharge in Arid Environments Using InSAR Coherence: A Case Study of the Ze’elim Fan, Dead Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11948, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11948, 2026.

EGU26-12249 | Orals | HS6.5 | Highlight

Lessons Learned from Remote Sensing of River Ice for Flood Early Warning 

Arjen Haag, Tycho Bovenschen, Elena Vandebroek, Athanasios Tsiokanos, Ben Balk, and Joost van der Sanden

Rivers in regions with cold winters can seasonally freeze up. River ice breakup and freeze-up processes can lead to river ice jams, which are a major contributor to flood risk in cold regions (across most of the high latitudes of the northern hemisphere). In Canada, satellite remote sensing is used across the country to provide timely information on the status of river ice. Methods and algorithms to classify various stages of river ice from the Radarsat Constellation Mission (RCM) are available, but the operational implementation of these, especially the integration into larger flood forecasting and early warning systems, requires specific expertise, software and computational resources, and comes with its own set of challenges. In collaboration with various agencies across Canada we have set up operational monitoring systems with the purpose of assisting the daily tasks of forecasters on duty. These have been used in practice over multiple ice breakup and freeze-up seasons, which has highlighted both their usefulness and shortcomings. We will focus on various aspects of such a system and share lessons learned on its design, setup and operational use, as well as a framework to analyse various factors relevant for operational monitoring purposes (e.g. spatiotemporal coverage and latency of the data, critical elements in the support of decision-making relating to floods). In this, we do not shy away from problems and pitfalls, so that others can learn from these. While various challenges remain, this work is a good example of the value in the joint engagement of applied science and end users.

How to cite: Haag, A., Bovenschen, T., Vandebroek, E., Tsiokanos, A., Balk, B., and van der Sanden, J.: Lessons Learned from Remote Sensing of River Ice for Flood Early Warning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12249, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12249, 2026.

EGU26-13343 | Posters on site | HS6.5

Operational, national-scale monitoring of river trajectories using satellite imagery  

Elisa Bozzolan, Marco Micotti, Elisa Matteligh, Alessandro Piovesan, Federica Vanzani, Patrice Carbonneau, and Simone Bizzi

The global degradation of river ecosystems and the growing impacts of flood hazards have highlighted limitations in current river management approaches. In Europe, the Water Framework and Flood Directives promote integrated, catchment-scale assessments of hydromorphological conditions and flood risk. Such integration is essential for sustainable management. Planform dynamics and river bed aggradation/incision, for example, can modify channel conveyance and compromise flood mitigation measures, whereas granting more space to rivers can both enhance ecological quality and reduce flood peaks.

In this context, the availability of long-term satellite archives and advances in computational and machine-learning methods enable large-scale, high spatiotemporal resolution monitoring of large and medium river systems. However, despite this potential, the operational adoption of satellite-based river monitoring remains limited due to data complexity, interdisciplinary requirements, and the lack of harmonised computational infrastructures.

Thanks to a collaboration between industry, public institutions and the university, we developed a methodology to systematically map monthly water channel, channel width, sediment bars and vegetation dynamics, testing the results on the full archive of Sentinel-2 (10 m resolution) for medium-large Italian rivers (active channel > 30m - i.e. 3 Sentinel-2 pixels). In this talk, I will outline the applied methodology, discuss its applicability at national scale with Sentinel-2 data, and show how the generated products can better inform river habitat mapping, river conservation practices, and flood risk assessments by supporting consistent national scale geomorphic trajectories identification.

How to cite: Bozzolan, E., Micotti, M., Matteligh, E., Piovesan, A., Vanzani, F., Carbonneau, P., and Bizzi, S.: Operational, national-scale monitoring of river trajectories using satellite imagery , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13343, 2026.

Flood inundation mapping has become increasingly critical as climate change intensifies the frequency and severity of flooding worldwide, amplifying risks to populations, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Recent advances in Earth Observation (EO) have shown unprecedented opportunities to monitor flood dynamics across large spatial scales.. However, significant challenges remain due to the limitations of single-sensor approaches. While multispectral imagery provides rich semantic information, it is frequently constrained by cloud cover during flood events. Conversely, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) offers all-weather capability but suffers from signal ambiguity in complex terrains and urban environments. Effectively integrating these heterogeneous modalities therefore remains a challenge, particularly with limited labelled flood event data.

In this study, we propose a deep learning-based cross-modal fusion framework that leverages the representational capacity of Remote Sensing Foundation Models (RSFMs). High-level feature embeddings are extracted from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery by initializing modality-specific encoders with pretrained weights from state-of-the art multi-modal foundation models, providing a robust and semantically aligned feature space despite limited task-specific training data 

To integrate the multi-modal representations, we adopt a Gated Cross-Modal Attention mechanism, which adaptively modulates the information flow from each modality based on their observation reliability. Specifically, the model is trained to prioritise SAR features to ensure spatial continuity under cloud-obscured conditions, while simultaneously leveraging richer optical semantics to disambiguate SAR signals, correcting for example false detections caused by radar shadowing or smooth impervious surfaces. 

To assess the generalisation of the proposed framework across diverse regions and sensor conditions, we trained and evaluated our model using a comprehensive dataset compiled from publicly available benchmarks, including Kuro Siwo and WorldFloods. Our framework not only establishes a new benchmark for all-weather flood monitoring but also demonstrates the critical role of remote sensing foundation models in overcoming the limitations of traditional, data-hungry fusion approaches.

How to cite: Chen, Y. C. and Wang, L. P.: Integrating SAR and Multispectral Satellite Observations for Flood Inundation Mapping: A Cross-Modal Fusion Framework Leveraging Foundation Models and Gated Attention Mechanism, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13502, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13502, 2026.

EGU26-13888 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

A Comparative Assessment of Threshold-Based and Machine Learning Methods for Flood Detection 

Jawad Mones, Saeed Mhanna, Landon Halloran, and Philip Brunner

 

Flood mapping plays a key role in understanding hazard impacts, supporting emergency response, and guiding long-term risk planning. Remote sensing is now widely used in flood studies because it offers low-cost data, avoids the need for dangerous field surveys, and provides rapid observations over large areas. Despite these advantages, comparative research remains limited, particularly with respect to differences among flood-mapping algorithms, such as machine-learning versus threshold-based approaches, and the performance of optical versus radar sensors. This research addresses these gaps by applying multiple flood-mapping methods to the same flood event in Pakistan, and then comparing their performance with respect to a validation benchmark to provide a clearer insight into how data selection and methodological design influence flood detection outcomes

This study evaluates four distinct methods for mapping floods using multi-sensor satellite data. To ensure a fair comparison, three unsupervised machine-learning approaches including a synergetic Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 workflow, a method integrating harmonized Landsat–Sentinel data with radar, and a daily MODIS imagery technique were tested alongside a traditional Otsu thresholding baseline. All four were tested on the same 2025 Pakistan flood event, characterized by intense monsoon rains and flash flooding across regions such as Sindh and Punjab in mid- to late-2025.  The flood maps were then validated against UNOSAT flood reports for this event, where UNOSAT’s flood extent closely matches the results produced by the Sentinel-1/Sentinel-2 workflow, which yields the most conservative flood extent among the tested methods.

 Larger flood extents from some methods, especially the Sentinel-1 Otsu thresholding approach, include areas not clearly flooded in optical images. This happens because SAR backscatter also responds to wet soil and saturated vegetation, which a simple threshold can misclassify as water, leading to flood overestimation.

Overall, the results show that flood maps are not just different versions of the same answer, they reflect different satellite data and the utilized algorithms detect flooding. Approaches that combine multiple data sources with machine-learning strike a better balance, producing flood extents that are both spatially consistent and physically realistic. This indicates that multi-sensor, machine-learning–based methods are better suited for operational flood monitoring than simple thresholding, which is too sensitive to surface noise and often overestimates flooding. 

How to cite: Mones, J., Mhanna, S., Halloran, L., and Brunner, P.: A Comparative Assessment of Threshold-Based and Machine Learning Methods for Flood Detection, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13888, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13888, 2026.

EGU26-16468 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Multidecadal Changes and Trends in Global River Positions 

Elad Dente, John Gardner, Theodore Langhorst, and Xiao Yang

Rivers play a central role in shaping the Earth's surface and ecosystems through physical, chemical, and biological interactions. The intensity and locations of these interactions change as rivers continuously migrate across the landscape. In recent decades, human activity and climate change have altered river hydrology and sediment fluxes, leading to changes in river position, or migration. However, a comprehensive perspective on and understanding of these recent changes in the rate of river position shifts is lacking. To address this knowledge gap, we created a continuous global dataset of yearly river positions and migration rates over the past four decades and analyzed trends. The global annual river positions were detected using Landsat-derived surface water datasets and processed in Google Earth Engine, a cloud-based parallel computation platform. The resulting river extents and centerlines reflect the yearly permanent position, corresponding to the rivers’ location during base flow. This approach improves the representation of position changes derived from geomorphological rather than hydrological processes. To robustly analyze river position changes across different patterns and complexities and at large scales, we developed and applied a global reach-based quantification method.

Results show that while alluvial rivers maintain stable positions in certain regions, others exhibit trends in the rates of position change. For instance, the Amazon Basin, which has experienced significant deforestation and hydrological modifications, has shown increased rates of river position change in recent decades, directly modifying active floodplains. In this presentation, we will discuss the advantages, limitations, and applications of the global yearly river position dataset, offer insights into the changing rates of river position, and highlight current and future impacts on one of Earth’s most vulnerable hydrologic systems.

How to cite: Dente, E., Gardner, J., Langhorst, T., and Yang, X.: Multidecadal Changes and Trends in Global River Positions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16468, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16468, 2026.

Satellite-based surface water monitoring is essential for traking the spatiotemporal dynamics of global water bodies. However, most existing systems rely on a single mission or sensor modality, constraining both accuracy and temporal coverage. To overcome these limitations, we propose a multi-mission data fusion framework that integrates SAR Sentinel-1 and optical Sentinel-2 observations. Two U-Net convolutional neural networks were trained independently on the S1S2-Water dataset: one using Sentinel-1 sigma-nought backscatter (VV/VH) and the other using Sentinel-2 RGB and NIR bands, with terrain slope incorporated as ancillary input in both models. Predictive uncertainty is quantified via Monte Carlo dropout embedded within the networks, modeling pixel-wise predictions as Gaussian distributions. These probabilistic outputs are subsequently fused using a Bayesian framework and refined through sensor-specific exclusion masks. Evaluation across 16 geographically diverse test sites demonstrates that the fused probabilistic predictions achieve an overall IoU of 89%, highlighting the synergistic benefits of uncertainty-aware, multi-sensor integration. Furthermore, we show that model evaluation restricted to cloud-free optical imagery introduces substantial bias, limiting applicability for near-real-time monitoring. The proposed framework improves temporal availability, robustness, and reliability, advancing multi-satellite approaches for global surface water monitoring.

How to cite: Hassaan, M., Festa, D., and Wagner, W.: SAR and optical imagery for dynamic global surface water monitoring: addressing sensor-specific uncertainty for data fusion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17524, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17524, 2026.

EGU26-18308 | Orals | HS6.5

RESCUE_SAT project: Leveraging Satellite Data to Improve Large‑Scale Flood Modeling 

Elena Volpi, Stefano Cipollini, Luciano Pavesi, Valerio Gagliardi, Richard Mwangi, Giorgia Sanvitale, Irene Pomarico, Aldo Fiori, Deodato Tapete, Maria Virelli, Alessandro Ursi, and Andrea Benedetto

The RESCUE_SAT project was launched as part of the “Innovation for Downstream Preparation for Science” (I4DP_SCIENCE) programme (Agreement no. 2025‑2‑HB.0), funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASI), with the goal of enhancing the performance of the RESCUE model through the integration of satellite data. RESCUE is a large‑scale inundation model that enables probabilistic flood‑hazard assessment over large areas by preserving computational efficiency while explicitly representing hydrologic-hydraulic processes along the full drainage network. Primarily based on digital terrain models (DTMs), RESCUE is a hybrid framework that combines a geomorphology-based representation of the river network with simplified hydrological and hydraulic formulations to estimate water levels and inundation extents. The central challenge of the RESCUE_SAT project is to deliver a flood‑modelling tool capable of providing a more reliable and detailed representation of both large‑scale hydrological behavior and local hydraulic processes, including flow interactions with structures such as levees, bridges and dams which are currently not explicitly represented in RESCUE. To this purpose, the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery acquired by the ASI’s COSMO-SkyMed constellation is processed using interferometric techniques to derive high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs), reaching meter-scale resolution. Starting from high-resolution DEMs derived from COSMO-SkyMed satellite imagery, RESCUE_SAT enables the identification of the locations of structures that interacts with flow propagation, supporting their systematic mapping. Once the infrastructures have been identified and parameterized from the high-resolution DEM, the DEM is resampled and processed to a computationally advantageous coarser resolution, while the detected infrastructure elements are directly integrated into the hydrological–hydraulic model.

How to cite: Volpi, E., Cipollini, S., Pavesi, L., Gagliardi, V., Mwangi, R., Sanvitale, G., Pomarico, I., Fiori, A., Tapete, D., Virelli, M., Ursi, A., and Benedetto, A.: RESCUE_SAT project: Leveraging Satellite Data to Improve Large‑Scale Flood Modeling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18308, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18308, 2026.

EGU26-18518 | Orals | HS6.5

Automated Detection of Flood Events from CYGNSS: Observing Flood Evolution Along Propagating Tropical Waves  

Zofia Bałdysz, Dariusz B. Baranowski, Piotr J. Flatau, Maria K. Flatau, and Clara Chew

Flooding is a major natural hazard across the global tropics. Although flood occurrence is shaped by rainfall characteristics—including duration, frequency, and intensity—accurate prediction remains challenging. A key limitation is the lack of reliable, long-term flood databases that capture events across all spatial scales and durations, hindering a clear understanding of how rainfall variability translates into flood onset. This limitation is particularly critical in the Maritime Continent, where extreme rainfall is common and many small, short-lived, yet severe, floods remain undocumented. To address this limitation, we investigate whether a relatively new approach, global navigation satellite system reflectometry (GNSS-R), can help close this observational gap.

In this work, we assess whether data from the CYGNSS small-satellite constellation can be used to identify small- to regional-scale floods, including short-lived events. Our study focuses on Sumatra, an island within the Maritime Continent that is frequently affected by such hazards. A joint analysis of CYGNSS inundation estimates and two independent flood databases allowed us to evaluate how CYGNSS measurements can be used for flood detection. Three detailed case studies demonstrate that CYGNSS provides an unprecedented ability to monitor day-to-day changes in surface water extent, including floods at the urban scale. Specifically, we show that CYGNSS-derived inundation anomalies can clearly capture evolution of a flooding event, with the largest signature one day after known flood initiation. A systematic analysis of 555 flood events over a 21-month period enabled us to identify characteristic patterns in inundation anomalies that reliably distinguish flood events from non-flooding conditions, through the definition of an inundation-anomaly threshold and a maximum distance between CYGNSS detections and reported flood locations. We established that CYGNSS observations within 15 km not-only significantly differ from base-line conditions, but they allow tracking day-to-day flood dynamics as well.

The proposed methodology is transferable and can be applied to establish flood-inundation thresholds for any region within the global tropics, enabling automated detection of previously unreported flood events or the study of relationships between extreme precipitation and flood evolution. An example of its application is the automatic detection of flooding from CYGNSS data associated with subseasonal variability in tropical circulation: the passage of multiple convectively coupled Kelvin waves embedded within an active Madden–Julian Oscillation in July 2021. These waves propagated eastward across the Maritime Continent, triggering extreme rainfall and widespread flooding in equatorial Indonesia and East Malaysia. The day-to-day evolution of floods could be observed alongside the propagating waves, with the termination of the MJO coinciding with the cessation of the flood events.

Relying on low-cost small satellites, this approach shows strong potential for future scalability with larger constellations, ultimately improving flood monitoring and advancing our understanding of how rainfall patterns shape flood dynamics across global tropics.

How to cite: Bałdysz, Z., Baranowski, D. B., Flatau, P. J., Flatau, M. K., and Chew, C.: Automated Detection of Flood Events from CYGNSS: Observing Flood Evolution Along Propagating Tropical Waves , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18518, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18518, 2026.

Accurate long-term monitoring of surface water dynamics in the Niger River and Lake Chad basins is crucial for regional ecological security and sustainable water resource management. However, such monitoring is often hindered by insufficient continuous high-frequency observations—necessary to capture rapid shifts between permanent and seasonal water bodies in semi-arid transition zones—as well as by persistent cloud cover. To address these limitations, we developed a spatio-temporal data fusion framework designed to delineate detailed evolutionary patterns and regime shifts in surface water. Our methodology integrates Sentinel-1 SAR, Sentinel-2 optical imagery, and digital elevation model (DEM) data, adopting a “zoning modeling” strategy to reduce sensor-specific biases and environmental noise, thereby producing annual and seasonal surface water distribution maps. Furthermore, we developed a pixel-level, climate-coupled model based on inundation frequency to quantify changes in the extent, timing, and type of water bodies across a multi-year time series. Integration of these outputs elucidated the spatial heterogeneity of water resources throughout the study region from 2015 to 2024. Validation using randomly distributed reference samples demonstrated strong consistency, with overall accuracy exceeding 90%, confirming the robustness of our framework. Through an ecology-oriented classification scheme, we identified permanent water bodies—largely concentrated in the southern reaches of the Niger River main channel and the central zone of Lake Chad—as serving a “core support” function within the ecosystem. In contrast, seasonal water bodies followed a “dense in the south, sparse in the north” spatial pattern and acted as critical “ecological buffers” for arid northern areas. Notably, seasonal water extent expanded significantly during high-rainfall years such as 2018 and 2022, underscoring its pronounced sensitivity to climatic variability. Compared with current state-of-the-art approaches, the proposed framework enables characterization of high-frequency surface water dynamics and associated ecological interactions as continuous spatio-temporal fields, thereby providing a reliable and scalable tool to inform sustainable watershed management strategies across Africa.

How to cite: Du, L., You, S., Ye, F., and He, Y.: Tracking Dynamic Regimes and Ecological Functions of Surface Water in the Niger-Lake Chad Basins through Multi-Source Fusion (2015–2024), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19055, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19055, 2026.

EGU26-19963 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Development of routine flood mapping using SAR satellite observation for long-term monitoring system in the flood-prone regions, Cambodia 

Chhenglang Heng, Vannak Ann, Thibault Catry, Vincent Herbreteau, Cyprien Alexandre, and Renaud Hostache

Monitoring inland surface water in near-real time is a key challenge in cloud-prone tropical regions.  Recently, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) products have been widely used to detect surface water. Our area of interest, the Tonle Sap Lake region is a complex environment where very large areas and floodplains are partially or fully submerged seasonally. As the population living around the lake strongly rely on the seasonal flooding dynamics for their socio-economic activities and can at the same time be at risk due to extreme flooding events, it is of main importance to develop tools for the monitoring of flooded areas. In this context, we are adopting and evaluating an algorithm which relies on parametric thresholding, and region growing approaches applied over time series of Sentinel-1 (S1) SAR backscatter images (VV and VH). To evaluate the produced water extent maps based on VV and VH polarizations, we used a cross evaluation using multi-sensor products: high-resolution optical data such as Sentinel-2 (S2) and the coarser resolution Sakamoto flood extend derived from MODIS product. The comparison is made using the Critical Success Index (CSI) and Kappa coefficient performance metrics. During the dry season, the VV polarization demonstrated very good performance using S2-derived maps as a reference, with CSI of 0.84 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.91, indicating highly accurate surface water detection. Performance was similar using the Sakamoto product as a reference (CSI=0.87). However, performance dropped during the rainy season, with the VV polarization's CSI decreasing to 0.76 comparing S2, reflecting challenges in detecting water in the extensive flooded vegetation areas. VH polarization consistently overestimated water extent by misclassifying wet vegetation and rice fields. A merge of VV and VH product yielded an intermediate performance, improving water detection in vegetated areas compared to VV alone. This comprehensive, multi-sensor and multi-season assessment clarifies the specific strengths of each S1 polarization, showing VV's superiority for open water mapping, especially in the dry season. It underscores the importance of selecting the appropriate product (VV for open water, merged for total inundation) and considering seasonal context for operational monitoring, thereby demonstrating the algorithm's robustness while also defining its operational limitations.

How to cite: Heng, C., Ann, V., Catry, T., Herbreteau, V., Alexandre, C., and Hostache, R.: Development of routine flood mapping using SAR satellite observation for long-term monitoring system in the flood-prone regions, Cambodia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19963, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19963, 2026.

The research focused on developing the framework for assessing marine, nearshore and transitional waters across Ireland and validated for generalization of the framework across at any geospatial scale using remote sensing (RS) products. To the best of authors knowledge, existing most of the studies only have demonstrated for retrieving particular water quality (WQ) indicators like turbidity, salinity or chlorophyll a without in depth validation results. Recently the authors comprehensively reviewed several studies focusing on the RS applications for assessing WQ using computational intelligence techniques (CIT) like machine learning, artificial intelligence, statistical approaches etc. Unfortunately, the reviewed findings reveals that most of the research are questionable in terms of using data transparency, and validation with independent or other geospatial domains applications of the existing developed tools. Therefore, the research aim was to develop a novel framework and validated with independent datasets including new domain(s) adaptation or validation. For developing the framework, to achieve the goal of the research, the study utilized Sentinel-3 (S3) OLCI RS reflectance data. For obtaining RS data, the study utilized S3-OLCI level 3(L3) and level 4 (L4) reflectance data Rhow_1 to Rhow_11 form the Copernicus Marine Services (CMS) repository datasets for 2016 to 2024. To obtain the overall WQ, the research considered 49 (in-situ) EPA, Ireland monitoring sites across various transitional and coastal waterbodies for computing the overall WQ (IEWQI scores) scores using recently developed and widely validated the IEWQI model. After than the RS data prepared and match-up with 49 considering monitoring sites. For predicting IEWQI scores, the research utilized the multi-scale signal processing framework (MSSPF) by following configurations: data augmentations: 2x to 20x, noise level from 0.0001 to 0.05, and data spilled ratios 60-20-20 and 70-20-10, respectively for train, test and validation of 43 CIT models using RS data from 2016 to 2023 both L3 and L4, whereas the 2024 dataset using for testing independent dataset to generalize the model prediction capabilities. Utilizing four identical model performance evaluation metrics, the results reveals that the PyTorchMLP could be effective (train performance : R2 = 0.86, RMSE =0.09, MSE = 0.008, and MAE = 0.067; test performance : R2 = 0.84, RMSE =0.094, MSE = 0.008, and MAE = 0.071; and validation performance : R2 = 0.81, RMSE =0.095, MSE = 0.009, and MAE = 0.074, respectively at 7x augmentation with 0.0001 of noise level for 60-20-20) compared to the 43 CIT models in terms of predicting and validating independent dataset (independent dataset validation performance for 2024 : R2 = 0.62, RMSE =0.164, MSE = 0.026, and MAE = 0.12). Based on the predicted IEWQI scores, the WQ ranked “marginal”, “fair” and “good” categories for Irish waterbodies. The findings of the framework align with the traditional EPA, Ireland monitoring approaches. However, findings of the research reveals that the proposed framework could be effective to monitoring WQ general purposes using RS data across any geospatial resolution.

Keywords: remote sensing; Copernicus database; MSSPF, IEWQI, Ireland.

How to cite: Uddin, M. G., Diganta, M. T. M., Sajib, A. M., Rahman, A., and Indiana, O.: A comprehensive framework for assessing marine, nearshore and transitional waters quality integrating Irish Water quality Index (IEWQI) model from remote sensing products using computational intelligence techniques, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20016, 2026.

EGU26-20097 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Comprehensive validation of the benefits of multi-sensor flood monitoring 

Chloe Campo, Paolo Tamagnone, Guy Schumann, Trinh Duc Tran, Suelynn Choy, and Yuriy Kuleshov

Multi-sensor methodologies are gaining traction within flood monitoring research, grounded in the rationale that data fusion from diverse sources mitigates uncertainty and improves spatiotemporal coverage. However, these assumed benefits are rarely quantified.

This work aims to comprehensively compare the performances of multi-sensor and single-sensor approaches to understand to what extent increasing the number and variegate data source may improve the detection rate and temporal characterisation of flood events. A multi-sensor flood monitoring approach using AMSR2 and VIIRS data is assessed against each sensor individually and against standard benchmarks in EO-based flood detection (e.g., MODIS and Sentinel-1)  for major flood events in the Savannakhet Province of Laos.

The comparative analysis evaluates multiple metrics. First, detection comparison classifies events as captured by each considered approach, multi-sensor only, each individual sensor only, or missed by all, to directly quantify the improvement attributable to multi-sensor integration. The spatial agreement is assessed between the multi-sensor and single sensor approaches for jointly detected flood events. Additionally, the temporal component is characterized by an examination of the observation frequency, maximum observation gaps, and peak capture timing. Lastly, the various detection outcomes are related to event characteristics, including cloud cover persistence, flood magnitude, duration, and flood type, quantifying the conditions under which a multi-sensor approach performs optimally.

How to cite: Campo, C., Tamagnone, P., Schumann, G., Duc Tran, T., Choy, S., and Kuleshov, Y.: Comprehensive validation of the benefits of multi-sensor flood monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20097, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20097, 2026.

Integrated Monitoring of Lake Garda with Radar, Optical Sensors and In Situ Instruments: Insights from the SARLAKES Project

Virginia Zamparelli1, Simona Verde1, Andrea Petrossi1, Gianfranco Fornaro1, Marina Amadori2,3, Mariano Bresciani2, Giacomo De Carolis2, Francesca De Santi4, Matteo De Vincenzi3, Giulio Dolcetti3, Ali Farrokhi3, Raffaella Frank2, Nicola Ghirardi2,5, Claudia Giardino2, Fulvio Gentilin6, Alessandro Oggioni2, Marco Papetti6, Gianluca Pari7 Andrea Pellegrino2, Sebastiano Piccolroaz3, Tazio Strozzi8, Marco Toffolon3, Maria Virelli7, Nestor Yague-Martinez9, and Giulia Valerio6

 

1Institute for Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment (IREA), National Research Council, Naples, Italy

2Institute for Electromagnetic Sensing of the Environment (IREA), National Research Council, Milan, Italy

3Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering (DICAM), University of Trento, Trento, Italy

4Institute for Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies (IMATI), National Research Council, Milan, Italy

5 Institute for BioEconomy (IBE), National Research Council, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy

6Department of Civil, Environmental, Architectural Engineering and Mathematics (DICATAM), University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy

7Italian Space Agency (ASI), Rome, Italy

8GAMMA Remote Sensing, Gümligen, Switzerland

9Capella Space Corp., San Francisco, CA, USA

 

SARLAKES (SpatiAlly Resolved veLocity and wAves from SAR images in laKES) is a PRIN (Projects of National Interest) project funded in 2022 by the Italian Ministry of University and Research. The project is now in its final phase and is scheduled to end at the beginning of 2026. The project developed a novel, advanced and adaptable tool capable of accurately measuring water dynamics in medium- and large-sized lakes.

A key and innovative aspect of the project is the use of spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data, which are widely exploited for routine observation of the marine environments but remain relatively underutilized for lake monitoring. SARLAKES investigated the capability of SAR imagery to retrieve the spatial distribution of wind fields, surface currents, and wind-generated waves in lacustrine environments.

The project considers Lake Garda and Lake Geneva as case studies, with Lake Garda—the largest lake in Italy—selected as the primary test site due to the research group’s long-standing experience and the availability of extensive historical data.

This contribution presents the main results obtained over two years of project activity, with particular emphasis on outcomes from a multidisciplinary field campaign conducted on April 2025. The campaign aimed to reconstruct lake surface currents during a strong wind event in the peri-Alpine Lake Garda region.

The field instrumentation included a wave buoy, an acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP), Lagrangian drifters, anemometers, a ground-based radar, fixed cameras, a drone, and a conductivity–temperature–depth profiler. Satellite acquisitions from the COSMO-SkyMed Second Generation and Capella Space SAR sensors, as well as from the optical sensor PRISMA were scheduled over the study area during the campaign. Archive data from Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, Sentinel-3, Landsat, and COSMO-SkyMed missions were also utilized.

The project demonstrates how the integration of in-situ instrumentation, spatially distributed flow measurements from remote sensing, and hydrodynamic modeling provides a comprehensive and scalable approach to next-generation monitoring of complex lake systems.

How to cite: Zamparelli, V. and the SARLAKES project team: Integrated Monitoring of Lake Garda with Radar, Optical Sensors and In Situ Instruments: Insights from the SARLAKES Project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21000, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21000, 2026.

Semi-urban vegetation systems play a critical role in ecosystem stability but are increasingly exposed to flood hazards due to climate variability and rapid land-use change. Accurate flood detection in such system remains challenging because radar backscatter is influenced by complex and mixed scattering mechanisms arising from vegetation, built-up structures, and surface water. Conventional intensity-based flood indices struggle to separate flooded vegetation from non-flooded rough surfaces and tend to miss inundated areas under mixed land-cover conditions. To address these limitations, this study presents a physically interpretable flood detection framework that integrates Synthetic Aperture Radar polarimetric descriptors with a machine learning classifier. The proposed approach utilizes dual-polarized Sentinel-1 SAR data to derive polarimetric features from Stokes parameters and the covariance matrix. Specifically, the Degree of Polarization and Linear Polarization Ratio are combined with eigenvalue-based information to capture changes in both amplitude and polarization state between pre-flood and during-flood conditions. These descriptors are integrated into a novel Flood Index (FI) designed to distinguish flooded urban areas dominated by double-bounce scattering from flooded vegetation characterized by depolarized volume scattering. Unlike commonly used indices such as the Normalized Difference Flood Index (NDFI) or VH/VV ratio, the proposed FI exploits polarization behaviour rather than relying solely on backscatter intensity. A Random Forest classifier is trained on the proposed FI using a tile-based sampling strategy to handle class imbalance between flooded and non-flooded pixels. The framework is evaluated across three flood events representing diverse geographic and land-cover conditions: the 2019 Typhoon Hagibis flood in Japan, the 2023 Yamuna River flood in India, and the 2023 Larissa flood in Greece. Model performance is assessed using multiple accuracy metrics, including F1 score, Intersection over Union (IoU), False Positive Rate (FPR), and False Negative Rate (FNR). Results demonstrate that the Random Forest model trained on the proposed Flood Index consistently outperforms threshold-based Otsu methods and NDFI across all study areas. The approach achieves F1 scores ranging from 0.81 to 0.86 and IoU values between 0.70 and 0.76, while maintaining a relatively low False Negative Rate (0.09-0.17), that is critical for minimizing missed flooded areas in disaster response applications. Sensitivity and ablation analyses further confirm the robustness of the Flood Index to speckle noise and highlight the complementary contribution of its individual components. Overall, the proposed framework offers a transferable and computationally efficient solution for flood mapping in semi-urban vegetation systems using widely available dual-polarized SAR data. The results highlight its potential for scalable flood monitoring and rapid damage assessment across regions with heterogeneous land-cover conditions.

How to cite: Adhikari, R. and Bhardwaj, A.: SAR polarimetry-based machine learning method for flood detection in semi-urban vegetation systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21063, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21063, 2026.

EGU26-21507 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Flood Susceptibility Mapping with GFI 2.0 and Artificial Intelligence Models 

Jorge Saavedra Navarro, Ruodan Zhuang, Caterina Samela, and Salvatore Manfreda

Floods are among the most damaging natural hazards, motivating the development of rapid and scalable tools for floodplain mapping across multiple return periods and for post-event assessment. The Geomorphic Flood Index (GFI) is widely used to identify flood-prone areas using topographic information, but it can exhibit reduced reliability under complex hydraulic conditions—particularly near confluences where backwater controls water levels—and it may systematically overestimate inundation extents when used as a binary classifier.

This study advances the GFI framework by explicitly accounting for backwater effects at river confluences and along tributary junctions. In parallel, to reduce the intrinsic overestimation of GFI-derived floodplains, we test a suite of Artificial Intelligence (AI) classifiers—Random Forest, XGBoost, and Neural Networks—trained through a multi-parametric formulation that combines GFI with auxiliary predictors, including precipitation, lithology, land use, and slope. The approach is evaluated across multiple Italian catchments, using satellite-derived inundation and hydrodynamic simulations as independent benchmarks. Model performance is quantified against the baseline GFI approach using a standard threshold-based binary classification using an optimal cutoff.

The proposed framework aims to improve post-event flood delineation under observational constraints (e.g., satellite data gaps due to cloud cover, vegetation, or imaging limitations) and to provide a computationally efficient surrogate for extending hydrodynamic information to additional return periods or large basins where full numerical modelling is impractical. Preliminary results indicate that Random Forest provides the most robust performance across study sites. Incorporating backwater effects yields clear gains at confluences, primarily by reducing omission errors and improving the representation of hydraulically controlled inundation patterns. Moreover, the AI-based correction substantially mitigates the overestimation typically associated with standard GFI mapping, resulting in floodplain delineations that are more consistent with complex hydrodynamic processes and suitable for scalable flood hazard applications.

How to cite: Saavedra Navarro, J., Zhuang, R., Samela, C., and Manfreda, S.: Flood Susceptibility Mapping with GFI 2.0 and Artificial Intelligence Models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21507, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21507, 2026.

EGU26-21622 | ECS | Orals | HS6.5

Mapping and modeling coastal flood dynamics using remote sensing and hydrodynamic models 

Giovanni Fasciglione, Guido Benassai, Gaia Mattei, and Pietro Patrizio Ciro Aucelli

This study presents an integrated and multidisciplinary methodology for investigating coastal flooding and morphodynamic processes in low-lying coastal environments, with a comparative application to two geomorphologically distinct Mediterranean coastal plains: the Volturno Plain and the Fondi Plain. The methodological framework combines high-resolution topographic and bathymetric datasets, aerial remote sensing, sedimentological analyses, statistical wave climate assessment, numerical hydrodynamic modelling, and relative sea-level rise scenarios that incorporate both eustatic trends and local vertical land movements. This approach enables a robust evaluation of how differing coastal configurations influence flooding susceptibility under extreme marine conditions.

For both study areas, the topographic baseline was derived from 2 m resolution LiDAR-based Digital Terrain Models, subsequently refined using site-specific datasets. In the Volturno Plain, extensive GNSS field surveys were conducted along the beach between Volturno and Regi Lagni river mouths. In the Fondi Plain, DTM refinement relied on aerial drone surveys carried out over the beach sector between the Canneto and Sant’Anastasia river mouths. Photogrammetric processing of aerial imagery allowed the generation of high-resolution surface models, which were integrated with the existing LiDAR DTM to enhance the depiction of subtle morphological features critical for flood propagation.

Sedimentological characterization was performed to constrain morphodynamic responses. Granulometric samples were collected along cross-shore transects at elevations ranging from −1.5 m to +2 m. Grain-size distribution analyses supported the calibration and interpretation of sediment transport and wave dissipation processes within numerical models.

Bathymetric modelling was based on high-precision single-beam echo-sounder surveys, with depth data corrected for tidal variations using official tide-gauge records. Emerged and submerged datasets were merged into continuous topo-bathymetric models, ensuring consistency in vertical reference systems and numerical stability.

Marine storms were identified through the analysis of offshore buoy records using a Peak Over Threshold approach. Storm events were classified into five classes using their Storm Power Index calculated by combining significant wave height and event duration. Representative events were selected as boundary conditions for coupled hydrodynamic simulations performed with Delft3D and XBeach. Simulations were run for future scenarios based on high-emission IPCC projections (SSP 5-8.5), integrating local sea-level rise, local subsidence rates, and highest tidal and surge levels.

A comparative analysis of the simulation outcomes highlights marked differences between the two coastal plains. The Volturno Plain results highly prone to inundation, with storm surges overtopping dune systems and propagating inland due to low elevations, local subsidence, and limited effectiveness of existing coastal defenses. Conversely, the Fondi Plain exhibits significantly reduced flood penetration. The presence of a wide bar system, coupled with efficient coastal defense structures, promotes substantial dissipation of incoming wave energy. As a result, even under intense storm conditions, inundation remains confined to a narrow coastal strip immediately landward of the beach.

Overall, the comparative methodological application demonstrates how coastal morphology, sedimentological properties, and defense systems critically control flood dynamics. The proposed framework provides a transferable and decision-oriented tool for assessing coastal vulnerability and supporting adaptation strategies in heterogeneous low-lying coastal settings under climate change pressure.

How to cite: Fasciglione, G., Benassai, G., Mattei, G., and Aucelli, P. P. C.: Mapping and modeling coastal flood dynamics using remote sensing and hydrodynamic models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21622, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21622, 2026.

EGU26-21631 | ECS | Posters on site | HS6.5

Assessment of Multi-Mission Satellite Altimetry GDR L2 Products for River Water Surface Elevation in the Ganga Basin 

Barun Kumar, Shyam Bihari Dwivedi, and Shishir Gaur

Precise monitoring of water surface elevation (WSE) in data-deficient areas such as the Ganga River stretch is essential for hydrological modelling, flood prediction, and comprehensive water resource management. This study introduces a comprehensive evaluation framework for Level-2 Geophysical Data Records (GDR L2) derived from various satellite altimetry missions, including Sentinel-3A/B, Sentinel-6A, Jason-3, and SWOT Nadir, validated against in-situ gauge stations from the Central Water Commission (CWC) across a range of hydrological conditions. The process includes advanced geographical analysis. Gaussian-process Kriging interpolation generates continuous longitudinal WSE profiles across strategically placed virtual stations; rigorous outlier detection employs interquartile range (IQR) and Hampel filters; bias correction employs dry-season median alignment to a common orthometric datum; and Kalman filter smoothing effectively reduces measurement noise while preserving critical hydrological signal dynamics.

Comprehensive performance evaluations employ co-located time series analysis, scatter plots, and flow duration curves (FDCs), with seasonal stratification distinguishing monsoon high-flow variability from stable non-monsoon baseflow conditions. The evaluation stresses physically significant parameters based on Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) and RMSE. Sentinel-6A is the strongest performer in all situations with high non-monsoon accuracy (KGE 0.894, RMSE 0.089 m) and monsoon performance (KGE 0.57, RMSE 3.08 m) despite turbulent flow issues, but SWOT Nadir's processing potential is limited by specific hooking artifacts. During non-monsoon periods, measurement reliability is consistently 2-4 times higher. This proven multi-mission system demonstrates satellite altimetry as an operationally viable method for WSE retrieval in major braided rivers, allowing for accurate rating curve generation and discharge computation. In future machine learning data fusion and hydrodynamic modelling can be incorporated to increase basin-scale forecast capabilities.

How to cite: Kumar, B., Dwivedi, S. B., and Gaur, S.: Assessment of Multi-Mission Satellite Altimetry GDR L2 Products for River Water Surface Elevation in the Ganga Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21631, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21631, 2026.

EGU26-21734 | Posters on site | HS6.5

Evaluating Copernicus Global Flood Monitoring (GFM) Service trade-offs in near-real-time flood mapping 

Shagun Garg, Ningxin He, Sivasakthy Selvakumaran, and Edoardo Borgomeo

Near-real-time satellite-based flood maps support disaster risk management and emergency response. One widely used service is the Global Flood Monitoring (GFM) product of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service, launched in 2021 and based on Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data. The GFM service combines three flood-mapping algorithms: pixel-based thresholding, region-based approaches, and change-detection techniques, merged using a majority-voting scheme to generate the final flood extent product. Another key strength of the GFM service is its rapid analysis, providing flood maps within approximately five hours of satellite image acquisition through a fully automated processing chain. As the product is increasingly relied upon by practitioners and decision-makers, there is a growing need to assess its accuracy and robustness. Understanding false alarms and missed detections is critical for improving the reliability and usability of the service.


In this study, we systematically compare GFM flood maps across twenty real-world flood events using high-resolution reference datasets. To ensure temporal consistency, the GFM-derived flood maps are generated using Sentinel-1 acquisitions from the same day as the reference observations. Spatial agreement between datasets is quantified using the Intersection-over-Union metric.


Our results suggest that the GFM service performs well for large, extensive flood events but degrades for smaller, localized ones. Many of the observed errors come not from flood detection itself, but from inaccuracies in the reference water layer - while surface water is correctly identified, misclassification of permanent or seasonal water bodies leads to false alarms and missed floods. We evaluate the three-underlying flood-mapping algorithms individually for consistent patterns of misdetection or false alarms. In addition, we develop an automated framework to rapidly compare any external flood map with the GFM outputs, enabling near-instant evaluation of agreement and error patterns. 


This framework provides practical insights into where and why the GFM services achieve successes and failures and offers continuous validation and iterative improvement of global flood mapping services. 

How to cite: Garg, S., He, N., Selvakumaran, S., and Borgomeo, E.: Evaluating Copernicus Global Flood Monitoring (GFM) Service trade-offs in near-real-time flood mapping, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21734, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21734, 2026.

EGU26-22077 | Orals | HS6.5

A fully automatic processing chain for the systematic monitoring of surface water using Copernicus Sentinel 1 satellite data: first results of the SCO-CASCADES project. 

Renaud Hostache, Cyprien Alexandre, Chhenglang Heng, Thibault Catry, Vincent Herbreteau, Vannak Ann, Christophe Révillion, and Carole Delenne

Water is essential to life and health of various ecological and social systems. Unfortunately, water is one of the natural resources most impacted by climate change, with increasingly intense hydro-meteorological extremes (floods, droughts, etc.) and growing societal demand. To help manage this vulnerable resource, it is vital to assess and monitor its availability on a regular basis, as well as to track its trajectory over time to better understand the impact of global change on it. Surface water (lakes, rivers, flood plains, etc.) represents an important component of total water resources, and it is of primary importance to monitor it to better understand and manage the consequences of climate change. Surface water resources provide populations around the world with essential ecosystem services such as power generation, irrigation, drinking water for humans and livestock, and space for farming and fishing.

In this context, the SCO-CASCADES project implements end-to-end processing chains for satellite Earth observation data, including Sentinel-1 and 2 (S-1 and S-2), in order to provide surface water products (surface water body and inundation depth maps) that will be made available via an interactive platform co-constructed with identified users.

In the first phase of the project a fully automated Sentinel-1 based processing chain has been implemented. This chain is based on automatic multiscale image histogram parameterization followed by thresholding, region growing and chain detection applied on individual, subsequent pairs, and time series of S1 images. This chain enables us to derive various products: i) an exclusion layer identifying areas where water cannot be detected on Sentinel 1 image (e.g. Urban and forested areas), ii) permanent seasonal water body maps, iii) a water body map for each S1 image, iv) an uncertainty map characterizing the water body classification uncertainty, v) an occurrence map providing the number of times (over the time series) each pixel was covered by open water.

Here, we propose to present and evaluate the robustness of the processing chain and the resulting maps produced using multi-year S1 time series over two large scale sites: the Mekong flood plains between Kratie, the Tonle Sap lake and the Mekong Delta, and the Tsiribihina basin in Madagascar. The kappa score obtained from the comparison between S1 and S2-derived maps shows a good agreement yielding CSI and Kappa Cohen scores most of the time higher than 0.7 and sometimes reaching values higher than 0.9.

How to cite: Hostache, R., Alexandre, C., Heng, C., Catry, T., Herbreteau, V., Ann, V., Révillion, C., and Delenne, C.: A fully automatic processing chain for the systematic monitoring of surface water using Copernicus Sentinel 1 satellite data: first results of the SCO-CASCADES project., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22077, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22077, 2026.

GM3 – Geomorphology, extreme events, and hazards

EGU26-349 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Investigating the interplay between landslide location, drivers, and the earthquake legacy impact on sediment flux in a small mountainous river in Taiwan 

Ying-Tong Lin, Laura Turnbull-Lloyd, John Wainwright, Jeff Keck, and Erkan Istanbulluoglu

Landslide sediment in small mountain rivers (SMRs), particularly in East Asia, is a major source of the sediment exported from land to ocean. These landslides are usually triggered by earthquakes or rainstorms, at different locations on the hillslope: earthquake-induced landslides tend to occur in hillslope crest regions, whilst rainstorm-induced landslides tend to occur at the hillslope base. These characteristic landslide locations affect the timescales over which the sediment is transported to and through the river network. Previous studies found that landslides closer to the river network will have a shorter sediment residence time, whilst earthquake-driven landslides in hillslope crest regions have a longer residence time. Our earlier work has shown that earthquakes have a legacy impact on the location of the subsequent rainstorm-induced landslides, potentially increasing the sediment residence time of these events, compared to rainstorm-driven landslides that are not shaped by previous earthquakes . However, the effects of these legacy earthquake impacts on controlling sediment export from SMRs during successive rainstorm-triggered landslide events are not well understood, yet are likely to be important in countries such as Taiwan that are exposed to the combined effects of earthquakes and tropical rainstorms. In this study, we used the MassWastingRouter (MWR) model to simulate landslide sediment transport from the landslide source location to the river outlet in the Nei-Mao-Pu catchment, Choshui River, Taiwan, for the 2013 Nan-Tou earthquake and three subsequent rainstorm events, each with a reduced legacy impact of the Nan-Tou earthquake: Typhoon Soulik (2013), an extreme rainfall event (2015), and Typhoons Lekima and Bailiu (2019). We simulated landslide movement on hillslopes using the MassWastingRunout(MWRu) submodel, and then simulated the sediment transport from hillslopes to the river network using the  MassWastingEroder(MWE) submodel. Next, the NetworkSedimentTransporter (from Landlab) was used to simulate fluvial sediment transport process to characterize the spatial and temporal dynamics of sediment transport from landslide locations to the river outlet. We then applied a functional connectivity-based analysis to explore time and space scales over which landslide-derived sediment from landslide source locations is connected to downstream locations within the river network. This approach enables us to better understand how sediment from different landslide locations contributes to overall sediment residence time within the system. The results demonstrate how the interaction between earthquakes and subsequent rainstorms ultimately controls sediment transport, providing crucial knowledge of sediment transport regimes and sediment source management in SMRs. 

How to cite: Lin, Y.-T., Turnbull-Lloyd, L., Wainwright, J., Keck, J., and Istanbulluoglu, E.: Investigating the interplay between landslide location, drivers, and the earthquake legacy impact on sediment flux in a small mountainous river in Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-349, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-349, 2026.

The accurate assessment and early warning of avalanche disasters are crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation in mountainous areas during winter and spring. This study systematically developed a meteorological risk assessment framework for avalanches in the Tianshan region of Xinjiang, integrating historical avalanche cases with meteorological data and research literature. The framework comprises four key components: topographic factors (disaster-prone environments), pre-avalanche snow conditions, meteorological conditions prior to the event, and weather conditions during the avalanche period. It includes seven evaluation factors: pre-avalanche snow depth, altitude, slope gradient, prior temperature data, prior cumulative snowfall, and daily snowfall amount, new snow accumulation depth on the day of the event. On this basis, the paper first normalizes each disaster factor by the method of graded value assignment, then calculates the hazard index of the environment and the hazard index of meteorological factor respectively by the method of equal weight sum, and then obtains the comprehensive meteorological hazard index of avalanche by the algorithm of multiplication, and finally obtains the quantitative grading of avalanche meteorological hazard index and the evaluation result of avalanche meteorological hazard index. The model is applied to calculate the spatial distribution of avalanche risk in the Tianshan area of Xinjiang in February 2024. The results show that the actual avalanche occurrence area is consistent with the high risk area calculated by the model. This study provides a preliminary quantitative method and technical support for future avalanche risk assessment and early warning. In the future, it will further integrate the disaster-prone environment and underlying surface elements, optimize the normalized grading threshold and factor weight distribution, and attempt to conduct multi-scenario experiments to enhance the model's comprehensive predictive capability and applicability.

How to cite: Zhao, H.: Research on Avalanche Meteorological Hazard Assessment Based on Multi-source Data and Multi-factor, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3288, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3288, 2026.

EGU26-4967 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.1

GIS-Based Assessment of Transportation Network Resilience under Hazard Scenarios 

Zhekai Tang and Daniel Hölbling

Natural hazards such as landslides and floods can disrupt alpine transportation corridors far beyond the directly affected sites, cutting off critical access routes, delaying emergency response, and amplifying cascading socio-economic impacts. However, hazard susceptibility mapping and transportation resilience analysis are still often conducted as separate exercises. This study therefore proposes a GIS-based framework combining hazard susceptibility mapping with network resilience analysis. Landslide and flood susceptibility maps for Zell am See and Saalfelden (Pinzgau, Salzburg) were generated using a patch-based 2D convolutional neural network (CNN) with 15×15-pixel contextual inputs, after logistic regression screening to remove redundant factors. Node importance was evaluated via a principal component analysis (PCA)-derived composite of betweenness, straightness, and degree, followed by role-based classification and staged hazard simulations. The CNN achieved high accuracy (AUC = 0.89 for landslides and 0.90 for floods), with hazard zones strongly matching historical events. Simulation results show that removing just 10% of high-risk nodes can reduce average straightness by over 30% in Zell am See, while Saalfelden’s network degrades more gradually. The framework identifies hazard-exposed Fragile Hubs as priority targets for monitoring or reinforcement and highlights the resilience advantage of Robust Cores. This approach offers a transferable tool for multi-hazard transport resilience planning in alpine regions.

How to cite: Tang, Z. and Hölbling, D.: GIS-Based Assessment of Transportation Network Resilience under Hazard Scenarios, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4967, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4967, 2026.

GNSS Interferometric Reflectometry (GNSS-IR) exploits the multipath interference between direct GNSS signals and ground-reflected signals received by a geodetic antenna. Variations in the reflected signal phase and amplitude, observed in the Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) data, encode changes in near-surface properties, most critically soil moisture. For landslides, soil moisture is a first-order control on effective stress reduction, shear strength loss, and pore-water pressure buildup. Thus, GNSS-IR provides a physically meaningful proxy for hydrologic preconditioning before slope failure. GNSS-IR was set to detect the hydrologic state around the station, and InSAR was used to obtain regional deformation. GNSS wet-delay data served as in situ rainfall measurements. All these data were combined to observe rapid wetting, sustained saturation, and deformation. This architecture significantly reduced false alarms compared with rainfall-only systems. Several dual-phase GNSS tracking stations have been installed in the mountainous regions of Taiwan to determine the precise location and detect slope stability. This approach collected historical data to train the machine learning model at each station, and the model parameters could predict rapid wetting before reaching the critical point. The preliminary results show an improvement of 20% compared to the traditional empirical method and could issue an early warning of as much as 5-10 minutes with a 20 Hz GNSS receiver.

How to cite: Yu, T.-T.: Applying GNSS-IR Technique with High-Rate Receiver to Reinforce the Accuracy of Landslide Early Waring in Tawain, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6275, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6275, 2026.

EGU26-8931 | Posters on site | GM3.1

Geologic and geomorphic controls on the 2025 Matai’an landslide and downstream impacts 

Jiun-Yee Yen, Larry Syu-Heng Lai, Joshua Roering, Li-Hung Lin, Pei-Ling Wang, and Wan-Yin Lien

The July 2025 Matai'an (MTA) landslide, which created a large dam lake in the high mountains of eastern Taiwan, is one of the largest landslides in the 21st century and constitutes an impactful cascading land-surface hazard following regional earthquakes and intense precipitation from typhoons. The September 2025 dam breach caused fatalities and infrastructure damage, and the large volume of remaining landslide deposits poses long-term threats to downstream communities. The MTA event prompts investigation into whether such catastrophic events are coincidental or represent recurring phenomena in this rapidly uplifting, humid mountain range.

In this study, we integrate multi-temporal satellite imagery, historical and modern aerial photography, and high-resolution DEM topographic analysis to understand the MTA failure mechanism and regional landslide history. At the initiation zone, field and remote sensing observations reveal an extensive earthflow-type landslide complex, primarily composed of weathered and fluidized pelitic schist fragments with limited boulder-sized blocks. These materials originated near a marble-schist bedrock contact, where fracture zones act as groundwater conduits and promote weathering of pelitic schist into clay-rich, liquefiable material. Time-series analysis reveals strong seasonal variations and a decadal trend of increasing surface water retention (NDWI) and vegetation stress prior to failure, creating ideal conditions for producing weathered fine-grained materials that progressively reached saturation.

To accumulate approximately 300 million m³ of failable materials on over-steepened hillslopes in this rapidly uplifting terrain, we observe evidence for variations in channel-hillslope coupling that enable weathered materials to accumulate in abundance prior to the 2025 failure. Analysis of normalized channel steepness identifies a prominent knickpoint at the tributary junction where the dam lake formed. This knickpoint acts as a local base level, creating gentler upstream gradients that limit sediment connectivity and delivery. This configuration, combined with accelerated bedrock weathering, causes debris production to outpace river incision in the uplands of the catchment. Consequently, thick packages of weathered colluvium accumulate on hillslopes until mechanical thresholds are breached by earthquake ground shaking and typhoon triggers.

Our DEM-based inventory of historical landslides in MTA and nearby catchments reveals the signature and remnants of similarly sized ancient landslide complexes not yet evacuated by rivers. We identify several belts of comparable earthflow deposits preserved along equivalent lithological contacts in eastern Taiwan's Central Range, demonstrating that MTA-type events may be characteristic in this setting. Satellite and aerial imagery mapping since the 1940s provides evidence of repeated large landslide activity and decadal-scale rapid regeneration of slide-prone weathered materials. These findings reveal an extremely hazardous landscape where rapid bedrock weathering, coupled with transient river adjustments, generates large, periodic catastrophic landslides.

How to cite: Yen, J.-Y., Lai, L. S.-H., Roering, J., Lin, L.-H., Wang, P.-L., and Lien, W.-Y.: Geologic and geomorphic controls on the 2025 Matai’an landslide and downstream impacts, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8931, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8931, 2026.

EGU26-10711 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.1

Reconstructing the magnitude and characteristics of the 2013 Kedarnath disaster using its geomorphic signature 

Nancy Howe, Fiona Clubb, and Erin Harvey

In 2013, a cloudburst event devastated the town of Kedarnath in the Indian Himalaya. This widespread, extremely intense burst of rainfall triggered thousands of landslides and debris flows in several hours. Simultaneous rapid snow melt, an abundance of landslide debris and heavy rainfall led to the catastrophic breach of the Chorabari Tal lake, sending a sediment-laden flood wave through the town and propagating down valley, killing over 5000 people and causing around US$1 billion in damage. The catastrophic damage at Kedarnath means documentation and reconstructions of the event have focused largely along the Mandakini River. Furthermore, the spatial extent and intensity of cloudburst events is often difficult to ascertain due to events being highly localised and difficult to capture using satellite datasets or rainfall gauges. However, the effect of the cloudburst extended much further across the entire Alaknanda catchment, with several sediment-rich flow events also triggered in the neighbouring valley of Badrinath. Since sediment-rich flows typically occur individually, this event presents a unique opportunity to consider controls on the magnitude and characteristics of sediment-rich flows triggered under similar tectonic and climatic conditions.

Here, we present a manually mapped inventory of debris flows and sediment-rich floods for the high elevation regions of the Alaknanda catchment. By manually mapping debris flows and sediment-rich flood deposits using high-resolution imagery, we can document the geomorphic signature of the 2013 Kedarnath disaster in both Kedarnath and Badrinath. We use this inventory to determine controls on the magnitude and occurrence of sediment-rich flows within the Indian Himalaya, exploring the importance of topography, channel characteristics and sediment supply. We will simulate mapped flows using the model LaharFlow to evaluate controls on the size and triggering conditions of the flows. We will supplement our modelling analysis with metrics such as debris flow densities to better constrain the intensity of the cloudburst event across the full Alaknanda basin. This research will identify first-order controls on the magnitude and frequency of sediment-rich hazards triggered during the same cloudburst event. As cloudbursts are likely to increase in frequency and/or intensity with climate change, this research is time-critical.

How to cite: Howe, N., Clubb, F., and Harvey, E.: Reconstructing the magnitude and characteristics of the 2013 Kedarnath disaster using its geomorphic signature, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10711, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10711, 2026.

EGU26-10761 | Orals | GM3.1

From sediment source hotspots to toposequence-based cascade systems: Modelling potential hazard response under seasonal and extreme rainfall scenarios in Alpine catchments. 

Sara Savi, Michael Maerker, Marco Cavalli, Ananya Pandey, Roberto Seppi, and Manuel La Licata

Keywords: Integrated model; Sediment dynamics; Sediment connectivity; Scenario analysis; Extreme events; HOTSED.

 

This study presents the preliminary results from the adaptation and implementation of the HOTSED framework (La Licata et al., 2025) in two high-altitude catchments in the Eastern Alps. The HOTSED model assesses the spatial distribution of sediment source hotspots and highlights the sediment transfer pathways driven by water runoff. Here, we adapted HOTSED to analyze how sediment sources and sediment patterns vary seasonally and between daily extreme rainfall events. We analyzed four seasonal scenarios as well as four daily scenarios including extreme events with different return periods (i.e. daily, 10-year, 30-year, and 50-year events). A polygon-based geomorphological map was used to spatially distribute sediment sources and sinks across the catchments. The potential contribution of each geomorphological unit as a sediment source was evaluated through a qualitative scoring system based on database attributes, complemented by numerical semi-quantitative indices of variables like slope, permafrost distribution, and a proxy of frost-cracking-induced slope instability. A geomorphometric connectivity index was used to calculate structural sediment connectivity. For each scenario, the potential for sediment transport was assessed using a sediment transport index calibrated to rainfall intensity, excluding snowfall-driven contributions using a 0°C ground surface temperature threshold to mask snow-covered areas. Finally, all components were integrated using a raster-based approach yielding the HOTSED model. Results show pronounced seasonal variability in hotspot distribution across the two catchments, where the strongest contrasts between winter and summer-autumn are driven by differences in rainfall-snowfall spatial patterns and intensity. Extreme rainfall scenarios led to significant increases in hotspot distribution and extent, with the most pronounced variance occurring between the standard and 10-year event scenarios. This suggests that more frequent extremes, expected to become even less rare under climate change, may have a greater overall impact than rarer high-intensity events. In addition, the model highlights sequences of connected landforms, classified with different degrees of hazard potential, which may represent the most interesting locations for the occurrence of cascading events. These findings offer critical insights for sediment-related risk management in Alpine catchments under ongoing climatic changes.

 

Acknowledgement

We express our gratitude to Anuschka Buter for providing the geomorphological map dataset used in this study.

References

La Licata, M., Bosino, A., Sadeghi S.H., De Amicis, M., Mandarino, A., Terret, A. & Maerker, M. (2025). HOTSED: A new integrated model for assessing potential hotspots of sediment sources and related sediment dynamics at watershed scale. Int. Soil Water Conserv. Res., 13(1), 80-101. DOI: 10.1016/j.iswcr.2024.06.002.

How to cite: Savi, S., Maerker, M., Cavalli, M., Pandey, A., Seppi, R., and La Licata, M.: From sediment source hotspots to toposequence-based cascade systems: Modelling potential hazard response under seasonal and extreme rainfall scenarios in Alpine catchments., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10761, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10761, 2026.

EGU26-13769 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.1

The 2023 Island Lake Landslide in the Uinta Mountains, Utah as an Example of an Emerging Climate Hazard in Mountain Regions 

Lily Weissman, Liam Reynolds, and Jeffrey Munroe

A landslide in July, 2023 mobilized loosely indurated clastic sediments at 3780 m elevation on the steep glacial headwall near Island Lake in the Uinta Mountains (Utah).  Sediment mobilized by the failure was conveyed ~10 km downvalley by streams, turning a chain of connected lakes a striking orange color.  This coloration persisted until the lakes froze at the end of October, and was still visible in satellite imagery when the lake ice cover melted the following June.  The longevity of this effect testifies to the involvement of particularly fine-grained material that remained suspended in the water.  Previous work at a similar elevation 7 km to the east documented the presence of orange-colored soils rich in clay-sized (<2 µm) material shown by XRD to be smectite.  Grab samples (n=32) of sediment collected from the landslide area in August, 2024 were assessed for color (by spectrophotometry) and mineralogy (by XRD), and compared with selected samples (n=14) from a previously collected sediment core spanning the Holocene from a lake impacted by the landslide.  This analysis revealed that the grab samples with the most orange colors contained the largest component of smectite.  In contrast, none of the lake sediment samples displayed such high orange values, and all of the lake sediment samples were dominated by illite, with no detectable smectite in the XRD patterns.  These results support the interpretation that the orange color in the lakes was produced by smectite mobilized by the landslide, and that the 2023 slope failure was unusual in the context of the Holocene.  

Analysis of local meteorological data (1-hr resolution) revealed that the 2023 melt season (April 1st-July 31st) was anomalously cold relative to melt seasons in the previous decade (2013-22).  By July 31st, 2023, 21,125 thawing degree-hours had accumulated over the melt season representing a 17% decrease from the 2013-2022 average.  In addition, 2023 was characterized by an above average snowpack, with nearby SNOTEL stations recording >155% of the median April 1st snow water equivalent (SWE). Snow covered area was quantified using a machine learning approach in Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 imagery, which revealed that snow persisted on the landscape substantially later in the 2023 melt season compared to the preceding decade.  Particularly notably, during week 9 of the melt season (May 27-June 3) in 2023 the landscape was ~89% snow covered compared to the 2013-2022 average of only ~52%.  Ultimate snowpack ablation occurred more rapidly in 2023, with a 27% greater daily average melt rate compared to the long term median from peak SWE to zero.  This combination of persistent and greater snow cover, with delayed and accelerated snowmelt, likely triggered the July 2023 landslide.

How to cite: Weissman, L., Reynolds, L., and Munroe, J.: The 2023 Island Lake Landslide in the Uinta Mountains, Utah as an Example of an Emerging Climate Hazard in Mountain Regions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13769, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13769, 2026.

Landslides are increasingly recognized as dynamic agents that directly shape the Earth's surface, yet their role as fundamental drivers of geomorphic, climatic, and geochemical feedback remains poorly quantified. Current landscape evolution models largely treat landslides as episodic disturbances, neglecting their systemic influence on drainage reorganization, sediment cascades, and geochemical cycles. This proposal bridges these gaps by presenting an integrated framework that positions landslides as a central driver in landscape evolution.

Our project will pursue four interconnected objectives: (i) Quantify how landslides exclusively drive drainage divide migration and fluvial adjustments; (ii) Develop and validate a Thermal Stress Landslide Susceptibility Index (TSLSI) to model climate-sensitive slope preconditioning; (iii) Track the geomorphic impact of landslide-sourced sediment pulses using remote sensing and numerical modeling; and (iv) Assessment of CO₂ drawdown potential via chemical weathering within landslide scars, integrating this feedback into landscape evolution models. We will employ an interdisciplinary methodology, synthesizing high-resolution remote sensing, geochemical fingerprinting, field monitoring, and advanced numerical modeling. Study areas include the tectonically active Himalayas and the Alps.

The anticipated results have the potential to transform our understanding of landslide geomorphology. We expect to provide the first systematic link between landslide patterns and divide migration, deliver the TSLSI as a predictive tool for slope stability under climatic forcing, unravel the controls on sediment pulse generation and evacuation, and, critically, quantify a previously unrecognized carbon sink mechanism via landslide-enhanced weathering.

How to cite: Das, S. and Scaringi, G.: Landslides as systemic drivers of landscape evolution: bridging geomorphic, climatic, and geochemical feedback, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14162, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14162, 2026.

EGU26-15383 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

The downstream story of a mountain disaster: how hydraulic infrastructure shapes sediment plume propagation  

Qiuyang Chen, Matthew Westoby, and Stuart Dunning

High-magnitude mass flows originating in mountain terrain are often interpreted through their near-source geomorphic signatures—scarps, deposits, and valley-floor reworking. Yet some of the most widespread and immediate enviornmental impacts are transmitted far downstream by suspended sediment plumes, which can move rapidly through river corridors and interact with dams, barrages, and canal networks that regulate flow and sediment transport. Because plume fronts can outpace field response and because engineered infrastructure complicates sediment routing, the long-range behaviour and impact footprint of suspended-sediment pulses remain poorly constrained. 

We examine the long-range transmission of suspended -sediment plumes triggered by the ~27 Mm³ Chamoli rock–ice avalanche–debris-flow cascade in the Garhwal Himalaya (Uttarakhand, India) in February 2021. The event caused >200 fatalities, major hydropower damage, and extensive valley-floor sedimentation, before highly turbid floodwaters propagated into the Ganga river system and the densely populated Ganga Canal network, where it severely disrupted water treatment serving millions in the greater Delhi region. Using high spatiotemporal resolution Earth observation, we reconstruct plume-front evolution from mountain headwaters into the Ganga main stem and canal pathways. The suspended sediment front is observed to propagate over 1000 km downstream in the main river and over 600 km within the canal network, extending far beyond the initial runout zone. We quantify hydro-sedimentary changes along the flood path, revealing a progressive downstream dilution of the plume.  By linking plume dynamics to population distribution, we estimate that tens of millions of people across were potentially exposed to elevated water turbidity conditions. We use hydrodynamic modelling to explore how flow regulation, impoundment, and infrastructure condition modulate plume behaviour, showing rapid initial propagation rates (about 160 km per day) followed by pronounced downstream deceleration (<10 km per day) associated with regulated reaches and storage effects. 

Our results demonstrate how high-resolution Earth observation can reveal the often overlooked, long-range footprint of mountain mass-flow sediment pulses which can extend many hundreds of kilometres from source, providing new insights relevant for downstream risk assessment and water resources management in regions where cascading hazards are expected to become more frequent. 

How to cite: Chen, Q., Westoby, M., and Dunning, S.: The downstream story of a mountain disaster: how hydraulic infrastructure shapes sediment plume propagation , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15383, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15383, 2026.

EGU26-15420 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Glacial Lake Outburst Floods and Their Long-Term Impacts on Himalayan Landscapes 

Lucia Manatschal, Karl W. Wegmann, Basant Bhandari, and Lewis A. Owen

Glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) are high-magnitude events that occur when the dam of a glacial lake fails, releasing huge volumes of water and entrained debris. The increasing frequency of GLOFs, driven by the ongoing effects of climate change, raises concerns about the long-term stability of high-mountain regions in Nepal and across the Himalayas. While the immediate impacts of catastrophic GLOFs are often devastating, the secondary hazards they trigger are frequently overlooked. These secondary hazards, including landslides, geomorphic instability, and stream channel destabilization, pose significant challenges to local communities. Although GLOF events typically last only minutes to hours, the geohazard cascades they initiate may affect communities for years or even decades. A recent GLOF event that caused extensive damage to infrastructure and farmland in Thame, a small mountain village in Nepal's Khumbu Himal region, demonstrated this chain of cascading hazards. Following the catastrophic outburst of two glacial lakes on August 16, 2024, the village now faces increased landslide risk due to significant stream-channel incision below the settlement. The geologic layers beneath the town are susceptible to slow-moving, deep-seated rotational landslides, particularly when lateral support is reduced by stream incision. As a result, the fluvial terrace on which the village is built is becoming increasingly likely to fail from landsliding. Field investigations in fall 2024 collected drone imagery and ground-based photographs of the flood deposits and affected downstream areas. These data were used to develop high-resolution photogrammetric topographic models, enabling reconstruction of the flood dynamics and the evolution of similar past events. Analysis of sediment deposits further reveals how GLOFs interact with ongoing geomorphic processes, contributing to landscape transformation over time. By integrating field observations with photogrammetric modeling, this study highlights the cascading nature of hazards following GLOFs and their role in shaping mountain landscapes.

How to cite: Manatschal, L., Wegmann, K. W., Bhandari, B., and Owen, L. A.: Glacial Lake Outburst Floods and Their Long-Term Impacts on Himalayan Landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15420, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15420, 2026.

EGU26-15895 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.1

Connectivity-based assessment of trajectories and channel linkage of rainfall-triggered mass movements 

Franciele Zanandrea, Gean Paulo Michel, Carolina Bastos Marques Lopes, Artur Nonato Vieira Cereto, Rodrigo Coutinho Loureiro Mansur, and Danúbia Teixeira Silva

Identifying the trajectories followed by mass movements, especially when they evolve into debris flows, is essential for producing hazard maps and for understanding the sediment inputs to channels associated with these processes. Hydrosedimentological connectivity makes it possible to estimate the transfer potential of material mobilized in source areas toward targets of interest, such as the drainage network, while also indicating possible preferential pathways. Because the trajectories of sediments and mobilized material are conditioned by topography and surface runoff, structural and functional elements of connectivity can serve as a proxy to interpret the dynamics and routes of mass movements. This study evaluates connectivity along the scars of mass movements, both connected and not connected to the channel network, triggered by an extreme precipitation event in the municipality of Angra dos Reis (Rio de Janeiro State), Brazil, in 2023. To this end, we analyze: (i) structural connectivity, represented by the Index of Connectivity (IC), and (ii) structural and functional connectivity, represented by the Index of Hydrosedimentological Connectivity (IHC). Differences between connected and disconnected scars were examined using statistical tests, including assessments of normality and between-group comparisons using Student’s t-test and the Mann–Whitney U test, applied to scar-level statistical metrics (mean, median, standard deviation, maximum, range, and variance), according to the data distribution. Effect magnitudes were quantified using Cohen’s d and r (rank-biserial). The results indicate that both indices were able to capture mass-movement trajectories, highlighting preferential sediment-transfer pathways. IC and IHC values show a significant difference between connected and disconnected scars. The approximately normal distribution observed for the IHC scar statistics (mean, median, and standard deviation) suggests control by multiple compensatory processes, whereas the non-normality of these statistics for IC, contrasted with the normality of maximum IC values, may indicate a stronger influence of local controls. In addition, IHC values for the scars show consistently high effect sizes for central metrics (mean, median, and variance), whereas IC values for the scars tend to show more pronounced effects in extreme values and in the overall connectivity range. Taken together, these results reinforce the potential of IC and IHC as useful indices to evaluate the trajectories of mass movements triggered by intense rainfall and their associated sediment delivery to the drainage network, as well as to support hazard-mapping analyses.

How to cite: Zanandrea, F., Michel, G. P., Bastos Marques Lopes, C., Nonato Vieira Cereto, A., Coutinho Loureiro Mansur, R., and Teixeira Silva, D.: Connectivity-based assessment of trajectories and channel linkage of rainfall-triggered mass movements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15895, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15895, 2026.

EGU26-16304 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Post-wildfire permafrost landslides and cascading hazards, Dempster Highway,Yukon 

Heather Clarke, Brent Ward, Derek Cronmiller, Katelyn Groeneveld, and Michel Lamothe

Yukon Territory is experiencing impacts of climate change, marked by elevated annual air temperatures, changes in precipitation patterns and increased wildfire activity. These shifts can lead to permafrost degradation, impacting highways and community infrastructure. This study characterizes the timing and morphology of post-wildfire permafrost landslides and documents a cascading hazard. It identifies relationships between permafrost characteristics, geology, weather conditions and ground disturbance. This work contributes to the growing body of research on how climate change is impacting communities and infrastructure in permafrost regions.

In 2017, a wildfire burned across a slope, underlain by permafrost, parallel to the Dempster Highway in northeastern Yukon. Within days, multiple active layer detachments (ALDs) occured caused by degradation of the insulating organic surface layer resulting in rapid permafrost thaw. Over forty ALDs occurred on the slope over the summers of 2017 and 2018, likely influenced by rainfall events and periods of above average air temperatures. Initiation angles for ALDs varied according to surficial geology. Areas with shale-rich colluvium had initiation angles as low as 10° while in sandstone dominated colluvium, initiation angles were greater than 25°. By 2019, portions of the slope appeared to stabilize as no new ALDs occurred; however, six retrogressive thaw flows (RTFs) initiated in ALD landslide scars. RTFs only occurred on topographic benches where ice-rich stratigraphy had been exposed by complete removal of the insulating surface organic layer by the ALD. The headwalls of the active RTFs consist of metre-scale ice wedges, as well as loess and organic-rich colluvium units. OSL ages indicate sediments accumulated over the last ~100,000 years. The surficial units were sampled and measured for volumetric and gravimetric ice-content. The ice content generally increased with depth.

RTFs have deposited significant amounts of sediment on the floodplain at the base of the slope near the highway, and four of the RTFs were still active during site investigations in the summer of 2023. The increased sedimentation in the valley bottom has led to stream blockages and flooding, degrading permafrost beyond the perimeter of the original burn. This research indicates complex cascading hazards can occur in permafrost areas due to anthropogenic global warming. At this site we document a forest fire, that triggers abundant ALDs, some of which then evolve into RTFs, which generate abundant sediments, blocking drainages and causing flooding which will likely trigger more permafrost degradation. This research indicates that wildfire on permafrost slopes can initiate a cascading hazard that can be further influenced by local precipitation and warm summer temperatures.

How to cite: Clarke, H., Ward, B., Cronmiller, D., Groeneveld, K., and Lamothe, M.: Post-wildfire permafrost landslides and cascading hazards, Dempster Highway,Yukon, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16304, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16304, 2026.

As the temperature rises due to climate change, the moisture-holding capacity of the atmosphere increases, which contributes to more frequent and intense extreme precipitation events. In recent years, there has been a significant increase in flooding caused by extreme multi-day precipitation, and this trend is projected to continue in the future. The Brahmaputra river basin has a greater risk of flooding compared to other regions in India. These major floods usually occur during the summer monsoon season, which can be attributed to their higher vulnerability, probability of hazard, and exposure as transboundary river basins, thus becoming a major concern. Therefore, it is crucial to characterize and rank precipitation extremes to comprehend the risk and impact and examine the underlying drivers that contribute to their occurrence and intensification. In this study, we ranked extreme precipitation events of different durations (1 to 7 days) on the basis of intensity and spatial extent during the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) season over the Brahmaputra basin using a high-resolution daily precipitation dataset for 71 years period (1951 - 2021). Further, we attempt to evaluate the association between moisture transport and these extreme precipitation events by quantifying moisture transport during identified top-ranked extreme precipitation events. Our analysis indicates strong moisture transport persisting over the extreme precipitation occurrence regions during the identified top-ranked extreme precipitation events. Quantifying the connection between extreme precipitation to moisture transport might help in the early prediction of extreme precipitation events and lower the associated risks.

How to cite: Gupta, H., Singh Raghuvanshi, A., and Agarwal, A.: Ranking extreme precipitation events of different duration over the Brahmaputra river basin during the Indian Summer Monsoon and their association with moisture transport , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16955, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16955, 2026.

EGU26-17163 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Modeling Cascading Hazards in High Mountain Environments: Challenges and Approaches from the Thame Case Study, Nepal 

Jessica Munch, Jakob Steiner, Christian Huggel, Ayog Basniat, Vishnu Prasad Pandey, Basanta Raj Adhikari, Jordan Aaron, Martin Mergili, and Simon Keith Allen

High mountain environments often experience hazards that do not occur in isolation but as interconnected processes. A typical setting may involve a steep rock face, sometimes topped by glacier ice, where failures can trigger rock-ice or mixed avalanches depending on seasonal conditions. When such events occur above a glacial lake, as is common in many regions, the impact can initiate secondary processes such as glacial lake outburst floods, with significant downstream consequences.

Numerical models are valuable tools for estimating the runout of individual processes; however, simulating entire hazard cascades involving multiple material types remains challenging—particularly for forward modeling. In this study, we explore methods for modeling cascading processes, either through integrated physical models or suites of specialized models, and assess which approaches are most suitable at different spatial scales (local, basin, regional, national).

At least two GLOFs in the recent five years in Nepal were caused by a cascade of a mass flow impacting the lake and causing dam failure or overtopping, followed by a downstream flood with significant impacts. Permafrost thaw induced slope instability as well as excessive snow melt in source areas contributed to the initial release and a variety of subsequent erosional processes further downstream exacerbated impacts. Previous modelling has been largely focused on the flood from the lake exit, not considering the multiple aspects contributing to the complexity of the cascade.

Our analysis focuses on the Thame area in the Everest region of Nepal, where a rock-ice avalanche impacted Thyanbo Lake in August 2024, triggering a glacial lake outburst flood that caused severe damage downstream. This is done in light of producing risk maps for the wider Dudh Kosi Basin, where a number of upstream processes can potentially exacerbate impacts for communities much lower than the periglacial terrain. We discuss the advantages and limitations of various modeling strategies, the challenges of representing full process chains, and potential ways to combine approaches to improve physical realism and predictive capability.

How to cite: Munch, J., Steiner, J., Huggel, C., Basniat, A., Pandey, V. P., Adhikari, B. R., Aaron, J., Mergili, M., and Allen, S. K.: Modeling Cascading Hazards in High Mountain Environments: Challenges and Approaches from the Thame Case Study, Nepal, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17163, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17163, 2026.

EGU26-17166 | Orals | GM3.1

From ice loss to cascading mass movements: 4D geomorphological analysis of Monte Rosa’s eastern flank (NW-Alps, Italy) 

Marco Giardino, Walter Alberto, Marta Chiarle, Luca Lanteri, Greta Sveva Schiavon, and Giovanni Mortara

The eastern flank of Monte Rosa (4,634 m a.s.l.), the second-highest peak in the Alps, is among the largest and most extensively glacierized Alpine mountain faces and has been described as a “Himalayan-type” slope. Since the early 21st century, it has been intensively monitored by several institutional teams and academic research groups, primarily due to the exceptional surge event that affected the Belvedere Glacier, the main collector of glacier ice flowing down from Monte Rosa.

Over recent decades, this slope has undergone rapid deglaciation in response to climate change. Ice loss has been accompanied by the onset and intensification of geomorphological instability phenomena spanning the full spectrum typical of glacial and periglacial environments. Rock faces are increasingly prone to toppling, falls and rock avalanches; talus and debris cones are the site of erosion phenomena and feed debris flows; moraines undergo degradation, incision, and collapse. Key drivers include degradation of permafrost, increasingly intense precipitation at high altitude and rising 0°C isotherm. Of particular interest is the high magnitude that characterizes these events, especially if we consider that they occur with an unprecedented frequency.

Mass and energy transfers from high elevations trigger cascading effects across different geomorphological environments (glacial, periglacial) and they ultimately impact the anthropogenic system. Recent geomorphological investigations (CNR-IRPI, University of Turin) and monitoring activities (ARPA-Piemonte) focus on process identification, high-resolution mapping, and quantitative assessment. Two complementary multi-temporal approaches were adopted: (1) field-based and remote-sensing geomorphological mapping, and (2) 3D topographic modelling via photogrammetry. These methods produced detailed geomorphological maps at 1:5,000 scale (years 2010, 2012, 2015, 2018, 2021, 2023, 2024 and 2025) and original 3D photogrammetric models (50 cm resolution: years 2023, 2024 and 2025), which were compared with pre-existing metric-resolution DEMs (2011, 2017).

Data analysis and interpretation for the headwaters of Anzasca Valley (total area: 30 km²) indicate, from 2011 to the present, a total reduction of approximately 1.1 km² in glacierized area and an ice-volume loss of ~56 million m³. The multi-temporal (4D) geomorphological analysis enabled the identification of individual instability processes and the recognition of significant event sequences involving glaciers, rock walls, moraines, and fluvial channels.

These results provide a baseline for assessing where and how geomorphic dynamics intersect with human activities in an area of high value for scientific, mountaineering and tourism interests, recently designated as a geosite of international significance in the latest inventory compiled according to the Piemonte Regional Law 23/2023.

How to cite: Giardino, M., Alberto, W., Chiarle, M., Lanteri, L., Schiavon, G. S., and Mortara, G.: From ice loss to cascading mass movements: 4D geomorphological analysis of Monte Rosa’s eastern flank (NW-Alps, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17166, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17166, 2026.

EGU26-19589 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Can sediment connectivity improve our understanding of multi-hazard events? A process-based perspective with SCIMA  

Ishmam Kabir, Bernhard Gems, Martin Rutzinger, and Margreth Keiler

Mountain catchments host tightly coupled erosion, transport, deposition, and feedback processes that often interact during multi-hazard events. Yet, these interactions are rarely analysed through sediment connectivity, despite it acting as a key vector linking hillslopes, channels, and downstream processes across space and time. This limits our ability to understand how event-driven sediment transfer governs hazard propagation in mountain landscapes.

We present SCIMA (Sediment Connectivity Indexed Multi-hazard Assessment), a process-based framework that embeds functional sediment connectivity into multi-hazard analysis. SCIMA dissects an event into process-level segments according to its spatio-temporal evolution and quantifies each segment’s contribution to sediment mobilisation, transfer, and deposition. Connectivity is expressed as a sediment connectivity weight (SCW) derived via a fuzzy-logic scheme that integrates heterogeneous information typical of mountain settings, including qualitative process interpretation (event reports and expert judgement) and quantitative geomorphic indicators (Melton ruggedness number and drainage density). This design is deliberately data-agnostic and modular, enabling transferability and extension with additional indicators where available.

We apply SCIMA to eight Alpine multi-hazard events in Austria and Switzerland involving combinations of mass movements, debris flows, channel erosion, and flooding. Results show that connectivity is highly variable within events and peaks during phases of intense sediment mobilisation and channel erosion, particularly where steep topography and direct process–process interactions dominate. Connectivity declines during depositional phases and in out-of-catchment segments, marking effective termination of the sediment cascade. Mitigation structures emerge as dynamic elements that can switch from buffering to amplifying connectivity when overtopped or failing. Overall, SCIMA demonstrates that sediment connectivity is an event-driven, dynamic property controlling erosion–transport feedbacks and multi-hazard evolution in mountain landscapes. 

 

 

How to cite: Kabir, I., Gems, B., Rutzinger, M., and Keiler, M.: Can sediment connectivity improve our understanding of multi-hazard events? A process-based perspective with SCIMA , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19589, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19589, 2026.

EGU26-19777 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1 | Highlight

Reconstructing the 2025 Nesthorn-Birchgletscher hazard cascade 

Mylène Jacquemart, Julien Brondex, Friedrich Knuth, Samuel Weber, Robert Kenner, Jordan Aaron, Valentin Gischig, Radhika de Silva, Raffaele Spielmann, Marius Schneider, Dominik L. Schumacher, Ethan Welty, Olivier Gagliardini, Johan Gaume, Adrien Gilbert, Christian Huggel, Fabian Reist, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Ingrid Senn, and Daniel Farinotti

In late May 2025, a series of large rock failures from Kleines Nesthorn in the Swiss Lötschental (Lötschen valley) fell directly onto the Birchgletscher (Birch Glacier), loading the latter with around 4 million m3 of rock. On May 28, following several days of acceleration, Birchgletscher collapsed in its entirety, claiming one life and causing the near-total destruction of the historic village of Blatten (which at this point was completely evacuated). Totaling more than 9 million m3 of rock and glacier ice (with a ratio of about 3:1), the rock-ice avalanche dammed the river Lonza and led to the formation of a lake that damaged additional parts of the village.

To reconstruct and understand the physical processes that controlled this remarkable hazard cascade, we used aerial topographic surveys, radar and time-lapse images, direct field observations, eyewitness accounts, meteorological data, and numerical modeling. From these data we 1) determined the precise chronology of the event, including the failure and deposition volumes and geomorphologic event traces; 2) reconstructed the pre-event (1946-2023) history of Kleines Nesthorn and Birchgletscher, including the substantial mass loss of the latter and its recent surge-type acceleration; 3) analyzed the kinematics of the rock instability on Kleines Nesthorn and the resulting rock failures that loaded the glacier; 4) used the 3-D finite element model Elmer/Ice to reconstruct the effect of the rock loading on the force balance of Birchgletscher and its relevance for the observed acceleration and collapse; and 5) processed data from several long-term weather stations, satellite data and climate models to evaluate the relevance of human-caused climate change on Birchgletscher, snow-cover, permafrost and the entire process chain. Our results highlight the complexity of the Nesthorn-Birchgletscher hazard cascade and provide valuable insights for the assessment and management of glacier-related hazards in high mountains.

How to cite: Jacquemart, M., Brondex, J., Knuth, F., Weber, S., Kenner, R., Aaron, J., Gischig, V., de Silva, R., Spielmann, R., Schneider, M., Schumacher, D. L., Welty, E., Gagliardini, O., Gaume, J., Gilbert, A., Huggel, C., Reist, F., Seneviratne, S. I., Senn, I., and Farinotti, D.: Reconstructing the 2025 Nesthorn-Birchgletscher hazard cascade, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19777, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19777, 2026.

EGU26-20983 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.1

Characterizing glacial and paraglacial flood processes across scales using environmental seismology 

Ugo Nanni, Kristen Cook, and Christoff Andermann

Glacial and paraglacial floods are among the most destructive natural hazards in high-mountain regions. These events result from cascades of processes, which rapidly transfer large amounts of water, sediment and energy across entire catchments. Their initiation typically occurs in remote, poorly instrumented areas, while impacts propagate far downstream, strongly limiting process-based understanding at the regional scale. Here, we present preliminary results from an ongoing analysis of glacial and paraglacial hazards in the Bhote Koshi catchment (Nepal), one of the best instrumented glacierized basins at the regional scale, with continuous seismic monitoring since 2016. This study is conducted within the framework of the French PEPR IRIMA program (project IRIMONT), which aims to improve the assessment and mitigation of natural hazards in mountain regions through integrated and interdisciplinary approaches.

First, we focus on the July 2016 glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF). Seismic records of this event provide a unique opportunity to investigate its mechanics from initiation to far-field propagation. Preliminary analyses reveal distinct seismic signatures associated with different phases of the flood, characterized by systematic variations in amplitude, frequency content and phase coherence as a function of time and distance. These signatures indicate an exceptional capacity of the GLOF to mobilize large boulders, leading to seismic energy levels and inferred sediment transport that far exceed those observed during seasonal hydrological events. In parallel, we investigate the temporal evolution of slope instabilities in the Bhote Koshi catchment following the 2015 Gorkha earthquake. We apply unsupervised machine learning approaches to cluster seismic signals, identify recurrent signal families, and establish a baseline of background hydrological and geomorphic activity at the catchment scale. The seismic observations reveal sustained post-seismic landslide activity, with evolving signal characteristics reflecting the progressive relaxation of hillslopes modulated by hydrometeorological forcing. 

Overall, these preliminary results demonstrate the potential of environmental seismology, combined with data-driven approaches, to bridge the gap between local process understanding and regional-scale hazard assessment. 

How to cite: Nanni, U., Cook, K., and Andermann, C.: Characterizing glacial and paraglacial flood processes across scales using environmental seismology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20983, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20983, 2026.

EGU26-21969 | ECS | Orals | GM3.1

Extreme Rainfall, Anthropogenic Sediment Supply, and Backwater Ponding: Compounding impacts on Flood Hazard in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal 

Prakash Pokhrel, Hugh Sinclair, Saraswati Thapa, and Maggie Creed

On 27–28 September 2024, the Kathmandu Valley experienced unprecedented rainfall, exceeding the previous record for 24-hour cumulative precipitation in Kathmandu and surrounding regions. This extreme event triggered severe flooding, resulting in loss of life and the burial of buildings, roads, and other infrastructure beneath thick sediment deposits. The flood also damaged hydrological gauging stations, preventing the recording of peak flood levels during the event. Despite this limitation, the flood left distinct geomorphic and sedimentary evidence along the floodplain, including high-water marks on building walls and indicators of sediment thickness. These field observations were used to reconstruct flood heights and sediment deposition, enabling the preparation of a field-based flood inundation map. We compare the reconstructed inundation extent with numerical model outputs, including (i) a 1-in-100-year return-period flood scenario and (ii) a hydrological model simulation driven by rainfall recorded during the 2024 event. The results show that flood inundation during the 2024 event was significantly greater than predicted by both model scenarios. The residual flood height inferred from field evidence is attributed to compounding effects, particularly increased sediment supply associated with anthropogenic activities, notably mining waste. In addition, we document pronounced backwater effects at river confluences and along river reaches confined within gorge sections, which further exacerbated flood severity by enhancing sedimentation and reducing the river’s conveyance capacity. We conclude that the combined effects of backwater conditions and high sediment accumulation significantly amplified flood inundation. Our findings highlight that, in many high-mountain settings where sediment supply and extreme rainfall are increasing, these processes, particularly at tributary junctions, should be explicitly considered in future flood models.

How to cite: Pokhrel, P., Sinclair, H., Thapa, S., and Creed, M.: Extreme Rainfall, Anthropogenic Sediment Supply, and Backwater Ponding: Compounding impacts on Flood Hazard in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21969, 2026.

EGU26-401 | ECS | Orals | GM3.3 | Highlight

AI-enhanced simulation of sediment transport in cold regions  

Ting Zhang, Shiyu Li, Albert Kettner, Shijie Jiang, Louise Farquharson, Yiyi Li, and Dongfeng Li

Climate change is rapidly reshaping hydro-geomorphological processes in cold regions. Melting glaciers and thawing permafrost are altering how and when sediment is mobilized, creating sediment supplies that are highly sensitive to warming and shifting precipitation patterns. During heavy rainfall and/or intense melting, this abundant and readily mobilized sediment can lead to substantial increases in sediment fluxes, triggering episodic sediment transport events widely observed in permafrost watersheds. These events are typically characterized by the complex co-occurrence of multiple factors such as transient and complex flow conditions, temporarily enhanced erosivity, and dynamic sediment availability. However, widely applied empirical, process-based, and data-driven sediment-transport models (e.g., rating curves, SAT, HydroTrend, SWAT, WBMsed) commonly assume stationary parameters or simplified process dynamics and tend to underestimate both the magnitude of episodic sediment transport. Artificial intelligence (AI)–based data-driven models, including machine learning and deep learning algorithms, have emerged as powerful tools for suspended sediment concentration modeling due to their ability to represent nonlinear and nonstationary processes. Using twenty years of hydrological observations, we found that the drivers of sediment transport now show distinct seasonal variations. To better capture these complex and seasonal shifting processes, we developed a modified deep learning model to learn seasonal differences in sediment transport and dynamically adjusts its predictive weights. It performs substantially better than current widely applied models including rating-curves, processes-based and random forest models, particularly during extreme sediment transport. Our results demonstrate the promise of integrating AI with process understanding to simulate highly variable sediment dynamics under changing climate and cryosphere conditions.

How to cite: Zhang, T., Li, S., Kettner, A., Jiang, S., Farquharson, L., Li, Y., and Li, D.: AI-enhanced simulation of sediment transport in cold regions , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-401, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-401, 2026.

Extreme weather events, i.e., heavy rainfall, trigger widespread mass movements, producing large volumes of unconsolidated sediments that continue to shape geomorphic processes long after the event. However, the post-event evolution of precipitation-triggered landslides remains much less known, especially in paraglacial mountain systems. This study examines the decadal evolution of landslides in the Mandakini catchment, Uttarakhand, India, a landscape characterised by three distinct geomorphological zones: the lower fluvial, middle paraglacial, and upper glaciated regions. Using multi-temporal LISS-IV and PlanetScope imagery (2014–2023), the characteristics and activity of landslides were assessed across these zones. Results show that landslide activity peaked immediately after the 2013 Kedarnath disaster and declined gradually, although there was an increase in activity in 2018, 2020, and 2023, with clear geomorphic controls. The fluvial zone exhibited the highest landslide densities and continued reactivation, whereas the paraglacial zones were largely characterised by debris flow-type landslides that remained largely dormant, except for renewed movement in 2023. High-intensity short-duration rainfall emerged as a major trigger regardless of antecedent moisture, driving a marked surge in new landslides and debris flows during the 2023 monsoon. Additionally, anomalously high winter precipitation coincided with elevated debris-flow activity in the paraglacial zone, suggesting a significant role for snowmelt, which is likely to intensify under rising temperatures. Roughly 40% of the landslide-impacted area was fully revegetated by 2023. These findings highlight how a paraglacial terrain, rainfall extremes, and evolving snowmelt patterns collectively shape long-term slope sensitivity, with implications for hazard assessment and targeted mitigation in the Himalayas and similar environments worldwide.

How to cite: Sekar, A. and Siva Subramanian, S.: Extreme weather event-driven evolution of mass movements over upper, middle, and paraglacial zones of a Central Himalayan catchment , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1152, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1152, 2026.

I will present work demonstrating how stochastic theory can be used to establish a scale-bridging understanding of landscape evolution. The scales of interest here include individual erosional events to continental-scale landscape evolution. The theory is used to embrace the unknowability of erosional processes operating at small scales over the lifetime of a landscape. It is used to establish analytical expectations of landscape form and its variance when the probabilities of forces driving and resisting denudation have defined distributions. The results provide a basis for the widely used stream power erosional model that is rooted in first principles. It also quantifies the (often considerable) uncertainty in predictions generated using deterministic models such as stream power, e.g. when probability distributions of driving and resisting forces significantly overlap.  Landscape form and its variance can be estimated for arbitrary stochastic driving forces and erosional thresholds extremely precisely and efficiently with a simple algorithmic approach that has links to cellular automata. I demonstrate how such approaches can be used to generate predictions that match those of partial differential equations (PDEs, e.g. the stream power model) at large scales, whilst avoiding many of the limitations, pitfalls and challenges with modelling landscape evolution with PDEs (e.g. assumptions of continuity, numerical stability, management of shockwaves). Stochastic theory is shown to provide means to relate physics-, laboratory- and field-based insights and measurement to landscape form at larger scales. I speculate on how this work might be useful for developing a better, probabilistic, understanding of landscape evolution across scales.

How to cite: Roberts, G.: Bridging scales from single denudational events to continental-scale landscape evolution with stochastic theory, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3119, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3119, 2026.

EGU26-5330 | ECS | Orals | GM3.3

Biogeomorphic River Response to an Unprecedented Hydrological Drought: Evidence from the Po River (Italy)  

Martina Cecchetto, Elisa Matteligh, Federica Vanzani, Elisa Bozzolan, Andrea Brenna, Elia Taffetani, Nicola Surian, and Simone Bizzi

As extreme hydrological events become increasingly frequent and intense, there is a growing need for innovative approaches to systematically monitor their impacts on riverine landscapes. This need is especially crucial in human-modified river systems, where such events can have significant consequences on the surrounding anthropized areas. The Po River in Italy exemplifies this challenge, having experienced an unprecedented drought in 2022—its lowest streamflow in two centuries—followed in 2024 by one of the most hydrologically intense years on record. This sequence of contrasting extremes makes the Po River an ideal case study for investigating morphological adjustments and assessing river sensitivity to hydrological variability.

We leveraged Sentinel-2 satellite imagery collection, spanning 2017 to 2025, on a 130-km-long segment of the Po River. A free, globally applicable Fully Convolutional Neural Network was employed to automatically classify monthly median composite images and delineate the active channel—defined as the area encompassing both flowing water and adjacent exposed, unvegetated sediment bars. We generated a continuous, updatable time series, identifying the emergence of progressively activated areas or regions undergoing gradual vegetation colonization (“deactivated” areas). By analysing changes over multiple years rather than on a year-by-year basis, this method more effectively distinguishes areas that consistently remain active or inactive from those that fluctuate between these two states. That helps separate changes driven by varying water stage from those resulting from morphological modifications, e.g. bank erosion.

Our analysis reveals that the 2022 drought was part of an extended period of hydrological scarcity lasting nearly three years. During this time, all reaches of the Po River experienced a net loss of active channel area due to vegetation encroachment. By comparing these trends with a 2022 LiDAR-derived Relative Elevation Model, we demonstrate that vegetation encroachment expanded into topographically lower zones closer to the low-flow channel that had not previously supported vegetation. This indicates a significant shift in morphological setting and ecological dynamics. The hydrologically intense conditions of 2024 triggered unprecedented bank erosion and the widespread reactivation of previously abandoned areas, particularly those deactivated during the preceding dry years. Interestingly, not all areas reactivated in 2024 persisted into 2025. We show that patterns of reactivation and the new activation of floodplain areas depend on river configuration and the degree of artificial confinement. While some reaches restored the active channel width to pre-drought levels, others have not yet fully recovered, suggesting that changes in vegetation establishment may have induced long-lasting morphological adjustments.

This approach provides a practical and scalable tool for global river monitoring, enhancing our understanding of river sensitivity to a rapidly changing climate.

How to cite: Cecchetto, M., Matteligh, E., Vanzani, F., Bozzolan, E., Brenna, A., Taffetani, E., Surian, N., and Bizzi, S.: Biogeomorphic River Response to an Unprecedented Hydrological Drought: Evidence from the Po River (Italy) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5330, 2026.

EGU26-5951 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

Geomorphological Response of the Valnontey River Basin (NW Italy) to the Extreme Rainfall Event of June 2024 

Asif Nawaz, Eleonora Dallan, Stefano Crema, Marco Cavalli, Stefano Ferraris, Francesco Comiti, and Vincenzo D’Agostino

Abstract: Mountainous regions are now subject to more recurring flash floods than they were in the past decades. These recurring flash floods are attributed to short-duration extreme precipitation events, which are driven by climate change. Mountainous flash floods are far more hazardous as they trigger landslides, activate debris flows, and carry a large amount of dead wood, which can destroy entire valley infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and dams. Moreover, in response to these floods, valley rivers (confined or partially confined) also undergo geomorphological transformation, owing to debris flows. The sediment transportation activates processes like bank erosion, channel incision, bed alteration, and overbank aggradation both at the spatial and temporal scales. In June 2024, a mountainous flash flood led to dreadful destruction of the Valnontey catchment located in Cogne, Valle d’Aosta (northwestern Italian Alps). Not only was the valley infrastructure destroyed within a few hours, but the valley river network also experienced significant geomorphological changes due to the activity of debris flows and landslides. Intensive Post-Event Campaigns (IPECs) were carried out to quantify the flash flood and its geomorphological impacts in the Valnontey catchment. The 24-hour cumulative rainfall was estimated to be approximately 120 mm, and the reconstructed peak discharge ranged between 200 and 250 m³ s⁻¹. This is why in alpine catchments, where the real-time data on flood events is almost absent, post-event studies of hydro-geomorphological response to extreme rainfall events can be extensively found in the literature. However, the impact of resulting geomorphological changes to a flood event, mainly the channel widening, is generally not considered in flood hazard assessment and mountain river basin management, and so the study of all associated factors to geomorphological changes during high-magnitude floods remains a significant research gap. In this study, the analysis of geomorphological dynamics and channel response to such a flood event has been performed, with a principal focus on channel widening. The widening, a geomorphic response to flood events, of the main channel in the Valnontey basin was investigated quantitatively through manual digitization of channel margins using GIS tools. The methodological framework was based on multitemporal high-resolution pre-flood orthophotos and a LiDAR survey acquired immediately after the flood event (August 2024). It was observed that the main channel was predominantly widened because of floodplain island erosion and bank erosion processes that supplied sediments to the main channel. Statistically, the channel response, usually expressed as the width ratio (post-event width/pre-event width), was analysed in relation to channel bed slope and stream power. The results indicate that channel widening was controlled not only by extreme rainfall intensity and stream power (hydraulic factor), but also by morphological characteristics, including lateral confinement, channel bed slope, sediment availability, transport mechanisms, and hillslope–channel coupling.

Keywords: Alpine catchments; Extreme rainfall; Flash floods; Channel widening; Flood hazard

How to cite: Nawaz, A., Dallan, E., Crema, S., Cavalli, M., Ferraris, S., Comiti, F., and D’Agostino, V.: Geomorphological Response of the Valnontey River Basin (NW Italy) to the Extreme Rainfall Event of June 2024, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5951, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5951, 2026.

EGU26-6221 | ECS | Orals | GM3.3

Decadal-scale changes in sediment export from an Alpine proglacial area linked to an increasing frequency of rainfall extremes: evidence for an emerging sediment-export regime shift? 

Ananya Pandey, Tobias Heckmann, Marco Cavalli, Matteo Crozi, Francesca Mura, Andrea Andreoli, Francesco Zucca, and Sara Savi

Climate change is strongly affecting sediment dynamics in the highly sensitive proglacial areas of high-mountain environments, as accelerated glacier melt and permafrost degradation expose new surfaces to erosion, while changing precipitation patterns influence erosion rates and sediment transport. Quantifying these changes is crucial for assessing geomorphological evolution, anticipating natural hazards, and evaluating the responses of both proglacial and downstream ecosystems. However, this task remains challenging as sediment yields from these landscapes are governed by complex interactions among moraine activity, glacial erosion, paraglacial adjustment, and channel morphology, with ongoing climate change further modulating the timing and magnitude of these processes.

This study aims to quantify temporal changes in sediment fluxes in the Sulden proglacial area in South Tyrol, Eastern Italian Alps, from 2005 to 2025, and to assess the role of climate variability in driving these changes. We used high-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from 2005, 2017, 2021, 2023, and 2025 to compute multi-temporal DEMs of Difference (DoDs) and derive mean annual sediment fluxes for each interval. Unequal interval lengths can bias flux estimates because short-lived peaks associated with extreme precipitation events may be averaged out over long periods. To address this, we calculated mean annual sediment flux over cumulative intervals starting in 2005 (2005-2017, 2005-2021, 2005-2023, and 2005-2025), providing a framework to evaluate whether, and to what extent, recent changes in precipitation patterns influence longer-term mean flux estimates. 

Our results show that mean sediment fluxes, referenced to 2005, have increased sharply and nonlinearly over time, spanning more than one order of magnitude by 2025 and revealing a clear acceleration relative to the 2005-2017 baseline. Comparison of the non-overlapping intervals 2005-2017 and 2017-2025 further emphasizes this shift, with mean fluxes during 2017-2025 approximately 40 times higher than during 2005-2017, indicating a fundamental increase in sediment export efficiency rather than short-term variability around a stable long-term mean. Interestingly, periods with similar amounts of erosion reveal contrasting amounts of deposition along low-slope fluvial pathways within the proglacial system, illustrating how functional connectivity controls sediment storage and ultimately sediment export. Precipitation records indicate an increase in the frequency of high-magnitude rainfall events after 2017, including more frequent exceedances of daily extremes and events approaching or exceeding a 10-year return period.

Together, these findings suggest that the increasing frequency of extreme precipitation events is a key driver of enhanced sediment yields in proglacial environments, with important implications for sediment-related hazards and associated management costs.

How to cite: Pandey, A., Heckmann, T., Cavalli, M., Crozi, M., Mura, F., Andreoli, A., Zucca, F., and Savi, S.: Decadal-scale changes in sediment export from an Alpine proglacial area linked to an increasing frequency of rainfall extremes: evidence for an emerging sediment-export regime shift?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6221, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6221, 2026.

Snow avalanches constitute a widespread and dynamic geomorphic process in the Carpathian Mountains, playing a key role in sediment and debris transfer on steep slopes within alpine and subalpine belts. The occurrence, magnitude, and frequency of snow-avalanche events are strongly controlled by climatic factors, particularly snowfall amount, snowpack structure, temperature fluctuations, and extreme weather conditions. In the context of ongoing climate variability, understanding the long-term relationship between climate drivers and avalanche activity is essential for improving hazard assessments in high-mountain regions.

In remote areas of the Carpathians, snow-avalanche hazard assessment is severely limited by the scarcity of systematic observations and the absence of long-term archival records of past avalanche events. This data gap is especially pronounced in the Eastern Carpathians, where documentary evidence of extreme snow avalanches is largely missing. At the same time, increasing human presence and recreational activities in high-mountain environments over recent decades have amplified exposure to avalanche hazards, highlighting the urgent need for reliable, long-term reconstructions of avalanche activity and climate-induced extremes.

This study aims to enhance the understanding of climate-driven snow-avalanche dynamics in the Eastern Carpathians through dendrochronological methods. Multiple avalanche paths located in different mountain ranges were investigated, targeting both coniferous and broadleaved tree species affected by past snow-avalanche activity. Trees disturbed by avalanches were sampled along selected paths, and growth anomalies caused by the mechanical impact and mass movement of snow were identified and precisely dated within annual growth rings. These disturbances include impact scars, tangential rows of traumatic resin ducts, compression wood, and growth-suppression sequences, which serve as reliable proxies for past snow-avalanche events.

By synchronizing avalanche signals recorded in tree-ring series and relating them to regional climatic patterns, this study reconstructs the spatial extent, frequency, and return periods of snow-avalanche events, with particular emphasis on extreme events likely associated with anomalous climatic conditions (e.g., winters with exceptional snowfall, or rapid temperature increases). The results provide insight into temporal variations in avalanche activity and allow the identification of climatically controlled periods of enhanced snow-avalanche occurrence. The dendrochronological reconstruction of climate-induced snow-avalanche activity offers a valuable long-term perspective on avalanche regimes in the Eastern Carpathians. These findings contribute to improved snow-avalanche hazard assessment and zonation and provide a robust framework for evaluating the potential impacts of future climate variability and change on avalanche dynamics at both local and regional scales.

How to cite: Pop, O.: Tree-ring reconstruction of climate-induced extreme snow-avalanche events in the Eastern Carpathians (Romania), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6368, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6368, 2026.

EGU26-6585 | ECS | Orals | GM3.3

Juvenile and mature alpine sediment fans respond differently to rainfall intensification 

Philipp Gewalt, Thomas Wagner, Natalie Barbosa, Carolin Kiefer, and Michael Krautblatter

Alpine alluvial fans and debris flow cones are central components of the sediment cascade. The projected increase in heavy precipitation due to ongoing climate warming is thought to intensify sediment redistribution dynamics under transport-limited conditions. However, alluvial fan response to increasing heavy precipitation has been shown to strongly differ between individual catchments. In this study, we compare decadal-scale planimetric dynamics of a mature alpine alluvial fan (“Friedergries”, 5 km2 catchment area) to juvenile debris flow cones (Lake Plansee, catchment areas mostly < 0.5 km2) in the Main Dolomite region of the Northern Calcareous Alps. We show that the juvenile cones corresponding to small and steep catchments are susceptible to moderate precipitation while floodplain dynamics on the mature fan are only susceptible to extreme precipitation events with supra-regional extent. Our observation indicates that sediment redistribution on juvenile cones with small and steep catchments will shift towards spring and autumn, corresponding to the seasonal shift of moderate precipitation extremes (1-year return level). In contrast, sediment redistribution on mature fans with larger, gentler catchments will continue to occur mainly in summer, as supra-regional extreme events with return levels > 1 year will occur during the hottest months also in a changing climate (Brönnimann et al., 2018). Here we show that catchment morphology and fan maturity control future susceptibility to rainstorms and thus sediment fan evolution over the coming decades.

Brönnimann, S., Rajczak, J., Fischer, E.M., Raible, C.C., Rohrer, M. & Schär, C. (2018): Changing seasonality of moderate and extreme precipitation events in the Alps. – Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18: 2047 – 2056. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-18-2047-2018.

How to cite: Gewalt, P., Wagner, T., Barbosa, N., Kiefer, C., and Krautblatter, M.: Juvenile and mature alpine sediment fans respond differently to rainfall intensification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6585, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6585, 2026.

EGU26-13856 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

The role of sediment transport in amplifying flooding 

Josh Wolstenholme, Christopher Skinner, Christopher Hackney, Matthew Perks, and Daniel Parsons

Rivers are dynamic, with channel size and shape adapting to fluctuations in water and sediment supplied from their upstream catchments. These changes directly affect flood conveyance capacity, yet sediment transport processes are often overlooked in flood hazard prediction and management, where channels are treated essentially as static pipes through landscapes. Recent global floods show this assumption can be flawed, as extreme rainfall events can liberate and transport vast volumes of sediment, and in doing so potentially amplify flood hazard.

Here we show, using a prototype catchment in the UK and rainfall data, including that derived from an extreme event associated with Storm Desmond in 2015, the critical role of intra-event sediment transport on flood inundation levels. Our analysis reveals a substantial increase in flood inundation volumes compared to projections that exclude sediment transport processes. Extending these simulations to a range of storm scenarios, we find that both event duration and intensity can significantly influence sediment-driven flood amplification processes, with longer-duration floods of the same magnitude increasing inundation.

These findings underscore the need to consider incorporating intra-event sediment fluxes into flood hazard assessments and that failing to address and integrate these processes could underestimate future risks under climate change.

How to cite: Wolstenholme, J., Skinner, C., Hackney, C., Perks, M., and Parsons, D.: The role of sediment transport in amplifying flooding, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13856, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13856, 2026.

EGU26-15213 | Posters on site | GM3.3

Basin Relief and Hypsometry Indicate Rapid Erosion in the Badlands of the Active Fold-Thrust Belt of Southwestern Taiwan 

Maryline Le Béon, Kifayat Ali, Lionel Siame, Kai-Feng Chen, Ngoc-Thao Nguyen, Pak-Hin Leung, Kuo-En Ching, and Erwan Pathier

The badlands of southwestern Taiwan lie within an active fold-and-thrust belt, where surface geology mainly consists of a thick Plio-Pleistocene mudstone formation. In the absence of fluvial markers of river incision, we investigate relief and hypsometry within the badlands as potential proxies for long-term (0.1-1 ka) tectonic uplift. In parallel, hypsometric curves allow us to assess the balance between tectonics and erosion.

We selected three badland sites located at different structural positions, with decadal uplift rates from 12 to 55 mm/yr (continuous GNSS, levelling or traverse measurements), yet with similar lithology and climate. The badlands are of calanchi type, with unvegetated slopes and sharp ridges, low relief (<50 m) and short basin length (<200 m). Topographic datasets include high-resolution (2.5 to 10 cm) UAV-derived Digital Surface Models (DSM) at all sites and a 1-m LiDAR Digital Earth Model (DEM) at one site. Drainage network, divides and geomorphic metrics (basin relief BR, hypsometric integral HI and hypsometric curve) were extracted using ArcGIS and Matlab TopoToolbox, for 12 to 27 basins over areas of 5000 to 34000 m2 from site to site.

At the fastest-uplift site, the 10-cm-resolution DSM and 1-m DEM lead to similar average BR (35 ± 7 m and 37 ± 7 m, respectively) and HI (0.49 ± 0.05 and 0.46 ± 0.05), although results for individual basins differ significantly for 20% of the 24 basins. Hence, even though crestlines and gullies are commonly narrower than 1 m, the 1-m LiDAR DEM mainly provides representative values for the investigated metrics. Results obtained from UAV DSMs at the three sites show no clear influence from decadal uplift or structural position. With increasing uplift of 12, 23, and 55 mm/yr, we respectively obtained average BR and HI of 27 ± 8 m and 0.50 ± 0.03, 23 ± 6 m and 0.48 ± 0.07, and 35 ± 7 m and 0.49 ± 0.05. Hypsometric curves fluctuate around a S shape at all sites, indicating a transitional stage with sustained uplift and erosion. A notable difference in the field is the thinner crestines and larger amount of clasts transiting along the hillslopes at the fastest-uplift site, indicating a larger production of clasts than run-off can transport. We interpret these results as erosion rates exceeding the already rapid uplift rates. This would be facilitated by the low erodibility of the mudstone formation. Indeed, a regional analysis based on a 20 m DEM shows that mean and maximum values of local slope and relief are lower in the mudstone domain than in siltstone and sandstone domains, in spite of active anticlines and larger decadal uplift being located in the mudstone domain. Ongoing complementary works on basin-wide denudation rates in several-km-long river basins draining the mudstone domains led to contrastingly low denudation rates of 0.8 mm/yr, indicating that badlands denudation either represents a different timescale or that other processes dominate denudation at the larger spatial scale.

How to cite: Le Béon, M., Ali, K., Siame, L., Chen, K.-F., Nguyen, N.-T., Leung, P.-H., Ching, K.-E., and Pathier, E.: Basin Relief and Hypsometry Indicate Rapid Erosion in the Badlands of the Active Fold-Thrust Belt of Southwestern Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15213, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15213, 2026.

The routing of sediment from source to sink is commonly described as a “jerky” conveyor belt, in which sediment flux is strongly controlled by connectivity between source areas and transfer zones. However, the extent to which extreme flood events increase source connectivity and modify sediment transfer through river reaches via combined hillslope and fluvial processes remains poorly understood. The increasing availability of multitemporal, high-resolution lidar now enables the development of event-scale topographic sediment budgets, providing new insights into sediment flux during extreme events.

In February 2023, the landfall of Cyclone Gabrielle caused catastrophic flooding along the eastern coast of the North Island of Aotearoa New Zealand. Repeat lidar surveys were acquired for three catchments—Esk (264 km²), Aropauanui (158 km²), and Tangoio (71 km²)—to quantify landscape change and develop catchment-scale sediment budgets. Sediment delivery ratios were estimated to be approximately 0.4 across all three rivers, with sediment volumes delivered to the marine environment of 9.6 × 10⁶ m³ for the Esk, 5.1 × 10⁶ m³ for the Aropauanui, and 2.4 × 10⁶ m³ for the Tangoio.

Sediment budgets were further refined through geomorphic mapping and two-dimensional flood modelling to partition sediment sources and sinks into geomorphic process zones. The sediment routing model D-Cascade was used to route upstream sediment supply, combined with hillslope-derived inputs along the reach, through individual river sections. Results identify river reaches where observed sediment fluxes exceed modelled fluvial transport capacity, indicating locations where debris-flow-dominated transport processes likely governed sediment routing during the cyclone. These findings demonstrate the potential importance of non-fluvial processes in shaping sediment transfer during extreme floods and highlight the value of lidar-based sediment budgets for resolving sediment dynamics at the event scale.

How to cite: Stout, J., Rogers, J., and Brasington, J.: Jerky conveyor belts under stress: sediment connectivity and routing during an extreme flood event in New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15722, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15722, 2026.

EGU26-16773 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

Are CRN-derived denudation rates representative of contemporary natural sediment fluxes? 

Florence Tan, Benjamin Campforts, Veerle Vanacker, Pasquale Borrelli, and Matthias Vanmaercke

Disentangling human signals from geomorphic, tectonic, and climatic drivers of contemporary sediment fluxes is key to understanding the magnitude of human impacts on river basins and the landscape. Denudation rates derived from cosmogenic radionuclides (CRN) can provide a useful baseline of ‘natural’ sediment fluxes, especially in regions where little to no undisturbed catchments remain or where contemporary monitoring networks are lacking. However, their integration time can span very long timescales (up to 100kyr), which may limit their suitability for establishing contemporary natural rates of sediment export. Here, we investigate whether (and where) CRN-derived denudation rates are representative of current climatic, geomorphic, and tectonic conditions and can provide relevant contemporary baseline fluxes. We do so by first compiling hundreds of contemporary sediment yield (SY) observations from ‘quasi-natural’ catchments worldwide. We define quasi-natural catchments as ones with little to no expected disturbance to their sediment transport regime due to anthropogenic changes to the landscape or river system (e.g., land cover/land use, dams and reservoirs, mining). In addition to clear indicators of human disturbance such as the degree of regulation of the river network or the human footprint in the catchment, we base our selection of quasi-natural catchments on a combination of biome-specific thresholds and patterns of acceptable semi-natural vegetation, land cover classification, and potential natural vegetation maps. We then compare a global denudation rate model (trained on >4,000 CRN samples) against the contemporary SY observations and examine possible global and regional patterns of correlation. We further explore the potential of integrating both types of data into a combined global natural SY model, with the goal of further improving our understanding of nature- vs human-driven sediment dynamics worldwide.

How to cite: Tan, F., Campforts, B., Vanacker, V., Borrelli, P., and Vanmaercke, M.: Are CRN-derived denudation rates representative of contemporary natural sediment fluxes?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16773, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16773, 2026.

EGU26-17476 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

Fluvial response to Andean-Amazonian Transition Dynamics: evidence from Huallaga River terraces in central Peru 

Carolina Cruz, Priscila Souza, Willen Viveen, Anarda Simoes, Gabriella Campos, Caio Breda, Renan Brito, Daniel Souza, Andre Sawakuchi, Bodo Bookhagen, and Fabiano Pupim

The uplift of the Andes mountain range is widely recognized as a primary factor in shaping South America's climate patterns and transforming adjacent river landscapes. These changes have played a fundamental role in the dynamics of the rivers that drain the Amazon lowlands and      shaping the physical landscapes and ecosystems over time.      Here, we reconstruct the geomorphological and sedimentary evolution of the Huallaga River in central Peru. As part of the Amazon drainage system, the Huallaga River preserves a sedimentary record that allows us to disentangle the relative roles of tectonics and climate.

This study uses geomorphological mapping, sedimentological characterization, and feldspar post-infrared infrared-stimulated luminescence (pIRIR)      dating to investigate the geomorphological and sedimentary evolution of the upper Huallaga River     . Feldspar      pIRIR                at 225oC and at 290oC was applied to determine sediment      deposition ages from river terraces and the Juanjui Fm. in the Juanjuí region, which is located on the eastern edge of the Peruvian Andes. The Huallaga River deposits are generally characterized by thick sedimentary layers (0 - 75 m) composed of conglomerates supported by a fine sand matrix and framework. The Pliocene-Pleistocene Juanjui Fm.           consists of polymictic conglomerates with a sandy matrix. The conglomerate framework      consists of gneiss, volcanic rock, schist, and sandstone pebbles that were reworked and deposited in a fluvial-alluvial fan environment. Geomorphological mapping indicates eight distinct terrace levels, named T1 to T8 from lower to higher elevation      ranging from 3 to 142 meters above the riverbed. Feldspar      pIRIR      ages range from 100 to 300 thousand years ago (ka), but some      sediment layers have similar ages, indicating a fill-cut deposit. The evolution of this region can be divided into four phases. The first phase is represented by the deposition of the Pliocene Juanjuí Fm. over the Miocene Ipururu Fm., indicating a period of high-energy aggradation. The second phase is characterized by the beginning of uplift of      a syncline, promoted by the Biabo fault. This uplift caused erosion of part of the Juanjuí Fm.      due to incision by the ancient Huallaga River. This was followed by the deposition of alluvial fans in the axial portion of the river system. The third phase is characterized by continued uplift, which promoted the erosion of the      Pleistocene alluvial deposits (now, exposed in terrace levels) and the onset of a new phase of river incision. The last phase records the current configuration of the fill-cut terraces. These minimum ages are older than previously reported ages for the top of the Juanjuí Fm. in a nearby anticline. An integrated analysis of mapping, sedimentology, and chronology allowed the interpretation of river terrace deposition and incision phases, supporting future links with regional tectonic deformation. These results improve our understanding of recent dynamics along the eastern Andean margin and its role in shaping the Amazon basin. Funding provided by FAPESP (23/16031-4 and 22/03007-5).

 

Keywords: fluvial evolution, pIRIR dating, geomorphological mapping, Sub-Andean deposits

How to cite: Cruz, C., Souza, P., Viveen, W., Simoes, A., Campos, G., Breda, C., Brito, R., Souza, D., Sawakuchi, A., Bookhagen, B., and Pupim, F.: Fluvial response to Andean-Amazonian Transition Dynamics: evidence from Huallaga River terraces in central Peru, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17476, 2026.

It is widely stated that atmospheric warming, together with an increasing frequency of rainfall events, enhance the activation of sediment sources, erosion and sediment-transport processes in cold-climate environments, with these increases being mainly driven by cryosphere degradation. In this study we compare the effects of ongoing environmental changes on measured sediment yields in three different cold-climate environments in Norway: (i) partially-glacierized drainage basins (Bødalen and Erdalen, connected to the Jostedalsbreen ice cap, western Norway), (ii) one drainage-basin system with discontinuous permafrost (upper Driva, central Norway), and (iii) one boreal drainage-basin system free of permafrost (Selbusjøen, central Norway).  Our study includes the multi-year (>10 yr) monitoring of fluvial solute and sediment transport using a range of different advanced techniques. In the partially-glacierized drainage basins mechanical denudation dominates over chemical denudation. Most sediment transport occurs during pluvial events in fall, followed by thermally-determined glacier melt in summer, and thermally-determined snowmelt in spring.  An increasing frequency of extreme rainfall events leads to increased sediment yields whereas smaller amounts of wintry snow and the ongoing retreat of outlet glaciers are not causing a detectable increase of sediment yields. For the drainage-basin system with discontinuous permafrost it is found that global warming and the connected shifts in the ratio of snow and rain, the increased frequency of heavy rainfall events, and the continued thawing of permafrost have complex effects on denudation, with an increasing importance of pluvially-induced denudational events, a decreasing importance of snowmelt-induced denudation processes, and an increasing dominance of chemical denudation over mechanical denudation. Also in the boreal environment an increasing importance of pluvially-induced denudational events, a decreasing importance of snowmelt-induced denudation processes, and an increasing dominance of chemical over mechanical denudation can be observed. As a result, the different cold-climate environments respond differently to ongoing environmental changes. A significant increase of mechanical denudation due to cryosphere degradation cannot be detected in our study areas while an increased frequency of pluvial events causes an enhanced activation of sediment sources and rising mechanical denudation.

How to cite: Beylich, A. A. and Laute, K.: Effects of environmental change on the activation of sediment sources in different cold-climate drainage basins in Norway , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19301, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19301, 2026.

EGU26-20653 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

Sensitivity of Escarpment Evolution to Lithology and Climate Forcing: Forward Landscape Evolution Study from the Swabian Alb 

Sahil Kumar, Christoph Glotzbach, Alexander Beer, and Daniel Peifer

Escarpment landscapes represent prominent geomorphic boundaries that result from the long-term interaction of tectonic uplift, climate induced surface processes and lithological diversity over the one million timescales. However, quantifying the relative contribution of each factor remains challenging over such long periods. Process-based landscape evolution models provide these controls to be isolated and systematically tested under regulated conditions.
In this study, we use forward numerical landscape evolution simulations to investigate the sensitivity of escarpment evolution in the Swabian Alb
(southwestern Germany). We employ the Landlab modeling tools to simulate landscape transformations over approximately 1 Myr. Fluvial incision is
represented using a detachment-limited stream-power model, while hillslope sediment transport is depicted as diffusive smoothing. Spatially variable uplift is utilized to model long-term tectonic forces. Lithological heterogeneity is characterized by stratified layers exhibiting regionally diverse erodibility
coefficients, guided by channel steepness metrics that are commonly used to evaluate geographical discrepancies in river incision potential. Sensitivity studies examine different precipitation/runoff forcing scenarios to evaluate how climatic forcing changes erosion patterns compared with lithological controls.
Model results indicate that erosion and escarpment retreat are markedly concentrated along the Albtrauf escarpment facing tributaries of neckar and the primary river, but the core of the Swabian Alb plateau remains reasonably intact throughout the 1 million-year simulations. In the basic arrangement, high-erosion zones (≥P80) encompass a significant area of the escarpment domain but only a small section of the plateau. Sensitivity experiments indicate that variations in lithology significantly influence the magnitude and duration of erosion hotspots. They may improve hotspot coverage by up to as 10–12 percentage points relative to the basic model in some catchments however changes in uplift rate create very minor changes. Increasing precipitation significantly raises erosion level, however hardly influences the dimensions of hotspots. This indicates that climate mostly exacerbates erosion rather than altering its spatial distribution.

Reorganizing drainage by relocating divisions and trapping water locally
enhances incision concentration within existing channel networks. This results in
the gradual erosion of escarpments over an million timescale.

How to cite: Kumar, S., Glotzbach, C., Beer, A., and Peifer, D.: Sensitivity of Escarpment Evolution to Lithology and Climate Forcing: Forward Landscape Evolution Study from the Swabian Alb, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20653, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20653, 2026.

EGU26-22128 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.3

Linking fan surface morphology to erosional process regimes: A morphometric framework 

Maryn Sanders and Joshua Roering

Fans formed by the accumulation of debris flows, rockfalls, and fluvial action are often found at the base of steep escarpments, which commonly border infrastructure corridors. Escarpments evolve at discordant rates, due to climate and tectonic gradients, and geologic heterogeneity. The variations influence watershed morphology, which in turn determines the dominant erosional processes and potential hazard along fans, such as rockfall, landsliding, avalanches, or flooding. Classically, erosional process regimes have been determined from simple morphometric indices, such as watershed length and the Melton Ratio (watershed relief divided by the square root of area; Wilford et al., 2004). Here, we propose a new framework that leverages high-resolution topography and its topographic derivatives along the steep Columbia River Gorge (CRG) escarpment (Oregon, USA) to classify erosional process regimes across 78 fans. Using fan slope, surface roughness, and drainage density, we map transitions from colluvial to debris-flow dominated fans. We show these topographic derivatives along fans can stand alone, providing the ability to distinguish upslope catchment processes without catchment morphology. This work serves as a framework for preliminary assessment of regional-scale process variability on fans, with applications ranging from hazard mitigation efforts to planetary geomorphology.

How to cite: Sanders, M. and Roering, J.: Linking fan surface morphology to erosional process regimes: A morphometric framework, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22128, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22128, 2026.

EGU26-22181 | Orals | GM3.3

HOLOCENE AND PRESENT-DAY EVIDENCES OF RECURRENT POST-FIRE LANDSLIDES: geomorphological responses to climatic and environmental changes. 

Ana Luiza Coelho-Netto, Ana Carolina Facadio, Leticia Bolsas, Karoline Ishimine, and Roberta Silva

Given the accelerated pace of climate change (increased droughts and the frequency of intense rainstorms) and human-induced land-use changes, this work assesses the magnitude of their effects on slope evolution in the Serra do Mar mountainous domain of Rio de Janeiro, SE Brazil. Morphological, historical, and functional approaches were integrated to evaluate the conditions controlling landslides in response to Holocene bioclimatic changes and present-day environmental dynamics, with emphasis on the role of fire in intensifying these phenomena. Past processes dynamics were inferred through geomorphological, chronostratigraphic, and palynological evidence. Current studies include geological-geotechnical, hydro-geomorphological, and vegetation analysis; classification of landslide susceptibility and comparison with the January 2011 landslide inventory; monitoring rainfall and soil suction in fire-affected vegetation (degraded forest and herbaceous-shrubby vegetation); in situ tests of Ksat and fire-controlled field experiments. Regionally, colluvial deposits mark distinct landslide episodes throughout the Holocene, with local recurrence intervals of about 300 years. Variations in δ13C and palynological analyses suggest significant transformations in vegetation cover during the Mid-Holocene, with a predominance of herbaceous-shrubby post-fire vegetation and pioneer species; spores and pollen grains with mechanical damage, indicative of a high-energy transport environment, attest to landslide transport. Charcoal fragments in colluvial deposits suggest frequent paleofires during the Holocene. Nowadays, recurrent short-term fires (<10 years) replace forests with herbaceous-shrubby vegetation, where most of the landslides (70%, N=382) from the 2011 catastrophic event are concentrated. At some slopes, fires create a hydrophobic layer in herbaceous vegetation, and short roots (≤30 cm deep) reduce evapotranspiration, keeping soil conditions near saturation at 1,5 m depth, even during prolonged droughts. Post-fire, soil suction increases in the upper soil meter in both vegetation types, within a five to six-month delay. During the following rainy season or extreme rainfall, soils tend to saturate completely, leading to rapid suction loss and excess pore pressure that could trigger landslides. In degraded secondary rainforest, dominated by pioneer and early-succession species that sustain rapid hydrological responses to rainfall, the absence of functional anchoring roots would increase the likelihood of landslides. 

How to cite: Coelho-Netto, A. L., Facadio, A. C., Bolsas, L., Ishimine, K., and Silva, R.: HOLOCENE AND PRESENT-DAY EVIDENCES OF RECURRENT POST-FIRE LANDSLIDES: geomorphological responses to climatic and environmental changes., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22181, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22181, 2026.

Mountainous regions in India and Vietnam are highly vulnerable to landslides due to their complex terrain, active tectonic settings, and intense seasonal rainfall, posing severe risks to infrastructure, ecosystems, and human settlements. This study employs the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique to monitor long-term ground deformation and evaluate slope stability in landslide-prone areas across these regions. Using Sentinel-1 satellite imagery from 2020–2025, SBAS-InSAR was applied to mitigate decorrelation challenges caused by dense vegetation and steep topography, enabling millimeter-scale accuracy in displacement measurements. Time-series deformation maps reveal spatially heterogeneous movement patterns, with accelerated displacement during monsoon periods, strongly correlated with rainfall intensity and geological factors such as fractured bedrock and colluvial deposits. Validation through field observations and geotechnical data confirms the reliability of SBAS-InSAR results, identifying critical failure zones influenced by groundwater infiltration and slope oversteepening. The findings demonstrate the effectiveness of SBAS-InSAR for monitoring slow-moving landslides in remote mountainous regions, providing actionable insights for hazard assessment, early warning systems, and sustainable infrastructure planning. This research underscores the role of spaceborne radar technology in enhancing disaster resilience and risk mitigation strategies in both the Indian Himalayas and northern Vietnam.

 

Keywords: SBAS-InSAR, slope instability,Indian Himalayans, North Vietnam, Sentinel-1, deformation monitoring. 

How to cite: Manocha, A. R.: Assessing Slope Stability and Landslide Hazards using InSAR-Based Deformation Monitoring In the India and Vietnam., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-238, 2026.

On 23 September 2023, a major quick-clay landslide occurred at the Stenungsund interchange on the E6 highway in southwestern Sweden. It caused extensive damage to critical transport infrastructure, resulting in long-term regional disruption and underscoring the societal vulnerability of development in sensitive clay terrains. This study presents an integrated geological, geomorphological, hydrological, and anthropogenic analysis of the Stenungsund landslide, aiming to clarify the mechanisms that led to failure and to extract lessons relevant for hazard assessment and land-use planning.

The landslide affected approximately 15 hectares, with a runout distance of about 620 m and an estimated displaced volume of ~1.85 million m³. We combine field mapping, stratigraphic logging, geotechnical data, historical documentation, and LiDAR-derived terrain models with aerial and satellite imagery and hydrological modelling to reconstruct pre-failure conditions, failure kinematics, and post-event morphology. The geological setting consists of thick sequences of late- to postglacial marine clay in a fracture-valley landscape, interbedded with permeable silt, sand, shell-rich horizons, and glaciofluvial sediments. These conditions promote groundwater flow, clay pore-water salt leaching, and the development of quick clay.

Our results indicate that failure initiated at depth within weak clay layers beneath recently placed fill and evolved into a translational progressive landslide. Anthropogenic loading from construction activities acted as the primary trigger, while altered drainage and groundwater pathways raised pore-water pressures. Hydrological modelling shows that excavation, blasting, and filling redirected runoff toward the site and increased infiltration along fractured bedrock and permeable sediment layers. Heavy rainfall in the days before the event likely added to the pressure build-up and influenced the timing of failure. Once downslope resistance was lost, rapid mobilization of quick clay produced large horizontal displacements and complex deformation patterns, including subsidence, heave, and circular-cylindrical failures.

The Stenungsund case highlights the tight coupling between geological predisposition and human modification in quick-clay terrain. It shows how short-term construction activity can destabilize systems that may appear stable under conventional assessments. Integrated evaluations that consider hydrogeological connectivity, stratigraphic variability, and cumulative anthropogenic effects are needed to improve risk mapping and guide controls on loading and drainage changes. Enhanced monitoring of groundwater conditions is likewise essential. As extreme rainfall events become more frequent, reassessing design methodologies and land-use practices in sensitive clay landscapes become increasingly important.

How to cite: Öhrling, C. and Fredin, O.: The Stenungsund (Sweden) Quick-Clay Landslide of 2023: Anthropogenic Influence and Infrastructure Consequences, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4567, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4567, 2026.

EGU26-6610 | Orals | GM3.5

Coupled Hydro-Geomechanical modelling of dike breaching 

Nathan Delpierre, Sandra Soares-Frazão, and Hadrien Rattez

Dike breaching following overtopping event is considered as one of the most common failure mechanisms.  Understanding this process is critical, as breaches typically result in catastrophic flooding. While overtopping failures have been studied both experimentally and numerically, the coupled physical mechanisms remain complex. Erosion associated with high-velocity water flowing downstream has often been considered as the main leading cause of failure. Yet, suction pressure and water content fluctuations provide additional strength to the dike material. The effects of suction on the geomechanical strength of the dike material have often been disregarded.  

In this work, we propose a proof-of-concept of a numerical model that encompasses what we consider as the main physical processes occurring during dike overtopping. First, we solve, in a traditional hydraulics approach, the Shallow-Water-Exner equations system to evaluate the water flow and the erosion potential. Second, we solve the Richards equation, for groundwater flow evaluation. This provides the information on the suction pressure evolution in the dike, spatially and in time, subject to overtopping.  Third, we propose a geomechanical approach that accounts for suction pressure effects on the mechanical strength of the soil. Large displacements of the geomaterial are computed by means of the Particle Finite Element Method (PFEM). It is a Lagrangian based method, that relies on a very efficient remeshing algorithm to simulate large displacements.  

The resulting model is a proof-of-concept for advanced dike failure simulation. We compare the outcome of the model in a dike failure theoretical case with a purely hydraulic based model and with a sediment transport-based model. The analysis focuses on the differences between these models, as reflected in the output hydrographs. The aim is to underline the need for tightened coupling between hydrodynamic, sediment transport and geomechanical processes to accurately simulate dike breaching events and improve hydrograph prediction.

How to cite: Delpierre, N., Soares-Frazão, S., and Rattez, H.: Coupled Hydro-Geomechanical modelling of dike breaching, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6610, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6610, 2026.

Geomorphic transitions—such as the interface between rivers and floodplains—are critical zones controlling water, sediment, and nutrient transport. River–floodplain connectivity often occurs through secondary channels that convey fluxes into the floodplain. In other cases, connectivity is created or amplified by human interventions. But is higher connectivity in a landscape always beneficial?

In this talk, we examine the role of connectivity—both structural and functional—in shaping flood wave attenuation and long-term land change. We draw on two contrasting landscapes. First, in the Trinity River (Texas), rivers and floodplains are connected via floodplain channels. Using an idealized model, we show that attenuation transitions from connectivity-limited to storage-limited as discharge increases. Secondary channel conveyance promotes early floodplain inundation and attenuation at lower flows, but at higher flows it can fill storage rapidly and even increase downstream flood peaks. Greater conveyance and wider floodplains increase fluxes to the floodplain, yet conveyance shortens residence times while wider floodplains prolong them.

Second, we examine coastal Louisiana: the sediment-rich Wax Lake Delta, which is gaining land, and the sediment-starved Terrebonne Bay, which is losing land. Here, connectivity plays opposite roles—enhancing resilience and land growth in one system while accelerating degradation in the other.

This work shows that connectivity is not universally “good”: it can attenuate floods and build land under some conditions, but under others it transfers risk or drives loss. Understanding these dynamics is critical for designing floodplain reconnection and managing landscapes under climate change.

How to cite: Passalacqua, P., Tull, N., and Wright, K.: When connectivity helps and when it hurts: How natural vs. human-induced connectivity affect flood wave attenuation and land change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7550, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7550, 2026.

The LAREDAR project addresses transnational flood risk mitigation in the Danube River Basin by focusing on the roles of lakes and reservoirs and by developing tools and guidance to support coordinated management across countries. Led by the Middle Tisza District Water Directorate, LAREDAR operates under the Danube Region Programme priority on climate adaptation and disaster management and is planned for a 30-month implementation period. Its core intent is to strengthen basin-wide cooperation through an integrated platform built on a joint GIS database and improved understanding of transnational flood effects, enabling sustainable and coordinated action during flood events across borders.

The Austrian–Slovenian Mura River is one of three multinational pilot areas selected to characterize the role of lakes and reservoirs in flood mitigation. The Austrian reach is hydrologically modified by hydropower generation, comprising a series of run-of-river power plants with impounded reaches and narrow embankments raised above the adjacent floodplain. During large floods, overtopping of these embankments enables natural floodplain inundation and creates secondary flowing retention that bypasses the power plants. Yet it remains rather unclear how flow regulation and floodplain flow interact.

Previous studies (Volpi et al., 2018; Cipollini et al., 2022; Stecher and Herrnegger, 2022) show that run-of-river power plants typically exert only minor influence on downstream flood peaks. Within the Austrian reach of the Mura Pilot area the focus is on the interdependencies between main channel and floodplain flows in a hydrologically altered river landscape. The lateral exchange between river and floodplain—its controls, dynamics, and consequences for total flood retention at reach to basin scales—remains insufficiently quantified, potentially limiting effective transnational flood management. We adapt the Floodplain Evaluation Matrix - FEM (Habersack and Schober, 2020) to explicitly account for run-of-river power plants and regulated flow regimes to assess the performance of floodplain-impoundment interrelations.

This work aims to (i) quantify retention effects across multiple spatial and temporal scales, (ii) evaluate the effectiveness of past flood mitigation measures, (iii) provide evidence on when and where floodplain connectivity provides meaningful peak reduction, and (iv) clarify upstream–downstream interactions in a transnational setting. The resulting evidence base will extend current knowledge and support river managers in optimizing flood risk mitigation and targeted prevention measures. It will also foster robust transnational cooperation and data exchange for improved flood risk management.

First findings already underline the important retention effect of existing floodplains, but also indicate the potential of optimizing floodplain connectivity, making better use of impounded river reaches for improved flood management. More detailed, quantified results are expected in 2026.

How to cite: Preiml, M. and Bertinotti, J.: Improved transboundary flood risk management through better understanding of floodplain connectivity in an impounded, flow regulated river reach. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7999, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7999, 2026.

Estimation of flood response in ungauged catchments remains a critical challenge in hydrology, particularly in regions with heterogeneous physiography and limited observational data. In India, the Central Water Commission (CWC) provides regional empirical equations for deriving unit hydrographs within predefined, contiguous hydrological zones. Although widely applied, this zonal framework does not explicitly account for variations in internal catchment structure and drainage network organization. The present study proposes an alternative approach for flood response estimation based on catchment topological characteristics, with application to South Indian catchments located within CWC zones 3d, 3e, 3f, 3g, 3h, and 3i. Initially, unit hydrographs were computed using the CWC regional relationships and subsequently converted into instantaneous unit hydrographs (IUHs). Given the contiguous nature of the selected CWC zones, a topology-based classification of catchments was then introduced to better represent hydrological response mechanisms. Catchments are grouped according to their drainage network configuration, and empirical width functions were derived for each group. Since the width function describes the spatial distribution of contributing areas with respect to flow travel distance, it provides a physically meaningful representation of the instantaneous unit hydrograph of a catchment. A comparative analysis was conducted between IUHs derived from CWC-based unit hydrographs and those obtained directly from width functions. The results show good agreement between the two approaches in terms of hydrograph shape, peak timing, and overall response dynamics, indicating that catchment topology exerts a dominant control on flood response. Based on these findings, new regional relationships were developed using topological classification rather than contiguous geographic zoning. The proposed framework offers a physically based and alternative approach to existing CWC methodologies for estimating ungauged instantaneous unit hydrograph for Indian catchments. By emphasizing drainage network structure over zonal continuity, the approach enhances applicability across catchments with similar topological characteristics and provides a robust tool for regional flood estimation and hydrological modeling in data-scarce regions.

Keywords: Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph, Catchment Topology, Width Function, Regionalization, Ungauged Catchments.

How to cite: Rana, S. and Chavan, S. R.: Proposing an alternative approach based on channel network topology to determine Instantaneous unit hydrographs for ungauged Indian catchments , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8793, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8793, 2026.

EGU26-11066 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.5

Geomorphic Diversity Loss Following Post-Flood Interventions 

Martin Lehký and Jakub Langhammer

Extreme flood events naturally act as drivers of geomorphic heterogeneity, creating complex channel-floodplain systems characterized by diverse bedforms, bank erosion features, and sediment splays. However, the subsequent phase of flood recovery often involves rapid and extensive anthropogenic interventions that counteract these natural processes. This study evaluates the loss of geomorphological diversity in montane streams of the Opava River Basin (Czechia) by analyzing the conflict between natural recovery and technical river management.

The research methodology employs a multi-temporal approach combining field investigation and remote sensing. While systematic geomorphological field mapping was conducted at two key stages—immediately following the 2024 flood to record the "pristine" impact and one year later to assess the final state—UAV photogrammetric campaigns were executed repeatedly throughout the post-flood year. This high-frequency monitoring provided multiple temporal windows, allowing us to track the precise sequence of changes and distinguish between gradual natural adjustments and abrupt anthropogenic modifications.

The analysis of this time-series data reveals a significant trajectory of channel simplification:

  • Erasure of Complexity: The repeated UAV models document how initial flood-created features (cut banks, gravel bars) were systematically removed by engineering works. In reaches subjected to heavy machinery, geomorphic diversity was reduced by up to 100%.
  • Dynamics of Intervention: The multiple time windows highlighted that the most severe loss of diversity often occurred weeks or months after the flood event itself, during the "recovery" phase. Moreover, this loss of diversity was significantly stronger in proximity to habited areas compared to natural river reaches.
  • Impact of Intensity: We identified a direct correlation between the intensity of technical adjustments and the degree of channel homogenization. While "soft" interventions allowed for the partial preservation of flood-induced forms, heavy engineering works resulted in the complete artificial straightening of the thalweg.

The study demonstrates that high-resolution UAV monitoring is essential for capturing the transient states of river recovery. The findings suggest that current post-flood protocols often prioritize rapid hydraulic streamlining at the expense of ecological integrity, effectively "resetting" the river's geomorphic value to a pre-flood, or even simpler, state.



How to cite: Lehký, M. and Langhammer, J.: Geomorphic Diversity Loss Following Post-Flood Interventions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11066, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11066, 2026.

EGU26-13400 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.5

Assessing Temporal Consistency and the Effect of Predisposing Factors in Landslide Susceptibility Models in the Ribeira Quente Valley (São Miguel Island, Azores) 

Maria João Silva, Rui Marques, Rui Fagundes Silva, César Andrade, and Paulo Amaral

Situated in the North Atlantic Ocean, the Azores is an archipelago of nine volcanic islands, where numerous destructive landslide events have occurred over the past five centuries, triggered by several factors, namely seismic activity, volcanic eruptions, and episodes of intense rainfall. Within this context, this study focuses on the Ribeira Quente valley, located in Povoação Municipality (S. Miguel Island), covering an area of 9,15 km². The valley is highly prone to landslides, which often damage the only road to Ribeira Quente village, leaving it isolated. A major event occurred on October 31st,1997, when an episode of very intense rainfall triggered nearly 1,000 shallow landslides, primarily translational slides and debris flows. This event resulted in 29 fatalities, the destruction of 36 houses, and left 114 people homeless, while the village became isolated for over 12 hours.

Three historical landslide inventories were developed for this study. The first inventory, based on a 2004 ortophotomap with a resolution of 40 centimeters and a scale of 1:15,000, included approximately 400 landslides. The second inventory, from 2010, was developed using Google Street View, and contained around 250 landslides. Finally, the third inventory, conducted through fieldwork in 2025, identified approximately 260 landslides. In total, the three inventories include around 910 landslides.

Landslide susceptibility analysis provides the essential basis for hazard mapping, a crucial component for quantitative risk assessment. The main objectives of this study are: (i) to investigate whether there is temporal variability in the spatial distribution of landslide susceptibility results; and (ii) to determine the optimal combination of predisposing factors for inclusion in the landslide susceptibility model, maximizing its predictive performance.

Susceptibility modelling was performed using 11 predisposing factors, which were processed as raster datasets with a 5 m × 5 m resolution, alongside historical landslide inventories. To evaluate the influence of each predisposing factor on landslide distribution, factors were hierarchically ranked by their ability to distinguish between terrain units with and without landslides.

The modeling process employed the Information Value method, a bivariate probabilistic approach derived from Bayesian theory. A total of 2,047 susceptibility models were tested for each landslide inventory, and the best model was selected based on its goodness of fit, determined by computing the Success Rate Curves (SRC) and the Area Under the Curve (AUC). The predictive capacity of the best models was then assessed by computing the Prediction Rate Curves and the corresponding AUC.

This study provides essential tools for land-use planning and civil protection. Landslide susceptibility maps can also support the implementation of site-specific risk mitigation measures and prioritize detailed geotechnical investigations. This research is financially supported by the INTERREG program through the PRISMAC project – “Análise, Mitigação e Gestão do Risco de Movimentos de Vertente Potenciados pelas Alterações Climáticas na Macaronésia” (Ref. 1/MAC/2/2.4/0112).

How to cite: Silva, M. J., Marques, R., Silva, R. F., Andrade, C., and Amaral, P.: Assessing Temporal Consistency and the Effect of Predisposing Factors in Landslide Susceptibility Models in the Ribeira Quente Valley (São Miguel Island, Azores), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13400, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13400, 2026.

EGU26-13811 | ECS | Orals | GM3.5

 Predicting land subsidence and cascading flood hazards on deltas in the twenty-first century  

Austin J. Chadwick, Michael S. Steckler, Carol A. Wilson, Steven L. Goodbred, Suzana J. Camargo, Farzana Rahman, Md. Masud Rana, Sharmin Akter, Anwar Hossain Bhuiyan, Stacy Larochelle, Md. Jakir Hossain, Sheak Sazzad Mahmud, Ashraful A. Tanvir, Zohur Ahmed, and Afroza Mim

Densely populated coastal deltas worldwide face cascading flood hazards associated with sea-level rise, storm surges, dwindling sediment supplies, and land subsidence. One of the greatest hurdles to hazard prediction stems from this last component—land subsidence—which can vary drastically in space and time for a given delta. Here we constrain subsidence variations on the Ganges Brahmaputra Delta, using a state-of-the-art 1D compaction model based upon fundamental principles of porous-media mechanics and groundwater flow; as well as constitutive relations for porosity and edaphic factors (e.g., plant roots, animal burrows). The model accurately reproduces field observations (GNSS, RSET-MH, optical-fiber compaction meters, auger cores), showing compaction-induced subsidence rates of 1–30 mm/y depending upon local thickness and lithology of underlying Holocene deposits, forest tree density, and sedimentation rate. Sedimentation drives a dynamic compaction response over timescales of 10–100 years, such that floodplains cut off from sediment after embankment construction in the 1960s have undergone significant elevation loss, but are now experiencing a gradual subsidence slowdown. Some of the fastest subsidence rates can be attributed to buried Pleistocene paleovalleys infilled with thick Holocene sediments, portending a legacy of ancient sea-level changes on future flood hazards. Updated coastal flooding estimates informed by our model indicate that compaction-induced subsidence will be responsible for up to 50% of twenty-first-century relative-sea-level rise, and exert a first-order control on flooding hotspots. This predictive subsidence model can improve assessments of coastal flood risk on the Ganges-Brahmaputra and other deltas worldwide; and help inform ongoing billion-dollar restoration efforts facing crucial decisions as to where and when coastal barriers, sediment diversions, and settlement relocations should be implemented in the coming century.

How to cite: Chadwick, A. J., Steckler, M. S., Wilson, C. A., Goodbred, S. L., Camargo, S. J., Rahman, F., Rana, Md. M., Akter, S., Bhuiyan, A. H., Larochelle, S., Hossain, Md. J., Mahmud, S. S., Tanvir, A. A., Ahmed, Z., and Mim, A.:  Predicting land subsidence and cascading flood hazards on deltas in the twenty-first century , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13811, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13811, 2026.

EGU26-14135 | Orals | GM3.5

The Northern Vietnam landslide events mapped with Change Vector Analysis 

Janusz Godziek, Łukasz Pawlik, and Tran Trung Hieu

Multiple landslides triggered by heavy rain, associated with debris flows and flash floods are major geohazard in the mountainous areas of Northern Vietnam, resulting in lost of life and property. Mapping landslides immediately after their occurrence remains crucial for providing a better understanding of their causes , the course of their formation, and the influence they exert on both nature and human.

We analyzed the effects of several landslide events that occurred between 2020 and 2024 in Northern Vietnam. We aimed to develop a fully automated geospatially integrated software workflow for rapid and accurate mapping of landslide and debris flows in the subtropical zone. The method we applied was Change Vector Analysis (CVA), which is based on detecting changes betweeen two images (pre- and post-event) by emploing two metrics: magnitude, referring to the amount of change between pixels, and direction, describing the type of change. As input data, we used the Sentinel 2A optical imagery with a spatial resolution of 10 m. For each landslide event we analyzed a separate area, where its geomorphic effects were the most robust. As the exact dates of landslide events varied for each study area, we downloaded pre- and post-event image pairs for each area with different acquisition dates and low cloudiness (below 10%). Due to the mountainous terrain and the potentially disruptive influence of atmospheric correction, we decided to use L1C data. For validation, we used the landslide vectorization polygons. For each study area, we generated random points labeled as “landslide” or “no landslide” based on the landslide polygons. Then, we performed CVA parameter tuning for each area and selected the CVA variant most effective at landslide delineation. We integrated the entire workflow into R script. The results indicate that simple data analysis methods such as CVA can be efficient for landslide mapping. Despite the cloudiness limitation, optical Sentinel-2 data can be applied in the subtropical zone to map the landslides and debris flows.

The study has been supported by the Polish National Science Centre (project no 2023/49/B/ST10/02879).

How to cite: Godziek, J., Pawlik, Ł., and Hieu, T. T.: The Northern Vietnam landslide events mapped with Change Vector Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14135, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14135, 2026.

Landscape evolution principles provide a conceptual framework for understanding how relief develops through long-term interaction of tectonics, climate, and surface processes. In tectonically active mountain regions, these interactions strongly influence the spatial distribution and recurrence of hydrogeomorphological hazards affecting human settlements (Winckell et al., 1997).

The objective of this research is to evaluate the role of landscape evolution as a control factor in flood and landslide hazards within the central Paute River basin, with particular attention to tectonic structures, hydrogeomorphological adjustments, hillslope dynamics, and their interactions with anthropogenic environments. The analysis combines multiple source and scale datasets, including a detailed mass-movement inventory derived from historical images and official cartography from the Geographical Institute of Ecuador (SIGTIERRAS, 2014) and the National Secretariat for Risk Management (SNGRE, 2024). These data were complemented with high-resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys conducted annually in identified active sectors, which enable documentation of recent reactivations and relevant geomorphic changes.

Results show that floods and landslide hazards are strongly conditioned by long-term landscape evolution. The valley orientations controlled by structures and the inherited sedimentary environments condition the floodplain development and recurrent overbank flooding along the Burgay, Déleg, and Paute Rivers; particularly in the cities of Biblián, Azogues, Déleg, and Paute, provide a clear example of how un-equilibrated base-level conditions influence the hazard (Torres et al., 2022; Torres Ramírez, 2022). Landslide activity is mainly concentrated on slopes shaped by lithological contrasts, tectonic discontinuities, and the presence of previous landslides (Torres-Ramírez & Marco-Molina, 2025), as demonstrated by large-scale events such as La Josefina in 1993 (Plaza & Egüez, 1993), with rainfall acting as a trigger mechanism rather than a primary cause.

These findings reveal that floods and landslides in the central Paute River basin are direct expressions of an evolving landscape in which human settlements are located. Identifying geomorphic controls on hazardous processes provides a better understanding of risk patterns and supports more informed landscape approaches to land-use planning and hazard management in intermontane Andean regions.

Keywords: Landscape evolution, Hydrogeomorphology, Landslides, Floods, Paute river basin, Ecuador

References:

Plaza, G., & Egüez, A. (1993). Consideraciones Geológicas-Geotécnicas sobre el Deslizamiento de La Josefina. Coloquio científico El deslizamiento de La Josefina.

SIGTIERRAS. (2014). Mosaicos de ortofotos a nivel nacional. Sistema Nacional de Información de Tierras Rurales e Infraestructura Tecnológica. Quito, Ecuador. https://bit.ly/2twJiRn

SNGRE. (2024). Database Eventos Registrados. Secretaría Nacional de Gestión de Riesgos y Emergencias, Ecuador. Periodo 2010 a 2024.

Torres, R., Sánchez, E., & Marco, J. (2022). Análisis de la dinámica fluvial del río Burgay al norte de la ciudad de Azogues (Ecuador) y su influencia en el medio urbano mediante técnicas fotogramétricas y TWITTER API. XVII Coloquio Ibérico de Geografía, 332–343.

Torres Ramírez, R. (2022). Estimación morfométrica de la erosión lateral del río Burgay producida por las precipitaciones del 20 de abril de 2022. http://rua.ua.es/dspace/handle/10045/123388

Torres-Ramírez, R., & Marco-Molina, J. (2025). Inventario de movimientos en masa en la zona centro de la cuenca del Río Paute. Avances de La Geomorfología Española En 2023 - 2025.

Winckell, A., Zebrowski, C., & Sourdat, M. (1997). Las regiones y paisajes del Ecuador (Segunda Ed.). CEDIG.

How to cite: Torres-Ramírez, R. and Marco-Molina, J. A.: Landscape evolution as a key driver of flood and landslide hazards: tectonic and hydrogeomorphological evidence from the central Paute River basin, Ecuador, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14983, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14983, 2026.

EGU26-16532 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.5

Comparative Assessment of Landslide Deformation Using UAV-derived DSM differencing and InSAR: A Case Study from the Prashar Landslide site, Himachal Pradesh 

Nitesh Dhiman, Ankit Singh, Kirti Kumar Mahanta, Bhawna Pathak, and Dericks Praise Shukla

The precise monitoring of landslide deformation is essential to understand slope dynamics and its stability condition in mountainous terrain. It affects transportation, communication, and waterways directly, and associated damages hinder economic growth in the region. The study presents a comparative assessment of surface deformation at the Prashar landslide site (Himachal Pradesh) using high-resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry and satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). Drone-based surveys were conducted in two time frames (April 2024 and March 2025) to obtain high-resolution Digital Surface Models (DSMs). Sentinel-1 C-band images (from May 2023 to November 2024) were used for getting time-series deformation using EZ-InSAR and MintPy workflows. Results from both methods revealed consistent results signifying that the landslide site is deforming at a creeping rate. Rate of deformation from DSM differencing revealed surface deformation ranging from -55 cm to +46 cm over 13 months. The zone of erosion is concentrated along the crown portion of the landslide, accumulating debris along the body of the landslide. InSAR results showed mean line-of-sight deformation values between -3.35 and +4.68 cm/year, with the highest subsidence concentrated at the crown portion, however additional deformation was detected on the opposite valley flank. Despite differences in spatial resolution, both techniques consistently identify the same active deformation zones with a comparable deformation rate of approximately 8 cm per month when temporal averaging is considered. UAV-based DSMs provide centimeter-scale details of crack propagation, displacement, and associated local geomorphic changes. On the other hand, InSAR captures continuous regional-scale deformation trends, particularly effective over sparsely vegetated areas. The close agreement between UAV and InSAR-derived deformation patterns demonstrates the robustness of integrating high-resolution drones with satellite-based time-series analysis. This multi-sensor approach enhances the reliability of landslide monitoring in rugged terrain and offers a practical framework for long-term hazard assessment and early warning applications.

Keywords: UAV differencing, InSAR deformation, high-resolution DSM, Landslide monitoring, Prashar landslide site.

How to cite: Dhiman, N., Singh, A., Mahanta, K. K., Pathak, B., and Shukla, D. P.: Comparative Assessment of Landslide Deformation Using UAV-derived DSM differencing and InSAR: A Case Study from the Prashar Landslide site, Himachal Pradesh, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16532, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16532, 2026.

EGU26-17324 | ECS | Posters on site | GM3.5

Machine learning and rainfall threshold-based assessment of landslide hazards in Vietnam 

Tran Trung Hieu, Łukasz Pawlik, Pham Van Tien, and Nguyen Cong Quan

For an effective landslide hazard assessment, it is essential to accurately predict the occurrence, timing, and magnitude of landslides. This work presents a detailed analysis of landslide spatiotemporal probability and size distribution for a case study Vietnam. Spatial probability was modeled using Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), and Logistic Regression (LR) with 12 predictor variables and a landslide inventory recorded from 2017 to 2024. Temporal probability was estimated using daily rainfall data, applying an event rainfall–duration threshold in combination with a Poisson model. Landslide size probabilities were derived from a probability density function (PDF). Finally, a set of hazard maps was produced for three different time periods and three landslide size classes.

The study has been supported by the Polish National Science Centre (project no 2023/49/B/ST10/02879).

How to cite: Trung Hieu, T., Pawlik, Ł., Van Tien, P., and Cong Quan, N.: Machine learning and rainfall threshold-based assessment of landslide hazards in Vietnam, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17324, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17324, 2026.

EGU26-17413 | ECS | Orals | GM3.5

Unstable Slopes and Shifting Landscapes: Slow-moving landslides in the East African Rift 

Antoine Dille, Matthias Vanmaercke, Toussaint Mugaruka Bibentyo, Floriane Provost, Benoît Smets, and Olivier Dewitte

Human activities are transforming tropical mountain landscapes at unprecedented rates through deforestation, agricultural expansion, and urbanization. These changes amplify the frequency and magnitude of geo-hydrological hazards such as landslides. While shallow, rapid landslides are well documented, the controls on the activity and dynamics of large, slow-moving landslides (SML) remain much less understood, despite their persistent impacts on communities and sediment dynamics.

This study demonstrates how the combined use of radar and optical Earth observation data enables the detection, mapping, and monitoring of deep-seated landslides across vast and remote tropical regions such as the Albertine Rift. By mapping and comparing more than 120 active and 3,000 historical landslides distributed along the ~1,500 km Rift branch, we reveal how climatic, lithological, tectonic, and anthropogenic factors jointly control their occurrence.

We further analyse multi-year landslide dynamics across contrasting environments, supported by unique ground-based validation datasets built on years of fieldwork in the region, and provide detailed insights into failure mechanisms of recent catastrophic landslides in the area. Altogether, this work delivers a unique regional-scale assessment of SML activity in tropical environments and highlights how landscape and human-driven land use changes can modulate their behaviour. It offers new perspectives on how environmental transformations shape landscape evolution, geo-hydrological hazards and sediment transfer in rapidly changing mountain regions.

How to cite: Dille, A., Vanmaercke, M., Mugaruka Bibentyo, T., Provost, F., Smets, B., and Dewitte, O.: Unstable Slopes and Shifting Landscapes: Slow-moving landslides in the East African Rift, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17413, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17413, 2026.

EGU26-18461 | Orals | GM3.5

Large wood recruitment during the extreme 2021 Ahr flood (Germany) 

Rainer Bell, Adrian Zmelty, Michael Dietze, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Heiko Apel, and Anna Schoch-Baumann

The Ahr flood of 2021 had severe consequences, including 135 fatalities, extensive damage to infrastructure and buildings, and significant geomorphologic change. Clogging of bridges exacerbated water levels, leading to outburst flooding on top of high water levels when the bridges failed. The clogging of bridges was mostly due to large woody debris. Thus, the question arose as to where and when the large wood (LW) was sourced. This study aims to analyse and quantify the recruitment of LW during this extreme event in a lower mountain range with a return period of more than 500 years.

LW with a crown diameter greater than 2 m was mapped across the floodplain of the Ahr river using aerial images and orthophotos from 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2025. This approach enabled us to determine how much LW was uprooted, washed away or merely tilted by the flood. Furthermore, it provided data on how much LW was cut by humans after the flood (Zmelty and Büchs, 2025). Information on LW properties, including tree height, was obtained from 1 m LiDAR data (2019, 2021 and 2022). Canopy height models (CHM) of the valley floor and resulting CHM of Difference (CoD) data sets were calculated for all time slices. The causes of LW recruitment were analysed using the water levels and flow velocity of the 2021 flood (Vorogushyn et al., 2025).

Manual mapping revealed that 12,499 woody structures were uprooted, 4,424 were tilted and 2,763 were cut by humans after the event. Preliminary analysis of LiDAR data shows that the location of the removed LW fits relatively well with the manual mapping, considering the distortion between the different aerial images and orthophotos. The LiDAR results show that 5,397 trees were between 5 and 10 metres high and 3,556 trees were higher than 10 metres. Preliminary analyses indicate a correlation between LW recruitment and modelled water levels and flow velocities. However, the LW data needs to be cleared of trees cut by humans and differentiation between uprooted and tilted trees is necessary. In any case, the results demonstrate the extreme uprooting of trees by the 2021 flood in the lower mountain range. The missing trees have seriously altered the ecological condition of the floodplain, left the river and riverbanks unprotected, leading to increased bank erosion and river warming during the summer.

 

Vorogushyn, Sergiy; Han, Li; Apel, Heiko; Nguyen, Viet Dung; Guse, Björn; Guan, Xiaoxiang; et al. (2025): It could have been much worse: spatial counterfactuals of the July 2021 flood in the Ahr Valley, Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 10.5194/nhess-25-2007-2025

Zmelty, A. & Büchs, W. (2025): The ecological potential of a flood disaster - opportunities and failures after the heavy rainfall event in the Ahr Valley in 2021. - Das ökologische Potential einer Flutkatastrophe - Chancen und Versäumnisse nach dem Starkregenereignis im Ahrtal 2021. Decheniana (Bonn) 178: 185–214.

How to cite: Bell, R., Zmelty, A., Dietze, M., Vorogushyn, S., Apel, H., and Schoch-Baumann, A.: Large wood recruitment during the extreme 2021 Ahr flood (Germany), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18461, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18461, 2026.

EGU26-19736 | Posters on site | GM3.5

Landslide Magnitude Exceedance Probability Modelling for Ribeira Quente Valley (São Miguel Island, Azores-Portugal) 

Rui Marques, Maria João Silva, and Rui Fagundes Silva

Landslide size is a strong predictor of runout distance across a wide range of landslide types and therefore represents a key parameter for hazard assessment. Within the conceptual risk framework, landslide hazard analysis requires estimating the probability of exceedance of landslide magnitude, in a manner analogous to approaches commonly applied to other natural hazards, such as earthquakes. Integrating magnitude–probability relationships into landslide hazard assessments enhances the robustness of potential impact characterization and supports informed risk-based decision-making.

Situated in the North Atlantic, the Azores archipelago comprises nine volcanic islands where numerous destructive landslide events have occurred over the past five centuries, triggered by seismic activity, volcanic eruptions, and intense rainfall. Within this context, this study focuses on the Ribeira Quente valley (Povoação Municipality, São Miguel Island), covering 9.15 km². The study area exhibits high susceptibility to landslide occurrence, characterized by very friable volcanic deposits and extremely steep slopes. Landslides frequently affect the only access road to Ribeira Quente village, leaving it isolated. Since 1900, 31 landslides events have affected Ribeira Quente parish, causing 32 fatalities. A major event on 31 October 1997 triggered nearly 1,000 shallow landslides, resulting in 29 fatalities, the destruction of 36 houses, and 114 people left homeless, while the village remained isolated for over 12 hours.

Three historical landslide inventories were compiled. The first inventory, based on 2004 data, included ~400 landslides. The second, from 2010, contained ~250 landslides. The third, compiled in 2025, identified ~260 landslides. Overall, the inventories include approximately910 landslides, mainly superficial translational slides and debris flows.

The main objective of this study is to propose and parameterize probability distributions specifically tailored to the study area. The landslide scar areas were used as the magnitude descriptor. A total of 65 theoretical probability distributions were fitted to the scar area data. Parameterization was performed using the maximum likelihood method, and goodness of fit was evaluated with the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (K-S) test. The best-fitting probability density function (PDF) was then selected, and exceedance probabilities for different magnitude scenarios were computed based on its complementary cumulative distribution function (1 − CDF).

This study provides a probabilistic approach for assessing landslide magnitudes, presenting valuable insights for land-use planning and civil protection. The derived magnitude–exceedance functions enhance hazard characterization and can guide the prioritization of risk mitigation actions and targeted geotechnical investigations. This research was supported by the INTERREG program through the PRISMAC project – “Análise, Mitigação e Gestão do Risco de Movimentos de Vertente Potenciados pelas Alterações Climáticas na Macaronésia” (Ref. 1/MAC/2/2.4/0112).

How to cite: Marques, R., Silva, M. J., and Silva, R. F.: Landslide Magnitude Exceedance Probability Modelling for Ribeira Quente Valley (São Miguel Island, Azores-Portugal), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19736, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19736, 2026.

Active geomorphological processes such as landslides, surface deformation, fluvial erosion, and structural reactivation pose serious geohazards in tectonically and climatically dynamic regions. Accurate identification and monitoring of these processes require high‐resolution surface information capable of capturing spatial variability and short‐term geomorphic changes. In this study, high‐resolution unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) based optical imagery is used to investigate active geomorphological processes, structural controls, and geohazard distribution in a seismically active region of the northeastern Himalaya of India.

The study is conducted in the Kopili Fault Zone (KFZ), in the Northeast of India. It is a major active tectonic corridor located at the junction of the Himalayan and Indo-Burman plate boundary systems. The region is characterised by steep slopes, intense monsoonal rainfall, dense vegetation, frequent moderate earthquakes, and widespread slope instability. These combined tectonic and climatic conditions result in recurring landslides, rapid landscape modification, and complex interactions between tectonic structures and surface processes.

UAV-derived optical images are processed using photogrammetric techniques to generate high‐resolution orthomosaics and digital surface models. These datasets are used for detailed landslide inventory mapping, identification of scarps, crown cracks, debris accumulation zones, and assessment of landslide geometry and spatial distribution. Structural mapping of lineaments, fault traces, and fracture patterns is carried out through visual interpretation and GIS-based analysis of UAV imagery, enabling evaluation of tectonic controls on slope instability and drainage development.

The results include the generation of a high-resolution landslide inventory, improved delineation of structurally controlled instability zones, and enhanced identification of active deformation and erosion hotspots. The study is expected to demonstrate clear spatial relationships between landslide occurrence, active fault segments, and geomorphic anomalies. Overall, this research highlights the effectiveness of UAV-based optical remote sensing for resolving fine-scale geomorphological processes and improving geohazard characterisation, thereby supporting hazard mitigation, land-use planning, and risk reduction strategies around the Kopili Fault Zone and similar tectonically active regions.

How to cite: Sahu, D. K. and Manocha, A. R.: Investigation of Active Geomorphological Processes and Landslide Mapping Using Advanced UAV Data around the Kopili Fault Zone, in the Northeast Himalayan region of India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21553, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21553, 2026.

EGU26-2979 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Effects of emotional narratives and uncertainty visualization on non-experts’ trust in climate change forecast maps 

Sergio Fernando Bazzurri, Armand Kapaj, and Sara Irina Fabrikant

Climate change is an ongoing environmental and societal challenge. Communicating its ramifications and related uncertainties clearly to stakeholders and the public is an imperative task for time-critical decision-making. Public communication about climate change often includes maps, aimed at facilitating the understanding of complex scientific findings and making these more accessible to non-specialist audiences. This is especially important when difficult concepts such as inherent uncertainties related to climate predictions are involved.

While climate change communication may appear abstract and distant to non-experts, climate change discourse often involves strong emotional responses from the public. Engaging visual storytelling with climate change maps may be a useful strategy to reduce the psychological distance of the public. However, elicited emotions may influence how people perceive the presented information and thus their willingness to trust the maps.

We aimed to investigate the effect of emotional narratives on map readers’ trust in visualized (un)certainty information in static climate change forecast maps. We applied a 3x2 mixed factorial, map-based study design, including electrodermal activity measurements and eye-tracking. We designed three versions of climate change prediction map stimuli, inspired by the Swiss Climate Scenarios CH2018. Uncertainty was operationalized as a within-subjects independent variable such that participants viewed 18 map stimuli in total, showing different climate variables in randomized order, equally distributed across three conditions: (1) without uncertainty information, (2) uncertainty visualized as black gridded dots, or (3) uncertainty visualized as black randomly distributed dots. Following prior research, we used the term ‘certainty’ in our map stimuli, as it is better understood by the audience than ‘uncertainty’. We used narrative instructions as the between-subjects independent variable, with participants randomly assigned and matched across groups to one of the two conditions: (1) emotion or (2) control. In the emotion condition, each map stimulus was accompanied by an emotion-inducing verbal narrative and a human cartoon character. In the control condition, participants viewed the same map stimuli accompanied only by a factual verbal narrative.

We recruited 61 participants (30 females, 31 males, average age = 30 years) from the Department of Geography at the University of Zurich to participate in the study. After viewing each map stimulus, participants were asked (without any time restriction) to select one of the six predefined locations shown in the maps that they predicted to be most/least affected by climate change. Finally, they indicated their trust in each stimulus type using a standardized questionnaire.

Preliminary results suggest no significant differences in participants’ overall average trust ratings across the two narrative conditions. However, participants significantly trust climate change prediction maps more when certainty information is also included, regardless of the narrative condition they were assigned to. Conversely, we found no significant difference in trust ratings between the map stimuli that contain certainty information visualized as gridded or randomly distributed dots.

These novel empirical findings stress the need to visually communicate (un)certainty information to support people’s trust in climate science and climate change forecast maps. The use of cartoon characters to emotionally engage the public in climate change communication remains to be further empirically investigated.

How to cite: Bazzurri, S. F., Kapaj, A., and Fabrikant, S. I.: Effects of emotional narratives and uncertainty visualization on non-experts’ trust in climate change forecast maps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2979, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2979, 2026.

EGU26-5507 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Communicating hydrological model calibration with toy examples 

Georgia Papacharalampous, Francesco Marra, Eleonora Dallan, and Marco Borga

Informing robust decisions on flood risk and water resource management necessitates, among other factors, clearer communication of hydrological model uncertainty to non-specialist audiences. In this presentation, we demonstrate that simplified toy models, which abstract away systemic complexity, can serve as an accessible and effective tool for this purpose. As a specific case study, we illustrate how the choice of calibration scoring function shapes model behavior and associated uncertainty estimates. This foundational approach helps build the core intuition needed to effectively engage with more complex, real-world systems. Overall, we present a practical framework that supports experts articulate, and non-experts comprehend, the essential "why" and "how" of uncertainty in hydrological predictions.

Acknowledgements: This work was funded by the Research Center on Climate Change Impacts - University of Padova, Rovigo Campus - supported by Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Padova e Rovigo.

How to cite: Papacharalampous, G., Marra, F., Dallan, E., and Borga, M.: Communicating hydrological model calibration with toy examples, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5507, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5507, 2026.

EGU26-7755 | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Making Sense of Uncertainties: Ask the Right Question 

Alexander Gruber, Claire Bulgin, Wouter Dorigo, Owen Emburry, Maud Formanek, Christopher Merchant, Jonathan Mittaz, Joaquín Muñoz-Sabater, Florian Pöppl, Adam Povey, and Wolfgang Wagner

It is well known that scientific data have uncertainties and that it is crucial to take these uncertainties into account in any decision making process. Nevertheless, despite data producer’s best efforts to provide complete and rigorous uncertainty estimates alongside their data, users commonly struggle to make sense of uncertainty information. This is because uncertainties are usually expressed as the statistical spread in the observations (for example, as random error standard deviation), which does not relate to the intended use of the data.

Put simply, data and their uncertainty are usually expressed as something like “x plus/minus y”, which does not answer the really important question: How much can I trust “x”, or any use of or decision based upon “x”? Consequently, uncertainties are often either ignored altogether and the data taken at face value, or interpreted by experts (or non-experts) heuristically to arrive at rather subjective, qualitative judgements of the confidence they can have in the data.

In line with existing practices (e.g., the communication of uncertianties in the IPCC reports), we conjecture that the key to enabling users to make sense of uncertainties is to represent them as the confidence one can have in whatever event one is interested in, given the available data and their uncertainty.

To that end, we propose a novel, generic framework that transforms common uncertaintiy representations (i.e., estimates of stochastic data properties, such as “the state of this variable is “x plus/minus y”) into more meaningful, actionable information that actually relate to their intended use, (i.e., statements such as “the data and their uncertainties suggest that we can be “z” % confident that…”). This is done by first formulating a meaningful question that links the available data to some events of interest, and then deriving quantiative estimates for the confidence in the occurrence of these events using Bayes theorem.

We demonstrate this framework using two case examples: (i) using satellte soil moisture retrievals and their uncertainty to derive how confident one can be in the presence and severity of a drought; and (ii) how ocean temperature analyses and their uncertainty can be used to determine how confident one can be that prevailing conditions are likely to cause coral bleaching. 

How to cite: Gruber, A., Bulgin, C., Dorigo, W., Emburry, O., Formanek, M., Merchant, C., Mittaz, J., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Pöppl, F., Povey, A., and Wagner, W.: Making Sense of Uncertainties: Ask the Right Question, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7755, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7755, 2026.

EGU26-11747 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

An overview of the scientific literature on uncertainty communication in geoscience  

Iris Schneider-Pérez, Marta López-Saavedra, Joan Martí, Judit Castellà, Solmaz Mohadjer, Michael Pelzer, and Peter Dietrich

Uncertainty is an inherent part of geoscience research and arises at multiple stages of the scientific process, from data collection and modelling to analysis and interpretation. In recent years, growing attention has been devoted to uncertainty quantification and assessment, alongside increasing recognition of the importance of uncertainty communication. These aspects are closely linked, as robust characterization of uncertainty provides an essential basis for transparent communication within the scientific community and beyond it.

Communicating uncertainty not only plays a key role in improving the understanding of how scientific knowledge is produced, but can also help to foster trust by increasing transparency and contextualizing results. Nevertheless, reluctance to explicitly assess and communicate uncertainty persists, particularly when addressing non-expert audiences. This challenge is especially relevant in the context of natural hazard risk assessment and management: Here, adequate communication of uncertainties can add particularly valuable information for decision-making, risk governance, and a better understanding of the risks at hand among public audiences.

This contribution presents an exploratory, database-driven overview of the scientific literature on uncertainty communication in geoscience, with a particular focus on natural hazards. Using structured queries in the Web of Science database, we examine publication trends over time, disciplinary distributions, thematic emphases, and possible blind spots. Keyword combinations range from general terms such as “uncertainty communication” and “multi-hazard communication” to more specific queries combining uncertainty, communication, and individual natural hazards (e.g., floods, earthquakes, droughts).

Preliminary results indicate that uncertainty communication spans a broad range of scientific categories, while the level of attention varies substantially across hazard types, with flood-related studies being more prominent than others. Initial findings also suggest that multi-hazard uncertainty communication remains comparatively underrepresented, despite the increasing emphasis on multi-hazard and multi-risk assessments in recent research and policy frameworks. The growing volume of publications further highlights the need for systematic approaches to literature mapping, as well as the potential role of data-driven and AI-assisted tools in supporting such analyses.

This research was partially funded by the European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (ECHO) of the European Commission (EC) through the VOLCAN project (ref. 101193100) and by the 2024 Research Prize of the Dr. K. H. Eberle Foundation to Mohadjer, Pelzer and Dietrich.

How to cite: Schneider-Pérez, I., López-Saavedra, M., Martí, J., Castellà, J., Mohadjer, S., Pelzer, M., and Dietrich, P.: An overview of the scientific literature on uncertainty communication in geoscience , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11747, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11747, 2026.

EGU26-11821 | Posters on site | EOS1.4 | Highlight

Heatwaves and Early Warning Systems: Perception Data and the Role of Science Communication – A Case Study from Romania 

Selvaggia Santin, Adina-Eliza Croitoru, Norbert Petrovici, Cristian Pop, Maria-Julia Petre, Enrico Scoccimarro, and Elena Xoplaki

Heatwaves are among the most impactful climate extremes in Europe, driving acute health risks and socio-economic disruption. They are a challenge for early warning and public understanding due to uncertainties in event onset, severity, and human response. Building on the interdisciplinary Strengthening the Research Capacities for Extreme Weather Events in Romania (SCEWERO) project funded by the European Union, this study investigates how scientific evidence, perception data, and communication strategies interact within Romania’s heatwave Early Warning System operated by Meteo-Romania. We analyse both empirical perception data — collected through structured surveys and focus groups to quantify how different communities interpret heat warnings, risk levels, and confidence intervals — and observational heatwave metrics to map divergences between communicated risk and public understanding. This research highlights specific sources of uncertainty faced by forecasters (e.g., variable heat exposure, model forecast spreads), and documents how these uncertainties are interpreted or misinterpreted by non-expert audiences. By tracing how uncertainty in forecast signals propagates through institutional warning messages and into public perception, we identify communication gaps that can lead to maladaptive responses or reduced trust in warnings during heat events. Framing uncertainty, contextualised risk information, and tailored communication strategies improve both public comprehension and behavioural intent during heatwave alerts. We propose evidence-based recommendations for operational Early Warning Systems that move beyond fixed deterministic thresholds, instead incorporating probabilistic messaging where appropriate and grounding risk communication in locally derived perception data. This work illustrates how harmonising scientific uncertainty communication with Early Warning practices can strengthen societal resilience to heatwaves, offering a transferable framework for climate risk communication in other European regions.

How to cite: Santin, S., Croitoru, A.-E., Petrovici, N., Pop, C., Petre, M.-J., Scoccimarro, E., and Xoplaki, E.: Heatwaves and Early Warning Systems: Perception Data and the Role of Science Communication – A Case Study from Romania, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11821, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11821, 2026.

Aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) is a way to use the groundwater to heat and cool buildings, with very low CO2 emissions. It classifies as a shallow geothermal technology, and it is gaining popularity worldwide because of its sustainability, efficiency and cost-effectiveness. While its potential has been extensively proven in traditional homogenous, productive sandy groundwater layers, investing in more complex subsurface settings has greater financial risk. This is related to uncertainty about the (hydraulic) project feasibility and (thermal) efficiency of the system. Basically, we cannot directly look underground, so it is uncertain to what extent our subsurface model correctly represents reality. Even though this subsurface uncertainty leads to a great globally untapped potential for thermal energy storage, it is often neglected in feasibility studies. To move new ATES developments forward in complex subsurface settings, we present an uncertainty-driven sound scientific method to make investment decisions. Uncertainty in subsurface models is recognized by using a stochastic approach. The model predictions are then processed with clustering and global sensitivity analysis. This allowed to define criteria on critical subsurface properties that guarantee project (in)feasibility. For edge-cases, uncertainty is quantified to determine the probability of project feasibility from a risk-taking or risk-averse decision-maker perspective. Additionally, this approach quantified the potential of changing operational parameters (flow rate, well spacing, design injection temperature) to enhance project feasibility. All results are summarized in an easy-to-interpret decision tree that guides go/no-go decisions for new ATES projects. Importantly, the decision-tree can be followed prior to carrying out costly field tests. To illustrate, the uncertainty-driven decision tree approach is applied to a low-transmissivity aquifer for ATES, which represents a subsurface setting at the limit of ATES suitability. In conclusion, our approach effectively handles uncertainty while also focusing on improving clear communication to investors about the probability of project feasibility. As such, it could be an example study on how to handle model uncertainty for predictions of aquifer thermal energy storage systems in the future.

How to cite: Tas, L., Caers, J., and Hermans, T.: An Uncertainty-Driven Decision Tree Approach Guiding Feasibility Decisions of Shallow Geothermal Systems in Complex Subsurface Settings, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14276, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14276, 2026.

EGU26-15153 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Communicating Flood Risk Uncertainty for Decision-Making in Aotearoa-New Zealand 

Clevon Ash, Matthew Wilson, Carolynne Hultquist, and Iain White

Flood risk uncertainty is a growing problem in New Zealand and the rest of the world. Decision-makers are facing increasing uncertainty in planning for future events. Growing population centres, increased cost of living and the resulting increased exposure to these natural hazards are just some of factors they need to consider in planning and mitigating future events. Climate change predictions represent a large part of the uncertainty present in these future flood risk assessments. Variables such as rainfall intensity and duration are likely to change significantly with increased temperatures which would result in potentially larger and more frequent flood events. To better understand how these different uncertainties could influence decision-making, a series of flood model and risk assessment output representations containing uncertainty were generated from a Monte Carlo framework. These representations were tested using an online survey and focus groups across regional councils, national response agencies and private companies that work with flood information. The results showed that traditional flood outputs such as depth and extent were still rated more useful than uncertain outputs such as confidence and exceedance probabilities. Larger AEPs (annual exceedance probabilities) such as 0.5% and 0.1% were seen as useful for long-term development planning but lower AEPs such as 1% and 5% were better suited for mitigation and emergency response plans. Across all the uncertainty outputs, respondents stressed the need for additional contextual information such as socio-economic overlays, area specific information such as land use and building types that would work in tandem with rebuild cost estimates and building damage data. From this feedback, a series of recommendations for presenting flood uncertainty information to decision-makers were created.

How to cite: Ash, C., Wilson, M., Hultquist, C., and White, I.: Communicating Flood Risk Uncertainty for Decision-Making in Aotearoa-New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15153, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15153, 2026.

EGU26-17550 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Communicating the Uncertain Nature of Science Through the Lens of Science Education 

Jakub Stepanovic, Sandy Claes, and Jan Sermeus

Uncertainty is a defining feature of the nature of science; besides driving curiosity in research, its acknowledgement and reporting are expected to ensure transparency and credibility. However, when science is communicated to a non-expert audience, uncertainty often gets oversimplified or omitted. This practice can lead to misconceptions about science (e.g., science leads to absolute knowledge) or erode confidence when uncertainties inevitably surface. In this session, we will explore how uncertainty is framed within the Nature of Science framework of science education, and which educational strategies might be of interest for science communication. Drawing on examples from communicating planetary science, we will discuss approaches that can make uncertainty relatable and constructive, helping audiences appreciate science as a dynamic, evidence-based process rather than a collection of fixed facts.

How to cite: Stepanovic, J., Claes, S., and Sermeus, J.: Communicating the Uncertain Nature of Science Through the Lens of Science Education, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17550, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17550, 2026.

EGU26-20429 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.4

Communicating uncertain future climate risk: Lessons learned from adaptation and disaster risk practitioners in Madagascar 

Ailish Craig, Rachel James, Alan Kennedy-Asser, Elisabeth Stephens, Katharine Vincent, Richard Jones, Andrea Taylor, Christopher Jack, Alice McClure, and Christopher Shaw

Climate information is increasingly being produced and shared as governments, businesses and individuals need to adapt to the changing climate. Yet, communicating uncertain climate change information to non-experts remains a challenge. The information that is currently made available to non-climate science specialists is too complex for them to understand and use. A key challenge in climate science is that estimating future change comes with uncertainties which are highly technical to non-climate specialists. Nevertheless, it is paramount that when climate information is shared and used, the limitations and uncertainties attached are well understood. This is particularly important amongst audiences that lack technical familiarity with climate science. Additionally, scientists and climate service providers do not have a common approach to represent the range of future change. Some scientists place an emphasis on probabilistic projections, meanwhile others focus on the full range of plausible futures.

There has been a limited effort to assess whether the audience understands what the producer of the climate information intended. Testing or evaluating different methods and visualisations of communicating future climate information, and its related uncertainties, can provide insight into what is most effective. Isolating what is (mis)understood can shed light on how to effectively communicate future climate information. This study investigates the interpretation of different presentations of future climate information using a survey and discussion with 45 participants working within weather and disaster agencies in Madagascar. Icon arrays, climate risk narratives, key statements and verbal probability language was tested to provide insight into how practitioners understand different ways of communicating future climate information. Both probabilistic and plausible framings of uncertainty are considered to explore how participants interpret each.

The percentage of participants that selected the correct answers across comprehension questions ranged from 24-82%. For the interpretation of verbal and numeric probabilities which was communicated as “virtually certain [99-100%]”, the correct numerical probability was selected by 24% of participants, highlighting the systematic misinterpretation of verbal and numerical probabilities. The climate risk narrative provided 3 plausible narratives, however, over a third of participants incorrectly believed there were 3 narratives to allow decision makers to select a narrative that is sector relevant. Some reasons for misinterpretation were provided by the participants such as confusing legends and icons, using their prior knowledge instead of the information document or experiencing cognitive dissonance. Meanwhile some expressed difficulty understanding due to lots of information while others requested additional insights, demonstrating the need for flexibility in design.

This study has highlighted new ways of communicating climate risk as well as ineffective current practises.  Recommendations suggest that climate scientists and climate communicators should; include an explicit explanation of why there are multiple climate risk narratives; reconsider the use of numeric and verbal probability expression given they are commonly misinterpreted and consider that an individuals’ prior knowledge influences their interpretation of new information. 

How to cite: Craig, A., James, R., Kennedy-Asser, A., Stephens, E., Vincent, K., Jones, R., Taylor, A., Jack, C., McClure, A., and Shaw, C.: Communicating uncertain future climate risk: Lessons learned from adaptation and disaster risk practitioners in Madagascar, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20429, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20429, 2026.

EGU26-423 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Debris-Flow Susceptibility Assessment in a Semi-Arid Mountain Belt: Western Taurus, Turkiye 

Azime Nur Özkulluk, Tolga Görüm, Abdüssamet Yılmaz, Furkan Karabacak, Aydoğan Avcıoğlu, Abdullah Akbaş, Resul Çömert, and Seçkin Fidan

Debris flows are a significant geohazard in the semi-arid mountain belts of southwestern Türkiye, where short-duration, high-intensity rainfall frequently triggers rapid sediment mobilization, generating destructive debris-flow hazards that threaten settlements, transportation corridors, and agricultural land. The catastrophic 6-7 August 2018 debris-flow event, reported to have caused severe damage to agricultural fields, livestock, and road infrastructure (in both two villages, one day apart) together with more recent rainfall-triggered events in the area, highlights the vulnerability of the region; since these basins drain into the Elmalı polye, a critical agricultural hub, assessing debris-flow susceptibility is essential for future risk mitigation. This study presents a regional debris-flow susceptibility assessment for the Elmalı Basin (Western Taurus Mountains) in Antalya, Türkiye. Using a 5m resolution DEM, NDVI-based vegetation change analyses, topographic thresholds (slope, curvature, flow accumulation), and lithological data, potential source areas were identified, and runout paths were modeled with the empirical Flow-R approach. Model calibration was supported by geomorphic evidence of the 2018 event, and NDVI difference maps provided an effective tool for evaluating the accuracy of runout angle calculations. The results highlight several channels where steep, concave slopes coincide with high-susceptibility zones, indicating that certain settlements and agricultural fields lie within potential impact zones. 

How to cite: Özkulluk, A. N., Görüm, T., Yılmaz, A., Karabacak, F., Avcıoğlu, A., Akbaş, A., Çömert, R., and Fidan, S.: Debris-Flow Susceptibility Assessment in a Semi-Arid Mountain Belt: Western Taurus, Turkiye, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-423, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-423, 2026.

Entrainment significantly modifies the dynamics and runout of debris flows, yet the combined influence of water content, bed properties, and particle-scale characteristics remains poorly constrained. Building on our previous flume-based framework, this study integrates mesoscale flow experiments with micromechanical analysis of debris materials including grain shape, roughness, and fragmentation using X-ray micro-CT imaging. A series of controlled flume experiments were performed using erodible sand beds (4 cm thick) prepared via mist pluviation to minimize segregation. Sixteen flow tests were conducted across a range of volumetric water contents (20–50%), capturing high-speed flow kinematics, entrainment depth, and deposit morphology. Complementary micro-CT imaging of fluvial and colluvial grains enabled quantification of particle shape (sphericity, aspect ratio, surface irregularity) and its potential role in erosion thresholds.

Results show distinct morphological transitions with increasing water content. At low w/c (20–24%), flows exhibited limited mobility and formed short, conical lobes with minimal scouring. Around intermediate w/c (~28%), reduced bed dilatancy and moderate pore pressure generated thicker but shorter deposits, indicating partial suppression of entrainment. At higher w/c (30–50%), enhanced lubrication and basal shear promoted deeper scouring, larger entrainment volumes, and substantially longer runouts with wide, flattened deposits. A parabolic relationship emerged between bed water content and entrainment rate, highlighting the nonlinear coupling between fluid fraction, granular collisions, and bed resistance. Deposits exhibited poor sorting and layered structures similar to natural debris flows, confirming dynamic similarity. Preliminary micro-CT analyses suggest that more angular and elongated grains exhibit larger contact stresses and higher resistance to dislodgement, whereas smoother grains mobilize earlier potentially explaining material-dependent variability in erosion observed across tests. Ongoing work aims to link shape descriptors directly with measured entrainment rates. This combined experimental–micromechanical approach advances our understanding of debris-flow erosion by bridging particle-scale processes and mesoscale dynamics. The results provide new insights for improving entrainment parameterization in debris-flow models and for developing more reliable runout predictions in geophysical hazard assessments.

How to cite: Pandey, N. K. and Satyam, N.: Micro-mechanical controls on entrainment and depositional patterns in wet granular debris flows: Insights from flume experiments and particle-scale characterization, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1042, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1042, 2026.

EGU26-2891 | Orals | NH3.1

Recent periglacial debris flows driven by climatic warming in the southeastern Tibet 

Kaiheng Hu, Hao Li, and Shuang Liu

Glacier retreat and snow melting promote periglacial debris-flow occurrence in the Tibetan Plateau and surrounding mountains. We collect data of 32 historical events in the Zelunglung, Xueka, Tianmo catchments of the southeastern Tibet by retrospective analysis and on-site investigations. It is found that sedimentation on the Zelunglung debris flow fan reduces to pre-earthquake level about 40 years after the 1950 Assam Earthquake. In recent decades, debris flow occurrence lags behind the average annual temperature/summer temperature peaks by 2 to 3 years, indicating that the debris flows have shifted from being earthquake-driven to climate-warming-driven. 11 historical runoff-generated debris flow events were identified from 1940 to the present using dendrochronological analysis at the Xueka catchment, indicating the positive feedback between debris flow and climate warming. Large-scale debris flows transformed from ice avalanches or glacier collapse often result in dammed lakes and subsequent outburst floods that impose long-term impacts on downstream infrastructures and landscape evolution.

How to cite: Hu, K., Li, H., and Liu, S.: Recent periglacial debris flows driven by climatic warming in the southeastern Tibet, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2891, 2026.

EGU26-2990 | Orals | NH3.1

Alarming and monitoring systems at the Simplon Pass 

Ólafur Stitelmann, Theo St Pierre Ostrander, Janine Wetter, Jonas Von Wartburg, Maxence Carrel, and Stéphane Vincent

The Simplon pass culminates at 2006 m over sea level and is one of the principal alpine roads crossing the Alps in the North-South direction. It is extremely important for intra-European goods transportation, as it is open over the winter and is only protected by avalanche galleries and does not cross a tunnel, so that dangerous goods like chemicals can be transported safely all year round on this road. On the 29th of June 2025 at ca. 4.30 PM, following a few days of high intensity precipitation, several massive debris flows originating from the region of the Hübschhorn rock glacier entered the Engi gallery that is normally protecting the road from avalanches in winter and deposited a layer of more than one meter debris over several tens of meters, causing the closure of the road. The Hübschhorn rock glacier had been melting substantially over the last decade so that a combination of high temperature and important cumulated precipitation could mobilize the debris. The road had to be reopened as rapidly as possible and the debris flow channel had to be raised to avoid new damages to the road in case of events, but this meant performing construction works in a region with frequent rockfall and high debris flow risk. The Federal Roads Office mandated Geoprevent to rapidly install both a monitoring system to provide some information about the state of the rock glacier and a multi-component alarm system to detect debris flows and rockfall, close the road and trigger a local alarm on the construction site in case of detections. This works introduces the different components of these complex monitoring and alarming systems and presents some insights about the challenges faced during their installation and operation.

How to cite: Stitelmann, Ó., St Pierre Ostrander, T., Wetter, J., Von Wartburg, J., Carrel, M., and Vincent, S.: Alarming and monitoring systems at the Simplon Pass, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2990, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2990, 2026.

Debris-flow fans form by repeated deposition of debris-flow sediments. Catchment lithology affects debris-flow grain-size distribution, and thereby rheology, erosive potential, and depositional morphology. We can therefore expect that lithology also influences debris-flow fan characteristics. Here, we determine how catchment lithology affects the surface morphology and sedimentology of debris-flow fans, and by extension their spatio-temporal evolution. We study nine fans along the eastern margin of northern Owens Valley, California, USA, originating from catchments with contrasting lithologies, and similar climate, tectonics, and geological history.

Results show that debris flows originating from catchments comprising magmatic rocks are rich in cobble- to boulder-sized grains. The coarse sediment along the flow fronts and margins minimizes lateral spreading of debris-flow lobes, forming distinct levees and thick depositional mounds. In contrast, debris flows originating from catchments dominated by sedimentary rocks are rich in relatively fine gravel. Their fine-grained levees and lobes lack strongly frictional margins, spread more easily, and form distinctly thinner and wider deposits. Debris flows originating from catchments with metamorphic lithologies show intermediate grain-size and depositional morphology.

These contrasts in debris-flow characteristics guide the morphology and spatio-temporal development of debris-flow fans. Fine-grained debris flows spread laterally and tend to fill topographical lows, whereas lateral spreading of coarser-grained flows is hampered, instigating a low tendency to fill topographic lows. The more efficient topographic compensation on fans formed by fine-grained debris flows causes smaller elevation differences across a less rugged surface, and likely to higher avulsion frequencies. The limited mobility and spreading of coarse-grained debris flows promote frequent deposition on top of and directly adjacent to channel margins, forming well-defined channels bordered by thick composite levees, and raised fan sectors. These results illustrate how catchment lithology can affect the morphology, sedimentology, and evolution of debris-flow fans, providing guidelines for reading their depositional archives and avulsion hazard assessment.

How to cite: de Haas, T., Ventra, D., Densmore, A., and Binnie, S.: Influence of catchment lithology on debris-flow fan morphology, sedimentology and evolution – Field evidence from the White Mountains, southern California, USA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3978, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3978, 2026.

EGU26-4368 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Experimental study on the rheological and flow behavior of woody-debris suspensions 

Le-Trang Nguyen and Chyan-Deng Jan

Debris flows, composed of water, soil, sand, rocks, and organic materials such as woody debris, are highly destructive phenomena commonly occurring in mountainous regions. The presence of woody debris can significantly modify flow mobility, depositional characteristics, and overall debris-flow dynamics. In this study, woody-debris suspensions composed of clay-silt, water, and woody debris were systematically prepared to investigate the effects of woody-debris proportion (Cvg) and woody-debris size (​Lw) on rheological properties and flow behavior. Rheological parameters were measured using a Brookfield DV-III rheometer. The results show that increasing Cvg​ significantly increases yield stress (τB​) and viscosity (μB​), whereas increasing Lw leads to a reduction in both parameters. Inclined-channel tests were further conducted to examine flow dynamics. Higher Cvg​ results in lower entry speeds, shorter runout distances, and thicker, wider deposits. In contrast, larger ​Lw generates higher entry speeds, leading to longer runout distances with thinner and narrower deposits. A strong correlation is observed between rheological parameters and flow-test parameters, indicating that inclined-channel tests provide a practical alternative for estimating rheological properties of debris flows containing woody debris.

How to cite: Nguyen, L.-T. and Jan, C.-D.: Experimental study on the rheological and flow behavior of woody-debris suspensions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4368, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4368, 2026.

EGU26-4521 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Measuring the unmeasurable? Geotechnical and UAS-based investigations of landslides 

Hervé Vicari, Franziska Bründl, Philipp Friess, Yves Bühler, Andreas Stoffel, Ralf Herzog, Daniel Farinotti, Jiahui Kang, Fabian Walter, Jordan Aaron, Brian McArdell, and Johan Gaume

The dynamics of landslides are strongly governed by their material composition and boundary conditions. When soil sediments mix with water, the fine fraction can markedly alter permeability—both within the flowing mass and in the underlying bed material—thereby influencing the generation and persistence of excess pore pressures and, consequently, shear strength. While new two-phase continuum models are increasingly capable of capturing these coupled hydro-geomechanical processes (e.g., Vicari et al., 2025b), a key challenge remains: can we reasonably measure the field material properties required to parameterize such models? Field sites are often steep, heterogeneous, and difficult to access, complicating in-situ characterization.

To address this challenge, we conducted a systematic geotechnical investigation of ten debris flow channels across Switzerland (Vicari et al., 2025a). Soil samples were collected to determine grain size distributions, revealing significant variability in fine content among sites. Higher fine contents were found to reduce sediment permeability, quantified using in-situ dual-head infiltrometer tests. Complementary Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) surveys provided high-resolution erosion and deposition patterns, allowing us to relate observed geomorphic changes to both channel and catchment morphology and sediment properties. Simple correlations suggest that higher fine contents correspond to enhanced erosion and more frequent debris flow activity, though these relationships are strongly modulated by channel geometry and sediment availability. Combining geotechnical and geomorphological parameters enabled us to classify the investigated channels into four distinct behavioral groups, ranging from small, coarse gullies through intermediate coarse- and fine-rich channels to large, fine-rich systems.

The methods developed and trained through this study proved invaluable for the investigation of the 28 May 2025 Blatten landslide. Modeling results indicate that a substantial frictional reduction was required to explain the extreme mobility of this event, implicating transient excess pore pressures as a likely mechanism. Geotechnical analyses of the landslide material revealed low permeability and high fine content, suggesting that excess pore pressure dissipation times may have greatly exceeded the event duration if even a 1 m flow layer became liquefied.

Our results highlight the importance of integrating geotechnical measurements with remote sensing to constrain key parameters for next generation two-phase numerical models.

References

Vicari, H., Bründl, F., Frieß, P., Ringenbach, A., Stoffel, A., Bühler, Y., Aaron, J., Mcardell, B., Walter, F., Graf, C., Herzog, R., Bebi, P., Gaume, J., 2025a. Linking debris flow erosion to channel-bed parameters: Geotechnical and remote sensing investigation of ten channels in Switzerland. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.176126762.20405430/v1

Vicari, H., Tran, Q.-A., Metzsch Juel, M., Gaume, J., 2025b. The role of dilatancy and permeability of erodible wet bed sediments in affecting erosion and runout of a granular flow: Two-phase MPM–CFD simulations. Computers and Geotechnics 185, 107307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2025.107307

How to cite: Vicari, H., Bründl, F., Friess, P., Bühler, Y., Stoffel, A., Herzog, R., Farinotti, D., Kang, J., Walter, F., Aaron, J., McArdell, B., and Gaume, J.: Measuring the unmeasurable? Geotechnical and UAS-based investigations of landslides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4521, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4521, 2026.

EGU26-4709 | Orals | NH3.1

Modelling the effect of buildings on water related rapid mass movements 

Espen Eidsvåg, Hallvard Nordbrøden, Hedda Breien, and Kalle Kronholm

Water related rapid mass movement such as landslides, debris flows, and slush flows are expected to become more frequent as the climate continues to change. Hazard zoning in urban areas is necessary to save lives and to prevent damages to existing and future buildings. Previous events have shown that the runout of such events can be strongly influenced by the buildings and infrastructure in the runout path. Buildings can stop or reduce, but also redirect the movement of the flow. Therefore, one of the challenges for hazard zoning in urban areas is determining how to take existing buildings into consideration when assessing runout of rapid mass movements.

In this work, we have explored to which degree RAMMS::Debrisflow can be utilized to estimate the effect that existing buildings have on the runout of landslides, debris flows and slush flows. We aim at developing a general procedure that can be applied for hazard mapping at a large scale. We have studied nine previous rapid mass movement events where buildings have affected the runout. For each event, the runout has been back-calculated in RAMMS::Debrisflow 1) without taking buildings into consideration, 2) using increased friction for areas with buildings, and 3) using “obstacle/dam”-mode for areas with buildings.

Our study shows that modelling that takes buildings into account more accurately represent the runout of the different historic rapid mass movements than modelling without taking the effect of buildings into account. We therefore recommend using such an approach when assessing the hazard of rapid mass movements in urban areas.

We propose to classify the robustness of buildings to account for the varying effect that different types of buildings have on runout. This can be accomplished on a larger scale by using public datasets that include attributes for buildings, such as the Norwegian FKB-dataset. For example, a large, robust concrete building might fully stop runout and is best represented in RAMMS::Debrisflow as an obstacle. Wooden residential houses and other buildings with moderate robustness might retard, but not fully stop runout and are best represented using areas of higher friction. Small and fragile buildings such as sheds or small garages are expected to have negligible effect on runout, and we suggest to not take these into consideration when modelling runout.

Predictably, the effect that buildings have on runout is depending on the intensity of the flow and construction method of the building. There will therefore still be a need for expert judgement when assessing resistance of buildings to the mass flow and in interpretation of results on a detailed scale. Our proposed method can be viewed as a first step towards such an assessment. By utilizing the large building datasets (such as the FKB-dataset), the practitioner can make a quick and practical substitute for a tedious structural assessment of each building, thus increasing efficiency for the hazard engineer.

How to cite: Eidsvåg, E., Nordbrøden, H., Breien, H., and Kronholm, K.: Modelling the effect of buildings on water related rapid mass movements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4709, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4709, 2026.

EGU26-4902 | Posters on site | NH3.1

Experimental debris flows and rock avalanches under different gravities –  To the Moon and Mars in an airplane 

Lonneke Roelofs, Bas van Dam, Arjan van Eijk, Menno Klaassen, Gijsbert den Toom, Hans Mulder, Sebastiaan de Vet, Maarten Kleinhans, Inge Loes ten Kate, Wim van Westrenen, and Tjalling de Haas

On Earth, hillslope processes are typically driven by gravity and lubricated by liquid water. The slope angle, availability of water, and material composition ultimately determine the type of mass-movement, the flow dynamics, and the morphology of the resulting depositional landforms. Therefore, terrestrial hillslope landforms have served as our guide in the interpretation of hillslope landforms and their formation processes on other planetary bodies (e.g. the Moon, Mars). However, pioneering work has shown that gravity has a significant effect on the dynamic angle of repose (Kleinhans et al., 2011), the transition of bedload to suspended load in fluvial sediment transport (Braat et al. 2024), and the settling speed of fine sediment in water (Kuhn et al., 2015). This raises the questions if and how gravity affects the non-linear flow dynamics of hillslope mass movements and the morphology of their depositional landforms.

In this study, we experimentally explored the effects of gravity on the dynamics of dry mass movements and those lubricated by a liquid. We performed rotating drum experiments under varying gravity (from ~0.1g to 2g, with g=9.81ms-2). The lower and hyper-gravity conditions were created by flying, respectively, parabolic trajectories and steep turns with a Cessna Citation II aircraft (PH-LAB), in which the rotating drum set-up was installed. In the rotating drum (diameter=50 cm), we tested how dry and wet granular flows responded to different gravity by measuring flow depth, density, compaction and dilation, and internal grain dynamics. Reference experiments with varying drum-rotation speeds were performed under Earth gravity to determine the relative effects of centrifugal force versus gravity, and aircraft vibrations.

Preliminary analyses show that gravity changes the dynamics of both dry and wet granular flows in our drum, and that these effects are more pronounced for wet granular flows. Under higher gravities (>1g), the granular flows become more compacted, which pushes the water out of the mixture and decreases the water content of the granular flow itself. As a result, the interparticle friction increases and the centre of mass shifts upslope in the drum. At lower gravities (<0.7g), the granular flows dilate, increasing the pore space in the sediment-water mixture, resulting in an increase in air in the inter-particle pore space. This increases the relative importance of flow resisting forces relative to lubricating forces within the mixture, shifting the center of mass of the mixture upslope. The results under varying gravities seem to imply that, for a given ratio of sediment to water, an optimum gravity exist for peak water-lubricated granular flow mobility.

Comparison of the results under varying gravity with those of the reference experiments with varying drum rotation speeds under 1g confirm that gravity has a unique effect on the flow dynamics of granular flows. In particular, on the dilation of the flowing mixture and the interparticle behaviour. However, as changing drum-rotation speed also shifts the centre of mass of the flowing mixture, further analysis will focus on the combined effects of dilation, shifting centre of mass, and the steepening slope in the drum for all experiments.

How to cite: Roelofs, L., van Dam, B., van Eijk, A., Klaassen, M., den Toom, G., Mulder, H., de Vet, S., Kleinhans, M., ten Kate, I. L., van Westrenen, W., and de Haas, T.: Experimental debris flows and rock avalanches under different gravities –  To the Moon and Mars in an airplane, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4902, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4902, 2026.

EGU26-5643 | Orals | NH3.1

Mapping and Predicting Debris Flows in the Central Chilean Andes 

Christian H Mohr, Eric Parra, Jason Goetz, Alexander Brenning, Cristian Henriquez, Maria Belén Araneda, Manuel Bustos, and Oliver Korup

Debris flows pose major hazards in the semi-arid Andes of Central Chile. Both, their regional spatial distribution and controlling factors, however, remain poorly understood. Our contribution addresses this gap in the upper Maipo River basin – a critical basin for Santiago’s water supply and recreational activities – which has experienced recent catastrophic events in 2017, 2021, and 2023 that resulted, among others, in the complete flooding of several villages.

Using multi-temporal imagery, we mapped 312 debris flows that occurred between 2007 and 2017, and modeled their occurrence through Bayesian logistic regression. We assessed the slope, contributing area, elevation, and lithology as potential controls, while testing the efficacy of slope–area relationships for susceptible terrain identification.

Our results demonstrate that slope and contributing area are primary predictors, exhibiting a credible positive interaction. Conversely, elevation showed a negative correlation, and lithology offered only negligible predictive power. Most strikingly, slope–area plots revealed that high-probability source areas cluster within a distinct morphometric domain, thus offering a simple, yet reliable, approach for delineating hazardous terrain from topographic data.

Despite our short observational window and restriction to debris flow events below 3700 m asl, our findings may help establishing a framework for regional susceptibility assessments in high-priority basins of the Central Andes and underscore the utility of simple models and open-access imagery for hazard mapping in data-scarce mountain regions and, potentially, providing a first step towards early warning.

How to cite: Mohr, C. H., Parra, E., Goetz, J., Brenning, A., Henriquez, C., Araneda, M. B., Bustos, M., and Korup, O.: Mapping and Predicting Debris Flows in the Central Chilean Andes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5643, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5643, 2026.

EGU26-6488 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Vertical Velocity Profiles in Natural Debris Flows: Insights into Different Flow Regimes 

Maximilian Ender, Felix Klein, Georg Nagl, Johannes Hübl, and Roland Kaitna

Debris flows are gravity-driven, channelized mass flows with a highly variable composition of solids and fluids. Due to the variability of grain size distribution and water content, flow resistance is expected to vary within single events as well as between different events. One approach to constrain the flow resistance of debris flows involves the measurement of vertical velocity distributions, i.e., average velocities and velocity fluctuations at different heights above the channel bed.

This study investigates vertical velocity distributions in natural debris flows observed at a monitoring station at the Gadria creek in South Tyrol, Italy. The first aim is to establish a robust methodology for estimating these distributions through a comprehensive parameter sensitivity analysis which forms the foundation of the present work. The second aim is to contrast velocity profiles during single debris-flow events and along different debris-flow events. For this we differentiate between relatively short, “quasi-steady” flow sections, characterized by no significant changes in bulk flow velocity, flow depth, or visually assessed composition of the passing debris, and unsteady flow periods, which are characterized by rapid and pronounced variations in velocity, flow depth, and mixture composition over short time scales, as typically occurring in debris-flow surges/waves or at granular debris-flow fronts.

In the current setting, we achieve a maximum temporal resolution for derivation of continuous vertical velocity profiles of 0.4 seconds. We observe substantial differences in the vertical velocity distributions of quasi-steady and unsteady flow regimes. Quasi-steady flow exhibits a constant velocity profile. For an initial analyzed quasi-steady section the profile follows a S-shape, which we interpret as indication of non-homogenous mixture composition along depth. For the unsteady flow section, represented by a sequence of waves/surges, we identify changing profile shapes, progressing from linear to S-shaped and finally to slightly concave.

In the future, we will analyze (quasi-)steady and unsteady flow sections of many debris-flow events and connect these with independent measurements of basal normal stresses and pore fluid pressure, as well as analyses of material samples and laboratory experiments. The outcomes of this study provide a basis for improved debris-flow model representation and validation.

How to cite: Ender, M., Klein, F., Nagl, G., Hübl, J., and Kaitna, R.: Vertical Velocity Profiles in Natural Debris Flows: Insights into Different Flow Regimes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6488, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6488, 2026.

EGU26-6540 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Towards systematic measurements of velocity profiles and sediment concentration in a wide range of laboratory debris-flow mixtures 

Felix Maximilian Klein, Maximilian Ender, Georg Nagl, and Roland Kaitna

Debris-flow dynamics are governed by the internal deformation of sediment–water mixtures. Due to the destructive potential of natural debris flows, constitutive models predicting flow velocity, impact forces, erosion, and deposition are desired. While simplified sediment–water flows are well understood, existing debris-flow models typically rely on constitutive assumptions for internal friction, sediment concentration, and solid–fluid interaction. Systematic experiments exploring the effects of grain-size distribution and fine material content on internal deformation and flow resistance are essential to better constrain and improve these models.

In this work we introduce a novel methodological setup to measure vertical velocity profiles within steady shallow (~15 cm) flows of sediment–water mixtures in a ~2.5 m diameter rotating drum. Measurements are performed in the central, most uniform flow region using an array of paired-conductivity sensors of varying geometry. Velocities are obtained via established cross-correlation methods of adjacent signals. Spectral properties of the conductivity signals are also explored as a potential complementary source of velocity information.

A low-cost capacitance probe is being developed to enable non-intrusive estimation of sediment concentration during flow. Proof-of-concept tests in air demonstrate feasibility, and further testing in water is planned to realize its use in ongoing experiments. Upcoming work will systematically investigate how grain-size distribution, particularly the fine material content and the uniformity of the coarse fraction, influence internal deformation, pore-fluid pressure, and bulk flow resistance.

How to cite: Klein, F. M., Ender, M., Nagl, G., and Kaitna, R.: Towards systematic measurements of velocity profiles and sediment concentration in a wide range of laboratory debris-flow mixtures, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6540, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6540, 2026.

EGU26-6967 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Deep Learning Reveals Debris Flow Impact Forces from Seismic Signals  

Kshitij Kar, Hui Tang, and Qi Zhou

Debris flows are rapid mass movements that move down steep mountain creeks and are a major threat to human life, properties, and infrastructure.  As the debris flow travels down the channel, the impact force of the debris on the channel bed generates ground vibrations that propagate to and can be recorded by the seismometer. The impact force is an important parameter in the design of debris-flow damage mitigation, such as check dams. Direct measurements of impact force from debris flows are limited by the high cost of instrumentation and the risk of instruments being destroyed in the process. Installing and maintaining a seismic network outside the debris flow channel keeps it protected from the hazard and can be a suitable alternative to direct measurements of the impact force. Connecting seismicity to the generating impact force is complex due to the complicated environment. Bridging this gap using deep learning could help estimate physical information to improve debris flow warning.   

In this study, we train an extended-LSTM (xLSTM) model to invert impact force from seismic signals generated by debris flows in the Illgraben catchment, in Switzerland. We chose the xLSTM model ahead of others due to its ability to process long and complex sequences of data. We used seismic signals generated by debris flows as they pass through CD 27 and impact force signals recorded at CD 29 by an 8m2 force plate. The xLSTM model is compared to the LSTM model architecture as a baseline, and we show that the xLSTM model performs better at capturing the distribution of the impact force and producing lower mean error. Along with this, it inverts the peak impact force with an absolute error of less than 1kN to the measured impact force.  Furthermore, we find a strong correlation between the volume and the cumulative impact (CIF) force for debris flows, showing that the xLSTM inverted impact force can be used to derive an initial constraint on the volume of a debris flow event. This method can support early warning systems for debris flow by allowing for quick impact force analysis and providing initial constraints on some physical characteristics, for example, debris-flow volume. 

How to cite: Kar, K., Tang, H., and Zhou, Q.: Deep Learning Reveals Debris Flow Impact Forces from Seismic Signals , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6967, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6967, 2026.

EGU26-7067 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Deciphering Debris-Flow Bank Erosion: Insights from the Illgraben Torrent, Switzerland  

Anna van den Broek, Brian McArdell, Daniel Draebing, Maarten Zwarts, Pierre Huguenin, Wiebe Nijland, and Tjalling de Haas

Debris flows increase in size by channel bed and bank erosion, enhancing their hazardous potential. While bed erosion by debris flows has been studied extensively through field measurements, laboratory experiments, and numerical modeling, our understanding of bank erosion remains limited. Therefore, we have no information on the spatial and temporal dynamics of debris flow bank erosion. Due to the infrequent occurrence of debris-flow events and the difficulty in accessing debris-flow channels, there have been no torrents for which there are (1) detailed measurements of debris-flow properties, (2) high-resolution topographic measurements of bank erosion before and after debris flow events, and (3) detailed measurements of bank composition and strength. We need the combination of these three processes to be able to physically explain the conditions that lead to high bank erosion rates. We use a comprehensive, long-term dataset from the Illgraben torrent, one of the most active debris-flow channels in the European Alps, to investigate bank erosion processes. This unique record includes field measurements of debris-flow characteristics and 51 high-resolution DEMs, spanning over 70 debris flow events between 2020 and 2025. By generating DEMs of Difference (DoD) to quantify bank erosion and integrating these with flow parameters derived from RAMMS modeling and field measurements, we investigate the controls on debris-flow bank erosion. Our preliminary results indicate that bank erosion often lags behind major debris-flow events. Large erosion episodes commonly occur after a high-magnitude flow. Smaller flows can gradually erode the bank toe during successive events, creating progressive undercutting that reduces stability until a sudden, larger bank failure occurs. A better understanding of debris-flow bank erosion processes and controls provides insights into the timing and magnitude of volume amplification, improving the accuracy of debris-flow models and fostering the development of strategies to reduce debris-flow erosion and mitigate its hazards.

How to cite: van den Broek, A., McArdell, B., Draebing, D., Zwarts, M., Huguenin, P., Nijland, W., and de Haas, T.: Deciphering Debris-Flow Bank Erosion: Insights from the Illgraben Torrent, Switzerland , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7067, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7067, 2026.

EGU26-7167 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Quantifying debris-flow – forest interactions using high-resolution LiDAR data in the Squamish – Lillooet region, British Columbia, Canada 

Jil van Etten, Andrew Mitchell, Scott McDougall, Jana Eichel, and Tjalling de Haas

Debris flows are one of the most common geomorphic processes in mountainous areas, and can form a great threat to local communities and infrastructure. Traditionally, mitigation efforts have focused on engineering solutions such as check dams or debris basins. Recently, focus has started to shift towards more nature-based solutions such as forest buffer zones, which require an understanding of interactions between debris flows and trees for their design. Some research into debris flow-forest interactions has been done using field data, aerial imagery or simplified physical experiments, however, quantitative knowledge of tree removal by debris flows is still lacking. This study aims to assess tree survival and removal by debris flows, and to identify controlling debris flow and vegetation properties.

We use multi-temporal, high resolution airborne laser scanning (ALS) data covering multiple debris-flow events over four different forested debris-flow fans in the Squamish-Lillooet region in British Columbia, Canada, to track sediment deposition and tree removal. Tree survival patterns are linked to tree and debris-flow characteristics (tree size, location and proximity to the next tree, and deposition and erosion depth, respectively) to gain insight into the interaction between debris flows and forests.

Preliminary results show that smaller trees have a higher chance of being removed by a debris flow, and that the chance of tree survival increases with distance from the fan apex and with higher tree density. Next steps include numerical simulations of debris-flow velocities to quantify the relationship between debris-flow impact forces and tree removal or survival. The results of this study will help identify optimal characteristics for resilient debris-flow forest buffer zones.

 

How to cite: van Etten, J., Mitchell, A., McDougall, S., Eichel, J., and de Haas, T.: Quantifying debris-flow – forest interactions using high-resolution LiDAR data in the Squamish – Lillooet region, British Columbia, Canada, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7167, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7167, 2026.

EGU26-7638 | Posters on site | NH3.1

High-resolution measurements of debris-flow surges in a natural channel 

Jacob Hirschberg, Ronny Lehmann, Raffaele Spielmann, and Jordan Aaron

Debris-flow hazard assessment relies on the accurate estimation of (peak) discharge and volume. However, traditional methods for inferring these hazard-related parameters often  encounter significant limitations, especially in natural, dynamic channels without mitigation measures. Furthermore, existing assessment methods often overlook the characteristic surging behavior of debris flows and the influence of material composition. While laboratory experiments have demonstrated that mixtures with larger grain sizes produce more pronounced levees and extended runout distances, field evidence remains largely qualitative and anecdotal. Consequently, the combination of measurement uncertainties and the omission of flow composition continues to result in substantial uncertainties in debris-flow hazard assessments. Therefore, high-resolution and accurate measurements are needed to better understand debris-flow hazards.

Here, we present high-resolution measurements of over 130 debris flow surges, which occurred in the natural debris-flow channel of the Oeschibach in Kandersteg,Switzerland,in 2024. The sediment source is a rock slope instability in permafrost (Spitze Stei), which is closely monitored. Its recent acceleration has also led to increased debris-flow activity downstream. In 2024, we installed a high-resolution camera and 3D LiDAR sensor, which recorded several debris flows at 10 fps. Using a set of processing algorithms including Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) on hillshade images, point cloud differencing, and a deep-learning based boulder detection model on camera images, we derived spatially distributed flow velocity, depth, discharge, and material properties (grain count and grain size).

Our key findings include that coarser surges tend to be faster, deeper, levee-forming and erosive. These findings are in line with laboratory experiments, whereas the levee-formation likely also causes surges to be more confined and therefore faster and deeper. Furthermore, we observed that while all events consisted of a series of surges, the bigger the first surge, the more surges were to follow. As traditional monitoring techniques cannot capture these dynamics in sufficient detail, we provide a comprehensive and novel data set in a natural channel, which helps bridging the gap between laboratory experiments and field evidence to reduce uncertainties in debris-flow hazard assessment.

How to cite: Hirschberg, J., Lehmann, R., Spielmann, R., and Aaron, J.: High-resolution measurements of debris-flow surges in a natural channel, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7638, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7638, 2026.

Debris flows are predominantly rainfall-induced phenomena in which progressive
degradation of soil shear strength plays a critical role in flow initiation and mobility. This
study presents an experimental investigation into the moisture-dependent reduction of shear
strength parameters of debris material collected from an active debris-flow site in the Sidhra
region of Jammu, India. The site lies in the Outer Himalayan belt and is underlain by
colluvial debris, weakly lithified Siwalik sandstones, siltstones, and mudstones, which readily
disintegrate into fine-grained, clay-rich soils during intense rainfall.
Systematic laboratory testing was performed on samples obtained from both the source and
deposition zones, with direct shear tests conducted at moisture contents of 0%, 20%, 30%,
and 50% to simulate dry to highly saturated field conditions. The results reveal a pronounced
reduction in both cohesion and internal friction angle with increasing moisture content,
indicating a clear transition from frictional-cohesive behaviour under dry conditions to
predominantly frictional and flow-like behaviour at high degrees of saturation. Beyond a
critical moisture threshold, cohesion becomes negligible, leading to a drastic reduction in
shear resistance and a strong increase in susceptibility to rainfall-triggered debris-flow
initiation.
The experimental results are further integrated into numerical simulations using the Rapid
Mass Movement Software (RAMMS). The influence of the Voellmy-Salm friction
parameters: the dry Coulomb friction coefficient (μ) and the turbulent friction coefficient (ξ),
is examined. These parameters, calibrated using laboratory-derived shear strength values,
significantly control simulated flow height, velocity, runout distance, and flow path. The
study highlights the importance of incorporating moisture-dependent shear-strength
degradation into debris-flow hazard assessments and demonstrates that realistic calibration of
RAMMS friction parameters is essential for reliable prediction of debris-flow dynamics.

How to cite: Jha, P. and Bhowmik, R.: Moisture-Induced Shear Strength Degradation of Debris Materials and Its Implications for Debris Flow Behaviour in a Himalayan Catchment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7680, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7680, 2026.

Regional-scale runout modelling is a critical component of landslide hazard assessment. The spatial prediction of debris-flow hazards over large regions requires the integration of source-area susceptibility with robust runout simulation. While various empirical and process-based models exist, there remains a need for flexible, cross-platform tools that integrate seamlessly with modern statistical and machine-learning workflows. We present runoutSIM, an open-source R package designed to facilitate data-driven regional runout modelling and source-area connectivity analysis.

By leveraging the R environment, commonly used for geoscientific computing and visualization, runoutSIM streamlines the transition from susceptibility mapping to runout distribution. The package implements a random-walk spreading algorithm to simulate potential runout paths, offering a statistical–physical framework to assess debris-flow spatial extent, velocity, and connectivity. Key features include the ability to estimate connectivity probability – the likelihood that a specific source area will impact downslope features of interest – and to adjust runout spatial probabilities and connectivity using spatial likelihoods from statistical and machine-learning predictions of source areas. This ensures that runout spatial and connectivity probabilities reflect the inherent variability in source-area initiation.

We demonstrate the application of runoutSIM through a case study in the central Andes of Chile, a region characterized by high-frequency debris-flow activity. The example couples machine-learning source-area prediction with optimization approaches, such as random grid search, to calibrate the runout model. The model is used to identify river-channel exposure and potential risks to water quality, highlighting the package’s utility for both spatial planning and local hazard mitigation. Overall, as a tool for applied landslide research, method development and teaching, runoutSIM aims to lower the barrier to accessing process-based models, enabling more comprehensive, source-to-impact hazard assessments. We anticipate that this open-source framework will support advances in quantitative geomorphic modelling and contribute to more reliable regional-scale debris flow risk management.

How to cite: Goetz, J. and Huang, J.: runoutSIM – An R package for regional debris-flow runout simulation and source-area connectivity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8125, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8125, 2026.

EGU26-8263 | Orals | NH3.1

Rapidly portraying landside runout and debris-flow inundation using simple, empirical methods 

Mark Reid, Corina Cerovski-Darriau, Dianne Brien, Isaac Leb, and Andrew Cyr

Landslide runout and debris-flow inundation are crucial, yet often neglected, threats that can impact areas far beyond initial landslide sources. Understanding where mobile landslides initiate and how far they travel is essential to hazard and risk reduction worldwide, as mitigation strategies vary with landslide mobility. Moreover, debris flows can grow volumetrically as they travel, resulting in larger, faster flows with greater inundation. However, most landslide susceptibility maps focus on steep slopes and fail to address runout and inundation onto flatter ground, which typically encompasses more inhabitants and infrastructure. Given the widespread importance of runout and inundation, it is vital to have simple-to-use methods that rapidly map the effects of these mobile processes over large regions, especially in locations with limited geotechnical data.

We present an empirical approach for mapping areas susceptible to landslides and debris flows from their initiation to deposition. Using the publicly available USGS software package, Grfin Tools, we delineate landslide source areas, landslide runout, and debris-flow inundation zones within a DEM. Grfin is an acronym of Growth + flow + inundation and this computationally fast software uses simple, well-tested, and fully documented empirical models. Potential landslide runout is determined using angles of reach. Potential debris-flow inundation from volumetric growth is delineated using volume-area scaling relations based on worldwide observations, combined with a novel use of spatially integrated growth factors. These models require minimal input parameters and place an emphasis on regional geomorphic and topographic controls rather than specific material properties.

Using Grfin Tools, we illustrate our approach by mapping a spectrum of mass-movement mobility zones on three island states of the Federated States of Micronesia where landslide runout and debris-flow inundation onto flatter ground have resulted in fatalities. Future mobile events pose a deadly threat, yet previous landslide information is incomplete. To estimate the empirical model parameters needed to portray multiple mass-movement zones, we use satellite-derived landslide inventories combined with topographic thresholds obtained from 10-m resolution DEMs. Based on field observations of debris-flow deposits from 138 stream locations, our debris-flow inundation model incorporating spatially integrated growth has a prediction success of greater than 85%. Our methods using Grfin Tools can rapidly create preliminary regional assessments, provide multiple scenario assessments, or act as a screening tool to identify critical areas for further detailed studies across a wide variety of landscapes.

How to cite: Reid, M., Cerovski-Darriau, C., Brien, D., Leb, I., and Cyr, A.: Rapidly portraying landside runout and debris-flow inundation using simple, empirical methods, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8263, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8263, 2026.

EGU26-8652 | Orals | NH3.1

Oblique Runup and Impact Load of Debris Flow on Deflection Barriers 

Xiaoyu Li, Dongri Song, Jia Liu, and Yunhui Liu

Deflection barriers are a critical mitigation measure for redirecting debris flows away from high-risk zones. However, their design is complicated by the oblique shock dynamics that occur upon impact, leading to complex runup and loading patterns that are not fully characterized. To address this gap, this study develops and validates an analytical model for predicting the runup height and impact loads generated by oblique debris-flow shocks. The theoretical model, derived from momentum conservation principles, explicitly links the runup height and peak impact load to the incoming flow conditions, notably the Froude number. A series of scaled flume experiments were designed to test the model's validity. By systematically varying the channel slope and gate opening height, we generated a range of supercritical flows to quantify the influence of incoming kinetic energy on shock phenomena. Results demonstrate the theoretical predictions show excellent agreement with experimental measurements across all tested scenarios. Furthermore, analysis confirms that the normal shock condition serves as a conservative upper bound for oblique shock impacts, providing a valuable simplified criterion for preliminary design. Importantly, we identify a key limitation: the model's accuracy decreases in flows where pronounced dead zones form downstream of the barrier, as the assumed shock geometry no longer holds.

How to cite: Li, X., Song, D., Liu, J., and Liu, Y.: Oblique Runup and Impact Load of Debris Flow on Deflection Barriers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8652, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8652, 2026.

Dense granular flow on rough slopes provides a simplified yet powerful analogue for gravity-driven natural hazards such as landslides and debris flows, in which particle shape is known to strongly influence the flow mobility and runout but remains difficult to parameterize. Using discrete element method simulations, we systematically investigate the effect of particle flatness (and elongation) on dense granular flows over rough inclined planes. Particles with identical volume but increasing flatness, from spherical to strongly flattened, are first considered. We follow the framework of Pouliquen’s flow rule [1] to identify the critical stopping conditions and then perform an analysis of steady uniform flows, which allows us to extract the velocity scaling with flow thickness and slope angle. We find that the velocity scaling for each particle shape collapses, but the corresponding mobility parameter exhibits a nontrivial dependence on the particle flatness. This shape dependence is characterized by an initial weak sensitivity near the spherical limit, a rapid mobility reduction at intermediate flatness, and a saturation regime for highly flattened particles. Microstructural analyses reveal that this behavior originates in shape-induced constraints on the particle kinematics, including suppressed particle rotation and the emergence of strong orientational ordering, with flat particles preferentially aligning parallel to the shear plane. Furthermore, comparing with recent results of elongated particles [2], we show that flat grains exhibit a characteristic bimodal distribution of preferred orientations, reflecting a distinct alignment mechanism under shear, which nonetheless leads to a comparable macroscopic reduction in mobility. Comparison with elongated particles also indicates that the effects of flatness and elongation may be unified by considering how the particle shape becomes different from perfect sphere. Indeed, when characterized by sphericity, the flow mobility data for both particle types collapse onto a unified trend. Future work will confirm whether this finding applies to other particle shapes. Our work provides a physically grounded route for incorporating particle shape effects into predictive models of landslides and debris flows.

 

References

[1] Pouliquen O. Scaling laws in granular flows down rough inclined planes. Physics of Fluids, 1999, 11(3): 542-548.

[2] Liu J, Jing L, Pähtz T, et al. Effects of particle elongation on dense granular flows down a rough inclined plane. Physical Review E, 2024, 110(4): 044902.

How to cite: Zhang, M. and Jing, L.: Non-spherical granular flow down a rough incline: understanding the role of particle flatness and elongation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8797, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8797, 2026.

EGU26-8848 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Debris Flows over Bumpy Bed: Experiments and the Constitutive Modelling 

Yunhui Sun, Hongwei Fang, and Qingquan Liu

Debris flow is one of the most destructive natural hazards which is typically distinguished by high solid content and significant interactions between the particles and interstitial fluid. This study focuses on fundamental inter-particle interaction pattern and the underlying mechanism in typical debris flows over bumpy bed with varying bed inclinations. Internal dynamic parameters of the debris flows are obtained based on the refractive index matching (RIM) technique and non-invasive sensor networks. It is found that the granular interaction pattern is vertically stratified with the near-bottom particles intensely colliding with each other in a gas-like state, while the near-surface particles sliding collectively in a solid-like state. Based on the observed flow behavior and measured parameters, a multi-state constitutive model is proposed, which incorporates the kinetic theory for the collisional stress and a newly developed frictional stress model. This constitutive model improves the overall granular stress modelling accuracy for the debris flow with highly heterogeneous flow structures.  

How to cite: Sun, Y., Fang, H., and Liu, Q.: Debris Flows over Bumpy Bed: Experiments and the Constitutive Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8848, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8848, 2026.

EGU26-9257 | Posters on site | NH3.1

A Simplex Solid–Fluid Model for Debris Flows over Erodible Beds with Multi-Size Sediments 

Yih-Chin Tai, Fu-Wen Feng, Luca Sarno, Pei-Hsin Pai, and Heng-Chuan Kan

Debris flows are composed of solid grains and fluid, in which the grains span a range of size, and the interstitial fluid is viscous. Erosion and deposition processes have significant impacts on post-event morphology, and their mechanisms are closely related with the grains and the viscosity of the interstitial fluid within the flow body. In the present study, we present a two-phase erodible model, extended from Wong et al., (2024) in which mono-grain-size is assumed, for modeling heterogeneous grain-fluid mixtures composed of multiple grain sizes and a viscous interstitial fluid. That is, the solid phase within the flow body is supposed to consist of grains of various sizes. In this simplex approach, the effects of grain size are explicitly incorporated into the erosion-deposition processes. The erosion rate is proportional to the shear stress and follows the Shields parameter (Shields, 1936) for the threshold magnitude, while deposition is assumed to be induced by settling speed and to follow the regressed Hjulström-Sundborg diagram (Hjulström, 1935). Because both the Shields parameter and the settling speed depend on grain size and fluid viscosity, the resulting entrainment or deposit patterns vary with the grain-size composition of the flow body. For example, sediments of smaller size are entrained first and settle latter, whereas larger grains tend to deposit at earlier stage. The key features of this simplex approach will be demonstrated through numerical investigations on  flows in chutes with simple geometry, as well as through an application to a back-calculation of a large-scale historical event.

How to cite: Tai, Y.-C., Feng, F.-W., Sarno, L., Pai, P.-H., and Kan, H.-C.: A Simplex Solid–Fluid Model for Debris Flows over Erodible Beds with Multi-Size Sediments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9257, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9257, 2026.

EGU26-9788 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

How sub-basins runoff contribute to debris flow propagation at a basin scale? A numerical study 

Wei Liu, Zhen Tan, Jihao Jian, and Siming He

Runoff significantly influences the propagation of debris flows by transferring mass and momentum. The hydrodynamics of runoff, which are closely linked to contributions from sub-basins, determine the extent of this influence. In this paper, a cascade model is utilized to quantitatively analyze the contribution of sub-basins to runoff and, subsequently, to the propagation of debris flows, using the 2020 Meilong debris flow event as a case study. First, the propagation of debris flows, characterized by their high mobility and sediment entrainment, is well reproduced. This analysis examines how each sub-basin’s generated runoff contributes to debris flow propagation, revealing that both the area and location of a sub-basin are significant factors. Additionally, a series of scenarios with variations in basin features and debris flow types are simulated. The results suggest that as the basin area and internal relief decrease, the contribution of sub-basins to runoff-and consequently to debris flow propagation-also diminishes, aligning with trends observed in field data. Furthermore, the propagation of debris flows with lower viscosity is more effectively facilitated by runoff from sub-basins due to enhanced mixture between runoff and debris flow. This study provides significant insights into the propagation of debris flows, thereby supporting the assessment of this debris flow type.

How to cite: Liu, W., Tan, Z., Jian, J., and He, S.: How sub-basins runoff contribute to debris flow propagation at a basin scale? A numerical study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9788, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9788, 2026.

Introduction
Landslide-initiated debris flows in post-earthquake settings often exhibit explosive volume growth (bulking) and unexpected acceleration, causing devastation extending far beyond the initial failure footprint. Here, we apply the concept of instantaneous base liquefaction to interpret the catastrophic transition from continuum slope failure to fluidized debris flow. We hypothesize that when a collapsing soil mass overrides a loose, saturated basal layer, it imposes rapid, largely undrained loading. This loading triggers static liquefaction (distinct from seismic cyclic liquefaction) in the runout path, effectively creating a low-resistance basal layer that facilitates deep-seated entrainment and rapid acceleration. 
 
Methodology
To test this hypothesis, we re-analyzed data from large-scale rainfall experiments conducted by Sakai et al. (2025). The experiments utilized a 22 m-long (10 m at 30°, 6 m at 10°, and 6 m flat), 3 m-wide, and 1.6 m-deep flume filled with loose sandy soil, designed to simulate the contractive behavior of post-earthquake surficial deposits. We compared two scenarios under a rainfall intensity of 100 mm/h for approximately 2 h, differing only in the initial hydrogeologic condition of the lower gentle slope: Case 1 was initially unsaturated, whereas Case 2 was initially saturated with a high groundwater table established by antecedent rainfall. Internal deformation was visualized using white-sand tracer columns and high-speed imaging.

 

Results
The failure modes differed fundamentally between the two cases. In Case 1, failure was largely confined to the shallow surface layer of the upper slope, with negligible entrainment of the lower layer. In Case 2, however, the arrival of the upper sliding mass triggered near-instantaneous shear deformation across the full depth of the lower gentle slope. High-speed imagery revealed that this deep-seated mobilization occurred within ~1 s of impact. The white-sand tracers in the lower section were not eroded progressively from the surface; instead, they were sheared and mobilized coherently from the base upward, consistent with a rapid loss of basal strength. These observed kinematics are inconsistent with purely traction-driven erosion processes and instead indicate an undrained strength collapse within the basal layer.

 

Conclusion
These results provide physical evidence that the saturated lower layer did not fail solely due to surface shear stress but rather underwent impact-induced base liquefaction. A static liquefaction front likely propagated ahead of the overriding debris mass, effectively reducing basal resistance and enabling massive entrainment of bed material. Our findings suggest that the static liquefaction potential of the runout path can be as critical as source-area stability for hazard assessment in multi-hazard environments characterized by seismic loosening followed by intense rainfall. 

References

  • Iverson, R. M., Reid, M. E., & LaHusen, R. G. (1997). Debris-flow mobilization from landslides. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 25, 85-138.
  • Steers, L. J., Beddoe, R. A., & Take, W. A. (2024). Propagation velocity of landslide-induced liquefaction and entrainment of overridden loose, saturated sediments. Engineering Geology, 334, 107523.
  • Sakai, N., Ishizawa, T., & Danjo, T. (2025). Experimental Research on Rain-Induced Landslide Mechanism Using Large-Scale Rainfall Experimental Facility: Findings and Challenges. In B. Abolmasov et al. (Eds.), Progress in Landslide Research and Technology (Vol. 3, Issue 2). Springer.

How to cite: Sakai, N.: Mechanisms of Rapid Entrainment and Acceleration in Landslide-Initiated Debris Flows: The Role of Static Liquefaction, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10193, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10193, 2026.

Excessive rainfall in mountain catchments may trigger landslides or destabilize saturated streambeds. The resulting debris flow may propagate along the drainage network and reach urbanized areas, causing damage and loss of life. To ensure an efficient delimitation of such risk-prone areas, numerical models are often adopted to compute the time evolution of the flow. To this end, we apply a custom made monophasic Shallow Water based finite volume solver to the mass-flow like events occurred in Cervinara (Southern Italy) on 15-16 December 1999 which caused 6 fatalities and serious damage to buildings and structures. Several landslides were triggered that day and one in particular was able to propagate downstream, reaching the urbanized areas of Ioffredo and Cervinara. The event was comparatively simulated using two different rheological models, i.e. Voellmy and O’Brien, implemented inside the solver in order to assess which of them was able to better replicate the main characteristics of the flow. Validation was performed considering the extension of the inundated areas in the town and maximum flow velocity recorded on the field previously available. The adoption of an unstructured grid allowed both the representation of the urbanized areas by introducing the buildings as holes inside the mesh and the computation of the forces exerted on the buildings by the flow.

How to cite: Bonomelli, R. and Pilotti, M.: Debris flow numerical simulation using multiple kinds of rheological models: a case study in Cervinara (southern Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10728, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10728, 2026.

EGU26-11194 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Two-phase model with dilatancy/contraction for dense solid-fluid mixture in landslide mobility 

Xiong Tang, Yuqing Sun, Runing Hou, Lei Zhu, and Siming He

The presence of pore fluid can great change landslide dynamics, significantly enhancing sliding mobility and resulting in high velocities and long runout distances. Our study presents a two-phase model with dilatancy/contraction for dense solid-fluid mixture based on the material point method. In the constitutive model, we consider the dilatancy/contraction effect on the two-phase system and the rate-dependent frictional law derived from granular flow rheology (the μ(K) and Φ(K) relationships). Numerical benchmarks including saturated granular column collapse and flume experiments were conducted to see the performance of the model. Furthermore, simulations of the 2014 Oso landslide in Washington State, USA, were performed to investigate the mechanisms governing its high mobility. The liquefaction of saturated sediment and the induced excess pore pressure at the base of the slide, which contributes to the high mobility of the landslide, were well captured in our simulations.

How to cite: Tang, X., Sun, Y., Hou, R., Zhu, L., and He, S.: Two-phase model with dilatancy/contraction for dense solid-fluid mixture in landslide mobility, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11194, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11194, 2026.

EGU26-11227 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Rainfall intensity-duration threshold of debris flows in the Réal Torrent from rain gauges and radar data: comparison and transposability 

Théo Welfringer, Frédéric Liébault, Dominique Laigle, and Firmin Fontaine

The Réal Torrent is a very active debris-flow catchment of the Southern French Alps, monitored since 2011. A debris-flow intensity-duration threshold was established in 2017 (Bel et al., 2017), based on rainfall data collected with rain gauges during the 2011-2014 period, where 33 debris-flow events were observed. Our study aimed to update this threshold with rain gauge data collected during the 2014-2023 period, where 51 additional events were observed, to evaluate the stability of the threshold. Secondly, we tested the influence of rainfall data source through the comparison of the rain-gauge-based threshold with a radar-based threshold, established by using the Météo-France ANTILOPE product, which combines radar estimates and rain-gauge observations of precipitation. Finally, we tested the transposability of the latter threshold by comparing it to triggering rainfall events of various regional debris flows recorded on 82 catchments, spread across the Southern French Alps during the 2011-2024 period. The detailed dataset of debris-flow events in the study region was obtained from the ONF-RTM natural hazard database (French National Forest Office service dedicated to natural hazards in mountain regions).

The update of the threshold with 9 additional years of debris-flow monitoring allowed us to conclude that an amount of roughly 30 debris-flow events is sufficient to establish a stable intensity-duration threshold on a single torrent. We also observed that the radar-based threshold is much lower than the rain-gauge-based threshold. Therefore, we showed that the source of rainfall data has a strong influence on the threshold equation. Finally, the analysis of the intensity and duration of the regional debris-flow triggering rainfall events relative to the Réal radar-based intensity-duration threshold led us to conclude that using a threshold on only one very active catchment is not transposable at the regional scale due to the high proportion of false positives induced.

How to cite: Welfringer, T., Liébault, F., Laigle, D., and Fontaine, F.: Rainfall intensity-duration threshold of debris flows in the Réal Torrent from rain gauges and radar data: comparison and transposability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11227, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11227, 2026.

EGU26-11574 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Experimental Assessment of Combined SABO Dam and Drainage System for Debris Flow Mitigation 

Pietro Giaretta, Stefano Lanzoni, and Paolo Salandin

Debris flows are rapid, high-energy mixtures of water and sediments that pose a severe threat to mountainous regions, often occurring with little warning and causing substantial loss of life and infrastructure damage. The design of effective structural countermeasures is therefore essential to mitigate their destructive potential. Open-type SABO dams are widely adopted to reduce the impact of stony debris flows by intercepting coarse material, while drainage systems enhance energy dissipation by removing part of the water content from the flowing mixture. This study investigates the novel approach of combining open-type SABO dams with drainage systems to enhance debris flow mitigation.

The complex multiphase physics governing debris flows severely limit the accurate reproduction of such events in both numerical simulations and laboratory experiments (Iverson, 1997), complicating the assessment and optimization of countermeasure performance. Although scaling effects introduce unavoidable uncertainty when scaling laboratory results to real-world environments, physical modelling remains a valuable tool for systematically testing alternative design configurations and identifying governing mechanisms relevant to preliminary engineering applications.

A total of 145 small-scale laboratory tests have been conducted, varying triggering discharges, channel slopes, SABO dam configurations (number and spacing of steel trestles), and drainage conditions. Starting from the framework proposed at EGU 2019 by Salandin and Lanzoni, the present study investigated two triggering discharges and two channel slopes, by including a SABO dam of varying numbers of steel trestles with different spacings between them, and multiple drainage configurations, allowing controlled variation of the degree of dewatering of the debris flow body. The spatio-temporal evolution of the sediment–water mixture surface was monitored using four ultrasonic sensors, water level was measured by a submersible pressure transducer, and debris-flow mass was quantified using a load cell.

The SABO dam efficiency is assessed in terms of energy dissipation, inferred from temporal changes in debris deceleration over time and from accumulation height upstream of the combined system. Results demonstrate that adding a drainage system significantly enhances the SABO dam energy dissipation capacity. This integration allows for larger trestle spacing while maintaining effective debris flow control. Moreover, under both drained and undrained conditions, our findings suggest optimal trestle openings that differ from current literature recommendations, highlighting the potential of integrated SABO–drainage systems to improve debris flow mitigation strategies.

How to cite: Giaretta, P., Lanzoni, S., and Salandin, P.: Experimental Assessment of Combined SABO Dam and Drainage System for Debris Flow Mitigation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11574, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11574, 2026.

EGU26-11810 | Posters on site | NH3.1

Debris flow hazard assessment in small catchments with diffuse pyroclastic soil deposits: a case study in Cervinara (southern Italy) 

Roberto Greco, Riccardo Bonomelli, Ouiza Bouraour, Pasquale Marino, Salvatore Molica, Pei-Hsin Pai, Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Giuseppe Tito Aronica, Maria Nicolina Papa, Marco Pilotti, Maurizio Righetti, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, Luca Sarno, Yih-Chin Tai, and Michele Larcher

The study presents an example of application of the guidelines for the assessment of hydraulic hazard and risk assessment in small catchments, developed within the research project RETURN-PB (https://www.fondazionereturn.it/en/portfolio/nuovi-approcci-per-la-valutazione-della-pericolosita-idraulica-nei-piccoli-bacini-montani-return-pb/). The case study refers to the limestone reliefs of Campania (Italy), characterized by diffuse presence of loose pyroclastic soil deposits, originated by air-fall deposition from several eruptions of the volcanic complexes of the area (Somma-Vesuvius and Phlegrean Fields).

The soil deposits are a few meters thick and consist of ashes (loamy sands) and pumices (gravels with sand), characterized by very high porosity (up to 75% in the ashes) and saturated hydraulic conductivity (in the order of 10-4 m/s). These characteristics make the infiltration and retention capacity of the soil deposit so high that, even during the most intense rainfall, overland runoff is quite small, with runoff coefficient rarely exceeding 2%. The deposits are fairly cohesionless and present effective friction angles in the range of 36° to 38°. Nonethless, unsaturated soil deposits with thickness of 1 to 2 meters rest also on slopes with inclination higher than the friction angle, thanks to the apparent cohesive contribution given by soil suction. After intense and prolonged rainfall, the increase of soil moisture and the consequent reduction of suction can lead to the instability of the soil deposit and the triggering of shallow landslides featured as debris avalanches. Owing to the unstable loose soil fabric and the coarse particles, the deposits undergo volumetric contraction under shear deformation, which can lead to the establishment of positive pore water pressure, favoring soil liquefaction. This behavior is responsible for the frequent evolution of landslides in the form of debris flows. Thanks to the steepness of the slopes, the flows reach speed as high as tens of m/s, running out long distance from the original landslide scarp, often channelized through streams that reach nearby towns and villages, with huge damage.

As an example of how debris flow hazard can be assessed in the studied context, the debris flow occurred on 16 December 1999 in Cervinara is modelled. The debris flow was triggered after a rainfall with more than 300 mm in 48 hours, as recorded by a rain gauge less than 2 km from the failed slope. The failure involved a volume of around 30000 m3 of soil, that flew in the form of a liquefied mud hitting the village of Ioffredo, a hamlet of Cervinara, where several buildings were destroyed and five people were killed.

A modelling chain consisting of rainwater infiltration modelling, slope stability analysis, debris flow propagation and impact is applied. The effects of the uncertainty of slope and soil properties, as well as of debris flow behavior are discussed, with an ensemble modelling approach. Specifically, the propagation of the debris flow is simulated with different modelling approaches under different hypotheses (i.e., fixed or erodible bed; single- or double-phase fluid; various rheological formulations with dilution-dependent parameters). The results highlight how the application of ensemble modelling allows introducing the effects of uncertainty in the assessment of hydraulic hazard and risk.

How to cite: Greco, R., Bonomelli, R., Bouraour, O., Marino, P., Molica, S., Pai, P.-H., Roman Quintero, D. C., Aronica, G. T., Papa, M. N., Pilotti, M., Righetti, M., Santonastaso, G. F., Sarno, L., Tai, Y.-C., and Larcher, M.: Debris flow hazard assessment in small catchments with diffuse pyroclastic soil deposits: a case study in Cervinara (southern Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11810, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11810, 2026.

EGU26-11959 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

An Optimized Random Forest Model for Debris-Flow Event Detection from Seismic Signals 

Zhitian Qiao, Dongpo Wang, Shuaixing Yan, and Hui Chen

Accurate identification of debris-flow events from seismic records is essential for developing high-resolution monitoring and early-warning systems. Here we develop an optimized Random Forest (RF) classifier designed to improve detection accuracy and, critically, to generalize across diverse geographic and environmental settings. We compile a global dataset of historical debris-flow events from 12 representative regions and construct an RF-based workflow that combines interpretable feature selection and automated model tuning. The Boruta algorithm is used to identify five informative predictors, improving interpretability while reducing redundancy in the feature set. In parallel, Bayesian optimization is employed to tune RF hyperparameters and enhance out-of-sample performance. We conduct three comparative experiments to quantify the contribution of each component. Results show that the combined Boruta–Bayesian RF consistently outperforms conventional RF approaches, achieving an accuracy of 96.25%, an F1 score of 0.9714, and an AUC of 0.9819. To further assess transferability, we apply the trained model to independent seismic data collected at Tianmo Gully in southeastern Tibet, China. The model successfully distinguishes debris-flow signals from background noise across the study period, demonstrating stable performance beyond the training regions. Overall, the proposed optimized RF framework offers an efficient, interpretable, and transferable solution for debris-flow detection using seismic signals, providing practical methodological support for the development of operational debris-flow early-warning systems.

How to cite: Qiao, Z., Wang, D., Yan, S., and Chen, H.: An Optimized Random Forest Model for Debris-Flow Event Detection from Seismic Signals, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11959, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11959, 2026.

EGU26-11969 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Estimating debris flow entrainment from along-channel hydrographs reconstructed using low-cost field cameras and Particle Image Velocimetry 

Alessandro Zuccarini, Elena Ioriatti, Luca Albertelli, Luca Beretta, Marco Redaelli, Mauro Reguzzoni, Edoardo Reguzzoni, Andreas Schimmel, and Matteo Berti

Debris flows are extremely rapid landslides whose complex dynamics remain only partially constrained, largely due to the challenges associated with acquiring direct measurements in the field. Modern monitoring stations typically include cameras that, despite their relatively low cost, can provide highly valuable information for characterising recorded events. Recent studies have shown that Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) algorithms, when paired with suitable orthorectification techniques to correct non-zenithal acquisition geometries, can serve as effective methods for reconstructing the surface velocity field of flow-like landslides, including debris flows.

In the present work, a PIV-based workflow is employed to analyse a debris-flow event that occurred on 22 October 2022 in the Blè Stream catchment, an active basin in the Camonica Valley (Lombardia, Italian Alps) within the municipality of Ono San Pietro. The 3.5 km² catchment reaches a maximum elevation of 2527 m a.s.l. and features a 2.9 km-long main channel, instrumented with several monitoring stations, each equipped with cameras and flow-depth radar sensors that documented the event.

The sequential application of two open-source MATLAB tools, PIVlab (Thielicke & Stamhuis 2014) and RIVeR (Patalano et al. 2017), yielded frame-by-frame, orthorectified surface velocity fields at each station. These velocity fields were integrated with cross-sectional areas derived from high-resolution pre- and post-event LiDAR and drone surveys, along with measured flow levels, to compute instantaneous discharge at key reference sections. By consistently applying this frame-by-frame procedure along the channel, while carefully accounting for the main sources of uncertainty associated with the continuously changing section geometry and the tendency of surface velocity to overestimate the actual depth-averaged velocity, depending on flow rheology, a range of plausible hydrographs was obtained at each monitoring station. These hydrographs, which provide estimates of the volume of material that passed through each section during the event, enabled a quantitative assessment of the relationship between the triggering water volume in the upstream reach and the fully-developed debris flow volume observed downstream, as well as estimates of entrainment rates along different sectors of the channel.

 

References:

Patalano A, García CM, Rodríguez A (2017) Rectification of image velocity results (RIVeR): a simple and user-friendly toolbox for large-scale water surface particle image velocimetry (PIV) and particle tracking velocimetry (PTV). Comput Geosci 109:323–330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2017.07.009.  

Thielicke W, Stamhuis EJ, 2014. PIVlab – towards user-friendly, affordable and accurate digital Particle Image Velocimetry in MATLAB. J. Open Res. Softw. 2 http://dx.doi.org/10.5334/jors.bl.

How to cite: Zuccarini, A., Ioriatti, E., Albertelli, L., Beretta, L., Redaelli, M., Reguzzoni, M., Reguzzoni, E., Schimmel, A., and Berti, M.: Estimating debris flow entrainment from along-channel hydrographs reconstructed using low-cost field cameras and Particle Image Velocimetry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11969, 2026.

EGU26-12614 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Late Holocene Sedimentary Records of Recurrent Debris Flow Hazards in Tbilisi, Georgia 

Lasha Sukhishvili, Salome Gogoladze, Giorgi Merebashvili, Zurab Javakhishvili, and Khatuna Kvlividze

The 13 June 2015 Vere River disaster, which caused multiple fatalities in Tbilisi, exposed the extreme vulnerability of Georgia’s capital to debris flow processes generated in the steep, landslide-prone headwaters of the Vere basin. Although damaging flash floods occur frequently in the Vere catchment, the recurrence of debris flow events prior to the start of instrumental observations has remained unknown. To determine whether the 2015 event was exceptional or part of a persistent natural regime, we conducted an integrated geomorphological, sedimentological and chronological analysis of the basin.

High-resolution UAV and satellite imagery, combined with field mapping, were used to identify paleo debris flow and landslide deposits along the main channel and its tributaries. Flow directions and sediment pathways were reconstructed from palaeocurrent indicators, including clast imbrication, allowing depositional units to be linked to specific source areas.

Radiocarbon dating of organic material from multiple stratigraphic sections within individual depositional complexes provides a chronology of major sediment-delivery episodes. The results reveal repeated debris flow events during the Late Holocene. It demonstrates that the 2015 event can be intrinsic to the long term behavior of the Vere basin rather than a rare anomaly. Because the Vere River drains directly into the densely urbanized centre of capital city of Tbilisi, this palaeohazard record has critical implications for hazard assessment and confirms that future catastrophic events are expected unless exposure is reduced.

How to cite: Sukhishvili, L., Gogoladze, S., Merebashvili, G., Javakhishvili, Z., and Kvlividze, K.: Late Holocene Sedimentary Records of Recurrent Debris Flow Hazards in Tbilisi, Georgia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12614, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12614, 2026.

EGU26-12647 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Interplay between input hydrograph and flow resistance within the open-source debris-flow framework DebrisFrame 

Julian Lahrssen, Paula Spannring, Felix Oesterle, Jan-Thomas Fischer, Karl Hagen, Markus Moser, Lisa Puschmann, Johannes Kammerlander, Christian Scheidl, and Roland Kaitna

Debris flows are mountain hazard processes, that are among the most devastating natural disasters in the alpine region. Therefore, reliable simulation tools are indispensable for identifying areas affected by debris flows and for developing and evaluating mitigation measures. In engineering practice, the use of depth averaged single-phase models for debris-flow hazard assessment is challenged by the question of the optimal representation of flow resistance and erosion, the respective uncertainty of model parameters and unknown starting conditions. Open-source availability and documentation, including a database of case studies, pose further challenges. The DebrisFrame project (opennhm.org/about_debrisframe) is a collaborative, open-source, Python-based framework for depth-averaged single-phase debris-flow simulations. It offers a user-friendly, modular, and extensible architecture that allows for the flexible configuration of initial conditions, flow resistance, and erosion formulations. Here we present the first results of a sensitivity analysis that quantifies how different types of input hydrographs and friction models influence deposition behavior. To estimate uncertainties, stochastic approaches and scenario analyses are applied. First, simplified, synthetic topographies are used. Subsequently, real-world case studies from the Austrian Alps are employed, while accounting for variable input data and model parameters. Future studies will focus on the role of erosion and its interaction with initial conditions and flow resistance in controlling debris-flow dynamics. The results of our work will help practitioners to better understand how the choice of input data and parameters affects debris-flow runout simulation.

How to cite: Lahrssen, J., Spannring, P., Oesterle, F., Fischer, J.-T., Hagen, K., Moser, M., Puschmann, L., Kammerlander, J., Scheidl, C., and Kaitna, R.: Interplay between input hydrograph and flow resistance within the open-source debris-flow framework DebrisFrame, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12647, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12647, 2026.

EGU26-14068 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Exploring the effects of bed inertia on debris-flow mobility 

Katharina Wetterauer, Sebastian Müller, Shiva P. Pudasaini, Michael Krautblatter, and Ivo Baselt

Erosion and entrainment are key processes that modulate debris-flow mobility. However, the conditions under which erosive debris flows accelerate and attain longer runout or decelerate and come to rest earlier remain insufficiently understood. The Pudasaini and Krautblatter (2021) landslide mobility model attributes these divergent behaviors to inertial contrasts between the moving mass and the erodible bed, suggesting that the incorporation of inertially weaker, neutral, or stronger material can enhance, maintain, or reduce the flow mobility, respectively. Here, we use flume experiments and surface-based measurements to investigate how bed inertia influences the velocity, erosion, and runout of dry, single-phase debris flows by systematically varying solid densities. A quartz slide of constant solid density is released over erodible beds with lower, equal, and higher densities representing inertially weak, neutral, and strong scenarios. Our results reveal consistent and repeatable patterns. Debris flows over low-density beds exhibit higher apparent mean erosion rates, increased flow-front velocities before deposition, and longer runout than in the inertially neutral scenario. In contrast, debris-flow evolution over equal- and high-density beds is nearly identical, characterized by lower frontal velocities, reduced erosion, and shorter, thicker deposits. These findings indicate that the entrainment of the low-density material enhances debris-flow mobility relative to the inertially neutral scenario, whereas the incorporation of high-density material does not lead to the expected mobility reduction. This asymmetric response suggests that solid density alone does not fully explain the observed mobility behavior under the experimental conditions considered here. Additional influences related to particle shape and internal friction are likely involved, too. The low-density bed combines more rounded particles with a low internal friction angle facilitating entrainment, whereas the equal- and high-density beds comprise more angular grains with similar and higher internal friction angles, which may lead to comparable resistance to erosion despite their contrasting densities. Ongoing work focuses on resolving processes at the flow-bed interface to capture grain-scale dynamics at depth and resolve temporal variations in erosion intensity, which may help to identify subtle differences between the inertial scenarios that are not detectable using surface-based measurements alone.

How to cite: Wetterauer, K., Müller, S., Pudasaini, S. P., Krautblatter, M., and Baselt, I.: Exploring the effects of bed inertia on debris-flow mobility, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14068, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14068, 2026.

EGU26-14685 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Integration of numerical simulation (Morpho2DH) and fieldwork for a 2024 debris flow event in Santa Tereza, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil 

Laura Lahiguera Cesa, Maurício Andrades Paixão, Alex Becker Bobsin, and Ana Júlia Rosa de Almeida

Debris flows are highly destructive landslide processes involving water, air, and sediments mobilizing by gravity. In 2024, the state of Rio Grande do Sul, southern Brazil, experienced the most extensive disaster in its history, with widespread mass movements and flooding, particularly in the Taquari-Antas Basin, one of the most important basins in the state. During this event, Santa Tereza recorded some of the largest debris flows.

The present study aimed to simulate a huge debris flow occurrence in Santa Tereza, integrating computational modeling and field survey observation. The debris flow was simulated using Morpho2DH (v. 2.1), a solver of iRIC software (v. 4.1) for unsteady horizontal two-dimensional bed deformation analysis.

Santa Tereza is characterized by a humid subtropical climate and steep terrain, which increases its susceptibility to landslides. During the 2024 extreme rainfall event, 411 properties were affected by landslides in the municipality. The studied debris flow traveled 1.5 km resulting in the destruction of two houses. Deposition occurred on an alluvial fan along the Marrecão Stream, a tributary of the Taquari River. The event was mapped by aerophotogrammetry by the Latitude/UFRGS research group, producing a high-resolution orthophoto.

Landslide initiation areas were defined based on orthophoto as two rupture polygons that converged into the channel and developed the debris flow. The digital elevation model used was from ALOS-PALSAR. Field observations indicated a maximum erosion depth of 2 m. Mean grain diameter of 0,001 m was obtained from granulometric analysis of eight in-situ samples. Vegetation parameters were set based on field data, assuming a density of 1 tree km-2 and a mean vegetation height of 6.2 m. Post-event vegetation erosion depth was set to zero, reflecting the complete removal of vegetation cover observed in most of the affected area. The time step of 0.001 s was adopted. Remaining input data followed default model settings. Simulation tests indicated a total event duration of approximately 280 s, indicating high flow velocity and consistent with eyewitness accounts.

Model calibration was performed by comparing the simulated affected area and the flow route with orthophoto interpretations. The simulation estimated an affected area approximately twice as large as the visible scar mapped in the orthophoto, excluding the stretch above the Stream, which could not be calibrated. Despite the overestimation of the affected area, the model accurately reproduced the flow route. These results demonstrate that Morpho2DH can capture debris flow dynamics in Santa Tereza, and the conservative area estimates may be advantageous for disaster risk management applications.

Acknowledgements: This study was supported by FAPERGS under Grant Agreement No. 24/2551-0002124-8 (Call FAPERGS 06/2024).

How to cite: Lahiguera Cesa, L., Andrades Paixão, M., Becker Bobsin, A., and Rosa de Almeida, A. J.: Integration of numerical simulation (Morpho2DH) and fieldwork for a 2024 debris flow event in Santa Tereza, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14685, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14685, 2026.

The impact of debris flows against a rigid obstacle defines the critical loading scenario for structures in the track of a debris flow. The total force imparted by the debris flow on these structures can be approximated using a linear momentum approach. However, this method cannot be used to define the vertical pressure distribution, which is necessary to capture the position of the resultant force. The height of the resultant force is essential in defining the expected failure mechanism (i.e. sliding or overturning) of a structure on impact. Predicting the correct failure mechanism is critical for hazard mapping and emergency response, where estimation of phenomena like structural translation via sliding is needed for appropriate resource deployment.

Although total impact force has been widely investigated, comparatively few studies have reported spatially resolved pressure distributions for debris flow-barrier impacts. Typical empirical methods for the prediction of pressure distributions apply a constant dynamic pressure summed with a linear static pressure. This approach assumes velocity conservation and a circular flow path. However, observations from laboratory studies indicate that this may not always be true. To explore this, laboratory tests were conducted using a dense array of pressure sensors installed in a rigid barrier, impacted by varied releases of water and water-sediment mixtures. These experiments offer pressure measurements at high spatial and temporal resolution, correlated with visual high-speed camera data used to define the flow path and velocity field within the control volume.

Flow paths with variable velocity and curvature were observed for a range of material compositions. Based on these observations, a novel analytical model is proposed to predict pressure distributions using generalized approximations of the rate-of-change of flow properties and path curvature. This approach provides equivalent total force predictions to traditional linear momentum models but allows for direct determination of the position of the resultant force.

How to cite: Hirsch, E., Take, A., and Mulligan, R. P.: Turning the corner: How does debris flow path curvature affect the pressure distribution during impact on a rigid barrier?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14828, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14828, 2026.

EGU26-15648 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Destructive Debris Flows in the Indian Himalayan Region: Insights from Recent Events 

Rajesh Kumar Dash and Debi Prasanna Kanungo

Debris flows are among the most destructive mass movement processes affecting the mountainous regions of the Indian subcontinent, particularly the Indian Himalayas and the Western Ghats. These terrains are highly susceptible to mass movements, with debris flows posing significant hazards. In recent years, India has experienced several catastrophic debris flow events, including the Dharali (5 August 2025), Chasoti (14 August 2025), and Ramban (19-20 April 2025) debris flows in the states of Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu & Kashmir. These events have underscored the growing severity of debris flow hazards in the Indian Himalayan Region (IHR). 

Recent events indicate that intense rainfall is the primary triggering factor for debris flows; however, extensive entrainment along the transport zone significantly amplifies their destructive potential. Although debris flows generally follow pre-existing channels, the magnitude of damage is largely governed by the presence of vulnerable elements within the deposition zones. Long runout mass movement processes can travel considerable distances, during which entrainment, bulking, and phase transitions occur.

Given the increasing frequency and impact of debris flow events in the Indian subcontinent, comprehensive hazard assessment studies are urgently required. These should include the identification of initiation zones, estimation of source volumes, characterization of entrainment zones and materials, runout modelling, and integrated hazard assessment. While numerical simulation models are effective tools for back-analysis and future hazard prediction, their reliability depends on the accurate estimation of input parameters. The escalating debris flow activity across India highlights the need for focused research, systematic monitoring, and improved mitigation strategies to reduce future risks.

How to cite: Dash, R. K. and Kanungo, D. P.: Destructive Debris Flows in the Indian Himalayan Region: Insights from Recent Events, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15648, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15648, 2026.

EGU26-15700 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

The effects of clay content on the dynamics of submarine landslides: New insights from flume experiments 

Shu Zhou, Yandong Bi, Xiaolin Tan, Zhen Guo, Chongqiang Zhu, Jin Sun, and Yu Huang

Regarding whether submarine landslides' mobility decreases linearly or varies non-monotonically with increasing clay content in current studies is still under debate. To address this issue and further investigate the long-runout distance mechanism of submarine landslides, we conducted experiments with clay content ranging from 5% to 30% in a flume with an inclination angle of 10°. Through analysis of the rheological properties of the sediment slurry, the pore pressure and the total stress at the bed bottom along the channel, and the flow velocities, the dynamics of the submarine landslide were characterized. The experiments show that as the clay content increases, the flow transits from liquid-like to solid-like behavior. The peak values of both the pore pressure and the total stress, and the pressure loading rate at the bed bottom monotonically increase as the clay content increases. The velocity analysis supports the conclusion of a non-monotonic variation of mobility, which refers to the flow velocity exhibiting an initial increase followed by a subsequent decrease with the increase of clay content. The critical clay content, at which the maximum flow velocity occurs, is within the range of 10~15%. The mechanism analysis shows that the submarine landslide with the critical clay content has both lower apparent viscosity and higher pore pressure that is sufficient to generate hydroplaning, resulting in the highest mobility. The dimensional analysis shows that the dimensionless yield stress positively correlates to the clay content. It is also found that within the range of approximately three orders of magnitude from 5×10-3 to 3, the dimensionless yield stress and the densimetric Froude number (Frd) exhibit a non-monotonic relationship, which also supports a non-monotonic behavior of the mobility. In summary, this study enhances our understanding of submarine landslide processes and further contributes to better disaster prediction.

How to cite: Zhou, S., Bi, Y., Tan, X., Guo, Z., Zhu, C., Sun, J., and Huang, Y.: The effects of clay content on the dynamics of submarine landslides: New insights from flume experiments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15700, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15700, 2026.

Debris flows and landslides are frequently triggered by intense rainfall and are characterized by sudden onset and short warning lead times. Conventional early warning approaches that rely solely on rainfall thresholds are prone to false alarms or missed warnings due to spatial variability in rainfall and differences in actual slope conditions. To improve warning accuracy and operational applicability, this study proposes a novel early warning operational framework for debris flows that integrates rainfall thresholds, seismic monitoring, and near-real-time source classification into a multi-level, dynamic warning system. The proposed framework is implemented and evaluated in the Putunpunas River in Kaohsiung City, southern Taiwan, where a total of 46 documented debris-flow events were compiled and analyzed. Debris-flow occurrences were identified and confirmed through the combined use of riverine seismic signals and time-lapse camera observations, enabling reliable event detection and temporal validation. Based on reconstructed rainfall events, an empirical rainfall threshold was established using event duration (D) and effective cumulative rainfall (E),expressed as:

𝐸𝐷𝐹 = (14.1 ± 3.0)𝐷0.55±0.1

To assess whether a warning model trained on historical experience can successfully predict future debris-flow occurrences, this study further adopts a machine learning–based decision tree approach using the C5.0 algorithm to train the event classification model. This strategy allows objective evaluation of the predictive capability and generalization performance of the proposed integrated early warning framework under unseen event conditions, thereby enhancing its reliability and practical applicability for real-time debris-flow early warning operations. 

The proposed system first evaluates rainfall conditions using real-time precipitation data and applies three warning levels—alert, management, and action—corresponding to exceedance probabilities of 5%, 10%, and 20%, respectively, as an initial risk screening mechanism. When rainfall conditions exceed the defined thresholds, modules of seismic source detection and landslide monitoring (GeoLoc scheme) are simultaneously activated to detect potential landslides in real time. Furthermore, artificial intelligence (AI) based debris flow classifier is adopted to identify whether debris flow events have actually occurred. Compared to conventional rainfall threshold–based debris-flow early warning systems, our proposed approach enables real-time monitoring of upstream sediment supply associated with landslide occurrence and provides a secondary verification using riverine seismic signals.

This operational early warning framework enables to real-time assess rainfall threshold, landslide detection, and classify debris flow source, thereby enhancing the reliability and practical value of debris flow early warning and serving as a core component for future smart disaster prevention and real-time risk management systems. The framework was evaluated during Typhoon Fung-wong in November 2025. A warning was issued once rainfall exceeded the alert threshold based on real-time precipitation data, followed by activation of landslide monitoring and debris-flow detection modules. Using microtremor seismic signal analysis and AI-based event classification, the system verified event occurrence. During the event, only one out of six rainfall stations in the Putunpunas River exceeded the rainfall threshold, highlighting strong spatial variability in rainfall-induced hazard potential; nevertheless,the system was able to reflect actual hazard conditions in near real time through postevent verification and status updating,demonstrating its operational reliability.

How to cite: Chu, C.-H. and Chao, W.-A.: An operational Early Warning Decision Framework For Debris FlowIntegrating Rainfall Thresholds and Seismic Signal Classification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15826, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15826, 2026.

The interaction between dense particle-liquid flows and obstacles plays a central role in debris-flow impact processes and the performance of protective structures, yet the associated flow regimes and impact loading characteristics remain insufficiently resolved by laboratory experiments. In this study, inclined dense particle-liquid flow impacts on a cylindrical obstacle are investigated using a laboratory-scale experimental system that combines synchronized multi-view high-speed imaging with direct force measurements. The experimental setup enables simultaneous observation of flow kinematics, particle-fluid distribution patterns, and load time histories during flow–structure interaction. Experiments are conducted over a range of slope angles and solid volume fractions representative of dense debris-flow conditions. The multi-view imaging configuration allows identification of three-dimensional flow features, including upstream shock formation, particle circulation zones, flow expansion, and localized particle-depleted regions near the obstacle.

Results indicate that the interaction process exhibits distinct flow regimes primarily controlled by solid volume fraction and the spatial structure of the upstream shock. At higher solid volume fractions (φ = 55%), the incoming flow develops a compact, high-shear shock front characterized by intense particle collisions and rapid momentum dissipation. This flow configuration promotes the formation of a stable upstream accumulation, accompanied by pronounced particle clustering and particle-liquid separation, and supports a clear transition from short-duration dynamic impact to a sustained reflection wave regime. In contrast, at lower solid volume fractions (φ = 45%), the shock structure is more diffuse and is frequently disrupted by persistent vertical jets and fragmented particle impacts. In this case, particle–liquid separation is weak or short-lived, and the loading remains strongly non-stationary without the establishment of a stable reflection structure.

These experimental observations provide new insights into flow-regime-dependent impact loading mechanisms of dense particle-liquid flows and offer a physical basis for improving debris-flow impact modelling and the design of protective structures.

How to cite: Yu, W., Liu, Q., and Wang, X.: Flow regimes and impact loading characteristics of dense particle–liquid flows interacting with a cylindrical obstacle, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16385, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16385, 2026.

EGU26-18320 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Sediment recharge of a debris flow channel: Insights from a 7-year monitoring campaign in the Northern Calcareous Alps 

Verena Stammberger and Michael Krautblatter

Debris flows in steep mountain channels are commonly triggered due to heavy precipitation events mobilising the sediment in the channel bed and from the banks. The magnitude of these events is heavily influenced by rainstorm intensity as well as the sediment availability in those channels. After a debris flow has occurred, the system recharges with material from the upstream catchment until the next event. This poses the question of how large these sediment recharge rates are and how they are connected to rainfall intensities.

Here, we present a 7-year monitoring campaign of a debris flow channel in the Northern Calcareous Alps between 2015 and 2022. Biannual measurements resulted in ten terrestrial laser scans and five UAV surveys to observe the sediment deposition and erosion magnitudes. Additionally, the local precipitation was measured in the vicinity of the channel from the second year of the campaign. We analysed how sediment recharge rates change after a debris flow event and how they are influenced by season and precipitation.

How to cite: Stammberger, V. and Krautblatter, M.: Sediment recharge of a debris flow channel: Insights from a 7-year monitoring campaign in the Northern Calcareous Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18320, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18320, 2026.

EGU26-18650 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.1

Towards more reliable Debris Flow Rainfall ID Thresholds under Changing Climate Scenarios 

Wenchao Cheng and Hui Tang

Climate change is expected to increase the likelihood of hydro-geomorphic hazards in active tectonic areas, particularly debris flows. Early warning systems are considered one of the most effective and economical methods for mitigating debris-flow risk. However, current approaches still face challenges in providing accurate quantitative predictions and are subject to considerable uncertainty due to limited observational data. In this study, we develop a new framework for predicting rainfall thresholds for debris-flow initiation by combining numerical simulations with machine learning methods. A small catchment in the Italian Dolomites was selected as a test site to evaluate the efficiency of the framework in areas with limited historical records. Preliminary results suggest that the rainfall threshold can be represented by a piecewise function with an inflection point rather than by the commonly used power-law relationship. Our results suggest that, in the Dimai catchment, rainfall intensity is the dominant factor controlling debris flow initiation for the most rainfall events lasting longer than one hour. While sensitivity analyses indicate that infiltration capacity acts as a key control by regulating the partitioning between infiltration and runoff, thereby influencing the rainfall intensity required to trigger debris flow initiation. These findings provide insight into the hydrological processes governing debris flow initiation and demonstrate the potential of the proposed framework for improving threshold-based early warning systems under limited data conditions.

How to cite: Cheng, W. and Tang, H.: Towards more reliable Debris Flow Rainfall ID Thresholds under Changing Climate Scenarios, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18650, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18650, 2026.

EGU26-18863 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Slip happens: Field evidence of basal sliding in natural debris flows 

Georg Nagl, Maximilian Ender, Felix Klein, Brian McArdell, Jordan Aaron, and Roland Kaitna

Basal sliding along the channel bed may play a significant role in debris flow propagation, however a lack of field measurements has limited our ability to understand the conditions that may occur in in-situ debris flows. Laboratory experiments have demonstrated that such sliding can occur under both fixed-bed and erodible conditions, driven by interactions between the heterogeneous debris flow material and the basal boundary. We introduce a novel monitoring setup designed to directly quantify basal slip velocities using paired conductivity sensors and report preliminary results from two natural debris-flow events recorded in the Lattenbach catchment (Tyrol, Austria) in June 2025.

The preliminary analysis indicates that basal slip was present in both events and consistently lower than independently measured surface velocities. Sixty-second binned median slip velocities were mostly below 2 m s⁻¹; fronts exhibited the highest values, followed by stabilization around 0.5–1 m s⁻¹. Event-scale ratios of  daveraged approximately 0.2 for both events, with instantaneous values ranging from 0.1 to 0.5 for the 15 June event and from 0 to 1 for the 30 June event. The latter comprised three surge-like phases, including a middle surge that briefly matched surface velocity. We note that the effective detection depth of the sensor pairs remains uncertain and likely varies with mixture conductivity and fluid content; if substantial, measured velocities may reflect the motion of lowermost flow layers rather than true bed slip.

These observations suggest that no-slip boundary conditions on non-erodible channel sections may not adequately represent debris-flow mechanics. Future work will improve temporal resolution, constrain detection depth, analyse additional events, and conduct cross-catchment comparisons.

How to cite: Nagl, G., Ender, M., Klein, F., McArdell, B., Aaron, J., and Kaitna, R.: Slip happens: Field evidence of basal sliding in natural debris flows, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18863, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18863, 2026.

EGU26-20011 | ECS | Orals | NH3.1

Stony Debris Flows and Impact Forces on Bridge Piers: Insights from small-scale Laboratory Experiments 

Andrea Cao, Pietro Giaretta, and Paolo Salandin

Debris flows are among the most devastating natural hazards in mountainous areas, posing a significant threat to infrastructure, particularly bridges that are crucial for regional connectivity. Climate change-induced increases in intense rainfall events have amplified both the frequency and magnitude of these sediment-laden flows. Consequently, bridge structures face growing exposure to extreme loading conditions. Bridge piers situated within active riverbeds are especially vulnerable, as debris flows generate highly impulsive forces that can surpass those accounted for in traditional design methodologies.

A reliable estimation of debris-flow-induced thrust on bridge piers is essential to improve existing design methodologies and to ensure resilience of infrastructure in debris-flow-prone environments.

To address this critical need, an innovative experimental apparatus has been developed to investigate the impact of stony debris flows under controlled laboratory conditions. This setup reproduces both the initiation and propagation phases of debris flows, enabling a more comprehensive analysis of their dynamics and impact forces.

Experiments were conducted in a tilting flume measuring 3 m in length and 0.3 m in width. The flume features an erodible granular bed, allowing debris flows to initiate and evolve through bed erosion, closely mimicking the mechanisms observed in natural settings. This design significantly enhances the realism of the experimental simulations.

Within this framework, particular attention is devoted to the investigation of debris flows propagating under subcritical flow conditions, a regime that has received comparatively limited attention in experimental studies but may be relevant for specific geomorphological and hydraulic contexts.

Debris flows are initiated by the controlled release of a predetermined water discharge, which induces sediment mobilization and subsequent flow development along the channel. The experimental setup is instrumented with pressure transducers, sonar sensors, and load cells to measure flow depth, velocity, and impact forces exerted on model bridge piers of varying geometries and dimensions.

A dimensionless analysis carried out to characterize the flow regime reproduced in the laboratory indicates that the experimental conditions successfully reproduce a stony debris flow in terms of flow composition and propagation dynamics.

Following the preliminary comparison between measured impact forces and those predicted by classical hydrostatic and hydrodynamic theoretical models presented at EGU 2025, an integrated hydraulic model that combines the two approaches is proposed. This model is used to interpret a set of experimental results that has now more than doubled in size. Model parameters are calibrated using an Orthogonal Distance Regression (ODR) procedure, which allows for the joint consideration of uncertainties in both experimental observations and theoretical predictions.

Overall, the findings provide novel experimental insights into debris-flow impact processes under subcritical conditions and demonstrate the capability of integrated modeling approaches in predicting debris-flow-induced forces on bridge piers. These results contribute to the validation and refinement of existing design models, while supporting the development of more reliable, physically based design criteria for bridges exposed to debris-flow hazards.

How to cite: Cao, A., Giaretta, P., and Salandin, P.: Stony Debris Flows and Impact Forces on Bridge Piers: Insights from small-scale Laboratory Experiments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20011, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20011, 2026.

High mobility of granular flows is commonly attributed to basal lubrication and fluid–solid interactions, yet the role of internal shear and velocity fluctuations in promoting flow runout remains insufficiently quantified. Here we present a series of controlled flume experiments designed to isolate the effects of internal deformation on granular‐flow mobility. Using synchronized measurements of surface velocity fields, basal forces, and high‐frequency velocity fluctuations, we quantify the spatial and temporal evolution of shear localization, fluctuation intensity, and basal stress transmission.
Results show that intense internal shear zones generate pronounced velocity fluctuations, which propagate downward through the flow depth and modulate basal stresses. The amplitude of basal stress fluctuations increases systematically with both shear rate and fluctuation intensity, indicating an efficient transfer of internal agitation toward the base. This process weakens effective basal resistance and enhances slip, leading to significantly increased runout and mean flow velocity under otherwise identical conditions.
By integrating kinematic measurements with stress analysis, we identify a scaling relationship that links basal friction, flow thickness, inertial number, and normalized fluctuation stress through a power‐law form. This law provides a quantitative bridge between internal dynamics and macroscopic mobility. Our findings demonstrate that internal shear and velocity fluctuations are not merely byproducts of granular motion, but key drivers of enhanced mobility, offering new insights into the mechanics of long‐runout granular flows such as landslides, debris avalanches, and dry granular surges.

How to cite: Yu, X. and He, S.: Internal Shear and Velocity Fluctuations Promote Granular Flow Mobility: Insights from Flume Experiments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20951, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20951, 2026.

EGU26-22083 | Orals | NH3.1 | Highlight

Explaining the formation of debris flow surges 

Jake Langham, Jordan Aaron, Raffaele Spielmann, Jacob Hirschberg, Brian McArdell, Stefan Boss, Chris Johnson, and Nico Gray

Ongoing improvements in monitoring are increasingly documenting the presence of quasi-regular trains of surge waves in debris flows. These phenomena exacerbate hazards associated with these events, since they can grow to reach depths and discharges greater than anywhere else in the flow. Using data from Illgraben, Switzerland, we track the development of these surges from small undulations on the free surface to waves with amplitudes of a metre or more. From this, we argue that the waves arise from a flow instability analogous to the classical 'roll wave' instability that occurs in flows of turbulent water. A complementary theoretical model is presented, which uses a basal drag parametrisation informed by the observational data. When initiated with measured upstream fluxes, the model develops waves that mature from small perturbations to large waves that are in excellent agreement with the field data. The underlying mathematics that governs the instability can be used to explain why waves are observed in some flows, but not others. Contributing factors include the bulk flow discharge and the shape of the channel.

How to cite: Langham, J., Aaron, J., Spielmann, R., Hirschberg, J., McArdell, B., Boss, S., Johnson, C., and Gray, N.: Explaining the formation of debris flow surges, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22083, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22083, 2026.

EGU26-1288 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

High-dimensional predictions for impact-based risk analysis of geohazards 

Chia-Hao Chang, Anil Yildiz, and Julia Kowalski

Rapid flow-like geohazards pose acute threats to communities and infrastructure, yet physics-based runout simulators remain computationally prohibitive for operational impact-based risk analysis. Even if high-resolution datasets with extensive coverage are available, high computational costs direct the decision makers into using scenario-based assessments, which can significantly miscalculate the expected risk given the highly uncertain nature of such events. This study investigates Gaussian-process (GP) emulators for extremely high-dimensional outputs (exceeding 103 to 104 spatio-temporal grid points), systematically quantifying the trade-offs introduced by dimensionality reduction (DR). We compare three GP variants—Parallel Partial Gaussian Process (PPGaSP), Batch-independent GP (BiGP), and Multitask GP (MTGP)—and apply an established DR–GP workflow to assess the impact of different DR approaches on emulation accuracy and efficiency. This workflow first compresses spatio-temporal fields into low-dimensional latent representations, then performs GP emulation in latent space, and finally reconstructs predictions with uncertainty quantification in the original grid space. Three benchmark cases, synthetic and real-world problems, are used to validate the framework. Our findings provide actionable guidance for selecting appropriate emulation models in high-dimensional geohazard problems. We also investigate the balance between computational efficiency and prediction fidelity for risk-informed early-warning integration.

How to cite: Chang, C.-H., Yildiz, A., and Kowalski, J.: High-dimensional predictions for impact-based risk analysis of geohazards, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1288, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1288, 2026.

EGU26-1514 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

A Unified Deep Learning Framework for Rapid Global Prediction of Coseismic Landslides 

Xin Wang, Xuanmei Fan, Chengyong Fang, and Lanxin Dai

Earthquake-triggered landslides are among the most destructive secondary seismic hazards, yet their rapid prediction at global scale remains elusive due to the limitations of existing physical and statistical models. Current approaches typically depend on regional inventories, simplified assumptions, or retrospective calibration, preventing timely and reliable assessments immediately after large earthquakes. To address this gap, we compiled the largest global database to date of ~400,000 coseismic landslides from 38 major earthquakes spanning diverse tectonic and climatic settings. Using this unified dataset, we developed a multi-scale fully convolutional deep-learning framework capable of predicting coseismic landslide probability worldwide with no prior local labels.

The model integrates 14 primary control indicators, representing topography, geo-ecology, hydrology and seismology, and learns nonlinear relationships governing slope failure across global environments. Independent testing shows that the global model achieves an average AUC of ~0.83 and spatial accuracy of ~0.77, while regional models trained within specific environmental domains achieve slightly higher performance. The predictions successfully reproduce both the extent and spatial pattern of landslides for events such as the 2015 Gorkha, 2016 Kaikoura, 2021 Nippes, 2022 Luding and 2002 Denali earthquakes. Sensitivity analyses further demonstrate that model performance is robust to inventory uncertainty but strongly influenced by the quality of input seismic and fault data.

Our framework predicts landslide probability for a new earthquake in less than one minute, enabling actionable early hazard intelligence well before cloud-free satellite imagery becomes available. A hypothetical Mw 7.5 earthquake scenario in Sichuan, China illustrates that rapid prediction can identify high-impact areas and populations exposed to landslide cascades within seconds. This study establishes the first globally scalable and operational deep-learning model for earthquake-triggered landslide prediction, offering transformative potential for rapid hazard response, seismic risk management, and global multi-hazard preparedness.

How to cite: Wang, X., Fan, X., Fang, C., and Dai, L.: A Unified Deep Learning Framework for Rapid Global Prediction of Coseismic Landslides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1514, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1514, 2026.

EGU26-1875 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

Assessing the impact of rainfall memory on landslide susceptibility using binary time encoding 

Fan Zhu, Julia Kowalski, and Anil Yildiz

Landslides are among the most destructive natural hazards in mountainous regions. Their occurrence is jointly governed by predisposing factors such as topography, geology, and soil properties, as well as external triggers such as rainfall. The temporal evolution of rainfall plays a crucial role in controlling pore-water pressure build-up and slope instability. However, most existing data-driven studies rely on metrics that condense complex information into scalar quantities – such as accumulated precipitation or maximum intensity – that fail to capture the “memory effect” of antecedent rainfall and wet–dry cycles on slope stability. This leaves an important question unresolved: how do the accumulation and temporal patterns of historical rainfall across different time scales influence the likelihood that a subsequent rainfall event will trigger landslides?

To address this problem, we propose a binary time-encoding approach for long- and short-term rainfall sequences. The method transforms continuous rainfall records into binary indicators that describe the occurrence, persistence, and temporal arrangement of rainfall. By summarizing rainfall history across multiple time windows, the approach preserves key antecedent information while reducing noise in long rainfall series and substantially lowering computational cost, making it suitable for large-scale, multi-event landslide susceptibility and spatio-temporal forecasting models.

We designed case studies using open-access landslide inventories, such as Northeastern Turkey, Italy, Switzerland, and precipitation datasets to compare (i) models built with conventional cumulative or intensity-based rainfall metrics and (ii) models incorporating the proposed binary time-encoded rainfall features. The analysis is implemented within the SHIRE framework (Edrich et al., 2024), while introducing a novel binary time-encoding strategy for long- and short-term rainfall sequences. Here, we present results demonstrating how antecedent rainfall at different temporal scales influences landslide occurrence and show that binary time encoding provides a compact and transferable representation of rainfall “memory” for regional landslide hazard assessment and early-warning frameworks.

References
Edrich, AK., Yildiz, A., Roscher, R., Bast, A., Graf, F. & Kowalski, J., A modular framework for FAIR shallow landslide susceptibility mapping based on machine learning. Natural Hazards 120, 8953–8982 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06563-8

How to cite: Zhu, F., Kowalski, J., and Yildiz, A.: Assessing the impact of rainfall memory on landslide susceptibility using binary time encoding, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1875, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1875, 2026.

Extreme rainfall in the granitic hilly region of southeastern China often triggers clustered shallow landslides characterized by strong spatial concentration, high density, and near-synchronous occurrence, while exhibiting pronounced differences in failure type. Yet, a unified explanation for why failures aggregate and how different types evolve during the same storm remains limited. Focusing on Xiaba Township as a case study, this work investigates the key predisposing controls and triggering processes of rainfall-induced clustered landslides. Field surveys and geomorphic interpretation indicate that, above shallow surficial residual and weathered layers, the coupled effects of lithology, landform morphology, flow accumulation/convergence, vegetation, and related factors form a shallow, continuous landslide-prone strata (LPS) that is readily mobilized under heavy rainfall, making accurate prediction of LPS burial depth practically important. We compile a point dataset of LPS burial depth from numerous observed landslides and propose a Random-Forest–based ensemble regression framework to address label scarcity and imbalance, spatial autocorrelation, observational noise, and the lack of interpretable uncertainty in conventional approaches. Spatially blocked cross-validation paired with grouped bootstrap resampling, together with robust standardization, mild resampling, and sample weighting, improves the model’s ability to characterize scarce yet critical depth intervals. At inference, a multi-submodel ensemble with Monte Carlo input perturbations yields the median LPS depth and an accompanying uncertainty metric; exceedance-probability curves are used to quantify how predictors alter the probability of surpassing specified depth thresholds. On the validation set, the model achieves Pearson’s r = 0.587, MAE = 0.281 m, RMSE = 0.411 m, and Lin’s CCC = 0.5065, capturing the spatial pattern of LPS burial depth reasonably well; Bland–Altman analysis indicates limits of agreement of about ±0.8 m, mainly at extremes. To link the predicted LPS depth field to geomorphic processes and clustered-failure behavior, we derive ridge-line cross-section metrics from a high-resolution DEM and find that landslides preferentially occur on ridges with larger deflection angles and steeper slopes, with many sites showing signatures of historical reactivation. Spatial topological descriptors of landslide boundaries capture systematic differences between planar- and convergent-type failures and enable robust classification. Building on these insights, we develop a rainfall infiltration–hillslope runoff model that explicitly incorporates geomorphic convergence and apply it to the 16 June storm. Simulations suggest that failures cluster where the LPS approaches saturation and local convergence is high; planar-type landslides activate in a quasi-linear cumulative manner, whereas convergent-type landslides require longer preconditioning before failing abruptly under sustained rainfall. Overall, this field–data–process framework balances accuracy and robustness under imbalance and noise, provides regional LPS-depth mapping with uncertainty, and offers a physically based foundation and parameter constraints for dynamic prediction of clustered landslide risk in granitic hilly terrains.

How to cite: Luo, S., Huang, Y., Mao, W., Meena, S. R., and Floris, M.: Preconditioning Mechanisms and Triggering Processes of Rainfall-Induced Clustered Landslides Controlled by the Coupling Between Landslide-Prone Strata and Micro-Geomorphology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2464, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2464, 2026.

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) at the global scale is a prerequisite for hazard risk management but has long been hindered by inventory bias and unquantified model uncertainties. Existing global products are often constrained by substantial spatial sampling biases, leading to inconsistent prediction performance across data-scarce and vegetated regions. Addressing these challenges, this study presents a robust 1-km global susceptibility model derived from a dataset of over 2 million landslide events aggregated from 24 diverse sources.

To resolve data heterogeneity, we applied an LLM-driven framework (utilizing Qwen2.5-7B) to extract and standardize attributes from unstructured descriptions across 14 languages, significantly elevating metadata completeness . Leveraging this enriched inventory and 34 environmental predictors (comprising 17 static and 17 dynamic variables), we implemented a rigorous spatial block cross-validation strategy to strictly evaluate model transferability. We evaluated nine machine learning algorithms (e.g., CatBoost, ExtraTrees) coupled with Optuna tuning. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulations (N=50) were integrated to propagate input uncertainties, generating explicit pixel-level confidence intervals.

Our results demonstrate high predictive accuracy (spatial CV AUC > 0.99), suggesting that the density of the training data effectively bridges generalization gaps found in previous studies. Feature optimization confirms the model’s robustness even with reduced dimensions. Spatially, the model identifies high-susceptibility zones in complex tropical highlands (e.g., the Andes and Southeast Asia), aligning with independent records of fatal landslide clusters. By providing a bias-corrected and uncertainty-aware spatial baseline, this study offers a critical foundation for global hazard monitoring.

How to cite: Jin, R. and Zhang, S.: Global landslide susceptibility mapping: a 1 km resolution model derived from a 2-million-event inventory with uncertainty quantification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4351, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4351, 2026.

EGU26-4676 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6 | Highlight

Mass flow runout prediction using neural network emulators 

Lorenzo Nava, Ye Chen, and Maximillian Van Wyk de Vries

Geohazard mass flow runout prediction is critical for protecting lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Rapid mass flows such as landslides, and avalanches are among the most destructive geohazards, often travelling many kilometres from their source. Uncertain initial conditions and strong sensitivity to topography make these events difficult to anticipate, particularly for downstream communities that may be exposed to severe impacts with little warning. In this context, computational speed is essential for enabling timely forecasting and scenario-based risk assessment.

Accurately predicting runout requires models that are both physically realistic and computationally efficient. However, existing approaches face a fundamental trade-off between realism and speed, limiting their use for large-scale forecasting, ensemble analysis, and operational early warning.

Here we demonstrate that neural networks can emulate the final outcomes of mass flow runouts across diverse real-world terrains. Our model is trained on approximately 90,000 high-fidelity simulations spanning more than 5,000 globally representative topographies. The model predicts both flow extent and deposit thickness with high spatial accuracy while achieving computation speeds orders of magnitude faster than numerical solvers. Importantly, the emulator reproduces key emergent physical behaviours, including avulsion and heterogeneous deposition patterns, and generalizes across a wide range of rheologies, volumes, and terrain types. Probabilistic outputs further enable scalable uncertainty quantification.

These results show that data-driven emulation can shift geohazard runout forecasting from site-specific analysis towards rapid prediction frameworks, supporting impact-based early warning and regional-scale hazard assessment. We anticipate that this approach will form a foundation for next-generation forecasting models that integrate physical simulation and machine learning to address transient dynamics, multi-hazard interactions, and cascading effects relevant to landslide hazard forecasting in space and time.

How to cite: Nava, L., Chen, Y., and Van Wyk de Vries, M.: Mass flow runout prediction using neural network emulators, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4676, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4676, 2026.

EGU26-5465 | Orals | NH3.6

Testing a Coordinate Tensor-Product Descriptor for Spatial Autocorrelation in a Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Model 

Laura Pompili, Corrado Alberto Sigfrido Camera, Alessandro Sorichetta, Theodoros Economou, Maksym Bondarenko, and Ortis Yankey

Landslides are among the most frequent natural hazards worldwide, significantly threatening human life, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Identifying areas prone to slope failures is therefore essential for effective land management, particularly under changing climatic conditions. This study develops a robust statistical model for assessing shallow landslide susceptibility at the slope-unit level across the Aosta Valley, while explicitly evaluating the role of spatial autocorrelation. A comprehensive shallow landslide inventory, compiled by integrating the Italian Landslide Inventory (IFFI) database with the Regional Inventory of Instabilities of Aosta Valley, was used as the binary response variable indicating shallow landslide occurrences. A broad set of geo-environmental predictors was assembled and optimised through a novel structured variable selection workflow, combining multicollinearity analysis, stepwise selection, Random Forest classification, and Generalised Additive Models (GAMs). GAMs were used for modelling susceptibility and exploring predictor–response relationships via smoothing functions. To assess spatial autocorrelation effects, the coordinates of slope-unit centroids were incorporated into the GAM framework using a tensor-product smooth. This resulted in two models: model_A, excluding the spatial term, and model_B, including it. Model performance was evaluated using spatial and non-spatial k-fold cross-validation, assessed through mean Decrease in Deviance explained (mDD%), Effective Degrees of Freedom (EDF), and Area Under the Receiving Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC). Both models are statistically significant and exhibit high discriminatory power (AUROC > 0.85) under both validation schemes. Including the spatial tensor modestly improved model fit and predictive capacity for model_B relative to model_A, with higher deviance explained (39.0 vs. 35.9), R² (0.42 vs. 0.39), and lower AIC (714.2 vs. 724.5). Distributions of mDD% and EDF indicate greater stability for model_B, whereas model_A shows higher variability. However, the improved training performance of model_B likely reflects sensitivity to local spatial structure rather than enhanced generalisation. Under spatial cross-validation, testing performance decreases relative to non-spatial validation and becomes variable for both models, while the performance gap between model_A and model_B narrows (testing AUROC: 0.877 vs. 0.890; training AUROC: 0.854 vs. 0.856), highlighting the influence of spatial partitioning and the limited generalisation gains once spatial dependence is accounted for. Model predictions were used to generate shallow landslide susceptibility maps for the Aosta Valley. Although both models assign similar proportions of slope units to each susceptibility class, notable differences emerge in their spatial distribution, with class-specific discrepancies reaching up to 30%. Standard error analysis shows that the model including spatial tensor does not uniformly improve prediction confidence: uncertainty is reduced only in spatially clustered areas with potentially homogeneous geomorphological conditions and worsens elsewhere. This confirms a spatially selective benefit due to the inclusion of the spatial tensor, along with its limited contribution to the overall spatial generalisation. Landslide density patterns across susceptibility classes are consistent between training and testing subsets, supporting the robustness of the classification framework. Model_B yields slightly higher densities in the highest susceptibility class, whereas calibration analysis indicates marginally better probabilistic accuracy and stability for model_A. Overall, both models provide comparable and reliable representations of landslide susceptibility, revealing a trade-off between spatial sensitivity and calibration performance.

How to cite: Pompili, L., Camera, C. A. S., Sorichetta, A., Economou, T., Bondarenko, M., and Yankey, O.: Testing a Coordinate Tensor-Product Descriptor for Spatial Autocorrelation in a Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Model, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5465, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5465, 2026.

EGU26-6632 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

Susceptibility-informed hydro-meteorological thresholds for rainfall-triggered landslides in Rwanda 

Jean D'Amour Dusabimana, Olivier Dewitte, Judith Uwihirwe, Thom Bogaard, Eric Derrick Bugenimana, John Musemakweri, Matthias Vanmaercke, Kwinten Van Weverberg, and Ricardo Reinoso Rondinel

Abstract

Rainfall-triggered landslides constitute a major natural hazard worldwide and are especially prevalent in mountainous regions experiencing intense rainfall. Despite substantial progress in the development of empirical hydrometeorological thresholds for landslide initiation, a central challenge remains the definition of spatially distributed thresholds that adequately represent both hydrological preconditioning, rainfall triggering and spatial variability in hillslope response. Existing regional approaches often rely on antecedent rainfall as a proxy for subsurface conditions or treat slope susceptibility as spatially homogeneous, thereby limiting their physical interpretability and operational robustness.

This study develops a susceptibility-informed hydro-meteorological threshold framework for rainfall-triggered landslides in Rwanda, a mountainous country of tropical Africa in an under-researched type of climate. The framework explicitly integrates rainfall triggering, hydrological preconditioning, and spatial variability in slope response within the cause–trigger concept. Rainfall forcing is derived from IMERG and downscaled from its native 0.1° (~10 km) spatial resolution to 1 km to better capture local-scale rainfall variability in complex terrain. Hydrological preconditioning is represented using a simple leaky-bucket water-balance model, providing spatially distributed proxy indicators of soil moisture and subsurface water storage that explicitly characterize antecedent wetness conditions relevant for slope stability.

Hydro-meteorological thresholds are formulated by combining rainfall intensity–duration and cumulative rainfall metrics with hydrological state indicators derived from the water-balance model. The threshold behavior is explicitly conditioned on an existing regional landslide susceptibility map, allowing identical hydro-meteorological forcing to produce different threshold responses depending on terrain predisposition. A landslide inventory comprising 82 documented events of exact known date of occurrence from 2000 to 2024 is used to analyze trigger–response relationships and to evaluate threshold behavior across susceptibility classes. Thresholds are explored using empirical and statistical techniques, including cumulative rainfall analysis, multi-dimensional trigger plots, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC)-based performance assessment.

Preliminary results show that observed landslides are strongly concentrated in moderate to high susceptibility classes, with frequency ratio (FR) values increasing from 0.24 in very low susceptibility areas to 4.1 in very high susceptibility areas. This supports conditioning hydro-meteorological thresholds on spatial predisposition, enabling more spatially differentiated and physically interpretable early warning thresholds.

Keywords: Rainfall-triggered landslides, Hydro-meteorological thresholds, Antecedent wetness, Landslide susceptibility

 

How to cite: Dusabimana, J. D., Dewitte, O., Uwihirwe, J., Bogaard, T., Bugenimana, E. D., Musemakweri, J., Vanmaercke, M., Van Weverberg, K., and Reinoso Rondinel, R.: Susceptibility-informed hydro-meteorological thresholds for rainfall-triggered landslides in Rwanda, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6632, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6632, 2026.

Against the global backdrop of transitioning to clean energy, China has established the world's largest clean energy power transmission network. However, the stable operation of these clean energy transmission networks is increasingly threatened by landslides under extreme climatic conditions. Given the current lack of clarity regarding the extent of landslide impacts on power transmission lines, it is crucial to systematically assess the potential dynamic spatiotemporal distribution of landslide susceptibility. This study presents the first comprehensive dynamic spatiotemporal prediction of landslide susceptibility for transmission lines in China's loess region, highlighting the urgent need to enhance the resilience of transmission infrastructure in response to escalating extreme climatic events. To address this issue, a boosting ensemble framework was initially employed to construct a preliminary susceptibility model, incorporating comprehensive landslide inventory data and twelve influencing factors. Furthermore, MT-InSAR technology and the K-Means clustering algorithm were utilized to derive long-term surface deformation patterns from 2020 to 2024. Finally, the initial susceptibility assessment was refined by integrating deformation zoning based on slope units, generating the final landslide susceptibility map. The results demonstrate that the Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) model outperformed other methods within the boosting ensemble framework (AUC = 0.914). MT-InSAR analysis revealed a maximum deformation rate of 77 mm/year in the study area, with a cumulative displacement of 373 mm. Time-series deformation clustering further indicated that regions dominated by the second deformation pattern were most prevalent. The enhanced matrix incorporating time-series deformation clusters modified the initial assessment by reclassifying slope units from "very high" susceptibility, resulting in a net reduction from 1,496 units to 394 units—a decrease of 1,102 units. This study refines traditional landslide susceptibility models by incorporating diverse surface deformation trends, thereby addressing the risk overestimation inherent in static models and supporting more precise disaster mitigation along transmission lines. 

How to cite: Jin, B., Gui, L., and Yin, K.: Spatiotemporal modeling framework for landslide susceptibility assessment along Clean Energy Transmission Corridors, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6909, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6909, 2026.

EGU26-6948 | Posters on site | NH3.6

A Straightforward Integrated Assessment of Landslide Initiation, Potential Process Paths, and Exposure in Tbilisi, Georgia 

George Gaprindashvili, Stefan Steger, Stefan Kienberger, Ioseb Kinkladze, Merab Gaprindashvili, Otar Kurtsikidze, Zurab Rikadze, and Tamta Bairamovi

Landslides pose a considerable threat to urban environments, and understanding where and how they may impact critical infrastructure is essential for risk management and early warning. This study presents an integrated methodological framework for data-driven landslide analysis in Tbilisi, Georgia, combining initiation susceptibility mapping, empirical runout path assessment, and exposure analysis. The approach focuses on the Tbilisi area (~505 km²) and first models landslide initiation susceptibility separately for slides, flows, and falls using a range of topographic and geological predictors. Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) were applied to produce continuous probability maps of initiation, which were subsequently classified into low, medium, and high susceptibility classes to define potential source locations for process path simulations. Based on these release locations, potential downslope propagation was estimated using a simplified, empirical energy-line approach based on the angle-of-reach principle. Multiple stochastic simulations per release cell captured variability in runout paths. The resulting potential process path maps then formed the basis for exposure assessment by intersecting them with spatial data on buildings, roads, and railway lines. The analysis identifies areas most likely to be impacted, providing an evaluation of multi-landslide exposure across the area. Beyond serving as a baseline for spatial planning, the results are being evaluated for integration with real-time meteorological nowcasting products to support impact-based early warning. Overall, the study demonstrates the potential of a straightforward landslide modelling chain to support risk management and early warning, contributing to enhanced resilience in Tbilisi. The analysis was conducted within the MedEWSA project funded by Horizon Europe (Grant Agreement No. 101121192).

How to cite: Gaprindashvili, G., Steger, S., Kienberger, S., Kinkladze, I., Gaprindashvili, M., Kurtsikidze, O., Rikadze, Z., and Bairamovi, T.: A Straightforward Integrated Assessment of Landslide Initiation, Potential Process Paths, and Exposure in Tbilisi, Georgia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6948, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6948, 2026.

EGU26-7890 | Posters on site | NH3.6

National-scale shallow landslide precipitation thresholds in Austria for early warning: A comparison of two modelling approaches  

Leonhard Schwarz, Stefan Steger, Raphael Spiekermann, Katharina Enigl, Matthias Schlögl, and Nils Tilch

To improve and automate the shallow landslide component of the already operating Austrian early warning system AMAS (Austrian Multi-Hazard Impact-based Advice Service), regional precipitation thresholds are needed.  Both the existing warning system and the precipitation thresholds developed in this study do not target individual landslides, but focus on severe regional events involving multiple landslides. Here, we present preliminary results of precipitation threshold modelling at national scale. 

Historic regional events were extracted from Austria-wide landslide inventories, including GEORIOS (GeoSphere Austria), the WLK database of the Austrian Torrent and Avalanche Control, as well as landslide inventories from different Austrian federal states. Landslide absence observations were identified by selecting landslide-free precipitation events with more than 20 mm in 24 h for which no indications of landslides were found after screening additional sources such as fire brigade reports, police records, local authorities, and VIOLA – the severe weather database of GeoSphere Austria.

Taking into account the diverse environmental conditions under which landslides occur, Austria was divided into 21 geo-climatic regions using hierarchical cluster analysis, which considered geological, geomorphological, pedological and climatic factors, complemented by expert knowledge. While our aim is to model the precipitation thresholds for each of the 21 geo-climatic regions in Austria, we present preliminary results for two study areas of the Fischbacher Alps and the Vorarlberger Molasse. Lessons learned in these areas will be applied to nationwide modeling.

Precipitation threshold modeling was performed using two different techniques: (i) a data-driven approach based on generalized additive models (GAMs), which combines triggering and antecedent precipitation, and (ii) a quantile regression approach, which defines the onset of relevant precipitation following a dry period. For both approaches, precipitation data from INCA (Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive Analysis, combined radar and station data) were used with hourly resolution.  

To optimize the results, the durations of triggering and antecedent precipitation in the GAM model, as well as the dry-period duration and the maximum precipitation threshold during the dry period in the quantile regression model, are systematically varied. Additional model variants consider the inclusion of the antecedent precipitation index (API) and the use of different landslide samples (e.g., representatively sampled points across different rainfall events) for both models. The best modeling results are selected via ROC-based cross-validation complemented with expert plausibility checks (e.g., longer antecedent precipitation for fine-grained soils). 

First GAM results showed very high predictive performance, with mean cross-validation AUROCs exceeding 0.9. Including a third variable in the model, namely peak 1-hour rainfall within the triggering window, alongside cumulative triggering and antecedent precipitation further improved the model, and the modeled relationships appeared plausible. Early quantile-regression estimates of intensity-duration (ID) thresholds are consistent with prior work (e.g., Guzzetti et al., 2008; Marra et al., 2014) but exhibit a steeper power-law decay. These results are sensitive to event-sample representativeness as well as the delineation of triggering rainfall, and they reveal spatial heterogeneity consistent with differing geological and meteorological predisposition.

 

How to cite: Schwarz, L., Steger, S., Spiekermann, R., Enigl, K., Schlögl, M., and Tilch, N.: National-scale shallow landslide precipitation thresholds in Austria for early warning: A comparison of two modelling approaches , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7890, 2026.

Landslides represent a significant geohazard worldwide, whose frequency and impacts are being amplified by climate change materialized through more intense and extreme rainfall. Projecting climate-driven landslide risk in tropical mountains such as the Colombian Andes requires methodologies that integrate climate projections with geomorphological triggers, going beyond traditional static susceptibility maps toward dynamic process-based frameworks. This study presents a novel methodology to assess future landslide propensity, integrating statistically downscaled climate projections with climate-informed probabilistic landslide models. A performance-weighted multi-model ensemble was constructed from 20 global models from the CMIP6 project (GCMs), selected according to their ability to reproduce observed rainfall patterns and trends during a historical baseline period (1981–2014). This ensemble provided future monthly climate data (2024–2100) for three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). These data enabled the calibration of monthly generalized additive models (GAMs) for landslide probability, trained with more than 10,000 events and using 15 extreme rainfall indices as explanatory variables, along with slope gradient as topographic control. To improve interpretability and robustness, the model results, originally at the climate model grid scale, were aggregated into slope units, generating maps of relative landslide propensity in probabilistic terms, a more appropriate spatial representation for future risk assessment than point estimates.

Our analysis revealed strong seasonal control: landslide triggers shift from high-intensity rainfall during the main wet seasons (April-May, October-November) toward antecedent dryness metrics in transition months. Future projections indicate a marked intensification in landslide propensity, especially in the Central and Western mountain ranges. Projected increases in mean rainfall, from approximately 20% in the short term (2024–2040) to more than 50% toward the end of the century (2081–2100) under SSP5-8.5, were correlated with a notable expansion of areas classified with high landslide propensity. Critically, the methodological framework identified not only where, but also when, propensity is highest within the annual rainfall cycle. This work improves landslide risk assessment by providing continuous probabilistic forecasts over time (monthly), which are highly sensitive to climate variability. Our results provide practical, scenario-based information to identify critical time windows and geographical priorities that support adaptive land use planning and early warning systems in a region highly vulnerable to geological hazards. Future work in progress will aim to refine and expand this framework, considering the inclusion of additional predictors, such as soil moisture, temperature, and changes in land cover, in order to address the occurrence of the phenomenon under study in a more holistic manner.

How to cite: Vega, J.: Modeling Future Landslide Propensity in the Colombian Andes: A GAM-based Projection from GCM Multi-Model Extreme Rainfall Indices, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8167, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8167, 2026.

EGU26-9455 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.6

Long-Term Displacement Prediction of Slow-Moving Landslides Using SAR-Based Time-Series Displacement Data 

Jung-Hyun Lee, Ho-Yeong You, Hyuck-Jin Park, Sang-Wan Kim, Chan Ho Jeong, and Sun Hee Chae

Slow-moving landslides have recently gained attention as geological hazards requiring long-term monitoring, as they can trigger large-scale slope failures or debris flows. Consequently, various studies have identified slow-moving landslides as precursors to large-scale landslides. However, conventional field instrumentation or GPS-based monitoring has limitations for long-term monitoring of large-scale areas. Consequently, SAR-based time-series displacement analysis is being utilized as an alternative. SAR time-series analysis offers the advantage of enabling long-term monitoring of ground displacement across extensive regions. Nevertheless, research on the interaction between the long-term displacement patterns of slow-moving landslides and their triggering factors remains insufficient. In particular, systematic research is needed on how the displacement observed over time interacts with static factors (topography, geology, etc.) or dynamic factors (precipitation, temperature). Existing statistical-based time series models are useful for clearly analyzing trends and seasonality in displacement data and understanding the underlying structure. However, they have limitations in fully reflecting nonlinear displacement patterns or complex interactions with various triggering factors.
This study aims to perform time-series prediction using long-term SAR-based displacement data and analyze the relationship between displacement patterns and triggering factors from a data mining perspective. Specifically, it applies deep learning-based LSTM, capable of learning long-term dependencies, alongside existing statistical models for comparison and analysis. LSTM is evaluated as a model suitable for complex prediction of slow-moving landslides, as it considers the long-term cumulative effects of time-series data and can comprehensively learn nonlinear displacement patterns and multivariate data.
Applying the method proposed in this study, the Gangwon Province area of South Korea was designated as the study region, and displacement data was constructed using Sentinel-1 SAR imagery acquired from 2014 to 2024. We examined the interactions between static and dynamic data expected to influence the constructed displacement data. We then performed long-term predictions using SAR-based displacement time series via deep learning-based LSTM to evaluate the potential for landslide monitoring from a long-term perspective.

 

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF) grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT) (No. RS-2024-00358026 and RS-2025-00515970).

How to cite: Lee, J.-H., You, H.-Y., Park, H.-J., Kim, S.-W., Jeong, C. H., and Chae, S. H.: Long-Term Displacement Prediction of Slow-Moving Landslides Using SAR-Based Time-Series Displacement Data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9455, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9455, 2026.

EGU26-9508 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.6

Analysis of Rainfall induced Landslide Susceptibility Using Deep Forest Model for Decision Boundary Interpretation 

Seung-Hyeop Lee, Jung-Hyun Lee, and Hyuck-Jin Park

The frequency and magnitude of landslide damage have increased due to the impact of heavy rainfall, which has been exacerbated by climate change. Consequently, the importance of landslide susceptibility analysis for identifying high-risk areas is being further emphasized. Previous susceptibility studies have utilized various data-driven analyses, including machine learning and deep learning, to understand the complex nonlinear relationships among landslide-influencing factors. In particular, ensemble techniques have been shown to enhance overall performance and stability by combining the prediction results of individual models. However, previous bagging and boosting-based ensemble techniques have primarily focused on improving average classification performance. Further examination is necessary to assess the stability and interpretability of decision boundaries under varying threshold values and the distribution characteristics of prediction probabilities. This is especially challenging in landslide datasets with significant class imbalance, where pixels in the boundary region can exhibit highly sensitive prediction changes depending on threshold settings.

To address these limitations, this study employed the gcForest (multi-grained cascade forest) model, also known as Deep Forest. gcForest is a deep learning alternative that utilizes a cascade structure, comprising multiple layers of random forests. Each layer receives both original features and class probability outputs from the preceding layer. This structure facilitates the incremental updating of probability information for samples near decision boundaries, enabling iterative reclassification. This structure is distinct from existing ensemble techniques in that it enables stepwise improvement of decision boundaries for samples with high prediction uncertainty. This is in contrast to the existing ensemble techniques that determine predictions at a single stage. In order to make a comparison with existing ensemble techniques, this study has set bagging-based random forest and boosting-based XGBoost as the base model of deep forest.

The proposed analysis approaches were applied to Pohang City, Gyeongsangbuk-do, South Korea, where a large-scale landslide occurred in 1998. The analysis results demonstrated that the gcForest-based model exhibited enhanced prediction performance (gcForest_RF AUC = 91.62%, gcForest_XGBoost AUC = 91.40%) in comparison to the prevailing ensemble methods, random forest and XGBoost. Specifically, the XGBoost-based gcForest model demonstrated enhanced accuracy, improving from 0.797 to 0.814, and an elevated f1-score from 0.789 to 0.814 when compared to the prevailing XGBoost model. These results indicate that gcForest's stepwise improvement structure contributes to enhanced performance in classifying uncertain samples near decision boundaries, thereby enabling more stable landslide susceptibility prediction.

 

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by a National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) grant funded by the Korean government (MSIT) (RS-2025-00515970).

How to cite: Lee, S.-H., Lee, J.-H., and Park, H.-J.: Analysis of Rainfall induced Landslide Susceptibility Using Deep Forest Model for Decision Boundary Interpretation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9508, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9508, 2026.

Landslide Inventory Maps (LIMs) are the essential starting point for any hazard assessment, yet their statistical quality is often assumed rather than verified. A persistent issue in susceptibility modeling, particularly with the widely used Frequency Ratio (FR) method, is the assumption of conditional independence among factors. This simplification not only overlooks complex inter-dependencies between geology and terrain but also tends to hide the inherent limitations and biases of the underlying inventory.

 

In this study, we propose a shift toward a Multivariate Conditional Likelihood Ratio (MCLR) framework to explicitly evaluate and manage inventory representativeness. By estimating likelihoods over joint combinations of geomorphic, hydrologic, and land-cover factors, MCLR preserves the multivariate signals that drive landslide occurrence. Crucially, we treat the resulting "empirical sparsity" (data-poor environmental units) not as a mathematical hurdle, but as a diagnostic strength. By imposing minimum support criteria, we can pinpoint specific environmental domains where the inventory lacks representative power, effectively "exposing" the quality constraints of the input data.

 

To test how these patterns perform under real-world forcing, we introduce an event-based Rainfall Amplification Factor (RAF) as a diagnostic stress test. Using a terrain-trend-plus-residual interpolation, we capture the spatial heterogeneity and orographic enhancement of precipitation to dynamically modulate the MCLR-based susceptibility. This allows us to track how inventory limitations propagate from static maps into event-scale hazard interpretations.

 

Our findings demonstrate that MCLR produces more physically interpretable patterns than marginal FR, especially in complex landscapes where terrain and geology are tightly coupled. The RAF analysis further reveals where susceptibility models remain robust and where representativeness gaps become critical during extreme events. Ultimately, this framework provides a transparent bridge between static susceptibility mapping and event-oriented hazard assessment, offering a quantitative basis for evaluating the reliability of landslide inventory products under extreme forcing conditions.

How to cite: Chiou, R. B. and Liao, K. W.: Refining inventory-based frequency-ratio landslide susceptibility using multivariate conditional likelihood ratios and event-based rainfall amplification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11306, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11306, 2026.

EGU26-12891 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.6

A Causal Analysis based on Dynamic Landslide Hazard Assessment from 1980 to 2024 in Hubei, China 

Shilin Zhu, Lixia Chen, and Samuele Segoni

Landslides rank among the most destructive geological hazards globally, with their frequency and intensity increasingly exacerbated by the dual pressures of climate change and rapid anthropogenic land modification. Traditional static landslide hazard mapping often relies on global feature importance rankings, which obscure the spatial heterogeneity of driving mechanisms. This black box nature limits the physical interpretability of hazard evolution. This study aims to establish a long-term Dynamic Landslide Hazard assessment framework to decouple the causal mechanisms of rainfall and land use in landslide evolution.

Focusing on Hubei Province (1980–2024), we integrated XGBoost for dynamic prediction with Double Machine Learning (DML) for causal attribution. To address high dimensionality, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was employed to reconstruct comprehensive indices (cumulative variance > 90%). Central to our methodology is the proposal of a novel "Consistency-Interaction Diagnostic Framework." By coupling the global trends derived from Partial Dependence Plots (PDP) with the local heterogeneity of SHAP values, this framework constructs a 2D metric system to diagnose the physical stability and spatial interaction strength of drivers.

Application of this diagnostic framework successfully decoupled the dual physical attributes of landslide drivers, a distinction missed by traditional methods:

  • The framework accurately identified land use intensity and static terrain factors as "Stable Background Stress." These factors exhibit high PDP-SHAP correlations (Consistency > 0.95) with low spatial variance, confirming their roles as domain-wide controls regardless of local micro-environments.
  • In contrast, rainfall factors were diagnosed as "High-Sensitivity Pulses." For instance, antecedent summer precipitation exhibited an extremely high SHAP interaction Coefficient of Variation (CV) of 3.78. This quantitative diagnosis proves that rainfall is not a uniform stressor but a spatially selective trigger whose hazard efficiency is intensely modulated by local topography.
  • Diagnostic results further reveal that the majority of environmental factors fall into the "Heterogeneous Effect" quadrant. This indicates that landslide incubation is not a linear superposition of single factors but a complex non-linear process strongly modified by local environments.

This study demonstrates that the proposed framework offers a new physical perspective for opening the black box of machine learning. By distinguishing between globally consistent factors and locally sensitive perturbations, the findings provide a scientific basis for shifting landslide risk management from homogenized meteorological warnings to fine-grained control based on spatial heterogeneity and ecological resilience.

How to cite: Zhu, S., Chen, L., and Segoni, S.: A Causal Analysis based on Dynamic Landslide Hazard Assessment from 1980 to 2024 in Hubei, China, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12891, 2026.

EGU26-14716 | Orals | NH3.6

Designing a National Landslide Risk Information System for Vietnam 

Cees van Westen, Simona Meszarosova,, Long Nguyen Thanh, Huong Vuong Thu, Minh Pham Tran, Vinh Mai Ky, Huyen Bui Van, Claudio Angelino, Luigi Lombardo, Hakan Tanyas, and Ashok Dahal

Vietnam faces substantial landslide risk, with the highest number of reported landslide-related fatalities in Southeast Asia. Approximately 70% of the country’s territory is mountainous or hilly, and landslides recur annually during the rainy season from June to November, particularly in northern and central provinces. The severe impacts of Typhoon Yagi in September 2024, which caused 323 fatalities and an estimated USD 3.47 billion in damages, further highlighted systemic gaps in landslide risk information and early warning. 
In response, the Vietnam Disaster and Dyke Management Authority, the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs, and GIZ initiated a scoping study to explore the development of a national landslide risk information system. The study’s primary objective is to assess the feasibility of establishing a landslide risk information system in Vietnam through a systematic review of existing data, tools, systems, and methodologies. It seeks to define a practical framework covering technical design, institutional arrangements, and capacity-building needs, and to develop a phased roadmap with indicative cost estimates and implementation timelines to guide future investment and system development
The aim of this contribution is to document the first stage of the scoping study, including initial stakeholder consultations and preliminary findings, and to define how these will inform the subsequent assessment and development of recommendations. The study applies a data maturity assessment framework based on a structured questionnaire covering seven dimensions of a landslide risk information system: data access and sharing, digital applications and services, information and communication technology infrastructure, staff competencies, institutionalisation and partnerships, governance, and disaster risk reduction collaboration. 
The inception phase confirms that effective landslide early warning in Vietnam requires a multi-level system that links national technical capacity with provincial coordination and commune-level action. At the national level, the Department of Geology and Mines has been identified as a potential nodal agency for maintaining a national landslide database, working in coordination with the National Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting Centre for forecasting, the Disaster Management Policy and Technology Centre for capacity development, and the National Remote Sensing Department for satellite-based monitoring. At the provincial level, significant capacity strengthening is needed to digitise commune-level data, integrate scientific and community-based risk maps, and translate national warnings into village-specific advisories. At the communal level, priorities include the use of simple smartphone-based reporting tools, the development of community-based disaster risk management maps, and the dissemination of warnings through established platforms such as Zalo.
Several structural and technical challenges constrain the development of such a system. These include restrictions on data sharing and protection, limited and short-term funding arrangements, high staff turnover, the absence of unified technical standards, and regulatory constraints that limit innovation. Critically, the lack of systematic and georeferenced landslide reporting impedes the development of reliable thresholds and evidence-based risk assessments. In addition, the absence of digitised village-level risk maps and real-time monitoring capacity limits local decision-making and increases the likelihood of overly generalised or inaccurate warnings at the commune level.

How to cite: van Westen, C., Meszarosova,, S., Nguyen Thanh, L., Vuong Thu, H., Pham Tran, M., Mai Ky, V., Bui Van, H., Angelino, C., Lombardo, L., Tanyas, H., and Dahal, A.: Designing a National Landslide Risk Information System for Vietnam, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14716, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14716, 2026.

EGU26-15268 | Orals | NH3.6

Rainfall thresholds triggering mass movements in the central Paute River basin 

Angela Maylee Iza Wong, Raisa Torres-Ramírez, Juan Antonio Marco-Molina, Brenda Mayacela-Salazar, and Shirley Vásquez-Morante

Mass movements are a primary process in the evolution of landforms in the Paute River basin in southern Ecuador, where lithological, structural, and topographical factors drive terrain instability. Rainfall is a significant triggering factor due to its direct influence on increasing interstitial pressure and reducing material resistance, particularly on slopes previously modified by anthropogenic activities, such as the mega-landslide La Josefina, which occurred in 1993 (Bonnard, 2011). This research aims to establish precipitation thresholds to enhance understanding of the activation and reactivation of mass movements in the central Paute River basin, with a focus on events that impact infrastructure and human settlements (Torres Ramírez, 2021). The methodology involves collecting and refining rainfall records from manual stations operated by the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (INAMHI) and comparing these with the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) satellite products to address data discontinuities and improve spatial rainfall coverage. Statistical analyses were conducted to identify critical precipitation thresholds associated with the initiation of mass movement processes, based on correlations between event occurrence and antecedent and accumulated precipitation conditions (Iza-Wong et al., 2025; WMO, 2017). Preliminary findings indicate that precipitation thresholds vary across the study area by season (Marco Molina et al., 2000; Zaragozí et al., 2025). During the rainy months of March, April, and May, rainfall is more concentrated in the southwestern region, with precipitation ranging from the 95th percentile value of 6 mm/day up to 14 mm/day. In contrast, during September, October, and November, higher rainfall is observed in the northeastern region. This spatial heterogeneity underscores the influence of geology, soil texture, and land-use changes on mass-movement processes; in addition, the evaluation of precipitation patterns further distinguishes the types of events that trigger landslides in the area. These conclusions offer a technical foundation for enhancing preparedness, monitoring, and early warning systems for climate risk management in the Paute River basin.

Keywords: Hydrogeomorphology, mass movements, precipitation, rainfall thresholds, climate risk, Paute River basin

References

Bonnard, C. (2011). Technical and Human Aspects of Historic Rockslide-Dammed Lakes and Landslide Dam Breaches (pp. 101–122). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-04764-0_3

Iza-Wong, A., Moldovan, G., Ben-Bouallègue, Z., Hemingway, R., Chantry, M., & Lavers, D. (2025). Evaluation of precipitation observations across Ecuador. Atmospheric Science Letters.

Marco Molina, J.A.; Matarredona Coll, E.; Padilla Blanco, A. (2000) La dimensión espacial de los riesgos geomorfológicos. Boletín de la Asociación de Geógrafos Españoles. Available online: https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=1122897

Torres Ramírez, R. (2021). Análisis espacio-temporal de los eventos ocurridos (movimientos en masa), en el período 2012-2020, en la zona centro de la cuenca del río Paute-Ecuador. http://rua.ua.es/dspace/handle/10045/114795

 WMO. (2017). Guide to the Global Observing System. WMO-No. 488. https://community.wmo.int/en/wmo-no-488-guide-global-observing-system

Zaragozí, B., Font, P., Cano-Aladid, J., & Marco Molina, J. (2025). A Small Landslide as a Big Lesson: Drones and GIS for Monitoring and Teaching Slope Instability. Geosciences, 15, 375. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15100375

 

How to cite: Iza Wong, A. M., Torres-Ramírez, R., Marco-Molina, J. A., Mayacela-Salazar, B., and Vásquez-Morante, S.: Rainfall thresholds triggering mass movements in the central Paute River basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15268, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15268, 2026.

EGU26-16487 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.6

Machine Learning–Driven Landslide Nowcasting for Operational Early Warning in the Himalayan Region 

Ankit Singh, Nitesh Dhiman, Bhawna Pathak, and Dericks Praise Shukla

The intensification of extreme rainfall has resulted in widespread landslide hazards in mountainous regions of the world. The Indian Himalayan Region, one of the most densely urbanized, has been facing an alarming increase in landslides, the prediction of which is difficult using existing empirical rainfall thresholds. This study develops a novel machine learning-driven landslide nowcasting system by integrating the landslide susceptibility (LSM) and probability of rainfall-induced landslides (P-RIL). The LSM provides the spatial location of future landslides by analyzing the terrain characteristics, anthropogenic factors, hydrological presence, and geological formations using the random forest (RF) method based on landslides occurring between 2017-2024. The results indicated that 7% of the area was under high susceptibility, followed by 12% under high susceptibility. To calculate the effect of rainfall in triggering landslides, the P-RIL was calculated considering R1 (rainfall on 1st day of occurrence), R3 (rainfall on 3rd day), R7 (7th day rainfall), R15 (15th day rainfall), Wetdays, Max_72 Hours, and antecedent rainfall index (ARI) as variables to train in the RF model. Finally, each day nowcasting results were obtained by integrating the LSM and P-RIL within a probabilistic framework. The landslide occurring in 2025 was used to validate the nowcasting results. The results indicated that the landslides were ranked within the forecasted hazard distribution, with percentile values of 87%, 90%, 93%, and 99%, respectively, denoting the occurrence of landslides within the top 13%–1% of the most hazardous slope units at the time of prediction. One event lay in the extreme hazard class (>99th percentile), highlighting the model’s strong discriminatory capability. Finally, the forecast results for each day were updated in a Google Earth Engine application to aid policymakers and planners in developing better mitigation and preparedness strategies. This study represents the first of its kind landslide nowcasting system in Mandi district using the information obtained from landslide susceptibility and rainfall-derived triggering parameters, thus offering meaningful insight into a practical decision-support tool for policymakers and disaster management authorities.

 

How to cite: Singh, A., Dhiman, N., Pathak, B., and Praise Shukla, D.: Machine Learning–Driven Landslide Nowcasting for Operational Early Warning in the Himalayan Region, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16487, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16487, 2026.

EGU26-16966 | Orals | NH3.6

Real-Time Multi-Scale Slope Stability Forecasting 

Luca Piciullo and Minu Treesa Abraham

Landslides affecting natural and engineered slopes pose a growing challenge for disaster risk reduction, particularly under the increasing frequency and intensity of rainfall and snowmelt events driven by climate change. Operational slope stability forecasting requires the integration of meteo-hydro-geological data sources, physical understanding of failure mechanisms, and frameworks capable of delivering timely predictions. This abstract summarizes our research activities of creating an integrated real-time cloud-based operational framework that combines slope-and regional-scales digital twins for landslide forecasting, leveraging real-time monitoring, numerical modelling, and data-driven methods.

At the regional scale, slope stability forecasting is addressed through a hybrid methodology that merges physically-based infinite slope models with data-driven landslide susceptibility and probability models (Abraham et al., 2025). The regional framework operates across first-order catchments within a selected study area in Norway. A physically-based model computes pixel-wise Factor of Safety (FoS) values using precipitation, topography, and subsurface parameters, calibrated through back-analysis and applied in forward forecasting model. In parallel, a machine learning data-driven model estimates the probability of landslide occurrence at the catchment scale. Both model types are deployed as automated cloud services that generate daily forecasts, overcoming key operational challenges related to model integration, parameter updating, and large-scale data handling. Forecast outputs are disseminated through NGI Live, the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute’s data platform, supporting Landslide Early Warning Systems (LEWS).

Complementing the regional framework, slope-scale forecasting is achieved through the development of a digital twin of an instrumented slope in Norway (Piciullo et al., 2022; Piciullo et al., 2025). The digital twin integrates real-time monitoring of hydrological variables, such as volumetric water content and pore water pressure, with numerical slope stability modelling and machine learning. The numerical model is continuously validated against monitored data and used to calculate the FoS. To enable efficient operational forecasting, data-driven models, including Polynomial Regression and Random Forest, are trained on simulated FoS values, monitored hydrological conditions, and meteorological inputs to forecast the rolling three days FoS. These data-driven models replace the computationally intensive numerical model within the cloud service, enabling rapid and reliable FoS forecasts. A performance evaluation demonstrates that the data-driven surrogates provide accurate and robust FoS predictions comparable to the numerical model, highlighting their suitability for operational early warning applications.

By integrating detailed slope-scale digital twins with scalable regional-scale forecasting, we illustrates a coherent multi-scale approach to landslide prediction. The proposed framework is readily transferable to other sites and regions, offering a practical pathway for enhancing real-time landslide early warning and risk management.

The authors gratefully acknowledge the support received from The HuT EU project (ID101073957, https://thehut-nexus.eu/), which played a crucial role in facilitating and advancing our research.

 

References

Abraham, M. T., Piciullo, L., Liu, Z., Drøsdal, et al. (2025). Operational regional scale landslide forecasts: Physics-based and data-driven models. Proceedings of the 9th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2025). Research Publishing, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.3850/981-973-0000-00-0-isgsr2025-paper.

Piciullo, L., Abraham, M. T., Drøsdal, I. N., and Paulsen, E. S. (2025). An operational IoT-based slope stability forecast using a digital twin. Environ. Model. Softw. 183, 106228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106228.

Piciullo, L., Capobianco, V., and Heyerdahl, H. (2022). A first step towards a IoT-based local early warning system for an unsaturated slope in Norway. Nat. Hazards 114. https:// doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05524-3.

 

How to cite: Piciullo, L. and Abraham, M. T.: Real-Time Multi-Scale Slope Stability Forecasting, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16966, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16966, 2026.

EGU26-17136 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

The effect of different landslide absence sampling time windows in event-based landslide susceptibility models 

Sophia Sternath, Stefan Steger, Matthias Schlögl, and Thomas Glade

Landslide inventories are often incomplete and biased due to limited personnel and financial resources, which constrains the development of high-quality, long-term spatio-temporal landslide datasets. In comparison, event-based landslide inventories, which are typically compiled shortly after triggering storms, can be mapped more comprehensively and tend to be internally consistent. Leveraging such inventories is thus valuable for exploring the interconnections between extreme precipitation events and environmental characteristics on slope instability.

Here, we evaluate the temporal transferability of event-based landslide susceptibility models to another landslide event, and the sensitivity of transferability to the choice of landslide absence sampling time windows. Accounting for spatial landslide collection bias and temporal biases in landslide absence sampling, we trained three Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) on landslides triggered by the September 2024 extreme precipitation event "Boris" to the Pielachtal region, Lower Austria. The models differ only in their temporal windows for landslide absence sampling: (M1) from the onset of the precipitation event until the observation date of the last inventoried landslide (September 12-17, 2024), (M2) from from the start of the month until the observation date of the last inventoried landslide (September 1-17, 2024), and (M3) only on the dates of landslide occurrence (September 16 -17, 2024). The models were then validated against an independent event, the May 2014 precipitation-triggered landslide inventory, to assess temporal generalization.

This research provides insights into how absence sampling design influences event-based, spatio-temporally dynamic landslide susceptibility modelling and its transferability across events. Our findings support cost-effective protocols for inventory compilation and model development, and enhancing readiness for future extreme precipitation events.

How to cite: Sternath, S., Steger, S., Schlögl, M., and Glade, T.: The effect of different landslide absence sampling time windows in event-based landslide susceptibility models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17136, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17136, 2026.

EGU26-18426 | Posters on site | NH3.6

Reducing spatio-temporal bias in the Cares landslide inventory (Picos de Europa National Park, Northern Spain) 

Pablo Valenzuela, Elena Colmenero-Hidalgo, Indira Rodríguez, Juncal A. Cruz, Pedro Almendros, Eduardo García-Meléndez, María José Domínguez-Cuesta, Montserrat Ferrer-Julià, and Inés Pereira

The Cares route (Picos de Europa National Park - Northern Spain) is a hiking trail subject to intense tourist pressure, where visitors are frequently exposed to landslides, with rockfalls being the most common events. Despite the high frequency of these processes, no systematic inventory had been compiled to date. Since 2024, the SAFETRACK Project has been developing a comprehensive inventory of landslides affecting the route, including both recent and historical events. The inventory is based on the review of multiple data sources: (1) regional and local newspapers, (2) social media, (3) technical notes, and (4) reports from national park rangers. Each data source introduces specific biases into the dataset. For instance, technical reports usually provide highly accurate spatial information but often lack precise data on the timing of the events. In contrast, press archives and social media typically offer reliable temporal information, although spatial details are often imprecise. To address these limitations, the methodology incorporates several procedures aimed at extracting objective information from the original sources, assessing data reliability and minimizing inventory bias. These procedures include: (1) use of multiple and complementary data sources; (2) geo-location of landslides based on spatial descriptions and photographic evidence, supported by free online cartographic platforms (Google Maps-Google Street View and Iberpix) and fieldwork; (3) temporal location of the landslides through cross-validation among sources and interviews with park rangers and local residents; and (4) classification of the spatio-temporal data according to a reliability scale. The proposed methodology has proven effective in obtaining objective and sufficiently reliable data, making the resulting inventory suitable for subsequent quantitative analyses and future research.


Funding: Research Project “Sensibilización ante los procesos de ladera y mejora de la seguridad en sendas de montaña de los Parques Nacionales: propuesta de innovación para la autoprotección y educación ambiental – SAFETRACK” financed by the University of León.

How to cite: Valenzuela, P., Colmenero-Hidalgo, E., Rodríguez, I., Cruz, J. A., Almendros, P., García-Meléndez, E., Domínguez-Cuesta, M. J., Ferrer-Julià, M., and Pereira, I.: Reducing spatio-temporal bias in the Cares landslide inventory (Picos de Europa National Park, Northern Spain), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18426, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18426, 2026.

EGU26-18592 | Orals | NH3.6

Scalable XAI-based forecasting of landslide surface velocities from environmental forcings 

Olivier Béjean-Maillard, Catherine Bertrand, Jean-Philippe Malet, Laurent Dubois, Claire Batailles, Laurent Lespine, Olivier Maquaire, Mathieu Fressard, and Joshua Ducasse

Forecasting the evolution of slow-moving landslides is a challenge because landslide motion is modulated by hydrometeorological forcing (rainfall, snowmelt, groundwater fluctuations) acting across multiple timescales, resulting in complex and strongly non-linear forcing–response relationships. By leveraging long-term multi-parameter monitoring, AI-based models can help characterise and simulate these dynamics. However, two limitations persist. First, many approaches rely on deep-learning architectures (RNNs, GRUs, LSTMs) that successfully reproduce non-linear dynamics, but do not constrain landslide physics and have limited interpretability and transferability. Second, few AI applications address landslides governed by the combined influence of multiple hydrometeorological drivers. Existing applications remain largely site-specific, relying on tailored predictor sets and local calibration. Addressing these limitations requires interpretable modelling frameworks capable of operating across multiple landslide sites including data-scarce settings.

Here, we introduce a scalable and eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) modelling framework using eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and based on a set of 248 and physically grounded, non site-specific hydrometeorological predictors computed from net rainfall, effective rainfall, and groundwater level time series. Predictors are designed to represent three complementary aspects of landslide water-related forcing: (i) the hydrological state of the system, (ii) hydrological memory effects, and (iii) short-term hydrological transient processes. To capture multi-timescale hydromechanical dependencies, predictors are computed over multiple time windows ranging from 1 to 90 days. The approach simulates daily landslide velocities, evaluates predictive skill using RMSE and MAE metrics, and provides interpretable and explainable constraints on the predictor influence using features importance ranking and SHAP-based attribution tools.

We evaluate the framework on three slow-moving landslides in France: Séchilienne (fractured miscaschist), Viella (morainic and colluvial deposits), and Villerville (chalk, sand and colluvial deposits ovelying marl substrate) spanning contrasting lithologies, deformation mechanisms and kinematics to demonstrate the scalability of the approach.

The XAI framework accurately reproduces landslide velocity time series across sites and testing periods with small residual errors relative to the amplitude of observed velocity variations (Séchilienne,  0.005-0.015 cm.d-¹ ; Viella, 0.01-0.035 cm.d-¹ ; Villerville, 0.02-0.06 cm.d-¹). The identified predictors per landslide align with contrasting physical processes, including delayed pore-water pressure build-up driven by slow matrix infiltration in impermeable slope material (Villerville) and rapid responses to rainfall in more permeable (Viella) or fractured (Séchilienne) slope materials. Together, these results show that XAI frameworks can recover site-specific landslide behaviour while preserving physical interpretability across diverse settings, and demonstrate one of the first applications of a common model structure and non-site-specific predictor set across multiple distinct landslide case studies.

How to cite: Béjean-Maillard, O., Bertrand, C., Malet, J.-P., Dubois, L., Batailles, C., Lespine, L., Maquaire, O., Fressard, M., and Ducasse, J.: Scalable XAI-based forecasting of landslide surface velocities from environmental forcings, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18592, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18592, 2026.

EGU26-18603 | Posters on site | NH3.6

Probabilistic Simulation of Monthly Landslide Velocity Under Hydro-meteorological Variability 

Catherine Bertrand, Olivier Maillard-Bejean, Jean-Philippe Malet, José Moya, and Olivier Maquaire

Hydrometeorological forcing (rainfall, snowmelt, groundwater fluctuations) acts across multiple timescales and is a primary driver of surface velocity dynamics in slow-moving landslides. Many studies use trained AI-based models to simulate daily-to-monthly velocities over validation periods defined by specific historical hydrometeoroligical contexts. Although these models achieve accurate predictive skill, they are typically deterministic and therefore provide limited insight into the range of plausibly velocity responses under alternative, yet realistic, forcing conditions.

To address this gap, we introduce a probabilistic framework built around two axes. Forcing variability is represented by generating 500 plausible meteorological time series using a modified Richardson-type weather generator (rainfall and air temperature). These series are then propagated through a transfer-function hydrological model to simulate groundwater-level variability driven by generated effective rainfall. Second, daily velocities are simulated using a trained XGBoost model based on a set of hydrometeorological predictors. The resulting ensemble is summarised as monthly velocity distributions over a one-year horizon, thereby capturing distinct dynamics across a full hydrological cycle. Distributional performance is evaluated using the Prediction Interval Coverage Probability (PICP) and the Mean Interval Score (MIS).

We evaluate the framework on three slow-moving landslides spanning contrasting lithologies, deformation mechanisms and kinematics: Viella (morainic and colluvial deposits ; France), Villerville (chalk, sand and colluvial deposits ovelying marl substrate ; France), and Vallcebre (clayey siltstone and colluvial debris overlying limestone substrate), to demonstrate the scalability of the approach.

The modified Richardson-type generator reproduces key statistical properties of historical meteorological records. Calibrated groundwater models capture the main dynamics of groundwater fluctuations, with R2 values of 0.84 (Viella), 0.76 (Villerville) and 0.53 (Vallcebre). The simulated monthly velocity distributions exhibit clear seasonality, with more contrasted annual cycles at Viella and Villerville, consistent with site-specific hydrogeological behaviour. On average, prediction intervals encompass a substantial fraction of observed monthly velocities (mean PICP: 53% for Viella, 40% for Villerville and 76% for Vallcebre), with strong variability across months. Remaining discrepancies mainly reflect data availability, limitations in groundwater simulations, and constraints in the learned forcing–velocity relationships within the XGBoost model, highlighting priorities for further methodological improvements. Overall, the proposed framework provides a first practical tool to quantify the range of probable landslide-velocity responses under multiple plausible hydro-meteorological scenarios.

How to cite: Bertrand, C., Maillard-Bejean, O., Malet, J.-P., Moya, J., and Maquaire, O.: Probabilistic Simulation of Monthly Landslide Velocity Under Hydro-meteorological Variability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18603, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18603, 2026.

EGU26-20026 | Posters on site | NH3.6

National-Scale Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Republic of Moldova: A Presence-Only Machine Learning Framework 

Viorel Ilinca, Igor Nicoara, Teona Daia-Creinicean, Alexandru Tambur, Cristina Spian, Victor Jeleapov, and Ionut Sandric

Landslides pose significant threats to infrastructure and communities in the Republic of Moldova, yet until now no comprehensive national-scale inventory or susceptibility assessment has been available. This study presents the first complete landslide inventory and AI-based susceptibility model for the entire country, integrating multi-source remote sensing data with presence-only machine learning techniques.
We developed a new landslide inventory comprising 246 polygons through visual interpretation of aerial imagery, orthophotos, and LiDAR data (5m resolution in central regions), complemented by field verification. This inventory was integrated with existing databases to create a comprehensive dataset of 1,523 landslide polygons for susceptibility modeling. Landslides were classified following international schemes, focusing on slide- and flow-type movements in medium- to deep-seated failures, while excluding shallow landslides, rockfalls, and debris flows.
Susceptibility analysis employed the MaxEnt presence-only machine learning algorithm with environmental variables including slope, elevation, valley depth, topographic wetness index, normalized height, Gaussian and Casorati curvature, lithology, and land cover derived from 30m resolution JAXA DEM and 1:200,000 geological maps. The model demonstrates strong predictive performance, with 68% of mapped landslides exhibiting mean susceptibility values exceeding 0.7.
Results reveal distinct spatial patterns: high-susceptibility zones (susceptibility values 0.7-0.997) form continuous corridors along valley networks in the central and northern hilly regions (Codrii Hills, Ciuluc Plateau, Dniester Hills), while southern and northern plains exhibit consistently low susceptibility (~8.27×10⁻¹¹ to 0.3). Geomorphometric analysis shows landslides preferentially occur at mid-slope positions (normalized height 0.3-0.6), in areas with moderate valley depths (15-28m median), and intermediate topographic wetness index values (7-10), reflecting strong structural control by cuesta landforms and Miocene clay-rich lithologies.
The bimodal distribution of susceptibility values within the inventory, with peaks at both low (<0.3) and high (>0.8) values, suggests the presence of both active landslides under current environmental conditions and relict features formed during wetter Pleistocene climates. This interpretation aligns with regional studies from adjacent Romanian territories.
This research provides the first national-scale susceptibility map for Moldova and establishes a scalable framework for landslide risk assessment in regions with heterogeneous geomorphology and incomplete historical data. The results support strategic planning for hazard mitigation, infrastructure development, and land-use management, particularly in densely populated agricultural regions where landslide impacts are already documented. Future work should focus on incorporating temporal triggering factors, anthropogenic influences, and climate change scenarios to enhance predictive capabilities.

Acknowledgements: This work was supported by a grant of the Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitization, CNCS – UEFISCDI, project number 40PCBROMD within PNCDI IV.

How to cite: Ilinca, V., Nicoara, I., Daia-Creinicean, T., Tambur, A., Spian, C., Jeleapov, V., and Sandric, I.: National-Scale Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Republic of Moldova: A Presence-Only Machine Learning Framework, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20026, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20026, 2026.

EGU26-20796 | ECS | Posters on site | NH3.6

A novel physically-based methodology for assessing landslide susceptibility at large scales 

Federica Angela Mevoli, Lorenzo Borselli, Michele Santangelo, Nunzia Monte, Daniela de Lucia, Angelo Ugenti, and Mauro Rossi

Landslide susceptibility is the likelihood of a landslide occurring in a given area based on local terrain conditions (Brabb, 1984). It is fundamental for land-use planning and risk mitigation strategies and can be assessed through various approaches, including statistical and physically-based methods (Guzzetti et al., 1999; Reichenbach et al., 2018). Statistical approaches are preferred for small scale zoning as they rely on landslide inventories and thematic maps that are easier to gather, while physically-based methods remain challenging as they demand detailed geomechanical and hydrological inputs that are time-consuming and costly to acquire.

This study presents a novel physically-based methodology for large-scale landslide susceptibility assessment that integrates the limit equilibrium method (Borselli, 2023) with spatialisation criteria and statistical classification approaches (Mevoli et al., 2026). The procedure enables the generation of spatially distributed safety factor and failure surface depth maps, and susceptibility zoning. The methodology was applied to a ~40 km² area in Southern Italy, testing multiple scenarios to evaluate the influence of different geomechanical and hydraulic configurations. Model performance was assessed through a classification algorithm, revealing scenarios with optimal discrimination capability. The physically-based results were compared with those obtained from statistical approach, demonstrating the promising applicability of the proposed physically-based methodology for assessing landslide susceptibility at large scales.

This reproducible and adaptable framework offers a physically-based alternative for assessing ladslide susceptibility at large scales, proividing direct applications for landslide susceptibility zoning in research and operational contexts.

 

References

Borselli L. (2023). "SSAP 5.2 - slope stability analysis program". Manuale di riferimento. Del codice ssap versione 5.2. Researchgate.  https://dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.19931.03361

Brabb, E.E., 1984. Innovative approaches to landslide hazard and risk mapping. In: Proceedings 4th International Symposium on Landslides, vol. 1, Toronto, pp. 307–324.

Guzzetti, F., Carrara, A., Cardinali, M., & Reichenbach, P. (1999). Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, Central Italy. Geomorphology31(1-4), 181-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-555X(99)00078-1

Mevoli, F. A., Borselli, L., Santangelo, M., Monte, N., de Lucia, D., Ugenti, A., & Rossi, M. (2026). Landslide susceptibility zoning through physically-based limit equilibrium method modelling. CATENA263, 109726. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109726

Reichenbach, P., Galli, M., Cardinali, M., Guzzetti, F., & Ardizzone, F. (2005). Geomorphological mapping to assess landslide risk: Concepts, methods and applications in the Umbria region of central Italy. Landslide hazard and risk, 429-468.

How to cite: Mevoli, F. A., Borselli, L., Santangelo, M., Monte, N., de Lucia, D., Ugenti, A., and Rossi, M.: A novel physically-based methodology for assessing landslide susceptibility at large scales, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20796, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20796, 2026.

EGU26-21106 | Orals | NH3.6

Extending Varnes' mass movement classification from pre-failure through post-failure 

Michel Jaboyedoff, Jacques Locat, Dieter Issler, Thierry Mulder, and Roger Urgeles

Traditional landslide classifications, such as those by Varnes (1978) and Cruden & Varnes (1996) are primarily focused on material type and movement style. The new scheme presented here, inspired by Leroueil et al. (1996), organizes mass movements into sequential stages: Pre-failure: Damage and deformation processes that weaken the slope; Failure: The point at which mechanical properties are altered enough to cause instability; Activation: The initial movement triggered by failure; Post-failure: Changes in propagation style or further movement; Quiescence: A period of inactivity, but with potential for remobilization; Remobilization/Reactivation: Renewed movement after quiescence by new types or following the previous movement styles; Stabilization: The final, stable state.

This approach allows for a more nuanced understanding of landslide evolution, supporting both forensic analysis and predictive modeling. The expanded classification explicitly incorporates ice, snow (Locat et al., 2024), and rock debris as distinct material types, recognizing their growing importance in mass movement processes: Ice: Behaves similarly to rock, with unique rheological properties (e.g., ice creep, fracture). Snow: Treated analogously to soil, with subtypes (dry, wet, slush) based on water content and mechanical behavior. Rock debris: Recognized for its distinct propagation and initiation mechanisms, differing from both classical rockslides and debris slides. It also considers the significance of ambient fluid (subaerial vs subaqueous landslides), which has important implications during the pre-failure, failure and post-failure stages as well as cascading events such as tsunamis.

Several new types and refinements are introduced: Damaging: Cohesive masses breaking away in an indefinable manner, not previously formalized; Detachment: A cohesive solid body that separates either through an indeterminate process or by means of tearing. Glide: Solid or cohesive masses slipping over gentle slopes, including phenomena like rock blocks sliding on grassland. Secondary effects: Air blasts, entrainment, and erosion are now explicitly included, acknowledging their significant impact during and after mass movement events.

The classification also clarifies and expands definitions for slides, flows including Flow ± Slide, water-supported and density currents, the latter being specific for subaqueous landslides, snow avalanches and pyroclastic flow, ensuring that a broader range of real-world scenarios are covered.

By structuring landslide classification around stages and integrating new materials and types, the proposed scheme: Facilitates scenario-based hazard and risk assessment; Supports both retrospective (forensic) and predictive analyses; Addresses the increasing complexity of mass movements in a changing climate, including cascading and sequential events.

References

Cruden, D.M., & Varnes, D.J. 1996. Landslide Types and Processes. In: Turner, A.K.S., R.L. (ed.) Landslides: Investigation and Mitigation, 36-75.

Leroueil, S., Locat, J., Vaunat, J., Picarelli, L., Lee, H. & Faure, R. 1996. Geotechnical characterization of slope movements. Proc., 7th International Symposium on Landslides, Trondheim, 53-74.

Locat J., Urgeles R., Isler D., Jaboyedoff M., Lee H., Leroueil S., Mulder T., 2024. The Varnes’ classification of mass movement types to include the subaqueous environment and snow/ice materials. In: Merrien V. and Nicot F. (Eds.): 14TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON LANDSLIDES, 8th - 12th July 2024, Chambéry, France. 189-192.

Varnes, D.J. 1978. Slope movement types and processes. Special report, 176, 11-33.

How to cite: Jaboyedoff, M., Locat, J., Issler, D., Mulder, T., and Urgeles, R.: Extending Varnes' mass movement classification from pre-failure through post-failure, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21106, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21106, 2026.

EGU26-21883 | ECS | Orals | NH3.6

Probabilistic framework for enhanced Landslide Susceptibility Mapping for Rainfall-Induced Landslides 

Tanvi Chauhan, Vikas Thakur, and Kala Venkata Uday

In India, landslides are one of the severe disasters with the highest fatality rate. Over the past few years, due to the heavy and prolonged rainfall events, there has been a surge in landslides in the Northwestern Himalayan region. Himachal Pradesh has faced an economic loss of $60 million alone in the 2021 monsoon season, with more than 200 casualties, followed by severe damage caused in the 2023 and 2025 monsoons. To mitigate the risk, landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) has emerged as a fundamental step that can help in formulating policies for high-risk areas. Statistical methods, deterministic approaches and remote sensing techniques have been extensively employed by various researchers to forecast landslides. This paper introduces a novel LSM framework which utilises both natural and anthropogenic conditioning factors to develop pixel-based site-specific susceptibility. The natural parameters include topography (elevation, slope, aspect), geomorphology, distance to streams, water table depth. Anthropogenic factors include Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) change, distance from roads. This study integrates the quantitative methods along with the qualitative expert knowledge to develop enhanced susceptibility maps for the 3 landslide events that occurred in the months of July and August 2023 in Mandi district. To overcome the simplicity and uncertainty of parameters probability of failure is utilized to reframe the susceptibility. The buffer zone for each landslide is categorized into 3 zones based on risk associated: low risk (green), medium risk (yellow), and high-risk (red) zone. Cross-validation is employed to evaluate the generalization capability of models across the landslide sites, to understand their inter-site transferability. 

 

Keywords: Rainfall induced landslides, Probability of failures, susceptibility mapping, uncertainty analysis

 

How to cite: Chauhan, T., Thakur, V., and Uday, K. V.: Probabilistic framework for enhanced Landslide Susceptibility Mapping for Rainfall-Induced Landslides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21883, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21883, 2026.

GM4 – Humans, life, and landscapes

The Brahmani River Basin (BRB), located within the Eastern Ghats and encompassing the Chhotanagpur Granite Gneissic Complex and Singhbhum Craton, represents a morphodynamically active system governed by structural, climatic, and anthropogenic interactions. Spanning approximately 40,000 km², the basin displays pronounced physiographic contrasts, transitioning from steep, dissected highlands in its upper reaches to low-gradient alluvial and deltaic plains along the coastal outlet. Quantitative morpho-tectonic analyses using stream-length gradient (SL), normalized channel steepness (Ksn), and χ-integral metrics revealed systematic variations that indicate active drainage rearrangement and ongoing surface uplift.

Higher χ values and steep Ksn indices within the Lawa, Sankh, South Koel, and Karo sub-basins signify tectonically rejuvenated terrains, whereas low values in the lower Brahmani and Tikera systems denote mature, equilibrium conditions. Notably, abrupt increases in Ksn and SL values immediately downstream of Rengali Dam correspond to both reservoir-induced base-level perturbations and reactivation of structural lineaments, including the Kerajang Shear Zone (550–500 Ma) and the Barakot Fault (950–700 Ma). Spatial χ-gradient reversals identify active drainage divide migration, toward the northwest in the Lawa Basin, northeast in the Sankh and Koel systems, and southeast within the South Karo Basin. The alignment of these divide shifts with major fault systems (e.g., NOBF, Akul Fault, Malaygiri Lineament) implies tectonic rejuvenation possibly linked to Himalayan compressional stresses. A total of 154 knickpoints were identified, 60% of which are structurally controlled, with 34% lithologically derived, underscoring the interplay between tectonic inheritance and rock erodibility. Basin-wide Ksn values (1.54–29.40 m⁰·⁹) confirm heterogeneity in uplift and incision dynamics, supporting relatively active tectono-geomorphic evolution across the region.

Hydromorphic assessment using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) indicated intensified anthropogenic erosion. The mean soil erosion rate between 2015 and 2025 was estimated at 12.6 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, with nearly 9% of the basin undergoing severe erosion (>40 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹), concentrated in structurally deformed uplands. Stable alluvial plains recorded significantly lower values (~3.2 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹). Under future climatic scenarios (RCP8.5), basin-wide soil erosion is projected to increase by approximately 16% between 2050 and 2070, driven by enhanced monsoonal erosivity and rapid cropland and built-up expansion.

Sediment connectivity analysis further revealed spatial variability in sediment transfer efficiency. The IC_channel index ranged from –6.97 to 3.03, highlighting steep, narrow valleys in the plateau margins as transport-active corridors. Conversely, low IC_outlet values (–8.59 to 4.25) along low-slope alluvial belts indicate sediment storage zones, reinforced by reservoir-induced trapping. A clear scale-dependency in the Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR) was observed, with smaller sub-watersheds (>0.40) showing higher transfer efficiency compared to larger basins. Among the 280 delineated sub-watersheds, SW46 recorded the maximum SDR (≈0.47), whereas SW261 represented the lowest (~0.23).

Collectively, these results establish that sediment transfer within the Brahmani Basin is dominantly controlled by tectonic reactivation, topography, and anthropogenic pressures. Steep, structurally active uplands act as primary sediment sources, while downstream plains function as depositional sinks regulated by geomorphic and human interventions, providing a comprehensive understanding of erosion–connectivity coupling under evolving climatic and structural regimes.

How to cite: Roy, A., Pravin, P. P., and Sen, A.: Tectonic, Litho-Structural, and Anthropogenic Controls on River Profile Characteristics in the Brahmani River Basin, Eastern India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-395, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-395, 2026.

Geodiversity and geoheritage face increasing pressures from both natural and anthropogenic threats, including inadequate site management, the cumulative effects of infrastructure development, and natural erosion. Geotourism, if not strategically managed, may pose significant threats to geoheritage. However, when properly planned, it plays a crucial role in fostering local sustainable development, increasing the visibility of geoheritage, and promoting geoconservation awareness.

In this context, we present a methodology designed to support the development of strategies for the sustainable management of geosites as tourism resource, ensuring their protection while enhancing their scientific and cultural value. The methodology consists of three main phases and is particularly suitable for territories aiming to strengthen their geotourism strategies or valorize their geoheritage, including geoparks, aspiring geoparks, Key Geoheritage Areas (KGA), and protected areas.

The first phase includes a qualitative assessment of Touristic Potential (TP), aimed at identifying geosites with the greatest potential to be used as tourism destinations of an area. The TP assessment is based on four qualitative criteria: scenery, observation conditions, interpretative potential, and accessibility. The second phase focuses on the identification and evaluation of threats to geoheritage at the geopark scale through a risk assessment matrix, which supports the prioritization of management actions. Finally, the third phase introduces a user-friendly Degradation Risk (DR) assessment tool, developed considering existing methodologies and structured around four core components: sensitivity (SS; 3 criteria), visitor pressure (VP; 5 criteria), protection measures (PM; 3 criteria), and magnitude of loss (ML; 1 criterion). Each criterion is evaluated using a point-based system, and the total DR score is calculated using the formula:

DR = (SS + VP + PM) × ML.

This methodology was tested in the Beigua UNESCO Global Geopark (NW Italy), an area characterized by high geodiversity and contrasting patterns of tourist pressure between the coastal watershed and inland sectors. The application of this methodology first enabled the identification of geosites with high touristic potential; subsequently, a targeted assessment was carried out on the ten most frequently visited geosites to evaluate the method under conditions of higher visitor pressure. The results highlighted the main threats affecting the geopark’s geoheritage as well as the varying degrees of degradation risk among geosites. Moreover, the interpretation of results allowed the identification of the components that mostly contribute to the total DR and the most appropriate management strategies for each site, supporting the development of a sustainable geotourism model tailored to local needs. This integrative method can serve as a practical and flexible tool, ensuring that geotourism becomes a driver for territorial development and geological literacy rather than a threat to geoheritage.

How to cite: Gianoglio, F. and Marescotti, P.: Geotourism between opportunity and threat: a new methodology for geosites assessessment and sustainable management strategies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-471, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-471, 2026.

EGU26-604 | Orals | GM4.1

Geoheritage Values and Risk Assessment of Medova Cave in Urban Lviv (Ukraine) 

Ihor Bubniak, Andrii Bubniak, Anatolii Vivat, and Taras Marko

Urban subterranean geosites are among the most fragile elements of geoheritage because limited underground space is highly sensitive to human-induced impacts. Medova Cave, situated within the city limits of Lviv (Western Ukraine), is a small multi-chamber karst cavity developed in Badenian Ratin limestones. For decades, it has been used for student training and casual public visits. Although the site holds a local protection status, ongoing visible deterioration indicates the absence of effective management. The main degrading factors include unregulated access, surface and subsurface vandalism, littering, occasional shelter use, and microclimatic disturbance linked to proximity to urban infrastructure.

This study presents a combined assessment of the geoheritage value and the current risk level of Medova Cave, focusing on the challenges of managing geodiversity within a large urban environment. The geoheritage appraisal follows the criteria proposed by Brilha (2015), including: • scientific value — a representative example of shallow karstification on the southwestern border of the East European Platform;
educational value — long-term use as a natural field classroom in a major academic center; • cultural and historical relevance — documented public visitation since the pre-WWII period;
• representativeness — one of the very few urban caves in Western Ukraine;
• integrity — moderate and declining, but still allowing meaningful interpretation.

Risk was evaluated via a semi-quantitative matrix adapted from recent geomorphosite vulnerability research (e.g., Kubalíková, 2024). Intensity and likelihood were rated on a five-point scale for seven hazard groups: natural instability, mechanical damage, informal shelter use, unregulated visitation, microclimatic alterations, governance deficiencies, and surrounding urban pressures. The highest risk score is linked to governance deficiencies (R = 25), indicating that degradation results from the lack of management rather than isolated incidents. The next-highest risks are mechanical damage (R = 16) and unregulated visitation (R = 15). Natural and chemical impacts currently remain secondary but tend to increase as uncontrolled access persists.

The results demonstrate that Medova Cave is undergoing active, cumulative degradation, a pattern commonly observed at protected sites where no practical conservation measures are implemented. Despite this, the cave still preserves a level of scientific readability and educational usability, meaning that protective action can still reverse negative dynamics. Simple low-intervention measures — such as controlled entry, marked routes, informational signage, regular inspections, and partial buffering of surface impacts — could slow degradation while maintaining educational use.

Overall, the Medova Cave case underscores the importance of considering management effectiveness as a primary driver of risk in urban geoheritage. In underground environments within cities, degradation rarely stems from a single event; instead, it is the outcome of prolonged permissive access and absence of responsibility for site condition. Addressing this systemic factor is essential for conserving fragile subterranean geodiversity in expanding urban areas.

How to cite: Bubniak, I., Bubniak, A., Vivat, A., and Marko, T.: Geoheritage Values and Risk Assessment of Medova Cave in Urban Lviv (Ukraine), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-604, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-604, 2026.

The burgeoning demand for construction materials has led to marked increase in riverbed sand mining in eastern India, particularly through mechanized means. Such mining occurs within the river channel (via dredging) and especially over the exposed sand bars during the low-flow period. This has created a new class of anthropogeomorphic landforms that have seldom been documented before. Such ‘montanogenic’ features were mapped along several rivers of the region from historical and present-day Google Earth images during the period 2016–2024 and classified as sand hollows, sand pools, sand tracks/roads and sand mounds. The identified landforms primarily vary based on the river width, and history and regularity of sand mining in the examined river reaches. Their spatial distribution, hotspots of occurrence, patterns and association were also ascertained. Such multi-temporal analysis highlights the marked growth of sand pools due to continual extraction and the prevalence of more extensive mining regimes in recent times. For example, along the Subarnarekha River, sand pools increased in number by almost five times between 2020 to 2022, while their total areal coverage rose from 7650 m2 to 22477 m2, almost tripling in extent. The seasonal growth of sand roads reveals the progress of the mining season, which typically occurs from late-October to early-June, encompassing the post-monsoon to summer period. High-resolution DEMs from Cartosat-1 stereo images and repeat UAV surveys were used to discern volumetric changes in mined river reaches using the DEM-of-Difference (DoD) approach and assess sediment replenishment and extraction. Generation of Relative Elevation Models (REMs) further revealed the channel morphological alterations induced by mining, while hydraulic simulations (HEC-RAS 1-D) highlighted the alterations in instream flow patterns and velocities within mining sites, in comparison to that in unaffected river reaches. The cumulative effect of such riverbed mining activity is to markedly alter the channel planform morphology. Parameters like Degraded to Active Channel Ratio (DACR), Channel Belt Width (CBW), and Erosion-Deposition Index (E-D Index) were enumerated reach-wise for the examined rivers using high-resolution Resourcesat series LISS-IV MX images to highlight the above channel changes, along with measurement of river centerline and bankline shifts induced by mining. Such channel morphological alterations also change the river’s ecological character, particularly during the peak sand mining period in January–February, when mined river stretches reported high total suspended sediment (TSS) values ranging from 150-350 mg/L, notably in excess of specified standards by India’s Central Pollution Control Board. The extensively mined Damodar River was the most affected in this regard. In contrast, the unaffected reaches of these rivers reported far lower TSS values around 50 mg/L. Sand pools had even higher turbidity levels, regularly reporting TSS values higher than 500 mg/L, denoting hostile conditions for fishes and macroinvertebrate species, and their drying out and disconnection from the river results in the death of trapped fishes. Continued sand mining also exposes coarser substrates on the riverbed, due to removal of finer sand deposits, thereby potentially altering instream habitat conditions. Repeated monitoring of such riverbed mining is thus essential for framing reach restoration guidelines.

How to cite: Patel, P. P., Gupta, S., Ghosh, T., Sarkar, J., and Bhowmick, P.: Gutting the innards: how riverbed sand mining is altering channel morphology, changing ecological conditions and creating new anthropogeomorphic landforms along eastern India’s rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-832, 2026.

Abstract: Heterogeneity of ground substrates is a key controlling factor for vegetation differentiation in mountainous regions. However, the cascading regulatory mechanism involving lithological differences, substrate structure, water retention, and vegetation response remains unclear. This study focuses on three typical ground substrate areas in the Yanshan Mountains of northern China—granite, gneiss, and dolomite regions—located within the ecological barrier zone of the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. By integrating multi‑source data from field trenching, shallow well excavation, in‑situ electrical detection, vegetation quadrat surveys, and remote sensing inversion, the regulatory mechanism of lithological differences on vegetation coverage was revealed. The results indicate that: (1) The development of bedrock fractures and the appropriate grain size composition of the substrate directly affect the water‑holding capacity of the ground substrate, influencing root distribution and plant water‑use strategies, thereby controlling the spatial distribution characteristics of vegetation. (2) Bedrock fracture density shows a significant positive correlation with vegetation coverage (r2= 0.79), with the order being granite > gneiss > dolomite. Ground substrate moisture content is positively correlated with the proportion of silt‑clay particles (<0.063 mm) (r=0.82) and negatively correlated with the proportion of sand particles (≥0.063 mm) (r=−0.76). Lithological differences result in a water‑holding capacity order of dolomite > gneiss > granite. (3) The thickness of the bedrock weathering layer (granite > gneiss > dolomite) and fracture density jointly control vegetation root distribution, providing a scientific basis for differentiated vegetation restoration strategies based on lithological characteristics in mountainous regions of northern China.

Keywords: lithological differences; vegetation type; vegetation coverage; constraining mechanism; Yanshan Mountain

Funding: This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. U2344227)

How to cite: Yin, Z. and Sun, Z.: Constraining Mechanism of Lithological Differences in Ground Substrates on Vegetation Coverage in the Yanshan Mountain of Northern China, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2370, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2370, 2026.

EGU26-3351 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Can We Save The Planet Without Saving The Planet? Geodiversity challenges for a sustainable future 

Lucie Kubalíková, Jack J. Matthews, Ľubomír Štrba, and Helena Tukiainen

The world is facing many challenges, most of them associated with nature. And yet, much of the focus of nature within these challenges has been on biodiversity. In contrast, geodiversity remains underutilised by policymakers and still relatively unknown to the general public. Moreover, it is being exposed to various risk and threats, e.g., urban development, changes of land-use, irresponsible and intensive quarrying or mining, overexploitation of geodiversity sites by visitors, social pressure regarding the use of geodiversity, climatic changes or emphasizing the protection and management of living nature at the expense of geodiversity. Recognising the importance of geodiversity in many of the questions facing society, we identify four Geodiversity Challenges that require attention:

  • Recognition: Geodiversity needs to become a publicly recognised concept, on a par with biodiversity. If successful, the public would increasingly identify geodiversity and its components as important parts of nature.
  • Understanding: Geodiversity should be represented in school curricula, and recognized and effectively interpreted at heritage sites, protected areas and tourist trails. This will also increase the number of young people attracted to choose geoscience for their career and higher education as well as effectively contribute to the awareness of geodiversity among the general public.
  • Conservation: Similarly to biodiversity sites, sites containing significant geodiversity features need protection and management. Besides this, every geoconservation effort should be accompanied by consideration of possible risks and threats and effective proposals for the future management. This requires the inclusion of geodiversity in policy decision making, e.g., via monitoring Essential Geodiversity Variables or developing the concept of geosystem services and disservices. If effective, this may contribute to a more effective engagement and action of policymakers, and to the respect, acceptation and support of geoconservation by general public.
  • Utilisation: Geological resources are essential to our way of life, especially as technology becomes more dominant as society works towards a green economy. These resources need to be utilised in a sustainable way. Essential minerals for the green economy should be extracted and processed in a sustainable and ethical manner in accordance with SDGs.

Science has increasingly become an interdisciplinary enterprise, especially as we seek to confront more difficult challenges. We should also recognise that the aspects of our planet are interconnected, and that solutions to the threats nature faces will not be as strong as we wish if geodiversity is forgotten by scientists and policymakers, and not acknowledged by the general public. The time has come for geodiversity to take its place alongside biodiversity as a recognised and useful part of nature.

References:

Matthews, J., Kubalíková, L., Štrba, L., & Tukiainen, H. (2024). Geodiversity challenges for a sustainable future. Nature Geosciences, 17, 948. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01551-w

Justice, S., Crofts, R., Gordon. J.E., & Gray, M. (2025). The meaning of Nature: Clarification for strengthened protection and management. IUCN WCPA Issues Paper Series No. 5, Gland, Switzerland: IUCN. Available at: https://iucn.org/sites/default/files/2025-01/meaning-of-nature_pdf-final.pdf

 

This work was supported by the Czech Academy of Sciences under the project Strategy AV 21 - Dynamic Planet Earth and by the Slovak Research and Development Agency under the project no. APVV-24-0554.

How to cite: Kubalíková, L., Matthews, J. J., Štrba, Ľ., and Tukiainen, H.: Can We Save The Planet Without Saving The Planet? Geodiversity challenges for a sustainable future, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3351, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3351, 2026.

EGU26-3655 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Using Landscape Evolution Models to create new catchments 

Greg Hancock, Jose Martin-Duque, and Tom Coulthard

Geomorphology provides the potential to design new landforms based on understandings of hydrology and sediment transport. An example of this need are post mining landscapes where large areas (hundreds of hectares) are disturbed. Post-mining landscapes require reconstruction to support an agreed landuse. The landscape also requires integration with underlying materials and surrounding unmined or undisturbed catchments with  consideration of the post-mining land use. At many sites, pre-mine landscapes with hillslope curvature are replaced with linear hillslopes. These landscapes are easy to construct and result in a surface which can be easily traversed by agricultural machinery, while the benches often rely on drainage control structures to manage runoff and resultant erosion. An alternative to linear hillslopes is to employ a catchment focus for post-mining landscape shape using an understanding of geomorphology. Here, a new method for catchment design is presented   where a computer-based Landscape Evolution Model (LEM) is used to design the post-mining landscape. The LEM employs site and material specific hydrology and erosion parameters which produce a landscape which potentially represents the geomorphological evolution of the catchment and also has a more natural appearance. Results demonstrate that a computer generated landscape produces sediment output within that of target erosion rates with low gully depths.

How to cite: Hancock, G., Martin-Duque, J., and Coulthard, T.: Using Landscape Evolution Models to create new catchments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3655, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3655, 2026.

EGU26-3890 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Geosite monitoring: a framework for practical application 

Thais Siqueira, Paulo Pereira, and Juana Vegas

The conservation of geosites is a central aspect of geoconservation, as they represent 
critical and unique records of Earth’s history, past biodiversity and processes. Effective 
conservation requires systematic management and continuous monitoring to mitigate 
both natural and human-induced threats. Despite the increasing recognition of geological 
heritage, standardized approaches for evaluating and maintaining the conservation 
status of geosites remain limited. This study proposes a structured framework for 
monitoring and managing geosites that is adaptable across diverse contexts. The 
methodology integrates a multi-phase process, beginning with identification of potential 
threats, and selection of relevant indicators that reflect the quality and conservation 
status of each site. Subsequent stages include defining measurable parameters, 
establishing minimum acceptable standards, and implementing monitoring techniques 
that capture temporal changes and degradation patterns. Both direct and indirect 
methods are considered to detect impacts arising from natural processes and 
anthropogenic activities. We also proposed the possible incorporation of interpretive and 
promotional strategies to support public awareness and the sustainable use of geological 
resources. Preliminary application of this framework allows for systematic evaluation of 
site conditions and enhances the capacity of managers to make evidence-based 
decisions. By linking indicators to conservation priorities, the framework enables the 
identification of critical areas requiring intervention, facilitates the establishment of short-
, medium-, and long-term management goals, and supports adaptive strategies that 
respond to evolving threats. Additionally, the integration of ecosystem service 
considerations and educational tools strengthens the societal relevance of 
geoconservation initiatives. The expected outcomes include improved understanding of 
the dynamics affecting geosites, enhanced capacity to detect degradation early, and a 
standardized approach that promotes consistent monitoring across sites. Ultimately, this 
model provides a robust and flexible tool for advancing geoconservation strategies, 
fostering sustainable management, and safeguarding geological heritage for future
generations. By formalizing monitoring procedures and linking them to conservation 
objectives, the study contributes to the establishment of clear cause–effect relationships, 
effective communication of geosite value, and the long-term resilience of geological 
features within protected areas.
This project was funded by Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT)
reference number SFRH/BD/146016/2019

How to cite: Siqueira, T., Pereira, P., and Vegas, J.: Geosite monitoring: a framework for practical application, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3890, 2026.

EGU26-5449 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Spatiotemporal Gradients of Environmental Forcing across the Eastern Alps: Quantifying Drivers of Landscape and Ecosystem Dynamics 

Henri Wilks-Stebbings, Jörg Robl, Wolfgang Meier, Andreas Tribsch, Wolfgang Trutschnig, and Stefan Hergarten

Climatic variables as well as geological and biotic factors in the Alps have been recorded for decades by various sensors with increasing spatial, spectral and temporal resolution. A changing climate has clearly triggered morphological (hillslope and river dynamics) and biotic (vegetation cover and production) responses. However, understanding these dynamics well enough to predict future changes in coupled bio-geo-systems such as pore fluid pressure, landsliding, and vegetation, remains challenging. Changes in the system dynamics itself cannot be directly observed in remote sensing time series but have to be inferred from climate variables in combination with local factors (e.g. topographic metrics, lithology, vegetation cover).

We employ Google Earth Engine (GEE) and its wealth of freely available topographic, climate, and satellite datasets to compute spatiotemporal gradients of biotic and abiotic factors across the Eastern Alps. Using GEE's Python interface and the novel high-performance computing facility at University of Salzburg, we implemented a swath profile modelling framework that applies a curvilinear approach with signed distance metrics to capture variability across complex mountainous terrain. While previously only applied at local or regional scales, this study provides the first orogen-scale, swath-profile based assessment of spatial and temporal gradients across the Eastern Alps.

Our analysis quantifies past, present, and the projected changes in precipitation, temperature, and vegetation patterns, identifying regions of high landscape sensitivity. These results improve our understanding of climate-driven variability in the European Alps and establish a solid basis for future orogen-scale analyses of spatiotemporal gradients.

 

How to cite: Wilks-Stebbings, H., Robl, J., Meier, W., Tribsch, A., Trutschnig, W., and Hergarten, S.: Spatiotemporal Gradients of Environmental Forcing across the Eastern Alps: Quantifying Drivers of Landscape and Ecosystem Dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5449, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5449, 2026.

EGU26-5549 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Can vegetation root simulation in the laboratory lead to better understanding of flow-vegetation interactions? 

Jyotirmoy Barman and Marwan Hassan

Study of flow-vegetation interactions in river channels is necessary to comprehend its importance in sediment transport and morphological changes. Numerous laboratory experiments, numerical modelling, and field data have been collected and analyzed by researchers throughout decades. Previous laboratory experiments simulating vegetation majorly studied the impacts from vegetation shoot width and density. However, studies showed that along with the shape and size of vegetation, root-soil binding capacity also plays an important role in the morphological changes in the channel. To test this theory, we conducted experiments using a flume of 15 m in length and 1.8 m in width at the University of British Columbia. The main channel and floodplain width considered is 60 cm each. Two sets of experiments with and without vegetation roots in the floodplains were conducted. 3D printer was used to model the floodplain vegetation (see Figure). In the case of vegetation with roots, we considered it as a taproot system with a spiral structure attached to the simple root-shoot system as seen in the figure. Preliminary tests showed vegetation with roots was able to sustain the force of flow in different discharges in a better way without getting uprooted compared to vegetation without roots. Furthermore, there is also a difference in the morphology of the channels between the with and without roots experiments. The initial study showed that incorporating vegetation roots in the laboratory provides a more effective means of understanding flow-vegetation interactions and channel evolution. Furthermore, this study will also be helpful for the advancement of nature-based solutions like soil bioengineering techniques.

                           Simple root-shoot system                                                                               Taproot-shoot system

       

How to cite: Barman, J. and Hassan, M.: Can vegetation root simulation in the laboratory lead to better understanding of flow-vegetation interactions?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5549, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5549, 2026.

EGU26-5628 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

The biogeomorphology of cold rivers: exploring the effects of ice dynamics from plants traits to landscapes 

Matthieu Prugne, Thomas Buffin-Bélanger, Maxime Boivin, and Dov Corenblit

Significant progress has been made in the field of fluvial biogeomorphology in the last two decades regarding how vegetation and fluvial landforms co-adjust to shape rivers within different rivers and disturbance regimes. However, the understanding of biogeomorphological behaviors that emerged is largely built on studies made in temperate regions with a focus on flood regime. While over 20% of the worldwide continental surface lay in cold climate, rivers in these regions have been largely underrepresented in biogeomorphology and are worth exploring considering the presence of fluvial ice dynamics. These rivers are subjected to an array of ice forms and processes that are known to affect flow structure, sediment dynamics, fluvial landforms and vegetation through ice-related flood and scour disturbances. Combining previous research results and literature reviews, this presentation aims to integrate fluvial ice dynamics into existing biogeomorphological concepts to generate new hypotheses about river behavior in cold climate. We first present and describe known ice forms and processes and their effects on riverscapes that may have significant implications for river-vegetation co-adjustment mechanisms. Then, we discuss how fluvial ice dynamics may modulate the expression and structure of biogeomorphological interactions. Based on study cases, we emphasize from evidence-based interpretation that ice dynamics do have a significant role to play in the trajectories and evolution of cold rivers. We use core frameworks from the field of biogeomorphology to trace these modulations across scales, from individual plant traits to landscape spatial organization. Reflections and hypotheses that are presented through out this discussion reveal the wide gradient of control ice dynamics can exert on different fluvial contexts and highlight key research gaps and avenues essential to increase our understanding. It is proposed that efforts must be put into long-term monitoring, comparative studies and numerical modeling to test different hypothesis and frame the place of ice dynamics within biogeomorphological frameworks. Not only these suggestions are of particular interest for theoretical advancements in understanding cold rivers behavior, but they would also provide invaluable insights for better prediction and management in a context of climate change.

How to cite: Prugne, M., Buffin-Bélanger, T., Boivin, M., and Corenblit, D.: The biogeomorphology of cold rivers: exploring the effects of ice dynamics from plants traits to landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5628, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5628, 2026.

Rivers are highly dynamic environments shaped by strong interactions between riparian vegetation and geomorphic processes, which are influenced by both climatic drivers and human activities. Understanding the functioning of river–floodplain systems is essential for river management, including flood protection and conservation of riparian zones. Satellite imagery provides an effective tool for analysing river and floodplain dynamics, as it offers high temporal resolution and spatial resolutions adequate for medium to large river systems.

The Drava River is one of the best-preserved large lowland rivers in the wider Pannonian region, largely due to its relatively wide riparian corridor. However, the river has experienced substantial human impacts, including channel straightening and meander cut-offs since the 19th century, as well as the construction of three hydropower plants and their associated reservoirs in the Croatian reaches during the 1970s and 1980s. These interventions have led to reduced sediment load, resulting in channel incision and narrowing. Although the Drava River is now protected as a natural area, detailed studies of vegetation–morphology interactions remain scarce. Existing research is largely based on spatially limited field surveys or historical maps with low temporal resolution.

In this study, we employ Landsat satellite data to investigate long-term vegetation and morphological dynamics within the Drava River channel and floodplain, using cloud-based data processing and statistical modelling. The objectives are to analyse changes in channel planform and vegetation coverage, and to examine phenological patterns of floodplain vegetation in relation to groundwater levels and climatic variables. We hypothesize that altered sediment and hydrological regimes following dam construction promote channel narrowing and vegetation expansion within the channel and floodplain. Additionally, we assess how these changes, together with climate variability, affect floodplain forest phenology along a downstream gradient from hydropower dams. Preliminary results derived from classifications using vegetation and water indices indicate a slight but statistically significant increase in vegetation cover. This trend is consistent with findings from other European rivers and is likely linked to reduced sediment flux and prolonged dry climatic periods. The study aims to provide insights into biogeomorphic processes relevant for river management and restoration of the Drava River floodplain.

This work was supported by the Croatian Science Foundation for the ALCAR project: “Assessment of the Long-term Climatic and Anthropogenic Effects on the Spatio-temporal Vegetated Land Surface Dynamics in Croatia using Earth Observation Data” (Grant No. HRZZ IP-2022-10- 5711).

 

How to cite: Pavlek, K., Gašparović, M., and Radić, F.: Floodplain vegetation and channel dynamics of a dam-impacted large lowland river: Satellite-based study of the Drava River, Croatia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6711, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6711, 2026.

Cold scree slopes are fascinating geomorphological features governed by a complex reversible internal ventilation system known as the chimney effect, which leads to a pedoclimate that is wetter and around 10 to 15°C colder than surrounding environments. They typically occur in montane and subalpine belts in the Alps (900-2,000 m a.s.l.) and are found across most temperate mountains worldwide. The constantly overcooled scree area harbours small azonal environments (a few hectares at most) with sparse dwarf trees, surrounded by the usual fir, beech or spruce forests. These conditions engender an open understorey, thereby fostering the establishment of boreo-arctic communities dominated by ericaceous shrubs, terricolous lichens, and bryophytes. The combination of the high primary productivity of bryophytes, which is due to the availability of light and wetness, and the cold pedoclimate, which inhibits the activity of soil fauna, results in atypical soils with remarkable accumulations of raw organic matter. Overall, the isolation provided by the thick layer of soil organic matter and bryophytes strengthens the ventilation system.

Thanks to their stable cold micro-pedoclimate, these unique ecosystems are considered as microrefugia: their boreo-arctic islands harbour isolated cold-adapted species surrounded by mountain forests since the end of the Pleistocene. Yet the cold scree slopes that we know today are under threat from climate change, as the chimney effect requires sufficiently cold winters in order to function. However, new ones are likely to occur at higher altitudes in the future, where similar ventilation systems are appearing on today's unvegetated scree slopes in the alpine belt. Identifying where such geomorphological processes could sustain future microrefugia is therefore critical for the conservation of cold-adapted species in warming temperate mountains.

How to cite: Meynier, S.: How geomorphology shapes unique alpine microrefugia: Plants and soils in cold scree slopes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6879, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6879, 2026.

EGU26-7094 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Spatiotemporal dynamics of river channel patterns during the last 400 years in Central Germany 

Johannes Schmidt, Sophie Lindemann, Felicitas Geißler, Michael Hein, Niels Lohse, Julia Schmidt-Funke, and Matthias Hardt

The Elster-Pleiße floodplain south of Leipzig has undergone significant hydromorphological changes over the past few centuries, influenced by both natural processes and anthropogenic interventions (e.g. characterized by the repurposing of former river courses into mill races and other engineered water-management channels). This study employs selected mapping of fluvial-geomorphological features based on a LiDAR DTM (Light Detection and Ranging Digital Terrain Model; 1 x 1 m resolution) and old maps analyses to reconstruct past river dynamics and identify shifts in channel morphology. Geomorphological features, such as oxbows, ridge-and-swale point bar structures, crevasse splays and levees reveal an earlier, more dynamic floodplain characterized by meandering and anabranching channels, which transitioned into a system of stabilized, largely immobile watercourses. Comparative analyses of old maps spanning from the 16th to the 20th century indicate a gradual reduction in river sinuosity and lateral migration, coinciding with increasing human modifications such as mill races, timber rafting canals, and flood protection measures. Key transformations include the straightening of channels, floodplain aggradation, and the impact of open-cast lignite mining in recent centuries. The study highlights the complex interplay of sedimentary processes and anthropogenic activities in shaping the floodplain's evolution. This combined approach allows for a detailed examination of the relative chronology of changes and helps identify topographic legacies left by dynamic floodplain systems, enhancing our understanding of the evolution of these landscapes. Understanding these long-term dynamics provides crucial insights for contemporary river restoration and flood management strategies.

How to cite: Schmidt, J., Lindemann, S., Geißler, F., Hein, M., Lohse, N., Schmidt-Funke, J., and Hardt, M.: Spatiotemporal dynamics of river channel patterns during the last 400 years in Central Germany, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7094, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7094, 2026.

EGU26-7587 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Remote sensing-based classification of floodplain vegetation along the Naryn River, Kyrgyzstan 

Gregory Egger, Isabell Becker, Christian Damm, Magdalena Lauermann, and Florian Betz

The remote sensing model ‘Google4Habitat’ (Egger et al. 2024) enables large-scale vegetation classification based on freely available satellite imagery in combination with ground truth data. In a current project, it was further developed to predict hydrogeomorphology-driven vegetation succession phases at the Naryn River in Kyrgyzstan. This river has high hydrologic and morphologic dynamics over its entire length of 600 km (Betz et al. 2023). Additionally, drought stress due to the continental climate of Central Asia causes specific succession pathways (Lauermann et al. 2024). This makes the Naryn an interesting case study for demonstrating the capabilities of the ‘Google4Habitat’ model for analyzing the spatial pattern of vegetation communities and their biogeomorphic implications.

The ‘Google4Habitat’ model runs on the Google Earth Engine platform. By using globally available satellite data together with recorded reference points for each classified habitat type, it performs a spatial and temporal analysis for each habitat. Specifically, Sentinel-2 scenes from one year are selected and monthly spectral values and vegetation indices are calculated. Orthophotos are integrated and texture parameters are added. Pixel values at training points are used to create the classification model (358 collected in the field, supplemented by 987 points from aerial image interpretation), which is then validated, evaluated, and used to create the classification map of the study area. To obtain precisely delineated habitat maps, a segmentation of habitat structures is carried out based on a high resolution orthophoto. Then, the classification map is intersected with the segments and final habitat types are assigned using zonal statistics. The habitat map is intersected with the three succession series delineated on the orthophoto and area balances are created.

On the Naryn River, nine different habitat types were obtained using this supervised classification approach. The freshly to moderately dry sites of the sedimentation series are characterized by pioneer vegetation located within the active channel, Salix-Myricaria shrub, and softwood riparian forests of varying ages with Populus talassica, as well as extensive Hippophae shrubs. The shallow sites of the aggradation series are, however, much more sparsely vegetated than the sedimentation series and are characterized by the presence of Tamarix ramosissima. Both series end with an Artemisia steppe. Finally, the siltation series is characteristic of the former side arms that are in the process of silting up and are particularly dominated by Typha minima and Phragmites australis.

References

Betz, F., Lauermann, M., & Egger, G. (2023). Biogeomorphology from space: Analyzing the dynamic interactions between hydromorphology and vegetation along the Naryn River in Kyrgyzstan based on dense satellite time series. Remote Sensing of Environment, 299, 113890.

Egger, G., Preinstorfer, S., Kollmann, M., Becker, I., Izquierdo-Verdiguier, E. & Paul, P. (2024). Google4Habitat - a novel method for remote sensing-based habitat classification using Google Earth Engine. Carinthia II, 3/1, 8–28.

Lauermann, M., Heckmann, T., Poeppl, R., Egger, G., Eichel, J. & Betz, F. (2024). How does Hydrological Connectivity Influence Fluvial Biogeomorphic Succession in Semiarid Regions? A Case Study from the Naryn River in Kyrgyzstan, Central Asia. AGU Fall Meeting 2024, Poster No. 1302, EP43C-1302.

How to cite: Egger, G., Becker, I., Damm, C., Lauermann, M., and Betz, F.: Remote sensing-based classification of floodplain vegetation along the Naryn River, Kyrgyzstan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7587, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7587, 2026.

EGU26-8079 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Risk assessment of Miocene – Pliocene geoheritage in SE Spain: the Reef Project 

Carmen Corbalán Andreu, Ignacio Fierro Bandera, José Brilha, and Ainara Aberasturi Rodríguez

This study presents the selection and assessment of 13 geological sites in the municipalities of Elche and Alicante (Valencian Community, SE Spain), representative of sedimentary and palaeoenvironmental processes within the Bajo Segura basin linked to the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC). This assessment was made using the FOPALI (Fossils and Heritage of Alicante) method, which integrates scientific value, potential use and deterioration risk criteria, thus allowing for an objective and comparative evaluation of the vulnerability and risk factors affecting each site.

The results reveal that the outcrops possess high scientific significance due to the remarkable preservation of fossils and key stratigraphic records, as well as strong potential for educational programmes, public outreach, and geotourism. However, these sites are exposed to both natural and anthropogenic threats, including erosion processes, urban expansion, infrastructural development, insufficient legal protection, and incompatible land use. This compromises their integrity and long-term preservation and highlights the urgent need for proactive conservation strategies.

Overall, this study emphasizes the significance and vulnerability of the MSC-related geological heritage, which is included within a legally recognized context of international relevance (Act 42/2007, December 13, on Natural Heritage and Biodiversity). Beyond scientific analysis, the project aims to foster a sense of territorial identity rooted in the shared geological history of Elche and Alicante. By identifying the main risk factors, it provides a foundation for the development of strategies and practical approaches towards its conservation and sustainable use, contributing to both scientific knowledge and the education and awareness of the wider public.

How to cite: Corbalán Andreu, C., Fierro Bandera, I., Brilha, J., and Aberasturi Rodríguez, A.: Risk assessment of Miocene – Pliocene geoheritage in SE Spain: the Reef Project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8079, 2026.

Geodiversity and, geoheritage deliver services and benefits for people and nature through the influence of geology, geomorphology soils, hydrology and biogeochemical processes on landscape, habitats and species, ecosystem functioning, economic activities, historical and cultural heritage and people’s health and well-being. However, direct and indirect impacts of human activities present huge challenges both globally and locally for geoconservation in protected and conserved areas. Regardless of how one defines the Anthropocene, human activities have progressively transformed the planet, culminating in the Great Acceleration from the 1950s onwards. Threats arise from urban and infrastructure development, mining and mineral extraction, land restoration, changes in land use, river and coastal management, recreation and tourism. Moreover, these are compounded by the impacts of climate change and sea-level rise. Inventories and assessments of geoheritage sites important for research, education and geotourism have been a prominent focus of geoconservation work, but there has been less emphasis on site management aspects of geoconservation in the face of  these threats, particularly the opportunities for proactive management. Protected and conserved areas have a vital part to play in geoconservation but in order to prioritise and target resources effectively, more strategic approaches are required, moving forward from reactive management to planning and preparing for changes and impacts. Based on common standards and definitions, adapted as necessary for local circumstances, there is a need for systematic risk and vulnerability assessments, development of adaptation responses, monitoring and management planning based on understanding geomorphological processes and landscape evolution as part of a more integrated approach to nature conservation that recognises the links between geodiversity and biodiversity. This is particularly timely in the context of the new IUCN programme on Key Geoheritage Areas and their potential links with Key Biodiversity Areas. A management framework for climate change risk assessment and adaptation planning for geoheritage sites is used to illustrate such an approach.

How to cite: Gordon, J. E. and Wignall, R. M. L.: Framing geoheritage management responses to threats in the Anthropocene: moving from reactive management to prioritising risk-based planning , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8200, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8200, 2026.

EGU26-8439 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Dust Control Management Methods Achieve Air Quality Objectives, Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area, Oceano CA 

John Gillies, Eden Furtak-Cole, Juan Henao, and John Mejia

The Oceano Dunes in San Luis Obispo County, California, is a known source of fugitive dust emissions.  Under conditions of elevated wind speed exceedances of the US Federal standard (150 μg m−3) and the State of California standard (50 μg m−3) for 24-hour time-integrated concentrations of particulate matter ≤10 μm aerodynamic diameter (PM10) have been observed downwind of the dunes.  Part of the dune system lies within the Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area (ODSVRA) and the off-highway recreational activity on the dune areas is known to augment dust emission potential.  A Stipulated Order of Abatement (SOA) requires the California Department of Parks and Recreation to reduce the PM10 attributable to the ODSVRA lowering the potential health risk for people living downwind.  As amended in 2022, the SOA requires that by the end of 2028, PM10 emissions from the ODSVRA be reduced to those modeled to approximate the conditions that existed in 1939.  This is prior to high levels of off-highway vehicle (OHV) activity.  The SOA requires that the annual modeling evaluation show that the total emissions (tonnes day-1) of the current year be less than the total emissions from the 1939 scenario for the same meteorological conditions. As of July 1, 2024, Parks achieved compliance with the SOA.  Compliance with the SOA has also been reported for 2025.  To reduce regional PM10 levels has required direct intervention of this dynamic geomorphic system by implementing dust abatement management efforts, based largely on planting of vegetation and re-establishing a foredune area.

We use 14-years of hourly PM10 (µg m-3) concentration and wind data to quantify the change in hourly PM10 concentration that has resulted from the evolution of dust management methods implemented from 2013 through 2025.  Here we demonstrate that the PM10 concentrations downwind of the ODSVRA are lower now, for similar wind conditions, than prior to the establishment of dust controls.  Additionally, a machine learning regression approach, based on the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, was used to evaluate how effective dust management was for reducing the potential number of exceedances of the State and Federal air quality standards compared to the number of exceedances prior to 2013, i.e., before the implementation of the dust management program.

How to cite: Gillies, J., Furtak-Cole, E., Henao, J., and Mejia, J.: Dust Control Management Methods Achieve Air Quality Objectives, Oceano Dunes State Vehicular Recreation Area, Oceano CA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8439, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8439, 2026.

EGU26-10066 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Human-induced climate warming, “peak water” and “peak sediment” in deglaciating Alpine catchments 

Mattia Gianini, Leona Repnik, Anne-Laure Argentin, Felix Pitscheider, Simone Bizzi, Francesco Comiti, and Stuart Lane

It was first hypothesised by Church and Ryder (1972) that when a glaciated basin starts to witness declining glacier cover there would be an initial increase in sediment yield associated with enhanced glacier melt and sediment transport and also a landscape response as newly exposed sediment is reworked. This would reach a peak and then decline as glacial erosion and sediment transport capacity decline and the landscape slowly stabilises. The implicit assumption is that this is a transient response from an ice-erosion dominated landscape to a rainfall-erosion dominated landscape and is manifest as a period of “peak sediment” yield. In theory, due to rapid climate warming, we are now in that phase of transience but there are no datasets that describe it, we have little idea at whether peak sediment has been reached or passed, nor how this may vary between river basins with different altitudes, lithologies, geomorphic settings etc. There are no reliable multi-decadal measurements of bedload export from mountain basins let alone ones that are close enough to glaciers to be able to make links to glacier recession.

This paper uses a unique dataset based upon the high frequency (multiple times per week/year) flushing of small hydropower installations to reconstruct decadal-scale bedload export from 20 Alpine glacierized catchments in western Switzerland over the past 50 years. These catchments are heterogeneous in terms of geomorphology, geographic characteristics and glacierized area. Built to divert water from river channels for hydroelectric power generation, the hydropower installations are equipped with sediment traps designed to separate sediments from the water before it is routed to turbines or stored in artificial reservoirs. Once a threshold volume is reached, these traps must be emptied from sediments (an operation known as flushing). By combining information on the annual frequency of flushing events with analysis of the flushing operation and the volumes of sediments released, it is possible to reconstruct the evolution of bedload over recent decades.

Results show an upward trend in sediment transport since the late 1980s for most of the catchments analysed, coinciding with the onset of rapid Alpine warming in the mid 1980s. Bedload transport slowed in the 1990s, seemingly associated with a series of years with reduced up-glacier snowline recession, before accelerating again in the early 2000s. There is some evidence of peak sediment export in the 2010s. An observed relationship exists between glacierized area and sediment export: bedload export in catchments with a glacier cover lower than about 1 km2 invariably appear to have gone through a shift from ice-erosion driven to summer-rainfall driven. However, some glaciers show anomalous behaviour, including emerging evidence of the direct effects and legacy of glacial overdeepenings. This can lead to site-specific, geomorphologically-influenced responses of bedload transport on top of the underlying regional-scale trend of climate warming.

How to cite: Gianini, M., Repnik, L., Argentin, A.-L., Pitscheider, F., Bizzi, S., Comiti, F., and Lane, S.: Human-induced climate warming, “peak water” and “peak sediment” in deglaciating Alpine catchments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10066, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10066, 2026.

EGU26-10669 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Complex Greening in the Meretischitälli Catchment 

Liesbeth van Elswijk, Leon Duurkoop, Philip Kraaijenbrink, and Jana Eichel

In recent decades, greening has been a widely observed phenomenon across the European Alps, and the importance of biogeomorphic feedbacks in mountain environments has been increasingly recognised. Yet, research remains limited on the extent to which these vegetation changes interact with geomorphic activity and slope stability at catchment scale. Understanding these interactions is essential for improving interpretation of the development of alpine landscapes under ongoing climate forcing, as they influence sediment redistribution, slope stability and downstream ecosystem functioning.
This research investigates how these vegetation-slope dynamics interact in alpine environments, with particular focus on the development of the treeline ecotone, species-specific contributions to greening and the control of landform-specific variations on vegetation dynamics. We focus on the Meretschi catchment, a geomorphically dynamic valley in the Swiss Alps. Greening is quantified using NDVI from Landsat imagery (1984-2024) and tree establishment mapping in the treeline ecotone from historical orthophotos. Species-level field surveys were conducted, terrain variables were derived from a digital elevation model, and a detailed geomorphological map was constructed. All these aspects were compared across space and time to assess the controls on greening and their interactions.
Vegetation greening, indicated by NDVI increase, was strongest between 1900-2500 m, coinciding with the treeline ecotone. Tree establishment shifted upslope and intensified over time, with densification in localised microclimatic patches contributing more to greening. Clusters of more than 20 trees contributed significantly more to greening, highlighting the importance of both tree density and establishment rate.
Species contributions varied, with Larix decidua dominating greening among newly establishing trees compared to Pinus cembra. Across the catchment, woody vegetation (dwarf shrubs and forest) contributes more to greening than grassland and pioneers only recently started contributing. These patterns appear to be largely controlled by species functional traits and microclimatic sensitivities, but also by anthropogenic effects, in particular grazing practices.
Geomorphic activity strongly influenced greening, with more stable landforms with high soil development potential showing more pronounced greening compared to rocky, unstable landforms, and with gravitational landforms displayed the highest variability. This variability reflects episodic disturbance and recovery, which highlights the impact of biogeomorphic feedbacks.
Overall, the research shows that alpine greening in the Meretschitälli catchment develops from a synthesis of climatic facilitation, species traits, geomorphic activity and anthropogenic influence, producing spatially heterogeneous vegetation change. By linking greening to geomorphic activity and characteristics, this research advances our understanding of catchment-scale eco-geomorphic feedbacks and provides a basis for predicting how vegetation-slope-species interactions may shape alpine landscape with ongoing climatic changes.

How to cite: van Elswijk, L., Duurkoop, L., Kraaijenbrink, P., and Eichel, J.: Complex Greening in the Meretischitälli Catchment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10669, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10669, 2026.

EGU26-11161 | Orals | GM4.1

Comparing Potential Beaver-related Sediment Storage to Human-built Reservoir Sediment Storage in the Rocky Mountain Region, USA 

Katherine Lininger, Julianne Scamardo, Charles Shobe, Joel Sholtes, Aaron Hurst, Abigail Eckland, and Melissa Foster

Beavers modify rivers and floodplains by building dams, increasing sediment and carbon storage, and creating habitat for biota. In the Rocky Mountain region, USA, beavers are being reintroduced for river restoration, with goals that include promoting sediment storage in incising reaches and decreasing downstream fluxes of sediment and associated constituents. Human-built dams that impound rivers and create reservoirs also store sediment within river corridors, but they lack the significant ecosystem benefits associated with beaver activity. Here, we ask: what is the relative magnitude of potential beaver-induced sediment storage compared to sediment storage in human-built reservoirs? We modeled beaver dam capacities in river corridors with the beaver restoration assessment tool (BRAT), which leverages landcover and topographic geospatial data to determine the maximum potential density of beaver dams on the river network. Based on potential dam density, we estimated potential beaver-related sediment storage across the region using field-derived statistical relationships between pond characteristics and sediment volumes. We used national sedimentation models trained on repeat reservoir survey data to estimate reservoir sediment storage. These sedimentation models are built upon ResNet, a dammed reservoir network that links US dams with the US National Hydrography Dataset. We found that if beaver were at 100% capacity, the magnitude of potential beaver-related sediment storage in the Rocky Mountain region would be ~2.8 km3. This is similar to sediment storage in human-built, dammed reservoirs in the region modeled for the years 2025 (~2.2 km3) and 2050 (~2.8 km3). For some drainage basins in the region, potential beaver-related sediment storage exceeds sediment storage in human-built reservoirs. To date, most studies of beaver-induced sediment storage in river corridors have occurred over relatively small spatial extents (individual ponds, reaches, and small watersheds). However, estimating potential sediment storage due to beaver over larger spatial extents is important for informing management of landscape-scale sediment storage, especially if a goal is to reduce downstream sediment loading to reservoirs. Our results allow for assessing the relative impact of beaver dams versus human-built dams on distributed sediment storage at the watershed and regional scales.

How to cite: Lininger, K., Scamardo, J., Shobe, C., Sholtes, J., Hurst, A., Eckland, A., and Foster, M.: Comparing Potential Beaver-related Sediment Storage to Human-built Reservoir Sediment Storage in the Rocky Mountain Region, USA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11161, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11161, 2026.

Mountain rivers have always been of crucial importance to human societies, as they serve as a source of drinking water, irrigation, and energy supply, but also pose dangers in the form of flooding. In prehistoric times, water in fluid and frozen form was the main natural processes shaping the landscape, and human impact were mostly minimal. Early agricultural societies began modifying rivers through irrigation channels, terracing, livestock grazing and last but not least dam constructions, which mostly changed river morphology and sediment load only at the local level. Nowadays, a large proportion of the rivers worldwide have been altered by hydraulic engineering projectsat a global level. In the Anthropocene Discourse, dams are considered one of the important indicators of the anthropogenic transformation of river landscapes.

Against this background, the present study investigates when and in what ways humans began to alter watercourses and flood regimes through water infrastructure, in particular by the constructions of dams and relataed infrastructure in mountain regions using the Harz Mountains as a case study. As highest upland region in Northern Germany, it is naturally prone to flooding, especially the more rugged regions in the W-Harz. Since historical times, floods have altered the landscape and led to extensive destructions for settlements in the mountains and their forelands. The high extent of damage caused by flooding was one of the reasons for the construction of six large dams in the W-Harz during the 20th century. They have drastically reduced the occurrence of floods, thereby altering the natural flow dynamics of the rivers.

However, already in historical times, rivers were modified by the water management for mining activities and timber rafting. In the Early Modern Period, the Harz Mountains represented one of Europe's largest mining regions for the extraction of ores such as silver, copper, and lead. To supply the mines with energy, an extensive water management system with artificial ponds, ditches and underground waterways was constructed between the 16th and 19th centuries, the largest energy supply system for mining of its time, and since 2010, part of the UNESCO World Heritage in the Harz. The study provides an overview of anthropogenic changes or river systems and flooding events, examining their spatial and temporal distribution from a historical perspective with a special emphasis on the former mining district of St. Andreasberg in the catchment areas of the rivers Oder and Sieber. The study is based on field work carried out since 2016 in the Harz Mountains, the analysis of historical archives (reports, maps, photographs) and digital elevation models. In the context of the predicted increase in extreme hydrological events in Germany, knowledge of the historical development of rivers and the extent of anthropogenic influence is crucial for landscape management, nature conservation, risk management and the preservation of historical monuments in mountain regions.

How to cite: Iturrizaga, L.: Hybrid River Landscapes in Mountain Regions: Anthropogenic Changes of Rivers and Flood Events in the W-Harz (Germany) from a long-term perspective, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11325, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11325, 2026.

EGU26-11344 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Which strategies enable alien plant species to invade braided river systems?  

Isabell Becker, Gregory Egger, and Jana Eichel

Braided rivers represent extraordinary wetland ecosystems due to their high disturbance regimes. Their riparian vegetation needs to be adapted to these harsh conditions. At the same time, braided river systems are sensitive to changes in the underlying environmental factors. Additionally, their open gravel and sand banks represent germination sites for invasive alien plant species. There is a risk that invasive species can spread over large areas and thus alter river reaches, even leading to morphological changes in the entire river system.

The aim of this study was to identify similarities and differences in the key functional traits and strategies of invasive alien plants compared to the dominant native plant species in braided rivers around the world. The analysis of what makes invasive species more successful than the native species was carried out in seven globally distributed mountain regions with braided rivers, including parts of the European Alps, the mediterranean Vjosa river system, Iceland, Alaska, Patagonia, Central Asia, and New Zealand. Studied river system cover different climate zones, with varying degrees of human influence.

We used a plot design (10m by 10m) covering all occurring biogeomorphic succession phases (Corenblit et al. 2007) in the investigated river reaches. In each plot, we recorded general information on the habitat conditions and vegetation characteristics. We combined the field data with response and effect trait data from the TRY trait database (Kattge et al. 2020). The traits of the dominant native and invasive alien plant species were compared using a PCA analysis to reveal differences in trait combinations that can explain the success of invasive species.

First findings indicate that successfully invading alien species enter the braided river systems in the pioneer succession phase and comprise traits for dealing with the high hydromorphodynamic disturbances, for example a short lifespan. They have rather smaller specific leaf area and plant height. By decreasing the disturbance impact through dense vegetation cover and trapping of fine sediment they push their growing areas to the following biogeomorphic succession phase. Here, especially invasive ecosystem engineer species improve their own growing conditions and may create dense vegetation covers in the formerly open active channel.

Across our study areas, a wide range of the magnitude of plant invasion was visible: While in the Alaskan rivers with extreme arctic to boreal climate and low human impact no invasive alien plants occured, the braided rivers in the intensively agriculturally used Canterbury region on New Zealand's South Island were highly invaded. Here, many formerly sparsely vegetated active channels were densely covered with alien species and the later succession phases prevailed.

 

References

Corenblit, D., Tabacchi, E., Steiger, J., & Gurnell, A. M. (2007). Reciprocal interactions and adjustments between fluvial landforms and vegetation dynamics in river corridors: a review of complementary approaches. Earth-Science Reviews, 84(1-2): 56-86.

Kattge, J., Bönisch, G., Díaz, S., Lavorel, S., Prentice, I. C., Leadley, P., Tautenhahn, S., & Werner, G., et al. (2020). TRY plant trait database - enhanced coverage and open access. Global Change Biology, 26(1): 119-188. doi:10.1111/gcb.14904

How to cite: Becker, I., Egger, G., and Eichel, J.: Which strategies enable alien plant species to invade braided river systems? , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11344, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11344, 2026.

EGU26-11595 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Applying the Spanish Inventory of Sites of Geological Interest (IELIG) to the 2021 Tajogaite Eruption: Insights and Lessons Learned 

David Sanz-Mangas, Juana Vegas, Gonzalo Lozano, Nicolás Ferrer, Nieves Sánchez, and Inés Galindo

On September 19th, 2021, the last eruption from the Canarian archipelago began on La Palma island. The youngest Spanish volcano, called Tajogaite, produced one of the most complex and extensive lava field ever documented in the Canary Islands. The eruption was a multi-vent fissural eruption with effusive and explosive volcanic activity. With a mean discharge rate of 32.7m3s-1, the Tajogaite volcano emitted 242m3 of volcanic material (Calvari et al., 2026) and covered 1.219e+7m2 of surface with lava flows. The socioeconomic impact resulted in 3.7e+6m2 of cropped area, 3126 edifices, including 75 industrial facilities, 5445 parcels, and 92 km of roads destroyed (Copernicus EMS. https://emergency.copernicus.eu/; BOPC núm.533,14/12/2022). After the eruption, recovery and rehabilitation of the affected areas became challenging, being mainly focused on demolition and clearing land projects. However, this eruption has highlighted the scientific challenge of determining the most valuable volcanic features for protection (Vegas et al., 2022). To ensure a sustainable development of land recovery, the Geological and Mining Institute of Spain (IGME-CSIC) made a fast-response report to the regional authorities with an integral geoheritage assessment and mapping of the most valuable volcanic elements that should be included in the new regional legislation, including precautionary measures for conservation of the best geoheritage elements of this volcano.

Geoheritage mapping was carried out in 2022 through the integration of high-resolution satellite imagery, drone-based photogrammetry, and fieldwork observations. The resulting products included: (1) initial request for the expansion of the Natural Protected Areas of Cumbre Vieja, consisting in one map with three areas of ∼311ha with high scientific value, 10 maps with the scientific, touristic and fragility values and 34 types of Elements of Volcanic Interest (EVI), representing the first approach of a detailed official quantitative value of Tajogaite volcano; (2) A new geoheritage methodology developed for the Tajogaite eruption in accordance with the IELIG and the Spanish Law.42/2007 “on the natural heritage and biodiversity”.

The EVIs were identified based on morphological, textural, lava flow margins and lava tube-related structures. A special case of this eruption is the network of lava tubes that played a unique role transporting lava flows over long distances (Sanz-Mangas et al., 2025), allowing sustained advance to the coast. Due to their unique features, these EVIs have a high potential for research and geotourism. While post-eruption reconstruction is essential for the recovery and well-being of the affected communities, the irreversible destruction of many of the most valuable EVI, still not declared protected natural areas by the Canary Islands Government, has led to the loss of a unique volcanic landscape, hindering scientific progress and limiting future opportunities for society to benefit from this geoheritage.

Calvari et al. (2026). Bulletin of Volcanology, 88,8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00445-025-01925-x

Sanz-Mangas et al. (2022). Cosmológica, ISSN 2792-7423, p113-115

Vegas et al. (2022). Official Report “Propuesta de Protección de los Elementos de Interés Geológico para el Territorio Afectado por la Erupción de 2021”. Unpublished.

Acknowledgements

This project was developed under the Sub-Project 1 ‘Canary Islands, destiny of Volcanoes’ funded by PROMOTUR Turismo Canarias,S.A. through Next Generation EU-funds, PRTR. 2024krQ00nnn; and MITECO (227G0165-GEOPALMA).

How to cite: Sanz-Mangas, D., Vegas, J., Lozano, G., Ferrer, N., Sánchez, N., and Galindo, I.: Applying the Spanish Inventory of Sites of Geological Interest (IELIG) to the 2021 Tajogaite Eruption: Insights and Lessons Learned, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11595, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11595, 2026.

EGU26-12243 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Strong wind patterns and slope surface exposure change the biogeomorphological component of the soil transport and development in old-growth temperate forests 

Łukasz Pawlik, Pavel Šamonil, Kamil Kral, Dušan Adam, and Janusz Godziek

Soil transport through the turning of root systems of uprooted trees represents a crucial soil disturbance agent in many forest ecosystems. In addition to tree species and forest structure, treethrow dynamics strongly depend on the character of wind flow and specifically on extreme wind events. Extreme cyclonic flow is typically west-east in Europe and causes major pulses in forest slope dynamics. In the regime of rare but powerful winds alternating with long periods of disordered flow, slope exposure can be a significant geomorphological driver. Slope orientation can hypothetically affect the frequency of uprooting events and the direction of tree fall relative to the fall line. The long-term effect is a different trajectory of soil evolution and different slope dynamics. Tree orientation determines how much of the uprooted soil will return to the treethrow pit and how much will be eroded. These aspects were explored for the first time using extensive repeated tree census data spanning from 1975 to 2007, collected in the Žofínský Primeval Forest Reserve in the Novohradské Mountains, Czech Republic. We analyzed the differences between the spatial configuration and biogeomorphic potential of uprootings under two scenarios: extreme windthrow related to a strong disturbance event and selective uprooting associated with forest gap dynamics. Wind data observations (direction and speed) were used to define the relationship between uprooting intensity and spatiotemporal linkages of uprootings' tree stems features (azimuths) with wind and terrain properties (elevation and aspect).

We found differences in tree stem azimuths of uprootings, in their spatial configuration against elevation contour lines, and terrain aspect for two classes – upslope and downslope uprootings, and two forest developmental trajectories – dominated by gap formation (selective), and excessive (extreme) damage caused by the Kyrill storm in January 2007. Azimuths of uprootings followed prevailing wind directions, suggesting this metric can be used as a bioindicator of wind properties in places without standard meteorological measurements. Norway spruce (Picea abies) was the most commonly uprooted and broken tree species, and its damage rate increased during the Kyrill windstorm. Upslope uprooting was more common, potentially involving a higher volume of soil mass being subjected to mixing than erosion.

Our results indicate that slope aspect influences the path of old-growth forest development and soil formation. It happens repetitively during extreme wind events (pulses of energy "injected" to forest ecosystems by wind currents of extreme speeds and specific directions), acting occasionally but with great force over the European land. It is essential to emphasize the synergistic and critical impact of geomorphic features such as slope aspect and strong wind events on soils and forests, particularly in the context of the anticipated increase in the extremity of various climate parameters, including wind speed and the frequency of strong winds.

The study has been supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project No. 24-11119S).

How to cite: Pawlik, Ł., Šamonil, P., Kral, K., Adam, D., and Godziek, J.: Strong wind patterns and slope surface exposure change the biogeomorphological component of the soil transport and development in old-growth temperate forests, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12243, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12243, 2026.

EGU26-13016 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Reconstructing Reach-Scale Sediment Regime Shifts Across Successive Stages of Industrialization 

Lisa Schmalfuss, Martin Schmid, and Christoph Hauer

Industrialization has reshaped the availability, transport, and storage of fluvial sediments, with direct consequences for long-term geomorphic development and for ecological and socioeconomic conditions. A central feature of this shift is the transition between supply- and transport-limited states, which influences river channel stability, floodplain functioning, and habitat dynamics. Reconstructing such sediment regime changes before the mid-20th century is, however, difficult due to sparse or missing data on river geometry, hydraulics, and sediment characteristics.

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework to infer reach-scale tendencies toward supply- or transport-limited behavior across successive phases of industrialization under tight data constraints. The approach links sub-catchment sediment delivery to a reach-scale sediment mass balance, accounting for sediment supply, transport capacity and possible retention.

Sediment delivery to individual sections is estimated with a RUSLE-SDR scheme, incorporating temporal variability through historical land cover reconstructions and by scaling hydrological and climatic inputs based on instrumental and reconstructed discharge and precipitation data. Channel hydraulics and transport capacity are approximated without explicit bathymetry by assigning a planform channel type to each section for each industrialization phase and linking those types to probabilistic distributions of width, depth and roughness drawn from empirical parameter libraries. The present, well-documented river state is used as geometric and hydraulic reference, while historical states are reconstructed according to their map-derived channel type using process-based translation rules.

Uncertainty from incomplete geometry, historical reconstructions, and parameter variability is propagated through Monte Carlo sampling, yielding distributions of sediment transport capacity, export, and retention rather than individual deterministic values. Resulting reach-scale sediment mass balances are evaluated probabilistically to classify reaches based on their likelihood of aggradation, erosion, or near-equilibrium conditions for each industrialization phase.

By emphasizing relative sediment regime tendencies instead of absolute fluxes, this approach enables a systematic comparison of how different phases of industrialization are reflected in sediment dynamics, channel stability, and disturbance regimes of ecological relevance across different river types.

How to cite: Schmalfuss, L., Schmid, M., and Hauer, C.: Reconstructing Reach-Scale Sediment Regime Shifts Across Successive Stages of Industrialization, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13016, 2026.

EGU26-13812 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Identifying threats of the volcanic geoheritage in the Teide National Park (Tenerife, Spain) based on visitor’s use 

Javier Dóniz-Paéz, Rafael Becerra-Ramírez, Oscar Rodríguez, and Nemesio M. Pérez

Teide National Park (TNP), declared in 1954, is one of Spain’s 16 national parks. It covers 189.9 km² and ranges from 1,600 to 3,718 m a.s.l. Its volcanic landscape results from eruptions of mafic to felsic magmas, with eruptive styles from Hawaiian to sub‑Plinian. The park hosts a wide variety of volcanic geoforms—such as a large caldera of debated origin, the active stratovolcanoes Teide and Pico Viejo, numerous domes, monogenetic basaltic cones, hornitos, dikes, and diverse lava flows (ʻAʻā, pāhoehoe, blocky, and obsidian). Lava tubes, lava channels, and other minor morphologies are also present, along with non-volcanic features produced by torrential processes, hillslope dynamics, landslides, subsidence, glacial and periglacial activity, aeolian processes, and historical quarrying. In addition to its natural heritage, TNP preserves important cultural elements, including archaeological remains and traditional agricultural and pastoral uses, as well as current activities such as beekeeping.

TNP is the most visited protected natural area in Spain, with an annual average exceeding 3 million visitors; in 2025, visitation surpassed 5 million. The aim of this study is to relate the volcanic geoheritage to TNP’s use zoning as a first step toward identifying threats derived from visitor pressure. For this purpose, the geomorphosites defined in TNP’s four geomorphological units—Teide–Pico Viejo, Las Cañadas wall, Las Cañadas courtyard, and the monogenetic volcanic field—were analysed according to their zoning categories (reserve, restricted, and moderate use).

A total of 23 geomorphosites were identified: 8 in Teide–Pico Viejo, 4 in Las Cañadas wall, 6 in the courtyard, and 5 in the volcanic field. Of these, 5 fall within reserve zones (Pico Viejo crater, Fortaleza, Diego Hernández Cañada, Las Cañadas taluses, and the Fasnia historical eruption), where no recreational use is allowed; therefore, no conflicts exist. Thirteen geomorphosites lie within restricted use zones (including Teide, Chahorra, Guajara, Los Gemelos, Montaña Blanca, Montaña Rajada, the Roques Blancos and Pico Cabras domes, Montaña Negra, obsidian lavas, and Corrales volcano). Here, visitor impact is limited because access is confined to established trails; however, some sites (notably Samara and Guajara) receive visitor levels that may threaten their integrity.

The greatest pressures occur in the five geomorphosites located in moderate-use areas (Mostaza cone, Roques de García, Llano de Ucanca, the eastern volcanic field, and Guamasa cone), where pedestrian access is unrestricted and regulated vehicle traffic is still permitted. Among these, mass visitation has the most significant impacts at Roques de García, and to a lesser extent at Llano de Ucanca and the viewpoints of the eastern volcanic field.

Mass visitation has been a concern for managers and scientists for years. At the end of 2025, a new management plan was approved that restricts private vehicle access and prioritizes sustainable mobility. However, it does not directly address the core issue: the concentration of visitors at specific sites and times. Therefore, scientific studies focused on the geoconservation of TNP’s volcanic geoheritage are essential, as they can serve as key reference documents for the management of both natural and cultural heritage.

How to cite: Dóniz-Paéz, J., Becerra-Ramírez, R., Rodríguez, O., and Pérez, N. M.: Identifying threats of the volcanic geoheritage in the Teide National Park (Tenerife, Spain) based on visitor’s use, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13812, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13812, 2026.

EGU26-13911 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Revisiting fluvial biogeomorphic units across scales 

Magdalena Lauermann, Ronald Pöppl, Tobias Heckmann, and Florian Betz

Fluvial biogeomorphic feedbacks happen on multiple spatial and temporal scales, and between them within a nested, hierarchical organization of river systems. Entities such as reach or catchment are often used to place a study in a spatial and temporal context. While hydrogeomorphic units are well defined and operationalized in fluvial geomorphology (e.g., catchment, reach, geomorphic unit etc.), transferring this logic to biogeomorphic units is not straightforward because vegetation and other biota both respond to and actively modify hydrological and geomorphological processes on a wide range of scales potentially not matching with the ones of fluvial geomorphology. Thus, such units inherently reflect the complex nature of riverine process regimes. Considering the two-way interactions of hydro-morphology and vegetation makes the delineation of (fluvial) biogeomorphic units of specific spatial and temporal scales particularly challenging.
With our contribution, we provide a synthesis of how hydrogeomorphic and biogeomorphic units have been defined in their spatio-temporal extent across literature from small entities with fast turnover rates to long lasting units like the catchment. We contrast (i) biogeomorphic units defined as standalone entities (e.g., pioneer or mature island), with (ii) biogeomorphic units defined as attributes or states of pre-defined geomorphic units (e.g., bars, islands, banks) within a hierarchical framework. Furthermore, we merge insights into the distribution of the units across scales with the phases of the Fluvial Biogeomorphic Succession model (geomorphic, pioneer, biogeomorphic and ecologic phase). We suggest that such integrated hierarchical perspective can guide research design and monitoring for management purposes.

How to cite: Lauermann, M., Pöppl, R., Heckmann, T., and Betz, F.: Revisiting fluvial biogeomorphic units across scales, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13911, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13911, 2026.

River corridors, i.e. channels and the adjacent floodplains, are hotspots of biodiversity and provide manifold ecosystem services. Their landscapes emerge from strong interactions between hydromorphology and vegetation. These biogeomorphic feedbacks not only shape planform development but also control riverine ecosystem functioning as underlying foundation of biodiversity and ecosystem service provision. Understanding these hydromorphology-vegetation interactions is central to the growing sub-discipline of biogeomorphology. Regular disturbances such as floods and droughts reorganize channels, generating pronounced spatiotemporal variability in hydrology and landform heterogeneity that promotes the recruitment of biogeomorphic keystone species such as Salix, Populus or Hippophae. Following establishment, these species can cross engineering thresholds, modify habitat conditions, and shape successional trajectories. The fluvial biogeomorphic succession model is a central framework for conceptualizing and studying these hydromorphology-vegetation feedbacks. Today, many rivers exhibit reduced geomorphic dynamics due to anthropogenic modifications and, simultaneously, face hydrologic change driven by climate change.
In our contribution, we apply the biogeomorphic succession model to the Naryn River in Kyrgyzstan, a still free flowing river on a length of more than 600 km. However, dams are under construction and expected to strongly modify hydromorphological and ecological dynamics in future. We found that within-channel hydrogeomorphic processes and disturbances exert a substantial – yet often overlooked – control on floodplain habitat development and their ability to provide ecosystem services. Even small changes amplified by biogeomorphic feedbacks can trigger the crossing of tipping points and shift ecosystem trajectories at reach scale. A fundamental mechanism is the determination of habitat availability for plant communities by the interplay of hydrologic connectivity and biogeomorphic feedbacks. Landforms arising from these feedbacks and associated with shallow groundwater are particularly important, acting as key habitat patches and biodiversity reservoirs along river corridors. Beyond the widespread anthropogenic influence on river corridors, climate change may shift discharge regimes and other boundary conditions, subtly reorganizing vegetation–hydromorphology couplings and potentially driving changes in river typology and riparian ecosystems. As biogeomorphic feedbacks and their response to anthropogenic river modifications and climate change are a key driver of riverine ecosystem functioning, it is crucial to further extend our existing scientific understanding and transform it into science-based, integrated river and floodplain management.

How to cite: Lauermann, M. and Betz, F.: Linking biogeomorphic feedbacks and hydrologic connectivity as key drivers of riverine ecosystem functioning, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13991, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13991, 2026.

EGU26-15208 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Using sedimentary ancient DNA to identify past ecosystem engineering in rivers 

Annegret Larsen, Kevin Nota, Peter van der Sleen, Tom Brouwers, Brian Ramirez-Cortes, Christoph Sperisen, Zoe Kleijwegt, and Benjamin Vernot

Before humans took on a dominant role in modifying streams and floodplains, native species were the primary agents of ecosystem engineering and surface change within river-floodplain systems. These natural, pre-human condition of European rivers and their floodplains remains poorly understood. In periods when human activity became a major driver of river and floodplain evolution, it is often difficult to distinguish between human and faunal impacts, especially in the absence of clear physical evidence. In this pilot study, we aim to reconstruct the pre-human environmental conditions of low-order streams and their floodplains in central Europe. We also develop a methodology to identify the dominant ecosystem engineers at specific riparian sites. Three research sites in central Europe were selected, where we reconstruct palaeo-environmental conditions using a combination of sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA), botanical macroremain analysis, and chrono-stratigraphy to detect the presence or absence of key wetland plant species. Additionally, we investigate the presence of key animal ecosystem engineers which are now globally or locally extinct but were once critical to the functioning of sustainable riparian ecosystems. Identifying when and where these species were present will not only enhance our understanding of natural, resilient riparian conditions but also provide a baseline for interpreting subsequent human-environment interactions.

How to cite: Larsen, A., Nota, K., van der Sleen, P., Brouwers, T., Ramirez-Cortes, B., Sperisen, C., Kleijwegt, Z., and Vernot, B.: Using sedimentary ancient DNA to identify past ecosystem engineering in rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15208, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15208, 2026.

 

High-mountain regions attract increasing numbers of visitors and provide ecosystem services related to recreation and spiritual activities. At the same time, these environments are geomorphologically sensitive and can be readily degraded when tourism and recreational use are insufficiently managed. Such degradation may reduce recreational potential and increase risks to visitors and local communities.

This study documents and maps landscape degradation associated with tourism and tour-operator activities in high-altitude terrain (>4000 m a.s.l.) in the Miyar Valley, Himachal Pradesh, India. In recent years, the area has experienced a rapid increase in visitor numbers, including large organised groups (>20 individuals), resulting in pronounced impacts on the physical landscape.

Field investigations were carried out during the 2025 field season. Geomorphological mapping combined systematic field-based surveys with the interpretation of high-resolution satellite imagery (WorldView and Pleiades). Dominant morphogenetic processes were identified and characterised using ground observations, photographic documentation, and remote-sensing data.

Five dominant geomorphological processes contributing to landscape degradation were identified: (1) vegetation trampling by hikers and pack animals, primarily horses; (2) soil erosion on exposed surfaces, leading to rill development and enhanced surface runoff; (3) soil compaction, resulting in surface hardening that promotes accelerated runoff and increased downslope water erosion; (4) freeze–thaw cycles, which weaken soil and regolith structure and increase susceptibility to erosion; and (5) dry–wet cycles, which further predispose soils to degradation.

These processes produce characteristic trail-related geomorphological features, including deeply incised trail surfaces, wide unvegetated trail treads indicative of vegetation loss and high erosion potential, water ponding in low-gradient sections leading to muddy conditions and subsequent trail widening due to avoidance behaviour, and litter accumulation. Based on the collected data, a trail classification scheme was developed that incorporates a functional model of trail behaviour under contrasting topographic settings (sloping versus flat terrain).

The results indicate that, in this high-mountain environment, rapid increases in visitor numbers can lead to long-lasting geomorphological changes. Management interventions, particularly focused on trail design and maintenance, are therefore important for limiting environmental degradation, improving visitor safety, and reducing impacts on the surrounding landscape.

The research was funded by the Polish National Science Centre, Poland - Project number 2021/43/B/ST10/00950

How to cite: Tomczyk, A. and Ewertowski, M.: Mapping and characterisation of geomorphological impacts of tourism in a high-mountain environment: a case study from the Miyar Valley, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15289, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15289, 2026.

EGU26-15887 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Human-nature interactions in the Chambal Badlands, India: geomorphological perspectives on the dual challenges of land degradation and geoheritage promotion 

Manudeo Singh, Vikram Ranga, Ajay Kumar, Jayesh Mukherjee, Shashi Shekhar Shukla, Malika Singhal, Anukritika Raj, Priyamvada Dubey, Padmini Pani, Naveen Chauhan, Sandeep Thakur, Amzad Hussain Laskar, Vikrant Jain, and Stephen Tooth
In many drylands globally, badlands (coalesced gully networks) have developed in colluvial (e.g. hillslope, pediment) and alluvial (e.g. river terrace, floodplain) landforms.  Badland development can have serious on-site and off-site impacts including soil loss and reservoir sedimentation but can also create striking visual scenery that may have aesthetic appeal and geoheritage potential.  Vigorous debate surrounds the relative importance of human and natural factors in badland development, with some researchers attributing their development mainly to human causes such as poor land management, while others have argued for natural causes, including decadal-scale climatic fluctuations, susceptible soil characteristics, and/or breaching of hard rock barriers along river beds.  Intrinsic land surface adjustments may also account for some gullies, such as valley floor oversteepening that leads to erosion and slope adjustment.  In short, is badland development dominantly a human-induced problem, a natural part of landscape development, or some combination of both factors? The answer has implications not only for advancing our understanding of Earth surface dynamics and human–nature interactions, but also for the targeting of the limited resources aimed at erosion control, sustainable land management, and geoheritage promotion.
 
The Chambal Badlands in semiarid, north-central India exemplify these issues.  The ~4800 km2 badlands are some of the largest in the world and present striking development challenges: soil erosion threatens food and water security but the deeply dissected terrain provides opportunities for geoheritage promotion.  The region faces intertwined socio-economic and environmental challenges: marginal agriculture, limited alternative livelihoods, and widespread soil loss. In places, the badlands are heavily degraded by poorly controlled agricultural developments. Attempts to infill gullies and level the land for cultivation often fail within years as the soil simply re-erodes, trapping farmers in never-ending cycles of nutrient, water and soil carbon loss.  At the same time, the badlands and associated bedrock channels, potholes, waterfalls and gorges of the Chambal and other nearby rivers illustrate landform combinations rarely present elsewhere on Earth, and certainly not at the same scale, and their promotion as geoheritage could enhance geoeducation (e.g. for local schools) and geotourism (e.g. for domestic/international markets).
 
We report here on the initial findings from a UK-India collaborative project that is combining field data, laboratory analyses and science communication to address key questions, including: i) when and why did the badlands form?; ii) do modern agricultural practices enhance badland growth?; iii) how can we best use this information to address the development challenges?  Geomorphological perspectives are a crucial element of the project, which hopes to develop a scientific, practical, and social blueprint for transforming the fragile badlands into productive and culturally-valued, resilient landscapes.

How to cite: Singh, M., Ranga, V., Kumar, A., Mukherjee, J., Shukla, S. S., Singhal, M., Raj, A., Dubey, P., Pani, P., Chauhan, N., Thakur, S., Laskar, A. H., Jain, V., and Tooth, S.: Human-nature interactions in the Chambal Badlands, India: geomorphological perspectives on the dual challenges of land degradation and geoheritage promotion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15887, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15887, 2026.

EGU26-16612 | Orals | GM4.1

Vegetation-sediment interactions and bank stability in Atlantic rivers: Linking multispectral approaches and LiDAR data 

Álvaro Fernández-Menéndez, Laura Concostrina-Zubiri, Martina Cecchetto, Elia Taffetani, Simone Bizzi, and José Barquín

Riparian and channel vegetation play a crucial role in fluvial sediment dynamics and riverbank stability. We investigated vegetation-sediment interactions along the Saja and Besaya rivers (northern Spain) through two complementary analyses combining LiDAR and multispectral imagery.

First, we assessed the influence of riparian vegetation on bank stability by delineating 100-m longitudinal reaches classified as erosive or stable. LiDAR data were used to quantify total woody vegetation cover, tree cover, and the mean vegetation height (as a proxy for maturity) across riparian strips of varying widths (10, 20, 30, and 50 m). Logistic regression models showed that riparian vegetation significantly reduced the probability of bank erosion, with minimal variability among predictors. The strength of these vegetation metrics was highest when calculated at a 10-m stripe, and it broadly decreased at 50 m, which suggests that vegetation adjacent to the bank was sufficient to mitigate erosion risk. These findings support the conservation and restoration of riparian woody vegetation as a potential nature-based solution for bank erosion prevention in sensitive areas.

Second, we examined in-channel sediment balances at 10x10 m pixels using multitemporal LiDAR (2018-2023) and Sentinel-2 imagery. Sediment balance was derived from LiDAR elevation changes and expressed as continuous (m3) and binary (erosion vs. non-erosion). We analyzed Sentinel-2 series to derive pixel history (yearly frequency and persistence of in-channel vegetation) and harmonic metrics (decomposing the NDVI series). Random Forest models indicated that pixels with decreasing vegetation persistence and negative NDVI trends were more likely to experience erosion. While predicting the magnitude of the balance was challenging, classification into erosion vs. stability achieved better performance. These results highlight the capabilities of multispectral image series to assess erosion and sediment processes in fluvial ecosystems and complement LiDAR data in river monitoring.

Overall, our study shows that riparian vegetation strongly influences bank stability and that vegetation dynamics within the channel are linked to sediment deposition and erosion. By integrating high-resolution LiDAR and multispectral imagery, we provide evidence that maintaining riparian vegetation can serve as an effective nature-based solution for reducing bank erosion processes. Furthermore, our approach underscores the value of combining remote sensing techniques to improve the understanding and management of sediment processes in highly dynamic river systems.

How to cite: Fernández-Menéndez, Á., Concostrina-Zubiri, L., Cecchetto, M., Taffetani, E., Bizzi, S., and Barquín, J.: Vegetation-sediment interactions and bank stability in Atlantic rivers: Linking multispectral approaches and LiDAR data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16612, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16612, 2026.

EGU26-17810 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Local-scale field mapping of geodiversity: a case study from sub-Arctic Finland  

Olli Karjalainen, Tuija Maliniemi, Anne-Mari Riikonen, and Jan Hjort

The increasing pressure from climate‑driven and human‑induced disturbances in high-latitude regions has created an urgent need for novel approaches to support existing conservation strategies. The development and utilization of new approaches could be particularly useful in investigating and conserving Arctic and sub-Arctic environments, which are among the most vulnerable to ongoing climate change. The integration of geodiversity information, i.e., the diversity of abiotic features in the Earth surface and subsurface, into environmental research offers high potential for assessing risks to geodiversity and ecosystems. 

Varying definitions of geodiversity complicate mapping and analysis efforts, and holistic measures and monitoring schemes of geodiversity are yet to be developed. The fundamental issue in mapping geodiversity is the need to categorize objects into distinct classes that can be judged to be distinctive. To address categorical inconsistency in geodiversity data, Hjort et al. (2024) proposed a hierarchical taxonomy of geodiversity, in which geological (rocks, tectonics) geomorphological (landforms, Earth surface processes), pedological (soil pedons and materials) and hydrological (surface and subsurface water features) components of geodiversity are classified based on their genesis, physico-chemical properties and morphology.  

This study uses the proposed taxonomy of geodiversity under field conditions to test its applicability in identifying high-value geodiversity areas. Our main goals were to 1) conduct a holistic geodiversity mapping across a spatially extensive and diverse environment, and 2) explore the spatial distribution of geodiversity and its components. Field work was conducted at 192 study sites using 5- and 20-meter survey radii to map geofeatures in a sub-Arctic environment in northern Finland characterized by a complex glacial footprint and diverse ecological conditions. Overall, 180 different geofeatures were mapped. On average, survey sites contained 17 geofeatures, while the most geodiverse sites hosted up to 30. Thematically detailed information on fine-scale geodiversity can improve our understanding of high-latitude geodiversity, inform geoconservation efforts, and serve as a tool for identifying and monitoring environmental change. 

 

References 

Hjort, J., Seijmonsbergen, A. C., Kemppinen, J., Tukiainen, H., Maliniemi, T., Gordon, J. E., Alahuhta, J., and Gray, M.: Towards a taxonomy of geodiversity, Philosophical Transactions A Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 382, 20230060, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2023.0060, 2024. 

How to cite: Karjalainen, O., Maliniemi, T., Riikonen, A.-M., and Hjort, J.: Local-scale field mapping of geodiversity: a case study from sub-Arctic Finland , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17810, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17810, 2026.

EGU26-18090 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Spotting ghost nets from above - Airborne imaging to detect ALD fishing nets in shallow water in Lillebælt, Denmark 

Nina L. J. Nielsen, Mikkel S. Andersen, Isak R. Larsen, Lars Ø. Hansen, Carlette N. Blok, Zyad Al-Hamdani, and Verner B. Ernstsen

Ghost nets - abandoned, lost or discarded (ALD) fishing nets – account for a significant anthropogenic pressure on coastal geomorphic systems, negatively affecting benthic habitats and marine life. This study investigates the potential for efficient detection of ghost nets in shallow water coastal environments using high-resolution orthophotos in Lillebælt, Denmark from 2021 to 2025 (Andersen et al., 2026).

The primary method applied was visual interpretation of annual orthophotos generated by the Danish Agency for Climate Data based on aerial photos recorded in spring and autumn from 2021 to 2025 with a spatial resolution of approximately 10–12 cm. Morphometric analyses on airborne lidar bathymetry (ALB) data were integrated to support the identification of ghost nets. Ground-truth data for validation consisted of remotely operated vehicle (ROV) video footage and removal of nets in selected areas.

A total of 73 ghost nets were identified and assigned a confidence level ranging from one (uncertain) to three (certain). Approximately 30% of the detected nets were classified with high confidence (level three), while 46% were assigned confidence level two. In total, 64 of the 73 appointed nets were verified through ROV observations and net removal campaigns (North Nature, 2026). Further analyses revealed that ghost nets affect local vegetation coverage as well as local seabed erosion and deposition.

The results demonstrate that high-resolution orthophotos provide a cost-effective and time-efficient tool for detecting ghost nets in shallow coastal waters. A relatively high temporal resolution of imagery enhances detection capabilities and may support targeted mitigation efforts, contributing to reducing negative impacts on coastal ecosystems.

This project highlights the potential of integrating airborne remote sensing data (orthophotos and bathymetry) and ROV validation data to assess human-induced pressures on coastal environments at local to regional scale.

Acknowledgements

The project was funded by the Danish Environmental Protection Agency. The verification and removal of ghost nets were carried out by Nature North for the Danish Environmental Protection Agency in November 2025.

References

Andersen MS, Larsen IR, Nielsen NLJ, Hansen LØ, Larsen M, Andersen SB, Rödel L-G, Al-Hamdani Z & Ernstsen VB (2026). Near coastal seabed mapping in Lillebælt 2024-2025 (in Danish). GEUS Report for the Danish Environmental Protection Agency.

North Nature (2025). Removal of ghost nets in Lillebælt (in Danish). North Nature Report for the Danish Environmental Protection Agency.

How to cite: L. J. Nielsen, N., S. Andersen, M., R. Larsen, I., Ø. Hansen, L., N. Blok, C., Al-Hamdani, Z., and B. Ernstsen, V.: Spotting ghost nets from above - Airborne imaging to detect ALD fishing nets in shallow water in Lillebælt, Denmark, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18090, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18090, 2026.

EGU26-18491 | Posters on site | GM4.1

Differing sand mining mechanisms generate distinct bedform morphologies 

Christopher Hackney, Hannah Runeckles, Andy Large, Nga Do, and Hue Le

Bedforms exert a fundamental control upon water and sediment transport processes in alluvial systems, including the initiation of flow separation, the generation of shear layers and turbulence, flow resistance, bedload transport and sediment trapping. Dunes are common bedforms in alluvial river channels, having characteristic geometries (height, wavelength and lee-slope angles) and reflect the dominant hydraulic and sedimentological conditions in which they are formed. Yet, alluvial reaches are increasingly impacted by anthropogenic activities - including sand mining – which causes instantaneous changes to riverbed morphology, bedform geometries, and therefore water flow and sediment transport.

Here, we compare the anthropogenic morphological signatures of differing sand extraction methods at two reaches using high-resolution bathymetry surveys. Riverbed morphology was classified into five distinct bedform classes: dunes, scour patches, and three different extraction mechanisms: trawled, suction-mined and crane-mined.

Features associated with crane-mining exhibit the greatest roughness (maximum of 5.3) and mean lee-side angle (x̄ =13.04o, maximum 59o, where x̄ = the sample mean); however, trawled features have the largest average roughness (x̄ = 0.67). Dunes display the greatest mean wavelengths (x̄ 44.5 m), yet all mined bedforms display the greatest mean amplitudes (x̄ = 0.87 m, x̄ = 0.65 m, and x̄ = 0.98 m for crane-mined, suction-mined and trawled, respectively). Each sand mining mechanism causes geometrically distinct bedforms than those formed naturally in equilibrium with prevailing flow and sediment conditions, and therefore will have differing effects on flow conditions in which they occur. In particular, mined features with relatively higher roughness may impart greater flow depths beyond observed water levels and localised flood risk. Our work shows that human activitiy can fundamentally alter flows of water and sediment through river reaches, impacting flood risk.

How to cite: Hackney, C., Runeckles, H., Large, A., Do, N., and Le, H.: Differing sand mining mechanisms generate distinct bedform morphologies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18491, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18491, 2026.

Geodiversity assessment is increasingly recognised as a practical and effective tool supporting the identification, management and monitoring of areas of high natural value, particularly in the context of growing environmental pressures and threats to geoheritage. This presentation has a methodological focus and aims to introduce two geodiversity assessment methods as decision-support tools for identifying the most valuable parts of protected and conserved areas (PCAs), as well as for assessing the rate of change in geodiversity value within a selected study area.

The proposed methods are suitable for the assessment of geo(morpho)sites with a defined area characterised by geomorphometric and geomorphogenetic diversity. They are not intended for the evaluation of point-scale geoheritage features, such as rock outcrops, erratic boulders, caves or waterfalls. Both approaches belong to qualitative–quantitative geodiversity assessment methods and are based on spatial multi-criteria analysis (S-MCA). The first method is designed primarily to identify areas of exceptionally high geodiversity value. It integrates direct spatial data, including geological, geomorphological and soil maps, with indirect variables derived from a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), such as relief energy, the topographic wetness index, total solar radiation and other terrain-based parameters. This approach has proven particularly effective for spatial prioritisation and for supporting geoconservation planning and management. The case studies include established protected areas, such as geomorphosites (Illgraben and Derborence in Switzerland) and a national park (Karkonoski NP in Poland).

The second method relies exclusively on indirect data, specifically geomorphometric parameters calculated from high-resolution LiDAR-derived Digital Elevation Models. The availability of very detailed and up-to-date terrain models allows not only the assessment of present-day geodiversity patterns, but also the identification of temporal changes in geodiversity. This dynamic perspective provides valuable input for risk assessment by enabling the detection of areas undergoing rapid geomorphological change and therefore potentially exposed to increasing threats. The method is demonstrated using a designated nature reserve (Morasko Reserve in Poland) and, for comparison, a dynamically developing urban area under strong anthropogenic pressure.

The applicability of the proposed methods is primarily limited by the availability of spatial data with appropriate temporal and spatial resolution. Both approaches allow for the identification of areas with high geodiversity value and provide a solid basis for management decisions. For these areas, risk assessment can be conducted and strategies for the protection and sustainable management of geoheritage can be developed.

How to cite: Najwer, A.: Geodiversity assessment as a practical tool for risk identification, monitoring and management, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18664, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18664, 2026.

EGU26-19145 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Coupled tectonic and geomorphic forces create a local fish diversity hotspot 

Carolin Krug, Ing Chen, Loïc Pellissier, and Sean D. Willett

Mountain regions are globally recognized as biodiversity hotspots, yet habitat heterogeneity alone cannot fully explain their exceptional diversity. During orogeny, horizontal and vertical tectonic forces, as well as surface erosion, act on the landscape, generating dynamic, transient landscapes with reorganizing drainage networks and changing topography. Because aquatic habitats are tightly coupled with river topography, freshwater species are particularly insightful to study how landscape evolution influences biodiversity.

In this study, we investigated freshwater fish diversity in northern Taiwan, a tectonically active area with high island endemism. Taiwan is dominantly a convergent orogenic belt. However, an exception is the NE corner of the island, where extension associated with the Okinawa back-arc basin has propagated on land. Active crustal stretching and subsidence with normal faulting has resulted in formation of the Ilan Plain and a new drainage system. The largest river in this system is the Lanyang River, which flows parallel to the mountain belt, along an active normal fault system. To investigate if and how basin formation and drainage reorganization impact biodiversity, we collected environmental DNA (eDNA) from 22 riverine sites within and surrounding the Lanyang River basin. We amplified a 420 bp fragment of the mtDNA cytochrome B (cytB) gene and denoised the sequences to retrieve amplicon sequence variants (ASVs). We then examined variations in richness and assemblage composition among basins (interspecific), as well as within one endemic genus (intraspecific).

Our results reveal clear geographic patterns, indicating the existence of geographic barriers, as well as dispersal corridors. The Lanyang River basin emerged as a distinct biodiversity hotspot, with patterns of interspecific and intraspecific diversity suggesting that its high richness has been generated through repeated influx of genetic material from neighboring basins. These patterns are consistent with a history of river capture events driven by drainage divide migration as the Lanyang River basin has increased in size by headwater growth, highlighting how coupled tectonic and geomorphic processes act to shape freshwater fish diversity.

How to cite: Krug, C., Chen, I., Pellissier, L., and Willett, S. D.: Coupled tectonic and geomorphic forces create a local fish diversity hotspot, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19145, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19145, 2026.

EGU26-19810 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

When Sediment Moves but Carbon Lags: Topography and Bioturbation Control Soil Carbon Burial jointly 

Xumin Pan, Tony Reimann, W. Marijn van der Meij, Fei Yang, and Ganlin Zhang

Carbon redistribution along with accelerated erosion in agricultural landscapes is an important component of the global carbon cycle. However, it remains largely untested whether soil particles and soil organic carbon (SOC) are always preserved synchronously across hillslopes, and what mechanisms govern potential decoupling. In hilly Northeastern China, carbon-rich black soils have experienced only recently severe agriculture-induced erosion over the past ~130 years, providing an ideal setting to examine sediment and carbon behaviour over the Holocene and to assess how accelerated anthropogenic erosion influences long-term carbon dynamics. In this study, we investigated single-grain post-infrared infrared stimulated luminescence (pIRIR) signals of feldspar along two black soil catenae with contrasting slopes. 31 luminescence samples collected from five soil profiles along a catena with a slope gradient of 0.37°, 19 luminescence samples from three soil profiles along a catena with a slope gradient of 1.91°.  Geochronological constrains from luminescence and 137Cs were combined with soil properties to trace soil redistribution and reconstruct Holocene erosion phases along the catenae. We identified a clear topographic control on whether sediment and carbon are redistributed synchronously. On gentle slopes, colluvial deposits formed primarily at backslope positions, yet no buried carbon horizons were preserved. This decoupling results from prolonged soil residence times for sufficient bioturbation , as indicated by abundant krotovina and distinct equivalent dose (De) distributions between krotovina and non-krotovina samples from same depth (~80 cm) in the summit profile. In contrast, steeper slopes favour rapid deposition and carbon burial at toeslope position due to higher erosion relative to soil mixing. Overall, our findings demonstrate that topography and post-depositional bioturbation jointly determine whether sediment flux translates into long-term carbon preservation. Gentle slopes promote redistribution without carbon burial, while steeper slopes facilitate synchronous sediment and carbon accumulation. This contrast is further amplified by anthropogenic erosion, leading to situations in which sediment transported is enhanced while carbon burial lags behind. These results highlight the critical role of landscape configuration and biological processes in mediating carbon fate in cultivated soils and emphasize the need to account for such controls when quantify carbon dynamic under human-induced erosion.

How to cite: Pan, X., Reimann, T., van der Meij, W. M., Yang, F., and Zhang, G.: When Sediment Moves but Carbon Lags: Topography and Bioturbation Control Soil Carbon Burial jointly, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19810, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19810, 2026.

EGU26-20474 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Degradation risk assessment and geomorphological mapping for geoconservation at the Dolomites UNESCO World Heritage Site (Italy) 

Andrea Ferrando, Alberto Carton, Paola Coratza, Mauro Soldati, and Vittoria Vandelli

The Dolomites (NE Italy) are among the most famous and popular mountains in Europe and the world. Due to their outstanding aesthetic value and striking geological and geomorphological features, the Dolomites have been recognised as a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

However, like other high mountain areas, the Dolomites are characterized by intense geomorphological dynamics, which are partly exacerbated by climate change and compounded by growing anthropogenic pressure. These dynamics lead to the constant evolution of the landscape and its landforms. In turn, this evolution could constitute a risk factor for the degradation of the area's geological heritage. Therefore, in order to conserve and manage the geological and geomorphological attributes that led to the UNESCO recognition, it’s important to assess their degradation risk and, if necessary, monitor their evolution over time.

This research focuses on developing and testing a methodological framework to assess the risk of degradation and identify geoindicators for geosite monitoring within the Dolomites World Heritage Site. The proposed workflow consists of the following main phases: i) geomorphological field surveys, aimed at characterising the sites and identifying the geomorphological, biological or anthropogenic processes currently active in the area; ii) qualitative assessment of the risk of degradation using the criteria of fragility, natural vulnerability, anthropogenic vulnerability and sensitivity to climate change (sensu Garcia-Ortiz et al., 2014); iii) definition of desirable conditions of conservation; iv) identification of site-specific indicators for monitoring.

The methodology has been tested on several sample sites, for which the preliminary results are given. High fragility and natural vulnerability were mainly associated with small, finite sites (e.g. paleontological sites, earth pyramids); in some sites there are also incipient effects of greening. Anthropogenic vulnerability was assessed as low to medium for all the analysed sites – however, some large, complex sites include geological features that are more vulnerable to human impact than the site as a whole. The sensitivity to climate change of the analysed sites is low to medium. In general, the conditions of conservation observed in the field correspond to the desirable conditions.

The proposed methodology provides an operational, evidence-based protocol for integrating geomorphological analysis into geoheritage monitoring and geoconservation, and offers a transferable framework for other World Heritage properties, Geoparks and protected areas.

How to cite: Ferrando, A., Carton, A., Coratza, P., Soldati, M., and Vandelli, V.: Degradation risk assessment and geomorphological mapping for geoconservation at the Dolomites UNESCO World Heritage Site (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20474, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20474, 2026.

EGU26-21036 | Posters on site | GM4.1

A framework for assessing geomorphic control on habitat patch isolation and transience 

Roos M. J. van Wees, Shuo Zong, Sean Willett, Xianjun Fang, and Loïc Pellissier

Landscape evolution continuously reshapes habitat availability, heterogeneity, and connectivity, thereby influencing patterns of biodiversity, endemism, and ecosystem resilience. Over geological timescales, surface processes such as uplift, erosion, and river capture generate spatially complex mosaics of habitats, while simultaneously creating barriers that isolate populations and alter connected pathways. Despite their central role in structuring ecological patterns, local geomorphic controls are rarely quantified explicitly in biodiversity analyses. Here, we present a framework to quantify how geomorphic processes shape habitat, isolation, and transience. The framework is applied across contrasting geomorphic and climatic settings, including the tropical Andes (Puracé National Natural Park, Colombia), a volcanic oceanic island (Gran Canaria, Canary Islands, Spain), and tectonically active arid mountain landscapes (California, USA).

We derived landform-based habitat patches by integrating multi-scale topographic position index classes and slope to explicitly capture the imprint of long-term surface processes and incorporated temperature and water-balance variables (CHELSA) to approximate the climatic constraints of the landscape. Vegetation was evaluated using an independent, remote-sensing–based product, derived by clustering multispectral imagery, vegetation indices, and canopy height. The landform-based habitat patches and remote-sensing-based vegetation product were verified using an official vegetation map from each region as independent biological reference. The isolation of the habitat patch classes is quantified from spatial connectivity using geomorphic barriers such as valleys, rivers, and relief contrasts, while habitat patch transience is explored using activity-related geomorphic indicators that capture ongoing landscape reorganization.

By evaluating geomorphology–vegetation relationships across multiple regions, the framework uses isolation and transience metrics to distinguish stable habitat patches that constrain vegetation distribution from dynamically reorganizing patches that promote fragmentation and turnover. Preliminary analyses indicate that vegetation diversity, based on vegetation maps, within geomorphic habitat patches tends to be lower than regional diversity, suggesting that they capture a meaningful ecological structure. Association strength appears to increase with elevation, pointing to a potentially important role of climate–topography coupling. Using this approach the framework can assess habitat fragmentation and dynamics within a region, serving as a proxy for tectono-geomorphic influences on biodiversity.

How to cite: van Wees, R. M. J., Zong, S., Willett, S., Fang, X., and Pellissier, L.: A framework for assessing geomorphic control on habitat patch isolation and transience, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21036, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21036, 2026.

EGU26-21285 | ECS | Orals | GM4.1

Of Boulders and Backflow: how catastrophic megafloods create temporally sustained low-relief surfaces in eastern Himalayan river valleys  

Susannah Morey, Katharine Huntington, Karl Lang, and Charlie Shobe

Throughout the Quaternary, glacial lake outburst megafloods (discharge >106 m3/s) sourced from the Tibetan Plateau played an important role in shaping the mountainous landscape of the Yarlung-Siang River (YSR). While these floods are famous for their landscape disruptions and intense erosional scars, the depositional legacy of megafloods may be equally important for landscape evolution—creating and maintaining the low-relief terraces that today support human settlement and agriculture in this otherwise rugged terrain. 

Along the main flood pathway, megaflood-transported boulders can generate localized low-relief zones. We observe >100 boulder bars in the YSR that have boulders too large to be moved by annual, or even historic flows. Where boulder bars are deposited in close proximity during a flood, they locally decrease erosion rates, causing a decrease in slope between consecutive bars over a few thousand years. These low slope reaches of the YSR likely experience enhanced deposition during monsoon flooding, potentially forming low-relief terraces adjacent to the YSR as the channel incises and abandons these surfaces. Regardless of genesis, any low-relief surface that is inundated during a megaflood (whether formed by megaflood boulders or through other unrelated processes like landsliding) will experience low bed shear stresses during the flood, causing these surfaces to act as sites of preferential megaflood deposition. Hydraulic modeling demonstrates that once these surfaces exist, subsequent megafloods can easily deposit on them, reinforcing their low-relief character through repeated cycles of inundation and deposition. Along the YSR, there are often co-occurrences of towns/agricultural fields, large boulders, and slackwater deposits. 

Megafloods also generate substantial deposition far beyond the mainstem flood pathway through backflooding of tributaries. Hydraulic modeling shows that backwater inundation likely extended ~60 km up the anomalously low-relief Siyom River from its confluence with the main flood pathway along the YSR. In the Siyom River valley, aggradational terraces preserve distinct sedimentary facies including laminated sands, clays, and peat consistent with slackwater deposition from temporarily impounded waters. Radiocarbon ages from these deposits (10 ka) overlap temporally with inferred occurrences of Tibetan paleolakes, while detrital zircon geochronology reveals that young Tibetan zircons are present in these slackwater deposits—consistent with a megaflood source for these deposits. The low-relief landscape of the Siyom River valley will naturally become a depo-center if inundated by a megaflood, during which low bed shear stresses are produced due to complex backflooding flow dynamics. This deposition will further reinforce the low-relief character of this valley—a valley that is now home to the town of Aalo(ng), the fourth most populous town in the state of Arunachal Pradesh as of 2011. 

Together, these processes demonstrate how catastrophic floods can paradoxically generate geomorphic stability in these low-relief surfaces. While megafloods represent extreme disruptive events, their depositional products create zones of sustained low-relief landscapes that persist for tens of thousands of years, the coincidence of modeled low shear stress zones, depositional facies, and modern agricultural lands reveals this legacy: catastrophic surface processes that disrupt the broader landscape while simultaneously creating resilient, habitable spaces within it. 

How to cite: Morey, S., Huntington, K., Lang, K., and Shobe, C.: Of Boulders and Backflow: how catastrophic megafloods create temporally sustained low-relief surfaces in eastern Himalayan river valleys , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21285, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21285, 2026.

EGU26-21416 | ECS | Posters on site | GM4.1

Animal, vegetable or mineral? The relative contributions of hydraulic and animal-mediated transport to bedload in a gravel-bed stream 

Richard Mason, Catherine Sanders, Matthew Johnson, Paul Wood, and Stephen Rice

Measuring and predicting sediment transport is a fundamental objective of geomorphology, yet research in rivers focusses almost exclusively on the transport of mineral sediment by water. In reality, material transported over river beds also includes organic sediment and is transported both hydraulically and through the actions of animals. Caddisfly (Trichoptera) are a widespread aquatic insect group which transport sediment over river beds in the form of case bioconstructions. While mineral sediment typically requires high discharge to mobilise, organic material and animal transported sediment may occur under any flow, potentially accounting for a significant proportion of total river bedload. Here, we measure bedload transport for a UK river and partition the contributions of mineral grains, organic materials and case-building caddisfly. Sampling was conducted every two months for a year and captured low-medium discharge conditions.

For particles >2 mm, organic material contributed approximately 50% of total bedload transport, with strong seasonal variation, peaking in autumn. Finer size fractions were dominated by mineral sediment. Caddisfly-transported sediment consisted primarily of medium to coarse sand (D₅₀ = 0.91 mm) and accounted, on average, for 30% of bedload transport of this size fraction, equivalent to 1.27 g m⁻¹ day⁻¹ (465 g m⁻¹ yr⁻¹). Caddisfly contributions were especially important during very low flows when hydraulic sediment transport was minimal. These results demonstrate that invertebrate activity can play a significant role in bedload transport, particularly under low-flow conditions, by altering both the magnitude and grain-size distribution of transported sediment. Our findings highlight the importance of explicitly incorporating biological processes into our understanding of sediment dynamics in rivers.

How to cite: Mason, R., Sanders, C., Johnson, M., Wood, P., and Rice, S.: Animal, vegetable or mineral? The relative contributions of hydraulic and animal-mediated transport to bedload in a gravel-bed stream, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21416, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21416, 2026.

EGU26-1981 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Archeological Prospection Using Multiple Geophysical Methods: An example from SW Taiwan 

Ching-Li Kuo, Hung-Yu Wu, Ruey-Juin Rau, Wei-Chung Han, Cheng-Feng Wu, Ting-Yu Liu, and Shu-Yi Chou

Ground-penetrating radar (GPR) provides high-resolution imaging for shallow archaeological prospection, but its effectiveness is greatly reduced in the conductive, clay-rich alluvium of southwestern Taiwan—especially when exploring Neolithic cultural layers with low electrical impedance contrast between the archaeological targets and surrounding sediments. To overcome this challenge, we conducted an integrated geophysical study at the eastern sector of the Sanmin Road Neolithic site in Tainan, Taiwan. Our approach combines GPR attribute analysis, microtremor analysis, and electrical/gamma-ray borehole logging to understand subsurface stratigraphy and delineate the geometry of the potential cultural horizon. The survey investigated a channel–floodplain transitional environment hosting a Mid-Neolithic cultural layer (ca. 4,000 BP). We observed a strong link between GPR attributes—particularly energy and similarity—and Horizontal-to-Vertical Spectral Ratio (HVSR) resonance peaks, both in depth and lateral continuity of the horizon. Borehole data validated these findings, with core lithology and recovered pottery sherd confirming the stratigraphic and cultural context. The mapped horizon shallows toward the northeast and correspondingly deepens toward the northwest, with subbottom depths between 4.5 to 6.0 meters, and some localized anomalies immediately above this horizon may indicate recent human activities. By combining multiple geophysical methods, our results characterize the geometry, physical properties, and stratigraphy of the interpreted cultural layer. This integrated geophysical framework substantially improves the reliability of studying cultural layers under challenging geological settings, providing a solid basis for planning heritage excavation, preservation, and management.

How to cite: Kuo, C.-L., Wu, H.-Y., Rau, R.-J., Han, W.-C., Wu, C.-F., Liu, T.-Y., and Chou, S.-Y.: Archeological Prospection Using Multiple Geophysical Methods: An example from SW Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1981, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1981, 2026.

EGU26-3587 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Portable OSL supported OSL-dating of sediment accumulation and agricultural hinterland development in the southwestern Jerusalem Highlands, Israel 

Noa Salomons, Joel Roskin, Gala Faershtein, Naomi Porat, Jamie Tiano, and Ahuva Sivan Mizrachi

Portable (port-) OSL profiling and absolute OSL dating enables relative and absolute age acquisition of dry agricultural terrace sediment fill that is understood to usually reflect the age of terrace construction. Here we coupled 300+ port-OSL measurements in 30+ profiles with 12 OSL ages to date archaeological agricultural installations (wadi and slope agricultural terraces, roads, walls, rock piles) and an adjacent, well-preserved type-section of clast and fine-sediment accumulation in a non-terraced, 1st-order basin depression. The study region around Mevo Betar, in the southwestern Jerusalem Highlands of Judea, Israel, consists of mixed Terra-Rossa (Red Mediterranean) soil between lapies formations, in a small-spring dominated, Mediterranean, hard carbonate terrain. The region underwent fluctuations in agricultural-oriented village occupations since Chalcolithic times.

The Terra Rossa soil-like sediment accumulating in the 1st-order  depression since Epipalaeolithic (~17-13 ka) times yields a reliable (R2=0.96) port-OSL – OSL linear regression, that in turn can help roughly estimate ages of the sediment of nearby port-OSL profiled agriculture installations. These installations yield OSL ages dating to Roman, Byzantine, Late Islamic and mid-Ottoman times with limited remains of earlier preserved and presumably natural, aeolian source-sediment of the soils.

It appears that wall-lined agricultural roads and terraces were implemented in Roman to Byzantine times, with a 2nd major phase of expansion in the last millennium, the latter well-established chronologically for terraced hinterlands in the northern Jerusalem Highlands (Porat et al., 2019; Ben-Melech et al., 2025). A distinct dam-like wall dissecting the depression, roughly age-estimated by the port-OSL-OSL regression to Roman times, may be further evidence of Roman involvement, as recognized by another Roman-dated wall dissecting a nearby wadi.

Despite no significant increase in aeolian dustfall since ~2.5 ka, average sediment accumulation rates in the 1st-order  depression grew threefold, probably due to anthropogenic soil exposure by agriculture, grazing and shrub/tree utilization for fire fuel. Such enhanced soil erosion may have been observed by locals, and eventually motivated terracing efforts. We suggest that the expansion of agricultural installations into hinterlands of ancient villages in the southern Levant was characterized by a non-linear growth process that included improvement and maintenance of existing features, and a generally radial development pattern from village peripheries into "terra incognita" hinterlands over a wide range of hard carbonate formations and morphologies. This expansion led to the current landscape morphology with significant terrace cover, that still constrains erosive slope processes.

 

Porat, N. et al. (2019). Using portable OSL reader to obtain a time scale for soil accumulation and erosion in archaeological terraces, the Judean Highlands, Israel. QG49, 65-70.‏

Ben-Melech, N. et al. (2025). Agricultural Terracing and land tenure in late medieval Southern levant: the case of Nahal Ein Karim, Jerusalem. EA 30(6), 590-604.‏

How to cite: Salomons, N., Roskin, J., Faershtein, G., Porat, N., Tiano, J., and Mizrachi, A. S.: Portable OSL supported OSL-dating of sediment accumulation and agricultural hinterland development in the southwestern Jerusalem Highlands, Israel, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3587, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3587, 2026.

EGU26-6477 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Late Holocene alluvial sediment dynamics of the Wiesent River catchment (NE-Bavaria, Germany): Insights from high-resolution OSL dating and bayesian age-depth modelling 

Bastian Grimm, Christian Zeeden, Alexander Voigt, Thomas Kolb, Andreas Dix, Rainer Schreg, Niklas Pauly, Janina Merz, and Markus Fuchs

Floodplains are key geoarchives for reconstructing long-term human–environment interactions, particularly during the Late Holocene when anthropogenic influence increasingly rivalled natural controls on fluvial systems. In Central Europe, centuries of land-use change, deforestation, agriculture and hydrotechnical interventions have fundamentally reshaped river morphology, sediment dynamics and floodplain architecture. This study investigates the Wiesent River catchment in northern Bavaria, Germany, as a representative example of the transition from a predominantly natural to a human-dominated fluvial landscape.

We apply a multi-proxy approach combining sedimentological, geophysical and paleoenvironmental analyses with optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating to establish a robust chronological framework for floodplain development. Bayesian age–depth modelling of OSL ages significantly reduces chronological uncertainty and enables the identification of successive phases of sediment accumulation and stratigraphic reorganisation. This improved temporal resolution facilitates comparison between floodplain sedimentation patterns and archaeological and historical evidence for land-use change within broader socio-environmental developments.

The floodplains of the Wiesent River catchment are characterised by laterally extensive and locally thick overbank deposits that record pronounced shifts in sediment dynamics during the Late Holocene. Chronostratigraphic patterns indicate that sediment deposition within the floodplain is not synchronous with documented phases of intensified land use in the catchment. Instead, the results point to pronounced temporal offsets between sediment mobilisation in upland areas and its eventual incorporation into floodplain stratigraphy. These offsets highlight the importance of sediment storage and delayed transfer within the catchment, consistent with a sediment cascade framework in which mobilised material may remain stored in hillslopes, colluvial deposits or tributary systems for extended periods before final floodplain deposition.

The chronostratigraphic record demonstrates that floodplain sedimentation does not directly mirror phases of peak human activity, but rather reflects the cumulative and time-transgressive nature of sediment transfer processes. Comparisons with already studied sub-catchments support the regional relevance of these delayed responses. By integrating high-resolution OSL chronologies with sedimentological evidence, this study provides a nuanced reconstruction of fluvial transformation that emphasises temporal lags and internal system feedbacks.

These findings underline the value of well-constrained chronostratigraphy for interpreting fluvial geoarchives in human-modified landscapes. Understanding the timing and pathways of sediment redistribution is essential for disentangling natural processes from indirect human influence and for placing archaeological and historical land-use signals into their geomorphological and geoarchaeological context.

How to cite: Grimm, B., Zeeden, C., Voigt, A., Kolb, T., Dix, A., Schreg, R., Pauly, N., Merz, J., and Fuchs, M.: Late Holocene alluvial sediment dynamics of the Wiesent River catchment (NE-Bavaria, Germany): Insights from high-resolution OSL dating and bayesian age-depth modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6477, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6477, 2026.

EGU26-6548 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Paleo-environmental characterisation of an archaeological site through multi geophysical techniques and stratigraphic analysis 

Alberto Cogliati, Alessandro Ghirotto, Andrea Zunino, Luca Peruzzo, Jacopo Boaga, Mauro Pavan, and Egidio Armadillo

The Neolithic settlement of Favella della Corte (Cosenza, Southern Italy) provides an important opportunity to investigate prehistoric Southern Italian communities. This work presents the results of sedimentological analysis on outcropping stratigraphic units coupled with a non-invasive geophysical investigation of the site. Specifically, a multi approach geophysical survey has been conducted, including magnetic field measurements, magnetic susceptibility sampling and electrical resistivity profiling. This study aims to provide a detailed characterisation of the site’s shallow stratigraphy and to support the reconstruction of its paleo-environmental context.

The magnetic survey consisted of approximately 3,000 measurements acquired over an area of 11,600 m² using a Scintrex MP3 Proton Procession Magnetometer (PPM). Magnetic susceptibility was measured on exposed stratigraphic units along vertical sections, with sampling intervals of 20–50 cm, using a portable Geofyzika KT-5 kappameter. Electrical resistivity data were collected along nine profiles spaced 20 m apart, each extending up to 90 m in length. Measurements were carried out using a geo-resistivimeter designed and built by the Applied Geophysics Laboratory of the University of Genova.

Sedimentological analyses revealed the alternation of three shallow levels: (i) an upper arable layer, (ii) an intermediate silty sand layer, and (iii) a deeper silty-sandy gravel layer. Magnetic susceptibility data supported this evidence, highlighting a contrast between the more susceptible intermediate horizon and the underlying gravel level. Therefore, the magnetic inversion was constrained to a single layer of prismatic bodies, enabling the reconstruction of the interface between silty sand and silty-sandy gravel units. Because of the non-linearity of the inverse problem, the L-BFGS algorithm has been employed to solve the optimization problem. The model parameters involved are the depth of the bottom of each prism and a single value of magnetic susceptibility contrast associated with all the prisms. These parameters were updated at every iteration until the L-BFGS algorithm converged. The electrical resistivity data have been modelled along two-dimensional sections using Res2dinv software based on the smoothness-constrained least-squares method without any constraints due to the absence of a priori information (e.g. water table depth, homogeneity degree and resistivity values of the lithological units).

Combined modelling of magnetic and electrical resistivity datasets has revealed a NE–SW trending linear feature 70m long, 15m wide and reaching depths of about 4m, crossing the whole survey area. The sedimentological evidence resulting from outcropping stratigraphic units allowed us to interpret it as a paleo-channel carved into the silty-sandy gravel substrate and filled with silty sand material. Considering the pronounced straightness of this feature, we interpreted it as an anthropogenic paleo channel with a drainage function. Although of unknown age, the paleo- channel may have controlled the distribution of the Neolithic settlement of Favella della Corte.

The coupling of magnetic and electric resistivity techniques has proved to be highly effective for reconstructing the paleo environmental context of the Favella della Corte area, revealing subsurface stratigraphy and a geomorphological feature. These findings have highlighted the value of integrated geophysical approaches for reconstructing ancient landscapes and informing future research.

How to cite: Cogliati, A., Ghirotto, A., Zunino, A., Peruzzo, L., Boaga, J., Pavan, M., and Armadillo, E.: Paleo-environmental characterisation of an archaeological site through multi geophysical techniques and stratigraphic analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6548, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6548, 2026.

EGU26-6888 | PICO | GM4.4

Tracing Holocene sediment pathways in a Central European river catchment - the Weiße Elster (Central Germany) 

Hans von Suchodoletz, Azra Khosravichenar, Pierre Fütterer, Birgit Schneider, Simon Scheper, Ulrike Werban, Peter Kühn, Tomas Matys Grygar, Ivana Pavlů, Christian Tinapp, Tobias Lauer, Lukas Werther, Harald Stäuble, Michael Hein, Anne Köhler, Christoph Zielhofer, Ulrich Veit, Peter Ettel, and Jan Miera

The sediment dynamics include erosion, transport and deposition of sediments within and through a catchment. Erosion leads to a degradation of fertile soils on the slopes, while introducing large-scale inputs of fine-grained overbank sediments into floodplains. These sediments often contain particulate organic carbon and partly also contaminants. This sediment input changes floodplain properties, including e.g. geomorphology, habitat diversity, ecosystem services or human health impacts. Throughout most of the Holocene human activities increasingly influenced sediment dynamics in Central European river catchments through agriculture and settlement, starting in the Neolithic and strongly accelerating since the Middle Ages. However, the Holocene sediment dynamics of Central European river systems remains currently poorly understood. One key question concerns the fate of eroded slope sediments: How much is deposited within a certain part of the catchment, and how much is transported further downstream? Recent studies have addressed this issue by calculating Holocene sediment budgets including ‘sediment delivery ratios’ (SDRs), approximate estimations of the long-term fractions of eroded slope sediments reaching the channel or being transported to the catchment’s outlet. However, the ‘black box’ character of long-term SDRs prevents a detailed examination of temporal variations. Sediment provenance analyses could overcome this limitation by more precisely tracing pathways of Holocene sediments through river systems. Furthermore, well-resolved spatio-temporal information about former human activities has often been unavailable, limiting our ability to estimate human influence on the sediment dynamics.

We applied a comprehensive multi-disciplinary approach to the Weiße Elster catchment in Central Germany, which has been partly settled since the Neolithic. Our approach encompassed geomorphology, geophysics, geochronology, geochemical analysis, soil erosion modelling, settlement archaeology and history. We compared patterns and provenance of floodplain sediments in the middle and upper reaches and of colluvial deposits along the middle river reach with regional settlement history. This allowed us to identify the origin of the fluvial sediments in the middle river reach, and evaluate the diachronic influence of human activities on the Holocene sediment dynamics in the floodplain.

How to cite: von Suchodoletz, H., Khosravichenar, A., Fütterer, P., Schneider, B., Scheper, S., Werban, U., Kühn, P., Matys Grygar, T., Pavlů, I., Tinapp, C., Lauer, T., Werther, L., Stäuble, H., Hein, M., Köhler, A., Zielhofer, C., Veit, U., Ettel, P., and Miera, J.: Tracing Holocene sediment pathways in a Central European river catchment - the Weiße Elster (Central Germany), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6888, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6888, 2026.

EGU26-11116 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

First steps towards the reconstruction of land use in the medieval Fluvial Anthroposhere of the Echaz floodplain (Southwest Germany)  

Snježana Pejdanović, Ema Zvara, Birgit Schneider, Ella Quante, Marco Pohle, Sara Saeidi ghavi andam, Iris Nießen, Marsel Schön, Tobias Lauer, Kathryn E. Fitzsimmons, Ulrike Werban, Yvonne Oelmann, Harald Neidhardt, Sven Marhan, Ellen Kandeler, Christian Poll, Peter Frenzel, Lukas Werther, Christoph Zielhofer, and Peter Kuehn

The Echaz River is a third-order karst river and a tributary of the Rhine. It originates in the Swabian Alb and cuts a cuesta landscape until it flows into the Neckar River. Structural changes to the natural course and floodplain of the Echaz are mainly due to the exploitation of its water power by mills and the irrigation of the so-called „water meadows“ during the Middle Ages (the water meadows appear in written sources as early as 1289, the mills in 1138 in Reutlingen, and in 1297 in Pfullingen).

This study presents the first steps towards a multidisciplinary reconstruction of the Fluvial Anthroposphere, by investigating local medieval pathways and land use in parts of the Echaz floodplain upstream of Pfullingen and downstream of Reutlingen. This reach of the Echaz was a centre of crafts, tanneries, dyeing and paper manufacturing in the Middle Ages. The upstream sites represent areas of anthropogenic influence, with water meadows presumably established in the High Middle Ages, while the sediments and soils of the downstream sites have archived signals of medieval and early modern craft activities (such as heavy metals: chromium, copper, iron, nickel, lead, zinc).

These first steps of research comprise the digitisation of old maps combined with information from historical and archaeological archives. A digital relief model in combination with geophysical results from Electromagnetic Induction (EMI) and, Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) are correlated with soil profiles and soil/sediment cores from the Echaz floodplain, and form the basis for the reconstruction of natural and anhtropogenic stratigraphies.

Future work will include the establishment of a chronostratigraphic model with luminescence ages of sediments and radiocarbon dates of charcoal fragments, which will provide the basis for the selection of suitable sites for further analysis, including a combination of digital historical maps and physical-biogeochemical analyses (enzymes for excrement input, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons [PAH] for fire use), stable isotope ratios of C and N for the differentiation of C3 and C4 plants, as well as XRF analysis (for heavy metal pollution) as well as mollusc and ostracod analyses for aquatic habitat and water quality reconstruction.

How to cite: Pejdanović, S., Zvara, E., Schneider, B., Quante, E., Pohle, M., Saeidi ghavi andam, S., Nießen, I., Schön, M., Lauer, T., Fitzsimmons, K. E., Werban, U., Oelmann, Y., Neidhardt, H., Marhan, S., Kandeler, E., Poll, C., Frenzel, P., Werther, L., Zielhofer, C., and Kuehn, P.: First steps towards the reconstruction of land use in the medieval Fluvial Anthroposhere of the Echaz floodplain (Southwest Germany) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11116, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11116, 2026.

EGU26-12793 | PICO | GM4.4

Landscape variability and human patterns in Bronze-Iron Age hilltop settlements in the Central Apennines (Italy). 

Guido Stefano Mariani, Michele Tommaso Maio, and Pierluigi Pieruccini

During the Bronze and Iron Ages artificially defended hilltop settlements were commonplace in Europe. Their typologies, development, and diffusion have been widely investigated in the archaeological literature, with different tools, from traditional field excavations to the newest techniques in photogrammetry and spatial analysis. In Italy, the occurrence and context of hillforts are less known. Here, hilltop features characterised by concentric rings, known as Castellieri, have been attributed to protohistoric times, dated to a chronological range from the 15th century BCE to the 3rd century BCE. Their presence is attested from the Karst region and the Istrian Peninsula down along the Apennines from Tuscany to Apulia. In Apenninic Italy, these sites occur in intermontane locations, and likely characterised a non-urban society that lived in a marginal and challenging landscape.

We identified potential Castellieri sites within the Umbro-Marchean Apennines through the application of remote sensing techniques integrated with GIS-based cartographic analysis. This approach allowed to characterise, for the first time, the Castellieri sites through a field-based geomorphological, topographical, relational and archaeological assessment and investigate their relationships with the surrounding palaeoenvironment in terms of spatial use and natural resources exploitation. These sites are typologically defined by the presence of characteristic earthen embankments or stone fortifications, their morphologies, often featuring circular and concentric enclosures adapted to local geomorphology, and their strategic siting, predominantly on elevated terrain or at the confluences of valleys. Our preliminary analyses show a remarkable network of interconnected sites along a variety of landscapes, following patterns relatable to widespread and established pastoral practices potentially similar to modern times.

How to cite: Mariani, G. S., Maio, M. T., and Pieruccini, P.: Landscape variability and human patterns in Bronze-Iron Age hilltop settlements in the Central Apennines (Italy)., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12793, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12793, 2026.

EGU26-12933 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Dryland Nile waterscapes and human footprints at Giza (Egypt): 8000 years of Khufu-branch dynamics, harbour palaeotopography, agropastoral adaptation, and early copper pollution 

Gamal Younes, Hader Sheisha, David Kaniewski, Nick Marriner, Christophe Morhange, Amr Saleem, and Alain Véron

The Giza Plateau lies at the desert-floodplain interface, where small variations in Nile waterscapes could decisively condition settlement, subsistence strategies, and large-scale engineering projects such as the construction of the pyramids. Here we synthesize multi-proxy geoarchaeological evidence to reconstruct the coupled evolution of a dryland river corridor and its cultural landscapes over the last ~8,000 years, focusing on the now-defunct Khufu branch and Khufu’s Pharaonic Harbour. First, pollen-derived vegetation patterns from floodplain cores (G1 and G4) are used to quantify long-term Khufu-branch level changes and their link to regional hydroclimate variability, including the termination of the African Humid Period (~3550 ± 80 BCE) and subsequent aridification trends, while highlighting water-level conditions during the 4th Dynasty that favoured navigation and logistics. Second, chronostratigraphy and sedimentology from the harbour core (Giza-3) constrain Holocene sedimentary units and allow reconstruction of local palaeotopography and harbour functionality, showing a shift from an earlier secondary palaeochannel to floodplain/harbour environments consistent with Old Kingdom use. Third, high-resolution palynological and non-pollen palynomorph indicators document a long record of agropastoral practices at the foot of the necropolis (from ~7980 ± 80 BCE to 375 ± 80 CE), enabling assessment of human adaptive thresholds under drought–flood stresses in a semi-arid setting. Finally, geochemical analyses (ICP-MS; Cu enrichment factors with crustal-element normalization) from harbour sediments reveal distinct phases of anthropogenic copper contamination from the Predynastic through Dynastic periods, including peaks during the reigns of Khufu, Khafre and Menkaure, providing an environmental signal of intensified metalworking associated with construction and subsequent activity. Together, these datasets show how dryland river dynamics, floodplain geomorphology, and human land use co-evolved at Giza, and demonstrate that monumental building in semi-arid landscapes left not only a cultural legacy but also detectable early geochemical pollution in sedimentary archives.

How to cite: Younes, G., Sheisha, H., Kaniewski, D., Marriner, N., Morhange, C., Saleem, A., and Véron, A.: Dryland Nile waterscapes and human footprints at Giza (Egypt): 8000 years of Khufu-branch dynamics, harbour palaeotopography, agropastoral adaptation, and early copper pollution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12933, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12933, 2026.

EGU26-13701 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

Evolving shores, hidden stones: The impact of sea level change and sedimentation on lithic procurement in Valencian coastal sites 

Nahum Mendez-Chazarra, Jaime Cuevas-González, and Aleix Eixea

Reconstructing the mobility strategies of Neanderthal and anatomically modern human populations requires an accurate mapping of the raw material outcrops. In the coastal zones of Valencia, the distance between archaeological sites and raw material outcrops is frequently calculated based on current topography, but there are some limitations of these models if we consider several taphonomic filters that flint can suffer: 1. The burial of Pleistocene river terraces due to past or recent sedimentation; 2. The inundation of secondary deposits on the continental shelf during interglacial highstands and 3. The mechanical selection of materials during transport. Specifically, we account for the fact that flint can survive high-energy transport over longer distances over limestone. This is enough to create a compositional bias where distant secondary sources are naturally enriched in high quality lithic materials.

By modelling the exposure and predicted composition of these secondary sources during glacial maximum and minimums, we suggest that many raw materials classified as “distant” or “exotic” in the archeological recod may have been locally available in now vanished landscapes. This reconstructive approach forces a reevaluation of procurement economy, suggesting that human groups could have been able to exploit a resource rich landscape that extended kilometers beyond the modern shoreline.

How to cite: Mendez-Chazarra, N., Cuevas-González, J., and Eixea, A.: Evolving shores, hidden stones: The impact of sea level change and sedimentation on lithic procurement in Valencian coastal sites, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13701, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13701, 2026.

Site preservation and terrain characteristics are primary factors influencing the spatial distribution and discoverability of Late Pleistocene archaeological sites. To predict site expectancy across extensive areas, such as the southern Levant, this study integrates archaeological on-site analysis, with geoarchaeology and geomorphology using spatial analysis. We present a predictive suitability model, derived from a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), designed to identify areas with high potential for Upper Palaeolithic sites in the Eastern Mediterranean and its arid margins. By incorporating data from various prominent Upper Palaeolithic sites in the diverse study area, eight parameters were evaluated for their significance: geomorphology, hydrogeology, drainage network, vegetation zone, elevation, as well as DEM derivates such as aspect, slope inclination, and terrain ruggedness. Statistical analysis reveals a significant divergence between the spatial distribution of sites and natural terrain position factors. This finding allows for the definition of parameter classes associated with high site expectancy, which were then incorporated into the predictive model. The resulting site location suitability maps reinforces the potential for a detailed study by utilising larger site datasets and enhanced spatial information to investigate to which part archaeological site distribution in such an heterogenous landscape from desert to Mediterranean forest, can be related to prehistoric human site selection, site preservation or survey bias.

How to cite: Zickel, M. and Rohringer, H.: Environmental Geodata-Based Location Suitability Analysis for Archaeological Sites in the Southern Levant, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19485, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19485, 2026.

EGU26-19713 | ECS | PICO | GM4.4

OSL rock surface burial dating of megalith structures in the Dzhungar Mountains - Kazakhstan 

Sarah Schaffer, Michael Meyer, Peter Tropper, Loic Martin, Michael Frachetti, and Darkhan Baitleu

The Dzhungar Mountains in northern Tien Shan, Kazakhstan, are part of the Inner Asian Mountain Corridor, which extends from the Hindu Kush to the Altai. This corridor is significant for human migration and cultural exchange due to its water availability and ecological diversity. The Dzhungar Mountains contain several Bronze Age sites, including the Dali settlement complex and an adjacent circular megalithic structure several meters in diameter. Megaliths in Central Inner Asia are rare, undated, and understudied, leaving their chronological relationship to the Bronze Age unclear.

Infrared Stimulated Luminescence rock surface burial dating (IRSL RSbD) is a new tool in quaternary geochronology and allows determining the burial age of rock surfaces since their last exposure to sunlight. The method is based on the fact that, over time, rock surfaces can store energy in the crystal lattice of rock-building minerals, such as feldspar, due to naturally occurring radiation. This energy can be read out as luminescence signal upon infrared stimulation under laboratory conditions and burial ages calculated. 

For dating the Dali megalith structure, we used infrared-stimulated luminescence of feldspar from the buried face of the granitic megalith boulders and complemented this with single-grain OSL dating of the sediment beneath the boulders. This combined dating approach helps to establish a chronological framework for the Dali megalithic structure and assess its relationship to the Bronze Age timeline of the Inner Asian Mountain Corridor.

How to cite: Schaffer, S., Meyer, M., Tropper, P., Martin, L., Frachetti, M., and Baitleu, D.: OSL rock surface burial dating of megalith structures in the Dzhungar Mountains - Kazakhstan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19713, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19713, 2026.

The soil systems of Sardina, the second-biggest island of the Mediterranean, have been shaped by Quaternary climatic fluctuations and long- to short-term regional geodynamic processes across its coastal to upland environments. Pedological archives document the influence of the last interglacial and subsequent stadial/interstadial cycles, as well as the contribution of Plio-Pleistocene volcanic activity and long-distance aeolian dust transport across the Mediterranean basin. While the roles of time, climate, morphology, and parent material in Sardinian soil development is relatively well understood, the influence of past human activity remains comparatively underexplored. Permanent human presence only began during the Middle Holocene (Northgrippian) with the peopling of the island by Neolithic farmers that introduced domestic plants and animals. Also, from the Neolithic through the Bronze Age, these farming societies followed a distinctive trajectory marked by intensive monument-building that still imprints Sardinia’s landscapes today.

To begin filling this gap, this paper presents three geoarchaeological case studies examining interactions between soil development and human activity during the Neolithic, Copper Age, and Bronze Age. The study areas are distributed along a north-south transect and encompass three major geological settings in Sardinia: Miocene limestones, Oligo-Miocene acidic rhyolitic ignimbrites, and Pleistocene mafic basalts. An integrated geoarchaeological approach was applied focusing on buried soil horizons, archaeological deposits, and co-alluvial sedimentary records directly associated with settlements. All sites were investigated through detailed soil description and soil micromorphology, while particle-size analysis and radiocarbon dating are currently available for two of the three case studies, and XRD-mineralogy and ICP-MS geochemistry complemented the analyses in one case study.

Across all investigated areas, buried soils differ markedly from present-day soilscapes. Soil micromorphology and geochemical data from soil horizons and archaeological sequences reveal pedofeatures and geochemical signatures indicative of organic and inorganic anthropogenic inputs related to agropastoral practices, as well as microstructures associated with soil erosion. Local sedimentary archives further record the downslope mobilisation of soil material, with chronostratigraphic and petrographic evidence corresponding to phases of settlement and land-use activity.

Together, these case studies provide evidence-based new insights into the role of human activity in shaping Sardinia’s soil diversity, highlighting human agency as a key driver of soil development since the Holocene. Future work will aim to translate this mosaic of human-soil interactions into a better understanding of the timing and origin of the soil cover of the island, contributing to advance the knowledge of the Mediterranean human-environmental history.

How to cite: Marras, G. M.: Past human activity and its role in soil development in Sardinia (western Mediterranean), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21522, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21522, 2026.

EGU26-22358 | PICO | GM4.4

Hydrological and Environmental Factors in Settlement Growth and Decline: ‘En Esur in the Early Bronze Age 

Oren Ackermann, Kristina S. Reed, Yaakov Anker, Itai Elad, Yitzhak Paz, Gal Yasur, and Tami Zilberman

The Early Bronze Age settlement of ‘En Esur, located on Israel’s eastern coastal plain, thrived in an area characterized by abundant perennial freshwater sources and fertile alluvial soils. Despite this hydrological wealth, the site was abruptly abandoned by the end of the Early Bronze Age IB (ca. 3000 BCE). This study examines the environmental dynamics, particularly the hydrological thresholds that governed the growth and decline of this proto-urban settlement.

An integrated paleoenvironmental reconstruction combining pedosedimentary profiles, stable isotope analyses (δ¹³C, δ¹⁸O), palynological sequences, and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating reveals that increasing rainfall, superimposed on already high water availability, overwhelmed the floodplain’s drainage capacity. This led to widespread waterlogging, marsh formation, and deterioration of agro-pastoral productivity. Botanical and isotopic proxies document a marked rise in hydrophilic vegetation and a decline in ruderal cover, indicating soil saturation and reduced cultivability.

These findings suggest that ‘En Esur’s abandonment was driven not by water scarcity, but by ecological oversaturation when environmental abundance crossed critical hydrological thresholds. The case of ‘En Esur thus exemplifies how shifts in water regimes can transform a thriving settlement into an unsustainable marshland, offering key insights into human–environment interactions on the southern Levantine coastal plain.

How to cite: Ackermann, O., Reed, K. S., Anker, Y., Elad, I., Paz, Y., Yasur, G., and Zilberman, T.: Hydrological and Environmental Factors in Settlement Growth and Decline: ‘En Esur in the Early Bronze Age, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22358, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22358, 2026.

EGU26-44 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

SmarTerrae: Applied scientific training in geoscience from the earliest educational stages 

Lorena Salgado and Rubén Forján

We present an educational, learn-by-doing model that integrates real-world projects in geosciences, environmental management and conservation with the production and active dissemination of scientific outputs, complemented by digital communication as a largely passive outreach channel. The programme is motivated by a pronounced disconnection among young people—including those enrolled in environmental and territorial studies—and the place-based problems that surround them, a gap that jeopardizes the near-term availability of qualified environmental and land-management professionals. Our objective is to engage secondary, baccalaureate, vocational (FP), and undergraduate students as active participants in problem identification, project co-design, and execution—equipping them with the conceptual and technical tools needed to address environmental and territorial challenges in the north-west of the Iberian Peninsula.

A quasi-experimental pre-test–post-test design without a control group was implemented across multiple educational levels. The evolution of perceptions and competences was assessed using Likert-scale questionnaires, a register of scientific outputs, and baseline Instagram analytics. A distinctive feature of the model is that students are not only active co-designers of each project but also the primary executors of fieldwork and analysis under light supervision. In addition, they regularly present in age-appropriate scientific fora (e.g., school symposia, regional conferences), which deepens their sense of ownership and strengthens the bond with both the project and the territory.

Results indicate general improvements in interest in science and the environment, data-analysis capability, understanding of the research process, and willingness to participate in scientific activities. Tangible, transferable outputs were generated (e.g., a conference poster and articles published or in preparation), and continuity of training pathways was established. The @SmarTerrae profile is consolidating as a knowledge-transfer channel during the programme’s implementation phase, complementing in-person dissemination.

How to cite: Salgado, L. and Forján, R.: SmarTerrae: Applied scientific training in geoscience from the earliest educational stages, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-44, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-44, 2026.

EGU26-712 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Evaluating Dendroclimatology-Based Climate Education Across Stakeholder Groups in the Ukrainian Carpathians 

Dariia Kholiavchuk, Jan Šebesta, Maryna Dranichenko, Vladyslav Maievskyi, Alina Horiuk, Karolina Shestobanska, Yuliia Kuzenko, and Serhii Tokariuk

Translating paleoclimate evidence into actionable climate literacy requires context-specific pedagogical approaches. This study evaluates whether tangible proxy data (tree-ring records) enhances climate change comprehension compared to abstract datasets. It assesses differential educational strategies for three stakeholder groups with varying knowledge bases and decision-making responsibilities.

We conducted structured field workshops with 52 participants across three cohorts in the Ukrainian Carpathians during 2025 as part of the “Capacity Building for Research and Protection of Natural Forests in Western Ukraine” project. In collaboration with the Chernivtsi City Council’s Climate Policy Division, we designed learning objectives aligned with municipal adaptation planning needs, addressing a critical gap where protected area managers lack access to climate education. This integration of local ecological data with regional adaptation frameworks aims to enhance the effectiveness of climate adaptation efforts. University academics (n=8) and protected area rangers (n=4) attended seven-day workshops at Carpathian Biosphere Reserve and Vyzhnytskyi National Natural Park (July 2025). A separate field seminar at Tsetsyno highland employed a cascading pedagogy, where trained third-year geography students (n = 7) facilitated learning for second-year students (n = 7) and secondary pupils (grades 9-12, n = 25) in October 2025. All participants completed pre-workshop climate knowledge assessments, post-workshop evaluations, and structured feedback surveys (100% response rate).

Standardised content included physical examination of increment cores from 50- to 200-year-old beech and spruce, interpretation of ring-width chronologies showing documented climate extremes (the 1990s warming and the 2003 heatwave), soil and vegetation analysis, and regional temperature reconstruction visualisation (1750-2024). Municipal climate policy staff co-designed ranger modules emphasising management applications, including translating paleoclimate uncertainty into risk assessment and developing evidence-based adaptation strategies. Pre-assessment revealed critical baseline differences. Academics demonstrated strong theoretical knowledge (mean: 78%) but limited practical application capacity. Rangers possessed detailed, contemporary observational knowledge (mean: 65%), but lacked a historical context of climate. 93% of them could not identify whether current warming rates were unprecedented regionally. Secondary students showed the lowest baseline comprehension (mean: 41%).

Post-workshop assessments revealed differential gains among the groups. Rangers demonstrated the most significant increase in knowledge, particularly in interpreting timescales of climate variability. Academics showed modest gains, primarily in translating research for non-specialist audiences. Student moderators achieved substantial gains through the dual benefits of content mastery and pedagogical skill development. Secondary students showed significant improvements, with hands-on “tree doctor” activities generating the strongest engagement. Tangible proxy data effectively addressed the challenges of abstract temporal scales. Local site selection proved critical as participants connected evidence directly to familiar landscapes and management contexts.

Small sample sizes limit the generalizability of the findings, which represent a proof-of-concept that requires validation through larger studies and a cost-effectiveness analysis. However, the results suggest that paleoclimate proxies effectively communicate climate context to decision-makers who lack historical baselines, which is a critical gap in adaptation planning. The research-governance partnership model demonstrates how academic institutions can support the implementation of municipal climate policies through targeted capacity building, resulting in measurable outcomes in resource management and education.

How to cite: Kholiavchuk, D., Šebesta, J., Dranichenko, M., Maievskyi, V., Horiuk, A., Shestobanska, K., Kuzenko, Y., and Tokariuk, S.: Evaluating Dendroclimatology-Based Climate Education Across Stakeholder Groups in the Ukrainian Carpathians, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-712, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-712, 2026.

EGU26-800 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

Speculative Storytelling as a Tool for Biodiversity and Climate Communication 

Chiara Anzolini, Fabio De Pascale, and Telmo Pievani

Communicating biodiversity loss and climate disruption to non-specialist audiences requires approaches that translate complex scientific processes into accessible and emotionally resonant forms. Speculative storytelling, including science fiction and future-oriented narratives, offers a promising strategy. By imagining plausible futures grounded in current scientific knowledge, these narratives illuminate the consequences of environmental change while encouraging reflection on societal choices, adaptive behaviours, and potential pathways forward.
Within the Science and Society spoke of the National Biodiversity Future Center (NBFC), funded by Italy’s National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR), we adopt an interdisciplinary, research-informed framework for the design of such narratives. Science communicators operate as intermediaries between researchers and creative professionals – writers, illustrators, media producers – ensuring both scientific accuracy and narrative coherence. This role includes conceptual development, the selection of scientific experts based on thematic relevance and communication skills, and continuous collaboration throughout the creative process. It also extends to the public-facing dissemination of the resulting works, enabling coherence between scientific objectives, artistic expression, and audience engagement.

A key aspect of this approach is the strategic use of distinct speculative modes to engage different audiences. Dystopian narratives explore the ecological and social implications of biodiversity loss by depicting futures in which degraded ecosystems or climate-altered conditions shape daily life, effectively highlighting risks and long-term consequences. In contrast, positive or “post-crisis” futures imagine societies that have adopted sustainable practices and redefined their relationship with natural systems, promoting a sense of agency and motivating constructive engagement.
Embedding rigorous scientific input within imaginative world-building allows speculative storytelling to convey biodiversity and climate issues in ways that extend beyond traditional educational formats. By making abstract temporal scales, uncertain projections, and complex socio-ecological dynamics more concrete, these narratives support both understanding and emotional resonance. The use of varied media – from comics to podcasts – further enables the tailoring of content to diverse publics and communication contexts.
I will discuss selected initiatives that employ speculative storytelling for biodiversity and climate communication across different media formats. These examples show how interdisciplinary, narrative-driven approaches can create science communication that is both emotionally engaging and scientifically robust, enriching public understanding of environmental change.

How to cite: Anzolini, C., De Pascale, F., and Pievani, T.: Speculative Storytelling as a Tool for Biodiversity and Climate Communication, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-800, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-800, 2026.

The project ‘Prison talks: bringing climate change conversations into the Irish prisons’ has been awarded an EGU Public Engagement Grant. This public engagement project brings talks on climate change, extreme weather events, and their impacts to inmates (people in prison) in Irish prisons, through the lens of science communication and outreach.

This project is raising awareness of climate change and its impacts among people in prison, a hard-to-reach audience with limited access to science communication and outreach activities. People in prison have an educational disadvantage, as many didn’t finish secondary school. This climate change outreach project plays a transformative role by providing values, knowledge, and skills to help individuals reach their full potential, motivate positive citizenship, develop social responsibility and personal transformation, increase well-being, and foster a sense of community and belonging, enabling them to live more successfully upon release.

People in prison completed anonymous surveys (quantitative and qualitative questions) before and after attending the climate change talks to assess their perceptions of climate change and science communication and to evaluate the project's effectiveness.

This presentation will outline the research methods, lesson plans, project’s findings and recommendations. The project ‘Prison talks: bringing climate change conversation into the Irish prisons’ highlights awareness of the importance of science communication and public engagement events among populations in prisons, which can be replicated in other countries.

How to cite: Mateus, C.: Prison talks: bringing climate change conversations into the Irish prisons, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-853, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-853, 2026.

EGU26-1010 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

From Science to Practice: Co-Designing Windstorm Hazard & Risk Information for Dutch Portals 

Maria del Socorro Fonseca Cerda, Hans de Moel, Jeroen Aerts, Wouter Botzen, Koen Veenenbos, Lars de Ruig, Lisette Klok, and Toon Haer

Extreme winter windstorms are among the most expensive natural disasters in Europe and pose significant social and economic challenges.  The Netherlands frequently experiences winter storms that result in serious damage and large financial losses, especially for sectors like infrastructure and the built environment.

Climate Adaptation Services (CAS) created and manages national climate risk portals, such as the Klimaateffectatlas (www.klimaateffectatlas.nl) and the newly launched Dutch Climate Risk Portal (www.dutchclimaterisk.nl), which have helped the public in understanding vulnerabilities and risks by providing information on floods, drought, heat, and water-related hazards. However, until 2025, windstorms remained an essential missing risk, limiting urban and financial stakeholders' ability to interpret exposure and losses to these storms.

We studied winter windstorms, creating hazard maps and risk estimates. However, these scientific outputs are not directly applicable or understandable to stakeholders with diverse backgrounds and needs. Therefore, in collaboration with CAS, we co-created a map narrative and risk estimation tool, which was created through an iterative cycle of stakeholder workshops, feedback, and narrative design. The process aimed to make complex risk information accessible, usable, and intuitively understood for a wide range of users, regardless of technical background. The end result is the translation of windstorm science into practice, which is publicly available at the Klimaateffectatlas and the Dutch Climate Risk Portal, while ensuring relevance, clarity, and real-world impact for decision-makers.

How to cite: Fonseca Cerda, M. S., de Moel, H., Aerts, J., Botzen, W., Veenenbos, K., de Ruig, L., Klok, L., and Haer, T.: From Science to Practice: Co-Designing Windstorm Hazard & Risk Information for Dutch Portals, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1010, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1010, 2026.

EGU26-1385 | Orals | EOS1.1

Scientific Storytelling in Geodesy: Using Cartoons, Videos, and Digital Platforms to Reach New Audiences 

Martin Sehnal, Laura Sánchez, and Detlef Angermann

Geodesy plays a fundamental role in observing and understanding Earth system processes, yet its societal relevance often remains under-recognized outside the specialist community. To address this gap, the Global Geodetic Observing System (GGOS) of the International Association of Geodesy (IAG) has expanded its science communication activities during the recent years to make geodetic concepts, products, and techniques accessible to diverse audiences. This contribution presents an integrated communication strategy combining digital platforms, visual storytelling, and community-driven initiatives.

A central element is the renewed GGOS and IAG web platform https://geodesy.science, which provides an easy understandable introduction to geodesy as well as clear, non-technical explanations of observation techniques, products, and real-world applications.

Complementing this, a growing series of multilingual short films (https://www.youtube.com/@iag-ggos) communicates the importance of geodesy for monitoring climate change, natural hazards, sea-level rise, and global reference frames. These videos have reached broad international audiences and are frequently used in public outreach events such as open-day exhibitions.

The newest initiative is the Geodesy Cartoons project https://geodesy.science/cartoon , which communicates complex geodetic topics through approachable, story-driven visual narratives. The associated Geodesy Cartoon Competition actively involves the international geodetic community in co-creating educational illustrations. This participatory approach fosters shared ownership, stimulates creativity, and supports the development of communication material usable across research, teaching, and outreach.

Together, these multimedia tools illustrate how geodesy contributes to society’s daily life and decision-making. This presentation reflects on successes and challenges in designing accessible content, coordinating contributions across the global geodesy community, and evaluating engagement through online analytics and feedback. By sharing insights from these ongoing initiatives, we aim to contribute to a broader discussion on effective communication of Earth and space sciences and to strengthen connections between geodesy and the wider public.

How to cite: Sehnal, M., Sánchez, L., and Angermann, D.: Scientific Storytelling in Geodesy: Using Cartoons, Videos, and Digital Platforms to Reach New Audiences, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1385, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1385, 2026.

EGU26-1611 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Innovative Tools for Science Education: Classroom Materials and Games from the INSE Project 

Eva Feldbacher, Laura Coulson, Carmen Sippl, Babette Lughammer, Ioana Capatu, Gregor Jöstl, Dominik Eibl, Michaela Panzenböck, Clara Rosenberger, Aimie Jung, and Gabriele Weigelhofer

The INSE project (Interdisciplinary Network for Science Education, led by WasserCluster Lunz and funded by GFF NÖ) has developed a comprehensive set of innovative, classroom-ready materials designed to strengthen scientific literacy across all educational levels. Co-created by researchers from the natural, social, and educational sciences together with partner schools, the materials translate core principles of scientific inquiry into engaging, age-appropriate learning experiences. All resources are freely available online and have been successfully tested in classroom settings.

For the primary level, the module The Forest of the Future introduces humanities-based inquiry through storytelling, exploratory learning, and creative techniques. Children investigate questions about environmental futures by engaging in narrative-based research tasks, learning how observation, interpretation, and imagination contribute to knowledge creation.

At the lower secondary level, a set of interactive Nature of Science (NOS) materials helps students understand the characteristics of scientific thinking. Activities highlight scientific evidence, uncertainty, the iterative nature of research, and the diversity of scientific methods. Abstract NOS concepts become tangible through hands-on tasks, role-play activities, and small-scale investigations.

For the upper secondary level, two modules allow students to conduct their own research:
(1) a natural science module in which students design and conduct an aquatic ecology respiration experiment, learning to formulate hypotheses, plan experiments, collect data, and interpret results; and
(2) a social science module that introduces learners to empirical social research through survey projects. Both modules guide students through the full research cycle and encourage reflective, evidence-informed thinking.

Beyond these core teaching packages, the project developed additional tools that make scientific inquiry accessible across informal and formal learning contexts: The research quartet Go Science introduces children aged 8+ to the fundamental steps of scientific inquiry through a playful card game. For teenagers, the Dive into Science learning app offers an interactive experience in which learners navigate scientific decisions based on real research questions - selecting hypotheses, designing experiments, analyzing sample datasets, and receiving direct feedback. Complementing these tools, the SCIBORG science board game supports learners aged 16+ in deepening their understanding of the scientific process.

Together, the INSE materials provide a powerful set of educational tools for fostering curiosity, critical thinking, scientific literacy, and trust in research. By showing how science works in practice, they support educators in integrating authentic scientific inquiry into everyday teaching.

In this presentation, we will showcase the full range of materials, allowing participants to explore, try out, and interact with the resources directly.

How to cite: Feldbacher, E., Coulson, L., Sippl, C., Lughammer, B., Capatu, I., Jöstl, G., Eibl, D., Panzenböck, M., Rosenberger, C., Jung, A., and Weigelhofer, G.: Innovative Tools for Science Education: Classroom Materials and Games from the INSE Project, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1611, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1611, 2026.

EGU26-1677 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Integrating Science Communication into Spain’s Atmospheric products: Insights from RESPIRE and CAMS-NCP 

Karinna Matozinhos de Faria, Marc Guevara, Paula Castesana, Paula Camps, Ivan Lombardich, Oliver Legarreta, Antonia Frangeskou, Diana Urquiza, Carles Tena, Francesco Benincasa, Elliott Steven, Santiago Ramírez, Carlos Pérez García-Pando, Yolanda Luna, Ernesto Barrera, Omaira Elena Garcia Rodriguez, and Ruben del Campo

Effective science communication is a central component of two major atmospheric initiatives in Spain: the “high-Resolution air Emissions Systems to suPport modellIng and monitoRing Efforts” (RESPIRE) and the Spanish component of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service – National Collaboration Programme (CAMS-NCP). Both efforts, led collaboratively by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC) and the Spanish Meteorological Agency (AEMET), demonstrate how communication can be embedded into the design, implementation and societal uptake of advanced environmental projects.

Within RESPIRE, communication is treated as a strategic pillar supporting the development of high-resolution emissions estimates for air quality modelling and greenhouse gas (GHG) monitoring in Spain. Activities range from intuitive digital interfaces and stakeholder workshops to targeted web updates, newsletters, and social media outreach. A central element is a user-centric web application that visualizes carbon dioxide (CO₂) and methane (CH₄) fluxes. Together, these channels translate complex modelling outputs into actionable knowledge for public administrations, scientists, the private sector and citizens.

The CAMS-NCP communication strategy complements this by strengthening the visibility, understanding and uptake of CAMS products across national, regional and local levels. Building on the user network established during the first phase of the programme, Phase 2 implements a structured Communication and User Outreach Plan targeting policymakers, researchers, air quality planners, NGOs and citizens. Communication actions include regular updates to the CAMS-NCP website, coordinated press and social media campaigns, annual use case publications, and participation in national scientific and environmental events. Three annual CAMS User Forums and a final dissemination event provide spaces for technical dialogue, co-design and user feedback.

Across both initiatives, long-term communication experience reveals consistent lessons. Iterative co-creation with users increases uptake and ensures that tools respond to real needs. Trust is fostered through transparent messaging that acknowledges uncertainties while demonstrating methodological robustness. Effective communication requires not oversimplification but a strategic tailoring of information to specific decision contexts, from policy design and mitigation tracking to public awareness.

The challenges faced are also shared: conveying technically dense atmospheric information to non-experts, managing expectations about product capabilities, and maintaining visibility amid numerous parallel initiatives. Despite this, successes are significant. RESPIRE- has received international recognition from the Integrated Global Greenhouse Gas Information System (IG3IS), an initiative of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), while CAMS-NCP continues to expand its user community and reinforce national alignment with European atmospheric services.

Together, RESPIRE and CAMS-NCP show how integrating communication into environmental science projects enhances societal impact. By combining advanced modelling with intentional, user-focused communication, both initiatives contribute to a more informed society and strengthen Spain’s capacity to address climate change and air quality challenges.


 

 


 

How to cite: Matozinhos de Faria, K., Guevara, M., Castesana, P., Camps, P., Lombardich, I., Legarreta, O., Frangeskou, A., Urquiza, D., Tena, C., Benincasa, F., Steven, E., Ramírez, S., Pérez García-Pando, C., Luna, Y., Barrera, E., Elena Garcia Rodriguez, O., and del Campo, R.: Integrating Science Communication into Spain’s Atmospheric products: Insights from RESPIRE and CAMS-NCP, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1677, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1677, 2026.

EGU26-1870 | Orals | EOS1.1

Interactive wetland education: Classroom materials following a constructivist instructional framework (Horizon Europe Restore4Life) 

Gabriele Weigelhofer, Tim Grandjean, Eva Feldbacher, Clara Rosenberger, Viktória Miklósová, Alma Mikuška, Dubravka Čerba, Jasna Grabić, Zorica Srđević, and Gabriela Costea

Wetlands are some of the most endangered ecosystems on the planet. There is an urgent need for large-scale wetland restoration and protection efforts that involve local community support. In our Horizon Europe project, Restore4Life (https://restore4life.eu/citizen-science/), we have developed a range of innovative offline and online educational materials to raise awareness of the vital ecosystem services that wetlands provide to humans.

Our materials are based on the 5E constructivist learning model. This inquiry-based, student-centered approach encourages active learning as students’ knowledge is built on understanding connections and processes. The five phases start with capturing students' interest and assessing prior knowledge/misconceptions (Engage), leading to investigating topics through hands-on activities and observations (Explore). In the Explain phase, students interpret their findings with the teacher's support. The last two phases focus on the application of the students’ newly acquired knowledge to deepen their understanding (Elaborate) and, finally, on the knowledge assessment by students and teachers (Evaluate). While our materials were developed for 12-14-year-olds, they can be easily adapted to younger or older kids.

Beyond these core teaching packages, the project developed additional tools, such as the “Blue-Green Space4All” game, a dynamic Wetland Fresk, available in both online and offline formats. A manual and a video provide instructions for building a simple treatment wetland, and our Wetland4Life App can be used to assess the wetland status directly in the field. All resources are freely available online (Zenodo) and have been successfully tested in classroom settings. Together, the Restore4Life materials provide a robust set of educational tools for fostering understanding of the significance of intact wetlands for human well-being.

In this presentation, we will showcase 5E teaching materials on the social, economic, and ecological benefits of intact wetlands, including supplying construction materials, providing recreational areas, and mitigating climate change and pollution. Participants can explore, test, and interact with the materials. Restore4Life is funded by the European Union.

How to cite: Weigelhofer, G., Grandjean, T., Feldbacher, E., Rosenberger, C., Miklósová, V., Mikuška, A., Čerba, D., Grabić, J., Srđević, Z., and Costea, G.: Interactive wetland education: Classroom materials following a constructivist instructional framework (Horizon Europe Restore4Life), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1870, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1870, 2026.

EGU26-1949 | Orals | EOS1.1

A little bit of activism increases trust in climate scientists 

Erik van Sebille, Celine Weel, Rens Vliegenthart, and Mark Bos

Some climate scientists refrain from advocacy and activism in their science communication because they fear it decreases their credibility. But whether there is indeed a relation between activism and credibility can be tested.

Here, we discuss the results of an experiment where 1,000 Dutch respondents first read a text on the impacts of the greening of gardens. Respondents are randomly assigned to either a version written in neutral tone, or a version written in an advocating tone. We then compare how the respondents perceive the credibility of the authoring scientist in these texts.

Our analyses show that the perceived credibility of the scientist who authored the text increases by advocacy overall, and that the advocating scientist is considered more credible than the neutral scientist specifically in their perceived sensitivity and care for society.

Based on these results, we conclude that advocacy can increase the climate scientist's average perceived credibility. This study may thus serve as endorsement for the many climate scientists who are willing to take a more advocacy-driven approach in their communications but are unsure of the consequences.

How to cite: van Sebille, E., Weel, C., Vliegenthart, R., and Bos, M.: A little bit of activism increases trust in climate scientists, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1949, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1949, 2026.

It has been well documented that social norms play a key role in motivating behavioral change. Although research on the effects of normative messages on pro-environmental decision-making has increased in recent years, our understanding of how these messages influence behavior remains limited (Chung & Lapinski, 2024). In particular, many pro-environmental behaviors have not yet achieved widespread adoption, and normative influences are often ineffective in such contexts. Consequently, scholars have begun to focus on dynamic norms, which refer to changing patterns of norms surrounding specific behaviors (Sparkman & Walton, 2017). When only a minority engages in a particular behavior, static norms that reflect behavior at a single point in time may inadvertently discourage action by emphasizing low participation rates. In contrast, dynamic norms, which highlight increasing popularity of a given behavior, have been shown to promote engagement (Sparkman & Walton, 2017). Accordingly, dynamic norms are considered particularly effective in contexts where pro-environmental behaviors have not yet become the majority practice. However, empirical evidence remains limited, and existing findings are inconsistent.

To advance understanding of norm framing effects (static vs. dynamic), the present study examines the underlying mechanisms through which norm framing influences behavior and investigates how these effects vary as a function of individual skepticism, specifically in the context of climate change. Environmental skepticism—defined as the tendency to doubt the seriousness, causes, or scientific evidence of environmental problems—has been identified as a key factor hindering effective environmental communication and behavior change.

An online experiment was conducted with 367 participants in South Korea. Participants first completed measures assessing climate change skepticism and were then randomly assigned to one of two norm-framing conditions (static vs. dynamic) related to pro-environmental behaviors aimed at mitigating climate change. They subsequently responded to measures of key variables.

The results indicated that the interaction between norm framing and skepticism did not significantly affect preconformity; however, it had a significant effect on reactance. Specifically, higher levels of skepticism were associated with greater reactance in response to dynamic norm messages compared to static norm messages. Moreover, this increased reactance was associated with reduced pro-environmental attitudes and behavioral intentions. This study contributes to the theoretical understanding of normative influence and climate change skepticism and offers practical implications for climate communication as well as directions for future research.

 

References

Chung, M., & Lapinski, M. K. (2024). The effect of dynamic norms messages and group identity on pro-environmental behaviors. Communication Research, 51(4), 439–462.

Sparkman, G., & Walton, G. M. (2017). Dynamic norms promote sustainable behavior, even if it is counternormative. Psychological Science, 28(11), 1663–1674.

How to cite: Kim, J. and Shin, G.: Normative Influences and Climate Change Mitigation: How Skeptical Individuals Respond to Dynamic Norm Messages and Why, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2148, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2148, 2026.

EGU26-2340 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Expanding remote sensing–based environmental education: the Ecoview competition from national to international level 

Svitlana Babiichuk, Stanislav Dovgyi, and Lidiia Davybida

The rapid development of Earth observation technologies presents significant opportunities to promote environmental responsibility and data literacy globally. Building on the success of the All-Ukrainian competition "Ekopohliad" ("Ecoview"), established in 2019 by the GIS and Remote Sensing Laboratory of the National Centre "Junior Academy of Sciences of Ukraine", the initiative was expanded internationally in 2024 and 2025. The International Ecoview competition aims to engage school students (14-18 years old) from different countries in investigating real environmental and climate-related problems using open satellite data and geospatial tools. Participation requires the use of open-access remote sensing datasets and their analysis through accessible platforms, such as Copernicus Browser, Google Earth Engine, NASA Giovanni, NASA Worldview, Google Earth Pro, and QGIS.

The competition combines independent student research, mentor guidance, and evaluation by an international jury of experts in Earth observation and environmental science. Educational support includes webinars, methodological guidelines, and a video course on satellite data and GIS analysis, ensuring students develop practical research and analytical competencies. 

The first international edition in 2024 engaged 96 students from all school grades (K–12) from Ukraine and 14 other countries. In 2025, the competition was limited to participants aged 14–18 years to ensure fair competition among students of comparable age, engaging 60 students from Ukraine and 16 foreign countries, with balanced representation from Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Twenty finalists presented research covering a wide range of environmental topics, including urban environments, forests, surface water, desertification, extreme events, climate change, and notably, the ecological consequences of war. The diversity of geographical contexts allowed participants to compare environmental processes across regions and to develop a broader understanding of global environmental challenges.

Preliminary outcomes indicate that the international format of Ecoview enhances students' motivation, promotes critical thinking, and improves their ability to work with primary geospatial data sources. The competition also contributes to the formation of an international youth community interested in applying remote sensing for environmental research and sustainable development. These positive results demonstrate the project's effectiveness and underscore the need for continued support and expansion of the initiative.

Future priorities include expanding participation, strengthening the educational component with updated materials, promoting interdisciplinary research, and further developing mentor and expert networks. These plans aim to inspire continued engagement and innovation in environmental education.

The experience of scaling Ecoview from a national to an international initiative demonstrates its potential as a replicable model for integrating Earth observation into school-level science education while addressing complex global environmental challenges.

How to cite: Babiichuk, S., Dovgyi, S., and Davybida, L.: Expanding remote sensing–based environmental education: the Ecoview competition from national to international level, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2340, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2340, 2026.

The water–energy–food–ecosystems (WEFE) nexus is increasingly recognized as a promising approach to addressing ‘wicked problems’, that is, complex challenges marked by uncertainty and conflicting interests. Climate extremes are exposing vulnerabilities and trade-offs within the nexus, underscoring the need for co-designed, participatory governance approaches that move beyond sectoral silos and expert-driven decision-making. This approach emphasises social learning, knowledge co-production, and exchange as means of integrating scientific expertise, policy priorities, and local community perspectives. By fostering cross-sector collaboration, co-designed processes can generate trusted and actionable solutions that are responsive to both local and systemic challenges.

This study introduces a collaborative, multi-stakeholder framework to explore the vision of the WEFE nexus, identify key internal and external drivers of change, and co-design solutions and policy scenarios that reinforce interlinkages between nexus dimensions under climate change. Lake Como, northern Italy, serves as a case study due to competing water demands and increasing impacts of extreme weather events. Between October 2023 and February 2025, we conducted a series of dialogues with 20 key stakeholders representing each nexus dimension (e.g., lake operator, regional government, energy companies, irrigation districts, environmental platforms, municipalities). These dialogues combined semi-structured interviews, questionnaires, and workshops. Content analysis and statistical methods were used to examine stakeholders’ narratives, providing insights on 1) a shared vision of the nexus dimensions, 2) assessment of two policy scenarios: hydropower maximization and risk management, 3) evaluation of proposed solutions in terms of priority, relevance, effects on nexus dimensions, facilitation instruments, and implementation barriers, and 4) governance standards in the decision-making process.

The main findings show that nexus dialogues are a central vehicle for operationalising the WEFE nexus. They enabled a deeper understanding of the local context and associated needs, grounded nexus assessments in real-world conditions, and fostered social learning through stakeholders’ engagement. Stakeholders agreed that the nexus is fragile, highlighting the need to reinforce the green energy transition, innovate in food security, and better align human pressures across sectors. The two policy scenarios were analysed with respect to the benefits and impacts of each nexus dimension. Selected solutions –such as changes in hydropower licenses, adjustments in ecological flow standards, adaptations in lake management protocols, and insurance programs to address weather extremes– were evaluated based on stakeholders’ preferences. Governance analysis revealed the multifunctional roles of specific stakeholders (e.g., lake operator, irrigation districts, environmental associations), gaps in representativeness (e.g., mountain communities, municipalities), and participants’ aims to both negotiate and influence decisions. By placing stakeholder engagement at the core of co-designed policy scenarios, this work contributes actionable knowledge for policymakers and practitioners tackling WEFE nexus challenges in climate-exposed regions worldwide.

How to cite: Ricart, S. and Castelletti, A.: Co-Designed, Stakeholder-Driven Governance for the WEFE Nexus under Climate Extremes: Lessons from Lake Como, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2541, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2541, 2026.

EGU26-3476 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

The Rocca di Papa (Italy) INGV Geoscience Museum: the last four years of activities  

Laura Colini, Valeria Misiti, Tommaso Alberti, Giuseppe Falcone, Tiziana Lanza, Antonella Megna, Antonella Cirella, Nicola Pagliuca, Luca Tarchini, and Massimo Ranaldi

The Geoscience Museum of Rocca di Papa (MuGeos), Italy, promotes science communication and education on behalf of Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV). The Museum is located at the centre of Alban Hills volcanic district, a dormant volcano whose last eruptive activity, an hydromagmatic phase, is dated about 20 ky ago. During the last four years the MuGeos has carried out activities dedicated to generic non expert public also joined with the municipality of Rocca di Papa, and to schools from Primary to Secondary.  All these activities belong to the so called Third Mission of INGV that consists of the diffusion of scientific knowledge. The education activity has been focused on the involvement of a significant number of schools coming from the surrounding territory but also from distant regions. The activity with students has consisted of an interactive and attractive guided tour through the knowledge of the Earth system (i.e. space weather, geomagnetism, seismology and volcanology, climate change), the Alban Hills Volcano, its origin hazard and peculiarities.  Moreover, the Museum has been involved in the Science Together Net project cofunded by the European Union through the organization of the European Researcher Night. In this context we have proposed activities involving kids, children and adults such as geotrekking on Alban hill volcano, seminars, labs of explosive and effusive volcanoes, paper volcanoes (origami) and fairy tales on geological myths, guided tours of the Museum, stars and planets observation through a telescope. The above mentioned activities have been proposed also during the Museum opening of every second Sunday of the month.  Further several activities dedicated to generic public have been promoted together with Rocca di Papa municipality in occasion of local events such as the October Chestnut Festival, the World Moon Day, the World Horse Festival, the Marconian Day Recurrence etc. During these popular events the MuGeos has been a fundamental actor in the awareness of citizens towards natural hazard and risks related to the territory.  Feedbacks of all the MuGeos activities are extremely positive; same teachers keep coming to the Museum every scholastic year, many positive public review on Google platform, satisfaction questionnaire.

How to cite: Colini, L., Misiti, V., Alberti, T., Falcone, G., Lanza, T., Megna, A., Cirella, A., Pagliuca, N., Tarchini, L., and Ranaldi, M.: The Rocca di Papa (Italy) INGV Geoscience Museum: the last four years of activities , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3476, 2026.

YouTube hosts several collections of videos that focus on topical geological topics. This presentation is concerned with viewer engagement around content on one of these. The Shear Zone channel, as of January 2026, has over 15k subscribers with over 1.25M views across its ~300 videos. Launched as a platform for sharing educational content aimed at university earth science students, over its five-year existence, films have evolved to a more documentary style and accessed increasingly by broader communities outside formal education environments. Although viewing figures, compared with some other popular YouTubers are not astronomical, some have attracted >>25k views with full views running at >18% (which is high for YouTube!). Comments are permitted, though moderated – which, along with “likes” and channel analytics – give insight on the reach, popularity, opinions and background of viewers.

To lever YouTube algorithms, content is monetised by permitting advertising at the start of each video but not with commercial breaks mid-programme, which can degrade viewer experience. Non-monetised content is marginalised by the platform. YouTube also has very strong recency bias in the content it reveals and it promotes content that attracts viewer engagement and retention. While there is long-term, recurrent viewer engagement for short-course teaching materials on The Shear Zone, views of the broader documentary style material generally die off after a few days. Very few users explore content by access channel home-pages or playlists – hence the preponderance of rather sensationalist thumbnails used by other content-creators to attract views. This presentation reports viewer engagement on a subset of content published on The Shear Zone channel.

In April-May 2024, the BBC’s broadcast the fourth series of Race Across The World, advertised as a journey through “The Ring of Fire in east and south-east Asia.  Independent of this, as the series developed, I dropped two videos each week, appropriate to that particular segment of the race, on YouTube. Meta-tagged to RATW, these covered topics as diverse as megathrust earthquakes and tsunamis, Holocene sea-level change, palaeogeographic assembly of SE Asia, volcanic eruptions and biogeography. Views ranged from around 2k to 25k, the most popular being a video on Krakatoa. Interestingly the tie-in to RATW seems to have yielded rather few views – most of the audience came from E and SE Asia!

More popular videos have attracted disproportionate comment from what politely might be called adherents to non-mainstream geoscience ideas – even when these are only tangentially associated with the video contents. Two films have attracted particular attention: The disappearing glaciers of Mont Blanc (published August 2022); and Trashing continental drift (in two parts; published September 2025). These commentaries provide useful insights on the types of evidence and information used by these communities and the challenge of communicating science when contested.

 

 

How to cite: Butler, R.: The Shear Zone Channel – reflections on sharing geological science on YouTube, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3525, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3525, 2026.

EGU26-3534 | Orals | EOS1.1 | Angela Croome Award Lecture

Sleepy cat and the cosmic dust: Lessons for non-fiction writing from 10 years as a magazine editor  

Joshua Howgego

To oversimplify things slightly, there are two types of story in journalism: the short ones and the long ones. I’ve spent much of my career so far focussed on the latter, known as features, which has meant an awful lot of head-scratching about how to keep readers engaged, excited, gripped by a story that goes on for several thousand words – no simple matter in the age of AI slop and TikTok.  

In this lecture, I’ll spill the beans on how we do things at New Scientist magazine, where I have worked for just over 10 years, with special reference to an idea known as “sleepy cat” from the mind of my brilliant former colleague Graham Lawton. I’ll also show how I used some of the tricks of creating compelling narratives in one of the stories in my book, The Meteorite Hunters – namely the tale of Jon Larsen, the Norwegian jazz guitarist who hunts cosmic dust on urban rooftops. 

Whether you want to better understand how journalists think, yearn to improve your own writing, or just enjoy thinking about how stories work, there should be something of interest here for you.

How to cite: Howgego, J.: Sleepy cat and the cosmic dust: Lessons for non-fiction writing from 10 years as a magazine editor , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3534, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3534, 2026.

EGU26-4107 | Orals | EOS1.1

Relaunching the Skeptical Science website to include prebunking tools 

Bärbel Winkler and John Cook

Skeptical Science is a highly-visited website featuring 250 rebuttals of misinformation about climate change and climate solutions. Many of the rebuttals are written at multiple levels—basic, intermediate, and advanced—in order to reach as wide an audience as possible. Results from a survey we've been running on our website since November 2021 indicate that there is some room for improvements in order to make the rebuttals more robust. It is therefore rather good timing that we've been working on a complete overhaul of our website which should increase the effectiveness of rebuttals in reducing acceptance in climate myths and increasing acceptance of climate facts. A key goal of misinformation interventions is to increase reader discernment, the difference between belief in facts and belief in myths. While there was overall an increase in discernment, with the decrease in agreement with myths greater than the decrease in agreement with facts, the result that belief in climate facts decreased for at least some rebuttals is unwelcome and counter to the goal of Skeptical Science. In this presentation, we'll give a sneak peek at how the new website will look like. One important new feature will be the inclusion - where applicable - of the fallacies employed by a climate myth, so that a rebuttal on the new website will then include all three elements of a successful debunking: fact, myth and fallacy. In my presentation, I'll also highlight some of the other updated or new features this website relaunch will include.

How to cite: Winkler, B. and Cook, J.: Relaunching the Skeptical Science website to include prebunking tools, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4107, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4107, 2026.

EGU26-5228 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Keeping users in the loop: Outreach activities for ECMWF IFS and AIFS forecast model updates 

Milana Vuckovic, Becky Hemingway, Martin Suttie, and Victoria Bennett

ECMWF develops and maintains operational forecasting systems, which include the physics-based Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) and the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting Systems (AIFS Single and AIFS Ensemble). These models are upgraded periodically, delivering significant scientific and technical improvements, however these changes pose challenges for users who need to understand the implications to their workflows and applications and make required modifications.

Outreach activities combine structured documentation, targeted email notifications of key upgrade milestones, and LinkedIn and the ECMWF forum posts to reach wider audiences and gather feedback. These channels are complemented by series of webinars and presentations at the annual Using ECMWF's Forecasts (UEF) meeting, where technical and scientific upgrades are presented and discussed with users.

This presentation will describe ECMWF’s outreach activities around IFS and AIFS model upgrades, which are designed to support a diverse user community, including researchers, operational forecasters and developers of AI driven applications, among others. Lessons learned and key challenges will be presented, these include addressing the needs and expectations of diverse audiences with different levels of expertise, synchronising communication with operational timelines and maintaining consistent narratives across platforms, ensuring that key information is accessible without overwhelming users.

How to cite: Vuckovic, M., Hemingway, B., Suttie, M., and Bennett, V.: Keeping users in the loop: Outreach activities for ECMWF IFS and AIFS forecast model updates, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5228, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5228, 2026.

EGU26-5425 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

User outreach and engagement at ECMWF: Examples of partnerships, outreach and innovation support 

Becky Hemingway, Milana Vuckovic, Cristina Ananasso, Chris Stewart, Julia Ioannu, Athina Trakas, Olga Loegl, and Stijn Vermoote

ECMWF’s Partnerships and Engagement section supports the effective use of ECMWF, Copernicus and Destination Earth services, datasets and infrastructure through partnerships and many targeted outreach and engagement activities. This work serves a diverse user community, including the National Meteorological Services (NMS) of ECMWF Member and Co-operating States (MS and CS), EU Member States, EU institutions and agencies, and WMO and other UN bodies, as well as a growing community of researchers, private companies, weather enthusiasts and other users.

This poster presents selected examples of outreach and engagement activities and shows how different approaches are combined to respond to evolving user needs and to build sustained dialogue with user communities. Liaison visits to ECMWF MS and CS NMSs support long-term collaboration and enable direct discussions on ECMWF activities including operational needs of forecasters. Further engagement is delivered through the Copernicus CAMS and C3S National Collaboration Programmes, which aim to strengthen the links with National Partner institutions and increase the uptake of Copernicus services at country level. In addition, the first two Copernicus Thematic Hub pilots, which focus on health and energy, are demonstrating the value of targeted outreach and support across these sectors.

Training activities are a key part of ECMWF's outreach and cover topics ranging from Numerical Weather Prediction and machine learning to software development and high-performance computing. Experience shows that combining clear explanations with practical examples is important for supporting users with different backgrounds and levels of experience, especially in an increasingly open science environment.

ECMWF Outreach also includes activities around ECMWF’s forecast model upgrades, such as updates to the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) and the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) in the medium, sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast ranges. These activities focus on communicating and explaining scientific and technical developments in the models and how they may effect user workflows, new forecast products, and how the updated models perform based on evaluation results.

Code for Earth programme offers hands-on, challenge-based opportunities for participants to develop innovative applications using ECMWF, Copernicus and Destination Earth data and software. The AI Weather Quest is a real-time international competition in which participants submit AI-based sub-seasonal forecasts in an operational-like setting, with results evaluated through transparent and openly documented methods.

How to cite: Hemingway, B., Vuckovic, M., Ananasso, C., Stewart, C., Ioannu, J., Trakas, A., Loegl, O., and Vermoote, S.: User outreach and engagement at ECMWF: Examples of partnerships, outreach and innovation support, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5425, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5425, 2026.

EGU26-5542 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Graphic novel communicates changes in Arctic landscapes, fostering wonder and curiosity 

Domino Jones, Nina Kirchner, and Johanna Dahlkvist

The Arctic has long captured the imagination through its remoteness, wildlife, striking landscapes, and rich cultural histories. At the same time, Arctic environments are undergoing rapid and profound changes, with many landscapes expected to be transformed beyond contemporary recognition by the end of this century. Communicating these changes to non-specialist audiences presents a significant challenge: they unfold across vast spatial and temporal scales, are studied through multiple disciplinary lenses, and resist simple or singular narratives. From ancient glaciers to pioneering lichen, no single process exists in isolation. Rather, Arctic change emerges through the interaction of glaciological, geological, botanical, fluvial, and meteorological processes. Understanding and communicating this complexity requires approaches that can hold multiple perspectives together while making these remote landscapes emotionally accessible and relevant to the audience.

We present ‘Arctic Flowers’, a science communication graphic novel which explores changing Arctic landscapes through the lived experiences of scientists working in the Tarfala Valley of northern Sweden. As most of Sweden’s glaciers face complete disappearance before the year 2100, this story captures a pivotal moment in the region’s history. Rather than adopting a purely catastrophic narrative, ‘Arctic Flowers’ foregrounds nuance, emotional connection, and scientific practice through non-fiction visual storytelling. The narrative follows researchers at Tarfala Research Station as they document retreating glaciers and the parallel emergence of Arctic flora. A central narrative thread connects contemporary research to a rediscovered herbarium created in the 1960s by botanist Adélaïde Stork, allowing readers to grasp climate change through intergenerational scientific observation and long-term data.

Graphic novels offer a powerful medium for science communication, particularly for topics that span multiple spatial and temporal scales. Through the juxtaposition of panels, text, and imagery, multiple concepts can be laid out on the page together, encouraging reflection and synthesis from the audience. Shifts in perspective, scale, and framing are used to emphasize grandeur at multiple scales, from larger-than-life structures such as mountains, glaciers, and research station operations to small, attentive details—the textures of plants and rocks, or the correct way to hold an ice axe. By blending scientific data, historical context, personal experience, and observation of the landscape, the project aims to spark curiosity and invite readers to ask questions about the changing Arctic. This mirrors the inquisitive and exploratory approach practiced by scientists within the story, drawing on first-hand accounts and interviews with generations of researchers at Tarfala Research Station – their experience spanning six decades. We reflect on lessons learned from developing this work as a long-form science communication effort, including how narrative and character-driven inquiry can foster emotional engagement, encourage dialogue, and make Earth science accessible and meaningful to diverse audiences.

How to cite: Jones, D., Kirchner, N., and Dahlkvist, J.: Graphic novel communicates changes in Arctic landscapes, fostering wonder and curiosity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5542, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5542, 2026.

EGU26-6304 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Slow Science Communication 

Siska Van Parys, Stijn Pardon, and Reinout Verbeke

Most science communication today is short and fast — but at the Institute of Natural Sciences we also try something different. Together with colleagues, Siska Van Parys works on long-form stories that highlight the institute’s core research areas — palaeontology, geology, archaeology, taxonomy, evolution — and the collections that support them. They create overview articles on the website, mini-documentaries about expeditions and fieldwork, and stories that put the spotlight on the people behind the research. 

Siska will share some of the projects she’s been involved in, what they hope to achieve with them, and why slow science communication has become part of the approach of the Institute of Natural Sciences.

The main examples will revolve around two geology projects: ROBOMINERS and LEAP. These scientific projects, carried out by the geologists of the Institute of Natural Sciences (Giorgia Stasi, Christian Burlet, Sophie Verheyden), were followed and documented by Siska and her colleagues. The results are two mini-documentaries and long-reads. 

How to cite: Van Parys, S., Pardon, S., and Verbeke, R.: Slow Science Communication, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6304, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6304, 2026.

Over the past decade, we have carried out sustained outreach activity on social media aimed at presenting seismic data to students and the general public. The primary goal has been not only to increase the visibility of Earth sciences, but also to highlight the fundamental role of data acquisition in subsequent scientific tasks, such as numerical modeling and tectonic interpretation. A significant part of this effort has focused on visualizing seismic waves generated by local, regional, and teleseismic earthquakes, often using data recorded by the GEO3BCN Educational Seismic Network deployed in northeastern Spain. These activities are particularly valuable in regions characterized by low to moderate seismicity, where public familiarity with earthquakes is generally limited.

Beyond earthquake-related content, we have also shared posts illustrating ground vibrations generated by non-tectonic natural processes and anthropogenic sources. Topics related to environmental seismology often attract strong public interest, as it is not widely known that natural phenomena such as tides, ocean waves, rainfall, wind, and thunder can be monitored using seismic data. Similarly, vibrations induced by human activity -from student movement between classrooms to crowd dynamics during music concerts or football matches- tend to generate considerable attention, sometimes even reaching mass media coverage. We leverage this curiosity as an opportunity to bring seismology, and Earth sciences more broadly, closer to society.

This work has benefited from partial support of the EPYSIM Project, funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (Ref.: PID2022-136981NB-I00).

How to cite: Diaz, J.: A long-term review of outreach activity on social media related to seismic data , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6484, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6484, 2026.

EGU26-7163 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Altra Quota: a field-based monitoring and education initiative for Disaster Risk Management in the Western Italian Alps 

Vittorio Giordano, Maria Elena Alfano, Luigi Cafiero, Nike Chiesa Turiano, Martina Leone, Flavia Marini, and Andrea Vito Vacca

Effective Disaster Risk Management (DRM) education requires geoscientific knowledge to be grounded in local contexts and translated into practical skills for those involved in risk prevention and emergency response. Altra Quota is a monitoring initiative in the Western Italian Alps that integrates real-time environmental monitoring, field-based research, and dissemination activities. It operates through close collaboration with local administrations and stakeholders exposed to hydro-meteorological, hydrogeological and cryospheric hazards.

A core aim of the project is to support capacity building in DRM through risk communication and the dissemination of monitoring results. Data from hydrological, meteorological and geomorphological monitoring networks are actively employed in hands-on activities for students, practitioners and decision-makers, enabling participants to interpret real-world observations, understand early warning systems and explore decision-making under uncertainty. Through field-based training, laboratory activities and dissemination initiatives, the project bridges theoretical geoscientific concepts with operational DRM practices. These activities empower local communities to better understand risks and interpret information from monitoring and warning systems, which is crucial for effective prevention and rapid response to emergencies.

A key component of the project is the long-term monitoring of the Ciardoney Glacier, conducted in collaboration with the Italian Meteorological Society. The glacier’s retreat and the resulting hydrological stress offer a powerful case study to analyze and communicate the impacts of climate change on alpine water resources and downstream risks. By combining observations from ground stations, satellite data, and model simulations, the researchers from Altra Quota can offer engaging experiences that effectively contextualize hazards.

Ultimately, by linking scientific research, education, and community engagement, Altra Quota represents a model for DRM education that improves risk awareness, strengthens the dialogue between science and society, and supports informed decision-making under changing climatic conditions.

How to cite: Giordano, V., Alfano, M. E., Cafiero, L., Chiesa Turiano, N., Leone, M., Marini, F., and Vacca, A. V.: Altra Quota: a field-based monitoring and education initiative for Disaster Risk Management in the Western Italian Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7163, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7163, 2026.

Belgium's compact territory contains an exceptionally rich geological record. Through repeated collisions and tectonic upheavals during our long journey from the southern hemisphere, layers from nearly every period of the past half billion years are exposed at the surface. The Planet Belgium project explores this remarkable geological heritage through a multimedia approach combining five immersive podcast episodes, five longread articles in popular science media, and five educational posters. Longreads are in Dutch, French and English.

In each episode and article, we venture into the field with Belgian experts and citizen scientists. Step by step, we reconstruct the sequential building of Belgium's subsurface through deep time. The project aims to convey a sense of wonder about geology and encourage audiences to see "boring" stones with new eyes.

Featured geological elements include Belgian whetstones and cobblestones, the famous red and black Belgian marble, bluestone, coal - our former "black gold" - and chalk, among others. The spectacular fossil collections at the Royal Belgian Institute of Natural Sciences in Brussels, including the world-famous Bernissart Iguanodons, tell the evolutionary history of life on Earth from the Cambrian up until the last Ice Age, bringing these ancient worlds to life for modern audiences.

This presentation (oral or in a poster session) will discuss the strategies employed to make deep time accessible and engaging across multiple formats (podcast, ‘scrollitelling’, posters, teaser videos), the challenges of translating expert knowledge for public audiences, and the role of aesthetic design in science communication. I will share lessons learned and evaluate the project's success.

The first episode is published here: https://www.naturalsciences.be/r/planetbelgium
Three episodes will be online at the time of the conference. 

How to cite: Verbeke, R. and Piessens, K.: Planet Belgium: narrating the geological odyssey of a country through multimedia storytelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7191, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7191, 2026.

The energy transition from fossil fuels to low-carbon energy systems is a crucial global aspect requiring sustainable and urgent solutions directed toward the use of renewable resources, such as geothermal energy. The general public still has little knowledge of geothermal energy, despite its advantages: misconceptions about safety, environmental impacts, and technological feasibility continue to hinder its wider adoption. To overcome these challenges, timely, transparent, and easily accessible public engagement strategies are required. In this scenario, translating complex geoscientific phenomena into stories that the general public can understand is key and demands effective science communication. An efficient way to promote interest and understanding is to combine scientific content with visual storytelling and illustration.
This poster outlines the creation of “The Magical Heat of the Earth”, an illustrated book for primary school students designed to convey the concept of geothermal energy and its application as an energy resource. The book was authored, designed, and illustrated at INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy) through ongoing collaboration between the geoscientist and the designer/illustrator. This analysis emphasises the creative and methodological processes involved in the product’s creation rather than focusing on the final outcome alone. The creative process is described as progressing from the initial scientific concept and narrative framework to visual research, character design, storyboard development, and final layout design, illustration, and typesetting. Significant focus is placed on the interaction between the scientist and the designer/illustrator, and on the balance achieved between scientific and artistic precision throughout the process. The case study indicates that using handcrafted, research-based illustrations remains an effective method for conveying scientific concepts, particularly to children. The authors reflect on simplification, the use of rhyming texts and visual metaphors, and emotional engagement as significant methods for educating individuals about science, particularly in fostering interest in geothermal energy and Earth sciences overall.

How to cite: Florindo, F. and Procesi, M.: From Geoscience to Visual Storytelling: an Illustrated Children’s Book to Communicate Geothermal Energy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7204, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7204, 2026.

EGU26-7398 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Visualizing Science: The Role of Graphic Design in Educational and Outreach Activities at INGV 

Giuliana D'Addezio, Daniela Riposati, Francesca Di Laura, Patrizia Battelli, Federico Florindo, and Gianluca Nardi

One of the core missions of the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) is to promote awareness of geophysics and natural hazards through education and outreach. Central to this mission is the Laboratorio Grafica e Immagini, INGV’s primary hub for visual communication. Over the past five years, the laboratory has taken on an increasingly strategic role in bridging the gap between scientific research and public understanding.

This work presents a selection of educational materials—including books, scientific games, infographics, illustrated brochures, and interactive exhibits—designed to explain seismic, volcanic, and environmental phenomena to diverse audiences, ranging from school groups to the general public. Each product is developed in close collaboration with scientists to ensure accuracy, while leveraging visual storytelling techniques to enhance clarity and engagement.

Our work demonstrates that graphic design is not merely a supporting function, but a vital component of scientific communication—particularly in educational contexts, where visual language significantly improves learning and retention. We also reflect on key challenges, such as simplifying content without compromising accuracy, and designing for inclusivity. This contribution underscores the value of interdisciplinary collaboration between scientists and designers in achieving effective and impactful outreach.

How to cite: D'Addezio, G., Riposati, D., Di Laura, F., Battelli, P., Florindo, F., and Nardi, G.: Visualizing Science: The Role of Graphic Design in Educational and Outreach Activities at INGV, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7398, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7398, 2026.

EGU26-7827 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

Using sequential art to communicate scientific ocean drilling 

C. Nur Schuba, Sara Satolli, Natsumi Nakano, Morgane Brunet, Piero Bellanova, and Maria Jose Jurado and the Expedition 405 and 502E Scientists

Scientific ocean drilling offers a unique window into Earth processes that cannot be accessed through surface observations alone, but its remote offshore setting and technical complexity pose challenges for public communication. International drilling programs such as the International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) and the International Ocean Drilling Programme (IODP3) are also inherently multinational and multilingual, yet these collaborative dimensions are not always reflected in expedition outreach materials.

This presentation introduces Chikyu Chronicles, a two-volume comics-based outreach project developed for IODP Expeditions 405 and 502E in the Japan Trench. The project uses illustrated sequential narratives to communicate shipboard science, engineering workflows, and everyday expedition life to middle-grade audiences while remaining grounded in real people, roles, and practices. Rather than emphasizing scientific results, the comics focus on portraying scientific ocean drilling as a collaborative activity shaped by operational constraints and teamwork. Each volume combines comics with book back matter designed to extend engagement beyond the narrative. Photographic sections document shipboard spaces, tools, and activities, allowing readers to connect simplified illustrations they have encountered in the book to physical environments and scale. Activity-based back matter invites participation through creative and interpretive exercises, including making science comics and identifying plate boundary patterns using multiple geophysical and geological datasets. Together, these elements form a hybrid communication model that supports place-making and causal reasoning.

Production of Chikyu Chronicles was embedded within the expedition environment and extended after sailing through distributed collaboration. Expedition participants contributed through interviews, reference materials, scientific review, editorial feedback, and translation assistance, ensuring linguistic accuracy and contextual fidelity without separating communication from scientific practice. Reported outcomes so far are qualitative and formative, drawing on informal feedback and basic reach metrics from real-time dissemination during Expedition 405, with structured audience evaluation currently underway. The project illustrates how comics-based outreach can align communication practices with the collaborative realities of international geoscience research.

How to cite: Schuba, C. N., Satolli, S., Nakano, N., Brunet, M., Bellanova, P., and Jurado, M. J. and the Expedition 405 and 502E Scientists: Using sequential art to communicate scientific ocean drilling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7827, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7827, 2026.

EGU26-7980 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

The 2024 Collectors Tour: A Case Study in Field-Based Geoscience Communication 

Jeffrey Munroe and Andrew Cassel

The “2024 Collectors Tour” was a field-based science communication initiative that employed narrative structure, place-based explanation, and methodological transparency to bring Critical Zone science alive for a non-specialist audience.  The Collectors Tour consists of a 21-episode video series produced during an 18-day, 4,500-km field campaign to empty mineral dust collectors deployed across Utah, Nevada, and Idaho in the southwestern United States.  This work was part of the DUST^2 project, funded by the US National Science Foundation to investigate the role of mineral dust erosion, transport, and deposition in the geoecological functioning of Earth surface environments (i.e. the “Critical Zone).  Each video of the Collectors Tour was anchored to the location where a specific dust collector is deployed, and used that location to introduce concepts related to mineral dust, soil formation, snow hydrology, climate variability, ecosystem function, and human influence.  In this way, the Collectors Tour embedded scientific explanation directly within active fieldwork, inviting viewers to observe how geoscience knowledge is generated in real settings.  The strategy of multiple sequential videos, produced and distributed in rapid succession, emphasized authenticity, continuity across episodes, and visual engagement with landscapes, transforming the routine annual campaign to service the dust collectors into a coherent outreach narrative.  The Collectors Tour also reflected lessons learned from long-term communication efforts, including the value of consistency, the power of storytelling grounded in genuine field practice, and the importance of acknowledging collaboration, logistics, and uncertainty.  To date the videos have received more than 2600 total views, making this a broadly successful and lasting science outreach success.​  As a case study, the Collectors Tour offers a replicable model for integrating science communication into ongoing field research and contributes to broader discussions on effective strategies for communicating science to diverse audiences. 

How to cite: Munroe, J. and Cassel, A.: The 2024 Collectors Tour: A Case Study in Field-Based Geoscience Communication, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7980, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7980, 2026.

Pollution of English waterways by untreated sewage discharged through Combined Sewer Overflows (CSOs) has become one of the most high-profile environmental issues in the UK. It is now a major political topic, featuring prominently in election campaigns, parliamentary inquiries, and resulting in new legislation. To better communicate this environmental issue and empower the public to take action against it, we created www.SewageMap.co.uk a user-friendly, real-time visualisation of sewage spills across England. SewageMap uniquely combines live CSO data with a hydrological model to identify rivers downstream of recent spills, making it particularly valuable for recreational water users such as swimmers, kayakers, and rowers. The platform is recommended by organisations representing these groups and is widely used by citizen scientists and campaigners.

To make the experience engaging and relatable, SewageMap makes prodigious use of playful design elements, including the ‘poop’ and other emojis to highlight the ‘gross’ nature of sewage pollution. Behind the scenes, SewageMap is powered by 'POOPy' (Pollution Discharge Monitoring in Object-Oriented Python), an open-source toolkit that standardises diverse CSO datasets and enables historical spill analysis. Data generated by POOPy has supported river protection groups and informed local planning meetings; we believe that data from SewageMap has even featured in parliamentary debates.

The website was developed with both desktop and mobile users in mind, validated by the fact that ~80% of users access SewageMap via mobile or tablet devices. This ensures accessibility for the majority of users and highlights that this should be a consideration for other web visualisations. Furthermore, SewageMap can be embedded within external pages, which has enabled major news organisations to integrate the map into articles, significantly amplifying its reach.

The impact of this tool has been substantial, and greater than expected when the project was started informally. The site has received over 300,000 visitors in the past 12 months, financial support from major NGOs such as RiverAction, and resulted in new collaborations across academic and non-academic sectors. Overall, these projects have emphasised, to us, how engaging design, accessibility & proactive engagement with a user-base can result in significant impact stemming from a relatively ‘simple’ scientific principle.

How to cite: Lipp, A. and Dawe, J.: www.SewageMap.co.uk and POOPy: Open-source tools for understanding and communicating the impacts of sewage pollution on waterways in real-time, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7995, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7995, 2026.

EGU26-8024 | Orals | EOS1.1

“Signals from the climate in FVG”: a magazine enhancing climate awareness and bridging the gap between science and society at the regional level 

Federica Flapp, Fulvio Stel, Elena Caprotti, Nicolò Tudorov, Silvia Stefanelli, Giovanni Bacaro, Renato R. Colucci, Lorenzo Consorti, Filippo Giorgi, Alessandro Peressotti, Fabio Raicich, and Cosimo Solidoro

The informative publication “Segnali dal Clima in FVG” (Signals from the climate in FVG) provides a local and regional perspective on climate change, specifically tailored for the citizens of Friuli Venezia Giulia region (northeastern Italy). Structured around three core themes - Changes, Impacts and Actions - the publication serves as a bridge between the scientific community and the general public.

VISION AND COLLABORATION

This initiative stems from the Clima FVG Working Group*, a collaborative network of the region’s leading scientific and research institutions. The group operates on the principle that technological and scientific progress must be accompanied by public awareness and education to effectively tackle climate challenges. By translating complex data and information into an engaging, accessible format, the publication bridges the gap between expert research and citizen understanding.

CONTENT AND EDITORIAL APPROACH

Designed as an annual popular science magazine, the publication explores a wide array of climate-related themes, including the cryosphere, marine and lagoon ecosystems, forestry, wildlife and terrestrial ecosystems, agriculture, human health and urban settlements, as well as the psychological and social dimensions of climate change. Each issue explores a diverse range of topics, while remaining anchored to some core principles and maintaining key defining features:

  • Local-to-Global Connection: by recalling recent local weather events and by linking regional climate trends to the global climate change, the publication makes a far-reaching issue feel immediate and relevant to the local community;
  • Accessible Storytelling: by providing mini-glossaries, clear explanations, infographics and practical examples, the editorial project enables non-expert readers to understand complex topics without oversimplifying them;
  • Empowerment over Anxiety: by highlighting actionable mitigation and adaptation strategies at both individual and collective levels, the magazine frames climate issues through a constructive lens, aiming to reduce climate-related anxiety and to inspire climate action.

PRODUCTION AND STRATEGIC VALUE

Coordinated by ARPA FVG, the magazine is produced entirely "in-house" through the voluntary contributions of the experts, without dedicated external funding. While the publication is freely available online, limited print editions are produced for policymakers and institutional use.

Beyond its educational role, “Segnali dal Clima in FVG” serves as a vital networking tool. The collaborative drafting process fosters interdisciplinary relationships among experts and generates a localized knowledge base that is instrumental in shaping regional climate policy and resilience strategies.

AVAILABILITY

Segnali dal clima in FVG is available at https://www.arpa.fvg.it/temi/temi/meteo-e-clima/sezioni-principali/cambiamenti-climatici/segnali-dal-clima-in-fvg/

The complete PDF version can be browsed online or downloaded. Additionally, individual thematic sections from each edition and summary materials are available for download. The magazine is also being distributed to schools across Friuli Venezia Giulia through the regional environmental education network.

 

*THE CLIMA FVG WORKING GROUP

The Clima FVG Working Group brings together the premier scientific and research institutions working on climate change in Friuli Venezia Giulia region: the Universities of Trieste and Udine, CNR-ISMAR, CNR-ISP, ICTP, OGS. The group was formally established in 2022 by the Autonomous Region Friuli Venezia Giulia and is coordinated by the Regional Environmental Protection Agency – ARPA FVG.

How to cite: Flapp, F., Stel, F., Caprotti, E., Tudorov, N., Stefanelli, S., Bacaro, G., Colucci, R. R., Consorti, L., Giorgi, F., Peressotti, A., Raicich, F., and Solidoro, C.: “Signals from the climate in FVG”: a magazine enhancing climate awareness and bridging the gap between science and society at the regional level, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8024, 2026.

EGU26-8179 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Beyond Data: Connecting People to Sustain the Relevance of Flux Science - Insights from the Meet the Fluxers podcast 

Laurent Bataille, Jessica L. Richardson, Maoya Bassiouni, Shannon A. Carnevale, Lara B. Milligan, Jessica Steier, Jarrod Breithaupt, Zingfa Wala, Qing A. Saville, Emma Reich, Robert Shortt, Tyler D. Roman, Maricar Aguilos, and Sung-Ching Lee

Eddy-covariance (EC) flux towers have collected decades of data on carbon, water, and energy exchanges, helping us understand how ecosystems respond to climate change. However, a gap persists between EC research outputs and how this knowledge reaches societal groups. The Meet the Fluxers podcast addresses this gap by connecting flux scientists with stakeholders and communities in shared ecosystems, making flux science accessible to the general public in a broader, more applied context.


While flux measurements are technically complex, and communication among relevant groups can be fragmented, many researchers are already overcoming these challenges through collaborative practice. The podcast gives voice to these researchers who are co-creating fluxscience with land managers, policymakers, and local communities, building trusted relationships that make science more relevant and actionable. By showing these real examples, the podcast educates listeners, clarifies limitations and demonstrates how collaborative engagement transforms both research and practice, particularly in under-monitored regions and rapidly changing ecosystems facing budgetary pressures.


To better understand the impact of science podcasts, Spotify analytics and transcript extraction were used to analyze audiences across four podcasts (Meet the Fluxers, Unbiased Science, Naturally Florida, and On the Trail of Science). The audiences primarily consist of millennials and are more frequently female, with listening geographies expanding beyond host locations. Engagement is non-linear, reflecting episodic releases. Transcript analysis shows listener interest is influenced by theme, place, narrative, and personal experience. These findings suggest that long-form audio formats can broaden access through repeated, place-based engagement. In addition to improved data products, relational communication formats are essential for maintaining relevance amid rapid environmental change and political uncertainty.

How to cite: Bataille, L., Richardson, J. L., Bassiouni, M., Carnevale, S. A., Milligan, L. B., Steier, J., Breithaupt, J., Wala, Z., Saville, Q. A., Reich, E., Shortt, R., Roman, T. D., Aguilos, M., and Lee, S.-C.: Beyond Data: Connecting People to Sustain the Relevance of Flux Science - Insights from the Meet the Fluxers podcast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8179, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8179, 2026.

EGU26-8270 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

GeoHikes: Lessons from a long-term, place-based geoscience communication initiative in Ontario, Canada 

Alexander L. Peace, Daniel Dick, Carolyn Eyles, Elli Papangelakis, Katie Maloney, Deana Schwarz, Bernard Kradjian, Veronica Klassen, and Bill Pearson

GeoHikes is a place-based geoscience communication initiative designed to connect non-specialist audiences with geoscience through short outdoor experiences supported by accessible digital resources. Developed through partnerships between academics, professional geoscientists, educators, and community organisations, GeoHikes combine self-guided walks with mobile-friendly virtual field trips that highlight geoscience in familiar landscapes, including urban settings and recreational trails. These virtual field trips can be viewed on http://geoscienceinfo.com

Over the past decade, the programme has expanded to nearly 60 virtual field trips across Ontario, reaching diverse audiences through in-person engagement, online platforms, and public events. We reflect on the key challenges and successes of sustaining and scaling a long-term geoscience communication effort, including co-creation with communities, balancing scientific rigour with accessibility, and fostering emotional connection through place and narrative. We discuss lessons learned and identify transferable approaches for effective, community-centred geoscience communication.

How to cite: Peace, A. L., Dick, D., Eyles, C., Papangelakis, E., Maloney, K., Schwarz, D., Kradjian, B., Klassen, V., and Pearson, B.: GeoHikes: Lessons from a long-term, place-based geoscience communication initiative in Ontario, Canada, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8270, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8270, 2026.

Democracies face a dual challenge. On the one hand, democratic institutions are increasingly under pressure from authoritarian, right-wing populist, and extremist actors. On the other hand, socio-ecological transformation in response to climate change requires decisive action, social solidarity, and trust in democratic institutions. These processes are intertwined: ecological crises - particularly extreme weather events - may foster democratic resilience but can also intensify authoritarian backlash, thereby undermining transformation efforts. Given that the entire science enterprise has come under attack, the question is what role should or could academics play to fight the backlash and to resist the onslaught on intellectualism and facts?

As a follow-up from last year’s short course on academic activism, here I am presenting results of a perspective piece that is analysing the current political status quo in the US based on state-of-art of behavioural and social science research. We shed light on the academic response to Trumpism and how the authoritarian onslaught has affected climate science. We provide recommendations as to how one can deal with bad-faith actors and how one can identify them to begin with? How do we change our way to communicate and rise to the challenge? How do we regain ground, get organised and bring about the necessary discomfort? In order to understand the dynamics, we dissect critical factors such as emotions, biases, neurological and psychological disorders. We discuss social shifts from a current and historical perspective. We shed light on the role of the media (legacy as well as social media). And ultimately, we offer solutions for how to communicate more effective and goal-oriented. 
In a climate as well as societal context.

How to cite: Haustein, K.: Science communication and academic activism in times of rising authoritarianism and Trumpism., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8368, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8368, 2026.

EGU26-8373 | Orals | EOS1.1 | Katia and Maurice Krafft Award Lecture

What we’ve learned from teaching people in prison to Think Like a Scientist  

Philip Heron and the Think Like A Scientist team

Scientific thinking requires the critical analysis of information, while science itself thrives on the diversity of ideas. Yet, science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) subjects have historically struggled to be inclusive and accessible to students from underrepresented communities - meaning we often miss a diversity of voices. Furthermore, STEM subjects have often been rigid in their teaching structure, creating barriers to education for students with more specific (or unrecognised) learning needs.

To address this, our science outreach course Think Like A Scientist was designed to improve critical thinking and encourage independent thought by applying adaptive education practices to create inclusive and accessible classroom environments. The program started in 2017 and has been applied in several different settings (e.g., schools and adult learning centres), but has mainly featured in prisons around the world (including England, Canada, Australia, and Spain).

Our students in prison often have a complex relationship with learning – such as low confidence in themselves or the education system (which is also a common trait amongst STEM university students from diverse communities). In addition, a classroom can present numerous other barriers for prison students (e.g., sensory, communication, information processing, and regulation) which particularly impacts neurodivergent learners (e.g., autism, ADHD, OCD, dyslexia, etc.). In our teaching in prison, we have been conscious of creating different educational access points that are not solely reliant on rigid teaching structures.

In this Katia and Maurice Krafft Award talk, I will outline the choices we have made in prison education to increase educational engagement - and how these choices can map onto other avenues of science communication to widen STEM participation. I’ll also share the impact of such practices on our students and how placing learners at the centre of education can be transformative.  

Fundamentally, as a society we need an informed population of any background who can think critically, especially in today’s world of fake news. In our sessions, we replicate this through learning from each other to Think Like A Scientist.

How to cite: Heron, P. and the Think Like A Scientist team: What we’ve learned from teaching people in prison to Think Like a Scientist , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8373, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8373, 2026.

EGU26-9110 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Geoscience awareness in educational and outreach contexts: a preliminary analysis 

Linda Morgissi and Michele Lustrino

Communication and education in the geosciences are key elements for increasing awareness of natural hazards, fostering an integrated understanding of the Earth system, and improving natural resource management. Despite this, several studies highlight a persistent misalignment between the societal importance of geology and the way this discipline is commonly perceived by the public.

This study aims to explore how geological topics are received and interpreted by different audiences, representing an important step for the design of effective educational and outreach actions. The contribution presents preliminary results from a survey conducted within a broader PhD research project, focused on geoscience communication and outreach.

Two paper-based questionnaires, each consisting of 15 multiple-choice questions with four options and a single allowed answer, were developed and administered to a sample of approximately 220 children and 250 adults (including parents and teachers). Participants were involved in educational and outreach activities organized by the Department of Earth Sciences (DST) of Sapienza University of Rome. The survey was conducted in Rome and Central Italy. The adult questionnaire investigated themes related to geological awareness, Earth system processes, natural hazards, climate change, lifestyles, and the use of natural resources. The children’s questionnaire, stratified by school grade, focused on basic geological concepts, including rocks, fossils, minerals, volcanoes, and earthquakes.

Preliminary results, based on an ongoing dataset, are presented separately for the two target groups. Among adults, responses indicate a tendency to interpret geoscientific topics primarily through interpretative frames, related to natural hazard mitigation and sustainability. These perspectives appear to reflect widely shared societal narratives, rather than an integrated understanding of geological processes operating across different spatial and temporal scales. Children’s responses, while often grounded in intuitive or narrative reasoning, show an overall solid understanding of some key concepts, particularly when supported by direct and hands-on experiences. In both samples, understanding of geological topics appears heterogeneous, context-dependent, and influenced by school-based learning and media exposure.

These initial findings highlight the importance of developing educational and outreach strategies that take existing interpretative frames into account and promote integrated, experiential, and territorially contextualized activities. Data collection is ongoing and will be extended to additional contexts and methodological approaches, supporting the progressive refinement of outreach and educational actions within the PhD project.

 

 

How to cite: Morgissi, L. and Lustrino, M.: Geoscience awareness in educational and outreach contexts: a preliminary analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9110, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9110, 2026.

EGU26-9213 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

The Potsdam WaterHub - Research, Networking, Training and Outreach 

Jürgen Mey, Bodo Bookhagen, Jan Haerter, Georg Feulner, and Thorsten Wagener

Europe's climate is warming faster than any other region of the world. This accelerated  warming has severe consequences for water resources and water extremes. Heatwaves occur more frequently and intensively, and extreme events such  as droughts and heavy rainfall are increasing considerably. For Europe, we expect that an atmospheric temperature increase of 2°C would double economic losses from flooding while economic losses from droughts might  triple. Whereas regions in southern Europe and the Mediterranean already experience frequent droughts, wetter regions such as Germany will experience particularly dramatic changes in hydro-climatic conditions.

Within Germany, challenges for managing water during dry periods are particularly evident in the state of Brandenburg in Eastern Germany. Low annual precipitation and sandy soils with low water storage capacity characterize this region, which is considered both “water-rich and water-poor” for good reasons. Increasing impacts of anthropogenic climate change will likely lead to changing rainfall and evaporation patterns, with consequences for water supply to soils, rivers and groundwater aquifers. We can expect more stress for aquatic ecosystems due to changing river flows, while changing soil moisture and groundwater levels will negatively impact agriculture, forests and terrestrial ecosystems. Furthermore, in the coming decades, large areas of southern Brandenburg will have to compensate for a massive water deficit caused by decades of groundwater pumping in the context of lignite mining.

The Potsdam WaterHub was established as a cross-institutional platform to support and connect water researchers in Potsdam. Potsdam provides an ideal starting point for such an initiative, given its high density of internationally recognized research institutions and long-standing expertise across the water sciences. We will present our strategy to foster interdisciplinary exchange, collaborative research, involvement in BSc/MSc training and innovation to advance understanding of complex water systems and risks. In addition, the WaterHub actively engages with the public, media, policy-makers, and stakeholders from industry and practice, contributing scientific knowledge and dialogue towards sustainable water management and adaptation strategies in a changing world.

How to cite: Mey, J., Bookhagen, B., Haerter, J., Feulner, G., and Wagener, T.: The Potsdam WaterHub - Research, Networking, Training and Outreach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9213, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9213, 2026.

EGU26-9675 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

From Landscape to Geohazard: Assessing volcanic hazard communication in Tenerife geosites. 

Olaya Dorado, Thais Siqueira, Juana Vegas, Inés Galindo, David Sanz-Mangas, Lucía Sáez-Gabarrón, Rayco Marrero, Vanesa Burgos, Itahiza Domínguez-Cerdeña, Ruben López Díaz, and Carmen Romero

Volcanic landscapes attract millions of visitors annually, drawn by their unique geodiversity. However, these environments present a dichotomy: they are significant economic resources, but they also pose potential hazards for both residents and tourists. Effective risk mitigation also requires preparedness, integrating hazard awareness directly into the visitor experience. A key challenge lies in designing communication strategies that maintain scientific rigor and inform about active processes without generating unnecessary alarmism. 

This issue is particularly pertinent in Tenerife, which is currently under a volcanic unrest, and hosts 21 volcanic geosites listed in the Spanish National Inventory of Geosites (IELIG, open access https://info.igme.es/ielig/), 12 of which are located within active volcanic areas. Despite these numbers, the representation of volcanic risk in public outreach materials at these sites remains largely unassessed. Consequently, both residents and the over 7 million annual tourists may lack essential knowledge regarding the island’s eruptive potential, associated hazards, and the critical role of scientific monitoring in ensuring their safety.

This study evaluates eight key geosites in Tenerife, selected within the framework of the “Canary Islands: Destination of Volcanoes” project for their relevance to active volcanism. We conducted an evaluation of available outreach materials (including in-situ signage, printed brochures, and official web portals) based on three core criteria: i) the scientific accuracy and currency of the data presented; ii) the thematic scope (e.g., geological formation, environmental values, active volcanic processes, etc); and iii) the presence of specific information regarding volcanic hazards and risk management (preparedness, monitoring, and emergency protocols).

Beyond assessment, we aim to bridge the identified gaps by integrating risk communication strategies directly into the project’s outreach materials. This entails updating existing materials and embedding volcanic hazard modules into the project's newly developed materials and training courses for nature guides. By ensuring a balanced narrative that educates without inciting alarm, we propose a model of resilient geotourism where risk preparedness is intrinsic to the visitor experience, thereby enhancing general knowledge of active volcanic processes among both residents and tourists.

Sub-Project 1 ‘Canary Islands, destiny of Volcanoes’ (led by IGME-CSIC) is funded by PROMOTUR SA through Next Generation EU funds, PRTR. 2024krQ00nnn, carried out within the framework of the agreement between Promotur Turismo Canarias, S.A. and the CSIC, Univ. of La Laguna, Fundación Canaria General of the Univ. of La Laguna, and Univ. of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria.

How to cite: Dorado, O., Siqueira, T., Vegas, J., Galindo, I., Sanz-Mangas, D., Sáez-Gabarrón, L., Marrero, R., Burgos, V., Domínguez-Cerdeña, I., López Díaz, R., and Romero, C.: From Landscape to Geohazard: Assessing volcanic hazard communication in Tenerife geosites., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9675, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9675, 2026.

EGU26-10122 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

The “Next-Gen COP” as a tool for communicating climate change and catalyze solutions from high school students 

Francesca Munerol, Lara Polo, edoardo cremonese, Martina Leone, Giulia Blandini, Marta Galvagno, Chiara Guarnieri, Sofia Koliopoulos, Martina Lodigiani, Maddalena Nicora, Alessandro Benati, Fabrizio Sapone, Paolo Pogliotti, Gianluca Filippa, Federico Grosso, Sara Favre, Francesco Avanzi, and Margherita Andreaggi

The “Next-Gen COP”, developed by CIMA Research Foundation in collaboration with ARPA Valle d’Aosta and Fondazione Montagna Sicura, is an innovative climate-education programme designed to empower secondary-school students with the knowledge, skills, and agency needed to engage meaningfully in climate action. By simulating the negotiation dynamics of the UNFCCC Conference of the Parties, the initiative integrates scientific literacy, sociopolitical understanding, and participatory decision-making into a single experiential learning pathway. 

Launched in 2023 within the RESERVAQUA project, the “Next-Gen COP” focuses on climate-induced water challenges - drought, competing uses, and resource conflicts - issues that strongly affect Alpine and Mediterranean regions. The programme combines multiple pedagogical components: 

  • scientific training on the physical and legal-political dimensions of climate change; 
  • collaborative problem-solving, where students design water-management strategies inspired by the Sustainable Development Goals; 
  • dialogue with experts, enabling learners to refine proposals through evidence-based reasoning; 
  • Peer-to-peer communication, through poster sessions and public presentation; 
  • a final negotiation simulation, mirroring COP procedures, including amendments, consensus-building, and voting. 

This structure allows students to develop not only climate knowledge, but also key competences highlighted in the session,such as systems thinking, critical analysis, negotiation, and civic engagement. Indeed, the process culminates in a “Next-Gen Charter”, containing ten adaptation and mitigation proposals, formally presented to local policymakers, thereby linking classroom learning to real-world governance. 

The first edition in Valle d’Aosta involved around 150 students and demonstrated the programme’s capacity to foster climate agency, strengthen understanding of water-related risks, and promote inclusive, community-oriented climate action. The model is now being replicated in Liguria and Trento-Bolzano, expanding its reach and enabling comparative insights across diverse socioenvironmental contexts. 

The “Next-Gen COP” offers a scalable and transferable approach to climate change education, showing how experiential, participatory, and policy-oriented learning can empower young people to contribute actively to climate resilience at local and global scales. 

How to cite: Munerol, F., Polo, L., cremonese, E., Leone, M., Blandini, G., Galvagno, M., Guarnieri, C., Koliopoulos, S., Lodigiani, M., Nicora, M., Benati, A., Sapone, F., Pogliotti, P., Filippa, G., Grosso, F., Favre, S., Avanzi, F., and Andreaggi, M.: The “Next-Gen COP” as a tool for communicating climate change and catalyze solutions from high school students, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10122, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10122, 2026.

EGU26-10123 | Orals | EOS1.1

The Italian Citizen Science Observatory: a growing association open to collaboration to foster public participation and education in water research Europe-wide 

Luisa Galgani, Bruna Gumiero, Francesco Di Grazia, Marco Cossu, and Steven A. Loiselle

The Italian Citizen Science Observatory, established in 2016, seeks to encourage public involvement in science by turning citizens into active contributors to scientific research. Its objective is to implement Citizen Science to strengthen collaboration between researchers and civil society, building an increasingly close relationship between science and the wider community. The Observatory focuses on monitoring and safeguarding the health of freshwater ecosystems—such as rivers, lakes, streams and wetlands—on which everyone relies, as well as the surrounding riparian areas. One of the pillars of the Observatory's mission is education, with a strong focus on schools as key environments for the development of scientific literacy, environmental awareness, and active citizenship. Schools are recognized not only as places of learning, but also as catalysts for cultural change, capable of amplifying Citizen Science practices within families and local communities. Through practical monitoring and inquiry-based learning activities, students become active observers of their local freshwater ecosystems and ambassadors for sustainable behavior.

The Observatory actively promotes peer education approaches, encouraging the exchange of knowledge between students, teachers, citizens, and researchers. This horizontal learning model improves engagement, empowers young people as science communicators, and strengthens intergenerational dialogue on environmental protection.

A recent accomplishment of the Observatory is the development of the RiVE (Riparian Vegetation) methodology as a Citizen Science tool for monitoring riparian zones. RiVE assesses riparian zone ecological health by the engagement of local communities in tracking plant diversity and ecosystem functions. This approach highlights the importance of these biodiversity-rich corridors for river health and management, often contrasting with fixed-width buffer approaches. The Observatory serves as the first Italian hub of the Earthwatch FreshWater Watch program, defining and sharing best practices for data collection and creating new tools whenever required. It also runs pilot initiatives in protected areas and works more broadly with local environmental bodies and associations.

We here present the activities undertaken at the Observatory, from building Citizen Science initiatives and communities to training both citizens, schoolteachers, school children and students, policy makers and researchers, encouraging the active engagement of all society actors in scientific endeavours and aquatic ecosystems management and protection.

At EGU we hope to spark new collaboration opportunities and expand the Observatory network to foster the co-creation and management of Citizen Science projects across Europe and beyond.

https://www.osservatoriocitizenscience.org/home/

How to cite: Galgani, L., Gumiero, B., Di Grazia, F., Cossu, M., and Loiselle, S. A.: The Italian Citizen Science Observatory: a growing association open to collaboration to foster public participation and education in water research Europe-wide, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10123, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10123, 2026.

EGU26-10224 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Open Science Network: Distributed social infrastructure for open scientific discussion 

Jorge Saturno, Ivan Minutillo, Mayel de Borniol, Pierre Boudes, Nicolas Fressengeas, and Ulrike Hahn

Scientific conversations that once took place on Twitter have scattered to other platforms, such as LinkedIn and Bluesky. Like Twitter, these services operate as walled gardens, limiting access for unregistered users. Furthermore, identity verification and public recognition have become paid services that lack reliability and oversight.

Thanks to a W3C-standardized protocol called ActivityPub, the same one behind Mastodon, open and distributed social feeds, where users from different servers can read and interact, are already available. Using open protocols is the best way to enable scientific communication that both peers and the general public can trust.

The Open Science Network (https://openscience.network/) is designing and deploying a software for federated scientific communication. The app uses Bonfire's open-source framework and the ActivityPub protocol as a backbone. The goal is to create federated digital spaces in which researchers and institutions have complete control over their data, including their conversations and networks. Universities can host their own instances while being interconnected with a global network of scientific communities. Discussions can become citable, FAIR objects with DOIs. Publications are enriched with metadata and collaborative tools.

The Open Science Network is co-designed with researchers, scientific communities, and open science advocates who understand that scientific communication tools shape science itself. Platforms that prioritize engagement over accuracy cannot facilitate reliable scientific communication. The software provides ORCID authentication and Zenodo repository archiving for social posts. Planned features include custom peer review, multiple trust signal workflows, semantic data linking, a framework for experimenting with new forms of scientific communication, proper and verified attribution, federated groups, knowledge management and curation tools, long-term preservation, and space for inventing features not included in this list.

How to cite: Saturno, J., Minutillo, I., de Borniol, M., Boudes, P., Fressengeas, N., and Hahn, U.: Open Science Network: Distributed social infrastructure for open scientific discussion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10224, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10224, 2026.

EGU26-10625 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

From Network to Ecosystem: Reflecting on Early Career–Led Science Communication through APECS 

Deniz Vural, Alice Guzzi, Anastasia Deyko, Pratik Kad, Sophie Dupont, Hugo Guimaro, and Sebastian Maria Karl Heinrich Kopf

Science communication is often framed as a unidirectional transfer of knowledge from scientists to society. For early career researchers (ECRs), however, it also plays a crucial role in building community, fostering belonging, and co-creating knowledge across disciplines, cultures, and career stages. The Association of Polar Early Career Scientists (APECS) offers a case study on how science communication can function as a long-term, community-driven ecosystem rather than a series of one-off outreach activities.

APECS is a global, ECR-led organization supporting early career researchers working in polar and cryosphere science, founded in 2007 following the momentum and international collaboration fostered by the Fourth International Polar Year (IPY-4). Although not always labelled explicitly as “science communication”, many of APECS’ core activities involve communicating science and co-creation of scientific knowledge within ECR communities and beyond. The activities include engagement with policymakers, Indigenous Peoples’ organizations, local communities, educators, and the wider public. Through programmes, workshops, leadership development, and community-led initiatives, APECS supports ECRs in developing skills in outreach, public engagement, inclusive communication, and collaborative knowledge production, contributing to long-term capacity building within polar and cryosphere research communities.

This contribution reflects on APECS’ science communication practices through three key questions. First, how can science communication spark joy and foster emotional connection? APECS emphasizes storytelling, peer mentoring, and shared experiences, from informal networking spaces to collaborative events, that humanize polar science by helping ECRs connect emotionally with their research and with peers. These approaches are particularly important in polar research, where geographic isolation, logistical barriers, and short-term contracts can limit a sense of community.

Second, how can co-creation be meaningfully embedded within scientific communities? APECS operates through bottom-up leadership, with initiatives proposed, led, and shaped by ECRs themselves. This structure enables co-creation across disciplines, cultures, and regions, and fosters dialogue between natural scientists, social scientists, and knowledge holders from diverse backgrounds.

Finally, how can the impacts of science communication be assessed over time? Rather than focusing solely on short-term metrics, APECS reflects on longer-term indicators such as sustained engagement, leadership development, capacity building, career trajectories, and continued participation in interdisciplinary and societal dialogues, dimensions that are often overlooked in traditional evaluations of science communication.

By reflecting on both successes and challenges, this contribution highlights lessons learned from long-term ECR engagement and offers insights for designing inclusive, community-based science communication initiatives that strengthen both scientific practice and its relationship with society.

How to cite: Vural, D., Guzzi, A., Deyko, A., Kad, P., Dupont, S., Guimaro, H., and Kopf, S. M. K. H.: From Network to Ecosystem: Reflecting on Early Career–Led Science Communication through APECS, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10625, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10625, 2026.

EGU26-10850 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Communicating geoscience on social media: Harnessing the short video format 

Laura Säilä-Corfe, Anna Sartell, and Samuli Siltanen

Short videos, which provide concise, clearly articulated, and engaging content on a wide variety of topics are among the most prominent formats on platforms such as YouTube, Instagram, Facebook, LinkedIn, and TikTok. The short video format is particularly well suited to the dissemination of scientific knowledge and research findings to non-specialist audiences, offering researchers a valuable means of broad societal engagement.

 

The University of Helsinki Faculty of Science trains and motivates researchers to adopt and apply the short-video format for science communication by offering the How to Make a Science Video course, jointly by the journalism program at Haaga-Helia University of Applied Sciences. The course, offered annually, is led by experienced science video producers and journalism professionals. Participants work in mixed teams comprising researchers at different career stages from master’s students to professors—together with journalism students from Haaga-Helia. The course covers, among other topics:

  • Developing an initial idea into an engaging video
  • Popularizing scientific concepts
  • Creating effective educational videos
  • Writing persuasive scripts
  • Speaking and performing on camera
  • Shooting and editing high-quality videos using only a smartphone
  • Selecting appropriate channels and strategies for publication

Each team produces a science video of up to two minutes duration, which is published at the conclusion of the course on the YouTube channels of both institutions.

 

As part of the course in 2024, we set out to make an educational video about ancient volcanism in southern Finland.  Around 1.9 billion years ago, there was a volcanic island arc in southern Finland and outcrops of these rocks can be found in, for example, the Helsinki region. We filmed in some of these locations, interviewed a local expert and author of a book on this topic, and included an animation made by a close collaborator on how the volcanic rocks formed in our 2-minute video. Our final Youtube video and the process of making it are here used as an example of all the methods and skills we learned on the How to make a science viodeo course.

How to cite: Säilä-Corfe, L., Sartell, A., and Siltanen, S.: Communicating geoscience on social media: Harnessing the short video format, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10850, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10850, 2026.

Climate change is placing increasing pressure on global food systems that are vital to human survival. Understanding the interconnections between food (including seeds), agriculture, and climate is crucial for building resilient and sustainable futures. However, science communicators often struggle to translate complex food–climate concepts for non-specialist audiences. Effective engagement thus requires messages that are accurate, relatable, and connected to daily life.

Drawing on collaborative outreach programmes and public lecture series on food and climate, this contribution illustrates how interactive formats, such as climate-friendly cooking workshops, field visits, and seed-focused learning, to deepen understanding, stimulate curiosity, and foster critical thinking. These initiatives bridge disciplinary silos while engaging diverse audiences, including students, educators, and members of the public. Through enhanced dialogue, reflection, and experimentation, they demonstrate how science communication empowers individuals to make informed food choices, advancing both science literacy and community action towards sustainable food systems.

How to cite: Mok, H.: Communicating Food and Climate: The Role of Science Communication for Engagement  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11213, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11213, 2026.

EGU26-11214 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

Science communication in Greenland: Experiences from the Kalaallit Nunaat Caves and Climate Outreach Project (KINDLE) 

Lena K. Anders (neè Friedrich), Gina E. Moseley, Oline Petersen, Kristian Kaspersen, and Kerim Hestnes Nisancioglu

Effective science communication is essential for building trust between researchers and society, particularly in regions where environmental change is rapid and directly affects local communities. In Greenland, the National Research Strategy emphasises inclusive, community-centred research and the active involvement of Greenlanders in scientific processes. Within this context, the Kalaallit Nunaat Caves and Climate Outreach Project (KINDLE) was developed as a science communication initiative linked to the Greenland Caves Project, which investigates palaeoclimate, cave systems, and geological processes in northern Greenland.

KINDLE was designed to explore ways of strengthening connections between research and society by working with Greenlandic communities to share scientific work in accessible formats, support locally grounded engagement with cave environments, and encourage long-term participation in cave exploration and research. The project employed a range of communication approaches in multiple languages, including an interactive exhibition, micro-documentaries, hands-on workshops for children, public presentations with open Q&A sessions, and practical caving skills workshops for adults. These activities were hosted during a one-month residency at the ILLU Science & Art Hub in Ilulissat, part of the Climate Narratives initiative, which promotes climate communication through diverse forms of storytelling.

Based on the experiences from the residency, we reflect on lessons that may be informative for other Earth science contexts, including the value of storytelling that emphasizes how science is done over specific results, the importance of local partnerships and trusted venues, and the need to approach science communication as an evolving, collaborative practice. The project illustrates how science communication can move beyond dissemination toward participation, with the long-term aim of enabling local communities to engage with, contribute to, and potentially lead future research and exploration initiatives.

How to cite: Anders (neè Friedrich), L. K., Moseley, G. E., Petersen, O., Kaspersen, K., and Nisancioglu, K. H.: Science communication in Greenland: Experiences from the Kalaallit Nunaat Caves and Climate Outreach Project (KINDLE), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11214, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11214, 2026.

EGU26-11554 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Geology for All: Engaging the Public with a Simplified and Accessible Geological  Map of Rome 

Giuditta Radeff, Silvana Falcetti, Deborah Maceroni, Patrizio Petricca, Matteo Simonetti, Stefano Urbani, and Chiara D'Ambrogi

Geological maps are fundamental tools in geoscientific research and play a critical role in land-use planning, risk assessment and resource management. However, their complexity, interdisciplinary nature and dense data content often make them difficult to interpret for non-specialist audiences. Consequently, their potential as tools for science communication remains largely untapped.

To foster greater public involvement in Earth sciences and to increase awareness of the influence of geology on everyday life, and drawing inspiration from the 2022 educational geological map of the Paris region produced by the French Geological Survey (BRGM) in the series of geological maps for educational purposes (https://www.brgm.fr/en/news/news/three-new-geological-maps-educational-purposes), we developed a prototype simplified geological map derived from the Geological Map of Sheet 374 – Rome (CARG Project, Geological Survey of Italy).

The simplified geological map of Rome is designed to reach a broad and diverse audience, from young students to tourists, citizens, policymakers and stakeholders, encompassing a wide range of ages, languages, educational backgrounds and abilities. To achieve this, the product combines scientific accuracy with visual engagement, presenting content in at least two languages (Italian and English), with simple explanations for beginners and additional information for those wishing to explore the topic in more depth.

Special attention was given to the design: map colours were chosen to be colour-blind friendly, and a freely available font was adopted to mitigate common symptoms of dyslexia (https://opendyslexic.org/). Efforts are ongoing to develop a version accessible to visually impaired users.

The prototype is flexible and replicable, capable of being adapted to other regions and geological contexts. It integrates a simplified geological map, a geological cross-section, a geological timescale and an intuitive, visually appealing, legend, providing a clear representation of the relationships among geological structures, georesources and geo-hazards in a highly urbanized environment.

This project represents a science communication experiment aimed at translating authoritative, technically oriented geological maps into simplified, visually engaging products that maintain scientific rigor while enhancing accessibility, understanding and public engagement with Earth sciences.

How to cite: Radeff, G., Falcetti, S., Maceroni, D., Petricca, P., Simonetti, M., Urbani, S., and D'Ambrogi, C.: Geology for All: Engaging the Public with a Simplified and Accessible Geological  Map of Rome, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11554, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11554, 2026.

EGU26-12132 | Orals | EOS1.1

Engaging young audiences in climate change: moving beyond fear through active science communication 

Marta Galvagno, Chiara Guarnieri, Sofia Koliopoulos, Paolo Pogliotti, Gianluca Filippa, Federico Grosso, Nicolas Lozito, Francesca Munerol, Sara Favre, Edoardo Cremonese, Alessandro Benati, Simone Gottardelli, Fabrizio Sapone, and Francesco Avanzi

Science communication is not only about conveying scientific findings, but also about fostering dialogue, understanding, and engagement among non-specialist audiences. In the context of climate change, narratives emphasizing catastrophic outcomes and individual responsibility can unintentionally foster fear, anxiety, and disengagement, particularly among younger audiences. Such fear-based communication may contribute to forms of inactivism, in which concern does not translate into action but instead leads to emotional paralysis. Communicating “efficiently” therefore means avoiding both denialism and doomism, as well as individualism, while preserving scientific accuracy and urgency.

In recent years, public trust in science has been questioned in many countries, influenced by political polarization, the spread of misinformation, skepticism toward scientific credibility, and contested roles of scientists in public decision-making.  In this context, scientists have a social responsibility not only to convey accurate information but also to frame the scientific message in ways that empower understanding and collective responses.

In this contribution, we reflect on climate communication strategies that move beyond frontal, passive teaching toward active and participatory engagement. Relying on outreach activities in secondary schools, we present results from questionnaires delivered before and after climate science lessons, with a specific focus on changes in students’ emotional responses and perceptions. The findings indicate that participatory approaches, such as interactive discussions, problem-solving simulations, and solution-oriented framing, can reduce anxiety and inactivism, while strengthening understanding, motivation to take action, and trust in scientific knowledge.

We argue that communicating climate change without catastrophism but emphasizing achievable pathways for action is not a dilution of problem urgency, but a necessary step toward enabling rational and hopeful societal responses to global challenges, particularly among younger generations, and in times of converging crises.

How to cite: Galvagno, M., Guarnieri, C., Koliopoulos, S., Pogliotti, P., Filippa, G., Grosso, F., Lozito, N., Munerol, F., Favre, S., Cremonese, E., Benati, A., Gottardelli, S., Sapone, F., and Avanzi, F.: Engaging young audiences in climate change: moving beyond fear through active science communication, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12132, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12132, 2026.

EGU26-12150 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Allin-Wayra: advancing equitable and transparent use of small sensors through a global community of practice 

Sebastian Diez, Nicole Cowell, Eliani Ezani, Miriam Chacón-Mateos, Àlex Boso, John Richard Hizon, and Kwabena Fosu-Amankwah

Small sensor technologies are rapidly expanding access to atmospheric observations, offering new opportunities to complement regulatory air-quality monitoring and to address persistent data gaps. However, the benefits of these technologies are unevenly distributed, and their effective use is constrained by variability in data quality, limited transparency in data processing, and unequal access to technical capacity and guidance. These challenges are particularly acute in low- and middle-income regions, where monitoring infrastructure and institutional resources remain limited.

The “Allin-Wayra: Small Sensors for Atmospheric Science“ (https://igacproject.org/activities/allin-wayra-small-sensors-atmospheric-science) initiative was established within the International Global Atmospheric Chemistry (IGAC) Project to build a global, inclusive community of practice around responsible sensor use, with a strong focus on equity, capacity building, and transparency. Core activities include community workshops, an international webinar series, conference sessions,  the co-development of open-access repositories and guidance resources, and targeted efforts to improve accessibility and dissemination. 

This presentation reflects on early lessons learned from launching and coordinating a distributed global community, highlighting strategies for inclusive engagement, cross-regional and cross-disciplinary co-creation and mechanisms to sustain participation beyond individual projects, while gaining insights from other sensor communities of practice. We discuss practical challenges in balancing scientific rigor with accessibility, fostering trust in emerging technologies, whilst encouraging cross-sectoral collaboration (policy, business, non-profit and scientists). By sharing these experiences, we aim to identify how community-driven governance can co-create more equitable and impactful environmental research practice and decision-making.

How to cite: Diez, S., Cowell, N., Ezani, E., Chacón-Mateos, M., Boso, À., Hizon, J. R., and Fosu-Amankwah, K.: Allin-Wayra: advancing equitable and transparent use of small sensors through a global community of practice, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12150, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12150, 2026.

EGU26-12383 | Orals | EOS1.1

Access, verification, and trust in extreme weather events communication: age and discipline matter 

Tatiana Izquierdo, Beatriz Catalina-García, Carlos Sánchez-García, María del Carmen García-Galera, and Manuel Abad

Effective communication of extreme weather events (EWEs) requires understanding how audiences access, evaluate, and respond to information, which is critical for improving science communication strategies on climate-related risks. To examine these processes among young adults, we conducted a structured survey administered to undergraduate students at two Spanish universities (Rey Juan Carlos University and Autonomous University of Madrid). The survey, disseminated online during regular teaching periods, used voluntary participation and collected 746 responses across diverse academic programmes. It comprised multiple-choice and Likert-scale items covering interest in specific EWEs (e.g., intense rainfall, heatwaves, floods), primary modes of information access (intentional search, incidental exposure, or balanced patterns), verification behaviours, perceived prevalence of fake news in both searched and unsolicited content, trust in ten different media channels, and self-assessed ability to detect misinformation. Differences were assessed using descriptive statistics and comparative analysis.

Age-tercile analysis using quantile cuts (18; 18–20; >20) shows stable but informative gradients. Verification frequency (1–5) rises slightly with age (2.99 → 2.96 → 3.05), while event-specific interest (1–4) remains high and broadly flat (3.13 → 3.11 → 3.16). Trust in social platforms increases marginally (1.92 → 2.07 → 2.08), whereas trust in traditional outlets and science-oriented sources stays comparatively stable (traditional 3.28–3.37–3.35; science 4.04–4.09–4.08). Self-reported ability to detect misinformation (1–7) shows a small step-down across terciles (4.79 → 4.71 → 4.66). For access patterns, the share of balanced access (search + incidental) is higher from the middle tercile onward (52.9% → 61.4% → 58.6%), with a corresponding reduction in purely incidental exposure (43.6% → 36.0% → 38.7%), while intentional search only remains low (3.6% → 2.6% → 2.7%). Consistently across terciles, students perceive more fake news in incidental flows than in self-searched content (+1.11, +1.00, +1.18).

Comparing academic disciplines (science vs. communication) reveals clear structural contrasts. Students in scientific programs report higher general interest in EWEs (3.56 vs 3.24) and slightly greater event-specific interest (3.17 vs 3.09), alongside marginally lower verification frequency (2.98 vs 3.03). Self-reported ability to detect misinformation also trends higher in science (≈4.80 vs 4.62). Trust architectures differ markedly: communication students show stronger confidence in traditional media (3.57 vs 3.15), while science lean toward science-oriented sources (4.11 vs 4.00). Trust in social platforms remains low across both groups, though slightly higher in communication (2.05 vs 1.99). These patterns underscore the need for differentiated strategies: technical and data-rich content for science students, and journalistic narrative formats for communication, complemented by platform-specific adaptations to maintain credibility and engagement.

These findings suggest practical actions to improve communication: ensure multi-platform dissemination with consistent core messages; highlight transparent sourcing and authoritative voices; adapt formats by age (visual checklists for younger students, data-rich dashboards for older ones); and tailor content to disciplinary expectations (technical and quantitative for science, journalistic narrative for communication). Aligning formats and channels with audience information habits can enhance comprehension, reduce misinformation, and support informed decision-making during EWEs.

How to cite: Izquierdo, T., Catalina-García, B., Sánchez-García, C., García-Galera, M. C., and Abad, M.: Access, verification, and trust in extreme weather events communication: age and discipline matter, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12383, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12383, 2026.

EGU26-12641 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

Community outreach using positive sensory experiences: A taste of climate change 

Alex Valach, Christine Jurt, and Sébastien Boillat

Communicating scientific advances and their impacts on society in an accessible manner is an inherent requirement of those engaged with science. Sensitising the public on climate change topics typically relies on rational discourse and the sharing of factual details. However, our first response to novelty, especially in stressful environments is usually emotional and with increasing political polarization, the individual’s priming, environment and beliefs heighten this response to the point of confrontation, avoidance and even denial. One way to potentially mitigate existing negative emotional biases is to approach the topic using a positive emotional experience that is widely shared regardless of identity, such as consuming food and drink.

Our project supported by an EGU public engagement grant consisted of small tasting events using locally produced and relevant food and drink items, which could be used as an example of how climate change is or will affect their production and consumption. Events can take on different formats depending on the situation and available resources, as well as allowing a wide range of consumables that can be adapted to the local community and values. Here we provide a brief overview of our activities and outline some implementation aids to support other groups or individuals interested in organizing their own events.

How to cite: Valach, A., Jurt, C., and Boillat, S.: Community outreach using positive sensory experiences: A taste of climate change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12641, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12641, 2026.

EGU26-12649 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Climate change communication from an inter- and transdisciplinary perspective – an example from ClimXtreme 

Paulina Fischer-Frenzel, Miriam Wagner-Jacht, Jens Grieger, Philip Lorenz, and Frank Kreienkamp

Climate change poses a scientifically highly complex issue due to being a process of global change with considerably different outcomes for different regions, underpinned by scientific uncertainty. The inherent nature of the ongoing climate change is dynamic and oftentimes non-linear, bearing the risk of increasing the likelihood (and exacerbating the intensity) of extreme weather events. Hence, the issue not only asks for climate research to be translated prior to being addressed towards audiences with few or no prior scientifical knowledge of the field, but for the climate knowledge also to be communicated in a precise, reliable and continuously updated – while comprehensible – manner.

ClimXtreme is a nationwide interdisciplinary project funded by the German Federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space (BMFTR) and focusing on the improvement of the scientific understanding of extreme weather events in a changing climate as well as the transdisciplinary interaction with practice stakeholders.

As part of the research network of ClimXtreme II (2023-2026), the German Meteorological Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD) has designed and launched a communication tool in form of a knowledge base. Its aim is to compile, synthesise and communicate the research goals and results of the 25 subprojects from various disciplines towards different target groups (general public, practitioners, administrations, politics and the private sector). Thus, the knowledge base seeks to facilitate the dialogue between climate research and society and provide a tool for scientifically informed decision-making processes.

Furthermore, one main focus is illustrating the transdisciplinary interactions which have already been established within the project. In this regard, the platform serves as an example case for inter- and transdisciplinary demand-oriented communication and is hereby tackling challenges in climate change communication.

How to cite: Fischer-Frenzel, P., Wagner-Jacht, M., Grieger, J., Lorenz, P., and Kreienkamp, F.: Climate change communication from an inter- and transdisciplinary perspective – an example from ClimXtreme, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12649, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12649, 2026.

Indoor air quality is key due to the amount of time people spend indoors (approximately 80–90 % of their lives). However, understanding how time and activity dependent sources, as well as built environment characteristics, influence pollutant emissions and distributions remains very limited. Addressing these challenges, InAPI — an Indoor Air Pollution Inventory tool — has been developed using data synthesised from a comprehensive review of UK indoor air pollution research (Mazzeo et al., 2025; doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-783). For the development of the InAPI tool, we have categorised existing literature by pollutant types, indoor environments, and activities, identifying significant knowledge gaps and offering an open-access database of typical pollutant concentrations and emission rates (Mazzeo et al., 2025; doi.org/10.1039/D4EA00121D). InAPI leverages this database to enable users to visualise indoor pollutant levels and emission characteristics across varied indoor settings. InAPI consolidates this evidence into a practical and easy-to-use tool which facilitates standardisation of IAQ measurement protocols and the creation of activity-based indoor emission inventories. By providing a robust platform for understanding indoor air pollutant dynamics, InAPI represents a significant step forward in advancing IAQ research given the transferability of the approach, supporting efforts to mitigate indoor air pollution with potential to inform policy initiatives. A key challenge to overcome is how to make this tool attractive and usable for non-experts and to ensure that the information is presented in a way that it can and will be used by policy makers and practitioners.

How to cite: Pfrang, C., Mazzeo, A., and Nazar, Z.: Developing an Indoor Air Pollution Inventory Tool to Visualise Activity-based Indoor Concentrations of Pollutants and Their Emission Rates for the Wider Community., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12812, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12812, 2026.

EGU26-12903 | Orals | EOS1.1

Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes 

James McQuaid, Kirsty Pringle, Carly Reddington, Steven Turnock, Richard Rigby, Meruyert Shayakhmetova, Malcolm Illingworth, Denis Barclay, Neil Chue Hong, Ed Hawkins, Douglas Hamilton, and Ethan Brain

Air pollution poses a major public health risk, contributing to approximately 4.7 million premature deaths each year, the majority of which occur in low and middle-income countries. Effective public communication of air quality data is essential to drive policy action and address health inequalities, yet translating complex environmental data into an accessible format is always challenging.

This contribution presents findings from the Air Quality Stripes project (https://airqualitystripes.info/, Pringle KJ. et al, Geoscience Communication, 2025), which aims to raise public awareness and understanding of outdoor air pollution by visualising historical changes in fine particulate matter (PM₂.₅) in major global cities from 1850 to 2022*  in a clear and engaging manner. Inspired by the widely recognised Warming Stripes (https://showyourstripes.info/) images, the Air Quality Stripes project combined data from satellite observations and model simulations to create a continuous historical PM₂.₅ dataset, which was then displayed as a series of vertical stripes. 

The resulting visualisations reveal divergent pollution trends: there have been substantial improvements in air quality in many cities in Europe and North America, contrasted by persistently high or worsening pollution in parts of Asia, Africa, and South America. 

The project received significant public and media attention, including coverage in major national newspapers and broadcast media, demonstrating a strong appetite for accessible representations of air pollution data. They have also been used by a major philanthropic funder which funds observational networks to highlight gaps in global air quality data, especially in developing nations. In addition, major advocacy groups such as the C40 cities program are also using the images in their visualisation toolkit as part of their campaign for transparent air quality data to improve public health and policy.

What lessons have been learned?

Beyond describing the Air Quality Stripes visualisations, this contribution reflects on broader lessons for environmental data communication, drawing on audience engagement, media uptake, and practitioner feedback including:

  • Collaboration with visual experts. The colour palette was developed with a design expert, drawing on imagery of air pollution to create a tangible link between colour and pollution.
  • Informal feedback and review. Iterative feedback from colleagues, friends, and family helped improve the images; for example, early versions showed concentrations only, and feedback led us to add indicative labels (e.g. “good”, “poor”) to provide health-related context.
  • City-specific focus. We chose to present images from individual cities as regional averaging would blur historical trends, but this city focus was popular with viewers as it allowed the viewer to connect with the information on a more tangible and often personal level.
  • Selected annotations. Narrative annotations on a subset of images made the data more relatable, providing context and highlighting significant points. They also helped viewers better understand the overall structure of the images.

Lessons from the Air Quality Stripes project apply broadly to science communication, highlighting the value of interdisciplinary collaboration, iterative engagement with non-experts, and careful use of colour, context, and narrative. These insights extend beyond the project to inform environmental data visualisation and public communication more widely.

How to cite: McQuaid, J., Pringle, K., Reddington, C., Turnock, S., Rigby, R., Shayakhmetova, M., Illingworth, M., Barclay, D., Chue Hong, N., Hawkins, E., Hamilton, D., and Brain, E.: Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12903, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12903, 2026.

EGU26-13519 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Sharing science on the road: Bringing a traveling exhibit on extreme weather and community resilience to Alaska through community and private sector partnerships 

Daniel W. Zietlow, Rebecca Haacker, Becca Hatheway, Patricia Montaño, Auliya McCauley-Hartner, Evan Portier, John Smelter, Emily Snode-Brenneman, and Amy Stevermer

From professional radiosonde data to information from a backyard rain gauge, observation is key to understanding extreme weather and our local environment. Resilient Earth, Resilient Communities, a traveling exhibit collaboratively designed by the Center of Excellence for Education, Engagement & Early-Career Development (EdEC) at the U.S. National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research (NSF NCAR) and the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research’s Center for Science Education (UCAR SciEd), explores how we use this foundational concept of observation to gather information on extreme weather patterns and subsequent impacts on local environments in order to build more resilient communities. Since 2019, the exhibit has traveled to 19 locations across the United States, including public libraries, cultural centers, and universities. With each host, we co-design one exhibit display of content to contextualize the exhibit within specific extreme weather events experienced by the host community and adaptation strategies being employed by community members. In 2025, the exhibit team collaborated with hosts across Alaska to bring the exhibit to five different locations. Additionally, we partnered with a private company to bring a smaller version of the exhibit to passengers on an expedition cruise ship traveling throughout coastal Alaska. In this presentation, we address our co-design process for collaborating with and engaging communities and the private sector. We will also discuss results from a recent evaluation of the effectiveness of the exhibit in sparking dialog and creating emotional connections to the content, as well as provide actionable insights to designing a traveling exhibit.

How to cite: Zietlow, D. W., Haacker, R., Hatheway, B., Montaño, P., McCauley-Hartner, A., Portier, E., Smelter, J., Snode-Brenneman, E., and Stevermer, A.: Sharing science on the road: Bringing a traveling exhibit on extreme weather and community resilience to Alaska through community and private sector partnerships, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13519, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13519, 2026.

Rainfall is a familiar phenomenon for most people and is often perceived as a constraint. Yet, it usually receives little attention, as daily activities take priority. As rainfall and hydrology scientists, we seek to engage the general public and improve understanding in a field that is often affected by misinformation. More broadly, our goal is to stimulate curiosity and awareness of the surrounding geophysical environment.

To contribute to this effort, we designed and implemented a series of multisensory experiences centered on rainfall, guided by three main objectives: (i) to actively engage people with geoscience topics by encouraging them to observe their environment; (ii) to offer a simple and enjoyable moment that allows them to focus on geophysical phenomena; and (iii) to provide new knowledge about rainfall. Regarding this last objective, sensory involvement is a powerful tool for enhancing learning and memory.

We proposed three simple experiences that require no material other than rainfall itself and an open mind, and that conveys clear take-home messages. The three experiences are: feeling raindrops and their sizes on the hand or face while walking; listening to rain falling on different surfaces (such as a tent, umbrella, or metal sheet); and observing rainfall near a lamppost at night. The first highlights the variability of drop sizes, the second illustrates the temporal variability of rainfall, and the third reveals the combined temporal variability of rainfall and wind. Participants are invited to read short instructions before, and to fill out an open-ended form to report their sensations and observations.

The feedback collected for more than 60 experiences carried out in more than 5 different countries will be presented. Disparities of feeling between the three experiences will be presented.

How to cite: Gires, A. and Dallan, E.: Enhancing awareness of the geophysical environment through a multisensory rainfall experience, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14749, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14749, 2026.

EGU26-14937 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Groundbreaking Science Discoveries and Successes enabled by ESA Earth Observation Satellites 

Maurice Borgeaud, Jonathan Bamber, Anny Cazenave, Yann Kerr, Michaela Hegglin, Marta Marcos, Christian Massari, Johanna Tamminen, Chris Rapley, Jonas L'Haridon, and Courtney Allison

The presentation will introduce a brochure (see reference below) that was prepared by the Earth Science Panel of the European Space Science Committee, which describes twelve groundbreaking science examples enabled by Earth observation satellites, representing the four main thematic domains of Earth sciences, namely: atmosphere, polar regions, ocean, and land. The different examples highlight the value across the Earth sciences of Earth Observation satellite missions, how they have resulted in transformative scientific breakthroughs, and their value to society and human endeavour.

Taking note that ESA is already very active in the communications of EO results, https://www.esa.int/Applications/Observing_the_Earth, the aim it to produce a simple and easy to understand document that can convincingly demonstrate the huge science and societal benefits brought by ESA EO satellites. The document provides 12 examples clearly identifying the discoveries enabled by EO satellites.  Most examples are based on ESA missions (ERS-1, ERS-2, ENVISAT, Earth Explorers) and European Commission Copernicus programme (Sentinels), but other sources of data from European national missions and NASA are used.

The approach for the preparation of this document was driven by an ambition to translate the details and results of landmark scientific breakthroughs to a policy-oriented audience through the employment of concise, clear, and approachable language. To further aid in understanding, the text was accompanied by impactful and sharp graphics generated in collaboration between the scientists, communication experts, and professional graphic designers.

The presentation will describe how the document was conceived, the selection process to arrive at the 12 examples, and the satellite data used. Special attention will be also given on the process to convert scientific results published from highly ranked journals to easily understandable text and graphics which make the core of the document. Lessons learned on the process will be reported and some of the examples of the brochure will be detailed in the presentation.

This new perspective could act as a template for future promotion of space agency scientific excellence and value.

 

Reference:

Borgeaud, M., Bamber, J., Cazenave, A., Hegglin, M., Kerr, Y., Marcos, M., Massari, C., Tamminen, J., Rapley, C., L’Haridon, J. and Allison, C., Earth Observation Groundbreaking Science Discoveries, ESA publication, 2025, https://doi.org/10.5270/ESSC-ESA-EO-Groundbreaking-Science-2025, available for download at https://www.essc.esf.org/2025/01/21/news-eo-brochure/.

 

 

How to cite: Borgeaud, M., Bamber, J., Cazenave, A., Kerr, Y., Hegglin, M., Marcos, M., Massari, C., Tamminen, J., Rapley, C., L'Haridon, J., and Allison, C.: Groundbreaking Science Discoveries and Successes enabled by ESA Earth Observation Satellites, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14937, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14937, 2026.

EGU26-15455 | Orals | EOS1.1

Learning, creating, and sharing: A science communication framework for water and climate education 

Lisa Gallagher, Jasmine Pinchinat, Mario Soriano, and Reed Maxwell

Since 2015, the Integrated GroundWater Modeling Center has engaged diverse audiences in water and climate science through community education and outreach programs including STEM fairs, university courses, teacher workshops, and week-long camps for high school students. Across these varied contexts, science communication has served as a consistent throughline, informing both how participants learn scientific content and how they share it with others.

Over this period of engagement, participant groups took part in parallel learning of hydrology-focused scientific content and science communication principles, applying both to the creation of communication products, and synthesizing new knowledge and tools to engage effectively with peers and public audiences. Participants across this collection of programs created a wide range of science communication products, including hands-on activities, videos, games, audio products, and digital tools. Together, these methods and outcomes supported participants in communicating complex water and climate topics in accessible and meaningful ways.

This presentation will highlight educational approaches refined over a decade of programming, reaching over 10,000 in-person participants and a similarly sized audience through digital tools and lessons. Evaluation metrics collected across program iterations indicate consistent gains in self-reported knowledge and suggest positive participant experiences. It will also share core elements of the instructional framework and key lessons learned from a decade of communication and outreach, including observed impacts and practical insights for designing hands-on science communication experiences. By providing structured opportunities to both learn and practice science communication, these programs support participants in understanding how scientific knowledge is developed and communicated, with the broader goal of building trust in scientists and the scientific process.

How to cite: Gallagher, L., Pinchinat, J., Soriano, M., and Maxwell, R.: Learning, creating, and sharing: A science communication framework for water and climate education, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15455, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15455, 2026.

Recent advancements in AI technology have paved the way for the creation of sophisticated, educational avatars. These avatars are human-like in their interactions; they can listen to spoken input, generate appropriate responses, and communicate their answers through synthetic speech.  While AI-generated avatars are becoming more common for a variety of purposes in commercial sectors, they are rarely used in scientific fields. 

This technology represents a unique opportunity to reduce some of the roadblocks which can prevent students from pursing climate science as a career.  1) Many students, especially those from smaller communities, have never personally met a scientist, 2) they do not perceive climate science as a viable career path, and 3) students may not have been exposed to scientists who come from similar cultural backgrounds as themselves.  This project helps to address these challenges by bringing climate scientists directly into schools and communities, allowing students to have one-on-one conversations with scientists who can answer their questions and talk about science-related careers. AI avatars also enable students to engage with climate scientists who reflect their own appearances and cultural backgrounds, fostering a sense of relatability and inclusion.

Our team is creating AI-driven Virtual Climate Scientists who are trained to interact in real-time with both students and the general public.  These AI avatars are able to answer questions about their careers, current research in their field, and educational pathways that an interested student could consider. Each AI avatar represents a different field of climate science, and each has a different personal background, representing a wide range of cultures, educational backgrounds, life experiences, and personal stories.

We will present the current status of the project development, initial testing results from the beta-versions of the avatars, and lessons learned in the creation of each individual Virtual Climate Scientist.

How to cite: Brevik, C., Jayasekera, T., and Merriman, T.: Creating AI-driven Virtual Climate Scientists to introduce both students and the general public to climate science careers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15954, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15954, 2026.

In many parts of the world, fire is a key and natural disturbance on the landscape. However, they can have devastating environmental and economic consequences when they burn into urban interfaces, and when they burn at intensities and frequencies outside the adaptive capacity of native flora and fauna. In the modern era, vestiges of colonial fire management paradigms based on emergency response and fire suppression, and now coupled with the effects of climate change, have resulted in fires burning at unprecedented frequencies, sizes, and intensities, damaging ecosystems, livelihoods, and human populations. These effects highlight the need for a new fire management paradigm - one that integrates not just response and suppression, but also relevant sociocultural and environmental aspects.

Here, I present a range of outreach activities I have delivered across a range of audiences at science festivals in Europe and the UK, informed in part by findings from a survey carried out through the FIRE-ADAPT consortium, an EU funded project studying Integrated Fire Management (IFM). In the survey, participants were asked what they considered the most important actions for effective fire management. The most prevalent response was Public Outreach and Participation, highlighting the importance of targeting educational outreach, science communication, and public engagement in the development of fire management policy. The outreach activities I present here address two of the key messages respondents highlighted: 1) that fire is a natural, inevitable, and important part of fire-adapted landscapes, and 2) humans are a part of that landscape, and dispelling the nature-culture divide is essential for taking ownership of their participation in landscape management. I will discuss my motivations for engaging in these outreach activities, and how I see the key messages fit into broader fire management policies.

How to cite: Hsu, A.: Spreading like a Wildfire: The Importance of Education and Outreach in Fire Management, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16109, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16109, 2026.

In Saitama Museum of Rivers, workshops and exhibitions on soil have been organized for more than 10 years and we will share the experience in this presentation.

To recognize and stimulate curiosity towards soil, touching or observing soil and making participants feel the soil is effective. Long-run workshops carried out for the museum visitors who are not familiar with soil are, 1. making shining soil balls with clayey soil, 2. dying cloths with fluvial and volcanic soil, 3. stepping on soil of fluvial (paddy) and volcanic (upland farm) soil, 4. painting with soil of different color, 5. observing soil animals and others. All workshops include touching and/or observing soil. Main participant is primary school students and below with their parents. Questionnaire was taken for 2 hours workshops 1 and 2, and both showed high level of satisfaction. Free statement of the questionnaire were as follows, “Surprised that fine soil becomes so hard (1)”, “Could understand well about soil (1, 2)”, “Feels good with shiny surface (1)”, “Very much absorbed in the work (1, 2)”, “Surprised with the color difference of the two soils (2)”, “It was fun to knead the soil (2)”. From these answers, it can be said that participants enjoyed working on soil while learning about soil. It seems good that participants could bring what they made back home, too. From the experience of different workshops, it is important to talk casually about soil during the workshop (while participants are working on the today’s menu) not only to the young participants, but to their parents. Not the formal, lecture type but casual and relaxed talk stimulates curiosity to soil, which may lead to next question. As for exhibition, Soil Monolith Exhibition (2012), What is Soil (touring exhibition, 2015), Soil Watching (2023) were organized. “What is Soil” toured 13 different places, 7 of which content was fully exhibited and others partly, and number of total visitors was 50,757. Age of visitors is wide, and it was tried that contents would not be too technical yet keeping necessary information. Effort was made on hands-on and real material (e.g. monoliths) exhibits. From the questionnaire, visitors were satisfied because “could get to know about soil which is close to us but not familiar with”, “could actually see the real soil and touch the exhibits”, and not satisfied because “too technical and too many letters” (free statements). Contribution of soil monoliths to raise interest toward soil seemed high. Guide tours were arranged several times and they were popular, so face to face guide tour has great demand. Overall, satisfaction level was high and effective on people to get to know soil, with a room for better achievement.

How to cite: Mori, K. and Kosaki, T.: Appealing to the senses, long-run workshops and exhibitions on soil for museum visitors, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16330, 2026.

EGU26-16408 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Public perceptions of cross-cascading climate change impacts: evidence from Bucharest, Romania 

Gabriela Ioana-Toroimac, Dana Maria Constantin (Oprea), Adrian Amadeus Tișcovschi, and Andreea Raluca Niculescu

The aim of the study was to identify cross-cascading impacts of climate change as perceived by the general public, in order to further develop strategies for education and awareness. The study employed an open-ended survey conducted in the city of Bucharest, located in southern Romania. Respondents were asked to provide examples of climate change impacts across different categories (environment, society, and economics).

The respondents identified a wide variety of environmental consequences, the most frequently mentioned being the increased frequency and/or magnitude of meteorological, climatic, and hydrological hazards. Drought ranked highest, being identified by 48% of all respondents. Public health emerged as the most important societal concern related to climate change (mentioned by 39% of respondents), with particular emphasis on the fatal effects of heat waves (designated by 10% of respondents). From an economic perspective, losses in agriculture were considered the most significant consequence of climate change by 59% of respondents.

In addition to these general findings, several specific perceptions emerged. 17% of respondents considered rising prices to be a consequence of climate change; in the context of water scarcity, they anticipated higher costs for irrigation, hydropower generation, fluvial transportation, and new methods to reduce water pollution, ultimately leading to higher prices of final products. This was followed by concerns regarding a decline in living standards. Furthermore, 20% of respondents indicated that industry and services are changing their structure in response to green requirements, while outdoor labor conditions are increasingly influenced by extreme weather, leading to labor market changes aimed at adapting to these new conditions.

The responses demonstrated a good understanding of the natural phenomena and processes occurring in southern Romania in recent years. They also revealed concerns regarding the future evolution of the economy. Overall, respondents showed a clear awareness of the cross-cascading impacts of climate change. However, climate change cannot be dissociated from other factors influencing social life and economic development; therefore, respondents’ perceptions are likely shaped by a multitude of contributing elements.

In a proactive approach, new curricula and academic study programs should be developed to address extreme weather, water scarcity, and the evolving labor market in southern Romania, in order to support career integration and ensure a sense of financial security.

How to cite: Ioana-Toroimac, G., Constantin (Oprea), D. M., Tișcovschi, A. A., and Niculescu, A. R.: Public perceptions of cross-cascading climate change impacts: evidence from Bucharest, Romania, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16408, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16408, 2026.

EGU26-17919 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Analysis of Weather Broadcasting in Public Media: A Case Study of MTVA News and Weather Reports 

Csilla Molnár, Csilla Ilyés-Vincze, Ádám Leelőssy, and Zsuzsanna Soósné Dezső

The integration of meteorological information into public media is vital to promote public awareness and engagement. This study investigates the audience performance of the Hungarian Public Media (MTVA- Media Service Support and Asset Management Fund) weather reports and news broadcasts during 2023 and 2024. As extreme weather events and climate-retated issues increasingly shape daily life, the need for reliable and timely meteorological information has become more pronounced. This research examines how M1 channel’s weather reports influence viewer engagement, particularly in relation to broader television consumption habits and major socio-political events.  Using Nielsen Audience Measurement data, we analysed 13,758 weather reports, representing an average of 18-20 broadcasts per day. In the two-year period, these programmes accounted for 656 hours of airtime. The broadcasts reached more than 5.1 million viewers, covering 60.5% of the television audience aged four and above, with viewers watching an average of 78 weather reports annually.

Viewing patterns show clear peaks during early morning, midday, and evening news periods, closely linked to daily routines. Demographic analysis revealed that urban residents, particularly in Budapest, exhibit higher engagement rates compared to rural areas, reflecting global trends observed in studies such as those by the Pew Research Center and Nielsen. Additionally, older audiences (aged 60 and above) demonstrated the most consistent viewership, while the younger population (18-29 years of age) showed a preference for digital platforms over traditional television.

Using detailed audience data, the study explores how weather forecasts attract and retain viewers, highlighting factors such as broadcast timing, content organisation, and the placement of meteorological updates into news program.

Overall, the findings confirm that television remains a relevant and effective channel for meteorological communication, particularly among older and urban audiences. At the same time, the results emphasise the importance of strategically incorporating digital media in order to reach younger viewers more effectively. These insights contribute to ongoing discussions about optimising weather communication in the digital era and offer practical implications for public service broadcasters internationally.

How to cite: Molnár, C., Ilyés-Vincze, C., Leelőssy, Á., and Soósné Dezső, Z.: Analysis of Weather Broadcasting in Public Media: A Case Study of MTVA News and Weather Reports, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17919, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17919, 2026.

EGU26-18054 | Orals | EOS1.1

Communication within the UK flood hydrology community: bridging the gaps between science and practice  

Linda Speight, Emma Ford, Anita Asadullah, Louise Slater, Sally Brown, Helen Harfoot, Owain Sheppard, Chris Skinner, Clare Waller, and Thomas Willis

Flood hydrology sits at the interface of science, public protection, infrastructure planning, and regulation. It is a broad and interdisciplinary field; in a recent UK survey of users of hydrology only 45 % self-identified as a hydrologist. To ensure society is prepared for increasing hydrological risks, effective communication within this diverse community is essential. Without clear pathways for translation pathway between policy priorities, emerging research and operational needs, critical planning and policy decisions risk being made on outdated assumptions. However, operational decisions are not always able to draw upon the latest research into process understanding or modelling approaches due to multiple barriers. These barriers include uneven access to data and tools, capacity constraints, differences in incentives across sectors and the limited time for relationship building and knowledge translation across different expertise

Here, we present insights from around 60 participants at a “science into practice” workshop hosted at the British Hydrological Society Symposium (University of Oxford, September 2024). The workshop was designed as a sector-spanning exercise between researchers, consultants, regulators, and practioners working on flood hydrology across the UK. Across sectors, participants converged on six priority themes: (1) working together, (2) funding and responsibilities, (3) skills and training, (4) data, (5) methods, and (6) accreditation and usability. We reflect on how these themes provided insights into the challenges and opportunities for science communication, knowledge translation and collaboration, and why such activities are often undervalued despite their critical role for improving flood-risk decisions. We conclude with practical recommendations for improving “science into practice” pathways in flood hydrology with more inclusive cross-sector communication aligned with the goals of the co-developed 25-year UK Flood Hydrology Roadmap. These lessons learned are transferable to other areas of environmental risk where effective communication and collaboration are crucial for delivering societal and environmental benefits.  

How to cite: Speight, L., Ford, E., Asadullah, A., Slater, L., Brown, S., Harfoot, H., Sheppard, O., Skinner, C., Waller, C., and Willis, T.: Communication within the UK flood hydrology community: bridging the gaps between science and practice , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18054, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18054, 2026.

EGU26-20402 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Perception of risk associated with tropical days in urban environments and implications for public health: A case study of Bucharest, Romania 

Dana Maria Constantin (Oprea), Gabriela Ioana-Toroimac, Elena Grigore, Adrian Amadeus Tișcovschi, Raul Gabriel Ilea, and Mihai Andrei Nițu

In most mid- and high-latitude regions, a decrease in the frequency of very low temperatures and an increase in the frequency of high temperatures have been observed as a consequence of ongoing global warming. Tropical days, defined as days with a maximum air temperature of at least 30°C, represent a key climatic indicator for assessing the impact of heat excess on the urban environment. The increasing frequency of these days in recent decades, amplified by the urban heat island effect, accentuates the thermal discomfort and the vulnerability of urban population.

The perception of risk associated with the increasing frequency of tropical days is influenced by the mode of institutional communication and by the availability of clear and credible early warning systems. The aim of this study is to quantify the level of information and awareness among the population of the Bucharest metropolitan area, the capital of Romania, regarding how the human body perceives and reacts to high air temperatures. Cities of Bucharest’s size can modify the air temperature, increasing it by approximately 5–6°C above the temperature of the surrounding area. The analysis was based on a questionnaire containing semi-open questions with multiple response options, applied individually and directly, to a sample of 267 participants. 44% of respondents reported feeling vulnerable to daily air temperature equal to or exceeding 30°C, 40% answered sometimes, in certain situations, and the rest that they are not vulnerable to such air temperature. Respondents associate, in decreasing order of the number of answers, excess heat with dehydration, fatigue and insomnia, irritability, respiratory problems, and muscle cramps and aches. As measures to improve living conditions during periods with tropical days, participants consider the need for more urban green spaces, greater environmental responsibility at both individual and collective levels (through systematic ecological and climate education), and the establishment of additional hydration and first aid points.

Integrating public perception into urban planning and public health policies is essential for reducing the risk associated with tropical days in cities and adapting to climate change, because thermal stress is not an isolated phenomenon but one that disproportionately affects the elderly, children, individuals with chronic illnesses, and low-income communities.

How to cite: Constantin (Oprea), D. M., Ioana-Toroimac, G., Grigore, E., Tișcovschi, A. A., Ilea, R. G., and Nițu, M. A.: Perception of risk associated with tropical days in urban environments and implications for public health: A case study of Bucharest, Romania, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20402, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20402, 2026.

EGU26-21016 | ECS | Orals | EOS1.1

Community organising and engaging young people with climate change research and policies 

Emma Hanson, Carl Stevenson, YouCAP members, Richard Campbell, Saidul Haque Saeed, and Sarah Greene

The inclusion of young people in climate change and palaeoclimate research has never been more important. There is a general uncertainty for our long-term future that is felt more within the young people within society, with climate anxiety a source of concern. Communication around climate change and palaeoclimate research to the general public is often in the form of education and traditional public engagements, such as social media, blogs and the press. 

Through work with Citizens UK, a diverse people-powered alliance of civil society institutions, we are working with a group of young people (aged 14-18) from a mixture of schools and city centre youth clubs based in deprived areas to create YouCAP, a youth climate advisory panel in the city of Birmingham. This work is linked to a larger NERC-funded project (C-FORCE) that is focusing on climate change in the past. We are training young people in broad-based community organising techniques, empowering them to speak to those in positions of power, like local councillors and leaders, and to conduct a local listening campaign about policy related to climate change. The first cohort of YouCAP participants found a general apathy for climate change issues in their communities, with many people naming personal issues such as the cost of living crisis or housing problems as higher priorities. The young people went on to create a podcast exchanging perspectives with those in power, with guests including a local councillor involved in city wide sustainability efforts, a scientist from the C-FORCE project, and a PhD student researching critical metals for the energy transition. Already YouCAP played a critical role in making climate change a national priority for Citizens UK and  leveraged the podcast recording with the local councillor to extract a promise of organising a youth climate assembly about local climate policy in the near future.

This work is ongoing, with continuous recruitment of new members of YouCAP, as well as the development of relationships with other key partners. Our final aim is to enact change at a local level with the work we have been doing with the young people through discussions around climate-related policies with local government leaders. By conducting this community engagement within the larger sphere of an international multi-disciplinary science project, a greater understanding of how the project outputs are absorbed by communities will be gained and trusting relationships will be formed with local communities, which is needed to convey the issues surrounding climate change to the public.

How to cite: Hanson, E., Stevenson, C., members, Y., Campbell, R., Haque Saeed, S., and Greene, S.: Community organising and engaging young people with climate change research and policies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21016, 2026.

EGU26-21176 | Orals | EOS1.1

From Knowledge Production to Societal Relevance in Earth Sciences 

Rosa Rodríguez Gasén and María Arista-Romero

Clearly, communication, dissemination and outreach play an increasingly important role in the social impact of research. Beyond performing solid and high-quality scientific knowledge, research centres are expected and required to ensure that the results obtained are accessible, useful, meaningful, and relevant to a wide range of publics and audiences.

This talk aims to showcase the communication, dissemination, and outreach activities implemented by the Earth Sciences Department at the Barcelona Supercomputing Center-Centro Nacional de Supercomputación (BS-CNS). The actions carried out in the field of communication and dissemination of Earth Sciences will be presented, and the lessons learnt and the challenges ahead for fostering the exchange of knowledge among various stakeholders, including (multidisciplinary) research teams, communication and dissemination professionals, and stakeholders, will be discussed.

The coordination of communication, dissemination and knowledge exchange activities within the framework of various research projects, which often pursue different objectives and have varying paces, will also be explained, as well as the role of teams dedicated to knowledge integration in building a bridge for dialogue with the user communities of the results obtained. The talk will explore how participatory approaches, co-creation processes, and different adaptive communication formats can contribute to reinforcing relevance, fostering mutual learning, and improving trust between researchers and stakeholders.

While sharing transferable lessons and questions that are still open, this overview aims to encourage ongoing discussions and debates about how research institutions, in our particular case in the scientific field of Earth Sciences, should move from simple ad hoc dissemination activities to more strategic, integrated, and impact-oriented communication and engagement practices in society.

How to cite: Rodríguez Gasén, R. and Arista-Romero, M.: From Knowledge Production to Societal Relevance in Earth Sciences, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21176, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21176, 2026.

EGU26-21456 | Orals | EOS1.1 | Highlight

Expanding the Space of Climate Agency: From Individual Decisions to System Dynamics 

Elena Claire Ricci, Giulia Tasquier, Francesca Pongiglione, and Sonia Morandi

Young people show a growing willingness to contribute to climate change mitigation, yet empirical evidence consistently highlights the persistence of misconceptions, fragmented knowledge, and difficulties in translating intentions into effective action. This lack of orientation is not surprising given the complexity of the socio‑ecological processes at stake. It is therefore crucial to develop educational tools to support individuals in critically engaging with these challenges, developing the ability to make informed decisions and take effective action. Supporting orientation toward agency in such contexts requires educational strategies capable of making systemic dynamics visible, explorable, and grounded in real-world data. This contribution is developed within the ENCOMPASS project, a multidisciplinary research initiative integrating perspectives from philosophy, economics, and science education to investigate agency in the context of climate change. ENCOMPASS conceptualises agency through three complementary and integrated lenses: epistemic-driven, ethical-refelctive and systemic-pragmatic. For this contribution, we focus on the systemic–pragmatic dimension of agency, which expands the space of action by linking individual decision-making to system-level dynamics and collective consequences.

It is specifically focused on food practices, i.e., day-to-day ‘simple’ decisions that offer significant individual climate-change mitigation opportunities. In particular, we study two key behaviours: reducing meat consumption and reducing food waste, analysing perceptions, barriers, and drivers of adoption.

The research follows two phases: (i) an exploratory qualitative analysis with students from two Italian upper‑secondary schools through focus groups, which generated concept maps used to identify the most crucial issues and thus relevant variables; (ii) the design and administration of a structured survey to a representative sample of the Italian population (N=1400).

The survey investigated individual food-related choices and behaviours in real contexts with a strong focus on the motivations and the characteristics of the context in which they were taken. Moreover, through the use of validated scales we evaluate perceptions, concerns, values, knowledge, social and moral norms of respondents. These dimensions allow for a detailed analysis of how beliefs, cognitive factors, social influences, and socio-demographic characteristics affect individual adoption of more climate-friendly and sustainable food-practices. The outputs of the analysis of this data collection are used as the empirical base to calibrate a system-dynamics simulation-model identifying potential dynamics of behaviour adoption among individuals. This modelling can generate interactive scenarios showing the (aggregated) effects of changes to individual behaviours, which could potentially contribute to strengthen youth orientation toward sustainable food-choices.

The model enables the exploration of feedback mechanisms and scenario-based outcomes, illustrating how individual decisions may aggregate and evolve within a complex system over time. We argue that empirically grounded SD simulations can function as powerful educational tools, supporting learners in critically engaging with complex socio-ecological processes, exploring “what-if” scenarios, and understanding the systemic implications of everyday decisions. By bridging individual action, empirical data, and system-level modelling, this work contributes to expanding the space of climate agency in education and beyond.

The proposed modelling approach allows agency to be examined through the dynamic relations between individual decisions and system-level outcomes, offering a concrete way to analyse how possibilities for action are shaped, enabled, and constrained within complex socio-ecological systems.

How to cite: Ricci, E. C., Tasquier, G., Pongiglione, F., and Morandi, S.: Expanding the Space of Climate Agency: From Individual Decisions to System Dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21456, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21456, 2026.

EGU26-21462 | ECS | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Using Environmental Observatory Data from the Navarino Environmental Observatory (NEO) to Advance Climate Change Education in the Mediterranean 

Georgios Maneas, Christos Pantazis, and Martina Hättestrand

Environmental observatories provide powerful real-world contexts for advancing climate change education and fostering engagement with Earth system science. The Navarino Environmental Observatory (NEO), located in southwestern Greece, integrates long-term environmental monitoring with interdisciplinary research, generating high-resolution datasets on atmospheric conditions, ecosystem dynamics, soil and hydrological processes, and biodiversity change in a Mediterranean climate hotspot. By linking empirical observations to education and outreach activities, NEO supports learning experiences that connect scientific evidence to place-based climate impacts and societal challenges.

This contribution presents how NEO observational data are embedded in participatory education initiatives to enhance climate literacy, critical thinking, and data competencies across diverse learner groups. Drawing on examples from international field courses, summer schools, living lab activities, and community workshops, we show how students and stakeholders engage directly with real environmental datasets to interpret trends, explore uncertainty, and understand feedbacks between climate, ecosystems, and land management. Particular attention is given to how data-driven learning influences climate perceptions, supports interdisciplinary understanding, and encourages informed dialogue between scientists and society.

Our experience demonstrates that combining long-term environmental observations with experiential and participatory educational approaches strengthens climate change education, promotes trust in scientific evidence, and supports the development of actionable knowledge for climate adaptation and sustainability.

How to cite: Maneas, G., Pantazis, C., and Hättestrand, M.: Using Environmental Observatory Data from the Navarino Environmental Observatory (NEO) to Advance Climate Change Education in the Mediterranean, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21462, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21462, 2026.

The communication of paleontological heritage to non-specialist audiences presents unique challenges: fossils are fragmentary, ancient environments are invisible, and the scientific reasoning connecting evidence to reconstruction is often opaque. This contribution examines how generative artificial intelligence and three-dimensional digital technologies are transforming science communication practice in paleontology while proposing an epistemological framework to ensure scientific integrity in public engagement.

We present a four-paradigm classification distinguishing: (1) Empirical methods (photogrammetry, structured-light scanning, LiDAR) that produce metrically accurate digital surrogates of physical specimens; (2) Neural Scene Representation (Neural Radiance Fields, 3D Gaussian Splatting) that reconstruct scenes from sparse image sets through learned interpolation; (3) Generative AI (diffusion models, large language models, image-to-video synthesis) that create novel content based on pattern recognition rather than direct observation; and (4) Hybrid approaches that combine two or more methodologies. This framework addresses a fundamental question for science communicators: whether a given digital output constitutes a record, a representation, or a hypothesis—a distinction critical for maintaining public trust.

We demonstrate applications ranging from constraint-based paleoartistic reconstruction to AI-generated video synthesis for museum exhibitions and educational programs using real-world workflows created at Centro Ciência Viva de Lagos, Portugal, as part of the PaNReD (ALG-07-527-FSE-000044) and SciTour (ALG-01-0145-FEDER-072585) projects. A key case study involves the digital reconstruction workflow for Cariocecus bocagei, a new hadrosauroid from the Lower Cretaceous of Portugal, illustrating the complete pipeline from photogrammetric capture of fossil specimens through AI-assisted life reconstruction and video generation. This process illustrates how empirical 3D models function as anatomical constraints for generative AI, guaranteeing that paleoart remains connected to physical evidence while simultaneously achieving the visual impact required for effective public engagement. We critically examine the phenomenon of “hallucinated heritage”—the risk that visually convincing AI outputs may inadvertently disseminate subtle biases or fabrications to public audiences who lack the expertise to distinguish evidence-based reconstruction from algorithmic speculation.

The most challenging obstacle we have faced is the preservation of the distinction between what is known from fossil evidence and what is inferred or imagined, especially when AI-generated imagery attains a photorealistic quality that may imply false certainty. Our approach addresses this through explicit labeling of epistemological status, transparent documentation of AI prompts and constraints, and educational materials that use the reconstruction process itself as a teaching tool about scientific reasoning.

We argue that these technologies do not diminish the role of the scientist-communicator but rather transform it from “guardian of the rock” to “authenticator of reality.” The emotional connection fostered by immersive 3D environments and lifelike paleoart reconstructions can enhance public engagement with deep time, provided that communication strategies explicitly address the epistemological status of digital outputs. This session contribution shares lessons learned from five years of integrating digital technologies into science centre programming, offering a framework for practitioners seeking to harness AI's communicative power while preserving scientific integrity.

How to cite: Azevedo Rodrigues, L.: Generative AI and 3D Digital Technologies for Paleontological Heritage Communication: An Epistemological Framework and Practical Applications, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21526, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21526, 2026.

EGU26-21602 | Posters on site | EOS1.1

Acknowledging different levels of audience engagement in science in research outreach strategies 

Timothy D. James, Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir, Christine S. Hvidberg, and Eliza Cook and the ICELINK Team

The outreach strategies of research projects often focus on ambitious objectives such as improving the knowledge base for stakeholders, promoting uptake of informed strategies and societal transitions, increasing awareness of research, etc. However, objectives like these take for granted that target audiences are engaged in science and trustful of expertise when we know that there is a growing population throughout society who are neither. The growing mistrust of science and experts is, at least in part, a failure of the science community to reach and engage with a significant sector of society.  In an attempt to address this deficiency in our own work, the ICELINK project aims to tailor key messages to identified target audiences that acknowledge these differing levels of engagement and trust.  While recognizing target audiences, including local stakeholders, policymakers, and the general public, we also recognize that within these audiences we will find individuals and groups who are:

  • highly engaged (e.g., those who would, for example, eagerly attend a public science event);
  • marginally engaged (e.g., those who would attend a public science event if it were convenient or brought to them, but might not actively seek one out); and
  • unengaged (e.g., those who would not attend a public science event without some external motivator).

While scientists tend to excel at engaging with members of the public who are highly and marginally engaged in science, those in the third category are at high risk of being overlooked. With this in mind, in addition to sharing ICELINK’s science objectives, results, and outputs in innovative and creative ways, we also intend to help rebuild trust in science by sharing messages of greater relevance to less engaged audiences. For example, when communicating about climate change, we aim to use more positive messaging of hope and empowerment through personal action, an approach that is thought to increase an audience’s receptiveness compared to focusing solely on the consequences of climate change and inaction. We can also help make scientists (and experts generally) more relatable through personal perspective storytelling, and we will use “lightening experiences” (a.k.a. the “wow factor”) to help audiences appreciate difficult-to-grasp concepts (like vast spatial and temporal scales) and to remind people about the power and possibilities of science.

Scientists need to be better at reaching more diverse members of the general public. When planning our outreach strategies, if we can adjust our pathways to engagement, messaging, and expectations to be relevant to the full engagement/trust spectrum, perhaps we can have more of an impact on all audiences.

How to cite: James, T. D., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Hvidberg, C. S., and Cook, E. and the ICELINK Team: Acknowledging different levels of audience engagement in science in research outreach strategies, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21602, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21602, 2026.

Social media has become a key bridge between the scientific community and the broader public. Early Career Researchers (ECRs) in Latin America have increasingly embraced digital platforms to engage non-specialist audiences with geosciences content, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. One such initiative is Divulgación Terróloga, a non-profit, self-funded science communication project launched on June 11, 2019, by Mexican ECRs. The project aims to communicate Earth system processes clearly and accurately in Spanish through Facebook and Instagram. Our content covers all Earth spheres topics and features regular posts that promote the visibility of geosciences and the scientific work of mainly ECRs. The section "Miércoles de Jóvenes Investigadores" (Young Researchers Wednesday) highlights the research of students and early-career scientists, while the section "Geocientíficos en Acción" (Geoscientists in Action) focuses on geoscientists working beyond academia. We also conduct interviews with established researchers to highlight diverse career paths. In this presentation, we share the scope, challenges, and impacts of running Divulgación Terróloga. By April 23, 2025, we have published ~360 posts, reached ~2200 people per post on average, and grown a following of over 5300, with our most popular post reaching nearly 60,000 views. The audience is gender-balanced (49% women, 51% men) and spans Latin America, the U.S., and Europe. Our posts have been translated automatically into English, French, and German. This talk aims to highlight the power of social media in promoting geosciences education, increasing the visibility of ECRs, and building international scientific networks and bridges with society through outreach.

How to cite: Martinez-Abarca, R.: A guide to outreach geosciences on social media: the case of Divulgación Terróloga, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21614, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21614, 2026.

GM5 – Erosion, Sediments, Weathering, and Landscapes

EGU26-1598 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

The first application of rock surface luminescence dating as erosion-meter in Jankar Valley, Lahaul Himalaya 

Arbaz Pathan, Rabiul Biswas, Devender Kumar, Madhav Murari, Pankaj Kumar, and Nawaz Ali

Reconstructing the timing of glaciations and post-glacial erosion rates is essential for understanding past climate variability, the interaction between climatic systems and landforms, and for predicting future glacier behaviour under global warming. Such reconstructions also provide quantitative chronological constraints on landscape evolution. The terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide (TCN) dating technique using 10Be is among the most widely applied methods for reconstructing glacial histories by constraining the exposure ages of moraine boulders that record past glacial activity. However, the measured nuclide concentration is sensitive to post-depositional rock surface erosion, which can lead to an underestimation of exposure ages if not properly corrected. While very low erosion rates (<10-3 mm/a) exert a negligible influence on exposure-age calculations, higher rates (>10-2 mm/a) can significantly underestimate the apparent ages of sampled surfaces. Therefore, exposure and erosion rates are often evaluated using paired-nuclide approach or complementary dating techniques. Furthermore, the selection of different scaling models for cosmogenic nuclide production introduces additional variability and can significantly affect the derived exposure ages. This necessitated the development of a reliable complementary rock surface chronometer. Recently, rock surface luminescence dating (RSLD) has emerged as a promising technique for constraining exposure and erosion rates of rock surfaces. A few recent studies have used a combined approach integrating RSLD with 10Be dating to constrain post-exposure erosion rates and erosion corrected exposure ages. The accuracy of RSLD has been further improved through the application of General order kinetic (GOK) model, which incorporate the non-exponential decay of feldspar IRSL (Infrared Stimulated luminescence) signal within into RSLD modelling. This advanced approach has been applied in Lahaul Himalaya to determine the timing of past glacial activity and quantify post-glacial erosion rates. A total of eleven granitic gneiss boulders were sampled from five morphologically distinct moraine ridges distributed across two catchments within the Jankar Valley. Preliminary analysis revealed that the order of kinetics varied from 2.03 to 2.45, indicating the nonlinear behaviour of feldspar. Furthermore, the exposure ages derived from RSLD were significantly underestimated, suggesting the presence of relatively high surface erosion rates. The erosion rates were estimated by assuming step function erosion history and the values ranged from 64 ± 20 mm/kyr to  236 ± 30 mm/kyr, which are considerably higher than the previously reported rates of 0.8 mm/kyr. These elevated erosion rates are expected to exert a substantial influence on the apparent exposure ages obtained from TCN dating.

How to cite: Pathan, A., Biswas, R., Kumar, D., Murari, M., Kumar, P., and Ali, N.: The first application of rock surface luminescence dating as erosion-meter in Jankar Valley, Lahaul Himalaya, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1598, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1598, 2026.

EGU26-1777 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

The Influence of Dirty Snow Avalanches on Soil Development 

Magdalena Koschmieder, Johanna Mascher, and Arnaud Temme

Snow avalanches are a natural hazard that is – depending on its size and location – destructive and potentially harmful to humans, livestock and infrastructure. Because of that there is a lot of research on avalanche formation and how to protect residents and mountaineers from them.

However, some avalanches also function as geomorphic agents. This is the case for full-depth glide or wet snow avalanches that release after melting periods with high air temperatures or rain-on-snow events. These avalanches erode sediment and vegetation as they glide over the ground and transport the material to their deposition areas. Since they appear as brownish-grey in the landscape, they are referred to as “dirty snow avalanches”.

So far, no efforts have been made to investigate the influence these dirty snow avalanches have on soil and landscape. Thus, this research aims to bridge the gap by investigating two avalanche slopes of different lithologies in the Tyrolean Alps (Austria): one at the Hahntennjoch (limestone) in the Lechtal Alps and one in the Kraspes Valley (gneiss) in the Sellrain. We analysed in total 24 soil profiles and their soil properties in the avalanche deposition areas and nearby control areas where avalanche activity was presumed absent. Furthermore, an erosional spot in the release area at Hahntennjoch was accessed and investigated.

We will present the results of these analyses and compare avalanche and control sites as well as the two study areas with each other.

How to cite: Koschmieder, M., Mascher, J., and Temme, A.: The Influence of Dirty Snow Avalanches on Soil Development, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1777, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1777, 2026.

EGU26-1877 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

High-resolution UAV-SfM approach to quantify short-term hydro-dynamics in Mediterranean river systems. 

Francisco Javier Martín-Rodríguez, Carmelo Juez, and Manel Llena

Mountain headwaters play a critical role in both water and sediment production, transport, and storage. In Mediterranean regions, their geomorphological and ecological significance is amplified by pronounced climatic seasonality, hydrological variability, and anthropogenic pressures. Central Spanish Pyrenees exemplify these dynamics with steep gradients, land use and land cover (LULC) changes, and climatic oscillations in a natural-regime framework. Understanding short-term geomorphic adjustments in these systems requires high-resolution, event-based monitoring that provides a link between hydrological variability and morphological response.

This study examines hydro-morphological dynamics across four headwater reaches in Upper Aragón Basin (NE Spain), characterized by contrasting altitudinal, sedimentological, and topographical characteristics. Daily discharge records (2012 – 2024) were analysed to assess recent hydrological trends and stablish one- and five-year return period magnitudes. In order to stablish a sediment-mobilizing threshold for each reach, a critical discharge (Qc) was calculated based on D50 sediment fraction. To quantify hydraulic forcing in-between periods, the cumulative excess energy (ΔE) was calculated, integrating discharge exceeding Qc over given survey intervals.

High-resolution topographic surveys were conducted using UAV-SfM photogrammetry following competent flood events. Seven seasonal topographic surveys (2023 – 2025) were carried out with a DJI Mavic 3M drone equipped with multispectral sensors and RTK positioning. To ensure topographic correction and evaluate precision and accuracy, ground control points (GCP) and checkpoints (ChP) were surveyed with an EMLID GNSS-RTK rover, achieving centimetric values (average RMSE: 0.08 m; σ: 0.07 m).. Dense point clouds (130 000 points/m2 average) were processed within a 0.05 m grid to generate Digital Elevation Models (DEM). DEMs were filtered through the application of multispectral indices (GLI, NDVI, NDWI, and WI) to mask vegetation and debris. Successive DEMs were differenced to quantify aggradation – degradation patterns through models of difference (DoD). A variable minimum level of detection (minLoD) was applied across wet and dry areas along with a custom neighbour-based algorithm to identify and remove isolated outliers.

By integrating hydrological thresholds with fine-scale morphological monitoring, this study provides a detailed quantification of sediment mobility and channel adjustment in Mediterranean mountain rivers. The results highlight the influence of discharge variability on short-term morphological response, offering a process-based framework to support sediment management and channel evolution under changing hydro‑climatic conditions.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS: This work is funded by the European Research Council (ERC) through the Horizon Europe 2021 Starting Grant program under REA grant agreement number 101039181 - SEDAHEAD.

How to cite: Martín-Rodríguez, F. J., Juez, C., and Llena, M.: High-resolution UAV-SfM approach to quantify short-term hydro-dynamics in Mediterranean river systems., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1877, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1877, 2026.

All widely used fluvial landscape evolution models rely on a power-law scaling between discharge and drainage area. In settings with relatively high relief and low permeability, this assumption is often sufficient to capture landscape-scale fluvial dynamics and migration of drainage divides. What happens to geomorphic dynamics when those assumptions break down?  For example, carbonate karst systems can move massive amounts of water through the subsurface, sometimes against local topographic gradients. To address this question, we introduce a framework for landscape evolution based on the dissipation of the potential energy of precipitation as it takes both surface and subsurface flow paths. We demonstrate the utility of this framework by comparing the widely used “streampower plus diffusion” landscape evolution model with one in which water can take flow paths both over the surface and through the subsurface, responding to groundwater hydraulic head gradients. The framework explains how large carbonate plateaus like the Swabian Alb in southern Germany can persist and stall drainage capture despite a massive river profile asymmetry between Rhine and Danube catchments. Finally, we suggest that in such layered rock systems, the combination of contrasts in lithologic strength and permeability are primary controls on landscape evolution.

How to cite: Litwin, D. and Malatesta, L.: Draining the fluvial battery through groundwater and surface flow: energy partitioning and fluvial landscape evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2895, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2895, 2026.

EGU26-3901 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Linking Past Erosion Processes with Weather Dynamics in the Habach Valley, Hohe Tauern, Austria 

Sabine Dietel, Fabian Dremel, Schylar Healy, Jörg Robl, and Jan-Christoph Otto

Enhanced sediment export from high-alpine mountain catchments strongly affects fluvial systems and reinforces the risk of damage to valleys downstream. Changes in precipitation regimes induced by climate change are expected to modify geomorphological activity, erosion processes, and sediment transfer, potentially leading to increased sediment fluxes in alpine rivers. Despite increasing attention to climate-driven geomorphic change, a detailed understanding of sediment transport processes and their response to variations in meteorological forcing remains limited.

This study aims to improve the understanding of recent and historic sediment dynamics in a high-alpine catchment, the Habach Valley, located in the Hohe Tauern National Park (Austria), by integrating topographic change analyses with information on historic meteorological conditions.

We calculate multi-temporal DEM of Difference (DoD) for the time span 1953 – 2023 to detect hotspots of frequent sediment redistribution and quantify erosion volumes. Complemented by information from historical hazard archives, we further evaluate the SPARTACUS precipitation dataset to reconstruct meteorological conditions and link formative extreme events to sediment mobilization and redistribution within the catchment.

First results reveal persistent hotspots of sediment mobilization and redistribution in the observed period, predominantly located within the riverbed and depositional landforms on the slopes and within the cirques. The detected surface changes are mainly related to gravitational and fluvial processes and redistribution along the sediment cascade.

How to cite: Dietel, S., Dremel, F., Healy, S., Robl, J., and Otto, J.-C.: Linking Past Erosion Processes with Weather Dynamics in the Habach Valley, Hohe Tauern, Austria, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3901, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3901, 2026.

EGU26-4115 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Geomorphic change in the Guarda Mor River resulting from the extreme event of 2024 

Gabriel Augusto Feyh, Jean Paolo Gomes Minella, Eno Darci Saatkamp, Lidiane Buligon, Gustavo Henrique Merten, Felipe Bernardi, Cristiano Carvalho da Silva, Angelo Garcia Costa, and Alice Prates Bisso Dambroz

The understanding of fluvial erosion processes during extreme rainfall events is often limited by the lack of detailed pre-event topographic, sedimentological, and hydrological data. This study explores the 2024 extreme rainfall event in the Guarda Mor River experimental basin, Southern Brazil, based on a comparison of hydrological and topographic information obtained before, during, and after the event. The event, driven by a rainfall volume of 435 mm in 31 hours and an estimated peak discharge of 700 m3s−1, generated a unit stream power capable of greatly exceeding channel stability thresholds. To evaluate the impact of flow on fluvial erosion, pre- and post-event topographic and grain size data were compared, focusing specifically on a 130 m reach upstream of the monitoring section. Additionally, the hydrological study compared the hydraulic behavior of the channel using velocity and water level data from the basin’s existing monitoring program. The approach combined: (i) geomorphological change detection via DEM of Difference (DoD); (ii) characterization of the bed sedimentary restructuring via surface and subsurface grain size analysis; and (iii) changes in hydraulic geometry and flow resistance. The results reveal a complete “geomorphic reset” of the channel. The DoD quantified a substantial morphological reconfiguration, including an average channel widening of 24% and a transition from upstream erosion (max. −0.73 m) to massive downstream deposition (max. +1.19 m). Sedimentologically, the event energy was sufficient to break the pre-existing armoring layer, reducing the armoring ratio from 7.9 to 4.9 and causing intense winnowing of subsurface fines. This revealed a striking hydro-geomorphic duality: despite significant coarsening of the surface layer (D50 increased from 192.5 mm to 249.6 mm), the structural reorganization led to a “hydraulic smoothing” phenomenon. Flow resistance decreased drastically (Manning’s n dropped from ≈ 0.040 to ≈ 0.020), resulting in higher flow velocities and a transition from a subcritical to a critical/supercritical regime (Fr ≥ 1). The event redefined the channel into a new, hydraulically more efficient state, in which the erosive process altered fluvial morphology, bed configuration, and roughness to accommodate the occurring discharges, magnitudes that, apparently, tend to become more frequent. However, due to the breaking of the armoring, the bed is now in a state of latent instability and greater sensitivity to future events.

How to cite: Feyh, G. A., Minella, J. P. G., Saatkamp, E. D., Buligon, L., Merten, G. H., Bernardi, F., da Silva, C. C., Costa, A. G., and Dambroz, A. P. B.: Geomorphic change in the Guarda Mor River resulting from the extreme event of 2024, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4115, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4115, 2026.

EGU26-5877 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Local hilltop and debris-flow morphometrics predict drainage divide migration 

William Struble, Kristin Sweeney, Jonah Talmadge, Jo Patton, and Maia Seeley

In terrestrial landscapes, neighboring catchments that experience contrasting erosion rates can be in disequilibrium such that drainage divides migrate. Cross-divide differences in measured erosion rate can indicate whether a drainage divide is stationary or mobile, and fluvial and hillslope morphologic proxies for erosion rate are often used to infer divide motion. However, these morphometrics do not measure the morphology of the divide itself. Furthermore, these metrics often neglect processes that spatially disconnect the divide from nearby fluvial channels, particularly debris-flow dominated valleys. Here, we test the efficacy of alternate morphometrics that correspond to nonfluvial processes proximal to the divide and compare our results to traditional divide-stability morphometrics (“Gilbert Metrics,” channel steepness, χ). Specifically, our alternate morphometrics are: Adf, a measure of the extent of debris-flow dominated channels, and hilltop curvature, CHT, within each drainage basin. Finally, we quantify the asymmetry of hilltop curvature of the main drainage divide – termed Casym – which represents the only morphometric that measures the drainage divide itself. We investigate these descriptors of landscape form in three landscapes that exhibit a range of uplift and erosion rates, as measured with cosmogenic nuclides in river sands: the Oregon Coast Range (OCR) and Ozark Plateau, Arkansas, both humid landscapes with moderate and low erosion rates, respectively, and the San Gabriel Mountains (SGM), California, a semi-arid region with high erosion rates.

We find that across all landscapes, classic morphometrics like channel steepness, χ, and the Gilbert Metrics can generally estimate divide mobility. However, the accuracy of these metrics differs and depends on measurement scale, and they are subject to assumptions regarding spatial variability in lithology, tectonics, and climate, as has been previously noted. Similarly, we find that the ability of Adf and CHT to predict divide mobility is dependent on the dominant processes within each landscape as well as the magnitude of erosion rate. For example, in landscapes like the SGM where debris flows are common at high erosion rates, Adf accurately predicts divide migration, whereas it struggles to record migration at low erosion rates in the OCR and Ozarks. In contrast, we find that catchment-averaged CHT is an effective proxy for divide migration in the OCR and Ozarks, but becomes ineffective at the most rapid erosion rates in the SGM, where hillslopes become devoid of soil as erosion rates exceed soil production rates. Notably, in all landscapes, we observe that Casym accurately predicts divide migration, indicating that asymmetry near the hillcrest can be captured by curvature morphometrics that isolate each side of the mobile divide. Overall, our results encourage an ensemble approach to predict divide migration, with attention paid to whether morphometrics faithfully record dominant surface processes in a landscape.

How to cite: Struble, W., Sweeney, K., Talmadge, J., Patton, J., and Seeley, M.: Local hilltop and debris-flow morphometrics predict drainage divide migration, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5877, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5877, 2026.

EGU26-7928 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Microbial Weathering Effects on Early Landscape Evolution in a Deglaciated Alpine Basin 

Michal Ben-Israel, Claire E. Lukens, and J. Michael Beman

Microorganisms contribute to surface processes through the physical and chemical weathering of minerals, yet their influence on landscape evolution remains difficult to quantify. Recently deglaciated landforms provide a natural laboratory to examine early-stage interactions, as freshly exposed surfaces become available to microbial community establishment and rock-to-soil weathering. Here, we compare microbial community composition and potential weathering capacity across a weathering gradient from bare bedrock to saprolite and soil, using DNA-based sequencing (16S rRNA). Sampling in a recently deglaciated basin (~13 ka) in the eastern Sierra Nevada, California, we find that microbial communities in soil and saprolite exhibit higher diversity and an order-of-magnitude enrichment of weathering-related metabolic pathways. In contrast, bedrock communities remain low-diversity and compositionally similar to those reported from newly deglaciated surfaces worldwide, even after ~13 kyr of exposure. These results indicate that microbial communities diverge along two distinct ecological trajectories: in soil-mantled surfaces, microbially mediated feedbacks enhance soil production and surface transformation, while rock surfaces remain effectively locked in low-weathering conditions and ecological stasis over millennial timescales. Together, these findings demonstrate that microbial lifeforms can influence early stages of landscape evolution in recently deglaciated terrains. 

How to cite: Ben-Israel, M., Lukens, C. E., and Beman, J. M.: Microbial Weathering Effects on Early Landscape Evolution in a Deglaciated Alpine Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7928, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7928, 2026.

EGU26-8641 | Posters on site | GM5.1

Extreme CO2 evasion from channel deposits produced by devastating failure of landslide induced dam in eastern Taiwan 

Li-Hung Lin, Pei-Ling Wang, Wan-Yin Lien, Jui-Fen Tsai, Lu-Yu Wang, Chun-Kai Chuang, Ching-Chou Fu, Jiun-Yee Yen, Joshua Roering, and Larry Syu-Heng Lai

Rock weathering is crucial for regulating carbon transformation across the Earth's spheres. While silicate weathering is considered kinetically limited, pyrite-driven carbonate weathering and rock-bound organic carbon oxidation are supply limited. As the control of supply limitation depends on reactant mobility, availability, and reactivity, weathering intensity can vary dynamically from the reactant generation to exhaustion at outcrop to catchment scales. How these contrasting weathering regimes operate in terrains with steep topography and deeply incised rivers remains largely unconstrained. The failure of a landslide-induced dam in the Matai’an river in the Central Range of eastern Taiwan delivered approximately 50 million cubic meters of sediments along the river bank (~17 km between landslide dam and lower reach) on September 23, 2025. By combining the dam residue, the total amount of landslide deposits was estimated to be 320 million cubic meters. Such an enormous quantity of materials (primarily composed of schists and marbles) freshly produced by mass wasting and fluvial processes on a monthly scale could be reactive for CO2 production, thereby providing an unparalleled opportunity to constrain the fluxes and governing processes of carbon cycling at the incipient stage of major landscape change in orogenic belts.


To investigate how extreme and what mechanism CO2 evasion is manifested by material supply, direct measurements of CO2 gas flux were conducted using a modified closed chamber method. Our measurements for more than 100 sites yielded gas accumulation at a rate spanning from 0.4 to 60 g-C/m2/d with a median value of 16 g-C/m2/d. The fluxes were not correlated with sediment temperature, sediment depth, or distance to the active channel, a pattern in contrast to the temperature-dependent flux for sedimentary rock setting. This range ranks among the highest ever reported for weathering processes in mountainous catchments. Analyses of carbon isotopic compositions further revealed that the collected CO2 was predominantly sourced by pyrite-driven carbonate dissolution, with minor contributions from rock-bound and soil organic carbon. By integrating the surface area of sediment coverage along the river, the enormous generating capacity of reactive materials from the landslide renders the CO2 emissions exceeding the baseline level inferred from prior riverine chemistry by at least an order of magnitude. Our results demonstrate that the transient and extremely hazardous landscape change in active orogenic belts jumpstarts carbon evasion through rapid weathering of bank sediments at a pace that can substantially alter the catchment-scale carbon budget. 

How to cite: Lin, L.-H., Wang, P.-L., Lien, W.-Y., Tsai, J.-F., Wang, L.-Y., Chuang, C.-K., Fu, C.-C., Yen, J.-Y., Roering, J., and Lai, L. S.-H.: Extreme CO2 evasion from channel deposits produced by devastating failure of landslide induced dam in eastern Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8641, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8641, 2026.

EGU26-8743 | Orals | GM5.1

Simulating multi-phase erosive landslides with r.avaflow 

Shiva P. Pudasaini

Erosion often poses a great challenge in simulating hazardous multi-phase mass flows as it drastically changes the flow behaviour, impact force, run-out and deposition morphology by dramatically increasing their masses. Here, the comprehensive, unified mechanical erosion model for multi-phase mass flows (Pudasaini, 2025) is implemented for the first time in to the GIS-based open source computational tool r.avaflow. The model includes the frictional, collisional and viscous stresses. The consistent basal erosion rates for solid and fluid phases are based on the mechanically derived, dynamically flexible interacting stresses across the erosion-interface between the landslide and the bed. The model physically correctly includes the essentially composite erosion velocities of the mobilized particles and fluid from the bed and utilizes them to architect erosion-induced net momentum productions that consider all the interactions between solids and fluids in the landslide and the bed. This overcomes severe limitations inherited by existing erosion models. This mechanically-explained, comprehensive multi-phase model for erosive mass flows realistically embeds the erosion velocities, unified mechanical erosion rates and the net momentum productions into the mass and momentum balance equations. As the model makes a complete description of multi-phase erosive landslide dynamics by considering all essential aspects including the correct handling of inertia, the simulation results clearly demonstrate the physical essence of the new mechanical model substantiating the erosion-induced enhanced mass flow mobility with the net momentum production. This offers unique opportunities for practitioners in appropriately solving technical, engineering and geomorphological problems related to complex erosive multi-phase mass flows with r.avaflow.

Pudasaini, S. P. (2025). A comprehensive, unified mechanical erosion model for multi-phase mass flows. International Journal of Multiphase Flow, 191, 105328. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijmultiphaseflow.2025.105328

How to cite: Pudasaini, S. P.: Simulating multi-phase erosive landslides with r.avaflow, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8743, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8743, 2026.

EGU26-8745 | Orals | GM5.1

Co-evolution of the critical zone: soil production and bedrock weathering 

Seulgi Moon, Joshua Lee, Russell Callahan, Cliff Riebe, Leonard Sklar, Brad Carr, Steve Holbrook, Brady Flinchum, Nancy Weinheimer, Rachel Uecker, and Alan Hidy

The deep critical zone both influences and is influenced by soil production and surface erosion in soil-mantled landscapes. However, few studies have examined the links among soil production rates (SPR), bedrock weathering in the deep critical zone, and landscape evolution. Here, we show that the evolution of the deep critical zone is modulated by near-surface residence times, reflecting the interplay between physical fracturing and chemical weathering. We integrate geophysical, geochemical, and cosmogenic nuclide data from the San Dimas Experimental Forest, California, USA. Our results demonstrate that deep bedrock weathering relates to soil production rates in different ways depending on its magnitude. In slowly eroding areas, soil production rates increase with increasing depth of bedrock weathering, reflecting the potential influences of topographic stress. In contrast, in rapidly eroding areas, soil production rates increase as the extent of bedrock weathering becomes shallower, reflecting limited chemical weathering under short residence times. These findings highlight the underappreciated co-evolution of deep bedrock weathering and soil production across the transition from soil-mantled to bedrock landscapes in actively eroding landscapes.

How to cite: Moon, S., Lee, J., Callahan, R., Riebe, C., Sklar, L., Carr, B., Holbrook, S., Flinchum, B., Weinheimer, N., Uecker, R., and Hidy, A.: Co-evolution of the critical zone: soil production and bedrock weathering, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8745, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8745, 2026.

Soil erosion is a critical factor causing structural changes in the natural environment by inducing vegetation reduction and topographic alterations, making it a vital subject of analysis from a geomorphological perspective. Jirisan National Park, the first national park in South Korea, holds immense symbolic value and rich ecological resources that necessitate high conservation priority. However, its vulnerability to erosion has been increasing recently due to intensified tourist activities and natural disasters driven by rapid climate change.

This study quantitatively estimated soil erosion rates in Jirisan National Park by adopting fallout radionuclide analysis (Cs-137 and exPb-210), a method that has not yet been widely applied in South Korea. The analysis revealed that the overall average soil erosion rates were 1.51±0.21 t/ha/yr based on the Cs-137 method and 2.65±0.2 t/ha/yr based on the exPb-210 method.

Regarding the spatial distribution characteristics of each radionuclide, the erosion rates derived from Cs-137 showed a distinct pattern, being relatively higher in the eastern part of Jirisan compared to the western part. In contrast, no significant difference in erosion rates based on location was observed for exPb-210. These results suggest that the distribution of heavy rainfall and intensive precipitation, influenced by the recent migration paths of typhoons which have been more pronounced in the eastern region, has directly impacted the erosion rates.

By scientifically clarifying soil erosion rates-a key indicator of topographic change-through radionuclide analysis, this study provides essential baseline data for establishing precise environmental conservation and soil resource management strategies for Jirisan National Park. It holds significant academic and policy implications for future conservation efforts.

 

 

Keywords: Soil erosion rate; Fallout radionuclides; Spatiotemporal distribution; Jirisan National Park

How to cite: Shin, Y., Kim, Y., Ki, S., and Kim, J. K.: Estimation of Soil Erosion Rates and Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics in Jirisan National Park Using Fallout Radionuclides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9098, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9098, 2026.

EGU26-9996 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Disentangling the Tectonic vs. Glacial control over millennial-scale denudation rates of the Niedere Tauern, Eastern Alps, Austria 

Etienne Large, Lingxiao Gong, Apolline Mariotti, and Edward Sobel

Understanding the relative control of tectonics and climate over denudation rates has been a driver of scientific research over the past decades, especially in mountainous regions. In the Alps, although millennial-scale denudation rates range over two orders of magnitude, it is generally accepted that these are largely driven by the topographic overprint left by the Quaternary glaciations. However, tectonic uplift rates also vary substantially across the range, complicating this interpretation. Apatite (U-Th)/He ages from the Niedere Tauern indicate Late Miocene to Early Pliocene exhumation, attributed to tectonic activity given the very regional scale of this exhumation. This region, which is also ideally located at the eastern margin of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) ice extent, is therefore an ideal natural laboratory for investigating the controls on Quaternary glaciations in the Alps.

We present new 10Be-derived denudation rates of 17 catchments of the Eastern Alps, 10 of which are located within the Mio-Pliocene uplifted Niedere Tauern, and 7 outside of it. The 3 easternmost catchments of the Niedere Tauern are located at the edge of the LGM ice extent. Combined with previously published cosmogenic nuclide data from the region, this dataset allows us to investigate whether present-day denudation patterns primarily reflect the imprint of Quaternary glaciations, or the longer-term tectonic control associated with Mio–Pliocene uplift.

How to cite: Large, E., Gong, L., Mariotti, A., and Sobel, E.: Disentangling the Tectonic vs. Glacial control over millennial-scale denudation rates of the Niedere Tauern, Eastern Alps, Austria, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9996, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9996, 2026.

EGU26-10009 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Tracing source-to-sink sedimentary signals across scales in the Alpine Rhine Basin (Switzerland) 

Sofia Garipova, David Mair, Naki Akçar, Marcus Christl, and Fritz Schlunegger

Mountain landscapes show strong spatial variability in sediment production, with long-term erosion often being concentrated in specific areas. This local variability complicates disentangling the relative contribution of different sediment sources and understanding how their signals evolve downstream through dilution, temporary storage, and deposition. Here, we address these questions by characterizing sediment sources and tracing their sedimentary signals along the river network of the 4,300 km² Alpine Rhine basin (Switzerland).

We use concentrations of in-situ cosmogenic ¹⁰Be from riverine quartz collected at 75 sites - and paired ¹⁰Be-²⁶Al data from 45 of them - to quantify erosion rates and identify the relative importance of landsliding versus overland flow erosion on the generation of sediment. We complement these data with information on the bulk geochemical compositions from the same sand samples. We synthesize the geochemical and cosmogenic dataset into mixing models with the goal to identify sediment sources and quantify their relative contributions to the mixed downstream signal.

The concentrations of 10Be show that erosion rates range widely from ~0.3 to 2 mm yr⁻¹. In addition, paired cosmogenic nuclides indicate negligible burial and highly efficient sediment evacuation across all spatial scales. Although they additionally show evidence for localized input of material from landslides, the majority of paired cosmogenic nuclide samples reveal that sediment generation through overland flow erosion has been the most important mechanism. Finally, the cosmogenic nuclide concentrations in combination with the geochemistry information reveals that sedimentary signals are generated in basins at small scales (<200 km²). Modelling of sedimentary pathways reveals that the signals are generally well mixed for basins >200 km2, where the riverine material reflects mixtures of multiple source signals generated at smaller scales. Yet we also find that locally generated signals can disproportionately influence downstream records. This is particularly the case where stochastic mass-wasting events episodically overprint basin-scale signals through high-magnitude sediment inputs. In contrast, signals generated through overland flow erosion become well mixed for basins >200 km2, and a further differentiation between potential source signals is no longer possible.

How to cite: Garipova, S., Mair, D., Akçar, N., Christl, M., and Schlunegger, F.: Tracing source-to-sink sedimentary signals across scales in the Alpine Rhine Basin (Switzerland), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10009, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10009, 2026.

EGU26-10996 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Quantifying sediment production and storage dynamics in the tectonically active Southern Alps of New Zealand 

Arindam Biswas, Louise Karman-Besson, Anne Guyez, Svenja Riedesel, Réka-Hajnalka Fülöp, Steven A. Binnie, Stéphane Bonnet, and Tony Reimann

Understanding the interactions between Earth's surface processes, climate, and tectonic forcing remains challenging due to the inherently stochastic nature of erosion and sedimentation. Landslides exemplify this stochasticity while dominating sediment production in steep mountain landscapes. Here, we investigate landsliding and sediment-storage dynamics in the Southern Alps of New Zealand, where differences in tectonic advection and a strong orographic precipitation gradient create a pronounced west-to-east contrast in erosion rates that differ by approximately an order of magnitude across the Alpine drainage divide. These contrasts, largely driven by landslide activity, provide an exceptional opportunity for evaluating how distinct process domains regulate sediment production, storage, and evacuation.

We combined terrestrial cosmogenic radionuclide measurements (14C and 10Be) with single-grain K-feldspar post-infrared infrared stimulated luminescence (post-IR IRSL) signal analysis of modern fluvial sediments to constrain sediment sources and residence times. Our preliminary results indicate that while the western catchments exhibit 14C/10Be ratios of ~11 to 69, well above the nuclide production rate ratio of ~3, indicating landslide-dominated sediment supply, eastern catchments show lower ratios of 2 to 8, reflecting mixed sediment dynamics: landslide contributions in some catchments (with ratios >3) whereas significant sediment buffering in others (with ratios <3). Two-isotope plots (14C-10Be) further reveal minimal storage (negligible to a couple of hundred years of burial) for landslide-dominated western catchments, indicating rapid evacuation of eroded materials and complex exposure histories in eastern catchments record burial durations of ~2000 to 5000 years, demonstrating substantial sediment storage, reworking, and a correspondingly buffered erosional signal.

Unexpectedly, our post‑IR IRSL results do not reflect these contrasting process domains very clearly. Mean equivalent doses show substantial overlap between western (~45 to 177 Gy) and eastern (~40 to 128 Gy) catchments, with no systematic distinction between landslide-dominated and storage-dominated systems. We propose that high doses in western catchments reflect incomplete bleaching of landslide-evacuated sediment coupled with rapid transport, while elevated doses from eastern catchments result from competing processes such as partial or incomplete bleaching of episodic landslide-derived materials from steep slopes and progressive signal accumulation during prolonged storage. These observations thus warrant further systematic investigation of topographic controls, including landslide frequency-magnitude analysis to fully resolve luminescence behavior across erosional process domains.

How to cite: Biswas, A., Karman-Besson, L., Guyez, A., Riedesel, S., Fülöp, R.-H., Binnie, S. A., Bonnet, S., and Reimann, T.: Quantifying sediment production and storage dynamics in the tectonically active Southern Alps of New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10996, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10996, 2026.

The Ciprnik complex landslide in the Planica valley (NW Slovenia) triggered on 19. 11. 2000 and measured approximately 80,000 m3. Its movement was characterised by three distinct stages of transport mechanism: a translational landslide-debris flow-hyperconcentrated flow. It occurred due to local geological structure (highly fractured beds dipping parallel to the surface), lithology (alternation of Upper Triassic thin bedded carbonates and fine-grained clastics), and record-breaking monthly rainfall. On the night from 24. to 25. 10. 2023 a large part of the landslide was reactivated during an intense short-duration rainfall event. In this study we analysed surface changes of the area affected by the Ciprnik complex landslide following the 2000 event, performed a sedimentary analysis of the 2023 event and analysed the meteorological data to assess the triggering precipitation conditions. We created a surface-changes time-series spanning between 2006-2023 based on photogrammetrically derived Digital Elevation Models generated from publicly available aerial photographs and our own Unmanned Aerial Vehicle surveys. Granulometric analysis was performed on fourteen samples collected along the transport-depositional area of the 2023 event. Additionally, publicly available meteorological records were analysed. The results show that the area of the Ciprnik complex landslide remained unstable with an average annual erosion rate of 1,000 to 3,500 m3. The 2023 event measured 26,000 m3 and had identical transport mechanism stages as the initial one with very pronounced finning-down of the transported sediment. The proximal material of the debris-flow stage was composed of muddy sandy gravel with approximately 75% of gravel, 15% of sand and 10% of mud. Further down the slopes the granulometry of debris-flow stage fined down containing only 40% of gravel, 45% of sand and 15% of mud fraction. Only fine-grained material travelled in the hyperconcentrated flow stage composed of approximately 40% sand, 50% silt and 10% clay. Both events however differ in the duration and magnitude of the triggering precipitation. The 2000 event was triggered by long-duration low-intensity rainfall, which had record breaking quantities (613.6 mm in the month of the event). The 2023 event was triggered by intense short duration rainfall event (104.2 mm in 24 hours), which relatively commonly occurs in the study area. This case study of the Ciprnik complex landslide demonstrates the complexity of triggering thresholds in the aftermath of the main mass movement event. Even in the later events, which have identical transport mechanisms as the original event, the triggering precipitation can differ considerably in duration and magnitude.

How to cite: Novak, A., Vrabec, M., and Šmuc, A.: History often rhymes: evolution and reactivation of the Ciprnik complex landslide (Julian Alps, NW Slovenia), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11196, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11196, 2026.

EGU26-13042 | Orals | GM5.1

Grain size signature of divide migration is restricted to local hillslope scale 

Kristin Sweeney, Will Struble, Maia Seeley, Jo Patton, and Jonah Talmadge

Recent work has shown both that drainage divides shift location over geologic timescales in response to contrasts in erosion rates and that fluvial and hillslope grain size is correlated with erosion rate, with faster eroding basins tending to have coarser grain size distributions. However, it remains unclear whether (and how) divide migration might impact grain size distributions in eroding watersheds. Here, we investigate hillslope grain size and soil production in two adjacent watersheds with a twofold difference in erosion rates in the Oregon Coast Range, a humid upland landscape in the western United States. This erosion rate contrast is set by the exposure of a resistant dike at the outlet of one watershed, and is likely to have persisted on the order of 0.5 Myr, based on regional erosion rates and the height of the knickpoint. We collected grain size data from soil pits along transects of the migrating divide itself and from sites further downstream in sub-watersheds that drain the migrating divide. We also measured soil depth and soil production rate across the divide to gain insight into the nature of the subsurface divide. Grain size measurements from the migrating divide show that for sediment < 2 mm, the grain size distribution is nearly indistinguishable on each side, while the faster side of the divide has a larger coarse fraction. This difference becomes more pronounced further from the divide. Grain size data further downstream show that the faster eroding basin has systematically coarser grain size distributions, as expected, but the size-dependent patterns seen at the divide are not evident. Soil depth across the divide reveals that the subsurface divide is offset by a few meters towards the slower-eroding side, such that there are deeper than expected soils near the divide. While our data indicate that divide migration does impact hillslope grain size and soil production, the lack of a clear signal of divide migration further downstream suggests that these effects are localized to the scale of the divide itself

How to cite: Sweeney, K., Struble, W., Seeley, M., Patton, J., and Talmadge, J.: Grain size signature of divide migration is restricted to local hillslope scale, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13042, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13042, 2026.

EGU26-13308 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Clustering of suspended sediment-discharge events and linking them to upstream geomorphic signals in a high-alpine catchment using DEMs of difference (2008–2025) 

Diana Kara-Timmermann, Toni Himmelstoss, Sarah Betz-Nutz, Jakob Rom, Moritz Altmann, Manuel Stark, Florian Haas, Michael Becht, and Tobias Heckmann

Sediment-discharge events recorded at the outlet of high-mountain catchments provide an integrated signal of upstream geomorphic activity. At the same time, a key limitation of DEMs of Difference (DoDs) is that sediment source areas and geomorphic responses cannot be directly linked to individual events, especially when DoDs span extended time periods. To address this, we apply the method proposed by Skålevåg et al. (2024) to detect, cluster and characterise sediment-discharge events, which can subsequently be related to observed sediment mobilization signals in the DoD.

15-min time series of water discharge and suspended sediment concentration from Gepatschalm, Kaunertal (Austria), covering the period 2008-2025, were used to detect the sediment-discharge events and derive 16 metrics, which were used to cluster the events with a Gaussian mixture model. Gridded meteorological data were used to characterise the clusters with respect to antecedent and intra-event forcing conditions. The resulting event catalogue was evaluated using DEMs of difference (DoDs) covering the entire catchment and investigation period.

Over the 16-year period we identified a total of 850 sediment-discharge events. Clustering results reveal three patterns: (i) melt-dominated events (average contribution ~30% to annual suspended sediment yield), (ii) early- and late-season freeze–thaw-modulated events (~15%), and (iii) compound rainfall–melt events (~33%). A marked increase in event frequency was observed in 2022, which also recorded the highest annual suspended sediment yield in the dataset. The majority of 2022 events were assigned to clusters 2 and 3. Combining multiple DoDs from summer 2022 with gridded precipitation data allowed the identification of a distinct sediment-discharge event on 28 June 2022, which triggered fluvial erosion in a specific sub-catchment of Kaunertal. For this event and other events, the main sediment source areas can clearly be delineated with the DoD analysis.

 

Skålevåg, A.; Korup, O.; Bronstert, A. (2024): Inferring sediment-discharge event types in an alpine catchment from sub-daily time series. In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions.

How to cite: Kara-Timmermann, D., Himmelstoss, T., Betz-Nutz, S., Rom, J., Altmann, M., Stark, M., Haas, F., Becht, M., and Heckmann, T.: Clustering of suspended sediment-discharge events and linking them to upstream geomorphic signals in a high-alpine catchment using DEMs of difference (2008–2025), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13308, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13308, 2026.

River incision into bedrock and thus topographic relief depend on, and also influence, the size distribution of sediment produced on hillslopes and supplied to channels. Sediment size is therefore central to the feedbacks between weathering, sediment production, and channel incision that drive landscape evolution. However, quantifying these feedbacks is challenging due to difficulty in measuring how hillslope sediment size varies at catchment scales and how size distributions evolve as particles are transported through the channel network. Recent work has shown that detrital apatite (U-Th)/He ages measured in all size classes present at a catchment outlet can reveal elevation gradients in sediment size produced on hillslopes. We compared this approach with in-situ grain size measurements on hillslopes at Inyo Creek, which spans 2 km of relief in the Sierra Nevada, California, USA. We find that the two independent data sets do not agree. For example age data suggest that boulders originate at lower elevations whereas sand is produced uniformly across the catchment. The hillslope data show the reverse: spatially uniform boulder production with sand only from lower elevations. This divergence may reflect particle wear during transport from hillslope sources to the catchment outlet; only boulders produced near the outlet arrive at the sampling site intact, whereas sampled sand is a mix of sand produced by particle wear and by weathering on hillslopes.

To explore this hypothesis, we developed a numerical model to predict particle wear and the evolution of grain size distributions by fragmentation and attrition, mechanisms that occur in steep catchments. The model is calibrated with data from two laboratory experiments: individual rock drops to quantify the probability of fragmentation on impact and number of fragments produced as functions of impact energy; and bulk sediment tumbling in 4 rotating drums ranging from 0.2 to 4.0 m in diameter. The wear model can reproduce the variation in wear rates and evolution of grain size distributions in the rotating drum experiments. Wear rates also correlate with energy expenditure in drums of different sizes, permitting extrapolation to the field. We incorporate the wear model into a population balance model to track the evolution of particle size distributions due to wear, mixing of sediments from sources across the catchment, and the transfer of (U-Th)/He ages among sediment sizes. A plausible range of modeled wear rates yields a match between predicted and measured age distributions by size class at the catchment outlet. This holistic picture of the life cycle of sediment grain size links the upstream geomorphic conditions that control hillslope weathering and erosion with the downstream size and abundance of coarse grained tools that control channel incision into bedrock. 

How to cite: Sklar, L. and Riebe, C.: Transformation of sediment grain size distributions by abrasion and fragmentation in an alpine catchment: linking hillslope weathering and erosion to bedload transport and channel incision, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14060, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14060, 2026.

EGU26-14706 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Sediment transport length scales shape the tools-and-cover effect on bedrock incision 

Jingtao Lai, Kimberly Huppert, and Jean Braun

In mountain rivers, sediment from landslides or debris flows can alluviate portions or even full reaches of bedrock channel beds, influencing bedrock river incision rates through the “tools and cover” effect. Various landscape evolution models have been developed to account for the coevolution of alluvial cover and sediment-flux-dependent bedrock incision. Despite the commonality of their aims, one major difference between these models is the way they account for sediment transport length scales. Sediment can be transported over long distances before it settles, and sediment flux depends not only on local topographic and hydraulic conditions, but also on non-local upstream sediment supply and flow conditions. Here, we compare numerical simulations of sediment transport and sediment-driven bedrock abrasion across a range of sediment transport length scales. Our results show that longer transport length scales delay the adjustment of sediment cover relative to changes in sediment flux, thereby modifying sediment-flux-dependent bedrock incision. We further simulate the evacuation of a landslide deposit and examine the resulting bedrock abrasion by the evacuated sediment. For longer sediment transport length scales, sediment accumulates more slowly downstream of the landslide deposit (the cover effect), whereas sediment flux increases rapidly (the tools effect). This mismatch prolongs periods of bedrock exposure under high sediment flux, leading to enhanced bedrock incision. Consequently, variations in sediment transport length scale produce distinct spatial and temporal patterns of bedrock incision during landslide deposit evacuation. Our findings highlight sediment transport length scale as a key control on fluvial responses to episodic sediment inputs in mixed bedrock–alluvial rivers, particularly in tectonically active mountain landscapes where landslides frequently deliver large sediment pulses to river channels.

How to cite: Lai, J., Huppert, K., and Braun, J.: Sediment transport length scales shape the tools-and-cover effect on bedrock incision, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14706, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14706, 2026.

EGU26-17555 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

Constraining sediment dynamics in proglacial rivers: novel insights from a combined luminescence-modelling approach 

Elena Serra, Harrison Gray, Faye Perchanok, Chloé Bouscary, Marjolein Gevers, Ian Delaney, Leif Anderson, Ludovico Agostini, Kristian Kjellerup Kjeldsen, Christoph Schmidt, and Georgina King

High mountain and polar regions are among the most impacted by present-day climate change, with cryosphere degradation altering geomorphic processes and sediment dynamics. These changes affect ecosystem functioning, hydrogeomorphological hazards, and sediment fluxes from glaciated catchments to the ocean. Understanding sediment transport mechanisms in proglacial rivers is thus crucial for predicting how sediment dynamics in these regions will evolve under continued climate warming.

Here, we advance understanding of sediment dynamics in ice sheet-fed proglacial rivers by applying a coupled luminescence–modelling approach to the Qunnguata Kuussua river (Watson river) in south-western Kalaallit Nunaat (south-western Greenland). We build on the work of recent studies which have shown that luminescence signals in modern alluvial sediments can serve as sediment tracers and, when combined with numerical models, provide constraints on transport distances, velocities and storage times (Gray et al., 2018; Guyez et al., 2023).

We collected a large dataset (~600 samples) of portable-reader luminescence measurements on bulk sandy sediment samples along the ~30 km-long Watson River during three summer melt seasons (2021–2023). The luminescence signal intensities of different samples are highly variable near the river source (Russell and Leverett glacier termini) and at junctions with tributaries, while the inter-sample signal variability reduces following progressive signal bleaching (i.e. resetting) with increasing downstream transport distance. To interpret and quantify this pattern, we develop a probabilistic luminescence-based sediment transport model that simulates suspended particle transport and luminescence bleaching in a proglacial river. The model successfully reproduces the observed downstream evolution of luminescence signal distributions observed along the Watson River, enabling estimation of sediment transport parameters from combined luminescence and hydrological data.

References

Gray et al., 2018, Geophysical Research Letters 45.

Guyez et al., 2023, Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface 128.

How to cite: Serra, E., Gray, H., Perchanok, F., Bouscary, C., Gevers, M., Delaney, I., Anderson, L., Agostini, L., Kjeldsen, K. K., Schmidt, C., and King, G.: Constraining sediment dynamics in proglacial rivers: novel insights from a combined luminescence-modelling approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17555, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17555, 2026.

EGU26-17582 | Orals | GM5.1

Did ophiolite obduction in the tropics drive global climate? A detrital sediment perspective 

Chris Mark, Nikhil Sharma, Keno Lünsdorf, and Thomas Zack

Earth's last half-billion years exhibit alternating greenhouse and icehouse climate states, but we do not know why. Global climate state reflects atmospheric CO2 partial pressure, a product of volcanic emission and silicate weathering drawdown, modulated by the biosphere. Global climate simulations on geological timescales show temporal correlation with tectonic collisions. However, collision simultaneously terminates arc volcanism and exposes fresh rock for weathering: these processes are hard to deconvolve.

Recent studies have provocatively hypothesised that Earth’s climate state is set by ophiolite obduction in tropical collisions. Here, rapid weathering of reactive rocks efficiently consumes CO2. This hypothesis yields a testable prediction: that the sedimentary archive of ancient tropical orogens will contain ophiolitic detrital minerals at the onset of icehouse periods. Here, we use automated heavy mineral analysis of key sedimentary sections from the New Guinea and Taconic-Grampian orogens to identify and quantify ophiolite detritus. We integrate these data with detrital geochronology and bulk geochemistry to assess ophiolitic weathering contribution to CO2 drawdown.  

How to cite: Mark, C., Sharma, N., Lünsdorf, K., and Zack, T.: Did ophiolite obduction in the tropics drive global climate? A detrital sediment perspective, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17582, 2026.

Sediment redistribution dynamics interest geoscientists greatly as their assessment can help address issues such as soil loss in agricultural areas or the movement of pollutants and sediments toward streams. In mountain landscapes, the variety of gravitational and water-based erosion processes makes redistribution assessments particularly challenging.

The concept of sediment connectivity was defined generally as the degree of linkage between sediment sources and downstream sink areas, and was further distinguished into structural (SC) and functional (FC) connectivity.

SC is the potential connectivity due to the existing topography, most widely assessed using the Index of Connectivity, developed by Borselli et al. (2008) and later improved by Cavalli et al. (2013).

It is an empirical calculation, which is not intended to quantify sediment rates, to capture sub-surface dynamics and changes in time or even whether sediment transfer actually occurs.

The FC has been introduced to represent the actual transfer of water and sediments within the landscape, on the basis of the geomorphic processes and their magnitude.

FC is not as widely adopted and few authors have adopted existing Landscape Evolution Models or LEMs to quantify sediment dynamic across the landscape. So far, FC has only been simulated at the surface.

The aim of this work is to a) assess how time, depth in the soil, grain size, and landscape development affect surface and sub-surface sediment dynamics; b) determine the impact of bioturbation on sediment connectivity; and c) compare sediment redistribution to the Index of Connectivity (Borselli et al. 2008, Cavalli et al. 2013) dynamically after each timestep.

This work was carried out using an adapted version of the mechanistic soil-landscape evolution model LORICA and applied to a mountainous catchment in Tirol, Austria.

The results confirmed that simulating bioturbation affects the vertical redistribution of sediments, transporting surface sediments deeper in the soil profile and bringing deeper sediments to the surface. It also showed that different grain sizes are transported at different rates across the landscape, with finer grainsizes reaching both deeper layers and the outlet of the catchment more rapidly compared to larger ones.

Lastly, transport of material in deeper layers was delayed compared to those on the surface.

The mean Index of connectivity across the catchment was mostly unaffected by bioturbation.

How to cite: Giarola, A. and Temme, A.: Modelling surface and sub-surface connectivity with a mechanistic soil-landscape evolution model, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17688, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17688, 2026.

EGU26-18059 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Contrasting weathering behavior of mafic and ultramafic rocks in arc-collision zones 

Angus Moore, Kimberly Méndez Méndez, Stephen Hughes, and Darryl Granger

Consumption of CO2 through weathering of volcanic arc and ophiolite rocks in arc-collision zones in the humid tropics has been proposed to regulate Earth’s climate over geological timescales. Evaluating this hypothesis requires quantifying the factors that control CO2 consumption from weathering of mafic and ultramafic rocks. Temperature, runoff, and physical erosion may each influence weathering rates. To determine their relative importance for arc and ophiolite rocks, we examine co-variation of stream solutes, sediment geochemistry, and erosion rates inferred from cosmogenic 36Cl in magnetite in an ancient, uplifted arc-collision zone in Puerto Rico. The data reveal contrasting weathering behavior between mafic and ultramafic rocks. Consumption of CO2 from mafic rock weathering is primarily limited by the ability of erosion to strip regolith from the landscape. Conversely, ultramafic rock weathering is more strongly controlled by runoff than by erosion. This difference likely results from the low Al concentrations in ultramafic rocks, which inhibit the formation of aluminosilicate clays and thick regolith. Additionally, we find that CO2 consumption is not limited by temperature for either mafic or ultramafic rocks in the tropics. These results have implications for the role of tropical arc-collision zones in the Earth’s negative silicate weathering feedback.

 

How to cite: Moore, A., Méndez Méndez, K., Hughes, S., and Granger, D.: Contrasting weathering behavior of mafic and ultramafic rocks in arc-collision zones, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18059, 2026.

EGU26-18220 | Posters on site | GM5.1 | Highlight

Long-term CO2 fluxes across erosional and lithological gradients in the Himalayas 

Emily Stevenson, Patrick Frings, Hella Wittman, Dirk Scherler, Romano Clementucci, Indra Sen, and Harald Strauss

The role of mountain building in regulating Earth’s climate remains unclear, as uplift and erosion can drive both CO2 drawdown via silicate weathering and CO2 release via carbonate dissolution by strong acids and oxidation of petrogenic organic carbon. Understanding how erosion rate, climate, and lithology influence these reactions is key for understanding the impact of the growth and subsequent erosion of the Himalayan Orogeny on atmosphere pCO2

We present comprehensive long-term inorganic carbon budgets linked with millennial-scale cosmogenic denudation rates across 65 river tributaries of the Alaknanda, Bhagirathi, Tons, Yamuna, and Pabbar rivers, which together form the headwaters of the Ganges. These catchments span wide gradients in erosion rates, climate zones, and underlying geology. For each catchment, we combine basic geochemical measurements with δ34SSO4, δ18OSO4, and δ18OH2O analyses to quantify the proportion of sulfate derived from pyrite oxidation to the net inorganic carbon budget. We calculate long-term CO2 fluxes from inorganic sources and combine these estimates with new and existing in situ cosmogenic 10Be measurements to independently constrain denudation rates. Denudation rates for unsampled catchments are extrapolated using a stream-power-law regression between discharge-weighted channel steepness and measured denudation.

Preliminary results reveal strong contrasts in both the magnitude and direction of net CO2 fluxes across the High Himalayan Crystalline Sequence (HHCS), Lesser Himalayan Sequence (LHS), and Tethyan Sedimentary Sequence (TSS). The LHS catchments exhibit dominant silicate weathering and sustained long-term CO2 drawdown, whereas for the TSS and HHCS catchments sulfide oxidation coupled to carbonate dissolution reactions are prominent and outpace CO2 drawdown by silicate weathering reactions. Long-term denudation rates correlate with CO2 fluxes, but subtleties exist between the differing morpho-tectonic units. These findings provide new constraints on the spatial controls of weathering processes in the Himalaya and their net impact on Earth’s long-term carbon cycle.

How to cite: Stevenson, E., Frings, P., Wittman, H., Scherler, D., Clementucci, R., Sen, I., and Strauss, H.: Long-term CO2 fluxes across erosional and lithological gradients in the Himalayas, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18220, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18220, 2026.

EGU26-18246 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Tracking sediment cascade evolution in Alpine catchments since the Little Ice Age: A graph-based approach integrating historical and modern data sources 

Toni Himmelstoss, Diana Kara-Timmermann, Sarah Betz, Moritz Altmann, Jakob Rom, Manuel Stark, Florian Haas, Michael Becht, and Tobias Heckmann

Climate-driven glacier retreat is fundamentally restructuring sediment transfer systems in Alpine catchments, yet quantifying these changes over timescales relevant to global warming remains challenging. Established approaches to sediment connectivity assessment, such as DEM-based connectivity indices or sediment flux measurements, face limitations when applied across centennial timescales due to inconsistent data quality and sparse temporal or spatial coverage.

We present a graph-theoretic framework for analyzing structural sediment connectivity evolution across three glaciated catchments in the Central European Alps (Grastal, Kaunertal, Martelltal) over approximately 150 years since the Little Ice Age maximum. Our approach derives sediment cascade graphs from multitemporal geomorphological maps, using landforms as fundamental spatial units. The key methodological challenge lies in enabling meaningful comparisons across study sites of different sizes and configurations, and across time periods characterized by heterogeneous source data.

To achieve temporal depth, we integrate diverse data sources: historical topographic maps (1870s–1930s), georeferenced terrestrial photographs, aerial imagery processed with Structure-from-Motion photogrammetry (1940s–1990s), and recent ALS-derived products. Graph creation follows a semi-automatic workflow combining GIS-based flow routing with manual sediment source identification from DEMs of Difference and orthoimagery. We specifically address hydrological sediment connectivity, focusing on fluvial transport processes that dominate sediment export from glaciated systems.

We develop and apply graph metrics designed to be robust against variations in network size and data quality, enabling direct comparison of structural properties across catchments and time periods. These metrics characterize pathway architecture, the topological positioning of barrier landforms (lakes, braidplains, alluvial fans), and potential functional sediment connectivity under event-scale forcing through a simplified routing model.

Results indicate that the three catchments exhibit distinct evolutionary trajectories, with network structural changes and barrier formation capable of substantially modulating the response to deglaciation. The approach demonstrates that graph-based representations can be consistently derived from heterogeneous historical sources, offering a transferable methodology for investigating how sediment cascade structure mediates landscape response to climate forcing across decadal to centennial timescales.

How to cite: Himmelstoss, T., Kara-Timmermann, D., Betz, S., Altmann, M., Rom, J., Stark, M., Haas, F., Becht, M., and Heckmann, T.: Tracking sediment cascade evolution in Alpine catchments since the Little Ice Age: A graph-based approach integrating historical and modern data sources, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18246, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18246, 2026.

EGU26-18272 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

From Local to Global: Systematic Valley Floor Extraction for Characterizing Valley Width-Area Scaling in Mountainous Landscapes 

Aude Lurin, Philippe Steer, FIona Clubb, and Boris Gailleton

Mountainous landscapes often contain sediment-filled valleys that control ecosystem diversity, flood hazards, and the distribution of human populations. Valley-floor geometry has been shown to correlate with climate proxies such as discharge or drainage area and is also influenced by lithology and tectonic uplift. However, the relative importance of these controls remains poorly constrained, and no global dataset of valley geometry currently exists.Here, we focus on the automatic mapping of valley floors at the scale of entire mountain ranges. We compare two methods for extracting valley floors from digital elevation models, based on different conceptual definitions. The first is a geometric approach following Clubb et al. (2017, 2022), which defines valleys as low slope areas with a low relative elevation to the nearest river. The second is a new method that identifies valleys as floodplains using a simplified hydraulic model that locally distributes water across flat surfaces adjacent to channels. We evaluate and calibrate both methods by comparison with maps of alluvial cover in four catchments spanning a wide range of tectonic and climatic settings: the European Alps, Scottish Highlands, Pyrenees, and Taiwan. Both methods achieve comparable agreement with alluvial data, although the geometric method is more sensitive to calibration parameters. We compute valley width along the stream network by identifying valley centers and measuring the distance to valley margins, allowing us to quantify the scaling between valley width and drainage area.  The scaling relationships of width with drainage area shows exponents ranging from 0.3 to 0.5, consistent with values reported in the literature, with an inter-catchment variability. We show that large-scale valley extraction also allows a more precise characterization of valley networks by identifying local deviations from width–area scaling by using a wideness index similar to the steepness index for channel gradient, and by extracting additional valley attributes such as slope and elevation. This study paves the way for a global analysis of valley morphology to better constraints its dependency to climate, tectonic and geological conditions the controls acting on it.

How to cite: Lurin, A., Steer, P., Clubb, F., and Gailleton, B.: From Local to Global: Systematic Valley Floor Extraction for Characterizing Valley Width-Area Scaling in Mountainous Landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18272, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18272, 2026.

EGU26-18286 | Orals | GM5.1

Giant collapses of high Himalayan peaks and their impact on the erosion of Himalayan landscapes 

Jerome Lave, Marius Huber, Shayan Khatiwada, and Luc Scholtes

Although the topographic evolution and erosion dynamics of the Himalayan range have been extensively documented, it is not known how the very high Himalayan peaks erode. Some conceptual models assume that intense periglacial processes involve regressive erosion of high peak headwalls at rates dictated by valley-floor downcutting of glaciers. However, recent data indicate that frost-cracking intensity decreases with elevation, suggesting instead that highest Himalayan peaks denudation requires a distinct erosional process. Based on the example of the giant collapse of the paleo-Annapurna IV, Lavé et al. (2023) proposed that this erosion occurs episodically and catastrophically during such giant rockslides.

To test this conceptual model and evaluate the modes of sediment export associated with these extreme events, we explored the entire Annapurna massif more systematically. In addition to dating (36Cl exposure age and 14C burial age) several rockslide deposits already described in the literature, we identified for the first time a giant rockslide in the upper Marsyandi Valley (central Nepal). This rockslide, which corresponds to the collapse of the Khangsar Khang paleo-peak during the early-Holocene, formed a huge breccia deposit of ~20 km3 damming the valley and creating the Tilicho Lake (~5000 m a.s.l.).

The cumulative contribution of giant Holocene rockslides in the Annapurna massif represents an average erosion rate of approximately 3 mm/a, equivalent to long-term denudation rate. This equivalence confirms that the main mode of high-altitude erosion could be mega-rockslides that lead to the catastrophic reduction of the high peaks elevation by several hundred meters. This erosion mode of the High Himalaya, associated to steep slopes and high relief, might arise from a higher mechanical strength of the substratum, probably due to the presence of permafrost at high altitude and the absence of bedrock weathering (Lavé et al., 2023).

This major contribution from giant rockslides primarily concerns the denudation of peaks and hillslopes in the High Himalaya. At the scale of the mountain range, the question then arises of the export of breccia deposits produced by these rockslides. Using VolcFlow, a numerical code for granular avalanche flow (Kelfoun & Druitt 2005), we first explore the dynamics of avalanche deposit formation and their final geometry in the upper valleys. Secondly, by comparing with their present residual volumes, we estimate the erosion and export rates of the brecciated deposits. We thus highlight a significant contrast (> one order of magnitude in rates) between the southern flank of the massif, which is directly exposed to the monsoon precipitations and has steeper valleys, and the northern flank, which receives little rainfall. Depending on their location within the range, the giant rockslides can therefore have very different impacts on Himalayan landscape and downstream river evolution.

How to cite: Lave, J., Huber, M., Khatiwada, S., and Scholtes, L.: Giant collapses of high Himalayan peaks and their impact on the erosion of Himalayan landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18286, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18286, 2026.

EGU26-18369 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Dynamics of Bedload Transport in Alpine Gravel-Bed Streams: Long-Term Monitoring Using RFID Technology 

Dorian Shire-Peterlechner, Andrea Lammer, Sabrina Schwarz, Helmut Habersack, and Rolf Rindler

This study presents eight years of continuous monitoring data on bedload transport dynamics in alpine gravel-bed river systems in Austria, specifically the Urslau and Strobler-Weißenbach rivers, utilizing radio frequency identification (RFID) technology. Stationary antennas were employed to detect embedded RFID tracers, enabling the acquisition of high-resolution data on particle transport velocities, transport distances, and sediment dynamics. A total of 1,612 RFID-tagged stones were deployed, enabling the generation of large and comprehensive datasets on bedload transport dynamics. Seasonal variability and long-term trends were observed at the Urslau stream, while targeted short-term measurements at the Strobler-Weißenbach stream provided crucial insights into flood event dynamics. The study underscores the influence of environmental factors, such as grain size, river gradient, and hydraulic parameters, on bedload transport processes in alpine streams. Additionally, the efficiency of stationary antennas was optimized to ensure uninterrupted monitoring. These findings emphasize the value of advanced monitoring technologies in understanding river processes and addressing emerging challenges, including those posed by climate change and anthropogenic pressures on river systems.

How to cite: Shire-Peterlechner, D., Lammer, A., Schwarz, S., Habersack, H., and Rindler, R.: Dynamics of Bedload Transport in Alpine Gravel-Bed Streams: Long-Term Monitoring Using RFID Technology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18369, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18369, 2026.

EGU26-18890 | ECS | Orals | GM5.1

Sediment Cover Modulates Lithologic Signals in Mountain Rivers: Implications for Channel Profile Interpretation 

Grace Guryan, Joel P. L. Johnson, and Nicole M. Gasparini

Disentangling tectonic, climatic, and lithologic controls on bedrock river profiles is a central challenge in geomorphology. Landscapes with layered rocks represent an end-member case of lithologic complexity where lithology varies through both time and space, as vertical incision causes contacts between layers to migrate. Recent studies using the Stream Power Model (SPM) have highlighted the complex variations in erosion rates that arise in these landscapes, which cannot reach a typical topography steady state where erosion rates are equal everywhere as long as lithology continues to vary. Instead, these landscapes reach a dynamic steady state where erosion rates in individual layers adjust to achieve a landscape-averaged erosion rate that is balanced with uplift. However, the SPM assumes detachment-limited behavior, omitting the role of sediment. Lithology controls bedrock rivers not only by setting bedrock erodibility, but also by producing sediment that is transported and deposited downstream. Sediment deposited on the channel bed can form a protective layer that inhibits bedrock erosion, known as the cover effect. 

In this study, we use the Stream Power with Alluvium Conservation and Entrainment (SPACE) model to quantify how sediment cover effects influence patterns of channel steepness and erosion in horizontally layered rocks. We run a series of simulations modeling landscape evolution through alternating layers of hard and soft rock over million-year timescales, varying the amount of sediment that accumulates on the channel bed across model runs. As sediment cover increases, lithologic knickpoints formed by the contacts between layers become less prominent in the topography, and the effective erodibility contrast between the two rock types is substantially reduced. Additionally, sediment cover effects increase topographic relief and landscape adjustment time compared to the SPM model. Our results demonstrate that identical underlying lithologic configurations produce remarkably distinct channel profiles depending on the degree of sediment cover. This work highlights the importance of considering sediment cover effects when analyzing river profiles, particularly in settings with variable lithology.  

How to cite: Guryan, G., Johnson, J. P. L., and Gasparini, N. M.: Sediment Cover Modulates Lithologic Signals in Mountain Rivers: Implications for Channel Profile Interpretation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18890, 2026.

EGU26-19588 | Orals | GM5.1

Hysteretic Bedload-Discharge Dynamics in Austrian Alpine Gravel-Bed Rivers: Evidence from Long-Term Monitoring 

Sabrina Schwarz, Dorian Shire-Peterlechner, Andrea Lammer, Helmut Habersack, and Rolf Rindler

Bedload is considered a fundamental aspect of river “health” on a global scale. A comprehensive understanding of bedload transport is crucial for ensuring resilient river function and the implementation of sustainable, long-term basin management strategies. In Austria, integrative monitoring of bedload transport has been conducted for a period exceeding two decades, encompassing numerous monitoring stations and projects. Utilising these extensive datasets, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of bedload-discharge relationships in three alpine gravel-bed rivers (Drau, Isel, and Rofenache) to elucidate hysteretic bedload process behaviour and its underlying drivers. Event-scale and seasonal analyses reveal pronounced hysteresis between bedload flux and discharge, with river-specific dominance of clockwise (CW) versus counterclockwise (CCW) loop patterns. CW hysteresis is associated with unrestricted bedload availability, whereas CCW hysteresis indicates limited bedload supply. The direction of hysteresis and the hystereses loop patterns are related to e.g., seasonality (winter, summer, fall, autumn), anthropogenic influences, like channel modifications, flow regulation, barriers or hydropower, and hydro-climatic factors (temperature and precipitation). In the high-alpine Rofenache catchment, CCW hysteresis is predominant, consistent with temperature-driven melt dynamics, delayed sediment mobilisation relative to peak discharge, and the ongoing influence of glacier retreat on bedload supply timing. Across various melt periods, emerging trends indicate a lengthening and shifting of bedload transport windows, thereby offering insights into future dynamics under the influence of climate change. The Upper Drau exhibits clear counterclockwise hysteresis that points to a bedload deficit, primarily driven by anthropogenic influences such as the residual flow reach downstream of a hydropower plant and insufficient upstream sediment input, both of which cause delayed bedload transport relative to peak discharge. In contrast, the Isel shows CW hysteresis, indicating that no bedload deficits were present at the monitoring station during the study period; here, hysteresis loop patterns are a key component of process understanding. The results obtained can inform the development of evidence-based sediment management strategies, as well as habitat restoration and risk mitigation strategies, which can be tailored to the evolving alpine river systems.

How to cite: Schwarz, S., Shire-Peterlechner, D., Lammer, A., Habersack, H., and Rindler, R.: Hysteretic Bedload-Discharge Dynamics in Austrian Alpine Gravel-Bed Rivers: Evidence from Long-Term Monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19588, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19588, 2026.

Straddling the Himalayan Arc, Bhutan exhibits an impressive topographic gradient from 170 to 7’600 m a.s.l. Despite these high elevations a defining characteristic of this landscape is the absence of glacial overprint in large portions of the country’s surface. This setting provides a unique opportunity to observe landscape-forming processes such as fluvial erosion and deposition over temporal spans of several glacial cycles.

In this study, we examine two major drainage basins in north-west Bhutan, characterised by three primary geomorphic domains: 1) detachment-limited regimes, characterised by broad alluvial plains followed upstream by 2) transport-limited fluvial systems flanked by high-relief, steep hillslopes which finally transition into 3) low-relief landscapes at high altitudes, which exhibit clear glacial overprinting below the summits of the High Himalayas. Based on the systematic mapping of morphological markers and the collection of soil and rock outcrop records in a series of field campaigns, we have compiled a three-dimensional inventory of sedimentary deposits. To constrain the observed relative age relationships quantitatively, we collected samples for 14C and cosmogenic radionuclide (CRN) dating in key geomorphic locations. These physical observations were then integrated with longitudinal river profile analyses, providing a conceptual model for the geomorphic evolution of the region.

Our findings highlight significant morphological divergence between the two drainage basins. The Wang Chhu Valley in the west is characterised by broad alluvial plains with negligible fluvial bedrock incision and terrace risers only a few metres high. In contrast, the Punatsangchhu Basin in the east shows narrower valleys with prominent terrace sequences between 10 and 50 metres high. Interestingly, despite being in a similar position in relation to the mountain front, the interior valleys of the eastern basin are approximately 1'000 metres lower than those in the west.

In addition to the valley morphology, also the sedimentological characteristics vary by basin. The western deposits consist of fluvial sequences interbedded with chaotic, sub-angular, blocky facies, which are typical of mass-wasting events such as debris flows. The eastern basin contains similar gravity-flow deposits, as well as lacustrine sediments and massive, fine-grained units containing suspended clasts. These are interpreted as signatures of a previously identified glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF).

By integrating spatial sedimentary data with radiocarbon and CRN ages, we propose a model of landscape evolution defined by prolonged erosional quiescence and sediment aggradation. These stable periods are punctuated with episodic pulses of high sediment supply from hillslopes or high-magnitude catastrophic floods, creating the characteristic present-day morphology of the Bhutanese Himalaya.

How to cite: de Palézieux, L., Zeller, M., Haghipour, N., and Loew, S.: Deciphering contrasts in geomorphic evolution across neighbouring mountain catchments in the High Himalaya of Bhutan using radiocarbon and cosmogenic radionuclide dating, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19849, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19849, 2026.

EGU26-19884 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.1

 Connectivity between hillslope and channel sediment stores and links to cascading hazards in the Indian Himalaya  

Erin Harvey, Fiona Clubb, David Milledge, Hugh Sinclair, Rajiv Sinha, Vipin Kumar, Qiuyang Chen, Rahul Devrani, Simon Mudd, Lorenzo Nava, Mark Naylor, Max Van Wyk de Vries, and Ankit Yadav

Flood frequency and magnitude in the Himalaya are projected to increase over the next century due to accelerating glacier melt and more intense monsoons. Most research has focused on the upstream triggers of floods, such as glacial lake outbursts, avalanches, or intense rainfall. Entrainment of sediment stored within mountain valleys as they travel downstream can transform these floods into debris or hyperconcentrated flows, increasing both their travel distances and downstream impacts. This hazard cascade means the risk to downstream communities is conditioned not just by the trigger events but also the distribution of sediment fill along the flow path. However, controls on the spatial and temporal dynamics of sediment accumulation in mountain valleys are poorly constrained due to a lack of systematic, large-scale datasets that capture both channel sediment and landsliding in steep mountain catchments. Inventories of slow moving landslides, which can also supply sediment to channels, are even more scarce. Therefore, our understanding of how shallow and slow landslides contribute to stores of channel sediment in these catchments is limited.

Here, we apply (semi-) automated approaches to generate inventories of channel and hillslope sediment stores for the Alaknanda Basin systematically through time, using a combination of deep learning and remote sensing data. Using these inventories, we develop a framework that explores connectivity between hillslope and channel sediment. We assess whether certain topographic and/or channel characteristics control the spatial and temporal dynamics of sediment supply and fill. We will use these findings to gain a better understanding of the role sediment stores in mountain landscapes that are highly susceptible to sediment-rich flood events.

How to cite: Harvey, E., Clubb, F., Milledge, D., Sinclair, H., Sinha, R., Kumar, V., Chen, Q., Devrani, R., Mudd, S., Nava, L., Naylor, M., Van Wyk de Vries, M., and Yadav, A.:  Connectivity between hillslope and channel sediment stores and links to cascading hazards in the Indian Himalaya , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19884, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19884, 2026.

EGU26-4452 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Contrasting the postglacial morphodynamic evolution of Alpine and Apennine river systems in the central Po Valley, Italy 

Laura Simoncelli, Luca Colombera, and Giorgio Basilici

Understanding how fluvial systems respond to geological controls is challenging due to their sensitivity to a wide range of environmental conditions. These factors determine the characteristics of preserved stratigraphic successions, which may not be accounted for by traditional continental sequence-stratigraphic models. Such models tend to be overly simplistic in the way they consider morphodynamic behaviours, especially for setting where distinct river systems, fed by distinct sediment sources and exhibiting different geomorphic dynamics, interact with each other. Moreover, the extent to which different geomorphological river types are preserved in the stratigraphic record has not been fully documented.

This study aims to elucidate the dynamic interactions and contrasting evolution of adjoining axial and transverse river systems through the study of Quaternary successions and geomorphic elements across a transect of the central Po Valley (Northern Italy). The Po Basin is an asymmetric alluvial foredeep basin and represents an excellent laboratory for this purpose, because it records the geological history of rivers draining the Alps and the Apennines, and converging in the axial Po River channel belt.

A comprehensive geological dataset is constructed by integrating field-based mapping of geomorphological, sedimentological and pedological features with shallow-subsurface borehole observations and remote-sensing data. Petrographic and micromorphological data are being collected with which to undertake analyses of sediment provenance and pedogenetic processes. A chronostratigraphic framework is being erected based on radiometric and luminescence dating, palaeomagnetic data and archaeological evidence.

The results shed light on the contrasting geomorphological and stratigraphic features in the postglacial fluvial evolution of the central Po Plain. The northern alpine tributaries are characterized by incision-dominated dynamics, driven by a marked decrease in sediment supply following the transition from proglacial outwash systems to the postglacial configuration, in which the development of pre-Alpine lakes has been of considerable importance, effectively trapping detritus from upstream catchments.

By contrast, southern rivers draining Apennine catchments have built a postglacial unit dominated by widespread aggradation, characterized by the coalescence of small fluvial fans traversed by alluvial ridges linked with a topographic control on sediment distribution via repeated avulsions.

This asynchronous evolution of aggradational and degradational phases reflects contrasting sedimentary and geomorphic trends driven by differences in sediment supply rates and delivery mechanisms. Indeed, these findings provide a valuable framework for interpreting the stratigraphic architecture of Quaternary successions of the Po Basin, and for comparing the observed post-15 ka evolution with traditional sequence stratigraphic models (LST–TST–HST transition).

This research enables a critical evaluation of the applicability of sequence stratigraphic models in continental settings, emphasizing the necessity for more sophisticated models that account for spatial and temporal variability in fluvial responses to external forcings. Current work seeks to expand this study to successions and landforms recording the earlier Pleistocene evolution of these river systems. By highlighting these processes, this study focuses on the key role of source-to-sink approaches for understanding fluvial system dynamics in continental settings.

How to cite: Simoncelli, L., Colombera, L., and Basilici, G.: Contrasting the postglacial morphodynamic evolution of Alpine and Apennine river systems in the central Po Valley, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4452, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4452, 2026.

EGU26-4544 | Orals | GM5.2

Thresholds, Memory, and a Physical Mechanism for the Sadler Effect in Geomorphic Systems 

Sean Gallen, Jeremy Rugenstein, Abigail Axness, Kate Drobnich, Ashlesha Khatiwada, Phillip Kondracki, Ana Maria Perez, Owen Richardson, and Chenchao Xu

The Sadler effect is defined as a systematic decrease in estimated rates with increasing measurement interval and is widely observed in stratigraphic and geomorphic systems. In natural systems, statistics themselves do not cause phenomena; rather, physical processes operate across landscapes, generating responses that can be characterized by statistics. However, it is statistical phenomena (a heavy-tailed distribution via random walks or stochastic memory formulations) that are frequently invoked to explain the Sadler effect, which provides no insight into the physical processes that generate a heavy-tailed distribution. Here, we explore how the Sadler effect might arise in a system where thresholds must be exceeded to produce an erosive event. We argue that apparent heavy-tailed hiatus distributions can emerge naturally when considering physically reasonable geomorphic dynamics. Using a simple stream power-based stochastic threshold-incision framework, we show that systems governed by static thresholds and stationary forcing produce exponential hiatus distributions. In such circumstances, a Sadler-like effect is observed, but only over a finite time span set by the characteristic hiatus return time, after which rates remain constant. In contrast, when thresholds evolve through time—either via event-driven perturbations with recovery (system memory) or through temporal changes in the forcing distribution (e.g., climate variability)—the system samples a sequence of exponential hiatus distributions with distinct characteristic timescales. The superposition of these exponential hiatus distributions produces an apparent heavy tail and sustains Sadler-like scaling across multiple orders of magnitude in time. This framework provides a physically interpretable alternative to purely statistical explanations of the Sadler effect and highlights the central role of variable threshold magnitude, recovery timescales, and climate variability in controlling signal preservation in geomorphic systems. Importantly, these concepts likely extend to interpreting the Sadler effect in the stratigraphic record. The results suggest that apparent long-memory behavior in erosion and deposition records may reflect evolving thresholds and forcing regimes, rather than intrinsic heavy-tailed dynamics.

How to cite: Gallen, S., Rugenstein, J., Axness, A., Drobnich, K., Khatiwada, A., Kondracki, P., Perez, A. M., Richardson, O., and Xu, C.: Thresholds, Memory, and a Physical Mechanism for the Sadler Effect in Geomorphic Systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4544, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4544, 2026.

EGU26-5053 | ECS | Orals | GM5.2

Plio-Pleistocene and modern erosion rates in the Himalaya from paired cosmogenic radionuclides  

Sohini Bhattacharjee, Bodo Bookhagen, and Rajiv Sinha

To understand sediment transport from the Himalayan source regions to the foreland basin over multi-millennial timescales, it is essential to quantify both hillslope erosion rates and sediment storage times within the mountain belt. In this study, we estimate paleo-erosion rates of the Himalaya using paired cosmogenic radionuclide (10Be and 26Al) concentrations from 62 alluvial sediment samples collected from drill cores and riverbeds across four major Himalayan-River basins. By correcting the nuclide concentrations for sediment storage time, we show that neglecting storage-effects can lead to a systematic overestimation of erosion rates.

Paleo-erosion rates of Himalayan hillslopes derived from all four river basins show a consistent, near-linear increase through time from the late-Pliocene to the present. This trend is observed from the western Himalaya (modern riverbed samples from north of the Main Frontal Thrust and the paleo-Sutlej) through the central Himalaya (paleo-Yamuna and Ganges) to the central-eastern Himalaya (Kosi). In the Sutlej basin, erosion rates increase from ~0.07 mm/y at 2.95 Ma to 1.79 mm/y at present. The paleo-Yamuna records a rise from ~0.2 mm/y at 3.3 Ma to 1.9 mm/y at 0.6 Ma. Similarly, the Ganges basin shows an increase from ~0.24 mm/y at 3.7 Ma to 2.04 mm/y at 0.9 Ma, while the Kosi basin exhibits the strongest acceleration, from ~0.12 mm/y at 4.42 Ma to 4.37 mm/y in modern samples.

We attribute the temporally increasing trend of the paleo-erosion rates on glacial erosion. Expansion of glaciers in the high altitudes of the Himalayan region occurred after ~2.7 Ma, due to the growth of the northern hemispheric icesheet. Additionally, the increased seasonality of the south-east Asian monsoon and initiation of the Pleistocene glacial-interglacial cycle possibly have led to higher glaciation, which in turn resulted in higher erosion rate in the Himalaya after ~2 Ma.

How to cite: Bhattacharjee, S., Bookhagen, B., and Sinha, R.: Plio-Pleistocene and modern erosion rates in the Himalaya from paired cosmogenic radionuclides , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5053, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5053, 2026.

Located in the central Sichuan Basin, the Tianfu Gas Field exhibits multi-storied gas-bearing features within the Shaximiao Formation. However, the exploration and development of its tight gas reservoirs remain at a preliminary stage, necessitating enhanced understanding of the formation's depositional systems and sandstone distribution patterns.Therefore, this study focuses on the Sha21 submember in the Jinqian 5H well block of Tianfu Gas Field as the research target. Integrating regional geological background with 3D seismic data, drilling/logging data, and laboratory analyses, using a well-seismic combined approach,we systematically investigated the planar distribution and evolutionary characteristics of the depositional system in the study area. the study provides a reference case for sequence architecture analysis and reservoir prediction in similar fluvial sedimentary regions.

Research has shown that paleosoil geochemical analysis and mineral characteristics indicate that the Sha21 submember was in an arid to semi-arid climate environment. Field profiles and on-site core observations show that this period was a typical fluvial sedimentary structure,the entire sequence formed in a regressive depositional setting, accompanied by periodic fluctuations of the base level. Stratigraphically, the submember can be divided into four 4th-order sequences (medium-term cycles: MSC1-MSC4), corresponding to four sandstone units (F1 through F4) respectively. During the deposition of the F1 sand unit,the base level began to drop, and the source supply was relatively stable, mainly consisting of meandering rivers or low-sinuosity channels . During this stage, the accommodation space was relatively high, the channel incision was deep but lateral migration was limited, and the sand bodies showed relatively narrow (mostly <1km), consistent continuity and clear striped distribution characteristics. The F2 sandstone unit deposition period witnessed rapid base-level drop with markedly increased sediment supply and reduced accommodation space. During this phase, channels exhibited intense lateral migration and aggradation, resulting in significantly widened fluvial sandbodies (reaching 2-3 km in width) with extensive distribution and excellent continuity. During the F3 sandstone unit depositional period, the base-level drop slowed down and even experienced short-term rises while sediment supply decreased, leading to weakened fluvial energy. Local tectonic activity caused the migration of the channel system westward, forming relatively narrow (mostly <1km) yet still continuous channel sandbodies. During the deposition of the F4 sandstone unit, the base level had dropped to its lowest position with sharply reduced accommodation space, while fluvial energy significantly weakened and sediment supply further decreased. These conditions restricted sediment transport to distal areas, forcing lateral expansion and vertical stacking, resulting in proximal concentration of sandbodies with shortened lateral extension.

The sedimentary evolution in the study area was primarily controlled by three interrelated factors: (1) phased base-level changes within a regressive background, (2) fluctuations in sediment supply, and (3) the consequent dynamic feedback mechanisms affecting fluvial energy and channel morphology.The variations in channel width and morphology, along with their planar migration patterns, comprehensively document the fluvial system's response to changes in the accommodation-to-sediment supply ratio (A/S).

Keywords: Jinqian 5H well block; Sha21 Submember; sedimentary characteristics; sandstone distribution patterns

How to cite: Zhang, Z., Wang, Z., and Jurado, M. J.: Research on Fluvial Depositional Evolution and Sandbody Distribution Patterns of the Sha21 Submember in Jinqian 5H Well Block, Tianfu Gas Field, Sichuan Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6524, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6524, 2026.

EGU26-6689 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Catchment and fan geometry controls on grain size fining in northwestern Namibia 

Amanda Wild, David Mair, Ariel do Prado, Rocio Jaimes Gutierrez, Marine Prieur, Nahin Rezwan, Benjamin Mapani, Andreas Nduutepo, Janek Walk, Julian Krieger, Fiona Guhe, Alhaji Chatty, and Frank Lehmkuhl

Located at the entrance to the sedimentary basin, alluvial fans are key depositional systems in which fluvial responses to external forcing are commonly preserved in the gravel and sand fraction of the stratigraphic record. It has long been observed that upstream catchment area has an impact on fan extent, incoming sediment flux, and subsequent deposition rates (Bull, 1977). Numerical modelling results suggest that catchment size can affect the autogenic dynamics of channel incision and mobility inducing high topographic variation across the fan, transient deposition, and more rapid grain size fining in systems where the downstream drainage area is greater than the upstream source catchments (Wild et al. 2025). However, the extent to which these internal dynamics are expressed in real-world fan grain size records and any geometric thresholds within the landscape remains poorly constrained. In an area with comparable external forcing (e.g. limited tectonic activity, comparable lithology and base-level, and comparable mean annual precipitation) producing fans in a state of sediment bypass near Kowarib, Namibia, we tested additional internal dynamics and geometric (e.g. catchment area and topographic) correlations with grain size fining.

The goal of our approach is to quantify internal controls observed within the landscape evolution model, GravelScape (Wild et al. 2025), on the gravel grain size fining record of real-world unconstrained alluvial fans. We implemented a geospatial analysis of high resolution (1 m) DEM, multispectral remote sensing imagery, and analysis of field captured channel bed images and bank measurements. To measure gravel grain sizes, we implemented the machine learning ImageGrains algorithm (Mair et al, 2024) on field sampled imagery from the main channel of three fans in the northern interior of Namibia. We expanded the geospatial analysis to nine Kowarib fans draining the same mountain range as the field sampled fans to provide greater geometric context on the area. Preliminary results indicate a difference in fan profile shape (convex vs concave) draining larger catchments (> 1 km2) with less grain size fining in these systems even after normalization by depositional length. The concave fans draining the smaller catchments (<1 km2) often displayed steeper topography, patches of exposed bedrock in their main channel, patches of thick sedimentation, high rugosity (variation across the fan surfaces-channel incisions), and more rapid grain size fining. The convex fans draining the larger catchments (>1 km2), displayed a more consistent sedimentation layer throughout the main channel, less topographic variation (down and across) the fan and less grain size fining. A landscape evolution model is  then used to compare downstream responses in fan development and grain size fining across different catchment–basin geometries, isolating the effects of variations in sediment supply and fan evolution time or internal, autogenic, depositional dynamics within the fan.

Bull (1977). Progress in Physical Geography: 1(2). doi.org/10.1177/030913337700100202

Mair et al. (2024) ESPL :49(3). doi.org/10.1002/esp.5755

Wild et al. (2025) ESurf: 13(5). doi.org/10.5194/esurf-13-889-2025

How to cite: Wild, A., Mair, D., do Prado, A., Jaimes Gutierrez, R., Prieur, M., Rezwan, N., Mapani, B., Nduutepo, A., Walk, J., Krieger, J., Guhe, F., Chatty, A., and Lehmkuhl, F.: Catchment and fan geometry controls on grain size fining in northwestern Namibia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6689, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6689, 2026.

In the study of rift basins, the source-to-sink system theory offers a fundamental framework for deciphering sedimentary filling processes and sandbody distribution patterns. This system is strongly influenced by the basin’s structural architecture, paleogeomorphic evolution, and base-level cycles. The spatiotemporal dynamic coupling of three key elements—sediment supply, transport pathways, and depositional convergence—directly governs sandbody formation and distribution, providing important theoretical insights for hydrocarbon reservoir prediction. This study focuses on sediment transport processes through sandbody pathways in complex rift basins and evaluates their differential controls on sandbody convergence within braided-river delta and lacustrine depositional systems under varying base-level cycles. Data from the Shenxian Sag in the Bohai Bay Basin, including extensive core samples, well logs, 3D seismic data, and laboratory analyses, support this investigation.Based on these data, the paleogeomorphology of key sequences was systematically reconstructed. Five valley types, three major slope-break zones, and four categories of accommodation zones were identified, with their controls on sedimentary pathways analyzed in detail. Significant differences were observed between the steep-slope and gentle-slope belts in terms of sediment supply, sandbody scale, and distribution patterns. Under the guidance of the source-to-sink theory, a spatiotemporal sand-control mechanism was established, with base-level cycles acting as the primary regulatory factor and paleogeomorphic elements serving as spatial carriers. This mechanism integrates three core components: sediment supply, transport pathways, and depositional convergence.The study further systematically elucidates four coupling modes and their corresponding sedimentary effects across different tectonic stages and structural units. Sediment supply provides the material basis for reservoir sandbody development, with its volume and intensity modulated by base-level fluctuations. The transport system is mainly constrained by paleogeomorphic features such as paleo-valleys, slope breaks, and accommodation zones. Among these, valleys demonstrate high sand-transport efficiency during base-level lowstands, which diminishes considerably during rising phases. Slope breaks in the northern gentle-slope belt are jointly controlled by base-level cycles and tectonic activity, whereas composite slope breaks in the southern steep-slope belt play a redistributive role in sandbody dispersion. The classification and sand-controlling functions of accommodation zones vary with the characteristics and configuration of syndepositional faults. The convergence system is regulated by cyclic changes in accommodation space driven by base-level movements. During base-level rise, lake-level expansion and increased accommodation space promote the development of retrogradational sequences, whereas base-level fall reduces accommodation space and favors progradational sequences. The transport and convergence systems are spatially linked and interact dynamically, with their functional relationships capable of shifting under the influence of base-level cycles.These findings provide effective guidance for predicting favorable sedimentary facies belts and sandbody distributions in the study area, leading to the identification of four prospective exploration targets. Subsequent drilling results have confirmed their potential. The research outcomes offer a new theoretical foundation and practical model for hydrocarbon exploration and sandbody prediction in analogous complex rift basins.

Keywords: source-to-sink system, sand-controlling mechanism, base-level cycle, palaeogeomorphology, Shenxian Depression, Shahejie Formation

How to cite: Li, X. S.: Sediment Control Mechanisms Under the Regulation of Base-Level Cycles in Complex Rift Basins: Spatiotemporal Coupling of "Source-to-Sink" Systems —A Case Study of the Middle - Deep Zone in the Shenxian Sag, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8498, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8498, 2026.

EGU26-10082 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2 | Highlight

Source-to-sink of natural arsenic in Neogene sedimentary systems of the south western Paris Basin 

Louis Alus, François Guillocheau, Éric Lasseur, Justine Briais, Cécile Robin, Julie Lions, and Catherine Lerouge

Natural arsenic concentrations in groundwater locally exceed drinking water standards, raising public health concerns. Preventing its release requires identifying its 3D distribution in rocks and water–rock interactions. We address this through a source-to-sink approach applied to predicting arsenic distribution in Miocene sedimentary deposits of the southwestern Paris Basin, where geogenic arsenic is present and monitored in aquifers (e.g., lacustrine deposits of Beauce Fm. – Aquitanian) underlying sedimentary cover (fluvial deposits of Sables et Argiles de Sologne Fm. – Burdigalian to Pliocene).

Our approach combines source-to-sink tools, chiefly geomorphology and sedimentology, with arsenic geochemistry in order to trace arsenic transfer from source areas to sedimentary reservoirs. It involves: (1) identifying sources coupling the reconstruction of paleoreliefs from planation surfaces and paleodrainage areas and characterizing arsenic concentrations in the drainage areas using pXRF ; (2) characterizing depositional environments, including sedimentary facies and their actual and past physicochemical conditions, and the associated arsenic content in terms of abundance, speciation, carrier phases within each facies (pXRF, sequential extractions, μXRF and ICP-MS), and mechanisms of arsenic retention (sorption, complexation and mineral precipitation).

Two source-to-sink systems have been identified in our study: (i) an Aquitanian endorheic lake system and (ii) a mid-Miocene terrigenous system. The Aquitanian system is fed by the surrounding reliefs, leading to the remobilization of arsenic contained in older sedimentary series. Arsenic is sequestered in deep-lake facies, where it is mainly trapped by framboidal pyrite and organic matter under reducing conditions. The mid-Miocene system reflects a reorganization of the drainage basins, resulting in the recycling of older formations and material derived from the northern Massif Central (MCF). Arsenic is predominantly carried by pyrite in reduced floodplain facies. Tectono-hydrogeological destabilizations since the Tortonian have promoted the oxidation of these reduced sedimentary reservoirs, the release of arsenic in groundwater and partial precipitation of secondary arsenic carrier phases.

This study highlights the role of geomorphology and sedimentology in controlling arsenic drainage and trapping, and establishes a link between initial trapping and current groundwater quality. (ANR-22-PEXO-0010 – PEPR One Water Eau bien commun research program).

How to cite: Alus, L., Guillocheau, F., Lasseur, É., Briais, J., Robin, C., Lions, J., and Lerouge, C.: Source-to-sink of natural arsenic in Neogene sedimentary systems of the south western Paris Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10082, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10082, 2026.

EGU26-10334 | Orals | GM5.2

Sources and sinks for dust in Europe: Examples for climatic and geomorphological induced changes in the European loess and its deposition  

Frank Lehmkuhl, Wolfgang Römer, Christian Zeeden, and Frank Sirocko

The local geomorphological setting of sink areas strongly influences the distribution, preservation and thickness of loess sequences. For example, high accumulation and preservation occurs in depressions or on the leeward slope of topographic barriers. The sediment availability depends on the distance to source areas, such as large river systems, dry shelves, and glacio-fluvial outwash plains at the margins of ice sheets and glaciers. Vegetation density in these areas also governs the amount of dust that can be deflated, as vegetation increases surface roughness and acts as a dust trap, fixing the sediment. The most well-developed loess sequences were formed where alluvial terraces intersect slopes in stepped terrace systems, as seen in the valleys of the Dnieper, Danube and Rhine rivers in Europe, among others1. Deflation of dust from various source areas, followed by deposition and reworking in different geomorphological settings results in a mixture of the accumulated material, which complicates the reconstruction of the original source areas.

Under favorable preservation conditions, such as in the Dehner Dry-Maar, heavy mineral analysis of lacustrine sediments has enabled the distinction of phases of dust inputs from local, regional and remote source areas2. During phases with denser vegetation and forest cover, local sources are important; however, during the last 40 k years, when vegetation was mostly less dense, distant dust sources such as the dry North Sea shelves and reworked loess deposits played a major role. Loess deposits exhibit different facies due to processes associated with the geomorphological setting which controls reworking by different processes such as periglacial and fluvial processes. The geomorphologic position of loess sequences is one of the key-factors controlling its role as silt sink – in both a temporal and spatial context..

1 Lehmkuhl, F. et al. Loess landscapes of Europe – Mapping, geomorphology, and zonal differentiation. Earth-Science Reviews 215, 103496 (2021).

2 Römer, W., Lehmkuhl, F. & Sirocko, F. Late Pleistocene aeolian dust provenances and wind direction changes reconstructed by heavy mineral analysis of the sediments of the Dehner dry maar (Eifel, Germany). Global and Planetary Change 147, 25–39 (2016).

How to cite: Lehmkuhl, F., Römer, W., Zeeden, C., and Sirocko, F.: Sources and sinks for dust in Europe: Examples for climatic and geomorphological induced changes in the European loess and its deposition , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10334, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10334, 2026.

EGU26-10601 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Regional stratigraphic and geomorphic evolution of the Paleocene - Early Eocene in the Central North Sea  

Kenneth Mangersnes, Rob L. Gawthorpe, Tor O. Sømme, and Ritske S. Huismans

The Paleocene and Early Eocene stratigraphic succession in the central North Sea records a period of substantial tectonic uplift and several climatic perturbations in the adjacent hinterland. Eastern progradation of the UK shelf and a series of turbidite deposits have previously been linked to several phases of inferred regional uplift. The regional uplift phases caused major increases in sedimentation rates in the North Sea basin and an extensive reorganization of the sediment routing systems. The relative importance of allogenic and autogenic forcings on the sediment supply, depositional patterns and basin-wide geomorphology, however, remains debated. Several authors have suggested that the uplift is a response to activity of the Icelandic Plume.

This study incorporates high-resolution 3D seismic and well-log data to conduct a regional reconstruction of the Paleocene – Early Eocene stratigraphic succession in the central North Sea. We investigate key stratigraphic surfaces to link the temporal along-strike variability of erosion and deposition in the Montrose and Moray Groups. Seismic attribute analysis of over 90 000 km2 of 3D seismic data is used to investigate the geomorphology and paleogeography of several interpreted intervals, including clinoform geometry, shelf-edge trajectories, submarine channels, and deep-marine fan systems, providing insights into sediment transport pathways and depositional processes.

Preliminary results indicate pronounced along strike variability throughout the Paleocene and Early Eocene in sediment thickness and geomorphology. In the earliest Paleocene the basin was dominated by deep-marine sedimentation, with several submarine fans being deposited in the Moray Firth, Southern Viking Graben and Central Graben. Throughout the Paleocene, the shelf prograded and the basin was infilled. Thick clinoforms, large submarine fans, and extensive shelf progradation during key stratigraphic intervals indicate increased sediment input, suggesting changes in sediment connectivity between hinterland source areas and offshore sinks driven by variations in erosion and runoff. The presence of erosional fluvial networks incised into older marine sediments indicates subaerial conditions during the latest Paleocene to Early Eocene in the Moray Firth. The subaerial erosional networks are associated with a progradation of the coast by tens of kilometers, suggesting a major base-level change, driven by extensive tectonic uplift. This enables detailed observations of geomorphic responses to tectonic and climatic forcings in the entire fluvial to deep-marine sediment routing system.

How to cite: Mangersnes, K., Gawthorpe, R. L., Sømme, T. O., and Huismans, R. S.: Regional stratigraphic and geomorphic evolution of the Paleocene - Early Eocene in the Central North Sea , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10601, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10601, 2026.

EGU26-11505 | Orals | GM5.2

Hothouse hydrology: new insights from water and sediment transport patterns in the Eocene Pyrenees  

Jonah McLeod, Alexander Whittaker, Gary Hampson, Rebecca Bell, Marine Prieur, Oliver Fuller-Field, Luis Valero, and Xiang Yan

Deciphering how Earth’s surface has responded to the extreme climates of the past is vital for understanding the impacts of global warming on our planet in the present and future, including flood and drought risk worldwide. Rivers are the most significant conduits of water, sediment and nutrients across Earth’s continents, and the patterns of river water and sediment transport through time, or river intermittency, are thought to be highly sensitive to geomorphic bounding conditions such as climate and tectonics. Determining the intermittency of rivers in ancient hothouse climates provides a unique lens through which to investigate this question. However, this requires strong constraints on sediment and water discharges and volumetrics from source to sink, which are rare due to the challenges of estimating bankfull and average water and sediment fluxes at continental scale. We reconstruct the evolving source-to-sink dynamics of the lower Eocene Montllobat (52.0 – 50.5 Ma) and Castissent (50.5 – 49.7 Ma) Formations, in the dynamic tectono-climatic setting of Southern Pyrenees during the Eocene Hothouse. By estimating fluvial morphodynamics and discharges in the Tremp and Ager Basins, in addition to depositional fluxes in the underfilled Ainsa and Jaca Basins, we estimate water and sediment intermittency in these systems for the first time. Sediment intermittency factors (Is) in the Montllobat Formation average 0.009-0.029, implying annual sediment loads could have been completed with as little as 1 week of transport at bankfull capacity. The overlying Castissent Formation, characterized by enhanced braiding and sediment discharge, has higher Is values of 0.012-0.036. Water intermittency factors (Iw), on the other hand, decreased from 0.25 in the Montllobat interval to 0.15 in the Castissent interval, implying perennial rivers almost halved their activity at c. 50.5 Ma. This suggests river discharge rapidly became more extreme and infrequent, whilst sediment became transported more efficiently. Coeval to a pulse of uplift in the Pyrenean hinterland, we reveal the deposits of the Montllobat and Castissent rivers record strong competing climatic and tectonic signals which drove over 20 km of fluvial progradation. Further, in comparison to modern systems, the Eocene rivers of the Pyrenean foreland have higher sediment intermittency factors than anticipated, transporting sediment more efficiently than similar rivers today. This suggests hothouse climates can cause reduced sediment export timescales, with important implications for source-to-sink dynamics in today’s evolving climate.

How to cite: McLeod, J., Whittaker, A., Hampson, G., Bell, R., Prieur, M., Fuller-Field, O., Valero, L., and Yan, X.: Hothouse hydrology: new insights from water and sediment transport patterns in the Eocene Pyrenees , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11505, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11505, 2026.

EGU26-11898 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Sediment grain size vs. parent rocks lithology: insights from the Avisio River and its drainage area (Dolomiti, Italy)  

Samuele Pezzoli, Giuliana Testa, Matteo Giovanni Foletti, Niccolò Menegoni, Andrea Stefano Di Giulio, and Giovanni Toscani

Grain size of clastic sediment is generally regarded as the product of physical processes active during transport and deposition. Here we investigate the influence of the parent rock lithology on the original grain-size of daughter sediments by combining in situ and laboratory analyses of outcrop, detritus and sediments.

As study site we chose a relatively small catchment area (147,7 km2 planar, 185,4 km2 accounting for elevation) located in Valle di Fassa (Dolomites, IT). This is done to consider the analysed samples representative of the sediment produced at the source, disregarding the effect of sediment transport. In this area three main lithologies outcrop, all in similar proportions: (a) dolostones, (b) mafic to intermediate volcanics and (c) limestones and sandy limestones. We: i) quantified the source rock distribution with a GIS-based geospatial analysis, ii) analysed the outcrops of these lithologies with 3D drone photogrammetry and in-situ Schmidt hammer rebound test to estimate fractures, bedding and rock strength, iii) performed image analysis and sieving to obtain grain-size of detritus collected at the base of outcrops, and iv) finally, performed both grain-size and compositional analyses of each grain-size fraction between 16 cm and 0.075 mm on the sediment samples collected from a sandy-gravelly fluvial bar of the Avisio River reaching sediments from the studied outcrops.

The results obtained show a significant relationship between outcrops fracture spacing, grain size of detritus, and grain size and composition of river sediment: dolostones tend to be over-represented in the gravelly sediments, while volcanic grains dominate the sandy grain-size. Still, none of the sediment samples analysed has a similar proportion between the three lithologies, as the one of the GIS-derived catchment area‘s.

These findings suggest that sediment grain size at the origin is strongly controlled by lithology-dependent weathering processes, active on parent rocks. This is expected to have a significant effect on facies development along the routing systems of clastic sediments. In addition, different grain-sizes preserve very different images of the same source area. Therefore the control of parent-rocks lithology on daughter sediment grain-size must be carefully considered  when approaching provenance studies aimed at paleo-geological reconstructions as well as for facies tract predictions.

How to cite: Pezzoli, S., Testa, G., Foletti, M. G., Menegoni, N., Di Giulio, A. S., and Toscani, G.: Sediment grain size vs. parent rocks lithology: insights from the Avisio River and its drainage area (Dolomiti, Italy) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11898, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11898, 2026.

EGU26-12041 | ECS | Orals | GM5.2

Quaternary alluvial fan evolution in the western Atacama Desert, North Chile 

Janek Walk, Joel Mohren, Andrés Quezada, Bárbara Blanco Arrué, Jaime Roas, Pablo Schwarze, Julian Krieger, Amanda Wild, Ariana Binnie, Steven Binnie, Benedikt Ritter-Prinz, Pritam Yogeshwar, Dominik Brill, Helmut Brückner, and Lehmkuhl Frank

The Atacama Desert is considered the driest and oldest non-polar desert on Earth featuring numerous indications for an Early Miocene onset of its hyperaridity. Despite vast evidence for long-term hyperaridity dominating the landscape evolution of the desert’s core, younger Quaternary fluvial modification has been deduced from various archives across the Atacama Desert. Located within the N-S-extending Coastal Cordillera, a significant portion (>10%) of the western Atacama Desert’s surface geology is recognized as Quaternary deposits predominantly related to past alluvial fan activity. However, only few and patchy stratigraphic and geochronological constraints exist on the formation of those depositional landforms. We therefore systematically studied the alluvial fans across the Coastal Cordillera at ~21°S by combining DEM-based morphometric assessment, establishing morphochronological frameworks by in situ terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide dating, and stratigraphic analyses by geophysical surveys and sedimentological-pedological analyses of a soil pit. Significant fan-catchment morphometric relationships indicate intact source-to-sink connectivity and signal propagation. The youngest and last abandoned surface generations of four multi-stage alluvial fans were dated by 10Be exposure dating, complemented by reappraisal of 10Be data from an alluvial fan system published by Baker et al. (2013). Site-specific timing of terminal fan aggradation dates to the late Middle Pleistocene and beginning of the Early–Middle Pleistocene Transition (EMPT) for the youngest and penultimate stages, respectively. Interpreted in the form of a regional geochronological compilation, fluvial-alluvial activity shows additional peaks during the Last Interglacial Complex. Late and Middle Pleistocene palaeoclimatic signals are largely in agreement with other Quaternary sediment records from the central Atacama Desert. While alluvial fan evolution within the Coastal Cordillera is rooted in the tectonic evolution of the basin settings, integrated results strongly indicate a close coupling between Quaternary fluvial activity and palaeoclimatic variability. Our study provides first evidence for a major fluvial modification during the EMPT. Moreover, we can infer a dominant effect of the maximum inland extent of advective fog on preventing long-term landscape stabilisation and conservation.

Reference
Baker, A., Allmendinger, R.W., Owen, L.A., Rech, J.A. (2013). Permanent deformation caused by subduction earthquakes in northern Chile. Nature Geoscience 6, 492–496. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1789

How to cite: Walk, J., Mohren, J., Quezada, A., Blanco Arrué, B., Roas, J., Schwarze, P., Krieger, J., Wild, A., Binnie, A., Binnie, S., Ritter-Prinz, B., Yogeshwar, P., Brill, D., Brückner, H., and Frank, L.: Quaternary alluvial fan evolution in the western Atacama Desert, North Chile, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12041, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12041, 2026.

EGU26-12650 | ECS | Orals | GM5.2

Magnetostratigraphy of the middle Miocene La Muela section: a chronostratigraphy across the central Ebro basin lacustrine units 

Pello Arriolabengoa, Luis Valero, Concha Arenas, Elisabet Beamud, Estefania Maestre, and Miguel Garcés

During the early Miocene, the Ebro Basin evolved as an endorheic depression bounded by the Pyrenees, the Iberian Range, and the Catalan Coastal Ranges. In its central sector, extensive and laterally continuous lacustrine systems developed under variable climatic conditions, including warm-humid phases such as the Miocene Climatic Optimum. The La Muela section is composed of lacustrine sediments from the southern margin of the Ebro Basin’s central lake. The La Muela section documents significant geochemical changes in the lake system, beginning with mudflat environments, followed by evaporitic conditions, and subsequently a return to carbonate-dominated deposition. The well-exposed outcrops and the possibility to correlate this record with other sectors of the basin make it an ideal site for reconstructing environmental variations of the complete system and understanding its geochemical changes. Achieving an accurate correlation between the different sedimentary records requires very fine time correlation lines.
To address this correlation problem, we present a local magnetostratigraphy for the La Muela section based on the analysis of 155 samples distributed over a thickness of 190 meters. A correlation with the Global Geomagnetic Polarity Timescale allows us to propose a new chronology that includes the early to middle Miocene transition. By means of basin-wide magnetostratigraphic correlations, we determine local sedimentation rates across the different sectors. Finally, we discuss the timing and relevance of the major compositional changes in the lacustrine settings, which, constrained by isotopic records, reveal the environmental evolution of the basin.

How to cite: Arriolabengoa, P., Valero, L., Arenas, C., Beamud, E., Maestre, E., and Garcés, M.: Magnetostratigraphy of the middle Miocene La Muela section: a chronostratigraphy across the central Ebro basin lacustrine units, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12650, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12650, 2026.

EGU26-14675 | ECS | Orals | GM5.2

Increasing debris-laden flow volumes at Plansee (AT): Comparing the lacustrine sedimentary archive with the terrestrial sediment budget from historical aerial imagery 

Carolin Kiefer, Natalie Barbosa, and Michael Krautblatter and the ALPHA Lakes Team

Climate forcing influences the frequency and magnitudes of debris-laden flows (including hyperconcentrated flows and debris flows), which are controlled by intense local precipitation events. Reconstructing debris flow activity is challenging due to incomplete archives, a lack of historical evidence, and unrepresentative precipitation data of local rainfall intensity.  To reconstruct past activity and infer future precipitation thresholds, we need robust archives that include a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. Plansee (Tyrol, Austria) is a relatively pristine and virtually closed source to sink system. Sediment is transferred from 54 transport-limited Hauptdolomit catchments to the lake-adjacent fans. Debris-laden flows regularly enter the lake as underflows, creating turbidites in the basin. Lacustrine sediment cores taken from the fan delta towards the depocenter offer a 4000-year archive with 138 debris-flow-induced turbidites. The photogrammetric reconstruction of historical aerial imagery since 1952 enables the quantification of elevation changes in the active debris flow channel, allowing for the estimation of the sediment budget at each fan. In this contribution, we compare the in-lake deposition rates from the sediment cores with the terrestrial erosion, deposition, and net volumes at each surrounding fan, to conclude that both calculations match.

The frequency of debris-laden flows has increased significantly since 1920, with a most recent peak after the 1980s observed in the terrestrial record. The terrestrial inventory reveals varying activity over the decades on all fans, providing a better understanding of the mechanisms and controlling factors of sediment propagation in pre-alpine catchments. This contribution presents for the first time the integration of lacustrine and terrestrial records to reconstruct historical debris flow activity and outline trends in frequencies and magnitudes.

This research is funded by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation – Project number 558963977) and the Austrian Science Fund (FWF, grant https://doi.org/10.55776/PIN7180424)

How to cite: Kiefer, C., Barbosa, N., and Krautblatter, M. and the ALPHA Lakes Team: Increasing debris-laden flow volumes at Plansee (AT): Comparing the lacustrine sedimentary archive with the terrestrial sediment budget from historical aerial imagery, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14675, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14675, 2026.

EGU26-18123 | Orals | GM5.2

Upper Pleistocene–Recent Coastal-Fluvial Terrace Deposits of the Polis Graben, NW Cyprus: Implications of New Luminescence Dating 

Christina Antoniou, Alastair Robertson, Tim Kinnaird, and Aayush Srivastava

Traditional tools for coastal-fluvial terrace correlation (e.g. height above sea level, terrace morphology, sedimentary facies) are useful but often insufficient to resolve the complex interplay of tectonic, glacio-eustatic sea level and climatic changes that control the formation of terraces. Absolute age constraints are therefore essential to quantify the external signals and landscape changes, and to link with regional- to global-scale palaeoenvironmental changes. Here, we present a multidisciplinary study of shallow-marine, to littoral, to fluvial sediments of the three lowermost terraces (<5 m, 8-12 m, 15-35 m) that are exposed along the coastal plain of the Neogene Polis graben in NW Cyprus. We utilise new quartz luminescence dating of littoral to fluvial fine-grained sands, and existing uranium-series dating of solitary corals, together with sedimentological and geomorphological analysis of the terrace deposits. Our main aim is to establish a chronological framework for the terrace development and to aid regional mapping of the terrace surfaces. Previous terrace correlations (coastal to inland) suggest that the three lower shallow-marine terraces correspond to marine isotopic stages (MIS) 7 (c. 185-219 ka), 5e (c. 116-141 ka) and younger. Our new luminescence dating of inland littoral to fluvial terrace deposits reveals substantially younger ages of c. 45-63 ka, corresponding to overall regression during MIS 4-3. Luminescence dating and profiling results establish a detection limit of c. 1.22 ka (MIS 1), representing the youngest resolvable coastal sediment age. Assuming these dated deposits accumulated near sea level, uplift rates of 1.35-1.65 mm/year are implied. This contrasts with uplift rates (0.2-0.5 mm/year), as calculated from previous uranium-series dating of solitary corals from marine terraces correlated with MIS 5-7, elsewhere in Cyprus. However, there is no reason for greatly increased uplift rates after c. 45-63 ka, particularly within the active Polis graben, in which subsidence is indicated by localised modern marine erosion of older non-marine deposits (e.g. terra rossa palaeosols). Instead, we hypothesise that the luminescence-dated littoral-fluvial sediments accumulated up to c. 1 km inland, either in a contemporaneous setting and/or involving reworking of older shallow-marine terrace deposits, and that this was followed by downslope fluvial reworking of mixed siliciclastic-bioclastic sediments. Shifts from cooler, semi-arid conditions to warmer, wetter conditions during MIS 4-3 regressions repeatedly enhanced continental runoff. Alluvial fans prograded seawards episodically, followed by partial marine erosion. Later stage eustatic sea-level changes (MIS 3-2) culminated in erosional downcutting to near present sea level. Coastal sands near present-day sea level accumulated during MIS 1 transgressions, culminating in the development of the modern storm-influenced rocky shoreface, including beachrock. To conclude, uplifted coastal marine–fluvial terraces were partially eroded and covered by mixed siliciclastic-bioclastic sediments, reworked from upslope, that yielded relatively young depositional ages. Such deposits should not be misinterpreted as shoreface deposits, which would lead to calculation of anomalously high uplift rates.

How to cite: Antoniou, C., Robertson, A., Kinnaird, T., and Srivastava, A.: Upper Pleistocene–Recent Coastal-Fluvial Terrace Deposits of the Polis Graben, NW Cyprus: Implications of New Luminescence Dating, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18123, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18123, 2026.

EGU26-19029 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Tracing sediment sources and export dynamics in the Congo River Basin using radiogenic isotopes 

Johanna Menges, Enno Schefuß, Anette Meixner, Yannick Garcin, Gaël U. D. Bouka, Carolia Abaye, Mélanie Guardiola, Steven Bouillon, Yannick Stroobandt, Gesine Mollenhauer, Hendrik Grotheer, and Simone A. Kasemann

The Congo Basin is the second-largest river basin in the world. It is characterized by extensive tropical forests, wetlands, and floodplains that together form one of the largest terrestrial carbon reservoirs on Earth, including the world’s largest tropical peat complex beneath the swamp forests of the Cuvette Centrale. The low-relief morphology and extensive floodplain systems of the basin strongly influence the storage, transformation, and transfer of water, sediment, and organic matter. Consequently, export dynamics from different parts of the Congo Basin remain incompletely understood, including the sourcing and export of clastic sediment and associated particulate organic carbon. Here, we use radiogenic isotope ratios of strontium, neodymium, and lead together with bulk organic carbon (stable and radiocarbon isotopes) and nitrogen isotope data, to constrain the export of clastic and organic particulates from contrasting geomorphic and ecological settings through the Congo River's fluvial network. We analyzed a transect of tributaries spanning peat-dominated swamp forests, evergreen forests, and mixed forest-savanna catchments. Underlying source lithologies range from Archean cratonic rocks to Cretaceous units and Quaternary sediments within the swamp regions of the Cuvette Centrale. We then compare the modern river data with a downcore marine record from Congo Fan deposits to assess how Holocene climate change affected sediment routing dynamics and the preservation of provenance signals from the Congo Basin in the stratigraphic archive. This study provides new insights into the sediment and organic carbon routing systems within the Congo Basin and its connection to the marine sedimentary record.

How to cite: Menges, J., Schefuß, E., Meixner, A., Garcin, Y., Bouka, G. U. D., Abaye, C., Guardiola, M., Bouillon, S., Stroobandt, Y., Mollenhauer, G., Grotheer, H., and Kasemann, S. A.: Tracing sediment sources and export dynamics in the Congo River Basin using radiogenic isotopes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19029, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19029, 2026.

EGU26-19505 | Posters on site | GM5.2

Detrital record unveils the role of topography in the Antarctic Ice Sheet growth   

Marco Fioraso, Luca Zurli, Valerio Olivetti, Matteo Perotti, Sonia Sandroni, Robert McKay, Timothy Naish, Gianluca Cornamusini, and Massimiliano Zattin

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet is the largest ice-sheet on the planet, developed since the Late Eocene upon a puzzle made of cratonic plateaus, mountain belts and intracontinental basins. The flow pattern of the waxing Ice Sheet is controlled by the preexisting landscape, mainly where high-relief topography was already developed. On the eastern limit of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet facing the Ross Sea, the Transantarctic Mountains acted as a barrier limiting the early growth of the ice sheet. Outlet glaciers drained ice flows across the high elevation rift flank enlarging fjord-like valleys by selective erosion, whose efficiency changed also as a consequence of the variable Oligocene-Miocene climate. 

Uncertainty exists whether or not high-relief topography predates major ice growth in the Transantarctic Mountains. Here, landscape is expected to play a critical role, modulating flow directions over a preexisting drainage network. In addition, pre-Cenozoic tectonic inheritances controlled the location of highs and lows in the topography contributing to focus the glacial flow. The southern Victoria Land is the sector of the Transantarctic Mountains which offer the most complete bedrock exposition in deglaciated areas, and offshore drill cores reaching depths of up to 850 m below sea floor just off the margin. The detrital record from 36 to 18 Ma corresponds to the Eocene-Oligocene Transition and the onset of the Ice Sheet growth.   

In this study, we applied a multi-analytical approach to constrain sediment provenance using new datasets of detrital apatite fission-track thermochronology and detrital zircon U-Pb geochronology from CIROS-1 drill core. New data are coupled with petrographic description of gravel and sand fractions, facies analysis and revised age model. The source-to-sink analysis of CIROS-1 sediments is compared with Cape Roberts Project core record to reconstruct the environmental conditions and geomorphic setting of the two main valleys draining ice through Dry Valleys. The comparison between detrital signals and bedrock information suggests a change in the erosive style and the elevation of the sediment source through the Eocene-Oligocene. The Eocene catchment area located along the coast was reorganized by the overriding outlet glaciers sourced from the inner Transantarctic Mountains. The topographic divide retreated in Dry Valleys where glacial erosion was more efficient as recorded in provenance data. Results highlight how the preexisting mountainous landscape conditioned ice flow during early EAIS expansion and provide new constraints on the timing and magnitude of landscape modification along the TAM rift flank.

How to cite: Fioraso, M., Zurli, L., Olivetti, V., Perotti, M., Sandroni, S., McKay, R., Naish, T., Cornamusini, G., and Zattin, M.: Detrital record unveils the role of topography in the Antarctic Ice Sheet growth  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19505, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19505, 2026.

EGU26-19646 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

Grain size fractionation in a Triassic dryland fluvial system: the Sherwood Sandstone Group, UK 

Xiang Yan, Gary J. Hampson, and Alex C. Whittaker

Sediment routing systems record grain size changes from source to sink. Sediment grain size decreases downstream due to the selective deposition of sediment, but can also increase when material is added from tributaries. Importantly, quantifying downsystem changes in grain size helps elucidate the dynamics of sediment routing systems in the geological past, and understand the spatial heterogeneity of deposited strata.

The Sherwood Sandstone Group (SSG) and Mercia Mudstone Group (MMG) of the British Isles are regionally significant units deposited during the breakup of Pangea. The SSG is a key unit for groundwater resources, geothermal energy and carbon capture and storage. For our source-to-sink analysis, we use a chronostratigraphically defined interval of the SSG and MMG, which was deposited by a long-distance dryland river system active during the mid-Triassic (c.240 Ma).

We interpret 130 sections through the SSG and MMG using geophysical well logs, outcrops and cored boreholes. Using these data, existing palaeogeographies and isopach maps, we generate upsystem-to-downsystem volumetric grain size profiles (gravel, sand and mud) for this sediment routing system. We convert these profiles into a dimensionless mass balance framework. These results provide a detailed characterisation of this river system and its deposits, supported by existing studies on sediment routing, sandstone petrography and quantitative paleohydrology. Crucially, we are able to explore the spatial dynamics of this sediment routing system, including the locations of sediment inputs and downsystem sediment bypass, demonstrating the generic utility of our approach in reconstructing ancient source to sink systems.

How to cite: Yan, X., Hampson, G. J., and Whittaker, A. C.: Grain size fractionation in a Triassic dryland fluvial system: the Sherwood Sandstone Group, UK, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19646, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19646, 2026.

EGU26-19973 | ECS | Posters on site | GM5.2

High-resolution basin-wide sedimentary budget quantification during periods of high-frequency climate change in the active Corinth Rift system, central Greece 

Christopher C. Di Paolo, Robert L. Gawthorpe, Ritske S. Huismans, Delphine Rouby, and Casey W Nixon

The Gulf of Corinth (GoC), central Greece is a relatively young rift (~2 Myr) with high extension rates (10-15 mm/yr) making it an ideal location to study the effects of tectonics and climate on sediment dynamics during early-stage rifting. The GoC’s stratigraphy is divided into two main units separated by a basin-wide unconformity that occurred at ~790 ka. Below the unconformity is a low-amplitude, less-coherent seismic package. Above the unconformity are alternating high-amplitude and low-amplitude seismic packages which correspond respectively to the GoC’s climate-driven connection to and separation from the global ocean.

Using the GoC’s dense network of offshore 2D seismic data tied to IODP Expedition 381 cores, we quantify the sedimentary budget accumulated in the GoC at high resolution (<50 kyr timescale) where seismic resolution allows (present - 330 ka), and lower resolution (<160 kyr) before (330-790 ka). We extract clastic solid volumes from isopachs between 3D seismic surfaces generated from interpretation of multiple 2D surveys. We incorporate uncertainties resulting from the time to depth conversion and the sediment remaining porosity estimated from IODP 381 Site M0079 cores.

Time to depth conversion contributes uncertainty that ranges from 7% at the seafloor to 20% at the basement. Porosity contributes uncertainty that ranges from 8% at the seafloor to 4% at the basement. Estimates of sediment volumes in the high-resolution section range from 4.3 km3 ± 10.3% from 0-15 ka to 7.9 km3 ± 20.1% from 259-294 ka.

We see two stages of increasing sediment accumulation rates over the last 600 ka. Accumulation rates rise from 0.047 ± 20.3% km3/kyr at 592 ka to 0.413 ± 21.0% km3/kyr at 259 ka then from 0.122 ± 15.4% km3/kyr at ~220 ka to 0.302 ± 13.2% km3/kyr at present.

From these preliminary results we will evaluate the relationship between the accumulation volumes and rates in relation to climate, i.e. changes in precipitation due to global glacial-interglacial cycles, and regional tectonics, i.e. the simultaneous uplift of the drainage area and subsidence of the basin.

How to cite: Di Paolo, C. C., Gawthorpe, R. L., Huismans, R. S., Rouby, D., and Nixon, C. W.: High-resolution basin-wide sedimentary budget quantification during periods of high-frequency climate change in the active Corinth Rift system, central Greece, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19973, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19973, 2026.

EGU26-20918 | ECS | Orals | GM5.2

From Source to Sink: linking the Andean source signal to coastal eolian sand-dunes using cosmogenic 10Be/14C residence times in Central Chile 

Maíra Dal Pai, Juan Luis García, Tania Villaseñor, Paula Castillo, Taylor Schildgen, and Nathaniel Lifton

The formation of dune and paleodune sequences along the Pacific coast of Central Chile (30-35° S) remains poorly understood. The Andean glaciated landscape seems to exert a major influence on sediment supply, although the coupling between glacier fluctuations and dune build up in the Pacific coast remains speculative. Drainage basins, modulated by climatic and tectonic forcings, produce and transfer sediment from source areas to continental and marine sinks. However, transport pathways are complex as sediment may be temporarily stored and mixed along fluvial systems, decoupling source signals from downstream sinks by delaying or partially erasing them. Sediment residence time integrates both transport duration and temporary storage within a basin. Constraining it is essential to evaluate whether climatic signals such as glacier fluctuations can be faithfully transferred to the Pacific coast and recorded in dune deposits, allowing a better understanding on the formation of these systems. Here, we estimate sediment residence times in the Rapel Basin using paired in situ cosmogenic 14C and 10Be measured in modern fluvial and dune sands. As 14C has a much shorter half-life than 10Be, this pair is particularly sensitive to periods of sediment storage and can be used to quantify the time sediments spend in transient reservoirs along their transport pathways. Therefore, we adopt a source-to-sink sampling strategy, collecting sediments from distinct geomorphic domains along the basin, from the Andean headwaters to the coastal dune systems. Our results indicate that all samples experienced some degree of storage during transport, with minimum residence times of ~2.5 kyr in the Andean glacial domain and maximum values of ~14 kyr in dunes at the Pacific coast. At the source zone, residence times ranging from ~2.5 to ~7.5 kyr suggest that sediments record a millennial scale residence signal prior to entering the fluvial network, likely due to storage in glacial environments and on hillslopes. Once sediments enter the channel network, transport through the medium and lower basin appears to be largely efficient, with little additional storage until reaching the Pacific coast. From the river mouth to the dune systems, sediments record up to ~4 kyr of additional residence time relative to the Andean source signal. Such addition indicates a millennial scale lag time in source signal transmission towards the dunes. Our dataset suggests that sediment residence times within the Rapel Basin (Central Chile) are primarily controlled by sediment generation rather than by complex fluvial transport histories itself. Only at the river mouth, significant additional residence times are added to the signal as sediment is transferred towards the dunes, as part of the long-shore littoral drift. These results demonstrate that even with a millennial timescale lag at the coast, the dune systems remain sensitive archives that record the primary Andean signal.

How to cite: Dal Pai, M., García, J. L., Villaseñor, T., Castillo, P., Schildgen, T., and Lifton, N.: From Source to Sink: linking the Andean source signal to coastal eolian sand-dunes using cosmogenic 10Be/14C residence times in Central Chile, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20918, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20918, 2026.

Enhancing soil structure is essential for maintaining soil functions and overall soil health, and its development is strongly influenced by climate, land use, and soil type. This study evaluated near-saturation water retention—an indicator of structural condition—in soils from four climatic regions under long-term land use (>20 years) and compared these effects with a one-time application of anionic polyacrylamide (PAM). Soils from humid (USA: crop CT–conservation tillage, crop NT–no till, grass, forest), temperate (Ethiopia: crop CT, grass, bush, forest), semi-arid (Turkey: crop CT, grass, forest), and arid (Israel: crop CT, orchard, virgin) regions were analyzed (272 samples ranging from sandy loam to clay). In each region, three crop CT soils with contrasting textures were treated with PAM at 0, 25, 50, 100, and 200 mg L⁻¹ (60 samples).
Structural effects were assessed using the high-energy moisture characteristic (HEMC, 0–50 hPa). Water-retention curves were described using modified van Genuchten parameters (α and n), and structural stability was quantified as SI. Treatments produced distinct curve shapes (α = 0.036–0.099 hPa⁻¹; n = 7.1–20.6), reflecting changes in macropore domains (>250, 125–250, 60–125 μm) associated with large and small macroaggregate stability (SI = 0.002–0.060 hPa⁻¹).
Higher soil organic carbon (SOC) contents (crop CT < crop NT < grass/bush/orchard < forest/virgin) and increasing PAM rates improved α (0.054–0.096 hPa⁻¹) and SI (0.004–0.059 hPa⁻¹), while reducing n (16.0–6.3). However, the magnitude of these effects depended on soil type, texture, and climatic region. SI correlated strongly with SOC or SOC/Clay ratio in humid and temperate regions, and with SOC and clay content in arid and semi-arid regions.
Crop CT soils had the lowest SI, typically 2–4 times lower than other land-use types. Applying PAM at 25–50 mg L⁻¹ increased SI (0.007–0.033 hPa⁻¹) to levels comparable to crop NT, grass, bush, or orchard soils (0.009–0.032 hPa⁻¹). Higher PAM rates (100–200 mg L⁻¹) raised SI (0.014–0.042 hPa⁻¹) to values up to twice those of NT, grass, and orchard soils, and in some cases similar to forest or virgin soils (0.014–0.059 hPa⁻¹). PAM and SOC effects were strongest in medium- and clay-textured soils; notably, a single PAM application often improved SI more effectively than SOC, particularly in drier regions.
Across all climates, long-term NT or grass soils with SOC ≥ 2 g g⁻¹ and soils treated with 25 mg L⁻¹ PAM produced similar SI values, indicating a useful threshold for evaluating structural quality (SI ≥ 0.010–0.020 hPa⁻¹). Exponential relationships between SI and α or n (α: R² = 0.85; n: R² = 0.64, p < 0.001) can guide (I) the assessment of soil structural stability, macroporosity, and SOC; (II) the interpretation of land-use impacts on pore and aggregate-size distributions; and (III)the determination of optimal PAM rates within conservation agriculture. These relationships support the development of resilient soil structure, accelerated SOC accumulation, and site-specific management practices—particularly valuable for weakly structured, degraded soils.

 

How to cite: Mamedov, A. I., Levy, G. J., and Norton, D. L.: Structural stability and near-saturated water retention of soils from four climatic regions under long-term land use versus one-time polyacrylamide treatment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-473, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-473, 2026.

EGU26-476 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Topographic Signature of Soil Loss 

Saba Shakeel Raina, Ravi Raj, and Basudev Biswal

The ever-evolving earth’s topography reflects the complex interaction of several geomorphic processes. These processes play a central role in how soil is detached, transported, and ultimately lost from a landscape. This raises a fundamental question: how does topography influence soil loss? To explore this, we introduced a geomorphic metric, ridge density (Rd), defined as the density of topographic ridges within a landscape. This metric provides a simple description of how rugged or smooth the terrain is. Our analysis shows a strong negative relationship between Rd  and soil loss. Landscapes with high Rd  experience lower soil loss. This is expected because highly dissected terrain contains steep but short slopes. Short slopes limit the distance over which runoff can gain energy and transport sediment, which reduces the overall erosion potential. The components of RUSLE further support this pattern. The LS-factor decreases as ridge density increases, suggesting that closely spaced ridges shorten the effective slope length, reducing the potential for runoff to accelerate and erode soil. In contrast, the K-factor increases with Rd, showing that areas with rugged terrain may contain soils that are more erodible. Even with a higher K-factor, the strong reduction in LS dominates, which explains why total soil loss still decreases in rugged terrain. Overall, the results show that Rd effectively captures the topographic influence on soil loss.

How to cite: Raina, S. S., Raj, R., and Biswal, B.: Topographic Signature of Soil Loss, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-476, 2026.

EGU26-513 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Climate-Driven Linear and Non-Linear Sediment Dynamics: A Machine-Learning Approach 

Laukik Yelne and Munish Chandel

Climate variability affects sediment dynamics; however, the relative contributions of individual climate parameters and the nature of these relationships (linear versus non-linear) remain unexplored. This knowledge gap hinders the development of effective, climate change-adaptive water quality management strategies. This study develops a multi-model framework to identify the complex relationships between climate parameters and sedimentary parameters (Turbidity and Total Dissolved Solids). Two modelling approaches, multivariate linear regression (MLR) as a baseline, and Random Forest (RF), were compared to capture both linear and nonlinear sediment dynamics. The SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations) method is used to quantify the contributions of climate parameters in variations of turbidity and total dissolved solids concentration. The model has developed a relationship between five climate variables (precipitation, average temperature, wind speed, solar radiation), reservoir operations (reservoir level), and sedimentary parameters. SHAP feature importance was quantified through an evidence-based evaluation for both models, providing a methodology and interpretation for both linear and non-linear pathways.

The results indicate that random forest substantially outperformed linear regression (R² = 0.65 versus 0.47, representing 38% improvement), with RMSE reduced by 19% and MAE by 36%, indicating significant non-linear climate-turbidity dynamics. Whereas the total dissolved solids model suggests an improved R² of 0.30 compared to 0.04 for linear regression. Furthermore, SHAP analysis revealed a divergence in precipitation importance between random forest and linear models, which attributed only 12.8% of the linear contribution. While non-linear models identified precipitation as the dominant driver, accounting for 50.8% of the contribution, a 38 percentage-point divergence was observed. SHAP dependence analysis identified a 10 mm/day as a critical precipitation threshold, below which the impacts of turbidity remain minimal. The precipitation contributions increase exponentially, reaching +10 to +13 SHAP units at precipitation levels exceeding 100 mm/day. The SHAP dependence result suggests that air temperature interactions amplify precipitation effects, with high-temperature periods generating 30-40% larger turbidity events to equivalent precipitation. In contrast, other climate parameters show consistent SHAP values across models (solar radiation: 28.8% MLR versus 16.1% RF), indicating predominantly linear relationships that were adequately explained by simple regression. Additionally, the reservoir level is a major contributor to total dissolved solids, with 35.7% non-linear contribution compared to 28.2% linear contribution, followed by precipitation and solar radiation. The reservoir level, ranging from 255 to 265 m, provides buffering capacity to absorb precipitation-driven sediment loads without significant fluctuations in turbidity and total dissolved solids.

The identified thresholds enable the development of climate-informed, tiered operational protocols: standard operations below 10 mm/day precipitation, enhanced operations at 10-100 mm, and advanced operations above 100 mm with different treatment dosages. Instead of the proportionate responses predicted by linear extrapolation. The non-linear dynamics for climate adaptation planning suggest that anticipated 20-30% increases in monsoon precipitation intensity could lead to 50-80% increases in peak turbidity events. This multi-model SHAP system provides a modelling approach for determining operational thresholds, measuring parameter contributions, and assessing the complexity of climate-water quality interactions to inform practical management strategies.

How to cite: Yelne, L. and Chandel, M.: Climate-Driven Linear and Non-Linear Sediment Dynamics: A Machine-Learning Approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-513, 2026.

EGU26-732 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Sorption characteristics of the selected pesticides on the river sediments in the Mid-Himalayan region.   

Deeksha Kumari, Harshad Kulkarni, and Anand Giri

The extensive use of pesticides has resulted in their persistence in several environmental compartments, including soil, water, and air. The majority of pesticides remain confined inside soil and sediment, limiting their dispersion to other parts of the ecosystem. In Himachal Pradesh, an agriculturally and horticulturally rich state of the Indian Himalayas, the regular usage of chemical pesticides poses significant risks to the pristine Himalayan ecosystem. Pesticides applied to crops cultivated on the valley slopes, such as apples, are thought to accumulate in the soil and are then transported to adjacent rivers during the monsoon season by surface runoff. The behaviour and movement of these pesticides mostly depend on their adsorption on soils and river sediments. Therefore, this study aims to examine the adsorption capacities of sediment fractions (coarse, medium, and fine sand and silt-clay) collected from the Beas riverbed, one of the major rivers in the Kullu valley of Himachal Pradesh. Fungicides like carbendazim and thiophanate methyl that are commonly used in this region were selected for adsorption experiments along with coarse, medium and fine sands, and silt-clay fractions separated from the Beas River sediments. One gram of each sediment type was spiked with the pesticide mixture containing 100 mg/L of each fungicide and allowed to adsorb for 24 hours. Following that, the spiked sediments were eluted with deionized water to simulate rainwater flushing in the real conditions. The extracts were analysed using HPLC-DAD to measure the concentration of fungicides eluted with water. The findings indicated that sediment type significantly influenced the desorption of carbendazim and thiophanate-methyl. Approximately 6.2% of thiophanate-methyl and 90.2% of carbendazim were eluted from coarse sand. The elution percentages for carbendazim and thiophanate-methyl using medium sand were 87.21% and 4.5%, respectively. Fine sand exhibited increased elution, with 26.4% thiophanate-methyl and 92.2% carbendazim released. Silt-clay sediments released 37.7% of thiophanate-methyl and 89.7% of carbendazim. The findings indicate that sediment retention of pesticides is contingent upon particle size, affecting the quantity of pesticide that may be released into the water. Additional work on adsorption and desorption of captan (organochloride) along with these two pesticides using the batch equilibrium procedures is underway.

 

How to cite: Kumari, D., Kulkarni, H., and Giri, A.: Sorption characteristics of the selected pesticides on the river sediments in the Mid-Himalayan region.  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-732, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-732, 2026.

EGU26-934 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Hybrid SWAT-ANN Modeling of Climate-Driven Changes in Streamflow and Sediment Yield: Manjira River Basin, India 

Sachin Kumar, Mahendra kumar Choudhary, and Thomas Thomas

Accurate prediction of sediment yield and streamflow is essential for effective watershed management and climate change adaptation planning. This study develops and validates an innovative SWAT-ANN hybrid model that integrates the physically based Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to improve hydrological predictions in the monsoon-dominated Manjira River Sub-Basin (MRSB), India.

The SWAT model was calibrated and validated using daily streamflow and sediment observations from three Central Water Commission gauging stations (1998-2019). Multi-site calibration achieved satisfactory performance with NSE = 0.75 and R² = 0.79 for streamflow, while sediment yield modeling yielded NSE = 0.56 and R² = 0.60. Building on these simulations, an ANN model was trained using SWAT-generated outputs combined with meteorological variables to capture nonlinear sediment transport relationships. The SWAT-ANN hybrid model demonstrated significant improvements, with streamflow predictions achieving NSE = 0.95 and R² = 0.98, compared to standalone SWAT. For sediment yield, the hybrid approach improved NSE from 0.56 to 0.72 and R² from 0.60 to 0.75, showcasing the complementary strengths of physics-based and data-driven modeling.

Climate change impact assessment was conducted using 13 CMIP6 models under SSP245 (moderate mitigation) and SSP585 (high emissions) scenarios. Under SSP245, ensemble mean streamflow increased by 47.5% (2015-2045), 68.5% (2046-2070), and 123.9% (2071-2100) relative to baseline (1998-2014). SSP585 projections were more severe, with streamflow increases of 41.3%, 137.4%, and 269.4% for the respective periods. Sediment yield responses were equally dramatic: SSP245 scenarios projected increases of 61.3% (near-future), 81.9% (mid-future), and 146.6% (far-future), while SSP585 showed 48.3%, 166.4%, and 331.9% increases. The most aggressive model (CanESM5) projected sediment yield increases exceeding 1,900% by 2100 under SSP585, while conservative models (INM-CM5-0) showed minimal changes.

The SWAT-ANN model successfully captured temporal variability in both streamflow and sediment responses across all climate scenarios. These projections indicate that the basin will experience unprecedented hydrological changes, with sediment yields rising 2.5-4.3 times baseline by 2100 depending on emission pathways. The developed hybrid methodology provides a powerful tool for water resource managers to quantify climate-driven changes in streamflow and sediment dynamics, enabling adaptive management strategies and sustainable planning in data-limited monsoon-dominated basins. The transferable methodology addresses critical gaps in sediment yield prediction for similar South Asian river systems.

How to cite: Kumar, S., Choudhary, M. K., and Thomas, T.: Hybrid SWAT-ANN Modeling of Climate-Driven Changes in Streamflow and Sediment Yield: Manjira River Basin, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-934, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-934, 2026.

EGU26-2711 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Centennial-scale sedimentation dynamics and their controlling factors in a human-modified mountainous catchment, Korea 

Yeawon Kim, Minseok Kim, Shinwoo Ki, Young Shin Lim, Chanjoo Lee, and Jin Kwan Kim

Sedimentary archives preserved in fluvial and wetland environments offer valuable insights into how watershed systems respond to hydrological variability and human disturbance. Here, we reconstruct centennial-scale changes in sedimentation rates along the Sijeon Stream, which traverses the Sajapyeong wetlands in Korea, using 210Pb dating of sediment cores obtained from slackwater deposits. The resulting chronology spans the period from 1912 to 2019 and enables an assessment of the principal watershed controls on sediment accumulation. The reconstructed record reveals three successive intervals that are statistically distinguishable in terms of sedimentation rates: Period 1 (1912–1963), Period 2 (1964–2000), and Period 3 (2001–2019). These intervals correspond closely with distinct phases of land-use history identified from aerial photographs and satellite imagery, including a quasi-natural phase until the early 1960s, a phase of intensive agricultural activity from the mid-1960s to the mid-1990s, and a period marked by multiple forms of anthropogenic intervention beginning in the early 2000s. Across all periods, sedimentation rates exhibit clear associations with precipitation variability. A particularly pronounced and sustained rise in sediment accumulation after 2015, during the late part of Period 3, coincides with the implementation of artificial channel modifications and the occurrence of earthquakes. This pattern indicates that land-use change governs long-term trends in sedimentation, whereas precipitation extremes, channel alterations, and seismic events primarily exert short-lived influences. Furthermore, when these drivers act concurrently, their combined effects can substantially amplify sedimentation rates. The findings improve the understanding of the temporal effects of interacting watershed factors on sediment transport and emphasize the importance of considering these interactions in developing strategies for sustainable reservoir and wetland management.

How to cite: Kim, Y., Kim, M., Ki, S., Lim, Y. S., Lee, C., and Kim, J. K.: Centennial-scale sedimentation dynamics and their controlling factors in a human-modified mountainous catchment, Korea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2711, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2711, 2026.

EGU26-4427 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Flood‑Driven Remobilisation of Legacy Metal Contaminants in Sovenian River Basins 

Nejc Golob, Martin Gaberšek, Mateja Gosar, and Vesna Zupanc

The August 2023 floods in Slovenia exposed how extreme hydrological events can transform industrial and mining legacies into acute public health and agricultural crises. Heavy rainfall triggered mass wasting and river overflows across 183 municipalities - an area of approximately 17,203 km² ‑ resulting in roughly €9.9 billion in losses.

Slovenia’s rich mineral deposits historically fueled industrial development but left enduring environmental burdens. Beyond the physical devastation, these floods remobilized toxic sediments from historical hotspots, including the Mežica Pb–Zn mine, the Celje zinc smelter, and the Idrija mercury mine. Our study uses field measurements, geochemical analyses, and a comprehensive GIS framework to examine how flood deposits contaminate farmland and influence human exposure pathways across the nation’s river basins.

We conducted a GIS-based analysis that integrated national geochemical surveys, environmental monitoring data, hydrological records, historical & modern land-use maps, and flood-hazard assessments. This enabled us to identify zones where contamination sources overlap with flood-prone areas across four major river basins: Sava, Drava, Mura, and Soča. By overlaying these layers with current land use, we delineated agricultural and urban parcels most at risk of metal contamination.

Analyses reveal pronounced contamination gradients and significant overlap between polluted zones and cultivated floodplains. In the Sava basin, multiple hotspots (Celje, Jesenice, and Litija) coincide with intensively farmed floodplain terraces. Overbank sediments here show metal concentrations tens to hundreds of times above background levels; specifically, Celje’s topsoils contain Zn up to 8,600 mg kg⁻¹ and Cd often exceeding critical thresholds. GIS overlays indicate that a substantial portion of this farmland lies within high-hazard flood zones. In the Drava basin, spatial analysis highlights a narrow corridor where the Meža plume passes through cropland; floodplain soils downstream remain laden with Pb, Zn, and Cd from legacy mining. By contrast, the Mura basin, while largely agricultural, shows minimal overlap between contaminated zones and flood-prone areas, reflecting its predominantly geogenic background and lower industrial impact. In the Soča basin, we observed moderate overlap: heavy Hg contamination from Idrija (sediment averages 603 mg kg⁻¹ and floodplain soils 157.7–294.8 mg kg⁻¹) is largely confined to specific terraces, yet downstream agricultural parcels remain at risk.

Our findings show that Slovenian floodplains are disproportionately burdened by legacy pollutants that re-enter the environment during extreme events. As climate projections indicate more frequent and intense flooding in Alpine and Pannonian regions, it is urgent to integrate flood risk management with soil remediation, agricultural planning, and public health strategies to safeguard food security and human well-being.

How to cite: Golob, N., Gaberšek, M., Gosar, M., and Zupanc, V.: Flood‑Driven Remobilisation of Legacy Metal Contaminants in Sovenian River Basins, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4427, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4427, 2026.

EGU26-5234 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Structure-Induced Enhancement of Oxygen Penetration in Coarsened Sediment Beds: Insights from Large-Eddy Simulations 

Jiangchao Liu, Yifan Zhu, Yucheng Jiang, Zihan Geng, and Yan Liu

This study employed large-eddy simulations (LES) to investigate how local bed coarsening influence near-bed vertical velocity perturbations and scalar transport. Six cases were configured with varying degrees of sediment coarsening at a fixed Reynolds number of 10,000. Coarsening was quantified by the coverage ratio (Ac/At) of coarse particles (Ac) on the bed surface (At), ranging from 0% to 100%. To isolate the effects of heterogeneous permeability, the crest elevations of both non-coarsened (d) and coarsened particles (D, where d = 0.5D) were kept equal, effectively eliminating variations in bed elevation.

Results show that Ac/At = 64% induced the strongest perturbations: (i) Sediment coarsening enhances near-bed vertical velocity and turbulence, with increases of 10.0 and 3.0 times at 64%, and 3.5 and 1.5 times under full coarsening, relative to the non‑coarsened case. (ii) Bed coarsening strengthens downward advective and turbulent fluxes, peaking at 14.1 and 1.7 times the non‑coarsened values at 64%, and remaining elevated at 11.6 and 1.4 times under full coarsening; (iii) Coarsening increases scalar penetration, shortens residence time (RT), and enhances transfer coefficients on both water and sediment sides. Under non- and fully coarsened beds, penetration depths are limited to d and D, respectively, while partial coarsening (Ac/At = 16–64%) allows penetration to the bed bottom. RT drops from 4.49 s at 0% to 4.21 s at 64%, then slightly rises to 4.24 s under full coarsening. At Ac/At = 64%, transfer coefficients rise to 2.4 times (water side) and 1.8 times (sediment side) those of the non-coarsened case, and to 1.6 and 1.4 times under full coarsening.

The primary mechanism driving the intensification of vertical scalar transport is the enhancement of vertical instantaneous velocities, which subsequently leads to increased advective and turbulent fluxes. Consequently, near-bed scalar concentrations increased by 37.1% at Ac/At = 64% and by 65.4% under full coarsening compared to the non-coarsened case. The results offer new insights into how bed heterogeneity influences hyporheic exchange, biogeochemical coupling, and solute retention in permeable sediments.

How to cite: Liu, J., Zhu, Y., Jiang, Y., Geng, Z., and Liu, Y.: Structure-Induced Enhancement of Oxygen Penetration in Coarsened Sediment Beds: Insights from Large-Eddy Simulations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5234, 2026.

EGU26-5440 | PICO | HS9.7

Quantification of Humic Substances in Caustobiolites and Commercial Products Using a New Standardization Method 

Vojtech Enev, Kristyna Mullerova, Leona Kubikova, Jakub Ciz, Katerina Liskova, Martina Klucakova, and Miloslav Pekar

Nowadays, environmentally friendly agriculture contributed to a significant interest in the production of fertilizers based on water-soluble humic substances such as humates and lignohumate. These commercial products are dark brown powders and/or concentrated alkaline solutions, containing mixture of humic substances, lingo-humic acids, and smaller proportion of lightly hydrolyzing organic compounds. Their root and foliar application increase growth of roots and leaves, chlorophyll content, and activity of plant enzymes, etc. All of this has generated intense interest for an accurate and reliable method to quantify humic substances in caustobiolites and commercial products.

The aim of this work was to determine the content of humic substances in raw caustobiolites (i.e. lignite, leonardite, and alginite) and commercial humate products. Humic substances (HA and FA) were isolated from following samples: South Moravian lignite (the northern part of the Vienna basin, Mír mine near Mikulčice in the Czech Republic); leonardite (Afşin, Kahramanmaraş, Turkey); alginite (Pinciná in the Slovakia Republic); lignohumate MAX (Amagro, Prague in Czech Republic); and HumiKey (Xi´an, TBio Crop Science Co., Ltd., China). The humic substances were extracted using a new standardized method for quantification of humic substances (Lamar et al., 2014) recommended by the International Humic Substances Society. The content of humic substances was obtained by gravimetric analysis. The wt.% HA and FA contents were corrected for moisture and ash content. Furthermore, the humic substances were used in solid powder form and characterized by thermal techniques (i.e. elemental and thermogravimetric analysis), UV/Vis spectroscopy, and FTIR spectroscopy.

The determining factor influencing the yield of humic substances from raw caustobiolites and commercial products is their origin and method of extraction. The greatest content of HA (54.22 ± 1.76%) was obtained for sample isolated from Turkey leonardite. In contrast, the lowest contents were determined for HAs extracted from alginite and lignohumate MAX. It is obvious that these samples are characterized by significant content of FK and lightly hydrolyzing organic compounds. Extremely high ash content was determined for alginate. Caustobiolites (e.g. alginite) with high ash and low contents of humic substances appear to be less suitable as sources of HS for agricultural purposes.

All examined HAs isolated from caustobiolites were generally characterized by the complex and heterogeneous molecular structure with high average molecular weight and high degree of aromaticity. On the other hand, FAs, especially those isolated from commercial products, were predominantly aliphatic, with a smaller content of nitrogen and low degree of aromaticity and greater amount of oxygen-containing functional groups (e.g. carboxylic and phenolic).

This standardized method and studies on the physicochemical properties of HS can be helpful in predicting the behavior of such fertilizer components in the environment.

Reference

Lamar, R.T., Olk, D.C., Mayhew, L., Bloom, P.R., 2014. A New Standardized Method for Quantification of Humic and Fulvic Acids in Humic Ores and Commercial Products. J. AOAC Int. 97, 721-730. https://doi.org/10.5740/jaoacint.13-393.

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by The NATO Science for Peace and Security Programme, project Nr. G6296. https://land-security.org/.

How to cite: Enev, V., Mullerova, K., Kubikova, L., Ciz, J., Liskova, K., Klucakova, M., and Pekar, M.: Quantification of Humic Substances in Caustobiolites and Commercial Products Using a New Standardization Method, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5440, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5440, 2026.

EGU26-6446 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Dynamics of sediment and associated pesticide transfers in cultivated southernmost Brazil since 1982 

Amaury Bardelle, Renaldo Gastineau, Tales Tiecher, Guillermo Chalar, Mirel Cabrera, Marcos Tassano, Jean Paolo Gomes Minella, Alberto Vasconcellos Inda, Nathalie Cottin, Pierre Sabatier, Anthony Foucher, Olivier Cerdan, Christine Alewell, and Olivier Evrard

Since the 1980s, South America has emerged as one of the world’s leading agricultural producers, resulting in significant environmental pressures, including land and water degradation.

The consequences of this agricultural development, both past and present, are still poorly documented in this region, particularly in the Pampa biome. Retrospective analysis using sediment archive can provide valuable insights for the characterisation of the long-term environmental degradation.

In this study, we analysed a sediment core collected in the Salto Grande dam constructed in 1982 on the Uruguay river, draining a 266,000 km2 catchment. We established an age model and characterised the sediment properties, using gamma spectrometry, high-resolution geochemical content analysis (XRF), pesticides, magnetic susceptibility measurements over time (1982-2022). This multi-proxy analysis of a sediment archive from the Salto Grande reservoir enabled the first long-term reconstruction of land degradation and pesticide fluxes in the very large Uruguay river transnational basin (comprising Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay) since 1982.

The results indicate that sediment fluxes have decreased significantly since 2000 and sediment provenance has shifted toward the southern part of the basin after this period. These changes coincide with the construction of dams in the upstream part of the catchment, the expansion of agriculture in the south and the widespread adoption of no-tillage practices. This change in farming practices induced an increase in pesticide fluxes, thereby posing potential ecological risks.

 

In this context, trade deals such as those between the European Union and the European Free Trade Association and Mercosur, combined with the anticipated increase in the area dedicated to soybean and cellulose production, should be considered in light of the potential consequences in terms of agriculture expansion and related environmental threats.

How to cite: Bardelle, A., Gastineau, R., Tiecher, T., Chalar, G., Cabrera, M., Tassano, M., Paolo Gomes Minella, J., Vasconcellos Inda, A., Cottin, N., Sabatier, P., Foucher, A., Cerdan, O., Alewell, C., and Evrard, O.: Dynamics of sediment and associated pesticide transfers in cultivated southernmost Brazil since 1982, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6446, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6446, 2026.

EGU26-7670 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Establishment of baseline values for fluvial sediments in the Paraopeba river basin (Brazil), prior to the Brumadinho dam failure 

Lucas Leão, Fernando Pacheco, Luís Filipe Fernandes, Raphael Vicq, Fernando Laureano, Eduardo Marques, and Teresa Valente

The establishment of standardized procedures for defining geochemical reference values is critical to ensure consistency, robustness, and reliability in environmental assessments, particularly in mining-affected regions where natural geochemical backgrounds commonly overlap with anthropogenic inputs. In these settings, the determination of reliable baseline values is essential for differentiating natural variability from contamination and for supporting informed environmental management and regulatory decisions. This study provides a detailed characterization of the geochemical composition of fluvial sediments from the upper and middle sectors of the Paraopeba River Basin (PRB), southeastern Brazil, with the aim of defining representative baseline values for potentially toxic elements (PTEs). The basin has been subject to prolonged environmental pressures associated with mining, culminating in the failure of the B1 tailings dam in Brumadinho. Notably, the sediment dataset used in this investigation was obtained prior to the dam collapse, allowing the characterization of pre-disturbance geochemical conditions. A total of 717 fluvial sediment samples were collected and analyzed using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS). Given the pronounced lithological diversity of the PRB, baseline were determined separately for each lithotype using multiple statistical techniques, including TIF, mMAD, and percentile-based approaches (75th and 98th percentiles). The results reveal a dominant geogenic control on the spatial distribution of several elements, particularly Ni, Cr, Co, Cu, and V, which are strongly linked to mafic and ultramafic lithologies of the Rio das Velhas Supergroup and the Santo Antônio do Pirapetinga Complex. Conversely, Fe and Mn show higher concentrations in areas associated with iron formations of the Minas Supergroup. Spatial mapping and multivariate analyses further indicate the combined effects of lithological controls and anthropogenic activities especially mining on sediment geochemistry. In some instances, the established baseline exceeds average upper continental crust concentrations and those reported for other mining-impacted river basins worldwide, underscoring the distinctive geochemical character of the Paraopeba River Basin. In summary, this study establishes the first regional geochemical reference framework for fluvial sediments in the Paraopeba River Basin, providing a robust scientific basis for environmental monitoring, contamination assessment, and the formulation of management and remediation strategies in watersheds influenced by mining activities.

How to cite: Leão, L., Pacheco, F., Fernandes, L. F., Vicq, R., Laureano, F., Marques, E., and Valente, T.: Establishment of baseline values for fluvial sediments in the Paraopeba river basin (Brazil), prior to the Brumadinho dam failure, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7670, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7670, 2026.

EGU26-7729 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Development of self-dynamic desanding measures through physical model experiments 

Dominik Worf, Sophie Humenberger, Peter Flödl, Christine Sindelar, and Christoph Hauer

Sediment surplus in rivers of the Bohemian Massif is a problem for habitats of freshwater pearl mussels (Margaritifera margaritifera). These relatively fine sediments get remobilized already at mean discharge conditions, leading to mechanical stress on the mussels. Further, this increases flood risk in certain river stretches. Thus, removal of the sediment is a necessity. Due to economic and ecological reasons, riverbed dredging should be avoided. In present work, a nature-based solution for self-dynamic desanding (SDD) was investigated with physical model experiments. Through SDD, sediment shall be deposited on the floodplain during high-flow conditions, where it can be removed cheaply without in-stream work.

The physical experiments were based on a stretch of the Malše River at the Austrian/Czech border in 1:20 scale and conducted in three stages. At first, in-stream measures were investigated to optimize the transport of sediment from the main channel onto a lowered floodplain. Secondly, measures on the lowered floodplain were developed to optimize deposition. Finally, these measures were tested in a quasi-unsteady flow scenario based on a one-year flood wave. Through these experiments, SDD was improved and the descending branch of the flood wave was established to be a decisive factor on the efficiency of the proposed measures, as deposited material was washed back into the main channel. Modifications of the developed measures mitigated this issue, leading to a slightly lower deposition than in the steady case. In the end, the model showed a capacity (in nature scale) of up to 14.6 m³ of deposited sand on an area of about 120 m² .

How to cite: Worf, D., Humenberger, S., Flödl, P., Sindelar, C., and Hauer, C.: Development of self-dynamic desanding measures through physical model experiments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7729, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7729, 2026.

EGU26-8899 | PICO | HS9.7

Development and Field Application of a Pumping-Based Automatic and Remote Suspended Sediment Sampling System 

ChanJae Lee, Jaehyuk Lee, Kwangtae Choi, Hokun Chung, Sanguk Woo, and Youngsin Roh

Suspended sediment concentration (SSC) in rivers is commonly measured using depth-integrated sampling with a D-74 sampler. Although this method provides reliable reference data, it requires manual operation from bridges using winches, which involves considerable manpower and cost and poses significant safety risks, particularly during flood events. Due to these operational constraints, SSC measurements in Korea are conducted at only a limited number of stations each year despite the existence of a nationwide sediment monitoring network. To address this limitation, recent studies have actively explored indirect SSC estimation techniques based on acoustic backscatter intensity measured by horizontal acoustic Doppler current profilers (H-ADCPs). However, the application of such techniques critically depends on the availability of in situ SSC samples for calibration and validation. In this study, a pumping-based automatic and remote suspended sediment sampling system was developed to overcome the limitations of conventional manual sampling methods and to enable continuous and safe sampling during flood events and night time conditions.

 

The developed system consists of a sampling unit, a pumping unit, a control unit based on a remote terminal unit (RTU), and power supply and communication units. The sampling unit was designed with a multi-channel structure to sequentially fill multiple sample bottles in a single operation, and a strain-gauge-based load cell was applied to control the sampled mass with a resolution of 10 g. The pumping unit was designed to ensure stable water intake under high-turbidity and high-flow conditions. The control unit was configured based on a remote terminal unit (RTU) to integrate pump operation, sampling sequence control, sampled mass monitoring, and system status diagnostics. The control program supports both manual operation and automatic scheduling, and implements time-based and event-triggered sampling control schemes to enable unattended operation.

 

The system was deployed at a natural river site and operated under various flow conditions. Field application results showed that SSC samples collected by the automatic system exhibited similar concentration trends compared to those obtained by conventional manual sampling. Furthermore, continuous and unattended sampling was successfully achieved during flood conditions without on-site human intervention. The results indicate that the proposed system effectively improves operational safety and efficiency in suspended sediment sampling and can serve as a practical infrastructure for enhancing sediment monitoring networks.

 
This work was supported by the Ministry of Climate, Energy, and Environment (MCEE), Republic of Korea (Grant No. RS-2024-00397970).

How to cite: Lee, C., Lee, J., Choi, K., Chung, H., Woo, S., and Roh, Y.: Development and Field Application of a Pumping-Based Automatic and Remote Suspended Sediment Sampling System, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8899, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8899, 2026.

Most sediments in the Loess Plateau of Yellow River basin originate from the gullied-hilly loess terrain, with approximately 50% deriving from gully systems which is the dominant geomorphological features. Accurately simulating the water and sediment processes in this area remains challenging due to the intricate sediment generation mechanisms within the slope-gully-river cascading systems. This study presents an enhanced version of the physically-based distributed hydrological model WEP-SED to reflect the influence of topographic slope variations on sediment production and transport processes.

The WEP-SED employs a three-tiered hierarchical structure (slope-gully-river continuum) to simulate coupled water-sediment dynamics (Fig. 1), which includes splash erosion, runoff & overland flow erosion, conflux & erosion in slope-gully, gravity erosion, conflux & sediment transport, and conflux & sediment transport.In the new model, the contour band in the sub-watershed is changed to upper-middle-down slope band, which is designed to better resolve slope-dependent erosion dynamics. This spatial discretization methodology accounts for both hydrological flow paths and local slope gradients, enabling more precise representation of erosion processes across varying topographic conditions, especially the mechanism of seriously soil erosion in the steep slope terrain and sedimentation in the valley floor of the gully. The refined sediment transport mechanisms within each slope band are schematically depicted in Figure 2. The breakpoint for the three slope band is 10°, one is the first one from top to bottom, the other is the first one from bottom to top, where the slope is just change over 10°. In the upper gentle slope band, the splash erosion and runoff & overland flow erosion is considered; in the middle steep slope band, splash erosion, runoff & overland flow erosion, conflux & erosion in slope-gully, gravity erosion is considered; in the down gentle slope band, splash erosion, runoff & overland flow erosion, gravity erosion, conflux & sediment transport in gully and river is considered.

The enhanced model was implemented in the Nanxiaohe sub-watersheds to investigate erosion-sediment dynamics during seven flood events in August 2009. It indicates that the model performs a relatively good fitness in simulating the water and sediment processes, and reflects the erosion difference in seven flood events. According to the model simulation results, the middle steep slope band constituted the dominant sediment source (70%), followed sequentially by down gentle slope band (27%) and the Upper gentle slope band has the smallest contribution. Thus, the enhance model could reflect the slope impact on sediment erosion and transport in Loess Plateau, which could be used for the benefit evaluation of soil and water conservation engineering projects.

Fig 1. A schematic illustration of the model structs and principle of the WEP-SED model.

Fig.2 Schematic diagram of geomorphic unit division

 

How to cite: Liu, J., Wang, K., and Zhou, Z.: Study on water and sand simulation in Loess Plateau considering slope difference of land surface, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9370, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9370, 2026.

A major concern of the scientific community working on deep lakes is the progressive isolation and consequent de-oxygenation that have been observed in the last decades. The distribution of the dissolved substances in a deep lake, such as oxygen and nutrients, is controlled by the action of wind-induced stresses, penetrative convection by surface cooling and density-driven plumes. The extent of deep circulation is thus the outcome of the competition between density stratification and the drivers of mixing, acting at the surface and at the boundary of the lakes.

Lake Iseo is a large (61 km²) and deep (256m) Italian subalpine lake, fed by two main tributaries with an overall average annual inflow of 55 m3/s. The first detailed scientific analysis documents a monomictic lake, characterized by deep water with 70% oxygen saturation. However, since the second half of the 1980ies the deep-water recirculation has been insufficient. The monimolimnion has become depleted of oxygen, has become enriched with solutes and had gradually warmed with rates that could be estimated approximately ~0.05°C/year.

In this contribution, we discuss the role of the chemical stratification of lake Iseo, induced by a gradient in calcium, bicarbonate and sulphate ions, in reducing the deep-water oxygenation.  At this purpose, we computed the stability of the lake, by coupling a site–specific density equation to the high-resolution time series of lake’s ware temperature and conductivity data, and we quantified the external forcings from high-resolution wind, discharge and tributaries’ temperature data. We thus estimated the time series of the resistance by the chemical stability to wind upwelling and to rivers’ underflows. We finally showed that the progressive deep-water warming that followed the isolation of the monimolimnion has strongly decreased the lake’s thermal stability, counteracting the chemical stratification in the last 8 years. We finally concluded that it does not seem that chemically stratified deep lakes are necessarily doomed to anoxia, but on the contrary to periods of longer isolation alternated by sporadic deep oxygenation triggered by deep warming.

How to cite: Valerio, G. and Pilotti, M.: Reduced effectiveness of wind and tributaries in the deep oxygenation of a chemically stratified lake. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9682, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9682, 2026.

EGU26-12430 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Suspended Sediment Capture and Buffering by a Tropical Wetland Complex from Satellite Observations 

Lukas WinklerPrins, Jorge Salgado, and Fernando Jaramillo

The Magdalena River, Colombia, has the highest sediment yield of any major South American river. This high natural level and recent land cover change in the watershed have exacerbated the sediment load and deposition in the river's lowland floodplains. Excess sediment delivery has led to concerns regarding the ecological integrity of its floodplains and lakes, coral reef burial at the river mouth, and increased dredging needs. The largest floodplain system of the river, the Momposina Depression–a vast wetlandscape formed by > 100  interconnected wetlands, lakes, and floodplains where the Magdalena and Cauca rivers meet, including two Ramsar-designated sites–is accumulating and potentially buffering a large portion of this excess sediment load. However, mechanistic descriptions and seasonal-to-decadal variability of these processes are poorly understood. To fill this gap, we use MODIS and Sentinel-1 imagery at monthly timescales to investigate the spread of turbid water across the system and build a conceptual model for how sediment is captured and remobilized. We find that flooding in the early wet season can have turbidities as large as the highest-discharge periods, but turbidity can vary +/- 40% and flow is generally constrained to the main channels, thus leading to lower consistent floodplain sedimentation delivery. Later in the seasonal flood pulse, overbanking river water inundates areas up to 146% area more than typical dry seasons and, and the highest average sediment loads (>20,000 mg/L) in September–often more than twice that in the dry season–suggest that this late-season pulse drives most wetland sedimentation, before water levels recede for the incoming dry season. This seasonal-scale sediment capture also depends on ENSO cycles, local precipitation, and modifications to the hydrology by hydropower infrastructure, but despite higher in-channel turbidities during wet La Niña cycles, it is not clear if sediment associated with these cycles reaches off-channel wetlands. Our findings suggest the wetlandscape provides critical sediment retention, an overlooked ecosystem service with implications across the lower river reaches and estuary, but with high degrees of spatial and temporal variability. To reduce excessive sedimentation in this wetlandscape and downstream–including a degraded Ramsar-designated wetland and coral reefs at risk of burial–management and research initiatives should recognize the role of floodplain wetlands in sediment capture and flux buffering. 

How to cite: WinklerPrins, L., Salgado, J., and Jaramillo, F.: Suspended Sediment Capture and Buffering by a Tropical Wetland Complex from Satellite Observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12430, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12430, 2026.

EGU26-13389 | PICO | HS9.7 | Highlight

Sediment transport assessment and dynamics during and after the largest dam removal in U.S. history on the Klamath River, Oregon and California, USA 

Liam Schenk, Scott Wright, Patrick Haluska, Grant Johnson, Joshua Cahill, Jennifer Curtis, and Amy East

In many regions worldwide, dam removal is being considered as a means to restore rivers and to remove hazards and liabilities associated with aging infrastructure. The pace and scale of dam removals has increased exponentially in the past two decades, providing a rapidly growing knowledge base with which to evaluate the consequences and effectiveness of breaching and removing dams. The largest dam removal in U.S. history on the mainstem Klamath River in Oregon and California, USA, has presented novel suspended-sediment transport conditions by giving the river access to sediment accumulating in the reservoirs since 1918.  Three large dams were removed simultaneously in 2024, and one low-head dam was removed in 2023. Turbidity monitoring and suspended-sediment concentration (SSC) sampling were conducted before, during, and after the dam removals as part of an inter-agency collaborative effort that included the dam removal entity (Klamath River Renewal Corporation), private consultants, the Karuk and Yurok indigenous tribes in California, and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).  These data were used to generate ordinary-least-squares regression models to compute time series of SSC and suspended-sediment loads at six mainstem USGS streamgages spanning 300 river kilometers downstream of the former dam sites.  The reservoir drawdowns prior to dam removal introduced large amounts of fine-grained sediment into the coarse-grained river corridor causing elevated turbidity and peak SSC of approximately 30,000 mg/L.  Multiple stages of the dam removal process, including reservoir drawdown, geomorphic flows for sediment mobilization, and the breach of historic cofferdams, resulted in dynamic sediment-transport conditions.  This work provides insight into differences between fine-sediment transport related to dam removal and natural sediment transport events in this large 40,000 km2 basin.

How to cite: Schenk, L., Wright, S., Haluska, P., Johnson, G., Cahill, J., Curtis, J., and East, A.: Sediment transport assessment and dynamics during and after the largest dam removal in U.S. history on the Klamath River, Oregon and California, USA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13389, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13389, 2026.

EGU26-13393 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Hydrodynamic effects on sulfamethoxazole adsorption on river sediments: Insights from bench-scale and flume experiments 

Mengyun Wang, Mario Morales-Hernández, Pilar Brufau, Pilar García-Navarro, Rita Fernandes de Carvalho, Rui Martins, Eva Domingues, and Pedro Dinis

River sediments play a crucial role in controlling the adsorption of contaminants in aquatic environments and act as major sinks for a wide range of organic pollutants, thereby significantly influencing the environmental fate of contaminants. In natural river systems, contaminant-sediment interactions occur under dynamic hydrodynamic conditions, which can alter mass transfer and adsorption processes. However, most existing studies rely on static batch experiments and therefore fail to capture flow-induced effects on contaminant adsorption by sediments. This limitation restricts the understanding of adsorption behavior under realistic flow conditions. In this study, sulfamethoxazole (SMX) is selected as a representative emerging contaminant to investigate how sediment properties and flow regimes jointly regulate adsorption behavior by integrating bench-scale tests with flume experiments.

Bench-scale results revealed a discrepancy between predicted and observed adsorption effectiveness among four sediments (Rebolim, Figueira da Foz, Doñana, and Mira). Mineralogical assessments suggested superior performance of sediments rich in reactive minerals (e.g., smectites), particularly those from Figueira da Foz. However, experimental results identified the sediments from Rebolim as the most effective adsorbent. This discrepancy indicates that the presence and accessibility of organic matter (OM), rather than mineral abundance alone, can govern adsorption performance. Notably, the removal of OM significantly reduced adsorption capacity, confirming its dominant role in SMX uptake. Furthermore, the results highlight a distinction between adsorption kinetics and ultimate capacity, as some sediments exhibited rapid initial uptake but limited long-term adsorption potential.

Flume experiments further demonstrated that hydrodynamic conditions fundamentally reshape the spatiotemporal distribution of SMX. In low-flow regimes, transport follows a classical advective-dispersive model with clear longitudinal gradients. Conversely, high-flow regimes induce intense turbulence, leading to near-instantaneous vertical and longitudinal homogenization. Crucially, a non-monotonic relationship was observed between flow velocity and SMX attenuation: moderate turbulence enhances adsorption by increasing contact frequency at the sediment-water interface, whereas high velocities inhibit net adsorption due to hydrodynamic flushing and reduced residence time.

These findings provide a more comprehensive framework for understanding the transport and adsorption fate of emerging contaminants in riverine systems. Future work will extend the current steady-state flow conditions to unsteady flow regimes to better understand the adsorption behavior under dynamic hydraulic conditions.

How to cite: Wang, M., Morales-Hernández, M., Brufau, P., García-Navarro, P., Fernandes de Carvalho, R., Martins, R., Domingues, E., and Dinis, P.: Hydrodynamic effects on sulfamethoxazole adsorption on river sediments: Insights from bench-scale and flume experiments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13393, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13393, 2026.

EGU26-14865 | PICO | HS9.7

Assessment of Heavy Metal Mobilization in Zinc Hydrometallurgy Residues and Their Environmental Impact 

Carmen Pérez-Sirvent, Maria Jose Martínez Sanchez, Carmen Hernandez Perez, Manuel Hernandez Cordoba, and Antonia Solano

 

This study analyzes the natural and induced mobilization of lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), and arsenic (As) present in residues generated during zinc hydrometallurgy, aiming to evaluate their environmental impact and associated risks under uncontrolled conditions. Differential X-ray diffraction was employed to characterize mineralogical and amorphous phases under simulated environmental scenarios. Results indicate that all samples exhibit high susceptibility to releasing potentially toxic elements (PTEs) depending on environmental conditions.

Chemical characterization of residues and runoff waters from affected areas was performed, determining pH, electrical conductivity, salt content, and total and soluble concentrations of Zn, Pb, Cd, and As. Subsequently, toxicity bioassays (Microtox®, Ostracods, Gammarus, and Phytotest) were applied to leachates and contaminated waters. Mineralogical analysis identified previous industrial processes that influence physicochemical properties and PTE mobility.

The most critical scenarios correspond to: (i) natural mobilization of Cd and Zn due to rainfall, and (ii) changes in redox conditions in anoxic environments (flooding or incorporation of organic matter), that promote the reduction of  As (V) to As (III) . High concentrations of soluble salts increase hazard potential, generating ecotoxicological risks and potential carcinogenic effects through oral ingestion

Results confirm elevated levels of heavy metals and significant toxic effects in residues and associated waters, highlighting the need to implement preventive measures and management strategies to minimize environmental and health impacts.

How to cite: Pérez-Sirvent, C., Martínez Sanchez, M. J., Hernandez Perez, C., Hernandez Cordoba, M., and Solano, A.: Assessment of Heavy Metal Mobilization in Zinc Hydrometallurgy Residues and Their Environmental Impact, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14865, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14865, 2026.

EGU26-15314 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

A Century of Trace Metal Accumulation Recorded in Lake Maninjau Sediments, Indonesia 

Sharon Inyangala, Yael Kiro, and Nicolas Waldmann

Toxic trace elements preserved in lacustrine sediments provide valuable archives of long term environmental change yet their historical accumulation remains poorly constrained in rapidly developing regions. We investigate century scale trace metal variability using a well dated sediment core retrieved from the depocenter of Lake Maninjau, Indonesia. Sediment chronology was established using 210Pb dating and a high resolution multiproxy geochemical analysis of trace and major elements (ICP-MS, XRF) including total organic carbon (TOC). Cu, Zn, Pb, and Cd show a gradual increase from the early to mid-20th century followed by a pronounced enrichment in the early 2000s. This recent intensification is most evident for Cd which remains relatively stable earlier in the record before increasing sharply in the last two decades. In contrast Pb exhibits a decline in concentrations during the most recent period. These geochemical changes coincide with a marked increase in TOC beginning around the mid-20th century and a transition from detrital dominated sediments to diatom enriched facies indicating a shift in Lake Maninjau’s depositional regime. The pronounced metal enrichment in the last two decades temporally coincides with the period of intensified aquaculture activity in the lake. The co-variation between TOC and trace metal enrichment suggests that increased organic loading associated with aquaculture expansion enhanced trace metal accumulation under changing depositional conditions. This study demonstrates a clear intensification of trace metal accumulation and organic matter deposition in Lake Maninjau over the last century highlighting the value of sediment records for assessing long term pollution trajectories and environmental changes in tropical lake systems.

How to cite: Inyangala, S., Kiro, Y., and Waldmann, N.: A Century of Trace Metal Accumulation Recorded in Lake Maninjau Sediments, Indonesia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15314, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15314, 2026.

EGU26-15619 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Under-ice Thermal and Oxygen Dynamics in Saline Lakes from the Tibetan Plateau 

Jinlei Kai, Junbo Wang, Jianting Ju, Hua Wang, and Liping Zhu

Dissolved oxygen (DO) is crucial for aquatic ecological and biogeochemical processes in lakes, yet under-ice thermo- and DO dynamics, particularly in saline alpine lakes, remain poorly understood. This study examines DO, temperature, and salinity in three brackish lakes (Selin Co, Nam Co, Bamu Co) on the central Tibetan Plateau. The results reveal that solutes redistribution after ice-on strongly shaped under-ice thermal structures and DO regimes. Early ice-on period, all lakes exhibited unusual hypolimnetic DO ventilation, which was triggered by benthic solutes accumulation in snowy winter and penetrative heating in snow-free conditions. In more salt lakes (Selin Co and Bamu Co with average salinity of 11.42 ± 0.04 and 12.16 ± 0.05 g L-1, respectively), as high salinity lowered the temperature of maximum density (Tmax, 1.20 and 1.35 °C for Bamu Co and Selin Co) and enhanced solute gradients, the atypical under-ice warm stratification formed approximately two weeks before ice-off. In Bamu Co, along with the warm stratification, the dissolved oxygen showed a abrupt increased to supersaturated from the surface to ~23.2 m below the surface, suggesting abundant biological productions. Subsequently, combined warm thermal and chemical stratification inhibited DO ventilation after ice break-up, except during some instantaneous mixing events. These findings highlight the critical role of salinity gradients in shaping thermal dynamics and oxygen transport in ice-covered saline lakes, offering mechanistic insights into global limnological responses to warming and brine rejection.

How to cite: Kai, J., Wang, J., Ju, J., Wang, H., and Zhu, L.: Under-ice Thermal and Oxygen Dynamics in Saline Lakes from the Tibetan Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15619, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15619, 2026.

Particulate bioavailable phosphorus (PBAP) plays a critical role in biogeochemical cycling and primary productivity in aquatic ecosystems, particularly in ecologically vulnerable alpine regions such as the Yarlung Tsangpo River. However, the understanding of PBAP dynamics remains limited due to the complex interaction and transport processes. To address this gap, we developed a mathematical model that integrated hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and the dynamics of dissolved and particulate phosphorus to investigate PBAP transport with sediment.  PBAP bound to sediment was represented by coupling sediment mineral properties and environmental factors. Lateral inputs of water, sediment, and phosphorus from the watershed were incorporated using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The model was applied to the Yarlung Tsangpo River and successfully reproduced PBAP distributions, with spatiotemporal concentrations ranging from 0.20 to 0.38 mg g−1, consistent with field measurements. The estimated annual PBAP flux was 2.77 Gg yr−1, partitioned as 46.0% Ex‑P, 37.7% Fe‑P, and 16.3% Al‑P, which exceeded the flux of dissolved phosphorus (~0.80 Gg yr−1). Furthermore, over 95% of annual PBAP flux occurred between June and September, indicating strong temporal variability in PBAP dynamics within monsoonal alpine basins. This model advances process-based quantifications of PBAP dynamics and has far-reaching implications for water resources research and management.

How to cite: Zhou, Y., Fang, H., and Huang, L.: Mathematical modeling for interactions and transport of particulate bioavailable phosphorus with sediment in the Yarlung Tsangpo River, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15671, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15671, 2026.

EGU26-15891 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

BCR fractionation of mine-affected sediments as a basis for NbS design and implementation 

Erika Yessenia Cuida López, Hana Fajković, Sanda Rončević, Yulia Mun, Sabina Palinka, and Anca Iulia Stoica

Acid mine drainage (AMD) poses a persistent threat to freshwater ecosystems by causing acidification and mobilizing heavy metals that have adverse effects on aquatic biota. Especially in Arctic regions, these impacts are amplified by the changing redox conditions due to the low temperatures and seasonal ice cover. Nature-based solutions (NBS), including constructed wetlands, offer an ecologically friendly option to remediate the water quality under various environmental conditions, including AMD. Before developing an NbS to mitigate AMD, we analyze sediment composition in the target area to understand heavy metal behavior, including water–sediment transfer and their potential (bio) availability. Langvatnet Lake, located in northern Norway, functions as the main receiving water body and the lowest point within the historic Sulitjelma mining district, where extensive metal mining activities (primarily copper and zinc extraction) occurred for more than a century (Davids, 2018). These long-standing operations have resulted in highly acidic inflows originating from abandoned mine workings that, despite being closed, continue to leak acidic water and generate small drainage streams that flow into the lake. This ongoing discharge transports elevated concentrations of dissolved metals, contaminating both the water column and lake sediments. While the overarching aim of this research is to develop and evaluate NbS strategies to improve the water quality of the inlet streams, our first step is to quantify how mine-derived contaminants accumulate, persist, and potentially remobilize within lake sediments. Therefore, we use the Community Bureau of Reference (BCR) sequential extraction procedure to quantify the heavy metal concentration in different geochemical fractions of the sediments (Rauret et al., 1999). The inlet samples are compared with a range of sediment samples from the lake’s surrounding areas. This approach enables us to assess their potential release under varying environmental conditions. By identifying the dominant binding fractions, this contributes to designing the best suitable NbS for the investigated area. Our findings provide a basis for understanding the local sediment geochemistry in relation to the targeted remediation strategy. In this context, improved understanding of sediment-water interactions supports the development of resilient, passive NBS to enhance water quality, promote ecosystem recovery, and ensure long-term sustainability in AMD-impacted Arctic Lake systems.

 

References:

Davids, C. (2018). Mapping of abandoned mine tailings and acid mine drainage using in situ hyperspectral measurements and WorldView-3 satellite imagery (Case Study Report No. 20/2018). Northern Research Institute.

Rauret, G., López-Sánchez, J. F., Sahuquillo, A., Rubio, R., Davidson, C., Ure, A., & Quevauviller, Ph. (1999). Improvement of the BCR three step sequential extraction procedure prior to the certification of new sediment and soil reference materials. Journal of Environmental Monitoring, 1(1), 57–61. https://doi.org/10.1039/a807854h

How to cite: Cuida López, E. Y., Fajković, H., Rončević, S., Mun, Y., Palinka, S., and Stoica, A. I.: BCR fractionation of mine-affected sediments as a basis for NbS design and implementation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15891, 2026.

The Mekong–Tonle Sap Lake–Delta system supports highly productive floodplain ecosystems and regional food security, in part through the delivery of nutrient-rich suspended sediment. However, this sediment pathway is strongly modulated by the flood-pulse–driven “reverse flow” at the Mekong–Tonle Sap confluence: during the wet season, high Mekong stages drive net inflow from the mainstream into Tonle Sap Lake, whereas during the dry season the lake releases stored water back to the mainstream and onward to the delta. How this bidirectional exchange reshapes sediment delivery—specifically whether Tonle Sap acts as a net sink or a net source of suspended sediment for the downstream Mekong—remains poorly quantified. Most existing assessments approximate delta sediment supply using upstream stations and do not resolve the river–lake exchange, largely because near-confluence discharge and continuous sediment observations are limited.

Here we develop an integrated modelling framework that couples a physically based, spatially distributed hydrological model with Delft3D-Flow hydrodynamics to reconstruct daily discharge and river–lake exchange over the last ~35 years, including the reversal period. We then estimate suspended sediment fluxes using seasonally stratified, hysteresis-aware rating curves that account for distinct sediment–discharge relationships on rising versus falling limbs of the hydrograph. Combining daily exchange discharge with the corresponding rating-curve sediment concentrations enables a bidirectional suspended-sediment budget across the Tonle Sap River, separating wet-season import to the lake from dry-season export back to the mainstream.

During the historical baseline (1980–2000), we estimate that the Mekong mainstream delivers ~4 Mt yr⁻¹ of suspended sediment into the lake on average, and a comparable magnitude is returned to the mainstream during the dry season, indicating that Tonle Sap primarily acts as a transient store rather than a sustained additional sediment source to the downstream system. In the mega-dam period (2010–2025), despite substantially reduced upstream sediment supply, the river–lake exchange continues to route similar volumes of water into the lake, but the suspended-sediment contribution released from the lake does not compensate for the mainstream deficit. These results suggest that reverse-flow dynamics alone do not sustain suspended-sediment delivery to the Mekong Delta under contemporary sediment scarcity, with implications for nutrient replenishment, recession agriculture, and floodplain productivity.

How to cite: Morovati, K. and Tian, F.: Reverse flow control on suspended-sediment exchange between Tonle Sap Lake and the Mekong River under historical and mega-dam regimes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16157, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16157, 2026.

Phosphorus is an essential nutrient in aquatic ecosystems. Its concentration in surface waters regulates primary productivity, whereas excessive loading promotes eutrophication and associated water-quality degradation. Rivers are major conduits for phosphorus transport from land to downstream lakes, reservoirs, estuaries and coastal waters, with both water and sediment acting as primary carriers of phosphorus in river systems. Human activities and climate change have substantially altered water and sediment regimes in rivers worldwide. However, the resulting changes in the patterns and statistical characteristics of riverine phosphorus transport remain insufficiently quantified, despite their importance for managing aquatic ecosystem health.

Using the Mississippi River basin as a case study, we compiled long-term observations of river discharge, suspended sediment concentration and total phosphorus concentration from 1970 to 2020, and statistically analysed the patterns of riverine phosphorus transport and its relationships with water and sediment. To account for changes in water-quality and environmental policies within the basin, we further divided the record into two sub-periods (1971–1990 and 2001–2020) and considered the full period 1970–2020 for comparison. We developed a multiple linear regression framework to quantify interactions between phosphorus export, discharge and suspended sediment concentration, and to assess how watershed characteristics influence phosphorus transport under different flow conditions. This framework was used to characterise the temporal and spatial variability of phosphorus transport across the Mississippi River basin and to disentangle the effects of human activities and climate variability.

We find that phosphorus transport is source limited and negatively correlated with basin area under low-flow conditions. Human activities are strongly associated with phosphorus transport, with population density influencing total phosphorus concentrations both directly and indirectly through the TP–discharge and TP–suspended sediment concentration relationships. The interception effect of reservoirs on total phosphorus export increases with their regulation capacity, while trends in total phosphorus concentration are positively related to changes in precipitation and predominantly negatively related to vegetation cover. Our study provides a basin-scale perspective on source-to-sink fluvial phosphorus transport, offering critical insights for sustainable phosphorus management and for the integrated management of riverine and coastal ecosystems.

How to cite: Xu, J.: Riverine phosphorus transport and its statistical coupling with discharge and suspended sediment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16285, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16285, 2026.

Pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCPs) from wastewater discharge are increasingly detected in urban river systems; however, their subsurface fate and transport remain poorly understood at the field scale. Here, we investigate the vertical migration and subsurface distribution of emerging organic contaminants (EOCs) at three anthropogenically impacted sites in the Yamuna River basin, Delhi, India: the Yamuna Riverbank, a major urban drain that discharges directly into the river, and an artificial lake that receives treated wastewater effluent. Target compounds included antibiotics, endocrine-disrupting compounds, prescription and over-the-counter pharmaceuticals, sewage-associated tracers, and an artificial sweetener.

Soil samples spanning the vadose and saturated zones were collected down to 30 m below ground level using standard penetration testing and the bailer (“Boki”) method. Nested piezometers enabled the spatiotemporal monitoring of surface water and groundwater in shallow, intermediate, and deep layers over a one-year period.

Deep penetration of PPCPs was observed at all three sites, with at least ten target compounds quantified in both soils and groundwater down to a depth of 30 m. Estrone exhibited the highest concentrations in soils, while non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs were the most frequently detected compound class across sites. Seven compounds showed detection frequencies exceeding 90% in soils at all three sites. Multivariate statistical analyses linked compound-specific distribution patterns to soil chemistry and subsurface hydrogeology. Stable isotope analysis (δ¹⁸O, δ²H) and fluorescence dissolved organic matter (fDOM) characterisation were applied to elucidate surface water–groundwater interactions. Soil mineralogy and elemental composition were characterised using X-ray diffraction (XRD) and X-ray fluorescence (XRF) to assess geochemical controls on contaminant retention and mobility.

In addition to targeted monitoring of 27 compounds, suspect and non-target screening was conducted on surface and groundwater samples to identify transformation products and to assess the influence of redox and geochemical conditions on subsurface transformation processes. Laboratory-scale batch sorption and biodegradation experiments conducted at environmentally relevant concentrations were used to support the interpretation of field-scale observations.

These results demonstrate that PPCPs can migrate vertically through soils and persist across both the vadose and saturated zones, with significant implications for groundwater quality, particularly in regions where rivers serve as both wastewater receivers and aquifer recharge zones.

How to cite: Gupta, S., Singh, D., Vellanki, B. P., and Boving, T.: From Surface Water to Deep Groundwater: Field Evidence of Fate and Transport of Pharmaceuticals and Personal Care Products (PPCPs) in Urban Alluvial Systems of Delhi, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16820, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16820, 2026.

Soil erosion and sediment transport pose major challenges for river basin management in India, where
intense monsoon rainfall, diverse physiography, and rapid land-use change generate high and spatially
variable sediment fluxes causing significant challenges like reservoir siltation, soil degradation, and
downstream coastal impacts. However, sediment quantification through modeling at national and basin
scales in India is often constrained by data availability, input data selection and other uncertainties
associated with the choice of empirical options in the models. This study aims to explicitly quantify and
assess input data source–induced uncertainty in the InVEST Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR) model driven
at 1km resolution for major Indian River basins (viz. Sabarmati, Narmada, Baitarani, and Tapi) for the
period 2005–2019. The adopted multi-input modeling framework utilized several datasets, including
topography from the HydroSHEDS digital elevation model, land use and land cover from HILDA+, rainfall
erosivity (R factor) derived from ERA5 hourly precipitation data using the EI60 formulation,
Furthermore, the rainfall erosivity was computed using five empirical kinetic energy relationships
(Wischmeier & Smith; Brown & Foster; McGregor et al.; Van Dijk et al.; Meshesha et al.) to capture
methodological uncertainty in rainfall intensity representation. Four soil erodibility (K factor)
combinations were generated based on two data sources and two estimation methods: (1) HWSD–EPIC,
(2) HWSD–Nomograph, (3) SoilGrids–EPIC, and (4) SoilGrids–Nomograph . In total, 20 rainfall
erosivity–soil erodibility input combinations were created by systematically varying the erosivity and
erodibility datasets and estimation methods within the InVEST SDR model, using its default
configuration settings. Results indicate strong basin-specific sensitivity to input data selection, with
rainfall erosivity emerging as the dominant control on sediment export, followed by soil erodibility and
then topographic controls (LS factor). Sediment export estimates showed comparatively lower
uncertainty for the Sabarmati and Narmada basins, followed by Baitarani and Tapi. The study highlights
that input data choice represents a major source of uncertainty in large-scale sediment modelling in
India river basins and underscores the need for transparent evaluation of data-driven variability prior to
calibration.

How to cite: Shah, M., Kumar, R., and Remesan, R.: Quantification and evaluation of input data source induced uncertainty in the InVEST sediment exportmodelling framework for major Indian River basins, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17714, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17714, 2026.

EGU26-17893 | PICO | HS9.7

Stochastic hydro‑sedimentary modelling of arsenic mobilisation and downstream propagation in a coupled slope–channel–lake system 

María Sánchez-Canales, Fernando Barrio Parra, Irene Berbel, Lucía Álvarez-Mejías, Humberto Serrano Garcia, Jaime Montalvo-Piñeiro, Miguel Izquierdo-Diaz, and Eduardo De Miguel

The transfer of sediment‑bound contaminants from unstable hillslopes into fluvial and lacustrine environments is governed by the interaction between geomorphic processes, hydrological connectivity and sediment transport dynamics. This study develops a quantitative modelling framework to assess the mobilisation of arsenic (As) from a contaminated slope and its potential downstream propagation through an integrated slope–channel–lake system.

High‑resolution terrain data were used to parameterise slope geometry and derive section‑scale morphometric attributes relevant to sediment detachment and mass‑failure susceptibility (slope gradient, contributing area, profile curvature and cross-sectional geometry). Spatially distributed As concentration measurements were incorporated into a stochastic Monte Carlo model, which simulated 10,000 realisations of contaminant mass for each slope section using distribution-specific sampling to represent data variability. Mobilizable sediment volumes were estimated using geometrically constrained maximum‑failure envelopes, enabling derivation of event‑scale sediment yields.

Hydrological and sediment connectivity were conceptualised through a simplified source–pathway–receptor model. Collapse scenarios representing 10%, 20%, 30%, 50% and 100% slope mobilisation were propagated downstream assuming full sediment transfer efficiency and no attenuation processes such as channel storage, hyporheic exchange, settling velocity effects or precipitation–adsorption dynamics. This approach represents an upper-bound transfer model suitable for preliminary contaminant‑risk assessment.

Total As mass stored in the slope was estimated at approximately 458 kg. Model outputs indicate that even under complete slope failure, the resulting concentration in the receiving lake remains marginally below the commonly adopted 0.010 mg/L threshold for potable water, whereas partial‑failure scenarios yield concentrations an order of magnitude lower. Sensitivity analyses demonstrate that predictions are strongly influenced by bulk density assumptions, connectivity ratios and sediment pulse magnitudes, highlighting the importance of probabilistic approaches for representing parameter uncertainty.

These findings underscore the need to integrate hydro‑sedimentary modelling, geomorphic characterisation and stochastic uncertainty quantification when assessing contaminant transport in catchment‑scale systems. The methodology presented provides a transferable framework for evaluating contaminant propagation where legacy mining residues persist in erosion‑prone, hydrologically connected terrain.

How to cite: Sánchez-Canales, M., Barrio Parra, F., Berbel, I., Álvarez-Mejías, L., Serrano Garcia, H., Montalvo-Piñeiro, J., Izquierdo-Diaz, M., and De Miguel, E.: Stochastic hydro‑sedimentary modelling of arsenic mobilisation and downstream propagation in a coupled slope–channel–lake system, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17893, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17893, 2026.

EGU26-19085 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Benthic fauna-mediated bed load sediment transport dynamics 

Zonghong Chen

Benthic fauna plays a critical role in mediating bed load sediment transport, an essential process influencing wetland restoration, water quality, coastal protection, and nutrient cycling. However, predictive models quantifying this biological mediation remain absent due to limited mechanistic understanding. Here, we develop a high-fidelity computational model coupling fluid flow, sediment dynamics, and benthic activity to quantify benthic fauna-mediated bed load transport. We show that benthic presence can reduce transport rates by up to 50%, primarily through two mechanisms: bioroughness-induced effective shear stress reduction and bioturbulence-driven wake zone expansion. Building on these insights, we propose two predictive formulas that align well with field data. These findings offer the first quantitative framework for bed load prediction in benthos-dominated environments and sheds light on sediment dynamics central to benthic morphodynamics.

How to cite: Chen, Z.: Benthic fauna-mediated bed load sediment transport dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19085, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19085, 2026.

EGU26-19124 | PICO | HS9.7

Mobilization of particulate matter in intermittent and forested headwater streams 

Núria Martínez-Carreras, Laurent Gourdol, and Jean François Iffly

Headwater streams extend and retract both seasonally and in response to individual rainfall events. Stream network extension is typically accompanied by an increase in stream water velocity and water depth, which may overcome mobilization thresholds of particulate matter that may have accumulated in previously dried-out streams. Although this process is commonly conjectured, data documenting the pacing and mechanisms leading to the transfer of particulate matter from terrestrial to aquatic environments remains scarce. An improved mechanistic understanding of these processes in forested headwater streams is particularly needed because they are reportedly highly sensitive to the changes in timing, magnitude and duration of precipitation expected under a changing climate. In Luxembourg, the health of forest ecosystems has also declined severely over the past two decades. Together, these changes might ultimately affect flow persistence, alter the transport and transformation of water, energy, dissolved and suspended materials, and impact organisms throughout the river network. The potentially considerable consequences of these changes on our water resources, aquatic ecosystems and bio-geochemical cycles remain largely unknown. In this study, we investigate the relationship between catchment storage, water flow paths, stream network extension and particulate matter mobilization. During rainfall events, water might flow overland in previously dry streams if a shallow, perched, transient water table builds up and generates runoff, or if a deeper water table rises to the upper transmissive soil horizons. The former mechanism is more likely to occur when antecedent catchment storage is low, whereas the latter is expected when storage is high. Despite it has never been demonstrated with observations, these two processes leading to overland flow might be associated to different sediment mobilization mechanisms. To test these hypothesis, we designed a field study to gather unprecedented datasets on (i) stream network dynamics (i.e., network extension/retraction and intermittency) documented using time-lapse cameras, (ii) suspended sediment fluxes measured at the catchment outlet, and (iii) catchment storage estimated from an extensive, high-resolution hydrometric time series collected in the Weierbach Experimental Catchment (WEC; 0.45 km2; north-western Luxembourg). Our results show that stream extension during rainfall events drives particulate matter mobilization during single peak hydrographs in the WEC, when water rapidly reaches the stream network during precipitation pulses and catchment storage is low. In contrast, double peak hydrographs occur when catchment storage is high, resulting in limited stream network extension and low particulate matter mobilization. Building on these newly gained datasets, we aim to develop a novel conceptual framework linking particulate matter mobilization to its subsequent controlling factors, including rainfall characteristics, catchment storage, regolith structure, land cover and topography.

How to cite: Martínez-Carreras, N., Gourdol, L., and Iffly, J. F.: Mobilization of particulate matter in intermittent and forested headwater streams, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19124, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19124, 2026.

EGU26-20152 | ECS | PICO | HS9.7

Comparative soil health dynamics and crop morphological responses in natural and conventional agroecosystems 

Rohit Thakur, Ranjeet Kumar Jha, and Rohit Thakur

Nutrient management and cropping system strategies are so different between natural and conventional agroecosystems that soil health generally follows very different trajectories, thereby affecting crop growth, functioning, and system sustainability. To examine these effects, a field experiment was conducted during the rainy season in the humid subtropical region of the north-western Himalayas, India, to evaluate seasonal soil physicochemical changes under natural farming inputs, conventional chemical fertilizer applications, and okra-cowpea intercropping, and to establish their relationships with crop growth and yield Soil samples were collected from the experimental field before sowing to establish baseline soil conditions. Write all measurements you did and what analyses you performed Two-way ANOVA indicated that soil pH was affected by treatment (p = 0.00011 < 0.05) and season (p = 2.05 × 10⁻²⁹<0.05) with a significant interaction of treatment x season (p = 0.0329 < 0.05). Soil EC was strongly affected by season (p=5.19× 10⁻⁶⁵<0.05), whereas treatment (p=0.502) and interaction effects (p = 0.204>0.05) were not significant. Organic matter content was significantly influenced by treatment (p= 1.37 × 10⁻⁵<0.05) and season (p = 3.34 × 10⁻¹⁵<0.05), while the interaction effect was marginally non-significant (p= 0.060>0.05). Dry density exhibited a strong seasonal effect (p=4.00 × 10⁻²⁶), with no significant treatment influence (p=0.298). Treatments with higher post-harvest organic matter (up to 3.12%) and reduced dry density as low as 1.31g cm⁻³ recorded greater plant growth, higher leaf area index (up to 1.58), and increased stem diameter. One-way ANOVA revealed that stem diameter (p=0.0306) and okra yield (p=1.50×10⁻⁵<0.05) were significantly affected by treatments, whereas plant height (p=0.176>0.05) and total biomass(p=0.396>0.05) were not. The correlation analysis using Pearson's correlation was strongly negative between post-harvest soil pH and Okra yield (r = -0.61), while organic matter was moderate in correlation (r = -0.31). Principal component analysis explained a cumulative percentage of 66.9% in total variance, in which soil pH, organic matter, and dry density were strongly associated in PC1. Soil Quality, derived from PCA, varied between 0.10 and 0.51, which was higher in natural farming practices and intercropping. Land equivalent ratio in intercropping was significantly improved in all cases, ranging between 1.24 and 1.73, which proved that it was significantly better compared to mono cropping in both natural farming practices and conventional inorganic nutrient management. The results demonstrate that natural nutrient management combined with intercropping offers a viable, low-input strategy for farmers to improve soil quality, reduce dependency on external fertilizers, and thereby strengthen farm-level economic and ecological resilience.

 

How to cite: Thakur, R., Jha, R. K., and Thakur, R.: Comparative soil health dynamics and crop morphological responses in natural and conventional agroecosystems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20152, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20152, 2026.

Recurring monsoon floods in the Kosi River Basin pose a critical threat to agricultural productivity, sediment deposition, and disruption of cultivable flood plains in Bihar, India. Severe seasonal rainfall combined with steep Himalayan topography generates high runoff and sediment fluxes in the Kosi River system. These hydrological conditions drive frequent channel instability, abrupt shifts in the river course, and widespread flood inundation leading to extensive deposition of sandy soil over fertile agricultural lands. Such recurring flood-driven erosion and sedimentation processes necessitate a quantitative assessment of their impacts on crop productivity, land-use dynamics, and sediment redistribution. Therefore, this study aims to provide a basin-scale quantification of flood-induced soil erosion and crop productivity losses in the Kosi River Basin using integrated remote sensing and hydrological modeling approaches. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool Plus (SWAT+) was employed to simulate basin-scale hydrological processes, sediment transport, and nutrient dynamics. Model parameterization utilized high-resolution topographic data derived from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model and land use/land cover maps generated from Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. Climatic inputs, including rainfall and temperature, were obtained from the NASA POWER climate data archive, supplemented with observed rainfall records from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Observed streamflow data from the Central Water Commission (CWC), India, were used for model calibration and validation. Spatial data processing and analyses were performed using Python-based workflows within QGIS and ArcGIS environments. We also examine the historical LULC trend from satellite data to understand the spatio-temporal changes in agricultural land and floodplain. We then run future climate scenarios: bias-corrected CMIP6 projections (SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) are used to drive SWAT+ simulations of future flood extent, sediment yield, and land productivity. The final results of this research activity will be presented at the Conference.

Keywords: SWAT+, soil erosion, flood modeling, Kosi River, CMIP6, LULC, sedimentation.

How to cite: Kumar, A. and Jha, R. K.: Assessment of Flood-Induced Soil Erosion and Agricultural Yield Loss in the Kosi Basin Integrating Remote Sensing and Hydrological Modeling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20242, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20242, 2026.

Soil erosion and sediment connectivity play a crucial role in shaping river basin health, especially in monsoon-dominated regions where both natural processes and human interventions strongly influence sediment dynamics. This study investigates soil erosion patterns and sediment connectivity across two contrasting sub-basins of the Godavari River—Sabari, representing a near-natural system, and Manjira, a highly human-modified basin. Using multi-temporal land-use and land-cover data from 1985 to 2022, along with probabilistic indices such as sediment transport potential (STP) and the soil erosion and transport index (SETI), the study evaluates how geomorphic conditions, hydrological processes, and anthropogenic activities jointly control sediment generation and delivery. Six land-use classes were analysed to capture long-term landscape transformations, revealing rapid agricultural expansion and urban growth in Manjira, while Sabari remained largely forest-dominated. The combined STP–SETI analysis highlights distinct sediment hotspots, particularly in north–northwestern Manjira and central–southeastern Sabari, where steep slopes, reduced vegetation cover, and altered connectivity increase erosion risk. Major reservoirs, including Nizamsagar, Donkarayi, Singur, and Balimela, emerge as key regulators by disrupting sediment pathways and creating upstream sediment storage zones. The novelty of this work lies in integrating static erosion indicators with dynamic land-use changes using a probabilistic framework to identify spatially explicit sediment regimes. The findings emphasize the need for basin-specific management strategies, advocating vegetation restoration in Sabari and integrated sediment–reservoir management in Manjira to promote sustainable sediment governance.

How to cite: Singh, A. and Swarnkar, S.: Integrating Soil Erosion and Sediment Connectivity Indices to Identify Sediment Hotspots in the Godavari River Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20519, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20519, 2026.

EGU26-797 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Tracing Sediment Pathways in the Siang Basin: A Multi-Proxy Provenance Approach Using Petrography, Zircon Geochronology, and Sr–Nd Isotopes 

Sandeep Panda, Anil Kumar, Sourabh Singhal, and Pradeep Srivastava

Understanding sediment provenance is crucial for reconstructing past environmental conditions and deciphering erosion patterns in rapidly evolving mountain belts such as the Himalaya. The Yarlung–Tsangpo–Brahmaputra system, one of the world’s most dynamic sediment-routing networks, provides a key setting to examine how extreme hydrological events mobilize material from distinct source terranes. In this study, we analyse five well-dated paleoflood deposits from the Siang River using an integrated suite of provenance tools—sand petrography, U–Pb zircon geochronology, and Sr–Nd isotope geochemistry—to evaluate their relative strengths and interpretive limitations.

Petrographic data show quartz–feldspar-rich compositions and heavy-mineral assemblages pointing to contributions from the Higher Himalayan Crystallines (HHC) and Tethyan Sedimentary Sequence (TSS), although long-distance transport, weathering, and hydraulic sorting obscure lithologic specificity. Zircon age spectra reveal diverse age populations sourced from the Namche Barwa syntaxis, Tibetan Plateau, and Lhasa Terrane; however, zircon recycling and overlapping age groups introduce ambiguity in resolving discrete source areas. Sr–Nd isotopic signatures provide a more integrated and transport-insensitive signal, indicating dominant TSS influence with enhanced erosion of the Namche Barwa region during high-magnitude flood events. Together, these proxies demonstrate that each method captures a different scale of sediment input—petrography reflecting local lithologic contributions, zircon ages tracing distal and recycled sources, and Sr–Nd isotopes integrating basin-scale signatures. The multi-proxy approach underscores the need to combine complementary datasets to accurately reconstruct sediment routing, identify erosional hotspots, and comprehend megaflood-driven landscape evolution in the eastern Himalayas.

How to cite: Panda, S., Kumar, A., Singhal, S., and Srivastava, P.: Tracing Sediment Pathways in the Siang Basin: A Multi-Proxy Provenance Approach Using Petrography, Zircon Geochronology, and Sr–Nd Isotopes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-797, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-797, 2026.

EGU26-820 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Evaluation of Traditional and Ensemble ML Algorithms for Scour Depth Prediction: Performance, Error Distribution, and Gaussian Noise Robustness   

Abhi Sangra, Hari Prasad Kotnoor Suryanarayanarao, and Chandra Shekhar Prasad Ojha

Reliable prediction of scour depth is essential for hydraulic design, yet its nonlinear dependence on flow and sediment parameters often limits the accuracy of empirical formulations. This study develops a comprehensive machine-learning framework to model scour depth using a dataset of 450 samples. Two families of ML models were employed: (i) traditional techniques—Decision Tree and Support Vector Regression (SVR), and (ii) ensemble-based techniques—Random Forest, Bagging Regressor, AdaBoost, and Gradient Boosting. Model performance was evaluated using multiple statistical and graphical diagnostics, including scatter plots, residual distributions, cumulative relative-error curves, frequency histograms, Taylor diagrams, and train–test comparisons.

To assess robustness, controlled Gaussian noise perturbations (2.5–15%) were synthetically induced in the input variables, and ten Monte-Carlo trials were performed for each noise level. For every model, the lower bound, upper bound, and mean R² values were computed, enabling a stability-based comparison. Ensemble models demonstrated substantially higher accuracy and noise-tolerance than traditional approaches. Gradient Boosting and Random Forest consistently exhibited the highest coefficient of determination, narrowest error bands, and least sensitivity to perturbations, whereas SVR and Decision Tree showed wider deviation ranges.

Overall, the findings confirm that ensemble learning—particularly boosting-based methods—provides a more accurate, robust, and generalizable tool for scour prediction compared to standalone ML models. The proposed framework establishes a reproducible methodology that integrates predictive accuracy with noise-resilience, making it suitable for practical hydraulic engineering applications.

How to cite: Sangra, A., Kotnoor Suryanarayanarao, H. P., and Ojha, C. S. P.: Evaluation of Traditional and Ensemble ML Algorithms for Scour Depth Prediction: Performance, Error Distribution, and Gaussian Noise Robustness  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-820, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-820, 2026.

EGU26-1774 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Potential use of fallout radionuclides as tracers of environmental processes after wildfires in Tohoku Region, Japan 

Olivier Evrard, Naoya Takahashi, Thomas Chalaux-Clergue, Anthony Foucher, and Pierre-Alexis Chaboche

Following the Fukushima nuclear accident in March 2011, significant deposition of radiocesium, including 134Cs and 137Cs, occurred across vast regions of Northeastern Japan, in the Tohoku Region. However, as most studies have focused on fallout in the Fukushima Prefecture, there is much less information available on the situation in other parts of the Tohoku region of Japan further north. Against this backdrop, the present study examined the presence of fallout radionuclides (including the natural radionuclide 210Pb and the artificial radionuclides 134Cs and 137Cs) in both burned and unburned soil profiles, as well as in various surface soil and sediment samples collected in the Kamaishi region (Iwate Prefecture, Tohoku Region, Japan), which was affected by extensive wildfires in 2017.  The results show that 210Pb and 137Cs can be used to trace sediment sources in landscapes affected by wildfires in this region. Furthermore, analysis of the soil profiles demonstrated that all analysed fallout radionuclides were enriched in the burned versus unburned profiles due to radionuclides being trapped by vegetation and incorporated into the ash after the fire. Detecting 134Cs in the uppermost 0–5 cm layer of all soil profiles investigated also demonstrated significant Fukushima fallout of 134Cs and 137Cs in this region, roughly equivalent to the fallout associated with nuclear atmospheric tests in the 1960s. In future, both sources of fallout should be considered when interpreting radionuclide data found in environmental samples collected in vast regions of north-eastern Japan. Analysis of 134Cs should also be encouraged in order to document fallout sources in these regions for as long as this short-lived radionuclide remains detectable (i.e. until around 2031).

How to cite: Evrard, O., Takahashi, N., Chalaux-Clergue, T., Foucher, A., and Chaboche, P.-A.: Potential use of fallout radionuclides as tracers of environmental processes after wildfires in Tohoku Region, Japan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1774, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1774, 2026.

EGU26-2798 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Which benefits of fluvial annex sediment analysis for quantifying and tracing industrial pollution along the Saône River?  

Augustine Écorse, André-Marie Dendievel, Brice Mourier, Alexandra Coynel, Élie Dhivert, Frédéric Paran, Steve Peuble, Thierry Winiarski, and Jean-Philippe Bedell

In the context of river ecological restoration in Europe and in order to achieve a “good” ecological and chemical status in watercourses, it is essential to quantify the volumes of contaminated sediment accumulated in fluvial annexes, which may be remobilized during floods or human interventions. These assessments not only allow the evaluation of ecotoxicological risks, but also help to assess the ecological functions associated with reconnection to the main channel. The Saône River (France), the main tributary of the Rhône River in terms of hydro-sedimentary contributions, has been little studied from this perspective, despite numerous developments (dykes) that have profoundly altered the lateral connectivity of its main channel. A more in-depth knowledge of the Saône River is therefore clearly needed  to guide effective and safe ecological restoration actions.

The volumes of sediments accumulated in three fluvial annexes distributed along the Saône River were estimated by combining ground-penetrating radar (GPR) transects with sediment cores sampling. These sediment archives were characterized (grain-size, organic matter content, trace metal content) to reconstruct the temporal trends of metal accumulation, based on ¹³⁷Cs and ²¹⁰Pb dating. Depending on the site, these sediment sequences provide six to eight decades of records, extending back to the 1940s for the longest. These data allow quantification of contaminants stocks (trace metals) and estimation of the annual load of contaminated suspended matters by the river in each site.

The study sites exhibit contrasting morphologies and varying levels of lateral connectivity with the main channel. These differences influence the sediment storage volumes within the fluvial annexes, ranging from 8,000 m³ to 100,000 m³. These results reveal metal enrichment since the 1940s, with a clear and well-documented increase in Cd, Cu, Pb and Zn during the post‑World War II economic expansion (1950s), reaching maximum concentrations during the 1970s. Their concentrations subsequently declined in the 1990-2000s before stabilizing at lower plateau values.

A specific feature concerns the contamination history of Ag, most likely driven by the photographic industry, which presented a three-phase pattern: (i) regular increase in the 1970s and 1980s, (ii) successive peaks between 1986 and 1994, and (iii) a marked decline in the late 1990s-2000s, with the decline of silver. This typical signal was observed at all studied sites along the river, despite hydrological connectivity differences. These sedimentary record complement monitoring data, especially for trace metals that were difficult to quantify in the past. This study highlights the major influence of historical contamination sources that released polluted sediments at the basin scale over several decades. This reconstruction also has national-scale implications and complements records obtained by other research works (such as on the Seine or Garonne rivers), highlighting the extent and persistence of pollution linked with photographic product manufacturing in Western Europe before 2000. Together, these results provide an integrated understanding of sediment dynamics and contamination, offering key insights for future river management and restoration strategies.

How to cite: Écorse, A., Dendievel, A.-M., Mourier, B., Coynel, A., Dhivert, É., Paran, F., Peuble, S., Winiarski, T., and Bedell, J.-P.: Which benefits of fluvial annex sediment analysis for quantifying and tracing industrial pollution along the Saône River? , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2798, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2798, 2026.

EGU26-3575 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Deciphering dilution, grain size, and provenance in sediment geochemistry 

Tomas Matys Grygar, Hans von Suchodoletz, Ivana Pavlů, and Christian Zeeden

A considerable number of geochemical and granulometric datasets from various sediment sequences was gathered during the recent decades in the context of palaeoenvironmental and palaeoclimate reconstructions, assessment of human impacts on earth surface processes, and provenance tracing in fluvial environments. Although the large importance of grain-size control on sediment geochemistry has been known for many years and was explicitly declared in some review papers on geochemical provenance tracing, it still forms a challenge for current research. The problem is that provenance, grain-size, and weathering (post-depositional alterations) jointly control the resulting chemical composition of paleosol-loess sequences or floodplain deposits, and need hence to be distinguished from each other. However, in several recent studies data processing was simplified and the results were presented in an unequivocal manner, although interpretation of sediment composition is always rather equivocal. This was especially the case when geochemical datasets were subjected to automated data processing by software routines, instead of an expert-based examination of the individual datasets and a correct qualitative distinguishing of the individual controlling factors.

Data assessment should always start from understanding the major geochemical and sedimentological factors and processes behind data variability. This phase cannot be automated, and should mandatorily precede the selection of appropriate data processing routines. On the one hand geochemical compositions may be mainly controlled by varying percentages of ‘diluting’ components such as quartz (usually sand) or (detritic or autochthonous) carbonate, that can be corrected for by rationally chosen element ratios. Numerous complex mathematical approaches have been designed to address that issue, however, they do not always produce interpretable results and therefore need empirical (expert-based) verification. One the other hand, ‘dilution’ effects can interfere with grain-size control, that can be revealed by scatterplots of element ratios or the visualisation of element ratios and grain size classes. Furthermore, the recently established Bayes space methodology for modelling and analysing continuous distributive data can visualise the grain size control of element ratios for entire granulometric curves. Combined with regression modelling this allows statistically sound conclusions about grain size effects on the element ratios desired for interpretation. For example, varying grain-size preferences of feldspars or zircons can point to distinct source rocks and thus qualitatively reveal provenance changes. Provenance changes can only be quantified after deciphering and considering ‘dilution’ and grain-size effects, and only if the sediment sources have really distinct geochemistry. The provenance tracing cannot be automated or based only on the formal performance of statistical tools such as low values of RMSE.

Concluding, provenance tracing should be based on geochemically interpretable element concentration ratios after cross-checking for ‘dilution’ and grain-size control, best done ‘manually’ by assessing a series of (old-fashioned) scatterplots, preferably with the granulometry information implemented using the Bayes space methodology. To obtain sound conclusions it is also essential to phrase clear and testable research questions before any research, acquire suitable data really representing variability in studied sediment sequences and potential provenance areas, and use statistical methods respecting real data complexity.

How to cite: Matys Grygar, T., von Suchodoletz, H., Pavlů, I., and Zeeden, C.: Deciphering dilution, grain size, and provenance in sediment geochemistry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3575, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3575, 2026.

EGU26-3609 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

The Effectiveness of Check Dams on Post-fire Erosion Control - The Significance of Timely Construction 

Aristeidis Kastridis and Marios Sapountzis

This study investigates the effectiveness of torrential erosion control structures (concrete check dams) in reducing post-fire sediment transport in the Seich Sou Forest close to Thessaloniki, Greece. The July 1997 wildfire destroyed 68% of the forest vegetation, posing an urgent risk of severe erosion and floods in Thessaloniki's urban complex.

The responsible agencies decided to construct erosion control structures inside the streambeds of the watersheds that drain the Seich Sou Forest. This work was critical in watersheds where the lowland segment of the stream runs through communities, and the transportation of sediments and debris might endanger property, infrastructure, and even human life. Most of the concrete check dams were built in 2001, four years after the fire. This study included a complete documentation of the constructed check dams as well as a measurement of the sediments that gathered 21 years after the fire.

This study assessed the efficiency of constructed check dams in capturing sediments after a fire, as well as the influence of construction time, in two typical catchments (Eleonas and Panteleimon). In addition, the hypothesis "What would the effectiveness of check dams be if they were constructed immediately after the fire?" was examined. The innovative part of this study was the detailed recording of all check dams and the volume of trapped sediments, while the fact that most dams were not completely filled allowed us to compute soil erosion rates in detail.

In 2022, our team carried out field investigations to assess the size, effective storage capacity, and siltation of 40 check dams. The results showed that the dams in the Eleonas and Panteleimon catchments stored 14.36% and 18.81% of their maximal effective capacity, respectively. In the first three years following the fire, the potential maximum annual retention capacity of the check dams in the Eleonas watershed was 6.17 t/ha/year, while in the Panteleimon basin, it was 7.08 t/ha/year. The delayed construction of the check dams resulted in the failure to trap the eroded soil, which means that in the first three post-fire years, all the soil was lost to the sea.

Previous investigations have determined the precise values of post-fire erosion in the study region to be 7.76 t/ha/year and 3.39 t/ha/year for the first and second post-fire years, respectively. The annual post-fire erosion values mentioned above fall within the estimated maximum retention capacity of the check dams constructed in the research catchments. As a result, the timely (immediately following the fire) and appropriate construction of check dams can effectively manage the greatly increased post-fire erosion rates. Although check dams are extremely successful in stabilizing disrupted fire environments, their full advantage can only be realized if they are built on time and efficiently. To decrease soil loss and improve landscape resilience, future studies should focus on the timely construction of post-wildfire erosion control structures.

How to cite: Kastridis, A. and Sapountzis, M.: The Effectiveness of Check Dams on Post-fire Erosion Control - The Significance of Timely Construction, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3609, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3609, 2026.

EGU26-4157 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Suspended Sediment Fluxes and Decadal Trends in the Humid Tropics: Machine Learning Reconstruction and Coupled Modelling in Upper Blue Nile Tributaries 

Kindie B.Worku, Fasikaw A. Zimale, Till Francke, Morteza Zargar, and Axel Bronstert

Sediment-laden runoff in Ethiopia’s Upper Blue Nile Basin (UBNB) threatens the ecological health of Lake Tana and the operational efficiency of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Limited event-based sediment sampling hinders the accurate estimation of fluxes and process-based modeling in this data-scarce region. This study reconstructs continuous daily sedigraphs (1990–2020) for the Gilgel Abay (1,664 km²) and Gumara (1,394 km²) watersheds using machine-Learning (ML) methods, including Gradient Boosting (GB), Random Forest (RF), and Quantile Regression Forests (QRF), along with traditional techniques, using discharge, rainfall, temperature, and evapotranspiration as predictors.

QRF achieved the highest validation accuracy at the daily scale (R² = 0.62–0.72), capturing non‑linear sediment dynamics and providing uncertainty‑quantified yields (90% CI: 17.15–54.37 t/ha/yr for Gilgel Abay; 21.15–40.61 t/ha/yr for Gumara). Mean annual sediment yields were 27.5 ± 7.2 t/ha/yr (Gilgel Abay) and 23.8 ± 10.7 t/ha/yr (Gumara), with 93–95% of transport occurring during the monsoon season (June–October), emphasizing strong rainfall control.

The reconstructed records enabled the first successful calibration and validation of the WASA-SED model for coupled daily streamflow and suspended-sediment dynamics in the Ethiopian Highlands. Monthly simulations showed strong performance (NSE 0.66–0.86; R² 0.72–0.87). Flow- and sediment-duration curves indicated excellent skill during high-flow events, which dominate sediment export, with underestimation in mid- and low-sediment ranges.

Decadal analyses revealed contrasting watershed trajectories. In Gilgel Abay, rainfall intensified (from 136.9 mm/month in the 1990s to 208 mm/month in the 2020s), streamflow increased by 78% (55 to 98 m³/s), and sediment loads peaked mid‑period before declining. In Gumara, rainfall remained stable, but streamflow rose 54% (35 to 54 m³/s), and sediment loads increased 61% (8.2 to 13.2 × 10³ t/day), influenced by wetland loss (−63%) and rapid urban expansion.

This integrated ML–process modelling framework bridges sediment data gaps, advances hydro-sediment process understanding, and supports targeted erosion mitigation for the sustainable management of the UBNB. The approach is transferable to other humid tropical basins facing similar data limitations.

 

Keywords: sediment reconstruction, QRF, WASA‑SED, decadal trends, Upper Blue Nile, humid tropics, data‑scarce modelling

 

How to cite: B.Worku, K., A. Zimale, F., Francke, T., Zargar, M., and Bronstert, A.: Suspended Sediment Fluxes and Decadal Trends in the Humid Tropics: Machine Learning Reconstruction and Coupled Modelling in Upper Blue Nile Tributaries, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4157, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4157, 2026.

EGU26-4192 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Time-scale-dependent Sediment–Discharge Coupling across Fourteen Catchments Using Wavelet Analysis 

Fahimeh Mirchooli, Nuria Martínez-Carreras, and Julian Klaus

Suspended sediment dynamics exhibit strong temporal variability and nonlinear behavior, making it challenging to characterize their relationship with streamflow using traditional statistical or machine-learning approaches. In this study, we addressed the following questions: how does the coupling between suspended sediment concentration (SSC) and discharge change across temporal scales, and which hydrological, morphological, climatic, and land-use factors control these changes? To investigate this, we examine the time-scale-dependent and non-stationary coupling between SSC and discharge across fourteen catchments (0.94-2846 km2) spanning diverse climatic and geomorphic settings. We applied wavelet coherence (WTC) and partial wavelet coherence (PWTC) analyses to quantify both the total and precipitation-independent SSC-discharge coupling across time scales ranging from 2 to 512 days. The analysis is performed continuously in time and interpreted within short (2-32 days), intermediate (32-128 days), and long (128-512 days) temporal bands. We used Spearman correlation to explore links between coherence and catchment characteristics, including physiography, morphology, climate, hydrology, and land use. Across all catchments, SSC-discharge generally exhibits strong coupling, although the strength of this coupling can be weak and fragmented at some time scales, indicating a non-stationary sediment response to discharge variations. After removing the influence of precipitation, much of this coherence weakens or becomes more fragmented across time scales, demonstrating that a substantial part of the SSC-discharge relationship reflects their shared hydrological forcing by precipitation. Nevertheless, a part of coherent patterns persists in all catchments, implying that catchment characteristics also sustain SSC-discharge coupling beyond direct precipitation effects. At short time scales, coupling is primarily controlled by slope and maximum length of the catchment; at intermediate scales, by moisture accumulation, land use, and aspect; and at long time scales, by moisture, slope aspect, and pasture cover. Using data from fourteen catchments, this study moves beyond single-catchment analyses and shows that wavelet-based approaches can disentangle precipitation-driven sediment dynamics from those controlled by catchment characteristics, providing new insight into how intrinsic catchment properties regulate SSC-discharge interactions across multiple temporal scales.

Key words: Catchment characteristics, Hydro-sediment dynamics, Partial wavelet coherence (PWTC), Suspended sediment concentration, Wavelet coherence (WTC)

How to cite: Mirchooli, F., Martínez-Carreras, N., and Klaus, J.: Time-scale-dependent Sediment–Discharge Coupling across Fourteen Catchments Using Wavelet Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4192, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4192, 2026.

EGU26-5762 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Joint practices to support the torrent control structures management in geo-hydrological risk mitigation across borders 

Federico Cazorzi, Luka Žvokelj, Vesna Zupanc, Nejc Bezak, Mojca Fabbro, Adrien Clerbois, Andrea Ziraldo, Fabio di Bernardo, Eleonora Maset, Alberto Beinat, Elisa Arnone, Maria Eliana Poli, Christian Orlando, and Sara Cucchiaro

Geo-hydrological risk mitigation exceeds administrative borders and needs shared and coordinated actions to address climate change effects across borders. In vulnerable areas, such as North-Eastern Italy and Slovenia where torrents and rivers cross national boundaries, joint strategies are essential to improve watershed management, infrastructure safety, and human protection. This requires integrating diverse expertise through cooperation among cross-border authorities, stakeholders, and researchers to develop a shared management solution and a response to common challenges. Torrent control works have been strategically used for several decades to regulate sediment dynamics in mountain catchments, but few research studied how structures interact with erosion and deposition processes. Nowadays, multi-temporal High-Resolution Topography (HRT) and GIS technologies enable efficient analysis of sediment dynamics in fluvial systems and their evolving interactions with watershed control structures. To improve watershed management and prioritise maintenance, the Interreg ITA-SLO “TORRENT” project aims to define shared international standards for monitoring torrent control systems and evaluating their long-term performance. The results highlight how a shared database complemented by common tools such as the Maintenance Priority Index, advanced technology and standardised data collection protocols, strengthens watershed management challenges in Slovenia and Italy and provides a transferable strategic approach for other basins in neighbouring countries.

Acknowledgments

The TORRENT project is co-funded by the European Union under the Interreg VI-A Italy-Slovenia Programme.

How to cite: Cazorzi, F., Žvokelj, L., Zupanc, V., Bezak, N., Fabbro, M., Clerbois, A., Ziraldo, A., di Bernardo, F., Maset, E., Beinat, A., Arnone, E., Poli, M. E., Orlando, C., and Cucchiaro, S.: Joint practices to support the torrent control structures management in geo-hydrological risk mitigation across borders, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5762, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5762, 2026.

EGU26-7778 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Innovative and robust approach to trace the origin of suspended particulate matter (SPM): application to the Saône watershed 

Claveau Maeva, Masson Matthieu, Gruat Alexandra, Dherret Lysiane, and Dabrin Aymeric

Identifying the sources of suspended particulate matter (SPM) at the watershed scale remains a major challenge for sediment management, particularly in large river basins. Several approaches are used to trace particle origins, such as the implementation of a SPM fluxes monitoring network, sedimentary modelling or by combining geochemical fingerprinting method with mixing models. Significant progress over the past decade has strengthened their robustness, particularly in the selection of tracers, resolution algorithms, source-term representation, and validation procedures. However, most sediment fingerprinting studies rely on discrete surface source-sediment sampling, which may not adequately reflect the spatial and temporal variability of sediment sources.

Particle traps (PTs) provide an effective alternative for suspended particulate matter sampling, offering an integrative approach that better captures temporal variability in SPM properties over a defined deployment period (typically one week to one month). However, their use raises a number of methodological locks, which could call into question the robustness of their use in fingerprinting approaches. PTs tend to preferentially collect coarser particles and may be affected by redox processes during deployment, which may induce trace metal release or redistribution and reducing their reliability as conservative tracers. To assess the representativeness of sediment traps, we implemented a dual sampling strategy combining monthly integrative sampling using PTs with discrete SPM grab samples. This comparison enables us to (i) quantify biases associated with PT sampling and (ii) assess the robustness of these integrative tools in an organic-rich, hydrogeologically dynamic environment.

To overcome these biogeochemical processes in the PT, we applied a recently developed analytical approach, targeting trace metals bound to the non-reactive fraction of SPM and enabling their use as conservative tracers unaffected by these processes. Therefore, combining PT sampling with tracers derived from the conservative fraction of SPM, we propose a highly promising method to track SPM origin.

This innovative tracing approach is being applied in the Saône basin (about one-third of the Rhône basin - 30,000 km²). The sediments of the Saône are the second most contaminated along the Rhône. Their downstream continuity to the Mediterranean Sea highlights the need to identify and quantify SPM sources to better manage their impacts on aquatic systems. The experimental design spans the 2024 - 2025 hydrological year and includes instrumentation of five major tributaries (Upper Saône, Ognon, Ouche, Doubs and Seille) as well as the basin outlet at Lyon. Particle traps were installed at each site and sampled monthly, supplemented by monthly spot sampling of reference SPM sampling. Mixing model outputs are presented as a function of sampling strategy (PTs versus spot sampling) and the tracers analysed in the residual / conservative fraction. For the first time, a preliminary estimate of the relative contributions of tributaries to the SPM flow at the scale of the Saône basin can be proposed, highlighting the strengths and limitations of the different fingerprint approaches used.

How to cite: Maeva, C., Matthieu, M., Alexandra, G., Lysiane, D., and Aymeric, D.: Innovative and robust approach to trace the origin of suspended particulate matter (SPM): application to the Saône watershed, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7778, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7778, 2026.

EGU26-10161 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Global assessment of CSSI land use fingerprints of long-chain fatty acids in soils 

Axel Birkholz, Olivier Evrard, Anthony Foucher, Miriam Glendel, Ji-Hyung Park, Rafael Ramon, Sebastien Salvador-Blanes, Tales Tiecher, and Christine Alewell

The 2025 "State of Food and Agriculture" (SOFA) report published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) reiterates the significant threat posed by soil erosion and land degradation to agricultural productivity, food security, and the resilience of ecosystems. The FAO estimates that around 1.7 billion individuals globally reside in regions facing yield gaps associated with human-induced land degradation (FAO, 2025).

Numerous scientists across the globe, including our research team in Basel, have utilized and assessed d13C compound-specific stable isotopes (CSSI) derived from long-chain fatty acids across various land uses as tracers. This methodology has been employed to monitor and identify erosion stemming from different land uses to river or lake sediments (Alewell et al., 2016; Upadhayay et al., 2022), as well as to depositional sites (Mabit et al., 2018), and to investigate land use changes within soil chronosequences (Swales and Gibbs, 2020). This analytical tool can act as a significant asset for global decision-makers, aiding in the protection of soil and water resources both in a general context and in relation to specific United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): 2 – Zero Hunger, 6 – Clean Water and Sanitation, 12 – Responsible Consumption and Production, 13 – Climate Action, 14 – Life Below Water, and 15 – Life On Land.

We present data of isotopes collected over several years from different land use in various regions including Europe (Switzerland, France, England, Scotland), South Korea, and Brazil. The isotopic values transition from being more depleted in temperate Europe to more enriched in the semi-humid Brazilian savannah, with South Korea exhibiting intermediate values. Furthermore, additional data from over 40 internationally published studies have been compiled to enhance our findings.

This is the first presentation of such a data collection, which can be continuously updated with the latest research findings, functioning as both an archive and a foundational data resource for sediment source attribution to ascertain the origins and potential causes of soil erosion. Additionally, a CSSI land use database encompassing numerous regions globally could significantly lessen the burden of costly and labor-intensive source soil sampling, particularly when time and resources are constrained.

 

References:

Alewell, C., Birkholz, A., Meusburger, K., Schindler Wildhaber, Y., and Mabit, L.: Quantitative sediment source attribution with compound-specific isotope analysis in a C3 plant-dominated catchment (central Switzerland), Biogeosciences, 13, 1587–1596, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-13-1587-2016, 2016.

FAO. 2025. The State of Food and Agriculture 2025 – Addressing land degradation across landholding scales. Rome.

Mabit, L., Gibbs, M., Mbaye, M., Meusburger, K., Toloza, A., Resch, C., Klik, A., Swales, A., Alewell, C.,: Novel application of Compound Specific Stable Isotope (CSSI) techniques to investigate on-site sediment origins across arable fields, Geoderma, Volume 316, 2018.

Swales, A. & Gibbs, M.: Transition in the isotopic signatures of fatty-acid soil biomarkers under changing land use: Insights from a multi-decadal chronosequence, Science of The Total Environment, Volume 722, 2020.

Upadhayay, H.R., Granger, S.J. & Collins, A.L. Comparison of sediment biomarker signatures generated using time-integrated and discrete suspended sediment samples.Environ Sci Pollut Res 31, 22431–22440 (2024). 

 

How to cite: Birkholz, A., Evrard, O., Foucher, A., Glendel, M., Park, J.-H., Ramon, R., Salvador-Blanes, S., Tiecher, T., and Alewell, C.: Global assessment of CSSI land use fingerprints of long-chain fatty acids in soils, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10161, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10161, 2026.

EGU26-10772 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Evaluation of Large Wood Accumulation Processes at a Retention Structure in the Rindbach Alpine Torrent (Austria): A Numerical Study 

Sophie Kienesberger, Isabella Schalko, Virginia Ruiz-Villaneva, and Christian Scheidl

In alpine torrents, the transport of large wood plays a significant role in the development of multi-hazard chains, while also contributing to channel complexity, sediment regulation, and the ecological functioning of mountain stream ecosystems, its mobilization during extreme events increases the risk of damage for infrastructures. The interaction between large wood, sediment and infrastructure such as engineering structures can lead to hazards, due to the formation of wood jams, related backwater effects, overtopping and unexpected morphological changes. Therefore, understanding the transport dynamics of large wood is fundamental for the design of resilient torrent control measures.

The Rindbach catchment in Ebensee close to the Traunsee (Austria) serves as a representative case study area for these processes. This torrent has a history of high wood recruitment driven by deforestation and avalanches such as the Häuseleckgraben avalanche in 2009 which delivered about 1,000 m3 of wood into the channel. A wood retention rack was built as part of a project by the Austrian Service for Torrent and Avalanche Control (WLV), after the flood event in 2013 that demonstrated the vulnerability of local settlements to wood-laden floods.

To analyze the potential formation of wood jams at the retention structure, the 2D numerical model IberWood is used. The methodology focuses on the interaction between channel morphology, hydraulic flow conditions and the variable transport pattern of large wood. To analyze the systematic response of the torrent to varying wood loads, historical high-flow conditions like the event in 2013 are used as a reference framework. The focus lies on identifying the amount of wood needed to clog the retention structure and affect its discharge capacity. The aims of this study are to provide valuable insights into the optimization of technical wood retention in torrential catchments and to contribute to the development of more resilient hazard mitigation measures in the Alps.

How to cite: Kienesberger, S., Schalko, I., Ruiz-Villaneva, V., and Scheidl, C.: Evaluation of Large Wood Accumulation Processes at a Retention Structure in the Rindbach Alpine Torrent (Austria): A Numerical Study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10772, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10772, 2026.

EGU26-11642 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Linking sediment connectivity with direct protection forest management: the case study of Lombardy Region  

Irene Vercellino, Gaia Mascetti, Giorgio Vacchiano, Gian Battista Bischetti, and Alessio Cislaghi

Direct protection forests (DPFs) play a key role in mitigating natural hazards by reducing their impacts on exposed elements such as buildings, infrastructure, and transportation networks. By definition, a DPF requires the simultaneous presence of three components: (i) a potentially damaging natural hazard, (ii) people or assets exposed to this hazard, and (iii) a forest capable of preventing or mitigating the resulting damage, thereby providing a protective function. Despite the conceptual clarity of this definition and the importance of DPFs for land-use planning, their delineation at the regional scale remains challenging. This is because the protective role of forests varies with the type of natural hazard and is often constrained by limited or heterogeneous data availability.

This study proposes an integrated, spatially explicit methodology for delineating DPFs based on the overlay of multiple geospatial information layers: (i) natural hazard maps describing the spatial distribution of susceptibility (or probability of occurrence) to shallow landslides, rockfalls, debris flows, and avalanches; (ii) a forest cover map providing both forest extent and canopy cover classes; (iii) elements at risk derived from regional authority databases; and (iv) a connectivity map used to identify sediment linkage areas between potential hazard source zones and exposed elements. A key component of this last layer is the Sediment Connectivity Index, which provides spatially explicit estimates of sediment connectivity and allows the identification of forest patches that perform a direct protective function for the selected elements at risk.

The methodology was applied to the Lombardy Region in northern Italy, whose territory extends over 23,860 km², including large portions of Italian Alps and Pre-Alps, and is characterized by a forests cover of approximately 6,259 km² (26% of the entire regional area). The results indicate that DPFs extend over 992 km², accounting for the 16% of the forested area. Based on this delineation, spatially distributed indices were developed to assess forest protection predisposition and the priority of silvicultural interventions. Overall, the proposed approach provides an effective decision-support tool for forest management, improving mapping consistency and supporting targeted strategies aimed at enhancing the long-term protective function and resilience of forests under increasing natural hazard pressure.

How to cite: Vercellino, I., Mascetti, G., Vacchiano, G., Bischetti, G. B., and Cislaghi, A.: Linking sediment connectivity with direct protection forest management: the case study of Lombardy Region , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11642, 2026.

EGU26-11837 | Orals | HS9.6

An integrated framework for evaluating large wood recruitment from hillslopes to channel network in forested mountain catchments 

Alessio Cislaghi, Silvio Oggioni, Francesco Bassi, Giorgio Vacchiano, and Gian Battista Bischetti

Large wood (LW) is a key factor influencing the physical, chemical, environmental, and biological characteristics of low-order mountain stream systems. LW recruitment is controlled by several physical processes, including debris flows, shallow landslides, streambank erosion, and windthrow, and it can significantly increase hazards to downstream populations and infrastructure during extreme events. Quantifying LW recruitment is particularly challenging due to the diversity of potential source areas and mobilization processes. 

Accurate quantification requires an integrated approach that accounts for LW recruitment from hillslopes mobilized by shallow landslides, from headwater hollows affected by debris flows, along the channel network through streambank failures, and during downstream transport. This study combines a physically based and probabilistic slope stability analysis, several empirical relationships for debris-flow initiation/propagation, a spatially distributed sediment connectivity index, and a simplified one-dimensional hydraulic model to simulate channel widening and downstream LW transport. Input parameters were derived from analyses of forest stand characteristics, soil and lithological properties, intensity–duration–frequency curves, and digital elevation model.

The proposed approach identifies critical channel stretches and crossing infrastructures that are most prone to obstruction by floating recruited LW. The model was applied to a small mountainous headwater catchment in the Northern Apennines, characterized by a dense forest cover and a high susceptibility to shallow landslides and debris flows, particularly in late spring and early autumn. Results indicate that the estimated LW volumes are comparable to those measured through field surveys, demonstrating the robustness of the proposed methodology. Because the approach relies on commonly available data, it represents a valuable tool for forest planning and management, for assessing the impacts of natural and anthropogenic forest disturbances (e.g., diseases, fires, clear-cutting, or clearing), and for supporting the optimal placement of in-channel wood retention structures.

How to cite: Cislaghi, A., Oggioni, S., Bassi, F., Vacchiano, G., and Bischetti, G. B.: An integrated framework for evaluating large wood recruitment from hillslopes to channel network in forested mountain catchments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11837, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11837, 2026.

EGU26-12086 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Global acceleration of sediment fluxes under post-1950 agricultural intensification 

Anthony Foucher, Olivier Evrard, Olivier Cerdan, and Sébastien Salvador-Blanes

Since the mid-20th century, agricultural intensification and expansion have profoundly altered sediment fluxes from cultivated landscapes to freshwater systems. However, the long-term (>70 years) regional and global imprint of these changes remains poorly quantified. Here, we present a global synthesis of sediment accumulation records from 812 lakes and reservoirs draining agricultural catchments affected by land use worldwide.

By compiling sediment accumulation rates (SAR), mass accumulation rates (MAR) and associated geochemical proxies constrained by robust age–depth models, we reconstruct multi-decadal sediment flux trajectories from 1900 to 2010 at global and regional scales, and compared them with global land use statistics. These trajectories provide an integrated proxy for long-term land degradation. Our results reveal a pronounced and sustained post-1950 increase in sediment fluxes, with global MAR and SAR rising by approximately 500% and 350%, respectively. This acceleration is observed across all regions of the world, although its timing and relationship with land-use change differ markedly. In Europe and North America, sediment fluxes increased earlier (1950s–1960s; ≈140%) despite declining agricultural land area, suggesting an anticorrelation with land extent but a strong link to the intensification of agricultural practices. In contrast, Africa, Asia and Latin America exhibited later accelerations (1980s–2000s) that are positively correlated with the agricultural expansion.

Together, these findings demonstrate that lakes and reservoirs in agricultural regions worldwide record a coherent sedimentary response to post-1950 agricultural changes, while highlighting regional contrasts in the mechanisms linking land use, land management and sediment delivery. This synthesis provides a long-term reference for evaluating the impact of agricultural intensification on soil degradation and freshwater systems during the Anthropocene.

How to cite: Foucher, A., Evrard, O., Cerdan, O., and Salvador-Blanes, S.: Global acceleration of sediment fluxes under post-1950 agricultural intensification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12086, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12086, 2026.

EGU26-13048 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Disrupted Connectivity: The Impact of Check Dams on Bedload Transport and Sediment Storage in the Gürbe Catchment 

Chantal Schmidt, David Mair, Brian McArdell, and Fritz Schlunegger

Check dams are widely implemented in Alpine torrents to mitigate natural hazards and regulate sediment fluxes, yet their influence on sediment transfer and connectivity remains poorly constrained. In particular, it is still unclear how a series of check dams can modify sediment connectivity, specifically the erosion, and deposition patterns along the sediment cascade. We address this gap in the 12 km² Gürbe catchment at the northern margin of the Swiss Alps, where a steep, geomorphologically active channel reach has been engineered by approximately 100 check dams. The Gürbe torrent originates in low-erodibility Mesozoic limestones and transitions downstream into highly erodible Flysch, Molasse, and glacial till. A glacially conditioned knickzone at ~1200 m a.s.l. marks the onset of strong channel incision and enhanced hillslope–channel coupling (Schmidt et al. 2026). Downstream of this knickzone, the channel steepens by about 3°, traverses a landslide-prone corridor, and finally reaches the alluvial fan, forming a reach that is almost entirely controlled by check-dam structures.

We investigated the impact of check dams on bedload transport using repeated uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) - based photogrammetric surveys, which allowed us to quantify volumetric changes of the channel bed and to track erosion and deposition patterns through time (seasonal to annual and decadal). Our results show that bedload transport within the engineered reach is highly discontinuous, particularly during frequent low- to moderate-magnitude flow events. Check dams interrupt sediment continuity and create a succession of closely spaced erosion and deposition zones, leading to pronounced spatial variability in sediment dynamics over short distances. Even during moderate floods, gravel-bar re-working differs markedly between adjacent dam sections. Sediment inputs strongly control these dynamics. Material delivered from upstream is repeatedly reworked as it passes through successive check-dam compartments, alternating between reaches dominated by deposition and by erosion. In contrast, lateral sediment inputs, especially from landslides, promote net deposition and progressive accumulation of stored bedload material that is only mobilized during larger, less frequent flood events. Further downstream segments with lateral input of sediment derived from tributaries as well as non-regulated channel reaches are characterized by enhanced sedimentary dynamics, leading to abundant channel reorganization.

Overall, the check-dam system exhibits a tendency toward net deposition and sediment storage on decadal timescales, with dams acting as temporary buffers that trap bedload. These accumulated sediments form a latent sediment stock that is episodically released during major events, when channel erosion intensifies and stored material is excavated and transferred downstream. Our findings demonstrate that check dams fundamentally shift bedload transport from a relatively continuous process toward a pulsed, event-driven regime characterized by persistent reworking, long-term accumulation, and episodic phases of intensified erosion and transport.

Schmidt, C., Mair, D., Akçar, N., Christl, M., Haghipour, N., Vockenhuber, C., Gautschi, P., McArdell, B., and Schlunegger, F.: Quantifying erosion in a pre-Alpine catchment at high resolution with concentrations of cosmogenic 10Be, 26Al, and 14C, Earth Surf. Dynam., 14, 33–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-14-33-2026, 2026.

How to cite: Schmidt, C., Mair, D., McArdell, B., and Schlunegger, F.: Disrupted Connectivity: The Impact of Check Dams on Bedload Transport and Sediment Storage in the Gürbe Catchment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13048, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13048, 2026.

EGU26-13341 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Discharge–Sediment Regimes in Peninsular Malaysia: A Multi–Scale Analysis Based on National Datasets 

Jiachun Huang, Edward Park, Ming Fai Chow, Xianfeng Wang, and Adam Douglas Switzer

Tropical monsoon rivers can export a disproportionate share of sediment during short–lived high–flow events, yet humid, low–relief regions remain underrepresented in global discharge–sediment syntheses. Here we compile national daily discharge (Q) and suspended–sediment discharge (Qs) records from Peninsular Malaysia and quantify fluxes, yields, and discharge–sediment coupling across 12 river basins from seasonal to interannual scales. Across catchment outlets (n = 30), runoff export is comparatively buffered (water yield, WY ≈ 240–7691 mm yr-1), whereas sediment export is highly uneven and episodic (sediment yield, SY ≈ 46–985 t km-2 yr-1), with a small number of rivers contributing most monitored sediment flux. Basin attributes define a dominant relief–to–lowland regional gradient, but this structure explains only a modest share of SY variability (R2 ≈ 0.15), , suggesting that sediment yield is strongly modulated by basin-scale processes beyond regional structure. Across outlets, SY scales with WY as a power law (SY = 1893.5WY0.68; R2 = 0.30, p = 0.002), but the coupling differs by coast (West: R2 = 0.49, p = 0.008; East/South: R2 = 0.21, p = 0.082), implying systematic regional contrasts in sediment yield at comparable runoff. Seasonality is strongly monsoon–driven, and sediment export forms the sharper pulse. The wettest three–month period typically carries ~32–68% of annual discharge but ~38–88% of annual sediment. Interannually, discharge varies within a modest range, while sediment export commonly changes several–fold, so moderately wetter years can dominate long–term sediment budgets. Regulation further modifies these dynamics without a single consistent direction, indicating that post–dam sediment delivery depends on basin–specific sediment supply, storage, and connectivity rather than trapping alone.

How to cite: Huang, J., Park, E., Chow, M. F., Wang, X., and Switzer, A. D.: Discharge–Sediment Regimes in Peninsular Malaysia: A Multi–Scale Analysis Based on National Datasets, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13341, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13341, 2026.

EGU26-14490 | Orals | HS9.6

Employing lipid biomarkers to constrain environmental controls on the export of plant, soil and -derived organic matter. 

Cindy De Jonge, Pien Anjewierden, Francien Peterse, Chantal Freymond, Hannah Gies, Melissa Schwab, and Timothy Eglinton

River systems transport and transform organic carbon (OC) from the terrestrial realm, before delivering this organic matter to deposition centers. Organic carbon with different ages, such as i) modern organic matter, ii) pre-aged organic matter from surface soils or riparian zones or iii) petrogenic or rock-derived organic matter, is transported under different environmental conditions. Using a 30-month high-resolution time series study of the organic matter content of the suspended load in the subalpine Sihl River watershed (Switzerland), the impact of hydrology and seasonality on the amount and source of organic matter was determined.

Previous work on the distribution and amount of suspended bulk OM and vegetation derived lipid biomarkers (long chain fatty acids and n-alkanes) revealed that hydrology and seasonality determine their fluxes (i.e. Schwab et al., 2025). Specifically, storms are interpreted to promote the mobilization of both contemporary plant detritus and surface soils. Because plant waxes are sourced from both modern vegetation and pre-aged soils, the unique contribution of pre-aged soil material was not targeted. Now, the analysis of branched GDGTs, bacterial membrane-spanning lipids produced in high abundance in soils, allows to track this specific C pool. Furthermore, these three lipid classes are expected to show a different recalcitrance to degradations (fatty acids>GDGTs>n-alkanes), which allows to determine the effect of age and degradation on the composition of suspended organic matter.

Across the sampling period, the export of branched GDGTs closely follows the hydrograph. High discharge conditions (>12.7 m3 s−1), typified by a high suspended sediment load, result in a high brGDGT export flux. The distribution of brGDGTs in these conditions points towards a higher altitude source of brGDGTs during winter, compared with summer. This is distinct from the lower altitude source derived from plant wax distributions (Schwab et al., 2023). Changes in relative contribution of the three biomarker classes indicate the presence of three end-members, i) an end-member of recently produced fresh organic matter, dominated by long-chain fatty acids, ii) an end-member with strongly degraded organic matter (n-alkane Carbon Preference Index < 2), dominated by n-alkanes and iii) a poorly defined end-member with increased n-alkane and GDGT concentrations, interpreted as an input of soils. Remarkably, the content of the radio-active isotope 14C (F14C), is not uniform for given end-member mixtures, indicating that age alone does not determine the relative abundance of the lipid classes.

In low discharge conditions, the low contribution of soil-derived GDGTs is overwritten by GDGTs produced in the aquatic system. As GDGT distributions reflect their production environment (soil versus aquatic), the use of GDGT ratios to quantify soil-derived versus aquatic bacterial biomass is evaluated. The direct effect of temperature on GDGTs produced in low discharge conditions, however, results in large ranges of their ratio values, complicating their proposed interpretation as a tracer for the provenance of aquatic biomass in river systems.

References:
Schwab, M. S., Haghipour, N. & Eglinton, T. I. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 391, 31–48 (2025).

How to cite: De Jonge, C., Anjewierden, P., Peterse, F., Freymond, C., Gies, H., Schwab, M., and Eglinton, T.: Employing lipid biomarkers to constrain environmental controls on the export of plant, soil and -derived organic matter., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14490, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14490, 2026.

EGU26-16353 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Combining elemental fractions as novel tracers with hysteresis analysis to improve the quantification of sediment sources during large storm events in (sub)tropical catchments 

Maarten Wynants, Nic Doriean, Cornelis Verboom, Ivan Lizaga, John Spencer, Will Bennett, Andrew Brooks, and Pascal Boeckx

Sediment pollution in (sub)tropical rivers and lakes of Queensland and East Africa is rapidly increasing, largely driven by subsurface erosion of deep alluvial and volcanic soils. These regions experience strong rainfall variability and flooding linked to climate and topographic controls, resulting in highly episodic soil loss and sediment transport. However, monitoring sediment sources during extreme events in remote (sub)tropical catchments remains challenging, meaning current understanding is often based on low temporal resolution data or visually dominant erosion features. In addition, the current set of sediment tracing approaches struggle to discriminate sources in deep tropical and alluvial soils or behave non-conservative in these environments.

This study addresses these methodological limitations to improve quantification of dominant sediment sources and soil loss processes in (sub)tropical catchments. We combine multiple water and suspended sediment monitoring tools, including low-cost automatic samplers, to capture the fluxes and variability of suspended sediment. We subsequently developed a novel sediment fingerprinting approach based on sequential extraction of elemental soil fractions. This tracer framework enables discrimination not only between catchment zones but also among multiple subsurface soil layers in deep alluvial and volcanic profiles. The tracer data are integrated into mixing models and event-scale sediment hysteresis analyses to construct dynamic sediment budgets and capture non-linear sediment responses to extreme rainfall.

Our results reveal the critical role of downwearing and chemical dissolution processes in large alluvial gullies of northern Queensland. These processes are largely neglected in current catchment models and gully analyses because they are not evident from repeat imagery assessments of gullies that demonstrate headcut retreat and bank collapse. In the Albert River (Southeast Queensland), we show that flooding associated with tropical Cyclone Alfred contributed approximately 60% of annual sediment export, dominated by erosion of subsurface soils from recent urban developments. This contrasts with earlier assessments in which radionuclide tracers provided only a binary subsurface signal, which together with visually evident bank collapse from aerial imagery led to attribution of sediment sources to alluvial bank erosion. Overall, our approach demonstrates how sediment source contributions and gully erosion processes shift dynamically during storm events, offering improved process understanding and more targeted management options under increasing climate extremes.

How to cite: Wynants, M., Doriean, N., Verboom, C., Lizaga, I., Spencer, J., Bennett, W., Brooks, A., and Boeckx, P.: Combining elemental fractions as novel tracers with hysteresis analysis to improve the quantification of sediment sources during large storm events in (sub)tropical catchments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16353, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16353, 2026.

EGU26-17224 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Event-based sediment loads from Austrian torrent catchments related to process and catchment characteristics 

Roland Kaitna, Maximilian Ender, Georg Nagl, Markus Moser, and Johannes Kammerlander

In engineering practice, the export of sediment loads during so-called “torrent events”, i.e. fluvial events or debris-flow events in steep headwater catchment, is of interest for short-term hazard assessment and longer-term sediment management in alpine regions. Several empirical models already exist for this purpose, each with varying degrees of complexity and uncertainty. In this study, a total of 3,642 torrent events in Austria, where information on the associated sediment load is available, were analyzed and related to geomorphological, geological, and hydro-meteorological boundary conditions. Despite of substantial scatter, we find that the type of event – fluvial flows or debris flows – as well as geology and geomorphology have the strongest control on sediment loads, while, interestingly, triggering precipitation show only limited correlations. Based on these results, we derive simple empirical equations to provide a data-driven assessment tool to estimate value ranges for future event sediment loads in torrent catchments in the Austrian Alps.

How to cite: Kaitna, R., Ender, M., Nagl, G., Moser, M., and Kammerlander, J.: Event-based sediment loads from Austrian torrent catchments related to process and catchment characteristics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17224, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17224, 2026.

EGU26-18366 | Orals | HS9.6

Escaping the black box: Addressing the mathematical blindness of sediment fingerprinting models 

Borja Latorre, Leticia Gaspar, and Ana Navas

In the last decade, sediment fingerprinting has evolved from a specialised geochemical technique to a widely used numerical tool for catchment management. However, as models become more complex (from Frequentist to Bayesian or Machine Learning approaches), a fundamental question arises: is the uncertainty in our results a product of environmental complexity or a consequence of the mathematical structures we use? This work advocates for a synergistic approach where mathematical rigor and field expertise are not just compatible, but inseparable.
Drawing on extensive research using virtual experiments and artificial laboratory mixtures, we demonstrate that unmixing models are inherently "blind" to any process not explicitly included in their underlying hypotheses. We show how common issues, such as high source variability, non-contributing sources, or particle size effects, often manifest as "model bias" when, in fact, they represent mathematical inconsistencies between the tracer signal and the model's assumptions.
We present the Consistent Tracer Selection (CTS) and the Linear Variability Propagation (LVP) methods as essential bridges between these two worlds. These tools allow researchers to test the mathematical consistency of their datasets before running any unmixing algorithm. Our findings, derived from comparing multiple model structures (including FingerPro, MixSIAR, and others), reveal a crucial reality: when tracers are selected following strict physical and mathematical criteria, the choice of the model becomes secondary.
The results show that different algorithms tend to converge on the same solution when the input data is consistent. Therefore, we argue that the future of sediment fingerprinting lies not in a "model war," but in a shift toward rigorous tracer validation. We conclude that understanding the mathematics behind the mixing process, such as the Conservative Balance (CB), is what allows us to interpret whether a model’s output represents a physical reality or merely a mathematical artifact.

How to cite: Latorre, B., Gaspar, L., and Navas, A.: Escaping the black box: Addressing the mathematical blindness of sediment fingerprinting models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18366, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18366, 2026.

EGU26-18921 | ECS | Posters on site | HS9.6

Experimental Investigation of Water-Flow Impact on Slit Dams with Varying Slit Widths 

Jianqiang Fan, Jinn-Chyi Chen, and Fengbin Li

Slit dams, a common type of check dam, are engineered to retain coarse sediment while allowing finer particles to pass through. During the interception of granular flows, a separation of water and sediment typically occurs, beginning with the initial impact and continuing through subsequent deposition stages. To fundamentally understand the mechanisms by which slit dams separate solid-liquid mixtures, it is essential to first isolate and examine the hydrodynamic impact of water on the dam structure in detail.

In the design of slit dams, the width of the slits between piers and the dam height are critical parameters. To investigate the effect of different slit widths, experiments were conducted in a rectangular transparent flume with a length of 1.58 m set at a fixed slope of 15°. Three slit configurations, labeled A4, A5, and A6 (representing arrangements with 4, 5, and 6 piers respectively), were tested in the flume. During the experiments, miniature pressure sensors were used to sample pressure fluctuations, and a high-speed camera operating at 400 fps was employed to capture the flow behavior. This setup allowed the detailed process of flow impacting the slit dams to be fully recorded for statistical analysis. The results indicate that the impact process can be divided into three stages: turbulent, stable, and decay. The maximum average impact force and overflow depth showed no significant difference across the different slit widths. The hydrograph for the A5 configuration, which exhibited high turbulence, demonstrated a longer duration and slower pressure decay, followed by A6 and then A4.

How to cite: Fan, J., Chen, J.-C., and Li, F.: Experimental Investigation of Water-Flow Impact on Slit Dams with Varying Slit Widths, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18921, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18921, 2026.

EGU26-20411 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Assessing Erosion Mitigation Effectiveness of Nature-Based Solutions Using InVEST® SDR Modeling: Application to the Carapelle Basin 

Ossama Mohamed Mahmoud Abdelwahab, Giovanni Francesco Ricci, Addolorata Maria Netti, Annunziata Fiore, Serine Mohammedi, Anna Maria De Girolamo, and Francesco Gentile

Mediterranean agricultural landscapes face significant challenges from soil degradation and erosion processes that compromise both productive capacity and downstream water resources, creating an urgent need for implementing sustainable conservation strategies through Nature-Based Solutions (NBSs). This research employed the InVEST Sediment Delivery Ratio (SDR) modeling framework to examine erosional dynamics and quantify the potential benefits of various NBS interventions within the 506 km² Carapelle catchment. Model calibration and validation procedures utilized empirical sediment yield observations from the 2007-2008 monitoring period, achieving optimal parameter adjustment with only 4.3% variance from field measurements. A 20-year measured weather data were used to run the InVEST SDR model. The investigation examined four distinct NBS implementation strategies: contour-based cultivation techniques (CF), conservation tillage practices (NT), vegetative cover establishment (CCs), and integrated management approaches (Comb). Annual soil displacement rates under baseline conditions ranged between 2.43 and 3.88 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ across the study years, with corresponding downstream sediment delivery of 0.86-1.30 t ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹. Conservation tillage emerged as the most effective single intervention, achieving an average 72.2% reduction in sediment transport. The integrated strategy combining conservation tillage with cover crop establishment delivered optimal results, yielding 75.9% and 70.5% reductions in sediment export and soil displacement, respectively. Geospatial evaluation demonstrated that forested and shrubland areas exhibited the highest natural retention capacity, while cultivated landscapes presented the greatest opportunities for NBSs deployment. The findings confirm that NBSs substantially improve sediment retention ecosystem services within Mediterranean agricultural watersheds. The InVEST SDR modeling approach demonstrates robust capabilities for catchment-scale erosion assessment. These outcomes offer practical insights for developing evidence-based land stewardship policies and conservation strategies in erosion-vulnerable Mediterranean regions.

How to cite: Abdelwahab, O. M. M., Ricci, G. F., Netti, A. M., Fiore, A., Mohammedi, S., De Girolamo, A. M., and Gentile, F.: Assessing Erosion Mitigation Effectiveness of Nature-Based Solutions Using InVEST® SDR Modeling: Application to the Carapelle Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20411, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20411, 2026.

EGU26-20802 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Sediment availability and connectivity: a geomorphological framework for debris-flow hazard assessment 

Marco Cavalli, Stefano Crema, Jacopo Rocca, Angelo Ballaera, Antonella Barizza, Giulio Gaigher, Elena Ioriatti, Lorenzo Marchi, Marco Piantini, Alessandro Sarretta, Margherita Agostini, Federica Bianchi, Marta Martinengo, and Tommaso Simonelli

The occurrence and magnitude of debris flows largely depend on the amount of sediment stored within a catchment and the effectiveness of its connection to the channel network. Quantifying both sediment availability and its connectivity is therefore a critical requirement for constraining numerical simulations used to delineate debris-flow inundation areas. To support more reliable hazard assessments in alpine regions, an integrated geomorphological framework was developed and implemented in the Camonica Valley (Italian Alps) to characterise potential debris flow behaviour. The approach places particular emphasis on sediment connectivity as a key link between sediment sources and downstream propagation, reinforcing the role of geomorphological and geomorphometric analyses as a foundation for numerical modelling. Field observations, historical records of past events, and morphometric indicators are jointly used to discriminate between dominant flow processes and to estimate the volumes of sediment that may be mobilised during extreme events. The workflow combines GIS-based regional screening of debris-flow susceptibility along the drainage network with the identification of sediment source areas derived from orthophotos and terrain analysis, followed by an explicit evaluation of sediment connectivity and field-based verification of sediment thickness. Overall, the methodology provides a coherent and transferable basis for debris-flow hazard zonation and land-use planning in mountain environments, with sediment connectivity explicitly embedded in the assessment process.

How to cite: Cavalli, M., Crema, S., Rocca, J., Ballaera, A., Barizza, A., Gaigher, G., Ioriatti, E., Marchi, L., Piantini, M., Sarretta, A., Agostini, M., Bianchi, F., Martinengo, M., and Simonelli, T.: Sediment availability and connectivity: a geomorphological framework for debris-flow hazard assessment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20802, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20802, 2026.

EGU26-21024 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Tracing hillslope sediment contributions to a lake shore using geochemical and fallout radionuclide fingerprints 

Leticia Gaspar, Borja Latorre, and Ana Navas

Soil erosion and sediment redistribution in Mediterranean agroforestry landscapes are strongly influenced by land use and substrate variability, affecting sediment delivery to downstream sinks. Identifying the relative contributions of hillslope sediment sources to depositional environments is essential for understanding sediment transfer processes and source–sink connectivity. In this study, sediment fingerprinting techniques were applied to quantify hillslope sediment contributions recorded in a lake shore sediment core within the endorheic Estaña catchment (NE Spain). The closed hydrological setting and the presence of a lake acting as a natural sediment trap provide favourable conditions for tracing sediment provenance from adjacent slopes. A sediment core collected at the lower part of the hillslope in a lake shore, was analysed and compared with potential sediment sources representing different land uses and lithological units. Potential source materials and sediment core samples, analysed as a sequence of 5 cm depth intervals from the surface to depth, were characterised using a suite of geochemical elements (Mg, K, Na, Pb, Ba, Zn, Sr, Li, Mn, Co, Ni, Cu, Cr, Fe, Al and Ca) and fallout radionuclides (137Cs and excess 210Pb). The unmixing model FingerPro 2.0 was used to identify and estimate the relative contributions of the potential sources to the lake shore sediment core, allowing uncertainty to be explicitly assessed. Preliminary results reveal marked spatial variability in sediment source contributions linked to land use and lithology on the contributing hillslope, demonstrating the potential of combining geochemical and fallout radionuclide tracers to improve the robustness of sediment fingerprinting in small Mediterranean catchments. This approach provides valuable insights into hillslope to lake shore sediment connectivity and contributes to a better understanding of sediment source dynamics and temporal shifts in dominant sediment sources under changing environmental conditions.

How to cite: Gaspar, L., Latorre, B., and Navas, A.: Tracing hillslope sediment contributions to a lake shore using geochemical and fallout radionuclide fingerprints, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21024, 2026.

EGU26-21094 | Posters on site | HS9.6

Water Demand for Sediment Transport in Rivers: Conceptualization and Computational Approaches 

Maohua Le, Chuansheng Guo, and Zijing zhou

Sediment transport water demand provides the critical theoretical foundation for effective watershed management, optimized reservoir operation, and sustaining river ecosystem health. This demand refers to the clear or sediment-laden water volume needed for transporting a specified amount of sediment to a downstream location within a given period, under defined flow-sediment and channel boundary conditions, while preserving a target erosion-deposition balance. This demand is governed by the sediment‑carrying capacity and channel‑forming processes of the river and is modulated by channel geometry, sediment supply dynamics, grain‑size distribution, target erosion‑deposition levels, and temporal scale. It manifests through multi‑factor coupling, spatiotemporal variability, scale dependency, and functional orientation. A range of methods have been developed to calculate this demand, including the definition method, the equilibrium sediment transport method, data‑based analysis, erosion‑deposition correction, energy balance, and non‑equilibrium sediment transport approaches. Drawing on case studies from the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach and the lower Yellow River, this paper examines the key characteristics of sediment transport water demand and compares the applicability of prevailing calculation methods.

How to cite: Le, M., Guo, C., and zhou, Z.: Water Demand for Sediment Transport in Rivers: Conceptualization and Computational Approaches, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21094, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21094, 2026.

EGU26-21560 | ECS | Orals | HS9.6

Hydraulic modeling of Natural Water Retention Measures for flood risk mitigation in Sicily 

Anna Sangiorgi, Martina Stagnitti, Mariano Sanfilippo, Luca Cavallaro, Enrico Foti, and Rosaria Ester Musumeci

Flood events show a worrying growth trend, in severity and frequency, compared to the past, in particular in the Mediterranean countries. In accordance with the recent Natural Restoration Law (2024), Natural Water Retention Measures (NWRMs) are configured as tools capable of integrating engineering interventions with nature-based approaches to mitigate flood risks. To the authors’ knowledge, there is a lack of studies on the quantitative assessment of the effectiveness of NWRMs. In this context, the present study proposes a methodology based on hydraulic modeling for the evaluation of the effects of some NWRM at catchment area scale for flood risk mitigation, considering two case studies in Sicily, i.e. the catchment areas of the Eleuterio and Belice rivers. Starting from the study of the land use and the lithology of the considered Sicilian catchments, the most appropriate NWRM proposals are defined, which are reforestation in uncultivated land and low- and no-till practices in agricultural areas. Multiple intervention scenarios are proposed to identify the most effective measures for the case studies: i) reforestation, assumed on increasing percentages of the areas allocated to such intervention, i.e. 25%, 55%, 85% and 100%, considering both the initial and final state of growth of planted tree species; ii) conservation agriculture techniques (low-till and no-till practices) in fields intended for arable and similar crops or/and in orchards, vineyards and olive groves; iii) the combination of the above mentioned interventions. By using a rainfall-runoff model based on the Curve Number method, four hydrographs at the river mouth are obtained for each scenario and for the no intervention case, corresponding to the return periods of 5, 50,100 and 300 years. The implementation of the considered NWRMs produces the reduction of the peak flow rates with respect to the no intervention case. The obtained hydrographs are then used as inputs for the 2D hydraulic model developed in HEC-RAS,  and flood maps are obtained. As expected, for both case studies, the best performances are obtained with the combination of reforestation and conservation agriculture techniques, with reduction in the water depth of flooded areas up to 34.52% for a return period of 5 years and 16.12% for a return period of 300 years, and in the extension of flooded areas up to 52.74% for a return period of 5 years and 8.35% for a return period of 300 years. Moreover, reforestation appears to provide the larger contribution to flood risk reduction.

How to cite: Sangiorgi, A., Stagnitti, M., Sanfilippo, M., Cavallaro, L., Foti, E., and Musumeci, R. E.: Hydraulic modeling of Natural Water Retention Measures for flood risk mitigation in Sicily, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21560, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21560, 2026.

EGU26-317 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

Hygroscopic weakening accelerates the transition to catastrophic failure during brittle creep in clastic rocks 

Rui Wu, Hongpu Kang, Fuqiang Gao, Xiangyuan Peng, Shuangyong Dong, Chenxi Zhao, Bing Li, Kerry Leith, Qinghua Lei, and Paul Selvadurai

Understanding how water influences slow fracture growth in rocks remains a major gap in our ability to predict time-dependent failure. In particular, it is still unclear how moisture-related weakening push a subcritically stressed rock from stable deformation into sudden collapse.

In this study, we investigate how hygroscopic weakening—caused by liquid water entering a notch—affects the creep behavior of a clastic rock loaded below its short-term strength. Using a sandstone beam (400 mm×90 mm×90 mm) in an inverted three-point bending setup, we first load the sample to about 67% of its failure strength more than 5 days, then introduce a controlled water drip directly into the notch.

We track the fracture response using digital image correlation, ultrasonic transmission, acoustic emission, and crack-opening measurements. The results show two distinct stages after water arrives:

  • a rapid increase in crack opening and loss of stiffness, consistent with moisture-driven softening; and
  • a slower but sustained rise in microcracking activity, leading to accelerated creep and, in some cases, catastrophic failure.

In contrast, identical dry beams remain stable over several days, confirming that water—not load alone—initiates the transition to instability.

These findings demonstrate that even small amounts of liquid water can sharply alter the long-term mechanical stability of brittle stressed rocks. This work highlights a potential pathway through which more frequent or intense wetting events could increase the likelihood of sudden rock failure in natural and engineered settings.

How to cite: Wu, R., Kang, H., Gao, F., Peng, X., Dong, S., Zhao, C., Li, B., Leith, K., Lei, Q., and Selvadurai, P.: Hygroscopic weakening accelerates the transition to catastrophic failure during brittle creep in clastic rocks, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-317, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-317, 2026.

EGU26-338 | ECS | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Multi-scale control of initial porosity distribution on deformation processes in a heterogeneous porous carbonate rock 

Catherine Dore-Ossipyan, Adriana Quacquarelli, Jean Sulem, Michel Bornert, Alexandre Dimanov, and Andrew King

Understanding the mechanical behavior of porous carbonate rocks is critical for improving reservoir management and developing sustainable energy solutions. Carbonate rocks are formed through complex sedimentary processes and diagenesis, leading to significant microstructural variability at multiple scales, which influences their mechanical properties. This complexity necessitates advanced experimental tools to accurately describe their behavior under various stress conditions. 

Recent studies have demonstrated that strain is accommodated heterogeneously in porous sedimentary rocks, such as sandstones and limestones. Precisely, formation of deformation bands has been observed under various loading conditions in porous limestones which can significantly affect the capacity, i.e., porosity, and thus permeability, of carbonate reservoirs. The inherent multi-scale nature of carbonate microstructure and deformation bands – from the grain to the reservoir scale – leads to a lack of comprehensive and high-quality data on the relationship between deformation modes and microstructure, despite significant advancements in the field. We propose to carry out extensive experimental investigations on a material at multiple scales and various loading conditions. 

This work explores empirically the relationship between the initial porosity distribution of the heterogeneous Saint-Maximin limestone and the deformation modes observed from the micrometer to the centimeter scale. At the standard laboratory centimeter scale, it was shown that the band pattern was controlled by the porosity heterogeneity at the centimeter scale, and initiated preferably in the zones of lower porosity, showing first order control of porosity at this scale. The abundance of SML experimental data and its heterogeneity were key advantages for exploring strain accommodation at lower scales. By conducting a series of in situ tests on smaller, 8 mm in diameter samples, we aimed to elucidate the role of porosity heterogeneity in the onset and propagation of deformation bands, thus enhancing our understanding of the mechanical processes governing carbonate rocks. Ultimately, the results could contribute to improved modeling of multiscale geosystems. 

How to cite: Dore-Ossipyan, C., Quacquarelli, A., Sulem, J., Bornert, M., Dimanov, A., and King, A.: Multi-scale control of initial porosity distribution on deformation processes in a heterogeneous porous carbonate rock, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-338, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-338, 2026.

EGU26-1649 | ECS | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Why firn (old snow) quakes - a continuum mechanics theory with granular legacy 

Anne Voigtländer and Bruce Gee

Granular materials compact, increase in density, and degas as they accumulate. This changes the material properties, storage capacities, and fracture mechanics.  We developed a mechanical model for compacting granular old snow.  Based on minimal assumptions and data, we address a general phenomenon in compacting granular medium: propagating ruptures or “firnquakes”.  

Compacting snow becomes firn then ice. As the snowpack consolidates, it transitions from a non-homogeneous granular material to a more elastic continuum material. We propose that the granular legacy produces spatial variations in density, stiffness, and pre-stress. This creates an internal structure of supports in unconsolidated snow at depth. Firn can quake when these supports collapse. By combining granular with brittle fracture mechanics and making use of statistical percolation theory, we can explain the conditioning, triggering, and progression of firnquakes in a bulk homogeneous material, with near constant boundary conditions.

Our model provides means to assess ruptures in granular materials, which unlike firnquakes, can have hazardous consequences, like landslides, avalanches, powder tailing failure. It also provides mechanistic explanations and statistical approaches to assess storage structure and capacity, which, in the case of Antarctic’s firn, has been linked to icesheet disintegration.

How to cite: Voigtländer, A. and Gee, B.: Why firn (old snow) quakes - a continuum mechanics theory with granular legacy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1649, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1649, 2026.

EGU26-3514 | Orals | EMRP1.2

Grain-scale 4D visualisation of strain partitioning during brittle creep in sandstone 

Michael Chandler, Xun Li, Alexis Cartwright-Taylor, Ian Butler, Damien Freitas, Birhanmeskel Woldemichael, Alexander Liptak, Robert Atwood, Ian Main, Maria-Daphne Mangriotis, Andrew Curtis, Florian Fusseis, and Mark Chapman
The partition of strain between seismic and aseismic processes, notably brittle creep, is highly variable in both tectonic and induced seismicity settings. The two processes have a complicated relationship, with brittle creep generally being associated with more distributed deformation and dynamic rupture with strain localisation. While the overall macroscopic strain behaviour during this process is reasonably well established, the mechanisms by which localised damage regions develop, interact, and ultimately coalesce to form localised fault zones remain under active investigation. The recent development of in-situ X-ray tomography during rock deformation experiments enables direct, time‑resolved, three‑dimensional interrogation of these processes at sub-grain scale.
 
Here, brittle creep was induced in a water-saturated sample of heavily cemented Clashach sandstone under triaxial conditions (σ3 = 20 MPa, Ppore = 5 MPa) using the University of Edinburgh’s “Stór Mjölnir” deformation rig (Cartwright-Taylor et al., 2022). This triaxial rig is equipped with piezoelectric transducers to monitor acoustic emissions and seismic velocity change, and was mounted on synchrotron beamline I12 at Diamond Light Source, UK. In-situ X-ray microtomography was conducted throughout the creep process with a voxel edge length of 7.91 μm, comfortably smaller than the average grain diameter of ≅ 300 μm. These coupled datasets allow for simultaneous monitoring of changes in seismic velocity, acoustic emissions, macroscopic and grain-scale strains as the sample creeps (Cartwright-Taylor et al., 2022, Mangriotis et al., 2025).
 
Main (2000) proposed a damage mechanics model that explains the three stages of decelerating, steady-state and accelerating creep through a combination of two mechanisms: initial deceleration due to local hardening processes, with later acceleration driven by interactions between cracks. These three stages were observed in the macroscopic axial strain data and seismic velocity variation, which fit the model closely. Digital Volume Correlation was used to observe the strains within the sample throughout creep. During primary creep, these strains are predominantly dilation, with a steep positive correlation between volumetric and shear strains. These dilational strains are strongly localised around where the eventual failure-plane nucleates. As the sample transitions into secondary creep at εz ≅ 1.85%,  vp reduces to around 85% of its initial value. More mixed compaction and dilation strains are observed, again localised around the eventual failure plane. A sharp burst of more widely distributed shear strain is observed at εz ≅ 1.9% as the strain transitions into tertiary creep, and vp falls to around 80% of its initial value. These strains correspond approximately to the onset of acoustic emissions. The DVC strains then revert to a largely dilational mode prior to dynamic failure. This localised combination of dilation and shear strain development, and evolution of their relative importance over time, independently validates the combination of localised hardening and crack interaction proposed by Main (2000).
 
Main (2000); https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-246x.2000.00136.x
Cartwright-Taylor et al. (2022); https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33855-z
Mangriotis et al. (2025); https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-03105-5

How to cite: Chandler, M., Li, X., Cartwright-Taylor, A., Butler, I., Freitas, D., Woldemichael, B., Liptak, A., Atwood, R., Main, I., Mangriotis, M.-D., Curtis, A., Fusseis, F., and Chapman, M.: Grain-scale 4D visualisation of strain partitioning during brittle creep in sandstone, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3514, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3514, 2026.

As a giant hydropower hub on the Jinsha River in China, the underground powerhouse and diversion tunnel of the Wudongde Hydropower Station (WHS) pass through phyllite strata. During tunnel excavation, the unloading stress path has a significant impact on the changes in the mechanical properties of the surrounding rock, while the deformation and failure of the rock mass accumulate continuously, making it urgent to conduct an in-depth study on the time-dependent characteristics of mechanical parameters. In view of this, phyllite samples from the engineering site were selected to carry out a comparative study on the instantaneous and long-term mechanical properties under loading-unloading conditions. To simulate the instantaneous effect of unloading during tunnel excavation, triaxial loading-unloading tests on phyllite were performed using the MTS815.03 test system, with synchronous acoustic emission (AE) monitoring. The test results revealed the evolution law of rock strength parameters under different unloading paths and the differences in the micromechanical mechanisms of unloading-induced failure. To simulate the evolution of mechanical behavior during the long-term operation of the tunnel, triaxial creep tests under loading-unloading stress paths were conducted using a TLW-2000 rock triaxial creep testing system. A creep constitutive model was established to describe the evolution relationship between the deformation and failure of the surrounding rock and time, and the degradation characteristics of its long-term strength parameters were clarified. The study indicates that for phyllite tunnels under long-term operation, the long-term degradation effect of mechanical parameters should be taken into account, and it is more reasonable to adopt the obtained long-term triaxial rheological strength parameters to assess the long-term operational stability of the tunnel. The research results provide a technical basis for the stability analysis and excavation support design of the tunnel.

How to cite: Zhu, J.: Study on Instantaneous and long-term Mechanical Properties of Phyllite under Loading and Unloading Conditions at Wudongde Hydropower Station, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4582, 2026.

EGU26-5089 | Orals | EMRP1.2

Time-dependent compaction creep in tuffs from Krafla volcano (Iceland) 

Michael Heap, Kamal Bayramov, Patrick Baud, and Anette Mortensen

Volcanic rock can be subjected to high and fluctuating pressures and stresses associated with volcanic activity and geothermal production. When subject to a high constant stress in the brittle regime (shallow depths), strain and porosity increase as a function of time, eventually leading to macroscopic failure—a process called brittle creep. In the ductile regime (deep depths), rare experiments have shown that strain accumulates and porosity decreases at a constant stress. During this process—called compaction creep—the rates of strain accumulation and porosity reduction decrease as a function of time. Here, we performed triaxial constant strain rate experiments and triaxial compaction creep experiments on three samples of tuff sampled from boreholes drilled into Krafla volcano (Iceland). The tuffs differ in terms of their source depth (~395, ~505, and ~690 m), macroscopic texture (grain size and distribution), and mineral content (different quantities of clay minerals/chlorite). The connected porosities of the tuffs, however, are very similar (0.29–0.35). We first performed X-ray computed tomography on each tuff in order to provide a quantitative description of their microstructure (grain size and distribution, and pore size, distribution, shape, and orientation). Triaxial constant strain rate experiments were then performed at different effective pressures to map out the yield cap for each tuff. Finally, triaxial compaction creep experiments were performed at effective pressures corresponding to the same position on the yield cap for each tuff. The constant differential stress used in these experiments was selected as the same proportion between the onset of inelastic compaction and the inflection point in the stress-strain curve from the constant strain rate experiment performed at the same effective pressure. All three tuffs accumulated strain and lost porosity as a function of time under a constant stress, although the rates of strain accumulation and porosity reduction, and therefore the maximum strain and porosity loss achieved at the end of the experiment, were different. For example, the porosity loss at the end of the experiments (after 100 hours) for the three tuffs was 0.014, 0.015, and 0.023. Because the connected porosity of the three tuffs is the same, differences in their compaction creep behaviour can be explained by differences in their microstructure and mineral content. The time-dependent compaction of porous volcanic rocks, demonstrated here for tuffs, has implications for volcano stability and geothermal production.

How to cite: Heap, M., Bayramov, K., Baud, P., and Mortensen, A.: Time-dependent compaction creep in tuffs from Krafla volcano (Iceland), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5089, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5089, 2026.

During uniaxial compression testing, the sample fails macroscopically in the form of longitudinal splitting. This indicates that, although only axial load was applied, internal tensile forces caused the sample to fail. In the classic Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, these tensile forces are not taken into account and the minimum principal stress is considered to be zero. In our modified Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion, we assume that during a uniaxial compression test, tensile stresses are generated in the rock, causing the specimen to fail. Under this assumption, it is possible to extend the stress state during a compression test into the tensile range. The hypothesis is that during a uniaxial compression test, failure is also determined by the tensile strength perpendicular to the load axis. Based on Mohr-Coulomb theory, it is now possible to determine the cohesion and internal friction coefficient from this stress state, knowing only the compressive and tensile strength of the rock.

This method has been tested for various rock types with known values for cohesion, internal friction coefficients, and tensile and compressive strength. Our method provides a good estimate of the intrinsic rock properties.

We present the theoretical basis for our modified Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion and its applicability to various rock types.

How to cite: Blöcher, G. and Cacace, M.: Estimation of cohesion and internal friction coefficient using a modified Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5143, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5143, 2026.

EGU26-5261 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

The effect of fluid chemistry on sandstone’s fracture toughness and frictional strength: Implications for brittle and ductile strength 

Corentin Noël, Patrick Baud, Francesco Lazari, Ghassan Shahin, and Marie Violay

In the upper crust, rock pore spaces may be occupied by fluids of diverse chemical compositions. Pore spaces can be naturally filled with water, carbon dioxide, oil or gas, or artificially saturated with reactive fluid for geo-engineering purposes, including geothermal energy, wastewater disposal, carbon dioxide or hydrogen storage. The presence of water and other fluids modifies the mechanical strength of porous rocks in both the brittle (i.e., localised) and ductile (i.e., distributed) regimes. According to micromechanical models, the strength of porous rock in the brittle regime is controlled by both frictional parameters and fracture toughness of the material, while inelastic compaction by cataclastic pore collapse is governed exclusively by fracture toughness. Experimental studies indicate that the presence of fluid affects the fracture toughness and static friction of limestones and sandstones. Accordingly, for a given rock type, fluid-induced weakening of the rock strength should be explained entirely by a decrease in fracture toughness and/or frictional parameters.

This interpretation is supported by measurements of the mode-I fracture toughness (KIc) and static friction (µs) of sandstones and limestones, under both dry and water-saturated conditions, which allow for the estimation of the uniaxial compressive strength and quantification of the degree of water-weakening. In this context, we investigate the influence of fluids and fluid composition on the mode-I fracture toughness and frictional strength of Adamswiller sandstone. This sandstone was selected because its mechanical behaviour is well-documented in the literature, and because both fluid presence and fluid composition have been shown to affect its response under uniaxial and triaxial compression. We tested a range of fluid-saturated conditions, including dry, deionised water, 6 mol NaCl solution, 0.1 mol HCl solution and 0.1 mol NaOH solution. For KIc, most of the weakening occurs between dry and fluid-saturated conditions, with additional reductions observed for acidic and basic solutions, with the greatest under basic conditions. For a saline solution, the extent of weakening relative to water-saturated conditions is unclear. In contrast, the measured static and peak friction coefficients are unaffected by either the fluid presence or the fluid composition. Incorporating the measured toughness and frictional strength into micromechanical models (wing crack model and pore collapse model) successfully reproduces fluid-weakening under uniaxial and triaxial conditions. The models capture the effective pressure dependence of fluid-weakening in both the brittle and ductile regimes, reproducing the observed strength variation associated with different fluid compositions. This experimental dataset provides new insight that constrains the micromechanical mechanisms governing porous rock deformation in natural and anthropogenic fluid-saturated environments, with direct implications for the safe exploitation of geo-reservoirs.

How to cite: Noël, C., Baud, P., Lazari, F., Shahin, G., and Violay, M.: The effect of fluid chemistry on sandstone’s fracture toughness and frictional strength: Implications for brittle and ductile strength, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5261, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5261, 2026.

EGU26-5766 | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Changes in rock dynamic elastic moduli after thermal cycling in a controlled environment 

Jan Blahůt, Tomáš Lokajíček, Artem Polezhaev, Ondřej Racek, and Marco Loche

Temperature fluctuations can influence the internal stress field of a rock mass, especially in its surficial layer. Inherent properties (mineral composition, porosity, and fracturing) and external forcing (air temperature, humidity, and solar radiation) control the heat flux and temperature within the rock. Long-term thermal forcing, particularly when combined with wetting-drying cycles, can exacerbate rock deterioration and weathering, leading to progressive changes in mechanical properties, as shown by laboratory experiments.

In this study, granodiorite samples from the Požáry field laboratory (Central Czechia) were subjected to thermal cycling in a controlled environment of a climate chamber, with repeated and increasing cycles reaching 80°C, a temperature that was most probably never reached after the rock´s formation.  During the cycling, repeated UPV measurements were made (P and S waves) to observe the changes in their velocity and the inferred dynamic elastic moduli.

The results showed slow but progressive decrease in the P and S wave velocities, suggesting rock damage after only a few cycles. This indicates possible increased rock wear in case of an expected future temperature rise.

How to cite: Blahůt, J., Lokajíček, T., Polezhaev, A., Racek, O., and Loche, M.: Changes in rock dynamic elastic moduli after thermal cycling in a controlled environment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5766, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5766, 2026.

 Large-magnitude earthquakes in the continental crust predominantly occur near the brittle–ductile transition zone, where the deformation behavior of rocks plays an important role in earthquake nucleation and energy release.Rocks deforming under high-temperature and high-pressure conditions within the brittle–ductile transition zone may exhibit mechanical responses controlled not only by temperature and stress level, but also by pre-existing microstructural features; in particular, perthitic feldspar, a widespread feldspar solid solution in the crust, commonly contains exsolution-related lamellar structures that may introduce orientation-dependent deformation behavior.Despite its common occurrence in mid-crustal rocks, the influence of pre-existing lamellar fabric orientation on the deformation behavior of perthitic feldspar, especially under brittle–ductile transition conditions, remains poorly constrained by experiments.Based on this background, we conducted high-temperature and high-pressure deformation experiments using a Griggs-type solid-medium apparatus to systematically investigate the deformation behavior of perthitic feldspar with different pre-existing lamellar fabric orientations.Samples were prepared with lamellar orientations at angles of 0°, 45°, and 90° relative to the maximum principal stress, and deformed at a confining pressure of 1 GPa, over a temperature range of 600–1050 °C, at strain rates ranging from 5 × 10⁻⁵ to 2 × 10⁻⁶ s⁻¹. Microstructures of the samples before and after deformation were characterized using scanning electron microscopy and electron backscatter diffraction, and the mechanical responses and microstructural features were compared among samples with different fabric orientations.The mechanical results show significant differences in peak strength among the three lamellar fabric orientations, with sample strength decreasing in the order of 45°, 0°, and 90° at the same temperature.All samples entered a plastic deformation regime above 800 °C (σd<Pc).Microstructural observations reveal that at low temperatures (<900 °C), pervasive brittle cracks crosscut both feldspar phases and are accompanied by localized ductile shear zones; at intermediate temperatures (900–950 °C), cracks are mainly confined within albite grains and are commonly oriented perpendicular to grain boundaries; at high temperatures (>950 °C), samples exhibit bulk plastic flow with a marked reduction in cracking.Notably, samples with a 45° lamellar orientation experienced pronounced bulk fragmentation at 1000 °C and 1050 °C.EBSD results show that K-feldspar does not develop significant changes in crystallographic preferred orientation during deformation, whereas albite exhibits progressively heterogeneous orientation patterns with increasing temperature, consistent with plastic deformation associated with subgrain rotation recrystallization.Together, the mechanical and microstructural results demonstrate that pre-existing lamellar fabric orientation exerts a significant influence on the deformation behavior of perthitic feldspar under brittle–ductile transition conditions, providing experimental constraints on strength anisotropy in feldspar-rich rocks.

How to cite: yaqi, C., jiaxiang, D., and yongsheng, Z.: Deformation behavior of perthitic feldspar under brittle–ductile transition conditions: effects of pre-existing lamellar fabric, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6075, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6075, 2026.

EGU26-7457 | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Unravelling Precursory Rockfall seismic signatures via multiscale clustering analysis 

Sergio Vinciguerra, Guido Maria Adinolfi, Wen Zhou, and Cesare Comina

Seismic monitoring is an effective tool for studying rock mass stability, playing a crucial role in detecting the precursory assessment of damage and cracking processes preceding and accompanying macroscopic failures.

We first present the seismic monitoring results from the Lorgino Quarry in Crevoladossola (NW Italy) where a 6000 m³ rock-fall occurred on January 26, 2023 shortly after deploying a small-aperture array (about 100 meters) of three seismic stations, equipped with a tri-axial, velocimetric sensor and data-loggers sampling at 250 Hz. The rock fall took place about a month after the site-specific seismic array installation at the lithological contact between folded gneisses and a dolomitic limestones unit, mainly composed of dolomites and dolomitic saccharoid marbles. The rockfall seismic signature lasted 15s and the spectral analysis shows the occurrence of multiple sub-episodes of slip triggered by the initial rupture. 

As no obvious correlations between precursory activity and the rockfall occurrence were observed via traditional seismological approaches, we applied an unsupervised deep-learning method that combines a deep scattering network, for automatic feature extraction, with Gaussian mixture model clustering. This approach successfully identified low-amplitude signals occurring nearly one hour before the rockfall, nearly undetectable in raw seismic records and likely associated with a nucleation phase occurring well before the acceleration to failure.

In order to investigate the physical mechanisms driving the nucleation phase, we carried out rock deformation laboratory experiments, where marble cylindrical samples (100x40mm) from the quarry were triaxially loaded in compression to failure at constant effective pressure (20MPa) while an array of 16 Piezoelectric Transducers recorded the ongoing Acoustic Emissions (AE). The time and spatial distribution of AE reveal the nucleation and growth of patches led by limited occurrence of low energy AE events and the coalescence of microfractures into cm-scale macroscopic ruptures planes leading to AE clustering and stress drop and a peak in number of events and energy. Preliminary source mechanism analysis, carried out by developing an automated focal mechanism inversion workflow for AE based on P-wave first-motion, integrating polarity and amplitude measurements, suggests that the inverted focal mechanisms are stable and broadly consistent with the imposed stress conditions, highlighting the potential of the workflow to improve source mechanism quality by identifying and excluding unreliable solutions.

How to cite: Vinciguerra, S., Adinolfi, G. M., Zhou, W., and Comina, C.: Unravelling Precursory Rockfall seismic signatures via multiscale clustering analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7457, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7457, 2026.

With the extension of mining and tunneling engineering into deep complex water-bearing strata, the interaction between groundwater and rock mass has become a critical factor governing mechanical excavation efficiency. The presence of water fundamentally alters the rock fragmentation characteristics, and understanding this hydro-mechanical coupling is prerequisite for optimizing conical pick performance. In this study, a comprehensive experimental framework combining macroscopic indentation tests and microscopic characterization was established to evaluate the breakability of twenty distinct lithologies under dry and saturated conditions. The variation of Peak Indentation Force (PIF) and cutting work was monitored, alongside micro-analysis using SEM and XRD to reveal the intrinsic controls of mineral composition and pore structure. The results demonstrate a lithology-dependent bifurcation: porous sedimentary rocks exhibit significant degradation in strength due to pore pressure wedging and chemical softening, whereas dense magmatic rocks remain largely insensitive to saturation. Furthermore, to bridge the gap between experimental data and field application, an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model was used. Feature importance analysis reveals that under water-saturated conditions, the Brittleness Index surpasses hardness as the dominant predictor for rock breakability. This study quantifies the water-weakening mechanism and provides a data-driven approach for predicting cutter performance and improving excavation efficiency in water-bearing environments.

How to cite: Shi, X. and Wang, S.: Experimental investigation and machine learning prediction of water-weakening effects on rock breakability by conical pick, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8640, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8640, 2026.

Frost heave and thaw settlement are among the most widespread and destructive geotechnical hazards in cold regions, posing serious threats to the safety and long-term performance of infrastructure. The initiation and evolution of these hazards are highly dependent on the mechanical properties of frozen soils, such as compressive strength, cohesion, internal friction angle, and deformation modulus. These properties are jointly controlled by temperature, ice content, water content, and freeze–thaw cycling, resulting in strong nonlinearity, temporal variability, and spatial heterogeneity. As a result, conventional laboratory testing and empirical approaches often suffer from high cost, low efficiency, and limited applicability in parameter determination and prediction. In recent years, machine learning techniques have been increasingly applied to predict soil mechanical parameters due to their ability to handle multi-source data and capture complex nonlinear relationships. However, the strong temperature sensitivity of frozen soil behavior makes it difficult to achieve high prediction accuracy by solely establishing mappings between temperature–moisture–structural characteristics and mechanical responses. This challenge highlights the necessity of data-driven modeling frameworks that explicitly consider stress states and thermomechanical coupling effects. In this study, a machine learning–based framework was developed to predict the strength characteristics of frozen clay. A total of 116 sets of directional shear test data were used to train and validate four machine learning algorithms. The intermediate principal stress coefficient, principal stress axis orientation angle, mean principal stress, and temperature were selected as input variables, while frozen clay strength was taken as the output. Model performance was systematically evaluated using cross-validation and further verified through comparison with supplementary experimental data. Based on the optimal model, the distribution of frozen clay strength within a multi-dimensional input parameter space was analyzed. In addition, model interpretability techniques were employed to conduct sensitivity analysis, enabling quantitative evaluation of the relative importance of different input parameters. The results demonstrate that machine learning approaches can accurately reproduce the stress–strain behavior and failure strength of frozen clay, while effectively capturing the complex nonlinear relationships between strength and controlling factors. Overall, this study shows that machine learning provides a robust and efficient alternative for predicting frozen soil mechanical parameters. The proposed framework enhances prediction.

How to cite: Wang, D.: Prediction of Frozen Clay Strength Under Different Temperature Conditions Using Machine Learning Approaches, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11103, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11103, 2026.

EGU26-11234 | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Optimization of Tunnel Support Systems in High-Stress Geological Zones: A Case Study of Diamer-Basha Dam 

Umair Aman, Zulfiqar Ali, Sardar Nasir Hussain, Shahid Nazeer, and Muhammad Ayub

Excavating large-scale tunnels in tectonically active regions, such as the Himalayan seismic zone, challenges the stability of underground structures due to high in-situ and induced stresses. The Diamer-Basha Dam (DBD) project involves complex tunneling through heterogeneous bands of granite and diorites, necessitating an engineered support system to mitigate progressive rock mass failure. In Pakistan, the tunnel support often relies on empirical classifications like the Rock Mass Rating (RMR) and Q-system. These systems provide a useful initial estimate; however, their direct application without site-specific calibration frequently results in conservative or over-designed support systems. This study investigates an optimized support framework by integrating empirical characterization with numerical Finite Element Method (FEM) analysis. Using geological data acquired from the site, including face maps and borehole logs, we classified rock mass and simulated its response to excavation using RS2 software. The research specifically evaluates the mechanical efficacy of Fiber Reinforced Shotcrete against optimized combinations of plain shotcrete and active rock bolts. Numerical simulations indicate that the in-situ rock mass possesses sufficient self-supporting capacity in specific zones to allow for a reduction in shotcrete thickness when supplemented with bolting. The models demonstrate that optimized designs maintain the required structural stability while reducing material consumption. These findings suggest that a hybrid empirical-numerical framework offers a cost-effective engineering solution for large excavations. By validating support performance through numerical modelling, this study provides a repeatable framework for optimizing tunnel support in complex geological environments.

How to cite: Aman, U., Ali, Z., Hussain, S. N., Nazeer, S., and Ayub, M.: Optimization of Tunnel Support Systems in High-Stress Geological Zones: A Case Study of Diamer-Basha Dam, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11234, 2026.

EGU26-11286 | ECS | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Investigating the thermal behavior of exfoliation sheets in granitic cliffs (Yosemite, USA) through laboratory experiments and numerical modeling  

Filippo Giorgi Spreafico del Corno, Federico Agliardi, Riccardo Castellanza, Greg M. Stock, Rebecca Bruschetta, and Brian D. Collins

Yosemite National Park (California, USA) is characterized by high granitic rock walls affected by diffuse rock slope instabilities. These pose high rockfall hazards to roads and threaten the lives of millions of people that every year access the park to visit the natural beauties of Yosemite Valley, walk trails and climb iconic rock walls like El Capitan. Here, rockfalls are chiefly triggered by the progressive failure of portions of exfoliation sheets (“flakes”) bound to the cliff by rock bridges. In this context, identifying potentially unstable flakes is crucial for risk mitigation, yet the field characterization of such flakes remains difficult, highlighting the need for remote sensing mapping methods.

At the southeastern face of El Capitan, in situ time-lapse infrared thermographic (IRT) surveys, conducted in October 2024, revealed that exfoliation sheets cool faster than the surrounding rock mass heated by the same daily solar forcing. To lay foundations for a remote detection methodology, we carried out a combined laboratory and numerical study of the IRT signature of daily heating and cooling of exfoliation sheets and the underlying physical processes.

We conducted 37 laboratory experiments in a controlled setup, where the cooling of 20 cm by 20 cm granite slabs with variable thickness (1-6 cm) and opening of a simulated exfoliation joint (2-54 mm), oven-heated at 85°C, is monitored by contact thermocouples and a high resolution thermal camera. For each tested combination of slab thickness and joint aperture, we recorded detailed temperature time series and modelled cooling curves using the lumped capacitance solution of Newton’s law of cooling.

Experimental results show that, until a threshold value of the thickness/aperture ratio is reached, IRT can detect a dependence between the cooling rate of the external slab face and the aperture of the simulated exfoliation joint, with two contrasting trends. For very small aperture, cooling speed decreases with aperture. Beyond a certain aperture value, varying with slab thickness, the slab face cools faster as joint aperture increases.

To investigate the physical processes underlying this behaviour, we reproduced our experiments by 2D and 3D finite-element numerical simulations with the software Temp/W-GeostudioTM, considering different conditions (i.e. initial temperature of the cliff rock behind the flake, conduction, and air convection parameters). Model results suggest that convective heat transport in the open simulated joint strongly controls the thermal energy dissipation within the cooling flake. For very small joint apertures or limited convective circulation, the insulating effect of air results in slower flake cooling. However, for increasing joint aperture and thus greater air convection, the results indicate more effective heat dissipation and associated faster cooling. Our study provides a quantitative framework towards the development of remote mapping of unstable rock features upon proper methodology upscaling to in situ conditions.

 

How to cite: Giorgi Spreafico del Corno, F., Agliardi, F., Castellanza, R., Stock, G. M., Bruschetta, R., and Collins, B. D.: Investigating the thermal behavior of exfoliation sheets in granitic cliffs (Yosemite, USA) through laboratory experiments and numerical modeling , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11286, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11286, 2026.

Fault zones in clay-rich formations play a critical role in controlling deformation, fluid flow, and stability in both natural and engineered subsurface systems, including earthquake rupture, underground storage, and radioactive waste disposal. However, the coupled hydro-mechanical behavior of natural fault rocks remains poorly constrained due to the difficulty of obtaining representative samples and performing fully coupled laboratory experiments. Here, we present results from petrophysical and fully hydro-mechanically coupled triaxial compression tests on preserved natural fault material from scaly clay sections of the Main Fault intersecting the Opalinus Clay formation at the Mont Terri Underground Research Laboratory, Switzerland.

The hydraulic properties of scaly clay Opalinus Clay were measured using flow-through experiments on back-saturated specimens. Permeability coefficients determined sub-parallel to the orientation of bedding and tectonic shears are up to three orders of magnitude larger than those of the intact rock. The shear experiments were conducted under undrained conditions at different effective confining stresses, allowing direct observation of stress–strain behavior, pore pressure evolution, and effective stress paths up to large axial strains. In contrast to intact Opalinus Clay, the faulted scaly clay exhibits continuous strain hardening without a distinct peak stress or post-peak weakening. Deformation is distributed and accommodated by the reactivation of multiple pre-existing tectonic micro-shear. The shear strength analysis within a Mohr–Coulomb framework reveals that the scaly clay fabric has effectively zero cohesion and a shear strength that is lower than even the residual strength of intact Opalinus Clay. Microstructural observations confirm that deformation proceeds through distributed sliding along an anastomosing network of polished micro-shears surrounding undeformed microlithons.

These results demonstrate that inherited fault-zone fabric exerts a first-order control on both mechanical strength and hydro-mechanical coupling in clay-rich faults. Incorporating fabric-and stress-dependent behavior as well as critical-state deformation into constitutive models is therefore essential for realistic predictions of fault reactivation, pore pressure evolution, and long-term stability of low-permeability clay formations.

How to cite: Winhausen, L., Ziegler, M., and Amann, F.: The hydro-mechanical coupling, reduction of effective strength, and critical state shearing of faults: Evidence from laboratory testing on natural fault rock, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13046, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13046, 2026.

EGU26-13221 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

Resolving Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical Coupling and Progressive Damage in a Metastable Toppling Rock Slope using Integrated Fiber-Optic Monitoring 

Mingyue Yuan, Jacob Hirschberg, Nicolas Oestreicher, Larissa de Palézieux, and Jordan Aaron

The behaviour of slowly moving rock slope instabilities in alpine regions is governed by the interaction between inherited structural discontinuities and externally imposed environmental forcing, yet the mechanisms linking these controls across scales remain poorly constrained due to the lack of continuous subsurface observations. Rock slope toppling represents a typical form of such structure-controlled deformation. Here, we present a comprehensive investigation of a structurally complex toppling rock slope in pre-Variscan metamorphic units in the Bedretto Valley (Swiss Alps). This landslide is intersected by the unlined Bedretto Tunnel over a length of approximately 450 m. The presence of the tunnel and the associated facilities of the Bedretto Underground Laboratory provides a unique opportunity to resolve spatially variable deformation.

To understand the controls on the motion of this landslide, we installed a multi-parameter monitoring network, which integrates surface and subsurface measurements. It combines meteorological stations covering the toppling crown and toe, sectional groundwater pressure monitoring, and a 2-km-long distributed fiber optic sensing (DFOS) cable anchored along the Bedretto Tunnel. This configuration provides a unique internal view of deformation within the rockmass, enabling continuous, decimeter-scale observations of microstrain and temperature beneath up to 1500 m of overburden.

The measurements reveal two distinct deformation responses of the landslide. First, reversible, centimeter-scale strain oscillations correlate with surface temperature fluctuations but exhibit anomalously high amplitudes and penetration depths, which cannot be explained solely by conductive heat transfer. This points to a non-local thermoelastic response, whereby far-field thermal stresses are generated and anisotropically transmitted through the fracture network within the rockmass. Superimposed on this cyclic thermoelastic background, the data reveal discrete, irreversible strain steps near critical fracture zones. These steps temporally coincide with major seasonal hydrologic events including sustained snowmelt and intense rainfall when a two-layer bucket model predicts corresponding peaks in groundwater storage and pressure transients. This correlation provides direct evidence for hydro-mechanically driven, progressive damage within the fracture network of the slope.

Multivariate decomposition of the deformation time series isolates not only the dominant thermo-hydraulically driven cyclic signal, but also residual components characterized by spatially variable, and locally opposing, monotonic strain trends. These opposing trends are partially explained by the mechanical and geometrical heterogeneity of the fracture network and reveal the accumulation of progressive inelastic deformation. Beyond direct thermal or hydraulic forcing, such components suggest a creep-like weakening mechanism of the rockmass under quasi-static gravitational stress.

These findings reveal the dynamics of a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical system, in which seasonal forcing drives both reversible deformation and irreversible damage. The study thus highlights the critical role of discontinuities in controlling slope behavior, showing how transient hydrology and thermal cycling progressively degrade rockmass strength along pre-existing fractures and joints, ultimately weakening large rock slope failures.

How to cite: Yuan, M., Hirschberg, J., Oestreicher, N., de Palézieux, L., and Aaron, J.: Resolving Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical Coupling and Progressive Damage in a Metastable Toppling Rock Slope using Integrated Fiber-Optic Monitoring, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13221, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13221, 2026.

EGU26-15252 | ECS | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Multiscale controls on cyclic damage and elastic memory in heterogeneous rocks from a porphyry copper system 

Matías Clunes, Francisca Valdés, Tomás Roquer, Jorge Cortez, Martín Garrido, John Browning, Roberto González, and Luis Felipe Orellana

Understanding damage accumulation under cyclic loading is critical for assessing the stability of deep excavations and heterogeneous crustal rocks subjected to repeated stress perturbations. Subvolcanic and volcanic lithologies typical of porphyry copper systems, and analogous to shallow volcanic crust, exhibit strong mineralogical and structural heterogeneity due to intrusive processes, veining, and hydrothermal alteration, challenging models derived from homogeneous rocks. We present results from uniaxial and triaxial cyclic loading experiments on five lithologies from the El Teniente porphyry copper deposit (tonalite, diorite, porphyritic dacite, veined andesite, and hydrothermal breccia), conducted under confining pressures up to 25 MPa and coupled with continuous acoustic emission (AE) monitoring. Cycles of increasing stress amplitude were used to quantify stiffness degradation and acoustic memory through the Felicity Ratio (FR). Elastic moduli were derived from unloading branches, allowing direct comparison with elastic reversibility frameworks proposed for crystalline rocks. Homogeneous to moderately heterogeneous lithologies exhibit gradual stiffness loss and limited departure from elastic reversibility, whereas strongly heterogeneous rocks display pronounced stiffness fluctuations, early deviation from elastic behaviour, and broad FR dispersion, indicating intermittent strain localization and partial loss of elastic memory. Increasing confinement reduces mechanical and acoustic scatter, highlighting the stabilizing role of lateral stress. Ongoing work integrates photogrammetry-based quantification of grain-size distributions, vein density, vein thickness variability, and alteration intensity. These micro- and mesoscale descriptors are used to explore correlations with mechanical degradation rates and acoustic reactivation patterns observed during cyclic loading. This combined mechanical–microstructural approach aims to clarify how lithological heterogeneity governs the style, rate, and intermittency of cyclic damage in subvolcanic crust, with implications for deep mining stability and stress cycling in volcanic systems.

How to cite: Clunes, M., Valdés, F., Roquer, T., Cortez, J., Garrido, M., Browning, J., González, R., and Orellana, L. F.: Multiscale controls on cyclic damage and elastic memory in heterogeneous rocks from a porphyry copper system, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15252, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15252, 2026.

EGU26-15305 | Orals | EMRP1.2

Alteration-related damage thresholds in cyclically loaded rocks from deep mining environments 

Francisca Valdés, Matías Clunes, Tomás Roquer, Jorge Cortez, Martín Garrido, John Browning, and Luis Felipe Orellana

Hydrothermal alteration exerts a first-order control on the mechanical behaviour of rocks in deep mining environments by modifying mineralogical composition, grain bonding, and internal structures. In porphyry copper systems, quartz–sericite, potassic and chloritic alteration produces strong contrasts between mechanically competent and weak mineral phases, influencing damage accumulation and failure under cyclic stress conditions. However, experimental constraints on how alteration intensity governs mechanical degradation and acoustic response during cyclic loading remain limited. We investigate the mechanical and acoustic behaviour of rocks exhibiting variable degrees of alteration from a porphyry copper deposit. A total of 57 specimens, classified according to their alteration intensity, were subjected to single-cycle and multi-cycle compression tests under unconfined and confined conditions (σ₃ = 15 MPa). Acoustic emission (AE) monitoring was performed continuously to track microcrack activity and damage evolution during loading. Analysis of the unloading modulus throughout cycles reveals a progressive stiffness degradation that correlates with internal damage accumulation. In general, ‘perfect elasticity’, where loading and unloading gradients converge, is only observed at low stress levels, typically between 20% and 40% of the peak strength. These results contrast with previous studies on more homogeneous rocks, where a broader elastic range were reported. Our findings indicate that beyond 40% threshold, the divergence between loading and unloading moduli increases sharply as a function of cycle accumulation. Samples enriched in softer mineral phases (sericite-rich) exhibit distinct acoustic signatures that reflect a more distributive damage mechanism, whereas quartz- and K-feldspar–dominated rocks, characterized by higher mineral hardness, show a greater damage and microcrack accumulation. This is quantitatively supported by the Felicity Effect analysis: under unconfined conditions, rock dominated by harder mineral phases exhibit lower Felicity Ratio (FR) values, indicating significant pre-peak damage. However, the introduction of a 15 MPa confining pressure leads to a homogenization of the FR across all alteration intensities, as the external stress suppresses micro-cracking regardless of the initial mineralogical heterogeneity. Ongoing analysis explores relationships between alteration degree, mineralogical composition, cyclic damage thresholds, and post-test fracture patterns. By integrating mechanical measurements and acoustic emission data, this work aims to clarify how hydrothermal alteration governs damage accumulation and failure processes in heterogeneous rocks subjected to cyclic stressing, with implications for deep mining stability and induced seismicity.

How to cite: Valdés, F., Clunes, M., Roquer, T., Cortez, J., Garrido, M., Browning, J., and Orellana, L. F.: Alteration-related damage thresholds in cyclically loaded rocks from deep mining environments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15305, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15305, 2026.

EGU26-17417 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

Dense ultrasonic imaging of thermo-mechanical stress changes in a limestone cliff 

Alex Rolland, Romain Rousseau, Noélie Bontemps, Juliane Starke, Ludovic Moreau, Laurent Baillet, and Eric Larose

Rock fracturing driven by temperature fluctuations, rainfall, and freeze–thaw cycles governs both long-term landscape evolution and the onset of rock-slope instabilities. However, the thermo-mechanical stress field that develops within the first decimeters of exposed rock—and its role in sub-critical crack growth—remains poorly constrained, largely because it cannot be directly observed at relevant spatial and temporal scales in-situ.

We present a new dense ultrasonic monitoring experiment designed to image near-surface stress, rigidity, and damage in an unstable limestone cliff. The system consists of more than 50 permanently installed ultrasonic transducers deployed over a 4 m² area on a 50-m-high limestone pillar located in the foothills of Larzac, southern France. Half of the sensors operate as emitters and half as receivers, allowing repeated, highly redundant measurements of travel times and waveforms across hundreds of ray paths. Using acousto-elasticity, temporal changes in ultrasonic velocity provide a quantitative proxy for stress and crack evolution, while waveform decorrelation enable tracking of micro-damage and scattering.

The high spatial density of the array enables 2-D and potentially 3-D tomographic imaging of stiffness and damage within the rock surface layer, resolving gradients that are invisible to sparse instrumentation or bulk resonance methods. First results reveal pronounced diurnal velocity variations that correlate with surface temperature and solar radiation, indicating strong thermo-elastic control on near-surface stress and fracture opening.

This new monitoring approach opens the door to direct, time-lapse imaging of climate-driven damage in rock slopes, providing a critical link between environmental forcing, sub-critical cracking, and the progressive weakening that precedes rockfall and cliff collapse.

This work was funded by the European Research Council (ERC) under grant No. 101142154 - Crack The Rock project.

How to cite: Rolland, A., Rousseau, R., Bontemps, N., Starke, J., Moreau, L., Baillet, L., and Larose, E.: Dense ultrasonic imaging of thermo-mechanical stress changes in a limestone cliff, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17417, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17417, 2026.

EGU26-17519 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

Impact of creep mechanisms on stress and deformation behaviour around salt caverns 

Gaurav Jain, Brecht Wassing, Suzanne Hangx, Jan Ter Heege, and Hans de Bresser

Salt caverns are formed by solution mining and may be used for energy storage purposes after the production phase. During the operational lifetime, and in particular during abandonment, the spatial and temporal distribution of stress changes and deformation around caverns leads to convergence of salt around the caverns. In turn, this may lead to surface subsidence and potentially affect cavern integrity. Deformation around salt caverns is governed by different creep mechanisms, encompassing transient and steady-state creep stages. Steady-state creep is governed by a combination of dislocation and diffusion creep mechanisms. Deformation due to dislocation creep is dominant at relatively high stresses, whereas grain size-sensitive diffusion creep, particularly pressure solution, contribute significantly at low stresses. When modelling rock salt behaviour, these mechanisms need to be properly accounted for. Recently, studies have suggested that a threshold differential stress may exist below which pressure solution does not take place, which needs to be accounted for. In addition, dynamic recrystallisation may take place through grain boundary migration, driven by differences in energy stored in neighbouring grains due to dislocation creep strain. The process of grain boundary migration reduces the (work hardening) energy in the system as old grains are consumed by new ones, causing weakening. Furthermore, incorporation of transient creep is generally based on the description given in the Munson and Dawson model.

In this study, we aim to simulate different cavern operation phases, such as leaching, production, and abandonment, to analyse the effect of transient creep, pressure solution creep and its threshold stress on the stress and deformation evolution around the cavern. The coupled effects of these complex creep characteristics on cavern behaviour have not yet been studied in detail. Such, more extensive coupling, are needed to better align laboratory- and field-based observations of salt mechanical behaviour, and apply it to large-scale numerical models. The commercial mechanical simulator FLAC (Fast Lagrangian analysis of continua) has been used to develop a 2D model for a single cavern system, which can be used to examine cavern convergence, subsidence and cavern integrity. An empirical model is used to define the threshold strain limit for dynamic recrystallisation by grain boundary migration, analogous to the Munson-Dawson strain limits for transient creep.

The results show a significant effect of pressure solution creep on stress and deformation behaviour around the cavern. In the production phase, the transient creep does not show any significant effect on cavern behaviour; however, it could be important under varying loading conditions. The extent and magnitude of convergence and subsidence are dependent on the rate of pressure solution creep and its threshold stress. A preliminary analysis of the onset of the dynamic recrystallisation around the cavern suggests that DRX may be active in the lower regions of the cavern.

How to cite: Jain, G., Wassing, B., Hangx, S., Ter Heege, J., and de Bresser, H.: Impact of creep mechanisms on stress and deformation behaviour around salt caverns, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17519, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17519, 2026.

EGU26-17611 | Posters on site | EMRP1.2

Acoustic Fingerprints - Tracing Irreversible Damage in Natural Cliffs 

Juliane Starke, Romain Rousseau, Alex Rolland, Laurent Baillet, and Eric Larose

Progressive damage and failure in rock masses is governed by multi-scale processes ranging from micro-crack growth to meter-scale fracture opening. We present an active acoustic monitoring approach that captures these evolving processes through time-lapse waveform fingerprinting, providing a quantitative measure of the temporal evolution of rock mass stiffness and scattering properties.

We deployed acoustic sensors on three highly fractured rock cliffs (two limestone sites in southern France and one gneiss site in western Switzerland) and conducted repeated active acoustic measurements every few minutes over periods of several weeks to more than one year. Each source-receiver path yields a unique acoustic response whose complexity increases with fracture density and scattering. By tracking phase shifts and waveform distortions, we 'draw' time-lapse waveform fingerprints that are highly sensitive to small changes in crack density, fracture aperture, and contact stiffness.

The waveform fingerprints reveal strong repeatability under similar meteorological conditions, with coincident patterns observed on days sharing comparable temperature and moisture regimes. Distinct fingerprints emerge under different rock cracking and damage states reflecting reversible thermo-hydro-mechanical effects. Some rocks are indeed more reactive to external forcings than others. At longer timescales, partial but incomplete recovery of the fingerprints is observed. In the one-year data set, major fingerprint features reappear under similar climatic conditions, but with persistent residual changes, indicating the accumulation of irreversible damage within the rock mass.

Future work could apply diffuse acoustic wave spectroscopy and acoustic correlation-based imaging to spatially locate damage and quantify fracture growth, enabling the transition from qualitative fingerprints to quantitative maps of rock degradation.

How to cite: Starke, J., Rousseau, R., Rolland, A., Baillet, L., and Larose, E.: Acoustic Fingerprints - Tracing Irreversible Damage in Natural Cliffs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17611, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17611, 2026.

EGU26-19556 | ECS | Orals | EMRP1.2

The role of veinlets in the unconfined behavior of El Teniente Mine rock samples: Implications for mining-induced rockmass failure. 

Franco Robbiano, Marie Violay, Luis Felipe Orellana, Antoine Guggisberg, and Edouard Heinkel

El Teniente, located in central Chile, is the largest underground copper mine in the world, with ore extraction reaching depths of up to one thousand meters below the surface. The primary ore body is hosted in volcanic rocks of basic composition, extensively intersected by a stockwork of closely spaced veins. At present, the combination of the regional stress regime, localized stress concentrations around excavations, and the heterogeneous nature of the veined rock mass poses significant challenges to operational safety, particularly when considering an extension of the mine’s productive life. Discontinuities, ranging from large-scale faults to small-scale veins, are closely linked to failure processes in mine excavations. In highly homogeneous, intact rock, spalling failure in tunnels is typically initiated at about 50% of the rock’s uniaxial compressive strength (UCS). This relationship is not consistently observed in veined rocks, where standard UCS tests often fail to account for the mechanical influence of discontinuities during deformation. In this study, an experimental setup that integrates four strain gauges, acoustic emission (AE) monitoring, and digital image correlation (DIC) during uniaxial compressive strength (UCS) testing was developed. The method was applied to 20 mm-diameter cylindrical rock specimens from El Teniente to investigate the role of sulfide-rich veins in rock deformation. Samples were selected to minimize the occurrence of multiple veins, containing instead a single primary vein (< 4 mm thick) oriented between 0° and 90° relative to the axial loading direction. Particular emphasis was placed on strain partitioning, with DIC employed to obtain full-field strain measurements, enabling the quantification of strain differences between the rock matrix and the veins. Experimental results indicated that veins accommodated greater strains than the surrounding rock matrix during both the elastic and plastic regimes. All the samples shown a rotation of the local stress tensor on the vein when reaching the onset of dilatancy. Veins oriented between 0 to 40° yielded before the bulk material, with yield onset occurring at 50-60% of the UCS. These findings suggest that precursory shear strain within favorably oriented veins, evidenced by the onset of AE activity, dilatancy and DIC, may play a critical role in initiating rockmass failure at excavation boundaries.

How to cite: Robbiano, F., Violay, M., Orellana, L. F., Guggisberg, A., and Heinkel, E.: The role of veinlets in the unconfined behavior of El Teniente Mine rock samples: Implications for mining-induced rockmass failure., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19556, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19556, 2026.

GM6 – Planetary, Aeolian and Dryland Geomorphology

EGU26-533 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Inventory of young mass wasting events in Mars' Southern Hemisphere: Insights into characterization and formation mechanisms 

Deniz Yazıcı, Oguzcan Karagoz, Thomas Kenkmann, Filippo Carboni, and Tolga Görüm

Landslides are key geomorphic features on Mars that record past climate conditions, slope stability, and volatile-driven processes. We present a regional inventory of 290 landslides between 20°S and 50°S on Mars, focusing on Late Amazonian events underrepresented in global databases. To map landslides, we used high-resolution Context Camera (CTX) (5 m/px) satellite imagery, and detailed morphometric analyses were performed using stereo-derived CTX Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) (6 m/px) satellite. The mapped landslides were classified into three major types: rock avalanches, slumps, and ejecta-type features. Our results indicate that landslide areas range from 0.26 to 174 km², with estimated volumes between 0.003 and 5.72 km³. The height-to-length (H/L) ratios, varying from 0.00013 to 0.268, reveal substantial differences in mobility and formation mechanisms. Approximately 40% of landslides at high southern latitudes display morphologies suggestive of basal ice lubrication or cryosphere involvement, supporting ice-facilitated movement mechanisms. Crater size-frequency distribution (CSFD) analysis constrains absolute model ages of these landslides between 3.50 and 480 Ma (Middle to Late Amazonian), indicating repeated mass-wasting activity over extended geological timescales.

Spatial correlation analyses between landslides and glacial features such as Lineated Valley Fill (LVF), Lobate Debris Aprons (LDA), and Concentric Crater Fill (CCF) reveal a strong association between ice-bearing terrains and enhanced landslide mobility. These findings indicate that subsurface ice acted as both a stabilizing and lubricating agent, reducing basal friction while promoting high mobility under favourable thermal conditions.

These results provide the first comprehensive dataset of southern mid-latitude landslides, filling a major gap in Martian landslide inventories. The morphometric variability observed in this region demonstrates that cryosphere-substrate interactions play a crucial role in shaping Martian slope processes. Our findings underscore the complexity of mass wasting dynamics and their strong linkage to past climate fluctuations, providing new constraints on the timing and preservation conditions of buried ice deposits across Mars' recent geological history.

How to cite: Yazıcı, D., Karagoz, O., Kenkmann, T., Carboni, F., and Görüm, T.: Inventory of young mass wasting events in Mars' Southern Hemisphere: Insights into characterization and formation mechanisms, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-533, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-533, 2026.

EGU26-2886 | PICO | GM6.1

Formation of lunar swirls: Implications from Chang’E-1 Interference Imaging Spectrometer data 

Dawei Liu, Zhibin Li, Zongyu Zhang, Hongbo Zhang, and Chunlai Li

Lunar swirls remain one of the most enigmatic geological features on the Moon's surface. They appear as sinuous, high albedo patterns that are interwoven with “dark lanes” and stand out against the low-albedo background. Their unique spectral properties and strong correlation with lunar magnetic anomalies have attracted widespread scientific interest. The origin of lunar swirls is still debated. The prevailing solar wind deflection model suggests that pre-existing magnetic anomalies deflect incoming solar wind particles, leading to different degree of space weathering inside and outside the swirls and resulting in their distinctive spectral characteristics. As a key product of space weathering, nanophase iron (npFe0) directly reflects this differences inside and outside the swirls. In this study, we investigated the npFe0 content distribution of the swirl regions, offering a new perspective on the origin of lunar swirls.

In this study, we developed a model to estimate npFe0 content in lunar highland and maria soils using band ratio of remote sensing data based on laboratory-measured spectral data and npFe0 content of returned Apollo lunar samples. Then, this model was employed to the hyperspectral data acquired by Chang’E-1 Interference Imaging Spectrometer (IIM) to map the npFe0 content across five typical lunar swirl regions including Reiner Gamma, Mare Ingenii, Rima Sirsalis, Airy, and Firsov. Our results showed that npFe0 content in on-swirl regions is lower than that in off-swirl regions, indicating a suppressed space weathering effect within the swirl regions. Moreover, the relative npFe0 abundance between swirl dark lanes and surrounding off-swirl regions seems to be linked to different stages of space weathering. The distinct difference in npFe0 abundance between on-swirl regions and off-swirl fresh craters could be due to their different weathering processes. Additionally, we found a correlation between npFe0 abundance and the intensity of lunar magnetic anomalies in swirl regions. This indicates that the shielding effect of magnetic anomalies against solar wind particles may be influenced by the strength of the magnetic field. A potential relationship between npFe0 and OH-/H2O distributions within swirl regions also offer valuable insights into the solar wind-induced formation of lunar surface water. These findings support the hypothesis that incoming solar wind particles are deflected in swirl regions, leading to reduced space weathering on their surfaces.

How to cite: Liu, D., Li, Z., Zhang, Z., Zhang, H., and Li, C.: Formation of lunar swirls: Implications from Chang’E-1 Interference Imaging Spectrometer data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2886, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2886, 2026.

EGU26-2921 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Ground Verification Test for Tianwen-2 Payloads 

Chunlai Li

China's Tianwen-2 exploration mission is designed to perform comprehensive remote sensing, in-situ exploration, and sample return from the target small celestial bodies (2016HO3 and the main-belt comet 311P) through a series of operations including flyby, orbiting, landing, and sample collection. The mission will further investigate the formation and evolution of these target celestial bodies, their orbital dynamics, as well as correlations between the returned samples, meteorites, and data obtained from ground-based and remote sensing observations. Prior to the launch of the Tianwen-2 mission, we carried out comprehensive ground-based test to verify the detection capabilities of its nine onboard payloads and to assess the accuracy of the data they are designed to acquire. 

Results show that all payloads have met the predetermined test objectives, demonstrating robust detection performance and reliable data validity. The images obtained by the Asteroid Medium Angle Camera and Narrow Angle Camera deliver images with a modulation transfer function (MTF) ≥ 0.2, capable of providing high‑quality imagery for morphological studies. The Asteroid Laser Detection and Ranging achieves a measurement accuracy better than 3cm, enabling precise acquisition of three-dimensional topographic data of the asteroid surface. Spectral data obtained by the Asteroid Multispectral Camera, Visible and Infrared Imaging Spectrometer, and Thermal Emission Spectrometer show good agreement with reference measurements from standard instruments, confirming their capability to identify various minerals. The Dust Multi-properties Analyzer module of the Asteroid Dust and Volatiles Analyzer successfully measures dust‑particle size, morphology, velocity, and mass. The Volatiles Ion Trap Analyzer module of the Asteroid Dust and Volatiles Analyzer can detect no fewer than 14 gas species, with concentration measurement accuracy better than 33%. Using a dual‑probe gradient magnetic‑field measurement method, the Asteroid Magnetometer effectively suppress spacecraft magnetic interference and acquired valid magnetic-field information of the detection target. The Asteroid CoreScan Radar can achieve penetration depths of 35m and 5m for its low-frequency and high-frequency channels, respectively.

How to cite: Li, C.: Ground Verification Test for Tianwen-2 Payloads, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2921, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2921, 2026.

EGU26-5111 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Flow dynamics and behavioural characteristics of sublimation-driven granular flows under laboratory conditions 

Sharon Diamant, Susan Conway, Lonneke Roelofs, Matthew Sylvest, Zoe Emerland, Jonathan Merrison, Jens Jacob Iverson, Maarten Kleinhans, Jim McElwaine, Manish Patel, and Tjalling de Haas

Throughout our Solar System, erosional processes reshape the surfaces of terrestrial and icy bodies, ranging from planets and moons to asteroids and comets. One such process is mass wasting, which transports loose material downslope driven by gravity, forming slides, avalanches or flows depending on conditions. Over the past decades, the role of volatiles in their formation has been debated. Our understanding of extraterrestrial mass wasting relies heavily on Earth analogues; however, these are mostly influenced by liquid water, which is not stable on other planetary surfaces. Yet, numerous extraterrestrial landforms indicative of mass wasting occur on planetary surfaces with (seasonal) ice or frost and on slopes too gentle for dry material to move unaided.
Ice sublimation is a potentially plausible mechanism for driving extra-terrestrial mass wasting, whereby solid volatiles directly transition into vapour. This can initiate flow and reduce friction between sediment particles. However, because of the lack of terrestrial analogues and the complexity of producing a usable numerical model, the mechanics of sublimation on sediment mobilisation, particle dynamics and flow behaviour remain unclear. Here, we investigate the roles of volatiles and environmental conditions on the mobility and dynamics of sublimation-driven mass wasting and the morphology of their deposits.
Over the past two years, we created flows driven by sublimating CO2 using flume set-ups in two low-pressure chambers at the Open University (Milton Keynes, United Kingdom) and Aarhus University (Aarhus, Denmark). Ambient pressure was varied stepwise from 0.1 to 1000 mbar to cover the
environmental conditions of a broad range of terrestrial and icy bodies. The mass flows consisted of dry ice mixed with either high-density (∼ 2600 kgm−3) or low-density granular material (410 - 1300 kgm−3), the latter was utilised to simulate reduced gravity. The results show that reduced ambient pressures increase the volume flux of gas, thereby enhancing the fluidisation, flow mobility and runout length, particularly for low-density flows. This suggests that terrestrial bodies with lower surface gravity have more mobile sublimation-driven flows. The behaviour of the mass flows varied noticeably with ambient pressure, showing transitions through different fluidisation regimes, each marked by distinct features. At high pressures (> 20 mbar), we observe steady flows. In the 20 - 1 mbar range, the flows start to exhibit bubbles, surges and outbursts. Below 1 mbar, turbulent behaviour emerges with a diffuse particle suspension flowing above a dense layer. These behavioural regimes are similar to the regimes observed in fluidised bed experiments and have been recognised in snow avalanches and pyroclastic density currents on Earth. Currently, we are analysing internal particle dynamics and velocities for these regimes using particle tracking software. Our research shows that sublimation can be an effective driver for mass wasting on terrestrial bodies with low ambient pressures, low gravity and the presence of volatiles other than water, and might operate in distinct fluidisation regimes.

How to cite: Diamant, S., Conway, S., Roelofs, L., Sylvest, M., Emerland, Z., Merrison, J., Iverson, J. J., Kleinhans, M., McElwaine, J., Patel, M., and de Haas, T.: Flow dynamics and behavioural characteristics of sublimation-driven granular flows under laboratory conditions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5111, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5111, 2026.

EGU26-5639 | PICO | GM6.1

Fluvial to deltaic clinoforms observed by Curiosity in Gale crater’s Mount Sharp 

Gwénaël Caravaca, Nicolas Mangold, Gilles Dromart, William Rapin, Edwin S. Kite, Rebecca M. E. Williams, Stéphane Le Mouélic, Olivier Gasnault, Erwin Dehouck, Nina Lanza, Ashwin Vasavada, and Abigail Fraeman

The Curiosity rover continues its exploration of Mount Sharp, Gale crater’s ~5000 m-high sedimentary pile, and has been traversing for the past three years the Layered Sulfate unit (LSu), an interval initially characterized from orbit and thought to have recorded a global climatic transition toward the more arid conditions we observe nowadays on Mars. This unit, also informally known as the Mirador formation, is rich in sulfates and record mostly aeolian settings. Unexpectedly, the rover has also encountered numerous strata arguing for a recurring aqueous activity punctuating the overall arid, aeolian depositional environment.

Lately, Curiosity explored the “boxwork” unit, a high-interest region named after the orbital observation of “box-forming”, (deca-)meter-scale rectilinear features cropping out of the ground. Diagenetically-altered, fine-grained rocks making the most of the boxwork unit are probably of lacustrine origin, stressing out the importance of these aqueous conditions in the midst of the LSu. But when looking at the walls of this valley, made up of the Texoli, Mishe Mokwa and Cordillera buttes, we notably observe coarser-grained, erosion-resistant beds displaying a wealth of multi-scale sedimentary structures.

Among them are several occurrences of clinoform geometries that we sorted into three classes. Type 1 are characterized by inclined, sigmoidal to poorly cross-bedded strata, filling meter-scale, individualized lens-shaped bodies. Type 2 are characterized by inclined strata, sigmoidal but more cross-bedded strata. They are also observed filling lens-shaped bodies, but contrary to Type 1, these lenses are laterally stacked and cross-cutting each other’s immediate neighbor. Finally, Type 3 clinoforms occur in unconfined packages evidencing clearly sigmoidal, steeply-dipping (15-20°) and non-cross-bedded strata. While they are conformable with lower sub-horizontal layers pertaining to the bedrock, their top is mostly truncated by unconformable sub-horizontal layers. At the outcrop, the steeply dipping, sigmoidal strata also define a conspicuous lobate shape.

We interpret Types 1 and 2 clinoforms as the record of fluvial channels, with Type 1 a record of braided rivers and Type 2 a record of laterally migrating bars of a meandering river. Type 3 marks a conspicuous change and we interpret the vertical tripartite stratal pattern as bottomsets, foresets and topsets of a Gilbert-deltaic suite. These strata reflect fluvial to deltaic depositional settings with decreasing levels of energy from strictly fluvial, individual channels (Type 1), meandering channels (Type 2) and finally within a delta (Type 3).

These settings are in line with the quieter, presumably lacustrine, environment the boxwork unit’s strata likely origin from, and could represent the local sedimentary input. They contrast with the overall arid, aeolian structures observed to make most of the surrounding buttes and overall LSu. They nevertheless highlight a recurrence of humid episodes throughout the LSu. These events illustrate a more complex and unpredictable climatic pattern as Mars became colder and more arid.

How to cite: Caravaca, G., Mangold, N., Dromart, G., Rapin, W., Kite, E. S., Williams, R. M. E., Le Mouélic, S., Gasnault, O., Dehouck, E., Lanza, N., Vasavada, A., and Fraeman, A.: Fluvial to deltaic clinoforms observed by Curiosity in Gale crater’s Mount Sharp, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5639, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5639, 2026.

EGU26-7823 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

The Effect of Sand-Mediated Non-Contact Interaction Between Barchans onTheir Steady-State Profiles 

Sofia Navarro Yabe, Kojiro Otoguro, Hirokazu Ninomiya, Masashi Shiraishi, and Hiraku Nishimori

Barchans are crescent-shaped dunes found in deserts with little sand, where winds blow continuously in one direction. They migrate in the downwind direction at speeds of several meters per year as sand eroded from the upwind slope is deposited on the downwind side. A characteristic feature of barchans is the localized sand outflow from their downwind-extending horns. Because barchans typically exist in clusters, this horn outflow can become sand inflow to barchans located further downwind, inducing sand-mediated interaction between upwind and downwind barchans.Most previous studies on barchan interaction have focused on direct contact interactions, i.e., collisions. However, it has recently been recognized that non-contact interaction mediated by sand transport can occur without collision. Studies on this type of interaction remain limited.This research focuses on non-contact sand-mediated interaction between upwind and downwind barchans. The interaction is investigated using a simplified crest line model [1]. This model is characterized by a small number of variables, which provides a distinct advantage in making theoretical analysis tractable.We obtain an analytical steady-state solution. The steady-state barchan shape is symmetric with respect to the sand supply source. The steady-state configuration consists of two parabolic solutions whose axes are laterally shifted due to sand inflow and connected at the supply source. Both the crest height of the steady-state barchan and the lateral displacement of the axes can be obtained analytically. We find that the steady-state barchan shape is determined by the migration velocity of the barchan and the sand inflow rate. In addition, the inverse proportionality between barchan height and migration velocity is theoretically confirmed in this study, a relationship well known in previous studies.The analytical solution shows good agreement with our previous numerical results. Our results provide deeper mathematical insight into non-contact sand-mediated interaction in barchan dune fields and offer a foundation for future studies on barchan collisions.

[1] L. Guignier. et al., Sand dunes as migrating strings, Physical Review E (2013)

How to cite: Navarro Yabe, S., Otoguro, K., Ninomiya, H., Shiraishi, M., and Nishimori, H.: The Effect of Sand-Mediated Non-Contact Interaction Between Barchans onTheir Steady-State Profiles, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7823, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7823, 2026.

This study aims to isolate the effect of gravity on delta morphodynamics, a key uncertainty in interpreting Martian deltaic systems. Terrestrial deltas are commonly used as a framework to interpret deltas on Mars, yet the planet’s lower gravity fundamentally alters sediment transport processes and, consequently, delta morphology and evolution. Previous work has demonstrated that reduced gravity enhances net sediment transport for a given discharge and channel geometry, promoting a higher proportion of suspended sediment transport (Braat et al., 2024). However, the implications of these effects for delta morphodynamics have remained largely unexplored.

We conducted physical experiments in the Earth Simulation Laboratory at Utrecht University. Deltas were formed autonomously in a 3 cm-deep flume with a constant water (300 L/h) and sediment supply (2 L/h). Martian gravity was simulated by reducing the sediment particle weight through the use of low-density grains (nutshell particles, ~1350 kg/m³), thereby isolating sediment density as a proxy for gravitational effects. This approach generated higher mobility sediment and a greater fraction of suspended transport, consistent with expectations for Martian conditions. The resulting low-density deltas were compared to reference deltas formed with standard silica sand (~2650 kg/m³).

The experiments show that reduced sediment density leads to deltas with gentler equilibrium slopes and larger surface areas. The lower equilibrium slope requires little aggradation, and most of the sediment supply can be used for progradation. Low-density deltas also develop more pronounced levees, likely due to enhanced suspended sediment transport. These levees, together with minimal gradient advantages across the delta plain, result in reduced system dynamics: channels are more stable, and large-scale avulsions occur at relatively low frequencies. In contrast, normal-density deltas exhibit more frequent channel migration and avulsions. As a result, low-density deltas develop more irregular, multi-lobed planform geometries, whereas normal-density deltas tend to remain semi-circular or half-oval in shape.

These findings demonstrate that gravity alone can exert a first-order control on delta morphodynamics. Morphological characteristics commonly interpreted on Mars as indicators of fine grain sizes, high sediment mobility, or elevated discharges may instead arise from the effects of reduced gravity. Consequently, caution is required when interpreting Martian deltas solely based on terrestrial analogues.

 

 

How to cite: Braat, L.: Rethinking Martian Deltas: The Influence of Reduced Gravity on Delta Morphology and Evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11314, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11314, 2026.

EGU26-12154 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Slope Lineae as Potential Geologic Markers of Recent Devolatilization on Mercury 

Valentin T. Bickel, Giovanni Munaretto, Silvia Bertoli, Gabriele Cremonese, Pamela Cambianica, and Natalia A. Vergara Sassarini

Slope lineae are bright, elongated streaks on Mercury’s slopes. Along with hollows, lineae are considered one of the youngest geologic features on Mercury. Past surveys suggested a qualitative relation between lineae and subsurface volatiles, implying that lineae could be geologic markers of the recent – and potentially ongoing – release of subsurface volatiles on Mercury. However, lineae have not been systematically mapped across Mercury and no quantitative analysis of their abundance, distribution, and geostatistical properties has been conducted. In [1], we use a deep learning-driven approach to scan through ~112,000 MESSENGER images and catalog slope lineae across Mercury to a) characterize their spatial distribution as well as their morphometric and spectral properties and b) use geostatistical and change detection approaches to explore whether lineae are active today – and whether they could be tied to recent or ongoing devolatilization on Mercury. Our analysis presents several arguments for a direct link between lineae formation and devolatilization: 1) lineae appear to feature a blue spectral slope, like hollows, 2) lineae largely source from hollows and hollow-like features, 3) lineae are predominantly hosted by small, young impact craters that penetrated volcanic deposits, i.e., in a geologic context that facilitates (vertical and lateral) access to subsurface volatiles, 4) lineae tend to cluster on equator-facing slopes, 5) lineae appear to be hosted by terrain with slightly higher (modelled) bi-annual peak temperatures at the surface and at shallow depth, and 6) several lineae occur on shallow slopes well below the angle of repose of dry regolith, suggesting the presence of volatiles as a fluidizing agent (more details are presented in [1]). We do not observe any lineae activity between 2011 and 2015, such as changed or newly formed lineae, implying that lineae activity occurs below MESSENGER’s spatial resolution and/or on timescales longer than ~4 years. Devolatilization-driven lineae activity is a hypothesis that will be scrutinized by the ESA/JAXA (European Space Agency, Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency) BepiColombo spacecraft and the SIMBIO-SYS instrument suite (Spectrometer and Imaging for MPO BepiColombo Integrated Observatory SYStem) that are expected to initiate their science investigations in early 2027.

 

[1] Bickel et al. (2026). Slope lineae as potential indicators of recent volatile loss on Mercury. Communications Earth & Environment (in press).

How to cite: Bickel, V. T., Munaretto, G., Bertoli, S., Cremonese, G., Cambianica, P., and Vergara Sassarini, N. A.: Slope Lineae as Potential Geologic Markers of Recent Devolatilization on Mercury, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12154, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12154, 2026.

EGU26-13591 | PICO | GM6.1

Secondary pyroclastic cones created by syn-eruptive wind  

Thomas J. Jones and Bartosz Pieterek

Mafic eruptions and their associated lava fountains are a widespread form of volcanism on both Earth and other planets. These eruptions typically produce scoria and spatter cones, or hybrids of the two, and both the characteristics of the associated tephra blanket and the morphology of the pyroclastic cone can forensically provide quantitative information about the eruption conditions. However, the morphology of a pyroclastic cone results from a complex interplay between syn-eruptive processes (e.g., volume of magma erupted, grain size of pyroclasts produced, syn-eruptive wind) and post-formation erosional processes. Thus, to quantitatively use cone geomorphology to inform on volcanic processes, the contribution of each of these factors must be disentangled. Specifically, here, we focus on the effect that atmospheric winds have at the time of the eruption in controlling the resultant cone morphology. We investigate Volcán del Cuervo, a pyroclastic cone in Lanzarote that has a complex morphology consisting of a distinct, elongated shape, with a second accumulation of pyroclastic material adjacent to the main crater. Here, we use an unnamed aerial vehicle to acquire a high-resolution, photogrammetrically derived digital elevation model (DEM). This DEM allows us to quantify the cone morphology and the precise location of the associated pyroclastic deposits. Samples were collected and associated grain size and density measurements were performed to characterise the pyroclastic material constituting the cone. Together, these data were then used in a ballistic trajectory model to constrain the critical wind and eruptive conditions required to form a secondary cone. Through transplanetary analogies, we conclude that secondary cone formation by this mechanism may bias remotely sensed detections of eruptive centres on planetary surfaces. Misinterpretation of these cones as separate eruptive vents would lead to an overestimation of past volcanism. Correct identification of secondary cones can instead provide direct constrains on eruption dynamics and past atmospheric conditions, including prevailing wind directions—an aspect that is particularly important in planetary environments where direct field validation remains unfeasible.

How to cite: Jones, T. J. and Pieterek, B.: Secondary pyroclastic cones created by syn-eruptive wind , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13591, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13591, 2026.

EGU26-14513 | PICO | GM6.1

Interannual variability of sand dune fluxes and the influence of dust storms across Mars 

Matthew Chojnacki, David Vaz, and Simone Silvestro

Diverse aeolian bedforms, including dunes, megaripples, and ripples, are migrating across the surface of Mars today, as driven by seasonally variable winds. While long-term sand flux and their regional boundary conditions have been well constrained for many dune fields, an understanding of annual sand transport variability (or consistency) is lacking. Here we provide a decadal-scale analysis of migration patterns for Martian aeolian dune systems and test the hypothesis that global dust storm (GDS)-related winds can influence bedform sediment fluxes.

Annual migration was assessed at select sites in High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) orthoimages (0.25–1-m/pix) and digital terrain models. Displacements were recorded by manually mapping polylines along the dune crests in GIS over 3-8 Mars years’ worth of images. Sand fluxes were computed using slipface heights from the HiRISE topography, along with dune migration estimates – see Urso et al. 2017; Chojnacki et al. 2024. A total of 20 dune fields were analyzed from 85°N-45°S for Mars years (MY) 28-36, where sites were chosen based on data availability and long-term migration trends.

Migration rates for dunes ranged between 0.3-1.2-m/Earth year, with dune median heights of 6-17-m. Whereas median sand fluxes for sites ranged between 1-10-m3/m/yr over decadal-scale time periods, annual measurements may vary by an order of magnitude. The north polar erg dunes yield the highest rates despite being largely frozen and immobile during the northern autumn, winter, and spring. Here, the seasonal cap thickness and springtime defrost timing dictate how long winds can transport sand. There were notable sand flux maxima over the MY28-29 timestep and minima in MY34-35. The most notable events during these periods were the MY28 and MY34 global dust storms, which impacted the polar vortex, temperatures, and CO2 ice deposition. MARCI and HiRISE image mapping demonstrated that MY29 (early defrost) and MY35 (late) were endmembers in terms of spring defrosting. These events were attributed to the observed sand flux heterogeneity for some polar dune fields - see Chojnacki et al., 2024.

Equatorial or tropical latitude sites also showed significant deviations of sand transport rates, including during GDS years. Five dune fields showed reduced sand fluxes (33-49%) during the 2018/MY34 (~Ls 180-240°) GDS, relative to the prior year’s measurements. This reduction of nominal sand transport may be due to the depressed daytime surface temperatures or misaligned storm track directions (relative to nominal dune-forming winds) during the 2018 GDS, which were reported in the literature. In contrast, four dune fields were observed with increased fluxes (16-39%) in that GDS year. Elevated transport rates may relate to the alignment of dunes with dust storm corridors that experienced elevated wind shear or more localized factors. Finally, three sites showed no significant deviations in annual measurements, suggesting some bedforms may be in steady state in terms of sand transport. Climate factors such as global dust storms, seasonal ice cycles, and temperature variability appear to have a crucial role in sand availability and transport for Martian dunes; these factors demonstrate the complex interplay of boundary conditions on Mars.

How to cite: Chojnacki, M., Vaz, D., and Silvestro, S.: Interannual variability of sand dune fluxes and the influence of dust storms across Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14513, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14513, 2026.

EGU26-15361 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Numerical assessment of celerity scaling laws for ice ripples in turbulent shear flows 

Diego Perissutti, Cristian Marchioli, and Alfredo Soldati
We investigate the morphodynamics of melting ice in turbulent shear flows using an interface-resolved numerical framework, with a focus on the formation and downstream propagation of quasi-2D scallops (ripples) on the ice–water interface. At high shear rates, these ripples enhance local melting and modify hydrodynamic drag [1], yet their dynamics remain unclear due to the complex coupling between turbulence, heat transfer, and melting-freezing. The ripple migration speed (celerity) provides a compact measure of the ice morphology evolution and reflects variations in heat flux, as well as in flow conditions [2]. Direct numerical simulations (DNS) are performed for a turbulent open-channel flow capped by an evolving ice–water interface. The incompressible Navier–Stokes equations are coupled with an energy equation and a phase-field formulation capable of describing melting and freezing. Simulations are carried out using a pseudo-spectral, parallel, GPU-accelerated solver [3], allowing for fully resolved turbulence and interface dynamics at high shear rates. A parametric study is conducted to assess the influence of thermal and hydrodynamic control parameters. Three Stefan numbers spanning two orders of magnitude are considered to examine the role of latent heat, while three shear Reynolds numbers (up to 1600) are simulated to quantify shear effects. The resulting ice morphologies are analyzed in terms of ripple celerity, roughness amplitude, and characteristic wavelength. The simulations reveal clear dependencies in ripple geometry and migration speed on both shear intensity and latent heat. Based on these results, we propose a scaling law for ripple celerity as a function of Reynolds and Stefan numbers. The proposed scaling is consistent with linear stability analysis [2], while extending its applicability beyond the small-amplitude limit and into low–Stefan-number regimes, providing new insights into ice morphodynamics in turbulent flows.

[1] Bushuk M., Orton P.M., Holland D.M., Stanton T.P., Stern A.A., Gray C., Laboratory observations of ice–water interface morphodynamics in turbulent shear flow, J. Fluid Mech., 841, 614–646, 2018.
[2] Hsu K.S., Locher F.A., Kennedy J.F., Forced-convection heat transfer from irregular melting wavy boundaries, J. Heat Transfer, 101(4), 598–602, 1979.
[3] Perissutti D., Marchioli C., Soldati A., Time and length scales of ice morphodynamics driven by subsurface shear turbulence, J. Fluid Mech., 1019, A34, 2025.

How to cite: Perissutti, D., Marchioli, C., and Soldati, A.: Numerical assessment of celerity scaling laws for ice ripples in turbulent shear flows, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15361, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15361, 2026.

EGU26-15988 | PICO | GM6.1

Schirmacher Oasis, Antarctica: An Earth Analog for Glaciofluvial Landforms and Process on Early Mars? 

Mohamed Ramy El-Maarry, Omar Aldhanhani, Yogesh Ray, and Aisha Alsuwaidi

 

Past studies of Martian-analogue landscapes in Antarctica have focused on the Dry Valleys [e.g., 1-3] with the goal of understanding the drivers and potential evolution of geomorphic features in predominantly “cold and dry” conditions. Here we present a new study of a Martian analogue-landscape from the seldom studied Schirmacher Oasis (SO, 70°45′30″S 11°38′40″E) which contains landlocked lakes, polygonal patterns attributed to seasonal thermal contraction and ice wedging, in addition to chloride surface deposits, and even desiccation features associated with the seasonal and long-term drying of the land-locked lakes [e.g, 4, 5]. The features of SO have been observed on Mars, including in terrains that have been dated to Early Mars (The Noachian Period, more than 3.6 Gya).

 We investigated a number of land locked lakes using drone surveys, onsite characterization, and sample collection (Figure. 1). Preliminary results indicate that Schirmacher Oasis indeed provides a potential analogy for specific terrain on Mars, namely those associated with chloride deposits in lacustrine setting. Specifically, we propose that at least a subset of these terrains on Mars may have experienced a similar evolutionary history to that observed in SO; a fluvial, lacustrine and periglacial activity in a previously glaciated area. Studying such regions could help provide new insights into the geological and climatic evolution of Mars, particularly on regional scale, and in periods of transient warming under prevalent cold/icy conditions.

Figure 1: [Top] Geomorphological map of SO adapted from [6]. The legend has been slightly modified to highlight only a few selected units that are of relevance to this study. [Bottom] Satellite view of SO from Google Earth showing the sites visited and sampled in this study.

Acknowledgments: This work was carried out under an MOU between the Indian National Center for Polar and Ocean Research (NCPOR) and the Emirates Polar Program (EPP). The scope of work and collected materials were approved under the research permit MoES/CAG-EP/2025/45-ISEAlP1/23 from the Indian Government’s Ministry of Earth Sciences in full compliance with the Antarctic Treaty. We are deeply indebted to the support throughout from NCPOR under the guidance of Dr. Thamban Meloth, including all logistical support before travel and “on the ground” by the NCPOR team and Goa and at Maitri Station.

References: [1] Marchant, D. R., & Head, J. W. (2007). Icarus, 192(1), 187–222. [2] Tamppari LK, et al. (2012). Antarctic Science. 2012;24(3):211-228.  [3] Heldmann, J. L. et al. (2013). Planetary and Space Science 85, 53-58. [4] Phartiyal, B., et al. (2011). Quaternary International 235,  128–136. [5] Dharwadkar, A., et al. (2018). Polar Science 18, 57–62. [7] Geological Survey of India (2006). Retrieved from: https://ncpor.res.in/files/40 Antarctic Exp/Schirmacher Oasis map.pdf. 

How to cite: El-Maarry, M. R., Aldhanhani, O., Ray, Y., and Alsuwaidi, A.: Schirmacher Oasis, Antarctica: An Earth Analog for Glaciofluvial Landforms and Process on Early Mars?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15988, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15988, 2026.

EGU26-18079 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Beyond Size Sorting - Shape segregation in aeolian megaripple 

lior saban, Itzhak Katra, and Hezi Yizhaq

Aeolian megaripples develop on bimodal sands and are stabilized by an armoring layer enriched in coarse grains that developed on the crest. While size-selective transport is central to the segregation mechanism involved in megaripple formation, recent field observations indicate that shape segregation may also contribute to megaripple formation (Saban et al, Geosci. Lett., 2025). Here, we quantify the shape contrast between fine and coarse fractions of megaripples across multiple sites worldwide and investigate the physical mechanism that may explain it. Additionally, we investigate how ripple formation is affected by shape segregation through controlled wind tunnel experiments.

We analyzed samples from megaripple crests at multiple sites. Each sample was divided into sub-samples of fine fraction (<355µm) and a coarse fraction (>710µm), which represent the bimodal grain size distribution (GSD) of all the samples. Grain shape was quantified using a Circularity index (isoperimetric quotient), computed from a 2D projected grain outline derived from microscopy images. Grain outlines were produced by automated segmentation and were manually validated to ensure accuracy. Mineralogical composition and GSD were also measured and used as proxies for mechanical durability and abrasion history contrasts between the size fractions.

Across most sites, the coarse fraction is more angular (less circular) than the fine fraction, indicating a robust shape contrast between size fractions. To explain this pattern, we used a physically motivated combined index that accounts for the size contrast and the quartz contrast between the fine and coarse fractions. Sites where the fine grains are both relatively finer and more quartz-rich compared to the coarse fraction show a stronger shape contrast (i.e., fines are more circular). This suggests that abrasion history and mechanical durability influence grain shape.

Finally, we designed a wind tunnel experiment to isolate the role of shape segregation in the formation of nascent megaripple. We used mixtures of angular natural sand and spherical glass beads with the same grain size. These mixtures were subjected to wind above the fluid threshold until ripple formation. Spatial distribution analysis of grain shape at the end of the experiments reveals clear sorting patterns, driven solely by shape segregation, where angular grains accumulate on the crest and form an armoring-like layer.

How to cite: saban, L., Katra, I., and Yizhaq, H.: Beyond Size Sorting - Shape segregation in aeolian megaripple, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18079, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18079, 2026.

EGU26-20367 | ECS | PICO | GM6.1

Investigating the formation conditions of glacier-like forms using Bayesian inversion.  

Mórrigan Jones, Lydia Sam, Donal Mullan, Brice Rea, and Anshuman Bhardwaj

Glacier-like forms (GLFs) are one subtype of glacial features found on the Martian surface. They are located within the mid-latitudes of Mars (30-60 degrees) in both hemispheres. These features having formed within the Amazonian period during a period of higher obliquity than Mars' is at today which allowed for the preferential accumulation of icy material in the mid-latitudes. While previous studies have investigated the geographic controls on GLF formation, their former extent, and their former dynamics (Souness, et. al., 2012; Brough, et. al. 2016, 2019), the boundary conditions under which GLFs formed remain poorly constrained, particularly on a local-scale.

Our primary aim is to improve our understanding of how Martian GLFs formed and evolved with respect to their climactic and geomorphological setting using terrestrial rock glaciers as analogues. As there is still ongoing debate as to the formation dynamics of rock glaciers on Earth, be they permafrost-derived or derived from debris-covered glaciers, with the issue being that both start points can adequately describe the end-state of palaeo rock glaciers, we need to take an approach which acknowledges this issue of equifinality. Bayesian inversion is one such method that can do this. We start with the assumption that these GLFs represent permafrost-derived ice bodies where ground-temperature is a key boundary-condition for their formation. With this method, we use observed glacier geomorphology to reconstruct the former extent, volume, and thickness of the GLF to compute a posterior probability distribution for ground temperatures that are physically consistent with the reconstructed geometry of the palaeo glacier. We also consider near-surface air temperature as a secondary factor in accumulation feasibility. 

Here we present our ongoing work in this effort. We manually demarcated the geomorphological constraints of multiple GLFs on Mars within GIS software based on identifiable geomorphology within the orthorectified imagery that mark the former maximum extent of the glacier, and extract morphometric data using the georeferenced HiRISE DEM. We then used the perfect-plasticity approximation to reconstruct palaeo ice-thicknesses and volume of the palaeo glacier. These morphometrics are then compared with modelled outputs for glacier deformation, employing Bayesian logic to constrain a boundary range of long-term mean ground temperature that would be compatible to produce the reconstructed glacier morphology. We also investigate several terrestrial rock glaciers in order to assess the accuracy and validity of our approach against measurable analogue examples, which further enables us to compare the dynamics of terrestrial and Martian glaciers.

References:

Brough, Stephen, Bryn Hubbard, and Alun Hubbard. 2016. “Former Extent of Glacier-Like Forms on Mars.”, Icarus 274 (August): 37–49. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2016.03.006.

Brough, S., Hubbard, B., & Hubbard, A. (2019, 02). Area and volume of mid latitude glacier-like forms on mars. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 507 , 10–20. Retrieved from https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0012821X18306903 doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2018.11.031

Souness, Colin, Bryn Hubbard, Ralph E. Milliken, and Duncan Quincey. 2012. “An Inventory and Population-Scale Analysis of Martian Glacier-Like Forms.” Icarus 217 (1): 243–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2011.10.020.

How to cite: Jones, M., Sam, L., Mullan, D., Rea, B., and Bhardwaj, A.: Investigating the formation conditions of glacier-like forms using Bayesian inversion. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20367, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20367, 2026.

EGU26-572 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Paleoenvironmental history preserved in shoreline dunes of the Wimmera lake overflow system, Wotjobaluk Country, south-eastern Australia 

Victoria Schwarz, Tobias Lauer, Andrew Gunn, Sumiko Tsukamoto, Barengi Gadjin Land Council Aboriginal Corporation, and Kathryn E. Fitzsimmons

Australia’s dryland margins are increasingly vulnerable to drought, flood and fire. Investigating past landscape and climate conditions using evidence preserved within landforms and their sediments provides important context for past, present and future climate-coupled water availability and landscape change. Such work is challenging in the Australian context, however, due to the sparse preservation of paleoenvironmental records and high spatial heterogeneity. Our study focuses on the Wimmera catchment, located on the dryland margins of south-eastern Australia, which is an understudied region of high agricultural, ecological and cultural importance. The landscapes of the Wimmera comprise a unique overflow-lake system with well-preserved shoreline dunes. Shoreline dunes form valuable archives of past hydrologic lake conditions in this semi-arid region; deflation of the lake floor, and transport of these sediments onto the dunes, records preservation of the adjacent lake’s condition within the sediments. We combine optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating of single grain quartz to derive depositional ages, and a larger chronological dataset using portable OSL measurements, with facies characterisation from field observations and grainsize measurements, to provide first insights into the rich history preserved within these lake shoreline dunes. 

How to cite: Schwarz, V., Lauer, T., Gunn, A., Tsukamoto, S., Aboriginal Corporation, B. G. L. C., and Fitzsimmons, K. E.: Paleoenvironmental history preserved in shoreline dunes of the Wimmera lake overflow system, Wotjobaluk Country, south-eastern Australia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-572, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-572, 2026.

Despite the modern hyperaridity of the Atacama Desert (mean annual rainfall <1 mm), evidence for wetter climates during the Holocene have been found in cores from salars (i.e., salt flats) and sedimentary basins. There are several major discrepancies in the Holocene climate of the Atacama Desert after the Last Glacial Maximum, including asynchronous wet phases in the Coastal Cordillera and the Altiplano as well as a discordance between paleo-wetland and Salar de Atacama chronology. We address the following research question: How did fluvial and mass flow activity in the Atacama Desert respond to regionally fluctuating hyperaridity throughout the Quaternary period?  A series of large alluvial fans sourcing from the western Andean foothills that terminate at these salars remain largely underutilized as a paleoclimate record, though alluvial fan stratigraphy is often used to reconstruct past environmental conditions. These alluvial fans, which may serve as a bridge between competing paleoclimate signals, have modern transport and depositional processes that include layered, overbank mudflows that extend laterally for up to hundreds of meters from the channel, aeolian reworking of inactive fan surfaces, and terminations in playa-like environments. To determine how fan activity is tied to Quaternary climate change, we made detailed stratigraphic correlations of 6 sedimentary facies across 18 study sites along the fan sourcing from Quedabra de Chacarilla. We then used single-grain post-infrared infrared stimulated luminescence (post-IR IRSL) to precisely date 11 samples taken from interpreted aeolian-deposited facies within the stratigraphy. Detailed chronology of the fan stratigraphy using post-IR IRSL will allow us to compare with other regional climate proxies and understand how Atacama alluvial fans record and preserve evidence of past climate evolution. This will advance our understanding for how future climatic changes in the region may impact people and infrastructure due to mudflow-based flooding.

How to cite: Rogers, E., Palucis, M., and Morgan, A.: Constraining the paleoclimate of the Northern Atacama Desert, Chile using luminescence dating of alluvial fan stratigraphy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-775, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-775, 2026.

EGU26-2431 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Subsurface architecture of aeolian erosion features in hyper-arid alluvial systems of the Atacama Desert: Insights from ground-penetrating radar 

Pablo Schwarze, Jan Igel, Pritam Yogeshwar, Barbara Blanco Arrue, Janek Walk, and Simon Matthias May

Aeolian erosion of the alluvial deposits in the hyper-arid core of the Atacama Desert appears in several sites in the form of deflation hollows. Despite constituting signs of degradation of the unique and ancient landscape, their architecture and formation is as yet poorly understood. Ground-penetrating radar (GPR) is an effective way to image the internal structure of such aeolian landforms, and in this study, eight 200-500 m GPR profiles were acquired across deflation hollows and an eroded alluvial fan. A 400 MHz antenna was used, penetrating more than 3 m deep. Evaporitic crusts and salt-cemented layers were identified and mapped. In the leeward side of hollows, younger aeolian deposits can be differentiated from the older alluvial sediments, and similarities were found in the radar facies of several eroded surfaces. This work reveals the shallow subsurface architecture of the aeolian cover and alluvial deposits and provides new insights into the landscape formation in hyper-arid environments through the use of GPR.

How to cite: Schwarze, P., Igel, J., Yogeshwar, P., Blanco Arrue, B., Walk, J., and May, S. M.: Subsurface architecture of aeolian erosion features in hyper-arid alluvial systems of the Atacama Desert: Insights from ground-penetrating radar, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2431, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2431, 2026.

Studies have demonstrated that >~100 absolute ages of aeolian sand at certain spatial/vertical resolutions are necessary for constructing a reliable chronological framework for palaeoenvironmental/palaeoclimatic interpretations of dunefield histories (Telfer and Hesse, 2013). As acquiring such an interpretable dataset demands significant resources, several approaches, such as portable-OSL-OSL age estimates, have attempted to partly overcome this necessity (Stone et al., 2019).

Encroaching dunes in the past and present, dam drainage systems. In arid environments this process generates proximal upstream, dune-dammed waterbodies. These waterbodies that are often seasonal, deposit distinct, low-energy, fluvial, fine-grained sediments (LFFDs), often as sedimentary couplets. When dry, the water-body deposits sustain a playa morphology. This recurring aeolian-dominated, aeolian-fluvial  process gradually leads to amplified LFFD accumulation, and partly reconfigures dunefield, and particularly dunefield margin, landscape evolution. In medium-sized basins (~10-200 km2) along the margins of the northwestern (NW) Negev desert dunefield of Israel, LFFD stratigraphic buildup gradually levels with dune-dam crest elevation, consequently leading to a dune-dam break outburst flood. The dune dam break in turn generates rapid fluvial incision of the LFFDS, reviving an open, fluvial-dominated environment in a transformed landscape (Robins et al., 2022,2023).

The INQUA DuneAtlas of global inland dunefield chronological data includes some dated samples that are non-dune sediments such as interdune and LFFD samples (Lancaster et al., 2016). However, the complementary contribution of such sediments to interpreting dunefield chronologies has not been fully assessed. Also, DuneAtlas sand samples dating to the LGM are sparse.

Here, we demonstrate for the NW Negev dunefield that OSL-dating, partly supported by port-OSL profiling, mainly of sandy units within LFFDs, improves the resolution and reliability of determining dunefield chronologies. The approach also gleans information on the morphological maintenance of existing dunes, and in some cases, reveals sand mobilization episodes that are absent in adjacent dated, dune cores.

Spatially dense, OSL-dated dune cores and sections of the ~103 km2-sized NW Negev dunefield revealed that the dunefield was constructed in two main sand incursions and vegetated linear dune (VLD) buildup/extension periods – associated with the Heinrich 1 (H1) and Younger Dryas (Roskin et al., 2011). In this study, exposed OSL-dated LFFD sections along the upstream-facing, dunefield margins revealed that dune-dammed waterbodies partly to completely erode earlier dunefield-margin dunes but also preserve remains of eroded dunes between LFFD units. This partial preservation of aeolian deposits enables the construction of a reliable archive. The LFFD sections also revealed evidence of significant and initial dune incursion and damming during the LGM, intermittently recurring until the early Holocene (Robins et. al.). Early Holocene LFFDs may imply partial dune buildup or equilibrium-like dune maintenance, and/also, a significant lag between Younger Dryas dune-damming and dune-dam breaching. Altogether, dating dunefield LFFDs is proposed to be a primary approach for jointly studying dunefield and fluvial histories.

 

References

Lancaster, N., et al., 2016. QI 

Robins, L., et al., 2022. QSR 

Robins, L., et al., 2023. QSR

Roskin, J., et al., 2011. QSR 

Stone, A. et al. 2019. QG 

Telfer, M.W. and Hesse, P.P., 2013. QSR 

 

How to cite: Roskin, J., Robins, L., and Greenbaum, N.: Dune-dammed waterbody, aeolian and fluvial sediment chronologies improve resolution of dunefield histories, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3582, 2026.

Carbonate nodules are pedogenic carbonates commonly found in regions of high evapotranspiration, such as arid and semiarid areas. The stable carbon isotopes in these nodules are influenced by the type of vegetation (C3 or C4 plants), while the stable oxygen isotopes are controlled by soil water and temperature. Carbonate nodules persist in the soil, and their isotopic signatures can reflect the paleoclimatic conditions under which they formed. Carbonate nodules are distributed across the alluvial plains of southwestern Taiwan; however, the present humid conditions may not be favorable for their formation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the climatic conditions and vegetation types that influenced the formation of carbonate nodules using stable carbon and oxygen isotopes. Four pedons with different ages of soil formation were sampled in accordance with marine transgression and regression phases, corresponding to 10,000 years before present (yr BP), 8,000 yr BP, 5,000 yr BP, and 3,000 yr BP. Carbonate nodules were collected from the pedons, and their stable carbon and oxygen isotopes were analyzed using an automated carbonate preparation device. The δ13C values indicated a mixed C3/C4 vegetation, with a predominance of C4 plants (68.0 to 98%). The mean annual temperature (12.3-14.0°C), calculated using the climofunction of temperature and δ18O, was lower than the present (24.7°C). The mean annual precipitation (1036 to 1342 mm yr-1), calculated from the geochemical climofunction, was also lower than the present (1829 mm yr-1). The radiocarbon ages of the carbonate nodules ranged from 4063 yr BP to 690 yr BP, implying that climatic conditions may have been drier and cooler than present during this time frame. This may be due to a weaker East Asian Summer Monsoon, which favored calcification in the soils. These climatic conditions are consistent with the formation environment of carbonate nodules.

How to cite: Hum, H. Z., Wang, P.-L., Huang, W.-S., and Hseu, Z.-Y.: Stable carbon and oxygen isotopic composition in carbonate nodules from alluvial soils and their implications for paleoclimate in Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4748, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4748, 2026.

EGU26-4809 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Late Quaternary palaeohydrology, aeolian dynamics and erosion rates recorded in a small, dune-dammed, arid dunefield margin playa 

Nitay Golovaty, Joel Roskin, Shlomy Vainer, and Galina Faershtein

Small endorheic basins at the arid, northwestern Negev desert dunefield margin were hypothesized to preserve finely resolved and quasi-continuous archives of climate‑driven sediment dynamics. Two 7.5‑m deep cores from the Givat Hayil dune‑dammed playa (0.047km2) captures sedimentation processes and erosion rates of a small, ~2 km2 basin, characterized by ~1 short-lived flood per annum. A multi‑proxy approach combined laser‑diffraction grain‑size analysis and imaging, X‑ray fluorescence geochemistry, and portable-OSL (port‑OSL) profiling to diagnose the sediments, identify accumulation trends, delineate stratigraphic boundaries and target samples for OSL dating.

The cored sequence documents transitions between fluvial to aeolian dominated environments, from the onset of MIS-3 until today, and mainly since the Younger Dryas (YD). Basal, well‑bedded silt loams dating to the early MIS-3 suggest floodplain deposition of up-basin-sourced, primary, MIS-6-MIS-2 (calcic) loess deposits, indicative of initial and enhanced basinal loess erosion evolving into hyper-concentrated flows. A long MIS-3 - YD hiatus suggests significant decrease in loess erosion rates. YD - early Holocene aeolian sand influx led to the playa-forming  dune dam. During the Holocene, the playa efficiently trapped sediments undergoing varying upbasin fluvial erosion rates and ongoing dustfall, punctuated by anthropogenically-induced Roman-Byzantine sand mobilization. Thin units with diluted aeolian sand content probably indicating rapid pulses of eroded up-basin loess delivery driven by high-intensity rain events are interpreted to document major and altogether, evenly distributed, ~1:1,000 yr recurring floods.

Changing sediment accumulation rates appears to capture a complete and fluctuating erosion trajectory of up-basin loess—from a MIS-3 loess‑loaded landscape to a present loess-starved basin. Inversed magnitude-lower loess erosion rates along the Late Pleistocene–Holocene transition in relation to the Holocene, despite higher up-basin loess availability, probably reflects a moister Late Pleistocene that enhanced vegetation and crust development, that in turn, increased loess preservability. Three-fold larger late Holocene accumulation rates in relation to the early Holocene, despite depleting up-basin loess availability, may be a result of higher erosion rates due to more high-intensity rainfall events, in line with gradually increasing aridity.

Altogether, this underrecognized, high‑resolution archive demonstrates how sediment archives of small, dunefield fringe endorheic basins can serve to resolve the timing, magnitude, and mechanisms of both aeolian and fluvial processes, in particular extreme floods and erosion rates, in arid and hyper-arid environments.

How to cite: Golovaty, N., Roskin, J., Vainer, S., and Faershtein, G.: Late Quaternary palaeohydrology, aeolian dynamics and erosion rates recorded in a small, dune-dammed, arid dunefield margin playa, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4809, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4809, 2026.

EGU26-6041 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Linking Dune Dynamics to Facies Heterogeneity in Preserved Aeolian Systems 

Na Yan, Luca Colombera, Nigel Mountney, and Grace Cosgrove

Aeolian sedimentary systems record past climate changes due to their sensitivity to environmental variables, such as changing rates of sediment supply, climate, wind regime and palaeoflow, the action of physical, chemical and biogenic stabilising agents, and also interactions with other coeval sedimentary systems. Due to the interplay of allogenic and autogenic controls, the preserved sedimentary record of aeolian systems is highly complex and exhibits a variety of sedimentary architectures and spatial heterogeneities in facies distributions. Meanwhile, the accumulated deposits of aeolian sedimentary successions form important potential subsurface geothermal reservoirs and underground repositories for large-scale carbon capture and storage in both depleted and repurposed hydrocarbon reservoirs, and in very large saline aquifer bodies. In this study, a novel rule-based forward stratigraphic model, the Dune Architecture and Sediment Heterogeneity model (DASH), is used to investigate the variations in facies heterogeneity across different types of dunes, taking into account their sizes, migration rates, and aggradation rates over a broad spectrum of temporal scales. The DASH model is a geometric-based model that can reproduce different hierarchies of sedimentary architectures and bounding surfaces of aeolian dune and interdune and fluvial dune, barform and sheet-like deposits. The modelling outputs will enable more accurate predictions and systematic analysis of facies spatial distributions in different aeolian systems, including transverse dunes, linear dunes, and superimposed dunes. The modelling outputs can further be employed for predictions of petrophysical heterogeneity, for example, to guide models to assess geothermal reservoir potential and to model carbon capture and storage scenarios.

How to cite: Yan, N., Colombera, L., Mountney, N., and Cosgrove, G.: Linking Dune Dynamics to Facies Heterogeneity in Preserved Aeolian Systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6041, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6041, 2026.

EGU26-7403 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Late Quaternary geomorphological processes and landscape evolution in the Kkoor va Biabanak basin using quartz OSL and K-feldspar pIRIR225 ages 

Mehdi Torabi, Thomas Kolb, Morteza Fattahi, Christian Buedel, Zakieh Rashidi Koochi, and Markus Fuchs

The Central Iranian Plateau is a key region for understanding Late Quaternary landscape evolution. However, palaeoenvironmental reconstructions remain limited due to harsh climatic conditions and difficult access. The Khoor va Biabanak Basin, at the eastern edge of the Great Kavir, preserves diverse geomorphological archives that record interactions between climate and surface processes.

We used an integrative approach combining geomorphological mapping, stratigraphical analyses, and luminescence dating of 12 sedimentary sequences across eight geomorphic units, including pediments, alluvial fans, dunes, sand sheets, and playa surfaces.

Quartz OSL signals from dunes and sand sheets were generally dim and dominated by medium and slow components. Dose recovery tests show limited reliability, with high failure rates for recycling and recuperation, although performance improved at preheat temperatures of 180-280 °C. OSL-IR depletion tests indicate feldspar contamination in ~21% of aliquots, limiting the applicability of quartz OSL in this setting.

Preliminary K-feldspar pIRIR225 results are more promising. Fading rates range from 0.5–2.3% per decade, and residual doses are 2–5%. The first age estimates are currently in progress and will provide essential chronological constraints for Late Quaternary geomorphological processes in the basin.

The oldest landforms indicate alternating pediment erosion, alluvial fan deposition, dune activity, and soil formation, likely corresponding to periods before and during MIS 3. Subsequent alluvial fan progradation and dune development reflect cold and arid conditions during the Last Glacial Maximum. Holocene features show increasing aridity, including gypsum-rich soils, dune reactivation, and deflation of playa surfaces. In the future, with the completion of dating results, these observations will allow a robust reconstruction of Late Quaternary landscape evolution and its climatic drivers in the Khoor Basin.

This study provides the first comprehensive model for landscape evolution in the Khoor va Biabanak Basin, demonstrating both the potential and limitations of luminescence dating in arid-region environments and highlighting the complex interactions between climate, geomorphology, and sedimentary processes in Central Iran.

How to cite: Torabi, M., Kolb, T., Fattahi, M., Buedel, C., Rashidi Koochi, Z., and Fuchs, M.: Late Quaternary geomorphological processes and landscape evolution in the Kkoor va Biabanak basin using quartz OSL and K-feldspar pIRIR225 ages, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7403, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7403, 2026.

EGU26-7772 | PICO | GM6.2

Loess in northern Pakistan? Current Understanding, Knowledge Gaps, and New Field Observations 

Christian Zeeden, Waheed Murad, Arshad Mehmood Abbasi, Sumiko Tsukamoto, and Arne Ulfers

Loess and other Late Quaternary palaeoclimate archives in Pakistan are not documented adequately yet and their extent and composition remain unclear, with only a few isolated occurrences being described. This highlights a major gap in systematic research to comprehend the ecological and palaeoclimate dynamics critical for the evolution of dryland and sedimentary records in this region. In this context the present investigation focuses on the presence and composition of silty Quaternary sediments. These have been suggested to be of aeolian and fluvial origin.

In this contribution, we summarize literature, and present observations from a recent field excursion supplemented by magnetic susceptibility data. We consider both aeolian loess and redeposited loess-like fluviolacustrine sediments to be present in much larger areas than earlier reports. Magnetic susceptibility properties are typical for in-situ sol formation, suggesting phases of landscape stability over at least centuries. We find that an aeolian sediment flux into the landscape was repeatedly intercalated by fluviolacustrine sediments of similar silt grain size. The aeolian sedimentation proceeded into mountain regions north of the Peshwar Basin, but in-situ preservation of fine material in sparse. At several places, loess is intercalated with (unrounded) slope deposits and fluvial deposits.

We conclude that Quaternary sedimentation in northern Pakistan is complex, and that landscape stability phases with soil formation occurred. Next steps will be to assess the stratigraphic and spatial (in) homogeneity of deposits, and to provide a temporal frame for soil formation phases. 

How to cite: Zeeden, C., Murad, W., Mehmood Abbasi, A., Tsukamoto, S., and Ulfers, A.: Loess in northern Pakistan? Current Understanding, Knowledge Gaps, and New Field Observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7772, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7772, 2026.

EGU26-14484 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Multi-millennial increased humidity in the Atacama Desert during MIS 5e: evidence from a lacustrine record in southern Peru 

Marco Nieslony, Swann Zerathe, Pierre Valla, Diana Ochoa, Luis Albinez, Dulio Gomez, Fabrizio Delgado, Xavier Robert, Laurence Audin, Regis Braucher, and Audrey Taillefer

The Atacama Desert, along the Pacific margin of the Central Andes, is one of the driest high-altitude regions on Earth, with hyperaridity persisting for at least 10-12 Ma due to its latitudinal location, Humboldt Current and Andean orographic barriers. This has produced landscapes with exceptionally well-preserved Quaternary geomorphologies, including mega-landslides, alluvial terraces and fans. While the roles of tectonics and climate in shaping and controlling these features remain debated, recent regional studies suggest the occurrence of past humid periods, though their timing, duration, moisture sources and controlling mechanisms remain largely unresolved.

We conducted a multi-proxy study of a 20-30 m thick and 300 m long sedimentary sequence trapped behind the Caquilluco mega-landslide (~2000 m a.s.l., Pleistocene). This site provides a rare exposure of lacustrine deposits and natural dam that have been partially re-incised. To reconstruct depositional conditions, document the paleoenvironment, and constrain the chronology, our analyses included stratigraphy (facies, grain size), geochemistry (XRF) and paleoenvironmental indicators (diatom, pollen) combined with feldspar OSL and ¹⁰Be exposure dating.

Results indicate predominantly lacustrine conditions, through fine and regularly deposited sediments. Slumps in distal deposits suggest minimum water depths of several meters, while desiccation cracks and debris flow layers indicate intermittent drying events. Although only partially preserved, pollen and diatom assemblages point to a semi-humid paleoenvironment, dominated by shallow-water taxa. OSL dates constrain deposition of the exposed sequence to 133 ± 14 ka – 115 ± 16 ka, corresponding to MIS 5e and consistent with ¹⁰Be exposure ages of dam and gorge incision. Given the small catchment area (~10 km²) and high evaporation rates, sustaining lacustrine conditions over ~20 ka would require substantial precipitation. We hypothesize that strong Pacific surface temperature anomalies during MIS 5e may have induced semi-permanent "El Niño"-type conditions, aligning with other regional proxies supporting enhanced humidity in the Atacama Desert during the last interglacial.

This study highlights the value of high-altitude drylands as archives of Quaternary environmental change and demonstrates the potential of lacustrine deposits in reconstructing past hydroclimatic variability, providing insights into the interplay of climate, geomorphology, and hydrology in dryland evolution.

How to cite: Nieslony, M., Zerathe, S., Valla, P., Ochoa, D., Albinez, L., Gomez, D., Delgado, F., Robert, X., Audin, L., Braucher, R., and Taillefer, A.: Multi-millennial increased humidity in the Atacama Desert during MIS 5e: evidence from a lacustrine record in southern Peru, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14484, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14484, 2026.

Unlike the modern hyper-arid conditions across most of the Arabian Peninsula, the region experienced pronounced humid phases during the Quaternary, supporting a dense vegetation cover. Evidence for these humid periods and the associated greening is documented in regional geological and paleoenvironmental records, including speleothems, lake-level reconstructions, lacustrine sediment sequences, and the presence of soil carbonate. However, the timing, extent, and moisture sources of these humid phases remain poorly constrained in the northern Arabian Peninsula, particularly in the area now occupied by Kuwait. There is evidence that the area once experienced wetter intervals, but it is unclear whether they were driven by incursions of a Tropical Ocean monsoon (summer) or by enhanced Mediterranean (winter) westerlies.

This study investigates the nature of Quaternary humid conditions in Kuwait using petrographic, mineralogical, and oxygen- and carbon-isotope analyses (δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C) of relict pedogenic and paleosol carbonates. A total of 84 soil samples were collected across 21 sites in Kuwait, targeting calcic and petrocalcic horizons. Petrographic thin sections show progressive stages of carbonate development from stages I to III. Stage III carbonates are older and have δ¹⁸O values that cluster between −12 ‰ and +3 ‰ (VPDB) and δ¹³C values between −9 ‰ and 0 ‰. These ranges reflect the coevolution of soil moisture sources and vegetation types. During monsoon-influenced intervals, long-distance moisture transport and the amount effect produce isotopically light rainfall, resulting in carbonates with more depleted δ¹⁸O values. In contrast, carbonates have more isotopically enriched δ¹⁸O values during periods influenced by Mediterranean winter westerlies. The δ¹⁸O values of stage III soil carbonate suggest moisture sourced from both the tropical monsoon and the Mediterranean. Lower δ¹³C values reflect the contribution of soil-respired CO₂ from C₃ plants, whereas higher δ¹³C values reflect a greater contribution of C₄ plants. The δ¹³C values of stage III soil carbonate in Kuwait clearly reflect humid phases sourced from the tropical monsoon and supporting C4 vegetation, as well as winter rainfall from the Mediterranean and supporting C3 vegetation. The determination that Kuwait has experienced wetter conditions in the past from both tropical and Mediterranean sources is important for determining potential future precipitation amounts.

How to cite: Al-Qattan, N., Rech, J., and Currie, B.: What Caused the Greening of Kuwait: An Isotopic Investigation of the Source of Moisture During Quaternary Pluvial Periods in Kuwait, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15946, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15946, 2026.

EGU26-19146 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Tracing Saharan dust to the Eastern Mediterranean: Integrating mineralogical and isotopic proxies with atmospheric trajectory modelling 

Simon Bitzan, Cécile L. Blanchet, Sylvain Pichat, Georgios E. Christidis, Kerstin Schepanski, and Fabian Kirsten

Long-distance aeolian dust transport is fundamental in shaping dryland environments and adjacent deposition regions, influencing sediment budgets, soil development, and ecosystem functioning. The Eastern Mediterranean constitutes a key corridor for Saharan dust transport, yet multi-proxy studies linking depositional records with atmospheric transport modelling are scarce. This study presents new insights into the provenance, transport dynamics, and seasonal variability of long-range aeolian dust deposited on the island of Crete (Greece), integrating laboratory sediment analyses with simulated air-mass trajectories.

Deposition samples were collected over a 15-month period at seven sites across western Crete, complemented by analyses of local surface material and reference aerosols from North Africa. Mineralogical composition, grain-size distribution, and radiogenic isotope ratios (Nd, Pb, Sr) reveal that deposited material is dominated by long range transported Saharan dust, with only minor local contributions. The persistent presence of palygorskite, uniform silt-dominated grain-size spectra, and isotopic signatures distinct from local substrates clearly indicate a North African origin. Temporal variability greatly exceeds spatial variability, and no substantial topography-related sorting is observed across the Lefka-Ori mountain range.

Seasonal shifts in mineralogical assemblages and isotopic composition indicate changes in dominant source regions, ranging from northeastern Algeria during winter to northeastern Libya and northwestern Egypt in summer, with transitional phases in spring and autumn. Transport-related fractionation is reflected in the depletion of coarse grain-size fractions and soluble minerals such as gypsum, as well as in variable illite/kaolinite ratios, pointing to mixing of particles from multiple source areas rather than single-source contributions.

To evaluate the plausibility of these interpretations and to assess the added value of combining depositional records with atmospheric modelling, laboratory-derived provenance indicators were compared with backward trajectories calculated using the HYSPLIT model for days with increased dust concentrations in the deposition region. The comparison highlights how the integration of mineralogical and isotopic fingerprints, deposition and concentration measurements, and modelled air-mass trajectories enhances the resolution of dust source attribution beyond what each approach can achieve independently.

This combined methodological framework advances our understanding of aeolian processes in large-scale aeolian systems and demonstrates the potential of integrated proxy-model approaches for reconstructing dust dynamics, with implications for geomorphic processes, and human environment interactions in dust-affected regions.

How to cite: Bitzan, S., Blanchet, C. L., Pichat, S., Christidis, G. E., Schepanski, K., and Kirsten, F.: Tracing Saharan dust to the Eastern Mediterranean: Integrating mineralogical and isotopic proxies with atmospheric trajectory modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19146, 2026.

EGU26-20574 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Potential dust source areas of Quaternary vega sediments on Lanzarote (Canary Islands) 

Jakob Labahn, Christopher-B. Roettig, Thomas Kolb, Anja-M. Schleicher, Christina Günter, Carsten Marburg, and Dominik Faust

On the eastern Canary Islands, several valleys exist that were dammed later on by volcanic activity. Since that damming, these valleys (locally called “vegas”) have acted as sediment traps. The deposited materials include volcanic material, redeposited (soil-)sediments from the surrounding slopes, and dust originating from the northern African continent. Due to intense postsedimentary calcification processes Vega sections are typically characterised by an alternation of pale-coloured, carbonate-enriched layers (PCL) and reddish, clay-enriched layers (RCL), forming recurring sedimentary sequences.

This study shall contribute to the reconstruction of palaeoenvironmental conditions during the formation of vega sections on Lanzarote, with particular emphasis on aeolian dust deposits. Therefore, we combine grain-size analyses, geochemical (XRF) and mineralogical analyses (XRD), and luminescence dating (IRSL) with a principal component analysis (PCA) to evaluate geochemical fingerprints and compositional end-members.

Four distinct clusters have been identified reflecting different sediment sources and transport pathways. A first cluster is characterised by increased Si, Zr, quartz and plagioclase contents and has been interpreted as short range (silt-dominated) aeolian dust input. A second cluster shows high Al, K and kaolinite loadings and indicates long range (fine-grained) aeolian dust derived from more southerly regions of northern Africa. A third cluster is defined by elevated Fe, Ni and Zn concentrations, which are typical for basaltic source rocks on the eastern Canary Islands and reflect locally derived material. In contrast, Rb–V–enriched samples define a distinct trend, as Rb substitutes for K in fine-grained mineral phases and V is associated with Fe-(hydr-)oxides, pointing to a fine-grained sediment component differentiated from the Ni–Zn–rich basaltic signal and possibly reflecting an additional aeolian contribution. The fourth cluster is associated with Ti and Cr, elements occurring both in Saharan dust and in local basaltic volcanics; however, the presence of K-feldspar suggests a predominantly allochthonous contribution.

The cyclic pattern (alternating PCLs and RCLs) within vega sections highlights the sensitivity of these archives to changing environmental conditions. While variations in grain size, mineralogical composition, and geochemical signatures indicate shifting potential source areas and pathways of dust, the carbonate redistribution in combination with the characteristics of clay-dominated sediment layers reflect changing hydrological and hence palaeoclimatic conditions on the Eastern Canary Islands. Finally, we hope to contribute on the one hand to the understanding of Late Quaternary conditions in an over regional scale and on the other hand to the individual behaviour of the different subterritories.

How to cite: Labahn, J., Roettig, C.-B., Kolb, T., Schleicher, A.-M., Günter, C., Marburg, C., and Faust, D.: Potential dust source areas of Quaternary vega sediments on Lanzarote (Canary Islands), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20574, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20574, 2026.

EGU26-21262 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Exploring the palaeoenvironmental context of surface archaeology in the Namib Sand Sea 

Tessa Spano, Abi Stone, George Leader, Rachel Bynoe, Ted Marks, Dominic Stratford, Kaarina Efraim, Alexandra Karamitrou, Mark Bateman, Andrew Gunn, Eugene Marais, and Vaibhav Singh

The hyper-arid conditions of the Namib Sand Sea in the present day pose significant challenges for all but some extremely well-adapted species. The presence of a rich-archaeological surface record of stone age lithics at numerous interdunal pan sites raises questions around the evolution of this environment throughout the Quaternary. Specifically, was this region subject to phases of elevated humidity, allowing the proliferation of a network of ‘green corridors’ through which hominin populations exploited this landscape, or were hominins adapted to hostile conditions much like those of today?

Earlier insights into the palaeoenvironmental context of interdune pan sites were provided by Teller et al. (1990), although this was before the development of chronological techniques that could provide reliable age constraint on sediments greater than 100 ka, where we have found the quartz luminescence signal to be in saturation. Feldspar dating protocols will allow us to provide age control for the later part of the Earlier Stone Age and the Middle Stone Age (e.g. Stone et al., 2024). The PANS project (Palaeoenvironmental context of Palaeolithic Archaeology in the Namib Sand Sea) applies single grain and multiple grain multiple elevated temperature infrared-stimulation luminescence (MET-IRSL) alongside a multi-proxy approach to environmental reconstruction at new sites in the northern Namib Sand Sea to situate environmental change and patterns of hominin activity within the regional palaeoclimatic framework. We present MET-IRSL results alongside palaeoclimatic proxies and explore the use of palaeoecological markers, at key new sites visited in 2025. We combine these datasets with remote sensing techniques to reconstruct former watercourses in this hyper-arid environment.

 

Stone, A., Leader, G., Stratford, D., Marks, T., Efraim, K., Bynoe, R., Smedley, R., Gunn, A. and Marais, E., 2024. Landscape evolution and hydrology at the Late Pleistocene archaeological site of Narabeb in the Namib Sand Sea, Namibia. Quaternary Science Advances, 14, p.100190.

Teller, J.T., Rutter, N., Lancaster, N., 1990. Sedimentology and paleohydrology of Late Quaternary lake deposits in the northern Namib Sand Sea, Namibia. Quat. Sci. Rev. 9, 343–364.

How to cite: Spano, T., Stone, A., Leader, G., Bynoe, R., Marks, T., Stratford, D., Efraim, K., Karamitrou, A., Bateman, M., Gunn, A., Marais, E., and Singh, V.: Exploring the palaeoenvironmental context of surface archaeology in the Namib Sand Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21262, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21262, 2026.

EGU26-22019 | ECS | PICO | GM6.2

Testing rock magnetic- and colorimetric- based climofunctions at the Middle Pleistocene Köndringen loess-palaeosol-sequence, SW Germany 

Mathias Vinnepand, Christian Zeeden, Tobias Sprafke, Kamila Ryzner, Mohammad Paknia, Felix Martin Hofmann, and Frank Preusser

Global climate oscillations may strongly modify continental precipitation patterns. Understanding the history of these is thus, relevant for comprehending effects of past and ongoing climate change. For this purpose, precipitation estimates in a high spatio-temporal resolution are extremely useful and may be derived from geophysical properties of former land-surfaces such as fossil soils and sediments, if reliable climofunctions are available. Recently, promising transfer functions have been provided by linear regression analyses between geophysical topsoil properties (magnetic and colorimetric) across the Bačka Loess Plateau (Serbia) along a narrow precipitation gradient (MAP: 525±1 mm/a to 584±1 mm/a) and available meteorological data. Whilst these climofunctions need to be expanded regarding the calibrated precipitation range and tested considering different sediment and soil types, they testify to a pronounced sensitivity of geophysical properties to precipitation, exceeding these of MAP- δ13C derived climofunctions. We aim to test multiple climofunctions for geophysical properties using an extended precipitation-calibration range (up to ~1200 mm/a) at the Köndringen loess-palaeosol-sequence (LPS). This site mostly consists of polygenetic palaeosols and pedosediments of varying development that are in parts intersected. This testifies to a complex local geomorphological evolution and consequently, provides a difficult and thus, promising testing environment for the climofunctions at test. A thorough evaluation of these is pivotal as different climatic settings, soil/sediment properties, geomorphological positions and provenance effects may influence the climate-sensitive iron-(hydr-)oxide composition and eventually constrains the applicability of climofunctions. We also directly compare our findings to climate-model output data to assess derived MAP calculations through an independent measure. We contribute a critical assessment to test the potential of climofunctions for geophysical properties for moister western Central European settings that show magnetic enhancement and/or distinct color hues indicative for the presence of goethite and/or hematite.

How to cite: Vinnepand, M., Zeeden, C., Sprafke, T., Ryzner, K., Paknia, M., Hofmann, F. M., and Preusser, F.: Testing rock magnetic- and colorimetric- based climofunctions at the Middle Pleistocene Köndringen loess-palaeosol-sequence, SW Germany, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22019, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22019, 2026.

EGU26-311 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Integration of Spectral Datasets and Radargrams in Mawrth Vallis, Mars 

Daniel Larrota, Wim Bakker, and Frank van Ruitenbeek

This study developed and applied an integrated framework to analyse surface mineralogical variability and radar backscatter response in Mawrth Vallis, Mars. The primary goals were to evaluate the lateral extent and potential subsurface continuity of phyllosilicate-bearing layers, and discussing the benefits, limitations and improvements for this approach. The methodology combined HRSC imagery, both color mosaics and digital terrain models to map four distinct surface units (S1, S2, S3, and DT) based on hue, brightness patterns, and topographic context. This was complemented by OMEGA and CRISM HSP hyperspectral data to characterize the regional distribution and composition of hydrated mineral phases, specifically Fe/Mg- and Al-phyllosilicates. Finally, SHARAD radargrams were used to identify clutter patterns, possible subsurface reflectors, and to analyse radar backscatter variations across the mapped surface units.

Spectral analysis confirmed that surface units mostly but not completely match the compositional boundaries, with S2 consistently shows dominant Fe/Mg-smectite absorptions, S1 exhibits Al-smectite features in a mixed spectrum, and S3 is characterized by dominant kaolinite absorptions. While these mineralogical variations generally align with the mapped surface units, small-scale heterogeneities suggest a finer stratification that is not fully resolved at the current data resolution.

SHARAD radargrams revealed variations in radar backscatter that are dependent on surface unit type. The DT unit consistently produces strong surface echoes, even in areas with similar terrain characteristics, which points to variations in the dielectric properties of the materials. In contrast, S2 returns weaker radar signals, consistent with the relatively lower dielectric constant of Fe-smectite. S1 exhibit intermediate radar responses. Additionally, potential subsurface reflectors were identified beneath the DT-S3 interface along Mawrth Vallis' southern flank, which may represent preserved stratigraphic interfaces, likely due to dielectric contrasts between the regolith-like DT material and the kaolinite-rich S3 unit.

This integrated approach highlights both the synergies and challenges of using multiple datasets for interpretation. Spectral data are effective for constraining surface composition but lack the ability to probe depth, while radar instruments can detect subsurface structures but struggle with thin layering and strong clutter patterns.

 

How to cite: Larrota, D., Bakker, W., and van Ruitenbeek, F.: Integration of Spectral Datasets and Radargrams in Mawrth Vallis, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-311, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-311, 2026.

EGU26-656 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Mudflow rheology under disequilibrium conditions: implications for the interpretation of Martian flow deposits 

Jodie Whorton, Thomas J. Jones, Lionel Wilson, and Bartosz Pieterek

The presence of sedimentary volcanism on Mars has been proposed as an explanation for many characteristic features in areas such as Chryse, Acidalia, and Utopia Planitia. Orbital investigations and rovers have identified the presence of clay minerals including smectite, kaolinite, and chlorite on the Martian surface. However, the specific composition (lava vs. mud) of most flow deposits cannot be confidently described due to the scarcity of data. Interpreting the past behaviour of flow deposits on terrestrial or planetary bodies requires a comprehensive knowledge of the flow rheology. As such, constraining the composition of remotely observed flows relies on the use of rheological models. However, the rheological behaviour of sedimentary flows is not well constrained, especially under Martian conditions. The lower pressure, temperature, and gravity on Mars have been shown to produce different propagation conditions of sediment-water mixtures compared with those on Earth, highlighting the importance of investigating mudflow behaviour under Martian conditions through analogue experiments. Here, we choose a non-swelling kaolinite clay to firstly investigate the rheological behaviour of a clay-water suspension under different shear-rates and solid volume fractions. We analyse the relationship between yield stress, τy , and solid volume fraction, φ, to select realistic input values for modelling remote sedimentary flows on both Earth and Mars. We find the Herschel-Bulkley model provides the best fit to laboratory rheological data, but the Bingham model provides more utility with remotely sensed datasets. We then investigate the effects of simultaneous external cooling and internal frictional heating of our kaolinite clay-water mixtures, assessing the balance between the two processes. We find that the control of these disequilibrium conditions varies with both φ and the shear-rate, γ̇, (i.e., the flow velocity). For all values of φ, at high γ̇, we find that complete freezing/jamming is delayed compared with lower values of γ̇. We assess the morphology of inferred sedimentary flow deposits in Chryse Planitia by quantifying their flow length, local slope angle, flow thickness, and surface textures. Alongside our experimental data, these remotely sensed parameters serve as inputs for a non-Newtonian plug model designed to estimate realistic flow properties. This integrated approach allows us to better constrain the origin and composition of the Martian deposits.

How to cite: Whorton, J., Jones, T. J., Wilson, L., and Pieterek, B.: Mudflow rheology under disequilibrium conditions: implications for the interpretation of Martian flow deposits, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-656, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-656, 2026.

EGU26-912 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Martian Meteoric Metals: An intercomparison of MAVEN Observations and PCM-Mars Simulations 

Caitlin Gough, Daniel Marsh, John Plane, Wuhu Feng, Juan Diego Carrillo-Sánchez, Diego Janches, Matteo Crismani, Andrew Poppe, Nicholas Schneider, Mehdi Benna, Francisco González-Galindo, Jean-Yves Chaufray, and Francois Forget

Before NASA’s Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN) spacecraft entered Mars’ orbit in 2014, meteoric metals had not been directly measured in a planetary atmosphere beyond Earth. MAVEN’s Imaging Ultraviolet Spectrograph (IUVS) has since measured a persistent layer of Mg+ in the Martian upper atmosphere. Metal species are injected into the atmosphere via ablation at altitudes where the pressure is ~1 μbar; the peak of the Mg+ layer varies over the Martian year due to changes in atmospheric density caused by the deposition and sublimation of CO2 at the poles. During Mars’ close encounter with the Oort cloud comet, Siding Spring, in October 2014, the IUVS instrument could also observe Mg, Fe, and Fe+. Neutral Mg was observed to decay at rates much faster than predicted and global models simulate nominal densities above the detection limit of the IUVS instrument, suggesting an incomplete understanding of Mg chemistry. The MAVEN mission included nine ‘Deep Dip’ campaigns, during which the nominal altitude range of the spacecraft was extended to include altitudes as low as 125 km. These week-long campaigns were designed to sample a variety of locations, local times, and solar longitudes, and offered the unique opportunity to measure Mg+, Fe+, and Na+ in-situ with the Neutral Gas and Ion Mass Spectrometer (NGIMS).

 

This study investigates the variability of Mars’ meteoric metal layers by comparing MAVEN IUVS and NGIMS observations with PCM-Mars simulations of the deep dip campaigns and the passing of Siding Spring. The PCM-Mars is a 3D numerical model of the Martian atmosphere, simulating atmospheric chemistry, circulation, temperature, and dust from the surface to the exobase. For the deep dip simulations, the Leeds Chemical Ablation Model (CABMOD) and the Meteoric Input Function (MIF) of Carrillo-Sánchez et al. (2022) were used to model the injection of MgO, Mg+, Fe, Fe+, Na, Na+, SiO, and Si+; we implemented a Siding Spring MIF to investigate the missing neutral Mg. For all simulations we have implemented a 4-metal chemistry scheme modelling Mg, Fe, Na, and Si reactions. This intercomparison of MAVEN observations and PCM-Mars simulations is vital to constraining global models and understanding the key drivers controlling the variability of Mars’ metal layers.

 

References

Crismani, M.M.J., Schneider, N.M., Plane, J.M.C., Evans, J.S., Jain, S.K., Chaffin, M.S., Carrillo- Sánchez, J. D., Deighan, J.I., Yelle, R.V., Stewart, A.I.F., McClintock, W., Clarke, J., Holsclaw, G.M., Stiepen, A., Montmessin, F., and Jakosky, B.M. Detection of a persistent meteoric metal layer in the Martian atmosphere, Nat. Geosci., 10(6): 401-405, doi:10.1038/ngeo2958, 2017.

Crismani, M.M.J., Schneider, N.M., Evans, J.S., Plane, J.M.C, Carrillo-Sánchez, J. D, Jain, S.K., Deighan, J.I., and Yelle, R.V. The Impact of Comet Siding Spring’s Meteors on the Martian Atmosphere and Ionosphere, JGR. Planets., 123(10): 2613-2627, doi:10.1029/2018JE005750, 2018.

Carrillo-Sánchez, J. D., Janches, D., Plane, J.M.C., Pokorný, P., Sarantos, M., Crismani, M.M.J., Feng, W., and Marsh, D.R. A Modeling Study of the Seasonal, Latitudinal, and Temporal Distribution of the Meteoroid Mass Input at Mars: Constraining the Deposition of Meteoric Ablated Metals in the Upper Atmosphere, Planet. Sci. J., 3(10), art. no. 239, doi:10.3847/PSJ/ac8540, 2022.

How to cite: Gough, C., Marsh, D., Plane, J., Feng, W., Carrillo-Sánchez, J. D., Janches, D., Crismani, M., Poppe, A., Schneider, N., Benna, M., González-Galindo, F., Chaufray, J.-Y., and Forget, F.: Martian Meteoric Metals: An intercomparison of MAVEN Observations and PCM-Mars Simulations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-912, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-912, 2026.

EGU26-1024 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

A comprehensive morphometric and mineralogical assessment of Ma’adim Vallis, Mars 

Shabana Ebrahim, Alok Porwal, and Nithya Mullassery

Early Mars exhibited terrestrial-like hydrologic activity, with extensive fluvial networks and lacustrine deposits preserved due to the lack of plate tectonism. Ma’adim Vallis (≈22°S, 177.3°E) in Terra Cimmeria extends ~900 km, is 10–15 km in width, and reaches depths of ~2 km, linking the Eridania basin system to Gusev crater on the northern plain. The competing formation hypothesis involves surface runoff, paleolake overflow, and dry volcanic megafloods. This work employs high-resolution orbital imageries like CTX, HiRISE, CRISM, and Digital Elevation Models to quantify more than 50 morphometric parameters, including length-area scaling, sinuosity indices, dissection indices, and junction angles for channels, etc. Mineralogical mapping identifies key minerals, including Mg-smectite, Fe/Mg phyllosilicates, and olivine from the study area. Even though the integrated morphometric and mineralogical evidence points to a dominantly catastrophic water outflow event that carved the valley, implying a transient but intense hydrologic regime in Mars’ early climate history; evidence suggests that the evolution of Ma’adim Vallis may not be derived from a single process, indicating the involvement of multiple, distinct formative mechanisms.

How to cite: Ebrahim, S., Porwal, A., and Mullassery, N.: A comprehensive morphometric and mineralogical assessment of Ma’adim Vallis, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1024, 2026.

EGU26-1160 | Posters on site | PS1.5

Deciphering Water and Climate History in Lyot Crater, Mars: A Morphological and Mineralogical Perspective 

Nithya Mullassery and Shabana Ebrahim

Lyot (50.8°N, 330.7°W), the largest and deepest impact structure on the northern plains of Mars, with an approximate diameter of 220 km, is a prominent peak-ring crater situated near the hemispheric dichotomy within the Vastitas Borealis region. This Amazonian-aged crater has long fascinated due to its potential association with past hydrologic activity. Previous studies have suggested that the Lyot impact may have breached the cryosphere, enabling the release or exposure of subsurface groundwater. As a result, the crater interior and its surroundings preserve geomorphic signatures of both ancient and relatively recent water-related processes, including groundwater upwelling as well as atmospheric precipitation.

The primary objective of this study is to systematically map and characterize the major morphological features and mineral assemblages within Lyot Crater to better understand its hydrologic and climatic evolution. For this purpose, we employ a multi-instrument dataset comprising MOLA blended DEM for topographic analysis, Context Camera (CTX) imagery (5–6 m/pixel) for regional geomorphologic mapping, and select high-resolution HiRISE images (25–30 cm/pixel) for detailed surface feature interpretation. Mineralogical information is derived from CRISM observations (18 m/pixel), enabling the detection of key alteration minerals. Our geomorphic analysis identifies a diverse suite of features including fluvial channels, distal ridges, glacial and periglacial landforms, and multiple dune fields. Spectral analysis reveals the presence of Fe/Mg-smectites, chlorites, illite/muscovite, prehnite, and other hydrated minerals distributed across the central peak ring, crater floor, and rim. Together, these features and mineral signatures highlight the complex interplay of fluvial, glacial-periglacial, and aeolian processes that have shaped Lyot over time. While hydrous minerals and water-related landforms provide important clues to subsurface water activity and Mars’ broader hydrologic evolution, the aeolian deposits record more recent atmospheric dynamics and ongoing topographic changes. Overall, this integrated investigation enhances our understanding of Lyot Crater as a key site for reconstructing Amazonian-era water activity and climate transitions on Mars.

How to cite: Mullassery, N. and Ebrahim, S.: Deciphering Water and Climate History in Lyot Crater, Mars: A Morphological and Mineralogical Perspective, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1160, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1160, 2026.

EGU26-1716 | Orals | PS1.5

Magnetic survey in Rio Tinto area: a Mars analogue. 

Marina Díaz-Michelena, Esther Velasco Domínguez, Ángel Melguizo Baena, Azahara Cortés Mañanes, Miguel Ángel Rivero Rodríguez, Alberto López Escolano, and Sergio Fernández Romero

Rio Tinto and Odiel are part of the fluvial system of the Iberian Pyritic Belt (IPB), so far the largest massive sulfide deposits found on continental crust on Earth. The extreme geochemical characteristics of Rio Tinto revealed this area as one of the most important geochemical Mars analogues on Earth. Its exotic mineralogy provides a good environmental analog for Hesperian/Teiikian mineral deposits on Mars, [1, 2, 3], and thanks to that, it is a unique place for developing and testing instruments for future planetary missions. Robotic vehicles and the recent technological demonstration of Ingenuity on Mars open up the possibility of using the powerful and non-destructive geophysical tool of magnetic surveys at different heights, for the investigation of surfaces and subsurfaces of planetary bodies. We explore IPB area Odiel-San Platón, were both jarosite (a key mineral from the Teiikian era of Mars) and important outcrops of Manganiferous Formation of the IPB are accessible. Manganese is a key element to support a putative microbial metabolism on Mars, but both acidic alteration of the rocks in this area and the low magnetic signal of manganese rich minerals, make the magnetic signature of the rocks, a challenge to be detected. We identify manganese-rich areas and minerals thanks to its magnetic signal, both in the field and with a detailed magnetic characterization of rock samples using a Vibrating Sample Magnetometer. In this research, we have done a magnetic survey and taken geological samples in field campaigns in 2018 and 2025. We propose a methodology which comprises an analysis of the morphology using images, magnetic field surveys, rock sample magnetic characterization, and simplified models for the interpretation of geological structures on the field. This methodology is applied successfully to the study of different areas of the Iberian Pyritic Belt, representative of the Martian landing sites mineralogy, as a preparatory action prior to the exploration of the planetary bodies’ surfaces.

How to cite: Díaz-Michelena, M., Velasco Domínguez, E., Melguizo Baena, Á., Cortés Mañanes, A., Rivero Rodríguez, M. Á., López Escolano, A., and Fernández Romero, S.: Magnetic survey in Rio Tinto area: a Mars analogue., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1716, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1716, 2026.

EGU26-3633 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

A Model of the Martian Crustal Magnetic Field Using Data from MGS, MAVEN, and Tianwen-1 

Feng Wanqiu, Cheng Long, Wang Yuming, Huang Zhenguang, and Lin Rentong

Mars lacks a global dipole magnetic field but hosts localized magnetic anomalies from magnetized crustal rocks. Accurate descriptions of the crustal magnetic field are crucial for understanding the magnetic environment and geology of Mars. In this study, We construct a Martian crustal magnetic field model using the Equivalent Source Dipole (ESD) approach, integrating data from three missions: Mars Global Surveyor (MGS), Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN), and Tianwen-1. To mitigate contamination from solar wind-ionosphere interactions, we use satellite-measured upstream solar wind parameters, including the average values of IMF strength, IMF fluctuation levels, solar wind pressure, and electron density, as indicators of external field interference. The resulting model is then converted to a spherical harmonic (SH) model up to degree 130, achieving a spatial resolution of approximately 165 km at the Martian surface. Compared to previous studies, it exhibits reduced fitting residuals for the horizontal components of MAVEN dataset, confirming the effectiveness of our data selection methodology. Validation with rover measurements reveals that while the model’s predictions are significantly weaker at the InSight landing site, they show better agreement with observations at the Zhurong site than those of previous models. This work could assist in further research on the Martian magnetic environment and its interaction with the solar wind.

How to cite: Wanqiu, F., Long, C., Yuming, W., Zhenguang, H., and Rentong, L.: A Model of the Martian Crustal Magnetic Field Using Data from MGS, MAVEN, and Tianwen-1, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3633, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3633, 2026.

EGU26-4041 | Orals | PS1.5

Aerosols and clouds in the limb of Mars: A study with the VMC camera onboard Mars Express 

Teresa del Río-Gaztelurrutia, Telmo Sanz Hernández, Agustín Sánchez-Lavega, and Jorge Hernandez-Bernal

The Visual Monitoring Camera on board Mars Express provides images of varied resolutions, covering a wide range of locations and seasons, and has been taking images for several Martian Years. Some of these images show clear instances of aerosols layers in the limb of the planet, which allow studying their height and extension. Images close to pericenter display varying morphologies, and the extensive coverage by VMC allows determining inter-annual and areographicaI variations in occurrence.

The first years of the database were explored in Sánchez-Lavega (2018a), but this study was conditioned by the fact that there was no scientific programming of the observations until 2016. Nowadays, after several years of planning, a much more complete set of observations is available, covering four Martian years, with the added interest that a global dust storm developed in one of them (Sanchez-Lavega et al, 2018b). In this work, we will present results of a systematic analysis that aims to extend this study to MYs 33-37, measuring the extension and height of aerosols, their aerographic distribution and dependence on season and local time. We also contextualize our results using values of dust and water opacity retrieved by the Mars Climate Sounder onboard the Mars Reconnaissnce Orbiter and the estimates of the Mars Climate Database of the Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique.

References:

  • Sánchez-Lavega, A. et al. “Limb clouds and dust on Mars from images obtained by the Visual Monitoring Camera (VMC) onboard Mars Express” ICARUS 299, 194-205 (2018a)
  • Sánchez-Lavega, et al. “The Onset and Growth of the 2018 Martian Global Dust Storm” Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 6101-6108 (2018b)

How to cite: del Río-Gaztelurrutia, T., Sanz Hernández, T., Sánchez-Lavega, A., and Hernandez-Bernal, J.: Aerosols and clouds in the limb of Mars: A study with the VMC camera onboard Mars Express, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4041, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4041, 2026.

EGU26-4366 | Orals | PS1.5

Ocean worlds and Mars: A cosmochemical perspective on the liquid brines "problem" 

Graziella Caprarelli, Franklin P. Mills, and Roberto Orosei

Bright basal reflections detected on Mars by radar sounder MARSIS (Mars Advanced Radar for Subsurface and Ionospheric Sounding) have been interpreted to indicate the presence of liquid perchlorate brines [1-2] in Ultimi Scopuli (193°E; 81°S) a marginal area of the South Polar Layered Deposits (SPLD). This is the first (and only) report of extant bodies of liquid water on Mars, although this interpretation is not universally accepted. Other authors have suggested that the bright reflections may be caused by clays [3], hydrated salts [4], basalt [5], or that they are produced by constructive interference of radar waves [6-7]. These alternatives to the liquid brine interpretation have been investigated and found to be implausible [8-11].

We are not yet close to a definitive explanation of the mechanisms of formation and persistence of liquid brines in the Martian south polar regions, however. Even though basal temperatures could conservatively be estimated to be as high as 193 K [12], a value close to the eutectic temperature of Ca-perchlorate (198.5 K; [13]), the commonly accepted tenet that the south polar region of Mars is too cold for the presence of large bodies of liquid water [14] has not shifted. Liquid brines could form metastably at sub-eutectic temperatures, but it is not clear whether they could persist over geologically significant timescales [15]. Recent geophysical and petrological evidence points to a heterogeneous Martian interior and suggests the possibility of higher heat flows than previous estimates [16-17], but these results have not translated into recalculations of SPLD basal temperatures. The presence of chemical species that could act as antifreeze (such as ammonia or methanol; [18]) or of clathrate hydrates [19] has been proposed, but not yet adequately modeled because of lack of data.

Stimulated by the complexity and current paucity of geophysical evidence to progress further, we reframe the problem from a cosmochemical perspective: if briny oceans exist beneath the frozen crust of small planetary bodies in the outer solar system, under what circumstances could small and contained bodies of subglacial liquid water exist on Mars? Here, we consider data and models of:  solar system formation;  element condensation temperatures;  relationship between planetary noon temperature, gravity, and atmospheric composition; Mars’s volatile budget; chemical reaction cycles in the Martian atmosphere; atmosphere-lithosphere processes. We identify current gaps in data, and highlight future work to fill the gaps.

References. [1]10.1126/science.aar7268. [2]10.1038/s41550-020-1200-6. [3]10.1029/2021GL093618. [4]10.1029/2021GL093880. [5]10.1029/2021GL096518. [6]10.1038/s41550-022-01775-z. [7]10.1126/sciadv.adj9546. [8]10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117370. [9]10.1016/j.icarus.2022.115163. [10]10.1029/2022JE007398. [11]10.1029/2022JE007513. [12]10.1038/s41467-022-33389-4. [13]10.1007/s11167-005-0306-z. [14]10.1029/2020GL091409. [15]10.1073/pnas.2321067121. [16]10.1016/bs.agph.2022.07.005. [17]10.1029/2023GL103537. [18]10.1089/ast.2024.0075. [19]10.1002/2014RG000463.

How to cite: Caprarelli, G., Mills, F. P., and Orosei, R.: Ocean worlds and Mars: A cosmochemical perspective on the liquid brines "problem", EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4366, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4366, 2026.

Valley networks and wrinkle ridges are commonly observed in the Martian highlands. Geologic cross-cutting relationships between fluvial and tectonic features provide constraints on their formation sequences and the spatiotemporal evolution of these processes. For example, in central Terra Sabaea, a valley network appears to be affected by a wrinkle ridge. Tributaries are diverted along the ridge front and converge into a single, elevated channel across the ridge, suggesting coevolution between fluvial erosion and wrinkle ridge development. In this work, we systematically examine all intersections between valley networks and wrinkle ridges across the Martian highlands, assessing the relative timing and activity of tectonics and fluvial erosion. We identify 70 intersection sites from previously mapped valley networks and wrinkle ridges. Among them, ~60% exhibit syn- to post-fluvial tectonic modification, as indicated by drainage reorganization and valley profile changes; ~30% record pre-fluvial tectonic activity, and only ~7% show purely post-fluvial tectonic activity. Longitudinal profiles from six syn- to post-fluvial tectonic sites indicate that tectonic uplift produced comparable amounts of deformation during syn-fluvial and post-fluvial periods, with one exception. Erosion efficiency coefficients estimated from the incised valley profiles are similar to those observed in arid climates or in regions underlain by resistant bedrocks on Earth. Our results suggest that the widespread tectonic modification of existing valley networks in the intersection sites may reflect a dynamic coevolution of tectonic and fluvial systems during Mars’ hydrologically active past.

How to cite: Chen, H., Moon, S., Kim, E., and Paige, D.: Dynamic coevolution of valley networks and wrinkle ridges in the Martian highlands: Implications for geologic evolution and paleoclimate, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4576, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4576, 2026.

EGU26-4855 | Posters on site | PS1.5

MarsSI: Martian surface data processing service 

Matthieu Volat, Cathy Quantin-Nataf, Emile Brighi, Erwin Dehouck, Cédric Millot, Maxime Pineau, Ines Torres, Yves Rogez, Alain Herique, and Sonia Zine

Geological investigations of planetary surfaces require combination of orbital datasets. Multiple-instruments platforms operated by space agencies made the quantity of data available increase quickly. MarsSI [1] is a platform to facilitate exploring and processing those datasets.

As of 2026, MarsSI indexes and provide access to optical data (visible, multi and hyper-spectral) and derived products from the most recent missions. Our emphasis was to provide ”ready-to-use” products. MarsSI do not provide analysis or visualization tool, users will be able to use GIS or remote sensing software to run the analysis suited to their research.

MarsSI provides access to multiple optical datasets for visible, multi/hyper-spectral data. Optical imagery will follow a correction & projection piprline using ISIS (https://isis.astrogeology.usgs.gov/). Post-calibration, hyperspectral data is corrected with the volcano-scan method [2] and spectral parameter maps are produced.

MarsSI produces Digital Elevation Model (DEM) products from the CTX and HiRISE datasets (finding image pairs with a 60% minimum overlapping and 10° deviation in emission angle). DEM generation workflow was updated in 2020 with a completely new version[3].

MarsSI is accessed through a web browser portal. As shown on figure 1, the user can explore the datasets using a map interface. Data can be selected and sent to a workspace. The workspace view, shown on figure 2, allow to review products in detail, and request data processing. More Workspaces can be created to organize datasets.

When processing are finished, the user can order a copy operation, that make the requested data available in a SFTP directory. The platform now aims to complete its datasets, expanding on radar data (observation and simulation). Expanding non-martian datasets is also in our targets.

MarsSI offers the scientific communities a way to explore space agencies catalogs and automatically process them to high value products.

Acknowledgments

MarsSI is part of national Research Infrastructure PSUP, recognized as such by the French Ministry of Higher Education and Research under the ANO5 label. It was supported by the Programme National de Planétologie (PNP) of CNRS/INSU, co-funded by CNES. This application is part of the ERC project OCEANID funded by the Horizon Europe Program (ERC Grant Agreement No. 101045260).

References

[1]  C. Quantin-Nataf et al. In: Planetary and Space Science 150 (2018).

[2] P. C. McGuire et al. In: Planetary and Space Science 57.7 (2009).

[3] M. Volat, C. Quantin-Nataf, and A. Dehecq. In: Planetary and Space Science 222 (2022).

How to cite: Volat, M., Quantin-Nataf, C., Brighi, E., Dehouck, E., Millot, C., Pineau, M., Torres, I., Rogez, Y., Herique, A., and Zine, S.: MarsSI: Martian surface data processing service, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4855, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4855, 2026.

EGU26-5731 | Posters on site | PS1.5

Effect of depositional mode on the detectability of microbial fossils in Mars-analog clay-rich sediments 

Isis Criouet, Lucas Demaret, David Boulesteix, Alexandre Fadel, Arnaud Buch, Yannick Lara, Cédric Malherbe, Bénédicte Vertruyen, Alexandre Lambion, and Emmanuelle Javaux

The astrobiological exploration of Mars is ongoing, with multiple missions investigating whether ancient environments could have supported life (Grotzinger et al., 2012) and whether traces of that life could still be preserved in the geological record (Farley et al., 2020). Clay-bearing terrains are regarded as prime targets for these missions because of the strong capacity of some phyllosilicates to adsorb, concentrate, and preserve organic carbon (Hedges and Keil, 1995; Kennedy et al., 2002). Early Earth clay-rich mudstones are also well known for exquisitely preserving delicate morphologies, including cells, filaments and microbial mats (Javaux, 2019). However, Martian surface radiation and oxidizing processes may alter such materials (cf. Fornaro et al., 2018). ESA’s ExoMars mission will therefore extend the search to the subsurface to access materials expected to be less altered (Vago et al., 2017). The selected landing site, Oxia Planum, is a Noachian region dominated by Fe/Mg phyllosilicates (Mandon et al., 2021) that has experienced at least two aqueous episodes, as evidenced by a clay-bearing unit overlain by fan-shaped sedimentary deposits (Quantin-Nataf et al., 2021).

If life ever existed on Mars, potential biomass sources at Oxia Planum could include (i) subsurface communities associated with clay-rich regolith, as observed in hyperarid Earth analogues (e.g., Azua-Bustos et al., 2020), later exhumed and physically reworked, and/or (ii) organisms living in surface or near-surface aqueous settings and locally incorporated into basin-floor clay-rich muds. On Earth, clay-rich sediments can physically shield labile organic matter, reducing its accessibility to microbial degradation within micro- to nano-porosity (McMahon et al., 2016), and low-oxygen bottom waters can further enhance organic carbon preservation in fine-grained deposits (Ritzer et al., 2024). Assuming anoxic conditions in Noachian depositional settings, biosignatures could be well preserved at Oxia. Yet, Oxia’s contrasting sedimentary contexts raise the following question: at constant bulk organic content and under identical diagenetic conditions, to what extent can different pre-diagenetic textures and microstructures bias the morphological and chemical signals, and thus the detectability of fossil biosignatures by vibrational spectroscopy and mass spectrometry in clay-rich sediments?

Here, we investigate this question by conducting laboratory fossilization experiments using saponite (a Mg-rich smectite, synthesized following the protocol of Criouet et al., 2023) and cells from the cyanobacterial strain Synechocystis sp. (PCC6803). Samples were prepared to represent two experimental end-members that differ in their initial texture (wet embedding within a clay-rich mud versus dry physical reworking) while maintaining the same organic content (TOC= 5 wt.%). All samples were then remoistened at the same water-to-rock ratio (W:R=3) and subsequently subjected to accelerated early diagenesis (100 °C, autogenous pressure ~2 bar, 30 days) in a closed system under an early Mars-like (CO2-rich) atmosphere.

Experimental residues were characterized by SEM-EDS to document fossil morphologies and organo-mineral interactions from micro- to nano-scale, and by complementary spectroscopic (i.e., µRaman, FTIR) and mass spectrometric (i.e., GC-Orbitrap, EA-IRMS) analyses to evaluate associated chemical signals. Altogether, this work aims to provide well-constrained analogs for anticipating how biosignatures may be expressed across Oxia’s contrasting sedimentary contexts and to help validate space instrumentation and protocols.

How to cite: Criouet, I., Demaret, L., Boulesteix, D., Fadel, A., Buch, A., Lara, Y., Malherbe, C., Vertruyen, B., Lambion, A., and Javaux, E.: Effect of depositional mode on the detectability of microbial fossils in Mars-analog clay-rich sediments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5731, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5731, 2026.

EGU26-5787 | Orals | PS1.5

Magmatic pathways for subsurface habitability on Mars 

Daniel Garcia-Castellanos, Andrea Butturini, Samuel Rivas-Dorado, Sara Palomino, Martin Schimmel, Ivone Jiménez-Munt, and Mateu Esteban

Terrestrial microbial life is documented in micrometer-scale rock pores in boreholes and mines as deep as 5 km.  If life ever emerged in Mars, it may still survive actively at similar depths in the Martian crust, where temperatures are above zero Celsius. Since such Martian depths are out of reach for present technology, we set off to conceive Martian settings where putative life could be active closer to the surface.

One possible way for microbial life to approach the Martian surface is by using the warmth of eruptions to migrate parallel to magma vents, at distances where temperature is above 0 C. Magmatic activity creates dikes and surface lava flows with basalt at about 1250 C, transitorily increasing the temperature of the surrounding crust. We hypothesize that the cooling rates may be slow enough for Earth-like microbial-life to migrate through these warm corridors and approach the surface.

Bacteria and Archea swim at velocities faster than 250 m/yr and migrate through rock pores with highly variable motilities of 28 m/yr and higher (Horvath et al., 2021; Jin and Sengupta, 2024; Nishiyama and Kojima, 2012), depending on porosity types and fracturing. InSight data suggests a weakened Martian crust compatible with intense fracturing and high porosity infilled with water (Li et al., 2023), probably caused by the multi-billion-year long exposure to meteoritic impacts. Open fractures are hypothesized to be particularly prominent around and above magmatic dikes in Martian conditions due to stresses related to magma injection and later cooling (Rivas-Dorado et al., 2023). The lower Martian gravity should minimize mechanical and chemical pore compaction, contributing to make the Martian underground more passable than in Earth’s. We therefore test whether bacterial-like migration velocities can defeat post-magmatic underground cooling in Mars following a magmatic event and actively approach the surface. 

To this purpose, we perform diffusive thermal relaxation modeling of the subsurface inspired by the Elysium and Cerberus Fossae region, where 53,000 to 210,000 years old eruptions have been identified (Horvath et al., 2021). We constrain the magmatic intrusion’s geometry based on dike modeling (Rivas-Dorado et al., 2022) and on observed lava flows (Cataldo et al., 2015), supported by published interpretations of InSight seismic data. The results suggest that dike sizes are consistent with a passable pathway above freezing temperature propagating slower than Earth-like microbial motility. We constrain minimum depths reachable by hypothetical bacterial-like underground organisms as a function of realistic Martian magmatic intrusion parameters.

How to cite: Garcia-Castellanos, D., Butturini, A., Rivas-Dorado, S., Palomino, S., Schimmel, M., Jiménez-Munt, I., and Esteban, M.: Magmatic pathways for subsurface habitability on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5787, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5787, 2026.

EGU26-5974 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Preservation of clay-bearing geochemical biosignatures in Mars analogue sedimentary rocks over billion-year timescales  

Grace C. Nielson, Claire R. Cousins, Eva E. Stüeken, and Sally Law

Oxia Planum, the landing site for ESA’s ExoMars Rover, Rosalind Franklin, hosts widespread layered Fe/Mg phyllosilicate-bearing deposits of Noachian age, evidence of a potentially long-lived aqueous paleoenvironment in a deltaic to fluvio-lacustrine setting. Fluvio-lacustrine environments have moderate to high preservation potential for organic matter, due to rapid sedimentation and subsequent burial. As a result, these are also some of the environments that, over the course of Earth history, have preserved biosignatures on billion-year timescales. Microbial activity and capture within sediments can result in geochemical and mineralogical anomalies, including localised elemental enrichments. These provide a means of detecting evidence of past life in concert with molecular biosignatures. Microbial mats especially can alter the geochemistry of surrounding sediments, producing spatially constrained variations that persist over geological timescales. Investigating such biosignatures in sedimentary environments analogous to those recorded at Oxia Planum is essential for informing future rover observations and measurement strategies.

We examine clay-bearing sedimentary facies with well-preserved microbially induced sedimentary structures (MISS), including (1) the 1.0 - 1.1 Ga Clachtoll and Diabaig formations in northwest Scotland— a  package of fluviolacustrine and estuarine sedimentary rocks deposited under fluctuating redox conditions; and (2) the 2.7 Ga Tumbiana Formation (Pilbara Craton, Western Australia), which records deposition in a shallow lacustrine environment that received input from basaltic volcanism. We present elemental distributions, redox sensitive trace element behaviour, and mineralogical variations in preserved microbial mat structures and compare these to neighbouring sediments with no microbial influence. Using a combination of raman spectroscopy and elemental mapping, we show elemental enrichments linked to biology, such as iron, manganese, and potassium, coincide with clay-rich organic matter bearing areas within the sediment, indicating that ~1 – 2.7 Ga microbial mats can preserve distinct geochemical biosignatures in association with clay-bearing lithologies. The spatial association between centimetre-millimetre sized sedimentary structures observable at outcrop scale and sub-millimetre geochemical anomalies highlights the importance of integrating imaging and geochemical datasets to support biosignature interpretations.

How to cite: Nielson, G. C., Cousins, C. R., Stüeken, E. E., and Law, S.: Preservation of clay-bearing geochemical biosignatures in Mars analogue sedimentary rocks over billion-year timescales , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5974, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5974, 2026.

Landslides on Mars are abundant and far more mobile than terrestrial landslides. Their exceptional scale and mobility provide key constraints on Martian surface processes, tectonic activity, and the environmental conditions that govern landslide mechanics. However, existing global inventories remain incomplete as small, overlapping, or morphologically ambiguous deposits are difficult to capture through manual mapping alone, leaving uncertainty in understanding their spatial distribution. Automated Martian landslide detection remains challenging due to the data scarcity with only a few thousand labeled samples and the natural morphological complexity of landslides. Therefore, we propose Mars-DiSVM, a landslide identification framework based on multi-modal imagery, which fuses features extracted from CTX, MOLA-HRSC DEM, and THEMIS night-time imagery using a DINOv2 backbone, followed by a downstream SVM classifier. The classification using fused feature representations achieves the top accuracy, up to 97.5%, with precision, recall, and MCC consistently exceeding 90%. Mars-DiSVM was further assessed within four areas of interest (AOIs), including the area with mapped landslides in the existing global inventory [1] and areas without mapped landslides in Noachian/Hesperian highlands.
Our framework identified 25 previously unmapped landslides across four AOIs, where the features are predominantly located on slopes within impact craters and along valley slopes, and are classified as rock avalanches and slump/flow types. These features are generally small, with approximately
half exhibiting runout lengths shorter than 5 km, sizes which are often underrepresented in manual mapping due to limited visibility or morphological degradation. The newly mapped landslides display diagnostic morphological characteristics, including lateral levees, tongue-shaped deposits, and longitudinal ridges within the deposits. Notably, three of the detected landslides occur adjacent to impact craters, implying impact events as the possible trigger. These findings highlight the importance of improving the completeness of global inventory, providing clues to their potential triggering mechanism.
Mars-DiSVM is implemented at the global scale to generate a preliminary expanded global inventory of Martian landslides. The resulting dataset will provide new constraints on the spatial distribution of landslides, thereby improving our understanding of their relationship with key controlling factors, such as the presence of ice or water and seismic activity [2]. In addition, we plan to monitor recent Martian landslide activity by incorporating newly acquired CTX imagery, thereby gaining insights into Martian recent geological activity and triggering mechanisms.

[1] Crosta, G. B., Frattini, P., Valbuzzi, E., & De Blasio, F. V. 2018, Earth and Space Science, 5, 89, doi: 10.1002/2017EA000324

[2] Roback, K. P., & Ehlmann, B. L. 2021, Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, 126, e2020JE006675, doi: 10.1029/2020JE006675

How to cite: Tao, Y., Pan, L., and Liu, Z.: Expanding the Global Martian Landslide Inventory with Multi-modal DINOv2 Feature Fusion and SVM Classification, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6146, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6146, 2026.

EGU26-6455 | Orals | PS1.5

Four-billion years old spherule beds revealed by Perseverance on the outer rim of Jezero crater 

Nicolas Mangold and the Mars 2020 Perseverance Crater Rim spherule beds analysis team

Jezero crater is a 45-km diameter impact crater, formed during the Early-Middle Noachian period, ~3.9 Ga, on the northwest rim of the Isidis Planitia within the highland crust of Mars of the Nili Fossae region. Rocks excavated by the impact, thus pre-dating Jezero crater, potentially >4.0Ga, were investigated by the Perseverance rover on the rim of the crater. The outer Jezero rim displays a light-toned, layered unit informally named Witch Hazel Hill, which has been analyzed by Perseverance in locations named Broom Point and Sallys Cove. There, the SuperCam Remote Micro-Imager (RMI) and Mastcam-Z cameras revealed rocks with spherical granules, which hereafter we refer to as “spherules”, a term used here as purely descriptive. At Broom Point, we analyzed the largest number of spherule-bearing targets, among which two clasts and two bedrock targets have been analyzed thoroughly. The spherules are ~2-mm of mean diameter in all targets, are closely packed, and represent >90% of the granules. In one of the targets, they are partly broken and piled up by an energetic process. The elemental composition derived SuperCam is basaltic, close to that of the surrounding bedrock. However, the featureless infrared reflectance spectra lack signatures of hydration, and are interpreted as glasses, in agreement with their shiny surface on images. In contrast, the surrounding rocks display hydration features linked to the presence of sulphates and phyllosilicates. At Sally’s Cove, 50 m away to the north, spherules are scattered along laminae of the bedrock. They display a mean diameter (<0.5 mm) too small for SuperCam individual analysis. While no proximity science was possible at Broom Point, Sallys Cove was favourable for a chemical analysis by the PIXL instrument. The composition of the eight spherules analysed there show rims distinct from the interior, and diverse compositions ranging from plagioclase-rich to pyroxene-rich. On Earth, spherule-bearing rocks can be found in impact, volcanic or sedimentary rocks. The chemical characteristics of Jezero rim’s spherules do not favour sedimentary concretions such as those observed at Meridiani Planum. A volcanic context would reasonably explain the presence of spherical clasts such as accretionary lapilli produced by explosive volcanism. Nevertheless, the homogeneity of the spherule size and their well-defined sphericity is frequent for impact spherules observed on Earth at the K-Pg boundary for which spherules were created by droplets of melt ejected to several thousands of km. The basaltic, anhydrous composition is consistent with such a hypothesis, although it does not fully rule out volcanic fire fountains. Yet, at Sallys Cove, the variable compositions of spherules measured by PIXL are difficult to explain in a volcanic context, which assumes homogeneous compositions. Hence, we currently favour the presence of these spherules from impact ejecta. If this hypothesis was confirmed, the sample collected at this location could represent a unique opportunity to analyse impact processes at the surface of a terrestrial planet in the early history of the solar system.

How to cite: Mangold, N. and the Mars 2020 Perseverance Crater Rim spherule beds analysis team: Four-billion years old spherule beds revealed by Perseverance on the outer rim of Jezero crater, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6455, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6455, 2026.

EGU26-6618 | Posters on site | PS1.5

A revised chronological formation of fretted terrains on Mars 

Francois Costard, Antoine Séjourné, Sylvain Bouley, and Frederic Schmidt

Fretted terrains are among the most striking geomorphological features on Mars. Predominantly developed in a 500-km-wide zone located along the dichotomy boundary especially between 270°W and 360°W in regions such as Deuteronilus Mensae, these landscapes are characterized by parallel ridges, troughs, and mesas separated by broad valleys. Understanding their formation provides critic insights into the geological and climatic evolution of Mars. Here we suggest that the development of fretted terrains occurred in several major stages, beginning with tectonic activity in relation with the formation of Tharsis, contemporaneous with fluvial erosion, and ending with glacial processes that further modified the landscape.

During the Late Noachian to Early Hesperian periods, Mars experienced significant crustal stress associated with the formation of Tharsis and the resulting true polar wander, leading to regional uplift along the fretted terrains. This stress generated extensional fractures and fault systems with the formation of kilometer scale U-shaped valleys. The resulting landscape consisted of plateaus and isolated mesas delineated by steep scarps.

The Mars’s climate is thought to have undergone a period of relative warm and wetter regime during the Hesperian period. During this time, heavy rainfall or snowmelt events likely led to widespread fluvial erosion. Water flowed through the pre-existing tectonic valleys, widening them into large troughs or “fretted” corridors. Fluvial processes removed material from the highlands and transported sediments northward, to the low-lying basins of the northern plains with the formation of a large sedimentary accumulation north of the fretted terrains.

The final phase in the evolution of fretted terrains was dominated by recent glacial activity. As Mars cooled during the Late Hesperian to Amazonian periods, the climate became colder and drier, leading to the accumulation of ice within the valleys.
Evidence for this glacial phase mostly includes lineated valley fills. The glaciers likely originated from snow accumulation on the plateau surfaces, which then flowed down into the valley postdating the fluvial episod.

How to cite: Costard, F., Séjourné, A., Bouley, S., and Schmidt, F.: A revised chronological formation of fretted terrains on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6618, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6618, 2026.

EGU26-6805 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Retrieving the Properties of Martian Aerosols at Jezero Crater using SuperCam PassiveSky Observations 

Aurélien Stcherbinine, Tanguy Bertrand, Michael Wolff, Jérémie Lasue, Timothy McConnochie, Franck Montmessin, Thierry Fouchet, Elise Knutsen, Gaetan Lacombe, Agnes Cousin, Olivier Gasnault, Sylvestre Maurice, and Roger Wiens

The SuperCam instrument onboard the Mars2020 Perseverance rover is a suite of remote sensing instruments that is operating on the Martian surface since February 2021 (Maurice et al., 2021 ; Wiens et al., 2021). It notably includes a Visible-InfraRed (VISIR) spectrometer covering the 385–465 nm, 536–853 nm, and 1.3–2.6 μm spectral ranges (Fouchet et al., 2022), which regularly performs observations of the Martian atmosphere using the passive sky geometry (Bertrand et al., 2022). At these wavelengths, scattering by aerosols is strongly sensitive to the particle size. The ability of the passive sky technique to retrieve the atmospheric dust content has been demonstrated in the VIS spectral range with MSL/ChemCam (McConnochie et al., 2018), and SuperCam is now able to probe for the first time the Martian atmosphere from the ground for both the VIS and near-IR domains, which provides further information on the aerosol properties.

Dust and water ice aerosols play an important role in the current Martian climate: they affect the thermal structure of the atmosphere as they absorb and scatter the incoming sunlight, and contribute to the global water cycle of the planet (Haberle et al., 2017). Thus, monitoring the properties of these aerosols is of importance to better understand and model the current Martian climate. On Perseverance, the optical depth of the aerosols above the rover is monitored on a seasonal and local time basis by the MEDA and ZCAM instruments (Toledo et al., 2024 ; Smith et al., 2025 ; Moya-Blanco et al., this conference).

By measuring the spectra of the sky luminosity at two different elevation angles, and by comparing the measurement with the results of a multiple scattering radiative transfer model, we are able to retrieve the aerosol properties for both the dust and water ice. Here we use the DIScrete Ordinate Radiative Transfer (DISORT) code in version 4 (Stamnes et al., 2017) through the pyRT_DISORT (Connour & Wolff, 2024) Python module to retrieve the respective optical depth of dust and water ice from the VISIR passive sky measurements of SuperCam performed since the beginning of the mission in 2021, and constrain their particle size. We assume asymmetric hexahydra dust particles and droxtals shapes for the water ice crystals, and we use vertical atmospheric profile from the Mars Climate Database version 6.1 (Forget et al., 1999 ; Millour et al., 2024). These retrievals complement the ones performed by the rover’s other instruments, notably ZCAM. While it is highly challenging with their measurements to distinguish between dust and water ice contributions in the total optical depth, their results can be directly compared with those from SuperCam, as the wavelength ranges of the two instruments overlap in the visible.

How to cite: Stcherbinine, A., Bertrand, T., Wolff, M., Lasue, J., McConnochie, T., Montmessin, F., Fouchet, T., Knutsen, E., Lacombe, G., Cousin, A., Gasnault, O., Maurice, S., and Wiens, R.: Retrieving the Properties of Martian Aerosols at Jezero Crater using SuperCam PassiveSky Observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6805, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6805, 2026.

EGU26-6830 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Improved Constraints on Martian Crustal Velocity Structure of InSight lander 

Lifei Tian and Huajian Yao

Impact-generated marsquakes with accurate positions are important to Mars seismic investigations. To better constrain the Martian crustal velocity structure, we repicked first-arrival P- and S-wave of three impacts (S0981c, S0986c and S1034a) near InSight lander and analyzed their possible ray paths. We significantly reduced body-wave arrival uncertainties by applying polarization filters and filter-bank methods. To verify that the detected energy originates from the corresponding events, the azimuth of each candidate arrival was calculated and compared with the true event azimuth. Then we derived the incidence angles from particle motion to constrain the ray path.

We find that for events at shorter epicentral distances (S0986c and S1034a), the first-arrival ray paths are typically confined to the uppermost crust. In contrast, first-arrival ray path from more distant event (S0981c) usually sample the mid-lower crust or the crust-mantle boundary. Furthermore, we detected later-arrival P-waves from S0981c. By combining these body-wave arrivals with incidence angles from three impacts, we inverted for the one-dimensional Martian crustal velocity structure beneath the InSight lander using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method.

More refined processing techniques enable us to extract more information from marsquake signals, helping us understand Martian inner velocity structure better. In this study, we simultaneously incorporated body-wave travel times and incident angles into the inversion. This approach can lead to better constraints on the Martian crustal velocity structure and even constrict the Vp/Vs ratio at each crustal layer. 

How to cite: Tian, L. and Yao, H.: Improved Constraints on Martian Crustal Velocity Structure of InSight lander, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6830, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6830, 2026.

EGU26-7280 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Rebuilding the Noachian paleo-surface of Mars 

Cédric Millot, Cathy Quantin-Nataf, and Tristan Salles

In its past, Mars experienced a warmer and wetter climate than on present days. Many uncertainties remain about the early climate of Mars, for instance on the nature of gas species included in the greenhouse warming or the duration of the warm episodes. Most existing reconstructions of Martian paleo-topography either rely on idealised assumptions, large-scale isostatic corrections, or limited regional reconstructions, and therefore do not explicitly integrate stratigraphic information on buried Noachian terrains. As a result, it is uncertain how paleo-topography impacted the early climate, and the development of the valley network.

For the first time, we present a global reconstruction of the Noachian paleo-surface using constraints from geological mapping, and craters central peaks mineralogy and morphology. Starting from the present-day Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter topography, we removed all the terrains younger than Noachian, based on the geological map from Tanaka et al., 2014. That includes the large areas from the lowlands in the northern hemisphere, the Tharsis bulge, recent impact basins, craters with inner sedimentary deposits, and the Noachian surfaces extensively affected by post-Noachian tectonic activity such as Valles Marineris and outflow channels. We used the mineral detections in the central peaks of impact craters and the central peak morphologies to describe the buried terrains and find the boundary between Noachian (lowest layer) and post-Noachian terrains (shallower layer). Phyllosilicates-bearing central peaks and massive morphologies are considered as evidence for excavated Noachian material, while mafic detections without hydrated minerals associated to layers morphologies are interpreted as post-Noachian units. We estimated the stratigraphic uplift for each impact to infer the original depth of the excavation, allowing us to define upper and lower bounds of the Noachian surface. The points are interpolated using a kriging interpolation technique to produce global envelopes, and the Noachian paleo-surface is defined taking the spatial mean of the lower and upper envelopes.

Unlike previous products, this reconstruction directly links surface elevation to independently derived stratigraphic and mineralogical constraints, providing a physically grounded estimate of Noachian topography rather than a purely geometric or isostatic correction of present-day relief. Future refinements of the paleo-surface will include the effects of the true polar wander and lithospheric flexure effects due to the surface loading, particularly for the Tharsis region. This resulting dataset is designed to be used as a common boundary condition for climate, hydrological, erosional, and thermal models. We expect the paleo-surface to allow more realistic simulations of early Mars and a reassessment of the environmental conditions under which valley networks formed.

 

Tanaka, K. L. et al. (2014). The digital global geologic map of Mars: Chronostratigraphic ages, topographic and crater morphologic characteristics, and updated resurfacing history. Planetary and Space Science95, 11-24.

How to cite: Millot, C., Quantin-Nataf, C., and Salles, T.: Rebuilding the Noachian paleo-surface of Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7280, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7280, 2026.

EGU26-7319 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Model-observation discrepancies in protonated species in Mars’ ionosphere from MAVEN/NGIMS 

Long Cheng and Erik Vigren

The Neutral Gas and Ion Mass Spectrometer (NGIMS) onboard the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission has measured ions with mass-to-charge ratios between 2 and 150 in the Martian ionosphere. Among these observations, protonated species at 31, 33, and 41 atomic mass units (amu) exhibit densities substantially higher than those predicted by existing photochemical models. In this study, we investigate these model-observation discrepancies using a combination of photochemical modeling and NGIMS measurements from the dayside ionosphere.

Photochemical models predict ArH+ densities at 41 amu that are more than an order of magnitude lower than NGIMS observations, while modeled densities of HNO+ and HO2+ at 31 and 33 amu are underestimated by approximately three orders of magnitude. Analysis of vertical density profiles reveals strong similarities among the 31, 32, and 33 amu channels, as well as among the 41, 42, 43, and 44 amu channels. These similarities cannot be fully accounted for by known chemical pathways or contributions from oxygen isotopes. Instead, our results indicate that instrumental effects, specifically mass channel cross-talk from the dominant 32 and 44 amu species, provide a plausible explanation for the anomalously high densities reported at 31, 33, and 41 amu. These findings highlight the importance of carefully accounting for instrumental artifacts when interpreting ion composition measurements in the Martian ionosphere.

How to cite: Cheng, L. and Vigren, E.: Model-observation discrepancies in protonated species in Mars’ ionosphere from MAVEN/NGIMS, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7319, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7319, 2026.

EGU26-7467 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

High-Resolution Geological Mapping of the Mojave Crater: A Window into Martian Impact and post-impact Processes. 

Mayssa daldoul, sylvain bouley, david baratoux, anthony lagain, and Feyda Srarfi

Superficial processes on Mars are responsible for the erosion and degradation of impact craters Primary crater morphologies are generally not preserved and affected by a complex and multi-stage degradation history. Under present cold and dry climate, Moste cent Martian impact craters offer valuable insights into impact processes and emplacement of various impact-related units. 19 recent craters younger than ~10 Ma old were identified by Lagain et al. (2021) and are considered as potential sources of Martian meteorites recovered on Earth. Among this particular set, the Mojave crater stands out due to its complex morphology and large diameter (D~58 km). Mojave is located in Xanthe Terra (7°N, 33°W), a Noachian-aged region, between Simud Vallis and Tiu Vallis (Williams & Malin, 2008). It lies within highly dissected plateaus shaped by catastrophic flood events associated with outflow channels mainly sourced from Valles Marineris and draining toward Chryse Planitia during the early Hesperian (Nelson & Greeley, 1999).

This study has combined very high-resolution imagery data (e.g., HiRISE images (≈ 0.25–0.5 m/pixel) and CTX images (≈ 6 m/pixel) to analyze fine morphological details. In addition, digital elevation models derived from MOLA (≈ 463 m/pixel) and CTX data were used to establish a detailed geological map of Mojave crater. Our preliminary map reveals several original features, that open new perspectives for understanding impact-related processes. These include the spatial distribution of secondary craters associated with Mojave, a discontinuous and asymmetric rim, and the presence of two superposed lobate ejecta layers (Williams & Malin, 2008) terminating in distal ramparts. The ejecta blanket displays a significant asymmetry, showing a typical long run-out in the northern and northeastern sectors, but appearing more chaotic in the southern region. One proposed explanation for this asymmetry is the presence of topographic obstacles in the southern part of the crater, modifying ground-hugging ejecta trajectories leading to localized accumulation of ejected material and therefore higher ejecta thicknesses. Our mapping also revealed a significant offset in the northwest direction of the central peak with respect to the center of the crater. Such an offset may result from an oblique impact and/or pre-existing structures and may be also enhanced by post-impact erosion (Wulf et al., 2011). To elucidate the cause of this offset, we plan to achieve a new survey of central peak offsets in recent impact craters

These observations highlight the complexity of the formation a complex crater in a target with pre-existing structural heterogeneities, with consequences on both the crater morphology and structure and on the ejecta deposits

How to cite: daldoul, M., bouley, S., baratoux, D., lagain, A., and Srarfi, F.: High-Resolution Geological Mapping of the Mojave Crater: A Window into Martian Impact and post-impact Processes., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7467, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7467, 2026.

EGU26-7728 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Evidence for Sedimentary Hiatuses on Early Mars 

Inès Torres Auré, Cathy Quantin-Nataf, John Carter, Peter Fawdon, Cédric Millot, Erwin Dehouck, Maxime Pineau, and Matthieu Volat

The ancient Martian sedimentary cycle remains poorly constrained because sedimentary deposits older than ~3.7 Gy are rare and sparsely exposed. In this study, we investigate rare ancient sedimentary exposures, where “sediments” are defined as accumulations of material formed by depositional processes, including volcanoclastic deposits.

We focus on deposits dated between ~4.0 and 3.7 Gy, specifically the Oxia Planum stratigraphic sequence (selected as the future landing site of the ExoMars 2028 Rover mission) and the basal sequence of Mawrth Vallis. Both sites are characterized by Fe/Mg-rich clay-bearing deposits, but exhibit distinct spectral types (vermiculite/saponite-bearing at Oxia Planum vs nontronite-bearing at Mawrth Vallis). Access to these stratigraphic records provides key insights into sedimentary processes during the Noachian period.

At both locations, we identified paleosurfaces, defined as remnants of ancient surfaces that were buried by younger deposits and later re-exposed by erosion. These paleosurfaces are recognized by flat-lying, cratered surfaces in which craters are infilled by overlying, younger, material. Some of these paleosurfaces extend over several thousand square kilometers and expose hundreds of preserved paleocraters, indicating prolonged sedimentary hiatuses.

We identified two major paleosurfaces. The older one, likely dated at ~4.0 Gy, is located between two sets of strata within the Oxia Planum sequence. The younger one, dated between ~4.0 and 3.7 Gy, occurs at the boundary between the Oxia Planum and Mawrth Vallis sequences. These paleosurfaces indicate time intervals during which the Noachian Martian sedimentary cycle was effectively halted: sedimentation ceased, as evidenced by crater accumulation, and erosion was minimal, allowing the preservation of paleocraters.

Using statistical analysis of preserved paleocraters observed at stratigraphic boundaries, we estimate the duration of these sedimentary hiatuses as a function of surface age. These results have significant implications for our understanding of the early Martian sedimentary cycle and planetary habitability, as they indicate very ancient periods of major climatic and environmental change embedded within this stratigraphic record, during which sedimentation ceased.

How to cite: Torres Auré, I., Quantin-Nataf, C., Carter, J., Fawdon, P., Millot, C., Dehouck, E., Pineau, M., and Volat, M.: Evidence for Sedimentary Hiatuses on Early Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7728, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7728, 2026.

EGU26-8137 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

A Standalone MEDA-TIRS Algorithm for Continuous Aerosol Optical Depth Retrieval on Jezero Crater, Mars 

Teresa Moya-Blanco, Eduardo Sebastián, Álvaro Vicente-Retortillo, Michael D. Smith, Germán Martínez, Luis Mora, and José A. Rodríguez-Manfredi

We present a standalone and fast algorithm for retrieving aerosol optical depth using data from the Mars Environmental Dynamics Analyzer Thermal-InfraRed Sensor (MEDA-TIRS) onboard NASA’s Mars 2020 Perseverance rover. MEDA-TIRS provides thermal infrared measurements during both daytime and nighttime, supplying a continuous and comprehensive dataset that captures variability across diurnal, seasonal and inter-annual timescales. This capability enables the retrieval of a nearly complete record of aerosol optical depth at the rover’s location since the beginning of the mission. Aerosol optical depth at the Perseverance site has previously been reported using onboard instruments, including MEDA, ZCAM and SCAM (Smith et al., 2024; Lemmon et al. 2025; Stcherbinine et al., this conference).
The algorithm operates independently of external datasets and is designed to be integrated directly into the MEDA data processing pipeline, allowing for systematic and autonomous retrievals. We describe the algorithm in detail and present results covering two full Martian years (MY 36 and MY 37) and the first half of MY 38. This temporal coverage allows for inter-annual and seasonal comparisons, the identification of local atmospheric events such as dust storms and the analysis of diurnal variability. The results also distinguish between two major periods: the aphelion season, dominated by water ice clouds, and the perihelion season, where dust is the dominant aerosol. In addition, the algorithm provides opacity data in near real time, enabling the early detection of dust events, which is of vital importance for the human exploration of Mars.

How to cite: Moya-Blanco, T., Sebastián, E., Vicente-Retortillo, Á., Smith, M. D., Martínez, G., Mora, L., and Rodríguez-Manfredi, J. A.: A Standalone MEDA-TIRS Algorithm for Continuous Aerosol Optical Depth Retrieval on Jezero Crater, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8137, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8137, 2026.

EGU26-8145 | Orals | PS1.5

Tracking Down Carbonates Lurking in Martian Clay-Rich Rocks 

Jeremy Brossier, Maria Cristina De Sanctis, Francesca Altieri, Andrea Raponi, Vito Saggese, Marco Ferrari, Enrico Bruschini, and Simone De Angelis

Carbonates on Mars provide key insights into the planet’s past environmental conditions, as their formation typically results from interaction between CO2-bearing alkaline waters and ultramafic rocks commonly associated with a dense, CO2-rich atmosphere. While ferromagnesian (Fe,Mg-rich) clays are particularly widespread across the Martian surface [1,2], carbonates remain comparatively rare in orbital observations. This scarcity suggests that carbonates may be buried, altered, or spectrally obscured within clay-bearing rocks [3]. Here, we examine the presence of possible carbonates, along with clays, by analyzing approximately 517 near-infrared (1–4 µm) spectral cubes acquired by the Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (CRISM). Our results reveal new carbonate-rich deposits and confirm earlier detections. A detailed investigation of the absorption bands near 2.3, 2.5 µm and around 3.4–3.5 µm indicates that carbonates on Mars are best represented as Fe–Mg solid solutions spanning the siderite–magnesite series, rather than pure endmembers [4]. Such compositions are geochemically plausible on Mars; they likely formed under reducing conditions and may have persisted despite later exposure to the more acidic, oxidizing surface environment [5]. Spectral mixing models better clarify the influence of clays on carbonate signatures and provide important constraints for further laboratory analog studies [6,7]. The recurring spatial asso-ciation of carbonates and clays across multiple outcrops implies either coprecipitation or closely related formation pathways within neutral to alkaline aqueous environments during the Noachian (3.7–4.0 Gyr ago), offering strong evidence for sustained liquid water and conditions potentially favorable to microbial life. Our results expand the known distribution of carbonates on Mars, emphasize their astrobiological relevance, and provide strategic guidance for future rover operations and sample-return site selection targeting preserved biomarkers (organic compounds). Overall, this work advances our understanding of early Martian habitability and the role of carbonates in recording ancient CO2-water interactions.

This study closely aligns with the objectives of ESA’s “Rosalind Franklin” mission [8], whose rover will explore Oxia Planum and investigate clay-bearing terrains and possible carbonates in the search for well-preserved biosignatures throughout subsurface rocks and soils [9-11]. This work is thereby financially supported by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) [Grant ASI-INAF n. 2023–3–HH.0].

References: [1] Carter et al. (2013) JGR Planets 118, 831–858. [2] Brossier et al. (2026) JGR Planets 131, e2025JE009393. [3] Ehlmann et al. (2008) Science 322, 1828–1832. [4] Beck et al. (2024) Earth and Space Science 11, e2024EA003666. [5] Niles et al. (2013) Space and Science Reviews 174, 301–328. [6] Bishop et al. (2013) JGR Planets 118, 635–650. [7] Bishop et al. (2021) Earth and Space Science 8, e2021EA001844. [8] Vago et al. (2017) Astrobiology 17, 471–510. [9] Quantin-Nataf et al. (2021) Astrobiology 21, 345–366. [10] Mandon et al. (2021) Astrobiology 21, 464–480. [11] Brossier et al. (2022) Icarus 386, 115114.

How to cite: Brossier, J., De Sanctis, M. C., Altieri, F., Raponi, A., Saggese, V., Ferrari, M., Bruschini, E., and De Angelis, S.: Tracking Down Carbonates Lurking in Martian Clay-Rich Rocks, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8145, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8145, 2026.

EGU26-8238 | Posters on site | PS1.5

Mars climate trends simulated by M-GITM during MY24, 25, and 30 

David Pawlowski, Stephen Bougher, and Melinda Kahre

The Mars Global Ionosphere-Thermosphere Model (M-GITM) (Bougher et al., 2015) has typically been used to perform shorter term simulations (~2 hours - 1 month) of the Mars upper atmosphere. Given that recent studies have demonstrated broad understanding of the longer term variability of the upper atmosphere (e.g. Jain et al., 2023, Gonzalez-Galindo et al., 2015), we have been working on using the model to perform annual simulations in order to 1) see how the model reproduces long-term variability and 2) provide a set of upper atmospheric data products for use in an updated version of Mars-GRAM (Justh et al., 2011). We present results from this suite of 4 annual simulations that span a range of solar and dust conditions and identify conditions and regions when the model compares well with previous studies and observations as well as conditions when the model demonstrates missing physics. For example, M-GITM is able to capture observed average long term seasonal variability in the middle and upper thermopshere. However, the model struggles to capture similar trends near the mesopause.

How to cite: Pawlowski, D., Bougher, S., and Kahre, M.: Mars climate trends simulated by M-GITM during MY24, 25, and 30, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8238, 2026.

EGU26-9472 | Orals | PS1.5

Perseverance at Krokodillen: first in situ observations of the clay-bearing Noachian basement of the Nili Fossae region, Mars.  

Elise Clavé, Erwin Dehouck, Cathy Quantin-Nataf, Lucia Mandon, Nicolas Mangold, Olivier Gasnault, Pierre Beck, Candice Bedford, Jeff Johnson, Athanasios Klidaras, Justin Simon, Roger Wiens, and Agnès Cousin

Multiple orbital studies have highlighted the importance of Fe/Mg phyllosilicate minerals on Mars, especially in Noachian terrains (e.g. Poulet et al., 2006; Mangold et al., 2007;), even showing that they are the dominant hydrous mineral family on Mars (Carter et al., 2013). Although widespread in exposures of the oldest terrains on Mars, it is hard to constrain either their composition  or formation process based on orbital data only (Ehlmann et al., 2011; Carter et al., 2015). The best matches for the orbital spectra were proposed to be smectite (nontronite, saponite) and/or vermiculite (Carter et al., 2013). In the Nili Fossae region specifically, the Noachian basement was shown to be bear widespread signatures of Fe/Mg smectites (Goudge et al., 2015).

After exploring diverse geological units inside Jezero Crater (Nili Fossae, Mars), and going over the rim of the crater, the Perseverance rover has reached a unit informally called Krokodillen, at the base of the outer part of the rim. It is thought to be part of the Noachian crust that was locally uplifted by the emplacement of Jezero Crater (Sun & Stack et al., 2020). Dark looking from orbit, it is surrounded on the North, West and South by ridges and an exposure of the regional olivine-rich unit, understood to be younger.

We will present the data acquired on rocks of the Krokodillen area with the SuperCam instrument (ref Maurice et al., SSR 2021; Wiens et al., SSR 2021). Overall structureless, the rocks of Krokodillen are generally fine grained, with locally some millimetric granules. The chemical composition characterized with LIBS shows a relatively homogeneous composition intermediate between the average basaltic crust of Mars and orthopyroxene. This is likely an average, close to the bulk composition, due to the mixing of multiple fine-grain mineral phases within the footprint of the LIBS analysis. Visible and near infrared (VISIR) reflectance spectroscopy data show strong and ubiquitous signatures of Fe-Mg phyllosilicates, closely matching those observed from orbit in the broader Nili Fossae region.

We propose that the rocks of Krokodillen are representative of the Noachian clay-bearing rocks characterized from orbit, specifically the (ridged) Altered Basement mapped by Goudge et al., (2015) in the Jezero watershed. In that case, the in situ measurements from the Mars 2020 mission provide the first in situ constraints on the composition, aqueous alteration and emplacement mechanism of these rocks.

How to cite: Clavé, E., Dehouck, E., Quantin-Nataf, C., Mandon, L., Mangold, N., Gasnault, O., Beck, P., Bedford, C., Johnson, J., Klidaras, A., Simon, J., Wiens, R., and Cousin, A.: Perseverance at Krokodillen: first in situ observations of the clay-bearing Noachian basement of the Nili Fossae region, Mars. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9472, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9472, 2026.

EGU26-9515 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Shedding Light on Local Martian Dust Storms with OMEGA/Mars Express 

Yann Leseigneur, Thomas Gautier, Tanguy Bertrand, Aymeric Spiga, Michael Battalio, Timote Lombard, and Luca Montabone

          Dust, composed of mineral micrometre-size particles, is omnipresent on Mars and has its own cycle: uplift from the surface and injection into the atmosphere, transport and formation of dust storms, and dissipation (grain sedimentation). Atmospheric dust, and thus dust storms, absorbs and diffuses incoming sunlight, strongly affecting the atmosphere by modifying its thermal structure [1] and enhancing global atmospheric circulation [2]. The intensity of these impacts depends on storm sizes, which are usually classified as local or regional storms (≥ 1.6×106 km2, [3]). Regional storms have been well studied (e.g., [4,5,6]) and characterised in opposition to local ones.  This work focuses on local dust storms to better understand the storm evolution mechanisms (local to regional) that are still not well constrained.

          We developed a method to detect dust storms [a] in the OMEGA IR dataset (2004-2010, Martian Years 26-30), the visible and near-IR imaging spectrometer of Mars Express (ESA). This method is based on a pixel clustering algorithm that is applied to the dust optical depth map [7] of each OMEGA observation. Then, we generate a mask that corresponds to the storm, from which we extract information, after confirming the presence of the storm, such as its size, position, local time, etc. We compiled about 440 new detections into the OMEGA/Mars Express Dust Storm Catalogue (ODSC), mainly composed of local storms (~81%).


          We identified a peak of local storms, notably in MY 27, during the northern “solstitial pause” (solar longitude, Ls~240-270°), which corresponds to a period of lower regional storm activity due to lower wave activity (e.g., [8,9]). Therefore, this decrease in regional storm detections is not due to a strong decrease in local storm formation, but to a decrease in the growth process efficiency to regional size [a]. Local storms are also very active during the “C-regional storm season” (Ls~305-330°) and widespread on Mars. We found some privileged areas: high southern latitudes (polar cap edges) and close to strong topographic gradients, as inside topographic channels (e.g., Chryse, Acidalia, Arcadia; [4]), Hellas, Valles Marineris, Olympus and Elysium Mons [a]. This suggests that topographic winds contribute to the formation of dust storms during this period. We also noticed a similar diurnal pattern between local storms detected with OMEGA (MY 26-30) and regional ones detected with EXI/EMM (MY 36, [5]).

References:
[a] Leseigneur, Y., et al. (in revision), JGR:Planets, “OMEGA/MEx Dust Storm Catalogue”.
[1] Kass, D. M., et al. (2016), GRL, 43, 6111-6118.
[2] Barnes, J. R., et al. (2017), Cambridge Univ. Press, The atmosphere and Climate of Mars, 229-294.
[3] Cantor, B. A., et al. (2001), JGR:Planets, 106, 23653-23687.
[4] Battalio, M. J., Wang., H. (2021), Icarus, 354, 114059.
[5] Guha, B. K., et al. (2024), JGR:Planets, 129, e2023JE008156.
[6] Lombard, T., Montabone, L. (2024), EPSC2024, abs.#1334.
[7] Leseigneur, Y., Vincendon, M. (2023), Icarus, 392, 115366.
[8] Lewis, S. R., et al. (2016), Icarus, 264, 456-464.
[9] Battalio, M. J. (2022), JAS, 79, 361-382.

How to cite: Leseigneur, Y., Gautier, T., Bertrand, T., Spiga, A., Battalio, M., Lombard, T., and Montabone, L.: Shedding Light on Local Martian Dust Storms with OMEGA/Mars Express, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9515, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9515, 2026.

EGU26-10017 | Orals | PS1.5

Singular Clouds in Mars Southern Hemisphere around solstice and aphelion season  

Agustin Sanchez-Lavega, Ethan Larsen, Teresa del Río-Gaztelurrutia, Jorge Hernández-Bernal, Daniela Tirsch, Anni Maätänen, Aymeric Spiga, and Beatriz Sánchez-Cano

We present a study of singular systems of clouds seen as single “dot” clouds, clusters of dot clouds and ring-shaped clouds that form every Martian Year (MY) around solstice and aphelion period (from solar longitudes Ls ~ 40° to ~ 120°) in the Southern Hemisphere of Mars. The study is based on images taken with the VMC and HRSC cameras onboard Mars Express from 2008 (MY29) to 2025 (MY38). These clouds mainly concentrate in a sector between longitudes ~ 120°E to 180°E and latitudes ~ 35°S to 50°S in Terra Cimmeria (around Kepler and Cruls craters), with a second much less dense concentration west of the Argyre basin (280°E - 310°E). The isolated bright and compact clouds (dot-shaped clouds) occur in early morning hours (~ 8-11 hr LTST) and have sizes of ~ 100 km. An analysis of their projected shadows indicates cloud bases at heights of ~ 49 km and tops at ~ 55 km. The spots have maximum optical depths of ~ 0.5 (at visual wavelengths) and lifetimes of ~ 1 hr. At the same location and season, but a few hours earlier (LTST ~ 6-7 hr), clusters of bright dots are observed at dawn in twilight, and in some cases projected onto the sky above the Martian limb. They consist of ~ 15 bright spots each with a size of ~ 125 km, separated by ~ 200 km and tops at 65-70 km height. On some cases, the clusters appear to be organized in a ring-like morphology, with projected size of ~ 700-1000 km and tops in twilight at ~ 75-80 km. These clouds are most likely made of H2O ice and probably form when the dominant eastward winds flow on the craters walls and force a vigorous ascent. However, the mechanism leading to the formation of clusters and the ring-like organization, and the possible role of the magnetic crust anomaly at the region of their occurrence, remain to be explored.

How to cite: Sanchez-Lavega, A., Larsen, E., del Río-Gaztelurrutia, T., Hernández-Bernal, J., Tirsch, D., Maätänen, A., Spiga, A., and Sánchez-Cano, B.: Singular Clouds in Mars Southern Hemisphere around solstice and aphelion season , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10017, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10017, 2026.

EGU26-10203 | Orals | PS1.5

Can High-altitude Water-ice Clouds Sustain Dry–wet Cycles in Early Mars Climate? 

Feng Ding, Zhixiang Wan, and Robin Wordsworth

Geological evidence indicates that Mars experienced multiple lake-forming climates lasting longer than 100 years around 3–4 billion years ago. These early warm climates cannot be explained solely by the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide and water vapor. Recently, a warming mechanism driven by high-altitude water-ice clouds has been proposed for early Mars under surface water-limited climatic conditions. Here, we develop a general circulation model for terrestrial planetary atmospheres capable of simulating both early and modern climates of Earth and Mars. Simulation results show that the radiative effect of clouds can lead to two distinct climate states: when low-latitude surface regions are relatively arid, cloud radiative effects are dominated by warming, which can sustain dry–wet cycles in early Mars climate; however, when surface meltwater in low-latitude regions exceeds a critical threshold, cloud radiative effects shift to cooling, maintaining the climate in a cold, stable state. This work provides a new perspective for studying the climate evolution of early Mars.

How to cite: Ding, F., Wan, Z., and Wordsworth, R.: Can High-altitude Water-ice Clouds Sustain Dry–wet Cycles in Early Mars Climate?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10203, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10203, 2026.

EGU26-10419 | Orals | PS1.5

Martian Proton Albedo as Signature of Near-Surface Water 

Jan Leo Löwe, Robert Wimmer-Schweingruber, Salman Khaksari, Sven Löffler, Sergey Nikiforov, Jingnan Guo, Gabin Charpentier, Bent Ehresmann, Don Hassler, Daniel Matthiä, Thomas Berger, Günther Reitz, and Cary Zeitlin

Understanding the Martian soil water budget is crucial not only for in situ resource utilization in future human missions to Mars, but also for reconstructing the geological and climatic history of the planet, as well as to assess the potential of ancient or even present microbial life. Here, we present a methodology to study near-surface water using albedo protons, based on measurements from the Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) onboard the Mars Science Laboratory (MSL). With this approach, water can be investigated beneath dust layers at approximately 3–7 cm, representing a new observational depth range compared to existing methods. In combination with data from the Dynamic Albedo of Neutrons (DAN) experiment, also part of MSL, we show that MSL/RAD has so far been unable to resolve small variations in regolith water of 2–7 %. However, supporting simulations suggest that larger water reservoirs, such as those at higher latitudes or locally near the equator, may be detected by MSL/RAD with measurement times of approximately one to two months. We demonstrate that a future Mars detector, specifically redesigned to measure albedo protons, could detect changes in near-surface water content of about 20 % within roughly 5–17 days, and variations exceeding 40 % within only a few days, with statistical significance. We therefore propose including albedo proton measurements in future missions to Mars or other extraterrestrial bodies, as they represent a promising complement to existing methods for probing near-surface water.

How to cite: Löwe, J. L., Wimmer-Schweingruber, R., Khaksari, S., Löffler, S., Nikiforov, S., Guo, J., Charpentier, G., Ehresmann, B., Hassler, D., Matthiä, D., Berger, T., Reitz, G., and Zeitlin, C.: Martian Proton Albedo as Signature of Near-Surface Water, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10419, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10419, 2026.

EGU26-10624 | Orals | PS1.5

Dust escape from Mars 

Martin Bødker Bonde Enghoff, Peter Siegbjørn Jørgensen, Mathias Benn, John Leif Jørgensen, and John E.P. Connerney

Martian dust can be lifted to about 100 kilometres by known processes such as dust storms (e.g. Heavens et al, J. Atmos. Sci. 76, 2019). Dust has been observed at higher altitudes, but this is attributed to capture of interplanetary dust (Andersson et al, Science 250, 2015).

During its flight from Earth to Jupiter, a star camera on the Juno spacecraft observed dust in the size range of 1-100 um, contributing to the Zodiacal light and sharing orbital elements with Mars (Jørgensen et al, JGR: Planets 126, 2020). The origin of this dust was speculated to be Mars itself but a mechanism that allows the dust to reach escape velocity (~5 km/s) has not yet been identified. While dust can theoretically be lofted to hundreds of kilometres by electric forces on, for instance, the Moon (Wang et al, Planet. Space Sci. 184, 2020), the Martian atmosphere (thin as it is) makes this more difficult.

In this work we investigate the possibility of dust escaping Mars by electric forces. In order to reach the escape velocity a dust particle must overcome the forces of gravity and atmospheric drag. Beyond altitudes reached by meteorological phenomena, only electric forces can accelerate the particles. Recently observations by the Perseverance rover (Chide et al, Nature 647, 2025) showed discharges during dust events, indicating that the Martian atmosphere can have breakdown fields (about 15 kV/m at ground level).

In our model a dust particle of a prescribed size, charge, and updraft velocity is released at a given altitude into an atmosphere with an altitude dependent electric field. The resulting electric, drag, and gravity forces are calculated to find the particle’s velocity and altitude as a function of time. We test limit cases of electric charge and fields for relevant particle sizes to see what velocity is reached and how far a particle can be lifted.

How to cite: Enghoff, M. B. B., Jørgensen, P. S., Benn, M., Jørgensen, J. L., and Connerney, J. E. P.: Dust escape from Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10624, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10624, 2026.

EGU26-10791 | Posters on site | PS1.5

 Assessing the Role of Water–Rock Interactions in Martian Crustal Magnetization 

Anna Mittelholz, Gaia Stucky de Quay, Adrien Broquet, Timothee Delcourt, Catherine Johnson, Max Moorkamp, and Luju Ojha

Mars exhibits strongly magnetized crust, interpreted as a remanent signature acquired during the operation of the ancient martian dynamo. Several mechanisms can produce crustal magnetization, including thermal, shock, and chemical remanent processes. Thermal remanent magnetization can produce relatively clear and coherent signatures, shock-related magnetization associated with impact craters often yields more ambiguous or spatially complex magnetic patterns.Chemical remanent magnetization (CRM) can be acquired when water interacts with specific rock types, particularly olivine-rich lithologies, leading to the formation of secondary magnetic minerals such as magnetite. Geological and mineralogical evidence for past water activity on Mars, together with the widespread presence of suitable precursor minerals, suggests that this process may have been an important contributor to the martian crustal magnetic field.

Here, we evaluate magnetic field signatures in regions where water was likely present, at or beneath the surface. In areas where hydrothermal circulation is thought to have been active, such as impact-related hydrothermal systems, we identify magnetization signatures in regions that were active early in Mars’ history, including areas surrounding Ladon crater. In contrast, other regions such as Eridania basin, exhibit distinct demagnetization signatures, which may indicate that hydrothermal circulation persisted beyond the cessation of the martian dynamo. By further comparing magnetic anomalies with morphological indicators of aqueous alteration on the surface, we assess whether chemical remanent magnetization associated with water–rock interactions can explain observed crustal magnetic signatures and contribute significantly to the magnetization of the martian crust.



How to cite: Mittelholz, A., Stucky de Quay, G., Broquet, A., Delcourt, T., Johnson, C., Moorkamp, M., and Ojha, L.:  Assessing the Role of Water–Rock Interactions in Martian Crustal Magnetization, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10791, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10791, 2026.

EGU26-10871 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Biosignatures in Terrestrial Altered Volcanic Rocks — Focus on Nitrogen as a Key Biogeochemical Tracer 

Juan Felipe Bustos-Moreno, Gray E. Bebout, Tobias B. Weisenberger, Katsura Kobayashi, Christian Potiszil, Ryoji Tanaka, Tsutomu Ota, Matthew P. Nikitczuk, Tak Kunihiro, Hiroshi Kitagawa, John F. Mustard, and Eizo Nakamura

Here we synthesize work conducted at Lehigh University and the Pheasant Memorial Laboratory in Misasa, Japan (Institute for Planetary Materials, Okayama University), focusing on nitrogen (N) behavior in altered basaltic glasses and related secondary minerals that serve as terrestrial analogs for Martian surface/subsurface alteration. Initial proof of concept work demonstrated N enrichment in aqueously altered seafloor volcanic glasses with biotic influence suggested by δ15N signatures and microtubular textures (Bebout et al., 2018). Recently, this approach has been applied to study of hyaloclastites from Antarctica and Iceland that serve as better analogs for Martian hydrothermal alteration processes. This pursuit, employing advanced microanalytical and microscopic techniques, has extended knowledge of the modes of incorporation and isotopic signatures of N as a valuable tracer of biogeochemical processes in such materials (Nikitczuk et al., 2022a,b).

 

In new studies, we have investigated Icelandic amygdules in altered basalts that are mineralogical and geochemical analogs for those on the Noachian Mars surface (Ehlmann et al., 2012; Weisenberger and Selbekk, 2009). In addition, we examined erupted basaltic tephra from Surtsey Island, Iceland which, together with the amygdules, provide records of the alteration of very young erupted mafic volcanics (for Surtsey, <50 years; Jackson et al., 2019). These studies combine N concentrations and isotope compositions with microscopic and microanalytical techniques (SEM, SIMS, XRD, XRF), other isotopic tracers (δ13C, δD, δ18O) and organic geochemistry (GC-MS and Orbitrap work ongoing).

 

Collectively, our work demonstrates ubiquitous N enrichment of one to two orders of magnitude beyond initial concentrations of unaltered equivalents (MORB and OIB), during aqueous alteration of basaltic glass and associated secondary phases. Alteration phases include palagonite and clay, composed mainly of phyllosilicates (e.g., celadonite, illite, chlorite, smectite, saponite, nontronite among others) and zeolites (e.g., analcime, phillipsite, mesolite/scolecite, heulandite, stilbite, thomsonite and chabazite), amorphous silica (e.g., opal) and sulfates (e.g., jarosite and alunite), with enrichment most likely occurring during very early stages of aqueous alteration. Furthermore, their textural features (granular and tubular), trace element abundance, isotopic signatures (δ15N and δ13C) and organic chemistry (presence of n-alkanes and fatty acids with short C chains) indicate the likelihood of past microbial activity and incorporation of bioprocessed N.

 

Through this comprehensive approach, we highlight aqueously altered basaltic rocks and their associated phases, as high-priority targets for biosignature exploration, with a specific focus on N, in alignment with Mars Exploration Program Analysis Group (MEPAG) science goals.  

 

References: Bebout et al. (2018) Astrobiology; Nikitczuk et al. (2022a) Astrobiology; Nikitczuk et al. (2022b) Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets; Ehlmann et al. (2012) Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets; Weisenberger and Selbekk (2009) International Journal of Earth Sciences; Jackson et al. (2019) Scientific Drilling.

How to cite: Bustos-Moreno, J. F., Bebout, G. E., Weisenberger, T. B., Kobayashi, K., Potiszil, C., Tanaka, R., Ota, T., Nikitczuk, M. P., Kunihiro, T., Kitagawa, H., Mustard, J. F., and Nakamura, E.: Biosignatures in Terrestrial Altered Volcanic Rocks — Focus on Nitrogen as a Key Biogeochemical Tracer, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10871, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10871, 2026.

EGU26-11217 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Beyond a Point Source: Realistic Modelling of the RIMFAX Ground Penetrating Radar at Jezero Crater 

Zach Wilson, Craig Warren, Svein-Erik Hamran, Iraklis Giannakis, and Antonis Giannopoulos

The exploration of Mars and the Moon has been a primary focus of planetary science for decades. The prospects of resource surveying and extraction, searching for water ice, and finding potential evidence of past life have resulted in multiple missions being sent to uncover what lies within the Martian and Lunar subsurfaces. Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) is a critical, non-destructive instrument for planetary subsurface exploration, emitting electromagnetic waves to study and reveal structures in the subsurface. The RIMFAX (Radar Imager for Mars' Subsurface Experiment) GPR antenna, aboard the NASA 2020 mission Perseverance rover, has generated approximately 40km of data since February 2021, mapping the complex sedimentary history of the Jezero crater subsurface. The Jezero crater has been an area of fervent study as it preserves a clear paleolake and river delta system. This has also made it a high-priority target for detecting biosignatures within the ancient sedimentary deposits. RIMFAX has been instrumental in this effort, mapping the dielectric properties of the crater floor to depths of tens of meters.

However, interpreting this data is challenged by an absence of readily available, high-fidelity 3D numerical models of the RIMFAX antenna and its interaction with the rover structure. Accurately modelling the geometry and properties of RIMFAX and the local Perseverance rover structure better simulates how the antenna pulse interacts with its complex environment. Approximating RIMFAX to a simple point-source can cause deviations in the waveforms, as well as fail to model the electromagnetic coupling with the rover structure; leading to flawed interpretations of the subsurface.

To address this problem, we present robust and geometrically accurate numerical models of the RIMFAX antenna and the Perseverance rover for use in gprMax, an open source finite-difference time domain (FDTD) solver. Our workflow adapts existing surface mesh models, voxelating them so that they are compatible in an FDTD environment. Material properties and excitation sources are derived from available technical specifications, or constrained through optimization processes, where proprietary data is unavailable. Validation of the models show highly consistent results with both laboratory measurements and in-situ planetary data. These freely available models enable the community to produce more realistic radargrams, leading to more accurate characterisations of the mechanical and mineralogical properties of the Martian subsurface. Furthermore, this modelling workflow provides a scalable framework for future rover-mounted GPR systems across the solar system.

How to cite: Wilson, Z., Warren, C., Hamran, S.-E., Giannakis, I., and Giannopoulos, A.: Beyond a Point Source: Realistic Modelling of the RIMFAX Ground Penetrating Radar at Jezero Crater, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11217, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11217, 2026.

EGU26-11725 | Orals | PS1.5

Consolidated Aeolian Streaks in Oxia Planum: Evidence for Differential Erosion and Topographic Shielding 

Simone Silvestro, David Alegre Vaz, Fabio Massimo Grasso, Daniela Tirsch, Elena A. Favaro, Umberto Rizza, Francesco Salese, Ciprian Ionut Popa, Gabriele Franzese, Giuseppe Mongelluzzo, Carmen Porto, Maurizio Pajola, and Francesca Esposito

The ESA ExoMars mission will land at Oxia Planum to search for signs of life on Mars [1, 2]. In this study, we analyze aeolian linear features in the landing ellipse using CTX (6 m/pixel), CaSSIS (5 m/pixel), and HiRISE (25 cm/pixel) imagery.

We identified bright wind streaks oriented towards the S-SSW (mean azimuth 189°), consistent with formative winds blowing from the N-NNE. Their orientation reveals slight variations, allowing us to distinguish distinct sub-populations that appear controlled by the local topography.

In contrast, dark-toned stripes form a 'streaky' pattern with a main NE-SW trend. In the western sector, they consist of elongated dark patches covering the bright, clay-enriched unit (the mission’s main target [2]). Crucially, the presence of small scarps suggests a degree of material consolidation or cementation. These stripes are preferentially preserved in the lee of impact craters (~600 m diameter), suggesting formative winds from the NE, thus differing substantially from the orientation of the nearby bright streaks.

In the SE sector, SSE-oriented dark stripes are associated with a ~2 km diameter impact crater. Both CaSSIS and HiRISE data confirm that these features consist of a dark ejecta blanket preferentially preserved along the crater's southern rim, directly overlying the bright clay-enriched bedrock. Their orientation is slightly divergent but comparable to the bright wind streaks in this area, suggesting control by the current regional wind regime.

We propose that these findings indicate a new class of Martian aeolian feature. Unlike typically described wind streaks, the features presented here appear composed of consolidated material. Specifically, the dark ejecta stripes can be interpreted as 'aeolian preservation streaks'. This feature arises from the differential erosion of a consolidated unit (e.g., crater ejecta blanket) by winds from the N-NNW; the crater rim creates a wind shadow that preserves the ejecta downwind while the surrounding area is removed, exposing the underlying Noachian bedrock.

The orientation of these preservation streaks suggests that a N-NNW wind regime has been dominant in shaping the landscape over geological timescales. Even the dark stripes in the western sector, particularly where clustered behind topographic obstacles, may share this origin. Although their degree of consolidation remains to be definitively determined, their divergence from bright streaks suggests either a different formation timeline or strong local topographic control. These hypotheses regarding consolidated aeolian features and paleo-wind regimes will require crucial in-situ validation by the ESA Rosalind Franklin rover.

[1] Vago J. et al. (2017). Astrobiology, 17. [2] Quantin et al. (2021), Astrobiology, 21.

How to cite: Silvestro, S., Vaz, D. A., Grasso, F. M., Tirsch, D., Favaro, E. A., Rizza, U., Salese, F., Popa, C. I., Franzese, G., Mongelluzzo, G., Porto, C., Pajola, M., and Esposito, F.: Consolidated Aeolian Streaks in Oxia Planum: Evidence for Differential Erosion and Topographic Shielding, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11725, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11725, 2026.

EGU26-11920 | Posters on site | PS1.5

The Enfys Spectrometer for the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin rover 

Claire Rachel Cousins, Matthew Gunn, Peter Grindrod, Grace Nielson, Harry Marsh, and Jack Langston

A main goal of the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin Rover (EMRF) mission is to search for past life on Mars, preserved within phyllosilicate-bearing geological deposits at its landing site in Oxia Planum. Enfys is a new infrared spectrometer added to the mission payload in 2023 and is currently under development for Flight Model delivery in 2026 and launch in 2028 for landing in 2030. Enfys will provide remote sensing spectroscopic capabilities for exploration, target selection, and geological contextualisation through the measurement of point infrared reflectance spectra. Enfys will play a major role not only in mission operations, but also in linking orbital and in situ spectroscopic observations and mineralogical interpretations. As a replacement for the former Roscosmos ISEM instrument, Enfys has been developed at pace to meet the revised mission schedule, drawing heritage from the Panoramic Camera (PanCam), an instrument Enfys will work in concert with. In a little under 3 years since inception, the first Enfys prototype has now been assembled, characterised and calibrated, for installation on the Amalia Ground Test Model rover.

Enfys utilises two near-infrared Linear Variable Filters (LVFs), each with a dedicated InGaAs detector. Together, these cover the wavelength range 0.9 – 2.5 mm. Both LVFs are translated simultaneously on a mechanical stage. Enfys sits on top of the EMRF mast, co-aligned with and directly underneath the High Resolution Camera (HRC) element of the PanCam instrument. Embedded within the design is an overlap in wavelength range with PanCam covering 0.9 and 1 mm, allowing spectral continuity between VIS-NIR multispectral imaging and point IR spectroscopy. Enfys data will also be complementary to the other near-infrared spectrometers on EMRF, including Ma-MISS, which will collect data from within the drill hole, and MicrOmega, which will analyze the drill core once collected, prepared and delivered into the analytical suite inside EMRF. To maximise the scientific return from Enfys, a variety of geological analogue testing is currently underway with Enfys emulators. This has focused on sedimentary deposits, ranging from mudstones to sandstones of compositions ranging from mafic to felsic, and ages from 2.7Ga to 10Ka. An overview of the Enfys project will be presented, along with instrument design and performance figures and analogue study results.

How to cite: Cousins, C. R., Gunn, M., Grindrod, P., Nielson, G., Marsh, H., and Langston, J.: The Enfys Spectrometer for the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin rover, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11920, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11920, 2026.

EGU26-12037 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Developing Flexible Algorithms to Optimize Drive Paths for the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin Rover 

Elena A. Favaro, Lucas Fernandez, Sam Fayolle, Alexander Barrett, Matthew R. Balme, Peter Fawdon, Jack Wright, and Luc Joudrier

In 2030, the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin Mission Rover (RFM) is scheduled to land at Oxia Planum, Mars, to search for the chemical building blocks of life [1]. The mission’s success depends not only on the rover’s scientific payload, but also on RFM’s ability to safely and efficiently traverse the Martian terrain: what terrains are safe to drive across; what terrains or features on the landscape are potential mobility hazards; and how efficiently can the rover make it from one point to another?

Extensive work has gone into characterizing the landing site at Oxia Planum including the creation of high-resolution digital elevation models [DEMs; e.g. 2], high fidelity geologic [3] and mineralogic mapping [e.g. 4], and machine-learning assisted landscape classifications [5,6]. Additionally, many studies have characterized the wider Oxia region, identifying widespread evidence for ancient fluvial [e.g. 7, 8] alteration, as well as modern aeolian reworking of the surface [9]. RFM engineers and mission scientists will use this scholarship, as well as in situ images and DEMs to get the rover from one location in Oxia Planum to another.

During this pre-launch phase of the mission, we were curious to test whether we could automate the creation of rover traversability paths between two arbitrary points at Oxia Planum in a geographic information system (GIS). Specifically, we wanted to answer three simple questions: (1) what is the safest path from point A to point B, (2) how quickly can we traverse that distance, and (3) therefore, how many driving sols are needed?  

First, we compared NOAH-H (The Novelty and Anomaly Hunter – HiRISE [5]) deep learning terrain classifications at Jezero Crater [10] to Oxia Planum [5, 6] with in situ images from NASA’s Perseverance rover. We then developed Python-based algorithms in a GIS environment which considered factors such as topography (derived from HiRISE DEMs), geomorphology (from NOAH-H), and solar radiation balances at a test site within the nominal landing area. These data, and combinations thereof, were assigned weighting values that were passed to the algorithm and then used to compute individually optimized drive paths for different objective prioritizations.  

Using multivariate terrain analysis, our route-generation algorithms produced over thirty possible drive paths with associated statistics. The algorithm’s adjustable weighting parameters allow prioritization of variables, which will be critical when in situ data becomes available. We continue to iterate on our approach and will present current findings at this conference. Our work demonstrates that lightweight, flexible Python-based drive paths can be generated from existing data, supporting strategic planning and operational readiness across mission phases.

 

[1] Vago et al. (2017), Astrobiology, 17(6-7); [2] Volat et al. (2022), PSS222; [3] Fawdon et al. (2024), Journal of Maps20(1); [4] Bowen et al. (2022), PSS214; [5] Barrett et al. (2022), Icarus371; [6] Barrett et al. (2023),  Journal of Maps19(1); [7] Fawdon et al. (2021), Journal of Maps, 17(2); [8] Davis et al. (2023), EPSL, 601; [9] Favaro et al. (2021), JGR:P126(4); [10] Wright et al. (2022), Journal of Maps18(2).

How to cite: Favaro, E. A., Fernandez, L., Fayolle, S., Barrett, A., Balme, M. R., Fawdon, P., Wright, J., and Joudrier, L.: Developing Flexible Algorithms to Optimize Drive Paths for the ExoMars Rosalind Franklin Rover, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12037, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12037, 2026.

EGU26-12307 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Multi-scale Morphology of Fluidized Ejecta Blankets and their Spectral Counterpart 

Janko Trisic Ponce, Alessandro Frigeri, Monica Rasmussen, Jérémy Brossier, Francesca Altieri, and Maria Cristina De Sanctis

Studying the geomorphology of crater ejecta at Martian mid- to high-latitudes is essential for understanding how impact-generated flows and debris patterns indicate subsurface ice or water at the time of impact. By analyzing ejecta morphologies, such as rampart structures, lobate flows, and layered deposits, we can reconstruct the distribution and abundance of volatiles in the Martian subsurface. These morphological observations provide the basis for stratigraphic correlations and spectroscopic analyses, enabling more precise quantification of past and present water-ice concentrations in the upper crust.  Our study focuses on a fresh crater (43.81N, 301.53E) located roughly 225km NE of Timoshenko crater, in Tempe Terra. By using Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) at different scales (CTX at 6m ppx and HiRISE at 0.3m ppx) we map the different ejecta blankets that comprise this crater and classify it based on their topography and shape. 

We created DTMs using the Ames Stereo Pipeline (ASP, [1]) and two stereopairs per instrument (CTX J14_050126_2236_XN_43N058W and P12_005807_2238_XI_43N058W, HiRISE ESP_059370_22401 and ESP_077029_2240), aligned to overlying MOLA data from PDS ([2]), and then projected within a GIS software (QGIS, v3.40.5), which helps in DTM manipulation, visualization, and topographic studies of the ejecta layers and their subsequent plotting, while using different data formats. 

From CTX imagery, we recognize 2 ejecta layers: one proximal to the crater (500m from crater rim), with a slope of 20˚ and smoother topography, which ends in a small (~10m) edge step; and a second more distal, showing a radial lobate pattern exuding from the crater, composed of rougher materials, with little to no slope (~3˚).

Following [3]’s classification, we classify this as a type 2 (double ejecta facies) or type 3 (multiple facies) crater. This uncertainty is related to the resolution limits of  CTX; it is difficult to determine whether the second ejecta layer is further subdivided into more layers, as the contacts become diffuse, and the more distal parts of it appear as isolated ejecta clusters, disconnected from the main facies, especially in the NW and SE margins. 

Our multi-scale morphological analysis of the crater will place it into context with its surroundings [4] and prepare for specific studies, such as the spectroscopic analysis of specific areas [5]. Using CTX DTMs as a basemap will provide a robust and smooth topography, which can be better interpreted and used for mapping; HiRISE will offer very high resolution, allowing a more robust identification of smaller features. The accurate development of DTMs at appropriate resolution is key and we will concentrate efforts on uncertainty analyses of these higher-level data products. We are applying these techniques into operational mission-driven scenarios like the Oxia Planum landing site of the ESA/ExoMars Rosalind Franklin Rover [5].

This work is funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) [Grant ASI-INAF n. 2023–3–HH.0].

References: [1] Beyer et al. (2018) ESS 5(9), 537-548; [2] Smith et al. (2001) JGR Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets 106.(E10); 2156-2202. [3] Mouginis-Mark (1979) JGR Solid Earth 84(B14), 8011-8022. [4] Rasmussen et al., (2025) GSA A&Ps 57(6), p. 4976. [5] Altieri et al. (2026), this conference.

How to cite: Trisic Ponce, J., Frigeri, A., Rasmussen, M., Brossier, J., Altieri, F., and De Sanctis, M. C.: Multi-scale Morphology of Fluidized Ejecta Blankets and their Spectral Counterpart, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12307, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12307, 2026.

EGU26-12327 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Impact-Induced Sulfur Melting on Mars: A Potential Source of Native Sulfur Detected by the NASA’s Curiosity Rover 

Luca Maggioni, William Rapin, Olivier Forni, David Baratoux, Michelangelo Formisano, Maria Cristina De Sanctis, Gianfranco Magni, and Francesca Altieri

NASA’s Curiosity rover recently discovered decimeter-sized clasts of nearly pure native sulfur within the Gediz Vallis channel in Gale crater, representing the first detection of elemental sulfur on Mars. The origin of this material remains uncertain, as native sulfur on Earth typically forms in volcanic, hydrothermal, or evaporitic environments. Here, we investigate a formation mechanism in which sulfur-rich material is melted by a meteoritic impact, producing molten sulfur that subsequently flows and solidifies at the surface. Geological mapping of the Gediz Vallis region reveals a partially breached crater (~390 m in diameter) located upstream of the sulfur-bearing deposits, within a light-toned yardangs unit. We interpret this structure as a candidate source crater, where impact-generated melt may have escaped through the breach and flowed a few kilometers downslope before solidifying. Production of melt in the context of such a small impact crater is qualitatively supported by the observations of impact melt pools associated with small craters on Lunar basaltic surfaces.

To assess whether the volume of melt produced could be comparable to the native sulfur deposit at Geidz Vallis, we performed numerical simulations using the iSALE shock-physics code. We modeled vertical impacts of dunite projectiles into a basaltic target at velocities of 5, 7, 10 km/s, the size of the asteroid being empirically adjusted to reproduce  the observed crater size. Because a dedicated high-pressure equation of state for sulfur is unavailable, sulfur was treated as a minor component of the target, and shock propagation was assumed to be controlled by the basaltic matrix. Sulfur melting was then evaluated a posteriori using reconstructed thermodynamic properties derived from experimental shock data and melting curves.

From tracer-based shock pressure histories, we estimated the total mass of sulfur melted (liquid plus vapor), the fraction retained within the crater as a melt pool, and the amount potentially lost to vaporization. Our results show that total melt production increases with impact velocity, while only about 20–25% of the melted sulfur is retained within the crater after excavation. For sulfur concentrations typical of minor components, the retained melt mass is insufficient to explain the volume inferred from Curiosity observations. However, extrapolation to sulfur-rich substrates (≥ 50% sulfur fraction) would yield melt pool masses comparable in order of magnitude to Curiosity’s inferred mass, even under conservative assumptions regarding vaporization and ejected melt.

These results suggest that impact-induced melting of sulfur-rich materials is a possible mechanism for producing native sulfur deposits on Mars, provided that the light-toned yardangs unit is significantly enriched in sulfur. However,  a model  incorporating a dedicated sulfur equation of state is critical to further test this hypothesis, whereas in situ rover observations as Curiosity approaches the yardangs unit shall reveal its nature and composition.

 

How to cite: Maggioni, L., Rapin, W., Forni, O., Baratoux, D., Formisano, M., De Sanctis, M. C., Magni, G., and Altieri, F.: Impact-Induced Sulfur Melting on Mars: A Potential Source of Native Sulfur Detected by the NASA’s Curiosity Rover, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12327, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12327, 2026.

EGU26-12417 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

The Role of Asteroid Impacts in Surface-Water Loss on Early Mars 

Cem Berk Senel, Robert Luther, Özgür Karatekin, Yuhui Tang, Kaiyi Dai, Gareth S. Collins, Steven Goderis, Kai Wünnemann, and Philippe Claeys

During the Late Noachian-Early Hesperian, geological evidence shows that the Mars surface had shallow seas, lakes, and possibly a northern ocean. This transition period, around 3.8 - 3.0 Ga, is characterised by a high rate of asteroid impacts, following which Mars gradually became colder and arid as surface water was lost. However, the relative importance of different mechanisms responsible for the loss of liquid surface water remains unclear. Here we investigate the role of asteroid impacts in vaporising and removing shallow surface-water layers on Early Mars. Using iSALE-2D shock physics code, we quantify water vaporisation, escape-capable vapour production, and liquid water survival for a range of impactor sizes, water depths, and projectile-target compositions. The results provide constraints on impact-generated hydrological loss mechanisms and inform scenarios for Early Mars climate evolution and surface habitability.

How to cite: Senel, C. B., Luther, R., Karatekin, Ö., Tang, Y., Dai, K., Collins, G. S., Goderis, S., Wünnemann, K., and Claeys, P.: The Role of Asteroid Impacts in Surface-Water Loss on Early Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12417, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12417, 2026.

EGU26-12476 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Fracture geometry and topology and their spectral signatures at OxiaPlanum, Mars 

Monica Rasmussen, Francesca Altieri, Alessandro Frigeri, Jeremy Brossier, Janko Trisic Ponce, Sophie Silver, Douglas J. Jerolmack, Lorenzo Rossi, and Maria Cristina De Sanctis

The European Space Agency (ESA) Rosalind Franklin rover Mission (RFM) is expected to land at Oxia Planum, Mars in 2030. Orbital spectral data and imagery reveal layered, clay-rich sedimentary deposits, often overlain by or interbedded with a dark, more resistant rock rich in mafic minerals [e.g., 1, 2]. The 1:30k scale geologic map of the landing site [1] associates two geologic units to their VNIR color and fracture spacing; Apuzzo et al. [3] studied directional statistics of fractures in selected regions of interest. However, complete quantitative fracture metrics over the RFM landing area are not yet available. Since at least 35% of the landing site is covered by fractures [3], a comprehensive study of fractures, and the composition of their hosting bedrock, is critical for elucidating whether formation mechanism, alteration history, and/or mineralogy vary across the Oxia Planum site.

Here, we present fracture density (number of fractures/m^2) and topological connectivity of fractures within an unbiased collection of 33 approximately 500x500 m square windows spaced along transects over the center of the predicted landing footprint of the RFM. Multiple windows overlap with Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (CRISM) spectral cubes for which Fe,Mg-clay abundance has been qualitatively estimated [2]. Fractures are mapped manually as linear segments in QGIS software, using visual interpretation of High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) images (0.3 m/px) in the red spectral range. We map at 1:1250 scale resulting in a minimum resolvable fracture length of about five pixels, or 1.5 m. The NetworkGT QGIS software plugin [4] is used to extract node connectivity, fracture orientations, and fracture lengths.

Topological analysis of node types and fracture-bounded polygon shapes is then leveraged to aid in interpreting (1) changes in fracture behavior across previously mapped unit boundaries, and (2) formation mechanisms of the fracture networks, following [5]. We also compare fracture mapping within and outside specific clay-rich areas of interest [2, 6] to determine if they have unique mechanical or formation characteristics. Preliminary analysis
indicates that fracture density is often higher within more clay-rich areas, and that the majority of mapped fractures are “I-node”, meaning they terminate without connecting to another fracture. Where fractures do connect, three- and four-sided polygon shapes dominate. We compare these findings with previous topological network characterization [e.g., 5] to enhance our interpretation of the possible scenarios of formation and current unit composition at Oxia Planum, considering topological characteristics will better constrain our understanding of past aqueous activity. Our results will support the better selection of analog materials for terrestrial drill testing before mission launch, and help inform drill site selection when the rover reaches Mars’ surface.

References: [1] Fawdon et al. (2024) Journal of Maps 20, 2302361. [2] Brossier et al. (2022) Icarus 386, 115114. [3] Apuzzo et al. (2025) PSS 267, 106169. [4] Nyberg et al. (2018) Geosphere 14(4) 10.1130/GES01595.1. [5] Silver et al. (2025) PNAS 22 (10) e2411738122. [6] Altieri et al. (2026), this conference.

Acknowledgements: This work is funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) [Grant ASI-INAF n. 2023–3–HH.0].

How to cite: Rasmussen, M., Altieri, F., Frigeri, A., Brossier, J., Trisic Ponce, J., Silver, S., Jerolmack, D. J., Rossi, L., and De Sanctis, M. C.: Fracture geometry and topology and their spectral signatures at OxiaPlanum, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12476, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12476, 2026.

EGU26-12820 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

A Glimpse into Basalt Weathering on Mars: Geochemical Modeling Study of Lyot Crater 

Sneha Bhowmik, Anik Mukherjee, and Saibal Gupta

To reconstruct the past climate and assess the potential habitability of Mars, it is essential to understand its geological processes and environmental evolution. Till now, observations from orbital spectroscopy and in-situ rover missions have revealed the widespread presence of phyllosilicates, such as smectites, on the martian surface, indicating extensive past water-rock interactions and a prolonged aqueous history (Ehlmann & Edwards, 2014; Sheppard et al, 2021). Therefore, understanding basalt weathering processes is essential for constraining the formation history of these minerals and the climate evolution of Mars. However, given the limited direct access to Martian samples, geochemical modeling has become an essential tool for reconstructing these ancient processes. In our study, we apply such an approach to investigate basaltic weathering conditions and the formation of secondary alteration minerals within Lyot Crater, located in the northern lowlands of Mars. Lyot Crater formed during the Amazonian period and previous observations indicate the presence of significant amounts of Fe/Mg Phyllosilicates, chlorite, illite/ muscovite, prehnite and some other unidentified hydrated minerals within the region (Pan & Ehlmann, 2018). Because the Amazonian period is considered a dry phase in Martian history (Kolkas, 2026), investigating the origin of secondary minerals in Lyot Crater can provide important insights into the possibility of aqueous activity during this arid period.  To examine this, geochemical simulations were performed using the REACT Module of Geochemist’s Workbench (GWB) software, adopting initial basaltic rock compositions derived from in situ analyses at the Zhurong rover landing site (Zhao et al, 2023) and a groundwater composition representative of the Gale Crater region (Kikuchi & Shibuya, 2021). The simulations are performed under closed system condition, which means the system is unbuffered and does not remain in constant equilibrium with the atmosphere. The modeling results reproduce secondary mineral assemblages observed in Lyot Crater, supporting previously proposed hydrothermal formation scenarios for the region (Pan & Ehlmann, 2018). These results constrain Amazonian-age aqueous alteration processes and highlight Lyot Crater as a potential target for future habitability-focused exploration.

References:

Ehlmann, B.L. and Edwards, C.S., 2014. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences42(1), pp.291-315.

Kikuchi, S. and Shibuya, T., 2021. Minerals11(4), p.341.

Kolkas, M.M., 2026. The Professional Geologist (TPG), Jan–Feb–Mar, pp. 7–15.

Pan, L. and Ehlmann, B.L., 2018. Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets123(7), pp.1618-1648.

Sheppard, R.Y., Thorpe, M.T., Fraeman, A.A., Fox, V.K. and Milliken, R.E., 2021. Minerals11(9), p.986.

Zhao, Y.Y.S., Yu, J., Wei, G., Pan, L., Liu, X., Lin, Y., Liu, Y., Sun, C., Wang, X., Wang, J. and Xu, W., 2023. National Science Review10(6), p.nwad056.

How to cite: Bhowmik, S., Mukherjee, A., and Gupta, S.: A Glimpse into Basalt Weathering on Mars: Geochemical Modeling Study of Lyot Crater, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12820, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12820, 2026.

EGU26-13295 * | Orals | PS1.5 | Highlight

Europe's Mars orbiters: status & highlights 

Colin Wilson

Mars Express (MEX), launched in 2003, remains a highly productive mission in its third decade of operation at Mars. Recent science highlights include (1) discovery of englacial (internal) folding of the South Polar Layered Deposits, providing evidence of ice flow; (2) study of large-scale ionospheric ‘holes’ (plasma depletion events); (3) continuing development of digital elevation models and mosaics from the HRSC imager. Many of the key outcomes of two decades of Mars Express have been summarised in an article collection in Space Science Reviews titled “Mars Express: Pioneering Two Decades of European Science and Exploration of Mars”.

ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter (TGO), launched in 2016, has now completed over four complete Mars years of science observations since reaching its nominal Mars orbit in April 2018. Recent science highlights include (1) detailed characterisation of the spatial and temporal variation of atmospheric hydrogen chloride (HCl), and modelling to understand its sources and sinks; (2) study of Mars’ water cycle, in particular relating to the transport of water to high altitudes and subsequent escape; (3) Repeated imaging of dust devils, allowing determination of near-surface wind velocities; (4) continued monitoring of radiation doses throughout the mission, including the most energetic event recorded yet in May 2024.

Acknowledgments: This abstract represents the work of hundreds of researchers and engineers across the MEX and TGO science and operations teams. MEX and TGO data are freely and publically available at ESA’s Planetary Science Archive (https://psa.esa.int/).

How to cite: Wilson, C.: Europe's Mars orbiters: status & highlights, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13295, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13295, 2026.

EGU26-13609 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Mineralogical, Sedimentological, and Geomorphic Distinction of Fan-Delta and Alluvial Fan Deposits in Southeast Coprates Chasma: Observations from CaSSIS and OMEGA 

Ignatius Argadestya, Antoine Pommerol, Fritz Schlunegger, Flavio Anselmetti, and Nicolas Thomas

Fan-shaped deposits (FSDs) on Mars are key geomorphic indicators of past surface water activity and provide important constraints on sedimentary processes, hydrology, and paleoenvironments [1]. These landforms have been widely detected across the planet using orbital imagery, particularly at the margins of basins, craters, and valley networks, recording the sediment transport and water availability [2]. Within Coprates Chasma, fan-shaped deposits offer an opportunity to investigate localized depositional processes in Valles Marineris, where fluvial, lacustrine, and mass-wasting processes have been documented [3].

Using high-resolution imagery from the Colour and Stereo Surface Imaging System (CaSSIS) [4] aboard the ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter, we identify two fan-shaped deposits in Southeast Coprates Chasma. In CTX basemap imagery, both deposits display similar geomorphic characteristics, including (1) branched channel networks in their source regions, (2) evidence for sediment transport along a ~35 km thalweg toward their apices, and (3) radially convex sedimentary bodies with comparable dimensions, approximately ~5 km in width and ~3 km in length at the downstream end of the source areas. Despite these geomorphic similarities, CaSSIS near-infrared, panchromatic, and blue (NPB) composites reveal distinct colour differences between the two FSDs. FSD A exhibits a light purple tone, whereas FSD B appears to be dark blue. Observations from Observatoire pour la Minéralogie, l'Eau, les Glaces et l'Activité (OMEGA) [5] spectra hint that the light purple signature has an absorption band in 0.91 µm, while the dark blue signature in 1.04 µm.

We interpret these combined geomorphic and spectral observations as evidence for differing depositional environments. FSD A is interpreted as a fan-delta [6], formed where sediment-laden flows entered a standing body of water, promoting finer-grained deposition and the relative enrichment of Low-Calcium Pyroxene (LCP) bearing materials. In contrast, FSD B is interpreted as an alluvial fan, deposited under subaerial conditions dominated by episodic fluvial activity and limited aqueous alteration, preserving High-Calcium Pyroxene (HCP) rich compositions. These findings highlight the importance of integrating high-resolution morphology with spectral data to distinguish between superficially similar fan-shaped landforms and to better constrain the hydrological history of Coprates Chasma.

 

References:

  • Morgan et al., (2022). Icarus 385, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2022.115137
  • Vaz et al., (2020). EPSL 533, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2019.116049
  • Chojnacki et al., (2008). JGR Planets 116, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JE003070
  • Thomas et al., (2017). Space Science Reviews 212, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11214-017-0421-1
  • Bibring et al., (2006). Science 312, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1108806
  • Argadestya et al., (2026). Npj Space Exploration 2, https://doi.org/10.1038/s44453-025-00015-8

How to cite: Argadestya, I., Pommerol, A., Schlunegger, F., Anselmetti, F., and Thomas, N.: Mineralogical, Sedimentological, and Geomorphic Distinction of Fan-Delta and Alluvial Fan Deposits in Southeast Coprates Chasma: Observations from CaSSIS and OMEGA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13609, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13609, 2026.

EGU26-14022 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Investigation of Ancient Volcanism in Valles Marineris: Evidence for Effusive Activity and Possible Plutonic Intrusions 

Aris Xanthoudakis, Sean Peters, Heather Meyer, Alexandra Matiella Novak, Patrick Whelley, and Jacob Richardson

The ratio of effusive to explosive volcanism from the late Noachian to the early Amazonian remains a knowledge gap in understanding the volcanic evolution of Mars. Valles Marineris, a 4000 km canyon system in the Tharsis region, exposes up to 7 km of stratigraphy that records billions of years of geologic history, allowing for the investigation of the changes in volcanic styles over a large swath of martian geologic history. In this work, we performed a morphologic investigation to identify and characterize stacks of exposed lava flows in order to quantify the relative contribution of effusive volcanism.

 

We initially selected four sites across Valles Marineris:  Candor, Ophir, West Ius, and East Melas ta, located at [-5.95679, 282.70], [-3.00, -287.50], [-7.34, 273.11], and [-10.98, 293.63], respectively.  All sites exhibited clear exposures of at least 1 - 2 km of stratigraphic section and sufficient data coverage.  We performed analysis using high resolution visible image data from the High-Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) (~0.3 m/px) and the Context Camera (CTX) (~6 m/px); moderate and high-resolution digital terrain models High Resolution Stereo Camera (HRSC) DTM (~60 m/px) and CTX DTM (~15 m/px).  Data analysis was conducted in the Java Mission-planning and Remote Sensing (JMARS) GIS.  To quantitatively assess morphology, we measured the lateral extent of exposed marker beds and estimated bed thickness by measuring the distance between marker beds.  We also measured cliff slopes by producing transects at multiple locations within each study site.

 

Preliminary observations in Candor Chasma show a clearly defined transition between upper competent units and the lower talus-rich zone. In Ophir Chasma, we observed deposits consistent with mass-wasting events that have exposed lower competent and layered units.  Whereas in Ius and Melas , while exposed competent rock is present, the competent cliffs are mostly obscured by talus. In West Candor Chasma, marker beds (i.e., competent rock layers) exhibit a mean vertical spacing of 8.4 m and a mean lateral extent of 22.3 m, in Northern Ophir Chasma (Site 2) layers show a mean vertical spacing of 5.81 m and a mean lateral extent of 15.8 m, while in West Ius Chasma the mean vertical spacing is 6 m. Assuming the distance between marker beds represent individual flow units, we interpret this sequence of layers as massive thick (~6 – 8 m) lava flows.

 

Our preliminary results are consistent with previous literature that the upper and middle walls of Valles Marineris preserve horizontal lava stacks, which suggests that effusive volcanism has dominated in the region in recent martian geologic history.  Deeper layered deposits observed in Ophir Chasma may belong to magmatic intrusions, consistent with previous literature that subsurface magmatism occurs under extensional tectonic regimes and has played an active role either before or during the formation of Valles Marineris.

How to cite: Xanthoudakis, A., Peters, S., Meyer, H., Matiella Novak, A., Whelley, P., and Richardson, J.: Investigation of Ancient Volcanism in Valles Marineris: Evidence for Effusive Activity and Possible Plutonic Intrusions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14022, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14022, 2026.

EGU26-14066 | Posters on site | PS1.5

A Catalog of Sinuous Rilles on the Tharsis Montes Rift Aprons, Mars 

Sean Peters and Kijani Derenoncourt

Sinuous rilles observed on Venus, the Moon, and Mars, with lengths ranging from 10s to 1000s of kilometers, have been interpreted as either erosional or constructional features formed by flowing lava. Exotic lava compositions and high effusion rates have been proposed to explain these landforms. On Mars, the spatial distribution, morphology, and emplacement conditions of these channels are key to understanding its volcanic history, interior and surface evolution. The Tharsis volcanic province covers approximately a third of the planet’s surface and presents the largest volcanic region.  Numerous sinuous rilles are observed in the flanks of the Tharsis Montes, three large shield volcanoes trending NE-SW.  Specifically, each volcano displays a rift apron, a large wedge of effusive deposits postdating the formation of the main shield edifice. The aprons represent an understudied region with relatively young deposits.  We mapped and characterized sinuous rilles on the Tharsis Montes (Arsia, Pavonis, and Ascraeus) rift aprons.

We delineated rift apron subregions using previously published geologic maps and boundaries (e.g. Plescia 2004, Skinner et al. 2006). Using the Thermal Emission Imaging System (THEMIS) infrared [100m/px] and the Context Camera (CTX) a [~6 m/px], we have identified, to date, 162 sinuous rilles on the 6 rift aprons of the Tharsis Montes. On the Arsia Mons rift apron, we have identified 74 sinuous rilles, with lengths ranging from ~2 - 90 km with a mean length of ~19 km and a median length of ~13 km.  On Pavonis Mons, we have identified 27 sinuous rilles. Channels range in length from ~3 - 72 km with a mean and median of ~16 km and ~9 km, respectively. On Ascraeus Mons, we have identified 76 sinuous rilles, with lengths ranging from ~2 - 235 km, a with a mean length of ~27 km, and a median length of ~17 km.  The rilles are emplaced on regional slopes ranging from ~0.1 – 3°.  To date, we have calculated 76 of 169 (45%) rille widths with a mean width of 0.21 km.

These preliminary observations suggest that long-lived effusive eruptions capable of eroding the substrate were part of the later evolution of the Tharsis Montes.  Furthermore, the sinuous rilles formed contemporaneous with widespread tectonic and collapse features evident in crosscutting relationships.  Measured rille depths and sinuosity will provide further constraints on their formation.

How to cite: Peters, S. and Derenoncourt, K.: A Catalog of Sinuous Rilles on the Tharsis Montes Rift Aprons, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14066, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14066, 2026.

EGU26-14203 | Orals | PS1.5

 Constraining the stratigraphic fill of Mars’ northern lowlands from buried-crater statistics: implications for resurfacing history and volatile budgets 

Francesco Salese, Eric Hiatt, Monica Pondrelli, Marc Hesse, Matilda Soldano, and Alberto Fairén

Mars’ northern lowlands record some of the most extensive resurfacing events on the planet, yet the cumulative thickness and volume of their stratigraphic fill remain poorly constrained. This uncertainty directly affects estimates of volcanic resurfacing rates, the timing and magnitude of major emplacement phases, and the integrated volatile release potentially influencing Noachian–Hesperian environments. Here we reassess the minimum stratigraphic volume of the northern lowlands by combining crater-based reconstruction of buried topography with regional geologic constraints.

We quantify fill volumes through an approach that leverages crater size–frequency distributions and morphometric relationships calibrated on reference terrains, coupled with MOLA topography and CTX imagery to characterize present-day crater geometries and preservation states. Pristine crater shapes are reconstructed to approximate pre-burial morphologies, enabling estimation of the material volume required to bury crater interiors and to raise intercrater plains. We explore conservative end-member scenarios that explicitly bound uncertainty, including (i) present-day vs. reconstructed crater geometries and (ii) plausible intercrater-plain thickness ranges (1–2 km), consistent with independent stratigraphic and geologic considerations.

The resulting bounds indicate a substantially larger cumulative stratigraphic volume for the northern lowlands than many commonly adopted estimates, yielding ~0.8–1.7 × 10^8 km^3 of fill. When interpreted in terms of volcanic emplacement, this implies proportionally larger time-integrated volatile outgassing, with CO₂, H₂O, and SO₂ totals of order 10^21–10^20 g. These revised constraints provide a quantitative basis to (i) refine volcanic resurfacing histories of the northern plains, (ii) reassess the magnitude of volatile contributions to ancient atmospheric budgets, and (iii) improve the geological context for interpreting orbital observations and future exploration of lowland stratigraphy and its interfaces with highland terrains.

How to cite: Salese, F., Hiatt, E., Pondrelli, M., Hesse, M., Soldano, M., and Fairén, A.:  Constraining the stratigraphic fill of Mars’ northern lowlands from buried-crater statistics: implications for resurfacing history and volatile budgets, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14203, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14203, 2026.

EGU26-14981 | Orals | PS1.5

Advances in the Mineralogy and Potential Formation Processes of Sulfates and Cl-Salts in the North Polar Dunes at Olympia Undae on Mars 

Janice L. Bishop, Markus R. D. Gruendler, Yuki Itoh, Katya L. Yanez, Mario Parente, Anna Szynkiewicz, Lori K. Fenton, Arun M. Saranathan, Wilhelm Zuschneid, Christoph Gross, and Tatiana Gibson

The Olympia Undae Sand Sea of the North Polar region contains unique gypsum-rich dunes that provide insights into modern polar processes. Detailed characterization of gypsum and associated minerals is now feasible at the tens of meters scale due to advances in CRISM image processing and is revealing compositional variations across the dunes and interdune regions. Dunes with the strongest gypsum signatures are present in the eastern part of Olympia Undae and contain spectral features at 1.75, 1.94, 2.22, 2.27 and 2.48 μm as well as a triplet at 1.45, 1.49, and 1.54 μm. The bright interdune patches in the east are filled with ripples (as seen in HiRISE images) and have spectra consistent with gypsum but are brighter, indicating the presence of an additional spectrally bright material as well (likely a sulfate or chloride salt).

Traveling west, the dunes have slightly weaker gypsum-like spectral bands that are shifted slightly and could be resulting from dehydration of the gypsum or the presence of additional alteration minerals. Specifically, the band at 1.75 µm in the eastern dunes is shifted to 1.78 µm, which is observed in spectra of bassanite and some hydrated Ca chlorides. Continuing from central to western Olympia Undae the ~1.94 µm band becomes substantially weaker, indicating a much lower abundance of gypsum. Polygonal cracks can be seen in HiRISE images of the interdune regions that are reminiscent of evaporitic-type formations accompanied by secondary salt precipitation. The interdune regions also have weak spectral signatures consistent with a mixture of hydrated Ca and Mg sulfates and possibly hydrated Ca chlorides. These interdune regions in central to western Olympia Undae may be providing glimpses of the Planum Boreum basal unit below the dunes.

We are also investigating CRISM and HiRISE images bordering the Cavi region in order to gain insights into formation of the evaporitic-type salts under the Olympia Undae dunes. Surface materials at the Cavi region are hydrated but exhibit spectral properties different from those of gypsum and bassanite. Instead, spectra of dunes and regolith at the Cavi region have features similar to the spectra of hydrated ferric sulfates and perchlorates. Some hydrated chlorides may also be present. Ice and ice-regolith mixtures are also observed there.

MOLA maps reveal a lower elevation in eastern Olympia Undae where the gypsum is strongest. Thus, if more water pooled here at the time of alteration of the basal unit, then more gypsum may have formed in this depression. This area also contains the highest abundance of bright gypsum-bearing ripples, suggesting wind reworking of bright polygonal surfaces as a mechanism for extracting gypsum from the basal unit. Additionally, wind patterns from east to west could be spreading gypsum westward and at the same time dehydrating the gypsum. Additionally, frost is frequently observed on the dunes and interdune regions in winter and spring and could be altering the mineralogy and morphology.

How to cite: Bishop, J. L., Gruendler, M. R. D., Itoh, Y., Yanez, K. L., Parente, M., Szynkiewicz, A., Fenton, L. K., Saranathan, A. M., Zuschneid, W., Gross, C., and Gibson, T.: Advances in the Mineralogy and Potential Formation Processes of Sulfates and Cl-Salts in the North Polar Dunes at Olympia Undae on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14981, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14981, 2026.

EGU26-14982 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Perseverance-Exposed Broken Rock Interiors and Subsurface Regolith in Jezero Crater, Mars. 

Grady Robbins, Jim Bell, Jeff Johnson, Melissa Rice, and Olivier Gasnault

From the first 1700+ sols and over 40 km of total odometry of the NASA Mars 2020 mission’s Perseverance Rover traverse, many Mastcam-Z observations exist for rocks that have been scuffed/broken by the rover wheels. Broken/scuffed rock surfaces provide clearer insight into rock interior mineralogies compared to natural surfaces, which are often further eroded or covered with a layer of dust that can mask many spectroscopic signatures (Rice et al., JGR–P, 128, 2023). Broken surfaces provide a look into the deeper interiors of rocks compared to abrasion patches, and could reveal mineral heterogeneity of the whole rock for cleaved massive rock types. In addition to broken rocks, we are investigating subsurface regolith overturned by Perseverance’s wheels via Mastcam-Z and SuperCam. Disturbed regolith in particular provides an opportunity to investigate material that contains significantly less airfall dust and could have undergone less recent transport than the surface layer from saltation creep (e.g., Sullivan & Kok, JGR–P, 122, 2017), allowing more reliable investigations into long-term historical sediment sources.

Here, we present a Mastcam-Z multispectral analysis of multiple cleaved rock interiors and crushed rocks spanning Jezero crater floor to the crater rim. We compare broken rock interiors with dusty surfaces and verify the effectiveness of previous studies in creating a ‘dust metric’ to evaluate the extensiveness of Martian dust on a surface using Mastcam-Z. Within a potential crater rim impact ejecta ‘megablock’ observed from mission Sol 1624, we identify differing mineral classes, some of which are consistent with laboratory spectra of serpentinized minerals. We also observe mineral heterogeneity on the cm- to dm-scale within this megablock. Many rock interior multispectral observations across the rover traverse are consistent with low-calcium pyroxene spectral signatures based on band ratio metrics and laboratory comparisons, with some crushed rocks (e.g., Sol 1238 in the crater rim) showing a strong agreement with crystalline iron oxide lab spectra, suggesting regional alteration. These interpretations reflect local rock units where observations occurred, and provide supportive results for inferring the origin and evolution of rock units throughout Jezero crater.

How to cite: Robbins, G., Bell, J., Johnson, J., Rice, M., and Gasnault, O.: Perseverance-Exposed Broken Rock Interiors and Subsurface Regolith in Jezero Crater, Mars., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14982, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14982, 2026.

Recent remote sensing studies of Mars have revealed an exceptionally large (~4,000 km diameter) regional domal uplift in the Eastern hemisphere near Elysium Planitia, which is hypothesized to be supported by an actively upwelling giant mantle plume. Given its size, that plume head appears to be nearly three times larger than the Afar superplume on Earth, despite Mars' small size (i.e., Mars’ diameter is smaller than Earth’s core). The Elysium dome is intersected by a rift zone through which very young lavas (~2 Myrs to ~60 Kyrs old) erupted in large volumes and traveled long distances, indicating that the dome is an active geodynamic feature. Another recent discovery about Mars, based on data from NASA’s InSight lander, is an exceptionally thick (~400 km) Mantle Transition Zone (MTZ) located 1100 km below the surface, in direct contact with the core at a depth of ~1500 km. Therefore, Mars likely lacks a refractory and dense lower mantle, unlike Earth. This suggests that the 400 km thick Martian MTZ is the only zone from which mantle plumes can originate.

Along with majorite and pyroxenes, the MTZ contains wadsleyite and ringwoodite (i.e., high-pressure polymorphs of olivine), which have unique crystallographic and compositional features because their crystal structures can potentially trap water up to 2 to 3 wt.% and halogens, as well as some noble gases (e.g., neon). Although present in small amounts, these volatile elements may impart unusual flow properties to the MTZ by significantly reducing its viscosity and density, promoting upwelling. Once a part of the Martian MTZ begins to upwell, it is theoretically subjected to mineral phase transformations: ringwoodite and wadsleyite convert into wet olivine at depths shallower than about 1000 km, and wet olivine transforms into two hydrous minerals—amphibole and phlogopite—which are stable at pressures shallower than approximately 300 km in Mars.

Petrological evaluation of meteorite and Rover data compiled from the literature in this study indicates the presence of amphibole and phlogopite in the source of nearly half of Martian lavas, thereby confirming theoretical considerations presented above. Results from petrological melting models in this study indicate that primitive Martian lavas may have formed through the mixing of magmas with contrasting compositions from two sources: (i) a depleted mantle, possibly representing plume material from the MTZ, and (ii) a metasomatized lithosphere highly enriched in incompatible elements. Both sources contain hydrous minerals such as phlogopite and amphibole, as well as anhydrous minerals like olivine, pyroxenes, garnet, and spinel. These findings suggest the volatile-rich nature of this small planet's mantle. The higher halogen levels in Martian lavas relative to terrestrial lavas support this interpretation. In summary, the rheological, mineralogical, and compositional characteristics of the Martian mantle explain why plumes rising within Mars’ mantle are rich in volatiles and why they can grow much larger than those on Earth, disproportionate to Mars’ size. Based on these findings, this study proposes that Martian mega-mantle plumes may be low-viscosity, hydrous upwellings originating from its MTZ, driven by heat from the underlying core, which increases their fluidity.

How to cite: Keskin, M.: Insights into the Martian Interior: Geochemical Constraints on Mantle Dynamics and Magma Source Compositions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15132, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15132, 2026.

EGU26-15557 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Mastcam-Z Spectrophotometric Properties of Materials at the Van Zyl Overlook, Jezero Crater, Mars 

Bianca Margara, Jeff Johnson, Alex Hayes, Mark Lemmon, Will Grundy, Jim Bell, and Megan Barrington

Multispectral imaging from the Mars 2020 Perseverance rover provides key constraints on how dust cover and small-scale surface texture influence the photometric behavior of Martian materials. During Sols 63–65, the Mastcam-Z camera acquired multispectral stereo mosaics from Van Zyl Overlook in Jezero crater at five wavelengths between 442 and 1022 nm. These observations span phase angles from near opposition to ~150°, allowing detailed characterization of surface scattering properties across a diverse set of geological units near the landing site.

Radiance and reflectance products were derived using onboard calibration targets. Stereo disparity maps were used to compute incidence, emission, and phase angles at the pixel scale and to incorporate topographic information into the analysis. Regions of interest were selected for seven surface units, including dark and dusty soils, regolith, dust-poor “blue” rocks, dustier “red” rocks, intermediate-toned rocks, and rover wheel tracks. Hapke photometric models employing both one-term and two-term Henyey–Greenstein phase functions were applied to retrieve single-scattering albedo, macroscopic roughness, and phase-function parameters describing the angular distribution of scattered light.

The modeling results show that rocks and soils at Van Zyl Overlook are variably modified by differences in dust coverage and surface texture. Blue rocks are consistently the darkest and most strongly backscattering units across wavelengths, with relatively low single-scattering albedos (w ≈ 0.30–0.40), consistent with minimally dust-coated, rough surfaces. Red rocks are brighter, less backscattering, and exhibit trends toward more forward scattering, particularly at shorter wavelengths, with w values approaching ~0.8 at longer wavelengths. Their photometric behavior, together with their visual appearance, is consistent with relatively thick dust mantles that brighten and smooth the surface at small scales. Intermediate rocks follow the scattering behavior of blue rocks but at slightly higher albedo, suggesting similar substrates with modest additional dust contributions.

Regolith and soils span a continuum of scattering behaviors that broadly track their spectral appearance. Regolith tends to be more backscattering, while red soils show more forward-scattering trends, with blue soils occupying an intermediate regime. Rover wheel tracks represent the most atypical unit: despite relatively flat bidirectional reflectance curves, two-term phase-function solutions indicate backscattering trends. Tracks also exhibit the lowest macroscopic roughness values among all units, consistent with surface compaction and smoothing caused by wheel interaction. This behavior differs from some previous rover track observations, suggesting that wheel-induced modification of porosity or grain arrangement may vary between sites.

Overall, variations in single-scattering albedo, phase-function shape, and macroscopic roughness indicate that dust cover and small-scale surface texture play key roles in controlling photometric differences at Jezero crater. While the observed trends are broadly consistent with early Gale crater results, contrasts with Mars Exploration Rover findings highlight the influence of local surface conditions. Extending similar analyses to additional Mars 2020 and Mars Science Laboratory observations will help further isolate the roles of dust, texture, and physical modification in shaping Martian surface scattering properties.

How to cite: Margara, B., Johnson, J., Hayes, A., Lemmon, M., Grundy, W., Bell, J., and Barrington, M.: Mastcam-Z Spectrophotometric Properties of Materials at the Van Zyl Overlook, Jezero Crater, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15557, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15557, 2026.

EGU26-15625 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Beyond Brines: Iron-Based Ionic Liquids as Persistent Non-Aqueous Solvents on Mars 

Iaroslav Iakubivskyi, Sara Seager, and Janusz Pętkowski

Perchlorate and chloride brines, while capable of transient liquid stability on Mars, rapidly lose their aqueous component under Martian pressure. Ionic liquids' negligible vapor pressures enable indefinite persistence, and they function without water activity constraints or chaotropic stress. Here we present the novel concept of iron-based ionic liquids as a complementary class of Mars-relevant solvent systems.

We synthesized iron-based imidazolium ionic liquids and we showed that (i) month-long exposure to simulated Mars surface conditions (600 Pa, CO₂) produces negligible mass loss (<0.1%), and (ii) they exhibit glass transitions near −65°C, bulk melting points of 7–19°C, and thermal stability exceeding 300°C. Notably, both CO₂ dissolution and confinement within nanoporous matrices, conditions directly relevant to Mars, are known to substantially depress melting points in imidazolium-based ionic liquids. We will present results from ongoing experiments examining how these factors influence the phase behavior of our iron-based compounds, with implications for their liquid stability range under Martian surface conditions. We performed Raman spectroscopy at 532 nm and confirmed tetrahedral iron-halide anion formation. Based on Raman data, we established diagnostic fingerprints for in situ detection.

The geochemical precursors required for iron-based ionic liquid formation (i.e., iron oxides, chlorides, bromides, sulfates, and organic molecules including chloromethane) have all been detected on Mars. Whether iron-based ionic liquids can support biochemical processes or preserve biosignatures remains unexplored, but their capacity for solvating polar molecules, negligible volatility, and potentially extended liquid range under Mars-relevant conditions motivate systematic investigation. We propose that ionic liquids represent an underexplored component of Mars solvent chemistry detectable by current instrumentation (i.e., SuperCam instrument aboard Perseverance).

How to cite: Iakubivskyi, I., Seager, S., and Pętkowski, J.: Beyond Brines: Iron-Based Ionic Liquids as Persistent Non-Aqueous Solvents on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15625, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15625, 2026.

The present study employs self-consistent three-dimensional global hybrid simulations of Mars–solar wind interactions to investigate how intrinsic magnetic fields regulate the escape of planetary ions with different masses, with escaping ion trajectories traced. Present-day Martian crustal magnetic fields modify ionospheric ion escape primarily by restructuring local electric and magnetic field configurations. First, they alter the magnetic topology (closed, open, or draped), inclination and intensity of magnetic field lines, thereby increasing local ion density and facilitating outward transport along open field channels. Second, they reduce the radial component of the local electric field, which directly influences ion acceleration.

The combined effects preferentially enhance the escape of heavy oxygen ions while suppressing the escape of light hydrogen ions, mainly because light ions are more effectively trapped within strong closed crustal magnetic loops. Finally, we extend our investigation to ancient Mars conditions and compare how intrinsic magnetic fields in early and present epochs differently regulate planetary ion escape, providing insight into the long-term evolution of the Martian atmosphere.

How to cite: Zhou, J., Su, Z., and Liu, K.: Hybrid Simulations of the Intrinsic Magnetic Fields Effect on Planetary Oxygen and Hydrogen Ion Escape at Mars: Ancient-to-Present Evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16831, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16831, 2026.

EGU26-17268 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

Mapping Stepped Scalloped Terrain in the Utopia Planitia at Meter Scale: Implications for Amazonian Climate and Habitability of the Mars 

Miaosen Xia, Jiannan Zhao, Yiran Wang, Yuan Zhao, and Long Xiao

Surface and subsurface ice in the mid-latitudes of Mars is a vital water reservoir, and its distribution and volume are controlled by obliquity-driven climate change. Periglacial landforms, formed in areas where ice thaws on a seasonal timescale, can indicate the distribution and evolution of ice on Mars. Among these landforms, scalloped depressions, which are characterized by rimless, shallow depressions with asymmetric shape, have attracted high attention owing to their thermokarst-like origin and asymmetric morphology.  This study mapped scalloped terrain in the Martian northern lowlands at meter scale and explored its implications for Amazonian climate and habitability. We used CTX mosaics to generate a meter-scale map of scalloped terrain, and found that scalloped depressions are mainly distributed in the Utopia Planitia. These depressions in Utopia Planitia exhibit unique stepped lineae within the depressions compared to those in the southern hemisphere.  Detailed geological investigation of 926 large depressions (>20 km²) revealed that 218 contain stepped lineae, forming staircase profiles that point to multiple episodes of equatorward degradation. Bisides, expanded craters with thermokarst modifications were also observed, providing another trigger for the formation of scalloped depressions and supporting sublimation-driven ice degradation. These landforms are sensitive records of recent high-obliquity events on Mars and provide crucial clues to the planet’s climatic changes, water resource distribution, and potential habitability during the Amazonian period.

How to cite: Xia, M., Zhao, J., Wang, Y., Zhao, Y., and Xiao, L.: Mapping Stepped Scalloped Terrain in the Utopia Planitia at Meter Scale: Implications for Amazonian Climate and Habitability of the Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17268, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17268, 2026.

EGU26-17330 | Orals | PS1.5

Clay-rich deposits at Oxia Planum: from orbital spectroscopic evidence to their geology 

Francesca Altieri, Monica Rasmussen, Jeremy Brossier, Alessandro Frigeri, Janko Trisic Ponce, M. Cristina De Sanctis, Enrico Bruschini, Simone De Angelis, Marco Ferrari, Michelangelo Formisano, Lorenzo Rossi, and Eleonora Ammannito

Oxia Planum, the landing site of the Rosalind Franklin Mission (RFM), is located between the ancient highlands of Arabia Terra and the younger plains of Chryse Planitia [1]. The region preserves clear evidence of past water-rock interactions, particularly layered clay-rich deposits that are considered prime targets for astrobiological investigation [2, 3]. This study focuses on a selection of Regions of Interest (ROIs), areas with the highest concentrations of ferromagnesian clays as identified through remote sensing analyses. We derive local digital terrain models from stereo photogrammetry and quantify horizontal and vertical accuracy [4], a key requirement for interpreting water-related processes and stratigraphic relationships in the low-relief Oxia Planum. Our objective is to examine how clay distribution relates to other geologic elements, in particular fractures [5, 6],  to better constrain their geologic interpretation and stratigraphic context [7], contributing to strategies for guiding the selection of drilling sites once the rover arrives on Mars.

 

This work is funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) [Grant ASI-INAF n. 2023–3–HH.0].

 References: [1] Quantin-Nataf et al. (2021) Astrobiology 21, 345–366. [2] Mandon et al. (2021) Astrobiology 21, 464–480. [3] Brossier et al. (2022) Icarus 386, 115114. [4] Trisic Ponce et al. (2026), this conference. [5] Apuzzo et al. (2025) PSS 267, 106169. [6] Rasmussen et al. (2026), this conference. [7] Fawdon et al. (2024) Journal of Maps 20, 2302361. 

How to cite: Altieri, F., Rasmussen, M., Brossier, J., Frigeri, A., Trisic Ponce, J., De Sanctis, M. C., Bruschini, E., De Angelis, S., Ferrari, M., Formisano, M., Rossi, L., and Ammannito, E.: Clay-rich deposits at Oxia Planum: from orbital spectroscopic evidence to their geology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17330, 2026.

EGU26-18187 | Posters on site | PS1.5

A multi-mission climatology of gravity waves in the Martian mesosphere and thermosphere 

Lori Neary, Loïc Trompet, Ekaterina Starichenko, Sumedha Gupta, Denis Belyaev, Edward Thiemann, and Frank Daerden

Gravity waves in the Martian atmosphere are generated by wind flow over topography, convection or shear instabilities. They propagate upward, transporting momentum and energy from the lower atmosphere into the mesosphere and thermosphere. While the waves are relatively small, ranging in wavelength from tens to hundreds of kilometres, their impact through thermal and dynamical forcing on the climate can be quite large.

The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission started operations in 2014 and was joined in orbit by the ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter (TGO) in 2018. Together, they have been observing the Martian atmosphere contemporaneously, allowing for an unprecedented opportunity to produce a global view of gravity wave activity over several Mars years.

For this work, we use temperatures derived from the Nadir Occultation for MArs Discovery (NOMAD) Solar Occultation (SO) channel (Trompet et al., 2023), the Middle IR (MIR) channel of the Atmospheric Chemistry Suite (ACS) experiment (Belyaev et al., 2022), both onboard TGO, along with temperature retrievals from stellar occultation measurements from the Imaging UltraViolet Spectrograph (IUVS) (Gupta et al., 2022) on the MAVEN spacecraft.

The NOMAD/SO and ACS/MIR observations are performed using solar occultation, so they are limited in local time to the morning and evening terminators, with the majority of observations taking place around mid-latitudes (between 50-75° N/S) due to the orbit of TGO. The addition to the study of stellar occultation observations from MAVEN/IUVS fills in some of the gaps in terms of local time and latitude. Figure 1 provides a comparison of coverage by the three instruments in terms of Mars years, season, latitude and local time.

In altitude, the ACS/MIR profiles range from ~20 km to 150 km. For NOMAD, we use two different wavelength regions (diffraction orders 132 and 148) to view the atmosphere from ~20 km to 100 km. The MAVEN/IUVS stellar occultations provide temperature profiles between ~100 km to 150 km. This provides some overlap between the three instruments to compare temperature profiles, their perturbations and potential gravity wave activity.

We build on the work of Starichenko et al. (2021; 2024; 2025),who performed an analysis of gravity waves using ACS observations.

Figure 1: Data coverage for the three instruments used in this study, number of profiles per Mars Year (top left), Solar Longitude (top right), latitude (bottom left), and local time (bottom right). ACS/MIR profiles in blue, IUVS/stellar occultation in orange, and NOMAD in green.

References :

Belyaev et al. (2022), JGR: Planets, 127 (10), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JE007286

Gupta et al. (2022), JGR: Planets, 127 (11), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JE007534

Trompet et al. (2023), JGR: Planets, 128 (3), https://doi. org/10.1029/2022JE007277

Starichenko et al. (2021), JGR: Planets, 126 (8), https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JE006899

Starichenko et al. (2024), A&A, 683, A206, https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202348685

Starichenko et al. (2025), Front. Astron. Space Sci., 12:1672283, https://doi.org/10.3389/fspas.2025.1672283

How to cite: Neary, L., Trompet, L., Starichenko, E., Gupta, S., Belyaev, D., Thiemann, E., and Daerden, F.: A multi-mission climatology of gravity waves in the Martian mesosphere and thermosphere, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18187, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18187, 2026.

EGU26-18403 | Orals | PS1.5

Gravity-rate signature of mantle flow on Mars 

Riva Alkahal, Bart Root, Cedric Thieulot, Dominc Dirkx, Sam Fayolle, and Sander Goossens

Recent Mars orbiters and landers have yielded valuable insights into the planet’s surface and interior. Radio tracking of Mars Global Surveyor, Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, and Mars Odyssey has provided detailed knowledge on Mars’ gravity field, revealing subsurface structure in the crust and mantle. Seismic observations from the InSight mission indicate that marsquakes occur more frequently than previously expected, implying ongoing interior activity. InSight data also constrain the viscosity and density structure of the interior. New interpretations of the static gravity field and seismic observations suggest large negative mass anomalies in the mantle that may be associated with a mantle plume beneath the Tharsis Rise or Elysium Region.

In this study, we investigate whether mantle flow related to such a plume produces a detectable gravity-rate signal. Using currently available viscosity and density models of Mars’ interior, we perform a parameter search over plume depth, radius, thickness, and viscosity and density contrasts relative to the surrounding mantle. For each configuration, we compute the induced long-term gravity field variations and compare them with observed static and time-varying gravity models and surface topography. We use a fast axi-symmetric Stokes mantle flow code, coupled with a Spherical Harmonics code (GSH package) that can model 3D density distributions.

Plumes with low viscosity (1021 Pa s), deeper presence (1300 km), and high-density contrast with the surrounding mantle (-150 kg/m3) provide the highest gravity anomaly rate (of around 20 nGal/year). Furthermore, we see that smaller mass anomalies can in certain circumstances produce stronger gravity-rate signals than large anomalies. This is contrary to the static geoid signals. Our results assess the detectability of active mantle flow with present-day data and place constraints on the physical properties of possible Martian mantle plumes. These findings provide new insight into the thermal and geodynamic evolution of Mars and other terrestrial planets.

How to cite: Alkahal, R., Root, B., Thieulot, C., Dirkx, D., Fayolle, S., and Goossens, S.: Gravity-rate signature of mantle flow on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18403, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18403, 2026.

EGU26-18589 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

 Modelling and Parameter Optimization for Balloon Missions on Mars  

Felix Nöding, Ramona Ziese, and Jürgen Oberst

In our studies, we deal with the numerical modelling of the trajectories of planetary balloons on Mars and the optimisation of the balloon parameters using different machine learning approaches. The balloon’s horizontal and vertical motion is computed by solving a system of differential equations (Palumbo, 2008) numerically. In an earlier study (Nöding et al., 2025), we used atmospheric data (temperature, wind speed) from the Mars Climate Database (Millour et al., 2022) and computed the balloon’s path for several starting points and start dates. In our current studies, two types of balloons, zero-pressure and super-pressure balloons, are tested with different envelope materials, carrier gases, and payload configurations. We use atmospheric data provided by two different data sets, the Mars Climate Database and EMARS (Greybush et al., 2019). Our aim is to model the balloon’s properties and dynamic behaviour as physically accurately as possible.  We discuss the permeability of the balloon envelope, the effects of temperature fluctuations on the carrier gas, the air resistance of the balloon and different payload masses. Moreover, we work on optimising those parameters for various missions by using different machine learning approaches.

References:

Greybush, S. J., Kalnay, E., Wilson, R. J. et al. (2019). The ensemble Mars atmosphere reanalysis system (EMARS) version 1.0. Geoscience Data Journal, 6(2), 137-150. https://doi.org/10.18113/D3W375

Millour, E., Forget, F., Spiga et al. & MCD Team. (2022, September 23). The Mars Climate Database (Version 6.1). https://doi.org/10.5194/epsc2022-786

Nöding, F., Ziese, R., & Oberst, J. (2025, März 18). Analysis of Balloon Missions and Flight Trajectories on Mars.
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu25-17677

Palumbo, R. (2008). A simulation model for trajectory forecast, performance analysis and aerospace mission planning with high altitude zero pressure balloons [Doctoral dissertation, Università Degli Studi di Napoli]. https://doi.org/10.6092/UNINA/FEDOA/1839

How to cite: Nöding, F., Ziese, R., and Oberst, J.:  Modelling and Parameter Optimization for Balloon Missions on Mars , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18589, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18589, 2026.

EGU26-18692 | Posters on site | PS1.5

CO2 density and temperature derived from NOMAD/TGO in the upper thermosphere of Mars 

Loïc Trompet, Lori Neary, Ian Thomas, Arnaud Mahieux, Séverine Robert, Shohei Aoki, Adrián Brines, Miguel Ángel López-Valverde, Manish Patel, Giancarlo Bellucci, and Ann Carine Vandaele

The SO channel of the NOMAD instrument on board ESA’s Trace Gas Orbiter (TGO) has a spectral range extending from 2.2 to 4.2 µm (2400 cm-1 to 4600 cm-1). By solar occultation, the intense ν13 band of CO2 (around 2.7 µm or 3710 cm-1) is suitable for deriving CO2 density and temperature in the upper thermosphere of Mars at altitudes around 140 to 190 km. The lower altitude limit is due to the saturation of the CO2 molecular lines in that band. The retrieval algorithm is identical to the one described in Trompet et al. (2023) and relies on the calibration method outlined in Liuzzi et al. (2019), which was further improved in Villanueva et al. (2022). The CO2 density profiles are regularized using a Tikhonov method, and the temperature profiles are derived assuming hydrostatic equilibrium. A total of 5700 profiles were derived from April 21, 2018 (MY 34, LS 163°) to June 30, 2025 (MY 38, LS 104°).

Datasets of the Martian upper thermosphere at the terminator are rather sparse, being limited to observations from the Extreme UV monitor (EUVM - Thiemann et al., 2018) on board NASA’s MAVEN orbiter and the MIR channel of the Atmospheric Chemistry Suite (ACS-Belyaev et al., 2022) also on board TGO, which uses the same CO2 band at 2.7 µm. Despite this limited coverage, some collocated profiles suitable for comparisons are found amongst the datasets of EUVM, ACS-MIR, and NOMAD-SO.

Kumar et al. (2024) already derived characteristics of thermal tides for six sets of EUVM measurements. However, extending those measurements helps to confirm those characteristics and infer further information on thermal tides through comparison with the Mars Climate Database (MCD - Gonzalez-Galindo et al., 2015). The tides simulated by the MCD are in good agreement with those derived from TGO and MAVEN, with a still weaker amplitude likely due to the averaging performed within the MCD dataset. The datasets of both EUVM and NOMAD show the presence of a thermospheric polar warming at aphelion (Thiemann et al., 2024). In addition, the averaged profiles of NOMAD are compared to those of the Venus thermosphere derived from the SOIR instrument (Mahieux et al., 2023).

References:

Belyaev et al. (2022), JGR: Planets, 127 (10), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JE007286

Gonzalez-Galindo et al. (2015), 120 (11), https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JE004925

Kumar et al. (2024), JGR: Planets, 129 (4), https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JE007887

Liuzzi et al. (2019), Icarus (321), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2018.09.021

Mahieux et al. (2023), Icarus, 405, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2023.115713

Thiemann et al. (2018), JGR: Planets, 123 (9), https://doi.org/10.1029/ 2018JE005550

Thiemann et al. (2024), GRL, 51 (5), https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107140

Trompet et al. (2023), JGR: Planets, 128 (3), https://doi. org/10.1029/2022JE007277

Villanueva et al. (2022), JRL, 49 (12), https://doi. org/10.1029/2022GL098161

How to cite: Trompet, L., Neary, L., Thomas, I., Mahieux, A., Robert, S., Aoki, S., Brines, A., López-Valverde, M. Á., Patel, M., Bellucci, G., and Vandaele, A. C.: CO2 density and temperature derived from NOMAD/TGO in the upper thermosphere of Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18692, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18692, 2026.

EGU26-18786 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Modelling the Variation of HCl in the Martian Atmosphere 

Bethan Gregory, Kevin Olsen, Ehouarn Millour, Megan Brown, Paul Streeter, Kylash Rajendran, and Manish Patel

The ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter (TGO) has characterised trace gases in the Martian atmosphere over several Mars years, improving the accuracy of species concentration measurements and observing temporal, vertical and spatial variations. Hydrogen chloride—detected for the first time with TGO [1,2]—has been investigated recently using the mid-infrared channel on the Atmospheric Chemistry Suite (ACS MIR). HCl observations show a strong seasonal variation, with almost all of the detections occurring during the latter half of the year (solar longitudes 180-360°) in the dusty season, when water vapour is present in the Martian atmosphere and ozone concentrations are low. Chlorine-bearing species such as HCl are important to understand in Mars’ atmosphere because on Earth they are involved in numerous processes throughout the planetary system, including volcanism, and they play a key role in atmospheric chemistry, e.g., by influencing concentrations of oxidative species such as oxygen (O2) and ozone (O3).

Here, we use the Mars Planetary Climate Model—a 3-D global climate model that includes a photochemical network—to explore the atmospheric HCl observations. We build on existing chlorine photochemical networks [3,4] to investigate potential source and sink mechanisms, focusing in particular on heterogeneous chemistry involving ice aerosols, and exploring the possibility of its role in direct release of HCl to the atmosphere. We also explore how chlorine species are affected indirectly by changes in the abundances of oxidative species (e.g., OH and HO2,and by extension, O and O3),driven by heterogeneous chemistry. Understanding the role of oxidative chemistry on HCl and other trace gases is key to achieving a more complete picture of processes occurring in the present-day Mars atmosphere, as well as processes that have shaped its evolution and habitability.

[1] Korablev O. I. et al. (2021). Sci. Adv., 7, eabe4386. [2] Olsen K. S. et al. (2021). Astron. Astrophys., 647, A161. [3] Rajendran, K. et al. (2025). JGR: Planets 130(3), p.e2024JE008537. [4] Streeter, P. M. et al. (2025). GRL 52(6), p.e2024GL111059.

How to cite: Gregory, B., Olsen, K., Millour, E., Brown, M., Streeter, P., Rajendran, K., and Patel, M.: Modelling the Variation of HCl in the Martian Atmosphere, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18786, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18786, 2026.

EGU26-18861 | ECS | Posters on site | PS1.5

σ4Mars, a new fast radiative transfer code for the analysis of the Martian atmosphere 

Lorenzo Buriola, Enzo Papandrea, Tiziano Maestri, and Giuliano Liuzzi

In the framework of the project “Earth Moon Mars” (EMM), we present a novel forward model designed for the fast and accurate production of Martian radiance spectra in the longwave infrared region (100-3000 cm-1) under nadir geometry. Building upon the flexibility and capabilities of the recently developed forward model σ-FORUM (also referred to as σ-IASI/F2N), this project seeks to extend its application, by now limited to Earth study, to the Martian atmosphere. The new model, σ4Mars, generates high-resolution spectra (with a default spectral resolution of 10-2 cm-1) while maintaining computational efficiency through the use of precomputed lookup tables for the computation of gas and clouds/aerosol optical depths. Multiple scattering effects are treated using scaling methods, specifically the Chou scaling approximation and the Chou adjustment (Tang correction). In addition, the code allows the computation of fast analytical derivatives of the radiance with respect to atmospheric and cloud properties, thus being suitable for the application in fast retrieval of spectrally resolved infrared observations.

We present the choices made for the parametrization of the optical depths tailored to Martian atmosphere conditions. Gas optical depths parametrizations are obtained employing the Planetary Spectrum Generator (PSG) line-by-line radiative transfer suite by NASA, using HITRAN2020 as spectroscopic database for line parameters and the Martian Climate Database version 5.3 as atmospheric database. Clouds and aerosol optical depths are parametrized as a function of the particle size distribution effective radii. The performance of the model has been evaluated using PSG as reference code by comparing gas transmittances and high-resolution radiance spectra. Preliminary tests were conducted to compare the forward model results with observed spectral radiances from the ACS TIRVIM instrument on board the ExoMars TGO, and from EMIRS on board the Emirate Mars Mission.

Part of the research activities described in this paper were carried out with contribution of the Next Generation EU funds within the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR), Mission 4 - Education and Research, Component 2 - From Research to Business (M4C2), Investment Line 3.1 - Strengthening and creation of Research Infrastructures, Project IR0000038 – “Earth Moon Mars (EMM)”. EMM is led by INAF in partnership with ASI and CNR.

How to cite: Buriola, L., Papandrea, E., Maestri, T., and Liuzzi, G.: σ4Mars, a new fast radiative transfer code for the analysis of the Martian atmosphere, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18861, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18861, 2026.

EGU26-19032 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Martian CO2 cloud formation as observed by MCS  

Ananya Krishnan and Özgür Karatekin

The presence of carbon dioxide (CO₂) clouds in the Martian atmosphere requires extremely low temperatures for their formation. These clouds were first observed at low altitudes during the polar night. Subsequent observations identified similar clouds at higher altitudes near the equator, especially during spring and summer [1]. Further evidence has shown their occurrence at northern mid-latitudes and in the southern hemisphere during late autumn. Unlike water vapour clouds, which form from a minor atmospheric component, CO₂ clouds are composed of a major atmospheric constituent. The polar CO₂ clouds are convective in nature. Data from multiple missions indicate that the temperature profiles in the polar regions often align with the CO₂ saturation curve up to 30 km, implying that CO₂ condensation helps regulate these temperatures. Significant cloud opacity between 0 and 25 km altitude also supports the presence of CO₂ clouds.

Figure 1: Formation of CO2 clouds in the Martian atmosphere [2].

Data from the Pathfinder mission indicate that CO₂ exceeded saturation levels during equatorial descent phases at altitudes near 80 km, implying that CO₂ cloud formation in equatorial regions may occur at significantly higher altitudes compared to polar regions [3]. The genesis of these high-altitude equatorial CO₂ clouds is modulated by conditions in the Martian mesosphere. Notably, mesospheric temperatures can drop well below the CO₂ condensation threshold, particularly near aphelion, when diurnal atmospheric tides promote additional cooling conducive to cloud formation. Furthermore, high-altitude CO₂ cloud formations were detected at solar longitudes between 264° and 330°, located above 90 km in altitude [4]. These clouds exhibit limited horizontal extent, spanning approximately 500 to 700 km.

In this study, we investigate the formation and persistence of Martian CO2 clouds during the Northern Hemisphere winter and dust season. Open – access observations from the Mars Climate Sounder (MCS) on board the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) are used to identify atmospheric cloud occurrences. In addition, inter-annual variability is analysed to assess the influence of dust storms on CO2 cloud formation.

Figure 2: Examples of MCS temperature profiles (blue) with the CO2 saturation curve [5].

References:

[1] Määttänen A. et al. (2010), Icarus, 209(2) :452–469.

[2] Mars Climate Modeling Center. GCM overview: Lecture, November 2021.

[3] Schofield J. T. et al. (1997), Science, 278(5344) :1752–1758.

[4] Jiang F. Y. et al. (2019), GRL, 46(14) :7962–7971.

[5] Mathilde V. (2024), Master Thesis, Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium.

How to cite: Krishnan, A. and Karatekin, Ö.: Martian CO2 cloud formation as observed by MCS , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19032, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19032, 2026.

EGU26-19483 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

Oscillations in the Composition and Oxidizing Capacity of the Martian Atmosphere Driven by Obliquity Variations 

Yangcheng Luo, Franck Lefèvre, and François Forget

Owing to gravitational perturbations from the giant planets, the absence of a large stabilizing moon, and its non-spherical shape, Mars could have experienced large obliquity variations over its history. Numerical simulations suggest that over the past 10 Myr, Mars’s obliquity has spanned a range of ~30°, varying between ~15° and ~45°, with the long-term mean shifting from ~35° to ~25° around 5 Myr ago and superimposed rapid oscillations of up to ~20° on ~100-kyr timescales.

High obliquity increases polar insolation, accelerating the sublimation of surface ice and thereby raising atmospheric water vapor, whereas low obliquity favors cold trapping at the poles and a much drier atmosphere. Because the photolysis products of water vapor act as key catalysts in Martian photochemistry, variations in Mars’s obliquity can strongly influence atmospheric chemistry by modulating the atmospheric water content.

We use a fully coupled 3D photochemistry–radiation–dynamics model, the Mars Planetary Climate Model (PCM), to test this hypothesis and to quantify how Martian atmospheric composition and chemistry respond to obliquity variations over the recent past. A key strength of this class of models is its ability to self-consistently simulate the spatiotemporal distribution of atmospheric water vapor through polar sublimation–condensation and 3D atmospheric transport, as well as the atmospheric CO2 abundance through the seasonal exchange of CO2 with the polar caps.

We first evaluate the capability of the model to reproduce the present-day composition of the Martian atmosphere. One-dimensional photochemical models underestimated CO by up to ~85%, a discrepancy that has persisted for more than three decades. The Mars PCM reproduces a much more realistic CO abundance, yielding a global annual mean of ~750 ppmv, close to observed values of 800–960 ppmv. We find that tuning key reaction rates or including heterogeneous chemistry on airborne dust particles can further improve agreement with observations. However, the model simultaneously predicts H2 abundances more than an order of magnitude higher than observed, transforming the long-standing CO deficit problem into an H2 surplus problem.

We then simulate the Martian atmosphere across obliquities from 5° to 45°. The results confirm the expected obliquity control on atmospheric water vapor. Near the present-day obliquity, increasing obliquity—and hence atmospheric water vapor—enhances the production of OH, a photolytic product of water vapor and a key atmospheric oxidant, thereby increasing the oxidizing capacity of the atmosphere and reducing the abundance of reduced species such as CO.

At obliquities below ~15°, extremely low polar temperatures lead to the formation of a massive CO2 polar ice cap, substantially reducing the atmospheric CO2 column. The weakened UV shielding enhances H2O photolysis, resulting in a further decline in CO as obliquity decreases.

At high obliquity, rapid H2O photolysis increases odd-hydrogen radicals by orders of magnitude, but the abundance of H2O2, which is derived from odd-hydrogen radicals, remains relatively stable, only modestly higher than present-day levels. This limits the likelihood that extremely elevated H2O2 concentrations at high obliquity would have sterilized organic matter produced by ancient life at the surface or in the shallow subsurface.

How to cite: Luo, Y., Lefèvre, F., and Forget, F.: Oscillations in the Composition and Oxidizing Capacity of the Martian Atmosphere Driven by Obliquity Variations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19483, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19483, 2026.

EGU26-19523 | Posters on site | PS1.5

First Earth-based observations of the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC) on Mars 

Maximilian Teodorescu

We report on the first known ground-based observations of a relatively recently discovered feature on Mars: the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC). This is the longest such structure in the Solar System, and it was first reported in 2020 using spacecraft data (J. Hernández-Bernal et al.). It was also found in archive images from different space probes, but not detected in Earth based images.

During the 2020 Mars Opposition, we obtain ground-based data at the Institute of Space Science in Romania, using a 35 cm telescope. The images clearly show this feature during two different nights, and the evolution of the feature could be observed for several hours.

We present the results that include an analysis of the images using specialized software, including position on the Martian globe and measurements of the cloud structure.

 

  • Hernández-Bernal, A. Sánchez-Lavega, T. del Río-Gaztelurrutia, et al. (2020), JGR Planets, Volume126, 3, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JE007352.

How to cite: Teodorescu, M.: First Earth-based observations of the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC) on Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19523, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19523, 2026.

EGU26-20832 | Orals | PS1.5

Planet Four: Inter- and Intra-annual Variability of Dark Regolith on Ice Coverage at the Martian South Polar Region 

Michael Aye, Tom Ihro, Ganna Portyankina, Timothy Michaels, Megan E. Schwamb, and Candice J. Hansen
The seasonal deposition of dark regolith material on Mars' south polar ice cap through CO2 gas jet eruptions significantly influences the regional albedo and consequently affects the surface-atmosphere energy budget.
Understanding the spatial and temporal evolution of this dark material coverage is crucial for accurately modeling the thermal balance and sublimation dynamics of the polar regions during spring and summer seasons.
Previous studies have estimated a surface coverage of approximately 20%, and our Planet Four dataset allows us to update these estimates.

We present a comprehensive analysis of dark regolith coverage derived from HiRISE observations spanning six Mars-years (MY 28-33), utilizing citizen scientist classifications from the Planet Four project.
Our dataset comprises 463 HiRISE observations analyzed using tile-based statistical methods, revealing coverage fractions ranging from less than 1% to over 30%, with a mean coverage of 6.89% ± 6.13% across all observations.

The multi-year dataset enables both interannual comparisons, revealing year-to-year variations in coverage extent and distribution, and intra-annual analysis tracking the seasonal progression of regolith deposition throughout individual Mars-years.
By binning observations according to solar longitude that span a range of Ls = 160-340°, we characterize the temporal evolution of surface coverage as CO2 ice sublimation proceeds and jet activity deposits material onto the seasonal ice cap.
Our analysis reveals remarkable repeatability between different martian years, with interesting variations for MY 33.

The statistical characterization includes measures of coverage heterogeneity and homogeneity across observed tiles (i.e., HiRISE observation subframes that are identified as one Planet Four study tile).
Note that each of these HiRISE observations cover a surface area sufficiently large enough to observe a highly varying CO2 gas jet activity within many of the HiRISE images (so, across all subframe tiles for the whole image).
Our introduced measures for surface coverage homogeneity allows us to quantify if the coverage is more or less uniform across one large HiRISE observation or highly heterogeneous.
These differences reflect the complex interplay between jet eruption dynamics, local topography, and prevailing wind conditions during deposition.

We will show that this kind of analysis drastically benefits from improved image coregistration of existing datasets, as that would enable automated, large-scale surface change detection studies at the precise locations of individual eruption sites, facilitating detailed investigations of multi-year surface evolution and time-series analysis of the surface changes caused by the deposited regolith.

How to cite: Aye, M., Ihro, T., Portyankina, G., Michaels, T., Schwamb, M. E., and Hansen, C. J.: Planet Four: Inter- and Intra-annual Variability of Dark Regolith on Ice Coverage at the Martian South Polar Region, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20832, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20832, 2026.

EGU26-20861 | Posters on site | PS1.5

Mineralogical characterization of the Makgadikgadi Salt Pans in Botswana as a Martian analog for ancient lacustrine environments  

Katrin Stephan, Ernst Hauber, Jenna Meyers, Kristin Rammelkamp, Mickael Baque, Marco Baroni, Michael Fernandes, Fulvio Franchi, and Aobakwe J. Motlhasedi

The Makgadikgadi Salt Pans (MSPs) in northern Botswana offer to study the mineralogy of evaporates and clays derived from fluvio-lacustrine sediments in their geological context. A field campaign taking place in August 2022, funded by Europlanet 2024 RI (grant agreement No 871149) was performed to investigate variations in the mineralogical composition of the pan materials with respect to neighboring and/or underlying (bedrock) units. Spectral measurements were performed directly in the field with a portable spectroradiometer (PSR) that samples the surface in the visible and near-infrared (VNIR) wavelength range between 0.35 and 2.5µm. In addition to VNIR spectroscopy, samples collected in the field were analyzed in the laboratory using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) and Raman spectroscopy, a triple combination, which has proven to significantly enhance the scientific potential for studying the mineralogy of planetary analog materials (Stephan et al., 2025). Even more, VNIR spectra acquired in the field provide spectral endmembers, which are now used to classify the currently available data of the MSPs provided by the Environmental Mapping and Analysis Program (EnMAP) of the German hyperspectral satellite mission. EnMAP data cover the same wavelength range in the VNIR as the field instrument and covered major portions of the pans at the same seasonal period of the year.

The acquired spectral data reveal that salts dominate a more or less fresh, white to light brown, several mm-thick uppermost crust throughout the pans. They are particularly prominent where the salts themselves or at least the clays underneath this layer are still wet from the rainy season. The special shape of the water-related feature at 2 µm implies that sodium hydrogen carbonates such as trona dominate the salt layer. Although halite should be also present, its spectral signature might be masked by the signature of trona. In the wettest location, a thin greenish layer of organic material has been found, which causes a characteristic feature near 0.7 µm. In regions that have been dry for a prolonged period, clays such as montmorillonite dominate over salts. Bed rocks that are in direct contact with the pan deposits often show a distinct greenish color. Spectra of these rocks are dominated by glauconite (sometimes in combination with illite), which are known to develop as a consequence of slow sedimentation in a marine environment associated with low-oxygen conditions.

Intriguingly, lacustrine glauconitic clays could also be confirmed to exist in an ancient lake on Mars (Losa-Adams et al., 2021). Therefore, the collected spectra in combination with the knowledge of their geologic context will be extremely useful for identifying similar environments on Mars by spectrometers working in the visible-near infrared (VNIR) wavelength range (Mars Express OMEGA, MRO CRISM) and providing key parameters for characterizing aqueous Martian palaeoenvironments.

 

References:

Stephan et al. (2025). Multi-spectral field study of planetary analog material in extreme environments—alteration products of volcanic deposits of Vulcano/Italy. Earth and Space Science, 12, e2024EA004036. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EA004036.

Losa-Adams et al. Long-lasting habitable periods in Gale crater constrained by glauconitic clays. Nat Astron 5, 936–942 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-021-01397-x.

How to cite: Stephan, K., Hauber, E., Meyers, J., Rammelkamp, K., Baque, M., Baroni, M., Fernandes, M., Franchi, F., and Motlhasedi, A. J.: Mineralogical characterization of the Makgadikgadi Salt Pans in Botswana as a Martian analog for ancient lacustrine environments , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20861, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20861, 2026.

The increasing availability of high-resolution orbital imagery, particularly from the Context Camera (CTX), provides the potential to resolve Martian surface features with unprecedented detail. However, existing crater catalogs are predominantly complete only for diameters larger than 1 km, leaving a critical knowledge gap regarding the distribution of sub-kilometer craters. This study addresses the challenge of mapping these small-scale features (down to ~50 m) by introducing a semi-automated framework that synergizes Generative AI benchmarks with feature space cleaning.

To establish a robust methodology, we systematically benchmarked various automated annotation strategies. We compared emerging unsupervised Foundation Models (including pure vision segmentation models like SAM and Multimodal Large Language Models like Gemini 3, GPT-5, and Qwen-Image) against traditional transfer learning baselines pre-trained on existing Lunar or large-scale Martian catalogs. Our analysis reveals that while transfer learning suffers from domain shifts and resolution mismatches when applied to fine-grained CTX targets, multimodal models demonstrate superior zero-shot generalization capabilities. Through extensive prompt engineering experiments, we found that identifying 50m-scale targets requires geologically contextualized prompts rather than simple geometric descriptions, although this comes with increased label noise.

To mitigate this noise, we developed a "Feature Prototype" cleaning mechanism. Utilizing a self-supervised vision transformer (DINOv2), we mapped candidate detections into a feature space defined by positive prototypes of diverse small-scale crater morphologies and negative prototypes of typical generative errors. By filtering samples based on feature distance, we achieved robust noise reduction.

The resulting dataset comprises 16,000 image tiles sampled from the Mars equatorial region (±30°). Notably, this workflow extends reliable detection capabilities down to the ~50-meter scale, demonstrating a distinct advantage over transfer learning baselines and traditional unsupervised methods in resolving fine-grained topography. This study not only fills a significant gap in small-scale crater records but also establishes a rigorous benchmark for leveraging foundation model knowledge in precision planetary cartography.

How to cite: He, F., Liu, S., and Tong, X.: Generative Paradigms in Planetary Cartography: Benchmarking Foundation Models and Feature Prototype Filtering for Detecting 50m-Scale Martian Craters, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21347, 2026.

EGU26-21944 | ECS | Orals | PS1.5

 Constraining Water Volume in the Gypsum Sands of the Martian North Polar Erg 

Jordan Bretzfelder, Frances Rivera-Hernandez, and Mackenzie Day

The Martian geologic record contains abundant evidence for the presence of surface liquid water in the past, however, the fate of this liquid water is not well constrained. One mechanism to sequester this water is within the crystal structure of minerals, such as gypsum (CaSO4*2H2O), which both contains structurally bound water and requires liquid water to form.  Olympia Undae, also known as the North Polar Erg, is the largest dune field on Mars, and is known to contain gypsum sands. These gypsum dunes are a reservoir for water that has not been accounted for in Mars' water budget. As the amount of water stored in the gypsum dunes is currently unknown, the water budget for Mars' northern polar region is not well constrained.

Our study combines orbital data from several instruments onboard the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, specifically visible near-infrared (VNIR) data from the Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (CRISM), images from the Context Camera (CTX), and digital terrain models (DTMs) from the High-Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE), to help constrain the amount of water bound in the Olympia Undae gypsum dunes. These remote-sensing data sets are supplemented by ground truth results  from White Sands National Park, New Mexico, USA, which contains the largest gypsum dune field on Earth. By combining these different data sets and leveraging in-situ measurements from a terrestrial analog, the water content of the entire north polar erg will be quantitatively estimated and contextualized. This investigation will improve our constraints on the Martian volatile budget, and the processes that have contributed to the sequestration of water on Mars.

How to cite: Bretzfelder, J., Rivera-Hernandez, F., and Day, M.:  Constraining Water Volume in the Gypsum Sands of the Martian North Polar Erg, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21944, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21944, 2026.

EGU26-22162 | Orals | PS1.5

An impact melt flow scenario to form the pure native sulfur deposit at Gale crater 

William Rapin, David Baratoux, Nicolas Mangold, Luca Maggioni, Emilie Dupuis, Olivier Forni, Pierre Beck, Olivier Gasnault, Laetitia Le Deit, Stéphane Le Mouélic, and Gilles Dromart

The Curiosity rover recently discovered a deposit of native sulfur (S0) in Gediz Vallis, Gale crater, composed of decimetric light-toned blocks forming a 60 m wide talus. Such accumulations are rare on Earth and typically require volcanic, hydrothermal, or bio-mediated processes, yet the Martian deposit challenges direct terrestrial analogies. While previous studies proposed subsurface clathrate decomposition as a source, we propose an alternative scenario involving a sulfur flow produced by meteoritic impact melting of the light-toned yardangs unit upstream, hypothesized to be enriched in volcanic native sulfur. A 390 m-diameter, 80 m-deep breached crater is identified as the possible source of the melt flow that traveled 4 km down Gediz Vallis. Considering the low viscosity of sulfur, thermal modeling of the flow confirms that the travel time would be shorter than its crystallization time. The molten sulfur would then pool, crystallize, and exsolve the remaining gases, including H2S, forming subspherical cavities as observed in the blocks. The sulfur outcrop is also laterally wedged with a near-horizontal upper contact, consistent with a low viscosity melt filling the channel. The high purity and rhombic crystal habit of the sulfur blocks, along with an apparent increase of the number of gas bubbles from bottom to top, further support in-situ crystallization from a single melt pool. In-situ reflectance spectroscopy reveals that dust obscures the native sulfur signal on naturally exposed blocks, explaining why its presence could not be detected from the orbit.

This scenario implies that the light-toned yardangs unit, previously interpreted as eolian deposits and possibly linked to the Medusae Fossae formation, may represent a new type of distal volcanic deposit enriched in native sulfur. Such deposits could provide new insights into Hesperian atmospheric and volcanic processes, as well as Mars’ magmatic evolution. The Curiosity rover is planned to investigate this unit during its fifth extended mission, offering an opportunity to test this hypothesis and refine our understanding of sulfur cycling on early Mars.

How to cite: Rapin, W., Baratoux, D., Mangold, N., Maggioni, L., Dupuis, E., Forni, O., Beck, P., Gasnault, O., Le Deit, L., Le Mouélic, S., and Dromart, G.: An impact melt flow scenario to form the pure native sulfur deposit at Gale crater, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22162, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22162, 2026.

EGU26-192 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Evaluation of WRF-Chem aeolian dust emission and land surface models over the dust belt. 

Semontee Deb, Elena Louca, Angelos Violaris, Pantelis Kiriakidis, Yannis Proestos, and Theodoros Christoudias


Aeolian dust is a key component of the Earth system, influencing biogeochemical cycle, cloud microphysics, and the radiative energy budget and atmospheric dynamics, while also degrading air quality around major source regions. Large uncertainties persist in simulating atmospheric dust emission and transport, arising from the complex coupling between surface properties, boundary-layer processes, and atmospheric forcing. 

Previous efforts to evaluate the dust modelling performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) have mostly relied on short-term or region-specific case studies, typically focused on individual dust outbreaks or restricted geographical domains.
In this study, we present a comprehensive, year-long evaluation of WRF-Chem (v4.7.1) over the dust belt spanning North Africa, the Middle East, and Central Asia. We evaluate an ensemble of six simulations using three widely applied dust emission schemes (GOCART, AFWA, and UoC) combined with two advanced land surface models (LSM): Noah-MP and CLM4. The ensemble model output is assessed against multiple observation and reanalysis datasets, including AERONET aerosol optical depth (AOD), the MODIS-derived MIDAS dust optical depth product, and ERA5-Land surface fields of soil moisture and wind speed, which control dust emission fluxes. 

Our analysis shows that land-surface representation exerts a strong influence on dust emission magnitude and spatial distribution, with Noah-MP yielding systematically higher agreement with observed meteorology and AOD. Among the dust emission schemes, AFWA performs most consistently, while UoC04 exhibits lower precision. Empirical scaling factors are derived for each dust emissions–LSM pairing.To our knowledge this is the first year-round, multi-scheme assessment of WRF-Chem dust performance, offering guidance for improved dust forecasting and climate applications. 

 

How to cite: Deb, S., Louca, E., Violaris, A., Kiriakidis, P., Proestos, Y., and Christoudias, T.: Evaluation of WRF-Chem aeolian dust emission and land surface models over the dust belt., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-192, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-192, 2026.

Aerosols over the Indian region exhibi large spatial and seasonal Variation, however long-term ground-based Measurements that can consistently illustrate these variations are still limited. In this work, I utilize Level-2 AERONET data from selected locations in India to investigate how aerosol loading and optical attributes have changed during the last decade. The analysis centers chiefly on on Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), Ångström exponent, and basic inversion products that help identify the dominant aerosol types.

The results indicate a clear seasonal variation at all stations. High AOD values appear during the pre-monsoon months, which is consistent with dust-laden air mass intrusion from arid regions, while winter months present increased fine-mode aerosols linked to vegetation fires and area-specific emission activities. Stations located in the Indo-Gangetic Plain exhibit the highest overall AOD levels, whereas coastal and semi-arid stations demonstrate lower values and more mixed aerosol regimes. Some sites indicate a gradual rise in fine-mode aerosol contribution, suggesting increasing anthropogenic influence, while others show small or no long-term trends.

These observations assist into better understand the aerosol environment over India and also furnish a reliable reference for measuring satellite retrievals. The study highlights how AERONET measurements can support regional climate and air-quality assessments by offering consistent, long-term optical property data that cannot be captured fully by satellites alone.

How to cite: Saxena, A.: Aerosol Characteristics over India Based on Long-Term AERONET Measurements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-261, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-261, 2026.

EGU26-943 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

UAV observations to reveal new insights into dust particle morphology and orientation 

Kenneth M. Tschorn, Konrad Kandler, Frank Gunther Wienhold, Maria Kezoudi, Alkistis Papetta, Kostas Fragkos, Kilian Schneiders, Zuhir Bona, and Franco Marenco

Atmospheric dust affects the Earth’s radiation budget through scattering and absorption, processes governed by its optical properties linked to their microphysical characteristics (size, shape, refractive index, and orientation). While knowledge of dust particle size has progressed in the last few decades, dust morphology remains poorly constrained beyond the generic category of “irregular particles”. Although some studies suggest that dust particles can exhibit preferred orientations within the atmospheric column, most radiative-transfer models still represent dust as ensembles of randomly oriented spheres or spheroids. The limited availability of direct observational evidence limits our understanding of how dust’s non-sphericity and orientation influence remote-sensing retrievals, atmospheric processes, and aerosol radiative forcing. Given that mineral dust accounts for one of the largest global mass fluxes of primary aerosols, reducing these uncertainties is crucial to better constrain its overall radiative impact.

 

To address these gaps, we collect new UAV-based datasets on dust particle shape, internal structure, and orientation. In spring 2025, the Cyprus Institute conducted a two-month UAV campaign aiming for two goals: (1) to advance airborne dust-sampling methods, and (2) to investigate dust composition, size, shape, and orientation. Multiple UAV platforms were deployed during eight dust-affected flight days, guided by daily dust and weather forecasts. This strategy enabled sampling of diverse atmospheric conditions, including a strong dust event on 17/05/2025 with total AOD at 500- nm approaching the value of 1. Additional campaigns will further expand the dataset.

 

The UAV payloads included the Compact Optical Backscatter Aerosol Detector (COBALD) and Giant Particle Collectors (GPAC), supplemented by Optical Particle Counters (OPCs). To detect signatures of particle orientation two COBALD instruments, each operating at two wavelengths (455 and 940 nm), were deployed in a dual-field-of-view configuration pointing horizontally and vertically with two nearly orthogonal viewing directions. GPAC were adapted to carry TEM grids (small, ultra-thin mesh substrates used to collect particles for transmission electron microscopy) enabling airborne dust sampling suitable for high-resolution imaging and 3-D reconstruction of particle morphology. These combined measurements provided a unique dataset for assessing dust particle morphology, size, and potential orientation effects in the atmospheric column.

How to cite: Tschorn, K. M., Kandler, K., Wienhold, F. G., Kezoudi, M., Papetta, A., Fragkos, K., Schneiders, K., Bona, Z., and Marenco, F.: UAV observations to reveal new insights into dust particle morphology and orientation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-943, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-943, 2026.

EGU26-2760 | PICO | AS3.5

Tracing a Northern African Contribution to European Dust During the Last Glacial Maximum 

Denis-Didier Rousseau, Catherine Chauvel, Peter O Hopcroft, Pamela Gutiérrez, Ségolène Saulnier-Copard, Pierre Antoine, Markus Fuchs, and Alicja Ustrzycka

During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), global surface air temperatures were up to 6 °C lower than pre-industrial levels, and the mineral dust cycle intensified significantly, with global dust loading two to four times higher than during the Holocene. Loess deposits and Greenland ice cores record peak dust concentrations during this period. While Asian sources were traditionally considered the primary contributors to dust in Greenland, recent geochemical evidence indicates a mixture of Asian, North African, and European origins. Europe itself experienced heightened dust activity, predominantly attributed to local sources. Here, we present trace element data and Sr and Pb isotopic signatures from LGM-aged samples across 15 European sites, from a Western France to Ukraine longitudinal transect, revealing a notable contribution of fine dust from remote sources, particularly Northern Africa. These geochemical findings are corroborated by Earth System model simulations, which underscore Northern Africa's substantial role in dust deposition across the Northern Hemisphere during glacial periods.

Reference: Rousseau et al. (2025). A remote input of African dust to Last Glacial Europe. Comm. Earth & Environ., 6, 847. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02888-9

How to cite: Rousseau, D.-D., Chauvel, C., Hopcroft, P. O., Gutiérrez, P., Saulnier-Copard, S., Antoine, P., Fuchs, M., and Ustrzycka, A.: Tracing a Northern African Contribution to European Dust During the Last Glacial Maximum, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2760, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2760, 2026.

EGU26-3373 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

New processes to counteract sedimentation of coarse dust particles are required for climate models to agree with observations 

Natalie Ratcliffe, Claire Ryder, Nicolas Bellouin, Martina Klose, Stephanie Woodward, Anthony Jones, Ben Johnson, Lisa-Maria Wieland, Andreas Baer, Josef Gasteiger, and Bernadett Weinzierl

Recent observations show that large mineral dust particles are more abundant in the atmosphere than expected and travel further than their mass and theoretical rapid deposition allow for. The presence of these large particles alters the impact of dust on Earth’s radiative budget, carbon and hydrological cycles, and human health. Research into the impacts of the mechanisms influencing large dust particle lifetime in models is vital in ascertaining how large dust particles travel thousands of kilometres further than expected. We employ a series of model simulations to better understand the long-range transport of large particles from the Sahara to the West Atlantic. We present results from two models—HadGEM3A and ICON-ART—which are run at differing resolutions and with different dust representations (size bins and lognormal modes). Observations are used to verify long-range transport in model simulations, including in-situ aircraft observations at the Sahara, Canary Islands, Cape Verde, and Caribbean. Coarse particle mass loading (validated against observations) is limited by excessively rapid deposition in both models, but is further limited in ICON-ART by a reduced size-range representation, with the coarsest mode having a mean diameter by mass of 14.2 µm, whereas the maximum dust size in HadGEM3A extends to 63.2 µm. The sensitivity of large particle long-range transport to sedimentation, convective and turbulent mixing, shortwave absorption, and impaction scavenging are tested in global HadGEM3A climate simulations. A reduction in sedimentation by 80% is required to bring the modelled large particle transport into agreement with aircraft observations. None of the other processes tested were able to make the multiple order of magnitude changes to long-range large particle concentration in the model required for agreement with the observations. Convective and turbulent mixing in the model have minimal impact on large particle long-range transport, but are key in controlling the vertical distribution in the Saharan air layer and marine boundary layer, respectively. This work adds to the growing body of evidence that points to processes involved in large mineral dust transport and deposition which are not represented accurately or at all in models, which counteract the sedimentation of large particles in the real-world.

How to cite: Ratcliffe, N., Ryder, C., Bellouin, N., Klose, M., Woodward, S., Jones, A., Johnson, B., Wieland, L.-M., Baer, A., Gasteiger, J., and Weinzierl, B.: New processes to counteract sedimentation of coarse dust particles are required for climate models to agree with observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3373, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3373, 2026.

EGU26-3933 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Seasonal variability of mineral dust composition on an alpine snowpack in the Tateyama Mountains, Japan  

Pia Ataka, Ryo Sugiyama, Noboru Furukawa, and Nozomu Takeuchi

 Mineral dust deposited on snow surfaces plays an important role in snow and ice melting by reducing surface albedo and modifying surface energy balance. In addition to its direct radiative effects, mineral dust can indirectly enhance snow surface darkening by supplying nutrients that stimulate snow algal activity. Despite its importance, the sources and mineralogical characteristics of dust preserved in alpine snowpacks remain insufficiently constrained, particularly with respect to seasonal changes during the melt period.

 Most previous studies have interpreted mineral dust on snow as long-range transported material originating from continental desert regions. In alpine environments, however, progressive snow retreat during the melt season exposes surrounding ground surfaces and bedrock, potentially increasing contributions from locally derived mineral particles. How these local and remote dust sources vary seasonally, and how they are recorded in the mineralogical composition of snow-surface particles, remains poorly understood. This study aims to clarify the seasonal and spatial variability of mineral dust sources on alpine snow surfaces in the central Japanese mountains.

 We analyzed mineral particles deposited on snow surfaces in the Tateyama Mountains, central Japanese Alps. Surface snow samples collected during the melt season (May–July 2017) were compared with dust-layer samples from a snow pit excavated in April 2008, representing springtime deposition. Mineralogical analyses using X-ray diffraction and optical microscopy show that dust deposited in April and during the early melt season is dominated by quartz and feldspar, consistent with long-range transported mineral dust. As the melt season progressed, the relative abundances of Fe–Mg–bearing minerals, including chlorite, biotite, and amphibole, increased systematically. Spatial variations further reveal localized feldspar enrichment at specific sites, indicating increasing inputs from locally derived mineral particles sourced from surrounding bedrock.

 These results demonstrate a pronounced seasonal shift in mineral dust provenance on alpine snow surfaces, from dominantly long-range transported dust in spring to increasing local geological contributions during the melt season. Such changes in mineralogical composition may alter snow surface albedo and melt processes, highlighting the need to consider mineral dust composition, not only dust loading, when evaluating alpine snowmelt dynamics.

 

How to cite: Ataka, P., Sugiyama, R., Furukawa, N., and Takeuchi, N.: Seasonal variability of mineral dust composition on an alpine snowpack in the Tateyama Mountains, Japan , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3933, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3933, 2026.

Sand and dust storms (SDS) are among the most impactful atmospheric hazards, affecting air quality, climate, ecosystems, and socio-economic activities across continents. East Asia is one of the world’s major dust source regions, and recent observations indicate a renewed increase in SDS frequency and intensity since the mid-2010s, with several extreme events occurring in 2021, 2023, and 2025. This contribution presents recent advances in SDS early warning and forecasting developed at the WMO Asian Sand and Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS) Regional Center, hosted by the China Meteorological Administration.

 

We highlight progress in multi-source monitoring, multi-model forecasting, and artificial intelligence (AI) applications for SDS prediction. Satellite-based minute-scale dust identification has been achieved through multi-sensor data fusion, enabling near-real-time monitoring of dust severity and three-dimensional vertical structure by integrating satellite, lidar, radar, and ground-based observations. On the forecasting side, operational multi-model ensemble systems provide regional dust concentration, optical depth, emission, and deposition products. A machine-learning-based ensemble correction approach further improves surface dust concentration forecasts by optimally combining multiple models based on their historical performance.

 

In addition, an AI-driven global coupled aerosol–meteorology forecasting system has been developed, delivering 5-day, high-resolution forecasts of dust optical depth and surface concentrations. Case studies demonstrate that this system captures long-range dust transport from both Asian and Saharan sources, including events affecting Europe, with forecast skill exceeding that of several regional numerical models.

 

As a WMO SDS-WAS Asian Regional Center, we emphasize the importance of strengthening collaboration with the WMO SDS-WAS program and other regional nodes. Enhanced data sharing, harmonized observational datasets, and coordinated multi-model and AI-based forecasting efforts are essential to improve global SDS early warning capabilities. The experience gained in Asia offers valuable insights for Europe and other downwind regions, supporting transboundary aerosol monitoring, risk assessment, and mitigation strategies at the global scale.

How to cite: An, L.: Developments in Monitoring and Multi-Model Applications of Dust Weather in SDS-WAS ASIAN REGIONAL CENTER, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4602, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4602, 2026.

EGU26-4611 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Understanding Global Haboobs Using iDust 

Mei Chong and Xi Chen

Haboobs, dust storms triggered by convective cold pool outflows, contribute significantly to the global dust cycle and cause severe socioeconomic impacts through rapid visibility reduction and health hazards. However, haboob processes are inadequately represented in current reanalysis products (MERRA-2, EAC4) due to insufficient resolution to resolve mesoscale convection and hydrostatic dynamics that cannot properly describe the small-scale vertical motions. To date, haboobs have been studied primarily through individual cases and regional statistics, while systematic global-scale understanding remains lacking. This study investigates the global spatiotemporal patterns of haboobs and quantifies their contributions to dust emissions using the 12.5-km iDust model with analysis wind nudging. We perform multi-year global simulations, validate them against ground-based and satellite observations, and systematically identify and characterize haboob events worldwide. Our findings reveal global haboob patterns and their role in the dust cycle, advancing scientific understanding of convective dust processes.

How to cite: Chong, M. and Chen, X.: Understanding Global Haboobs Using iDust, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4611, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4611, 2026.

The characteristics and potential influence of dust events under the background of Northeast China Cold Vortex (NCCV) have rarely been investigated. Based on meteorological observational data and ERA5 reanalysis data from 2015 to 2023, we examined the spatiotemporal and environmental characteristics of dust events under NCCV and non-NCCV conditions and explored the potential impacts of the NCCV on dust events. The results indicate that dust days in Northeast China exhibited a trend of first decreasing and then increasing during the study period, and severe dust events mainly occurred in central Inner Mongolia, a key dust source region in China. Dust days associated with the NCCV accounted for 32.7% of the total dust days, and their station-frequency ratio reached 43.7%. Dust events were predominantly concentrated in the southwest quadrant of the NCCV periphery (60.1%), mostly within a range of 1.0–2.6 times the NCCV radius. This distribution pattern can be attributed to the strong baroclinity often related to the low-level shear lines and dry ambient conditions in this region. Moreover, strong downward momentum transfer and weakly stable stratification within the planetary boundary layer under NCCV conditions also facilitated the formation of dust events. This study reveals the important impacts of the NCCV on dust events, thereby providing a scientific basis for further understanding the formation mechanisms of such events.

How to cite: Li, X. and Xu, S.: Characteristics and impacts of dust events under the background of Northeast China Cold Vortex (NCCV), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5478, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5478, 2026.

EGU26-5689 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Re-evaluating Dust Emission Potential from Burned Surfaces on Vegetated Dunes in the Southwest Kalahari 

Rosemary Huck, Giles Wiggs, David Thomas, and Natasha Wallum

Sand dunes are not typically considered a major contributor to atmospheric dust loading due to coarse grain sizes and the infrequent observation of dust emission events. In vegetated dune systems, dust emission is less common as plant cover inhibits wind erosion. However, disturbances, such as fire, can rapidly remove protective vegetation cover which exposes resident fine sediments to wind erosion.

This study investigates dust emission potential following fire-induced de-vegetation in the driest region of the world’s largest sand sea, the southwest Kalahari. Adopting a hybrid approach, we combine remote sensing to characterise fire extent and timing and portable wind tunnel (PI-SWERL) experiments to quantify erosion potential.

A 24-year fire inventory reveals that burning is most frequent during or immediately after La Niña events, although anthropogenic land management significantly influences the spatial and temporal distribution of fires. The period for dust emission potential following fire is short, constrained by rapid vegetation recovery typically within 2 years. Grain size analyses indicate that dust-sized particles (<62.5 μm) are present in both burned and unburned dune surfaces; however, no significant depletion of fine particles from burned surfaces was observed, suggesting minimal loss through aeolian processes.

PI-SWERL experiments confirm that these fine particles can be entrained, yet higher threshold friction velocities are required for erosion at burned sites. The presence of biological soil crusts (biocrust) at all burned sites implies a stabilising influence on the erosion threshold. Where the surface had been disturbed, resulting in the removal of the typically present biocrust, our data suggest that dust emission fluxes are, on average, 8-13 times higher than those of unburned surfaces.

These findings indicate that currently there is little potential for dust emission in the post-fire de-vegetation period. This study provides new insights into the mechanisms controlling dust emissions in partially vegetated dune landscapes and highlights the importance of multiple, interacting, surface properties in governing aeolian processes.

How to cite: Huck, R., Wiggs, G., Thomas, D., and Wallum, N.: Re-evaluating Dust Emission Potential from Burned Surfaces on Vegetated Dunes in the Southwest Kalahari, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5689, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5689, 2026.

EGU26-6290 | PICO | AS3.5

Aridity record from the western Australia across the Early-Middle Pleistocene Transition 

Terezia Kunkelova, Anna Arrigoni, and Gerald Auer

Australian aridity is primarily governed by large-scale atmospheric circulation and by the influence of the Australian-Indonesian monsoon (AIM). Regional climate variability is further modulated by coupled ocean-atmosphere modes, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), whose interactions regulate moisture supply and hydroclimatic variability across the Australian continent. Western Australia has experienced pronounced hydroclimatic variability through time, characterized by arid glacial intervals and more humid interglacials, highlighting a strong regional sensitivity to insolation forcing, large-scale atmospheric circulation, and changes in Indo-Pacific climate modes. However, Australian hydroclimate responses during intervals of major climatic reorganization, such as the Early-Middle Pleistocene Transition (EMPT), remain poorly constrained. The EMPT (~1.2-0.6 Ma) marks a fundamental reorganization of the climate system, characterized by intensified glacial-interglacial cycles and a shift toward a ~100-kyr periodicity.

Here, we present a grain size record from IODP Site U1460 spanning the EMPT, reflecting changes in aridity within western Australia. Using a grain-size end-member unmixing model, we aim to distinguish relative changes in the proportions of fine-grained material and coarser-grained sediment as proxies for shifts between humid and arid intervals. Furthermore, we are developing a specialized method to remove biogenic silica from marine sediment, as the site contains a high concentration of sponge spicules. These spicules are particularly challenging to remove due to their chemical resilience. This method is critical to prevent interference with sedimentological measurements and to ensure the accuracy of our grain size end-member modelling and hydroclimatic interpretations. Our grain size record will not only provide a refined biogenic silica removal method but also offer new insights into the evolution of Australian arid environments and the mechanisms linking regional hydroclimate to global climate reorganization during the Pleistocene. These findings will serve as critical analogues for understanding hydroclimatic sensitivity under sustained anthropogenic forcing.

How to cite: Kunkelova, T., Arrigoni, A., and Auer, G.: Aridity record from the western Australia across the Early-Middle Pleistocene Transition, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6290, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6290, 2026.

EGU26-7051 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Dust amplified Glacier Mass Loss in High Mountain Asia 

Xingli Mao

Dust aerosols impact High Mountain Asia (HMA) glacier mass balance through reducing albedo (direct effect) and affecting the accumulation of glacial materials by disturbing precipitation (indirect effect), but the mechanism remains unclear.  Using a regional climate model and coupling it to a glacier energy-mass balance model for the period 2016-2022, we demonstrate that dust amplifies glacier mass loss by 6%, primarily by reducing solid precipitation (46%) and albedo (41%). This dust-induced glacier retreat leads to significant declines in water storage, particularly in the Tarim Basin (-13%). As dust emissions are projected to rise, transboundary mitigation is urgently needed to preserve regional water security.

How to cite: Mao, X.: Dust amplified Glacier Mass Loss in High Mountain Asia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7051, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7051, 2026.

EGU26-7253 | PICO | AS3.5

Towards Understanding the Climate Response to the Historical Dust Increase in ICON-XPP 

Claus Sarnighausen, Natalia Sudarchikova, and Stephanie Fiedler

Mineral dust aerosol shapes the global climate, mainly through interactions with radiation and clouds, and especially on the regional level close to major emission sources. However, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase six (CMIP6) models with coupled dust emission parameterization schemes fail to reproduce the 55 ± 30% increase in atmospheric dust concentration since 1850 (Kok et al. 2023). In the present study, we construct the historically changing monthly 'Dust Plumes' (DuPlumes) climatology (Sudarchikova et al. in prep.) and investigate implications of changing dust aerosol for the global climate in ICON-XPP, Germany's designated model for CMIP7. DuPlumes consists of a parameterized analytical framework, originally designed for anthropogenic aerosols (Stevens et al. 2017).  To create the representation of natural desert-dust aerosols, this study utilizes reanalysis data of dust optical depth, measurement data of scattering properties, and a marine-core-based reconstruction of the historical trend. To constrain the spatial pattern of present-day optical depth by observation, we use data of four reanalysis products (CAMS, MERRA2, JAero, and NAAPS), monthly averaged for the decade around the year 2010 (2004–2015). Plume functions related to ten dust plumes globally are fitted to the data using a gradient descent algorithm. The fit achieves a spatial correlation of r=0.98 with the data, with maximum deviations in summer of 0.08, or 2% of maximum aerosol optical depth, which is smaller than the uncertainty measured across the reanalysis ensemble. Compared to the currently implemented static ICON-XPP dust climatology, the reanalysis ensemble and, subsequently, dust plumes suggest considerably higher optical depth (~0.1) in the Eastern Asian Taklamakan and Gobi Desert regions. The vertical profile is informed by the 2007–2019 climatology derived from Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) retrievals. We also include measurements of dust scattering properties from literature, including in-situ data and laboratory measurements. Ongoing work includes ICON-XPP experiments with dust optical properties represented by DuPlumes. These allow us to estimate the spatial pattern of effective radiative effects of the present-day natural dust relative to the pre-industrial levels.

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Kok, J.F., Storelvmo, T., Karydis, V.A., Adebiyi, A.A., Mahowald, N.M., Evan, A.T., He, C., Leung, D.M.: Mineral dust aerosol impacts on global climate and climate change. Nat Rev Earth Environ. 4, 71–86 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00379-5

Stevens, B., Fiedler, S., Kinne, S., Peters, K., Rast, S., Müsse, J., Smith, S.J., Mauritsen, T.: MACv2-SP: A parameterization of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect for use in CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development. 10, 433–452 (2017). https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-433-2017

How to cite: Sarnighausen, C., Sudarchikova, N., and Fiedler, S.: Towards Understanding the Climate Response to the Historical Dust Increase in ICON-XPP, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7253, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7253, 2026.

EGU26-7557 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

The impact of grid resolution on global dust emission potential 

Pascal Kunze, Bernd Heinold, and Ina Tegen

Due to its radiative effects, mineral dust constitutes a critical component in global aerosol climate models. However, the representation of dust emissions currently remains a substantial source of uncertainties in dust model simulations. Convective systems are major contributors to dust emission. Moist convection, however, is still a sub-grid scale process in most climate models, which has to be parameterized. Recent comparison studies between high-resolution, convection-resolving simulations and models with horizontal resolutions, that do not allow for considering moist convection explicitly, have revealed the model resolution as a key driver for the model uncertainties.  To further evaluate the impact of model resolution on dust emission, we conducted an analysis based on surface winds from two distinct modeling frameworks: (i) the coarse-resolution CMIP6 model ensemble, where convection is parameterized, and (ii) high-resolution ICON simulations from the DYAMOND (DYnamics of the Atmospheric general circulation Modeled On Non-hydrostatic Domains) project, which explicitly resolve moist convection. An indicator of dust emissions is the so-called dust emission potential, which is calculated offline for these different datasets and systematically evaluated for key global source regions. The analysis reveals pronounced regional and seasonal differences in the magnitude and characteristics of the modeled dust emission proxy. To investigate the origins of these uncertainties, we further compare the model outputs with high-resolution regridded data and analyze the diurnal cycle of dust emissions in selected source regions with a special focused investigation of the Central Asian dust sources. The results highlight the necessity of using high-resolution emission modeling in specific dust source regions to more accurately represent dust-generating processes and their climate impacts.

How to cite: Kunze, P., Heinold, B., and Tegen, I.: The impact of grid resolution on global dust emission potential, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7557, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7557, 2026.

EGU26-7724 | PICO | AS3.5

Real-time analysis of trace metals in air by microwave induced plasma time-of-flight mass spectrometry (mipTOF) 

Martin Tanner, Alexander Gundlach-Graham, Martin Rittner, Lorenz Gfeller, Jay Slowik, Andre Prevot, Ed Fortner, and John Jayne

Keywords: Mass Spectrometry, Real-Time, Trace Elements, Source Apportionment, Mobile

Determination of the elemental composition of airborne nanoparticles and micro-particles is essential to understand the source(s) of these particles and also to predict potential health effects.1 The most common approach to measure the metal content of air is to collect samples on filters and then analyze digests by ICP-MS; however, this strategy offers poor time resolution (e.g. days) and only provides bulk element composition information. To understand the spatiotemporal characteristics of the emission of metal-containing aerosols, which is key to assessing exposure, real-time analysis strategies are essential. Here, we report on the development of a microwave induced plasma time-of-flight mass spectrometer (mipTOF) used for the direct analysis of metal-containing airborne particles.

The mipTOF is a field-deployable trace-element mass spectrometer. It uses a nitrogen-sustained high-power plasma (MICAP, Radom Instruments)2, 3 to quantitatively vaporize and atomize aerosols with sizes from the ultrafine to PM10. Singly charged atomic ions are generated in the plasma with high efficiency (up to 99%), and then extracted into the mass spectrometer, where they are sorted according to mass-to-charge ratio and recorded. Ambient air is sampled into the plasma via a concentric pneumatic nebulizer set up as a Venturi pump5 at flowrates from 100-200 cm3/min. With the mipTOF, concentration LODs range from 10 ng/m3 (potassium) to 0.05 ng/m3 (lead) with a time resolution of 10 seconds. The high-sensitivity, high-speed metal-aerosol measurements possible with mipTOF enable new research into real-time spatiotemporal analysis of metals in air. We will report on the use of the mipTOF in mobile lab measurements in Switzerland and Massachusetts, USA. In these measurements, we identified several unique sources of airborne metals, including emissions from automotive brake wear, trains, metal-plating industries, cement manufacturers, and light aircraft. In addition to presenting data from these campaigns, we will discuss aspects of instrument design and operation, including power and size requirements, calibration strategies, and instrumental figures of merit.

References:

(1) Daellenbach, K. R. et al. Nature 2020, 587 (7834), 414-419.

(2) Jevtic, J.; Menon, A.; Pikelja, V. PCT/US14/24306, 2015.

(3) Schild, M. et al.  Analytical Chemistry 2018, 90 (22), 13443-13450.

(4) Nishiguchi, K.; Utani, K.; Fujimori, E. J. Anal. Atom. Spec. 2008, 23 (8), 1125-1129.

How to cite: Tanner, M., Gundlach-Graham, A., Rittner, M., Gfeller, L., Slowik, J., Prevot, A., Fortner, E., and Jayne, J.: Real-time analysis of trace metals in air by microwave induced plasma time-of-flight mass spectrometry (mipTOF), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7724, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7724, 2026.

Dust aerosols are a key component of the Earth's climate system. However, global climate models often depict mineral dust as a uniform aerosol. This simplification limits the physical realism of dust simulations, necessitating comparison with available observations to determine whether mineralogical variability is accurately represented when incorporated into a global climate-aerosol model.

In this study, we examine how well a mineralogical soil database translates into realistic mineral-resolved dust transport and deposition in the global climate model ICON coupled with the aerosol module HAM. This implementation is based on the mineralogical soil database of Journet et al. (2014), as modified by Goncalves-Ageitos et al. (2023), and it explicitly represents 12 individual minerals. Using multi-year global simulations, we evaluate the simulated mineralogical dust cycle with a focus on emission patterns, transport pathways, regional deposition, and the representation of seasonal and interannual variability. Model results are compared with available observations and datasets to assess the added value and limitations of mineral-resolved dust representation.

The evaluation demonstrates where mineralogical information helps to better constrain dust transport and deposition and identifies key uncertainties that remain. These results provide a basis for future work on mineral-specific dust deposition and its role in biogeochemical cycles.

How to cite: Hofmann, E., Wagner, R., and Schepanski, K.: How well does a mineralogical soil database translate into realistic mineral-resolved dust transport and deposition in a global climate model?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7789, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7789, 2026.

EGU26-9453 | PICO | AS3.5

Laboratory investigation of the radiative properties of mineral dust across the solar and terrestrial spectrum: key achievements and future directions 

Claudia Di Biagio, Pasquale Sellitto, Bénédicte Picquet-Varrault, Jean-François Doussin, and Paola Formenti

Coarse mineral dust aerosols originating from arid and semi-arid regions worldwide constitute one of the dominant tropospheric aerosol species by mass. Mineral dust both absorbs and scatters solar and terrestrial radiation, thereby influencing the radiance spectrum at the surface and at the top of the atmosphere, as well as the atmospheric heating rate. Dust is a key, yet still highly uncertain, contributor to both historical and contemporary climate change.

Modelling the interaction of dust with atmospheric radiation remains challenging because dust absorption and scattering properties, represented by the complex refractive index, depend on mineralogical composition – which varies with the emission source – and on particle size distribution, which evolves during transport. Climate models and remote-sensing retrievals therefore require accurate, regionally dependent information to improve dust representation and reduce uncertainties in radiative effect estimates.

Laboratory investigation has proven to be a powerful approach for unravelling the optical properties of mineral dust across the solar and terrestrial infrared spectrum. Original experiments based on realistic aerosols generated from natural soils have provided important new insights into the optical properties of global mineral dust in the solar and thermal infrared spectral ranges, as well as their variability with particle composition and during transport. These results have motivated the modelling and remote-sensing communities to revisit dust representation in models, leading to new evaluations of the dust direct radiative effect and its associated uncertainty, as well as to the development of innovative remote-sensing products. Current research is now extending the investigated spectral range toward the far infrared and to emerging source regions, for which knowledge of dust–radiation interactions remains very limited.

This presentation highlights key results and open scientific questions that have driven recent research on the radiative properties of mineral dust, and outlines perspectives for future studies.

How to cite: Di Biagio, C., Sellitto, P., Picquet-Varrault, B., Doussin, J.-F., and Formenti, P.: Laboratory investigation of the radiative properties of mineral dust across the solar and terrestrial spectrum: key achievements and future directions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9453, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9453, 2026.

EGU26-10457 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Tracing the provenance and evolution of Asian dust fluxes during the Holocene: A geochemical study of sediment archives from Adak Island, Alaska 

Rakesh Kumar Rout, Tolulope Joseph Ayodeji, Nicolas Waldmann, and Daniel Palchan

Asian dust plumes export micronutrients eastward to the Pacific Ocean and are substantial for regulating the marine biogeochemical cycles and productivity. Previous studies from the Gulf of Alaska (a high-nutrient and low-chlorophyll zone) revealed that the dominant nutrient supply during the last deglaciation was primarily sourced from iceberg meltwater instead of local Alaskan dust fluxes. However, attention to distal dust sources from Asia was limited, possibly due to resolution constraints. To address this, we consider here two chronologically well-constrained (by tephrochronology and radiocarbon dating) sedimentary archives from Adak Island (Andrew and Heart lakes), in the central Aleutian Islands, Alaska. These records preserve a high-resolution environmental and climatic history for the last ~10 ka and might also include a continuous record of Asian dust plume sources. Terrigenous materials in these sediments originate from either local weathered basalt units and volcanic ash or from distal Asian dust, comprising erosional products of the granitoid terrane. We studied the siliciclastic fraction of the sediments recovered from both lakes and employed elemental analyses along with radiogenic isotopes (Sr, Nd and Pb) to identify and quantify possible allochthonous dust sources. Our preliminary observations from major and trace elemental ratios and statistical analyses (PCA and factor loadings) suggest that, indeed, there are two dominant sources for terrigenous sediments. The enriched LREE and flat HREE pattern, together with a positive Eu anomaly, further support the mixed source (mafic to felsic) of the sediment supply to the lakes. Additionally, the Chemical Index of Alteration (CIA) and other elemental ratios in both lakes suggest a sharp decreasing trend ca. 4 ka followed by an increasing trend ca. 3.5 ka, which is asynchronous with the increased input of Asian dust and the neoglacial cooling event during this interval. The isotopic and other geochemical studies are in progress, which will further validate these findings.

How to cite: Rout, R. K., Ayodeji, T. J., Waldmann, N., and Palchan, D.: Tracing the provenance and evolution of Asian dust fluxes during the Holocene: A geochemical study of sediment archives from Adak Island, Alaska, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10457, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10457, 2026.

EGU26-10511 | PICO | AS3.5

Resolving regional controls on dust flux: High-resolution chronostratigraphy of Carpathian loess 

Zoran Perić, Slobodan Marković, Petar Krsmanović, Helena Alexanderson, and Milica Bosnić

Loess-palaeosol sequences (LPS) are vital among terrestrial archives for reconstructing Quaternary palaeoclimates and environmental change. Their extensive distribution across continental mid-latitudes and high sensitivity to atmospheric and surface processes make them indispensable records of past dust cycles, wind regimes, and regional ecosystem dynamics. However, the reliability of these reconstructions, particularly quantitative measures of dust flux variability, is intrinsically limited by the resolution and accuracy of the underlying geochronological framework. Our research directly addresses this chronometric challenge by applying refined luminescence dating techniques and Bayesian age-depth modelling to loess profiles across the Carpathian and Wallachian Basins. This methodological approach enables the construction of high-resolution, probabilistic chronologies that are essential for robust palaeoenvironmental interpretation. The central outcome of this work is a significantly improved, regional reconstruction of dust flux variability. Our integrated analysis demonstrates that dust mass accumulation rates (MARs) across the basins do not conform to a simplified model of peak deposition solely during glacial maxima (MIS 2). This pattern indicates that dust influx was not driven exclusively by global ice volume but was significantly intensified during specific phases of regional climatic amelioration. These findings compel a reinterpretation of regional atmospheric and sediment dynamics. The high dust fluxes during MIS 3 highlight the critical influence of regional controls, such as changes in palaeowind intensity and pathways, episodic sediment supply from major river systems, and the variable dust-trapping efficiency of sparsely vegetated, dynamic landscapes. This underscores the necessity of disentangling the effects of global climate drivers from those of local environmental and geomorphic settings when interpreting the LPS record. The broader objective of this synthesis is to establish a robust, integrated stratigraphic and chronological framework that enables detailed correlation and comparison of loess-derived palaeoenvironmental proxies across the Carpathian and Wallachian Basins. By doing so, we provide new insights into the timing, magnitude, and climatic forcing of past atmospheric dust activity, challenging purely glacially-driven models and contributing to a more nuanced understanding of Quaternary environmental dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe.

How to cite: Perić, Z., Marković, S., Krsmanović, P., Alexanderson, H., and Bosnić, M.: Resolving regional controls on dust flux: High-resolution chronostratigraphy of Carpathian loess, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10511, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10511, 2026.

EGU26-10600 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Improving dust emission in WRF-Chem GOCART scheme using a high-resolution erodibility dataset 

Leandro Segado-Moreno, Juan Pedro Montávez, Eloisa Raluy-López, Ginés Garnés-Morales, Alejandro Cordero, and Pedro Jiménez-Guerrero

Mineral dust is a major atmospheric aerosol, affecting climate, air quality, and human health through radiative and microphysical processes. The Iberian Peninsula is frequently impacted by dust intrusions from North Africa, leading to episodic exceedances of PM10 concentrations that challenge operational air quality forecasts. Accurate simulation of dust emission and transport remains difficult due to uncertainties in soil erodibility, land surface characteristics, and meteorological drivers.

In this study, we assess the impact of two newly developed high-resolution soil erodibility datasets on regional dust simulations using WRF-Chem with the GOCART scheme. The first dataset, EROD, improves dust source representation by integrating fine-resolution topography (GMTED2010), achieving 0.0625° (≈5 km) resolution globally and 1 km locally for the Iberian Peninsula. The second dataset, SOILHD, further refines dust source characterization by incorporating local-scale soil composition (sand, silt, clay fractions) and removing areas erroneously classified as bare soil, reaching 1 km resolution globally. These datasets aim to capture the spatial heterogeneity of dust sources, which is critical in semi-arid regions with sparse vegetation and variable soil properties.

We conduct WRF-Chem simulations for five periods between 2022 and 2025, representing a range of dust episodes with local and long-range transport. Model performance is evaluated against PM10 measurements from the SINQLAIR network across coastal and inland stations in the Region of Murcia. Results indicate that the high-resolution datasets substantially improve the spatial and temporal representation of dust emissions. Inland and low-anthropogenic-influence stations show better agreement with observed PM10 peaks in both magnitude and timing compared to simulations using standard coarse-resolution erodibility fields. At coastal and industrially influenced sites, improvements are more limited due to missing anthropogenic emissions and additional aerosol components, but statistical metrics such as correlation, Mean Bias Error (MBE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) still indicate significant enhancement.

Overall, the results demonstrate that high-resolution, type–aware soil erodibility datasets significantly enhance the skill of dust simulations in WRF-Chem, reducing biases and capturing observed variability more accurately. These findings underscore the importance of detailed soil and topographic information for regional dust modeling and highlight the potential benefits of incorporating such datasets into operational dust forecasting systems.

How to cite: Segado-Moreno, L., Montávez, J. P., Raluy-López, E., Garnés-Morales, G., Cordero, A., and Jiménez-Guerrero, P.: Improving dust emission in WRF-Chem GOCART scheme using a high-resolution erodibility dataset, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10600, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10600, 2026.

EGU26-11564 | PICO | AS3.5

Dust-driven droplet freezing explains cloud-top phase in the northern extratropics. 

Diego Villanueva, Martin Stengel, Corinna Hoose, Kai Jeggle, Olimpia Bruno, Albert Ansmann, and Ulrike Lohmann

Clouds with temperatures between −39° and 0 °C can be capped by either a liquid or an ice layer, strongly influencing their radiative forcing and precipitation. The cloud-top ice-to-total frequency (ITF) quantifies the occurrence of clouds with ice tops relative to all clouds, yet the processes controlling ITF remain poorly understood. Using 35 years of satellite observations (Cloud_cci v3) and dust reanalysis (MERRA2), we show that in the Northern Hemisphere, at temperatures between −15° and −30 °C, ITF is strongly correlated with dust aerosol variability in both time and space. Moreover, we find that the sensitivities of ITF to temperature and dust occur in a ratio consistent with laboratory measurements of immersion droplet freezing, indicating that dust aerosols impose a logarithmic control on cloud-top phase.

How to cite: Villanueva, D., Stengel, M., Hoose, C., Jeggle, K., Bruno, O., Ansmann, A., and Lohmann, U.: Dust-driven droplet freezing explains cloud-top phase in the northern extratropics., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11564, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11564, 2026.

EGU26-12006 | PICO | AS3.5

 Dust source transfer from North Africa to the Amazon Basin: geochemical constraints on their long-term sources and composition  

Damien Guinoiseau, Christopher Pöhlker, Anna Kral, Jorge Saturno, Florian Ditas, Paulo Artaxo, Meinrat O. Andreae, and Stephen J.G. Galer

At a global scale, dust can serve as a vector for transferring elements from nutrient-rich soils to nutrient-depleted ecosystems, acting as a natural fertilizer [1]. The Amazonian rainforest, which is partly developed over nutrient-poor lateritic soils, illustrates this concept by receiving annually 8.5 Tg of dust from North African regions [2]. This phenomenon is well-documented and captured by both satellite-derived and in situ observations; however, the documentation of the long-term dust sources in North Africa and their associated chemical composition remains debated today [3,4]. This study presents two chronicles of dust collected at the Atmospheric Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) during the dust-active season (February to April) in 2016 and 2017. Following a chemical extraction procedure already reported elsewhere [5], the chemical compositions and Sr-Nd-Pb isotope signatures of samples collected during low-dust conditions and dust outbreak events have been analyzed.

Following a statistical ACP and clustering analysis, the extracted water-soluble, acid-soluble, and residual fractions show that dust loading is the main driver of aerosol composition. Carbonated minerals do not survive efficiently in the atmospheric conditions encountered during transatlantic transport within the Saharan Air Layer and are readily solubilized. Most of the silicates and oxides are resistant to atmospheric chemical weathering, with the exception of poorly crystallized Al-Fe oxides. Finally, the geochemical signals of trace metals, potassium, and phosphorus can be complicated by anthropogenic particles or emitted bioaerosols, in addition to dust.

Predominant north African dust sources are identified by combining rare earth element patterns with Sr-Nd-Pb radiogenic isotopes, both of which are clearly diagnostic. A Bayesian mixing model (MixSIAR) is also used to quantify the long-term proportion of each source, while satellite products (CALIPSO, MERRA-2) and back trajectory analyses (HYSPLIT) are used to confirm our observations. Western African soils characterized by alluvial deposits in wadis developed over Phanerozoic terrains are the dominant dust sources (55-90%), while soils associated with Precambrian cratonic areas can act sporadically during significant dust events. As already postulated using a satellite-derived model [3], the Bodélé Depression’s impact on dust reaching the Amazon Basin is negligible, despite its status as the dustiest place on Earth. These results are consistent with conclusions drawn for the Northern Hemisphere, particularly for the Caribbean [5], although dust transport and atmospheric conditions over North Africa differ seasonally (between boreal winter and boreal summer). Finally, the chemical composition of the dust measured for all dust events reaching ATTO in 2016 and 2017 is remarkably uniform and consistent with 2024 and 2025 collected samples from French Guiana and ATTO (Collignon et al., in prep.), allowing for a preliminary estimate of a long-term “averaged North African dust” composition reaching the Amazon Basin.

[1] Reicholf (1986), SNFE, 21, 251-255.

[2] Kok et al. (2021), ACP, 21, 8169-8193.

[3] Yu et al. (2020), GRL, e2020GL088020.

[4] Barkley et al. (2022), GRL, e2021GL097344.

[5] Kumar et al. (2018), EPSL, 487, 94-105.

How to cite: Guinoiseau, D., Pöhlker, C., Kral, A., Saturno, J., Ditas, F., Artaxo, P., Andreae, M. O., and Galer, S. J. G.:  Dust source transfer from North Africa to the Amazon Basin: geochemical constraints on their long-term sources and composition , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12006, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12006, 2026.

EGU26-12288 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

The chemical and mineralogical composition of southern African dust aerosols 

Clarissa Baldo, Sophie Nowak, Servanne Chevaillier, Gael Noyalet, Silvia Becagli, Akinori Ito, Sandra Lafon, Claudia Di Biagio, Karine Desboeufs, Remi Stanus, Nadine Mattielli, Heleen C. Vos, Gregory S. Okin, James S. King, Amelie Chaput, Brigitte Language, Stuart Piketh, and Paola Formenti

Southern Africa (SAf) is a key region for dust emissions, characterised by a wide variety of natural and anthropogenic sources, but also a critical knowledge gap in the mineral dust budget of the Southern Hemisphere. Projected climate warming is expected to lead to an increase in mineral dust emissions, which are increasingly linked to human activity. Although the transport and deposition pathways of SAf dust suggest that it can directly affect the regional climate and nearby marine ecosystems through dust-aerosol interaction and indirectly through aerosol-cloud/ice interaction and nutrient deposition, the extent of this impact is highly uncertain due to significant uncertainties in atmospheric loads and climate-relevant properties.

This study provides the first comprehensive characterisation of the chemical and mineralogical composition of SAf dust aerosols. Aerosol samples were laboratory-generated using soils collected from key dust sources in southern Africa, including the Namib gravel plain, coastal ephemeral riverbeds, the Etosha salt pan, the Kalahari Desert, and anthropogenic sources such as agricultural soils from the Free State, savannah soils from the Kruger National Park, and a copper mine in Namibia.

A geographical distribution of the chemical and mineralogical properties of SAf dust was identified based on the elemental ratios Si/Al, (Ca + Mg)/Al, and K/Al. This is influenced by both the regional geology and rainfall distribution, which shows an increase in the Si/Al ratio and a decrease in the (Ca + Mg)/Al and K/Al ratios, in areas with higher rainfall inland compared to the arid coast, while the salt pans exhibit unique features with significantly higher (Ca+Mg)/Al and Si/Al ratios.

The SAf dust appears to be more enriched in Ca, Mg, and K than other dust sources in the Southern Hemisphere and northern African dust. Although Fe, a key micronutrient, occurs at similar levels in dust from both hemispheres, SAf dust contains more P, highlighting its potential significance in biogeochemical cycling. Despite limited mineralogical observations in the Southern Hemisphere, our results indicate that SAf dust contains more feldspar minerals than northern African dust, and may strongly influence the load of ice-nucleating particles over the Southern Ocean and, in turn, the regional radiative budget.

How to cite: Baldo, C., Nowak, S., Chevaillier, S., Noyalet, G., Becagli, S., Ito, A., Lafon, S., Di Biagio, C., Desboeufs, K., Stanus, R., Mattielli, N., Vos, H. C., Okin, G. S., King, J. S., Chaput, A., Language, B., Piketh, S., and Formenti, P.: The chemical and mineralogical composition of southern African dust aerosols, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12288, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12288, 2026.

In the temperature range between 0 °C and −39 °C, clouds may exist in the liquid phase, the ice phase, or as a mixture of both. Cloud glaciation, defined as the transition from liquid to ice, can be driven by multiple processes. On the one hand, enhanced glaciation may result from secondary ice production. On the other hand, atmospheric aerosols can act as ice-nucleating particles (INPs) and initiate ice crystal formation. Previous studies have highlighted the role of mineral dust as the dominant INP source for cloud glaciation at temperatures below −15 °C.

Although recent findings indicate a correlation between aerosol concentration and cloud glaciation, quantifying aerosol–cloud interactions remains challenging. To better characterize and disentangle the natural spatial and temporal variability of relevant observables governing this relationship, this study combines data from multiple satellite instruments (MSG SEVIRI, MODIS, and IASI). In addition, these observations are compared to ICON model outputs and CAMS reanalysis data. The objective is to provide an assessment of the sensitivity of cloud phase to dust aerosol concentration for given temperatures and synoptic conditions across different datasets.

We primarily investigate the influence of the dust aerosol optical depth (DAOD) in the region between the equator and the subtropical dust belt (0–30° N/S). Our findings highlight the relationship between DAOD and cloud glaciation, characterized by a particularly strong increase in glaciation at high DAOD values. The analysis further includes stratification by large-scale synoptic conditions and cloud type, allowing us to narrow down potential differences between convective and stratiform clouds.

Finally, we examine how the integration of vertical profiles from EarthCARE may facilitate the detection of not only horizontally but also vertically collocated cloud and aerosol layers, thereby improving statistical estimates of aerosol–cloud interactions.

How to cite: Brüning, S., Stengel, M., and Robbins, D.: Investigating dust aerosol effects on mixed-phase cloud glaciation based on an intercomparison of satellite observations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12744, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12744, 2026.

EGU26-13178 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Impact of iron-containing dust on atmospheric oxidation processes 

Simon Rosanka, Klaus Klingmüller, Rolf Sander, Andrea Pozzer, Jos Lelieveld, and Domenico Taraborrelli

In the atmosphere, organic and inorganic compounds can partition into clouds, fog, raindrops, and aqueous aerosols, where they undergo rapid chemical oxidation, yielding secondary aerosols. This process is governed by the availability of radicals such as hydroxyl (OH) and nitrate (NO3) radicals in the liquid phase. The presence of dissolved iron can boost the OH reactivity via Fenton reactions. Dust is a major source of iron in the atmosphere, occurring primarily in the crystalline lattices of aluminosilicates or as iron oxides. Following its emission, iron tends to be mostly insoluble but can be converted into soluble forms when inorganic acids decrease the pH, and organic ligands create iron complexes during atmospheric transport. In this study, we address the importance of iron in global atmospheric oxidation processes by mechanistically modelling the related chemical processes in the gas and liquid phases within clouds, fog, rain droplets, and, for the first time, aqueous aerosols. We employ the atmospheric chemistry MESSy model infrastructure, coupled to the global general circulation model ECHAM5 (EMAC). We represent three mechanisms of iron dissolution into aerosol water, driven by aerosol acidity, irradiation, and the presence of oxalate in the solution, which acts as an organic ligand. In the atmosphere, oxalate is the dominant dicarboxylic acid, mainly formed via aqueous-phase oxidation of glyoxal and other organic compounds. Our new approach is to explicitly account for oxalate-related aqueous-phase chemistry. Through a series of sensitivity simulations, with and without soluble iron, we address the global impact of iron on aqueous-phase oxidation capacity. We find that iron uptake into aerosol water enhances OH reactivity, particularly in cloud droplets, thereby increasing the aqueous oxidation of isoprene oxidation products and influencing secondary organic aerosol formation.

How to cite: Rosanka, S., Klingmüller, K., Sander, R., Pozzer, A., Lelieveld, J., and Taraborrelli, D.: Impact of iron-containing dust on atmospheric oxidation processes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13178, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13178, 2026.

EGU26-13316 | PICO | AS3.5

Transported African Dust in the Lower Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer is Internally Mixed with Sea Salt Contributing to Increased Hygroscopicity and a Lower Lidar Depolarization Ratio 

Cassandra Gaston, Sujan Shrestha, Robert Holz, Willem Marais, Zachary Buckholtz, Ilya Razenkov, Edwin Eloranta, Jeffrey Reid, Hope Elliott, Nurun Nahar Lata, Zezhen Cheng, Swarup China, Edmund Blades, Albert Ortiz, Rebecca Chewitt-Lucas, Alyson Allen, Devon Blades, Ria Agrawal, Elizabeth Reid, and Jesus Ruiz-Plancarte and the Ragged Point MAGPIE Team

Saharan dust is frequently transported across the Atlantic, yet the chemical, physical, and morphological transformations dust undergoes within the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) remain poorly understood. These transformations are critical for understanding dust’s radiative and geochemical impacts, it’s representation in atmospheric models, and detection via remote sensing. Here, we present coordinated observations from the Office of Naval Research’s Moisture and Aerosol Gradients/Physics of Inversion Evolution (MAGPIE) August 2023 campaign at Ragged Point, Barbados. These include vertically resolved single-particle analyses, mass concentrations of dust and sea spray, and High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL) retrievals. Single-particle data show that dust within the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) remains externally mixed, with a corresponding high HSRL-derived linear depolarization ratio (LDR) at 532 nm of ~0.3. However, at lower altitudes, dust becomes internally mixed with sea spray, and under the high humidity (>80%) of the MABL undergoes hygroscopic growth, yielding more spherical particles, suppressing the LDR to <0.1; even in the presence of  high dust loadings (e.g., ~120 µg/m3). This low depolarization in the MABL is likely due to a combination of the differences between the single scattering properties of dust and spherical particles, and the potential modification of the dust optical properties from an increased hygroscopicity of dust caused by the mixing with sea salt in the humid MABL. These results highlight the importance of the aerosol particle mixing state when interpreting LDR-derived dust retrievals and estimating surface dust concentrations in satellite products and atmospheric models.

How to cite: Gaston, C., Shrestha, S., Holz, R., Marais, W., Buckholtz, Z., Razenkov, I., Eloranta, E., Reid, J., Elliott, H., Lata, N. N., Cheng, Z., China, S., Blades, E., Ortiz, A., Chewitt-Lucas, R., Allen, A., Blades, D., Agrawal, R., Reid, E., and Ruiz-Plancarte, J. and the Ragged Point MAGPIE Team: Transported African Dust in the Lower Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer is Internally Mixed with Sea Salt Contributing to Increased Hygroscopicity and a Lower Lidar Depolarization Ratio, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13316, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13316, 2026.

EGU26-13474 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Unraveling the geochemical signals from major episodes of Saharan dust at two different locations in the Amazon basin. 

Lea Collignon, Damien Guinoiseau, Kathy Panechou, Cassandra J. Gaston, Sebastian Brill, Stephen J.G. Galer, Suresh Karunanithi, Christopher Pohlker, and Cecile Quantin

Desert dust is the most abundant aerosol by mass in Earth’s atmosphere (global dust loading of 22-29 Tg; [1]). One key region of interest is the Amazon Basin, which acts as a major sink for mineral dust transported from North Africa (deposition flux of ∼10 Tg.yr-1; [1]), impacting the nutrient supply to this rainforest ecosystem [2]. Currently, Western African sources are expected to be the predominant dust source based on previous geochemical studies [3] and atmospheric modeling [4], while the contribution of the Bodélé region is highly debated [4]. However, further constraints are still needed to elucidate the nutrient bioavailability associated with dust and other aerosol types, as well as how chemical transformations may affect the dust geochemical signal during transport and continentalization.

This study focuses on simultaneous high-resolution records of North African dust episodes reaching two different South American locations from January to March 2025. The first location is a coastal observatory in French Guiana (ATMO), while the second is located in the central Amazon forest, in Brazil (ATTO). Although these observatories are separated by more than 1,000 km, they are both influenced by similar transatlantic air mass trajectories, enabling an assessment of the impact of air mass continentalization on the chemical and physical characteristics of the aerosol particles. Aerosol samples have been chemically characterized using a recently developed selective extraction protocol [3], which segregates particles into water-soluble, acid-soluble, and residual material, including the silicate fraction of dust [5].

A 65 % dust loading reduction is observed between ATMO and ATTO sites, accompanied by a decrease in the soluble fraction from 20–50 %, dominated by sea salt at ATMO, to less than 10 % at ATTO. Other constituents originate from the dissolution of carbonates (Ca, Mg) due to atmospheric processes, from the leaching of soot particles or the emission of bioaerosols (K, P), and from the partial dissolution of poorly crystallized oxides (Al, Fe).  

The silicate fraction, which dominates the aerosol mass (50-98%), reveals a remarkable stability in the elemental composition of dust, irrespective of the observatory location, the position within the dust event (onset, peak, or decay), or the meteorological conditions. This compositional consistency exhibits a highly coherent signal when compared with previous dust episodes observed in 2016, 2017, and 2024 [3]. Furthermore, isotopic signatures of Sr, Nd, and Pb, known as efficient proxies for dust sources, are in strong agreement with those measured during these earlier episodes, confirming the dominant role of the West African dust source and the negligible contribution of the Bodélé Depression. Overall, these findings underscore the robust stability of the geochemical signal carried by dust, thereby enhancing our understanding of the average dust composition that reaches the Amazon Basin. In contrast, the focus on more labile components is strategic since these elements are preferentially redistributed into the water- and acid-soluble fractions.

 

[1] Kok et al. (2021), https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-8169-2021

[2] Swap et al. (1992), https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1600-0889.1992.t01-1-00005.x

[3] Collignon et al., submitted.

[4] Yu et al. (2020), https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088020

[5] Kumar et al. (2018), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2018.01.025

 

How to cite: Collignon, L., Guinoiseau, D., Panechou, K., Gaston, C. J., Brill, S., Galer, S. J. G., Karunanithi, S., Pohlker, C., and Quantin, C.: Unraveling the geochemical signals from major episodes of Saharan dust at two different locations in the Amazon basin., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13474, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13474, 2026.

EGU26-14556 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Loess deposits record stable Mid-Pleistocene hydroclimate during phases of human occupation of Central Asia 

Ramona Schneider, Ekaterina Kulakova, Daniel Topal, Bjarne Almqvist, Jan-Pieter Buylaert, Farhad Khormali, Mads Faurschou Knudsen, Rezhep Kurbanov, Aske Lohse Sørensen, Gábor Újvári, David Keith Wright, Qiuzhen Yin, and Thomas Stevens

Palaeolithic tools preserved in the loess-palaeosol sections of southern Tajikistan as early as ~800 ka evidence the episodic presence of ancient hominins across major Quaternary climate shifts, such as the Mid-Pleistocene and Mid-Brunhes Transitions (MBT). The richest assemblage of lithic tools found in the region, the Karatau Culture, is found mainly in palaeosols associated with Marine Isotope Stages (MIS) 15, 13, and 11, with intervening glacial periods as well as previous and subsequent interglacial periods characterised by a near absence of tools, except for MIS 14 which contains a smaller number of artefacts. Curiously, the disappearance of the Karatau culture coincides with an abrupt increase in magnetic susceptibility in the palaeosol units. Currently, the cause of the alternating phases of occupation and their possible connection to wider-scale climate remain unclear.

The Khovaling Loess Plateau loess-palaeosol sequences provide an opportunity to understand the climatic and environmental context of the appearance and disappearance of early hominins. Since the Khovaling Loess Plateau is located in a transitional zone between climate systems (Mid-Latitude Westerlies, Siberian High and Indian Monsoon) regional climate may be sensitive to global climate reorganisations within the Quaternary. Based on the observed abrupt increase in magnetic susceptibility following MIS 11, it has been hypothesized that monsoon incursions may have occurred during some interglacials, and that these incursions may have ceased after MIS 11, coinciding with the disappearance of the Karatau culture. However, evidence for potential monsoon incursions is highly debated, and the cause for the change in the magnetic susceptibility record remains unclear. In this study, we apply a novel multi-frequency magnetic susceptibility approach, complemented by elemental composition data from XRF and XRD, and by paleoclimate simulations, to investigate possible variations of the hydroclimate in Central Asia. The simulations, performed with the fully-coupled HadCM3 global climate model, allow us to assess the relative and combined effects of orbital, greenhouse gas and ice sheet forcings on the hydroclimate variability including possible moisture transport pathway changes in Central Asia around MIS 13 and 11.

Based on the combined evidence, we argue that the abrupt increase in bulk magnetic susceptibility after MIS 11, observed across different sites in southern Tajikistan, is best explained by a sediment provenance change. It appears to be unrelated to any change in rainfall seasonality, and to a lesser degree, intensity. We demonstrate that relative frequency dependence of magnetic susceptibility (χFD %) is the most suitable proxy for calculating quantitative palaeoprecipitation estimates in this region. Our magnetic susceptibility results, calibrated against a modern-analogue based transfer function, indicate that the demise of the Karatau culture coincides with an approximate +25% increase in regional annual mean precipitation. Combined with the other proxy data, this result indicates a relatively stable regional climate across periods of hominin occupation and the MBT.

How to cite: Schneider, R., Kulakova, E., Topal, D., Almqvist, B., Buylaert, J.-P., Khormali, F., Faurschou Knudsen, M., Kurbanov, R., Sørensen, A. L., Újvári, G., Wright, D. K., Yin, Q., and Stevens, T.: Loess deposits record stable Mid-Pleistocene hydroclimate during phases of human occupation of Central Asia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14556, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14556, 2026.

EGU26-14701 | PICO | AS3.5

Trace metal-containing aerosols in the atmosphere of the Indian Ocean 

Johannes Passig, Aleksandrs Kalamašņikovs, Haseeb Hakkim, Robert Irsig, Sven Ehlert, Andreas Walte, Eric Achterberg, and Ralf Zimmermann

Atmospheric deposition of aerosols constitutes a major source of iron and other micronutrients to remote ocean regions, where nutrient limitation constrains primary productivity and carbon sequestration. However, large uncertainties persist due to sparse observational data and the lack of sensitive techniques capable of resolving metal solubility at low aerosol loadings. Here we present first results from a shipborne campaign conducted aboard R/V Sonne across the Indian Ocean in late 2024 within the framework of the GEOTRACES program.

Aerosol particles were characterized using a novel single-particle mass spectrometer (SPMS) employing resonant laser ionization, enabling the analysis of the chemical composition of several hundred thousand individual particles. While sea spray aerosols dominated the overall particle population, thousands of iron-containing particles were detected, primarily associated with long-range transported mineral dust. Notably, a subset of sea spray aerosol particles exhibited detectable iron signals, suggesting in-cloud mixing or surface re-emission processes as potential sources.

For mineral dust particles, nitrate represented the dominant secondary component even in air masses without continental influence for more than ten days. Elevated iron contents within dust particles frequently coincided with the presence of dicarboxylic acids, whereas Mg/Ca-rich particles were preferentially associated with sulfate, indicating distinct atmospheric processing pathways, transport histories, and likely differences in iron solubility. By resolving such internal mixtures at the single-particle level, the SPMS provides a powerful approach for source attribution and for assessing the potential bioavailability of aerosol-derived metals. These observations reveal an unexpectedly high abundance and chemical diversity of iron-containing aerosols over the Indian Ocean, underscoring their importance for ocean biogeochemistry and nutrient cycling in this understudied region.

How to cite: Passig, J., Kalamašņikovs, A., Hakkim, H., Irsig, R., Ehlert, S., Walte, A., Achterberg, E., and Zimmermann, R.: Trace metal-containing aerosols in the atmosphere of the Indian Ocean, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14701, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14701, 2026.

EGU26-16641 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Size-resolved mineralogy and grain size-shape analysis of airborne and deposited mineral dust in northern China 

Katja Bohm, Hui Tang, Bin Wang, Sergio Andò, Anu Kaakinen, Thomas Stevens, Johanna Salminen, Ove Haugvaldstad, Eduardo Garzanti, and Jianrong Bi

The chemical and physical properties of atmospheric mineral dust play a key role in determining its climatic and environmental effects. These properties also vary globally, highlighting the importance of observational studies and regional investigations in enhancing global models. One of the major global dusty regions is Central-East Asia, where severe dust events occur frequently. It also hosts the largest terrestrial mineral dust record on Earth, the Chinese Loess Plateau (CLP), where dust has been deposited over the past 2.6 million years and beyond. The CLP region thus offers a globally unique archive to investigate the role of dust in both past and present climate states.

In this ongoing project, dust was collected in 2019–2021 by passive and active dust samplers from a total of six locations across the CLP region. Active collectors were placed at the Lanzhou University Semi-Arid Climate and Environment Observatory (SACOL; Gansu) and in the Shapotou District of Zhongwei (Ningxia) in the southeastern margin of the Tengger Desert. Passive samplers were placed at SACOL, Lingtai (Gansu), Yinchuan (Ningxia), Luochuan (Shaanxi), and Fugu (Shaanxi).

Grain size distributions and grain shape parameters (e.g., circularity, convexity, elongation) were measured simultaneously by Dynamic Image Analysis (DIA), while magnetic susceptibility measurements were also applied to the samples. The mineralogy of different size fractions was analysed using a single grain approach by Raman spectroscopy in the 2–10, 10–20, 20–63, and >63 µm grain size windows. Future investigations will include X-ray diffraction mineralogical analysis of the <2 µm fraction.

Temporal variations with up to daily resolution of the above-mentioned dust properties were studied from the Shapotou site, and initial magnetic susceptibility analyses suggest a change in the iron oxide composition and/or grain size during a severe dust storm event in March 2021. Future analyses will combine dust source contribution modelling and sedimentological dust provenance studies to better understand the dust cycle in Central-East Asia and its driving forces. We will also use the information on the modern dust properties and provenance to enhance understanding of the past Central-East Asian dust cycle during varying global climate states in Earth’s history and during the formation of the CLP. These include periods of warmer global climates that can be considered analogous to future conditions on our planet.

How to cite: Bohm, K., Tang, H., Wang, B., Andò, S., Kaakinen, A., Stevens, T., Salminen, J., Haugvaldstad, O., Garzanti, E., and Bi, J.: Size-resolved mineralogy and grain size-shape analysis of airborne and deposited mineral dust in northern China, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16641, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16641, 2026.

EGU26-17511 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Late Pleistocene dust imprint in coastal dune archives spanning from the Canary to the Tyrrhenian Basin - Preliminary results 

Carsten Marburg, Andreas Gärtner, Heino Schäfer, Anja Maria Schleicher, Dominik Faust, and Christopher-Bastian Roettig

Saharan dust input is a well-known phenomenon worldwide but especially concerning landscapes around the Mediterranean Sea and on the Canary Islands since the largest dust source areas on earth are located in the Northern African continent. This dust transport is not just a recent process but has also been going on for the last glacial period with changing intensities. The availability of dust depends mainly on the vegetation cover in the source areas as well as changing wind strengths/pathways and is therefore a function of changing climate. Its effects have been imprinted in several geoarchives and are also well known from aeolianites. These coastal dune archives typically form in dependence of changes in sea level and are comprised of pale coloured carbonate sands, intercalated by reddish silty layers. The reddish silty layers are heavily influenced by dust imprint from the Northern African continent. The presented research project hence focuses on conducting detailed analyses on those layers to reconstruct the local and supraregional environmental conditions during the last glacial.
Our sites on the eastern Canary Islands (Lanzarote, Fuerteventura), SE-Spain, Balearic Islands (Formentera, Eivissa) and Sardinia offer best conditions to
(i) Analyse site-specific characteristics of the dust enriched layers and the stored information about the local environmental conditions,
(ii) Look for differences or systematical similarities in terms of quantities and admixture of dust material when comparing the different silty layers within a single site/profile,
(iii) Identify distinct source areas of dust as well as dominating dust pathways and
(iv) Correlate the different sites from the Canary to the Tyrrhenian basin and deduce supraregional patterns.
So far we conducted extensive fieldwork at all sites and realised a variety of laboratory analyses on samples from the Balearic Islands, for example grain-size specific heavy mineral, XRF-, XRD- and grain-size analysis. With our first results we identified dust enriched layers and utilised analysis of heavy mineral compositions as an additional method to trace possible dust source areas. With this we hope to contribute to the understanding of the large-scale development in the Western Mediterranean region and the Canary Islands during the last glacial.

How to cite: Marburg, C., Gärtner, A., Schäfer, H., Schleicher, A. M., Faust, D., and Roettig, C.-B.: Late Pleistocene dust imprint in coastal dune archives spanning from the Canary to the Tyrrhenian Basin - Preliminary results, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17511, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17511, 2026.

EGU26-18628 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

How well do climate models represent dust events over the Mediterranean, North Africa, and the Middle East? 

Faidon Mavroudis, Antonis Gkikas, Donifan Barahona, Marı́a Gonçalves Ageitos, Danny Leung, Carlos Pérez Garcı́a-Pando, Ove Westermoen Haugvaldstad, and Georgia Sotiropoulou

Dust aerosols constitute a key component of the Earth–atmosphere system, affecting the radiation budget, the microphysical and optical properties of clouds, air quality, terrestrial and aquatic processes, and human health. Dust-related impacts are critically governed by the atmospheric load of mineral particles and are amplified when the dust burden substantially exceeds background levels. Such conditions, commonly referred to as episodes or events, are exceptional and characterized by pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity.

In this study, we present an intercomparison of three state-of-the-art climate models (EC-Earth3, CESM2, and NorESM2) and the GiOcean Reanalysis in representing dust events over the Mediterranean, North Africa, and the Middle East during the period 2003–2018. A percentile-based threshold methodology is applied to  daily dust optical depth (DOD) and aerosol optical depth (AOD) values, at both the grid-cell and regional scales, to identify three intensity-based episode categories: weak, moderate and extreme.  In addition, the satellite-based MIDAS dataset, which provides columnar DOD at 550 nm, is used as a reference for model evaluation.

The primary objective of this study is to assess inter-model differences in the representation of dust episode frequency of occurrence and intensity across multiple spatiotemporal scales, considering both free-running and nudged model configurations. Our working framework enables a comprehensive analysis by: (i) evaluating the ability of state-of-the-art climate models to represent different dust episode regimes, and (ii) investigating how threshold definitions influence the resulting spatiotemporal patterns of dust episodes. Finally, the outcomes of this study are expected to substantially enhance understanding of the strengths and limitations of climate models in depicting dust episode characteristics, thereby supporting improved projections under different climate scenarios throughout the 21st century.

How to cite: Mavroudis, F., Gkikas, A., Barahona, D., Gonçalves Ageitos, M., Leung, D., Garcı́a-Pando, C. P., Haugvaldstad, O. W., and Sotiropoulou, G.: How well do climate models represent dust events over the Mediterranean, North Africa, and the Middle East?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18628, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18628, 2026.

EGU26-18712 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

A sink-to-source reverse approach to identify dust source regions within the Sahara based on PM₁₀ levels measured on the West African coast 

Marie Madeleine Atome Bassene, Aloys Bory, Moctar Camara, Yevgeny Derimian, Jean-Eudes Petit, Jean-Louis Rajot, Beatrice Marticorena, Laurine Verfaille, Dioncounda Yock, Fode Sambou, Thierno Mamadou Ndiaye, Aboubacry Diallo, and Viviane Roumazeilles

West Africa is a key region for the transport and deposition of Saharan mineral dust, with major impacts on air quality, climate, and ecosystems. Dust sources are numerous within the Sahara and their spatial extent remains poorly constrained, as do their granulometric, mineralogical, and chemical characteristics, which however control their impacts. Moreover, emission maps available in the literature do not allow the relative contribution of different source regions to a given impacted area to be assessed.

This study proposes a sink-to-source reverse approach aimed at improving the characterization of dust emission areas affecting the coastal West Africa. It is based on a three-year time series of PM₁₀ concentrations measured in Casamance, southern Senegal, a region under the influence of easterly winds (Harmattan) responsible for the transport of Saharan dust in the lower troposphere during the dry season. The measurements were conducted at a rural site (Pointe Saint Georges), minimally influenced by local and anthropogenic emissions.

PM₁₀ concentrations were coupled with air mass back-trajectories calculated using the HYSPLIT model and analyzed with the ZeFir software in order to identify potential source regions. Preliminary results suggest that, during high PM₁₀ concentration events observed along the West African coast, dust derived from two dominant sectors : one to the north-east including areas in Mauritania and across the Algerian-Mali border, and one to the east across the Sahelian region, confirming earlier findings (Le Quilleuc et al., 2021, JGR, doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035030). These results will be discussed in the light of emission areas provided by the satellite-based IDDI (Infrared Difference Dust Index) product as well as data on dust sources from the literature.

The results that will be presented highlight the potential of this sink-to-source approach for identifying mineral dust source areas based on airborne concentrations. This methodology, relying on low-cost sensors, is reproducible and applicable to any site located downwind of desert regions.

Keywords : PM₁₀, Saharan dust, Casamance, Senegal, air mass back-trajectories, HYSPLIT, ZeFir software, IDDI, sources

How to cite: Bassene, M. M. A., Bory, A., Camara, M., Derimian, Y., Petit, J.-E., Rajot, J.-L., Marticorena, B., Verfaille, L., Yock, D., Sambou, F., Ndiaye, T. M., Diallo, A., and Roumazeilles, V.: A sink-to-source reverse approach to identify dust source regions within the Sahara based on PM₁₀ levels measured on the West African coast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18712, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18712, 2026.

EGU26-19014 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Fewer Dust Storms, Greater Dust Concentration in the Air 

Alaa Mhawish, Udaya Bhaskar Gunturu, Saud Alamoudi, Sultan Alduaji, and Jumaan Alqahtani

Recent observations over the Arabian Peninsula reveal an apparent paradox: while the frequency of synoptically forced dust storms has declined since the late 1990s, mean near-surface dust concentrations, poor-visibility events, and chronic air-quality degradation have increased. This contrast is often attributed to changes in emissions or land use. Here, we propose instead that the paradox reflects an abrupt dynamical regime shift in large-scale circulation and boundary-layer ventilation. The Arabian Peninsula is strongly influenced by baroclinic disturbances generated by short-wavelength Rossby waves radiated from the subtropical jet stream (STJ). These disturbances drive deep vertical coupling, strong surface winds, and efficient ventilation of the boundary layer. Multiple independent diagnostics indicate that the regional circulation underwent an abrupt transition in the late 1990s, marked by increased static stability, increased pressure depth of the troposphere, a reduction in the squared meridional temperature gradient, and a corresponding decline in mean available potential energy. These changes are consistent with weakened Rossby wave radiation and reduced baroclinic activity downstream of the STJ.

The consequences of this transition are twofold. First, reduced baroclinic activity suppresses deep convection, strong downdrafts, and synoptically driven high-wind events, leading to a decline in dust storm frequency. Second, and critically, weakened ageostrophic flow at the top of the boundary layer reduces shear-driven turbulence generation, particularly under stable boundary-layer conditions. The resulting collapse of vertical mixing limits ventilation and increases the residence time of dust near the surface, leading to higher mean surface concentrations despite fewer extreme dust events.

This framework extends a dynamical theory previously developed to explain abrupt increases in fog under weakened baroclinic forcing to mineral dust and air quality. The results demonstrate that reduced ventilation alone is sufficient to reconcile declining dust storm frequency with increasing surface dust loading, highlighting the nonlinear sensitivity of boundary-layer processes to large-scale circulation changes. The findings underscore the importance of regime shifts in atmospheric dynamics for understanding long-term changes in dust, pollution, and visibility in arid regions.

How to cite: Mhawish, A., Gunturu, U. B., Alamoudi, S., Alduaji, S., and Alqahtani, J.: Fewer Dust Storms, Greater Dust Concentration in the Air, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19014, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19014, 2026.

EGU26-19098 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Source-Limited Dust Emission in the Tarim Basin, China: Landform-Specific Parameterisation and Wind-Flux Hysteresis 

Yin Guo, Xin Gao, Jiaqiang Lei, and Wim Cornelis

Abstract: Dust emissions from the Tarim Basin, China, are governed by strong surface heterogeneity and finite sediment supply, two pivotal controls that can induce source depletion and wind-flux hysteresis during dust events. In this study, we adopt the source-limited dust emission (SLDE) scheme proposed by Shao (2025) and develop a landform-specific parameterization that couples remotely sensed surface units with field-measured particle-size data. Specifically, we generate a mutually exclusive seven-class geomorphology map in Google Earth Engine via a hierarchical decision tree, which integrates multi-source datasets including topography (MERIT DEM), vegetation coverage (MODIS NDVI), surface water occurrence (JRC Global Surface Water), and Sentinel-1 backscatter texture characteristics. The resultant geomorphological units comprise mobile dunes, vegetated hummock dunes, fixed/semi-fixed sandy lands, interdune areas, gobi/deflation surfaces, fluvial-lacustrine sediments, and mountain/loess terrains. For each unit, class-specific particle-size distributions are compiled from in-situ measurements and converted into discretized lookup tables, which serve as static input parameters for the SLDE scheme. Initial diagnostic experiments at both column and point scales, driven by hourly 10-m wind data from ERA5-Land (for the April 2020 case study), reveal distinct dust emission regimes across different landform types. On supply-limited surfaces-notably gobi/deflation and fluvial-lacustrine units-our simulations demonstrate that dust flux declines markedly under sustained high-wind conditions as the near-surface sediment reservoir becomes depleted, leading to pronounced hysteresis in the wind-flux relationship. The effective emission efficiency decreases from nearly unity at the onset of dust events to ~0.1 by the late stages, even when wind speeds remain above the threshold friction velocity for dust emission. In contrast, transport-limited behavior dominates in regions with ample sediment supply. These findings establish a physically interpretable framework for deriving SLDE parameters from geomorphological classifications and particle-size properties. Ongoing gridded simulations will quantify the extent to which sediment depletion reshapes the spatial contribution of key deflation zones, as well as the event-integrated dust emission budget, relative to results derived under conventional transport-limited assumptions.

Keywords: Source-limited dust emission; Source depletion; Wind-Flux Hysteresis; Particle size distribution

How to cite: Guo, Y., Gao, X., Lei, J., and Cornelis, W.: Source-Limited Dust Emission in the Tarim Basin, China: Landform-Specific Parameterisation and Wind-Flux Hysteresis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19098, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19098, 2026.

EGU26-19364 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5 | Highlight

Experimental Characterisation of the Electric and Magnetic Fields Generated by Dust Devils  

David Reid, Karen Aplin, and Nick Teanby

Lofted particulate in dust devils becomes charged through triboelectrification, that is, the exchange of charge in collision between grains. Electric fields from charged dust were first detected in the mid 17th century, with quantitative measurements recording in the region of kilovolts per metre. Magnetic field observations of dust devils are much less common, with the only published terrestrial measurement from 2001 in Arizona. The most complete magnetic field dataset associated with dust devils comes from NASA’s InSight mission to Mars, with 1200 sols of near-continuous observation, and over 15000 convective events detected, likely to be dust devils.  

To better understand the expected electric and magnetic fields generated by these aeolian features, a new apparatus was developed, building upon previous experimental work. The Terrestrial Experimental appaRatus for Investigating the Electric and magnetic fields of dust devils (TERIE) consists of a multi-instrumented 1000 mm diameter, 1200 mm tall tank, lined externally with grounded aluminium foil to act as a Faraday cage, and internally with sand to reduce the impact of tribocharging from particle-wall collisions. 

The apparatus records electric field strength at 4 vertical positions, and the (vector) magnetic field at 3 vertical positions. Through photodiodes, the optical thickness of the dust devil column can be evaluated, and offline sampling of the suspended particles can be used to understand the distribution through the profile of the simulated event. By incorporation of different mast positions, the radial profile of the generated field can also be investigated. 

Initial results from the new experimental apparatus show electric fields exceeding 40~kVm-1 were generated by the rotation of sand, with the distribution of the field broadly matching that expected from simulation. Some low frequency, sub-nanotesla variations in magnetic field were detected in the presence of rotating charged sand, consistent with expectations from models and previous experiments.  

How to cite: Reid, D., Aplin, K., and Teanby, N.: Experimental Characterisation of the Electric and Magnetic Fields Generated by Dust Devils , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19364, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19364, 2026.

EGU26-19688 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

The Pb, Nd, and Sr isotopic characterisation of dust sources in North Africa and Western Asia. 

Daniel Howcroft, Anya Crocker, Rex Taylor, Agnes Michalik, J. Andy Milton, Nick Drake, Paul Breeze, Derek Keir, Michael Petraglia, Jaafar Jotheri, Deepak Jha, and Paul Wilson

Mineral dust is a key component of Earth’s climate system; it influences the global radiation budget, fertilises ecosystems, and constitutes a threat to human health. Accumulation of windblown dust in marine archives provides a means to assess past change in Earth’s continental hydroclimate. However, interpretations of these records are often undermined by an attribution problem: the uncertainty of provenance. Here we report new radiogenic isotope data (Sr, Nd, and Pb) from unconsolidated surface sediments sampled from active dust sources and integrate them with published geochemical and satellite-derived datasets (such as dust source activation frequency (DSAF)) to define preferential source areas (PSAs) across the Northern Hemisphere dust belt. Our analysis shows that pairing Pb with Nd or Sr isotope data allows clearer discrimination between source regions that overlap in Nd-Sr space. We also show that Pb data are particularly helpful to discriminate between sources when presented as D207Pb/204Pb and D208Pb/204Pb: deviations of Pb from the Northern Hemisphere Reference Line (NHRL) that defines the Pb isotopic evolution of the Northern Hemisphere’s mantle. Comparison with published Pb isotope data reveals major limitations in spatial coverage and suggests that application of more consistent cleaning protocols is merited including removal of anthropogenic Pb. Nevertheless, our new data help to discriminate among the dust sources of East Africa and Western Asia more clearly than before, improving our ability to interpret past continental hydroclimate change recorded in marine sediment cores from the northern Indian Ocean.

How to cite: Howcroft, D., Crocker, A., Taylor, R., Michalik, A., Milton, J. A., Drake, N., Breeze, P., Keir, D., Petraglia, M., Jotheri, J., Jha, D., and Wilson, P.: The Pb, Nd, and Sr isotopic characterisation of dust sources in North Africa and Western Asia., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19688, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19688, 2026.

EGU26-20205 | PICO | AS3.5

Selected Mineral Dust Events at the Sonnblick Observatory in 2024: Identification and Characterization Using In-Situ Data, PMF analysis and Atmospheric Transport Modelling 

Gerhard Schauer, Barbara Scherllin Pirscher, Alicja Skiba, Thomas Bachleitner, Kathrin Baumann-Stanzer, Anne Kasper-Giebl, and Julia Burkart

Mineral dust, emitted from soils in arid regions by wind erosion, represents one of the largest fractions of atmospheric aerosol by mass. Once airborne, dust can travel thousands of kilometers, influencing the atmosphere through scattering and absorption of sunlight, acting as ice-nucleating particles, and depositing on the ground where it reduces snow albedo and delivers nutrients to remote regions. High-altitude mountain stations provide a unique opportunity to study dust in the free troposphere and its long-range transport.

The Sonnblick Observatory (3106 m a.s.l.), located on the main ridge of the Austrian Alps, receives dust, particularly from Northern Africa, throughout the year. In this study, we focus on selected dust events during 2024, a year of particular interest due to one of the most intense events (aerosol mass above 700 µg/m3, 30 min averages) detected at the observatory. The observatory is a Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) station, an Aerosol, Clouds, and Trace Gases Research Infrastructure (ACTRIS) aerosol in situ national facility and hosts a variety of aerosol, cloud and meteorological measurements.

Saharan dust events (SDEs) are initially identified using the “Saharan Dust Event Index,” routinely derived from in-situ optical measurements (nephelometer and aethalometer) at the station (Schauer et al. 2016). In addition, positive matrix factorization (PMF) of in-situ aerosol data is applied, with one significant factor interpreted as mineral dust and used for a second, independent event identification. PMF highlights events that may not be captured by the Saharan Dust Index, illustrating its potential as a complementary approach for dust detection. Individual events are further characterized using the full suite of in-situ measurements and weekly offline chemical composition analyses (inorganic ions, selected elements and carbohydrates as well as elemental and organic carbon) of PM10 filter samples, again combined with PMF analysis to identify major aerosol sources. Particle size distributions up to 100 µm during SDEs are retrieved from multiple instruments, including a mobility spectrometer, optical particle counter, and holographic measurements (SwisensPoleno Jupiter). Average size distributions are calculated for each event. Meteorological and atmospheric conditions are analyzed in relation to particle size distributions and optical properties. Particular attention is given to events identified solely by PMF.

Typical transport pathways are investigated using FLEXPART, and dust concentrations are simulated with WRF-Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled with Chemistry) and compared with in-situ observations. The WRF-Chem simulation considers only dust emissions, generated by the AFWA (Air Force Weather Agency) dust emission scheme. Hourly-resolved surface dust concentration, vertically resolved dust concentration profiles, and dust load are available on a 0.2° x 0.2° latitude-longitude grid. The data also contribute to the Sand and Dust Storms Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS) model ensemble.

We summarize a full season of observed dust events, identify their characteristic features and develop a data analysis strategy applicable to longer time periods. In particular, we examine PMF analysis as a potential tool for SDE detection.

Schauer, G., Kasper-Giebl, A. and Mocnik, G. (2016); https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.2015.05.0337

Acknowledgements
The participation of A. Skiba was supported by the program “Excellence Initiative – Research University” for the AGH University of Krakow (ID:13958).

How to cite: Schauer, G., Scherllin Pirscher, B., Skiba, A., Bachleitner, T., Baumann-Stanzer, K., Kasper-Giebl, A., and Burkart, J.: Selected Mineral Dust Events at the Sonnblick Observatory in 2024: Identification and Characterization Using In-Situ Data, PMF analysis and Atmospheric Transport Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20205, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20205, 2026.

EGU26-21358 | PICO | AS3.5

The A-LIFE aircraft field experiment in the Eastern Mediterranean: what have we learned about mineral dust mixtures? 

Bernadett Weinzierl, Maximilian Dollner, Josef Gasteiger, Marilena Teri, Manuel Schöberl, Katharina Heimerl, Anne Tipka, Petra Seibert, Heidi Huntrieser, Robert Wagner, Konrad Kandler, Aryasree Sudharaj, Thomas Müller, Sophia Brilke, Nikolaus Fölker, Daniel Sauer, Oliver Reitebuch, Silke Groß, Volker Freudenthaler, and Carlos Toledano and the A-LIFE Science Team

Mineral dust is a key component of the globally-emitted aerosol mass. Although, mineral dust mixes with anthropogenic pollution during its atmospheric lifetime, data on polluted mineral dust layers have been scarce.

In April 2017, the A-LIFE aircraft field experiment (www.a-life.at) was carried out in the Eastern Mediterranean. A-LIFE combined ground-based, airborne, satellite, and modelling efforts to characterize mineral dust mixtures with unprecedented detail. In 22 research flights (~80 flight hours), outbreaks of Saharan and Arabian dust, as well as pollution, biomass burning, and dust-impacted clouds were studied, and a unique aerosol and cloud data set was collected. Aerosol source apportionment was achieved with the Lagrangian transport and dispersion model FLEXPART version 8.2. Based on FLEXPART model results and aerosol measurements, the observations were classified into 12 aerosol types consisting of four main aerosol types (Saharan dust, Arabian dust, mixtures with and without coarse mode). Each of the four main aerosol types was further separated into three sub-classes (clean, moderately-polluted and polluted). For each of the 12 aerosol classes, microphysical and optical aerosol properties were derived.

For the first time, the effect of pollution on the microphysical and optical properties of Saharan and Arabian dust was investigated systematically, revealing significant changes as a function of pollution content. The particle size distribution changes as a function of pollution content with effective diameters systematically decreasing for increasing pollution content. The collected data also provide new insights into the impact of Saharan and Arabian dust on cloud evolution processes, atmospheric radiation budget, and local meteorology. One outstanding finding of A-LIFE is that scattering properties of polluted dust mixtures do not show the typical dust signature, but rather show a wavelength-dependency of the scattering coefficient which is typical for pollution. This means that optical properties of mineral mixtures are frequently dominated by the pollution.

In this presentation, we will show the results of the A-LIFE project including its mission objectives, experimental design, and meteorological conditions; highlight major A-LIFE findings; and feature the available data products on the optical, microphysical, and hygroscopic properties of pure and polluted mineral dust.

How to cite: Weinzierl, B., Dollner, M., Gasteiger, J., Teri, M., Schöberl, M., Heimerl, K., Tipka, A., Seibert, P., Huntrieser, H., Wagner, R., Kandler, K., Sudharaj, A., Müller, T., Brilke, S., Fölker, N., Sauer, D., Reitebuch, O., Groß, S., Freudenthaler, V., and Toledano, C. and the A-LIFE Science Team: The A-LIFE aircraft field experiment in the Eastern Mediterranean: what have we learned about mineral dust mixtures?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21358, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21358, 2026.

EGU26-22343 | ECS | PICO | AS3.5

Sub-seasonal WRF-Chem reanalysis of extreme Saharan dust outbreaks in spring-summer 2024: balancing phase consistency and aerosol realism 

Alessandra Chiappini, Umberto Rizza, Giorgio Passerini, and Antonio Ricchi

Saharan dust outbreaks intermittently exert strong radiative, air quality and depositional impacts across the Euro-Mediterranean, due to the intrinsic characteristics of this phenomenon, yet their numerical reproduction remains challenging. Here we investigate modelling strategies that preserve spatio-temporal consistency in sub seasonal integrations with WRF-Chem, focusing on three major dust intrusions affecting Italy in 2024: 25 March to 1 April, 18 to 21 June, and 8 to 14 July. We perform a set of reanalysis driven experiments over a single 5 km grid domain spanning North Africa and the Mediterranean into continental Europe, forced by ECMWF IFS analyses at 6 hourly frequencies. Model performance is assessed against complementary observing systems over the Euro-Mediterranean with emphasis on Italy. Our core objective is to quantify how spectral nudging can mitigate large scale phase errors and long run drift, while avoiding an overly constrained mesoscale circulation that may distort dust emission, uplift and transport. In addition, using a sequence of sensitivity runs initialized at increasing lead times, we estimate event dependent spin-up thresholds that stabilize domain integrated dust mass and optical depth, while maintaining realistic emission timing, intensity and extension, to suggest a transferable good practice workflow for episodic dust reanalysis and for longer sub seasonal experiments. Overall, this study frames spectral nudging not as an arbitrary choice but as a tunable constraint whose optimal setting depends on the intended balance between large scale fidelity and internally generated aerosol meteorology feedback, with clear implications for WRF-Chem based dust assessments over Italy and the central western Mediterranean. The focus is on the fact that, despite an approximate 40% increase in computational time, the use of spectral nudging emerges as an optimized approach, both in terms of physical consistency and final computational cost savings. This technique proves particularly advantageous in reducing the overall number of simulations required within the context of sub-seasonal reanalysis.

How to cite: Chiappini, A., Rizza, U., Passerini, G., and Ricchi, A.: Sub-seasonal WRF-Chem reanalysis of extreme Saharan dust outbreaks in spring-summer 2024: balancing phase consistency and aerosol realism, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22343, 2026.

GM7 – Tectonic, Volcanic, and Regional Geomorphology

The north-eastern Himalaya display an early stage of tectonism since the disintegration of Gondwanaland. The Kameng watershed, situated in the westernmost part of the Arunachal Himalayas, represents a critical zone of active tectonic deformation. Its significance arises from its position at the triple junction of three major seismo-tectonic domains: the Eastern Himalayan Collision Zone (EHCZ) to the north, the Plate Boundary Zone of the Shillong Plateau Assam Valley Bengal Basin (PBZSPAVBB) to the southwest, and the Assam Gap (AG) to the southeast. Additionaly the region is traversed by four major fault and detachment systems: Main Frontal Thrust (MFT), Main Boundary Thrust (MBT), Main Central Thrust (MCT), and South Tibetan Detachment System (STDS) from south to north. Such geodynamic settings are expected to leave imprints on the spatial variability of tectonic activity across the region, making this an important aspect to investigate in understanding the differential tectonic response of the Kameng watershed. Concentrated earthquake events in the northwestern part of the watershed and a sudden debris flow in the recent past in Wapra-bung, a tributary located in the vicinity of the same region, drew significant attention and led to the hypothesis of a potential link among the ongoing stress accommodation along the older thrust and detachment systems (MCT and STDS) in the hinterland, the debris flow in the northwestern segment, and the concentrated distribution of seismic events in the northwest region of the Kameng watershed. Relative and Total Slope-extension Index (RDEs/RDEt), the Stream Length Gradient–Hotspot and Cluster Analysis (SL-HCA) using the Getis-Ord Gi statistic, Relative Tectonic Uplift (Ut) of the sub-watersheds, along with seismological analysis using the Gutenberg–Richter relationship, were conducted on seventeen sub-watersheds of the Kameng watershed to evaluate tectonic deformation within the region. Findings suggest that the heightened tectonic activity in the northwestern region is not coincidental but is likely linked to the Radial Expansion and the Oblique Convergence Model, with ongoing stress accommodation along the STDS and MCT in the hinterland. In contrast, the eastern side of the Kameng watershed exhibits lower seismic activity and reduced tectonic instability, possibly associated with the Assam Gap, where the stress release rate is relatively low compared to the Eastern Himalayan Collision Zone to the north and the Shillong Plateau to the southwest. In Arunachal Himalaya, approximately 6 mm/yr of total ~15 mm/yr plate convergence is being absorbed between Bomdila and Tezpur in the Lesser/Outer Himalaya; this fact could be the explanation of the heightened tectonic activities. In comparison, about 10 mm/yr is taken up between Bomdila and Tawang in the Greater/Tethyan Himalaya. Field evidence, including a 39°C hot water spring near Dirang along the Bichom River, further supports the inference of active deformation within the north-western side of the watershed.

How to cite: Das, S. and Biswas, M.: Active Tectonic Deformation of the Kameng watershed: Evidence from Geomorphic Indices and Seismological Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-725, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-725, 2026.

EGU26-818 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Multi-isotopic (δ34SSO4, δ13CDIC) evidence for enhanced sulfide oxidation in the central Himalayas: A Spatio-temporal study 

Satyabrata Das, Rakesh Kumar Rout, Kruttika Mohapatra, Gyana Ranjan Tripathy, Abhayanand Singh Maurya, and Santosh Kumar Rai

Sulfuric acid-mediated carbonate weathering in mountainous regions serves as a dominant CO2 source, counterbalancing the carbon sequestration via silicate weathering. In this study, we investigated the intensity and controlling factors for sulfide oxidation for a major Himalayan River (the Yamuna River) draining the central Himalaya, using dissolved major ions, and δ34SSO4 and δ13CDIC data. The water samples examined in this study include spatial collections from the mainstream and its tributaries during monsoon (2022), and biweekly samples collected at the mountain front (at Paonta Sahib, India) of the Yamuna River for a duration of one year (2022-23). The spatial δ13CDIC data vary between -7.4‰ and 4.3‰, which are intermediate between carbonic acid-mediated silicate weathering (-24‰ ± 2‰) and sulfuric acid-mediated carbonate weathering (0‰ ± 2‰).At the spatial scale, the average SO42- concentration (~300 µM) is about six times higher than that of the Ganga (~58 µm) and Brahmaputra (~78 µM) outflows, and about three times higher than the global rivers (~88 µM). The corresponding δ34SSO4 data vary between 2.3‰ and 25.5‰, with an average value of 13.0 ‰. The δ34SSO4 values for the mountainous samples are more depleted than those from the floodplains, hinting at intense sulfuric acid-mediated weathering in the mountainous region. The δ34SSO4 values also exhibit strong seasonal variations, with more depleted δ34SSO4 signatures (14.1‰ ± 1.0‰) during the monsoon compared to those for the non-monsoon (17.0‰ ± 1.3‰) period. The observed seasonal difference (~3‰) suggests water level and oxygen availability influence the oxidation reactions at subsurface level. Our preliminary observation indicates intense sulfide oxidation in this mountainous catchment, possibly triggered by basin lithology and oxygen availability.   

How to cite: Das, S., Rout, R. K., Mohapatra, K., Tripathy, G. R., Maurya, A. S., and Rai, S. K.: Multi-isotopic (δ34SSO4, δ13CDIC) evidence for enhanced sulfide oxidation in the central Himalayas: A Spatio-temporal study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-818, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-818, 2026.

EGU26-982 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Pyrite oxidation in the Brahmaputra river basin: A δ34SSO4-δ18OSO4 study 

Kruttika Mohapatra, Rakesh Kumar Rout, Gyana Ranjan Tripathy, Satyabrata Das, and Santosh K. Rai

Dissolved δ34SSO4 and δ18OSO4 data for the Brahmaputra mainstream were investigated for monsoon (September-October, 2022) and non-monsoon (February-March, 2022) periods. These data were used to evaluate the effect of sulfide oxidation­­, a dominant source of atmospheric CO2, in this large Himalayan river basin on the global carbon cycle. Sulfate concentrations of the mainstream exhibit strong spatial variations, with relative higher values observed near the Eastern Syntaxis (326 ± 41 μM) compared to the lower reaches (184 ± 46 μM). Average SO4 concentrations for the monsoon (227 ± 103 μM) and non-monsoon (244 ± 55 μM) periods do not show significant seasonal variations. However, the δ34SSO4 of the monsoon samples (2.1 - 5.3 ‰) are systematically lower than those for the non-monsoon samples (4.3 - 7.1 ‰), indicating enhanced sulfide oxidation during the high flow stages. Similarly, the δ18OSO4 of the monsoon samples (-3.0 - -9.8 ‰) are more depleted than those of the non-monsoon samples (0.1 - 5.9 ‰). Enriched δ18OSO4 values for lean-flow period may reflect seasonal changes in δ18O values of the reactive fluids, and/or relative contribution of (i) oxygen to the sulfate, and (ii) sulfate supplied through pyrite and gypsum dissolution. Source-apportionment modeling confirms that the river cations at the Guwahati supplied mainly by carbonates (~62% in monsoon; ~55% in non-monsoon) and silicates (~34% in monsoon; ~36% in non-monsoon). A Monte-Carlo modeling of the δ18OSO4 isotopic balance equations indicates that sulfide-derived sulfate at Guwahati for monsoon (fpy ~60%) is about twice that during the non-monsoon (fpy ~30%) periods. Higher sulfide oxidation during the monsoon is likely linked to greater oxygen availability at the subsurface pyrite weathering front and increased interaction with reactive fluids. Additionally, monsoon samples were influenced by a flood event, which may have further enhanced oxidation rates in the basin.

How to cite: Mohapatra, K., Rout, R. K., Tripathy, G. R., Das, S., and Rai, S. K.: Pyrite oxidation in the Brahmaputra river basin: A δ34SSO4-δ18OSO4 study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-982, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-982, 2026.

EGU26-994 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Evidence of Forebulge Uplift in Late Quaternary Stratigraphy of the Southern Ganga Plains: Insights from the Chambal Basin, India 

Parv Kasana, Vimal Singh, Sampat K Tandon, Rohit Kumar, and Rahul Devrani

Forebulge uplift plays a significant role in foreland-basin evolution; however, uplift history and stratigraphic expression are often difficult to resolve within continental interiors, where deformation is subtle and typically modelled over million-year timescales. A key question that remains unresolved is how slow forebulge uplift manifests itself in sedimentary facies architecture and geomorphic response at shorter (kiloyear) timescales.

Chambal River Basin, the largest cratonic tributary of the Ganga River and forming the western extent of the Southern Ganga Plains (SGP) in the Himalayan Foreland is characterized by extensive badland development that has resulted in exceptional sedimentary sections that preserve signatures of coupled forebulge dynamics and climatic fluctuations.

Through integrated sedimentary facies analysis and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating, we identify a basin-wide stratigraphic framework comprising a laterally extensive paleosol/interfluve unit (~113 ka), overlain by channel deposits (60–40 ka), and capped by Holocene floodplain sediments (~7 ka). The spatial extent and age equivalence of the basal paleosols correlated with regional records from Kalpi (~119 ka), Dahelkhand (~120 ka), and Ganga–Yamuna interfluve boreholes indicate a region-wide phase of landscape stability during MIS-5. While younger incision–aggradation cycles are linked to late Quaternary climatic fluctuations, the lateral continuity, maturity, and thickness of the MIS-5 paleosols point to prolonged landscape stability and fluvial incision, which we interpret as the geomorphic response to Central Indian Forebulge (CIF) uplift.

Our results demonstrate that even low-magnitude forebulge movements can manifest in sediment routing, modulate base levels, and generate regionally consistent pedogenic surfaces over shorter timescales. These findings highlight the sensitivity of craton-draining rivers to subtle flexural forcing.

How to cite: Kasana, P., Singh, V., Tandon, S. K., Kumar, R., and Devrani, R.: Evidence of Forebulge Uplift in Late Quaternary Stratigraphy of the Southern Ganga Plains: Insights from the Chambal Basin, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-994, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-994, 2026.

EGU26-1546 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Global Influence of Tectonic Rock Damage on Erosional Efficiency 

Boontigan Kuhasubpasin, Seulgi Moon, and Carolina Lithgow-Bertelloni

Active fault influence landscape through both tectonic deformation and surface erosion. Although their role in generating rock uplift is well established, the global impact of fault-related rock damage on erosional efficiency remains poorly constrained. Using a compilation of 1,744 cosmogenic 10Be–derived erosion rates, we demonstrate that erosional efficiency is systematically enhanced within approximately 15 km of mapped fault traces and declines with increasing distance, following an inverse sigmoidal trend extending to roughly 100 km. The strongest responses are associated with reverse faults and faults exceeding 140 km in length. The observed decay length scale implies that tectonic damage extends well beyond fault-core pulverization, potentially reflecting grain-scale weakening, increased fracture density from seismic shaking, and distributed deformation within complex fault networks. Machine-learning analyses identify proximity to faults as a primary control on erosional efficiency, surpassing the influence of precipitation and lithology, with model performance further improved by incorporating metrics of seismic shaking. Together, these results indicate that active tectonics modulate erosion not only through uplift but also by enhancing erosional efficiency via widespread rock damage.

How to cite: Kuhasubpasin, B., Moon, S., and Lithgow-Bertelloni, C.: Global Influence of Tectonic Rock Damage on Erosional Efficiency, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1546, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1546, 2026.

EGU26-3495 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Tectonics from topography: Embracing noise and uncertainty in inverse modelling of landscapes 

Matthew Morris, Gareth Roberts, Fred Richards, and Alex Lipp
Disentangling the roles of climatic or lithologic processes from tectonic ones in shaping landscapes remains an important goal within the geosciences. However, this endeavour is complicated by the existence of ‘geomorphic noise’---the shaping of topography by surface processes operating on shorter timescales than large scale tectonic uplift.  We present a probabilistic inverse modelling framework that can recover histories of uplift from noisy topography. It is shown that noise added to landscape simulations generates variability in their resultant geomorphic properties, but that ensemble-based approaches to landscape evolution modelling are well-suited to quantifying this uncertainty. Unlike Euclidean approaches (e.g., root mean square), optimal transport-based techniques for comparing observed and theoretical topographies are able to ‘see through’ local complexity. Crucially, this precludes the need for precise knowledge about initial conditions, reproducing facsimiles of observed topography, and assumptions of topographic steady state, all of which are likely to be unrealistic expectations in recovering tectonics from topography. We show that recovering spatially- and temporally variable uplift histories with this modelling framework is applicable to large portions of Earth’s surface and may have valuable implications for identifying mineral resources.
 

How to cite: Morris, M., Roberts, G., Richards, F., and Lipp, A.: Tectonics from topography: Embracing noise and uncertainty in inverse modelling of landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3495, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3495, 2026.

EGU26-3920 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Seven steps towards a terrace model of the Middle Rhine Valley 

Johannes Preuß, Prof. i.R., Dr.

Climate, tectonic and fluvial processes are the forces and river-terraces the product. Between Bingen and Bonn, the Rhine crosses the uplifted Rhenish slate mountains and is supported by Graben-building processes. We could find 28 separate sediment-bodies of the Rhine with bedrock surfaces by drilling. We were using the palaeomagnetic dating of sediments by Scheidt et al. (2015) of two drillings in the Rhine-Graben to force an entry into the palaeomagnetic time-model.

From 2006 to 2013 a geomorphological project between Bad Kreuznach and Bingen was revived, that was started in the 1980-ies by Görg and Preuß. It was enlarged to Boppard (Preuß et al. 2015, 2019; Preuß 2017).

From the data a Downstream Correlation Diagram (see Fig. 1) for more than 60 river-kilometers was created, in which 726 drillings are summarized. It was used to construct a composite sequence (Collected Sequence) of the recorded 28 sediment bodies resting on bedrock surfaces (see Fig. 1 & 2). The Collected Sequence was inserted in the Quaternary temperature curve derived from pollen by Zagwijn (1985, 1998), into the cold intervals with temperatures of the warmest month below 10°C. The ages of the intervals with maximum cooling were taken from the MIS (Cohen & Gibbard, 2011). This is the Chrono-Sequence (1) with MIS time-model. The Chrono-Sequence (1), in their chronological order, was transferred by mathematical calculation into two paleomagnetically dated drill cores from Heidelberg (307 m) and Viernheim (221 m). (For the cores: Gabriel, Ellwanger, Hoselmann & Weidenfeller, (2008), for paleomagnetic dating: Scheidt, Hambach & Rolf (2015). In the underlying and overlying stratum of the transferred points, the lower boundary (coarse sediments) and upper boundary (fine sediments, organic material, paleosols) were identified in photographs of the cores. Their ages were calculated using the paleomagnetic depth-functions of the respective cores and subsequently combined into mean values of both cores (red column in Fig. 2). This is Chrono-Sequence (2) with a palaeomagnetic time-model. In Fig. 3, Chrono-Sequence (1) was plotted on the x-axis (time) and the elevation of bedrock-surfaces on the y-axis. Linear equations were calculated (see Fig 3). The gradients amount to 52 m/Ma (upper) and 66 m/Ma (lower). The lower curve segment corresponds to the uplift rate (= rate of incision). In the upper curve segment, the uplift rate was reduced by subsidence of about 14 m/Ma. According to its assumed age, the bedrock surface of the oldest terrace (tRh1.1) would have been lowered from 311 m a. s. l. by 37 m to its present level at 274 m a. s. l. To the initial elevation of 311 m a. s. l., the present-day thalweg of the Rhine was inserted into the model as a third-order polynomial line (see Fig. 6 (=5/2). The terrace model was evaluated using two independent datasets from the Lower Middle Rhine Valley (Bibus (1980); Hoselmann (1994)) (see Fig. 7). The latest (“paper”-)model fits well with the real situations of the rock-bases.

How to cite: Preuß, Prof. i.R., Dr., J.: Seven steps towards a terrace model of the Middle Rhine Valley, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3920, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3920, 2026.

EGU26-5394 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Modeling the ups and downs of continental rifting: Feedbacks between normal faulting, flexural isostasy and erosion 

Fabian Dremel, Jörg Robl, and Stefan Hergarten

Understanding the development of intraplate mountain ranges is essential for linking lithospheric deformation to uplift/subsidence, long-term exhumation, and hence the distribution of topography. One key process driving the formation of elevated relief in these settings is continental rifting, where tectonic extension, normal faulting, and flexural isostasy interact to generate central graben structures and elevated rift flanks. These flanks are marked by asymmetric erosion which in turn leads to drainage network reorganization, drainage divide mobility, and rift flank retreat. However, the relative contribution of normal faulting and flexural isostasy to drainage network reorganization remains poorly understood, as does the role of river captures and migrating drainage divides in controlling the spatial distribution of erosion and exhumation.

In this study, we employ the 2D landscape evolution model OpenLEM to investigate the interplay between normal faulting and flexural isostasy during rift flank uplift. Rather than imposing a uniform regional uplift, we use flexural compensation to let uplift emerge dynamically in response to fault-controlled subsidence, tectonic unroofing, and erosion. To ensure realistic drainage organization and sediment routing, a central river is integrated along the graben axis, providing an effective base level and sediment sink throughout model evolution.

First model results show a subsiding central graben structure and uplifting rift flanks, with alluvial fans forming along the boundary. Flexural unloading along the bounding faults induces up to ~600 m of rift flank uplift, generating pronounced topographic asymmetry. This, in turn, leads to asymmetric slopes which promote retrogressive erosion of rivers draining toward the graben, resulting in a lateral migration of the rift flank and the drainage divides. Drainage reorganization occurs through river capture and flow reversals, increasing the contributing area of graben-directed rivers at the expense of outward-draining catchments. Although horizontal fault motion drives lateral graben widening, high erosion rates along the rift flanks dominate, causing progressive flank retreat and a gradual reduction in flank elevation with increasing distance from the graben center.

How to cite: Dremel, F., Robl, J., and Hergarten, S.: Modeling the ups and downs of continental rifting: Feedbacks between normal faulting, flexural isostasy and erosion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5394, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5394, 2026.

EGU26-5453 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Stress State Evolution in Glacially Imprinted Landscapes 

Jörg Robl, Viktor Haunsperger, Stefan Hergarten, and Andreas Schröder

The morphological evolution of alpine landscapes during the Quaternary climate cycles is tightly linked to the redistribution of gravitational stresses and the (in)stability of the rock mass. In this study, we investigate the evolving stress states of mountain massifs as they transition from fluvial to glacial topography and through subsequent rapid deglaciation. Using a three-dimensional numerical model based on the fictitious domain method, we compute stress distributions across complex, glaciated, and glacially imprinted landscapes. Time series of these stress calculations identify  when and where shear stress concentrations emerge within the mountain massif throughout its geomorphic evolution.

Our preliminary results quantify the contribution of two primary drivers of stress redistribution on mountain massif scale: 1) The transition from V-shaped fluvial valleys to U-shaped glacial troughs operates on time scales of 105-106 years and causes valley widening and deepening. This process steepens valley flanks and sharpens ridgelines, thereby concentrating gravitational loads and consequently increasing shear stresses. 2) Ice unloading due to climate warming and deglaciation (time scales of 103 years) causes a rapid loss of lateral confinement previously provided by ice. This process increases shear stresses in valley flanks.

Both the transition from fluvial to glacial topography and the subsequent removal of ice act in combination to increase shear stress on valley flanks. When these shear stresses exceed the strength of the rock mass, failure occurs as a trigger of landsliding in paraglacial environments. By integrating topographic evolution, shear stress redistribution, and rock mass strength, this approach provides new insights into the long-term morphological evolution of mid-latitude mountains while serving as a predictive tool for identifying regions approaching critical rock failure.

How to cite: Robl, J., Haunsperger, V., Hergarten, S., and Schröder, A.: Stress State Evolution in Glacially Imprinted Landscapes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5453, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5453, 2026.

EGU26-5585 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Towards a stress-based stability criterion for rock slopes from 3D stress modeling of entire mountain massifs 

Viktor Haunsperger, Jörg Robl, Stefan Hergarten, Anne-Laure Argentin, Henri Wilks-Stebbings, and Andreas Schröder

Steep mountain landscapes are subject to gravitational stresses generated by elastic compression of the rock mass under its own topographic load, commonly referred to as dead-load stresses. This load induces shear stresses that promote rock failure. In turn, dead-load stresses also contain normal stresses acting perpendicular to internal rock surfaces, which increase frictional resistance and thereby contribute to the overall mechanical stability of the rock mass. However, the stresses are distributed unevenly because topographic load varies strongly with relief. Predicting the stresses from topography and rock properties is not trivial, which makes the prediction of failure difficult.

Despite this mechanical link, the role of the full three-dimensional stress state within mountain massifs remains difficult to quantify and is rarely incorporated into slope-stability concepts. In previous work, we used high-resolution three-dimensional linear elastic stress simulations to examine how stress fields reorganize during progressive topographic decay. Building on this approach, we explore the potential of stress-based stability metrics derived from full three-dimensional stress tensors to assess rock-slope stability across entire mountain massifs.

We compute the stress field beneath digital elevation models using the Finite Cell Method, a fictitious-domain approach that enables efficient and accurate linear elastic stress calculations for complex alpine topographies without the need for boundary-fitted meshes. This framework allows simulations at the scale of whole mountain ranges while retaining detailed resolution of near-surface stress variations. Based on the resulting stress fields, we introduce a simple Mohr-Coulomb-based formulation to estimate the minimum rock-mass cohesion required for stability under the local stress state, assuming a prescribed internal friction angle. This metric provides a spatially explicit measure of how close different parts of the landscape are to plausible rock-strength limits.

Our analysis focuses on spatial patterns of stress-limited stability and their relation to relief and slope geometry in steep alpine terrain. We examine how the estimated minimum cohesion varies across the landscape and whether regions of elevated cohesion demand coincide with known landslide source areas or zones identified as unstable by independent landslide models. The results demonstrate how three-dimensional stress information can complement purely geometric descriptors of slope stability and provide a physically motivated basis for evaluating rock-slope stability at the scale of mountain massifs.

How to cite: Haunsperger, V., Robl, J., Hergarten, S., Argentin, A.-L., Wilks-Stebbings, H., and Schröder, A.: Towards a stress-based stability criterion for rock slopes from 3D stress modeling of entire mountain massifs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5585, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5585, 2026.

In response to the Indo-Asian collision, the eastward growth of Tibetan Plateau results into an extensive low-relief surface in the Yunnan-Guizhou area, i.e., the Yungui Plateau. Of which the paradoxical presence of extensive low-relief surface perched above deep valleys in the southeast Tibet Plateau is a long-standing challenge. Here, we apply 36 samples detrital zircon and apatite thermochronometry along the Yangtze and Nanpanjiang rivers, to provide the reginal-scale proxy for the unroofing and uplift history of the Yungui Plateau. The detrital zircon fission track data range in age from Permian to Cretaceous, with major peak-ages at 200 Ma, 160 Ma, 140 Ma, and 120 Ma along different rivers, indicating of a single phase of westwards unroofing along the Yungui Plateau occurred in ca. 160-120 Ma. Furthermore, detrital apatite fission track data shows major peak-ages at 60 Ma, 40 Ma and 20 Ma, with ages of various from 100~10 Ma. In particular, detrital apatite (U-Th)/He data shows major peak-ages around 10 Ma along the Xianshuihe-Xiaojiang area, with regional erosion more than 1500 m. The results confirm overall southwards unroofing process occurred in Late Cenozoic, from southeast margin of the Tibetan Plateau to the Yungui Plateau interiors. Thus, the Yungui Plateau surface uplift and incision result from two processes, expanding the Eastern Tibetan Plateau into its low-relief high-elevation surface along the Yungui Plateau. 

How to cite: Deng, B., Ye, Y., Zhang, Y., Zhao, G., and Liu, S.: Unroofing and uplift history of the Yungui Plateau at SE Tibetan Plateau, evidence from detrital zircon and apatite thermochronometry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6059, 2026.

EGU26-6081 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Long-Wavelength Quaternary Forearc Deformation Recorded by Marine Terraces in the Calabrian Arc 

Ana Perez-Hincapie and Sean Gallen

Constraints on vertical motions in subduction forearcs can improve understanding of the complex processes that govern the development and evolution of these subduction zones, particularly deep-earth processes that are difficult to directly observe. The Calabria region provides an exceptional natural laboratory for investigating the interplay between mantle dynamics, slab break-off, and forearc rock uplift. Previous geophysical studies show slab tears to the north and south of the ~200 km wide subducting Ionian slab, and the Calabrian forearc archives a history of rock uplift in well-preserved marine terraces. However, despite numerous studies on extensive sequences of deformed marine terraces across the region, the temporal and spatial variability of uplift rates, and their relationship to slab geometry, remain poorly constrained. Complications in using Calabrian terraces to understand the surface response to slab tearing and other subduction processes arise from (1) cross-cutting faults and augment the deeper earth signal of rock uplift, (2) preservation issues due to denudation of terrace sequences, and (3) sparse geochronology. Here, we overcome these challenges using detailed mapping, stratigraphic descriptions, and dating of marine terrace sequences along Calabria’s Ionian Coast, where few active surface-breaking events affect marine terraces, making it the location to image hypothesized signals of rock uplift due to slab tearing and mantle geodynamics. By targeting this tectonic setting, we aim to better resolve spatial variations in uplift rates across the entire plate boundary from slab edge to slab edge and beyond, across a transect extending >300 km. Within this area, 12 samples were collected: one for detrital sanidine 40Ar/39Ar dating and 11 for luminescence dating. Preliminary age control and correlations to a sea level curve indicate long-wavelength (100s of km) deformation of marine terraces. Marine terrace-derived rock uplift rates increase southward toward the Strait of Messina, reaching ~1.3 mm/yr near the Strait of Messina above the southern slab tear, decline to ~0.8 mm/yr above the subducting slab, and increase to ~2 mm/yr above the northern tear north of the Sila Massif. We are currently analyzing temporal changes in rock uplift rates over the past 200-500 kyr, as afforded by the terrace record, to assess changes in slab tear and subduction dynamics during the mid-to-late Quaternary. These results suggest the fingerprint of slab tearing is imprinted on the coastal geomorphology of the Calabria forearc and highlight the critical importance of geomorphology in aiding in studies of subduction zone geodynamics.

How to cite: Perez-Hincapie, A. and Gallen, S.: Long-Wavelength Quaternary Forearc Deformation Recorded by Marine Terraces in the Calabrian Arc, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6081, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6081, 2026.

EGU26-6105 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Topographic signatures of kinematic segmentation and fault geometry along the Palu-Koro and Matano Faults, Indonesia 

Donny Wahyudi, Mikaël Attal, Simon Mudd, Ekbal Hussain, and Qi Ou

The Palu-Koro and Matano faults are among the fastest-slipping and most seismically active fault systems in eastern Indonesia, yet their kinematics and influence on landscape evolution remain debated. While topographic metrics are widely used to infer vertical displacement in extensional or compressional settings, their application in strike-slip systems, where deformation is predominantly horizontal, is less established. Here, we quantify topographic metrics including relief, channel steepness index (ksn), mean slope (S), and hilltop curvature (CHT) along both faults to characterise landscape response and identify interactions between fault segments. Using a quantile-based statistical approach, we classify topographic signals indicative of tectonic activity. Along the Matano fault, elevated metrics coincide with lithological contrasts and changes in fault geometry, whereas most of the fault exhibits subtle strike-slip-dominated topography. Along the Palu-Koro fault, segments of pure strike-slip motion show subdued metrics, while areas of complex geometry and transtension display elevated values. Subdued topographic segments also spatially correspond to zones of seismic quiescence. Preliminary InSAR observations suggest creeping behaviour in the western Matano fault and the aseismic portion of the Palu-Koro fault. These findings indicate that, although topographic metrics may not directly diagnose frictional slip modes, they effectively map kinematic segmentation and structural complexity that control vertical deformation in strike-slip systems. Integrating topographic metrics with geodetic data provides a powerful approach to identify and understand fault segmentation and interaction in complex strike-slip environments.

How to cite: Wahyudi, D., Attal, M., Mudd, S., Hussain, E., and Ou, Q.: Topographic signatures of kinematic segmentation and fault geometry along the Palu-Koro and Matano Faults, Indonesia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6105, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6105, 2026.

EGU26-6509 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Defining the timing and controls of alluvial fan aggradation in an extreme continental-interior setting in the Basin of Great Lakes, western Mongolia 

Dennis Wolf, Frank Lehmkuhl, Karl Wegmann, Paula Marques Figueiredo, Neda Rahimzadeh, Georg Stauch, and Lewis Owen

Quaternary geomorphic processes in western Mongolia's Basin of Great Lakes (BGL), one of the most continental regions on Earth, are predominantly controlled by a neogene tectonic setting and climate cyclicity. Here, Lake Khyargas presents the terminal water and sediment sink of a cascading lake system draining the adjacent Altai and Khangai mountains. Well-preserved sequences of shorelines and associated landforms provide evidence of multiple pronounced lake level highstands since the mid-Pleistocene in response to orbitally-driven climate cyclicity and widespread glacier melt in the broader catchment following the local last glacial maximum (Wolf et al., 2025,  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109373).        
The Khankhukhii Range, reaching peak elevations of 2,928 m asl, separates the endorheic catchments of Lakes Khyargas and Uvs along the westernmost expression of the geomorphic prominent active Bulnay fault system. There is no evidence of former glaciations in the Khankhukhii Range, however, widespread periglacial impact is evident. The southern slopes of the Khankhukhii Range are inclined towards Lake Khyargas, where mesoscale alluvial fans form the interface between the mountain system and the terminal lake basin. Analyzing the timing of alluvial fan formation will promote the understanding of the coupling between climate cylicity and geomorphic processes in this highly continental region. The timing of alluvial fan aggradation and incision phases is determined using morphostratigraphic mapping of fan surfaces and their relationship with previously dated shoreline features. We combined surface-exposure dating using 10Be depth profiles, and sediment age pIRIR luminescence dating. Our approach reveals two preserved aggradational fan-surface generations corresponding to the transitions from MIS 6 to MIS 5 (~130 ka) and from MIS 4 to MIS 3 (minimum pIRIR age of 47 ka), and ongoing incision since the Pleistocene to Holocene transition. We discuss the suitability of investigating sedimentary archives of alluvial fan response to climate cyclicity in this setting that is modified by (1) tectonic uplift and (2) autogenic adjustments of the drainage network across the catchment, as well as (3) significant Late Pleistocene to Holocene hydrostatic changes in base level and accommodation space.

How to cite: Wolf, D., Lehmkuhl, F., Wegmann, K., Marques Figueiredo, P., Rahimzadeh, N., Stauch, G., and Owen, L.: Defining the timing and controls of alluvial fan aggradation in an extreme continental-interior setting in the Basin of Great Lakes, western Mongolia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6509, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6509, 2026.

EGU26-7063 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Valley Network Evolution in Sandstone Terrains: Tectonic Controls and Surface–Subsurface Process Interactions Revealed by Geomorphometric Analyses and Field Surveys 

Wioleta Porębna, Filip Duszyński, Marek Kasprzak, Filip Hartvich, Petr Tábořík, Piotr Migoń, Wojciech Bartz, Kacper Jancewicz, and Milena Różycka

Valley networks in sandstone terrains are commonly interpreted as products of structurally-controlled fluvial incision, coupled with hillslope and denudational processes. However, the role of tectonic and subsurface controls in shaping valley morphology and drainage organisation remains insufficiently explored. This study addresses the interplay between surface and subsurface processes in a sandstone tableland, with particular emphasis on tectonic controls, lithological variability, and their influence on valley network geometry and morphological diversity of valleys.

The sandstone-dominated area of the Intra-Sudetic Trough (NE Bohemian Massif) was examined using geomorphometric methods applied to high-resolution airborne LiDAR-derived digital elevation models. A set of primary and secondary topographic indices was calculated to characterize drainage organisation, valley incision, and spatial patterns of erosional dissection. These indices were subsequently integrated using two types of cluster analysis to delineate areas with an enhanced erosional signal.

To complement the geomorphometric analysis, field investigations were conducted, including detailed landform mapping and geophysical surveys employing Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT). These data, supplemented by analyses of sandstone composition and petrographic characteristics, provided insights into the links between surface, near-surface, and subsurface processes and geological controls, enabling for the development of a conceptual framework for valley network evolution.

The results demonstrate that valley morphology in sandstone terrains reflects a complex interaction between tectonic structures, lithology, and surface–subsurface process coupling. Pre-existing fault systems and joint networks exert a strong influence on drainage orientation, valley spacing, and incision patterns, often preconditioning zones of enhanced erosion. These structural controls, combined with differential weathering and subsurface erosion, promote the development of a wide spectrum of valley forms, including narrow canyons, gorges, V-shaped valleys, broad troughs, and flat-bottomed valleys, occurring in varied morphological positions within the sandstone-dominated landscape.

The observed morphological diversity cannot be explained solely by rock control on surface fluvial processes. Instead, the study highlights the importance of subsurface processes such as dilation-driven rock mass disintegration, chemical weathering, and fracture-guided underground erosion. The integration of geomorphometric techniques with field-based and geophysical data provides a quantitative and process-oriented perspective on valley network evolution.

How to cite: Porębna, W., Duszyński, F., Kasprzak, M., Hartvich, F., Tábořík, P., Migoń, P., Bartz, W., Jancewicz, K., and Różycka, M.: Valley Network Evolution in Sandstone Terrains: Tectonic Controls and Surface–Subsurface Process Interactions Revealed by Geomorphometric Analyses and Field Surveys, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7063, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7063, 2026.

EGU26-8346 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Late Cenozoic eastward growth of the Tibetan Plateau: evidence from geomorphic indices and river-profile inversion around the Hanzhong Basin 

Dali Ju, Zhao Yang, Xiaohui Shi, Eduardo Garzanti, Jiali You, Yuxiong Ma, Huihui Ai, and Yunpeng Dong

During the late Cenozoic, the outward growth of the Tibetan Plateau significantly influenced the tectonic, climatic, and geomorphic evolution of surrounding regions. The Qinling Mountains, at the eastern front of the Tibetan Plateau, have been involved in plateau expansion since the late Cenozoic, and the Hanzhong Basin, its unique late Cenozoic intermontane basin, preserves rich information on plateau growth. In this study, geomorphic indices, apatite fission track dating, and river-profile inversion were conducted on catchments around the Hanzhong Basin. Results reveal that drainages north of the Hanzhong Basin generally exhibit high steepness indices, especially those in the west, but southern drainages show greater variation. River-profile inversion documents two phases of accelerated relative rock-uplift at 15-10 Ma and 5-2 Ma on northern drainages. We interpret that high steepness indices and uplift rates in the west reflect tectonic forcing, expressed as pronounced relative rock uplift and enhanced subsidence of the western basin, whereas the heterogeneous steepness in the south indicates the differential uplift. Integrating tectonic and sedimentary evidence, we propose a new surface deformation model in which the outward expansion of the Tibetan Plateau since ~15 Ma has forced the rigid Bikou Terrane to wedge eastward, thus reactivating the Mianlue Fault and inducing extensional faulting within the Qinling Mountains and subsidence of the Hanzhong Basin. Synchronously, a series of transpressive faults formed in the Micang Shan and governed the landscape. 

How to cite: Ju, D., Yang, Z., Shi, X., Garzanti, E., You, J., Ma, Y., Ai, H., and Dong, Y.: Late Cenozoic eastward growth of the Tibetan Plateau: evidence from geomorphic indices and river-profile inversion around the Hanzhong Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8346, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8346, 2026.

Previous studies have suggested that during the Miocene, Asia transitioned from a planetary wind system to a monsoon system (Guo et al., 2008). This shift is considered to be primarily related to the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau. Between the Late Oligocene and Early Miocene, the Taihang Mountains underwent a critical phase of rapid uplift. This tectonic event closely coincides with the major transition in Asia's climate from dominance by the planetary wind system to dominance by the monsoon system. During this period, the region inland of Asia, with the Taihang Mountains-Qinling Mountains as a boundary, developed a continental arid climate.

This study, based on detailed research of climatic proxy indicators and paleomagnetic data from Cenozoic strata in the Jiyuan Basin, eastern Taihang Mountains, proposes that during the Middle to Late Oligocene (approximately 24–28 Ma), the climate of the Jiyuan Basin shifted from warm and humid conditions in the early stage to cool-temperate and dry conditions in the late stage. A distinct humidification process occurred between 24 and 21 Ma, which is associated with the global Early Miocene climatic warming and increased humidity. The uplift of the Taihang Mountains enhanced the orographic lifting effect encountered by the East Asian summer monsoon as it penetrated inland, potentially leading to increased precipitation on its eastern windward slopes. Concurrently, the rain shadow effect on its western leeward slopes was also intensified, thereby amplifying the east-west spatial differentiation of aridity and humidity across North China. This process is regarded as one of the important mechanisms that drove the reorganization of Asia's climate in the early Miocene and helped shape the prototype of modern monsoon precipitation patterns.

How to cite: Cui, J. and Li, Z.: Impact of the Taihang Mountains Uplift on the Formation of Asian Monsoon Climate during the Miocene: Constraints from Sedimentary Environment in the Jiyuan Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8593, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8593, 2026.

EGU26-9845 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Discerning the relative importance of Tectonic vs Climatic Controls on Topography from River Profile Analysis 

Adam G G Smith, Martin D. Hurst, and Todd A. Ehlers

The competing influence of climate and tectonics drive landscape change. However, separating the relative importance of tectonics and climatic control on the morphology and evolution of Earth’s present-day topography is challenging; climate and tectonics covary, their spatiotemporal scales differ, and geomorphic observations can be inconclusive. Longitudinal river profile analysis has long been used in geomorphology to evidence the influence of tectonics or climate on topography. However, such analysis often requires making limiting assumptions about the spatiotemporal variations in tectonic, climatic and geological conditions experienced by a river network. Here we present a novel river profile network analysis that is less dependent on limiting assumptions, and leverages different measures of river profile concavity. River profile concavity is the rate at which a river network’s slope decreases downstream. We acknowledge an apparent concavity, which reflects the present-day observed geometry, and an inherent concavity, which is the expected concavity of a river network under idealized conditions (all other forcing being equal). Results from numerical modelling show that the differences between the inherent and apparent concavity can be used to extract information about the relative importance of climate and tectonics in shaping river profiles. Applying these results to Taiwan, we demonstrate that the regional pattern of rock uplift, not precipitation, exerts the most significant influence on present-day river profiles. Taken together, these results overcome previous challenges in river profile analysis for deciphering climate vs. tectonic controls on landscape morphology and evolution.

How to cite: Smith, A. G. G., Hurst, M. D., and Ehlers, T. A.: Discerning the relative importance of Tectonic vs Climatic Controls on Topography from River Profile Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9845, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9845, 2026.

How tectonic stress influences topographic evolution remains a central question in regions of active mountain building. The Diancang Mountains, located at the southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, are characterized by steep topography, active fault systems, and highly dynamic river networks, making them an ideal natural laboratory for studying the coupling between tectonic activity and landscape evolution.We specifically investigate how major strike-slip faults locally perturb the regional stress field to govern uplift distribution, which, in concert with fluvial erosion, drives the topographic evolution of the Diancang Mountains.

To address this, we integrate three-dimensional near-surface stress modeling with standard topographic metrics derived from DEM-based terrain analysis. Using Abaqus, we simulate near-surface stress fields by applying boundary conditions consistent with regional tectonic stress field, explicitly accounting for major fault geometries and surface topography.

Preliminary results reveal a strong spatial correlation between zones of elevated differential stress and enhanced river incision. Specifically, we observe persistently high channel steepness (ksn) along river segments associated with major fault zones and localized stress concentrations. Furthermore, c-mapping identifies pronounced asymmetric drainage divides (interpreted as across divide gradients in erosion rate) in regions of high stress gradients. The orientations of principal stress axes derived from our numerical models align with the preferred directions of divide migration inferred from c analysis.

These results demonstrate that the present-day fluvial morphology of the Diancang Mountains primarily reflects the influence of the shallow crustal stress field that is locally perturbed by major strike slip faulting. Our approach combining finite element stress modeling with quantitative morphometry provides a viable methodological framework for linking tectonic stress patterns to landscape evolution in active mountain ranges.

How to cite: Fan, J., Cao, S., and Robl, J.: Tectonic Stress Control on River Incision and Drainage Divide Migration in the Diancang Mountains, SE Tibetan Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9972, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9972, 2026.

The arcuate tectonic belt at the northeastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is located at the farthest northern and eastern extension of the plateau, situated at the junction of the Qinghai-Tibet Block, the North China Craton, and the Alxa Block. This arcuate tectonic belt consists of four arcuate faults—the Haiyuan–Liupanshan Fault, the Xiangshan–Tianjingshan Fault, the Yantongsan Fault, and the Luoshan–Niushou Mountain Fault—along with the Cenozoic sedimentary basins sandwiched between them. While significant progress has been made in studies of its tectonic analysis and thermochronology, debates persist regarding the uplift and extension processes during the Paleogene to Neogene. This study focuses on three key sections: the Longde Section west of the Haiyuan Fault in the rear of the arcuate belt, the Sikouzi Section east of the Haiyuan Fault, and the Daruoshan West borehole section at the front of the arcuate belt. These sections, particularly the Sikouzi Section, exhibit well-preserved Cenozoic strata, making them critical for studying late Cenozoic sedimentary-tectonic evolution. Based on field surveys of geological sections, sedimentary structure observations, and stratigraphic division, this research employs experimental methods such as heavy and light mineral composition analysis, detrital zircon U-Pb geochronology, and carbon-oxygen isotope analysis to conduct systematic source-to-sink system studies. By examining sedimentary records in response to the tectonic evolution of adjacent orogenic belts, the study systematically reconstructs the late Cenozoic uplift and extension processes of the arcuate tectonic belt in the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, delineates the initiation, development, and termination timelines of intense uplift and extension, and explores the uplift-extension model and its extent. Key findings include: During the deposition of the Sikouzi Formation (Paleogene), the northeastern uplift and extension of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau only affected areas west of Liupanshan; by the end of the Qingshuiying Formation deposition (~17.8 Ma), the northward and eastward thrusting of the plateau began influencing areas east of Liupanshan; at the onset of the Ganhegou Formation deposition (~8 Ma), the northeastern margin of the plateau entered a phase of rapid uplift and extension; during the middle phase of Ganhegou Formation deposition (~5.0 Ma), the arcuate tectonic belt experienced intense uplift; and by the end of the Ganhegou Formation deposition (~2.5 Ma), the arcuate tectonic belt reached its peak uplift stage.

How to cite: Kou, L.: The late Cenozoic uplift of arcuate tectonic belt, northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, based on the sedimentary restriction of the important geological section, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9979, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9979, 2026.

EGU26-11053 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Reading landscapes from Afar: Field-based geomorphic constraints on fault evolution in the Dobi Graben, Ethiopia 

Reha Chandresh, Alexander Whittaker, Derek Keir, Rebecca Bell, Giacomo Corti, Federico Sani, and Hindeya Gebru

Resolving fault evolution in time and space for magma-rich rifts remains a challenge, particularly at the scale of individual fault systems where fault growth, volcanism and surface processes interact. Central Afar, Ethiopia, is widely recognised as a key natural laboratory for investigating active continental break-up and the interactions between surface processes and fault activity. This is particularly true within the structurally complex rift linkage zone between the Dabbahu-Manda Harraro and Asal magmatic segments of the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden rift systems, respectively. Previous studies and numerical models based on geodetic data, strain-rate analyses and paleomagnetism have provided important conceptual insights into the wider tectonic architecture and mechanisms of strain transfer across this zone. However, direct structural constraints and quantitative field-based measurements of fault initiation ages are limited, and fault evolution histories based on systematic observational data are unresolved.

In this study, we characterise the chronology of graben development within the rift linkage zone by integrating quantitative geomorphic analyses with new field datasets from the Dobi Graben. Our initial DEM-based regional-scale geomorphic analysis of river long profiles and swath profiles indicate that the Dobi Graben is among the youngest and most tectonically active structures in the linkage zone, characterised by its high throw rates of ca. 1 mm/yr. Building on this, we focus on two river catchments that cross the main Dobi Graben bounding fault to better resolve its temporal evolution history and fault kinematics. We combine new field measurements from these catchments, including geomorphic and hydraulic parameters, Schmidt hammer measurements of bedrock strength, and grain size estimates, with high-resolution topographic analyses to trace the growth and evolution of the main Dobi Graben through time, and to quantify transient river response to active faulting.

These data place refined, field-based constraints on bedrock strength and erodibility allowing lithological and surface process controls on landscape dynamics to be explicitly accounted for, in addition to the tectonic forcing. Relationships between knickpoint migration, channel steepness and catchment morphology are used to better constrain river incision rates and fault growth patterns, enabling a clear reconstruction of the Dobi Graben fault evolution history. In doing so, our study provides clear and detailed insights into the role of the Dobi Graben in accommodating extension within the Central Afar rift linkage zone in the last 1 My and advances our understanding of major fault kinematics and rift linkage dynamics in an active continental rift.

How to cite: Chandresh, R., Whittaker, A., Keir, D., Bell, R., Corti, G., Sani, F., and Gebru, H.: Reading landscapes from Afar: Field-based geomorphic constraints on fault evolution in the Dobi Graben, Ethiopia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11053, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11053, 2026.

EGU26-11899 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Fill terrace formation and preservation histories along the Middle Kali Gandaki from digital and field investigations 

Eliot Weir, Fiona Clubb, Alex Densmore, Ashok Sigdel, and Subash Acharya

Current debate exists on whether the depositional processes forming valley fill deposits in the Lesser Himalaya can be linked across multiple Himalayan river systems. Some studies have attributed the deposition of 100s of metres of sediment fill in the Lesser Himalaya to short-lived, catastrophic filling events. These events are thought to originate from large rock-slope failures and glacial lake outburst floods. Other studies have suggested that the deposition of fill on such large scales is a long-term process caused by fluctuations in the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM), resulting in the oversupply of alluvial sediment into a transport-limited system. Cross-catchment patterns of terrace formation that might help to distinguish between these end-member driving mechanisms are limited by an incomplete record of fill terraces in the Lesser Himalaya, with multiple reaches having not yet seen detailed sedimentological study. Here, we address this gap by investigating a flight of fill terraces along the Middle Kali Gandaki River upstream of the town of Kushma, central Nepal. Terraces along this reach are preserved up to 400 m above the modern river channel. We build on previous studies of these terraces by identifying the stratigraphy of the terrace fill deposits and by recording clast lithology and morphology of the sediment preserved beneath each terrace level. We find the terraces to be predominantly composed of a coarse debris fill, with little to no visible stratigraphy, apart from occasional inverse grading from gravel to coarse boulder conglomerate. We identify five terrace levels and find differences in clast morphologies between T1, T2, T3, and T5, and a difference in clast lithology between T2 and T3. We therefore suggest that there have been at least four major filling and re-incision events along this reach, with the possibility of a fifth undocumented filling event forming T4. We also recreate approximate palaeo-valley floors for each terrace level to measure palaeo-valley widths. We interpret that multiple periods of extensive sediment aggradation and incision which led to the formation of five major terrace levels along the Middle Kali Gandaki River were driven by intensified monsoons leading to significant periods of sediment oversupply, contrasting the interpretations of catastrophic debris fill made along other rivers in the catchment. We attribute a decrease in valley width over time to high denudation rates near the MCT. We investigate terrace preservation along the study reach by calculating the percentage of preserved terrace area compared to the approximate area of the abandoned valley floor for each terrace level. We find that terrace levels T3 and T4 are poorly preserved compared to T1 and T2. We suggest post-depositional cementation to be a primary control, with indurated older terrace deposits acting as bedrock, rapidly reducing valley width so that the river can erode the entire floodplain more easily and thus limiting terrace preservation.

How to cite: Weir, E., Clubb, F., Densmore, A., Sigdel, A., and Acharya, S.: Fill terrace formation and preservation histories along the Middle Kali Gandaki from digital and field investigations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11899, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11899, 2026.

EGU26-12643 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Transient Quaternary fault activity in Central Nepal 

Chloé Bouscary, Jean Braun, Djordje Grujic, Jérôme Lavé, György Hetényi, Frédéric Herman, Georgina E. King, Sumiko Tsukamoto, and Ananta P. Gajurel

Central Nepal is a key natural laboratory for investigating crustal kinematics, exhumation, and thermochronometric records within a critically tapered orogenic wedge. In the High Himalayas, thermochronologic data record remarkably young cooling ages and rapid late Cenozoic exhumation rates, yet the kinematics driving these patterns remain actively debated. Most models aiming to explain the physiographic transition across the Himalayan range propose either predominantly in-sequence deformation focussed on the Main Himalayan Thrust (MHT), with underplating and the growth of a Lesser Himalayan duplex, or significant out-of-sequence (OOS) faulting in the Main Central Thrust (MCT) zone. Existing thermochronometric datasets allow for both end-member interpretations, highlighting the non-uniqueness of steady-state kinematic models based on traditional thermochronometers alone.

We address this issue by adding trapped-charge thermochronometers (luminescence and ESR thermochronometry), which, owing to their extremely low effective closure temperatures, are uniquely sensitive to <1–2 Myr transients in near‑surface thermal histories. These data provide unprecedented sensitivity to short-lived Quaternary pulses of exhumation, potentially associated with OOS fault reactivation. We present new luminescence and ESR thermochronometry data from bedrock samples collected across the four major valleys of the Narayani basin in central Nepal (from west to east: Kali Gandaki, Marsyangdi, Buri Gandaki, and Trisuli), spanning the MCT zone and the High Himalayan range.

Using the thermo-kinematic code PECUBE, we invert this multi-system thermochronometer dataset (including both traditional and trapped-charge thermochronometers) through neighbourhood-algorithm exploration of fault slip rates and activity timing. We test three kinematic scenarios: (i) purely steady-state, ramp-focused uplift along the MHT; (ii) stepwise acceleration linked to mid-crustal duplex initiation at ~10 Ma; and (iii) short-lived Quaternary pulses of exhumation associated with transient MCT reactivation superimposed on long-term MHT-driven uplift.

Our inversion results show that trapped-charge thermochronometers require transient Quaternary uplift pulses in the High Himalayas to reproduce the observed cooling patterns. We quantify the timing, magnitude, and spatial distribution of OOS slip, revealing lateral variations in reactivation activity among the four valleys and testing their correlation with variations in MHT coupling and orographic precipitation patterns. Overall, our results provide quantitative bounds on the timing, magnitude, and spatial variability of Quaternary uplift transients in the High Himalayas, and demonstrate that transient MCT reactivation is required to reconcile thermochronologic data with topography and structural constraints, refining the late Cenozoic kinematic evolution of the MHT–MCT system.

How to cite: Bouscary, C., Braun, J., Grujic, D., Lavé, J., Hetényi, G., Herman, F., King, G. E., Tsukamoto, S., and Gajurel, A. P.: Transient Quaternary fault activity in Central Nepal, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12643, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12643, 2026.

EGU26-12771 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Combining landscape evolution and thermo-kinematic modeling to investigate the post-rifting evolution of the Great Escarpment, SE Australia 

Lingxiao Gong, Wenbo Zhan, Magdalena Ellis Curry, Marissa M. Tremblay, and Malcolm McMillan

The Great Escarpment of SE Australia is a major geomorphic feature that separates a low-relief, high-elevation plateau from a near-sea-level coastal plain. Understanding the long-term evolution of this transition has been a long-standing challenge in geoscience. In particular, it remains unclear whether the escarpment reached its current position far from the rifted margin through continuous retreat at a relatively constant rate, or whether rapid retreat occurred shortly after rifting followed by stagnation, potentially linked to pre-existing structures. 

Recent developments in low-temperature thermochronology and modeling techniques provide new opportunities to address this question. Here, we integrate landscape evolution with thermo-kinematic modeling to evaluate thermochronology data, including apatite fission track, apatite (U-Th-Sm)/He, and newly acquired 4He/3He data. The coupled modeling approach directly links surface processes and drainage evolution to subsurface thermal histories, allowing for a more robust and physically consistent interpretation of thermochronological constraints on escarpment dynamics. This enables us to place quantitative constraints on the spatial and temporal scales of escarpment retreat and associated exhumation. Ultimately, we aim to assess whether the topographic evolution of the Great Escarpment is better explained by (1) a plateau degradation scenario, in which a pre-existing drainage divide facilitates rapid degradation of the coastal plain to its current position, or (2) an escarpment retreat scenario characterized by continuous inland erosional migration.

How to cite: Gong, L., Zhan, W., Curry, M. E., Tremblay, M. M., and McMillan, M.: Combining landscape evolution and thermo-kinematic modeling to investigate the post-rifting evolution of the Great Escarpment, SE Australia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12771, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12771, 2026.

Quantitative analyses of tectonic processes and geomorphic development can provide insights into the formation and growth of boundary faults and associated geomorphic features. This study focuses on the Wulashan area, which is situated in the northern Ordos Block in North China. By integrating fluvial geomorphic indices with cumulative displacement along the Wulashan Piedmont Fault, we evaluate the fault’s influence on geomorphic development along the margin of the active block. The spatial patterns of geomorphic metrics suggest that the Wulashan area is currently in a mature landform evolution stage. Watershed morphometric analysis has revealed marked drainage asymmetry and an overall eastward tilt, accompanied by a nonequilibrium drainage divide, indicating that the region’s landscape continues to be modified by ongoing tectonic deformation. Using airborne LiDAR data, 240 displacements were obtained along the fault. The long-term cumulative offsets display a segmented, asymmetric, arcuate distribution pattern that closely mirrors the regional topography. In contrast, the ≤ 12 m cumulative offsets are higher and more consistent in the central fault segment, gradually decreasing toward both ends. The integration of fault displacement, topographic profiles, and geomorphic indices across watersheds, and consistent spatial relationships highlight the significant influence of the segmentation, kinematics, and displacement magnitude of a normal fault on the formation and evolution of the Wulashan Fault.

How to cite: Sun, X., Zheng, W., and Li, Y.: Geomorphic evolution in response to active normal faults along the front of Wulashan, North China: Evidence from fluvial geomorphology and fault displacements, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12936, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12936, 2026.

EGU26-14735 | Orals | GM7.1 | Highlight

Geological inheritance controls reef–mangrove responses to Holocene sea-level change 

Gino de Gelder, Tubagus Solihuddin, Dwi Amanda Utami, Frida Sidik, Rima Rachmayani, Marfasran Hendrizan, Sri Yudawati Cahyarini, Meggi Rhomadona Purnama, Dilruba Erkan, Yannick Boucharat, Millary Widiawaty, Mary Elliot, and Laurent Husson

Coral reef–mangrove systems record the coupled effects of relative sea-level change, sediment supply, and coastal surface processes, yet their long-term interactions remain poorly constrained. Here, we reconstruct the Holocene evolution of a reef–mangrove system on Belitung Island (Indonesia) by integrating sedimentary archives, geochronology, paleo–sea-level indicators, and numerical modeling. We document regressive coastal stratigraphy exposed in a drained tin mine and analyze a suite of ~3 m sediment cores collected along a nearshore-to-onshore transect. Radiocarbon dating of corals indicates nearshore reef initiation at ~2 m below present mean sea level between ~6.1 and 5.7 ka BP, followed by vertical reef accretion until ~4.3–3.8 ka BP. Fossil oysters provide independent paleo–sea-level constraints, recording a prolonged mid-Holocene relative sea-level highstand (~6.5–4 ka) at ~3 m elevation, followed by a relatively abrupt ~2 m fall and subsequent smaller-amplitude fluctuations. Optical stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating shows that mangrove colonization and terrestrial sedimentation initiated during Late Holocene shoreline progradation. We combine the coral radiocarbon and mangrove OSL ages within a Bayesian inversion framework coupled to a reef-growth model to reconstruct system evolution. We use model results to compare fluctuating mid-to-late Holocene relative sea-level scenarios with single-peaked highstand, and their respective effects on reef/mangrove architecture. These findings highlight how geological inheritance and non-monotonic boundary conditions govern sedimentary and ecological responses in tropical coastal systems, with implications for anticipating future landscape responses to sea-level change on the regional scale.

How to cite: de Gelder, G., Solihuddin, T., Utami, D. A., Sidik, F., Rachmayani, R., Hendrizan, M., Cahyarini, S. Y., Purnama, M. R., Erkan, D., Boucharat, Y., Widiawaty, M., Elliot, M., and Husson, L.: Geological inheritance controls reef–mangrove responses to Holocene sea-level change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14735, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14735, 2026.

EGU26-15586 | ECS | Orals | GM7.1

Post-glacial and litho-structural controls on the fluvial erosion of Southern Canadian Rocky Mountains 

Himani Yadav, Lindsay Schoenbohm, Naki Akçar, Christof Vockenhuber, Mauricio Haag, Shivansh Verma, Joshua Wolpert, and Milagros Siea

The songs of the majestic landscapes are composed by the symphony of tectonic, climatic, and lithologic processes. For tectonically quiescent landscapes, landscape dynamics can be complicated by the tension between fluvial and glacial erosion and composite lithologic erodibility contrasts. We investigate these complications by focusing our study on the Southern Canadian Rocky Mountains, a late-stage tectonic fold and thrust belt with spatially uniform climate. These ranges comprise deformed carbonate and mixed carbonate-siliciclastic rock sequences. They have also experienced extensive glacial sculpting evidenced by steepened river valley walls and U-shaped channels. To address these complications, we produce the first basin average erosion rates, derived from 36Cl-cosmogenic isotopes, for 22 catchments across the Rockies. We then compare these erosion rates with climate, topographic, and litho-structural factors using bivariate and multivariate Bayesian regression modelling to infer the dominant controls of the landscape evolution of the Rockies. We begin our analysis with the common factors used in landscape evolution studies such as mean annual temperature (MAT), mean annual precipitation (MAP), normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) for climate, relief, gradient, channel steepness index (ksn) for topography, extracting summary statistics (minimum, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, maximum, 90th –10th, 75th –25th, mean, and median) for each catchment. Because of the stepped nature of the topography in the Rockies resulting from lithologic strength contrasts and glacial modifications, we also compute standard deviation in ksn and terrain ruggedness index (TRI). Finally, constraining lithologic erodibility is especially challenged by the high variability in the depositional architecture of mixed carbonate-siliciclastic rocks and facies structure of carbonate rocks in passive margins. Therefore, we measure and employ direct intact rock strength measurements using a Schmidt hammer and fine-scale geologic mapping for all the geologic units in each catchment. We partially account for the impact of fault-related damage zones on lithologic erodibility by calculating fault density derived from mapped structures. Additionally, we develop a new method that accounts for landscape stability based on the TOBIA index that accounts for the relationship between the bedding orientation (primary plane of weakness) and hillslope angle. Our findings reveal that the standard deviation of ksn is a much more important regressor for topography of transitional landscapes than ksn. Interestingly, we find that climatic factors have significant influence despite their limited variability in the region. Although fully accounting for lithologic erodibility remains beyond the scope of our field, our TOBIA index-based method is a significant step in constraining litho-structural controls on landscape evolution. 

How to cite: Yadav, H., Schoenbohm, L., Akçar, N., Vockenhuber, C., Haag, M., Verma, S., Wolpert, J., and Siea, M.: Post-glacial and litho-structural controls on the fluvial erosion of Southern Canadian Rocky Mountains, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15586, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15586, 2026.

EGU26-16170 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Network-Scale Patterns of Valley Confinement and Widening in the Oregon Coast Range 

Arthur Koehl and Gregory Pasternack

Valley floor morphology in mountain landscapes reflects an integrated history of fluvial incision, lateral erosion, and aggradation in uplifting terrain. Valley floor width is often modeled as a power-law with catchment area. Yet these models often report high variance across the entire domain and low R-squared values. Valley floor width commonly varies even within individual mountain catchments, with multiple transitions between confined segments and wider alluvial reaches. Characterizing this spatial variability enables better understanding of valley widening processes and helps identify reaches with floodplain restoration potential. In this project we develop a network-scale method to quantify valley floor morphology and apply it to the river networks of the Oregon Coast Range. The approach automates mapping of valley floor extents and measures widths at increasing inundation levels scaled from bankfull depth. We examine how these widths vary along networks and test whether there are differences in patterns of confinement and widening based on lithology, geomorphic history, and network position. Our results represent a step forward in interpreting the types and sources of variability in valley floor geometry beyond drainage-area scaling.

How to cite: Koehl, A. and Pasternack, G.: Network-Scale Patterns of Valley Confinement and Widening in the Oregon Coast Range, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16170, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16170, 2026.

Glacier-induced damming of major Tibetan rivers has been hypothesized to reduce fluvial incision rates and modulate erosion processes, thereby influencing geomorphic stability along the margins of the Tibetan Plateau. The Yigong River, located in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis, serves as a critical test site for evaluating this hypothesis due to its documented history of episodic damming. We identify fve paleo-dam events from the last glacial period, focusing on one event at the confluence of the Xiaqu and Yigong Rivers through employing feld investigations, optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating, and geophysical surveys. Dam formation is dated to between 12.68 ± 1.17 ka and 10.48 ± 1.02 ka, linked to glacial moraine deposits from the Xiaqu River obstructing the Yigong River channel. Hydrodynamic modeling using HEC-RAS with a 30-m grid resolution and a Manning’s n of 0.045 indicates a maximum flow depth of approximately 60 m through the Tsangpo Gorge. Model results estimate a peak discharge of 4.36 × 104 m3/s following the dam breach, well below previously suggested high-magnitude flood thresholds (~106 m3/s). These fndings imply that the reconstructed paleoflood likely did not cause the extensive erosion noted in earlier geomorphic studies. However, similar paleoflood events likely played a signifcant role in downsteam transport of fne sediment through the Tsangpo Gorge.

How to cite: Liu, F.:  Hydrodynamics of late Quaternary outburst floods along the Yigong River,Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16362, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16362, 2026.

EGU26-16401 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Tectonic setting and mountains uplift corresponding to climate changes in China since 25 Myr 

Yu Wang, Junyi Sun, and Jiawei Cui

Concurrently, loess deposition, oceanic water systems, and the arid high-plateau environment have undergone significant transformations across different regions, particularly in western and eastern China, which are divided by two north-south-trending gravity gradient belts. What type of tectonic processes have primarily contributed to these fundamental environmental and climatic changes in the China continent over the past 25 million years, or even across the entire Asian continent? During this period, the subduction of the West Pacific Plate facilitated the development of the trough-arc island-basin system in eastern Asia, while the Indo-Asian collision led to the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau and the formation of various tectonic belts, mountain ranges, and rift basins between 25 and 20 Ma. The formation of east-west-, north-south-, and northeast-trending mountain belts and basins, whether in western or eastern China, corresponds to tectonic transformations and geodynamic events along the continental margin that were associated with the Indo-Asian collision and the westward subduction of the Pacific Plate. The emergence of the Asian monsoon during this time interval could be interpreted as a consequence of these tectonic transformations, rather than the direct cause of loess deposition or the complete uplift of the Tibetan Plateau. Furthermore, even in the past 10,000 years, seismic activity and volcanic eruptions have continued to correspond to tectonic processes along the continental margin. Regional and local environmental changes have been directly constrained by tectonic activity in these respective areas.

How to cite: Wang, Y., Sun, J., and Cui, J.: Tectonic setting and mountains uplift corresponding to climate changes in China since 25 Myr, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16401, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16401, 2026.

EGU26-16543 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Subaqueous delta Sequence Stratigraphy in the western Taiwan: Insights from High-Resolution Seismic Reflection Data 

Bo-Hao Shih, Sung-Ping Chang, Cheng-Hsun Huang, Ho-Han Hsu, Yi-Ping Chen, and Arif Mirza

The Zhuoshui River is one of Taiwan’s largest sediment suppliers, and thick subaqueous deposits archive past geological events. To understand variability in the paleoclimate and active fault-slip cycles in the drainage area, subtle stratigraphic signals within these deposits may reveal recent processes relevant to human society. Here we utilize high-resolution sparker seismic data to investigate the subaqueous delta accumulated off Changhua since the Holocene maximum flooding surface (MFS), to establish millennial- and centennial-scale sequence stratigraphy, and to decipher delta evolution and potential controlling factors.

We acquired single-channel sparker data with a dominant frequency of 500 Hz and an initial vertical resolution of ~50 cm, penetrating to a depth of ~100-150 meters below seafloor. After deconvolution, the vertical resolution is improved to ~30 cm, enabling identification of subtle stratigraphic signals. Based on terminations, including toplap and downlap, we integrate (1) subdividing underwater deltaic sediments into several depositional periods, (2) estimating progradation directions and Wheeler diagrams, and (3) demonstrating trajectories of clinoform rollover points to examine spatiotemporal changes in sediment distribution.

The delta deposits can be subdivided into five stratigraphic units bounded by toplap/downlap, and northwestward progradation directions are broadly subparallel to the modern Zhuoshui and Wu River trends, supporting a wave-reworked, river-fed subaqueous delta model. We interpret systematic alongshore shifts of the depocenter as reflecting avulsion-related course changes of the palaeo-Zhuoshui and palaeo-Wu rivers, which caused north–south migration of sediment delivery points. Wheeler-diagram patterns and rollover-point trajectories suggest sequence-scale changes approximately ~2 kyr and ~centennial timescales in average integrated onshore radiocarbon chronologies, potentially linked to climate variability and episodic onshore fault activity. These findings provide new evidence linking land–sea sediment-routing systems and offer a framework for disentangling the complex couplings between tectonics, climate, and surface processes in high-sediment-yield margins.

 

keywords

subaqueous delta; sequence stratigraphy; high-resolution seismic reflection; Taiwan Strait

How to cite: Shih, B.-H., Chang, S.-P., Huang, C.-H., Hsu, H.-H., Chen, Y.-P., and Mirza, A.: Subaqueous delta Sequence Stratigraphy in the western Taiwan: Insights from High-Resolution Seismic Reflection Data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16543, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16543, 2026.

EGU26-16999 | Orals | GM7.1

Exhumation of the Cordillera Blanca Batholith (Perú). New insights from thermo-kinematic modeling. 

Victor Hugo Garcia, Marisol Medina Córdova, Isabel Wapenhans, and Peter van der Beek

The Cordillera Blanca Batholith (CBB) is a >160 km long, NW-oriented granodioritic body intruded along the western half of the Marañón fold-and-thrust belt (MFTB) in the Central Andes of northern Perú. This segment of the Andean orogen is characterized by a flat-slab, highly coupled, subduction zone controlled by the collision of the Nazca ridge since mid-Miocene times. The available U-Pb and Ar-Ar crystallization ages, in zircon and hornblende/biotite, respectively, indicate that the emplacement of the CBB took place between 4-8 Ma. Moreover, paleo-barometric studies in amphibole samples indicate emplacement depths ranging from 3.5 to 7 km, below the paleosurface of the MFTB. A major west-dipping, high-angle fault scarp that bounds the western side of the CBB has been used to support the interpretation of normal faulting (e.g., core-complex style) as the main tectonic driver for the 1.75-2.5 mm/a exhumation rates calculated from low-temperature (FT and U-Th/He in zircon and apatite) thermochronological modeling.

Recent field campaigns have demonstrated that normal faulting is confined to the boundary between the CBB and the Santa river valley, with no evidence of widespread associated extensional features throughout the region. Furthermore, the uppermost stratum of the CBB systematically corresponds to the regional décollement level of the MFTB (hornfelsed Jurassic mudstones), suggesting that the emplacement occurred at the interface between the MFTB and the regional basement. Furthermore, detailed kinematic analyses of the mylonitized contact of the granodioritic body reveal low-angle and normal sense of shearing towards SW and NE along the western and eastern margins of the CBB, respectively. New U-Th/He thermochronological dating in zircon (ZHe) of samples retrieved from complementary sectors of the CBB, but focusing on its less studied eastern sector, have been obtained showing cooling ages roughly ranging between 3-5 Ma. Remarkably, cooling of both sides of the CBB occurred almost synchronously, being just 1-1.5 Ma older on the eastern side.

Several thermo-kinematic scenarios for a segment in the central part of the CBB have been modeled with Pecube by combining the obtained ages with twelve available AFT ages from the literature. While the simplest, low-angle, normal faulting model fits better the obtained ages, it fails to explain the field observations and implies fault displacement of more than 12 km that would necessarily require development of widespread extensional features. A series of alternative models implying contractional tectonics (e.g., deep-seated, blind thrusting of the basement) aiming to explain both structural data and cooling ages are presented for discussion in this contribution.

How to cite: Garcia, V. H., Medina Córdova, M., Wapenhans, I., and van der Beek, P.: Exhumation of the Cordillera Blanca Batholith (Perú). New insights from thermo-kinematic modeling., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16999, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16999, 2026.

EGU26-18941 | Orals | GM7.1

Tracing the sedimentary provenance of the Congo River: A source-to-sink approach using double zircon dating ((U-Th)/He & U-Pb) 

Julien Charreau, Alexis Derycke, Raphaël Pik, Massimo Dall’Asta, and Eduardo Garzanti

The Congo River system, located in Central Africa, drains a basin exceeding 3.5 million km² and with a course up to 4,000 km, ranking it among the world’s largest rivers. It spans from the western edge of the East African Rift to its offshore deep-sea fan which associated with oil and gas resources. This vast system is characterized by a high sediment load, positioning the Congo as the second-largest contributor to modern continent-to-ocean sediment flux, after the Amazon River. These observations raise several interconnected questions: i) what are the origin of this sediment? ii) does this high sediment load reflect a high erosion rate? (iii) how has this flux evolved throughout the Congo River’s history?

Moreover, the Congo River sediments– have recorded the vertical dynamics of the corresponding area (i.e. Central African Plate) which remain poorly constrained, except along the rift margins. These sedimentary archives have also recorded how Central Africa’s erosional dynamics have evolved over the past, and whether it has been impacted by climatic or tectonic changes. 

Applying a source-to-sink approach to the Congo River sediments may therefore provide critical information and data to better understand the dynamics and history of one of the world largest sedimentary systems of the world and help to better understand the uplift and erosional evolution of this vast region.

Recent studies have employed conventional source-to-sink methods (e.g., heavy mineral analysis and U-Pb zircon dating) on modern Congo sediments (Garzanti et al., 2021, 2019). However, these approaches faced challenges due to the homogeneity of source signals, particularly in the Cuvette Centrale and surrounding basement outcrops, which exhibit similar geochronological signatures. To overcome this limitation, we apply a recent method: double dating of zircons ((U-Th)/He and U-Pb) combine with REE determination. Applied to both modern and ancient sediments (up to 50 Ma), this technique enables more precise source reconstruction. We will present the newly generated results and discuss their implications for the Congo River’s sedimentary history and the broader understanding of Central Africa’s geological evolution.

 

Garzanti, E., Bayon, G., Dennielou, B., Barbarano, M., Limonta, M., Vezzoli, G., 2021. The Congo deep-sea fan: Mineralogical, REE, and Nd-isotope variability in quartzose passive-margin sand. Journal of Sedimentary Research 91, 433–450. https://doi.org/10.2110/jsr.2020.100

Garzanti, E., Vermeesch, P., Vezzoli, G., Andò, S., Botti, E., Limonta, M., Dinis, P., Hahn, A., Baudet, D., De Grave, J., Yaya, N.K., 2019. Congo River sand and the equatorial quartz factory. Earth-Science Reviews 197, 102918. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102918

How to cite: Charreau, J., Derycke, A., Pik, R., Dall’Asta, M., and Garzanti, E.: Tracing the sedimentary provenance of the Congo River: A source-to-sink approach using double zircon dating ((U-Th)/He & U-Pb), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18941, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18941, 2026.

EGU26-20582 | Posters on site | GM7.1

Geomorphologic evolution of the Danube at the Iron Gates (Carpathian Mts, Romania) 

Ioana Persoiu, Maria Radoane, Nicolae Cruceru, Alfred Vespremeani-Stroe, György Sipos, and Zsófia Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger

The Iron Gates gorge, where the Danube River cuts through the Carpathian Mountains, represents a key corridor for understanding fluvial dynamics in Central and Southeast Europe. This study presents new insights into the formation and Quaternary evolution of the Lower Danube Gorge through high-resolution morphometric analyses and relative and absolute dating of terrace sequences within the gorge and the downstream alluvial plain.

The earliest fluvial terraces, located at elevations between 270 and 320 m, mark the initial phase of river incision. Terraces T8 to T5 formed during this period and are correlated with mid–late Pliocene fine alluvial deposits and late Pliocene–early Quaternary coarser alluvial fan sediments downstream. The transition from upper (T8–T5) to lower terraces (T4–T1) in the gorge mirrors a comparable sequence in the Danube lowlands, where 7–8 alluvial terraces are identified, representing the shift from upper deltaic and alluvial fan deposits to the lower Danube plain.

This longitudinal correlation highlights a regional change from lateral fluvial erosion and downstream vertical aggradation to dominant fluvial incision and terrace formation during the Middle–Late Quaternary, influenced by ongoing tectonic uplift and glacial–interglacial climate cycles. Fossil assemblages support a Late Pliocene–Early Quaternary age for the upper terraces, while newly obtained OSL dates for the younger terraces at the gorge exit (T3–T1) correspond to Marine Isotope Stages 3–1.

The results reinforce the antecedent drainage model for the Danube at the Iron Gates, suggesting episodic incision superimposed on an actively uplifting landscape.

Acknowledgments: This research was funded by the ChronoCarp project (Contract no. 760055/23.05.2023, project code CF 253/29.11.2022, PNRR-III-C9 2022-I8).

How to cite: Persoiu, I., Radoane, M., Cruceru, N., Vespremeani-Stroe, A., Sipos, G., and Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger, Z.: Geomorphologic evolution of the Danube at the Iron Gates (Carpathian Mts, Romania), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20582, 2026.

EGU26-21497 | Orals | GM7.1

Impact of Climate and a large Landslide in the Tien Shan: Shaping the Naryn Alluvial Valley, Kyrgyzstan 

Andreas Ruby, Taylor Schildgen, Fergus McNab, Apolline Mariotti, Hella Wittmann, Bolot Moldobekov, Thomas Kolb, and Markus Fuchs

Fluvial terraces are key archives of alluvial rivers responding through aggradation and incision to environmental signals. As a result, terraces are commonly attributed to regional climate, tectonic activity, base-level fall, or site-specific geomorphic events. However, if the effects of the different environmental drivers overlap spatially and/or temporally in the catchment, disentangling their impacts on terrace formation remains a significant challenge. Applicable to a variety of catchments, the same challenge applies to the semi-arid Naryn catchment in the Tien Shan, Central Asia: based on moraine, loess and speleothem records the high-elevation landscape reacts sensitively to global climate impacting very probably sediment and water supply to the channel. Additionally, the probably largest known landslide in Central Asia, the Beshkiol landslide, occurred 25 ky ago in the central Naryn valley, damming a lake that persisted for ~17 ky. Rapid drainage of this lake likely triggered a fluvial aggradation and incision response. Numerous fluvial terraces occur along the main stem and several tributaries. These features provide an excellent location to assess the relative, spatial contributions of regional Pleistocene climate and the Beshkiol landslide to terrace formation and to the long‑profile evolution of the Naryn River and its tributaries.

We first ran numerical models of long-profile river evolution to understand better terrace formation patterns in endmember (climate-only, landslide-dam only) and combined scenarios. Secondly, we combineed a set of 38 cosmogenic nuclide exposure samples (10Be) with 10 optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) samples to constrain fluvial aggradation and incision phases. Finally, we map terrace profiles along ~250 km of the main stem and its tributaries.

Our geochronology identifies aggradation and terrace abandonment phases matching (1) late‑Pleistocene cold phases and (2) the inverval between 20 and 15 ka (post‑LGM), during which the Beshkiol landslide‑dammed lake formed.

 The numerical models generate two contrasting terrace patterns: (1) limited downstream terrace extent associated with lake‑drainage incision, and (2) a basin‑wide suite of terraces produced by climate‑driven changes in sediment‑to‑water ratio. Fluvial terrace mapping reveals widespread terraces even in the tributaries. Terrace slopes are generally sub-parallel; only in the vicinity of the landslide, the main trunk and the tributaries show concave-up profiles.

We conclude that both the landslide‑dammed lake and regional Pleistocene climate influenced terrace formation. Lake drainage primarily affected the lowermost main stem and adjacent tributaries, whereas regional climate was the dominant driver of alluvial terrace formation throughout the catchment. Our study demonstrates that a multi‑method approach—combining numerical modeling, cosmogenic‑nuclide dating, OSL, and detailed terrace mapping—greatly improves the interpretation of alluvial river archives in complex settings. It also provides a framework for quantifying the relative contributions of competing landscape‑evolution drivers.

How to cite: Ruby, A., Schildgen, T., McNab, F., Mariotti, A., Wittmann, H., Moldobekov, B., Kolb, T., and Fuchs, M.: Impact of Climate and a large Landslide in the Tien Shan: Shaping the Naryn Alluvial Valley, Kyrgyzstan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21497, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21497, 2026.

EGU26-21686 | Orals | GM7.1

Erosional history and topographic evolution of Madagascar rifted margins 

Romano Clementucci, Egor Uchusov, Sean Willett, Negar Haghipour, Louis Herve Randriamananjara, and Datian Wu

Topographies along passive continental margins are shaped by escarpment erosion and dissection of ancient plateau surfaces. Thermochronology and cosmogenic nuclide studies from these settings indicate a near steady process of denudation and inland escarpment propagation since break-up. Yet, a discrepancy exists between measured erosion rates and the scale of observed topographic features, often implying a more complex denudation history. The Madagascar landscape preserves the imprint of two major rifting events, expressed in a remnant escarpment in the west, a deeply dissected central plateau, and a coherent steep escarpment on the east. While steady inland retreat explains the kinematics and position of the great eastern escarpment, the western margin records a more complex morphology, inconsistent with the model of stable retreat of a coastal escarpment. Here, we reconstruct Madagascar’s Cenozoic denudation history and landscape dynamics by combining topographic analysis, 10Be cosmogenic nuclide concentrations in sediment and numerical modelling of landscape evolution. Catchments draining the plateau–escarpment reveal escarpment retreat rates of several hundred to over a thousand m/Myr on the wet eastern margin, and a few hundred m/Myr along the smaller, drier remnants on the western margin. Retreat rates scale with plateau extent and divide position, which control stream power at the escarpment, while low-erodibility lithologies (granites, basalts) locally inhibit retreat and preserve inland relicts. Numerical models constrained by erosion rates and bedrock erodibilities from Madagascar reproduce observed patterns and demonstrate that eastward migration of the main divide after ~90 Ma triggered large-scale drainage reorganization and pulses of rapid retreat, up to 4 km/Myr, across the western margin. Our findings highlight the inherently dynamic nature of passive margin landscapes, where divide migration and spatial variations in fluvial erosional efficiency govern the long-term evolution of passive margins, with fundamental implications for hydrology, landscape transience, and biodiversity.

How to cite: Clementucci, R., Uchusov, E., Willett, S., Haghipour, N., Randriamananjara, L. H., and Wu, D.: Erosional history and topographic evolution of Madagascar rifted margins, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21686, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21686, 2026.

EGU26-21726 | Orals | GM7.1

Quantifying Erosional vs. Tectonic Controls on Divide Asymmetry 

Dirk Scherler, Samantak Kundu, and Sanjay Kumar Mandal

Mountain ranges commonly exhibit asymmetric topography, with main drainage divides offset from the range center. These asymmetries are often attributed to differential rock uplift, but divide positions also respond to bedrock erodibility contrasts and base-level differences between opposing flanks. How these controls interact to determine divide position and whether base-level differences can rival tectonic forcing remain poorly constrained. Resolving these questions is fundamental to interpreting topographic asymmetry in active orogens and extracting reliable tectonic information from landscape morphology. Building on previous work, we present an analytical framework based on the stream power model that quantifies how uplift, erodibility, and base-level elevation jointly control divide positions. We derive dimensionless divide asymmetry numbers that quantify the tectonic-to-erosional forcing ratio controlling divide position, where values <1, ≈1, and >1 indicate tectonic dominance, comparable forcing, and erosional dominance, respectively.

Numerical landscape evolution experiments test our analytical predictions, demonstrating that base-level differences can influence divide position as strongly as differential uplift. The experiments test our analytical framework across a wide range of boundary conditions, confirming that the dimensionless parameters successfully capture divide behavior under diverse tectonic and erosional settings. Applying this framework to the Sub-Himalayan Mohand Range, we find that the observed divide position can be reproduced only when base-level differences between the Himalayan hinterland and Indo-Gangetic foreland are explicitly incorporated. Application to three additional Sub-Himalayan anticlines reveals dramatic variations in divide position across structurally similar fault-related folds, with divide asymmetry numbers ranging from 0.15 to 2.0. These variations correspond to base-level differences of 0-150 m between opposing flanks, demonstrating that base-level offsets of this magnitude control divide asymmetry more strongly than differential uplift in these actively deforming structures.

Our results demonstrate that base-level configuration can exert comparable or even stronger influence than differential uplift on divide position in certain settings. While the potential importance of base-level differences has been recognized, our dimensionless framework provides the first quantitative approach for systematically partitioning these competing controls. This advance enables more robust interpretation of divide asymmetry in active orogens, particularly in settings where topographic gradients naturally generate base-level contrasts between opposing drainage networks. The framework offers a valuable complement to existing approaches for extracting tectonic signals from mountain range morphology.

How to cite: Scherler, D., Kundu, S., and Mandal, S. K.: Quantifying Erosional vs. Tectonic Controls on Divide Asymmetry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21726, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21726, 2026.

EGU26-21738 | ECS | Posters on site | GM7.1

Creating a Reliability-Weighted Vertical Motion Dataset of the Sunda Shelf, Towards a Harmonized Workflow Using Local Datapoints. 

Nina de Munck, Kenneth Rijsdijk, Johannes De Groeve, and Max Webb

Sea level cycles influenced land bridge formation and island connectivity throughout the Pleistocene, including the Sunda Shelf in SE Asia. Shelf-wide paleogeographic models are often based on few local observations and assumptions of tectonic uniformity. This study, using the Sunda Shelf as innovative example, compiles all published local vertical motion (VM) rates, assigns a reproducible reliability index – that accounts for methodological rigor, temporal precision, spatial accuracy, and source credibility – to each individual datapoint, and produces a harmonized VM raster. Our database synthesizes 93 VM datapoints, from 13 published sources of petrochemical exploration wells, fossil coral reef analysis, and seismostratigraphic proxies of varying spatial and temporal scales. Major tectonic boundaries, sedimentary basins, and structural zones were incorporated as barriers, while support points were added to steer interpolation in data poor areas. The created VM raster is a ready-to-use input for paleogeographic relative sea-level models, such as tabs (De Groeve et al., 2025). This study highlights the possibility and importance of a harmonized VM workflow to allow for intercomparison of paleogeographic studies and unlock the continental coastlines of Earth’s past.

How to cite: de Munck, N., Rijsdijk, K., De Groeve, J., and Webb, M.: Creating a Reliability-Weighted Vertical Motion Dataset of the Sunda Shelf, Towards a Harmonized Workflow Using Local Datapoints., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21738, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21738, 2026.

Salt rich margins are characterised by complex structural and thermal regimes due to the high thermal conductivity of evaporites (~6.5 Wm-1K-1) and their interaction with the insulating sedimentary cover (~2.0 Wm-1K-1). Observational evidence and well data demonstrate the existence of thermal anomalies in proximity to salt structures in salt-bearing basins. Furthermore, these rocks exhibit extremely low viscosity and an absence of shear strength, thus allowing for the occurrence of highly non-linear salt tectonics, otherwise referred to as halokinesis. While the structural mechanics of halokinesis are well-documented, the dynamic feedback between sedimentation rates, salt geometry, and the basin's thermal evolution remains under-explored in geodynamic models.

In this work, we investigate this interplay using a 2D thermo-mechanical numerical code (Mandyoc). A rifted margin was modelled under three post-salt sedimentation rates, with realistic salt thermal properties being compared against control scenarios where salt is thermally equivalent to the crust. Our models replicate the expected behaviour of the salt tectonics, with depocentre migration, diapirism, nappes and welds. The structures in the sediments are marked by extension in the proximal domain, and compression in the distal domain. The results obtained demonstrate that the thermal field is strongly affected by the sedimentation rate, since it is the primary cause of halokinesis. 

In low sedimentation regimes, the effect of the salt high conductivity dominates. Diapirism and allochthonous nappes efficiently conduct heat to the surface, cooling the sub-salt section and depressing isotherms, potentially retarding source rock maturation. In the moderate sedimentation rate scenario, the salt movement creates more complex structures and the isotherms are modified depending on the structure thickness and range. In a high-sedimentation regime, the rapid progradation suppresses vertical salt tectonics and creates a thick, low-conductivity clastic wedge. In this instance, the sedimentary blanketing effect is more significant than the salt cooling effect, which results in heat trapping and accelerated thermal maturation in the pre-salt layers.

Our findings point that the salt layer acts not only as a structural seal or a detachment layer but as a dynamic thermal modulator. The effectiveness of the salt as a "radiator" is strictly controlled by the competition between the halokinesis and progradation rate. Disregarding this coupling in basin modelling may lead to significant misinterpretations of the oil maturation window and the thermomechanical evolution of the distal margin.

This work has been by Petrobras Project 2022/00157-6 and has been financially supported by the Human Resources Program of the Brazilian National Agency for Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels – PRH/ANP43 (2025/21407-9). We also would like to express our fully gratitude to Leonardo M. Pichel and the Bergen Research Group because of its extensive collaboration with us.

How to cite: Bueno, J., Almeida, R. P., and Sacek, V.: How post-salt sedimentation rates control the thermal evolution of salt-bearing margins: The interplay between thermal blanketing and salt effects, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2795, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2795, 2026.

EGU26-3093 | Posters on site | TS4.2

Simulation of the Permian Source-to-Sink System in the Junggar Basin 

Xu Chen and Jian Wang

To overcome the long-standing limitations of source-to-sink (S2S) studies of the Permian in the Junggar Basin—namely an overemphasis on static characterization and a lack of constraints from numerical sedimentary modeling—this study aims to develop an integrated, basin–mountain coupled forward-modeling workflow for the S2S system of the Lower Permian Wuerhe Formation. The goal is to achieve a dynamic, quantitative reconstruction of source-area surface processes, sediment supply, and basin depositional responses, and to predict sandbody distribution. The research includes: (1) within a unified spatial framework, characterizing accommodation-space evolution controlled by source-area tectonic evolution, rainfall and erosion-driven sediment supply, as well as depositional-area subsidence and lake-level variations; (2) deriving key surface-process and paleogeomorphic parameters, including paleoflow directions, time-varying runoff and sediment fluxes, and background geomorphic attributes (paleoslope, paleo-elevation, and paleowater depth); and (3) simulating sediment transport and deposition within the lacustrine basin to establish spatiotemporal evolution of geologically interpretable products—lithology, water depth, facies belts, sandbody distribution, depositional thickness, and stratigraphic architecture and sequence-filling styles—and constraining these results with geological observations.

Methodologically, we first prescribe initial topography and uplift rates in the source area, the spatiotemporal distribution of rainfall intensity, erosion rates of the source rocks, and a lake-level curve, while assigning a basement subsidence rate in the depositional area to jointly constrain the temporal evolution of accommodation space. We then run Badlands to obtain key outputs from topographic evolution and drainage/flow-routing calculations, and use these outputs as boundary conditions for Sedsim to perform depositional forward modeling and generate sedimentary results directly comparable to geological interpretation. Finally, the forward-model outputs are calibrated against well, seismic, and outcrop data; sensitivity analyses and iterative updates are conducted for critical parameters (uplift, erosion, rainfall, lake level, and subsidence) to obtain an optimal parameter set that is both process-consistent and consistent with observations.

The results indicate that the coupled Badlands–Sedsim forward-modeling workflow effectively transfers quantitative signals of source-area surface processes into basin-scale depositional responses, enabling a shift in S2S studies from “static description” to “process-based dynamic constraint.” Through data calibration and sensitivity-driven iteration, the workflow significantly improves the geological consistency and interpretability of the simulation results, providing a reproducible quantitative approach for understanding sedimentary evolution, sequence-filling mechanisms, and predicting favorable sandbody fairways in the Permian Junggar Basin, particularly for the Lower Permian Wuerhe Formation.

How to cite: Chen, X. and Wang, J.: Simulation of the Permian Source-to-Sink System in the Junggar Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3093, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3093, 2026.

The paleoenvironmental and provenance evolution of the Campanian Gosau Group sediments at Grünbach-Neue Welt in the Eastern Alps of Austria was investigated across a continuous transition from terrestrial to marine settings during the depositional period, coinciding with the boundary between the Lower and Upper Gosau subgroups. This transition was primarily driven by tectonic subsidence triggered by the northward subduction of the Penninic Ocean along the northern margin of the Austroalpine microplate. The sedimentary successions record depositional and environmental changes associated with subsidence. Integrated lithological, petrographic, paleontological, mineralogical, and geochemical analyses were performed to reconstruct the paleoenvironmental conditions and trace the sedimentary provenance. Paleoenvironmental analysis implied that the Grünbach Formation (upper Santonian to lower Campanian) represents a terrestrial-dominated setting with episodic marine incursions while the overlying lower Piesting Formation (upper Campanian) is dominantly shallow-marine setting with terrestrial input. The shift toward less weathered, coarser detritus sediments across the two formations suggests changes in sediment transport pathways and sources, likely influenced by subsidence, marine transgression, and source areas’ uplift. This study provides valuable insights into the Campanian paleoenvironment and provenance shifts of the Gosau Group, highlighting the complex interplay between subsidence, sea-level fluctuations, and sediment supply. Furthermore, it advances our understanding of how coupled environmental and tectonic processes influenced basin evolution.

How to cite: Xiang, X., Lee, E. Y., and Wagreich, M.: Paleoenvironmental Evolution and Provenance Shifts in Campanian Marginal Gosau Basins: Evidence from Sedimentary and Geochemical Records, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3851, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3851, 2026.

EGU26-4164 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.2

Surface Forcing of Moho Topography in an Intra-Plateau Deep Basin 

Honghao Xiong, Haibin Yang, and Lei Wu

Unlike the wedge-shaped geometry typical of foreland basins, the interior of the Tibetan Plateau contains a series of large, closed basins. These basins are defined by thick sedimentary fills, a dish-shaped structural geometry, and a distinctly flattened to downward-convex morphology of the sub-basin Moho interface. However, the mechanisms governing their evolution remain debated. To address this, we employed numerical models that couple surface processes with lithospheric rheology to simulate the Cenozoic evolution of the Qaidam Basin, the largest sedimentary basin within the Tibetan Plateau, which has continuously accommodated substantial sediments derived from the surrounding mountain ranges throughout the Cenozoic. By systematically varying parameters from high to low erosion rates and from normal to strong mantle rheology, we compared model outcomes and successfully reproduced the observed geometry, topography, sedimentary sequence, and sub-basin Moho morphology of the Qaidam Basin. Our models reveal that dish-shaped basin evolution is controlled by three key factors: substantial sediment loading, a low crustal convergence rate, and a persistent centripetal sediment routing system. The sediment loading suppresses crustal deformation within the basin and drives downward deflection of the sub-basin Moho. Concurrently, a stronger mantle lithosphere localizes the deformation, resulting in a shorter-wavelength basin geometry. Our findings provide a new perspective for understanding deep intra-plateau basins by highlighting the governing role of coupled surface processes and lithospheric rheology. This mechanism not only explains basins within the Tibetan Plateau but also accounts for analogous settings, such as the Altiplano Basin in the Altiplano-Puna Plateau. Furthermore, the model is applicable to other dish-shaped basins formed under similar coupling conditions, exemplified by the Junggar Basin. Another key finding is that active surface processes can drive subsurface exhumation even under stable tectonic conditions. This suggests that accelerated cooling signals recorded by low-temperature thermochronology may not solely represent tectonic uplift acceleration, thereby implying that such data require careful reinterpretation.

How to cite: Xiong, H., Yang, H., and Wu, L.: Surface Forcing of Moho Topography in an Intra-Plateau Deep Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4164, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4164, 2026.

The microscopic pore systems in clastic reservoirs the margins of foreland basins are complex and heterogeneous, primarily controlled by the superimposition of burial diagenesis and tectonic diagenesis. These reservoirs have experienced not only vertical burial compaction but also intense lateral tectonic compression, accompanied by varying degrees of microfracture development and multiphase alteration by diverse diagenetic fluids. This study focuses on the Cretaceous Bashijiqike Formation in the Kushen area of the Kuqa Depression, Tarim Basin, which mainly consists of low-porosity and low-permeability to tight sandstone reservoirs deposited in a braided river delta environment. By systematically comparing burial depth, maximum paleo-stress, diagenesis, and microscopic pore characteristics across different tectonic positions, the study reveals how different reservoir-controlling factors combine to create different reservoir characteristics.

North to the Kelasu Fault, the reservoirs experienced relatively shallow burial (<4000 m) under strong tectonic stress. Diagenetic processes include compaction, calcite cementation, and meteoric water dissolution. Reservoir pores are dominated by primary pores with minor dissolution pores, accompanied by abundant microfractures. Between the Kelasu and Keshen Faults, reservoirs underwent deeper burial (6500-7000 m) under moderate tectonic stress. Diagenesis includes compaction, multi-type cementation (dolomite > quartz > albite > calcite > anhydrite), and multi-phase dissolution. Reservoir pores consist of mixed primary and dissolution pores, with dissolution pores exceeding primary pores in abundance, and local microfracture development. Between the Keshen and Baicheng Faults, reservoirs are characterized by ultra-deep burial (~7500 m) and low tectonic stress. Diagenesis includes compaction, multi-type cementation (dolomite > calcite > anhydrite > albite > quartz), and multi-phase dissolution. Reservoir pores are mainly primary pores with subordinate dissolution pores, and microfractures are rarely developed.

From north (foreland basin margin) to south (basin interior), increasing burial depth enhances vertical compaction, while decreasing tectonic stress reduces tectonic compaction and microfracture development. Concurrently, diagenetic fluids evolve from dominantly meteoric water in the north to multi-phase complex fluids including meteoric water, lagoon water, and organic acids in the south. These factors collectively control the diagenetic evolution and heterogeneity of microscopic reservoir pores in the study area.

Keywords: Tectonic stress; Diagenesis; Microscopic pore; Bashijiqike Formation; Kuqa Depression

How to cite: Zheng, X. and Sun, X.: Microscopic reservoir pores heterogeneity and its controlling factors of the Bashijiqike Formation in the Kuqa Depression, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4210, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4210, 2026.

The western Baiyun area in the northern South China Sea, particularly within the central Pearl River Mouth Basin (Zhu‐II Depression), hosts a complex detachment system. This study elucidates the tectonic control of a detachment-convergent transfer zone on the spatiotemporal evolution of the sedimentary basin system during the Eocene rifting. Integration of borehole and high-resolution 3D seismic data reveals that magmatic activity and reactivated pre-existing faults governed initial basin subsidence and the early development of high-angle normal faults in the upper crust. A fundamental shift occurred around ∼43 Ma (late Wenchang stage), when deformation transitioned to lower-crustal ductile thinning. This drove the formation of ductile‐crust domes, the rotation of faults into low-angle detachments, and ultimately, the establishment of the detachment-convergent transfer zone. This structural reorganization directly controlled basin geometry, transforming it from isolated, narrow, and deep lacustrine depocenters into a unified, wide, and shallow basin. Consequently, the sedimentary system evolved from fan delta‐braided river delta assemblages to braided river
delta‐beach bar systems. Constraining this tectonically dictated basin-fill architecture provides critical insights for predicting potential reservoirs in deep-water continental margins.

How to cite: Jia, Y., Xu, S., and Liu, Q.: Tectonic Control on Basin-Fill Architecture in a Detachment-Convergent Transfer Zone: The Pearl River Mouth Basin Example, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4660, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4660, 2026.

EGU26-5339 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.2

How normal faults control delta deposition: Insights from analogue modelling 

Nemanja Krstekanic, Duco H. van der Woude, Ernst Willingshofer, Maarten Kleinhans, and Liviu Matenco

In many natural systems, normal faults induce sedimentation in basins by creating depositional space that is gradually filled by incoming sedimentary infill. In this study, we investigated the response of deltaic systems to normal faulting through a novel analogue modelling approach integrating fluvial and tectonic processes. The models were built in a flume where the engine-driven extension was coeval with a river system controlled by water discharge and sediment feed. The river feeds the tectonically controlled basin where the deltaic lobes form. In the models, we varied engine velocity (i.e., extension/subsidence rate), while keeping the sediment influx and water discharge constant. Faulting of the model sand layers, representing the uppermost crust, is implemented in the flume by a mobile basal sheet, which is pulled from underneath a fixed block at constant velocity. The basin side (i.e., hanging wall) of the main normal fault is filled with water, while a predefined channel guides sediment-rich water towards the basin during early river incision. The river system scaling was done by discharge for the channel dimensions and by sediment mobility number for the sediment transport rate, while the fault slip rates were scaled based on natural fault-controlled basins such as the Roer Valley Graben or the Gulf of Corinth. The difference between natural temporal and spatial scales at which surface and tectonic processes operate was bridged by calculating the ratio between the creation of the accommodation space due to normal fault slip and the average sedimentation rate in the basin. This ratio is calculated for the entire basin and for a single lobe, and is ultimately the key parameter controlling the delta evolution.

The modelling results showed that the active faulting led to progradation and retrogradation of the delta. When the subsidence rate exceeds the sedimentation rate, the delta retrogrades early, and the branching of the delta lobes occurs later. In the model with similar subsidence and sedimentation rates over a lobe, the delta mainly experiences aggradation with several moderate prograding and retrograding cycles. In this situation, there is a minor lateral migration of the delta lobes without branching and significant avulsion. With low subsidence rates, the number of progradation-retrogradation cycles is increasing, the delta progrades farther into the basin, and can cross the conjugate basin-bounding fault(s). Such progradation-retrogradation cycles are often accompanied by local hiatuses, river avulsion, delta lobe branching and lateral migration, which are controlled by an interplay of external forcing and internal delta dynamics.

These findings facilitate understanding of the relationship between tectonics and delta dynamics in natural systems. For instance, due to the slow subsidence and a high sediment supply, the Roer Valley Graben is being overfilled in the early stages, with deltaic formations reaching the other side of the basin before shifting to a late-stage basin-parallel progradation. Contrastingly, the fast subsiding Gulf of Corinth, accompanied by a low sediment supply, has multiple small individual coeval delta lobes, which, presently, do not reach far into the graben and are unable to fill the created accommodation space.

How to cite: Krstekanic, N., van der Woude, D. H., Willingshofer, E., Kleinhans, M., and Matenco, L.: How normal faults control delta deposition: Insights from analogue modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5339, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5339, 2026.

Back-arc extension is commonly assumed to be a steady, long-term process. However, geological records from the Japan Sea reveal a short-lived phase of rapid opening during the early–middle Miocene, followed by abrupt cessation. The geodynamic origin of this transient behaviour remains debated. This study employs three-dimensional geodynamic numerical models to investigate how oblique subduction geometry influences slab dynamics, mantle flow, and back-arc extension.

Our results show that a sufficiently high trench obliquity promotes slab breakoff at shallow upper mantle depths, forming a slab window and triggering a short-lived episode of strong lateral (toroidal) mantle flow. This flow dramatically accelerates back-arc extension and generates pronounced along-strike variations in spreading rates. As the slab window sinks into the mantle transition zone, the associated lateral mantle flow rapidly weakens, leading to a sharp decrease and eventual termination of back-arc spreading.

In contrast, models with lower subduction obliquity exhibit no slab breakoff, lack significant lateral mantle flow, and fail to reproduce rapid back-arc extension. These results suggest that slab breakoff induced by oblique subduction provides an efficient yet transient mechanism for focusing back-arc extension. Our findings offer a unified geodynamic explanation for the timing, spatial pattern, and abrupt end of Japan Sea opening. The proposed mechanism may also help explain slab window formation and episodic back-arc activity in other obliquely convergent margins.

How to cite: Luo, P. and Li, Z.-H.: Transient Acceleration and Termination of Japan Sea Opening Controlled by Oblique-Subduction-Induced Slab Window, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6108, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6108, 2026.

The Panalesis model consists of global maps created every 10 million years or so from the Neoproterozoic to the present. These maps rely on a maximum of data from multiple sources (paleomagnetism, fossils, lithofacies, geochemistry, etc.) and comply with the rules of plate tectonics, following our Dual Control Approach methodology.

Once the global plate tectonics model has been defined, it is possible to derive many other types of maps. The first type of maps to be derived are palæogeographic maps. We supplement them however by maps of the age of the sea-floor, maps of accretion / subduction rates, maps of volume of subducted lithosphere, maps of hydrothermal alteration at mid-oceanic ridges, maps of crustal and lithospheric thickness, etc., which constitute the Panalesis Atlas. Associated with climate models, we show here an example of maps depicting the evolution of the drainage system at global scale through time and estimates of sediment fluxes over the Phanerozoic.

How to cite: Vérard, C. and Franziskakis, F.: The Panalesis model and its derivative maps: Implications for global long-term interaction between geodynamics and surface processes , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7294, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7294, 2026.

EGU26-8291 | Orals | TS4.2

Deformational Corridors along the San Andreas Plate Boundary: Evidence from Lithospheric Depths to the Surface 

Kevin P. Furlong, Kirsty A. McKenzie, and Matthew Herman

With the systematics migration of the Mendocino Triple Junction (MTJ), the San Andreas plate boundary forms within lithosphere transitioning from a convergent (subduction) to translation tectonic regime.  How that transition occurs, and what crustal/lithospheric deformation is associated with the fundamental plate boundary change has not been well understood. Through the combined analysis of a detailed 3-D lithospheric structure in the vicinity of the MTJ (from seismic tomography) in conjunction with geodetic data, seismicity, regional thermochronology, surficial geomorphic characteristics, and observed heat flow we are able to delineate two distinct deformational corridors defining the tectonics of plate boundary transition. A well recognized consequence of MTJ migration is the development of a slab window in its wake. Our seismic tomographic imagery helps us define the extent of that slab window - in particular ion western boundary. We are also able to image a fragment of former Farallon plate (which we term the Pioneer fragment), now accreted to the Pacific plate,  that has migrated with the MTJ, that also has served as the western boundary of the slab window. Geodetic data indicates the primary lithospheric-scale plate boundary structure forms along that Pioneer - slab window transition. The result is two distinctive corridors with quite discordant tectonic histories that lie on either side of the nascent plate boundary.

The Pioneer Corridor, which bounds the San Andreas Plate boundary on the west has experienced a coupled burial/erosion sequence as the MTJ migrates. This involves rapid rates of burial (Eel River Basin) followed by a short lived, but extremely rapid unroofing (~ 10 mm/yr) followed by subsequent, but slow exhumation. This results in major changes in observed surface heat flow, a complex pattern of low-T thermochronolgy ages, and a relatively subdued landscape (except in the region of rapid exhumation).

The Mendocino Crustal Conveyor (MCC) Corridor overlies the slab window, bounding the San Andreas boundary on the east. It has a distinctly different tectonic history involving a sequence of crustal thickening (uplift) followed by crustal thinning, with a complex lower bounding thermal evolution . The result is a quite different thermal-chronologic history, a variation in heat flow consistent with the crustal evolution, and a much more rugged landscape reflecting the long-lived uplift/exhumation history driven by slab-window processes.

Although the development of the San Andreas in the wake of the MTJ is oftentimes thought to be a tectonically simple process. This analysis indicates a very discordant history recorded in the thermal and surficial data of the two corridors bounding the nascent plate boundary.

How to cite: Furlong, K. P., McKenzie, K. A., and Herman, M.: Deformational Corridors along the San Andreas Plate Boundary: Evidence from Lithospheric Depths to the Surface, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8291, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8291, 2026.

EGU26-9873 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.2

Tectonic and Climatic Controls on Himalayan Topographic Evolution: Numerical modelling of tectonics-erosion-precipitation interactions 

Samantak Kundu, Sascha Brune, Dirk Scherler, Derek Neuharth, Xiaoping Yuan, and Sanjay Kumar Mandal

Topography and erosion in active convergent mountain belts arise from coupled feedbacks between
tectonics, climate, and surface processes. Tectonic deformation generates topography through crustal
shortening and thickening, which modifies precipitation via orographic effects. Enhanced precipitation
drives river incision, mass wasting, and sediment transport that erode the landscape, feeding back into
topography and precipitation patterns over geological timescales.
In the Himalaya, crustal shortening produces an orogenic wedge above the Main Himalayan Thrust, the
basal décollement with a flat-ramp-flat geometry where sub-horizontal flats at different crustal levels are
connected by inclined mid-crustal ramps. Wedge growth occurs primarily through basal accretion, whereby
material from the subducting Indian plate is scraped off and emplaced beneath the wedge as thrust-bounded
rock slices (horses) between a floor thrust and roof thrust, forming a mid-crustal duplex. As convergence
continues, this process operates episodically: new horses are sequentially accreted through footwall
imbrication, punctuated by phases when breakthrough ramps form to transfer slip between décollement
levels. This temporal cyclicity in basal accretion creates alternating phases of duplex thickening and ramp
activation. However, how this cyclic process modulates climate-tectonic feedbacks—specifically, how
episodic duplex growth and ramp activation influence topographic evolution, precipitation distribution, and
erosion rates across the wedge—remains poorly constrained over tens of millions of years.

To investigate these feedbacks, we employ a 2D coupled lithosphere-scale numerical framework that
captures the physics of climate–tectonic–surface interactions, building on the coupled modelling approach
developed by Yuan et al. (2024). This framework integrates a thermomechanical geodynamic model
(ASPECT) to account for tectonic deformation and uplift, a landscape evolution model (FastScape) to
simulate surface processes and an orographic precipitation model (LFPM) to evaluate climate–topography
feedbacks. We reproduce first-order geometries of the India-Eurasia collision zone by introducing crustal
décollements as pre-defined horizontal weaknesses in the Indian pate.
Preliminary results indicate that variations in basal décollement strength modulate tectonic style and ramp
cyclicity, controlling mountain-belt width and, in turn, precipitation patterns and surface erosion across
different ramp phases. A stronger basal décollement relative to an intermediate décollement leads to the
development of distinct inner and outer wedges. The outer wedge thereby grows laterally by frontal
accretion while uplift of the inner wedge occurs via duplex formation. Uplift of the inner wedge produces a
highly elevated, low-relief landscape, suggesting a transient geomorphic response to ongoing duplex uplift,
as observed in parts of the Himalaya. In these zones, two distinct rainfall maxima are observed, associated
with the inner and outer wedges, along with corresponding dual bands of high relief and enhanced channel
steepness. We find that variations in erosional parameters, together with crustal rheology, can substantially
influence the geometry of the Himalayan wedge, thereby modulating crustal deformation, topography
changes and the climate.


Reference: Yuan, X., Li, Y., Brune, S. et al. Coordination between deformation, precipitation, and erosion
during orogenic growth. Nat Commun 15, 10362 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54690-4

How to cite: Kundu, S., Brune, S., Scherler, D., Neuharth, D., Yuan, X., and Mandal, S. K.: Tectonic and Climatic Controls on Himalayan Topographic Evolution: Numerical modelling of tectonics-erosion-precipitation interactions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9873, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9873, 2026.

The evolution of orogens and sedimentary basins, together with associated vertical motions and thermal fields, is controlled by crustal and lithospheric thickness variations, linked to plate kinematics and rheological properties. All these factors are tightly coupled to surface processes such as erosion and sedimentation, and they are linked to climatic variations. However, understanding the distinct effects and complex interplay between tectonic and surface processes requires new, coupled approaches.

Here we present results from three-dimensional numerical models based on the thermo-mechanical code I3ELVIS, which uses finite differences and marker-in-cell methods and incorporates elasto-visco-plastic rheologies of compressible and thermally expanding/contracting rocks and parametrized partial melting, coupled to a newly developed erosion–sedimentation module. Mass is conserved between eroded and deposited material at each time step. Surface evolution is governed by advection, onshore hillslope diffusion, fluvial incision following a stream-power law, sediment diffusion from river mouths into the sea and pelagic sedimentation, and is described by

∂h/∂t + uHH h = uV + ∇H(κ ∇H h) - K Qm Sn + D

where h is the elevation, t is time, u is the velocity, H and V denotes horizontal and vertical quantities or operators, respectively, κ is diffusivity, K, m and n are stream power parameters, Q is water discharge, S is the local slope and D is a pelagic sediment source term. A node-based drainage network is built by steepest-descent flow routing, with discharge accumulated from laterally variable rainfall. Sediment delivered at river mouths is transported into the marine domain by a two-stage diffusive process, using a low diffusivity in proximal shelf environments and a higher diffusivity offshore to represent more efficient gravity-driven and pelagic redistribution.

Using this fully coupled framework, we investigate the effects of climate variability and mantle potential temperature during rifting and subsequent tectonic inversion. The models allow us to analyze strain localization, fault longevity, degrees of partial melting, and the spatial and temporal distribution of syn-tectonic sedimentary successions.

How to cite: Balázs, A., May, D., and Gerya, T.: Tectonics - erosion - sedimentation interactions during structural inversion: insights from fully coupled 3D numerical models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11962, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11962, 2026.

The structural style of foreland fold-and-thrust belts (FTBs) is highly sensitive to variations in pre-existing structures, three-dimensional décollement distribution, and syn-tectonic sedimentation. However, the relative importance of these factors and their influence on 2D and 3D structural variability remain poorly constrained. The pronounced along-strike variability of the Andean foreland FTB makes this region an ideal natural laboratory to investigate these interactions. We use the thermo-mechanically coupled tectonic model FANTOM 2D to produce high-resolution, fold-and-thrust belt–scale simulations that explore the interaction between internal properties of the wedge and surface processes. We systematically vary the strength of the two décollement horizons, combined with syn-tectonic sedimentation, and explore how this controls variability in structural styles of FTB formation. Our results show that a strong basal décollement combined with a weaker upper décollement leads to a steeper wedge taper and the development of an antiformal stack in the internal part of the fold-and-thrust belt and, in the foreland, all thrusts detach on the upper décollement, involving only the upper layer. In contrast, models with a weak basal and stronger upper décollement produce a lower-taper wedge, with thrust sheets detached solely on the basal décollement, propagating toward the foreland in a piggyback sequence. Structural complexity and kinematic variability increase when both décollements have similar low to intermediate strengths and interact with syn-tectonic sedimentation. Thrusts originate simultaneously in both décollements, involving the lower and upper layer in an alternating sequence, leading to a complex interaction between thrust propagation in the two layers. The onset of each structure—commonly pop-ups and triangular zones—and their subsequent diverse evolution can serve as diagnostic indicators of the relative strength between décollements. These modeled structures are comparable to the along-strike structural variability observed in the Bolivian fold-and-thrust belt. While syn-tectonic sedimentation primarily controls the number and length of thrusts, our results emphasize the first-order role of décollement rheology in shaping foreland fold-and-thrust belt architecture and its kinematic evolution.

How to cite: Saiz, F., S. Huismans, R., and G. Wolf, S.: 2D models exploring factors controlling N-S variation of external foreland fold and thrust belt of the Andes (Southern Bolivia -Northwest Argentina), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12043, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12043, 2026.

The existence of weak and shallow intra-crustal (salt) layers, syn-tectonic sedimentation as well as extensional inheritance have been shown to play a major role on deformational style and structural geometry of mountain belts on Earth. The Pyrenean orogen provides a well-constrained natural example of an inversion orogen strongly influenced by salt-detached foreland-fold-thrust belts. This study investigates the influence of pre-contractional salt and of syn-contractional salt deposition, together with inherited extensional structures, on crustal-scale mountain-building and associated foreland fold and thrust belt formation. To this end we use high-resolution thermo-mechanical numerical simulations based on the finite-element code FANTOM 2D, and explore the influence of salt viscosity, crustal flexural rigidity, extensional inheritance, crustal strength, and syntectonic sedimentation. By systematically varying those parameters, we can assess the impact of syn-tectonic salt deposition on the localization of deformation, thrust system evolution (both thick- and thin-skinned), and overall orogenic geometry. Comparison with the Pyrenees and other similar orogenic settings emphasizes the importance of extensional inheritance, syn-tectonic sedimentation and salt-tectonics during mountain building. Our models provide new insights into the mechanical role of evaporites in fold-and-thrust belt development.

How to cite: Gibellini, A., Huismans, R. S., and Wolf, S. G.: Effect of rift inheritance and salt layers on mountain building – a numerical modelling study motivated by the southern Pyrenean foreland fold-and-thrust belt, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12231, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12231, 2026.

Based on the latest drilling, logging, and seismic data, and using key tectonic interfaces as markers, this study divides tectonic strata in combination with regional tectonic movements, establishes a vertical stratigraphic framework, and reconstructs erosion amounts. It clarifies the present-day preservation, post-depositional erosion, original distribution characteristics, and their spatiotemporal variations for each stratum, systematically revealing how their development features respond to the basin's tectonic evolution. The results indicate that the Mesozoic tectonic layer in the Jiyang Depression can be subdivided into three sublayers: Early-Middle Triassic, Early-Middle Jurassic, and Early Cretaceous. The Cenozoic tectonic layer can be subdivided into five sublayers: Kongdian–Lower Es4, Upper Es4–Lower Es2, Upper Es2–Dongying, Guantao–Minghuazhen, and Pingyuan Formations. The distribution of preserved strata from bottom to top is uneven, with significant variations among different tectonic units and layers, reflecting the combined effects of original deposition and subsequent erosion. The Early-Middle Triassic period inherited the tectonic framework and sedimentary characteristics since the Late Hercynian, forming a large-scale inland depositional system. The Early-Middle Jurassic represented a transitional period from the Paleo-Asian tectonic domain to the circum-Pacific tectonic domain, characterized by early-stage filling and late-stage draping. The Early Cretaceous exhibited reverse fault depression, trending northwest, with greater depositional thickness near the Zhangjiakou–Penglai fault zone. The Cenozoic was marked by mantle upwelling and lithospheric thinning, with the Paleogene characterized by multi-episodic extensional fault depression and the Neogene–Quaternary by regional sag depression. The Jiyang Depression underwent multiple phases of complex tectonic evolution during the Mesozoic and Cenozoic, leading to widespread erosion at the tops of the Late Triassic, Late Jurassic, Late Cretaceous, Lower Es4, and other tectonic sublayers.

How to cite: Jia-xin, L.: Development Characteristics of Mesozoic-Cenozoic Tectonic Strata in the Jiyang Depression and Their Response to Tectonic Evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13391, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13391, 2026.

EGU26-14294 | Posters on site | TS4.2

The Southern Apennine front: evidences of recent activity at the Gulf of Taranto (Italy). 

Bruno Massa, Agostino Meo, Sabatino Ciarcia, and Maria Rosaria Senatore

The Southern Apennines collisional belt is connected to the Calabrian Arc subduction system across the Gulf of Taranto area (Southern Italy).  The role of active deformation during the late Pleistocene-Holocene time is a matter of debate. Our research focused on the feeding area of the Taranto Canyon, the main morphological feature of the continental slope in the study area. The headwall canyon incises the continental margin from the shelf break, at about 30 m b.s.l., down to 450 m depth,  covering an area of  about 50 km². A novel, high-resolution multibeam bathymetry was acquired using a Multibeam Echo-Sounder system. A total of approximately 1600 km² of high-resolution bathymetric data were collected, with a final gridded resolution of 10 × 10 m, referenced to Mean Sea Level. Bathymetry was used to generate a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), allowing  reliable morpho-structural and hydrographic analysis. In addition, a total of 650 km of seismic lines were collected across the outer continental shelf and slope in the north-eastern sector of the Gulf of Taranto, using the GeoResources Geo Spark 200 Sparker system, operating at 1 kJ. The adopted configuration allowed a dominant frequency range between 500 and 2000 Hz, a pulse length of ~0.5 ms, allowing imaging depths between 200 and 400 ms, two-way travel time. These acquisition parameters ensured a high-resolution imaging of buried sedimentary units, stratigraphy and tectonics. The interpretation of seismic sparker profiles, along with the high-resolution bathymetry, reveal deformations and small-scale thickness variations within Pleistocene–Holocene units. The integration of morphostructural and geophysical data suggests that present-day deformation exerts a primary control on canyon evolution and slope dynamics of the north-eastern Gulf of Taranto. These results provide new insights into the recent geodynamic evolution of the Southern Apennine front and highlight its implications for potential geohazard assessment.

How to cite: Massa, B., Meo, A., Ciarcia, S., and Senatore, M. R.: The Southern Apennine front: evidences of recent activity at the Gulf of Taranto (Italy)., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14294, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14294, 2026.

Exhumation strongly influences the structural, pressure and temperature evolution of sedimentary basins, and thus the formation and distribution of mineral and energy resources. It is commonly quantified using compaction-based methods that rely on sonic, porosity and thermal data to reconstruct uplift from maximum burial depths, typically via empirical relationships. However, these relationships are often calibrated for specific geological settings and then transferred elsewhere, and even region-specific models use parameters that vary within measurable ranges but are usually treated as exact. Data errors and unquantified parameter uncertainties can therefore propagate through the calculations, significantly compromising the reliability of exhumation estimates.

We previously developed a probabilistic compaction model for the Northern Carnarvon Basin (NCB) in the Australian North West Shelf (NWS) using sonic data from normally compacted, unexhumed intervals. Research shows that the dynamic evolution of the NWS basins has been shaped by multiple rifting and extensional phases and magmatic activities associated with Gondwana dispersal, and by later regional tilting linked to subduction along the northern margin. These complex histories imply significant basin-scale variability in subsidence and exhumation patterns, suggesting that NCB compaction behaviour may differ substantially from that in neighbouring basins such as Browse, Roebuck and Bonaparte. Here we extend probabilistic compaction analysis across these basins, deriving basin-specific shale compaction trends and comparing them to identify key similarities, differences and their geological controls. In doing so, we explicitly test whether a single “regional” compaction model is sufficient for exhumation analysis on the NWS, or whether basin-scale models are required.

Model robustness is evaluated using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, and uncertainty propagation is used to quantify the effect of parameter uncertainty on exhumation estimates. The NCB model shows strong similarity to Roebuck Basin trends but diverges from those of the Vulcan Sub-basin in the Bonaparte Basin. We attribute these differences to contrasting tectono-thermal histories, particularly the stronger influence of proximal subduction on the Bonaparte Basin. Our results indicate that while the NCB model may be cautiously transferable to the nearby Roebuck and parts of the Browse Basin, applying it to the distal Bonaparte Basin introduces substantial uncertainty. We demonstrate that, wherever data permit, basin-specific probabilistic compaction models are preferable to regional or global models for reliable exhumation analysis on complex passive margins such as the NWS.

How to cite: Makuluni, P., Hauser, J., and Clark, S.: Basin-specific versus regional compaction models: quantifying uncertainty in exhumation estimates on the Australian North West Shelf, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16214, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16214, 2026.

The Cascadia forearc is unique among global subduction zones because of the accretion of a large igneous province (Siletzia) and continuous clockwise rotation of the margin due to oblique subduction of the Juan de Fuca plate. We reconstruct the stratigraphic architecture and sediment accumulation history in the forearc by investigating multiple, along-strike forearc basins. Integrating potential-field models, 2D seismic reflections, and deep borehole data, our 3D mapping allows us to track basin depocenters through space and time, revealing a fundamental structural shift in the Miocene that significantly reshaped the forearc.

During the Paleogene, the Cascadia forearc was a broad, marine basin characterized by high sediment accumulation rates and unrestricted accommodation space. Our results show that during the Miocene in the central forearc (Portland-Tualatin Basin), what was once a single continuous basin was subdivided as transpressional stress structurally inverted older Paleogene normal faults. Similarly, in the Chehalis Basin to the north, clockwise rotation reoriented fault systems relative to the regional stress field, pushing the basin depocenter northward as deformation shifted from northwest-striking to west-striking faults. This structural transition occurred as the outer-arc high (Coast Range) emerged, causing depositional environments to shift from marine to terrestrial. It is also coincided with a steep drop in sediment accumulation rates: a 7-fold decrease in the Chehalis Basin (196 to 27 m/Myr) and a 10-fold decrease in the Portland-Tualatin basins (305 to 29 m/Myr) to the south.

We propose that along-strike variations in subduction geometry also impact basin evolution. In the southern and central forearc, a relatively steep subduction angle and clockwise rotation pushed the outer-arc high close to the magmatic arc, leaving minimal accommodation space. In contrast, shallower subduction to the north near the Seattle Basin maintained a wider separation, allowing high sediment accumulation rates to persist through the Neogene (211 m/Myr).

By integrating basin analysis with regional tectonics, we constrain along-strike variation in Cascadia forearc geometry through the Cenozoic. We find that sustained rotation and the influence of Siletzia basement, not just sedimentary accretion, have controlled the evolution of fault systems and Cascadia forearc deposition. Accordingly, this work provides a framework for understanding the evolution of forearc basins where long-term rotation and strain-partitioning dominate.

How to cite: Bershaw, J., Moe, R., and Scanlon, D.: Cascadia’s Mid-Life Crisis: Miocene Changes in the Forearc due to Rotation and Subduction Dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17015, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17015, 2026.

EGU26-17238 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.2

Contrasting Tectonic and Hydrodynamic Controls on the Infill of the Toukoshan Formation: A Seismic Stratigraphic Study Offshore Central Taiwan 

Ming-Yen Tsai, Ho-Han Hsu, Tzu-Ting Chen, Char-Shine Liu, Liang-Fu Lin, and Arif Mirza

Understanding the origin of high-frequency stratigraphic heterogeneity in active orogenic basins is essential for distinguishing the relative contributions of regional tectonics and local environmental forcings. In the offshore areas of central Taiwan, the Early Pleistocene to present Toukoshan Formation exhibits complex architectural variations that challenge singular tectonic interpretations. This study utilizes multichannel seismic reflection profiles and borehole data to dissect the evolutionary mechanisms driving these stratigraphic shifts. While the underlying Late Miocene to Early Pleistocene sequences exhibit architectural stability as well-stratified reflections, the Toukoshan Formation marks a transition to highly discontinuous geometries, reflecting a switch in dominant drivers toward localized hydrodynamic forcing. The lower Toukoshan Formation features co-existing parallel and progradational clinoform geometries, indicating significant lateral variations. These progradational structures are vertically overlain by continuous, sub-parallel reflections, recording a low-to-high-to-low energy transition. While tectonic subsidence typically produces laterally continuous stratigraphic geometries, the observed progradational sets in this study exhibit marked vertical and lateral discontinuities. This suggests that localized stratigraphic architecture is decoupled from the gradual tectonic trend, reflecting a switch in dominant drivers toward rapid hydrodynamic forcing. Such features likely record wave-driven sediment redistribution and the development of localized barrier complexes under high-energy conditions during relative sea-level fluctuations, rather than being a direct response to tectonic loading. Correlation of key time horizons across multiple seismic profiles reveals a southward migration of the depocenter within the Toukoshan Formation. This spatial pattern is consistent with the southward propagation of the orogenic belt and the resulting higher subsidence rates in the south as noted in previous studies, indicating that such regional-scale sediment redistribution is primarily governed by foreland basin subsidence. Our findings reveal a decoupling of stratigraphic drivers: while isopach maps confirm sustained tectonic control over regional accommodation, the internal architecture of the Toukoshan Formation marks a switch to localized hydrodynamic forcing. Wave-driven sediment supply and reworking overrides the tectonic signal, creating high-frequency heterogeneity and proving that even under active tectonics, environmental energy can be the primary sculptor of the depositional landscape.

How to cite: Tsai, M.-Y., Hsu, H.-H., Chen, T.-T., Liu, C.-S., Lin, L.-F., and Mirza, A.: Contrasting Tectonic and Hydrodynamic Controls on the Infill of the Toukoshan Formation: A Seismic Stratigraphic Study Offshore Central Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17238, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17238, 2026.

EGU26-17421 | Orals | TS4.2

Crustal deformation of Gondwana during the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age 

Yiorgos Galanis and David Bridgland

It is widely documented in the fluvial terrace and the sedimentary archive that Late Cenozoic landscapes have experienced an increase in non-steady-state uplift. With stepwise increase in uplift with climate transitions, this naturally led research to link uplift and climate. Further documented was the influence of crustal domain in controlling rates, where younger crust appears to react with greater intensity than its older, Archaean and Proterozoic counterparts. We began this project questioning that if Late Cenozoic crustal deformation is related in some way to increasing climate deterioration, then we should expect similar patterns during analogous periods. The selected period was the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age. Both exhibit similar low modelled CO2, high δ18O, high-frequency and high-magnitude oscillations in sea level, direct evidence of glaciation and, in comparison to earlier glacial episodes, biological complexity. Thermochronology data was compiled from terranes across Gondwana to provide a regional perspective of the nature of exhumation. The results are as follows. A pattern was evident of higher exhumation rates from Gondwanan-aged crustal domains in contrast to earlier Proterozoic and Archaean domains. Although expected and fitting with theory of how the crust deforms, this pattern is most curious. Linking the timing of exhumation with stages of climate deterioration proved difficult due to the resolution at which thermochronology describes exhumation. The presentation will explore the validity of assumptions and limitations of methodology and preservation of evidence, with discussion of avenues for further research on the topic.

How to cite: Galanis, Y. and Bridgland, D.: Crustal deformation of Gondwana during the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17421, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17421, 2026.

EGU26-17804 | Orals | TS4.2

Neotectonic vertical motions based on syn-volcanic palaeosurfaces and geochronological data: inferences for crustal and mantle processes (Pannonian Basin, Central Europe) 

László Fodor, Gábor Csillag, Károly Németh, Zsófia Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger, Krisztina Sebe, Tamás Telbisz, Gábor Kovács, and Sierd Cloetingh

Rate and timing of neotectonic vertical motions represent an ongoing research topic in inverted sedimentary basins. This presentation offers new data concerning the uplift history of the western part of the Miocene Pannonian Basin system, (Central Europe) which is bordering the Alpine orogenic belt. After the syn-rift phase of ~21–15Ma, the area underwent the post-rift phase which involved differential subsidence reaching several kilometres in basin centres. Parallel to post-rift subsidence process, the basin inversion started during the Late Miocene and resulted in differential uplift, fluvial and aeolian denudation, and river incision.

The late post-rift and the early neotectonic phases were accompanied by extensive basalt volcanism, resulting in the activity of two distinct phreatomagmatic monogenetic volcanic fields, the Bakony-Balaton Highland and Little Hungarian Plain Volcanic Fields (BBHVF and LHPVF) through the Late Miocene to earliest Quaternary (7.96–2.61 Ma). The volcanic fields comprise diverse volcanic landforms, including shield volcanoes, maar diatremes, volcanic plugs and erosional remnants of scoria and spatter cones.

Detailed analysis of volcanic facies was used to reconstruct the topographic position of the syn-volcanic palaeosurface upon which the volcanoes developed. Using the previously published ages of the volcanic rocks and the palaeo-elevations of the volcanic surfaces, averaged uplift rates were derived for all observation points. In addition, previously published exposure age data and geomorphological data were used to constrain the uplift rates.

The reconstructed palaeosurfaces and the calculated rock uplift rates show spatial and temporal variations from ~20 to ~100 m/Ma. Before ~3.5 Ma the two volcanic fields showed opposite differential vertical motions having been positive in the eastern basin margin (Transdanubian Range) and negative in the neighbouring basin centre (Kisalföld/Danube Basin); variations were due to differential post-rift subsidence and the onset of minor neotectonic uplift. After ~3.5 Ma all the studied areas underwent uplift, but the south-western part of the volcanic fields exhibits larger uplift values than the north-eastern one triggering a regional drainage pattern reorganisation. Moving west from the volcanic areas, toward the foothills of the Alps, the uplift rates increased even more and approximating values obtained in the Alpine orogenic belt.

This variable differential vertical motion history points to the interplay of complex governing processes. These could involve the intraplate compressional stress related to neotectonic basin inversion, lower-crustal flow of the weakened crust, and more importantly, mantle processes at depth. This latter could involve lithospheric folding, mantle convection-induced development of a dynamic topography, and the eventual effect of secondary plumes. In addition, uplift could be coupled with surface processes like variable unloading by denudation and loading by sedimentation in the axial and marginal parts of the area, respectively.

The research was supported by the Hungarian National Research, Development and Innovation Office, project 134873 and the HUN-REN Research Grant Hungary project RGH531001.

How to cite: Fodor, L., Csillag, G., Németh, K., Ruszkiczay-Rüdiger, Z., Sebe, K., Telbisz, T., Kovács, G., and Cloetingh, S.: Neotectonic vertical motions based on syn-volcanic palaeosurfaces and geochronological data: inferences for crustal and mantle processes (Pannonian Basin, Central Europe), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17804, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17804, 2026.

EGU26-17815 | Posters on site | TS4.2

Integrated Geological and Geophysical Investigation of Al-Shout Valley, Saudi Arabia 

Saad AlHumidan and Suhail Alhejji

This study of the subsurface conditions within a fluvial system impacted by the Red Sea rift tectonics offers an integration of geological and geophysical observations from Al-Shout Valley in western Saudi Arabia. Two primary fracture orientations are revealed by structural measurements, suggesting regional tectonic control. While Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) data define the transition from unconsolidated sediments to gravel layers and underlying bedrock, high-resolution Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) profiles show varying sediment thickness and shallow subsurface heterogeneity. The significant sediment variability and a strong tectonic influence on the valley evolution are shown by the combined dataset. These findings will advance our knowledge of near-surface architecture and fluvial stratigraphy in environments associated with arid rifts.

How to cite: AlHumidan, S. and Alhejji, S.: Integrated Geological and Geophysical Investigation of Al-Shout Valley, Saudi Arabia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17815, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17815, 2026.

EGU26-18447 | Posters on site | TS4.2

Thermomechanical models of Taiwan’s orogeny with along-strike variability 

Ming Jun Zheng, Yuan-Hsi Lee, and Eh Tan

Taiwan is situated within an active arc–continent collision zone and represents one of the most rapidly exhuming orogens on Earth, characterized by complex structural architecture. In our previous work, we developed a comprehensive thermomechanical model that incorporates the depth-dependent transition from brittle to ductile deformation, lithology-controlled erosion, and observed geometries of the basal decollement and backstop. The model successfully reproduces the key structural features of the northern Taiwan orogen and is consistent with metamorphic temperature profiles, thermochronological constraints, spatial patterns of strain, and the observed rates of exhumation and cooling. The results further demonstrate the critical roles of ductile deformation and ramp structures in the formation of the Hsuehshan Range and the Western fold-and-thrust belt.

Structural styles, however, vary systematically from north to south across the Taiwan orogen. Notably, the Hsuehshan Range is absent in southern Taiwan, and total crustal shortening decreases significantly toward the southern tip of the island.

Here, we apply the same thermomechanical framework under varying boundary conditions to reconstruct the along-strike evolution of mountain building across Taiwan.

Our results indicate that the timing of orogenic onset is comparable along strike, whereas the rate of shortening decreases progressively from north to south. The basal decollement extends to approximately 20 km depth and exhibits variable ramp–flat geometries, leading to distinct structural styles along the orogen. The model successfully captures the development of the Pingtung Basin and the structural evolution of the Hengchun Peninsula, providing a unified framework for understanding the along-strike variability of Taiwan’s orogeny.

How to cite: Zheng, M. J., Lee, Y.-H., and Tan, E.: Thermomechanical models of Taiwan’s orogeny with along-strike variability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18447, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18447, 2026.

EGU26-20363 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.2

Eocene – Miocene geologic evolution of the Alps-Apennines junction wedge top basin in northwest Italy 

Maria Isabel Vidal Reyes, Mattia Marini, Chiara Amadori, Simone Reguzzi, Matteo Maino, Niccolo Menegoni, Fadi H. Nader, and Magdala Tesauro

The sedimentary fill of foreland wedge-top basins is characterized by an intricated depositional architecture, resulting from superposition of tectonics and sedimentation. This study explores the relationship between tectonics and basin evolution through the analysis of the Eocene-Miocene depositional systems formed in the Alps-Apennines junction wedge-top basin (northwest Italy). We implemented a 3D geologic model, providing thickness and lateral facies variations, as well as the architecture of these systems. To this aim, we analysed subsurface and surface data, including seismic reflection profiles, field observations, and facies analysis of the outcropping successions. Five major units were identified within the basin, which are representative of key stages in its tectonic evolution. An initial phase of basin subsidence (Eocene-Oligocene) culminated in the establishment of a widespread deep-water environment, characterized by high efficiency turbidite systems (Burdigalian). Afterwards, the progression of Apennine deformation led first to basin tilting and then basin inversion and progressive shallowing (Middle to Late Miocene). The 3D model is the basis for a quantitative characterization of the relationship between tectonic subsidence and sediment accumulation, useful to understand the complex evolution of this and analogue sedimentary basins.

How to cite: Vidal Reyes, M. I., Marini, M., Amadori, C., Reguzzi, S., Maino, M., Menegoni, N., Nader, F. H., and Tesauro, M.: Eocene – Miocene geologic evolution of the Alps-Apennines junction wedge top basin in northwest Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20363, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20363, 2026.

The Yaziluo Aulacogen, developed on the northern margin of the Paleo-Tethys Ocean, has become a strategic breakthrough area for shale gas exploration in southern China's complex tectonic regions due to the discovery of Carboniferous industrial gas flow. However, prior to this study, the region had been poorly studied, with limited thermal indicator data, well-developed carbonate strata, and was affected by the superimposed effects of multi-phase tectonic movements. A single type of thermal indicator could not accurately reconstruct its thermal history, leading to uncertainties in hydrocarbon source rock maturity evolution and hydrocarbon generation phases, thus hindering the evaluation of shale gas potential. To address the challenge of accurately reconstructing thermal history in complex tectonic regions, this study focused on the Yaziluo Aulacogen, which preserves abundant stratigraphic records. We reconstructed the thermal history of the aulacogen since the Late Paleozoic using a multi-method coupling approach, including the combination of carbonate clumped isotope with U-Pb dating, low-temperature thermochronology, and organic thermal indicators. This work established a thermal history reconstruction technique for complex tectonic regions and quantitatively analyzed the spatio-temporal superimposition effects of multi-phase tectono-thermal events. Furthermore, we identified the controlling factors influencing the maturity evolution of the Lower Carboniferous source rocks and clarified the relationship between regional tectono-thermal evolution and critical hydrocarbon generation periods. The results have provided geothermal constraints for geodynamic studies of passive continental margin rift basins along the northern Paleo-Tethys margin and offered key technical support for hydrocarbon resource assessment in similar complex tectonic regions across the Paleo-Tethyan domain.

How to cite: Gao, P.: Thermal History Reconstruction of the Yaziluo Aulacogen, Paleo-Tethyan Complex Tectonic Domain: Coupled Constraints from Multitype Thermal Indicators, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20539, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20539, 2026.

The interplay between tectonic shortening and surface erosion critically influences mountain building, yet their combined effects on vertical orogenic growth remain unclear. Here we present a suite of tectonic-geomorphology analogue experiments that combine brittle deformation with controlled rainfall-driven erosion. Under a certain shortening rate, we find that wedge height does not monotonically decrease with increasing erosion. Instead, the maximum orogenic wedge height occurs at a moderate rainfall/erosion rate, rather than under no or low erosion. To quantify this relationship, we introduce a dimensionless parameter, the rainfall-to-shortening ratio (R2S), and show that wedge height peaks at R2S ≈ 1. Compilation of data from 28 natural orogenic belts shows a similar bell-shaped trend, with maximum average elevations occurring at R2S ≈ 100, supporting the experimental results. The R2S difference between modeled and natural results likely represents the scaling difference of rainfall rate relative to shortening rate. We suggest that moderate erosion promotes vertical growth by reducing internal wedge strength and allowing the development of steeper critical surface slopes. These findings underscore the dynamic coupling between tectonics and surface processes and offer a scalable, physically grounded framework for understanding and predicting variations in mountain height across both experimental and natural systems.

How to cite: Wu, L. and Yang, B.: Moderate Erosion relative to Shortening Maximizes Mountain Heights in Active Orogenic Belts: Insight from tectonic-geomorphology analogue modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21847, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21847, 2026.

EGU26-487 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

Characterisation of the active tectonics in the outer Arunachal Himalaya, India: Insights from tectono-geomorphic analysis  

Girindra Bora, Bashab Nandan Mahanta, and Tapos Kumar Goswami

The Himalayan fold-thrust belt, formed due to the collision between the Indian and Eurasian plates, during ~50 Ma, shows the long-term convergence with crustal shortening, duplex development, out-of-sequence thrusting and deformations of the foreland basins. The outer Arunachal Himalaya, in the southern part of the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis, is one of the most tectonically active areas in the Himalayan arc. Frequent earthquakes of several magnitudes, accompanied by associated ground failures, liquefactions, and subsidence in the foreland basins, as well as significant changes in river courses, indicate prominent surface manifestations that reveal ongoing deformations. Documentation of uplifted and truncated terraces, unpaired terraces, soft-sediment deformation structures, warped and tilted Quaternary layers, strath terraces and fault scarps collectively suggest active deformation along the frontal fold-thrust belt. This study integrates morphometric analysis, river terrace mapping and characterisation of paleoseismic evidences to assess active tectonics in the area. Key morphometric indices derived from remotely sensed datasets, including mountain-front sinuosity (Smf), drainage basin asymmetry (Af), transverse topographic symmetry factor (T), valley floor width-to-height ratio (Vf), stream length-gradient (SL), hypsometric integral (HI), and elongation ratio (El), consistently shows strong tectonic influence in the area. The narrow, V-shaped valleys and steep channel gradients further support ongoing upliftment in the region. Lineament mapping reveals structural trends parallel to the Himalayan Frontal Thrust (HFT) that align with the regional stress field. It is worth mentioning that the upliftment along the HFT is not uniform, leading to the development of unpaired terraces. Additionally, NW-SE and NE-SW transverse faults have segmented the mountain front, that triggered channel offsets and changes in the river widths, and also contributed to the formation of minor pull-apart basins. These transverse structures, along with the south-verging thrust system, are crucial for distribution of strain across the frontal Arunachal Himalayas. Documentation of active scarps, deformed terraces, and related landscape features are crucial for understanding the relation between surface deformation, fault activity, and seismic risk in this highly active part of the orogenic belt.

Keywords: Active tectonics, HFT, Geomorphic evidences, Frontal Arunachal Himalaya.

How to cite: Bora, G., Mahanta, B. N., and Goswami, T. K.: Characterisation of the active tectonics in the outer Arunachal Himalaya, India: Insights from tectono-geomorphic analysis , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-487, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-487, 2026.

EGU26-913 | ECS | Orals | TS6.1

Assessing Quaternary shortening through trishear kinematic models at the Andean Orogenic Front, Southern Precordillera, Argentina 

Victoria Alvarellos, Carlos Costa, Lucia Sagripanti, Lucia Jagoe, Andres Richard, and Andres Folguera

The active orogenic front of Southern Central Andes, at the latitude of ~32°-33°S, is located in the foothills of the Southern Precordillera. This region lies within a flat-slab subduction setting, which defines an area of very high seismic hazard characterized by Quaternary deformation and intense shallow-crustal seismicity. The active deformation in this area is focused on the easternmost thrusts of the Southern Precordillera, particularly along the Las Peñas-Las Higueras range (32°10’-32°45’S). The Las Peñas Thrust System (LPTS) bounds the range to the east and propagates towards the piedmont through both surface-reaching and blind thrusts. Numerous fault and fold scarps, characterized by a N-S strike and eastward vergence, have been active since Pliocene-Pleistocene times, with the most recent expressions located at the easternmost piedmont.

Toward the southern end of the Las Higueras-Las Peñas range, the thrust front corresponds to a transposed east-verging anticline, which becomes blind in the study area of Baños Colorados Creek. Before its geomorphic signature is fully lost towards the south, the morphotectonic expression of the LPTS in this creek shows discontinuous remnants of deformed quaternary alluvial deposits lying unconformably over neogene units. These deposits define fold-limb scarps ~300 m long and with scarp heights ranging from 20 to 45 m. Such exposures provide a unique opportunity to estimate shortening in neotectonic blind thrusts that exhume the bedrock. They also allow quantification of deformation in the hanging wall, where geological markers are commonly removed by erosion. This setting provides an exceptional opportunity to estimate deformation by considering the contribution of adjacent blocks (off-fault analysis), offering key insights into how quaternary deformation is distributed along the SCLP. Moreover, until now, the activity of this thrust system had been evaluated exclusively through indicators obtained directly at the fault zone and its immediate surroundings (on-fault), so this analysis represents a complementary and significant contribution.

We calculated quaternary shortening applying fault-propagation fold models based on the trishear concept using both the reconstructed topography of alluvial surfaces and stratigraphic layers as deformation markers, surveyed with high-resolution techniques (UAV and DGNSS). Shortening rates of 0.17-0.50 mm/yr were obtained for 13-16 ka surfaces, while minimum shortening of 15.6-36.76 m was estimated for an older surface (>13-16 ka and likely <200 ka).

Although estimating shortening rates on blind thrusts involves significant uncertainties, our results refine the characterization of the seismogenic sources affecting the surroundings of Mendoza city, one of the most populated in Argentina, where hazard assessments remain outdated and do not adequately incorporate blind-fault activity.

How to cite: Alvarellos, V., Costa, C., Sagripanti, L., Jagoe, L., Richard, A., and Folguera, A.: Assessing Quaternary shortening through trishear kinematic models at the Andean Orogenic Front, Southern Precordillera, Argentina, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-913, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-913, 2026.

EGU26-1639 | ECS | Orals | TS6.1

First Paleoseismological Trench in Northwestern France: A Multidisciplinary Study along the South Armorican Shear Zone. 

Mina Vazifehdar, Clément Perrin, Jean-François Ritz, Mickaël Bonnin, Romain Le Roux-Mallouf, Éric Beucler, Stéphane Mazzotti, Guillaume Guérin, Hugues Malservet, Laurent Lenta, Stéphane Pochat, Damien Fligiel, and Susan Conway

The South Armorican Southern Shear Zone (SASSZ), located in the northwestern France within the Armorican Massif, represents a major structural feature inherited from the Variscan orogeny. Although this region is now far from active plate boundaries and characterized by very low strain rates (i.e. 10-9 yr-1), it’s characterized by a moderate and diffuse seismicity associated with a few large events (up to M~5), suggesting possible fault reactivations.

This study integrates high-resolution mapping, geophysical investigations, and paleoseismic trenching to decipher the SASSZ structure and its possible quaternary activity. Based on high-resolution DEMs (LiDAR, RGEALTI from IGN), the analysis of morphological scarps along the SASSZ shows a wide range of surface trace complexities (bends, secondary splays, step-overs, gaps) associated with initial ductile and more recent brittle deformation. The width of the deformation zone around the SASSZ can reach up to 4 km, alternating between a localized and a distributed shear zone from the Pointe du Raz to Nantes. These measurements are in agreement with slope measurements performed along the SASSZ: the wider the deformation zone (> 0.3 km), the lower the maximum and mean slopes associated with the scarps.

Three geophysical surveys were conducted at sites of interest, along the SASSZ, in order to connect observed scarps at the surface with variations in crustal physical properties. They reveal distinct resistivity contrasts consistent with surface scarp locations. At the Moulin Quilly site, two paleoseismic trenches were excavated across two sub-parallel scarps. Trench 1 across the main surface scarp is not associated with a clear lithological contrast. However, the foliated granitoids are affected by several families of fractures oriented from N50°E to N120°E. The main structure is located at the base of the scarp and is made of sub-horizontal goethite deposits filling a N120°E trending open fracture of 10 cm wide, in the same direction as the SASSZ. Trench 2 crosses a secondary scarp and is divided in to three main structural units: (1) a slightly weathered granite unit preserving subvertical foliation and affected by cryogenic processes dated between 20 and 30 ka (from Optically Stimulated Luminescence dates on sand deposits); (2) a narrow transition unit, associated with a high-strain zone showing sub-vertical fabrics filled by sands; and (3) a fine-grained, strongly altered ultramylonite unit dipping 15°–25° northeast. All units are covered by an undeformed modern soil. From the subvertical fabrics in the transition unit, oriented samples were collected for microstructural analysis. Thin sections in the altered fabric show well-oriented minerals, alteration veins, and kinematic indicators that document higher deformation and alteration processes than in the granite. Further analyses will be conducted to quantify the strain distribution, in close comparison with the dating results.

Our study highlights a brittle deformation phase of the SASSZ, either linked to a recent tectonic activity, or associated with the Mesozoic regional extension, but the latter raises questions about the preservation of surface morphology through geological times. Future dating results of goethite deposits will help clarify whether the brittle fractures and their subsequent infilling reflect quaternary activity or an older phase of deformation.

How to cite: Vazifehdar, M., Perrin, C., Ritz, J.-F., Bonnin, M., Le Roux-Mallouf, R., Beucler, É., Mazzotti, S., Guérin, G., Malservet, H., Lenta, L., Pochat, S., Fligiel, D., and Conway, S.: First Paleoseismological Trench in Northwestern France: A Multidisciplinary Study along the South Armorican Shear Zone., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1639, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1639, 2026.

EGU26-2839 | Posters on site | TS6.1

The geomorphic erosive record of past earthquakes: Examples from the Palomares Fault (Almería-Murcia, SE Spain). 

Pablo G. Silva Barroso, Javier Elez, Teresa Bardaí, Raúl Pérez-López, Miguel Ángel Rodríguez-Pascua, Jorge L. Giner, and Elvira Roquero

The Palomares fault (PLF) in SE Spain is the first tectonic structure with recognized quaternary activity within the Iberian Peninsula in the early 1970 decade. Together with the well-known Lorca-Alhama de Murcia fault (LAF) delineates the so-called Eastern Betic Shear Zone, a large (>180 km length) crustal scale left-lateral strike-slip fault zone crossing-cut across the Betic Cordillera in a SSW-NNE orientation and subject to present low strain and convergence rates (< 4 mm/yr). Whilst the LAF displays clear evidence of Holocene tectonics and historical to recent seismic activity (i.e., 5.1 Mw 2011 Lorca Earthquake), the PLF present scarce to null instrumental seismic records. However, the PLF shows relevant geomorphic and stratigraphic evidence of past Middle to Late Pleistocene seismic activity and scarce historical seismic records. Only the strong EMS X 1518 AD Vera Earthquake in Almería (6.7 Mw) can be theoretically related to this fault, but present seismic records are nearly null.

The present contribution provides support for the recurrent paleoseismic activity of the PLF during the Middle-late Pleistocene with clear morpho-stratigraphic records between the vicinity of the village of Palomares to the south (Almería) to northern localities, such Purias (Murcia). This means about 60 km of Quaternary tectonics nicely preserved in a fault segment, which has been recently considered no-faulted by theoretical approaches based on geophysical-gravity data. Whatever the case, the present contribution indicates that quaternary faulting occurs along the entire fault length, but the degree of fault activity (in timing and slip) largely decreases from south to north.  Fault kinematics also varies from nearly pure left-lateral strike-slip to a dominant reverse component south to north according to the progressive westerly bending of the PLF trace. Is in the northern segment where older deformations are present and erosional processes (i.e. gullying) nicely interplayed with fault activity generating deep furrows along the fault zone later refilled by renewed alluvial sediments and subsequently deformed by repeated paleoseismic activity. In other words, the PLF shows unique examples of the erosive record of past earthquakes, illustrating the potentially rich variety of geomorphic evidence for past seismic activity in low strain regions, even in absence of the typical tecto-sedimentary fault records, common in southern locations of this fault.

Acknowledgements: This contribution is supported by the Spanish Research Project I+D+i PID2021-123510OB-I00 (QTECIBERIA-USAL) funded by the MICIN AEI/10.13039/501100011033/.

How to cite: Silva Barroso, P. G., Elez, J., Bardaí, T., Pérez-López, R., Rodríguez-Pascua, M. Á., Giner, J. L., and Roquero, E.: The geomorphic erosive record of past earthquakes: Examples from the Palomares Fault (Almería-Murcia, SE Spain)., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2839, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2839, 2026.

Modern global warming causes enhanced melting of ice bodies and desiccation of lakes worldwide. The surface mass changes that occurred over the past decades were sufficiently large to cause discernible crustal deformation and alterations of seismicity patterns in the respective regions. As these climatically induced mass changes will continue to affect continental interiors in the future, assessing their impact on crustal deformation is crucial for future seismic hazard estimates. Here, we use numerical modelling to explore how such climate-induced unloading of Earth's crust may affect the earthquake cycle of thrust faults in continental interiors. In different 2D experiments, we vary the magnitude and width of the load, the duration of unloading, the length of the interseismic phase, the viscosity of the lower crust and the shortening rate to capture low-strain and tectonically active settings. All experiments show that the fault responds to unloading with increased coseismic slip. When unloading phases are equal to or shorter than the interseismic phase, the largest amount of slip occurs toward the end of the unloading period. Even if the load is removed during a single interseismic phase, enhanced coseismic slip may also occur up to thousands of years after unloading. Generally, the increase in coseismic slip is most pronounced for large and narrow loads, long recurrence intervals, low shortening rates and low viscosities of the lower crust. Our findings imply that climate-induced unloading has the potential to increase earthquake magnitudes, to shorten earthquake recurrence intervals, and to increase the earthquake hazard especially in low-strain regions.
Compared to earlier studies, our results provide first insights into the impact that is to be expected from the ongoing deglaciation of glaciers and ice sheets worldwide on the coseismic slip of faults and hence, on approximate earthquake magnitudes. With respect to modern climate change, our results indicate that climate-induced mass changes on Earth's surface have the potential to increase the seismic hazard in various geological settings.

How to cite: Brauns, A.-C. and Hampel, A.:  Impact of climatically induced surface mass changes on the earthquake cycle of intra-plate thrust faults: Insights from numerical modelling , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3061, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3061, 2026.

The Tarim Basin is a multi-stage and multi-cycle superimposed basin developed on a stable craton basement. The Lunnan area is located in the central and eastern part of the Tabei uplift in the northern Tarim Basin. It has developed some fault systems with different strikes, properties, evolution stages. Based on the tectonic interpretation of 3D seismic data, we investigated the geometry ang kinematics of faults in Lunnan area.The formation and evolution of faults in Lunnan area occurred with the help of the pre-existing faults and were influenced by the regional compression/extensional direction transformation.

In the Neoproterozoic, the Tarim Basin was in an extensional tectonic background as a whole. The Lunnan area developed two rifts in the EW and NE directions, and the boundary normal faults were used as pre-existing structures. In the early Caledonian, the near NS direction Cambrian platform margin belt in the eastern part of Lunnan area is developed as the pre-existing weak belt.In the middle of the Caledonian, with a nearly NS-trending extrusion, the near EW-trending Lunnan fault grew and developed upward on the basis of the upper high-angle pre-existing fault surface of the early rift boundary normal fault, and the high-angle thrust fault was developed. Under the pure shear deformation mechanism, an X-type conjugate strike-slip fault system composed of two groups of NNE-and NNW-trending faults was developed.In the late Caledonian-early Hercynian, with a nearly NS-trending extrusion, the rapid uplift in the central and western parts of Lunnan area leads to a large amount of erosion of Ordovician strata to form a NEE-trending lithologic weak zone. Under the action of oblique compression, the pre-existing weak zone was activated by strike-slip and formed a series of NEE-trending strike-slip faults. At the boundary of the nearly NS-trending Cambrian platform margin zone in the eastern part of the Lunnan area, a nearly NS-trending fault was formed by the activation of the pre-existing weak zone under oblique compression.In the late Hercynian, under the NWW-trending extrusion, the near EW-trending Lunnan fault, NEE-trending and near NS-trending strike-slip faults continued to active.The NE-trending Lungu 7 fault inherits the high-angle fracture surface in the upper part of the NE-trending pre-existing rift normal fault, and develops a high-angle thrust fault. The pre-existing structure is not developed in the deep layer of the near EW-trending Sangtamu fault, and a thrust fault with a gentle dip angle conforming to the Anderson model is formed under the forward extrusion.With the change of regional compressive stress direction and the transformation from carbonate strata to clastic strata, the conjugate X-type strike-slip fault gradually disappeared.In the early Indosinian period, the Tarim Basin still showed a near NS-trending compressive stress background. In the middle and late stages, it was transformed into a NW-trending extensional background. The early stage of the fault still inherited the compressional nature, and the late stage superimposed extension-strike slip activity.In the Yanshanian-Early Himalayan period, the NW-trending extensional tectonic background induces the formation of tenso-shear echelon faults in the shallow layer.

How to cite: Cao, M., Li, W., and Zhuo, W.: The development regularity and genetic mechanism of intracratonic faults under the control of regional tectonic background and pre-existing structures--A case study of Lunnan area in northern Tarim Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4159, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4159, 2026.

The Issyk-Ata fault is a key active structure in northern Kyrgyzstan and represents the principal seismogenic source affecting the densely populated Chui basin, including Bishkek, the capital city of the Kyrgyz Republic. In 2025, a sequence of moderate earthquakes with magnitudes exceeding Mw 4 occurred along the fault, providing clear evidence of ongoing deformation and renewed seismic activity. Owing to its proximity to major population centers, the Issyk-Ata fault has been consistently identified as the dominant contributor to regional seismic hazard. The northern Tien Shan is an actively deforming intracontinental region characterized by distributed crustal shortening associated with far-field convergence. Long-term geodetic measurements indicate north–south shortening rates of up to ~20 mm/yr, resulting in recurrent strong earthquakes along the northern Tien Shan margin. The Issyk-Ata fault extends approximately 120 km in an east–west direction and forms the northern boundary of a young and actively growing anticline separating the Kyrgyz Range foothills from the Chui basin. As the youngest major fault system in the region, it transects the southern part of Bishkek, where extensive urban development has largely obscured its surface geomorphic expression. To better constrain the seismic behavior of the Issyk-Ata fault, we integrate high-resolution remote sensing, detailed geomorphological and structural field investigations, and paleoseismological trenching, with a particular focus on the Dzhal area of the Kyrgyz Range. These combined datasets allow systematic mapping of surface ruptures, measurement of cumulative vertical displacements, and identification of fault segmentation. Chronological constraints derived from optically stimulated luminescence and radiocarbon dating reveal at least two surface-rupturing earthquakes during the Holocene. Empirical scaling relationships suggest that these paleoearthquakes reached moment magnitudes of approximately Mw 6.6–7.1. Geological and geomorphological analyses in the Dzhal area indicate a long-term fault slip rate of ~1.15 mm/yr, reflecting sustained Quaternary deformation. The fault exhibits pronounced along-strike variability in rupture style and displacement, with individual segments recording distinct seismic histories and patterns of activity.

These results demonstrate that the Issyk-Ata fault accommodates deformation through segmented rupture behavior typical of low-strain intraplate settings. The occurrence of large Holocene earthquakes, together with recent moderate seismicity in 2025 and the fault’s direct interaction with the urban area of Bishkek, underscores the need for refined, segment-based seismic hazard models. Improved understanding of seismogenic sources and Quaternary deformation along the Issyk-Ata fault is essential for advancing seismic hazard assessment and risk mitigation strategies in the northern Tien Shan.

How to cite: Ha, S. and Cholponbek, O.: Holocene Paleoearthquake Records of the Issyk-Ata Fault near the Densely Populated Chui Basin: Evidence from the Dzhal Area, Kyrgyz Range, Tien Shan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4708, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4708, 2026.

EGU26-4863 | ECS | Orals | TS6.1

Unraveling the Mechanisms of Giant Intraplate Strike-Slip Earthquakes in Mongolia: The Roles of Slow Plate Rates 

Eyüp Sopacı, Yann Klinger, and Luca Dal Zilio

The largest strike-slip earthquakes ever recorded (M > 8) occurred in Mongolia in the 20th century, far from any plate boundaries. Rupture length-magnitude data indicate that the magnitude of these intraplate Mongolian events is, on average, ~0.5 magnitude larger than that of typical interplate earthquakes. The physical mechanisms that allow for such extra-large events remain mostly unresolved, largely due to the long return time of such events, hence the limited observational data. To address this, we employed a dual approach—numerical simulations with the PyQuake3D boundary element code (Tang et al., 2025) and theoretical analyses using the Rate and State Friction (Aging) Law on the spring slider—focusing on the role of slow plate rates. Our findings show that lower plate rates result in higher slip and greater stress drop, driven by enhanced fault restrengthening (healing). This healing, quantified by the state parameter, increases linearly with the inverse plate rate, in agreement with both analytical spring-slider models and 3D simulations. Critically, however, the observed GNSS plate rates of 1–3 mm/yr are insufficient to account for the ~0.5-unit magnitude excess relative to typical interplate earthquakes. We rigorously examine two scientific hypotheses: First, plate rates may be at residual levels (<1 mm/yr), perhaps reflecting far-field tectonic stresses or gravitational potential energy contrasts in Central/East Asia. Such extremely low driving rates could enable extended interseismic healing and thus unusually large stress drops and magnitudes. Second, the rupture width and depth of these intraplate earthquakes exceed those of typical interplate events. Our argument for this second scenario is strengthened by simulations of thermal pressurization: at high slip rates, rapid heating of pore fluids increases pore pressure and reduces the effective normal stress, thereby facilitating enhanced fault weakening and deeper rupture penetration. Our integrated numerical and theoretical approaches provide a robust basis for these hypotheses, advancing our understanding of the generation of remarkably large intraplate earthquakes and highlighting the importance of tectonic plate rate controlling earthquake magnitude.

Tang, R., Gan, L., Li, F., & Dal Zilio, L. (2025). PyQuake3D: A Python tool for 3-D earthquake sequence simulations of seismic and aseismic slip. Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation, 2(4), e2025JH000871.

How to cite: Sopacı, E., Klinger, Y., and Dal Zilio, L.: Unraveling the Mechanisms of Giant Intraplate Strike-Slip Earthquakes in Mongolia: The Roles of Slow Plate Rates, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4863, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4863, 2026.

EGU26-5409 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

The influence of fluvial incision on the lithospheric stress field: a numerical approach 

Felipe Baiadori da Silva and Victor Sacek

Fluvial denudation along large valleys moves important sedimentary volumes across continents over time, inducing isostasy-related stresses due to unloading of the crust. This work reports numerical experiments with a visco-plastic lithosphere aimed at understanding the patterns and evolution of stresses and uplift associated with differential erosion in wide, tectonically quiescent valleys over 30 million years (Myr). We simulate valleys 30 to 150 km wide and a few hundred meters deep, and observe horizontal deviatoric stresses with maximum magnitudes larger than 10 MPa, the distribution of which is largely controlled by the degree of mechanical coupling between upper crust and lithospheric mantle, associated with the viscosity of the lower crust. The upper crust in simulations with a weakly-coupled lithosphere is strongly compression-dominated beneath the valley. In contrast, scenarios with higher lithospheric coupling are characterized by similar amounts of compression and extension over crustal depths. Moreover, our simulations suggest that a significant part of these stresses persists for tens of Myr after erosion rates have diminished, gradually focusing around the central valley due to progressive viscous relaxation in the lower crust and lithospheric mantle. The adequacy of an elastic plate model in reproducing modeled surface uplift and subsurface stresses in response to fluvial incision is discussed in terms of lithospheric rigidity for each scenario, revealing important departures between stresses predicted from flexural theory and those resulting from our simulations. We conclude that large rivers are an important factor to consider when studying stress fields in stable continental regions, especially if the valley is being actively excavated, and that these might contribute to moderate seismic activity in intraplate settings.

How to cite: Baiadori da Silva, F. and Sacek, V.: The influence of fluvial incision on the lithospheric stress field: a numerical approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5409, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5409, 2026.

EGU26-5677 | Posters on site | TS6.1

New insights on large past earthquakes on the Raša Fault in NW Dinarides (Slovenia) revealed from multi-trench paleoseismic study 

Petra Jamšek Rupnik, Eva Mencin Gale, Lovro Rupar, Jernej Jež, Frank Preusser, Ana Novak, Aleša Uršič Arko, Andrej Anžel, Josipa Maslač Soldo, and Jure Atanackov

The Raša Fault is a major right-lateral strike-slip structure in the northwestern Dinarides, representing a key active fault in a low- to moderate-strain region. Despite its prominent geomorphic expression and recognized hazard, its seismic history remains poorly constrained. To address this gap, we conducted a multi-trench paleoseismological investigation, including radiocarbon and luminescence dating, to characterize past surface-rupturing earthquakes and assess recurrence intervals of large-magnitude events previously unknown in the region. Our results reveal repeated strong earthquakes during the Late Pleistocene and Holocene, which based on worldwide empirical data likely exceeded magnitudes 6 or even 6.5. Although some age determinations are still in progress, preliminary results from four trenches indicate that at least five surface-rupturing events occurred in the last ~20,000 years, with several clustered in the past 6,000 years. Recurrence intervals vary widely, from a few hundred years to several millennia, reflecting both temporal clustering as well as locally incomplete stratigraphic records due to dynamic environment. These findings highlight the importance of multiple trench sites and extensive dating to resolve complex paleoseismic histories on faults in low- to moderate-strain regions. Our results also underscore the seismogenic potential of the Raša Fault and emphasize its relevance for regional seismic hazard assessment.

How to cite: Jamšek Rupnik, P., Mencin Gale, E., Rupar, L., Jež, J., Preusser, F., Novak, A., Uršič Arko, A., Anžel, A., Maslač Soldo, J., and Atanackov, J.: New insights on large past earthquakes on the Raša Fault in NW Dinarides (Slovenia) revealed from multi-trench paleoseismic study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5677, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5677, 2026.

EGU26-5810 | Posters on site | TS6.1

Archeoseismological study of the AD 1621 “Panamá La Vieja” Earthquake: insight on the seismic source (Panamá, Central America)  

Pablo G. Silva Barroso, Javier Elez, Elvira Roquero, Juan Gómez Barreiro, and Puy Ayarza

As part of the revision of the seismic hazard investigations for the Panamá Canal Expansion Project in the Pacific new set of locks, we completed a detailed archeoseismological investigation on the existing ruins of the ancient Panamá La Vieja, which was affected by an earthquake of intensity ≥VIII in AD 1621 (6.9 Mw). Additionally, geomorphic, paleoseismic research together with the analysis of the historical and instrumental seismicity in central Panama allowed to develop different macroseismic scenarios (ShakeMaps) to check the suitability of the different proposed seismic sources in this zone of the isthmus where convergence rates are low (c. 0.7 – 0.8 mm/yr).

The archaeological site of Panamá La Vieja is the only place in which that event is truly documented by the historical report of the vicar Requejo Salcedo (earthquake witness), but also for the different earthquake archaeological effects (EAEs) preserved in the buildings of the present ruins. There were only eight stone buildings and about seventeen masonry buildings (convents, city jail, hospital, etc.) in the year 1621. The old cathedral was under construction then and the rest of the houses were wooden structures. At present, the convents of San Francisco, Sto. Domingo, La Compañia de Jesús, La Concepción and the old Hospital, display severe earthquake damage, the last three buildings practically collapsed. The measured EAEs are (a) penetrative and conjugate fractures in masonry walls; (b) tilted walls; (c) rotated and displaced masonry blocks; and (d) a large amount of dipping broken corners in stone blocks. The structural measures of the EAEs indicate a N10-20E regular orientation for ground movement, consistent with the offshore current seismic activity in the Pacific south of the city. There the NNW-SSE left-lateral Las Perlas Fault (LPF), responsible for two c. 5.0 Mw instrumental events (years 1971 and 2017), that struck the Panama City (c. 15 -20 km far away) with intensity VI MM. This scenario it is not consistent with other proposed seismic sources, such as the right-lateral Pedro Miguel Fault (PMF), cutting across the new set of locks of the Panamá Canal onshore. ShakeMaps (USGS methodology) elaborated to check the PMF and LPF seismic sources strongly suggests that the PMF 6.9 Mw earthquake solution do not explain the oriented damage recorded in the archaeological site. On the contrary, the offshore LPF solution only will need of a lower 6.0 – 6.5 Mw event to explain the destruction at the archaeological site with PGA values c. 0.4g (VIII MM). In addition, the LPF solution can account for the small tsunami flooding the littoral sector of the old city soon after the event described in the historical chronicle of Requejo Salcedo during the evening of 2 May1621. Recent research denies the Holocene and historical and activity of the PMF and our analyses strongly suggest that offshore faults (i.e. PLF) in the Gulf of Panama can be more suitable and realistic candidates than the PMF as the source of the 1621 earthquake.

Contribution supported by the Spanish Research Project I+D+i PID2021-123510OB-I00 (QTECIBERIA-USAL) funded by the MICINAEI/10.13039/501100011033/

 

 

How to cite: Silva Barroso, P. G., Elez, J., Roquero, E., Gómez Barreiro, J., and Ayarza, P.: Archeoseismological study of the AD 1621 “Panamá La Vieja” Earthquake: insight on the seismic source (Panamá, Central America) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5810, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5810, 2026.

EGU26-6382 | ECS | Orals | TS6.1

Simulating seismic liquefaction: A laboratory approach to identifying new paleoseismic markers 

Szymon Świątek, Karolina Lewińska, Małgorzata Pisarska-Jamroży, and Christina Günter

Identifying reliable indicators of past seismic activity in sedimentary archives is crucial for advancing paleoseismology and understanding earthquake-driven sediment deformation. However, micro-scale mineralogical features have remained underexplored. In this study, we present the results of a 12-month-long experimental program simulating earthquake-induced liquefaction using fine-grained siliciclastic sediments and varying chemical conditions.

A total of 108 samples were incubated under reducing conditions in plexiglass cylinders with either Fe(II) sulfate or FeO(OH) additions. Seismic shaking simulations were conducted at intervals using a controlled vibration table calibrated to reproduce magnitude 3.5 equivalents. Micromorphological and mineralogical analyses (SEM, EDS, and Raman spectroscopy) revealed the consistent formation of core–rim structures (CRS) across all experimental variants, regardless of water chemistry or iron source. These features were absent in control samples not subjected to shaking, as well as in naturally deformed sediments of non-seismic origin (e.g., storm-induced structures).

These results suggest that seismic energy may facilitate fluid redistribution, mineral precipitation, and the formation of distinctive microscale deformation features. To ground experimental findings, we compared them to field samples where CRS and sideritic textures were also documented within known SSDS. In contrast, similar structures were absent in sediment samples with storm events and rapid loading genesis.

This integrated field–experimental approach offers a novel framework for identifying microseismic indicators in the sedimentary record. While more research across diverse environments is needed, CRS may represent a promising addition to the paleoseismological toolbox, particularly for low-magnitude or poorly preserved events.

How to cite: Świątek, S., Lewińska, K., Pisarska-Jamroży, M., and Günter, C.: Simulating seismic liquefaction: A laboratory approach to identifying new paleoseismic markers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6382, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6382, 2026.

EGU26-7175 | Posters on site | TS6.1

Subtle structural testimony of Active faults: examples from Peninsular India 

Biju John and Yogendra Singh

Studies of damaging earthquakes that occurred in Peninsular India over 50 years suggest that they occur along favourably oriented pre-existing weaker planes/faults in the ongoing compressional tectonic regime. Many of these pre-existing structural weaknesses developed until the collision between India and Eurasia reversed the style of movement post-Miocene, from a general normal sense of movement to either reverse or strike-slip. However, identifying neotectonic signatures from the plate interior, especially in tropical climatic regions, is very challenging since erosional agents can nullify the signature of tectonic movement. The present article focused on identifying active faults from the zones of two major NW-SE trending structures, separated by about 1600 km, that are being widely deliberated for the reconstruction of the Gondwana assembly, viz., the Mahanadi Shear Zone and the Achankovil Shear Zone.

The NW-SE trending Neoproterozoic Mahanadi Shear Zone opened up as rift basins around 300 to 100 million years ago for the deposition of Gondwana sediments. Our studies at two locations, ~140 km apart along the strike direction, indicate that the litho-contact between crystalline and sedimentary can be easily made out through geomorphic expressions, drainage patterns, and nature of vegetation. The study identified badland topography and structurally controlled meandering of drainages in the area, which are associated with neotectonic adjustments. The brittle faulting, with a reverse sense of movement, identified in crystalline rocks shows wide damage zones with gouge injecting into fractures and also onto the surface, where the soil cover is negligible. The extrusion of gouge is preserved as a conical heap above the surface level. The study also identified the gouge injection into Quaternary sediments at several locations. The reverse faulting is also reflected in the laterite cap that developed over younger sediments deposited over the Gondwana formation.

The NW-SE trending Achankovil shear zone is a major Pan-African structure located close to the southern end of peninsular India, cutting through the Western Ghats. Earlier studies identified two major faults at the southern end of this shear system, viz., the Thenmala and Thenmala South faults, for which there exists a sharp geomorphic expression in the Western Ghats. However, its expression in the plain area east of the mountain terrain is very weak. The present study identified badland topography, abandoned river paths, and anomalous natural depressions associated with these faults as results of neotectonic adjustments in this area. Perturbation of land into the sea along the strike continuity of both faults in the southern side and the drainage divide between them are the other significant effects of neotectonism associated with these faults. Field investigations identified surface ruptures along the faults, preserved in hard laterite that was observed above crystalline rocks. Studies based on the trapped aeolian deposits within hard laterite suggest at least two faulting events within the last 4400 years.   

The present series of studies identified a host of geomorphic and structural evidences that can be used to identify active faults. These clues can be touchstones for future studies in the field of active fault evaluation in such terrains.

How to cite: John, B. and Singh, Y.: Subtle structural testimony of Active faults: examples from Peninsular India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7175, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7175, 2026.

EGU26-7627 | Orals | TS6.1

Seasonal modulation of seismicity in an intraplate setting, the case of southeastern Australia 

Farzaneh Mohammadi, Romain Jolivet, and Eric Beaucé

While most earthquakes occur at plate boundaries, significant seismic events also occur within stable continental regions (SCRs), despite their low strain rates. These intraplate earthquakes, including rare but damaging events, raise fundamental questions about how elastic strain cumulates, is stored, and released in slowly deforming crust.

We develop a high-resolution seismicity catalog for southeastern Australia, a tectonically stable intraplate region, spanning 2005-2025. The catalog was constructed using the BPMF workflow which integrates backprojection-based detection, deep learning phase picking, nonlinear probabilistic relocation, and matched filtering. Relative to the Geoscience Australia catalog, our approach increases the number of detected events by approximately a factor of six and achieves a magnitude of completeness of Mc = 2.1, enabling robust statistical analyses over two decades. This enhanced resolution enables the exploration of seismicity statistics, clustering behavior, and temporal variability in a low-seismicity environment. 

Using this catalog, we identify a statistically significant seasonal modulation of seismicity, with earthquake rates peaking during winter–spring and reaching a minimum during summer–autumn. The seasonal signal persists after declustering and is observed across a range of magnitude thresholds above completeness, indicating modulation of background seismicity rather than dominance by individual earthquake sequences. 


Further analysis of GNSS displacement, GRACE-derived hydrological loading, and seismicity using multichannel singular spectrum decomposition identifies coherent temporal modes shared across all datasets. This correspondence suggests that hydrological loading drives elastic stress perturbations that are temporally linked to variations in earthquake occurrence. Together, these results imply that even modest seasonal and environmental stresses can modulate seismicity in stable continental regions, providing new insights into fault stability in intraplate settings.

How to cite: Mohammadi, F., Jolivet, R., and Beaucé, E.: Seasonal modulation of seismicity in an intraplate setting, the case of southeastern Australia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7627, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7627, 2026.

EGU26-10000 * | Orals | TS6.1 | Highlight

Earthquake cycle far from plate boundaries: Learning from Mongolia earthquakes  

Yann Klinger, Nicolas Pinzon Matapi, Laure Manceau, Yacine Benjelloun, Laurent Bollinger, and Jin-Hyuck Choi

Earthquake cycle is a well-accepted concept when dealing with active faults bounding tectonic plates or large lithospheric blocks. Usually, along those faults the slip-rate is large enough, in the range of few cm/yr to few mm/yr, to produce earthquakes often enough at the geological timescale, thus allowing to discuss earthquake cycle.

Away from active plate boundaries, fault systems are less structured, slip-rate can be only few tenths of mm/yr, and earthquake return-time gets longer. Thus, discussing earthquake cycle becomes more difficult. In fact, even the possibility that successive earthquakes occur along the same fault becomes arguable.

Mongolia, at the northern limit of the India-Eurasia collision zone, far from plate boundaries, presents a unique opportunity to examine the relevance of the concept of earthquake cycle in intra-plate context.

The 1967 M7.1 Mogod earthquake occurred in central Mongolia. No unambiguous evidence of past earthquakes could be identified for certain in the morphology, suggesting that this event occurred as an isolated event on some remanent older geological structure. However, paleoseismological investigation shows that at least a previous event occurred along the same fault about 25 kyr BP.

In the NorthWest of Mongolia, in 1905, two M8 earthquakes occurred 14 days apart along respectively the Tsetserleg and the Bulnai faults. The rupture traces associated with each of those two events are only few kilometers apart. Slip-rate along the Bulnai fault was estimated to be about 3 mm/yr. Here we have determined that the slip-rate along the Tsetserleg fault is one order of magnitude lower, about 0.3 mm/yr. Accordingly, paleoseismological trenches along the Tsetserleg fault have revealed that the average earthquake return-time along that fault is about 6 ky, two to three times longer than along Bulnai. Our recent investigation along the Bulnai fault, using lacustrine paleoseismology, shows that such doublet as in 1905 is not unique in the history of this fault system and that, in fact, the fault system shows a pattern resembling a super cycle, similar to what has been document along more active fault systems. When integrating the Bulnai-Tsetserleg fault system together with other documented faults in western Mongolia, it appears that such earthquake super cycle might in fact affect the entire regional fault system, and not only Bulnai-Tsetserleg. The reason why those two faults, which are almost touching each others, did not rupture during the same earthquake remains unclear to date. Our recent monitoring of the microseismicity in the area where those two large faults intersect shows that the current regime of microseismicity is very different between Bulnai and Tsetserleg. Using this microseismicity, we might be able to better constrain the geometry of the Tsetserleg fault at depth, as well as the general fault structure in the intersection area. It might be the key to understand the 2 weeks time-delay between those two events and, overall, how stress build-up in this complex fault system to produce earthquake super cycles.

How to cite: Klinger, Y., Pinzon Matapi, N., Manceau, L., Benjelloun, Y., Bollinger, L., and Choi, J.-H.: Earthquake cycle far from plate boundaries: Learning from Mongolia earthquakes , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10000, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10000, 2026.

EGU26-10012 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

The Past, Present and Future of Multi-Trace Reverse Faults in New Zealand 

Alexandra Travers, Mark Stirling, Tim Stahl, Jonathan Griffin, Dan Clark, Giles Ostermeijer, Lucy O'Neill, and Andrew Gorman

Intracontinental reverse faults in Otago and South Canterbury, Aotearoa-New Zealand, have complex surface morphologies. The Dunstan Fault and Fox Peak Fault are expressed at the surface by multiple parallel to sub-parallel fault traces. These traces can be hundreds of meters apart from each other and span a deformation zone up to 2-3km in width. We ask the following questions: Do all traces rupture together in each ground rupturing earthquake, or do they rupture independently? If traces rupture independently, is it random which trace ruptures in a given event, or is there a spatio-temporal pattern? What is the likelihood of a new trace rupturing in the next large earthquake? We use paleoseismic techniques to constrain the timings of past earthquakes on each trace. The results are compared to see if the same earthquake ruptured multiple traces. If we can tease out any spatio-temporal patterns, we may be able to answer the question: In a future ground rupturing earthquake, which trace/traces will rupture? The results have implications for fault zonation and fault displacement hazard analysis of intracontinental reverse faults in Aotearoa-New Zealand and beyond.

How to cite: Travers, A., Stirling, M., Stahl, T., Griffin, J., Clark, D., Ostermeijer, G., O'Neill, L., and Gorman, A.: The Past, Present and Future of Multi-Trace Reverse Faults in New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10012, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10012, 2026.

EGU26-10571 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

Quaternary neotectonic activity of the Sudetic Marginal Fault in Pieszyce area, Góry Sowie Massif (NE Bohemian Massif, SW Poland)  

Bartłomiej Grochmal, Artur Sobczyk, Piotr Słomski, Szymon Belzyt, Aleksander Kowalski, Janusz Badura, Mariusz Fiałkiewicz, and Marcin Dąbrowski

The Sudetic Marginal Fault (SMF) is a prominent tectonic structure, clearly expressed in the morphology of the NE part of the Bohemian Massif in SW Poland. The outcrop of the SMF core zone was recently exposed within the Góry Sowie Massif in the Pieszyce area (Poland) during earthworks carried out in 2022 and 2024. In this unique exposure, a distinct displacement of the contact between the underlying Sowie Góry gneisses and the overlying Quaternary sediments was recognized. The main fault zone steeply dips at 70°to the ENE. In the southern fault block, no sedimentary cover was observed, whereas Quaternary sediments attain a thickness of up to 4.5 m close to the main fault on the northern side.

Tectonically altered gneisses occur within the main fault zone, while the highly weathered crystalline basement beneath the sedimentary cover in the northern block is cut by numerous secondary tectonic zones filled with grayish fault gouge. Within these zones, we documented vertical veins of (up to 15 cm) filled with overlying deposits, including isolated gravel-sized clasts. Some of the observed veins penetrated bedrock to the depth of at least 1 m. Bedrock and fault-zone materials were systematically analyzed using XRF and XRD methods. Elevated concentrations of mercury and arsenic were observed in the fault zones. Micromorphological analysis of two oriented thin sections collected directly from the fault gouge, together with mineral phase identification based on XRD analyses of fault-gouge samples, reveals pervasive grain-size mixing and syn-deformational clay mineral realignment, indicating repeated brittle deformation under near-surface conditions.

Sedimentological studies, including facies and granulometric analyses, allowed to classify the sediments overlying the northern block as preglacial(?), fluvioglacial, and glacial origin. Petrographic analysis of clasts >10 mm revealed a dominance of locally derived material, with a minor contribution of Scandinavian clasts in the upper part of the profile. Clast imbrication measurements in preglacial sediments indicate transport in the WNW-ESE and NE-SW directions, interpreted as progradation of a locally sourced alluvial fan from the Sowie Góry Block. Measurements of cross-bedding and erosional channel axes within the fluvioglacial sediments indicate transport mainly towards the SSE, consistent with meltwater flow from the Scandinavian Ice Sheet margin and mixing with locally supplied Sudetic material derived from the crystalline basement. OSL dating of selected samples confirmed the Middle Quaternary deposition age of the fluvioglacial sediments in the Pieszyce area and provides direct evidence for Quaternary activity of the Sudetic Marginal Fault.

Keywords: Sudetic Marginal Fault, Sudetes, neotectonics, Quaternary sediments, OSL dating

How to cite: Grochmal, B., Sobczyk, A., Słomski, P., Belzyt, S., Kowalski, A., Badura, J., Fiałkiewicz, M., and Dąbrowski, M.: Quaternary neotectonic activity of the Sudetic Marginal Fault in Pieszyce area, Góry Sowie Massif (NE Bohemian Massif, SW Poland) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10571, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10571, 2026.

EGU26-12300 | ECS | Orals | TS6.1

 Active Faults and Surface Ruptures in the Low-Strain Ubaye–Mercantour Region (Western Alps)  

Camille Thomasset, Riccardo Vassallo, Hervé Jomard, Christophe Larroque, Christian Sue, Joseph Martinod, Laurent Metral, and Anne-Clotilde Legal

The Western Alps have been the focus of detailed seismological investigations based on instrumental records, revealing diffuse seismicity predominantly expressed as earthquake swarms (M < 3.5), mainly concentrated along major inherited shear zones. Geological evidence indicates that these structures are compatible with a main cumulated strike-slip motion, whereas GPS data and instrumental seismicity suggest predominantly vertical deformation. Historical archives further document several moderate earthquakes (M > 5), particularly in the Ubaye–Mercantour region. The Durance–Sérenne–Bersezio fault system is identified as the main active structure in this area and is therefore the focus of a multidisciplinary study aimed at detecting and characterizing co-seismic surface ruptures.

At the Lombarde Pass (Mercantour), a 2 km-long fault scarp displays geomorphological markers indicative of right-lateral strike-slip motion along the Bersezio fault. Several ERT profiles across the fault highlight a very localized low-resistivity zone in the bedrock beneath the morphological scarp. Paleoseismological trenches excavated across the fault scarp reveal a clear, single co-seismic rupture, with a maximum vertical apparent offset of ~1 m at the bedrock–Quaternary deposits interface. Radiocarbon dating (¹⁴C) of bulk sediment samples from three trenches constrains this event to 7–6 ka cal BP, consistent with post–Younger Dryas deglaciation.

These results suggest the occurrence of large-magnitude earthquakes (M > 6) in a region currently dominated by swarm seismicity and provide new constraints on fault kinematics and deformation localization at the boundary between the internal and external Alpine domains.

This study sheds new light on discussions held during the PATA Days 2022 field trip, where this unusual tectonic structure in the Western Alps raised passionate questions about its Holocene activity and seismic potential.

How to cite: Thomasset, C., Vassallo, R., Jomard, H., Larroque, C., Sue, C., Martinod, J., Metral, L., and Legal, A.-C.:  Active Faults and Surface Ruptures in the Low-Strain Ubaye–Mercantour Region (Western Alps) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12300, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12300, 2026.

EGU26-13834 | Posters on site | TS6.1

Modeling Present-Day Strain Accumulation and Fault Activity in The Northeastern Arabian Plate, Oman: A GPS Geodetic Analysis 

Zaid AL-Habsi, Anke M. Friedrich, and Amir Abolghasem

ABSTRACT

Oman occupies a uniquely complex tectonic setting at the northeastern edge of the Arabian Plate, where all major plate boundary types converge. However, present-day intraplate deformation in the region remains poorly quantified. To address this, we processed GPS data from 57 continuous stations, mostly spanning from 2014 to 2023, to construct a high-resolution crustal strain map. We derived interseismic velocities within a stable Oman reference frame and used an elastic dislocation model to estimate fault coupling and slip rates on major structures. Velocity gradients were then interpolated to calculate continuous 2D strain rates. Our results reveal the highest tectonic activity along the northern Hawasina Thrust and the Masirah ophiolite front (Batain complex), where the crust undergoes WNW–ESE to NW–SE directed extension at rates up to 50 nanostrain/yr. In contrast, the central and southwestern parts of Oman experience crustal shortening (~20 nanostrain/yr) in NNW–SSE and NE–SW orientations. Significant shear strain (up to 20 nanostrain/yr) localizes along the northern segment of the Hawasina thrust sheet, which our modeling indicates is a normal fault with a ~11 km locking depth and a slip rate of ~4.5 mm/yr. This geodetically derived strain pattern correlates spatially with major structural traces, confirming that these faults currently accommodate regional tectonic loading. This study provides the first geodetic evidence for present-day strain localization on major faults within the northeastern Arabian Plate. The results establish a measurable basis for reassessing seismic hazard in a region often considered tectonically quiescent and demonstrate the value of dense GPS networks for modeling strain in slowly deforming continental interiors.

How to cite: AL-Habsi, Z., Friedrich, A. M., and Abolghasem, A.: Modeling Present-Day Strain Accumulation and Fault Activity in The Northeastern Arabian Plate, Oman: A GPS Geodetic Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13834, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13834, 2026.

EGU26-14836 | Posters on site | TS6.1

Subtle evidence of Quaternary fault reactivation in Southwest Iberia, Portugal  

Paula Marques Figueiredo, Ricardo Ressurreição, Susana Custódio, Marta Neres, and Sumiko Tsukamoto

Southwest Portugal is the most seismically active region in Portugal mainland. Historical and instrumental seismicity, transpressive deformation accommodated by brittle structures (from which NNE-trending reverse left-lateral faults are the prominent ones), and uplifted marine landforms attest for the ongoing Quaternary crustal deformation. Geophysics highlights a positive gravimetric anomaly, consistent with the uplifted area. Simultaneously, geodesy suggests this region to be limited northward by a likely continuous right-lateral NW-trending structure, inferred to be 90 km long. However, this inferred structure is poorly understood, and southward partially overlaps a known active fault (São Marcos Quarteira) for ~50 km. The northward remaining length of 40 km lacks recognition of Quaternary deformation, despite a noticeable 50-100 m height scarp in the landscape along a ~10 km segment. This geomorphic feature has not been interpreted as an active fault, but as an inherent Variscan structure, possibly reactivated during the Miocene and since, evolved as a scarp retreated due to differential erosion promoted by the presence of Paleozoic quartzites, which are more resistant to erosion.

We present a preliminary analysis based on recently available 50 cm high-resolution lidar and revisited Plio-Quaternary data, together indicating evidence of likely subtle geomorphic deformation, which is expressed by small linear features NW-trending, some associated with changes of topography across a ~2km wide area. We propose these features to possibly correspond to subtle evidence of a cryptic fault system, likely to correspond to an inherited fabric, that has been reactivated. The newly discovered features will be investigated through combining geology, geophysics, and geochronology methods. Fault reactivation will be investigated through a detailed analysis of the damage zone and fault gouge, applying trapped-charges dating methods, namely OSL (Optically Stimulated Luminescence) and ESR (Electron Spin Resonance).

This work is supported by FCT, I.P./MCTES through national funds (PIDDAC): LA/P/0068/2020-https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0068/2020, UID/50019/2025, https://doi.org/10.54499/UID/PRR/50019/2025 ,UID/PRR2/50019/2025 and by Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions, European Union (project SEISMO-REACT, GA101211167).

Keywords: Quaternary activity, seismogenic sources, low strain deformation, cryptic structures, SW Iberia

How to cite: Marques Figueiredo, P., Ressurreição, R., Custódio, S., Neres, M., and Tsukamoto, S.: Subtle evidence of Quaternary fault reactivation in Southwest Iberia, Portugal , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14836, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14836, 2026.

EGU26-16483 | Orals | TS6.1

Does Singapore have active faults? Geomorphic and sedimentological investigations in an urbanized tropical city–state   

Aron J. Meltzner, Liam L. Newman, Wanxin Huang, Matthew Xiang Hua Foo, and Mason K. Perry

Singapore, a highly urbanized city–state of 6 million on a ~730 km2 island, is commonly believed to be “safe” from local earthquakes, with only distant Sumatran earthquakes thought to affect it. This view likely arises from the scarcity of recorded local events since Singapore’s founding in 1824, yet it overlooks two M ≥ 5 earthquakes within ~120 km to the north and northwest in 1922, and a 1948 event — reported only from the island’s southern–central area — that produced EMS intensity IV–V at multiple closely spaced sites, suggesting M ≈ 4 with a local source. Recent mapping has revealed numerous bedrock faults in Singapore, but their capability remains unstudied.

The Downtown Core of Singapore, in the southern–central part of the island, is built atop the low-lying Kallang Basin and adjacent reclaimed land. Sediments, likely MIS 5e (120 ka) and younger, fill the basin to 40 m depth in the west but thin eastward; immediately to the west, Cretaceous to Pliocene bedrock rises up to 50 m above sea level. The steep, unconformable contact between bedrock and overlying layers has been interpreted as either a sea cliff or an inactive fault. We hypothesize instead that it may be an active fault — part of a transtensional stepover in a longer dextral fault system.

Using five decades of legacy borehole data, we are mapping the subsurface architecture of Kallang Basin and drainages to the west. The thalwegs of at least two east-flowing buried paleochannels abruptly drop more than 10 m eastward near the topographic step, and they both appear to shift several hundred meters southward, though resolution is limited by available borehole data. Could this be explained by channel meanders and knickpoint migration, or does it implicate right-lateral transtensional displacement after the two paleochannels were incised? We are extending the investigation to nearby paleochannels to address this question.

How to cite: Meltzner, A. J., Newman, L. L., Huang, W., Foo, M. X. H., and Perry, M. K.: Does Singapore have active faults? Geomorphic and sedimentological investigations in an urbanized tropical city–state  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16483, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16483, 2026.

EGU26-17331 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

The puzzling Hälsingland intraplate earthquake cluster in central Sweden 

Gunnar Eggertsson, Björn Lund, Ólafur Guðmundsson, and Michael Roth

The Hälsingland earthquake cluster, on the east coast of central Sweden, represents a puzzling case of intraplate seismicity in a tectonically stable continental region. The cluster measures approximately 100 km in length and extends in a near-linear trend from inland in the southwest into the Baltic Sea in the northeast, oriented approximately 35 degrees to the coastline. Unlike many of the earthquake clusters that occur in Sweden, the cause of the Hälsingland seismicity is not well understood, as it has not been possible to associate the cluster with any distinct geological feature, such as old deformation zones or a younger glacially triggered fault. Between September 2021 and September 2025, a temporary network consisting of thirteen broadband seismic stations was deployed in the Hälsingland region in an effort to establish better understanding of the drivers behind the Hälsingland seismicity. During this period, 873 earthquakes were detected and manually analyzed in the region, with local magnitudes ranging from -1.0 to 2.3. Using travel-time data from local quarry blasting, we derived a new, regional seismic velocity model and relocated all the earthquakes in the new model. The earthquake depths range from near-surface down to 39 km, with approximately 80% occurring at depths between 5 and 20 km. As part of this project, a previously unknown glacially triggered fault (GTF) system, the Mörtsjö fault system, was identified in the Hälsingland region, approximately 25 km north of the Bollnäs fault, the southernmost confirmed GTF in Sweden. Both the Mörtsjö and Bollnäs GTFs are small and located outside the most seismically active part of the Hälsingland region. However, relative earthquake relocations reveal multiple events which may be generated by movement on the faults. Waveform cross-correlation analysis shows moderate correlation between most earthquake pairs in the Hälsingland cluster but also identifies multiple families of closely spaced, highly correlating earthquakes, including a single family consisting of more than 30 events. The spread of the earthquake focal mechanisms does not clearly indicate a dominant fault orientation. While strike-slip motion dominates, multiple examples of both reverse and normal motion also occur, often in close proximity to each other. Inverting the focal mechanisms for the earthquake-generating stress field indicates a strike-slip stress state with a NW-SE direction of maximum horizontal stress. The inversion also suggests mostly E-W striking fault planes, suggesting that the faults rupturing in the Hälsingland earthquakes are not oriented in agreement with the general lineament of the cluster. We find that most of the Hälsingland seismicity does not occur on a well defined fault but rather in an active zone which extends to large depth but is only vaguely associated with changes in large scale geological features such as magnetic properties and Moho thickness.

How to cite: Eggertsson, G., Lund, B., Guðmundsson, Ó., and Roth, M.: The puzzling Hälsingland intraplate earthquake cluster in central Sweden, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17331, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17331, 2026.

EGU26-20166 | ECS | Posters on site | TS6.1

Exploring patterns and mechanisms of seismicity in the absence of tectonic loading 

Gaspard Farge, Farzaneh Mohammadi, Éric Beaucé, and Romain Jolivet

Within stable continental interiors such as the Australian, South African or North American cratons, seismicity occurs in the absence of measurable tectonic loading. This seismic activity has surprising characteristics. Relative to plate-boundary seismicity, it is more sensitive to seasonal load variations and it seems to develop aftershock sequences sustained for a much longer duration. Both observations are unexpected evidence that the crust in regions with no active tectonics has still found a way to reach a critical stress state, allowing it to be modulated by small variations of stress and to sustain long, efficient cascades of seismicity. Different mechanisms may be considered to explain how the crust reaches failure in the (supposed) absence of loading, that is either by reducing strength or by increasing stress by other means than tectonics. Among others, we propose (i) a progressive weakening of the crust through a brittle-creep-like mechanism, slowly driving cracks to near-critical conditions, (ii) the slow development of a deviatoric load due to erosive exhumation. Understanding which mechanism may dominate the activity, the activity timescales associated and which observables can be used to constrain them is key to make an assessment of the seismic risk in stable continental interiors.


In this work, we explore patterns of activity in high-resolution catalogs of seismicity in Eastern Australia,  the Northeastern USA and Northwestern France, as well as in acoustic emissions catalogs from brittle-creep of natural rocks in laboratory experiments. Using aftershock and triggering patterns in time and space, we attempt to constrain elements of the stress-to-failure distribution in the crust and how it evolves in time. These observations are then compared to the order-of-magnitude predictions from both (i) brittle-creep and (ii) erosive theories on how the crust fails in the absence of tectonic loading.

How to cite: Farge, G., Mohammadi, F., Beaucé, É., and Jolivet, R.: Exploring patterns and mechanisms of seismicity in the absence of tectonic loading, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20166, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20166, 2026.

EGU26-373 | Orals | TS4.1

Tectono-Climatic Controls on Uplift Transients of the Nahuelbuta Forearc Range, Northern Patagonian Andes 

Ambrosio Vega-Ruiz, Vicente Delgado, Simone Racano, Romano Clementucci, Violeta Véliz-Borel, Mauricio Espinoza, Alfonso Encinas, Daniel Melnick, Carlos Asenjo, Patricio Zambrano, and Roberto Larregla

The landscape evolution of forearc ranges along accretionary convergent margins, such as the southern Chilean Coastal Cordillera, is strongly influenced by deep-seated accretion dynamics, enhancing reactivation of inherited upper-plate structures. The Nahuelbuta Range is the fastest uplifting and exhuming sector of the southern Chilean subduction margin. Stratigraphic markers and uplifted marine terraces indicate dome-shaped uplift across a ~100-km-wide zone since ~2 Ma. However, uplift mechanisms remain debated, and rates are resolved only for the last ~0.3 Myr. Furthermore, dense vegetation and weathering have hindered fault mapping, limiting the understanding of the Nahuelbuta Range deformational history.

We combined new surface geomorphic mapping, morphometric drainage analysis, and river inversion modeling to explore the tectonic and climatic influences on the Nahuelbuta Range landscape evolution. We identify a regional low-relief relic surface atop the Nahuelbuta Range, now warped and dissected by fluvial incision and faults. Drainage morphometric anomalies and microseismicity align with WSW- and ENE-trending faults, indicating ongoing trench-parallel shortening. River inversion analysis shows uplift and topographic rejuvenation between 3 and 2.5 Ma approximately, followed by two later discrete uplift episodes. Uplift transients correlate with Late Pliocene to Pleistocene Patagonian glacial expansion periods, suggesting that glacially intensified sediment flux to the trench enhanced basal accretion of sedimentary material. The location and wavelength of surface uplift events match depth and scale expected for slices of basal acreeted material. Seismic imaging of the sediment-rich subduction channel and microseismicity patterns supports this interpretation. We propose glacially driven tectonic underplating drives the oscillatory uplift history of the Nahuelbuta Range, while ongoing trench-parallel shortening enhance trench-parallel shortening and fault reactivation.

How to cite: Vega-Ruiz, A., Delgado, V., Racano, S., Clementucci, R., Véliz-Borel, V., Espinoza, M., Encinas, A., Melnick, D., Asenjo, C., Zambrano, P., and Larregla, R.: Tectono-Climatic Controls on Uplift Transients of the Nahuelbuta Forearc Range, Northern Patagonian Andes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-373, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-373, 2026.

EGU26-1155 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Lithospheric weakness and episodic reactivation of the Altyn Tagh Fault since the Early Cretaceous: Insights into stress transfer and Tibetan Plateau growth 

Zhaotong Sun, Giulio Viola, Jing Liu-Zeng, Yong Zheng, Leonardo Del Sole, Yanxiu Shao, Wenxin Wang, Fengzhen Cui, and Xuwen Shen

The mechanisms of stress transfer across continental plate interiors during continent-continent collision, as well as the timing and the style of far-field fault system responses, remain poorly constrained. The collision between the Indian subcontinent and what is now Tibet began in the Eocene and has involved still on-going north-south convergence throughout southern Tibet and the Himalayas, providing an exceptional natural laboratory for studying continental collision processes.

The Altyn Tagh Fault (ATF), a >1600-km-long lithospheric-scale strike-slip fault marking the northern boundary of the Tibetan Plateau, is a key structure for investigating how deformation propagated following the India-Asia collision. However, the timing of its (sinistral?) initiation remains uncertain, with proposed ages ranging from the Mesozoic to the Miocene. These uncertainties largely reflect the involved structural complexities and the difficulty of directly dating the fault's protracted brittle activity. To address this long-standing problem and to better understand the ATF’s evolution and its role in the Plateau build-up, we conducted detailed structural investigations of two significant outcrops in the Old Aksay region (Gansu province). These exposures preserve a complex fault internal architecture containing numerous Brittle Structural Facies (BSFs), that is, distinct rock domains defined by characteristic fault rocks, mineralogy, textures, and kinematics. Repeated faulting at those outcrops localized deformation into weaker zones, creating thick foliated gouge layers, and along discrete slip surfaces, while lithons from earlier slip events were locally preserved. Their juxtaposition records the temporal and spatial evolution of the ATF, including its deformation mechanisms, physical conditions during initial faulting and subsequent reactivations. We combined multiscalar structural analysis with multi-grain-size K-Ar dating of synkinematic illite separated from BSFs at both outcrops.

The results reveal a protracted, episodic faulting history from the Early Cretaceous (~115 Ma) to the Quaternary (~0.6 Ma), documenting at least five reactivation events. The earliest record at ~115 Ma suggests the ATF existed from before collision as a lithospheric weakness inherited from Mesozoic intracontinental deformation. Crucially, we identify an Early Eocene event (~56 Ma) that provides the first direct geochronological evidence for brittle deformation nearly synchronous with the initial India-Asia collision farther south, supporting models of rapid stress transfer to the northernmost plateau margin. A Late Oligocene reactivation at ~26 Ma coincides with rapid, widespread Miocene exhumation and sedimentation across northeastern Tibet. Late Pliocene (~3 Ma) and Middle Pleistocene (~0.6 Ma) events record continuing slip and deformation localization during progressive Plateau expansion.

This intricate >100 Myr archive demonstrates that long-lived lithospheric weaknesses can preserve deformation spanning multiple tectonic regimes. Beyond providing a robust temporal framework for the tectonic evolution of the northern Tibetan Plateau, our results highlight the efficiency of far-field stress transfer through rigid lithosphere even over very large distances, and establish a powerful methodological protocol for integrating geochronological records and structural investigations in intracontinental orogens worldwide.

How to cite: Sun, Z., Viola, G., Liu-Zeng, J., Zheng, Y., Del Sole, L., Shao, Y., Wang, W., Cui, F., and Shen, X.: Lithospheric weakness and episodic reactivation of the Altyn Tagh Fault since the Early Cretaceous: Insights into stress transfer and Tibetan Plateau growth, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1155, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1155, 2026.

EGU26-3563 | ECS | Orals | TS4.1

Dynamics of Orogenic Collapse Controlled by Coupled Brittle–Ductile Deformation  

Rawi Dawood, Jean-Arthur Olive, and Einat Aharonov

The life cycle of orogenic belts is governed by the competition between compressional tectonic forces that build topography and gravitational forces that destroy it through extension. In mature orogens, extension is commonly thought to involve viscous flow within a weak crustal channel (WCC), driven by topographic gradients between mountain belts and their margins. This process is expressed in the upper crust as normal faulting atop high mountain belts, such as the Tibetan Plateau and the Apennines. However, the mechanical link by which flow within the WCC drives extension in the brittle upper crust remains poorly understood. In previous work (Dawood et al., 2025 EGU), we designed an analytical model predicting the instantaneous, characteristic rate of brittle extension enabled by WCC flow. Here, we extend and test this framework by coupling it with two-dimensional numerical simulations to investigate the time-dependent dynamics of orogenic collapse. While the analytical model captures the static force balance and provides a snapshot estimate of extension rates for a given orogenic state, the numerical approach resolves the temporal evolution of topography, crustal-channel flow, and fault activity. Our simulations show that topographic gradients drive viscous flow within the WCC, which generates basal shear tractions that promote extension along upper-crustal normal faults. We find that sustained orogenic extension requires both a sufficiently weak WCC (ηwcc  ≤ 1021 Pa.s) and an orogenic elevation exceeding a critical threshold height, hmin. This threshold is controlled by the frictional strength of the brittle crust and the magnitude of basal shear stress transmitted from the WCC. Extension rates scale systematically with fault strength, orogenic height, and WCC viscosity and thickness: high extension rates occur for weak faults and high topography (h >>hmin), especially in the presence of a thick, low-viscosity WCC. In contrast, stronger faults, lower elevations, or thinner and more viscous channels suppress extension. Together, these results validate our analytical scaling laws, indicating that while a static force-balance description predicts the instantaneous extensional behavior, numerical models capture the longer-term, time-dependent, self-limiting evolution of collapsing orogens.

How to cite: Dawood, R., Olive, J.-A., and Aharonov, E.: Dynamics of Orogenic Collapse Controlled by Coupled Brittle–Ductile Deformation , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3563, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3563, 2026.

EGU26-3918 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Long- and Short-term Landscape Evolution of the Carpathian Bend Zone – Linking Low-Temperature Thermochronology with Geomorphometric Analyses 

Lea Schönleber, Jan-Christoph Otto, Thomas Pollhammer, Bjarne Friedrichs, Bianca Heberer, Fabian Dremel, Nicolas Villamizar-Escalante, and Christoph von Hagke

The Carpathian Bend Zone is an orocline in the Southeastern Carpathians that links different segments of the Carpathian arc and represents a structurally unique sector of the mountain range. The region experienced Cretaceous to Miocene thick- and thin-skinned nappe stacking as well as post-collisional shortening and out-of-sequence thrusting. Unlike in many other places, these nappe stacks were not overprinted by subsequent back arc extension. In addition to this tectonic inheritance, the bend zone hosts the most seismically active region in Europe, characterized by persistent deep seismicity referred as “seismic nest”. This reflects deep-seated processes that are only partially expressed in the upper crust and are partially manifested through surface uplift and landscape reorganization rather than upper crust faulting.

 These factors lead to preserved nappe stacks and ongoing landscape evolution driven by recent uplift. Previous studies aiming to quantify exhumation and uplift rates have so far been limited to regions north and south of the Bend Zone, leaving this key segment poorly constrained. This study aims at closing this knowledge gap by investigating if long-term and short-term uplift rates are comparable. Furthermore, it collates these data with preexisting rates from other segments along the orogen to reveal local differences in exhumation patterns.

To investigate long-term exhumation, six sandstone samples were analyzed using apatite (U-Th)/He thermochronology. Additionally, geomorphometric analyses such as river longitudinal profiles, knickpoints, and χ-maps were used to study topographic evidence of recent uplift and assess drainage divide migration and equilibrium conditions. Furthermore, river terraces were mapped and their relative elevations above the modern riverbed were used to estimate since the Early Pleistocene. By correlating terrace elevations with known dated levels from nearby regions, constraints were placed on the timing of Quaternary incision and rock uplift.

The Apatite (U-Th)/He dates show a variable amount of thermal overprint. Two samples yield (U-Th)/He dates younger than their stratigraphic ages while four samples show dispersed dates older as well as younger than the corresponding Miocene stratigraphic ages. This indicates partial resetting, an inherited thermal history from the grains’ sources, and limited post-Miocene burial. Therefore, assuming a geothermal gradient of 30 °C/km, a maximum amount of approximately 2.7 km of burial since the Middle Miocene can be presumed. The geomorphic signals consistently indicate active uplift within the Bend Zone, particularly in areas where structural controls induce sharp knickpoints and asymmetry in watershed geometry. The average rock uplift rate indicated by river terraces is 1.1 mm/yr since the Middle Pleistocene. In combination with estimated exhumation rates derived from the thermochronological data, a overall stable landscape surface within the Bend Zone is proposed for the last 2.5 Ma. Overall, our results indicate that the Bend Zone has been characterized by low long-term exhumation rates since the mid Miocene and higher uplift rates during the Quaternary.

How to cite: Schönleber, L., Otto, J.-C., Pollhammer, T., Friedrichs, B., Heberer, B., Dremel, F., Villamizar-Escalante, N., and von Hagke, C.: Long- and Short-term Landscape Evolution of the Carpathian Bend Zone – Linking Low-Temperature Thermochronology with Geomorphometric Analyses, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3918, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3918, 2026.

When aseismic ridges carried by the subducting oceanic plate enter a subduction zone, the trench depth and hence the margin relief is reduced, which increases the compression of the upper plate. The increase in compression may be relevant for understanding surface uplift and mountain building in response to ridge-subduction, but detailed effects remain to be explored. Here we use analytical and two-dimensional finite-element force-balance models to investigate the effects of relief changes and other parameters that may change during ridge subduction, including the initial trench depth, the megathrust dip angle, the slab curvature, the submarine surface slope angle, the density structure of the upper plate, the initial mountain height and the surface topography of the upper plate.

Our modeling results indicate that the increase in upper-plate compression mainly depends on the total relief change, the trench depth prior to ridge subduction and the submarine surface slope angle during ridge subduction. Secondarily, the increase in compression also depends on the average dip angle and curvature of the plate interface, as well as on the density structure of the upper plate and the mountain height prior to subduction. The enhanced upper-plate compression due to ridge subduction promotes mountain building in the upper plate until the increase in elevation leads to stress conditions comparable to those before the entrance of the ridge. We investigate this aspect for the subduction of the Cocos Ridge, based on additional finite element models that approximate the setting along the Central American margin near Costa Rica before and after the entrance of the ridge. The models indicate that the mere decrease in trench depth of ~3.3 km due to ridge subduction promoted an increase in mountain height of ~0.6 km. This corresponds to one-third of the maximum uplift inferred for Costa Rica. We further find that the remaining elevation increase of up to 1.4 km cannot be explained by changes in the slab dip angle or upper-plate density structure but may indicate an increase in shear stress along the plate interface. Taken together, our analysis shows that the decrease in trench depth during ridge subduction increases the compression of the upper plate, which promotes surface uplift and mountain building even at greater distances to the ridge.

How to cite: Leng, Y., Dielforder, A., and Hampel, A.: Impact of decreasing trench depth during aseismic ridge subduction on the forearc stress state: Insights from analytical and finite-element force-balance models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5077, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5077, 2026.

EGU26-5387 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Tectono-thermal evolution of the Northern Apennines-Alpine knot: a case study from the Bobbio Tectonic Window 

Francesca Stendardi, Daniel Barrera Acosta, Barbara Carrapa, Giovanni Toscani, Irene Albino, and Andrea Di Giulio

The structural and tectonic interactions between the S-verging Southern Alps and the NE-verging Northern Apennines fold-and-thrust belt, and their shared Po Plain foreland basin, represents a classic and long-debated issue in Alpine–Apennine geodynamics. We here investigate a cross section from the Bobbio Tectonic Window (BTW) in the Emilian Northern Apennines, to the central Po Plain subsurface, which records these important relationships. Previous studies focused on fault slip-rate measurements of the buried Northern Apennine thrust fronts, but a comprehensive tectono-thermal study of the Lower Miocene turbiditic sequence outcropping in the BTW is still lacking. In this work, we investigate the relationship between BTW development and the interaction of the Northern Apennines and Southern Alps thrust fronts buried below Pliocene-Pleistocene sediments in the central Po Plain. We analysed the cooling/exhumation history of rocks exposed at the core of the BTW by means of low-T thermochronology (apatite fission-track and U-Th/He) on samples from the Lower Miocene (Burdigalian) Bobbio Fm. and compared them with the slip-rate history of the Northern Apennines buried thrust front along the Emilian Arc. Our thermochronological results from the BTW show a maximum temperature of ca. 85-90°C (apatite fission-tracks partial annealing zone) reached soon after depositional age, followed first by a relatively slow cooling in the Early Miocene- Early Pliocene time window (17-6 Ma), and then by a fast cooling starting between ca. 6 and 4 Ma.  By comparing these results with the slip-rate trend of the buried Apennines thrust front, we interpret them as the signal of an out-of-sequence thrusting reactivation within the inner Northern Apennine fold-and-thrust belt due to the interaction between the Northern Apennines outermost fronts and the Southern Alps.  This study shows how far-field geological structures can influence the general kinematics of the thrust-fold belt, promoting out-of-sequence reactivation of internal tectonic structures and the exposure of deep tectonic units within the BTW.

How to cite: Stendardi, F., Barrera Acosta, D., Carrapa, B., Toscani, G., Albino, I., and Di Giulio, A.: Tectono-thermal evolution of the Northern Apennines-Alpine knot: a case study from the Bobbio Tectonic Window, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5387, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5387, 2026.

EGU26-5782 | ECS | Orals | TS4.1

How interface weakening and continental structure promote flat slab subduction 

Antoniette Greta Grima and Thorsten Becker

The shallowing of subducting slabs within the upper ~200 km of the mantle, commonly referred to as flat slab subduction is associated with extensive petrological and structural modification of the continental lithosphere. Anomalously buoyant oceanic lithosphere, upper-plate overthrusting, and interactions with cratonic keels have all been proposed as mechanisms promoting shallow slab geometries, yet the dynamics governing the initiation and duration of flat slab subduction remain to be fully understood. Here, we investigate self-consistent flat-slab subduction dynamics using the finite element code ASPECT with adaptive mesh refinement and a free surface boundary condition. We explore the influence of the overriding plate structure, including the presence of continental keels, as well as the role of heterogenous subduction interface strength on shallow slab dynamics. Our results show that flat slab geometries develop when a weak, sediment-rich subduction interface is combined with a positively buoyant overriding continental lithosphere. Substantiating previous studies, we further find that the presence of a strong cratonic keel near the continental plate margin enhances shallow slab underthrusting and encourages flat slab configurations. Importantly, we show that the timing of interface weakening, such as due to influx of sediments, exerts a first-order control on the onset and the longevity of slab flattening. As the slab flattens, pronounced subsidence, extension and transient marine inundation develop within the foreland region of the upper plate, superimposed on broader, large-scale subsidence of the continental interior. Regional uplift and subsidence are thus not solely linked to flat slab emplacement and removal, but also reflect evolving slab dynamics within the shallow upper mantle. Our results provide new constraints on the geodynamic controls of flat slab evolution and their role in driving continent-scale deformation and sediment redistribution.

How to cite: Grima, A. G. and Becker, T.: How interface weakening and continental structure promote flat slab subduction, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5782, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5782, 2026.

EGU26-6495 | ECS | Orals | TS4.1

Onset of mountain building in the Qinling Mountains: Evidence from bedrock and detrital low-temperature thermochronology 

Ma Yuxiong, Yang Zhao, Shi Xiaohui, You Jiali, and Ju Dali

Abstract: Hinterland mountains serve as the pivotal link that spatially and temporally couples deep lithospheric processes with surface responses in orogenic systems. The Qinling Mountains, situated in the continental interior of East Asia, form a significant natural boundary that separates China into distinct north-south climatic and geographical zones. A key unresolved issue is the origin of the Qinling Mountains-specifically, the timing and mechanisms of their initial uplift and exhumation. The basin-range structure of the East Qinling provides a natural archive for elucidating this problem, as its formation records the onset of mountain building. This study employs multiple thermochronological techniques, including apatite and zircon fission-track and (U-Th)/He analyses of both basin sediments and bedrock samples across basin-bounding faults. Through analyses of lag-time, elevation profiles, and thermal history modeling, the exhumation history of East Qinling is reconstructed. Results elucidate an early-phase cooling event during ~120-100 Ma, with a rate of 5.9-3.4 °C/Ma. Following a prolonged thermal stagnation until ~80 Ma, a renewed phase of accelerated cooling occurred between 80 and 60 Ma, with cooling rates ranging from 5.3 to 1.0 °C/Ma. Integrating these new results with existing geological evidence, we propose that the Qinling Mountains underwent multi-stage uplift and orogenic processes, driven by far-field tectonic stresses associated with the convergence of surrounding plates. The early Cretaceous rapid cooling and exhumation are correlated with intracontinental deformation stage in the eastern China during the Yanshanian period. However, prolonged erosion and planation resulted in low-relief topography in the Qinling Mountains before the late Cretaceous (~80 Ma). During the late Cretaceous-early Cenozoic, under the far-field influence of Pacific Plate subduction, the East Qinling region experienced intense hinterland extension. This process broke up the pre-existing planation surface and formed a series of alternating basins and ranges, signifying the onset of the mountain building in Qinling mountains. Furthermore, the Qinling Mountains exhibit a spatio-temporal pattern of progressive mountain growth from south to north. This study provides a typical case study for understanding the uplift and tectonic evolution of hinterland mountains.

How to cite: Yuxiong, M., Zhao, Y., Xiaohui, S., Jiali, Y., and Dali, J.: Onset of mountain building in the Qinling Mountains: Evidence from bedrock and detrital low-temperature thermochronology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6495, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6495, 2026.

EGU26-8121 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Unraveling the tectonic signatures of thin and thick oroclines through a global catalogue 

Andreia A. Hamid, Philip J. Heron, and Stephen T. Johnston

Oroclines are orogenic belts that have been subjected to bending and are a common feature of mountain ranges worldwide. Despite their widespread occurrence, there is ongoing debate surrounding the geodynamic processes responsible for their development. Specifically, there is uncertainty as to whether these orogens involve upper-crustal (i.e, thin-skinned) or large-scale lithospheric (i.e., thick-skinned) deformation, as well as whether their curvature evolves contemporaneously with mountain growth (i.e., progressive orocline) or post-orogenesis (secondary orocline). Such spatial and temporal deformation means that unraveling the tectonic signature of oroclines may significantly enhance our understanding of orocline formation and provide broader insight into the evolution of mountain systems and convergent plate boundaries worldwide. 

Given the widespread occurrence of oroclines, identifying their tectonic signatures requires analyzing their attributes and geodynamic framework within a global context. However, oroclines have primarily been studied individually - which presents a challenge for their comparison. To address this, we present a global catalogue of oroclines and their tectonic signatures based on map-view characteristics, structural deformation style (e.g., thin- or thick-skinned), and kinematic classification (e.g., primary arc, progressive or secondary orocline).  

Our catalogue is generated by analyzing published literature and newly derived data on orocline attributes, collating 30+ oroclines from around the world. Within our dataset, we observe a wide range of tectonic characteristics, including curve lengths, width-to-length ratios, and interlimb angles. However, we also find a specific signature for oroclines that are classified as thin-skinned or thick-skinned – allowing for a clear identification of such geodynamic processes within our catalogue. In our study, we provide an orocline classification system based on the tectonic signatures highlighted in our dataset. This classification system and identified signatures may have several implications for our understanding of lesser-studied oroclines and the evolution of mountain systems worldwide. 

How to cite: Hamid, A. A., Heron, P. J., and Johnston, S. T.: Unraveling the tectonic signatures of thin and thick oroclines through a global catalogue, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8121, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8121, 2026.

This study presents a new regional-scale 3D reconstruction of the major Plio–Pleistocene tectonostratigraphic surfaces of the Po Plain Basin (Italy), providing new constraints on the deformation history of this key Mediterranean foreland basin. The model was constructed by interpreting several thousand 2D pre-stack time-migrated (PSTM) seismic profiles, calibrated with an extensive wellbore database. This approach enables a robust regional mapping of structural elements and defined Plio-Pleistocene unconformities.
The results show that the Plio-Pleistocene architecture of the Po Plain is controlled by the interaction of two different geodynamic systems, resulting in a complex source-to-sink system.  Since the Plio-Pleistocene, the advancing Northern Apennines (NA) thrust belt has mostly generated accommodation space, whereas most of the sediment supply came from the Southern Alps (SA). 
Isobath maps provide new temporal constraints on the timing and style of deformation, particularly in the central sector of the Po Plain, where the outermost buried fronts of the NA, belonging to the Emilian Arc fold system, are nearly in direct contact with the outermost fronts of the SA. Our reconstruction demonstrates that the evolution of the NA thrust front was strongly influenced by the presence of the buried SA to the north. Where the NA collided with the SA, out-of-sequence thrusting was triggered within the internal sector of the NA from the middle to late Pliocene, locally persisting until the late Pleistocene. In contrast, where this interaction did not occur, the NA thrust front evolved following a classical in-sequence style, highlighting significant along-strike variability in the structural evolution of the Northern Apennines.
The detailed 3D reconstruction of the entire Po Plain subsurface further allows a robust analysis of the progressive reorganization of basin depocenters through time via the calculation of isochore maps. Beyond providing a three-dimensional depiction of this evolution, these maps enable quantification of sediment volumes deposited between successive unconformities and, subsequently, the calculation of sedimentation rates across the basin.
Decompacted volume analysis reveals a marked increase in sediment accumulation during the Pleistocene, from approximately 31,041 km³ for the entire Pliocene, with a rate of 10.594 km³/Ma to about 60,646 km³ for the Pleistocene, with a rate of 25.269 km³/Ma, based on a 50% sand–50% shale decompaction model. This increase occurred despite an overall reduction in tectonic activity during the Pleistocene within the Alps, the primary sediment source region. This apparent paradox is interpreted as the result of strong climatic forcing associated with progressive climate deterioration and the onset of major Alpine glaciations, which dramatically enhanced erosion in the surrounding orogenic belts. The resulting increase in sediment flux, together with a major marine regression, drove rapid basin infilling and large-scale eastward progradation of the Po Basin system. These findings highlight the fundamental role of climate–tectonic coupling in controlling the evolution of the Po Plain over the last 5 Myr.

How to cite: Barrera, D., Toscani, G., and Di Giulio, A.: How Two Orogens Shaped and Filled a Foreland Basin: Plio-Pleistocene Tectonic and Climatic Controls on the Po Plain Basin (Italy) , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8275, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8275, 2026.

EGU26-8585 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Tracing the evolution of the Transantarctic Basin (southern Gondwana) through sandstone petrography 

Luca Zurli, Marco Fioraso, Matteo Perotti, Andrea Di Giulio, Valerio Olivetti, Samuele Pezzoli, Valentina Corti, Francesca Stendardi, and Gianluca Cornamusini

The analysis of clastic sequences is fundamental for understanding plate dynamics, as it record variations in depositional environments and source-to-sink systems. Since the late Paleozoic, contemporaneous with the convergence between the paleo-Pacific plate and Gondwana, sedimentary basins developed in both forearc and retroarc positions of the Gondwanide orogenic system. The Beacon Supergroup in Antarctica and the Parmeener Supergroup in Tasmania represent the sedimentary infill of the Transantarctic Basin, located in a retroarc setting. These successions are mainly composed of fluvial sandy and muddy deposits, which are poorly deformed and currently unconformably overlie older units. Deposition began in the Devonian and ended in the Early Jurassic, spanning more than 200 Myr and encompassing  key events in the history of the Earth, such as the Late Paleozoic Ice Age, the subsequent transition from icehouse to greenhouse conditions, and the Permian-Triassic mass extinction. The composition of sandstones within the Beacon and Parmeener supergroups varies through time and space, correlating with major tectonic processes driven by subduction dynamics, which ultimately controlled the source-to-sink systems feeding these clastic units. Variability in sandstone composition is documented through a quantitative analysis of all available published data, integrated with new datasets from the Transantarctic Mountains and Tasmania. The results reveal a shift from quartz-feldspar-dominated sandstones, indicating derivation from crystalline basement, to volcanic lithic fragment rich sandstones, reflecting a provenance from coeval volcanic arc rocks. This provenance shift occurred diachronously along the basin, whit volcanic component appearing in the central Transantarctic Mountains during the Permian and in Victoria Land and Tasmania during the Triassic. Sandstone composition further indicates that the Victoria Land region evolved from an intracratonic basin in back-bulge position to a foredeep basin setting.

How to cite: Zurli, L., Fioraso, M., Perotti, M., Di Giulio, A., Olivetti, V., Pezzoli, S., Corti, V., Stendardi, F., and Cornamusini, G.: Tracing the evolution of the Transantarctic Basin (southern Gondwana) through sandstone petrography, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8585, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8585, 2026.

The contact between the northern edge of the Higher Himalayan Crystalline (HHC) and the overlying Tethyan Sedimentary Sequence (TSS) has long been debated as either a thrust or a normal fault. Initially thought to be a thrust contact, it was later recognized as a zone of crustal-scale normal faults dipping to the north, known as the South Tibetan Detachment System (STDS). This suggests that the overlying TSS has moved northward along the contact relative to the HHC footwall. The cause of the initiation of such a crustal-scale normal-fault system in a convergent setting remains poorly understood, which motivates the present study to re-examine the structure of the HHC-TSS contact in the Dhauliganga valley of the Garhwal Himalaya. Nevertheless, we identified a series of normal faults cutting across the regional foliation of the HHC-TSS rocks during our field investigation, characterized by intense brecciation and gouging, consistent with upper-crustal brittle deformation. Our field observations suggest that these faults primarily formed during the waning phase of Himalayan growth and are unrelated to the northward slip of the TSS over HHC, as these normal faults cut across all dominant structural elements, including the migmatitic layering of HHC at high angles.  In addition, we found a spectacular ductile shear zone within the Milam Formation of the TSS, located directly above the HHC. This zone provides strong evidence of south-vergent thrusting along the contact, as indicated by fold asymmetry, C-S structures, and low-angle Riedel shears, consistent with the Himalayan deformation. Microstructural studies of shear-zone samples reveal that quartz grains are predominantly stretched as we expect in a ductile shear zone, forming lenticular ribbons with high aspect ratios and undulose extinction, whereas the occurrence of smaller, unstrained grains along the edges of larger grains is indicative of subgrain rotation recrystallisation typical of high temperatures (~400°-500°C). XRD analysis further confirmed the presence of graphite in the mylonitized samples, and the alignment of graphite along shear fabrics suggests the influence of shear heating during their formation. Our new findings of deformation structures along the HHC-TSS contact recognize the importance of reevaluating and expanding our understanding of the structural evolution in this area, particularly in the context of the India-Eurasia collision. Based on field and microstructural observations, we suggest that the collision between India and Eurasia caused the TSS to thrust over the HHC, while steeply dipping normal faults that have affected all previous structural features in the HHC and TSS are a later phenomenon that helped the Himalayan mountain belt attain stability of the Himalayan wedge from a supercritical stage.

How to cite: Das, A. and Bose, S.: Deformation at the contact between the Higher Himalayan Crystalline and the Tethyan Sedimentary Sequence: Thrusting versus normal faulting conundrum, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9016, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9016, 2026.

EGU26-9943 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Sedimentary architecture of Late Cretaceous to Early Eocene flysch sequences in the Swiss Alps 

Sophia Johanna Swaton, Guilherme Bozetti, Chantal Laeticia Schmidt, Balthasar Lukas Epprecht, Gabriel Lukas Graf, Jörg Hermann, and Fritz Schlunegger

The Campanian/Maastrichian to Lutetian Alpine flysch sequences of the Schlieren- and Gurnigel nappes record deposition in an ocean-continent subduction setting related to Alpine orogenesis. Despite extensive studies of these flysch deposits, the existence of a source-to-sink relationship between the two units remains debated. Here, we logged 50-70 m-thick successions of the Gurnigel and Schlieren deposits at two sites, respectively, at a scale of 1:20. The ages of the analysed sediments range from the Thanetian to the Lutetian. We measured the paleoflow directions using sole marks and cross-bedding, and conducted drone surveys to document the large-scale depositional architecture. Our aim was to reconstruct a potential proximal-to-distal relationship between the two sequences.

In the Schlieren nappe, the analysed sediments are dominated by coarse-grained (grain size up to 2 mm) sandstone beds <5 m thick, characterised by a matrix-supported fabric and sole marks at their bases. The finer-grained sandstone beds (grain size up to c. 0.6 mm) are <50 cm thick. They display a massive, grain-supported fabric with normal grading at the base, followed by parallel lamination and occasionally ripple marks at the top. Mudstone beds (clay and silt fraction) are up to 30 cm thick. They are massive to parallel-laminated and locally show bioturbation. Mudstone beds contribute to <10% to the entire suite. Paleoflow directions scatter between the NE and SE. Drone surveys disclose the presence of troughs up to 7 m deep and ten meters wide. They are cut into sandstone beds and backfilled with coarse-grained, massive to laminated sandstones.

By contrast, the Gurnigel sequences are dominated by a succession of sandstone beds with mudstone interbeds. Sandstone beds are <1.5 m thick. They have a planar base, are medium- to fine-grained (grain size ranging from c. 0.1 to 0.6 mm) and show a fining-up trend. Individual beds display a succession of sedimentary structures occasionally starting with a massive fabric. It is followed by mm-scale plane lamination, ripple marks with convolute bedding and sub-mm laminations towards the top. Mudstone interbeds, up to 30 cm thick, are massive to parallel laminated and strongly bioturbated, comprising up to 40% of the surveyed outcrop. Drone imagery shows that laterally continuous, horizontally layered beds dominate the overall architecture. However, lenticular sandstone beds with scours up to 50 cm deep occur locally. Sole marks and cross bedding indicate paleoflow toward the S and W.

The sedimentary structures indicate that the Schlieren sediments were deposited predominantly by (hyper)concentrated, friction-controlled flows and concentrated currents where grain-grain interactions dominate. In contrast, the Gurnigel sediments most likely accumulated from surge-like turbidity flows driven by dynamic pressure. Although the inferred surges recorded in the Gurnigel sediments could, in principle, have resulted from flow separation – with coarse-grained material accumulating in the more proximal Schlieren area and finer-grained fractions being deposited in a more distal setting such as the Gurnigel realm – we discard this interpretation. This conclusion is supported by the opposite paleoflow directions, which indicate that no source-to-sink relationship existed between the two depositional systems.

How to cite: Swaton, S. J., Bozetti, G., Schmidt, C. L., Epprecht, B. L., Graf, G. L., Hermann, J., and Schlunegger, F.: Sedimentary architecture of Late Cretaceous to Early Eocene flysch sequences in the Swiss Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9943, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9943, 2026.

EGU26-11098 | ECS | Orals | TS4.1

Dynamic Mantle Support Beneath the Eastern Anatolian Plateau Since ~13 Ma Inferred from Zircon Hf Isotopes 

Adar Glazer, Dov Avigad, and Navot Morag

The Eastern Anatolian Plateau is a broad, high-elevation (~2 km), low-relief collisional plateau in eastern Turkey that developed following the Arabia-Eurasia collision and the transition to a post-collisional tectonic setting. It occupies a central position between the Bitlis-Zagros suture to the south and the Eastern Pontides-Lesser Caucasus mountain ranges to the north and is associated with widespread Neogene volcanism. Since the Early-Middle Miocene, uplifted regions along the Bitlis segment of the Arabia-Eurasia convergence zone, including parts of the Eastern Anatolian Plateau, were drained toward the northern Eastern Mediterranean, delivering large volumes of sediment to the deep sea and forming thick flysch successions. These deposits archive the crustal inventory exposed at the time and provide a valuable record of the tectono-magmatic evolution of the convergence zone. Here, we present detrital zircon U-Pb-Hf data from Late Miocene sediments recovered from DSDP Sites 375/376 and ODP Site 968 in the northern Eastern Mediterranean to constrain the sequence of tectono-magmatic events associated with Arabia-Eurasia convergence, with particular emphasis on the timing of the establishment of a post-collisional regime. Detrital zircon U-Pb-Hf data record Upper Cretaceous and Eocene magmatic flare-ups related to Neotethys subduction, as well as a prominent Miocene magmatic flare-up with distinct age modes at ~17, ~11, and ~6 Ma associated with the transition to a post-collisional regime. Hf isotope compositions of Miocene detrital zircons reveal a systematic shift from highly variable, evolved signatures before ~13 Ma to predominantly juvenile signatures thereafter. This shift indicates an increasing contribution of mantle-derived sources to magmatism since the mid-Miocene, relative to earlier evolved or mixed mantle-crustal sources. We interpret this transition to indicate that Neotethys slab break-off or lithospheric mantle delamination beneath Eastern Anatolia had largely progressed toward completion by ~13 Ma, signaling the establishment of post-collisional tectonic conditions. Notably, this transition slightly predates the inferred onset of plateau uplift at ~11 Ma, suggesting that mantle reorganization beneath Eastern Anatolia preceded, and was not synchronous with, the surface expression of uplift.

How to cite: Glazer, A., Avigad, D., and Morag, N.: Dynamic Mantle Support Beneath the Eastern Anatolian Plateau Since ~13 Ma Inferred from Zircon Hf Isotopes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11098, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11098, 2026.

EGU26-11459 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Inferring uplift histories from landscapes using hypsometric curves 

Fergus McNab, Peter van der Beek, Taylor Schildgen, and Jens Turowski

One of the main ways in which deep seated tectonic or geodynamic processes influence the Earth's surface is by driving rock uplift. Variations in rock uplift through space and time combine with surface processes, such as erosion in rivers and on hillslopes, to shape the surface landscape. These relationships imply that, if we can adequately parameterise surface processes, we may be able to infer rock uplift histories from observations of present day topography. Efforts to do so formally using inverse modelling have mostly focused on the shapes of river profiles. Such approaches can reproduce well observed profiles, and yield uplift histories broadly consistent with independent constraints. However, they generally assume a fixed drainage planform, and neglect any information stored in the rest of landscape (i.e., in hillslope topography). Landscape evolution models, which include descriptions of hillslope processes and allow drainage planforms to evolve, may address these issues, but come with their own challenges. In particular, a strong dependence of modelled drainage planforms on the initial condition, which is generally poorly constrained, complicates direct comparison of observed and modelled topography.

Here, we explore the utility of hypsometric curves – cumulative distribution functions of elevation within a domain – in inverse landscape evolution modelling (we also include equivalent functions for slope and curvature). These curves' integrative nature should make them relatively insensitive to the precise positions of individual valleys and ridgelines. By comparing hypsometric curves from many simulations, with and without added noise, we assess their sensitivity to initial conditions, erosional parameters and uplift histories. We confirm that hypsometric curves are insensitive to initial conditions, particularly when normalised by the mean – rather than, as is traditional, the maximum – value in the domain. For landscapes in a dynamic equilibrium with the imposed uplift rate, the main control on the normalised hypsometric curve is the relative importance of fluvial and hillslope processes. Multiple erosional parameters influence this balance, introducing trade-offs to the misfit space. Nevertheless, individual parameters do have subtle secondary effects that allow them to be determined independently, at least for relatively low noise levels. In transient landscapes, features of simple uplift histories – such as timings and amplitudes of step changes in uplift rate – also appear to be recoverable. We conclude that hypsometric curves can form useful bases for inverse landscape evolution modelling, which could in turn provide novel insights into the tectonic and geodynamic processes that drive rock uplift.

How to cite: McNab, F., van der Beek, P., Schildgen, T., and Turowski, J.: Inferring uplift histories from landscapes using hypsometric curves, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11459, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11459, 2026.

EGU26-12076 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Indentation tectonics in the Swiss Préalpes Romandes caused by the uplift of the Aar Massif: insights from high-resolution 3D structural modelling 

Sebastian Drvoderić, Marco Herwegh, Alfons Berger, Fritz Schlunegger, Matteo Furlan, Eva Kurmann, Stephan Dall’Agnolo, Philippos Garefalakis, Riccardo Monti, and Ferdinando Musso Piantelli

The Prealps represent a complex nappe system consisting of Mesozoic to early–middle Cenozoic sediments deposited in the Penninic domains, detached from its substratum during the Alpine orogeny. During subsequent phases of subduction and collision, these nappes were transported along the active plate interface between Adria and Europe far to the north. Today, they lay above the transition between the Helvetic Nappes and the Subalpine Molasse. As a result of long-term displacement and successive deformation, the Prealps exhibit a complex structural architecture that records the cumulative tectonic evolution. We developed a 3D model to yield a high-resolution visualization of the structural architecture and its spatial changes within the Préalpes Romandes. These observations allow us to correlate nappe internal deformation with movements of underlying nappes, which is the goal of this work.

The Préalpes Romandes are crosscut by predominantly north–south–oriented sinistral strike-slip faults. These structures range from large-scale faults that transect the entire Prealps nappe stack and accommodate offsets of several kilometers, to minor faults with displacements of only a few meters to tens of meters. Smaller faults are commonly linked by lateral offsets to form continuous step-over fault systems and typically terminate within the detachment horizon. In contrast, larger strike-slip faults must breach the basal detachment of the Prealps to maintain a kinematic balance and are therefore rooted in deeper structural units. Despite a regional change in stratigraphic orientation of approximately 30° from east to west, the orientation of sinistral strike-slip faults remains largely unchanged. An increasing number of NW–SE–oriented dextral strike-slip faults in the eastern Préalpes Romandes indicate a change in the regional kinematic regime.

Based on our results, we interpret that the Préalpes Romandes experienced a young (Miocene) phase of deformation following early stages of subduction related nappe transport. We relate this Miocene phase of deformation to the uplift of the Aar Massif. This caused differential motion beneath the Prealps, which is expressed by strike-slip deformation, rotation and back-thrusting within the Préalpes Romandes. We additionally invoke this motion to have controlled the differential migration within the nappe stack, resulting in ~30° counter-clockwise rotation and a general northwestward displacement of the eastern Préalpes Romandes. In addition, the presence of a northern backstop subsequently promoted the occurrence of a lateral escape along local dextral strike-slip faults. A correlation of our 3D model with seismically active zones at greater depth discloses the occurrence of structures that were offset in response to the uplift of the Aar massif during Miocene times. These observations document a complex multistage deformation sequence associated with late-stage collision and uplift tectonics in the subsurface, where the initial sinistral movement has been disrupted and partially reoriented by the latest tectonic evolution. It also highlights the role of strike-slip structures as key elements for understanding the long-term tectonic evolution of the region.

High-resolution 3D modelling therefore provides a powerful framework to unravel internal structural relationships, integrate them with surrounding geology, and develop coherent palaeogeographic reconstructions through space and time.

How to cite: Drvoderić, S., Herwegh, M., Berger, A., Schlunegger, F., Furlan, M., Kurmann, E., Dall’Agnolo, S., Garefalakis, P., Monti, R., and Musso Piantelli, F.: Indentation tectonics in the Swiss Préalpes Romandes caused by the uplift of the Aar Massif: insights from high-resolution 3D structural modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12076, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12076, 2026.

EGU26-13259 | Orals | TS4.1

Thermochronological record of slab flattening and roll-back in the eastern part of the Colorado Plateau 

Audrey Margirier, Jessica R. Stanley, Stuart Thomson, Pierre G. Valla, Konstanze Stübner, Kimberly Huppert, and Georgina E. King

The influence of deep-seated processes on tectonics and magmatism has been documented at large scale in different orogens, such as the American Cordilleras. Understanding how these processes shape orogens through time is essential to disentangle their interactions with climatically-driven surface processes. The Colorado Plateau experienced a complex Cenozoic uplift and exhumation history, yet the drivers, magnitude and timing of the successive exhumation phases, as well as their role in conditioning late-stage canyon incision, remain strongly debated. In particular, the legacy of Farallon slab subduction, through slab flattening, subsequent rollback, and associated uplift from combined tectonics, magmatism, and dynamic topography, may have fundamentally structured the plateau prior to more recent canyon incision.

We combine apatite (U–Th–Sm)/He dating with apatite fission-track analysis from bedrock samples collected along an elevation profile in the Black Canyon of the Gunnison (eastern Colorado Plateau). By integrating these thermochronological data with the timing of regional erosional unconformities, we provide new constraints on the Cenozoic thermal evolution of basement rocks in this area. Our results reveal an early cooling phase between ca. 70 and 60 Ma. This phase is followed by reheating between ca. 35 and 30 Ma, corresponding to a temperature increase of ~40 °C, and by a subsequent cooling phase from 30 to 25 Ma of similar magnitude. A final cooling phase occurring after ~5 Ma is required to reach present-day surface temperatures. We interpret the early cooling phase as exhumation related to Laramide deformation associated with Farallon slab flattening. The reheating phase is contemporaneous with a widespread mid-Cenozoic magmatic flare-up interpreted to reflect slab rollback processes. The reheating may be specifically associated with a regional increase in the geothermal gradient or burial beneath volcanic sequences, or a combination of both. The final cooling phase is attributed to Plio-Quaternary incision of the Black Canyon, which generated ~800 m of relief.

Together, these results highlight how the sequence of slab flattening and subsequent rollback exerted a first-order control on Colorado Plateau surface uplift, exhumation and magmatism, thereby preconditioning the landscape on which Plio-Quaternary canyon incision developed. These thermochronological data will be integrated with existing thermochronological datasets to assess at larger scale the spatio-temporal variability of exhumation and reheating in response to changes in the geometry of the downgoing slab.

How to cite: Margirier, A., Stanley, J. R., Thomson, S., Valla, P. G., Stübner, K., Huppert, K., and King, G. E.: Thermochronological record of slab flattening and roll-back in the eastern part of the Colorado Plateau, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13259, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13259, 2026.

EGU26-13851 | Posters on site | TS4.1

Kinematic Decoupling and Orogenic Trend Variations in Arcuate Fold-and-Thrust Belts: Exploring Possible Deep Controls 

Inmaculada Expósito, Manuel Díaz-Azpiroz, Alejandro Jiménez-Bonilla, and Juan Carlos Balanyá

First-order orogenic arcs are often divided into second-order curves, termed salients and recesses (convex and concave to the transport direction, respectively). Although several studies have analysed the supracrustal factors controlling this festooned geometry, the potential role of deep-seated mechanisms has received little attention.

In the northern branch of the Gibraltar Arc, the orogenic grain of the central and western Betics external fold and trust belt (FTB) draws two secondary arcs, connected by a salient-recces transition segment, whose southernmost limit is the Torcal shear zone (TSZ). The central FTB salient consists of WSW-ENE to W-E thin-skinned shortening structures involving post-Burdigalian, syn-orogenic sequences in its deformation front. Thrust surfaces are dominantly SE to S-ward dipping and slickenlines suggest NNW-SSE to N-S transport directions. At the SW end of this salient, just east of the TSZ, the shortening structures trend becomes N-S. The westernmost FTB salient, within the Gibraltar Arc hinge, is defined by NW to W-ward verging, shortening structures with radial transport direction. Arc-parallel extension occurred coeval with arc-orthogonal shortening. Both salients are connected by the aforementioned transitional domain, an E-W to ENE-WSE transpressive band, dominated by dextral strike-slip deformation. This transpressive zone is significantly segmented into scattered topographic highs due to  orogen-paralell extension, mainly  accommodated by NW-SE  normal and dextral faults.

These three tectonic domains seem to have been differentiating since the upper Miocene to Holocene suggesting a decoupling between the W-ward migrating hinge of the Gibraltar Arc and the rest of the arcuate chain. Such decoupling would fit well with the existence of a W-E trending STEP fault, whose easternmost tip were located under the transition between the central and western Betics. Thus, the dominantly dextral, significantly stretched TSZ, located just north of the betic FTB/hinterland boundary, would be the expression in the FTB of such deep STEP fault. In this context, the recent FTB deformation in the central Betics would respond mainly to the current NW-SE shortening undergone by the Iberian Peninsula, whereas the kinematic features of both the transitional transpressive band and the westernmost FTB are consistent with a WNW-ESE directed far field vector associated with the arc westward migration. Interestingly, the recent intraplate deformation in the Betics foreland has produced greater relative uplifts in front of the central Betics, mostly accommodated in overall WSW-ENE faults, than in westernmost sectors. Additionally, the kinematics of reactivated structures in the westernmost sector of the foreland is compatible with a WNW-ENE convergence. Assuming some amount of mechanical plates coupling along the northern branch of the Betics, these foreland deformation features would agree with the proposed difference in the convergence angle along the central and western Betics FTB.

This work is supported by projects PID2024-159481NB-I00 and by ERDF/EU.

How to cite: Expósito, I., Díaz-Azpiroz, M., Jiménez-Bonilla, A., and Balanyá, J. C.: Kinematic Decoupling and Orogenic Trend Variations in Arcuate Fold-and-Thrust Belts: Exploring Possible Deep Controls, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13851, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13851, 2026.

EGU26-14604 | Posters on site | TS4.1

Andean Cross Section at 30ºS: A Window Onto the Tectonic Evolution of a Non-Collisional Orogen 

William Munday, Pablo Santolaria, and Josep Anton Muñoz

At 30º South, the western Central Andes are comprised by the Coastal Cordillera, a seemingly little-deformed zone containing Mesozoic volcanic arc and back arc-related rocks . To the east, the Vicuña fault separates the Coastal Cordillera from the Principal Cordillera and the Frontal Cordillera. Those two units  display relatively small areas of Mesozoic sedimentary cover that have been preserved despite the uplift which exposes mainly Carboniferous to Triassic plutonics. Further east in the Precordillera, deformation involves increasingly recent Cenozoic sedimentary units.

Based on 2025 campaign field data acquisition and the revision of previous geological maps, we present a structural cross section along a 30ºS, E-W transect and its restoration . During the Mesozoic, extension in the Coastal Cordillera was mainly accommodated by the west-dipping Vicuña fault from the Jurassic to Late Cretaceous. Constraints from pluton emplacement depths and stratigraphic relationships suggest that significant uplift and topographic growth might have interrupted this extension in the Early Late Cretaceous in the Coastal Cordillera. Uppermost Cretaceous syn-orogenic deposits mark the onset of contraction. Upon shortening, the Vicuña fault was folded and reactivated as a west-vergent thrust during the uplift of the Principal Cordillera. This shortening episode also created the present-day relief in the Coastal Cordillera although the timing of this uplift is not well constrained. Subsequently, shortening propagated eastwards into the foreland of the orogen, forming the folds and thrusts of the Precordillera.

Our cross section suggests successive phases of extension and compression which can alternate at variable timescales and operate in different locations. This tectonic evolution raises numerous questions: Which geodynamic factors drive the occurrence of contraction or extension? What is the relationship between surface and deep crustal structures? In a non collisional context, what controls the localization of deformation?...

 

How to cite: Munday, W., Santolaria, P., and Muñoz, J. A.: Andean Cross Section at 30ºS: A Window Onto the Tectonic Evolution of a Non-Collisional Orogen, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14604, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14604, 2026.

The northeastern margin of the Arabian Plate, now represented by the Zagros Fold–Thrust Belt, records the tectonic evolution of the region from Paleozoic rifting and the opening of the Neo-Tethys Ocean to Mesozoic convergence and Cenozoic continental collision. Furthermore, under oblique collision, late Cenozoic deformation is partitioned between right-lateral strike-slip motion along the Main Recent Fault in the northeast (NE) and a shortening component across the Zagros Fold–Thrust Belt. In this study, we examined the brittle structures that developed during deformation in the northwestern segment of the Zagros Fold–Thrust Belt, within the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. Our goal was to reconstruct the deformation history and spatial variations in stress. We collected approximately 250 fault-slip measurements at 28 localities along a transect crossing the belt, from the Zagros Suture Zone in the northeast to the Foothill Zone in the southwest. We applied paleostress inversion techniques to the dataset, enabling identification of distinct stress regimes in the region. Our initial results indicate temporal changes in the paleostress regime, which could be linked to a slight anticlockwise rotation associated with oblique collision. These paleostress analyses have implications for reconstructing convergence direction, kinematics, and the temporal evolution of the orogen.

How to cite: Zebari, M., Navabpour, P., and Ustaszewski, K.: Paleostress Reconstruction in the Zagros Fold–Thrust Belt, Kurdistan Region of Iraq: Implications for the Arabia–Eurasia Convergence and Oblique Collision, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14813, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14813, 2026.

EGU26-15999 | Posters on site | TS4.1

 Insight on recent tectonic deformation in the Himalayas of central Nepal provided by fluvial terrace geometries  

Madison Preece, Daniel Stockli, Ryan Thigpen, and Sean Gallen

Topography is a direct manifestation of the coupling of tectonic and surface processes and this connection between rapid erosion and high uplift rates is most readily evident in the frontal High Himalayas– an area that provides an excellent opportunity to study the progressive evolution geomorphic features in response to the interplay of these processes. An abrupt topographic break between the low-relief Lesser Himalaya and the high-relief Greater Himalaya has received significant attention, but the processes that govern its evolution remains debated. While it is commonly accepted that active tectonics are required to produce the topographic break, it remains debated whether it is driver by a blind mid-crustal ramp or discrete thrust faulting that daylights at the mountain front. Evidence for out-of-sequence thrusting has been documented along the orogen at similar elevations as the topographic break, suggesting active surface faulting could play a major role in generating and sustaining this marked topographic break. In central Nepal, where the topographic break is most pronounced, thermobarometric data indicate pronounced differences in maximum pressure temperature estimates (>300°C, >4 kbar) experienced by juxtaposed Greater Himalayan units. Consequentially, this structure likely plays a major role in accommodating shortening within the orogen, which is expected to build significant topography. In the Annapurna region, this boundary lacks a thick mylonitic shear zone, suggesting that it may have experienced recent brittle activity. This study investigates neotectonic offsetting and warping of fluvial terraces that record recent thrust activity within the past tens of thousands of years. Newly available two-meter resolution digital elevation data coupled with field observations, provide an unprecedented opportunity for identifying neotectonic deformation of fluvial terrace geometries across the topographic break. We present terrace tread data from the Seti river drainage in central Nepal. An important limitation, however, is that these digital elevation data allow for detailed imaging of terrace tread deposits, rather than bedrock strath terraces, and thus are also influenced by sedimentation processes. We present preliminary interpretations based on first-order changes in terrace tread geometries over kilometers distance, ensuring that evidence is recorded across multiple terrace levels, and in some cases supported by additional bedrock data. Seti River terrace tread profiles suggest divergence upstream of the topographic break, which can be caused by differential uplift or changes in sediment flux. Multiple terrace levels also appear folded near the structural position of the Chamrong thrust, mapped in the neighboring Modi Khola drainage. At this location, we also report evidence of pervasive brittle bedrock deformation. The combination of these features suggests possible tectonic deformation at multiple locations along the Seti River that are consistent with active brittle out-of-sequence thrusting along the mountain front. We plan to combine these data with UAV models of strath terrace geometries to clarify these preliminary interpretations.

How to cite: Preece, M., Stockli, D., Thigpen, R., and Gallen, S.:  Insight on recent tectonic deformation in the Himalayas of central Nepal provided by fluvial terrace geometries , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15999, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15999, 2026.

EGU26-16211 | ECS | Posters on site | TS4.1

Reconstructing the Cenozoic uplift history of the Korean Peninsula using fission-track thermochronology: implications for East Asian tectonics 

Yong-Un Chae, Sujin Ha, Yong Il Lee, Taejin Choi, Sung-Wook Jeen, Hyoun Soo Lim, and Seungwon Shin

The Korean Peninsula is located along the eastern margin of the Eurasian Plate and is characterized by a pronounced east-high, west-low topography, commonly attributed to Cenozoic tectonic processes associated with the evolution of the East Sea (Sea of Japan). The East Sea is a back-arc basin that opened from the Early Oligocene (ca. 32 Ma) to the late Middle Miocene (ca. 12 Ma) and has been subjected to an E–W compressional stress regime since the Early Pliocene (ca. 4 Ma). Quaternary marine terraces indicate rapid uplift along the east coast (200–300 m/Myr), whereas the western coast shows relative stability or subsidence, suggesting strong spatial heterogeneity in recent crustal deformation. However, low-temperature thermochronological data generally indicate more moderate long-term Cenozoic exhumation rates, implying that the rapid Quaternary uplift reflects late-stage acceleration rather than long-term average behavior.

To investigate the long-term cooling and exhumation history of the Korean Peninsula, we conducted zircon and apatite fission-track (FT) dating on 21 samples from 12 plutonic bodies. Zircon FT ages range from ca. 173 to 51 Ma, and apatite FT ages range from ca. 46 to 12 Ma, with mean track lengths of 12.94–14.61 μm, indicating no significant post-cooling thermal disturbance. Apatite FT ages are generally older in inland regions (av. ~37.5 Ma) than along the east coast (av. ~25.0 Ma), suggesting long-term differences in cooling and exhumation histories. Assuming a geothermal gradient of ~30 °C/km, average exhumation rates are estimated to be ~90 m/Myr for inland regions and ~150 m/Myr for the east coast. However, fission-track data alone cannot uniquely constrain the timing of possible uplift acceleration. To better resolve late Cenozoic exhumation and assess the role of Quaternary tectonics, apatite (U–Th)/He dating is currently being conducted on selected samples.

 

How to cite: Chae, Y.-U., Ha, S., Lee, Y. I., Choi, T., Jeen, S.-W., Lim, H. S., and Shin, S.: Reconstructing the Cenozoic uplift history of the Korean Peninsula using fission-track thermochronology: implications for East Asian tectonics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16211, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16211, 2026.

EGU26-20678 | Orals | TS4.1

Linking Surface Geomorphology to Deep Lithospheric Processes beneath the Betic Cordillera (SE Spain) 

Marc Viaplana-Muzas, Jaume Vergés, Ivone Jiménez‐Munt, Montserrat Torne, Lucia Struth, David Cruset, Mahdi Najafi, and Daniel García‐Castellanos

The Betic Cordillera of southeastern Spain experienced kilometer-scale surface uplift since the late Miocene, leading to widespread emergence of marine sedimentary units and contributing to the isolation of the Mediterranean Sea from the Atlantic Ocean at the end of the Miocene. Previous geophysical studies have linked this uplift to deep lithospheric processes, particularly the evolution and detachment of a subducted slab beneath the region. However, the geomorphic imprint of these processes across the Betic Cordillera has not been comprehensively characterized.

Here, we investigate the landscape response to late Cenozoic uplift using quantitative geomorphic analysis. We combine high-resolution topography with river longitudinal profile analysis, knickpoint mapping, and river network metrics such as normalized channel steepness (ksn) and χ-values. This approach allows us to assess spatial patterns of landscape disequilibrium and to infer the evolution of surface uplift.

Our results reveal a clear obliquity between the trend of maximum topography and the main tectonic structures of the Betics, a relationship that differs from other Mediterranean orogens. This anomalous elevation pattern spatially coincides with the region of lithospheric slab detachment previously identified by seismic tomography, suggesting a strong coupling between mantle dynamics and surface deformation. River profile metrics show strong contrasts in ksn and χ-values across the main drainage divide, indicating a transient, orogen-scale landscape and asymmetric erosion. These contrasts imply active migration of the principal drainage divide toward the Atlantic-facing basins, supported by the presence of wind gaps and river capture features.

Knickpoint distributions further indicate increasing landscape disequilibrium toward the southwestern Betics, consistent with a laterally propagating uplift signal. Together, these geomorphic observations provide independent evidence for epeirogenic uplift driven by slab tearing beneath the Betic Cordillera, with westward propagation rates estimated at approximately 100–160 km per million years.

This work is funded by GEOADRIA (PID2022-139943NB-I00) and MAPA (PIE-CSIC-202430E005) from the Spanish Government and the Generalitat de Catalunya Grant (AGAUR 2021 SGR 00410).

How to cite: Viaplana-Muzas, M., Vergés, J., Jiménez‐Munt, I., Torne, M., Struth, L., Cruset, D., Najafi, M., and García‐Castellanos, D.: Linking Surface Geomorphology to Deep Lithospheric Processes beneath the Betic Cordillera (SE Spain), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20678, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20678, 2026.

EGU26-21961 | Posters on site | TS4.1

Evolution of the northern Andean Flat Slab Segment 

Andreas Kammer, Gerold Zeilinger, Camilo Ernesto Quintero, and Wilson Daniel Cifuentes

In the northern Andean block the subducting Nazca plate contains a flat slab segment that notably influences the structural styles of the mountain belts of the Southamerican plate. A seismotectonic break at approximately 4°N is often referred to as the Caldas Tear. In contrast to the obvious aseismic ridges associated with the southern edges of the Peruvian and Chilean flat slab segments, there is no distinct single oceanic feature that limits the size of the North Andean flat slab segment. Instead, a ridge-transform system can be extrapolated into the inboard domain of the trench. This explains the presence of the Istmina Transverse Range along a transform-parallel sector, as well as the Miocene Combia volcanic province where this transform-parallel sector turns into the ridge-parallel discontinuity of the Caldas Tear. Folding of the forearc basins and the Eastern Cordillera of the retroarc domain provides evidence of a margin-wide, NW-SE contractional regime, which has been independently documented by regional paleostress determinations. Further structural evidence for oblique convergence comes from a clear collisional feature formed by a sweeping linear transform fault, which is now situated beneath the Istmina Transverse Range. This feature resulted in a triangular re-entrant of the Western Cordillera, causing it to bend around the Transverse Range. On the retroarc side, the southward propagation of the flat slab segment is evident in fold terminations within the Eastern Cordillera, as well as in the relay pattern of frontal thrust faults at its foothills. The southern morphotectonic break of the Caldas Tear juxtaposes the intramontane Bogotá basin, which belongs to the flat-slab segment, with a folded flank of an E-vergent anticlinorium that marks the deformational style related to the steeply dipping Nazca plate. In our contribution, we depict representative, but less evolved transverse lineaments of the Eastern Cordillera and characterize their deformation style. We also observe the local presence of salt nappes and compare the retarded vs. accelerated intrusive ascent of magmatic manifestations, discussing their relevance with respect to possible plate configurations that suggest lithospheric tearing or bending. The guiding question that informs our research is whether these surface processes provide insight into time slices of the evolving flat slab segment.

How to cite: Kammer, A., Zeilinger, G., Quintero, C. E., and Cifuentes, W. D.: Evolution of the northern Andean Flat Slab Segment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21961, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21961, 2026.

EGU26-22451 | Posters on site | TS4.1

Thrust tectonics in the External Hellenides: from a salt-bearing rifted margin to convergence in a retreating subduction zone  

Marco Snidero, Pablo Martinez Granado, Pablo Santolaria, and Josep Anton Muñoz

The Hellenides constitute a long-lived convergent system resulting from oceanic–continental subduction and subsequent continental collision between Apulia and Eurasia. Their external domain developed above inherited sectors of a hyperextended Mesozoic passive margin, composed of alternating thick carbonate platforms including the Apulian (and Pre-Apulian) and Gavrovo units, and thin basinal domains such as the Ionian. Such inherited structural and stratigraphic architecture exerted a first-order control on thrust localization, wedge geometry, and foreland basin evolution. Since the Late Cretaceous, convergence was accompanied by significant slab retreat, producing a strongly asymmetric orogen with outward thrust propagation in the prowedge and coeval extension in the Aegean region.

We present three E-W, regionally balanced cross sections across the External Hellenides, sequentially restored to constrain the pre-contractional configuration of the sedimentary cover, the kinematic evolution of the thrust belt, and its relationship with inherited rift-related domains and salt-related deformation. The cross sections run through the western Hellenides and are roughly parallel to the main transport direction. The northernmost section crosses the Corfu area, whereas the southernmost profile is located south of the Kefalonia Fault, where the tectonic regime transitions from continental collision to active oceanic–continental subduction.

The sections are based on detailed field surveys along the Ionian structural unit, integrated with published seismic profiles and exploration wells. In the eastern Ionian zone, synclines affecting Jurassic to Oligocene–Miocene flysch are generally broad, whereas toward the west, folding becomes tight to isoclinal, locally forming box-type folds with overturned limbs. Anticlines are tight, variably elongated, doubly plunging, and locally associated with breakthrough thrusts. This structural contrast reflects variations in pre-orogenic stratigraphic thickness and mechanical behaviour: tight folds involve a thin sedimentary cover detached on Triassic salt, while broader synclines record deformation of thicker, locally welded successions. The pre-contractional Ionian basin consisted of a salt-influenced deeper-water carbonate system with salt pillows and plateaus, and subsident areas receiving episodic carbonate debrites from adjacent shallow-water domains. The absence of halokinetic sequences in the pre-orogenic succession suggests that diapirism in the study area was exclusively syn- to post-shortening and controlled by shortening-related uplift and erosion.

During contraction, all the Ionian structural units show regionally consistent allochthonous behaviour, detached along Triassic evaporites and overthrusting the autochthonous structural units together with Aquitanian deposits, as documented by tectonic windows. Progressive Miocene deformation involved thicker sub-thrust units, producing broader structures that subsequently controlled deformation of the overlying thinner Ionian units.

Sequential restoration from the Oligocene to the present reveals forward-propagating thrusting consistent with a prowedge-dominated orogen above a retreating slab. This supports an evolution in which thin-skinned deformation above Triassic evaporites and subsequent reactivation of sub-thrust structural units was driven by underplating of Adriatic crust beneath the External Hellenides. Our balanced cross sections provide quantitative constraints on the relative proportions of accreted versus subducted continental crust of the former hyperextended margin, and allow prosing a tentative location for the transition between the Pre-Apulian ramp and the Ionian basinal domain, which acted as precursor for thrust nucleation.

How to cite: Snidero, M., Martinez Granado, P., Santolaria, P., and Muñoz, J. A.: Thrust tectonics in the External Hellenides: from a salt-bearing rifted margin to convergence in a retreating subduction zone , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22451, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22451, 2026.

The transition and coexistence of large polygenetic volcanoes and monogenetic volcanic fields represents a key challenge in understanding crustal magmatism and volcanic evolution across active tectonic regions worldwide. This duality is strikingly exemplified in central Mexico. Here, the active polygenetic volcano Popocatépetl, coexists with the Chichinautzin Monogenetic Volcanic Field (CMVF), characterized by numerous small cones and lava flows reflecting short-lived, episodic eruptions. Although both volcanic styles are extensively documented individually, the fundamental tectonic and structural factors controlling their coexistence and transtition remain poorly understood. Our study aims to understand the influence of regional tectonic stress orientation and local faulting in interpreting the mechanisms that governs eruptive style transitions.

We integrated high-resolution structural mapping, remote sensing, and a 30-year seismic record (1994–2025). Fault and lineament patterns were derived from LiDAR Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) and Sentinel-1 SAR imagery, processed through slope, azimuthal, and contour analyses. These datasets were correlated with volcanotectonic (VT) earthquake records from Popocatépetl and CMVF to assess the spatial and temporal distribution of seismicity in relation to fault systems.

Our results delineate two major tectonic domains: (1) NW–SE and NE–SW fault systems characterizing the Popocatépetl volcano; and (2) a predominant E–W system defining cone alignments within the CMVF. Monogenetic cones in the CMVF align preferentially along E–W and NE–SW faults, reflecting a prevailing N–S minimum horizontal stress that facilitates direct magma ascent. In contrast, Popocatépetl is dissected by multiple, interacting, high-angle fault systems, including the active Tlamacas (NE–SW) and Nexpayantla (NW–SE) faults. The majority of pre-eruptive and co-eruptive VT earthquakes cluster along these structures, confirming their critical role in magma ascent, storage, and edifice segmentation.

We conclude that the coexistence and transition between polygenetic and monogenetic volcanism in central Mexico are fundamentally governed by the complexity and orientation of regional and local stress fields. In the CMVF, single stress regimes create efficient pathways for rapid magma ascent, favoring monogenetic activity. At Popocatépetl, intersecting and structurally complex fault systems induce magma trapping and long-term storage, driving polygenetic evolution.

 

How to cite: Sandoval García, M. and Martin-Del-Pozzo, A. L.: What controls the transition from monogenetic to polygenetic volcanism? Structural insights into the coexistence and transition between Chichinautzin Monogenetic Volcanic Field and Popocatépetl volcano, Mexico., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-574, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-574, 2026.

EGU26-2387 | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Submarine Geomorphology and Evolution of the Dokdo and Ulleung Volcanic Edifices in the East Sea 

chang hwan Kim, soon young Choi, won hyuck Kim, jong dae Do, and byung gil Lee

Dokdo and Ulleungdo are volcanic edifices developed in the East Sea and show a clear contrast in their formation ages and evolutionary processes. The Dokdo volcano is an eroded volcanic edifice characterized by a flat summit at a water depth of approximately 200 m, forming a guyot-type morphology with small islets. The summit area reaches ~84.6 km² and is larger than the subaerial area of Ulleungdo. Approximately six levels of submarine terraces are developed on the summit, reflecting repeated Quaternary sea-level fluctuations. Bedrock exposure is dominant in the northern summit, whereas the southern part is sediment-rich, and an east–west alignment of small craters suggests the directional control of late-stage volcanic activity. The Dokdo volcano can be subdivided into a flat summit, a steep flank, and a gently sloping base. The flanks are characterized by submarine canyons and ridges with various orientations. Slope analysis indicates very steep gradients of up to ~27–30° along the canyons, implying repeated sediment transport and mass-movement processes. In the northern basal area, small cone-shaped positive reliefs are observed, and backscatter data indicate a mixture of exposed bedrock and sediment-covered surfaces. In contrast, Ulleungdo represents a relatively young, single-cone submarine volcano with a central volcanic island and steep flanks descending to depths of ~2,200 m. Radial lava ridges and lava fields are developed down to ~200 m water depth, while submarine canyons and debris lobes formed by repeated slope failures are concentrated between 600 and 1,200 m. The volcanic base consists of deep-sea sediment fans formed by gravity flows and turbidity currents, and only two levels of submarine terraces are developed on the continental shelf, in clear contrast to the multi-level terraces of Dokdo. Between Dokdo and Ulleungdo, the Anyongbok Seamount, with a summit depth of ~473 m, shows a pointed conical morphology without a wave-cut platform and a dominant north–south ridge. The concave summit geometry suggests the presence of a collapsed crater. Based on radiometric ages and geomorphic characteristics, the submarine volcanic edifices in the East Sea are inferred to have formed sequentially from Dokdo to Anyongbok Seamount and finally to Ulleungdo. These contrasting geomorphic features provide important constraints on the timing, eruptive styles, and spatiotemporal evolution of submarine volcanism in the East Sea.

How to cite: Kim, C. H., Choi, S. Y., Kim, W. H., Do, J. D., and Lee, B. G.: Submarine Geomorphology and Evolution of the Dokdo and Ulleung Volcanic Edifices in the East Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2387, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2387, 2026.

EGU26-5248 | Orals | GMPV10.9

A mechanical perspective on magma trapping, storage and ascent in rift-related volcanic systems 

Eleonora Rivalta, Valentina Armeni, and Gaetano Ferrante

Understanding magma pathways and eruptive vent patterns is fundamental to deciphering how volcanic systems evolve in regard to their surface and subsurface structure, magma chemistry, and eruptive style. Recent studies have emphasized the critical role of the crustal stress field in controlling magma ascent, including magma trapping and prolonged storage in crustal volumes defined by stress field patterns. In extensional tectonic regimes, the influence of stress on magma pathways and vent distributions has been explored mainly across and along rift axes, showing that unloading and extension tend to focus magma pathways toward rift shoulders or rift tips, producing either distributed or localized vent patterns. These patterns are sensitive to basin geometry and the relative magnitudes of unloading and tensional stresses.

In this contribution, I first illustrate how unloading associated with extensional basins modifies the crustal stress field and promotes magma trapping at specific depths. Using stress-based models of magma propagation, I show that basin-related unloading can, in spite of extension, inhibit vertical ascent and favor the formation of laterally extensive, sub-horizontal magma storage zones, where magmas, deprived of their buoyancy, are effectively trapped. This leads to prolonged magma residence prior to eruption, creating the opportunity for cooling and chemical exchange with the host rock and successive magma batches reaching the stress trap. Upon eventual ascent, stress conditions drive dikes to propagate obliquely and then vertically, accelerating magma transport; together with volatile exsolution, this promotes conditions favorable for explosive eruptions. These results provide a mechanical framework linking tectonic forces, magma pathways, magma evolution, eruptive style and caldera formation in rift-related volcanic systems.

How to cite: Rivalta, E., Armeni, V., and Ferrante, G.: A mechanical perspective on magma trapping, storage and ascent in rift-related volcanic systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5248, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5248, 2026.

The stress field around a fluid supply source, such as a magma chamber, can be qualitatively explained by superposing the local stress field of radial compression and the regional tectonic stress field. However, stress field models incorporating both influences have not yet been proposed. In this study, we propose a new stress field model around a fluid supply source that accounts for regional stress, verify its validity by comparing it with natural data, and develop a stress field inversion method based on the new model.

The existing stress field model around a fluid supply source (McTigue, 1987) assumes the crust to be a semi-infinite elastic medium and approximately derives the stress field induced by a spherical pressurized cavity. In the new model, based on the principle of superposition, McTigue’s stress field is combined with a regional stress whose differential stress increases proportionally with depth. This formulation allows representation of anisotropic stress trajectory in the horizontal section.

To validate the new model in nature, we collected orientation data of clastic dikes intruded into the Miocene Tanabe Group in southwestern Japan. Stress inversion (Yamaji & Sato, 2011) was applied to the orientation data within subareas of several tens to hundreds of meters, and the stress state acting on each subarea was estimated. The results suggest that the orientation distribution of clastic dikes reflects both local stress associated with a fluid supply source (a mud diapir) located in the southern part of the study area and regional stress with a NNE–SSW-trending maximum horizontal compressive axis.

Based on the stress states detected in each block and their spatial locations, we estimated the stress field at the time of dike intrusion. In the inversion, the misfit between observed and modeled stresses in each block was assumed to follow a Fisher distribution, and a Markov chain Monte Carlo method was employed. As a result, WNW–ESE tension normal faulting regional stress was detected. The inferred location of the fluid supply source in the southern part of the study area is consistent with qualitative geological interpretations.

The results of this study provide fundamental insights for practical applications, such as identifying volcanic activity centers from dike or microseismic data and predicting the spatial extent of volcanic influence when dikes are discovered, contributing to disaster prevention/mitigation and geological disposal projects.

This study was carried out as a part of a supporting program titled "Program to support research and investigation on important basic technologies related to radioactive waste (2023–2025 FY)" under the contract with the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI).

McTigue, 1987, J. Geophys. Res. 92, 12,931–12,940. Yamaji & Sato, 2011, J. Struct. Geol. 33, 1,148–1,157.

How to cite: Abe, N.: Stress field model around the fluid supply source associated with the regional stress state, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8715, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8715, 2026.

EGU26-11515 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Geomorphic Evolution of Karthala’s Summit Caldera: Insights from Photogrammetry, Satellite Imagery, and Historical Aerial Photographs  

Grace Guryan, Loraine Gourbet, Edgar Zorn, Nicolas Villeneuve, Eric Delcher, Hamid Soulé, Moussa Mogne Ali, Cheihani Said Abdallah, Wardate Mohamed, and Qassim Mlanaoindrou

Karthala (Ngazidja Island, Comoros archipelago), an active basaltic volcano in the Indian Ocean, provides an excellent natural laboratory for studying the geomorphic evolution of a rapidly evolving caldera complex. Eruptive events in 2005–2006 reached a VEI 3 and emplaced fresh tephra and lava across the summit area, covering the cratered region and creating a time-zero surface for tracking post-eruptive erosion and drainage network development. Karthala’s craters are also shaped by mass-wasting processes, evidenced by landslide deposits in the craters that are visible in satellite and aerial imagery.

In this study, we construct a geomorphic chronology that spans 76 years using a combination of photogrammetry from a 2025 Unoccupied Aerial System (UAS) survey, Pléiades satellite imagery (2015, 2024), and orthorectified historical photographs (1949, 1961). This interval includes significant eruptions in 1952, 1965, 1972, 1991, and 2005-2007. We primarily focus on geomorphic change since the 2005–2006 eruptions, measuring erosion within the tephra-mantled summit region and mapping the temporal evolution of fluvial channel networks. By tracking the development of the drainage network, we can precisely constrain landscape response times and quantify the timescales at which volcaniclastic material is mobilized and redistributed in the landscape. In addition, we evaluate crater rim retreat and map collapse structures through time to explore how mass wasting interacts and competes with fluvial processes. Together, this work provides constraints on the timescales and relative importance of erosional processes that shape Karthala’s summit region between eruptive events, while placing its recent evolution in the context of crater changes that have occurred over decadal timescales.

How to cite: Guryan, G., Gourbet, L., Zorn, E., Villeneuve, N., Delcher, E., Soulé, H., Mogne Ali, M., Said Abdallah, C., Mohamed, W., and Mlanaoindrou, Q.: Geomorphic Evolution of Karthala’s Summit Caldera: Insights from Photogrammetry, Satellite Imagery, and Historical Aerial Photographs , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11515, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11515, 2026.

EGU26-11660 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.9

Hydrothermal activity and impact on flank stability at the Profitis Ilias dome, Nisyros (Greece) 

Daniel Müller, Thomas R. Walter, Paraskevi Nomikou, Elisavet Nikoli, Edgar U. Zorn, Falk Amelung, Moritz Lang, Valentin R. Troll, Michael J. Heap, and Claire Harnett

Hydrothermal alteration can lead to weakening of volcanic rock, decreased slope stability and increased erosion, therefore creating potential mass-wasting hazards at volcanoes. The mechanical weakening may affect rock compounds, selected lithographic layers, or occur along fracture zones, with serious consequences for the evolution of volcanoes. Therefore, understanding the processes and interactions at the intersection of faults and hydrothermal systems is critical for assessing slope instability and the potential for failure. Here, we investigate these interactions at the Profitis Ilias lava dome on Nisyros Island (Greece). Nisyros has a complex volcanic history, including caldera-forming eruptions, extrusion of large rhyodacitic domes inside the caldera, and recurrent high-magnitude seismic activity that continues to shape the island. The most prominent dome, Profitis Ilias, rises up to ~700 m and is located at the intersection of major fault zones and an active hydrothermal system at its base, making it particularly susceptible to alteration-driven weakening. To investigate the impact of hydrothermal alteration on the stability of the dome in this particular setting, we combined optical and thermal satellite and drone-based remote sensing, image analysis, and rock-mechanical field experiments. We used Pleiades data to identify the spatial extent of hydrothermal alteration effects based on rock discolourization, indicative of hydrothermal alteration, by applying Principal Component Analysis. High-resolution optical and infrared drone surveys further constrained the distribution and intensity of hydrothermal activity. Our results show that hydrothermal activity and alteration penetrate deeply into the Profitis Ilias dome, affecting about ⅓ of its surface area. Thermal activity and alteration are observed laterally 500 m away from the eruptive centres at its base into the dome, and up to 300 m altitude above the caldera floor. A comparison with other hydrothermal areas within the caldera reveals that, although features such as Stefanos crater are visually prominent and frequently studied, hydrothermal activity at the base of Profitis Ilias is more extensive and exerts a strong impact on rock integrity. The affected part of the dome exhibits enhanced erosion and morphological evidence of weakening and destabilisation. To evaluate this, we performed rock mechanical field tests employing a Schmidt hammer and sampled rocks to measure their petrophysical and mineralogical properties in the laboratory. Rock mechanical field tests of representative endmember samples from fresh to altered dome rocks generally show strength reductions by over 66% for altered material. Similar measurements along transects at the eastern base of Profitis Ilias flank reveal the same significantly reduced strength relative to fresh dome rock, confirming substantial mechanical weakening of the dome's base. Considering the current deformation pattern on Nisyros, which outlines Profitis Ilias dome in the southeast and northeast along the main tectonic trend and the Mandraki fault, further investigation of dome stability is warranted. In particular, the combined effects of seismic activity, fault movement, and hydrothermal circulation beneath the eastern flank of Profitis Ilias may pose an elevated risk of slope instability.

How to cite: Müller, D., Walter, T. R., Nomikou, P., Nikoli, E., Zorn, E. U., Amelung, F., Lang, M., Troll, V. R., Heap, M. J., and Harnett, C.: Hydrothermal activity and impact on flank stability at the Profitis Ilias dome, Nisyros (Greece), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11660, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11660, 2026.

EGU26-11915 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Structural control on monogenetic volcanism along the Intipuca Fault, Central America Volcanic Arc, El Salvador 

Nuria Comas, José Antonio Álvarez-Gómez, Cristina de Ignacio, José Jesús Martínez-Díaz, and Walter Hernández

This preliminary study addresses the architecture of the magmatic plumbing system in southeastern El Salvador, where a cluster of recent monogenetic volcanic centers is spatially associated with the Intipuca Fault. This fault is part of the active shear zone located at the volcanic arc accommodating the right lateral motion of the fore-arc sliver with respect to the Caribbean plate in the context of the Cocos plate subduction in the Middle America Trench. The Intipuca fault acts as a link between the El Salvador Fault Zone (ESFZ) and the extensional domain of the Gulf of Fonseca and the Nicaraguan depression.

Four representative lava samples were analysed: three from monogenetic volcanoes emplaced along the fault and one from the underlying Pliocene stratovolcano of the Bálsamo Formation. Detailed petrography, electron microprobe analyses of phenocryst and groundmass minerals in each sample, and Ar/Ar geochronology were performed.

Preliminary results reveal mineralogical and textural differences between lavas from the monogenetic cones and the stratovolcano. The latter are dominated by plagioclase, with abundant small olivine and minor, but large (phenocrystic) pyroxene, and lack hydrated minerals. Some plagioclase macrocrysts display abundant disequilibrium textures, including resorbed plagioclase cores and sieve textures, suggesting prolonged crustal residence and magma recirculation under dry conditions.

Monogenetic lavas are characterized by abundant pyroxene meso- and macrocrysts. Plagioclase shows a range of sizes, some crystals showing disequilibrium features while others are apparently in equilibrium (continuous oscillatory zoning and euhedral shape Olivine is subordinate, commonly with oxidized rims and replacement coronas of pyroxene and plagioclase. Opaque minerals are also common, and minor, subhedral green amphibole occurs locally. The occurrence of hydrated minerals in the monogenetic lavas reflects rapid magma ascent along the Intipuca Fault, which likely acted as a preferential conduit preserving fluids derived from Cocos Plate subduction.

Similar spatial associations between monogenetic volcanism and transtensional faults have been documented in fault systems with comparable orientations near the Gulf of Fonseca. Likewise, monogenetic alignments are identified in association with segments with a dominant E–W strike (between N90°E and N110°E) that characterizes the El Salvador Fault Zone (ESFZ). This supports the idea that strike-slip fault systems play a fundamental role in modulating magma plumbing architectures and controlling the spatial distribution of monogenetic volcanism in subduction-related volcanic arcs.

How to cite: Comas, N., Álvarez-Gómez, J. A., de Ignacio, C., Martínez-Díaz, J. J., and Hernández, W.: Structural control on monogenetic volcanism along the Intipuca Fault, Central America Volcanic Arc, El Salvador, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11915, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11915, 2026.

EGU26-13283 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.9

 Geological and geomorphic evidence for eruption style, paleoenvironment and landform modification at Katla and Eyjafjallajökull volcanoes, Iceland 

Rosie Cole, Magnus Tumi Gudmundsson, Catherine Gallagher, Brian Jicha, and Birgir Vilhelm Óskarsson

Volcanic landforms and eruptive products can be effective proxies for paleoenvironment. The morphology of volcanic edifices can reveal whether they were constructed in subaerial or subglacial environments, while the physical characteristics of individual products indicate emplacement in wet or dry conditions. Polygenetic volcanoes with eruptive histories spanning glacial and interglacial periods therefore have the potential to record environmental change and it‘s influence on volcano evolution.

 

The deeply dissected flanks of the ice-capped Katla and Eyjafjallajökull volcanoes expose a >55 ka sequence of edifice-forming volcanic products. We combine detailed characterisation and geological mapping of the sequence with airborne photogrammetry surveys, examination of the geomorphology, and dating to reconstruct the eruption and emplacement processes, landform modification and paleoenvironments that have shaped this dynamic glaciovolcanic landscape. For example, intercalation of subglacial and subaerial deposits at the base of the sequence indicates a fluctuating ice margin 57-55 ka. Other distintive landforms include a 795 m-high peak dominated by bedded tuff and intruded with lobate lava bodies with an 40Ar/39Ar age of ~19 ka. The peak acted as a partial topographic barrier behind which an englacial lake accumulated. A lava delta prograded into the lake from 13-11 ka. A subaerial lava flow caps the delta and indicates a miniumum ice surface level ~ 850 m a.s.l. at the time of emplacement. The lava delta now forms a flat-topped, steep-sided plateau standing several hundred metres high above the landscape.

 

While these formations appear morphologically like volcanic vents or tuyas, detailed examination of the rock sequence, contact relationships and internal structures reveal they were once connected to the flanks of Katla and Eyjafjallajökull, and have been heavily modified by canyon incision. The lava ages reveal that canyon formation was rapid and likely faciliated by jökulhlaups associated with eruptions in a destabilising ice sheet. This is a crucial distinction for reconstructing the sequence of volcanic and glacial events, and the types of hazards that have occurred. These examples show how traditional geological mapping remains a fundamental tool for understanding volcanic landform evolution and hazard assessment.

How to cite: Cole, R., Gudmundsson, M. T., Gallagher, C., Jicha, B., and Óskarsson, B. V.:  Geological and geomorphic evidence for eruption style, paleoenvironment and landform modification at Katla and Eyjafjallajökull volcanoes, Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13283, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13283, 2026.

EGU26-13865 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Etna’s submarine flank morphology and basement: new insight from microbathymetry and revised structural interpretation 

Sylvain Mayolle, Morelia Urlaub, Thor H. Hansteen, Pilar Madrigal, Megan Campbell, Séverine Furst, Alessandro Bonforte, and Felix Gross

Mount Etna, one of Earth's most active volcanoes, rises to an elevation of 3,400 meters. Its eastern flank extends seaward, descending to approximately 1,500 meters below sea level and creating a total vertical relief of nearly 5,000 meters. While it is known that Etna's offshore flank is highly mobile, the seafloor morphology and associated structures remain poorly understood.

During the 2024 RV METEOR cruise M198, high-resolution microbathymetry data were collected using an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV), and rock samples were dredged from distinctive morphological features. Using new AUV microbathymetry, we characterise a stiff layer that forms a narrow canyon in the Valle di Archirafi, featuring high relief and rough surfaces exposed by the erosion of overlying marine sediments. This layer is also forming in the upper part of the Amphitheatre, a chain of cliffs overlooking a gentler slope. The layer is characterised by a chaotic, high-amplitude facies in the seismic lines, which can be followed from the Valle di Archirafi to the Amphitheatre. Dredging during the M198 cruise enabled sampling phyric lavas in the upper part of the Amphitheatre and chemical analyses suggest cooling in a subaerial environment. These findings imply more than 600 m of subsidence of the entire area (42 km2). The area is located between 4 and 8 km from the coastline and lies directly beneath the Giarre wedge, which exhibits the highest sliding velocity on the eastern flank. This suggests that the offshore part exerts a strong pulling force on the northern part of Etna’s mobile sector and is thus key to understanding the dynamics of the onshore sector. In line with the onshore block structure inferred by geodetic methods, our new findings support a decoupling of a shallower block riding on top of the larger southeastern mobile flank. Finally, based on existing knowledge of Etna’s edifice, our new offshore interpretation, and existing seafloor morphology constraints, we propose an extended map of the offshore flank thickness. These new data necessitate a revised interpretation of the submarine structural model and challenge existing paradigms regarding the mobile flank.

How to cite: Mayolle, S., Urlaub, M., H. Hansteen, T., Madrigal, P., Campbell, M., Furst, S., Bonforte, A., and Gross, F.: Etna’s submarine flank morphology and basement: new insight from microbathymetry and revised structural interpretation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13865, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13865, 2026.

EGU26-14024 | Orals | GMPV10.9

Mapping the ground displacements related to the 1 September 2025 seismic swarm at Campi Flegrei (Italy) caldera through multiple SAR sensors 

Francesco Casu, Manuela Bonano, Claudio De Luca, Prospero De Martino, Mauro Antonio Di Vito, Flora Giudicepietro, Riccardo Lanari, Giovanni Macedonio, Michele Manunta, Fernando Monterroso, Lucia Pappalardo, Yenni Lorena Belen Roa, and Pasquale Striano

Campi Flegrei caldera is an active volcano located in southern Italy, which is experiencing renewed uplift phenomena since 2005. This phase has also been characterized by an increase of seismicity, which, mainly since 2021, has experienced relatively high magnitude earthquakes.

In this work we analyze the ground displacements induced by the 1 September 2025 seismic swarm, whose main shock registered a magnitude (Md) of 4.0 in an area affected by a previously investigated uplift deficit.

This event has been analyzed by applying Differential SAR Interferometry (DInSAR) techniques to multi-sensor and multi-frequency SAR data. Indeed, we exploited acquisitions carried out by the Copernicus Sentinel-1 constellation (operating in C-Band), the Italian COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) and COSMO Second Generation (CSG) satellites operating in X-Band, as well as the SAOCOM-1A/B constellation of the Argentinian space agency, operating in L-Band. Furthermore, we benefited from an acquisition campaign carried out by the Capella Space SAR sensors (X-Band) operating in a Mid Inclination Orbit (MIO) configuration, thus allowing us to investigate the displacement component also along the North-South direction.

Such large data availability allowed us to compute a detailed picture of the displacements affecting the Earth surface across the earthquake, providing a significant contribution to the comprehension of the caldera dynamics, and opening new perspectives in active volcano monitoring scenarios.

 

This work has been partly funded by the Italian DPC, in the frame of INGV-DPC (2022–2025) and IREA-DPC (2025–2027) agreements: this paper does not necessarily represent DPC official opinion and policies. This research was also partially funded by HE EPOS-ON (GA 101131592) and the European Union-NextGeneratonEU through the following projects: MEET - PNRR - IR00000025; ICSC - CN-HPC - PNRR M4C2 Investimento 1.4 - CN00000013; GeoSciences IR – PNRR M4C2 Investimento 3.1 - IR00000037; Sustainable Mobility Center - MOST - PNRR M4C2 Investimento 1.4 - CN00000023; BAC MITIGATE - PNRR RETURN - PE00000005.

How to cite: Casu, F., Bonano, M., De Luca, C., De Martino, P., Di Vito, M. A., Giudicepietro, F., Lanari, R., Macedonio, G., Manunta, M., Monterroso, F., Pappalardo, L., Roa, Y. L. B., and Striano, P.: Mapping the ground displacements related to the 1 September 2025 seismic swarm at Campi Flegrei (Italy) caldera through multiple SAR sensors, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14024, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14024, 2026.

EGU26-14411 | Orals | GMPV10.9

Eruption triggering from connected magma storage at the Erta Ale ridge (East African Rift) 

Carolina Pagli, Alessandro La Rosa, Derek Keir, Atalay Ayele, Hua Wang, Eleonora Rivalta, and Elias Lewi

Dyke intrusions and eruptions at nearby volcanoes can influence each other. However, the spatio-temporal connection of the magma storage and the dynamics of these events are rarely observed. We used InSAR, optical data, pixel offset tracking and seismicity to study two eruptions that occurred in the Erta Ale ridge within four months of each other causing caldera collapses.  In November 2025, the Hayli Gubbi volcano erupted explosively sending an ash plume of ~14 km into the atmosphere. The eruption was preceded in July by a dyke intrusion and an eruption near the Erta Ale caldera. Dyking lasted 25 days and propagated southward for 36 km along the axis of the Erta Ale ridge, intruding a total of ∼0.4 km3 of mafic magma. The dyke also intercepted nearby magma reservoir, including a shallow (1.5 km depth) sill below Hayli Gubbi, causing minor uplift. Interestingly, Hayli Gubbi did not erupt until four months later, in November when InSAR shows that the contraction of a source under the Erta Ale caused the caldera collapse and simultaneous explosion and collapse at Hayli Gubbi. The July-November events suggests that the magmatic systems of Erta Ale and Hayli Gubbi are connected and that along axis dyke intrusion is a possible mechanism feeding other magma chambers ultimaltey triggering eruptions. We suggest that mafic magma was injected in Hayli Gubbi in July and again in November. Possible magma mixing with the residing melt occurred leading to the Haily Gubbi eruption. This is consistent with separate explosions and two plumes of likely different composition during the eruption (Ayalew et al., in preparation).

CP and ALR are supported by the Space It Up project funded by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) and the Ministry of University and Research (MUR) under contract n. 2024-5-E.0 CUP n. I53D24000060005.

How to cite: Pagli, C., La Rosa, A., Keir, D., Ayele, A., Wang, H., Rivalta, E., and Lewi, E.: Eruption triggering from connected magma storage at the Erta Ale ridge (East African Rift), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14411, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14411, 2026.

EGU26-14547 | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Constraining eruption age and quartz formation in a basaltic lava flow (Martinique) using trapped-charge and geochemical methods  

Christoph Schmidt, Aurélie Germa, Xavier Quidelleur, Georgina King, and Rocio Jaimes-Gutierrez

In south-western Martinique (Lesser Antilles), the basaltic lava flow and associated strombolian cone of Pointe Burgos transect the porphyritic dacitic lava dome of Morne Champagne, which has been dated to 617 ± 52 ka (Germa et al., 2011). A striking characteristic of the basaltic lava is an unusually high abundance (~4%) of large quartz crystals reaching up to 2 cm. These have previously been interpreted as xenocrysts incorporated into the basaltic magma through mechanical mixing with a shallow, cooled dacitic reservoir at an approximate 9:1 basalt–dacite ratio. Support for this interpretation includes resorbed plagioclase phenocrysts with reaction rims, commonly regarded as indicators of crystal remobilisation. However, the eruption products lack other textural features typically associated with magma mixing. Moreover, the quartz crystals display atypical morphologies, extensive internal fracturing, and occur as apparent void-fillings within the basalt, prompting a reassessment of their origin.

To better constrain the timing and mechanism of quartz incorporation, we investigated both the eruption age of the basaltic lava and the formation history of the quartz crystals. K–Ar dating of the basaltic groundmass yields an age of 379 ± 25 ka, indicating that the basalt erupted ~240 ka after the dacitic dome it crosscuts. This substantial time gap implies that the shallow dacitic reservoir would have been fully solidified during basalt ascent, a scenario in which entrainment of dacitic enclaves might be expected but is not observed.

Thermoluminescence (TL) dating provides a means to estimate the time elapsed since mineral crystallisation or cooling to ambient temperature, rendering it well suited to evaluate whether the quartz formed contemporaneously with the basaltic eruption or represents a later generation of minerals (substitution minerals or hydrothermal void fillings). Moreover, TL can inform on thermal conditions during signal acquisition through the thermal stability of selected TL signals. We applied red TL measurements using multiple dose determination protocols to calculate an apparent age, which yielded internally consistent results. Dose-rate calculations account for the grain-size distribution of the quartz xenocrysts, radioelement concentrations and the erosional evolution of the site.

Apparent TL ages range from ~104 ka assuming no erosion, to ~122 ka for ~100 m of surface erosion, each with an ~17% uncertainty. New LA-ICP-MS geochemical data obtained from three quartz xenocrysts provide further evidence for a magmatic formation environment, lending support to the magma mixing hypothesis. The younger TL ages relative to the K–Ar eruption age may thus reflect partial thermal resetting of the TL signal due to prolonged hydrothermal activity. Kinetic parameters derived from the TL data enable forward modelling of thermal scenarios compatible with the observed ages. Together, the geochronological, kinetic, and geochemical results allow us to reassess the origin of quartz in the Pointe Burgos lava and to explore the post-eruptive hydrothermal evolution of the system.

References

Germa, A., Quidelleur, X., Lahitte, P., Labanieh, S., Chauvel, C., 2011. The K–Ar Cassignol–Gillot technique applied to western Martinique lavas: a record of Lesser Antilles arc activity from 2 Ma to Mount Pelée volcanism. Quaternary Geochronology 6, 341-355.

How to cite: Schmidt, C., Germa, A., Quidelleur, X., King, G., and Jaimes-Gutierrez, R.: Constraining eruption age and quartz formation in a basaltic lava flow (Martinique) using trapped-charge and geochemical methods , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14547, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14547, 2026.

EGU26-14798 * | Orals | GMPV10.9 | Highlight

New perspectives of volcanism at the rift-hosted Santorini-Kolumbo system (South Aegean Volcanic Arc), from IODP deep-drilling 

Tim Druitt, Abigail Metcalfe, Jonas Preine, Katharina Pank, Steffen Kutterolf, Christian Hübscher, Paraskevi Nomikou, and Thomas Ronge and the IODP Expedition 398 Scientists

Santorini-Kolumbo is one of the most hazardous volcanic centres in Europe, as highlighted by its VEI-5 explosive eruptions of 726 CE and 1650 CE, and its bradyseismic crises of 2011-12 and 2024-2025. IODP Expedition 398 deep-drilled the volcano-sedimentary infills of marine rift basins at eight sites around Santorini to depths of up to 900 m below the sea floor, and integrated the core stratigraphies with a dense array of seismic profiles from eight expeditions to construct a high-resolution timeline of volcanic activity and to relate it to the basin-fill architecture and tectonic history. In this overview we show that the four drill sites analyzed to date reveal >200 Santorini and 19 Kolumbo tephra layers intercalated in marine sediments. The tephras were correlated chemically between sites, either as the products of individual eruptions or as packages of layers, with the onset of explosive activity at ~1 Ma. The rift basins contain several submarine volcaniclastic megabeds from the caldera-forming eruptions of Santorini and one from the Kos caldera. The megabeds formed when pyroclastic flows poured into the sea and transformed into subaqueous gravity flows. The thickest megabed succession is < 250 ky old and lies on a seismic reflection onlap surface that records a phase of rapid rifting. Sedimentation lagged behind subsidence during rapid rifting, creating bathymetric troughs that served as depocenters for the megabeds. Reconstruction of the basin subsidence history shows that the rift extension rate accelerated markedly about 350 ky ago. This increase in rifting rate preceded, and may have driven, the transition of Santorini from a prolonged state of effusive and moderate explosive activity (~550 – 250 ka) typical of arc stratovolcanoes to one of repeated caldera-forming eruptions (<250 ka). The earliest explosive activity at Kolumbo Volcano is recorded at 265 ka and coincides broadly with the explosive transition at Santorini, suggesting that activity at the volcanic systems is synchronized by tectonic stresses. The main stages of construction of the Kolumbo edifice broadly coincided with periods of caldera-forming silicic volcanism at Santorini, reflecting additional interactions and feedbacks on shorter timescales. The existence of connections between tectonic stresses, fluid pressures, and magma reservoirs of the two neighboring magmatic systems is consistent with concurrent ground movements, seismic swarms and dyke injection at Santorini-Kolumbo in 2024/25.

How to cite: Druitt, T., Metcalfe, A., Preine, J., Pank, K., Kutterolf, S., Hübscher, C., Nomikou, P., and Ronge, T. and the IODP Expedition 398 Scientists: New perspectives of volcanism at the rift-hosted Santorini-Kolumbo system (South Aegean Volcanic Arc), from IODP deep-drilling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14798, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14798, 2026.

EGU26-14961 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.9

Multi-vent construction and eruptive-style transitions in the Bouteguerrouine Volcanic Complex (Middle Atlas, Morocco) 

Asmaa El khaoutari, Hasnaa Chennaoui Aoudjehane, Kamal Agharroud, Helene Balcon-Boissard, and Omar Boudouma

Multi-vent volcanic complexes in intraplate monogenetic volcanic fields provide key records of how karstification processes, evolving magma ascent pathways and inherited crustal discontinuities shape volcanic landforms. Located in the Middle Atlas Volcanic Field (MAVF) of Morocco, the Bouteguerrouine Volcanic Complex (BVC) is a coalescent system (~4 × 5 km) emplaced on a Liassic carbonate substratum and comprising 8 craters that include both phreatomagmatic and strombolian vents.

We combine field mapping and tephrostratigraphic logging with 0.5 m-resolution DEM morphometry and microstructural observations to link eruptive-style transitions to vent architecture and to evaluate the role of inherited structural trends of Middle Atlas chain in organizing vent migration.

Field analysis revealed evidence of polyphase evolution, marked by (i) an early hydromagmatic stage expressed by maar/tuff-ring deposits, including lithic-rich basal breccias and bedsets consistent with surge emplacement (locally preserved as discontinuous tuff-ring remnants and peperites), followed by (ii) a dominant strombolian phase constructed scoria and spatter cones and produced lava flows that either buried or locally truncated the underlying hydromagmatic deposits. These cross-cutting relationships provide a relative chronology markers documenting vent re-use, vent migration and progressive edifice coalescence.

DEM-derived metrics (crater elongation and breach azimuths, cone height and flank slopes) quantify vent geometry and migration patterns; Comparing our results with the Middle Atlas chain's inherited structural trends reveals the role of Quaternary tectonic evolution in guiding magma ascent pathways at the complex scale. In addition, microstructural observations indicate open-system magma evolution (zoned olivine and clinopyroxene, and disequilibrium reaction textures involving xenocrysts/xenoliths). These features are consistent with transient recharge and mixing during magma ascent and with variable vent dynamics.

Overall, the BVC provides a testable framework linking eruptive transitions, multi-vent growth and landform development, emphasizing coupled volcanotectonic and geomorphological controls in the Middle Atlas MAVF.

How to cite: El khaoutari, A., Chennaoui Aoudjehane, H., Agharroud, K., Balcon-Boissard, H., and Boudouma, O.: Multi-vent construction and eruptive-style transitions in the Bouteguerrouine Volcanic Complex (Middle Atlas, Morocco), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14961, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14961, 2026.

EGU26-15548 | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Attempt to estimate the center of activity and scale of Quaternary volcanoes through topographic analysis 

Nariaki Nishiyama, Yuri Kato, Makoto Kawamura, and Koji Umeda

It is important to accumulate research examples on the spatial distribution of volcanic conduits and dikes under volcanic edifices that served as magma migration pathways, and eruptive volume of past activity, for risk assessment in volcanic disaster prevention. Particularly for volcanoes where the distribution of volcanic conduits and the eruptive volume of activity have not been clearly elucidated in detail, assessing their risk is difficult. Therefore, developing a quantitative and uniform assessing method applicable to each volcano is desirable. However, determining the distribution of volcanic conduits and dikes under volcanic edifices is challenging. Furthermore, estimating the eruptive volume of volcanic activity, requires detailed geological surveys, leading to insufficient estimates for some volcanoes.

The topography of a volcanic edifice is generally thought to reflect the location of magma intrusion associated with volcanic activity and its history (e.g., Nakamura, 1977). Therefore, we are developing a method to determine the predominant orientation of radial dikes under volcanic edifices and evaluate the long-term stability of central conduit locations using topographic analysis with GIS and 10m DEM (Nishiyama et al., 2023). Furthermore, we are attempting to develop a method to estimate the location of a center of activity and the eruptive volume of its activity using topographic data. The development of these topographic data-based evaluation methods is expected to provide useful objective baseline data for conducting detailed investigations on volcanoes that have not yet been studied in depth. This presentation introduces the content of our attempts using topographic analysis.

This study was funded by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI), Japan as part of its R&D supporting program for the geological disposal of high-level radioactive waste (JPJ007597).

[References] Nakamura, 1977, JVGR., 2, 1-16. Nishiyama et al., 2023, JSEG, 64(3), 98-111.

How to cite: Nishiyama, N., Kato, Y., Kawamura, M., and Umeda, K.: Attempt to estimate the center of activity and scale of Quaternary volcanoes through topographic analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15548, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15548, 2026.

EGU26-17938 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

 Temporal linkages of explosive activity on the South Aegean Volcanic Arc related to changing lithospheric stresses 

Abigail Metcalfe, Tim Druitt, Katharina Pank, Steffen Kutterolf, Jonas Preine, Paraskevi Nomikou, Christian Hübscher, and Thomas A. Ronge and the IODP Expedition 398 Scientists

Extensional tectonic regimes often host volcanoes that produce highly hazardous, caldera-forming explosive eruptions. An example is the Santorini-Kolumbo volcanic centre on the continental South Aegean Volcanic Arc. The volcanic centre includes Santorini caldera, the submarine polygenetic Kolumbo Volcano to the northeast of Santorini,  and the linear zone of more than 20 smaller volcanic cones making up the Kolumbo Volcanic Chain. It is one of the most active eruptive centres on the South Aegean Volcanic Arc and experienced a period of unrest in 2024-2025. IODP Expedition 398 deep-drilled the volcano-sedimentary infills of submarine half-grabens around Santorini and on the western flank of Kolumbo in order to produce a high-resolution eruptive chronostratigraphy for the volcanic field, ground-truth seismic stratigraphy, and to extract an integrated timeline of interactions between the neighbouring volcanoes and volcano-tectonic couplings. In the new, more complete volcanic record, we: (1) recognise a transition of Santorini from moderately explosive, arc stratovolcano behaviour (~570 – 250 ka) to repeated caldera-forming behaviour (<250 ka), (2) identify 19 explosive eruptions of the KVC beginning at 265 ka with a lifespan-averaged recurrence time of explosive activity of ~6 k.y. (but as low as ~1 k.y. in certain time periods), (3) observe that the three main phases of edifice construction at Kolumbo (ca. 265–193 ka, 24 ka, and 0.4 ka) broadly correspond to the periods of caldera-forming eruptions at Santorini (186 ka – 177 ka and 22 ka – 3.6 ka). By ground-truthing seismic stratigraphy through core-seismic integration, we also produce a unique high-resolution record of volcanic activity and lithospheric extension for the volcanic field. This allows us to show that Santorini’s caldera-forming eruptions all lie above a seismic reflection onlap surface that records a phase of rapid rifting.  This phase of rapid rifting may have amplified the normal internal dynamics of the magmatic system driving the transition of Santorini from a prolonged state of arc stratovolcano behaviour to a state of repeated caldera-forming eruptions. In addition, the birth of Kolumbo coincided with the transition of Santorini to highly explosive activity, possibly due to joint interactions with the regional lithospheric stresses. Through our new integrated record, we show a possible example of rift modulation of an arc magmatic system on the 104-105 yr timescales typical of caldera cycles and the coupling of neighbouring volcanoes on 104  yr timescales.

How to cite: Metcalfe, A., Druitt, T., Pank, K., Kutterolf, S., Preine, J., Nomikou, P., Hübscher, C., and Ronge, T. A. and the IODP Expedition 398 Scientists:  Temporal linkages of explosive activity on the South Aegean Volcanic Arc related to changing lithospheric stresses, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17938, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17938, 2026.

EGU26-18317 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

New insights on explosive volcanism at Santorini (South Aegean Volcanic Arc) based on marine sediments drilled during IODP Expedition 398. 

Katharina Pank, Abigail Metcalfe, Steffen Kutterolf, and Tim Druitt and the IODP Expedition 398 scientists

The establishment of continuous volcanic time series is a key to understanding the volcanic evolution and behaviour of arc systems and volcanic complexes. Yet the establishment of continuous records is often hindered by incomplete volcanic archives on land due to erosion or inaccessibility of volcanic deposits. Growing steadily over the past decades, the field of marine tephra studies has shown great potential in overcoming these issues. As marine drilling techniques advance, they now enable the recovery of continuous and undisturbed marine sediment records, often even extending the volcanic onland records significantly further back in time. Drilling close to volcanically active environments, like volcanic arcs, provides the most complete eruptive archive possible and therefore allows us to unravel the volcanic and magmatic behaviour of volcanic systems over geologically long periods of time. Furthermore these long and continuous records enable multi-disciplinary studies, such as the establishment of volcano-tectonic or volcano-climate relationships.

IODP Expedition 398 drilled the marine sediments in the basins of the Christiana-Santorini-Kolumbo Volcanic Field (CSKVF) with the aim of expanding our knowledge of its volcanic evolution, and its interaction with tectonics and climate. The CSKVF belongs to the South Aegean Volcanic Arc (Greece), and particularly Santorini has been known for its highly explosive volcanism and caldera-forming eruptions since c. 250 ka that laid down the Thera Pyroclastic Formation (TPF). Before that, Santorini’s volcanic activity has been described as mainly effusive to weakly explosive forming the Peristeria stratocone (c. 530-430 ka) and the Early Centres of Akrotiri (c. 650-550 ka). However, IODP Expedition 398 identified a large submarine rhyolite deposit, the Archaeos Tuff (AT), interpreted as the product of a highly explosive submarine eruption of Santorini occurring at c. 765 ka, clearly pushing the boundaries of the unkown.

Here, we present the revised <765 ka tephrochronostratigraphy using the marine basin sediments drilled during IODP Expedition 398. Geochemical fingerprinting of tephras has enabled the identification of all known Plinian TPF eruptions, as well as numerous “new” explosive volcanic events within the TPF but also beyond. We have identified a total of 298 eruptions derived from Santorini and Kolumbo, and the established volcanic time series shows multiple tempos of arc volcanism, each about 250-300 kyr long. The eruptions range between magnitudes M2 to M6 throughout the record. However, the period <250 ka clearly stands out in terms of volcanic productivity and has produced about 3x more cumulative magma mass compared to the period 765-250 ka.

Our record fills the currently existing gap between Santorinis AT eruption at c. 765 ka and the onset of the TPF, and shows that Santorini was continuosly producing (highly) explosive eruptions. Furthermore, our findings highlight the importance of complementary and multi-disciplinary studies to reveal the most complete picture of arc volcanism.

How to cite: Pank, K., Metcalfe, A., Kutterolf, S., and Druitt, T. and the IODP Expedition 398 scientists: New insights on explosive volcanism at Santorini (South Aegean Volcanic Arc) based on marine sediments drilled during IODP Expedition 398., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18317, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18317, 2026.

EGU26-18452 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.9

CARG-based (Sheet 416, 417, and 364) volume reassessment for the caldera-forming, VEI 6/7 ignimbrites along the Roman Magmatic Province 

Alessandro Frontoni, Guilherme A. R. Gualda, Andrea Bonamico, Raffaello Cioni, Sandro Conticelli, José Pablo Sepulveda Birke, and Guido Giordano

The renewed start and funding of the CARG project in volcanic areas have enabled new surveys and refinements of data on the volumes and extents of ignimbrites across the Roman Magmatic Province (RMP). To date, the investigation has focused particularly on the Roccamonfina volcano (Sheets 416 Sessa Aurunca and 417 Teano) and the Bracciano caldera (Sheet 364 Bracciano). The project is enhancing field data from areas already surveyed in past decades, while integrating new models and technologies to obtain more accurate quantifications of erupted magma volumes and a consequent re-evaluation of eruption magnitudes. Preliminary results indicate that the volume of some ignimbrites increases by more than one order of magnitude, suggesting that many other ignimbrites within the RMP may have been significantly underestimated, such as the Brown Leucitic Tuff and the White Trachytic Tuff pertaining to the Roccamonfina volcano. This reassessment potentially characterizes the RMP as an ignimbrite flare-up system, comparable to some of the largest and most impactful volcanic provinces worldwide, such as the Taupo Volcanic Zone. In this framework, new field and literature data, borehole stratigraphy, and GIS-integrated methodologies were combined to refine the bulk volume, areal extension, and magnitude of a case-study ignimbrite, with the aim of developing a standardized procedure for computing and integrating field surveys applicable to all ignimbrites.

How to cite: Frontoni, A., Gualda, G. A. R., Bonamico, A., Cioni, R., Conticelli, S., Sepulveda Birke, J. P., and Giordano, G.: CARG-based (Sheet 416, 417, and 364) volume reassessment for the caldera-forming, VEI 6/7 ignimbrites along the Roman Magmatic Province, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18452, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18452, 2026.

The Lessini Mountains volcanic district (Venetian Prealps, Italy), belonging to the Veneto Volcanic Province, is mainly composed of Paleogene basaltic volcanics in complex stratigraphic and tectonic relationships with a Meso-Cenozoic sedimentary succession of a shallow-marine environment. The geological framework was shaped by extensional tectonics, with N–S-trending faults such as the Castelvero Fault, which separates the mafic rocks to the east from the carbonate lithologies to the west. The volcanic succession is characterized by a relative lithological homogeneity of basic volcanic products and by discontinuous outcrops due to dense vegetation and agricultural cover. Consequently, detailed reconstruction of the internal stratigraphy based on field data alone is challenging and requires further investigation to identify stratigraphic reference horizons. Overall, the succession records a transition from submarine to subaerial volcanism (Barbieri et al., 1991; Brombin et al., 2019). The lower portion is characterized by basaltic deposits emplaced in a marine environment (i.e., hyaloclastites to lava flows of fissural eruptions), frequently intercalated with Nummulitic Limestones which testify to phases of quiescence of the volcanic activity. The upper portion reflects the establishment of predominantly subaerial conditions, with the growth of shield volcanoes. Above the last nummulitic level (the Roncà Horizon), marking the base of the upper part of the volcanic sequence, the internal stratigraphy remains poorly constrained, as no laterally continuous stratigraphic markers have been recognized so far. This study focuses on this part of the volcanic succession, exposed along the ridges between Alpone Valley and Agno Valley, through the integration of remote-sensing analyses and detailed field observations. In recent years, the increasing availability, quality, and spatial resolution of remote-sensing data have made geomorphological analyses based on Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) an increasingly important complement to traditional geological investigations. Among the available visualization techniques, the Red Relief Image Map (RRIM) method has proven particularly effective in highlighting subtle morphological variations in volcanic terrains (Chiba et al., 2008; Favalli & Fornaciai, 2017). Within the framework of the CARG Project (Sheet 124 – Verona Est), RRIM-based geomorphological analysis integrated with detailed fieldwork provides new constraints on the stratigraphic reconstruction of the upper volcanic succession of the Lessini Mountains. A key result is the recognition of a decametre-thick volcaniclastic sedimentary level, mapped as the Cortivo Unit, clearly detectable in RRIM by its association wiht areas of lower slope gradients. This unit records a significant phase of volcanic quiescence, during which erosion, transport, and deposition processes led to the reworking of previously emplaced basaltic rocks. It therefore represents a stratigraphic hiatus and a marker horizon that subdivides the succession into a lower unit predating and an upper unit postdating the Cortivo Unit. Future geochemical and petrographic analyses and radiometric dating will allow calibration and refinement of the reconstructed stratigraphic framework.

How to cite: Cavallina, C., Sonia, S., Magli, A., Lucchi, F., José Pablo, S., Matteo, R., and Giulio, V.: Insights into the Eocene stratigraphic succession of the Lessini Mountains volcanic district by integrating field geology and geomorphological interpretation of Red Relief Image Maps from high resolution DTM (CARG Project, Sheet 124, Verona Est, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20022, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20022, 2026.

EGU26-20945 | Posters on site | GMPV10.9

Revised age of the Hallmundarhraun lava, West Iceland 

Magnús Ásgeir Sigurgeirsson

For decades, the Hallmundarhraun lava has been categorized as a historic lava, i.e. postdating the Landnám tephra layer (LNL) from AD 877. In the summer of 2024, the LNL was found on top of the lava, somewhat unexpectedly. In 2025, approximately twenty test pits were excavated to corroborate this initial finding. In all cases, the presence of the LNL was confirmed.

In connection with this study, a sample of barren plant remains was collected from beneath the lava and submitted for radiocarbon (¹⁴C) dating in Aarhus, Denmark.

The LNL is a widespread, two-coloured tephra, consisting of a lower light-coloured unit (c. 0.5 cm thick) of fine silicic pumice and an upper olive-green unit (1.5–2 cm thick) composed of basaltic glass shards. The LNL is one of the most important marker tephra layers in Iceland. It was found close to the lava surface, commonly separated from it by a 1–3 cm thick soil layer, although in some cases the soil cover was thinner.

In total, six distinct tephra layers were identified within the soil cover of the Hallmundarhraun lava. Samples from all layers were analysed chemically using an electron microprobe. The tephra layers younger than the LNL are, in descending order, H-1766, K-1721, H-1693, and H-1104. The oldest tephra layer identified is a black Katla tephra lying directly on top of the lava, with no intervening soil layer. This suggests that the Katla tephra and the lava are close in age.

A literature review was conducted to identify information that might constrain the age and distribution of this Katla tephra. Although the results were not conclusive, a possible correlation was identified with a widespread Katla tephra known as Hrafnkatla. This tephra has been identified in ice cores from the Greenland Ice Sheet and dated to AD 763 based on annual layer counting. The Katla tephra overlying the Hallmundarhraun lava may correlate with the Hrafnkatla tephra; however, as two other Katla tephra layers of similar age have been identified in soils and lake sediments, this correlation remains uncertain.

Taking all available evidence into account, the results indicate that the Hallmundarhraun lava most likely formed during the period AD 760–780. The radiocarbon dating supports this interpretation. Previously, the lava was thought to have formed between AD 910 and 950. The Hallmundarhraun eruption therefore predates the Norse settlement of Iceland in the mid-to-late 9th century, effectively excluding the possibility of eyewitness observations or contemporaneous written accounts.

How to cite: Sigurgeirsson, M. Á.: Revised age of the Hallmundarhraun lava, West Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20945, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20945, 2026.

EGU26-810 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

High-resolution monitoring techniques for fault reactivation during the 2024 Kīlauea Southwest Rift Zone eruption 

Stefano Mannini, Joel Ruch, Steven Lundblad, Nicolas Oestreicher, Richard Hazlett, Drew Downs, Mike Zoeller, Jefferson Chang, and Ingrid Johanson

Kīlauea volcano, on the Island of Hawaiʻi, is one of the most active volcanoes on Earth.  Eruptive activity alternates between the summit caldera and two rift zones, to the east and southwest. On June 3, 2024, Kīlauea experienced its first eruption along the Southwest Rift Zone (SWRZ) in 50 years. This brief eruption was preceded by multiple seismic swarms, some associated with dike intrusions, that started in November 2023. These dikes did not reach the surface but reactivated pre-existing faults and generated new structures, reshaping the rift’s near-surface deformation patterns.
To quantify these surface changes, we used high-resolution topographic datasets derived from our helicopter photogrammetry surveys conducted in April 2022 and September 2024. These campaigns produced centimeter-scale DEMs (~8 cm) and orthomosaics (~4 cm), enabling detailed mapping of newly formed fractures, vertical offsets, and extensional opening across the ~12 × 2 km study area. To expand spatial coverage and better constrain multi-year deformation patterns, we complemented these products with airborne LiDAR acquisitions from missions in July 2019 and September 2024. The integration of these multi-temporal topographic datasets reveals the subtle and rapid morphological changes associated with magma intrusion and fault reactivation.
To better understand the kinematics of fault reactivation and magma propagation, we integrated these structural observations with seismic data recorded before, during, and after the June 2024 eruption. This approach reveals the along-rift migration of magma from the summit reservoir, its interaction with pre-existing faults, and the formation of new surface structures. Our analyses highlight the role of flank instability in controlling both rift dynamics and surface faulting during the eruptive episode.
By merging LiDAR, photogrammetry, InSAR, and seismic datasets, this study demonstrates a multi-method approach for capturing near-field deformation with unprecedented detail. Our analysis provides new insights into the mechanics of magma-driven faulting, the propagation of eruptive activity along rift zones, and the interplay between shallow and deep processes. These results not only enhance the fundamental understanding of volcanic rifting dynamics but also inform the development of more accurate hazard monitoring and forecasting models, offering practical applications for risk assessment and mitigation at Kīlauea and similar rift-controlled volcanic systems worldwide.
This study illustrates how integrating multi-temporal, high-resolution geospatial datasets with geophysical observations can advance both scientific knowledge and hazard management strategies. Our approach provides a framework for future eruptions, enabling rapid detection of surface deformation, tracking of magma pathways, and improved preparedness for volcanic crises.

How to cite: Mannini, S., Ruch, J., Lundblad, S., Oestreicher, N., Hazlett, R., Downs, D., Zoeller, M., Chang, J., and Johanson, I.: High-resolution monitoring techniques for fault reactivation during the 2024 Kīlauea Southwest Rift Zone eruption, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-810, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-810, 2026.

EGU26-1601 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Large-scale rift-related faulting linked to a caldera-forming eruption: A case study from Taupō, New Zealand 

James Muirhead, Alexander Gold, Madisen Snowden, Pilar Villamor, Colin Wilson, Genevieve Coffey, and Regine Morgenstern

Phases of accelerated normal faulting in the Taupō Volcanic Zone have been demonstrated to be triggered by rhyolite eruptions, yet little is known about how the Taupō Fault Belt responds in the aftermath of caldera-forming events, particularly the 232 CE Taupō eruption. To address this issue, we conducted paleoseismic trenching coupled with remote and field analyses of the Whakaipō Fault (north Taupō) and the displaced post-232 CE paleoshorelines intersected by this structure. The throw profiles along the Whakaipō Fault reveal increasing throw in proximity to Lake Taupō, highlighting the importance of Taupō volcano (in particular the 232 CE caldera margin) for localising fault strain. Paleoseismic trenching exposed a ~50º dipping un-degraded paleoscarp draped by fall deposits of the 232 CE eruption, implying that fault slip occurred in the days to months preceding the eruption. Analysis of fault and paleoshoreline displacements at Whakaipō Bay on the northern shoreline of Lake Taupō suggest that two main phases of slip on the Whakaipō Fault occurred: (1) an “aftermath” phase, occurring over a ~10-20-year period after the 232 CE eruption, during which 5-10 m of throw was accrued locally on the fault; and (2) a subsequent “longer-term” phase through to the present day, during which 2.8 ± 0.3 m of fault throw has accrued. Faulting during the aftermath phase is estimated to account for ~75% of the total extension accommodated locally on the Whakaipō Fault since 232 CE, and demonstrates that exceptionally large (>5 m) normal fault displacements may accrue along the Taupō Fault Belt in association with caldera-forming eruptions.

How to cite: Muirhead, J., Gold, A., Snowden, M., Villamor, P., Wilson, C., Coffey, G., and Morgenstern, R.: Large-scale rift-related faulting linked to a caldera-forming eruption: A case study from Taupō, New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1601, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1601, 2026.

EGU26-2812 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Reconstructing the Shape of Magma Domains from Observations of Ground Deformation in Volcanic Regions 

Théo Perrot, Freysteinn Sigmundsson, and Charles Dapogny

Volcano geodesy provides information about shallow magma domains (locations of magma) in volcanic areas, usually inferred through inversion of geodetic data giving a set of parameters, such as position and internal magma pressure change. These inversions require a model of the crust and the embedded magma domain, typically with an assumed specific shape for the magma domain. This shape is constrained to be parametrizable to be inverted for, thus is limited to classical regular shapes among spheres, ellipsoids and sills, which are unlikely to capture the morphological complexity of actual magma domains. Here, we present an alternate approach to invert for the shape of the magma domain without requiring any prior assumptions about it, based on recent techniques from the field of shape optimization. Instead of optimizing a finite vector of parameters, the entire shape of the magma domain is optimized to minimize the discrepancy between observed ground displacements and those predicted by the model, under the assumption of an elastic crust. More precisely, our strategy relies on a “shape gradient'' descent based on the concept of shape derivative and on the level set method to track changes in the magma domain boundary. We provide magmaOpt, a Python and FreeFEM based code that iteratively performs the shape gradient search and solves successive partial differential equations that govern the problem on an evolving mesh of the area of interest. First, we demonstrate the potential of the method using a test case with synthetic data. Then, we apply the method to data from interferometric analysis of synthetic aperture radar satellite images (InSAR) observations of the 2022 inflation episode in Svartsengi, Iceland, to explore possible shapes of the magma domain responsible for the inflation. This work paves the way for a new class of methods that provide more information on magma domains and ultimately lead to better volcanic hazard monitoring.

How to cite: Perrot, T., Sigmundsson, F., and Dapogny, C.: Reconstructing the Shape of Magma Domains from Observations of Ground Deformation in Volcanic Regions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2812, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2812, 2026.

Volcano deformation is an important precursor to eruptions, offering the opportunity to obtain information on the internal structure and magma plumbing system. Furthermore, deformation of volcanoes occurring after eruptions may also provide evidence of magma pathways and conduit dynamics, as demonstrated by this study. The 2021 Tajogaite eruption on La Palma was followed by progressive subsidence and the formation of major fracture networks surrounding the active craters. In this study, we analyse time-lapse data acquired using repeat drone photogrammetry and fixed-installation cameras to demonstrate that the aligned conduits withdraw and collapse over a time scale spanning from months to years following the eruption. Topography derivatives and pixel tracking show the convergence and subsidence of material into the possible conduit and the formation of inward-dipping normal faults affecting the inner and outer crater walls. To gain insights into the physical processes controlling the observations, we design models of conduit withdrawal that can reproduce the structures if topography and conduit burial are considered. Our findings suggest that the normal fractures surrounding the Tajogaite crater and numerous other craters are not the result of the eruption itself, but rather the consequence of volumetric reduction in the feeding conduit or dyke after the eruption.

How to cite: Walter, T. R., Ai, L., Zorn, E., and González, P. J.: Post-eruptive deformation and faulting caused by conduit withdrawal and subsidence of the 2021 Tajogaite craters (La Palma), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3537, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3537, 2026.

EGU26-3835 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Tracking volcanic stress and strength changes using the seismic moment ratio (Mstk/M0) at Kirishima volcano, Kyushu, Japan 

Satoshi Matsumoto, Issei Hirata, Yushi Nagayama, Kentaro Emoto, Takeshi Matsushima, Mie Ichihara, Yohei Yukutake, and Hiroshi Yakiwara

Seismic activity in volcanic regions is strongly influenced by spatio- temporal changes in stress and crustal strength associated with magma intrusion and fluid migration. We investigate to capture these processes using the seismic moment ratio, Mstk/M0, defined as the ratio of the norm of a stacked seismic moment tensor to the sum of scalar seismic moments of individual earthquakes. This parameter provides a quantitative measure of crustal criticality, approaching unity for optimally oriented slip under high stress and decreasing under reduced strength or heterogeneous stress conditions.

We apply this approach to the Kirishima volcanic area, Kyushu, Japan, where volcanic activity has repeatedly intensified and declined over the past two decades. Focal mechanism solutions derived from waveform data recorded by permanent and temporary seismic networks between 2000 and early 2025 were analyzed. Seismic moment tensors were estimated from focal mechanisms and magnitudes and stacked within spatial blocks containing at least 20 events.

The inferred stress field indicates a strike-slip to normal-faulting regime around Shinmoe-dake, with the minimum principal stress axis oriented northwest–southeast, consistent with regional vent alignment. Spatially, Mstk/M0 values are systematically lower near Shinmoe-dake than in surrounding regions, suggesting locally reduced crustal strength and/or short-wavelength stress heterogeneity. Temporally, Mstk/M0 exhibits large fluctuations near the volcanic center, whereas values remain consistently high in distal areas. Comparison with focal mechanism misfit angles indicates that these variations are primarily controlled by temporal changes in medium strength, likely driven by magmatic fluids. Our results demonstrate that Mstk/M0 is a useful proxy for monitoring evolving stress–strength conditions in active volcanic systems. 

How to cite: Matsumoto, S., Hirata, I., Nagayama, Y., Emoto, K., Matsushima, T., Ichihara, M., Yukutake, Y., and Yakiwara, H.: Tracking volcanic stress and strength changes using the seismic moment ratio (Mstk/M0) at Kirishima volcano, Kyushu, Japan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3835, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3835, 2026.

The emplacement of intrusions (e.g., sills, dikes, laccoliths) is a key process shaping the structural evolution of passive continental margin basins, and their emplacement characteristics are crucial for understanding magmatism-driven deformation of the basin fillings. This study focuses on the intrusion emplacement characteristics in a passive continental margin basin offshore southern Brazil, aiming to elucidate the spatiotemporal patterns of intrusions and their genetic links with the stratigraphic evolution of the basin.

We integrated 3D seismic data with multi-disciplinary datasets from drilled boreholes, including petrophysical, geochronological, and petrographic information. A comprehensive interpretation approach was adopted, incorporating insights from structural geology, stratigraphy, and volcanology to construct a unified model for intrusion emplacement and its coupling relationship with basin filling evolution.

Seismic interpretation reveals that igneous intrusions (sills, dikes, laccoliths) in the study area exhibit distinct high-amplitude responses on seismic profiles, which facilitates the identification of their geometric shapes and spatial distributions—key characteristics of intrusion emplacement. The emplacement of these intrusions induced significant uplift and arching of pre-eruptive strata in the sub-volcanic zone. By analyzing the spatiotemporal patterns of sedimentary filling, variations in sedimentary thickness, the spatial location of volcanic craters, and the relationship between sedimentary rocks and intrusions beneath volcanic cones, we successfully constrained the emplacement period of intrusions, the process of basin subsidence, and the active period of magmatism. Additionally, multiple types of sediment-magma interactions were identified, which further reflect the response of sedimentary systems to intrusion emplacement and provide supplementary evidence for understanding emplacement characteristics.

This study systematically clarifies the intrusion emplacement characteristics of the passive continental margin basin in offshore southern Brazil, providing critical insights into the mechanisms of intrusion emplacement in similar geological settings. It also offers a valuable reference for understanding magmatism-driven basin filling evolution in global passive continental margin basins.

How to cite: Yang, X.: Intrusion Emplacement Characteristics of the Passive Continental Margin Basin, Offshore Southern Brazil, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4940, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4940, 2026.

EGU26-5204 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Magma compressibility matters: a key to decoding multiparameter datasets from active volcanoes 

Daniele Carbone, Marco Liuzzo, François Beauducel, and Eleonora Rivalta

The joint analysis and interpretation of multiparameter datasets from active volcanoes may lead to misleading conclusions, if important factors are not appropriately considered. Among these, magma compressibility, which is mainly controlled by the volume fraction of exsolved gas in the magma, may play a key role.
Past studies showed that the intrusion of new magma in a shallow reservoir may lead to significant mass increase without the expected volume change, since magma compressibility buffers most of the chamber expansion. Similarly, the magma chamber volume reduction during an eruptive phase may be much lower than the volume of erupted material, due to pressure-driven gas exsolution and expansion, compensating the withdrawal of magma, thus buffering the contraction of the reservoir.
Here, we introduce a theoretical study on how the different compressibility of the magma at different depths (variable amount of exsolved volatiles in equilibrium with the silicate melt) may influence the patterns of deformation and gravity changes observed at the surface. Magma intruding a volcano’s plumbing system may induce heterogeneous responses across different depths. At deeper levels, where magma compressibility is lowest, volume change may be substantial and control most of the observed ground deformation. Conversely, at shallower levels, where magma compressibility is highest, important mass changes may develop with only minor volume changes, accounting for most of the gravity changes observed at the surface. 
An important broader implication is that ground deformation and gravity data may not be suitably modelled by assuming a single, uniform source. Rather, a vertically distributed and mechanically heterogeneous magma system may need to be considered. This underscores the need for a joint interpretation of deformation, gravity, and volatile content data when investigating volcanic processes.

How to cite: Carbone, D., Liuzzo, M., Beauducel, F., and Rivalta, E.: Magma compressibility matters: a key to decoding multiparameter datasets from active volcanoes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5204, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5204, 2026.

Campi Flegrei caldera has experienced a critical increase in uplift rates over the past 20 years. Recent geodetic and seismic data indicate significant ground deformation (~18 cm in 2024) as well as increasing seismicity rates and magnitudes, further prompting the ongoing debate about the underlying causes. While shallow magma transport is often invoked to explain the deformation, other studies point to the accumulation of fluids in the shallow crust as primary drivers of overpressure and surface displacement. Disentangling the contribution of these processes remains a key challenge. In this study, we aim to quantify the uplift resulting from potential shallow magma migration and determine whether the deformation can be attributed mainly to it.

To address this, we integrate constraints from seismic imaging, geodesy, and rock physics into a 3D thermo-mechanical model with a visco-elasto-plastic rheology. Employing the available structural information on the caldera, the model features a deep magma influx originating from a depth of 8 km, feeding a shallower reservoir at approximately 5 km depth. We test the potential contribution of upward magma migration to surface deformation. We further explore how a mechanically weak shallow tuff layer and the hydrothermal system influence the response to the magmatic intrusion. The results show whether shallow magma migration should be paired with the effects of overlying structures and rheologies. The thermo-mechanical model reproduces only part of the observed surface deformation implying additional pressure sources, such as volatile exsolution or hydrothermal pressurization - which are not explicitly modeled here - play a significant role.

Thermo-mechanical modeling thus discriminates the role of magma in the ongoing deformation and provides insights into how stress builds and evolves in the system due to magma migration. These results are crucial for improving our comprehension of the deformation sources at Campi Flegrei and their interactions with shallow structures for seismic modeling purposes.

How to cite: De Siena, L., Nardoni, C., and Spang, A.: Quantifying the contribution of magma intrusion to the current unrest at Campi Flegrei caldera through thermomechanical modeling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5225, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5225, 2026.

EGU26-5406 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Topographic controls on fissure eruptions at Lakagigar and Eldgja, Iceland 

Maria Hurley, Francesco Maccaferri, and Thomas R. Walter

The coupling between surface topography and subsurface magma dynamics in volcanic rift zones is a well-established concept; however, quantitative constraints on this interaction remain rare and not systematically explored. In this study, we integrate high-resolution geodetic data from satellite and drone-derived digital elevation models to study eruption vents, cones and associated fractures from the two largest fissure eruptions in historical time, i.e., the Laki (1783–1784) and Eldgja (939–940) eruptions, each tens of km long and hosting dozens of eruptive vents. Comparing cone morphometrics with analytical stress models reveals a statistically significant inverse correlation between topography-induced compressive stress and cone volume. We show that increased confining stress at higher elevations narrows feeder dykes, reducing eruptive efficiency and producing smaller cones. Conversely, larger cones dominate in topographic lows where loading is minimized. Furthermore, we find that steep slopes generate high stress gradients that drive fissure segmentation, arresting lateral propagation and trapping magma beneath mountains. Our models also help to explain why variations in topography correlate with a transition from symmetric grabens in flat terrain to asymmetric fault offsets in complex terrain due to topography-driven vertical shear stress. These findings move beyond conceptual models and establish topography as a predictive parameter for along-rift vent location, discharge patterns, and surface deformation, offering a quantitative framework for volcanic hazard assessment in rift zones.

How to cite: Hurley, M., Maccaferri, F., and Walter, T. R.: Topographic controls on fissure eruptions at Lakagigar and Eldgja, Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5406, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5406, 2026.

EGU26-5506 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Resolving traction changes on fractures in volcanic or tectonic contexts 

Valerie Cayol, Farshid Dabaghi, Olivier Bodart, Delphine Smittarello, and Virginie Pinel

To understand how magma propagates in the crust, displacement data are analyzed using models combined with inversions. Most often, the fracture geometry is assumed and discretized into dislocations, whose amplitude is determined by linear inversions. However, determination of dislocations is not as physical and parsimonious as determination of stress changes. In addition, most dislocation solutions assume that the Earth is an elastic and homogeneous half-space, which can lead to inaccurate results, as volcanoes are intrinsically heterogeneous (Montgomery-Brown et al., 2009; Masterlark, 2007).

To resolve pressure instead of dislocations, a method (Smittarello et al., 2019a and 2019b) was previously implemented that relied on the combination of InSAR and GNSS data, where InSAR data covering an eruption were used to determine the geometry of the eruptive fracture and GNSS data were used to track the pressurized part of this fracture. This method was applied to the May 2016 Piton de la Fournaise (Réunion Island, France) eruption, showing that magma first intruded in a sill before turning into the dike that fed the eruption.

In order to take medium heterogeneities into account, we propose a new method (Dabaghi et al., 2026) based on a fictitious domains approach (Bodart et al., 2016). As we use finite elements, heterogeneous media can be taken into account. The cost function involves a misfit, as well as regularization terms. An algorithm is presented based on the direct problem and the adjoint problem. Synthetic tests demonstrate that the method is efficient and robust for one to four InSAR observations in different lines of sight, even in the presence of missing data and noise. The method also works for GNSS data. Finally, our method was tested on the May 2016 eruption of Piton de la Fournaise, showing results consistent with our previous analysis, providing further validation.

How to cite: Cayol, V., Dabaghi, F., Bodart, O., Smittarello, D., and Pinel, V.: Resolving traction changes on fractures in volcanic or tectonic contexts, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5506, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5506, 2026.

EGU26-7892 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Impact of topography and water load on magma propagation modelling 

Séverine Furst, Lorenzo Mantiloni, Francesco Maccaferri, Fiene Stoepke, Megan Campbell, and Morelia Urlaub

Coastal and submarine volcanoes are characterized by complex topographies, a significant portion of which lies below sea level, complicating efforts to fully quantify how surface geometry influences magma transport. Understanding the coupling between topography, stress fields, and magma propagation is essential for assessing volcanic hazards, including dike-fed eruptions and edifice instability. 

Conventional models of dike propagation commonly approximate volcanic edifices as simplified surface loads, thereby neglecting the spatially variable stress perturbations introduced by realistic topography and bathymetry. To overcome this limitation, we develop a two-dimensional Boundary Element Model for fluid-filled fractures that explicitly incorporates a discretized free surface. This approach enables direct coupling between detailed topography and magma-driven deformation, allowing magma pathways to dynamically respond to surface geometry.

We implement the model geometry in COMSOL Multiphysics to compute stress under four representative scenarios: (1) a flat surface with an imposed surface load, (2) a symmetric volcanic edifice, (3) an asymmetric edifice, and (4) an asymmetric edifice subjected to an additional water load, with gravitational forces included in all cases. These end-member configurations are designed to isolate the effects of topography and water loads on magma propagation.

Preliminary results indicate that incorporating realistic topography significantly alters dike trajectories, fracture geometries, and associated stress and displacement patterns compared to simplified surface-load models. The presence of asymmetric topography and water loads further enhances stress heterogeneity, with implications for both magma ascent pathways and slope stability. These findings highlight the importance of explicitly resolving topography and marine loading when interpreting deformation signals and assessing hazards in coastal and submarine volcanic systems.

How to cite: Furst, S., Mantiloni, L., Maccaferri, F., Stoepke, F., Campbell, M., and Urlaub, M.: Impact of topography and water load on magma propagation modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7892, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7892, 2026.

EGU26-8103 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Repeated dike injections beneath the Sundhnúkur crater row, Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland, imaged by relatively relocated seismicity 

Tom Winder, Elías Rafn Heimisson, Egill Árni Gudnason, Bryndís Brandsdóttir, Nick Rawlinson, Jan Burjánek, Jana Doubravová, Tomáš Fischer, Pavla Hrubcová, Kristín Jónsdóttir, and Eva P.S. Eibl

Between November 2023 – July 2025 there have been ten dike intrusions and nine fissure eruptions beneath Sundhnúkur, on the Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland. Geodetic and geochemical analyses show that these have been fed by a common source, located at 3-4 km depth beneath the harnessed Svartsengi geothermal area. This remarkable sequence of magmatic activity has been marked by abundant seismicity. Relative quiescence on the Peninsula – following the July-August 2023 Fagradalsfjall eruption – was interrupted in late October by elevated seismicity and surface uplift measured at Svartsengi, 8 km further west. As during inflation episodes at Svartsengi in 2020 and 2022, intense shallow seismicity accompanied the deformation, dominantly consisting of strike-slip faulting above an inferred sill.

From around 15:00 on 10th November 2023, intense migrating seismicity and rapid metre-scale horizontal deformation marked the intrusion of a NNE-SSW oriented dike, which reached approximately 15 km length in just 8 hours, and propagated under the town of Grindavík, which was evacuated. On 18th December, similar (though smaller amplitude) signals marked a second, smaller intrusion, but in contrast this dike quickly breached the surface and culminated in a 4 km long fissure eruption. A similar pattern has repeated in the following 2 years, with cyclical re-inflation beneath Svartsengi, and repeated dike intrusions and fissure eruptions along a common lineament. Through analysis of high-resolution relative relocations of the dike-induced seismicity, we investigate the relative geometry of the repeated dike intrusions, and the relationship between the seismicity and distribution of dike opening and location of eruption onset.

We find that most dikes initiate from a common point, likely marking a repeatedly used connection to the shallow magma storage region beneath Svartsengi. The dikes vary in propagation direction, forming a complementary pattern of seismicity and inferred opening, and occupy at least two sub-parallel planes, which closely match the geometry of eruptive fissures at the surface.

How to cite: Winder, T., Heimisson, E. R., Gudnason, E. Á., Brandsdóttir, B., Rawlinson, N., Burjánek, J., Doubravová, J., Fischer, T., Hrubcová, P., Jónsdóttir, K., and Eibl, E. P. S.: Repeated dike injections beneath the Sundhnúkur crater row, Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland, imaged by relatively relocated seismicity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8103, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8103, 2026.

EGU26-8453 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Backward Propagation of Seismicity During the 2014–2015 Bárðarbunga Diking Events 

Yan Zhan, Yiwen Huang, and Yuen Yee Chan

Dike propagation governs how magma is transported and emplaced within the crust, fundamentally controlling eruption dynamics and the mechanical state of volcanic systems. Understanding its evolution is therefore essential for assessing volcanic hazards and crustal stress redistribution. Seismicity, which occurs as a dike fractures and deforms the surrounding host rock, provides key evidence for tracking the geometry, velocity, and temporal evolution of dike propagation. While the forward (tipward) propagation of dikes, accompanied by migrating seismicity, has been extensively studied, episodes of backward seismic migration—where earthquakes progress opposite to the main propagation direction—remain poorly understood. The physical mechanism responsible for this phenomenon and its relationship to magma pressure evolution and host-rock damage are still uncertain. To address this, we developed a damage-mechanics-based finite element model that couples fluid dynamics and solid mechanics to simulate the interactions between magma pressure, fracture propagation, and inelastic deformation of the surrounding rock. The model reproduces both forward and backward seismic migration patterns by incorporating stress redistribution and fracture reactivation following transient pressure drops during dike propagation. We apply this framework to the 2014–2015 Bárðarbunga diking events in Iceland—one of the most comprehensively monitored lateral intrusions—to identify the controlling processes behind the observed backward propagation of seismicity. Model results suggest that back-propagation arises from the reactivation of previously damaged segments as magma pressure decays and stress is transferred back along the dike. Our findings provide a mechanistic explanation for the dual propagation behavior of seismicity during dike intrusions and establish a physically grounded approach for linking seismic migration to magma dynamics and crustal damage evolution in active volcanic systems.

How to cite: Zhan, Y., Huang, Y., and Chan, Y. Y.: Backward Propagation of Seismicity During the 2014–2015 Bárðarbunga Diking Events, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8453, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8453, 2026.

EGU26-9062 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Surface deformation and volcanic activity at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) over the last 5000 years 

Elisa Trasatti, Ana Astort, Marco Polcar1, Prospero De Martino, Luca Caricchi, Jamie Gordon Clark, Carlo Del Gaudio, Lisa Beccaro, Sven Borgstrom, Valerio Acocella, Carmine Magri, Stefano Carlino, Tommaso Pivetta, Umberto Riccardi, Ciro Ricco, Federico Galetto, and Mauro Antonio Di Vito

Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) has experienced repeated unrest episodes over historical and instrumental times, with the latest Monte Nuovo eruption in 1538 CE, making eruption forecasting particularly challenging. This contribution integrates long-term records of surface deformation with modern geodetic observations to interpret the short- and long-term dynamics of the caldera over the last 5000 years. A revised dataset of 32 elevation points integrates onshore borehole stratigraphy and offshore abrasion platforms, and provides documentation of the uplift due to the resurgence in the centre of the caldera 5 ka. Also, historical, archaeological, and bathymetric data constrain elevation changes at 20 coastal sites since Roman times, allowing reconstruction of pre-, syn-, and post-eruptive deformation associated with the Monte Nuovo eruption. Then, GNSS and InSAR measurements documenting the unrest since 2005 are combined with 3D finite element modelling to infer the geometry, depth, and volume changes of the active plumbing system. Results over these different time periods consistently indicate an active two-source plumbing system at Campi Flegrei, comprising a shallow deformation source at ~4–5 km depth beneath Pozzuoli and a deeper magmatic reservoir at ~8 km depth. Similar deformation patterns and source configurations characterize both historical eruptive phases and the current unrest. Petrological constraints suggest that magma ascent to depths shallower than ~8 km is the primary driver of unrest, even when an eruption does not occur. These findings provide a coherent framework for linking centuries-scale caldera dynamics with present-day observations. They suggest that the magmatic system at Campi Flegrei has been stable over the last 5000 years, thereby improving our understanding of unrest processes at this caldera.

How to cite: Trasatti, E., Astort, A., Polcar1, M., De Martino, P., Caricchi, L., Clark, J. G., Del Gaudio, C., Beccaro, L., Borgstrom, S., Acocella, V., Magri, C., Carlino, S., Pivetta, T., Riccardi, U., Ricco, C., Galetto, F., and Di Vito, M. A.: Surface deformation and volcanic activity at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) over the last 5000 years, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9062, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9062, 2026.

EGU26-9963 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

The 2024-2026 Kīlauea eruption sequence: eruption patterns, magma source migration and the evolution of the plumbing system 

Miriam Christina Reiss, Corentin Caudron, Christoph Sens-Schönfelder, Arthur D. Jolly, Diana D. Roman, Christelle Wauthier, Arthur Wan Ki Lo, Kyle Anderson, and Ashton Flinders

Kīlauea, Hawaii, one of the world's most active volcanoes, has experienced 40 episodic eruptions (at the time of writing) with remarkable lava fountain heights in Halemaʻumaʻu Crater since December 2024. Following a dike intrusion and successive opening of a conduit to the surface within the Halemaʻumaʻu crater on December 23rd 2024, the eruption episodes entered a stable pattern from January 2025 onwards, consisting of ~hours-long lava fountain events separated by days-to-weeks long repose periods. Lava fountaining events have reached heights of 450 m and all lava flows to date have been confined to Halemaʻumaʻu crater.

We study this outstanding eruption sequence with a combination of seismic and geodetic data analyses to understand how melt moves through Kīlauea’s plumbing system and how the system has evolved over time. We estimate the location of seismic tremor, which is the most dominant seismic signal of this eruption sequence, to study the eruption dynamics and inter-eruptive recharge of magma reservoirs. We also examine relative changes in frequency (df/f) and seismic velocity (dv/v), as well as tilt, GNSS and InSAR data. Taken together, these data allow us to study the geophysical response to the eruption dynamics in close detail.

We infer that the current eruptions are controlled by a complex subsurface magma plumbing system with migrating melt sources. We derive three distinct phases of activity which show the subsequent deflation of a shallow and then deeper magma reservoir, as well as melt recharge from depth and the dynamics of the shallow reservoir controlling the lava fountaining. Our study sheds light on the dynamics between different magma reservoirs and links to surface processes. It further showcases how tremor locations could be used, in combination with seismic velocity changes, to track melt movement in near-real time in the future.

How to cite: Reiss, M. C., Caudron, C., Sens-Schönfelder, C., Jolly, A. D., Roman, D. D., Wauthier, C., Lo, A. W. K., Anderson, K., and Flinders, A.: The 2024-2026 Kīlauea eruption sequence: eruption patterns, magma source migration and the evolution of the plumbing system, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9963, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9963, 2026.

EGU26-9973 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Deformation of shallow thermo-poro-elastic spherical sources and the 2021 Vulcano Island (IT) unrest 

Samuel Battolini, Massimo Nespoli, and Maria Elina Belardinelli

Fluids play a fundamental role in controlling deformation, stress redistribution, and seismicity in volcanic and geothermal systems. Variations in pore pressure and temperature associated with hydrothermal circulation can significantly alter the mechanical state of the crust, particularly during unrest episodes in volcanic scenario. Classical analytical models, such as the Mogi point source, have been widely used to interpret surface deformation induced by magmatic intrusions. However, these formulations neglect thermo-poro-elastic coupling and predict an isotropic stress state within the source, thus failing to account for seismicity occurring inside the deformation source.

Thermo-poro-elastic (TPE) theory provides a physically consistent framework to describe the coupled effects of fluid pressurization and heating in porous media. Analytical thermo-poro-elastic inclusion models have recently demonstrated their effectiveness in reproducing stress heterogeneities and associated focal mechanisms both internal and external to the source.The inclusion represents a finite, permeable region affected by temperature and pore-pressure variations, while the surrounding medium is assumed to be in isothermal and drained conditions. Nonetheless, at present time, the available solutions for spherical inclusions are derived for an infinite medium, limiting their applicability when surface observations are considered, especially for shallow sources.

In this study, we develop new fully analytical solutions for spherical and spherical shell TPE inclusions embedded in a half-space, explicitly accounting for the presence of a free surface. Closed-form expressions are obtained for displacement, strain, and stress fields throughout the domain, including within the source.

The problem is formulated under an axisymmetric hypothesis using cylindrical coordinates. Free-surface boundary conditions are enforced through a combination of the image source method and the Galerkin approach. The methodology is first applied to a spherical TPE inclusion representing a pressurized and heated reservoir, and subsequently extended to a spherical magmatic source surrounded by a spherical TPE shell, modeling a mechanically distinct fractured zone surrounding a magma chamber.

The results show that the free surface strongly modifies deformation and stress fields compared to full-space solutions. For shallow sources significant differences arise in all mechanical fields. In the spherical shell configuration, thinner shells exhibit enhanced internal shear stress and reduced external deformation, suggesting a higher susceptibility to internal failure.

The model is applied to the 2021 unrest episode at Vulcano Island. Using source parameters constrained by previously published we found that significant shear stress concentrations are predicted within and around the source, providing a physically consistent explanation for the clustered shallow seismicity observed near the crater. These results highlight the importance of TPE coupling and free-surface effects in the interpretation of volcanic unrest processes and fluid-driven seismicity.

How to cite: Battolini, S., Nespoli, M., and Belardinelli, M. E.: Deformation of shallow thermo-poro-elastic spherical sources and the 2021 Vulcano Island (IT) unrest, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9973, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9973, 2026.

EGU26-10568 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Modelling volcanic deformation from coupled magmatic and hydrothermal systems; application to Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat 

Jasmine Dibben, James Hickey, Adelina Geyer, Karen Pascal, and Graham Ryan

Soufrière Hills is an active dome building volcano on the island of Montserrat, part of the Eastern Caribbean, that has been in a state of ongoing eruption since 1995. Multi-parametric monitoring is conducted by the Montserrat Volcano Observatory, including an island-wide ground deformation GNSS network operating for nearly three decades. The ground displacement timeseries has been key to modelling the subsurface processes and pressure changes causing them, often using a pressurized cavity or, in more recent models, a poroelastic body in an elastic medium. However, a purely magmatic deformation source has thus far been unable to fully account for the observed deformation signal across the island, leading to significant residuals between simulated and observed geodetic data, particularly at sites closest to the vent. In this study, we will investigate the influence of the Soufrière Hills hydrothermal system on the deformation field. Fumarolic fields and heated springs suggest the presence of an active hydrothermal system at high elevations near the volcanic vent. In the southwest, a more distal geothermal upwelling, as well as anomalies in seismic tomography and gravity data, suggests the presence of a deeper accumulation of hydrothermal fluids, hypothesised to have formed due to the intersection of a number of regional faults and zones of weakness.

In this study we compare magmatic, hydrothermal, and combined deformation source simulations to investigate how different causal mechanisms influence the modelled surface displacement field across Montserrat. We use observed deformation from Montserrat between 2010 and 2022 via GNSS records from 14 continuous monitoring stations to validate our models. Two different model setups are tested: a homogeneous model as a computationally inexpensive baseline, and a heterogeneous model containing seismically defined low permeability andesitic cores in the north of the island, faults in the southwest, and a clay capped region of high permeability in the region of the inferred hydrothermal aquifer. Deviating from traditional volcano-deformation models, our models include a seismically inferred magma reservoir geometry in a poroelastic model domain in an effort to better simulate observed deformation at near-vent GNSS stations. The results from this study will assist volcanic hazard assessment and contribute to the investigation of on-island geothermal resources.

How to cite: Dibben, J., Hickey, J., Geyer, A., Pascal, K., and Ryan, G.: Modelling volcanic deformation from coupled magmatic and hydrothermal systems; application to Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10568, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10568, 2026.

EGU26-10577 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Coupled magmatic-hydrothermal processes during ongoing inflation at Askja volcano 

Laure Brenot, Társilo Girona, Hélène Le Mével, Mathieu Gossez, Loïc Peiffer, Noé García-Martínez, Kristín Jónsdóttir, and Corentin Caudron

Askja volcano's ongoing inflation since August 2021 (+85 cm uplift) presents a unique opportunity to study coupled magmatic-hydrothermal processes during sustained volcanic unrest. Concurrent observations of seismic velocity decrease (dv/v) at ~2 km depth and decreasing surface thermal anomalies (>1 K) suggest that hydrothermal circulation actively responds to magmatic intrusions. In this project, we aim to understand how hydrothermal processes modulate surface deformation and thermal emissions during magmatic injections at depth using coupled thermo-poroelastic, Finite Element Method (FEM), numerical models. Our models (built with COMSOL Multiphysics) integrate solid mechanics, Darcy flow, and heat transfer in porous media, representing a permeable hydrothermal reservoir above a sill intrusion at 2.6 km depth. Sill geometry is constrained by elastic inversions of geodetic data from Parks et al. (2024). Permeability depends on effective stress (exponential reduction under compression), temperature (exponential increase with heating), and volumetric strain (cubic modification of porosity).

Long-term simulations provide initial conditions with background thermal and hydraulic gradients, followed by a 4-year perturbation simulating the magma intrusion through increased heat flux and a prescribed displacement rate (0.21 m/year). Results show that compression at depth creates a low-permeability seal, trapping heat and pressurized fluids below. Beneath the seal, temperature increases, consistent with observed dv/v decreases at 2 km depth; while above the seal, reduced fluid circulation causes surface cooling of less than 1 K, explaining the decrease in thermal anomalies detected in satellite observations.

Our preliminary results suggest that multi-parameter observations at Askja (geodetic, seismic velocity, thermal anomalies) can be explained through coupled thermo-poroelastic processes, showing that hydrothermal system dynamics should be considered to interpret  monitoring data during volcanic unrest.

How to cite: Brenot, L., Girona, T., Le Mével, H., Gossez, M., Peiffer, L., García-Martínez, N., Jónsdóttir, K., and Caudron, C.: Coupled magmatic-hydrothermal processes during ongoing inflation at Askja volcano, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10577, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10577, 2026.

EGU26-10582 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Mechanical stability of Mount Pelée volcano: insights from elasto-plastic numerical models. 

Ada Abboud Oropeza, Muriel Gerbault, Valérie Clouard, Sébastien Chevrot, Bastien Plazolles, and François Beauducel

Mount Pelée volcano (Martinique) is under unrest since 2019, characterized by an increase in shallow seismicity and surface deformation. To date, an explanation for this unrest is the presence of a shallow inflating source beneath the western flank of the volcano. The objective of this study is to develop more realistic mechanical models than those traditionally used to explain the observed deformation.

In this work, we investigate the mechanical stability of the volcanic edifice using Drucker-Prager elasto-plastic rheology. The mechanical model is constructed by interpolating topography and bathymetric data around the volcano over a distance of 30 km, with lateral boundaries set in free-slip, bottom face blocked and a free top surface. The elastic properties of the crust are derived from the P- and S-wave average velocities. We explore two extreme effective strengths of the crustal domain in the gravity field, as well as the response to a compliant shallow inflating source (30 MPa at 0 km depth).

Our models show that gravitational loading alone can reproduce the magnitude and pattern of the observed surface deformation. Progressively decreasing the effective crustal strength generates stress and deformation over distances larger than those observed with the geodetic measurements over the edifice, but compatible to what a giant landslide could produce. In addition, incorporating a shallow inflating source within the gravity field produces specific shear stress and strain patterns that also correlate with the observed seismicity during the unrest period, as well as surface deformation consistent with geodetic observations. Differentiating between gravitational or inflation-driven mechanisms requires higher-resolution geodetic and seismic observations.

Overall, our results indicate that the western flank of the volcanic edifice is prone to surface deformation and failure, while the eastern flank concentrates shear stress and strain at depth, highlighting potential hazard on both flanks. In this framework, deformation is primarily controlled by the strength parameters of the crust. Incorporating visco-plasto-elastic behavior with layered parameters consistent to a complete velocity model, together with inferred faults and landslide scars, should further improve our understanding of Mount Pelée’s mechanical behavior.

How to cite: Abboud Oropeza, A., Gerbault, M., Clouard, V., Chevrot, S., Plazolles, B., and Beauducel, F.: Mechanical stability of Mount Pelée volcano: insights from elasto-plastic numerical models., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10582, 2026.

EGU26-10745 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Dyke propagation scenarios feeding the Monte Nuovo eruption (1538 CE) at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy): insights into magma dynamics and implications for unrest. 

Francesco Maccaferri, Elisa Trasatti, Eleonora Rivalta, Luigi Passarelli, and Lucia Pappalardo

The 1538 Monte Nuovo event — the most recent eruption at Campi Flegrei —represents a key benchmark for understanding volcanic unrest at the caldera. Its preparatory phase exhibits significant parallels with modern non-eruptive unrest episodes (1950–1952, 1969–1972, 1982–1984) and the ongoing crisis (2005–present). While historical accounts, archaeological records, and field observations have previously allowed for detailed reconstructions of the pre-eruptive activity, these have largely provided static quantitative snapshots of pre-eruptive phases. This study translates these reconstructions into a physics-based modeling framework for Monte Nuovo pre-eruptive dynamics. We simulate the magma transport process during the two-year lead-up to the eruption, focusing on the propagation of a magmatic intrusion from a central shallow sill (~3 km depth) to the peripheral Monte Nuovo vent (~4 km away from the sill center). Our results test the robustness and consistency of previous findings, and isolate the effect of magma dynamics to the ground deformation, providing new insights on the magnitude of the magmatic vs hydrothermal contributions to uplift signals. This work offers critical implications for interpreting modern monitoring data and evaluating possible scenarios of unrest evolution should a Monte Nuovo-like event become increasingly probable.

How to cite: Maccaferri, F., Trasatti, E., Rivalta, E., Passarelli, L., and Pappalardo, L.: Dyke propagation scenarios feeding the Monte Nuovo eruption (1538 CE) at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy): insights into magma dynamics and implications for unrest., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10745, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10745, 2026.

EGU26-10915 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Characterization of activity at Semeru volcano using high resolution radar and optical imagery 

Fabien Albino, Pierre Bouygues, and Virginie Pinel

Semeru volcano, located in eastern Java, Indonesia, reactivated in December 2021 following the destabilization of a

summit lava dome that had been growing since 2009. Monitoring topographic changes and surface deformation at

Semeru is important for understanding eruptive processes and assessing associated hazards, but remains challenging

due to the inaccessibility of the summit area, frequent activity, and the cost and sparsity of ground-based instrumentation.

In this context, satellite remote sensing combining bi-static and repeat-pass Synthetic Aperture Radar interferometry

(InSAR) with high resolution optical photogrammetry provides observations of surface deformation and topographic

changes at high spatial resolution. However, steep topography, tropical climate, dense vegetation, and rapidly evolving

volcanic deposits strongly affect InSAR observations introducing noise associated with atmospheric delays, temporal

decorrelation, and residual topographic errors. These external contributions can obscure low-amplitude deformation

signals, especially during periods of moderate or persistent activity. A set of seven high-resolution digital elevation

models (DEMs) is produced from TanDEM-X bistatic acquisitions and Pleiades stereo images. These DEMs allow

detailed characterization of the summit dome and proximal deposits prior and posterior to the December 2021 eruption.

Between 2015 and July 2021, the lava dome grew heterogeneously, reaching a volume of about 1.35 million m3. Over

the same period, and pyroclastic deposits accumulated with thicknesses locally exceeding 75 m, progressively filling

existing eastward channels and contributing to a redirection of eruptive activity toward the eastern flank after 2018.

The major 2021 eruptions produces a large pyroclastic density current reshaping the summit and the Besuk Kobokan

valley with a total volume of material mobilized during the eruption of 29.1 Mm3. The analysis of ground deformation

using TerraSAR-X InSAR data, corrected for atmospheric delays using ERA-5 reanalysis, reveals spatially coherent

patterns of subsidence affecting older lava flows and pyroclastic deposits on the southeastern flank of Semeru. These

signals are interpreted as post-emplacement compaction, with line-of-sight displacement rates of 5 cm/yr. However,

low and spatially variable interferometric coherence within the summit crater and the main deposition channel prevents

reliable measurement of post-eruptive magmatic deformation in these areas. Volcanoes capable of rapid transitions from

Strombolian to Plinian activity in tropical environments affected by intense rainfall, as observed at Semeru in December

2021, remain hazardous and insufficiently understood, highlighting the need for long-term, integrated monitoring of both

topographic changes and ground deformation to better characterize eruptive processes and associated hazards.

How to cite: Albino, F., Bouygues, P., and Pinel, V.: Characterization of activity at Semeru volcano using high resolution radar and optical imagery, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10915, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10915, 2026.

EGU26-11169 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Investigating the subsurface drivers of the 2025 Kolumbo volcano-tectonic unrest  

Kyriaki Drymoni, Társilo Girona, Jeremy Pesicek, Stephanie Prejean, Paul Lundgren, Jackie Kendrick, and Yan Lavallée

At active volcanoes, surface deformation and seismicity reflect underlying processes related to regional tectonics as well as the storage and movement of magma and fluids. These processes frequently overlap, complicating efforts to distinguish between magmatically, hydrothermally, and tectonically driven volcanic unrest. As a result, interpreting unrest signals remains a major challenge in volcanology, particularly if geophysical and geodetical observations are not integrated with physics-based models. In this study, we investigate the subsurface processes that may account for the pulsating seismicity observed along a ~30km-long NE-SW-trending structure during the 2025 Santorini-Amorgos (Greece) earthquake crisis, using physics-based, time-dependent Finite Element Method (FEM) models. Specifically, we simulate crustal extension and poroelastic deformation driven by magmatic and/or hydrothermal pressure sources. Our preliminary results show that the pulsating seismic patterns observed during the seismic crisis may have been controlled by a transient poroelastic response of the shallow crust to the transport of volatiles from a deep magma reservoir to the surface. Numerical simulations show that the sudden pressurization of leaky magma reservoirs, which release fluids through permeable pathways, generates cyclic and laterally migrating zones of tensile stress within a depth-dependent, highly fractured elastic crust. This dynamic response contrasts with the more localized and static stress accumulation produced by the pressurization of sealed magma reservoirs, thus underscoring the critical role of fluid migration in controlling the spatial and temporal evolution of seismicity during volcanic unrest. Integrating fluid–rock coupling into models of fluid transport and crustal pressurization offers a pathway toward more reliable interpretation of unrest signals and improved volcanic hazard assessments.

How to cite: Drymoni, K., Girona, T., Pesicek, J., Prejean, S., Lundgren, P., Kendrick, J., and Lavallée, Y.: Investigating the subsurface drivers of the 2025 Kolumbo volcano-tectonic unrest , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11169, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11169, 2026.

EGU26-11179 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Temporal elastic properties changes and rock weakening at Campi Flegrei, Italy 

Stefania Tarantino, Piero Poli, Maurizio Vassallo, Nicola D'Agostino, and Stéphane Garambois

Understanding volcanic activity remains a challenging task. So far, several conceptual geodetic models have been proposed to describe the inter-eruptive period, typically invoking either progressive rock damage or increasing overpressure within the magmatic (or gas) reservoir. Here, we adopted a combined seismo-geodetic framework to investigate volcanic unrest and to model surface deformation at the Campi Flegrei (CF) volcano, Italy. 

The CF caldera is one of the most active hydrothermal systems in the Mediterranean region and has experienced notable unrest episodes. Since 2005 a monotonic uplift phenomenon has been observed, accompanied by unsteadily accelerating seismicity (Bevilacqua et al., 2022). 

Subsurface rocks sustain large strains and exhibit high shear and tensile strength (Vanorio & Kanitpanyacharoen, 2015). Consequently, seismicity reaches magnitude ~ 4.0 only upon relatively large uplifts ~70–80 cm during the 1980s unrest and >1 m during the recent episode), contrary to what is generally observed for calderas exhibiting much lower deformation levels (Hill et al., 2003).

The caprock above the seismogenic zone is characterized by a fibril-rich matrix that enhances ductility and resistance to fracturing (Vanorio & Kanitpanyacharoen, 2015). However, changes in pore pressure and/or chemical alteration may ultimately induce mechanical failure and modify the structural properties of subsurface rocks. In addition, increased magma pressure within the reservoir can weaken the volcanic edifice, leading to reductions in elastic moduli (Carrier et al., 2015; Olivier et al., 2019). In recent years, a quasi-elastic behavior and a stress memory effect of the upper crust of the CF caldera under increasing stress suggest a progressive mechanical weakening (Bevilacqua et al., 2024; Kilburn et al., 2017, 2023). Seismic tomography indicates that most of the observed seismicity is associated with a pressurized gas reservoir (De Landro et al., 2025), while advanced big-data-based earthquake locations exclude shallow magma migration (Tan et al., 2025). Furthermore, recent petrological and geochemical studies identified a weak layer that plays a key role in overpressure accumulation, driving both deformation and seismicity (Buono et al., 2025). The initiation and growth of a volcano-tectonic fault have also been hypothesized (Giordano et al., 2025).

In our study, we tracked the evolution of subsurface elastic properties by monitoring temporal changes in relative seismic wave velocities (δv/v) thanks to the coda wave interferometry of continuous ambient noise at local seismic stations. A progressive decrease in δv/v is detected in the area where we observe the highest concentration of seismicity and that we attribute to the rock-weakening tracked by the earthquake occurrences. By incorporating time-dependent elastic moduli changes in the geodetic inversion of surface displacement recorded by a local GPS network (De Martino et al, 2021), we retrieved a refined time evolution of reservoir overpressure.  Our results suggest the active contribution of elastic properties of geomaterials in controlling the volcanic dynamics.

How to cite: Tarantino, S., Poli, P., Vassallo, M., D'Agostino, N., and Garambois, S.: Temporal elastic properties changes and rock weakening at Campi Flegrei, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11179, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11179, 2026.

EGU26-11203 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Modelling magma storage and transport in Aira Caldera and Sakurajima Volcano, Japan. 

Lorenzo Mantiloni, James Hickey, Rami Alshembari, Brendan McCormick Kilbride, Tomoki Tsutsui, Miki Daisuke, Takeshi Tameguri, and Haruhisa Nakamichi

Sakurajima volcano, located on the rim of the Aira caldera in Japan, represents a major hazard for the heavily populated area of Kagoshima Bay. In recent decades, ground deformation modelling and seismic imaging have inferred the presence of a large magma reservoir ~10-15 km below Aira caldera [1] and one or multiple shallower reservoirs below Sakurajima [2, 3]. Understanding the connectivity between these reservoirs is critical for hazard assessment, as deep-melt migration into the shallow system can trigger major eruptions [4]. To this end, accurate models of the magma plumbing system are needed, considering both realistic reservoir geometries and the possibility of magma storage in dynamic magma-mush systems rather than melt-filled cavities. Modelling reservoir stability and magma transport also requires realistic estimates of the state of stress underground. In this regard, the location of Aira caldera within the Kagoshima graben offers a unique case study, as the regional stress field is likely modulated by various factors beyond reservoir pressurisation. In this study, we employ Finite-Element numerical modelling [5] and recent GNSS and seismic tomography data to investigate the coupled plumbing systems of the Aira-Sakurajima complex, describing the deep reservoir as a poroelastic magma mush. First, we use ground deformation data to constrain the geometry and location of the reservoirs, as well as melt supply parameters. We introduce a complex geometry for the deep reservoir inferred from seismic tomography [1], assessing its influence on deformation modelling compared to previously employed simplified geometries. We also estimate the volume of the active magma source, providing an upper limit to the magnitude of current eruptions. Finally, we integrate the best-fit model of plumbing system architecture and pressurisation into stress models including gravitational loading and tectonic stress to identify the conditions for magma exchange between the deep and shallow reservoirs, which might escalate volcanic risk at Sakurajima.

References:

[1] Tameguri et al. (2022) Bulletine Volcanological Society Japan, https://doi.org/10.18940/kazan.67.1.69

[2] Araya et al. (2019). Scientific Reports, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-38494-x

[3] Hotta et al. (2016). Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2015.11.017

[4] Hickey et al. (2016). Scientific Reports, https://doi.org/10.1038/srep32691

[5] Mantiloni et al. (2026). Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, under review.

How to cite: Mantiloni, L., Hickey, J., Alshembari, R., McCormick Kilbride, B., Tsutsui, T., Daisuke, M., Tameguri, T., and Nakamichi, H.: Modelling magma storage and transport in Aira Caldera and Sakurajima Volcano, Japan., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11203, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11203, 2026.

EGU26-11297 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Rheological effects in volcano deformation modelling 

James Hickey, Rami Alshembari, Gilda Current, Patricia Gregg, Matthew Head, Lorenzo Mantiloni, and Yan Zhan

The build-up of magma beneath a volcano can be revealed by ground surface deformation, and the recorded surface displacement can be modelled to infer details of the magma system dynamics. Constraints on magmatic processes can then be used to aid hazard assessment and eruption forecasting. However, inferring the processes occurring in the magma plumbing system during volcano deformation episodes is inherently dependent on the modelling approach used to interpret the recorded deformation data, and in particular the choices of rheology used to represent the solid and fluid parts of the magmatic and host rock system. Here, we explore the elastic, viscoelastic, and poroelastic rheologies typically implemented in volcano deformation analyses, and assess how their choices impact the interpretation of recorded volcano deformation data. Different viscoelastic rheologies can produce drastically different predicted surface deformation patterns, but all viscoelastic rheologies will typically lead to different source pressurisation estimates compared to a linear elastic rheology. Poroelastic source implementations can produce surface deformation even after supply to a reservoir has stopped, due to diffusive redistribution of pore pressures. Both viscous and poroelastic processes add a time-dependent component to the stress-strain evolution, which changes model predictions of temporal volcano deformation. Consequently, when applied to interpret recorded deformation, viscous and poroelastic rheologies can suggest non-linear magma system dynamics that are not captured by a simpler purely elastic model rheology. Issues persist with reliably parameterising different rheological approaches but their importance in modifying surface deformation predictions cannot be overlooked.

How to cite: Hickey, J., Alshembari, R., Current, G., Gregg, P., Head, M., Mantiloni, L., and Zhan, Y.: Rheological effects in volcano deformation modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11297, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11297, 2026.

Understanding the transport of magma below the Earth’s surface is a key to studying volcanic systems. However, processes taking place at large depths are increasingly difficult to infer, since signals are often obscured by shallower processes. The Reykjanes Peninsula is an oblique rift zone in SW-Iceland and hosts several en-echelon arranged volcanic systems that experience contemporaneous rifting episodes over the course of 200-400 years. This episodic behaviour alternates with phases of volcanic quiescence lasting 800-1000 years. The occurrence of several eruptions since 2021 indicates the onset of a new phase of volcanic activity. Seismic and geodetic observations during recent years indicate that while at most one volcanic system appears to be active at any time on the peninsula, the focus of activity may shift abruptly between systems. Furthermore, while activity has focused on the Svartsengi volcanic system in 2023, the neighbouring Krýsuvík volcanic system has subsided at variable rates, indicating some degree of connection or communication between the systems.

We test this hypothesis of potential deep-seated communication by implementing lumped-parameter- and Finite Element models where the mid- to lower crustal magmatic plumbing systems within individual volcanic systems, connect to a zone underlying the peninsula near the crust-mantle boundary. This zone is thought to consist of discrete melt lenses, mush, partial melt and hot, ductile rock, and is rheologically weaker than its surroundings. The zone’s increased compliance relative to that of layers above and below allows for the transmission of pressure from one system to another. Pressure transfer does not require significant flow of material to occur between systems, allowing each volcanic system to keep its distinct geochemical characteristics.

In accordance with previous studies, the lumped parameter models represent the peninsula-scale magmatic system through several mid-crustal and one underlying, deep magma domain, all of which are connected through conduits and consist of melt lenses, mush and hot rock. The models reproduce several observed dynamics, including the temporary focus of activity on a single volcanic system, potential passive reactions in neighbouring systems, and abrupt transitions of activity between systems. Furthermore, the models underline the importance of considering processes and properties of the shallow plumbing system as well as volcano-tectonic interaction for deeper processes. 

How to cite: Greiner, S. H. M., Geirsson, H., and Sigmundsson, F.: Models of deep interaction between volcanic systems during volcanic unrest and its implications for lower crustal structure and processes: Insights from the Reykjanes Peninsula, SW-Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11866, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11866, 2026.

EGU26-12106 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Reservoir connectivity in a continental rift: Insights from geodetic observations during the 2024-2025 dike intrusions at Fentale, Main Ethiopian Rift 

Lin Way, Juliet Biggs, Sam Wimpenny, Weiyu Zheng, Simon Orrego, Tim Davis, Edna W. Dualeh, Milan Lazecky, Tim Wright, and Elias Lewi

Direct observations of dike intrusions during continental magmatic rifting are rare. Therefore, magma plumbing systems and associated hazards in continental rifts are not well understood. The 2024-2025 rifting event in the Fentale-Dofen magmatic segment of the Main Ethiopian Rift involved the prolonged intrusion of a ~50 km long dike into ~35 km thick continental crust lasting over 3 months, accompanied by deflation of a ~6 km deep magma reservoir beneath Fentale. Satellite-based Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) observations at regular intervals throughout the intrusion allow us to monitor the co-evolution of the magma source and the intrusion using surface deformation data, in the absence of ground-based instrumentation.

Modelled dike volumes (>1 km3) are 4-9 times larger than the volume loss of the deflating magma reservoir beneath Fentale. At other systems, this volume mismatch has been attributed to host rock rigidity, reservoir geometry, and magma compressibility. While the total dike to source volume ratio is typically reported, this ratio can vary during the diking event due to changes in gas content and compressibility, or involvement of multiple sources. Temporally-dense displacement measurements of the intrusion at Fentale present an opportunity to investigate the evolution of the dike to source volume ratio during a continental rifting event, providing a novel constraint on the conditions for magmatic storage and transport.

We propose that tracking the geodetic volume balance between the dike intrusion sink and reservoir source over time could be used as a tool to reveal changes to the magmatic system, in the absence of other observations (i.e., seismological or petrological). We present a timeseries of intrusion to source volume ratio, derived from analytic kinematic models of surface displacements. We use the relative volumes as a proxy to infer whether and how the mechanical properties of the magma, or the magma source(s) being tapped by the dike changed over time. We show that the volume balance timeseries suggests a change in the magmatic system during the intrusion, possibly related to deeper changes in the plumbing system that caused emissions of methane and carbon dioxide in January 2025 and a ~19 km deep non-double-couple earthquake in February 2025.

Pre-diking inflation and post-diking ground uplift around Fentale points towards magmatic recharge and re-pressurisation of a reservoir that is distinct from the co-diking shallower deflating source. The interpretation of a single magma source feeding a lateral dike intrusion may be insufficient to explain the geodetic observations of the intrusion, where the spatial and temporal connectivity of magmatic reservoirs is not trivial. Continuous monitoring of deformation will contribute to our understanding of threshold conditions for reservoir failure, with implications for forecasting the spatio-temporal likelihood of future intrusions.

How to cite: Way, L., Biggs, J., Wimpenny, S., Zheng, W., Orrego, S., Davis, T., W. Dualeh, E., Lazecky, M., Wright, T., and Lewi, E.: Reservoir connectivity in a continental rift: Insights from geodetic observations during the 2024-2025 dike intrusions at Fentale, Main Ethiopian Rift, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12106, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12106, 2026.

EGU26-12425 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Shared magma supply at Santorini and Kolumbo constrained by amphibious seismological and geodetic analyses of the 2025 dike intrusion 

Jens Karstens, Marius P. Isken, Paraskevi Nomikou, Michelle M. Parks, Emilie E.E. Hooft, Dimitris Anastasiou, Nikolai M. Shapiro, Thomas R. Walter, Eleonora Rivalta, Heidrun Kopp, Torsten Dahm, Christian Berndt, Vincent Drouin, and María Blanch Jover

In January 2025, Santorini and its neighbouring islands experienced an intense earthquake swarm, prompting the Greek authorities to declare a state of emergency followed by the island’s evacuation of the majority of the population. Following a gradual inflation and rise in seismic activity beneath the Santorini caldera, the main seismic swarm began on January 27, close to the submarine volcano Kolumbo, 10 km offshore NE of Santorini at 18 km depth. The Santorini and Kolumbo volcanoes have both produced highly explosive (VEI 5) eruptions in historical times, including the 1650 eruption of Kolumbo, which formed a 2.5 km-wide and 500 m-deep submarine crater and triggered a tsunami that devastated the surrounding islands. Although petrological, seismological, and geodetic analyses identified distinct shallow- and mid-crustal magma reservoirs, there has been debate over whether the two volcanic centres are connected and share a common deep magma source, or whether they result from distinct plumbing systems. The 2025 seismic crisis provided an unprecedented opportunity to observe the volcanic system and investigate the potential deep coupling. Integrating seismic and geodetic data from onshore and offshore instruments, we observe and model the dynamic emplacement of a 13-km long intrusion with a volume of 0.31 km3 into the upper crust offshore Santorini, reactivating principal regional faults and arresting 3–5 km below the seafloor. We determine a gradual inflation of Santorini's shallow reservoir 6 months before the crisis, during the intrusion a mid-crustal reservoir beneath Kolumbo at ~7.6 km depth rapidly deflated. This suggests that both volcanoes share, and potentially compete for, a common deep magma supply. In December 2025, we recovered additional ocean-bottom seismometers and pressure sensors, enabling us to refine our seismological catalogues and deformation modelling during and after the seismic crisis. Our analyses highlight the importance of shoreline-crossing monitoring and the need for real-time access to submarine sensor data for a more robust crisis response.

How to cite: Karstens, J., Isken, M. P., Nomikou, P., Parks, M. M., Hooft, E. E. E., Anastasiou, D., Shapiro, N. M., Walter, T. R., Rivalta, E., Kopp, H., Dahm, T., Berndt, C., Drouin, V., and Blanch Jover, M.: Shared magma supply at Santorini and Kolumbo constrained by amphibious seismological and geodetic analyses of the 2025 dike intrusion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12425, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12425, 2026.

EGU26-12475 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Magmatically driven antithetic faulting on a topographic high: field and numerical insights from Northern Iceland 

Fabio Luca Bonali, Sofia Brando, Federico Pasquaré Mariotto, Alessandro Luppino, and Alessandro Tibaldi

Dike intrusions commonly generate normal faulting and graben structures in volcanic rift zones, but distinguishing magma-driven deformation from regional tectonics remains challenging, especially where pre-existing faults, topography, and lithological contrasts coexist. Here we document a previously unrecognised mechanism of magmatically driven antithetic faulting, based on an integrated field and numerical study from the Fremrinámur Rift, Northern Iceland.

We investigate a N–S-trending graben developed entirely on a Late Glacial subglacial pillow lava–hyaloclastite cone, without deformation of the surrounding lava plateau. High-resolution UAV photogrammetry combined with detailed field mapping reveals a strongly asymmetric graben geometry: the eastern fault, aligned with the rift-border fault, displays vertical offsets up to one order of magnitude larger than the western fault. Eruptive fissures at the northern and southern base of the cone suggest a single dike intrusion event that failed to propagate to the cone summit.

To explore the controlling mechanisms, we performed 2D finite-element numerical models simulating dike-induced stress and surface deformation under varying dike dip, intrusion depth, interaction with a pre-existing fault, and host-rock rheology. The models show that an inclined dike propagating along a pre-existing rift-border fault, combined with a strong mechanical contrast between the competent basaltic substratum and the weaker subglacial cone, produces pronounced stress and displacement asymmetry. In this configuration, von Mises shear stresses concentrate within the hanging-wall block, promoting the formation of an antithetic fault, while tensile stresses above the dike tip are significantly reduced, favouring dike arrest within the cone.

These results highlight the combined role of fault inheritance, topography, and lithological heterogeneity in controlling dike-induced deformation, fault asymmetry, and intrusion arrest in volcanic rift environments.

How to cite: Bonali, F. L., Brando, S., Pasquaré Mariotto, F., Luppino, A., and Tibaldi, A.: Magmatically driven antithetic faulting on a topographic high: field and numerical insights from Northern Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12475, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12475, 2026.

EGU26-12492 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Insights into the possible relationships between the Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei volcanic systems in the sixteenth–seventeenth centuries through artistic and literary sources 

Flora Giudicepietro, Pierfrancesco Calabria, Elena Cubellis, Lisetta Giacomelli, Giovanni Macedonio, Chiara Martini, Lucia Pappalardo, Donato Pirovano, Calogero Giorgio Priolo, Roberto Scandone, and Pierluigi Leone de Castris

Vesuvius is one of the volcanoes with the highest volcanic risk worldwide, owing to the exceptionally dense urbanization of its surroundings. Its eruptive history is well constrained from 1631 to the present, while the period preceding this date, particularly the 15th and 16th centuries, remains poorly defined. During this interval, the volcano is generally believed to have undergone a prolonged phase of quiescence, although several historical reports describe episodes of activity. This time window is of critical importance for the correct interpretation of Vesuvius’s eruptive behavior, especially in understanding the relationship between large, explosive eruptions, such as the 1631 event, which represents the reference scenario in the current national emergency plan, and the more frequent effusive or mixed eruptions that characterized the volcano’s persistent activity pattern.

Previous studies have undertaken a critical re-examination of the historical “accounts” of volcanic activity during the 16th century in light of new scientific, historical, and art-historical evidence. These analyses have revealed previously unrecognized features of Vesuvius’s behavior prior to the major eruption of 1631, identifying elements that merit further investigation. Moreover, further research is needed to clarify the relationships between Vesuvius and the nearby Campi Flegrei caldera. Historical records indicate that, during the 16th century, the activity of the two volcanic systems was concurrent, suggesting possible interactions or mutual modulation of their behavior. In addition, Rosi et al. (2025) show that the long-term unrest that preceded the Monte Nuovo eruption (1538), which affected the Campi Flegrei area during the 15th and 16th centuries, represents the only historically documented unrest episode prior to the one currently underway. This aspect is of fundamental importance for interpreting the present unrest at Campi Flegrei, which has been ongoing for more than twenty years and continues to show progressive intensification and spatial expansion.

How to cite: Giudicepietro, F., Calabria, P., Cubellis, E., Giacomelli, L., Macedonio, G., Martini, C., Pappalardo, L., Pirovano, D., Priolo, C. G., Scandone, R., and Leone de Castris, P.: Insights into the possible relationships between the Vesuvius and Campi Flegrei volcanic systems in the sixteenth–seventeenth centuries through artistic and literary sources, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12492, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12492, 2026.

EGU26-13293 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Upper Acıgöl Tuff: Eruption dynamics of the youngest Cappadocian ignimbrite 

Xavier Bolós, Ivan Sunyé-Puchol, Rengin Özsoy-Ünal, Efe Akkas, Louise Muir, Lorenzo Tavazzani, Manuela Nazzari, Olivier Bachmann, Piergiorgio Scarlato, and Silvio Mollo

The Late Pleistocene Lower and Upper Acıgöl Tuffs (LAT and UAT; 190 ± 11 ka and 164 ± 4 ka) represent the two most recent major ignimbrite eruptions on the Cappadocia Plateau in the Central Anatolian Volcanic Province. Both Acıgöl ignimbrite eruptions correspond to VEI 6 events, with caldera collapse and regionally widespread dispersal of tens of km³ of tephra. Understanding syn-caldera eruptive processes is critical for volcanic hazard assessment in regions such as Cappadocia, where active volcanic systems coexist with dense populations and intense tourism. Although previous studies of the Acıgöl caldera complex have constrained eruption ages, stratigraphy, and geochemistry, the latest syn-caldera eruptive processes associated with UAT ignimbrite emplacement remain poorly resolved. Here we reconstruct the eruptive history of the UAT through proximal volcanostratigraphy, integrated with glass geochemistry and previous published geochronology. The stratigraphic record within the caldera documents a continuous succession of deposits including a phreatomagmatic tephra ring, debris-avalanche deposits derived from the Koçadağ intra-caldera dome, lithic-rich Plinian fallout, caldera-forming ignimbrite, and post-collapse lava-dome emplacement. Our results indicate that the Taşkesik intra-caldera maar eruption occurred during the early stages of the UAT caldera-forming eruption. While not a deterministic precursor, this small-scale event could represent the onset of a cascade of processes that ultimately led to magma chamber decompression, roof subsidence, and ignimbrite emplacement associated with caldera collapse. This refined syn-caldera framework at Acıgöl provides new constraints on caldera-collapse dynamics and has direct implications for hazard assessment in active caldera systems.

This work was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (TURVO, PID2023-147255NB-I00; MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033), the EU (ERDF; Horizon 2020–MSCA PÜSKÜRÜM, Grant 101024337), and the Italian PNRR–NextGenerationEU through the ÇoraDrill project (CUP B83C25001180001).

How to cite: Bolós, X., Sunyé-Puchol, I., Özsoy-Ünal, R., Akkas, E., Muir, L., Tavazzani, L., Nazzari, M., Bachmann, O., Scarlato, P., and Mollo, S.: Upper Acıgöl Tuff: Eruption dynamics of the youngest Cappadocian ignimbrite, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13293, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13293, 2026.

EGU26-13925 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Influence of tectonic stress and pore-fluid pressure on caldera collapse and resurgence – a 3D analytical solution 

Daniel Woodell, Martin Schöpfer, and Eoghan Holohan

Caldera collapse or resurgence is commonly accommodated by slip along a near-cylindrical ring fault system, and is hence often idealized as a rigid piston moving in response to pressure changes in a fluid chamber. Existing piston models explore variations in geometry and mechanical properties of the reservoir and ring fault, but they generally neglect effects of regional tectonic stresses and pore-fluid pressures. Here we present a new analytical piston model that incorporates the regional stress state as a single parameter, the “average earth pressure coefficient,” which is defined as the mean horizontal to vertical effective stress.  The presence of pore-fluids is incorporated by using Terzaghi’s effective stress principle, which governs the effective normal stress acting on the ring fault. Data from 14 active caldera volcanoes that have well-constrained piston dimensions and that span a range of eruptive compositions and collapse magnitudes are used to explore realistic model parameter ranges.

The model results are captured by a dimensionless stability parameter (μK/r̄), combining effective ring fault friction (μ), average earth pressure coefficient (K), and piston radius normalized by its thickness (). This parameter governs piston stability and describes a hysteresis (i.e., a history-dependent lag) between changes in magma reservoir pressure and ring-fault slip. A key finding is that extensional tectonic stresses, low ring-fault friction, and/or elevated pore-fluid pressures are necessary conditions for initiating caldera collapse and resurgence, particularly at calderas with high thickness to diameter (T/D) ratios. Consistent with model predictions, most of the well-constrained calderas examined here occur in extensional or transtensional tectonic settings; collapse or resurgence under a compressional tectonic regime is comparatively rare.

How to cite: Woodell, D., Schöpfer, M., and Holohan, E.: Influence of tectonic stress and pore-fluid pressure on caldera collapse and resurgence – a 3D analytical solution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13925, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13925, 2026.

EGU26-14932 | Orals | GMPV10.12

The 1 September 2025 geodetic event: a key phenomenon for understanding the unrest evolution at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) 

Giovanni Macedonio, Flora Giudicepietro, Francesco Casu, Manuela Bonano, Giuseppe Brandi, Claudio De Luca, Prospero De Martino, Mauro A. Di Vito, Mario Dolce, Antonio Iorio, Michele Manunta, Fernando Monterroso, Lucia Pappalardo, Patrizia Ricciolino, Yenni Lorena Belen Roa, Giovanni Scarpato, Pasquale Striano, and Riccardo Lanari

On 1 September 2025, an Md 4.0 earthquake occurred within a seismic swarm at the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) and produced an unprecedented coseismic displacement. The resulting ground deformation, reaching approximately up to 4 cm, clearly outlined the directions of motion of a distinct crustal block and revealed an extensional displacement pattern. This deformation developed in an area where a geodetic anomaly (an uplift deficit, in particular), superimposed on the long-term background deformation field, was identified in previous studies. The spatial distribution and geometry of the deformation, retrieved through GNSS and DInSAR measurements, closely replicate those of the previously recognized anomaly in the Mt. Olibano–Accademia sector, thereby confirming the active involvement of this structural domain in the ongoing caldera dynamics. The sharp and well-defined displacement associated with the Md 4.0 earthquake allowed us to retrospectively identify smaller, analogous deformation episodes that occurred earlier in the unrest sequence but remained less distinct due to their limited amplitude. Altogether, these observations place new constraints on the mechanical behavior of the central–eastern sector of the Campi Flegrei caldera. They improve our understanding of how localized fracturing and faulting processes, within the shallow crust, interact with the broader deformation field driven by the current unrest phase.

How to cite: Macedonio, G., Giudicepietro, F., Casu, F., Bonano, M., Brandi, G., De Luca, C., De Martino, P., Di Vito, M. A., Dolce, M., Iorio, A., Manunta, M., Monterroso, F., Pappalardo, L., Ricciolino, P., Roa, Y. L. B., Scarpato, G., Striano, P., and Lanari, R.: The 1 September 2025 geodetic event: a key phenomenon for understanding the unrest evolution at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14932, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14932, 2026.

EGU26-14970 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

How does topography affect the propagation of magmatic intrusions? An experimental study 

Saskia Willar-Sheehan, Janine Kavanagh, and Kate Williams

Understanding the controls on magma ascent is critical for developing eruption forecasting. The movement of dykes (vertical magma intrusions) through the crust is particularly important to constrain, as often dyke propagation inferred from surface deformation, geodetic inversion techniques and seismicity is used to signify volcanic unrest, potentially leading to evacuation orders and eruption. However, the factors affecting dyke direction, geometry and ascent velocity are still relatively unconstrained.

In this study we explore the topographic loading controls on dyke behaviour. It is impossible to visualise dyke behaviour in natural systems as these processes occur at depth and on large scales, but scaled experimental analogue setups allow us to study the natural world in a laboratory setting, allowing us to make valuable insights into natural processes. We use an analogue setup, with a transparent, gelatine solid as a homogeneous elastic crust injected by dyed water from below as an intruding Newtonian fluid representing magma. The surface of the gelatine was moulded to represent a flat, inclined or ridge topography. Two CCD cameras placed above the experiment measure the vertical and lateral surface displacement created by the intrusion, as a penny-shaped experimental dyke grows. Polarised light is used in order to visualise the evolving stress field within the gelatine solid, recorded by an HD camera positioned at the side of the tank. Multiple injection points were used to vary the location of dyke initiation and their interactions with topography and previous injections. These experiments allow us to measure the 3D intrusion geometry, tip velocity, extent of surface deformation and rate, and relate these to the gelatine’s evolving internal stress field. Preliminary results indicate that topography does have an effect on dyke propagation, producing dyke bending, rotation and changing ascent velocity.

By understanding the topographic controls on dyke behaviour, we can better identify areas more likely to experience magmatic intrusions at volcanic systems worldwide, which has important implications for hazard mapping and managing volcanic risk.

How to cite: Willar-Sheehan, S., Kavanagh, J., and Williams, K.: How does topography affect the propagation of magmatic intrusions? An experimental study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14970, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14970, 2026.

EGU26-15028 | Orals | GMPV10.12

GNSS data highlight new spatial and temporal dimensions of the Santorini volcano-tectonic unrest during 2025 

Athanassios Ganas, Vassilis Sakkas, Alessandro Bonforte, Philippe Vernant, Pierre Briole, Efstratios Liadopoulos, Salvatore Consoli, Erik Doerflinger, Nikolaos Madonis, Ioannis Mintourakis, and George Goutsos

Since late summer of 2024 the Santorini Volcanic Complex (SVC) in South Aegean Sea (Greece) entered another phase of unrest as GNSS data indicated the start of strong deformation onshore Thera Island followed by increased seismic activity, offshore, NE of the island in late January 2025. The seismic events were detected first inside the caldera (September 2024 to early 2025), then spreading with intense activity towards the north-east to Anydros Islet, spanning an overall distance of ~30 km, displaying a NE-SW orientation. The seismicity pattern indicated swarm characteristics that culminated during February 2025, and subsequent seismic activity declined but remained above the unrest levels during the rest of 2025. In terms of ground deformation, cm to dm-size displacements were recorded onshore Thera and in neighbouring islands during the period August 2024 - February 2025. In early 2025 several groups installed new permanent GNSS equipment on Thera and surrounding islands. This GNSS instrumentation in South Cyclades reached 32 sites during April 2025. Those stations provide a wealth of open data that we use to study the evolution of the deformation in the broad South Cyclades Islands.

Overall, the GNSS data showed an inflation of the Thera volcano since August 2024. The modelled magma source was located near the inflation centre of 2011-2012 unrest period. At the end of February 2025, the ground displacements in South Cyclades islands depicted a NE-SW converging pattern between Thera and Anydros, and a NW-SE diverging pattern between Ios-Naxos and Astypalaia Islands. The motion amplitudes were large, exceeding 13 cm at Thera and 3 cm at Naxos. The February 2025 GNSS data fits well with a dislocation model of a south-east dipping fault located between the Kolumbo submarine volcano and the Anydros islet (Briole et al. 2025). Since March 2025, the deformation continues with the positive, 3D baseline rate changes between GNSS stations exceeding the pre-unrest rates thus indicating a nearly-aseismic opening of the Santorini – Amorgos graben. This implies that new magma continues to arrive at shallow crustal depths.

 

Briole, P., Ganas, A., Serpetsidaki, A., Beauducel, F., Sakkas, V., Tsironi, V., Elias, P. 2025. Volcano-tectonic interaction at Santorini. The crisis of February 2025. Constraints from geodesy, Geophysical Journal International, ggaf262, https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaf262

 

How to cite: Ganas, A., Sakkas, V., Bonforte, A., Vernant, P., Briole, P., Liadopoulos, E., Consoli, S., Doerflinger, E., Madonis, N., Mintourakis, I., and Goutsos, G.: GNSS data highlight new spatial and temporal dimensions of the Santorini volcano-tectonic unrest during 2025, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15028, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15028, 2026.

EGU26-15110 | Orals | GMPV10.12

Source modelling of surface deformation and seismicity at the Campi Flegrei
 

Jinhui Cheng, Zhen Li, Mateo Acosta, Brice Lecampion, and Jean-Philippe Avouac

Campi Flegrei, a restless caldera near Naples, Italy, has experienced significant ground uplift, elevated seismicity, and intense gas emissions over the past two decades. The physical source driving the observed deformation and seismicity remains debated, with proposed mechanisms including magmatic intrusion, hydrothermal pressurization, or hybrid processes. Recent seismic tomography images reveal a gas-rich reservoir at depths of ~2–3.5 km, coincident with concentrated seismicity, highlighting the potential dominant role of the shallow hydrothermal system.

In this study, we investigate whether a shallow reservoir can jointly explain both surface deformation and seismicity during the ongoing unrest. We use geodetic observations to constrain time-dependent volume changes of the shallow reservoir, integrating multi-year InSAR data from Sentinel-1 with continuous GPS measurements. To isolate signals associated with distinct deformation sources, we apply variational Bayesian Independent Component Analysis (vbICA). The reconstructed reservoir volume-change history is then incorporated into the induced-seismicity framework Flow2Quake to compute Coulomb stress changes, which are assumed to modulate seismic activity.

Our results show that volume changes within the shallow reservoir can consistently reproduce both the observed surface deformation and the spatial–temporal patterns of seismicity at Campi Flegrei. These findings place new constraints on the dominant source of unrest and improve our understanding of the coupled hydrothermal–mechanical processes governing the current state of the caldera.

How to cite: Cheng, J., Li, Z., Acosta, M., Lecampion, B., and Avouac, J.-P.: Source modelling of surface deformation and seismicity at the Campi Flegrei
, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15110, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15110, 2026.

EGU26-15522 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Geodetic and Seismic Observations of the 2025 Intrusion Event at Fernandina Volcano, Galapagos Islands 

Marco Yepez, Patricia Mothes, Stephen Hernandez, Mario Ruiz, Andrew Bell, Peter LaFemina, and Santiago Aguaiza

The most recent eruption of Fernandina volcano in the Galapagos Islands took place in March 2024. Subsequently, during the latter part of 2024 and the first half of 2025, the volcano showed clear signs of edifice inflation, as informed by geodetic InSAR and GPS data.  The InSAR analysis allowed us to identify changes in deformation patterns and localized accelerations, mainly in areas near the caldera and its interior. Finally, on November 17, 2025, IGEPN seismic stations registered a swarm of volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes on Fernandina’s northern flank, beginning with a 4.4 (MLv) earthquake.  GPS stations showed co-seismic displacements, accompanied by significant deformation, also observed by InSAR (TerraSAR-X & Sentinel-1). Despite this sequence of signals, the seismic activity — 106 VTs located beneath the edifice —did not culminate in an eruption, as there were no lava flows nor detectable gases emitted to the surface.  The inflationary pattern has diminished, but we remain attentive to further activity that could portend a future eruption, especially if there are MLv 4-5 VT events beneath the edifice.  On previous occasions, these larger earthquakes have heralded an imminent eruption.  Our next step is to model geodetic data to obtain a source model and its depth. While Fernandina Island is uninhabited, frequent tourist vessels pass by the shoreline to observe Galapagos wildlife and to observe lava flows entering the sea, as was the case in March 2024.

How to cite: Yepez, M., Mothes, P., Hernandez, S., Ruiz, M., Bell, A., LaFemina, P., and Aguaiza, S.: Geodetic and Seismic Observations of the 2025 Intrusion Event at Fernandina Volcano, Galapagos Islands, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15522, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15522, 2026.

EGU26-17192 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Change in microgravity during an inflation episode at Askja Volcano, Iceland, 2023 – 2025 

Fjóla María Sigurðardóttir, Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Elske van Dalfsen, Vincent Drouin, Michelle Maree Parks, Halldór Geirsson, Yilin Yang, and Benedikt Gunnar Ófeigsson

Askja is one of the most monitored volcanoes in Iceland. Since 1966, annual ground deformation measurements have been carried out in Askja along a leveling line. In 1993 the first Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements were made in Askja and in 1992 the first Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images of Askja were gathered. Since 2021 there has been uplift at Askja volcano, after decades of subsidence. The uplift is monitored with GNSS and InSAR measurements. The net uplift from June 2021 to December 2025 is approximately 90 cm with a decreasing rate. Previous geodetic models of the observed ground deformation inferred an inflation source at a median depth of 2.7 – 2.8 km. Gravity surveys have been carried out regularly since 1988, and annually since 2018. Gravity measurements show mass or density changes in the sub-surface. From 1988 – 2017 there was a net gravity decrease, while measurements from 2017 – 2023 show a net gravity increase during that period.

We carried out GNSS campaigns and gravity surveys in August of 2024 and 2025. We measured 18 gravity stations and 20 GNSS stations scattered around Askja. The gravity was measured with two relative spring gravimeters (Scrintex CG5 and CG6). Gravimeters are very sensitive and prone to sudden data tares, to mitigate this we used two meters. We can evaluate the uplift between years with GNSS and InSAR data and apply the theoretical Free Air gradient to correct for the gravity change due to elevation change.  The yearly uplift rate 2023 - 2025 is up to about 10 cm/year. After correcting for the height changes, preliminary evaluation suggests that the net gravity change from 2023-2025 does vary between stations, with increase at some stations and decrease at others. By analyzing the gravity change we are adding another parameter to our dataset, which helps us to identify the process responsible for the current uplift episode. 

How to cite: Sigurðardóttir, F. M., Sigmundsson, F., van Dalfsen, E., Drouin, V., Parks, M. M., Geirsson, H., Yang, Y., and Ófeigsson, B. G.: Change in microgravity during an inflation episode at Askja Volcano, Iceland, 2023 – 2025, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17192, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17192, 2026.

Following a quiescent period of 3,000 years and several centuries of subsidence, with only one eruption in 1538, Campi Flegrei has experienced intermittent unrest since 1950. The 1982-84 uplift episode was followed by a period of subsidence, but since the early 2000s there has been almost continuous uplift, accompanied by geochemical anomalies and seismicity. In 2012, the Major Risk Commission raised the Alert Level from green to yellow.
SAR images from different missions have made it possible to monitor the deformation field of Campi Flegrei since the 1990s. In particular, the periods 1993–2010 and 2015–present have been covered by the ERS/ENVISAT and Sentinel-1 missions of ESA, respectively. The time gap between these two periods has recently been filled using Radarsat-2 images (Amoruso et al. 2025). Consequently, we were able to conduct a systematic analysis of Campi Flegrei deformation over the last three decades. We have employed linear regression models and blind source separation techniques (Principal Component Analysis and Independent Component Analysis).
The preliminary results suggest the coexistence of two stationary deformation fields throughout the entire investigated period. The field with the larger amplitude has dimensions similar to those of the caldera, and its temporal history is almost the same as that of the area of maximum uplift. This field is consistent with a pressurised sill located around 4 km deep. The other field is less conspicuous, but it may have even more significant implications. It is more extensive, it is shifted eastwards relative to the centre of the caldera, it is characterised by uplift since at least the beginning of the available DInSAR time series, and it is consistent with a deep pressurised deformation source. In addition, anomalies in the Solfatara area (Amoruso et al. 2014) and in the Accademia Aeronautica area (Giudicepietro et al. 2024) are confirmed and detailed. In this way, the deformation of Campi Flegrei is fully satisfied within data uncertainties throughout the entire period under investigation.

References 

Amoruso, A. et al., J. Geophys. Res. Solid Earth, 119, 858–879, 2014.
Amoruso, A. et al., Remote Sens., 17, 3268, 2025. 
Giudicepietro, F., et al., Int. J. Appl. Earth Obs. Geoinf., 132, 104060, 2024.

How to cite: Amoruso, A. and Crescentini, L.: DInSAR data from the last three decades reveals persistent large-scale features and local anomalies in the ground deformation of Campi Flegrei, Italy., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17598, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17598, 2026.

EGU26-17871 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Magma conduit-induced ground deformation at lava dome–building volcanoes   

Eliot Eaton, Jurgen Neuberg, and Susanna Ebmeier

Monitoring ground deformation induced by magma conduits at lava dome–building volcanoes provides key insights into magma ascent dynamics. Changes in dome growth rate are often associated with hazards such as increased explosive activity, dome collapse events, and pyroclastic flows. Timely detection and interpretation of precursory unrest are therefore vital for hazard assessment. 

This study aims to elucidate the range of detectable conduit processes, inform the deployment of ground deformation monitoring infrastructure, and identify which conduit processes meet the detection criteria for measurement using high-resolution InSAR. We use 2D axisymmetric physics-based fluid dynamic models of magma ascent coupled to an elastic edifice to demonstrate how variations in shear stress and excess pressure on conduit boundaries generate ground deformation proximal to growing domes. Model scenarios are compared for three recent lava dome eruptions, highlighting key parameters controlling conduit-induced deformation, including syn-eruptive crystallisation, outgassing, initial conduit geometry, and magma composition. 

The potentially long-lived and periodic nature of lava dome eruptions enables strategic deployment of ground-based monitoring infrastructure, such as tiltmeters, to improve observation of such events. This study provides a framework for assessing which transitions in conduit behaviour may be detectable, and over what distances from the conduit, by different geodetic methods. 

How to cite: Eaton, E., Neuberg, J., and Ebmeier, S.: Magma conduit-induced ground deformation at lava dome–building volcanoes  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17871, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17871, 2026.

EGU26-17905 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Earthquake focal mechanisms reveal a complex response to re-inflation at Askja caldera, Iceland 

Isabel Siggers, Tom Winder, Nicholas Rawlinson, Robert S. White, and Bryndís Brandsdóttir

Askja, an active basaltic caldera volcano in Iceland’s Northern Volcanic Rift Zone, has experienced more than 85 centimetres of surface uplift since August 2021, following several decades of subsidence. Geodetic modelling of the observed uplift suggests an inflating sill type source at around 3 km below the surface (Parks et al., 2024), and recent tomography work by Han et al (2024) and Fone et al. (2025) image a shallow low-velocity anomaly, centred on the area of maximum uplift. In the same month that uplift began, there was a clear increase in the rate of shallow microseismicity, observed primarily in clusters surrounding the youngest lake-filled caldera Öskjuvatn. 

To gain more insight into how the change in rate of microseismicity relates to the observed reversal in surface deformation, moment tensor solutions were constructed for a subset of events beneath Askja, both before and after the start of re-inflation. The Cambridge Volcano Seismology Group has maintained a dense seismic network around Askja since July 2007, which provides sufficient azimuthal coverage to produce well constrained moment tensor solutions. An expanded network deployed within Askja caldera in summer 2023 improves this azimuthal coverage significantly, extending the smallest well constrained events from magnitude 0.5 to just below magnitude 0. 

Our results provide new constraints on the ring fault geometry beneath Öskjuvatn – where the microseismicity rate increase was most prominent – complementing previous insights from mapping of surface faults. Surprisingly, there is no evidence for a reversal in earthquake slip direction associated with the start of re-inflation, and only the modelled stress changes during the re-inflation period favour slip that aligns with our moment tensor solutions. We therefore propose that the microseismicity prior to the onset of re-inflation may have been driven primarily by regional deformation processes, not the long-term subsidence within Askja caldera. Our future work will exploit this expanded dataset of manually picked earthquake phase arrivals to improve our resolution of the velocity structure at the shallowest depths beneath Askja. This will contribute to a full structural model linking surface deformation, ring faulting and the underlying magma storage region. 

Citations: 

Han, J., N. Rawlinson, T. Greenfield, R. White, B. Brandsdóttir, T. Winder, and V. Drouin (2024),  

Evidence of a shallow magma reservoir beneath askja caldera, iceland, from body wave  tomography, Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (9), e2023GL107,851 

 

Parks, M. M., F. Sigmundsson, V. Drouin, S. Hreinsdóttir, A. Hooper, Y. Yang, B. G. Ófeigsson, E.  

Sturkell, Á. R. Hjartardóttir, R. Grapenthin, et al. (2024), 2021–2023 unrest and geodetic  

observations at askja volcano, iceland, Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (4),  

e2023GL106,730. 

 

Fone, J., Winder, T., Rawlinson, N., White, R., Brandsdóttir, B., and Soosalu, H. (2025), Imaging the  

shallow structure beneath Askja volcano, Iceland, with ambient noise tomography, Journal of  Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 130 (12), e2025JB031,905. 

How to cite: Siggers, I., Winder, T., Rawlinson, N., White, R. S., and Brandsdóttir, B.: Earthquake focal mechanisms reveal a complex response to re-inflation at Askja caldera, Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17905, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17905, 2026.

EGU26-19366 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Decoding temporal deformation patterns: From Magma Triggers to Mush Dynamics  

Camila Novoa and Andrew Hooper
Understanding magma movement beneath volcanoes is key for predicting eruptions. Traditionally, uplift at the surface has been seen as a direct sign of magma intrusion, sometimes prolonged by later processes inside the magmatic system. Our work shows that uplift can restart even without new magma input when poro-viscoelastic behaviour is considered. By adjusting the mechanical properties of the magmatic plumbing system, we can reproduce the diverse deformation patterns observed worldwide—where volcanoes uplift and subside without erupting. This suggests that magma intrusion may act only as a short-lived trigger, while long-term changes are driven by internal dynamics within the mush. These findings reshape how we interpret volcanic feeding processes and connect subsurface behaviour more directly to geodetic signals.

How to cite: Novoa, C. and Hooper, A.: Decoding temporal deformation patterns: From Magma Triggers to Mush Dynamics , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19366, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19366, 2026.

EGU26-19488 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

A deep learning framework for rapid inversion of ground deformation to model volcanic sources 

Martina Allegra, Flavio Cannavò, Gilda Currenti, Miriana Corsaro, Philippe Jousset, Simone Palazzo, and Concetto Spampinato

Rapid detection of the locations and movements of magma within the crust is essential for tracking volcanic unrests. The pressure exerted on the Earth's crust by magma migration causes ground deformation that can be measured by a variety of geodetic instruments. Consequently, the inversion of deformation signals allows the geometry and the position of the magmatic source to be inferred.

In the field of volcanic monitoring, the high temporal resolution of continuous Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements makes them widely used for near real-time applications. However, traditional inversion techniques are usually time-consuming, model dependent, and often require a dense, well-distributed GNSS network, which is available only in a few volcanoes worldwide.

To overcome these challenges, machine learning provides efficient tools for emulating direct deformation models, accelerating the inversion process while modelling sources with complex geometries. Taking advantage of generalization capabilities of deep learning algorithms, we present a station-independent deep learning-based inversion framework that can instantly reconstruct underground magmatic causative sources from as few as ten GNSS stations without any prior knowledge of the station configuration or the target volcano.

Trained and tested on hundreds of synthetic deformation patterns, the deep learning-based inversion proves its potential and robustness in the retrospective application to the May 2008 eruption of Mount Etna as well as to Iceland's intrusive sequence between December 2023 and August 2024.

How to cite: Allegra, M., Cannavò, F., Currenti, G., Corsaro, M., Jousset, P., Palazzo, S., and Spampinato, C.: A deep learning framework for rapid inversion of ground deformation to model volcanic sources, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19488, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19488, 2026.

EGU26-19509 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Analysis of relationship between strain and atmospheric pressure data at Stromboli volcano 

Pierdomenico Romano, Bellina Di Lieto, Annarita Mangiacapra, Zaccaria Petrillo, and Agata Sangianantoni

Strain data recorded by Sacks-Evertson strainmeters, due to the high dynamic of the instrument and since its output responds to input over a wide frequency range, are prone to be affected by anthropic noise, changes in atmospheric pressure, tides, rainfall, underground water movements, changes in underground temperature, earthquakes, as well as other crustal movements. Several kinds of procedures have been developed over time by geophysicists to remove the unwanted (“spurious”) signals from the actual recordings, in order to thereby obtain cleaner strain data, capable of representing the actual changes of the local strain in proximity to the installation site. The clearly most dominant signals in a strain data time series are associated with Earth tides and atmospheric pressure loading. Earth tides, due to the relative motion of Sun and Moon with respect to Earth, account for 10−10 strain over a frequency range of 10−4–10−5Hz (periods of hours to days), and are induced by periodic, measurable forces: this allows a reproducibility of the phenomenon using numerical simulations software. On the other hand, atmospheric pressure, for its own characteristics, is a highly variable signal, spanning over extremely wide strain- and frequency-ranges. Both signals, however, are characterized by frequencies comparable with those of interest. One of the most successful methods to remove tides and atmospheric pressure uses a combination of harmonic and non-harmonic techniques, through the implementation of Bayesian statistics. The software assumes that a given signal can be decomposed into a tidal component, a trend term, a perturbation due to an external source, the atmospheric pressure, responsible for generating a change in the recorded signal, and some random noise superimposed.

Barometric admittance quantifies how rock/soil strains to atmospheric pressure changes, often modeled linearly but non-linearities arise from complex subsurface media (aquifers, faults, cracks), requiring advanced techniques like neural networks or state-space models to capture frequency-dependent responses, revealing aquifer properties, fault activity, or seismic precursors, with higher frequencies showing local effects and lower frequencies reflecting regional pathways, indicating that strain varies nonlinearly with pressure due to medium heterogeneities.

The data recorded by a Sacks-Evertson strainmeter installed at Stromboli volcano show a non-linear relationship between barometric pressure and strain variations for lower frequencies: an empirical mode decomposition has been used considering the frequency dependent characteristics of the pressure response and the borehole strain observation data, and the pressure observation curve of synchronous observation are decomposed, obtaining the frequency dependent pressure response coefficient, realizing the refined pressure correction of borehole observation data.

In the higher frequency range, when the medium shows an elastic response related to pressure changes, a linear regression model in the time domain has been carried out to highlight volcanic-related strain changes.

This analysis could improve the volcanic hazard assessment of strain data related to open-conduit volcanoes, such as Stromboli, during unrest phases.

Data used contains valuable information for scientific community and are made available on the EPOS data portal. Attention is taken into metadata handling and intelligent management of distributed resources.

How to cite: Romano, P., Di Lieto, B., Mangiacapra, A., Petrillo, Z., and Sangianantoni, A.: Analysis of relationship between strain and atmospheric pressure data at Stromboli volcano, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19509, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19509, 2026.

EGU26-20302 | Orals | GMPV10.12

The geometry and development of a lava tube network as deduced from multispectral imaging and InSAR 

Eoghan Holohan, Alexis Hrysiewicz, Peter LaFemina, Andrew Bell, Federico Galetto, Silvia Vallejo, and Benjamin Bernard

Detecting lava tubes is challenging in the field due to their hidden nature and inaccessibility, but it can be important for understanding lava flow dynamics and mitigating hazards. Here we show how analysis of multispectral imagery (Sentinel-2 and Landsat) and InSAR (Sentinel-1) can enable the delineation of a ∼14-km long lava-tube network entirely by remote sensing. The lava tube network formed in 2024 during the 68-day long eruption of Fernandina volcano, a highly active, yet remote and uninhabited island in the Galapagos Islands. The arterial tube(s) and main branches of the network were mapped based on: (1) spatio-temporally stable, point-like thermal anomalies (“skylights”) from syn-eruption shortwave and thermal infrared imagery; and (2) a dendritic pattern of horizontal displacements defined by post-eruption InSAR timeseries analysis. Furthermore, elongated perpendicular baselines of Sentinel-1 interferograms enabled us to estimate lava-flow thicknesses of up to ∼17 m locally and a lava-field bulk volume of ∼84 ± 40 × 106 m3. Lastly, we traced the growth of the lava field from a time series of InSAR coherence images. Combined with the lava thickness mapping, the coherence mapping gives initial magma eruption rates of 87 m3s−1, which over two weeks declined rapidly and non-linearly to below 6 m3s−1. This sharp reduction in eruption rate coincides with a transition - observed in multispectral imagery - from initial open channel flow to enclosed tube flow. Although the tube flow phase accounted for only 18% of the total erupted volume, it spanned 75% of the eruption duration and facilitated 35% (5 km) of the total lava run-out. These entirely remotely generated results are consistent with field‐based observations of lava tube development on Hawaii. A multi-sensor approach to remote sensing of lava tubes may therefore contribute in future to modelling of lava flow advance and to assessment of tube-collapse hazard.

How to cite: Holohan, E., Hrysiewicz, A., LaFemina, P., Bell, A., Galetto, F., Vallejo, S., and Bernard, B.: The geometry and development of a lava tube network as deduced from multispectral imaging and InSAR, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20302, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20302, 2026.

EGU26-20322 | Posters on site | GMPV10.12

Fluid-Driven Fault Mechanics and Strain Release: Insights from the 2021 Deformation Episode in the Peloritani-Aeolian Sector 

Mario Mattia, Danilo Messina, Marta Corradino, Graziella Barberi, Valentina Bruno, Domenico Patanè, Massimo Rossi, Luciano Scarfì, and Fabrizio Pepe

Fluids play a pivotal role in altering rock mechanics by affecting shear strength and influencing strain accommodation. This study integrates GNSS time-series and seismological data to reconstruct the spatiotemporal evolution of deformation during 2021 within the Peloritani Mountains (NE Sicily) and the Aeolian Archipelago. Our analysis identifies significant crustal-scale deformation along the NNW-SSE right-lateral transtensional Aeolian-Tindari-Letojanni Fault System (ATLFS), as well as in WNW-ESE to NW-SE right-lateral transfer zones in the western and central sectors of the Aeolian Archipelago. Specifically, throughout 2021, we observed a distinct acceleration in deformation rates along the eastern block of the ATLFS relative to its western counterpart. This kinematic anomaly was strictly synchronous with a peak in seismic strain release and a significant unrest phase at Vulcano Island, characterized by rapid ground inflation and intense degassing. The temporal correlation between tectonic slip and volcanic activity suggests that enhanced fluid circulation—evidenced by gas emissions in the Peloritani area— may modulate the mechanical response of faults, promoting strain release. These findings provide critical constraints on the interplay between active tectonics, fluid migration, and volcanic processes in the Central Mediterranean.

How to cite: Mattia, M., Messina, D., Corradino, M., Barberi, G., Bruno, V., Patanè, D., Rossi, M., Scarfì, L., and Pepe, F.: Fluid-Driven Fault Mechanics and Strain Release: Insights from the 2021 Deformation Episode in the Peloritani-Aeolian Sector, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20322, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20322, 2026.

EGU26-21028 | ECS | Orals | GMPV10.12

Modelling the 2018 Kīlauea Caldera Collapse with a joint Finite Volume Method and Distinct Element Method approach 

Thomas Austin, Claire Harnett, Eoghan Holohan, Alexis Hrysiewicz, and Martin Schöpfer

Kīlauea’s 2018 collapse represents one of the best-monitored caldera-forming events recorded. A dense network of geodetic and seismic instrument, complimented by still and satellite-based imagery, captured the full temporal evolution of summit deformation and clearly defined distinct collapse phases. An initial pre-collapse phase was characterised by lava-lake drainage and small, elastic surface displacements, followed by a three non-elastic collapse phases, captured on GNSS stations NPIT and CALS. This detailed and well-resolved, multiphase evolution makes Kīlauea an exceptional case for testing mechanical models of caldera collapse.

Analytical and continuum-based numerical models are commonly used to relate these surface displacements to deformation sources at depth. However, their elastic or viscoelastic material assumptions limit the representation of large-strain discontinuous deformation, such as fracturing and faulting, typical of caldera collapse events. To overcome this, we use 3D Discrete Element Method (DEM) modelling, in conjunction with Finite Volume Method (FVM), to capture a transition from elastic to non-elastic (fictional-plastic) behaviour similar to that during the 2018 Kīlauea collapse event.

Sentinel-1 acquisitions between the 5th and 14th of May 2018 were used to compute surface displacements during the elastic, pre-collapse subsidence phase. The resulting summit subsidence provided constraints on subsurface source characteristics and were used to test a range of chamber geometries, depths and pressure states using FVM models. This approach allowed for a rapid and systematic exploration of the trade-offs among these parameters and demonstrates the non-unique elastic surface displacement solutions, consistent with the observed elastic, pre-collapse deformation at Kīlauea.

The “best-fitting” parameter combinations were then used to inform forward modelling within the 3D DEM solutions. The initial source geometry, as constrained by FVM models, had a depth of 500m, vertical axis of 2000m and horizontal axes of 1500m. As underpressure was progressively increased to 6-8 MPa, deformation transitioned from elastic into non-elastic, as characterised by host-rock fracturing and accelerated summit subsidence. The DEM model subsidence curve mimics closely that measured by GNSS at Kīlauea. Furthermore, model fracture population characteristics through time show similarly with observed earthquake magnitude distributions. This study thus highlights the capacity of 3D DEM models for capturing structural, geodetic and seismic observations during large-strain discontinuous events at volcanoes.

How to cite: Austin, T., Harnett, C., Holohan, E., Hrysiewicz, A., and Schöpfer, M.: Modelling the 2018 Kīlauea Caldera Collapse with a joint Finite Volume Method and Distinct Element Method approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21028, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21028, 2026.

EGU26-1101 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Changes in absolute gravity at base stations in ice-covered volcanic areas – the combined effects of isostatic rebound, ice cover and volcanism at Grímsvötn, Iceland, 1971-2025  

Hannah Völkel, Magnús T. Gudmundsson, Thórdís Högnadóttir, and Eyjólfur Magnússon

Glaciers have been retreating globally for more than 100 years. In Iceland, where glaciers cover some of the most active volcanoes, this is causing rapid regional uplift (Glacio-Isostatic Adjustment - GIA). This process has been very prominent over the last three decades, resulting in uplift similar to 4 cm/yr in the volcanic zone covered by Vatnajökull glacier, monitored by continuous GNSS stations. This includes the subglacial central volcano Grímsvötn, in the western part of Vatnajökull, one of the most active volcanoes in Iceland. Gravity surveys are a powerful geophysical tool for investigating surface and subsurface geological processes based on variations in the Earth's gravitational field. Many gravity base stations were established in Iceland in 1968-1971, including in the proximity of the retreating Vatnajökull. In this study, data from several gravity surveys conducted on Vatnajökull over the last 30+ years is used, to detect absolute gravity changes. These surveys include repeated ties of the base station established at Grímsfjall in 1971, a nunatak on the southeastern rim of the Grímsvötn caldera, with the other base stations. As Grímsvötn is a highly dynamic ice-covered volcano, the gravity data series is influenced by several local processes. These are (1) changes in ice cover and ice thickness at the volcano caused by variations in geothermal activity, (2) changes in bedrock topography caused by volcanic eruptions in 1998, 2004 and 2011, (3) variations in water level in the subglacial lake in the Grímsvötn caldera, and (4) potentially variations in groundwater level in the volcanic edifice. In addition, the gravity is affected by (5) inflation and subsidence associated with magma accumulation and the eruptions.  Processes (1), (2), (3) and (5) can be constrained as well as the regional gravity effect caused by uplift due to GIA. The results show large variations with time in the value of g (>0.5 mGal) at Grímsfjall over the last 30 years. While process (2) is too small to register, processes (1) and (3) are very prominent, superimposed on the GIA effect. This contrasts sharply with more regular effects of GIA, seen at the base stations by the edge of the glacier.

How to cite: Völkel, H., Gudmundsson, M. T., Högnadóttir, T., and Magnússon, E.: Changes in absolute gravity at base stations in ice-covered volcanic areas – the combined effects of isostatic rebound, ice cover and volcanism at Grímsvötn, Iceland, 1971-2025 , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1101, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1101, 2026.

EGU26-1955 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Fault-controlled submarine and subglacial explosive volcanism along the Terror Rift, Antarctica: New insights from integrated multichannel seismic data 

Jonas Preine, Masako Tominaga, Kurt Panter, Nathan Bangs, Ingo Pecher, and Paolo Diviacco

Submarine volcanism in Antarctica remains one of the least explored yet geodynamically important processes on Earth. The Terror Rift, located in the western Ross Sea, is a zone of active extension, long-lived magmatism, and cryosphere–lithosphere interaction. Along its eastern boundary, the Lee Arch hosts several flat-topped seamounts that were previously interpreted as mud volcanoes based on vintage seismic data (Busetti et al., 2024). New evidence from Expedition NBP25-01 contradicts this interpretation (Tominaga et al., 2025). Rock samples from dredges and seafloor imagery confirm the presence of hyaloclastite breccia, hyalotuff, coherent lava fragments, ash, and agglutinated ash-lapilli, indicating a dominantly explosive volcanic origin for these edifices.

Here, we integrate new multichannel seismic profiles from Expedition NBP24-02 with reprocessed vintage multichannel data from Expedition IT-90RS, together with ground-truthing from Expedition NBP25-01, to assess the volcano–tectonic architecture of the Flapjack Field on the Lee Arch. The seismic profiles image extensive normal faulting along the eastern shoulder of the Terror Rift, with dense fault systems extending beneath the Flapjack Field. These fault corridors align with volcanic edifices and likely acted as preferential magma ascent pathways, enabling focused volcanism along the rift margin. Seismic images reveal a broadly consistent internal architecture across several flat-topped edifices, characterized by incoherent seismic facies in their central portions and spatially limited, outward-dipping stratified reflections forming progradational flank sequences. We interpret the incoherent central domains as massive hyaloclastite and breccia accumulated within confined eruptive cavities close to the vent, whereas the stratified flanks consist of volcaniclastic deposits emplaced by subaqueous density currents and gravity-driven mass flows. The general absence of pronounced seismic attenuation suggests that thick sequences of coherent volcanic rocks are absent, consistent with findings from Expedition NBP25-01 (Tominaga et al., 2025). The morphology and internal architecture support interpretation of these seamounts as subglacial volcanoes emplaced beneath grounded ice, analogous to tuyas or tindars. Our results demonstrate a tight coupling between fault-controlled magma ascent and subglacial volcanism along the eastern margin of the Terror Rift.

 

 

References:

Busetti, M., Geletti, R., Civile, D., Sauli, C., Brancatelli, G., Forlin, E., ... & Cova, A. (2024). Geophysical evidence of a large occurrence of mud volcanoes associated with gas plumbing system in the Ross Sea (Antarctica). Geoscience Frontiers, 15(1),  101727, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2023.101727

Tominaga, M., Panter, K., Berthod, C., Tivey, M., Wu, J. N., Preine, J., ... & NBP25-01 Shipboard Science Support Staff. (2025). Subglacial explosive volcanism in the Ross Sea of Antarctica. Communications Earth & Environment, 6(1), 921, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02878-x

How to cite: Preine, J., Tominaga, M., Panter, K., Bangs, N., Pecher, I., and Diviacco, P.: Fault-controlled submarine and subglacial explosive volcanism along the Terror Rift, Antarctica: New insights from integrated multichannel seismic data, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1955, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1955, 2026.

EGU26-2006 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

When lava meets ice: Explosive eruptions in the late Amazonian in Tharsis, Mars 

Bartosz Pieterek and Thomas Jones

Insight into the past geological evolution of Mars is limited by our ability to view the Martian subsurface. Therefore, our understanding of geological evolution relies primarily on remotely sensed observations, which mainly constrain the latest stages of the geological processes responsible for shaping the observed landforms. However, in specific cases, certain surficial landforms can reveal aspects of the geological history of particular regions. On Earth, when lava encounters (near)surficial ice deposits or water, it triggers explosive phreatomagmatic activity, forming rootless cones that serve as evidence of lava-water interaction. Such landforms indicate that waterlogged or ice deposits were present at the time of the volcanic activity. Although volcanism has played a dominant role in shaping the Tharsis surface, and despite the presence of cold-based tropical glaciers on the flanks of its major volcanoes, there is little evidence of lava-water interactions. To address this, through detailed analysis of Context Camera (CTX) and High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) surface imagery, coupled with stereo-pair–derived topographic data, we report the presence of rootless volcanic cones located south and southeast of Ascraeus Mons. Directly atop the individual lava flows dated to younger than 215 Ma, we identified >2,000 conical edifices that form a morphologically homogenous population with an average basal width of 96 ± 31 m (1 standard deviation; SD; n = 249) and a crater width of 43 ± 18 m (1 SD; n = 207). Digital elevation models (DEMs) indicate that these edifices have an average height of 3.8 ± 2.0 m (1 SD; n = 178). Their morphological parameters and structural relationship with the hosting lava flows closely resemble both terrestrial and Martian rootless constructs. Furthermore, their exclusive superposition on individual lava flows indicates that their formation was strictly controlled by, and limited to, lava flow emplacement. This, in turn, enables a more accurate spatiotemporal reconstruction of ice distribution at the time of volcanic activity, providing insight not only into the geological evolution of this particular region but also into the obliquity state of Mars during that period. Moreover, the presence of spectrally-identified monohydrated sulfates suggests past hydrothermal circulation driven by lava-water interactions. Consequently, we propose that these young, small landforms, interpreted as rootless cones, provide valuable constraints for reconstructing the Martian paleoclimate by delineating former ice-rich zones. They should also be considered high-priority targets in future life-detection missions, as they satisfy key habitability criteria.

This project was conducted within the framework of the MARIVEL project, funded by the National Science Centre of Poland (grant no. 2024/53/B/ST10/00488).

How to cite: Pieterek, B. and Jones, T.: When lava meets ice: Explosive eruptions in the late Amazonian in Tharsis, Mars, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2006, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2006, 2026.

EGU26-3568 | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

The impact of volcanic activity on the glaciers of Kamchatka 

Thorsten Seehaus and David Georg

Quantifying glacier elevation and mass changes is essential for understanding glacier dynamics as well as the interaction between volcanic activity and ice cover. This study investigates glacier elevation and mass changes within the Klyuchevskaya Volcanic Group (KVG) on the Kamchatka Peninsula using TanDEM-X and SRTM C-band SAR data combined with a differential SAR interferometric approach. Elevation and mass changes are assessed for the period 2000–2020, demonstrating the suitability of TanDEM-X digital elevation models for geodetic glacier analysis in volcanically active environments.  Cumulative mass loss 2000-2020 amounts to −0.782 ± 0.058 Gt. For the total glacierized area of 204.15 km², an average elevation change rate of −0.347 ± 0.011 m a⁻¹ is derived, corresponding to a specific mass balance of −295 ± 23 kg m⁻² a⁻¹ for the period 2012-2020, with locally much higher losses. Marked temporal variability is observed, with strongly increased mass loss after 2015/16 (-0.528±0.014 m a-1) coinciding with intensified volcanic activity. Enhanced supraglacial debris cover following frequent and larger eruptions significantly influences glacier mass budgets, as supported by Landsat 8 Normalized Difference Snow Index analyses. Despite the absence of field-based debris thickness measurements, spatial patterns across individual glaciers highlight the critical role of volcanic debris in modulating glacier response.

How to cite: Seehaus, T. and Georg, D.: The impact of volcanic activity on the glaciers of Kamchatka, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3568, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3568, 2026.

EGU26-8948 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

How Gondwana break-up influences East Antarctic ice flow and regional ice load tectonics – insights from the Knox Coast, East Antarctica  

Timo Mühlberger-Krause, Katharina Hochmuth, Karsten Gohl, Jo Whittaker, Jaqueline Halpin, German Leitchenkov, Chiara Alina Tobisch, and Sebastian Krastel

Large-scale tectonic fault structures shape many flow paths of modern ice sheets at high-latitude ice dominated continental margins. However, the influence of these structures on glacial pathways on the East Antarctic continental margin, as well as the impact of glacially induced tectonic movements, are under-investigated. Here we present the first results of tectonic analysis of fault structures in seismic reflection data from Vincennes Bay off Knox Coast, East Antarctica. The Vincennes Bay continental shelf exhibits four distinct phases of faulting since Gondwana break-up between Australia and Antarctica. The first and second phases are expressed as positive flower structures oriented roughly northwest to southeast. These align with the offshore Vincennes Fracture Zone and magnetics data indicate a dextral strike-slip fault zone with a local transpressive character. There are at least four distinct similarly oriented flower structures occurring at different times, three prior to Cretaceous continental break-up and at least one after Australia fully separated from East Antarctica. The orientation of flower structures on the continental shelf suggests a continuation through the Vanderford Glacial Trough, indicating that this fault zone provided an easily erodible pathway for pre-glacial fluvial activity followed by glacial ice flow. Faults produced by later tectonic phases are oriented roughly east to west showing signs of flexural stresses, indicating a different stress regime than previous tectonic events. These later phases were induced by glacial loading and unloading of an advancing and retreating East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) during its early establishment in the region (about 27-14 Ma) and during grounding line oscillations under full glacial conditions (later than 14 Ma). The relationship between fault zones and glacial troughs illustrates how pre-glacial tectonic processes influence past and modern ice flow configurations. Ice loading and unloading on the continental shelf due to the establishment of the EAIS and its grounding line oscillations aid the reconstructions  of EAIS ice streams during the Cenozoic. 

How to cite: Mühlberger-Krause, T., Hochmuth, K., Gohl, K., Whittaker, J., Halpin, J., Leitchenkov, G., Tobisch, C. A., and Krastel, S.: How Gondwana break-up influences East Antarctic ice flow and regional ice load tectonics – insights from the Knox Coast, East Antarctica , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8948, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8948, 2026.

EGU26-10928 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Multi-scale Hyperspectral analysis of mineral distribution in active geothermal field - Námafjall, Iceland 

Aditi Ravi, Jitse Alsemgeest, Wim Bakker, Harald van der Werff, and Frank van Ruitenbeek

In Iceland, hydrothermal alteration in volcanic rocks results from the interaction of heat, fluids, and surface processes under changing environmental conditions. In particular, the Námafjall geothermal area in northern Iceland hosts active fumaroles, mud pools, and extensive acid–sulphate alteration, resulting in widespread surface mineral distributions. Point-based sampling captures mineralogy at a single location but misses spatial variability, while broader-scale observations do not provide detailed spectral features. To address this, this study evaluates how mineralogical information changes when moving from laboratory measurements to field-based and spaceborne hyperspectral observations, and how these datasets can be linked in an active geothermal environment.

Here, we interpret mineralogy based on integrating laboratory X-ray diffractometer analyses, ASD spectroscopy, laboratory hyperspectral imaging using a SPECIM camera, field-based hyperspectral imaging with HySpex camera, and spaceborne hyperspectral observations from EnMAP. Laboratory analyses identify mineral phases by their diagnostic spectral features, while field-based hyperspectral imaging captures intermediate-scale variability. Spaceborne imagery provides broader-scale mineralogical information but covers only a small area (~30 pixels, each 30 m by 30 m). Each pixel contains mixed surface materials, causing spectral mixing and limiting extraction of distinct minerals at this scale. Hence, to improve mineral identification at field and spaceborne scales, wavelength maps in the SWIR region (2100–2400 nm) were generated to analyse the position of the deepest absorption features across the surface. It helps identify areas where mineralogical information is most likely to be preserved in both field and satellite data.

Based on field observations and the known geology, hydrothermal mineral assemblages at Námafjall are expected to include clays, zeolites, carbonates, sulphates, and native sulphur. But from the preliminary laboratory results of this study, clay minerals and native sulphur were detected in specific samples, while sulphates were not detected. Native sulphur was also observed in field-based hyperspectral data; however, high surface moisture and coarse spatial resolution impacted identification of other mineral classes. To further address uncertainties, spectra will be interpreted after applying linear spectral unmixing and by comparing with spectral libraries. Based on the resulting set of possible minerals at each scale, mineral classification maps will be produced to enable consistent visual comparison of mineral distributions across the three scales.

How to cite: Ravi, A., Alsemgeest, J., Bakker, W., Werff, H. V. D., and Ruitenbeek, F. V.: Multi-scale Hyperspectral analysis of mineral distribution in active geothermal field - Námafjall, Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10928, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10928, 2026.

EGU26-11940 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Long-term impacts of volcanic eruptions on glacier dynamics – a case study of the 2010 summit eruption of Eyjafjallajökull, Iceland 

Linda Sobolewski, Magnús Tumi Gudmundsson, Eyjólfur Magnússon, Joaquín MC Belart, Thomas R Walter, Benjamin R Edwards, Karuna M Sah, William Kochtitzky, and Erik Sturkell

Several eruptions at glacierized volcanoes have been witnessed during the 20th and 21st centuries. However, most of the published studies of these eruptions have focused on understanding the volcanic products or the hazards generated by volcano-ice interactions. Much less attention has been put into analyzing the effects on the glaciers. During the 2010 summit eruption of Eyjafjallajökull (Iceland) three different areas of its glacier were affected in distinct ways: (i) The summit caldera by the formation of eruption vents—the main one active for almost six weeks; (ii) the southern flank by a short-lived (one day) eruption fissure; and (iii) the outlet glacier Gígjökull by (subglacial) lava propagation over more than two weeks. Lava accumulation started subglacially in the caldera and eventually became subaerial while progressing northwards, finally reaching a length of more than three km.

Here we study how the ice cap has evolved after the eruption and how individual areas have changed with time. We use elevation data obtained from Pléiades, SPOT5, LiDAR scans, and overflights to calculate elevation and volume changes over varying time periods. Aerial photographs and on-site investigations helped documenting visual changes. Lastly, we used Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) to map the depth to the 2010 tephra layer in the accumulation area and to the volcanic bedrock.

While signs of the eruption on the southern flank have completely vanished, the areas in the caldera have not fully recovered. This is most notable in the northern part of the caldera where subglacial lava emplacement started. However, snow accumulation and thus gain in elevation in most of the impacted areas started quickly after the eruption ended. From August 2010 to August 2014 the area of the main vent showed an elevation increase of more than 80 m. A similar increase was visible on top of the lava pile towards the north. Gígjökull also started to recover, although the glacier front has been alternating between advance and retreat—similar to the pre-eruption time. Volume change and area calculations reveal that the ice cap overall is shrinking. The glacier covered an area of 72.3 km2 in 2010 and decreased to 63.5 km2 in 2024, with an average elevation change of -8.3 m. However, the caldera and Gígjökull do not follow this trend and showed a persistent volume increase over various time periods from 2010 to 2024, corresponding to an average elevation change of +13.4 m. A potential explanation for the fast recovery of the summit area is the positive feedback effect on the mass balance. The depressions formed by the eruption acted as traps for drifting snow in winter, resulting in a local thickening rate far exceeding the average winter accumulation. Sporadic geothermal activity has also been detected. This includes the re-emergence of a minor cauldron in October 2024 which was first observed in 2012.

How to cite: Sobolewski, L., Gudmundsson, M. T., Magnússon, E., Belart, J. M., Walter, T. R., Edwards, B. R., Sah, K. M., Kochtitzky, W., and Sturkell, E.: Long-term impacts of volcanic eruptions on glacier dynamics – a case study of the 2010 summit eruption of Eyjafjallajökull, Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11940, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11940, 2026.

EGU26-12847 | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Glaciovolcanism in Iceland:  Observations of frequent eruptions over the last three decades, styles of activity, influence of ice thickness and impact on the glaciers 

Magnus T. Gudmundsson, Thórdis Högnadóttir, Hannah I. Reynolds, Rosie Cole, Linda Sobolewski, Eyjólfur Magnússon, and Finnur Pálsson

Due to its northerly latitude, about 10% of Iceland is covered by glaciers and a substantial part of the most active volcanoes are ice covered.  As a result, volcano-ice interaction in various forms is very common in Iceland.  Steep-sided mountains (elongated ridges and tuyas) formed in volcanic eruptions during the repeated Pleistocene glaciations dominate the landscape in many parts of the volcanic zones.  Over the last 30 years, when active monitoring has taken place, six eruptions, ranging in composition from basalt to trachyte have occurred in glaciers in Iceland.  The 1996 Gjálp eruption within the Vatnajökull glacier occurred where the initial thickness was 600-750 meters.  As a result, the bulk of the activity was fully subglacial, ice flow into the depressions formed was substantial, and the observed subaerial phase was relatively modest.  The eruptions in Grímsvötn (1998, 2004 and 2011) and Eyjafjallajökull (2010) occurred where ice was 0-200 m thick, forming ice cauldrons with vertical walls and ice flow played a very minor role, and explosive activity, mostly phreatomagmatic, was dominant. The third type of activity was observed above the NE-wards propagating dyke from the subsiding Bardarbunga caldera, formed in the days prior to the onset of the large Holuhraun eruption in 2014.  These minor leaks of magma caused small, fully subglacial eruptions where the ice was 300-500 m thick.  Ice melting was of the order of 1-10 million m3 in the smallest events (2014), while 3 km3 melted during the Gjálp 1996 eruption, with another 1 km3 melted in the following months.  That eruption formed a 6 km long, up to 500 m high ridge under the glacier. Ice melting caused jökulhlaups in some of the eruptions.  The one following the Gjálp 1996 eruption was by far the largest. It had a peak discharge of 40,000-50,000 m3/s as 3.5 km3 of meltwater were released from the subglacial Grímsvötn caldera lake, where it had accumulated over five weeks.  The jökulhlaups observed had some impact on the glaciers above the meltwater path.  However, this change was relatively minor and did not cause major disruption.  For the largest events some breaking up of the glacier snout occurred, resulting in large ice blocks being carried by the floodwater.   Considerably larger events have occurred in the recent past, notably the eruption of Katla in 1918.  The very powerful phreatomagmatic early part of that eruption, starting under initially 300-400 m thick ice, produced over 100,000 m3/s of meltwater and deposited several hundred million m3 of water-transported tephra on the Mýrdalssandur outwash plain.

How to cite: Gudmundsson, M. T., Högnadóttir, T., Reynolds, H. I., Cole, R., Sobolewski, L., Magnússon, E., and Pálsson, F.: Glaciovolcanism in Iceland:  Observations of frequent eruptions over the last three decades, styles of activity, influence of ice thickness and impact on the glaciers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12847, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12847, 2026.

EGU26-13730 | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Mid-Holocene jökulhlaups in Jökulsá á Fjöllum, NE-Iceland, correlated to eruptions in Bárðarbunga volcano 6.3 to 4.1 ka ago 

Gudrun Larsen, Magnus T. Gudmundsson, Esther R. Gudmundsdóttir, Bergrún A. Oladóttir, and Olgeir Sigmarsson

Numerous jökulhlaups have rushed down the river Jökulsá á Fjöllum in NE-Iceland during the Holocene. Some of these fall under the category of catastrophic floods that carved out the present-day Jökulsá canyon, over 100 km north of the present-day Vatnajökull.

Volcanic glass in sedimentary beds deposited by 16 jökulhlaups (glacial floods) in river Jökulsá á Fjöllum, between 6.3 and 4.1 ka ago, correlates the jökulhlaups to three volcanic systems beneath Vatnajökull ice cap. Chemical characteristics of Bárðarbunga volcanic system dominate in 12 sedimentary beds, those of Grímsvötn and Kverkfjöll in one bed each, two remain unsolved.

The characteristics of the Bárðarbunga glass in the jökulhlaup sediments are mostly low TiO2 and high MgO (TiO2 <1.6, MgO >7.3 w%). Seventeen basaltic “Low-Ti” tephra layers from Bárdarbunga have been identified in soils in N-Iceland from this same period. Grain characteristics of the tephra indicate phreatomagmatic origin. Dispersal maps confirm source area below northwest Vatnajökull and tephra volume (bulk) of the order of 1 km3 for the largest layers.

The mid-Holocene floods confirm the existence of glaciers on Bárðarbunga, Kverkfjöll, and Grímsvötn 6.3 to4.1 ka ago. The magnitude of these jökulhlaups is not well constrained, but apparent cross sections indicate a peak discharge of order 30,000 -100,000 m3/s and likely total volume of some km3. The source areas of these repeated jökulhlaups 6.3 to 4.1 ka ago were most likely the calderas of the central volcanoes, which may have changed in size and form since the mid-Holocene.

Eruptions within the Bárðarbunga caldera are therefore a possible source for 12 of these floods. Bárðarbunga may have hosted a geothermal area and a subglacial caldera lake similar to present day Grímsvötn, which may explain the repeated, apparently similar-magnitude jökulhlaups over this long period.

With recent unrest at the Bárðarbunga volcanic system, including the 2014-2015 Holuhraun eruption with magma drainage and collapse at Bárðarbunga caldera, jökulhlaups in this category must be considered in preparations for future hazards. On its nearly 180 km long course from Vatnajökull to the bay of Axarfjörður, Jökulsá á Fjöllum traverses several habitated and recreational areas. Keeping in mind significantly thicker ice cover at present, potential jökulhlaups larger than the 6.3-4.1 ka floods should also be considered a possibility.

How to cite: Larsen, G., Gudmundsson, M. T., Gudmundsdóttir, E. R., Oladóttir, B. A., and Sigmarsson, O.: Mid-Holocene jökulhlaups in Jökulsá á Fjöllum, NE-Iceland, correlated to eruptions in Bárðarbunga volcano 6.3 to 4.1 ka ago, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13730, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13730, 2026.

EGU26-14334 | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Photographs of active glaciovolcanism in Iceland over the last three decades - use in research and sharing via EPOS 

Thórdís Högnadóttir, Magnús T. Gudmundsson, and Þyrí Erla L. Sigurdardóttir

 Some of the most active volcanoes in Iceland are ice-covered due to the northerly latitude of the island.  The last three decades have been very active, with six eruptions occurring in glaciers.  These were the Gjálp eruption of 1996, Grímsvötn in 1998, 2004 and 2011, Eyjafjallajökull in 2010, and accompanying the large Holuhraun eruption in 2014-15, and the associated subsidence of the Bárðarbunga caldera a few very minor eruptions occurred under the glacier.  A large number of photos of these events provide unique documentation of glaciovolcanism.   At the Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, monitoring of volcanic eruptions, mostly from aircraft, has been done in a systematic way since 1996.  The photos from the eruptions of Gjálp in 1996 and Grímsvötn in 1998 were taken on film and exist as slides. From 2000 onwards, photos are mostly digital. EPOS (European Plate Observing System) is a multidisciplinary, distributed research infrastructure that facilitates the integrated use of data, data products, and facilities from the solid Earth science community in Europe. Under EPOS, an Icelandic infrastructure project, EPOS-Iceland, has as one of its aims to create a data base of photos from eruptions in Iceland. This project is led by the Iceland Meteorological Office, with participation of the Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, the Iceland GeoSurvey (ISOR) and the Natural Science Institute of Iceland.  The images will include detailed metadata, including the relevant data on event, location, time, type of event and phenomena observed. The EPOS data bases are set up using the FARE principle and the images should therefore be available for future research by those interested in exploiting the data.  The photos used display large scale ice cauldron formation under thick ice (Gjálp 1996), major uplift of a subglacial lake in Grímsvötn caldera associated with this eruption and a major jökuhlaup carrying large ice bergs and destroying bridges.  In the Grímsvötn eruptions (1998, 2004 and 2011) large ice cauldrons with vertical walls developed around the eruption sites and large scale tephra deposition occurred.  In the Eyjafjallajökull eruption (2010), both ice cauldron formation and the propagation of a subglacial lava is documented.  During Bárðarbunga-Holuhraun in 2014-15, the photos document subtle signs of very small eruptions and the 65 m subsidence of the Bárðarbunga caldera, filled with 700-800 m of ice.

How to cite: Högnadóttir, T., Gudmundsson, M. T., and Sigurdardóttir, Þ. E. L.: Photographs of active glaciovolcanism in Iceland over the last three decades - use in research and sharing via EPOS, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14334, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14334, 2026.

EGU26-14515 * | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8 | Highlight

Monitoring glaciers for precursory signs of volcanic activity 

Tryggvi Unnsteinsson, Matteo Spagnolo, Brice Rea, Társilo Girona, Iestyn Barr, and Donal Mullan

Volcanoes can affect overlying glaciers through a variety of processes over a spectrum of spatial and temporal scales. The formation or expansion of melt features (e.g., ice cauldrons) within glaciers have been widely reported as a response to subglacial volcanic unrest and pre-eruptive activity. There are, however, far fewer documented examples of the effects that volcanic unrest may have on individual glacier dynamics. Previous studies have identified higher flow velocities of glaciers near volcanoes, and that some glaciers may speed-up in response to precursory volcanic activity. To investigate the prevalence of such dynamic responses and the potential of using these to inform on volcanic hazards, we carried out a global study of glaciers near volcanoes. We used open-source glacier velocity measurements produced from freely accessible images from the Landsat 4-9, Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellites. We observed a variety of glacier velocity anomalies, some of which can only be explained as volcanically driven. Of note are velocity anomalies associated with jökulhlaups from subglacial geothermal areas in Iceland, as well as glacier speed-ups concurrent to volcanic unrest at Mount Spurr and precursory to a volcanic eruption of Mount Veniaminof in Alaska. Our results demonstrate the feasibility of using free remote sensing products and open-source code to assist with the monitoring of glacierised volcanoes.

How to cite: Unnsteinsson, T., Spagnolo, M., Rea, B., Girona, T., Barr, I., and Mullan, D.: Monitoring glaciers for precursory signs of volcanic activity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14515, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14515, 2026.

EGU26-15330 | ECS | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Submarine volcanism interacted with icesheets in the western Ross Sea, Antarctica  

Jyun-Nai Wu, Masako Tominaga, Kurt S. Panter, Carole Berthod, Jonas Preine, Florian Neumann, Maurice Tivey, and Raquel Negrete-Aranda

The western part of the Ross Sea embayment of Antarctica is a showcase of the interaction among Earth systems at various time and spatial scales marked by volcanic and magmatic emergences.  We present a comprehensive investigation on the distribution and the vicinity of volcanic constructs within the western Ross Sea seafloor, which likely interacted with multiple advances and retreats of continental icesheets over time, using data acquired during the NBP25-01 Expedition(February-April 2025) on RVIB Nathaniel B. Palmer. Our study area is delimited by Ross Ice Shelf and Ross Island on the south and the Pacific to the north and is bordered by Transantarctic Mountains to the west and the Victoria Land Basin to the east with Terror Rift, currently an active magmatic rift under thick sediments, in between. Our expedition provides a refined view of the seafloor composed of widespread underwater volcanism within the Terror Rift Volcanic Field (TRVF) that include several polygenetic volcanic edifices, some of which appear to be highly eroded by ice sheets. Numerous monogenic volcanic cones were also identified, including a remarkable morphological type of flat-topped seamounts that are found throughout the western Ross Sea. They were mapped, sampled, and imaged, all of which provide evidence of varying amounts of erosion, that we suggest is caused by their interaction with grounded or pinned icesheets/shelves in past, including possible interaction during eruption of submarine volcanoes (i.e. glaciovolcanism). To better understand the lithosphere evolution with widespread volcanism that comprise the TRVF, including within the modern rift itself, we also present new heat flow measurements made during the NBP2501 Expedition via a violin-bow type heat flow probe. We conducted a total of 28 heat flow measurements along and across Terror Rift, from the Drygalski Ice Tongue to offshore Ross Island, which is twice the number of measurements taken by previous expeditions in total. The measured heat flow is ~30 and ~5 mW/m2 higher than that of previously modeled in the northern and southern part of the basin, respectively. Conductive thermal modeling of volcanism along faults cannot fully explain the heat flow pattern of 90-110 mW/m2 across the Terror Rift. Whereas hydrothermal cooling can effectively extract heat from young volcanism, as evidenced by imagery of and recovery of thermally altered materials, fluid circulation alone cannot simulate the heat flow pattern. The seafloor may experience a near-pure conductive heating condition during the Last Glacial Maximum as been suggested by our seafloor morphology characterization above. However,the high heat flow (at average of 100 mW/m2) would melt the base of thick ice at a rate of ~1 mm/yr, creating a nearly equivalent condition as in an open ocean setting. We therefore suggest the observed heat flow pattern is overwhelmingly reflecting a broader tectonic process, likely associated with a steeper geotherm through the lithosphere while minimizing the “icy blanket” effect in the Ross Sea, implying a shallower lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary at 45-55 km below seafloor across the Terror rift. These findings are critical to models for lithospheric rigidity and isostatic response to glacial cyclicity.

How to cite: Wu, J.-N., Tominaga, M., Panter, K. S., Berthod, C., Preine, J., Neumann, F., Tivey, M., and Negrete-Aranda, R.: Submarine volcanism interacted with icesheets in the western Ross Sea, Antarctica , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15330, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15330, 2026.

EGU26-22547 | Posters on site | GMPV10.8

Extreme basal heat flow and presumptive subglacial thermal springs in Northeast Greenland 

Eva Bendix Nielsen, William Colgan, Mikkel Aaby Kruse, Allison M. Chartrand, Anja Løkkegaard, Anja Rutishauser, Diogo Rosa, Kristian Svennevig, Joseph A. MacGregor, Majken Djurhuus Poulsen, Michael Kühl, and Shfaqat Abbas Khan

While subaerial thermal springs are common around Greenland’s ice-free periphery, such springs have not yet been documented beneath the ice that covers ~85% of Greenland. Here, we present evidence that presumptive subglacial thermal springs play a critical role in maintaining two major subglacial lakes beneath Flade Isblink, in Northeast Greenland. The thermogenesis of these subglacial thermal springs may be hitherto undocumented recent volcanism, or exothermic weathering. This latter thermogenesis would be associated with the inflow of oxygenated meltwater and oceanic water into a tectonically fractured, pyrite-rich, carbonaceous mudstone basement beneath the ice cap. We estimate that these springs deliver localized basal heat flows of >960 mW m–2 beneath both lakes. This is extremely elevated relative to background geothermal flow. This heat flow maintains locally thawed ice-bed interfaces at the subglacial lakes, in an otherwise frozen-bedded ice cap. Given the sensitivity of ice flow to basal thermal state, subglacial thermal springs can therefore have a potent influence on local ice dynamics.

How to cite: Bendix Nielsen, E., Colgan, W., Aaby Kruse, M., Chartrand, A. M., Løkkegaard, A., Rutishauser, A., Rosa, D., Svennevig, K., MacGregor, J. A., Djurhuus Poulsen, M., Kühl, M., and Abbas Khan, S.: Extreme basal heat flow and presumptive subglacial thermal springs in Northeast Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22547, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22547, 2026.

GM8 – Coastal and Submarine Geomorphology

EGU26-250 | ECS | Orals | GM8.1

The Krishna Slide: A newly discovered massive submarine slide off the Eastern Indian Margin 

Bijesh Cheriya Moothoor, Abhimanyu Rajan, and John Kurian Palayil

Submarine mass-wasting processes significantly shape continental margins and represent major geohazards, such as tsunamis and damage to offshore infrastructure. Despite being a classic example of a passive margin, the Indian continental margin remains relatively understudied in terms of submarine mass-wasting processes compared to other global margins. This margin contains several petroliferous basins, with the Krishna-Godavari Basin being a key area for deep-water hydrocarbon exploration along the Eastern Indian Margin.
Recent high-resolution multibeam bathymetric data from the Krishna Basin have revealed, for the first time, the presence of a giant submarine slide. The headscarp lies about 10 km offshore, near the mouth of the Krishna River, which delivers a large sediment load to the margin. Morphometric analysis reveals a slide scar with a perimeter of approximately 60 km and a surface area of about 1,600 sq. km, making it one of the largest documented submarine slides along the Indian continental margin. The associated mass transport deposits (MTDs) extend over an area of ~5000 sq. km, reaching up to 160 km seaward from the scar, indicating a large-scale sediment remobilisation event.
The morphology of the slide scar and the widespread distribution of the MTDs suggest the occurrence of multiple landslide events following an initial megaslide. An integrated analysis of marine geophysical data and geological context indicates that several factors likely contributed to slope instability. These include the presence of gas hydrates, high sediment influx in the upper slope region from the Krishna River, regional fault systems, and neotectonic activities - all of which appear to be primary contributors to the megaslide. Additionally, recent studies propose that intense cyclonic activity in the Bay of Bengal may also act as a trigger for recurrent submarine slides, highlighting the complex interplay of geological and climatic influences in this region.

How to cite: Cheriya Moothoor, B., Rajan, A., and Palayil, J. K.: The Krishna Slide: A newly discovered massive submarine slide off the Eastern Indian Margin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-250, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-250, 2026.

Methane stored in shallow marine sediments significantly affects seafloor stability, and influence ocean-atmosphere interactions. Since methane is a potent greenhouse gas, its release influences regional biogeochemical cycles and benthic ecosystems. Along continental margins, favourable conditions promote biogenic methanogenesis and gas hydrate formation. Understanding how methane migrates beneath the base of hydrate stability is therefore essential, particularly because hydrate dissociation near the feather edge of continental slope releases methane to the seabed. Pockmarks form when gas escapes from shallow overpressure zones. Overpressure may develop through hydrate dissociation or through the accumulation of free gas below low-permeability layers. Once pressure exceeds the sealing capacity of the overlying sediments, gas can migrate upward and eventually vent at the seabed.

In the offshore Taranaki Basin, west of New Zealand’s North Island, high-resolution 3D seismic data reveal ~300 pockmarks between 300-700 m water depth. Beneath many of these pockmarks, the seismic data show tiers of near-vertically stacked shallow-gas bright spots, indicating focused migration pathways in the shallow subsurface across the foresets of a prograding clinoform system.

The theoretical stability limit for pure methane hydrates locally aligns with the shallowest bright anomalies. However, most anomalies lie within the free-gas zone landward of the methane-hydrate outcrop and beneath large parts of the pockmark field. Over the past ~16 kyr, bottom-water temperatures along the slope have warmed by ~2.25 °C, shifting the hydrate-stability feather edge downslope by ~1.7 km. This warming-driven retreat  can account for only ~20% of the observed pockmarks. While the presence of gas hydrates can deflect gas updip, there is no clear seismic evidence for a bottom-simulating reflection. Instead, gas appears to ascend upslope through a range of stratigraphic heterogeneities, such as cyclic steps that climb obliquely, scour rims, channel cuts, and levee deposits, which collectively provide localized pathways for migration.

In gently dipping (2-3°) slope, free gas beneath the hydrate stability zone would preferentially migrate updip along permeable strata toward the shelf edge. However, 3D seismic data show bright spots concentrated within scour rims, channel levees, and the crests of cyclic steps that act as effective traps updip of the upper limit of hydrate stability at the clinoform foresets. Gas is accumulated within levee deposits of vertically aggrading and laterally shifting channel-levee systems, where repeated cut-and-fill cycles build stacked fining-upward units. The climbing geometry of cyclic steps redirects gas vertically upslope along their crests, enhancing upward migration, while fine-grained scour infill inhibit lateral migration.3D visualization shows that such traps form multiple tiers of shallow-gas pockets linked by focused gas-flow. Together, these relationships demonstrate that fluid migration is strongly controlled by sedimentary architecture shaped by turbidity current-controlled depositional processes at the foresets of the prograding clinoforms. The clustering of numerous pockmarks above these vertically stacked gas zones strongly indicates that stratigraphic focusing, rather than along-slope migration at the base of the hydrate stability zone, controls gas ascent.

How to cite: Bhattacharya, I. and Sarkar, S.: Stratigraphic Controls on Gas Migration and Pockmark Formation at the foreset of a Prograding Clinoform System west of North Island, New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-724, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-724, 2026.

EGU26-747 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Characterizing Arctic cold seep habitats from shelf to slope (a case study in the Vestbakken province) 

Fereshteh Hemmateenejad, Arianna Caneva, Carlotta Redaelli, Luca Fallati, Inés Barrenechea Angeles, Claudio Argentino, Giuliana Panieri, and Alessandra Savini

Understanding methane seepage dynamics in Arctic cold seep systems is crucial for knowing the implications of their impact on the Arctic Ocean habitats. The Barents Sea, characterized by active sub-seafloor fluid flow, serves as an ideal setting for investigating the environmental factors that interact with seepage dynamics in Arctic cold seep habitats. This study presents a multidisciplinary investigation of cold seeps explored during the AKMA3 expedition (May 2023) along the Vestbakken shelf and slope (SW Barents Sea). The research combines (i) detailed visual analyses of seafloor imagery acquired by the Aurora Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV), (ii) sedimentological and biogeochemical analyses on three ROV-collected push cores and blade corers, and (iii) a preliminary assessment of living benthic foraminiferal communities. ROV video annotation allowed the identification and classification of multiple distinct microhabitats and cold seep indicators along the explored seafloor based on seafloor characteristics. A clear relationship between sediment type and the distribution of chemosynthetic communities on the seafloor is evident in ROV track analysis. Sedimentological and geochemical data provided quantitative evidence of seep-related processes and enabled a refined characterization of the substrate associated with each microhabitat type. Geochemical profiles revealed fine-scale lateral variability in sediment composition and porewater chemistry, reflecting the heterogeneous and dynamic nature of seepage in the area. The analysis of living foraminiferal assemblages revealed systematic differences between shelf and slope sites, indicating biological responses to seep-driven environmental gradients and variations in the depth of the sulfate–methane transition zone (SMTZ). Together, these multidisciplinary observations provide new insight into the significance of seafloor composition in controlling seepage dynamics near the sediment-water interface and, ultimately, shaping these habitats in the high Arctic.

How to cite: Hemmateenejad, F., Caneva, A., Redaelli, C., Fallati, L., Barrenechea Angeles, I., Argentino, C., Panieri, G., and Savini, A.: Characterizing Arctic cold seep habitats from shelf to slope (a case study in the Vestbakken province), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-747, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-747, 2026.

Deltaic sedimentation plays a crucial role in shaping submarine geomorphology. During the deposition of the Neogene Hanjiang Formation, the Enping Sag was situated at the front of the ancient Pearl River delta. Influenced by the interplay of fluvial, wave, and tidal hydrodynamics, it developed a complex submarine geomorphological pattern. Investigating the genesis and distribution of sand bodies at the Neogene delta front in this area is essential for understanding the spatial arrangement of various sedimentary bodies and their geomorphological effects. Based on a high-frequency sequence stratigraphic framework, this study integrates core, thin-section, well-log, and seismic data. Utilizing seismic sedimentology, thin-layer seismic inversion, and 3D geological modeling, combined with fifth-order relative sea-level curves, we systematically characterize the three-dimensional distribution of sedimentary microfacies within sub-layers of the Hanjiang Formation and their impact on submarine geomorphology. Results indicate that sedimentation during this period was predominantly controlled by fluvial-wave interactions, forming delta-front deposits comprising five microfacies. Subaqueous distributary channels, trending approximately north–south, consist mainly of medium-grained sandstone with muddy intraclasts and scour-fill structures, forming a distinct submarine channel system. Channel-adjacent deposits (e.g., crevasse splays and natural levees) form belt-like gentle slopes or levee microtopography along channel margins, characterized by poor sorting. Wave influence promoted the development of shore-parallel coastal sand bars and extensive inter-bar sheet sands. Coastal bars are composed of medium- to fine-grained sand, exhibit segmented grain-size curves and bioturbation, and form elongated uplifted geomorphological units. Sheet sands are dominated by silty fine sand containing bioclasts, forming broad, flat submarine plains. Relative sea-level fluctuations significantly influenced submarine geomorphological evolution: during lowstands, subaqueous distributary channels and adjacent sands dominated, producing an incised and aggradational channel–levee landscape; during highstands, coastal bars and sheet sands were widespread, shaping a shore-parallel bar–sheet sand geomorphology.

How to cite: Bai, Y., Wang, G., and Yin, Z.: Impact of Delta-Front Sedimentation on Submarine Geomorphology: A Case Study of the Neogene Hanjiang Formation, Northern Enping Sag, South China Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1516, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1516, 2026.

EGU26-4426 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Earthquake regulation of nitrogen dynamics in subduction zone  

Shen Li, Rui Bao, Xianbiao Lin, Mingzhi Liu, Macheal Strasser, and Mengfan Chu

Hadal trenches at subduction margins represent hotspots where episodic tectonic events can reorganize sedimentation and biogeochemical processing. In particular, earthquake-triggered depositional pulses may redistribute and rapidly bury matter including nitrogen. Despite this potential importance, nitrogen burial in the deepest trench environments is still poorly constrained, and how earthquakes modulate nitrogen inputs, internal cycling, and delivery toward subduction remains unclear. Here, we measured elemental and isotopic geochemical parameters from high-resolution long sediment cores drilled at the Japan Trench during IODP Expedition 386. By integrating high-resolution event stratigraphy with robust chronological constraints, we quantified nitrogen inputs, transformations, and burial under two contrasting depositional regimes: background sedimentation and earthquake-triggered event deposition. We find that earthquake event layers deliver nitrogen-bearing material and are associated with substantially enhanced nitrogen burial relative to background intervals. Estimated nitrogen burial fluxes rise from ~24 to ~300 Tg N yr-1 and the event-driven flux exceeds published deep-sea mean burial estimates by ~1.5×102. In addition, earthquake-triggered event deposition markedly increases the relative proportion of bioavailable nitrogen in trench sediments, from 82.6% in background intervals to 91.4%. Collectively, these changes in the bioavailable nitrogen supply may diversify nitrogen transformation pathways, manifesting as a more complex nitrogen-cycling signal in hadal trench sediments. We propose a "seismic nitrogen pump" in which earthquakes transiently accelerate nitrogen cycling through organic matter activation and mass transport, enhancing sedimentary retention and potentially reshaping the subducting nitrogen reservoir. Our findings challenge the view of trenches as static nitrogen repositories, identifying tectonic forcing as a key driver of subduction-zone biogeochemistry and underscoring the need to incorporate episodic perturbations into global nitrogen budgets and deep carbon–nitrogen coupling frameworks.

How to cite: Li, S., Bao, R., Lin, X., Liu, M., Strasser, M., and Chu, M.: Earthquake regulation of nitrogen dynamics in subduction zone , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4426, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4426, 2026.

EGU26-5211 | ECS | Orals | GM8.1

Field observations of a delta-lip failure generating a turbidity current in a lake 

Stan Thorez, Ulrich Lemmin, D. Andrew Barry, and Koen Blanckaert

Turbidity currents are one of the largest sediment-moving processes across our planet, connecting terrestrial sources to deep sea sinks. They play an important part in the transport and burial of organic material, transport contaminants such as microplastics and can reach velocities of multiple meters per second, at which point they form a hazard to submarine infrastructure. In lacustrine environments, they influence water quality by delivering nutrients and oxygen along the water column. Understanding what triggers the formation of turbidity currents is therefore key. Recently, some works have shed a light on the role of transient storage of sediment in the triggering of turbidity currents in oceans. In this model, the near-shore sea bed is preconditioned by the delivery of fresh sediment, either by river inflow or alongshore transport, until it is remobilized by wave action, slope failure or otherwise, and a turbidity current forms. However, the role of transient sediment storage in lakes has received little attention. In this contribution, its potential to precondition the bed for turbidity current generation in the Rhône River-fed lacustrine channel in Lake Geneva will be investigated.

A combination of repeat event-wise gridded boat-towed Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements, years-long infrared timelapse camera imagery and months-long moored ADCP measurements were used to study the occurrence of turbidity currents and coinciding changes in the bed depth near the Rhône River mouth at Lake Geneva.

The boat-towed ADCP measurements revealed an aggradation over three months and a subsequent degradation over two weeks of up to 11 m near the river mouth. The structure of the bed changes pointed out that they were caused by a progradation and transgression of the delta lip. Timelapse images of the Rhône River plume showed an abrupt plume retreat symptomatic of a sudden slope failure, rather than a gradual erosion of the bed. In fjord systems, such failures have been proven to cause strong turbidity current events. Indeed, in this work timelapse images of a similar abrupt plume retreat were linked to a strong turbidity current event in the Lake Geneva lacustrine channel, establishing a link between transient storage of sediment followed by slope failures, and strong turbidity current generation in lakes.

How to cite: Thorez, S., Lemmin, U., Barry, D. A., and Blanckaert, K.: Field observations of a delta-lip failure generating a turbidity current in a lake, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5211, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5211, 2026.

EGU26-6914 | ECS | Orals | GM8.1

Noto Canyon, Sicily: Terminal Spillway of the Zanclean Flood and Earth’s Largest Fossil Waterfall Indicating a ~2200 m Sea-Level Drawdown 

Benedikt Haimerl, Christian Hübscher, Aaron Micallef, and Angelo Camerlenghi

The subsequent refilling of the Mediterranean Sea following the Messinian Salinity Crisis (~5.33 Ma) represents one of the most extreme flood events in Earth history.

The magnitude of the sea level drawdown during the Messinian Salinity Crisis is heavily debated since its discovery in the 70s. Previous studies utilized a diverse range of methods and proxies to quantify the drawdown. Estimates vary significantly, spanning from less than 500 metres to more than 2 km. This variability largely reflects the method-dependent nature of the reconstructions: flexural–isostatic models typically yield lower drawdowns (hundreds of metres), geomorphic canyon analyses suggest intermediate to large values (~500–1500 m), while evaporite mass-balance and isotopic approaches imply the highest drawdowns, consistent with kilometre-scale or greater drops in the Eastern Mediterranean.

New marine seismic reflection data reveal a prominent, amphitheatre-shaped, erosional scarp at the base of the Noto Canyon, whose morphology and dimensions are consistent with its interpretation as the terminal spillway of the Zanclean Flood. The feature represents the largest fossil waterfall identified to date. The morphology of the canyon and the geometry of its scarp, including its amphitheatre shape, relief, and lateral extent, are the products of the extraordinary hydraulic energy unleashed during the catastrophic Atlantic inflow.

The geological setting is challenging, featuring steep canyon flanks, out-of-plane reflections, and complex sedimentary layering. Notwithstanding, the geomorphology that has been preserved enables an estimation to be made of a sea-level drawdown of approximately 2200 m in the Eastern Mediterranean. Numerical hydrological and landscape-evolution models reproduce similarly large drawdowns, but emphasise temporal and local variability rather than a single static lowstand, suggesting that much of the published spread reflects methodological sensitivity, rather than fundamentally incompatible sea-level scenarios.

These findings demonstrate the substantial influence of gateway geomorphology in constraining past sea-level changes, and provide a more accurate understanding of both the magnitude and erosional impact of the Zanclean Flood and the associated ~2200 m sea-level drawdown in the Eastern Mediterranean, with broader implications for Mediterranean palaeogeography and hydrodynamics during extreme paleo-flood events.

How to cite: Haimerl, B., Hübscher, C., Micallef, A., and Camerlenghi, A.: Noto Canyon, Sicily: Terminal Spillway of the Zanclean Flood and Earth’s Largest Fossil Waterfall Indicating a ~2200 m Sea-Level Drawdown, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6914, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6914, 2026.

EGU26-7538 | Posters on site | GM8.1

Integrated Geohazard Risk Assessment for Offshore Operations Combining Multiple Data Sources 

Federico Borsari, Matteo Fornari, and Muttoni Luigi

Offshore drilling operations in continental and ultra-deep waters are mandatory to guarantee energy security and perform CCUS activities to reduce the environmental impact of O&G Industry.
However, offshore environments are related to high levels of risk that must be taken into consideration during operation planning. This is mainly because of shallow and buried geohazards that could potentially occur and affect asset integrity and operations, with time and economic losses, damage to equipment and in extreme cases environmental issues and human losses.

ENI has developed a workflow in accordance with IOGP standards for offshore drilling operations to identify and characterize natural hazards on and below the seafloor and eventually provide solutions to meet the project requirements for different departments (e.g. Exploration, Engineering, Drilling and Completion). This goal is achieved through continuous analyses and integration with bathymetric, seismic, geotechnical, satellite data and well-logs.

The workflow investigates two different domains, seafloor and sub-seafloor, both at regional and local scale.
The seafloor domain is examined through the computation of morphometric attributes to detect and characterize obstacles like boulders and depressions along the seabottom, perform heterogeneity analyses and identify preferential flow-paths. A flow analysis is further developed internally to estimate the energy of debris flows against the assets in terms of velocity and excess density.
The sub-seafloor domain is investigated by means of seismic interpretation and seismic attribute computation from available data to identify and characterize buried faults and landslides, hard-grounds and seismic anomalies possibly related to oil or gas spikes. Direct Hydrocarbon Indicators are further evaluated to classify the seismic anomalies in terms of negligible, low, moderate or high gas risk.
Open-source SAR images are then interpreted to detect natural oil seeps in the environment and link them to geological objects like salt diapirs, faults and fracture networks.
This allows a better understanding of the migration paths of natural oil and gas to the surface mitigating also the possible environmental impact.
Field data like CPTUs and core-logs are interpreted to detect buried landslides or local hard grounds and estimate geotechnical parameters of the shallow soil cover up to 30 m. These results are further implemented to perform a slope stability analysis and risk zonation close to the facilities.
In conclusion, cross-sections, detailed slope analyses and statistics are performed to detect geohazards close to the well location and along the pipeline route.
If available, well-to-well correlations are investigated by means of well-logs to identify different soil units.

All these results are collected into a final report comprehensive of geomorphological, bathymetric and slope maps. The report contains also a top-hole prognosis indicating all the geohazards crossed by the asset to support offshore operations.

Geohazard studies are continuously updated from the exploration to the development phases of the project to obtain a complete and functional knowledge of the area of interest as new data are available.
This integrated approach has been effectively applied to different scenarios, significantly reducing the uncertainties and allowing the quick detection and management of geohazards to mitigate the risks of offshore activities.

How to cite: Borsari, F., Fornari, M., and Luigi, M.: Integrated Geohazard Risk Assessment for Offshore Operations Combining Multiple Data Sources, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7538, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7538, 2026.

EGU26-9687 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Accurate Recognition of Deep-Sea Small-Size Polymetallic Nodules Based on Multi-source Data and Deep Learning Model 

Mingwei Wang, Ziyin Wu, Linghe Kong, Yutong Liu, Dineng Zhao, Jianbing Chen, Haiyang Hu, and Xiang Meng

Solid mineral resources form the essential material foundation for the sustainable development of human society. The international seabed hosts vast and potentially valuable mineral deposits, among which deep-sea polymetallic nodules represent a key marine resource. Focusing on a specific area in the Western Pacific, this study aims to identify and classify small-scale polymetallic nodules in the deep-sea environment. We employ super-resolution reconstruction methods to enhance the resolution of deep-sea hydroacoustic images. Subsequently, a super-pixel segmentation approach is applied to construct a sample enhancement model for deep-sea objects, enabling in-depth extraction of multi-dimensional heterogeneous features from seabed targets and facilitating the effective development of training samples. Constrained by geological seabed samples, an accurate recognition model for seabed polymetallic nodules is established, achieving intelligent mineral classification based on multi-source data such as bathymetry and backscatter. Ultimately, by leveraging the generalization capability of the model, the recognition and classification of untrained samples can be accomplished, thereby promoting the application of the proposed algorithm in large-scale deep-sea mineral exploration.

How to cite: Wang, M., Wu, Z., Kong, L., Liu, Y., Zhao, D., Chen, J., Hu, H., and Meng, X.: Accurate Recognition of Deep-Sea Small-Size Polymetallic Nodules Based on Multi-source Data and Deep Learning Model, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9687, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9687, 2026.

The submerged landforms that presently form part of the continental shelf of northern Spain, constituted the coastal environment during the late Pleistocene, when sea levels were significantly lower. These landscapes likely included large floodplains, various river mouths and estuarine conditions that are largely absent from modern coastal settings. These landforms are crucial for reconstructing topographic features and resource availability during the Pleistocene, prior to the inundation of the Atlantic margin during the sea level increments of the Holocene.  

The research presented is an ongoing Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions (MSCA) project that aims to explore the modern continental shelf and delineate areas of high potential for human territorial evidences. It employs the geophysical and sedimentary analysis of data from a series of exploration projects that were conducted along the continental shelf to investigate the palaeoenvironment, namely the PaleoSUB Project (2017-2020). Initial sea bed surveys were carried out using sonar equipment to produce digital elevation models (DEMs) and seismic datasets to serve as the foundations for the reconstruction of this submerged landscape. Moreover, the bathymetric surveys are complemented with data extracted from vibro-core samples, collected from off-shore contexts within the bathymetric survey zone. The data includes sedimentological analysis, malacofauna species and isotopic analysis, and x-ray florescent (XRF) geochemical assessments of the submarine deposits. Radiocarbon and Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) dating were also conducted to place the datasets within a chronological framework.  

The integration and interpretation of these results allow for clearer temporal identification of palaeoshorelines and seasonal environmental variations derived from the aforementioned multiple proxy indicators. Collectively, these approaches aim to reconstruct the most accurate localised environmental scenarios along the continental shelf of northern Spain, contributing to an improved understanding of human territorial expansion through geomorphological and morphometric analyses, modelling techniques, and prehistoric contextualisation within an underwater landscape. This interdisciplinary approach is the first of its kind in the region, combining the physical properties with the theoretical knowledge of human practices. 

How to cite: Mifsud, J.: Lost Pleistocene Territories: Exploration of Submerged Geomorphological Palaeo-Landforms along Northern Spain., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10463, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10463, 2026.

Accurate hydrographic surveying in coastal environments requires not only high-resolution multibeam echosounder (MBES) measurements but also structured and reproducible data processing workflows that enable validation of applied corrections. This study presents a stepwise methodology for MBES data processing and quality assessment, focusing on the evaluation of successive correction stages and their impact on bathymetric products. The workflow is implemented using the open-source software GLOBE and demonstrated on MBES data acquired in the Argolic Gulf (Greece), provided by the Hellenic Navy Hydrographic Service (HNHS).

The Argolic Gulf is a semi-enclosed coastal basin with variable bathymetry, making it a suitable test case for assessing the influence of navigation, sound velocity, and tidal corrections. The dataset originates from a nearshore hydrographic survey conducted with a hull-mounted SeaBat 7125 multibeam echosounder system. Data delivered by the HNHS included raw multibeam soundings, associated navigation data, sound velocity profiles, and official tide information required for standard hydrographic post-processing. Processing of sound velocity profiles was carried out using DORIS, an open-source software package.

The proposed workflow consists of a sequence of correction steps, including navigation correction, sound velocity adjustment, tidal referencing, geometric transformations, and targeted filtering of outliers. Each step is evaluated independently through the generation of intermediate Digital Terrain Models (DTMs), enabling direct comparison of bathymetric surfaces before and after each correction. Stepwise validation is based on systematic map comparison. Intermediate DTMs generated in GLOBE, are imported into the open-source GIS environment QGIS, where thematic depth maps, bathymetric difference surfaces, and representative depth profiles along characteristic transects are produced. This combined map- and profile-based evaluation supports supervision and validation of applied corrections, facilitating the identification of systematic artefacts such as sound velocity–related curvature patterns, navigation-induced shifts, and localized swath-edge noise.

The stepwise comparison of intermediate bathymetric surfaces enables systematic validation and supervision of MBES corrections, demonstrating that individual correction effects can be assessed independently and that the reliability of the final bathymetric product can be evaluated prior to acceptance. The proposed workflow supports reproducible hydrographic surveying and contributes to improved reliability and interpretability of MBES-derived bathymetric surfaces in coastal and nearshore environments.

How to cite: Boursoukis, I. and Anastasiou, D.: Stepwise Validation of Multibeam Echosounder Data Processing Using an Open-Source Processing Workflow: A Case Study in the Argolic Gulf (Greece), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11449, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11449, 2026.

EGU26-12660 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Submarine geomorphology and late Quaternary evolution of the Taranto offshore (southern Italy) under natural and anthropogenic controls. 

Vito D'Abbicco, Francesco De Giosa, Alessia de Luca, Teresa Fracchiolla, Guglielmo Gianolio, Stefania Lisco, Giuseppe Mastronuzzi, and Massimo Moretti

This study presents a multidisciplinary geological and environmental characterization of the submerged offshore area of Taranto (Apulia, southern Italy), developed within the framework of the Italian National Cartographic Project (CARG), coordinated by ISPRA. The investigated area includes Mar Piccolo, Mar Grande, and the northern Ionian Sea, forming a complex coastal–marine system characterized by strong environmental heterogeneity, high marine biodiversity, and intense anthropogenic pressure.

The study area comprises three marine basins with different geomorphological and hydrodynamic settings: the shallow and semi-enclosed Mar Piccolo, the circular Mar Grande basin and the open northern Ionian Sea, reaching depths of up to 1,500 m. This variability exerts a strong control on sedimentary processes, habitat distribution, and the spatial imprint of human activities on the seafloor.

The research integrates high-resolution geophysical and acoustic datasets acquired through Multibeam Echosounder (MBES), Side-Scan Sonar (SSS) and Sub-Bottom Profiler (SBP) surveys. Seabed morphology and habitat mapping are primarily based on Side-Scan Sonar data acquired using a dual-frequency system (100–500 kHz). The data were processed into georeferenced acoustic mosaics with a spatial resolution of 0,50 m and analyzed within a GIS environment for detailed seabed classification and interpretation.

Acoustic backscatter analysis allowed the identification and mapping of benthic habitats, including seagrass meadows and bioconstructions, through correlation with substrate type, bathymetry, and light penetration. The high spatial resolution of the SSS mosaics also enabled the recognition of seabed features related to anthropogenic activities, such as dredging marks and infrastructure-related modifications, whose distribution was mapped at an areal scale due to their density and spatial extent.

Stratigraphic interpretation is based on the identification of key seismic unconformities and depositional sequences within a sequence-stratigraphic framework spanning from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present. In the Mar Piccolo basin, this framework is constrained by borehole data, radiocarbon dating, and sedimentary facies analysis. Correlation with the shelf domain is locally hindered by the disturbances related to the anthropic activities, while the correlation with the slope domain is is made more complex by the presence of substrate outcrops and chaotic seismic bodies, interpreted as submarine landslides related to sea-level fall stages.

The resulting integrated geodatabase gives its contribution to the first comprehensive geological map project of the Italian seabed and provides a robust framework for reconstructing sedimentary dynamics, sea-level fluctuations, and cumulative anthropogenic impacts. These results support sustainable coastal management, marine ecosystem conservation, and ecological transition strategies in line with current Blue Economy and environmental policy objectives.

How to cite: D'Abbicco, V., De Giosa, F., de Luca, A., Fracchiolla, T., Gianolio, G., Lisco, S., Mastronuzzi, G., and Moretti, M.: Submarine geomorphology and late Quaternary evolution of the Taranto offshore (southern Italy) under natural and anthropogenic controls., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12660, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12660, 2026.

EGU26-13394 | Orals | GM8.1

The spatial extent of trawl marks in the German Baltic Sea basins and their relation to the composition of the subsurface.  

Peter Feldens, Inken Schulze, Elisabeth Seidel, Jacob Geersen, Judith Piontek, and Mischa Schönke

Bottom trawling represents the largest anthropogenic source of physical disturbance to seafloor morphology, sediment texture and composition, and benthic habitats. Past studies have shown that the morphological traces left by bottom trawling in the Baltic Sea remain stable for a year to more than a decade depending on area. The persistence of trawling-induced morphology is particularly relevant with the currently declining fishing pressure. The steeply declining trawling intensity provides the opportunity to establish baseline maps of trawling impacts and investigate how a trawled seafloor re-naturalizes after trawling has stopped. Here, we train a convolutional neural network to map trawl marks in bathymetric grids of 1 m resolution largely provided by the German Federal Maritime Agency for Kiel Bay, Fehmarn Belt, Mecklenburg Bay and Arkona Basin in the Western Baltic Sea. The model operates directly on bathymetric grids and is robust to artifacts, allowing monitoring of trawl marks with low effort. The calculated trawl mark density is a measure of the cumulative morphological impact of trawling in the different areas. For the Fehmarn Belt marine protected area, where bottom trawling was excluded in 2025, differential bathymetric data show no substantial seafloor recovery after one year, and new trawl marks are observed. Small areas of low trawling activity around seafloor obstacles such as pockmarks, boulders and wrecks allow the direct comparison of a pristine (Holocene-like) seafloor with an adjacent heavily trawled seafloor. Here, seafloor roughness decreases with increasing trawling intensity, potentially related to sediment resuspension and flattening by ground ropes that are not directly image by acoustic surveys. Untrawled seafloor locally elevates slightly above the surrounding trawled seafloor, potentially caused by long-term erosive effects of sediment reworking by bottom trawling. Initial results suggest a relationship of near-subseafloor free methane fronts to areas of intense trawling, suggesting that trawling can also effect the flux of climate relevant trace-gases into the water column. We further analyze vertical profiles of benthic microbial communities at stations with different trawling intensity.

How to cite: Feldens, P., Schulze, I., Seidel, E., Geersen, J., Piontek, J., and Schönke, M.: The spatial extent of trawl marks in the German Baltic Sea basins and their relation to the composition of the subsurface. , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13394, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13394, 2026.

EGU26-13908 | Posters on site | GM8.1

Post-obduction tectono-sedimentary architecture of the Cornes Sud platform (New Caledonia): New insights from the POPCORN geophysical cruise (April 2026) 

Virginie Gaullier, France Pattier, Jean-Baptiste Parmentier, Nadège Champilou, François Schmitt, Maximilien Mathian, Alain Zanella, and Peggy Gunkel-Grillon

The lake region of the Massif Sud of New Caledonia, designated as a Ramsar site in 2014, represents the largest freshwater reservoir on the island and hosts fossil remnants of an ancient detrital system, the Fluvio-Lacustrine Formation (FLF). This formation is mainly composed of sediments eroded from the surrounding lateritic massifs and displays a high degree of internal structural complexity. Recent studies conducted at ISEA (University of New Caledonia) have shown that certain sedimentary levels are particularly enriched in metallic elements, raising questions about potential recurrent transfers between these sediments and present-day fluvial systems. To investigate the system as a whole using a “source-to-sink” approach, we carried out the POPCORN campaign (Post-obduction tectono-sedimentary characterization of the Cornes Sud platform of New Caledonia: What influence of ultrabasic massifs?), scheduled from 2 to 22 April 2026. The campaign aims to acquire very high-resolution (VHR) Sparker seismic profiles and multibeam bathymetry across the Cornes Sud platform, extending offshore from the FLF, combined with Kullenberg coring to provide geological and chronostratigraphic calibration of the geophysical data. The Cornes Sud platform, located between Grande Terre and Île des Pins, has received very limited investigation compared to the southwestern lagoon (Le Roy and Cabioch, 2004; Le Roy and Jorry, 2013; Le Roy et al., 2008, 2019) and the eastern margin (Chardon et al., 2008; Le Roy et al., 2022a, 2022b; Kerouédan et al., 2024a, 2024b). The western and eastern lagoons display contrasting morphologies associated with opposite vertical movements since the New Caledonian obduction (Lagabrielle et al., 2005 ; Tournadour et al., 2021). The Cornes Sud platform lies in direct continuation of the Massif Sud and forms the southern link between these two lagoons. It is characterized by several channelized systems (5-Miles, Prony, and Port Boisé), all affected by the Havannah Fault. The acquisition of Sparker seismic profiles and multibeam bathymetry, combined with sediment sampling, will allow identification and characterization of the tectono-sedimentary architecture of this poorly explored area and reconstruction of sedimentary and associated metallic element transfer pathways from continental fluvio-lacustrine systems (Fluvio-Lacustrine Formation, FLF) to carbonate platform deposits. This campaign forms part of a strategic research effort aimed at improving geological and environmental knowledge of a largely unexplored coastal zone. It is integrated within a broader research program focused on the FLF conducted by the same scientific team (TelluS-SYSTER PONCES and METALFLAP projects) and represents a key component of the land–sea continuum. The diversity of methodologies employed, together with the multidisciplinary nature of the research team, will enable reconstruction of the post-obduction evolution of the Massif Sud of New Caledonia based on sedimentary records, from the onshore Fluvio-Lacustrine Formation to the offshore Cornes Sud platform. Preliminary results from the POPCORN campaign will be presented here, focusing on seafloor morphology, sedimentary architecture, and styles of tectonic deformation within the study area. Particular emphasis is placed on identifying offshore expressions of the Fluvio-Lacustrine Formation previously studied on land.

How to cite: Gaullier, V., Pattier, F., Parmentier, J.-B., Champilou, N., Schmitt, F., Mathian, M., Zanella, A., and Gunkel-Grillon, P.: Post-obduction tectono-sedimentary architecture of the Cornes Sud platform (New Caledonia): New insights from the POPCORN geophysical cruise (April 2026), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13908, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13908, 2026.

EGU26-14867 | ECS | Orals | GM8.1

Surface morphology and internal architecture of Holocene Halimeda bioherms in the northern Great Barrier Reef 

Zsanett Szilagyi, Luke Nothdurft, Stephanie Duce, Jody Webster, Mardi McNeil, Juan-Carlos Braga, Trevor Graham, Maria Byrne, Bethany C. Behrens, Yusuke Yokoyama, Robin Beaman, Victorien Paumard, Jeffrey Shragge, Amy Nau, Christopher Berry, Catherine Kim, Sarah Goh, Jacquelin Reeves, Lara Picton, and Helen Bostock

Halimeda (calcareous green algae) bioherms are among the largest accumulations of biogenic sediment within the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park, covering more than 6000 km2 of the continental shelf and exceeding the area of adjacent coral reefs at equivalent latitudes1. Previous studies have documented their circular to reticulate shapes, the internal structure and thickness, underscoring their uncertain genesis and major contribution to the global Holocene neritic carbonate factory2,3. However, a detailed understanding of the formation and development of these uniquely shaped bioherms has been limited by the lack of high-resolution bathymetric maps, surface sediment samples, and densely spaced core material that target geomorphological variability.

This study presents new data from the RV Investigator voyage IN2022_V07 “Halimeda bioherms: Origins, function and fate in the northern Great Barrier Reef (HALO)”. The first sub-metre resolution (50 cm) multibeam bathymetry data and sub-bottom profiles reveal spectacular bioherm shapes and patterns not previously visible on 30 m models. Geomorphometric analysis of the 50 cm DEMs using ESRI ArcGISPro 3.3 quantified the surface characteristics and produced the first benthic terrain classification based on pattern recognition rather than differential geometry to define benthic features (Geomorphon Landforms tool).

Sixty-nine surface grab samples were collected using Boxcorer and Smith-McIntyre grab from three sites between 15° and 13° S. These samples were analysed for grain size, total carbonate and composition to characterise sedimentary variation across modern bioherms. Results highlight variability among different benthic structures, implying distinct and dynamic environmental settings.

In addition, forty-two densely spaced vibrocores (up to 6 m long) were recovered and scanned with high-resolution CT. Split cores were logged for facies and scanned with multi-sensor core logger (magnetic susceptibility, spectrophotometer, X-ray fluorescence). Subsamples at regular intervals (10cm) have been processed for grain size, total CaCO3% and microfossil analysis. Radiocarbon dates indicate the cores range from 12 ka to present. Initial observations revealed a range of morphotypes, including Halimeda floatstone-rudstone and Foraminiferal wackestone-packstone facies and layers of dense coral, mollusc, rhodolith and lithified clumps. This new dataset significantly advances our understanding of Halimeda bioherm morphology, development, and regional influences, providing new insights into their formation processes and ecological significance.

References:

1. McNeil, M. A., Webster, J. M., Beaman, R. J., and Graham, T. L., 2016, New constraints on the spatial distribution and morphology of the Halimeda bioherms of the Great Barrier Reef, Australia: Coral Reefs, v. 35, no. 4, p. 1343-1355. doi: 10.1007/s00338-016-1492-2

2. McNeil, M., Nothdurft, L. D., Dyriw, N. J., Webster, J. M., and Beaman, R. J., 2021, Morphotype differentiation in the Great Barrier Reef Halimeda bioherm carbonate factory: Internal architecture and surface geomorphometrics: The Depositional Record, v. 7, p. 176– 199. doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/dep2.122

3. McNeil, M., Nothdurft, L. D., Hua, Q., Webster, J. M., and Moss, P., 2022, Evolution of the inter-reef Halimeda carbonate factory in response to Holocene sea-level and environmental change in the Great Barrier Reef: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 277. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107347

How to cite: Szilagyi, Z., Nothdurft, L., Duce, S., Webster, J., McNeil, M., Braga, J.-C., Graham, T., Byrne, M., Behrens, B. C., Yokoyama, Y., Beaman, R., Paumard, V., Shragge, J., Nau, A., Berry, C., Kim, C., Goh, S., Reeves, J., Picton, L., and Bostock, H.: Surface morphology and internal architecture of Holocene Halimeda bioherms in the northern Great Barrier Reef, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14867, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14867, 2026.

EGU26-16800 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Enigmatic buried scours provide new clues for the Middle to Late Pleistocene paleolandscape reconstruction of the outer Belgian Continental Shelf 

Warre Dekoninck, Marc De Batist, Tine Missiaen, Ruth Plets, and Thomas Mestdagh

The breaching of the Weald–Artois Ridge, which once connected the UK to mainland Europe, represents one of the most significant events shaping the paleolandscape of the Belgian, UK, and French sectors of the Southern North Sea from the Middle Pleistocene onwards. The timing and mechanism of its breaching, which led to the formation of the Dover Strait, remain the subject of ongoing debate. This event marks the onset of regular inundation of the Belgian Continental Shelf (BCS) during sea-level highstands, alternating with exposure during sea-level lowstands. In this region, erosion is dominant, resulting in the frequent exposure of Paleogene-Neogene strata. Nevertheless, a discontinuous cover of Pleistocene and Holocene sediments persists. Together with erosional features, this sedimentary record offers valuable evidence of the region’s complex history.

In recent years, new and higher resolution 2D seismic and acoustic datasets have been acquired for both scientific and commercial purposes in the more offshore sections of the BCS, an area where data availability was previously limited. This study integrates these datasets to develop a more comprehensive understanding of the discontinuous Pleistocene deposits. In a first step, the erosional boundary between Paleogene– Neogene strata and overlying Quaternary deposits was mapped and gridded in unprecedented detail. The resulting surface not only refines the position and morphology of previously described escarpments and valleys but also reveals new escarpments and a series of elongated linear and curved scours of uncertain origin. As these scours are possibly related to either tidal, fluvial, glacial or ice berg scouring, understanding the origin and sequence of these features is essential for reconstructing Quaternary palaeolandscapes and may provide further insights in the breaching of the Weald-Artois Ridge.

Finally, this study aims to identify, sample and describe the various Pleistocene units in the area. Supplementary analyses, such as pollen and microfossil studies, as well as radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating will ultimately enable the development of a comprehensive and updated reconstruction of the palaeolandscape evolution of the outer BCS and adjacent regions.

How to cite: Dekoninck, W., De Batist, M., Missiaen, T., Plets, R., and Mestdagh, T.: Enigmatic buried scours provide new clues for the Middle to Late Pleistocene paleolandscape reconstruction of the outer Belgian Continental Shelf, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16800, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16800, 2026.

EGU26-16869 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Iceberg scours at almost 1 km water depths on the newly discovered Dana IV Seamount, Greenland Sea, North Atlantic 

Christoph Böttner, Mads Ramsgaard Stoltenberg, Aisling O’Brien, Oliver S. Hansen, Henrieka Detlef, Caroline Gjelstrup, Marit-Solveig Seidenkrantz, Colin Stedmon, and Christof Pearce

Iceberg scours are created by drifting icebergs that plough into the seafloor with their keels. These prominent geomorphic features are widespread in the Arctic and provide critical insights into past ice-sheet dynamics and ocean circulation. At local scales, iceberg scours influence benthic ecosystems, pose risks to offshore seafloor infrastructure, and can trigger submarine landslides. Here, we report on multibeam echosounder and subbottom profiler data from the 2025 AOC cruise on R/V Dana that document iceberg scours from the newly discovered Dana IV seamout (71°40’N, 15°W) in more than 975 m of water depth. Semi-automated mapping of 212 iceberg scours shows that they are predominantly oriented in northeast-southwest direction. Iceberg scours occur in two clusters around  810 m and 860 m water depth and are typically  ~20 m deep, 330 m wide, and >2 km long. The longest iceberg scour is more than 10 km long and more than 60 m deep, crossing the entire seamount. Some iceberg scours trend parallel indicating multi-keeled or tabular icebergs. One iceberg scour terminates in a landslide scar, documenting that icebergs can be geohazards hundreds of kilometers away from their source. Sediment core data from the top of the seamount indicate that the timing of scouring is older than the Last Glacial Maximum. Given the large water depths in which we find iceberg scours and evidence for multi-keeled icebergs, we attribute them to giant or tabular paleo-icebergs that were more than 1 km thick. The absence of parallel lineations speak against a grounded iceshelf this far south in the North Atlantic. We conclude that these scours are formed by individual icebergs that probably came from an ice sheet calving front at the Northeast Greenland shelf edge or migrated from the Arctic Ocean southward through the Fram Strait during past glacial maxima.

How to cite: Böttner, C., Ramsgaard Stoltenberg, M., O’Brien, A., S. Hansen, O., Detlef, H., Gjelstrup, C., Seidenkrantz, M.-S., Stedmon, C., and Pearce, C.: Iceberg scours at almost 1 km water depths on the newly discovered Dana IV Seamount, Greenland Sea, North Atlantic, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16869, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16869, 2026.

EGU26-17122 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Seafloor Morphology and Evolution of Eastern UAE’s Offshore, Gulf of Oman 

Omar Aldhanhani, Mohammed Ali, Aisha Alsuwaidi, and Ahmed Abdelmaksoud

The seabed in the western Gulf of Oman, offshore of Fujairah, UAE remains poorly characterised and mapped. Earlier regional studies were too coarse to resolve the origin and evolution of Holocene seafloor geomorphic and tectonic features. Here, we integrate high-resolution multibeam bathymetry and derivative terrain attributes (slope and bathymetric position index), multibeam backscatter, and seafloor grab samples to map seabed morphology and constrain sediment distribution. The surveyed area reveals a wide array of geomorphic elements, including paleoshoreline terraces, paleoreefs, sandwaves, sand ridges, sandbanks, circular and eroded pockmarks, contourite sandwaves, submarine landslides, and fault traces to name a few. These observations enable the reconstruction of Quaternary seafloor evolution, highlighting the coupled influence of tectonics, eustatic sea-level change, and deep marine currents on the seabed development. The refined mapping also resolves several previously misidentified features from earlier basin-scale interpretations. This improved understanding provides a robust geologic framework for offshore geohazard assessment and supports evidence-based planning for marine infrastructure in the eastern UAE Offshore.

How to cite: Aldhanhani, O., Ali, M., Alsuwaidi, A., and Abdelmaksoud, A.: Seafloor Morphology and Evolution of Eastern UAE’s Offshore, Gulf of Oman, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17122, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17122, 2026.

EGU26-18126 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Pockmarks in the southern Baltic Sea 

Elisabeth Seidel, Peter Feldens, Jacob Geersen, and Christoph Böttner

This study is part of the KOMSO project that focusses on standardised measurement methods for the long term carbon storage potentials in the Baltic Sea while the contemporaneous methane release of the seafloor works as an antagonistic player. We want to understand how pockmarks are formed and how stable these structures are. Another open question is whether vessel traffic affects the shape and degassing amount of the structures.

The Baltic Sea was formed during the last Weichselian glaciation and underwent a multi-phase development. It was finally flooded during the Littorina transgression, while the basins and bays of the southern Baltic Sea contain thick glacial and post-glacial sediments. In particular, the Littorina and late Holocene deposits contain sediments rich in organic matter. Depending on the varying depth of the sulphate-methane transition zone in the different basins, which is partly modified through submarine groundwater discharge, methane is produced below this zone. This results in the accumulation of free gas within the sediments. The migration of the shallow biogenic gas forms gas fronts and leakage zones in the form of pockmarks at the seafloor.

In a first step, we mapped the pockmarks in the various basins using a bathymetric grid with a general resolution of up to 10 m, in smaller areas also up to 1 m. We catalogued the mapped pockmarks according to the following criteria: (i) their location (near the coast or in the central basin, and water depth), (ii) their lateral and vertical dimensions (diameter and depth), and (iii) their form (elongate or round, single structure or clustered, depression/negative or upbending/positive). Additional parametric sediment echo sounder (SES) profiles (vertical 2D sections) allow further conclusions to be drawn, such as the stratigraphic affiliation of the gas escaping from the pockmarks and the depth of the underlying gas front.

Adjacent to some existing pockmarks, the seafloor forms upward bulges above gas chimneys that may indicate the build-up of methane overpressure in the shallow subsurface. Whether these doming structures develop into new pockmarks needs to be evaluated with future differential bathymetric surveys. During the course of the projects, we will repeat SES profiles in order to determine any possible temporal or seasonal variation in the size of the pockmarks.

How to cite: Seidel, E., Feldens, P., Geersen, J., and Böttner, C.: Pockmarks in the southern Baltic Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18126, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18126, 2026.

EGU26-19223 | Orals | GM8.1

Erosional processes on the slopes of Rennell Island and the Indispensable Reefs (Solomon Islands, Western Pacific) 

Alexander Petrovic, Joana Gafeira, Joe O'Callaghan, Lizzy Myers, Todd Bond, Kate von Krusenstiern, and Heather Stewart

Large erosional products such as scalloped scars, mass transport complexes and rockfalls are common features found on the steep slopes of isolated carbonate platforms. Factors and processes controlling these instabilities and their interactions are a subject of ongoing discussion. Here we are presenting novel multibeam data and seafloor imagery from the slopes of Rennell Island and the Indispensable Reefs, Solomon Islands.

Rennell Island and the Indispensable Reefs are located in the western Pacific Ocean, around 200 km south of the main Soloman Islands archipelago on top of the Louisiade Plateau. The plateau is separated by the San Cristóbal Trench from the Solomon Block, an elongate microplate underlying the main Solomon Islands and bounded by a dual subduction zone between the Australia and Pacific plates. While the Indispensable Reefs consist of three atolls reaching the modern sea surface, Rennel Island is an uplifted, dolomitized reef complex surrounded by modern coral reefs. These data were collected during several cruises, May to August 2025 onboard RV Hydra, and showcases spectacular slope morphologies and erosional features.

Seafloor imagery reveals calcareous algae (e.g., Halimeda, coralline algae) as major carbonate producer from the photic down to the mesophotic zone on the slopes of both Rennell Island and the Indispensable Reefs. The southwestern slope of Rennel Island is characterized by several scalloped scars along the upper slope ranging in width from 2.5 to 17.6 km. In combination with large reef blocks (> 6 km long) located on the lower slope, these scars document multiple historic catastrophic slope failures. In addition, the presence of numerous gullies, each hosting downslope wandering sandwaves, suggest regular export of skeletal carbonate sands. The three atolls of the Indispensable Reefs are separated from each other by two E/NE–W/SW striking channels ranging in width from 3.4 to 4.3 km. Reef blocks located in the central part of both channels indicate rockfalls derived from the adjacent atoll flanks. The southwestern slopes of all three atolls are characterized by several scalloped scars ranging in width from 4.6 to 10 km and dozens of u-shaped gullies, each 10s of meters wide. A prominent, 15 km long canyon deeply incises the central atoll. Its head has a width of 7.2 km and is sourced from several gullies connected via incised channels to the shallow water lagoon. Combined with a higher number of channels cutting through the western reef rim compared to the eastern rim, this canyon represents a main off-platform export path. However, the frequent presence of gullies along the northeastern mid-slope, followed towards the slope-foot by downslope wandering sandwaves, indicate an additional sediment export system.

The large number of prominent head scarps on the southwestern slopes suggests that the leeward sides of both platforms tend to be more easily destabilised, which might be caused by the tectonic regime. Platform-top morphologies indicate a strong influence of the North Vanuatu Jet on the westward-driven sediment transport, while the presence of gullies and sandwaves on the eastern slope of the Indispensable Reefs suggest a more complex sediment dynamics.

How to cite: Petrovic, A., Gafeira, J., O'Callaghan, J., Myers, L., Bond, T., von Krusenstiern, K., and Stewart, H.: Erosional processes on the slopes of Rennell Island and the Indispensable Reefs (Solomon Islands, Western Pacific), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19223, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19223, 2026.

EGU26-19299 | Orals | GM8.1

Last Deglacial to early Holocene changes in activity of the Levant Submarine Channel, Eastern Mediterranean Sea 

Oded Katz, Lea Sivan, Orit Hyams-Kaphzan, Mor Kanari, and Adi Torfstein

Submarine channels in the Levant Basin, eastern Mediterranean Sea, are prominent morphological features that provide key insights into sedimentary processes and basin evolution. These northward trending channels were formed by turbidity currents and play an important role in shaping the basin morphology and stratigraphy. The most prominent channel is the >200 km-long Levant Channel (LC), originating from the northern Sinai Peninsula margins. Yet, its present activity and the recurrence interval of turbidity-current events remain poorly constrained.

In this study we aim to address these knowledge gaps by sampling a series of downcore records along LC, combining stratigraphic and micropaleontological analyses with radiocarbon-based geochronological constraints. Piston and box cores were collected from two sites along the LC thalweg: a southern site located ~60 km offshore Tel Aviv at ~1300 m water depth, and a northern site ~45 km farther down-channel at ~1500 m water depth. Piston cores reach lengths of up to ~6.5 m, while box cores recover shorter sequences (≤0.5 m), complementing the stratigraphic record and providing high-resolution coverage of surface sediment.

Sediment in both cores are predominantly non-laminated and clastic, yielding last-glacial radiocarbon ages, with the lowermost sections exceeding the radiocarbon dating limit (>45 ka BP). Sediment in reverse stratigraphic order (i.e. a downcore decrease in sediment age) is observed in the southern core. Age reversals, together with the clastic, non-laminated facies indicate mixed sediment deposition, most likely associated with repeated turbidity-current events. Above this interval, a finely laminated sediment dated to ~9 ka BP corresponding with Sapropel S1, is observed, reflecting undisturbed hemipelagic sedimentation.

Foraminiferal assemblages independently support the radiocarbon-based age model and provide additional evidence on sediment mixing. The warm-water planktonic species Globigerinoides ruber (pink), characteristic of warm interglacial conditions, is restricted to Sapropel S1 and younger sediments, whereas the cold-water species Globorotalia scitula, typical of glacial conditions, occurs exclusively below S1. Coexistence of these species in the upper glacial interval of the northern core indicates sediment mixing. Shelf-derived benthic foraminifera (e.g., Ammonia tepida, A. parkinsoniana, Cribroelphidium vadescens and Planorbulina mediterranensis) are abundant throughout both Holocene and glacial sediments in the southern core but are largely absent from the northern core, suggesting sustained delivery of shallow-shelf material at least to the southern LC site.

In summary, the Levant Channel was active during the last glacial period, with shelf-sourced turbidites, but became largely inactive during the Holocene, with hemipelagic sedimentation prevailing. This shift reflects the impact of eustatic sea-level rise and related continental shelf widening on submarine mass transport across continental margins. Similarly, previous regional studies on submarine landslides and turbidite activity within submarine canyons along the eastern Mediterranean continental margin revealed intense mass wasting activity in the last glacial period that declined through the deglaciation and the transition to the Holocene.

How to cite: Katz, O., Sivan, L., Hyams-Kaphzan, O., Kanari, M., and Torfstein, A.: Last Deglacial to early Holocene changes in activity of the Levant Submarine Channel, Eastern Mediterranean Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19299, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19299, 2026.

EGU26-20325 | Orals | GM8.1

SEAMAP: targeted underway bathymetry for mapping uncharted seamounts and assessing their role in the ocean system 

Lars Ruepke, Gauvain Wiemer, Anne-Cathrin Wölfl, Daniel Damaske, Saskia Brix, Christian dos Santos Ferreira, Colin Devey, Boris Dorschel-Herr, and Franziska Schwarzkopf

Seamounts number in the hundreds of thousands across all ocean basins and constitute a fundamental component of the ocean floor. They provide constraints on intraplate magmatism, mantle melting processes, lithospheric stress and flexure, and the evolution of oceanic plates. At the same time, seamounts are hotspots of biodiversity, and their morphology modifies ocean circulation and mixing, further influencing benthic ecosystems. Addressing these aspects requires high-resolution bathymetric mapping, yet most seamounts inferred from satellite-derived gravity data have never been directly surveyed.

The German marine research community contributes to systematic seafloor mapping during transits of the large German research vessels through the underway research-data project coordinated within the German Marine Research Alliance (DAM). While this approach steadily improves coverage and contributes to international efforts such as Seabed 2030, the scale of the remaining mapping gap of about 75% motivates complementary strategies that increase scientific return without substantially increasing ship time. Within the SEAMAP project, we pursue a collaborative approach in which research vessel transits are actively planned to intersect previously uncharted seamounts, with minimal impact on cruise logistics and primary scientific objectives. The goal is to link underway data acquisition to active research questions in geodynamics and ocean sciences.

We present initial results from SEAMAP. Modified transits have so far been planned for five research cruises, resulting in new multibeam bathymetric coverage of approximately 80 previously unmapped seamounts across a range of tectonic settings and plate ages. The acquired data are being integrated into studies addressing intraplate volcanic construction, machine-learning-based bathymetry prediction and validation, and flow–topography interactions, including enhanced mixing and turbulence in seamount wakes. In parallel, SEAMAP supports rapid data availability by integrating new bathymetric products into the harmonized data streams for German research vessels established by DAM. These results illustrate how targeted seamount mapping during transit legs can efficiently improve seafloor coverage while supporting interdisciplinary ocean science on the role of seamounts within the Earth system.

How to cite: Ruepke, L., Wiemer, G., Wölfl, A.-C., Damaske, D., Brix, S., dos Santos Ferreira, C., Devey, C., Dorschel-Herr, B., and Schwarzkopf, F.: SEAMAP: targeted underway bathymetry for mapping uncharted seamounts and assessing their role in the ocean system, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20325, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20325, 2026.

EGU26-20423 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Multidomain observations of internal wave-induced shelf-to-basin sediment transport in the Eastern Levant Basin 

Omri Gadol, Yizhaq Makovsky, Or Bialik, and Leonardo Azevedo

Shelf-to-basin sediment transport plays a key role in the evolution of continental margins and the carbon cycle. Yet, the mechanisms linking oceanographic forcing to sediment resuspension and redistribution remain poorly quantified. Intermediate nepheloid layers (INLs) are widely recognized as substantial sediment conveyors in this context, but their formation mechanisms, morphologic imprint, and spatio-temporal evolution remain elusive in direct observations and process-based interpretation.
Here, we present multidomain observations from the Eastern Levant Basin (ELB) that document the internal-wave-induced origin and seasonal recurrence of INLs. We integrate ultra-high-resolution (decimeter-scale) multichannel Seismic Oceanography (SO), high-resolution bathymetry, in situ conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) profiles, oceanographic reanalysis products from the Copernicus Marine Service, and spaceborne Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery, to link water-column stratification, internal wave activity, sediment resuspension, sediment transport, and their morphologic outcomes. These data sets span multiple years and capture the same processes during comparable seasonal stratification regimes, allowing assessment of process persistence rather than isolated events.  

Our results show that during periods of strong seasonal column stratification (i.e., Brunt-Vaisälä frequencies in the order of N ≈ 0.01 s⁻¹), shoaling internal waves promote sediment resuspension from the shelf edge and basinward transport. Seismic profiles reveal laterally continuous, gently inclined low-amplitude reflection packages with thicknesses of up to 10 meters that detach from the seabed and are interpreted as INLs flowing up to 10 km from the continental slope. This is confirmed by in-situ CTD measurements showing aligned water-column turbidity peaks up to 10 kilometers offshore the area of resuspension. Calculated internal wave (IW) beam angles relative to local slope show a clear correlation between transmissive (subcritical) zones, seafloor erosion, and locations of sediment detachment, while reflective (supercritical) areas show the appearance of sediment-wave patterns interpreted as upslope-migrating steps. Our results are consistent across different years and geophysical datasets. Co-located SAR imagery independently confirms the presence and orientation of internal wave packets during these periods.

Together, these observations provide robust field-based evidence that internal wave-driven sediment mobilization is a seasonally recurrent process, governed by water-column stratification and seafloor criticality.  These observations link sediment transport, oceanographic dynamics, and slope geomorphology in an increasingly stratified, warming ocean.

How to cite: Gadol, O., Makovsky, Y., Bialik, O., and Azevedo, L.: Multidomain observations of internal wave-induced shelf-to-basin sediment transport in the Eastern Levant Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20423, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20423, 2026.

EGU26-21389 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.1

Towards a Relationship Between Acoustic Backscatter and Soil Geotechnical Properties: insights from Bay of Morlaix, France 

Venilla Manikanta, Marco Terzariol, Ridha Fezzani, Axel Ehrhold, Antonio Cattaneo, Laure Simplet, and Frauke Klingelhoefer

Offshore infrastructures are essential for energy production, telecommunication, and transportation sectors. High-frequency offshore acoustic backscatter is widely used as a proxy for seabed and soil classification. When properly interpreted, it can significantly reduce exploration costs by optimizing survey design, guiding targeted sampling strategies, and improving the detection and interpretation of natural seafloor features. In the context of offshore wind farms, acoustic backscatter data are particularly valuable for early-stage site screening, preliminary economic assessment, and the identification of potential geohazards prior to detailed geotechnical investigations. Although hydroacoustic surveys can cover large areas efficiently, their ability to estimate geotechnical properties is still limited.   Hence, this study aims to investigate the relationship between high-frequency acoustic backscatter and geotechnical parameters of marine sediments. The dedicated research cruise RHYSMA was conducted in the Bay of Morlaix to acquire both hydroacoustic and geotechnical data on 8th of May 2025 during ten days. Eleven sites were selected to represent a wide range of sediment types with average water depth varying approximately 3m to 50m, ranging from muddy sediments to boulders, and exposed rock. Such diversity provides a natural laboratory to investigate the interaction between acoustic signals and sediment properties. Acoustic measurements were performed using SIMRAD EK80 single beam echosounders with frequencies ranging from 90 kHz to 440 kHz, with incidence angles varying from 0° to 70°. In total 10 cores were obtained; 840 kg of sediments and 9 hours of seafloor videos were recovered. Hydroacoustic data was calibrated and fitted using the Generic Seafloor Acoustic Backscatter (GSAB) model to estimate the seabed angular response and to assess the influence of angle and frequency on different sediment types. Typical backscatter ranges from -15 dB up to -4 dB in the exposed rock. Geotechnical results show particle sizes ranges from 4 microns up to 8 cm boulders, while dry densities range from 1 to 1.6 g/cc and specific gravity spans from 2.64 to 2.96 and fine content for sediment ranges from 1% percent to 56%. Preliminary results indicate an emerging relationship between acoustic backscatter and sediment porosity particularly for high frequency response at near-normal incidence angles (~0°). Overall, this study improves the understanding of acoustic backscatter behavior across contrasting sediment types and highlights the complexity of seabed acoustic responses.

How to cite: Manikanta, V., Terzariol, M., Fezzani, R., Ehrhold, A., Cattaneo, A., Simplet, L., and Klingelhoefer, F.: Towards a Relationship Between Acoustic Backscatter and Soil Geotechnical Properties: insights from Bay of Morlaix, France, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21389, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21389, 2026.

EGU26-1141 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Pathways of Channel Initiation in Salt-Marsh Tidal Networks: A Sedimentological Perspective 

Marta Baccarin, Francesca Uguagliati, Alice Puppin, Alvise Finotello, Andrea D’Alpaos, and Massimiliano Ghinassi

Tidal networks are pervasive features of salt marsh landscapes and exert primary control on ecomorphodynamic processes by regulating water and sediment exchange as well as nutrient fluxes. Given their crucial role and the rapid pace of sea-level rise, evolving sediment dynamics, subsidence, and continued anthropogenic disturbance, there is a pressing need to better understand how these networks behave. However, while considerable effort has been devoted to understanding the hydrodynamics and morphodynamic evolution of tidal channels and their networks, a substantial knowledge gap persists regarding the initiation of small-scale, low-order channels (sensu Horton) that constitute the most capillary component of these networks. In particular, it remains unclear whether these minor channels can develop directly on marsh surfaces or whether they are inherited from pre-existing tidal-flat channels that persist as tidal flats transition into salt marshes through biophysically driven vertical aggradation. As such, identifying the environment in which tidal channels originate is fundamental to advancing our understanding of their formative mechanisms.

The present work investigates tidal creeks draining the salt marshes of the Venice Lagoon (Northeastern Italy) with the aim of determining whether they are more likely to initiate directly on the marsh platform or instead represent inherited features from tidal flats. The Venice Lagoon is the largest Mediterranean brackish-water system, characterized by an average tidal range of about 1 m. Its salt marshes host a dense network of tidal channels that exhibits a well-developed meandering pattern, even in the most peripheral elements. This study focuses on point bars associated with channels ranging from 0.5 m to 3 m in width, aiming to identify the sedimentary environment in which each bar nucleated. Sedimentary cores were collected along transects aligned with the axes of meander bends, and facies analysis of cores from 39 transects allowed the recognition of five main depositional units: salt-marsh, point-bar, channel-lag, early salt-marsh, and tidal-flat deposits. The nature of the deposits (salt-marsh, early salt-marsh, or tidal-flat) hosting the nucleation point—that is, the onset of bar sediment accumulation—provides insight into the environment in which the associated channel began to develop.

Our results show that most channel bars originate within early salt-marsh deposits, indicating that channel dynamics were initiated near the transition between tidal-flat and salt-marsh environments, when pioneer halophytic vegetation first colonized the substrate. At this stage, vegetation was sufficiently developed to stabilize the sediment, enabling efficient channel incision and the formation of an incipient point bar. Collectively, these findings support the view that low-order salt-marsh channels can arise through multiple developmental pathways and that such differing origins leave distinct stratigraphic signatures, allowing them to be readily distinguished through the sedimentary record.

How to cite: Baccarin, M., Uguagliati, F., Puppin, A., Finotello, A., D’Alpaos, A., and Ghinassi, M.: Pathways of Channel Initiation in Salt-Marsh Tidal Networks: A Sedimentological Perspective, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1141, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1141, 2026.

EGU26-1962 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Suspended Sediment Dynamics in a Mesotidal Estuarine Channel Revealed by Numerical Modeling and Remote Sensing of Sediment Concentrations 

Jordi Palacios, Hangjie Lin, Cedric Fichot, and Sergio Fagherazzi

Process-based sediment transport models can accurately reproduce estuarine sediment dynamics when boundary fluxes, bed properties, and spatially resolved sediment characteristics are well constrained; however, such information is rarely available in most coastal systems. Sediment fluxes at the ocean boundary are commonly unconstrained, riverine sediment inputs are typically estimated from stage–discharge relationships combined with reference concentrations rather than measured continuously, and bottom sediment properties are seldom resolved at high spatial resolution. These limitations hinder robust quantification of suspended sediment redistribution in intertidal estuaries. Here, suspended sediment balance is evaluated in Plum Island Sound (Massachusetts, USA), a mesotidal estuary, by integrating surface suspended sediment concentration (SSC) derived from Sentinel-2 MSI imagery (10 m resolution) with numerical simulations of hydrodynamics. We implemented the depth-integrated suspended sediment balance under quasi-steady conditions during satellite overpasses for erosion-deposition distribution. Six hydrodynamic configurations are analyzed, defined by tidal phase (flood or ebb), river discharge magnitude (high or low), and wind forcing (calm or high wind). The results reveal pronounced tidal asymmetry in sediment redistribution, with flood and ebb tides producing spatially distinct erosion and deposition patterns, particularly within channel bends. Elevated river discharge increases SSC in the upper estuary but does not generate substantial downstream redistribution under calm conditions, whereas wind-driven events induce widespread resuspension and enhanced sediment redistribution across the system. This work demonstrates how coupling remote sensing observations with hydrodynamic modeling enables geomorphologically analysis of suspended sediment balance in estuarine environments.

How to cite: Palacios, J., Lin, H., Fichot, C., and Fagherazzi, S.: Suspended Sediment Dynamics in a Mesotidal Estuarine Channel Revealed by Numerical Modeling and Remote Sensing of Sediment Concentrations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1962, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1962, 2026.

EGU26-2235 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Morphodynamic evolution of sand–mud tidal flats under tidal constituent asymmetry 

Xiaoya Luo, Arnold Van Rooijen, Daniel Raj David, Ryan Lowe, Matt Hipsey, Bas Van Maren, Jasper Dijkstra, and Jan Boersma

As the most important contributor to tidal asymmetry along open coasts, the asymmetry caused by interaction between astronomical tides M2, O1 and K1 has received less attention with respect to its impact on sediment transport and long-term morphological evolution. This study aims to clarify how different tidal asymmetry, particularly those associated with M2, O1 and K1, influence sediment transport and tidal flat morphology. We employ a process-based numerical tool (Delf3D) in a short tidal basin with simplified geometry and bathymetry. Different combination of tidal constituents, which produce asymmetry while preserving the same peak velocity, are imposed at the open boundary by varying amplitudes and phase differences.

Our results show that, in the presence of both sand and mud, channel networks under ebb-dominated conditions are developed primarily through sand erosion, whereas under flood-dominated condition they develop mainly through mud accretion. Sand transport is more sensitive to velocity asymmetry while mud transport responds to both velocity and spatial lag effect which represents energy gradient. Consequently, under ebb-dominated conditions, the deepest and longest channel network occurs in the scenario forced by M2 and M4 at the boundary, where prolonged periods of high velocity are present. Under flood-dominated condition, longer, deeper and more efficient channels occur in scenarios dominated by M2, O1 and K1 interaction with higher degree of asymmetry. A milder upper slope enhances ebb currents, thereby strengthening ebb dominance but weakening flood dominance; this leads to elongation and deepening channel networks under ebb-dominated conditions but shorter channels under flood-dominated conditions. Because tidal form number F correlates strongly with astronomical tides M2, S2, O1 and K1, our findings provide insight into tidal flats morphodynamics across mixed to predominately diurnal tidal regimes.

How to cite: Luo, X., Van Rooijen, A., Raj David, D., Lowe, R., Hipsey, M., Van Maren, B., Dijkstra, J., and Boersma, J.: Morphodynamic evolution of sand–mud tidal flats under tidal constituent asymmetry, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2235, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2235, 2026.

EGU26-2381 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Late Holocene marine incursions and hydrological extremes recorded in the Oued El Fedj delta (Boughrara Lagoon, SE Tunisia) 

Mariem Ben Ameur, Hamdi Omar, Sameh Masmoudi, and Chokri Yaich

ABSTRACT: The Mediterranean basin is a climatically sensitive transition zone between mid-latitude and subtropical circulation regimes, where modest forcing can produce pronounced hydroclimatic and coastal impacts (Ben Ameur et al., 2019 and 2022 and 2024). Here we investigate Late Holocene marine and hydrological variability along the arid Tunisian margin using a sediment archive from the Oued El Fedj delta (western shore of the semi-enclosed Boughrara Lagoon, Gulf of Gabès). A 268 cm long sediment core was retrieved from the downstream deltaic plain and analysed using magnetic susceptibility, grain-size distribution (modal grain size, sorting and frequency-curve partitioning), and carbonate content, all measured at 1 cm sampling intervals, together with XRF geochemical scanning of major and trace elements on 16 representative samples.

Two intervals show a clear increase in carbonate and marine influence, expressed by upward shifts in CaCO3 and elevated Ca/Ti, Ca/Si, Ca/Al, and Ca/Fe ratios: (i) a carbonate-rich unit at 173–200 cm, tentatively correlated with the Late Holocene highstand/transgressive phase reported for southern Tunisia (~2.5–2.0 ka BP; Paskoff and Sanlaville (1983)), and (ii) an upper unit at 30–57 cm reflecting the ongoing historical-to-modern marine ingression. Both intervals are characterized by poor sorting and polymodal grain-size distributions spanning namely silt (4- 63 µm), very fine (63-125 µm), fine (125- 250 µm), medium (250- 500 µm), and coarse sands (500 µm- 1 mm), consistent with mixed depositional processes in a lagoon–delta setting.

Episodes of intensified fluvial activity are identified by prominent magnetic-susceptibility peaks at 95–140 cm and 20–35 cm, interpreted as enhanced detrital input during high-discharge/flood phases. The older pulse postdates the ~2.5–2.0 ka marine interval and may align with increased hydrological variability during the Dark Ages Cold Period (~1.4–1.0 ka BP) documented in Tunisian sebkha archives, whereas the younger pulse occurs during the recent marine ingression, suggesting coupled relative sea-level rise and flood-driven sediment delivery.

Keywords: Southern Mediterranean; Southeastern Tunisia; Boughrara Lagoon; Late Holocene; relative sea level; flooding event; magnetic susceptibility.

References:

Ameur, M. B., Masmoudi, S., Abichou, A., Medhioub, M., & Yaich, C. (2019). Use of the magnetic, geochemical, and sedimentary records in establishing paleoclimate change in the environment of Sebkha: Case of the SebkhaMhabeul in southeastern Tunisia. Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 351(7), 487-497.

Ben Ameur, M., Masmoudi, S., Omar, H., Ouameni, I., Medhioub, M., & Yaich, C. (2022). Middle to late Holocene sedimentary filling history of the Sebkha el Melah in south-eastern Tunisia. Sedimentology, 69(5), 2348–2366. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1111/ sed.

12995.

Ben Ameur, M., Masmoudi, S., Omar, H., & Yaich, C. (2024). Centennial‑scale flood cyclicity in the second half of Holocene in the southeast Tunisian sediments: paleoenvironmental region gauge between the western and eastern Mediterranean. Journal of Sedimentary Environments, 9, 625–644. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43217-024-00185-7.

Paskoff, R., &Sanlaville, P. (1983). Les côtes de la Tunisie. Variations du niveau marin depuis le Tyrrhénien (Vol. 14, No. 1, pp. 0-0). Maison de l'Orient et de la Méditerranée Jean Pouilloux.

How to cite: Ben Ameur, M., Omar, H., Masmoudi, S., and Yaich, C.: Late Holocene marine incursions and hydrological extremes recorded in the Oued El Fedj delta (Boughrara Lagoon, SE Tunisia), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2381, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2381, 2026.

EGU26-3159 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Near subsurface investigations of South Atlantic paleo beach processes at Bahía Laura, Patagonia, Argentina 

Jacob Melly, Alejandro Montes, Patricio Ruiz, Evan Gowan, Deirdre D. Ryan, Rahul Kumar, Wanxin Huang, Adam Switzer, Ian Goodwin, and Alessio Rovere

Understanding coastal processes at work under past climates remains key to anticipating future scenarios. The Atlantic Coast of South America preserves records of Plio-Pleistocene and Holocene sea level in elevated marine deposits–especially along the coast of Patagonia in Argentina, where recent efforts have focused on compiling and refining Holocene sea level estimates. Here, we examine the internal structure of Holocene gravel beach deposits within an embayment at Bahía Laura, Argentina, to explore the dynamics at play over the past ~6 ka. Interpretation of over two kilometers of topographically-corrected Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) profiles tells the story of generally consistent regression and progradation associated with falling or stable relative sea level (RSL) since a mid-Holocene highstand. Further, consistent supply of gravelly sediments likely stems from a combination of an eroded Pleistocene terrace perched immediately above the Holocene sequence, reworked near shelf sediments, and fluvial contribution from the south. Erosional surfaces and berm ridges visible within the profiles document high energy storm events and a shift in slope and spacing between radar reflectors along profiles may chronicle changing wave direction, accommodation space, sediment supply, and/or rate of sea level change.

How to cite: Melly, J., Montes, A., Ruiz, P., Gowan, E., Ryan, D. D., Kumar, R., Huang, W., Switzer, A., Goodwin, I., and Rovere, A.: Near subsurface investigations of South Atlantic paleo beach processes at Bahía Laura, Patagonia, Argentina, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3159, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3159, 2026.

The morphology of some lithified wind-blown, carbonate dunes in The Bahamas preserves the signature of erosion from paleo-marine processes: wave-induced swash, scarping, and longshore transport. Digital elevation models were used to distinguish between two dune morphotypes—those disconnected via versus connected to beach processes. Dune sinuosity and upwind slope were quantified and used to interpret which dunes remained beach-attached and subject to marine erosion and processes versus dunes that became disconnected from the shoreline via inland migration or shoreline regression. Disconnected dunes possess low slopes over stoss surfaces with sinuous planforms mimicking their crestlines. Beach-connected foredunes preserve steep, kilometers-long linear upwind faces, which are interpreted to be signatures of beach-dune morphodynamics. Foredune morphology serves as a proxy for shoreline position during past sea-level high-stands, while the basal elevations of their stoss dune toes provide an upper limit on the beach and adjacent sea level. A growing library of digital topography will allow for this tool to be used to interpret global paleo-shoreline positions through time and space.

How to cite: Wilson, K. and Mohrig, D.: Signatures of Pleistocene Marine Transgression Preserved in Lithified Coastal Dune Morphology of The Bahamas, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5850, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5850, 2026.

EGU26-7002 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Top-cliff boulder deposits as geomorphological markers of Last Interglacial extreme wave events in the Mediterranean: evidence from south-eastern Sicily 

Giovanni Scardino, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Tommaso Alberti, Marco Anzidei, Alok Kushabaha, Aruna Napayalage Nandasena, and Giovanni Scicchitano

Top-cliff boulder deposits represent one of the most extreme and debated geomorphological expressions of high-energy coastal processes, as their emplacement requires sustained overtopping of cliffs during coastal flooding. Occurring several metres above mean sea level and well beyond the reach of ordinary wave run-up, top-cliff boulder deposits are particularly sensitive indicators of extreme wave events. In this study, we investigate top-cliff boulder deposits atop a 10‑meter‑high cliff in south-eastern Sicily by integrating geomorphological observations with hydrodynamic modelling for both present and Last Interglacial forcing conditions. Hydrodynamic modelling was used to simulate extreme wave events that can cause coastal flooding and wave flow under tropical-like cyclone and tsunami scenarios. To evaluate the geomorphological effects of these extreme wave events, we modelled the current scenarios under the present-day sea level. In contrast, Last Interglacial scenarios incorporate elevated relative sea level and intensified hurricane and tsunami forcings to evaluate wave flow needed for top-cliff deposit emplacement. The results reflect a scenario with a Last Interglacial post-highstand regressive phase, highlighting the role of sea-level-controlled boundary conditions in enabling extreme coastal flooding and inland boulder transport. Our results indicate that Mediterranean top-cliff boulder deposits reflect the effectiveness of extreme waves acting under specific boundary conditions, rather than the absolute magnitude of the waves themselves, with relative sea level exerting a first-order control on coastal impact.

How to cite: Scardino, G., Miglietta, M. M., Alberti, T., Anzidei, M., Kushabaha, A., Nandasena, A. N., and Scicchitano, G.: Top-cliff boulder deposits as geomorphological markers of Last Interglacial extreme wave events in the Mediterranean: evidence from south-eastern Sicily, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7002, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7002, 2026.

Global relative sea level rise threatens the sustainability of deltaic landscapes. Understanding the rich diversity of shoreline responses that can occur as a result of sea level change depends on knowing how the balance between sediment supply and available accommodation manifests in the landscape at all points in the sea-level cycle. A sequence stratigraphy approach provides a geometric view of how deltas respond under cycles of sea level rise and fall. In stratigraphic studies, all parts of the sea level cycle have been identified and studied via seismic and outcrop stratigraphy. In the modern landscape, examples of deltas experiencing transgression and regression under sea level rise are common, and deltas experiencing regression due to tectonic uplift are also prevalent. However, there are few extant examples of deltas experiencing forced regression due to eustatic sea level fall. Forced regression classically causes rivers to incise into their deltas, but existing models that explain how rivers build terraces and incise valleys remain untested in a field setting. To better understand how deltas behave under forced regression, we documented the evolution of three river deltas in an endorheic desert playa lake (the Salton Sea, California) in the southwestern USA, since 1980, as lake level fell due to diminishing water inflows. All three rivers have similar types of sediment available, and while the discharge differs between the three, irrigation runoff is the primary source of water discharge for these river deltas. However, these deltas all have different prodelta bathymetry, and engineering interventions to suppress windblown dust on the playa have affected parts of the lake shoreline. We mapped the temporal evolution of shorelines and channel locations on these three deltas, and conducted aerial surveys to map the delta topography. We interpret the landforms, and compare the observed topography with predictions from existing models. We derive a new framework to interpret why most rivers incise their deltas, and what conditions are required for a delta to avoid incising and leaving delta plain terraces.

How to cite: Barefoot, E., Kim, M., and Rishmawi, R.: How do deltas experiencing forced regression select their path to the shore? A natural example from the Salton Sea, CA, USA., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8284, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8284, 2026.

EGU26-8343 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Quantifying the compounding effects of grid resolution to improve vegetation predictions in delta models 

Nelson Tull, Muriel Brückner, and Paola Passalacqua

Vegetation growth in coastal environments, such as estuaries and deltas, plays an important role in coastal morphology. Gridded hydrodynamic and morphodynamic models typically have options to incorporate constant vegetation effects via a roughness parameter, where taller and denser vegetation is associated with higher roughness that alters flow velocities and sediment transport. In this study we present DYCOVE (DYnamic COastal VEgetation): a flexible, open-source model that couples with physics-based, hydro-(morpho)dynamic models to simulate life-cycle dynamics (colonization, growth, and mortality) of multiple vegetation species in coastal environments. Via interactive coupling, changes in vegetation state provide spatial and temporal updates of friction effects in the physics-based model, creating a dynamic feedback loop. However, vegetation colonization, growth, and mortality depend on accurate modeling of local inundation, flow speeds, and bed level changes, which can be strongly dependent on model grid resolution. Finer grid sizes resolve these physical processes more accurately but are not always feasible due to computational demand, whereas coarser grids may result in topographic smoothing that distorts the hydrodynamic solution. Since vegetation depends on reasonable accuracy of physical processes, any errors in hydrodynamic predictions will affect the vegetation calculations, resulting in potentially compounding errors over several iterations. Using DYCOVE, we quantify errors caused by grid resolution effects and evaluate produced differences in vegetation distributions compared to observations from the Wax Lake Delta in Louisiana, USA. Lastly, we discuss strategies for overcoming limitations and errors related to grid resolution that allow for accurate and efficient prediction of vegetation species cover in coastal environments.

How to cite: Tull, N., Brückner, M., and Passalacqua, P.: Quantifying the compounding effects of grid resolution to improve vegetation predictions in delta models, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8343, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8343, 2026.

EGU26-9584 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Holocene Relative Sea-Level Changes and Coastal Evolution Along the Izmir–Dikili Coast (NE Aegean Sea) Insights from Submerged Beachrocks and Archaeological Evidence 

Tan Onay, Suleyman Fatih Burasoglu, Emin Berke Tulumen, Asude Ayse Kahvecioglu, and Ufuk Tari

The İzmir–Dikili coast (NE Aegean Sea, Türkiye) is a key area for studying coastal evolution due to its complex geological, tectonic, and climatic setting.

Beachrocks are widely used as reliable proxies for reconstructing paleo-sea levels and constraining regional relative sea-level (RSL) changes. This study investigates submerged beachrocks and associated archaeological structures, documented for the first time along this coast, to reconstruct Holocene RSL evolution of the region.

We employed an integrated methodology including underwater observations, aerial photogrammetry, coring, petrographic analyses, and radiocarbon dating within a GIS framework. High-resolution bathymetry data revealed continuous submerged beachrock outcrops with a total length of approximately 3.5 km, situated at depths between 0.38 and 1.50 m below the present mean sea level. Petrographic analyses characterized these deposits as carbonate-cemented sandstones and conglomerates. Geomorphologically, the beachrocks exhibit both tabular and deformed block structures. Archaeological remains, such is reported to be a submerged pier, were also documented at compatible depths.

The distribution and depth of these indicators, combined with the regional geology demonstrate a Holocene RSL rise for the Dikili coast.  We interpret this trend as being primarily controlled by long-term subsidence of the Dikili Graben. Preliminary calculations suggest a rate of approximately 0.4 mm/yr, pending validation by ongoing radiocarbon dating.

This study establishes a robust framework for integrating geological, geomorphological, and archaeological indicators to investigate Holocene sea-level changes in tectonically active coastal settings. Our findings contribute new and critical data to the regional sea-level database of the Northern Aegean.

This study was supported by TUBITAK 1919B012462336 grant and Istanbul Technical University Research Fund, FLO-2025-47205.

How to cite: Onay, T., Burasoglu, S. F., Tulumen, E. B., Kahvecioglu, A. A., and Tari, U.: Holocene Relative Sea-Level Changes and Coastal Evolution Along the Izmir–Dikili Coast (NE Aegean Sea) Insights from Submerged Beachrocks and Archaeological Evidence, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9584, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9584, 2026.

Highly sinuous meandering channels are a defining feature of tidal coastal wetlands, yet their morphodynamic behavior remains far less understood than that of their fluvial counterparts. For decades, tidal meanders have been considered fundamentally different from river meanders, largely because coastal landscapes appear to lack the classic morphological signatures of active meandering, such as cutoffs, oxbow lakes, and scroll bars. This apparent absence has reinforced the idea that bidirectional tidal flows and strong eco-geomorphic feedbacks suppress fluvial-style bend evolution in intertidal environments. Recent observations of rapid channel migration in tidal wetlands, however, challenge this view and suggest that tidal meanders may be far more dynamically similar to rivers than traditionally assumed.

Here we combine field observations, remote sensing, and numerical modeling to investigate the planform evolution of meandering tidal channels across global coastal wetland biomes. Our goal is to resolve a long-standing paradox: if tidal meanders are dynamically migrating features, why do their landscapes appear to lack the geomorphic footprints of active meandering?

A global-scale analysis shows that tidal meander cutoffs are widespread, but are rarely preserved in forms that are easily recognizable in the field or in aerial imagery. Besides being generally small in size, tidal cutoffs are – unlike river meanders - seldom fully disconnected from the parent channel: high channel density and strong hydrological connectivity promote frequent reattachment and reworking of cutoff bends. Second, cutoff meanders are typically rapidly filled, due to high suspended sediment concentrations and intense biological activity. Vertical accretion rates in these former channels exceed those of surrounding marshes by an order of magnitude, leading to swift burial of cutoff morphologies. As a result, the crescent-shaped oxbow lakes so typical of fluvial plains are replaced in tidal wetlands by ephemeral, sediment-filled depressions that are rapidly colonized by vegetation and hence difficult to identify as formerly active streams.

Despite these differences in preservation, the geometric properties of tidal and fluvial cutoffs are remarkably similar, indicating that the same curvature-driven instabilities govern bend growth and cutoff in both environments. This conclusion is supported by a global analysis of tidal meander migration, which shows that vegetation strongly modulates migration rates—but not the underlying mechanism. Channels in unvegetated tidal flats migrate much faster than those in marshes and mangroves, yet their planform evolution follows the same fluvial-like rules.

These findings have important implications for coastal wetland evolution, restoration, and carbon cycling. Because abandoned tidal channels act as hotspots of sediment and organic matter accumulation, they represent previously unrecognized sinks of blue carbon. Moreover, the recognition that tidal meanders obey the same physical laws as river meanders allows established river morphodynamic models to be extended to coastal wetlands, enabling more robust predictions of coastal wetland eco-morphodynamic evolution.

Overall, our findings overturn the long-standing view that tidal meanders are morphodynamically distinct from fluvial ones, revealing them instead as fully dynamic, migrating geomorphic features whose signatures are masked by the unique eco-geomorphic processes of tidal landscapes.

How to cite: Finotello, A.: Rethinking Tidal Meanders: Dynamic Evolution and Eco-Morphodynamic Impacts, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10481, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10481, 2026.

EGU26-11609 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Leveraging the open-source sandpiper toolchain to evaluate how shallow compaction affects land-building and delta sustainability 

Andrew Moodie, Zhilin Shi, Eric Barefoot, Eric Hutton, Charles Nguyen, and Andrew Wickert

Delta sustainability is threatened by rising sea levels, diminishing sediment supplies, and widespread environmental change. Addressing these challenges requires integrating science and engineering approaches across vast spatial and temporal scales, for example, from individual bars to the entire delta system, and from years to millennia. Open-source models and software development offer a strategic opportunity to accelerate this collaboration. In this paper, we demonstrate how community-built tools can be chained together to rapidly evaluate delta sustainability. As a case study, we leverage the extensibility of the pyDeltaRCM numerical model to evaluate how shallow subsidence, driven by delta sediments compacting unconsolidated bay muds, affects land-building processes. Central to this workflow is sandsuet, a shareable data schema designed to package and share rasterized geomorphology data, and a core component of the sandpiper toolchain. This schema integrates with sandplover, a Python package for reproducible spatiotemporal analysis of depositional environments. With the sandpiper toolchain, we identify the specific conditions under which delta substrate compaction does, and does not, hinder land-building projects. We then apply these insights to the Mississippi River Delta, and find that its substrate and surface network characteristics respond similarly with and without shallow subsidence. While compaction is likely, it is unlikely to diminish the land-building potential of restoration projects. This example illustrates that a community-driven, open-source approach can facilitate the long-term conservation of global deltaic systems.

How to cite: Moodie, A., Shi, Z., Barefoot, E., Hutton, E., Nguyen, C., and Wickert, A.: Leveraging the open-source sandpiper toolchain to evaluate how shallow compaction affects land-building and delta sustainability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11609, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11609, 2026.

EGU26-16989 | Posters on site | GM8.3 | Highlight

Delta-ENIGMA: advancing biogeomorphology research in deltas through observation and experimentation 

Gerben Ruessink, Smriti Dutta, and Hans Middelkoop

Deltas are among the most dynamic and productive landscapes on Earth, shaped by the continuous interaction between physical processes such as river discharge, tides, waves, wind, sediment transport, and biological processes driven by vegetation, benthic organisms, and microbial activity. This interplay, central to the field of biogeomorphology, has built and shaped delta’s worldwide across spatial and temporal scales. In the context of accelerating climate change, sea-level rise, land subsidence, and increasing human intervention, it becomes increasingly important to understand how biological and physical processes interact in deltas. This knowledge is crucial for predicting how resilient deltas are, recognizing when critical changes may occur, and developing effective adaptation strategies.

Delta systems change through interacting physical and biological processes that occur under both normal conditions and extreme events such as floods, storms, and droughts. Organisms can stabilize sediments, modify water flow, and affect erosion and deposition, while changes in landform shape can also create or eliminate habitats. Despite their importance, these processes remain insufficiently quantified, particularly at the scale of an entire delta and during extreme events, due to limitations in long term and integrated observations. Bridging this knowledge gap requires coordinated monitoring that captures slow trends, sudden disturbances, and their cumulative impacts across rivers, estuaries, and coastal dune systems.

Delta-ENIGMA is a new large-scale research infrastructure in the Dutch Rhine-Meuse-Scheldt delta aimed at transforming and advancing the study of biogeomorphology and delta dynamics. Over a 10-year period (2023-2032), Delta-ENIGMA forms a coherent observation network across key sites in rivers, estuaries, beaches, and dunes, designed to systematically measure interactions between organisms, hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and morphology under both normal and extreme conditions.

Central to this effort is the deployment of state-of-the-art field instrumentation, including high-resolution 3D laser scanners, multibeam echosounders, submerged flow and sediment sensors, wave recorders, phenocams and multispectral drones. These measurements are complemented by targeted observations during extreme events, enabling the capture of high-impact processes that may strongly influence long-term delta evolution. In parallel, Delta-ENIGMA upgrades and develops laboratory facilities such as wind tunnels, mesocosm systems, and advanced bio-morphodynamic flumes to experimentally investigate processes that are difficult or impossible to observe directly in the field but are relevant under future climate scenarios.

To maximize scientific and societal impact, Delta-ENIGMA integrates its observational and experimental facilities within an open, federated data infrastructure and a dedicated knowledge interaction platform. A uniform open-source package will be developed with which data from all Delta-ENIGMA instruments can be read out, quality-controlled, documented with metadata, packaged in uniform data structures, and uploaded to central storage.

Together, these facilities provide researchers and policymakers with unprecedented access to high-quality data, experimental capabilities, and collaborative environments. By linking fundamental biogeomorphological understanding to applied research and innovation, Delta-ENIGMA establishes the Dutch delta as an international super site that is open to researchers internationally for studying delta dynamics and supporting the development of robust, science-based strategies for climate adaptation and sustainable delta management.

How to cite: Ruessink, G., Dutta, S., and Middelkoop, H.: Delta-ENIGMA: advancing biogeomorphology research in deltas through observation and experimentation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16989, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16989, 2026.

EGU26-17153 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Long-term geomorphodynamic responses of macrotidal flats to human modification (1975-2025) 

Joohee Jo, Kyungsik Choi, Seolhui Bang, and Jun-yong Park

Macrotidal flats in coastal environments experience complex interactions among hydrodynamic and sedimentary processes and their morphodynamics have been increasingly modified by human activities over recent decades. Because human-driven disturbances in geomorphic evolution are reflected across a range of spatial and temporal scales, identifying the dominant controlling factors driving geomorphic changes is therefore essential for interpreting coastal morphodynamics and predicting future coastal evolution. However, these aspects remain poorly understood in macrotidal environments.

Two macrotidal flats on the west coast of Korea, the Donggeom and the Shinsi tidal flats, which have been heavily impacted by embankment construction and tidal-flat reclamation, were examined to identify the dominant controls on long-term morphodynamic responses to coastal development. Multi-source remote sensing data, including satellite and drone imagery, were used to quantify changes in tidal channel morphology, channel geometry, and surface bedform migration across seasonal to multi-decadal timescales (1975–2025). Seasonal to annual variations in grain-size distributions were analyzed using surface sediment samples to characterize sedimentary processes and surface sediment dynamics.  

The Donggeom tidal flat, developed within a deltaic setting with sustained fluvial sediment supply, exhibited increasing channel sinuosity and a transition toward a dendritic and narrower channel network, indicating progressive tidal-flat aggradation. In contrast, the Shinsi tidal flat, which lacks a direct fluvial sediment source, experienced tidal-channel development accompanied by seaward sediment export. Annual grain-size variations indicate that embankment construction enhanced wave exposure and promoted coarser sediment deposition, suggesting intensified sediment reworking and erosion. The contrasting geomorphic responses to coastal development are primarily attributed to differences in sediment availability and local hydrodynamic conditions. These results highlight sediment supply and geomorphic configuration as key controls on the spatial variability of macrotidal flat evolution subjected to long-term human modification.

How to cite: Jo, J., Choi, K., Bang, S., and Park, J.: Long-term geomorphodynamic responses of macrotidal flats to human modification (1975-2025), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17153, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17153, 2026.

EGU26-17439 | Orals | GM8.3

The effect of sediment loading from the Río de la Plata: driving regional sea-level variability 

Alessio Rovere, Tamara Pico, Gabrel Tagliaro, Ciro Cerrone, Luca Lämmle, Archimedes Peres Filho, Karla Rubio-Sandoval, Luigi Jovane, Jerry X. Mitrovica, Christopher G. Piecuch, and Giovanni Scicchitano

Sea-level reconstructions are essential for evaluating models of ice-sheet stability and climate change, but their interpretation is often confounded by sea-level signals produced by multiple processes, including the Earth’s deformation in response to sediment loading. Here we show that accounting for sediment isostasy resolves long-standing inconsistencies among Marine Isotopic Stage (MIS) 5a and 5e sea-level records from the Río de la Plata estuary, reducing mismatches by up to an order of magnitude. This result demonstrates that regional sedimentary histories can bias relative sea-level estimates by several meters compared with conventional approaches based only on glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). We also show that sediment loading has affected relative sea level across the Holocene and may continue to influence present-day tide-gauge observations in the region. Together, these findings emphasize the need for regionally detailed sedimentation histories rather than reliance on global compilations alone, and they motivate expanded shelf coring and seismic surveying.

How to cite: Rovere, A., Pico, T., Tagliaro, G., Cerrone, C., Lämmle, L., Peres Filho, A., Rubio-Sandoval, K., Jovane, L., Mitrovica, J. X., Piecuch, C. G., and Scicchitano, G.: The effect of sediment loading from the Río de la Plata: driving regional sea-level variability, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17439, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17439, 2026.

EGU26-17729 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Late Pleistocene coastal dynamics: Insights from new OSL Chronology of Barrier III aeolianites, Southern Brazil 

Ciro Cerrone, Luca Lämmle, Giovanni Scicchitano, Archimedes Perez Filho, Denovan Chauveau, Silas Dean, Nikos Georgiou, Stephanie Leone, Luigi Jovane, Gabriel Tagliaro, and Alessio Rovere

This study investigates the coastal dune deposits of "Barrier III" along the southern Brazilian coast, and in particular along the coastal area close to Osório and Paranaguá. While traditionally attributed to the Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 5e highstand, emerging evidence suggests this barrier is a complex system incorporating younger deposits from MIS 5a or even MIS 3. The analyzed sequences consist of aeolianites outcropping up to a few meters above present sea level. To ensure high-resolution spatial accuracy, proxy elevations were measured using a GNSS RTK station and referenced to the local geoid model (MAPGEO2015), maintaining a vertical error margin of a few centimeters.

Through geomorphological, granulometric, and morphoscopic analyses, this research re-evaluates the geochronological framework of these deposits by presenting 19 new Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) ages. The findings address a critical scientific debate: while a broad consensus has long placed sea levels during MIS 5a and 5c several meters below present, recent studies increasingly suggest that sea level at that time may have been closer to, or even above, modern levels in certain regions. This study examines the extent to which eustatic oscillations during these substages, and potentially MIS 3, drove sedimentary dynamics capable of shaping dune systems in positions proximate to the modern shoreline.

How to cite: Cerrone, C., Lämmle, L., Scicchitano, G., Perez Filho, A., Chauveau, D., Dean, S., Georgiou, N., Leone, S., Jovane, L., Tagliaro, G., and Rovere, A.: Late Pleistocene coastal dynamics: Insights from new OSL Chronology of Barrier III aeolianites, Southern Brazil, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17729, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17729, 2026.

EGU26-17730 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Urban Flood Prevention and Ecosystem Trade-offs in Venice, Italy 

Alessandro Michielotto, Alvise Finotello, Bruno Matticchio, Davide Tognin, Riccardo A. Mel, Alessandra Feola, Daniele P. Viero, Luca Carniello, and Andrea D'Alpaos

Developed estuarine and lagoonal systems have progressively evolved toward increasing human control, as their morphology and hydrodynamics have been modified to support settlements, infrastructure, and economic activities. As climate change drives sea-level rise and alters hydrological and meteorological extremes, this human-dominated trajectory is accelerating, with hard-engineering flood-defence systems—including levees, river diversions, and storm-surge barriers—becoming central to coastal flood-risk management in urbanized coastal areas. While the hydro-, morpho-, and ecological effects of individual flood-protection measures are relatively well documented, far less is known about how multiple defenses interact when they operate simultaneously within the same estuarine system.

Here, we investigate the Venice Lagoon (Italy), a paradigmatic anthropogenic tidal basin shaped by centuries of human interventions. In the northern lagoon, a river-levee spillway is used to divert excess river discharge toward the lagoon to protect mainland urban areas from fluvial flooding, while a storm-surge barrier system at the lagoon inlets is operated to limit marine flooding in Venice and other lagoonal settlements. Using numerical modeling supported by field data, we analysed lagoon hydrodynamics during November 2019, a period characterized by exceptional rainfall and storm-surge conditions that triggered repeated spillway operations and severe flooding in Venice. We compared scenarios with and without storm-surge barrier closures and evaluated the effects of projected sea-level rise over a 40-year horizon.

Our results show that storm-surge barrier closures, although effective at reducing tidal water levels within the lagoon, intensify the freshening caused by riverine flood inputs by restricting tidal exchange and increasing hydraulic heads at (and thus flow discharge through) the spillway. Under sea-level-rise scenarios, barrier closures are projected to become both more frequent and longer-lasting, leading to greater volumes of freshwater entering the lagoon and to an expansion of areas affected by altered salinity. Over longer timescales, these coupled processes are expected to drive the lagoon away from its present hydrodynamic and ecological regime, increasing its reliance on active human regulation to maintain stability. This highlights the need for integrated adaptation strategies that explicitly account for interactions among flood-defence infrastructures, so that coastal cities can be protected without undermining the resilience of estuarine ecosystems under ongoing climate change and intensifying anthropogenic pressures.

How to cite: Michielotto, A., Finotello, A., Matticchio, B., Tognin, D., Mel, R. A., Feola, A., Viero, D. P., Carniello, L., and D'Alpaos, A.: Urban Flood Prevention and Ecosystem Trade-offs in Venice, Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17730, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17730, 2026.

EGU26-18985 | Posters on site | GM8.3

A Comparative Study of Salt Marsh Vegetation Dynamics in an Eco-Morphodynamic Modeling Framework 

Hadi Shamsnia, Alvise Finotello, Andrea D'Alpaos, and Enrico Bertuzzo

Abstract

Salt marshes are key components of coastal and estuarine landscapes, providing important ecosystem services including carbon storage, nutrient filtering, and wave attenuation. Currently, marsh sustainability is increasingly threatened by sea-level rise and human pressures such as land reclamation, subsidence, and reduced sediment supply, leading to widespread and accelerating marsh loss worldwide.

Understanding salt-marsh evolution at relevant timescales typically relies on biogeomorphodynamic models that resolve hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and morphological change, coupled with biotic feedbacks from vegetation, which directly affect sediment transport and organic deposition. Vegetation dynamics in these models are commonly based on the assumption that each species has an optimal elevation range where its productivity peaks. This assumption derives from field observations of realized (i.e., observed) ecological niches, which display hump-shaped distributions along marsh elevation gradients.

However, both theoretical and empirical insights now challenge this hypothesis, suggesting that species productivity actually tends to increase monotonically with elevation—following a logistic growth pattern—and that the hump-shaped niches observed in the field are merely the result of interspecific competition. This discrepancy challenges the way vegetation feedbacks are represented in most salt-marsh models and calls for a re-evaluation of how species interactions are incorporated into predictions of marsh evolution.

Here we use a biogeomorphodynamic model that solves hydrodynamics, sediment transport, sediment mass balance, and topographic change, coupled to two alternative vegetation formulations: (i) a classical model based on hump-shaped elevation niches, and (ii) a spatially explicit dispersal–competition model based on monotonic (logistic) fundamental niches. Simulations are performed for a real case study in the Venice Lagoon under different rates of relative sea-level rise and suspended sediment supply.

The two vegetation formulations produce markedly different patterns of vegetation zonation and, more importantly, contrasting predictions of marsh resilience to rising sea levels. While the classical model predicts marsh persistence under a relative sea-level rise of 2.5 mm yr⁻¹, the dispersal-based vegetation model predicts marsh degradation, yielding qualitatively different outcomes under the same environmental forcings.

By explicitly accounting for dispersal and interspecific competition, our results show that vegetation dynamics exert a stronger control on long-term marsh survival than is captured by traditional niche-based models. This calls for a revision of current biogeomorphodynamic frameworks to improve projections of salt-marsh resilience under future sea-level rise.

Keywords: Echo-morphodynamic model, Dispersal colonization, Habitat quality, Sediment transport, Salt marsh

How to cite: Shamsnia, H., Finotello, A., D'Alpaos, A., and Bertuzzo, E.: A Comparative Study of Salt Marsh Vegetation Dynamics in an Eco-Morphodynamic Modeling Framework, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18985, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18985, 2026.

EGU26-19026 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Effect of Variability in River Discharge and Sediment Supply  on Morphodynamic Timescales in Estuaries 

Marloes Bonenkamp, Anne Baar, Jaap Nienhuis, and Joep Storms

Estuaries are highly dynamic landscapes shaped by interactions between tides, rivers and sediments. Natural shifts and anthropogenic interventions, ranging from sea level rise to the damming of major river systems, are disrupting estuaries around the globe. Numerical models are a useful tool to understand the drivers of estuarine change, and previous research successfully quantified the effects of river discharge and sea level rise on estuarine morphology. However, an important limitation remains: most existing numerical modelling studies prescribe river discharge and sediment supply as a constant boundary condition, despite the wide range of hydrological regimes observed in natural systems. The extent to which variability in river discharge, rather than its mean value, controls internal estuarine morphodynamic behaviour and adaptation timescales remains poorly understood. 

This study investigates how temporal variability in river discharge and sediment supply influences internal estuarine morphological evolution and the timescales of change. Using an idealized depth-averaged (2DH) Delft3D-FM morphodynamic model, we isolate the effect of variability in river discharge and sediment supply on estuarine morphodynamics. Based on a global hydrological data analysis, three representative forcing scenarios have been developed: constant (baseline), seasonal (periodic), and flashy (intermittent extreme events).  

It is hypothesized that high-magnitude, short-duration events act as morphological accelerators, potentially shortening adaptation timescales compared to constant flow regimes. We further explore if thresholds in discharge intermittency can induce non-linear shifts in channel-bar configurations and intertidal area distribution. Such responses may exhibit latency, where the morphological ‘memory’ of a system affects its resilience to changing forcing regimes. By explicitly accounting for hydrological variability, this work advances process-based understanding of estuarine morphodynamics and contributes to improving predictions of estuarine evolution under climate change and increasing anthropogenic pressure. 

How to cite: Bonenkamp, M., Baar, A., Nienhuis, J., and Storms, J.: Effect of Variability in River Discharge and Sediment Supply  on Morphodynamic Timescales in Estuaries, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19026, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19026, 2026.

EGU26-19497 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Architecture and evolution of crevasse splay in Po River Delta: implications for nature-based wetland restoration 

Anmol Raj Mandal, Valentina M. Rossi, Alvise Finotello, Massimiliano Ghinassi, Andrea Irace, Luca Zaggia, Andrea Berton, Sandra Trifiró, Matteo Mantovani, and Marta Cosma

Crevasse splays generated by natural levee breaches are key geomorphodynamic mechanisms through which rivers deliver sediment to adjacent floodplains and lagoons, promoting land building and wetland development. In heavily engineered deltaic systems, such features provide valuable natural analogues for nature-based solutions (NbS) aimed at restoring sediment connectivity and enhancing coastal resilience. This study investigates the recent morphodynamic evolution of a crevasse splay in the Batteria Island, Po River Delta, formed due to a natural levee breach, with the aim of quantifying rates of splay growth, surface accretion, and channel-network dynamics.

The evolution of the splay between 2015 and 2024 was reconstructed using Sentinel-2 Satellite Imagery. Changes in vegetation cover, tidal-flat extent, and distributary channel patterns were mapped from true- and false-colour composites, while rates of splay-front progradation were quantified using DSAS. High-resolution surface morphology was further constrained using two drone-based LiDAR surveys (2024 and 2025), complemented by a bathymetric survey.

Sedimentological data from approximately 30 shallow sediment cores distributed across the splay were used to constrain vertical and lateral variability within the deposit and to generate a three-dimensional subsurface model of the splay’s internal architecture.

Results show self-sustained growth of the crevasse splay into the lagoon, accompanied by a gradual expansion of vegetated salt-marsh surfaces and net positive vertical accretion. Progradation rates decrease slowly over time due to geometric spreading of sediment across the widening splay lobes. The distributary channel network exhibits distinct dynamics: three main channels remain consistently open, whereas secondary channels are frequently abandoned after becoming blocked by plant debris. These abandoned channels are subsequently colonized by vegetation, promoting sediment trapping and stabilizing the splay surface. In the northern part of the splay, newly formed lobes are beginning to be colonized by vegetation, but the process remains slow, indicating a lag between sediment deposition and ecological succession.

The Batteria Lagoon crevasse splay demonstrates how naturally occurring levee breaches can rapidly create and stabilize new wetland surfaces in a tide-influenced delta. These findings highlight the geomorphic effectiveness of levee-breach-driven sediment delivery and provide quantitative insights relevant to the design and assessment of NbS-based wetland restoration strategies in deltaic environments.

How to cite: Mandal, A. R., Rossi, V. M., Finotello, A., Ghinassi, M., Irace, A., Zaggia, L., Berton, A., Trifiró, S., Mantovani, M., and Cosma, M.: Architecture and evolution of crevasse splay in Po River Delta: implications for nature-based wetland restoration, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19497, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19497, 2026.

EGU26-20154 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Chrono-stratigraphy of Italian coastal dunes: implications for Holocene relative sea-level change and coastal progradation 

Giuseppe Corrado, Vincenzo Amato, Vincenzo De Santis, Dario Gioia, and Pietro Aucelli

Coastal dune systems are fundamental transitional geomorphological features that function not only as natural barriers for coastal protection but also as valuable geo-archives capable of recording the evolutionary dynamics of coastal landscapes. Along the Italian coasts, the formation and stabilization of these systems during the Holocene and historical periods have been shaped by a complex interplay between post-glacial sea-level rise, variability in fluvial sediment supply, and increasingly significant anthropogenic impacts. This contribution provides a systematic review of dated coastal dune systems across the Italian peninsula and its major islands. The primary objective is to synthesize current knowledge and establish a consistent chrono-stratigraphic framework. By integrating geomorphological data, radiometric dating (OSL and 14C), geoarchaeological evidence, and historical cartography, this study analyzes the spatial and temporal distribution of dune ridges. This integrated approach allows for the identification of synchronous phases of stabilization and progradation at a regional scale, offering a comprehensive perspective on how Mediterranean shorelines have responded to Late Quaternary forcing factors. A key focus of this ongoing research involves utilizing these dated dune sequences as high-resolution proxies for quantifying coastal progradation rates. By correlating the spatial position of dune bodies with their absolute ages, it is possible to derive estimates of shoreline advancement rates across diverse physiographic settings, such as deltaic lobes, open coastal plains, and embayed sectors. This methodology enables a distinction between periods of rapid progradation often linked to high sediment supply or sea-level stabilization—and phases of coastal stability or erosion. In conclusion, this review demonstrates that the integrated study of Italian coastal dunes is not only essential for paleogeographic reconstruction but also provides vital quantitative parameters (progradation rates) for understanding coastal resilience. Such data are crucial for calibrating evolutionary models in response to contemporary sea-level rise and decreasing sediment delivery, aligning with the core themes of proxy identification and process understanding in past and present interglacials.

How to cite: Corrado, G., Amato, V., De Santis, V., Gioia, D., and Aucelli, P.: Chrono-stratigraphy of Italian coastal dunes: implications for Holocene relative sea-level change and coastal progradation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20154, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20154, 2026.

EGU26-21315 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.3

Dredging impacts on morphological equilibrium and flood propagation in the Clyde estuary  

Octria Adi Prasojo, Martin D. Hurst, Richard D. Williams, Larissa A. Naylor, and Jaime L. Toney

Low-lying coastal estuaries, home for ~60% of the world’s population, are often dredged for navigation. Dredging deepens the estuary channel, hypothetically disturbing the hydro- and morpho-dynamics of an estuary. However, the impact of this activity on the morphological equilibrium state (i.e. balanced state between erosion and deposition) and flood propagation of the estuary leaves a substantial knowledge gap. As such, addressing this gap is fundamental to understanding the tendency of the estuary to bounce back to its morphological equilibrium state (i.e. which part severely needs more sediment), along with hydrodynamic impact on tidal and fluvial floods, especially under current sea-level rise (SLR) projections.

Here, high-resolution bathymetric data from 2016 to 2025 are used to detect morphological changes and to run 2D hydrodynamic simulations under varying tidal and fluvial flood conditions, added with 2100 SLR projection in the Clyde estuary, United Kingdom. In tidal prism theory, scaling between the tidal prism (P) and cross section area (A) represents a dynamic equilibrium state of feedback between tidal channel morphology and hydrodynamics. It is used here to understand the current equilibrium state of the uppermost, anthropogenically constrained part and unconfined, downstream part of the estuary.

In an equilibrium state, erosion and deposition in the system are in balance. Instead model shows that the Clyde estuary has been in a morphological disequilibrium state, during the entire study period. Dredging activity, type of flood, sea-level rise and channel confinement collectively affect the morphological equilibrium state of the Clyde estuary, with the channel confinement showing the most pronounced impact.  Dredging and flood type have a minor impact on the downstream morphological equilibrium of the Clyde. In contrast, dredging significantly disrupts the equilibrium of the fully confined upstream section. Although net accretion occurs throughout the system—most strongly in the upstream region—the annual sedimentation rate decreases by approximately a factor of sixteen from 2016-2025. This is because the current disequilibrium state tends to make the system to erode itself. What is the impact of this on flooding? Increased accretion upstream restricts the upstream propagation of the tidal flood, thereby reducing the overall extent of tidal inundation. However, the associated reduction in upstream cross-sectional area increases the extent of fluvial flooding. Under the 2100 SLR projection, assuming the same levels of dredging and estuary shape as today, the estuary gets closer to its morphological equilibrium state. As the sea-level rise delivers more water into the estuary, it increases both the tidal prism volume and the cross-sectional area. Lastly, channel confinement by riverbanks to protect the infrastructure and people from flooding, impacts morphological disequilibrium the most. Channel confinement laterally reduces the cross-section area, making the space available for the flowing water laterally limited and consequently the system adjusts vertically, making it more erosive and increases flood risk. Here we show that tidal prism theory could aid us in understanding the morphological equilibrium state of a dredged estuary, providing us with a useful guideline on sustainable sediment management and flood mitigation under the projected sea-level rise.

How to cite: Prasojo, O. A., Hurst, M. D., Williams, R. D., Naylor, L. A., and Toney, J. L.: Dredging impacts on morphological equilibrium and flood propagation in the Clyde estuary , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21315, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21315, 2026.

Many deltas and lagoonal systems are currently under threat of continued sea level rise and face potential future drowning, or transgression of the sea, particularly in lowland lagoonal areas. Resulting drowning of deltas and the impact of potential mitigation measures is subject of many studies. However, timescales and spatial complexity of transgression-related processes often remain unknown or topic of debate. Transgression-forced vegetation changes, salinization, changed these processes are fundamental  for the functioning of the lagoonal complex, determining the stability of tidal inlets and rate of sediment transport. Reconstruction of coastal transitions in the past can quantify rates of change and coastal morphology, which by comparison with model simulations help to constrain the transgressive processes and effects.

The former Caorle lagoon, located in the Veneto region in NE Italy, is currently mostly reclaimed agricultural land. It is under threat of sea-level rise and the past development of this relatively small area acts as a natural laboratory of coastal change, highly relevant for the adjacent lagoon of Venice. We use the output of years of fieldwork (2012 – 2026), a large set of radiocarbon dates derived and proxy records at selected core sites of pollen and foraminifera to constrain salinity gradients, ecological changes and human influence. Exceptionally large infill rates are found in unstable tidal inlets. We find that deposition rates at sites with stable conditions vary between 1-8 mm/yr and are largest in depressed areas (incised valleys) and during rapid sea level rise. Lastly, we find that landscape transitions from fluvial- to tide dominated can be rapid (10 – 100 years) or gradual (100 – 1000 years) depending on relative height, topographic position and river configuration.

How to cite: Gerats, W.: Constraining the past and future evolution of a drowning landscape in Northeastern Italy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21823, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21823, 2026.

EGU26-22156 | ECS | Orals | GM8.3

Apparent Hack’s Law in River Deltas 

Tian Dong, Lawrence Vulis, Hongbo Ma, Alejandro Tejedro, and Timothy Goudge

River deltas are densely populated, ecologically vital landscapes threatened by rising sea levels. Distributary channel networks disperse sediment to build deltaic land, yet the relationship between the organization of distributary networks and deltaic land building remains elusive. Inspired by Hack’s law, which shows that watershed drainage area scales with channel length in tributary networks, we analyzed a global dataset of distributary networks and found a nearly identical scaling relationship between distributary channel length and nourishment area, the land-building counterpart to drainage area. Despite this apparent global scaling, we further identified two distinct local land-building patterns: Uniform Delta Networks consistently follow Hack’s law, while Composite Delta Networks exhibit a scale break, transitioning from space-filling growth around the delta apex to quasi-linear growth near the coast. The unexpected growth patterns suggest that global simplicity and local variability coexist in how river deltas grow and organize.

How to cite: Dong, T., Vulis, L., Ma, H., Tejedro, A., and Goudge, T.: Apparent Hack’s Law in River Deltas, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22156, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22156, 2026.

EGU26-132 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Rapid changes of the lava-delta coastlines formed by the 2021 volcanic eruption on La Palma, Canary Islands 

Zhongwei Zhao, Neil C. Mitchell, José Antonio Lozano Rodríguez, Eugenio Fraile-Nuez, Juan Tomás Vázquez, Rui Quartau, and Ricardo S. Ramalho

Rocky coastlines of newly formed lava deltas change rapidly after their emplacement if they are exposed to energetic waves and where they are internally weak.  Such rapid changes can be studied in detail using time-lapse remote sensing data from recent eruptions. Two lava deltas were created during the 2021 La Palma eruption. We use 0.5-m-resolution Pléiades satellite images to characterize their evolution on daily and monthly intervals over 14 months, providing young lava-coastline change data of high temporal resolution for the first time. Coasts of these two deltas are classified into pocket beaches and rock promontories. The pocket beaches were formed from eroded volcanic materials.  Fluctuations in their positions correlate strongly with tidal water level. Within the first 39 days, annualised coastal retreat rates of the promontories reached 712 m/yr, the fastest retreat rates found so far in young lava coasts, before decreasing with time. We interpret this change as due to the presence of friable materials on the lava fronts (e.g., clinker), which were easily eroded by waves initially, in contrast with later slow retreat due to more resistant lithologies within lava flow interiors.  Slowed coastal retreat may also be due to attenuation of waves crossing a growing submarine platform in front of the deltas and protection from clastic materials formed by collapsed sea cliffs. In addition, the coastline of the northern delta became more crenelated in plan-view and retreated quickly. That retreat followed a similar systematic slowing found in other new rocky coasts formed by historical eruptions. In contrast, coastline of the southerly delta was more rounded and changed minimally. These deltas experienced two markedly different histories despite lying less than ~1 km apart, which can be explained by different patterns of lava flow emplacement and internal structure.

How to cite: Zhao, Z., Mitchell, N. C., Rodríguez, J. A. L., Fraile-Nuez, E., Vázquez, J. T., Quartau, R., and Ramalho, R. S.: Rapid changes of the lava-delta coastlines formed by the 2021 volcanic eruption on La Palma, Canary Islands, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-132, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-132, 2026.

EGU26-1280 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Precision Mapping of Coastal Erosion in Karaikal Using Combined UAV Photogrammetry and RTK GNSS Surveys 

Pavithra Priyadharshini Kalyana Kumar and Sivakumar Ramalinga

Coastal erosion poses a significant risk to India’s 11,098.81 km shoreline, particularly in regions where coastal economies rely heavily on fishing. Karaikal, Puducherry, has experienced erosion along 37% of its coastline (NCCR, 2018), underscoring the need for robust sediment volume and shoreline change assessments. This study quantifies sediment dynamics by integrating Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) photogrammetry with Real-Time Kinematic Global Navigation Satellite System (RTK GNSS) surveys across TR Pattinam and Vanjiur beaches. Shoreline positions were mapped using RTK GNSS by delineating the centre line between high-water (HWL) and low-water (LWL) marks, while UAV-derived edges were extracted via the Canny detection algorithm. UAV flights were conducted at 50 m altitude with 85% image overlap. The Canny method achieved an average SSIM of ~0.8 and positional accuracy within one pixel.

Sediment volumes were estimated by generating UAV-based digital elevation models (DEMs) using Structure from Motion and comparing them with centimetre-accurate GNSS transects spaced at 30 m intervals. Elevation differences were integrated alongshore to compute volumetric changes, with UAV elevations cross-checked against GNSS profiles for bias assessment. Results indicate strong agreement between UAV and GNSS datasets, demonstrating the reliability of this integrate.

Key words: Shoreline change, Erosion,  GNSS, Edge detection ,Sediment volume

How to cite: Kalyana Kumar, P. P. and Ramalinga, S.: Precision Mapping of Coastal Erosion in Karaikal Using Combined UAV Photogrammetry and RTK GNSS Surveys, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1280, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1280, 2026.

EGU26-1386 | Orals | GM8.5

Formation Mechanisms of Anthropogenic Rock Coasts 

John M MacDonald, Amanda Owen, and David J Brown

Humans are depositing ever-increasing volumes of sediment on the Earth’s surface, much of this in coastal areas. In this contribution we show how some of this artificial sediment is rapidly changing into rock on interaction with coastal and marine processes, and creating new anthropogenic rock coasts. At a case study site in West Cumbria, UK, ferrous slag (a by-product from iron and a steel making) was deposited from ~1860 to 1980 at the coast, forming a bank ~2.5 kilometres long and up to 30 metres high. Over time, wave action from the Irish Sea has eroded the seaward side of this slag bank releasing material onto the foreshore. This material has been reworked by wave and tidal processes, and then deposited on the foreshore, before subsequently undergoing rapid lithification. The present-day foreshore is thus made of a rock platform composed largely of this eroded slag – an anthropogenic rock coast.

The rock platform is a form of conglomerate, with clast analysis showing that the clasts of slag are dominantly sub-rounded to rounded. Scanning Electron Microscopy analysis revealed the slag clasts are cemented together with calcite mineral cements, and occasional other minerals such as goethite. The highly chemically reactive nature and high calcium concentration of the slag resulted in leaching of calcium, making interclast porewaters hyperalkaline, resulting in ingassing of CO2 and precipitation of the dominant calcite cement. Prior to slag dumping, this coastline was a soft coast. Industrial activity, and human deposition of anthropogenic geomaterials, can be shown to dramatically change the physical and hydrodynamic properties of the coast, resulting in the rapid change from a soft coast to a rock coast at the case study site.

How to cite: MacDonald, J. M., Owen, A., and Brown, D. J.: Formation Mechanisms of Anthropogenic Rock Coasts, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1386, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1386, 2026.

EGU26-2004 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Shoreline Extraction from Earth Observation data using the Isoradiometric Method: a QGIS scripting and Google Earth Engine workflow supporting landscape-evolution analyses 

Luca Balsamo, Francesco Caldareri, Nicolò Parrino, Elia Ponte, Gino Dardanelli, Simona Todaro, Antonino Maltese, and Attilio Sulli

Sandy coasts are among the most dynamic and vulnerable environments, yet the development of robust and scalable methods for shoreline extraction from satellite imagery remains under discussion. Most current approaches delineate shorelines at the pixel scale, so their accuracy is intrinsically constrained by sensor resolution and pixel geometry. In this contribution, we present an isoradiometric sub-pixel shoreline extraction method, operationally implemented via QGIS scripting and Google Earth Engine (GEE), to support coastal morphodynamics and landscape-evolution analyses over multi-decadal timescales. We first develop and test the method on three Sicilian sandy beaches (Torre Salsa, Balestrate, and Vendicari), combining field radiometric measurements with multi-sensor satellite data (Landsat-8, Sentinel-2, and Planetscopes). Radiometric profiles acquired across the water–sediment interface are used to define spectral profiles and an iso-reflectance line at bottom-of-atmosphere associated with the shoreline, with particular emphasis on red-edge, near-infrared, and shortwaves bands. These iso-radiometric lines are then interpolated across the satellite scenes to obtain a continuous, sub-pixel shoreline. Independent NRTK GNSS surveys collected along the swash zone are used to validate the extracted shorelines and to quantify positional accuracy. Our results show that the isoradiometric approach on near infrared (NIR) bands can achieve shoreline position accuracy comparable to, and in several cases exceeding, those of more complex state-of-the-art methods, while remaining conceptually simple and cost-effective. The analysis of method performance across sensors highlights the key role of NIR bands and allows us to discuss the trade-offs between spatial and temporal resolution. We also systematically assess critical factors that can bias shoreline position, such as breaking waves, beached Posidonia oceanica, cloud and terrain shadows, and water-body radiometric effects, providing practical guidance to minimize their impact. In a second step, we iteratively apply the method to multi-decadal satellite image series, as well as seasonal datasets, to quantify long-term shoreline change and to distinguish phases of regression and transgression. The resulting time series are integrated into a simple quantitative landscape-evolution framework, enabling the estimation of differential erosion and accretion along the coast. Finally, we implement the full workflow in an open and reproducible way by combining GEE for large-scale image access and pre-processing with QGIS models and Python scripting for shoreline extraction and analysis. This integrated environment allows non-expert users and decision-makers to apply the isoradiometric method at a regional scale, thus offering a practical tool to support coastal erosion assessment and adaptation planning in the context of ongoing and projected climate-driven changes.

How to cite: Balsamo, L., Caldareri, F., Parrino, N., Ponte, E., Dardanelli, G., Todaro, S., Maltese, A., and Sulli, A.: Shoreline Extraction from Earth Observation data using the Isoradiometric Method: a QGIS scripting and Google Earth Engine workflow supporting landscape-evolution analyses, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2004, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2004, 2026.

EGU26-2018 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.5

Using 2D LiDAR to Investigate Swash-Level Gravel Barrier Dynamics 

Robert Jones, Nieves Valiente, Chris Blenkinsopp, and Mark Davidson

Gravel barriers are efficient absorbers of wave energy due to the high permeability of gravel sediments. They are thus highly valued as a coastal defence and have numerous other benefits including biodiversity and recreation. Given the probable increase in storm intensity under climate change, this importance will only increase in the future. However, these systems can themselves be damaged during storm events. To effectively manage and monitor them, it is necessary to understand how they respond to energetic forcing. Thus far, morphological and hydrological measurements of sufficient resolution to resolve individual swashes are rare on gravel environments, especially over a protracted period time. Hence, our current knowledge is lacking.

As part of the #gravelbeach project, this study addresses this knowledge gap by investigating swash-level change at different gravel barrier typologies. Here, we focus on Borth, a drift-aligned macrotidal composite barrier in West Wales. A 6 m LiDAR tower was deployed between 28 November 2024 – 25 March 2025. Three-second scans were taken every low tide, while one-to-two hour scans were taken every high tide. The shoreline is extracted every 1 s, from which the total water level and bed profile are calculated. To extract berm location and characteristics, a novel semi-automated approach is developed.

During the transition from neap to spring tide, a series of berm construction and destruction events is observed, which is in contrast to prior observations of a gradual translation. At the swash level, four different types of berm response to energetic events were identified. They could flatten, overtop, aggradate vertically, or possess an upper zone of accretion (making the local profile gentler) and a lower zone of erosion (making the local profile steeper). It is also demonstrated that a gravel barrier can change between these types rapidly; in one example, three types are displayed in a single two-hour period. This diversity in barrier slope, both temporally and spatially, is often not taken into account by modelling approaches and highlights the need for continued research into swash-level dynamics at gravel barriers.

How to cite: Jones, R., Valiente, N., Blenkinsopp, C., and Davidson, M.: Using 2D LiDAR to Investigate Swash-Level Gravel Barrier Dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2018, 2026.

The shore platforms around Kaikōura Peninsula, located on the tectonically active east coast of South Island, Aotearoa New Zealand, host the world’s longest-running erosion monitoring record. Since 1973, a network of micro-erosion meter (MEM) stations has been used to measure downwearing across mudstone and limestone platforms to explore processes responsible for and the rate of development of the shore platforms. Here, we review and report on five decades of observations, assess spatial and temporal patterns of erosion and evaluate the consistency of downwearing rates. Although never originally intended as part of the programme, we can now quantify the geomorphic response to one metre of coseismic uplift associated with the 2016 Mw 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake. Pre-earthquake erosion rates averaged 1.00 mm/yr (STDV = 0.73) across 9 measurement epochs. Post-earthquake rates more than doubled to 2.54 mm yr-1 reflecting enhanced subaerial weathering on the uplifted surfaces. Limestone platforms tended to erode more slowly (1.30 mm/yr) than mudstone (3.27 mm/yr), a significant difference between the two rock types that had not been evident before the 2016 uplift. Seasonal differences in erosion with higher rates in summer than winter observed prior to the earthquake remained pronounced after 2016 but the subaerial processes responsible have likely changed. These findings highlight the critical role of changing processes, the geomorphic significance of tectonic events on rock coasts, and the pathway from shore platform to marine terrace generation. The Kaikōura dataset provides a reference for interpreting short- and long-term erosion dynamics and highlights the scientific legacy of the late Emeritus Professor R.M. (Bob) Kirk.

How to cite: Stephenson, W.: Fifty Years of Shore Platform Erosion Monitoring at Kaikōura Peninsula, South Island, Aotearoa-New Zealand, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2123, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2123, 2026.

EGU26-2558 | Orals | GM8.5

Forecasting and Hindcasting Coastal Scarp Dynamics Using Forcing Composites and Machine-Learning Models in Saaremaa, Estonia 

Hannes Tõnisson, Katre Luik, Martin Mäll, Oliver Koit, Sten Suuroja, Jaak Jaagus, and Ülo Suursaar

Due to climate change and global sea-level rise (GSLR), the Estonian coasts, like many other previously depositional coasts around the world, are becoming erosional. The objective of this study is to statistically analyse and model (both forecast and hindcast) changes in the coastal scarp at the Järve coast in southwestern Saaremaa, Estonia, taking into account recently documented and projected shifts in regional climatological forcing and sedimentological background. Due to postglacial rebound with a local uplift of 2.2 mm/a over the Middle and Late Holocene, the area emerged from the sea about 4000 years ago. However, the growth of the uplifted coastal barrier, which has fully merged with the Saaremaa mainland, has essentially ceased, and the coast has largely become erosional. GSLR has recently outweighed the local postglacial sea-level lowering; storminess patterns have changed; the number of ice days has nearly halved in Estonia over the past ~100 years, and these tendencies are expected to continue.

To statistically analyse past changes and project future coastal developments, matrices of annual forcing data, including 13 selected and presumably most influential parameters (such as wind speed components, storminess indicators, average and maximum sea levels, air temperatures, and sea-ice statistics from neighbouring meteorological-hydrological stations), are juxtaposed with parameters describing the geomorphic outcomes observed at five selected cross-shore profiles on the currently erosional Järve coast, as well as at the downdrift, accretional Mändjala site. Variations in volumetric (erosion-accretion) changes in the scarp above the mean sea-level elevation and changes in scarp position are examined for the period 1990-2025.

Although the forcing parameters were chosen to minimize mutual duplication, the multivariate statistical analysis (correlation matrices and principal component analysis) yielded three major forcing composites. These were related, first, to gently varying, mainly NAO-related fluctuations in winds, storms and relative sea level; second, to the continuous warming trend, characterized by increasing air temperature and decreasing numbers of ice days; and third, to occasional (catastrophic and NAO-independent) storm-surge events. It was found that extreme storms can cause significant geomorphic changes not only during the event but also over longer periods. Such events produce immediate scarp erosion of several meters and deliver large volumes of fine-grained sediment to the nearshore zone, where it can be readily redistributed along the coast in subsequent years, leading to enhanced accretion in depositional areas even under relatively low forcing conditions. Furthermore, multivariate statistical models (including Principal Component Regression and forecasting), as well as machine-learning techniques (e.g., Random Forest, Boosted Trees, Support Vector Machines), relating the suite of forcing conditions to geomorphic outcomes for each profile, were tested. The forcing sets were manipulated to predict future developments along the Järve-Mändjala erosional-accretional coast. In addition, using older (observed and partly reconstructed) meteorological-oceanographic data on relative sea level, air temperature, ice conditions, and storm surges, the coastal changes were back-traced to pinpoint the mode change from areal increase and barrier growth to coastal erosion, which is hypothesized to have occurred approximately 50–100 years ago.

How to cite: Tõnisson, H., Luik, K., Mäll, M., Koit, O., Suuroja, S., Jaagus, J., and Suursaar, Ü.: Forecasting and Hindcasting Coastal Scarp Dynamics Using Forcing Composites and Machine-Learning Models in Saaremaa, Estonia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2558, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2558, 2026.

EGU26-2822 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

QUANTIFYING RATES OF ROCK CLIFF EROSION USING PS InSAR TECHNIQUE 

Bernard Essel, Niamh D. Cullen, Mary C. Bourke, Rónadh Cox, and Carlos Loureiro

Bedrock cliffs act as natural barriers against coastal hazards such as storm surges, flooding, extreme waves and runup; but they can fail due to hydrodynamic forcing and weathering. Rockfalls and landslides from eroding cliffs represent a significant, yet understudied hazard to humans and infrastructure. Understanding the complex dynamics of cliff erosion is essential for assessing and mitigating coastal hazards, especially in the context of climate change and sea-level rise, which are expected to change the hydrodynamic load and accelerate cliff retreat.

In Ireland, approximately 56 % of its extensive rocky coastline is rock-dominated. Despite this, rates and mechanisms of rock-cliff recession remain poorly quantified and understood and lag far behind those of soft coasts. This is partially due to difficulties associated with accessing hazardous coastal cliffs. Recent advances in Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) provide an opportunity to overcome these limitations by enabling millimetre-scale deformation monitoring over large and inaccessible areas.

In this study, Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) was applied to assess long-term coastal cliff deformation along the west coast of Ireland. The aim of the study was to test the utility of PS InSAR as an approach for detecting and measuring rock coast erosion.  Two areas of interest (AOIs) were analysed: AOI-1 (20 km, from Doonbeg to Murrooghtoohy North) and AOI-2 (14 km, from Doonbeg to near Kilbaha). A total of 100 Sentinel-1 VV-polarised Single Look Complex (SLC) images were processed for each AOI, spanning from August 2016 to December 2024. Data preparation was carried out using the SNAP2StaMPS workflow, and PS-InSAR processing was performed using the StaMPS algorithm in MATLAB.

The results indicated that both AOIs have remained largely stable over the eight-year period, with maximum cumulative Line-of-Sight (LOS) displacements of –11 mm in AOI-1 and –15 mm in AOI-2. Despite this overall stability, localised clusters of LOS displacement were identified, particularly around Breaffa South, Co. Clare, suggesting ongoing cliff retreat. Active Deformation Area (ADA) analysis, based on a velocity-threshold approach, revealed that active deformation is not randomly distributed but is concentrated mainly in the southern part of the study area. Active PS points predominantly occur on sandstone, siltstone, and mudstone, whereas stable PS points are more commonly associated with mechanically stronger lithologies such as limestone, dolomite, and cherty units. An assessment of terrain geometry further demonstrated a strong dependence of PS detectability on slope, with breakpoint analysis identifying a critical threshold at approximately 21°, beyond which PS generation begins to decrease noticeably.

The PS InSAR results were validated using a high-resolution topographic data derived from drone and Bland–Altman analysis.  The analysis revealed a systematic positive bias of 1.02 mm, indicating that PS-InSAR slightly underestimates displacement. Limitations such as layover, coverage gaps, and reduced sensitivity to rapid deformation were identified to affect the application of PS InSAR. Overall, the findings demonstrated that PS-InSAR is an effective tool for identifying zones of cliff instability, identifying ground displacement over large areas, long-term monitoring and good use as a first step, but must be combined with traditional methodologies.

How to cite: Essel, B., D. Cullen, N., C. Bourke, M., Cox, R., and Loureiro, C.: QUANTIFYING RATES OF ROCK CLIFF EROSION USING PS InSAR TECHNIQUE, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2822, 2026.

EGU26-3856 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Comparing measured and modelled foredune change at the English coast using AeoLiS. 

Matthew Withers, Ryan Wilson, Thomas Smyth, and Bethany Fox

With rising sea levels and changes to storm regimes, tidal inundation and coastal erosion pose a significant threat to communities near the coast (Jones et al., 2008). Foredunes have been proposed as a nature-based solution to such threats due to their ability to protect coastal communities from overwash, recover from storm damage, and provide a range of ecosystem services (van Puijenbroek et al., 2017; Strypsteen et al., 2024). However, coastal dune change depends on complex feedback between sediment deposition, marine erosion, and vegetation growth (Maun, 2009), making dune change difficult to predict and limiting our understanding of coastal dunes as management options. The development of predictive, accurate, numerical models may permit land managers to reliably use coastal dunes as a nature-based solution to many threats facing coastal communities (van Westen et al., 2024). One such potential model is AeoLiS.

AeoLiS is a process-based model for simulating sediment transport and morphological evolution in supply-limited environments (Hoonhout & de Vries, 2016).  The model has been validated against the sand engine nourishment project in the Netherlands (Hoonhout & de Vries, 2019), and a range of dune forms including barchan, parabolic and coastal embryo dunes (van Westen et al., 2024). The purpose of this research was to assess how accurately the AeoLiS model could replicate coastal dune change at a range of sites along the English coast, ranging from embryo dunes to established foredunes and varying in the degree of management. The results show that the AeoLiS model is capable of replicating coastal dune changes along two-dimensional transects at the English coast, accurately simulating both embryo and established foredune changes as well as dune changes following sand fence installation. The fact that this model is capable of replicating dune growth accurately suggests that it may be a powerful tool for land managers to predict future dune changes.

 

 

 

References:

Hoonhout, B. M., & de Vries, S. (2016). Aprocess-based modelforaeolian sediment transport andspatiotemporal varying sediment availability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 121, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JF003692.

Hoonhout, B., & de Vries, S. (2019). Simulating spatiotemporal aeolian sediment supply at a mega nourishment. Coastal Engineering, 145, 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2018.12.007

Jones, M. L. M., Sowerby, A., Williams, D. L., & Jones, R. E. (2008). Factors controlling soil development in sand dunes: evidence from a coastal dune soil chronosequence. Plant and Soil, 307, 219-234. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11104-008-9601-9

Maun, M. A. (2009). The Biology of Coastal Sand Dunes. Oxford University Press. 10.1093/oso/9780198570356.001.0001

Strypsteen, G., Bonte, D., Taelman, C., Derijckere, J., & Rauwoens, P. (2024). Three years of morphological dune development after planting marram grass on a beach. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, , https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.5870

van Puijenbroek , M. E. B., Limpens, J., de Groot, A. V., Riksen, M. J. P. M., Gleichman, M., van Dobben, H. F., & Berendse, F. (2017). Embryo dune development drivers: beach morphology, growing season precipitation, and storms. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 42, 1733-1744. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4144

van Westen, B., de Vries, S., Cohn, N., van Ijzendoorn, C., Strypsteen, G., & Hallin, C. (2024). AeoLiS: Numerical modelling of coastal dunes and aeolian landform development for real-world applications. Environmental Modelling and Software, 179(106093), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106093

How to cite: Withers, M., Wilson, R., Smyth, T., and Fox, B.: Comparing measured and modelled foredune change at the English coast using AeoLiS., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3856, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3856, 2026.

EGU26-4588 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Climate-Driven Cross-Shore Change and Shoreline Rotation Revealed by Satellite Observations  

Mariane Pullig, Karin Bryan, and Giovanni Coco

Satellite derived shoreline position data from “CoastSat” has provided novel insights on the underlying climatic patterns driving cross-shore shoreline movement and shoreline rotation at many sites around the globe. Here we use CoastSat shoreline and wavelet coherence analysis to identify common scales between wave components and cross-shore shoreline change/alongshore shoreline rotation along the New Zealand coast.  Wavelet-based decomposition was performed on two contrasting wave-climate regimes, comprising 250 km of west coast shoreline exposed to the Southern Ocean and 260 km of east coast shoreline influenced by the Southeast Pacific. A key challenge inherent to wavelet analysis of highly noisy satellite-derived data is determining statistical significance. Our approach estimates null hypothesis empirically using Monte Carlo red-noise simulations using the same effective number of degrees of freedom as presented in the real data. Thresholds change when scales or results from different sections (transects) of the coast are combined. Transect-averaged wavelet results indicate that, along the west coast, changes in wave height are consistently accompanied by changes in wave direction over the analysed period (1999-2024), implying that higher waves are associated with a single dominant direction. In contrast, the east coast exhibits multiple coherent signals, indicating that similar wave heights can occur under different directional regimes. Global coherence for the east coast (0.66 to 0.76) shows a high coherence in the seasonal band and the dominance of the alongshore component of the wave radiation stress in explaining beach rotation.

How to cite: Pullig, M., Bryan, K., and Coco, G.: Climate-Driven Cross-Shore Change and Shoreline Rotation Revealed by Satellite Observations , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4588, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4588, 2026.

EGU26-4973 | Orals | GM8.5

Hydro-Sedimentary Dynamics and Morphological Evolution of Intertidal Sandbar–Mangrove Systems in Mayotte 

Nouhaila Erraji Chahid, Matthieu Jeanson, Aline Aubry, and Alice Granjou

Sediment mobility in mangrove–sandbar coupled systems plays a key role in the evolution of coastal ecosystems through interactions between sediment dynamics, hydrodynamic forcing, and vegetation. Here, we present an integrated assessment of the hydro-sedimentary processes controlling the dynamics of intertidal mangrove–sandbar systems in the tropical context of Mayotte (Indian Ocean). Short-term in situ monitoring of morphological changes was combined with seasonal hydrodynamic measurements to investigate the respective roles of intertidal sandbars and mangroves in modulating local hydrodynamic processes. Two pilot sites, Tsingoni and Bandrele, were investigated using high-precision GNSS-RTK surveys and drone-derived digital elevation models (DEMs) to quantify sandbar morphology and volumetric sediment budgets, combined with hydrodynamic measurements from two acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCPs) and eight RBR pressure sensors to characterize coastal morphodynamic processes. Results reveal contrasting dynamics between the two sites. At Tsingoni, intertidal sandbars exhibit rapid landward migration (10–61 m in 5 months) and significant vertical accretion (0.2–0.5 m), locally affecting young mangrove stands through sediment burial. In contrast, Bandrele shows more limited morphological changes, with minor sandbar migration and adjustment (0.2–0.3 m) at the mangrove edge at the mangrove edge and in adjacent troughs. Hydrodynamic analyses further indicate that under wave heights of ~0.68 m and current velocities of ~0.5 m s⁻¹, sandbars dissipate approximately 30% of the incident energy, while mangroves provide an additional 60–95% attenuation. Together, these results highlight the dynamic and complementary roles of sandbars and mangroves in shaping the evolution of tropical intertidal coastal systems.

Keywords: Mangrove, Intertidal sandbar, Sediment mobility, Morphodynamics, Coastal resilience, Hydro-sedimentary processes

How to cite: Erraji Chahid, N., Jeanson, M., Aubry, A., and Granjou, A.: Hydro-Sedimentary Dynamics and Morphological Evolution of Intertidal Sandbar–Mangrove Systems in Mayotte, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4973, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4973, 2026.

EGU26-5891 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Multidecadal morphodynamics of a remote sand island reconstructed by LiDAR and satellite-derived bathymetry  

Victoria Watson, Jordan Eamer, and Danika van Proosdij

The impacts of climate change continue to modify vulnerable environments, with disproportionate effects on small oceanic islands and coastal ecosystems. Sable Island, an isolated, narrow island near the edge of the Scotian Shelf, is entirely composed of silt and sand. The island emerged during the last deglaciation, the only remaining emergent portion of the Scotian Shelf after post-glacial sea level rise. Dynamic erosional and depositional patterns attributed to the high energy environment and unconsolidated sediment, including fluctuations in area, length, and volume, have yielded varying hypotheses of the island’s history and trajectory in over a century of investigation. Persisting gaps lead us to question how Sable Island has evolved geologically, and how do the processes that impact its modern morphology impact its future trajectory? This work focused on characterizing the modern morphodynamics of Sable Island and its nearshore by utilizing high-resolution, multi-decadal data (terrestrial and bathymetric LiDAR, airphotos, satellite imagery) to quantify terrestrial volumetric change from 2009-2024, and reconstruct nearshore bathymetric change. Quantitative (e.g., vertical change measurements from DEMs of Difference) and qualitative (e.g., visual changes in nearshore sand bars) analyses are combined to deliver preliminary results. Prominent northwest-to-southeast sediment transport patterns are shown, yielding greatest volumetric gain and loss in the island’s east end. Net coastline retreat and surface area decrease (including almost a complete loss of the east spit) paired with a slight net increase in volume over the 15-year period suggests a vertical aggradation trend that may reduce the impacts of continued sea level rise.

How to cite: Watson, V., Eamer, J., and van Proosdij, D.: Multidecadal morphodynamics of a remote sand island reconstructed by LiDAR and satellite-derived bathymetry , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5891, 2026.

This study addresses the need to identify and characterize dynamic zones within coastal environments by examining the spatiotemporal variability of Total Suspended Solids (TSS MODIS), land surface state dynamics derived from the Relative Change Vector Maximum (RCVMAX), and sea level anomaly (SLA) within a barrier island system. The analysis focuses on the barrier island system of Cigu District, southwestern Taiwan, using a dataset spanning from 1 January 2015 to 30 June 2025. The study area encompasses the barrier sandbar and lagoon-facing coastal environment, extending approximately from 23.10° to 23.17° N and from 120.05° to 120.10° E, including ocean-exposed shorelines, tidal inlets, and internal lagoonal environments. Dynamic zones were delineated by quantifying day-to-day absolute changes in each variable at the grid level across more than nine million grid cells. High-change thresholds were defined using the 90th percentile, based on daily variability for SLA and annual variability for TSS MODIS and RCVMAX, enabling the identification of short-term extreme dynamics. SLA exhibits a continuous spatial pattern aligned with the main axis of the barrier island, reflecting coherent hydrodynamic forcing along the ocean-facing coast that is expected to intensify under projected sea level rise scenarios. TSS MODIS variability is spatially clustered, with pronounced changes in lagoonal waters, tidal channels, and nearshore embayments, indicating localized sediment resuspension and redistribution processes that are sensitive to changes in storm frequency, wave climate, and hydrodynamic energy. RCVMAX-derived dynamic zones capture temporal surface condition transitions rather than permanent land conversion, reflecting shifts between wet and dry states and between vegetated and non-vegetated surfaces driven by tidal inundation, exposure, and vegetation phenology that may be altered by climate-driven changes in inundation regimes and coastal ecological dynamics. Quantitatively, 258,524 high-change events were identified for TSS MODIS (≥ 0.00025), 249,133 for RCVMAX (≥ 1.009), and 333,904 for SLA (≥ 0.0349 m). All dynamic zone records were archived as individual CSV datasets. By mapping areas of recurrent short-term variability, the results provide a spatially explicit foundation for anticipating barrier island responses to future climate change, supporting adaptive coastal management, nature-based solutions, and long-term planning strategies.

How to cite: Lin, T.-Y. and Trihatmoko, E.: Spatiotemporal Delineation and Visualization of Coastal Environmental Dynamic Zones: A Case Study of TSS Modis, RCVMAX, and Sea Level Anomaly Variability in the Barrier Island of Cigu District, Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6217, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6217, 2026.

EGU26-6348 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.5

Using InSAR and GNSS to estimate shore platform erosion of Kaikōura Peninsula, New Zealand, and Otway Coast, Australia 

Md Sakaouth Hossain, Wayne Stephenson, Paul Denys, Mark Dickson, David M Kennedy, and Runjie Yuan

Quantifying shore platform evolution at appropriate spatial and temporal scales remains challenging due to the complex scaling between erosion at the instantaneous scale from waves and granular decay and the centennial to millennial age of platform systems. Unique multi-decadal records of in situ Micro-Erosion Meter (MEM) measurements, spanning more than 40 years, are available from shore platforms on the Kaikōura Peninsula, South Island, New Zealand, and the Otway Coast, southeastern Australia. MEM observations from Kaikōura indicate that, following 1 m of coseismic uplift during a Mw 7.8 earthquake in 2016, mean platform lowering rates have averaged ~2.30 mm/yr. In contrast, MEM measurements from the tectonically stable Otway shore platform between 2015 and 2024 indicate lower erosion rates of 0.264 mm/yr. While the MEM provides high-precision point-scale erosion rates, its spatial and temporal coverage is limited relative to the full extent and evolutionary timescales of shore platforms. To overcome these limitations, this study integrates Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) with GNSS observations to extend erosion and deformation assessments across entire shore-platform surfaces. Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI) was applied using the Surface motioN mAPPING (SNAPPING) PSI Med and PSI Full services on Sentinel-1 imagery acquired between 2017 and 2024 and processed via the Geohazards Exploitation Platform. At Kaikōura, PSI Full analysis indicates an average uplift rate of 4.28 mm/yr, whereas PSI Med analysis yields an apparent subsidence rate of 1.76 mm/yr, highlighting scale- and processing-dependent variability in deformation estimates. Initial InSAR results from the Otway Coast reveal low-magnitude deformation, with velocities generally ranging between −2.0 and +2.0 mm/yr. GNSS observations located at the Kaikōura Peninsula provide an independent constraint on vertical motion, indicating net subsidence at Kaikōura of approximately 3.0 mm/yr between 2017 and 2024. GNSS stations near the Otway shore platforms record subsidence rates of ~3.75 mm/yr at Lorne (2022–2024) and ~1.54 mm/yr at Marengo (2017–2024). Further analysis is required to reconcile GNSS-derived vertical motion rates with MEM observations; however, initial results highlight the value of integrating MEM, InSAR, and GNSS to resolve shore-platform downwearing across multiple spatial scales.

How to cite: Hossain, M. S., Stephenson, W., Denys, P., Dickson, M., Kennedy, D. M., and Yuan, R.: Using InSAR and GNSS to estimate shore platform erosion of Kaikōura Peninsula, New Zealand, and Otway Coast, Australia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6348, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6348, 2026.

This study examines Holocene sea-level rise and associated coastal and estuarine geomorphic evolution of the Nakdong River delta, South Korea, with a particular focus on east–west variations in depositional environments. Previous studies have largely reconstructed delta development based on north–south-oriented sediment cores, implicitly assuming along-axis uniformity. However, the Nakdong River estuary is characterized by an asymmetrical incised-valley morphology that extends farther eastward, suggesting spatially heterogeneous geomorphic responses to Holocene transgression and delta progradation. To address this gap, we analyzed sediment cores collected along an east–west transect across the estuarine valley, integrating chronological constraints and detailed sedimentary facies analysis. Preliminary results reveal a marked contrast in Holocene geomorphic evolution between the two sides of the valley. Thick Pleistocene deposits persist in the western valley, indicating limited accommodation creation, whereas early Holocene inundation and sediment accumulation commenced earlier in the eastern valley. By ~7 ka, marine influence had expanded across the entire valley, reflecting regional sea-level rise. Notably, prodelta and delta-front facies indicative of active delta progradation and shoreline advance are restricted to the eastern valley, suggesting preferential delta growth controlled by inherited valley morphology. In contrast, the western valley is dominated by tidal-flat and salt-marsh facies, implying a geomorphic setting characterized by lateral sediment trapping and restricted shoreline progradation. These east–west contrasts highlight the importance of valley-scale geomorphology in modulating coastal response to Holocene sea-level rise. This study provides new insights into the spatial variability of deltaic geomorphic evolution in a tide-influenced estuary and contributes to a broader understanding of Holocene coastal landscape development in East Asian river deltas.

How to cite: Han, M. and Yoon, H. H.: East–west contrasts in Holocene coastal geomorphic evolution of the Nakdong River delta, South Korea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6385, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6385, 2026.

EGU26-6723 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.5

Do UAV-Derived Boulder Dimensions Match Traditional Field Measurements at the Grind o’ da Navir, Shetland? 

Storm Roberts, Alison Raby, Irene Manzella, and Sarah Boulton

Coastal boulder deposits are found worldwide on rock coasts and can serve as a record of extreme wave events. Boulder dimensions are key parameters in commonly used hydrodynamic equations for reconstructing the extreme wave events which likely emplaced them, providing data that can inform coastal hazard assessments. Traditionally, boulder dimensions are measured in the field using a tape measure, a process that can be time-consuming when collecting large datasets. Remote sensing approaches are increasingly being used in the measurement of coastal boulder deposits to extract boulder parameters. Orthomosaics generated from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) allow for individual boulders to be measured using either manual or automated digitisation techniques. By digitising the outlines of boulders, a minimum bounding box can be fitted, and parameters such as orientation and axis lengths extracted. Large, site-wide datasets of these values can be rapidly generated, enabling whole site characterisation. However, this technique has only seen limited validation, particularly at sites with clustered boulders and an uneven basement surface. This study compares UAV-derived measurements of boulder dimensions with traditional field measurements, to test the statistical similarity.

The Grind o’ da Navir, Shetland, has an abundance of demonstrably storm wave emplaced boulders, which form ridges across the 15 – 20 m high cliff top. The site was selected due to its uneven bedrock and complex boulder ridge morphology, providing a boulder-abundant but methodologically-challenging environment. From 7950 digitised boulders, the mean long (A) axis was 0.66 m and the intermediate (B) axis was 0.40 m, with maximum axis lengths of 3.37 m and 1.73 m respectively. When compared using a paired subset of the data, the digitisation and traditional methods have a mean difference in A-axis of 0.05 m, and of 0.02 m for the B-axis, with a standard deviation of 0.14 m and 0.12 m for the two axes, respectively. This shows that the two methods are broadly interchangeable for average statistics with only minor bias, but individual measurements may have a larger error. The dip angle of boulders within the ridges at the Grind likely contributes to these individual measurement errors. At sites with isolated boulders on flat platforms, such discrepancies would be expected to be considerably smaller. Thus, UAV-derived boulder outlines can generate site-wide boulder statistics more rapidly than traditional field methods, with reasonable accuracy. The digitisation method can complement traditional field techniques, enabling larger, spatially extensive datasets while reducing the likelihood that spatial variability in boulder characteristics is overlooked.

How to cite: Roberts, S., Raby, A., Manzella, I., and Boulton, S.: Do UAV-Derived Boulder Dimensions Match Traditional Field Measurements at the Grind o’ da Navir, Shetland?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6723, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6723, 2026.

EGU26-7730 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Quantifying rates and identifying drivers of rocky cliff retreat along Ireland’s west coast 

Gregor M. Rink, Gordon R. M. Bromley, and Brenda L. Hall

More than half of the Irish Coast can be considered rocky, featuring cliffs and shore platforms in various environments and comprising different lithologies. In the face of climate and sea-level change, cliff retreat and its drivers had become an important research subject. For investigating coastal changes on millennial scales, modelling maximum likelihoods of possible exposure histories of shore platforms based on beryllium-10 (10Be) concentrations have become regularly used in the past decade. We applied 10Be analysis at four sites along Ireland’s west coast to study the interaction between local environment, changes in relative sea level (RSL) and climate, and cliff retreat. Our preliminary results indicate decreasing erosion rates during the Holocene, with till cliffs and hard rock cliffs retreating a few centimetres and millimetres annually, respectively. Depending on factors such as lithology, local RSL change, and exposure to the North Atlantic, initial retreat rates at each site were as much as one order of magnitude higher. While Sandstone cliffs show initial erosion rates of 12–14 mm*year-1, glacial cliffs initially retreated with several centimetres per year, reaching rates to 10 cm*year-1, even when located in inner bay settings. Some sites, especially those featuring cliffs of glacial sediments, show indications for pre-Holocene shore platforms. Cliffs attached to pre-Holocene shore platforms experienced an initial increasing retreat rate, accompanied by high rates of Holocene RSL rising, followed by a decreasing retreat rate. Our findings indicate that slower rates of RSL change lead to decreasing cliff retreat rates. Some previous studies on rocky coast erosion around the world have found similar relationships between changes of RSL and cliff retreat rates, while others could not detect any connections. These differences show a potential influence of variations in regional local coast and environmental settings.

The much lower recent cliff retreat rates raising the question of whether retreat of certain cliff configurations has shifted from marine-driven erosion towards more terrestrially driven erosion, and, if so, whether we might anticipate a shift back towards marine forcing as global sea-level rise accelerates.

How to cite: Rink, G. M., Bromley, G. R. M., and Hall, B. L.: Quantifying rates and identifying drivers of rocky cliff retreat along Ireland’s west coast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7730, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7730, 2026.

Coasts are land–ocean interfaces of high environmental and economic value. They are among the areas most affected by urbanisation and economic activities. Increasing anthropogenic pressure has significantly altered ecosystem structure and services, reducing the quality and quantity of natural resources, causing habitat and biodiversity loss, and transforming coastal landscapes from natural to anthropogenic.

The Italian coastal area is highly anthropised, with 34% of the population permanently residing in coastal cities. The Italian coastline is approximately 8,300 km long, 13% of which is occupied by artificial structures, with an increase in coastal artificialisation of over 100 km in the last 20 years.

The study area is in the Gulf of Trieste, a shallow semi-enclosed sea of about 500 km² in the north-eastern Adriatic Sea, in the Italian region of Friuli Venezia Giulia (FVG). The FVG coastline extends for 111 km, of which 55.4% is highly anthropised.

The south-eastern coasts of the gulf, from Grignano to Muggia, have been extensively built up and modified by human activities, particularly near Trieste, where both the natural coastline and the seabed have been heavily altered.

The aim of the study is to evaluate and quantify the evolution and changes (advances and retreats) of the predominantly rocky coastline of the eastern Gulf of Trieste, caused by anthropogenic activities over the last 200 years.

To conduct the analysis, a series of historical and modern charts of the study area from the last 200 years were collected. After georeferencing the charts, past coastlines were digitised and compared with each other and with the current one using a Geographic Information System (GIS).

Polygons were generated to represent coastline advances and retreats, and the respective areas were calculated. Histograms were produced to illustrate the temporal distribution and extent of coastal changes over the study period. To assess the type of human pressure, each coastline change was analysed in relation to its cause and the intended land and sea use at the time it occurred.

The analysis showed that in some areas, advances caused by human activity reached several hundred metres, mainly due to the construction of infrastructure, ports, and industrial settlements.

How to cite: Pagano, M. and Busetti, M.: Analysis of anthropogenic coastline changes in the Gulf of Trieste (NE Adriatic Sea) over the last 200 years in GIS environment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10576, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10576, 2026.

EGU26-11761 | Posters on site | GM8.5

A temporal assessment of boulder mobility on a limestone rocky coast in Qawra, Malta (Central Mediterranean) 

Ritienne Gauci, Joanna Causon Deguara, and Robert Inkpen

The dislodgement and transportation of boulders on rocky coasts by storm waves has been the subject of an increasing number of studies in the last decade. Research has been approached from different perspectives, such as numerical models that hindcast wave heights that produce movement, structural control on boulder production, and innovative monitoring and change detection techniques. However, the complex dynamics between boulders and wave forces that determine boulder mobility remain insufficiently understood.

This ongoing study aims to document instances of boulder displacement and quantify their frequency over a two-year observation period. Monitoring is being conducted at three coastal sites across the Maltese Islands (Central Mediterranean): one in Qawra (northern coast) and two in Marsascala (southern coast). Data acquisition is conducted periodically using unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), with subsequent 3D model reconstruction performed using Agisoft Metashape. Each newly generated model is compared to its predecessor to detect changes in boulder positions.

Observed boulder movement is evaluated based on key parameters including size, morphology, initial location, displacement distance, and direction of transport. These transport events are then correlated with wave conditions recorded during the interval between successive UAV surveys.

Preliminary findings from the first six-month monitoring phase at Qawra are being presented here. These results suggest that boulder mobility is influenced by a combination of factors, including boulder morphometry and location, coastal topography, wave energy, and wave direction relative to shoreline orientation.

 

How to cite: Gauci, R., Causon Deguara, J., and Inkpen, R.: A temporal assessment of boulder mobility on a limestone rocky coast in Qawra, Malta (Central Mediterranean), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11761, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11761, 2026.

EGU26-12376 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Hydrodynamic response induced by free-surface flow over rippled seabed morphology in coastal regions 

Jun Fan, Aifeng Tao, Shuya Xie, Chao Wu, and Jinhai Zheng

In many coastal and estuarial areas, large-scale continuous submarine sandbars have been measured in the past few decades. Besides, strong tidal, nearshore, or runoff currents also exist in these regions. Due to the co-existence of free-surface water waves, ambient flow, and rippled seabed morphology, the hydrodynamic characteristics, especially the interaction effects among these elements, are very complex. Previously, the interactions above were usually studied separately in coastal hydrodynamics, i.e., Bragg resonance between water waves and rippled bottoms, as well as the wave-current interaction.

If we consider wave-current-bottom interactions from the perspective of wave hydrodynamics, the rippled seabed morphology could alter the wave-current interaction behaviors and even induce intensive resonant interactions among free surface waves, ambient currents, and rippled topography. The corresponding free-surface wave field and the flow field under the free surface will be affected if these intense resonances are triggered.

As one specific phenomenon, the upstream-propagating waves were observed in flume experiments for steady free-surface flow over rippled bottoms. The study for this specific wave component provides new insights into wave-current-bottom resonant interaction. We have performed a series of flume experiments, in which the different flow depths and flow velocities were adjusted above the rippled topography. Under a specific range of flow conditions, the new free-surface wave components are induced to propagate upstream continuously.

This specific resonance-induced hydrodynamic phenomenon could also be induced in estuarial areas, potentially. With the existence of rippled seabed morphology and tidal/runoff currents, this kind of wave stimulation might affect the wave field if it is triggered. However, the generation of this new wave component on the free surface not only depends on the resonant condition but also relies on some specific critical conditions (i.e., the critical flow velocity of wave energy stagnation for upstream-propagating waves).

In this study, based on the parameters of continuous submarine sandbars, flow velocity, and water depth conditions in typical estuarial and coastal areas, the potential conditions and parameter range for triggering the new free-surface wave components are calculated and evaluated for various resonant combinations for steady flow over rippled bottoms. The associated critical flow conditions underlying the resonant conditions are also discussed, along with the temporal evolution and spatial distribution behaviors of the resonant free-surface wave components involved or induced.

How to cite: Fan, J., Tao, A., Xie, S., Wu, C., and Zheng, J.: Hydrodynamic response induced by free-surface flow over rippled seabed morphology in coastal regions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12376, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12376, 2026.

EGU26-12885 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Developing a modular and multi-process modeling framework for rocky-coast evolution 

Duhwan Keum, Luca Malatesta, Sumiko Tsukamoto, Kevin Norton, Jean Braun, Benoît Bovy, and Yujin Kim

Rocky coasts evolve under the combined actions of rock uplift and erosive processes. These processes are mostly related to the sea-land interface but have varied mechanisms, ranging from wave-driven rock fatigue and cliff collapse to efficient salt weathering in the intertidal zone. The relative importance of these processes remains poorly quantified and is rarely addressed directly in modeling efforts. In particular, widely used coastal-erosion models are rarely subjected to systematic, field-informed testing that explicitly separates the contributing processes, limiting confidence in their transferability across sites.

Here we present a modelling framework that evaluates and extends wave-driven cliff–platform models by separating process regimes and representing coastal erosion as a modular combination of mechanisms. We implement the framework in xarray-simlab (Xsimlab) which facilitates modular model construction and systematic comparison of process combinations. We implement and compare formulations for (i) talus production and removal at cliffs, (ii) intertidal weathering that drives vertical downwearing of the intertidal platform, and (iii) subaqueous wave-driven horizontal backwearing with nearshore energy dissipation.

Our results show that different combinations of these processes—and their relative contributions—produce markedly different styles of erosional topographic evolution, leading to divergent long-term trajectories and contrasting marine-terrace preservation. This highlights the need to reconsider which model components are appropriate for different geomorphic settings. By exploring combinations of these modules across representative wave and tectonic, and lithological scenarios on the Noto Peninsula and Sado Island (Japan), we assess how shifts in process dominance generate distinct modern shoreline configurations and, ultimately, different coastal morphologies.

How to cite: Keum, D., Malatesta, L., Tsukamoto, S., Norton, K., Braun, J., Bovy, B., and Kim, Y.: Developing a modular and multi-process modeling framework for rocky-coast evolution, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12885, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12885, 2026.

EGU26-12932 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Spatial patterns of salt marsh biomass and their geomorphic controls: evidence from central China’s tidal wetlands 

Juncheng Hang, Zheng Gong, Chuang Jin, Saihua Huang, Huawei Xie, and Chenxi Zhu

Salt marsh vegetation plays a critical role in regulating hydrodynamics, sediment transport, and eco-geomorphic evolution in coastal wetlands. While biomass–elevation relationships have been widely investigated in temporal frameworks, the spatial organization of biomass across marsh platforms and its local geomorphic controls remain insufficiently understood.

In this study, we investigate the spatial distribution patterns of aboveground biomass of Spartina alterniflora across two salt marshes along the central Jiangsu coast, China. By combining multi-year satellite remote sensing data processed on Google Earth Engine with field-based vegetation sampling and surface elevation measurements, we quantify biomass variability along multiple cross-shore transects spanning marsh front edges, tidal creek networks, and interior zones.

Our results reveal that aboveground biomass consistently follows a parabolic spatial pattern along transects, with maximum biomass occurring at intermediate distances between the marsh front and interior. However, this general pattern is locally modified by tidal creeks, microtopography, and anthropogenic disturbances, leading to site-specific linear or segmented biomass–distance and biomass–elevation relationships. Transects intersecting tidal creek networks exhibit pronounced spatial heterogeneity, highlighting the organizing role of creek-induced elevation gradients and drainage conditions.

Temporal analysis further demonstrates that optimal biomass locations migrate synchronously with marsh front dynamics, indicating a strong coupling between vegetation growth and geomorphic evolution at decadal scales. These findings emphasize that spatial biomass patterns cannot be directly inferred from temporal biomass–elevation relationships alone.

Overall, this contribution highlights the importance of spatial heterogeneity and tidal creek systems in controlling salt marsh biomass distribution and provides empirical constraints for eco-geomorphic models that incorporate vegetation–topography feedbacks. The results are relevant for improving process-based simulations of salt marsh evolution under environmental change.

How to cite: Hang, J., Gong, Z., Jin, C., Huang, S., Xie, H., and Zhu, C.: Spatial patterns of salt marsh biomass and their geomorphic controls: evidence from central China’s tidal wetlands, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12932, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12932, 2026.

EGU26-13452 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Field observation of rapid tidal meander migration on muddy flats 

Kun Zhao, Stefano Lanzoni, Giovanni Coco, and Alvise Finotello

Tidal meanders are ubiquitous features of coastal ecosystems, controlling the exchange of water, sediment, and nutrient fluxes therein. The outer banks of tidal meanders typically undergo bank collapses, primarily triggered by the alternating actions of in-channel currents and seepage flow during periods of tidal exposure. As a result, tidal meanders frequently migrate across muddy flats, leaving substantial footprints of cutoff events. However, few studies have to date delved into this topic, primarily due to the challenge in obtaining high-resolution data to analyze their migration behavior. Here, we present field observations from the Jiangsu coast, China, to quantify tidal meander migration and its impact on planform geometry. During successive low tides, we apply UAV-based LiDAR to obtain centimeter-level DEMs of a main channel reach (~300 m wide) and its branching channels (~10 m wide). Unlike the relatively stable planform morphology commonly reported for salt marsh channels, we observed rapid lateral migration on silty flats (~10-3 m/s), leading to frequent cutoff formation. These observations highlight the highly dynamic nature of tidal meanders on muddy flats and underscore the role of bank collapse in shaping tidal-channel planforms. Our findings have important implications for understanding tidal-channel morphodynamics and associated eco-geomorphic feedbacks, including sediment redistribution and potential carbon release in coastal wetlands.

How to cite: Zhao, K., Lanzoni, S., Coco, G., and Finotello, A.: Field observation of rapid tidal meander migration on muddy flats, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13452, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13452, 2026.

EGU26-13987 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Morphodynamics of barjanoid and longitudinal dune systems in an arid coastal desert (Atacama, Chile) 

Manuel Abad de los Santos, Rosa Isabel Veintimilla García, Lara Talavera, and Tatiana Izquierdo

Coastal dune systems in (hyper)arid environments provide exceptional natural laboratories for studying aeolian morphodynamics and sediment routing. In the southern Atacama Desert (Chile), a barjanoid dune field and two longitudinal dunes located in close proximity form a highly dynamic inland‑migrating system sourced from coastal sands redistributed by persistent SW winds. In this study, we digitized these dune types from multitemporal satellite imagery from 2005 to 2023 and analysed their 18-year spatio-temporal evolution, focusing on migration rates, morphometric characteristics and the geomorphic controls that govern their trajectories. The barjanoid dune field consists of 4–5 sinuous crests perpendicular to the prevailing winds whose migration rates vary significantly according to their position relative to a Late Pleistocene marine terrace. Crests located on the terrace slope exhibit low net migration (Net Shoreline Movement [NSM]: 3–36 m; Linear Regression Rate [LRR]: 1.14–2.35 m/yr), whereas those that have surpassed the topographic break show markedly higher displacement (NSM: 49–59 m; LRR: 3.80–4.21 m/yr). This sharp contrast demonstrates that terrace gradients act as temporary sediment traps, delaying crest propagation until the accumulation threshold is overcome. To the east of the barjanoid dune field, both longitudinal dunes, parallel and approximately 75 m apart, emanate from a sediment source just landward of the marine terrace, and show sinuous crests that reflect a slightly bi-directional wind regime. However, the first one displays significantly shorter length and faster migration rates than its counterpart to the east (630 and 1275 m and 6.75 and 4.7 m/yr, respectively). These differences, which need further investigation, may reflect variations in proximity to the barjanoid dune field acting as a dynamic sediment supplier, as well as pronounced disparities in dune dimensions, likely reflecting distinct formation times. Additionally, it was observed that both longitudinal dunes could originate from the barjanoid dune crests surpassing the marine terrace and rotating to be aligned with the prevailing wind direction. Together, these results reveal a morphodynamic system strongly conditioned by sediment supply pathways, topographic barriers and inherited deposits. The contrasting behaviours observed suggest sequential formation phases and spatial reorganization of the aeolian system. Integrating migration rates, sediment pathways and terrace-controlled dynamics offers new insights. These findings improve our understanding of coastal dune evolution in tectonically active, sediment-limited arid coasts. The authors thank project PID2021-127268NB-I00 funded by MCIN/AEI /10.13039/501100011033 and by FEDER/UE.

How to cite: Abad de los Santos, M., Veintimilla García, R. I., Talavera, L., and Izquierdo, T.: Morphodynamics of barjanoid and longitudinal dune systems in an arid coastal desert (Atacama, Chile), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13987, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13987, 2026.

EGU26-16397 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Evaluation and Optimisation of Aeolian Sand Trap Designs 

Loreta Kelpsaite-Rimkiene, Artūras Tadžijevas, Deivydas Šapalas, Benas Dumbrauskas, Marius Žalys, and Vitalijus Kondrat

Aeolian sand-trap design plays a critical role in quantifying and interpreting wind-driven sediment transport in coastal and other exposed environments. Traditionally, sand traps have been developed primarily to measure mineral sand fluxes and to mitigate the adverse effects of aeolian transport on infrastructure and landscapes. Aeolian processes also act as an important vector for redistributing organic material, including seeds and other biologically relevant components embedded within the sand environment, which are essential for dune development, vegetation dynamics, and ecosystem resilience. Optimising sand-trap design is therefore necessary not only to accurately capture sand transport rates and directions but also to enable a more representative assessment of the coupled transport of mineral and organic material.

In this study, we assess and optimise aeolian sand trap designs for application along the Lithuanian Baltic Sea coast, with particular focus on the highly dynamic dune systems of the Curonian Spit. Two commonly used designs are evaluated: the Big Spring Number Eight (Fryrear) trap and an omnidirectional cylindrical trap. Their performance is examined under local aeolian conditions using numerical simulations that capture characteristic wind regimes, seasonal variability, and typical sand-grain-size distributions. Airflow modelling and particle trajectory analyses are applied to investigate how trap geometry, inlet configuration, and installation height influence capture efficiency and directional sensitivity.

The sand trap designs are analysed within a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) framework using a finite-volume method (FVM) solver, enabling a detailed assessment of aerodynamic behaviour and sand interception processes. The optimal trap design for long-term monitoring in Lithuanian coastal areas will be chosen and optimised based on the modelling results. These findings will support the development of a field-ready prototype to be deployed as part of an ongoing monitoring programme on the Curonian Spit to detect changes in aeolian transport related to recent shifts in dune vegetation cover. This will also support better coastal management and dune restoration efforts.

How to cite: Kelpsaite-Rimkiene, L., Tadžijevas, A., Šapalas, D., Dumbrauskas, B., Žalys, M., and Kondrat, V.: Evaluation and Optimisation of Aeolian Sand Trap Designs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16397, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16397, 2026.

EGU26-16698 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.5

Validating Satellite-Derived Shorelines with UAV-SfM: A Multi-Sensor Accuracy Study in NW Türkiye  

Mustafa Geyik and Ufuk Tarı

Accurate shoreline monitoring is critical for coastal zone management in tectonically active regions. However, in micro-tidal environments like the coast of NW Türkiye, the positional accuracy of freely available satellite data remains poorly quantified. The key uncertainty is whether observed errors stem from sensor limitations or short-term environmental noise, hindering reliable sensor selection for operational use.

We conducted a rigorous benchmark analysis using centimeter-precision Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Structure-from-Motion (SfM) data as the definitive reference. Shorelines were extracted from Sentinel-2 MSI, Landsat 8 OLI, Sentinel-1 SAR, and Copernicus DEM GLO-30 using Google Earth Engine (GEE) and compared using transect-based metrics (RMSE, MAE) at two contrasting sites: the complex rocky coast of Güneyli (Gulf of Saros) and the urbanized sandy coast of Altınova (Sea of Marmara).

Our analysis reveals a critical finding: all satellite sensors exhibited RMSE values clustered between 8–15 m. This range aligns with the magnitude of expected hydrodynamic noise (e.g., wave run-up) in such micro-tidal settings, suggesting an environmental constraint on practical accuracy. Site-specific patterns emerged: In urbanized Altınova, Sentinel-1 SAR achieved the lowest RMSE (8.79 m), proving robust against spectral confusion from anthropogenic structures. In natural Güneyli, Sentinel-2 demonstrated superior geometric fidelity with the lowest MAE (7.45 m), effectively capturing complex morphology obscured by radar speckle. The Copernicus DEM was consistently unsuitable for precise delineation, with errors exceeding 15 m due to vertical uncertainties amplified by coastal topography.

This study establishes that in micro-tidal, active margins, environmental variability sets a practical accuracy floor (~10 m) for operational satellite monitoring. Therefore, we propose a tiered framework: (1) Sensor choice must be context-driven (SAR for modified coasts, optical for natural settings), (2) Detected changes near this threshold require caution, and (3) High-resolution UAV data is indispensable for validation and for resolving sub-satellite-scale geomorphic features (e.g., submerged beachrock geometry) critical for hazard assessment. Our work thereby provides a calibrated benchmark for coastal scientists and managers.

This work was supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye (TÜBİTAK) under the Grant Number 119Y567.

How to cite: Geyik, M. and Tarı, U.: Validating Satellite-Derived Shorelines with UAV-SfM: A Multi-Sensor Accuracy Study in NW Türkiye , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16698, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16698, 2026.

EGU26-16839 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Predicting shoreline response to sea level rise along the varying coastline of Scania, southern Sweden 

Bradley W. Goodfellow, Björn Almström, Sebastian Bokhari Irminger, Jonas Ising, Marianne Karlsson, Magnus Larson, Lykke Lundgren Sassner, and Lisa van Well

Sea level rise is a key effect of modern climate change. The ~500 km-long Scania coastline is uniquely sensitive within Sweden to sea level rise (SLR) because it is mostly formed of sediments and its low-lying topography hosts extensive built environments. Swedish municipalities are legally obliged to include climate- and erosion-related risks in their spatial planning. However, it is a challenge for coastal municipalities to fully comply with the legal requirements because the scientific basis is currently difficult to interpret for coastal adaptation to sea level rise and there is still limited research describing the effects of sea-level rise on erosion along Swedish coasts. Our research is addressing these shortcomings through: (i) developing physical process-based predictions of erosion driven by sea level rise for the Scania coastline; and (ii) alongside end-users, co-creating an understanding of how erosion predictions are best communicated to make them accessible, actionable and relevant from the end-user’s perspective. Key challenges to predicting coastal response to sea level rise in southern Sweden include complex topography, varying wave and sediment conditions, and limited material supply. Because of shortcomings in the scientific understanding of SLR-driven coastal erosion, we take an ensemble approach that combines deterministic and probabilistic methods. Our preliminary modelling has focused on translation of equilibrium profiles of different shapes to estimate erosion. We find that a gradual increase in sea level, where the translated profile at the previous time step is used as input to the next step, induces more erosion than an instantaneous shift over the total sea level rise, because more material is deposited in the offshore during this iterative procedure. Our modelling of shoreline responses is being further developed and predictions of coastal response to sea level rise, including analyses of probabilities, will be communicated to our end-users using a GIS platform.

How to cite: Goodfellow, B. W., Almström, B., Bokhari Irminger, S., Ising, J., Karlsson, M., Larson, M., Lundgren Sassner, L., and van Well, L.: Predicting shoreline response to sea level rise along the varying coastline of Scania, southern Sweden, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16839, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16839, 2026.

Palaeotempestological studies provide a critical long-term context for understanding tropical cyclone variability beyond the short instrumental record, allowing past changes in typhoon frequency, magnitude, and coastal impact to be evaluated in relation to climate change. The exceptional sedimentary record produced by Typhoon Haiyan (locally Yolanda) in November 2013, offers a modern analogue that helps link projected intensification of tropical cyclones in warming tropical oceans to how extreme events may be preserved, and potentially misinterpreted, in the geological record. Haiyan, one of the strongest tropical cyclones on record, made landfall in the central Philippines and produced extreme storm surge and wave conditions that left sedimentary deposits closely resembling those of a tsunami. Post-storm field surveys documented extensive sand sheets extending onshore up to and exceeding 1km inland along parts of the Leyte and Samar coastlines that experienced severe inundation. These unusually far-reaching storm deposits occurred in coastal embayments and fringing reef settings where local hydrodynamic processes greatly amplified the surge and waves. In Leyte Gulf, funnel-shaped bathymetry and localised near shore dynamics from offshore winds caused the storm surge to steepen and reach ~5–6 m in height near Tacloban City, behaving much like a tsunami in its rapid flooding. Along exposed Pacific shorelines (e.g., Eastern Samar), incoming wave groups generated powerful infragravity-period oscillations (surf beat) that steepened into bore-like waves, overtopped a broad coral reef, and drove tsunami-like inland flooding. As a result of these processes, Haiyan’s overwash deposits exhibit a hybrid sedimentological signature with characteristics of both storm and tsunami deposits. For instance, boulders, multiple sand layers and coarse marine debris transported inland by successive wave bores were observed, which is atypical for ordinary storm deposits. Such infragravity wave influence and surge over-steepening make the Haiyan deposits a rare and anomalous case. Although they expand the known spectrum of cyclone-induced sedimentation, these deposits should probably considered outliers and should not be treated as representative “type” storm deposits. In fact, even under Haiyan’s extreme conditions, the sand sheets did not generally extend as far inland as those from large tsunami events, which remains a key distinguishing factor. Overall, the Haiyan example highlights how localised hydrodynamics and surf-beat processes can greatly exacerbate coastal flooding in embayments and reef-fringed coasts, and it underscores the need for caution when using Haiyan’s deposits as a model for storm-generated sedimentary records or sediment transport modelling.

How to cite: Switzer, A. and Soria, L.: Some lessons learned from the “tsunami-like” storm deposits from Typhoon Haiyan (2013) in the Philippines , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16852, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16852, 2026.

EGU26-18288 | Posters on site | GM8.5

Rocky cliff evolution in the Cantabrian coast (N Spain) 

Laura Rodríguez-Rodríguez, María José Domínguez-Cuesta, Régis Braucher, José Cuervas-Mons, Georges Aumaître, Karim Keddadouche, Fawzi Zaidi, and Montserrat Jiménez-Sánchez

The pace of erosion processes leading to the landward retreat of rocky cliffs could possibly be enhanced by climate change and rising sea level conditions. Satellite and aerial imagery provide a means for quantifying rocky cliff retreat at decadal scale, while retreat rates over several millennia can be estimated by measuring the concentration of cosmogenic nuclides of samples taken from abrasion platforms. In this contribution we analyze the evolution of rocky cliffs at two locations of the Cantabrian coast in northern Spain, both located in the Asturias region, by combining these techniques. The analysis of aerial images shows that one of the sites has remained quite stable over the last decades, while the other stands evidence of active slope instabilities over, at least, the last two decades. The cliff retreat rates estimated based on 10Be concentration measurements from abrasion platforms preserved at the cliff base at both study sites are compatible with slow rates of retreat, of the order of a few centimeters per year. 

Research funding: RETROCLIFF (PID2021-122472NB-100, MCIN/AEI/FEDER, UE) and GEOCANTABRICA (IDE/2024/000753, SEK-25-GRU-GIC-24-072, SEKUENS, Principado de Asturias).

How to cite: Rodríguez-Rodríguez, L., Domínguez-Cuesta, M. J., Braucher, R., Cuervas-Mons, J., Aumaître, G., Keddadouche, K., Zaidi, F., and Jiménez-Sánchez, M.: Rocky cliff evolution in the Cantabrian coast (N Spain), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18288, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18288, 2026.

EGU26-18634 | ECS | Posters on site | GM8.5

Spatiotemporal analysis of coastal dune features and implications for groundwater resource using an orthophoto-based approach 

Regine Anne Faelga, Carlotta Carlini, Sonia Silvestri, Massimo Ponti, and Beatrice Maria Sole Giambastiani and the LIFE NatuReef Project

Coastal dune systems play a key role in coastal environments, acting both as natural barriers against marine processes and as freshwater storage reservoirs. These systems are dynamic, making assessment and long-term monitoring of geomorphological changes essential for coastal management. The study investigates the evolution of a coastal dune system from the 1970s to the present day through a multi-temporal and multi-source analysis. The study performed a comparative analysis by extracting key coastal geomorphological features (e.g., dune crest lines, dune foot boundaries, shoreline, and lateral dune extension) from historical cartographic data, orthophotographs, and digital terrain models (DEMs). The methodology integrates photogrammetry, digital elevation modeling, and GIS-based techniques to quantify spatiotemporal changes in dune geometry. Results show progressive dune retrogradation, accompanied by a significant decrease in dune extent and elevation, indicating a condition of coastal erosion. These changes are consistent with a decrease in the potential freshwater storage capacity of the coastal aquifer and an increased vulnerability to saltwater intrusion. The study area is located along the southern coast of Ravenna (Italy) and is conducted within the framework of the LIFE NatuReef project. The analyzed dune system represents a unique protected remains within a highly urbanized and tourist coastal context, highlighting its ecological relevance and vulnerability.

How to cite: Faelga, R. A., Carlini, C., Silvestri, S., Ponti, M., and Giambastiani, B. M. S. and the LIFE NatuReef Project: Spatiotemporal analysis of coastal dune features and implications for groundwater resource using an orthophoto-based approach, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18634, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18634, 2026.

EGU26-19080 | ECS | Orals | GM8.5

Through Proxy and Scale: How Measurement Choices Shape Narratives of Shoreline Change and Vulnerability along the southern Irish coast 

Emma Chalençon, Mélanie Biausque, Fiona Cawkwell, Michael O'Shea, and Jimmy Murphy

Shoreline change in Ireland is frequently managed using suboptimal evidence: monitoring coverage is spatially and temporally limited, and decision support often relies on a small number of indicators used as proxies for complex coastal behaviour. This paper argues that shoreline vulnerability is not only a physical condition but is also partly produced through measurement methods. Choices about what is observed, and at what spatial and temporal scales, actively shape the narratives constructed about shoreline behaviour, whether coastlines are interpreted as persistently eroding, highly variable, or capable of recovery, with direct implications for prioritisation and adaptation. The study examines how the use of different proxies and observational scales generate divergent or complementary interpretations of shoreline change, and what these differences imply for translating evidence into management-relevant guidance. It is based on a three-year, multi-method monitoring programme across five contrasting beach systems along the County Cork coastline in Ireland (2023–2025), integrating long-term aerial imagery and vegetation-line change, Sustainable Coastal Vulnerability Index (SCVI) outputs, repeated seasonal cross-shore RTK-GNSS beach profiles, high-resolution UAV-derived orthophotos and digital surface models, and targeted post-storm assessments following major events.

A comparative narrative analysis is used to evaluate how each monitoring method characterises coastal change at each site. Results show that long-term shoreline proxies and derived change rates can mask more recent acceleration trends, regime shifts, or hotspots of erosion, particularly where accretionary and erosional phases offset each other over extended time periods or where anthropogenic modification constrains proxy behaviour. High-resolution field and UAV-based measurements reveal that many sites are dominated by cross-shore and alongshore sediment redistribution rather than uniform shoreline retreat, with erosion and accretion occurring simultaneously in different areas, and at recurring hotspots linked to access paths, structures, and channel dynamics.

Comparison with SCVI classifications demonstrates that index-based vulnerability assessments are effective for broad screening of exposure and receptors, but may overestimate or mischaracterise physical susceptibility where local sediment dynamics, management measures, or recovery processes are not represented. The research proposes a tiered, resource-aware monitoring framework. Repeated cross-shore profiles are shown to be sufficient for tracking seasonal dynamics and storm response in relatively uniform settings, while drone-derived surface models are most valuable where spatial complexity, structural controls, or management-relevant hotspots are present, provided that logistical and environmental conditions allow their deployment. By clarifying when proxy-based screening, profile surveys, or spatially continuous UAV products are most appropriate, the study provides guidance for designing efficient monitoring programmes that reduce interpretive bias and better support coastal adaptation decisions.

How to cite: Chalençon, E., Biausque, M., Cawkwell, F., O'Shea, M., and Murphy, J.: Through Proxy and Scale: How Measurement Choices Shape Narratives of Shoreline Change and Vulnerability along the southern Irish coast, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19080, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19080, 2026.

EGU26-1061 | ECS | Posters on site | NH5.2

Thermal Expansion or CO₂? Unveiling the Dominant Drivers of Sea Level Rise Along India’s Coasts Through Multivariate Analysis 

Vijay Kumar Kannaujiya, Abhishek K. Rai, and Sukanta Malakar

Sea level rise (SLR) poses a major challenge for coastal regions of India, which host dense
populations, critical ecosystems, and vulnerable infrastructure. This study investigates the
spatial and temporal evolution of Sea Level Anomalies (SLA) along the eastern and western
coasts of India from 1995 to 2020 using satellite-derived gridded altimetry, along-track
measurements, and tide gauge data. SLA values show marked heterogeneity, with
consistently higher anomalies on the west coast (0.2 – 0.25 m) compared to the east coast
(0.1–0.15 m). Significant positive trends are observed across both coasts, ranging from
0.0075 to 0.01 m yr⁻¹, with a more uniform and accelerated rise after 2010.We used
multiple linear regression and Granger causality analysis to find the main causes of SLR.
Results indicate that CO₂ concentration (21.81 %) is the leading contributor to SLR on the
east coast, while sea surface temperature (21.36 %) exerts the strongest influence on the
west coast. Both methods reveal strong causal links from atmospheric warming, ocean heat
content, and cryospheric melt to regional sea level variability, which points to thermal
expansion as a key mechanism. Tide gauge observations similarly show rising sea levels at
most locations, with the west coast exhibiting a higher aggregated trend (6.78 ± 1.35 mm
yr⁻¹) than the east coast (1.91 ± 1.09 mm yr⁻¹).Future sea level projections using CMIP6
(CNRM-CM6-1HR) under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios suggest a substantial rise in
SLA by 2100, with larger increases along the east coast (0.4 – 0.55 m) compared to the west
coast (0.35 – 0.45 m). Although uncertainties in climate model performance remain, the
observed acceleration and consistent warming trends highlight significant risks for coastal
communities, ecosystems, and infrastructure. These findings point out the urgent need for
region-specific coastal adaptation and mitigation strategies.

How to cite: Kannaujiya, V. K., Rai, A. K., and Malakar, S.: Thermal Expansion or CO₂? Unveiling the Dominant Drivers of Sea Level Rise Along India’s Coasts Through Multivariate Analysis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1061, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1061, 2026.

EGU26-2426 | Posters on site | NH5.2

New insights into subaqueous paleoseismology from the preserved imprints of paleo-earthquake markers on a normal fault scarp (Roseau Fault Lesser Antilles, France) 

Frédérique Leclerc, Jérémy Billant, Chloé Seibert, Javier Escartin, Nathalie Feuillet, Alex Hughes, Sabine Schmidt, and Laurence Le Callonnec

Assessment of seismic and tsunami hazards along coastlines requires knowledge of past earthquakes and their recurrence times along active submarine faults. To this end, subaqueous paleoseismological studies are performed and are based on sediment cores and seismic reflection images of faults. However, local site conditions sometimes preclude coring or seismic surveys and, even when possible, the resulting data may be limited. In addition to traditional geophysical and sedimentological data, seafloor geophysical data from submersibles can help elucidate the paleoseismic history of submarine faults. Here, we conducted a near-bottom geological survey using a Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV) along the Roseau normal fault (Lesser Antilles, France) to study the fine morphology and paleoseismic history of an active submarine fault scarp. This fault hosted the Mw 6.3 2004 Les Saintes earthquake and shows a coseismic ribbon at its base. We used the submersible data to map and characterize several scarp morphologies including abrasion bands, notches, roughness changes, dark bands, and uplifted sediments  along the fault scarp. We propose that these markers, which all formed at the seafloor, can ultimately be used to reconstruct the exhumation history of the fault scarp, because they are linked to base level changes (i.e. sedimentation and tectonic exhumation). At one site along the Roseau fault, the scarp’s detailed morphology can be explained by the occurrence of three earthquakes coupled to several episodes of rapid sedimentation. The penultimate earthquake may have generated a vertical offset of 3 m, where at the same location the 2004 event slipped by ~1.4 m. The penultimate earthquake was at least as energetic as the 2004 event, the Roseau fault being able to host a M7 event if broken entirely. Sediment rates from cores sampled near the fault show that the penultimate earthquake probably occurred within the past ~2.8 kyr. These observations highlight the potential of studying offshore faults with ROV optical imagery to better understand the seismic history of crustal faults.

How to cite: Leclerc, F., Billant, J., Seibert, C., Escartin, J., Feuillet, N., Hughes, A., Schmidt, S., and Le Callonnec, L.: New insights into subaqueous paleoseismology from the preserved imprints of paleo-earthquake markers on a normal fault scarp (Roseau Fault Lesser Antilles, France), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2426, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2426, 2026.

Turbidity currents and slope failures are common processes in subaqueous settings worldwide. Their deposits, turbidites and mass-transport complexes (MTCs), constitute some of the most important components of sedimentary basin infill. We integrate high-resolution 3D seismic reflection data covering c. 3000 km², 2D seismic data spanning 40,000 km², and two industry wells from the Taranaki Basin, NW New Zealand, to investigate the preconditioning and emplacement of slope failures in a turbidity current dominated slope setting. In study area, the post-Miocene succession contain a ~300 m thick, laterally continuous interval of cyclic steps that dominates the slope region, indicating that supercritical turbidity currents were the prevailing depositional process. Within this succession, we found at least eight seismically imaged MTCs (MTC-1 to MTC-8), which together account for more than 70% of the total volume within the turbidity current dominated interval.

MTC-6 is the largest one spans more than 1200 km² in area. It is overlain by MTC-7 and underlain by the pre-existing MTC-2 above late Miocene unconformity (~7 Ma). Internally, MTC-6 is characterized by large normal faults in the headwall zone, contractional thrusts in the toe zone, NNW-dipping longitudinal shear bands and widely distributed pockmarks in the proximal zone. MTC-6 contains giant extensional blocks (450-550 m high, 0.5-4 km long), contractional pressure ridges (250-450 m high, 0.2-1.3 km long), and vertical fluid conduits that intersect both the base and top surfaces of the MTC. However, these blocks exhibit limited horizontal transport distances (less than 10 km) and internally preserve well-defined cyclic-step bedforms that can be correlated from the toe to the headwall region.

We suggest that rapid aggradation and repeated grain-size sorting induced by supercritical turbidity currents promoted underconsolidation and inefficient drainage, leading to localised excess pore-pressure build-up between the MTC-2 and the base of the cyclic steps interval. This ultimately established a mechanically weak zone that preconditioned the subsequent emplacement of MTC-6. We attribute the triggering of MTC-6 to shear coupling with subsequent MTC-7. During emplacement of MTC-7, additional loading and basal traction generated stress perturbations that were transmitted downward and preferentially localised within the preconditioned weak zone of the cyclic steps interval, inducing transient excess pore pressure. Inefficient drainage further sustained this overpressure, reducing effective stress and allowing the weak zone to reach a critical failure threshold. Subsequently, the localised overpressure redistributed via fluid migration along the weak horizon, promoting shear-rupture propagation and enlarging the failure scale. However, because the shear-coupling perturbation imparted by the MTC-7 was limited in magnitude and duration, the transmitted basal shear stress was insufficient to sustain dynamic weakening, and the associated overpressure weakening likely decayed during subsequent drainage, thereby preventing long-distance transport.

Our results indicate that turbidity current dominated slope settings may be inherently prone to repetitive slope failures. Newly emplaced MTCs can cause remobilization of underlying thick-bedded turbidite successions through shear coupling. This mechanism may represent a previously underappreciated control on multi-phase slope instability in submarine sedimentary systems.

How to cite: Li, W. and Wu, N.: Shear Coupling as a Trigger Mechanism for Slope Failures in a Turbidity Current Dominated Slope, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4191, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4191, 2026.

EGU26-8157 | ECS | Posters on site | NH5.2

From rising fluids to multi-stage landslide emplacement: reconstructing the formation of the Cape Fear Slide Complex offshore North Carolina, US 

Michel Kühn, Anne Bécel, Jo Grall, Hugh Daigle, and Nathaniel Miller

The Cape Fear Landslide Complex offshore North Carolina is the largest and most-voluminous mass transport complex on the Eastern North American Margin. Despite its scale, preconditioning factors, trigger mechanisms, and emplacement processes responsible for its formation remain poorly constrained. Previous studies have proposed gas hydrate dissociation or salt diapirism as primary triggers, but these interpretations are largely based on spatial correlations rather than direct causal evidence.

Here, we use 2D multichannel seismic data collected on R/V Marcus G. Langseth in 2023 to reconstruct the processes that led to the formation of the Cape Fear Slide Complex. The data reveal vertical fluid migration pathways originating in Jurassic sediments within the thermogenic production zone, terminating directly below the uppermost landslide headwall on the continental slope. Seismic bright spots and amplitude-versus-offset responses indicate the presence of gas within and around these vertical fluid migration pathways, consistent with higher-order hydrocarbon anomalies in Ocean Drilling Program drill cores.

We propose that sustained vertical fluid migrations led to overpressure in shallow sediments, reducing effective stress and critically preconditioning the slope prior for failure. Furthermore, we identify multiple, spatially separated depositional lobes on the abyssal plane downslope from the headwall. This geometry suggests that the Cape Fear Slide Complex formed through distinct progradational and retrogradational phases rather than in one catastrophic failure event. This multi-phase emplacement style implies different magnitudes and recurrence characteristics for landslide-generated tsunami than previously assumed.

How to cite: Kühn, M., Bécel, A., Grall, J., Daigle, H., and Miller, N.: From rising fluids to multi-stage landslide emplacement: reconstructing the formation of the Cape Fear Slide Complex offshore North Carolina, US, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8157, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8157, 2026.

This study reconstructs the provenance and physical intensity of paleo-tsunami events by integrating organic microfossils, palynofacies, geochemical (coreXRF), and microbial eDNA analyses from core 20HH01, retrieved from Lagoon Hyangho on the eastern coast of Korea. While previous research identified Tsunami Event 1 (TE1, ca. 8.3 ka) linked to Ulleung Island’s volcanism, this study focuses on Tsunami Event 2 (TE2, ca. 6.5–7.8 ka) and Event 3 (TE3, ca. 0.3–2.5 ka), which exhibit distinct paleoenvironmental proxies.

TE2 is interpreted as one of the highest-energy tsunami inundation events recorded in the East Sea coastal region. This interval is characterized by a pronounced increase (>50%) in marine palynomorphs, including dinoflagellate cysts (Spiniferites spp.) and foraminiferal organic linings. Palynofacies analysis reveals poorly sorted, lath-shaped phytoclasts with low roundness, indicating rapid, high-energy landward sediment transport. A marked decline in pollen concentration is interpreted as a dilution effect caused by the rapid deposition of coarse sediments rather than regional vegetation collapse.

For TE3, we propose a novel geochemical and microbial linkage to volcanic activity at Mt. Baekdu. The sediment layer corresponding to the 946 CE “Millennium Eruption” exhibits a distinct enrichment in gallium (Ga) and elevated Ga/K ratios (exceeding 1.5 times background levels), coincident with the detection of the deep-sea hydrothermal bacterium Sulfurimonas f. These observations suggest a potential hazard cascade in which seismic disturbances associated with the Baekdu eruption may have triggered submarine mass failures and subsequent tsunami generation, while concurrently dispersing Ga-rich tephra across the East Sea.

Overall, this study highlights the value of coastal lagoon sediments as high-resolution archives of regional geohazards. The integration of microbial tracers and geochemical fingerprints, particularly Ga-based proxies, provides a robust framework for deciphering the origins and mechanisms of enigmatic paleo-tsunami events.

How to cite: Lee, H., Kim, Y., and Choi, Y.: Multi-proxy Reconstruction of Holocene Tsunami Events (TE2 and TE3) in a Coastal Lagoon, East Sea: Evidence for High-Energy Inundation and Volcanic-related Hazards, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8549, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8549, 2026.

EGU26-8998 | Posters on site | NH5.2

Sedimentary processes associated with recent landslides – Karrat Fjord 2017 case of study 

Lara F. Pérez, Freja A. Nielsen, Paul C. Knutz, Thorbjørn J. Andersen, Camilla S. Andresen, Kristian Svennevig, Lars Ole Boldreel, and Mikkel Fruergaard

Tsunamigenic landslides represent a major geohazard in the fjord environments of central West Greenland, induced by steep topographic reliefs and changing Arctic conditions. A dramatic example occurred on June 17th 2017, when a slope failure on the south-facing wall of Ummiammakku Mountain released a 38-40 × 10⁶ m³ rock avalanche into Karrat Fjord. The event generated a displacement wave with local runup heights exceeding 90 m and propagated 32 km southwest to the settlement of Nuugaatsiaq, causing severe infrastructure destruction and four fatalities. In this study we have integrated swath bathymetry and seismic datasets, along with sediment core information, to map mass-transport deposits produced by the 2017 rock avalanche in Karrat Fjord. By integrating geophysical imaging, lithofacies descriptions, XRF geochemistry, grain-size distributions, and 210Pb-dating, this study delineates the channelized runout of the 2017 event.

The increasing frequency of landslides in West Greenland has motivated new research into the climatic and cryospheric controls on slope instability. Although the region is tectonically stable with only minor earthquake activity, recent studies suggest a connection between warming climate, permafrost degradation, and enhanced slope failure. This hypothesis aligns with broader observations across polar margins that link rising temperatures, increased precipitation, and isostatic rebound with enhanced decreasing slope instability. Our findings demonstrate the value of high-resolution marine datasets for detecting offshore landslide deposits and contribute new insights into the temporal and spatial patterns of slope instability in a rapidly changing Arctic fjord system.

How to cite: Pérez, L. F., Nielsen, F. A., Knutz, P. C., Andersen, T. J., Andresen, C. S., Svennevig, K., Boldreel, L. O., and Fruergaard, M.: Sedimentary processes associated with recent landslides – Karrat Fjord 2017 case of study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8998, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8998, 2026.

EGU26-10011 | ECS | Posters on site | NH5.2 | Highlight

Stad Slide: extent, morphology, and drivers of one of the world’s largest submarine megaslides 

Bridget Tiller, Christine Batchelor, Benjamin Bellwald, Kate Winter, Neil Ross, and Sverre Planke

Underwater landslides are associated with multiple geohazards, including tsunamis and damage to underwater infrastructure, but a lack of real-time observations of these events hinders our understanding of their development mechanisms. Analysis of ancient deposits from underwater landslides has the potential to address this by providing insights into landslide preconditioning and failure. Here, we map a hitherto understudied megaslide—the Stad Slide (~0.4 Ma)—within the North Sea Fan on the northern North Sea margin. The aims are to determine its distribution and thickness, analyse its morphological characteristics and contextual stratigraphy, and identify the factors that are likely to have preconditioned and triggered failure. A database comprising 42 500 km2 of high-resolution 3D seismic reflection data and a grid of 2D seismic-reflection profiles covering 150 000 km2 was used to map the Stad Slide in full for the first time. With a volume of ~4300 m3, the Stad Slide is revealed to be the largest megaslide by volume in the region and one of the largest slides by volume in the world. The broad timing of the Stad Slide (~ 0.4 Ma) aligns with enhanced glacial sedimentation in this region, which may have preconditioned failure by increasing overpressure in underlying sediments. The slide’s multiple headwalls suggest that its large volume was facilitated by multiple stages of failure along layers of glacimarine and contouritic sediment.  Whilst the relationship between large slides and tsunamis is complex, the large volume of the Stad Slide suggests that it could have triggered a tsunami that affected the North Sea region. A ~200 m-thick contourite drift infills the slide headwalls, which potentially formed a weak layer for subsequent sliding in the North Sea Fan. As the Stad Slide marks the onset of repeated Quaternary megasliding in this region, this research advances our understanding of what causes and preconditions large-scale sediment failures on glaciated margins.

How to cite: Tiller, B., Batchelor, C., Bellwald, B., Winter, K., Ross, N., and Planke, S.: Stad Slide: extent, morphology, and drivers of one of the world’s largest submarine megaslides, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10011, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10011, 2026.

EGU26-13362 | Posters on site | NH5.2

Volcanic Triggers and Depositional Complexity of Submarine Megabeds in the Marsili Basin, Tyrrhenian Sea  

Derek Sawyer, Faye Higgins, and Roger Urgeles

Megabeds, also known as "megaturbidites," are exceptionally large submarine sediment deposits likely formed by catastrophic geohazard events. These deposits are increasingly being identified with modern high-resolution geophysical data, yet their origins and characteristics remain debated. Five megabeds have been identified in the Marsili Basin of the Tyrrhenian Sea within the upper 70 meters of sediment. These deposits are hypothesized to have been triggered by explosive volcanic eruptions of the Campanian Volcanic Province, including the ~39.8 ka Campanian Ignimbrite (CI) super-eruption, which is among the largest known eruptions, having a volcanic explosivity index (VEI) of 7. These megabeds were intersected by Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Leg 107 Site 650, where sediment cores were collected in 1986. However, their presence was not recognized at the time due to lack of appropriate geophysical data. To better understand the properties and origins of the Marsili Megabeds, we identified the megabeds within the ODP cores and conducted detailed sedimentological and elemental analyses, along with age dating, to determine their possible sediment provenance, depositional mechanisms, and potential triggering events. Elemental analysis and age dating suggest a potential link between these megabeds and known eruptions from the Campanian Volcanic Province, including the Neapolitan Yellow Tuffs eruption (14.9 ka), the Masseria del Monte Tuff eruption (29.3 ka), and the Campanian Ignimbrite super-eruption (39.8 ka). A new megabed discovered below the Y-7 tephra is older than 60,300 years but its triggering event is unknown. The re-examination of ODP cores reveals that not all megabeds conform to a megaturbidite morphology. In the Marsili Basin, the variety of sedimentological structures differs within and between megabeds, suggesting varying and complex depositional mechanisms. The findings reveal that the megabeds are more internally complex than previously thought, with variations in their depositional processes even in one basin.

How to cite: Sawyer, D., Higgins, F., and Urgeles, R.: Volcanic Triggers and Depositional Complexity of Submarine Megabeds in the Marsili Basin, Tyrrhenian Sea , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13362, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13362, 2026.

EGU26-19108 | Posters on site | NH5.2

Submarine landslides of the Antarctic Peninsula accretionary wedge: competing effects of tectonics, gas hydrates and glaciomarine sedimentation 

Roger Urgeles, Ismael Roldan, Ricardo León, Lara F. Pérez, Rafael Bartolomé, Ferran Estrada, and Miguel Llorente

High-latitude continental margins host some of the largest submarine landslide worldwide. Much speculation has focused on their relationship to glaciomarine sedimentation, gas hydrates and seismic shaking and, ultimately, the climatic variations that link to the former three factors. In this study we aim to better understand the causal mechanisms of such events in high-latitude margins. We focus on the Antarctic continental margins, particularly the Pacific Margin of the Antarctic Peninsula, which have been less studied than its Arctic counterparts. We use a combined dataset of archive and recently acquired swath bathymetry and seismic data. Two distinct submarine landslide groups are identified according to the water depth they show up. The shallowest cluster has mode depth centered around 1500 mwd, while the deepest cluster mode depth is centered around 4500 mwd. Most of their source areas are in 15-20 º slopes and, opposed to the Arctic counterparts, exhibit relatively small magnitudes, ranging from 0.1 to 10 km2 in areal extent and between 0.1 to 1 km3 in volume. The identified submarine landslides are mainly located in tectonically active environments. In addition to glaciomarine sedimentation, both tectonics and gas hydrates, may act as triggering mechanisms for submarine landslides in the Antarctic Peninsula margin. Few landslides occur in gas hydrate bearing sediments, as evidenced by the occurrence of a BSR, and there is no evidence of submarine landslides rooted at the base of the gas hydrate stability zone. Approximately one half of the landslides occur along the area dominated by the glaciomarine sedimentary wedge, but the location of the deepest landslide cluster lays outside this wedge. Overall, high-exponents of a power-law fit to the frequency-magnitude relationship and fault-landslide neighborhood relationships suggest a potential seismic control on submarine landslide occurrence.

How to cite: Urgeles, R., Roldan, I., León, R., Pérez, L. F., Bartolomé, R., Estrada, F., and Llorente, M.: Submarine landslides of the Antarctic Peninsula accretionary wedge: competing effects of tectonics, gas hydrates and glaciomarine sedimentation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19108, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19108, 2026.

The central west coast of India presents a dynamic coastal environment where geomorphic evolution is governed by a complex interplay of monsoonal forcing, sea-level fluctuations, and human interventions. This study unravels the morphodynamic behavior of embayed beaches across seasonal, decadal, and millennial timescales using an integrated approach that combines field observations, satellite-based shoreline analysis, and paleo-geomorphic reconstructions. Twenty-seven embayed beaches were systematically classified using an embayment morphometric parameter (γe) derived from the embayment area (Ae) and indentation (a), enabling their categorization into open, semi-exposed, and sheltered systems. Field measurements from sixteen representative beaches revealed a pronounced seasonal rhythm driven by the southwest monsoon. Between February 2023 and September 2024, beach profiles and sediment texture analyses indicated distinct monsoon-induced erosion–accretion cycles. Coarser and better-sorted sediments (mean 0.6–4.84 Φ) accompanied high-energy wave conditions and volumetric losses averaging –32.16 m³/m, while post-monsoon periods favoured the deposition of finer, poorly sorted sediments (0.8–4.1 Φ) and volumetric gains averaging +28.61 m³/m. These observations suggest that even morphodynamically semi-isolated embayments respond synchronously to regional wave energy fluctuations, reflecting a delicate balance between hydrodynamic forcing and sediment supply.Extending the temporal perspective, multi-decadal shoreline analyses (1990–2023) derived from remote sensing data revealed spatially variable responses to climatic and anthropogenic drivers. Correlation with rising sea levels, increasing cyclone frequency, and intensifying wave power suggests that regional climate change has accelerated erosion processes. Additionally, the construction of breakwaters and jetties has disrupted longshore sediment transport, intensifying localized shoreline instability.

To place these short-term observations within a broader evolutionary context, paleo-shoreline reconstruction was carried out using geomorphic proxies such as paleo beach ridges, wave-cut terraces, and topographic and hydrographic sinuosity indices derived from high-resolution SRTM DEMs. The reconstruction reveals that around ~12-10ka BP, when sea level stood 80 m below mean sea level, the shoreline coincided with the present-day ~80 m bathymetric flat, advancing ~+4m landward during mid-Holocene (~6-5 ka BP) transgressive phases. Exploring paleoshorelines is critical as it unveils the imprint of post-glacial sea-level rise and tectonic adjustments, providing the millennial-scale context necessary to interpret modern coastal behavior and anticipate future shoreline trajectories under accelerating climate change also these ancient shoreline and beach-ridge formations are important to society and the economy as they can host valuable heavy mineral deposits and serve as reservoirs for groundwater.

Together, these insights portray a continuous narrative of coastal evolution from monsoon-driven sediment oscillations to decadal shoreline shifts and millennial transgressions highlighting the dynamic and interconnected nature of embayed beach systems along the central west coast of India. This multi-temporal framework enhances our understanding of coastal resilience and supports informed management of monsoon-dominated, morphologically sensitive coasts.

How to cite: Mishra, P. K., Murali R, M., and Dwivedi, D.: Decadal to Millennial Evolution of coastline along the Central West Coast of India: Integrating Field Observations, Remote Sensing, and Paleo shoreline Proxies , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-463, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-463, 2026.

EGU26-464 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Exploring Sediment–Morphodynamic Coupling in the Evolving Indian Sundarban Delta 

Deepika Dwivedi, Mani Murali R, Puneet Kumar Mishra, and Shincy Francis

The Indian Sundarban Delta (ISD), occupying the southern sector of the Ganga–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta along India’s eastern coast, represents one of the world’s most dynamic yet environmentally fragile deltaic systems. Over the past three decades, the ISD has undergone a pronounced morphodynamic transformation driven by the interplay of reduced sediment supply, sea-level rise, and intensified coastal processes. This study investigates the long-term linkage between suspended sediment dynamics and shoreline evolution from 1990 to 2024, integrating multi-temporal satellite observations, Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS)-based metrics, and satellite-derived suspended sediment concentration (SSC).

Multi-decadal Landsat imagery was used to extract shorelines under comparable tidal conditions and estimate SSC using established semi-empirical models. Shoreline change parameters, including Net Shoreline Movement (NSM) and End Point Rate (EPR), were computed at 50-m intervals along approximately 2,980 km of coast, covering eight geomorphic zones. Results reveal extensive shoreline retreat and land loss, with the highest erosion recorded along the ocean-facing margins of the Hooghly River, where EPR exceeded –60 m/yr. Areal analysis shows widespread island fragmentation and loss of tidal flats, indicating ongoing morphological degradation.

The SSC assessment indicates strong seasonal variation, characterized by higher concentrations during the wet season (May–October) and significantly reduced levels in the dry months. Spatially, SSC within the Ganges–Brahmaputra estuarine complex shows a distinct decline seaward, with the highest turbidity typically found near the river mouth or bay head, depending on discharge magnitude and monsoonal intensity. In these high-turbidity zones, concentrations often exceed 150 mg L⁻¹, reflecting the influence of strong fluvial inputs during peak discharge periods.

A marked long-term decline in SSC, particularly across the outer estuarine zones of the Hooghly and Meghna rivers, reflects significant sediment starvation since the 1990s. This decline is attributed to upstream sediment trapping, altered hydrological regimes, and enhanced marine reworking. The reduced sediment supply has intensified shoreline retreat and disrupted the sediment–morphology balance, shifting the delta towards a net erosional state.

Overall, the study underscores a strong sediment–morphodynamic coupling in the Sundarban region, where the combined effects of sediment starvation, sea-level rise, and intensified hydrodynamic forces are reshaping the deltaic landscape. These findings highlight the urgent need for integrated sediment and coastal management approaches to preserve the ecological stability and livelihood security of this globally significant delta.

How to cite: Dwivedi, D., Murali R, M., Mishra, P. K., and Francis, S.: Exploring Sediment–Morphodynamic Coupling in the Evolving Indian Sundarban Delta, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-464, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-464, 2026.

EGU26-799 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Geospatial Intelligence for Modelling Shoreline Dynamics in a Mangrove-encompassed Bhitarkanika region, Odisha, India 

Sovana Mukherjee, Lokesh Tripathi, Vijay Veer, Pulakesh Das, and Subhankar Naskar

Serving as significant coastal ecosystems, mangroves and coastlines offer wide range of services and contribute majorly to the socio-economic persistence to the communities. Coastal zones of the Bhitarkanika region (encompasses Bhitarkanika mangrove), in the eastern coastal state of India, exhibit pronounced geomorphic instability driven by hydrodynamic forcing, sediment disequilibrium, and expanding anthropogenic activities. This study formulates an integrated geospatial framework combining Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS), Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI), and Binary Logistic Regression (BLR) to quantify shoreline dynamics and assess multi-hazard coastal vulnerability. Multi-temporal shorelines derived from Landsat-8 (2013) and Sentinel-2 (2016, 2019, 2022, and 2025) datasets, corrected for tidal variability and validated using Google Earth. The results revealed a predominantly erosional trend, with 87.80% of transect undergoing shoreline retreat and a mean erosion rate of –11.57 m yr⁻¹. Field observations corroborate approximately 174 m of sediment deposition in accretion zones and ~189 m of land loss across rapidly eroding around the mangrove tract. The CVI was developed using elevation, slope, land use land cover (LULC), proximity to shoreline, river, and road, wherein the parameter weights were computed through Principal Component Analysis (PCA), correlation, entropy weighting, and an Ensemble Weighted Model (EWM). The CVI-based outputs indicate that ~47% of the coastline falls within high to very high vulnerability zone, primarily influenced by low-lying terrain, fluvio-marine interactions, and intense human activities. The BLR-based model demonstrates strong predictive performance (accuracy> 85%) and statistically validates the CVI-based output (>75% spatial agreement). The BLR and ensemble-based approaches represents a robust, multi-criteria framework for coastal vulnerability assessment and critical high-risk zonation. The findings provide reliable spatial intelligence to support shoreline management, mangrove restoration strategies, and climate-resilience planning in the Bhitarkanika coastal system.

How to cite: Mukherjee, S., Tripathi, L., Veer, V., Das, P., and Naskar, S.: Geospatial Intelligence for Modelling Shoreline Dynamics in a Mangrove-encompassed Bhitarkanika region, Odisha, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-799, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-799, 2026.

EGU26-1595 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Legacy pollution from historical mining in the Suances Estuary (N Spain): Challenges for ecological recovery 

Jon Gardoki, María Jesús Irabien, Alejandro Cearreta, José Gómez-Arozamena, Ane García-Artola, and Humberto Serrano-García

Estuaries and similar coastal areas are among the most vulnerable ecosystems worldwide, facing environmental degradation due to anthropogenic pressures that demand a comprehensive evaluation of their historical trajectories. The study integrates benthic foraminifera, trace metals (Zn, Pb, Cd, and Hg), and short-lived radionuclides (210Pb and 137Cs) to reconstruct the environmental evolution of the heavily polluted Suances Estuary (N Spain). The investigation focuses on the estuary’s response to the cessation in 2003 of historical mining activities of one of Europe’s largest carbonate-hosted Pb-Zn ore bodies, the Reocín metalliferous deposit. A total of twenty-two surface sediment samples and a short sediment core (47 cm in length) were analyzed. Core samples revealed elevated concentrations of Zn (>10,000 mg kg⁻¹), Pb (max. 2700 mg kg⁻¹), Cd (35.3 mg kg⁻¹), and Hg (41 mg kg⁻¹), exceeding both local baselines and sediment quality guidelines. While a downward trend in surface metal concentrations was observed between 2003 and 2022, the documented spatial heterogeneity suggests ongoing sediment redistribution. Foraminiferal standing crops remain extremely low (1–510 living individuals per 80 cm³), indicating continued ecological stress. Although the Reocín mine was closed more than two decades ago and industrial discharges have been reduced, pollution likely remains as a significant obstacle to environmental recovery. Additionally, the sedimentary record reveals the evidence of an accidental failure in waste storage facilities occurred in 1960, which released substantial volumes of mine tailings into the basin, including the estuary. These events, further comprising the reliability of sediment dating methods based on 210Pb, reinforce the importance of a multidisciplinary approach in studying historically contaminated estuaries.

How to cite: Gardoki, J., Irabien, M. J., Cearreta, A., Gómez-Arozamena, J., García-Artola, A., and Serrano-García, H.: Legacy pollution from historical mining in the Suances Estuary (N Spain): Challenges for ecological recovery, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1595, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1595, 2026.

EGU26-2269 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Geomorphological dynamics at the coast: A sedimentary stratigraphy for Atlit-Yam, the earliest coastal village at the Eastern Mediterranean and its submerged landscape  

Vishal Kataria, Nicolas Waldmann, Isaac Ogloblin Ramirez, Gilad Shtienberg, Roni Zukerman-Cooper, Nimer Taha, Elle Grono, Marko Runjajić, Ehud Galili, and David E Friesem

During the early Holocene, rapid sea level rise led to the inundation of worldwide coastal areas, with the surrounding shallow landscapes being the most affected. The Carmel coast, located in the East Mediterranean, preserves a rich record of such a submerged landscape dotted by many archaeological sites, including the well-preserved Atlit-Yam village (Neolithic), which is currently buried and submerged at 8-11 m water depth. In order to reconstruct the geomorphological evolution of the submerged landscape, 23 sediment cores of variable length (ranging 60-240 cm) were drilled both inside and outside the known extent of the Atlit-Yam village. A detailed stratigraphy of the submerged landscape was generated based on the analysis of 18 out of 23 cores, framed by robust radiocarbon ages. The sedimentary sequences identified in the analyzed cores were defined by respective facies associations, and combined with physical (grain size, magnetic susceptibility), chemical (elemental geochemistry), and organic (total organic content) properties of the sediments. Our analysis reveals a non-uniform evolution of submerged coastal sediments, influenced by sediment supply, regional geomorphology, and human activity. Within a spatial stratigraphy, we found distinct anthropogenic units that underlines the intricate balance between humans and the Early Holocene changing environment (including sea level rise, depositional processes, and sediment dynamics). This study holds implications for future research in identifying and preserving potential archeological sites elsewhere and helps to shed light on the impact of climate change, sea level, and surface processes on coastal communities.

How to cite: Kataria, V., Waldmann, N., Ogloblin Ramirez, I., Shtienberg, G., Zukerman-Cooper, R., Taha, N., Grono, E., Runjajić, M., Galili, E., and Friesem, D. E.: Geomorphological dynamics at the coast: A sedimentary stratigraphy for Atlit-Yam, the earliest coastal village at the Eastern Mediterranean and its submerged landscape , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2269, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2269, 2026.

EGU26-2410 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Impact of groyne lowering on tidal-flat morphodynamics in a tide-dominated estuary 

Yuhua Zheng, Xiaoyan Li, ming Gong, and Jiafa Shen

Tidal-flat reclamation and coastal stabilization projects are widely implemented in the tide-dominated estuaries of eastern China, where intensive human intervention has profoundly altered sediment dynamics and morphological evolution. The Nanbei Lake reclamation area, located on the northern coast of Hangzhou Bay and the transitional reach of the Qiantang Estuary, China. This zone experiences strong semidiurnal tides, rapid current variations, and frequent typhoon impacts that shape highly dynamic geomorphic patterns. To mitigate erosion and promote siltation, a main embankment and seven rockfill groynes were constructed in 2007. However, long-term monitoring indicates that high crest elevations of the groynes have suppressed cross-shore water exchange, weakened tidal flushing, and promoted excessive sedimentation—patterns likely exacerbated by increasing storm-tide levels and evolving tidal asymmetry under climate change. To address these issues, this study evaluates a groyne-lowering scheme designed to enhance hydrodynamic connectivity while maintaining shoreline protection. A two-dimensional hydro–morphodynamic model (MIKE 21 FM) was developed using high-resolution bathymetry, tidal observations, and sediment data. The computational domain (~4000 km²) employs an unstructured mesh (minimum grid size 5 m) with 20 s time steps. Model calibration achieves strong agreement with measured tidal levels and velocities. The proposed scheme lowers the groyne crests by 0.2–2.5 m, increasing overtopping frequency during spring tides and enabling reactivation of intertidal exchange pathways. Model results reveal that groyne lowering significantly modifies the nearshore flow structure: bottom velocities increase by 0.005–0.050m/s, residual circulation strengthens between groynes, and previously stagnant zones behind the structures become reconnected. Morphodynamic responses over a spring–neap cycle indicate 0.2–0.4 m reduction in sedimentation near groyne heads, accompanied by mild accretion on the inner tidal flat, leading to a smoother, more gradually sloping intertidal profile. These changes reflect a shift toward a more dynamic and resilient morphodynamic state capable of better accommodating extreme water levels. This study highlights groyne lowering as an adaptive and nature-based intervention to counteract human-induced hydrodynamic restriction and climate-driven pressures. The findings contribute to improved understanding of eco-morphodynamic adjustment processes and offer guidance for sustainable coastal management in tide-dominated estuaries such as the Qiantang River delta.

How to cite: Zheng, Y., Li, X., Gong, M., and Shen, J.: Impact of groyne lowering on tidal-flat morphodynamics in a tide-dominated estuary, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2410, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2410, 2026.

EGU26-2518 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Beyond upwelling : frequent coastal downwelling events and their benthic impact in the southern coast of Finland (Baltic Sea) 

Marine Poizat, Joonas Virtasalo, Eero Asmala, Josephin Lemke, Kristian Spilling, Joonas Wasiljeff, Karl Michael Attard, and Karoliina Koho

Upwelling and downwelling are common phenomena in the Baltic Sea, significantly altering the thermal balance and water mass properties, with consequences on biological activity and biogeochemical cycling. While upwelling has been extensively studied using remote sensing and modelling, downwelling remains comparatively poorly documented, partly due to the challenges of direct measurements. Improving understanding of downwelling events is crucial for assessing their impact on biological processes and particle dynamics. This study presents novel in-situ observations of coastal downwelling events in the southern coast of Finland using two benthic landers, complemented by ocean reanalysis dataset. 

A 41-day deployment (August–September 2024) and 70-day deployment (August-October 2025) were conducted where a benthic lander recorded flow velocity and particle concentration throughout the bottom meter of the water column, along with salinity, temperature, and oxygen and chlorophyll concentrations. Data was collected at high temporal resolution, with instruments recording every 6 hours or more frequently.  

Under typical conditions, we measured a weak downward flow and low horizontal velocities (mean 2 cm s-1), with 20µL L-1particle concentrations. Chlorophyll concentrations were low (<0.08 RFU), and oxygen concentration remained stable at approximately 190 μmol L-1. In contrast, distinct downwelling events were observed in September 2024 and September 2025, which were characterized by increased downward flow velocities and particle concentrations, accompanied by concurrent increases in temperature, chlorophyll, and oxygen in the benthic layer. These signals indicate episodic advection of surface-influenced water masses to the seafloor.  

We identified 85 downwelling events in this region since 1993 using the Baltic Sea Physical Reanalysis product from CMEMS, with an apparent increase in event duration and maximum bottom temperature over time. During 2016-2020,  46% of these events meet criteria commonly used to define marine heatwaves. Although the area is typically classified as an upwelling region, our results demonstrate that downwelling events are also frequent and may play an important role in benthic environmental variability and the influx of warmer, nutrient-rich surface water to the seafloor may enhance oxygen consumption and greenhouse gas production. These findings highlight the need to account for downwelling processes when assessing future ecosystem responses in the context of climate change, where changes in wind forcing may modify upwelling and downwelling frequency and intensity, with cascading ecological consequences.

How to cite: Poizat, M., Virtasalo, J., Asmala, E., Lemke, J., Spilling, K., Wasiljeff, J., Attard, K. M., and Koho, K.: Beyond upwelling : frequent coastal downwelling events and their benthic impact in the southern coast of Finland (Baltic Sea), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2518, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2518, 2026.

Coastal wetland ecosystems (CWEs), including mangroves, saltmarshes, and seagrasses, deliver vital ecosystem services at the land-ocean interface, where microbial communities act as key agents of biogeochemical cycles by mediating energy flow and material transformation. Yet, a comprehensive understanding of their global-scale diversity, distribution, and functional attributes remains elusive. To elucidate these aspects, we analyzed 1,384 high-throughput sequencing samples to examine microbial diversity and assembly processes across these global habitats. Our results revealed significant differences in microbial diversity and function among these ecosystems (p < 0.001), with mangroves exhibiting the highest richness and diversity. The habitat-specific keystone taxa were Rhodothermia, Anaerolineaceae, and SBR1031 in mangroves, Flavobacteriaceae, Burkholderiales, and Woeseiaceae in saltmarshes, and Desulfosarcinaceae, Pseudomonadaceae, Firmicutes, and Bacillales in seagrasses through LEfSe and Random Forest model analysis. Co-occurrence network analysis revealed a robust structure comprising 1521 nodes and 64,463 edges, dominated by Gammaproteobacteria, Desulfobacteria, Bacteroidia, and Desulfobulbia. KEGG-based functional profiling showed that mangroves were distinguished by a high abundance of microbial functions related to nitrogen cycling and sulfate metabolism. Seagrasses showed a higher abundance of taxa involved in the methane metabolism and saltmarsh communities were dominated by functions related to aromatic hydrocarbon metabolism. Using iCAMP, we found that deterministic selection governed community assembly in saltmarshes (44.42%), whereas ecological drift was the major contributor in seagrass (63.1%) and mangrove (43.17%) ecosystems. This underscores the dependence of dominant assembly processes on local environmental contexts. Our findings establish a basis for elucidating the structure and function of microbial communities in CWEs, offering insights for future hypothesis-driven research and enhancing predictive capacity amid growing anthropogenic and climatic pressures.

How to cite: Wang, L. and Engel, A.: Comparative Analysis Unveils Distinct Functional Profiles and Assembly Mechanisms of Microbiomes in Global Coastal Wetland Ecosystems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2542, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2542, 2026.

EGU26-2562 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Fluvial Connectivity Impacts Carbon Biogeochemistry in a Tropical Mangrove Delta, Sundarban, India. 

Adrian Bass, Wenguang Tang, Andrew Henderson, Virginia Panizzo, James Fielding, Abhra Chanda, Souvik Shil, Tuhin Ghosh, Charlotte Slaymark, and Andrew Large

Coastal estuaries are hotspots of biogeochemical cycling, biodiversity, and sediment cycling, yet the drivers of carbon cycle processes remain poorly constrained. This study elucidates how hydrological connectivity influences carbon biogeochemistry in the Indian Sundarban over two monsoonal cycles spanning pre-monsoon, monsoon, and post-monsoon seasons. A spatially extensive sampling strategy compared channels connected to perennial freshwater flow with channels isolated from feeding rivers. Linear mixed-effects modelling showed dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and particulate organic carbon (POC) varied significantly with both season and connectivity. DOC peaked pre-monsoon and POC during the monsoon, with higher concentrations in connected sites. Dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) declined during the monsoon but showed no connectivity effect. Elevated DOC relative to conservative mixing was attributed to freshwater runoff or groundwater input. Isotope data indicated POC respiration dominated during pre- and post-monsoon, while DOC flocculation-controlled monsoon POC dynamics, particularly in connected sites. Carbonate dissolution regulated pre-monsoon DIC in general, while organic matter degradation dominated in the monsoon and post-monsoon periods. CO₂ efflux, measured across all sites (1.7–297.6 mmol C m⁻² d⁻¹), was consistently a source to the atmosphere and 2–4 times higher in connected channels, with higher turbulence driving maximum fluxes in upper reaches. Our findings demonstrate that hydrological connectivity fundamentally structures estuarine carbon cycling, lowering organic carbon concentrations and enhancing CO₂ fluxes. Thus, shifts in global coastal delta sediment dynamics and subsequent riverine impacts, may significantly change global deltaic carbon cycle processes.  

How to cite: Bass, A., Tang, W., Henderson, A., Panizzo, V., Fielding, J., Chanda, A., Shil, S., Ghosh, T., Slaymark, C., and Large, A.: Fluvial Connectivity Impacts Carbon Biogeochemistry in a Tropical Mangrove Delta, Sundarban, India., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2562, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2562, 2026.

EGU26-2665 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Water-exchange Capacity Induced by River Discharge and Bay Mouth Archipelago in a Macro-tidal Embayment 

Yuhan Yan, Haifeng Gao, and Junbao Huang

As a critical interface between terrestrial and marine environments, bays experience significant land-sea interactions, with complex hydrodynamic processes playing a role in their water-exchange capacity. This study investigates how medium-sized rivers and the archipelago near the mouth of Yueqing Bay influence its water-exchange capacity. Half-exchange time, combined with a validated three-dimensional hydrodynamic model based on the Finite Volume Community Ocean Model, was used to assess the bay's water-exchange capacity. The results show that the half-exchange time in Yueqing Bay decreases from the bay head to the mouth, ranging from up to 30 days at the head to less than 1.5 days at the mouth, with an overall average of 8–9 days. Seasonal variations in river discharge, particularly from the Oujiang River, lead to changes in water-exchange capacity, with summer rates being 13.6% higher than those in winter. Additionally, a flood event increases water-exchange capacity near the mouth by 6.5%. The surrounding islands enhance tidal energy within the bay, resulting in an 11.6% increase in water-exchange capacity. This study provides valuable insights into the roles of river discharge and nearby islands in controlling water renewal processes, thereby enhancing understanding of the key mechanisms involved.

How to cite: Yan, Y., Gao, H., and Huang, J.: Water-exchange Capacity Induced by River Discharge and Bay Mouth Archipelago in a Macro-tidal Embayment, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2665, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2665, 2026.

Tidal basins such as the Wadden Sea exhibit perpetual sediment dynamics and morphodynamics at scales ranging between that of bedforms and creeks to channels and tidal flats, to that of the entire basin and its transitions to neighbouring basins and the embankment on land. The Wadden Sea is the largest tidal wetland on the planet with globally important ecosystems. Tidal flats and salt marshes increase coastal flood safety by storm wave damping. The combination of accelerating sea-level rise, historic land loss and reclamation with ongoing economic activities, including mining, dredging and other disturbances, puts future ecosystem integrity and coastal flood defence at risk. The ability to adjust management in order to adapt to changes depends on scientific and societal understanding the dynamics of sediment (sand and mud) on a timescale of years to centuries. As such, a qualitative, comprehensive description is urgently needed of sediment dynamics and morphodynamics, around which all the needs and issues revolve and that experts/scientists in governmental institutions and consulting can use to inform policymakers and area managers.

Here we synthesize the available knowledge of patterns, dynamics and interactions between various forms on the basis of bathymetric data, aerial photography, background data and literature. This holistic systems synthesis is a co-creation with societal partners in the Netherlands, who also co-designed the project (https://wadsed.nl/) by specifying their knowledge questions, perspectives on long-term development and on governance of this system. As such, their intimate knowledge of the Dutch Wadden Sea is incorporated and seeming conflicts of perceived trends (drowning vs. infilling) were reframed as research questions by the academic scientists. We will present our new insights in sediment dynamics and morphodynamics, specifically focussing on sediment dynamics during storms, channel-bar interactions and tidal ‘divides’ which are conceptually bounding the individual tidal basins but turn out to be quite open for water and mud exchange. This culminates into a description of tidal basins as multi-scale complex open systems diagrams, with explicit recognition of what processes and boundary conditions are affected, and potentially manageable, by human interference.

How to cite: Kleinhans, M., Cleveringa, J., and van der Spek, A.: Shallow tidal system morphodynamics: a synthesis of forms and behaviours in the Wadden Sea for long-term management with understanding, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3104, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3104, 2026.

 Recent studies indicate that typhoons can trigger intense organic matter degradation in coastal areas. Nevertheless, as coastal currents enhance primary production, the balance between organic matter addition and degradation remains unclear, which restricts a comprehensive understanding of the carbon cycle. This study investigated the biogeochemical processes of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in the northwestern South China Sea, which is affected by the coastal current along the western Guangdong coast, before and after the passage of Typhoon Wipha (2019), through measuring DOM-related parameters and applying the three-end-member mixing model. The results demonstrated that in the nearshore, DOM exhibited a significant net addition before the typhoon. This was mainly due to the strong coastal current that facilitated the primary productivity. After the typhoon, DOM levels in coastal waters increased significantly due to greater land-based input, stronger vertical mixing, and higher primary production. However, the net addition of DOM was lower than pre-typhoon, primarily because of enhanced DOM degradation. In the offshore area, the biological activities stimulated by the strong coastal current remained the primary cause of most DOM additions before the typhoon. Nevertheless, after the typhoon, DOM showed net removal, as degradation exceeded production supported by the coastal current, with removal rates of 7% to 17%. This indicates that typhoons accelerate the degradation of DOM in coastal regions, potentially reducing marine carbon storage enhanced by coastal currents, offering insights into how the coastal carbon cycle responds to environmental changes.

How to cite: Lu, X.: Biogeochemistry of Dissolved Organic Matter in the Northwestern South China Sea under the Combined Influence of Coastal Currents and Typhoon Wipha, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3989, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3989, 2026.

EGU26-4969 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Above- and belowground biomass production in intertidal vegetated ecosystems of Cadiz Bay (Spain): implications for resilience to sea-level rise 

Concepción Natalia Rodríguez-Rojo, Gloria Peralta, Pedro Zarandona, and Andrea Celeste Curcio

Saltmarshes and seagrass meadows are highly productive coastal ecosystems that provide essential ecosystem services, such as carbon cycle regulation, sediment stabilization, and protection against extreme events. Unfortunately, these valuable systems are increasingly threatened by the effects of climate change, particularly due to the accelerating rise in sea level. Their resilience largely depends on their capacity to sustain positive substrate accretion through particulate matter retention and biomass production, especially within belowground compartments, thereby enabling compensation for sea-level rise. However, plant production remains poorly constrained, due to methodological challenges associated with its quantification and the heterogeneous environmental conditions that characterize them.

To help bridge this knowledge gap, this study estimated annual above- and belowground biomass production in two intertidal saltmarsh areas representative of Cadiz bay (Spain): Puerto Real (PT) and Santibañez (ST). Sampling locations were selected in homogeneous vegetation patches, with 14 sites established in PT and 11 in ST to encompass existing spatial variability. Aboveground production was assessed using circular exclusion structures of 25 cm in diameter, from which the initial aboveground vegetation was removed and biomass regrowth was quantified after 12 months. Belowground production was quantified using a modified ingrowth core method, which involved inserting partially open, mesh-wrapped cylinders, filled with root-free sediment. The cores were retrieved after 12 months under natural conditions to quantify root colonization. In the case of seagrass meadows, above- and belowground production was estimated exclusively from plant crowns, considered as the functional structural unit.

Results revealed clear differences between the studied vegetation types. In seagrass meadows, annual production averaged approximately 25 gPS·m⁻²·yr⁻¹ for aboveground biomass and 42 gPS·m⁻²·yr⁻¹ for belowground biomass. In contrast, saltmarsh communities showed markedly higher values, reaching 310 gDW·m⁻²·yr⁻¹ and 475 gDW·m⁻²·yr⁻¹, respectively. These findings highlight the predominant role of belowground compartments in the production balance of both ecosystems, where roots and rhizomes directly contribute to sediment stabilization. The spatial variability observed among sampling points suggests the influence of environmental and biological factors, such as dominant species or relative elevation, whose assessment will allow for a better understanding of the mechanisms driving resilience to sea-level rise.

Overall, the combined methodological approach provides a robust and transferable framework for quantifying productivity in intertidal ecosystems and constitutes a solid basis for upscaling biomass production from local measurements to larger spatial scales. By integrating field-derived production rates with spatial information on vegetation distribution, this approach enables ecosystem-scale assessments of productivity, carbon accumulation and sediment dynamics. The dominance of belowground production underscores its fundamental role in maintaining surface elevation and enhancing resilience to sea-level rise, offering key insights to support conservation and management strategies under climate change.

How to cite: Rodríguez-Rojo, C. N., Peralta, G., Zarandona, P., and Curcio, A. C.: Above- and belowground biomass production in intertidal vegetated ecosystems of Cadiz Bay (Spain): implications for resilience to sea-level rise, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4969, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4969, 2026.

EGU26-5583 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Exploring climate change induced geomorphological tipping points on soft-cliffed coasts 

Matthew Appleton, Riccardo Briganti, and Nicholas Dodd

Coastal systems evolve through a wide variety of physical, ecological and human processes, operating over multiple timescales. One coastal type of interest is an unmanaged, soft-cliffed coast, where hydrodynamic, erosive and avalanching processes interact to create a dynamic and often rapidly receding coast. Anthropogenic sea level rise is expected to accelerate recession and cause cliff submergence, a transition in coastal typology, impacting local communities, habitats and infrastructure. 

In this presentation, we explore the long-term (centuries and longer) geomorphological behaviour of a soft-cliffed coast forced by relative sea level rise. We describe continuous erosive processes by a generalised set of time-averaged hydrodynamic and erosion governing equations, driving smooth deformation of coastal morphology. This description is general enough to encompass many existing hydrodynamic and erosion models, meaning that results derived in this work hold for a large family of model parameters and parametrisations. 

A key physical process on soft-cliffed coasts is collapsing of the cliff face. The timescale of collapsing is shorter than the time-averaged hydrodynamic and erosion timescales and can be treated as an instantaneous process. This jump in state means that the mathematical framework of non-smooth (or hybrid) dynamical systems must be used to explore the evolution of these coasts. 

We identify two geomorphological states toward which the system converges: a repeatedly collapsing receding cliff system, approached when sea level is static, and a transgressing rocky platform without a cliff, approached for high rates of sea level rise. Our analysis focuses on the transitions between these attracting states over anthropogenic sea level rise scenarios. We find that cliff submergence can be characterised as a “tipping point” behaviour, reframing changes in coastal type as potentially irreversible impacts of anthropogenic climate change. This is an underexplored geomorphological phenomenon and may help us interpret the history of the Earth’s coastal systems, as well as explore future scenarios. The description of time-averaged hydrodynamic and erosion processes is general, strengthening the statement that the tipping point behaviour discussed is a realistic phenomenon, rather than a mechanism only seen for specific model parametrisations.  

This work also impacts the modelling of human-coastal coupled systems, since some management decisions, e.g. beach nourishments and the erection of coastal defences may be treated as instantaneous processes, and the framework of non-smooth dynamical systems is one avenue towards understanding long-term system behaviour.

How to cite: Appleton, M., Briganti, R., and Dodd, N.: Exploring climate change induced geomorphological tipping points on soft-cliffed coasts, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5583, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5583, 2026.

EGU26-6003 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Mechanisms of wetland deterioration in a sinking deltaic lagoon 

Sergio Fagherazzi, Carmine Donatelli, and Cedric Fichot

Coastal wetlands are vegetated landforms that offer a multitude of ecosystem services to society. The vulnerability of these ecosystems to relative sea-level rise (RSLR) is connected to the amount of suspended sediment available in the adjacent water bodies. Sediment is transported by numerous processes onto the wetland surface, where it can contribute to vertical accretion and counteract RSLR. Here, we used maps of total suspended solids (TSS) concentration from the NASA Airborne Visible InfraRed Imaging Spectrometer Next Generation (AVIRIS-NG), numerical modeling, aerial imagery, and field observations to infer the mechanisms controlling wetland dynamics within western Terrebonne Bay, a sinking lagoon in the Mississippi River Deltaic Plain. Specifically, we aimed to understand how wetlands respond when land sinks, using western Terrebonne Bay as a test case. This study revealed that subsidence can augment suspended sediment in the water column by increasing tidal prism and triggering channel erosion. Sediment resuspension can support accretion in the remaining wetland platforms, ultimately affecting their elevation. Understanding these feedback mechanisms has direct implications for forecasting and managing the impacts of RSLR on wetlands in lagoons and river deltas.

How to cite: Fagherazzi, S., Donatelli, C., and Fichot, C.: Mechanisms of wetland deterioration in a sinking deltaic lagoon, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6003, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6003, 2026.

A large proportion of the world’s population lives near the coast; as a result, extensive anthropogenic modification, including historic coastal landfills, has affected large swathes of the global coastline. The acceleration of climate change is poised to increase erosion and inundation that already disturb these sites and mobilise stored solid waste into the marine environment. Before 1974, UK landfill operators had no legal requirement to keep records, and thus the composition and condition of the solid waste at risk of release is unknown. Field sampling campaigns of historic coastal landfills in the United Kingdom have identified hazardous heavy metals, asbestos and plastics, alongside inert geomaterials such as rubble, glass and ceramics being released into the marine environment

A gap remains in our understanding of this hazard, as it is unclear how geomorphological and hydrodynamic processes affect the spatial pattern of solid waste. This creates a need to map, classify and quantify the release of solid waste and its subsequent environmental impact. Three landfills in England have been selected for a mapping and monitoring campaign: East Tilbury, Essex; Shoebury East Beach, Essex; and Spittle Lane, Dorset. These sites are located near areas of high population density or on urban estuaries with a range of industrial developments.

Through the synthesis of existing sediment and grain-size mapping techniques, geomorphic mapping approaches and concepts from citizen science litter surveys, a new framework has been developed to characterise and quantify solid waste physical characteristics. This approach has been extended, using images taken via a phone and UAV, to develop a model to automate the detection and classification of solid waste in coastal settings. These different mapping approaches have been developed through repeat field visits, which have resulted in the creation of different solid waste datasets at different spatial scales with different levels of information.

Different spatial patterns of waste are explored, identifying hotspots of waste accumulation, their geomorphic behaviour and impact, as well as the effectiveness of the automated mapping approach. The refined anthropogenic geomaterial classification scheme will be able to be applied to a wider range of sites around the UK coast, alongside the development of automated mapping approaches, which will allow stakeholders to track the release of solid waste and their impacts.

How to cite: Newman, B., Grieve, S., and Spencer, K.: Automated and manual mapping of solid waste characteristics on the foreshore of historical coastal landfill sites., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8211, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8211, 2026.

EGU26-8665 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Laboratory experiments on the near-bed hydrodynamics over regular and irregular ripples. 

Chuang Jin, Zheng Gong, Jorge San Juan, Tinoco Rafael, and Giovanni Coco

Sand ripples, the smallest and most ubiquitous bedforms in coastal and seabed environments, enhance turbulence and sediment resuspension within the bottom boundary layer. Under natural wave forcing, ripples often develop three-dimensional (3D) features—such as terminations, bifurcations, and secondary crests—that reflect their complex adaptation to varying hydrodynamic conditions. To investigate the hydrodynamics over different ripple types, we conducted laboratory experiments in a U-shaped oscillatory tunnel at the Ecohydraulics and Ecomorphodynamics Laboratory, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (USA). Two fixed 3D-printed ripple morphologies were studied: uniform ripples and ripples with superimposed secondary crests. Results demonstrate that the addition of secondary crests substantially modifies flow dynamics, both locally and across neighboring ripples. Compared to uniform ripples, secondary crests produce a thicker boundary layer and induce a notably higher shear velocity at the crest, indicating a greater potential for sediment transport and bedform evolution. These findings provide valuable insights into ripple morphodynamics and contribute to a better understanding of sediment processes in coastal and marine environments.

How to cite: Jin, C., Gong, Z., San Juan, J., Rafael, T., and Coco, G.: Laboratory experiments on the near-bed hydrodynamics over regular and irregular ripples., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8665, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8665, 2026.

EGU26-8708 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Unraveling the Multi-Decadal Morphological Regime Shift under Synergistic Drivers of Climate and Human Activity in a Hydro-Engineered Estuary 

Dezheng Liu, Eunji Byun, Yihyun Choe, Hyeryoung Kim, and Liangwen Jia

Global river estuaries are increasingly subjected to the compounding pressures of anthropogenic sediment starvation and climate-induced intensified marine hydrodynamics. While morphological degradation is widely reported, systematic and quantitative insights into the timing and mechanisms of non-linear transitions in estuarine evolution remain limited. The Nakdong River Estuary (NRE) in South Korea, an intensively engineered estuarine system controlled by cascading upstream dams and an estuarine barrage, serves as a paradigmatic case study to deconstruct this mechanism. Drawing on a 60-year (1965-2024) archive of high-resolution bathymetric data and Geomorphological Information Entropy (GIE) analysis, this study quantitatively reveals the regime shift of this mega-estuary from a sediment sink to an erosional source.

Our results indicate that the system maintained a state of metastable equilibrium for decades (1985-2017), masking the cumulative stress of artificial regulation. However, this fragile balance shifted post-2017, initiating an estuary-wide morphological transition. In the seven years from 2017 to 2024 alone, the system recorded a net erosion volume of over 100 million m3, with the annual erosion rate increasing to four times the historical average. We attribute this shift to the synergistic drive of the “Hungry Water” effect and extreme hydro-meteorological events: chronic sediment cutoff due to upstream damming, and channelization altered the morphodynamical impact of extreme floods (e.g., in 2020), transforming them from depositional events into high-energy erosive agents that scoured the riverbed and subaqueous delta. Concurrently, the degradation of barrier islands reduced the natural shelter effect, facilitating the intrusion of wave energy into the inner estuary.

This study demonstrates that anthropogenically transformed estuaries may exhibit apparent stability for decades before undergoing a rapid state transition, suggesting that such period may represent a lag phase preceding significant morphodynamical disorder. The observed transformation of the NRE provides a critical reference for understanding the trajectory of coastal systems worldwide, indicating that rigid engineering control may reduce system resilience against climate shocks. We suggest that under current climate trends, passive conservation strategies may be insufficient; a shift towards holistic source-to-sink sediment restoration, aimed at rebalancing sediment supply with hydrodynamic energy, is essential to mitigate long-term degradation in these vital coastal interfaces.

How to cite: Liu, D., Byun, E., Choe, Y., Kim, H., and Jia, L.: Unraveling the Multi-Decadal Morphological Regime Shift under Synergistic Drivers of Climate and Human Activity in a Hydro-Engineered Estuary, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8708, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8708, 2026.

EGU26-9229 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Seasonal, annual, and decadal changes in morphology and sedimentation of a channelized, open-coast macrotidal flat 

Seolhui Bang, Joohee Jo, Dohyeong Kim, Seungyeon Sohn, and Kyungsik Choi

The topography and surface sediment distribution of open-coast tidal flats exhibit distinct spatiotemporal variability, commonly linked to seasonal changes in wave intensity. However, studies that consider factors beyond waves and tides, or that address long-term variability based on extended observations, remain scarce. To investigate the processes shaping this variability, an Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis was applied to surface sediment data collected from 2014 to 2025 from the intertidal flat on southwestern Ganghwa Island, west coast of Korea.

The results indicate that sediment distribution is primarily influenced by interannual, decadal, and seasonal variability associated with wave forcing, as well as by geomorphic and biophysical changes. Interannual variability is most pronounced in the middle to upper tidal flat, where years of stronger wave conditions are characterized by relative coarsening. This pattern suggests that wave influence is modulated by tidal stage at the time of wave occurrence. Decadal variability reflects longer-term morphological change of tidal channels and the expansion of oyster reefs, producing a coarsening and fining trend, respectively. Seasonal variability exhibits clear elevation-dependent behavior: the middle tidal flat tends to coarsen in winter and fine in summer, whereas the upper tidal flat shows the opposite tendency due to biofilm development and rainfall-induced sheet flow.

Overall, these findings indicate that sedimentary processes on channelized open-coast tidal flats are governed by geomorphic complexity that enables multiple forcings, such as waves, tides, biological processes, and rainfall-driven sediment transport to operate concurrently. Consequently, surface sediment grain size distributions exhibit complex spatiotemporal variability that cannot be adequately explained by wave forcing alone, underscoring the value of integrated, long-term observations for resolving sediment dynamics in such environments. 

How to cite: Bang, S., Jo, J., Kim, D., Sohn, S., and Choi, K.: Seasonal, annual, and decadal changes in morphology and sedimentation of a channelized, open-coast macrotidal flat, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9229, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9229, 2026.

EGU26-9412 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Satellite-Based Analysis of Shoreline Evolution along Wave-Dominated Deltas of the Catalan Coast (1984–2025): From Annual to Monthly Temporal Scales 

Benjamí Calvillo, Eva Pavo-Fernández, Raquel Peñas-Torramilans, Vicente Gracia, and Manel Grifoll

Coastal areas are dynamic environments shaped by the interplay of waves, sediment supply, and human activities, making them highly sensitive to environmental change. One of the most vulnerable coastal systems are deltas, where dam construction along river courses has significantly reduced sediment delivery to delta fronts, and coastal infrastructures have altered natural dynamics. This study investigates the multi-decadal shoreline evolution of three large wave-dominated deltas along the Catalan coast (NW Mediterranean Sea) from 1984 to 2025: Tordera, Llobregat, and Ebro.

In this study, we used the CoastSat toolkit to analyze historical Landsat 5, 7, 8, and 9 (at 15 m resolution) together with Sentinel-2 imagery (at 10 m resolution) to extract shoreline positions. This multi-sensor approach enables the detection of long-term shoreline trends while also capturing seasonal and event-driven variations.

Our work highlights differential patterns of shoreline change across the  adjacent deltas beaches. The results  reveal the timing and magnitude of seasonal erosion and accretion processes, providing insight into short-term dynamics that are not evident in annual assessments. This integrated dataset demonstrates the value of combining multi-sensor satellite data with automated shoreline extraction tools for continuous monitoring of coastal evolution. Our findings contribute to the understanding of deltaic responses to wave climate, sediment supply, and human impacts, offering a robust framework for future coastal management and risk assessment strategies in Mediterranean wave-dominated delta systems.

 

This work has received funding from EBRO-CLIM research project PID2024-155310OB-I00 financed by MICIU/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/FEDER, UE.

How to cite: Calvillo, B., Pavo-Fernández, E., Peñas-Torramilans, R., Gracia, V., and Grifoll, M.: Satellite-Based Analysis of Shoreline Evolution along Wave-Dominated Deltas of the Catalan Coast (1984–2025): From Annual to Monthly Temporal Scales, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9412, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9412, 2026.

EGU26-9635 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Bottom Trawling Effects on Air–Sea CO₂ Exchange: A Modeling Study of the North Sea 

Pooja Tiwari, Lucas Porz, Ute Daewel, Feifei Liu, Jan Kossack, Kubilay Demir, Wenyan Zhang, and Corinna Schrum

Understanding the dynamic drivers of the marine carbon cycle is essential for predicting how human activities shape ocean-atmosphere CO2 fluxes in a changing climate. Bottom trawling disturbs natural carbon flows through sediment resuspension. However, the impacts of bottom trawling-induced resuspension on air-sea CO2-exchange remain uncertain due to the complexity of the underlying processes involved. To address this, we used a 3D coupled physical-biogeochemical model SCHISM-ECOSMO-CO2, including a carbonate chemistry module, to investigate the impacts of bottom trawling-induced resuspension on the North Sea's carbon cycle. We estimate the impacts for the period 2000-2005 using two model simulations: one accounting only for natural resuspension and another incorporating a parameterization for bottom trawling-induced resuspension. For the latter, we integrate detailed fishing activity data, including vessel position, size, fishing gear type, and engine power to generate daily forcings for trawling-induced resuspension. The results show that bottom trawling causes small, spatio-temporally varying changes in particulate organic carbon (POC), dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), and air–sea CO2 fluxes, driven by the interplay of remineralization, productivity, and material transport. In the North Sea, CO2 outgassing increases in shallow, mixed regions, while deeper, stratified areas experience enhanced CO2 uptake. At the basin scale, these opposing effects balance through carbon fixation and respiration, resulting in a small net increase (~0.0013 molCm-2yr-1) in oceanic CO2 uptake. These results indicate that shifts in biological carbon pathways, rather than physical disturbance alone, dominate the ecosystem response to bottom trawling.

Keywords: Carbonate, Air-sea flux, North Sea, bottom trawling, remineralization.

 

How to cite: Tiwari, P., Porz, L., Daewel, U., Liu, F., Kossack, J., Demir, K., Zhang, W., and Schrum, C.: Bottom Trawling Effects on Air–Sea CO₂ Exchange: A Modeling Study of the North Sea, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9635, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9635, 2026.

EGU26-11464 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Can tidal energy extraction counteract sea-level rise impacts? 

Zoe Mackay, Jon Hill, Athanasios Angeloudis, and Bryce Stewart

The impacts of tidal energy development on the environment, ranging from species to habitats to oceanographic systems, remain uncertain, and gaps persist in current research. Most studies to date have focused on the impacts relating to collision, noise, displacement, and localised hydrodynamic changes that affect sedimentation transport and benthic species composition. There have been limited studies on the impacts of tidal energy on habitats, species distributions (especially mobile, pelagic species), and the wider ecosystem. There has also been no consideration of cumulative environmental impacts of energy extraction at multiple sites, and few studies have considered the comparative impacts of climate change.

Here, we simulate the tides in the Celtic Sea using the multi-scale unstructured mesh numerical model, Thetis.  Spatially varying sea-level rise is applied to these models for the first time, using data from the AR6 IPCC assessment, to examine the impact of sea-level rise on tidal dynamics. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 1.19 through to 5.85 at the 50% confidence interval for years 2050, 2100, and 2150 are used to predict sea-level rise under different scenarios. 

Results show that tidal range (m) and maximum velocity (m/s) are likely to generally increase over time and with SSP scenario. Tidal range increases are particularly high in the Severn Estuary (up to 0.5 m increase) and, to a lesser extent, in the wider Celtic Sea (up to 0.1 m). Sea level-rise is expected to add between 0.28 and 2.01% to the maximum tidal range within the Celtic Sea. This is in addition to predicted sea-level rise.  Conversely, when adding tidal energy arrays into current tidal model conditions, tidal range tends to decrease across the south of the domain area, with a small increase in tidal range between Northern Ireland and North-west Scotland, followed by a mix of small increases and decreases off the Scottish coast. Overall, the installation of tidal arrays is expected to decrease the maximum tidal range by 10%. This keeps pace with increasing relative sea-level rise, demonstrating that possible sea-level rise and tidal array installation may complement each other to offset predicted changes to tidal dynamics.

Under SSP scenarios, maximum velocity is predicted to increase between some islands off the coast of North-west Scotland, and between Morecambe Bay and the River Dee. These predicted changes may affect the efficiency of tidal energy development over time, as well as affect species distributions in localised environments where high levels of change are predicted.

Unsurprisingly, with the presence of tidal arrays, maximum speed is predicted to generally decrease across the Celtic Sea, with some small increases expected between islands off the North-west Scottish coast. When incorporating predicted sea-level rise, the level change is minimal, demonstrating that tidal arrays are more likely to have an impact on tidal velocity and that sea-level changes are unlikely to affect velocities enough to significantly reduce tidal energy efficiency.  Further work is being considered on optimising tidal array installations to suitably offset predicted relative sea-level rise and maintain energy production levels.

How to cite: Mackay, Z., Hill, J., Angeloudis, A., and Stewart, B.: Can tidal energy extraction counteract sea-level rise impacts?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11464, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11464, 2026.

Tropical coastal shelf ecosystems are shaped by strong seasonal atmospheric forcing and intense human exploitation. However, the links between physical oceanographic variability and fisheries dynamics remain poorly understood, particularly in data-limited regions. In the Philippine seas, seasonal changes in wind forcing and upper-ocean conditions influence stratification, mixing, and productivity, with potential consequences for demersal fish communities exploited by bottom trawl fisheries. This study investigates how seasonal oceanographic variability relates to patterns in catch and catch per unit effort (CPUE) of an otter trawl fishery in the Visayan Sea, central Philippines. Fisheries-dependent observations, including depth-stratified CPUE and species composition are integrated with environmental parameters derived from atmospheric reanalysis and gridded ocean datasets. Seasonal atmospheric forcing is characterized using surface wind fields, while ocean surface and upper-layer conditions are described using sea surface temperature (SST), temperature anomalies, and productivity proxies. To match the temporal resolution of the fisheries data, analyses focus on contrasts between the wet and dry seasons. Seasonal differences in catch patterns and community composition are examined in relation to environmental variability. Life-history traits are used as an interpretative framework to explore whether seasonal environmental regimes and trawling pressure may differentially affect species with contrasting growth and reproductive strategies. By combining atmospheric forcing, shelf-scale oceanographic processes, and fisheries obervations, this study highlights the role of physical-biological coupling in mediating the impacts of climate variability and human activities on demersal fisheries. The findings aim to contribute to a process-based understanding of coastal fisheries dynamics in tropical shelf systems and demonstrate the value of interdisciplinary approaches for studying coupled ocean-human systems.

How to cite: Morales, C. J., Cruz, R., and Babaran, R.: Seasonal atmospheric forcing and shelf-scale oceanographic variability shapes demersal trawl fisheries in the Visayan Sea, Philippines, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12131, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12131, 2026.

EGU26-12582 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Short-term impact of offshore wind farms on the regional ocean turbulence and stratification in the North Sea and Danish coastal waters 

Sonaljit Mukherjee, Jens Murawski, Jun She, and Vilnis Frisfelds

Sustainable multi-use offshore infrastructure has been installed in the North Sea and Baltic Sea coastal regions as part of the OLAMUR initiative. Large offshore wind farm aggregations are being combined with low-trophic aquaculture to enhance fish and shellfish production. A key requirement of this initiative is to assess the impact of these wind farms on local wind and waves, ocean currents and turbulence, and the variability of nutrient and carbon uptake. In this work, we use a hydrostatic HIROMB-BOOS Model (HBM) setup to investigate the short-term (20 days) impact of Danish and North Sea wind farms on the regional ocean turbulence and stratification. While previous modeling studies have used unstructured grids to resolve monopile geometry, our approach employs a structured, submesoscale-resolving grid, and the turbine impact is being represented through a subgrid frictional drag increment to the prognostic equations of the k-omega turbulence closure model used in the HBM. We conduct short-duration simulations, both with and without wind farm forcing, for the summer and winter seasons. This enables an assessment of seasonality and the spatial reach of wind-farm-induced anomalies over a 20-day window. Our analysis focuses on four regions: Helgoland, the Southern North Sea, Kriegers Flak, and Anholt. We examine changes in the vertical structure using potential energy anomaly (PEA) and compare them with kinetic energy differences in both resolved and subgrid space. The tidally active Southern North Sea exhibits a strong increase in stratification during summer, with PEA anomalies ranging between 4% and 6% over multi-day periods, whereas Helgoland shows a smaller response (on the order of 1%). In contrast, the Danish coastal regions (Kriegers Flak and Anholt) display PEA values one to two orders of magnitude smaller (0.2 %) and more intermittent behavior, consistent with weaker tidal signals and stronger eddy-induced turbulence. We interpret the North Sea response as wind farm drag extracting energy from a tidally dominant regime, thereby reducing shear-driven flow and allowing stratification to persist. Far-field regions in the Skagerrak and Kattegat channels show strong anomalies at later stages in the simulation, which is attributed primarily to the background submesoscale turbulence caused by cross-flow exchange between North Sea and Baltic Sea waters.

How to cite: Mukherjee, S., Murawski, J., She, J., and Frisfelds, V.: Short-term impact of offshore wind farms on the regional ocean turbulence and stratification in the North Sea and Danish coastal waters, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12582, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12582, 2026.

EGU26-13027 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Response of saltmarsh recreation by managed realignment to climate and coastal community drivers 

Laurent Amoudry, Marta Payo Payo, Marta Meschini, Elina Apine, Amani Becker, Angus Garbutt, Jenny Brown, Richard Dunning, Claire Evans, Anil Graves, Simon Jude, Constantinos Matsoukis, Andy Plater, Leonie Robinson, and Indunee Welivita

Managed realignment is an effective solution in coastal management. This typically involves breaching existing coastal defences, allowing flooding of previously protected land and creation of intertidal habitat, and relocation of the line of actively maintained defences inland. In the UK, creation of intertidal habitat by managed realignment is recommended by strategic plans, yet the uptake of schemes is not keeping pace to meet self-selected targets. The underlying reasons for this slow uptake are complex, span multiple interacting disciplines and are not fully understood. A critical aspect relates to the long-term sustainability and success of the scheme. We explore here how the response of managed realignment to climate drivers leading to intended and unintended consequences intersect with community perceptions.

We focus on a case study in the UK (Hesketh Out Marsh in the Ribble Estuary) where we integrate community co-production with quantitative modelling and long-term environmental datasets. We bring together outcomes from co-creating a shared understanding of the managed realignment system with stakeholders and the local community, with results from downscaled hydrodynamic modelling of the Ribble estuary under present and future sea level, and with LiDAR and Sediment Erosion Table datasets for Hesketh Out Marsh.

Our results show that the managed realignment have both positive and negative influences on the overall social-ecological system. Hydrodynamic modelling results show significant spatial variability in the effect of the managed realignment scheme, which is amplified by sea level rise. In some areas, managed realignment is beneficial but in others it is not. The newly created saltmarsh is slowly accreting, which is beneficial against sea level rise and its long-term viability, but impairs drainage of its terrestrial hinterland. Workshops with local stakeholders revealed entrenched and conflictual perceptions of the process, goals, and effectiveness of the managed realignment scheme. Altogether, this demonstrates the complexity inherent to managed realignment social-ecological systems. Transdisciplinary approaches are critical to better incorporate this complexity into management approaches by enabling to bring together multiple voices and knowledges and to co-create a clearer, more complete shared understanding of the system.

How to cite: Amoudry, L., Payo Payo, M., Meschini, M., Apine, E., Becker, A., Garbutt, A., Brown, J., Dunning, R., Evans, C., Graves, A., Jude, S., Matsoukis, C., Plater, A., Robinson, L., and Welivita, I.: Response of saltmarsh recreation by managed realignment to climate and coastal community drivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13027, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13027, 2026.

EGU26-13332 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Simulate the Beach: The Influence of Rock Properties and Mineral Composition on Ocean Alkalinity 

Greta Flinspach, Tim Hierlemann, Jonas Leonhardt, Ivo Neumann, Solveigh Marie Quoß, Lara Spano, and Caroline Suchau

The ocean plays an important role in regulating CO2 in the earth system by buffering it as bicarbonate. However, this mechanism is unable to keep up with the rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations. One proposed approach to mitigating this issue is to enhance the ocean’s alkalinity. This is induced by enhanced weathering of alkaline rock feedstock. Many strategies of atmospheric CO2 removal are now being researched. However, the role of enhanced weathering in the beach-ocean interface has received comparably little attention. Our focus on coastal processes is based on their greater potential feasibility and the interaction between weathered rock, seawater, and the atmosphere. This study aims to simulate ocean alkalinity enhancement in a beach setting on a laboratory scale. This will be achieved using a custom-built overhead shaker to induce constant motion in a mixture of seawater and rock material. Via frequent monitoring and measurement of key components, such as ionic composition, the effect of rock weathering on sea water alkalinity is assessed. If expectations are met, mineralogical composition as well as grain size will influence the alkalinity enhancement potential. To quantify this, samples of basalt, andesite and glacial sediments will be compared at two grain sizes. The expectation is to see a larger alkalinity enhancement for smaller grain sizes due to larger surface area, and for basalt due to faster weathering rate. This study will evaluate the proposed option to reduce a future peak in atmospheric CO2 concentration and aims to increase the understanding of beach-ocean interfaces.

How to cite: Flinspach, G., Hierlemann, T., Leonhardt, J., Neumann, I., Quoß, S. M., Spano, L., and Suchau, C.: Simulate the Beach: The Influence of Rock Properties and Mineral Composition on Ocean Alkalinity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13332, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13332, 2026.

EGU26-13439 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Storm-Driven Coastal Erosion and Shoreline Dynamics along the Southern Baltic Sea Coast: A LiDAR and Wave Hindcast Study 

Paweł Terefenko, Andrzej Giza, Jakub Śledziowski, Kamran Tanwari, Natalia Bugajny, Amelia Sicińska, and Krzysztof Wróblewski

Coastal erosion along the southern Baltic Sea was analysed using airborne LiDAR surveys from 2011, 2012 and 2022 combined with a 12-year wave hindcast based on SWAN/ECMWF reanalysis and data provided by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). A coastal strip approximately 200 km wide, including cliffs or dunes, beaches and the shallow nearshore zone, was investigated to quantify volumetric changes and their relationship to storm-wave conditions.

Storm events were identified using two thresholds: significant wave height Hs ≥ 2 m and Hs ≥ 4 m with a minimum duration of 12 hours. Three offshore points located along the Polish coast were analysed to assess spatial variability in storm frequency, wave height and wave direction. The results indicate strong contrasts in storm exposure, with the central–eastern sector being the most affected and the western sector strongly sheltered.

LiDAR-based differencing revealed a pronounced west–east erosion gradient. Cliffed sectors exhibit deep but spatially limited erosion (class 1, >10 m A.S.L.), whereas low-lying barrier and deltaic coasts are dominated by widespread abrasion in the 1-5 m A.S.L. The total abrasion volume between 2011 and 2022 reached  - 16.6 million m³.

To capture spatial variability, shoreline change rates were computed on a regular 1-km grid along the entire coastline, revealing alternating erosion and accumulation cells strongly controlled by coastal morphology and storm-wave exposure. In addition, erosion volumes were aggregated at the municipal level to estimate potential economic impacts related to the loss of land, tourist infrastructure, coastal protection assets and ecosystem services. The highest potential economic losses were identified in municipalities with cliffed coasts and densely developed tourist zones, whereas lower impacts characterize sparsely developed, low-lying barrier coasts.

The results demonstrate that storm-wave climate, coastal morphology and local socio-economic conditions jointly control the magnitude and spatial distribution of coastal erosion risk along the southern Baltic Sea.

How to cite: Terefenko, P., Giza, A., Śledziowski, J., Tanwari, K., Bugajny, N., Sicińska, A., and Wróblewski, K.: Storm-Driven Coastal Erosion and Shoreline Dynamics along the Southern Baltic Sea Coast: A LiDAR and Wave Hindcast Study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13439, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13439, 2026.

EGU26-13719 | Orals | OS2.3

Conceptual interactions through Canals between Aquaculture Ponds and a tropical lagoon 

Wei-Jen Huang, Fei-Ling Yuan, Veran Weerathunga, Kai-Jung Kao, Chia-Yu Lai, Ting-Hsuan Lin, and Jain-Jhih Chen

Lagoons and ponds are highly productive coastal regions with high economic value and are usually treated as independent systems in scientific studies. However, their tidal connections are often neglected. This study focuses on Chiku Lagoon (Tainan, Taiwan), a shallow, tidally driven tropical lagoon, and the surrounding aquaculture ponds, which cover approximately 36% (~39 km2) of the local land area. Here, we treat the ponds and the lagoon as a single watershed system. Tidal forcing drives water into the lagoon and its connecting aquaculture ponds, facilitating water exchange within the ponds and exporting nutrient-rich and CO2-rich waters back to the lagoon. Diel variations in temperature and biological activities are observed in both the ponds and the lagoon, while the canals and the lagoon are further influenced by tidal modulation. We propose a box-model framework to examine the complex interactions between these components under at least two scenarios: positive feedback interactions and offset interactions. We further discuss how treating ponds and lagoons as a connected system alters the interpretation of their physical and biogeochemical interactions.

How to cite: Huang, W.-J., Yuan, F.-L., Weerathunga, V., Kao, K.-J., Lai, C.-Y., Lin, T.-H., and Chen, J.-J.: Conceptual interactions through Canals between Aquaculture Ponds and a tropical lagoon, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13719, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13719, 2026.

EGU26-14010 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

High-frequency monitoring of ferry-induced sediment resuspension in coastal zones 

Viktoriia Pastukhova, Markus Johansson, Carlos Gonzales Inca, Eila Hietaharju, and Saija Saarni

Among various human activities in densely populated coastal areas, intense ferry traffic plays an essential role in coastal processes. Several studies of fast ferry traffic have shown that wake-induced mechanical sediment disturbance harms coastal environments in several ways. These include suppression of coastal vegetation, promotion of eutrophication through nutrient resuspension, sediment erosion, and enhanced coastal methane emissions. According to a recently published review on marine biodiversity loss, physical disturbance of the seabed is among the most common causes of biodiversity loss in Finnish coastal waters.

In our research, we aim to assess the rate of physical sediment disturbance caused by frequent ferry traffic near the Turku–Stockholm ferry lane in the Archipelago Sea, Finland. To capture evidence of nearshore disturbance, we use a prototype of an innovative online sediment trap. The online sediment trap is a prominent Finnish invention equipped with a computed tomography function. It performs tomographic scans of the trap tube interior, producing volumetric images of structures within it. This feature enables direct quantification of sediment flux induced by a single ferry passage, with measurements performed at an hourly timescale. These high-resolution monitoring data, combined with ferry passage data from the marine Automatic Identification System (AIS) and meteorological data, are analysed using statistical methods to uncover hidden patterns and drivers. The insights from our research are then interpreted in the context of sedimentological processes in the coastal environment to support sustainable maritime management and the protection of the fragile shallow and coastal environments of the Archipelago Sea.

How to cite: Pastukhova, V., Johansson, M., Gonzales Inca, C., Hietaharju, E., and Saarni, S.: High-frequency monitoring of ferry-induced sediment resuspension in coastal zones, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14010, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14010, 2026.

EGU26-15212 | Orals | OS2.3

Subsurface flow-driven hydrology of semi-arid coastal lagoons 

Megan Williams, Lino Yovan, Rodolfo Gómez, Sarah Leray, and Sebastián Vicuña

Coastal water bodies—lagoons, estuaries, and associated wetlands are dependent on and thus vulnerable to changes in both ocean and watershed dynamics. In semi-arid and Mediterranean climates, estuaries and coastal lagoons persist despite ephemeral riverine discharge (on seasonal or interannual timescales) and intermittent connection via tidal inlets to the ocean. The persistence of coastal surface water bodies in the absence of riverine or tidal inflow suggests subsurface flow as the main driver of coastal hydrology in these systems.

This work explores the coastal water bodies of three watersheds in Central Chile. The Huaquén watershed is a 151 km² coastal basin with an ephemeral river but perennial coastal wetland and lagoon. Except for immediately after large storms, the lagoon does not have a tidal connection to the ocean.  The much larger Petorca (1989 km²) and La Ligua (1979 km²) watersheds drain into the Pacific Ocean through a shared estuary. The confluence of the two rivers is located 1 km upstream from the intermittently open inlet. These watersheds with origin in the Andean foothills, despite their large size, have very low riverine discharge due to climate, drought, and water-intensive agricultural development.

Here we present results spanning two years of in-situ measurements of water level in the Pichicuy lagoon at the outlet of the Huaquén watershed, and the Ligua–Petorca estuary and nearby groundwater wells, combined with satellite remote sensing of surface water bodies using 10m resolution Sentinel-2 data and longer-term monitoring of groundwater and surface water by the Chilean water agency.

Results highlight the dominance of groundwater exchange in the dynamics of coastal lagoons without an open tidal inlet. Measurements in the small Pichicuy lagoon show hydrology dominated by ocean-driven exchange via flow through the sandbar. This flow depends on the hydraulic gradient driven by wave setup and modulated by the tide, which is attenuated through the sandbar. In the much larger Ligua-Petorca watershed, little ocean influence is observed within the closed lagoon, but the surface area and water levels are shown to vary seasonally with watershed groundwater level fluctuations and on longer timescales with groundwater depletion by drought and water over-exploitation. This work highlights the importance in considering subsurface exchange flows between the ocean, coastal estuaries and lagoons, and the watershed, especially as climate change alters conditions in both the coastal ocean and in semi-arid and Mediterranean watersheds worldwide.

How to cite: Williams, M., Yovan, L., Gómez, R., Leray, S., and Vicuña, S.: Subsurface flow-driven hydrology of semi-arid coastal lagoons, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15212, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15212, 2026.

EGU26-16377 | Orals | OS2.3

Morphodynamic evolution of depth-dependent sand mining pits and implications for sustainable sand mining 

Guan-hong Lee, Raheem Abdul-Kareem, Jongwi Chang, Courtney Harris, and Joonho Lee

The demand for marine aggregates, particularly sand, is rapidly increasing due to population growth and the need for climate change adaptation. While sand extraction supports many essential industries, it also generates substantial environmental impacts, including habitat degradation and coastal erosion, underscoring the need for effective regulatory frameworks. Previous studies suggest that nearshore sand mining can contribute to coastal erosion; however, the impacts of sand mining pits at different water depths remain poorly quantified and are often addressed only qualitatively.

This study investigates the influence of water depth on sand pit morphodynamics and the long-term evolution of mining pits. Bathymetric datasets acquired between 2017 and 2024 from the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) were analyzed for multiple sand mining pits located within the 25–65 m isobaths. Results show that pit recovery rates varied following three years of intensive mining. Linear regression between water depth and mean depth change revealed a weak but consistent negative relationship (R² = 0.40), indicating reduced sediment deposition with increasing depth, likely due to decreasing bed shear stress and sediment mobility.

These findings suggest that sand mining at greater depths may reduce morphological impacts on surrounding seabed areas, highlighting water depth as a critical factor in site selection and pit design. Because wave-induced bed shear stress is stronger in shallower waters, this study provides quantitative evidence to support depth-based guidelines for sustainable sand mining and informs future policy development.

How to cite: Lee, G., Abdul-Kareem, R., Chang, J., Harris, C., and Lee, J.: Morphodynamic evolution of depth-dependent sand mining pits and implications for sustainable sand mining, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16377, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16377, 2026.

EGU26-17412 | ECS | Orals | OS2.3

Experimental evidence of how extreme air temperatures influence microphytobenthos up and down migration 

Augustin Debly, Marika Mecca, Simon Oiry, Julien Deloffre, Sokratis Papaspyrou, Emilio Garcia-Robledo, Laurent Barillé, and Vona Méléder

Microphytobenthos (MPB) are microalgae that form biofilms on sediment surfaces and play a key role in coastal ecosystems by supporting food webs, regulating carbon (CO2) fluxes, and stabilizing mudflats.

Some species are known to migrate vertically within the sediment as a protective strategy. During daytime low tides, MPB migrates to the surface to perform photosynthesis (S), whereas during other periods, MPB moves deeper (“buried” state, B) for nutrients and protection from grazers. The transitional state of the biofilm between B and S depends on the migration speed, which is estimated to range between 0.11 and 0.45 µm.s-1 [1]. When in B, the biofilm cannot be detected through optical remote sensing methods, and has a reduced photosynthetic rate.

It is known that extreme air temperature events will become more frequent in the coming years due to climate change. The aim of this study is to demonstrate, under controlled conditions, that an extreme air temperature event affects the up and down migration of the biofilm, and therefore the services it provides and its detectability.

Sediment containing biofilm was collected from the Loire estuary in France during two different seasons (in fall and spring), homogenized, and placed in two experimental intertidal chambers for one week, with tide, light, and temperature controlled. A one-day acclimation period simulating field conditions was applied in both chambers, after which two scenarios were implemented. One chamber served as a control, with air temperature following a sinusoidal pattern between the mean daily minimum and mean daily maximum temperatures for the 2000–2024 period, whereas a sudden extreme air temperature event was applied in the other chamber. The experiment was repeated three times for each season, using extreme air temperature events corresponding to (1) the maximum air temperature observed from hourly data, at the site, for the season, for the 2000–2024 period (29.2°C for October and 37.5°C for June), (2) the maximum observed air temperature plus a delta corresponding to an RCP4.5 scenario at long-term horizon (29.2+2.25°C for October and 37.5+1.96°C for June), and (3) the maximum observed air temperature plus a delta corresponding to an RCP8.5 scenario at long-term horizon (29.2+3.82°C for October and 37.5+3.46°C for June). Biofilm concentration in state S was measured every 30 seconds, using a non-destructive hyperspectral reflectance method. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was used as a proxy for biomass.

An increase in NDVI was assumed to indicate upward migration, while a decrease in NDVI indicated downward migration. The data were interpolated allowing comparison between the control and the treatment. For each day, the mean signed difference (MSD) between control and treatment was calculated. A positive MSD indicated stimulation of the biofilm by the treatment, while a negative MSD indicated inhibition. The initial hypothesis was that the treatment would stimulate the biofilm at the beginning of the event, followed by a progressive inhibition over the week. Results are discussed to confirm, or not, the hypothesis.

[1] Serôdio et al. (2023). Light niche construction: Motility of sediment-inhabiting diatoms determines the experienced light environment.

How to cite: Debly, A., Mecca, M., Oiry, S., Deloffre, J., Papaspyrou, S., Garcia-Robledo, E., Barillé, L., and Méléder, V.: Experimental evidence of how extreme air temperatures influence microphytobenthos up and down migration, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17412, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17412, 2026.

EGU26-17642 | Posters on site | OS2.3

21st Century Upwelling and Air-Sea CO2 Flux Trends in the EBUS in CMIP6 MPI-ESM Realisations 

Nele Tim, Eduardo Zorita, Birgit Hünicke, and Moritz Mathis

The Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) in the subtropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans are regions where wind-induced coastal upwelling results in cold, nutrient-rich surface waters, leading to high productivity. Changes in these regions are of significant interest due to their importance to fisheries, economies, biological productivity, diversity, and the CO2 cycle. Here, we examine future trends in upwelling and surface CO2 fluxes across the four EBUS, simulated with different versions of the Earth System model MPI-ESM driven by different carbon emissions scenarios. Our objectives are to test the hypothesis of a more substantial intensification of upwelling in the EBUS regions located polewards and to investigate the impact of upwelling changes on CO2 surface fluxes.
Using several realisations and high and low-resolution simulations enables us to analyse the internal climate variability and the effect of horizontal resolution on upwelling trends. Our study shows that upwelling does not intensify in the poleward subregions of all four EBUS but instead decreases in all the equatorward subregions. In these simulations, upwelling intensifies in the poleward subregions of the Humboldt and Canary upwelling systems, whereas it decreases in all subregions of the Benguela and California upwelling systems. The model resolution is not relevant for the directions of simulated change in upwelling. The poleward expansion of the Hadley Cell and, thus, the poleward displacement of the subtropical highs drive the change. This high-pressure cell moves offshore in the South Atlantic, which might lead to the negative trends in South Benguela. However, the realism of this westward shift might be questionable, as Earth System models struggle to simulate the South Atlantic high at its observed position. The decrease‚ in California upwelling may be due to the offshore shift of the subtropical high over the North Pacific or the summertime contraction of the Hadley Cell over the North Pacific.
The CO2 flux from the atmosphere into the ocean shows a general increase in the oceanic CO2 sink under the high-emission scenario, but a decrease under the low-emission scenario. These changes are not consistent with trends in upwelling but rather with atmospheric CO2 concentrations. An exception is the North Canary subregion, which remains a CO2 source in all scenarios, even though upwelling intensifies there.

How to cite: Tim, N., Zorita, E., Hünicke, B., and Mathis, M.: 21st Century Upwelling and Air-Sea CO2 Flux Trends in the EBUS in CMIP6 MPI-ESM Realisations, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17642, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17642, 2026.

EGU26-17682 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Salt intrusion in the Mekong Delta and a systems perspective for climate adaptation in deltas worldwide 

Sepehr Eslami Arab, Gualbert Oude Essink, Robert J. Nicholls, and Vrinda Sharma

Deltas worldwide suffer from very similar hazards such as elevation loss, fluvial sediment decline, river bed, bank and coastal erosion, flooding or drought, salt intrusion, biodiversity decline, hydrological regime shifts, leading in return to various socio-economic impacts. Yet, they are extremely complex and fundamental to the livelihood of more than half a billion people. They also often host mega-cities, thanks to their access to open seas and fertile soil for food production. Mekong Delta is not an exception. Specifically, in the past two decades it has been largely impacted by increased trends of salt intrusion. When studying salt intrusion in the Mekong Delta, we could identify a very wide range of drivers from all the way upstream in the basin to the coastal seas. Some of them are driven by climate change, and some by human intervention. Looking at the past trends and future projection when combining all the drivers of change, we see that anthropogenic drivers dominate those dynamics in the first half of the century while in the second half of the century perhaps climate change becomes the dominant driver of change. 

The Mekong Delta is exemplar of the challenges many deltas face today worldwide. But, when studying them collectively, we can identify common drivers of biophysical change across a range of spatial and temporal scales. When mapping these drivers at various scales and linking them to their direct and indirect biophysical and societal impacts we can develop a more clear systems understanding as a very important step in the adaptation planning. Furthermore, this framework can help facilitating dialogue among various stakeholders, and simplify a more critical thinking for policy makers, public and technical sectors. This system understanding of a delta from its source to its sink, is a critical first step in effective and sustainable adaptation planning, while it often gets less resources associated than it deserves.

How to cite: Eslami Arab, S., Oude Essink, G., Nicholls, R. J., and Sharma, V.: Salt intrusion in the Mekong Delta and a systems perspective for climate adaptation in deltas worldwide, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17682, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17682, 2026.

EGU26-19480 | Orals | OS2.3

Climate-driven changes in Venice Lagoon hydrography under global warming scenarios 

Fabio Bozzeda, Marco Sigovini, and Piero Lionello

Coastal lagoons are highly dynamic transitional systems whose hydrographic properties are strongly modulated by atmospheric forcing, freshwater inputs, and exchanges with the open sea, reflecting coupled land–sea–atmosphere processes across coastal interfaces. Accurately simulating their temperature and salinity variability remains challenging, particularly under climate change scenarios, due to the high computational cost of process-based hydrodynamic models and the limited availability of long observational time series. Here, we present a data-driven modelling framework to reproduce and project monthly surface water temperature and salinity in the Venice Lagoon, one of the most complex and vulnerable coastal systems in the Mediterranean region, using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The model is trained using irregular monthly observations collected between 2001 and 2004 at three representative stations (marine, intermediate, and riverine), combined with a minimal set of physically interpretable atmospheric and oceanographic predictors, including 2 m air temperature, precipitation, mean sea level, and offshore sea surface salinity. Despite the short training period, the CNN accurately reproduces the observed seasonal and interannual variability, achieving high skill scores (R² > 0.96 for temperature and R² > 0.85 for salinity at most stations). A sensitivity analysis reveals distinct dominant drivers across the lagoon, with oceanic forcing prevailing near the inlets and atmospheric–terrestrial controls becoming increasingly important in river-influenced areas. The validated model is subsequently employed to explore synthetic climate change scenarios corresponding to 1.5, 2, and 3 °C global warming levels relative to pre-industrial conditions. Results indicate a pronounced amplification of the seasonal cycle, with summer surface water temperature increases exceeding 6 °C and salinity increases above 4 PSU at the riverine station under the 3 °C scenario. These changes suggest substantial future alterations of lagoon hydrography, with potential implications for ecosystem functioning and resilience. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of CNN-based approaches as computationally efficient tools for climate impact assessment in complex coastal environments, complementing traditional hydrodynamic models and enabling rapid scenario exploration.

How to cite: Bozzeda, F., Sigovini, M., and Lionello, P.: Climate-driven changes in Venice Lagoon hydrography under global warming scenarios, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19480, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19480, 2026.

EGU26-19678 * | ECS | Orals | OS2.3 | Highlight

Estuarine marine heatwaves in an upwelling system: coastal drivers, seasonal dynamics, and implications for ecosystem services 

Marisela Des, Adrian Castro-Olivares, Maite deCastro, and Moncho Gómez-Gesteira

Coastal zones are dynamic interfaces where land, ocean, and atmosphere interact across multiple spatial and temporal scales. These environments are increasingly exposed to climate-driven extremes that can disrupt physical processes and threaten ecosystem functioning and human activities. Among these extremes, marine heatwaves have emerged as a major stressor in coastal areas. Currently, their manifestation and drivers within estuarine systems, particularly those influenced by coastal upwelling, remain poorly understood. This study investigates the occurrence, characteristics, and drivers of estuarine marine heatwaves (EMHWs) in the Ría de Arousa (NW Iberian Peninsula), a highly productive estuary within the North Atlantic upwelling system and supporting intensive aquaculture and fisheries activities.

The analysis performed is based on high-frequency in situ water temperature observations within the estuary, combined with satellite-derived sea surface temperature, atmospheric reanalysis products, wind-based upwelling indicators spanning multiple years, and numerical modelling. EMHWs are identified using a percentile-based threshold methodology that accounts for strong seasonal variability, allowing a consistent comparison between thermal extremes within the estuary, the adjacent continental shelf, and the open ocean.

A total of 38 EMHW events are detected during the study period, exhibiting marked interannual and seasonal variability in frequency, duration, and intensity. EMHWs occur throughout the year but exhibit a marked seasonal signal, with the highest cumulative intensities recorded in autumn. October emerges as the month with the most intense events, coinciding with reduced upwelling activity, highlighting the role of coastal hydrodynamics in modulating estuarine thermal extremes. Elevated frequencies are also observed in December and February. The preferential occurrence of intense EMHWs during late autumn and winter has important ecological implications, as these periods coincide with key stages of the reproductive cycles of many species of ecological and commercial interest. Prolonged exposure to anomalously high temperatures during these sensitive phases may compromise reproductive success, population resilience, and the ecosystem services provided by estuarine systems.

Statistical analyses show that EMHW variability is primarily driven by sea surface temperature anomalies on the continental shelf and in the adjacent open ocean, explaining up to ~20 % of the observed variance. The influence of coastal upwelling on EMHW development is found to be weak. While upwelling-favourable winds can locally reduce thermal extremes, their buffering capacity appears limited under sustained oceanic warming.

In a context of climate change and given the socio-economic importance of shellfisheries in the region, numerical modelling is required to assess the future evolution and impacts of thermal extremes in estuarine systems. Downscaled regional climate projections under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios project a substantial increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme thermal events and associated bottom water temperature anomalies. Thermal exposure analyses suggest species-specific vulnerability within the shellfishery sector, with Venerupis corrugata and Cerastoderma edule likely to experience critical thermal stress.

The results highlight growing climate risks for biodiversity, aquaculture, and fisheries, and emphasize the need to account for cross-scale coastal interactions when developing adaptation and management strategies in productive coastal zones.

How to cite: Des, M., Castro-Olivares, A., deCastro, M., and Gómez-Gesteira, M.: Estuarine marine heatwaves in an upwelling system: coastal drivers, seasonal dynamics, and implications for ecosystem services, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19678, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19678, 2026.

EGU26-20030 | Posters on site | OS2.3

Forecasting pollutant mobility associated with coastal landfill sites under future climate change scenarios 

Joshua Ahmed, Haowen Wang, Louise O. V. Eldridge, Billy A. Newman, Kate L. Spencer, Stuart W. D. Grieve, and John M. MacDonald

There are >1,200 historic coastal landfill sites at risk from flooding or erosion in England. Many of these sites were created before detailed waste material logs were kept and prior to the introduction of impermeable liners, that prevent leachate and toxic gas release. Hydrological and hydrodynamic processes form critical pathways through which soluble and sediment-associated contaminants are released and dispersed in the environment, enhancing the risk they pose by increasing their distribution and biological uptake. Climate change will increase contaminant mobility and exposure as the frequency and magnitude of hydrological processes accelerates rates of host material erosion and mobility. This work contrasts contemporary contaminant profiles from three legacy coastal landfill sites in the UK and forecasts how these profiles might change under a range of future climate and intervention scenarios. The results will help decision-makers prioritise sites for protection, which is necessary given the estimated cost to defend or remove legacy landfills is projected to cost hundreds of millions to billions of euros.

How to cite: Ahmed, J., Wang, H., Eldridge, L. O. V., Newman, B. A., Spencer, K. L., Grieve, S. W. D., and MacDonald, J. M.: Forecasting pollutant mobility associated with coastal landfill sites under future climate change scenarios, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20030, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20030, 2026.

EGU26-20198 | Orals | OS2.3

The fate of ice sheet-derived organic matter in an oligotrophic Greenland fjord 

Alina Mostovaya, Johnna Holding, and Maria Lund Paulsen

The Greenland Ice Sheet is melting rapidly, increasing freshwater runoff to the coastal ocean around Greenland. Through this pathway, allochthonous material, including nutrients, sediments, and organic carbon, is transported to coastal waters. The impacts of these inputs on coastal carbon cycling are poorly resolved, and accelerating climate change prompts closer examination of the character and fate of allochthonous material reaching Arctic coasts. In this study, we have taken a closer look at quantity, quality, and transformation of organic matter (OM) in surface waters of an oligotrophic high Arctic fjord influenced by glacial and proglacial runoff. We examined dissolved, suspended, and sinking OM by combining in situ observations along a river-to-sea gradient with experiments quantifying bioavailable carbon fractions, production of transparent exopolymer particles (TEPs), and OM flocculation. We found that dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations in glacial and proglacial river waters were comparatively low (<30 µM), suggesting that these inputs should dilute DOC concentrations in the fjord. At the same time, riverine DOC was at least two times more bioavailable than marine DOC. Non-conservative DOC mixing along the river-to-sea gradients further indicated additional DOC supply, which we hypothesize is due to desorption from inorganic particles.

Much of the riverine particulate OM (POM) was observed to sediment out within the first few kilometers upon entering the fjord, with salt-induced flocculation and, to some extent, TEPs formation contributing to efficient aggregation and sinking. The sinking POM flux included a distinct contribution from chlorophyll-containing particles, indicating that freshwater inputs enhance downward export of phytoplankton biomass. The coexistence of this export with low but steady chlorophyll standing stocks in the water column implies concurrent primary production that persists even under turbid low-light conditions.

Overall, our results highlight the complexity of coastal carbon cycling in a changing Arctic and demonstrate that glacial river plumes act as reaction zones for rapid and multidirectional transformations of OM. By resolving interactions among freshwater inputs, particle dynamics, and multiple OM pools along river-to-sea gradients, this study advances understanding of how increasing land-ocean connectivity reshapes carbon cycling and ecosystem functioning in the coastal Arctic.

How to cite: Mostovaya, A., Holding, J., and Lund Paulsen, M.: The fate of ice sheet-derived organic matter in an oligotrophic Greenland fjord, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20198, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20198, 2026.

EGU26-20593 | Orals | OS2.3

A principles-based framework to define coastal literacy 

Ana Matias, Lucas Dann, A. Rita Carrasco, Ap Van Dongeren, Gerd Masselink, Óscar Ferreira, Carlos Loureiro, and Ana Madiedo

Defining literacy is essential because it establishes a baseline for education, enables robust assessment and measurement of progress, supports policy and accountability, makes domain-specific differences explicit, and can improve equity by enabling better-designed interventions to promote learning. UNESCO notes that, beyond its conventional concept as a set of reading, writing and counting skills, literacy is now understood as a means of identification, understanding, interpretation, creation, and communication in an increasingly digital, text-mediated, information-rich and fast-changing world. Consequently, multiple domain literacies have emerged, including science, health, media, digital and financial literacy, and more recently AI literacy. While ocean literacy has gained significant traction in the last decade, for the coast an early coastal literacy framework was proposed in 2010 by CoastNet (UK charity that has since closed), but it was primarily oriented towards integrated coastal zone management. The objective of this work is thus to define coastal literacy and what it comprises.

To develop a definition tailored to coastal contexts, related literacy constructs were reviewed, particularly ocean literacy, climate literacy and risk literacy. Across frameworks, literacy is commonly articulated through dimensions (for example, knowledge, awareness and attitudes) and, in some cases, through explicit principles. The Ocean Literacy Framework is a prominent example, currently comprising seven principles and 45 concepts, and defines ocean literacy as understanding the ocean’s influence on humanity and humanity’s influence on the ocean. Although coasts form part of the broader ocean system, coastal environments have distinct characteristics: they concentrate human activities, involve frequent and direct human–environment interactions, and are often exposed to hazards. Coasts also exist at the interface of multiple Earth system spheres, linking the ocean, land and atmosphere. The framework of coastal literacy was developed building on the literature review and on a two-day focus group using structured brainstorming methodologies. The proposed framework comprises seven principles: (P1) Each coast is unique and has value on its own; (P2) Coasts consist of many different and connected parts; (P3) Coasts are dynamic, changing from seconds to millennia; (P4) Human activities impact the coast, and coasts continually affect humans; (P5) Coasts are inherently hazardous environments that can place people and infrastructure at risk; (P6) Climate change is affecting coastal ecosystems and challenging future coastal use; and (P7) We share responsibility for looking after the coasts for present and future generations. A key contribution of these principles is how they frame human–coast relationships. They recognise the intrinsic coastal value independent of human use or resource exploitation (P1), position humans as part of coastal systems (P2, P4), explicitly foreground coastal risk (P5), and treat shared responsibility as a component of literacy (P7). They also embed sustainability by emphasising the need to safeguard future generations, including in the context of climate change (P6). Further work is needed to elaborate the concepts underpinning each principle and to refine the framework through additional validation; however, the principles presented here provide a structured foundation for defining and operationalising coastal literacy.

How to cite: Matias, A., Dann, L., Carrasco, A. R., Van Dongeren, A., Masselink, G., Ferreira, Ó., Loureiro, C., and Madiedo, A.: A principles-based framework to define coastal literacy, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20593, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20593, 2026.

EGU26-20697 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Socio-Economic Assessment of Co-Located Offshore Wind and Aquaculture Systems 

Matthias Daniel Berg, Johannes Pein, Joanna Staneva, and Ragnar Arnason

With the ongoing energy transition towards renewable energy and away from nuclear power, offshore wind energy has become increasingly important and now represents a central pillar of German energy policy. Consequently, a growing number of offshore wind farms are being constructed in the North Sea. This development renders large marine areas unavailable for traditional activities such as fisheries and other former economic uses, while the water column in the immediate vicinity of the monopile foundations remains largely unused by other sectors. Monopiles interact with the local hydrodynamic environment by modifying wave propagation and attenuating wave energy, yet they do not adversely affect water quality, making these areas potentially suitable for co-use applications, such as offshore aquaculture. For lower-trophic aquaculture, essential nutrients are naturally supplied by the marine environment, and the demand for mussels and macroalgae as food resources is steadily increasing. However, aquaculture production in Germany has so far been dominated by onshore and near-coastal facilities, with offshore cultivation still being limited.

In this study, the socio-economic system (SES) formed by the co-location of an offshore wind farm and aquaculture is analysed using the Ostrom–McGinnis framework. The analysis focuses on the existing offshore wind farm Meerwind, located northeast of Helgoland, which enables the assessment of OWF impacts on the SES based on historical and observational data. This framework allows for the systematic evaluation of how public benefits can be optimised, in particular by enhancing the ecosystem services and socio-economic value generated by offshore aquaculture. By varying and analysing key conditions, such as the precise spatial placement of aquaculture installations, optimal configurations of the SES can be identified. The drivers and feedbacks influencing the SES are quantified using numerical simulations. For this purpose, the hydrodynamic model SCHISM is coupled with the biogeochemical model ECOSMO to simulate environmental conditions relevant for aquaculture growth and to explicitly model mussel production. This integrated modelling approach enables the estimation of public benefits under different SES configurations, thereby providing a quantitative basis for advising industry and policymakers on sustainable co-use strategies within offshore wind farms.

How to cite: Berg, M. D., Pein, J., Staneva, J., and Arnason, R.: Socio-Economic Assessment of Co-Located Offshore Wind and Aquaculture Systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20697, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20697, 2026.

EGU26-21554 | ECS | Posters on site | OS2.3

Enhanced Nearshore Wave Characterization Using Nonlinear Pressure Reconstruction: Applications to Wave Attenuation in Vegetated Coastal Zones 

Saeideh Baghanian, Pal Schmitt, Christian Wilson, and Adam Melor
 

Accurate nearshore wave measurements are essential for assessing coastal protection and the performance of nature-based solutions in vegetated environments. However, conventional approaches face major limitations in shallow and intertidal zones: wave buoys are ineffective where wave-seabed interactions dominate, while wave gauges require complex infrastructure and are vulnerable to damage. Although remote sensing techniques such as radar, cameras, and lidar have been explored, they remain costly and logistically demanding. Pressure sensors provide a robust and cost-effective alternative, but reconstructing surface wave elevation from bottom pressure measurements is challenging in shallow water due to pronounced nonlinear effects.

Linear pressure transfer methods systematically underestimate wave heights and fail to capture nonlinear extreme events, leading to errors in wave energy estimates and attenuation assessments. These limitations are particularly critical in vegetated coastal zones, where accurate wave characterization underpins evaluations of wave attenuation and coastal protection capacity.

This study implements and validates the nonlinear weakly dispersive pressure reconstruction method of Bonneton et al. (2018) for nearshore wave climate characterization. The method reconstructs surface elevation using first- and second-order time derivatives and frequency-domain filtering, providing improved performance under shallow-water conditions.

Pressure sensor arrays were deployed across seven coastal sites in Northern Ireland, spanning sheltered sea loughs to exposed embayments, with deployments capturing storm events with significant wave heights exceeding 0.5 m. Complementary wave tank experiments were conducted to validate hydrostatic, linear, and nonlinear reconstructions against wave gauge measurements over wave periods of 0.9-1.8 s and wave heights of 20-80 mm.

Results show that nonlinear reconstruction yields wave heights up to 56% higher than linear methods under energetic conditions and agrees within 8.4% of wave gauge measurements. Field observations indicate wave energy dissipation upto 18.5% across vegetated transects. The approach enables robust quantification of wave attenuation and supports the evaluation of coastal nature-based solutions across vegetated shorelines.

References

Bishop, C. T., & Donelan, M. A. (1987). Measuring waves with pressure transducers. Coastal Engineering, 11(4), 309–328.

Bonneton, P., Lannes, D., Martins, K., & Michallet, H. (2018). A nonlinear weakly dispersive method for recovering the elevation of irrotational surface waves from pressure measurements. Coastal Engineering, 138, 1–8.

How to cite: Baghanian, S., Schmitt, P., Wilson, C., and Melor, A.: Enhanced Nearshore Wave Characterization Using Nonlinear Pressure Reconstruction: Applications to Wave Attenuation in Vegetated Coastal Zones, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21554, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21554, 2026.

Coastal landforms are continuously reshaped by natural forcings such as typhoons, waves, tides, and sea-level rise, as well as by human interventions including coastal protection structures. Rapid morphological changes can lead to shoreline erosion, retreat, and infrastructure damage, highlighting the need to quantitatively assess both the effectiveness and unintended consequences of submerged breakwaters.

This study investigates short- and long-term morphological responses at Songdo Beach (Busan, South Korea), where a semi-enclosed nearshore zone has been formed by an east–west oriented submerged breakwater system. We integrated Real Time Kinematic (RTK) drone-based surveys with in situ hydrodynamic observations. High-resolution aerial surveys were conducted on six occasions, before and after the landfall of Typhoon Khanun (7 and 10–12 August 2023) and approximately two years later (20 August and 29 September 2025), enabling assessment of event-scale changes and subsequent recovery. In addition, an Acoustic Wave and Current Profiler (AWAC) was deployed inside the breakwater system from November 2023 to August 2024 (~10 months) to continuously measure wave height, wave period, current velocity, and current direction.

The observations indicate that mean current velocities inside the breakwater system were higher than those offshore, likely due to flow acceleration through breakwater gaps and around breakwater heads. After the typhoon, sediment loss was pronounced near the lateral beach sections close to the breakwater ends, whereas the central section in the lee of the breakwater showed net deposition. This spatial heterogeneity suggests that, while the submerged breakwater attenuates wave energy, it also redistributes nearshore currents, enhancing localized erosion–deposition patterns.

By integrating hydrodynamic measurements with high-resolution remote sensing, this study provides a quantitative assessment of how submerged breakwaters influence coastal dynamics and morphological evolution. The results emphasize that coastal protection design should consider not only erosion mitigation but also the risk of secondary erosion and long-term instability. Under increasing extreme wave events and expanding coastal development, these findings support more sustainable and adaptive coastal management strategies.

How to cite: Jeon, G.-S., Ju, H. H., and Lim, H. S.: Assessing the impacts of submerged breakwaters on coastal erosion at Songdo Beach, South Korea, using hydrodynamic observations and remote sensing, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22586, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22586, 2026.

GM9 – Glacial, Periglacial, and Cold Regions Geomorphology

EGU26-2311 | Orals | GM9.1

Sub-monthly to inter-annual Arctic gravel beach change and controlling factors 

Zuzanna Swirad, Agnieszka Herman, and Mateusz Moskalik

Sixteen uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys were conducted along a 2.5 km stretch of coastline of Isbjørnhamna, Hornsund, Svalbard during summer months between 2018 and 2025 to quantify topographic change within a gravel beach neighboring the Polish Polar Station (PPS) from days to years. Spectral wave model of Herman et al. (2025) was used to extract hourly nearshore significant wave height, peak period, energy period and wave energy flux. The model was validated against observational data of Swirad et al. (2023). Storms were extracted as events when significant wave height exceeded 95th percentile. Near-daily high-resolution ice/open water maps of Swirad et al. (2024) were used to create timeseries of ice coverage in the main basin of Hornsund and in Isbjørnhamna. Hourly wave runup was calculated for 10 m alongshore blocks using wave parameters, beach topography and an empirical runup formula developed by Poate et al. (2016) for gravel beaches. Wave runup combined with water level was used to extract timing of wave overtopping and coastal flooding.

We observed a great inter-annual variability in wave and ice conditions with the icy 2019/20 and 2021/22, the stormy 2018/19, 2020/21 and 2022/23, and the moderate 2023/24 and 2024/25. There was a great variability in volumetric coastal change with near-zero change after 7 years. Erosion focused in some hotspots, notably the vicinity of the PPS infrastructure, while the eastern part of the analysed beach experienced net deposition. At the sub-monthly to monthly scales high rates of coastal change were related to beach erosion by moving growlers, development of beach cusps, melting of ice buried under beach sediments and hydrological processes. 

References:

Herman A., Swirad Z.M. & Moskalik M. 2025. Increased exposure of the shores of Hornsund (Svalbard) to wave action due to a rapid shift in sea ice conditions. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene 13(1): 00067. https://doi.org/10.1525/elementa.2024.00067

Poate T.G., McCall R.T. & Masselink G. 2016. A new parameterisation for runup on gravel beaches. Coastal Engineering 117: 176–190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2016.08.003

Swirad Z.M., Moskalik M. & Herman, A. 2023. Wind wave and water level dataset for Hornsund, Svalbard (2013–2021). Earth System Science Data: 15, 2623-2633. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2623-2023

Swirad Z.M., Johansson A.M. & Malnes E. 2024. Extent, duration and timing of the sea ice cover in Hornsund, Svalbard, from 2014–2023. The Cryosphere 18: 895-910. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-895-2024

How to cite: Swirad, Z., Herman, A., and Moskalik, M.: Sub-monthly to inter-annual Arctic gravel beach change and controlling factors, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2311, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2311, 2026.

Permafrost is one of the main components of the cryosphere. Due to global warming, water frozen reservoir shrinking and a large number of natural hazards (debris flows, water quality deterioration, etc.) related to permafrost degradation are increasing. The permafrost mapping of the Gaizi River Basin located in the East Pamir where the significant Karakoram Highway traverses was important for understanding the situation of its water resource and related hazards. Three machine learning models (Artificial Neural Network, ANN; Random Forest, RF; Extreme Gradient Boosting, XGBoost), were trained to generate permafrost probability distribution based on rock glaciers from Chinese Gaofen-1. Rock glaciers are commonly used as direct indicators of mountain permafrost distribution, particularly in alpine regions with limited in-situ data. Sixteen independent factors were used for permafrost distribution mapping that includes elevation, aspect, slope, solar radiation, topographic roughness index, topographic wetness index, profile curvature, distance from rivers, distance to glaciers, distance to water bodies, geology, fault density, LULC, NDVI, precipitation, temperature difference. The performances of the models have been evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and by known rock glaciers. Random Forest outperformed other two models, with Receiver Operating Characteristic curve values of 0.97. The permafrost map covers almost all the rock glaciers (98%), which also shows the permafrost map is reasonable. The permafrost distribution covers 1853 km2, about 16.81% of the total river basin, mainly between 3233 and 5026 m elevation. The results could be used as baseline information for studying the impact of permafrost degradation and its related hazards because of climate warming, which threaten the Karakoram Highway.

How to cite: Liu, Y.: Permafrost distribution mapping using rock glaciers data and machine learning models in the Gaizi River Basin, China, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3822, 2026.

EGU26-4125 | ECS | Orals | GM9.1

Erodibility of frozen riverbed sediments 

Sjoukje de Lange, Jonas Eschenfelder, and Shawn Chartrand

Cryosphere degradation due to climate change results in increased sediment availability, mobilization, and transport (Knight & Harrison, 2012; Lane et al., 2017; Micheletti & Lane, 2016; Beel et al., 2020; Li et al., 2021a; Zhang et al., 2021; Syvitski et al., 2022; Zhang, 2022). The change in magnitude and timing of water delivery and sediment transport alters river patterns (Lafrenière & Lamoureux, 2019; Fortier et al., 2007), such as via increasing channelization (Liljedahl et al., 2016; Li et al., 2021a; Chartrand et al., 2023). Despite the obvious signs of landscape transformation by rivers, the effects of climate change on High Arctic fluvial incision and sediment transport remain poorly quantified due to limited understanding of how thawing substrate, water availability, and erodibility interact.

Although frozen landscapes are expected to erode slower than their temperate counterparts, Eschenfelder et al. (in review) found that frozen riverbeds may erode faster. In their laboratory flume experiments, they observe injections of surface water into a frozen bed of uniform-sized spherical glass beads (D50 of ~1.9 mm), delivering heat and momentum fluxes to the thaw front. This increased subsurface melting and drove development of pressure gradients which enhanced surface erosion. They argue that later in the thaw season, when the upper layer of the bed has thawed in a more homogeneous fashion, water injections into the bed are physically accommodated and hence do not contribute to elevated surface erosion.

The glass bead substrate of Eschenfelder’s experiments has a high porosity (p = 0.4) and permeability, supporting significant hyporheic flow. However, natural sediments vary in size and composition, altering porosity and permeability. Furthermore, sediment size variability affects thawing rate (Gatto, 1995; Costard et al., 2003, 2014) and erosion rate (Einstein, 1950, Mitchener & Torfs, 1996; McCarron et al., 2019; van Rijn, 2020; de Lange et al., 2024).

In the proposed follow-up experiments, we plan to use various mixtures of glass beads (D50 = 0.88, 1.9 and 4.1 mm), and natural sediments, to alter porosity and permeability. The natural sediment distribution will be scaled to reflect substrate compositions observed during past field campaigns to the Canadian Arctic. We hypothesise that, if these water injections into the bed are still present in lower porosity sediments, fine grained beds will erode slower than courser grained beds, despite a lower threshold of motion. Furthermore, experiments with multiple freeze-thaw cycles will be performed, allowing assessment of a potential positive feedback loop where past-seasons’ thaw front undulations and surface topography can impact current season’s flow patterns – imparting “memory” onto the landscape.

With these experiments we will assess erosional mechanisms in a variety of grain sizes, allowing us to further explore the mechanisms of erosion in frozen riverbeds, ultimately aiding the understanding of spatial variability in channel incision in the field.

How to cite: de Lange, S., Eschenfelder, J., and Chartrand, S.: Erodibility of frozen riverbed sediments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4125, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4125, 2026.

EGU26-5849 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

A Physical Model of Permafrost Sorted Stripe Formation in the Canadian High Arctic 

Grace E. Johnson, Shawn M. Chartrand, and A. Mark Jellinek

Hillslopes in the Canadian High Arctic can express curious quasi-linear sorted stripe patterns, physically resembling rills but with no obvious evidence of active particle transport via sustained surface water flows following rainfall or snowmelt. This motivates several questions which at present are little explored. First, how do the physical characteristics of the pattern vary down the hillslope in response to changing hillslope geomorphology (e.g. slope, elevation, etc.)? Second, what mechanism(s) causes sorted stripe patterns to initiate and develop, and what are the roles of freeze-thaw, granular, and fluid-flow-driven processes? Several attempts have been made to model the formation of sorted stripe patterns using rules-based approaches, or analytical models derived from these rules; however, a comprehensive physical model of sorted stripe formation has yet to be developed, and we currently lack even a characterization of how the pattern is distributed across a hillslope.

Here, we present a characterization of the sorted stripe patterning found on a hillslope on Tallurutit (Devon Island), Nunavut and examine topographic controls of hillslope track characteristics. By analyzing topographic lidar data, we find that there is not one preferred cross- or downslope spacing of the stripes; rather, the size and shape of stripes varies down the hillslope. This alludes to the idea that there are several processes at work to form hillslope sorted stripe patterns. We present a physical model of stripe formation involving initial fracturing of the hill due to thermal stresses, heaving from ice lens growth, and mobilization of stones due to the creation of critically-steep topographic gradients and ice needle formation. We motivate this model using the characterization of the sorted stripe pattern distribution, field observations, and an analysis of thermal and tensional stresses.

How to cite: Johnson, G. E., Chartrand, S. M., and Jellinek, A. M.: A Physical Model of Permafrost Sorted Stripe Formation in the Canadian High Arctic, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5849, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5849, 2026.

EGU26-5863 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

Exposed! Paraglacial Drama Unfolding at Hørbyebreen, Central Svalbard 

Divya Nautiyal and Jan Kavan

Central Svalbard experiences one of the fastest warming trends in the Arctic and local glaciers are consequently retreating fast leaving behind vast forefields. As the glacier is not in the vicinity, it is not the glaciers that transforms the forefield but the paraglacial processes that work to continuously reshape them.

Here, we studied paraglacial processes in the Hørbye forefield by quantifying changes in the glacier extent, forefield geomorphology and formation/ drainage of the kettle lakes of the Hørbye glacier since the last mapping conducted in 2009. Aerial photography, UAV-based orthophotos and DEMs and field observations were employed to interpret forefield development.

Results of the study show an increased forefield size of Hørbyebreen since the last mapping in 2009.  The glacier has treated by 101237.4 m2. The area of the kettle lakes underwent a net decrease, with 68% of the total lakes either being drained, shrinking, or disappearing entirely due to sediment infilling from the fluvial plain. We also observed fluvial erosion of glacial landforms such as eskers.

Understanding these changes highlight the central role of paraglacial processes in post-retreat development. As the glacier moves to steeper topography, the retreat is expected to slow down, although the glacier will continue to provide enough water for intensive fluvial processes in the forefield. Widening of the sandur will lead to lateral erosion of the lakes in its vicinity. For the rest of the forefield, hydrological connectivity can reshape the existing network of lakes.

The changes observed between 2009-2024 show the retreat of the glacier front and changes in the geomorphological structures of the forefield. We observed a decline in the number of lakes and increase in the areal extent of the fluvial landforms.

How to cite: Nautiyal, D. and Kavan, J.: Exposed! Paraglacial Drama Unfolding at Hørbyebreen, Central Svalbard, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5863, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5863, 2026.

EGU26-5879 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

Holocene climate variability as reconstructed from 10Be dated glacial and periglacial phases in the Subtropical Andes 

Javiera Carraha, Juan Luis García, Hans Fernández-Navarro, and Dominik Amschwand

Despite major advances in paleoclimatology, key uncertainties remain regarding Holocene climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere, particularly concerning the evolution of the position and intensity of the Southern Westerly Winds (SWW) and their influence on high mountain cryospheric systems. The Subtropical Andes of Chile (30–35°S), located near the northern margin of SWW influence, offer an exceptional geomorphic record derived from glacial and periglacial ice in response to past climatic changes, and therefore suitable for reconstructing Holocene SWW variability.

Well-preserved glacial landforms, such as moraines, have been widely used to reconstruct past periods of increased moisture (e.g. Aguilar et al., 2022; Fernández-Navarro et al., 2023, 2024; García et al., 2024; Sagredo et al., 2017; Zech et al., 2017). In parallel, recent inventories show that the Subtropical Andes of Chile and Argentina host the most extensive periglacial belt in the Southern Hemisphere (Barcaza et al., 2017; DGA, 2022; Masiokas et al., 2020). Rock glaciers, indicative of sustained cold-ground and relatively arid conditions (Azócar & Brenning, 2010), therefore represent a major but still underutilized paleoclimatic archive. Although recent studies have demonstrated the potential of cosmogenic exposure dating of rock glaciers for paleoclimate reconstruction (e.g. Amschwand et al., 2021), this approach has remained unexplored in the Subtropical Andes until now.

Although glacial and periglacial landforms commonly coexist within the same catchments in the Subtropical Andes of Chile (e.g., Aguilar et al., 2022; Carraha et al., 2024), their temporal and morphostratigraphic relationships remain poorly constrained. Consequently, the timing and climatic drivers of glacial and periglacial phases are still mostly unknown (García et al., 2024; Jones et al., 2019), limiting our understanding of the Holocene paleoclimate and its cause. Here we present new 10Be cosmogenic exposure ages from moraines and surface blocks on multi-lobate rock glaciers in the Piedra Valley (30°S) to help constrain the timing and extent of periglaciaton of this valley after the LGM and into the Holocene. This combined glacial–periglacial chronological framework allows us to explore the timing of climatically controlled cryospheric response during the Holocene and their potential relationship with regional hydroclimatic variability. Our results contribute to a better understanding of cryosphere–climate interactions in mid-latitude mountain environments and provide new insights to test proposed hypothesis regarding glacial-periglacial transition at the end of the last ice age, as well as Holocene climate change in the subtropical southern latitudes.

How to cite: Carraha, J., García, J. L., Fernández-Navarro, H., and Amschwand, D.: Holocene climate variability as reconstructed from 10Be dated glacial and periglacial phases in the Subtropical Andes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5879, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5879, 2026.

Climate reconstructions across Quaternary glacial cycles are limited in the southern mid-latitudes by a scarcity of terrestrial records. The Falkland Islands (~51°S) offer a key location for addressing this gap. Falklands block streams or ‘stone runs’ are among the most striking and enigmatic landforms on Earth but, despite over a century of study, their origin, and the role of Quaternary climate change, remains debated. We present new constraints on stone run formation using transects of cosmogenic Be-10 and Al-26 measurements. Twenty-six dual-isotopic exposure ages reveal altitudinal patterns that test two competing models: (1) formation during warm, tropical Tertiary conditions, with minimal Quaternary modification; or (2) production and transport under intensely cold, periglacial conditions entirely within the Quaternary. Our results also inform lingering questions about glacier extent and associated climate reconstructions. Falklands stone runs are arguably the most extensive and best-developed blockfield landscapes globally, providing an ideal testbed for examining formation. Our findings advance understanding of long-term blockfield evolution in unglaciated terrain, with implications for similar landscapes worldwide.

How to cite: Darvill, C. and Bentley, M.: Testing models of Falkland Islands Stone Run formation using cosmogenic nuclide exposure dating, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7140, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7140, 2026.

EGU26-10579 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

Luminescence dating and 3D modelling of a Mid Pleistocene inner-alpine alluvial-talus succession 

Marei Drexler, Diethard Sanders, and Michael C. Meyer

Sedimentary archives from inner-Alpine settings predating the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) are rare due to the strong erosional impact of LGM glaciers on these landscapes. In the Eastern Alps, a key site for reconstructing pre-LGM inner-Alpine environmental conditions is located near Innsbruck (Austria): the so-called Höttinger Breccia. This >1300m -thick sedimentary succession consists of basal lodgement till overlain by a thick sequence of alluvial to talus-slope deposits with intercalated aeolian and lacustrine sediments, capped by LGM moraine. Over a century ago, this succession also provided some of the first evidence for the multiple, cyclical nature of the ice ages.

Despite the significance of this site for reconstructing pre-LGM inner-Alpine environmental conditions, chronological constraints on these sediments remain limited. Previous optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating of quartz provided only minimum age estimates for the Höttinger Breccia because the quartz signals approached saturation. To overcome this limitation, this study applies infrared-stimulated luminescence (IRSL) dating to feldspar, as the IRSL signal saturates at much higher doses than the quartz OSL signal, thereby enabling dating further back in time. We exploit a range of post-IR IRSL (pIRIR) feldspar signals at stimulation temperatures from 110°C to 290°C to systematically investigate feldspar-related issues of anomalous fading and partial bleaching. We (i) present an optimized dating protocol that identifies the IRSL signal providing the best trade-off between signal stability and bleachability; (ii) report preliminary age estimates obtained from samples taken at various stratigraphic depths within the Höttinger Breccia succession; and (iii) integrate these age estimates into a 3D model of the sedimentary succession.

This combined chronological and spatial framework provides a basis for reconstructing Mid Pleistocene paleoenvironmental conditions in an inner-Alpine valley that otherwise preserves almost no geomorphic record of pre-LGM paleoclimate variability.

How to cite: Drexler, M., Sanders, D., and Meyer, M. C.: Luminescence dating and 3D modelling of a Mid Pleistocene inner-alpine alluvial-talus succession, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10579, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10579, 2026.

EGU26-11276 | Orals | GM9.1

Constraining decay of the British-Irish Ice Sheet on Lundy, Celtic Sea, during the Last Glacial Cycle  

David Fink, Phil Hughes, Chris Rolfe, Mark Bateman, Anthony Brown, and Krista Simon

Much has improved about the glacial history of the British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) during the Last Glacial Cycle (MIS 5d) thanks to rich data sets generated by the BRITICE Project.  However, the south-west sector, between the Celtic Sea and Bristol Channel, is challenging because it is largely secured by marine evidence. However, a glacial landscape, preserved on the granitic island of Lundy, exhibits clear evidence of glacial over-printing with remnant transported glacial boulders, glacially-eroded bedrock surfaces, ice scoured tor stumps and erratic gravels. Lundy marks the intersection of ice flow across the eastern boundary of the Celtic Sea and southern extent of the Welsh Ice Cap at the Bristol Channel.  The Celtic Sea transported one of the largest BIIS ice streams and thus has significant implications for understanding rapid deglaciation of large  ice-sheets. Together with the Isles of Scilly, further south by ~125 km, both locations are strategically placed to pin down the southern extent of the history of the BIIS  and answer the question – when during the Last Glacial Cycle did the BIIS overtop Lundy and if so,  did it extend up through the Bristol Channel during the global LGM 27-23 ka yrs ago.  Previous exposure ages ranging from 30-50 kyrs, from Lundy (Rolfe, 2012), notably on bedrock, point to a pre-MIS 3 glaciation (most likely MIS 4) ruling out the conclusion that LGM ice reached Lundy. Given that there is strong evidence (OSL and 10Be dating) for Scilly to have been glaciated during the LGM (Smedley et al 2017), which is also supported by BIIS modelling, debate surrounds assigning Lundy 10Be data to true exposure ages (Carr, 2017). The relatively large age spread possibly resulting from cosmogenic inheritance/erosional irregularities and pegmatite/beryl presence in Lundy granite (Mclintock, 1912) may complicate the interpretation of the exposure ages. 

We have re-visited Lundy and collected 11 new  samples comprising erratic boulders perched on polished bedrock, tor stumps and tops. The tor stumps (tops) would have been the least (most) persistent to preservation of inherited nuclides resetting . The new10Be exposure ages when compared to bedrock ages from Rolfe (2012) should confirm whether the timing of BIIS retreat at Lundy was before or during the LGM. Two OSL samples from cover sands over gravel will provide independent age control.


An interesting aspect of Lundy granite is the presence of beryl, topaz and other insoluble minerals (ie tourmaline). This required considerable care to quantify the intrinsic 9Be concentration. For example, in 3 quartz samples there was sufficient native 9Be to warrant zero addition of 9Be carrier.  Not including a native 9Be contribution would underestimate exposure ages. However, the leaching of meteoric 10Be from these insoluble minerals during quartz dissolution is more of a concern and would result in over estimating exposure ages (Corbett, 2023). The new ages and impact of Lundy granite chemistry for cosmogenic dating will be represented.

Rolfe, QSR, v43, 2012
Carr,  Proc. Geol. Assoc., v128, 2017
Mclintock, Mineral. Magazine, v16, 1912
Smedley, JQS, v32, 2017
Corbett, QG, v73, 2023

How to cite: Fink, D., Hughes, P., Rolfe, C., Bateman, M., Brown, A., and Simon, K.: Constraining decay of the British-Irish Ice Sheet on Lundy, Celtic Sea, during the Last Glacial Cycle , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11276, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11276, 2026.

EGU26-11795 | Orals | GM9.1

Persistent Surface Thermal Signatures Following Ice-Patch Ablation in the Scottish Highlands  

Emma Belhadfa, Barbara Katarzyna Francik, Carla Verónica Fuenteslópez, and Sofya Lebedeva

Present-day periglacial landscapes in mid-latitude mountain regions provide critical analogues for understanding both past cryospheric change and future responses of high-latitude systems to ongoing global warming trends. In the Scottish Highlands, long-lived seasonal ice patches have undergone increasingly frequent and extensive melt events in recent decades, reflecting broader patterns of cryosphere retreat documented across alpine and Arctic environments12. These rapidly changing features offer a testbed for examining how ice-ground interactions evolve during and after ice loss, and how their geomorphological and thermal signatures persist within the landscape34. 

During the Oxford University Foundations Expedition to the Cairngorms, Scotland in August 2025, we conducted a grid-based thermal imaging survey of a recently ablated ice patch hollow called the Sphinx to investigate post-melt surface thermal behavior5. Thermal data was collected using a lightweight handheld infrared camera (HIKMICRO E01), enabling systematic acquisition of high-density surface temperature measurements across the former ice basin, its marginal slopes, meltwater channels, and adjacent control surfaces. Field observations, GPS locations, shading context, and surface characteristics were recorded alongside thermal measurements to support interpretations. 

Measurements demonstrated that, within the historical ice patch hollow, the ground temperature averaged 11.52°C ± 0.60°C, 11.88°C ± 1.85°C colder than the adjacent terrain and 7.68°C ± 1.21°C colder than the ambient air temperature at the time of measurement. Hence, we found that coherent thermal anomalies persist following ice loss, which may reflect the former presence, thickness distribution, and melt history of the ice patch. A mosaic reconstruction of the thermal images demonstrates a clear thermal boundary coincident with the historical ice patch, indicating persistently lower surface temperatures relative to surrounding terrain despite the absence of surface ice. 

By combining field-based thermal imaging with geomorphological context, this study demonstrates how present-day periglacial processes in a mid-latitude mountain setting can inform reconstructions of recent cryosphere change and provide analogues for future high-latitude warming scenarios. The Scotland campaign also serves as a methodological testbed for transferable thermal survey strategies applicable across cold-region environments. The expedition team aims to further explore this methodology in Western Greenland in summer 2026.  

How to cite: Belhadfa, E., Francik, B. K., Fuenteslópez, C. V., and Lebedeva, S.: Persistent Surface Thermal Signatures Following Ice-Patch Ablation in the Scottish Highlands , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11795, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11795, 2026.

EGU26-12165 | Orals | GM9.1

Links between ice dynamics, subglacial hydrology, and sediment flux from glaciers under increased melt conditions 

Ian Delaney, Audrey Margirier, Marjolein Gevers, Matt Jenkin, Tancrède Leger, Ivan Vergara, Julien Seguinot, Guillaume Jouvet, Alan Robert Alexander Aitken, Stuart N. Lane, Frédéric Herman, and Georgina E. King

Warming-driven melt impacts the landscape in glacierized catchments by altering bedrock erosion and the processes that mobilize subglacial sediment, affecting the delivery of sediment to downstream systems. Here, we synthesize insights from sediment export observations, together with numerical modeling experiments that evaluate ice motion, subglacial water flow, and sediment transport as they respond to change hydro-climatic conditions. The synthesis highlights timescale-dependent controls on sediment production, access, and mobilisation processes. During millennial-scale glacial retreat, steeper ice surfaces and warmer basal conditions increase glacier sliding, likely raising potential sediment production rates through bedrock abrasion. At decadal to annual scales, higher melt elevations allow water to access previously stored subglacial material further upglacier from the ice margin, so that sediment export may increase even as ice thins and sediment production rates fall. At event scales, such as during rapid discharge pulses from precipitation events, heatwaves, or floods, can strongly amplify transport capacity because subglacial conduits adjust slowly, causing intense variations in sediment transport capacity. These interacting processes imply that erosion rate estimates depend strongly on the duration of their observational period, potentially biasing observed rates toward pulses or hiatuses. Lastly, we discuss topics where the impact of greater hydro-climatic conditions on glacier erosion and sediment export is less well understood. These include the transport of sediment from ice sheets, along with the export of large sediment sizes as bedload. Finally, we outline how emerging in-situ sensing, novel geochronology, and next-generation models can better link climate forcing to sediment flux across timescales.

How to cite: Delaney, I., Margirier, A., Gevers, M., Jenkin, M., Leger, T., Vergara, I., Seguinot, J., Jouvet, G., Aitken, A. R. A., Lane, S. N., Herman, F., and King, G. E.: Links between ice dynamics, subglacial hydrology, and sediment flux from glaciers under increased melt conditions, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12165, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12165, 2026.

EGU26-13525 | ECS | Orals | GM9.1

Tracer characterization of rock glaciers spring waters in the Eastern Italian Alps 

Enrico Marin, Luca Carturan, Chiara Marchina, Barbara Casentini, Nicolas Guyennon, Laura Marziali, Simona Musazzi, Roberto Seppi, Matteo Zumiani, Stefano Brighenti, Nicola Colombo, Franco Salerno, and Giulia Zuecco

The rapid melting of alpine glaciers is expected to make subsurface ice, including that stored in periglacial formations like rock glaciers (RGs), an important shallow groundwater source for the downstream areas. However, many open questions remain about the ice volume in RGs, its melting rates, hydrological importance, and the quality of water flowing from RGs. This study aims to: i) characterize the geochemistry of RG springs, and ii) assess the variability of environmental tracers in spring waters downstream of RGs with different degree of activity.

We studied springs from intact (ice-embedding) and relict (without ice) RGs, as well as reference springs not influenced by RGs, in six mountain catchments of the Eastern Italian Alps. Sampling campaigns were carried out during two years with different snow and hydrometeorological conditions. While the hydrologic year 2023/2024 was characterized by higher snow cover accumulation and duration, the year 2024/2025 had a shorter accumulation season and most catchments were snow free already in June.

During summer 2024 and 2025, from late June to late September, we conducted sampling campaigns to measure spring water temperature, electrical conductivity (EC), pH, and collect water samples for analyzing stable isotopes of hydrogen and oxygen, major ions, and trace elements. We used automatic samplers to collect samples every 48 hours from one intact RG spring and one relict RG spring to study the temporal dynamics of different tracers.

Springs downstream of relict RGs exhibited lower EC than those from intact RGs. A seasonal isotopic enrichment was observed, likely due to decreasing snowmelt contribution. This seasonal enrichment was more pronounced at higher elevations. Intact RG springs had higher EC and sulphate concentrations compared to relict RGs and reference springs, especially in late summer (September) and in areas underlain by acidic metamorphic rocks (micashists). Water samples collected in 2025 from intact RG springs exhibited higher EC and ion concentrations than those collected in 2024. This contrast underscores the role of seasonal snow and snowmelt in the dilution of solutes released in high-elevation areas, where subsurface ice is likely present.

These initial findings reveal significant geochemical differences between springs from intact RGs and those from relict RGs or reference sites. At some intact RG springs nichel, manganese and sulphate concentrations are not suitable for drinking water, suggesting potential issues for human consumption.

These preliminary results contribute to the limited knowledge of RGs spring water chemistry, stimulating further investigation also including biogeochemical processes eventually involved in the rock-water interface.

This study was carried out within the project PRIN 2022 “SUBSURFICE – Ecohydrological and environmental significance of subsurface ice in alpine catchments” (code no. 2022AL7WKC, CUP: C53D23002020006), which received funding from the European Union NRRP (Mission 4, Component 2, Investment 1.1, D.D. 104 2/2/2022).

How to cite: Marin, E., Carturan, L., Marchina, C., Casentini, B., Guyennon, N., Marziali, L., Musazzi, S., Seppi, R., Zumiani, M., Brighenti, S., Colombo, N., Salerno, F., and Zuecco, G.: Tracer characterization of rock glaciers spring waters in the Eastern Italian Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13525, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13525, 2026.

EGU26-15168 | Posters on site | GM9.1

Distribution of supraglacial landslides in the Southern Andes 

Marek Ewertowski and Aleksandra Tomczyk

Supraglacial landslides constitute an important component of glacier–landscape interactions, with the potential to influence glacier dynamics, mass balance, surface evolution, and sediment transport. From a geomorphological perspective, they contribute to the formation of large, anomalously positioned moraines and may, in some cases, facilitate the transition from glacier ice to rock glaciers. However, the glaciological and geomorphological significance of supraglacial landslides is highly variable and depends on landslide geometry, position relative to glacier accumulation and ablation zones, event timing, and the potential for long-term preservation of deposits.

This study investigates the spatial distribution and timing of large supraglacial landslides (>0.2 km² of deposits) across the Southern Andes. Landslide mapping was conducted using a multi-stage remote-sensing approach. First, potential supraglacial landslide locations were identified using high-resolution satellite imagery. Second, time series of medium-resolution satellite data (Landsat, ASTER, and Sentinel) were analysed to constrain the timing of individual events by estimating the occurrence window length (OWL), defined as the interval between the most recent image without a visible landslide and the oldest image in which the landslide deposit is observed. Third, morphometric characteristics were derived, and landslide locations were analysed in relation to glacier zones.

A total of 334 potential supraglacial landslides were identified, of which 198 deposits larger than 0.2 km² were detected on more than one satellite image between 1984 and 2025. For 59 of these landslides, sufficient time-series satellite imagery was available to constrain the OWL and thus approximate event timing. The results indicate that supraglacial landslides in the Southern Andes are substantially more frequent than previously recognised. The mapped inventory and timing constraints provide a basis for future analyses assessing the impact of individual landslides on glacier dynamics and their broader geomorphological significance.

This research was funded by the National Science Centre, Poland, project number 2021/42/E/ST10/00186

How to cite: Ewertowski, M. and Tomczyk, A.: Distribution of supraglacial landslides in the Southern Andes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15168, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15168, 2026.

EGU26-16984 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

UAV-based thermal mapping for interpreting geomorphological processes in complex alpine environments 

Leona Repnik, Francesco Comiti, Mattia Gianini, Anne-Laure Argentin, Felix Pitscheider, and Stuart Lane

As a result of climate change, temperatures in the European Alps are rising twice as fast compared to the global average, leading to unprecedented glacier retreat. Deglaciating alpine landscapes are considered extremely dynamic, evolving rapidly over space and time. One of the legacies of glacial activity is buried ice, also known as legacy or dead ice, describing ice that survives in the proglacial area for years to decades after glaciers retreat due to isolation from solar radiation and thermal effects by a sediment cover. Buried ice plays an important role in alpine basins, for instance, by providing long-term water storage. It is also likely to be an important influence on geomorphic processes, such as erosion. Quantification of erosion and deposition patterns from DEMs of difference (DoDs) may be problematic if DoDs do not distinguish geomorphic change from buried ice melt out. Such distinction is commonly omitted in studies, as ground-based geophysical measurements (e.g. Electrical Resistance Tomography, ERT) may need to be applied, extremely difficult given the challenges associated with accessing steep alpine terrain and the spatially extensive areas that may need to be measured. The extent of buried ice is therefore likely to be poorly estimated.

Satellite-based thermal remote sensing may provide a solution to this problem. Indeed, as an example, Interferometric SAR may be used to detect to a very high vertical precision the surface changes that suggest buried ice. However, the spatial resolution of such data may be inefficient when the surface changes are complex. Recent developments in drones and thermal sensors include compact drones with high quality thermal sensors, such as the DJI Mavic 3T. Drones have the benefit of (1) providing a higher spatial resolution compared to satellite thermal remote sensing, and (2) covering larger areas, compared to existing methods of buried ice detection, such as ERT.

In this research, a thermal drone was tested to identify buried ice in the Turtmann basin, a rapidly deglaciating Alpine valley in the Canton of Valais (southwestern Switzerland). Areas known to contain buried ice were surveyed. The assessment of the thermal images showed high coherence between cold patches on the images with known presence of buried ice.

This study highlights the potential for thermal drones in assessing and monitoring geomorphological processes in deglaciating environments, with a specific focus on buried ice. The results provide guidelines on equipment, survey design and execution, as well as data analysis for the use of thermal drones in alpine environments. Future research could focus on identifying approaches for validating the method for surveying areas with no prior knowledge on buried ice. There is a huge potential for the use of thermal drones that is yet to be explored.

How to cite: Repnik, L., Comiti, F., Gianini, M., Argentin, A.-L., Pitscheider, F., and Lane, S.: UAV-based thermal mapping for interpreting geomorphological processes in complex alpine environments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16984, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16984, 2026.

EGU26-17096 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

The evolution and insulation effect of two recent rockfalls on the Höllentalferner glacier in the Bavarian Alps: A multi-temporal analysis of volume and morphology using LiDAR and UAV data. 

Till Kohlhage, Toni Himmelstoss, Wilfried Hagg, Manuel Stark, Tobias Heckmann, and Florian Haas

In the context of ongoing glacier retreat and slope destabilisation, rockfalls in high-alpine cirque headwalls are becoming increasingly relevant and constitute an integral component of paraglacial process chains. 

On the Höllentalferner (Wetterstein Mountains, Bavarian Alps), two prominent rockfall events occurred in recent years (2016 and 2024), depositing large amounts of debris onto the glacier surface and forming distinct supraglacial debris bodies. The aim of this study is a quantitative assessment of both events focusing on (i) quantifying the rockfall volumes using multi-temporal surface reconstructions and DoD-based estimates, (ii) assessing how supraglacial debris cover modifies glacier ablation by comparing bare-ice melt with melt beneath debris (i.e., differential ablation), and (iii) characterizing the spatio-temporal evolution of debris-body morphology (extent, thickness and internal redistribution) across consecutive observation epochs.

Methodologically, a multi-temporal DEM-of-Difference (DoD) approach is applied that combines, co-registers, and differences UAV/aerial-image-based SfM photogrammetry with airborne laser scanning (ALS) datasets. For this purpose, RTK-UAV surveys (2023 and 2025) are processed photogrammetrically into point clouds, DEMs and orthomosaics. The DEMs are aligned to stable terrain before DoDs are used to quantify elevation and volume changes.

First results indicate that volume estimates strongly depend on the chosen method: for the 2016 rockfall, estimates of approx. 10,410 m³ (extrapolation from bare-ice melt) and 15,510 m³ (Topo-to-Raster interpolation) are obtained, contrasted by a detachment volume of 5,206 m³. Interpolation-based DoD analyses yield epoch-specific volumes on the order of 19,443–31,519 m³, largely driven by differential ablation between debris-covered and adjacent bare-ice areas (and associated changes in the surrounding glacier surface). For the 2024 rockfall, current estimates amount to 20,171 m³ (extrapolation) and 10,128 m³ (detachment volume). Comparing bare-ice melt with melt beneath debris for the 2016 event indicates a pronounced insulating effect: between 2016 and 2018 (extrapolated), bare ice lowered by 4.3 m, whereas the debris-covered area lowered by only 0.8 m (differential ablation −3.5 m).

The findings highlight (i) the need for a multi-method framework to robustly constrain volumes and associated uncertainties, (ii) the key role of debris-driven melt/settlement processes for interpreting DoD signals on debris-covered glacier surfaces, and (iii) the potential of rockfalls deposits to locally delay glacier melt by supplying insulating debris.

How to cite: Kohlhage, T., Himmelstoss, T., Hagg, W., Stark, M., Heckmann, T., and Haas, F.: The evolution and insulation effect of two recent rockfalls on the Höllentalferner glacier in the Bavarian Alps: A multi-temporal analysis of volume and morphology using LiDAR and UAV data., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17096, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17096, 2026.

EGU26-18716 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

Mapping crevasse-squeeze ridges- defining characteristics for improved understanding and identification of these landforms 

Anna Ranger, Brice Rea, Matteo Spagnolo, Bartosz Kurjanski, Andrew Newton, Danni Pearce, and Harold Lovell

Crevasse squeeze ridges (CSRs) are landforms indicative of glacier surging and ice stream shut down. They form during fast ice flow, when high basal water pressures and extensional ice flow cause hydrofracturing in the base of the glacier and subsequent squeezing/injection of sediment into basal crevasses. When the fast ice flow phase ends, ice stagnates and down wasting of the ice surface occurs. If lateral support is maintained the sediment ridges are preserved as the glacier passively retreats. Geometries of these ridge networks can thus provide insights into subglacial conditions during phases of fast ice flow. This is important because the rapid movement of ice from areas of accumulation to ablation zones, during fast ice flow phases, exposes a greater area of ice to melting having long term impacts on the mass balance of these glaciers.

CSR characteristics have been inconsistently reported in the literature and in some cases have been misidentified. Here we present the first global dataset combining CSR information mined from the literature with new mapping and use this to define CSR characteristics in both surging and ice stream contexts as well as in terrestrial and marine settings. Using ArcGIS Pro, we map ridges from high resolution aerial imagery and digital elevation models, and extract metrics on ridge lengths, network density, and orientations in relation to ice flow direction. CSRs have been mapped at modern surge-type glaciers in Iceland and Svalbard, and in palaeo-landscapes in central Canada, the British Isles, and Northern Europe related to ice stream shutdown. Furthermore, we categorise the data into marine and terrestrial environments because CSRs are often better preserved in marine settings, due to the action of subaerial and meltwater erosional processes occurring on land.

This new dataset provides a representative understanding of CSR morphologies to allow better identification of the landform in the future, which will help to understand subglacial processes beneath fast-flowing ice masses. Understanding basal conditions in any glacial system is challenging due to the difficulties of acquiring direct measurements at the base of the glacier. CSRs represent these basal conditions and can therefore provide insights.

How to cite: Ranger, A., Rea, B., Spagnolo, M., Kurjanski, B., Newton, A., Pearce, D., and Lovell, H.: Mapping crevasse-squeeze ridges- defining characteristics for improved understanding and identification of these landforms, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18716, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18716, 2026.

EGU26-19000 | Orals | GM9.1

Characteristics and evolution of ice-debris complexes in deglaciating mountain environments investigated by remote sensing and in-situ surveys 

Tobias Bolch, Ella Wood, Zhangyu Sun, Daniel Falaschi, Atanu Bhattacharya, Benjamin Robson, Vassiliy Kapitsa, and Lothar Schrott

Ice-debris complexes are compound landforms, including glaciers, debris-covered glaciers and rock glaciers, that exist at the interface between the glacial, periglacial and paraglacial realms. These landforms are common in many mountain ranges on Earth, but the hydrological and geomorphological role of these ice-debris complexes in the context of deglaciating mountain environments is still not well understood. This is in part due to challenges arising from their position bridging different disciplines, categorisations, and research methodologies.

In this talk we present findings from our work based on in-situ investigations (including ground penetrating radar [GPR] and electrical resistivity tomography [ERT)] measurements) and multi-temporal high resolution remotely-sensed image analysis (based on historical aerial images, declassified Corona KH 4 images and contemporary data such as Pléiades satellite images) conducted on selected ice-debris complexes in the Tien Shan, Central Asia and further comparison with examples from the Pamirs, Andes and the European Alps.

Results show that the response of debris-covered glaciers, glacier-connected rock glaciers and talus-connected rock glaciers to climate change strongly differs, partly due to the different sources and amount of debris and ice inputs. The presence and distribution of massive ice varies across geomorphic units and is linked to the types of glacial-periglacial interaction. For example, we identify a significant amount of ice buried beneath debris cover in glacier forefields in transition to rock glaciers and in the glacier-connected rock glacier parts. Debris supply is important in controlling the development and flow activity of the morphological units. The response of rock glaciers to climate change is heterogenous with overall increasing velocities and on average only slight surface elevation changes. Glacier-connected rock glaciers flow on average faster than talus-connected rock glaciers. DEM differencing reveals slight increases in surface elevation at the rock glacier termini while debris-covered glaciers show on average a clear signal of surface lowering and decreasing velocities. This highlights the importance of understanding of the debris-sources and the interplay between the glacial and periglacial components of the ice-debris complexes when considering the hydrological and geomorphic role of these landforms.

How to cite: Bolch, T., Wood, E., Sun, Z., Falaschi, D., Bhattacharya, A., Robson, B., Kapitsa, V., and Schrott, L.: Characteristics and evolution of ice-debris complexes in deglaciating mountain environments investigated by remote sensing and in-situ surveys, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19000, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19000, 2026.

EGU26-19657 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.1

Long-term monitoring of rock glacier displacement - adaptation of methodology in response to new challenges 

Anne Hartig, Martin Stocker-Waldhuber, Bernd Seiser, Lea Hartl, and Andrea Fischer

In recent years, in situ monitoring of rock glacier displacement has become more challenging. Unstable slopes, higher probability of gravitational movement due to destabilization processes and rock fall are negatively impacting the accessibility of research sites. To maintain long-term time series, current monitoring techniques need to be adapted.

One example of a research site affected by this is Äußeres Hochebenkar rock glacier (46°50'0"N, 11°0'30"E, Ötztal Alps, Austria). The rock glacier has been subject to velocity measurements since 1938, making it one of the longest time series worldwide. Differential Global Navigation Satellite System (dGNSS) measurements are carried out since 2007. Aside minor data gaps, velocity data have been available at annual resolution since 1997 from four cross sections and a longitudinal profile. Each profile consists of 6 to 12 individual block positions.

For the majority of the time series, the flow velocity was hardly more than 1 m/a on average. Since 2018, an exponential increase of rock glacier motion has been observed in the lowest section, showing the destabilization of this part of the rock glacier. During the last three years, maximum displacement values at individual blocks increased from 20 m/a to almost 50 m/a in 2024 and 75 m/a in 2025.

Accessing the block profiles in the destabilized section to carry out dGNESS measurements has become challenging. To ensure the continuity of the time-series, UAV surveys have been incorporated in the monitoring program. In 2024 and 2025, multitemporal optical imagery was acquired in addition to dGNSS dataHigh-resolution othormosaics and digital elevation models were derived from the UAV imagery using Structure-from-Motion (SfM) photogrammetry techniques. This enables the calculation of spatially distributed displacement vectors over the whole rock glacier from multitemporal hillshades using image correlation algorithms and provides alternative observations of block displacement.

We present the displacement rates for the years 2024 and 2025 using the most recent workflow, comparing displacement rates from dGNSS measurements with those derived from mapping on high-resolution orthomosaics and image correlation of multitemporal hillshades. We show how dGNSS displacement can be complemented by and compared to UAV-based methods. We try to address the opportunities and uncertainties lying within these approaches for mountain landforms that are reacting quickly to environmental changes, assuming that more and more comparable cases will arise under current and future climatic conditions in high mountain regions.

How to cite: Hartig, A., Stocker-Waldhuber, M., Seiser, B., Hartl, L., and Fischer, A.: Long-term monitoring of rock glacier displacement - adaptation of methodology in response to new challenges, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19657, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19657, 2026.

Frost weathering is a fundamental process controlling bedrock fracturing and rockfall activity in alpine environments, and its understanding requires evaluating the influence of snow cover on the thermal distribution at the bedrock surface (Matsuoka and Murton, 2008; Eckerstorfer et al., 2012; Haberkorn et al., 2017). In the Japanese Alps, characterized by heavy rainfall and snowfall, rock temperature data remain limited compared to the European Alps, which lie in the same mid-latitude zone as Japan. Moreover, long-term monitoring in the Japanese Alps has been confined to areas with relatively low snow accumulation (e.g., Matsuoka, 2019). In this study, we aim to clarify the conditions favorable for frost cracking in the heavy snow region by monitoring rock temperature, maximum snow depth, and snow-cover duration under various snow conditions on Mt. Hakuba (2,932 m a.s.l.) and Mt. Shakushi (2,812 m a.s.l.), located in the northern Japanese Alps.

From October 2021 to September 2025, we continuously monitored rock temperatures at depths mainly of 2 cm, 20 cm, and 40 cm, and locally down to a maximum depth of 120 cm. In addition, aerial surveys were conducted using a Cessna aircraft and UAVs. 3D point cloud models of rock slopes for different seasons were generated from aerial images using SfM/MVS analysis. Maximum snow depth at each sensor location was obtained from point cloud distance calculations between models representing the maximum snow accumulation and the snow-free period when bedrock is exposed. From the rock temperature data, several indices related to frost cracking were calculated, including annual freeze–thaw cycles (Matsuoka, 2002), freezing degree days, the duration of temperatures within the frost cracking window, and thermal gradient conditions (Kellerer-Pirklbauer, 2017). These indices were compared with interannual variations in snow depth and snow-cover duration.

In the results, snow-cover duration varied substantially between years, resulting in pronounced differences in frost cracking indices at each site. In addition, the height of snow cornices formed along ridges was greater than in heavy snow years, even when the overall snow cover duration was short, highlighting strong spatial heterogeneity in snow conditions near ridges. Although longer snow covers tended to raise winter rock temperatures, fractured bedrock sites showed lower temperatures and high freezing degree days. Future changes in frost cracking indices were calculated for each site based on various air-temperature warming scenarios, revealing markedly different trends depending on the scenario. These findings provide valuable insights for assessing present and future frost cracking potential in snow-rich alpine regions of Japan.

How to cite: Sugiyama, H. and Narama, C.: Four-year monitoring of rock temperature and snow conditions relevant to frost weathering in the northern Japanese Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21081, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21081, 2026.

The link between rock glacier velocity and climatic forcing is well established in permafrost research, especially for rock glaciers. This understanding underpins the inclusion of rock glacier velocity as an associated parameter of the Essential Climate Variable “Permafrost” within the Global Climate Observing System since October 2022. In this context, the rock glacier velocity (commonly abbreviated as RGV) is defined as a spatially averaged interannual horizontal velocity time series related to a RG unit or a part of it. However, RGV does not invariably track climatic forcing in a simple, linear manner, which can obscure the climatic signal. In this study, we combine primarily multi-decadal RGV monitoring with long-term observations of ground surface and near-surface temperatures, as well as spring water temperatures, at two sites in the Hohe Tauern, Austrian Alps: the Dösen rock glacier (DOE) and the Hinteres Langtalkar rock glacier (HLK). Both are well-developed, typical alpine rock glaciers. Each features a dominant rock glacier spring that drains runoff from the landform and its contributing hydrologal catchment. Annual in-situ geodetic surveys began in 1995 (DOE) and 1999 (HLK). Ground surface and near-surface temperatures, along with several meteorological variables, have been monitored using miniature temperature loggers and standard meteorological sensors since 2006 at both sites. Spring water temperature monitoring started in 2016 at DOE and 2017 at HLK. Our results indicate a clear relationship, in part, between RGV and temperature (air, ground, water). However, this relationship weakens or disappears where geodetic points are not, or are only partially, representative of permafrost creep. Moreover, summer spring-water temperatures can be damped by heat exchange with internal ice, such that melt of the ice component buffers water peak temperatures. These findings underscore the importance of parallel, co-located monitoring of ground, water, and air temperatures (and other climatic parameters), alongside carefully designed geodetic sampling that targets zones of active permafrost creep.

How to cite: Kellerer-Pirklbauer, A. and Kaufmann, V.: Velocities of rock glaciers and their surface, near surface and hydrothermal regimes in the Austrian Alps: Clear signs of climate change?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21296, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21296, 2026.

The Southern Alps of New Zealand are regarded as an important key site for studying Holocene glacier chronologies in the mid-latitudinal southern hemisphere. Consequently, most global reviews of the topic include respective records and utilise them for (intra-)hemispheric correlations and palaeoclimatic analyses. These particular approaches are, however, closely connected to three common paradigms: (i) There is a representative and reliable compilation of glacier records for the entire Southern Alps, (ii) the European Alps are a well-suited and appropriate northern hemispheric glacier region for any comparative purpose, and (iii) air temperatures are the sole relevant driver of glacier variability in New Zealand.

In a recent study 10Be cosmogenic radionuclide dating (CRN) and Schmidt-hammer exposure-age dating (SHD) were applied to extent the regional database and obtain surface-exposure ages from moraines on Holocene glacier forelands in eastern Aoraki/Mt.Cook National Park, Arrowsmith Range, and Liebig Range. Re-calculated published 10Be CRN age data were, alongside previously obtained results from both central Aoraki/Mt.Cook and Westland/Tai Poutini National Parks, utilised for a comparative chronological analysis. Unlike previous approaches glacier records were differentiated by sub-regions of the Southern Alps and interpreted accordingly. Neither amalgamation of individual glacier records nor non-differentiated compilation took place. This multi-proxy approach was combined with detailed geomorphological mapping and assessment to tackle the regionally specific 'geomorphological uncertainty' potentially interfering with all subsequent interpretation of chronological data.

Chronological analysis and subsequent palaeoclimatic interpretation worked well if they were restricted to sub-regional levels. In the Arrowsmith Range strong glacial activity and multiple advances during the Early Holocene could be confirmed, with a similar pattern likely for the Liebig Range. A correspondence to frequent Early Holocene cold periods indicated by rock glacier activity in the Ben Ohau Range is obvious. But in contrast to these drier eastern sub-regions no evidence for Early Holocene advances exists for central and western sub-regions. At Classen Glacier in eastern Aoraki/Mt.Cook National Park, geomorphologically reliable morainic evidence shows a significant Mid-Holocene advance at c. 5.4 ka. It is possibly corresponding to evidence from Mueller and Tasman Glaciers. This advance coincides with an intensification of westerly airflow established around that time. Together with a 'Little Ice Age'-maximum during the mid-/late 18th century CE in Aoraki/Mt.Cook National Park and recent advances at the end of the 20th century it also indicates that (seasonal) atmospheric circulation patterns, in particular the intensity of westerly airflow, and precipitation should not be ignored as climatic factors influencing glacier variability. Finally, with its pronounced West-East precipitation gradient potentially responsible for different sub-regional glacier records, the Southern Alps share several glaciologically relevant climatic conditions with the maritime Scandinavian Mountains, but hardly with the generally drier European Alps.

Further refinement of the Holocene glacier history for the Southern Alps constitutes a significant challenge. It requires a more detailed understanding of both the variability of individual glacier records and the need for spatial differentiation before attempting to compile a representative Holocene glacier chronology for the entire Southern Alps. Furthermore, certain common paradigms need to be critically reviewed and re-considered. 

How to cite: Winkler, S.: Re-visiting New Zealand's Holocene glacier chronology - Time to overcome certain paradigms and consider spatial differentiation?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1403, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1403, 2026.

EGU26-2778 | Posters on site | GM9.2

Late Quaternary paraglacial and periglacial deposits in the high mountains of Taiwan 

Margot Böse and Robert Hebenstreit

During the last Pleistocene glacial cycle, Taiwan's high mountain ranges were glaciated in the uppermost altitudinal zone with a calculated lowering of the equilibrium line altitude (ELA) of ca. 1500 m down to 2800 m (Hebenstreit et al. 2025). Glacial erosion of the upper valley reaches formed trough-valleys. Lateral and terminal moraines as well as outwash deposits were deposited at or near the ice margins, respectively, at different stages of the glaciation. Subsequently, slope processes and fluvial activity have been reworking those sediments and reshaping those landforms during and after the glaciation to adjust the relief gradually to its present shape. These processes are called paraglacial processes (Ballantyne 2002).

 

In the Hsueh Shan range, we mapped a sequence of terraces composed of cobbles and boulders at the confluence of the Taoshan river and the Chijiawan river at an altitude of ca. 1900 m, which corresponds with the assumed lowest altitude of the last-glacial glacier termini. Surface exposure dating with paired in-situ produced terrestrial cosmogenic nuclides (TCN) of meter-sized boulders on the terrace surfaces gives evidence of enhanced glacio-fluvial activity, presumably reworking glacial deposits during the last phase of the glaciation at the Pleistocene-Holocene transition. 

 

Lowering of the altitudinal zones and consequently of surface processes during glacial times entails periglacial processes on slopes not affected by glacial or fluvial processes (Böse 2006). This includes frost weathering and solifluction. The periglacial zone is presently restricted to altitudes above 3500 m in Taiwan.

 

A sediment profile at ca. 2050 m on the slope above the glacio-fluvial terraces shows a stratification typical for cover beds in mountainous periglacial environments (Kleber & Terhorst 2024): Above debris of local underlying bedrock follow layers enriched by aeolian dust. The sediment has been partly reworked and mixed by solifluction. Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) ages of the silty matrix confirm its formation during the last glacial cycle; and a lowering of the periglacial altitudinal zone of 1500 m can be inferred.

 

References

Ballantyne, C. K., 2002: Paraglacial geomorphology. Quaternary Science Reviews

21 (18–19), 1935-2017.

 

Böse, M., 2006: Geomorphic altitudinal zonation of the high mountains of Taiwan. Quaternary International 147 (1), 55-61.

 

Hebenstreit, R., Hardt, J., Böse, M., 2025: The lowermost last‐glacial equilibrium line altitude in the Taiwanese Central Mountain Range and its implications for the palaeoclimate and the tropospheric moisture transport in East Asia. Journal of Quaternary Science 40 (5), 831-846.

 

Kleber, A., Terhorst, B. (eds.) 2024: Mid-Latitude Slope Deposits (Cover Beds)

2nd Edition. Elsevier Science

How to cite: Böse, M. and Hebenstreit, R.: Late Quaternary paraglacial and periglacial deposits in the high mountains of Taiwan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2778, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2778, 2026.

EGU26-5367 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Lateglacial glaciers dynamics in the Mont Blanc foreland (Northern French Alps): new chronological and geomorphological constraints, with model-data coupling in the Arve Valley 

Quentin Portal, Christian Crouzet, Jean-François Buoncristiani, Tancrède Leger, Guillaume Jouvet, and Julien Carcaillet

Despite several studies (Coutterand, 2010 and references theirin) over the past decades, the chronology of glaciers advance and expansion at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and subsequent retreat during the Lateglacial period in the northern French Alps remains poorly constraint, as data are still too scarce and sometimes contradictory. In this area, the interactions between major glaciers, such as the Rhône and Arve glaciers in the north and Isère glacier in the south, represent major challenges for reconstructing post-LGM glacial dynamics. Here, we present a new framework for understanding Lateglacial glacial dynamics in the Arve Valley, integrating 18 new 10Be exposure ages from glacially-transported boulders, with revised geomorphological mapping based on LiDAR-derived DEMs.

Our results indicate that the deglaciation of the Arve Valley initiated with a phase of glacial thinning around 17.6 ka BP. The Arve glacier subsequently thinned progressively but persisted in the downstream sector of the valley until the end of a readvance phase at 15.9 ka BP. Then, the glacier retreated by over 30 km within 300 years, before withdrawing toward the Mont-Blanc massif ahead of the Younger Dryas readvance.

These findings are integrated with previous studies (Wirsig et al., 2016; Roattino et al., 2022; Serra et al., 2022) conducted in the Northwestern Alps, including the Lyon piedmont lobe and the Mont-Blanc massif area, to propose a regionally consistent deglaciation scenario. To further refine our understanding, we confront 10Be exposure ages with numerical simulations using the Instructed Glacier Model (IGM, Leger et al., 2025). A dual approach enables a critically assessment of both methods: calibration of exposure ages corrections (e.g., erosion rates, snow shielding) using a model run, and inversely, using calculated exposure ages to constrain the resulting model. This will enable us to analyse possible deglaciation rates and spatial patterns in the Northwestern Alps, as well as the influence of key parameters such as geography, topography, and climate.

Coutterand, S. 2010: Etude géomorphologique des flux glaciaires dans les Alpes nord-occidentales au Pléistocène récent : du maximum de la dernière glaciation aux premières étapes de la déglaciation. PhD thesis. Université Savoie Mont-Blanc.

Leger, T. P. M., Jouvet, G., Kamleitner, S., Mey, J., Herman, F., Finley, B. D., Ivy-Ochs, S., Vieli, A., Henz, A. & Nussbaumer, S. U. 2025: A data-consistent model of the last glaciation in the Alps achieved with physics-driven AI. Nature Communications 16, 848. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56168-3.

Roattino, T., Crouzet, C., Vassallo, R., Buoncristiani, J.-F., Carcaillet, J., Gribenski, N. & Valla, P. G. 2022: Paleogeographical reconstruction of the western French Alps foreland during the last glacial maximum using cosmogenic exposure dating. Quaternary Research 111, 68–83. https://doi.org/10.1017/qua.2022.25.

Serra, E., Valla, P. G., Gribenski, N., Carcaillet, J. & Deline, P. 2022: Post-LGM glacial and geomorphic evolution of the Dora Baltea valley (western Italian Alps). Quaternary Science Reviews 282, 107446. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107446.

Wirsig, C., Zasadni, J., Christl, M., Akçar, N. & Ivy-Ochs, S. 2016: Dating the onset of LGM ice surface lowering in the High Alps. Quaternary Science Reviews 143, 37–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2016.05.001.

How to cite: Portal, Q., Crouzet, C., Buoncristiani, J.-F., Leger, T., Jouvet, G., and Carcaillet, J.: Lateglacial glaciers dynamics in the Mont Blanc foreland (Northern French Alps): new chronological and geomorphological constraints, with model-data coupling in the Arve Valley, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5367, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5367, 2026.

EGU26-5511 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.2

Freeze-thaw cycles investigate weathering properties of different lithologies used in 10Be exposure age dating in the Eastern Alps 

Gerit E.U. Griesmeier, Andreas Hausenberger, Cosmin Nacu, Jürgen M. Reitner, Sandra Braumann, Stephanie Neuhuber, and Daniel P Le Heron

During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), many glaciers in the Eastern Alps terminated in narrow inneralpine valleys resulting in a limited amount of datable landforms. At the former Enns and Mur Glaciers, boulders, at or close to laterofrontal moraine ridges were dated with cosmogenic 10Be. Boulders at the Mur Glacier are composed of weathering-resistant pegmatite gneiss, whereas quartzbreccia/greywacke was the only suitable boulder lithology in the Enns Glacier region. This lithology consists of large quartz components within a fine matrix and is more easily affected by weathering. Ages inferred from 10Be concentrations in pegmatite gneisses (Mur Glacier) are around 20 ka, in accordance with other ages around the Alps. In contrast, Enns Glacier boulders yielded surprisingly young ages between 14-17 ka. In order to obtain plausible LGM ages via erosion corrections from the 10Be concentrations, a 30 cm thick surface layer would need to be removed (if the boulder was at the surface since deposition). In order to understand, if such a large amount of material can be removed from the quartzbreccia, we applied freeze-thaw cycle experiments to both lithologies. For the experiment, we produced four cubes, roughly 2x2x4 cm in size, three of quartzbreccia and one of pegmatite gneiss. Each of the quartzbreccia cubes has a different thickness of weathering crust (0-4 cm) with abundant holes and cracks. Their mineralogical composition is quartz, carbonate, and phyllosilicates with a preferential orientation. All cubes were dried, weighted and their volume determined and afterwards they were subjected to over 100 freeze-thaw cycles. To simulate moisture and rain, the cubes were thawed in a water bath at a constant temperature of 20 °C.  All cubes were photodocumented before the test, roughly every three weeks over a 4 months period, and after the test. CT scans were made of one quartzbreccia cube before and after the test to better visualise structural changes within the cube. The freeze-thaw cycles show that the quartzbreccia cubes weather much more intense than the pegmatite gneiss. No visual changes were detected in the latter, whereas quartzbreccia cubes constantly changed. Water seems to enter the cubes following pathways along the aligned sheet silicates. These delicate minerals are then destroyed and once enough matrix is removed, larger quartz crystals fall out, which is nicely seen on the photos. Overall, this process seems to result in a rather continuous loss of material, but varies in different cubes and even on different planes of the cubes. As a result, cosmogenic 10Be is removed constantly. Additionally, the nature of discontinuous weathering results in an inhomogeneous 10Be production due to edge effects resulting in loss of 10Be at the rim of a raised quartz pebble. In summary, the freeze-thaw cycles show that the quartzbreccia weathers much faster than the pegmatite gneiss and therefore the age difference could at least partly be explained. Therefore, caution is required when dating conglomerates, breccias or similar lithologies with cosmogenic 10Be.

How to cite: Griesmeier, G. E. U., Hausenberger, A., Nacu, C., Reitner, J. M., Braumann, S., Neuhuber, S., and Le Heron, D. P.: Freeze-thaw cycles investigate weathering properties of different lithologies used in 10Be exposure age dating in the Eastern Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5511, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5511, 2026.

A detailed morphometric and modelling-based analysis was conducted on 197 palaeocirques across the western Putorana Plateau, Central Siberia, to refine reconstructions of mountain glacier extent and associated palaeoclimatic conditions during the last major phase of glaciation. Previous work in the region quantified cirque geometry and inferred palaeo-equilibrium line altitudes from cirque floor elevations. Here, these geomorphological constraints are integrated with physically based glacier reconstructions using the PalaeoIce 2.0 model to simulate ice thickness, surface geometry, and glacier extent for individual cirques.

The cirques display mean widths of approximately 1000 m and mean lengths of 936 m, forming near-circular, amphitheatre-like landforms indicative of sustained glacial erosion. Cirque heights range from 111 to 591 m, reflecting both variability in erosional intensity and topographic controls. Strong positive correlations between length, width, and height (L×W: 0.758; L×H: 0.610) indicate proportional scaling of cirque dimensions. Mean cirque slopes are 23.5°, with steep headwalls reaching up to 80°, while more than half of cirque areas are characterised by gentler slopes associated with overdeepened floors, where tarns are frequently present.

Cirque floor altitudes range from 447 to 1568 m, providing first-order constraints on former glacier geometry. PalaeoIce 2.0 reconstructions indicate a mean palaeo-equilibrium line altitude of approximately 658 m, corresponding to a depression of ~1042 m relative to present conditions. Modelled glacier geometries are consistent with extensive, topographically confined mountain glaciers developed within individual cirques during the Last Glacial Maximum. Associated palaeoclimate estimates suggest mean summer air temperatures of approximately −1.5 °C and annual precipitation of ~634 mm to sustain such glaciation.

These results demonstrate the value of combining cirque morphometrics with numerical ice-flow modelling to refine palaeoglacier reconstructions in high-latitude mountain regions. The PalaeoIce 2.0 simulations provide an independent, physically based framework for evaluating cirque-derived palaeoclimate inferences and for improving understanding of mountain glacier behaviour along the margins of larger ice-sheet systems.

How to cite: Oien, R. and Lee, E.: Integrating cirque morphometrics and numerical modelling reconstructions in Putorana, Central Siberia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10021, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10021, 2026.

EGU26-11933 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.2

Reconstructing the Quaternary glaciation of the central European uplands and its palaeoclimate implications 

Cristina I. Balaban, Marco Nieslony, David Krause, Zbyněk Engel, Marek Křížek, Julien Seguinot, Harry Zekollari, and Martin Margold

During the Pleistocene ice ages, Central Europe formed a mostly unglaciated corridor between the Fennoscandian Ice Sheet and the Alpine ice complex. The mountains of this region hosted small ice masses at the time. However, the extent, timing and climate conditions under which glaciers existed, as well as their erosional imprint on the landscape remain poorly understood. Solving these challenges is important for understanding the impact glaciation may have had on the distribution of biota and permafrost, which, in turn, can be used to reconstruct former human migration routes in Central Europe. This project aims to reconstruct the past glaciation of the Central European uplands and its palaeoclimate implications, focusing on the mid-elevation mountains in the region, such as the Bohemian/Bavarian Forest, the Fichtel Mountains, the Ore Mountains, and the Sudetes.

Firstly, we aim to identify and date former ice extents and determine the style of glaciation through geomorphological mapping of glacial depositional and erosional landforms and their radiometric dating with terrestrial cosmogenic nuclides and optically stimulated luminescence. Secondly, we will conduct morphometric analyses and geophysical surveys to determine the degree of glacial erosion of cirques and valleys and assess the influence of plateau surfaces as potential snow or ice accumulation areas. Finally, we will apply a numerical glacier model (Parallel Ice Sheet Model) to identify the degree of temperature cooling and precipitation increase or decrease from present-day to grow glaciers that match the mapped and dated extents. Thus, an understanding of past glaciation and climate over Central Europe during the Pleistocene will be produced, with a wide relevance for the palaeoclimatology, ecology, and archaeology research communities. This poster will introduce the project and present initial results.

How to cite: Balaban, C. I., Nieslony, M., Krause, D., Engel, Z., Křížek, M., Seguinot, J., Zekollari, H., and Margold, M.: Reconstructing the Quaternary glaciation of the central European uplands and its palaeoclimate implications, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11933, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11933, 2026.

EGU26-12599 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Quantifying topoclimatic control on glacier Equilibrium Line Altitudes at the regional and global scale 

Lukas Rettig, Matthias Huss, and Marin Kneib

Reconstructions of glacier Equilibrium Line Altitudes (ELAs) from geomorphological evidence are often the only source of quantitative palaeoclimatic information in mountainous regions. The ELA is the average altitude of zero net mass balance and divides a glacier into an accumulation and an ablation area. While primarily controlled by summer temperature and winter precipitation, the position of the ELA is also frequently modulated by local topoclimatic factors, such as shading, supraglacial debris cover, avalanching or wind-driven snow redistribution. As a result, there can be substantial differences of several 100 meters between ELAs of neighbouring glaciers within the same climatic region. If such topoclimatic controls are not accounted for, this can introduce notable biases into ELA-based palaeoclimate reconstructions.

To better constrain the effect of topoclimatic control on glacier ELAs at the regional to global scale, we present the results of a comprehensive data analysis based on the Randolph Glacier Inventory (RGI), version 7.0. We compare glacier-specific ELAs calculated through the Accumulation Area Ratio and Area-Altitude Balance Ratio methods to a variety of topographic parameters, such as the amount of received solar radiation, the curvature of the ice surface and the topographic openness of the terrain. We show that there is a strong correlation between local ELA differences and some of these parameters and use a machine-learning tool to predict this ELA offset using only a digital elevation model and a glacier outline as input. This tool can be used to assess the topographic bias related to any calculated ELA and has the potential to lead to more reliable palaeoclimate reconstructions in a variety of settings.

How to cite: Rettig, L., Huss, M., and Kneib, M.: Quantifying topoclimatic control on glacier Equilibrium Line Altitudes at the regional and global scale, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12599, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12599, 2026.

EGU26-13373 | Posters on site | GM9.2

A new low-latitude, high-elevation cosmogenic beryllium-10 production rate from the Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda 

Margaret Jackson, Nathan Anderson, Meredith Kelly, James Russell, Andrea Mason, Sloane Garelick, Alice Doughty, Bob Nakileza, Laura Hutchinson, George Geier, and Alan Hidy

Cosmogenic nuclide surface-exposure dating has emerged as a key tool in glacial geomorphology. Accurate application of the technique relies first on establishing local nuclide production rates using independently dated calibration sites. Certain regions of the world, such as the low latitudes, host few existing calibration sites. Developing local production rate calibrations in the low-latitudes is therefore a crucial first step for robust application of surface-exposure dating in these regions, particularly as cosmogenic nuclide production is theoretically more sensitive to changes in Earth’s magnetic field in the low-latitudes. Here we present a new local cosmogenic beryllium-10 production rate from the equatorial Rwenzori Mountains of Uganda based on radiocarbon dating of basal sediments from the moraine-dammed Lake Mahoma (~21.3 kyr BP; ~2,900 m asl). We also present the results of a systematic investigation of the performance of different parameters used to scale production rates spatially and temporally (e.g., scaling frameworks, geomagnetic field reconstructions, atmospheric models) using two public online calculators and limiting radiocarbon age data from nearby Lake Kopello (~4,000 m asl) in the Rwenzori. Our results highlight the sensitivity of low-latitude, high-elevation cosmogenic nuclide production to discrete parameters and underline the need for additional low-latitude production rate calibration sites.

How to cite: Jackson, M., Anderson, N., Kelly, M., Russell, J., Mason, A., Garelick, S., Doughty, A., Nakileza, B., Hutchinson, L., Geier, G., and Hidy, A.: A new low-latitude, high-elevation cosmogenic beryllium-10 production rate from the Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13373, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13373, 2026.

EGU26-13791 | Orals | GM9.2

Examining the nature and timing of deglaciation in Britain: new evidence from the Arenigs, Brecon Beacons and South Wales Valleys 

Philip Hughes, Oliver Thomas, Christopher Darvill, Peter Ryan, and David Fink

New 10Be exposure ages from the Arenig mountains, North Wales have been obtained to complement 36Cl ages and help constrain the timing of deglaciation in NE Wales. The last phase of cirque glaciation is dated to the Younger Dryas and this is consistent with previous assumptions of deglaciation in Wales. In South Wales, in the Brecon Beacons, the last cirque glaciers were higher than those in the north, which is consistent with increasing cirque altitude with lower latitude. Radiocarbon dating from bogs inside of moraines in these cirques also supports a Younger Dryas age for the last phase of glaciation. However, further south in the South Wales Valleys, the last former cirque glaciers were at some of the lowest altitudes in Wales. The glaciers occupied cirques that are lower than in the nearby Brecon Beacons and these cirques represent an anomalous population of low-lying cirques compared with the rest of Wales. Reasons for this are either because 1) wetter conditions existed the South Wales Valleys than the rest of Wales leading to lower cirque glaciation during the Younger or 2) the last cirque glaciers were present and formed moraines prior to the Younger Dryas, possibly when the Welsh Ice cap covered Wales north of the Brecon Beacon watershed divide. Ongoing work will apply 10Be exposure dating from moraine boulders and 14C dating from bogs inside of moraines in the cirques of the Brecon Beacons and South Wales Valleys to test these hypotheses further. 

How to cite: Hughes, P., Thomas, O., Darvill, C., Ryan, P., and Fink, D.: Examining the nature and timing of deglaciation in Britain: new evidence from the Arenigs, Brecon Beacons and South Wales Valleys, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13791, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13791, 2026.

EGU26-14454 | Orals | GM9.2

A multiproxy speleothem-based approach to reconstructing alpine glaciation beyond the limits of geomorphological evidence 

Jonathan Baker, Alexandre Honiat, Peter Wynn, Gina Moseley, Regina Mertz, and Christoph Spötl

The sensitivity of alpine glaciation to climatic warming is underscored by global reductions in ice mass over the last century and accelerated losses observed in recent decades. Given the dependence of local populations, infrastructure, and ecosystems on reliable snowpack and meltwater supply, the forecasted demise of many mountain glaciers critically motivates investigations into the dynamics underlying glacial retreat and advance under past boundary conditions. However, the timing and extent of glacial limits are progressively less well constrained through geologic time, particularly in mountain regions, due to the inevitable loss of geomorphic indicators through subsequent glacial advance and erosion. Secondary mineral deposits in some alpine caves offer a unique solution to glacial reconstructions, because warm-based ice cover allows the cave system to remain unfrozen with active speleothem growth. Importantly, the loss of soil cover and presence of glacial ice induces an abrupt switch from a carbonic-acid to a sulfuric-acid dominated system in caves hosted by impure carbonate rocks, which can be detected through geochemical analysis of radiometrically dated speleothems. While this category of ‘subglacial speleothems’ has long been described, only recently has a thorough multiproxy approach been developed and tested, which can robustly identify the timing and dynamics of glaciation over alpine cave sites. In addition to key changes in the stable-isotope composition of carbon (δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O), the dominance of sulfuric-acid dissolution leads to an increase in speleothem sulfate, often by more than an order of magnitude, which may be accompanied by a decrease in the δ34S of sulfate due to enhanced sulfide oxidation. Glacial weathering processes are captured by certain trace elements in speleothem calcite, whereas the redox evolution of infiltrating waters (reflecting the hydrological balance of surface and subglacial meltwaters) is reflected in the oxygen-isotope composition of speleothem sulfate. Finally, U-series dating (U-Th and U-Pb) allows for accurate geochronological constraints, sometimes with per mil precision, throughout the Quaternary and beyond. Herein, we present case studies from the European Alps and Western Caucasus that successfully document the advance and retreat of warm-based glaciers without reference to surficial deposits and landforms. We further discuss uncertainties associated with the site-specific behavior of geochemical proxies that may limit their application to some glacial reconstructions.

How to cite: Baker, J., Honiat, A., Wynn, P., Moseley, G., Mertz, R., and Spötl, C.: A multiproxy speleothem-based approach to reconstructing alpine glaciation beyond the limits of geomorphological evidence, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14454, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14454, 2026.

EGU26-14826 | Posters on site | GM9.2

Distal Cirque Contribution to the Northern Cordilleran Ice Sheet, Yukon Territory  

Brent Ward, Derek Cronmiller, Jessi Steinke, Jeffery Bond, and Michel Lamothe

Yukon Territory has been repeatedly affected by the northern Cordilleran Ice Sheet (NCIS). Although termed an ice sheet, it is better described as an ice complex, with quasi-independent lobes originating from mountainous areas around the border of the Yukon. This ice complex produced irregular, digitate glacial limits largely on the plateau area of central Yukon, at the eastern edge of unglaciated Beringia. These limits have broadly followed a pattern of progressively diminished extent. It is likely that variable precipitation across the source areas of these lobes affected their extent and timing during various glacial cycles. The growth model of the NCIS is contingent on ice from numerous cirques and ice fields in the source areas eventually amalgamating into these large, coalescent, ice lobes. What is unclear is the contribution of cirque and valley glaciers from the distal mountainous areas near the limits of glaciation. This research describes the contribution of cirque and valley glaciers in two areas at or near the limit of glaciation from MIS 6-2.

 

Ruby Range in southwest Yukon was affected by the Saint Elias lobe. It encompasses the limits of MIS 2, 4 and 6 glaciations. Stratigraphic analysis paired with 10Be surface exposure dating indicates extensive local ice production from cirques and plateau surfaces during MIS 2. During early MIS 2, local valley glaciers advance to the edge of the range but had retreated up valley during inundation by the St. Elias lobe, likely due to local precipitation reduction. These alpine ice centres were responsive to deglacial climatic fluctuations and hosted significant re-advances during the Older Dryas during rapid retreat of the St. Elias Lobe despite their location in the rain shadow of the St. Elias Mountains. The MIS 4 limit is slightly more extensive than the MIS 6 limit, likely because local ice growth contributed significantly to this portion of the St. Elias Lobe. The record and limit of the MIS 6 glaciation is poorly constrained here but 150 km to the NW, MIS 6 is 4 km more extensive than 4.

 

Granite Creek is in Gustavus Range in central Yukon at the MIS 2 limit of the Selwyn lobe. It was completely overrun during MIS 6, but cirque glaciers were extensive early enough that the Selwyn lobe did not inundate local cirque valleys. Stratigraphic studies indicate extensive MIS 4 cirque glaciation but provide no evidence of a proximal Selwyn lobe. During MIS 2, cirque glaciers near the margin were partially overrun by the Selwyn lobe. A tongue of the Selwyn lobe blocked Granite Creek forming a lake, and cirque glaciers terminating in the lake advanced due to floating ice margins. These limits are not reflected in the geomorphic record; well-defined MIS 2 moraines are recessional from this maximum.

 

This research indicates peripheral ice accumulation could contribute to the NCIS. However, stratigraphic studies indicate that peripheral ice sources in many cases were asynchronous with advances from primary source areas, likely due to variations in precipitation caused by the expansion of the CIS.

 

How to cite: Ward, B., Cronmiller, D., Steinke, J., Bond, J., and Lamothe, M.: Distal Cirque Contribution to the Northern Cordilleran Ice Sheet, Yukon Territory , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14826, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14826, 2026.

EGU26-16061 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Glacial record and 36Cl cosmogenic dating in the Nevados de Chillán Volcanic Complex, Northern Patagonia 

Sofía Navas, Alfonso Fernández, Edilia Jaque, Lewis Owen, Paula Figueiredo, and Nathan Stansell

Andean landscapes contain key paleoclimate records of the Southern Hemisphere. However, many mountain regions in the Andes remain scarcely investigated in detail. In this study, we present an analysis of the Nevados de Chillán Volcanic Complex (NCVC), in Southern Chile (37ºS), aiming at unveiling the potential of this landscape to register past climatic conditions. This site is within a region of Temperate-Mediterranean climate transition (TMT; 35.5°–39.5°S), which comprises most of the Southern Volcanic zone (SVZ) of the Andes, that host the most active volcanoes of the cordillera, almost all of them are ice-capped. These volcanoes witnessed the multiple expansions and retreats of the Patagonian Ice Sheet (PIS) during Pleistocene glaciations and of smaller mountain glaciers during the Holocene, reflecting local climatic variations. Our findings show the NCVC preserves a recent and diverse glacial record, as identified with a detailed geomorphological mapping (1:20.000). The elevation and preservation of glacial deposits and scoured bedrock point to multiple glacial advances after the Last Glacial Maximum. Current analysis of ages obtained with 36Cl dating of andesitic boulders atop moraines support field observations and geomorphological interpretations, with different episodes from Early-Middle Holocene until the last centuries. The oldest measurements in could represent late glacial advances, which also occurred in central Andes and Patagonia. Ages from frontal moraines are coeval with the Little Ice Age, consistent with results of recent studies in adjacent volcanic areas. From lateral moraines dispersed age results suggest persistent glacial activity since the last millennia until 200 years ago. The younger ages are supported by historical accounts from 19th century that document glacial extent comparable with the location of sampled boulders.  Overall, these results should be interpreted in light of uncertainties related to geomorphological mapping and especially with chronological constraints.  Despite these limitations, the integrated approach adopted here provides a useful framework to identify regional-scale patterns of glacier fluctuations and to assess their sensitivity to climatic variability during the Late Pleistocene–Holocene.

How to cite: Navas, S., Fernández, A., Jaque, E., Owen, L., Figueiredo, P., and Stansell, N.: Glacial record and 36Cl cosmogenic dating in the Nevados de Chillán Volcanic Complex, Northern Patagonia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16061, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16061, 2026.

EGU26-18100 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.2

Towards Reconstructing Ice-Dynamical Holocene Glacier Fluctuations  

Marijke Van Cappellen and Harry Zekollari

Paleoclimatic evidence suggests that during the Holocene Climatic Optimum , glacier extent in many regions was substantially reduced or absent despite temperature conditions comparable to those observed today. This apparent discrepancy raises questions about the controls on glacier persistence over centennial to millennial timescales and the role of climate history, variability, and transient adjustment processes.  

In this work, we take first steps into investigating the evolution of glacier ice masses across the Holocene using a thermo-mechanical ice flow modelling framework. By exploring glacier response across key Holocene climate intervals, including periods of warming and cooling, we aim to examine how prior climate states, rates of change, and long-term disequilibrium may influence glacier extent under similar mean conditions. This approach provides a long-term context for present-day glacier evolution and offers insight into why modern glaciers may differ from their earlier Holocene counterparts under comparable climatic forcing. 

How to cite: Van Cappellen, M. and Zekollari, H.: Towards Reconstructing Ice-Dynamical Holocene Glacier Fluctuations , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18100, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18100, 2026.

Numerical models simulating potential future climate schemes are tested against different proxy-based reconstruction of paleoclimate and must be finely tuned. In the north Atlantic region, records indicate that the Last Glacial Termination was interrupted by rapid, high-amplitude reversals (Heinrich Stadial 1, Younger Dryas) during which temperatures got back to nearly ice-age cold conditions.
These events are thought to be year-round cooling periods and could be close analogues for future climate change in the north Atlantic region. Terrestrial glacial deposits give a high resolution vantage on abrupt shifts but remain poorly investigated. Previous studies based on surface exposure dating on glacial landforms show that glaciers retreats occurred within HS1 and YD, contradicting the prevailing models. Thus mapping palaeo-mountain glaciers former extend, dating their retreat and reconstructing their successive palaeo-equilibrium lines altitude allow to determine whether this pattern is a consensus for the northern hemisphere palaeo-glaciers. This approach also provides information on the timing and magnitude of past climate change. This study is based on the west coast of Ireland directly impacted by westerlies, located downwind of the North Atlantic Ocean and which contains key sites where palaeo-mountain glaciers let the footprints of their passage. Here, we present the first results  from the Geologic Perspectives on Abrupt Climate Change (GeoPAC2) project: Strengthening Ireland’s capacity for projecting future change. The new beryllium-10-dated glacier records reveals phase of ice retreat occurring within HS1. It questions the rising seasonality hypothesis which suggests an increase of summer temperatures during melting season. The results of this work will provide useful quantitative data for investigate North Atlantic climate variability and improve both climate and glaciological models.

How to cite: Roignot, A. and Bromley, G.: Palaeo-glaciers archives in western Ireland as a vantage on abrupt shifts of the Last Glacial Termination , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18404, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18404, 2026.

EGU26-18543 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.2

Refining the history of changes in glacier geometry since the LIA at selected sites across the Austrian Alps  

Larissa von Römer, Harald Zandler, Lea Hartl, Marcela Violeta Lauria, Wolfgang Schöner, and Jakob Abermann

Information on past glacier states is fundamental for improving projections of future glacier evolution under ongoing climate change. In this study, we present a 170-years reconstruction of glacier area and volume changes of five glaciers providing comprehensive regional representation of the Austrian Alps, covering the period from the Little Ice Age (LIA) maximum (~1850) to the present. LIA glacier extents are derived from the national moraine-based LIA glacier inventory and complemented by historical topographic maps, terrestrial oblique photographs, historical orthophotos, and modern digital elevation models (DEMs) as references. 

We evaluate glacier geometry and its temporal changes at specific, data-constrained time points between the LIA maximum and the first comprehensive Austrian glacier inventory in 1969 by using monoplotting and DEM differencing techniques. Monoplotting intersects terrestrial photographs with DEMs to extract georeferenced glacier outlines from oblique photographs, for example. This approach allows us to derive glacier front variations or even approximate glacier areas at times where observational records are lacking. Historical DEMs were generated from scanned topographic maps, co-registered with modern elevation data, and used to compute volumetric changes. These multi-source datasets enable the reconstruction of glacier extents and ice-surface topography for several dates between the LIA and the first Austrian glacier inventory in 1969.  

Results show that, across all glaciers studied, area decline rates increased around the 1940s relative to the period between end of LIA (~1850) to the 1940s, coinciding with periods of positive summer air-temperature anomalies, particularly during the 1940s. Between approximately 1975 and 1990, decline rates decreased for most glaciers, reflecting the cooler period of the 1970s and 1980s. Whereas most glaciers stabilized or even temporary advanced around that period, Niederjochferner exhibited strong glacier area loss, consistent with front position measurements of the Austrian Alpine Club (Österreichischer Alpenverein, ÖAV). Relative area decline rates are generally larger for smaller glaciers. While the area of Gepatschferner, one of Austria’s largest glaciers, has decreased by around 30% since 1850, the medium-sized glaciers (< 6 km2 at LIA) have lost at least 45% of their LIA area. Despite its northward orientation, the Niederjochferner shows the strongest area reduction with over 70% since LIA. In contrast, the Mullwitzkees shows the lowest relative area retreat (≈45%) since LIA, even though it is the only southward facing glacier in this study. 

Ongoing work uses aerial imagery of high quality for its time, acquired by the US Army in 1945 covering the entire Austrian Alpine region, to reconstruct glacier extents and volumes. By generating orthophotos and DEMs, we aim to create a new national glacier inventory that can be used in various research fields. The extended time series of glacier volume and area change can provide valuable calibration and validation data for glacier models, such as the Integrated Glacier Model (IGM), enabling three-dimensional surface reconstruction and forward simulations under various climate scenarios.  

How to cite: von Römer, L., Zandler, H., Hartl, L., Lauria, M. V., Schöner, W., and Abermann, J.: Refining the history of changes in glacier geometry since the LIA at selected sites across the Austrian Alps , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18543, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18543, 2026.

EGU26-19769 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Validation Practices in Mountain Palaeoglacier Modelling 

Augusto C. Lima, Sjur Barndon, David M. Chandler, Li Yingkui, and Suzette G. A. Flantua

Numerical palaeoglacier modelling is being applied to mountain glacier systems worldwide to investigate past ice dynamics, climatic controls, and glacier–climate interactions.  At present, there is no overview or consensus framework for evaluating the performance of these models, nor agreed standards for determining whether simulated glacier distribution and geometry are plausibly reconstructed through time.

To assess how palaeoglacier models in mountains are being validated and evaluated, we conducted a systematic review of 94 coupled mass-balance–ice-dynamics palaeoglacier models worldwide. For each study, we recorded validation approaches (visual, quantitative, and/or statistical), the glaciological attributes evaluated (extent, area, ice thickness, mass balance, ice flow, glacier distribution), the validation datasets used (direct geomorphological evidence versus previous model outputs), and the spatial structure of validation (point-, line-, polygon-, or grid-based). We also synthesised validation workflows to document the datasets, metrics, and decision criteria employed.

Our results show that the methodological design used to validate model outputs vary considerably between studies. We found that 80% of reviewed studies incorporate visual evaluation of model outputs to some extent, and 43% rely exclusively on subjective visual interpretation. A further 4% of studies do not perform any form of model validation or evaluation. Most studies validate glacier length (89%), whereas 48% of cases validate only one individual model output. Geomorphic reconstructions are used as validation datasets in only 27% of studies, indicating that most validation workflows rely on mapped glacial landforms. Because glacier length and glacial landforms dominate validation strategies, point- and line-based features constitute the majority of spatial validation data, with polygon- or grid-based approaches remaining comparatively rare.

We observe that the interpretation of model performance often remains subjective and reliant on the judgement of a limited number of research authors, which hinders reproducibility and intercomparison across studies. This reliance on subjective visual interpretation reflects persistent challenges in palaeoglacier model validation that are not being solved by existing tools and workflows designed to measure model-data fit. Our review indicates that uneven geomorphic evidence coverage, positional uncertainty between mapped landforms and simulated ice margins, resolution mismatches between geomorphic data and model outputs, chronological dating uncertainties, parameter uncertainty, and ‘equifinality’ (i.e., where multiple parameter combinations can yield similarly plausible glacier geometries) within glacier models collectively hinder robust quantitative validation.

Therefore, we propose a probabilistic, equifinality-aware validation framework that integrates geomorphically based reconstructions, multiple model outputs (e.g., ice extent, ice thickness), temporal steps (e.g., LGM and present-day), and performance metrics (e.g., overestimation, underestimation). Our approach evaluates ice cover as a probability field derived from an ensemble of acceptable simulations, explicitly acknowledging parameter non-uniqueness of equifinal modelling outputs. This approach identifies spatial patterns of robust agreement and persistent uncertainty, avoids subjective selection of a best-fit simulation, and enables domain-wide validation that captures spatial and temporal heterogeneity in glacier behaviour, thereby providing a more transparent and reproducible basis for evaluating palaeoglacier model–data fit.

How to cite: Lima, A. C., Barndon, S., Chandler, D. M., Yingkui, L., and Flantua, S. G. A.: Validation Practices in Mountain Palaeoglacier Modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19769, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19769, 2026.

EGU26-19840 | Posters on site | GM9.2

Interactions between trunk and local glaciers in distal Alpine valleys (southeastern Alps, Italy) 

Alessandro Fontana, Camilla Vidi, Giovanni Monegato, and Sandro Rossato

During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the European Alps were occupied by an extensive glacial network in which major trunk glaciers interacted with smaller tributary glaciers. In several areas, local glaciers flowed in directions opposite to those of trunk glaciers, particularly in distal sectors characterized by complex topography and high precipitation. Despite their likely widespread occurrence, the dynamics, the peculiar morphologies and specific related depositional facies of these glacier–glacier interactions remain poorly constrained.

In the southeastern Alps (Italy), the glacial system was dominated by the Adige trunk glacier. Regional-scale reconstructions have defined glacier geometry, flow paths, and Equilibrium-Line Altitudes across the Adige and Astico valleys, including an ELA of ~1580 m for the Fiorentini glacier (Monegato et al., 2024). However, these reconstructions primarily address trunk glacier behavior, leaving the interactions with local valley glaciers largely unexplored.

This study focuses on valleys where the Adige trunk glacier interacted with local glaciers descending from adjacent massifs, with the two ice bodies flowing in opposite directionsunder conditions of high orographic precipitation. The Terragnolo Valley represents a key example, where the presence of the distal Adige glacier, is documented by moraines at elevations of ~1400 m a.s.l., and were it interacted with local glaciers descending from the Monte Pasubio massif (~2200 m a.s.l.). Similar geomorphological configurations are found also in the Vallarsa and Ossaria valleys, enabling a comparative, valley-scale analysis within the same glacial system.

In the Terragnolo Valley, the interaction zone is marked by a thick glacigenic succession extending for ~10 km upstream, dominated by locally derived carbonate clasts, with only minor contributions from lithologies typical of the trunk glacier. This sedimentary pattern indicates a complex interaction between the two ice bodies and raises key questions regarding ice-flow coupling, relative timing of glacier advances, and the degree of dynamic independence of local glaciers during the maximum extent of the trunk glacier.

Overall, the studied valleys highlight how interactions between trunk and local glaciers in distal sectors can generate complex dynamics and sedimentary architectures, providing new constraints for reconstructing Alpine glacier dynamics and the distribution of glacigenic deposits in the tributary valleys.

How to cite: Fontana, A., Vidi, C., Monegato, G., and Rossato, S.: Interactions between trunk and local glaciers in distal Alpine valleys (southeastern Alps, Italy), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19840, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19840, 2026.

EGU26-20278 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Are ice-contact lacustrine sediments in the Eastern Alps capable of constraining pre-LGM ice-stream network dynamics?  

Benjamin Spitaler, Alfred Gruber, Jürgen M. Reitner, and Michael C. Meyer

Mountain glaciers represent sensitive recorders of climate variability across a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. While their Lateglacial and Holocene dynamics are comparatively well constrained, glacier extent and behaviour prior to the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) remain poorly documented in many mountain regions. In the Eastern Alps, the timing and magnitude of glacier advances during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 4 and MIS 3 are still debated, despite numerical glacier models predicting repeated pre-LGM advances into the Alpine foreland. This knowledge gap largely reflects (i) the scarcity of suitable terrestrial archives capable of recording such advances, (ii) the fact that organic material for radiocarbon dating is generally rare or absent in glacial settings and (iii) geomorphological evidence such as moraines is commonly eroded, reworked, or overprinted by subsequent glacier advances.

This study examines successions of ice-dammed glaciolacustrine sediments preserved in Alpine tributary valleys as alternative terrestrial archives for reconstructing pre-LGM glacier dynamics in the Eastern Alps. Ice-dammed lakes form when advancing trunk glaciers block the outlet of smaller tributary glaciers, creating temporary sediment traps that enable glaciolacustrine deposition. These ice-contact sediments record glacier advances and can survive multiple glacial cycles.

We focus on glaciolacustrine successions as ice-margin indicators and present a research approach that combines detailed sedimentological investigations with luminescence geochronology. The sedimentary architecture and stratigraphic relationships of ice-dammed sediments and associated delta complexes provide spatial constraints on an interconnected system of valley glaciers, including minimum ice-surface elevations and relative glacier extent. Chronological control is obtained using optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) and infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) dating of fine-grained quartz and feldspar (4–11 μm), respectively. Methodological challenges related to partial signal resetting are addressed using adapted bleaching-plateau tests [1], increasing confidence in the luminescence-based age constraints.

Our initial results from inneralpine sites indicate glacier advances which potentially reached into the Eastern Alpine foreland during MIS 4 and eventually MIS 3c, implying that glacier extent prior to the LGM was potentially more dynamic and spatially extensive than previously assumed. These results are consistent with numerical glacier model predictions [2].

From a methodological point of view, we conclude that (i) precise dating of ice-dammed lacustrine sediments enables reconstruction of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the associated ice-stream network, and (ii) luminescence-based lacustrine dating might complement geomorphological and cosmogenic-nuclide methods focused on lateral and frontal moraines used to delineate former ice margins.

 

References

1. Reimann, Tony; Notenboom, Paul D.; De Schipper, Matthieu A.; Wallinga, Jakob (2015): Testing for sufficient signal resetting during sediment transport using a polymineral multiple-signal luminescence approach. In: Quaternary Geochronology 25, S. 26–36. DOI: 10.1016/j.quageo.2014.09.002.

2. Jouvet, Guillaume; Cohen, Denis; Russo, Emmanuele; Buzan, Jonathan; Raible, Christoph C.; Haeberli, Wilfried et al. (2023): Coupled climate-glacier modelling of the last glaciation in the Alps. In: J. Glaciol. 69 (278), S. 1956–1970. DOI: 10.1017/jog.2023.74.

How to cite: Spitaler, B., Gruber, A., Reitner, J. M., and Meyer, M. C.: Are ice-contact lacustrine sediments in the Eastern Alps capable of constraining pre-LGM ice-stream network dynamics? , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20278, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20278, 2026.

EGU26-21654 | ECS | Orals | GM9.2

Palaeoglaciations in the Polar and Subpolar Ural Mountains. 

Bartosz Kurjanski, Matteo Spagnolo, Irina Bushueva, Iestyn Barr, Brice Rea, Olga Solomina, and Stanislav Kutuzov

The Ural Mountains form a major physiographic boundary between the East European Plain and West Siberia, both repeatedly glaciated during the Pleistocene by the Barents–Kara ice sheet. Although the present-day topography reflects significant glacial modification, the extent, chronology, and interaction of mountain glaciers with the Barents–Kara ice sheet remain poorly constrained. Correlation of glacial and interglacial deposits across the range is hindered by incomplete sedimentary records, contrasting palaeoclimatic conditions, and limited chronological control, which collectively obscure regional glacial reconstructions.  This study presents an extensive mapping exercise of hundreds of moraines in the northern Urals. These landforms are then used to reconstruct palaeoglacier equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs) to assess glacier distribution and synchroneity of moraine formation. ELA trends along the Urals are analysed to evaluate whether, and where, montane ice caps developed during the last major glaciation. Furthermore, palaeo-ELA data are used to link former ice margins to dated moraines in the Polar Urals, providing new insights into the spatial and temporal dynamics of montane glaciations south of the Arctic Circle. The findings indicate that  the E-W asymmetry in the hypsometry of the Urals exerted  the primary control on the development of the piedmont glaciers on the lowlands. Furthermore, Glacier reconstructions combined with geomorphological evidence favour the existence of extensive montane ice caps over the Urals with moisture sourced from extensive ice dammed lakes  locates on both sides of the mountain range.

How to cite: Kurjanski, B., Spagnolo, M., Bushueva, I., Barr, I., Rea, B., Solomina, O., and Kutuzov, S.: Palaeoglaciations in the Polar and Subpolar Ural Mountains., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21654, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21654, 2026.

This study advances our understanding of Quaternary glaciation in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau by integrating geomorphic evidence with numerical ice sheet modeling to constrain paleoclimate and ice dynamics. We focus on the Haizishan Plateau, a key region with well-preserved landforms (cirques, U-shaped valleys, moraines) and cosmogenic nuclide chronology indicating major glaciations during MIS 2 and MIS 6. Using these geomorphic and chronological constraints, we first reconstructed the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) ice margin and then applied the PaleoIce flowline model to estimate paleo-ice thickness and surface elevation. These independent geomorphic reconstructions were then compared to the results of three-dimensional paleo-ice sheet simulations performed with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM), which were driven by inferred paleoclimate conditions.

The PISM simulations indicate an LGM characterized by a temperature depression of ~4°C and precipitation levels 60–70% of modern values. The model successfully replicates the regional ice cap evolution, showing limited glacial extent during MIS 3 and restricted advances in MIS 4. Critically, the simulated ice configuration aligns well with the geomorphically reconstructed evidence, including glacial lineation patterns, landform zonation, and overall extent, validating the model's performance. Our findings demonstrate the power of combining geomorphic reconstruction with dynamical modeling to refine the glacial and climatic history of high-mountain regions.

How to cite: Fu, P. and Li, Y.: Modelling Haizishan paleo ice caps in the SE Tibetan Plateau during the last glaciation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21690, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21690, 2026.

EGU26-2284 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Ice shelf retreat decouples Piglet Glacier from the Pine Island catchment and amplifies dynamic mass loss 

Byeong-Hoon Kim, Changhyun Choi, Choon-Ki Lee, Ki-Weon Seo, Won Sang Lee, Ji Sung Na, Sukyung Yoon, Clare Eayrs, Bemjamin Wallis, Anna Hogg, Hamish Pritchard, and Pierre Dutrieux

Piglet Glacier, formed by ~20% area loss of the Pine Island Ice Shelf in 2017-2020, provides a compact analogue for testing how ice‑shelf damage and retreat alters inland glacier dynamics and drainage-basin mass balance. We use Sentinel‑1 feature‑tracking (October 2014~) and CryoSat‑2 (July 2010~) interferometric swath altimetry to monitor change on Piglet Glacier through to May 2025, quantifying both the propagation of ice speedup and the thickness change response. Relative to a 2015-2017 baseline, speed near the grounding line increased by ~40%, with acceleration propagating ~50 km inland with no resolvable lag, indicating efficient transmission of reduced buttressing into grounded ice. Firn‑corrected altimetry reveals a concurrent intensification of dynamic thinning: the basin‑integrated dynamic volume‑loss rate rose from ~2.9 to ~4.5 km3 yr-1 (a 60% increase). Downstream, post‑calving acceleration was concentrated along pre‑damaged shear margins, and subsequent loss of shear‑margin mélange in 2024-2025 promoted further mechanical decoupling. Sustained shear‑margin attrition and frontal retreat are fragmenting the Pine Island basin system and accelerating mass loss from Piglet Glacier. This example provides a tractable benchmark for improving projections of West Antarctica’s near‑term sea‑level contribution. Future modelling studies should include shear‑margin damage, tributary detachment, and rapid inland transmission of buttressing loss, to improve process‑level constraints.

How to cite: Kim, B.-H., Choi, C., Lee, C.-K., Seo, K.-W., Lee, W. S., Na, J. S., Yoon, S., Eayrs, C., Wallis, B., Hogg, A., Pritchard, H., and Dutrieux, P.: Ice shelf retreat decouples Piglet Glacier from the Pine Island catchment and amplifies dynamic mass loss, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2284, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2284, 2026.

Low-lying deltaic regions across the world are increasingly transforming into “sinking landscapes” under the combined influence of sea-level rise, land subsidence, cryosphere change, and intensifying hydro-climatic extremes. This study examines human resilience in Arctic and Asian deltas through a comparative assessment of adaptive capacities, with a detailed case study from the Indian Sundarbans, one of the most climate-exposed mangrove delta systems globally. Although Arctic deltas and Asian tropical deltas differ markedly in climate, geomorphology, and socio-economic context, both are experiencing accelerated environmental change that threatens livelihoods, settlements, and ecosystem stability.

The research adopts an integrated socio-hydrological framework, combining geospatial analysis, secondary climate and hydrological datasets, and community-level vulnerability indicators. Arctic delta regions are analysed in terms of permafrost thaw, coastal erosion, and diminishing sea-ice protection, while the Sundarbans case highlights subsidence, cyclonic storm surges, tidal flooding, salinity intrusion, and sediment deprivation. In the Sundarbans, adaptive capacity is assessed through livelihood diversification (fishing, forest-based activities, and eco-tourism), seasonal and distress migration, mangrove-dependent ecosystem services, and community-based disaster risk reduction mechanisms.

Comparative analysis reveals parallel vulnerability pathways across Arctic and Asian deltas, including high dependence on natural resources, limited infrastructure, and governance challenges that constrain long-term adaptation. However, distinct adaptation strategies emerge. Arctic communities exhibit resilience through mobility, flexible settlement patterns, and indigenous ecological knowledge, while Sundarbans communities rely on ecosystem-based adaptation, collective coping practices, and incremental livelihood adjustments. Despite these strategies, both contexts face limits to adaptation as environmental change outpaces institutional and economic support systems.

The findings underscore that resilience in sinking landscapes is not solely determined by physical or technological interventions but is deeply embedded in social relations, cultural practices, and access to environmental resources. By foregrounding the Sundarbans as a representative Asian delta case, this study contributes to a comparative understanding of human adaptation across climatic extremes. The research offers policy-relevant insights for sustainable delta management, climate adaptation planning, and climate justice, emphasizing the need for locally grounded yet globally informed strategies to enhance resilience in vulnerable deltaic futures.

Keywords: Human resilience; Adaptive capacity; Sinking landscapes; Sundarbans delta; Arctic deltas; Socio-hydrology; Climate change adaptation; Delta vulnerability; Ecosystem-based adaptation

How to cite: Laha Salui, C.: Human Resilience in Sinking Landscapes: Comparing Adaptive Capacities across Arctic and Asian Deltas, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3296, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3296, 2026.

EGU26-4165 | Orals | GM9.3

Geomorphic and climatic controls on moraine building and preservation in the Southern Alps Kā Tiritiri o te Moana 

Ann Rowan, Karlijn Ploeg, David Egholm, Chris Clark, Vivi Pedersen, Stephanie Mills, and Tim Barrows

Glacier margins fluctuate in response to climate change and often record these changes in the landscape by building ice-marginal (terminal and lateral) moraines. Glacial landscapes are therefore a potentially valuable archive of terrestrial palaeoclimate change. Typically a cooling climate causes glaciers to expand and warming causes glaciers to shrink. However, the dynamic glacier response time and the influence of high-relief mountainous topography on glacier dynamics complicates this behaviour, such that ice-marginal moraines are not always a straightforward record of palaeoglacier or palaeoclimate change. In tectonically active landscapes, such as the Southern Alps Kā Tiritiri o te Moana of Aotearoa New Zealand, high rates of hillslope erosion deliver large volumes of sediment to glaciers, leading to the formation of supraglacial debris layers that further decouple glacier behaviour from climate change.

We use the higher-order ice-flow model iSOSIA to simulate changes in erosion, ice extent and thickness in the response to Late Quaternary climate change and the resulting formation and preservation of moraines in a synthetic mountainous landscape. Our results show that the rate of palaeoclimate change relative to a glacier’s response time determines the geometry, number, and position of ice-marginal moraines, that glaciers can build distinct moraines in the absence of climate change, and that the distance from the glacial maximum may not represent the chronological order of moraine formation. While moraines can be preserved despite erosion by various surface processes and by being overrun during subsequent glaciations, moraine sequences frequently contain gaps that could be misinterpreted as representing periods of climate stability. We apply this model to Franz Josef Glacier Ka Roimata o Hine Hukatere to reconstruct glacier evolution and moraine building in the Southern Alps Kā Tiritiri o te Moana during the Last Glacial Maximum and subsequent deglaciation.

How to cite: Rowan, A., Ploeg, K., Egholm, D., Clark, C., Pedersen, V., Mills, S., and Barrows, T.: Geomorphic and climatic controls on moraine building and preservation in the Southern Alps Kā Tiritiri o te Moana, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4165, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4165, 2026.

EGU26-5783 | Orals | GM9.3

Using 137Cs measurements to detect changes in sedimentation rates in a floodplain area of northern Norway. Preliminary results of a field sampling campaign 

Paolo Porto, Michal Habel, Halina Kaczmarek, Monika Szymańska-Walkiewicz, and Marta Brzezińska

Floodplain sediment records may provide important information on soil erosion and deposition rates over large catchments and for different time windows. In this context, the use of anthropogenic and geogenic radiotracers has recently attracted increasing attention for their ability to act as sediment markers and to reflect the environmental impacts due to variation in land use and recent climate changes. 137Cs is one of the most employed radiotracers for sediment chronology due to its easy detectability in the environment and to its strong ability to be retained by sediments in depositional areas. 137Cs activity in sediments reflects the temporal fallout occurred in the area and, as such, it proved to be a very effective indicator to reconstruct the trend of soil erosion and sedimentation rates during the last 6-7 decades. In this contribution, a floodplain area in northern Norway was identified as a ‘pilot site’ to explore possible anthropogenic impacts and climate change effects on deposition rates from uncultivated sites. Sediment cores collected in the area were analysed for 137Cs content and provided evidence of Chernobyl fallout. This result made it possible to obtain information on sedimentation rates for different time windows (i.e. 1963-1986 and 1986-2024) and suggested an increase of sedimentation rates during the last 4 decades.

How to cite: Porto, P., Habel, M., Kaczmarek, H., Szymańska-Walkiewicz, M., and Brzezińska, M.: Using 137Cs measurements to detect changes in sedimentation rates in a floodplain area of northern Norway. Preliminary results of a field sampling campaign, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5783, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5783, 2026.

EGU26-6893 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Correlating contributors to glacial morphometric signatures in the DEM topography of the European Alps’ crystalline massifs 

Isabel Wapenhans, Peter van der Beek, Pierre Valla, and Xavier Robert

Repeated extensive Pleistocene glaciations of the European Alps have imposed a spatially heterogeneous imprint on Alpine topography. Physics-based frameworks of glacial erosion at the catchment scale explain prominent overdeepened topography in some areas, but mixed or subdued topographic signatures in others, with differences in coupled climatic, surface, and lithospheric factors that enhance or modulate glacial erosion potential. Yet, systematic orogen-scale connections between input glacial forcings and resultant observable morphometric features remain limited, and the spatial heterogeneity of glacial topographic reshaping remains poorly understood.

We target the prominently glaciated crystalline massifs of the Eastern (Hohe Tauern) and Central (Aar) and Western (Mont Blanc) Alps, which share rapid Neogene exhumation, resistant lithologies, and high local relief, yet exhibit intra-massif morphometric contrasts: steep, glacially overdeepened valleys adjacent to less glacially modified catchments. Our comparison addresses two key questions: Why do certain areas display more pronounced glacial reshaping than others despite widespread Last Glacial Maximum ice coverage? Which forcings (climatic, geodynamic etc.) dominate the development of end-member glacial morphometries, and do these inputs vary between and within the studied massifs?

We derive classical topographic and valley specific metrics from the ESA Copernicus 30-m resolution DEM using established geospatial tools, treating them as measurable landscape metrics. We use random forest regression analysis, drawing on model-derived glacial indicators, landscape-derived variables, modern uplift rates and time-integrated measurements such as exhumation and catchment-wide denudation rates, to identify the strongest predictors of glacial signatures.

Preliminary results underscore the interplay of geodynamic preconditioning and climatic modulation in generating distinct glacial fingerprints. This aligns with the findings of a suite of Alpine site-specific works using thermochronology, cosmogenic nuclides, and numerical modeling to investigate similar questions at a local scale, where these factors are spatially more uniform. Our ongoing work refines the statistical framework outlined and tests for possible process feedbacks. Advancing an orogen-scale understanding of climate-tectonic interactions in mountain landscape evolution can aid our understanding of the implications for sediment fluxes, geohazards, and ecological responses in mountain enviroments.

How to cite: Wapenhans, I., van der Beek, P., Valla, P., and Robert, X.: Correlating contributors to glacial morphometric signatures in the DEM topography of the European Alps’ crystalline massifs, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6893, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6893, 2026.

EGU26-7365 | ECS | Orals | GM9.3

Global patterns of stable isotope signatures across cryosphere and hydrological components of glacierized catchments 

Edison Edu Jara Tarazona, Melanie Vital, Andrew Wade, Janie Masse-Dufresne, Aurel Persoiu, Marjan Temovski, Luzmilla Dàvila Roller, Francisco Fernandoy, Jeonghoon Lee, Bakhriddin Nishonov, Edson Ramirez, Zarina Saidaliyeva, Maria Shahgedanova, Pu Tao, Polona Vreca, and Yuliya Vystavna

Glacierized catchments play an important role in regional and global water resources by storing, releasing, and redistributing freshwater. Stable water isotopes (SWI, δ¹⁸O and δ²H) are widely used to trace these processes, providing information on moisture sources, elevation and temperature effects, subsurface storage, and mixing between cryosphere and non-cryosphere components. They also allow quantifying the contributions of the cryosphere and hydrological component to the streamflow. Integrating SWI analysis into studies of glacierized catchments helps better quantify glacier contributions to regional water resources and assess how these contributions change under different climate conditions. 

Despite decades of isotope-based studies in glacierized environments, SWI data remain fragmented across regions and hydrological components. In this study, we introduce the first global, harmonized database of SWI signatures from cryosphere and hydrological components in glacierized catchments, enabling a global synthesis of isotope patterns. The database compiles 12,348 isotope records from peer-reviewed literature, institutional repositories, and public data platforms published between 1960 and 2025. It integrates δ¹⁸O, δ²H, and derived d-excess values for a wide range of hydrological endmembers, including precipitation, snow, stream, groundwater, lake, snowpack, snowpack melt, glacier ice, glacier meltwater, supraglacial meltwater, firn, ice-cored moraines, talus slopes, rock glacier and permafrost thaw. Each record is georeferenced and accompanied by standardized metadata describing sampling context, elevation, temporal coverage, analytical method, and uncertainty. This database covers five continents and 20 countries, with the highest data density in the Himalaya–Tibet region. The database focuses on continental glacierized catchments where glaciers interact directly with surface waters and groundwater, excluding Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets due to their specific hydrological conditions.  

The comparative analysis of isotope distributions reveals systematic contrasts among endmembers and continents. At the global scale, δ¹⁸O values (‰ VSMOW2) clearly distinguish cryosphere and hydrological endmembers. Continental-scale patterns of δ¹⁸O highlight the dominant influence of temperature, elevation, atmospheric circulation, and moisture source on isotope variability. North America shows the widest isotopic range due to strong latitude and elevational contrasts. Snow and glacier waters in the Andes are strongly depleted (−18 to −14‰) reflecting orographic effects. African data are limited but indicate warm conditions and evaporative enrichment, while Asia shows large variability driven by strong climatic and topographic gradients. European waters exhibit moderate depletion typical of mid-latitude precipitation regimes. Distributions of d-excess provide information on moisture sources and post-depositional processes. Most samples show positive d-excess values (8–15‰), indicating that the primary atmospheric signal is preserved. 

Overall, this dataset aims to support the applications of isotope tracers in water resource studies a provides benchmark constraints for isotope-enabled hydrological models (e.g., iCESM, IsoHydro, JAMS200). The interpretations presented here represent an initial exploration of this unique global compilation. By making these data openly available, we aim to support more detailed investigations into the processes governing the hydrology of glacierized catchments.

How to cite: Jara Tarazona, E. E., Vital, M., Wade, A., Masse-Dufresne, J., Persoiu, A., Temovski, M., Dàvila Roller, L., Fernandoy, F., Lee, J., Nishonov, B., Ramirez, E., Saidaliyeva, Z., Shahgedanova, M., Tao, P., Vreca, P., and Vystavna, Y.: Global patterns of stable isotope signatures across cryosphere and hydrological components of glacierized catchments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7365, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7365, 2026.

EGU26-10724 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Application of backscatter time-series analysis and offset tracking for the identification of glacier surges on Svalbard 

Mirosław Czyżewski, Michał Tympalski, Marek Sompolski, and Wojciech Milczarek

The study of glacier surges, which involve periodic increases in flow velocity even to several orders of magnitude, is crucial for a better understanding of glacier dynamics in Arctic regions. Knowledge of the causes, course, and mechanisms of this phenomenon can help determine the role of glaciers as indicators of global climate change. It is also very important for safety and risk management reasons. A relatively new method of studying glacial surges is the analysis of backscatter changes in SAR images, which indicate deformations and variable properties of the glacier surface during the active phase. However, unambiguous identification of the phenomenon requires analysis of changes in the surface velocity of the glacier.

In this study we analyze a time series of Sentinel-1 mission data for Svalbard for the years 2016-2025 to track the long-term dynamics of glaciers. We detect backscatter anomalies that can be associated with surge activity. We then compare the results with surface velocity data obtained by offset tracking on SAR imagery. Based on the results, we conclude that the two methods are complementary. The methodology used can be applied in further studies of glacier surges and expand the knowledge of surge mechanisms that are not yet fully understood. 

How to cite: Czyżewski, M., Tympalski, M., Sompolski, M., and Milczarek, W.: Application of backscatter time-series analysis and offset tracking for the identification of glacier surges on Svalbard, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10724, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10724, 2026.

EGU26-10994 | Orals | GM9.3

Disappearing glaciers and emerging landscapes: new opportunities or rising risks? 

Sara Savi, Ananya Pandey, Bodo Bookhagen, Francesca Mura, Andrea Andreoli, and Francesco Comiti

Global warming has a major impact on the cryosphere. Mountains worldwide are witnessing the inexorable loss of glaciers, the degradation of permafrost, and a growing frequency of droughts and extreme precipitation events. Whereas many eyes are pointed to the loss of beauty, biodiversity, and freshwater resources, as well as to the catastrophic collapses of mountain slopes around the globe, only little attention is deserved to the new emerging post-glacial landscapes. A narrow belt of land remains bare for the time required to vegetation to adapt and migrate to higher elevations. This bare land is often characterized by fine sand and big boulders, unconsolidated debris, and over-steepened slopes that easily become unstable and can generate large amount of sediment which, if mobilized, may threaten the downstream valleys.

The paraglacial adjustment may require hundreds of years to reach equilibrium. In the classical model, the peak of sediment yield is expected to come immediately after the onset of the deglaciation, to then gradually decline towards a long-term equilibrium. Yet, climatic or anthropogenic perturbations can significantly modify the expected decline in sediment yield over time. Increased frequency of extreme precipitation events, associated with shifts in snowfall cover and with the increase of unconsolidated sediment, may create unprecedented conditions where enormous amount of sediment may be available to be mobilized and transported to the valley bottoms. Quantifying these volumes, and especially understanding the peaks around the expected sediment-transport curve, is fundamental for the communities living in high mountain areas, for river system management, and for the mitigation of risks associated with debris-flood events. In this context, it becomes essential to understand: 1) where are we along the paraglacial adjustment curve, and especially, 2) what frequency and intensity should be expected for the climate-induced peaks in sediment yield.

In the Sulden/Solda catchment (South Tirol, Italy) ongoing investigations aim to address these questions. New cosmogenic data allows to estimate average sediment production over centennial timescales, whereas modern digital elevation models allow to quantify recent average values. Interestingly, preliminary data indicates that long-term and modern averages are very similar, rising a new set of questions rather than answering those posed above. Are we still on the rising limb of the paraglacial curve? Or did sediment yield decline and are we witnessing the effects of global warming? And how do extreme precipitation events enter in the picture? Hopefully, by May, some of these questions will have been answered, and it will be a pleasure to discuss them at EGU.

How to cite: Savi, S., Pandey, A., Bookhagen, B., Mura, F., Andreoli, A., and Comiti, F.: Disappearing glaciers and emerging landscapes: new opportunities or rising risks?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10994, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10994, 2026.

Glaciological research has demonstrated that mechanisms such as fracturing, faulting, and foliation play a fundamental role in controlling ice flow patterns, debris entrainment, and styles of glacier retreat across diverse dynamic settings. While these relationships are well-documented for High-Arctic polythermal and cold-based glaciers, and increasingly for marine-terminating systems, the structural evolution of active temperate valley glaciers remains comparatively understudied. This study addresses this gap through an investigation of Sandfellsjökull, an active temperate outlet of Mýrdalsjökull Ice Cap. Previous research at Sandfellsjökull has focused primarily on proglacial geomorphology, leaving the evolution of its internal structure and margin dynamics largely unconstrained. Here, a multi-method approach is applied to quantify surface and sub-surface characteristics, combining geospatial photogrammetric analysis of historical aerial orthophotographs, UAV-derived imagery, ITS_LIVE (Inter-mission Time Series of Land Ice Velocity and Elevation) products and digital elevation models (e.g., ÍslandsDEM v1.0) with detailed ice facies, structural, and sedimentological analyses at the glacier margin. These datasets are used to develop a conceptual model of structural evolution between 1945 and 2025 and to assess the influence of bedrock topography on deformation patterns and debris entrainment.

Preliminary results reveal pronounced lateral and down-glacier variability in structure and debris distribution. The southern margin exhibits longitudinal compressional crevassing and confined ice flow between bedrock outcrops, with supraglacial meltwater channels cross-cutting debris cones and feeding an active outwash system. In contrast, the northern margin is characterised by a concentric tephra band deforming around an undercut bedrock step and transitioning abruptly into stagnant, debris-covered ice undergoing passive downwasting. Stratigraphic analyses from 12 sections indicate a dominant dispersed ice facies with stratified debris bands entraining fine-grained tephra - likely derived from the 1918 Katla eruption - as well as angular basaltic lithologies derived from freshly plucked bedrock. These observations highlight the critical role of topography in governing glacier structure, debris entrainment, and retreat style, with implications for basal ice formation (regelation and glaciohydraulic supercooling) on adverse slopes. Ongoing work in this study integrates structural mapping with changes in fracture density, surface elevation and velocity, as well as meteorological data, to resolve the spatio-temporal evolution of Sandfellsjökull in the context of recent climate warming.

How to cite: Gath, M., J A Evans, D., Jamieson, S., and Guild, A.: Structural evolution of an actively retreating glacier (1945 - 2025) modulated by bedrock steps and terminal overdeepening: Sandfellsjökull, east Mýrdalsjökull, Iceland., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13879, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13879, 2026.

EGU26-15188 | Orals | GM9.3

Transient hydrosystems in deglaciating subarctic catchments: insights from a decade of research in the St. Elias Mountain Green Belt 

Michel Baraer, Bastien Charonnat, Éole Valence, Adam Tjoelker, Jeff McKenzie, Janie Masse-Dufresne, Adrien Dimech, and Bryan Mark

Rapid cryosphere degradation is profoundly transforming hydrological processes in glacierized catchments worldwide. In subarctic environments, glacier retreat progressively reduces the direct contribution of ice melt to streamflow, while other cryospheric and periglacial components become increasingly influential, often in transient and non-linear ways. In particular, permafrost thaw and the reorganization of periglacial landscapes give rise to new, evolving pathways for water storage and transfer.

Over the past decade, we have examined these dynamics in the Shä́r Ndü Chù Duke River watershed, located within Kluane First Nation territory in the St. Elias Mountain Green Belt. Long-term observations reveal that the various cryospheric components of deglaciating valleys respond at different rates, leading to asynchronous shifts in hydrological and hydrogeological processes. As a result, the watershed functions as a continuously evolving hydrosystem rather than progressing toward a single, stable post-glacial state.

Our investigation combines ground-based and drone-borne geophysical surveys, thermal infrared and LiDAR observations, hydrometeorological monitoring, and hydrochemical tracers to characterize both surface and subsurface processes. These complementary methods highlight the growing role of groundwater in watershed outflows, driven by the widespread development of debris-covered and buried ice and by the mantling of formerly glacierized terrain. Such conditions modify surface energy exchanges and promote a transition from relatively direct surface runoff to enhanced infiltration and complex subsurface drainage networks.

Dynamic periglacial landforms, including rock glaciers containing long-lived debris-insulated ice, further disrupt surface–groundwater connectivity and redistribute flow paths across the landscape. Although debris cover slows the degradation of buried ice and permafrost relative to exposed ice, continued cryospheric loss remains inevitable. Collectively, our results demonstrate that hydrological routing in deglaciating subarctic catchments is highly transient, with important implications for the timing, magnitude, and sustainability of northern water resources under continued climate warming.

How to cite: Baraer, M., Charonnat, B., Valence, É., Tjoelker, A., McKenzie, J., Masse-Dufresne, J., Dimech, A., and Mark, B.: Transient hydrosystems in deglaciating subarctic catchments: insights from a decade of research in the St. Elias Mountain Green Belt, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15188, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15188, 2026.

EGU26-16281 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Surface flow and internal structure of glacier-moraine complex (GMC) in northern Tien Shan 

Taiki Arai, Chiyuki Narama, Sagynbek Satarov, Daiyrov Mirlan, and Koyo Mizuno

In the northern Tien Shan, numerous glacier–moraine complexes (GMCs) composed of debris and ice have developed in front of glacier termini in this semi-arid region, but the conditions under which internal ice is maintained remain unclear. In this study, we investigated GMCs in front of the Adygine Glacier, located in the Kyrgyz Range of the northern Tien Shan, to clarify the relationship between internal structure and surface morphology. Electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) surveys were conducted along 15 profiles with 48 electrodes at 5 m spacing in 2024 and 2025, and horizontal and vertical surface displacements were quantified using UAV-derived imagery.

The results showed that in the upper left bank, continuous flow from the glacier and connected subsurface ice were identified. In the middle left bank, although no surface flow was observed, continuous buried ice was present, accompanied by surface lowering. In the lower left bank, continuous buried ice connected to a tributary glacier was also detected. On the right bank, exposed bedrock was found in the upper part, where meltwater flowed over the surface without infiltration into debris. In the lower right bank, debris landforms were developed, but flow was weak and the frozen layer was discontinuous. These findings indicate that continuous ice supply from the glacier is crucial for maintaining subsurface ice within the GMC.

How to cite: Arai, T., Narama, C., Satarov, S., Mirlan, D., and Mizuno, K.: Surface flow and internal structure of glacier-moraine complex (GMC) in northern Tien Shan, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16281, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16281, 2026.

EGU26-17259 | Orals | GM9.3

Changing Geo-Hydrological Regime Over the Changing Climate: Global North to Global South, A Case Study: Nelson River Delta, Canada, and Ganges Delta, India. 

Sohini Sinha Roy, Tamoghna Acharyya, Sarmistha Basu, Afshana Parven, and Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Deltas are globally considered as one of the most vital socio-ecological systems, however their geo-hydrological regimes are gradually destabilized by change in climatic patterns. Based on this scenario, the research delves into a comparative study of two contrasting deltas comprising of Nelson River Delta in Canada situated in Global North and the Ganga-Brahmaputra Delta spatially occupying India and Bangladesh situated in Global South. Both deltas are significant ecological systems; The Nelson delta is characterized by boreal-subarctic wetland ecosystems, fisheries and traditional livelihood, on the other hand, the Ganges Delta marks a region of high population density characterized by complex interplay of natural and anthropogenic activities, fisheries, intensive agriculture and mangrove ecosystems. Impact of climatic shifts are evident in both deltas. In the Nelson River basin, altered snowmelt regimes and river discharge, accelerated thawing of permafrost coupled with flow regulation are leading to alteration in sediment delivery, coastal stability and ice breaking processes. While, Ganga delta is subjected to intense monsoon variability, frequent cyclones, sea level rise are augmenting issues like salinity intrusion, sediment redistribution and subsidence. These fluctuations have reconfigured geo-hydrological hazards by escalating the frequency and magnitude of bank erosion, floods, wetland degradation and coastal retreat. The consequences extend surpassing the physical processes to extensive changes in life and livelihoods of the residents evident from shifts in fish productivity, agriculture, food security and infrastructure vulnerability. Ecosystem services comprising of storm protection, carbon storage, biodiversity support and freshwater provision are either being modified or lost in both the regions. The research emphasizes the requirement for climate-responsive, place-based planning that constitutes sediment management, nature-based solutions, hydrological restoration and community-centered governance. Establishing resilience in both Global North and South need inclusive, adaptive and ecosystem-oriented strategies that would address accelerating hydrological and climatic uncertainties.

How to cite: Sinha Roy, S., Acharyya, T., Basu, S., Parven, A., and Mukhopadhyay, A.: Changing Geo-Hydrological Regime Over the Changing Climate: Global North to Global South, A Case Study: Nelson River Delta, Canada, and Ganges Delta, India., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17259, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17259, 2026.

EGU26-18534 | ECS | Orals | GM9.3

 Climate-Driven Changes in Ice Phenology and Sediment Dynamics of the Masjok River, Northern Norway 

Jyoti Prakash Hati, Halina Kaczmarek, Rituparna Acharyya, Michał Habel, Paolo Porto, Marta Brzezińska, Berenger Koffi, Anirban Mukhopadhyay, and Monika Szymańska-Walkiewicz

The hydrological regimes in high-latitude river systems might be altered in future by climate change and its arctic amplification, leading to substantial changes in sediment concentrations and discharge. Ice cover and sediment dynamics in arctic and subarctic rivers also control nutrients and biogeochemical cycles, which have an impact on water quality and marine flora and fauna. Therefore, our primary objective is to detect the seasonal changes in the ice cover and sediment concentration in water in the subarctic estuary using remote sensing. The Masjok River is one of the major tributaries of the Tana River estuary, with a catchment area of ​​568.11 km², and was selected as the research area. Sediment transport in situ data were obtained during field missions in 2024 and 2025. River ice dynamics were observed using the Normalised Difference Snow Index (NDSI), and the seasonal variation of suspended sediment was observed using two indices, namely the Normalised Difference Suspended Sediment Index (NDSSI) and the Normalised Difference Turbidity Index (NDTI). The Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform was used for creating the indices using Sentinel-2 MSI datasets. The results of this study indicate that suspended sediment concentrations and turbidity are high during the spring ice breakup season and lower in winter. Ice melting in the river and surrounding valleys generates very high spring discharge, which accelerates erosion and transports large sediment loads from the Masjok River to the Tana River. The first day of ice-free conditions in the Masjok River and surrounding areas occurs earlier. At the same time, the long-term discharge data suggest there was no drop in total and maximum discharge in the last 30 years. The experimental framework offers a comprehensive analysis of the interactions between ice, sediment, and discharge in the context of climate change. The findings of this research will advance the modelling of Arctic hydrology, which has significant ramifications for the management of water resources, ecological monitoring, and sediment transport in the Arctic.

Keywords: Masjok River, suspended sediment, turbidity, river ice-cover, Sentinel-2.

This research is financed by grant RID/SP/0048/2025/01, Ministry of Science and Higher Education, Title: Influence of environmental drivers on the variability of fine sediment transport in a subarctic river – case study of the Tana River, PI: Marta Brzezińska, Kazimierz Wielki University

How to cite: Hati, J. P., Kaczmarek, H., Acharyya, R., Habel, M., Porto, P., Brzezińska, M., Koffi, B., Mukhopadhyay, A., and Szymańska-Walkiewicz, M.:  Climate-Driven Changes in Ice Phenology and Sediment Dynamics of the Masjok River, Northern Norway, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18534, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18534, 2026.

EGU26-19350 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Reconstructing glacier-controlled sediment connectivity through time: Late Quaternary landscape evolution in the southeastern Alps 

Camilla Vidi, Giovanni Monegato, Sandro Rossato, Marco Cavalli, Stefano Crema, and Alessandro Fontana

Sediment (dis)connectivity is a fundamental concept for the understanding of landscape evolution and sediment fluxes, yet its long-term variability across contrasting climatic and glacial conditions remains poorly constrained. In particular, glaciers are commonly treated as purely erosional agents, while their role in structuring sediment pathways and storage through time is still underexplored.

In this study, we investigate the evolution of sediment connectivity during key phases of Late Quaternary landscape development, from the pre-Last Glacial Maximum (>30 ka), the Late Late Glacial (~14.7–11.7 ka), to the present. The Terragnolo Valley, an Alpine catchment in the southeastern European Alps, provides an ideal natural laboratory, having been repeatedly shaped by glaciations involving both a local glaciares and the Adige trunk glacier (>1000 m thick), resulting in an exceptional abundance of glacial and proglacial deposits.

We adopt a methodological framework that explicitly considers glaciers and associated sedimentary bodies as dynamic controls on sediment (dis)connectivity within a watershed. High-resolution palaeotopographies (2 m DTMs) are reconstructed for each target time slice by integrating detailed geomorphological mapping, stratigraphic constraints, and terrain modelling techniques. Sediment connectivity is quantified using the Index of Connectivity (IC; Borselli et al., 2008; Cavalli et al., 2013), accounting for time-dependent forcing factors such as ice extent and evolving topographic configuration.

The IC-based analysis is complemented by field-based geomorphological observations, with particular attention to the identification of buffers and barriers following the conceptual framework of Fryirs et al. (2007). With this approach, we aim to reconstruct past sediment pathways and to explore how glacial dynamics promoted sediment storage, fragmentation of connectivity, or, conversely, efficient sediment transfer. Connectivity under modern conditions is computed using the SedInConnect software (Crema and Cavalli, 2018while specific topographic reconstruction enable its application to palaeolandscapes.

Our results aim to elucidate how glacier-driven landscape reorganization controlled sediment distribution and led to the development of disproportionate sediment accumulations in specific sectors of the catchment. By reconstructing sediment connectivity through multiple glacial–interglacial transitions, this study provides new insights into the long-term controls on sediment fluxes in Alpine environments and offers a framework for contextualizing present-day sediment dynamics within their Quaternary context.

How to cite: Vidi, C., Monegato, G., Rossato, S., Cavalli, M., Crema, S., and Fontana, A.: Reconstructing glacier-controlled sediment connectivity through time: Late Quaternary landscape evolution in the southeastern Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19350, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19350, 2026.

Glacier forelands are hotspots of accelerated environmental change in high mountain environments. As landscapes transition from glacial to non-glacial conditions, they undergo pronounced geomorphic and ecological disequilibrium driven by paraglacial adjustment and primary succession. These coupled dynamics control sediment redistribution, disturbance regimes, and emerging ecosystem functions. Yet, despite extensive local-scale research, there is still a lack of integrated, comparative datasets that quantify foreland development trajectories across sites and environmental gradients.

We build on the Austrian Glacier Inventory outline series (GI LIA ~1850; GI1 1969; GI2 1998; GI3 2006; GI4 2015; GI5 2023, forthcoming) to reconstruct retreat-derived surface-age domains across 582 Austrian glacier forelands exposed since the Little Ice Age maximum. Surface-age domains are derived from successive inventory differences, providing discrete deglaciation-stage units for chronosequence-based comparisons across contrasting geomorphic and climatic settings.

For the remote sensing component, we use Google Earth Engine–derived Landsat NDVI time series (1985-2025) to quantify vegetation development across glacier forelands, with Sentinel-2 integrated for recent high-resolution trajectories. Annual NDVI layers are generated as cloud-masked August 90th-percentile composites to represent near-peak seasonal vegetation conditions while minimising snow and cloud contamination. We extract annual mean NDVI and fractional vegetation cover (NDVI > 0.2) for each surface-age domain.

To link vegetation stabilisation with geomorphic forcing, we derive DEM-based predictors (e.g., slope, curvature, roughness, topographic wetness, and flow concentration) to delineate surface-process domains and terrain-based disturbance potential. This enables evaluation of how terrain setting and hydrologic controls modulate vegetation establishment, persistence, and disturbance-driven setbacks.

First results show pronounced heterogeneity in greening and stabilisation signals among Austrian glacier forelands. A pixel-based comparison of multi-year NDVI medians (2020-2024 minus 1985-1989) yields ΔNDVI values from −0.37 to +0.84. Classifying ΔNDVI into four greening/stability classes indicates that no–minor change dominates at the foreland scale (median ~70%), while moderate greening is widespread (median ~21%) and negative/unstable trends typically remain limited (median ~5%) but locally concentrate into persistent disturbance corridors, particularly in high-disturbance process domains.

Field validation in summer 2026 will combine stratified vegetation and geomorphic plot surveys with UAV-based orthomosaics and surface models across 15 representative forelands. This effort will be complemented by existing high-resolution datasets from Austria’s two largest forelands (Pasterze and Gepatschferner), supporting calibration of vegetation fractions and attribution of stabilisation trajectories to process-domain characteristics and surface mobility indicators. Together, these components form an integrated national baseline for cross-site analysis and long-term monitoring of glacier-driven surface-process and ecosystem trajectories. This contribution provides the basis for a public Austrian glacier-foreland vegetation change inventory and invites collaboration on validation, process interpretation, and cross-regional comparisons.

How to cite: Haselberger, S.: Towards an Austrian Glacier Foreland Inventory: Multi-decadal Greening Trajectories Linked to Terrain-based Disturbance Potential, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20049, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20049, 2026.

Abstract

Arctic river delta systems are complex settings in which hydrological connectivity among river systems, distributaries, and lakes governs sediment transport, productivity, and resilience. Given the current state of Arctic climate intensification and the subsequent permafrost thaw, understanding these relationships has become increasingly crucial; however, progress has been hindered by the polar regions' inaccessibility and large spatial extent. In this paper, a satellite-based method for identifying connectivity between lakes and rivers using the Normalized Difference Suspended Sediment Index (NDSSI) derived from Sentinel-2 imagery is presented for the Mackenzie Delta region in north-western Canada. Regarding this investigation, multispectral optical imagery acquired during snow-free periods in 2023 - 2025 was used to examine spatial and seasonal changes in suspended sediment concentration and the influence of snow and ice using the Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI). NDSSI values were compared with in-situ turbidity measurements from August 2023 and September 2025, indicating a strong and statistically significant relationship (r = 0.79, p < 0.001). Based on sediment signal intensity and the relationship between lakes and distributary channels, 34,448 lakes in the south-eastern delta were classified as permanently connected, seasonally connected, or hydrologically isolated. The findings indicate that sediment-optical signatures reliably identify active hydrological connections, particularly during the flood recession period when river sediment input is at its peak. The results demonstrate that NDSSI can detect concealed hydrological pathways in complex Arctic delta landscapes and provide a scalable metric for monitoring sediment dynamics and connectivity as climate and permafrost conditions evolve.

Keywords: Mackenzie Delta; hydrological connectivity; lake–river exchange; suspended sediment dynamics

This research is being conducted with the permission of the Government of Canada – North West Territories (NWT) – research licence number 17694 which was issued under application number 6131 and financed by grant National Research Centre in Poland no. 2024/53/B/ST10/03483: Arctic deltas as sponges: How do river deltaic plains now filter and trap sediment and carbon?

How to cite: Acharyya, R. and Habel, M.: Monitoring Lake–River Pathways: Remote sensing-based Detection of Sediment-Driven Connectivity across the Arctic Mackenzie Delta, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20215, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20215, 2026.

The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is a hotspot for sediment transport, where glaciers and their meltwaters deliver sediment and associated nutrients to proglacial outwash plains and the ocean. This outflux supports proglacial and marine ecosystems, where enhanced primary production can contribute to atmospheric CO2 drawdown and negative carbon feedback loops. As field measurements of sediment export from the GrIS are limited both spatially and temporally, we use Google Earth Engine to extract suspended sediment concentrations from Sentinel-2 near infrared reflectance measurements of meltwater flows exiting land terminating glacier systems in Greenland (ground truthed by field data from Watson River, Kangerlussuaq), where sediment export analysis is facilitated by meltwater estimates from the Regional Atmospheric Climate Model (RACMO). Over the summer meltwater seasons of 2016 – 2024 we estimate a combined mean annual sediment flux of ~0.44 Gt yr-1, where we note that export has increased at an average rate of ~0.001 Gtyr-1 over the study period. Land terminating glaciers of the GrIS exported the greatest suspended sediment flux of 0.51 Gtyr-1 in 2022 and the lowest export of 0.24 Gtyr-1 in 2018. Regionally, southwest Greenland provides the greatest suspended sediment export per area, accounting for ~41% of total export over the study period. Our analysis provides the first estimate of proglacial sediment export from all land-terminating glacier systems in Greenland using Sentinel-2 imagery, allowing us to examine drivers of change and establish a baseline for assessing future changes in sediment delivery, as a result of climate warming. These changes will alter land systems in front of glaciers and impact sediment-derived nutrient delivery/ ecosystem response, with resultant implications for CO2 drawdown.

How to cite: Bartlett, H., Winter, K., Ross, N., Lea, J., and Woodward, J.: Suspended sediment export from land-terminating glaciers of the Greenland Ice Sheet (2016 – 2024), calculated from Sentinel-2 near infrared reflectance measurements, processed in Google Earth Engine, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21030, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21030, 2026.

EGU26-21378 | ECS | Posters on site | GM9.3

Role of deltaic lakes as hydraulic filters: sediment sorting in the Arctic river delta under changing flow regimes 

Marta Brzezińska, Michał Habel, Damian Ciepłowski, Monika Szlapa, Dawid Szatten, and Anirban Mukhopadhyay

Ongoing climate change accelerates the degradation of permafrost, leading to an increased supply of meltwater and an intensified delivery of mineral sediments and organic matter to riverine and deltaic systems. Consequently, understanding the processes of hydraulic sorting and particle retention within deltaic environments, which determine the sediment budget and the “filtration efficiency” of these systems at the scale of the entire Arctic, becomes of critical importance.
The aim of this study is to identify the influence of hydraulic sorting mechanisms on changes in the size and concentration of suspended sediment particles during the passage of meltwater through the deltaic system of a large Arctic river. The study area is the lake-rich central part of the Mackenzie Delta (Canada, Northwest Territories). The experiment was conducted from the onset of ice-cover degradation until the end of the summer season, tracing the pathway of water transferred from the East Channel to the Middle Channel over a distance of approximately 12 km through three lakes permanently connected to the distributary channel network. Five monitoring stations for suspended sediment concentration (SSC) were installed, and measurements were carried out on eleven occasions between 24 May and 10 September 2025. In total, 120 suspended sediment samples were analysed.
The material was subjected to laboratory analyses of SSC and grain-size distribution using laser diffraction. The results show that, during the initial phase of observations, suspended sediments in the cold waters of the Mackenzie Delta (0.5–1.7°C) were characterized by SSC values ranging from 68 to 218 mg·l⁻¹ and by a bimodal grain-size distribution. In contrast, samples collected during the falling limb of the freshet (June–July) and during low-flow conditions (August–September) exhibited much lower SSC values, ranging from 10 to 68 mg·l⁻¹. Grain-size analyses indicate that, with increasing residence time of water in the lakes, a clear hydraulic sorting of particles according to their size occurs. This process results in the selective retention of coarser particles and aggregates within the lake zones, while finer silt–clay fractions continue to be transported towards the lower parts of the delta.
The dominant modal peak corresponds to the clay–silt fraction, typical of wash load, whereas a second peak in the range of 200–1000 µm, representing coarse and very coarse sand, appears only episodically during periods of increased discharge and enhanced turbulence. The fractional composition of suspended sediments at the end of May 2025 indicates a dominance of silt (70–85%), with clay contents of 5–10% and sand contents of 10–20%, of which the very coarse fraction (>250 µm) occurred only sporadically (<5%). This material can be classified as fine silt-dominated wash load with low settling velocities.
The obtained results confirm the key role of channel-adjacent lakes as natural hydraulic filters in Arctic deltas and demonstrate that hydraulic sorting of particle sizes and variability in settling dynamics are directly controlled by the hydrological regime of the spring freshet, the intensity of flow turbulence, and the cyclic processes of flocculation and destruction of sediment aggregates.

This research is financed by grant National Research Centre in Poland no. 2024/53/B/ST10/03483

How to cite: Brzezińska, M., Habel, M., Ciepłowski, D., Szlapa, M., Szatten, D., and Mukhopadhyay, A.: Role of deltaic lakes as hydraulic filters: sediment sorting in the Arctic river delta under changing flow regimes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21378, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21378, 2026.

EGU26-21891 | ECS | Orals | GM9.3

Modeling the Alps across large spatial and temporal scales using theInstructed Glacier Model (IGM) 

Brandon D. Finley, Guillaume Jouvet, Maxime Bernard, Tancrede P.M. Leger, Guillaume Cordonnier, and Frederic Herman

The European Alps and its unique features were largely formed from additive processes like
sediment deposition and subtractive processes such as glacial erosion. Spanning millions of
years, these processes that helped shape the Alps are not fully understood due to their complexity
and tenancy to be coupled with each other. Existing landscape evolution models that include
these processes are limited in their computational power - often only allowing a coarser spatial
resolution. A high spatial resolution, and by extension maintaining higher-order physics fidelity,
is also imperative in accurately reconstructing the Alps. We aim to address this limitation by
using the community-led Instructed Glacier Model (IGM) that leverages Graphical Processing
Units (GPUs) and scientific machine learning (SciML) to accelerate computation. Here, we adapt
IGM to be a landscape evolution model (LEM) by including relevant mechanisms for landscape
evolution such as glacial abrasion, quarrying, fluvial erosion, isostatic rebound, and hill-slope
processes.

To demonstrate its capacity, we first benchmark its results against traditional landscape evo-
lution models (i.e. iSOSIA), validating that, though IGM is a physics-informed machine learning
model, it remains a process-based LEM. We furthermore aim to show its efficiency at modeling
across a wide range of scales such as multiple alpine catchments as well as longer temporal
periods such as during the Quaternary. As such, we hope our modeling approach can be used
for various applications such as exploring how glaciers are linked to these underlying processes,
inverse problems to achieve better model-data agreements, and ensembles across long temporal
or spatial scales.

How to cite: Finley, B. D., Jouvet, G., Bernard, M., Leger, T. P. M., Cordonnier, G., and Herman, F.: Modeling the Alps across large spatial and temporal scales using theInstructed Glacier Model (IGM), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21891, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21891, 2026.

EGU26-461 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Early Alpine glaciations at ca. 2 Ma revealed by 26Al–10Be burial dating of endokarst sediments in the western–central European Alps 

Vivien Mai Yung Sen, Pierre Valla, Stéphane Jaillet, Xavier Robert, Yann Rolland, Miguel Borreguero, Julien Carcaillet, Edwige Pons-Branchu, Christian Crouzet, and Olivier Bruguier

The onset and potentially time-transgressive latitudinal development of Northern Hemisphere glaciations during the Plio-Quaternary represents a key component of global late Cenozoic climate dynamics. The timing of the earliest Alpine glaciations has been debated since the pioneering work of A. Penck and E. Brückner at the beginning of the 20th century. Over the past three decades, cosmogenic nuclide burial dating has provided absolute ages on glacial and fluvioglacial sedimentary deposits in the Alpine forelands, progressively refining the chronology of early glaciations as methodological advances have emerged and as the number of analyzed samples has increased. Recent syntheses from the northern Alpine foreland (Deckenschotter) and the Ivrea amphitheater indicate that piedmont glacier lobes developed between 1.2 and 0.8 Ma, suggesting that the first extensive Alpine-wide glaciations occurred during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition. However, reconstructions based solely on surface deposits are strongly affected by preservation biases, as repeated glaciations may have eroded older sedimentary archives. As a result, Early Pleistocene surface records may have been largely removed by subsequent, more extensive glaciations.

Karst systems provide an alternative archive for early glaciations. During glacial periods, glaciers in contact with karst conduits inject detrital material (allochthonous or autochthonous) into subsurface voids, where sediments can be preserved for several million years. These buried deposits can be dated using in situ cosmogenic nuclides such as 26Al–10Be in quartz. Prior to this study, very few geochronological and sedimentological data existed for such ancient glacio-karst deposits (i.e. Early Pleistocene). New 26Al–10Be burial ages obtained from 20 detrital endokarst sediment samples (sands and pebbles) in the western to central Alps (Vercors, Chartreuse, Haut-Giffre and Bernese Alps), together with a synthesis of existing dating in the central Alps, allow the first spatio-temporal reconstruction of glacial sediment injections into the Alpine karst. Consistent with surface records, the burial ages reveal major glacial sediment injections into the karst around 0.8 Ma, at the end of the Mid-Pleistocene Transition. However, the data also point to a much earlier phase of widespread injections around 2 Ma. These early injections occurred both in high-elevation (>2500 m) headwater karst systems and in peripheral karst networks bordering the major Alpine valleys along the mountain front, demonstrating that widespread early glaciations affected the entire Alpine chain around 2 Ma. Because Alpine valleys were less deeply incised during the Early Pleistocene, glacier geometries differed significantly from those of Middle and Late Pleistocene glaciations, with thinner and potentially less extensive ice bodies. These earliest Alpine glaciations are contemporaneous with major advances of the Eurasian and North American ice sheets, consistent with extensive Northern Hemisphere glaciations at that time, predating the intensification of glaciations initiated at the Mid-Pleistocene Transition. Ultimately, this study highlights the potential of mountain karst systems as long-term archives for reconstructing Quaternary climate transitions.

How to cite: Mai Yung Sen, V., Valla, P., Jaillet, S., Robert, X., Rolland, Y., Borreguero, M., Carcaillet, J., Pons-Branchu, E., Crouzet, C., and Bruguier, O.: Early Alpine glaciations at ca. 2 Ma revealed by 26Al–10Be burial dating of endokarst sediments in the western–central European Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-461, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-461, 2026.

EGU26-822 | Orals | CR1.4

Using digital mapping and cosmogenic 10Be to assess glacial landscape modification in west-central Keewatin, Arctic Canada  

Clara Crowell, Sam Kelley, Etienne Brouard, Janet Campbell, and John Gosse

The west-central Keewatin region of northern Canada preserves a rich record of former ice sheets and their impact on the landscape. The diverse assemblage of glacial landforms in the region reflects spatial variations in glacial modification driven by changes in basal thermal regime, subglacial hydrology, and ice-flow dynamics, all of which are key to reconstructing the history and behaviour of palaeo-ice sheets. Resolving how these landforms relate to changes in basal regime and glacial modification requires integrated datasets such as geomorphological mapping and to provide the robust reconstructions needed for climate and ice-sheet models.

Our work aims to provide both a qualitative and quantitative assessment of glacial landscape modification in the west-central Keewatin region of the Northwest Territories and mainland Nunavut using two independent proxies: geomorphic mapping and cosmogenic nuclide concentrations. We used the ArcticDEM and Landsat 8 imagery to remotely map This new inventory of landforms, integrated with existing mapping, provides a qualitative assessment of glacial landsystems and landscape modification across the Keewatin region. As a quantitative proxy for glacial modification from the last glacial period(s), we collected 10 bedrock and 7 boulder samples for cosmogenic 10Be measurement along a north-south transect east of Dubawnt Lake, Nunavut. The sample transect was informed by glacial geomorphic mapping and was selected to test field-based predictions of the degree of landscape modification from the previous glaciation(s). The northern portion of the transect contains high concentrations of streamlined landforms associated with the onset zone of the Dubawnt Ice stream, inferred to be a region of high glacial modification. In contrast, the southern end of the transect contains lower concentrations of streamlined features, flow sets with contrasting orientations, and cross-cutting striations, suggesting a higher degree of landscape preservation during the last glaciation(s). Preliminary 10Be results broadly confirm our initial assessment of glacial modification along our transect, revealing slightly higher concentrations of 10Be in the south (less modification) and decreasing 10Be concentrations towards the north (more modification). Both bedrock and boulder samples follow this trend, however, our results show that in both low- and high-modification landsystems, some samples retain significant nuclide inheritance, including some boulders which suggests transport from a less modified landscape. Combining qualitative and quantitative approaches to evaluate glacial modification associated with specific landform assemblages informs our understanding of the basal thermal conditions of palaeo-ice sheets, the distribution of which informs our understanding of ice sheet evolution through space and time. Furthermore, the identification of streamlined features into palaeo-flow sets supports potential mineral exploration by helping to determine glacial transport directions and dispersal patterns. However, our results show the concentrations of cosmogenic nuclides vary within individual landsystems, suggesting that glacial modification varied through time and can be influenced by multiple factors (e.g., subglacial thermal conditions, topography, glacio-isostatic adjustment, lake development) that remain to be quantified.  

How to cite: Crowell, C., Kelley, S., Brouard, E., Campbell, J., and Gosse, J.: Using digital mapping and cosmogenic 10Be to assess glacial landscape modification in west-central Keewatin, Arctic Canada , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-822, 2026.

EGU26-1360 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Cosmogenic chlorine-36 constraints on Holocene glacier change in Iceland 

Aylin de Campo, Shaun Eaves, Kevin Norton, Klaus Wilcken, Réka-Hajnalka Fülöp, Krista Simon, Carla Silvia, Timothy Lane, and Margaret Jackson

Understanding temperature variability during the Holocene is critical for constraining baselines of natural climate variability. Temperate mountain glacier extent is limited most significantly by summer air temperature, thus geological records of past glacier length changes represent a useful proxy for this climatic variable. Iceland’s maritime glaciers with their high sensitivity to temperature and precipitation changes serve as robust indicators of climate variability in the North Atlantic region. Previous reconstructions of Iceland’s Holocene glacier and climate history have relied primarily on marine sediment cores, terrestrial geomorphological evidence, and glaciological modelling. These proxies highlight a correlation between glacier fluctuations and regional climate variability and suggest notable glacier retreats during early and mid-Holocene warm periods.

Here, we present cosmogenic chlorine-36 measurements from four outlet glaciers of the Vatnajöküll ice cap in Iceland that test and further constrain the occurrence of past glacier minima during the Holocene. Unlike the more commonly used method of cosmogenic surface exposure dating of moraines, which constrains the timing of past glacier advances, our application targets the remnant cosmogenic signals of prehistoric exposure events preserved in freshly exposed proglacial surfaces. Our data thus tests for the occurrence and constrains the duration of past glacier retreat events and, thereby, warmer times during the Holocene. Our results support the hypothesis that Icelandic glaciers were smaller than present for several millennia during the Holocene and when combined with existing datasets of Icelandic climate, our new results allow us to reconstruct both glacier advance and retreat through the Holocene.

How to cite: de Campo, A., Eaves, S., Norton, K., Wilcken, K., Fülöp, R.-H., Simon, K., Silvia, C., Lane, T., and Jackson, M.: Cosmogenic chlorine-36 constraints on Holocene glacier change in Iceland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1360, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1360, 2026.

EGU26-2751 | Posters on site | CR1.4

Symmetrical till-cored drumlins highlight where past ice sheets flowed faster 

John K. Hillier, Mike Smith, Tom Dowling, Matteo Spagnolo, John Maclachlan, and Carlos Martin

For over 100 years, from school textbook to research, glacially sculpted landforms called drumlins have been considered asymmetrical, tear-drop shaped. Recent work has securely demonstrated that, in the absence of bedrock, this asymmetry is measurable but tiny – non-existent to visual inspection.  High-resolution DEMs and a novel application of statistics to flow-sets demonstrate that a well-studied a Swedish site exhibits a transition from asymmetrical bedrock-cored drumlins to symmetrical till-cored ones within just a few 10s of m of till. We believe that this is the first direct observational constraint upon the thickness of till required to effectively decouple flowing ice from rough bedrock topography.  Understanding where till lubrication has the potential to speed up ice flow has large implications for modelling current ice sheets and Antarctic deglaciation, so we are hoping for ideas of how to best assess this last part.

How to cite: Hillier, J. K., Smith, M., Dowling, T., Spagnolo, M., Maclachlan, J., and Martin, C.: Symmetrical till-cored drumlins highlight where past ice sheets flowed faster, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2751, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2751, 2026.

EGU26-3417 | Orals | CR1.4

New evidence for Greenland ice sheet expansion beyond its present shelf break during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition   

Jochen Knies, Henry Patton, Peter-Lasse Giertzuch, and Stijn De Schepper and the i2B Arctic Ocean Expedition 2025 Science Party

The possibility of a continuous, kilometre-thick Arctic Ocean ice shelf in the geological past has long intrigued scientists. Yet, fundamental questions surrounding the architecture, timing, and oceanic and climatic consequences of such an ice shelf remain unresolved. A pan-Arctic glaciation model has been inferred primarily from glacial landforms identified on seafloor bathymetric highs and continental shelves, as well as from geochemical proxies found in marine sediment cores.

Subsequent chronological analyses of sediment cores from these eroded regions have suggested that this pan-Arctic Ocean ice shelf developed during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6, approximately 140,000 to 160,000 years ago. In contrast, more recent evidence from the eastern Fram Strait suggests the persistence of marginal sea-ice conditions and recurrent phytoplankton spring blooms across several glacial-interglacial cycles over the last 750,000 years. Nevertheless, an exception appears to occur during MIS 16, a glacial interval between ~670,000 and 620,000 years ago that remains relatively understudied in the Arctic Ocean. During this period, biomarkers indicative of sea ice and primary productivity, and planktic foraminifera are either absent or occur in extremely low concentrations in sediment cores from both the Arctic-Atlantic Gateway and the Nordic Seas. Although the full spatial extent of glacial ice during MIS 16 remains uncertain, it is thought to have rivalled that of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) in terms of ice volume. In this study, we present new geomorphological evidence supported by sediment core chronologies for significant Greenland ice sheet expansion during the end of the Mid Pleistocene Transitoin (MPT). The discovery of record-deep ploughmarks, in combination with a grounding zone wedge (GZW) at approximately 800 meters water depth on the Morris Jesup Rise, northeast Greenland, suggests that the Greenland/Innuitian Ice Sheet grew sufficiently to form an ice shelf extending into the central Arctic Ocean – implying an "Antarctification" of Greenland during this extreme glacial phase.

 

How to cite: Knies, J., Patton, H., Giertzuch, P.-L., and De Schepper, S. and the i2B Arctic Ocean Expedition 2025 Science Party: New evidence for Greenland ice sheet expansion beyond its present shelf break during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition  , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3417, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3417, 2026.

EGU26-4936 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Chasing pavements: New insights from Late Palaeozoic glacial outcrops in South Africa 

Ricarda Wohlschlägl, Paulina Mejías Osorio, Marie Busfield, Peter Haberer, Albertus Smith, and Daniel Le Heron

During the Late Palaeozoic Ice Age (LPIA; ~360–260 Ma), southern Africa formed part of Gondwana and experienced repeated episodes of continental glaciation. These glacial events left an extensive sedimentological and geomorphological record. In several regions, modern topography partially reflects this inherited glacial relief, providing rare insights into pre-Quaternary ice-sheet dynamics, basal processes, and ice–substrate interactions. Despite their scientific importance, many LPIA glacial pavements in southern Africa remain poorly documented and understudied. Numerous key outcrops are increasingly threatened by natural erosion, flooding, agricultural practices, and industrial development. In addition, access is often restricted because many pavements occur on private farmland or in remote areas, limiting systematic field investigation. To date, most known glacial pavements have not been digitally mapped or analysed at high spatial resolution. 

Here we apply integrated aerial and close-range photogrammetry, combined with detailed sedimentological analysis, to document seven representative Late Palaeozoic glacial outcrops in the Northern Cape Region in South Africa. High-resolution digital outcrop models are complemented by field-based sedimentological observations. Together, these approaches provide a robust framework for interpreting glacial dynamics and depositional environments. The resulting digital and sedimentological datasets form a reproducible archive that supports quantitative analysis, virtual access, and long-term preservation of vulnerable geological heritage sites. Our results demonstrate the potential of combining digital documentation with in-depth sedimentological analysis to advance the study of ancient glacial landscapes and to preserve critical pre-Quaternary cryospheric records for future research.

How to cite: Wohlschlägl, R., Mejías Osorio, P., Busfield, M., Haberer, P., Smith, A., and Le Heron, D.: Chasing pavements: New insights from Late Palaeozoic glacial outcrops in South Africa, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4936, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4936, 2026.

EGU26-6359 | Posters on site | CR1.4

Constraining fjord formation and isostatic uplift in Arctic Canada and Northeast Greenland using Pliocene-early Pleistocene sediment deposits 

Vivi Kathrine Pedersen, Caroline Brand, Nicolaj Krog Larsen, and Jonas Folmer Damsgård

In Arctic Canada and Northeast Greenland, previous studies have found several high-elevation occurrences of marine and/or fluvial sediments of Pliocene-early Pleistocene age. In Arctic Canada, the deposits include the marine strata of the Hvitland beds on Ellesmere Island (up to ~130 m a.s.l.; Fyles et al., 1998), the marine deposits on Meighen Island (up to ~100 m a.s.l.; Fyles et al., 1991), as well as several sites with fluvial deposits, including the unconsolidated braided river deposits found on Banks Island (up to ~130 m a.s.l.; e.g., Fyles et al., 1994), Prince Patrick Island (up to ~200 m a.s.l.; Fyles, 1990), and on the high terraces of Ellesmere Island (up to ~600 m a.s.l.; Fyles, 1989) – all assumed to have be deposited prior to the carving of the deep fjord systems seen in the regions today. In Northeast Greenland, the sediment deposits include the marine Kap København (up to ~230 m; Funder et al., 1984) and Lodin Elv Formations (up to 62 m a.s.l.; Feyling-Hansen et al., 1983), assumed to have been deposited ca. 2-2.5 Ma. Previous work has studied these deposits in detail to constrain their fauna and age, their stratigraphic relationships, as well as their implications for past climates in the Arctic. However, particularly the current high elevation of the marine deposits can also put time constraints on surface uplift in these regions (e.g., Pedersen et al., 2019). Here we explore these constraints in the context of erosion driven flexural isostatic uplift associated with glacial erosion and fjord formation, allowing us to constrain the incision of the fjord systems in time, with the potential to also constrain the timing and rates of glacial erosion.

Feyling-Hanssen, R.W., Funder, S., Petersen, K.S., 1983, The Lodin Elv Formation: A Plio-Pleistocene occurrence in Greenland. Bulletin of the Geological Society of Denmark 31, 81-106.

Funder, S., Bennike, O., Mogensen, G.S., Noe-Nygaard, B., Pedersen, S.A.S., Petersen, K.S., 1984. The Kap København Formation, a late Cainozoic sedimentary sequence in North Greenland. Grønlands Geologiske Undersøgelse, 120, 9–18.

Fyles, J.G., 1989: High terrace sediments probably of Neogene age, west-central Ellesmere Island, Northwest Territories; in Current Research, Part D; Geological Survey of Canada, Paper 89-1 D, p. 101-104.

Fyles, J.G., 1990. Beaufort Formation (Late Tertiary) as seen from Prince Patrick Island, Arctic Canada. Arctic 43, 393-403.

Fyles, J.G., Marincovich, L., Jr., Matthews, J.V., Jr., Barendregt, R., 1991. Unique mollusc find in the Beaufort Formation (Pliocene) on Meighen Island, Arctic Canada; in Current Research, Part B; Geological Survey of Canada, Paper 91-1 B, 105-112.

Fyles, J.G., Hills, L.V., Matthews, J.V., Barendregt, R., Baker, J., Irving, E., Jetté, H., 1994. Ballast Brook and Beaufort Formations (late Tertiary) on Northern Banks Island, Arctic Canada. Quaternary International 22–23, 141-171.

Pedersen, V.K., Larsen, N.K., Egholm, D.L., 2019. The timing of fjord formation and early glaciations in North and Northeast Greenland. Geol­ogy 47, 682–686.

How to cite: Pedersen, V. K., Brand, C., Krog Larsen, N., and Folmer Damsgård, J.: Constraining fjord formation and isostatic uplift in Arctic Canada and Northeast Greenland using Pliocene-early Pleistocene sediment deposits, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6359, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6359, 2026.

EGU26-9053 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

SIBERICE v1: a database of Quaternary glacial reconstructions, glacial geomorphology, and chronometric data in Siberia 

Benjamin Boyes, Iestyn Barr, Rachel Oien, Izabela Szuman, Monica Winsborrow, and Martin Margold

The Quaternary glacial history of Siberia is uncertain, with several competing reconstructions existing in the published literature. This uncertainty is driven by seemingly incomplete and inconsistent records of glacial geomorphology and a patchy record of chronometric data. To address this, we have compiled previously published glacial geomorphological maps and chronometric data to establish what empirical data for former glaciations exist across Siberia. We also use these data to test the currently published glacial reconstructions to determine which, if any, reconstruction can be best underpinned by current empirical evidence. In turn, we will attempt to reconcile the competing reconstructions into coherent glaciation scenarios for the Quaternary stadials or highlight where palaeo-glaciological research is needed.

Here, we present version-1 of the SIBERICE database, a compilation of all previously published glacial geomorphology, chronometric data, and glacial reconstructions published up to 1 January 2026. The SIBERICE database is a Geographic Information System (GIS) database that make data readily accessible, including information published in often overlooked Russian-language journal articles.

How to cite: Boyes, B., Barr, I., Oien, R., Szuman, I., Winsborrow, M., and Margold, M.: SIBERICE v1: a database of Quaternary glacial reconstructions, glacial geomorphology, and chronometric data in Siberia, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9053, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9053, 2026.

EGU26-9543 | Orals | CR1.4

Soft-bed distributed subglacial sedimentology 

Jane Hart and Kirk Martinez

The nature of the subglacial environment is a key part of glacier dynamics. Studies from modern glaciers have revealed there is a continuum in subglacial fluvial behaviour associated with a soft-bed, from channelised to distributed. How is this continuum preserved within the sedimentary record and what is the relationship between fluvioglacial sediments and flutes?  Classically eskers are associated with channelized drainage, whilst the sedimentary remains of ‘canals’, ‘subglacial meltwater corridors’ and murtoos may reflect the distributed system. Stratified lenses within till are common and have been given numerous interpretations, either reflecting preglacial sediments that have been incorporated into the till by deformation, or penecontemporaneous sedimentation with the till. We use data from instrumented modern glaciers and Quaternary sections to illustrate the nature and rate of subglacial behaviour associated with soft-bedded glaciers.

How to cite: Hart, J. and Martinez, K.: Soft-bed distributed subglacial sedimentology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9543, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9543, 2026.

EGU26-10117 | Orals | CR1.4

Reconstructing Plio-Quaternary fluctuations of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet in Terre Adélie inferred from cosmogenic nuclides (10Be-26Al) in glacially-polished bedrock, morainic boulders and nunataks  

Yann Rolland, Marcelline Péan, Pierre Valla, Guillaume Duclaux, Régis Braucher, Vincent Jomelli, Vincent Favier, Irene Schimmelpfennig, Xavier Crosta, Johan Etourneau, and Margot Louis

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) contribution for future global sea level rise and climate change is source of uncertainty, and it appears essential to reconstruct its past fluctuations. Previous works reveal geomorphic and chronological evidence that the ice sheet extended to the continental shelf break during LGM (Last Glacial Maximum; ~20 ka). However, still little is known about its response to the major climate and oceanic transitions following the LGM. In this study, we reconstruct (1) a chronology of ice-sheet fluctuations, (2) ice-sheet past erosion efficiency and (3) ice-sheet thinning during the late-Pleistocene to Holocene time-period, in Terre Adélie (East Antarctica). Newly obtained exposure ages for coupled 10Be-26Al support a scenario of glacial fluctuations at global, regional and local scales. Inland nunataks reveal some long-term exposure with apparent exposure ages ~150 ka, while coastal areas record a past ice-sheet thinning after ~20 ka. Ages measured on erratic boulders of Archipel Pointe Géologie record the final episode of a regional deglaciation around ~15 ka. Slightly inland, in Lacroix sector, erratic boulders record a more recent local ice-sheet oscillations around ~1.5 ka. In contrast, exposure ages obtained on glacially-polished bedrock are characterised by spatially-variable inheritance, suggesting that past ice sheet retreat history is characterised by variations in erosion efficiency. Finally, our results also suggest some potential previous geomorphological inheritance from the hot Pliocene phase.

How to cite: Rolland, Y., Péan, M., Valla, P., Duclaux, G., Braucher, R., Jomelli, V., Favier, V., Schimmelpfennig, I., Crosta, X., Etourneau, J., and Louis, M.: Reconstructing Plio-Quaternary fluctuations of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet in Terre Adélie inferred from cosmogenic nuclides (10Be-26Al) in glacially-polished bedrock, morainic boulders and nunataks , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10117, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10117, 2026.

EGU26-10565 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Vernagtferner flute field findings, Austrian Alps 

Paulina Mejías Osorio, Ricarda Wohlschlägl, Sara Karbacher, Thomas Vandyk, Bethan J. Davies, Bernhard Grasemann, and Daniel P. Le Heron

Glacial forefields host abundant information regarding the sedimentary processes associated with glacier dynamics. Transport pathways and sediment deposition can be characterized by investigating the landforms and sediments found in these areas. One such area is the Vernagtferner forefield in the Austrian Alps, which contrasts with other surrounding glaciers due to the presence of a large surface covered by flutes. These flutes can reach up to 250 m in length and have been continuously exposed over the past decades as the glacier recedes, but have not been researched recently. Since this glacier has been regularly studied (with records from as early as 1601) and it has been linked to surging episodes in the past, there are plenty of questions to be answered related to its current behavior. Here we present the results of sedimentological observations, as well as geomorphological mapping and statistics based on fieldwork, historical, and uncrewed aerial vehicle imagery. We highlight aspects of the glacial forefield and the contrast between what can be seen in 2023-2024 and snapshots from the past 50 years. In a changing climate, understanding how rapid glacial recession affects the deposition of sediments and the parameters that govern them will be useful in deciphering glacial dynamics and contrasting them with the paleorecord. 

How to cite: Mejías Osorio, P., Wohlschlägl, R., Karbacher, S., Vandyk, T., Davies, B. J., Grasemann, B., and Le Heron, D. P.: Vernagtferner flute field findings, Austrian Alps, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10565, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10565, 2026.

EGU26-11727 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Modelling the evolution of Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica across the last interglacial-glacial cycle – insights from isochrone modelling. 

Vjeran Višnjević, Julien Bodart, Antoine Hermant, Emma Spezia, Christian Wirths, and Johannes Sutter

Reconstructions of Antarctica's past ice-sheet evolution remain poorly constrained due to sparse, spatially discontinuous proxies, limiting accurate projections of its future sea-level contribution. Here we present a novel isochronally-constrained reconstruction of Dronning Maud Land (DML), East Antarctica spanning the last interglacial-glacial cycle (~130 kyr), integrating extensive radar-derived internal reflection horizons (IRHs) with PISM ice-sheet simulations.

IRHs preserve continuous records of past accumulation, flow, and basal conditions, providing unprecedented spatiotemporal constraints for model validation. Our ensemble simulations indicate that DML’s sea-level potential change between interglacial and glacial states is comparable to, and likely larger than, the contribution of all modern mountain glaciers, and show that variations in geothermal flux alone can substantially alter sea-level projections. These results provide physical modelling context of East Antarctica's ice history, reveal DML's role in Last Interglacial sea-level rise, and highlight persistent parameterization uncertainties limiting future projections.

How to cite: Višnjević, V., Bodart, J., Hermant, A., Spezia, E., Wirths, C., and Sutter, J.: Modelling the evolution of Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica across the last interglacial-glacial cycle – insights from isochrone modelling., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11727, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11727, 2026.

EGU26-11797 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Constraining Early and Middle Pleistocene Laurentide Ice Sheet advances with 10Be-26Al burial dating 

Ruben Bertels, Kaleb Wagner, Lotta Ylä-Mella, Benjamin J. Stoker, John D. Jansen, and Martin Margold

Throughout the Quaternary, cyclical variations in global ice volume are recorded by benthic marine δ18O fluctuations. This signal is dominated by the waxing and waning of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets, particularly the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) in North America, which builds periodically into the largest of all ice sheets on Earth. At such times, the LIS advanced southward into the American Midwest where glacial deposits emplaced prior to Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6 are known from just a handful of securely-dated sites. Consequently, current understandings of LIS extent and volume through time are incomplete and poorly constrained.

Here, we focus on tills bearing putative pre-MIS 6 depositional ages along the southern and southwestern margins of the LIS. We combine single-grain sedimentary provenance analyses with cosmogenic 10Be-26Al burial dating in an aim to better resolve till chronology and provenance, using P-PINI and CosmoChron numerical models to calculate burial ages.

Building on existing magneto-, tephro-, and lithostratigraphic correlations, our new burial ages will significantly improve knowledge of the timing and extent of the LIS and its sediment source areas feeding different ice sheet sectors along the southern and southwestern margins. Our findings will improve reconstructions of LIS configurations through time, and yield new insights into Early–Middle Pleistocene global ice volume variability linked directly to the terrestrial record.

How to cite: Bertels, R., Wagner, K., Ylä-Mella, L., Stoker, B. J., Jansen, J. D., and Margold, M.: Constraining Early and Middle Pleistocene Laurentide Ice Sheet advances with 10Be-26Al burial dating, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-11797, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-11797, 2026.

EGU26-12234 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

From source to sink: Quantifying Quaternary erosion from offshore deposits associated with the Greenland Ice Sheet 

Caroline Brand, Judith Elger, Katrine Juul Andresen, Thomas Mejer Hansen, Victor Sixto Poulsen, Lara F. Pérez, Matthew Fox, Christoph Böttner, Paul Knutz, Jonas Folmer Damsgård, and Vivi Kathrine Pedersen

Glacially derived, marine sediments preserve a record of the timing, extent, and dynamics of shelf glaciation. In addition, these deposits can provide constraints on glacial erosion rates and offer insights into landscape evolution. However, in Greenland, the total offshore volume of glacially derived sediments remains poorly constrained due to an uneven distribution of offshore seismic surveys and a lack of dating constraints. To address this, we present a first quantification of Quaternary glacial sediment thicknesses around Greenland, combining interpretations of available marine seismic data with age constraints where scientific boreholes are available and a neural network approach. We train the neural network using the seismic-derived thicknesses, along with several parameters related to glacial and geomorphological features. This approach allows us to predict Quaternary sediment thicknesses in regions with sparse data coverage, thereby constraining the total volumes of deposition. Our estimates reveal regional variations in glacial deposition volumes and sediment thicknesses around Greenland. On the southern and parts of the northern Greenlandic continental slope, Quaternary sediments are thin, whereas in west and east Greenland, larger sediment deposits have led to a greater shelf progradation throughout the Quaternary. These patterns demonstrate a diverse influence of (paleo-)climatic, oceanographic, and orographic processes on glacial dynamics and the source-to-sink sediment transport. Finally, we compare our estimates of Quaternary offshore deposition with estimates of onshore glacial erosion inferred from paleo-topographic reconstructions and erosion potentials of the present ice sheet, based on ice sliding velocities. This provides insights into the temporal and spatial variability of erosion around Greenland, advancing our understanding of the long-term landscape evolution in glaciated regions.

How to cite: Brand, C., Elger, J., Andresen, K. J., Hansen, T. M., Poulsen, V. S., Pérez, L. F., Fox, M., Böttner, C., Knutz, P., Damsgård, J. F., and Pedersen, V. K.: From source to sink: Quantifying Quaternary erosion from offshore deposits associated with the Greenland Ice Sheet, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12234, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12234, 2026.

EGU26-12657 | Posters on site | CR1.4

The formation of flute fields in glacial environments 

Daniel Le Heron, Marie Busfield, Paulina Mejías Osorio, Bertus Smith, Saeed Tofaif, and Ricarda Wohlschlägl

Understanding the processes at glacier beds is crucial as they regulate ice flow, basal sediment dynamics, and meltwater routing, which collectively control glacier stability and response to climate change. Flute fields are a vital archive of subglacial processes, widespread in both terrestrial and marine glacial environments, whereby sediments are fashioned subglacially into lineations at different scales. The assemblages are highly variable in both environments, yet models to explain this are outstanding, and aspects of preservational bias are rarely entertained. Integrating observations from modern Alpine forefields (Austria) with exceptionally preserved Late Ordovician and Late Paleozoic examples in Africa and Arabia, we interrogate terrestrial and glaciomarine flute fields. Flutes, megaflutes, and diamictons occur in both settings, but architecture is strongly context-dependent. Terrestrial flutes degrade rapidly under surface meltwater and rainfall, whereas marine flute fields are commonly preserved beneath fine-grained shales, recording stacked lobate sediments with superimposed mega-scale glacial lineations, metre-scale flutes, and centimetre-scale soft-sediment striae. Oversteepened subaqueous flutes collapse laterally, forming fan-shaped deposits, and lateral margins exhibit scalloped surfaces that record focused subglacial meltwater discharge. We propose a conceptual model in which metre- and centimetre-scale lobes act as miniature grounding zone wedges, forming through simultaneous deposition and shearing beneath tidewater glaciers. This framework reveals how subglacial processes are recorded in preserved landforms and demonstrates that integrating modern and ancient records is essential to understanding glacier–bed interactions.

How to cite: Le Heron, D., Busfield, M., Mejías Osorio, P., Smith, B., Tofaif, S., and Wohlschlägl, R.: The formation of flute fields in glacial environments, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12657, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12657, 2026.

EGU26-12949 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Glacial-interglacial cycles in the Western Alps (Middle Durance Valley, France): sedimentary evolution and responses of continental surfaces 

Virgile Dervis, Alexis Nutz, Magali Rizza, Régis Braucher, Pierre Dietrich, and Hélène Tissoux

The existence of glacial cycles in the Alps was proposed as early as the first half of the 19th century following the observation of numerous direct traces left by glaciers in lower parts of alpine valleys. However, the influence of glacial-interglacial cycles on sediment transfer from the internal source zone to the peripheral mountain range is only now being re-investigated in the context of the recent “Source to sink” approach.

The study, part of the DYMODU project (2023–2026), a collaboration between the CNRS and the RGF focuses on new geological, geomorphological and geochronological investigations undergone in the Laragne-Montéglin depression and along the Middle Durance (western Alps, France). The DYMODU project aims at deciphering the role of glacial-interglacial cycles in both the landscape organization of alpine valleys and the evolution of routing systems during the Quaternary. The sediment pile shows a characteristic sedimentary motif repeated four times, indicating a succession of four aggradation-incision cycles. The sedimentary motif records a period of aggradation during which a several tens of metres thick conglomerate fills one or more palaeo-valleys, affecting the underlying units. This conglomerate is topped by glaciogenic deposits (ground till, morainic vallum), then incised by one or more palaeo-valleys affecting the entire sedimentary series, often down to the underlying sediments before the onset of the aggradation phase of the next cycle begins, and fills these palaeo-valleys.

To confirm the integration of these cycles into the Quaternary evolution of the area, preliminary dating was carried out on various sedimentary morphostructures using Optically Stimulated Luminescence dating (OSL), Electron Spin Resonance dating (ESR) and Cosmogenic Nuclides (CN).

In this contribution, we will present the sedimentary pattern of a typical sequence. We will attempt to deconvolute the signals of the general Alpine uplift, the lithospheric flexure due to glaciation, and the glacio-isostatic rebound during deglaciation. This will enable us to discuss the interdependencies between climate and tectonics for valley glacier systems and the forcings that influenced sediment routing during the Upper Pleistocene in the Alps.

How to cite: Dervis, V., Nutz, A., Rizza, M., Braucher, R., Dietrich, P., and Tissoux, H.: Glacial-interglacial cycles in the Western Alps (Middle Durance Valley, France): sedimentary evolution and responses of continental surfaces, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12949, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12949, 2026.

EGU26-14137 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Deglaciation of the Ardencaple Fjord and adjacent shelf environment, Northeast Greenland 

Mads Ramsgaard Stoltenberg, Karoline Kristensen, Christoph Böttner, Adrián López-Quirós, Joanna Davies, Juliette Girard, Henrieka Detlef, Guillaume St‐Onge, Christof Pearce, and Marit-Solveig Seidenkrantz

In this study, we integrate marine geophysical datasets and analyses of four marine sediment cores to reconstruct the deglaciation and paleoenvironmental development of the Ardencaple Fjord and the adjacent cross-shelf trough in Northeast Greenland. Although recent studies have presented isochron-based reconstructions of the circum-Greenland ice margin since the last deglaciation, crucial knowledge gaps regarding the timing and dynamics of ice retreat still exist, particularly in offshore Northeast Greenland, where former glaciated trough systems hosted fast-flowing ice.

Our preliminary results indicate fast retreat dynamics of the ice based on observations of glacial lineation morphologies on the seabed, while sedimentological data enable spatiotemporal reconstructions of grounding line positions and floating ice margins. A preliminary chronological framework constraining the ice retreat across the core sites is based on radiocarbon dates, supplemented by paleomagnetic secular variation records. Our reconstruction further allows us to assess benthic ecosystem responses to deglaciation, contributing to the current evaluation of benthic foraminifera as a proxy for identifying stages of deglaciation in marine sediments around Greenland.

How to cite: Ramsgaard Stoltenberg, M., Kristensen, K., Böttner, C., López-Quirós, A., Davies, J., Girard, J., Detlef, H., St‐Onge, G., Pearce, C., and Seidenkrantz, M.-S.: Deglaciation of the Ardencaple Fjord and adjacent shelf environment, Northeast Greenland, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14137, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14137, 2026.

EGU26-14254 | Posters on site | CR1.4

Deglaciation of the ancestral Kangerlussuaq Glacier from the continental shelf offshore of SE Greenland following the LGM 

Colm O'Cofaigh, Matthew Hunt, Jeremy Lloyd, Kelly Hogan, Camilla Snowman Andresen, Robert Larter, and David Roberts

Marine geophysical data and sediment cores were collected from the continental shelf and slope offshore of SE Greenland during cruise SD041 of the UK research vessel the RRS Sir David Attenborough in 2024. The cruise collected a range of geological, geophysical, oceanographic and biological data. The cruise was part of the ‘Kang-Glac’ project, the aim of which is to investigate the response of the Greenland Ice Sheet to ocean warming during the last 11,700 years. Marine geophysical data and radiocarbon-dated sediment cores provide a clear record of an extensive Greenland Ice Sheet which expanded and retreated across the continental shelf offshore of SE Greenland during, and following, the last glacial maximum. An ancestral Kangerlussuaq Glacier flowed along Kangerlussuaq Trough, a cross shelf bathymetric trough which extends from the mouth of Kangerlussuaq Fiord to the edge of the continental shelf, where it terminates in a trough-mouth fan. Streamlined subglacial bedforms record convergent ice flow into the trough. Sediment cores from along the trough recovered subglacial tills recording a grounded ice sheet. The tills are overlain by a range of deglacial, glacimarine facies recording ice sheet retreat by melting and iceberg calving. A suite of new radiocarbon dates were obtained on foraminifera and shells from the deglacial facies in a transect of cores extending from the trough-mouth fan to the inner shelf. The dates constrain the timing of initial retreat from the outer shelf and allow the position of the grounding-line to be tracked during retreat. The new radiocarbon dates significantly improve the offshore temporal constraints on the post-LGM deglaciation for this sector of the Greenland Ice Sheet and, allied with core sedimentology and foraminferal assemblage data, allow assessment of the role of ocean warming in driving retreat of the ancestral Kangerlussuaq Glacier.

 

How to cite: O'Cofaigh, C., Hunt, M., Lloyd, J., Hogan, K., Snowman Andresen, C., Larter, R., and Roberts, D.: Deglaciation of the ancestral Kangerlussuaq Glacier from the continental shelf offshore of SE Greenland following the LGM, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14254, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14254, 2026.

EGU26-14737 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Two million years of the Eurasian Ice Sheet 

Kaleb Wagner, Lotta Ylä-Mella, Martin Margold, Mads Faurschou Knudsen, and John D. Jansen

Reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets throughout the Quaternary are central to interpreting past variations in sea level, ocean-atmospheric circulation, and climate. Yet, terrestrial records of the earliest glaciations are fragmentary and anchored principally to relative chronostratigraphic frameworks, limiting direct comparison with more continuous marine archives. Here, we present new dating and sedimentary provenance constraints, motivating reassessment of the early history of the Eurasian Ice Sheet (EIS) and its role within the evolving Pleistocene climate system.

Cosmogenic 26Al-10Be burial dating of key glacigenic deposits from northwest and central Europe reveals that extensive EIS advances occurred repeatedly during the Early Pleistocene, beginning as early as ~2.35 million years ago (Ma), and substantially predating the traditionally inferred onset of lowland glaciation during marine isotope stages (MIS) 16–12 (~0.65–0.45 Ma). Detrital zircon U-Pb fingerprinting of these deposits indicates that successive EIS advances transported sediment from the Fennoscandian Shield into the North Sea Basin and the North European Plain, implying that ice flow pathways through the Baltic Depression were established already in the Early Pleistocene and the Baltic (Eridanos) River System had terminated by at least ~1.5 Ma.

Our revised chronologies highlight that the most extensive EIS configurations formed prior to the Middle Pleistocene Transition, and within the context of apparent low-amplitude glacial cycles of the ‘41-kyr world.’ When integrated with independent geochronologic evidence from North America, these findings (within uncertainties) point to broadly synchronous Early–Middle Pleistocene expansions of the major Northern Hemisphere ice sheets. Such early attainment of continental-scale ice sheets may help to reconcile available terrestrial evidence with emerging reconstructions of significant glacial sea-level lowstands prior to the dominance of ~100-thousand year glacial cycles.

More generally, this synthesis calls for re-examination of long-standing European Quaternary stratigraphic frameworks and suggests that Eurasian glaciation may have played an important role in reorganizing continental drainage, modulating freshwater delivery to the North Atlantic, and influencing ocean-atmospheric circulation throughout the Early–Middle Pleistocene.

How to cite: Wagner, K., Ylä-Mella, L., Margold, M., Faurschou Knudsen, M., and D. Jansen, J.: Two million years of the Eurasian Ice Sheet, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14737, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14737, 2026.

EGU26-15366 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

The case for Ross Bank ice rises since the middle Miocene 

William Weber and Philip Bart

Many tens of ice rises exist at the marine margins of the Antarctic Ice Sheet.  Isle-type ice rises in particular are those where an ice shelf is pinned to an underlying submarine bank.  Recent and ongoing studies show that Ross Bank, on the middle continental shelf of central Ross Sea, was the former site of an important Ross Ice Shelf ice rise during the advance and retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) in the last glacial cycle.  Ross Bank is a broad and anomalously shallow water platform whose crest rises to 150 m water depth. Despite its importance as a buttressing site, little is known about how, when and why such submarine banks formed. Here, we use a grid of seismic data acquired during expedition NBP2301/2 to reconstruct how Ross Bank morphology evolved.  Our seismic-based correlations and mapping show that Ross Bank overlies the western flank of the Central High, a large basement horst created during the rifting of Ross Sea.  Seismic correlation to lithologic and chronologic control at IODP expedition 374 sites U1521 and U1522 indicates that thick grounding zone wedges were deposited at the site of Ross Bank during the early Miocene.  Intermittent advance of erosive ice streams deeply eroded those wedges and produced approximately 400 meters of relief at Ross Bank prior to the middle Miocene.  The complete absence of middle Miocene strata at Ross Bank suggests significant intervals of subglacial erosion associated with glacial stages of the Middle Miocene Shift.  In the time since, relatively minor aggradation on the crest of Ross Bank occurred during parts of the late Miocene, Pliocene and Pleistocene. Our analyses make the case that a shallow submarine area existed at Ross Bank since the middle Miocene.  The bank would have been the site of ice rises that influenced the advance and retreat of the WAIS in central Ross Sea over the past 14 Myr.

How to cite: Weber, W. and Bart, P.: The case for Ross Bank ice rises since the middle Miocene, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15366, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15366, 2026.

EGU26-15518 | Orals | CR1.4

GLAC3 rates and phasing: the first joint history matching of global last glacial cycle ice sheet evolution and regional earth rheology 

Lev Tarasov, April Dalton, Art Dyke, Marilena Geng, Alexis Goffin, Anna Hughes, Benoit Lecavalier, Jan Mangerud, Glenn Milne, John-Inge Svendsen, and Sarah Woodroffe

GLAC3 is the first history matching of every last glacial cycle ice sheet. It therefore includes North American, Greenlandic, Icelandic,
Eurasian, Tibetan, Patagonian, and Antarctic components. Instead of determining a non-robust "optimal" chronology, history matching aims
to "bound reality" with robust assessment of both proxy data and model (both parametric and structural) uncertainties. For the four major ice
sheets, this entails Bayesian artificial neural network emulation of the glaciological model predictions to enable adequate Markov Chain
Monte Carlo sampling of chronologies. The history matching is against a large set of geophysical (such as relative sea level and marine
limit), geological (cosmogenic exposure and C14 ages), and glaciological (such as present-day ice surface velocity) constraints.

Aside from being a product of history matching, GLAC3 has two additional unique features. Firstly, it is the only available
deglacial, let alone full glacial cycle, global set of chronologies from glaciological modelling, using the Glacial Systems Model
(GSM) with hybrid shallow ice and shallow shelf ice dynamic. This enables physical resolution of ice sheets, ice streams, ice shelves,
and grounding line migration. As such, GLAC3 is subject to glaciological constraints such as borehole temperature profiles that
non-glaciological reconstructions can't resolve. Secondly, the glaciologically modelling is self-consistently coupled with full
visco-elastic glacio-isostatic adjustment enabling joint history matching of ice history and regional earth viscosity.

The presentation will focus on the relative phasing of each ice sheet, rates of mass gain and loss, and rates of ice margin migration. This
will be compared against both far-field relative sea level records as well as the results of fully coupled ice and climate modelling of the
last glacial cycle with LCice (LOVECLIM + GSM).

How to cite: Tarasov, L., Dalton, A., Dyke, A., Geng, M., Goffin, A., Hughes, A., Lecavalier, B., Mangerud, J., Milne, G., Svendsen, J.-I., and Woodroffe, S.: GLAC3 rates and phasing: the first joint history matching of global last glacial cycle ice sheet evolution and regional earth rheology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15518, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15518, 2026.

Reconstructing the precise timing and geometry of the British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) is critical for understanding the sensitivity of the North Atlantic climate system to abrupt perturbations. We present preliminary results from a cosmogenic beryllium-10 (10Be) surface-exposure chronology of glacial deposits in the Gaddagh valley, situated on the northern flank of the McGillycuddy’s Reeks, southwest Ireland. Our geomorphological and chronological transect reveals a detailed history of deglaciation and ice-margin fluctuations since the Late Pleistocene.

Initial results indicate that high-elevation areas (300–350 m asl) adjacent to the main valley were ice-free by ~28 ka (n=2), suggesting an earlier onset of local thinning than previously modelled. The prominent "Hag’s Tooth Moraine”, the primary geomorphological feature in the valley, appears to represent a culmination during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Following this peak, the deposition of a barely preserved subdued moraine impounded Loch Callee at ~19 ka (n=3), marking a significant phase of ice retreat at the onset of Termination 1. The final pulse of glacial activity is recorded 200 m higher in the catchment by a complex of five latero-frontal moraines. These landforms mark the former extent of a small cirque glacier, with the final abandonment of these positions occurring at ~12.7 ka (n=3).

Thus far, our findings implicate the following. First, the data do not support a complete ice cover over the McGillycuddy’s Reeks during the LGM as previously proposed; instead, we suggest that ice was topographically restricted to the main valleys, with the front of the Gaddah glacier not below 150 m asl. Second, our chronology indicates that terminal deglaciation occurred during a period traditionally associated with relatively cold climate conditions. This pattern of glacier recession during inferred year-round cold climate aligns with recent 10Be chronologies from Scotland (Bromley et al., 2018, 2023), central East Greenland (Kelly et al., 2025), southernmost Greenland (Carlson et al., 2021) and Norway (Putnam et al., 2023; Wittmeier et al., 2020), which demonstrate glacier shrinkage during the Younger Dryas. These results contribute to the ongoing discussion about glacier extension in the area and the evolving paradigm of North Atlantic climate dynamics, emphasizing the role of summer temperature as the primary driver of glacial mass balance during millennial-scale stadials.

 

How to cite: Rodriguez, P. and Bromley, G.: Lateglacial deglaciation of the McGillycuddy’s Reeks, SW Ireland through 10Be surface-exposure dating of glacial deposits in the Gaddah Valley: Implications for late glacial climate variability., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15730, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15730, 2026.

EGU26-16257 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Evidence and implications of rapid early-Holocene thinning of Scott Glacier, East Antarctica 

Corey Port, Richard Jones, Andrew Mackintosh, Levan Tielidze, Reka Fulop, Klaus Wilcken, Tyler Pelle, Duanne White, and Jacinda O'Connor

The East Antarctic Ice Sheet is showing evidence of mass loss, particularly near its coastal margin in the Wilkes and Aurora Subglacial Basins, and at Denman Glacier. Quantitative satellite observations indicate significant grounding line retreat at these sites, suggesting potential vulnerability to Marine Ice Sheet Instability. Reconstructions of past ice sheet behaviour using cosmogenic exposure dating can provide robust geological constraints on prior ice sheet thinning. This helps us assess whether contemporary thinning and retreat is unprecedented, while also establishing a geologically constrained precedent for ice-sheet behaviour and sensitivity to which projections can be compared.

Here we present the first reconstruction of Holocene thinning of Scott Glacier, East Antarctica, located 56 km east of Denman Glacier. Scott Glacier is currently stable, pinned by subglacial topography, though is projected to retreat into the Denman trough, and ultimately contribute to the instability of the Denman-Scott System. Together, the Denman and Scott Glacier could contribute up to 1.5 m to global sea level rise if fully deglaciated. To examine its past behaviour, we collected 11 bedrock and erratic samples over an elevation transect at Grace Rocks (-66.421S, 100.508E), an ice-free nunatak adjacent to the modern-day grounding line. Exposure ages were then derived from measured cosmogenic Berilyum-10 and in-situ Carbon-14 concentrations. Together, they provide consistent evidence for rapid thinning during the early-Holocene, with estimates suggesting a maximum thinning rate of ~1 m/yr, comparable to thinning observed in parts of the ice sheet today. This thinning history provides robust geological constraints on the past behaviour and sensitivity of Scott Glacier, and a baseline from which to assess its contemporary and projected retreat and vulnerability.

We also derive projections of ice elevation change at Scott Glacier from simulations with the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM). Projections show thinning rates exceeding 2 m/yr over the next two centuries across the Denman-Scott region, with an average thinning rate of 0.65 m/yr at Grace Rocks projected until 2085. While there are uncertainties associated with these models, the rates and sensitivity we established from the early-Holocene geological record suggest that modelled changes of this magnitude are plausible, and that despite contemporary stability, Scott Glacier is at risk of contributing significantly to regional icesheet instability and sea level rise in coming decades to centuries.

How to cite: Port, C., Jones, R., Mackintosh, A., Tielidze, L., Fulop, R., Wilcken, K., Pelle, T., White, D., and O'Connor, J.: Evidence and implications of rapid early-Holocene thinning of Scott Glacier, East Antarctica, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16257, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16257, 2026.

EGU26-16822 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Constraining subglacial erosion in Greenland using estimates of fjord sediment volumes and ice-flow modeling 

Jonas Damsgård, Caroline Brand, Gustav Jungdal-Olesen, and Vivi Pedersen

Fjord landscapes along the margins of past and present ice sheets testify to the significant long-term erosive power of large outlet glaciers. Yet, our understanding of the rates and processes of subglacial erosion and sediment transport beneath ice sheets remains incomplete. Quantifying these processes is crucial for reconstructing past ice dynamics, estimating sediment fluxes to the ocean, and understanding long-term landscape evolution.

Greenland’s narrow, steep-sided fjords act as natural sediment traps, preserving erosion products delivered by large outlet glaciers during deglaciation. These fjord sediments constitute a valuable constraint on past erosion rates and glacial sediment fluxes when combined with ice catchment areas and retreat histories in a source-to-sink framework. However, most Greenlandic fjords remain unmapped in terms of sediment thickness because sediment cores rarely penetrate deeply and seismic data acquisition is sparse. In contrast, accurate bathymetric data are increasingly available for many fjords. We use a geomorphological approach to estimate sediment infill volumes based on fjord cross-sectional profiles, where deviations from the expected U-shape and the slope of the sidewalls are used to infer sediment thickness.

We quantify fjord infill volumes for several fjords and use these to estimate average catchment-wide erosion rates. The timing of deposition (starting when the ice retreated into the fjord) is constrained by available deglaciation models. To further explore the temporal and spatial variability of subglacial erosion, we employ a coupled ice-flow and erosion model (iSOSIA), driven by paleoclimate forcing, to simulate erosion beneath marine-terminating outlet glaciers during the last deglaciation (~21–0 ka BP). Modeled sediment outputs are compared with our estimates of sediment volumes and accumulation rates from sediment cores to calibrate the model erosion parameters.

Our results indicate that average deglacial erosion rates are largely independent of catchment size but vary significantly through time and space within ice-sheet catchments. Rates can exceed 10 mm yr⁻¹ for topographically steered, fast-flowing outlet glaciers, while much lower rates (<0.1 mm yr⁻¹) occur in slower-flowing interior regions with slow-moving ice. Quantifying and linking offshore sediment volumes with numerical modeling provides an opportunity to constrain subglacial erosion rates, sediment transport and ice-sheet reconstructions. This work demonstrates the value of integrating glaciological modeling with marine sediment archives to refine erosion estimates and improve predictions of future sediment fluxes under continued ice-sheet retreat.

How to cite: Damsgård, J., Brand, C., Jungdal-Olesen, G., and Pedersen, V.: Constraining subglacial erosion in Greenland using estimates of fjord sediment volumes and ice-flow modeling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16822, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16822, 2026.

EGU26-18150 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Dynamics of the British-Irish Ice Sheet in the South of Ireland. 

Apolline Mariotti, Helen Dulfer, Margaret Jackson, and Samuel E. Kelley

Accurate reconstructions of past ice sheet dynamics are essential for constraining ice sheet sensitivity to climate forcing and projecting future sea-level rise in a warming climate. The British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) during the Last Glacial Maximum presents a critical test case, and yet, reconstructions of its southern margin across Ireland differ fundamentally in both extent and timing.
 
Earlier geomorphic mapping-based models proposed an ice-free corridor across southern Ireland during the last glacial period. In contrast, more recent offshore and near-shore sediment-based reconstructions propose a maximum BIIS extent covering the entire island and extending to the continental shelf edge, requiring an ice sheet thick enough to override most Irish mountain ranges. This interpretation conflicts with evidence for localized mountain glaciation in the same time period in areas like the Wicklows Mountains, which would have been impossible under a thick ice sheet. The scarcity of reliable terrestrial geochronological control points (e.g., cosmogenic exposure ages, OSL, 14C) in southern Ireland significantly contributes to these uncertainties, thus limiting the accuracy of reconstructions of BIIS expansion and retreat.
 
This project aims to resolve these contradictions by providing robust chronological control on the position of the BIIS margin in the south of Ireland. We conducted sampling campaigns in three critical locations: the Wicklow Mountains, the Comeragh Mountains, and the Kerry Peninsula. Our sampling strategy targeted boulders at multiple elevations and aspects to capture both the timing and geometry of ice cover. We present preliminary 10Be surface-exposure ages from erratic boulders in the Comeragh Mountains (maximum elevation 792 m), sampled on transects from the northern, eastern, southern, and western slopes.
 
These chronological constraints will refine deglaciation scenarios for the BIIS southern margin, in turn improving our understanding of regional landscape evolution, and provide empirical data for testing ice sheet models under past climate conditions similar to future warming scenarios.

How to cite: Mariotti, A., Dulfer, H., Jackson, M., and Kelley, S. E.: Dynamics of the British-Irish Ice Sheet in the South of Ireland., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18150, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18150, 2026.

EGU26-20495 | ECS | Orals | CR1.4

Using reconstructed ice streams to calibrate a coupled climate-ice-sheet model of the North American Ice Sheet Complex during the Last Glacial Maximum  

Yvan Romé, Lauren Gregoire, Niall Gandy, Violet Patterson, and Jeremy Ely

Coupled climate-ice-sheet modelling provides critical insights into the mechanisms underlying ice-sheet-climate feedback. These processes have strong implications for past and future climate change events, yet modelling efforts remain constrained by uncertainties in key model parameters. To address this limitation, we rely on comparisons between model outputs and available records of past ice sheets. Historically, this involved matching simulated ice sheets to reconstructed extent and volume derived from a range of geomorphological and sea level change data. Although these metrics are useful to validate ice sheet geometry and volume, they only provide limited information on ice sheet dynamics. New methods, which compare the footprint of reconstructed and simulated palaeo-ice streams, offer promising ways to incorporate a dynamical dimension into model calibration (Ely et al., 2024, Journal of Quaternary Science). 

In this project, we catalogue the distinct dynamical configurations observed in an ensemble of coupled climate-ice-sheet simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21,000 years ago). This ensemble includes 124 equilibrium simulations generated using the coupled atmosphere-ice-sheet model FAMOUS-BISICLES, with variation applied to 12 model parameters representing ice dynamics, albedo and climate feedbacks (Patterson et al., 2025, EGUsphere). The ice sheet dynamics not only assess the model’s ability to replicate the LGM reconstructions of the Laurentide ice streams (Margold et al. 2018, Quaternary Science Reviews), but they also inform the sensitivity of the simulated ice sheets to climate forcing.  

Plausible simulations of the North American ice sheets in terms of volume and extent can be obtained across various regions of the parameters space, resulting in significant discrepancies in potential ice streaming patterns. Surface Mass Balance (SMB) is the main factor behind these changes in dynamical configurations: simulations with low accumulation tend to produce less numerous and intense ice streams, whereas high accumulation is associated with more vigorous ice streaming. In addition, the parametrisation of the ice dynamics influences the location and consistency of the ice streams, as well as the ability of the ice sheet to respond to climate change events. 

We find that simulations with relatively high SMB and ice dynamics parameters that enable fast-flowing and well-defined ice streams best match estimates of Last Glacial Maximum North American ice sheet extent, volume and ice stream location. Conversely, high friction coefficients and porous subglacial till, or low resolution of the ice sheet margins and the bedrock topography, result in ice stream patterns that are inconsistent with reconstructions and less responsive to climate forcing. This work demonstrates the relevance of comparison between reconstructions of past ice streams and model simulations to provide strong constraints on dynamical ice sheet models and ice sheet sensitivity to climate changes.

How to cite: Romé, Y., Gregoire, L., Gandy, N., Patterson, V., and Ely, J.: Using reconstructed ice streams to calibrate a coupled climate-ice-sheet model of the North American Ice Sheet Complex during the Last Glacial Maximum , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20495, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20495, 2026.

EGU26-20734 | ECS | Posters on site | CR1.4

Holocene evolution of the Amundsen Sea sector from three-dimensional modelling constrained by extensive ice-penetrating radar isochrones 

Julien A. Bodart, Johannes C.R. Sutter, Duncan A. Young, Donald D. Blankenship, Vjeran Višnjević, Antoine Hermant, and Emma Spezia

Whilst our understanding of the past ice-sheet extent of the Amundsen Sea sector at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) is relatively well known, the subsequent retreat (and potential re-advance) of Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers during the Holocene is contrastingly less understood. Some studies conducted across its neighbouring catchments, such as the Weddell and Ross Sea sectors, indicate that the grounding line may have retreated beyond its current position, and then subsequently re-advanced primarily due to isostatic rebound and stabilisation around pinning points. Over the Amundsen Sea sector, contrasting evidence suggests that non-linear changes in inland ice-sheet cover may have occurred, but little evidence exists for large changes affecting the continuous and gradual retreat of the grounding line from the LGM to its current position today. Here, we employ the three-dimensional PISM ice-sheet model to reconstruct the evolution of this sector since the LGM. We first explore the full parameter space using a Latin Hypercube Sampling method, and further constrain our best sets of simulations using extensive and newly available isochronal surfaces imaged by radars and dated at several snapshots throughout the last ~20 thousand years. We show that isochrones are essential for assessing the transient evolution of paleo simulations, particularly in off-divide areas of the ice sheet, and discuss how different geothermal heat-flux and SMB datasets impact the transient evolution of this sensitive sector.

How to cite: Bodart, J. A., Sutter, J. C. R., Young, D. A., Blankenship, D. D., Višnjević, V., Hermant, A., and Spezia, E.: Holocene evolution of the Amundsen Sea sector from three-dimensional modelling constrained by extensive ice-penetrating radar isochrones, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20734, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20734, 2026.

EGU26-20850 | Posters on site | CR1.4

IN SITU COSMOGENIC 10Be AND 14C: A WINDOW INTO PAST ICE SHEET THICKNESS IN SCOTLAND AND IRELAND 

Samuel E. Kelley, Clara Crowell, Nathaniel Lifton, and Simon Pendleton

The British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) is one of the best-constrained paleo-ice sheets in the world, with detailed geomorphological and geochronological data constraining margins and retreat patterns. Despite this, the thickness of this former ice sheet remains uncertain. High elevation locations offer potential for constraining former ice sheet thickness; however, a lack of glacial erosion due to cold-based ice cover of mountain summits limits the use of single isotope cosmogenic exposure dating, as inherited nuclides commonly yield ages older than the last glaciation from mountain top landscapes. As such, landscapes that experienced cold-based ice cover and those at relatively high elevations are underrepresented in glacial reconstructions, both for the BIIS and globally, thus negatively affecting their ability to serve as training datasets for numerical models used to reconstruct paleo-ice masses. Here, we use paired 10Be/14C extracted from bedrock and boulder samples in high-elevation locations across Scotland and Ireland. Our multi-nuclide approach uses one long-lived nuclide, 10Be, and one short-lived nuclide, 14C, allowing for an examination of two questions: 1) What is the vertical pattern of deglaciation across the BIIS? 2) Did mountaintops exist as nunataks during the last glaciation? To address these questions, we collected samples from one site in Scotland (Cairngorm Mountains) and four Irish mountains (Dublin, Wicklow, and Mourne Mountains, as well as Mt. Brandon in Dingle) for paired 10Be and 14C analysis, yielding 22 new pairs of exposure ages. At four of our study sites, 10Be results yield exposure ages preceding the LGM, indicative of a lack of erosion during the last glaciation or prolonged exposure. Our 14C results show concentrations at or near secular equilibrium at three of those sites, indicating either exposure during the last glaciation or a period of glaciation too short for inherited 14C to decay. These results provide insight into ice-mass thinning and the spatial pattern of glacial erosion, allowing for a more holistic view of cryospheric change in the region in response to a changing climate.

How to cite: Kelley, S. E., Crowell, C., Lifton, N., and Pendleton, S.: IN SITU COSMOGENIC 10Be AND 14C: A WINDOW INTO PAST ICE SHEET THICKNESS IN SCOTLAND AND IRELAND, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20850, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20850, 2026.

GM10 – Riverine Geomorphology

Pools and riffles are alternating topographic lows and highs that are ubiquitous in gravel-bed rivers. They create a mosaic of aquatic habitats and have therefore been central to the design of many river restoration initiatives. Despite extensive research, there remains much uncertainty about the processes governing their long-term evolution, while field identification remains constrained by subjective, flow-dependent criteria.

We present an objective and reproducible framework for delineating pools directly from bed topography. The method was applied to a 45-year record of annual topographic surveys at Carnation Creek, British Columbia. Our results indicate that pools persist in channel narrowing sections and become increasingly transient where the channel widens. The most persistent pool exhibited four distinct morphological phases, marked by non-uniform adjustments in depth, area, width, and volume. Principal component analysis further reveals that these phases are embedded within broader, reach-scale elevation patterns, demonstrating how pools are dynamic yet resilient features capable of organizing reach-scale channel morphology. Their adjustment arises from recurrent cycles of aggradation and degradation driven by feedback among flow variability, sediment storage, and antecedent bed conditions.

Together, this study presents the first empirical record of the surprisingly decadal-scale persistence and adjustment of pools at an annual resolution that has not been previously reported by any field-based investigation. From a restoration perspective, these findings underscore the need to restore underlying channel processes that allow pools to self-organize, rather than imposing static, form-based designs.

How to cite: Ng, R. and Hassan, M.: Pool evolution in gravel-bed reaches: Insights from a 45-year record at Carnation Creek, British Columbia , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-233, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-233, 2026.

Fluvial systems are repositories of past climatic and hydrological conditions, being sensitive to climatic, tectonic and environmental perturbations. Changes in these conditions trigger cascading effects within the system, altering the channel behaviour/morphology, geomorphic form and hydrological regime. Such perturbations often get preserved in sedimentary sequences and provide important links for understanding palaeo-environmental conditions. These links aid in reconstructing the evolutionary history of the fluvial system and their response to climatic and hydrological changes. The present work investigates the chronological evolution of the Subarnarekha River basin in eastern India. Situated within one of the world’s oldest cratons, this river’s corridor contains several remnant incised meander cutoffs on its upper terrace surface, steep successive terrace flanks, lateral meander migration signatures and well-defined scroll bar sequences on the adjacent floodplain. These topographic signatures denote possible alterations in the Subarnarekha River’s palaeo-hydrological regime, and its concomitant response. In thus study, such terrace deposits and palaeo-meander scroll bars have been investigated using high resolution DTM (2.5 m), geophysical imaging (GPR), sediment textural analysis and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating techniques, along with historical maps, to reconstruct the evolutionary trajectory of this river and its possible causative factors behind the discerned channel alterations. The obtained geochronological results reveal traces of sequential floodplain reworking during the Late Holocene. The Subarnarekha’s paleo-meander hydraulic parameters were ascertained to be much higher compared to the present-day active channel parameters, and contains multiple sinuous scrolls along the adjacent floodplain. Bankfull paleo-discharge was estimated using channel dimensions of remnant cutoff meander bends, which was found to be lower than present day discharges and then related with changing monsoonal regimes during the Holocene, as discerned from various climate proxies. Meander migration started at around 1.9 Ka, and the most recent transition to the current low-sinuous course of this river occurred at around 300 years before present, with lateral migration rates ranging between 2.4 – 4.5 m/yr. While the lower terrace surface still experiences frequent inundation impacted by higher monsoonal discharges and can be considered to be of Recent origin, deposition and abandonment of the middle terrace surfaces had occurred around the Mid-Holocene Era, indicating high incision rates by the river. This timeline corresponds to previously reported alternate strengthening and weakening phases of the Indian Summer Monsson (ISM) during the entire Holocene Period, which had caused higher monsoonal precipitation and enhanced river discharge. The sequential phases of multiple meander migration in the region also corresponds to the variability of ISM during this period. The discerned chronological sequence of the Subarnarekha River’s evolution thus suggests a close coupling between regional precipitation/climatic patterns and its induced hydrological regime, thereby highlighting the importance of palaeoclimatic studies in ascertaining river behavior.

How to cite: Mondal, S. and Jaiswal, M. K.: Late Quaternary Geomorphic Evolution of the Lower Subarnarekha River Basin: Palaeoclimatic and Hydrologic Implications, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-786, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-786, 2026.

EGU26-1129 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

How Drainage Capture Restructures Incision and Uplift in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis 

Abhishek Kashyap, Mikael Attal, Simon M. Mudd, and Mukunda Dev Behera

The Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis (EHS) hosts some of Earth’s deepest gorges and rapid exhumation, yet the mechanisms sustaining its extreme relief remain an active area of geomorphic research. Classic interpretations invoke the tectonic aneurysm model, in which rapid fluvial incision feeds back with crustal deformation to concentrate uplift around the Namche Barwa massif. However, emerging evidence suggests that large-scale drainage reorganization may also set the stage for this focused topography. The well-documented diversion of the Lohit headwaters into the Siang system provides a natural experiment in how river capture can redistribute erosional power across the landscape. To assess this interaction, we combine geomorphic analysis of the Siang–Dibang–Lohit network with landscape evolution modeling to explore how capture-driven changes in drainage area and discharge propagate through the channel system. Our simulations show that the addition of Lohit drainage to the Siang following upstream reorganization of the Yarlung system enhances incision along the main valley and establishes long-lived disequilibrium at adjacent divides. This response persists under uniform uplift but becomes markedly subdued when localized uplift is introduced, aligning with expectations from tectonic aneurysm hypothesis and with patterns observed in the present landscape. Taken together, these results indicate that drainage capture acted not merely as an isolated geomorphic event but as a primary perturbation that initiated transient incision and set up conditions favourable for subsequent focused uplift. We argue that the interplay between channel reorganization, erosional feedbacks, and crustal flow offers a more flexible framework for understanding how the EHS evolved—and why it remains one of the most dynamically responsive mountain regions on the planet.

 

 

How to cite: Kashyap, A., Attal, M., Mudd, S. M., and Behera, M. D.: How Drainage Capture Restructures Incision and Uplift in the Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1129, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1129, 2026.

EGU26-2777 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

A unified framework for evaluating step-pool spacing 

Christian Erikson and Jens Turowski

Step-pool structures are natural features common in steep streams and often used in channel restoration projects. Proposed mechanisms for how step-pools form, however, make contrasting step spacing predictions, which hinders specific restoration targets from being established. In order to clarify how regular or random step-pool spacing should be, we create a generalized framework that allows comparison across mechanisms and applies to field, flume, and model observations. By comparing observed measures of spacing variability to reference values, we define a spectrum for step-pool spacing and observe limits on the maximum regularity or randomness natural sequences achieve. Within these limits, step-pools occupy a continuum rather than dividing into distinct random or regular clusters, although few mechanisms result in sequences with regularity comparable to antidunes. For the few cases where step-pool spacing exceeds the bounds of the continuum, external factors seem to prevent full equilibration. These exceptions mean that, in addition to enabling comparison across diverse settings, our framework makes testable predictions about the trajectory of step-evolution in disturbed streams.

How to cite: Erikson, C. and Turowski, J.: A unified framework for evaluating step-pool spacing, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2777, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2777, 2026.

Understanding how hydraulic and geomorphic variables co-evolve along river corridors remains a central challenge in fluvial geomorphology, particularly in systems where multiple process domains and structural controls coexist. In this study, a network-based framework is applied to quantify geomorphic covariance structures across alluvial and bedrock reaches, valley confinement classes, and contrasting lithologic substrates. Using correlation-derived Geomorphic Covariance Networks (GCNs), this study moved beyond pairwise relationships to examine how channel geometry, flow hydraulics, and sediment-related metrics interact as integrated systems. In-phase and out-of-phase relationships among key variables are first identified, and the analysis is then extended spatially using rolling correlations and spatial cross-correlation functions to assess how the strength and sign of covariance vary along the river corridor. Network metrics (density, mean degree, and edge weight), together with centrality measures, reveal systematic differences in network organization between process domains. Alluvial reaches exhibit fewer but stronger connections, with shear stress, flow velocity, and total stream power acting as dominant hubs, indicating tightly coupled, process-driven feedbacks. In contrast, bedrock reaches show broader but weaker connectivity, with specific stream power, bank geometry, and coarse-grain-scale metrics emerging as central controls, reflecting structural and lithologic constraints on channel adjustment. Valley confinement and lithology further modulate network coherence, with partly confined reaches and mechanically uniform substrates producing the most densely connected and strongly coupled networks. Spectral properties and low clustering indicate that these systems do not conform to small-world network behavior but are instead hub-dominated and physically constrained. Overall, the results demonstrate that GCNs provide a powerful quantitative framework for diagnosing hierarchical controls, feedback strength, and spatial variability in fluvial systems, offering new insights into channel sensitivity and morphodynamic organization across contrasting geomorphic settings.

How to cite: Olusola, A.: Hierarchical Controls on Fluvial Connectivity: Insights from Geomorphic Covariance Structures, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2841, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2841, 2026.

EGU26-3624 | Orals | GM10.1

The width of bedrock-bound rivers 

Jeremy Venditti, Rhea Tailor, Leonard Sklar, Tingan Li, and Michael Lamb

The hydraulic geometry of a river is defined by three quantities, width, depth and velocity, the product of which gives the discharge.  While depth and velocity can be predicted from fluid flow physics, prediction of channel width remains a stubbornly difficult problem.  In alluvial channels, the geometry of a river is set by persistent erosion and deposition of sediment on channel margins.  It has been argued that some bedrock rivers have the same hydraulic geometry as alluvial rivers, but there are clear contrasting examples of rivers with high bedrock exposure that are narrower and deeper than alluvial channels.  Here we explore how rock exposure on river banks impact channel width using observations from small drainage basins to the largest bedrock rivers on Earth.  We find that bedrock-bound channels, where both banks are rock, are distinctly narrower and deeper than alluvial channels. Our results also suggest that even where there is substantial bedrock exposed in a channel, alluvial erosion and deposition processes may still dominate channel morphology.  But when channels are bound by rock, they tend to adopt geometries that do not occur in alluvial channels and should be considered a distinct class of channels.

How to cite: Venditti, J., Tailor, R., Sklar, L., Li, T., and Lamb, M.: The width of bedrock-bound rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3624, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3624, 2026.

EGU26-4890 | Posters on site | GM10.1

Carbonate bedrock channel erosion dynamics inhibit weathering effect on bedrock erodibility 

Edwin Baynes, Elizabeth Dingle, and Jeff Warburton

The interplay of rock weathering and erosion processes controls rock erodibility throughout a bedrock channel cross-section. Existing models of these processes in bedrock river channels have been developed using observations largely from silicate lithologies, with rock erodibility increasing with height above the channel. The effects of the dissolution of soluble minerals in carbonate lithologies has been understudied. Here, we present a study of rock erodibility in two limestone bedrock channels in the North Pennines, UK. Patterns in rock erodibility were assessed using Schmidt hammer surveys conducted in 12 cross-sections and were analysed alongside calculations of bedrock inundation interval, observations of sediment transport from bedload impact plates and long-term estimates of limestone dissolution rates from environmental data and in-situ field observations. Results show that erosion via dissolution can result in similar patterns of rock erodibility observed in silicate channels where erosion outpaces weathering. Bedrock inundation interval is a key control on bedrock erodibility; where the channel margin is not regularly inundated by flow, weathering processes which weaken the rock are still present but may be locally offset by dissolution driven by soil seepage of low pH runoff which erodes weathered material. Long-term estimates of abrasion and dissolution rate are broadly equivalent at our study site further demonstrating the effectiveness of dissolution at eroding carbonate lithologies. Future studies of bedrock incision processes in carbonate landscapes should re-evaluate how mechanical erosion and dissolution are represented, and how sensitive the balance of these processes is to potential changes in inundation frequency and climate.

How to cite: Baynes, E., Dingle, E., and Warburton, J.: Carbonate bedrock channel erosion dynamics inhibit weathering effect on bedrock erodibility, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4890, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4890, 2026.

EGU26-4984 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

What controls bank-erosion-driven lateral river migration? Insights from a global synthesis 

Debayan Chatterjee, Stefanie Tofelde, and Anne Bernhardt

Rivers migrate across floodplains, which cover roughly 10% of Earth’s continental surface, through either catastrophic avulsions or gradual bank erosion. These modes of movement operate on markedly different timescales, ranging from days to weeks in the case of avulsion to decades or centuries for bank erosion-driven migration. Lateral river channel mobility poses significant socioeconomic risks, while also playing a key role in regulating global biogeochemical cycles through sediment deposition and re-mobilisation.
While river avulsions are comparatively well understood, the specific controls on lateral migration through gradual bank erosion are not yet fully resolved. Previous studies have explored individual factors influencing lateral migration rates, including the roles of water discharge, sediment supply, channel planform curvature, bank height, riverbank vegetation, and bank erodibility.
However, the combined and interacting effects of such factors on lateral migration rates have not yet been systematically evaluated. Furthermore, limited work has assessed how these controls may vary when migration rates are measured across multiple spatial scales (e.g., individual meander bends versus reach-length averages), observation periods, and river planform types (i.e., single-thread versus braided systems).
We curate and analyse a global compilation of lateral migration rates comprising approximately 500 measurements from 300 rivers and streams reported across 88 published English-language studies. For each measurement site, we independently quantify the previously mentioned (potential) predictor variables and key morphometric parameters, including channel gradient, upstream drainage area, active channel width, multi-decadal lateral migration extent, and channel belt area.
We apply principal component analysis and multivariate regression to quantify the relative importance of these predictors, identify a minimal set of dominant controls, and derive a predictive relationship linking migration rates to their governing parameters.
Preliminary analyses show robust power law relationships between bank erosion rate and both active channel width and channel belt width (derived from Sentinel-2 optical imagery), indicating that channel-scale geometry exerts a first-order control on lateral migration rates. Normalizing bank erosion rates by channel width is, therefore, necessary to isolate and evaluate secondary controls and reveal additional trends in the data. In contrast, we find no significant relationship between bank erosion rate (either raw or normalized by channel width) and a vegetation metric, such as canopy height (derived from Sentinel-2 and GEDI spaceborne LiDAR data), across the compiled dataset. This lack of correlation is consistent across all river planform types. Despite the common assumption that bank erosion increases with planform curvature, reach-averaged sinuosity shows no systematic relationship with either raw or channel-width-normalized bank erosion rates. This suggests that bank erosion may be more closely linked to local curvature than to reach-scale planform geometry.
Further inferences would provide a basis for predicting lateral migration rates under changing climate conditions and can be integrated into existing numerical landscape evolution models. Because such models rarely incorporate lateral river migration and therefore often fail to reproduce the wide river valleys observed in nature, our results offer a means to enhance their ability to simulate realistic patterns of long-term (103-104 years) fluvial widening and floodplain development.

How to cite: Chatterjee, D., Tofelde, S., and Bernhardt, A.: What controls bank-erosion-driven lateral river migration? Insights from a global synthesis, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4984, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4984, 2026.

EGU26-5837 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Geomorphic Controls on Floodplain Carbon Sequestration: Linking Flood Dynamics, Channel Migration, and Carbon Sequestration Across Meandering and Braided Rivers 

Sudam Samarasinghe, Shawlet Cherono, Fredrick Tamooh, Steven Bouillon, and Christian Schwarz

Floodplains are integral components of dynamic biogeomorphic river systems, serving as significant storage reservoirs for water, sediment, and carbon across diverse temporal and spatial scales. Previous research suggests that floodplain carbon storage potential varies with river type and planform characteristics (e.g., meandering vs. braiding). Nevertheless, the fundamental mechanisms by which distinct geomorphic floodplain types govern carbon sequestration and downstream export remain poorly understood. This study integrates remote sensing and quantitative geomorphic analyses to evaluate how variations in river and floodplain planform configuration control spatio-temporal patterns of overbank inundation, sediment deposition, and channel migration across two contrasting East African river systems: (1) the braided Sabaki River and (2) the meandering Tana River. The insights gained are then used to discuss potential implications for floodplain carbon storage. We first estimate spatial patterns of flood extent and recurrence using a combination of Sentinel‑1 and Sentinel‑2 data and a simple inundation model. The inundation model delineates potential flooding extents by river stage, cross-referenced with observed spatial flooding patterns. This approach allows us to estimate the potential maximum flooded area per season and identify locations of riverine suspended sediment and associated carbon deposition. We subsequently link the predicted flooded areas with a multi-temporal analysis of river channel migration rates along longitudinal river profiles. Reach-averaged flooded areas and channel migration rates are further compared with measurements of sediment core organic carbon stocks, which are upscaled to the floodplain extent. Preliminary results indicate that floodplains in meandering reaches serve as more effective organic carbon sinks than those in braided reaches. This trend is attributed to the high lateral fluxes and chronic sediment reworking inherent to braided systems, which exhibit higher seasonal reach-averaged channel migration rates of approximately 50 m compared to 20 m in meandering systems, reflecting the lower migration and enhanced burial stability characteristic of meandering reaches. Finally, this integrated framework establishes a mechanistic link between geomorphic regimes, floodplain type, and carbon cycling, providing new constraints on the role of river geomorphology in regulating fluvial carbon pathways and long-term carbon sequestration potential.

How to cite: Samarasinghe, S., Cherono, S., Tamooh, F., Bouillon, S., and Schwarz, C.: Geomorphic Controls on Floodplain Carbon Sequestration: Linking Flood Dynamics, Channel Migration, and Carbon Sequestration Across Meandering and Braided Rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-5837, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-5837, 2026.

EGU26-6442 | Posters on site | GM10.1

Spatio-temporal development of frazil ice at a sub-arctic meandering river – a case study based on close range remote sensing and numerical modelling 

Eliisa Lotsari, Anette Eltner, Can Ding, Omid Saberi, and Tuure Takala

The knowledge of supercooling and related frazil ice phenomena in rivers is critical for purposes of flow control, operation of hydraulic works and estimation of the conveyance capacity of the channels, in particular, at rivers having long and severe winters. Frazil ice is occurring when air temperatures are varying above and below zero degrees, and there is a drop in temperature overnight. However, the spatial analyses of the frazil ice and where it is anchored in riverbed are rare, especially in meandering sandy river systems, as it has been difficult to measure them in detail, such as based on aerial image data sets, together with reference flow measurements during consecutive days. Our hypothesis is that the frazil ice will attach to the river bottom in low velocity areas around bends and across slope reductions and in areas where the channel constricts.

 

The aim of the study is to detect the development of the spatial distribution of anchored frazil ice in a sandy-gravelly, meandering sub-arctic river. The work is based on field measurements done in the autumn freezing season of mid-October 2021. The data includes UAV-based orthophotos from a four days period when frazil ice anchored in the riverbed of the meandering Pulmankijoki river, in northern Finland. The flow velocities, derived from close-range remote sensing and Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler data, are used for detecting the causes of the anchoring of the frazil ice. Hydrodynamic modelling is performed to further gain information about the hydraulic characteristics within the regions of the anchored ice. The preliminary results are presented and discussed. The results indicate that the anchored frazil ice varied day to day during the four days period, covering about 5 % to 9 % of the channel area. The frazil ice advanced downstream, and spread throughout the channel, even although during the first day it was denser in the straight reach when compared to the meandering sections. The surface flow velocities were reduced during the course of time along with the increasing rim ice development.

How to cite: Lotsari, E., Eltner, A., Ding, C., Saberi, O., and Takala, T.: Spatio-temporal development of frazil ice at a sub-arctic meandering river – a case study based on close range remote sensing and numerical modelling, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-6442, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-6442, 2026.

EGU26-8299 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Global River Science: a call for “large-sample” fluvial geomorphology 

Anya Leenman, Fiona Clubb, and Louise Slater

Fluvial geomorphology has often relied on case studies to deepen our knowledge of landscape processes. Through detailed terrain mapping, historic photo analysis, field measurements, sedimentology and geochronology, we have investigated how rivers respond to the processes that act on them, and how rivers in turn act on the landscape. This site-specific approach is crucial to the foundation and future of our discipline, but recent work across geomorphology and hydrology has highlighted the insights that can be gained from comparing a wide range of sites spanning one or more environmental gradients. In this talk, we advocate for this large-sample approach to fluvial geomorphology, which we term "Global River Science". We present a review of Global River Science research spanning a range of time scales in geomorphology, from landscape evolution through to event scale morphologic change. Finally, we identify challenges to Global River Science and priorities for its future direction.

How to cite: Leenman, A., Clubb, F., and Slater, L.: Global River Science: a call for “large-sample” fluvial geomorphology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8299, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8299, 2026.

EGU26-8381 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Bank pull or bar push: Who leads the dance ofmeander migration? 

Gustavo Nagel, Stephen Darby, and Julian Leyland

Despite significant advances in the study of meandering rivers, the precise mechanisms by which erosion and sedimentation interact to drive meander migration remain poorly understood. Two longstanding competing theories attempt to explain this interaction: one suggests that inner-bank sediment deposition precedes outer-bank erosion (bar push), while the other posits that outer-bank erosion initiates inner-bank sedimentation (bank pull). To date, research addressing which of these mechanisms dominates in real environments has predominantly focused on a small number of bends and at limited temporal scales, leading to inconclusive results. In this paper, we analyse the occurrence of bank pull versus bar push across 4,923 river bends worldwide. This was done by estimating outerbank erosion and inner-bank sedimentation rates using a 38-year time series of Landsat data, from which classifications of bank pull and bar push were derived through Dynamic Cross-Correlation analysis. We found that both bank pull and bar push occur frequently in a wide range of natural environments, but with a slight dominance (55.7% of bends) of bank pull over bar push (47.3%). Nevertheless, we also identify subtle patterns in the relative frequency of push versus pull migrating bends based on river characteristics. Vegetated rivers with slower, less variable, flow and finer boundary materials are more likely to exhibit migration via bar push, where sediment deposition along the inner bank plays a dominant role. In contrast, less densely vegetated rivers with faster, more variable flows and with coarser boundary materials, show a higher occurrence of bends migrating via bank pull. This means that most bar-push migrating bends are located in densely-vegetated tropical environments, with bar pull tending to dominate in other regions. This study represents the first largescale analysis of bank pull and bar push in real rivers, providing valuable insights that could be used to improve river dynamics modelling and inform more effective river management strategies.

How to cite: Nagel, G., Darby, S., and Leyland, J.: Bank pull or bar push: Who leads the dance ofmeander migration?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8381, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8381, 2026.

 

The present study examines the catchment and source morphodynamics of the Palar River, southern Peninsular India. A multidisciplinary approach—remote sensing techniques, lineament analysis, geochemistry, and ground-penetration radar (GPR)—was applied to better understand its evolution during the Holocene. The major lineaments in the Palar River basin predominantly show a NE–SW trend. Five major faults have been identified in the basin, including a transition zone where frequent low-magnitude earthquakes have occurred. The major fault F1, a strike-slip fault, occurs in the upper reaches of the Palar River and follows a NE–SW trend. Other major faults, F2 and F3, are also associated with a transition zone where frequent minor and major tremors have been documented. Fault F4 runs parallel to the Cheyyar River, and significant changes in the river course have resulted from movement along these strike-slip faults. Fault F5, located nearer to the east coast, indicates a passive tectonic activity regime. The after-effects of tectonic activity in the basin are further evident from the GPR profiles.

Sediments of the active Palar River are dominantly litharenite, arkose, and wacke, whereas the paleochannel sediments are predominantly shale. Weathering proxies such as the Chemical Index of Alteration (CIA), Plagioclase Index of Alteration (PIA), elemental ratios, and the A–CN–K plot indicate intense post-depositional weathering of the paleochannel sediments due to climatic variability. In contrast, due to ongoing tectonic activity in the source region along with subsequent aggradation and degradation in the fluvial regime, sediments of the active Palar River exhibit low to moderate weathering.

Geochemical data further reveal that sediments from the active Palar River and the paleochannels are predominantly derived from active continental margin and passive continental margin settings, respectively. Major oxides, trace elements, and rare earth element (REE) data indicate that the Palar River sediments are derived from felsic sources, whereas the paleochannel sediments originate from mafic sources. Overall, the study suggests that the catchment area of the Palar River shifted southward during the Holocene due to tectonic uplift. Subsequently, the paleochannel sediments underwent post-depositional weathering. Ongoing tectonic activity combined with monsoonal variability has enhanced rapid erosion in the catchment, resulting in the deposition of thick sediment sequences from the middle to lower reaches of the active Palar River.

How to cite: m r, R.: Holocene Evolution of the Palar River, Southern India: Evidence for Channel Migration, Provenance Shifts, Weathering Processes, and Tectonic Controls, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8742, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8742, 2026.

EGU26-9589 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Assessing the Impact of Subsurface Ice Roughness on Hydrodynamics in Ice-Covered Rivers 

Marijke de Vet, Reeta Vaahtera, Juha Jarvela, and Eliisa Lotsari

In the current climate, approximately 60% of rivers in the Northern Hemisphere freeze during winter, draining over a third of the planet's land area and forming a crucial part of the cryosphere. Climate change shortens these ice-cover durations, which significantly affects river hydrodynamics, water levels and flow velocities. However, understanding these dynamics is difficult due to the challenges in obtaining detailed field data about ice roughness, flow characteristics, and pressure conditions, resulting in limited knowledge across diverse ice-covered flow scenarios. Flume experiments have proven valuable in studying ice-covered flows, but they often utilize smooth or floating materials that fail to accurately represent the stable subsurface ice roughness observed during mid-winter in (sub)arctic rivers. This research investigates how subsurface ice roughness affects hydrodynamics in ice-covered rivers through flume experiments, using field observations from the subarctic Pulmankijoki River in northern Finland to inform the setup and experimental conditions. Conducted in a 16 m long, 0.6 m wide, and 0.8 m deep flume, the study employs a stable proxy ice material with subsurface ice roughness and bedforms derived from mid-winter measurements at Pulmankijoki. By systematically varying the combinations of smooth bed and bedforms, along with smooth ice and subsurface ice roughness, the experiments aim to evaluate the impact of subsurface roughness on river hydrodynamics. Flow velocity and pressure measurements are used to enhance our understanding of ice-covered river dynamics and their response to climate change.

How to cite: de Vet, M., Vaahtera, R., Jarvela, J., and Lotsari, E.: Assessing the Impact of Subsurface Ice Roughness on Hydrodynamics in Ice-Covered Rivers, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9589, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9589, 2026.

EGU26-9591 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Changing cold-region rivers: Flow characteristics and sediment transport beneath ice cover and shifts in discharge regimes 

Karoliina Lintunen, Elina Kasvi, Eliisa Lotsari, and Petteri Alho

Rivers in cold regions are integral to the global hydrological cycle, yet their flow and ice regimes are undergoing rapid transformation under anthropogenic climate warming. The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the global average, intensifying hydroclimatic extremes and altering processes that regulate river discharge, ice formation, and seasonal flow dynamics. Earlier snowmelt, increasing winter rainfall, reduced snow storage, and more frequent freeze-thaw cycles are weakening flow seasonality and shifting runoff peaks toward winter and early spring. Concurrently, river ice cover is becoming thinner, shorter in duration, and reduced in extent, modifying freeze-up and breakup dynamics, sediment transport, and ecological conditions. Despite growing recognition of these large-scale changes, field-based understanding of under-ice hydraulics and sediment processes remains limited.

This study investigates how changing hydroclimatic conditions influence river flow regimes and sediment dynamics in cold-region rivers of Finland (60°–70°N). An integrated, multi-scale approach is applied, combining (1) statistical analyses of multi-decadal discharge records at the watershed scale, (2) in-situ winter measurements of under-ice flow and sediment transport, and (3) spatial analyses of flow structure and turbulence beneath ice cover across a meander bend. Together, these complementary methods provide new insights into how climate-driven hydrological shifts are reshaping discharge regimes and governing flow and sediment processes during the ice-covered season. The results contribute to improved understanding of winter river dynamics in rapidly warming cold regions.

How to cite: Lintunen, K., Kasvi, E., Lotsari, E., and Alho, P.: Changing cold-region rivers: Flow characteristics and sediment transport beneath ice cover and shifts in discharge regimes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9591, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9591, 2026.

EGU26-9726 | Posters on site | GM10.1

Exploring the effects of immobile sediment cover on patterns and rates of bedrock erosion 

Elizabeth Dingle, Stephen Rice, Rebecca Hodge, and Joel Johnson

Existing mechanistic models of bedrock erosion by particle impacts describe the competing effects of sediment supply in terms of erosional ‘tools’ or alluvial ‘cover’ which incise or protect bedrock river beds, respectively (Sklar & Dietrich, 2001). An oversight of this dynamic model is that bedrock channels episodically receive inputs of very coarse sediment from hillslopes (e.g., Dini et al., 2021; Shobe et al., 2016, 2021) and from bedrock detachment (plucking) and transport associated with extreme discharges (e.g., Cook et al., 2018). These coarse, often meter scale blocks or boulders, can persist on channel beds where they may remain immobile for hundreds to thousands of years (e.g., Nativ et al., 2022) and can exceed the maximum grain size that can be transported by typical flow conditions. Our ability to predict erosion rates and patterns are currently limited by complex feedbacks between relatively immobile bed cover, bed topography and bedload transport. Here, we present initial results from a series of experiments in a 2% tilting flume (10 m x 0.4 m) with a polyurethane foam board as an erodible bedrock proxy, 60-100 mm diameter particles as immobile sediment cover, and a constant feed of 5-8 mm angular gravel to drive erosion. Experiments were conducted using variable initial bed states (e.g., smooth/rough topography) and immobile sediment coverages for a duration of 25 hours. Observations suggest that rates and patterns of bedrock erosion are remarkably sensitive to the presence of immobile sediment cover. Erosion often appears locally enhanced around immobile elements, although this is offset to some degree by the cover effect produced by bedload deposited in association with hydraulic heterogeneity generated by the immobile sediment. Self-formed and imposed bed topographies also yield different patterns of erosion, suggesting initial boundary conditions may produce distinct patterns of sediment cover and erosion.    

How to cite: Dingle, E., Rice, S., Hodge, R., and Johnson, J.: Exploring the effects of immobile sediment cover on patterns and rates of bedrock erosion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9726, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9726, 2026.

Fluvial sediment transport plays a fundamental role in shaping fluvial and coastal systems in the central Mediterranean, contributing to the formation of floodplains and deltas and to the maintenance of sandy coastal equilibrium. Over recent decades, this balance has been progressively altered by climate change, which has significantly modified precipitation regimes, their seasonality, and the intensity of extreme events, with direct effects on hydrological and sedimentary dynamics along the entire fluvial–coastal continuum.

This study investigates a century of sediment dynamics in Italy by analysing historical fluvial sediment transport data using modern machine learning techniques. Analyses conducted on the Arno and Ombrone rivers (central Italy) reveal a marked decline in suspended sediment transport since the 1930s. Model results indicate that climate change represents the primary controlling factor of this trend, mainly through reduced precipitation, rising temperatures, and the reorganization of atmospheric circulation patterns. Anthropogenic pressures, such as dam construction and land-use changes, contribute to the observed signal but are overall less influential than climate-related factors.

In addition to the long-term analysis, the study also includes the sampling and analysis of recent fluvial sediment transport data. Although these results are still preliminary, they highlight a level of complexity in sediment transport dynamics that cannot be explained solely by the geographical or morphometric characteristics of river basins. The interaction between climatic forcing, antecedent hydrological conditions, and intense precipitation events emerges as a key control on sediment fluxes, pointing to the need for more integrated and dynamic interpretative approaches.

At the national scale, shoreline evolution was analysed along 3,624 km of sandy coasts (1984–2024) using Landsat imagery and the CoastSat algorithm. The results indicate that 66% of major Italian rivers are associated with eroding coastal sectors; this percentage increases further, exceeding 75% when considering river deltas, which exhibit erosion on at least one of the two delta flanks, and reaches 100% along coastal stretches lacking artificial defence structures.

Overall, Italian river deltas emerge as among the most vulnerable areas in the Mediterranean under ongoing climate change. These findings underscore that only integrated strategies linking continuous monitoring, data infrastructure, and spatial planning can ensure sustainable sediment management and enhance coastal system resilience in a changing climate.

How to cite: Luppichini, M. and Bini, M.: Climate change and sediment dynamics in the central Mediterranean: a multi-scale assessment of riverine transport decline and coastal erosion, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9763, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9763, 2026.

EGU26-12362 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

Remotely Operated Vehicle Stereo-camera photogrammetry and positioning techniques for topographic measurements under river ice cover. 

Joshua Johnson, Eliisa Lotsari, and Juha-Matti Välimäki

Autonomous survey platforms operating under river ice cover allow ice and bed morphology to be measured in-situ with minimal disturbance to the ice cover, and hence to the fluvial conditions affecting the morphodynamics of the ice and bed sediment. This enables less invasive investigation of rivers during the morphologically important and under-studied winter season, when access by other survey vessels is impractical. Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs) are currently used to measure a range of qualities of- and under marine ice sheets, but so far applications in rivers are rarer.

This methodological study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of using high resolution stereo-camera imagery processed with structure-from-motion photogrammetry, and of two acoustic positioning systems (Doppler Velocimeter Log, DVL, and Ultra Short Base Line, USBL) systems for use in ice-covered rivers for the creation of digital models of both riverbeds and ice.

A BlueROV2 ROV is tested in a high latitude, ice covered river in northern Finland. The ROV is equipped with a pair of stereo-cameras and a USBL system linked to a GPS to determine absolute position, as well as a DVL. The system is used to survey a short reach of the Pulmanki River (nr 69°55'13.3"N 28°01'58.1"E). A range of lighting configurations are also tested. The surfaces derived from the ROV survey are compared to known topographic points taken with sub-centimetre accuracy RTK dGPS to determine their accuracies, and so the potential of these methodologies in studies of the critical dynamics of seasonal ice cover and morphodynamics in ice covered rivers.

How to cite: Johnson, J., Lotsari, E., and Välimäki, J.-M.: Remotely Operated Vehicle Stereo-camera photogrammetry and positioning techniques for topographic measurements under river ice cover., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12362, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12362, 2026.

EGU26-12864 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Acceleration and grain-size inversion of riverbed sedimentation driven by anthropogenic landscape reorganization (SE Brazil) 

Rodrigo Agostinho Silva de Campos, Cenira Maria Lupinacci, and Fabiano Tomazini da Conceição

Fluvial systems act as integrative components of landscapes, recording both long-term geomorphic conditions and rapid anthropogenic reorganization of land surfaces in their sedimentary archives. In tropical river basins, land-use intensification, urban expansion, and agricultural reconfiguration modify sediment sources, connectivity patterns, and energy regimes, producing measurable changes in sedimentation rates and grain-size composition. This study evaluates how recent anthropogenic landscape reorganization is recorded in fluvial sediments by quantifying changes in sedimentation rates and grain size over the last century in an anthropogenically modified tributary basin in southeastern Brazil.

The dataset integrates sediment core analysis, grain-size measurements, and multi-temporal land-use analysis. A sediment core with a total depth of 74 cm, collected from the fluvial bed, was dated using excess lead-210, with radionuclide activities measured by high-purity germanium (HPGe) gamma spectrometry. Sediment grain size was characterized by laser diffraction. Land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes were evaluated using multi-temporal MapBiomas classifications derived from Landsat satellite imagery (30 m spatial resolution), providing consistent annual land-use information since 1985 and complemented by transition matrices to assess land-use conversions through time.

The 210Pb age–depth relationship reveals a segmented depositional history, in which linear trends define three successive phases of quasi-constant sedimentation rates, consistent with a Constant Flux (CF) model appropriate for sustained 210Pb supply under variable sedimentation conditions. These phases indicate a progressive acceleration of sedimentation, from 5.0 mm yr⁻¹ between 1946 and 1968, to 7.4 mm yr⁻¹ during 1968–2004, and reaching 9.6 mm yr⁻¹ after 2004. Grain-size results show a pronounced temporal shift, representing a clear inversion from fine-grained (clay + silt-dominated) deposits in the older sections to predominantly sand-rich sediments in the most recent decades, occurring in parallel with the progressive increase in sedimentation rates. LULC analysis indicates a monotonic expansion of urban areas, intensification of agricultural land uses—particularly sugarcane cultivation—and a strong spatial reorganization of pasture and mosaic-of-uses classes. Transition matrices indicate that mosaic-of-use areas are a primary source of land-use conversions toward urban and agricultural classes.

Distinct depositional phases identified from the 210Pb age–depth model, together with grain-size variability and coherent land-use transitions, indicate that shifts in sedimentation regimes coincide with major phases of urban expansion and agricultural reconfiguration. These findings demonstrate that land-use change exerts first-order control on recent fluvial sedimentary records, allowing depositional regimes to be interpreted as stratigraphic expressions of anthropogenic landscape reorganization.

 

How to cite: Silva de Campos, R. A., Lupinacci, C. M., and Tomazini da Conceição, F.: Acceleration and grain-size inversion of riverbed sedimentation driven by anthropogenic landscape reorganization (SE Brazil), EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-12864, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-12864, 2026.

EGU26-13493 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

A MATLAB toolbox for the quantification of the discharge-sediment hysteresis process 

Shantamoy Guha, Tomáš Galia, Rahul Kumar Kaushal, Ajit Singh, Vikrant Jain, Lorenzo Picco, Giacomo Pellegrini, and Riccardo Rainato
Understanding the coupling between river discharge (Q) and suspended sediment concentration (SSC) is fundamental for understanding erosion, sediment connectivity, and sediment sources in a fluvial system. While direct correlation via rating curves provides a first-order approximation of the discharge-sediment relationship, it cannot capture the non-linear response of SSC to changes in Q during a hydrological event or on an annual timescale. Hysteresis process, i.e., the difference in SSC for a given Q during rising and falling limbs, is utilized for characterizing such nonlinearities in the Q and SSC relationship. While Hysteresis Loop (HL) is the graphical representation of the Q-SSC relationship, Hysteresis Index (HI) is the quantitative measure of the broadness of HL. HL and HI are frequently used to understand the time lags, sediment sources, and sediment transport capacity within river reaches. Several approaches to HI quantification are present in the literature, indicating methodological variability and data normalization techniques, whereas a systematic comparison is still required to understand the applicability of each model for specific research problems. This work presents a comprehensive review of major methodologies for calculating HI from Q and SSC data for different timescales. We employed daily Q and SSC data from the Monsoon-dominated Peninsular Indian region and Moravian-Silesian Region. Further, we used high-resolution (15-minute) Q and SSC data from the Rio Cordon catchment in the Eastern Italian Alps. The daily Q and SSC values were aggregated into mean monthly values to observe the annual-scale hysteresis patterns in Peninsular India. We developed a MATLAB toolbox, ‘Hysteresis Index Toolbox (HyInd)’, to standardize the normalization technique, rising and falling limb separation for hydrological events, and data visualization. The toolbox currently features six methods for HI calculation, which are suitable for all time scales (sub-daily, daily, or monthly). Our results suggest that data normalization is crucial for comparing sediment transport dynamics across drainage basins with varying drainage areas. Furthermore, our results also imply that quantification of the normalized area inside the HL presents the most robust result for simple to complex hysteresis processes. We also carried out sensitivity analyses to assess the influence of data noise on the quantification of HI. While sub-daily Q and SSC data inherently contain noise, we introduced stochastic perturbations into the daily and monthly average datasets. We observed that most existing HI calculation methods are not significantly affected by random noise. This study elucidates the strengths and weaknesses of each HI calculation method and provides practical guidance for selecting the proper model. Although the HyInd toolbox is primarily designed to understand the discharge-sediment hysteresis process, it can also be used to quantify hysteresis in other environmental parameters, i.e., soil moisture or water quality.

How to cite: Guha, S., Galia, T., Kaushal, R. K., Singh, A., Jain, V., Picco, L., Pellegrini, G., and Rainato, R.: A MATLAB toolbox for the quantification of the discharge-sediment hysteresis process, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13493, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13493, 2026.

Longstanding efforts to explain the origin of river planforms are typically based on a simplified dichotomy (or spectrum) between single-thread meandering planforms and multi-thread braided planforms. However, multi-thread planforms in nature are exceptionally diverse. They can be classified as braided, wandering, anastomosing, and more based on various metrics, with definitions across studies that are inconsistent, non-exclusive, and lacking a physical mechanism. To tackle this knowledge gap we investigated four decades of planform dynamics along 49 rivers around the world imaged by NASA Landsat, leveraging established proxies for floodplain development (e.g., NDVI) and a state-of-the-art automated migration-mapping technique based on particle image velocimetry (PIV). Results reveal multi-thread planform diversity originates from competition between migration and floodplain development on mid-channel bars, which we quantify in terms of a floodplain development timescale (Tfp) and a bar turnover timescale (Tbar). If bars migrate slowly relative to the pace of floodplain development (Tbar >> Tfp), bars are converted to floodplains by fine-sediment deposition and vegetation growth, resulting in an anastomosing planform. In contrast, if bars migrate quickly  (Tbar << Tfp), they remain bars because migration reworks vegetation and fines before any floodplain develops (braided). And if bars migrate at intermediate speeds (Tbar ~ Tfp), they form a mosaic of partially converted bars and floodplains (wandering). Put to practice, these findings can advance our ability to predict future planform changes in response to climate change and human activities; and help decipher ancient planforms left behind in the sedimentary record. 

How to cite: Chadwick, A. J., Greenberg, E., and Ganti, V.: Multi-thread planform diversity originates from competition between migration and floodplain development on mid-channel bars , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13623, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13623, 2026.

EGU26-13952 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1 | Highlight

Dams trigger long-term river-floodplain decoupling in dynamic Andean foreland rivers  

Muriel Brückner, Andrew Nicholas, Rolf Aalto, Renato Almeida, Philip Ashworth, Jim Best, and Thomas Dunne

Andean foreland rivers are preferential sites for ongoing and planned hydroelectric dam construction in the Amazon Basin. These rivers are characterized by high sediment fluxes that drive rapid rates of channel migration, large river-floodplain sediment exchanges, and creatediverse floodplain morphologies. Dams alter water and sediment supply to these dynamic rivers with expected morphodynamic and environmental impacts over decades to centuries. However, current observations and models of river response to dam construction do not fully incorporate the processes related to lateral channel migration and focus on short-term morphodynamic change.

Here, we use an innovative hydro-morphodynamic model that accounts for flow, sediment transport, and channel-floodplain morphodynamics, including bend migration, dynamic vegetation, and channel abandonment. We demonstrate that Amazonian foreland rivers will undergo significant vertical and lateral erosion within less than 100 years following dam construction, with persistent or irreversible effects lasting for centuries. While downstream scour may partially offset the sediments trapped by dams, widespread erosion leads to formation of an entrenched inner secondary floodplain, which diminishes the extent and frequency of primary floodplain inundation. This entrenchment disconnects abandoned cutoff channels from the active river and potentially transforms floodplain ecosystems. Net erosion volume, and associated hydrologic changes, depend on pre-dam river characteristics: pre-dam rivers with high sediment loads and lateral migration rates experience the largest changes. Our simulations underscore the significant role of channel-floodplain interactions in driving fluvial reorganization and ecological adaptation downstream of dams. New dams could thus trigger a rapid and irreversible system reconfiguration, with critical impact on riparian ecosystems and the livelihoods of local communities.

How to cite: Brückner, M., Nicholas, A., Aalto, R., Almeida, R., Ashworth, P., Best, J., and Dunne, T.: Dams trigger long-term river-floodplain decoupling in dynamic Andean foreland rivers , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-13952, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-13952, 2026.

EGU26-14002 | Orals | GM10.1

Analyzing the potential of geospatial foundation models and earth embeddings for assessing dynamic riverine processes 

Florian Betz, Baturalp Arisoy, Magdalena Lauermann, Gregory Egger, Barbara Belletti, Simone Bizzi, and Hervé Piégay

Satellite remote sensing has gained significant relevance in the monitoring of riverine processes over the past years. Time series of satellite imagery, e.g. from the Landsat or Sentinel-1 and -2 constellations, are of particular interest as they allow us to assess not only distinct landcover classes but also dynamic processes such as inundation duration. Over the recent years, the rise of AI supports the analysis of these big earth observation archives. The increasing volume of earth observation data and computational burden of large AI models, however, lead to challenges in data processing. In the remote sensing community, the use of foundation models, large neural networks trained on massive amounts of data, promise to reduce the computational burden for end users. In addition, raw data encoded by these models, so-called earth embeddings, provide a ready-to-use dataset which transforms complex, multitemporal data of hundreds of satellite scenes from different sensors into annual images with abstract numerical representations of the original data. While in the remote sensing community, there is an increasing number of studies evaluating the application of geospatial foundation models and embeddings for various applications, there is to the best of our knowledge no comprehensive evaluation of the use of these recent developments for assessing dynamic hydro-geomorphic patterns and processes of river corridors.

In our study, we assess the potential of two openly available embedding databases for their potential to represent typical riverine habitat types and river dynamics such as the inundation duration or erosion/formation features related to channel shifting. Specifically, we evaluate the recently released AlphaEarth embeddings (available on Google Earth Engine) and University of Cambridges TESSERA embeddings database (retrievable from their online database through a dedicated python package). Primary case study is the Naryn River in Kyrgyzstan. This is still a near-natural river on a length of more than 600 km. Along with an average active channel width of 400 m and average river corridor width of 1200 m, this makes the Naryn an ideal example for remote sensing applications in river science. We use a total number of 1873 ground truth points representing different geomorphic features and typical riparian habitat types as reference to evaluate how well embeddings are capable to distinguish these classes. To test the predictive capability of embeddings, we train supervised classification models based on the embeddings. In addition, we use satellite derived time series of inundation duration and inter-annual change derived from Planet Scope images to evaluate the potential of embeddings to represent dynamic characteristics and enable change detection. To analyze how this approach generalizes to other river systems, we apply the trained models to selected European rivers and validate the outcomes. Our initial results show a high potential of embeddings for analyzing riverscapes and their dynamics. We discuss how geospatial foundation models and embeddings as novel, AI driven tools in earth observation can contribute to generalizing remote sensing models across different river systems and how this can path the way towards global monitoring of riverscapes and their dynamics.

How to cite: Betz, F., Arisoy, B., Lauermann, M., Egger, G., Belletti, B., Bizzi, S., and Piégay, H.: Analyzing the potential of geospatial foundation models and earth embeddings for assessing dynamic riverine processes, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-14002, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-14002, 2026.

EGU26-15099 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Blocked by boulders: Examining the roles of climate, fluvial thresholds and sediment flux in slowing bedrock incision on the Hawaiian Islands  

Emma Lodes, Nick Colaianne, Wren Raming, Kelin Whipple, Elowyn Yager, Darryl Granger, Ayron Strauch, Iran Rosales Rivera, and David Matthews

Tectonic uplift is the primary control on bedrock river incision; however, in places where uplift is absent, such as the Hawaiian Islands, other factors including climate, lithology, sediment flux, fluvial thresholds, baselevel history, and time become crucial to understanding the form and incision history of streams. Ferrier et al. (2013) argued that streams on Kauai show a linear relationship between unit stream power and incision rate with a negligible incision threshold. However, large boulders that choke Kauai’s streams suggest significant incision thresholds, and young lavas at river level suggest that incision has been negligible for ~2 Myr. We suggest that these channels are at a critical threshold set by climate, fluvial thresholds, and sediment flux that prevents them from further incising into bedrock. We present 7 new Ar-Ar ages of young lavas emplaced within Kauai’s canyons along with an extensive grain size dataset spanning 22 catchments, and 17 new catchment-averaged erosion rates (36Cl in magnetite) from catchments on Kauai and West Maui. Our results show that the young lavas were emplaced at 1-2 Ma, confirming negligible modern bedrock incision. The size of boulders in streams (D84 from gridded point counts and “area-by-area” analysis) covaries with normalized local channel gradient (ksnQ), suggesting that sediment size determines the threshold for motion and that these boulders can block bedrock incision. Finally, catchment-average erosion rates are weakly correlated with MAP, ksnQ and valley wall gradient, suggesting that both fluvial thresholds and sediment flux, modulated by local climate, play a role in setting channel steepness and slowing bedrock incision on the Hawaiian Islands.

How to cite: Lodes, E., Colaianne, N., Raming, W., Whipple, K., Yager, E., Granger, D., Strauch, A., Rosales Rivera, I., and Matthews, D.: Blocked by boulders: Examining the roles of climate, fluvial thresholds and sediment flux in slowing bedrock incision on the Hawaiian Islands , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15099, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15099, 2026.

EGU26-15284 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

Rapids in bedrock rivers: morphological characteristic, distribution, and flow dynamics 

Chloe Ross, Jeremy Venditti, Julia Carr, Leonard Sklar, Kyle Kusack, and Morgan Wright

Rapids are a channel morphology common to bedrock-bound rivers that have been primarily identified by their characteristic chaotic flow. These complex flow structures develop due to reductions in channel cross sectional area through vertical steps in the bed or lateral constrictions. Flow features that develop include a tongue of convergent accelerated flow, followed by standing or breaking waves downstream, and horizontal recirculation eddies that may form sediment deposits where space permits. Rapids enforced by debris fans encroaching on the channel are relatively well studied in major canyons of the American Southwest, but rapids also occur in bedrock-bound channels without debris flow deposits.  

We explore the distribution, controls, and characteristics of rapids in bedrock-bound rivers using satellite imagery and rafting guidebooks. We delve deeper in the dynamics of rapids in the 375 km long Fraser Canyon, British Columbia, Canada where diverse rapid morphologies are observed. Here we use high resolution observations of flow and topography to categorize rapid types and their causes. We find that there are two broad categories of rapids: sediment-controlled and bedrock-controlled. Those rapids can be further divided into two types based on the nature of the channel cross-sectional area reduction: constriction-type and step-type. Sediment-controlled rapids are created and maintained by mass movement processes where rapid characteristics are dependent on particle size, magnitude, frequency of sediment supply, and location of sediment input. Bedrock-controlled rapids have their morphology imposed by the structure of the rock that creates lateral constrictions or bedrock steps. Although we have defined broad categories, many rapids in the Fraser Canyon are the result of mixed controls and types.  

Our observations indicate that rapid dynamics are discharge dependent and changes in discharge affect rapid subcategories differently. As discharge changes, rapids may wash out or become larger and more severe. Preliminary results show that sediment-controlled rapids tend to wash out as discharge increases due to the submergence of boulders and/or overtopping of the debris fan which reduces the constriction ratio. At bedrock-controlled rapids, complex channel geometry results in varied responses to changes in discharge. Rising water levels may lead to both overtopping of obstacles or new obstacles. Bedrock-controlled rapids become more severe where new obstacles are inundated as discharge increases.

How to cite: Ross, C., Venditti, J., Carr, J., Sklar, L., Kusack, K., and Wright, M.: Rapids in bedrock rivers: morphological characteristic, distribution, and flow dynamics, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15284, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15284, 2026.

EGU26-15873 | Orals | GM10.1

What lies beneath: Revisiting braided river morphodynamics with topobathymetric lidar 

James Brasington, Feliciana Maria Correia, Michael Pingram, Justin Rogers, and Justin Stout

The assessment of four-dimensional channel change through topographic differencing has evolved rapidly from a research frontier to an established tool to inform sediment and flood hazard management. This transition has been driven largely by the growing availability of broad-area, multitemporal lidar surveys that enable system-scale analysis of river adjustment across space and time.

Despite these advances, the application of lidar-based differencing in fluvial environments remains fundamentally constrained by the limited availability of bathymetric data to complement conventional infrared lidar terrain models. This data deficit is commonly managed through the prescription of spatially distributed elevation uncertainty models, or more crudely by assuming that compensating patterns of erosion and deposition across exposed channel areas are representative of areally averaged changes in mean bed level. Such assumptions are frequently applied in large braided rivers, where much of the channel bed is exposed at low flow and morphodynamics are dominated by lateral channel mobility.

These assumptions can rarely be tested quantitatively due to the scarcity of repeat, high-quality bathymetric datasets. Here, we address this limitation by comparing system-wide patterns of channel adjustment for a large piedmont braided river derived from conventional hydroflattened DEMs and from seamless topobathymetric lidar elevation models. The analysis uses three surveys of the Rees River, New Zealand, acquired between 2021 and 2025 using co-mounted Riegl VUX-240 (1550 nm) and VQ-840-G (532 nm) lidar systems on a helicopter platform.

Our results reveal a five-fold increase in net volumetric change when derived from topobathymetric terrain models compared to hydroflattened DEMs. This difference reflects substantial sedimentation within wetted channels between 2022 and 2025, a process that is poorly captured by hydroflattened models. Moreover, aggradation within wetted anabranches evident in the 2022 topobathymetric DEM is not balanced by subsequent channel incision by 2025. The net effect is a reversal in the inferred direction of bed-level change: topobathymetric analysis indicates a significant increase in mean bed elevation, whereas hydroflattened analyses imply marginal degradation.

These findings highlight the importance of sediment fluxes within the wetted network of braided channels and demonstrate that morphodynamic interpretations based on exposed-bed differencing alone may be fundamentally misleading without effective bathymetric correction.

How to cite: Brasington, J., Correia, F. M., Pingram, M., Rogers, J., and Stout, J.: What lies beneath: Revisiting braided river morphodynamics with topobathymetric lidar, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15873, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15873, 2026.

The abundance of vegetation in natural and manmade streams has a substantial impact on flow dynamics, nutrient distribution, and aquatic habitat condition (Nepf, 2012; Richardson et al., 2007). To understand the impact of vegetation, laboratory experiments have been conducted in a flume with rigid, continuous submerged vegetation. The vegetation is arranged along both boundaries with a non-vegetated section along the centre of an open channel. The size of the experimental flume is 10 m (length) × 0.4 m (width) × 0.6 m (depth). To simulate continuous vegetation patches, hard cylindrical plastic rods are used and evenly spaced along the boundaries of the channel. A flow tracker, ADV Lab-II, was used to measure the velocity of the water at different depths in the upstream and downstream non-vegetated sections as well as inside the vegetated area. Data was collected at a sampling rate of 5 Hz. Velocity data were recorded at 24 vertical measurement points in each location. Approximately 6000 instantaneous velocity points were recorded at each vertical location over 20 minutes (Kashyap and Barman, 2025). Measurements were conducted under a constant flow discharge of 0.0153 m3/s, and the submergence ratio of the vegetation was 0.43.

The findings showed that the presence of vegetation caused considerable changes in the velocity profiles. The non-vegetated upstream segment showed a logarithmic velocity pattern, which is typical of open channel flow. The velocity profiles of the vegetated zone are compared to the non-vegetated conditions. Specifically, the presence of vegetation reduced near-bed velocities while increasing velocities in the upper water column. The presence of vegetation visibly increases the Reynolds shear stress both within and downstream of the vegetation patches. This suggests that stem flow interactions led to more momentum exchange and turbulence eddies (Ghisalberti and Nepf, 2006). These effects spread outside the vegetated zone and have a prolonged effect on the turbulent structures of the flow. These results indicate the need for consideration of vegetation structure at different patch scales for hydraulic modelling.

Keywords: ADV, Reynolds shear stress, Rigid vegetation, Vegetation patches 

References:

Ghisalberti, M., & Nepf, H. (2006). The structure of the shear layer in flows over rigid and flexible canopies. Environmental Fluid Mechanics6(3), 277-301.

Kashyap, S.N., & Barman, B. (2025). Turbulent flow characteristics over gravel bed channel with submerged vegetation patches. Physics of Fluids37(3), 035123.

Nepf, H.M. (2012). Flow and transport in regions with aquatic vegetation. Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics44(1), 123-142.

Richardson, D.M., Holmes, P.M., Esler, K.J., Galatowitsch, S.M., Stromberg, J.C., Kirkman, S.P., Pysek, P., & Hobbs, R.J. (2007). Riparian vegetation: degradation, alien plant invasions, and restoration prospects. Diversity and Distributions13(1), 126-139.

How to cite: Kashyap, S. N., Barman, B., and Heller, V.: Velocity Distribution and Reynolds Shear Stress Characteristics in a Narrow Gravel-Bed Open Channel with Submerged Rigid Vegetation Patches, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16432, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16432, 2026.

EGU26-16878 | Orals | GM10.1

Controls on river evolution in incising post-glacial bedrock rivers along the North Shore of Lake Superior, Minnesota, USA 

Karen Gran, Benjamin Bugno, Leone Jacobson, Jessica Marggraf, Andrew Wickert, Michael Braunagel, Philip Larson, Jérôme Lavé, and Tammy Rittenour

Base-level fall can trigger river incision, often creating discrete knickpoints. As these knickpoints migrate upstream through heterogeneous bedrock, they can be modified and transformed.  We investigated the role of stepped base-level fall vs. bedrock heterogeneity on knickpoint evolution and river incision in a series of rivers on the North Shore of Lake Superior.  The most recent period of base level fall is thought to have initiated around 10.8 to 10.6 ka (Breckenridge, 2013) as low eastward-draining outlets opened on what is now Lake Superior, initiating incision on local rivers.  As incision migrated upstream and rivers downcut through glacial sediments and underlying bedrock, they created river terraces and discrete knickpoints. 

Knickpoints were identified as reaches with high stream power along river long profiles. Terraces were mapped in the field and on aerial lidar data, with several dated using optically-stimulated luminescence in overlying alluvium. Base-level fall chronology relied upon detailed mapping of shorelines and outlets in published literature. Bedrock competency was quantified in situ through a combination of compressive strength (measured via Schmidt hammer), fracture intensity, and fracture density. Samples were run through an abrasion flume to measure attrition rates on different lithologies.

Results indicate that while the highest suite of terraces aligns with the elevation of the highest lake-level stand of glacial Lake Duluth, the predecessor to western Lake Superior, other terraces do not align with intermediate lake levels. Although lake-level fall initiated overall incision in the system, the stepped nature of the lake level fall was rapid enough that it did not form discrete sets of terraces and knickpoints. OSL ages indicate incision history is complicated, with some sites showing steady incision through the past 10.8 ka and others showing faster rates initially. The widest valleys and most abundant terraces are located in areas where rivers are primarily migrating and incising through surficial glacial deposits. Knickpoints are currently located on the most competent bedrock lithologies. 

The most common lithology present, basalt, has variable competency characteristics depending on location within the lava flow (resistant and massive flow bases vs. weaker often vesicular flow tops) as measured by compressive strength, fracture intensity and density, and experimental attrition rates. Interestingly, the weakest and most fractured surfaces in otherwise high competency basal basalt flows, were found in and around knickpoints, potentially indicating that physical weathering occurs in high stream power reaches prior to erosion.

How to cite: Gran, K., Bugno, B., Jacobson, L., Marggraf, J., Wickert, A., Braunagel, M., Larson, P., Lavé, J., and Rittenour, T.: Controls on river evolution in incising post-glacial bedrock rivers along the North Shore of Lake Superior, Minnesota, USA, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16878, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16878, 2026.

EGU26-17457 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.1

Modelling and understanding knickpoint dynamics in homogenous substrates. 

William Norriss, Edwin Baynes, John Hillier, Dimitri Lague, and Philippe Steer

In fluvial environments, knickpoints are key geomorphological landscapes exerting a disproportionate control on landscape evolution. Their influence extends both along the fluvial network and into adjacent hillslopes through coupled channel–hillslope processes. Despite this, previous studies focus on individual elements of knickpoint retreat (retreat rate, height, occurrence rate) with little focus on how they come together to wholly govern knickpoint retreat and the impact this has on wider channel evolution. We present a geometric model to illustrate the ways in which a channel can respond to changing forcing conditions – by changing knickpoint retreat rate, knickpoint spacing or knickpoint height. To evaluate our model, we conducted 22 analogue experiments in the Bedrock River Experimental Incision Tank at the Université de Rennes. To emulate bedrock, we use a silica paste of 45 μm silica, glass beads, and 18% water, with the ratio of silica to glass beads controlling substrate strength. Sediment was fed into the channel (±2% tolerance) via an infinite screw feeder, and base-level fall was simulated by a constant speed motor lowering a movable outlet gate. Conditions were constant throughout each of the experiments with sediment flux ranging from 0 g min-1 to 30 g min-1, base-level fall rate from 2.5 cm hr-1 to 5.0 cm hr-1 and silica to beads ratio from 2.5:1 (weakest) to 4:1 (strongest). A terrestrial laser scanner with a green water-penetrating laser scanned the bathymetry of the channel every 2 minutes, and the 2mm resolution digital elevation models (gridded point cloud data) used as input topography for the FLOODOS hydrodynamic model. Using Z-score normalised multi-variate regression we find knickpoint spacing is set primarily by base-level fall rate where base-level fall rate has 2.41x the impact of sediment flux and 3.61x the impact of bedrock strength. This results from the rate the channel can go through the cycle of initiating knickpoints. We find knickpoint retreat rate is set almost exclusively by bedrock strength explained by the impact of excess shear stress, with bedrock strength having 2.15x the impact of base-level fall rate and 3.61x the impact of sediment flux. Finally, knickpoint height is found to be set by base-level fall rate with base-level fall rate having 3.92x the impact of sediment flux and 4.59x the impact of bedrock strength. Next, the study looks at the impact of knickpoint dynamics on reach scale width and slope and find that these factors are governed by knickpoint morphology, with implications for channel-hillslope interactions. We find that vertical, steep knickpoints impact channel width and slope on a local scale, compared to long, elongated steepened reaches where knickpoint impacts extend beyond the local scale, reducing both overall channel width and slope. Overall, this study enhances the of understanding holistic knickpoint dynamics by assessing the interplay between multiple factors. This is important due to the broader implications for hillslope processes and landscape evolution resulting from knickpoint migration.

How to cite: Norriss, W., Baynes, E., Hillier, J., Lague, D., and Steer, P.: Modelling and understanding knickpoint dynamics in homogenous substrates., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17457, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17457, 2026.

The active floodplain of the Gyüre in the upper Tisza River on the Bereg Plain in Hungary has a lot of different landforms, like meanders and natural levees. To understand how the sedimentation deposits in the Tisza River changed over time, we need to know how sediment builds up in this area. The aim of this study is to assess the sedimentation rate and analyze the distribution of ¹³⁷Cs in two vertically oriented paleochannels (the second and third meanders of the active Gyüre floodplain). We also intended to assess the influence of diverse geomorphological sites on sediment deposition. Satellite images and a LiDAR-based digital terrain model of the study area were used to choose the sampling points in order to ensure that the description of floodplain morphology to depth is accurate

We excavated four profiles for this research to a depth of 100-130 cm. Two in meanders (GYM3, GYM2) and two on natural levees (GYFH3, GYF2). Soil samples were collected at every 2 cm interval for high resolution. We characterized sediment samples by laboratory measurements, including particle-size distribution (Köhn pipette method), pH, EC, CaCO₃, and humus content (Tyurin method). Sequential framework created by measuring ¹³⁷Cs by gamma spectrometry at the HUN-REN Institute for Nuclear Research.

The profiles' depth indicates different sedimentation processes between meanders and natural levees. The ¹³⁷Cs distribution in GYM3 and GYM2 (two meanders) indicates continuous vertical accumulation over the last approximately 70 years. We estimated the sedimentation rate for the third meander (GYM3) to be about 0.4 cm/year, and it is about 0.6 cm for the second meander (GYM2) annually. Conversely, the natural levee samples demonstrated minimal ¹³⁷Cs downward movement, and the peak concentration of ¹³⁷Cs was restricted to topsoil layers. There is no ¹³⁷Cs accumulation in the natural levee profile, and the maximum quantity in natural levee samples is probably driven by plant root activity and soil particles.

In conclusion, the results indicate that the processes of sedimentation in the floodplain vary greatly from one place to another. Meanders are active sediment reservoirs that hold sediment at a rate of 0.4 to 0.6 cm per year. Natural levees stay pretty stable even though they don't get a lot of new sediment. The different levels of ¹³⁷Cs in meanders and the high levels of ¹³⁷Cs on the surface of levees show how important it is to do high-resolution radio-tracer studies of the different ways sediment builds up in the upper Tisza River floodplain.

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Azin Rooien is funded by the Stipendium Hungaricum Scholarship under the joint executive program between Hungary and Iran.

How to cite: Rooien, A., Szabó, G., and Vass, R.: Comparative analysis of sedimentation rates in meanders and natural levees of the Tisza River floodplain (Bereg Plain, Hungary) utilizing Cesium-137 (¹³⁷Cs) as a tracer., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-17985, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-17985, 2026.

EGU26-18497 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Untangling the Control of Channel Width on Lateral Migration Rates 

Kieran Dunne, Anne Baar, and Reika Shimomura

Empirical and theoretical studies of alluvial river meandering planforms have indicated that channel width is a first-order controller of lateral migration rates. There is even a rule of thumb in fluvial geomorphology that alluvial meandering rivers typically laterally migrate at a rate of 1-2% of their channel width per year. However, the process of lateral migration is driven by a combination of boundary shear stress in excess of the critical shear stress for erosion of the cut bank and a deficiency of shear stress that enables sediment deposition on the point bar. As boundary shear stress is a function of the velocity profile away from the channel boundary, often approximated as the product of channel depth and slope, it is counterintuitive that channel width should be a strong controller of lateral migration rate. To address this knowledge gap, we first combine multiple global datasets of bank erosion rates to confirm that channel width does indeed correlate with lateral migration rates. Additionally, we find a width scale-dependence in the proportion of channel widths migrated per year with narrower channels migrating a greater proportion of their width per year than wider channels. To understand the mechanistic influence of channel width on lateral migration rates, we utilize Delft3D to model flow down a meandering river reach. We manipulate bathymetric data of a reach of the Merced River to stretch and compress the channel’s width while preserving the channel’s vertical bathymetry and gradient to isolate the control of channel width on the flow structure. Utilizing a Ray Isovel Model, we extract boundary shear stresses along the channel’s wetted perimeter within meander bends. Results show that the magnitude of boundary shear stress remains largely unaffected by channel width scaling. Furthermore, flow in narrower channels appears to exert a relatively higher stress at the cutbank than in wider channels. Our findings, in combination with hydraulic scaling relationships, suggest that the apparent control of channel width on lateral migration rates, while a useful tool, is an artifact of width-depth scaling. In this light, we reanalyze our global datasets to demonstrate that channel depth exerts a first order control on lateral migration rates, with average migration rates clustering around approximately 20% of channel depth per year.

How to cite: Dunne, K., Baar, A., and Shimomura, R.: Untangling the Control of Channel Width on Lateral Migration Rates, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18497, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18497, 2026.

EGU26-18762 | Posters on site | GM10.1

 Evolution of a fluvial terrace system in a base level-changing scenery within the Jucar Drainage Basin (Valencia, Spain): The Jarafuel-Cautabán case study 

Teresa Bardají, Javier Élez, Antonio Martínez-Graña, and Pablo G. Silva

The fluvial network of the Júcar river around Cofrentes village (hinterland of the Valencia through, Eastern Iberian Peninsula) presents an overall trellis pattern controlled by a polygonal system of Neogene grabens and salt-walls, some of them showing clear evidence of Quaternary activity. The main rivers of this network are the Júcar itself flowing from the West, the Cabriel from North-West, and the Jarafuel – Cautabán from the South, all three merging around Cofrentes village and showing diverging quaternary evolutionary history. The Júcar and Cabriel rivers are deeply incised into Mesozoic and Cenozoic bedrock, forming striking canyons and wide terrace systems, while the Jarafuel - Cautabán shows a much less developed terrace system, with its upper reaches and main tributaries flowing along broad and non-dissected floors, with scattered badly-drained zones and desiccated lakes.

The quaternary fluvial dissection in the area has been described to be driven not only by base-level changes in the Mediterranean Sea, but also by other external factors such as diapirism, evaporite-dissolution subsidence, volcanism, and neotectonics that have played a singular role in the dissection process. One of the most outstanding differential features observed among these fluvial valleys is the headward erosion that in the Júcar and Cabriel rivers reach distances as far as 160 and 250 km respectively, but along the Jarafuel – Cautabán valley only propagated 22 km. Headward erosion is marked by prominent knickpoints along this valley and tributaries, depicting a relevant change in the landscape style, with staircase terraces downstream and undissected late Neogene tectonic landscape upstream. This remarkable difference in headward erosion, and hence in terrace system development cannot be only explained by differences in variable erodibility of bedrock, but another driver must be invoked such as different timing in the opening of the fluvial network to a closer and active base level, that in this case is the Mediterranean sea level. The Jarafuel – Cautabán valley can thus be considered an active example of the interplay between different actors such as sea-level (base level) changes, differential headward erosion, diapiric uplift, and neotectonics.  This contribution presents the first geochronological data (OSL dating) in the Jarafuel – Cautabán system, indicating that, although headward erosion started during the last glacial cycle at c. 95-85 kyr (end of OIS 5), the most important drainage reorganization and incision took place around the Last Glacial Maximum at c. 22 kyr ago, in response to the significant coetaneous sea-level fall.

Contribution supported by the Spanish Research Project I+D+i PID2021-123510OB-I00 (QTECIBERIA-USAL) funded by the MICINAEI/10.13039/501100011033/

How to cite: Bardají, T., Élez, J., Martínez-Graña, A., and Silva, P. G.:  Evolution of a fluvial terrace system in a base level-changing scenery within the Jucar Drainage Basin (Valencia, Spain): The Jarafuel-Cautabán case study, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18762, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18762, 2026.

EGU26-18767 | Orals | GM10.1

Geomorphic patterns on distributive fluvial systems 

Amanda Owen, Heather Kerr, Danjuma Kwetishe, Rachel Williams, and Adrian Hartley

Distributive fluvial systems (fluvial fans) have been demonstrated to dominate the planform area of modern sedimentary basins. Due to their dominance in areas where sediments are actively aggrading, it has been argued that they form the bulk of the fluvial rock record. However, there are some key gaps in the documentation of DFS characteristics, particularly the quantification of channel characteristics. Meandering planforms are prevalent across DFS. In recent years, great advancements have been made in understanding processes associated with meandering rivers as well as increasing our understanding of their deposits. However, little work has been done on understanding how, and whether, meander characteristics vary across a fluvial system.

This study assesses geomorphic patterns across a suite of DFS from a variety of climates to; 1) understand how channel characteristics change downstream on DFS; and 2) assess whether meander characteristics (amplitude, wavelength, migration rate and deposit area) change from proximal to distal regions. Observations from modern systems will be compared to the Jurassic Morrison Formation for which channel width and meander deposit area can be measured.

Our studies show that the active channel width and channel belt widths broadly decrease downstream, except in instances where: 1) an axial system truncates the toe of a DFS; 2) a nearby fan contributes sediment laterally into the system; and 3) a significant spring line is present. Interestingly, the active channel and channel belt width do not concurrently decrease downstream. It is postulated that this is due to planforms playing a key role in the width of the channel belt opposed to the active channel width. Migration rates and meander deposit area generally decrease downstream on the measured systems, however, trends on the Wood River DFS are weak with axial truncation interpreted to be a reason for a weak downstream trend. The Jurassic Salt Wash system mirrors patterns observed on modern systems, in particular the Wood River DFS as a downstream decrease in active and channel belt width is observed, with weak to no changes observed in meander deposit area.

These findings contribute to our overall understanding of fluvial processes, which is essential to understand flood risk for large population centres that live on DFS. In addition, a greater understanding of DFS deposits is gained, contributing to our understanding of reservoir characterisation in fluvial deposits.  

How to cite: Owen, A., Kerr, H., Kwetishe, D., Williams, R., and Hartley, A.: Geomorphic patterns on distributive fluvial systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-18767, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-18767, 2026.

EGU26-19017 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Thresholds in the morphodynamic resilience of river deltas to sand extraction 

Anne Baar and Christopher Hackney

In recent decades, sand extraction from rivers has accelerated to meet the needs of economic development. Locally, this results in river bed and bank erosion, but it is unknown how these local disturbances affect the larger-scale morphodynamic feedback and whether sustainable sand-mining strategies can be designed to minimise impacts. Our objective is to test dredging strategies in a river-estuary Delft3D model and to quantify the resulting morphodynamic response of the system. We systematically varied the number and intensity of dredging sites along the river, relative to the sediment supply from upstream.

Results show that sand extraction produces system-wide effects, with severity increasing with both extraction frequency and volume relative to the upstream sediment supply. We found that when intensive sand mining occurs at a small number of sites, mined reaches accumulated sediment and were able to recover after mining ceased, whereas unmined zones continued to erode due to sediment-depleted flows. This results in a long-term destabilisation of the delta and indicates a sensitivity to upstream perturbations. In contrast, less intensive sand mining spread over a larger number of sites results in an overall lower riverbed that continues to erode and export sediment after sand mining ceases. System recovery occurs only when sediment supply exceeds removal. These findings highlight that localised sand extraction can induce long-lasting geomorphic change, emphasising the need to constrain extraction volumes to maintain morphological stability. 

How to cite: Baar, A. and Hackney, C.: Thresholds in the morphodynamic resilience of river deltas to sand extraction, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19017, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19017, 2026.

EGU26-19265 | ECS | Orals | GM10.1

Extended Gravel-Bedrock Eroder 1.0: a Landlab component for sediment and bedrock dynamics across a range of river systems 

Yuval Shmilovitz, Gregory E. Tucker, Susannah M. Morey, Vanessa Gabel, Benjamin Campforts, and Eric Hutton

Earth's rivers, especially in mountainous settings, carry sediment with a wide variety of properties, among which are size and lithology. Despite their critical influence on bedrock incision, transport/deposition patterns, and topographic forms, sediment properties are often overlooked in landscape evolution models. Here we present a new set of Landlab components centered on the Enhanced Gravel Bedrock Eroder (EGBE), which simultaneously describes the evolution of a gravel-sized alluvium layer and the underlying bedrock in a network of rivers. The component implements numerical solutions to fluvial sediment transport, deposition, attrition, and bedrock incision, taking into account sediment load heterogeneity in size or toughness. Additionally, EGBE allows the user to select between two assumptions regarding channel geometry: a fixed-width model (in which channel width scales with water discharge) and a dynamic-width model (in which channel width adjusts such that the bed shear stress is slightly above the transport threshold for the median-size sediment grain). EGBE relies on other Landlab components that handle flow routing and mass exchange among different sediment classes, and it can be coupled with hillslope sediment transport components. These components are integrated in a code called EGBE-LEM.

A set of 1D EGBE numerical experiments highlights the importance of sediment size for channel steepness. These experiments illustrate how an upstream source of coarse, resistant gravel leads to a steeper overall profile. Conversely, a downstream source steepens only the lower portion of the profile, leading to a break-in-slope that coincides with the lithologic transition. Several additional EGM-LEM experiments explored the impact of sediment toughness heterogeneity on landscape evolution. These demonstrate how upstream variations in toughness can influence the form and dynamics of channel networks downstream. For example, upstream variations in the toughness of source material can lead to asymmetric drainage divides and contrasts in the steepness index across adjacent drainage basins. In addition, we demonstrate how lithologic heterogeneity can influence river network concavity, planform geometry and steepness.

EGBE improves on previous modeling efforts by explicitly representing sediment attrition and size-dependent transport of heterogeneous sediment load: a useful addition given that size and lithology are two of the most commonly used and accessible measures of river systems. In addition, the EGBE-LEM code provides an advanced integrated modeling platform for understanding mechanisms and dynamics across a range of river types and geological settings.

How to cite: Shmilovitz, Y., Tucker, G. E., Morey, S. M., Gabel, V., Campforts, B., and Hutton, E.: Extended Gravel-Bedrock Eroder 1.0: a Landlab component for sediment and bedrock dynamics across a range of river systems, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19265, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19265, 2026.

EGU26-20298 | Posters on site | GM10.1

OSL chronology of fluvial deposits in the Peruvian Amazon: implications for landscape evolution during the Quaternary. 

Anarda Simões, Fabiano Pupim, Bodo Bookhagen, Priscila Souza, Carolina Cruz, Gabriella Campos, Caio Breda, Renan Brito, and André Sawakuchi

The Amazon River is the largest fluvial system on Earth, and its present configuration reflects long-term interactions among climate, tectonics, and fluvial processes. Hydroclimatic variability during the Quaternary period played a fundamental role in shaping the spatial organization of the Amazon River Basin, influencing sediment transport, deposition, and landscape evolution. Variations in precipitation patterns and river dynamics contributed to the development of the modern mosaic of upland areas and seasonally flooded lowlands.

This study investigates geological records from the proximal sector of the Amazon River Basin, focusing on sedimentary deposits and fluvial terraces along the Amazon River and its major tributaries, including the Marañón and Ucayali rivers, in the Iquitos region of northeastern Peru. Previous studies have interpreted this area as the remnant of an ancient topographic high, the Iquitos forebulge depozone, which acted as a structural boundary influencing the evolution of the Marañón River Basin.

Regional geomorphology was mapped using high-resolution digital elevation models derived from 10 m TanDEM-X data. Sedimentological characteristics were documented through field observations, and the stratigraphic units were chronologically constrained using quartz optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating. One active floodplain and three distinct fluvial terrace levels were identified based on elevation, sedimentary features, and age.

The floodplain deposits, located between 88 and 96 m above sea level, represent the youngest unit and consist of very fine- to fine-grained sands with planar-parallel and trough cross-stratification, interbedded with silt- and clay-rich layers. Their mineralogical composition includes quartz, feldspar, and heavy minerals, with OSL ages ranging from 12.66 ± 0.15 ka to 3.14 ± 0.34 ka. The first fluvial terrace (T1), occurring at approximately 125 m elevation, is composed of sands with variable grain sizes capped by silt- and clay-rich horizons and displays mineralogical variability expressed by color changes from yellow to yellowish red. OSL ages range from 112.4 ± 0.16 ka to 42.44 ± 0.11 ka. The second terrace level (T2), located at about 133 m above sea level, consists of well-sorted, medium- to coarse-grained sands with subrounded grains and a high degree of sedimentary maturity, yielding ages between 354.69 ± 0.10 ka and 228.58 ± 0.09 ka. The uppermost terrace (T3), found at 139 m elevation, is dominated by silt- and clay-sized sediments, overlain by ferruginous and sandy facies, with ages ranging from 172.6 ± 0.12 ka to 133.66 ± 0.08 ka.

Some of these units have been previously described in the literature, notably the T2 deposits, formerly referred to as the “White Sands” formation (Roddaz et al., 2006)  and assigned Miocene ages (~7 Ma). The new OSL data indicate substantially younger ages, requiring a reassessment of the regional stratigraphic framework. Overall, this study refines the spatial and temporal characterization of fluvial terraces in the Peruvian Amazon and provides new insights into the Quaternary landscape evolution of the Amazon River Basin.

How to cite: Simões, A., Pupim, F., Bookhagen, B., Souza, P., Cruz, C., Campos, G., Breda, C., Brito, R., and Sawakuchi, A.: OSL chronology of fluvial deposits in the Peruvian Amazon: implications for landscape evolution during the Quaternary., EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20298, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20298, 2026.

EGU26-22321 | Posters on site | GM10.1

Using SWOT Satellite Data to Estimate Hydraulic Resistance and Sediment Transport Capacity 

J. Toby Minear, Joel Johnson, Mike Lamb, and Taylor Rowley

Sediment transported by large rivers is a critical component of the global sediment cycle and is central to a broad range of fundamental processes of the Earth system, including river flooding and floodplain sediment dynamics, nutrient and adsorbed contaminant transport, and coastal sediment supply and coastal land loss. Yet, monitoring of bed sediment and sediment transport in large rivers occurs only rarely, if ever. The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission offers a novel ability to coincidentally measure river water surface elevation, extent, and slope and therefore can provide many, but not all, of the variables used to estimate sediment transport capacity in large rivers. In addition, the SWOT mission provides estimates of remotely-sensed river discharge using algorithms but these algorithms do not account for sediment transport related effects on hydraulic resistance.

For this initial effort, we build on previous work by making use of field measurement data collected routinely by water agencies at in situ gaging stations, including bed sediment data. Using discharge field measurements and SWOT data, we empirically solve for three critical variables that SWOT does not measure directly: depth to the bed, hydraulic resistance, and grain size. We use gaging station data where discharge is already known, combined with SWOT data, to solve hydraulic resistance equations for both Manning's n and the coefficient of friction, Cf. We also solve for the total depth to the bed and channel cross-sectional area. From these inversions, we derive an expression for hydraulic resistance, area and depth, directly from SWOT data for unmeasured sites. These relationships are used to estimate bed shear stress and bedload sediment transport capacity when combined with SWOT water surface elevations, extent and slope data. Through these initial models for hydraulic resistance and sediment transport, formulated from SWOT data, we improve SWOT river discharge products and can estimate bed sediment transport in large rivers.

How to cite: Minear, J. T., Johnson, J., Lamb, M., and Rowley, T.: Using SWOT Satellite Data to Estimate Hydraulic Resistance and Sediment Transport Capacity, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-22321, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-22321, 2026.

Rivers across the world are responding to natural and anthropogenic disturbances including post-glacial landscape evolution, land-use changes, and climate change. Beaver Dam Analogs (BDAs) have emerged as a low-tech, process-based restoration tool designed to mimic the geomorphic and hydrological functions of natural beaver dams and increase water retention, sediment storage, flood attenuation, and habitat creation. Despite the adoption of BDAs in selective areas in North America  uncertainties remain regarding their effect on fish habitat and potential flood risks under failure scenarios. These uncertainties continue to constrain permitting, implementation, and acceptance of BDAs as a widely accepted restoration method. This research integrates machine learning, field observations, and controlled physical experimentation to evaluate how BDAs influence fluvial processes across spatial and temporal scales. A province-wide habitat suitability model is being developed using satellite imagery, environmental variables, and a database of mapped beaver dam locations. This model identifies stream conditions most conducive to successful BDA implementation and highlights areas where environmental characterstics may limit suitability. Second, controlled experiments in the University of British Columbia’s river flume laboratory test how variations in BDA design affect channel morphology, sediment transport, and flow dynamics. These experiments simulate incised channel conditions typical of many degraded systems and quantify geomorphic responses under varying discharge regimes and dam configurations. Third, field data from ongoing restoration projects combined with flume-derived relationships will inform the development of a flood risk model. This component assesses hydraulic impacts and potential dam failure scenarios, addressing key management concerns related to downstream infrastructure and fish passage. The results will directly support the British Columbia Wildlife Federation,  and the Lheidli T’enneh First Nation in refining restoration strategies and developing evidence-based guidelines for BDA design and implementation. 

How to cite: Matechuk, L.: Evaluating Geomorphic and Hydrological Responses to Beaver Dam Analogs: Integrating Machine Learning, Field Data, and Flume Experiments to Inform River Restoration, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-265, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-265, 2026.

EGU26-402 | Posters on site | GM10.2

A Multi-Horizon Morphodynamic Forecasting and Near Real-Time Scour Monitoring Framework for the Jamuna River 

Imran Khan, Mostazer Billah, Md Alifnur Salim, Md Musfequzzaman, Muhammad Anowar Saadat, and Sarwat Jahan

Large braided rivers pose persistent challenges for the protection of major river training works, as rapid channel migration, evolving char formations, and highly localized scour can compromise structures within short timescales. The Jamuna River in Bangladesh is one of the most morphodynamically active systems of this kind, making it an ideal but demanding environment for operational forecasting and adaptive management.

Since 2014, a morphological model of the Jamuna River has been progressively developed using detailed survey data and MIKE 21C simulations. This model underpins annual monsoon-season morphological forecasts, predicting planform adjustments and potential scour depths for the upcoming monsoon. The 2025 forecast report which was submitted on 30 April, identified elevated scour risk between CH 1300–2500, with maximum predicted depths ranging from -31.51 mPWD under a 1 in 100 year flood to -37.16 mPWD under a 1-in-2.33-year flood. These predictions guided initial preparedness and monitoring plans for the monsoon season.

In recent years, the framework has been extended to provide near-real-time scour forecasts for all major river training works, integrating short-term hydrological forecasts with high-frequency bathymetric observations. During the 2025 monsoon, the near-real-time hydro-morphodynamic modelling system was continuously updated using the latest 5-day water level forecasts from the Flood Forecasting and Warning Centre (FFWC) and validated through frequent single-beam and multibeam bathymetry surveys. This approach enabled timely detection of rapid scour intensification near CH 2600-2700. Based on combined survey and model results for August, a targeted dumping plan along CH 2470-2780 was formulated and executed. This represents an adaptive intervention strategy, where protective measures are triggered in response to evolving river dynamics indicated by both predictive simulations and real-time observations. By late August, measured scour reached -33.34 mPWD exceeding the design threshold by more than 6 m. Yet timely adaptive interventions maintained apron stability and prevented wider structural exposure.

This study demonstrates that operational morphodynamic forecasting integrating annual monsoon-season predictions with near real time model updates and survey observations, can significantly enhance the resilience of major river training works in highly dynamic sand bed rivers. It represents one of the first operational applications of an integrated multi-horizon and near real time morphodynamic forecasting framework for guiding adaptive river training interventions providing a practical and scalable blueprint for infrastructure risk management under increasing hydrological variability and climate-driven extremes.

How to cite: Khan, I., Billah, M., Salim, M. A., Musfequzzaman, M., Saadat, M. A., and Jahan, S.: A Multi-Horizon Morphodynamic Forecasting and Near Real-Time Scour Monitoring Framework for the Jamuna River, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-402, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-402, 2026.

EGU26-985 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.2

Disentangling anthropogenic and geological drivers of morphodynamics change in a Himalayan river: The Yamuna River, India 

Shalini Singh, Louis Rey, Nikita Karnatak, Barbara Belletti, Herve Piegay, and Vikrant Jain

River processes and its morphodynamics are shaped by a combination of geological, climatic, and human-driven factors. Recently, increasing population pressures, rapid urbanization, and related stresses, such as large-scale water diversions by dams and sediment mining activities, have begun to disrupt riverine systems, raising concerns about their long-term sustainability.

This study investigates the impact of human activities and geological controls on geomorphic change in the Yamuna River, a major Himalayan system that originates from the Yamunotri Glacier at an elevation of 6,387 m and drains a basin of 3.66x105 km² over a distance of 1,376 km. The river flows through the Delhi megacity, which is home to approximately 11 million people. Besides the pressure from the megacity, the presence of the dams and sand mining from the channel bed causes intense anthropogenic stress, making it an ideal system for assessing human impacts on the channel form of a major Himalayan river. Downstream of Delhi, the river is further influenced by three major tributary confluences, which introduce significantly more water and sediment flux into the Yamuna River channel, making it a suitable location to study the natural reference stage of the river.

To evaluate these driving factors, we extracted the active floodplain using the Global Surface Water maximum water extent dataset (1984–2021) and applied the Fluvial Corridor Toolbox to segment the river into discrete geomorphic objects. Using Landsat and Sentinel-2 imagery (1984–2024), we quantified object-based geomorphic parameters, including active channel width, water width, braiding index, and vegetation width, for a 1100 km long part of the river.

Results indicate that human activities, such as dam construction, sand mining, and urban expansion, have significantly altered channel structure across multiple scales, particularly in upstream reaches and within the Delhi region. In the detailed analysis, it was found that the impact of sand mining and the pressure exerted by the Delhi megacity were more prominent than that of the dam.  In contrast, the downstream reaches of Delhi reflect a dominant tributary contribution, where these tributaries drive the geomorphic recovery and reorganization of channel form. Together, these patterns demonstrate that the Yamuna is shaped by a complex interplay between human-induced disturbances and natural fluxes from tributaries. Recognizing this dual influence is essential for designing reach-specific, sustainable river management strategies that address both immediate anthropogenic pressures and longer-term geomorphic controls.

How to cite: Singh, S., Rey, L., Karnatak, N., Belletti, B., Piegay, H., and Jain, V.: Disentangling anthropogenic and geological drivers of morphodynamics change in a Himalayan river: The Yamuna River, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-985, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-985, 2026.

The Badlands of the Lower Chambal Valley (LCV) continue to evolve under the combined influence of overland flow, seepage-induced piping, and land-use interventions such as widespread land levelling. Recent work in the region has shown that slope–area (SA) relationships, when combined with width–depth ratios, can differentiate dominant erosion processes and reveal the strong role of soil piping in gully initiation. However, several key research gaps limit the ability to predict where gullies will form—and reform—under changing land management. This contribution outlines emerging research prospects in the LCV. First, the sustainability of land-levelling remains poorly understood: recurrence of gullies on reclaimed parcels suggests that the original erosional thresholds persist in the subsurface, yet the conditions that trigger renewed incision remain unquantified. Second, integrating SA thresholds can offer a new understanding to link surface thresholds with subsurface susceptibility to piping. Third, multi-season monitoring of newly levelled and marginal lands is needed to establish recurrence intervals and identify early-warning indicators of gully reactivation. Finally, combining SA relationship with continuous monitoring of gully recurrence and soil characteristics may allow better understanding of processes that dominate in pristine Badlands and remodelled slopes (land levelling). By framing these prospects, a future direction may be adopted to better understand and possibly check recurrence of gullies in the remodelled slopes.

How to cite: Ranga, V.: Future Directions in understanding gully initiation and recurrence in the Lower Chambal valley, India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1059, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1059, 2026.

EGU26-1298 | ECS | Orals | GM10.2

Evidence Based Hydraulic and Geomorphic Complexity of Large Wood Interventions for Habitat Creation 

Ghazaleh Nassaji Matin, Diego Panici, Georgie Bennett, and Richard Brazier

Large wood (LW) has become an essential tool in river restoration due to its ability to enhance habitat heterogeneity and restore natural processes disrupted by human activities such as channelisation.  This work presents findings from 2-year field monitoring across 4 restoration sites in the UK, aimed at quantifying the effects of various LW interventions on geomorphic changes and hydraulic complexity.

The sites including in our monitoring have been selected for the diverse type of interventions, catchment type (ranging from stream orders 3rd to 6th), and LW complexity that has been used for restoration, for example, Stage-0 (Holnicote, Somerset, UK and Tattiscombe, Devon, UK), complex dams and deflectors (Magdalen Farm, Somerset, UK), simple deflectors (Mosterton, Somerset). The monitoring process encompassed the quantification of surface velocity variations around LW installations through a drone-based large scale particle image velocimetry (LSPIV) method coupled with the structural complexity and type of LW, and measurement of LW-induced geomorphic changes using high-resolution RTK drone surveys and walk-overs using Leica GNSS unite. To identify the impact of LW on restoration, we employed a control (unwooded) versus impact (restored) design for Magdalen and Mosterton farms combined with a before‑and‑after monitoring approach for Holnicote and Tattiscombe.

For the first objective, LSPIV was employed to acquire spatially continuous velocity fields across selected rivers reaches within the sites, mitigating the methodological limitations of traditional point-measurement techniques near complex LW structures. LSPIV surveys were conducted during contrasting low (Q90-Q99) and high (Q10-Q4) flow conditions at intervention and upstream control reaches. Velocity analyses quantified spatial heterogeneity using coefficient of variation in velocity, revealing consistent formation of distinct wake zones (reduced velocity) and acceleration zones near wood features. For example, in LW jams in Mosterton, a cross-section with 33.34% wood cover exhibited a velocity coefficient of variation 195.82% higher than the control reach (unwooded), with P value equal to 3.9×10⁻⁴⁴ (Wilcoxon test) confirming that LW significantly drives flow variability. The observed hydraulic heterogeneity defines three functional zones: high‑energy, erosion‑ or scour‑prone reaches; low‑energy, depositional zones; and intermediate turbulent‑mixing areas. By overlaying these flow‑zone maps onto concurrent drone‑derived orthophotos, we can relate flow patterns to specific geomorphic responses such as pool development, bar migration, or bank erosion. This will allow us to predict where erosional and depositional processes are most likely to occur under different LW configurations and flow conditions.

How to cite: Nassaji Matin, G., Panici, D., Bennett, G., and Brazier, R.: Evidence Based Hydraulic and Geomorphic Complexity of Large Wood Interventions for Habitat Creation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1298, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1298, 2026.

Tropical regions cover 19% of the world's landmass and account for more than 40% of the world's population.  Rivers in these zones exhibit significant hydrological and geomorphic dynamism, primarily due to the enormous variability in rainfall and the associated energy regimes, while also supporting some of the world's most productive biological systems.  Furthermore, tropical rivers remain among the most heavily regulated, with flow modification, dam construction, and floodplain encroachment all causing significant deviations from natural channel behaviour.  The downstream geomorphic consequences of these regulatory pressures are yet poorly constrained, emphasizing the need for large-scale, process-based studies of river variability and its governing mechanisms.
To address this research gap, the present study applies the River Styles Framework, a process-based approach and reach-scale geomorphic classification method, to the Narmada River basin (98,796 km²; 1,312 km), the largest west-flowing system in Peninsular India. The study aims to: (i) classify geomorphically distinct river styles; (ii) identify hydrological, geological, and morphological controls governing transitions along the longitudinal profile; and (iii) formulate reach-specific insights to support sustainable river-management strategies. Geomorphic characterization integrates multi-source remote-sensing datasets, SAR-based floodplain delineation, and field validation of key geomorphic units, including floodplains, riffles, pools, barforms, and planform metrics such as sinuosity. Hydrological variability is quantified through Gumbel flood-frequency analysis of four decades of discharge records to determine spatial and temporal patterns in stream power. Sedimentological assessments combine AI-assisted photogrammetry for coarse fractions with laboratory-based particle-size analysis of finer sediments.
The results show 17 distinct River Styles along the Narmada River continuum. Excluding segments affected by reservoir backwater, approximately 64% of the channel length occurs within confined valley settings, 31% within partly confined reaches, and only 5% within laterally unconfined valley environments. Valley slopes, stream power distribution, tributary confluences, and anthropogenic activities, such as dam construction, emerge as the primary controls on spatial variations in channel form and process.
Overall, the study offers a comprehensive, process-based understanding of geomorphic variation along the Narmada River and identifies reaches with high geomorphic sensitivity that require priority management intervention. By combining geomorphic, hydrological, and sedimentological assessments, the findings provide a robust scientific basis for designing economically viable and sustainable management strategies. Narmada's diverse landscapes, geological discontinuities, and significant climatic gradients make it an ideal natural laboratory for developing approaches applicable to major tropical and monsoon-dominated river systems worldwide.

How to cite: Jha, S. K. and Jain, V.:  Tracing Geomorphic Variability and Forcing Mechanisms of a Highly Regulated Tropical River System in India, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-1997, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-1997, 2026.

EGU26-2077 | ECS | Orals | GM10.2

Sustainable Mining Zones: A Multi-Criteria Framework for Balancing Sand Extraction and River Integrity in the Mekong Delta 

Sonu Kumar, Edward Park, Dung Duc Tran, and Adam D. Switzer

Unregulated sand mining has become a major global sustainability challenge, yet managers still lack clear tools to determine where sand can be extracted and how much can be removed without damaging river systems. This study presents a new, practical framework called Sustainable Mining Zones (SMZ) that combines high-resolution sediment mapping with ecological and geomorphic sensitivity analysis to support science-based sand mining decisions. The Vietnamese Mekong Delta, one of the world’s most intensively mined river systems, is used as a test case. Using a high-resolution Delft3D-FM model initialized with a 2017 riverbed survey and validated against 2020 observations, we simulated hydrodynamics, sediment transport, salinity intrusion, and riverbed evolution from 2017–2021. Results indicate a cumulative sediment loss of approximately 250 Mm³, with severe reach-scale deficits reaching ~−79.5 Mm³ yr⁻¹ in the Tien River and a median incision rate of ~0.30 m yr⁻¹, strongly coinciding with observed dredging hotspots. Although the delta contains substantial sediment resources (~10.59 Bm³ above a conservative thickness threshold), sustainability screening reduces the effective resource to ~4.91 Bm³ once geomorphic stability and ecological constraints are applied through the Suitability-Weighted Reserve (SWR). Scenario simulations show that an equilibrium extraction benchmark of approximately ~4.9 Mm³ per year produces minimal morphological impact, while a practical upper operational limit of about 9.8-9.9 Mm³ per year can meet moderate construction demand if extraction is confined to high-suitability mid-channel and point-bar zones. The SMZ framework provides a transferable, map-based tool for regulators to balance development needs with long-term river resilience in sediment-stressed river basins worldwide.

Keywords: Sand mining; Mekong Delta; sediment dynamics; sustainable management; river morphology; decision support

How to cite: Kumar, S., Park, E., Tran, D. D., and Switzer, A. D.: Sustainable Mining Zones: A Multi-Criteria Framework for Balancing Sand Extraction and River Integrity in the Mekong Delta, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2077, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2077, 2026.

EGU26-2171 | ECS | Orals | GM10.2

Vegetation Phenology Shifts Driven by Cascade Reservoir Operations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin 

Yixuan Zhang, Mengzhen Xu, Yongxian Zhang, and Yuan Xue

Large-scale infrastructure represents one of the most pervasive anthropogenic disturbances to fluvial systems, yet the cascading interactions between reservoir operations and alpine land-surface processes remain elusive. This study targets the Lancang–Mekong River Basin, a critical transboundary hotspot originating from the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, to quantify how hydrological regulation mediates the coupling between local microclimates and vegetation phenology (including the start of the growing season (SOS) and the end of the growing season (EOS)). We developed an analytical framework integrating long-term multi-source remote sensing observations with structural equation modeling and interpretable machine learning to disentangle the cumulative, spatially heterogeneous responses to damming. Our results reveal a fundamental regime shift: over the past 24 years, the vegetation growing season in dam-concentrated reaches has extended by over 30 days, characterized by a 22-day advance in SOS and a 9-day delay in EOS. While natural climatic drivers typically dominate alpine phenology, reservoir-induced impoundment has perturbed the local hydrothermal equilibrium and alleviated water stress in dry-hot valleys. Attribution analysis reveals that reservoir-regulated soil moisture dynamics account for 42.7% of vegetation variability, representing a mechanistic transition from climatic dominance to a coupled human-environment regulation regime. This mechanistic shift provides essential geomorphic and eco-hydrological insights for the adaptive management and ecological restoration of disturbed river systems in high-altitude hotspots.

How to cite: Zhang, Y., Xu, M., Zhang, Y., and Xue, Y.: Vegetation Phenology Shifts Driven by Cascade Reservoir Operations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-2171, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-2171, 2026.

EGU26-3729 * | Posters on site | GM10.2 | Highlight

River sand and gravel mining: A global synthesis of drivers, extents and impacts for sustainable management 

Edward Park, Christopher Hackney, Mette Bendixen, Jim Best, Dung Duc Tran, and Sonu Kumar

Sand and gravel are mined from rivers globally at unprecedented scales, yet the full extent and impacts of this extraction remain underrecognized relative to other environmental crises. Here we present a comprehensive review of riverine sand and gravel mining (SGM), synthesizing 279 studies published over the last five decades within a novel Driver-to-Management Pathway for Sustainable Mining (DMPSM) framework. This framework links the drivers of SGM, the spatial extent of extraction, and the resulting hydrogeomorphic impacts to inform sustainable management strategies. Our synthesis reveals pronounced spatial and scalar mismatches among the scales of drivers, extraction, and impacts: the socioeconomic drivers of sand demand often act at regional to global levels, whereas extraction extents are poorly quantified at local scales, and impacts can propagate far beyond mining sites, complicating effective governance. Excessive sand removal disrupts sediment budgets, triggering riverbed incision, bank erosion, and channel instability. These geomorphic changes steepen hydraulic gradients, lower alluvial water tables, and reduce hyporheic exchange, collectively degrading riverine habitats and water resources. We further find that SGM impacts are compounded by multiple anthropogenic stressors: upstream dams trap sediment, land‐use changes increase sediment demand, and climate change alters flow regimes, creating compounding feedbacks that accelerate channel degradation. Our global synthesis underscores the urgent need for improved monitoring across scales and integrated management and governance strategies to bridge these disconnects. Aligning extraction with natural sediment replenishment, strengthening regulatory frameworks and enforcement, and enhancing stakeholder engagement are critical steps to mitigate SGM’s cumulative impacts and ensure sustainable river basin management.

How to cite: Park, E., Hackney, C., Bendixen, M., Best, J., Tran, D. D., and Kumar, S.: River sand and gravel mining: A global synthesis of drivers, extents and impacts for sustainable management, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-3729, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-3729, 2026.

EGU26-4561 | Orals | GM10.2

Future Geographies:  The Shapes of Things to Come 

Gordon Grant, Bretwood ( Higman, and Becky Fasth

As climate change drives the world toward a warmer and more unpredictable future, it presents significant challenges for geographers and geomorphologists: how will Earth's surface evolve? While landscapes may never be in perfect equilibrium with their formative processes, there is no doubt that climate change—and the shifting frequencies, magnitudes, and intensities of geomorphic events—is creating widespread disequilibrium. Rapid, real-time landscape transformation is evident in phenomena such as sea level rise, glacial retreat, mega-wildfires, and permafrost melting. Fundamental questions for current and future generations of earth scientists include: Can we predict the trajectory of these landscapes? How long will the transformations take, and what will the resulting landscapes look like? What will the consequences be for humans and other species, and is our science adequate for the task of prediction?

Southeast Alaska, a vast and dramatic region, serves as a natural laboratory for exploring these questions. Subject to the aforementioned climate drivers, as well as the world’s highest rates of isostatic rebound, frequent tectonic uplift, and exceptional precipitation intensities, the landscape is transforming before our eyes, acting as a global bellwether for geographic change.

Drawing on examples from this dynamic environment, this presentation will explore the prospects for predicting geomorphic change, anticipating its consequences, and extracting lessons applicable to other regions.  Specifically we will identify regions where rapidly melting and thinning glaciers are likely to cause dramatic landscape changes, including drainage captures, fluvial redirection, landslide acceleration, and delta abandonment.  We will elaborate on the consequences of these plausible changes to ecosystems, human infrastructure, and natural hazards, and suggest the roles that models and scientists might play in anticipating these changes and communicating them to broader audiences.

 

How to cite: Grant, G., Higman, B. (., and Fasth, B.: Future Geographies:  The Shapes of Things to Come, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-4561, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-4561, 2026.

EGU26-7646 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.2

How does wood move on forested floodplains? Wood tracking in flume experiments of a forested river corridor 

Josie Welsh, Katherine Lininger, and Virginia Ruiz-Villanueva

Large wood (LW; >10 cm in diameter and >1 m in length) within river corridors – including channels and adjacent floodplains – plays a key role in shaping hydraulic conditions, sediment deposition and erosion, nutrient cycling, and habitat availability for aquatic and terrestrial species. Thus, to fully understand how a river system functions, we must understand when, how, and why LW is stored or transported. Most previous work on understanding LW dynamics in river systems has focused on LW behavior in channels, overlooking the possible importance of floodplains on how LW moves through these systems. Leveraging video datasets from a series of flume experiments on LW behavior in forested river corridors, we tracked LW piece movement to understand controls on LW trajectories and deposition patterns.

We analyzed of a set of 36 experiments conducted in a 4m wide by 10m long fixed bed flume at St. Anthony Falls Laboratory at the University of Minnesota. The flume represented a river corridor for a relatively steep, headwater stream in the central Rocky Mountains. These experiments explored variations in LW transport and deposition across a range of 4 floodplain forest stand densities, 2 overbank flood magnitudes and 2 LW transport regimes (the amount of LW added at one time). For each experiment, we dropped a total of 870 pieces into the channel at the head of the flume and observed where they were deposited. Using video data from the experiments, we developed a dataset of wood piece trajectories under different conditions. The videos were collected using four nadir-oriented GoPro cameras mounted above the flume surface. We orthomosaiced the video streams and stitched them together to form a single video covering the entire experimental surface at a resolution of 2mm/pixel and 24 frames/second. We then retrained and tested a python-based convolutional neural network (CNN) for real-time object detection and tracking called YOLO (You Only Look Once)  v11 (Redmon et al., 2016) on 2000 images of LW in the flume (70/30 train/test split). We ran this object detection model for each experiment, resulting in a dataset of LW trajectories for hundreds of LW pieces for each of the 36 experiments. We performed survival analysis on distances traveled by each piece using the Kaplan-Meier method to statistically assess how far LW pieces tended to travel in each experiment.

We present results of the survival analysis for each experiment compared across forest stand densities, flood magnitudes and transport regimes.  We found that sparser forests and larger overbank floods increased transport distances. Additionally, as each experiment progressed, there were changes in the distance traveled by pieces, likely due to the formation of jams that promoted wood deposition in specific locations. These analyses advance our understanding of how LW moves in forested river corridors by providing information at the wood piece level – something rare among LW studies. Additionally, these results will support future efforts to use IberWood (a 2D numerical model of river flow and LW transport) to connected channel-floodplain systems, improving tools used to inform river restoration and management.

How to cite: Welsh, J., Lininger, K., and Ruiz-Villanueva, V.: How does wood move on forested floodplains? Wood tracking in flume experiments of a forested river corridor, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-7646, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-7646, 2026.

EGU26-8932 | Posters on site | GM10.2

140 years of river aggradation and incision following Euro-American settlement 

Andrew Wickert, Jimmy Wood, Phillip Larson, and Lawrence Svien

The Whitewater River and its tributaries, located in southeastern Minnesota, USA, received intensive geomorphic study starting in 1939. By this point, up to 4.5 meters of sediment buried the prior channel and floodplain. The culprit was agricultural intensification starting with Euro-American settlement around the year 1855. By converting forest and deep-rooted prairie into row crops and grazing land, these settler–farmers set the stage for gullying, erosion, and eventual infilling of the valley floor. Nearly 2000 probes down to the pre-settlement soil provide a ca. 1855 floodplain surface along 94 transect lines. Topographic surveys in 1939, 1965, and 1994 extend this record to about 140 years and the number of total transects to 107. We digitized primary historical sources, many of which existed only as paper records, and built a geospatially registered data set of valley-bottom topography. This data set reveals migrating waves of erosion and deposition over time scales long enough to observe how Earth's surface responds to human disturbance and shape our thinking about river dynamics in fluvial geomorphology.

How to cite: Wickert, A., Wood, J., Larson, P., and Svien, L.: 140 years of river aggradation and incision following Euro-American settlement, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-8932, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-8932, 2026.

EGU26-9544 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.2

Impacts of Barge as Flexible Infrastructure on Riverbed Morphology 

Antonija Harasti and Gordon Gilja

Sediment accumulation at river confluences can severely compromise fairway stability and navigation safety. To provide a non-invasive alternative to dredging, a novel low-water training concept based on “flexible infrastructure” has recently been introduced, using temporarily anchored, ballasted barges to locally modify flow conditions and induce targeted bed erosion. This study evaluates the morphodynamic influence of barge location at the confluence and identifies hydraulic conditions under which this approach is most effective. A three-dimensional numerical model was developed in FLOW-3D, to evaluate scour and deposition patterns around deployed barge. Hydraulic and sediment transport calibration was performed using in situ ADCP velocity measurements and bathymetric surveys collected over a 10-day low-flow period. A series of numerical experiments was conducted using identical geometric configurations while varying boundary conditions (flow velocity and water depth) over low, mean, and high flow conditions. This study analyze the relative influence of flow velocity, water depth, and flow contraction on the maximum local scour beneath the barge. Results indicate that flow contraction and velocity are the dominant controls on barge performance, while barge effectiveness becomes negligible under high-flow conditions associated with large water depths. These findings demonstrate that barges can serve as adaptable and environmentally low-impact infrastructure elements for localized sediment management.

 

Acknowledgements

This work has been funded in part by the iNNO SED project. This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 101157360.

This publication uses information and/or outputs developed within the FAIRway Danube II project. The authors acknowledge the FAIRway Danube II consortium for making relevant datasets, methodologies, and results available

How to cite: Harasti, A. and Gilja, G.: Impacts of Barge as Flexible Infrastructure on Riverbed Morphology, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-9544, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-9544, 2026.

Water resources are being heavily affected by armed conflicts, which worldwide have greatly increased in numbers. Rivers and floodplains are used as frontlines, while waters of reservoirs as weapons of war. Military actions on the territory of Ukraine have unprecedent effects on freshwaters and water infrastructure of the country caused by pollution, physical damage and placing of mines along river courses. Since 2022, several dams were destroyed along the Irpen, Oskil, and Inhulets rivers. The most dramatic, however, was a collapse of the Kakhovka dam on the Dnieper river on the 6th of June 2023. This war-induced dam destruction caused drainage of one of the Europe’s largest reservoirs, resulting in catastrophic flooding and pollution of the river, estuarine and Black Sea environments. Understanding impacts of such dam destructions during the war time is challenging due to restricted access to affected territories and limited field assessments.

Here I will introduce an innovative framework to assess short and long-term environmental and human-health related impacts of sudden dam destructions using the case of the Kakhovka Dam. Our framework combines results of pre- and post-destruction field surveys, numerical modelling and remote-sensing to outline spatial-temporal scales of the disaster and predicts trends in re-establishment of altered ecosystems. We highlight previously overlooked risks imposed by accumulations of heavy metals in exposed sediments of the former reservoir. Assessment of scenarios to mitigate the pollution and possible solutions are provided. Sudden dam destructions caused by warfare or extreme weather events can be well assessed by our framework, to effectively mitigate risks posed by aging dams around the world.

How to cite: Shumilova, O.: Understanding impacts of military dam destructions on river ecosystems: the case of Ukraine, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10142, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10142, 2026.

EGU26-10435 | Posters on site | GM10.2

A GIS-based multi-criteria method for prioritizing river restoration in Portugal 

Marcelo Fernandes, Carlos Alexandre, Joana Boavida-Portugal, Bernardo Quintela, Sílvia Pedro, Sara Carona, Marta Ramalho, Esmeralda Pereira, Ana Rato, and Pedro Raposo de Almeida

River management is often driven by energy production, irrigation crops, and flood mitigation, largely enabled by widespread dam construction. However, river damming has brought severe environmental consequences for river dynamics, including morphological changes, hydrological regime, and interruption of the sediment cascade. These physical changes have profound impacts on the ecology of numerous fish species, particularly highly migratory ones, which, together with parallel drivers, led to an 85% reduction in world freshwater species populations since 1970. This work aims to provide a methodological framework for identifying priority rivers within the Portuguese strategy for improving river connectivity affected by obsolete dams and weirs under the European Nature Restoration Law.

The official fish dataset of the Portuguese Institute for Nature Conservation and Forests was first used, which included >20,000 occurrences for 61 fish species between 2010 and 2020. Each species was classified according to the following variables: species origin (native, exotic), conservation status (Critically Endangered, Endangered, Vulnerable, Near Threatened, Least Concern, Data Deficient, Not Evaluated), phenology (diadromous, potamodromous, resident), socioeconomic importance (very high, high, low significance), and endemism degree (Iberian or Lusitanian endemism). A score was attributed to each criterion, and the species index was calculated using Equation 1. Finally, to ensure functional connectivity to the ocean, we have included the lowermost segment of the main rivers up to the first insurmountable dam.

Equation 1: R = a · (0,25 · Xi + 0,40 · Xii + 0,20 · Xiii + 0,15 · Xiv)

Where the species index (R) resulted from the multiplication of the origin coefficient (α: species origin) with the weighted mean of the variables (Xi: conservation status; Xii: phenology; Xiii: socioeconomic importance; Xiv: endemism degree).

In parallel, hydrographic modelling was carried out using the Strahler model to ensure full representation of the Portuguese river network and a hierarchy adjusted to the sub-basin scale. The sub-basins were selected based on the 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th Strahler hierarchies, and the excluded areas in the main river margins were included using the 8th hierarchy. For each sub-basin, the arithmetic mean of the species index was calculated within the Geographical Information System environment. The prioritization for river restoration was based on the upper quartile means for each hydrological region independently.

All rivers within the prioritized sub-basins were divided into segments according to the 3rd cycle of River Basin Management Plans and the Water Framework Directive, as provided by the Portuguese Environmental Agency. Each segment was classified according to water quality (chemical status and ecological quality), and segments were excluded if these criteria were simultaneously negative. At this stage, the Strahler 3rd-order streams connected to selected segments were included to guarantee ecological coherence in fluvial connectivity. The presence of a protected area (Natura 2000) and the density of transversal barriers were also evaluated. Finally, the national barrier dataset was updated using satellite imagery to identify new barriers.

In total, 77 rivers, encompassing ca. 6500 km at the sub-basin scale, were prioritized within the Portuguese strategy to improve river connectivity affected by obsolete dams and weirs.

How to cite: Fernandes, M., Alexandre, C., Boavida-Portugal, J., Quintela, B., Pedro, S., Carona, S., Ramalho, M., Pereira, E., Rato, A., and Raposo de Almeida, P.: A GIS-based multi-criteria method for prioritizing river restoration in Portugal, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-10435, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-10435, 2026.

EGU26-15047 | ECS | Posters on site | GM10.2

What controls the spatial distribution of stream-road crossings?  

Mario Alberto Ponce-Pacheco, Surya Karpagamala, Omid Emamjomehzadeh, Berina Mina Kilicarslan, and Omar Wani

Stream-road crossings arise when natural fluvial networks (emerging over geological timescales)  intersect built transportation networks (which are designed). Such conflicting intersections are resolved by installing conveyance infrastructure, such as culverts and bridges, which mitigate flood risk to adjacent communities and prevent disruptions to the transportation networks. Studying the spatial distribution of stream-road crossings across large, geographically diverse spatial scales can shed light on how the density of these crossings depends on topographic, geomorphic, hydrologic, and urban controls. In this research, we address these questions by performing a large-scale analysis of the stream-road crossings of New York State (~141,000 sq. kilometers).  We use a grid–based scheme at several spatial resolutions (initially 10×10 km and 5×5 km), which allows us to study the effect of the spatial resolution on the observed distributional patterns. Looking beyond the primary effect of stream and road densities, this study focuses on identifying dependence on second–order drivers that characterize the stream–road crossing distribution. For this analysis, we employ large remotely-sensed geospatial datasets as features. Given the high dimensionality of the feature space and the strong presence of multicollinearity, dimensionality reduction techniques are used to identify latent structures and dominant modes of variability, while clustering methods are applied to separate regions with internally consistent geospatial characteristics. We finally compare outcomes across spatial resolutions to generate insights on how inferred relationships depend on various hydrologic, geomorphic, and land-use features.

How to cite: Ponce-Pacheco, M. A., Karpagamala, S., Emamjomehzadeh, O., Kilicarslan, B. M., and Wani, O.: What controls the spatial distribution of stream-road crossings? , EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-15047, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-15047, 2026.

The Danube's discharge in the National Park is highly variable, influenced by Alpine snow and glacier melt as well as regional rainfall. Average flow typically ranges between 1,500 and 1,900 m³/s. Low flow levels can drop to 600–900 m³/s, while 100-year flood events can reach 8,500 – 11,000 m³/s. Due to climate change, there is an overall decreasing trend in growing season (April–September) streamflow, while winter volumes are slightly increasing due to changing precipitation patterns. Snowmelt-driven spring floods are occurring earlier, and often more pronounced, in the year due to reduced mountain snow storage. While major floods are rare due to regulation, extreme precipitation (like the 2002, 2013 or 2024 events) can cause rapid regional flooding with significant geomorphic effects.

The National Park contains the last major “free-flowing” stretch of the Danube in Austria (36 km), yet it faces significant structural and ecological challenges. A major deficit in bedload sediment from upstream dams causes the riverbed to deepen progressively. Management combats this by dumping gravel to stabilize the bed. Paradoxically, while the main bed level sinks, the floodplains (incl. present side arms) are rising due to overbank sedimentation, fragmenting vital floodplain habitats and increasing terrestrialization trends. Projects like "Dynamic Life Lines Danube" aim to foster complete side-arm reconnections to reactivate “natural” erosion and the renewal of aquatic habitats in the adjacent floodplains.

Within the EU-funded “DANube SEdiment Restoration (DANSER): Towards deployment and upscaling of sustainable sediment management across the Danube River basin”  project, the Danube Floodplain National Park section comprises an important pilot site in the “Upper Danube DEMO” region. One essential project task is to model the long-term hydro-geomorphic effects of different types of river(scape) management and restoration  efforts, such as the reconnection of side-arms. In this presentation, we will highlight the results of different scenario runs using the 2D landscape evolution model CAESAR-Lisflood. We will focus on complex hydro-geomorphic responses to various external (incl. management) and internal perturbations, with a particular focus on the effects of flooding and side-arm reconnections and related long-term consequences for lateral connectivity and riverscape evolution.

This research acknowledges support from the EU Projects HEU DANSER (grant agreement No 101157942)

How to cite: Recinos, S. and Pöppl, R.: Modelling riverscape evolution in the Danube Floodplain National Park (Austria) - Effects of flooding and side-arm reconnections on lateral connectivity and geomorphic change, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16333, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16333, 2026.

EGU26-16644 | Posters on site | GM10.2

Geoinformation Tools in the Evaluation of River Renaturation Projects in the Czech Republic 

Jitka Elznicová, Dominik Brétt, Tomáš Matys Grygar, Jiří Rous, Vít Rous, Oto Weber, and Zbyněk Tačovský

Geoinformation tools (GIT) allow for the identification of historical and current riverbeds and previous anthropogenic interventions to river systems. Due to the decreasing costs of high-precision data acquisition and the necessary hardware, GIT has become a standard tool for monitoring the fluvial dynamics of watercourses.

Czech rivers have long been influenced by human activity. The most significant engineering interventions were carried out during the 20th century, driven by efforts to maximize agricultural land use and ensure flood protection. Over the past two decades, efforts to remediate these impacts have emerged on a small portion of Czech rivers, primarily in the form of "revitalization". This involves constructing new channels using more natural materials, such as stone instead of concrete

The Nature Restoration Regulation (NRR, adopted in June 2024) requires that by 2030, at least 25,000 kilometres of free-flowing rivers be restored in EU countries compared to 2020 levels. This requires identifying and removing artificial structures to restore the natural functions of watercourses and enhance sediment erosion and deposition. Most modifications to Czech rivers have focused on stabilizing flows and river banks, preventing flooding, enabling farming, and ensuring sustainable water use for human needs. However, those aims are not compatible with NRR's concept of free-flowing rivers. Recently, some "renaturation" projects have attempted to restore river dynamics and functions in the Czech Republic. These projects remain in the minority due to the societal inertia of over a century of engineering approaches and restrictions on river dynamics.

This contribution presents several examples of recent renaturation projects in the Czech Republic. The first examples are innovative projects on three-kilometre-long sections of two headwater streams in the Ore Mountains. From 2009 to 2010, the previously channelized stream was reconstructed in a meandering pattern following former revitalisation strategy. The recent renaturation project in this area began in August 2023 and ended in April 2024. It began with the decommissioning and backfilling former, deeply incised, artificial channels to allow the water to create its own paths and to support of a self-evolving channel - an approach fully compatible with NRR objectives. Another project was implemented on a five-kilometre section of a Czech lowland river. There, an embankment was transformed into near-natural banks with artificial channel bars and side arms.

We used a LiDAR-equipped drone to generate digital terrain models (DTMs) and a full-frame camera to produce high-resolution orthomosaics to monitor the restoration of channel dynamics. We subsequently used this data for morphological and hydrological analyses by the ArcGIS (Esri) software. Field surveys were also conducted. To evaluate the restoration of channel dynamics, the headwater streams were monitored four times a year for two years, and the lowland river was monitored three times a year for two years. The monitoring demonstrated success with renaturation of the headwater streams. However, the modifications to the lowland river were more robust, so significant channel dynamics did not manifest within the two-year evaluation period. The results show viable pathways to meet the NRR requirements.

How to cite: Elznicová, J., Brétt, D., Matys Grygar, T., Rous, J., Rous, V., Weber, O., and Tačovský, Z.: Geoinformation Tools in the Evaluation of River Renaturation Projects in the Czech Republic, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-16644, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-16644, 2026.

EGU26-19914 | Orals | GM10.2

Hydraulic effects of channel realignment and floodplain reconnection in a headwater stream 

Matthew Perks, Nick Barber, George Heritage, Jess Knaggs, Sim Reaney, Hannah Runeckles, Neil Williams, Duncan Wishart, and Rebecca Powell

Channel realignment and floodplain reconnection are increasingly used as nature-based solutions for flood management, yet their hydraulic effects remain poorly quantified in field settings. This study examines the impact of such interventions on hydraulic response in a headwater catchment, Goldrill Beck, Cumbria, UK. Here, 1-km of a historically engineered and confined single-thread channel was restored to a more geomorphically complex system. Using a combination of hydrological observational data spanning pre- and post-realignment conditions and two-dimensional hydraulic modeling (LISFLOOD-FP), changes in key hydraulic metrics (flood wave transmission and celerity, reach-scale hysteresis, and peak flow attenuation) were assessed. Results indicate that realignment increased flood wave travel time (median transmission time increased from 15 to 40 min), reduced flow celerity, and altered hysteresis patterns, suggesting enhanced in-channel and floodplain storage under low to intermediate flow conditions. Realignment also improved the diversity of flow biotopes and aquatic habitats, whilst increasing the wetted area by 47%. However, during more extreme events, transmission times decreased, and peak discharge was slightly elevated, highlighting limitations in attenuation potential for large floods. The findings contribute to the evidence base for renaturalisation of watercourses for flood mitigation, emphasizing the role of valley morphometry, channel morphology, and floodplain roughness in influencing hydraulic responses.

How to cite: Perks, M., Barber, N., Heritage, G., Knaggs, J., Reaney, S., Runeckles, H., Williams, N., Wishart, D., and Powell, R.: Hydraulic effects of channel realignment and floodplain reconnection in a headwater stream, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-19914, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-19914, 2026.

Long profiles of alluvial rivers are sensitive to changes in water discharge (Qw) and sediment supply (Qs), both of which depend on local climatic and tectonic conditions. Consequently, changes in prevailing environmental boundary conditions impact the adjustment of river long profiles. Rivers respond through modifications in channel slope, either by steepening via sediment deposition supplied from upstream or by lowering through bed incision driven by sediment entrainment.  The time of river long-profile adjustment is commonly estimated using a range of equations derived from models of river evolution. While these formulations are widely applied, they do not distinguish between incision and aggradation and hence predict similar response times, despite these adjustments being governed by different physical processes. As a result, it remains unclear whether incision and aggradation operate on different characteristic timescales of slope adjustment. Given the increasing number of rivers with artificially fixed channel width due to anthropogenic activities, we focus here on the response of fixed-width rivers to changes in boundary conditions. Based data from analogue flume experiments, we investigate how the type of adjustment, i.e., incision or aggradation, affects the response time of slope adjustment of fixed-width rivers to changes in water discharge (Qw) and sediment supply (Qs). Across the experiments, we systematically vary water discharge (Qw), sediment supply (Qs) and grain size, while continuously recording the evolution of the channel slope. Response times are quantified using e-folding fits. We further explore the potential of estimating response times using an Ornstein—Uhlenbeck framework. While both approaches assume exponentially fast adjustment towards new boundary conditions, the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck formulation explicitly incorporates stochastic variability, accounting for model uncertainty and natural slope fluctuations. This makes it a robust alternative for characterizing slope adjustment dynamics. Preliminary results indicate a power-law relationship between steady-state channel slope in and the Qs/Qw ratio, consistent with previous studies. Moreover, the time of slope adjustments increases with the volume of material that has to be eroded or deposited to reach the new long profile. Furthermore, both water discharge (Qw) and sediment supply (Qs) seem to act as catalyst, exerting a primary control on the rate of the slope adjustment in the sense that for fixed Qs/Qw ratio the rate scales positively with an increase in (Qw), implying an increase in (Qs) to retain the ratio Qs/Qw, and vice versa an increase in (Qs). Fluvial systems shape our landscapes. Consequently, characterizing the time of river long-profile adjustment allows for accurate predictions of landscape evolutions, and we expect our results to provide new meaningful insights in that regard.

How to cite: Tiepner, A.: Response times of fixed-width rivers to changes in boundary conditions: Incision vs Aggradation, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-20733, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-20733, 2026.

River management and restoration increasingly aim to create resilient rivers capable of adjusting to future environmental uncertainty. However, centuries of channel modification and floodplain disconnection have severely reduced river resilience. Valley-floor reset is a novel restoration approach that involves infilling existing channels and regrading the floodplain to re-establish hydrogeomorphic processes across the valley floor. By effectively resetting river–floodplain morphology, this approach is hypothesised to restore the capacity of rivers to evolve and adapt to changing input drivers. This study investigates the geomorphic and hydrologic responses of rivers to valley-floor reset restoration, focusing on the River Aller (UK), one of the first valley-floor reset restoration schemes implemented in Europe. Restoration transformed an incised, single-thread river into a wide, multi-thread river–wetland corridor by reconnecting channels to floodplains at low flows. Water storage increased by 1,156%, while the water table elevation rose across the valley floor by an average of 0.8 m. Subsequent geomorphic evolution has included channel development and sediment sorting, creating a mosaic of river and wetland habitats. The results demonstrate that reconnecting rivers to their floodplains at low flows can fundamentally alter the functioning of heavily modified rivers, shifting them from efficient linear drainage systems to laterally connected river-wetlandscapes, and offering a promising strategy for adapting rivers to a changing climate.

How to cite: Mason, R.: Adapting rivers to a changing world: Can restoration ‘reset’ riverscapes and increase resilience?, EGU General Assembly 2026, Vienna, Austria, 3–8 May 2026, EGU26-21427, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21427, 2026.

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